DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.6 - - 92.9 - - 91.8 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 260 - - 20 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4832 - - 6708 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5295 - - 6809 - - 2129 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6932 - - 8808 - - 2146 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2805 - - 1961 - - 8385 - - 401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 427 - - 496 - - 41 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 074 - - 020 - - 341 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2136 - - -2897 - - -9726 - - -7425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9068 - - 11705 - - 11873 - - 9570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5873 - - -6484 - - -12983 - - -12220 ODpotential blCL - - - 12805 - - 15292 - - 15129 - - 14365 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 61 - - 64 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.6 - - 92.9 - - 91.8 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.1 - - 48.7 - - 47.0 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.9 - - 90.9 - - 91.4 - - 86.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 48.2 - - 46.5 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 260 - - 20 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4832 - - 6708 - - 46 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98070 2 267 25 202 18 262 13 270 98070 90685 9 222 11 230 12 240 4 298 90685 85022 9 190 5 253 6 226 10 282 85022 80315 4 081 3 044 5 102 2 336 80315 76259 5 068 5 154 4 043 7 049 76259 72693 9 075 5 106 1 035 10 031 72693 69496 11 058 10 042 10 069 9 064 69496 66586 10 060 9 051 14 061 9 073 66586 63907 4 069 14 058 15 055 11 071 63907 61333 9 039 7 037 16 052 18 058 61333 58685 19 357 14 003 18 002 15 004 58685 55962 28 316 25 334 21 331 20 327 55962 53356 31 321 33 323 32 325 31 322 53356 50990 47 328 45 326 45 329 44 327 50990 48846 55 327 47 323 49 325 53 325 48846 46878 56 325 47 323 52 322 60 324 46878 45054 56 323 49 319 54 318 61 321 45054 43353 55 321 49 317 52 316 58 318 43353 41757 55 320 49 317 50 315 55 314 41757 40253 51 317 47 314 48 314 52 312 40253 38831 47 305 46 308 48 311 50 311 38831 37456 47 295 46 302 48 307 49 310 37456 36062 44 297 44 300 47 304 48 310 36062 34621 38 302 40 303 44 308 45 312 34621 33140 34 305 36 307 39 315 41 315 33140 31603 31 305 33 311 35 318 38 318 31603 29999 27 302 30 313 33 318 36 321 29999 28329 24 303 28 315 30 317 33 318 28329 26590 18 303 27 313 27 312 31 309 26590 24780 16 306 23 301 24 306 26 304 24780 22903 14 304 20 297 22 297 23 307 22903 20955 8 259 13 270 17 296 19 305 20955 18939 10 250 16 257 15 277 13 282 18939 16896 6 272 7 255 12 279 11 283 16896 14928 4 318 3 314 4 299 3 330 14928 13134 6 340 5 330 5 341 6 044 13134 11538 7 351 7 346 6 009 2 057 11538 10115 9 009 8 014 4 040 2 146 10115 8844 11 023 6*026 4 029 3 112 8844 7708 11*032 6*027 5 014 3 075 7708 6696 9*036 6 025 5 002 4 038 6696 5799 6 046 6 023 6 354 5 016 5799 5001 4 062 6 021 6 350 6 003 5001 4284 4 099 6 018 6 346 7 356 4284 3646 4 106 6 016 6 344 8 353 3646 3112 4 110 6 014 6 343 8 354 3112 2701 4 113 6 013 6 343 8 354 2701 2417 3 114 6 013 6 343 8 353 2417 2244 3 113 6 013 6*342 5 350 2244 2145 3 113 5 012 5*341 4*339 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography