DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 53.8 - - 54.9 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 40 - - -12 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 76 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 768 - - 768 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 784 - - 785 - - 785 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1590 - - 3595 - - 6545 - - 5585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 60 - - 18 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 165 - - 217 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3396 - - -4497 - - -4754 - - -3636 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4180 - - 5283 - - 5539 - - 4420 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8181 - - -7034 - - -5619 - - -4754 ODpotential blCL - - - 8965 - - 7819 - - 6404 - - 5538 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 53.8 - - 54.9 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 33.2 - - 33.1 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 53.3 - - 55.3 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 32.4 - - 32.4 - - 33.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 40 - - -12 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 76 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 85 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95345 40 254 49 280 51 274 54 273 95345 88512 35 297 37 292 36 293 41 295 88512 83186 41 310 30 300 29 301 34 300 83186 78701 35 307 27 299 28 303 37 308 78701 74777 29 294 26 300 31 308 40 310 74777 71282 29 287 30 300 30 303 37 304 71282 68101 34 283 34 292 28 290 31 291 68101 65148 37 273 35 281 28 281 30 279 65148 62374 37 274 36 266 30 271 33 265 62374 59668 43 269 42 265 35 270 33 259 59668 56828 46 253 46 256 41 264 39 254 56828 53863 43 247 46 245 47 254 42 245 53863 51027 47 250 49 239 54 248 48 237 51027 48477 58 245 58 240 62 241 50 237 48477 46195 64 239 63 239 64 237 58 243 46195 44126 65 236 66 235 64 238 67 239 44126 42243 61 233 69 229 73 236 79 230 42243 40522 60 238 64 226 82 225 88 221 40522 38931 71 250 69 231 78 218 87 215 38931 37452 84 241 76 232 74 223 87 216 37452 36077 95 234 84 225 78 228 90 218 36077 34766 99 230 85 222 84 227 100 220 34766 33447 98 231 89 220 85 219 107 221 33447 32085 96 234 95 224 97 209 106 220 32085 30680 93 237 98 226 98 209 100 216 30680 29214 90 232 96 227 89 210 95 212 29214 27671 88 231 90 226 87 210 92 210 27671 26052 77 232 87 224 83 211 89 205 26052 24361 72 228 81 221 81 211 89 205 24361 22603 72 223 74 218 78 216 85 206 22603 20778 71 218 69 217 72 222 78 209 20778 18880 65 216 63 216 63 217 68 212 18880 16908 56 221 57 214 55 212 60 214 16908 14902 51 230 51 218 51 219 54 218 14902 12977 54 235 51 224 48 227 45 226 12977 11235 53 236 53 226 44 228 35 231 11235 9692 52 233 50 227 39 229 27 232 9692 8322 49 229 45 229 34 232 25 228 8322 7103 43 225 39 230 28 230 26 222 7103 6020 35 221 32 227 23 222 25 220 6020 5059 29 222 27 220 21 218 23 227 5059 4211 24 230 23 209 20 218 22 235 4211 3459 19 235 19 198 20 218 21 241 3459 2784 16 232 15 186 19 219 20 246 2784 2185 14 219 12 173 17 218 18 251 2185 1685 13 204 11 170 16 218 15 254 1685 1301 11 194 10 168 14 218 12 254 1301 1037 8 182 9 167 11 217 9 253 1037 876 6 175 8*166 9*217 6 251 876 784 4*171 5*165 6*217 3*251 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography