DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.4 - - 57.2 - - 64.4 - - 62.2 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 128 - - 219 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 42 - - 1079 - - 4119 - - 43 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 2127 - - 4720 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2142 - - 3179 - - 6219 - - 2143 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 179 - - 1220 - - 1624 - - 5265 - - 1143 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 212 - - 395 - - 13 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 221 - - 121 - - 117 - - 118 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3261 - - -6470 - - -5067 - - -8195 - - -5110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5404 - - 9649 - - 11287 - - 10338 - - 7253 sfcLCL ODpotential -13429 - - -12667 - - -10747 - - -13082 - - -11954 ODpotential blCL 15571 - - 15846 - - 16966 - - 15225 - - 14097 blCL maxRH 80 - - 89 - - 85 - - 86 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.4 - - 57.2 - - 64.4 - - 62.2 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.2 - - 22.8 - - 22.4 - - 24.6 - - 29.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.0 - - 56.1 - - 62.7 - - 62.3 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.9 - - 22.3 - - 22.1 - - 24.5 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 128 - - 219 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 42 - - 1079 - - 4119 - - 43 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 58 - - 42 - - 45 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95850 91 257 85 267 89 262 79 265 81 262 95850 88720 79 265 80 261 83 261 69 274 70 272 88720 83304 60 271 70 264 65 263 61 276 56 280 83304 78801 47 275 50 274 42 269 46 279 44 286 78801 74900 39 279 35 282 32 278 34 279 40 286 74900 71453 35 276 32 275 32 279 32 281 39 294 71453 68343 29 278 30 257 34 273 34 275 41 295 68343 65485 25 284 27 260 33 279 34 275 40 286 65485 62820 33 289 30 274 36 280 37 276 41 279 62820 60217 43 283 34 273 36 276 40 274 42 274 60217 57475 45 284 37 276 41 284 43 274 46 275 57475 54612 53 284 46 277 46 279 47 274 50 276 54612 51864 60 276 52 275 48 278 49 276 54 278 51864 49383 63 272 59 274 54 279 51 279 55 277 49383 47160 63 272 65 270 62 276 55 280 57 276 47160 45153 67 275 67 268 68 274 63 278 62 275 45153 43330 74 275 70 273 69 273 67 276 65 274 43330 41659 83 274 75 276 70 274 70 276 73 274 41659 40121 90 275 81 275 76 276 80 277 82 272 40121 38696 96 274 86 275 84 276 94 275 98 270 38696 37360 96 273 87 273 84 274 96 273 110 267 37360 36068 90 273 83 273 80 273 90 272 105 266 36068 34755 82 274 75 273 77 273 84 272 92 266 34755 33397 74 274 68 274 73 273 79 273 78 268 33397 31996 68 275 66 273 69 273 72 275 71 270 31996 30536 64 276 60 271 64 272 65 274 65 271 30536 29004 62 280 52 267 60 272 61 274 59 273 29004 27402 59 286 52 269 52 274 57 276 53 273 27402 25730 55 288 52 276 48 275 50 275 50 274 25730 23986 50 287 52 285 47 277 42 275 48 272 23986 22174 39 287 43 289 45 281 37 272 44 267 22174 20293 31 297 32 298 40 278 27 271 35 258 20293 18340 27 308 27 305 28 276 22 275 23 249 18340 16353 29 306 28 295 17 297 15 287 12 253 16353 14435 27 317 21 307 14 318 12 288 9 281 14435 12687 20 328 16 327 11 325 9 288 8 291 12687 11131 14 346 12 348 8 341 5 326 1 225 11131 9748 15 012 12 024 9 016 7 018 5 095 9748 8517 14 037 12 049 11 053 9 056 9 087 8517 7424 13 051 10 065 11 075 11 080 10 084 7424 6456 12 065 8 091 9*095 11 094 8 075 6456 5600 13 078 9 108 11*109 11 102 6 082 5600 4842 12 087 13 115 11 115 11 107 8 111 4842 4162 10 100 15 118 11 117 11 111 10 121 4162 3559 7 120 14*121 11 118 11 114 12 122 3559 3054 6 137 10*123 11 120 11 116 12 121 3054 2666 6 146 8 121 11 121 10 116 10 126 2666 2399 4 151 7 120 10 121 10 118 8 129 2399 2236 1 152 6 119 10 121 9 118 6 133 2236 2143 0*221 6 119 9 121 7*118 4*145 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography