DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.5 - - 104.1 - - - - - 97.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 404 - - 468 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5902 - - 8181 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6375 - - 8273 - - - - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8002 - - 10281 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1668 - - 2461 - - - - - 7985 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 547 - - 640 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 22 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 279 - - - - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2113 - - -1968 - - - - - -8786 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10115 - - 12250 - - - - - 10933 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4592 - - -3237 - - - - - -11994 ODpotential blCL - - - 12594 - - 13518 - - - - - 14140 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 83 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 600 - - - - - 330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.5 - - 104.1 - - - - - 97.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.3 - - 57.4 - - - - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.7 - - 101.0 - - - - - 98.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 57.3 - - - - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 404 - - 468 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5902 - - 8181 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 31 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99096 46 093 37 109 37 095 99096 91562 47 107 38 112 33 095 91562 85781 35 105 40 111 27 097 85781 81010 24 092 36 102 30 095 81010 76925 28 092 26 095 32 090 76925 73332 34 102 19 097 28 085 73332 70085 33 111 23 112 24 091 70085 67122 29 104 27 109 25 101 67122 64417 25 092 25 102 22 099 64417 61823 21 093 18 105 16 077 61823 59112 21 114 21 114 12 099 59112 56305 20 127 30 109 24 115 56305 53649 22 120 33 101 30 105 53649 51273 34 110 33 103 31 098 51273 49141 39 108 35 107 32 103 49141 47195 37 109 32 109 36 107 47195 45394 25 106 27 112 37 105 45394 43714 22 101 25 115 36 103 43714 42135 21 105 24 119 36 103 42135 40642 22 117 24 121 36 105 40642 39229 23 120 22 122 34 108 39229 37861 20 123 21 119 32 109 37861 36470 17 138 20 118 31 106 36470 35028 16 135 19 122 31 106 35028 33538 15 130 15 116 31 111 33538 31986 13 131 12 100 30 117 31986 30362 11 129 3 080 24 119 30362 28670 10 125 3 055 18 121 28670 26913 10 141 7 089 14 127 26913 25092 10 171 7 109 10 137 25092 23206 10 171 8 122 9 157 23206 21251 12 131 8 137 8 174 21251 19218 12 101 7 126 5 162 19218 17147 13 110 6 108 7 114 17147 15152 13 137 5 126 10 117 15152 13334 11 150 8 165 10 134 13334 11712 8 165 7*186 7 140 11712 10263 6 174 4*254 3 067 10263 8970 2*214 5 268 6 356 8970 7814 5*281 5 273 8 334 7814 6783 8 296 5 277 9 317 6783 5869 8 299 6 280 12 303 5869 5057 8 301 6 283 13 298 5057 4326 8 303 6 285 14 294 4326 3677 8 305 6 286 15 292 3677 3132 8 307 6 287 15 290 3132 2713 8 308 6 290 15 289 2713 2423 7 309 5 290 13 287 2423 2247 7 310 5 291 10 287 2247 2146 7 311 5 292 7*285 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography