DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.0 - - 37.3 - - 37.7 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 78 - - 22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 584 - - 2542 - - 2786 - - 229 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1856 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1654 - - 3612 - - 3856 - - 1299 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 617 - - 904 - - 722 - - 2843 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 239 - - 162 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 349 - - 338 - - 330 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -422 - - 877 - - 782 - - -1053 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2076 - - 2735 - - 3074 - - 2352 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1975 - - 756 - - 449 - - -1530 ODpotential blCL - - - 3629 - - 2856 - - 3407 - - 2829 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.0 - - 37.3 - - 37.7 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.1 - - 29.5 - - 28.4 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 37.0 - - 37.9 - - 37.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 28.9 - - 28.0 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 78 - - 22 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 584 - - 2542 - - 2786 - - 229 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96156 14 222 25 247 22 235 21 228 96156 89035 7 143 15 203 15 240 6 256 89035 83556 4 086 10 161 8 233 8 306 83556 78991 4 042 5 099 7 164 5 274 78991 75037 2 011 1 203 4 125 2 205 75037 71505 3 240 5 225 3 328 6 027 71505 68288 4 327 3 252 10 272 11 342 68288 65334 7 351 7 301 15 251 14 311 65334 62586 17 334 12 292 11 260 14 289 62586 59906 20 318 14 301 10 283 11 310 59906 57095 19 315 17 316 15 310 17 321 57095 54174 22 322 23 318 22 304 22 310 54174 51383 25 327 25 317 24 308 24 310 51383 48867 28 330 26 322 26 315 25 319 48867 46616 31 333 33 329 31 326 26 328 46616 44584 33 335 40 327 37 330 33 340 44584 42737 35 337 40 323 41 332 38 338 42737 41051 36 344 34 334 42 334 40 342 41051 39499 44 353 37 349 40 338 41 350 39499 38059 52 351 38 352 40 351 45 358 38059 36712 51 352 39 355 45 358 51 003 36712 35418 55 357 42 359 48 357 56 008 35418 34108 59 356 44 359 48 358 59 011 34108 32748 59 354 42 358 49 002 58 010 32748 31339 56 355 39 002 52 003 54 007 31339 29866 51 358 39 007 50 004 48 004 29866 28318 44 359 36 009 49 010 45 004 28318 26695 38 356 32 002 46 018 43 007 26695 24994 35 354 29 348 41 017 42 009 24994 23217 34 356 30 342 37 009 39 010 23217 21365 33 000 29 345 32 009 33 009 21365 19432 31 000 28 346 29 006 29 009 19432 17412 30 351 29 343 30 352 29 008 17412 15351 28 346 29 343 28 347 28 354 15351 13375 26 349 27 343 24 346 27 346 13375 11586 24 349 24 342 22 339 25 339 11586 10000 24 348 21 339 20 334 24 336 10000 8594 22 350 18 338 20 332 24 335 8594 7348 19 358 17 338 20 333 23 338 7348 6244 18 360 18 343 20 335 21 339 6244 5270 15 358 16 341 16 336 17 336 5270 4421 13 360 15 340 12*332 15 330 4421 3683 13 001 14*339 11*331 15 328 3683 3026 13 358 14*338 11 331 14 333 3026 2445 16 360 14 338 11 330 13 340 2445 1959 16*359 13 338 11 330 12 345 1959 1586 14*354 13 338 10 330 11 349 1586 1330 11 348 12 338 10 330 9*349 1330 1174 10 347 11 337 9 329 7*350 1174 1085 8 345 9 336 7 328 4 349 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography