DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 91.4 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 430 - - - - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8157 - - 14322 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8101 - - 13264 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10257 - - 16422 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5359 - - 1562 - - - - - 3581 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 578 - - 750 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 17 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 224 - - - - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - -10 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1840 - - 2596 - - - - - -9175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12098 - - 13826 - - - - - 11320 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2609 - - 1858 - - - - - -12282 ODpotential blCL - - - 12866 - - 14564 - - - - - 14427 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 82 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 150 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 91.4 - - - - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 37.4 - - - - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.2 - - 88.9 - - - - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 37.4 - - - - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 347 - - 430 - - - - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8157 - - 14322 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 30 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96915 46 273 45 271 52 278 96915 89561 31 272 38 263 39 284 89561 83995 24 267 31 269 32 297 83995 79414 17 274 23 277 25 306 79414 75468 6 296 15 264 17 291 75468 71972 12 336 11 285 14 290 71972 68815 24 308 18 297 17 302 68815 65924 25 292 24 289 14 298 65924 63230 30 296 24 282 24 300 63230 60601 39 288 30 282 37 297 60601 57855 44 289 38 282 50 287 57855 55022 50 288 50 286 55 282 55022 52320 52 280 56 282 56 283 52320 49873 52 285 52 285 57 296 49873 47684 70 296 66 299 81 292 47684 45740 71 290 74 286 72 283 45740 43992 68 300 61 276 66 288 43992 42375 86 315 61 299 83 299 42375 40855 89 314 73 310 82 302 40855 39417 86 312 71 307 79 302 39417 38054 78 308 66 303 67 300 38054 36734 67 304 61 299 59 291 36734 35390 60 297 60 294 55 282 35390 33994 62 287 59 288 56 277 33994 32549 67 284 58 286 58 274 32549 31041 70 287 62 288 60 277 31041 29461 69 293 64 292 62 283 29461 27813 59 297 56 291 68 288 27813 26099 45 290 50 285 66 287 26099 24320 38 277 51 281 57 279 24320 22478 34 270 47 277 51 269 22478 20567 34 268 39 263 49 262 20567 18589 30 255 25 245 40 253 18589 16589 21 230 18*213 29 233 16589 14670 15 211 17*211 24 218 14670 12922 14 219 17 212 20 211 12922 11361 13*219 17 212 20 211 11361 9965 14*222 17 222 21 215 9965 8716 15 223 17 223 22 219 8716 7600 15 223 18 226 23 224 7600 6605 15 224 18 228 24 227 6605 5724 14 226 18 230 25 230 5724 4942 14 227 18 232 26 233 4942 4239 14 228 18 233 27 237 4239 3615 14 229 18 234 27 240 3615 3092 13 231 18 235 25 242 3092 2689 13 231 17 235 23 243 2689 2411 12 232 17 235 18 244 2411 2242 12 232 16 236 14*243 2242 2145 10 232 14 236 8*241 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography