DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.9 - - 38.9 - - 45.4 - - 40.2 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 134 - - 94 - - -19 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1161 - - 2170 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6993 - - 7553 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7846 - - 8855 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 306 - - 621 - - 1685 - - 1399 - - 592 Hgt.Variab. W* 47 - - 233 - - 258 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 13 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 229 - - 252 - - 222 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1048 - - 1670 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 6798 - - 7185 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential -4132 - - -2748 - - -168 - - -2598 - - -4044 ODpotential blCL 10930 - - 10594 - - 9023 - - 9396 - - 10842 blCL maxRH 98 - - 97 - - 88 - - 79 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.9 - - 38.9 - - 45.4 - - 40.2 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.6 - - 34.7 - - 37.5 - - 36.9 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.9 - - 38.0 - - 44.8 - - 41.8 - - 34.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.6 - - 33.7 - - 36.4 - - 36.6 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 134 - - 94 - - -19 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1161 - - 2170 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 90 - - 50 - - 14 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96371 11 268 15 283 19 286 12 272 20 273 96371 89283 5 358 3 268 4 319 3 259 8 282 89283 83798 5 043 3 115 3 315 5 296 7 019 83798 79215 4 088 3 135 1 228 3 255 5 358 79215 75252 2 031 9 261 8 291 8 329 1 018 75252 71747 3 261 14 234 14 244 15 283 8 278 71747 68567 9 281 13 241 19 248 21 266 16 275 68567 65623 19 265 18 245 23 246 24 251 21 263 65623 62880 25 255 18 235 23 246 28 253 29 262 62880 60226 32 251 22 248 25 250 32 257 31 258 60226 57456 33 256 27 257 27 258 31 254 36 259 57456 54584 31 264 30 269 34 263 35 257 41 260 54584 51848 39 276 37 278 40 264 41 260 44 263 51848 49385 46 268 43 281 43 266 46 266 50 266 49385 47170 39 273 46 278 47 270 54 269 57 267 47170 45152 39 284 42 275 50 269 59 269 59 266 45152 43302 43 288 40 275 50 271 60 269 60 267 43302 41600 40 297 40 278 50 277 59 271 58 271 41600 40028 37 309 40 283 50 281 56 272 58 272 40028 38570 37 317 42 292 49 283 52 274 56 268 38570 37219 39 322 41 295 46 283 46 278 53 267 37219 35939 39 325 39 297 44 283 42 283 55 272 35939 34666 38 325 38 300 46 286 42 286 57 271 34666 33368 35 324 36 302 44 289 41 289 58 270 33368 32046 32 324 32 305 36 290 39 291 57 271 32046 30693 32 324 28 308 31 289 36 291 51 275 30693 29303 30 327 27 311 30 288 33 288 45 278 29303 27879 27 336 27 310 30 286 31 289 43 280 27879 26420 26 347 26 311 32 284 30 292 41 283 26420 24932 24 352 25 314 32 285 30 295 37 292 24932 23418 22 338 25 316 29 287 30 297 33 305 23418 21874 25 335 22 315 27 290 29 298 30 317 21874 20292 25 341 22 314 27 294 27 301 29 321 20292 18700 22 345 22 315 26 298 25 308 28 321 18700 17177 19 348 21 319 23 304 24 315 26 322 17177 15793 18 348 20 321 22 312 22 320 25 325 15793 14555 19 345 20 323 20 318 20 326 25 329 14555 13442 19 339 19 324 19 324 17 334 24 334 13442 12435 19 334 18 325 18 329 15 343 23 339 12435 11523 19 330 17 325 17 332 13 348 22 345 11523 10698 18 327 15 324 15 326 11 345 19 350 10698 9955 17 325 14 319 13 308 12 329 16 352 9955 9285 15 325 12 310 12*292 13 313 11 351 9285 8672 12 323 10 298 11*277 15 299 7 356 8672 8121 9 312 6*282 11 258 15 284 6 348 8121 7654 7 297 3*234 11 247 15 269 6 328 7654 7292 8 291 3 230 11 244 14 254 3 269 7292 7040 7 279 3 227 10 242 12 240 4 199 7040 6886 4*260 3 226 10 241 9*230 3*169 6886 6798 2*251 3 225 9 240 6*222 2*148 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography