DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 12.3 - - 24.5 - - 28.7 - - 20.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 78 - - 24 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 73 - - 74 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 765 - - 766 - - 766 - - 766 Hcrit BL Top - - - 782 - - 782 - - 783 - - 782 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 338 - - 1600 - - 1743 - - 546 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 56 - - 73 - - 51 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 076 - - 138 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2675 - - -2834 - - -2099 - - -1082 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3457 - - 3616 - - 2883 - - 1864 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19553 - - -16020 - - -14474 - - -15777 ODpotential blCL - - - 20335 - - 16802 - - 15257 - - 16559 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 58 - - 70 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 12.3 - - 24.5 - - 28.7 - - 20.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.6 - - 11.9 - - 19.3 - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 12.2 - - 23.4 - - 28.1 - - 23.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.3 - - 10.9 - - 18.2 - - 16.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 78 - - 24 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 73 - - 73 - - 74 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96304 25 249 40 269 36 267 29 276 96304 89260 11 281 21 264 24 288 19 307 89260 83791 16 329 10 291 21 319 24 324 83791 79206 17 339 3 255 15 318 23 325 79206 75218 15 350 6 359 12 324 19 319 75218 71659 21 328 17 341 17 336 17 330 71659 68422 24 314 21 327 23 333 21 329 68422 65441 29 298 26 302 27 321 25 317 65441 62672 31 299 32 295 31 315 30 317 62672 59986 40 300 40 296 41 303 38 303 59986 57182 45 296 48 292 47 295 47 300 57182 54270 50 292 48 289 52 294 55 295 54270 51478 54 289 48 296 58 292 59 296 51478 48949 57 291 52 293 57 291 67 296 48949 46679 57 293 53 294 55 293 70 295 46679 44618 60 295 53 296 56 295 67 294 44618 42728 63 294 57 298 53 297 60 299 42728 40990 63 292 62 295 53 306 58 306 40990 39389 62 293 63 290 80 305 79 309 39389 37916 63 295 60 291 78 295 81 301 37916 36557 64 301 59 296 62 294 65 296 36557 35264 66 312 57 303 57 314 65 310 35264 33963 68 306 64 305 72 327 88 316 33963 32617 67 295 68 303 79 317 82 317 32617 31221 69 296 68 304 71 306 74 317 31221 29758 67 302 71 304 68 299 72 319 29758 28216 67 307 74 299 69 299 71 322 28216 26591 71 310 75 296 71 300 71 316 26591 24881 70 312 69 298 71 298 69 310 24881 23090 65 312 61 301 64 298 67 306 23090 21221 61 311 54 304 57 300 62 304 21221 19270 58 311 50 305 51 300 57 302 19270 17232 51 311 47 302 47 297 53 298 17232 15149 46 313 39 303 44 294 48 295 15149 13141 39 315 33 301 39 290 44 293 13141 11320 30 314 26 297 31 284 38 291 11320 9711 24 311 23 296 24 278 30 283 9711 8294 21 310 20 298 20 278 24 275 8294 7044 17 312 16 298 16 280 19 271 7044 5938 13 308 11 296 13 273 17 266 5938 4962 9 288 7 283 11 258 16 259 4962 4107 8 265 6 255 12 242 17 248 4107 3359 7 251 7 234 14 222 19 235 3359 2697 3 255 6 209 11 205 16 226 2697 2118 2 345 4 177 8 172 10 204 2118 1638 4 017 2 135 7 156 12 168 1638 1272 3 012 1 112 5 146 12 148 1272 1021 1 359 1 090 5 143 10 137 1021 869 1*350 1 080 5*140 7 128 869 782 1*007 1*076 4*138 4*116 782 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography