DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 94.8 - - 93.5 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 291 - - 31 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3453 - - 8095 - - 6182 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4262 - - 7964 - - 4123 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5553 - - 10195 - - 8282 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4570 - - 1688 - - 4056 - - 235 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 384 - - 547 - - 242 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 23 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 241 - - 289 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -7 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5079 - - -3955 - - -6037 - - -9290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10632 - - 14150 - - 14320 - - 11436 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8960 - - -9477 - - -11092 - - -16626 ODpotential blCL - - - 14513 - - 19672 - - 19374 - - 18771 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 43 - - 70 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 94.8 - - 93.5 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 39.6 - - 37.7 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.3 - - 92.6 - - 92.9 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 39.1 - - 37.3 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 291 - - 31 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3453 - - 8095 - - 6182 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98536 14 118 14 142 12 149 5 132 98536 91072 12 127 15 104 13 107 12 129 91072 85324 10 136 16 113 13 105 15 103 85324 80576 7 138 14 118 12 109 9 082 80576 76508 9 113 14 099 14 102 9 094 76508 72925 13 100 9 069 13 079 13 085 72925 69692 13 107 6 112 8 046 13 056 69692 66740 10 086 7 155 2 088 11 030 66740 64030 4 059 5 179 2 317 8 013 64030 61435 5 185 9 170 5 269 3 298 61435 58738 7 268 1 164 6 250 5 273 58738 55931 29 271 22 274 24 268 22 278 55931 53273 51 251 50 260 47 263 43 261 53273 50905 49 279 57 273 54 271 59 269 50905 48778 78 287 75 281 70 278 69 270 48778 46824 86 284 77 275 76 267 71 266 46824 45012 88 278 79 272 78 265 71 265 45012 43321 91 270 85 269 80 264 75 263 43321 41733 92 268 86 265 80 262 79 261 41733 40234 87 269 82 263 78 262 73 260 40234 38819 63 275 74 261 71 261 68 260 38819 37451 51 274 62 261 62 258 62 259 37451 36062 51 272 49 264 55 252 56 258 36062 34623 49 276 46 261 45 244 49 256 34623 33139 36 275 34 257 40 239 45 251 33139 31599 33 253 29 247 37 231 37 245 31599 29992 34 250 30 248 36 233 36 247 29992 28315 30 247 27 250 33 236 34 250 28315 26570 28 244 29 249 29 241 32 252 26570 24760 27 242 29 252 26 256 27 253 24760 22889 25 239 25 250 24 268 21 257 22889 20945 21 244 21 248 18 266 18 262 20945 18926 16 260 18 255 14 261 14 251 18926 16875 13 262 12 248 10 241 12 239 16875 14906 11 250 9 227 12 228 16 238 14906 13118 12 234 10 224 16 219 19 234 13118 11527 12 228 11*230 13 209 19 220 11527 10107 9 216 7*226 11 210 17 206 10107 8838 6 210 6 225 9*217 12 212 8838 7703 4 211 5 230 6*235 9 229 7703 6691 4 196 5 234 5 265 7 249 6691 5794 4*182 4 242 5 284 6 267 5794 4997 3*179 4 250 5 294 4 290 4997 4280 3 177 4 257 5 300 5 321 4280 3643 3 176 4 265 6 304 6 341 3643 3110 3 174 3 269 6 306 8 347 3110 2699 2 171 3 274 6 308 9 351 2699 2415 2 170 3 276 6 308 8 354 2415 2243 2 167 3 276 6 309 6*356 2243 2145 2 165 3 276 5 309 3*346 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography