DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 63.5 - - 63.0 - - 52.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 409 - - 440 - - 110 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5891 - - 8174 - - 8091 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11004 - - 12879 - - 11939 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12576 - - 14859 - - 14776 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1654 - - 1958 - - 2206 - - 3084 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 652 - - 411 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 27 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 220 - - 246 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 9 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3492 - - -3416 - - -3902 - - -9436 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16069 - - 18276 - - 18679 - - 16236 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8234 - - -7153 - - -8032 - - -14714 ODpotential blCL - - - 20810 - - 22012 - - 22808 - - 21513 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 36 - - 42 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 63.5 - - 63.0 - - 52.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.9 - - 6.4 - - 4.2 - - 5.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 60.9 - - 62.1 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.1 - - 5.5 - - 3.4 - - 5.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 409 - - 440 - - 110 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5891 - - 8174 - - 8091 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96878 33 276 34 272 39 282 44 284 96878 89611 24 260 29 280 28 284 26 283 89611 84054 10 277 19 279 23 269 22 297 84054 79465 8 300 13 289 15 279 19 307 79465 75522 6 269 9 300 15 310 19 313 75522 72040 13 330 10 318 18 321 19 322 72040 68889 23 324 13 324 21 320 20 327 68889 65990 28 311 17 312 24 314 21 325 65990 63290 28 306 21 300 28 309 26 321 63290 60661 31 303 28 298 33 304 35 304 60661 57901 37 296 36 297 37 297 37 294 57901 55016 38 285 43 295 40 294 39 289 55016 52238 38 280 46 293 42 293 39 289 52238 49719 39 281 45 289 48 292 43 292 49719 47456 40 284 43 285 49 292 46 295 47456 45411 40 286 41 279 47 289 50 295 45411 43558 38 290 37 277 43 289 50 297 43558 41873 37 294 32 285 39 288 48 297 41873 40328 36 294 30 291 34 290 45 295 40328 38896 32 289 26 289 29 285 37 289 38896 37565 24 301 23 290 26 282 32 288 37565 36301 24 314 24 298 24 289 28 286 36301 35034 24 307 25 300 24 294 26 291 35034 33738 21 304 24 304 21 285 25 290 33738 32417 21 307 23 311 16 289 24 283 32417 31061 20 316 20 313 13 300 19 279 31061 29665 19 323 17 312 13 299 14 288 29665 28229 17 320 15 317 12 307 13 294 28229 26757 15 315 15 327 10 314 11 303 26757 25253 13 319 15 332 9 315 8 308 25253 23723 11 321 13 332 9 311 8 305 23723 22160 9 318 11 331 8 308 8 302 22160 20559 6 307 9 325 7 308 8 295 20559 18948 6 288 9 309 6 305 8 290 18948 17405 6 289 9 299 6 296 8 283 17405 16002 6 290 5*283 5*238 10 261 16002 14746 6 282 4*223 6*230 10 242 14746 13615 5*240 4 216 6 232 9 215 13615 12591 7*206 4 215 6 233 8 197 12591 11662 7 185 4 214 6 237 8 192 11662 10819 7 170 4 218 6 245 6 193 10819 10059 7 166 4 219 6 250 5 201 10059 9371 7 165 4 222 7 253 3 219 9371 8742 7 164 4 223 7 257 2 251 8742 8174 7 162 4 226 7 259 3 295 8174 7690 7 162 4 227 7 261 3 315 7690 7314 6 161 4 228 7 262 4 325 7314 7052 6 160 4 229 7 262 4 331 7052 6891 6 161 4 230 7 264 4*342 6891 6799 5 161 4 231 6 263 4*353 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography