DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.5 - - 87.1 - - 89.1 - - 87.4 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 149 - - 443 - - 480 - - 174 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1285 - - 14223 - - 14212 - - 11501 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 7133 - - 17871 - - 17914 - - 14988 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7970 - - 20908 - - 20897 - - 18186 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1139 - - 1551 - - 1494 - - 2844 - - 931 Hgt.Variab. W* 246 - - 789 - - 811 - - 541 - - 10 W* B/S 5 - - 14 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 14 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 088 - - 263 - - 272 - - 284 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 14 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 20 - - 6 - - -19 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6703 - - 1811 - - 756 - - -3974 - - -12889 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14674 - - 19098 - - 20142 - - 22161 - - 19691 sfcLCL ODpotential -9813 - - 548 - - -1618 - - -8257 - - -17678 ODpotential blCL 17783 - - 20360 - - 22515 - - 26443 - - 24479 blCL maxRH 61 - - 57 - - 40 - - 19 - - 17 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.5 - - 87.1 - - 89.1 - - 87.4 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.9 - - 26.0 - - 23.1 - - 12.4 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.3 - - 84.4 - - 86.4 - - 86.1 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 25.4 - - 22.5 - - 12.0 - - 13.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 149 - - 443 - - 480 - - 174 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1285 - - 14223 - - 14212 - - 11501 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99310 34 103 27 104 32 095 30 104 24 089 99310 91787 26 103 28 105 25 108 29 088 24 102 91787 85980 25 104 21 103 21 111 27 088 28 089 85980 81186 27 089 22 107 17 114 25 104 25 088 81186 77083 20 100 18 114 19 120 17 113 22 096 77083 73462 20 120 20 119 16 105 16 126 15 086 73462 70183 17 106 20 103 17 129 12 101 7 092 70183 67178 10 066 16 105 19 123 10 133 8 081 67178 64402 7 071 9 135 11 124 8 120 11 085 64402 61744 3 131 5 202 5 138 2 080 4 067 61744 59020 11 116 5 191 7 223 6 239 5 213 59020 56220 7 343 4 299 4 247 7 222 13 197 56220 53557 20 281 17 267 13 309 7 295 6 233 53557 51169 28 264 30 266 32 281 27 290 21 301 51169 49022 27 265 29 259 38 270 33 285 34 300 49022 47051 27 274 28 267 35 268 35 285 34 289 47051 45222 28 286 29 281 32 270 35 286 35 281 45222 43513 30 288 32 293 30 276 33 285 36 277 43513 41905 32 284 32 292 30 281 32 284 34 279 41905 40389 35 280 34 288 32 286 30 292 32 281 40389 38965 38 276 38 289 38 292 32 302 29 294 38965 37606 40 277 39 287 38 288 35 303 28 307 37606 36250 40 280 38 285 34 287 35 300 26 309 36250 34865 40 288 37 286 35 291 32 294 25 300 34865 33457 40 288 35 283 32 284 30 284 28 288 33457 32020 35 278 32 278 29 273 28 278 28 285 32020 30548 28 278 32 269 29 274 28 281 25 288 30548 29045 30 292 31 270 30 279 27 285 20 298 29045 27514 35 288 32 282 30 284 21 289 14 313 27514 25959 40 288 31 289 25 288 17 287 11 313 25959 24378 36 294 30 287 22 288 14 282 11 302 24378 22766 23 293 25 281 20 276 16 279 11 299 22766 21115 17 276 21*270 16*271 16 281 9 308 21115 19452 17 257 18*268 13*271 14*283 8 316 19452 17857 14 257 16 267 12 271 13*285 8 320 17857 16401 8 279 14 267 12 272 13 285 9 318 16401 15095 7 319 12 265 13 272 14 285 9 314 15095 13917 8 326 10 262 13 273 14 284 10 309 13917 12849 8 321 9 258 14 273 15 284 12 305 12849 11880 5 303 8 257 14 273 15 285 13 303 11880 11001 5 279 7 256 15 273 15 284 13 301 11001 10207 7 290 7 255 15 273 15 284 14 299 10207 9489 6 315 6 256 16 273 15 284 14 298 9489 8832 4 037 6 256 16 273 15 284 15 298 8832 8238 8*083 6 257 16 273 15 284 15 297 8238 7733 10*088 6 258 16 273 15 284 15 296 7733 7339 10 088 5 257 15 273 15 284 14 295 7339 7065 9 089 5 259 15 273 14 284 12 294 7065 6897 9 089 5 259 15 273 14 284 9*290 6897 6801 8 088 5 260 13 273 12 284 6*286 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography