DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 76.8 - - 78.1 - - 73.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 261 - - 122 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4271 - - 6175 - - 5891 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3328 - - 5013 - - 4352 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4980 - - 6884 - - 6600 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2857 - - 1348 - - 1730 - - 6789 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 486 - - 376 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 345 - - 350 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2781 - - -2570 - - -2621 - - -6279 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7761 - - 9454 - - 9222 - - 7066 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10518 - - -9522 - - -8627 - - -11925 ODpotential blCL - - - 15498 - - 16406 - - 15227 - - 12711 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 55 - - 57 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 76.8 - - 78.1 - - 73.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.5 - - 38.2 - - 40.6 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.1 - - 74.9 - - 76.9 - - 75.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 36.9 - - 39.3 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 261 - - 122 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4271 - - 6175 - - 5891 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98682 30 101 20 123 18 086 10 084 98682 91159 12 084 19 113 15 077 13 070 91159 85402 14 088 19 093 7 112 13 078 85402 80652 20 102 16 086 12 136 16 094 80652 76558 18 097 11 081 15 116 14 104 76558 72930 15 087 8 075 14 091 14 077 72930 69636 10 081 7 083 13 060 12 051 69636 66602 11 073 7 112 10 027 11 033 66602 63795 14 030 8 090 7 009 5 041 63795 61084 10 009 7 055 11 340 4 034 61084 58260 7 023 10 031 10 342 9 341 58260 55338 9 010 11 344 7 355 13 331 55338 52553 12 003 13 322 12 353 14 338 52553 50053 14 356 13 332 19 335 17 339 50053 47836 16 019 12 007 19 338 21 339 47836 45850 30 025 20 021 19 351 27 345 45850 44046 39 020 29 004 24 002 30 345 44046 42389 41 026 37 359 33 356 32 338 42389 40855 43 030 42 358 37 355 34 339 40855 39424 44 032 41 002 38 356 32 347 39424 38073 45 036 36 006 37 357 33 357 38073 36762 47 036 31 017 34 358 34 360 36762 35422 49 033 36 026 32 007 34 004 35422 34023 50 033 42 024 36 018 35 008 34023 32569 50 033 45 021 40 021 37 011 32569 31044 44 030 47 022 41 018 39 014 31044 29434 39 023 46 024 41 018 39 015 29434 27740 37 015 42 020 40 025 38 017 27740 25960 35 010 39 014 36 022 35 020 25960 24095 30 009 34 010 33 018 32 020 24095 22149 26 019 28 008 30 015 30 024 22149 20122 25 032 25 011 27 012 26 017 20122 18013 28 035 22 018 24 009 22 006 18013 15867 29 035 22 027 21 005 19 008 15867 13800 27 033 21 037 17 012 15 013 13800 11919 23 032 21 040 14 028 12 014 11919 10252 21 023 19 034 13 040 10 011 10252 8779 19 359 17 022 14 023 10 018 8779 7478 17 342 13*355 12*356 10 007 7478 6325 16 341 13*348 12*352 9 001 6325 5304 15*342 13 346 12 351 9 358 5304 4403 15*341 13 345 12 351 8 357 4403 3605 14 338 13 345 12 350 8 357 3605 2892 12 333 13 344 11 350 8 356 2892 2260 11 332 12 343 11 349 8 355 2260 1734 11 332 12 343 10 349 7 354 1734 1329 10 332 11 343 10 349 7 351 1329 1051 9 331 11 343 9 348 6 348 1051 883 8 332 10 343 9 348 4 343 883 786 7 331 8 342 7 348 3*334 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography