DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.5 - - 98.3 - - 97.2 - - 86.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 435 - - 145 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4655 - - 12351 - - 12749 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5377 - - 11646 - - 11094 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6755 - - 14451 - - 14849 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5064 - - 1765 - - 1888 - - 360 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 500 - - 717 - - 503 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 20 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 300 - - 289 - - 296 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10335 - - -3940 - - -3439 - - -13521 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17091 - - 18392 - - 18289 - - 15667 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14321 - - -6783 - - -6652 - - -18479 ODpotential blCL - - - 21076 - - 21234 - - 21501 - - 20624 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 49 - - 39 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.5 - - 98.3 - - 97.2 - - 86.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.7 - - 22.9 - - 22.4 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.0 - - 95.4 - - 95.8 - - 89.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 22.6 - - 22.2 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 435 - - 145 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4655 - - 12351 - - 12749 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97717 17 330 6 239 18 265 20 288 97717 90317 12 292 10 298 12 318 10 305 90317 84636 15 265 17 314 13 351 4 350 84636 79918 8 256 13 294 13 329 9 332 79918 75850 6 259 15 278 15 313 11 317 75850 72278 10 274 18 278 19 301 15 321 72278 69064 15 280 19 272 20 294 17 321 69064 66107 17 288 18 278 20 288 19 310 66107 63363 18 286 19 284 18 282 20 299 63363 60715 17 283 18 281 18 284 18 290 60715 57961 19 279 20 275 19 287 18 296 57961 55112 19 286 20 282 22 290 20 298 55112 52404 18 291 16 300 19 303 19 305 52404 49981 16 311 15 318 15 305 20 306 49981 47816 13 338 11 318 21 326 24 309 47816 45851 19 350 20 333 25 316 34 318 45851 44053 22 340 22 329 32 325 33 311 44053 42396 21 339 24 326 34 321 28 314 42396 40856 20 338 26 322 32 320 36 335 40856 39416 16 336 26 318 31 322 41 334 39416 38060 15 338 25 317 30 317 39 333 38060 36748 19 347 24 319 28 313 37 336 36748 35415 21 352 22 320 24 311 34 333 35415 34034 19 347 18 318 21 316 33 326 34034 32610 17 337 18 321 22 331 30 325 32610 31127 18 322 19 329 24 341 27 325 31127 29574 18 317 19 332 25 341 25 325 29574 27949 17 317 19 329 23 333 24 324 27949 26253 17 317 19 324 20 326 22 321 26253 24486 15 319 16 308 15 311 20 317 24486 22658 13 324 14 308 14 302 17 305 22658 20759 5 333 9 316 12 322 12 314 20759 18777 3 321 4 319 3 321 5 292 18777 16766 6 298 2 348 5*304 2 010 16766 14839 7 256 4*287 13*312 5 313 14839 13078 6 236 6*285 13 310 8 299 13078 11501 2 247 6 285 12 306 11 302 11501 10091 1 016 6 286 11 301 15 303 10091 8828 3 008 7 286 10 295 17 303 8828 7697 4*356 7 288 9 290 19 302 7697 6689 4*309 7 290 9 286 20 301 6689 5794 5 299 7 291 8 283 21 300 5794 4998 5 298 7 292 8 281 22 299 4998 4282 5 298 7 294 8 278 22 298 4282 3645 5 298 7 295 8 278 22 297 3645 3111 5 301 7 296 8 276 20 297 3111 2700 4 303 6 297 7 276 18 296 2700 2416 4 303 6 297 7 275 14 295 2416 2244 4 304 6 297 7 275 10 291 2244 2145 4 304 6 298 6 275 6*288 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography