DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 75.9 - - 74.9 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 347 - - 31 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1417 - - 4064 - - 3298 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7461 - - 9501 - - 6783 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8102 - - 10749 - - 9983 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 638 - - 3550 - - 2729 - - 147 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 478 - - 204 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 258 - - 271 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -14 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10047 - - -9668 - - -10464 - - -9977 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18150 - - 20418 - - 20448 - - 16777 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16759 - - -14590 - - -15533 - - -17869 ODpotential blCL - - - 24861 - - 25339 - - 25516 - - 24668 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 49 - - 42 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.5 - - 75.9 - - 74.9 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.2 - - 9.4 - - 8.5 - - 9.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 73.7 - - 74.7 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.5 - - 8.4 - - 7.6 - - 9.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 347 - - 31 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1417 - - 4064 - - 3298 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96667 19 270 23 275 19 301 26 295 96667 89517 7 233 12 260 18 257 18 343 89517 84029 9 155 3 179 9 251 12 017 84029 79486 6 149 8 177 1 272 3 048 79486 75576 2 063 6 134 2 030 3 026 75576 72101 1 105 5 148 6 307 9 001 72101 68947 3 201 8 283 4 333 8 330 68947 66060 9 299 13 314 9 012 6 023 66060 63389 18 322 21 331 28 349 19 009 63389 60824 23 006 17 347 30 341 29 342 60824 58181 29 004 22 004 20 336 26 335 58181 55442 17 337 17 321 17 325 24 333 55442 52808 16 318 16 320 19 328 26 329 52808 50414 27 336 25 328 24 332 27 327 50414 48251 31 335 30 325 27 332 27 325 48251 46286 37 335 39 329 33 330 32 324 46286 44498 43 326 46 325 42 326 42 324 44498 42853 42 315 46 315 46 318 47 325 42853 41317 40 316 44 312 46 312 47 318 41317 39872 42 322 45 313 45 310 47 314 39872 38514 44 324 46 314 45 310 49 313 38514 37215 43 324 45 315 46 310 52 310 37215 35913 42 322 45 315 48 312 55 310 35913 34579 42 320 46 316 51 315 54 313 34579 33219 42 320 46 318 53 318 52 318 33219 31823 40 321 43 321 52 320 48 321 31823 30382 37 323 38 322 49 320 45 320 30382 28903 33 325 34 321 45 320 41 320 28903 27388 31 324 32 319 42 320 38 323 27388 25841 32 321 33 316 42 320 37 327 25841 24263 34 319 35 314 41 320 36 327 24263 22647 37 320 37 315 40 317 34 324 22647 20992 37 320 38 316 39 315 33 320 20992 19325 34 321 36 317 36 314 31 318 19325 17730 30 321 32 319 32 315 26 318 17730 16279 26 319 28 322 27 321 22 322 16279 14980 21 319 23 327 22 328 18 328 14980 13809 19 326 18 327 19 332 14 334 13809 12751 17 336 14 322 17 329 12 341 12751 11791 15 347 13 309 16 316 12 344 11791 10922 13 355 12*293 16 302 13 344 10922 10139 11 353 12*279 17*293 16 342 10139 9432 8 336 12 268 18*280 17 336 9432 8785 7 309 12 259 18 275 19 329 8785 8202 5*278 13 255 18 271 20 321 8202 7707 4*234 13 252 17 269 22 314 7707 7323 4 229 13 250 17 268 22 308 7323 7055 4 227 12 249 16 266 17 303 7055 6893 3 226 12 248 15 265 11*295 6893 6799 3 223 11 248 12 264 6*287 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography