DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 76.4 - - 82.9 - - 81.4 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 208 - - 303 - - 43 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1825 - - 4193 - - 3396 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3020 - - 4918 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3925 - - 6293 - - 5496 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 56 - - 1719 - - 1838 - - 2264 - - 308 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 296 - - 443 - - 217 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 10 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 276 - - 307 - - 327 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8061 - - -10331 - - -9859 - - -10035 - - -10506 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10204 - - 14256 - - 16153 - - 15532 - - 12651 sfcLCL ODpotential -21354 - - -18952 - - -17165 - - -17465 - - -20850 ODpotential blCL 23497 - - 22877 - - 23458 - - 22961 - - 22994 blCL maxRH 39 - - 69 - - 63 - - 66 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 76.4 - - 82.9 - - 81.4 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 21.7 - - 19.0 - - 20.5 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 74.9 - - 80.8 - - 80.7 - - 72.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.7 - - 21.4 - - 18.8 - - 20.3 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 208 - - 303 - - 43 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1825 - - 4193 - - 3396 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 7 074 15 035 8 094 7 345 4 109 96287 89154 20 077 11 070 9 060 8 038 10 068 89154 83656 16 059 3 086 6 013 7 012 15 041 83656 79084 10 040 4 038 8 007 6 321 16 354 79084 75143 15 024 8 354 14 351 10 322 18 344 75143 71664 18 002 13 333 16 338 13 312 19 340 71664 68521 26 347 16 338 17 338 16 322 23 331 68521 65652 34 332 27 329 21 326 21 339 22 329 65652 63012 41 328 36 322 30 314 30 327 30 324 63012 60480 43 316 40 315 41 317 39 325 37 327 60480 57853 44 305 39 308 40 316 41 321 42 328 57853 55117 41 300 35 303 37 317 40 315 38 315 55117 52490 39 317 36 319 40 321 44 312 37 307 52490 50113 56 321 49 326 44 320 51 313 43 309 50113 47979 60 317 56 325 52 320 58 311 52 313 47979 46052 57 320 59 324 56 320 61 314 58 315 46052 44288 55 326 58 324 54 318 58 314 56 315 44288 42653 55 329 54 328 49 320 50 312 53 313 42653 41124 60 328 50 330 48 325 44 312 48 311 41124 39683 61 328 47 330 47 326 41 314 40 308 39683 38318 55 330 43 329 44 324 39 315 34 310 38318 36996 48 335 39 328 39 319 37 312 31 313 36996 35651 43 337 36 324 36 316 33 310 30 307 35651 34255 40 328 35 317 33 317 31 313 27 299 34255 32811 37 315 37 312 27 309 29 314 26 293 32811 31305 36 312 39 308 24 302 29 308 27 291 31305 29725 37 310 37 305 25 300 29 306 24 294 29725 28073 35 311 36 302 28 295 29 307 20 301 28073 26348 32 310 37 301 32 294 28 306 19 306 26348 24552 27 307 33 304 32 297 28 301 21 303 24552 22690 24 299 28 302 31 300 30 301 25 310 22690 20758 24 300 27 301 32 301 32 311 32 321 20758 18751 24 314 26 309 35 307 32 322 39 326 18751 16709 25 327 26 317 32 315 29 324 42 329 16709 14742 23 322 24 325 26 317 28 321 42 332 14742 12951 18 305 20 321 22 319 25 324 40 334 12951 11358 16 288 18 303 19 319 21 332 37 335 11358 9941 16 283 16 289 18 311 18 335 31 333 9941 8683 15 284 15 287 17 303 16 329 21 323 8683 7565 12 291 12 294 15 299 13 314 17 301 7565 6573 10 296 9 298 10*301 11 309 15 286 6573 5696 9 295 7 296 10*303 10*313 13 295 5696 4919 5 288 7 288 10 304 10*318 13 312 4919 4221 2 250 5*277 10 306 9 323 14 327 4221 3601 3 175 3*271 10 307 9 327 15 335 3601 3082 4 160 3 273 10 309 9 330 16 338 3082 2682 5 164 3 277 9 310 9 331 15 340 2682 2407 5 176 3 280 9 311 9 332 11 343 2407 2240 6*182 2 282 9 311 8 333 6 345 2240 2144 5*191 2 281 8 312 7 334 3*335 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography