DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1555z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.2 - - 48.6 - - 52.0 - - 48.4 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 122 - - 91 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2185 - - 3142 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 7733 - - 8269 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 8870 - - 9827 - - 6799 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 485 - - 1448 - - 1104 - - 3139 - - 1417 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 285 - - 296 - - 14 - - 4 W* B/S 2 - - 11 - - 29 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 106 - - 124 - - 122 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -6 - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1361 - - 1370 - - -532 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6798 - - 7509 - - 8458 - - 7331 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential -2889 - - -1744 - - -4333 - - -4859 - - -6195 ODpotential blCL 9687 - - 10614 - - 14160 - - 11658 - - 12994 blCL maxRH 83 - - 81 - - 71 - - 69 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.2 - - 48.6 - - 52.0 - - 48.4 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 39.3 - - 38.5 - - 39.9 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.2 - - 47.8 - - 51.4 - - 50.0 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 38.1 - - 37.3 - - 38.6 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 122 - - 91 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2185 - - 3142 - - 114 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97135 16 275 24 249 32 258 23 281 24 275 97135 89902 4 299 14 244 15 246 16 286 9 293 89902 84314 8 292 5 213 9 236 15 261 6 323 84314 79667 10 310 3 173 8 258 12 239 8 312 79667 75677 9 265 7 222 7 267 9 227 11 287 75677 72172 7 223 6 194 6 246 8 214 11 258 72172 68999 8 226 3 221 7 222 7 215 9 220 68999 66067 6 220 9 235 9 219 9 243 7 207 66067 63336 9 258 13 227 12 219 13 248 7 228 63336 60674 10 247 14 233 13 224 14 237 11 246 60674 57880 16 232 21 222 19 231 18 231 19 231 57880 54975 21 217 25 215 24 219 21 216 22 222 54975 52198 24 205 23 220 23 216 21 214 23 225 52198 49693 19 216 24 230 22 221 24 222 23 236 49693 47450 27 231 30 230 27 226 29 234 26 250 47450 45423 36 228 39 222 35 229 32 243 26 253 45423 43581 37 225 41 213 42 224 35 240 25 248 43581 41905 39 229 40 217 44 217 33 239 24 253 41905 40367 46 230 38 234 37 222 33 241 26 250 40367 38935 46 229 39 239 35 238 34 237 28 245 38935 37598 44 231 44 236 41 244 35 237 31 244 37598 36323 42 233 44 228 43 238 37 242 30 241 36323 35049 39 237 38 232 38 237 37 246 31 235 35049 33750 34 241 33 235 36 242 35 249 33 234 33750 32431 28 246 30 242 35 247 33 251 32 240 32431 31078 27 258 31 251 35 249 32 252 31 243 31078 29684 29 268 33 258 34 254 30 254 31 245 29684 28251 31 273 33 267 31 260 29 255 32 246 28251 26782 32 277 32 276 31 270 27 256 32 247 26782 25280 30 282 30 282 29 274 26 259 31 250 25280 23747 27 288 27 285 26 271 26 260 27 255 23747 22179 26 290 24 286 23 272 25 258 26 256 22179 20568 27 291 22 291 20 277 20 255 24 253 20568 18945 26 297 20 298 17 285 14 259 19 252 18945 17389 23 301 17 305 14 291 11 266 14 256 17389 15972 20 302 13 307 11 288 12 264 11 260 15972 14703 16 304 9 307 8 282 12 263 11 268 14703 13563 10 311 3 270 5 245 11 262 10 276 13563 12534 5 320 6 211 7 225 10 265 9 282 12534 11604 1 210 8 209 7 237 8 274 5 275 11604 10765 4 180 8 203 5 242 4 293 2 187 10765 10012 5 174 5 187 1*135 2 049 4 150 10012 9332 4 160 4*162 2*119 3 085 5 142 9332 8712 3 131 4*120 2 119 3 097 5 136 8712 8152 4 105 5 107 2 124 3 104 5 135 8152 7677 6 099 5 104 2 124 3 112 4 138 7677 7306 8 095 5 103 2 125 3 115 3 144 7306 7048 8 085 4 102 2 129 3 119 3 152 7048 6889 6*078 4 102 2 132 3*121 2*145 6889 6799 4*073 4 102 2 130 2*122 1*097 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography