DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.2 - - 28.8 - - 31.6 - - 28.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 51 - - 3 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 868 - - 931 - - 687 - - 14 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1067 - - 1068 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1938 - - 2001 - - 1757 - - 1084 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 307 - - 309 - - 506 - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 150 - - 60 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 15 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 196 - - 197 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 59 - - -159 - - -456 - - -477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1879 - - 2160 - - 2213 - - 1561 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13741 - - -12545 - - -11377 - - -10531 ODpotential blCL - - - 15679 - - 14546 - - 13134 - - 11615 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 84 - - 97 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.2 - - 28.8 - - 31.6 - - 28.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.2 - - 23.4 - - 25.9 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 28.9 - - 31.9 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.6 - - 22.4 - - 25.2 - - 26.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 51 - - 3 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 868 - - 931 - - 687 - - 14 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 35 - - 87 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96459 28 339 34 346 20 004 37 334 96459 89539 33 015 24 013 19 013 32 345 89539 84040 35 020 18 016 22 009 30 359 84040 79410 33 009 17 004 26 001 29 002 79410 75398 24 351 16 002 22 344 23 353 75398 71827 20 332 18 342 19 333 19 347 71827 68570 21 313 20 312 26 327 24 328 68570 65573 22 312 24 305 27 318 25 317 65573 62798 24 322 24 306 25 313 27 311 62798 60106 32 320 27 303 28 305 30 304 60106 57288 38 311 31 302 31 299 35 297 57288 54352 44 305 43 299 41 303 41 299 54352 51544 50 305 55 295 50 295 46 297 51544 49015 54 302 59 291 54 285 43 293 49015 46743 57 300 54 294 54 292 51 299 46743 44675 57 298 54 298 61 293 59 295 44675 42781 51 302 64 292 63 293 62 298 42781 41045 58 294 62 285 77 295 78 290 41045 39462 48 281 63 294 85 288 83 288 39462 38016 45 310 68 293 85 293 92 294 38016 36679 82 314 76 298 100 301 106 297 36679 35394 103 313 96 303 106 301 111 292 35394 34087 94 307 87 301 97 298 107 288 34087 32727 90 301 77 297 90 293 103 288 32727 31318 77 300 76 296 87 289 95 286 31318 29845 63 306 75 300 83 287 89 286 29845 28296 60 309 69 304 77 285 86 286 28296 26673 58 306 68 303 69 286 83 287 26673 24974 58 298 65 299 62 286 75 288 24974 23205 60 295 62 294 56 285 68 286 23205 21366 60 294 57 293 53 284 61 285 21366 19452 56 289 53 292 50 280 55 284 19452 17456 54 286 51 288 49 272 55 286 17456 15417 47 285 44 285 46 269 58 277 15417 13452 33 286 40 284 38 271 58 270 13452 11674 26 299 35 282 37 276 44 264 11674 10099 24 307 28 286 34 278 38 262 10099 8696 24 302 21 288 31 271 36 264 8696 7445 20 300 18 281 29 269 33 260 7445 6331 17 284 15 273 27 266 30 256 6331 5343 19 247 15 253 26 264 28 253 5343 4472 22 229 19 229 25 260 25 251 4472 3706 20 216 25 219 24 256 22 244 3706 3027 19 215 28 211 23 240 22 225 3027 2437 21*210 25*204 20 223 25 200 2437 1952 18*199 17*197 14*205 26 187 1952 1580 15 192 16 196 11*198 22 178 1580 1326 13 191 15 196 10 197 15 163 1326 1172 12 190 14 196 8 196 12 160 1172 1084 9 189 11 196 7 194 7*156 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography