DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/04 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 59.4 - - 59.6 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 434 - - 452 - - 119 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4850 - - 6127 - - 6254 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10194 - - 11233 - - 10618 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11535 - - 12812 - - 12939 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1209 - - 1872 - - 2293 - - 441 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 545 - - 598 - - 387 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 32 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 307 - - 271 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -6 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4649 - - -4936 - - -4701 - - -8948 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16184 - - 17749 - - 17641 - - 15748 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10016 - - -9548 - - -8556 - - -14807 ODpotential blCL - - - 21551 - - 22360 - - 21495 - - 21606 blCL maxRH - - - 23 - - 21 - - 29 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 59.4 - - 59.6 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.4 - - 4.9 - - 5.7 - - 3.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 56.9 - - 58.6 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.5 - - 4.0 - - 5.0 - - 2.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 434 - - 452 - - 119 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4850 - - 6127 - - 6254 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97034 22 272 28 252 39 277 45 279 97034 89784 22 250 22 278 19 276 29 280 89784 84262 20 254 16 304 13 285 15 295 84262 79674 11 304 12 317 11 301 9 330 79674 75682 6 353 8 285 11 305 15 337 75682 72152 9 353 7 287 9 330 16 314 72152 68978 15 304 11 302 13 332 14 317 68978 66060 19 287 13 291 16 316 13 322 66060 63344 23 298 14 310 22 310 19 316 63344 60709 26 300 22 308 26 299 24 310 60709 57965 30 296 29 299 30 292 31 304 57965 55111 33 284 32 287 34 290 35 296 55111 52362 35 286 38 285 39 291 37 289 52362 49859 41 283 42 283 43 288 38 286 49859 47598 43 281 48 280 46 284 42 287 47598 45536 45 282 49 278 49 281 45 285 45536 43650 49 282 48 280 49 276 48 281 43650 41922 51 283 48 281 45 279 46 278 41922 40335 50 284 49 284 43 286 42 282 40335 38878 49 284 50 284 44 287 38 283 38878 37532 43 280 47 282 46 283 40 285 37532 36255 40 287 42 279 45 281 41 286 36255 34980 43 289 38 282 42 278 39 286 34980 33678 48 291 40 287 38 278 35 286 33678 32354 46 293 42 290 36 285 33 287 32354 30995 39 295 40 293 35 292 31 289 30995 29594 33 299 32 293 32 295 30 292 29594 28157 29 302 26 294 28 295 28 294 28157 26687 27 305 22 297 23 296 24 297 26687 25188 25 309 19 299 20 297 20 302 25188 23663 23 314 18 299 19 295 18 306 23663 22106 22 316 18 299 18 296 17 308 22106 20510 21 318 18 302 16 300 15 310 20510 18900 21 321 17 309 15 307 13 312 18900 17358 18 325 15 319 12 319 10 313 17358 15954 14 330 12 331 8 340 5 309 15954 14698 11 338 9 348 6 353 1 110 14698 13568 9 350 6*352 5*342 4 070 13568 12548 7 359 4*337 4*329 5 037 12548 11623 3*349 3 328 4 319 4 010 11623 10785 2*287 3 318 4 280 4 326 10785 10029 2 263 3 312 5 270 5 292 10029 9346 3 252 3 303 5 263 6 273 9346 8722 3 250 3 297 5 259 9 260 8722 8159 4 248 4 294 6 256 11 253 8159 7680 4 247 4 289 6 254 13 251 7680 7307 4 247 4 288 6 253 14 250 7307 7048 4 248 4 287 6 252 13 249 7048 6890 4 248 4 287 6 252 9*246 6890 6799 4 247 4 285 6 252 5*246 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography