DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.7 - - 101.4 - - 99.6 - - 89.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 434 - - 483 - - 199 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8398 - - 11260 - - 10119 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8413 - - 10810 - - 9303 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10498 - - 13360 - - 12219 - - 2146 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2724 - - 2586 - - 2650 - - 5323 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 630 - - 720 - - 517 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 213 - - 220 - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 13 - - -9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6703 - - -4118 - - -5715 - - -11661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17202 - - 17479 - - 17935 - - 13807 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10537 - - -6315 - - -9418 - - -16444 ODpotential blCL - - - 21035 - - 19675 - - 21637 - - 18590 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 88 - - 76 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.7 - - 101.4 - - 99.6 - - 89.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.2 - - 30.4 - - 26.7 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 94.9 - - 98.4 - - 97.9 - - 90.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 30.4 - - 26.6 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 434 - - 483 - - 199 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8398 - - 11260 - - 10119 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 51 - - 4 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98368 18 110 16 118 8 061 14 116 98368 90920 22 102 20 089 16 083 22 089 90920 85259 17 113 16 092 21 079 23 081 85259 80575 23 111 14 108 15 094 16 069 80575 76515 19 087 17 104 13 115 9 053 76515 72906 10 095 15 107 13 105 10 100 72906 69637 11 116 14 129 8 120 10 098 69637 66643 8 128 14 141 9 146 7 134 66643 63888 8 187 9 162 7 152 11 141 63888 61250 15 182 12 230 9 219 11 171 61250 58522 13 226 16 231 15 228 14 206 58522 55699 17 249 22 239 24 251 22 245 55699 53013 28 253 35 249 41 250 41 250 53013 50595 41 259 49 253 54 249 53 248 50595 48412 49 260 54 252 54 249 55 250 48412 46408 50 263 56 255 57 255 59 260 46408 44557 49 270 56 262 62 259 68 262 44557 42844 49 277 54 269 62 263 68 261 42844 41252 51 279 53 270 60 264 63 263 41252 39765 54 277 56 268 60 261 64 263 39765 38371 57 276 61 268 62 262 66 261 38371 37027 57 277 57 268 59 263 64 260 37027 35666 54 275 51 263 54 262 59 258 35666 34260 55 269 49 258 50 259 57 254 34260 32812 52 266 44 258 48 256 55 248 32812 31308 40 265 33 254 47 255 51 245 31308 29734 29 261 28 249 41 252 45 243 29734 28092 24 260 25 255 34 250 39 244 28092 26384 23 268 25 266 30 254 32 247 26384 24609 23 277 24 269 25 258 26 249 24609 22765 20 274 23 261 21 255 23 245 22765 20848 19 262 21 251 18 256 20 241 20848 18854 20 237 21 209 17 229 19 219 18854 16827 23 206 25 202 20 195 21 205 16827 14876 22 209 22*201 18 191 23 196 14876 13096 20 208 17*198 15*192 24 185 13096 11508 17*206 15 201 14*197 21 172 11508 10090 15*208 15 203 14 199 17 167 10090 8823 14 209 14 207 14 207 16 173 8823 7691 13 211 14 212 15 219 15 187 7691 6683 12 214 14 216 15 223 16 205 6683 5788 11 218 14 220 16 227 16 217 5788 4994 11 221 14 223 16 230 18 231 4994 4279 10 224 14 225 16 231 19 241 4279 3643 9 227 14 227 16 233 20 247 3643 3111 9 229 14 228 16 234 21 251 3111 2700 8 231 14 229 16 235 19 254 2700 2416 8 232 13 229 15 235 17 255 2416 2244 8 233 13 229 15 236 14*255 2244 2146 7 232 12 230 13 235 9*255 2146 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography