DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.5 - - 19.1 - - 19.3 - - 10.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 101 - - 5 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 2026 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 765 - - 1372 - - 765 - - 765 Hcrit BL Top - - - 782 - - 2735 - - 782 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2032 - - 1036 - - 4709 - - 364 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 56 - - 242 - - 34 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 26 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 295 - - 294 - - 292 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -7 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1681 - - 74 - - -1979 - - -1275 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2463 - - 2661 - - 2762 - - 2057 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15326 - - -12839 - - -2193 - - -3530 ODpotential blCL - - - 16108 - - 15574 - - 2975 - - 4312 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 83 - - 93 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.5 - - 19.1 - - 19.3 - - 10.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.6 - - 10.4 - - 10.1 - - 4.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 15.1 - - 18.5 - - 19.0 - - 14.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.9 - - 9.4 - - 9.4 - - 6.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 101 - - 5 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 2026 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 32 - - 72 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96156 109 226 104 235 103 232 111 233 96156 88852 108 239 106 239 106 243 108 239 88852 83214 95 248 91 244 98 248 101 246 83214 78588 69 245 75 245 84 246 87 249 78588 74668 53 243 64 234 70 238 73 243 74668 71229 47 248 57 237 59 237 62 234 71229 68085 45 252 57 252 52 235 56 232 68085 65159 46 248 60 237 57 228 61 242 65159 62436 55 238 64 219 64 236 69 248 62436 59803 69 240 67 223 77 242 78 244 59803 57049 82 235 75 232 86 238 85 237 57049 54159 89 233 84 233 91 234 85 237 54159 51360 94 235 91 236 98 237 94 241 51360 48812 101 236 99 239 107 238 102 242 48812 46506 108 237 107 238 112 237 109 241 46506 44399 118 237 114 236 116 237 118 241 44399 42464 126 237 120 235 121 239 125 240 42464 40677 131 237 128 236 131 241 128 241 40677 39015 137 239 135 238 142 242 132 242 39015 37466 145 241 144 240 151 243 143 243 37466 36018 157 242 156 243 161 244 151 242 36018 34626 166 240 169 243 172 243 153 241 34626 33217 170 238 177 243 177 241 150 241 33217 31765 170 234 180 242 178 240 147 240 31765 30273 163 231 179 240 180 238 145 238 30273 28727 156 230 174 238 183 236 144 236 28727 27116 152 229 166 237 183 235 140 235 27116 25439 144 230 160 238 175 235 129 235 25439 23700 127 230 142 238 156 236 116 236 23700 21905 117 228 114 233 133 234 104 237 21905 20063 103 232 102 231 121 230 92 240 20063 18174 76 235 97 232 113 226 75 243 18174 16236 65 233 87 235 100 230 59 249 16236 14281 68 232 73 238 89 237 48 257 14281 12406 58 236 62 238 75 245 42 270 12406 10707 42 239 55 240 58 254 39 281 10707 9205 33 243 46 247 45 267 36 294 9205 7884 30 256 39 262 40 283 36 307 7884 6720 29 272 36 280 38 297 36 314 6720 5694 32 288 35 295 35 302 37 313 5694 4786 35 299 36 303 34 301 39 307 4786 3985 38 302 34 303 33 300 40 301 3985 3278 39 301 31*297 32 299 39 298 3278 2645 38 299 30*295 30 298 37 295 2645 2086 33 297 29 294 28 296 32 293 2086 1620 28 297 27 294 26 296 27 290 1620 1262 25 296 26 293 23 295 22 285 1262 1016 21 296 23 293 20 294 15 278 1016 867 18*295 19 293 17*293 11*272 867 782 12*295 13 292 11*292 5*261 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography