DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.3 - - 102.3 - - 101.7 - - 91.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 464 - - 184 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6883 - - 13677 - - 11942 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7184 - - 12781 - - 10683 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8983 - - 15777 - - 14042 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5917 - - 2731 - - 4874 - - 2889 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 587 - - 758 - - 533 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 97 - - 102 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 322 - - 338 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -10 - - -23 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5922 - - -1670 - - -4514 - - -14744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14906 - - 17448 - - 18557 - - 16891 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7640 - - -2672 - - -5380 - - -18372 ODpotential blCL - - - 16623 - - 18449 - - 19422 - - 20518 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 64 - - 70 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.3 - - 102.3 - - 101.7 - - 91.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.6 - - 31.4 - - 25.7 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.5 - - 99.2 - - 100.0 - - 94.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 31.3 - - 25.7 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 430 - - 464 - - 184 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6883 - - 13677 - - 11942 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98527 15 146 11 114 8 115 4 097 98527 91014 14 115 10 160 6 116 11 106 91014 85271 13 134 10 159 6 071 12 108 85271 80521 19 135 14 130 9 104 13 112 80521 76421 20 117 19 128 14 122 12 094 76421 72811 16 110 16 125 13 113 13 070 72811 69580 13 105 15 105 14 122 9 067 69580 66644 12 106 11 100 13 112 10 110 66644 63942 10 106 6 105 6 043 11 075 63942 61331 6 087 5 102 3 358 8 059 61331 58590 1 024 5 338 8 345 5 015 58590 55717 1 111 2 230 8 317 8 352 55717 52969 11 008 10 016 9 002 16 356 52969 50516 17 022 17 011 16 022 19 020 50516 48330 25 027 32 018 32 028 28 026 48330 46343 37 021 39 024 40 021 32 016 46343 44517 42 017 43 023 42 019 33 014 44517 42830 38 017 40 023 43 021 38 015 42830 41257 36 018 34 020 42 024 40 015 41257 39781 35 022 33 017 39 026 38 017 39781 38391 35 023 32 014 36 023 34 017 38391 37053 36 023 31 012 32 020 30 019 37053 35696 34 025 31 016 29 018 28 021 35696 34292 30 028 30 018 30 019 26 022 34292 32843 24 031 28 024 28 021 25 023 32843 31334 20 034 23 029 24 023 24 029 31334 29755 22 041 19 037 20 029 21 040 29755 28108 21 042 19 045 18 031 19 039 28108 26391 17 042 19 042 17 041 18 037 26391 24610 16 044 17 044 17 057 17 052 24610 22772 18 036 18 054 16 071 21 071 22772 20871 12 040 18 055 15 086 22 077 20871 18895 8 071 12 090 13 111 17 089 18895 16882 4 087 8*120 12 120 13 096 16882 14936 4 132 4*134 9*123 9 103 14936 13157 7 107 3 144 4*110 4 088 13157 11567 6 097 2 150 2 016 3 359 11567 10145 6*093 1 156 4 346 7 333 10145 8872 4*113 1 297 6 338 9 328 8872 7734 3 131 2 315 8 335 11 326 7734 6719 2 174 3 319 10 334 12 323 6719 5818 2 195 4 321 11 333 13 317 5818 5017 1 224 5 323 11 333 13 312 5017 4296 2 241 5 324 12 334 14 308 4296 3655 2 257 6 326 12 334 14 304 3655 3118 2 272 6 327 12 333 14 302 3118 2704 2 277 6 327 12 334 13 301 2704 2419 2 281 6 328 12 334 11 299 2419 2245 2 284 6 328 11 334 8*293 2245 2146 2 285 6 328 10 334 6*286 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography