DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 64.7 - - 75.2 - - 68.6 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - -5 - - 112 - - -14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 44 - - 1675 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth Hcrit 2127 - - 2127 - - 2584 - - 2128 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 2144 - - 3775 - - 2144 - - 2144 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 155 - - 1256 - - 2312 - - 1386 - - 183 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 37 - - 236 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 152 - - 063 - - 019 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2830 - - -4733 - - -6851 - - -6438 - - -4571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4973 - - 6877 - - 10626 - - 8583 - - 6716 sfcLCL ODpotential -14968 - - -13378 - - -14103 - - -13920 - - -14759 ODpotential blCL 17111 - - 15522 - - 17878 - - 16064 - - 16903 blCL maxRH 40 - - 37 - - 32 - - 28 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 64.7 - - 75.2 - - 68.6 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 42.5 - - 36.4 - - 39.1 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 65.2 - - 74.2 - - 70.8 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 41.2 - - 35.9 - - 38.7 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - -5 - - 112 - - -14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 44 - - 1675 - - 44 - - 44 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96311 27 279 23 278 27 276 35 275 39 275 96311 89255 20 275 21 289 20 283 25 273 20 300 89255 83783 12 275 19 275 17 307 16 272 17 309 83783 79197 9 292 18 257 19 295 16 303 16 307 79197 75247 11 318 15 276 17 292 17 300 16 316 75247 71765 13 300 13 293 19 298 17 305 16 323 71765 68610 15 285 17 293 23 289 21 301 17 322 68610 65704 17 291 19 296 26 279 24 285 22 310 65704 63009 19 310 22 297 26 278 24 288 25 302 63009 60398 24 311 24 297 27 289 27 314 26 299 60398 57681 30 301 30 286 34 294 35 312 27 299 57681 54870 36 294 34 283 37 289 38 293 30 305 54870 52188 38 291 35 293 37 285 37 288 34 298 52188 49776 41 286 38 301 37 289 36 293 35 296 49776 47623 42 284 41 297 38 293 39 297 42 294 47623 45679 40 285 42 289 38 297 41 294 44 283 45679 43907 33 286 37 279 37 298 40 293 44 275 43907 42275 23 278 30 277 33 306 35 295 42 276 42275 40753 18 250 28 263 31 307 31 291 41 280 40753 39326 5 177 22 233 28 267 31 265 41 275 39326 37982 20 056 4 142 30 238 30 233 35 264 37982 36685 21 043 6 179 14 212 21 208 26 245 36685 35369 14 040 5 180 10 195 15 185 22 217 35369 34005 8 046 3 125 8 189 11 166 18 183 34005 32594 8 065 10 090 11 164 12 163 19 181 32594 31119 11 043 15 085 11 148 12 168 22 188 31119 29572 17 044 16 059 8 096 11 177 21 191 29572 27952 25 046 21 037 10 047 10 185 16 189 27952 26258 27 041 20 033 11 027 7 170 15 180 26258 24493 21 039 14 038 10 011 4 075 12 171 24493 22656 11 025 6 028 7 357 5 010 3 116 22656 20743 6 345 7 309 7 326 9 325 6 010 20743 18746 10 287 11 304 9 311 10 002 12 010 18746 16707 12 297 14 335 9 335 8 026 14 052 16707 14739 11 319 17 359 9 020 8 056 12 076 14739 12946 12 341 16 017 9 043 7 082 6 111 12946 11350 10 355 13 032 5 076 5 114 3 165 11350 9932 10 002 9 047 5 128 3 153 0 096 9932 8672 11 019 8 075 7 139 2 174 1 045 8672 7552 8 037 10 096 8 142 3 171 1 153 7552 6559 7 051 10 114 10 140 4 174 3 162 6559 5682 7 083 11 133 11 131 5 151 4 144 5682 4905 11 113 16 141 11 116 7 115 5 125 4905 4207 17 125 23 139 9*102 6 096 3 086 4207 3589 22 127 26 137 7*085 6 062 4 041 3589 3073 21 122 25 139 6 066 8 033 5 013 3073 2676 15 119 20 144 6 057 9 023 7 349 2676 2403 9 125 16 147 6 053 9 021 7 330 2403 2238 4 129 13*149 6 051 7 020 5*302 2238 2144 1*240 9*152 5 051 5*019 4*281 2144 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography