DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 89.0 - - 88.7 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 311 - - 62 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 5502 - - 4743 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2517 - - 5949 - - 4254 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3670 - - 7602 - - 6843 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1792 - - 2755 - - 3277 - - 2261 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 491 - - 275 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 25 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 297 - - 323 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -538 - - -1453 - - -2711 - - -4439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4209 - - 9056 - - 9554 - - 6584 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3733 - - -3421 - - -5466 - - -8932 ODpotential blCL - - - 7403 - - 11023 - - 12309 - - 11077 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 58 - - 57 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 1960 - - 570 - - 200 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.0 - - 89.0 - - 88.7 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.4 - - 56.5 - - 54.1 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.1 - - 86.7 - - 88.0 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 56.2 - - 53.9 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 92 - - 311 - - 62 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1570 - - 5502 - - 4743 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98487 5 139 11 151 8 185 2 093 98487 91030 9 161 9 131 6 125 10 112 91030 85288 15 123 10 125 10 115 9 104 85288 80551 18 092 14 124 12 107 12 087 80551 76497 17 096 18 111 12 104 14 075 76497 72933 15 095 13 101 15 106 12 088 72933 69720 13 097 11 097 14 104 9 098 69720 66773 4 132 7 076 13 104 12 082 66773 64050 11 167 4 185 3 111 8 045 64050 61423 13 187 10 211 7 234 4 304 61423 58684 11 182 16 199 12 220 10 264 58684 55843 21 243 20 228 19 236 20 243 55843 53127 29 248 31 241 28 252 29 262 53127 50676 50 248 47 247 51 254 54 258 50676 48478 60 239 59 241 59 245 57 254 48478 46483 52 250 53 240 52 248 57 260 46483 44658 56 261 47 247 52 251 59 261 44658 42977 61 260 48 255 49 253 57 259 42977 41418 56 256 50 255 47 258 51 260 41418 39956 46 258 46 258 44 260 46 264 39956 38576 43 265 43 263 40 262 42 267 38576 37240 44 270 42 264 39 266 38 269 37240 35881 41 278 40 268 38 268 34 269 35881 34471 39 279 36 275 37 270 31 270 34471 33014 35 273 33 280 32 275 31 271 33014 31495 32 275 32 282 29 284 31 270 31495 29903 28 277 32 282 29 290 31 270 29903 28240 25 271 32 280 29 292 30 272 28240 26506 23 264 30 275 27 295 27 274 26506 24702 22 259 29 272 24 295 24 275 24702 22830 21 250 26 273 23 287 21 277 22830 20889 21 250 22 267 20 282 18 279 20889 18875 19 266 21 265 17 274 15 274 18875 16831 19 274 17 275 15 272 11 272 16831 14870 15 273 13 285 11 272 8 276 14870 13087 12 273 6 287 6 263 7 293 13087 11498 6 295 2 212 4 217 6 312 11498 10078 3 326 8 185 7 200 4 308 10078 8809 2 288 7 186 5 199 4 285 8809 7675 4 264 5*196 2*222 5 296 7675 6667 4 255 3*216 2*261 7 311 6667 5775 4 253 3 267 4 315 7 323 5775 4982 4 246 3 295 5 322 6 333 4982 4269 4*247 4 303 6 325 6 345 4269 3636 3*261 4 308 7 326 6 353 3636 3105 3 270 5 310 7 327 6 356 3105 2697 3 274 5 313 7 327 5 353 2697 2415 3 275 5 313 7 328 5 348 2415 2243 3 278 5 314 7 327 4 345 2243 2145 3 277 5 315 6 328 3*333 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography