DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 71.4 - - 73.4 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 155 - - 10 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1010 - - 2422 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 1950 - - 770 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1719 - - 3131 - - 786 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 692 - - 1232 - - 4718 - - 275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 300 - - 44 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 10 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 184 - - 191 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2012 - - -2632 - - -5054 - - -1723 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3732 - - 5763 - - 5841 - - 2508 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9667 - - -8847 - - -9827 - - -7610 ODpotential blCL - - - 11386 - - 11978 - - 10613 - - 8395 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 56 - - 55 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 71.4 - - 73.4 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 48.9 - - 50.5 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 70.1 - - 73.3 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 47.9 - - 49.7 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 118 - - 155 - - 10 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1010 - - 2422 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97866 28 237 27 237 29 256 24 253 97866 90547 24 249 29 247 32 247 26 251 90547 84876 22 255 26 246 29 243 24 254 84876 80136 17 250 21 243 23 247 21 247 80136 76029 11 241 18 233 23 252 20 246 76029 72407 14 263 16 237 22 245 21 251 72407 69150 17 251 15 247 18 243 17 258 69150 66168 13 240 16 248 20 253 20 262 66168 63408 13 262 20 250 22 244 26 258 63408 60738 20 276 23 263 21 242 27 252 60738 57964 32 271 27 259 25 248 32 254 57964 55099 39 257 34 253 36 252 41 253 55099 52368 41 250 42 252 44 254 46 247 52368 49905 41 246 48 254 50 254 46 248 49905 47694 40 244 49 251 51 250 48 255 47694 45690 39 248 45 246 48 245 52 256 45690 43856 41 254 37 246 44 243 54 252 43856 42163 41 256 35 252 43 242 54 251 42163 40593 40 258 37 254 43 245 56 249 40593 39129 39 257 37 253 41 248 55 245 39129 37754 35 262 37 256 39 256 51 247 37754 36429 35 265 38 261 39 269 49 272 36429 35086 35 260 39 261 46 279 51 278 35086 33692 29 255 38 260 46 274 48 273 33692 32245 24 262 38 263 42 267 45 265 32245 30730 24 266 38 269 35 270 42 261 30730 29134 24 269 37 272 33 274 42 262 29134 27458 24 271 36 271 34 276 42 267 27458 25700 21 264 34 264 34 276 41 269 25700 23861 22 256 32 259 34 273 38 269 23861 21944 27 264 32 263 34 272 36 271 21944 19945 29 276 31 265 37 276 38 275 19945 17865 29 279 31 266 39 277 41 273 17865 15747 29 278 28 267 37 272 40 267 15747 13705 30 273 28 273 33 266 38 266 13705 11849 26 267 28 278 29 268 36 272 11849 10199 22 257 28 277 29 276 31 275 10199 8735 19 249 26 271 30 278 26 277 8735 7437 17 238 24 265 29 274 25 275 7437 6287 15 227 22 260 25 267 25 264 6287 5271 13 225 19 255 19 255 22 253 5271 4375 10 223 15 243 15 237 17 251 4375 3581 11 216 12*217 14 227 16 249 3581 2872 13 203 11*191 12 216 14 238 2872 2244 15*184 11 186 11 206 14 215 2244 1721 14*171 11 183 11 200 18 191 1721 1321 13 166 10 180 10 197 18 178 1321 1046 12 164 9 178 9 194 14 169 1046 880 11 164 9 178 8*192 10 163 880 785 8 163 7 177 6*191 5*156 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography