DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.1 - - 29.0 - - 31.5 - - 28.6 - - 21.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 197 - - 303 - - -9 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 2757 - - 5005 - - 4768 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 8314 - - 10184 - - 6780 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 9442 - - 11690 - - 11453 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 136 - - 2599 - - 1685 - - 3039 - - 3140 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 351 - - 490 - - 64 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 17 - - 27 - - 32 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 302 - - 289 - - 300 - - 314 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 11 - - 22 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -13 - - -8 - - 17 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1517 - - -2071 - - 52 - - -229 - - -2996 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8315 - - 11513 - - 11639 - - 11682 - - 9794 sfcLCL ODpotential -7565 - - -6980 - - -2583 - - -2334 - - -6153 ODpotential blCL 14362 - - 16422 - - 14273 - - 13787 - - 12950 blCL maxRH 40 - - 49 - - 63 - - 65 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.1 - - 29.0 - - 31.5 - - 28.6 - - 21.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 5.1 - - 2.5 - - 4.4 - - 1.6 - - 3.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 19.1 - - 27.9 - - 30.2 - - 29.1 - - 23.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.0 - - 1.7 - - 3.9 - - 1.2 - - 3.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 197 - - 303 - - -9 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 2757 - - 5005 - - 4768 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95094 117 258 106 265 99 265 102 265 109 260 95094 88181 73 269 74 264 78 267 82 273 82 272 88181 82932 48 284 51 261 58 266 62 274 66 275 82932 78539 43 288 38 259 47 261 51 277 53 272 78539 74683 38 287 33 266 41 267 44 274 42 274 74683 71234 31 286 28 273 33 274 36 268 38 282 71234 68087 34 277 28 270 30 272 35 268 38 287 68087 65173 37 273 33 272 35 271 38 268 41 280 65173 62449 42 277 41 272 40 266 42 269 46 268 62449 59785 43 270 45 270 46 262 45 266 49 266 59785 56984 42 268 47 268 48 263 45 274 54 273 56984 54072 47 273 50 267 49 269 51 275 58 277 54072 51291 52 272 54 266 56 264 52 271 58 279 51291 48775 53 268 53 263 51 266 52 273 57 286 48775 46506 51 270 48 268 46 268 57 282 61 291 46506 44442 52 275 47 270 41 272 63 288 60 289 44442 42546 50 276 43 272 43 284 63 286 57 292 42546 40792 49 286 45 284 52 289 59 287 58 296 40792 39165 57 290 52 293 56 292 60 295 60 301 39165 37652 60 279 58 293 59 297 68 303 66 308 37652 36253 45 269 59 296 66 301 76 307 76 313 36253 34937 37 293 60 302 73 304 80 309 85 315 34937 33641 50 312 61 306 76 305 80 310 92 315 33641 32338 52 313 61 306 74 306 79 313 95 315 32338 31029 47 311 59 303 70 307 79 315 95 315 31029 29702 40 315 55 303 66 307 78 314 93 314 29702 28344 39 325 53 305 64 306 76 312 89 315 28344 26956 40 325 52 304 62 307 74 312 83 317 26956 25540 38 319 52 301 60 307 73 313 79 320 25540 24101 36 314 51 298 56 308 73 315 76 321 24101 22645 34 310 49 298 53 308 73 316 71 321 22645 21168 35 310 47 301 50 308 72 316 64 321 21168 19663 35 312 44 304 49 309 68 316 58 322 19663 18152 35 316 41 308 49 310 62 316 52 325 18152 16706 34 320 39 313 48 312 57 315 48 328 16706 15391 32 324 36 316 47 314 51 315 45 329 15391 14215 29 327 33 316 44 316 46 314 42 326 14215 13157 27 330 29 315 40 317 42 314 40 322 13157 12200 25 334 27 313 33*314 39*313 38 321 12200 11333 23 337 24 312 28*307 37*314 36 322 11333 10548 21 339 22 309 28 304 36 314 35 324 10548 9839 18 340 19*306 27 302 35 314 34 325 9839 9198 16 338 18*300 27 300 34 315 33 325 9198 8611 14 333 18 294 27 298 32 315 31 323 8611 8080 13 321 18 288 27 297 31 315 29 320 8080 7629 14 309 18 286 26 296 29 314 26 318 7629 7278 18 300 18 285 25 295 27 314 22 316 7278 7033 19 299 17 285 24 295 24 314 17 314 7033 6883 15*301 16 284 22 295 21 314 14*314 6883 6797 7*302 13 284 18 294 15 314 6*312 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography