DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 61.9 - - 60.2 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 499 - - 159 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11663 - - 12177 - - 12175 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15672 - - 16241 - - 15441 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18348 - - 18862 - - 18860 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1650 - - 891 - - 1109 - - 2969 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 706 - - 779 - - 534 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 292 - - 290 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -20 - - -22 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2965 - - 2018 - - 2032 - - -7781 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15384 - - 16845 - - 16829 - - 14581 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1800 - - 775 - - 442 - - -11189 ODpotential blCL - - - 16548 - - 18087 - - 18418 - - 17988 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 74 - - 79 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 61.9 - - 60.2 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.7 - - 10.9 - - 9.5 - - 10.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 59.2 - - 59.3 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.2 - - 10.0 - - 8.8 - - 9.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 389 - - 499 - - 159 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11663 - - 12177 - - 12175 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 0 - - 16 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97434 20 259 20 250 25 268 25 279 97434 90006 16 255 17 271 11 267 12 277 90006 84345 6 306 6 250 9 281 16 301 84345 79705 14 343 2 019 4 354 4 300 79705 75708 8 293 12 318 14 320 5 029 75708 72138 6 241 9 265 20 267 10 307 72138 68893 12 283 6 238 14 257 21 276 68893 65920 22 285 17 299 17 283 22 276 65920 63168 31 274 27 290 26 280 24 285 63168 60494 32 265 28 280 28 277 25 284 60494 57695 29 272 28 281 30 285 28 286 57695 54780 32 284 35 280 35 282 31 282 54780 51992 39 283 41 276 37 281 31 282 51992 49484 47 282 47 276 44 280 37 286 49484 47241 53 275 52 268 51 272 45 285 47241 45215 57 274 54 267 56 269 51 279 45215 43366 71 275 61 271 62 265 57 271 43366 41667 90 272 76 269 68 262 60 263 41667 40101 101 268 87 265 77 258 60 256 40101 38648 105 265 89 264 75 257 55 254 38648 37296 106 265 91 265 66 260 51 261 37296 36009 109 266 94 264 64 262 50 262 36009 34723 102 266 88 264 62 264 48 265 34723 33411 91 266 78 266 61 265 48 270 33411 32078 85 265 75 266 61 269 49 273 32078 30710 82 262 76 264 61 269 49 279 30710 29301 80 261 77 262 59 268 47 288 29301 27856 75 265 75 263 54 267 39 278 27856 26385 66 264 67 264 54 264 39 264 26385 24889 57 265 60 263 55 268 46 264 24889 23375 44 272 53 266 45 279 42 277 23375 21843 36 274 42 274 31 285 30 278 21843 20284 28 274 34*278 22*281 29 264 20284 18717 17*283 17*288 11*287 29 259 18717 17215 15*287 14 292 10 289 25 263 17215 15846 14 288 13 292 11 288 16 270 15846 14619 12 285 13 292 11 288 8 283 14619 13511 10 282 13 292 11 288 5 309 13511 12508 10 281 13 292 12 288 7 324 12508 11596 10 280 14 292 13 290 9 326 11596 10768 10 278 14 293 13 291 12 325 10768 10020 10 277 14 293 14 292 14 325 10020 9342 10 277 14 293 14 293 15 325 9342 8721 10 276 14 293 14 293 16 325 8721 8159 10 276 14 294 14 293 17 324 8159 7682 10 275 14 293 14 293 17 323 7682 7309 9 275 14 293 14 294 16 320 7309 7049 9 275 14 294 14 294 14 317 7049 6890 9 274 13 293 13 293 10*315 6890 6799 8 274 12 294 12 293 6*314 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography