DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.2 - - 59.3 - - 67.4 - - 63.3 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 74 - - 96 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 637 - - 1498 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 2127 - - 2127 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 2737 - - 3598 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 148 - - 680 - - 941 - - 1408 - - 339 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 155 - - 220 - - 13 - - 3 W* B/S 2 - - 19 - - 18 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 124 - - 035 - - 002 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -936 - - -2501 - - -2638 - - -1710 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2143 - - 3673 - - 6100 - - 4783 - - 3854 sfcLCL ODpotential -9278 - - -8139 - - -8470 - - -8416 - - -10237 ODpotential blCL 11421 - - 10876 - - 12068 - - 10560 - - 12381 blCL maxRH 88 - - 76 - - 55 - - 54 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.2 - - 59.3 - - 67.4 - - 63.3 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 50.7 - - 48.3 - - 49.8 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 58.6 - - 66.5 - - 64.7 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.2 - - 49.6 - - 47.4 - - 49.3 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 74 - - 96 - - -15 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 637 - - 1498 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96334 21 256 27 271 23 272 30 260 37 268 96334 89229 16 269 21 260 21 268 23 260 20 283 89229 83763 16 302 16 255 21 257 16 265 14 292 83763 79205 17 298 12 245 18 263 11 285 12 275 79205 75261 13 277 14 234 19 270 16 291 13 296 75261 71759 9 264 13 236 16 267 22 274 19 307 71759 68591 12 286 14 264 17 277 23 276 22 297 68591 65680 22 279 21 275 23 281 25 277 23 280 65680 62977 26 266 25 275 25 276 26 281 24 275 62977 60351 28 270 26 278 29 269 30 281 27 274 60351 57610 33 274 28 276 31 268 31 274 30 277 57610 54770 41 274 35 276 35 281 33 274 34 277 54770 52063 48 275 43 278 41 286 39 279 35 283 52063 49635 50 273 45 277 46 280 44 282 39 289 49635 47462 52 277 44 284 45 278 39 286 36 288 47462 45493 53 281 45 289 41 284 38 293 34 295 45493 43700 53 288 46 290 37 294 34 292 32 286 43700 42051 49 293 45 291 34 298 27 300 20 290 42051 40524 44 302 39 297 35 308 28 315 24 359 40524 39101 43 303 37 293 35 310 30 315 26 344 39101 37758 41 306 33 296 29 302 17 305 10 321 37758 36461 36 299 17 315 21 300 17 054 11 112 36461 35149 24 298 16 338 13 326 27 053 27 083 35149 33790 18 326 18 343 22 342 22 011 22 067 33790 32386 20 344 16 347 19 337 28 003 22 033 32386 30922 22 349 16 359 21 349 31 013 25 026 30922 29386 25 351 19 010 28 360 31 022 25 026 29386 27776 23 352 21 006 26 006 29 026 25 027 27776 26093 19 349 20 356 19 003 22 021 27 032 26093 24337 20 340 17 340 14 357 18 358 28 035 24337 22510 23 343 18 333 15 347 18 346 24 034 22510 20608 26 340 22 344 19 347 17 341 15 019 20608 18626 24 346 22 358 21 344 16 341 17 359 18626 16601 26 009 24 007 21 344 15 347 18 352 16601 14650 27 021 24 010 20 353 12 359 15 338 14650 12878 25 031 20 020 16 004 10 015 12 328 12878 11301 21 037 15 034 12 015 7 017 11 332 11301 9896 18 037 13 044 9 020 8 008 8 346 9896 8643 15 037 12 047 8 031 9 017 9 358 8643 7527 15 039 11 048 9 051 7 039 10 014 7527 6536 15 043 12 049 10 065 7 081 8 029 6536 5661 15 045 11 051 8 079 7 094 5 071 5661 4886 13 046 10 058 7 092 7 073 6 097 4886 4192 11 041 9 066 4*093 8 050 6 078 4192 3578 10 033 7 071 2*055 9 024 8 044 3578 3066 8 030 4*079 2 035 10 006 10 020 3066 2672 5 036 2*121 2 032 10 001 11 009 2672 2402 2 062 1 125 2 031 9 001 8 004 2402 2237 1*134 1 127 2 029 7*002 3*350 2237 2144 2*191 1 125 2 028 5*002 2*299 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography