DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 59.5 - - 63.8 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 272 - - 201 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1793 - - 4361 - - 5402 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1864 - - 3981 - - 4634 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2863 - - 5431 - - 6472 - - 1087 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1678 - - 1213 - - 1672 - - 8015 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 436 - - 425 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 31 - - 34 - - 27 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 224 - - 234 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 21 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -11 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1277 - - 946 - - 409 - - -4736 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4140 - - 4485 - - 6064 - - 5823 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3871 - - -350 - - -762 - - -6169 ODpotential blCL - - - 6734 - - 5781 - - 7234 - - 7256 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 94 - - 87 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 59.5 - - 63.8 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.5 - - 43.4 - - 40.7 - - 41.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 58.8 - - 63.2 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.3 - - 42.6 - - 39.9 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 148 - - 272 - - 201 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1793 - - 4361 - - 5402 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 77 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97720 10 219 16 242 9 286 6 264 97720 90291 11 221 12 244 6 247 10 252 90291 84576 8 170 9 213 12 210 9 285 84576 79824 3 109 9 184 15 218 11 294 79824 75717 6 144 11 180 16 218 12 258 75717 72068 3 257 11 187 13 211 12 245 72068 68744 13 232 14 218 12 222 14 230 68744 65672 13 262 15 226 9 247 8 235 65672 62804 18 267 14 237 15 258 14 250 62804 60019 24 251 21 252 22 264 18 279 60019 57117 17 252 24 249 30 259 27 276 57117 54110 23 285 20 274 26 262 29 281 54110 51240 30 274 30 283 28 267 29 283 51240 48657 28 276 32 275 31 281 34 285 48657 46351 28 279 36 275 35 281 36 282 46351 44274 27 287 32 281 33 276 33 285 44274 42385 35 294 35 290 35 280 33 294 42385 40655 40 292 42 289 39 288 39 303 40655 39064 43 288 47 290 44 292 45 301 39064 37593 45 287 51 291 46 294 46 299 37593 36225 47 291 54 292 49 298 46 302 36225 34920 51 295 54 291 49 300 44 305 34920 33613 55 294 52 292 47 300 41 310 33613 32270 59 292 49 294 44 298 39 315 32270 30890 55 291 46 294 40 297 39 317 30890 29455 46 291 43 293 37 297 40 317 29455 27948 41 292 40 290 36 296 39 313 27948 26370 39 291 36 288 33 292 40 301 26370 24722 38 291 33 287 30 290 44 294 24722 23005 36 292 30 291 29 287 43 289 23005 21217 35 291 28 295 28 282 41 288 21217 19353 36 289 27 294 27 282 38 290 19353 17408 42 289 26 295 26 285 35 291 17408 15419 39 295 29 288 25 286 33 294 15419 13498 22 303 33 280 27 286 32 298 13498 11745 12 269 31 276 28 284 30 299 11745 10184 14 237 23 274 25 286 29 295 10184 8795 20 245 21 261 24 280 27 291 8795 7556 29 252 27 254 25*262 25 286 7556 6450 32 247 40*240 28*240 22 279 6450 5467 34 235 39*235 28 237 21 271 5467 4598 38 228 37 229 28 235 19 260 4598 3828 40 231 36 224 28 233 19 255 3828 3136 39*232 35 222 28 232 19 252 3136 2524 36*231 34 221 28 231 18 249 2524 2011 34 230 33 220 27 230 17 246 2011 1617 32 230 32 220 26 230 16 243 1617 1346 29 229 30 219 25 229 13 241 1346 1181 25 229 26 219 22 229 10*238 1181 1087 19 229 20 219 17 229 7*235 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography