DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 57.4 - - 63.2 - - 64.4 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 52 - - 215 - - 72 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2161 - - 2952 - - 1882 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2127 - - 3859 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 4261 - - 5052 - - 3982 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1940 - - 2161 - - 2750 - - 3246 - - 462 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 208 - - 355 - - 212 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 286 - - 293 - - 305 - - 122 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 7 - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 965 - - -90 - - -1424 - - -1364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2143 - - 3296 - - 5142 - - 5406 - - 3508 sfcLCL ODpotential -525 - - 188 - - -874 - - -2609 - - -4492 ODpotential blCL 2668 - - 4073 - - 5926 - - 6591 - - 6636 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 92 - - 79 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 90 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 57.4 - - 63.2 - - 64.4 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.9 - - 50.3 - - 48.0 - - 48.1 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 56.8 - - 61.5 - - 63.5 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.5 - - 49.4 - - 47.4 - - 47.8 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 52 - - 215 - - 72 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 2161 - - 2952 - - 1882 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 101 - - 68 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96769 26 285 37 295 31 286 25 289 36 286 96769 89413 25 279 25 287 24 274 28 278 25 297 89413 83847 22 282 19 266 26 269 32 282 28 307 83847 79295 20 285 16 266 24 272 28 275 30 288 79295 75387 19 298 16 258 19 269 23 269 22 265 75387 71920 27 285 16 279 17 271 22 262 20 272 71920 68768 33 266 27 276 27 274 31 266 30 286 68768 65868 33 253 33 265 30 262 36 263 33 274 65868 63174 34 241 32 259 32 258 36 256 29 265 63174 60550 35 242 31 250 35 257 33 255 26 262 60550 57793 33 244 34 244 38 250 33 256 29 269 57793 54923 32 248 30 251 30 260 33 255 36 264 54923 52184 34 261 32 266 32 270 31 256 33 258 52184 49709 34 269 31 262 33 257 26 263 32 272 49709 47478 29 281 30 263 32 261 32 283 34 283 47478 45455 28 291 33 271 38 270 42 284 36 303 45455 43610 31 300 33 280 38 275 36 286 50 303 43610 41922 29 285 33 284 30 291 36 306 41 301 41922 40371 22 265 24 290 27 307 33 322 26 339 40371 38935 10 292 19 319 32 355 32 355 47 005 38935 37592 14 321 24 355 52 017 56 017 56 004 37592 36296 13 331 48 018 66 021 63 016 58 007 36296 34979 20 030 67 021 72 021 57 013 61 011 34979 33611 35 030 71 021 67 018 56 015 60 012 33611 32197 34 035 67 028 61 016 62 015 58 010 32197 30724 32 048 65 029 61 014 67 014 56 007 30724 29178 28 101 59 021 56 015 66 016 55 005 29178 27562 34 114 45 024 52 023 57 017 50 003 27562 25872 29 100 39 024 46 023 49 012 42 359 25872 24114 25 086 34 018 33 013 44 009 38 355 24114 22291 20 089 30 011 32 009 40 006 36 352 22291 20396 20 113 28 012 29 012 37 004 34 351 20396 18424 15 111 23 024 26 355 30 006 35 351 18424 16420 11 071 20 030 29 350 25 014 32 352 16420 14490 16 049 16 035 19 355 22 003 27 355 14490 12735 14 057 16 038 12 000 18 356 23 006 12735 11177 10 077 11 036 13 357 14 002 18 021 11177 9794 10 089 9 037 14 354 13 005 14 014 9794 8565 10 098 3 026 12 339 13 344 13 352 8565 7471 8 118 5 281 11 324 13 319 13 329 7471 6499 7 135 7 288 10 320 10 301 14 313 6499 5637 5 149 10 295 9*314 9 292 13 302 5637 4872 3 162 12*294 6*304 5 276 12 294 4872 4184 1 351 13*293 6 303 2*253 9 278 4184 3574 3 319 13 293 5 303 2*149 5 251 3574 3064 7 302 13 293 5 305 3 125 4 194 3064 2672 9 287 12 294 4 307 3 119 5 146 2672 2402 8 286 12 294 4 310 3 116 7 131 2402 2238 7 285 11 294 4 310 3 115 6*130 2238 2144 6*286 9 295 3 310 3 113 5*136 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography