DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 55.7 - - 60.5 - - 59.5 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 181 - - 414 - - 495 - - 173 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3068 - - 10892 - - 10748 - - 10798 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit 8494 - - 15073 - - 15052 - - 14419 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top 9753 - - 17577 - - 17433 - - 17483 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3444 - - 1911 - - 3687 - - 3422 - - 1190 Hgt.Variab. W* 350 - - 704 - - 745 - - 527 - - 10 W* B/S 7 - - 66 - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 2 - - 9 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 132 - - 277 - - 265 - - 287 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 14 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -41 - - 45 - - 17 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 124 - - 6127 - - 2960 - - 1119 - - -4068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9629 - - 11450 - - 14474 - - 16365 - - 10868 sfcLCL ODpotential -1181 - - 2743 - - 1776 - - -205 - - -7150 ODpotential blCL 10934 - - 14834 - - 15657 - - 17688 - - 13949 blCL maxRH 90 - - 100 - - 95 - - 88 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 360 - - 210 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 55.7 - - 60.5 - - 59.5 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.4 - - 29.0 - - 20.3 - - 11.0 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.9 - - 53.4 - - 57.9 - - 58.4 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 28.6 - - 19.8 - - 10.3 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 181 - - 414 - - 495 - - 173 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 3068 - - 10892 - - 10748 - - 10798 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 98 - - 78 - - 53 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97443 19 253 25 228 22 255 17 260 22 264 97443 90012 11 223 17 219 21 244 14 251 12 244 90012 84335 10 266 5 232 12 230 13 287 6 251 84335 79638 9 319 6 279 12 202 16 257 15 285 79638 75624 10 348 10 307 6 246 11 268 15 283 75624 72085 16 297 14 291 8 277 12 285 12 277 72085 68862 20 270 22 279 16 285 21 282 11 284 68862 65879 19 281 23 273 21 287 25 279 18 295 65879 63113 20 288 22 273 25 284 28 283 26 295 63113 60444 23 287 22 281 25 277 28 283 28 283 60444 57655 27 287 23 291 26 277 25 283 28 278 57655 54749 34 287 27 298 29 284 26 288 31 287 54749 51971 38 285 33 296 36 289 36 293 36 289 51971 49458 40 282 42 287 41 287 41 288 35 289 49458 47191 38 283 41 278 43 286 41 286 40 292 47191 45134 36 288 36 275 43 283 42 291 42 290 45134 43256 42 292 37 274 43 287 47 291 41 288 43256 41525 46 282 39 282 46 295 49 288 40 293 41525 39924 45 272 43 281 52 295 44 284 41 294 39924 38443 40 268 44 273 54 290 40 289 41 294 38443 37069 38 272 38 270 51 279 48 288 40 295 37069 35765 39 277 32 284 45 271 51 280 36 294 35765 34472 38 278 34 287 42 274 40 274 30 286 34472 33166 37 279 36 277 43 277 29 277 21 280 33166 31853 37 278 38 278 46 274 27 281 10 297 31853 30525 37 278 41 284 48 268 28 277 6 076 30525 29166 37 280 38 281 47 268 23 275 19 082 29166 27769 38 280 39 275 41 275 13 281 18 074 27769 26337 37 280 39 277 28 281 3 337 14 063 26337 24873 35 284 30 281 16 295 8 073 7 083 24873 23381 33 284 20 283 12 330 10 091 5 166 23381 21859 30 278 25 290 10 351 6 074 3 240 21859 20298 19 275 20 295 7 340 4 006 6 263 20298 18725 11 302 14*305 5*307 5*315 6 273 18725 17216 15 325 10*308 6*275 9*294 7 283 17216 15842 20 328 9 308 7 267 10 294 10 292 15842 14612 16 336 7 311 8 262 12 292 13 299 14612 13503 10 349 5 314 9 259 13 291 14 306 13503 12497 4 360 2 324 9 258 14 288 14 313 12497 11584 2 017 0 043 10 259 14 287 14 321 11584 10756 1 141 3 158 10 261 15 285 14 331 10756 10008 5*148 4 159 10 264 15 284 15 340 10008 9331 9*139 4 162 10 266 16 283 15 348 9331 8711 10 136 5 164 10 270 16 282 16 355 8711 8151 10 131 5 167 9 272 16 282 17 001 8151 7675 10 130 5 168 9 274 16 281 17 004 7675 7305 10 130 5 169 9 276 16 281 17 007 7305 7047 10 129 5 170 9 276 15 281 14 012 7047 6889 9 129 5 170 9 276 14 280 11*015 6889 6799 8 128 5 171 8 277 13 280 6*022 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography