DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -6.2 - - -1.2 - - 0.9 - - -4.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 89 - - 16 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 683 - - 1207 - - 1347 - - 12 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1065 - - 1065 - - 1066 - - 1065 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1753 - - 2277 - - 2417 - - 1082 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 425 - - 312 - - 582 - - 1703 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 86 - - 193 - - 113 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 18 - - 22 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 295 - - 290 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -910 - - -361 - - -288 - - -1106 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2663 - - 2638 - - 2705 - - 2188 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19407 - - -15613 - - -11978 - - -11789 ODpotential blCL - - - 21160 - - 17890 - - 14395 - - 12871 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 82 - - 80 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -6.2 - - -1.2 - - 0.9 - - -4.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -13.6 - - -8.5 - - -6.7 - - -10.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -5.8 - - -1.2 - - 1.2 - - -2.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -14.0 - - -9.5 - - -7.3 - - -8.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 89 - - 16 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 683 - - 1207 - - 1347 - - 12 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 29 - - 20 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94698 64 274 73 279 59 273 62 264 94698 87889 62 282 62 280 61 278 54 279 87889 82539 49 280 53 274 62 283 57 284 82539 78058 51 298 48 278 55 288 64 294 78058 74187 50 298 45 283 53 291 62 297 74187 70752 51 292 46 290 47 295 55 298 70752 67601 49 290 48 294 46 301 46 307 67601 64654 48 298 46 293 45 302 47 312 64654 61886 49 301 41 294 47 299 48 308 61886 59193 51 299 48 298 52 297 50 299 59193 56376 55 290 56 294 56 292 50 293 56376 53436 57 283 57 290 53 287 49 292 53436 50608 61 287 59 290 52 290 51 292 50608 48049 67 288 62 290 56 289 55 293 48049 45752 70 286 68 289 63 287 62 293 45752 43673 74 286 73 285 70 283 67 289 43673 41770 79 286 77 281 74 279 68 286 41770 40009 83 287 81 280 75 276 69 286 40009 38370 95 286 84 279 75 276 72 287 38370 36842 102 281 89 278 79 278 76 286 36842 35412 104 280 97 277 86 278 79 282 35412 34041 109 281 105 274 92 274 80 279 34041 32659 115 280 108 271 93 271 81 276 32659 31240 121 280 106 269 93 270 81 275 31240 29787 124 278 107 269 95 270 80 276 29787 28288 123 276 109 269 99 268 81 276 28288 26733 119 275 110 268 101 266 82 275 26733 25124 114 275 109 268 98 265 78 276 25124 23463 114 276 110 267 92 263 73 277 23463 21751 111 276 113 265 90 263 67 279 21751 19989 105 279 108 265 87 264 62 280 19989 18171 91 277 94 269 80 264 57 283 18171 16291 74 275 78 268 74 268 52 288 16291 14380 72 286 68 275 70 282 47 291 14380 12538 70 289 60 285 59 292 46 294 12538 10860 60 287 52 291 44 293 46 296 10860 9370 49 289 44 293 42 295 45 298 9370 8052 44 292 39 294 41 298 43 299 8052 6890 40 295 37 298 39 300 41 302 6890 5865 36 301 35 301 38 303 41 305 5865 4965 33 306 33 304 38 305 41 308 4965 4175 30 311 32 307 38 306 40 309 4175 3483 30 313 32 308 36 302 37 308 3483 2870 30 313 30 305 33*298 34 307 2870 2333 31 312 25*300 26*291 30 304 2333 1886 28*311 21*295 24 290 27 303 1886 1542 24*309 19 295 22 289 24 301 1542 1307 20 309 18 294 20 289 18 298 1307 1164 18 309 16 294 17 289 16*297 1164 1082 12 308 12 293 13 288 9*296 1082 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography