DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 90.6 - - 89.0 - - 79.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 439 - - 499 - - 189 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6911 - - 9813 - - 9565 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7216 - - 9637 - - 8829 - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9011 - - 11913 - - 11665 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1975 - - 2380 - - 2599 - - 6173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 592 - - 695 - - 499 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 230 - - 241 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4504 - - -4545 - - -4788 - - -12018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13516 - - 16459 - - 16454 - - 14164 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8054 - - -8246 - - -8470 - - -16388 ODpotential blCL - - - 17065 - - 20159 - - 20135 - - 18533 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 76 - - 76 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 90.6 - - 89.0 - - 79.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 24.2 - - 22.8 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 87.7 - - 87.5 - - 81.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 24.1 - - 22.7 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 439 - - 499 - - 189 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6911 - - 9813 - - 9565 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98080 8 344 6 017 6 020 12 039 98080 90718 7 073 4 129 5 044 8 054 90718 85045 9 118 1 087 6 040 6 028 85045 80311 9 115 10 167 3 191 4 289 80311 76227 5 166 6 149 4 161 4 228 76227 72620 5 219 3 020 5 122 4 156 72620 69356 7 204 10 301 1 172 3 107 69356 66348 14 182 9 257 9 233 4 262 66348 63550 16 194 14 221 17 249 11 264 63550 60834 16 218 19 211 21 238 17 251 60834 57998 19 241 23 219 23 238 21 249 57998 55062 22 246 24 241 25 252 24 261 55062 52275 25 249 24 255 25 257 27 267 52275 49783 27 258 23 260 27 263 28 270 49783 47561 29 258 27 261 28 265 31 269 47561 45558 32 256 31 262 29 265 33 261 45558 43740 32 257 34 260 30 265 32 264 43740 42077 33 262 34 259 34 257 33 267 42077 40536 37 263 37 262 35 254 34 258 40536 39095 36 259 40 258 36 253 33 246 39095 37742 34 254 40 254 36 253 33 244 37742 36437 34 253 38 251 36 252 33 246 36437 35112 33 251 37 248 37 251 34 248 35112 33739 31 249 34 245 36 249 34 247 33739 32318 28 249 29 248 32 250 31 246 32318 30840 27 249 27 254 27 253 26 248 30840 29293 26 251 26 256 25 256 22 253 29293 27678 25 254 26 255 24 255 21 254 27678 25993 25 252 24 255 23 252 22 250 25993 24240 24 250 22 255 20 248 21 242 24240 22423 21 253 20 253 17 239 20 226 22423 20536 17 252 18 245 17 228 21 220 20536 18577 18 241 20 232 19 226 21 220 18577 16585 24 237 24 230 22 223 21 215 16585 14666 26 232 23 223 20 212 20 204 14666 12918 26 227 19*214 16*209 17 190 12918 11360 26 221 16*214 15*217 13 183 11360 9968 21*213 16 216 15 219 10 195 9968 8722 15*205 16 219 15 226 9 220 8722 7608 13 204 15 226 15 241 10 247 7608 6615 12 205 15 230 16 245 13 259 6615 5734 11 207 15 235 16 249 15 264 5734 4951 10 208 15 238 16 252 17 265 4951 4247 9 210 15 241 16 253 18 265 4247 3620 8 212 14 243 16 255 19 265 3620 3095 7 215 14 245 16 256 19 265 3095 2690 7 215 14 247 16 256 19 264 2690 2411 7 215 14 247 15 257 16 265 2411 2242 6 216 13 248 14 257 12*264 2242 2145 6 216 12 248 13 257 7*262 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography