DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.7 - - 86.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 205 - - 88 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2757 - - 78 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2325 - - 770 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3466 - - 787 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1833 - - 6096 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 347 - - 82 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 19 - - 40 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 333 - - 041 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -37 - - -3683 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3503 - - 4470 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -998 - - -4423 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4464 - - 5210 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 77 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1440 - - 1490 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.7 - - 86.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 69.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.9 - - 85.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 68.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 205 - - 88 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2757 - - 78 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 46 - - 8 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99326 36 080 32 086 99326 91790 31 089 25 082 91790 86006 29 088 23 091 86006 81210 26 077 23 088 81210 77072 18 084 20 073 77072 73425 19 104 13 071 73425 70134 19 089 11 095 70134 67110 15 052 12 079 67110 64304 8 023 10 050 64304 61602 4 081 3 052 61602 58807 6 044 3 033 58807 55926 5 334 8 318 55926 53195 5 315 11 277 53195 50759 16 270 16 263 50759 48590 23 251 17 250 48590 46627 25 244 21 248 46627 44825 25 242 25 253 44825 43149 25 250 33 255 43149 41577 27 254 38 252 41577 40094 29 251 41 254 40094 38691 29 242 41 253 38691 37328 28 239 37 250 37328 35937 29 240 35 244 35937 34488 29 241 34 244 34488 32986 27 244 31 241 32986 31416 26 246 28 243 31416 29767 26 247 26 247 29767 28037 28 248 26 249 28037 26228 29 248 22 254 26228 24343 26 246 22 257 24343 22385 21 242 23 258 22385 20349 17 246 18 254 20349 18230 17 252 15 251 18230 16075 15 245 14 246 16075 14000 14 257 12 238 14000 12116 13 267 13 258 12116 10442 12 262 14 285 10442 8952 10 252 12 298 8952 7626 7 249 8 278 7626 6450 6 263 7 267 6450 5407 5 274 5 252 5407 4487 3 285 2 198 4487 3673 2*308 2 165 3673 2944 3*322 1 154 2944 2298 3 331 1 143 2298 1759 3 333 1 119 1759 1345 4 335 0 090 1345 1060 4 336 0 068 1060 886 3 337 0*067 886 787 3 338 0*041 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography