DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 91.8 - - - - - 82.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 444 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4654 - - 13141 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5385 - - 12307 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6754 - - 15241 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7297 - - 1841 - - - - - 11760 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 504 - - 736 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 144 - - 148 - - - - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -25 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8392 - - -584 - - - - - -11056 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15147 - - 15826 - - - - - 13201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9546 - - -1219 - - - - - -12969 ODpotential blCL - - - 16300 - - 16460 - - - - - 15114 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 89 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 91.8 - - - - - 82.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.3 - - 28.4 - - - - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.9 - - 89.1 - - - - - 84.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.3 - - 28.4 - - - - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 403 - - 444 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4654 - - 13141 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 57 - - - - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97430 21 277 29 283 29 297 97430 90126 17 268 27 273 23 293 90126 84487 18 273 20 264 18 277 84487 79785 15 243 13 254 13 264 79785 75734 10 255 11 245 13 253 75734 72167 18 280 14 270 13 275 72167 68954 21 269 21 270 16 281 68954 66020 19 261 23 258 20 273 66020 63322 14 275 16 261 19 258 63322 60730 18 286 16 282 15 257 60730 58036 29 271 23 273 25 263 58036 55244 35 269 27 259 31 259 55244 52576 41 273 39 271 40 260 52576 50161 50 268 50 269 47 256 50161 47974 52 263 50 269 49 255 47974 45965 54 271 51 270 50 253 45965 44100 59 272 56 270 50 251 44100 42355 60 266 60 267 54 249 42355 40719 58 258 58 260 61 249 40719 39183 55 251 53 251 64 250 39183 37746 44 246 48 246 53 248 37746 36380 34 233 35 233 39 241 36380 35021 29 219 34 223 25 231 35021 33642 30 208 42 214 12 209 33642 32236 31 213 33 222 11 220 32236 30773 32 215 24 223 15 216 30773 29237 29 213 20 214 18 214 29237 27630 22 213 18 203 19 215 27630 25955 18 213 18 200 17 219 25955 24216 16 218 19 194 16 227 24216 22415 16 211 20 191 18 225 22415 20544 17 192 20 188 17 201 20544 18594 14 191 17 180 17 161 18594 16608 14 185 17*180 15 145 16608 14695 15 170 15*173 9 130 14695 12952 10 158 13 164 6 106 12952 11396 10 165 12 162 6 096 11396 10003 12 176 12 160 4 088 10003 8754 16 183 11 152 2 079 8754 7636 18*177 11 144 0 056 7636 6638 19*162 11 138 2 267 6638 5753 21 152 11 133 4 265 5753 4965 23 143 11 131 7 266 4965 4257 24 140 11 128 9 268 4257 3627 24 140 11 126 11 271 3627 3100 24 139 11 125 12 271 3100 2693 23 139 11 124 11 272 2693 2413 22 138 10 123 10 271 2413 2242 21 138 10 123 8*271 2242 2145 17 138 9 122 5*270 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography