DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 38.0 - - 41.9 - - 33.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 234 - - 12 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 1635 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 766 - - 1523 - - 767 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - 783 - - 2344 - - 783 - - 783 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1193 - - 747 - - 2668 - - 352 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 77 - - 293 - - 40 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 24 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 169 - - 176 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5540 - - -5897 - - -7095 - - -4629 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6323 - - 8242 - - 7878 - - 5412 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18127 - - -15567 - - -15214 - - -14175 ODpotential blCL - - - 18910 - - 17911 - - 15997 - - 14958 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 85 - - 87 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 38.0 - - 41.9 - - 33.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.6 - - 5.0 - - 10.5 - - 13.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 36.6 - - 41.6 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 1.2 - - 4.4 - - 10.0 - - 13.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 234 - - 12 - - -54 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 1635 - - 74 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 39 - - 47 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95729 45 243 46 253 51 260 43 256 95729 88668 37 262 46 248 49 251 45 258 88668 83217 40 249 45 256 40 260 42 261 83217 78661 39 255 47 258 47 269 45 263 78661 74699 48 264 51 251 53 262 47 258 74699 71181 53 256 52 251 51 256 50 259 71181 67993 51 257 53 252 47 251 50 260 67993 65045 53 265 52 257 45 249 49 256 65045 62281 63 268 55 257 52 255 57 252 62281 59584 75 260 61 257 66 255 64 253 59584 56764 85 247 76 253 76 248 75 247 56764 53830 90 247 87 250 84 243 90 246 53830 51038 97 249 97 249 98 245 104 249 51038 48545 105 248 111 248 112 248 116 247 48545 46318 111 248 118 247 122 247 121 244 46318 44302 114 246 121 244 126 244 123 242 44302 42462 116 244 124 241 130 242 126 242 42462 40770 120 246 124 239 133 239 131 242 40770 39202 122 247 124 241 132 238 134 241 39202 37744 124 248 126 244 131 240 134 242 37744 36383 124 248 129 246 131 243 135 245 36383 35080 122 248 129 246 131 244 139 246 35080 33761 120 248 126 244 126 244 138 245 33761 32396 118 246 120 243 121 243 129 244 32396 30986 114 246 115 243 116 243 117 242 30986 29516 109 246 112 244 110 242 108 240 29516 27974 103 246 109 243 104 241 103 240 27974 26357 94 244 99 241 97 243 101 240 26357 24663 85 243 86 241 94 245 100 242 24663 22893 80 244 81 244 91 247 99 245 22893 21050 75 246 80 246 83 246 93 248 21050 19129 70 247 77 248 74 245 81 252 19129 17127 67 247 73 247 69 250 68 253 17127 15085 63 246 69 244 66 253 60 250 15085 13118 57 246 65 242 61 250 55 246 13118 11331 51 247 59 240 55 246 55 240 11331 9745 44 242 53 237 53 243 56 235 9745 8342 36 234 49 236 53 240 56 236 8342 7098 32 233 46 233 53 237 53 236 7098 5995 29 235 46 226 50 233 48 233 5995 5019 27 232 46 216 45 225 47 226 5019 4162 27 224 41 207 38 216 46 218 4162 3410 28 215 34 198 32 205 42 210 3410 2741 26 206 28*182 28 193 39 202 2741 2151 23 193 27*172 26 188 39 196 2151 1661 20 181 26 170 23 184 33 190 1661 1285 15 172 25 169 21 181 25 184 1285 1028 14 171 23 167 18 179 18 175 1028 872 12*169 20 166 15 178 14 172 872 783 8*168 13 166 10*176 7*165 783 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography