DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 86.9 - - 84.1 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 490 - - 166 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8141 - - 11258 - - 9438 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8192 - - 10813 - - 8629 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10241 - - 13358 - - 11538 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3571 - - 2520 - - 3969 - - 5518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 618 - - 722 - - 476 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 22 - - 21 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 238 - - 235 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - -11 - - -12 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2676 - - -32 - - -1720 - - -8672 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12917 - - 13390 - - 13259 - - 10817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3428 - - -482 - - -2807 - - -11966 ODpotential blCL - - - 13669 - - 13840 - - 14345 - - 14110 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 70 - - 59 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.7 - - 86.9 - - 84.1 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.8 - - 34.8 - - 32.8 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.1 - - 84.1 - - 82.9 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 34.7 - - 32.8 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 424 - - 490 - - 166 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8141 - - 11258 - - 9438 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97580 42 273 39 275 38 271 40 280 97580 90173 29 271 33 279 37 285 29 299 90173 84488 20 286 24 272 32 289 27 299 84488 79785 19 277 19 279 19 284 25 290 79785 75740 11 280 13 282 15 264 23 261 75740 72176 14 273 7 338 6 240 15 248 72176 68940 16 266 7 259 12 259 11 261 68940 65964 14 251 17 241 20 249 16 250 65964 63218 12 186 16 227 18 232 16 244 63218 60558 18 227 18 222 19 242 22 250 60558 57771 33 241 30 235 26 247 27 241 57771 54856 41 235 40 232 34 238 33 238 54856 52063 46 234 47 231 40 236 38 239 52063 49555 49 230 51 230 47 237 37 237 49555 47317 47 226 49 228 48 235 37 237 47317 45292 44 224 46 226 43 231 35 241 45292 43446 43 225 44 225 36 230 30 248 43446 41753 47 224 44 225 34 237 27 263 41753 40194 56 223 48 230 37 244 25 274 40194 38749 60 223 53 227 39 243 23 273 38749 37398 60 221 52 218 42 235 22 267 37398 36100 61 217 48 213 42 227 22 263 36100 34786 58 213 42 220 40 223 24 256 34786 33430 51 215 38 228 39 224 26 249 33430 32034 43 224 36 235 36 227 28 244 32034 30581 39 231 35 240 31 232 28 241 30581 29059 36 237 32 242 28 239 26 241 29059 27466 34 243 28 245 27 245 26 243 27466 25803 32 245 25 243 25 247 27 242 25803 24068 32 245 25 234 23 242 28 239 24068 22268 31 245 26 225 22 235 27 237 22268 20400 29 242 25 221 21 232 25 238 20400 18462 29 238 23 223 20 236 22 245 18462 16487 30 235 24 231 22 243 21 251 16487 14581 29 232 26*234 21 239 18 248 14581 12841 28 228 23*233 20*230 16 235 12841 11289 26*223 22 233 20*229 17 218 11289 9902 22*219 22 234 20 230 20 208 9902 8663 20 218 22 235 20 231 22 206 8663 7557 19 219 22 237 21 233 23 210 7557 6572 17 222 22 238 21 235 24 218 6572 5699 16 225 23 240 22 237 26 224 5699 4923 15 227 23 241 22 238 26 229 4923 4225 14 229 22 242 22 239 26 233 4225 3605 13 232 22 243 22 239 25 236 3605 3085 12 234 22 243 22 240 24 238 3085 2685 12 235 21 244 21 240 20 240 2685 2409 11 236 21 244 21 240 16 241 2409 2241 11 236 19 244 19 240 13 242 2241 2144 10 237 17 244 16 240 8*241 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography