DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 72.2 - - 80.4 - - 80.4 - - 65.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 236 - - 288 - - 27 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2212 - - 5445 - - 4790 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 3342 - - 5863 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 4312 - - 7545 - - 6890 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 113 - - 1209 - - 1553 - - 2909 - - 253 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 329 - - 475 - - 206 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 19 - - 11 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 178 - - 129 - - 118 - - 082 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8199 - - -9926 - - -8626 - - -9501 - - -10957 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10343 - - 14238 - - 16171 - - 16392 - - 13101 sfcLCL ODpotential -19872 - - -17129 - - -14759 - - -15432 - - -19655 ODpotential blCL 22015 - - 21441 - - 22304 - - 22322 - - 21799 blCL maxRH 79 - - 79 - - 70 - - 67 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 72.2 - - 80.4 - - 80.4 - - 65.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.4 - - 17.4 - - 16.3 - - 15.4 - - 16.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.1 - - 70.6 - - 78.3 - - 79.9 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.3 - - 17.2 - - 15.9 - - 15.1 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 236 - - 288 - - 27 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2212 - - 5445 - - 4790 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96630 16 132 9 079 15 125 1 133 6 346 96630 89430 13 088 14 091 15 107 6 094 5 051 89430 83885 4 043 13 085 7 100 4 055 6 052 83885 79299 2 123 7 100 1 324 4 347 9 020 79299 75361 9 056 1 256 6 001 3 344 9 006 75361 71877 8 347 3 279 11 314 8 308 14 348 71877 68728 8 301 10 247 14 305 11 314 17 323 68728 65848 13 290 17 272 20 301 17 308 22 307 65848 63191 21 277 26 275 25 286 26 292 27 294 63191 60618 31 274 32 277 30 283 32 284 33 289 60618 57924 37 278 39 275 37 282 41 282 40 288 57924 55120 43 274 45 269 44 278 47 282 48 286 55120 52447 46 272 44 270 45 276 49 282 49 286 52447 50045 57 272 45 273 39 276 47 282 48 281 50045 47885 62 267 45 277 39 283 43 289 44 285 47885 45913 63 264 48 279 43 290 44 296 49 297 45913 44103 66 264 48 274 43 290 44 296 55 300 44103 42433 66 260 47 271 36 296 46 296 54 299 42433 40885 66 258 50 267 36 294 40 294 49 294 40885 39435 63 258 47 265 39 284 32 303 42 292 39435 38066 55 259 41 266 40 275 28 308 34 294 38066 36740 43 267 38 269 38 273 29 292 25 299 36740 35391 43 267 37 271 37 276 34 278 21 295 35391 33998 44 266 36 272 39 278 39 273 22 286 33998 32567 44 266 35 273 39 279 40 272 24 283 32567 31078 39 262 33 276 36 282 38 272 26 279 31078 29521 34 259 30 280 32 282 36 271 30 274 29521 27894 32 269 27 277 29 280 33 272 33 269 27894 26196 29 275 26 272 23 276 30 279 34 270 26196 24426 28 273 24 263 20 273 26 285 30 272 24426 22586 24 268 20 255 21 268 21 275 23 268 22586 20672 19 266 15 253 20 254 19 268 19 266 20672 18681 15 260 13 246 18 250 17 264 15 276 18681 16654 10 250 11 243 15 256 13 271 11 291 16654 14701 6 250 8 237 11 264 7 295 3 321 14701 12925 5 260 4 223 6 246 2 264 5 049 12925 11342 6 253 1 229 4 212 4 208 4 062 11342 9933 4 228 0 292 4 171 7 188 5 182 9933 8680 2 140 1 116 5 142 7 153 11 176 8680 7566 5 070 4 105 8*128 8*117 11 145 7566 6575 8 088 8 129 10*123 8*110 10 128 6575 5697 13 126 14 133 11 120 8 094 9 115 5697 4918 22 134 20*128 11 119 7 086 11 112 4918 4219 31 133 21*128 11 118 7 079 13 113 4219 3598 34 129 21 129 11 117 7 073 17 111 3598 3079 32 124 20 130 11 117 7 069 21 106 3079 2680 25 125 19 130 11 116 7 067 16 101 2680 2405 18 134 18 131 10 116 7 065 10 089 2405 2239 12*143 17 131 10 116 6 064 5 071 2239 2144 5*178 13 131 9 115 6 063 3*059 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography