DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.3 - - 43.4 - - 43.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 7 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 597 - - 289 - - 177 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1667 - - 1359 - - 1247 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1270 - - 1436 - - 1545 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 67 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 227 - - 237 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 497 - - 274 - - 162 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1170 - - 1085 - - 1086 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 180 - - 89 - - -187 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1487 - - 1270 - - 1434 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 43.3 - - 43.4 - - 43.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.1 - - 42.9 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 43.6 - - 43.8 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.9 - - 42.9 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 7 - - -2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 597 - - 289 - - 177 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95679 27 341 24 316 31 335 95679 88814 28 343 26 336 27 346 88814 83462 28 335 36 338 18 331 83462 78962 24 328 35 333 22 330 78962 75045 20 318 31 328 25 333 75045 71553 21 307 29 310 28 329 71553 68380 21 299 26 290 30 318 68380 65463 21 298 25 287 33 309 65463 62753 27 298 29 283 35 288 62753 60110 32 289 31 274 34 274 60110 57320 34 285 36 278 36 276 57320 54405 43 280 43 280 38 280 54405 51616 49 275 47 282 45 283 51616 49113 54 274 58 279 59 279 49113 46874 65 272 68 270 67 276 46874 44838 74 271 73 266 75 275 44838 42976 89 269 83 269 87 272 42976 41273 103 266 98 268 102 271 41273 39700 109 267 114 266 114 269 39700 38237 125 267 127 266 124 264 38237 36867 142 263 136 261 128 261 36867 35549 147 260 141 255 126 258 35549 34217 145 257 145 254 113 259 34217 32842 118 257 122 256 105 262 32842 31425 94 267 105 268 109 262 31425 29947 77 265 104 267 110 265 29947 28393 72 264 103 263 103 269 28393 26765 69 261 102 266 84 274 26765 25064 65 260 88 272 75 281 25064 23289 62 260 67 266 71 285 23289 21443 60 260 64 264 63 285 21443 19522 57 259 65 268 54 280 19522 17520 49 262 56 274 54 276 17520 15482 43 263 46 272 52 277 15482 13516 39 260 40 268 43 278 13516 11726 36 256 38 269 37 274 11726 10135 33 258 34 275 35 275 10135 8721 28 266 30 285 33 279 8721 7463 26 275 27 291 31 283 7463 6345 25 270 25 285 32 286 6345 5355 24 261 24 269 26 283 5355 4492 21 263 26 258 19 274 4492 3739 21 261 25 262 21 268 3739 3066 20 249 24 256 24 268 3066 2471 17 234 21 247 24 267 2471 1976 16*232 18 242 20 261 1976 1596 13*228 16*240 17 255 1596 1334 11 227 13*238 13*249 1334 1176 10 226 11 237 11*248 1176 1086 7 226 8 236 7 246 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography