DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 92.7 - - 91.1 - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 419 - - 121 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5337 - - 15099 - - 14810 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10557 - - 18565 - - 17273 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12022 - - 21784 - - 21495 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 8745 - - 1465 - - 1718 - - 136 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 550 - - 791 - - 524 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 307 - - 322 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 11 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6719 - - 540 - - -134 - - -11353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18742 - - 21245 - - 21630 - - 18155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9816 - - -2062 - - -3239 - - -15975 ODpotential blCL - - - 21838 - - 23846 - - 24734 - - 22776 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 56 - - 61 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 92.7 - - 91.1 - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 21.6 - - 18.6 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.4 - - 90.1 - - 90.4 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 21.1 - - 18.2 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 419 - - 121 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5337 - - 15099 - - 14810 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99411 43 103 36 108 35 100 36 087 99411 91888 38 086 43 095 34 107 30 092 91888 86085 26 090 37 091 35 099 32 096 86085 81276 27 113 23 103 27 085 39 091 81276 77140 28 097 20 118 21 086 37 082 77140 73510 24 095 21 117 18 098 26 088 73510 70250 24 096 20 104 17 117 19 085 70250 67260 19 086 17 100 16 100 12 107 67260 64480 9 091 19 099 13 096 12 123 64480 61789 7 106 11 069 13 084 13 120 61789 59017 7 089 5 318 12 032 14 079 59017 56184 6 158 9 252 13 327 15 021 56184 53506 11 110 2 199 9 282 17 320 53506 51103 12 025 4 056 6 237 15 287 51103 48946 16 340 8 007 0 041 6 291 48946 46977 18 333 13 351 6 011 8 345 46977 45158 19 338 16 350 11 357 9 355 45158 43459 18 339 19 348 13 355 13 003 43459 41863 18 333 19 344 15 352 15 009 41863 40361 22 325 20 338 17 350 17 005 40361 38951 29 307 22 332 19 347 18 355 38951 37604 33 299 21 330 19 340 20 346 37604 36258 32 297 19 328 18 337 19 341 36258 34888 28 300 23 309 15 325 18 339 34888 33500 24 306 19 293 19 302 13 335 33500 32091 18 313 13 288 17 280 16 310 32091 30649 11 310 10 281 14 278 18 276 30649 29168 8 293 13 291 15 291 17 286 29168 27647 10 270 16 279 15 283 17 311 27647 26090 10 249 16 256 14 267 13 326 26090 24503 8 263 11 261 12 290 9 335 24503 22881 11 304 11*325 8*007 4 347 22881 21221 18 300 13*353 10*016 2 057 21221 19548 19 298 12 341 10 006 3 008 19548 17942 17 312 12 328 11 348 7 358 17942 16476 16 329 11 322 11 343 11 356 16476 15160 17 338 12 311 12 332 13 354 15160 13972 16 339 12 304 13 321 15 351 13972 12896 15*337 13 298 14 315 16 349 12896 11919 12*329 14 294 15 310 18 347 11919 11032 9 312 14 292 16 306 19 345 11032 10232 7 286 14 290 16 304 19 343 10232 9508 7 254 15 288 17 302 20 342 9508 8846 7 243 15 286 17 301 20 341 8846 8247 7 240 15 285 17 300 20 338 8247 7739 8 238 15 285 17 299 20 335 7739 7342 8 236 14 284 17 298 18 330 7342 7066 7 235 14 284 16 298 15 325 7066 6897 7 235 14 284 15 297 11*321 6897 6801 7 236 12 283 13 297 6*317 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography