DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 52.1 - - 42.7 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 174 - - 17 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3760 - - 5631 - - 1533 - - 844 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8983 - - 10397 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10445 - - 12316 - - 8218 - - 7529 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2698 - - 1755 - - 2180 - - 1515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 369 - - 424 - - 135 - - 80 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 7 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 123 - - 208 - - 226 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -6 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 328 - - 766 - - 1420 - - 731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10118 - - 11550 - - 6798 - - 6798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1300 - - -562 - - 335 - - 175 ODpotential blCL - - - 11745 - - 12878 - - 7883 - - 7354 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 130 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 52.1 - - 42.7 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 25.0 - - 39.3 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 50.9 - - 42.6 - - 38.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 24.8 - - 38.6 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 174 - - 17 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3760 - - 5631 - - 1533 - - 844 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 98 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96466 24 086 26 076 22 107 14 074 96466 89404 23 089 22 093 19 100 16 068 89404 83893 15 105 16 091 13 080 14 078 83893 79301 11 104 10 083 7 081 9 076 79301 75338 6 047 8 078 7 111 7 041 75338 71824 2 015 3 312 5 048 5 025 71824 68631 3 051 6 251 10 274 10 305 68631 65700 3 302 11 256 12 266 13 291 65700 62975 9 313 13 270 12 253 15 277 62975 60316 19 279 21 270 18 267 20 273 60316 57525 35 261 29 264 25 270 22 273 57525 54615 46 252 39 257 32 271 30 281 54615 51840 50 249 45 251 37 273 38 284 51840 49342 53 246 45 251 40 272 41 281 49342 47092 57 244 47 254 42 268 42 278 47092 45038 60 244 52 250 44 262 45 271 45038 43147 65 244 59 241 46 257 47 264 43147 41400 80 245 62 239 50 253 47 263 41400 39780 92 240 71 239 53 248 47 259 39780 38283 99 238 80 233 54 248 49 250 38283 36912 114 236 85 228 60 242 50 244 36912 35622 122 233 86 228 66 236 50 244 35622 34340 115 232 90 234 73 232 53 243 34340 33040 105 230 93 234 80 228 50 236 33040 31733 98 228 67 229 78 227 41 230 31733 30408 93 229 61 223 70 225 40 227 30408 29049 89 231 57 221 51 222 44 218 29049 27651 83 232 55 229 45 224 46 211 27651 26216 76 232 57 240 41 228 46 220 26216 24749 70 232 43 241 39 229 42 226 24749 23255 65 234 30 234 37 228 36 226 23255 21728 51 234 28 234 35 228 30 217 21728 20163 46 232 27 231 31 227 28 231 20163 18586 42 234 28 225 21 228 28 237 18586 17077 37 230 29 223 16 232 18 233 17077 15709 34 219 27 224 13 243 8 233 15709 14487 30 209 25 222 11 252 9 270 14487 13386 27 198 22 216 8 249 10 276 13386 12391 23 189 15*208 7 241 8 261 12391 11488 20 180 14*206 8 230 7 248 11488 10672 15*168 14 206 9 223 5 251 10672 9937 12*152 13 207 10 223 4 275 9937 9273 11 134 13 207 10 224 5 302 9273 8666 11 124 13 208 10*224 5 306 8666 8120 11 117 13 209 9*225 4 298 8120 7656 11 113 13 209 9 226 2*270 7656 7294 11 111 13 210 9 226 2*242 7294 7041 10 109 12 210 8 226 2 237 7041 6887 10 109 12 210 7 226 2 236 6887 6798 9 109 10 210 6 226 2 235 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography