DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.2 - - 35.2 - - 47.1 - - 40.7 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 103 - - 79 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 675 - - 1118 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 6781 - - 6782 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7360 - - 7803 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 159 - - 353 - - 726 - - 715 - - 207 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 178 - - 194 - - 7 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 3 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 216 - - 277 - - 252 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -687 - - -1813 - - -1736 - - -524 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 8047 - - 9617 - - 8534 - - 7322 sfcLCL ODpotential -12912 - - -11779 - - -9639 - - -10720 - - -12371 ODpotential blCL 19709 - - 19139 - - 17442 - - 17518 - - 19169 blCL maxRH 74 - - 66 - - 63 - - 52 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.2 - - 35.2 - - 47.1 - - 40.7 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.8 - - 24.1 - - 28.8 - - 27.3 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.9 - - 34.6 - - 46.5 - - 44.7 - - 36.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.5 - - 23.0 - - 27.8 - - 26.5 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 103 - - 79 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 675 - - 1118 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96353 20 050 20 039 14 056 21 059 4 161 96353 89211 16 045 16 024 10 051 11 033 9 024 89211 83638 19 047 6 098 10 053 11 344 24 356 83638 79046 13 020 4 124 13 005 16 339 28 000 79046 75091 17 021 14 029 16 353 15 003 30 001 75091 71591 22 350 23 003 20 338 21 011 25 010 71591 68403 12 335 15 332 22 326 19 355 18 019 68403 65452 22 325 11 337 15 323 24 348 17 340 65452 62724 38 323 37 325 36 330 23 347 19 324 62724 60100 39 309 46 303 38 326 34 331 33 328 60100 57373 37 306 42 308 39 319 39 315 41 316 57373 54549 40 306 41 314 35 306 39 298 48 302 54549 51872 40 302 37 316 34 308 36 294 46 301 51872 49505 41 321 40 318 44 323 40 324 41 316 49505 47419 47 325 49 317 50 322 46 331 39 328 47419 45535 49 316 49 315 47 322 44 318 38 327 45535 43804 46 313 43 326 46 334 38 310 38 320 43804 42202 39 326 49 343 45 345 36 314 40 316 42202 40701 39 343 51 349 33 337 34 315 42 313 40701 39286 39 352 44 348 26 318 34 316 43 311 39286 37951 38 358 34 340 30 326 35 316 43 311 37951 36670 36 001 29 333 35 329 35 314 43 313 36670 35384 35 358 28 333 39 330 34 308 41 317 35384 34066 34 349 31 340 40 331 32 303 39 320 34066 32722 30 338 32 343 39 332 32 300 36 320 32722 31341 31 334 28 340 36 330 34 299 34 320 31341 29917 33 331 25 333 34 324 37 300 34 318 29917 28452 34 331 25 326 31 316 40 302 35 316 28452 26951 35 334 26 321 28 308 41 305 37 313 26951 25417 34 339 27 316 27 303 41 310 38 310 25417 23856 34 341 27 312 28 303 40 314 39 310 23856 22262 36 340 28 314 31 307 38 317 40 313 22262 20628 39 339 30 319 32 314 38 320 42 318 20628 18983 41 339 33 326 33 321 37 323 44 322 18983 17410 42 340 36 332 34 326 37 327 46 324 17410 15982 43 341 36 336 36 328 37 331 46 327 15982 14708 42 343 36 338 36 329 37 335 46 330 14708 13565 41 343 35 338 35 330 38 337 46 333 13565 12533 39 342 34 337 34 330 37 338 45 336 12533 11601 36 341 33 335 32 330 36 338 44 339 11601 10758 31 339 31 333 29 331 33 337 42 341 10758 10000 27 336 28 332 27 330 29 337 37 343 10000 9318 22 332 23 329 24 325 24 335 30 344 9318 8695 17 323 18 321 20 313 18 329 20 342 8695 8135 13 305 13 303 13*293 14 314 11 324 8135 7662 6 296 5*268 9*279 12 292 9 302 7662 7295 1 110 3*216 8 277 9 272 7 297 7295 7041 4 118 3 216 7 277 6 262 3 296 7041 6886 5*104 3 215 7 276 4*256 0*001 6886 6798 4*089 2 218 6 275 2*252 1*085 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography