DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.1 - - 24.3 - - 21.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 297 - - 75 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4127 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3458 - - 766 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4836 - - 782 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 910 - - 5320 - - 4356 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 434 - - 72 - - 50 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 285 - - 287 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -483 - - -3899 - - -3574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5320 - - 4681 - - 4356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4828 - - -3918 - - -3965 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9664 - - 4700 - - 4747 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 98 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.1 - - 24.3 - - 21.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 5.1 - - 6.3 - - 5.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 24.4 - - 23.6 - - 21.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 4.8 - - 6.2 - - 5.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 297 - - 75 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4127 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 53 - - 93 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95609 37 286 35 261 36 265 95609 88775 23 302 22 295 23 305 88775 83411 22 276 24 290 21 310 83411 78919 23 273 25 278 25 295 78919 75029 17 285 17 278 22 284 75029 71556 16 285 14 292 15 268 71556 68347 22 267 26 280 21 282 68347 65353 21 270 28 270 25 271 65353 62548 14 263 20 262 21 252 62548 59797 19 217 20 258 24 271 59797 56901 28 252 30 262 30 275 56901 53882 44 247 37 248 36 265 53882 50991 47 235 43 238 42 252 50991 48388 48 227 46 233 42 242 48388 46051 48 226 45 231 39 242 46051 43930 48 228 45 234 38 245 43930 41992 49 231 48 234 40 246 41992 40207 54 230 54 230 45 243 40207 38553 61 223 59 226 50 239 38553 37010 66 215 62 221 52 234 37010 35565 66 210 63 216 52 228 35565 34180 64 211 60 214 49 221 34180 32785 63 217 57 214 46 216 32785 31351 70 223 57 214 44 216 31351 29883 78 222 58 214 42 219 29883 28365 86 216 62 214 42 223 28365 26786 91 213 68 214 44 225 26786 25152 94 212 74 213 45 225 25152 23469 96 213 76 212 42 223 23469 21738 98 213 77 211 33 225 21738 19958 95 214 74 213 23 247 19958 18124 88 218 68 219 22 294 18124 16228 79 221 58 225 27 313 16228 14301 66 223 42 237 30 320 14301 12445 51 229 29 255 30 324 12445 10755 34 234 23 269 31 321 10755 9251 23 241 24 276 31 316 9251 7915 21 254 26 280 30 313 7915 6734 22 266 27 282 32 306 6734 5696 22*278 26 283 36 298 5696 4787 23*282 26 284 35 295 4787 3989 23 284 26 285 32 295 3989 3284 23 285 25 285 31 296 3284 2653 23 285 25 285 29 296 2653 2092 23 286 24 286 26 296 2092 1625 22 286 23 286 24 297 1625 1266 21 286 22 286 21 297 1266 1019 20 286 20 287 18 297 1019 868 18 286 17 286 15 296 868 782 13 286 12*287 11*296 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography