DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 65.7 - - 65.2 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 391 - - 142 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8560 - - 9940 - - 9827 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13127 - - 14267 - - 13498 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15245 - - 16625 - - 16512 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2158 - - 1774 - - 2229 - - 11070 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 633 - - 672 - - 479 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 20 - - 19 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 269 - - 265 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -13 - - -10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2481 - - 1634 - - 1081 - - -7075 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12764 - - 14992 - - 15431 - - 13874 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13 - - -50 - - -930 - - -9683 ODpotential blCL - - - 15258 - - 16675 - - 17442 - - 16482 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 75 - - 84 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 20 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 65.7 - - 65.2 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.0 - - 23.1 - - 20.7 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 63.5 - - 64.3 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 22.6 - - 20.2 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 391 - - 142 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8560 - - 9940 - - 9827 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 1 - - 35 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97911 26 261 19 258 16 281 24 278 97911 90436 25 242 19 256 20 278 19 289 90436 84658 12 279 17 263 22 266 16 296 84658 79876 11 297 16 261 17 283 19 285 79876 75786 15 287 18 274 21 303 20 296 75786 72192 18 281 22 280 22 291 20 291 72192 68949 21 289 21 287 24 290 19 281 68949 65962 25 288 23 288 29 298 23 299 65962 63192 32 296 31 294 32 287 27 297 63192 60511 42 288 38 289 32 284 28 289 60511 57718 47 282 42 289 41 286 38 287 57718 54822 56 276 53 283 54 283 51 281 54822 52067 58 269 59 277 61 276 57 274 52067 49615 59 276 62 278 64 275 68 270 49615 47436 73 282 76 276 76 272 79 264 47436 45463 95 276 95 267 85 269 83 260 45463 43659 110 280 98 274 93 276 90 262 43659 41997 132 279 116 278 114 275 108 265 41997 40452 129 276 127 276 129 271 124 265 40452 39002 128 272 127 275 128 269 129 264 39002 37638 131 272 128 273 121 267 131 263 37638 36331 128 272 122 272 109 265 128 265 36331 35024 122 270 116 268 108 264 117 266 35024 33693 116 267 112 264 106 264 102 262 33693 32343 107 264 108 264 101 265 92 257 32343 30961 97 261 102 262 95 263 90 256 30961 29536 89 260 97 260 90 260 92 258 29536 28074 81 269 90 264 87 257 91 263 28074 26581 71 286 74 276 80 260 86 267 26581 25063 61 291 58 284 56 273 65 271 25063 23527 49 283 51 285 39 291 42 263 23527 21969 45 271 46 282 40 288 23 264 21969 20387 48 262 44 273 43 273 22 272 20387 18805 47 263 41 268 39 263 26 264 18805 17297 37 268 31*267 27*256 27 256 17297 15924 27*271 26*268 23*256 26 255 15924 14691 22*270 24 269 22 257 25 258 14691 13577 19 268 20 269 22 257 23 261 13577 12566 16 264 20 269 20 262 21 264 12566 11647 15 261 19 270 19 266 20 268 11647 10811 15 261 19 270 18 268 19 272 10811 10056 14 260 18 269 17 271 18 276 10056 9371 14 259 18 269 17 272 18 279 9371 8744 14 258 18 269 16 274 17 283 8744 8176 14 258 18 269 16 275 15 287 8176 7693 13 257 17 269 15 276 13 291 7693 7315 13 257 17 269 15 276 11 294 7315 7053 13 257 16 269 14 276 8 296 7053 6892 12 257 15 269 14 277 5 298 6892 6799 11 257 13 269 12 277 3*297 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography