DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.5 - - 51.2 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 65 - - 14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 768 - - 768 - - 768 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 784 - - 784 - - 784 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4194 - - 5119 - - 201 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 72 - - 46 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 264 - - 272 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2531 - - -2674 - - -968 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3315 - - 3458 - - 1752 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3491 - - -3237 - - -3572 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4275 - - 4021 - - 4356 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 62 - - 66 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.5 - - 51.2 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 37.9 - - 39.0 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.9 - - 51.1 - - 46.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.7 - - 37.9 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 65 - - 14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96314 28 044 32 051 27 060 96314 89293 23 056 17 061 21 029 89293 83800 12 037 10 057 9 030 83800 79175 2 279 7 336 10 353 79175 75159 2 215 6 251 11 334 75159 71591 11 315 11 297 18 329 71591 68343 11 284 17 286 16 305 68343 65344 12 325 16 317 15 325 65344 62558 27 311 33 301 30 307 62558 59859 39 297 41 288 38 292 59859 57036 42 293 42 289 40 286 57036 54103 45 292 44 296 44 289 54103 51314 48 286 48 294 49 289 51314 48810 46 284 51 291 53 290 48810 46564 49 286 58 289 61 285 46564 44532 56 287 66 283 61 284 44532 42674 63 286 68 279 62 288 42674 40958 68 286 68 284 70 287 40958 39379 69 293 74 289 88 291 39379 37939 91 304 97 298 122 293 37939 36610 128 306 122 298 135 289 36610 35325 140 303 135 294 129 284 35325 34011 140 301 132 295 131 287 34011 32640 132 301 122 296 128 294 32640 31224 129 300 111 293 106 293 31224 29745 126 303 107 294 96 288 29745 28186 120 307 107 296 89 288 28186 26547 90 306 104 301 90 292 26547 24826 65 300 91 304 87 299 24826 23029 60 298 65 296 70 298 23029 21165 56 296 53 286 58 288 21165 19230 51 290 49 286 56 283 19230 17214 45 286 46 283 50 283 17214 15158 37 292 40 278 43 285 15158 13182 30 296 30 278 33 290 13182 11391 26 292 25 283 23 286 11391 9804 25 283 24 283 19 275 9804 8401 25 276 23 286 16 273 8401 7157 26 276 23 291 15 283 7157 6056 27 278 24 291 16 289 6056 5082 27 275 23 287 16 285 5082 4223 25 272 20 280 16 277 4223 3464 22 269 16 273 15 271 3464 2785 19 267 15 272 14 268 2785 2185 16 266 14 272 12 268 2185 1684 15 266 12 272 10 271 1684 1300 13 265 11 271 8 273 1300 1036 12 265 10 272 6 271 1036 875 10 264 8 271 4*256 875 784 6*264 5*272 3*239 784 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography