DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 55.3 - - 62.3 - - 61.6 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 244 - - 326 - - 24 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2348 - - 7044 - - 5333 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 8081 - - 11830 - - 6782 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 9033 - - 13729 - - 12018 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 130 - - 2405 - - 2114 - - 5810 - - 1053 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 354 - - 563 - - 216 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 16 - - 15 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 240 - - 249 - - 245 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 13 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - -11 - - 12 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2667 - - -4030 - - -1839 - - -3143 - - -6074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9465 - - 13064 - - 15568 - - 15161 - - 12873 sfcLCL ODpotential -10815 - - -8121 - - -4765 - - -5117 - - -9934 ODpotential blCL 17613 - - 17154 - - 18494 - - 17135 - - 16733 blCL maxRH 76 - - 87 - - 80 - - 80 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 55.3 - - 62.3 - - 61.6 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.3 - - 21.8 - - 17.4 - - 18.6 - - 19.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 53.7 - - 60.4 - - 61.5 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.1 - - 21.5 - - 16.9 - - 18.3 - - 18.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 244 - - 326 - - 24 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2348 - - 7044 - - 5333 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 49 - - 19 - - 19 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96218 7 317 5 248 9 278 6 200 14 278 96218 89072 5 243 7 274 11 287 12 285 16 294 89072 83561 10 289 13 317 12 308 10 342 5 304 83561 79003 14 293 15 298 17 306 17 331 15 005 79003 75127 18 328 14 326 18 319 19 324 22 336 75127 71741 20 319 14 326 19 320 20 315 21 298 71741 68667 28 322 22 333 18 337 17 329 23 309 68667 65832 43 312 33 312 27 320 28 321 36 320 65832 63195 44 305 38 304 36 313 39 319 47 309 63195 60624 43 308 46 301 46 307 50 314 54 305 60624 57919 48 307 51 298 53 295 58 302 52 298 57919 55074 52 300 52 294 49 289 52 295 47 293 55074 52329 51 293 50 288 50 285 51 285 49 284 52329 49837 52 292 51 285 53 281 55 279 55 279 49837 47589 58 286 57 281 60 281 60 277 59 276 47589 45539 64 280 64 277 67 278 65 275 60 273 45539 43655 67 276 68 273 73 272 69 273 61 272 43655 41912 69 274 70 272 77 267 72 272 65 273 41912 40292 70 272 71 271 76 263 75 269 71 270 40292 38792 71 272 75 270 77 264 78 266 77 265 38792 37413 70 271 79 267 81 265 85 263 86 264 37413 36122 68 269 77 263 82 264 89 262 93 262 36122 34843 64 265 74 259 82 262 91 262 95 259 34843 33538 59 260 74 256 82 262 90 262 92 257 33538 32211 60 257 74 257 82 263 87 261 87 256 32211 30852 60 256 73 259 81 263 83 260 82 255 30852 29454 60 256 73 260 79 261 80 258 78 255 29454 28022 61 259 72 260 77 259 77 256 74 258 28022 26560 63 262 70 259 73 259 74 256 71 260 26560 25070 63 263 67 260 69 260 70 258 67 259 25070 23553 61 262 63 261 65 260 65 258 63 257 23553 22006 58 260 59 261 63 260 62 259 58 257 22006 20424 54 258 56 260 59 259 57 259 51 257 20424 18835 49 258 51 258 55 258 51 257 42 255 18835 17317 44 259 46 256 49 256 42 252 37 246 17317 15935 38 261 40 256 42 254 33 245 36 239 15935 14696 32 260 36 258 34*251 31 244 35 241 14696 13578 29 262 33 261 24*249 29 243 35 245 13578 12564 28 267 32 265 20 248 26*243 34 248 12564 11642 26 274 29 268 17 248 23*243 33 252 11642 10805 24 278 25 270 16 249 20 244 32 255 10805 10050 23 280 19 267 15 249 17 244 30 258 10050 9365 23 282 14*263 15 250 15 245 27 260 9365 8738 22 283 9*256 14 250 13 246 25 263 8738 8171 17 281 6 238 14 250 12 247 21 265 8171 7689 9 273 6 236 13 251 11 247 18 266 7689 7313 3 241 5 234 13 251 11 247 14 267 7313 7051 3 145 5 232 12 250 10 247 10 266 7051 6891 4*109 5 231 12 251 10 247 6*261 6891 6799 3*096 4 232 11 251 8 247 2*222 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography