DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 92.2 - - 92.7 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 445 - - 474 - - 182 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9512 - - 12265 - - 13544 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9332 - - 11627 - - 11947 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11612 - - 14365 - - 15644 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1959 - - 1336 - - 1542 - - 7994 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 662 - - 736 - - 554 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 24 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 187 - - 255 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - 67 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4230 - - -1892 - - -955 - - -12961 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15843 - - 16258 - - 16600 - - 15106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7473 - - -4061 - - -3237 - - -17612 ODpotential blCL - - - 19085 - - 18426 - - 18881 - - 19757 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 49 - - 67 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 92.2 - - 92.7 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.6 - - 26.7 - - 25.7 - - 23.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.1 - - 89.2 - - 91.0 - - 84.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.5 - - 26.6 - - 25.7 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 445 - - 474 - - 182 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9512 - - 12265 - - 13544 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98131 13 107 13 164 5 164 4 073 98131 90731 9 152 6 111 6 110 5 121 90731 85050 12 125 6 125 7 080 5 086 85050 80328 15 114 7 152 8 050 10 057 80328 76246 10 109 6 102 3 073 8 053 76246 72625 2 202 7 077 4 193 3 026 72625 69351 7 244 3 028 5 213 1 082 69351 66346 12 254 8 279 5 242 3 242 66346 63557 12 259 16 251 10 256 10 255 63557 60847 9 256 20 246 16 260 17 264 60847 58021 15 283 20 255 21 271 22 277 58021 55103 22 285 20 278 25 285 27 288 55103 52342 27 285 25 295 27 290 29 285 52342 49871 29 271 26 297 27 298 28 298 49871 47668 23 272 24 297 30 298 34 303 47668 45684 17 286 18 305 26 291 37 297 45684 43874 11 278 17 312 24 292 35 292 43874 42204 3 275 14 306 24 291 33 292 42204 40648 4 351 10 303 22 291 33 288 40648 39187 7 353 11 313 21 298 31 283 39187 37811 8 351 10 317 20 307 29 286 37811 36485 7 360 9 327 19 308 23 286 36485 35142 7 007 9 338 12 298 16 282 35142 33755 3 357 5 319 8 311 14 293 33755 32327 4 322 5 298 10 324 12 303 32327 30842 4 278 7 285 9 307 11 313 30842 29290 7 243 8 280 8 299 10 312 29290 27676 9 264 8 275 6 295 7 320 27676 25995 12 257 9 261 6 274 4 305 25995 24249 13 256 10 263 7 268 5 294 24249 22438 11 253 10 256 8 253 7 284 22438 20557 6 258 8 257 4 233 4 279 20557 18594 7 241 7 229 8 182 10 205 18594 16603 7 183 13 187 13*185 14 155 16603 14696 6 179 13*180 10*213 3 164 14696 12954 8*175 11*183 9 222 3 281 12954 11396 8*161 10 184 8 232 5 288 11396 10001 8 161 9 186 8 243 7 284 10001 8752 7 164 7 187 7 254 9 280 8752 7634 6 167 6 189 7 266 10 278 7634 6637 5 168 4 190 7 274 12 277 6637 5752 4 170 3 194 7 282 14 275 5752 4966 3 171 3 196 7 287 15 274 4966 4257 2 169 2 198 7 291 17 273 4257 3628 2 168 1 206 7 295 17 273 3628 3100 1 165 1 221 7 297 17 273 3100 2694 1 161 0 236 7 298 15 273 2694 2413 1 158 0 259 7 299 13 273 2413 2243 1 150 0 250 6 299 10*272 2243 2145 1 156 0 285 6 300 6*270 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography