DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 66.7 - - 73.9 - - 74.4 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 26 - - 256 - - 440 - - 170 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2897 - - 4499 - - 7752 - - 8589 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 5103 - - 7901 - - 7993 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 4997 - - 6599 - - 9852 - - 10689 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1712 - - 1955 - - 2005 - - 1894 - - 9170 Hgt.Variab. W* 194 - - 436 - - 618 - - 466 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 14 - - 19 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 231 - - 241 - - 255 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 10 - - -8 - - -8 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1782 - - 565 - - 302 - - -24 - - -6998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3215 - - 6034 - - 9550 - - 10713 - - 9143 sfcLCL ODpotential 451 - - -376 - - -349 - - -882 - - -8387 ODpotential blCL 4546 - - 6975 - - 10201 - - 11571 - - 10531 blCL maxRH 100 - - 88 - - 72 - - 68 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 66.7 - - 73.9 - - 74.4 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.1 - - 47.5 - - 39.1 - - 34.4 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.7 - - 64.9 - - 71.5 - - 73.2 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.8 - - 46.6 - - 38.6 - - 34.1 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 26 - - 256 - - 440 - - 170 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2897 - - 4499 - - 7752 - - 8589 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 53 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98027 11 263 13 239 13 279 13 315 12 315 98027 90559 16 285 13 279 13 257 17 269 17 246 90559 84798 20 300 13 311 11 303 15 267 13 257 84798 80013 16 302 16 274 13 311 10 302 6 330 80013 75890 8 277 12 257 13 285 8 303 6 330 75890 72292 8 327 7 002 12 236 14 263 13 292 72292 69096 9 299 2 018 8 235 13 256 12 277 69096 66184 23 305 16 320 16 298 10 268 11 285 66184 63473 32 279 27 288 25 274 21 272 20 281 63473 60824 34 248 31 254 31 268 32 263 33 258 60824 58040 34 243 31 235 33 256 40 258 32 248 58040 55123 38 253 40 246 33 253 45 263 42 259 55123 52322 46 257 52 254 50 257 59 258 56 258 52322 49797 62 254 68 246 67 251 67 257 65 260 49797 47530 73 253 71 244 75 248 78 260 74 260 47530 45472 89 255 78 253 85 248 90 252 85 257 45472 43593 111 254 99 255 99 246 99 246 95 250 43593 41870 134 251 120 253 108 245 105 246 102 246 41870 40280 147 248 134 249 117 246 114 248 108 247 40280 38799 140 247 136 246 124 246 120 247 117 248 38799 37410 130 244 129 243 127 245 122 245 123 246 37410 36072 126 241 126 239 126 244 122 245 124 245 36072 34718 120 240 123 238 125 244 121 245 122 245 34718 33321 114 239 119 239 123 243 121 245 120 246 33321 31883 110 240 115 241 121 242 120 245 118 247 31883 30388 107 241 113 242 119 241 118 244 115 247 30388 28826 107 240 112 242 117 241 115 244 112 246 28826 27197 110 239 109 242 115 241 113 244 111 246 27197 25502 110 239 103 243 110 243 103 246 104 247 25502 23757 94 244 90 246 99 246 90 246 91 248 23757 21962 73 249 77 249 89 247 83 250 83 253 21962 20105 59 250 72 252 78 246 73 254 71 254 20105 18182 49 248 63 251 62 244 55 247 50 252 18182 16231 44 245 54 245 51 241 45 240 37 246 16231 14354 39 244 47 238 45 238 36 236 28 243 14354 12645 34 243 44 234 39 232 25 234 17 238 12645 11125 30 240 40 230 27*225 17*241 7 256 11125 9770 28 236 32 223 22*226 16*248 8 289 9770 8556 26 232 24 214 21 228 16 250 10 286 8556 7471 25 228 18*212 20 232 17 253 12 278 7471 6502 21 222 17*215 19 241 17 255 14 270 6502 5643 17*223 15 221 19 244 17 256 16 264 5643 4880 15*226 14 230 18 247 17 257 17 260 4880 4193 14 229 14 234 18 249 17 258 19 257 4193 3582 11 233 14 237 18 252 17 258 19 254 3582 3070 10 234 13 240 18 253 17 259 19 252 3070 2676 10 234 13 242 17 254 16 259 18 251 2676 2404 9 234 12 243 17 255 16 259 15 248 2404 2239 9 234 12 244 16 256 15 259 12*246 2239 2144 7 234 10 244 14 256 13 259 8*244 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography