DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/29 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 90.6 - - 102.6 - - 107.4 - - 106.4 - - 96.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 109 - - 440 - - 486 - - 205 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1119 - - 6016 - - 12349 - - 11223 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit 2129 - - 6498 - - 11709 - - 10198 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top 3219 - - 8116 - - 14449 - - 13323 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 916 - - 5900 - - 4956 - - 5877 - - 4901 Hgt.Variab. W* 202 - - 565 - - 743 - - 540 - - 3 W* B/S 8 - - 10 - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 302 - - 351 - - 344 - - 335 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -5 - - -8 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10483 - - -8798 - - -3858 - - -4848 - - -13808 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13703 - - 16915 - - 18307 - - 18172 - - 15955 sfcLCL ODpotential -14103 - - -10150 - - -4405 - - -5933 - - -16853 ODpotential blCL 17322 - - 18266 - - 18854 - - 19256 - - 18999 blCL maxRH 57 - - 68 - - 62 - - 55 - - 56 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 90.6 - - 102.6 - - 107.4 - - 106.4 - - 96.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.3 - - 34.7 - - 32.7 - - 32.4 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 89.6 - - 99.6 - - 104.4 - - 104.7 - - 99.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.2 - - 34.6 - - 32.6 - - 32.5 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 109 - - 440 - - 486 - - 205 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1119 - - 6016 - - 12349 - - 11223 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98834 32 096 32 104 31 108 29 094 38 095 98834 91388 29 100 25 094 25 098 27 101 30 096 91388 85638 23 092 20 094 23 101 25 096 30 088 85638 80867 23 087 23 101 23 100 24 102 29 085 80867 76761 20 093 25 107 21 098 21 095 22 083 76761 73144 21 083 25 099 19 100 20 097 19 075 73144 69888 18 088 22 087 20 100 18 088 21 077 69888 66915 16 097 18 087 19 098 16 093 20 076 66915 64179 15 095 15 078 19 102 16 095 12 091 64179 61547 16 085 15 077 16 076 17 082 13 120 61547 58831 13 036 10 070 11 051 17 044 12 056 58831 56048 7 002 5 053 4 007 8 354 13 021 56048 53397 11 344 4 000 4 340 7 297 9 338 53397 50989 15 325 14 317 15 323 17 309 15 322 50989 48812 21 329 19 320 18 316 19 309 17 309 48812 46822 25 326 22 319 21 314 20 309 19 304 46822 44981 25 310 23 304 23 308 23 308 20 304 44981 43262 26 295 25 295 26 302 25 309 21 303 43262 41650 28 292 25 291 26 296 27 307 24 305 41650 40132 27 292 23 290 24 294 29 303 28 307 40132 38700 29 289 22 291 22 293 28 297 30 308 38700 37322 28 283 21 290 22 290 27 294 30 305 37322 35934 26 279 21 292 21 289 23 292 25 295 35934 34513 22 281 20 288 20 287 20 291 21 281 34513 33059 19 285 16 288 16 286 16 289 20 271 33059 31550 11 292 12 295 8 302 7 294 14 268 31550 29976 10 302 10 304 6 322 2 331 4 248 29976 28334 9 316 6 343 2 019 2 080 3 172 28334 26621 6 340 5 035 5 105 4 122 5 146 26621 24837 7 062 6 064 6 101 8 123 8 129 24837 22988 9 066 11 087 12 119 15 125 18 125 22988 21073 11 130 10 115 15 121 18 128 25 121 21073 19081 16 141 10 191 11 152 15 125 23 120 19081 17047 14 140 8 200 9 144 13 119 19 116 17047 15078 6 130 3 066 6*110 9*111 14 107 15078 13278 2 043 7 055 5*038 4*051 9 086 13278 11670 4 005 8 040 5 021 7 353 7 043 11670 10232 7 014 9 028 8 353 8 344 10 358 10232 8945 10 017 11*022 9 347 10 337 13 343 8945 7794 12 008 12*011 10 342 11 332 16 334 7794 6768 13 003 12 006 11 339 12 330 17 329 6768 5858 14 006 11 352 11 337 13 329 18 327 5858 5049 13 009 10 347 12 336 14 328 19 325 5049 4320 11 004 10 342 12 335 14 328 20 324 4320 3672 9*356 10 340 12 335 14 328 20 324 3672 3129 6*318 9 338 12 335 14 328 20 323 3129 2710 5 300 9 337 12 334 14 328 18 323 2710 2422 4 296 9 337 12 334 14 328 15 322 2422 2246 4 295 8 336 11 334 13 328 11*321 2246 2146 4 295 8 337 10 335 12 328 6*318 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography