DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.2 - - 97.0 - - - - - 91.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 265 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4587 - - 5839 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5060 - - 6133 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6687 - - 7939 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1756 - - 2656 - - - - - 2039 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 474 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 302 - - - - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -2 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2827 - - -2549 - - - - - -8532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9515 - - 10488 - - - - - 10678 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4991 - - -4250 - - - - - -11878 ODpotential blCL - - - 11678 - - 12189 - - - - - 14024 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 94 - - - - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 370 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.2 - - 97.0 - - - - - 91.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 58.1 - - - - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.4 - - 94.8 - - - - - 93.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 58.0 - - - - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 265 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4587 - - 5839 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 76 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98976 30 099 32 119 19 084 98976 91446 32 098 31 102 29 086 91446 85657 26 111 27 101 31 089 85657 80905 17 120 19 103 28 101 80905 76848 14 116 12 118 21 101 76848 73255 14 125 14 141 13 101 73255 69987 14 114 18 127 10 100 69987 66991 11 107 16 110 13 103 66991 64246 12 127 14 102 14 116 64246 61626 11 125 15 118 13 141 61626 58931 6 138 14 120 13 138 58931 56168 11 181 8 154 7 115 56168 53553 19 169 15 182 6 143 53553 51206 14 164 18 178 11 169 51206 49088 9 172 15 175 12 179 49088 47141 6 193 13 174 11 192 47141 45334 9 186 11 187 11 196 45334 43646 10 185 12 186 10 190 43646 42057 10 224 8 211 13 197 42057 40557 12 236 9 237 13 232 40557 39137 15 218 13 227 11 257 39137 37764 16 214 15 220 8 270 37764 36368 16 217 15 218 6 272 36368 34921 15 223 14 226 5 198 34921 33427 15 225 13 231 11 182 33427 31874 19 211 11 225 15 185 31874 30253 19 200 13 204 16 191 30253 28564 16 188 15 194 18 199 28564 26807 12 185 15 192 19 198 26807 24983 11 172 14 168 17 195 24983 23096 9 145 16 154 12 182 23096 21141 10 125 15 136 14 157 21141 19115 12 114 14 117 16 136 19115 17056 13 110 15 114 14 126 17056 15072 10 101 13 112 15 110 15072 13265 7 090 8 089 15 104 13265 11651 8 068 8 071 12 091 11651 10212 10 050 8 067 7 050 10212 8926 8 042 5*051 8 350 8926 7778 5 011 4*329 9 337 7778 6754 3*311 6 308 9 332 6754 5846 4*292 6 304 9 323 5846 5038 4 288 7 301 10 310 5038 4311 4 286 7 299 10 297 4311 3666 5 285 7 297 12 285 3666 3125 5 286 7 296 13 278 3125 2708 5 286 7 295 12 273 2708 2420 5 287 7 295 11 270 2420 2246 5 286 7 294 9*267 2246 2146 4 286 6 295 5*265 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography