DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.1 - - 76.8 - - 85.1 - - 84.8 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 96 - - 444 - - 481 - - 163 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 646 - - 4100 - - 6355 - - 6639 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 4984 - - 6807 - - 6456 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2746 - - 6200 - - 8455 - - 8739 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2583 - - 1258 - - 1514 - - 2190 - - 694 Hgt.Variab. W* 161 - - 499 - - 593 - - 420 - - 4 W* B/S 15 - - 37 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 209 - - 263 - - 280 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -5 - - -4 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7114 - - -6940 - - -7886 - - -7820 - - -11785 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9860 - - 13140 - - 16342 - - 16560 - - 13931 sfcLCL ODpotential -14253 - - -12728 - - -12540 - - -13236 - - -19017 ODpotential blCL 16999 - - 18928 - - 20995 - - 21975 - - 21162 blCL maxRH 41 - - 79 - - 52 - - 83 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.1 - - 76.8 - - 85.1 - - 84.8 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.6 - - 26.5 - - 19.7 - - 18.5 - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.1 - - 74.2 - - 82.1 - - 83.3 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.6 - - 26.4 - - 19.6 - - 18.5 - - 20.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 96 - - 444 - - 481 - - 163 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 646 - - 4100 - - 6355 - - 6639 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 17 - - 0 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97704 11 258 19 264 24 281 24 280 27 302 97704 90295 19 301 11 310 12 266 17 307 20 311 90295 84606 18 340 13 337 7 340 14 330 15 338 84606 79914 13 355 12 006 8 029 6 345 14 006 79914 75887 10 360 10 005 17 036 10 045 6 027 75887 72335 6 032 2 337 9 359 14 053 11 049 72335 69113 9 027 8 071 5 087 4 007 9 341 69113 66180 9 328 4 275 5 039 2 147 5 244 66180 63486 20 255 17 275 18 291 8 292 9 267 63486 60857 37 227 36 236 35 258 27 262 25 260 60857 58094 42 245 41 243 45 250 40 261 36 256 58094 55228 58 266 57 261 62 257 66 265 61 268 55228 52499 77 258 73 254 76 251 86 255 79 259 52499 50035 78 253 75 253 78 250 81 248 80 254 50035 47838 82 263 93 261 86 258 83 256 79 255 47838 45870 106 266 104 258 105 260 110 261 105 261 45870 44087 130 260 116 254 117 257 125 256 126 254 44087 42438 130 252 103 267 108 256 126 254 130 251 42438 40890 120 257 113 268 103 257 115 256 126 252 40890 39424 118 264 115 265 103 259 104 260 116 256 39424 38039 117 264 109 260 107 262 104 264 107 261 38039 36701 114 261 109 257 113 265 108 265 104 264 36701 35348 106 262 110 257 109 264 107 266 97 262 35348 33948 92 265 98 261 105 260 99 264 92 258 33948 32502 74 264 86 264 99 260 92 259 91 257 32502 30998 64 260 72 263 78 263 84 255 87 259 30998 29429 61 260 63 261 69 262 79 254 74 259 29429 27794 60 261 61 260 58 260 65 258 65 259 27794 26091 62 261 61 260 53 260 54 261 54 258 26091 24322 62 263 58 260 51 260 49 261 47 259 24322 22490 60 263 54 259 48 259 45 258 47 260 22490 20587 56 264 51 257 44 257 44 251 44 256 20587 18608 49 265 46 257 41 253 43 249 44 255 18608 16594 39 265 39 259 37 249 38 250 40 254 16594 14657 30 262 31 256 33 247 32 244 33 248 14657 12896 27 258 26 250 30 244 28 238 28 241 12896 11330 26 253 24 247 28 241 24 236 23 233 11330 9938 22 252 21 245 23 238 15*238 17 224 9938 8695 16 259 17 242 13*240 12*248 13 237 8695 7585 14 262 11 235 10*246 11 252 13 253 7585 6595 11 256 5*217 9 250 10 268 13 262 6595 5717 3 237 3*208 8 259 9 282 13 270 5717 4937 3 053 3 206 8 265 9 290 13 277 4937 4235 5 063 3 207 8 268 9 296 12 285 4235 3612 5 061 2 207 8 272 9 301 11 293 3612 3089 5*056 2 212 8 275 9 304 10 301 3089 2687 3*056 2 212 7 277 9 306 9 308 2687 2410 2 044 2 214 7 279 9 307 8 312 2410 2241 1 040 2 214 7 279 9 307 6*311 2241 2145 1 041 1 217 6 280 8 308 4*307 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography