DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 47.1 - - 43.0 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 152 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3941 - - 5433 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8964 - - 10169 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10626 - - 12118 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2313 - - 1971 - - 7666 - - 1882 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 341 - - 401 - - 13 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 261 - - 286 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1548 - - 1242 - - -3272 - - -443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9078 - - 10876 - - 10070 - - 7241 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -66 - - -292 - - -5166 - - -3293 ODpotential blCL - - - 10692 - - 12410 - - 11964 - - 10091 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 79 - - 96 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.2 - - 47.1 - - 43.0 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.0 - - 23.1 - - 22.6 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 46.2 - - 43.6 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 22.8 - - 22.5 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 152 - - -8 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3941 - - 5433 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 17 - - 84 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96063 14 282 23 294 21 270 24 290 96063 89041 16 275 23 314 16 325 11 293 89041 83600 10 308 18 318 17 311 11 337 83600 79094 13 301 17 322 10 293 15 336 79094 75179 13 294 21 322 14 325 21 322 75179 71695 1 239 14 303 22 332 21 322 71695 68528 17 306 16 315 17 320 18 331 68528 65612 26 269 24 266 22 282 23 255 65612 62911 32 255 35 250 28 261 32 251 62911 60264 33 245 39 240 36 251 35 252 60264 57467 33 249 35 244 40 244 38 249 57467 54544 49 271 46 261 46 249 46 252 54544 51751 75 264 68 257 63 253 61 255 51751 49246 94 247 85 249 79 252 76 251 49246 47007 93 234 89 243 91 249 85 246 47007 44976 84 231 89 241 95 248 89 243 44976 43115 83 244 94 244 96 247 89 244 43115 41398 97 250 104 244 100 244 91 248 41398 39810 113 247 112 240 103 239 99 249 39810 38341 119 243 111 237 104 236 107 247 38341 36986 114 243 108 237 102 235 110 247 36986 35705 103 242 105 237 101 238 111 249 35705 34432 95 235 102 236 102 245 113 251 34432 33133 96 230 101 238 103 246 113 251 33133 31813 97 231 103 240 101 246 110 249 31813 30461 93 232 98 240 99 244 105 248 30461 29071 92 233 91 235 96 244 100 246 29071 27646 93 234 86 229 92 244 96 246 27646 26185 92 236 86 230 89 246 93 247 26185 24695 88 237 85 237 87 247 91 247 24695 23181 83 238 79 243 84 247 86 246 23181 21641 74 238 72 243 81 247 79 247 21641 20071 67 237 69 242 75 247 68 250 20071 18496 64 240 65 243 67 248 58 253 18496 16995 58 244 57 246 54 247 48 252 16995 15636 49 244 47 249 42 247 40 247 15636 14429 41 244 39 250 33 249 35 245 14429 13347 36 245 32 251 28 252 33 249 13347 12367 31 248 26*252 26 255 30 256 12367 11476 27 249 22*255 22 259 26 261 11476 10667 24*248 19 258 19 265 23 262 10667 9936 21*246 18 261 16 273 21 263 9936 9275 18 247 18 262 15 278 20 268 9275 8668 16 251 18 262 15 281 20 282 8668 8121 13 256 18 263 15 283 22 299 8121 7656 12 259 17 264 14 284 20 310 7656 7294 12 260 17 264 13 286 17 315 7294 7041 11 261 16 264 12 286 13 315 7041 6887 10 261 15 264 10*286 9*314 6887 6798 9 262 13 264 7*286 5*311 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography