DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 10.1 - - 15.2 - - 17.8 - - 16.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 98 - - 58 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 887 - - 1550 - - 2008 - - 281 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1066 - - 1066 - - 1067 - - 1067 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1957 - - 2620 - - 3078 - - 1351 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 690 - - 719 - - 800 - - 1718 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 218 - - 200 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 14 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 007 - - 235 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -652 - - -506 - - -256 - - -1343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2610 - - 3127 - - 3335 - - 2694 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18932 - - -16902 - - -14930 - - -15308 ODpotential blCL - - - 20889 - - 19522 - - 18008 - - 16659 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 79 - - 79 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 10.1 - - 15.2 - - 17.8 - - 16.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.0 - - 5.8 - - 7.4 - - 9.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 10.0 - - 14.8 - - 17.7 - - 17.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.2 - - 4.7 - - 6.3 - - 8.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 98 - - 58 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 887 - - 1550 - - 2008 - - 281 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - 14 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96161 49 266 52 267 34 273 39 248 96161 89127 27 277 31 267 32 267 29 277 89127 83634 15 312 19 269 26 264 25 295 83634 79036 19 304 16 274 24 283 22 306 79036 75043 22 306 17 291 28 295 28 310 75043 71501 29 309 20 294 32 296 35 304 71501 68295 31 310 23 296 32 300 32 309 68295 65336 36 311 29 304 35 302 33 319 65336 62570 41 316 35 306 37 301 38 314 62570 59876 51 311 41 312 43 305 46 309 59876 57063 59 311 50 310 53 303 55 304 57063 54148 69 311 64 310 61 305 60 304 54148 51361 82 310 76 313 70 308 67 301 51361 48845 90 311 84 311 76 308 68 303 48845 46579 94 311 89 305 81 306 72 304 46579 44514 94 310 88 302 81 303 75 302 44514 42625 93 309 84 303 82 302 76 304 42625 40892 96 310 87 306 84 301 82 306 40892 39296 103 310 95 308 85 300 88 302 39296 37821 110 311 102 307 90 301 88 298 37821 36456 114 311 106 306 95 301 85 300 36456 35153 114 311 106 307 95 302 86 300 35153 33837 111 313 103 308 93 304 89 299 33837 32470 109 317 100 308 92 305 90 299 32470 31055 108 317 100 308 92 310 89 302 31055 29576 107 315 100 307 92 312 86 305 29576 28021 107 315 100 308 89 309 85 306 28021 26390 106 317 97 310 89 310 85 305 26390 24684 101 316 96 309 91 309 82 307 24684 22903 100 315 96 311 86 308 79 308 22903 21050 100 317 95 314 80 309 74 304 21050 19126 97 322 87 316 73 308 67 304 19126 17131 89 324 76 319 65 314 59 305 17131 15100 81 324 72 325 61 318 50 312 15100 13142 72 325 63 326 59 320 49 313 13142 11361 60 327 50 325 55 321 48 315 11361 9781 53 328 43 326 48 323 42 329 9781 8384 49 328 37 325 37 326 32 330 8384 7151 39 333 31 324 28 327 22 323 7151 6068 27 340 24 326 19 327 16 318 6068 5121 21 347 17 333 11 324 10 312 5121 4299 17 356 13 348 5 314 5 284 4299 3582 14 001 9 006 3*255 3 207 3582 2946 12 001 6*011 2*241 5 144 2946 2386 12*357 5*010 3 237 6 124 2386 1921 11*350 5 008 3 234 6 122 1921 1564 9 341 4 007 3 232 6*124 1564 1318 8 338 4 005 3 232 5*126 1318 1169 7 336 4 005 3 233 5 126 1169 1083 6 336 4 004 2 230 3 126 1083 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography