DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.4 - - 51.9 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 144 - - 50 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6328 - - 6405 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5159 - - 4326 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7398 - - 7475 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2617 - - 2794 - - 8356 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 407 - - 298 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 290 - - 291 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2383 - - 1903 - - -3407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5015 - - 5572 - - 4493 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 424 - - 530 - - -4464 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6974 - - 6945 - - 5550 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 100 - - 90 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.4 - - 51.9 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.3 - - 31.3 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 48.7 - - 51.8 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 30.0 - - 30.1 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 144 - - 50 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6328 - - 6405 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 81 - - 100 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97624 13 222 10 247 18 233 97624 90207 19 213 19 253 14 258 90207 84529 10 199 15 220 10 281 84529 79811 8 194 12 202 11 262 79811 75735 7 208 9 206 12 242 75735 72110 11 246 6 227 7 209 72110 68792 18 217 16 246 12 256 68792 65722 21 195 25 227 20 246 65722 62868 14 206 16 215 20 237 62868 60099 15 243 15 244 16 236 60099 57200 18 246 21 247 16 250 57200 54184 19 252 20 252 19 261 54184 51308 21 266 26 267 22 280 51308 48725 25 263 26 265 28 275 48725 46415 22 265 25 267 24 274 46415 44320 22 271 23 268 22 283 44320 42404 22 279 23 287 23 295 42404 40646 30 284 25 290 27 300 40646 39029 27 279 26 297 29 299 39029 37531 23 289 29 303 30 307 37531 36138 24 312 28 322 34 313 36138 34816 31 328 39 337 35 321 34816 33498 37 333 49 339 42 330 33498 32150 40 338 52 340 53 329 32150 30764 42 343 52 341 57 329 30764 29322 41 345 49 345 56 334 29322 27807 37 343 47 348 54 338 27807 26220 31 338 46 349 53 345 26220 24559 24 331 46 348 49 347 24559 22826 21 323 44 348 43 339 22826 21026 22 324 40 345 40 335 21026 19150 23 336 35 333 38 336 19150 17192 23 340 31 321 36 337 17192 15197 24 340 29 319 32 334 15197 13278 25 339 27 326 30 328 13278 11536 25 335 25 326 31 317 11536 9996 25 316 23 308 28 298 9996 8631 24*308 22*306 26 288 8631 7416 23*305 21*301 24 287 7416 6332 22 301 17 294 22 285 6332 5369 19 294 16 292 20 284 5369 4518 17 289 15 290 18 283 4518 3763 14 280 14 289 17 280 3763 3087 13 278 13 288 15 278 3087 2488 13 277 12 288 14 275 2488 1988 12 276 12 287 12 272 1988 1603 12 276 11 287 11 268 1603 1339 11 276 11 287 9 264 1339 1178 10 275 10 287 7*260 1178 1086 9 275 8 286 4*258 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography