DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.2 - - 33.0 - - 35.4 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 241 - - 68 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2721 - - 3381 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2129 - - 2823 - - 767 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3430 - - 4090 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 788 - - 1023 - - 3442 - - 1306 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 305 - - 383 - - 71 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 276 - - 259 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -7 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 514 - - 257 - - -2804 - - -1370 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2916 - - 3833 - - 3588 - - 2153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -114 - - -5935 - - -6612 - - -6970 ODpotential blCL - - - 3544 - - 10025 - - 7395 - - 7753 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 80 - - 73 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.2 - - 33.0 - - 35.4 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.4 - - 19.0 - - 22.5 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.1 - - 31.4 - - 34.5 - - 33.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.3 - - 18.0 - - 21.4 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 241 - - 68 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2721 - - 3381 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96499 8 086 6 088 8 119 8 047 96499 89328 9 122 9 117 5 133 3 122 89328 83734 11 177 6 202 3 101 8 167 83734 79044 9 166 9 192 7 264 6 233 79044 74974 6 171 10 211 13 216 5 284 74974 71363 11 194 13 211 14 258 14 271 71363 68086 13 224 18 236 25 238 15 258 68086 65058 16 228 17 212 15 254 28 252 65058 62250 11 260 18 256 25 240 30 241 62250 59521 18 253 16 243 20 224 33 202 59521 56629 26 263 20 274 15 266 27 270 56629 53594 34 263 41 275 43 276 47 272 53594 50716 31 259 45 272 46 270 48 268 50716 48155 30 260 45 267 43 267 42 269 48155 45882 34 265 42 260 43 278 48 281 45882 43835 39 270 37 268 42 281 46 278 43835 41965 37 270 36 282 42 280 53 284 41965 40240 32 282 40 286 43 285 63 286 40240 38649 38 301 36 289 49 292 63 288 38649 37175 41 305 40 302 58 295 65 295 37175 35802 43 304 51 304 62 295 77 302 35802 34495 48 301 62 299 64 297 86 303 34495 33184 52 302 64 295 63 296 85 302 33184 31844 57 305 64 300 62 294 79 301 31844 30470 61 308 72 304 63 296 80 301 30470 29035 61 309 71 299 61 297 87 299 29035 27523 56 306 68 294 59 293 85 301 27523 25932 55 310 67 295 58 292 80 302 25932 24262 58 316 63 300 48 287 64 308 24262 22523 60 318 54 297 38 288 40 303 22523 20719 55 317 51 299 40 286 35 288 20719 18835 53 315 50 304 43 282 38 276 18835 16868 55 310 48 303 41 282 40 271 16868 14860 53 308 46 301 38 285 37 267 14860 12927 47 307 42 299 36 289 34 267 12927 11170 42 306 36 295 36 288 34 266 11170 9611 36 305 31 289 34 282 34 261 9611 8228 31 305 27 285 29 275 34 257 8228 7001 28 309 24 284 25 265 34 253 7001 5915 28 311 22 282 24 255 32 246 5915 4958 28 305 18*276 22 247 27 228 4958 4120 22*299 16*276 18 247 23 214 4120 3382 18*297 16 276 14 251 19 215 3382 2722 18 297 15 276 12 255 12 214 2722 2140 17 297 15 276 12 256 6 212 2140 1654 16 297 14 276 11 257 2 200 1654 1283 15 297 13 276 11 257 1 115 1283 1027 14 297 13 276 10 258 3 088 1027 872 12 296 11 276 9 258 4*094 872 783 9 296 9 276 7*259 3*099 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography