DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.3 - - 40.4 - - 35.8 - - 26.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 179 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2260 - - 3600 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7856 - - 8885 - - 6781 - - 6780 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8945 - - 10285 - - 6798 - - 6797 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1489 - - 2127 - - 4622 - - 251 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 369 - - 7 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 276 - - 292 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -6 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -383 - - -1098 - - -5060 - - -1814 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9329 - - 11384 - - 11859 - - 8611 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4145 - - -5711 - - -12552 - - -12165 ODpotential blCL - - - 13090 - - 15996 - - 19350 - - 18962 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 48 - - 37 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.3 - - 40.4 - - 35.8 - - 26.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 14.4 - - 8.1 - - 13.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.3 - - 39.1 - - 39.0 - - 29.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 13.7 - - 7.4 - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 179 - - -5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2260 - - 3600 - - 113 - - 112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96547 40 077 39 060 28 071 27 054 96547 89427 39 075 36 067 30 069 31 046 89427 83955 42 067 35 074 30 066 29 053 83955 79385 40 066 34 079 31 060 29 055 79385 75389 38 072 32 074 31 066 26 061 75389 71803 32 070 27 066 24 075 22 066 71803 68531 16 094 11 051 13 047 15 030 68531 65517 11 002 14 354 7 344 6 335 65517 62733 17 274 21 303 17 327 19 333 62733 60048 14 276 22 292 23 304 21 308 60048 57255 17 278 21 266 23 280 21 295 57255 54369 18 298 20 276 28 301 26 305 54369 51636 31 297 30 304 33 297 33 303 51636 49194 38 303 37 312 33 300 31 298 49194 47018 42 299 37 330 34 324 32 315 47018 45066 36 311 42 343 38 339 36 322 45066 43287 35 327 43 341 40 349 41 319 43287 41637 33 336 38 347 37 350 38 314 41637 40087 32 354 40 003 39 357 34 319 40087 38628 39 010 48 014 50 001 41 335 38628 37260 47 017 59 019 63 004 54 344 37260 35957 52 018 68 019 69 004 65 349 35957 34662 56 017 70 018 65 007 68 352 34662 33349 59 015 66 014 56 011 65 352 33349 32023 61 014 60 009 51 009 58 356 32023 30671 61 014 54 006 49 003 50 357 30671 29282 60 015 50 007 45 000 41 003 29282 27856 55 016 48 008 42 001 35 008 27856 26392 47 011 47 008 42 000 34 014 26392 24896 39 357 44 008 42 359 34 019 24896 23371 34 341 40 006 41 357 33 028 23371 21814 32 335 35 357 38 354 30 034 21814 20219 30 338 32 348 36 353 28 027 20219 18615 26 344 30 344 34 352 27 014 18615 17083 23 347 29 342 31 352 25 003 17083 15694 21 348 27 342 28 352 23 357 15694 14457 19 348 25 344 25 351 22 355 14457 13350 19 351 22 347 21 351 19 354 13350 12355 19 355 18 347 17 352 17 353 12355 11456 18 360 15 342 12 350 15 350 11456 10645 17 003 11*328 9 345 13 347 10645 9914 14 004 9*310 8 343 12 347 9914 9254 8*357 8 299 8 341 12 347 9254 8651 3*312 8 273 8 337 12 349 8651 8107 4 259 8 266 8 332 13 349 8107 7645 4 254 8 263 8 325 14 339 7645 7286 4 251 8 260 8 317 16 324 7286 7037 4 249 8 259 6 307 13 310 7037 6885 4 247 8 258 5*298 10*297 6885 6797 4 248 7 257 3*292 5*282 6797 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography