DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.2 - - 102.7 - - 101.5 - - 94.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 466 - - 203 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6292 - - 9908 - - 8955 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6754 - - 9678 - - 8404 - - 2130 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8392 - - 12008 - - 11055 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2569 - - 2511 - - 3561 - - 8842 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 590 - - 681 - - 500 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 327 - - 332 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 7 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2812 - - -2778 - - -2780 - - -10151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11204 - - 14786 - - 13836 - - 12298 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4667 - - -4900 - - -4186 - - -12829 ODpotential blCL - - - 13059 - - 16908 - - 15241 - - 14975 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 96 - - 75 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 0 - - 120 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.2 - - 102.7 - - 101.5 - - 94.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.1 - - 44.4 - - 47.6 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.2 - - 99.7 - - 99.8 - - 96.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 44.4 - - 47.6 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 466 - - 203 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6292 - - 9908 - - 8955 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 84 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98473 24 110 26 107 17 105 22 101 98473 91006 24 113 19 104 18 090 20 079 91006 85306 17 115 20 122 20 100 18 085 85306 80578 16 109 16 095 17 098 22 090 80578 76493 16 093 16 086 18 075 17 078 76493 72902 14 115 19 077 19 077 19 079 72902 69667 13 101 8 120 12 057 21 069 69667 66711 11 093 12 131 4 067 8 064 66711 63999 12 126 6 178 1 014 9 088 63999 61385 11 082 9 191 9 230 7 044 61385 58674 11 249 16 186 11 227 11 251 58674 55885 16 223 13 197 18 217 18 241 55885 53231 29 265 23 256 23 253 28 252 53231 50848 46 250 47 253 44 251 42 253 50848 48711 54 238 59 245 55 242 50 246 48711 46759 52 238 60 241 58 239 55 242 46759 44951 51 243 56 243 59 238 57 240 44951 43263 47 242 50 244 58 238 57 240 43263 41679 41 238 45 239 56 239 57 240 41679 40186 37 239 41 235 53 239 57 240 40186 38777 35 241 39 234 48 237 54 239 38777 37417 34 239 37 234 42 235 51 237 37417 36039 33 235 34 238 38 235 48 234 36039 34614 32 230 29 243 36 238 44 235 34614 33143 30 228 26 236 34 239 39 238 33143 31613 27 231 25 232 27 239 34 240 31613 30017 21 238 24 245 25 235 25 241 30017 28357 12 248 18 247 21 224 22 239 28357 26627 4 226 15 222 18 224 21 241 26627 24832 3 216 12 215 18 231 18 237 24832 22974 9 211 8 220 13 233 13 230 22974 21043 12 226 8 192 10 214 7 228 21043 19035 12 212 14 181 12 185 9 204 19035 16993 11 189 14 184 11 181 11 164 16993 15027 5 087 6 154 5 179 11 149 15027 13233 11 061 5*048 4 037 9 152 13233 11633 10 045 8*346 9*344 2 119 11633 10202 11 014 11 330 10*336 6 355 10202 8922 12*347 11 327 10 333 8 344 8922 7777 12*338 12 326 11 332 10 337 7777 6755 12 331 12 324 11 332 11 335 6755 5847 12 328 12 324 11 331 12 333 5847 5041 12 327 12 324 11 330 13 332 5041 4315 12 325 12 324 11 330 14 331 4315 3668 12 325 12 325 11 330 14 330 3668 3127 11 325 12 325 11 330 15 329 3127 2710 11 325 12 325 11 330 14 329 2710 2421 11 325 12 325 11 331 12 329 2421 2246 10 325 11 326 10 330 9 328 2246 2146 10 325 10 326 9 330 5*326 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography