DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.9 - - 39.3 - - 47.1 - - 39.2 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 160 - - 216 - - -26 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 742 - - 4953 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6781 - - 6781 - - 9991 - - 6781 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7427 - - 11638 - - 6798 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 47 - - 1482 - - 2386 - - 4469 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 209 - - 436 - - 10 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 20 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 271 - - 302 - - 351 - - 337 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - -14 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2742 - - -5394 - - -5500 - - -7588 - - -5645 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9540 - - 12822 - - 17139 - - 14386 - - 12444 sfcLCL ODpotential -12357 - - -11315 - - -10611 - - -13178 - - -14087 ODpotential blCL 19154 - - 18742 - - 22249 - - 19976 - - 20885 blCL maxRH 32 - - 40 - - 36 - - 65 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.9 - - 39.3 - - 47.1 - - 39.2 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.8 - - 7.4 - - -4.5 - - 0.3 - - -0.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.6 - - 38.5 - - 46.0 - - 40.9 - - 34.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.8 - - 6.9 - - -5.2 - - 0.2 - - -1.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 160 - - 216 - - -26 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 742 - - 4953 - - 113 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96478 29 051 29 054 34 060 30 055 36 067 96478 89456 33 072 23 083 27 068 32 061 40 071 89456 83985 30 072 25 077 19 079 25 070 44 066 83985 79414 24 069 21 071 16 072 17 075 31 064 79414 75433 17 040 23 079 15 053 14 066 27 052 75433 71880 13 053 14 069 9 070 10 073 17 031 71880 68644 15 012 10 075 12 044 13 049 13 047 68644 65642 7 036 7 101 2 213 6 037 10 022 65642 62843 23 303 17 331 17 333 13 042 15 030 62843 60112 33 312 26 303 29 316 18 344 17 339 60112 57277 36 317 37 326 40 318 23 328 20 313 57277 54330 44 317 49 321 48 318 38 327 31 333 54330 51507 57 318 59 320 57 322 55 326 48 325 51507 48987 71 315 67 313 65 317 69 323 59 331 48987 46741 77 311 67 307 68 308 72 315 69 330 46741 44708 75 305 63 307 65 302 70 312 73 323 44708 42854 69 302 59 312 61 308 65 315 75 318 42854 41156 64 308 64 322 59 320 65 326 75 314 41156 39588 68 317 71 325 65 327 71 326 69 314 39588 38130 74 318 75 323 71 325 68 327 62 323 38130 36777 76 316 75 320 72 322 66 332 61 334 36777 35502 75 315 74 319 71 322 67 333 63 336 35502 34241 70 312 74 319 71 325 67 328 62 334 34241 32964 61 309 71 316 74 326 66 324 60 335 32964 31674 53 311 67 313 76 323 66 325 60 339 31674 30356 51 316 69 311 76 320 67 326 63 345 30356 29003 53 319 69 314 73 319 66 325 66 348 29003 27613 57 318 64 318 69 322 64 328 66 347 27613 26185 58 318 58 322 63 324 61 333 65 344 26185 24721 56 321 54 323 57 325 56 336 63 342 24721 23225 53 322 52 324 51 324 50 335 60 343 23225 21694 50 321 51 324 48 322 47 332 59 346 21694 20125 49 320 50 325 46 323 45 330 56 347 20125 18545 47 321 48 327 45 326 45 329 53 344 18545 17034 46 323 46 328 44 330 44 331 50 338 17034 15662 43 328 43 332 42 334 43 334 47 333 15662 14439 41 336 41 338 38 340 42 339 44 331 14439 13342 41 346 39 347 34 346 41 345 42 330 13342 12352 42 356 37 357 28*350 39 351 40 331 12352 11455 43 004 34 005 23*352 37 356 38 334 11455 10645 41 009 27 011 21 351 33 359 36 337 10645 9916 36 013 20 012 20 351 29 359 34 341 9916 9256 30 013 15 008 20 351 25 357 30 344 9256 8654 24 011 12 360 20 351 21 353 26 343 8654 8111 19 004 11 350 20 351 19 350 20 340 8111 7649 14 354 7*336 19 351 17 347 14 332 7649 7290 10 339 4*307 18 350 15 344 10 315 7290 7039 7 311 3 301 18 350 13 341 8 289 7039 6886 5 287 3 300 17 349 11*339 7*274 6886 6798 3*271 3 298 14 349 8*337 5*272 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography