DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 58.5 - - 62.4 - - 58.8 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 80 - - 108 - - -9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1177 - - 2039 - - 43 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 2127 - - 2884 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3277 - - 4139 - - 2143 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 252 - - 1310 - - 1270 - - 2291 - - 614 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 195 - - 254 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 199 - - 335 - - 001 - - 013 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -237 - - -328 - - -1160 - - -339 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2143 - - 3514 - - 4467 - - 3304 - - 2482 sfcLCL ODpotential -5958 - - -4115 - - -3972 - - -4790 - - -6119 ODpotential blCL 8101 - - 7392 - - 8111 - - 6933 - - 8262 blCL maxRH 83 - - 82 - - 78 - - 74 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 58.5 - - 62.4 - - 58.8 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.8 - - 50.6 - - 50.3 - - 51.7 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 57.8 - - 61.4 - - 59.7 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.6 - - 49.4 - - 49.3 - - 51.0 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 80 - - 108 - - -9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1177 - - 2039 - - 43 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 27 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96471 9 281 31 294 27 285 18 272 26 274 96471 89295 12 300 14 284 14 265 18 268 20 283 89295 83813 12 285 11 277 12 287 14 279 15 294 83813 79258 11 275 10 241 17 281 19 303 13 322 79258 75300 10 287 8 227 16 263 22 295 16 321 75300 71793 11 290 11 242 14 270 21 270 19 285 71793 68628 17 284 13 255 17 287 18 266 18 258 68628 65723 23 271 19 263 23 280 23 279 19 262 65723 63027 23 269 25 260 28 265 27 270 29 271 63027 60415 27 270 27 257 30 260 32 264 36 273 60415 57691 30 271 32 265 31 265 33 258 34 267 57691 54861 34 275 34 273 32 278 29 268 29 266 54861 52156 35 270 33 274 36 280 32 284 37 271 52156 49726 34 267 34 278 38 284 42 285 44 269 49726 47545 30 269 36 283 43 280 49 277 52 270 47545 45552 36 294 35 285 43 276 49 271 55 268 45552 43717 36 294 37 286 41 276 49 269 53 272 43717 42022 37 302 42 291 43 279 51 270 58 277 42022 40452 46 306 46 293 45 281 52 272 63 278 40452 38987 50 304 46 289 46 282 53 273 62 280 38987 37616 50 304 45 288 49 283 51 274 57 282 37616 36304 47 303 44 288 50 282 51 275 52 284 36304 34981 45 305 44 288 50 283 48 276 47 286 34981 33614 45 308 45 289 50 282 46 277 43 287 33614 32203 41 309 42 291 45 281 44 279 41 290 32203 30732 41 304 40 291 39 281 44 282 39 291 30732 29189 39 303 36 291 36 283 39 286 38 291 29189 27576 35 305 30 291 34 291 35 289 36 291 27576 25892 28 318 30 290 33 300 34 293 33 293 25892 24140 24 329 30 295 30 305 29 302 29 292 24140 22323 25 331 27 305 28 310 26 310 25 294 22323 20433 27 334 24 323 24 317 23 315 24 306 20433 18463 24 322 21 330 21 321 22 321 23 321 18463 16453 24 318 19 327 19 326 23 331 22 336 16453 14518 23 333 19 327 17 334 22 345 22 348 14518 12757 20 349 18 338 15 341 19 355 21 357 12757 11190 19 003 16 355 14 352 15 001 18 004 11190 9798 18 014 15 010 14 004 13 006 14 005 9798 8559 16 024 13 020 12 010 13 009 13 002 8559 7458 15 032 10 027 10 010 13 012 14 001 7458 6481 13 037 10 030 9 008 12 012 13 006 6481 5618 9 040 9 030 8 004 10 005 11 011 5618 4855 7 037 7 029 7 356 8 355 8 005 4855 4171 6 035 6 024 7*355 7 348 7 356 4171 3565 5 038 3*006 7*358 7 354 7 358 3565 3059 4 036 3*335 7 359 7 002 7 004 3059 2669 3 031 3 334 7 002 7 007 6 012 2669 2400 1 330 2 335 7 004 7 011 5 022 2400 2237 1*199 2 336 7 004 6 013 3 034 2237 2143 2*199 2 334 6 005 4*013 1*036 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography