DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.9 - - 40.5 - - 52.5 - - 50.3 - - 36.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 208 - - 234 - - -18 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1062 - - 4529 - - 221 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7106 - - 9702 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7747 - - 11214 - - 6906 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 140 - - 379 - - 2814 - - 6785 - - 79 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 257 - - 434 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 11 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 099 - - 275 - - 301 - - 343 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 7 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1456 - - -3400 - - -1328 - - -5950 - - -3327 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8253 - - 11147 - - 12542 - - 12857 - - 10125 sfcLCL ODpotential -13018 - - -9740 - - -3562 - - -9690 - - -11472 ODpotential blCL 19815 - - 17487 - - 14776 - - 16596 - - 18270 blCL maxRH 62 - - 63 - - 69 - - 52 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.9 - - 40.5 - - 52.5 - - 50.3 - - 36.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.5 - - 16.0 - - 21.4 - - 18.0 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.4 - - 39.4 - - 51.0 - - 51.4 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.2 - - 15.8 - - 21.1 - - 17.8 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 208 - - 234 - - -18 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1062 - - 4529 - - 221 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95420 82 275 77 267 80 277 68 281 64 264 95420 88428 55 279 48 273 59 280 52 285 47 292 88428 83096 32 294 29 289 41 281 44 280 40 296 83096 78668 30 314 30 310 22 299 42 285 26 301 78668 74814 31 316 39 305 31 313 43 298 19 315 74814 71357 30 316 37 299 42 298 40 306 26 318 71357 68213 35 322 31 307 33 295 37 308 36 322 68213 65347 41 326 30 330 27 309 37 308 40 314 65347 62705 43 326 36 327 32 314 41 310 43 308 62705 60135 48 323 41 319 39 311 40 307 38 311 60135 57411 55 316 49 317 52 318 40 324 42 334 57411 54553 62 316 61 318 61 328 59 334 68 327 54553 51832 75 309 71 313 74 321 70 330 71 317 51832 49400 76 299 72 305 75 310 70 325 66 318 49400 47222 65 301 66 303 70 311 69 321 67 323 47222 45240 57 311 60 308 68 312 66 318 67 321 45240 43438 61 324 59 325 62 309 62 314 63 317 43438 41807 70 328 63 328 52 316 57 313 59 315 41807 40309 68 323 59 322 48 322 54 316 57 317 40309 38908 57 316 50 316 44 323 55 319 55 324 38908 37589 55 326 49 325 44 326 55 320 53 330 37589 36324 54 335 48 329 44 325 54 318 50 334 36324 35053 51 339 49 333 43 324 53 322 50 338 35053 33749 50 339 50 335 43 321 50 331 53 342 33749 32419 51 337 50 334 43 318 52 343 58 347 32419 31054 52 337 49 331 45 319 57 350 61 350 31054 29648 50 339 49 328 50 327 60 351 64 352 29648 28204 47 337 49 328 55 334 61 349 65 351 28204 26722 46 334 51 330 58 340 59 345 62 349 26722 25205 46 334 54 334 62 343 58 343 58 349 25205 23660 46 336 56 338 63 344 59 346 58 351 23660 22085 46 340 56 343 62 346 60 348 55 351 22085 20473 45 343 52 345 57 346 58 349 50 347 20473 18850 42 345 44 345 49 342 52 347 45 346 18850 17299 38 345 40 343 44 340 45 348 39 347 17299 15892 33 344 36 343 39 343 38 351 34 349 15892 14637 30 345 33 346 34 349 30 357 28 356 14637 13512 27 346 29 349 28 352 23 003 24 005 13512 12495 26 347 26 351 22 348 18 006 20 014 12495 11575 24 350 22 353 18*339 14 004 18 022 11575 10743 21 352 18 355 16*330 12 360 15 030 10743 9994 18 351 14 353 14 320 12 356 14 035 9994 9318 13 347 10 344 12 308 12 352 14 038 9318 8699 9 344 9 324 12 297 13 350 13 037 8699 8142 5 341 9*307 11 285 14 348 13 029 8142 7669 2 007 5*285 11 281 14 347 12 012 7669 7300 4 111 4 275 10 278 13 346 13 353 7300 7044 7 116 4 270 10 276 12*345 14 342 7044 6887 7*107 4 268 10 274 11*344 12*341 6887 6798 5*099 4 268 9 274 8 342 7*341 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography