DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 72.4 - - 63.6 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 291 - - 3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5956 - - 4068 - - 1134 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10941 - - 9457 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12641 - - 10753 - - 7819 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3283 - - 2549 - - 1996 - - 1907 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 523 - - 458 - - 106 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 37 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 277 - - 012 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - 30 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 40 - - 889 - - 1000 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12602 - - 9865 - - 6819 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1319 - - -1199 - - -2336 - - -1061 ODpotential blCL - - - 13960 - - 11952 - - 10155 - - 7861 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 210 - - 860 - - 970 - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.1 - - 72.4 - - 63.6 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.2 - - 52.2 - - 56.4 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 70.5 - - 63.7 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 51.3 - - 55.3 - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 310 - - 291 - - 3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5956 - - 4068 - - 1134 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 102 - - 93 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99023 20 106 16 134 12 052 23 078 99023 91575 19 103 18 103 15 097 19 081 91575 85828 20 101 17 106 14 095 18 072 85828 81071 14 104 17 096 12 104 15 070 81071 76989 13 118 14 104 9 108 11 080 76989 73384 8 122 10 115 9 123 9 042 73384 70117 9 126 9 152 6 141 1 221 70117 67120 8 225 5 128 7 109 10 158 67120 64334 17 205 8 222 4 278 7 107 64334 61633 13 189 18 211 17 232 12 227 61633 58854 14 223 19 225 21 229 19 230 58854 55995 26 225 30 228 26 242 29 256 55995 53287 32 224 39 222 40 238 43 240 53287 50861 33 236 44 230 45 231 41 225 50861 48665 52 238 50 229 50 229 41 232 48665 46657 60 238 56 226 57 224 45 226 46657 44818 63 238 62 227 61 225 49 219 44818 43129 65 234 66 230 62 224 53 220 43129 41564 60 230 62 229 59 220 57 214 41564 40097 52 226 57 226 55 214 56 201 40097 38715 47 218 51 222 53 211 51 200 38715 37391 46 217 47 220 48 211 46 205 37391 36063 47 221 47 220 45 215 48 218 36063 34705 49 224 47 220 46 220 49 219 34705 33322 46 224 46 221 44 224 47 216 33322 31901 41 223 42 220 41 227 43 212 31901 30436 35 220 37 219 40 231 38 213 30436 28931 30 221 36 219 40 233 36 215 28931 27391 27 228 40 220 40 228 36 218 27391 25820 26 229 41 222 41 216 34 221 25820 24222 27 219 40 225 43 206 31 223 24222 22594 27 208 35 213 45 206 32 215 22594 20930 24 206 35 191 43 212 36 206 20930 19260 22 209 38 185 37 221 39 202 19260 17665 25 210 34 184 31 225 42 201 17665 16214 27 214 30 184 28 224 42 203 16214 14916 19 209 28 185 25 221 38 206 14916 13748 11 181 23 182 24 219 36 216 13748 12694 7*154 13 173 22 219 35 229 12694 11741 4*141 6 185 20 220 29 236 11741 10878 3 140 5*222 16 222 21 240 10878 10102 3 145 7*252 11 227 16 249 10102 9402 2 155 10 272 6 242 10 268 9402 8763 2 164 12 276 4 303 5 318 8763 8188 2 171 12 278 7*358 6 012 8188 7700 2 182 13 281 11*012 9 022 7700 7320 3 185 13 282 12 012 10 024 7320 7055 2 189 13 282 11 012 9 027 7055 6893 2 190 13 283 10 012 7*032 6893 6800 2 192 11 283 8 012 4*037 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography