DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 51.7 - - 43.7 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 164 - - -34 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1613 - - 3281 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7330 - - 8608 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8298 - - 9966 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2618 - - 1231 - - 2013 - - 167 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 347 - - 11 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 22 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 299 - - 261 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -9 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6438 - - -5367 - - -7465 - - -3706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14736 - - 15334 - - 14264 - - 10504 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16832 - - -13188 - - -17112 - - -14542 ODpotential blCL - - - 25130 - - 23154 - - 23910 - - 21340 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 69 - - 76 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 51.7 - - 43.7 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.0 - - 8.5 - - 5.7 - - 12.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 50.9 - - 46.1 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.0 - - 8.0 - - 5.5 - - 12.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 164 - - -34 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1613 - - 3281 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96175 8 234 10 264 16 239 12 252 96175 89104 8 342 3 320 12 271 13 311 89104 83658 7 126 12 257 9 313 7 349 83658 79096 10 314 7 306 13 298 9 339 79096 75129 22 285 11 314 9 014 13 306 75129 71613 24 259 25 288 21 313 16 323 71613 68419 9 234 19 257 19 296 25 321 68419 65504 16 353 10 225 14 260 22 319 65504 62819 40 321 18 033 18 013 11 331 62819 60211 43 297 50 322 27 352 33 330 60211 57489 51 302 57 311 49 319 42 310 57489 54665 49 304 56 313 56 316 46 314 54665 51970 52 308 58 319 62 320 56 315 51970 49559 62 321 65 326 67 321 53 319 49559 47396 76 323 73 326 69 324 54 331 47396 45430 84 319 82 324 76 324 71 329 45430 43641 85 313 87 315 81 318 82 319 43641 42009 81 309 83 306 78 309 79 311 42009 40496 73 311 73 300 73 304 75 308 40496 39073 64 322 64 303 68 304 70 305 39073 37732 64 333 57 307 65 305 67 303 37732 36447 67 333 55 310 63 306 65 304 36447 35160 67 328 54 313 61 310 61 309 35160 33844 67 321 56 317 62 315 59 314 33844 32503 71 317 59 322 62 318 60 317 32503 31127 75 316 63 324 61 318 61 319 31127 29707 79 315 62 322 61 318 64 321 29707 28247 81 313 61 319 61 318 65 323 28247 26753 81 312 61 317 61 319 64 324 26753 25227 79 313 60 316 61 321 62 324 25227 23675 76 316 60 314 60 322 60 324 23675 22094 72 320 61 313 59 323 59 324 22094 20474 67 322 60 315 59 324 57 324 20474 18846 62 321 58 317 60 327 56 326 18846 17289 54 319 55 318 59 330 54 329 17289 15876 48 316 50 315 54 331 52 333 15876 14614 44 312 47 311 48 330 49 334 14614 13484 40 308 44 308 42 325 44 333 13484 12466 37 305 41 307 36 319 38 330 12466 11546 34 302 36 306 32 312 32 322 11546 10716 33 303 31 305 28 306 27 310 10716 9969 32 309 24*302 25 303 23 298 9969 9296 30 315 24*301 22 300 20 289 9296 8682 25*318 23 300 20 293 18 284 8682 8129 20*316 23 299 20 287 16 281 8129 7659 15 312 22 298 19 280 16 281 7659 7294 13 309 22 298 18 274 16 277 7294 7041 12 309 21 298 16 268 14 265 7041 6886 12 309 19 297 13*265 9*254 6886 6798 10 307 15 297 8*261 5*247 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography