DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.5 - - 88.6 - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 243 - - 105 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6464 - - 6030 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5208 - - 4369 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7173 - - 6739 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1386 - - 1784 - - 5984 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 484 - - 365 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 250 - - 243 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2456 - - -3108 - - -5423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9629 - - 9848 - - 6211 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7137 - - -7778 - - -10146 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14310 - - 14517 - - 10933 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 63 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.5 - - 88.6 - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.9 - - 48.1 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.4 - - 87.4 - - 83.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.7 - - 46.8 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 243 - - 105 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6464 - - 6030 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98721 6 097 18 061 9 048 98721 91212 8 065 9 018 14 030 91212 85431 9 079 3 057 12 028 85431 80660 13 078 3 055 15 045 80660 76568 11 095 2 254 14 031 76568 72957 8 096 1 203 8 005 72957 69686 8 096 1 097 4 292 69686 66677 5 012 7 041 1 324 66677 63887 3 329 6 011 3 354 63887 61188 5 342 7 004 3 011 61188 58379 8 320 6 344 8 323 58379 55488 15 321 12 336 15 309 55488 52752 25 311 20 310 17 302 52752 50305 23 299 20 301 18 294 50305 48137 19 289 20 281 23 282 48137 46198 26 288 21 285 24 263 46198 44431 36 282 27 286 25 258 44431 42792 37 276 32 283 26 257 42792 41252 35 276 32 279 27 260 41252 39797 34 278 31 278 28 260 39797 38416 36 280 32 280 28 257 38416 37074 38 280 30 279 27 258 37074 35703 37 278 32 271 28 265 35703 34275 38 272 34 261 29 268 34275 32792 35 270 35 256 30 269 32792 31240 30 271 34 255 32 267 31240 29607 26 273 33 259 32 262 29607 27895 23 270 31 260 27 264 27895 26105 23 257 24 259 28 268 26105 24237 25 254 25 257 29 267 24237 22294 24 259 24 261 27 264 22294 20274 20 274 22 274 25 267 20274 18170 20 292 21 292 21 275 18170 16024 21 302 16 305 16 274 16024 13953 20 301 15 299 14 271 13953 12068 17 295 15 288 15 276 12068 10393 14 284 16 278 17 274 10393 8906 13 261 13 258 17 260 8906 7588 8*244 9*239 15 242 7588 6418 8*245 9*239 12 233 6418 5382 7 247 9 240 9 239 5382 4466 7 248 9 242 8 251 4466 3657 7 250 8 243 8 260 3657 2930 6 252 8 245 8 266 2930 2288 6 254 8 246 8 270 2288 1752 5 255 8 248 9 273 1752 1341 5 256 7 248 8 274 1341 1057 5 258 7 248 7 275 1057 885 4 259 7 248 5*273 885 787 4 258 5 248 3*267 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography