DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 91.3 - - 89.7 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 440 - - 75 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5035 - - 11190 - - 9202 - - 116 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10342 - - 15357 - - 12429 - - 6784 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11720 - - 17875 - - 15887 - - 6801 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4814 - - 2799 - - 6290 - - 3226 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 552 - - 727 - - 382 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 86 - - 37 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 094 - - 272 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 17 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -18 - - 42 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2354 - - 1148 - - -43 - - -5469 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14074 - - 16728 - - 15931 - - 12271 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4966 - - -398 - - -2110 - - -9244 ODpotential blCL - - - 16686 - - 18273 - - 17997 - - 16045 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 75 - - 100 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 260 - - 310 - - 560 - - 780 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 91.3 - - 89.7 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 40.8 - - 43.0 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.9 - - 88.6 - - 89.1 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 40.3 - - 42.6 - - 49.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 440 - - 75 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5035 - - 11190 - - 9202 - - 116 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 102 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99247 42 110 29 099 19 100 26 084 99247 91709 34 092 33 117 27 093 32 086 91709 85929 31 085 34 107 27 102 30 083 85929 81163 24 100 35 088 28 104 24 094 81163 77059 20 112 29 089 27 091 25 096 77059 73429 21 112 21 098 23 091 24 090 73429 70153 20 099 14 096 23 090 20 093 70153 67173 20 100 13 101 21 091 19 104 67173 64448 17 111 12 120 15 095 19 103 64448 61834 13 113 11 129 7 108 16 087 61834 59120 16 120 15 128 7 144 11 077 59120 56310 19 114 18 115 13 117 9 079 56310 53635 16 100 16 107 17 099 16 095 53635 51242 15 108 15 105 17 110 21 116 51242 49104 19 109 17 115 22 118 24 120 49104 47149 22 103 22 115 22 115 25 116 47149 45334 23 109 23 116 23 123 25 121 45334 43636 29 126 27 131 28 131 28 128 43636 42040 33 129 32 138 32 134 30 131 42040 40538 30 125 32 138 30 139 25 134 40538 39130 26 120 27 134 26 141 22 137 39130 37785 22 120 23 133 21 133 20 137 37785 36438 21 127 22 137 17 130 19 132 36438 35062 22 126 22 136 16 134 18 126 35062 33661 26 123 22 128 19 133 18 123 33661 32225 25 126 22 123 21 126 18 118 32225 30744 24 123 20 115 21 117 18 114 30744 29227 25 123 23 113 23 114 22 118 29227 27678 27 121 27 113 26 112 28 123 27678 26099 25 118 25 104 28 101 30 109 26099 24500 18 113 21 090 29 079 30 087 24500 22877 15 090 20 078 29 078 28 085 22877 21216 17 084 23 072 27 080 26 099 21216 19542 19 084 22 065 22 084 24 108 19542 17936 19 076 19*067 15 089 19 114 17936 16470 17 068 15*070 9*093 10 124 16470 15155 15 063 11 075 3*100 2 187 15155 13969 14 061 9 079 1 253 7 293 13969 12895 12 058 5 091 4 270 13 306 12895 11919 8*055 3 113 6 272 17 311 11919 11033 4*044 2 161 8 273 17 314 11033 10234 1 002 2 188 10 274 16 320 10234 9511 1 316 2 200 11 273 15 328 9511 8848 1 297 3 210 11 273 15 335 8848 8250 1 290 3 216 12 273 15 340 8250 7741 2 282 3 219 12 273 15 336 7741 7344 2 279 3 223 12 273 14 328 7344 7068 2 279 3 223 12 273 12 319 7068 6898 2 278 3 224 11 273 10*313 6898 6801 2 282 3 225 10 273 6*309 6801 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography