DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.6 - - 97.0 - - 95.0 - - 83.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 224 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3167 - - 10297 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3944 - - 9555 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5267 - - 12397 - - 2146 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7340 - - 2138 - - 12476 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 546 - - 26 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 42 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 082 - - 001 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -12 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5659 - - -1046 - - -11581 - - -8960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10927 - - 13444 - - 13728 - - 11105 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7551 - - -4894 - - -13767 - - -12406 ODpotential blCL - - - 12818 - - 17291 - - 15913 - - 14551 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 47 - - 52 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.6 - - 97.0 - - 95.0 - - 83.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 44.8 - - 41.9 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.1 - - 95.1 - - 95.0 - - 87.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 44.2 - - 41.1 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 224 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3167 - - 10297 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97869 22 242 26 275 24 288 16 281 97869 90565 11 259 12 252 17 281 16 299 90565 84908 7 306 3 260 13 245 18 298 84908 80194 3 348 3 003 4 242 9 312 80194 76149 4 029 1 325 4 353 10 358 76149 72610 7 023 4 019 7 024 9 007 72610 69431 8 061 8 016 11 036 9 032 69431 66526 16 080 8 023 11 029 12 028 66526 63847 19 062 8 045 9 022 12 013 63847 61259 19 030 12 033 10 012 14 003 61259 58573 23 359 20 011 17 006 16 352 58573 55802 33 344 29 354 25 355 21 348 55802 53159 41 336 36 344 34 342 28 337 53159 50769 48 332 42 339 36 337 30 331 50769 48605 50 329 45 334 37 337 31 326 48605 46623 52 324 48 329 40 337 35 328 46623 44792 56 322 52 326 46 332 41 329 44792 43089 59 319 56 323 49 326 45 327 43089 41493 63 318 59 321 52 323 48 325 41493 39994 64 315 61 317 54 319 48 322 39994 38582 63 314 60 313 54 314 49 321 38582 37221 62 312 59 311 53 310 51 317 37221 35841 63 310 60 309 53 309 51 312 35841 34416 62 309 60 308 53 309 49 311 34416 32949 60 310 59 310 52 310 48 314 32949 31429 54 314 55 315 49 315 47 317 31429 29842 46 317 48 321 44 318 44 319 29842 28185 38 320 40 321 38 320 39 323 28185 26461 33 326 31 324 32 323 32 329 26461 24672 28 334 23 332 26 321 24 327 24672 22823 23 337 18 337 16 325 13 308 22823 20904 19 349 14 340 11 330 6 321 20904 18908 16 354 12 348 8 358 8 028 18908 16879 11 006 6 014 2 062 2 152 16879 14932 3 338 0 297 4 175 13 183 14932 13156 2 296 1*217 5 147 11 171 13156 11566 1 253 1*167 5 136 9 149 11566 10144 2 078 1 130 5 135 8 132 10144 8870 4 100 2 097 4 128 7 119 8870 7730 4 106 3 090 3 117 6 102 7730 6714 5 102 3 088 2 093 6 080 6714 5813 6*112 3 079 1 052 6 058 5813 5012 8*126 3 075 2 022 6 036 5012 4291 9 135 3 070 2 008 8 019 4291 3651 9 137 3 065 3 002 10 011 3651 3115 9 136 3 062 3 000 11 009 3115 2701 9 137 3 058 3 359 11 008 2701 2417 8 137 3 056 4 359 10 011 2417 2244 8 136 3 056 3*360 6 017 2244 2145 7 136 3 057 3*001 3*007 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography