DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 67.2 - - 67.7 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 114 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 77 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 768 - - 769 - - 769 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - 785 - - 786 - - 786 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1089 - - 3472 - - 3675 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 86 - - 25 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 312 - - 314 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2804 - - -4623 - - -4635 - - -2645 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3589 - - 5409 - - 5421 - - 3430 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11252 - - -11681 - - -11358 - - -12279 ODpotential blCL - - - 12037 - - 12467 - - 12144 - - 13064 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 56 - - 51 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 67.2 - - 67.7 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 46.6 - - 47.0 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 66.0 - - 68.0 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.0 - - 45.6 - - 46.1 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 114 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 76 - - 77 - - 77 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97064 29 231 34 269 29 257 30 264 97064 89841 8 252 23 250 17 272 20 245 89841 84294 8 322 15 213 14 255 10 267 84294 79698 1 333 10 195 15 229 9 300 79698 75726 9 143 8 178 13 226 6 289 75726 72214 10 136 8 162 15 209 12 253 72214 69041 1 282 3 249 9 191 16 218 69041 66128 15 260 11 272 8 256 10 251 66128 63435 18 242 18 248 16 265 16 275 63435 60834 14 248 22 240 19 254 22 274 60834 58133 21 256 22 254 22 255 28 264 58133 55333 19 257 27 251 28 247 32 251 55333 52655 27 270 29 242 31 242 36 255 52655 50237 30 243 32 250 40 243 43 247 50237 48055 31 267 40 256 39 242 41 241 48055 46055 41 274 39 264 39 254 41 248 46055 44213 40 280 37 266 39 261 39 260 44213 42522 31 282 30 270 32 266 38 269 42522 40965 18 288 25 267 32 272 39 277 40965 39514 18 307 29 278 34 283 39 281 39514 38145 23 313 33 290 34 294 37 280 38145 36816 25 323 33 293 31 298 37 278 36816 35457 25 329 31 292 34 298 37 276 35457 34039 24 337 26 290 40 299 37 278 34039 32566 22 339 22 262 43 301 34 283 32566 31022 15 343 22 266 38 304 31 294 31022 29396 10 323 24 289 32 306 30 296 29396 27692 16 315 27 299 31 308 30 293 27692 25909 18 324 25 306 30 306 32 298 25909 24049 17 328 22 310 27 306 32 305 24049 22111 17 334 20 302 25 310 26 300 22111 20088 18 339 19 305 23 315 17 294 20088 17979 20 337 17 321 19 309 14 283 17979 15831 20 337 17 331 15 309 14 289 15831 13759 15 338 15 344 12 315 16 302 13759 11873 12 313 13 339 11 321 13 303 11873 10200 12 304 15 325 13 324 11 303 10200 8722 12 317 15 318 16 324 13 315 8722 7417 11 327 13 319 17 324 15 325 7417 6263 10 320 12 323 16 323 15 327 6263 5244 13 317 13 321 15 317 15 322 5244 4350 15 327 14 315 14 309 16 316 4350 3563 16 331 12 311 12 308 16 315 3563 2859 16 328 11 310 11 309 17 316 2859 2237 16 321 10 310 10 312 15 313 2237 1717 14 316 9 310 9 313 13 312 1717 1319 11 311 8 311 8 315 10 309 1319 1045 6 308 8 312 7 316 7 302 1045 880 5*308 7*312 6*315 4*282 880 785 4*308 6*312 4*314 3*268 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography