DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.3 - - 31.2 - - 32.9 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - 19 - - -32 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 13 - - 509 - - 14 - - 135 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1067 - - 1068 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1083 - - 1579 - - 1084 - - 1205 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 264 - - 243 - - 806 - - 643 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 92 - - 12 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 18 - - 13 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 217 - - 225 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -290 - - -634 - - -761 - - -247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1373 - - 2213 - - 1845 - - 1452 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18291 - - -13910 - - -13503 - - -13254 ODpotential blCL - - - 19374 - - 15489 - - 14587 - - 14459 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 86 - - 80 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.3 - - 31.2 - - 32.9 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.3 - - 25.4 - - 28.6 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 16.8 - - 31.4 - - 34.6 - - 33.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.9 - - 24.7 - - 28.4 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -15 - - 19 - - -32 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 13 - - 509 - - 14 - - 135 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 46 - - 20 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95208 71 309 71 309 71 318 66 317 95208 88479 71 312 66 300 65 308 59 306 88479 83279 64 312 54 300 54 307 53 308 83279 78847 56 311 47 304 46 308 44 296 78847 74950 50 306 43 308 43 306 41 296 74950 71474 48 305 40 304 40 293 45 298 71474 68316 48 302 38 302 37 284 43 295 68316 65400 45 305 39 302 38 295 37 288 65400 62675 53 306 43 299 42 299 29 282 62675 60019 57 297 50 291 39 291 24 292 60019 57218 53 296 51 283 39 274 41 284 57218 54295 48 302 47 282 40 265 49 265 54295 51515 57 307 47 286 40 289 45 270 51515 49013 66 295 61 286 68 287 60 281 49013 46768 62 286 61 277 70 271 72 279 46768 44728 57 288 52 272 65 264 72 274 44728 42855 58 295 50 277 67 267 70 267 42855 41136 57 295 52 276 70 265 69 261 41136 39566 53 285 54 280 68 262 71 256 39566 38129 53 278 61 287 67 262 72 258 38129 36793 52 274 66 283 67 264 77 263 36793 35505 54 272 62 267 64 262 76 257 35505 34192 52 276 56 261 64 263 76 256 34192 32826 48 277 56 259 63 264 75 256 32826 31412 48 278 60 259 61 262 70 255 31412 29933 56 274 59 258 59 261 65 253 29933 28380 59 267 56 260 57 261 61 254 28380 26754 62 263 57 265 56 262 55 255 26754 25057 63 266 58 267 55 263 48 261 25057 23291 57 271 58 268 52 267 43 265 23291 21457 54 272 54 271 47 272 41 263 21457 19548 50 278 46 273 42 275 38 265 19548 17555 46 283 41 270 41 270 33 270 17555 15520 41 287 39 274 38 265 30 270 15520 13553 36 286 36 284 35 260 33 270 13553 11759 35 283 30 288 33 263 34 268 11759 10166 33 282 25 287 33 273 34 263 10166 8751 29 279 25 279 33 275 37 260 8751 7493 28 271 27 265 32 272 41 261 7493 6374 28 263 30 255 32 266 44 262 6374 5381 30 256 35 252 34 258 47 264 5381 4506 32 253 36 250 39 258 48 267 4506 3732 31 250 37 247 44 258 47 269 3732 3042 30 242 38 237 45 251 46 265 3042 2442 31 231 38 228 43 237 44 248 2442 1953 31 217 32*221 38 230 40 232 1953 1581 29 211 23*217 28 227 33 225 1581 1327 19 207 19 217 23 226 27*223 1327 1173 16*205 17 217 20 226 23*222 1173 1084 8*204 12 217 13*225 16 222 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography