DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 66.9 - - 66.1 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 569 - - 549 - - 212 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7098 - - 8457 - - 8040 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12111 - - 13212 - - 12387 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13783 - - 15142 - - 14725 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1237 - - 1662 - - 1637 - - 6219 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 679 - - 712 - - 511 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 283 - - 286 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -7 - - -13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -284 - - -335 - - -1136 - - -7372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14068 - - 15477 - - 15862 - - 14171 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3848 - - -3238 - - -4827 - - -12077 ODpotential blCL - - - 17631 - - 18380 - - 19552 - - 18876 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 53 - - 78 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 66.9 - - 66.1 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.5 - - 22.2 - - 19.9 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 64.1 - - 64.8 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.9 - - 21.6 - - 19.3 - - 19.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 569 - - 549 - - 212 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7098 - - 8457 - - 8040 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98275 14 116 10 099 6 060 10 081 98275 90849 8 110 10 091 11 077 16 120 90849 85153 14 124 13 106 15 084 19 095 85153 80444 14 111 17 112 11 108 14 074 80444 76392 16 104 16 093 15 097 13 072 76392 72821 17 104 11 095 8 073 17 087 72821 69598 17 111 14 124 7 125 13 076 69598 66634 11 105 14 142 11 101 12 108 66634 63893 9 099 14 123 12 117 17 127 63893 61243 13 202 10 173 4 183 11 114 61243 58454 18 239 17 198 14 210 13 235 58454 55537 27 239 28 229 28 225 27 228 55537 52746 26 231 23 232 25 225 25 240 52746 50231 23 240 24 247 21 239 27 250 50231 47973 31 252 32 257 29 261 32 261 47973 45920 34 250 40 260 39 259 37 262 45920 44039 37 252 46 258 43 259 47 262 44039 42308 42 251 46 260 48 264 54 262 42308 40708 45 258 49 270 59 269 59 267 40708 39223 52 269 58 275 64 271 65 272 39223 37843 59 274 64 277 67 275 70 274 37843 36535 62 276 71 280 73 277 72 275 36535 35234 62 277 76 281 74 277 74 276 35234 33909 61 278 75 280 72 276 76 276 33909 32564 62 279 72 279 68 275 68 276 32564 31189 61 279 70 280 64 275 57 275 31189 29775 59 277 68 283 61 275 50 276 29775 28328 54 273 68 287 54 275 51 271 28328 26847 48 269 62 289 48 280 48 271 26847 25333 43 271 53 287 48 280 42 275 25333 23791 38 274 45 284 45 280 41 274 23791 22217 33 277 39 281 40 280 40 272 22217 20605 28 282 31 275 36 282 35 271 20605 18983 24 280 27 268 30 283 29 274 18983 17434 23 282 22 263 26 283 24 277 17434 16026 23 294 17*277 18 285 20 275 16026 14767 20*302 16*284 16*287 17 274 14767 13634 16*293 16 284 16*288 14 277 13634 12608 15 291 17 284 16 287 13 285 12608 11678 15 289 17 284 16 287 12 293 11678 10834 15 287 17 283 16 286 12 296 10834 10073 15 285 17 283 16 285 13 295 10073 9383 15 284 17 283 16 285 13 294 9383 8751 14 282 17 282 16 285 13 293 8751 8181 14 281 17 283 16 285 13 292 8181 7696 14 280 17 282 16 284 13 290 7696 7317 13 280 16 282 15 284 12 288 7317 7054 13 280 16 282 15 284 10 286 7054 6892 13 279 15 282 14 284 7*282 6892 6799 12 279 14 282 12 284 4*276 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography