DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 78.7 - - 72.0 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 121 - - -9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 633 - - 1950 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 2842 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2733 - - 4050 - - 2145 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 746 - - 1291 - - 1919 - - 229 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 156 - - 253 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 302 - - 349 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7818 - - -8905 - - -9085 - - -6347 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10551 - - 12955 - - 11231 - - 8492 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15467 - - -15337 - - -16613 - - -15540 ODpotential blCL - - - 18200 - - 19387 - - 18758 - - 17684 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 29 - - 20 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 78.7 - - 72.0 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.3 - - 29.5 - - 30.9 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 77.5 - - 75.2 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.1 - - 29.2 - - 30.6 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 121 - - -9 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 633 - - 1950 - - 45 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96204 30 285 34 271 40 277 40 285 96204 89171 20 305 27 302 24 292 30 292 89171 83686 14 327 20 309 19 312 25 307 83686 79091 8 348 8 312 13 319 21 331 79091 75140 9 330 13 339 11 333 19 345 75140 71660 14 329 21 350 13 347 18 353 71660 68516 15 340 20 338 15 338 18 352 68516 65633 20 346 21 331 20 327 23 346 65633 62980 21 329 20 329 24 331 25 338 62980 60432 21 317 22 329 23 329 22 327 60432 57780 24 315 22 325 22 319 21 314 57780 55014 27 310 23 313 22 308 23 303 55014 52355 29 302 27 303 24 301 26 299 52355 49948 28 298 27 299 23 295 30 297 49948 47778 26 298 26 298 27 293 35 291 47778 45811 24 295 25 294 32 279 35 280 45811 44024 20 293 25 290 35 271 38 289 44024 42379 16 297 25 292 30 277 47 289 42379 40844 18 309 27 296 31 294 41 290 40844 39403 20 312 31 299 44 304 52 298 39403 38045 20 307 32 301 49 299 59 301 38045 36732 19 294 30 305 47 295 52 296 36732 35397 17 288 28 311 40 308 45 299 35397 34015 15 291 25 306 36 317 34 302 34015 32587 15 310 21 301 30 314 26 313 32587 31098 18 321 19 303 23 297 21 307 31098 29540 19 326 16 309 19 289 20 290 29540 27912 16 344 13 324 15 285 18 285 27912 26212 14 358 11 337 11 296 15 282 26212 24440 12 348 13 327 11 313 10 293 24440 22598 12 350 13 332 11 334 5 299 22598 20681 12 002 10 349 9 005 5 315 20681 18686 9 355 8 353 9 025 7 336 18686 16660 6 339 6 342 5 007 7 323 16660 14717 4 003 4 345 5 333 7 313 14717 12948 4 030 3 011 4 356 4 324 12948 11368 5 046 4 015 5 008 4 040 11368 9958 8 051 6 027 6 028 5 057 9958 8699 10 043 7 036 7 031 7 059 8699 7576 11 035 7 051 7 029 6 060 7576 6578 12 043 8 074 4 053 3 104 6578 5696 12 055 7 095 2 113 2 125 5696 4914 10 071 4 123 1 125 1 034 4914 4214 8 087 1*193 2 339 2 343 4214 3594 5 104 1*275 4 340 4 343 3594 3076 5*134 1 286 6 343 7 353 3076 2678 5*151 1 307 7 347 8 358 2678 2405 4 153 1 317 7 348 7 359 2405 2239 4 153 1 316 6*349 2*348 2239 2144 3 153 1 314 5*349 1*259 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography