DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.9 - - 32.6 - - 33.4 - - 35.5 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 24 - - 64 - - -3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 623 - - 2181 - - 2763 - - 417 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 7724 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 7308 - - 8866 - - 9448 - - 7102 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2347 - - 5418 - - 3424 - - 8040 - - 4026 Hgt.Variab. W* 63 - - 176 - - 252 - - 46 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 22 - - 24 - - 31 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 286 - - 272 - - 266 - - 261 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 15 - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 511 - - 2069 - - 2651 - - -1084 - - -1099 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6797 - - 6797 - - 6798 - - 8186 - - 7898 sfcLCL ODpotential -219 - - 4 - - 506 - - -2794 - - -3567 ODpotential blCL 7527 - - 8862 - - 8942 - - 9896 - - 10365 blCL maxRH 99 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 220 - - 300 - - 130 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.9 - - 32.6 - - 33.4 - - 35.5 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.4 - - 27.3 - - 28.1 - - 23.5 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.3 - - 32.6 - - 33.3 - - 36.0 - - 33.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.1 - - 26.1 - - 26.9 - - 22.7 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 24 - - 64 - - -3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 623 - - 2181 - - 2763 - - 417 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 95 - - 101 - - 101 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96787 32 099 29 088 30 096 27 094 19 095 96787 89629 32 103 24 103 26 109 20 094 20 083 89629 84044 23 119 18 129 15 127 12 105 14 093 84044 79391 10 104 11 143 3 151 13 118 7 143 79391 75388 5 156 10 176 3 211 6 082 4 110 75388 71827 2 103 12 123 7 118 4 198 4 008 71827 68604 2 031 9 016 6 102 19 152 5 228 68604 65651 10 304 19 228 25 217 15 249 10 225 65651 62910 20 228 30 213 35 227 32 215 28 210 62910 60238 25 151 24 233 34 249 38 237 27 224 60238 57437 34 229 49 247 53 246 46 246 39 232 57437 54518 62 238 60 237 61 238 52 243 45 237 54518 51713 69 234 61 233 66 235 57 246 57 248 51713 49170 72 243 61 240 74 241 69 250 73 254 49170 46880 80 250 72 250 80 246 86 252 86 255 46880 44797 89 253 88 255 88 251 97 251 94 255 44797 42884 97 254 104 255 101 255 103 255 100 258 42884 41119 105 255 117 253 118 257 115 260 113 261 41119 39488 121 255 126 252 133 257 130 261 129 260 39488 37979 154 256 132 254 141 255 141 260 137 258 37979 36583 183 255 139 255 143 253 145 259 136 257 36583 35264 187 252 152 254 143 253 143 259 133 259 35264 33958 183 252 165 254 143 255 143 260 138 261 33958 32636 185 254 166 254 141 256 143 260 145 261 32636 31299 183 256 161 254 138 257 138 261 145 261 31299 29941 168 254 157 254 131 259 128 264 134 262 29941 28559 151 249 150 252 124 262 122 269 119 265 28559 27160 140 245 143 250 118 264 118 270 109 266 27160 25739 132 243 134 249 111 264 108 269 100 266 25739 24294 123 242 123 249 99 263 92 270 90 269 24294 22829 107 243 104 250 84 265 81 276 81 276 22829 21339 82 241 81 255 71 268 72 281 72 281 21339 19817 61 236 64 259 62 268 64 281 65 280 19817 18284 57 236 55 260 53 266 56 278 60 277 18284 16821 51 239 51 258 43 265 45 275 51 272 16821 15497 42 247 48 259 45 267 40 273 40 268 15497 14317 42 253 45 261 43 267 38 272 37 266 14317 13253 53 256 41 265 41 265 37 270 36 266 13253 12287 60 259 39 268 39 265 35 269 35 264 12287 11410 58 264 37 269 39 265 32 266 34 261 11410 10613 51 268 36 271 38 265 30 265 33 259 10613 9894 47 269 34 272 37*266 28 264 33 257 9894 9242 45 271 32*272 36*266 27 264 32 255 9242 8645 42 276 29*273 34 266 26 263 32 254 8645 8105 37 282 26 272 33 266 25 263 30 252 8105 7646 32*285 24 272 31 266 23 262 26 251 7646 7287 28*286 22 271 29 266 21*262 22 249 7287 7038 24 286 21 271 27 266 18*261 15 245 7038 6885 21 286 19 271 25 266 16 261 12*243 6885 6798 14 285 15 270 18 266 11 260 6*237 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography