DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.8 - - 75.3 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 253 - - 112 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6583 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5321 - - 769 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7292 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1746 - - 9630 - - 8938 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 493 - - 87 - - 22 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 015 - - 010 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -724 - - -7183 - - -4929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8017 - - 7970 - - 5715 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5130 - - -7317 - - -6193 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12422 - - 8103 - - 6979 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 81 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 30 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.8 - - 75.3 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.2 - - 43.0 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.9 - - 74.1 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.0 - - 41.8 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 253 - - 112 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6583 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 38 - - 22 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98454 8 086 12 073 8 047 98454 91006 14 080 9 083 12 076 91006 85265 15 107 11 123 8 083 85265 80485 14 088 12 094 13 063 80485 76372 13 090 11 060 15 050 76372 72738 13 068 12 043 11 035 72738 69445 13 034 13 055 9 015 69445 66414 8 359 12 002 14 350 66414 63605 13 018 7 346 11 324 63605 60874 25 330 14 339 13 319 60874 58023 30 316 24 322 24 316 58023 55080 36 309 36 314 34 314 55080 52294 44 298 46 306 44 315 52294 49805 46 290 51 295 53 300 49805 47591 49 288 58 286 63 288 47591 45593 56 286 61 279 69 281 45593 43758 59 286 60 280 69 274 43758 42058 68 287 60 287 64 274 42058 40480 69 283 64 292 66 279 40480 39016 70 282 63 289 73 280 39016 37642 71 280 61 284 78 276 37642 36310 71 277 61 281 83 273 36310 34951 69 275 59 280 78 275 34951 33536 67 275 56 280 71 276 33536 32072 63 276 56 279 65 279 32072 30543 63 278 58 281 57 279 30543 28937 58 280 60 284 56 281 28937 27250 50 283 59 282 56 278 27250 25483 47 284 56 279 55 277 25483 23640 45 285 48 284 49 278 23640 21727 44 288 41 292 39 287 21727 19744 42 293 36 292 35 293 19744 17680 38 296 33 293 35 292 17680 15576 32 296 32 296 34 297 15576 13556 27 299 27 304 26 303 13556 11731 21 305 19 315 16 302 11731 10119 13 333 10 339 6 289 10119 8687 13 010 8 006 2 334 8687 7409 12*016 8 008 4 024 7409 6272 12*016 8 009 7 032 6272 5261 11 016 9 009 9 032 5261 4369 11 016 9 010 10 033 4369 3580 11 015 9 011 12 034 3580 2873 11 015 9 011 13 033 2873 2248 11 015 9 011 13 034 2248 1726 10 014 9 010 13 033 1726 1325 10 014 9 010 12 032 1325 1049 9 014 9 011 10 031 1049 882 9 014 8*010 7*029 882 786 7 014 7*010 4*027 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography