DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 3.8 - - 17.2 - - 19.5 - - 11.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 55 - - 17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12 - - 548 - - 561 - - 13 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1066 - - 1067 - - 1067 - - 1067 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1082 - - 1618 - - 1631 - - 1083 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 140 - - 364 - - 607 - - 652 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 127 - - 87 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 296 - - 253 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -597 - - -11 - - -186 - - -582 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1679 - - 1629 - - 1817 - - 1666 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11978 - - -6535 - - -6725 - - -8526 ODpotential blCL - - - 13060 - - 8153 - - 8356 - - 9609 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 90 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 3.8 - - 17.2 - - 19.5 - - 11.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.7 - - 14.2 - - 15.6 - - 8.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 4.3 - - 17.1 - - 19.7 - - 16.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.9 - - 13.5 - - 15.1 - - 13.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 55 - - 17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 12 - - 548 - - 561 - - 13 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 64 - - 59 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94562 48 281 49 282 48 295 47 288 94562 87778 42 310 38 292 41 295 41 294 87778 82465 41 312 40 299 41 295 40 297 82465 77994 39 302 45 298 46 295 48 296 77994 74102 45 295 45 299 45 294 50 294 74102 70624 48 289 43 303 49 302 55 302 70624 67452 44 294 49 296 59 300 70 300 67452 64532 52 299 52 286 64 288 71 288 64532 61817 54 299 48 288 58 282 55 280 61817 59159 54 307 49 301 52 296 46 298 59159 56350 60 311 60 308 61 313 58 310 56350 53411 70 304 68 302 74 311 70 311 53411 50593 72 299 69 299 77 303 77 306 50593 48059 71 301 70 301 75 300 79 301 48059 45798 71 305 72 303 75 302 77 300 45798 43752 73 309 73 306 77 304 77 301 43752 41878 75 311 76 308 81 306 78 300 41878 40152 78 312 80 310 85 306 78 300 40152 38551 81 313 87 309 89 305 81 301 38551 37055 85 315 93 308 89 306 86 301 37055 35652 93 317 98 309 90 307 90 298 35652 34306 100 318 103 311 94 307 91 297 34306 32953 112 318 112 312 100 307 92 299 32953 31566 125 318 120 312 110 307 92 300 31566 30148 131 318 127 311 118 304 90 299 30148 28683 130 319 127 308 119 300 86 299 28683 27161 119 319 124 307 112 298 83 299 27161 25587 99 316 122 307 104 297 81 297 25587 23956 73 310 116 314 102 300 77 297 23956 22256 62 306 82 314 83 308 71 295 22256 20485 60 309 58 301 65 307 66 291 20485 18640 60 311 52 299 60 303 65 294 18640 16719 57 313 48 305 56 301 56 304 16719 14760 42 312 41 316 41 306 41 308 14760 12873 28 304 29 310 30 314 21 308 12873 11164 22 306 21 305 25 312 15 311 11164 9649 19 311 19 310 18 309 11 307 9649 8308 18 314 17 311 13 312 10 307 8308 7118 17 316 15 312 11 318 8 316 7118 6064 17 320 13 316 8 321 7 323 6064 5134 16 331 11 324 6 320 4 328 5134 4316 15 343 9 324 4 308 3 004 4316 3597 13 345 8 315 3 288 3 033 3597 2957 10 335 9 301 4 268 4 032 2957 2393 8 318 10 299 4 273 5 027 2393 1923 10 326 9*302 4*262 4 003 1923 1564 13 336 7*298 5*253 3 326 1564 1318 13 324 6 295 4 254 3 312 1318 1169 10 316 6 295 4 252 2 312 1169 1083 4*297 5 294 4 253 1*332 1083 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography