DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 70.1 - - 68.1 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 424 - - 83 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4599 - - 9307 - - 8112 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9951 - - 13786 - - 11701 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11284 - - 15992 - - 14797 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3795 - - 2118 - - 3364 - - 2696 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 673 - - 376 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 273 - - 262 - - 268 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -8 - - -10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4512 - - -2413 - - -3412 - - -8935 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15797 - - 18406 - - 18210 - - 15735 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8457 - - -5043 - - -6428 - - -13237 ODpotential blCL - - - 19741 - - 21035 - - 21225 - - 20037 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 67 - - 78 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 70.1 - - 68.1 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.8 - - 12.3 - - 11.4 - - 13.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 67.6 - - 67.5 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 11.4 - - 10.8 - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 424 - - 83 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4599 - - 9307 - - 8112 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96454 27 257 28 272 34 271 37 283 96454 89230 28 291 30 288 37 285 33 291 89230 83689 30 295 30 285 35 286 35 295 83689 79123 28 287 27 290 31 285 36 295 79123 75224 26 291 23 301 26 292 24 297 75224 71772 20 303 18 306 24 307 19 313 71772 68625 16 303 21 303 29 311 22 328 68625 65721 17 295 25 286 30 301 28 320 65721 63031 18 272 25 276 26 282 32 298 63031 60435 19 266 24 270 21 269 28 280 60435 57711 26 275 27 272 22 272 25 271 57711 54858 38 269 34 271 35 273 31 275 54858 52116 46 257 39 260 41 267 36 269 52116 49641 48 249 44 253 43 264 36 267 49641 47424 47 251 44 253 42 264 37 264 47424 45425 43 255 39 259 42 263 36 258 45425 43618 39 253 40 255 40 254 34 260 43618 41975 34 254 40 255 35 255 39 260 41975 40469 31 262 40 264 38 264 41 251 40469 39063 29 264 38 268 42 261 39 244 39063 37740 30 265 36 270 42 256 37 248 37740 36471 30 264 36 275 36 255 36 247 36471 35197 28 263 35 273 33 252 34 245 35197 33892 26 262 34 271 31 249 31 245 33892 32563 25 263 33 273 30 253 28 248 32563 31199 26 269 32 273 30 259 29 250 31199 29792 28 275 31 276 32 259 28 254 29792 28345 30 277 30 275 32 255 26 262 28345 26863 29 277 29 271 30 258 24 269 26863 25349 27 276 26 272 27 265 23 270 25349 23813 27 278 26 279 24 273 20 271 23813 22250 29 280 27 282 20 283 18 271 22250 20648 28 280 25 280 17 287 16 270 20648 19033 25 280 23 279 17 288 16 275 19033 17485 23 281 20 279 17 285 19 279 17485 16074 21 282 14*275 16 278 21 274 16074 14810 17 281 12*270 14*272 22 268 14810 13671 15 282 12 268 14*271 22 265 13671 12640 13 284 12 267 14 270 21 265 12640 11703 12*286 12 265 14 270 19 267 11703 10854 11*287 12 263 14 269 16 272 10854 10088 9 285 12 260 14 268 13 280 10088 9394 7 282 12 259 14 267 11 288 9394 8760 4 260 12 257 14 266 10 295 8760 8186 4 256 12 255 14 266 10 300 8186 7699 4 248 12 254 14 265 9 303 7699 7319 3 244 12 254 13 265 8 306 7319 7054 3 242 11 253 13 265 7 307 7054 6892 3 239 11 253 12 264 4*314 6892 6800 3 238 10 253 11 264 3*328 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography