DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 60.7 - - 62.3 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 152 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1706 - - 2799 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1267 - - 2186 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2415 - - 3508 - - 785 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 799 - - 783 - - 4174 - - 132 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 242 - - 308 - - 25 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 249 - - 259 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1367 - - -3364 - - -7019 - - -4308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3782 - - 6872 - - 7804 - - 5094 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8555 - - -9459 - - -13139 - - -12326 ODpotential blCL - - - 10970 - - 12967 - - 13924 - - 13111 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 72 - - 36 - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 60.7 - - 62.3 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 33.5 - - 31.0 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 59.3 - - 62.6 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 32.6 - - 30.1 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 122 - - 152 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1706 - - 2799 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96328 87 247 86 253 89 251 87 251 96328 89072 53 255 54 258 61 254 59 257 89072 83573 30 269 30 249 40 259 42 271 83573 79053 22 268 20 232 27 255 30 275 79053 75150 22 255 14 251 13 259 21 267 75150 71669 17 242 13 255 8 273 15 260 71669 68483 12 250 20 249 15 259 14 275 68483 65539 17 253 21 254 19 252 26 263 65539 62819 16 248 16 251 26 249 23 253 62819 60164 15 258 18 249 27 252 20 269 60164 57369 22 266 23 250 29 262 36 281 57369 54474 29 258 31 253 36 264 44 277 54474 51723 33 252 38 261 44 266 41 274 51723 49243 38 253 44 269 49 263 41 283 49243 47003 44 260 48 271 48 259 52 282 47003 44957 48 263 50 270 46 263 59 274 44957 43080 48 265 54 268 51 263 63 267 43080 41352 49 262 57 259 52 264 57 261 41352 39759 47 258 55 251 51 276 50 270 39759 38287 41 258 48 256 64 282 72 284 38287 36922 37 272 53 274 74 272 88 279 36922 35615 43 281 58 284 69 263 87 269 35615 34294 41 282 57 290 63 267 79 264 34294 32931 35 307 53 290 68 277 74 270 32931 31522 43 327 52 286 71 279 78 280 31522 30048 51 327 53 282 70 276 84 284 30048 28494 52 324 52 283 68 274 83 284 28494 26863 47 316 51 289 65 274 79 280 26863 25154 47 309 52 292 59 277 77 277 25154 23367 49 306 53 291 55 281 73 276 23367 21502 47 303 51 288 53 284 70 277 21502 19553 44 300 48 287 51 284 65 277 19553 17515 40 298 43 283 47 281 60 274 17515 15432 35 293 40 276 44 275 58 272 15432 13425 32 288 39 276 44 272 53 271 13425 11603 30 287 40 281 46 272 47 268 11603 9988 29 291 39 285 45 274 41 267 9988 8556 29 294 37 284 43 275 38 270 8556 7285 27 293 34 282 40 275 36 275 7285 6157 25 291 33 279 36 272 37 278 6157 5160 26 289 30 275 29 265 37 278 5160 4282 28 287 22*268 21 255 36 275 4282 3509 25 285 11*251 16 249 33 271 3509 2819 17*283 10 250 14 250 30 266 2819 2208 12*281 9 249 13 252 25 262 2208 1700 10 280 8 248 12 254 20 264 1700 1309 10 280 7 248 11 256 15 268 1309 1041 9 279 7 248 10 258 11 271 1041 878 8 279 6 248 8*258 7*273 878 785 6 279 5 248 5*259 4*275 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography