DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 63.8 - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 257 - - 140 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5928 - - 6951 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4806 - - 5239 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6637 - - 7660 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1620 - - 2479 - - 7244 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 475 - - 414 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 333 - - 315 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -482 - - -268 - - -5093 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7120 - - 7929 - - 5878 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5948 - - -1555 - - -6494 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12585 - - 9215 - - 7279 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 76 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 63.8 - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 33.6 - - 31.7 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 60.2 - - 62.6 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.4 - - 30.6 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 257 - - 140 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5928 - - 6951 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 49 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98054 5 204 7 294 10 310 98054 90673 4 128 7 283 11 326 90673 84994 4 272 3 250 13 321 84994 80256 3 226 8 233 12 299 80256 76159 4 246 6 254 12 269 76159 72530 10 224 8 261 10 250 72530 69234 12 255 11 262 14 263 69234 66188 15 248 15 246 18 263 66188 63359 21 264 24 272 19 266 63359 60624 26 259 32 254 20 282 60624 57765 31 254 26 256 30 266 57765 54799 34 264 36 257 43 270 54799 51976 51 265 47 264 49 258 51976 49431 63 262 54 257 55 276 49431 47153 66 255 61 264 73 268 47153 45095 66 252 72 264 72 257 45095 43205 73 252 82 256 61 256 43205 41453 80 248 73 251 69 262 41453 39828 79 245 67 251 72 263 39828 38315 79 245 74 256 75 266 38315 36902 83 248 83 256 81 266 36902 35546 88 249 87 255 82 264 35546 34180 97 245 87 254 81 264 34180 32778 101 243 84 252 81 263 32778 31341 87 241 79 250 81 261 31341 29849 78 236 75 249 80 261 29849 28287 74 232 73 247 80 263 28287 26652 70 225 71 248 77 266 26652 24943 66 219 69 249 71 269 24943 23159 64 220 67 250 60 268 23159 21304 67 233 65 252 52 266 21304 19372 68 250 61 253 46 270 19372 17355 55 256 55 254 39 277 17355 15291 46 250 47 261 35 281 15291 13300 43 246 40 275 32 285 13300 11498 39 262 34 283 28 288 11498 9908 32 280 24 293 24 297 9908 8503 23 290 19*306 23 309 8503 7252 13*307 18*308 22 317 7252 6139 10*323 17 309 21 322 6139 5152 10 328 16 313 21 328 5152 4281 9 331 15 315 21 332 4281 3510 9 334 14 317 22 335 3510 2820 9 336 14 319 22 336 2820 2210 9 338 13 320 21 336 2210 1701 8 339 13 322 20 336 1701 1310 8 340 12 322 18 336 1310 1041 8 339 11 323 14 335 1041 878 7 340 10 323 11*335 878 785 6 339 8 323 6*334 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography