DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 77.4 - - - - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 137 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 400 - - 2202 - - - - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2127 - - 3100 - - - - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2500 - - 4302 - - - - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 791 - - 1722 - - - - - 189 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 275 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 333 - - - - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10448 - - -10030 - - - - - -7982 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12948 - - 14333 - - - - - 10127 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19672 - - -17655 - - - - - -18501 ODpotential blCL - - - 22172 - - 21957 - - - - - 20645 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 49 - - - - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.5 - - 77.4 - - - - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 22.1 - - - - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 76.1 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.6 - - 21.7 - - - - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 137 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 400 - - 2202 - - - - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96276 11 288 12 256 25 245 96276 89261 5 016 10 230 6 315 89261 83847 6 048 2 067 17 002 83847 79295 8 041 11 066 11 007 79295 75330 10 106 7 077 3 003 75330 71823 8 117 5 155 3 271 71823 68658 10 271 8 324 13 316 68658 65793 15 247 15 285 27 291 65793 63196 10 283 14 258 29 279 63196 60695 25 314 18 287 25 282 60695 58066 35 303 34 301 31 300 58066 55320 39 291 42 293 40 294 55320 52675 39 284 44 292 41 291 52675 50260 42 293 46 295 45 299 50260 48065 47 301 51 300 54 308 48065 46055 53 305 56 297 67 307 46055 44201 50 300 55 297 78 302 44201 42480 45 306 57 306 82 302 42480 40883 57 320 69 315 80 309 40883 39410 69 322 76 318 74 318 39410 38045 68 317 74 320 65 319 38045 36735 65 315 67 319 57 321 36735 35405 63 318 61 320 58 327 35405 34024 60 324 58 323 62 329 34024 32596 57 328 55 325 62 335 32596 31109 53 329 53 329 62 342 31109 29551 47 328 52 331 66 346 29551 27923 44 328 47 329 60 346 27923 26224 42 328 41 328 52 340 26224 24457 41 325 37 331 41 334 24457 22623 44 325 36 335 37 332 22623 20712 46 327 36 336 34 338 20712 18716 41 331 35 338 32 335 18716 16678 33 334 31 339 35 334 16678 14714 28 335 27 332 31 345 14714 12928 25 330 26 323 23 353 12928 11339 22 326 23 322 19 355 11339 9928 18 325 20 323 20 347 9928 8672 16 327 19 320 22 338 8672 7553 15 334 17 322 23 338 7553 6558 12 338 14 331 20 340 6558 5679 6 347 9 338 15 337 5679 4903 2 017 4*329 12 329 4903 4206 2 079 4*329 8 318 4206 3589 2 129 4 330 4 295 3589 3073 4 163 4 332 3 282 3073 2677 4*165 4 335 1 324 2677 2404 3*164 4 336 1 019 2404 2238 3 165 4 338 1*125 2238 2144 3 163 4 339 2*176 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography