DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 59.4 - - 57.9 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 49 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 43 - - 2877 - - 43 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 2780 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2143 - - 4977 - - 2143 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3880 - - 2708 - - 4528 - - 861 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 230 - - 8 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 15 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 246 - - 043 - - 098 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -468 - - 1056 - - -1227 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2611 - - 3921 - - 3370 - - 2143 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -970 - - -35 - - -2345 - - -2150 ODpotential blCL - - - 3113 - - 5012 - - 4488 - - 4293 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 83 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 110 - - 80 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 59.4 - - 57.9 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.7 - - 49.7 - - 50.5 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 58.9 - - 59.0 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 48.4 - - 49.3 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 49 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 43 - - 2877 - - 43 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 63 - - 33 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96500 17 272 15 260 18 290 11 312 96500 89352 7 299 11 285 11 297 17 321 89352 83865 8 297 11 261 10 281 16 316 83865 79298 7 292 8 278 10 292 14 303 79298 75365 4 319 8 257 6 257 13 303 75365 71897 4 003 4 351 2 276 9 270 71897 68764 10 262 10 301 9 255 13 262 68764 65886 15 252 10 261 15 210 15 230 65886 63193 29 251 21 266 17 268 17 257 63193 60558 36 230 35 247 33 267 27 269 60558 57802 33 236 33 245 35 259 32 266 57802 54945 35 252 28 251 32 256 32 260 54945 52215 36 259 32 263 33 266 33 267 52215 49757 40 264 37 263 38 264 37 271 49757 47557 46 262 39 272 37 276 32 282 47557 45556 50 264 48 281 43 295 36 308 45556 43713 57 266 56 280 50 290 44 301 43713 42003 59 265 57 275 55 280 50 288 42003 40406 63 263 56 268 55 274 49 282 40406 38905 66 266 57 268 55 274 48 290 38905 37489 67 265 58 268 54 276 49 293 37489 36125 65 266 58 269 52 279 43 291 36125 34744 67 269 57 273 51 278 42 296 34744 33324 69 270 57 271 45 279 42 299 33324 31880 71 266 55 269 42 286 35 306 31880 30404 60 265 50 269 36 284 20 323 30404 28878 32 265 30 272 20 303 11 002 28878 27291 22 283 20 275 17 314 13 008 27291 25633 22 277 20 272 16 299 15 347 25633 23904 27 285 21 288 17 291 18 329 23904 22107 27 292 23 280 21 291 20 313 22107 20235 22 292 24 283 24 288 23 308 20235 18280 22 280 23 282 24 287 25 316 18280 16287 24 279 22 286 20 296 20 324 16287 14368 23 281 20 295 13 313 16 322 14368 12626 22 289 20 300 11 325 11 315 12626 11081 17 287 19 305 11 323 7 311 11081 9712 11 259 14 308 11 321 4 330 9712 8495 7 232 8 308 9 317 6 295 8495 7413 10 224 6 232 8 300 9 279 7413 6451 12 227 7 221 7 275 10 281 6451 5600 14 227 7*222 6 260 10 282 5600 4844 14 229 5*229 5 261 8 287 4844 4164 12 231 3 242 3 270 7 295 4164 3561 10 234 3 249 1 291 4 313 3561 3056 8 237 2 254 1 345 2 354 3056 2667 6 239 2 258 1 021 3 042 2667 2399 5 240 2 262 1 033 3 064 2399 2236 5 242 2 264 2 037 2 083 2236 2143 4*241 2 266 1*043 2*098 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography