DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 80.4 - - 80.7 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 496 - - 493 - - 180 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7867 - - 11588 - - 12101 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12685 - - 15748 - - 15496 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14552 - - 18273 - - 18786 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2400 - - 1935 - - 2323 - - 3682 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 672 - - 764 - - 557 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 218 - - 225 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - -13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5797 - - -1611 - - -2992 - - -12102 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20350 - - 19885 - - 21779 - - 18903 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9821 - - -4709 - - -6618 - - -16691 ODpotential blCL - - - 24373 - - 22982 - - 25404 - - 23491 blCL maxRH - - - 17 - - 37 - - 24 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 80.4 - - 80.7 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.1 - - 15.5 - - 7.2 - - 10.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.1 - - 77.5 - - 79.4 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.5 - - 14.9 - - 6.7 - - 10.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 496 - - 493 - - 180 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7867 - - 11588 - - 12101 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99162 31 110 23 101 24 094 25 105 99162 91621 36 119 26 121 23 107 21 083 91621 85831 33 102 29 124 21 116 20 093 85831 81024 26 102 28 107 24 116 20 105 81024 76898 18 120 20 096 23 107 22 097 76898 73279 24 108 15 118 16 094 22 090 73279 70006 19 087 16 119 12 105 14 095 70006 66996 7 090 20 110 15 118 13 116 66996 64202 11 121 12 116 9 124 8 114 64202 61503 2 066 3 244 5 041 7 166 61503 58714 0 177 17 188 11 230 9 224 58714 55831 24 248 18 237 7 234 7 158 55831 53066 33 236 35 246 23 240 20 246 53066 50574 35 234 40 239 37 240 36 237 50574 48345 38 234 42 235 44 237 42 233 48345 46324 42 233 44 232 47 231 45 234 46324 44477 44 234 48 234 48 227 49 231 44477 42774 48 238 52 235 50 228 49 227 42774 41188 52 239 53 236 52 232 49 229 41188 39704 52 238 52 239 53 235 50 232 39704 38317 51 239 50 240 53 237 51 236 38317 36995 51 241 48 240 53 239 51 239 36995 35675 50 240 47 238 52 239 50 240 35675 34329 46 240 46 237 49 238 50 241 34329 32963 44 243 45 237 46 237 47 241 32963 31567 45 244 44 236 43 239 42 239 31567 30134 45 242 41 238 41 240 39 238 30134 28669 43 238 37 240 39 242 36 239 28669 27172 42 235 34 240 36 243 35 239 27172 25644 40 233 32 240 32 242 33 238 25644 24088 36 230 31 240 30 242 30 233 24088 22500 35 228 34 233 29 236 29 224 22500 20874 35 224 37 225 30 223 29 214 20874 19239 35 222 34*221 26*218 25 210 19239 17672 33 221 23*215 20*221 19 217 17672 16244 30 221 21 215 18 223 17 223 16244 14962 25*220 20 215 18 224 15 228 14962 13805 18*215 19 216 18 224 14 233 13805 12755 17 214 18 217 17 226 13 242 12755 11802 13 210 17 218 16 226 13 252 11802 10937 13 211 16 219 16 226 13 262 10937 10156 12 210 16 220 15 226 14 270 10156 9449 12 211 15 221 15 226 14 277 9449 8802 11 212 14 222 15 226 15 283 8802 8217 11 212 14 223 14 226 16 286 8217 7719 11 212 13 224 14 226 16 289 7719 7331 10 212 13 224 13 226 15 290 7331 7061 10 213 12 224 13 226 12 289 7061 6895 10 213 12 225 13 225 9*286 6895 6800 9 213 11 224 11 226 6*285 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography