DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.0 - - 99.1 - - 99.3 - - 89.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 439 - - 468 - - 185 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6476 - - 11327 - - 12680 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6866 - - 10845 - - 11270 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8576 - - 13427 - - 14780 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3303 - - 2813 - - 2400 - - 4724 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 579 - - 713 - - 544 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 33 - - 34 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 205 - - 275 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 15 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -14 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8157 - - -4315 - - -3151 - - -14230 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16734 - - 17743 - - 17932 - - 16376 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10691 - - -6329 - - -5686 - - -19332 ODpotential blCL - - - 19267 - - 19756 - - 20466 - - 21477 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 49 - - 52 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.0 - - 99.1 - - 99.3 - - 89.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.8 - - 26.9 - - 26.3 - - 24.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.2 - - 96.0 - - 97.6 - - 91.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 26.8 - - 26.2 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 439 - - 468 - - 185 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6476 - - 11327 - - 12680 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98428 7 070 12 136 7 271 16 008 98428 90938 7 080 14 087 4 050 10 055 90938 85170 8 092 12 061 11 066 11 098 85170 80415 12 093 8 081 15 086 14 093 80415 76347 15 085 9 081 18 087 15 085 76347 72781 9 082 12 066 20 078 21 093 72781 69582 13 118 13 078 13 066 18 080 69582 66655 14 145 5 121 8 036 13 055 66655 63938 16 136 9 201 5 312 10 356 63938 61301 5 115 7 192 5 267 8 307 61301 58551 5 242 5 204 6 240 8 250 58551 55682 14 244 11 243 10 252 12 251 55682 52921 22 246 21 245 19 256 18 260 52921 50427 28 258 25 260 23 268 23 270 50427 48194 32 267 32 264 32 269 29 276 48194 46179 32 268 36 262 36 272 39 278 46179 44347 31 265 33 260 34 274 38 275 44347 42667 27 255 29 259 28 272 31 274 42667 41113 24 244 25 250 24 264 26 274 41113 39658 26 249 20 238 20 256 22 279 39658 38287 26 250 21 249 20 253 19 279 38287 36962 25 255 22 254 20 252 17 274 36962 35618 23 262 22 261 20 258 17 271 35618 34225 20 267 21 271 20 264 18 273 34225 32785 18 279 18 281 18 272 19 280 32785 31284 14 268 17 286 18 285 18 286 31284 29710 17 237 14 276 17 304 15 305 29710 28068 18 210 12 232 12 295 12 325 28068 26365 17 227 12 233 8 279 5 316 26365 24596 15 254 8 250 5 278 0 082 24596 22758 7 265 2 311 2 179 3 157 22758 20845 4 211 6 121 8 147 7 178 20845 18855 13 192 7 174 10 120 16 138 18855 16836 24 166 15 173 10 158 23 129 16836 14893 25 147 18*163 9*170 16 130 14893 13118 18 143 13*167 6*182 6 142 13118 11533 13 157 9 181 4 192 3 276 11533 10116 9 155 8 184 3 243 8 298 10116 8847 3*135 5 199 4 267 12 302 8847 7712 1*315 3 228 5 281 14 304 7712 6700 2 314 3 250 6 289 16 302 6700 5802 3 314 3 265 7 293 17 299 5802 5004 3 316 3 278 7 294 19 295 5004 4286 4 316 3 286 8 296 20 291 4286 3648 4 317 3 293 8 297 20 287 3648 3113 4 319 3 297 8 297 20 286 3113 2701 4 320 3 302 8 298 18 286 2701 2417 4 321 3 302 8 298 15 285 2417 2244 4 321 3 304 8 298 11 283 2244 2145 4 321 3 305 7 298 7*280 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography