DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.1 - - 35.8 - - 42.0 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 188 - - 47 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2146 - - 2005 - - 2707 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2157 - - 2081 - - 1068 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3216 - - 3075 - - 3777 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 595 - - 503 - - 1062 - - 781 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 296 - - 216 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 21 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 209 - - 215 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 6 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -759 - - -865 - - -1730 - - -2462 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3975 - - 3941 - - 5507 - - 3547 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8238 - - -6618 - - -9319 - - -8671 ODpotential blCL - - - 11454 - - 9693 - - 13096 - - 9756 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 91 - - 100 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.1 - - 35.8 - - 42.0 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.0 - - 22.8 - - 22.0 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.3 - - 35.1 - - 42.0 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.9 - - 21.7 - - 20.8 - - 25.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 180 - - 188 - - 47 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2146 - - 2005 - - 2707 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 65 - - 99 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96142 15 252 21 263 21 274 13 276 96142 88849 15 279 14 279 15 288 21 305 88849 83274 20 274 19 282 21 305 19 298 83274 78652 17 279 22 264 28 285 28 303 78652 74663 14 299 17 285 25 276 32 279 74663 71134 37 302 34 297 39 300 30 290 71134 67931 52 291 52 288 55 299 40 306 67931 64995 59 283 59 285 62 292 48 299 64995 62276 60 282 62 284 57 287 52 300 62276 59625 62 292 63 292 59 291 65 298 59625 56836 76 299 74 296 70 291 73 292 56836 53929 92 290 86 293 79 295 77 293 53929 51155 93 286 90 295 85 299 87 300 51155 48668 91 291 94 295 91 297 92 298 48668 46453 91 295 96 292 92 294 93 297 46453 44456 97 296 96 292 94 297 98 298 44456 42643 104 296 99 294 102 300 106 296 42643 40986 109 293 102 296 117 301 108 297 40986 39458 108 295 109 302 126 301 113 298 39458 38039 109 301 125 306 133 302 122 298 38039 36708 124 307 138 307 137 301 125 296 36708 35418 140 307 144 306 136 301 124 297 35418 34100 137 304 139 305 134 301 123 297 34100 32727 124 305 129 305 129 301 121 298 32727 31301 116 306 123 306 122 303 116 300 31301 29812 109 306 119 306 116 304 110 301 29812 28247 106 304 115 306 109 305 104 300 28247 26609 99 299 107 306 102 306 98 299 26609 24898 96 298 96 299 97 306 90 300 24898 23118 93 299 91 295 92 304 80 301 23118 21271 81 301 81 295 88 300 73 299 21271 19351 73 301 75 293 77 299 68 297 19351 17359 64 302 70 290 67 300 60 296 17359 15332 56 304 59 290 64 293 54 296 15332 13374 47 306 42 286 56 286 55 291 13374 11589 39 311 37 282 46 278 50 285 11589 10009 32 312 32 278 39 264 45 282 10009 8613 25 310 27 269 40 258 44 271 8613 7374 21 307 24 261 40 249 46 259 7374 6277 18 302 22 252 39 242 45 250 6277 5310 16 294 21 245 35 235 41 241 5310 4462 13 275 21 237 28*221 35 224 4462 3717 11*240 20*220 24*216 33 215 3717 3050 11*228 17*210 23 215 32 211 3050 2461 11 227 17 209 22 215 30 208 2461 1969 10 226 16 208 20 215 28 205 1969 1591 10 226 16 208 19 215 24 201 1591 1332 9 225 15 208 18 214 18 195 1332 1175 9 225 13 207 15 214 14*193 1175 1085 7 225 11 207 12 213 7*190 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography