DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.3 - - 50.5 - - 54.5 - - 50.3 - - 44.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 113 - - 101 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1548 - - 3314 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7239 - - 8439 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8233 - - 9999 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 235 - - 2051 - - 1292 - - 3304 - - 181 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 248 - - 309 - - 19 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 076 - - 122 - - 171 - - 120 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -5 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 387 - - 1223 - - -561 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 7847 - - 8777 - - 7360 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -6054 - - -4386 - - -3170 - - -4137 - - -5164 ODpotential blCL 12852 - - 12619 - - 13169 - - 10936 - - 11963 blCL maxRH 85 - - 71 - - 71 - - 59 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.3 - - 50.5 - - 54.5 - - 50.3 - - 44.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 39.7 - - 39.4 - - 41.5 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 49.8 - - 53.8 - - 52.4 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.9 - - 38.5 - - 38.2 - - 40.3 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 113 - - 101 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1548 - - 3314 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97036 24 261 34 249 45 260 42 287 34 276 97036 89807 15 263 19 245 22 255 24 282 22 272 89807 84245 12 287 13 264 16 250 16 266 16 266 84245 79629 16 266 14 269 13 269 9 283 13 229 79629 75648 16 261 15 243 16 268 16 281 9 249 75648 72122 8 296 13 239 20 246 23 265 15 273 72122 68928 11 308 4 243 13 230 19 247 19 268 68928 65989 17 273 9 281 7 255 16 245 17 259 65989 63243 23 256 23 262 22 266 20 257 17 265 63243 60563 22 233 27 246 29 256 30 252 27 267 60563 57763 18 235 26 243 29 249 30 246 32 255 57763 54847 21 255 26 244 29 251 31 250 32 251 54847 52065 34 252 26 245 32 256 34 261 37 260 52065 49582 30 248 31 264 35 260 42 265 42 268 49582 47384 39 268 38 262 37 260 45 264 48 273 47384 45414 32 265 34 259 37 263 43 262 52 273 45414 43629 30 279 34 275 36 273 40 267 49 271 43629 41995 31 288 30 284 31 278 39 271 43 266 41995 40482 31 295 20 288 27 271 35 271 39 262 40482 39064 26 291 14 301 26 271 31 270 40 264 39064 37727 17 326 18 306 27 280 30 270 40 265 37727 36446 18 344 22 307 29 286 30 271 38 264 36446 35161 23 335 22 303 27 286 31 275 35 260 35161 33850 22 325 21 298 25 282 31 275 32 254 33850 32517 20 317 21 296 25 278 27 272 30 251 32517 31149 20 313 21 301 23 277 26 269 29 250 31149 29740 21 311 20 305 19 281 24 268 27 251 29740 28292 21 310 19 304 17 285 24 271 26 250 28292 26810 18 313 17 298 17 282 23 266 25 247 26810 25296 15 316 16 298 17 277 21 257 25 244 25296 23754 15 299 17 298 17 278 21 251 24 240 23754 22181 16 274 18 284 18 278 21 254 24 244 22181 20569 20 263 21 272 19 272 22 262 25 256 20569 18945 22 262 23 269 23 268 25 266 25 262 18945 17390 19 262 23 266 25 263 27 264 27 260 17390 15977 17 263 22 264 23 259 26 263 28 258 15977 14715 16 264 20 262 21 258 25 260 28 255 14715 13582 16 264 18 259 20 255 24 257 27 251 13582 12559 15 264 16 251 18 248 23 252 25 244 12559 11632 12 262 13 244 14 240 20 248 22 239 11632 10793 8 258 10 234 9 220 14 243 19 234 10793 10035 7 235 7 220 7*185 9 227 15 226 10035 9351 7 211 5 197 6*175 7 194 10 204 9351 8725 4 171 5*154 6 173 7 163 8 171 8725 8162 6 118 7*124 6 171 6 145 8 152 8162 7682 10 109 7 122 6 170 6 138 7 127 7682 7309 11 104 7 121 6 170 5 134 8 104 7309 7049 10 087 7 122 6 170 5 131 7 087 7049 6890 8*078 6 122 6 169 4*127 6*070 6890 6799 4*076 6 122 5 170 3*120 5*062 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography