DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/15 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 55.1 - - 55.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 21 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 917 - - 1529 - - 1597 - - 590 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1987 - - 2599 - - 2667 - - 1660 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1715 - - 1360 - - 955 - - 1709 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 136 - - 81 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 102 - - 063 - - 057 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 580 - - 818 - - 750 - - 187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1407 - - 1781 - - 1917 - - 1473 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 185 - - 376 - - 139 - - -483 ODpotential blCL - - - 1802 - - 2223 - - 2528 - - 2143 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 40 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 55.1 - - 55.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 51.3 - - 50.6 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 55.1 - - 55.4 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 50.7 - - 50.0 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 21 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 917 - - 1529 - - 1597 - - 590 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96746 46 260 45 254 48 261 51 264 96746 89694 27 259 29 264 34 267 29 275 89694 84238 15 262 21 296 18 267 17 274 84238 79688 9 320 14 281 13 312 11 335 79688 75763 15 342 10 296 12 322 13 357 75763 72283 11 347 13 347 8 326 14 000 72283 69125 7 010 13 005 4 330 10 344 69125 66216 9 010 13 004 7 338 5 305 66216 63502 14 318 18 353 11 345 6 291 63502 60860 16 299 21 316 20 326 22 331 60860 58119 21 301 24 284 26 291 30 299 58119 55306 36 288 35 291 35 292 38 293 55306 52639 53 291 53 295 51 299 48 297 52639 50242 69 279 72 282 68 287 64 290 50242 48094 76 277 76 278 78 283 79 290 48094 46137 77 281 81 283 87 281 89 287 46137 44332 80 284 87 283 90 282 89 287 44332 42651 88 287 89 285 91 285 90 290 42651 41077 93 288 92 289 95 288 95 293 41077 39596 96 287 97 289 101 289 101 294 39596 38197 96 286 99 286 102 287 105 293 38197 36842 95 286 97 284 100 285 105 290 36842 35462 95 286 97 283 99 285 103 289 35462 34030 96 289 98 285 96 288 95 290 34030 32551 89 289 89 290 86 292 82 293 32551 31013 77 288 71 289 73 295 72 297 31013 29401 64 289 58 290 64 293 64 300 29401 27711 56 296 55 294 59 295 60 302 27711 25940 54 301 52 295 56 296 59 305 25940 24088 52 301 49 295 53 297 56 306 24088 22158 48 298 48 296 51 300 56 306 22158 20148 42 295 44 297 46 305 51 310 20148 18058 39 305 41 301 41 303 43 309 18058 15935 32 308 37 305 38 304 37 311 15935 13890 33 296 32 305 32 308 34 315 13890 12028 32 298 29 305 28 310 30 313 12028 10372 35 301 30 307 26 315 26 316 10372 8907 29 295 30 305 26 309 22 321 8907 7611 17 311 22 297 24 307 22 320 7611 6462 12 355 9 299 16 301 23 309 6462 5448 12 353 5 359 4 006 13 307 5448 4564 9 325 5 347 7 044 3 336 4564 3790 1 296 4 049 8 043 5 071 3790 3103 7 114 7*066 9*051 10 074 3103 2498 10 108 7*065 8*054 12 070 2498 1994 9*106 7 064 8 056 12*068 1994 1607 8*104 7 063 7 058 11*066 1607 1341 7 101 6 062 7 058 9 066 1341 1179 6 100 6 062 6 059 7 065 1179 1086 5 100 5 061 4 060 4 065 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography