DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.2 - - 29.7 - - 29.1 - - 25.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 49 - - 35 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 814 - - 1588 - - 3518 - - 283 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1067 - - 1067 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1884 - - 2658 - - 4588 - - 1353 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1448 - - 1496 - - 1984 - - 5752 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 178 - - 218 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 23 - - 29 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 297 - - 288 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 14 - - 15 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 679 - - 1223 - - 1929 - - -422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1205 - - 1435 - - 2659 - - 1775 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 350 - - 642 - - 635 - - -1168 ODpotential blCL - - - 1534 - - 2016 - - 3953 - - 2521 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.2 - - 29.7 - - 29.1 - - 25.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.9 - - 27.4 - - 21.3 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 29.8 - - 29.2 - - 27.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 26.6 - - 20.1 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 49 - - 35 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 814 - - 1588 - - 3518 - - 283 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 54 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95304 84 250 87 259 85 260 86 260 95304 88450 54 255 62 262 61 265 52 276 88450 83165 36 265 48 266 53 273 43 281 83165 78713 31 267 38 260 46 272 38 277 78713 74808 29 271 32 255 38 259 41 264 74808 71310 31 264 31 254 34 250 45 253 71310 68122 28 260 34 249 37 258 40 252 68122 65166 34 261 43 256 42 254 41 255 65166 62389 44 256 50 250 42 247 43 257 62389 59673 54 249 48 248 41 249 50 255 59673 56808 56 241 50 249 47 251 54 247 56808 53807 57 241 55 245 54 249 56 248 53807 50931 61 239 61 241 58 240 58 248 50931 48339 61 235 67 240 60 244 66 247 48339 46026 62 235 69 237 70 245 65 243 46026 43934 73 239 68 234 69 240 55 241 43934 42011 86 238 70 232 68 237 52 250 42011 40228 88 235 73 231 70 237 58 255 40228 38574 86 235 77 231 74 236 66 252 38574 37033 88 234 81 230 77 232 68 245 37033 35594 96 232 84 230 73 227 66 241 35594 34214 106 229 87 231 67 228 63 240 34214 32822 114 227 92 230 70 234 59 239 32822 31388 119 226 93 227 77 234 56 238 31388 29919 124 224 91 226 78 230 53 237 29919 28400 127 221 91 227 76 225 52 238 28400 26824 126 219 93 226 75 223 54 239 26824 25193 122 217 94 224 77 226 56 240 25193 23511 113 215 93 220 83 230 55 241 23511 21788 99 214 88 218 78 232 50 242 21788 20030 80 211 80 218 69 231 43 250 20030 18229 69 205 69 217 61 231 38 259 18229 16374 72 211 59 216 50 235 32 265 16374 14492 70 214 52 216 40 254 29 271 14492 12678 47 217 38 222 38 266 29 274 12678 11026 36 223 23 231 37 273 30 277 11026 9556 31 228 18 243 38 278 29 280 9556 8249 19 237 19 268 38 280 30 280 8249 7089 19 263 25 282 37 280 33 278 7089 6058 18 273 28 287 35 280 32 280 6058 5143 17 276 29 295 33*282 32 282 5143 4335 16 283 31 302 32*285 31 284 4335 3620 17 299 31 302 31 286 30 286 3620 2979 23 300 29*300 30 287 29 287 2979 2412 23 300 28*299 29 288 27 288 2412 1938 21*299 25 297 28 289 25 287 1938 1574 18*298 23 297 27 290 22*287 1574 1323 17 297 21 296 24 290 18*285 1323 1171 14 297 18 295 21 290 15 285 1171 1084 11 297 14 295 17 289 10 284 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography