DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 92.9 - - 91.3 - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 432 - - 84 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4101 - - 13192 - - 12310 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9597 - - 17002 - - 14902 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10786 - - 19877 - - 18995 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7189 - - 1626 - - 3115 - - 307 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 764 - - 436 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 27 - - 20 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 314 - - 291 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 15 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -19 - - 32 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3845 - - 1560 - - 204 - - -10750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14632 - - 18318 - - 18792 - - 17552 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6024 - - 83 - - -1526 - - -15503 ODpotential blCL - - - 16810 - - 19794 - - 20521 - - 22304 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 65 - - 98 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 350 - - 100 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.4 - - 92.9 - - 91.3 - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 35.3 - - 31.9 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.9 - - 90.2 - - 90.9 - - 83.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 34.7 - - 31.4 - - 27.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 432 - - 84 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4101 - - 13192 - - 12310 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 93 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99295 35 096 44 099 38 104 34 106 99295 91793 35 102 33 092 34 086 37 096 91793 86039 35 099 26 108 26 077 33 084 86039 81275 30 106 27 113 18 095 25 078 81275 77163 25 104 25 108 22 113 21 098 77163 73520 20 090 21 107 22 112 20 099 73520 70228 18 105 15 099 22 105 18 098 70228 67225 17 118 11 113 16 104 16 083 67225 64471 11 115 13 116 13 125 7 088 64471 61825 9 115 9 089 11 123 7 138 61825 59073 7 144 3 068 4 018 4 059 59073 56242 5 101 1 140 7 335 7 334 56242 53570 15 036 8 050 4 023 7 320 53570 51175 30 008 22 017 17 021 5 022 51175 49026 32 001 25 001 20 002 13 003 49026 47063 31 003 23 001 20 350 15 358 47063 45247 33 006 23 359 18 353 19 354 45247 43554 35 003 25 355 22 349 21 349 43554 41969 34 360 28 345 26 331 22 346 41969 40479 32 359 27 341 23 322 21 344 40479 39078 28 002 24 343 19 322 21 347 39078 37740 23 014 17 352 18 328 22 348 37740 36402 21 015 14 356 17 334 22 343 36402 35035 23 012 17 358 15 345 17 337 35035 33644 26 009 21 359 14 347 13 322 33644 32217 25 006 23 354 18 343 14 326 32217 30750 21 012 19 357 16 335 16 323 30750 29244 17 018 13 006 10 335 12 308 29244 27702 13 026 9 007 6 328 10 285 27702 26126 11 055 3 055 4 294 11 267 26126 24523 9 069 4 109 2 239 11 243 24523 22890 4 038 3 052 6 063 7 217 22890 21223 5 001 8*032 8 047 9 094 21223 19547 7 005 13*016 6*029 9 051 19547 17939 10 001 10 358 6*299 10 025 17939 16472 11 347 8 342 7 294 8 011 16472 15156 13 328 7 322 9 290 7 347 15156 13970 15 321 7 307 10 289 8 321 13970 12894 14 321 7 296 11 289 11 309 12894 11918 10 310 8 290 12 289 14 304 11918 11033 5*287 8 286 12 290 16 300 11033 10234 2*215 8 283 13 290 18 297 10234 9510 3 166 8 283 13 291 19 294 9510 8848 4 159 8 281 13 292 20 290 8848 8249 4 156 8 280 13 292 20 287 8249 7740 4 152 7 280 13 292 20 285 7740 7343 4 150 7 279 13 292 19 283 7343 7067 4 150 7 280 12 293 16 281 7067 6898 4 149 7 280 12 293 11*279 6898 6801 4 150 7 280 10 293 6*276 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography