DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.3 - - 48.1 - - 58.0 - - 56.5 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 263 - - 317 - - 24 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1217 - - 2911 - - 2138 - - 113 BL Depth Hcrit 6780 - - 7288 - - 8584 - - 6782 - - 6781 Hcrit BL Top 6797 - - 7902 - - 9596 - - 8823 - - 6798 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 93 - - 911 - - 1247 - - 1605 - - 220 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 292 - - 415 - - 160 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 22 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 273 - - 293 - - 285 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - -16 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2604 - - -4261 - - -4659 - - -5057 - - -3999 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9402 - - 12164 - - 14256 - - 13880 - - 10798 sfcLCL ODpotential -15544 - - -13537 - - -11377 - - -12426 - - -13457 ODpotential blCL 22341 - - 21439 - - 20973 - - 21249 - - 20255 blCL maxRH 69 - - 63 - - 84 - - 66 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.3 - - 48.1 - - 58.0 - - 56.5 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.7 - - 18.9 - - 19.3 - - 19.6 - - 20.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.9 - - 46.7 - - 56.3 - - 56.4 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.2 - - 18.4 - - 18.9 - - 19.3 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 263 - - 317 - - 24 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 112 - - 1217 - - 2911 - - 2138 - - 113 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96282 15 084 9 064 13 066 14 079 14 094 96282 89161 18 063 14 094 6 094 8 030 16 052 89161 83643 13 045 9 067 4 100 5 020 8 025 83643 79045 10 044 8 044 4 332 7 336 10 347 79045 75082 9 022 9 003 3 010 4 315 13 344 75082 71575 10 340 15 334 16 328 14 333 14 325 71575 68393 16 346 17 336 16 314 21 324 19 323 68393 65468 18 353 15 343 14 337 26 324 28 333 65468 62781 35 331 28 324 32 327 33 335 31 336 62781 60220 43 321 35 329 41 336 38 341 33 325 60220 57558 51 312 49 323 45 332 41 322 41 313 57558 54772 58 309 56 317 54 322 51 313 46 313 54772 52096 69 316 65 321 69 321 65 315 57 318 52096 49692 84 316 79 318 77 315 72 310 69 317 49692 47555 86 312 83 310 80 307 82 309 81 309 47555 45636 82 311 80 303 76 302 87 307 85 305 45636 43888 80 314 74 307 71 303 83 304 83 304 43888 42270 77 317 73 315 69 310 77 302 80 304 42270 40752 74 317 77 322 72 317 70 306 75 304 40752 39321 66 313 77 325 73 322 66 310 70 305 39321 37974 58 309 77 326 72 325 66 312 65 305 37974 36684 55 309 76 327 69 324 66 313 61 304 36684 35390 57 309 75 326 64 320 67 313 59 302 35390 34066 58 308 71 325 63 314 68 312 56 299 34066 32714 56 305 60 323 63 308 62 308 54 297 32714 31325 52 301 46 320 58 299 51 301 56 299 31325 29890 52 296 41 314 52 291 48 298 59 302 29890 28417 53 295 43 310 46 282 50 299 59 301 28417 26908 53 295 45 307 46 280 54 302 56 297 26908 25369 51 296 49 305 49 289 57 302 55 295 25369 23803 48 297 53 303 55 297 58 302 55 295 23803 22208 45 298 54 301 56 300 59 304 55 297 22208 20580 43 300 50 301 53 302 56 306 54 299 20580 18946 42 298 46 302 50 303 51 306 52 302 18946 17388 43 296 43 301 46 304 45 303 48 304 17388 15974 43 295 42 300 44 306 41 302 42 305 15974 14710 41 295 41 300 42 307 39 304 38 304 14710 13574 39 295 40 303 40 309 37 307 34 303 13574 12548 37 295 39 305 38 312 35 310 30 302 12548 11618 34 296 39 305 35 315 33 313 28 301 11618 10778 31 298 37 304 31 315 30 313 26 301 10778 10022 27 301 34 302 27*308 26 308 26 298 10022 9339 23 304 29 301 24*300 22*297 26 296 9339 8715 18 306 23 299 23 295 21*289 27 296 8715 8153 12 312 17*291 23 293 21 286 26 298 8153 7676 6 311 12*277 22 292 21 284 23 301 7676 7304 1 186 10 273 22 291 20 283 21 303 7304 7046 4 122 10 272 21 291 18 282 16 298 7046 6889 6*088 9 272 19 290 17 281 11*289 6889 6798 5*082 8 271 16 290 13 281 6*280 6798 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography