DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.4 - - 64.8 - - 72.9 - - 65.8 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 86 - - 140 - - -22 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 592 - - 1748 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth Hcrit 2126 - - 2127 - - 2786 - - 2127 - - 2127 Hcrit BL Top 2143 - - 2692 - - 3848 - - 2144 - - 2143 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 795 - - 1536 - - 1252 - - 162 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 152 - - 256 - - 9 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 105 - - 357 - - 340 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4604 - - -8522 - - -9984 - - -9527 - - -6000 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6748 - - 11215 - - 13833 - - 11672 - - 8144 sfcLCL ODpotential -16824 - - -16094 - - -15577 - - -16188 - - -15688 ODpotential blCL 18967 - - 18786 - - 19425 - - 18332 - - 17831 blCL maxRH 30 - - 51 - - 31 - - 25 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.4 - - 64.8 - - 72.9 - - 65.8 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 23.9 - - 19.9 - - 22.8 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 64.1 - - 71.7 - - 67.9 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.2 - - 23.3 - - 19.5 - - 22.5 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 86 - - 140 - - -22 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 43 - - 592 - - 1748 - - 44 - - 43 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96357 13 275 21 299 13 300 16 297 28 282 96357 89117 15 323 13 304 15 273 18 315 17 307 89117 83536 18 328 9 338 13 296 16 306 15 336 83536 78933 17 306 16 327 10 324 11 292 12 354 78933 74973 17 300 18 308 16 344 11 324 12 341 74973 71491 22 300 23 310 26 332 18 345 20 351 71491 68366 26 297 27 300 28 309 23 328 22 350 68366 65510 30 291 30 282 31 310 22 295 24 316 65510 62867 28 287 28 282 34 295 24 295 25 306 62867 60305 29 296 30 289 36 278 34 296 31 302 60305 57623 38 290 33 285 37 274 37 288 36 295 57623 54839 45 279 39 273 37 275 39 284 39 294 54839 52186 50 274 46 270 41 278 40 282 39 284 52186 49791 56 280 52 273 46 280 38 283 35 283 49791 47627 62 282 60 278 50 284 43 291 38 289 47627 45650 58 283 61 278 55 281 49 290 42 294 45650 43834 54 289 57 279 60 279 51 289 45 294 43834 42155 56 289 56 281 56 278 52 288 45 298 42155 40597 57 289 57 288 54 282 53 288 44 303 40597 39142 57 289 58 290 54 285 52 291 37 302 39142 37773 57 291 58 292 53 289 50 292 31 311 37773 36453 57 296 59 296 52 293 47 296 31 324 36453 35115 56 299 63 299 54 297 45 295 32 325 35115 33729 55 299 63 298 57 297 38 296 30 331 33729 32302 52 299 61 294 57 295 35 310 22 348 32302 30824 50 300 58 291 54 294 35 315 23 012 30824 29279 51 299 55 290 51 296 36 313 27 014 29279 27666 51 302 55 295 51 296 36 313 29 006 27666 25982 47 306 48 302 44 296 36 315 31 012 25982 24231 40 309 38 301 38 300 35 314 37 024 24231 22414 35 312 33 300 36 303 34 309 40 027 22414 20523 30 311 29 303 32 303 32 306 39 028 20523 18551 24 306 25 301 26 302 26 306 35 032 18551 16539 22 311 21 302 23 304 21 311 27 026 16539 14602 20 318 18 312 20 312 16 320 22 017 14602 12840 13 315 13 310 14 321 12 335 17 019 12840 11270 6 337 9 309 11 320 10 339 14 025 11270 9870 6 341 8 357 11 328 10 344 13 028 9870 8623 6 344 12 019 11 350 11 356 13 029 8623 7512 6 015 14 028 13 013 12 009 12 037 7512 6526 11 053 15 040 13 048 10 048 13 050 6526 5654 10 055 13 048 11 066 10 064 14 052 5654 4882 7 066 9 054 8 065 10 051 14 048 4882 4189 3 092 5 063 5*036 10 033 13 040 4189 3575 4 128 3 089 6*001 11 012 13 027 3575 3063 6 132 5*120 6 357 12 350 15 012 3063 2670 4 129 3*116 6 356 12 343 15 002 2670 2400 2 118 2 103 6 356 11 341 13 356 2400 2237 0*183 2 097 6 357 9*341 8 346 2237 2143 2*240 2 096 6 356 6*340 5*335 2143 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography