DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.4 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 48 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5803 - - 78 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4726 - - 771 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6512 - - 787 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2127 - - 7435 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 477 - - 72 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 10 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 257 - - 301 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -308 - - -4256 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6821 - - 5044 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1234 - - -4980 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7746 - - 5767 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 93 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 510 - - 1210 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.4 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.1 - - 64.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.5 - - 83.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.1 - - 63.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 48 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5803 - - 78 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 46 - - 73 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98489 13 123 9 072 98489 91059 14 088 5 053 91059 85353 14 097 8 070 85353 80624 9 096 7 055 80624 76552 9 100 9 073 76552 72949 8 051 9 076 72949 69682 7 039 4 050 69682 66677 13 013 5 009 66677 63896 9 355 10 344 63896 61210 10 354 6 331 61210 58415 17 344 12 336 58415 55522 16 318 10 319 55522 52767 22 319 20 323 52767 50295 34 298 31 305 50295 48097 38 281 42 291 48097 46117 43 278 50 278 46117 44315 53 279 52 265 44315 42647 56 280 53 259 42647 41092 51 277 52 257 41092 39633 48 281 49 257 39633 38252 47 284 49 270 38252 36910 44 282 52 277 36910 35540 45 275 57 280 35540 34111 46 276 59 282 34111 32628 44 272 51 281 32628 31078 45 265 38 273 31078 29449 43 262 36 273 29449 27741 40 262 33 269 27741 25955 40 265 33 266 25955 24095 41 271 36 264 24095 22164 43 270 42 267 22164 20155 39 265 40 268 20155 18067 32 263 33 262 18067 15944 27 272 28 255 15944 13898 22 281 23 254 13898 12034 22 272 22 259 12034 10375 23 263 21 263 10375 8900 22 262 20 262 8900 7587 19*261 19 263 7587 6419 16*257 19 268 6419 5381 16 257 18 274 5381 4466 15 256 18 281 4466 3656 15 257 19 288 3656 2930 15 257 19 292 2930 2289 14 256 19 295 2289 1753 14 256 18 297 1753 1341 13 256 18 298 1341 1058 12 256 16 299 1058 886 11 256 14 300 886 787 9 256 10*301 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography