DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 81.4 - - 79.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 380 - - 73 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8022 - - 12784 - - 9938 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12776 - - 16584 - - 12953 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14707 - - 19469 - - 16623 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3373 - - 839 - - 4475 - - 11023 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 658 - - 724 - - 389 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 21 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 285 - - 279 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -13 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1937 - - 5027 - - 1797 - - -5530 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12771 - - 14443 - - 14827 - - 12331 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 263 - - 2498 - - -152 - - -8650 ODpotential blCL - - - 14444 - - 16971 - - 16775 - - 15450 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 89 - - 98 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 430 - - 270 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 81.4 - - 79.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.2 - - 41.2 - - 38.2 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 79.2 - - 79.4 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 40.6 - - 37.7 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 380 - - 73 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8022 - - 12784 - - 9938 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 57 - - 92 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98996 34 107 34 092 28 094 24 086 98996 91485 32 104 31 101 23 095 29 078 91485 85694 30 088 27 115 22 085 24 078 85694 80912 21 090 23 111 22 080 26 096 80912 76801 21 090 14 110 19 082 20 095 76801 73160 17 090 16 110 16 114 12 087 73160 69854 14 109 12 082 17 119 9 129 69854 66829 8 099 10 093 11 100 11 120 66829 64049 5 133 8 106 3 118 11 091 64049 61365 7 165 6 092 8 147 13 044 61365 58593 7 078 4 346 4 236 4 287 58593 55752 11 015 15 317 10 283 13 249 55752 53058 37 298 28 262 30 274 27 268 53058 50637 45 280 38 271 41 271 36 270 50637 48466 55 271 51 272 49 274 47 271 48466 46500 66 267 62 268 56 271 58 268 46500 44697 70 266 69 264 62 267 65 266 44697 43024 71 265 68 262 66 263 65 263 43024 41457 68 263 65 261 66 260 64 261 41457 39985 66 262 63 260 64 259 62 260 39985 38602 63 263 61 260 62 259 59 260 38602 37280 61 263 58 262 59 261 55 262 37280 35956 57 264 53 263 54 262 50 261 35956 34604 52 266 49 265 51 262 45 259 34604 33229 49 267 48 265 49 262 44 256 33229 31818 48 268 47 265 48 261 44 255 31818 30363 42 270 43 264 46 261 44 255 30363 28870 36 270 40 264 42 263 41 257 28870 27344 35 272 38 265 36 265 36 260 27344 25790 35 272 39 267 33 267 30 263 25790 24212 34 273 37 270 30 270 25 269 24212 22606 31 278 35 274 27 275 21 284 22606 20966 29 284 30*282 23 284 20 288 20966 19322 30 286 24*288 21 288 20 284 19322 17749 29 287 23 287 20*289 19 286 17749 16312 27 290 23 286 19*289 17 287 16312 15022 23*292 22 285 19 288 15 283 15022 13857 21*292 21 285 18 286 14 278 13857 12801 18 288 21 284 18 284 14 275 12801 11841 17 287 21 284 18 280 13 273 11841 10970 17 285 20 284 18 277 13 270 10970 10183 16 284 20 284 18 275 13 267 10183 9471 16 282 19 284 18 273 13 265 9471 8818 16 281 19 284 18 271 13 262 8818 8229 15 279 18 284 17 269 13 259 8229 7727 15 279 18 284 17 269 12 255 7727 7336 14 278 17 283 17 268 10 250 7336 7063 14 277 17 284 16 268 9 243 7063 6896 13 277 16 284 15 268 6 232 6896 6800 12 277 14 283 13 267 4*222 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography