DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 73.1 - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 29 - - 55 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 770 - - 770 - - 769 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 786 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2604 - - 3488 - - 1185 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 57 - - 70 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 113 - - 074 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -609 - - -1347 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1395 - - 2133 - - 786 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -903 - - -1553 - - -1383 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1689 - - 2339 - - 2169 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 93 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 250 - - 270 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 73.1 - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.7 - - 66.3 - - 66.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.7 - - 72.2 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 66.2 - - 65.4 - - 66.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 29 - - 55 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 74 - - 74 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98622 20 089 15 086 15 041 98622 91120 19 088 17 082 8 070 91120 85343 14 090 16 081 14 113 85343 80548 11 115 10 106 15 077 80548 76432 12 124 9 110 12 070 76432 72822 11 096 7 090 12 038 72822 69569 8 059 8 132 5 024 69569 66582 4 008 5 112 2 172 66582 63818 2 298 5 001 3 320 63818 61147 3 277 8 283 13 302 61147 58364 5 313 8 266 13 255 58364 55480 17 271 20 280 19 274 55480 52738 30 253 34 260 29 266 52738 50302 38 259 46 258 42 261 50302 48173 57 251 59 254 66 257 48173 46266 62 252 62 251 74 253 46266 44509 67 259 69 254 80 254 44509 42866 72 256 73 252 73 256 42866 41321 76 254 71 252 66 254 41321 39860 75 253 71 252 67 250 39860 38472 73 251 69 252 69 250 38472 37123 72 251 69 255 66 250 37123 35746 69 251 65 255 62 247 35746 34311 65 249 61 252 61 246 34311 32820 59 246 60 249 60 247 32820 31257 54 244 59 247 59 249 31257 29613 50 239 56 243 54 249 29613 27889 42 238 53 240 51 247 27889 26083 38 237 48 239 51 244 26083 24201 41 232 39 233 47 242 24201 22247 41 235 33 226 45 246 22247 20215 39 238 30 243 39 248 20215 18100 33 237 33 253 32 248 18100 15947 28 241 28 254 25 253 15947 13875 26 250 16 254 19 256 13875 11989 23 253 13 251 16 244 11989 10311 17 259 10 259 12 268 10311 8826 12 261 7 274 6 286 8826 7507 9 258 5 278 3 288 7507 6338 8 257 4 301 2 292 6338 5306 7 265 3 329 0 347 5306 4398 4 282 2 356 2 073 4398 3598 3 306 2 033 3 066 3598 2883 2 328 2 084 3 065 2883 2253 1 038 2 086 3 088 2253 1728 4 111 2 082 3 138 1728 1326 4 111 2 078 4 163 1326 1049 4 112 2 077 4 175 1049 882 4 113 2 075 3*179 882 786 3*113 2*074 2*175 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography