DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.2 - - 85.2 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 164 - - 76 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4547 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3577 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5256 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4296 - - 7863 - - 6346 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 389 - - 80 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 308 - - 313 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -635 - - -6415 - - -3915 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5892 - - 7203 - - 4702 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1768 - - -7734 - - -5418 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7024 - - 8521 - - 6205 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 62 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 610 - - 20 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.2 - - 85.2 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.0 - - 56.3 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.9 - - 84.3 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.7 - - 55.1 - - 59.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 164 - - 76 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4547 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98607 24 098 20 071 21 078 98607 91154 23 084 19 063 19 075 91154 85449 19 079 20 052 22 068 85449 80725 16 077 11 055 16 055 80725 76654 17 071 8 094 10 034 76654 73049 15 060 9 089 8 037 73049 69776 9 075 9 060 9 007 69776 66781 10 038 5 033 12 012 66781 64021 12 012 6 007 15 341 64021 61340 11 342 13 335 7 342 61340 58529 20 332 22 329 29 340 58529 55623 27 310 34 314 32 324 55623 52860 26 308 32 302 33 317 52860 50377 30 320 32 308 34 321 50377 48158 41 314 43 314 48 323 48158 46157 47 290 56 304 57 311 46157 44335 51 289 60 299 60 310 44335 42661 56 297 63 303 63 314 42661 41106 61 304 66 306 66 314 41106 39645 66 306 67 306 66 312 39645 38263 70 305 67 306 64 312 38263 36923 70 304 65 306 61 313 36923 35558 69 302 64 308 58 314 35558 34139 66 299 65 307 55 315 34139 32668 62 298 66 308 53 315 32668 31129 61 298 64 309 51 316 31129 29507 60 303 62 309 50 316 29507 27804 55 304 61 312 51 319 27804 26019 50 299 56 320 48 327 26019 24157 51 295 47 317 41 333 24157 22220 49 298 41 311 36 330 22220 20203 46 303 38 309 34 322 20203 18097 42 308 34 312 34 321 18097 15949 39 308 32 314 31 324 15949 13880 33 303 32 317 26 325 13880 12005 29 291 27 316 21 313 12005 10345 28 287 21 300 21 290 10345 8873 25 286 22 292 24 289 8873 7563 24 288 19 296 21 297 7563 6400 21 293 18 300 16 311 6400 5368 19*297 17 303 15 322 5368 4455 18*300 17 305 15 329 4455 3648 17 305 16 308 15 334 3648 2924 16 308 16 309 15 338 2924 2284 15 309 16 311 15 342 2284 1749 15 311 15 311 14 344 1749 1339 14 311 14 312 13 345 1339 1056 13 311 13 312 11 346 1056 885 12 312 12*313 8*346 885 787 10 312 9*313 4*347 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography