DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 38.8 - - 39.3 - - 28.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 299 - - 31 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1952 - - 3121 - - 2611 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7809 - - 8724 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8637 - - 9806 - - 9296 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 792 - - 1214 - - 1174 - - 1174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 339 - - 416 - - 184 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 46 - - 28 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 255 - - 282 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -4 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2378 - - -4537 - - -5235 - - -4602 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11015 - - 14344 - - 14531 - - 11401 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8356 - - -10888 - - -13600 - - -14682 ODpotential blCL - - - 16993 - - 20694 - - 22896 - - 21480 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 54 - - 51 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.3 - - 38.8 - - 39.3 - - 28.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.4 - - 0.0 - - -0.2 - - 3.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.9 - - 37.2 - - 39.1 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.6 - - -0.7 - - -0.6 - - 3.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 299 - - 31 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1952 - - 3121 - - 2611 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96675 26 108 22 085 28 096 20 105 96675 89525 23 104 13 107 20 083 18 087 89525 83991 17 108 14 120 12 094 19 074 83991 79377 11 129 6 129 6 153 10 088 79377 75386 9 125 11 154 6 202 3 349 75386 71858 1 273 4 121 5 182 2 281 71858 68659 4 207 6 291 4 323 2 054 68659 65705 13 242 16 260 19 290 12 303 65705 62965 18 235 20 250 23 271 20 280 62965 60324 12 274 20 261 24 267 22 276 60324 57566 30 295 29 283 28 279 27 282 57566 54692 43 291 39 287 43 283 43 290 54692 51944 54 287 57 287 54 288 53 287 51944 49471 64 283 65 283 65 291 62 291 49471 47261 64 281 65 284 72 288 72 290 47261 45269 59 285 71 291 75 290 74 289 45269 43463 68 293 80 291 82 296 76 292 43463 41808 79 296 87 292 85 295 77 294 41808 40275 90 302 95 298 85 299 77 295 40275 38841 110 299 103 305 90 299 81 292 38841 37494 115 297 106 303 92 295 86 289 37494 36204 111 306 108 299 96 292 86 289 36204 34912 119 316 107 301 95 295 82 293 34912 33594 125 317 102 304 93 300 80 296 33594 32255 127 318 94 304 90 304 78 297 32255 30883 121 323 89 304 84 306 75 297 30883 29470 96 321 84 304 76 306 72 299 29470 28019 69 309 79 302 70 303 67 298 28019 26532 55 299 73 304 67 300 63 295 26532 25012 49 295 66 307 65 301 61 294 25012 23466 46 292 59 306 63 304 58 298 23466 21893 44 295 50 303 56 307 50 305 21893 20287 37 301 41 294 47 307 42 309 20287 18674 30 306 35 291 37 302 35 310 18674 17137 24 310 31 297 31 294 29 307 17137 15746 21 313 24 304 25 293 21 303 15746 14508 19 319 17 309 20 298 15 297 14508 13396 17 329 12 317 14 303 11 294 13396 12391 16 339 9 334 9 311 6 288 12391 11484 13 348 8 360 4 331 3 268 11484 10663 9 001 5 005 2 346 2 214 10663 9926 5 019 2*322 2*315 2 185 9926 9260 2*042 2*261 2*290 2 151 9260 8654 1*092 3 256 3 286 2 124 8654 8110 1 094 3 254 3 284 1 130 8110 7648 1 098 3 255 3 280 1 228 7648 7288 1 098 3 254 3 279 2 248 7288 7039 1 102 3 254 3 279 2 259 7039 6885 1 097 3 257 3 277 2*272 6885 6798 1 099 3 256 3 276 1*289 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography