DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0655z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 66.8 - - 69.6 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 121 - - 20 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 352 - - 1154 - - 1780 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1071 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1422 - - 2224 - - 2850 - - 1087 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 437 - - 657 - - 1161 - - 134 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 85 - - 214 - - 141 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 225 - - 237 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1887 - - -2477 - - -2592 - - -1956 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3309 - - 4702 - - 5442 - - 3043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7421 - - -6565 - - -6043 - - -7116 ODpotential blCL - - - 8843 - - 8789 - - 8893 - - 8203 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 81 - - 87 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 66.8 - - 69.6 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 50.4 - - 49.9 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 66.4 - - 69.7 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 49.7 - - 49.4 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 121 - - 20 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 352 - - 1154 - - 1780 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 23 - - 49 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97126 10 271 19 275 11 277 12 265 97126 89985 4 145 6 311 11 230 9 289 89985 84467 9 096 5 221 8 237 4 278 84467 79879 13 099 11 186 6 226 3 303 79879 75912 10 124 10 167 9 187 4 248 75912 72391 7 152 7 170 9 173 9 206 72391 69201 8 227 7 215 5 212 8 206 69201 66269 12 233 10 222 9 242 10 216 66269 63555 18 254 15 239 15 259 10 256 63555 60931 19 234 19 239 23 252 20 264 60931 58187 14 246 19 240 25 247 22 257 58187 55333 26 267 23 254 28 254 35 259 55333 52619 29 266 29 263 37 261 42 250 52619 50184 41 259 38 264 42 260 41 260 50184 47993 42 245 38 258 44 264 44 270 47993 45995 39 254 39 258 46 262 50 272 45995 44164 45 255 46 262 48 263 53 266 44164 42489 46 255 51 265 55 265 49 257 42489 40951 53 256 55 265 51 266 43 249 40951 39509 46 256 49 271 40 268 41 246 39509 38142 48 266 43 266 33 289 41 264 38142 36815 47 266 44 273 49 281 39 268 36815 35462 46 261 49 275 47 280 39 263 35462 34053 47 256 47 267 37 283 37 260 34053 32590 51 259 44 260 29 284 34 262 32590 31059 38 256 42 267 28 275 36 264 31059 29449 25 241 38 270 34 268 36 261 29449 27759 20 240 40 269 37 262 35 260 27759 25988 24 247 34 255 35 254 39 262 25988 24143 30 256 29 255 36 262 41 266 24143 22226 38 250 33 256 34 265 36 264 22226 20229 37 239 32 259 34 264 32 265 20229 18146 33 241 29 256 30 256 29 261 18146 16019 32 253 30 256 26 264 24 251 16019 13971 26 261 28 255 24 263 20 267 13971 12112 21 255 24 246 21 263 17 267 12112 10467 13 240 18 242 19 257 16 269 10467 9010 10 261 14 246 17 259 14 273 9010 7714 12 265 14 250 17 263 14 274 7714 6563 12 251 15 250 18 262 16 268 6563 5546 11 244 16 247 18 257 16 261 5546 4652 10 248 16 243 18 252 14 258 4652 3865 12 246 16 239 17 247 12 259 3865 3161 16 246 16 238 14*241 12 255 3161 2539 21 243 16*234 12*238 11 244 2539 2019 22 232 12*226 11 237 11 234 2019 1621 20*229 12 225 11 236 11 224 1621 1348 14*225 11 225 10 236 10 217 1348 1181 12 225 10 225 9 236 8*209 1181 1087 9 225 8 224 7 235 5*203 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography