DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 FrontRoyal_VA 709ft pt33650@38.996,-78.097,836ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Skyline Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 76.4 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - 96 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 770 - - 770 - - 770 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 786 - - 786 - - 786 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1786 - - 3413 - - 2491 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 55 - - 82 - - 41 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 061 - - 034 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -81 - - -1287 - - -636 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 867 - - 2073 - - 1422 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -316 - - -1399 - - -1332 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1102 - - 2185 - - 2118 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 280 - - 1000 - - 1090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 76.4 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.7 - - 69.6 - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 75.3 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.4 - - 68.9 - - 70.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - 96 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 87 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99036 28 072 24 087 27 066 99036 91531 22 076 23 076 23 072 91531 85757 22 072 22 072 21 079 85757 80996 22 067 20 072 19 070 80996 76916 17 068 17 070 14 065 76916 73307 14 092 12 065 13 054 73307 70031 13 078 6 016 15 017 70031 67030 7 037 2 217 9 338 67030 64258 3 262 8 333 12 340 64258 61583 4 002 13 318 19 330 61583 58803 13 339 15 301 18 307 58803 55917 22 288 18 286 20 291 55917 53166 30 278 27 279 33 285 53166 50717 35 277 35 273 39 277 50717 48535 40 282 39 268 38 279 48535 46540 45 278 43 274 45 285 46540 44702 55 272 51 270 52 290 44702 42994 64 260 54 265 45 285 42994 41400 61 260 53 266 35 285 41400 39910 61 266 53 266 31 297 39910 38509 61 265 55 264 33 302 38509 37152 59 259 54 262 36 296 37152 35772 54 254 48 262 37 292 35772 34340 48 253 38 266 37 290 34340 32858 41 251 37 270 35 289 32858 31305 39 249 36 263 34 290 31305 29669 40 255 32 253 33 288 29669 27951 42 264 32 259 32 293 27951 26152 40 271 34 268 27 304 26152 24274 29 283 32 283 25 311 24274 22321 12 301 28 294 24 309 22321 20290 11 296 24 298 22 307 20290 18176 12 293 16 305 19 303 18176 16023 10 278 10 287 15 296 16023 13946 7 260 10 271 10 284 13946 12056 7 254 9 299 6 278 12056 10377 9 267 10 304 7 293 10377 8887 11 269 12 285 10 305 8887 7563 9 264 12 291 12 315 7563 6389 7 267 11 296 12 320 6389 5350 5 270 8 299 9 320 5350 4435 4 241 4 310 4 311 4435 3629 3 207 2 357 1 028 3629 2908 2 148 4 052 4 064 2908 2272 3 092 5 048 5 053 2272 1741 4 071 5 042 6 048 1741 1334 5 065 5 038 6 047 1334 1054 4 062 5 036 6 046 1054 884 4 061 5 034 5 045 884 786 3*061 4*034 4*045 786 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography