DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.4 - - 38.6 - - 38.3 - - 34.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 77 - - 21 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1905 - - 2579 - - 3070 - - 206 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1899 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2975 - - 3649 - - 4140 - - 1276 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1028 - - 2015 - - 2012 - - 3014 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 241 - - 171 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 25 - - 23 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 360 - - 005 - - 357 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 13 - - 12 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -7 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 711 - - 925 - - 753 - - -689 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2264 - - 2725 - - 3387 - - 1965 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 305 - - 593 - - 204 - - -1422 ODpotential blCL - - - 2670 - - 3056 - - 3936 - - 2698 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 93 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.4 - - 38.6 - - 38.3 - - 34.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 30.6 - - 27.4 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 38.4 - - 38.5 - - 35.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 30.0 - - 26.9 - - 29.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 77 - - 21 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1905 - - 2579 - - 3070 - - 206 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 100 - - 73 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95759 27 279 32 269 26 268 29 262 95759 88752 15 300 13 277 16 278 16 297 88752 83343 12 322 11 334 12 297 12 328 83343 78826 11 340 12 343 11 337 11 326 78826 74891 15 336 16 342 17 351 14 327 74891 71384 14 338 18 329 17 340 13 337 71384 68180 14 356 18 331 18 337 19 340 68180 65211 19 343 15 332 20 326 23 338 65211 62439 23 335 18 350 19 336 21 333 62439 59732 28 337 29 353 24 348 21 332 59732 56883 32 338 31 342 28 340 25 331 56883 53902 33 336 26 335 31 329 29 335 53902 51037 31 335 22 341 35 326 34 338 51037 48455 32 337 24 346 38 319 42 337 48455 46149 33 337 29 342 35 319 45 331 46149 44065 33 333 33 337 33 328 44 328 44065 42165 34 333 34 337 33 328 41 329 42165 40423 34 333 33 338 35 330 39 331 40423 38816 32 334 33 337 38 336 38 338 38816 37320 32 332 34 338 39 341 41 342 37320 35924 34 328 37 343 39 344 45 337 35924 34593 33 328 40 344 41 347 45 333 34593 33259 29 327 38 348 46 351 45 332 33259 31894 25 327 40 360 52 353 47 337 31894 30499 22 333 46 009 54 351 53 337 30499 29052 22 347 51 012 53 348 53 336 29052 27538 24 000 52 013 51 348 48 337 27538 25955 25 003 50 014 47 348 44 338 25955 24303 24 359 47 015 45 349 42 341 24303 22580 24 356 45 016 44 352 43 343 22580 20788 24 353 43 016 41 356 42 345 20788 18921 24 353 40 016 37 356 38 346 18921 16973 24 358 37 015 33 356 34 348 16973 14987 24 359 32 014 31 002 29 347 14987 13075 24 358 28 012 31 008 24 347 13075 11336 23 360 25 009 28 007 20 353 11336 9791 23 004 22 008 26 008 20 358 9791 8428 23 009 14 041 10 001 18 013 8428 7232 18 021 14 044 8 015 15 022 7232 6174 18 019 16 027 14 006 16 018 6174 5235 23 016 21 016 23 360 19 012 5235 4406 30 016 27 008 25*358 25 008 4406 3674 34 012 28*007 25*357 29 004 3674 3018 33*008 28*006 25 357 31 000 3018 2439 30*002 27 005 24 357 30 358 2439 1955 27 000 26 005 23 357 28 356 1955 1584 25 359 25 004 22 356 25 354 1584 1329 22 358 23 004 20 355 21*353 1329 1173 19 358 20 003 18 355 18*352 1173 1085 14 357 15 003 13 355 12 351 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography