DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 83.1 - - 82.0 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 485 - - 156 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6569 - - 7936 - - 7750 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6944 - - 8090 - - 7273 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8669 - - 10036 - - 9850 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1231 - - 1596 - - 1727 - - 781 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 583 - - 641 - - 436 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 268 - - 295 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4454 - - -5765 - - -6170 - - -10454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13123 - - 15802 - - 16021 - - 12599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8554 - - -9290 - - -10272 - - -16523 ODpotential blCL - - - 17223 - - 19326 - - 20122 - - 18667 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 26 - - 28 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 83.1 - - 82.0 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.1 - - 19.9 - - 18.1 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 80.1 - - 80.7 - - 74.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 19.9 - - 18.1 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 485 - - 156 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6569 - - 7936 - - 7750 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97527 25 290 19 297 23 327 28 326 97527 90186 25 289 23 281 27 285 26 314 90186 84529 22 290 19 272 26 267 23 278 84529 79839 16 267 18 270 19 261 20 246 79839 75807 17 257 20 264 14 271 14 249 75807 72243 23 248 26 253 16 258 18 269 72243 69008 28 249 28 248 21 231 24 249 69008 66012 35 253 32 258 25 246 26 254 66012 63228 41 246 40 260 36 260 31 266 63228 60557 37 240 37 251 37 257 30 259 60557 57784 37 248 36 245 37 254 30 260 57784 54900 45 253 41 251 41 260 33 268 54900 52141 52 249 52 255 48 260 39 270 52141 49658 52 243 57 249 55 255 47 262 49658 47435 48 242 54 244 55 251 52 253 47435 45418 48 253 51 250 51 251 49 251 45418 43571 57 260 55 252 54 252 48 254 43571 41874 65 258 58 251 58 252 50 258 41874 40306 67 251 58 248 57 249 53 256 40306 38849 60 248 50 249 51 250 48 255 38849 37490 49 250 39 252 42 251 40 253 37490 36189 36 258 28 261 33 254 30 261 36189 34873 32 264 27 267 29 264 31 272 34873 33510 28 264 26 270 28 267 33 279 33510 32103 23 266 25 273 28 271 34 281 32103 30638 19 277 22 281 30 281 31 282 30638 29105 18 293 23 291 28 287 27 283 29105 27505 18 292 22 299 24 290 22 282 27505 25838 13 282 16 290 20 292 20 289 25838 24101 12 291 14 287 18 292 18 296 24101 22297 16 301 13 282 16 297 18 301 22297 20421 17 296 14 294 15 300 16 303 20421 18465 16 293 16 312 17 309 17 309 18465 16474 18 286 12 299 17 314 18 323 16474 14559 18 277 12 289 11 289 9 310 14559 12816 17 266 13 284 10 263 8 276 12816 11263 15 252 11*258 9 261 10 256 11263 9883 13*233 10*257 9*277 12 268 9883 8650 9*230 10 258 9*282 11 279 8650 7549 9 232 10 261 9 286 9 292 7549 6566 8 236 10 265 10 291 8 312 6566 5695 8 240 10 269 10 294 8 330 5695 4920 8 243 10 271 10 297 9 342 4920 4223 7 248 10 274 10 300 10 351 4223 3603 7 251 11 276 10 301 11 355 3603 3084 7 254 10 278 10 302 12 359 3084 2684 6 257 10 279 10 304 12 001 2684 2408 6 258 10 279 10 304 11 003 2408 2240 6 258 10 280 9 304 8*004 2240 2144 5 259 9 280 8 305 5*002 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography