DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 49.9 - - - - - 36.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 150 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 781 - - 2013 - - - - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6781 - - 7656 - - - - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7466 - - 8698 - - - - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 549 - - 1047 - - - - - 243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 197 - - 286 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 12 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 268 - - - - - 205 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4030 - - -3463 - - - - - -1860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11497 - - 12162 - - - - - 8658 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12437 - - -10439 - - - - - -9750 ODpotential blCL - - - 19903 - - 19137 - - - - - 16548 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 59 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.3 - - 49.9 - - - - - 36.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.2 - - 20.5 - - - - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 48.9 - - - - - 41.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.8 - - 20.1 - - - - - 22.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 150 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 781 - - 2013 - - - - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 0 - - - - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96193 7 289 10 349 14 255 96193 89145 11 356 10 020 5 281 89145 83680 10 294 13 309 9 345 83680 79138 6 071 13 226 22 321 79138 75201 24 316 9 280 22 316 75201 71700 29 297 22 289 26 318 71700 68511 20 271 22 276 24 303 68511 65576 13 298 21 295 21 289 65576 62889 28 299 37 287 18 296 62889 60333 42 283 40 282 18 297 60333 57667 47 282 42 286 36 292 57667 54859 46 287 52 290 49 289 54859 52140 48 292 53 292 66 288 52140 49667 62 296 72 295 73 287 49667 47433 79 293 86 289 74 289 47433 45395 81 285 85 284 73 297 45395 43529 73 285 77 287 78 309 43529 41816 75 298 79 297 96 314 41816 40238 88 305 91 306 111 311 40238 38777 91 304 98 308 112 306 38777 37419 87 305 94 307 101 305 37419 36128 81 308 90 309 86 312 36128 34839 75 310 90 312 99 335 34839 33527 67 313 74 310 121 344 33527 32200 57 312 63 306 114 338 32200 30845 45 302 72 309 95 327 30845 29450 43 295 87 314 95 322 29450 28019 46 292 91 315 99 322 28019 26555 48 296 83 313 98 322 26555 25060 47 301 71 311 91 321 25060 23537 44 300 60 307 82 317 23537 21979 40 297 52 302 76 310 21979 20379 37 294 50 299 77 308 20379 18769 33 290 50 298 75 309 18769 17232 32 289 46 297 70 308 17232 15841 31 289 42 296 62 306 15841 14601 30 290 40 296 51 306 14601 13489 28 289 39 298 42 309 13489 12483 26 289 36 299 36 309 12483 11569 25 289 33 300 35 308 11569 10739 23 288 31 298 35 307 10739 9990 20 286 27 297 36 303 9990 9313 16 287 21*294 35 297 9313 8694 11 291 15*284 32 295 8694 8138 7 287 12 270 26 294 8138 7666 3*258 11 264 18 292 7666 7299 1*197 11 262 12 282 7299 7044 1 191 11 261 8 253 7044 6888 1 186 10 260 7*222 6888 6798 1 186 9 259 5*205 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography