DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.4 - - 103.4 - - 102.1 - - 90.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 488 - - 197 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6108 - - 9747 - - 9084 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6563 - - 9571 - - 8482 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8208 - - 11847 - - 11184 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2115 - - 1381 - - 1589 - - 4988 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 564 - - 688 - - 497 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 17 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 229 - - 240 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11906 - - -9212 - - -10820 - - -16945 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20115 - - 21060 - - 22005 - - 19092 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19358 - - -15247 - - -17241 - - -25536 ODpotential blCL - - - 27566 - - 27094 - - 28425 - - 27682 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 30 - - 45 - - 18 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.4 - - 103.4 - - 102.1 - - 90.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.2 - - 16.3 - - 11.0 - - 14.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.6 - - 100.4 - - 100.6 - - 93.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.0 - - 16.2 - - 10.8 - - 14.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 429 - - 488 - - 197 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6108 - - 9747 - - 9084 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98557 32 097 31 101 21 112 28 081 98557 91067 25 105 29 104 22 091 24 097 91067 85323 23 107 27 105 29 100 19 082 85323 80586 24 097 22 106 26 107 20 086 80586 76509 20 086 21 103 18 101 19 103 76509 72903 18 089 18 098 18 086 19 095 72903 69653 10 100 14 096 16 075 22 077 69653 66688 9 102 11 125 9 067 16 053 66688 63970 11 110 8 131 7 081 3 061 63970 61374 9 088 5 152 4 125 3 210 61374 58682 5 241 11 223 9 243 8 229 58682 55908 11 250 13 225 15 244 18 236 55908 53293 17 259 23 243 23 249 24 241 53293 50942 30 265 28 265 25 262 25 250 50942 48815 40 260 37 262 34 262 34 264 48815 46862 44 257 43 259 42 261 42 266 46862 45054 44 262 43 260 44 261 45 265 45054 43373 44 265 41 264 42 262 44 264 43373 41800 44 270 39 270 41 270 42 268 41800 40318 39 273 38 272 40 276 43 275 40318 38917 34 270 35 275 39 278 42 278 38917 37563 33 273 35 278 37 279 38 278 37563 36189 33 274 34 278 34 278 33 277 36189 34768 31 277 33 277 32 277 30 274 34768 33300 27 281 31 276 30 276 28 273 33300 31771 30 288 29 277 29 274 28 273 31771 30167 31 292 30 285 29 283 27 276 30167 28491 25 285 28 282 30 287 27 283 28491 26742 21 280 26 280 25 285 24 286 26742 24926 20 286 19 276 19 285 18 291 24926 23045 17 280 16 261 15 270 16 285 23045 21087 13 266 14 257 16 259 17 271 21087 19046 9 247 12 256 14 258 16 266 19046 16970 5 218 11 239 10 252 13 259 16970 14977 16 209 19 222 13 227 14 226 14977 13169 28 214 25*215 18 219 17 221 13169 11564 33 212 19*216 15*223 18 219 11564 10135 30 216 18 219 15*227 13 210 10135 8860 23*220 17 222 15 230 10 219 8860 7722 17*221 17 225 15 235 11 235 7722 6708 14 222 17 230 16 239 13 245 6708 5809 11 226 16 233 16 242 15 250 5809 5010 10 229 16 235 16 244 16 252 5010 4291 9 231 16 237 16 245 18 254 4291 3651 9 234 16 239 16 247 19 255 3651 3116 8 237 16 240 16 247 19 255 3116 2703 7 238 15 241 16 248 18 256 2703 2418 7 240 15 241 15 248 16 256 2418 2244 7 241 14 242 15 249 12*255 2244 2146 6 241 13 242 13 249 7*253 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography