DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 69.4 - - 67.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 236 - - -3 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2532 - - 3892 - - 1116 - - 654 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8277 - - 9227 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9217 - - 10577 - - 7801 - - 7339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1518 - - 5824 - - 7972 - - 1815 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 387 - - 416 - - 82 - - 82 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 123 - - 107 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 9 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 51 - - 1116 - - -911 - - 540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9167 - - 9462 - - 8712 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2603 - - -728 - - -4002 - - -508 ODpotential blCL - - - 11820 - - 11305 - - 11803 - - 7847 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 92 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 660 - - 1300 - - 1240 - - 630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 69.4 - - 67.2 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 51.0 - - 51.9 - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 67.9 - - 68.0 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 50.6 - - 50.9 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 236 - - -3 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2532 - - 3892 - - 1116 - - 654 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 68 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98340 6 143 11 137 10 220 4 219 98340 90961 9 136 6 152 3 282 4 077 90961 85267 3 044 2 353 4 073 7 034 85267 80545 5 348 2 346 6 015 8 023 80545 76487 5 332 6 082 4 001 5 019 76487 72925 3 321 6 045 3 056 2 114 72925 69713 3 108 1 294 3 079 2 105 69713 66744 2 199 2 203 1 220 3 050 66744 63972 6 149 4 149 3 179 3 027 63972 61296 1 104 1 157 3 225 7 269 61296 58536 8 225 7 203 10 214 10 210 58536 55676 15 243 11 257 9 253 9 228 55676 52945 28 223 34 230 31 239 35 239 52945 50511 25 215 42 218 38 225 46 224 50511 48334 25 238 37 224 39 228 38 228 48334 46348 34 250 37 240 43 239 48 245 46348 44528 48 250 49 247 54 242 65 238 44528 42858 63 245 66 245 68 239 77 228 42858 41307 73 238 78 237 77 232 91 227 41307 39847 81 233 83 231 79 225 81 230 39847 38473 82 232 79 234 75 227 64 228 38473 37160 77 233 71 238 67 225 60 226 37160 35843 75 238 65 237 64 221 48 221 35843 34498 65 241 57 237 62 219 42 213 34498 33127 51 241 51 233 61 219 38 209 33127 31720 43 242 46 228 58 219 34 208 31720 30269 40 242 43 226 55 221 33 206 30269 28778 38 240 39 228 54 224 30 203 28778 27249 34 240 35 229 47 228 25 203 27249 25689 31 236 33 229 40 230 25 211 25689 24103 28 229 32 225 36 232 25 221 24103 22488 28 212 31 224 29 233 23 222 22488 20835 27 204 29 226 23 230 20 225 20835 19172 22 209 28 229 22 228 18 227 19172 17584 20 221 24 224 22 226 17 233 17584 16144 19 220 21 224 20 223 15 240 16144 14857 19 216 17 228 17 220 14 241 14857 13702 20 218 15 229 14 215 13 232 13702 12659 19 221 13 226 11 199 12 214 12659 11713 17 219 11 215 8 175 13 199 11713 10856 15 210 8*197 8 149 15 186 10856 10086 13 201 7*177 8 130 18 175 10086 9390 10*186 6 139 9 115 19 168 9390 8755 7*155 7 119 9 111 18 163 8755 8182 7 125 7 114 9*109 16 161 8182 7697 7 120 7 112 8*108 13*149 7697 7318 8 117 7 110 8 107 11*136 7318 7054 7 116 7 109 7 107 9 125 7054 6893 7 116 7 108 6 107 8 122 6893 6800 7 115 6 108 5 107 7 120 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography