DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 76.8 - - 78.1 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 545 - - 528 - - 196 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7111 - - 8466 - - 9587 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12105 - - 13205 - - 13563 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13796 - - 15151 - - 16272 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1386 - - 1712 - - 2091 - - 7020 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 670 - - 704 - - 530 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 19 - - 20 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 254 - - 250 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -8 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3766 - - -4053 - - -4633 - - -10834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17563 - - 19205 - - 20906 - - 17635 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8972 - - -8930 - - -9757 - - -16267 ODpotential blCL - - - 22768 - - 24081 - - 26029 - - 23067 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 24 - - 22 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 76.8 - - 78.1 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.6 - - 15.2 - - 8.8 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 73.8 - - 76.9 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.0 - - 14.6 - - 8.2 - - 14.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 545 - - 528 - - 196 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7111 - - 8466 - - 9587 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98967 35 101 28 097 23 097 22 090 98967 91426 30 088 29 100 26 084 24 091 91426 85666 21 090 27 093 26 085 29 090 85666 80903 15 100 17 091 25 087 29 080 80903 76817 14 122 12 093 22 084 26 091 76817 73228 16 124 9 134 8 086 17 086 73228 69980 12 116 13 145 9 117 9 051 69980 66971 5 090 8 135 12 137 3 055 66971 64161 5 103 7 145 8 153 5 134 64161 61442 25 132 15 132 10 126 7 226 61442 58631 21 257 13 294 4 328 9 203 58631 55754 36 222 40 239 31 261 30 262 55754 53033 39 194 45 222 48 240 43 250 53033 50594 35 242 50 241 55 242 52 242 50594 48404 66 257 66 253 62 246 58 240 48404 46407 77 255 75 255 68 248 63 240 46407 44567 77 251 76 251 69 249 64 241 44567 42861 77 247 75 247 68 248 62 243 42861 41276 77 245 73 243 65 245 60 244 41276 39796 77 244 73 242 64 242 60 244 39796 38411 78 242 74 242 64 241 61 243 38411 37087 79 240 75 241 65 241 61 243 37087 35764 79 239 75 240 67 242 63 243 35764 34413 77 240 73 241 67 244 64 245 34413 33039 74 242 69 243 65 246 63 246 33039 31633 70 242 65 244 61 246 60 245 31633 30188 65 242 62 244 58 247 55 244 30188 28707 62 241 60 243 56 248 51 246 28707 27193 60 241 57 243 54 248 47 245 27193 25648 58 241 55 244 52 247 46 242 25648 24079 57 242 52 245 50 244 47 240 24079 22482 54 242 50 244 48 242 45 240 22482 20848 51 243 49 244 46 243 42 242 20848 19205 50 244 47 245 43 244 36 238 19205 17636 49 247 45 245 33*241 30 228 17636 16211 47 250 36*244 24*241 28 224 16211 14932 41*254 26*245 23 242 26 226 14932 13778 28*258 22 249 23 242 22 228 13778 12732 23 261 21 250 21 248 19 233 12732 11781 22 261 20 253 20 251 16 240 11781 10920 21 261 19 255 19 253 13 251 10920 10142 21 261 19 257 19 255 12 266 10142 9438 20 261 18 258 18 257 11 278 9438 8794 20 261 18 259 18 258 11 285 8794 8211 20 260 18 260 17 259 11 290 8211 7715 19 260 17 261 17 260 11 293 7715 7329 19 260 17 261 16 261 10 296 7329 7060 18 260 16 261 16 261 8 299 7060 6895 17 260 16 262 15 262 6*306 6895 6800 15 260 14 261 13 262 3*316 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography