DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 83.6 - - 84.1 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 219 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1753 - - 3312 - - 45 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 4138 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3853 - - 5412 - - 2145 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1980 - - 2404 - - 6571 - - 232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 373 - - 44 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 17 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 145 - - 052 - - 029 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -9 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1470 - - -2360 - - -5425 - - -2757 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5323 - - 7773 - - 7570 - - 4902 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5827 - - -6981 - - -8997 - - -6561 ODpotential blCL - - - 9680 - - 12393 - - 11142 - - 8706 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 53 - - 66 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 160 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.7 - - 83.6 - - 84.1 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 56.7 - - 58.1 - - 60.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 82.0 - - 83.7 - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 56.1 - - 57.6 - - 59.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 219 - - 23 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1753 - - 3312 - - 45 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98023 7 237 18 219 14 256 14 303 98023 90700 6 042 7 142 5 182 1 307 90700 85053 2 107 9 073 13 147 7 021 85053 80373 12 122 5 080 6 094 8 033 80373 76352 13 145 7 092 9 053 8 075 76352 72817 12 157 6 102 9 050 9 082 72817 69626 9 129 10 132 5 073 7 097 69626 66691 7 111 5 152 4 071 10 079 66691 63992 6 119 4 202 1 067 5 021 63992 61415 5 098 0 148 0 198 2 298 61415 58748 10 344 4 302 9 276 11 289 58748 55984 23 319 12 322 12 290 13 286 55984 53339 35 312 25 312 22 308 21 302 53339 50947 40 302 34 305 30 301 30 302 50947 48785 43 297 39 300 36 303 35 306 48785 46801 46 294 42 300 41 305 42 307 46801 44963 46 295 44 302 46 307 46 308 44963 43247 46 300 45 305 48 309 50 311 43247 41638 45 303 47 309 48 311 54 316 41638 40123 45 306 48 313 47 315 55 319 40123 38691 45 308 47 315 46 318 53 321 38691 37308 43 306 43 316 44 317 48 322 37308 35910 36 312 39 320 39 319 41 323 35910 34469 33 322 38 327 33 329 34 328 34469 32991 33 324 35 329 31 337 31 337 32991 31463 29 322 31 327 31 337 28 349 31463 29870 24 325 30 331 28 340 25 360 29870 28208 25 332 28 336 22 349 22 005 28208 26474 29 337 29 339 18 015 20 015 26474 24671 30 342 25 350 19 030 18 031 24671 22805 29 355 22 012 17 026 17 033 22805 20870 26 359 19 011 16 026 17 030 20870 18857 28 025 18 034 21 037 21 038 18857 16809 31 036 23 041 25 044 24 045 16809 14840 29 051 24 044 27 050 26 051 14840 13050 26 065 23 052 26 055 24 062 13050 11459 19 078 21 064 23 064 23 081 11459 10045 16 088 20 075 19 081 23 093 10045 8784 15 097 17 077 16 093 23 098 8784 7657 15 104 14 082 13 093 21 101 7657 6653 14 108 11 087 11 089 20 103 6653 5764 13 113 8*084 9 075 19 105 5764 4974 10 119 6*077 8 062 18 107 4974 4263 8*130 4 058 7 047 18 109 4263 3632 6*143 4 049 7 040 16 110 3632 3103 5 146 4 043 6 035 13 109 3103 2695 4 146 4 041 6 033 10 103 2695 2414 4 146 4 041 6 032 8 088 2414 2243 4 146 4 039 6 031 6*081 2243 2145 3 146 3 040 5*029 4*085 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography