DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 91.1 - - - - - 80.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 489 - - 509 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6583 - - 8124 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6998 - - 8266 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8683 - - 10224 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1374 - - 1552 - - - - - 4051 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 604 - - 657 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 205 - - - - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - -9 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5910 - - -5814 - - - - - -9113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14593 - - 16038 - - - - - 11258 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11926 - - -10153 - - - - - -14531 ODpotential blCL - - - 20609 - - 20377 - - - - - 16676 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 25 - - - - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.5 - - 91.1 - - - - - 80.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.2 - - 27.0 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 88.2 - - - - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 26.9 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 489 - - 509 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6583 - - 8124 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98458 12 130 12 142 17 071 98458 90998 15 126 12 143 6 346 90998 85274 14 146 13 107 1 135 85274 80542 21 115 14 101 11 124 80542 76460 18 096 14 095 20 092 76460 72852 14 086 8 079 19 086 72852 69578 11 104 11 118 12 073 69578 66572 6 104 11 114 5 084 66572 63799 9 206 6 230 7 234 63799 61116 17 218 22 222 19 229 61116 58314 7 232 18 207 18 219 58314 55410 20 288 20 279 16 272 55410 52660 51 269 43 274 28 287 52660 50213 48 264 48 265 53 264 50213 48040 35 274 41 258 56 253 48040 46070 36 294 33 264 46 256 46070 44259 49 298 34 283 53 270 44259 42577 58 296 44 295 61 277 42577 41001 57 292 56 297 68 280 41001 39519 53 286 62 293 72 282 39519 38123 49 277 61 288 77 283 38123 36778 46 269 56 280 81 283 36778 35417 47 261 46 272 81 283 35417 34013 48 254 41 265 67 280 34013 32568 48 251 42 261 50 270 32568 31067 49 250 44 257 43 255 31067 29496 49 252 42 253 42 249 29496 27858 46 255 39 248 41 244 27858 26154 42 254 36 242 40 237 26154 24387 38 246 35 241 37 236 24387 22560 37 244 35 242 33 237 22560 20663 36 245 35 242 28 235 20663 18689 34 241 35 239 27 232 18689 16676 31 234 33 232 26 227 16676 14732 27 226 29 225 26 219 14732 12963 23 210 24 209 24 206 12963 11387 22 195 21*193 23 187 11387 9983 20*195 19*196 25 171 9983 8730 19*197 19 198 25 168 8730 7613 19 198 19 201 24 175 7613 6616 18 199 18 204 22 182 6616 5734 18 200 18 206 19 196 5734 4950 18 201 18 208 18 212 4950 4245 18 202 18 210 18 227 4245 3619 17 203 18 212 19 238 3619 3095 17 204 18 213 19 245 3095 2691 16 204 17 214 18 249 2691 2412 15 204 17 214 16 251 2412 2242 15 205 16 214 13*252 2242 2145 13 204 14 214 9*252 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography