DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 14.8 - - 16.6 - - 18.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 51 - - 27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1320 - - 1260 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1066 - - 1067 - - 1067 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2390 - - 2330 - - 1375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 400 - - 639 - - 1507 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 167 - - 134 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 260 - - 257 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 688 - - 584 - - -79 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1702 - - 1746 - - 1454 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 264 - - 222 - - -702 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2126 - - 2108 - - 2077 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 14.8 - - 16.6 - - 18.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 11.4 - - 13.0 - - 16.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 14.8 - - 16.6 - - 19.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 10.9 - - 12.5 - - 15.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 51 - - 27 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1320 - - 1260 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 93 - - 104 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96373 64 022 51 033 39 024 96373 89405 47 021 49 017 35 019 89405 83928 30 013 32 009 28 014 83928 79280 17 348 18 344 22 341 79280 75235 12 307 16 311 23 310 75235 71627 11 266 25 296 24 303 71627 68322 15 266 30 295 29 299 68322 65269 17 276 32 293 29 288 65269 62435 22 282 29 290 29 277 62435 59669 27 283 26 281 31 276 59669 56746 31 277 29 269 35 277 56746 53675 35 269 37 265 41 278 53675 50729 38 262 43 260 41 276 50729 48084 38 257 45 256 41 272 48084 45732 36 257 41 255 39 265 45732 43617 33 257 40 254 39 258 43617 41686 32 257 38 254 38 259 41686 39907 32 256 36 257 35 258 39907 38258 33 252 33 258 30 266 38258 36724 33 253 28 258 31 275 36724 35294 34 257 23 261 30 271 35294 33928 35 256 20 265 24 273 33928 32560 31 256 20 275 21 291 32560 31162 29 254 21 282 19 305 31162 29737 26 248 22 279 19 323 29737 28271 25 237 20 273 21 335 28271 26754 17 228 17 262 22 324 26754 25192 10 215 14 254 22 308 25192 23580 6 212 8 244 17 306 23580 21908 8 260 2 290 11 303 21908 20173 10 262 5 324 9 315 20173 18366 12 241 6 310 11 344 18366 16485 12 232 7 318 11 351 16485 14567 5 218 7 349 15 352 14567 12718 4 032 7 012 16 352 12718 11036 6 048 8 008 13 347 11036 9550 9 019 11 354 12 337 9550 8241 10 001 7 001 15 341 8241 7075 10 015 10 359 16 346 7075 6035 8 013 12 350 16 346 6035 5113 8 348 11 350 17 344 5113 4302 11 318 12 339 25 336 4302 3587 14 301 15 314 28 323 3587 2951 17*286 19 287 28 306 2951 2390 19*263 20*264 26 292 2390 1923 18 260 19*260 23 284 1923 1565 18 259 18 258 19*277 1565 1318 17 258 16 256 16*272 1318 1169 15 257 14 256 13 270 1169 1083 11 257 11 255 9 268 1083 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography