DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.8 - - 27.8 - - 27.2 - - 26.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 184 - - 45 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1177 - - 3467 - - 3379 - - 3332 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1067 - - 3110 - - 1067 - - 1067 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2247 - - 4537 - - 4449 - - 4402 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1590 - - 856 - - 482 - - 391 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 349 - - 217 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 313 - - 310 - - 300 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -322 - - 675 - - 360 - - 588 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2569 - - 3863 - - 4089 - - 3814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1493 - - 428 - - 189 - - 227 ODpotential blCL - - - 3740 - - 4109 - - 4260 - - 4175 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 87 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.8 - - 27.8 - - 27.2 - - 26.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.8 - - 15.0 - - 13.4 - - 13.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 22.9 - - 27.1 - - 27.2 - - 26.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.5 - - 14.4 - - 12.9 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - 184 - - 45 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1177 - - 3467 - - 3379 - - 3332 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 48 - - 94 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96075 30 038 19 039 16 015 22 003 96075 89033 25 033 17 041 14 025 16 009 89033 83511 21 041 14 030 11 033 14 002 83511 78879 10 037 8 360 10 000 12 005 78879 74857 4 328 8 327 11 327 10 354 74857 71275 5 309 6 292 14 304 12 329 71275 68012 14 319 8 295 14 287 10 305 68012 64990 18 291 12 301 13 297 14 306 64990 62168 16 268 25 285 24 288 25 281 62168 59427 24 285 26 270 24 280 24 273 59427 56557 20 286 23 285 28 292 28 283 56557 53576 28 301 35 281 40 284 42 285 53576 50740 40 295 41 277 48 278 48 281 50740 48202 45 293 42 283 48 278 50 274 48202 45945 46 297 46 290 49 281 53 276 45945 43913 50 302 56 292 54 282 54 278 43913 42058 59 302 61 290 57 287 58 283 42058 40346 65 299 62 291 62 288 64 284 40346 38761 65 301 66 291 65 288 72 284 38761 37298 71 308 70 289 70 286 82 282 37298 35941 87 306 73 287 78 285 84 282 35941 34645 101 300 74 286 82 285 86 288 34645 33342 102 297 70 287 79 288 93 292 33342 32001 100 304 66 288 74 291 95 293 32001 30614 103 310 67 289 69 292 94 294 30614 29166 106 312 68 289 66 291 87 293 29166 27646 104 313 67 291 62 291 73 293 27646 26056 100 315 67 297 63 295 65 291 26056 24391 98 315 67 300 64 296 57 289 24391 22650 96 319 64 302 61 300 54 288 22650 20833 88 321 63 306 63 304 54 291 20833 18938 76 317 62 308 62 306 55 302 18938 16962 59 315 58 310 57 306 55 306 16962 14950 46 318 47 309 51 309 50 303 14950 13018 41 322 35 308 43 308 43 303 13018 11267 38 323 31 311 32 303 36 309 11267 9722 36 323 30 314 25 302 25 304 9722 8360 34 324 27 317 23 305 17 299 8360 7157 33 323 26 319 21 310 14 300 7157 6090 29 321 26 320 20 316 12 306 6090 5151 23 318 19*315 16*306 10*298 5151 4335 21 321 18*312 14*301 9*298 4335 3620 22 327 17 311 13 301 9 300 3620 2978 25 325 17 311 13 300 9 301 2978 2411 25*321 17 310 13 300 9 303 2411 1937 21*316 16 310 12 300 8 304 1937 1573 19 313 16 309 12 300 8 306 1573 1323 17 312 15 309 11 299 7 306 1323 1171 15 311 14 309 10 299 6 306 1171 1084 11 310 11 308 8 299 5 307 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography