DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 65.5 - - 64.8 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - -24 - - -17 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 540 - - 432 - - 164 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1631 - - 1610 - - 1502 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1175 - - 1820 - - 1806 - - 1782 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 52 - - 43 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 19 - - 19 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 190 - - 190 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 244 - - 96 - - 186 - - 147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1387 - - 1514 - - 1316 - - 1087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -671 - - -666 - - -470 - - -633 ODpotential blCL - - - 2302 - - 2276 - - 1972 - - 1867 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 320 - - 0 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 65.5 - - 64.8 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.8 - - 62.1 - - 62.3 - - 61.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.1 - - 66.5 - - 65.5 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 61.9 - - 62.2 - - 61.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - -24 - - -17 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 561 - - 540 - - 432 - - 164 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95800 58 268 63 266 63 275 57 272 95800 89011 39 290 44 276 41 272 45 282 89011 83713 30 283 31 285 25 279 35 283 83713 79271 18 295 24 278 24 292 25 287 79271 75418 16 326 15 282 21 282 21 300 75418 71996 16 326 9 319 12 268 19 304 71996 68865 14 315 11 333 5 280 17 300 68865 65949 12 308 15 329 5 348 11 286 65949 63227 13 296 18 314 12 335 6 283 63227 60601 12 293 20 296 17 305 5 324 60601 57883 12 301 17 273 22 279 9 291 57883 55075 15 299 16 258 24 266 13 279 55075 52405 21 283 19 266 19 252 10 256 52405 50006 25 263 19 274 13 237 9 210 50006 47845 26 235 26 246 16 229 13 210 47845 45863 27 225 30 232 22 222 22 207 45863 44027 29 228 34 229 35 221 31 210 44027 42321 30 236 39 224 42 215 43 203 42321 40740 38 235 44 227 39 219 39 206 40740 39276 44 228 48 232 46 226 39 224 39276 37898 49 229 48 220 57 222 38 216 37898 36559 50 232 45 218 55 215 46 201 36559 35199 50 235 40 218 48 209 46 193 35199 33787 50 237 40 216 44 206 46 194 33787 32324 50 238 42 218 43 202 46 196 32324 30795 49 240 44 222 41 203 49 202 30795 29189 47 241 47 225 40 204 50 204 29189 27506 43 239 50 225 39 201 47 203 27506 25747 38 237 49 221 39 201 42 203 25747 23916 35 229 45 216 44 207 38 207 23916 22013 43 215 42 212 58 212 48 213 22013 20037 50 209 48 210 60 210 60 201 20037 17984 44 203 54 208 56 207 55 196 17984 15893 39 204 50 204 54 202 53 196 15893 13880 34 209 45 201 49 203 47 190 13880 12046 39 207 43 203 45 206 41 184 12046 10417 43 202 38 208 42 210 34 188 10417 8972 42 207 36 207 39 211 31 195 8972 7688 38 214 38 202 34 213 31 197 7688 6546 36 217 45 206 32 210 33 199 6546 5533 36 217 49 213 34 209 38 201 5533 4641 39 216 52 209 41 208 44 199 4641 3856 45 213 50 204 42 205 47 193 3856 3154 46 205 45 199 40 201 45 188 3154 2534 42 201 37 195 38 198 40 187 2534 2017 34*197 32 193 31 194 34 185 2017 1621 29*195 28*192 28*192 28 183 1621 1348 25 194 23*191 23*191 22*181 1348 1182 21 194 20 190 20 190 19*180 1182 1087 15 194 14 190 14 190 12 179 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography