DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 74.4 - - 74.6 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 146 - - 66 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 904 - - 1797 - - 1652 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1071 - - 1866 - - 1071 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1974 - - 2867 - - 2722 - - 1087 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 636 - - 773 - - 992 - - 752 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 271 - - 209 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 093 - - 108 - - 112 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -307 - - -714 - - -1175 - - -1562 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2281 - - 3581 - - 3897 - - 2649 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6482 - - -6399 - - -6983 - - -8444 ODpotential blCL - - - 8456 - - 9266 - - 9705 - - 9531 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 74 - - 71 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 74.4 - - 74.6 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.2 - - 62.3 - - 61.2 - - 59.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 73.8 - - 74.4 - - 69.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 61.2 - - 60.1 - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 146 - - 66 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 904 - - 1797 - - 1652 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98222 9 099 5 074 6 087 12 117 98222 90914 11 106 6 101 3 100 6 038 90914 85257 13 066 10 109 6 146 5 017 85257 80539 11 067 12 105 4 125 11 068 80539 76486 10 074 14 093 2 125 10 050 76486 72922 5 067 11 085 9 120 1 341 72922 69692 3 075 2 348 11 086 6 151 69692 66713 7 067 2 315 8 067 8 099 66713 63949 14 038 6 043 5 038 10 067 63949 61273 13 019 9 038 6 019 10 031 61273 58490 10 003 7 041 6 033 8 355 58490 55624 13 355 7 047 7 056 4 334 55624 52904 14 341 9 035 9 053 5 089 52904 50457 12 342 11 014 9 026 9 072 50457 48264 12 354 9 001 10 358 10 021 48264 46289 17 000 10 004 10 353 13 350 46289 44490 21 358 13 358 13 353 13 344 44490 42831 24 002 14 005 13 350 13 347 42831 41284 25 000 15 010 13 355 11 351 41284 39829 20 348 11 026 7 001 9 007 39829 38451 7 333 8 045 2 060 8 018 38451 37117 3 027 5 055 4 081 4 049 37117 35760 6 073 5 063 4 063 3 086 35760 34347 9 078 4 072 3 039 3 068 34347 32880 12 069 5 075 3 048 6 092 32880 31345 14 057 8 080 5 092 9 102 31345 29730 13 055 11 086 10 113 9 123 29730 28036 11 062 11 088 12 120 10 134 28036 26261 11 066 10 083 9 124 8 135 26261 24408 9 055 9 071 9 104 9 124 24408 22479 11 045 9 073 9 094 10 116 22479 20468 11 045 10 075 9 109 9 121 20468 18371 8 035 7 058 6 101 6 113 18371 16232 8 001 4 340 4 001 3 049 16232 14175 15 329 11 340 10 345 8 354 14175 12306 17 327 13 338 13 325 15 338 12306 10642 16 323 15 330 15 331 16 341 10642 9159 17 321 16 326 16 339 14 347 9159 7837 15 331 12 331 13 338 11 349 7837 6662 9 342 5 334 6 330 4 335 6662 5624 5 003 1 314 2 341 3 148 5624 4712 3 036 3 154 3 134 8 144 4712 3908 4 137 6 150 9 136 14 146 3908 3190 9 149 8*129 11*126 17 145 3190 2556 11 132 8*113 11*118 18 141 2556 2029 10*111 8 109 11 112 16 136 2029 1626 7*094 8 107 10 111 11 117 1626 1350 7 092 8 107 10 110 9 105 1350 1183 6 092 8 106 9 110 7 103 1183 1087 5 091 6 106 8 108 4*099 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography