DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 87.6 - - - - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 461 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9800 - - 15214 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14190 - - 18722 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16485 - - 21899 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5273 - - 1892 - - - - - 2110 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 685 - - 818 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 122 - - 24 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 140 - - 261 - - - - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -20 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4007 - - 1136 - - - - - -8140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20493 - - 20764 - - - - - 14942 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7258 - - -753 - - - - - -11707 ODpotential blCL - - - 23743 - - 22652 - - - - - 18508 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 49 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 87.6 - - - - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.1 - - 18.6 - - - - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 84.8 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.5 - - 18.0 - - - - - 32.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 461 - - - - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9800 - - 15214 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99156 41 101 36 092 37 101 99156 91616 39 105 32 105 33 090 91616 85832 34 108 29 098 31 087 85832 81044 30 084 26 104 26 084 81044 76936 23 081 26 093 24 096 76936 73326 21 092 22 077 19 088 73326 70081 19 081 19 093 16 074 70081 67115 15 088 16 105 16 075 67115 64378 13 088 11 093 17 073 64378 61737 14 051 7 071 13 072 61737 58991 7 040 6 052 9 031 58991 56157 8 004 3 014 9 322 56157 53469 18 330 11 344 11 314 53469 51052 28 314 23 312 21 313 51052 48881 26 302 24 303 29 298 48881 46897 26 320 23 323 24 304 46897 45057 36 332 34 336 31 328 45057 43338 46 329 43 329 41 324 43338 41724 44 329 48 321 42 321 41724 40215 41 327 40 326 38 321 40215 38813 41 321 39 321 33 305 38813 37483 35 330 42 321 26 317 37483 36155 35 332 37 329 29 331 36155 34798 36 332 29 337 24 331 34798 33415 34 331 24 341 19 327 33415 31997 31 329 24 332 18 315 31997 30536 26 329 23 330 19 308 30536 29037 16 333 18 325 19 309 29037 27504 10 325 15 313 20 310 27504 25939 8 320 14 302 19 325 25939 24351 8 342 6 303 13 343 24351 22738 9 331 6*351 7 081 22738 21091 11 304 6*358 13 093 21091 19430 11 262 4 321 11 090 19430 17837 7*249 4 275 4 078 17837 16385 3*275 5 263 3 317 16385 15082 1 352 6 257 5 296 15082 13906 2 029 7 254 6 286 13906 12840 2 044 8 252 7 272 12840 11872 1 078 8 251 9 256 11872 10994 1 118 8 251 11 245 10994 10201 3 159 9 251 14 240 10201 9484 3 163 9 251 16 238 9484 8827 3 167 9 251 18 237 8827 8234 4 167 9 251 19 236 8234 7730 4 169 9 252 20 236 7730 7338 4 170 9 252 19 235 7338 7064 3 170 9 252 16 235 7064 6897 3 171 9 252 12*234 6897 6801 3 171 8 253 7*234 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography