DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.2 - - 98.0 - - 98.4 - - 87.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 455 - - 167 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6818 - - 10107 - - 12790 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7134 - - 9828 - - 11260 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8918 - - 12207 - - 14890 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2774 - - 1871 - - 1106 - - 493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 586 - - 680 - - 527 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 19 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 226 - - 249 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -15 - - 32 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6581 - - -5569 - - -3746 - - -15403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15500 - - 17776 - - 18637 - - 17549 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11214 - - -9051 - - -7398 - - -21551 ODpotential blCL - - - 20132 - - 21258 - - 22288 - - 23696 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 74 - - 91 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.2 - - 98.0 - - 98.4 - - 87.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.9 - - 25.8 - - 22.2 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.5 - - 95.1 - - 96.9 - - 90.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 25.8 - - 22.0 - - 17.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 431 - - 455 - - 167 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6818 - - 10107 - - 12790 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 63 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98379 13 140 6 170 8 322 13 015 98379 90937 11 126 7 054 4 105 8 024 90937 85202 7 088 12 068 10 063 8 068 85202 80445 12 082 14 088 14 073 10 093 80445 76372 12 089 11 091 13 084 14 080 76372 72797 14 111 13 067 15 083 15 078 72797 69582 19 116 9 117 11 066 14 078 69582 66638 16 088 16 140 7 128 8 044 66638 63926 7 110 9 140 7 081 4 043 63926 61302 12 180 10 223 4 012 6 075 61302 58549 11 232 20 222 18 247 13 260 58549 55689 26 249 20 234 25 238 21 248 55689 52944 33 244 23 242 24 244 23 258 52944 50453 35 252 31 254 30 253 30 258 50453 48216 44 250 39 249 37 249 37 253 48216 46197 44 247 42 244 42 246 39 252 46197 44369 42 248 44 246 41 249 38 252 44369 42701 42 251 46 250 39 251 36 251 42701 41155 44 254 46 252 40 248 35 250 41155 39703 45 255 47 251 43 245 35 243 39703 38334 49 256 52 250 45 244 39 237 38334 37010 53 257 54 249 48 245 42 235 37010 35665 54 258 48 247 47 244 42 237 35665 34270 51 258 39 241 45 240 40 236 34270 32830 44 258 36 231 44 232 40 232 32830 31328 33 262 37 227 43 225 44 234 31328 29750 26 246 37 228 44 230 46 237 29750 28102 28 229 36 228 40 233 38 244 28102 26382 29 227 31 229 30 231 25 242 26382 24598 25 230 24 223 20 218 22 226 24598 22751 23 230 19 217 18 199 21 211 22751 20836 21 227 17 218 19 196 23 206 20836 18843 21 218 16 215 21 195 24 196 18843 16817 25 203 20 206 21*192 25 169 16817 14870 26 201 25 200 15*196 18 155 14870 13099 19 208 17*205 12 208 8 157 13099 11517 15 212 11*211 10 224 4 191 11517 10102 13*210 11 212 8 244 5 266 10102 8836 9*205 9 215 8 258 8 281 8836 7703 7 196 7 224 8 269 11 286 7703 6693 4 176 6 232 8 277 13 287 6693 5797 3 167 5 238 8 283 15 286 5797 5000 2 160 4 244 8 287 17 285 5000 4283 2 156 4 250 8 290 19 284 4283 3646 1 148 4 256 8 293 19 282 3646 3112 1 136 3 260 8 295 19 281 3112 2700 1 119 3 263 8 297 18 281 2700 2416 1 114 3 265 7 297 15 281 2416 2244 1 106 3 266 7 298 11*280 2244 2145 1 103 3 266 7 299 7*279 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography