DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.2 - - 85.8 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 225 - - 107 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6851 - - 6382 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5474 - - 4649 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7560 - - 7091 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1895 - - 3538 - - 7225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 483 - - 375 - - 29 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 201 - - 200 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -6 - - 5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -158 - - -1266 - - -5172 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7718 - - 8358 - - 5958 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1694 - - -2217 - - -6691 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9254 - - 9308 - - 7477 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 90 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.2 - - 85.8 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.1 - - 51.9 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.4 - - 84.7 - - 81.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.8 - - 50.7 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 225 - - 107 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6851 - - 6382 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 9 - - 62 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99164 28 076 27 090 27 068 99164 91652 27 075 24 091 24 076 91652 85850 24 082 25 091 20 075 85850 81036 17 083 25 079 19 089 81036 76905 16 084 23 080 21 099 76905 73266 16 083 16 086 16 095 73266 69969 12 105 9 100 8 082 69969 66933 10 124 6 174 0 353 66933 64115 9 152 7 206 4 270 64115 61387 7 228 15 249 15 259 61387 58545 15 243 21 248 16 252 58545 55605 27 278 24 264 21 273 55605 52812 47 257 36 266 37 279 52812 50317 49 246 44 255 51 258 50317 48086 45 248 35 262 47 254 48086 46079 57 277 69 274 56 266 46079 44272 78 265 84 257 62 263 44272 42608 82 249 83 251 68 265 42608 41055 73 246 68 258 72 269 41055 39598 51 265 70 270 83 279 39598 38227 70 290 73 278 87 278 38227 36897 72 291 72 282 86 275 36897 35537 56 277 71 282 85 272 35537 34117 49 258 73 281 83 273 34117 32640 54 250 68 283 82 278 32640 31094 57 251 51 269 78 282 31094 29467 57 254 56 255 66 280 29467 27762 51 256 62 254 51 262 27762 25977 44 254 55 254 53 249 25977 24115 41 247 48 250 53 258 24115 22180 39 244 46 253 51 269 22180 20167 32 246 38 251 44 267 20167 18065 28 244 31 246 39 267 18065 15920 23 243 27 248 38 266 15920 13861 19 251 26 249 31 271 13861 11997 19 262 25 262 27 272 11997 10345 16 258 20 261 22 256 10345 8877 11*233 14 241 19 244 8877 7568 10*221 14*225 17 232 7568 6403 10 216 13*217 16 222 6403 5368 10 206 13 207 16 213 5368 4454 10 201 13 202 16 203 4454 3647 10 196 13 198 16 193 3647 2923 9 193 13 196 16 188 2923 2283 9 191 13 193 16 183 2283 1748 9 189 12 192 16 179 1748 1338 8 187 12 191 15 175 1338 1056 8 186 11 190 13 172 1056 885 7 185 10 189 10 168 885 786 6 185 8 189 6*165 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography