DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 86.0 - - - - - 79.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 48 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4184 - - 1980 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4743 - - 2129 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6284 - - 4080 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2196 - - 4969 - - - - - 2829 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 390 - - 218 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 15 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 280 - - - - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 578 - - -1083 - - - - - -81 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5706 - - 5163 - - - - - 2227 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -518 - - -2678 - - - - - -1721 ODpotential blCL - - - 6802 - - 6758 - - - - - 3867 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 97 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1510 - - 2200 - - - - - 3600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.1 - - 86.0 - - - - - 79.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.1 - - 70.1 - - - - - 75.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 85.4 - - - - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.2 - - 68.9 - - - - - 75.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 48 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4184 - - 1980 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 86 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 16 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99169 45 113 39 114 38 081 99169 91651 38 105 41 107 31 094 91651 85881 32 105 39 102 32 101 85881 81115 31 106 36 098 36 093 81115 77024 27 094 34 095 36 087 77024 73417 22 098 26 093 31 094 73417 70167 25 112 18 102 21 102 70167 67184 29 106 18 117 19 100 67184 64421 27 099 23 121 18 081 64421 61771 18 091 19 126 7 063 61771 59029 14 074 16 116 12 092 59029 56219 20 078 18 087 14 092 56219 53563 22 067 19 073 15 096 53563 51163 18 052 18 065 22 076 51163 48993 18 040 18 064 26 057 48993 47011 19 023 20 052 25 050 47011 45184 18 022 19 037 24 052 45184 43488 17 010 19 014 26 046 43488 41904 23 352 20 353 29 035 41904 40416 24 338 17 353 30 028 40416 39009 17 357 16 015 28 027 39009 37645 16 032 17 023 26 029 37645 36257 16 033 17 016 22 020 36257 34818 17 014 16 008 17 022 34818 33332 16 352 14 002 17 044 33332 31784 13 349 10 339 11 034 31784 30164 9 356 6 351 6 044 30164 28473 8 025 7 027 3 092 28473 26711 8 037 5 339 2 340 26711 24880 2 046 4 288 6 316 24880 22984 1 208 2 279 7 296 22984 21021 3 152 1 056 8 298 21021 18986 10 132 1 031 11 310 18986 16920 8 136 4 191 14 297 16920 14938 7 168 8 190 16 266 14938 13138 10 203 10 199 14 250 13138 11534 11 206 10 200 12 247 11534 10108 9 206 10 203 12 254 10108 8835 7 215 8 212 12 256 8835 7698 7 224 7 223 12 253 7698 6686 6*225 5 241 10 250 6686 5789 6*223 4 255 6 242 5789 4993 5 217 4 266 3 193 4993 4277 4 210 3*271 5 123 4277 3641 3 205 3*276 6 118 3641 3109 3 198 3 278 6 123 3109 2699 3 190 3 282 5 127 2699 2416 3 186 3 283 5 133 2416 2244 2 183 2 284 4*136 2244 2146 2 181 2 285 3*139 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography