DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.7 - - 62.5 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 8 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 769 - - 769 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 785 - - 785 - - 785 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1321 - - 794 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 017 - - 055 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 785 - - 785 - - 785 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -300 - - -4672 - - -6054 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1085 - - 5457 - - 6839 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 290 - - 510 - - 910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 61.7 - - 62.5 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.7 - - 62.1 - - 62.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.2 - - 62.4 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.6 - - 62.4 - - 63.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 8 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 76 - - 76 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97574 28 267 28 268 32 273 97574 90348 19 275 18 267 25 279 90348 84750 17 279 19 277 21 286 84750 80099 15 280 20 279 19 303 80099 76090 10 297 16 270 17 304 76090 72550 12 297 16 289 15 302 72550 69365 14 290 20 293 16 308 69365 66459 16 301 19 286 21 303 66459 63785 21 281 19 293 24 293 63785 61208 22 271 21 287 22 296 61208 58509 27 261 25 265 25 285 58509 55701 29 248 30 253 33 266 55701 53028 29 254 33 262 38 251 53028 50622 35 253 38 246 39 248 50622 48455 49 236 41 244 42 242 48455 46477 63 219 49 229 49 230 46477 44652 74 216 57 222 56 221 44652 42947 81 210 65 220 58 221 42947 41344 84 205 74 218 64 222 41344 39838 80 202 83 215 75 219 39838 38420 77 199 88 211 83 214 38420 37049 76 198 91 207 88 210 37049 35652 75 200 92 206 88 206 35652 34199 75 201 88 205 85 204 34199 32692 74 203 83 204 80 204 32692 31120 67 203 82 203 75 204 31120 29471 61 195 78 202 73 204 29471 27745 61 197 73 201 68 205 27745 25945 55 201 68 201 52 207 25945 24082 44 204 63 199 34 212 24082 22152 40 203 57 195 31 211 22152 20142 41 207 53 197 29 204 20142 18050 41 214 46 205 28 193 18050 15917 34 214 36 211 26 184 15917 13862 30 213 31 208 26 179 13862 11991 25 214 27 205 23 179 11991 10329 22 204 29 201 20 176 10329 8852 25 191 28 194 18 175 8852 7534 27 182 24 187 19 175 7534 6357 23 168 20 176 19 177 6357 5316 22 130 20 163 18 178 5316 4401 26 100 24 133 17 170 4401 3595 24 083 26 117 17 152 3595 2878 21 072 22 107 17 127 2878 2247 18 054 21 093 17 107 2247 1723 16 038 18 079 13 096 1723 1322 13 026 15 066 9 079 1322 1047 11 022 11 058 6 047 1047 880 9 020 9 057 4 028 880 785 6*017 5*055 2*010 785 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography