DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.7 - - 81.7 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 104 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3164 - - 3701 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2518 - - 2668 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3873 - - 4410 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2200 - - 1573 - - 4951 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 336 - - 309 - - 26 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 303 - - 321 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 164 - - -403 - - -3018 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3709 - - 4813 - - 3804 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -767 - - -2470 - - -4412 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4640 - - 6880 - - 5198 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 91 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 460 - - 60 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.7 - - 81.7 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.8 - - 63.1 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.3 - - 80.6 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.8 - - 62.2 - - 63.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 160 - - 104 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3164 - - 3701 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 64 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99445 33 079 30 090 27 080 99445 91924 30 089 28 089 28 088 91924 86158 29 092 23 084 27 085 86158 81390 28 083 23 082 25 075 81390 77274 26 082 23 083 23 072 77274 73621 23 081 18 087 20 081 73621 70321 19 079 17 090 16 084 70321 67306 13 084 13 077 11 091 67306 64517 10 109 6 102 6 055 64517 61814 6 115 9 141 2 296 61814 59002 10 134 8 154 7 208 59002 56094 3 036 6 207 9 211 56094 53330 11 265 17 247 14 231 53330 50864 24 219 28 233 22 222 50864 48664 42 215 42 215 29 225 48664 46663 53 218 54 219 44 229 46663 44833 61 216 69 220 62 226 44833 43147 70 215 72 216 68 222 43147 41568 76 212 72 213 68 217 41568 40077 78 209 73 211 68 215 40077 38661 77 210 74 214 68 215 38661 37285 76 206 74 215 69 217 37285 35881 75 205 74 216 69 221 35881 34422 74 207 74 214 68 226 34422 32914 74 209 72 213 56 231 32914 31342 72 213 67 218 43 227 31342 29696 56 216 53 220 33 229 29696 27972 42 218 37 228 28 234 27972 26170 36 225 26 234 23 230 26170 24291 27 237 17 249 17 262 24291 22343 23 248 10 263 8 299 22343 20317 20 257 7 323 7 008 20317 18201 19 259 14 344 12 015 18201 16035 21 251 14 338 11 020 16035 13946 21 253 10 305 7 032 13946 12051 20 258 12 287 6 000 12051 10375 18 254 13 283 7 301 10375 8888 18 248 14 275 9 269 8888 7568 17 249 13 272 6 280 7568 6398 14 258 11 280 3 298 6398 5363 12 273 9 297 3 354 5363 4450 11*291 9*310 7 003 4450 3644 11*298 9*314 9 002 3644 2921 11 301 9 318 10 001 2921 2282 10 303 9 320 11 001 2282 1748 10 305 9 322 11 001 1748 1338 9 305 9 324 11 360 1338 1056 9 306 8 324 10 359 1056 885 8 306 8 325 8 358 885 786 7 307 6 324 5*357 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography