DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 54.8 - - 52.9 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 60 - - 14 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1189 - - 1847 - - 1425 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7874 - - 8532 - - 8110 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2399 - - 2128 - - 1773 - - 1212 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 215 - - 124 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 16 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 286 - - 289 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -3 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1075 - - 1733 - - 1311 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 404 - - 39 - - 365 - - -1079 ODpotential blCL - - - 7470 - - 8493 - - 7745 - - 7878 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 220 - - 220 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 54.8 - - 52.9 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 49.2 - - 49.5 - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 54.3 - - 52.8 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 48.1 - - 49.0 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 60 - - 14 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1189 - - 1847 - - 1425 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 97 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98015 9 309 9 262 16 255 20 279 98015 90715 8 301 8 302 9 309 8 325 90715 85094 6 273 11 274 14 328 7 348 85094 80426 3 239 7 227 7 310 7 320 80426 76394 6 216 4 189 3 210 5 316 76394 72835 6 192 3 242 2 187 2 328 72835 69626 6 154 7 208 4 265 2 078 69626 66695 6 184 5 159 8 265 6 310 66695 63997 6 234 3 138 9 242 5 260 63997 61381 9 264 4 263 8 242 5 248 61381 58642 11 245 13 229 13 241 13 261 58642 55793 18 203 21 216 20 238 17 237 55793 53055 15 212 22 209 22 236 16 244 53055 50566 21 229 19 218 23 239 18 252 50566 48316 28 220 25 224 20 236 17 269 48316 46261 32 210 26 219 12 248 14 289 46261 44368 33 208 20 220 9 278 15 304 44368 42608 27 213 14 226 11 261 16 304 42608 40969 19 209 11 216 11 257 16 328 40969 39453 17 194 9 247 10 345 24 356 39453 38054 17 187 11 284 16 003 34 012 38054 36731 12 160 6 312 25 026 45 016 36731 35413 13 080 19 046 41 035 50 012 35413 34071 29 055 38 049 52 031 50 009 34071 32704 41 052 38 039 52 025 47 008 32704 31303 40 053 35 035 49 023 41 006 31303 29862 33 057 33 034 41 023 36 003 29862 28383 23 056 31 035 36 018 34 000 28383 26872 15 060 29 045 30 009 31 356 26872 25332 13 068 25 051 25 005 27 351 25332 23770 14 066 21 048 21 015 24 348 23770 22180 17 058 18 039 19 028 21 349 22180 20557 18 053 12 039 15 031 16 359 20557 18929 14 058 9 048 15 031 15 028 18929 17374 12 067 8 059 14 041 20 037 17374 15963 12 060 10 067 12 051 21 035 15963 14704 9 071 12 070 13 060 22 034 14704 13573 8 092 13 069 14 062 22 034 13573 12551 9 105 13 068 15 059 21 034 12551 11626 10 108 13 065 14 055 20 034 11626 10789 12 108 11 066 10 047 18 039 10789 10035 12 110 8 064 5 016 16 046 10035 9351 11 113 3 048 5 313 15 054 9351 8726 10 119 2*296 6 296 12 057 8726 8162 9*120 2*287 5*294 8 045 8162 7682 9*121 3 286 6*291 6 017 7682 7309 8 120 2 286 6 289 5 358 7309 7049 7 120 2 285 6 289 3 359 7049 6890 7 119 2 284 5 288 2*020 6890 6799 6 118 2 283 5 288 2*054 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography