DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 90.5 - - 89.3 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 462 - - 178 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10409 - - 14552 - - 13193 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14721 - - 18173 - - 16358 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 17094 - - 21237 - - 19878 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2958 - - 2045 - - 3275 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 713 - - 807 - - 571 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 305 - - 299 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -17 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1217 - - 3271 - - 1493 - - -9230 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15878 - - 17967 - - 18386 - - 16032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -503 - - 1273 - - -294 - - -13079 ODpotential blCL - - - 17597 - - 19964 - - 20172 - - 19880 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 71 - - 65 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 460 - - 300 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 90.5 - - 89.3 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 34.6 - - 31.7 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.5 - - 87.8 - - 88.0 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 34.0 - - 31.1 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 447 - - 462 - - 178 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10409 - - 14552 - - 13193 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99400 29 112 25 094 32 083 24 104 99400 91801 31 105 31 094 33 105 22 091 91801 85983 35 107 33 097 25 104 22 079 85983 81182 29 097 24 102 23 096 25 084 81182 77049 25 084 23 116 24 098 26 091 77049 73415 22 089 24 098 20 098 25 098 73415 70143 23 108 20 089 18 093 21 095 70143 67154 20 093 19 110 21 085 19 094 67154 64411 13 106 10 102 13 076 19 102 64411 61781 8 136 5 179 5 338 8 084 61781 59067 12 133 8 190 7 238 7 259 59067 56277 9 349 3 294 5 283 10 233 56277 53626 16 295 11 286 14 284 20 283 53626 51240 15 286 16 283 22 287 28 288 51240 49083 23 296 24 289 25 289 33 290 49083 47102 25 296 26 282 25 289 30 289 47102 45266 28 293 28 285 26 294 27 291 45266 43553 31 293 32 292 27 300 28 295 43553 41944 31 295 33 294 29 302 30 301 41944 40428 30 300 32 300 32 304 34 305 40428 39002 30 304 32 304 32 301 36 302 39002 37635 29 296 29 298 31 295 36 301 37635 36265 27 284 30 288 30 291 33 297 36265 34866 29 288 29 292 30 294 31 294 34866 33451 23 288 26 292 26 294 25 295 33451 32019 18 284 25 287 26 281 24 289 32019 30564 17 278 24 284 26 279 25 284 30564 29081 13 271 22 278 19 282 22 286 29081 27564 12 270 19 278 15 295 19 289 27564 26014 10 278 15 296 15 306 14 284 26014 24436 10 285 13 315 12 302 13 278 24436 22824 7 286 9*331 7 317 12 274 22824 21170 8 296 9*355 6*002 7 272 21170 19501 12 306 9 350 6*355 2 303 19501 17900 15*308 8 327 7 313 3 000 17900 16438 15*306 8 313 8 305 5 360 16438 15127 13 305 9 304 9 298 6 342 15127 13944 11 311 10 296 11 295 7 324 13944 12873 10 314 10 293 12 294 10 312 12873 11900 10 314 11 292 13 295 13 306 11900 11017 8 309 11 292 14 295 15 304 11017 10221 7 303 12 291 15 295 17 302 10221 9500 7 299 12 291 15 296 17 301 9500 8840 6 296 12 291 15 296 18 299 8840 8244 6 292 12 292 15 296 18 298 8244 7736 5 288 12 291 15 297 18 297 7736 7341 5 286 12 292 15 297 17 296 7341 7066 5 286 12 292 15 297 14 294 7066 6897 5 284 11 292 14 297 11*292 6897 6801 4 283 10 292 12 297 6*290 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography