DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.9 - - 27.2 - - 26.0 - - 19.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 68 - - -26 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4180 - - 2684 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8775 - - 7683 - - 6781 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10865 - - 9369 - - 6797 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4488 - - 4682 - - 3228 - - 964 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 294 - - 251 - - 26 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 30 - - 25 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 280 - - 285 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -19 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3567 - - 2572 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7298 - - 6797 - - 6797 - - 6797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1009 - - 498 - - -1619 - - -2917 ODpotential blCL - - - 9856 - - 8871 - - 8416 - - 9714 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 98 - - 77 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 150 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.9 - - 27.2 - - 26.0 - - 19.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.8 - - 21.8 - - 22.1 - - 15.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 26.9 - - 27.2 - - 22.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.8 - - 20.6 - - 21.5 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 68 - - -26 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4180 - - 2684 - - 112 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 92 - - 9 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96604 27 123 20 094 26 109 29 095 96604 89446 28 108 18 122 21 104 26 103 89446 83898 22 107 15 107 16 127 14 089 83898 79257 12 092 7 110 12 134 4 083 79257 75250 8 133 5 136 5 138 5 239 75250 71710 5 128 2 226 1 091 3 258 71710 68499 7 337 1 278 4 201 3 306 68499 65531 13 261 12 267 8 264 13 285 65531 62761 15 240 17 228 12 241 22 236 62761 60056 14 280 6 195 10 208 12 234 60056 57210 16 274 17 250 20 236 25 242 57210 54251 15 234 37 250 32 245 39 259 54251 51428 27 233 48 257 44 265 50 260 51428 48884 34 255 49 266 55 270 52 267 48884 46603 52 269 60 268 64 272 56 272 46603 44535 67 269 69 267 71 272 62 276 44535 42636 76 266 71 267 73 271 64 274 42636 40881 77 264 73 269 74 273 66 274 40881 39247 77 267 77 272 77 276 72 274 39247 37729 77 271 82 274 85 277 77 273 37729 36322 76 273 87 275 92 277 82 272 36322 35000 76 276 93 277 95 276 85 273 35000 33698 79 279 100 277 98 277 87 275 33698 32390 87 278 104 276 104 278 89 278 32390 31078 93 274 104 275 107 277 91 279 31078 29750 91 269 100 275 104 279 92 278 29750 28390 86 265 96 277 100 281 92 278 28390 26997 81 266 95 279 91 280 90 280 26997 25574 75 268 97 280 81 282 82 281 25574 24129 65 269 96 281 79 285 70 284 24129 22666 53 271 79 281 78 287 64 287 22666 21177 47 271 55 280 72 289 63 287 21177 19653 45 273 42 286 57 292 60 288 19653 18123 42 276 39 292 39 292 52 290 18123 16672 39 275 38 293 28 295 39 291 16672 15364 36 270 37 292 26 296 30 291 15364 14197 34 268 35 290 28 293 28 290 14197 13146 34 268 34 288 32 290 27 292 13146 12193 33 269 33 286 34 289 25 296 12193 11327 33*270 33 284 35 291 23 301 11327 10543 32*270 32 283 35 293 21 306 10543 9834 32 271 31*282 34 294 20 312 9834 9194 32 271 30*282 33 295 19 316 9194 8607 31 271 28 281 32 295 19 315 8607 8078 30 271 26 280 31 294 18 310 8078 7627 29 270 24 280 29 292 19 304 7627 7277 28 270 23 279 26 290 18 298 7277 7032 26 270 22 279 22 287 15 293 7032 6883 24 270 19 279 19*286 11*289 6883 6797 18 270 15 278 12*285 6*285 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography