DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Hammett_Rim_ID 2983ft pt40714@42.875,-115.427,2966ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.0 - - 62.8 - - 72.6 - - 70.1 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 166 - - 180 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1084 - - 2378 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2927 - - 3261 - - 4246 - - 2928 - - 2928 Hcrit BL Top 2944 - - 4067 - - 5361 - - 2946 - - 2945 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 113 - - 770 - - 2353 - - 3732 - - 93 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 232 - - 310 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 116 - - 118 - - 098 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -9 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3244 - - -6246 - - -7825 - - -9740 - - -6722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6189 - - 10314 - - 13187 - - 12687 - - 9668 sfcLCL ODpotential -15060 - - -13456 - - -13295 - - -15722 - - -15253 ODpotential blCL 18004 - - 17523 - - 18656 - - 18668 - - 18198 blCL maxRH 53 - - 51 - - 46 - - 45 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.0 - - 62.8 - - 72.6 - - 70.1 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.9 - - 28.3 - - 24.9 - - 24.9 - - 25.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 61.6 - - 71.3 - - 71.5 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.9 - - 28.2 - - 24.7 - - 24.7 - - 25.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 166 - - 180 - - -9 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1084 - - 2378 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97546 7 337 12 274 17 286 19 310 17 306 97546 90275 10 352 7 252 11 282 11 324 8 267 90275 84638 14 336 6 298 15 269 18 313 10 331 84638 79953 16 338 8 354 11 271 20 276 25 290 79953 75970 26 309 19 333 8 023 9 268 18 272 75970 72476 25 292 25 295 17 316 13 319 9 282 72476 69282 19 289 24 285 21 282 19 286 14 286 69282 66319 23 291 26 281 24 275 23 271 21 277 66319 63569 26 279 23 268 26 270 28 272 26 276 63569 60911 25 277 24 262 29 267 34 269 31 273 60911 58144 31 280 31 266 34 266 38 265 35 269 58144 55282 39 271 34 267 37 266 40 266 39 266 55282 52556 42 271 43 278 43 273 44 273 43 271 52556 50100 49 273 53 278 49 274 48 273 49 269 50100 47888 50 270 53 274 49 276 50 275 50 270 47888 45869 49 271 48 276 50 278 54 277 53 274 45869 44010 50 268 47 277 48 278 51 276 52 274 44010 42286 49 265 46 277 47 277 45 276 48 272 42286 40675 45 266 45 279 46 277 44 274 46 272 40675 39171 41 267 42 280 43 280 42 275 44 271 39171 37771 37 266 42 280 40 281 38 278 38 271 37771 36445 33 268 42 279 40 280 33 279 33 273 36445 35119 31 270 39 276 39 275 32 282 32 277 35119 33759 30 270 36 274 37 272 32 283 33 278 33759 32359 29 270 35 278 34 273 30 281 32 278 32359 30904 28 272 33 281 32 272 28 275 29 280 30904 29381 28 271 30 276 30 269 27 274 26 283 29381 27790 30 267 27 270 30 270 28 274 25 279 27790 26134 30 264 27 269 30 273 28 277 26 278 26134 24417 27 266 26 271 27 278 27 283 26 278 24417 22642 23 269 24 269 23 280 24 284 22 274 22642 20804 21 270 21 267 19 275 20 277 20 267 20804 18896 19 269 18 271 18 269 17 267 18 259 18896 16954 16 267 15 273 16 269 15 265 17 258 16954 15086 12 267 14 263 14 264 14 263 15 261 15086 13388 10 272 12 263 13 255 13 250 13 255 13388 11877 9 258 8 261 11 247 12 245 13 248 11877 10529 9 234 8 242 9 245 11 244 14 243 10529 9325 9 218 9 232 9 250 10 247 14 242 9325 8247 8 214 8 224 8 253 10 251 11 241 8247 7285 7 219 6 222 7 253 8 253 7 231 7285 6430 5 204 4 206 5 250 4 256 3 163 6430 5670 5 156 4 171 2*218 1 239 7 116 5670 4986 8 134 6 137 4*125 4 107 11 122 4986 4378 10 125 9*126 4 120 6 106 13 126 4378 3868 12 119 10*118 5 118 7 104 12 126 3868 3474 10 120 10 116 5 115 7 102 10 124 3474 3203 7 137 9 115 4 114 6 100 8 123 3203 3038 7*134 9 114 4 113 6*099 6*130 3038 2944 2*137 8 114 4 113 4*098 4*141 2944 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography