DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.9 - - 76.0 - - 82.9 - - 79.9 - - 66.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 187 - - 253 - - 24 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1594 - - 7032 - - 2839 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2815 - - 7037 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3694 - - 9132 - - 4939 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 75 - - 2396 - - 3321 - - 5972 - - 259 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 273 - - 496 - - 169 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 80 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 1 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 151 - - 291 - - 348 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -6 - - -10 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5493 - - -8486 - - -5453 - - -9296 - - -9652 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7636 - - 12180 - - 14586 - - 14236 - - 11796 sfcLCL ODpotential -14252 - - -11811 - - -8673 - - -12369 - - -15007 ODpotential blCL 16395 - - 15505 - - 17805 - - 17308 - - 17151 blCL maxRH 38 - - 46 - - 42 - - 37 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.9 - - 76.0 - - 82.9 - - 79.9 - - 66.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.1 - - 30.1 - - 25.6 - - 24.5 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 74.5 - - 81.0 - - 79.5 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 29.9 - - 25.4 - - 24.2 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 187 - - 253 - - 24 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1594 - - 7032 - - 2839 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96823 9 136 4 165 2 071 11 109 4 306 96823 89564 18 096 11 102 14 086 16 107 11 065 89564 84003 18 088 14 116 7 082 18 099 15 092 84003 79398 15 079 12 119 3 125 16 059 21 103 79398 75415 10 077 7 095 3 126 8 045 13 074 75415 71910 7 065 0 123 2 296 3 110 3 340 71910 68769 5 334 4 248 7 308 2 130 6 219 68769 65885 9 267 12 255 12 280 7 298 5 247 65885 63199 11 228 19 250 19 254 16 271 13 264 63199 60597 10 240 22 243 24 253 22 260 20 258 60597 57897 21 266 26 248 27 247 26 252 25 258 57897 55094 30 259 30 250 29 252 29 249 33 263 55094 52396 30 247 31 248 34 247 37 248 40 256 52396 49947 26 244 33 237 33 245 43 241 42 242 49947 47739 24 251 27 225 35 233 42 239 43 234 47739 45724 25 253 23 240 31 222 42 230 44 227 45724 43869 30 243 23 240 30 221 37 221 40 226 43869 42152 32 226 33 212 34 214 34 220 29 228 42152 40557 36 216 31 214 30 214 31 212 24 234 40557 39066 36 206 32 216 32 200 28 205 21 218 39066 37674 26 189 33 205 26 193 25 196 10 214 37674 36343 16 190 28 211 19 204 16 186 2 152 36343 35001 8 178 23 213 16 201 10 176 7 042 35001 33617 5 145 18 205 14 194 7 171 11 034 33617 32192 6 145 14 187 14 188 10 185 12 031 32192 30711 8 171 11 166 14 186 14 191 6 029 30711 29162 10 182 9 151 15 188 18 192 7 205 29162 27547 12 172 10 165 18 193 22 193 20 195 27547 25865 12 157 11 173 21 194 23 193 23 185 25865 24123 16 152 15 165 22 191 13 167 21 169 24123 22325 22 152 19 161 23 188 9 141 18 162 22325 20460 23 155 23 164 25 194 6 198 17 173 20460 18517 19 167 24 172 26 196 10 214 15 183 18517 16533 19 176 18 187 24 194 14 210 6 214 16533 14619 17 178 11 217 13 211 14 224 3 267 14619 12872 10 208 10 230 7 224 10 222 6 236 12872 11313 11 254 9 235 8 221 12 204 12 208 11313 9921 8 267 8 248 5*214 12 199 13 212 9921 8677 6 285 5 255 3*210 10 200 12 234 8677 7565 2 268 3 230 3 215 5 206 11 254 7565 6575 2 139 3 170 2 236 2 244 10 273 6575 5698 5 133 6 165 1 279 3*329 11 291 5698 4919 7 141 10 163 1 317 6*343 11 305 4919 4220 9 144 14*156 2 333 9 347 11 327 4220 3599 12 143 14*152 2 343 10 348 13 349 3599 3081 15 139 14 151 3 347 11 348 15 358 3081 2681 15 135 14 151 3 350 11 349 15 360 2681 2406 13 142 13 150 3 350 11 349 14 001 2406 2240 9 159 12 150 3 351 10 349 8 360 2240 2144 6*173 11 150 3 353 9 348 4*352 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography