DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.3 - - 60.1 - - 63.2 - - 60.2 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 111 - - 517 - - 536 - - 178 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 850 - - 10063 - - 10491 - - 8189 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 14507 - - 14878 - - 12384 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 7535 - - 16748 - - 17176 - - 14874 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1417 - - 1348 - - 751 - - 2100 - - 3568 Hgt.Variab. W* 194 - - 739 - - 758 - - 484 - - 8 W* B/S 6 - - 12 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 11 - - 16 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 281 - - 284 - - 283 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 14 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 6 - - 10 - - -19 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6999 - - 659 - - -78 - - -2505 - - -8324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14535 - - 16090 - - 17255 - - 17380 - - 15123 sfcLCL ODpotential -10458 - - -1707 - - -4332 - - -7193 - - -13365 ODpotential blCL 17993 - - 18455 - - 21508 - - 22067 - - 20164 blCL maxRH 86 - - 49 - - 49 - - 40 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.3 - - 60.1 - - 63.2 - - 60.2 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.5 - - 12.7 - - 10.4 - - 7.1 - - 7.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 57.3 - - 60.4 - - 59.1 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.1 - - 12.0 - - 9.6 - - 6.4 - - 7.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 111 - - 517 - - 536 - - 178 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 850 - - 10063 - - 10491 - - 8189 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97525 19 275 15 241 24 254 30 269 26 299 97525 90107 16 290 15 281 12 297 15 275 19 297 90107 84444 12 319 14 296 12 304 12 320 12 311 84444 79796 7 338 14 319 12 318 16 338 11 329 79796 75809 11 016 11 317 13 351 15 340 12 349 75809 72278 12 014 4 021 7 324 11 330 10 351 72278 69072 13 341 8 329 9 323 10 335 10 339 69072 66108 13 312 8 287 16 303 15 309 12 315 66108 63342 12 283 17 267 21 256 20 272 17 281 63342 60641 17 273 23 267 22 261 22 273 25 288 60641 57821 33 284 34 276 32 276 37 280 36 282 57821 54901 49 270 45 275 45 272 45 274 41 274 54901 52112 58 269 55 275 52 271 50 271 45 272 52112 49611 66 270 64 273 60 277 59 274 52 275 49611 47383 76 268 71 269 74 274 66 274 62 276 47383 45369 82 267 76 270 79 272 73 271 75 271 45369 43540 86 267 82 274 87 274 89 273 89 273 43540 41867 94 269 94 277 101 274 108 274 108 274 41867 40312 105 274 111 276 113 273 118 269 123 268 40312 38856 125 277 120 273 118 272 120 267 130 266 38856 37491 135 276 124 273 122 272 121 268 133 265 37491 36185 136 275 127 273 123 271 124 269 132 266 36185 34875 130 272 129 272 121 269 125 268 130 267 34875 33537 118 267 122 271 112 266 122 267 125 267 33537 32182 104 265 101 269 98 265 111 264 106 263 32182 30809 96 269 84 272 85 266 93 264 90 258 30809 29408 94 272 78 274 73 271 76 269 83 259 29408 27977 91 271 74 273 67 272 66 270 72 264 27977 26513 85 269 70 273 65 272 63 271 64 268 26513 25018 77 265 66 273 61 274 57 274 55 271 25018 23497 71 259 62 273 57 275 51 276 47 272 23497 21945 59 259 53 274 53 275 47 277 42 271 21945 20359 48 255 50 273 49 275 40 276 36 268 20359 18769 37 246 42 278 38 278 32 275 31 265 18769 17253 29 245 29*286 18*286 25 275 29 264 17253 15875 25 251 21*288 15*287 18*281 27 265 15875 14640 21 254 17 285 15 287 17*284 24 269 14640 13528 17 251 14 282 15 287 17 285 20 276 13528 12520 15 245 10 280 16 286 17 285 17 286 12520 11604 13 237 9 279 16 285 17 284 15 297 11604 10774 12 233 9 279 17 284 17 284 15 303 10774 10024 10 231 9 279 17 283 17 283 15 306 10024 9345 7 227 9 278 17 283 18 282 16 305 9345 8722 4 214 9 277 17 283 18 282 16 302 8722 8161 2 160 8 277 17 282 17 281 17 299 8161 7682 4*103 8 276 17 282 17 281 16 297 7682 7309 7*090 8 276 17 282 17 281 15 295 7309 7049 6 089 8 276 16 282 16 280 13 292 7049 6890 6 089 8 276 16 281 15 281 9*290 6890 6799 6 089 7 276 14 281 13 280 5*288 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography