DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Durango_CO 6685ft pt29606@37.028,-107.768,6634ft SPONSORED BY: Dave Piotrowski BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.4 - - 59.2 - - 60.7 - - 61.4 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 11 - - 5 - - 25 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 377 - - 835 - - 1153 - - 1129 - - 115 BL Depth Hcrit 6783 - - 6783 - - 6783 - - 6783 - - 6783 Hcrit BL Top 7062 - - 7520 - - 7838 - - 7814 - - 6800 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1569 - - 1935 - - 2049 - - 2204 - - 2354 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 84 - - 141 - - 87 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 14 - - 13 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 192 - - 208 - - 244 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - -4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 263 - - 721 - - 1039 - - 1015 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6800 - - 6799 - - 6800 - - 6800 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential 174 - - 120 - - 353 - - 173 - - -475 ODpotential blCL 6888 - - 7400 - - 7485 - - 7641 - - 7275 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 520 - - 790 - - 1010 - - 800 CAPE Temp@2m 56.4 - - 59.2 - - 60.7 - - 61.4 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.9 - - 57.6 - - 58.6 - - 58.9 - - 57.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.3 - - 59.4 - - 60.6 - - 61.5 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.8 - - 57.2 - - 58.0 - - 58.4 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 11 - - 5 - - 25 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 377 - - 835 - - 1153 - - 1129 - - 115 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 96 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98903 19 105 15 116 14 099 9 084 16 065 98903 91524 20 090 18 083 16 098 19 087 21 066 91524 85833 16 099 17 091 18 105 16 082 19 071 85833 81111 18 090 16 109 17 106 15 073 17 072 81111 77031 16 082 17 105 18 100 16 086 16 074 77031 73414 6 045 14 081 13 093 12 095 11 077 73414 70134 5 139 7 090 11 099 10 071 7 064 70134 67125 7 153 6 148 5 097 9 084 5 054 67125 64340 3 201 7 153 6 155 4 131 4 081 64340 61649 7 198 8 187 3 134 7 176 2 215 61649 58873 8 226 12 189 9 223 9 205 7 219 58873 56039 10 230 15 187 18 218 17 239 14 236 56039 53371 15 244 18 198 22 207 20 234 19 240 53371 50983 22 237 21 226 22 219 24 233 26 235 50983 48838 28 223 25 229 27 224 27 223 26 225 48838 46874 31 214 29 221 28 213 26 226 26 232 46874 45056 30 212 27 215 28 220 30 226 31 227 45056 43362 34 233 29 227 36 230 34 224 35 222 43362 41775 42 232 44 229 44 228 42 222 42 216 41775 40285 42 224 49 220 48 220 49 220 46 216 40285 38886 42 219 50 214 47 210 49 215 49 216 38886 37551 42 215 48 210 47 207 48 211 50 214 37551 36216 41 209 45 208 44 210 45 209 49 215 36216 34852 39 207 41 212 38 215 43 208 45 214 34852 33464 37 210 38 220 30 216 40 212 40 215 33464 32040 36 215 37 222 26 219 35 217 35 217 32040 30570 34 215 31 222 25 218 35 217 31 220 30570 29061 34 211 29 222 25 224 35 217 30 220 29061 27516 35 208 27 220 27 226 33 218 31 218 27516 25940 35 216 25 214 26 229 30 221 30 221 25940 24337 28 220 24 213 25 228 29 226 30 230 24337 22702 22 213 24 214 25 228 26 229 26 229 22702 21028 21 212 25 214 24 232 25 227 25 225 21028 19344 18 217 25 214 24 235 24 226 25 228 19344 17732 18 222 26 213 25 236 23 230 23 229 17732 16267 21 223 26 213 25 235 23 233 22 225 16267 14959 24 221 27 213 25 233 24 234 21 225 14959 13784 25 217 26 214 25 230 23 235 19 228 13784 12723 24 213 26 214 25 228 22 234 16 230 12723 11763 21 207 26 211 25 226 20 231 13 230 11763 10895 17 200 26 205 25 222 17 228 11 225 10895 10115 13 193 25 201 23 217 15 228 10 211 10115 9413 11 189 24 198 22 214 14 229 9 200 9413 8772 11 189 23 196 19 211 11 234 5 190 8772 8194 10 188 22 196 18*210 10*238 4 198 8194 7704 7 171 20*194 16*209 8*242 3 190 7704 7322 5*158 17*193 13 208 6 244 2 163 7322 7056 4*142 15 192 12 208 6 244 2 112 7056 6893 4 138 13 192 11 208 5 244 2*093 6893 6800 3 136 10 191 9 208 4 244 2*081 6800 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography