DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.1 - - 88.1 - - 92.9 - - - - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 102 - - 426 - - 431 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 890 - - 9662 - - 13258 - - - - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit 6784 - - 14082 - - 17054 - - - - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top 7575 - - 16347 - - 19943 - - - - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3358 - - 2429 - - 1303 - - - - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* 192 - - 684 - - 764 - - - - - 16 W* B/S 7 - - 21 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 300 - - 294 - - - - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -7 - - 19 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8110 - - -1518 - - 204 - - - - - -10147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15685 - - 17866 - - 19740 - - - - - 16949 sfcLCL ODpotential -12323 - - -5470 - - -2341 - - - - - -14567 ODpotential blCL 19898 - - 21817 - - 22284 - - - - - 21368 blCL maxRH 64 - - 32 - - 55 - - - - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 80.1 - - 88.1 - - 92.9 - - - - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.1 - - 32.9 - - 28.9 - - - - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.2 - - 85.5 - - 90.3 - - - - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.7 - - 32.3 - - 28.4 - - - - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 102 - - 426 - - 431 - - - - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 890 - - 9662 - - 13258 - - - - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99539 49 093 34 101 44 084 40 092 99539 92047 38 090 37 095 35 098 34 084 92047 86273 35 100 35 092 34 101 33 079 86273 81483 40 099 33 097 33 103 31 082 81483 77350 34 092 28 104 27 099 28 080 77350 73707 22 101 25 101 23 099 25 085 73707 70414 16 093 22 094 21 094 24 084 70414 67395 16 090 15 083 20 097 17 097 67395 64610 13 085 12 087 15 103 20 081 64610 61945 14 076 12 083 13 122 15 056 61945 59207 12 061 4 090 6 066 13 052 59207 56403 10 030 4 100 4 254 10 333 56403 53758 14 283 11 318 8 273 9 283 53758 51380 13 286 16 287 16 281 10 299 51380 49236 12 303 14 277 19 279 24 298 49236 47273 7 311 12 296 17 274 27 284 47273 45453 12 336 14 311 17 293 24 278 45453 43752 17 336 18 309 20 303 19 296 43752 42155 24 315 18 315 19 301 23 304 42155 40652 27 304 21 324 21 318 28 296 40652 39238 25 302 27 327 26 321 27 297 39238 37883 26 304 30 321 32 315 30 312 37883 36527 31 306 31 309 35 309 35 317 36527 35146 31 302 33 299 33 306 35 319 35146 33745 25 300 31 288 30 304 34 323 33745 32310 22 305 28 291 30 299 32 327 32310 30832 23 308 26 292 30 291 30 329 30832 29317 23 305 25 294 28 287 28 330 29317 27769 23 303 26 297 26 289 24 324 27769 26194 21 305 23 301 24 297 21 317 26194 24595 18 304 19 305 22 307 19 312 24595 22965 14 289 16 305 17 309 16 311 22965 21293 13 285 17 304 15*325 8 327 21293 19609 14 295 21 314 13*333 5 023 19609 17993 14 299 20 318 11 325 8 002 17993 16518 10 300 13*323 11 317 11 353 16518 15194 7 316 8*319 10 301 13 345 15194 14001 9 324 7 317 9 290 15 339 14001 12919 8 329 7 313 9 283 17 335 12919 11937 4 340 6 307 9 279 18 331 11937 11047 2 070 6 296 9 275 20 327 11047 10244 5 099 6 291 9 273 20 324 10244 9517 8 095 5 287 9 271 21 321 9517 8852 11 091 5 283 9 268 22 318 8852 8252 11 083 5 281 9 268 22 314 8252 7741 9*070 5 280 8 267 21 309 7741 7343 6*058 5 278 8 266 19 302 7343 7067 5 054 5 278 8 265 16 293 7067 6898 5 052 5 277 8 266 12*284 6898 6801 4 052 4 277 7 265 7*274 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography