DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 78.8 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 279 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3489 - - 9038 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4202 - - 8681 - - - - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5589 - - 11138 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3696 - - 1456 - - - - - 1921 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 557 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 236 - - - - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 20 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3570 - - 395 - - - - - -7793 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9160 - - 10743 - - - - - 9937 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5538 - - 179 - - - - - -13309 ODpotential blCL - - - 11127 - - 10959 - - - - - 15453 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 80 - - - - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.6 - - 78.8 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 38.8 - - - - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 76.8 - - - - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 38.7 - - - - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 195 - - 279 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3489 - - 9038 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 20 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96443 25 070 18 069 18 065 96443 89274 29 090 18 080 19 080 89274 83744 16 088 17 098 22 083 83744 79177 16 093 16 092 13 083 79177 75252 14 114 15 090 5 067 75252 71786 3 048 11 084 5 088 71786 68652 5 265 1 150 7 308 68652 65771 8 281 4 212 5 200 65771 63108 25 249 21 247 21 258 63108 60537 33 240 37 240 28 261 60537 57841 43 241 48 232 45 242 57841 55025 44 231 47 229 54 224 55025 52317 41 245 51 245 52 226 52317 49859 64 260 66 253 59 245 49859 47649 90 248 93 248 90 251 47649 45643 108 238 104 236 110 243 45643 43806 106 236 103 231 117 232 43806 42121 104 236 94 231 113 226 42121 40570 102 233 85 227 98 227 40570 39124 96 232 82 226 94 230 39124 37757 83 235 81 231 95 232 37757 36436 81 236 81 232 95 234 36436 35096 85 235 81 231 95 237 35096 33703 87 237 81 231 94 237 33703 32260 88 238 81 232 92 233 32260 30754 86 236 80 232 88 230 30754 29182 83 234 77 232 81 231 29182 27554 79 232 76 234 75 235 27554 25866 74 233 73 236 72 236 25866 24112 68 236 67 238 67 236 24112 22296 61 238 59 238 61 237 22296 20411 51 236 53 234 54 239 20411 18453 40 228 46 229 47 236 18453 16457 32 220 39 223 41 227 16457 14535 26 215 31 215 32 219 14535 12788 22 206 23 208 22 207 12788 11236 18 201 15*208 16 198 11236 9854 15 203 13*213 12 184 9854 8619 15 209 12 216 10 176 8619 7516 16 211 10 227 8 190 7516 6535 16 209 10 234 8 215 6535 5666 15*204 10 240 9 239 5666 4895 13*198 10 245 12 251 4895 4203 12 195 10 248 14 259 4203 3588 11 191 10 252 16 263 3588 3074 10 189 10 255 17 266 3074 2678 10 188 9 256 16 268 2678 2405 9 187 9 256 14 270 2405 2239 8 186 9 257 10*269 2239 2144 8 186 8 257 5*267 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography