DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 47.8 - - 43.3 - - 30.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 243 - - -13 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1212 - - 5609 - - 277 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7211 - - 10553 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7897 - - 12294 - - 6962 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1092 - - 1923 - - 5061 - - 103 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 472 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 12 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 323 - - 322 - - 342 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 6 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4901 - - -3041 - - -7690 - - -5059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12799 - - 15336 - - 14652 - - 11857 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10623 - - -6827 - - -12085 - - -12322 ODpotential blCL - - - 18520 - - 19121 - - 19047 - - 19119 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 35 - - 40 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 47.8 - - 43.3 - - 30.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.7 - - 4.3 - - 3.2 - - 3.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 46.2 - - 44.1 - - 34.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.2 - - 3.8 - - 2.9 - - 3.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 243 - - -13 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1212 - - 5609 - - 277 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95660 66 278 69 273 74 281 61 278 95660 88590 35 283 54 277 47 292 44 298 88590 83162 14 280 39 273 34 287 36 307 83162 78638 25 312 30 290 38 293 30 315 78638 74711 41 308 35 309 44 295 34 313 74711 71245 36 299 34 301 38 299 35 312 71245 68123 22 292 27 295 30 306 30 312 68123 65240 18 304 22 300 31 302 32 303 65240 62551 29 305 27 310 34 296 39 291 62551 59944 44 301 37 312 36 302 39 292 59944 57220 50 291 45 298 45 305 49 299 57220 54388 51 280 49 288 52 294 46 294 54388 51668 54 286 54 294 49 286 39 298 51668 49185 66 288 56 293 52 287 51 305 49185 46936 69 285 56 291 58 288 61 300 46936 44888 67 282 61 289 64 290 64 296 44888 43016 65 282 67 291 64 291 62 292 43016 41300 66 286 74 290 58 293 58 289 41300 39717 72 285 74 284 55 297 50 294 39717 38259 69 281 65 280 51 304 43 322 38259 36918 57 284 52 286 52 310 46 336 36918 35649 53 296 53 300 56 308 48 331 35649 34391 55 306 57 307 57 304 45 318 34391 33117 57 309 53 311 52 305 40 318 33117 31829 60 307 49 315 49 312 39 324 31829 30513 59 303 49 314 48 316 40 313 30513 29154 57 301 51 311 50 313 43 308 29154 27755 54 304 53 310 52 310 41 313 27755 26318 51 310 53 310 53 314 39 324 26318 24847 49 312 53 311 52 321 37 334 24847 23346 50 311 49 315 47 328 35 343 23346 21811 49 315 44 323 42 330 33 346 21811 20236 45 322 39 328 36 329 30 341 20236 18651 40 326 36 331 32 330 27 337 18651 17133 37 327 34 333 29 332 24 334 17133 15754 34 329 33 337 26 337 21 336 15754 14522 31 330 29 341 22 344 19 341 14522 13414 29 331 24 344 19 354 18 351 13414 12413 27 334 17*340 16 001 17 002 12413 11506 25 338 14*332 14 003 15 013 11506 10686 23 343 13 330 13 359 13 023 10686 9948 21 347 12 324 12 354 11 033 9948 9281 19 349 12 322 12 351 10 040 9281 8671 15 348 11 319 13 348 10 039 8671 8122 10*343 11 317 13 346 10 029 8122 7655 3*327 10 315 13 345 12 005 7655 7292 3 324 10 314 12 344 15 348 7292 7039 2 321 10 314 12*343 15 336 7039 6885 2 318 9 313 10*343 12 332 6885 6797 2 317 8 312 8 341 6*331 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography