DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.8 - - 28.1 - - 25.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 29 - - 19 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2692 - - 4093 - - 14 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1067 - - 1068 - - 1067 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3762 - - 5163 - - 1084 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1331 - - 1583 - - 5745 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 181 - - 180 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 28 - - 27 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 305 - - 310 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1448 - - 1673 - - -1318 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2314 - - 3490 - - 2402 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 648 - - 815 - - -2180 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3114 - - 4348 - - 3264 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.8 - - 28.1 - - 25.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.8 - - 16.9 - - 18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 27.1 - - 28.4 - - 26.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 20.0 - - 16.4 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 29 - - 19 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2692 - - 4093 - - 14 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 102 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95923 25 044 32 036 28 041 95923 88906 21 060 22 020 25 041 88906 83410 15 035 10 029 9 023 83410 78831 8 000 8 046 7 041 78831 74846 8 320 7 345 7 302 74846 71289 5 318 10 299 12 297 71289 68036 9 294 14 283 15 281 68036 65023 9 292 11 260 16 275 65023 62214 13 301 9 278 12 282 62214 59464 24 281 19 289 17 305 59464 56570 29 264 28 277 26 288 56570 53560 25 264 30 276 28 293 53560 50690 25 281 31 285 32 298 50690 48111 31 286 32 289 35 298 48111 45805 38 281 34 295 38 298 45805 43719 42 278 41 301 42 299 43719 41817 45 278 47 300 47 302 41817 40070 46 282 51 297 55 305 40070 38453 46 286 53 293 61 307 38453 36947 47 289 52 292 64 308 36947 35536 48 290 51 296 67 309 35536 34180 51 290 53 300 68 310 34180 32813 55 290 58 302 69 311 32813 31409 60 288 59 303 71 311 31409 29975 64 288 59 305 71 311 29975 28496 65 289 59 306 67 313 28496 26963 67 291 59 306 59 316 26963 25378 67 292 55 306 54 318 25378 23734 63 293 48 306 51 317 23734 22029 54 295 43 308 49 316 22029 20267 46 298 43 307 46 314 20267 18442 39 302 43 305 43 313 18442 16547 36 303 41 304 40 314 16547 14621 36 304 39 307 37 315 14621 12769 37 305 37 312 35 317 12769 11088 36 308 33 317 32 321 11088 9599 32 312 29 320 30 325 9599 8279 29 317 28 322 29 324 8279 7108 30 318 30 319 28 322 7108 6072 32 315 31*311 29 318 6072 5154 32 311 31*310 30 316 5154 4343 32*306 30 310 30 315 4343 3626 32*305 30 310 30 313 3626 2982 31 305 29 310 29 310 2982 2414 30 305 27 310 27 307 2414 1939 29 305 26 310 24 304 1939 1574 27 305 24 310 21 302 1574 1323 24 304 22 310 18 299 1323 1171 21 304 19 309 15*298 1171 1084 15 304 14 309 10*296 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography