DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.5 - - 62.8 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 52 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2852 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2408 - - 769 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3561 - - 785 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1184 - - 4094 - - 156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 355 - - 66 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 25 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 331 - - 009 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3018 - - -6831 - - -4430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6579 - - 7616 - - 5215 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14026 - - -16555 - - -16007 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17587 - - 17340 - - 16792 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 51 - - 41 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.5 - - 62.8 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.7 - - 32.4 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.6 - - 61.9 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.6 - - 31.4 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 228 - - 52 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2852 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98030 20 257 26 256 22 268 98030 90693 17 247 24 257 22 265 90693 84990 18 230 21 258 22 269 84990 80228 15 271 12 241 17 251 80228 76129 18 286 9 261 12 245 76129 72517 16 275 12 277 7 274 72517 69256 17 272 18 276 13 301 69256 66269 19 282 19 281 16 296 66269 63511 21 282 18 279 18 295 63511 60849 25 285 20 279 23 291 60849 58083 33 280 28 275 29 283 58083 55233 41 274 37 271 34 278 55233 52519 49 267 43 267 39 273 52519 50067 53 265 46 262 44 265 50067 47858 58 264 51 261 46 261 47858 45849 61 264 56 262 50 260 45849 44014 63 264 60 263 52 259 44014 42326 63 258 61 259 55 261 42326 40755 60 257 60 256 58 257 40755 39284 58 259 57 256 56 254 39284 37898 57 260 56 255 55 255 37898 36555 56 260 55 255 54 254 36555 35190 57 259 55 256 51 256 35190 33771 56 260 52 256 47 259 33771 32299 54 262 49 257 45 262 32299 30763 52 263 46 260 42 267 30763 29151 49 265 44 265 40 270 29151 27464 45 267 40 267 39 270 27464 25699 36 275 38 269 37 269 25699 23853 33 270 38 273 34 266 23853 21928 31 260 37 276 33 267 21928 19917 30 261 36 276 33 271 19917 17819 29 269 33 277 31 275 17819 15678 26 281 27 281 28 277 15678 13618 22 287 24 288 23 284 13618 11747 20 291 22 296 19 297 11747 10087 21 296 20 302 17 306 10087 8619 20 297 18 306 16 310 8619 7320 17 293 16 305 15 303 7320 6176 15 288 14 296 15 288 6176 5171 10 300 9 282 13 272 5171 4291 4*312 4 281 8 243 4291 3516 3*319 3 293 6 223 3516 2823 3 325 2 322 3 176 2823 2211 3 331 2 339 5 126 2211 1701 2 336 2 356 6 110 1701 1310 2 340 2 004 7 103 1310 1041 2 343 2 005 7 101 1041 878 2 341 2*009 6*102 878 785 2 343 2*009 4*108 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography