DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 85.7 - - 81.8 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 445 - - 48 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11913 - - 15032 - - 12872 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15950 - - 18554 - - 14645 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18598 - - 21717 - - 19557 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4059 - - 2867 - - 2580 - - 477 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 741 - - 808 - - 376 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 42 - - 30 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 013 - - 317 - - 333 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 11 - - 39 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1287 - - 2573 - - 1732 - - -8120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17312 - - 19145 - - 17826 - - 14921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1338 - - 1026 - - -96 - - -11364 ODpotential blCL - - - 19936 - - 20691 - - 19653 - - 18164 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 69 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 230 - - 140 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 85.7 - - 81.8 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 24.1 - - 26.7 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 82.9 - - 81.6 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.0 - - 23.4 - - 26.1 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 445 - - 48 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11913 - - 15032 - - 12872 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 66 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98652 16 124 7 105 17 067 18 115 98652 91138 12 134 7 079 16 082 14 096 91138 85378 12 117 7 107 9 102 14 076 85378 80610 11 102 14 113 9 102 15 078 80610 76514 13 094 16 125 12 092 17 085 76514 72913 12 119 18 129 10 116 16 082 72913 69666 12 134 16 120 10 142 10 094 69666 66688 11 132 10 134 9 159 7 111 66688 63939 8 147 12 168 10 146 0 182 63939 61296 5 172 11 171 8 167 8 195 61296 58536 9 191 9 206 9 236 9 191 58536 55657 7 200 9 240 13 213 11 237 55657 52917 5 266 8 236 11 219 12 245 52917 50456 8 288 7 259 10 261 14 257 50456 48239 16 282 13 284 12 297 11 269 48239 46215 13 267 13 288 13 308 9 293 46215 44361 8 317 8 304 9 302 9 300 44361 42661 11 007 7 015 5 296 7 304 42661 41093 20 352 17 004 11 015 13 021 41093 39634 20 352 17 019 9 012 12 004 39634 38270 21 351 19 020 13 033 10 021 38270 36970 22 337 22 015 19 041 16 041 36970 35669 21 334 24 013 22 035 22 034 35669 34340 17 339 24 010 23 029 24 031 34340 32985 15 339 19 358 23 025 23 034 32985 31597 14 343 10 342 19 019 21 037 31597 30169 13 348 8 355 11 354 15 043 30169 28706 11 350 10 002 7 330 3 021 28706 27209 9 355 10 009 6 028 1 042 27209 25680 8 007 10 018 9 069 5 055 25680 24124 7 017 10 024 6 080 5 058 24124 22537 7 008 10*032 2 100 4 057 22537 20912 7 345 8*035 1*235 3 035 20912 19274 8*324 4 015 4*282 4 354 19274 17704 7*325 3 321 5 296 8 346 17704 16274 6 352 3 307 7 309 10 344 16274 14989 6 010 4 301 9 320 12 343 14989 13830 6 017 5 301 10 328 13 341 13830 12779 4 025 6 302 12 333 13 340 12779 11824 3 032 6 304 13 338 13 339 11824 10957 2 045 7 306 14 341 13 340 10957 10173 1 055 7 307 14 343 13 342 10173 9463 1 068 8 310 15 345 12 346 9463 8812 1 078 8 311 15 346 12 355 8812 8224 1 079 8 312 15 346 12 005 8224 7724 1 090 8 313 15 346 13 013 7724 7334 1 084 8 314 15 347 13 017 7334 7062 1 091 8 313 15 347 12 018 7062 6896 1 089 8 314 14 347 10*017 6896 6800 1 084 7 314 12 347 5*013 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography