DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 72.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 147 - - 6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5538 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4212 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6247 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1481 - - 7253 - - 180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 391 - - 42 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 283 - - 288 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1657 - - -6702 - - -4375 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7904 - - 7489 - - 5162 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9326 - - -12524 - - -11791 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15573 - - 13310 - - 12577 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 56 - - 55 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 72.4 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.0 - - 42.4 - - 43.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.7 - - 72.6 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.9 - - 41.5 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 147 - - 6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5538 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98007 34 249 37 246 36 244 98007 90658 32 232 33 252 31 243 90658 84933 31 228 33 243 26 246 84933 80150 25 220 29 230 26 244 80150 76030 20 232 24 227 26 242 76030 72409 21 250 23 239 23 241 72409 69154 22 233 23 237 26 258 69154 66178 22 250 23 234 28 261 66178 63416 30 259 26 248 30 264 63416 60737 38 255 36 262 38 263 60737 57958 45 250 49 257 48 259 57958 55096 52 247 55 253 54 258 55096 52373 60 247 60 259 62 265 52373 49925 68 253 69 261 73 265 49925 47730 77 253 75 257 81 261 47730 45738 85 252 84 252 93 256 45738 43915 94 252 96 249 111 251 43915 42231 99 251 100 247 124 250 42231 40661 97 251 96 249 128 247 40661 39184 90 255 90 251 118 246 39184 37795 87 256 85 252 96 246 37795 36457 84 255 82 253 87 250 36457 35101 81 256 81 255 85 253 35101 33694 75 259 77 256 82 254 33694 32235 70 261 74 257 78 255 32235 30709 66 263 71 260 74 258 30709 29105 62 261 68 261 71 259 29105 27423 59 257 66 261 68 259 27423 25661 55 255 63 262 65 259 25661 23819 53 256 60 262 62 259 23819 21901 51 256 57 261 59 260 21901 19904 50 256 54 262 54 261 19904 17820 50 259 52 266 50 264 17820 15690 49 264 51 270 48 267 15690 13637 48 266 45 271 42 265 13637 11775 46 270 39 274 35 263 11775 10129 43 276 34 277 29 264 10129 8677 37 284 26 277 23 268 8677 7394 29 286 18 278 17 277 7394 6258 19*281 18 282 16 292 6258 5250 18*282 18 284 16 296 5250 4359 17 282 18 285 17 298 4359 3572 16 283 18 286 17 300 3572 2867 16 284 17 287 16 302 2867 2242 15 284 17 287 16 303 2242 1722 14 284 16 288 14 304 1722 1322 13 284 15 288 12 303 1322 1047 13 285 14 288 9 299 1047 881 11 285 12*288 6*287 881 786 9 285 8*288 3*278 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography