DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 75.6 - - 70.4 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 63 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1170 - - 2303 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2128 - - 2128 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3270 - - 4403 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2644 - - 3471 - - 6242 - - 3401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 215 - - 5 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 092 - - 194 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7886 - - -7184 - - -7607 - - -4581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11156 - - 11588 - - 9752 - - 6725 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13748 - - -12369 - - -13144 - - -8129 ODpotential blCL - - - 17018 - - 16772 - - 15288 - - 10273 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 99 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.3 - - 75.6 - - 70.4 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 32.3 - - 35.4 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 74.9 - - 72.3 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 32.2 - - 35.2 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 63 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1170 - - 2303 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 97 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95725 34 338 34 331 35 333 40 305 95725 88762 32 349 29 329 36 333 41 338 88762 83419 28 351 31 338 37 347 42 352 83419 78974 26 001 30 353 29 004 35 357 78974 75124 27 013 27 005 22 019 23 001 75124 71687 25 009 21 010 19 013 17 359 71687 68549 22 340 19 003 13 344 15 338 68549 65663 21 316 17 344 11 338 12 335 65663 62992 22 296 18 317 13 327 11 330 62992 60402 18 304 18 298 17 289 17 292 60402 57701 30 281 24 278 30 268 25 269 57701 54907 34 248 35 252 35 249 31 254 54907 52265 35 239 38 238 40 242 37 249 52265 49901 23 236 34 239 37 232 34 241 49901 47798 32 256 45 246 40 237 47 239 47798 45910 51 249 71 239 70 234 68 232 45910 44179 51 249 61 239 73 227 77 219 44179 42562 50 244 49 235 67 220 63 217 42562 41037 46 240 44 233 57 216 65 219 41037 39591 43 243 42 241 50 216 61 218 39591 38219 40 246 41 237 55 223 56 219 38219 36887 39 247 34 229 55 225 47 221 36887 35529 37 245 35 237 33 220 44 220 35529 34121 33 243 38 241 20 210 42 219 34121 32666 34 239 35 237 19 207 38 213 32666 31149 33 229 29 227 26 208 39 205 31149 29558 27 224 25 208 34 212 36 205 29558 27892 12 206 26 208 37 218 34 218 27892 26156 25 177 30 219 34 216 27 215 26156 24353 26 176 31 211 29 211 26 201 24353 22489 23 205 28 191 22 211 28 199 22489 20560 31 205 22 197 18 191 28 209 20560 18560 30 195 29 204 26 195 26 216 18560 16531 29 194 32 203 38 203 26 206 16531 14585 27 184 32 204 39 206 32 193 14585 12820 24 183 29 202 30 201 34 188 12820 11252 19 178 29 196 24 192 31 188 11252 9857 13 173 24 191 21 192 30 189 9857 8615 8 198 16 184 18 191 26 188 8615 7509 9 216 12 178 14 183 20 186 7509 6526 9 222 9 176 11 174 15 183 6526 5658 9 231 6 171 9 173 13 183 5658 4889 9 237 5*159 9 174 12 186 4889 4198 8 240 4*131 7 173 11 188 4198 3585 7*232 3 098 7 175 11 187 3585 3072 4*200 3 087 6 179 10 184 3072 2677 4 183 3 079 5 184 10 178 2677 2404 4 181 3 076 4 186 9 172 2404 2238 4 181 3 073 4*190 7*167 2238 2144 3 179 3 072 3*194 4*162 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography