DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/28 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.5 - - 100.5 - - - - - 95.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 477 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4199 - - 7072 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4993 - - 7384 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6299 - - 9172 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1312 - - 1489 - - - - - 8491 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 471 - - 614 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 293 - - - - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1620 - - -1568 - - - - - -7689 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7919 - - 10741 - - - - - 9836 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3861 - - -3724 - - - - - -10575 ODpotential blCL - - - 10160 - - 12896 - - - - - 12721 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 71 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 1450 - - 990 - - - - - 890 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.5 - - 100.5 - - - - - 95.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.8 - - 60.4 - - - - - 59.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.0 - - 97.3 - - - - - 96.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 60.3 - - - - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 360 - - 477 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4199 - - 7072 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 0 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99028 39 104 41 103 42 085 99028 91507 38 108 37 098 33 094 91507 85761 30 104 33 106 31 099 85761 80981 31 096 32 105 27 105 80981 76843 37 091 34 097 25 111 76843 73207 35 092 32 102 32 102 73207 69965 26 116 25 100 35 094 69965 67033 17 128 17 102 26 081 67033 64325 15 120 14 105 14 061 64325 61680 28 111 18 132 12 133 61680 58946 34 113 29 132 28 130 58946 56173 21 133 25 133 29 118 56173 53557 12 175 15 146 19 117 53557 51191 19 176 24 151 21 166 51191 49051 30 151 33 148 33 166 49051 47091 36 143 33 142 34 158 47091 45276 39 142 31 140 31 151 45276 43583 38 137 30 142 29 149 43583 41992 34 128 26 138 27 152 41992 40491 30 124 21 134 27 154 40491 39072 24 120 13 134 24 155 39072 37702 20 108 5 101 19 154 37702 36313 18 094 9 087 17 150 36313 34875 18 084 15 099 17 158 34875 33393 16 093 17 108 16 164 33393 31851 17 114 16 127 17 162 31851 30239 15 146 17 136 23 162 30239 28559 16 160 20 138 24 163 28559 26809 19 162 27 154 24 165 26809 24990 20 159 27 160 21 166 24990 23107 21 152 24 156 19 165 23107 21159 23 148 23 151 16 157 21159 19138 25 140 27 147 15 159 19138 17082 24 132 26 150 17 163 17082 15100 19 120 15 164 20 157 15100 13293 10 151 10 152 18 151 13293 11679 4 086 10 109 12 159 11679 10238 5 044 5*081 3 248 10238 8951 2 027 4*310 7 294 8951 7800 5 013 5 300 8 301 7800 6774 8*000 6 296 9 303 6774 5863 7*350 7 293 9 305 5863 5053 6 333 7 291 9 308 5053 4323 6 319 8 291 9 311 4323 3675 6 312 8 289 9 315 3675 3131 5 306 8 288 9 317 3131 2712 5 302 8 288 8 321 2712 2423 5 299 7 287 7 324 2423 2247 5 298 7 287 6 327 2247 2146 5 298 7 287 4*328 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography