DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.1 - - 73.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 124 - - 70 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3995 - - 77 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2970 - - 769 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4704 - - 786 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2791 - - 8479 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 332 - - 76 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 304 - - 291 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -80 - - -4962 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4784 - - 5748 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -810 - - -5325 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5514 - - 6111 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 96 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 90 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.1 - - 73.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.8 - - 50.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.1 - - 72.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.7 - - 49.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 124 - - 70 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3995 - - 77 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 90 - - 83 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98742 23 087 29 093 98742 91274 18 092 21 085 91274 85543 23 101 17 080 85543 80780 21 098 14 090 80780 76665 19 099 11 090 76665 73020 11 090 5 099 73020 69716 4 074 7 118 69716 66682 4 169 5 231 66682 63872 4 190 9 207 63872 61162 10 215 12 260 61162 58345 16 206 12 253 58345 55423 32 265 35 269 55423 52649 49 247 50 251 52649 50166 54 241 62 240 50166 47940 59 242 63 241 47940 45912 69 249 68 249 45912 44054 75 251 82 254 44054 42341 78 251 91 255 42341 40752 85 254 99 257 40752 39269 91 252 106 257 39269 37876 90 247 105 254 37876 36531 83 242 101 251 36531 35166 79 239 94 246 35166 33753 78 237 87 244 33753 32291 78 239 85 244 32291 30761 77 242 85 243 30761 29147 73 241 84 242 29147 27450 70 237 83 240 27450 25668 69 239 82 242 25668 23811 67 247 78 247 23811 21884 60 252 70 248 21884 19880 52 253 68 252 19880 17790 51 261 66 255 17790 15656 47 260 55 246 15656 13598 42 249 53 235 13598 11734 32 245 43 241 11734 10102 23 255 23 259 10102 8670 18 267 17 267 8670 7396 16 275 17 273 7396 6262 16 278 17 278 6262 5255 15*284 17 283 5255 4365 15*294 17 285 4365 3578 14 301 17 287 3578 2872 14 304 16 288 2872 2248 14 307 16 289 2248 1727 13 308 15 290 1727 1326 13 309 15 290 1326 1050 12 309 14 290 1050 882 11 310 12*291 882 786 8 310 9*291 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography