DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1557z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 60.3 - - 67.0 - - 66.7 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 31 - - 248 - - 357 - - 62 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 286 - - 3065 - - 4720 - - 2900 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8635 - - 10026 - - 7634 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 6971 - - 9750 - - 11405 - - 9585 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 727 - - 1666 - - 1598 - - 4416 - - 202 Hgt.Variab. W* 93 - - 395 - - 508 - - 242 - - 15 W* B/S 6 - - 23 - - 18 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 178 - - 252 - - 330 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -7 - - -9 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -645 - - -1035 - - -2754 - - -4357 - - -3307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7616 - - 10786 - - 14159 - - 13942 - - 10107 sfcLCL ODpotential -7062 - - -9254 - - -9897 - - -11269 - - -8270 ODpotential blCL 14033 - - 19004 - - 21302 - - 20854 - - 15069 blCL maxRH 66 - - 49 - - 35 - - 58 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 60.3 - - 67.0 - - 66.7 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.9 - - 36.5 - - 28.4 - - 29.1 - - 35.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 58.7 - - 64.8 - - 66.2 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.9 - - 35.3 - - 27.9 - - 28.9 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 31 - - 248 - - 357 - - 62 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 286 - - 3065 - - 4720 - - 2900 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98469 7 107 3 162 6 097 1 123 9 050 98469 91187 9 095 8 133 8 101 11 060 10 062 91187 85561 10 101 14 098 12 118 9 083 9 069 85561 80866 12 099 15 120 10 120 13 086 11 090 80866 76808 14 113 15 120 13 113 13 091 10 087 76808 73205 10 114 13 111 14 106 12 103 11 074 73205 69932 10 128 12 122 11 105 11 108 10 091 69932 66915 5 099 6 045 9 137 9 104 7 098 66915 64115 6 138 8 098 4 091 6 036 13 064 64115 61422 6 278 3 148 18 147 8 229 4 292 61422 58645 25 241 23 244 13 264 6 278 5 226 58645 55796 29 243 35 237 37 244 33 251 34 254 55796 53110 41 252 46 246 51 246 57 249 47 253 53110 50708 55 257 56 250 63 251 70 253 60 258 50708 48547 69 260 68 253 72 252 79 254 73 258 48547 46568 79 260 78 256 78 254 85 255 80 255 46568 44733 88 260 85 258 83 256 87 256 83 253 44733 43022 94 261 91 259 88 258 89 256 84 254 43022 41419 97 261 93 259 91 258 91 256 88 256 41419 39916 96 261 91 259 91 257 93 256 92 256 39916 38506 94 261 89 258 89 256 92 256 93 257 38506 37163 93 262 87 258 88 256 88 256 90 256 37163 35823 90 261 85 257 86 256 85 256 87 255 35823 34459 84 261 83 257 86 255 86 256 85 254 34459 33075 75 262 78 255 83 254 84 257 84 254 33075 31658 63 262 71 255 76 252 77 257 81 255 31658 30199 54 262 61 256 69 250 68 254 73 256 30199 28706 49 261 54 257 64 248 61 250 62 256 28706 27181 46 258 50 256 59 247 57 248 54 255 27181 25627 42 257 47 255 55 246 54 246 50 252 25627 24046 40 258 46 255 51 247 50 245 48 248 24046 22434 39 255 43 255 47 248 46 243 46 245 22434 20786 38 253 39 251 41 246 44 243 43 244 20786 19130 36 253 36 249 36 242 42 244 40 244 19130 17550 31 251 32 249 32 239 40 243 37 240 17550 16120 27 249 30 249 30 239 33 238 31 232 16120 14846 23 247 27 248 26 244 28 234 25 227 14846 13701 21 249 23 249 24 250 24 233 21 227 13701 12664 18 246 18 250 19 254 20 236 18 230 12664 11722 15 243 13 250 12*254 16 239 14 235 11722 10868 11 242 10 246 8*253 12 245 11 242 10868 10098 7 235 7*231 5 252 8*255 9 252 10098 9401 4 242 4*209 5 252 5*276 6 261 9401 8764 3 267 3 179 5 252 4 316 2 294 8764 8188 4 265 3 173 5 252 4 338 3 052 8188 7700 4 237 3 170 5 252 4 342 7 061 7700 7319 2 185 3 169 4 252 4 347 10 063 7319 7054 3*107 3 168 4 252 4 347 11 064 7054 6892 3*097 3 170 4 253 4 348 9*062 6892 6799 3 097 3 168 4 252 4 349 5*062 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography