DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 66.1 - - 65.3 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 144 - - -6 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 3602 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 2732 - - 769 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 785 - - 4311 - - 785 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1810 - - 2484 - - 6813 - - 419 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 329 - - 22 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 142 - - 183 - - 149 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 9 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4486 - - -1487 - - -4481 - - -2913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5271 - - 5798 - - 5266 - - 3698 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11018 - - -2724 - - -5384 - - -5636 ODpotential blCL - - - 11803 - - 7035 - - 6169 - - 6421 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 79 - - 90 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 66.1 - - 65.3 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 43.4 - - 45.0 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 64.7 - - 65.6 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 42.7 - - 44.4 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 144 - - -6 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 3602 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 17 - - 61 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96428 84 250 81 247 68 246 69 250 96428 89163 46 255 53 243 56 264 50 261 89163 83602 30 272 36 245 43 265 35 267 83602 78989 24 278 22 262 30 252 29 262 78989 74986 22 276 21 266 25 265 24 265 74986 71441 24 268 23 264 23 272 22 265 71441 68242 24 265 25 263 24 272 19 267 68242 65303 25 272 25 265 26 267 20 278 65303 62564 32 272 28 271 28 264 30 275 62564 59899 41 270 32 272 32 262 39 259 59899 57116 46 262 41 259 40 260 39 252 57116 54234 51 259 51 254 48 256 44 264 54234 51483 56 259 61 256 54 260 53 267 51483 48998 60 260 66 255 68 254 61 261 48998 46773 70 259 67 254 70 246 73 247 46773 44769 75 255 72 253 69 243 75 241 44769 42944 71 250 76 250 69 245 72 241 42944 41270 64 248 71 246 72 251 73 242 41270 39726 57 251 63 244 72 249 77 240 39726 38294 55 253 55 243 63 244 73 239 38294 36954 52 253 50 247 53 244 70 243 36954 35659 48 253 48 247 51 248 69 244 35659 34339 46 258 48 248 51 250 67 244 34339 32965 46 256 50 252 50 251 64 244 32965 31540 46 252 49 251 48 251 62 244 31540 30048 45 251 46 251 46 249 60 243 30048 28479 44 254 43 249 44 247 57 241 28479 26833 40 258 41 243 43 241 54 239 26833 25111 37 259 39 239 42 239 51 238 25111 23317 37 256 39 241 41 242 46 239 23317 21451 40 255 38 245 38 246 41 240 21451 19508 40 256 37 248 35 247 37 245 19508 17483 39 258 35 251 35 244 35 251 17483 15416 34 260 33 252 33 240 34 252 15416 13424 29 262 30 252 30 238 32 247 13424 11612 27 262 28 252 28 244 29 244 11612 10002 27 261 27 254 27 255 25 248 10002 8577 27 262 26 256 22 259 18 250 8577 7315 24 264 23 253 17 247 11 247 7315 6193 19 268 18 240 15 237 10 246 6193 5195 13 259 13*217 13 229 12 233 5195 4315 12 228 11*200 11 214 14 219 4315 3536 13 205 10 191 10 197 16 201 3536 2838 12 183 9 183 10 178 18 185 2838 2221 11 167 9 179 10 169 19 170 2221 1707 9 156 8 176 10 163 21 155 1707 1313 6 152 7 172 9 159 20 147 1313 1042 4 145 7 172 9 155 16 143 1042 878 4*145 6 170 8 152 11*140 878 785 3*142 5 170 5*149 5*136 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography