DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 67.7 - - 70.6 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 158 - - 72 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 1726 - - 1729 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 768 - - 1463 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - 785 - - 2435 - - 2438 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1480 - - 915 - - 1070 - - 2210 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 83 - - 269 - - 212 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 122 - - 132 - - 137 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -691 - - 69 - - -19 - - -729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1476 - - 2366 - - 2457 - - 1515 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -631 - - -306 - - -2191 - - -1664 ODpotential blCL - - - 1416 - - 2741 - - 4629 - - 2450 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.8 - - 67.7 - - 70.6 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.1 - - 62.5 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 66.1 - - 69.7 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 59.2 - - 61.7 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 158 - - 72 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 1726 - - 1729 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 96 - - 87 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98533 13 090 10 071 15 073 10 060 98533 91052 12 116 10 108 9 067 10 057 91052 85278 13 106 14 109 6 103 12 048 85278 80483 16 089 11 103 8 097 6 048 80483 76374 16 065 11 096 8 111 6 052 76374 72774 8 046 13 065 5 087 6 048 72774 69527 8 052 7 037 2 026 8 000 69527 66545 8 017 4 035 3 341 12 322 66545 63778 6 296 3 330 7 316 7 327 63778 61102 1 236 4 207 13 277 12 299 61102 58320 6 288 3 271 9 238 10 266 58320 55433 16 254 13 266 14 267 16 256 55433 52687 23 252 28 265 28 258 25 245 52687 50253 28 258 36 254 34 257 30 254 50253 48110 33 258 39 244 47 246 48 259 48110 46192 30 249 30 240 43 242 52 246 46192 44442 26 284 35 252 40 249 55 254 44442 42813 45 291 38 262 47 258 58 249 42813 41282 45 290 40 264 52 258 54 244 41282 39831 41 284 41 265 55 254 51 241 39831 38453 40 264 35 261 52 254 46 237 38453 37110 42 255 34 251 46 255 43 234 37110 35735 41 254 37 250 43 254 42 236 35735 34301 39 252 39 250 38 250 42 242 34301 32810 25 247 39 233 38 248 45 248 32810 31249 23 245 36 229 40 249 46 250 31249 29606 24 255 38 224 41 247 41 249 29606 27883 27 263 37 222 41 246 37 245 27883 26080 32 256 37 233 36 244 37 238 26080 24195 27 251 31 244 32 234 34 239 24195 22236 22 232 21 238 28 230 30 227 22236 20200 24 230 25 232 29 225 32 216 20200 18083 22 233 26 229 30 225 29 219 18083 15930 18 227 22 227 26 229 26 224 15930 13857 19 223 22 224 21 224 22 223 13857 11974 19 222 22 229 19 219 20 217 11974 10301 19 230 21 234 18 222 19 217 10301 8815 18 227 18 238 18 222 20 217 8815 7495 17 222 15 237 19 217 21 212 7495 6323 18 220 12 233 21 212 22 209 6323 5290 19 217 11 229 20 206 20 207 5290 4382 19 214 14 219 17 206 18 206 4382 3584 17 209 13 211 14 198 18 188 3584 2872 13 199 8*189 10*170 17 163 2872 2246 8 176 5*142 9*141 16 151 2246 1724 3 147 5 135 9 138 15 144 1724 1324 2 138 5 129 8 136 13 139 1324 1049 2 129 5 126 8 134 11 134 1049 881 2*123 4 124 7 133 9*131 881 786 2*122 4 122 5 132 5*128 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography