DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/10 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 91.0 - - - - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 458 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6351 - - 12768 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6708 - - 12020 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8451 - - 14868 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3745 - - 1863 - - - - - 380 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 550 - - 737 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 14 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 210 - - - - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5466 - - -2566 - - - - - -11735 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13918 - - 17435 - - - - - 13880 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7462 - - -5031 - - - - - -15447 ODpotential blCL - - - 15913 - - 19899 - - - - - 17592 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 75 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.0 - - 91.0 - - - - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.7 - - 20.0 - - - - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.4 - - 88.3 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 19.9 - - - - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 385 - - 458 - - - - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6351 - - 12768 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 1 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97540 46 252 37 262 46 275 97540 90103 26 269 34 258 36 280 90103 84425 18 287 32 263 29 285 84425 79749 16 296 22 270 21 287 79749 75724 17 290 18 270 15 269 75724 72173 15 275 12 274 10 248 72173 68965 12 271 9 309 4 237 68965 66008 19 243 20 256 17 256 66008 63264 20 228 23 238 20 247 63264 60605 17 247 22 247 25 244 60605 57834 25 253 29 250 32 235 57834 54955 40 248 40 245 32 233 54955 52192 53 251 47 250 36 247 52192 49692 59 250 55 248 43 248 49692 47446 58 247 60 243 53 250 47446 45422 58 243 65 237 70 241 45422 43590 57 238 65 232 74 234 43590 41913 51 238 58 232 70 235 41913 40362 49 242 49 234 67 234 40362 38918 49 240 46 233 62 234 38918 37565 48 235 48 229 58 233 37565 36266 44 231 48 227 54 229 36266 34950 40 227 46 226 51 225 34950 33588 38 226 43 227 51 226 33588 32181 37 228 42 227 51 229 32181 30714 37 225 42 229 48 230 30714 29176 39 221 44 230 45 230 29176 27566 38 221 46 231 43 227 27566 25890 34 213 45 232 41 220 25890 24152 31 210 40 226 39 215 24152 22356 26 214 38 220 32 208 22356 20491 26 214 34 211 27 205 20491 18551 28 212 30 201 27 206 18551 16571 27 212 25*195 27 201 16571 14659 26 210 19*186 23 187 14659 12917 26 205 16 189 17 178 12917 11361 27 200 16 190 15 192 11361 9970 23 196 15 196 13 211 9970 8723 18*187 14 209 13 232 8723 7609 15*179 14 217 13 249 7609 6616 12 177 14 223 15 257 6616 5734 9 178 14 228 16 262 5734 4951 6 183 14 231 17 263 4951 4246 6 184 14 234 18 264 4246 3620 5 186 14 236 19 265 3620 3094 5 187 14 238 19 265 3094 2690 4 187 14 239 19 265 2690 2411 4 188 14 239 16 264 2411 2242 4 187 13 240 12*262 2242 2145 4 188 12 240 6*258 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography