DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.5 - - 33.7 - - 38.8 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 227 - - 124 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 601 - - 1757 - - 2255 - - 14 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1970 - - 2048 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1671 - - 2827 - - 3325 - - 1084 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 846 - - 537 - - 592 - - 1240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 111 - - 300 - - 268 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 163 - - 177 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1052 - - -1163 - - -1933 - - -2304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2723 - - 3990 - - 5259 - - 3388 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13396 - - -12015 - - -11537 - - -13140 ODpotential blCL - - - 15067 - - 14842 - - 14862 - - 14224 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 75 - - 73 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.5 - - 33.7 - - 38.8 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.0 - - 20.4 - - 20.0 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 32.7 - - 38.3 - - 33.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.3 - - 19.4 - - 18.9 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 227 - - 124 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 601 - - 1757 - - 2255 - - 14 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96182 14 134 12 197 8 230 4 313 96182 89001 5 125 15 192 16 234 12 276 89001 83426 8 220 13 235 18 220 18 256 83426 78762 11 250 15 238 20 262 26 261 78762 74734 22 277 16 260 19 261 25 256 74734 71181 22 273 29 281 27 281 32 272 71181 67982 26 274 33 274 34 268 33 272 67982 65038 33 279 36 285 35 277 39 282 65038 62291 42 287 43 283 44 284 45 277 62291 59614 54 285 48 280 48 283 50 285 59614 56819 56 280 53 283 58 289 59 289 56819 53920 58 288 65 287 70 288 70 287 53920 51155 72 294 75 286 78 284 77 282 51155 48672 84 292 83 286 82 284 79 285 48672 46457 89 289 89 286 87 285 85 289 46457 44453 90 290 92 287 90 285 94 287 44453 42622 91 292 92 288 90 285 96 284 42622 40938 94 293 91 290 92 284 92 280 40938 39387 95 293 92 293 93 283 92 280 39387 37950 97 295 96 293 91 283 93 280 37950 36613 102 297 96 291 87 284 94 277 36613 35329 110 297 91 291 82 285 86 275 35329 34023 106 296 85 291 80 284 83 276 34023 32662 90 295 80 287 79 282 82 278 32662 31250 77 295 73 285 75 281 77 280 31250 29775 71 293 67 285 68 281 67 280 29775 28226 65 292 61 285 62 283 60 275 28226 26602 58 292 56 287 55 282 56 274 26602 24902 53 292 52 286 46 284 51 275 24902 23131 49 291 44 282 41 283 46 270 23131 21291 47 289 38 281 37 275 44 270 21291 19376 44 285 35 281 33 269 40 272 19376 17377 44 282 35 280 29 270 33 265 17377 15337 41 286 33 278 26 277 26 263 15337 13370 34 286 31 273 25 279 20 269 13370 11580 28 281 26 270 22 284 16 275 11580 9995 25 282 23 271 21 277 14 277 9995 8597 22 289 21 272 20 265 13 249 8597 7360 18 275 16 271 17 253 13 230 7360 6260 12 239 17 247 17 244 17 215 6260 5285 9 215 16 227 17 235 21 214 5285 4429 8 191 14 216 16 210 20 215 4429 3680 11 184 10 193 12*187 15 214 3680 3018 12 186 11*164 10*179 11 206 3018 2436 14 166 11*162 10 177 9 177 2436 1953 16*151 11 162 10 177 11 147 1953 1582 16*150 10 163 9 176 13 132 1582 1327 12 148 10 163 9 176 12 124 1327 1173 10 147 9 164 8 176 10 119 1173 1084 8 146 8 163 7 176 5*114 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography