DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 85.6 - - 83.7 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 179 - - 93 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1073 - - 1869 - - 1649 - - 166 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1072 - - 1988 - - 1072 - - 1072 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2143 - - 2939 - - 2719 - - 1236 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 670 - - 1353 - - 1083 - - 1774 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 290 - - 224 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 230 - - 151 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1090 - - -1156 - - -638 - - -234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3234 - - 4095 - - 3358 - - 1470 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4633 - - -3861 - - -3594 - - -4075 ODpotential blCL - - - 6776 - - 6800 - - 6313 - - 5311 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 84 - - 92 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 2260 - - 2600 - - 2820 - - 2540 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 85.6 - - 83.7 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.9 - - 70.9 - - 72.1 - - 73.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.6 - - 84.7 - - 83.2 - - 77.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 70.2 - - 71.6 - - 73.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 179 - - 93 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1073 - - 1869 - - 1649 - - 166 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 36 - - 70 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99124 12 153 5 114 2 154 11 080 99124 91655 12 129 8 166 12 171 2 147 91655 85892 5 071 12 153 6 141 2 173 85892 81118 7 067 6 161 2 163 1 333 81118 77010 8 046 5 155 2 208 3 322 77010 73374 5 008 5 076 4 128 4 287 73374 70084 3 359 4 048 2 067 2 283 70084 67074 7 014 2 291 3 203 5 313 67074 64291 3 279 2 228 4 192 8 249 64291 61599 11 230 9 248 5 261 9 236 61599 58815 8 213 16 248 22 259 22 256 58815 55948 25 269 26 264 25 263 24 266 55948 53218 41 269 34 263 42 269 36 271 53218 50766 52 263 51 265 57 267 51 267 50766 48569 58 263 66 265 67 263 66 266 48569 46575 67 269 78 264 76 264 77 266 46575 44742 80 273 86 266 85 264 79 265 44742 43047 86 273 92 268 89 265 68 265 43047 41467 86 272 92 269 83 266 57 269 41467 39989 85 273 86 269 75 265 54 274 39989 38593 81 275 76 268 72 264 54 277 38593 37241 77 275 70 265 73 264 56 277 37241 35864 73 272 66 262 70 263 57 276 35864 34433 70 270 64 262 65 263 58 275 34433 32951 68 268 59 264 62 264 58 272 32951 31402 65 269 54 268 57 264 55 268 31402 29775 58 272 50 272 52 263 52 268 29775 28070 47 278 48 269 43 260 50 270 28070 26287 43 274 45 263 40 264 50 272 26287 24429 38 271 43 263 43 273 47 273 24429 22501 37 268 36 267 37 275 38 270 22501 20495 32 262 30 274 28 273 40 266 20495 18405 33 266 28 263 27 265 35 274 18405 16277 28 267 28 266 26 266 28 272 16277 14228 21 265 29 257 28 263 28 272 14228 12364 21 252 29 247 28 254 25 277 12364 10704 27 245 27 245 26 250 21 278 10704 9224 25 248 24 247 23 250 20 274 9224 7903 24 259 22 257 19 257 23 267 7903 6726 24 260 20 262 19 259 20 258 6726 5683 23 264 19 254 21 254 14 238 5683 4765 23 267 17 246 19 239 11 226 4765 3953 24 266 12 239 16 222 10 231 3953 3228 24 265 7*227 10*205 9 242 3228 2586 22*262 6*228 5*171 7 274 2586 2051 19*260 6 229 4 151 6 304 2051 1640 14 255 5 230 4 147 8 329 1640 1358 12 254 5 231 4 142 8*344 1358 1186 11 254 5 232 3 140 8*348 1186 1088 9 253 4 231 3 140 6 352 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography