DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 17.1 - - 35.1 - - 43.6 - - 40.3 - - 29.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 193 - - 223 - - -19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1050 - - 1831 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7071 - - 7673 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7735 - - 8516 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 445 - - 843 - - 1854 - - 311 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 250 - - 315 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 160 - - 255 - - 226 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3209 - - -5564 - - -7212 - - -8214 - - -5473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10006 - - 13300 - - 15729 - - 15013 - - 12272 sfcLCL ODpotential -15097 - - -13137 - - -13109 - - -14536 - - -14082 ODpotential blCL 21894 - - 20872 - - 21625 - - 21334 - - 20880 blCL maxRH 67 - - 80 - - 79 - - 77 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 17.1 - - 35.1 - - 43.6 - - 40.3 - - 29.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -1.6 - - 1.5 - - -1.1 - - -0.9 - - 0.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.1 - - 34.0 - - 42.3 - - 42.0 - - 35.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -1.8 - - 1.3 - - -1.3 - - -1.0 - - 0.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 193 - - 223 - - -19 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1050 - - 1831 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 19 - - 17 - - 8 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95802 10 274 22 305 6 259 27 245 37 294 95802 88812 6 352 15 335 4 350 7 283 24 288 88812 83370 10 039 9 285 17 312 15 349 12 353 83370 78834 6 011 6 231 14 276 17 339 17 359 78834 74914 9 013 3 309 13 280 14 349 9 359 74914 71434 12 356 14 334 21 326 23 347 18 334 71434 68283 25 324 21 301 30 315 27 323 22 324 68283 65386 25 319 13 286 25 318 24 316 26 321 65386 62703 35 328 24 329 38 320 37 322 39 315 62703 60108 48 318 42 322 45 311 45 312 44 309 60108 57387 53 313 49 324 50 311 50 309 50 313 57387 54549 60 315 60 320 53 313 56 309 61 312 54549 51833 67 311 67 316 60 313 62 305 68 309 51833 49377 71 309 73 313 67 311 66 304 73 306 49377 47162 74 310 76 312 71 309 72 304 75 303 47162 45139 75 311 77 312 75 307 75 304 75 301 45139 43272 73 312 76 309 76 306 77 302 73 300 43272 41549 73 313 76 307 78 304 80 299 75 296 41549 39966 79 312 79 306 84 300 79 291 76 292 39966 38515 87 310 84 307 88 298 78 297 78 291 38515 37174 93 312 90 311 90 297 85 294 85 293 37174 35903 97 312 95 311 89 298 86 290 84 294 35903 34639 95 313 94 310 87 300 84 292 82 293 34639 33348 92 313 88 313 85 302 80 295 79 292 33348 32031 86 318 80 313 83 302 75 297 78 296 32031 30680 75 318 73 308 80 304 71 298 72 297 30680 29288 66 315 68 305 73 309 67 303 63 293 29288 27860 63 312 63 303 65 307 64 306 58 294 27860 26398 63 312 58 302 59 304 58 305 55 297 26398 24908 63 313 54 300 52 302 50 301 51 296 24908 23394 61 314 52 299 47 300 43 299 45 295 23394 21852 57 314 50 301 44 299 40 296 40 290 21852 20275 52 314 49 306 42 300 39 293 37 285 20275 18688 46 312 46 311 40 305 36 293 34 285 18688 17168 39 311 42 314 38 310 34 296 31 288 17168 15784 34 311 37 313 35 312 32 300 29 292 15784 14545 30 313 32 308 32 312 29 304 27 297 14545 13431 27 316 28 303 29 312 27 309 24 302 13431 12425 24 319 25 300 27 310 24 314 20 307 12425 11514 21 321 21 300 24 309 21 320 17 308 11514 10691 17 321 18 302 20 306 19 324 13 306 10691 9948 14 319 15 304 16 302 16 322 11 299 9948 9279 10 315 12 306 13 296 15 309 11 291 9279 8668 7 307 7 301 9*275 13 290 12 285 8668 8118 5 296 2*247 8*260 12 267 12 283 8118 7652 1 286 4*161 8 256 12 249 11 279 7652 7290 2 128 4 160 8 253 12 240 9 268 7290 7039 4 114 4 160 8 252 11 234 7 250 7039 6885 5*088 4 159 7 252 9*230 3*219 6885 6798 5*075 4 159 7 251 6*226 2*182 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography