DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 89.4 - - 86.5 - - 76.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 409 - - 427 - - 95 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5353 - - 10297 - - 6011 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10575 - - 14603 - - 10280 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12038 - - 16982 - - 12696 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5184 - - 4640 - - 8480 - - 494 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 553 - - 699 - - 357 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 54 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 154 - - 328 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 18 - - 54 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2735 - - 780 - - -2511 - - -5725 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14774 - - 16203 - - 15208 - - 12527 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4919 - - -1123 - - -4441 - - -9335 ODpotential blCL - - - 16957 - - 18105 - - 17137 - - 16136 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 59 - - 92 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 320 - - 570 - - 650 - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 89.4 - - 86.5 - - 76.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 41.5 - - 43.2 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 86.8 - - 85.7 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 41.0 - - 42.9 - - 45.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 409 - - 427 - - 95 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5353 - - 10297 - - 6011 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99291 26 093 33 099 31 104 23 106 99291 91819 32 110 24 103 21 101 26 075 91819 86040 32 112 15 114 20 085 24 067 86040 81237 29 097 20 123 23 089 21 071 81237 77109 18 085 23 110 17 091 21 089 77109 73465 16 077 18 094 12 092 21 095 73465 70175 10 096 13 080 10 081 17 084 70175 67177 10 140 6 093 9 084 15 077 67177 64421 11 121 10 121 9 133 7 090 64421 61764 5 087 10 111 8 169 4 257 61764 59006 1 325 3 104 4 169 4 311 59006 56163 6 325 6 254 1 287 4 331 56163 53468 11 317 9 271 9 315 7 315 53468 51060 15 312 9 305 9 309 9 303 51060 48915 17 307 12 325 13 317 8 320 48915 46969 18 322 13 331 14 313 9 325 46969 45178 19 330 15 344 10 347 8 326 45178 43511 18 340 17 342 12 358 7 330 43511 41950 18 355 18 333 15 351 7 334 41950 40479 16 348 17 329 16 342 10 336 40479 39093 16 330 14 337 11 319 12 338 39093 37765 14 326 12 332 8 298 13 341 37765 36431 13 337 12 331 6 293 9 317 36431 35066 15 340 14 341 5 278 7 290 35066 33675 15 334 10 343 7 314 3 309 33675 32247 13 328 9 329 10 333 2 040 32247 30779 9 337 9 328 9 331 0 144 30779 29274 7 001 7 318 6 311 1 196 29274 27734 6 008 5 334 3 325 3 089 27734 26161 5 045 1 070 3 178 5 103 26161 24559 5 087 6 102 9 148 6 138 24559 22924 5 126 13 119 15 123 10 126 22924 21249 9 137 17 104 16 112 15 132 21249 19566 11 125 18 093 13 116 16 142 19566 17953 11 115 16*091 6 131 10 154 17953 16483 9 108 11*092 3 152 5 193 16483 15165 7 088 7 097 2 227 6 241 15165 13975 6 056 6 100 3 256 6 261 13975 12897 5*024 2 137 4*269 6 279 12897 11919 4*353 2 187 5*286 6 303 11919 11032 4 329 3 207 6 302 6 327 11032 10232 3 309 3 215 7 317 7 346 10232 9508 3 285 4 221 9 327 7 359 9508 8845 3 271 4 226 10 335 7 007 8845 8247 4 265 5 229 11 338 8 012 8247 7738 4 261 5 230 11 339 7 010 7738 7342 4 258 5 231 11 340 7 000 7342 7067 4 256 5 231 11 339 7 345 7067 6898 3 257 5 232 10 339 6*333 6898 6801 3 258 5 233 9 338 4*329 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography