DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.5 - - 86.0 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 230 - - 109 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4939 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3996 - - 770 - - 771 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5648 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1740 - - 7544 - - 6416 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 433 - - 86 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 31 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 051 - - 117 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1018 - - -6236 - - -4063 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6666 - - 7023 - - 4850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5180 - - -6537 - - -5466 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10828 - - 7324 - - 6253 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 84 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.5 - - 86.0 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.1 - - 58.1 - - 62.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.5 - - 84.7 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.0 - - 57.0 - - 62.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 230 - - 109 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4939 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 9 - - 36 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99463 41 087 27 080 31 067 99463 91992 38 078 34 080 31 079 91992 86215 31 070 37 073 29 078 86215 81407 27 069 28 073 24 064 81407 77264 22 059 19 085 20 051 77264 73609 14 041 11 093 13 047 73609 70299 7 026 6 103 5 080 70299 67254 1 359 5 026 12 057 67254 64446 4 085 6 004 7 014 64446 61763 2 319 9 353 5 354 61763 58998 10 308 17 327 13 342 58998 56158 14 302 24 305 22 322 56158 53471 18 301 26 283 30 312 53471 51080 27 300 32 284 41 300 51080 48947 38 306 37 299 38 303 48947 47007 47 307 38 315 38 314 47007 45218 45 299 37 324 39 316 45218 43544 42 302 36 329 42 313 43544 41968 42 302 38 325 39 312 41968 40478 43 304 41 324 37 316 40478 39063 42 306 40 322 36 321 39063 37686 40 306 36 312 37 322 37686 36282 34 301 33 307 36 318 36282 34823 30 294 30 302 32 305 34823 33309 29 296 27 297 31 297 33309 31720 30 296 29 295 31 293 31720 30045 30 297 31 296 31 292 30045 28287 26 302 30 295 27 292 28287 26448 22 306 27 299 25 303 26448 24529 22 298 24 297 26 314 24529 22534 24 291 27 296 27 307 22534 20465 25 294 31 297 37 311 20465 18314 27 299 37 301 40 312 18314 16123 28 301 38 305 35 307 16123 14017 26 305 38 308 34 305 14017 12108 21 304 33 312 32 310 12108 10416 13 300 20 313 22 315 10416 8922 7 301 7 308 12 301 8922 7601 3 334 0 223 5 274 7601 6429 2*042 1 134 3 137 6429 5390 2*056 1 122 4 116 5390 4473 2 056 2 123 5 111 4473 3661 3 056 2 121 6 107 3661 2934 3 051 2 120 6 105 2934 2290 3 050 2 120 6 102 2290 1753 3 047 2 119 6 101 1753 1341 3 044 2 118 6 099 1341 1057 3 042 2 117 6 099 1057 885 2 042 2*117 5*097 885 787 2 040 2*117 3*094 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography