DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.5 - - 51.2 - - 55.4 - - 53.7 - - 42.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 344 - - 400 - - 69 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 5195 - - 7945 - - 6693 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 10383 - - 12649 - - 10444 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 11880 - - 14630 - - 13378 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 130 - - 2113 - - 2140 - - 2639 - - 346 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 517 - - 626 - - 329 - - 4 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 281 - - 289 - - 282 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -9 - - -5 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2324 - - -1748 - - -760 - - -1356 - - -4980 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9122 - - 13628 - - 15391 - - 14734 - - 11778 sfcLCL ODpotential -7353 - - -5030 - - -3906 - - -4298 - - -10112 ODpotential blCL 14151 - - 16910 - - 18536 - - 17676 - - 16910 blCL maxRH 57 - - 39 - - 43 - - 48 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.5 - - 51.2 - - 55.4 - - 53.7 - - 42.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.7 - - 15.1 - - 11.3 - - 12.7 - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.7 - - 49.3 - - 53.2 - - 53.3 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.4 - - 14.6 - - 10.9 - - 12.5 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 344 - - 400 - - 69 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 5195 - - 7945 - - 6693 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96253 10 293 10 247 19 242 16 284 13 282 96253 89078 18 217 20 236 18 270 18 302 17 282 89078 83591 13 279 10 217 13 238 13 272 15 263 83591 79081 11 250 9 279 10 274 10 277 6 314 79081 75210 1 306 5 262 10 268 18 278 16 305 75210 71809 14 288 4 275 10 228 19 263 20 289 71809 68757 25 283 23 291 22 285 20 299 20 294 68757 65932 30 289 31 280 29 288 26 295 32 298 65932 63281 34 288 34 289 41 286 39 283 43 279 63281 60698 39 292 42 288 46 278 43 277 40 269 60698 57975 44 296 44 289 50 282 39 279 34 275 57975 55108 51 293 50 292 56 279 50 291 47 283 55108 52343 56 288 60 282 58 273 64 285 60 281 52343 49834 57 281 62 276 58 272 65 280 66 279 49834 47572 60 278 62 278 62 276 65 277 66 278 47572 45508 68 274 62 278 68 277 68 274 68 277 45508 43606 68 272 59 274 66 276 69 273 68 273 43606 41843 62 272 59 272 60 273 64 276 60 272 41843 40213 61 270 62 271 60 269 57 273 54 266 40213 38712 59 265 68 266 58 264 50 272 45 273 38712 37320 53 263 65 255 53 264 47 272 46 286 37320 35997 47 263 55 247 50 267 46 272 50 285 35997 34681 54 263 53 255 50 270 44 271 49 285 34681 33345 62 261 62 262 51 268 44 268 45 285 33345 31999 71 256 69 255 54 260 43 265 40 281 31999 30633 75 254 72 251 58 254 41 264 35 275 30633 29241 69 257 65 250 59 255 38 268 33 275 29241 27825 62 259 57 253 52 257 40 271 36 275 27825 26377 61 259 54 257 47 260 42 269 38 273 26377 24901 63 259 54 260 46 264 42 268 38 272 24901 23397 64 261 52 262 45 267 39 271 30 278 23397 21863 63 262 49 264 44 269 33 286 21 294 21863 20292 59 262 43 267 42 272 24 304 21 301 20292 18709 53 263 37 274 34 277 18 306 21 299 18709 17192 46 266 32 280 24 285 12 296 17 284 17192 15813 41 270 27 286 16*297 7 311 14 267 15813 14580 36 273 24 290 14*297 8 318 12 260 14580 13472 32 276 21 295 14 296 9*309 5 255 13472 12469 30 281 17*298 14 294 10*303 2 303 12469 11560 28 287 13*291 14 292 12 291 5 326 11560 10735 25 291 13 288 14 289 14 285 9 321 10735 9991 23 295 12 285 15 287 15 283 12 320 9991 9318 20 298 12 281 15 286 15 280 14 318 9318 8702 18 300 12 279 15 284 15 279 15 316 8702 8144 16 302 12 277 15 283 15 277 16 312 8144 7671 14 301 12 275 15 282 15 276 16 307 7671 7302 12 295 12 273 15 281 15 276 15 298 7302 7045 10 285 11 273 14 281 14 275 12 287 7045 6888 5*254 11 272 14 281 14 275 8*273 6888 6798 3*222 10 272 12 280 11 274 5*262 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography