DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 23.1 - - 26.6 - - 17.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 29 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 73 - - 74 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 766 - - 766 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 782 - - 783 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1947 - - 2479 - - 539 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 77 - - 53 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 346 - - 358 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1594 - - -1737 - - -1233 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2377 - - 2520 - - 2015 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10127 - - -8263 - - -10094 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10909 - - 9046 - - 10876 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 81 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 23.1 - - 26.6 - - 17.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 15.7 - - 18.5 - - 11.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 22.0 - - 25.8 - - 21.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 14.6 - - 17.5 - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 29 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 73 - - 74 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 19 - - 25 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96066 53 225 51 241 48 233 96066 88849 38 233 44 245 32 255 88849 83335 23 247 30 242 33 258 83335 78732 24 279 24 258 31 263 78732 74745 23 273 23 262 36 269 74745 71227 30 272 21 252 33 269 71227 68035 36 275 23 272 27 255 68035 65067 39 274 30 283 24 255 65067 62284 42 267 34 276 29 274 62284 59585 44 259 39 268 38 278 59585 56771 43 251 41 258 41 274 56771 53837 42 254 39 255 39 266 53837 51007 47 260 40 260 39 262 51007 48440 51 261 43 259 45 260 48440 46137 52 254 46 257 49 253 46137 44051 52 250 48 255 47 246 44051 42142 52 249 47 252 48 248 42142 40385 50 247 49 251 52 247 40385 38763 48 247 51 251 49 243 38763 37256 48 246 50 249 38 247 37256 35846 50 244 44 244 37 249 35846 34497 50 239 38 250 37 244 34497 33143 37 239 37 252 33 243 33143 31766 24 257 32 253 34 250 31766 30368 23 278 31 269 32 250 30368 28921 20 290 31 272 30 242 28921 27402 20 289 28 267 32 248 27402 25807 17 291 25 264 33 250 25807 24135 16 290 26 264 29 248 24135 22384 15 279 27 258 29 246 22384 20562 19 250 25 250 29 243 20562 18667 23 255 26 248 29 249 18667 16697 23 262 25 254 27 256 16697 14693 20 266 22 256 22 256 14693 12767 18 265 18 263 16 257 12767 11023 16 272 15 278 9 274 11023 9477 12 286 13 294 7 299 9477 8106 9 299 11 300 7 294 8106 6891 7 305 9 295 9 290 6891 5817 6 308 8 293 11 293 5817 4873 6 309 8 303 12 297 4873 4047 7 313 8 315 12 306 4047 3323 7 318 8 321 11 316 3323 2678 5 328 7 327 9 327 2678 2109 4 335 5 340 6 339 2109 1634 4 340 4 347 4 007 1634 1270 3 341 4 351 3 060 1270 1020 3 344 3 354 3 092 1020 869 3 344 3*355 3 111 869 782 2*346 3*358 3*119 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography