DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 88.4 - - 87.5 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 500 - - 188 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6277 - - 8523 - - 8229 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6735 - - 8582 - - 7779 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8377 - - 10623 - - 10329 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1282 - - 1614 - - 2245 - - 6708 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 586 - - 663 - - 473 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 12 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 233 - - 241 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -5 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3021 - - -3683 - - -4290 - - -10855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11399 - - 14307 - - 14619 - - 13001 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7228 - - -6773 - - -7663 - - -16055 ODpotential blCL - - - 15605 - - 17396 - - 17992 - - 18200 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 81 - - 85 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.3 - - 88.4 - - 87.5 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.4 - - 32.2 - - 30.0 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.5 - - 85.4 - - 86.1 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 32.1 - - 30.0 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 500 - - 188 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6277 - - 8523 - - 8229 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 24 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98084 5 059 8 189 18 297 14 351 98084 90664 3 349 6 075 4 223 8 285 90664 84975 1 221 1 337 6 074 1 023 84975 80268 4 168 3 244 4 049 8 076 80268 76198 11 180 3 168 1 318 6 074 76198 72595 12 176 7 191 1 281 4 011 72595 69344 8 156 10 213 4 231 6 293 69344 66357 8 114 9 204 11 194 9 247 66357 63581 6 260 9 229 15 207 15 232 63581 60890 18 244 19 235 19 225 20 221 60890 58084 22 255 22 246 22 249 22 236 58084 55178 32 257 31 250 30 257 25 250 55178 52406 36 251 37 245 35 250 28 250 52406 49912 34 253 32 243 32 249 26 244 49912 47684 40 257 35 250 37 249 35 252 47684 45684 46 253 42 249 46 247 43 249 45684 43874 48 250 48 238 53 236 48 241 43874 42218 44 249 52 233 54 230 51 234 42218 40684 42 246 49 232 53 229 52 231 40684 39246 44 244 47 234 53 229 51 229 39246 37890 45 246 46 235 54 228 49 228 37890 36579 45 243 44 234 54 228 50 228 36579 35248 45 238 42 234 51 230 53 229 35248 33865 44 234 41 234 46 232 53 233 33865 32434 43 232 41 234 42 233 48 238 32434 30943 42 233 41 233 42 226 45 233 30943 29387 40 235 39 233 40 226 41 225 29387 27769 37 236 38 236 38 234 39 224 27769 26083 36 236 37 240 38 240 37 227 26083 24328 35 237 37 241 39 243 36 229 24328 22504 33 237 36 239 38 242 36 230 22504 20608 31 235 35 237 36 239 34 231 20608 18632 29 230 34 233 33 234 32 228 18632 16620 28 227 32 226 30 227 29 225 16620 14684 26 224 30 218 28 219 27 221 14684 12924 23 221 27 213 24 209 26 215 12924 11359 22 220 18*209 15*207 23 206 11359 9964 20 218 14*213 14*213 16 198 9964 8718 13*211 13 215 13 216 12 208 8718 7604 10*210 12 223 13 232 11 225 7604 6611 9 211 12 231 13 241 12 246 6611 5731 7 215 12 238 13 247 13 254 5731 4948 6 218 11 241 13 251 15 258 4948 4244 6 222 11 246 13 253 16 261 4244 3618 5 225 11 249 13 256 17 262 3618 3094 5 229 11 252 13 257 17 263 3094 2690 4 231 11 253 13 258 16 263 2690 2411 4 232 11 254 13 258 14 263 2411 2242 4 232 10 254 12 259 11*263 2242 2145 4 234 10 255 11 259 6*261 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography