DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.4 - - 77.9 - - 81.3 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 116 - - 84 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 77 - - 78 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 770 - - 770 - - 770 - - 771 Hcrit BL Top - - - 786 - - 787 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2664 - - 2974 - - 4008 - - 3726 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 55 - - 88 - - 79 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 076 - - 078 - - 157 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -703 - - -833 - - -1809 - - -1134 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1489 - - 1620 - - 2596 - - 1921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1048 - - -893 - - -2172 - - -2307 ODpotential blCL - - - 1834 - - 1680 - - 2959 - - 3094 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 1130 - - 1380 - - 1810 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.4 - - 77.9 - - 81.3 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.2 - - 73.0 - - 72.3 - - 73.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.6 - - 76.4 - - 80.2 - - 80.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 72.2 - - 71.6 - - 72.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 116 - - 84 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 77 - - 78 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 92 - - 69 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 18 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99472 38 087 39 085 34 092 29 083 99472 92003 32 084 31 080 33 086 27 086 92003 86240 28 076 29 089 27 079 25 081 86240 81443 24 073 28 089 23 077 25 072 81443 77300 23 079 23 086 18 077 24 065 77300 73643 23 088 21 093 15 083 22 064 73643 70347 22 093 16 092 16 093 21 072 70347 67329 16 087 16 088 19 098 20 096 67329 64541 12 090 16 089 17 093 19 106 64541 61858 12 111 13 103 11 104 12 100 61858 59072 13 117 15 121 13 132 6 129 59072 56187 11 111 12 123 12 144 12 158 56187 53453 5 167 11 165 9 189 13 181 53453 51027 11 206 18 199 15 220 14 210 51027 48875 19 197 25 194 19 215 22 215 48875 46918 21 194 23 191 23 201 23 193 46918 45110 25 203 25 191 23 189 28 184 45110 43424 29 197 29 190 25 186 29 188 43424 41846 32 195 33 181 27 183 29 192 41846 40359 32 197 35 177 29 180 30 197 40359 38951 33 198 36 175 32 180 33 201 38951 37582 35 195 37 176 33 179 30 200 37582 36186 34 194 34 185 31 177 25 206 36186 34732 32 193 30 190 31 177 25 205 34732 33223 29 194 32 181 33 182 29 199 33223 31643 28 192 35 178 32 183 33 196 31643 29981 28 193 33 180 31 189 36 200 29981 28233 28 196 31 183 34 194 34 209 28233 26402 30 196 31 189 37 195 29 203 26402 24493 27 190 32 194 38 199 27 209 24493 22512 25 187 27 201 28 203 24 201 22512 20458 20 181 22 200 25 203 25 199 20458 18325 15 187 20 201 21 210 25 205 18325 16154 13 198 18 202 19 216 22 209 16154 14062 11 207 15 207 16 209 17 215 14062 12160 7 205 12 205 15 208 14 218 12160 10470 5 189 9 203 14 225 12 224 10470 8970 4 159 8 219 11 248 9 233 8970 7637 7 150 8 239 9 251 8 236 7637 6454 8 146 7 244 7 239 9 234 6454 5406 7 139 6 247 7 230 9 224 5406 4484 5 121 4 245 6 223 9 210 4484 3668 4 092 3 229 6 219 10 191 3668 2939 4 080 2 176 4 193 11 178 2939 2294 4 080 2 114 4 174 11 172 2294 1756 4 078 3 088 4 164 10 166 1756 1343 4 077 3 084 4 160 9 161 1343 1058 4 076 3 079 3 158 8 157 1058 886 4 076 3*080 3*156 6*152 886 787 3*076 3*078 3*157 4*148 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography