DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.4 - - 70.8 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 62 - - 55 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 769 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 786 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3834 - - 4309 - - 4528 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 73 - - 69 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 343 - - 352 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1674 - - -2572 - - -1660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2460 - - 3358 - - 2447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1849 - - -3587 - - -3292 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2635 - - 4373 - - 4078 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.4 - - 70.8 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 58.6 - - 62.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.6 - - 70.3 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.2 - - 57.7 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 62 - - 55 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 94 - - 42 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99324 31 074 30 081 26 057 99324 91788 29 081 27 082 24 078 91788 85974 23 073 23 083 20 080 85974 81153 16 079 19 067 17 070 81153 76999 16 088 14 078 16 076 76999 73331 14 092 11 086 15 081 73331 70021 16 105 5 121 9 074 70021 66991 12 104 7 142 6 095 66991 64184 6 162 4 190 4 101 64184 61462 11 175 13 224 10 261 61462 58634 8 170 11 206 16 229 58634 55712 21 233 23 245 17 236 55712 52934 32 218 33 233 24 246 52934 50440 32 237 42 228 36 229 50440 48206 43 244 45 229 47 237 48206 46184 54 236 67 234 67 234 46184 44341 63 228 77 223 77 220 44341 42639 62 223 73 217 78 211 42639 41047 60 221 70 216 73 210 41047 39550 62 213 71 218 73 213 39550 38138 70 214 70 220 74 215 38138 36770 67 217 66 216 78 215 36770 35381 65 212 63 210 71 213 35381 33941 66 203 58 208 62 211 33941 32456 61 201 53 208 54 214 32456 30909 57 207 52 208 48 220 30909 29288 53 211 53 212 46 222 29288 27590 55 210 49 218 45 222 27590 25814 50 217 45 224 40 232 25814 23965 45 231 44 233 35 247 23965 22041 39 235 40 242 29 253 22041 20035 31 245 28 255 23 263 20035 17943 21 253 21 266 19 286 17943 15811 19 266 15 265 19 302 15811 13756 18 266 13 264 16 319 13756 11886 17 261 15 271 17 331 11886 10224 15 253 15 280 19 334 10224 8758 13 261 12 308 22 337 8758 7466 13 272 13 346 25 336 7466 6318 15 290 19 352 24 334 6318 5299 15 319 23 352 22 332 5299 4399 15 333 23 353 20 331 4399 3603 15 337 20 354 19 332 3603 2890 14 339 16 354 16 332 2890 2259 13 341 14 353 13 332 2259 1733 12 341 13 352 10 331 1733 1329 11 342 12 353 6 326 1329 1051 11 343 11 353 4 319 1051 883 9*343 10*352 2*308 883 786 7*343 7*352 1*279 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography