DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 53.4 - - 53.5 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 50 - - -28 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 380 - - 1726 - - 2090 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1450 - - 2796 - - 3160 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 428 - - 1267 - - 1119 - - 629 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 193 - - 99 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 21 - - 25 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 288 - - 293 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 12 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -557 - - -1215 - - -1227 - - -802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2007 - - 4011 - - 4388 - - 1888 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7624 - - -7996 - - -9285 - - -9556 ODpotential blCL - - - 9074 - - 10792 - - 12445 - - 10642 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 60 - - 64 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 53.4 - - 53.5 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 39.7 - - 38.2 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.5 - - 53.5 - - 54.6 - - 47.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 38.4 - - 37.2 - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 50 - - -28 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 380 - - 1726 - - 2090 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95630 58 261 68 257 64 263 63 265 95630 88731 32 275 38 265 43 268 45 278 88731 83408 24 285 28 276 29 274 28 276 83408 78954 21 286 18 276 23 272 21 285 78954 75080 16 293 13 274 18 269 19 281 75080 71621 16 308 9 280 16 275 20 293 71621 68463 18 300 10 288 12 278 17 296 68463 65535 19 295 15 296 13 285 17 286 65535 62805 19 306 17 294 18 288 19 286 62805 60156 22 304 17 303 12 302 16 284 60156 57387 23 288 19 309 13 312 17 283 57387 54501 23 296 22 303 18 295 20 280 54501 51734 25 304 25 295 21 290 19 288 51734 49231 28 305 25 294 24 289 30 298 49231 46981 39 297 26 302 30 293 36 293 46981 44943 35 289 37 301 37 300 34 306 44943 43101 30 300 40 303 44 319 58 318 43101 41427 53 312 51 313 70 316 66 315 41427 39880 68 298 70 311 73 314 74 313 39880 38439 71 304 74 308 72 318 74 313 38439 37089 75 313 72 316 74 320 75 315 37089 35790 77 315 77 325 77 323 74 314 35790 34470 82 315 83 328 77 325 71 317 34470 33099 84 312 84 327 75 324 70 321 33099 31680 85 307 81 320 72 322 70 325 31680 30196 85 303 78 313 70 319 70 326 30196 28633 85 299 77 305 68 318 71 326 28633 26992 85 297 75 301 66 315 73 329 26992 25273 84 299 73 302 67 315 68 328 25273 23477 84 303 73 303 66 314 62 320 23477 21608 83 303 74 303 63 309 60 316 21608 19663 80 304 75 304 63 306 57 316 19663 17638 78 310 74 308 62 306 54 316 17638 15576 67 309 70 313 59 307 51 313 15576 13587 53 298 64 313 56 306 51 311 13587 11776 52 292 54 311 54 309 50 313 11776 10167 44 299 45 307 47 317 44 317 10167 8742 37 307 41 305 39 319 35 317 8742 7483 33 306 39 308 36 314 30 313 7483 6368 34 299 37 308 36 313 30 312 6368 5384 37 294 35 305 36 314 32 315 5384 4520 37 292 34 300 35 308 33 316 4520 3762 37 293 33 296 31*298 32 313 3762 3086 32 300 31*294 29*294 30 310 3086 2487 30 303 25*290 28 293 30 310 2487 1986 28 300 23 289 26 293 28 309 1986 1601 21*289 22 288 24 292 25 307 1601 1337 17*284 20 287 21 292 19 303 1337 1177 14 282 17 287 18 291 15*302 1177 1086 11 281 13 286 12 290 8*300 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography