DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 45.7 - - 47.9 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 131 - - 10 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1044 - - 2656 - - 3179 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 2375 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2114 - - 3726 - - 4249 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1228 - - 981 - - 2155 - - 526 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 130 - - 290 - - 143 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 26 - - 26 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 294 - - 289 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -4 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -894 - - -1257 - - -1468 - - -2755 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3008 - - 4983 - - 5717 - - 3840 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7067 - - -6321 - - -5837 - - -6835 ODpotential blCL - - - 9181 - - 10047 - - 10086 - - 7920 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 60 - - 71 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 45.7 - - 47.9 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.7 - - 27.7 - - 26.6 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 45.5 - - 48.2 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.9 - - 26.7 - - 26.2 - - 28.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 131 - - 10 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1044 - - 2656 - - 3179 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95755 34 269 29 285 34 257 34 272 95755 88764 26 293 21 287 32 275 33 287 88764 83325 31 296 26 273 33 300 27 297 83325 78800 25 301 21 283 24 318 19 321 78800 74878 24 315 25 299 30 314 28 320 74878 71393 26 302 32 306 34 299 29 309 71393 68233 26 325 28 324 29 314 30 336 68233 65309 35 329 32 331 33 323 41 327 65309 62587 37 310 37 304 36 307 42 313 62587 59948 41 309 40 297 37 295 41 303 59948 57170 45 315 43 308 39 298 43 304 57170 54256 53 308 49 310 43 302 48 304 54256 51459 60 299 56 312 49 306 51 299 51459 48936 58 297 66 303 59 303 52 299 48936 46681 61 298 67 293 66 300 63 300 46681 44651 66 299 68 296 74 302 64 300 44651 42804 73 297 76 301 76 303 65 305 42804 41098 79 295 84 302 81 304 77 308 41098 39512 84 296 95 301 94 298 85 300 39512 38038 93 300 106 303 99 293 89 297 38038 36669 99 302 116 304 100 291 97 299 36669 35359 105 304 122 304 99 292 103 299 35359 34032 110 304 124 303 99 295 100 297 34032 32654 118 305 124 302 101 299 95 297 32654 31229 127 305 123 303 103 303 92 298 31229 29741 132 305 122 303 105 304 91 300 29741 28179 130 305 121 304 104 304 91 301 28179 26544 119 305 119 305 103 306 91 300 26544 24835 106 305 115 306 101 308 89 301 24835 23056 96 305 111 307 100 308 85 305 23056 21209 87 304 105 307 97 310 83 307 21209 19288 75 301 94 306 88 310 79 309 19288 17288 66 299 79 305 79 308 71 309 17288 15255 59 300 68 305 70 308 65 306 15255 13303 54 305 61 302 61 308 61 306 13303 11534 51 308 59 298 53 308 54 309 11534 9973 51 307 56 299 46 309 46 311 9973 8595 52 307 51 303 42 312 41 312 8595 7372 51 311 49 306 42 311 40 313 7372 6286 48 314 48 309 39 307 41 311 6286 5325 45 315 45 310 36 302 42 308 5325 4480 45 315 41*308 32*293 41 302 4480 3732 44 315 31*299 30*291 39 298 3732 3063 42 312 28 294 29 290 38 295 3063 2470 37*306 27 293 28 289 35 293 2470 1975 32*301 26 292 26 288 32 290 1975 1595 28 298 24 292 25 288 28 285 1595 1333 25 297 23 291 22 287 20 280 1333 1175 21 296 20 291 19 287 16 278 1175 1085 16 295 15 290 14 286 9*275 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography