DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 66.5 - - 61.0 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 208 - - -34 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3047 - - 5819 - - 115 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8560 - - 10647 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9732 - - 12504 - - 6800 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5263 - - 3388 - - 6091 - - 2518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 373 - - 457 - - 43 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 13 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 212 - - 180 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -572 - - 1409 - - -1220 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10304 - - 11095 - - 8020 - - 6799 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2403 - - -291 - - -4222 - - -2113 ODpotential blCL - - - 12135 - - 12795 - - 11022 - - 8912 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 87 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 190 - - 400 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 66.5 - - 61.0 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.6 - - 41.1 - - 48.8 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 65.1 - - 62.8 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.2 - - 40.6 - - 47.6 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 208 - - -34 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3047 - - 5819 - - 115 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 49 - - 101 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97888 15 257 25 242 32 274 22 295 97888 90585 8 255 8 246 12 251 15 283 90585 84933 10 262 12 267 4 327 7 237 84933 80244 9 239 10 280 4 359 4 192 80244 76196 9 214 10 282 6 290 3 290 76196 72629 3 214 2 280 7 288 10 303 72629 69433 8 291 6 320 7 276 14 277 69433 66510 11 289 5 335 6 277 9 277 66510 63796 16 275 15 297 11 283 9 298 63796 61170 15 274 20 268 14 285 11 277 61170 58444 15 289 16 255 22 270 16 276 58444 55627 23 303 21 275 24 269 22 272 55627 52951 38 280 31 278 30 276 29 269 52951 50541 39 277 37 274 40 272 35 271 50541 48366 39 285 41 273 42 271 36 260 48366 46373 45 280 42 277 41 268 41 255 46373 44532 50 276 47 276 48 264 50 257 44532 42821 57 272 66 268 62 268 59 262 42821 41224 64 271 72 264 77 272 75 267 41224 39728 67 273 71 268 86 273 84 263 39728 38325 62 272 77 275 84 271 83 261 38325 36984 53 270 80 275 79 269 80 260 36984 35643 47 266 73 273 73 268 75 260 35643 34276 41 254 66 273 59 260 69 263 34276 32889 42 247 61 270 52 248 57 262 32889 31472 43 246 55 261 50 245 49 254 31472 30015 42 242 49 256 43 247 47 249 30015 28524 40 241 38 257 41 244 38 248 28524 27003 38 241 33 258 37 237 30 252 27003 25455 36 243 31 251 35 239 28 254 25455 23884 34 249 32 249 36 247 37 235 23884 22285 37 254 30 245 37 245 37 225 22285 20655 39 256 28 245 35 235 33 215 20655 19020 31 254 28 253 27 233 27 211 19020 17459 25 243 26 253 24 232 24 209 17459 16040 19 230 23 251 20 225 22 206 16040 14773 16 225 22 252 18 222 20 203 14773 13637 15 227 19 245 18 220 22 203 13637 12610 16 233 18*233 19 217 26 208 12610 11677 16 241 17*225 20 212 28 212 11677 10831 16 246 16 223 20 208 25 216 10831 10067 12*244 14 215 21 203 20 224 10067 9377 7*223 13 210 21 200 17 237 9377 8746 5 200 12 206 21 196 15 251 8746 8176 5 194 12 204 21 193 15 257 8176 7693 5 193 11 202 20 190 15 273 7693 7316 5 191 11 200 18 187 14 274 7316 7053 5 189 10 198 15 184 12 275 7053 6892 5 190 10 198 13*182 10 276 6892 6799 4 189 9 197 8*180 7*274 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography