DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.3 - - 100.6 - - - - - 89.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 485 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6168 - - 10199 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6623 - - 9938 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8268 - - 12299 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2125 - - 2363 - - - - - 3682 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 697 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 224 - - - - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 18 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7784 - - -5294 - - - - - -12731 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16053 - - 17594 - - - - - 14877 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11405 - - -7399 - - - - - -16848 ODpotential blCL - - - 19673 - - 19698 - - - - - 18993 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 72 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.3 - - 100.6 - - - - - 89.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 29.2 - - - - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.5 - - 97.7 - - - - - 90.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 29.1 - - - - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 485 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6168 - - 10199 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98571 17 125 25 136 18 099 98571 91073 19 103 24 110 23 088 91073 85342 27 092 26 100 22 081 85342 80605 24 092 25 093 22 097 80605 76541 19 119 17 093 22 105 76541 72962 17 119 14 102 18 095 72962 69725 20 136 14 120 13 096 69725 66756 16 134 10 154 13 120 66756 64027 6 184 17 186 3 126 64027 61405 7 195 13 176 9 202 61405 58687 13 222 14 214 24 238 58687 55879 31 233 29 222 34 223 55879 53191 47 230 39 234 40 215 53191 50748 55 234 54 245 42 230 50748 48541 69 237 71 239 60 243 48541 46539 79 234 80 231 79 238 46539 44700 84 231 84 227 87 233 44700 42988 86 232 85 231 89 234 42988 41385 83 234 83 233 86 235 41385 39882 78 238 77 234 80 234 39882 38473 75 241 70 236 76 235 38473 37120 73 243 68 236 78 236 37120 35754 66 241 66 236 78 235 35754 34343 56 239 61 235 69 233 34343 32889 49 241 52 234 54 233 32889 31379 44 238 43 231 52 232 31379 29800 42 233 40 229 52 227 29800 28155 31 229 35 227 44 225 28155 26445 23 219 29 221 36 221 26445 24668 23 211 29 210 34 219 24668 22827 23 208 27 204 29 213 22827 20919 25 208 25 205 30 201 20919 18933 34 205 28 201 37 195 18933 16906 41 200 33 195 37 193 16906 14945 40 195 32 192 32 196 14945 13151 37 198 22*191 28 193 13151 11549 32 203 16*198 24 186 11549 10119 25 208 15 200 18 180 10119 8842 18*209 13 209 13 179 8842 7703 14*209 12 222 10 186 7703 6689 11 212 12 228 8 208 6689 5792 9 216 12 234 9 241 5792 4995 7 225 12 239 12 266 4995 4279 6 231 12 243 14 273 4279 3643 5 238 11 246 16 276 3643 3110 5 243 11 248 17 277 3110 2700 4 249 11 250 17 278 2700 2416 4 251 11 251 14 279 2416 2244 4 253 11 252 11 280 2244 2145 4 255 10 252 7*280 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography