DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 89.4 - - 93.1 - - 89.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 284 - - 181 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1661 - - 2746 - - 3825 - - 2947 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1796 - - 2781 - - 3404 - - 1072 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2731 - - 3816 - - 4895 - - 4017 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1012 - - 938 - - 1731 - - 1441 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 269 - - 381 - - 368 - - 108 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 290 - - 297 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1740 - - -3295 - - -3149 - - -2934 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4471 - - 7112 - - 8045 - - 6952 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6597 - - -6792 - - -6642 - - -7609 ODpotential blCL - - - 9328 - - 10608 - - 11537 - - 11626 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 51 - - 47 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 770 - - 580 - - 750 - - 800 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.8 - - 89.4 - - 93.1 - - 89.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.0 - - 62.1 - - 61.7 - - 63.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 87.9 - - 92.1 - - 90.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.3 - - 61.3 - - 60.8 - - 62.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 162 - - 284 - - 181 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1661 - - 2746 - - 3825 - - 2947 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99817 40 086 44 090 35 096 32 089 99817 92227 37 090 33 096 25 091 28 079 92227 86384 33 097 29 098 20 085 23 079 86384 81558 27 089 22 097 22 086 19 078 81558 77420 23 090 20 080 23 095 10 072 77420 73771 19 074 17 066 21 082 16 079 73771 70481 15 062 15 056 14 075 18 066 70481 67461 15 047 12 048 13 059 16 052 67461 64671 13 031 12 053 12 042 16 028 64671 61993 13 035 10 037 12 027 9 000 61993 59192 13 024 16 003 8 031 3 022 59192 56295 24 005 21 349 27 010 27 013 56295 53576 25 341 33 349 31 353 32 359 53576 51148 32 007 29 356 27 352 32 000 51148 48962 44 010 32 016 24 358 28 017 48962 46963 52 013 42 015 36 014 38 021 46963 45118 55 010 49 011 49 013 44 020 45118 43406 52 014 51 012 51 013 48 022 43406 41812 48 021 47 016 49 016 46 021 41812 40323 45 020 45 018 43 019 38 026 40323 38926 39 019 42 021 38 029 31 044 38926 37578 31 008 40 031 37 042 28 054 37578 36206 24 358 38 038 37 056 27 063 36206 34778 25 357 35 042 39 063 27 072 34778 33297 27 002 34 048 38 062 28 078 33297 31746 33 030 32 052 36 060 27 077 31746 30114 38 038 29 057 32 059 25 064 30114 28403 38 043 28 064 27 056 23 054 28403 26610 41 047 29 063 23 053 22 035 26610 24737 42 047 30 056 23 048 23 032 24737 22786 42 045 34 048 25 046 22 039 22786 20752 42 046 36 053 26 057 19 051 20752 18634 40 045 34 057 28 068 21 071 18634 16476 39 037 37 054 33 067 26 076 16476 14398 35 021 31 033 31 050 29 072 14398 12502 27 002 26 008 27 025 25 048 12502 10816 22 354 21 357 22 000 24 028 10816 9316 18 351 19 359 20 002 20 012 9316 7979 14 350 15 359 18 005 17 015 7979 6791 13 348 12 359 15 001 13 010 6791 5738 14 342 12 351 12*347 11 357 5738 4811 14 328 13 331 10*313 11*304 4811 3993 14 305 13*304 11 299 12*293 3993 3259 15*291 14*294 11 297 12 291 3259 2610 14*285 14 291 11 295 12 289 2610 2067 12 280 14 290 11 294 11 288 2067 1650 12 278 13 289 11 293 11 287 1650 1363 11 278 12 289 10 292 10 286 1363 1189 10 277 11 288 10 292 9 285 1189 1088 8 276 10 288 8 292 6 284 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography