DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.8 - - 37.2 - - 35.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - 18 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 293 - - 303 - - 143 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1068 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1363 - - 1373 - - 1213 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1171 - - 1096 - - 1235 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 88 - - 72 - - 37 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 153 - - 149 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 278 - - 288 - - 128 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1085 - - 1085 - - 1085 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 227 - - 208 - - 53 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1136 - - 1165 - - 1160 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.8 - - 37.2 - - 35.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.9 - - 37.0 - - 35.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 36.0 - - 37.5 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.7 - - 36.8 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - 18 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 293 - - 303 - - 143 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95158 48 277 49 284 49 289 95158 88417 34 289 37 286 45 286 88417 83139 26 296 30 292 35 294 83139 78708 19 292 22 291 27 297 78708 74839 20 291 19 301 19 292 74839 71378 29 286 26 287 19 287 71378 68220 23 266 28 272 25 287 68220 65303 29 265 35 262 24 278 65303 62568 31 247 37 268 40 291 62568 59894 35 264 48 270 46 278 59894 57098 49 260 52 267 57 274 57098 54201 51 267 65 267 67 266 54201 51456 66 271 73 265 64 255 51456 49001 71 269 69 268 59 268 49001 46807 74 273 77 281 84 280 46807 44824 90 277 102 277 110 273 44824 43024 108 270 115 268 115 268 43024 41386 114 264 111 266 118 263 41386 39870 114 273 125 280 118 263 39870 38446 128 280 129 281 116 264 38446 37099 120 276 117 274 114 266 37099 35792 114 271 111 267 112 268 35792 34459 114 269 111 266 110 269 34459 33073 111 269 109 267 107 269 33073 31637 106 269 104 268 104 268 31637 30140 100 269 103 270 99 264 30140 28566 96 268 98 270 99 261 28566 26914 88 269 90 266 91 264 26914 25188 76 264 86 266 81 266 25188 23391 68 266 74 268 76 267 23391 21531 65 270 54 270 64 262 21531 19599 61 266 53 267 51 251 19599 17586 53 263 54 265 44 252 17586 15537 40 261 41 258 41 249 15537 13570 27 259 35 251 34 241 13570 11783 22 261 27 257 27 242 11783 10189 22 268 22 269 19 236 10189 8768 25 273 18 256 17 212 8768 7501 25 271 16 244 19 199 7501 6374 19 261 16 242 22 191 6374 5376 13 230 20 224 25 191 5376 4497 18 200 23 208 30 198 4497 3723 19 190 26 203 32 200 3723 3037 20 175 25 190 26 189 3037 2444 19 161 20 164 19 166 2444 1958 18 158 18 154 16 151 1958 1585 15*155 16*152 15 147 1585 1329 13*153 14*150 13*142 1329 1174 11 153 12 149 11*140 1174 1085 9 152 9 148 8 139 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography