DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 81.7 - - 79.6 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 390 - - 71 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6927 - - 10278 - - 8173 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11844 - - 14532 - - 11554 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13612 - - 16963 - - 14858 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2006 - - 1970 - - 4649 - - 5862 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 606 - - 675 - - 355 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 262 - - 274 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - -21 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1023 - - 2684 - - 753 - - -5323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12589 - - 14279 - - 14106 - - 12124 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -669 - - 1052 - - -1170 - - -8700 ODpotential blCL - - - 14281 - - 15911 - - 16028 - - 15500 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 76 - - 95 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 370 - - 250 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 81.7 - - 79.6 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.4 - - 42.3 - - 41.1 - - 41.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 79.3 - - 79.0 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 42.2 - - 41.0 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 418 - - 390 - - 71 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6927 - - 10278 - - 8173 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 4 - - 80 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99068 22 104 22 113 13 088 20 106 99068 91611 23 111 18 106 19 095 20 082 91611 85843 20 102 18 108 19 104 18 069 85843 81071 19 105 20 114 15 099 14 095 81071 76977 17 104 21 104 15 113 12 097 76977 73351 11 113 14 095 12 115 13 111 73351 70066 9 137 10 128 9 109 10 095 70066 67044 11 145 10 173 2 082 5 105 67044 64257 2 133 10 174 5 208 6 122 64257 61575 7 229 7 239 7 219 10 239 61575 58802 13 224 21 231 20 224 24 216 58802 55972 25 253 23 243 19 234 32 248 55972 53292 30 235 26 232 35 243 45 241 53292 50882 32 246 37 242 45 247 46 245 50882 48715 48 259 51 255 54 254 51 257 48715 46739 64 264 65 261 65 258 62 261 46739 44916 70 260 69 258 69 257 68 260 44916 43223 67 252 64 251 65 253 65 256 43223 41644 64 244 59 241 59 247 60 248 41644 40169 63 237 54 235 59 243 58 244 40169 38785 58 230 48 232 58 242 56 243 38785 37460 50 223 47 230 53 244 51 244 37460 36134 48 219 45 227 47 246 45 246 36134 34778 45 221 45 224 42 247 41 247 34778 33399 43 225 45 226 39 247 36 246 33399 31983 40 225 44 234 38 246 33 240 31983 30522 38 231 42 242 37 245 32 237 30522 29020 36 246 40 246 37 244 32 237 29020 27483 31 244 37 248 36 243 33 241 27483 25917 25 238 30 249 34 242 30 245 25917 24326 21 237 24 244 32 240 29 245 24326 22705 17 243 22 238 29 236 25 241 22705 21046 17 251 22 241 26 241 24 240 21046 19378 19 261 19 257 22 252 20 245 19378 17783 22 266 15*268 19 262 18 249 17783 16333 21 250 13*269 17 266 15 252 16333 15035 20 236 12 266 16*268 12 252 15035 13865 16*240 12 265 14*271 10 254 13865 12806 13*251 12 264 13 273 8 259 12806 11843 10 257 12 263 13 274 8 266 11843 10971 9 258 12 262 13 274 9 272 10971 10183 7 257 12 260 12 275 10 277 10183 9470 6 257 12 259 12 275 11 280 9470 8817 6 257 12 258 12 274 12 281 8817 8228 5 255 12 257 12 274 13 282 8228 7726 5 254 11 257 11 274 13 282 7726 7335 4 253 11 257 11 274 12 283 7335 7063 4 252 11 256 10 274 10 283 7063 6896 4 252 10 256 10 274 7*283 6896 6800 4 252 10 257 9 274 4*285 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography