DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.8 - - 36.9 - - 39.5 - - 39.5 - - 33.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 121 - - 189 - - 3 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1632 - - 1930 - - 2798 - - 375 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7269 - - 7689 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 8317 - - 8615 - - 9483 - - 7060 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 1130 - - 1755 - - 2520 - - 1686 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 248 - - 304 - - 91 - - 72 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 17 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 058 - - 342 - - 327 - - 244 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 8 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -15 - - -10 - - 10 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4813 - - -825 - - 762 - - 481 - - 263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11611 - - 9142 - - 7854 - - 9002 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -13760 - - -5052 - - -1182 - - -1172 - - 81 ODpotential blCL 20557 - - 13369 - - 9797 - - 10655 - - 6979 blCL maxRH 93 - - 100 - - 98 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.8 - - 36.9 - - 39.5 - - 39.5 - - 33.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.8 - - 20.7 - - 28.8 - - 23.8 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.9 - - 36.1 - - 38.4 - - 39.7 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 0.5 - - 20.8 - - 28.7 - - 23.7 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 121 - - 189 - - 3 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1632 - - 1930 - - 2798 - - 375 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 101 - - 94 - - 82 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95236 44 266 57 270 56 268 58 271 64 272 95236 88397 21 300 33 270 36 282 34 275 41 282 88397 83106 22 314 23 276 27 294 23 282 30 294 83106 78671 25 308 19 287 22 302 18 286 29 298 78671 74826 16 308 13 299 16 307 17 287 25 299 74826 71423 17 318 12 304 16 282 18 284 20 302 71423 68328 19 309 15 306 16 283 19 285 19 305 68328 65464 17 322 16 309 17 283 21 282 26 297 65464 62801 20 321 17 312 15 276 20 272 26 274 62801 60214 25 317 22 322 15 303 14 280 22 261 60214 57487 28 298 26 299 22 286 20 280 27 275 57487 54630 30 293 30 282 33 274 34 279 38 277 54630 51881 36 297 37 285 39 279 40 277 43 275 51881 49382 45 293 43 283 42 279 45 273 47 273 49382 47116 47 285 47 278 46 275 49 270 49 273 47116 45038 44 279 49 271 50 271 51 271 50 274 45038 43119 44 279 49 266 51 269 54 272 51 275 43119 41342 45 277 46 267 51 268 55 271 52 273 41342 39693 49 267 48 265 53 264 55 270 55 269 39693 38160 55 268 58 262 61 261 58 264 58 258 38160 36750 81 259 75 252 77 255 69 258 67 250 36750 35434 99 256 93 246 91 248 83 251 74 246 35434 34144 106 252 101 244 100 245 95 244 84 242 34144 32846 103 254 98 244 101 244 101 241 92 240 32846 31540 98 256 93 247 96 244 98 241 89 240 31540 30210 88 258 85 247 90 247 90 243 77 243 30210 28848 78 257 77 245 83 249 77 246 68 247 28848 27453 69 258 72 247 75 246 68 247 65 250 27453 26024 62 259 67 252 69 245 66 246 62 252 26024 24566 54 256 59 255 62 251 63 247 58 252 24566 23084 46 254 53 255 59 261 60 253 51 252 23084 21574 39 262 47 258 49 264 55 258 42 252 21574 20024 35 265 43 260 43 264 47 258 40 251 20024 18464 33 261 40 257 42 268 41 263 36 255 18464 16972 30 257 33 249 45 269 35 269 33 259 16972 15617 28 254 28 247 47 264 29 269 31 261 15617 14405 26 253 25 251 41 252 25 265 29 263 14405 13315 25 255 23 254 32 240 23 263 27 263 13315 12330 23 260 20 260 26 237 19 266 25 260 12330 11438 20 268 16 267 20 244 17 268 22 258 11438 10630 16 273 13 273 17 260 15 267 17 260 10630 9904 11 271 10 279 16 270 14*264 13 265 9904 9247 6 250 6 287 13 277 13*259 12 269 9247 8647 4 225 3*301 6*292 11 251 11 269 8647 8106 1 148 2*325 4*317 10 243 10 267 8106 7646 3 097 2 341 3 323 10 239 9 261 7646 7288 7 088 3 344 3 330 9 235 8*255 7288 7038 11 075 3 346 3 333 9 233 6*250 7038 6885 9*064 3 347 3 333 8 231 5 250 6885 6798 6*058 3 347 3 333 6 228 4 250 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography