DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 89.1 - - - - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 457 - - 468 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10707 - - 13907 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14982 - - 17648 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17392 - - 20592 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4494 - - 3052 - - - - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 727 - - 800 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 314 - - - - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -19 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2972 - - 150 - - - - - -10433 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20365 - - 20443 - - - - - 17235 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4989 - - -1820 - - - - - -13765 ODpotential blCL - - - 22381 - - 22412 - - - - - 20566 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 56 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 89.1 - - - - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.7 - - 21.6 - - - - - 25.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 86.6 - - - - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.2 - - 21.2 - - - - - 24.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 457 - - 468 - - - - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10707 - - 13907 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98841 25 113 27 097 33 098 98841 91325 25 123 19 102 22 086 91325 85569 24 118 20 128 17 100 85569 80809 23 119 19 132 15 098 80809 76708 25 107 18 116 15 090 76708 73085 15 087 17 103 14 100 73085 69821 13 126 12 093 10 094 69821 66841 8 121 7 126 5 065 66841 64087 5 325 4 096 1 056 64087 61423 13 301 7 308 9 333 61423 58665 19 295 12 279 16 305 58665 55832 23 293 19 287 23 302 55832 53139 28 288 28 288 31 298 53139 50712 33 296 34 289 37 299 50712 48528 40 301 37 293 41 305 48528 46533 39 302 39 302 42 306 46533 44692 33 292 40 307 41 304 44692 42985 20 275 32 295 40 306 42985 41393 11 299 17 282 36 310 41393 39909 9 310 11 298 26 308 39909 38531 5 288 10 292 13 286 38531 37222 3 280 11 273 11 253 37222 35914 4 307 12 274 13 248 35914 34575 5 316 11 273 13 256 34575 33211 3 333 8 260 12 254 33211 31816 2 063 5 238 12 251 31816 30379 4 086 5 209 9 249 30379 28905 3 090 6 193 8 251 28905 27396 1 346 3 192 8 249 27396 25855 6 303 4 328 8 245 25855 24286 12 296 8 315 7 236 24286 22685 18 290 11 303 5 233 22685 21046 20 279 13*310 7 295 21046 19396 17 289 14*321 11 301 19396 17813 18*319 16 322 13 303 17813 16368 18*327 16 322 14 307 16368 15071 18 327 17 321 14 310 15071 13900 17 326 17 319 15 313 13900 12838 17 324 18 316 15 315 12838 11873 17 321 19 313 16 316 11873 10997 16 318 19 311 16 317 10997 10205 16 315 20 309 16 316 10205 9489 16 312 20 307 16 315 9489 8832 16 310 20 306 17 313 8832 8238 16 308 20 305 17 310 8238 7733 16 306 20 304 16 306 7733 7339 15 305 19 303 15 300 7339 7065 15 305 19 303 12 293 7065 6897 14 304 18 303 9*289 6897 6801 13 305 16 302 6*286 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography