DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.7 - - 46.0 - - 53.8 - - 51.5 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 215 - - 284 - - 2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1396 - - 4087 - - 2284 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7355 - - 9443 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8081 - - 10772 - - 8969 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 79 - - 1113 - - 1661 - - 2127 - - 297 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 285 - - 447 - - 72 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 23 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 239 - - 274 - - 273 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - -13 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2730 - - -4476 - - -3079 - - -4402 - - -3766 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9529 - - 12557 - - 13852 - - 13371 - - 10565 sfcLCL ODpotential -11632 - - -10864 - - -8420 - - -10003 - - -12071 ODpotential blCL 18430 - - 18945 - - 19192 - - 18972 - - 18869 blCL maxRH 43 - - 68 - - 43 - - 39 - - 35 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.7 - - 46.0 - - 53.8 - - 51.5 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.8 - - 15.3 - - 17.0 - - 17.0 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.2 - - 44.7 - - 52.0 - - 51.8 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.5 - - 15.0 - - 16.7 - - 16.7 - - 18.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 215 - - 284 - - 2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1396 - - 4087 - - 2284 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96758 0 071 3 020 1 284 5 267 8 323 96758 89607 14 087 12 089 11 079 6 110 9 037 89607 84077 17 095 10 110 10 100 8 067 14 049 84077 79477 11 085 10 101 8 112 8 030 12 045 79477 75516 10 103 8 130 5 017 6 006 6 053 75516 72018 6 068 13 137 3 296 3 286 4 046 72018 68849 3 356 6 167 7 280 2 283 2 027 68849 65935 11 303 6 216 13 281 9 306 7 325 65935 63237 15 276 10 302 14 276 13 299 12 308 63237 60621 18 268 20 292 18 274 16 284 20 304 60621 57883 22 281 25 279 22 275 20 269 29 292 57883 55037 28 281 28 272 23 275 22 272 30 278 55037 52312 32 278 28 270 27 275 26 285 30 266 52312 49838 32 274 30 268 31 270 31 280 27 275 49838 47597 27 267 33 261 31 272 31 277 25 284 47597 45556 24 263 30 256 33 277 32 276 34 282 45556 43704 21 286 23 275 33 268 33 278 30 262 43704 42013 26 326 20 310 24 289 24 302 13 294 42013 40456 37 328 27 321 23 305 28 315 32 334 40456 39014 29 324 19 330 24 308 29 304 42 319 39014 37675 25 356 26 355 22 323 28 285 47 311 37675 36394 44 020 43 010 47 017 17 300 36 305 36394 35114 65 018 65 013 69 020 29 024 21 304 35114 33818 81 016 71 015 65 017 48 031 20 348 33818 32505 79 018 58 021 47 014 45 027 23 004 32505 31156 63 022 41 028 30 014 33 017 23 005 31156 29760 53 023 31 022 21 002 23 004 23 004 29760 28322 49 027 30 010 19 348 19 351 20 001 28322 26844 46 028 30 006 17 348 18 329 18 003 26844 25332 31 017 24 011 18 351 18 318 19 008 25332 23789 21 005 20 002 21 353 18 328 19 005 23789 22213 18 002 21 348 23 000 20 337 17 355 22213 20597 19 348 24 346 23 007 20 342 13 338 20597 18967 21 328 22 348 23 003 17 348 11 304 18967 17402 21 322 19 348 20 353 14 350 8 310 17402 15976 20 327 18 342 14 345 12 346 6 325 15976 14703 19 333 17 342 13 347 11 349 7 320 14703 13563 19 333 16 350 15 352 11 001 8 307 13563 12536 19 329 13 356 15 343 12 000 7 298 12536 11607 18 327 9 358 12*322 10 348 6 300 11607 10768 16 330 7 351 11*299 10 322 7 305 10768 10013 13 338 5 333 11 288 12 298 10 306 10013 9331 11 350 5 310 11 280 13*287 12 306 9331 8708 8 002 4 287 12 271 14*278 15 308 8708 8147 7 011 2*258 12 266 14 275 17 308 8147 7671 7 009 2*244 12 264 14 273 19 307 7671 7301 6 003 2 241 12 261 14 271 19 304 7301 7045 5 007 2 235 11 260 13 270 14 294 7045 6888 5*019 2 235 11 259 12 269 9 280 6888 6798 4*026 2 234 10 258 9 268 5*267 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography