DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.3 - - 65.2 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 122 - - 44 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2279 - - 2240 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2099 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3349 - - 3310 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1500 - - 1730 - - 843 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 274 - - 197 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 138 - - 139 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 11 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3210 - - -1671 - - -659 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6560 - - 4981 - - 1745 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7900 - - -7201 - - -7269 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11249 - - 10511 - - 8355 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 290 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.3 - - 65.2 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.5 - - 47.3 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.6 - - 65.1 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.3 - - 46.6 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 122 - - 44 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2279 - - 2240 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 25 - - 90 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97303 42 256 37 257 32 253 97303 90190 24 260 27 264 19 257 90190 84640 14 244 17 262 15 258 84640 79981 12 273 10 256 15 303 79981 75957 12 268 10 254 17 302 75957 72390 10 254 13 273 9 280 72390 69135 14 264 20 264 15 303 69135 66138 16 253 25 254 26 272 66138 63360 25 281 25 257 25 262 63360 60660 30 282 36 283 36 280 60660 57854 49 281 48 279 43 281 57854 54964 60 271 55 278 57 278 54964 52231 63 262 68 268 69 266 52231 49782 57 258 71 263 69 258 49782 47583 55 268 69 263 65 259 47583 45589 57 277 62 269 56 270 45589 43776 64 280 65 276 60 278 43776 42116 68 280 67 276 59 276 42116 40572 67 279 64 278 51 283 40572 39123 67 276 62 280 47 293 39123 37757 71 271 60 279 44 301 37757 36438 72 264 57 278 40 301 36438 35098 69 263 54 279 37 299 35098 33707 66 266 52 285 33 305 33707 32268 64 270 50 287 34 308 32268 30763 62 274 48 284 33 305 30763 29179 61 276 45 280 31 308 29179 27515 58 278 43 278 34 309 27515 25771 53 279 42 279 36 301 25771 23953 50 278 40 280 34 291 23953 22062 48 279 40 280 34 288 22062 20092 47 283 41 282 35 290 20092 18040 45 284 39 282 33 288 18040 15948 45 285 37 283 31 281 15948 13929 41 291 37 283 32 276 13929 12091 27 295 37 276 30 268 12091 10457 14 280 33 279 24 260 10457 9004 17 245 18 284 23 251 9004 7708 21 227 11 258 29 241 7708 6556 18 213 13 236 31 226 6556 5536 16 202 11 206 23 210 5536 4639 15 187 10 160 16 205 4639 3846 15*173 11*148 14 199 3846 3139 12*154 11*141 15 160 3139 2518 11 141 11 137 19 134 2518 2003 10 135 11 138 19 117 2003 1612 10 133 11 139 18 108 1612 1343 9 131 11 140 15 103 1343 1179 9 130 10 140 13 101 1179 1086 7 129 8 140 7*099 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography