DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 76.5 - - 72.5 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 61 - - 14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 877 - - 1498 - - 635 - - 235 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 83 - - 84 - - 83 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - 957 - - 1578 - - 715 - - 315 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1984 - - 1957 - - 1372 - - 2152 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 120 - - 194 - - 88 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 320 - - 291 - - 354 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 514 - - 768 - - 429 - - -22 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 443 - - 810 - - 286 - - 337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 260 - - 505 - - 173 - - -391 ODpotential blCL - - - 697 - - 1073 - - 542 - - 706 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1350 - - 1550 - - 760 - - 700 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 76.5 - - 72.5 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.2 - - 72.7 - - 71.0 - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 76.1 - - 72.6 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.7 - - 71.9 - - 70.8 - - 70.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 61 - - 14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 877 - - 1498 - - 635 - - 235 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98512 12 099 14 113 5 150 10 042 98512 91176 14 091 10 083 11 104 2 080 91176 85442 9 079 7 032 14 067 4 114 85442 80666 5 019 4 036 15 034 12 079 80666 76591 3 080 2 066 7 008 15 042 76591 73012 11 111 6 143 4 285 16 356 73012 69775 9 082 11 110 2 176 5 005 69775 66810 6 034 11 089 6 116 5 133 66810 64074 4 049 6 097 5 126 5 136 64074 61419 5 067 5 116 4 153 4 116 61419 58646 1 006 2 111 3 224 2 117 58646 55778 6 248 2 212 5 209 5 208 55778 53053 9 233 5 240 5 201 6 225 53053 50596 11 197 9 219 7 231 9 243 50596 48380 14 181 11 199 9 238 9 234 48380 46356 15 181 11 196 7 216 10 207 46356 44498 16 181 16 194 11 195 15 192 44498 42784 22 177 25 188 21 190 16 198 42784 41189 26 179 37 185 31 184 23 201 41189 39697 31 176 48 180 42 176 31 186 39697 38294 31 173 57 174 49 173 40 176 38294 36935 28 176 58 172 50 172 31 173 36935 35551 28 176 53 176 46 173 29 184 35551 34113 28 174 37 179 40 178 28 190 34113 32621 27 175 28 181 29 186 25 196 32621 31055 26 173 25 184 24 186 26 200 31055 29401 25 170 22 186 21 187 20 202 29401 27664 22 172 19 184 18 188 13 205 27664 25844 22 176 17 184 16 185 9 193 25844 23941 20 181 15 185 12 173 7 186 23941 21961 17 181 12 179 11 164 8 184 21961 19899 15 182 11 178 10 171 9 182 19899 17749 12 178 9 176 7 171 9 194 17749 15555 10 170 7 184 4 182 8 204 15555 13443 7 174 5 189 1 146 6 187 13443 11521 6 201 4 222 1 097 5 167 11521 9810 4 216 4 232 2 257 4 170 9810 8288 2 200 3 238 3 269 2 268 8288 6938 1 061 1 282 4 275 3 296 6938 5744 2 037 0 121 4 303 4 334 5744 4689 3 031 0 009 5 319 8 348 4689 3762 3 350 2 313 6 312 11 005 3762 2948 3 343 3 309 6 313 15 023 2948 2223 3 355 4 301 5 346 18 031 2223 1584 3 355 5*295 7 359 18 030 1584 1053 3*344 5*292 8*358 17 029 1053 646 3*325 6 291 7*356 15 028 646 366 3 322 5 290 7 354 13*028 366 197 3 316 5 290 6 353 11*027 197 100 2 316 4 291 5 352 7 027 100 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography