DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.6 - - 87.0 - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 329 - - 67 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2950 - - 6174 - - 5833 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3903 - - 6498 - - 5077 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5050 - - 8274 - - 7933 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2628 - - 2300 - - 3053 - - 222 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 369 - - 518 - - 299 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 21 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 120 - - 027 - - 356 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6718 - - -6108 - - -7246 - - -10533 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11768 - - 14383 - - 15180 - - 12678 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11211 - - -9680 - - -11429 - - -17472 ODpotential blCL - - - 16261 - - 17954 - - 19362 - - 19617 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 25 - - 23 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.6 - - 87.0 - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 31.5 - - 27.3 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 85.3 - - 86.1 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 31.3 - - 27.1 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 329 - - 67 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2950 - - 6174 - - 5833 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96501 31 296 23 281 32 273 35 287 96501 89260 27 281 25 271 22 284 21 308 89260 83752 23 277 28 283 21 296 21 312 83752 79182 18 281 24 287 19 295 15 303 79182 75238 21 287 29 295 27 309 21 320 75238 71772 23 278 33 290 33 302 31 316 71772 68661 21 300 28 304 30 300 33 307 68661 65809 25 307 27 312 29 300 30 305 65809 63167 27 305 26 310 28 306 30 311 63167 60607 30 310 26 309 29 311 33 318 60607 57928 33 315 27 313 31 319 33 319 57928 55135 37 315 29 319 32 321 33 319 55135 52455 37 307 31 316 33 312 33 316 52455 50030 35 306 33 307 35 303 33 311 50030 47844 37 311 34 310 34 302 31 310 47844 45856 39 311 38 315 32 310 30 313 45856 44037 34 308 37 315 33 318 30 315 44037 42367 30 311 32 310 34 317 31 314 42367 40820 34 307 28 311 30 309 29 314 40820 39377 31 298 28 312 23 306 24 312 39377 38023 25 300 29 303 20 311 19 309 38023 36716 22 306 26 300 22 316 16 314 36716 35391 21 308 25 304 25 316 19 328 35391 34018 22 308 27 305 28 313 21 331 34018 32599 22 308 25 306 27 310 20 325 32599 31120 21 310 23 310 26 311 20 317 31120 29568 19 313 21 309 24 313 21 320 29568 27945 18 314 20 303 23 313 22 329 27945 26252 17 313 20 296 22 314 22 334 26252 24489 17 310 21 294 20 322 21 339 24489 22658 17 310 19 303 19 330 21 343 22658 20750 14 321 15 315 17 336 20 343 20750 18761 12 334 12 321 13 340 19 342 18761 16733 10 342 11 319 10 332 15 339 16733 14779 10 351 11 330 9 326 11 328 14779 13003 11 003 11 349 9 338 7 318 13003 11422 12 013 9 006 6 355 4 278 11422 10013 12 012 7 018 4 026 3 214 10013 8755 10 027 4*038 4*021 4 136 8755 7631 8 056 4*040 5*012 4 100 7631 6630 7 068 4 038 6 003 4 050 6630 5743 6*089 4 034 7 357 7 018 5743 4956 9*112 4 029 8 355 10 006 4956 4249 10 119 4 024 8 353 12 359 4249 3621 10 121 5 019 8 352 13 356 3621 3095 10 121 5 017 9 351 14 353 3095 2690 9 122 5 015 9 351 13 351 2690 2411 9 122 5 013 9 351 12 348 2411 2241 8 121 5 013 8 351 7*342 2241 2145 7 121 4 014 8 351 3*329 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography