DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 79.6 - - 81.9 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 108 - - 61 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1001 - - 2839 - - 3930 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1071 - - 2490 - - 2887 - - 1072 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2071 - - 3909 - - 5000 - - 1088 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1609 - - 1407 - - 1093 - - 5045 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 152 - - 294 - - 278 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 12 - - 29 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 200 - - 289 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1435 - - -508 - - 376 - - -1958 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3506 - - 4417 - - 4624 - - 3046 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7665 - - -5822 - - -4272 - - -3083 ODpotential blCL - - - 9736 - - 9731 - - 9272 - - 4171 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 79 - - 82 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 800 - - 1280 - - 2050 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 79.6 - - 81.9 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.3 - - 63.8 - - 65.1 - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.2 - - 79.2 - - 81.7 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 62.3 - - 63.8 - - 67.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 108 - - 61 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1001 - - 2839 - - 3930 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 15 - - 29 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99653 31 086 24 102 11 120 17 063 99653 92115 20 084 21 099 14 097 13 062 92115 86279 14 098 15 098 14 084 10 072 86279 81426 11 096 13 089 12 095 7 074 81426 77249 10 109 8 059 8 111 5 093 77249 73567 10 097 3 135 5 068 6 107 73567 70230 6 069 4 143 4 353 5 031 70230 67159 3 064 2 111 3 308 6 316 67159 64318 3 302 2 353 5 310 8 300 64318 61575 9 256 8 310 10 280 10 298 61575 58716 17 254 12 263 15 258 14 280 58716 55748 21 280 23 285 21 274 22 276 55748 52933 35 271 33 271 33 275 30 284 52933 50429 37 268 40 274 42 275 40 282 50429 48207 47 272 44 271 44 278 52 279 48207 46205 50 272 47 276 52 283 56 277 46205 44385 52 277 51 278 58 282 60 285 44385 42718 56 278 53 275 58 279 64 288 42718 41169 60 276 53 273 55 280 63 291 41169 39714 62 276 52 276 53 283 62 294 39714 38338 61 277 52 280 52 284 60 295 38338 37001 60 279 52 280 52 281 56 295 37001 35637 59 280 52 278 53 278 53 290 35637 34216 58 281 51 276 56 277 55 287 34216 32743 59 281 52 274 57 276 56 283 32743 31206 58 279 53 274 55 274 57 279 31206 29593 57 278 53 276 54 274 56 277 29593 27906 56 277 54 279 53 278 53 275 27906 26142 55 275 54 280 52 281 52 276 26142 24300 55 276 53 280 52 283 50 280 24300 22382 54 278 55 280 55 285 51 284 22382 20386 53 279 55 277 53 279 51 283 20386 18311 50 281 51 271 45 272 46 282 18311 16201 46 287 41 280 37 283 37 283 16201 14163 40 294 31 268 31 276 32 280 14163 12301 35 289 26 277 30 255 28 275 12301 10639 34 282 22 283 24 261 25 273 10639 9161 28 276 17 282 20 266 18 284 9161 7850 19 279 12 279 16 265 15 282 7850 6686 15 290 10 268 11 271 10 278 6686 5656 14 308 8 257 6*270 7 282 5656 4747 12 329 6 220 3*272 5 282 4747 3944 10 350 6*206 2 277 4 273 3944 3223 10 002 5*204 2 283 3 261 3223 2584 9*008 5 201 2 294 3 250 2584 2050 8*009 5 200 2 302 2 231 2050 1641 6 007 4 200 1 308 2 211 1641 1358 5 004 4 198 1 312 2 204 1358 1187 5 003 4 197 1 316 2 197 1187 1088 4 001 3 197 1 315 1*195 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography