DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 77.4 - - 83.0 - - 77.7 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 176 - - 204 - - -14 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1741 - - 4476 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2895 - - 4955 - - 2128 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 3841 - - 6576 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 127 - - 2268 - - 1773 - - 4858 - - 225 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 276 - - 397 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 34 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 177 - - 232 - - 318 - - 351 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5832 - - -9066 - - -7769 - - -10975 - - -9076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7975 - - 12908 - - 14346 - - 13120 - - 11221 sfcLCL ODpotential -15994 - - -15565 - - -13109 - - -17191 - - -17594 ODpotential blCL 18137 - - 19406 - - 19685 - - 19336 - - 19738 blCL maxRH 32 - - 29 - - 29 - - 29 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 77.4 - - 83.0 - - 77.7 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.3 - - 28.4 - - 27.3 - - 27.8 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.9 - - 76.0 - - 81.3 - - 79.0 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.2 - - 28.2 - - 27.1 - - 27.6 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 176 - - 204 - - -14 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 1741 - - 4476 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96903 24 271 28 275 36 251 44 257 44 291 96903 89629 26 283 29 283 22 280 21 263 29 280 89629 84015 21 277 23 282 21 303 13 315 17 269 84015 79373 14 311 10 288 18 286 18 314 14 311 79373 75380 20 319 8 338 13 309 18 317 17 337 75380 71858 25 316 14 310 18 322 17 309 19 340 71858 68688 26 310 19 308 20 327 19 324 20 331 68688 65809 23 308 20 317 24 320 22 326 21 320 65809 63157 21 321 21 321 20 308 18 314 21 309 63157 60588 23 323 23 314 20 308 19 316 24 320 60588 57909 32 306 34 303 32 302 34 315 28 314 57909 55132 37 291 42 290 39 289 41 302 37 314 55132 52478 41 288 43 291 41 292 43 296 45 308 52478 50080 48 290 50 296 44 296 44 296 48 302 50080 47921 50 289 52 294 45 293 44 296 47 301 47921 45960 50 285 49 285 44 288 42 295 47 303 45960 44168 44 281 42 279 40 290 31 303 40 305 44168 42509 41 289 33 286 28 294 24 316 35 316 42509 40956 36 297 28 291 24 306 21 334 32 320 40956 39496 29 297 25 295 25 299 23 345 27 320 39496 38123 22 295 22 289 23 303 24 344 26 325 38123 36800 19 294 19 280 21 311 22 341 28 330 36800 35460 16 304 15 287 21 316 22 341 29 333 35460 34071 14 321 12 313 22 321 22 343 27 335 34071 32638 10 324 11 306 18 328 23 349 24 331 32638 31146 9 321 12 314 17 335 21 357 23 330 31146 29580 9 302 13 307 18 335 21 360 23 337 29580 27941 9 294 12 299 17 324 21 346 20 345 27941 26231 13 311 13 308 13 312 15 329 18 341 26231 24452 14 325 9 321 10 321 14 323 16 315 24452 22608 13 333 8 331 11 324 16 321 16 314 22608 20695 12 319 10 309 11 309 16 314 16 315 20695 18705 16 324 13 324 14 315 16 313 16 306 18705 16679 16 335 12 334 12 323 13 318 14 301 16679 14729 7 330 4 327 6 306 7 315 10 313 14729 12953 6 300 4 309 5 317 6 344 7 356 12953 11372 7 301 4 320 3 339 5 021 6 044 11372 9964 6 287 3 309 2 340 3 027 5 046 9964 8708 4 260 3 279 2 309 3 003 6 037 8708 7589 3 256 3 261 3 288 3 336 6 032 7589 6593 3 259 3 252 4*303 3 329 4 020 6593 5711 2 251 3 238 4*307 4 337 3 348 5711 4930 1 189 3 217 4 311 5 343 4 327 4930 4228 4 162 3*212 5 315 6 346 4 335 4228 3605 7 162 2*220 5 318 7 349 5 357 3605 3084 9 163 2 228 5 322 8 350 6 007 3084 2683 9 170 1 236 5 324 8 350 7 005 2683 2407 10 172 1 247 5 324 8 351 7 006 2407 2240 8 171 1 246 5 324 7*352 3 013 2240 2144 5*177 1 249 5 325 5*351 0*308 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography