DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/09 Garner_VA 80ft pt30347@-76.630,36.871,32ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Tidewater Soaring Society RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.8 - - 92.1 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 337 - - 172 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4555 - - 5163 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3221 - - 3369 - - 84 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4635 - - 5243 - - 101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1812 - - 2574 - - 4978 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 472 - - 396 - - 22 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 207 - - 208 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -292 - - 333 - - -986 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4928 - - 4910 - - 1087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1993 - - -696 - - -2275 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6628 - - 5939 - - 2376 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 77 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1610 - - 2040 - - 3220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.8 - - 92.1 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 70.8 - - 77.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.2 - - 91.2 - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.7 - - 70.3 - - 76.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 337 - - 172 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4555 - - 5163 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 15 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99172 39 084 30 085 26 063 99172 91626 32 091 26 073 27 069 91626 85811 30 089 25 075 26 067 85811 81012 28 078 25 073 26 073 81012 76905 22 069 24 073 24 079 76905 73295 15 067 25 066 23 079 73295 70035 12 081 22 057 23 060 70035 67028 14 102 13 082 16 050 67028 64235 16 089 10 101 9 074 64235 61554 14 102 2 101 5 092 61554 58788 9 108 5 135 6 134 58788 55939 5 184 2 166 2 201 55939 53235 16 174 7 206 8 195 53235 50821 18 168 12 185 12 169 50821 48668 14 164 14 175 10 177 48668 46716 13 176 17 174 8 190 46716 44923 10 198 15 175 11 170 44923 43257 11 214 11 180 9 170 43257 41695 12 204 18 162 12 168 41695 40217 16 169 21 160 11 176 40217 38814 18 166 20 165 11 182 38814 37447 18 172 18 171 12 190 37447 36049 16 181 14 182 9 219 36049 34589 16 186 12 193 9 230 34589 33072 15 188 14 211 11 232 33072 31483 15 196 15 220 13 223 31483 29809 15 204 16 221 16 217 29809 28049 17 205 18 219 17 221 28049 26203 20 205 19 227 16 226 26203 24274 21 216 18 230 15 227 24274 22267 19 222 17 216 15 227 22267 20176 18 219 20 214 14 226 20176 17996 19 220 21 223 14 227 17996 15770 18 220 18 227 14 226 15770 13624 14 221 16 227 14 226 13624 11674 12 230 12 225 15 224 11674 9946 12 236 12 226 14 222 9946 8414 13 237 12 228 13 222 8414 7053 14 236 13 222 17 224 7053 5848 15 229 16*214 21 224 5848 4783 17*212 16*212 21 220 4783 3845 17*209 16 210 21 220 3845 3017 18 208 17 209 20 222 3017 2276 18 207 17 208 19 224 2276 1622 18 207 17 208 18 226 1622 1078 17 207 17 207 17 229 1078 661 16 206 16 206 15 233 661 374 16 206 15 207 12 236 374 200 14 206 14 206 10*238 200 101 11 206 11 206 6*240 101 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography