DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 81.3 - - 80.5 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 342 - - 59 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4582 - - 6917 - - 6565 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5165 - - 7105 - - 5438 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6682 - - 9017 - - 8665 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1937 - - 1635 - - 2392 - - 228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 545 - - 298 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 16 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 249 - - 279 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6918 - - -7196 - - -7673 - - -11297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13601 - - 16213 - - 16339 - - 13442 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13053 - - -12261 - - -12649 - - -18343 ODpotential blCL - - - 19735 - - 21278 - - 21314 - - 20487 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 89 - - 78 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 81.3 - - 80.5 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.4 - - 16.6 - - 15.3 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.8 - - 79.0 - - 79.8 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.2 - - 16.4 - - 15.2 - - 16.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 342 - - 59 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4582 - - 6917 - - 6565 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 55 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96422 31 276 25 273 28 260 26 270 96422 89238 18 264 25 249 23 280 25 298 89238 83747 10 254 22 238 24 281 26 309 83747 79202 3 117 10 244 19 273 17 295 79202 75316 6 059 4 326 8 303 6 259 75316 71910 1 109 4 324 6 353 2 047 71910 68843 2 164 7 170 2 215 2 191 68843 66032 8 274 4 228 5 218 5 209 66032 63421 10 252 10 248 13 241 10 222 63421 60874 15 263 14 259 17 251 13 244 60874 58183 27 253 25 256 24 251 18 253 58183 55345 36 252 35 253 36 245 35 243 55345 52589 42 253 43 246 44 244 43 247 52589 50083 44 256 44 248 47 248 51 252 50083 47829 47 259 46 253 49 251 57 256 47829 45771 48 261 48 260 53 257 59 259 45771 43873 52 259 54 260 58 262 57 262 43873 42117 54 257 55 258 58 263 56 264 42117 40496 53 259 54 260 56 263 53 266 40496 39001 51 262 54 264 53 263 52 272 39001 37615 47 268 49 263 48 261 52 269 37615 36293 47 272 52 266 51 260 49 264 36293 34964 46 271 57 264 54 258 41 263 34964 33594 49 273 49 260 55 254 35 267 33594 32185 48 271 46 259 54 252 33 271 32185 30717 40 268 44 259 48 258 31 271 30717 29178 36 267 40 258 42 260 31 271 29178 27568 35 264 37 258 39 256 26 277 27568 25888 31 261 36 252 33 255 23 277 25888 24144 31 260 33 255 28 260 24 269 24144 22337 30 257 27 266 22 268 23 266 22337 20460 26 262 21 268 19 271 19 262 20460 18502 21 263 20 267 19 270 17 262 18502 16503 18 255 20 262 20 273 15 278 16503 14573 17 250 19 255 19 269 13 284 14573 12817 17 248 19 250 19 254 14 261 12817 11258 15 247 18 242 16 232 17 232 11258 9872 14 243 12*233 11*233 18 207 9872 8639 12 236 8*235 9*240 13 218 8639 7538 7*236 8 238 8 252 11 244 7538 6557 4*231 7 242 7 271 11 261 6557 5687 3 212 6 247 7 281 11 273 5687 4914 4 172 6 253 7 289 11 282 4914 4218 4 162 6 258 7 294 11 289 4218 3599 4 160 5 262 7 299 10 296 3599 3081 4 156 5 266 7 301 9 304 3081 2682 4 155 5 268 7 302 8 314 2682 2406 4 153 5 270 7 303 6 322 2406 2239 4 152 5 270 7 304 4*320 2239 2144 3 151 4 272 6 305 3*308 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography