DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.9 - - 66.7 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - 48 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 735 - - 624 - - 376 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1070 - - 1071 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1805 - - 1694 - - 1446 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 410 - - 440 - - 582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 139 - - 134 - - 60 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 093 - - 138 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1326 - - -155 - - 23 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3131 - - 1849 - - 1423 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8218 - - -4544 - - -5503 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10023 - - 6238 - - 6949 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 90 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 800 - - 1090 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.9 - - 66.7 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.9 - - 61.9 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.0 - - 66.6 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.3 - - 61.4 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - 48 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 735 - - 624 - - 376 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 58 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97925 7 117 7 030 3 036 97925 90577 6 056 4 083 9 006 90577 84930 10 071 1 345 5 348 84930 80223 2 019 6 314 3 031 80223 76151 2 173 6 264 9 344 76151 72550 3 348 7 209 9 317 72550 69293 6 259 8 195 11 267 69293 66294 10 247 3 187 11 235 66294 63503 20 257 14 279 12 270 63503 60802 21 231 19 278 11 251 60802 58003 28 262 31 284 20 275 58003 55112 37 251 39 267 37 275 55112 52378 41 252 53 249 52 252 52378 49945 46 253 51 240 46 237 49945 47752 40 256 37 242 44 252 47752 45751 36 271 41 278 50 262 45751 43927 57 272 54 279 58 258 43927 42251 70 263 69 260 64 251 42251 40706 68 256 62 239 66 233 40706 39268 57 252 56 233 57 227 39268 37915 48 258 47 235 45 236 37915 36605 43 258 43 235 44 234 36605 35266 41 251 44 235 40 231 35266 33870 39 245 44 237 38 228 33870 32420 39 245 43 239 35 224 32420 30903 41 247 42 240 34 223 30903 29305 45 250 41 241 36 227 29305 27628 48 252 40 243 38 232 27628 25873 50 254 40 246 39 238 25873 24043 52 255 38 249 37 244 24043 22142 53 255 35 252 34 250 22142 20164 52 251 31 259 34 254 20164 18107 48 248 33 282 33 260 18107 16014 46 253 42 289 32 271 16014 13998 47 251 42 279 31 265 13998 12164 41 234 43 269 36 257 12164 10529 39 218 42 253 43 252 10529 9070 39 206 49 234 47 241 9070 7768 36 183 52 224 48 227 7768 6612 36 163 47 218 44 215 6612 5589 36 153 42 210 40 202 5589 4687 35 143 40 199 39 196 4687 3890 32 133 38 190 35 196 3890 3177 28 123 35 184 27 196 3177 2547 25 110 28 173 19 190 2547 2024 22*097 21*160 12 176 2024 1624 21*094 14*140 8*145 1624 1349 20 093 14 138 7*128 1349 1182 17 093 12 136 7 125 1182 1087 13 093 9 135 5 123 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography