DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 81.2 - - - - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 420 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8483 - - 13096 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13179 - - 16903 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15168 - - 19781 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4168 - - 1808 - - - - - 518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 684 - - 754 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 17 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 305 - - - - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -9 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1012 - - 3692 - - - - - -7850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14157 - - 16090 - - - - - 14651 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -738 - - 1805 - - - - - -10999 ODpotential blCL - - - 15906 - - 17976 - - - - - 17799 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 81 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 290 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.1 - - 81.2 - - - - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.3 - - 33.7 - - - - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 78.8 - - - - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 33.2 - - - - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 486 - - 420 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8483 - - 13096 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 25 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98708 24 101 19 103 29 068 98708 91211 19 093 23 090 21 077 91211 85475 16 095 17 093 15 092 85475 80726 16 084 15 105 13 075 80726 76643 14 099 16 071 9 080 76643 73035 15 084 10 082 13 072 73035 69770 13 041 11 064 17 053 69770 66787 9 046 7 018 13 059 66787 64031 11 038 4 069 14 052 64031 61367 8 007 9 333 18 007 61367 58617 5 279 13 295 28 328 58617 55776 19 317 20 289 30 299 55776 53060 36 310 27 284 34 283 53060 50606 44 295 38 291 38 282 50606 48397 57 281 49 285 41 283 48397 46386 70 271 60 277 42 282 46386 44544 75 263 65 271 42 283 44544 42852 76 259 67 268 43 284 42852 41284 74 258 65 269 43 283 41284 39817 70 261 61 273 40 285 39817 38442 63 267 58 277 35 293 38442 37130 60 272 57 281 32 306 37130 35822 58 275 57 285 28 321 35822 34490 56 278 56 288 26 329 34490 33134 56 283 48 296 25 332 33134 31743 51 290 34 310 24 332 31743 30309 44 296 26 338 22 335 30309 28836 38 304 28 359 17 341 28836 27326 32 309 28 003 15 347 27326 25783 26 312 26 356 15 349 25783 24210 23 316 25 336 15 353 24210 22606 23 315 25 325 16 354 22606 20965 25 309 22*329 19 343 20965 19317 27 307 19*329 24 324 19317 17741 26 313 18 322 23 312 17741 16303 25*318 17 312 21 312 16303 15012 20*318 17 309 20 315 15012 13847 17 316 17 306 20 319 13847 12791 14 312 17 302 20 323 12791 11832 12 306 17 299 20 326 11832 10962 10 297 17 297 20 328 10962 10176 9 290 17 295 20 329 10176 9465 9 286 17 293 20 329 9465 8814 9 284 16 292 19 328 8814 8225 9 280 16 291 18 326 8225 7725 8 279 16 290 16 323 7725 7334 8 278 15 289 14 319 7334 7062 8 277 15 289 12 313 7062 6896 8 278 14 288 9*310 6896 6800 7 277 13 289 5*307 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography