DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.5 - - 78.1 - - 85.0 - - 85.0 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 220 - - 317 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2359 - - 4521 - - 3678 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 3425 - - 5189 - - 2129 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 4459 - - 6621 - - 5778 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 1568 - - 1359 - - 2163 - - 229 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 329 - - 461 - - 225 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 12 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 202 - - 280 - - 314 - - 312 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7520 - - -9108 - - -7399 - - -8108 - - -8395 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9664 - - 13568 - - 14021 - - 13887 - - 10540 sfcLCL ODpotential -19588 - - -16744 - - -13086 - - -13285 - - -16515 ODpotential blCL 21731 - - 21203 - - 19707 - - 19063 - - 18659 blCL maxRH 42 - - 49 - - 43 - - 47 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.5 - - 78.1 - - 85.0 - - 85.0 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.0 - - 26.3 - - 30.8 - - 31.5 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.0 - - 76.5 - - 82.8 - - 84.5 - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.8 - - 26.2 - - 30.6 - - 31.3 - - 32.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 220 - - 317 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2359 - - 4521 - - 3678 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96467 1 149 8 338 1 289 4 240 5 303 96467 89307 2 017 6 039 3 210 2 197 6 350 89307 83776 5 348 2 286 5 297 4 058 10 007 83776 79168 4 332 3 242 4 315 3 008 13 330 79168 75193 12 353 2 315 6 001 5 330 14 334 75193 71692 17 342 10 354 10 001 12 322 17 319 71692 68569 25 334 24 354 24 005 21 359 20 352 68569 65732 27 338 27 337 32 354 31 354 32 358 65732 63111 23 312 28 329 27 339 29 342 30 346 63111 60590 32 315 35 309 29 350 33 352 32 346 60590 57962 40 305 43 310 51 318 40 332 41 336 57962 55222 34 302 45 311 51 307 40 319 43 323 55222 52593 40 310 47 309 50 307 52 311 48 316 52593 50213 48 310 53 304 52 303 57 304 53 309 50213 48070 53 303 51 297 52 298 59 299 59 301 48070 46127 49 301 47 295 50 296 57 294 60 298 46127 44345 43 305 41 301 45 299 50 293 55 296 44345 42694 42 312 41 311 40 308 44 297 47 291 42694 41154 46 316 44 317 43 317 42 301 41 289 41154 39706 48 314 46 316 44 317 42 301 39 290 39706 38336 47 310 47 314 43 312 43 300 39 291 38336 37009 44 309 48 312 43 309 43 301 39 292 37009 35659 41 311 48 309 43 308 43 303 39 294 35659 34259 41 312 48 305 41 306 42 305 39 295 34259 32812 41 311 48 303 42 302 42 306 39 296 32812 31304 41 310 46 300 43 299 43 304 40 299 31304 29723 41 309 43 298 45 297 44 302 44 302 29723 28072 41 308 41 296 45 296 44 300 47 306 28072 26353 42 306 40 296 43 296 42 302 47 307 26353 24566 42 308 41 299 44 302 42 307 46 308 24566 22715 42 311 42 304 43 307 42 311 45 314 22715 20793 41 313 41 308 42 308 42 312 42 319 20793 18795 39 316 39 311 41 309 42 314 40 323 18795 16760 39 321 38 315 41 313 41 318 41 329 16760 14797 40 327 38 322 40 319 41 323 44 335 14797 13008 40 332 40 328 40 324 41 329 43 337 13008 11414 37 332 39 331 38 327 41 331 38 335 11414 9995 35 330 35 331 35 328 40 330 35 333 9995 8731 32 330 31 328 31 327 34 327 33 332 8731 7606 25 331 27 326 26*324 28 321 31 332 7606 6607 18 326 18 327 16*317 19*310 26 332 6607 5724 14 319 12 321 12 314 15*308 21 329 5724 4941 12 317 9*304 12 313 14 309 16 320 4941 4236 9 315 6*292 11 314 14 311 14 314 4236 3612 5 318 4 277 11 314 13 312 14 316 3612 3089 2 293 3 276 11 314 13 314 14 322 3089 2686 2 232 3 275 10 314 12 315 14 327 2686 2409 4 222 3 275 10 315 12 316 12 328 2409 2240 5 203 2 275 10 315 11 316 7 322 2240 2144 5*202 2 277 9 315 9 316 4*310 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography