DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.9 - - 95.8 - - 92.7 - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 500 - - 193 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6929 - - 11233 - - 9444 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7249 - - 10805 - - 8749 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9029 - - 13333 - - 11544 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2546 - - 2234 - - 2557 - - 4886 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 601 - - 727 - - 500 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 25 - - 22 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 238 - - 239 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -13 - - -14 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7455 - - -3379 - - -4953 - - -12761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16485 - - 16713 - - 16498 - - 14906 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11710 - - -5621 - - -8926 - - -18573 ODpotential blCL - - - 20739 - - 18954 - - 20470 - - 20718 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 44 - - 31 - - 16 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.9 - - 95.8 - - 92.7 - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.8 - - 28.3 - - 26.5 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.1 - - 93.1 - - 91.4 - - 83.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.7 - - 28.2 - - 26.4 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 500 - - 193 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6929 - - 11233 - - 9444 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98161 4 245 5 220 8 331 4 335 98161 90731 12 150 5 210 6 320 5 012 90731 85008 9 097 8 102 0 340 4 020 85008 80252 7 068 4 093 1 035 5 345 80252 76154 4 095 4 338 5 029 8 007 76154 72549 9 108 3 246 7 330 12 009 72549 69316 5 045 2 159 3 355 7 015 69316 66370 7 012 4 326 4 283 9 331 66370 63663 18 323 7 002 4 007 5 279 63663 61055 15 296 12 286 6 342 2 283 61055 58311 9 246 21 277 19 274 14 276 58311 55445 23 246 34 265 32 268 29 270 55445 52709 32 255 40 257 41 264 39 266 52709 50247 42 260 45 256 47 259 45 262 50247 48040 52 258 49 261 50 258 50 260 48040 46035 57 256 56 260 55 258 55 257 46035 44200 57 254 59 256 59 257 59 255 44200 42510 56 252 61 252 61 256 63 256 42510 40941 56 252 61 252 64 254 70 256 40941 39474 57 255 61 254 65 254 73 253 39474 38092 60 257 64 257 65 255 72 251 38092 36757 64 256 67 256 65 256 69 252 36757 35405 67 253 66 254 64 255 67 253 35405 34005 65 254 64 253 63 253 66 253 34005 32562 53 256 57 253 62 253 62 253 32562 31065 42 252 37 250 53 254 48 253 31065 29506 33 251 29 249 34 248 30 250 29506 27885 26 257 25 251 25 242 23 246 27885 26196 22 265 23 250 22 246 18 247 26196 24433 19 265 22 249 23 247 18 252 24433 22601 20 248 22 246 22 247 18 254 22601 20694 24 228 21 238 20 245 16 254 20694 18710 26 219 17 231 15 236 15 249 18710 16692 27 219 17 238 11 230 10 236 16692 14751 26 228 26*244 16 239 10 229 14751 12985 30 236 27*236 20*235 12 239 12985 11410 30 239 26 235 21*235 16 242 11410 10005 25*237 26 235 21 236 18 239 10005 8749 19*236 26 236 22 236 18 232 8749 7627 19 237 26 237 22 238 18 228 7627 6629 18 239 26 238 23 239 18 229 6629 5744 18 241 26 239 23 240 19 233 5744 4959 18 243 26 240 23 240 20 236 4959 4252 17 244 25 240 23 241 21 239 4252 3624 17 246 25 241 23 241 21 242 3624 3098 17 247 24 241 23 241 21 243 3098 2692 16 248 23 242 22 241 19 244 2692 2412 15 248 23 242 22 242 16 243 2412 2242 15 248 21 242 20 241 13*241 2242 2145 13 248 18 242 17 242 7*239 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography