DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 60.8 - - 63.9 - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 81 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 133 - - 896 - - 1558 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1203 - - 1966 - - 2628 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 202 - - 986 - - 1380 - - 447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 54 - - 175 - - 87 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 173 - - 164 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1598 - - -1825 - - -1376 - - -514 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2801 - - 3792 - - 4004 - - 1600 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6275 - - -5144 - - -3686 - - -4639 ODpotential blCL - - - 7478 - - 7110 - - 6314 - - 5725 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 91 - - 98 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 60.8 - - 63.9 - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.5 - - 48.4 - - 50.5 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 60.5 - - 64.2 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 47.4 - - 49.9 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 81 - - 3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 133 - - 896 - - 1558 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 63 - - 91 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95696 56 272 59 264 66 268 71 280 95696 88953 39 288 39 280 45 278 43 284 88953 83702 35 306 31 284 28 288 34 283 83702 79268 33 310 23 298 21 295 25 293 79268 75386 32 298 24 314 20 300 19 313 75386 71915 26 297 27 306 22 309 18 325 71915 68747 27 313 25 300 25 311 19 324 68747 65820 34 306 24 304 24 300 22 314 65820 63090 37 290 25 304 26 294 23 302 63090 60432 32 279 27 298 28 291 24 306 60432 57652 25 282 28 296 28 293 26 304 57652 54774 24 294 30 290 30 293 29 294 54774 52040 29 292 33 286 38 294 31 299 52040 49592 30 287 33 283 45 288 45 298 49592 47422 32 288 31 283 40 283 53 278 47422 45475 33 291 32 288 35 291 44 286 45475 43698 31 294 36 287 48 306 48 316 43698 42046 31 294 38 286 60 314 59 317 42046 40501 35 282 32 281 63 313 97 313 40501 39057 34 277 29 268 55 305 116 312 39057 37695 32 268 26 259 44 297 111 312 37695 36375 29 263 25 260 27 283 90 318 36375 35035 24 261 27 262 21 251 71 328 35035 33642 19 271 26 256 19 251 62 331 33642 32194 17 272 22 259 19 248 57 328 32194 30678 15 265 20 264 17 240 44 316 30678 29087 12 256 17 267 14 237 29 292 29087 27422 9 247 14 269 11 241 22 281 27422 25680 5 222 10 252 12 254 21 292 25680 23857 3 108 7 199 13 257 20 295 23857 21955 8 127 7 198 11 244 15 290 21955 19975 7 170 11 214 10 253 8 284 19975 17913 11 194 14 179 15 245 7 272 17913 15815 13 220 13 195 13 233 8 233 15815 13799 18 216 15 207 13 240 9 253 13799 11968 16 206 14 194 13 217 8 242 11968 10345 13 210 12 195 15 201 13 206 10345 8909 13 227 14 197 16 190 19 195 8909 7636 9 238 12 200 15 189 22 195 7636 6507 2 256 9 195 17 207 22 200 6507 5505 2 193 10 199 19 219 19 205 5505 4621 6 163 11 191 16 218 16 198 4621 3838 8 159 11 185 12 206 14 185 3838 3138 10 200 11 189 9*186 11 183 3138 2519 13 209 11 185 8*169 8 179 2519 2005 13 209 10*179 8 164 8 158 2005 1612 12 209 7*174 7 162 12 145 1612 1342 9*212 6 173 7 162 12 139 1342 1179 5*226 6 174 6 161 10 135 1179 1086 3 232 5 173 5 160 4*127 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography