DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.4 - - 63.7 - - 67.3 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 293 - - 172 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3763 - - 5087 - - 4359 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3021 - - 4208 - - 3396 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4472 - - 5796 - - 5068 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1074 - - 1162 - - 1338 - - 4923 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 372 - - 469 - - 374 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 15 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 310 - - 317 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -6 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 401 - - 405 - - -1136 - - -3941 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4071 - - 5392 - - 6205 - - 4726 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 206 - - -90 - - -7994 - - -8099 ODpotential blCL - - - 4266 - - 5886 - - 13062 - - 8884 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 93 - - 74 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.4 - - 63.7 - - 67.3 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 42.8 - - 42.9 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 61.8 - - 65.9 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 41.6 - - 41.9 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 198 - - 293 - - 172 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3763 - - 5087 - - 4359 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 73 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98235 6 355 5 169 9 323 5 350 98235 90850 2 132 2 083 4 318 10 304 90850 85152 5 160 2 145 2 262 11 297 85152 80387 7 135 6 163 7 236 11 272 80387 76274 1 276 4 169 6 217 6 272 76274 72646 9 268 4 210 6 223 8 256 72646 69358 10 266 6 204 7 232 7 275 69358 66326 10 248 5 234 10 235 10 300 66326 63522 10 238 4 268 9 244 13 291 63522 60810 9 228 10 255 11 247 12 271 60810 57971 11 277 15 297 8 299 11 291 57971 55022 18 287 29 290 23 314 17 307 55022 52224 19 287 30 270 31 304 28 315 52224 49739 27 300 23 271 36 296 36 303 49739 47534 37 311 28 300 39 289 32 301 47534 45542 47 306 33 313 33 300 31 308 45542 43723 49 299 40 334 36 319 40 296 43723 42042 47 302 61 329 46 317 33 307 42042 40489 49 330 71 322 50 319 41 322 40489 39054 71 349 77 319 61 310 51 314 39054 37705 95 338 78 317 65 306 61 302 37705 36395 108 330 76 315 64 301 60 297 36395 35054 106 328 76 317 62 297 57 290 35054 33655 101 330 74 323 60 296 56 285 33655 32201 98 336 68 318 58 296 53 280 32201 30677 93 341 66 314 55 298 49 280 30677 29070 85 341 62 316 53 300 46 284 29070 27383 84 326 61 318 51 303 43 287 27383 25616 90 318 60 315 48 302 40 291 25616 23770 81 325 60 312 47 298 42 291 23770 21845 66 324 60 313 43 298 40 293 21845 19835 57 324 59 316 40 304 34 297 19835 17743 52 331 54 325 36 311 34 303 17743 15615 49 338 44 329 31 316 27 308 15615 13569 44 338 35 326 28 305 24 301 13569 11716 41 337 31 325 27 303 24 295 11716 10079 39 341 29 331 24 312 21 292 10079 8631 35 347 26 335 20 322 18 286 8631 7348 29 352 20 326 17 318 16 279 7348 6213 25 348 16*308 14 309 14 280 6213 5211 18*325 16*307 13*311 12 290 5211 4328 18*322 16 308 13*313 11 301 4328 3548 17 321 16 309 13 314 10 309 3548 2849 17 320 15 310 13 316 10 316 2849 2230 16 319 15 311 13 318 10 321 2230 1714 16 319 14 312 12 319 10 326 1714 1318 15 319 13 313 12 320 9 330 1318 1045 14 319 13 313 11 320 8 333 1045 880 12 319 12 313 10 321 6 335 880 785 9 318 9 313 8 320 3*339 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography