DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 69.7 - - 66.4 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 143 - - 1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 77 - - 1679 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 769 - - 1374 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - 786 - - 2388 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1666 - - 991 - - 2200 - - 1268 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 71 - - 257 - - 28 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 17 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 169 - - 162 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -6 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2271 - - -1443 - - -2184 - - -761 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3057 - - 3831 - - 2970 - - 1547 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7485 - - -6395 - - -7293 - - -6740 ODpotential blCL - - - 8271 - - 8783 - - 8079 - - 7526 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 72 - - 77 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 69.7 - - 66.4 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 55.7 - - 56.0 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 68.5 - - 66.2 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 55.0 - - 55.8 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 143 - - 1 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 77 - - 1679 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96227 86 250 99 255 100 253 88 255 96227 89100 54 252 60 260 65 260 53 260 89100 83673 30 256 37 263 37 267 37 274 83673 79163 25 284 23 245 32 264 27 283 79163 75253 23 275 13 261 20 253 17 292 75253 71797 10 270 13 279 7 253 12 288 71797 68674 3 017 8 253 8 273 13 280 68674 65788 7 019 6 184 9 238 13 255 65788 63096 9 320 3 120 7 208 9 220 63096 60485 14 286 3 318 6 176 6 216 60485 57772 13 252 9 277 3 212 6 240 57772 54974 11 210 10 237 8 247 10 230 54974 52320 12 195 14 218 17 238 18 224 52320 49942 22 191 24 223 22 240 21 233 49942 47799 29 187 37 211 29 228 25 225 47799 45844 29 188 40 200 39 211 34 206 45844 44059 26 196 34 199 44 199 47 192 44059 42417 24 207 33 201 43 200 39 198 42417 40889 27 214 37 220 38 213 32 201 40889 39452 30 226 38 226 39 216 30 203 39452 38090 32 233 35 221 39 216 31 207 38090 36764 31 233 32 215 40 218 33 209 36764 35410 30 231 30 214 39 217 32 211 35410 33999 27 231 25 216 37 214 32 217 33999 32534 26 233 22 221 34 212 31 223 32534 30999 23 234 23 229 30 212 32 226 30999 29385 18 232 25 227 28 214 33 220 29385 27690 15 221 26 219 28 217 35 213 27690 25912 18 199 26 212 29 218 37 210 25912 24051 20 194 27 210 30 219 40 211 24051 22108 21 200 25 203 29 216 41 214 22108 20081 21 203 22 194 29 209 34 211 20081 17964 19 199 22 195 28 206 29 201 17964 15815 19 188 20 215 21 214 30 206 15815 13762 16 183 18 213 14 229 24 210 13762 11901 14 183 17 189 14 214 20 204 11901 10243 11 192 18 181 18 195 21 205 10243 8770 9 191 19 182 21 187 24 205 8770 7460 9 190 21 181 24 187 26 205 7460 6296 12 192 24 182 27 192 28 207 6296 5269 16 193 26 186 28 197 30 208 5269 4366 21 195 27 191 27 201 32 207 4366 3572 22 195 25 191 25 200 33 205 3572 2864 22 193 22*186 24 194 32 204 2864 2240 20 190 19*174 22 178 29 199 2240 1720 15 183 18 170 21 173 25 191 1720 1321 11 172 18 168 19 169 20 184 1321 1047 10 169 16 166 17 167 14 176 1047 881 8*168 14 165 14*164 11*172 881 786 6*166 10 163 9*162 6*167 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography