DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 53.5 - - - - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 140 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 904 - - 2749 - - - - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6782 - - 8145 - - - - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7589 - - 9434 - - - - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 932 - - 1211 - - - - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 310 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 122 - - 230 - - - - - 067 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3594 - - -1978 - - - - - -1673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11183 - - 11413 - - - - - 8471 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11307 - - -7555 - - - - - -9874 ODpotential blCL - - - 18896 - - 16989 - - - - - 16672 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 76 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 53.5 - - - - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.4 - - 27.3 - - - - - 27.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 52.5 - - - - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 27.0 - - - - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 140 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 904 - - 2749 - - - - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96154 47 274 31 276 31 289 96154 89116 23 295 20 260 31 301 89116 83669 24 283 12 282 22 295 83669 79113 19 281 18 298 11 310 79113 75161 17 292 22 289 14 313 75161 71694 19 293 20 294 13 315 71694 68592 21 280 24 272 15 285 68592 65763 25 263 26 257 23 263 65763 63158 27 289 19 275 23 265 63158 60626 43 295 35 288 26 275 60626 57960 52 293 43 288 43 275 57960 55170 56 295 48 288 51 271 55170 52486 62 298 60 285 57 272 52486 50063 71 294 70 283 61 273 50063 47882 76 287 73 282 62 274 47882 45892 70 285 72 283 65 274 45892 44056 62 288 66 287 64 275 44056 42354 58 290 61 288 60 277 42354 40767 54 282 59 283 58 278 40767 39285 47 269 55 271 57 277 39285 37906 45 263 51 261 57 275 37906 36599 47 267 49 259 57 271 36599 35301 50 268 46 263 56 264 35301 33982 53 268 45 268 53 263 33982 32642 55 268 46 271 51 269 32642 31269 54 268 48 270 49 272 31269 29854 52 272 49 267 47 271 29854 28400 50 275 48 268 46 271 28400 26911 50 275 48 271 46 273 26911 25389 49 275 47 275 45 276 25389 23837 48 276 46 276 45 278 23837 22252 47 278 45 275 44 280 22252 20627 45 281 44 274 42 281 20627 18991 43 282 42 274 41 281 18991 17426 41 280 40 274 40 280 17426 16004 37 274 38 275 38 278 16004 14732 33 266 37 275 36 278 14732 13590 29 259 34 275 34 278 13590 12558 25 257 31 275 30 277 12558 11626 22 256 26 274 26 272 11626 10784 19 256 20 272 24 262 10784 10026 15 254 14*267 22 256 10026 9341 11 250 8*251 18 249 9341 8716 6 235 5 231 11 244 8716 8153 4 177 5 227 3 244 8153 7676 7*128 5 225 1 121 7676 7304 7*122 5 223 3 100 7304 7047 7 122 5 222 4 086 7047 6889 7 122 4 222 4 076 6889 6798 6 121 4 222 4*067 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography