DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.1 - - 52.7 - - 55.8 - - 53.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 67 - - 60 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 572 - - 1773 - - 3400 - - 569 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 6782 - - 8229 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7257 - - 8458 - - 10085 - - 7254 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1968 - - 2982 - - 2707 - - 4807 - - 1585 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 223 - - 275 - - 12 - - 11 W* B/S 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 200 - - 223 - - 080 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -4 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 458 - - 1659 - - 2626 - - 350 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6799 - - 6799 - - 7459 - - 6904 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential 207 - - -37 - - 203 - - -2040 - - -1502 ODpotential blCL 7050 - - 8495 - - 9882 - - 9294 - - 8301 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 83 - - 84 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 330 - - 410 - - 570 - - 460 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m 50.1 - - 52.7 - - 55.8 - - 53.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.1 - - 47.6 - - 46.3 - - 46.1 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 52.1 - - 55.4 - - 54.4 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.7 - - 46.4 - - 45.1 - - 44.8 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 67 - - 60 - - 0 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 572 - - 1773 - - 3400 - - 569 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 78 - - 30 - - 35 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97360 7 233 13 238 16 247 11 281 9 283 97360 90104 4 033 3 184 9 218 6 286 11 345 90104 84539 6 092 5 110 5 140 4 081 8 352 84539 79908 6 126 7 105 4 165 4 055 3 012 79908 75935 7 095 4 074 5 047 2 108 4 032 75935 72432 7 057 5 084 3 049 4 038 5 032 72432 69252 3 339 8 063 7 128 3 175 3 294 69252 66312 2 135 1 309 3 077 3 167 2 218 66312 63584 5 112 7 178 6 188 7 198 8 204 63584 60945 7 020 6 284 3 218 5 184 11 181 60945 58205 18 271 13 262 7 246 6 243 11 216 58205 55349 29 208 34 215 30 222 25 243 19 249 55349 52603 29 197 31 199 34 218 35 230 43 235 52603 50140 25 213 32 215 38 220 41 218 51 220 50140 47929 37 225 41 222 42 221 48 218 54 218 47929 45908 49 224 47 223 51 222 56 223 60 222 45908 44045 56 222 54 221 60 221 66 226 65 224 44045 42315 62 220 61 218 69 220 72 226 70 223 42315 40704 68 219 67 216 75 219 77 224 74 222 40704 39203 72 218 72 215 80 217 81 223 77 220 39203 37809 76 217 77 214 82 215 82 220 80 218 37809 36491 78 217 79 215 82 215 81 217 78 215 36491 35182 77 217 78 216 81 215 78 216 75 214 35182 33852 75 214 77 216 79 214 77 216 73 214 33852 32503 71 212 76 214 77 215 75 216 71 214 32503 31124 69 213 75 214 77 215 74 216 69 213 31124 29707 69 215 75 215 77 216 73 216 66 210 29707 28256 69 216 75 216 77 217 73 216 64 208 28256 26772 68 217 73 216 75 218 70 217 64 210 26772 25258 66 218 70 217 69 218 63 218 62 212 25258 23718 63 219 64 218 62 219 56 218 57 214 23718 22146 57 220 56 218 54 219 50 219 52 214 22146 20538 50 218 49 217 48 218 46 218 48 215 20538 18921 45 215 45 217 44 216 42 215 42 215 18921 17375 43 212 39 214 40 213 39 212 37 212 17375 15970 38 209 29 212 38 211 36 211 36 210 15970 14714 35 208 27 212 36 211 32 209 35 211 14714 13584 32 211 24 213 31 211 27 210 32 213 13584 12561 30 215 22 214 24 212 21 211 24 216 12561 11634 27 218 19 214 19 213 16 214 13 212 11634 10795 23 223 15 212 16*215 11 215 8 178 10795 10038 20 227 12 210 13*217 7 216 8 147 10038 9354 17 228 10 207 11 220 5 214 8 121 9354 8728 13 230 7*204 9 223 2 209 9 099 8728 8163 9 232 7*201 7 226 1 197 10 090 8163 7683 7 234 6 200 6 227 0 181 13 081 7683 7310 5*235 6 199 6 228 0*118 14 076 7310 7050 3*234 5 198 6 227 0*117 11 076 7050 6890 3 236 5 199 6 228 0 081 8*073 6890 6799 2 235 5 198 5 229 1 065 5*070 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography