DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 24.4 - - 34.1 - - 35.5 - - 27.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 192 - - 10 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 2363 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 766 - - 1968 - - 767 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - 782 - - 3072 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1526 - - 884 - - 2800 - - 592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 311 - - 37 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 146 - - 187 - - 178 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5922 - - -1706 - - -3567 - - -1250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6704 - - 4778 - - 4350 - - 2033 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16523 - - -8337 - - -9846 - - -9026 ODpotential blCL - - - 17305 - - 11409 - - 10629 - - 9809 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 78 - - 74 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 24.4 - - 34.1 - - 35.5 - - 27.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -1.9 - - 16.0 - - 19.3 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 32.7 - - 35.1 - - 28.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -2.4 - - 15.9 - - 19.1 - - 21.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 192 - - 10 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 2363 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 12 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95746 41 229 53 243 55 249 55 248 95746 88526 32 242 42 244 45 255 41 250 88526 82941 35 256 34 239 40 253 40 249 82941 78280 44 264 33 249 42 253 45 259 78280 74271 48 259 44 255 49 250 53 262 74271 70739 44 266 49 251 51 250 51 257 70739 67536 52 268 49 261 55 263 52 267 67536 64595 58 260 57 260 58 266 57 265 64595 61872 62 261 63 261 59 260 52 259 61872 59208 65 263 67 260 56 259 50 269 59208 56404 61 260 68 264 61 268 67 271 56404 53498 85 267 82 266 77 264 74 262 53498 50724 102 256 96 260 83 257 68 261 50724 48217 101 248 99 255 80 259 75 270 48217 45978 95 250 98 254 85 264 89 268 45978 43974 94 257 98 256 95 262 91 257 43974 42153 92 261 98 256 92 256 72 252 42153 40463 88 264 92 255 81 254 62 265 40463 38885 83 267 85 257 76 258 73 276 38885 37420 83 269 87 262 79 259 78 273 37420 36071 87 269 95 263 84 257 77 264 36071 34791 93 270 101 261 83 255 65 257 34791 33497 98 271 101 257 75 254 55 267 33497 32155 96 271 103 257 68 256 59 280 32155 30766 95 273 102 259 65 260 63 281 30766 29313 97 273 95 263 61 265 64 280 29313 27783 95 275 92 264 55 267 62 277 27783 26176 89 275 87 262 53 268 57 272 26176 24492 84 281 80 261 55 270 53 261 24492 22730 69 282 75 265 56 269 55 260 22730 20891 53 269 68 275 56 270 53 263 20891 18975 48 263 56 275 53 272 47 259 18975 16983 39 264 50 274 48 273 43 253 16983 14953 35 263 42 275 41 266 41 252 14953 13000 29 259 36 267 40 267 38 255 13000 11232 25 258 36 258 41 266 36 257 11232 9667 22 253 34 260 40 261 36 263 9667 8280 20 246 31 259 40 261 38 270 8280 7046 20 240 27 253 39 263 40 270 7046 5948 19 238 24 245 34 264 40 264 5948 4978 17 242 21 234 25 257 38 256 4978 4127 15 244 18 217 18 237 35 246 4127 3379 14 230 14*202 16 214 31 235 3379 2713 14 214 13*194 14 195 30 221 2713 2130 11 183 12 189 13 189 30 207 2130 1646 10 155 12 186 13 185 28 195 1646 1277 8 149 11 183 12 182 22 184 1277 1024 8 147 10 182 11 180 17 175 1024 871 7 147 9 180 9*179 13*172 871 783 5*146 7 180 6*178 7*168 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography