DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 57.4 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 95 - - 38 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1454 - - 3108 - - 3192 - - 1757 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 2490 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2524 - - 4178 - - 4262 - - 2827 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1538 - - 597 - - 502 - - 1365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 189 - - 276 - - 207 - - 78 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 033 - - 035 - - 059 - - 069 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 90 - - 825 - - 841 - - 48 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2434 - - 3353 - - 3421 - - 2779 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1118 - - 526 - - 513 - - -522 ODpotential blCL - - - 3642 - - 3652 - - 3749 - - 3349 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 57.4 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.3 - - 47.0 - - 46.4 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 57.2 - - 57.4 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 46.2 - - 45.9 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 95 - - 38 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1454 - - 3108 - - 3192 - - 1757 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 101 - - 97 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97205 29 253 31 273 26 281 22 281 97205 90128 13 293 17 280 13 273 16 291 90128 84639 7 357 9 260 15 263 14 314 84639 80072 9 003 5 227 11 264 10 313 80072 76119 6 326 7 265 7 281 9 324 76119 72607 7 238 7 266 9 269 8 307 72607 69409 9 260 9 302 8 292 8 287 69409 66476 17 258 17 273 15 288 13 273 66476 63767 19 247 19 247 21 260 19 273 63767 61143 20 256 22 260 28 255 27 272 61143 58402 32 260 39 266 44 260 38 257 58402 55576 51 255 57 257 53 259 51 267 55576 52917 59 245 59 249 60 258 58 261 52917 50525 60 237 55 253 60 251 57 258 50525 48364 48 261 60 270 62 267 72 264 48364 46400 90 273 87 271 88 269 88 263 46400 44589 111 269 104 265 103 264 98 260 44589 42899 113 265 110 260 106 261 101 257 42899 41311 112 261 112 260 106 264 101 257 41311 39812 111 257 115 261 108 266 100 260 39812 38396 112 254 116 260 109 264 99 262 38396 37026 114 255 114 258 107 261 99 262 37026 35633 115 257 112 255 108 260 99 261 35633 34188 115 258 112 255 108 259 97 260 34188 32691 115 261 111 260 107 256 98 259 32691 31122 109 268 114 267 112 264 100 262 31122 29476 93 272 97 273 97 279 85 277 29476 27761 70 270 69 272 69 281 58 281 27761 25972 50 264 53 265 54 272 44 266 25972 24107 44 271 39 265 49 266 43 261 24107 22176 42 273 36 271 43 270 38 266 22176 20170 46 271 38 273 36 277 30 271 20170 18078 46 270 38 280 32 284 25 274 18078 15941 40 265 35 278 30 281 22 267 15941 13882 35 264 32 281 26 277 20 270 13882 12016 31 276 29 279 24 277 17 276 12016 10363 27 293 25 282 22 280 13 272 10363 8896 20 290 21 289 19 291 10 276 8896 7595 18 298 19 299 17 301 10 290 7595 6442 16 297 14 312 13 313 8 308 6442 5426 12 284 9 334 6 329 4 326 5426 4546 7 287 8*024 5*031 5 353 4546 3781 4 004 9*032 6*043 6 019 3781 3098 9*033 9 034 7 056 8*052 3098 2495 11*033 9 035 8 060 11*067 2495 1992 10 033 9 036 8 061 11 069 1992 1606 10 033 8 037 8 063 11 069 1606 1340 9 033 8 037 8 063 10 070 1340 1179 8 033 7 037 7 064 9 070 1179 1086 7 033 6 038 6 065 7 071 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography