DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 65.6 - - 62.5 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 58 - - 12 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2926 - - 2389 - - 1539 - - 517 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8329 - - 7339 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9611 - - 9074 - - 8224 - - 7202 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1664 - - 2452 - - 1986 - - 2357 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 329 - - 234 - - 127 - - 63 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 125 - - 161 - - 117 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2343 - - 2149 - - 1424 - - 403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7269 - - 6926 - - 6800 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 458 - - 207 - - 208 - - 129 ODpotential blCL - - - 9153 - - 8867 - - 8016 - - 7073 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 920 - - 1260 - - 1190 - - 710 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 65.6 - - 62.5 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 58.0 - - 58.9 - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 65.1 - - 62.5 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 57.1 - - 58.3 - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 58 - - 12 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2926 - - 2389 - - 1539 - - 517 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 100 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98923 22 106 20 111 15 093 17 102 98923 91543 16 113 21 114 14 101 22 074 91543 85840 18 119 17 112 14 116 17 076 85840 81114 15 097 14 113 14 113 13 102 81114 77041 10 133 7 104 12 083 14 125 77041 73431 9 147 5 145 5 063 10 078 73431 70150 11 158 9 212 1 216 6 038 70150 67123 7 156 14 193 10 232 4 279 67123 64328 7 288 5 207 12 225 6 242 64328 61646 9 258 8 221 10 230 8 240 61646 58874 17 234 19 242 12 231 12 221 58874 56038 18 204 23 216 18 235 17 239 56038 53373 16 214 24 210 25 225 21 228 53373 50982 24 236 27 225 27 222 25 223 50982 48823 34 235 33 234 31 236 27 234 48823 46849 41 234 39 235 35 224 29 241 46849 45032 47 227 47 229 31 221 33 245 45032 43348 48 225 46 231 34 244 42 243 43348 41777 52 234 50 241 55 243 48 237 41777 40299 60 236 55 240 58 238 49 233 40299 38910 62 233 56 237 48 228 41 234 38910 37582 59 234 54 233 43 218 33 230 37582 36250 53 236 51 228 39 217 32 229 36250 34886 48 233 47 229 31 209 31 225 34886 33494 44 230 44 229 32 207 29 221 33494 32065 32 225 41 227 36 210 28 221 32065 30590 33 232 35 223 38 209 24 213 30590 29074 28 237 39 225 35 204 23 210 29074 27521 26 234 35 231 30 200 22 205 27521 25935 24 232 28 231 21 198 22 199 25935 24322 22 231 19 233 16 193 23 198 24322 22678 19 227 15 230 16 196 23 198 22678 20997 18 223 15 223 14 204 21 195 20997 19308 17 227 14 220 12 200 23 198 19308 17694 16 233 13 224 11 183 24 195 17694 16230 15 233 11 218 11 171 22 192 16230 14924 15 232 10 214 11 165 21 185 14924 13756 14 232 8 209 10 158 18 175 13756 12701 12 226 7 206 10 149 14 157 12701 11747 9 203 7 186 11 143 12 137 11747 10885 8 174 7 172 11 145 10 122 10885 10109 7*149 7 167 10 148 11 109 10109 9410 7*136 6*166 9 146 11 102 9410 8769 6 128 5*162 7*138 10 098 8769 8192 6 124 5 161 6*125 10 096 8192 7703 6 122 4 160 6 118 9 085 7703 7321 6 120 4 160 6 115 8*074 7321 7056 5 120 4 161 5 114 7*068 7056 6893 5 121 3 160 5 113 7 067 6893 6800 5 119 3 160 4 113 5 066 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography