DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.2 - - 40.7 - - 42.5 - - 35.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 225 - - 48 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1482 - - 2936 - - 3262 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 2816 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2552 - - 4006 - - 4332 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 816 - - 1039 - - 1491 - - 657 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 354 - - 220 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 21 - - 23 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 307 - - 302 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 9 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2407 - - -2788 - - -3428 - - -5043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4960 - - 6794 - - 7760 - - 6128 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10637 - - -13184 - - -14071 - - -17177 ODpotential blCL - - - 13189 - - 17190 - - 18403 - - 18262 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 50 - - 43 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.2 - - 40.7 - - 42.5 - - 35.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.4 - - 14.6 - - 12.2 - - 12.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 40.0 - - 42.6 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.3 - - 14.5 - - 11.9 - - 12.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 225 - - 48 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1482 - - 2936 - - 3262 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95396 29 333 32 324 23 308 33 295 95396 88556 35 329 31 314 30 322 27 311 88556 83207 18 329 27 323 25 329 30 340 83207 78734 21 325 32 320 32 326 32 326 78734 74862 26 322 25 322 29 313 25 315 74862 71413 25 351 17 326 25 316 37 327 71413 68265 33 326 29 333 37 307 41 314 68265 65352 34 294 35 309 35 305 37 313 65352 62623 27 305 31 315 30 309 35 312 62623 59962 37 325 35 314 39 302 41 306 59962 57182 52 305 48 300 47 297 46 298 57182 54303 56 296 55 296 52 302 51 297 54303 51557 64 308 63 303 62 304 59 301 51557 49082 80 306 74 304 73 300 68 298 49082 46851 91 300 83 304 78 300 71 296 46851 44818 92 298 87 300 81 300 72 296 44818 42954 91 299 86 300 81 299 72 300 42954 41233 91 303 87 304 86 302 77 305 41233 39634 98 308 98 304 95 300 88 303 39634 38145 114 313 108 300 100 298 95 298 38145 36757 130 308 111 299 99 299 98 297 36757 35427 134 302 110 302 100 299 98 298 35427 34081 128 303 115 305 102 300 99 301 34081 32688 129 306 120 305 105 301 101 303 32688 31246 135 308 122 303 108 302 104 304 31246 29741 136 309 122 305 110 302 106 304 29741 28158 134 308 119 306 112 303 107 304 28158 26500 131 308 117 307 113 306 105 306 26500 24772 125 308 114 307 109 308 98 306 24772 22983 121 311 110 306 103 308 89 308 22983 21136 110 315 103 308 97 309 85 310 21136 19213 90 314 98 312 93 313 81 312 19213 17211 72 312 86 312 90 314 78 315 17211 15169 68 316 71 310 82 316 76 318 15169 13208 68 317 60 310 66 317 67 321 13208 11443 65 318 54 314 55 316 54 319 11443 9888 59 320 52 317 50 318 47 320 9888 8512 53 321 50 321 47 320 45 323 8512 7293 48 323 47 323 44 321 42 327 7293 6214 46 326 43 325 38 318 38 329 6214 5263 44 330 38 324 33 312 34 326 5263 4427 41 333 29*318 27*303 33 319 4427 3691 36 333 23*309 26*303 31 312 3691 3032 32*331 22 308 25 302 29 312 3032 2449 27*326 22 307 24 302 27 313 2449 1962 23 322 21 307 23 302 25 313 1962 1587 22 321 20 306 22 302 22 312 1587 1330 20 319 19 306 20 302 17 308 1330 1174 18 319 18 306 18 302 14*306 1174 1085 13 318 14 305 13 301 6*301 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography