DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.7 - - 96.0 - - 101.7 - - 101.3 - - 90.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 94 - - 417 - - 454 - - 178 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 591 - - 5695 - - 13451 - - 11091 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2128 - - 6223 - - 12579 - - 9980 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top 2691 - - 7795 - - 15551 - - 13191 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1333 - - 3646 - - 2581 - - 5807 - - 593 Hgt.Variab. W* 156 - - 546 - - 748 - - 514 - - 5 W* B/S 16 - - 24 - - 31 - - 31 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 070 - - 121 - - 006 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 9 - - 19 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -5 - - -13 - - 12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -13608 - - -8945 - - -1310 - - -4448 - - -14859 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16300 - - 16741 - - 16862 - - 17640 - - 17005 sfcLCL ODpotential -19656 - - -10458 - - -2236 - - -5039 - - -18068 ODpotential blCL 22347 - - 18253 - - 17787 - - 18230 - - 20213 blCL maxRH 37 - - 56 - - 58 - - 71 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 84.7 - - 96.0 - - 101.7 - - 101.3 - - 90.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.5 - - 28.8 - - 33.5 - - 29.8 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.6 - - 93.3 - - 98.7 - - 99.7 - - 93.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.3 - - 28.7 - - 33.5 - - 29.8 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 94 - - 417 - - 454 - - 178 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 591 - - 5695 - - 13451 - - 11091 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98382 9 077 13 125 16 146 6 196 8 105 98382 90913 13 107 10 108 16 119 10 121 11 088 90913 85161 23 092 12 095 16 115 12 111 15 090 85161 80397 21 091 20 107 12 102 16 102 17 099 80397 76316 15 085 24 099 17 098 15 079 25 098 76316 72737 9 085 13 101 18 084 17 084 22 080 72737 69530 13 115 11 101 13 077 22 075 15 082 69530 66609 22 103 11 109 6 084 13 037 15 068 66609 63908 4 065 7 105 7 075 6 021 7 040 63908 61293 7 249 4 322 10 030 9 064 6 065 61293 58546 7 250 5 238 7 317 7 045 8 045 58546 55664 6 290 4 177 7 257 4 301 8 329 55664 52896 13 289 2 298 5 242 5 274 11 304 52896 50398 21 274 13 282 9 286 10 310 12 314 50398 48163 26 273 17 284 10 290 12 306 13 309 48163 46146 28 272 19 289 12 303 9 314 11 325 46146 44307 29 273 22 281 12 304 9 340 13 342 44307 42620 26 280 18 271 12 311 8 349 15 353 42620 41059 24 286 12 280 10 292 7 349 17 007 41059 39604 21 270 14 276 10 279 7 325 20 017 39604 38237 18 270 14 265 13 267 7 311 19 015 38237 36919 17 279 12 276 14 267 10 298 13 005 36919 35582 16 284 11 292 10 273 10 294 10 354 35582 34197 15 282 11 291 8 283 9 304 10 357 34197 32765 12 275 11 271 9 275 7 322 8 352 32765 31273 10 286 11 285 12 278 6 323 6 342 31273 29710 10 314 12 315 11 296 7 322 6 351 29710 28079 13 340 10 341 7 322 9 339 8 017 28079 26378 13 338 8 355 8 002 9 010 9 052 26378 24607 14 329 8 351 8 031 7 032 11 052 24607 22771 12 322 10 000 9 060 6 059 10 079 22771 20869 3 250 5 008 7 080 10 118 18 133 20869 18899 9 152 10 187 9 150 19 138 20 131 18899 16889 11 194 16 178 16*149 19 139 16 127 16889 14944 14 171 20 158 15*130 15*135 12 129 14944 13164 16 117 15 147 11 123 10*130 9 120 13164 11571 14 102 15 149 10 122 8 125 5 102 11571 10146 13 081 16 126 9 123 5 117 3 059 10146 8872 14 072 12*108 7 123 2 062 4 358 8872 7733 14 066 9*096 3 121 4 355 7 332 7733 6717 15 059 7 091 0 090 6 342 11 326 6717 5816 15 053 5 082 1 320 8 337 13 324 5816 5016 14 049 4 069 2 316 9 335 14 325 5016 4295 12 045 3 049 3 318 10 333 16 325 4295 3654 8 036 3 034 4 316 10 333 16 325 3654 3117 6*003 3 025 4 318 11 332 16 325 3117 2703 3*351 3 015 4 317 11 332 16 325 2703 2418 1 335 3 012 4 317 10 332 13 322 2418 2245 1 336 3 012 4 318 10 332 10 317 2245 2145 1 337 3 011 4 318 9 332 5*312 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography