DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 58.3 - - 64.9 - - 62.3 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 323 - - 351 - - 31 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2664 - - 6893 - - 6249 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 6782 - - 8404 - - 11749 - - 9112 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 6798 - - 9349 - - 13578 - - 12934 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 161 - - 1404 - - 2539 - - 4142 - - 173 Hgt.Variab. W* 40 - - 406 - - 575 - - 255 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 11 - - 27 - - 32 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 096 - - 268 - - 276 - - 279 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 17 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - -6 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6008 - - -5888 - - -3942 - - -3578 - - -7123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12806 - - 15238 - - 17521 - - 16513 - - 13923 sfcLCL ODpotential -13272 - - -9735 - - -6545 - - -6580 - - -12043 ODpotential blCL 20070 - - 19084 - - 20123 - - 19514 - - 18842 blCL maxRH 67 - - 80 - - 76 - - 78 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 58.3 - - 64.9 - - 62.3 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.9 - - 15.2 - - 11.1 - - 13.2 - - 12.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.4 - - 56.4 - - 63.1 - - 62.3 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.8 - - 14.4 - - 10.2 - - 12.6 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 323 - - 351 - - 31 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 113 - - 2664 - - 6893 - - 6249 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 18 - - 5 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96412 10 214 19 220 19 241 19 228 24 278 96412 89183 3 166 6 192 6 179 7 220 13 311 89183 83646 4 088 7 162 4 170 2 324 9 344 83646 79050 8 354 3 149 3 136 3 033 9 008 79050 75075 3 132 6 199 3 314 6 013 11 019 75075 71548 3 086 7 128 9 210 10 356 12 021 71548 68350 18 337 17 331 9 311 18 327 23 346 68350 65442 19 331 19 329 11 281 20 298 24 336 65442 62771 27 320 24 324 10 305 24 311 18 320 62771 60186 35 302 32 300 18 323 18 315 10 311 60186 57469 42 307 37 301 25 321 22 286 15 309 57469 54624 51 303 50 298 44 295 42 297 35 293 54624 51883 57 296 61 291 58 291 57 290 49 297 51883 49403 53 291 60 286 61 286 60 285 66 292 49403 47178 49 292 56 283 63 281 64 283 66 284 47178 45146 48 296 54 285 65 279 70 282 70 290 45146 43282 52 299 56 290 69 281 73 280 80 290 43282 41572 62 299 60 292 73 283 72 281 79 287 41572 39993 77 297 65 292 77 283 75 282 71 284 39993 38527 91 293 78 288 78 282 83 281 68 286 38527 37169 93 291 91 283 76 281 91 279 70 291 37169 35890 88 291 88 281 73 282 91 278 77 291 35890 34624 81 292 78 283 71 282 86 278 73 290 34624 33337 72 292 72 282 71 281 82 280 56 294 33337 32032 65 290 68 278 70 279 79 282 49 302 32032 30696 60 288 63 277 67 279 72 286 50 308 30696 29319 58 289 60 284 65 281 65 289 52 312 29319 27904 55 289 59 287 62 282 63 291 54 314 27904 26454 53 288 56 287 59 281 63 290 54 316 26454 24972 51 288 53 290 55 280 61 287 54 315 24972 23462 48 287 52 289 52 282 58 284 53 313 23462 21923 44 287 51 285 51 284 57 283 52 311 21923 20349 40 290 49 283 50 283 58 283 51 310 20349 18768 36 294 45 282 47 279 57 285 47 302 18768 17256 33 295 41 281 45 277 53 286 43 291 17256 15881 29 295 38 280 44 277 48 284 41 289 15881 14650 26 295 36 280 41*279 43 281 39 290 14650 13539 25 293 34 281 35*278 38*278 37 292 13539 12530 25 291 32 282 30 278 36*278 35 297 12530 11615 26 289 30 283 27 277 35 278 35 301 11615 10784 27 290 28 285 27 277 34 279 36 303 10784 10033 27 293 24*287 27 276 33 279 38 304 10033 9352 24 298 17*283 26 276 32 280 39 302 9352 8728 18 301 13 276 26 276 31 280 40 300 8728 8164 11 294 10 263 25 275 30 280 39 296 8164 7685 6 275 10 260 25 275 29 281 36 292 7685 7310 3 229 9 257 24 275 28 281 31 288 7310 7050 4 158 9 257 23 275 26 281 22 284 7050 6890 5*125 9 256 22 275 23 281 17*282 6890 6799 3*096 8 256 18 274 17 281 7*278 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography