DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 79.0 - - 83.3 - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 112 - - 32 - - 47 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2372 - - 78 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1780 - - 770 - - 770 - - 771 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3081 - - 787 - - 787 - - 787 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3156 - - 5611 - - 6466 - - 6354 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 64 - - 71 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 248 - - 260 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -381 - - -1730 - - -4442 - - -2503 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3462 - - 2517 - - 5229 - - 3290 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1613 - - -2751 - - -5399 - - -3828 ODpotential blCL - - - 4694 - - 3538 - - 6186 - - 4615 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 93 - - 71 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 1130 - - 1050 - - 100 - - 1140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.2 - - 79.0 - - 83.3 - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.4 - - 70.2 - - 62.9 - - 69.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.1 - - 78.4 - - 82.5 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 69.2 - - 61.7 - - 68.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 112 - - 32 - - 47 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2372 - - 78 - - 78 - - 78 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 68 - - 73 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 16 - - 12 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99407 34 091 29 075 33 067 29 075 99407 91893 32 084 24 087 24 069 23 067 91893 86101 25 086 20 093 18 075 16 068 86101 81293 17 087 19 093 14 089 13 074 81293 77145 12 072 18 081 14 102 14 084 77145 73483 10 068 17 066 14 093 13 088 73483 70184 12 083 12 081 9 091 10 058 70184 67163 13 077 9 103 6 094 8 047 67163 64374 13 053 8 095 6 077 5 068 64374 61686 10 338 8 049 7 068 0 222 61686 58904 9 301 6 322 2 002 7 258 58904 56028 13 264 13 274 19 315 15 295 56028 53301 21 252 31 276 35 283 35 294 53301 50871 26 242 36 256 44 266 41 266 50871 48685 24 232 39 242 50 251 25 245 48685 46671 22 253 38 248 45 253 48 274 46671 44826 34 283 38 259 52 278 72 280 44826 43141 49 283 46 267 63 273 67 287 43141 41569 59 272 50 264 54 264 61 294 41569 40084 53 256 55 256 50 238 59 298 40084 38679 51 253 54 238 57 243 59 297 38679 37315 48 247 54 236 64 246 58 298 37315 35923 46 238 53 232 64 244 55 301 35923 34474 45 233 53 232 62 244 51 302 34474 32969 42 235 53 237 61 247 45 294 32969 31392 39 240 49 239 58 250 43 286 31392 29729 40 246 45 245 55 249 45 275 29729 27988 42 251 43 246 52 247 48 271 27988 26177 42 259 40 250 47 253 46 268 26177 24294 41 264 38 258 39 270 42 272 24294 22342 40 254 39 266 29 282 25 277 22342 20309 37 238 38 265 24 287 16 285 20309 18188 29 239 35 259 23 287 17 303 18188 16026 25 260 33 252 19 287 15 300 16026 13947 24 265 33 250 19 281 11 282 13947 12061 23 252 35 253 17 269 12 271 12061 10388 19 250 31 247 14 278 14 263 10388 8905 14 259 18 244 13 280 13 254 8905 7589 15 282 11 257 12 281 10 244 7589 6421 19 294 10 259 12 282 6 244 6421 5385 20 296 10 259 12 277 5 255 5385 4470 18 297 11 261 12 272 5 258 4470 3660 14*295 11 260 11 269 4 257 3660 2934 11*292 12 259 11 265 4 254 2934 2291 8 290 11 256 10 264 4 254 2291 1754 8 290 11 255 9 262 3 252 1754 1342 7 290 10 253 8 262 3 249 1342 1058 6 291 9 252 8 261 3 248 1058 885 6 291 8*250 7*261 2*245 885 787 5 291 6*248 6*260 1*245 787 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography