DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/03 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.3 - - 60.7 - - 66.4 - - 59.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 185 - - 159 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1489 - - 3539 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 7369 - - 8781 - - 6783 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8174 - - 10224 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 1218 - - 2614 - - 5105 - - 176 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 277 - - 352 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 065 - - 128 - - 221 - - 269 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3814 - - -5960 - - -5656 - - -7397 - - -5517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10612 - - 14134 - - 15881 - - 14196 - - 12317 sfcLCL ODpotential -13836 - - -12566 - - -10437 - - -13825 - - -13622 ODpotential blCL 20634 - - 20740 - - 20661 - - 20624 - - 20421 blCL maxRH 82 - - 75 - - 78 - - 71 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.3 - - 60.7 - - 66.4 - - 59.0 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.6 - - 22.8 - - 20.5 - - 21.0 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.1 - - 59.4 - - 65.2 - - 63.1 - - 57.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.4 - - 22.5 - - 20.2 - - 20.7 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 185 - - 159 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1489 - - 3539 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 29 - - 1 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96848 26 278 35 272 32 287 28 279 35 277 96848 89700 21 291 34 278 29 275 23 288 24 286 89700 84135 23 287 23 266 30 268 31 290 22 299 84135 79522 24 276 16 268 18 256 25 283 27 303 79522 75579 14 271 19 279 13 269 17 274 19 304 75579 72094 9 306 20 275 15 287 20 289 16 291 72094 68933 13 312 15 262 19 275 26 297 15 296 68933 66026 19 300 9 272 19 265 29 287 22 294 66026 63345 22 301 9 291 15 260 24 275 20 277 63345 60761 20 300 13 299 11 287 15 270 16 272 60761 58065 16 301 13 287 12 287 12 267 20 274 58065 55268 21 290 15 275 17 252 21 255 27 266 55268 52604 24 270 22 266 22 258 22 259 28 260 52604 50207 28 248 27 259 31 265 24 272 23 258 50207 48049 29 246 34 255 34 264 27 275 23 270 48049 46082 37 254 33 262 36 265 33 274 30 274 46082 44274 42 254 50 258 44 261 42 264 41 268 44274 42608 60 250 54 245 57 257 54 262 52 263 42608 41064 56 247 54 259 64 256 61 259 59 261 41064 39619 51 247 61 262 65 259 65 257 61 259 39619 38262 54 239 60 261 65 262 68 259 62 260 38262 36963 55 234 60 254 63 261 69 260 62 262 36963 35660 51 238 58 243 58 258 67 254 61 259 35660 34327 50 243 58 237 58 253 66 248 61 256 34327 32970 49 247 58 238 61 250 66 246 61 256 32970 31578 44 247 54 241 61 249 65 248 60 258 31578 30144 40 248 49 241 59 249 64 252 60 258 30144 28672 38 249 47 240 56 249 61 255 60 258 28672 27165 38 250 44 240 55 248 58 254 58 258 27165 25626 36 248 43 241 54 248 56 255 54 259 25626 24057 34 239 45 245 51 250 54 257 49 260 24057 22455 32 232 43 246 47 251 49 260 44 263 22455 20810 28 229 39 245 44 250 42 261 40 264 20810 19151 25 229 34 239 40 246 39 257 36 262 19151 17562 22 229 29 230 36 242 39 251 33 256 17562 16121 18 231 26 226 33 238 39 245 32 251 16121 14836 17 232 24 226 31 236 35 243 32 249 14836 13683 16 232 22 229 28 236 29 243 31 248 13683 12643 15 232 20 232 25 236 24 244 29 251 12643 11702 13 233 18 233 21 238 21 248 25 253 11702 10850 10 234 15 231 17*237 18 253 22 258 10850 10083 8 229 12 219 12*230 15 258 19 262 10083 9390 5 222 10 201 9 223 12 262 18 265 9390 8755 2 200 8*182 7 218 9 264 16 264 8755 8182 3 147 5*151 7 217 7 266 14 262 8182 7696 5 127 5 125 6 216 6 267 10 262 7696 7316 7 112 5 122 6 217 6 269 6 268 7316 7053 7 092 5 121 6 216 6 269 4 285 7053 6891 7 074 4 121 6 217 5*268 2*309 6891 6799 5*065 4 121 5 216 3*269 2*353 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography