DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.9 - - 100.6 - - 100.1 - - 84.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 322 - - 54 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2427 - - 5818 - - 5118 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3516 - - 6204 - - 4320 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4527 - - 7918 - - 7218 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1768 - - 3967 - - 4654 - - 133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 345 - - 503 - - 268 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 29 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 033 - - 356 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - -8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -14352 - - -13093 - - -13853 - - -15290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18880 - - 21012 - - 21072 - - 17436 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19985 - - -17660 - - -18505 - - -22632 ODpotential blCL - - - 24512 - - 25578 - - 25723 - - 24777 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 41 - - 31 - - 12 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.9 - - 100.6 - - 100.1 - - 84.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.8 - - 13.9 - - 13.2 - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.0 - - 98.3 - - 99.3 - - 89.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.5 - - 13.7 - - 13.0 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 322 - - 54 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2427 - - 5818 - - 5118 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96785 30 278 36 280 31 282 41 302 96785 89542 24 283 22 290 21 293 22 311 89542 84000 10 291 10 306 13 303 13 347 84000 79437 5 102 2 324 5 338 10 019 79437 75518 13 082 5 162 9 052 6 002 75518 72057 14 065 10 092 11 072 8 066 72057 68926 8 084 6 088 6 038 8 032 68926 66045 7 054 8 063 9 053 7 018 66045 63392 18 014 16 017 23 039 19 031 63392 60871 14 008 12 357 20 025 20 034 60871 58249 13 029 9 347 15 349 17 014 58249 55506 16 027 12 018 16 337 17 357 55506 52872 19 014 19 020 18 356 19 358 52872 50493 16 358 19 014 17 007 18 002 50493 48358 17 015 17 024 8 035 5 019 48358 46424 19 023 20 027 9 045 7 071 46424 44650 12 034 11 019 8 005 8 024 44650 43005 9 065 3 026 4 341 4 352 43005 41468 11 059 5 060 3 059 2 140 41468 40026 11 070 5 065 5 101 3 139 40026 38662 9 077 4 085 3 130 3 197 38662 37340 10 077 4 101 2 157 4 230 37340 35995 11 072 6 095 2 146 4 213 35995 34599 11 062 6 075 2 048 3 208 34599 33155 10 044 6 041 7 014 5 002 33155 31650 9 037 6 020 7 016 9 006 31650 30073 9 050 6 030 5 029 10 009 30073 28424 7 076 5 052 4 047 9 014 28424 26701 4 089 4 053 5 040 9 014 26701 24908 2 069 4 032 8 041 11 019 24908 23045 5 068 7 048 12 046 13 040 23045 21109 12 065 12 065 14 056 15 054 21109 19092 19 065 17 071 15 068 14 064 19092 17034 21 069 18 078 13 088 9 078 17034 15048 18 087 14 097 8 111 5 078 15048 13238 12 122 6 123 4 076 7 043 13238 11626 7 142 1 006 8 049 7 047 11626 10188 1 035 7 004 7 056 8 090 10188 8903 7 010 6*011 5 052 8 103 8903 7755 11 019 4*039 4*037 6 110 7755 6732 13 042 3 043 4*023 3 125 6732 5825 12 062 3 040 5 004 2 129 5825 5020 9*092 3 036 6 355 1 003 5020 4296 6*128 3 032 6 352 5 346 4296 3654 6 140 3 028 7 351 9 343 3654 3116 6 140 3 022 7 351 11 342 3116 2702 6 140 3 019 7 350 13 341 2702 2417 5 138 3 018 7 351 12 341 2417 2244 5 138 3 017 7 351 8 341 2244 2145 5 137 3 019 6 351 5*334 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography