DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 86.9 - - - - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 298 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5260 - - 7384 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10523 - - 12086 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11945 - - 14069 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3930 - - 3591 - - - - - 418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 561 - - 566 - - - - - 39 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 18 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 273 - - - - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 8 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1360 - - 1599 - - - - - -1050 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13306 - - 12471 - - - - - 7850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3772 - - -504 - - - - - -6614 ODpotential blCL - - - 15717 - - 14573 - - - - - 13414 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 86 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 1520 - - - - - 600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 86.9 - - - - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 55.1 - - - - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.2 - - 84.9 - - - - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 54.0 - - - - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 298 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5260 - - 7384 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 45 - - - - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99291 47 101 36 098 32 095 99291 91764 38 092 33 108 31 095 91764 85993 31 097 33 105 28 090 85993 81223 31 103 29 102 27 093 81223 77120 31 107 26 102 26 096 77120 73507 29 106 24 105 22 088 73507 70246 27 096 22 111 19 086 70246 67266 17 096 17 114 19 098 67266 64534 9 104 13 103 18 100 64534 61915 5 087 9 095 16 093 61915 59200 6 126 4 101 11 086 59200 56408 17 128 12 138 9 134 56408 53780 21 119 18 139 13 154 53780 51433 20 119 18 139 17 159 51433 49312 14 133 16 142 22 153 49312 47363 12 151 13 146 18 150 47363 45554 7 156 11 148 12 156 45554 43862 5 236 7 167 9 178 43862 42270 9 234 7 218 6 200 42270 40770 12 215 11 223 2 192 40770 39361 14 204 13 202 2 149 39361 38014 14 208 16 185 5 136 38014 36661 14 217 15 184 5 144 36661 35276 16 217 13 194 5 170 35276 33864 17 210 11 221 5 184 33864 32415 14 201 10 232 3 198 32415 30922 8 188 9 224 4 238 30922 29390 4 158 6 222 7 244 29390 27823 3 152 2 190 10 225 27823 26224 4 174 5 135 12 200 26224 24599 7 167 6 139 11 195 24599 22945 9 155 8 145 11 202 22945 21253 9 138 9 154 13 205 21253 19554 8 115 10 154 14 198 19554 17931 11 089 11 144 13 197 17931 16457 15 081 10 139 10 218 16457 15137 13 075 6*143 10 251 15137 13949 9 069 2*191 12 273 13949 12872 4*040 4 265 11 287 12872 11895 4*312 5 272 10 300 11895 11009 6 290 6 275 8 314 11009 10210 6 281 6 275 8 339 10210 9489 7 277 7 277 10 003 9489 8828 7 272 7 277 13 019 8828 8233 7 270 7 277 17 027 8233 7728 7 266 7 277 22 028 7728 7336 7 264 7 278 25 026 7336 7063 7 263 7 278 21 025 7063 6896 7 262 7 278 16 024 6896 6800 6 262 6 278 7*024 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography