DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.2 - - 35.2 - - 44.3 - - 40.8 - - 29.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 183 - - 193 - - -17 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1100 - - 2657 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7084 - - 8218 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7785 - - 9342 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 75 - - 594 - - 1131 - - 3800 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 249 - - 340 - - 13 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 098 - - 258 - - 257 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3411 - - -5492 - - -6546 - - -8296 - - -5807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10209 - - 13278 - - 15889 - - 15094 - - 12605 sfcLCL ODpotential -16970 - - -14502 - - -13952 - - -15661 - - -15146 ODpotential blCL 23767 - - 22287 - - 23294 - - 22459 - - 21944 blCL maxRH 82 - - 79 - - 81 - - 63 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.2 - - 35.2 - - 44.3 - - 40.8 - - 29.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -2.3 - - 1.7 - - -1.2 - - -1.1 - - -1.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.4 - - 34.1 - - 43.0 - - 42.1 - - 34.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.4 - - 1.4 - - -1.5 - - -1.3 - - -1.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 183 - - 193 - - -17 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1100 - - 2657 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 27 - - 18 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95676 82 282 62 285 73 276 69 285 74 282 95676 88585 61 295 56 300 45 298 50 280 58 287 88585 83120 57 304 54 305 51 304 50 300 49 306 83120 78571 51 306 47 308 49 300 55 314 49 327 78571 74634 47 314 43 307 45 296 53 310 50 328 74634 71164 49 312 42 311 38 300 48 309 48 317 71164 68053 48 305 43 312 33 306 45 311 45 307 68053 65213 47 304 45 309 34 311 40 307 42 299 65213 62586 46 304 47 302 40 324 38 312 40 291 62586 60035 52 295 52 288 45 307 41 310 40 286 60035 57353 58 284 54 284 47 295 45 303 42 287 57353 54532 60 280 62 278 53 282 48 297 46 289 54532 51805 67 276 66 271 63 272 55 284 50 284 51805 49334 68 275 65 269 64 270 61 278 56 284 49334 47114 66 278 63 275 65 273 68 280 69 282 47114 45099 67 276 69 278 66 277 74 276 73 279 45099 43254 66 275 71 274 69 277 74 275 71 279 43254 41546 63 277 69 270 73 273 77 275 72 279 41546 39954 56 276 68 271 80 270 84 274 81 274 39954 38470 51 274 70 272 81 265 93 271 91 273 38470 37090 44 270 66 271 83 259 98 269 99 274 37090 35789 37 268 59 270 79 257 99 268 107 275 35789 34508 37 266 55 270 73 257 103 269 111 274 34508 33212 39 267 51 268 71 258 99 266 98 276 33212 31904 42 267 48 265 70 260 94 264 81 276 31904 30568 42 269 50 268 70 263 91 268 69 276 30568 29192 42 272 52 271 68 266 79 276 68 285 29192 27776 44 273 50 268 64 265 68 284 70 292 27776 26323 44 273 49 260 61 261 64 287 70 294 26323 24836 35 275 49 257 58 257 61 289 70 293 24836 23321 30 275 48 254 56 255 62 293 70 293 23321 21773 30 273 46 252 54 256 64 296 70 293 21773 20188 31 273 44 252 50 261 59 296 70 295 20188 18598 31 275 42 254 47 268 49 284 65 297 18598 17082 30 278 38 258 44 274 51 273 55 290 17082 15704 26 282 34 263 39 277 51 273 53 283 15704 14473 23 287 30 269 35 279 45 277 50 285 14473 13369 21 291 27 273 32 280 40 282 41 294 13369 12375 19 295 24 276 28 279 37 285 32 305 12375 11475 18 297 20 276 25 278 34 284 30 312 11475 10662 16 299 17 275 21 281 29 284 30 313 10662 9928 13 300 14 276 16*282 23 285 30 311 9928 9266 12 303 10 279 10*273 19 282 30 306 9266 8660 9 309 6 287 7 258 16 278 29 303 8660 8115 5 332 1*330 7 257 15 272 27 301 8115 7652 4 066 3*097 7 255 14 267 22 299 7652 7290 8 096 3 098 6 253 13 263 18 296 7290 7039 11 095 3 100 6 253 12 260 13 288 7039 6886 10*087 3 099 6 254 10*258 9*276 6886 6798 6*085 3 099 5 253 7*257 6*269 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography