DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.7 - - 49.6 - - 55.4 - - 46.4 - - 40.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 123 - - 143 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1090 - - 3702 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6782 - - 8850 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7775 - - 10387 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 1165 - - 2047 - - 2355 - - 281 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 219 - - 346 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 16 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 100 - - 280 - - 276 - - 243 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1896 - - -4332 - - -3232 - - -4892 - - -3850 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8695 - - 12107 - - 13620 - - 11691 - - 10649 sfcLCL ODpotential -12848 - - -10512 - - -8038 - - -11062 - - -11507 ODpotential blCL 19646 - - 18287 - - 18425 - - 17860 - - 18305 blCL maxRH 67 - - 68 - - 70 - - 83 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.7 - - 49.6 - - 55.4 - - 46.4 - - 40.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 20.5 - - 19.4 - - 19.4 - - 18.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 37.3 - - 48.7 - - 54.6 - - 49.6 - - 45.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.8 - - 20.1 - - 19.1 - - 19.2 - - 18.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 123 - - 143 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1090 - - 3702 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96237 26 264 32 261 32 257 31 278 37 277 96237 89101 17 273 17 275 15 278 20 265 27 277 89101 83622 7 270 24 268 24 282 10 260 16 255 83622 79075 10 260 19 245 26 267 15 296 4 324 79075 75106 9 265 13 244 20 252 26 298 14 324 75106 71598 14 261 18 263 17 265 32 287 31 302 71598 68486 21 287 24 271 24 272 32 286 33 286 68486 65654 38 292 31 297 25 301 26 303 30 299 65654 63014 44 291 34 308 39 317 36 314 40 303 63014 60443 40 301 41 308 49 314 47 313 46 298 60443 57734 47 306 54 306 59 305 58 304 52 297 57734 54907 59 293 61 290 63 292 63 292 60 293 54907 52195 58 273 60 273 65 285 65 286 63 285 52195 49733 47 269 56 275 63 285 63 284 64 280 49733 47507 49 294 61 292 63 291 62 288 63 286 47507 45481 77 306 77 298 73 297 67 293 68 296 45481 43633 93 297 91 294 87 295 82 295 81 301 43633 41954 86 285 92 288 92 285 92 290 95 296 41954 40423 68 278 85 282 86 277 88 282 91 287 40423 39003 64 293 77 280 79 271 80 275 84 286 39003 37669 65 298 68 279 73 267 76 274 81 290 37669 36388 65 290 63 279 69 267 74 281 79 301 36388 35104 67 284 63 279 66 270 65 282 79 310 35104 33797 68 283 62 279 66 275 60 289 76 310 33797 32468 68 283 62 278 67 279 66 296 71 304 32468 31103 69 285 63 277 66 283 69 296 69 297 31103 29692 72 287 64 277 65 282 69 291 69 292 29692 28239 71 289 65 277 64 279 71 288 71 290 28239 26745 69 286 65 276 67 278 70 288 72 290 26745 25221 67 283 63 276 70 281 68 288 66 288 25221 23672 66 282 61 276 69 282 66 289 58 288 23672 22097 63 281 59 276 65 283 64 292 49 292 22097 20489 61 279 56 278 59 283 58 288 41 298 20489 18874 57 277 51 282 53 284 51 282 40 297 18874 17325 52 280 47 286 50 284 45 282 41 288 17325 15917 47 286 42 287 46 283 40 288 38 282 15917 14661 43 290 39 288 41 283 35 294 30 278 14661 13535 39 292 37 290 36 289 29 296 23 277 13535 12516 34 294 34 293 32 293 24 295 19 279 12516 11594 28 294 30 297 27 294 20 291 17 281 11594 10759 26 291 26 296 22*291 17 284 14 278 10759 10007 26 291 24 295 18*284 16 280 13 271 10007 9328 25 293 24 297 17 279 16 277 13 267 9328 8707 21 296 22 300 17 276 15 275 14 265 8707 8147 16 295 17*299 16 274 14 272 13 266 8147 7672 12 292 11*291 16 272 13 266 10 270 7672 7302 8 286 7 278 16 271 12 263 8 272 7302 7045 3 269 7 276 15 270 11 257 6 263 7045 6888 2*119 6 274 14 270 9 249 4 245 6888 6798 3*100 6 273 12 269 5*243 2*230 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography