DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.2 - - 86.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - -15 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5719 - - 78 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4240 - - 771 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6428 - - 787 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2232 - - 8169 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 375 - - 44 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 210 - - 211 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1317 - - -5079 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7746 - - 5866 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4521 - - -6251 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10949 - - 7038 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 74 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 100 - - 820 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.2 - - 86.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.8 - - 63.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.3 - - 87.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.6 - - 62.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - -15 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5719 - - 78 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 39 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98806 24 085 30 079 98806 91355 25 072 23 081 91355 85629 25 077 17 083 85629 80848 18 099 14 101 80848 76722 16 108 12 096 76722 73076 10 106 10 105 73076 69775 6 101 7 094 69775 66755 6 076 3 151 66755 63974 5 334 2 245 63974 61287 6 292 10 261 61287 58499 7 274 11 242 58499 55604 13 257 17 272 55604 52845 42 272 43 284 52845 50409 59 261 63 263 50409 48262 61 248 70 242 48262 46311 63 231 65 232 46311 44502 62 233 49 243 44502 42821 52 253 56 271 42821 41259 62 269 67 272 41259 39794 61 259 62 265 39794 38406 61 254 58 251 38406 37053 60 254 57 247 37053 35669 60 258 58 244 35669 34227 60 262 59 245 34227 32731 62 258 61 252 32731 31161 60 254 71 254 31161 29512 54 261 53 251 29512 27788 51 259 44 257 27788 25988 48 245 50 255 25988 24113 55 243 51 251 24113 22170 50 246 48 249 22170 20157 43 250 45 254 20157 18062 39 252 40 253 18062 15934 36 252 39 247 15934 13897 31 236 40 236 13897 12048 26 224 34 236 12048 10397 25 221 32 230 10397 8925 22 228 28 223 8925 7614 17*225 23 220 7614 6444 16*214 21 220 6444 5405 16 212 20 221 5405 4487 16 210 19 222 4487 3674 15 209 18 221 3674 2945 15 208 17 220 2945 2299 14 208 15 218 2299 1760 13 207 14 215 1760 1345 13 207 12 214 1345 1060 12 206 10 211 1060 886 11 207 8 211 886 787 8 206 6*211 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography