DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.0 - - 43.3 - - 53.1 - - 50.4 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 169 - - 157 - - -16 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1115 - - 3090 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7062 - - 8447 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 7800 - - 9775 - - 6799 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 138 - - 664 - - 2065 - - 5779 - - 78 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 244 - - 335 - - 14 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 11 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 078 - - 250 - - 284 - - 271 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2968 - - -4271 - - -4925 - - -7290 - - -4943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9766 - - 12071 - - 14701 - - 14090 - - 11742 sfcLCL ODpotential -12648 - - -10267 - - -8621 - - -10647 - - -10874 ODpotential blCL 19446 - - 18067 - - 18396 - - 17446 - - 17672 blCL maxRH 88 - - 86 - - 79 - - 73 - - 22 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.0 - - 43.3 - - 53.1 - - 50.4 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.0 - - 14.7 - - 12.5 - - 12.7 - - 11.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.5 - - 42.3 - - 52.1 - - 51.8 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.8 - - 14.4 - - 12.1 - - 12.4 - - 10.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 169 - - 157 - - -16 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 1115 - - 3090 - - 114 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 42 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95992 50 261 61 269 59 271 38 284 41 274 95992 88907 29 275 39 270 42 278 34 295 31 295 88907 83484 27 272 27 283 32 283 28 281 25 303 83484 78977 24 272 20 289 22 284 20 280 24 297 78977 75073 24 300 16 284 21 281 21 287 27 309 75073 71599 26 305 13 281 22 272 28 282 29 302 71599 68452 26 296 14 287 14 278 23 284 23 288 68452 65556 32 283 21 285 19 290 25 298 20 291 65556 62859 31 279 27 284 29 279 28 287 30 291 62859 60244 34 289 34 289 34 282 32 279 39 284 60244 57517 45 290 44 289 41 286 40 274 47 274 57517 54684 53 283 52 284 50 284 50 279 52 275 54684 51961 60 280 59 279 59 283 56 282 55 275 51961 49488 66 276 62 278 65 282 59 281 57 274 49488 47253 64 271 62 278 67 279 63 277 62 271 47253 45215 59 270 63 277 65 276 66 275 64 271 45215 43342 57 273 64 276 64 274 68 275 62 275 43342 41612 57 272 61 274 65 272 70 279 61 283 41612 40009 56 267 53 265 60 269 72 282 67 288 40009 38526 51 260 48 254 52 271 73 278 74 291 38526 37159 46 256 47 249 46 278 71 273 78 287 37159 35867 42 253 45 252 44 284 61 270 72 281 35867 34585 45 252 43 263 48 284 51 274 63 283 34585 33287 47 251 43 267 51 280 45 282 54 287 33287 31979 45 246 39 263 50 274 48 286 36 292 31979 30647 42 235 37 254 42 271 49 286 32 311 30647 29277 38 233 27 254 29 282 42 285 33 323 29277 27870 32 234 28 255 28 287 35 290 35 330 27870 26427 28 231 28 258 26 285 29 292 37 337 26427 24950 23 233 26 269 26 280 26 293 36 343 24950 23446 19 246 23 273 28 276 27 290 34 341 23446 21909 15 263 20 272 30 273 29 291 32 331 21909 20335 12 281 17 265 28 270 29 299 31 318 20335 18749 12 301 17 275 23 272 25 310 30 315 18749 17230 13 308 17 286 23 289 24 321 28 319 17230 15846 14 310 16 293 25 301 25 331 25 324 15846 14608 14 311 16 296 25 308 23 340 22 329 14608 13492 15 309 17 298 23 317 20 347 21 337 13492 12483 15 308 17 302 20 328 17 350 20 347 12483 11568 15 306 16 306 18 336 16 348 20 356 11568 10739 15 305 16 310 16 331 15 343 21 004 10739 9992 15 304 15 312 14*318 15 336 21 010 9992 9316 15 303 13 311 13*304 15 327 20 014 9316 8699 13 302 12 305 12 295 14 318 19 017 8699 8142 12 300 9*291 12 281 14 306 17 016 8142 7669 8 291 5*262 11 277 13 298 15 009 7669 7301 4 272 5 249 11 273 12 290 13 358 7301 7044 1 196 4 246 10 271 11 282 12 341 7044 6888 2*090 4 244 10 271 9*277 10*330 6888 6798 3*078 4 242 9 269 7*271 6*324 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography