DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 66.5 - - 67.6 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 517 - - 510 - - 162 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4344 - - 7295 - - 8897 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9850 - - 12229 - - 12873 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11029 - - 13980 - - 15582 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1489 - - 2314 - - 3121 - - 246 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 558 - - 661 - - 483 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 287 - - 309 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -14 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5731 - - -3720 - - -959 - - -6833 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16761 - - 17701 - - 16542 - - 13633 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10894 - - -6677 - - -3311 - - -11102 ODpotential blCL - - - 21923 - - 20657 - - 18893 - - 17901 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 54 - - 54 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 66.5 - - 67.6 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.9 - - 11.9 - - 18.3 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 63.6 - - 66.6 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.2 - - 11.1 - - 17.8 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 517 - - 510 - - 162 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4344 - - 7295 - - 8897 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97917 15 244 15 272 22 299 16 321 97917 90512 13 256 14 264 14 292 11 295 90512 84795 18 262 15 278 13 283 9 303 84795 80032 14 248 15 244 17 276 10 279 80032 75937 10 255 16 231 15 268 15 274 75937 72339 13 261 20 252 19 255 17 274 72339 69084 15 267 20 265 23 268 22 281 69084 66075 25 263 28 266 29 273 24 284 66075 63273 29 258 33 265 33 273 36 288 63273 60577 31 260 37 263 36 258 36 279 60577 57772 34 268 37 271 32 266 32 270 57772 54855 41 267 44 272 37 281 32 284 54855 52089 39 261 38 262 36 272 36 284 52089 49623 33 282 31 274 30 266 37 272 49623 47420 35 277 34 277 30 278 35 270 47420 45435 32 266 37 268 32 271 31 269 45435 43638 34 268 33 268 22 287 19 284 43638 41991 29 283 29 305 25 318 19 317 41991 40462 24 300 25 309 23 332 25 343 40462 39034 16 327 19 324 25 353 36 352 39034 37696 22 001 26 349 30 360 42 353 37696 36417 29 006 32 353 32 359 42 351 36417 35136 30 003 32 351 31 356 39 348 35136 33826 28 356 30 346 30 354 36 345 33826 32493 25 347 27 341 28 351 34 344 32493 31124 24 337 27 338 26 346 32 344 31124 29713 22 329 25 334 24 343 30 345 29713 28265 22 326 23 321 21 341 28 344 28265 26782 23 325 22 314 18 333 27 339 26782 25270 23 329 22 320 19 323 26 334 25270 23733 23 336 22 327 22 318 25 327 23733 22167 24 338 21 329 22 318 24 322 22167 20565 22 334 19 323 20 324 23 325 20565 18954 19 331 18 316 15 334 20 333 18954 17414 17 329 17 316 13 341 17 342 17414 16015 15 333 15 324 13*340 13 347 16015 14761 13 341 14*322 14*335 13 347 14761 13631 11 346 12*310 14 329 14 346 13631 12607 8 342 12 305 15 318 16 341 12607 11678 6*316 12 298 16 316 18 337 11678 10834 5*278 12 289 17 306 19 334 10834 10073 6 269 12 283 18 303 20 332 10073 9384 6 264 12 280 18 301 20 329 9384 8752 6 262 12 277 18 299 20 325 8752 8181 6 260 12 275 18 297 20 321 8181 7696 6 258 12 272 18 296 19 317 7696 7317 6 257 11 271 17 295 18 311 7317 7053 6 257 11 270 17 295 16 306 7053 6891 6 256 11 270 16 294 12*303 6891 6799 6 256 10 269 14 293 7*300 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography