DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/24 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 55.8 - - 53.8 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 250 - - 35 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3366 - - 5903 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2614 - - 4742 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4075 - - 6612 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2097 - - 1311 - - 6717 - - 3215 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 461 - - 56 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 277 - - 297 - - 327 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1391 - - 26 - - -5029 - - -2842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5466 - - 6586 - - 5813 - - 3626 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3089 - - -22 - - -5098 - - -4371 ODpotential blCL - - - 7164 - - 6634 - - 5882 - - 5155 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 93 - - 96 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.7 - - 55.8 - - 53.8 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.7 - - 29.7 - - 31.3 - - 33.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 54.2 - - 53.2 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.0 - - 29.2 - - 31.0 - - 33.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 250 - - 35 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3366 - - 5903 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 71 - - 84 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97180 51 246 54 257 43 256 41 253 97180 89976 35 245 42 241 44 255 37 248 89976 84396 30 250 30 226 40 245 37 250 84396 79743 27 250 24 237 34 233 31 249 79743 75710 25 232 24 240 25 239 21 230 75710 72113 16 242 23 243 23 249 18 249 72113 68840 18 233 19 245 18 251 21 259 68840 65825 14 239 17 232 16 247 21 258 65825 63025 19 279 12 223 21 209 20 261 63025 60314 27 271 25 273 30 258 27 276 60314 57491 33 262 35 256 31 260 37 268 57491 54561 37 261 33 262 33 273 39 276 54561 51775 44 262 43 268 48 273 53 278 51775 49288 49 267 49 266 58 270 63 273 49288 47063 57 272 51 272 61 269 66 272 47063 45045 63 272 58 274 62 268 70 276 45045 43201 62 270 59 272 60 268 75 278 43201 41510 61 278 60 281 60 275 73 276 41510 39949 70 285 73 291 67 283 69 277 39949 38491 85 286 84 290 73 288 68 281 38491 37119 97 284 88 287 77 292 67 285 37119 35795 101 281 91 286 80 291 66 287 35795 34455 98 280 93 286 80 290 67 290 34455 33070 92 282 95 285 79 289 69 292 33070 31637 87 284 93 285 80 288 71 291 31637 30137 81 285 90 290 81 287 71 291 30137 28555 76 286 92 293 82 289 71 290 28555 26891 68 283 92 297 85 291 73 289 26891 25144 57 279 77 296 87 292 75 288 25144 23314 47 275 54 289 83 296 76 290 23314 21404 37 272 33 294 62 293 71 293 21404 19415 30 277 31 297 46 281 58 289 19415 17355 32 283 31 295 36 278 45 279 17355 15269 33 283 30 292 34 286 38 274 15269 13264 30 281 29 291 32 289 34 283 13264 11443 27 277 27 287 30 287 31 290 11443 9829 24 274 23 276 27 282 28 293 9829 8404 21 275 16 274 18 276 20 294 8404 7153 19 280 14*290 14 294 16 321 7153 6053 21 284 14*293 13 305 18 333 6053 5079 24 283 14 294 14 313 18 330 5079 4220 22*280 14 296 14 318 17 325 4220 3461 20*279 14 297 14 321 17 322 3461 2782 18 278 14 298 14 323 17 321 2782 2183 16 276 14 298 14 324 17 321 2183 1683 14 275 14 299 13 325 16 323 1683 1299 13 275 13 299 13 326 15 323 1299 1035 12 275 12 299 12 326 12 321 1035 876 11 275 11 299 11 326 9 317 876 784 9 274 9 299 8*327 4*312 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography