DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 68.7 - - 66.2 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 153 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1166 - - 3705 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 4228 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3266 - - 5805 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2121 - - 1700 - - 5703 - - 425 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 218 - - 338 - - 11 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 38 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 155 - - 171 - - 337 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4260 - - -4404 - - -6935 - - -3424 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7526 - - 10210 - - 9080 - - 5567 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10319 - - -9389 - - -12042 - - -10532 ODpotential blCL - - - 13585 - - 15194 - - 14186 - - 12675 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 86 - - 51 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 68.7 - - 66.2 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 31.4 - - 34.0 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 67.3 - - 66.8 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 31.2 - - 33.8 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 153 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1166 - - 3705 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 44 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96489 29 253 26 265 30 270 31 277 96489 89247 14 281 21 260 24 294 18 283 89247 83750 10 297 15 270 15 276 17 317 83750 79199 11 292 15 305 8 321 21 322 79199 75276 7 259 12 289 12 341 11 320 75276 71827 6 331 3 253 8 297 7 304 71827 68711 14 303 9 311 9 266 8 273 68711 65846 20 243 18 262 15 267 17 246 65846 63183 25 247 27 239 26 246 26 257 63183 60579 37 254 38 246 35 241 31 247 60579 57833 49 249 48 252 43 246 40 237 57833 54957 59 246 59 252 56 248 49 239 54957 52190 67 244 67 244 64 242 57 239 52190 49685 71 249 71 245 65 241 63 244 49685 47445 77 247 76 248 72 248 76 245 47445 45430 78 246 85 248 87 245 85 241 45430 43605 84 246 93 244 93 238 91 241 43605 41942 92 243 97 241 95 236 103 236 41942 40411 96 243 97 241 100 238 107 231 40411 38979 94 243 97 242 98 236 101 235 38979 37630 89 243 95 241 94 233 105 241 37630 36325 84 243 91 241 91 234 102 241 36325 34994 80 244 86 239 85 237 99 244 34994 33613 76 245 76 240 77 239 95 246 33613 32186 73 246 70 246 75 242 88 245 32186 30698 69 247 67 245 72 242 74 242 30698 29138 66 248 70 246 70 239 66 238 29138 27507 64 247 71 242 69 239 61 237 27507 25807 60 243 65 239 65 237 59 235 25807 24043 54 239 59 235 61 232 56 232 24043 22219 50 236 54 227 56 231 49 238 22219 20332 50 236 49 224 49 232 40 245 20332 18378 44 240 41 233 38 231 32 238 18378 16389 33 246 31 241 26 229 27 227 16389 14471 25 252 21 245 18 229 22 218 14471 12724 21 249 17 244 17 228 20 213 12724 11167 20 235 19 236 19 225 19 211 11167 9781 19 225 21 231 21 216 20 209 9781 8547 16 224 17 226 19 203 21 197 8547 7452 12 216 11 216 14 204 19 186 7452 6481 9 200 5*200 7 210 11 197 6481 5623 8 185 3*182 4 219 6 198 5623 4861 7 168 2 176 2 289 4 157 4861 4177 7 155 2 172 3 324 3 119 4177 3569 6*154 1 166 3 332 4 051 3569 3061 5*155 1 163 4 335 6 023 3061 2669 4 155 1 158 4 335 9 011 2669 2400 4 154 1 148 4 336 8 009 2400 2237 3 153 1 145 4*336 4 014 2237 2143 3 153 1 139 4*337 2*006 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography