DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 59.2 - - 50.8 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 119 - - -10 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 747 - - 2463 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 7855 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7432 - - 9148 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1020 - - 1702 - - 2051 - - 74 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 283 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 107 - - 136 - - 097 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7337 - - -6486 - - -6960 - - -5689 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14770 - - 15634 - - 13760 - - 12488 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15181 - - -12196 - - -14605 - - -15115 ODpotential blCL - - - 22613 - - 21344 - - 21404 - - 21913 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 73 - - 76 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 59.2 - - 50.8 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.7 - - 14.6 - - 15.0 - - 13.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 58.4 - - 55.5 - - 48.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.2 - - 14.1 - - 14.6 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 119 - - -10 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 747 - - 2463 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96046 32 294 29 283 30 279 31 296 96046 88937 23 302 27 290 32 295 29 304 88937 83461 24 285 22 281 27 283 26 301 83461 78925 12 319 11 314 16 291 28 321 78925 75009 24 286 26 304 19 286 25 300 75009 71562 26 294 32 304 18 320 12 318 71562 68446 30 287 32 290 31 281 25 287 68446 65602 33 251 36 260 31 268 28 264 65602 62991 31 250 28 251 29 274 34 258 62991 60461 32 263 30 254 45 258 41 251 60461 57830 49 259 48 251 53 253 48 261 57830 55092 61 250 57 251 59 250 56 258 55092 52461 67 244 66 251 61 248 59 248 52461 50072 72 238 71 248 63 251 58 250 50072 47902 74 238 74 247 68 252 67 256 47902 45913 74 242 78 245 74 248 74 250 45913 44088 73 246 79 243 77 242 78 241 44088 42415 73 251 76 245 77 243 77 238 42415 40872 74 255 73 249 80 247 73 236 40872 39435 71 253 73 255 79 245 69 233 39435 38083 66 247 70 255 76 244 72 233 38083 36784 62 243 67 249 76 243 77 235 36784 35479 62 244 67 244 73 237 78 237 35479 34145 64 244 66 242 70 231 78 239 34145 32784 63 241 61 240 67 227 75 239 32784 31385 57 240 58 236 64 225 76 237 31385 29942 55 241 57 235 60 224 74 230 29942 28465 56 238 55 231 58 225 69 225 28465 26957 56 233 55 227 57 226 64 225 26957 25418 54 229 54 222 57 226 61 226 25418 23853 49 223 53 217 56 225 59 223 23853 22259 46 220 51 214 54 224 57 220 22259 20631 42 222 48 215 51 222 54 219 20631 18998 37 229 43 218 46 222 48 220 18998 17438 32 236 38 225 40 224 42 223 17438 16022 29 238 34 231 35 227 38 226 16022 14756 25 234 31 233 32 230 34 225 14756 13618 22 230 27 233 29 233 31 220 13618 12587 19 227 23 230 24 233 27 214 12587 11653 15 222 19 223 18 230 22 217 11653 10807 13 214 15 214 14 221 15 219 10807 10046 10 198 13 196 11 204 12 200 10046 9358 8 169 10*167 10 177 11 176 9358 8730 9 139 8*143 10 147 13 157 8730 8163 10 129 8 137 10 130 13 149 8163 7683 11*123 8 135 9 121 12 136 7683 7308 9*111 7 133 8 115 11 114 7308 7048 8 106 7 133 7 110 11 090 7048 6889 7 105 7 132 6*103 9*075 6889 6798 6 104 6 132 5*097 7*070 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography