DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.5 - - 44.9 - - 47.8 - - 42.9 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 97 - - 49 - - -47 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1250 - - 2535 - - 2553 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7901 - - 7490 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 7935 - - 9220 - - 9238 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1832 - - 1437 - - 3175 - - 2125 - - 297 Hgt.Variab. W* 147 - - 285 - - 240 - - 32 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 26 - - 24 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 264 - - 295 - - 305 - - 282 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - -9 - - -5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1138 - - 2301 - - 1889 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 6919 - - 7349 - - 6799 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential 499 - - -198 - - -686 - - -2325 - - -3595 ODpotential blCL 7436 - - 9418 - - 9924 - - 9124 - - 10393 blCL maxRH 100 - - 83 - - 76 - - 75 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 180 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.5 - - 44.9 - - 47.8 - - 42.9 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.5 - - 37.9 - - 39.0 - - 39.3 - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.5 - - 44.5 - - 47.5 - - 44.7 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 36.6 - - 37.7 - - 38.7 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 97 - - 49 - - -47 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1250 - - 2535 - - 2553 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 32 - - 5 - - 2 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96785 40 271 52 278 57 286 39 278 43 280 96785 89753 29 295 26 285 35 285 29 295 35 284 89753 84302 23 301 22 287 21 291 16 305 22 294 84302 79778 19 290 21 289 18 297 17 304 11 321 79778 75857 17 312 12 283 15 295 21 291 17 300 75857 72372 16 336 3 185 9 243 17 277 19 284 72372 69216 19 340 3 284 7 209 6 225 9 263 69216 66300 9 310 15 286 17 265 10 279 8 171 66300 63567 3 171 11 289 21 257 18 274 12 277 63567 60922 7 119 6 302 9 258 19 268 14 273 60922 58174 15 298 12 287 7 262 17 247 16 270 58174 55336 17 294 20 260 12 233 15 246 21 272 55336 52645 25 291 28 257 17 255 21 270 25 276 52645 50213 32 269 30 251 24 263 27 267 25 268 50213 48004 32 260 30 249 29 253 27 262 23 278 48004 45972 29 255 28 258 27 246 20 274 28 290 45972 44098 29 254 33 271 22 255 25 300 39 298 44098 42369 26 255 37 273 26 282 38 306 48 307 42369 40762 27 259 38 274 33 293 45 304 57 319 40762 39259 35 261 42 286 41 300 46 307 73 321 39259 37855 39 259 43 292 47 306 51 314 91 320 37855 36523 39 261 40 296 51 310 61 315 102 320 36523 35199 38 275 38 296 53 314 70 313 100 318 35199 33855 35 276 34 297 54 314 74 313 93 315 33855 32491 29 278 33 311 56 313 75 321 90 316 32491 31095 32 288 42 323 63 314 82 327 90 320 31095 29656 40 290 51 321 71 320 92 328 90 324 29656 28179 47 289 51 315 78 324 94 328 90 327 28179 26670 48 290 45 311 75 325 88 329 91 330 26670 25130 31 307 32 312 60 324 75 329 87 334 25130 23568 30 347 15 356 36 321 56 330 74 336 23568 21986 39 345 14 340 23 323 36 328 55 338 21986 20383 41 328 17 316 16 318 29 325 38 339 20383 18780 42 320 21 318 19 320 28 326 31 335 18780 17248 39 320 27 324 22 326 24 331 28 326 17248 15855 35 323 29 327 24 331 23 344 26 323 15855 14610 31 320 27 328 26 333 25 353 23 326 14610 13491 29 311 27 328 28 335 29 357 21 334 13491 12479 27 297 28 329 29 338 31 356 20 346 12479 11563 26 284 28 328 29 337 31 352 20 358 11563 10734 25 275 27 323 28 335 30 347 20 006 10734 9987 26 273 27 316 28 331 28 341 20 010 9987 9312 26 272 28*308 27*322 27 333 19 009 9312 8695 26 271 28*301 26*313 26 322 17 003 8695 8139 25*268 28 297 25 307 27 309 15 354 8139 7667 23*266 27 295 25 304 27 298 12 332 7667 7299 22 265 27 293 24 303 26 290 13 304 7299 7044 20 264 25 292 23 302 23 285 14 284 7044 6888 18 263 23 291 21 301 20*284 12*280 6888 6798 14 263 17 290 16 300 12*282 6*278 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography