DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 69.4 - - 64.1 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 184 - - -14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1404 - - 5073 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2432 - - 5349 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3504 - - 7173 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2601 - - 1268 - - 5740 - - 445 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 230 - - 400 - - 8 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 282 - - 318 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 6 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4125 - - -3000 - - -7616 - - -5074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7629 - - 10174 - - 9761 - - 7218 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11378 - - -9230 - - -14996 - - -14119 ODpotential blCL - - - 14882 - - 16403 - - 17140 - - 16262 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 46 - - 42 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.9 - - 69.4 - - 64.1 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.1 - - 32.1 - - 28.9 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 67.9 - - 65.5 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 31.9 - - 28.6 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 124 - - 184 - - -14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1404 - - 5073 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96294 24 103 16 091 15 096 14 068 96294 89202 23 081 21 099 14 088 15 049 89202 83736 24 085 21 078 14 083 13 048 83736 79166 27 079 20 067 17 067 15 053 79166 75199 24 090 17 078 15 068 12 063 75199 71684 14 081 9 101 8 044 7 021 71684 68505 4 301 3 311 3 290 11 318 68505 65569 13 260 14 274 8 275 11 286 65569 62826 19 280 23 264 17 274 16 274 62826 60161 31 272 31 265 29 272 28 269 60161 57390 35 260 37 258 37 270 38 268 57390 54519 39 262 43 257 44 256 46 265 54519 51777 43 264 45 264 46 253 51 261 51777 49324 46 263 51 268 47 263 56 259 49324 47147 49 265 53 260 56 262 61 258 47147 45188 49 265 51 254 60 257 66 259 45188 43404 45 262 48 255 58 255 68 260 43404 41759 34 258 40 255 52 254 63 260 41759 40229 28 251 33 253 44 252 55 261 40229 38796 22 255 26 250 37 251 50 263 38796 37445 21 256 22 245 32 250 48 262 37445 36140 19 258 21 242 32 251 47 262 36140 34817 19 256 23 244 37 254 51 263 34817 33449 21 254 29 242 41 258 55 264 33449 32039 23 258 34 240 44 266 52 266 32039 30569 24 263 34 244 46 268 50 269 30569 29027 25 262 33 250 44 267 49 269 29027 27415 24 258 35 256 40 269 46 267 27415 25734 22 263 35 263 38 270 42 268 25734 23988 21 281 30 269 37 273 36 276 23988 22179 22 289 28 274 33 276 34 281 22179 20301 21 277 28 276 31 279 33 285 20301 18343 19 268 24 275 29 280 33 287 18343 16346 15 272 19 275 26 279 31 287 16346 14421 19 286 16 279 23 277 25 286 14421 12671 18 298 15 271 22 265 22 273 12671 11116 13 284 18 247 24 253 23 262 11116 9738 14 252 21 244 23 248 24 253 9738 8513 15 249 17 245 18 243 23 239 8513 7424 12 244 10*256 13 254 19 227 7424 6458 9 238 9*266 11 268 14 235 6458 5605 6 235 9 272 10 278 12 247 5605 4847 6 235 9 279 10 286 8 263 4847 4166 5 223 9 283 10 294 6 307 4166 3562 4*202 9 287 10 302 8 342 3562 3057 3*191 9 290 9 308 10 347 3057 2667 3 188 9 292 9 312 10 345 2667 2399 3 182 8 293 8 315 7 340 2399 2236 2 181 8 293 7*317 4 322 2236 2143 2 178 7 294 5*318 3*305 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography