DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 94.4 - - - - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 412 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 45 - - 6537 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 6891 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2145 - - 8637 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1272 - - 2464 - - - - - 1293 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 570 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 27 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 310 - - - - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -9 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -409 - - -1795 - - - - - -302 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2554 - - 10432 - - - - - 2447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3661 - - -3186 - - - - - -4274 ODpotential blCL - - - 5806 - - 11823 - - - - - 6419 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1790 - - 10 - - - - - 3060 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 94.4 - - - - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.9 - - 55.8 - - - - - 74.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.8 - - 91.7 - - - - - 80.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.1 - - 55.6 - - - - - 73.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 412 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 45 - - 6537 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 74 - - - - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 10 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99105 30 114 41 113 47 094 99105 91636 42 102 43 101 33 092 91636 85905 47 096 44 102 27 093 85905 81113 40 092 37 100 28 091 81113 76989 31 091 28 082 32 093 76989 73377 21 098 23 076 32 095 73377 70130 20 107 17 085 28 082 70130 67147 22 102 19 108 27 063 67147 64391 20 106 22 111 19 065 64391 61749 21 100 16 104 14 085 61749 59023 18 085 12 126 16 087 59023 56219 22 088 22 115 19 081 56219 53558 34 071 28 090 22 098 53558 51157 34 064 32 081 34 098 51157 48995 30 058 35 079 41 090 48995 47019 27 058 35 074 45 085 47019 45190 27 053 32 062 43 079 45190 43487 28 042 32 052 34 065 43487 41894 28 036 34 046 30 056 41894 40401 27 031 33 038 29 046 40401 38995 25 030 31 029 26 036 38995 37634 27 027 29 021 25 029 37634 36251 26 020 29 025 26 030 36251 34816 25 009 28 029 25 029 34816 33333 24 007 26 020 22 031 33333 31789 15 013 23 016 20 030 31789 30169 12 029 17 037 21 028 30169 28478 8 040 18 048 21 026 28478 26717 8 032 14 035 18 023 26717 24891 10 026 13 044 16 021 24891 23001 9 033 9 095 14 030 23001 21041 9 047 7 145 11 027 21041 19008 7 050 6 201 10 013 19008 16944 6 040 4 252 10 007 16944 14962 6 004 5 313 8 357 14962 13161 7 323 4 326 6 352 13161 11557 10 283 5 241 6 342 11557 10127 11 289 7 232 8 316 10127 8850 11 291 5*239 10 307 8850 7709 9 281 4*248 9 305 7709 6693 7 272 3 271 7 302 6693 5793 6 260 3 296 4 300 5793 4995 4 233 4 315 1 343 4995 4278 5 186 4 321 4 065 4278 3642 8 161 5 327 6 082 3642 3109 12 146 5 330 8 119 3109 2699 12 138 5 333 9 141 2699 2417 10 131 5 334 7 142 2417 2244 8*128 5 335 6 139 2244 2145 6*128 5 336 4*136 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography