DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 54.6 - - 52.1 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 214 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1434 - - 4967 - - 43 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2423 - - 5356 - - 2126 - - 2126 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3534 - - 7067 - - 2143 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1742 - - 1820 - - 6351 - - 489 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 229 - - 419 - - 19 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 10 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 060 - - 039 - - 021 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1862 - - -580 - - -5044 - - -943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5396 - - 7647 - - 7187 - - 3086 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4514 - - -7146 - - -11421 - - -3862 ODpotential blCL - - - 8048 - - 14213 - - 13564 - - 6005 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 65 - - 53 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 54.6 - - 52.1 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 28.6 - - 28.3 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 53.1 - - 52.1 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 28.1 - - 28.1 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 214 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1434 - - 4967 - - 43 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96629 24 252 34 239 37 260 37 268 96629 89385 18 280 19 236 24 252 25 271 89385 83911 14 295 6 293 4 260 10 291 83911 79329 12 255 20 288 11 315 6 325 79329 75335 12 234 17 284 16 292 17 281 75335 71801 8 233 6 297 14 271 22 262 71801 68596 14 263 12 257 14 246 17 267 68596 65626 13 256 21 252 24 260 22 271 65626 62858 14 268 27 259 31 261 26 264 62858 60170 29 269 29 262 30 263 27 265 60170 57358 32 264 26 265 30 268 27 272 57358 54436 33 264 34 274 37 278 33 280 54436 51644 39 264 41 270 41 272 34 272 51644 49135 43 269 40 270 36 270 32 278 49135 46892 44 282 44 285 37 283 32 282 46892 44864 53 289 50 285 41 293 34 295 44864 43018 56 281 51 288 46 296 41 298 43018 41325 53 287 57 298 49 299 45 300 41325 39758 58 295 64 300 52 303 48 301 39758 38298 59 292 65 296 58 305 52 299 38298 36933 54 297 62 296 66 301 56 298 36933 35633 57 304 65 303 70 297 63 298 35633 34329 54 307 72 309 65 298 67 295 34329 32983 53 317 78 310 62 306 62 296 32983 31595 56 320 79 310 62 311 57 306 31595 30154 56 318 77 312 63 311 59 311 30154 28647 53 316 74 314 62 310 60 312 28647 27071 49 317 69 317 60 313 57 316 27071 25426 48 319 63 320 56 319 50 321 25426 23711 48 320 57 322 52 323 44 325 23711 21927 48 320 52 325 48 325 40 329 21927 20069 47 319 49 327 44 328 38 337 20069 18128 46 315 47 325 41 332 38 346 18128 16146 45 321 44 325 36 336 37 352 16146 14233 48 338 42 328 36 341 36 359 14233 12490 45 345 38 341 40 353 38 009 12490 10945 34 341 34 354 37 006 37 017 10945 9582 20 331 26 006 27 022 29 027 9582 8378 11 338 16 009 20 038 23 041 8378 7312 10 015 11*034 18 043 22 049 7312 6366 10 012 10*039 17 041 23 048 6366 5529 9 003 10 040 16 038 24 046 5529 4788 6 002 10 040 15 034 23 043 4788 4122 4*043 10 039 15 029 20 038 4122 3530 3*059 10 039 14 026 18 027 3530 3035 3 061 10 039 14 025 18 012 3035 2655 3 060 10 038 13 023 16 002 2655 2393 3 060 9 037 12 022 12 360 2393 2233 3 059 9 037 11*022 7*355 2233 2143 2 059 8 037 9*021 3*340 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography