DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 77.4 - - - - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 509 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9888 - - 12304 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14354 - - 16360 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16573 - - 18989 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2695 - - 2195 - - - - - 478 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 730 - - 788 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 224 - - - - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -779 - - 239 - - - - - -10170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17353 - - 18751 - - - - - 16971 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3100 - - -1997 - - - - - -13742 ODpotential blCL - - - 19673 - - 20986 - - - - - 20542 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 47 - - - - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 77.4 - - - - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 17.5 - - - - - 13.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 74.6 - - - - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.2 - - 16.7 - - - - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 509 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9888 - - 12304 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98081 7 306 10 299 13 322 98081 90698 15 249 11 287 11 344 90698 85015 10 253 12 285 7 328 85015 80251 9 215 16 255 11 304 80251 76129 9 178 13 248 12 293 76129 72500 4 268 9 281 5 271 72500 69225 6 276 12 250 14 294 69225 66236 7 299 7 227 14 281 66236 63481 22 304 8 322 10 253 63481 60813 37 278 30 297 11 278 60813 58003 42 262 35 268 27 275 58003 55080 43 257 37 260 39 264 55080 52305 45 257 43 258 46 267 52305 49803 53 257 53 256 57 260 49803 47561 59 255 61 255 68 254 47561 45538 64 254 67 254 74 250 45538 43698 66 252 70 254 73 249 43698 42015 65 251 70 254 69 250 42015 40459 65 253 70 253 69 252 40459 39008 67 254 68 250 72 249 39008 37655 66 254 65 250 70 243 37655 36367 63 255 64 250 65 238 36367 35081 61 257 64 250 61 239 35081 33771 59 257 62 251 57 241 33771 32441 56 256 61 252 54 241 32441 31079 53 254 59 252 52 241 31079 29677 51 254 55 250 52 239 29677 28239 49 253 52 248 51 237 28239 26766 47 251 48 246 49 237 26766 25264 44 250 46 245 47 239 25264 23736 42 249 44 244 43 239 23736 22180 39 246 40 242 35 234 22180 20591 32 243 32 234 25 223 20591 18993 29 236 23*220 23 219 18993 17462 31*227 18*215 25 227 17462 16067 26*224 17 215 26 233 16067 14815 20 225 17 216 26 237 14815 13684 16 227 16 218 26 241 13684 12657 13 230 16 221 25 245 12657 11724 10 237 15 224 25 248 11724 10875 9 239 15 227 25 252 10875 10108 9 240 15 230 24 256 10108 9413 9 241 15 232 24 259 9413 8776 8 242 14 234 24 263 8776 8198 8 243 14 236 23 266 8198 7708 8 243 14 238 22 267 7708 7324 8 243 13 238 20 268 7324 7057 8 242 13 239 16 268 7057 6894 7 242 13 239 12*267 6894 6800 7 242 12 239 6*266 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography