DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 62.8 - - 62.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 504 - - 173 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6836 - - 10693 - - 8634 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11848 - - 15014 - - 12712 - - 6782 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13521 - - 17378 - - 15319 - - 6799 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2220 - - 1645 - - 3527 - - 6279 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 643 - - 747 - - 488 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 52 - - 50 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 100 - - 173 - - 223 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 12 - - -18 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 496 - - 1827 - - -860 - - -7518 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13025 - - 15551 - - 16179 - - 14318 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1791 - - -280 - - -3114 - - -11798 ODpotential blCL - - - 15312 - - 17658 - - 18433 - - 18597 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 55 - - 49 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 62.8 - - 62.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.6 - - 17.9 - - 14.6 - - 14.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.4 - - 59.9 - - 60.9 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.2 - - 17.1 - - 13.9 - - 13.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 505 - - 504 - - 173 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6836 - - 10693 - - 8634 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97722 27 235 31 240 23 257 17 240 97722 90236 21 228 30 242 26 260 20 255 90236 84517 13 223 20 237 17 262 15 260 84517 79802 16 260 18 244 14 262 12 270 79802 75753 13 252 15 249 15 281 15 289 75753 72176 10 267 12 261 18 278 17 289 72176 68927 17 277 14 275 17 274 25 290 68927 65942 19 279 18 301 24 272 28 278 65942 63178 25 277 25 281 20 278 24 276 63178 60488 20 263 24 284 26 299 26 280 60488 57673 26 290 31 275 32 291 27 283 57673 54749 35 287 32 284 36 295 30 294 54749 51957 43 285 45 286 45 291 39 295 51957 49448 47 284 51 283 49 287 45 296 49448 47206 47 285 50 284 51 286 50 296 47206 45184 42 284 46 283 52 288 53 295 45184 43357 33 285 39 285 50 291 53 294 43357 41700 27 309 32 300 42 299 49 296 41700 40181 25 330 33 319 40 313 44 300 40181 38771 30 346 35 328 40 319 39 305 38771 37453 24 355 31 336 36 325 36 313 37453 36191 11 032 25 338 32 326 36 316 36191 34925 18 068 20 344 32 321 30 319 34925 33631 20 057 20 352 27 313 27 317 33631 32317 21 051 22 358 21 322 29 309 32317 30969 22 056 23 004 19 333 30 305 30969 29578 24 062 23 010 17 344 25 307 29578 28149 28 065 22 019 16 353 21 312 28149 26681 26 072 20 037 15 002 17 327 26681 25183 20 080 18 058 12 026 12 340 25183 23656 19 075 14 064 10 059 10 341 23656 22095 21 077 14 069 8 076 5 315 22095 20497 18 089 15 083 9 079 3 053 20497 18891 14 095 9*096 13 060 11 070 18891 17357 12 099 4*109 12 060 13 082 17357 15961 10 110 3 129 7*067 11 100 15961 14713 8*114 3 142 2*102 7 113 14713 13587 5*104 3 155 2 116 3 154 13587 12569 3 097 3 167 2 201 3 212 12569 11644 3 096 3 181 4 221 5 235 11644 10806 2 096 3 188 5 226 6 247 10806 10049 2 099 3 195 6 228 7 253 10049 9364 2 100 3 203 7 229 8 257 9364 8737 2 101 4 205 7 230 8 262 8737 8171 2 104 4 208 8 231 9 264 8171 7689 1 101 4 210 8 231 9 265 7689 7313 1 103 4 211 8 232 9 268 7313 7051 1 107 4 212 8 232 8 270 7051 6891 1 109 4 213 8 232 6*277 6891 6799 1 109 3 215 7 232 4*282 6799 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography