DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 ElTiro_AZ 2100ft pt22363@32.366,-111.342,2139ft SPONSORED BY: Tucson Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.7 - - 94.6 - - 95.2 - - 84.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 473 - - 184 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6628 - - 8227 - - 8159 - - 45 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6989 - - 8314 - - 7712 - - 2129 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8728 - - 10327 - - 10259 - - 2145 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1561 - - 1793 - - 3133 - - 5820 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 584 - - 643 - - 469 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 218 - - 29 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 023 - - 247 - - 283 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -9 - - -7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6397 - - -7027 - - -7599 - - -13605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15125 - - 17355 - - 17859 - - 15751 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11681 - - -11883 - - -12193 - - -20195 ODpotential blCL - - - 20409 - - 22210 - - 22452 - - 22340 blCL maxRH - - - 25 - - 36 - - 46 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.7 - - 94.6 - - 95.2 - - 84.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.1 - - 24.5 - - 22.8 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.9 - - 91.6 - - 93.6 - - 88.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 24.3 - - 22.7 - - 23.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 473 - - 184 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6628 - - 8227 - - 8159 - - 45 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98421 13 133 6 128 1 218 7 058 98421 90904 15 136 19 158 5 231 7 059 90904 85163 21 126 17 151 8 110 10 116 85163 80417 18 105 16 103 19 109 13 129 80417 76336 8 103 16 097 14 100 16 095 76336 72757 6 120 14 074 17 089 11 078 72757 69548 12 122 4 073 17 076 12 097 69548 66616 14 109 10 169 8 067 14 077 66616 63891 13 109 13 170 5 183 3 097 63891 61250 3 184 15 167 11 201 6 207 61250 58495 16 239 14 218 15 225 8 230 58495 55640 19 232 21 227 23 230 20 243 55640 52919 22 254 23 247 25 241 25 246 52919 50468 33 262 30 261 29 254 29 257 50468 48266 43 262 37 268 34 262 35 264 48266 46272 45 263 40 270 42 262 42 268 46272 44453 45 268 42 270 45 264 44 270 44453 42777 46 275 42 273 44 268 47 272 42777 41217 48 285 44 277 44 273 45 267 41217 39751 50 289 45 279 46 273 44 262 39751 38365 48 287 45 278 45 270 45 258 38365 37024 44 284 42 277 44 268 47 258 37024 35661 39 279 39 276 42 269 46 260 35661 34250 35 276 35 274 36 270 39 259 34250 32798 31 274 32 269 32 265 33 253 32798 31291 28 274 29 268 29 257 30 248 31291 29718 27 275 26 269 26 251 27 242 29718 28075 26 270 25 268 23 249 25 237 28075 26362 23 261 23 262 23 249 24 236 26362 24582 22 255 24 254 25 246 25 238 24582 22736 20 256 21 251 23 245 25 240 22736 20815 17 253 17 247 19 244 21 244 20815 18819 18 243 14 236 16 239 18 245 18819 16788 18 233 15 229 16 234 19 236 16788 14834 16 226 14 226 17 219 20 225 14834 13058 15 222 13 220 16 206 20 197 13058 11478 14 222 10*212 12*210 15 207 11478 10069 12 224 6*216 10*218 11 240 10069 8809 6*220 6 220 8 231 11 262 8809 7681 3*206 5 225 6 261 11 276 7681 6675 1 168 4 244 7 287 12 285 6675 5783 0 084 4 256 7 299 12 292 5783 4989 1 041 4 267 8 305 12 298 4989 4275 1 023 4 275 8 308 12 304 4275 3640 1 019 4 282 9 311 11 309 3640 3108 2 012 4 288 9 313 11 315 3108 2699 2 010 4 291 9 314 10 321 2699 2416 2 012 4 292 9 314 9 326 2416 2244 2 013 4 294 9 314 7 328 2244 2145 2 013 3 295 8 315 5*327 2145 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography