DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 57.3 - - 60.5 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 124 - - 42 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 579 - - 1107 - - 1891 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1070 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1649 - - 2177 - - 2961 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 224 - - 787 - - 1036 - - 564 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 127 - - 213 - - 181 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 143 - - 140 - - 109 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 132 - - -594 - - -1053 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1517 - - 2771 - - 4014 - - 1086 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7205 - - -6149 - - -7621 - - -9125 ODpotential blCL - - - 8854 - - 8326 - - 10582 - - 10211 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 86 - - 72 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 57.3 - - 60.5 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.4 - - 49.2 - - 47.1 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 56.6 - - 60.5 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 48.4 - - 46.3 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 124 - - 42 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 579 - - 1107 - - 1891 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 43 - - 0 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97388 4 030 4 217 7 269 5 300 97388 90143 4 068 4 349 2 022 3 006 90143 84585 5 017 2 354 2 314 5 013 84585 79978 3 019 3 205 8 268 9 327 79978 75997 4 331 4 259 6 284 8 318 75997 72476 7 299 5 254 7 271 10 289 72476 69298 12 315 8 317 5 259 10 270 69298 66382 17 304 14 304 11 290 13 296 66382 63675 18 299 19 291 19 289 20 301 63675 61051 20 296 22 291 24 290 26 296 61051 58309 25 304 27 294 28 286 30 287 58309 55464 35 302 31 297 29 288 30 287 55464 52753 40 303 35 300 32 293 33 294 52753 50312 40 300 37 296 36 295 36 297 50312 48113 40 297 38 293 37 293 36 296 48113 46103 39 295 36 291 36 290 36 296 46103 44247 35 295 34 287 34 287 36 296 44247 42520 32 297 32 282 32 285 36 295 42520 40908 33 299 29 282 31 282 36 294 40908 39398 35 301 28 283 30 280 34 297 39398 37978 34 302 28 284 27 280 34 300 37978 36607 29 306 26 283 23 287 33 300 36607 35222 22 318 20 290 22 295 29 295 35222 33798 15 329 14 300 19 297 19 295 33798 32340 10 341 11 314 15 304 16 306 32340 30827 10 027 10 339 13 325 14 314 30827 29240 14 043 10 007 12 354 13 332 29240 27573 14 044 12 025 11 015 11 348 27573 25824 10 029 12 041 10 029 7 004 25824 23994 8 343 9 054 8 063 5 072 23994 22086 6 326 3 013 5 084 6 124 22086 20096 3 314 2 269 2 226 4 202 20096 18022 8 299 2 246 6 228 7 239 18022 15908 8 294 4 287 6 254 7 249 15908 13872 5 293 4 299 4 271 3 262 13872 12020 4 254 3 273 3 256 2 242 12020 10375 3 169 6 204 8 229 5 246 10375 8917 1 159 7 188 10 208 9 221 8917 7626 4 209 7 201 10 202 10 204 7626 6482 5 197 7 206 8 201 10 191 6482 5472 5 182 8 204 7 206 9 182 5472 4587 5 170 8 196 8 211 7 194 4587 3808 5 161 7 188 8 202 7 211 3808 3114 5 153 7 180 6*176 9 206 3114 2502 8 142 6*158 6*152 9 189 2502 1992 10*124 5*146 6 142 8 162 1992 1604 9*119 5 144 6 137 10 128 1604 1339 7 116 5 141 6 134 11 116 1339 1178 7 116 5 139 6 134 9*112 1178 1086 5 115 4 139 5 132 4*109 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography