DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 89.8 - - 90.2 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 426 - - 119 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4507 - - 11131 - - 11076 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5251 - - 10627 - - 9580 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6607 - - 13231 - - 13176 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3407 - - 2069 - - 2765 - - 498 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 490 - - 686 - - 448 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 125 - - 134 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - -21 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6874 - - -1581 - - -2313 - - -11352 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13481 - - 14813 - - 15490 - - 13497 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8494 - - -3206 - - -4228 - - -13971 ODpotential blCL - - - 15101 - - 16437 - - 17404 - - 16116 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 74 - - 75 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.4 - - 89.8 - - 90.2 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.3 - - 31.2 - - 28.7 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.1 - - 87.1 - - 89.0 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 31.2 - - 28.6 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 383 - - 426 - - 119 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4507 - - 11131 - - 11076 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 0 - - 1 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97138 39 270 44 272 45 278 47 286 97138 89838 27 275 32 273 38 275 34 283 89838 84246 17 269 15 283 19 279 21 288 84246 79621 11 276 8 280 9 308 13 310 79621 75655 7 305 4 303 11 340 12 346 75655 72153 8 360 7 354 16 347 16 358 72153 68991 13 014 11 019 13 355 14 356 68991 66106 16 001 13 001 14 352 15 350 66106 63443 21 335 12 326 16 325 17 323 63443 60859 20 302 14 298 21 305 22 307 60859 58146 27 290 26 295 29 299 31 301 58146 55304 41 279 38 291 42 293 38 293 55304 52563 52 272 50 284 45 281 38 289 52563 50071 53 268 52 288 49 283 45 294 50071 47829 44 291 57 297 62 293 73 293 47829 45818 78 288 75 290 88 275 72 290 45818 44005 55 284 71 284 77 293 49 294 44005 42347 57 327 57 295 72 308 112 310 42347 40810 90 323 73 314 107 310 100 306 40810 39366 90 312 97 313 106 309 84 300 39366 37999 93 310 101 311 77 297 85 294 37999 36675 84 306 92 306 80 294 79 290 36675 35330 79 300 90 306 76 296 68 288 35330 33935 73 298 84 303 67 296 62 288 33935 32495 56 299 70 294 61 292 60 285 32495 30999 39 296 51 289 62 294 54 285 30999 29432 31 287 37 293 59 294 49 290 29432 27797 28 282 30 295 41 290 47 290 27797 26097 26 285 23 290 29 288 34 286 26097 24336 25 291 22 293 24 288 24 282 24336 22516 23 300 21 299 21 292 19 290 22516 20631 16 306 21 303 20 308 15 296 20631 18672 8 316 13 305 15 309 13 284 18672 16682 1 344 6 302 5 262 13 227 16682 14765 5 123 3*158 9*194 11 223 14765 13013 5 137 7*138 8*178 9 219 13013 11445 6 143 8 134 8 172 6 204 11445 10041 7 145 9 130 7 166 5 169 10041 8784 9 149 9 128 7 144 6 141 8784 7660 12*150 10 125 7 128 7 129 7660 6657 15*143 10 123 7 119 8 125 6657 5768 19 136 11 122 7 112 9 123 5768 4977 21 134 11 121 7 109 10 121 4977 4266 21 134 11 121 7 105 10 119 4266 3633 21 134 11 120 7 102 10 117 3633 3104 21 135 11 119 7 100 9 116 3104 2695 20 135 10 119 7 100 8 112 2695 2414 19 135 10 119 7 098 6 105 2414 2243 18 135 10 118 7 099 4*099 2243 2145 15 135 9 118 6 099 3*101 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography