DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 53.9 - - 54.8 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 194 - - 0 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 2444 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 768 - - 2028 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 784 - - 3153 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2043 - - 972 - - 3554 - - 177 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 81 - - 315 - - 12 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 40 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 163 - - 126 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3812 - - -3510 - - -6638 - - -3927 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4597 - - 6663 - - 7423 - - 4711 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13220 - - -12789 - - -16046 - - -15352 ODpotential blCL - - - 14004 - - 15942 - - 16830 - - 16136 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 56 - - 41 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.1 - - 53.9 - - 54.8 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 27.7 - - 25.4 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 52.2 - - 54.7 - - 47.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 27.5 - - 24.9 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 109 - - 194 - - 0 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 2444 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95901 32 267 38 265 31 274 34 270 95901 88976 18 263 27 273 24 295 18 281 88976 83589 11 283 18 288 23 294 19 315 83589 79080 14 304 12 290 19 302 19 313 79080 75172 11 353 9 311 11 310 11 289 75172 71686 10 312 16 290 17 290 14 294 71686 68502 8 315 19 274 21 277 18 279 68502 65562 22 312 18 279 20 282 22 272 65562 62832 31 290 25 285 26 293 28 279 62832 60193 38 291 35 286 36 291 37 293 60193 57445 46 284 46 283 47 286 50 288 57445 54596 46 279 54 277 53 277 58 278 54596 51882 47 284 53 276 52 276 57 268 51882 49431 54 286 52 283 54 277 54 271 49431 47225 64 278 59 284 62 275 68 271 47225 45241 61 275 71 282 68 269 74 263 45241 43453 61 273 75 266 64 262 64 259 43453 41808 57 274 63 271 58 274 61 265 41808 40272 67 292 61 286 71 290 70 274 40272 38833 92 303 80 292 88 283 76 271 38833 37478 109 299 93 291 90 280 80 271 37478 36165 116 298 94 290 83 279 79 272 36165 34825 113 298 93 288 77 278 75 270 34825 33430 95 294 92 285 79 281 68 271 33430 31982 83 291 87 282 82 285 65 267 31982 30463 74 290 89 285 82 281 61 262 30463 28861 67 287 86 291 76 277 58 261 28861 27178 72 284 69 286 62 269 49 273 27178 25411 75 287 67 272 55 278 53 284 25411 23563 75 290 66 270 52 274 43 270 23563 21646 66 293 56 287 53 264 50 260 21646 19660 56 292 52 291 52 271 49 245 19660 17593 44 286 51 288 42 281 39 245 17593 15479 37 277 39 287 33 283 31 256 15479 13438 31 275 29 287 24 278 27 256 13438 11589 24 276 25 279 22 269 24 260 11589 9956 19 283 20 268 21 263 21 265 9956 8513 17 296 15 267 17 253 17 256 8513 7238 15 316 11 279 12 241 14 229 7238 6111 14 334 8 287 10 238 13 207 6111 5117 14 338 7 286 10 228 13 192 5117 4245 14 334 5 273 8 209 11 190 4245 3477 14 336 2*207 6 182 11 183 3477 2792 11 351 2*183 6 163 13 165 2792 2188 9 355 2 171 5 152 14 152 2188 1686 7 352 1 160 5 142 15 145 1686 1300 4 344 1 150 4 136 15 140 1300 1036 4 343 1 147 4 132 13 136 1036 876 3 343 1 142 4 129 9 129 876 784 3*342 1 142 3*126 5*118 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography