DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 102.6 - - 108.4 - - 107.3 - - 99.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 474 - - 192 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5875 - - 8737 - - 9165 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6342 - - 8734 - - 8525 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7975 - - 10837 - - 11265 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2517 - - 5340 - - 5074 - - 9013 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 541 - - 658 - - 494 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 13 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 318 - - 321 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4466 - - -3417 - - -2925 - - -10406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12441 - - 14255 - - 14191 - - 12553 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6467 - - -4434 - - -4106 - - -13004 ODpotential blCL - - - 14442 - - 15271 - - 15371 - - 15150 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 82 - - 70 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 660 - - 610 - - 520 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 102.6 - - 108.4 - - 107.3 - - 99.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 52.6 - - 51.9 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 99.9 - - 105.3 - - 105.8 - - 101.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 52.6 - - 51.9 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 474 - - 192 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5875 - - 8737 - - 9165 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 28 - - 0 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98941 40 119 36 103 29 105 28 092 98941 91496 39 100 38 117 29 109 33 094 91496 85794 37 094 36 110 33 105 34 099 85794 81057 38 102 34 101 34 096 32 097 81057 76969 33 100 31 097 30 092 30 094 76969 73361 24 104 25 102 26 100 24 089 73361 70100 23 105 22 124 19 107 18 087 70100 67114 19 093 23 117 15 122 11 092 67114 64363 14 099 17 096 13 107 11 113 64363 61716 10 127 11 087 13 085 16 101 61716 58981 14 137 5 124 8 070 13 085 58981 56168 18 117 11 139 4 054 8 056 56168 53512 18 067 17 095 7 075 9 058 53512 51139 17 038 20 055 14 063 16 069 51139 49004 19 023 23 044 17 061 21 065 49004 47046 21 032 25 042 23 049 25 051 47046 45233 25 042 27 047 26 041 27 042 45233 43543 27 047 29 051 28 044 28 046 43543 41958 26 045 30 049 29 048 28 054 41958 40466 26 036 27 051 29 052 28 058 40466 39056 26 031 27 045 29 051 25 060 39056 37695 25 035 29 038 30 049 26 059 37695 36315 23 046 27 048 28 054 25 059 36315 34884 24 058 23 063 24 067 22 071 34884 33404 22 061 21 066 22 072 21 084 33404 31862 21 062 19 067 20 068 21 092 31862 30250 18 061 18 074 18 071 17 077 30250 28568 15 067 17 080 16 080 13 065 28568 26817 13 078 15 080 17 087 12 070 26817 25003 15 084 15 079 17 088 12 080 25003 23127 18 091 17 078 16 077 15 076 23127 21186 19 097 16 093 17 078 16 072 21186 19173 19 106 15 116 17 094 19 084 19173 17126 16 109 12 108 13 101 19 084 17126 15148 6 053 12 088 10 085 14 064 15148 13339 8 018 9 063 9 049 9 036 13339 11723 6 026 7*006 9*360 8 307 11723 10279 8 352 8*327 10*335 11 296 10279 8986 7*337 8 322 10 332 12 299 8986 7830 6*299 9 318 10 328 12 306 7830 6798 6 291 9 317 11 323 13 312 6798 5882 6 287 9 315 11 320 13 317 5882 5068 6 286 10 316 11 317 13 322 5068 4335 5 284 10 315 11 315 13 324 4335 3683 5 285 10 315 11 314 13 327 3683 3136 5 284 10 315 11 314 13 329 3136 2715 5 284 10 316 11 313 12 331 2715 2424 4 285 9 316 11 313 10 333 2424 2248 4 284 9 315 11 313 8 332 2248 2146 4 285 8 315 9 312 4*325 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography