DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 55.3 - - 55.0 - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 185 - - -7 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1590 - - 4169 - - 303 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7332 - - 9326 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8275 - - 10854 - - 6988 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1846 - - 1551 - - 7123 - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 260 - - 392 - - 26 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 196 - - 188 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1761 - - -2090 - - -5859 - - -5973 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10036 - - 12945 - - 12847 - - 12773 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7112 - - -6009 - - -8619 - - -10176 ODpotential blCL - - - 15387 - - 16863 - - 15607 - - 16975 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 85 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 55.3 - - 55.0 - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 22.1 - - 22.3 - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 54.1 - - 55.5 - - 51.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 21.6 - - 21.9 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 185 - - -7 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1590 - - 4169 - - 303 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 40 - - 60 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96620 20 118 22 080 31 104 29 105 96620 89515 24 112 19 106 17 105 24 085 89515 83982 18 108 16 122 9 127 8 069 83982 79355 8 128 9 117 5 160 6 063 79355 75347 3 186 4 130 6 230 5 317 75347 71794 8 240 5 278 7 279 1 062 71794 68570 6 231 7 247 12 262 13 311 68570 65617 28 259 22 275 25 277 15 302 65617 62884 27 262 27 265 23 266 24 244 62884 60234 30 257 33 251 41 251 37 245 60234 57461 43 245 48 251 53 252 49 255 57461 54560 57 246 64 252 63 252 61 259 54560 51779 64 248 71 250 73 253 78 261 51779 49283 69 253 77 250 85 253 94 258 49283 47061 78 257 84 252 93 252 103 255 47061 45057 87 257 91 254 98 251 106 251 45057 43236 95 253 98 252 103 251 109 248 43236 41569 101 250 104 248 112 248 115 247 41569 40030 105 249 110 246 120 244 122 246 40030 38597 104 250 110 246 121 240 127 245 38597 37260 99 250 104 246 114 239 127 244 37260 35983 95 250 98 244 107 240 123 243 35983 34707 94 249 97 243 105 241 117 244 34707 33404 95 247 96 244 104 242 111 244 33404 32080 95 243 92 244 102 244 105 245 32080 30723 94 240 87 244 96 247 101 244 30723 29325 88 241 81 243 87 248 97 243 29325 27892 82 242 78 242 78 247 90 242 27892 26426 78 242 77 242 75 242 80 241 26426 24932 75 242 74 242 75 240 71 239 24932 23416 72 242 71 239 74 240 68 239 23416 21874 66 242 67 237 69 242 67 239 21874 20299 60 240 62 237 63 240 63 239 20299 18718 54 238 57 237 58 237 57 235 18718 17207 51 236 52 237 58 234 52 229 17207 15834 47 234 49 236 55 232 50 225 15834 14604 43 232 46 236 48 229 49 223 14604 13497 38 231 40 235 40 224 47 222 13497 12495 33 231 32 232 34 220 44 222 12495 11584 26 229 23*223 29 217 42 224 11584 10758 19 223 17*209 25 214 39 227 10758 10012 12 204 15 201 22 210 36 230 10012 9336 10 168 14 196 19 206 33 232 9336 8717 10*151 13 193 17 200 31 233 8717 8156 9*142 13 192 15 196 31 232 8156 7680 9 131 13 191 14 193 29 231 7680 7308 9 129 12 190 13 191 26 228 7308 7048 8 128 12 190 12*190 19 220 7048 6890 8 127 11 189 10*188 14*213 6890 6799 7 127 10 190 8 187 7*206 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography