DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0704z - - 1004z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.8 - - 74.5 - - 79.7 - - 79.9 - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 373 - - 397 - - 160 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1353 - - 5690 - - 8415 - - 7837 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 6173 - - 8380 - - 7357 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 3453 - - 7790 - - 10515 - - 9937 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2178 - - 2379 - - 1599 - - 1774 - - 7829 Hgt.Variab. W* 129 - - 526 - - 611 - - 441 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 15 - - 15 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 260 - - 269 - - 269 - - 271 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 13 - - 7 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1824 - - -817 - - -343 - - -1581 - - -8136 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5278 - - 8607 - - 10858 - - 11519 - - 10281 sfcLCL ODpotential -4160 - - -1795 - - -572 - - -4622 - - -13427 ODpotential blCL 7613 - - 9585 - - 11087 - - 14559 - - 15571 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 71 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.8 - - 74.5 - - 79.7 - - 79.9 - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.0 - - 43.9 - - 39.1 - - 36.4 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.4 - - 72.1 - - 77.3 - - 78.5 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.0 - - 43.7 - - 39.0 - - 36.4 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 373 - - 397 - - 160 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1353 - - 5690 - - 8415 - - 7837 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 88 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96840 41 274 46 268 47 265 44 266 53 280 96840 89540 30 278 35 276 36 263 31 269 42 281 89540 83988 29 279 23 278 22 277 22 284 26 278 83988 79402 27 287 19 278 16 277 21 280 12 321 79402 75429 19 281 16 292 16 261 21 273 12 333 75429 71918 12 298 8 293 11 224 14 251 13 303 71918 68761 22 296 14 303 17 311 6 337 11 306 68761 65864 28 284 25 276 27 287 13 335 8 314 65864 63170 21 276 23 261 31 258 29 285 33 298 63170 60559 14 272 25 277 44 279 38 267 34 264 60559 57817 35 279 43 271 51 275 40 267 35 278 57817 54953 59 276 48 270 57 284 55 285 53 286 54953 52222 58 274 49 277 63 282 68 278 63 280 52222 49760 69 284 67 283 70 278 73 275 64 283 49760 47554 82 280 85 281 76 275 75 277 70 287 47554 45565 80 274 82 271 78 274 78 280 74 285 45565 43758 79 279 81 273 85 276 83 283 78 288 43758 42107 89 286 94 281 101 276 103 283 95 291 42107 40580 86 284 97 279 112 273 113 279 108 289 40580 39142 77 279 85 267 110 271 112 277 113 286 39142 37776 76 277 88 265 110 271 112 277 115 285 37776 36449 77 277 94 265 110 272 113 277 113 285 36449 35097 78 277 100 266 111 274 114 279 116 292 35097 33696 76 275 104 273 108 276 110 282 90 296 33696 32258 74 270 98 279 100 278 84 288 68 299 32258 30771 78 263 84 272 91 271 69 292 56 299 30771 29220 83 263 84 264 91 262 63 292 48 299 29220 27602 84 264 83 261 90 263 59 288 43 304 27602 25915 78 264 78 258 79 270 56 289 40 306 25915 24159 72 262 76 257 61 283 53 291 38 307 24159 22336 70 259 71 255 52 285 46 295 35 309 22336 20442 67 257 65 257 45 281 41 299 31 310 20442 18472 61 259 59 263 40 278 40 300 28 302 18472 16469 58 258 54 270 39 278 36 297 28 296 16469 14544 55 248 51 275 39 280 31 292 25 293 14544 12798 47 240 46 277 34 279 26 283 19 278 12798 11249 40 246 38 276 24*275 18*267 15 254 11249 9871 37 256 32 272 16*271 17*266 14 247 9871 8641 33 272 23*268 16 271 17 267 14 253 8641 7541 27 285 17*269 15 270 17 268 15 261 7541 6560 20 299 16 269 15 270 17 270 15 269 6560 5689 18 301 15 269 15 269 17 271 16 277 5689 4915 19 294 15 269 14 268 17 272 17 283 4915 4219 19 278 15 269 14 268 17 273 17 287 4219 3601 19*265 15 269 14 268 17 274 18 290 3601 3082 18*261 14 269 13 267 16 275 17 293 3082 2683 17 260 13 269 13 267 16 275 16 294 2683 2407 16 259 13 269 12 267 16 275 13 293 2407 2240 14 259 12 269 12 267 15 275 10 291 2240 2144 11 258 11 269 11 267 13 275 5*287 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography