DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 88.2 - - 87.3 - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 454 - - 134 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5488 - - 13274 - - 11681 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10707 - - 17090 - - 14874 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12173 - - 19959 - - 18366 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 6296 - - 2825 - - 4041 - - 238 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 570 - - 774 - - 494 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 35 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 277 - - 287 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -23 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2561 - - 2842 - - 220 - - -8476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14734 - - 17118 - - 18147 - - 15277 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4296 - - 1157 - - -1757 - - -12545 ODpotential blCL - - - 16469 - - 18802 - - 20123 - - 19345 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 73 - - 56 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 520 - - 180 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 88.2 - - 87.3 - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 36.2 - - 30.9 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.8 - - 85.4 - - 86.2 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.1 - - 36.0 - - 30.8 - - 32.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 454 - - 134 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5488 - - 13274 - - 11681 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99138 23 099 21 098 25 096 25 092 99138 91683 29 112 22 110 21 097 22 082 91683 85932 25 106 21 118 18 085 23 088 85932 81152 18 103 20 107 14 087 20 070 81152 77042 15 086 18 107 12 090 18 072 77042 73414 11 070 13 080 8 105 15 069 73414 70134 13 101 8 070 10 090 12 070 70134 67132 9 106 7 094 10 049 11 065 67132 64360 9 091 6 178 7 006 8 034 64360 61691 8 354 7 020 6 015 5 350 61691 58933 5 243 6 276 8 299 10 322 58933 56105 11 298 11 273 15 272 17 295 56105 53432 23 304 20 295 19 283 20 284 53432 51031 33 297 31 290 34 289 29 297 51031 48868 34 300 32 287 35 284 34 283 48868 46892 39 304 37 297 35 294 32 284 46892 45067 45 301 45 300 42 298 34 295 45067 43367 45 290 48 296 48 296 42 296 43367 41775 44 284 46 293 51 293 47 295 41775 40278 40 281 42 289 47 291 47 293 40278 38874 37 276 37 285 38 286 41 292 38874 37540 36 278 36 281 34 279 34 284 37540 36213 28 276 34 282 29 283 31 286 36213 34860 22 272 27 278 22 287 27 293 34860 33485 20 278 23 284 18 289 22 296 33485 32073 18 282 19 286 18 284 17 297 32073 30618 13 285 15 279 20 285 18 301 30618 29124 12 279 15 271 20 284 21 300 29124 27597 13 282 16 278 17 287 20 295 27597 26041 16 290 17 290 15 289 15 284 26041 24458 18 297 15 301 13 293 11 274 24458 22843 19 298 13 306 11 295 10 269 22843 21187 18 294 12*315 6 320 9 268 21187 19516 17 293 10*314 6*327 8 273 19516 17911 15 288 9 303 7*310 7 278 17911 16446 13 277 9 281 9 295 7 286 16446 15132 10 276 9 276 9 291 7 292 15132 13947 7 283 9 272 10 290 7 297 13947 12874 5*286 9 270 10 288 8 299 12874 11899 2*226 9 268 10 286 8 302 11899 11016 3 204 9 267 11 284 9 305 11016 10218 3 201 9 266 11 283 10 307 10218 9497 3 199 9 266 11 282 11 309 9497 8837 3 198 8 265 11 281 12 311 8837 8241 3 196 8 265 11 281 13 312 8241 7735 3 196 8 265 11 281 14 312 7735 7340 3 197 8 265 10 280 14 313 7340 7065 3 198 8 265 10 280 12 313 7065 6897 3 198 8 266 10 280 9 314 6897 6800 3 199 7 266 9 280 5*316 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography