DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/05 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.2 - - 85.5 - - 80.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 275 - - 173 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4903 - - 4101 - - 1889 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3415 - - 2578 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4983 - - 4181 - - 1969 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1240 - - 1907 - - 2947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 456 - - 367 - - 63 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 103 - - 114 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2020 - - -263 - - -163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7003 - - 4444 - - 2132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8345 - - -1113 - - -711 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13328 - - 5294 - - 2680 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 83 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 260 - - 1100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.2 - - 85.5 - - 80.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.0 - - 66.4 - - 71.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.8 - - 84.4 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.8 - - 65.8 - - 71.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 275 - - 173 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4903 - - 4101 - - 1889 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 23 - - 33 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99049 39 086 35 088 32 074 99049 91553 36 082 31 080 31 081 91553 85781 32 086 27 082 32 076 85781 81013 27 086 23 076 31 072 81013 76915 23 098 22 070 26 073 76915 73288 25 089 17 077 22 066 73288 70008 22 078 18 089 20 064 70008 67006 21 057 24 066 19 062 67006 64239 11 057 18 042 15 028 64239 61583 14 073 14 082 5 071 61583 58809 27 031 28 035 19 050 58809 55948 29 005 25 008 26 028 55948 53255 23 002 19 022 25 048 53255 50831 18 008 23 026 31 036 50831 48653 32 016 34 018 37 035 48653 46687 37 360 44 358 41 016 46687 44895 19 005 27 353 32 346 44895 43235 5 047 4 004 8 273 43235 41681 11 072 4 258 5 172 41681 40210 16 068 5 241 7 157 40210 38811 12 062 4 252 5 187 38811 37448 5 050 5 292 3 140 37448 36053 4 026 7 329 9 049 36053 34598 5 028 9 348 16 025 34598 33084 8 034 10 009 19 026 33084 31494 9 036 6 024 21 037 31494 29817 12 035 9 020 23 039 29817 28050 13 057 10 047 14 071 28050 26194 8 084 7 079 13 086 26194 24258 4 032 7 041 12 047 24258 22251 3 083 6 064 11 068 22251 20159 4 141 6 089 12 113 20159 17971 3 131 4 102 15 121 17971 15735 4 100 4 106 13 126 15735 13585 7 089 8 099 14 134 13585 11636 9 074 11 096 16 135 11636 9906 7 070 8 092 14 150 9906 8372 8 136 8 128 12 159 8372 7011 7 150 13 153 10 163 7011 5806 6*108 12 157 6 163 5806 4745 10*101 9*134 5 137 4745 3813 11 102 9*118 7 126 3813 2992 12 103 9 115 8 124 2992 2258 12 103 9 114 10*124 2258 1610 12 103 9 113 10*124 1610 1070 12 104 9 113 10 125 1070 656 12 104 9 113 10 125 656 372 11 104 8 113 10 125 372 199 10 105 8 112 8 126 199 100 9 104 7 112 6 125 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography