DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 46.5 - - 50.4 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 106 - - 31 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 268 - - 1188 - - 1760 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1338 - - 2258 - - 2830 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 224 - - 663 - - 989 - - 846 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 75 - - 210 - - 166 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 312 - - 295 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -752 - - -708 - - -1452 - - -933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2090 - - 2966 - - 4282 - - 2018 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7168 - - -4749 - - -4868 - - -6083 ODpotential blCL - - - 8506 - - 7007 - - 7698 - - 7168 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 75 - - 61 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 46.5 - - 50.4 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 37.3 - - 35.5 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 46.2 - - 50.5 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 36.1 - - 34.3 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 106 - - 31 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 268 - - 1188 - - 1760 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96796 15 059 21 058 16 042 17 040 96796 89669 16 074 20 073 9 078 9 010 89669 84076 18 064 19 086 10 115 7 007 84076 79376 14 076 10 081 6 059 11 015 79376 75318 8 071 7 079 4 025 7 357 75318 71725 8 038 7 325 7 329 10 329 71725 68456 9 317 9 269 15 298 16 308 68456 65435 14 279 13 268 21 279 20 295 65435 62619 17 289 20 280 21 282 22 288 62619 59886 27 293 35 285 32 281 31 282 59886 57032 41 288 35 276 35 279 36 290 57032 54060 43 276 42 286 43 286 49 292 54060 51223 45 281 58 274 60 279 59 280 51223 48686 56 275 56 273 65 275 63 282 48686 46428 53 273 48 285 65 282 68 291 46428 44378 53 285 57 292 70 289 76 294 44378 42489 66 289 71 288 73 291 81 294 42489 40748 66 286 78 283 76 290 84 292 40748 39154 65 285 78 282 77 289 87 294 39154 37688 64 282 71 284 79 292 88 297 37688 36327 62 280 68 292 84 296 93 298 36327 35024 57 283 69 300 88 300 98 299 35024 33711 56 288 74 307 90 303 100 302 33711 32356 60 293 85 309 92 307 100 304 32356 30961 64 294 91 308 92 309 98 303 30961 29509 63 291 86 306 87 310 95 303 29509 27983 60 289 77 304 79 311 90 301 27983 26383 59 286 71 303 73 310 78 302 26383 24713 57 282 66 299 68 311 68 306 24713 22975 57 281 61 296 62 309 59 310 22975 21171 56 283 55 297 58 306 53 311 21171 19290 52 284 51 306 56 304 49 304 19290 17330 49 286 53 312 51 307 48 302 17330 15331 42 291 54 317 47 313 47 308 15331 13404 35 294 46 314 47 315 42 313 13404 11646 27 289 35 303 40 316 38 314 11646 10078 25 289 29 297 32 312 34 310 10078 8680 24 292 25 297 28 303 31 304 8680 7438 22 296 23 299 26 299 27 305 7438 6338 21 295 22 301 24 299 21 307 6338 5365 21 291 21 300 24 302 19 308 5365 4508 22 290 19 298 21 305 17 307 4508 3753 22 295 16 298 17 303 12 290 3753 3078 20 299 14 308 11*298 9 281 3078 2481 16 301 11*314 10*296 7 288 2481 1983 15 306 9*313 9 295 5 292 1983 1600 14*304 8 312 8 295 1 300 1600 1336 10*289 8 312 8 294 2 112 1336 1177 8 284 7 312 7 294 3 113 1177 1085 6 282 6 311 6 294 3*115 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography