DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.9 - - 39.6 - - 46.6 - - 43.0 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 185 - - 191 - - -23 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1260 - - 2362 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7207 - - 8005 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7945 - - 9047 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 813 - - 958 - - 2541 - - 263 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 262 - - 327 - - 11 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 078 - - 215 - - 255 - - 241 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - -5 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4472 - - -6544 - - -7038 - - -8375 - - -5873 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11270 - - 14490 - - 16085 - - 15174 - - 12672 sfcLCL ODpotential -16088 - - -13682 - - -12366 - - -14137 - - -13904 ODpotential blCL 22885 - - 21627 - - 21413 - - 20935 - - 20702 blCL maxRH 89 - - 85 - - 86 - - 77 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.9 - - 39.6 - - 46.6 - - 43.0 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -3.3 - - 0.5 - - 0.1 - - 0.8 - - 0.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.2 - - 38.5 - - 45.3 - - 44.7 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.3 - - 0.3 - - -0.2 - - 0.5 - - 0.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 185 - - 191 - - -23 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1260 - - 2362 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 57 - - 39 - - 43 - - 9 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95398 28 276 37 268 45 273 45 278 44 281 95398 88542 23 299 24 287 29 288 25 286 25 284 88542 83186 17 296 25 284 24 286 22 287 19 309 83186 78708 13 322 18 285 22 287 23 313 22 341 78708 74842 19 319 18 292 24 299 20 330 24 353 74842 71416 20 322 18 295 24 306 26 314 28 331 71416 68325 18 333 19 328 21 311 22 303 22 316 68325 65470 32 325 27 341 21 330 16 330 13 333 65470 62788 44 312 41 319 31 332 28 330 26 321 62788 60175 48 308 45 309 40 315 42 319 37 317 60175 57448 51 306 48 304 47 305 49 308 45 311 57448 54611 60 305 56 304 54 301 54 302 49 305 54611 51890 72 301 67 302 62 299 59 297 53 301 51890 49425 76 296 74 296 69 297 63 293 56 296 49425 47203 74 294 73 289 73 293 68 290 61 292 47203 45176 69 292 69 285 73 286 68 287 64 291 45176 43307 63 291 62 282 68 283 65 287 63 289 43307 41568 62 290 60 284 64 281 63 284 59 286 41568 39949 70 283 67 275 68 279 70 281 60 282 39949 38447 69 281 74 271 71 277 80 266 70 270 38447 37065 68 276 75 266 84 262 74 264 76 267 37065 35773 65 275 67 270 75 265 78 278 90 273 35773 34498 60 280 60 273 65 273 94 278 100 273 34498 33204 59 282 61 273 60 274 90 277 92 273 33204 31893 59 280 63 268 54 273 82 280 82 276 31893 30554 55 278 60 266 53 275 68 285 66 278 30554 29178 47 282 45 268 54 274 60 284 54 276 29178 27766 43 287 36 275 50 272 59 281 52 277 27766 26317 43 285 36 280 43 267 55 282 53 278 26317 24836 41 285 37 277 36 271 48 283 50 280 24836 23329 38 289 35 277 34 277 38 280 43 285 23329 21793 35 291 32 279 32 280 32 282 38 284 21793 20225 36 292 30 281 30 285 29 288 34 281 20225 18646 37 291 29 280 29 287 27 290 31 286 18646 17133 36 293 29 281 29 288 26 291 30 293 17133 15757 33 295 27 286 27 289 23 293 28 296 15757 14525 29 298 25 291 24 293 20 296 26 298 14525 13418 25 300 22 295 21 298 17 301 24 299 13418 12416 22 302 20 299 18 305 15 307 20 299 12416 11509 19 302 18 304 16 312 14 314 16 296 11509 10688 16 301 16 309 13 316 13 314 14 290 10688 9948 14 298 14 310 11 306 14 306 13 284 9948 9281 12 294 11 305 8*285 15 294 13 278 9281 8670 11 289 8 294 8*262 15 280 14 276 8670 8121 10 287 6*274 8 256 15 267 14 277 8121 7655 6 290 3*222 8 254 15 258 13 280 7655 7292 1 216 3 217 8 253 15 252 13 278 7292 7040 4 116 3 213 8 252 13 247 10 262 7040 6886 5*089 3 210 7 252 11*244 7*239 6886 6798 5*078 3 210 7 252 7*241 4*225 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography