DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 89.8 - - 91.9 - - 85.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 284 - - 185 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1364 - - 4947 - - 6221 - - 1172 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1474 - - 4450 - - 5214 - - 1072 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2434 - - 6017 - - 7291 - - 2242 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2485 - - 1868 - - 2061 - - 1561 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 461 - - 434 - - 126 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 51 - - 28 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 100 - - 170 - - 207 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 10 - - 18 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2022 - - -2693 - - -2261 - - -4308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4456 - - 8710 - - 9552 - - 6550 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5686 - - -5790 - - -4916 - - -7234 ODpotential blCL - - - 8120 - - 11807 - - 12207 - - 9476 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 58 - - 63 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 460 - - 0 - - 0 - - 380 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 89.8 - - 91.9 - - 85.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.2 - - 55.5 - - 53.8 - - 60.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 88.3 - - 90.8 - - 85.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 54.5 - - 52.7 - - 59.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 284 - - 185 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1364 - - 4947 - - 6221 - - 1172 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 0 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99781 43 082 37 097 29 098 27 086 99781 92249 35 094 32 088 28 098 26 101 92249 86419 29 094 25 093 22 096 26 077 86419 81583 27 085 19 110 13 096 21 063 81583 77427 22 079 18 101 13 088 14 069 77427 73744 16 069 18 067 19 081 7 111 73744 70402 13 062 12 059 15 063 8 060 70402 67347 14 040 12 036 10 053 10 032 67347 64543 16 022 13 023 5 055 8 031 64543 61838 13 015 17 007 7 045 8 025 61838 59023 15 340 17 339 11 333 15 335 59023 56119 20 331 18 322 18 321 21 324 56119 53376 26 330 30 319 30 326 28 322 53376 50937 29 323 34 315 42 329 38 325 50937 48767 31 313 37 311 44 313 43 319 48767 46797 31 315 37 309 40 300 41 310 46797 44984 35 318 36 302 37 295 39 307 44984 43301 36 300 36 296 35 298 33 298 43301 41728 38 287 36 293 36 300 29 295 41728 40246 41 289 37 293 38 300 33 299 40246 38844 41 285 37 292 40 302 36 298 38844 37482 38 284 38 289 39 297 39 295 37482 36094 34 295 38 288 38 294 39 294 36094 34651 34 303 36 291 37 294 38 289 34651 33154 33 298 34 294 35 293 36 286 33154 31593 31 293 32 292 32 289 35 285 31593 29956 31 296 32 297 31 293 33 285 29956 28241 33 298 33 300 33 298 33 293 28241 26447 35 298 35 297 34 295 32 293 26447 24572 34 299 34 293 32 284 32 284 24572 22617 33 303 32 289 32 273 32 273 22617 20579 29 297 29 286 30 274 29 277 20579 18456 22 297 21 296 19 277 21 279 18456 16305 19 285 19 296 13 289 11 287 16305 14246 19 264 19 287 14 293 7 296 14246 12379 15 279 15 296 12 278 9 273 12379 10719 12 315 11 314 10 277 11 271 10719 9242 11 331 8 320 8 288 10 273 9242 7925 12 333 6 309 6*274 9 270 7925 6750 13 327 4*328 5*265 9 266 6750 5706 13 338 2*296 5 259 9 262 5706 4784 11 348 1 204 4 241 7 252 4784 3968 9 352 2 185 3 215 6 228 3968 3237 7 355 2 173 3 182 6 185 3237 2592 4*081 2 160 4 158 8*147 2592 2055 5*098 2 155 4 150 10*126 2055 1643 5 100 3 150 5 145 10 121 1643 1359 5 101 3 148 5 144 10 118 1359 1187 5 101 3 146 5 142 10 117 1187 1088 4 102 3 147 4 142 8 116 1088 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography