DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 88.2 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 446 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6849 - - 9457 - - - - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7131 - - 9285 - - - - - 2128 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8949 - - 11557 - - - - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2540 - - 1633 - - - - - 358 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 575 - - 660 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 21 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 142 - - - - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -7 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6286 - - -5315 - - - - - -12454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15236 - - 16872 - - - - - 14599 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9431 - - -8437 - - - - - -17623 ODpotential blCL - - - 18380 - - 19994 - - - - - 19768 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 27 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 88.2 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 20.1 - - - - - 20.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.2 - - 85.4 - - - - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.5 - - 20.0 - - - - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 406 - - 446 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6849 - - 9457 - - - - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97419 22 294 25 302 25 296 97419 90153 19 263 30 283 26 303 90153 84541 17 259 25 263 24 294 84541 79843 14 251 18 239 19 266 79843 75785 12 241 12 226 20 256 75785 72202 17 253 14 261 19 269 72202 68962 29 265 26 273 25 271 68962 65993 33 260 29 264 26 266 65993 63260 27 248 25 258 24 271 63260 60625 24 264 26 270 26 272 60625 57884 29 274 31 274 33 282 57884 55047 30 279 33 274 35 287 55047 52331 33 278 35 279 39 298 52331 49873 38 274 40 284 47 300 49873 47656 42 273 42 284 51 300 47656 45634 43 269 44 280 51 297 45634 43775 41 261 45 272 48 290 43775 42061 37 259 44 264 45 285 42061 40479 35 262 40 261 45 278 40479 39017 36 263 36 261 43 274 39017 37659 34 258 33 264 41 277 37659 36360 29 259 30 265 41 277 36360 35046 25 265 27 267 37 278 35046 33685 25 269 26 275 30 284 33685 32280 25 268 25 277 25 292 32280 30815 24 267 22 274 23 293 30815 29278 21 269 18 267 22 293 29278 27671 16 267 15 265 18 303 27671 25992 9 261 11 262 14 306 25992 24245 7 278 6 255 12 292 24245 22434 8 292 3 245 10 279 22434 20553 9 304 3 314 6 245 20553 18597 9 316 5 346 4 177 18597 16605 5 326 3 326 11 156 16605 14689 4 283 3 192 19 171 14689 12944 6 186 9*159 17 167 12944 11383 8 160 8*151 15 153 11383 9986 7*164 8 150 15 135 9986 8735 5*146 8 149 15 127 8735 7616 5 136 7 146 13 121 7616 6619 5 125 6 142 10 105 6619 5734 5 120 5 139 8 064 5734 4949 5 117 4 134 11 031 4949 4244 4 114 4 127 14 017 4244 3617 4 110 3 122 17 010 3617 3092 4 106 3 115 18 006 3092 2689 4 100 3 108 18 004 2689 2410 3 100 2 106 16 002 2410 2241 3 097 2 104 11*358 2241 2145 3 098 2 102 6*354 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography