DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 75.2 - - 74.6 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 276 - - 47 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2427 - - 6027 - - 5755 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8026 - - 10945 - - 9345 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9112 - - 12712 - - 12440 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1644 - - 3571 - - 3994 - - 1815 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 506 - - 278 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 24 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 184 - - 240 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - 12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1369 - - 1766 - - 919 - - -2184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7743 - - 10946 - - 11521 - - 8985 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1553 - - -117 - - -1039 - - -5682 ODpotential blCL - - - 10665 - - 12829 - - 13479 - - 12482 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 73 - - 87 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 1050 - - 900 - - 550 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 75.2 - - 74.6 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.2 - - 50.3 - - 47.4 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 73.4 - - 74.3 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 50.0 - - 47.1 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 276 - - 47 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2427 - - 6027 - - 5755 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 49 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98799 15 115 17 118 16 120 13 087 98799 91444 14 141 18 124 12 126 13 095 91444 85756 20 112 11 120 15 109 11 115 85756 81010 11 148 15 135 9 067 17 115 81010 76892 10 168 9 144 5 148 10 089 76892 73256 10 131 11 183 8 150 1 120 73256 69972 5 163 8 186 7 171 8 164 69972 66942 8 186 9 189 9 228 6 184 66942 64139 8 249 8 203 10 235 7 275 64139 61461 8 239 15 219 13 243 12 259 61461 58700 17 255 16 261 15 261 10 249 58700 55873 31 235 32 255 32 260 26 263 55873 53225 34 228 37 238 33 245 29 246 53225 50855 36 250 36 252 32 253 32 254 50855 48713 49 260 45 258 40 260 39 258 48713 46750 56 254 50 255 46 257 42 256 46750 44930 56 250 53 250 50 252 46 251 44930 43233 56 248 54 244 52 245 51 250 43233 41645 62 243 59 242 58 242 57 248 41645 40158 63 238 61 239 63 240 60 242 40158 38768 62 232 64 237 66 236 60 236 38768 37441 61 230 61 236 62 232 57 227 37441 36111 59 232 59 238 59 234 53 224 36111 34751 55 239 55 242 54 237 52 227 34751 33365 53 248 49 247 46 234 50 232 33365 31944 44 249 38 248 35 233 46 236 31944 30481 35 249 32 243 35 241 42 240 30481 28980 30 258 30 249 32 249 39 240 28980 27442 25 256 28 254 28 252 34 242 27442 25874 19 251 26 254 26 251 27 244 25874 24281 16 243 22 245 25 252 21 243 24281 22658 17 235 20 241 23 249 19 250 22658 21000 18 233 19 244 19 238 18 244 21000 19332 16 238 18 246 17 236 15 240 19332 17737 15 251 13 255 14 248 14 239 17737 16290 14 256 11 266 13 251 11 235 16290 14995 13 256 11 267 11 249 9 217 14995 13831 11 255 9 258 9 240 9 202 13831 12776 7 264 6*244 7*232 9 205 12776 11818 5 313 4*215 6*231 9 204 11818 10948 5 003 4 200 6 232 9 204 10948 10164 3 050 4 185 5 234 9 205 10164 9454 4*109 4 180 5 238 10 206 9454 8804 5*115 4 177 4 242 9 206 8804 8218 5 117 4 175 4 247 8 206 8218 7719 5 117 4 173 4 253 7 203 7719 7331 5 118 4 170 4 255 5 196 7331 7061 5 118 4 170 3 256 3 179 7061 6895 5 119 4 170 3 256 2*147 6895 6800 4 119 3 171 3 259 2*129 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography