DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 88.4 - - 91.0 - - 85.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 188 - - 74 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 78 - - 3682 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 770 - - 2978 - - 771 - - 771 Hcrit BL Top - - - 787 - - 4391 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4066 - - 2481 - - 7026 - - 3453 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 80 - - 374 - - 78 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 192 - - 174 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3093 - - -837 - - -4785 - - -3129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3880 - - 5228 - - 5572 - - 3916 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4569 - - -2322 - - -5463 - - -5110 ODpotential blCL - - - 5356 - - 6713 - - 6250 - - 5897 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 80 - - 88 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 710 - - 1090 - - 1720 - - 2060 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 88.4 - - 91.0 - - 85.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.0 - - 68.0 - - 69.1 - - 70.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 86.7 - - 90.0 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 66.9 - - 68.1 - - 70.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 188 - - 74 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 78 - - 3682 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 21 - - 54 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99296 46 100 32 088 31 088 31 057 99296 91722 31 086 29 095 23 096 19 069 91722 85888 27 073 33 085 24 100 16 091 85888 81072 22 065 28 083 24 090 22 099 81072 76953 17 074 21 084 18 074 22 082 76953 73336 15 078 13 076 14 065 19 077 73336 70059 14 055 10 067 17 051 18 068 70059 67045 10 033 12 070 15 044 10 064 67045 64263 8 020 12 059 13 033 9 039 64263 61590 6 004 11 030 10 017 14 015 61590 58827 6 051 8 348 5 332 11 012 58827 55983 17 035 12 015 7 007 12 008 55983 53285 20 013 14 020 15 014 12 351 53285 50882 21 005 18 022 16 008 9 025 50882 48757 18 001 22 016 7 006 2 026 48757 46833 5 267 15 003 10 005 5 282 46833 45057 10 099 9 029 7 351 9 263 45057 43396 14 093 9 046 6 254 10 270 43396 41829 9 095 5 110 3 254 6 342 41829 40347 7 042 4 158 9 360 10 035 40347 38940 10 031 0 288 10 008 13 038 38940 37571 10 032 2 335 9 355 13 016 37571 36173 10 028 3 298 8 339 11 351 36173 34719 13 032 2 309 7 331 10 331 34719 33212 17 031 5 029 5 326 7 305 33212 31637 18 019 12 042 1 325 4 255 31637 29980 22 339 13 006 4 014 3 276 29980 28249 30 331 18 343 15 345 8 328 28249 26445 30 326 19 351 14 358 12 350 26445 24560 25 329 20 358 20 353 19 003 24560 22598 27 333 25 351 24 335 26 355 22598 20558 28 334 32 355 24 337 25 353 20558 18434 23 336 35 348 25 333 25 335 18434 16265 21 345 31 342 24 331 27 330 16265 14168 19 346 23 338 21 323 28 333 14168 12257 20 336 17 330 21 309 25 332 12257 10557 20 332 13 318 22 301 22 321 10557 9050 11 326 11 306 18 289 19 294 9050 7712 10 314 11 281 16 277 17 276 7712 6520 7 296 12 271 13 265 15 271 6520 5462 7 258 10 260 9 234 12 255 5462 4529 8 236 8*229 9 221 11 231 4529 3703 10 209 9*201 8 200 11 205 3703 2965 11 191 10 195 8 191 12 187 2965 2312 11 183 10 192 8 184 13 175 2312 1767 10 179 9 190 8 180 13 168 1767 1349 9 177 9 188 7 178 13 163 1349 1062 8 175 9 187 7 176 11 157 1062 887 7*174 8 187 7 175 9 151 887 787 5*174 7 186 6*174 5*147 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography