DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 91.5 - - - - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 490 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9388 - - 11522 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9237 - - 11034 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11488 - - 13622 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1803 - - 1744 - - - - - 5719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 662 - - 729 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 207 - - 234 - - - - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 7 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5086 - - -3901 - - - - - -14330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16575 - - 17524 - - - - - 16476 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8931 - - -6156 - - - - - -19455 ODpotential blCL - - - 20419 - - 19778 - - - - - 21600 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 57 - - - - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.5 - - 91.5 - - - - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.7 - - 20.1 - - - - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 88.5 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.5 - - 19.8 - - - - - 14.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 452 - - 490 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9388 - - 11522 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98071 1 219 8 107 5 346 98071 90674 14 137 8 176 4 058 90674 84988 10 120 12 164 4 109 84988 80259 4 065 8 155 8 115 80259 76168 4 146 2 198 7 084 76168 72548 4 180 3 331 1 194 72548 69284 8 245 6 281 3 250 69284 66289 11 258 11 241 2 222 66289 63498 12 237 16 234 8 278 63498 60785 10 248 16 231 18 265 60785 57963 16 276 15 246 22 262 57963 55048 25 271 23 274 21 286 55048 52280 27 268 29 278 28 295 52280 49804 31 280 30 289 31 292 49804 47596 35 284 35 291 34 291 47596 45602 41 291 40 282 35 292 45602 43782 47 286 41 282 34 292 43782 42103 47 282 45 286 32 295 42103 40541 46 281 47 283 27 301 40541 39080 38 275 42 283 21 313 39080 37707 29 278 33 278 18 309 37707 36390 29 281 28 278 22 298 36390 35062 31 280 25 283 29 284 35062 33690 30 277 26 289 24 274 33690 32277 27 276 25 292 22 279 32277 30806 23 285 22 289 20 283 30806 29265 21 289 19 284 18 283 29265 27654 17 283 17 278 18 285 27654 25970 17 269 15 274 17 289 25970 24218 17 257 15 262 15 295 24218 22404 13 251 16 252 12 280 22404 20524 12 247 11 248 8 280 20524 18571 11 246 12 249 6 253 18571 16584 13 244 12 235 10 225 16584 14671 16 227 14*211 13 189 14671 12928 17*217 11*214 12 181 12928 11372 12*210 10 216 10 191 11372 9980 9 204 10 219 7 219 9980 8734 8 204 9 227 8 257 8734 7619 8 204 9 234 9 271 7619 6625 7 205 8 240 11 277 6625 5743 6 207 8 245 12 280 5743 4959 5 207 8 249 14 280 4959 4252 5 210 8 253 15 281 4252 3624 4 211 8 255 15 281 3624 3098 4 212 8 257 15 281 3098 2692 4 215 8 258 15 281 2692 2412 4 214 8 259 13 280 2412 2242 3 215 8 259 9*279 2242 2145 3 215 7 259 6*276 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography