DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.0 - - 72.4 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 223 - - 79 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4558 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3690 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5267 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1371 - - 5766 - - 4005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 417 - - 77 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 335 - - 343 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 243 - - -4913 - - -2848 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5024 - - 5699 - - 3634 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6630 - - -11590 - - -11810 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11897 - - 12376 - - 12596 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 70 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.0 - - 72.4 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 50.3 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.3 - - 71.5 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.8 - - 49.3 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 223 - - 79 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4558 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98786 13 087 15 081 21 067 98786 91483 12 104 11 101 15 067 91483 85821 12 107 8 138 11 042 85821 81081 11 100 8 102 5 096 81081 76982 9 105 5 055 5 078 76982 73353 6 121 4 061 6 068 73353 70067 8 158 2 257 2 083 70067 67040 6 168 5 219 4 235 67040 64227 1 220 7 240 9 284 64227 61526 2 214 6 215 8 237 61526 58726 10 303 6 300 7 316 58726 55837 28 285 24 292 24 304 55837 53107 28 266 25 287 27 300 53107 50655 25 265 27 282 25 291 50655 48455 28 273 21 286 34 323 48455 46466 38 296 47 319 61 317 46466 44648 58 296 65 306 62 310 44648 42959 64 289 63 300 61 309 42959 41379 63 287 59 300 51 312 41379 39900 63 289 56 307 61 344 39900 38514 64 292 57 318 87 352 38514 37172 65 295 63 325 86 341 37172 35797 65 295 65 328 88 330 35797 34362 65 295 61 326 88 328 34362 32868 66 293 55 320 87 329 32868 31298 67 290 50 315 86 336 31298 29640 65 288 49 314 80 348 29640 27901 62 288 49 313 57 339 27901 26089 59 288 49 311 50 321 26089 24204 57 288 50 309 46 316 24204 22246 56 290 51 310 42 314 22246 20204 52 294 49 312 42 316 20204 18074 48 298 45 314 39 319 18074 15904 44 300 40 314 34 319 15904 13816 40 298 37 312 31 317 13816 11916 37 295 33 311 28 318 11916 10231 36 300 29 310 23 319 10231 8742 30 308 24 309 19 319 8742 7427 25 309 17 303 15 305 7427 6269 17*316 13 316 13 294 6269 5252 16*323 13 334 10 318 5252 4359 15 327 13 339 12 342 4359 3571 15 335 13 341 14 353 3571 2865 15 338 13 342 15 002 2865 2242 14 340 13 342 16 008 2242 1721 14 341 13 343 16 012 1721 1322 14 342 13 343 15 014 1322 1047 13 342 12 343 12 014 1047 881 12 342 11*343 10*014 881 786 9 342 8*343 5*015 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography