DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 73.2 - - - - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 518 - - 543 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6422 - - 7758 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6890 - - 7994 - - - - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8522 - - 9858 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1293 - - 1354 - - - - - 7900 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 610 - - 660 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 266 - - - - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -436 - - -902 - - - - - -7622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8958 - - 10761 - - - - - 9767 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5856 - - -5440 - - - - - -12482 ODpotential blCL - - - 14378 - - 15298 - - - - - 14626 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 73 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 73.2 - - - - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.3 - - 32.9 - - - - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.6 - - 70.2 - - - - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 32.8 - - - - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 518 - - 543 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6422 - - 7758 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97448 24 266 29 264 37 290 97448 90107 24 280 26 278 23 303 90107 84455 15 295 22 312 20 310 84455 79761 6 296 21 319 14 335 79761 75739 9 326 7 336 11 340 75739 72200 9 349 5 351 10 335 72200 68991 7 301 4 247 11 305 68991 66045 2 264 13 232 12 240 66045 63309 16 183 14 203 15 185 63309 60642 30 222 26 240 27 248 60642 57852 56 224 50 225 43 243 57852 54963 50 245 49 239 47 251 54963 52208 55 264 58 266 64 263 52208 49730 78 260 80 262 80 266 49730 47512 85 260 86 261 96 268 47512 45499 91 263 92 263 111 266 45499 43653 101 265 101 265 121 264 43653 41946 110 265 110 265 125 262 41946 40357 111 264 113 263 124 262 40357 38874 109 264 112 262 120 262 38874 37488 107 265 110 262 115 263 37488 36159 108 264 108 262 110 263 36159 34818 107 262 105 260 108 264 34818 33435 101 259 99 257 107 264 33435 32010 95 257 96 257 104 263 32010 30530 92 255 95 257 99 261 30530 28985 91 255 94 257 93 261 28985 27373 90 254 93 255 87 262 27373 25694 90 253 89 254 84 262 25694 23948 87 253 84 254 80 261 23948 22138 84 253 80 255 76 261 22138 20260 79 253 77 255 71 260 20260 18308 74 253 72 254 64 259 18308 16324 67 251 64 251 54 260 16324 14416 62 246 57 246 45 259 14416 12682 58 242 48 242 37 252 12682 11144 45 244 32*242 23 238 11144 9781 28*249 17*253 9 232 9781 8565 15*262 16 256 10 253 8565 7478 13 267 15 260 12 261 7478 6507 13 270 15 264 13 271 6507 5647 13 271 15 268 14 279 5647 4883 12 273 15 270 15 286 4883 4195 12 275 15 272 16 290 4195 3584 12 276 15 274 16 293 3584 3071 12 277 14 275 16 293 3071 2677 12 277 14 277 15 293 2677 2405 11 277 14 277 12 291 2405 2239 11 277 13 277 10*290 2239 2144 10 278 12 277 6*290 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography