DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 84.0 - - 79.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 121 - - 107 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3327 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2476 - - 771 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4036 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2174 - - 5824 - - 5111 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 310 - - 86 - - 27 W* B/S - - - - - - 25 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 074 - - 105 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 123 - - -3521 - - -2239 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3913 - - 4308 - - 3026 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -664 - - -3871 - - -3223 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4700 - - 4658 - - 4010 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 89 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 510 - - 950 - - 1090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.6 - - 84.0 - - 79.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.0 - - 67.7 - - 69.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.4 - - 82.7 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.2 - - 66.7 - - 68.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 121 - - 107 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3327 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 83 - - 54 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99058 32 096 28 082 27 070 99058 91540 27 086 29 083 23 086 91540 85756 24 081 22 082 23 083 85756 80978 23 070 19 082 19 073 80978 76884 21 066 22 071 17 086 76884 73271 14 056 20 053 19 068 73271 69999 8 088 9 043 14 042 69999 66992 2 058 10 005 11 023 66992 64213 2 120 10 319 8 347 64213 61539 4 051 8 317 15 333 61539 58764 5 285 12 282 14 325 58764 55895 16 306 17 301 23 315 55895 53183 34 301 26 287 27 287 53183 50758 41 285 34 296 31 297 50758 48589 41 280 41 296 37 298 48589 46628 40 278 42 294 39 297 46628 44828 39 275 39 288 37 295 44828 43154 45 269 37 277 34 284 43154 41591 47 262 35 270 28 277 41591 40127 38 261 28 276 21 281 40127 38743 27 270 24 281 21 282 38743 37398 16 288 24 286 26 277 37398 36023 24 314 26 296 27 284 36023 34588 32 323 31 318 24 304 34588 33097 36 328 35 327 22 327 33097 31535 34 328 37 329 30 326 31535 29890 34 330 40 330 33 326 29890 28160 37 339 39 337 31 331 28160 26348 40 346 41 342 32 340 26348 24453 36 347 41 344 37 340 24453 22482 35 342 35 346 35 346 22482 20431 34 343 33 350 32 355 20431 18296 22 338 32 353 33 359 18296 16120 18 337 27 349 31 358 16120 14023 16 343 21 348 27 356 14023 12118 11 340 18 346 24 351 12118 10430 10 339 16 331 20 342 10430 8937 8 339 11 331 15 330 8937 7611 8 347 8 346 9 324 7611 6434 4 358 5 358 4 315 6434 5392 2 026 2 051 1 314 5392 4473 2*048 3 090 2 135 4473 3661 2*065 3 099 7 134 3661 2934 2 073 4 103 8 131 2934 2290 2 073 4 103 9 129 2290 1753 2 075 4 104 9 127 1753 1341 2 076 4 103 9 126 1341 1058 2 075 4 103 8 125 1058 885 2 076 3*103 7*125 885 787 2 076 3*105 5*124 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography