DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 83.6 - - - - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 258 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8900 - - 9794 - - - - - 288 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13400 - - 13893 - - - - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15585 - - 16479 - - - - - 6973 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3196 - - 2451 - - - - - 454 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 640 - - 579 - - - - - 67 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 252 - - - - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 5 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - -11 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 385 - - 1385 - - - - - -1628 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15201 - - 15094 - - - - - 8602 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1040 - - 64 - - - - - -5997 ODpotential blCL - - - 16625 - - 16415 - - - - - 12970 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 91 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 270 - - - - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.2 - - 83.6 - - - - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 40.6 - - - - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 81.8 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.7 - - 40.5 - - - - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 258 - - - - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8900 - - 9794 - - - - - 288 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 64 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99167 35 101 23 110 18 104 99167 91675 22 118 21 119 19 086 91675 85896 18 096 26 115 18 085 85896 81125 18 086 20 100 20 099 81125 77024 14 103 14 097 20 102 77024 73392 16 109 13 103 15 097 73392 70109 12 079 6 105 9 097 70109 67110 5 072 7 158 6 100 67110 64336 3 173 3 148 3 160 64336 61658 10 168 8 245 8 169 61658 58883 4 197 9 206 7 239 58883 56034 9 280 15 226 23 245 56034 53362 19 267 21 242 29 251 53362 50975 26 279 22 262 26 240 50975 48818 44 274 34 267 26 250 48818 46837 48 271 43 262 37 264 46837 45009 48 270 48 259 48 266 45009 43316 46 265 50 257 54 264 43316 41737 46 253 52 257 52 260 41737 40261 46 246 52 251 49 256 40261 38879 47 243 48 242 51 250 38879 37558 51 243 48 240 49 250 37558 36233 49 242 47 244 43 250 36233 34876 45 242 45 248 33 249 34876 33494 42 242 42 248 27 249 33494 32073 39 240 40 244 27 249 32073 30606 37 238 39 240 28 248 30606 29099 35 236 38 238 29 247 29099 27554 32 240 36 238 30 244 27554 25978 29 246 32 243 31 242 25978 24373 26 250 25 249 31 238 24373 22737 24 255 23 245 31 237 22737 21063 24 262 21 245 32 237 21063 19382 23 263 20 240 32 237 19382 17777 21 262 16*237 31 234 17777 16319 20*255 14*242 30 230 16319 15015 17*253 13 243 27 227 15015 13844 13 258 13 245 24 227 13844 12784 13 258 13 249 21 229 12784 11821 12 257 13 251 19 232 11821 10948 10 248 13 254 17 239 10948 10161 9 245 13 256 15 249 10161 9450 9 243 14 258 14 261 9450 8799 9 242 14 259 15 276 8799 8212 8 241 14 260 18 289 8212 7714 8 239 13 262 22 304 7714 7326 8 239 13 262 26 316 7326 7058 8 239 13 262 26*319 7058 6894 8 239 12 262 24*320 6894 6800 7 240 11 263 17 322 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography