DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 90.5 - - 88.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 407 - - 435 - - 125 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10544 - - 12558 - - 8882 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14779 - - 16481 - - 12667 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17229 - - 19243 - - 15567 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2762 - - 2220 - - 4820 - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 693 - - 753 - - 445 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 294 - - 288 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -5 - - -13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 684 - - 1763 - - -2088 - - -8490 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16545 - - 17481 - - 17656 - - 15292 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1244 - - 403 - - -4366 - - -12801 ODpotential blCL - - - 18473 - - 18840 - - 19933 - - 19602 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 81 - - 73 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 270 - - 80 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 90.5 - - 88.1 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.6 - - 36.8 - - 33.9 - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 88.1 - - 87.2 - - 80.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 36.4 - - 33.4 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 407 - - 435 - - 125 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10544 - - 12558 - - 8882 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99270 31 119 19 107 22 105 18 093 99270 91761 24 101 22 107 22 108 25 099 91761 85964 22 106 19 109 19 093 28 096 85964 81160 28 115 19 113 18 093 24 089 81160 77048 20 099 17 124 14 101 18 084 77048 73419 16 094 18 119 11 114 13 094 73419 70132 16 081 18 112 12 103 14 078 70132 67129 18 056 15 102 10 111 7 108 67129 64370 7 026 12 049 10 050 8 100 64370 61716 9 189 10 025 10 044 9 040 61716 58969 7 089 7 013 9 030 8 064 58969 56124 12 017 7 351 10 337 10 344 56124 53417 22 347 12 322 12 307 18 314 53417 50992 23 317 18 328 22 327 24 333 50992 48826 27 314 26 327 24 328 24 332 48826 46866 32 323 28 328 22 327 21 323 46866 45064 31 317 26 321 22 323 20 317 45064 43390 28 304 25 310 23 321 20 320 43390 41823 24 287 23 305 22 317 21 324 41823 40350 24 280 21 309 20 314 20 324 40350 38967 18 294 23 322 19 315 19 322 38967 37642 18 321 23 328 19 315 18 321 37642 36313 18 330 21 325 19 320 17 319 36313 34953 18 329 20 323 17 328 15 319 34953 33568 18 330 19 328 15 330 12 323 33568 32148 15 332 17 333 12 324 9 338 32148 30686 13 324 15 326 10 317 11 341 30686 29188 14 304 16 315 13 317 14 340 29188 27655 15 301 17 312 15 317 16 343 27655 26091 13 298 16 306 16 320 16 344 26091 24499 10 296 15 306 15 324 13 339 24499 22876 9 307 11 317 12 326 9 324 22876 21214 10 324 9 356 10 008 3 289 21214 19538 11 330 10*006 11 015 3 018 19538 17929 12*326 8*343 10 008 8 015 17929 16462 13*318 9 321 9*341 12 007 16462 15146 13 315 9 316 9*315 13 000 15146 13959 13 315 11 298 10 307 14 352 13959 12883 13 313 12 293 12 296 14 343 12883 11906 11 308 14 288 14 289 14 332 11906 11021 10 299 15 286 16 285 15 319 11021 10222 9 287 16 285 16 284 16 308 10222 9501 8 271 16 285 16 283 17 300 9501 8839 8 265 16 284 17 282 18 296 8839 8243 8 261 17 284 17 282 19 291 8243 7736 8 258 16 284 17 281 18 287 7736 7341 8 257 16 284 16 281 17 284 7341 7066 7 255 16 283 16 281 14 280 7066 6897 7 255 15 284 15 280 10*276 6897 6801 7 255 14 283 13 280 6*271 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography