DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 81.1 - - - - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 499 - - 503 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6758 - - 7194 - - - - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11786 - - 12145 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13443 - - 13879 - - - - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1758 - - 1823 - - - - - 5087 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 641 - - 657 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 22 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 299 - - - - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -20 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5951 - - -6259 - - - - - -10558 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19395 - - 20139 - - - - - 17359 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10105 - - -10427 - - - - - -16246 ODpotential blCL - - - 23548 - - 24306 - - - - - 23046 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 24 - - - - - 22 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 81.1 - - - - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.1 - - 15.4 - - - - - 17.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 78.5 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.4 - - 14.8 - - - - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 499 - - 503 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6758 - - 7194 - - - - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98582 22 111 21 090 15 081 98582 91108 27 110 16 123 14 082 91108 85382 20 109 18 099 17 073 85382 80646 21 106 20 108 16 108 80646 76572 19 071 20 110 16 113 76572 72984 7 034 15 086 11 090 72984 69749 10 138 3 128 12 070 69749 66770 7 156 4 170 5 063 66770 64013 11 183 10 217 5 290 64013 61346 9 237 7 231 7 233 61346 58584 17 260 14 270 12 265 58584 55739 28 267 32 269 27 277 55739 53028 41 272 40 264 38 269 53028 50597 53 271 48 270 40 267 50597 48427 61 266 49 269 39 270 48427 46457 64 261 48 269 40 273 46457 44646 66 258 49 267 44 272 44646 42967 66 257 55 265 50 268 42967 41399 61 256 57 263 56 264 41399 39925 54 255 55 263 56 263 39925 38540 50 256 49 266 54 268 38540 37219 45 260 44 268 54 270 37219 35898 41 269 40 268 51 270 35898 34551 39 277 40 268 48 271 34551 33185 39 281 43 271 44 273 33185 31789 41 282 44 273 40 276 31789 30349 42 284 41 274 38 279 30349 28869 41 287 38 277 38 279 28869 27354 38 288 36 283 37 280 27354 25809 36 287 34 289 34 282 25809 24236 35 288 34 294 29 283 24236 22629 35 288 33 295 23 281 22629 20980 35 287 32 294 19 283 20980 19318 34 285 32 291 18 288 19318 17727 32 284 31 291 18 295 17727 16280 31 289 30 297 16 299 16280 14986 28 298 28*302 12 301 14986 13820 23*301 23*302 10 303 13820 12766 20*299 22 301 11 302 12766 11810 19 298 22 300 11 300 11810 10944 20 296 22 299 12 300 10944 10162 20 295 23 298 12 302 10162 9453 20 293 23 298 13 306 9453 8804 20 292 23 297 13 309 8804 8219 20 291 23 297 13 311 8219 7721 19 291 22 296 13 312 7721 7332 19 290 22 296 12 311 7332 7061 18 289 21 296 11 307 7061 6895 17 289 20 296 8*302 6895 6800 15 289 17 296 5*300 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography