DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.4 - - 67.9 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 108 - - -15 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1852 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1325 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2561 - - 786 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1851 - - 4029 - - 462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 243 - - 32 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 090 - - 113 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3766 - - -4744 - - -2595 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6327 - - 5531 - - 3380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11317 - - -7566 - - -10914 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13878 - - 8352 - - 11699 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 81 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.4 - - 67.9 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.9 - - 47.0 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.3 - - 68.5 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 43.9 - - 45.9 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 108 - - -15 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1852 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 90 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97859 49 248 56 247 50 255 97859 90605 45 244 48 256 40 255 90605 84982 36 242 38 252 34 261 84982 80265 28 243 31 253 29 267 80265 76191 20 251 25 262 26 281 76191 72632 14 261 18 255 23 272 72632 69440 15 263 17 261 20 243 69440 66499 22 264 23 276 15 258 66499 63765 26 256 30 278 21 300 63765 61133 30 255 37 265 36 288 61133 58421 33 253 39 252 36 271 58421 55633 35 257 40 254 42 261 55633 53000 50 258 49 256 51 253 53000 50634 55 250 56 250 58 248 50634 48495 60 252 61 250 62 240 48495 46541 71 249 67 248 64 237 46541 44745 80 239 74 236 75 236 44745 43075 85 231 79 231 83 232 43075 41509 80 229 79 230 83 228 41509 40031 74 229 76 229 81 226 40031 38632 68 233 74 229 78 227 38632 37273 60 234 72 231 73 228 37273 35887 52 230 69 234 67 228 35887 34445 43 227 66 237 62 228 34445 32950 40 233 61 239 60 226 32950 31384 43 243 55 240 57 224 31384 29735 51 252 49 237 53 223 29735 28001 55 254 44 231 50 222 28001 26180 52 256 42 230 50 226 26180 24275 49 246 42 232 47 233 24275 22292 56 238 48 225 43 242 22292 20229 60 240 48 220 39 246 20229 18083 45 235 39 225 32 250 18083 15901 7 157 29 230 22 253 15901 13807 7 139 12 191 7 227 13807 11907 8 149 16 112 19 175 11907 10226 11 135 20 098 28 149 10226 8741 12 129 16 099 26 130 8741 7427 13 118 14 114 26 129 7427 6266 17 098 17 115 26 132 6266 5244 19 090 20 116 24 132 5244 4346 19 094 19 119 25 127 4346 3556 19 099 16 120 26 119 3556 2852 17*098 15 119 27 111 2852 2231 14*094 15 118 26 104 2231 1714 13 091 14 117 23 100 1714 1317 12 090 13 116 18 097 1317 1045 11 089 11 115 12 091 1045 879 10 088 9*115 8*084 879 785 8 086 6*113 4*062 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography