DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 40.1 - - 39.1 - - 37.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 58 - - 12 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1438 - - 2813 - - 2339 - - 2138 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1703 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2508 - - 3883 - - 3409 - - 3208 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1173 - - 1543 - - 1727 - - 1433 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 229 - - 135 - - 68 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 17 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 353 - - 342 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 487 - - 1430 - - 956 - - 1055 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2021 - - 2453 - - 2453 - - 2153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -229 - - 731 - - 452 - - 374 ODpotential blCL - - - 2737 - - 3152 - - 2957 - - 2834 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 40.1 - - 39.1 - - 37.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.7 - - 33.4 - - 32.4 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 40.1 - - 39.2 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 32.5 - - 31.6 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 58 - - 12 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1438 - - 2813 - - 2339 - - 2138 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 102 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95422 56 262 65 253 70 262 70 270 95422 88629 43 269 38 263 48 269 40 273 88629 83377 34 273 36 271 24 269 32 272 83377 78979 24 278 31 266 17 285 23 273 78979 75132 20 289 21 258 20 276 25 275 75132 71682 18 289 11 259 22 253 27 269 71682 68530 16 273 6 273 19 249 23 262 68530 65608 17 257 9 266 16 257 19 265 65608 62871 15 267 16 256 19 258 16 275 62871 60195 15 292 19 253 21 266 17 281 60195 57388 18 284 18 257 25 274 21 277 57388 54472 21 271 19 270 25 272 22 274 54472 51686 23 269 24 276 23 275 21 277 51686 49177 24 269 27 277 22 286 23 289 49177 46929 21 287 25 275 22 285 25 287 46929 44892 23 305 22 289 18 294 17 289 44892 43031 25 304 21 299 19 305 17 306 43031 41320 23 303 23 303 25 310 23 325 41320 39736 31 295 29 294 31 309 32 322 39736 38258 28 297 29 300 31 312 34 317 38258 36879 33 322 32 316 34 318 36 327 36879 35562 42 323 38 321 41 322 41 336 35562 34237 47 325 44 322 44 327 45 340 34237 32869 53 331 50 325 47 336 49 343 32869 31457 61 332 57 327 56 339 55 343 31457 29982 66 329 62 325 63 334 57 340 29982 28430 67 330 64 326 64 332 57 340 28430 26800 68 331 65 329 62 335 57 342 26800 25094 69 332 64 334 59 343 55 346 25094 23311 70 334 61 336 54 346 51 350 23311 21456 70 336 55 339 46 346 46 351 21456 19521 70 338 49 343 42 347 42 351 19521 17501 68 341 45 346 41 344 41 350 17501 15435 62 342 43 346 40 344 38 350 15435 13441 49 340 41 348 37 345 33 347 13441 11627 37 348 36 350 32 345 28 345 11627 10017 33 001 32 348 27 345 25 347 10017 8592 29 007 27 348 24 346 23 350 8592 7335 22 008 24 352 21 350 21 356 7335 6228 18 005 16 356 19 351 19 355 6228 5259 17 010 15 000 16 347 16 347 5259 4420 22 016 17*359 15 345 16 341 4420 3685 25 013 18*356 15*344 16*337 3685 3027 26*007 18 354 15*343 16*334 3027 2445 25*003 18 353 15 343 16 331 2445 1960 20 355 17 352 14 342 15 329 1960 1587 19 353 17 351 13 342 14 326 1587 1330 17 351 16 351 12 342 12 325 1330 1174 15 350 14 351 11 341 11 323 1174 1085 11 350 11 350 8 340 7 322 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography