DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 62.5 - - 57.5 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 13 - - -38 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 768 - - 769 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 785 - - 785 - - 785 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1967 - - 6120 - - 6180 - - 4666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 48 - - 30 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 228 - - 260 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1098 - - -2470 - - -2948 - - -2752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1883 - - 3255 - - 3734 - - 3536 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2506 - - -3094 - - -3670 - - -3318 ODpotential blCL - - - 3291 - - 3879 - - 4455 - - 4102 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 100 - - 93 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 62.5 - - 57.5 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.3 - - 50.7 - - 43.8 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 62.5 - - 58.3 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 49.7 - - 43.1 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 13 - - -38 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 99 - - 71 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95740 13 275 23 312 16 301 9 318 95740 88789 11 325 14 325 9 289 12 319 88789 83396 3 353 9 307 8 307 10 280 83396 78909 3 287 8 261 12 317 7 318 78909 75002 6 248 13 201 14 275 12 307 75002 71511 5 230 14 186 11 246 9 286 71511 68328 3 211 15 191 15 237 12 250 68328 65394 7 246 15 224 18 224 19 251 65394 62676 16 240 21 233 27 231 26 227 62676 60026 34 231 37 241 33 219 37 221 60026 57238 45 224 44 239 38 232 46 238 57238 54330 56 235 57 237 59 246 66 242 54330 51548 71 237 73 233 86 236 80 231 51548 49046 76 234 86 233 91 230 87 227 49046 46802 80 233 94 233 88 230 88 229 46802 44762 87 232 97 232 88 231 85 237 44762 42889 92 232 98 234 91 234 94 244 42889 41159 97 234 97 234 99 235 108 242 41159 39561 102 233 96 234 102 235 114 238 39561 38081 102 230 98 235 105 237 119 239 38081 36706 101 228 104 232 111 239 130 237 36706 35389 102 228 109 230 118 238 132 235 35389 34056 104 229 109 231 118 236 129 234 34056 32674 106 228 109 232 111 236 127 233 32674 31246 104 227 111 230 108 235 123 235 31246 29762 99 226 101 227 110 231 116 237 29762 28207 90 225 91 228 109 229 112 239 28207 26575 83 225 87 228 101 231 111 235 26575 24859 80 226 84 227 93 235 109 232 24859 23065 74 227 81 227 88 238 108 235 23065 21198 68 230 77 227 83 236 101 241 21198 19254 60 231 72 228 81 232 90 241 19254 17225 50 230 66 227 77 232 80 237 17225 15157 47 229 61 225 69 234 73 236 15157 13168 48 226 54 227 61 234 66 235 13168 11361 48 222 47 232 57 235 62 232 11361 9756 47 222 40 237 56 237 59 234 9756 8338 43 223 35 245 51 239 54 239 8338 7089 38 228 34 252 42 239 48 246 7089 5992 34 233 33 252 35 241 43 252 5992 5029 30 239 30 250 34 244 40 258 5029 4183 26 245 26 246 32 247 37 262 4183 3436 22 247 23 242 29 251 35 264 3436 2766 19 245 20 237 28 253 33 266 2766 2172 16 240 18 235 26 255 31 269 2172 1677 13 227 16 232 24 257 27 271 1677 1296 12 220 15 231 22 259 23 274 1296 1034 9 216 13 230 18 260 19 276 1034 875 7*213 11 229 15*260 16 276 875 784 5*214 8*228 9*260 10*277 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography