DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 88.3 - - 88.8 - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 488 - - 195 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4833 - - 6777 - - 6703 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5578 - - 7153 - - 6623 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6933 - - 8877 - - 8803 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1435 - - 1282 - - 2005 - - 4979 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 535 - - 609 - - 447 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 37 - - 22 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 291 - - 301 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5928 - - -6301 - - -6746 - - -11193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12861 - - 15179 - - 15550 - - 13339 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12208 - - -11539 - - -11819 - - -17932 ODpotential blCL - - - 19141 - - 20416 - - 20622 - - 20077 blCL maxRH - - - 31 - - 29 - - 26 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.4 - - 88.3 - - 88.8 - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 28.4 - - 27.4 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.6 - - 85.3 - - 87.2 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 28.3 - - 27.3 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 488 - - 195 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4833 - - 6777 - - 6703 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98187 11 134 10 107 4 139 8 100 98187 90750 8 121 12 126 8 145 14 082 90750 85051 14 108 14 125 14 119 13 121 85051 80340 18 104 14 115 15 103 17 118 80340 76286 15 106 16 110 12 092 19 101 76286 72713 15 121 14 113 14 086 14 094 72713 69501 13 123 8 135 13 059 16 095 69501 66553 11 119 12 144 4 116 8 078 66553 63828 3 140 8 144 9 157 7 188 63828 61204 10 204 12 187 13 198 11 208 61204 58457 20 233 15 224 13 220 9 221 58457 55588 26 236 23 233 23 236 21 250 55588 52852 28 254 26 252 25 244 28 247 52852 50395 30 259 32 274 28 259 31 254 50395 48188 39 269 42 276 38 266 37 259 48188 46185 45 269 47 272 45 267 41 262 46185 44353 47 270 49 271 47 267 42 265 44353 42668 47 275 49 272 47 271 42 268 42668 41102 48 281 46 274 45 274 41 271 41102 39635 49 286 44 278 41 274 38 272 39635 38254 48 288 44 281 39 276 37 271 38254 36922 44 287 42 285 38 277 34 270 36922 35573 39 287 38 283 37 275 33 270 35573 34177 37 287 35 282 35 277 33 267 34177 32736 35 284 33 288 33 280 31 266 32736 31235 33 284 33 290 32 283 31 270 31235 29663 32 289 33 288 33 288 31 275 29663 28019 31 291 32 287 34 288 29 278 28019 26305 30 288 30 287 32 286 26 278 26305 24523 29 285 29 287 29 279 23 274 24523 22678 25 281 26 288 26 268 23 265 22678 20762 21 283 22 282 21 264 21 253 20762 18769 19 282 19 272 18 263 18 247 18769 16736 19 277 16 270 16 261 15 247 16736 14775 16 267 15 262 15 255 14 248 14775 12993 14 266 15 257 14 247 15 241 12993 11410 14 285 12 263 11 239 15 230 11410 10003 11 308 6*263 7*251 11 237 10003 8749 8 320 5*274 6*272 10 260 8749 7630 5*305 5 279 6 279 9 274 7630 6632 3*297 5 284 6 293 8 288 6632 5748 3 294 5 290 7 301 7 306 5748 4961 3 293 5 294 7 306 7 324 4961 4254 3 295 5 297 7 309 8 340 4254 3625 3 297 5 300 7 313 8 350 3625 3098 2 298 5 303 7 314 9 356 3098 2692 2 302 5 305 7 316 10 000 2692 2413 2 302 5 306 7 317 10 003 2413 2242 2 304 5 306 7 317 8*004 2242 2145 2 305 5 308 7 318 5*004 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography