DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.4 - - 89.4 - - 95.8 - - 94.2 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 299 - - 377 - - 81 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 4011 - - 8252 - - 7345 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 4772 - - 8222 - - 6386 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top 2144 - - 6111 - - 10352 - - 9445 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 155 - - 2097 - - 2303 - - 2930 - - 170 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 434 - - 597 - - 345 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 13 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 240 - - 249 - - 273 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -13620 - - -12362 - - -10479 - - -11457 - - -14929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15765 - - 18474 - - 20832 - - 20903 - - 17075 sfcLCL ODpotential -23542 - - -18155 - - -15809 - - -16759 - - -22700 ODpotential blCL 25686 - - 24266 - - 26161 - - 26204 - - 24845 blCL maxRH 10 - - 41 - - 60 - - 41 - - 16 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 69.4 - - 89.4 - - 95.8 - - 94.2 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.0 - - 14.7 - - 9.5 - - 7.9 - - 12.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.4 - - 87.3 - - 93.2 - - 93.4 - - 85.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.8 - - 14.5 - - 9.2 - - 7.7 - - 12.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 299 - - 377 - - 81 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 44 - - 4011 - - 8252 - - 7345 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96922 34 288 40 279 38 284 37 286 38 282 96922 89586 22 272 25 267 33 276 33 287 31 310 89586 84017 15 299 15 280 22 267 28 279 26 313 84017 79426 15 317 9 299 11 291 13 270 14 289 79426 75467 9 309 3 007 5 326 7 294 11 331 75467 71987 8 315 10 020 4 167 5 312 13 341 71987 68869 6 332 11 008 4 034 2 019 8 354 68869 66007 9 041 7 048 14 021 12 026 10 027 66007 63373 17 021 11 075 11 044 12 022 15 018 63373 60854 16 353 15 033 12 047 6 049 13 006 60854 58231 13 331 16 358 13 014 12 020 13 001 58231 55473 17 333 15 343 19 347 15 337 15 001 55473 52801 23 331 18 344 20 339 25 354 26 004 52801 50385 25 325 33 344 34 344 33 351 23 356 50385 48210 26 329 32 333 32 346 32 345 15 008 48210 46214 22 331 22 338 23 352 28 351 31 022 46214 44374 25 351 21 351 29 357 33 352 36 014 44374 42680 25 343 19 352 28 354 30 353 33 356 42680 41123 25 340 18 001 21 348 24 348 24 034 41123 39684 28 332 21 009 20 000 22 359 34 053 39684 38334 28 321 19 008 18 021 20 004 32 054 38334 37025 26 316 16 017 13 037 20 003 22 048 37025 35693 25 318 13 035 7 054 18 010 17 010 35693 34309 23 326 12 025 6 044 10 011 17 359 34309 32875 22 330 8 349 5 007 6 348 17 360 32875 31379 22 325 9 314 7 332 10 347 17 007 31379 29808 19 321 12 297 14 325 14 347 18 016 29808 28163 16 313 9 289 13 312 13 336 19 018 28163 26446 11 317 7 305 10 305 8 326 16 000 26446 24660 7 311 5 318 6 315 4 330 10 340 24660 22808 3 295 3 289 6 305 0 042 4 323 22808 20883 5 324 4 316 6 317 1 088 1 306 20883 18879 8 297 8 294 7 310 0 144 0 171 18879 16839 11 250 11 267 10 272 5 243 2 257 16839 14874 16 235 15 252 16 247 11 239 8 246 14874 13086 21 230 19 243 20 237 14 229 15 240 13086 11494 21 227 21 242 17*229 13 228 16 228 11494 10076 18 226 20 242 13*228 12*237 13 207 10076 8810 14 226 16 239 13 230 11*243 9 217 8810 7680 11 222 13 229 12 234 11 260 8 247 7680 6673 9 207 10*223 10 249 11 266 9 268 6673 5780 7 189 9*227 10 256 11 273 11 276 5780 4986 6 179 8 232 10 261 12 278 13 279 4986 4271 5 176 7 238 10 266 12 281 14 280 4271 3637 5 185 6 243 9 270 12 283 15 280 3637 3106 5 198 5 248 9 273 12 285 16 279 3106 2696 7 200 5 254 9 275 11 286 15 279 2696 2414 9 194 4 257 9 276 11 287 13 280 2414 2243 7*187 4 258 9 277 11 288 7*277 2243 2145 4*188 4 259 8 278 9 288 4*268 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography