DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 97.1 - - - - - 91.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 370 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3716 - - 8392 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4405 - - 8329 - - - - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5816 - - 10492 - - - - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4241 - - 2590 - - - - - 9961 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 378 - - 598 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 21 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 229 - - - - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -10 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1971 - - -939 - - - - - -8834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7788 - - 11431 - - - - - 10980 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4400 - - -2097 - - - - - -10841 ODpotential blCL - - - 10216 - - 12589 - - - - - 12987 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 88 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 710 - - 320 - - - - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 97.1 - - - - - 91.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.9 - - 54.0 - - - - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.3 - - 94.5 - - - - - 93.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 53.9 - - - - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 370 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3716 - - 8392 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 53 - - - - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99055 50 118 39 116 44 090 99055 91600 43 101 41 110 40 101 91600 85873 32 105 35 098 33 107 85873 81109 29 106 30 102 33 097 81109 76987 24 103 30 104 26 085 76987 73347 22 116 26 095 16 086 73347 70078 20 108 22 088 16 103 70078 67096 13 117 16 092 17 113 67096 64344 13 122 14 123 17 096 64344 61685 8 097 11 140 9 081 61685 58931 4 081 10 145 6 149 58931 56082 11 226 15 236 11 162 56082 53365 23 225 24 231 16 230 53365 50944 26 197 28 203 26 230 50944 48783 25 205 29 197 28 230 48783 46818 32 226 34 216 38 233 46818 45011 31 207 32 201 44 231 45011 43332 38 251 33 230 43 220 43332 41763 37 255 38 234 36 219 41763 40289 37 251 36 232 38 219 40289 38894 37 244 34 218 39 218 38894 37541 33 227 36 211 40 232 37541 36163 30 213 36 208 40 234 36163 34731 29 203 36 215 39 229 34731 33251 31 205 34 224 32 217 33251 31710 33 220 35 233 28 218 31710 30096 32 227 32 236 28 231 30096 28409 30 217 28 225 24 231 28409 26656 29 209 27 210 30 212 26656 24841 28 209 27 218 29 211 24841 22964 25 215 24 222 20 214 22964 21025 19 230 19 229 15 211 21025 19018 15 245 13 238 11 212 19018 16977 13 245 8 233 10 223 16977 15007 11 241 7 225 7 199 15007 13212 9 231 8 219 7 177 13212 11612 9 227 9*212 5 189 11612 10183 8 226 8*214 3 246 10183 8903 7 219 8 215 5 282 8903 7759 6 218 7 219 6 289 7759 6738 6*220 6 224 8 293 6738 5833 5*215 5 231 8 295 5833 5028 5 208 4 239 9 296 5028 4304 5 200 4 247 10 296 4304 3661 4 190 3 255 10 296 3661 3121 4 184 3 263 10 297 3121 2706 3 179 3 268 10 298 2706 2420 3 175 3 270 9 299 2420 2246 3 173 3 273 7*298 2246 2146 3 173 3 275 4*295 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography