DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 0959z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.9 - - 77.2 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - 80 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3588 - - 3183 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2956 - - 2479 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4658 - - 4253 - - 1088 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1595 - - 1571 - - 3869 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 307 - - 271 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 256 - - 281 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1101 - - 835 - - -1826 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3558 - - 3419 - - 2914 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 350 - - -429 - - -7212 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4308 - - 4682 - - 8300 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 88 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1230 - - 1360 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.9 - - 77.2 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.6 - - 65.5 - - 60.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.5 - - 77.0 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.9 - - 64.8 - - 60.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 104 - - 80 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3588 - - 3183 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 86 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98767 10 280 10 249 10 290 98767 91396 19 258 15 256 9 260 91396 85672 17 240 17 243 14 249 85672 80886 14 227 19 235 21 260 80886 76744 10 243 15 240 23 252 76744 73085 11 247 15 239 18 242 73085 69783 15 252 16 220 14 246 69783 66748 17 231 18 233 18 258 66748 63929 18 232 21 237 19 255 63929 61200 24 239 24 236 28 260 61200 58363 30 235 35 243 30 239 58363 55440 32 237 33 238 39 259 55440 52677 39 247 49 254 56 247 52677 50201 51 242 61 245 56 236 50201 47970 57 241 62 241 57 247 47970 45946 61 244 65 243 73 247 45946 44105 62 241 69 240 78 239 44105 42412 60 240 67 236 69 238 42412 40846 59 239 64 240 61 241 40846 39387 58 239 64 244 53 243 39387 38012 61 241 62 240 51 249 38012 36679 66 243 60 240 52 254 36679 35323 61 244 59 242 55 257 35323 33915 51 244 57 243 57 262 33915 32459 47 241 57 243 56 270 32459 30938 47 241 55 245 54 273 30938 29338 43 240 51 246 53 271 29338 27660 38 244 49 248 52 266 27660 25907 34 249 49 255 53 268 25907 24080 31 253 47 257 49 273 24080 22185 28 258 41 259 40 264 22185 20210 24 266 38 261 41 256 20210 18149 24 282 36 266 42 266 18149 16047 24 288 34 270 45 271 16047 14021 25 287 35 273 48 278 14021 12175 25 288 29 274 43 276 12175 10528 25 293 28 279 39 276 10528 9062 24 286 28 284 31 281 9062 7757 26 270 30 293 29 293 7757 6601 25 261 23 301 24 304 6601 5582 22 257 15 282 15 300 5582 4688 22*257 15*279 13 298 4688 3897 21*257 15*279 14 303 3897 3188 21 256 15 280 14 306 3188 2560 20 256 15 281 14 308 2560 2034 19 256 15 281 14 308 2034 1631 19 256 15 282 13 306 1631 1353 17 256 14 282 10 302 1353 1184 16 255 13 282 8*297 1184 1088 12 255 10 282 4*291 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography