DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 62.4 - - 57.9 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 82 - - 19 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 426 - - 2064 - - 3250 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1635 - - 1070 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1496 - - 3134 - - 4320 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 738 - - 1753 - - 1293 - - 4121 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 52 - - 234 - - 169 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 28 - - 27 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 305 - - 309 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -358 - - -2001 - - -201 - - -3364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1854 - - 5135 - - 4521 - - 4450 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5623 - - -5204 - - -2716 - - -5620 ODpotential blCL - - - 7119 - - 8338 - - 7036 - - 6706 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 90 - - 73 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 62.4 - - 57.9 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.8 - - 43.3 - - 41.6 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 62.4 - - 58.1 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.4 - - 42.5 - - 41.2 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 82 - - 19 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 426 - - 2064 - - 3250 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 61 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95294 39 278 32 279 39 272 43 279 95294 88526 36 290 31 297 26 276 27 282 88526 83222 30 295 27 298 28 288 32 299 83222 78766 31 291 26 293 32 292 32 301 78766 74903 25 284 26 290 30 294 28 301 74903 71457 25 301 27 293 30 298 32 299 71457 68311 32 306 26 296 28 291 38 292 68311 65403 39 302 27 299 32 294 35 293 65403 62685 35 306 32 298 38 290 39 308 62685 60032 36 314 50 295 48 295 53 303 60032 57260 50 303 50 288 51 289 63 289 57260 54363 57 300 47 291 58 290 64 277 54363 51575 65 300 49 294 66 294 63 294 51575 49068 65 293 64 292 78 293 75 297 49068 46840 63 291 70 287 81 285 79 292 46840 44828 65 293 78 290 79 281 83 289 44828 42991 79 293 80 292 72 282 88 282 42991 41305 89 286 87 299 72 290 96 285 41305 39739 86 279 104 300 89 296 111 290 39739 38268 83 281 117 295 108 289 122 290 38268 36878 90 286 112 289 110 287 124 285 36878 35535 95 285 105 289 112 288 124 284 35535 34170 92 282 104 293 116 288 123 284 34170 32755 82 279 110 297 119 287 123 285 32755 31294 72 275 115 297 121 285 126 285 31294 29771 67 266 118 295 124 286 134 285 29771 28172 68 262 118 295 124 289 126 282 28172 26503 69 260 113 297 116 289 112 279 26503 24771 70 263 102 297 96 285 98 281 24771 22988 65 265 81 290 82 277 82 282 22988 21156 54 265 69 277 80 272 75 276 21156 19258 53 269 74 267 74 275 71 278 19258 17283 52 271 69 269 66 281 63 281 17283 15268 50 275 66 276 66 284 59 286 15268 13328 47 276 59 283 64 288 57 294 13328 11568 46 277 50 282 52 292 49 297 11568 10009 46 278 48 275 47 298 46 300 10009 8630 46 277 41 273 46 304 43 306 8630 7406 42 276 36 279 45 306 34 315 7406 6320 31 288 40 292 39 309 31 318 6320 5358 32 317 39 302 33 312 33 320 5358 4509 35 319 37 306 30*310 35 319 4509 3758 32 310 37*307 30*310 36 318 3758 3084 29 306 33*307 29 309 36 317 3084 2486 28 307 29 305 28 309 35 315 2486 1987 26 302 28 305 27 309 32 314 1987 1603 21*291 27 305 25 308 28 312 1603 1338 17*287 25 304 23 308 22 309 1338 1178 15 286 22 304 20 307 18*309 1178 1086 10 284 16 304 15 307 11*308 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography