DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - -2.8 - - -1.3 - - -5.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 119 - - 51 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1749 - - 2128 - - 145 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1632 - - 1066 - - 1066 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2819 - - 3198 - - 1215 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 439 - - 567 - - 2141 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 241 - - 195 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 25 - - 26 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 291 - - 283 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 901 - - 1037 - - -826 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1918 - - 2161 - - 2041 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 667 - - 746 - - -1366 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2152 - - 2452 - - 2581 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - -2.8 - - -1.3 - - -5.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -7.0 - - -6.5 - - -9.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - -3.0 - - -1.1 - - -2.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -7.8 - - -7.0 - - -8.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 119 - - 51 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1749 - - 2128 - - 145 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95890 20 317 7 300 11 272 95890 88784 18 277 17 292 25 288 88784 83265 24 257 22 270 26 295 83265 78623 14 254 24 273 22 270 78623 74556 27 266 28 280 32 287 74556 70936 40 269 42 271 39 268 70936 67643 43 263 34 262 30 255 67643 64568 40 259 32 287 30 281 64568 61674 45 264 47 282 46 277 61674 58857 51 261 53 275 54 273 58857 55919 56 255 62 268 62 267 55919 52868 61 256 69 261 64 260 52868 49948 65 258 70 258 62 266 49948 47323 64 262 70 262 69 274 47323 44990 65 268 71 267 75 273 44990 42890 68 269 72 268 75 272 42890 40976 70 268 71 268 73 272 40976 39215 70 267 69 268 73 274 39215 37586 70 267 69 267 73 274 37586 36069 69 267 68 267 72 275 36069 34651 67 268 68 269 71 275 34651 33291 66 271 68 271 71 277 33291 31925 68 275 70 273 71 278 31925 30524 74 277 73 275 72 279 30524 29095 79 277 75 276 71 280 29095 27629 82 276 76 276 70 280 27629 26115 83 276 76 276 68 281 26115 24558 82 277 76 277 66 281 24558 22952 80 279 75 278 65 282 22952 21296 75 283 74 280 64 283 21296 19589 68 286 72 283 64 284 19589 17823 62 289 68 285 62 286 17823 15992 57 293 62 288 57 286 15992 14129 53 297 55 292 51 285 14129 12334 47 300 48 294 46 288 12334 10700 43 302 44 294 43 290 10700 9247 38 303 40 295 41 292 9247 7960 35 305 37 297 40 294 7960 6820 34 306 35 300 38 296 6820 5812 33 306 33 302 36 299 5812 4925 29 302 33 303 34 301 4925 4147 27 307 33 296 33 300 4147 3466 29 303 30*286 33 290 3466 2860 27*293 30*285 31 283 2860 2327 27*292 29 284 29 281 2327 1883 27 291 28 283 27 279 1883 1541 26 290 26 283 24 278 1541 1306 24 290 24 283 20*277 1306 1163 20 289 20 282 17*276 1163 1082 15 289 15 282 12 275 1082 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography