DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 79.0 - - 81.5 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 245 - - 105 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 994 - - 3866 - - 4603 - - 18 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1071 - - 3552 - - 3628 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2064 - - 4936 - - 5673 - - 1088 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 512 - - 1189 - - 958 - - 1170 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 402 - - 325 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 107 - - 152 - - 204 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1731 - - -1827 - - -3604 - - -2049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3795 - - 6763 - - 9277 - - 3137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8951 - - -8211 - - -10077 - - -9182 ODpotential blCL - - - 11015 - - 13147 - - 15750 - - 10270 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 74 - - 64 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 79.0 - - 81.5 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.2 - - 53.1 - - 44.8 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 77.7 - - 80.9 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 52.3 - - 43.9 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 126 - - 245 - - 105 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 994 - - 3866 - - 4603 - - 18 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98479 7 144 5 286 4 322 6 336 98479 91190 5 345 2 338 7 322 6 353 91190 85561 9 024 13 075 6 019 10 039 85561 80867 7 012 7 039 6 016 12 017 80867 76802 12 359 10 005 6 022 12 004 76802 73203 11 000 14 005 9 029 11 012 73203 69945 11 035 8 015 10 014 7 034 69945 66944 7 015 4 010 9 343 7 057 66944 64153 5 320 3 330 7 308 1 302 64153 61443 3 247 4 227 6 243 4 197 61443 58622 7 200 11 226 10 239 4 268 58622 55712 6 200 10 226 9 241 11 273 55712 52958 10 276 12 267 15 267 14 276 52958 50495 15 274 18 265 17 281 17 297 50495 48287 19 290 23 283 28 290 25 301 48287 46294 28 293 27 284 31 272 30 278 46294 44491 33 302 24 281 23 263 17 265 44491 42836 38 322 23 336 9 314 27 277 42836 41288 47 316 27 331 20 289 31 283 41288 39823 48 310 35 312 29 289 26 289 39823 38432 46 314 34 308 25 300 22 296 38432 37078 47 320 31 312 18 305 19 306 37078 35698 48 325 28 325 20 292 17 297 35698 34262 43 323 27 336 20 296 21 287 34262 32775 32 321 21 324 19 305 26 270 32775 31222 24 310 26 303 19 310 17 260 31222 29590 23 296 32 292 27 295 13 279 29590 27883 21 300 30 300 26 308 16 289 27883 26105 16 300 20 308 21 317 18 291 26105 24253 12 291 10 301 12 313 13 291 24253 22327 6 275 6 276 7 292 9 287 22327 20324 5 267 5 209 7 226 5 278 20324 18238 8 245 6 228 8 228 5 284 18238 16117 11 243 10 243 9 240 7 250 16117 14075 10 240 8 240 6 210 9 249 14075 12215 8 229 6 228 5 184 7 252 12215 10558 5 212 5 206 5 163 4 230 10558 9087 4 176 6 185 5 162 3 177 9087 7780 7 158 9 177 10 208 4 146 7780 6619 7 150 12 185 13*211 5 188 6619 5596 11 152 12*185 9*199 9 203 5596 4696 12 145 10*174 9 201 10 206 4696 3901 9 129 9 155 9 202 9 198 3901 3188 12 120 9 151 9 204 7 170 3188 2557 14*115 9 148 8 206 8 129 2557 2031 13*110 8 146 8 207 11 111 2031 1628 10 106 8 145 8 209 12 102 1628 1352 9 105 7 144 7 209 11 099 1352 1183 8 105 7 143 7 209 9*098 1183 1088 7 105 6 143 6 209 5*097 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography