DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 55.7 - - 54.8 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 395 - - 51 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4924 - - 8168 - - 8903 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10163 - - 12828 - - 11699 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11609 - - 14853 - - 15588 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2240 - - 1675 - - 4757 - - 2971 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 505 - - 631 - - 330 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 17 - - 20 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 229 - - 238 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 11 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2066 - - -253 - - 412 - - -4604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13676 - - 15107 - - 15176 - - 11402 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5850 - - -3089 - - -1295 - - -8124 ODpotential blCL - - - 17459 - - 17942 - - 16883 - - 14922 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 54 - - 99 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 55.7 - - 54.8 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.6 - - 12.6 - - 11.6 - - 17.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 53.5 - - 54.6 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.1 - - 12.2 - - 11.4 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 336 - - 395 - - 51 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4924 - - 8168 - - 8903 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 97 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96276 32 276 27 255 33 253 42 276 96276 89088 24 288 22 275 24 271 24 281 89088 83601 16 288 19 278 15 299 12 293 83601 79086 11 266 19 278 10 306 14 289 79086 75220 4 209 12 275 12 295 10 311 75220 71807 4 270 8 224 7 278 10 318 71807 68695 10 256 11 252 7 260 8 257 68695 65815 15 158 9 188 12 218 14 223 65815 63126 4 330 14 176 17 192 18 254 63126 60505 23 262 15 251 25 235 27 230 60505 57741 40 242 32 249 37 240 34 235 57741 54839 49 240 44 246 46 248 39 238 54839 52044 52 242 52 239 52 245 43 240 52044 49511 51 248 55 235 53 239 47 242 49511 47230 53 250 58 239 52 237 51 240 47230 45143 54 248 61 244 53 239 55 238 45143 43213 55 247 63 247 55 240 58 237 43213 41421 59 246 65 247 55 242 58 238 41421 39760 64 244 65 244 56 247 56 243 39760 38227 67 242 65 240 63 252 58 248 38227 36818 68 241 62 238 71 248 67 246 36818 35496 69 240 61 237 77 240 73 236 35496 34198 72 238 63 237 77 236 72 229 34198 32889 74 236 67 237 76 236 64 229 32889 31573 73 237 68 236 78 238 61 234 31573 30234 69 238 68 236 83 238 67 237 30234 28862 66 238 67 235 84 236 73 235 28862 27459 65 235 67 234 81 233 75 230 27459 26028 63 234 68 233 80 231 72 227 26028 24570 59 235 68 234 77 229 69 225 24570 23090 57 236 67 236 69 226 67 222 23090 21586 55 237 64 236 56 225 63 218 21586 20049 52 237 59 235 41 222 57 213 20049 18504 48 239 53 233 35 220 51 209 18504 17026 43 240 46 233 31 219 41 209 17026 15682 37 238 33*232 29*220 36 213 15682 14476 30 236 22*227 27*221 34 215 14476 13388 24 232 19 227 24 225 32 218 13388 12401 20*230 18 227 22 229 27 222 12401 11504 16*232 17 228 21 235 21 231 11504 10690 13 233 17 228 20 240 18 249 10690 9956 12 232 16 229 19 245 16 270 9956 9291 11 228 16 230 19 248 17 292 9291 8682 10 221 15 231 18 251 20 303 8682 8133 9 219 15 232 18 253 22 304 8133 7664 9 217 14 232 18 253 22 300 7664 7299 8 216 14 232 17 254 20 296 7299 7044 8 216 13 233 17 255 17 291 7044 6888 8 215 13 233 16 255 14*289 6888 6798 7 216 11 233 13 255 8*286 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography