DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 52.8 - - 54.7 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 169 - - 305 - - 124 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2963 - - 4378 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2365 - - 3668 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3672 - - 5087 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1572 - - 1460 - - 5271 - - 2203 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 449 - - 86 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 281 - - 304 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2304 - - -3778 - - -8534 - - -5659 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5976 - - 8865 - - 9319 - - 6443 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14031 - - -13785 - - -15829 - - -14179 ODpotential blCL - - - 17703 - - 18872 - - 16613 - - 14963 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 73 - - 57 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 52.8 - - 54.7 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 16.5 - - 16.6 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 51.0 - - 53.5 - - 49.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 15.4 - - 15.6 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 169 - - 305 - - 124 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2963 - - 4378 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96332 22 229 18 223 24 251 26 271 96332 89131 15 213 12 231 16 245 17 269 89131 83589 11 222 16 210 19 222 13 267 83589 78965 10 238 15 229 18 230 14 264 78965 74951 17 214 18 242 19 229 18 257 74951 71400 18 243 17 245 17 252 18 272 71400 68206 21 257 18 249 16 250 21 273 68206 65274 27 243 33 266 27 269 25 273 65274 62542 36 237 39 251 35 270 34 275 62542 59884 36 240 39 248 42 264 40 266 59884 57100 44 257 49 257 50 259 47 258 57100 54193 64 261 62 260 62 258 56 262 54193 51415 77 265 73 264 72 260 65 267 51415 48931 88 266 85 266 77 264 70 261 48931 46730 94 265 92 265 79 266 68 258 46730 44751 92 262 92 262 85 268 67 263 44751 42946 91 265 94 264 96 265 80 269 42946 41290 104 272 106 266 110 263 94 266 41290 39763 120 273 119 265 118 261 103 259 39763 38339 124 270 122 264 121 262 107 258 38339 36999 119 269 116 264 116 261 109 258 36999 35696 115 269 112 263 108 261 106 259 35696 34365 112 267 108 263 100 262 99 259 34365 32982 110 263 104 263 96 266 89 259 32982 31550 109 260 100 263 92 267 78 260 31550 30053 108 258 97 263 87 267 75 262 30053 28479 104 256 95 264 83 266 74 264 28479 26828 100 255 93 263 80 265 73 265 26828 25100 95 258 91 264 78 264 71 264 25100 23295 93 266 89 265 77 265 67 264 23295 21418 92 273 89 265 77 264 64 267 21418 19462 93 277 86 266 76 265 62 268 19462 17421 95 279 81 270 75 269 61 266 17421 15339 94 281 76 277 72 273 61 265 15339 13331 89 285 73 284 65 276 62 265 13331 11504 80 286 67 287 56 278 58 268 11504 9883 73 281 61 284 48 277 48 272 9883 8451 68 278 55 279 44 275 39 274 8451 7184 59 282 43 277 38 273 30 266 7184 6066 46 289 27*276 26 273 22 247 6066 5082 34 289 20*277 15 283 16 232 5082 4219 23*287 19 278 15 287 9 244 4219 3460 20*287 18 280 15 292 6 285 3460 2781 19 287 18 281 14 296 6 328 2781 2182 19 288 17 283 14 298 7 351 2182 1683 18 289 16 284 14 300 9 003 1683 1299 17 289 16 285 13 302 9 010 1299 1035 16 290 15 285 13 303 9 017 1035 876 14 290 14 286 11 303 7 024 876 784 11 290 11 286 9*304 4*032 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography