DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 77.9 - - 76.2 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 380 - - 69 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4279 - - 7430 - - 5630 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9647 - - 12211 - - 9714 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10964 - - 14115 - - 12315 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3589 - - 2706 - - 3889 - - 227 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 477 - - 603 - - 314 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 53 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 256 - - 266 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4884 - - -2432 - - -4474 - - -7256 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15849 - - 16548 - - 16789 - - 14056 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8676 - - -5555 - - -7792 - - -13152 ODpotential blCL - - - 19640 - - 19670 - - 20107 - - 19952 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 76 - - 53 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 77.9 - - 76.2 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.5 - - 28.5 - - 26.0 - - 25.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 75.6 - - 75.7 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 28.0 - - 25.5 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 328 - - 380 - - 69 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4279 - - 7430 - - 5630 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96198 37 243 47 267 42 271 42 267 96198 89076 29 270 34 278 28 274 30 266 89076 83628 22 259 28 278 27 286 22 296 83628 79107 17 244 23 263 30 289 26 311 79107 75214 12 283 15 249 22 267 28 305 75214 71787 10 287 9 257 17 251 28 287 71787 68704 13 276 14 273 16 248 24 273 68704 65880 16 268 16 287 15 258 19 259 65880 63279 14 274 16 281 16 290 13 262 63279 60787 13 281 16 277 18 294 12 288 60787 58175 15 283 16 266 22 283 21 290 58175 55428 22 278 23 266 29 269 31 270 55428 52779 31 278 31 267 33 264 36 262 52779 50372 39 278 33 272 32 272 34 263 50372 48187 36 277 37 272 36 272 34 268 48187 46181 35 275 40 270 40 270 36 266 46181 44335 36 267 43 261 42 264 40 260 44335 42637 43 272 42 263 40 264 40 261 42637 41072 54 269 53 262 46 263 41 265 41072 39623 54 261 58 258 58 262 45 265 39623 38270 51 260 53 254 57 259 52 265 38270 36977 48 261 50 256 53 258 53 265 36977 35682 45 261 47 259 50 256 47 266 35682 34359 40 259 43 259 48 258 44 268 34359 33012 37 258 39 258 45 259 41 267 33012 31630 34 260 36 257 40 256 38 263 31630 30204 30 263 33 257 38 257 36 261 30204 28739 27 265 32 256 36 258 34 260 28739 27236 25 263 32 261 33 263 33 259 27236 25699 22 261 32 262 31 268 32 261 25699 24134 21 255 29 254 32 269 32 265 24134 22533 21 245 26 249 30 268 30 267 22533 20893 19 247 21 253 22 270 26 269 20893 19244 14 266 16 260 13 271 20 266 19244 17666 11 283 10 268 9 262 16 263 17666 16230 10 288 7 280 7 257 16 265 16230 14944 9 288 7*274 8 262 17 269 14944 13785 8 285 8*262 9 269 18 272 13785 12735 7 283 8 260 10*272 18 276 12735 11783 5*280 8 257 11*271 18 280 11783 10920 3*272 9 257 12 270 18 283 10920 10140 1 249 9 256 12 268 18 287 10140 9435 1 216 10 256 12 266 17 291 9435 8790 2 196 10 255 13 265 16 296 8790 8208 2 187 10 255 13 264 15 302 8208 7713 2 184 10 254 13 263 14 306 7713 7327 3 185 10 254 12 262 14 307 7327 7058 3 182 10 254 12 262 12 306 7058 6894 3 183 10 254 12 262 8*304 6894 6800 2 183 9 254 10 261 5*304 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography