DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/13 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.8 - - 96.8 - - - - - 84.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 344 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6767 - - 8885 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6969 - - 8681 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8867 - - 10985 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4233 - - 4746 - - - - - 4665 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 535 - - 593 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 21 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 224 - - - - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -11 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9603 - - -6684 - - - - - -13210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18471 - - 17670 - - - - - 15356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11906 - - -8145 - - - - - -18293 ODpotential blCL - - - 20773 - - 19130 - - - - - 20438 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.8 - - 96.8 - - - - - 84.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.5 - - 25.1 - - - - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.5 - - 94.6 - - - - - 86.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.2 - - 25.1 - - - - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 332 - - 344 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6767 - - 8885 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 81 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98099 6 150 3 213 7 298 98099 90692 9 171 4 139 6 348 90692 84961 2 208 4 039 5 076 84961 80210 5 036 4 141 8 045 80210 76141 2 046 0 006 11 349 76141 72566 1 087 5 311 10 359 72566 69349 4 025 7 324 7 000 69349 66412 8 342 5 311 11 344 66412 63704 15 313 10 306 18 314 63704 61081 19 278 16 282 18 307 61081 58343 20 287 19 279 26 284 58343 55499 28 281 26 280 31 271 55499 52772 41 256 39 260 32 272 52772 50308 50 253 50 254 40 269 50308 48104 59 255 58 250 49 262 48104 46116 58 254 59 249 54 261 46116 44303 52 253 58 250 61 261 44303 42632 47 253 56 249 66 259 42632 41074 46 254 53 249 66 257 41074 39610 49 254 52 251 63 257 39610 38229 52 254 54 253 59 256 38229 36899 51 254 55 253 56 252 36899 35556 47 252 53 255 53 250 35556 34171 40 244 46 256 50 249 34171 32742 35 234 38 251 46 249 32742 31251 37 228 35 243 41 250 31251 29684 36 230 33 239 38 247 29684 28043 32 231 31 242 34 250 28043 26334 25 227 25 248 24 251 26334 24561 24 229 23 241 19 238 24561 22722 25 225 23 228 18 225 22722 20812 30 211 23 217 18 214 20812 18824 37 207 28 210 19 207 18824 16799 35 193 32 201 20 202 16799 14846 34 189 30 193 22 204 14846 13063 32 192 29 195 24 210 13063 11474 31 194 25*204 24 215 11474 10056 27*199 22*214 22 220 10056 8790 20*202 22 215 20 223 8790 7659 16 204 21 222 18 225 7659 6652 15 206 21 224 19 229 6652 5762 15 210 21 226 20 235 5762 4972 14 213 21 228 22 239 4972 4262 14 215 21 230 24 243 4262 3631 13 217 21 231 25 244 3631 3102 13 219 20 232 24 245 3102 2695 12 220 20 233 22 246 2695 2414 12 221 19 233 19 246 2414 2243 11 221 18 233 15*245 2243 2145 10 222 16 233 9*244 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography