DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 62.3 - - 61.7 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 66 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1986 - - 3901 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2949 - - 3742 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4086 - - 6001 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2795 - - 2776 - - 7107 - - 2347 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 264 - - 22 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 271 - - 306 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -386 - - 240 - - -3248 - - -63 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4472 - - 5761 - - 5392 - - 2206 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1502 - - -342 - - -4141 - - -1688 ODpotential blCL - - - 5588 - - 6343 - - 6285 - - 3831 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 98 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 150 - - 260 - - 530 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 62.3 - - 61.7 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 44.3 - - 45.3 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 61.5 - - 62.1 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 43.9 - - 44.5 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 133 - - 66 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1986 - - 3901 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 94 - - 73 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95742 73 258 76 265 76 274 74 259 95742 88687 49 262 59 265 65 269 61 277 88687 83295 37 266 51 267 51 265 51 282 83295 78789 36 274 42 278 38 271 44 284 78789 74872 34 279 35 288 29 276 37 280 74872 71410 27 277 25 282 28 290 27 275 71410 68282 20 274 20 264 32 287 18 266 68282 65404 20 278 22 256 31 273 23 285 65404 62739 25 276 26 257 31 267 32 281 62739 60168 26 266 29 259 34 269 37 275 60168 57480 28 256 30 257 34 263 41 259 57480 54657 30 256 32 262 33 249 42 247 54657 51921 34 256 39 267 32 256 40 262 51921 49430 38 256 40 263 40 275 39 267 49430 47170 40 257 40 268 48 275 39 275 47170 45095 39 262 43 270 47 271 45 279 45095 43177 41 266 42 264 41 269 49 278 43177 41396 40 260 36 261 40 275 53 280 41396 39742 34 255 28 272 41 275 57 276 39742 38211 29 262 31 284 37 268 57 276 38211 36793 26 270 31 285 31 287 57 295 36793 35443 20 288 29 275 45 310 56 302 35443 34088 22 274 33 281 56 310 51 296 34088 32696 35 246 32 283 59 305 53 296 32696 31273 51 233 38 263 55 292 64 300 31273 29809 58 218 41 258 45 280 71 299 29809 28293 61 213 38 248 36 285 62 295 28293 26724 60 213 39 235 39 299 41 287 26724 25095 58 215 42 231 45 306 37 283 25095 23402 53 217 47 240 44 306 39 286 23402 21647 52 237 44 257 38 300 39 285 21647 19826 42 265 32 272 34 287 37 278 19826 17936 20 269 23 275 32 278 30 272 17936 16014 11 273 18 274 25 273 23 266 16014 14162 8 292 13 275 21 266 24 270 14162 12475 8 267 9 269 21 269 25 268 12475 10971 10 256 11 258 20 270 24 272 10971 9632 11 251 13 257 17 269 24 282 9632 8435 9 260 12 261 15 276 22 289 8435 7367 8 273 11 265 14 283 21 294 7367 6416 6 276 8*269 13 289 21 299 6416 5572 4 273 7*270 13 294 20 304 5572 4824 3 275 6 271 13 296 19 307 4824 4150 3*275 5 272 12 299 17 309 4150 3551 2*266 4 271 12 301 15 306 3551 3050 2 252 4 272 12 302 11 294 3050 2664 1 241 3 273 11 303 9 273 2664 2398 1 230 3 273 10 304 7 252 2398 2236 1 222 3 272 9*305 6 243 2236 2143 1 225 3 273 7*306 4*240 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography