DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.0 - - 81.5 - - 77.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - 29 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 770 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 786 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4436 - - 4942 - - 3061 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 63 - - 63 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 233 - - 260 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1638 - - -1985 - - -1092 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2424 - - 2772 - - 1879 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2306 - - -2656 - - -2654 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3092 - - 3443 - - 3441 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 89 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1490 - - 1640 - - 1540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.0 - - 81.5 - - 77.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.5 - - 71.5 - - 71.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.3 - - 80.9 - - 78.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.7 - - 70.5 - - 71.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - 29 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 86 - - 58 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98700 26 074 22 072 21 068 98700 91238 20 082 16 093 17 070 91238 85536 16 094 10 075 12 059 85536 80817 15 091 13 064 11 052 80817 76747 14 091 12 073 10 060 76747 73136 14 079 12 065 13 067 73136 69855 12 078 15 054 18 055 69855 66851 13 072 17 056 19 038 66851 64087 14 073 16 062 15 038 64087 61432 19 047 20 050 15 050 61432 58691 21 028 19 034 15 041 58691 55876 23 009 19 012 13 026 55876 53198 24 001 19 346 16 350 53198 50776 28 338 26 315 26 310 50776 48603 24 329 25 298 32 291 48603 46636 22 332 19 307 24 280 46636 44822 28 325 26 315 26 290 44822 43130 33 325 44 304 39 293 43130 41541 34 323 47 296 31 298 41541 40041 30 312 41 287 29 305 40041 38623 28 296 32 271 34 299 38623 37250 18 282 25 259 36 281 37250 35853 11 256 24 253 38 272 35853 34407 12 256 23 246 30 267 34407 32911 10 253 22 244 28 259 32911 31347 14 244 26 247 31 252 31347 29701 19 248 28 244 35 247 29701 27974 21 256 28 254 34 258 27974 26170 22 259 28 281 32 269 26170 24296 22 260 26 287 34 281 24296 22349 21 255 23 292 33 296 22349 20319 22 250 20 302 20 303 20319 18206 25 244 21 301 20 310 18206 16055 28 234 26 306 24 313 16055 13980 26 232 26 302 28 309 13980 12093 19 242 24 291 28 310 12093 10420 14 265 19 280 26 317 10420 8935 13 274 16 274 24 322 8935 7613 14 265 17 274 20 321 7613 6436 15 255 20 276 19 314 6436 5393 15 251 21 274 20 303 5393 4473 16 246 20 271 23 295 4473 3660 15 243 17 267 22 289 3660 2933 15 239 16 265 19 284 2933 2290 14 237 15 263 16 275 2290 1754 14 235 14 262 14 267 1754 1341 13 234 13 262 12 261 1341 1057 12 234 12 261 10 257 1057 885 10 233 10*261 8*253 885 787 8*233 8*260 4*250 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography