DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.8 - - 47.0 - - 38.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 140 - - 0 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1575 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1250 - - 768 - - 767 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2284 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 975 - - 1766 - - 346 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 245 - - 19 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 186 - - 167 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2009 - - -3355 - - -896 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4294 - - 4139 - - 1681 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10609 - - -11637 - - -11029 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12893 - - 12421 - - 11813 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 62 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.8 - - 47.0 - - 38.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 29.0 - - 31.8 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 43.7 - - 46.7 - - 40.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 28.6 - - 31.6 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 140 - - 0 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1575 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96234 58 247 52 246 56 250 96234 89022 31 246 35 258 31 244 89022 83505 25 256 24 268 26 270 83505 78932 28 261 24 275 25 278 78932 74981 20 268 23 268 21 275 74981 71456 16 279 20 279 25 280 71456 68250 23 296 23 284 35 285 68250 65313 32 289 29 282 31 289 65313 62580 37 286 34 277 26 290 62580 59905 38 277 35 275 31 282 59905 57091 36 279 35 284 43 287 57091 54166 39 293 45 287 58 291 54166 51382 47 281 53 285 63 287 51382 48893 45 284 59 286 62 287 48893 46680 56 296 66 288 67 289 46680 44690 67 288 70 287 71 289 44690 42889 67 289 73 290 81 289 42889 41252 75 295 86 292 86 286 41252 39749 88 294 86 292 84 288 39749 38346 92 300 83 294 87 290 38346 37015 98 304 86 295 84 288 37015 35720 98 302 89 293 79 286 35720 34397 97 301 90 289 81 285 34397 33018 94 301 88 286 84 285 33018 31587 88 300 83 288 84 287 31587 30090 84 298 79 290 84 289 30090 28517 81 299 77 291 82 292 28517 26867 77 297 74 291 75 292 26867 25138 73 291 68 290 69 291 25138 23330 68 286 63 287 65 289 23330 21446 59 280 63 284 62 286 21446 19481 52 277 60 281 60 285 19481 17431 50 276 53 277 58 284 17431 15344 49 273 48 274 55 278 15344 13337 47 270 46 273 50 274 13337 11515 43 266 45 273 46 276 11515 9900 38 260 45 272 43 279 9900 8470 35 257 45 269 44 280 8470 7203 35 257 43 264 45 277 7203 6081 34 255 40 260 44 271 6081 5092 34 245 32 255 39 264 5092 4224 34 229 26 243 32 256 4224 3458 30 218 24 228 27 243 3458 2775 23*206 21 212 25 229 2775 2173 18*191 19 194 21 215 2173 1673 17 187 18 181 23 196 1673 1292 16 185 17 175 21 182 1292 1031 15 183 15 171 16 170 1031 874 13 181 12 169 12*165 874 784 10 180 8*167 6*158 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography