DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.6 - - 86.1 - - 91.3 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 136 - - 427 - - 343 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1419 - - 6076 - - 10633 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 7186 - - 11173 - - 14758 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 8104 - - 12761 - - 17318 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1198 - - 4503 - - 3821 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 247 - - 587 - - 658 - - - - - - W* B/S 7 - - 31 - - 105 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 108 - - 097 - - 082 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -12 - - 3 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3250 - - -1031 - - 1373 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11354 - - 13793 - - 15945 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -7484 - - -3157 - - -187 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 15588 - - 15918 - - 17505 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 66 - - 83 - - 100 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 350 - - 280 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 75.6 - - 86.1 - - 91.3 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.2 - - 48.8 - - 44.5 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.6 - - 83.5 - - 88.9 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.0 - - 48.4 - - 43.9 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 136 - - 427 - - 343 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1419 - - 6076 - - 10633 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 30 - - 100 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99179 48 106 40 112 35 097 99179 91695 38 092 39 100 36 105 91695 85944 29 086 41 097 36 096 85944 81200 25 084 33 087 31 102 81200 77121 28 098 22 080 27 105 77121 73509 30 101 19 109 25 103 73509 70244 25 094 23 108 23 102 70244 67258 18 094 20 097 19 108 67258 64515 15 115 16 094 13 102 64515 61894 13 099 12 133 5 128 61894 59184 7 098 17 134 7 203 59184 56400 6 131 8 101 7 141 56400 53782 6 073 6 072 8 087 53782 51442 10 024 9 052 11 071 51442 49324 13 027 5 014 4 028 49324 47375 8 022 8 325 5 006 47375 45563 4 352 4 337 6 112 45563 43869 4 337 1 147 11 149 43869 42277 2 147 7 148 16 165 42277 40774 8 186 13 176 17 185 40774 39359 11 198 15 198 16 200 39359 38004 10 211 13 204 14 209 38004 36648 9 231 9 207 11 210 36648 35262 7 255 6 205 6 205 35262 33852 5 273 6 194 5 191 33852 32406 4 283 6 202 6 189 32406 30918 7 264 5 198 5 186 30918 29389 7 244 3 171 6 166 29389 27824 4 212 2 132 6 160 27824 26228 2 164 3 172 5 163 26228 24608 5 149 5 235 2 170 24608 22962 5 128 5 262 4 007 22962 21284 4 117 2 264 7 029 21284 19600 4 098 2 080 7 038 19600 17985 5 073 5 073 6*038 17985 16512 7 046 7 062 4*037 16512 15191 9 023 8 040 3 036 15191 14000 10 004 8 031 2 039 14000 12921 9 353 7*031 1 052 12921 11941 7 342 5*037 1 082 11941 11052 6 335 4 061 1 124 11052 10250 5 017 3 088 1 135 10250 9523 6 073 4 105 1 149 9523 8858 5 093 4 113 2 151 8858 8257 6*119 4 118 2 153 8257 7746 6*114 4 120 2 152 7746 7347 6 107 4 123 2 155 7347 7070 6 106 4 124 2 156 7070 6899 6 105 4 123 2 156 6899 6801 5 104 4 123 2 156 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography