DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 65.9 - - 67.4 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 109 - - 16 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 293 - - 1958 - - 2397 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1762 - - 1071 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1363 - - 3028 - - 3467 - - 1087 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 274 - - 1693 - - 1397 - - 940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 84 - - 247 - - 150 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 181 - - 179 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1978 - - -2811 - - -2618 - - -2309 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3342 - - 5839 - - 6085 - - 3396 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10571 - - -11165 - - -10074 - - -11067 ODpotential blCL - - - 11934 - - 14193 - - 13541 - - 12154 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 90 - - 96 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 65.9 - - 67.4 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 44.5 - - 44.9 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 65.4 - - 67.6 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 43.7 - - 44.3 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 109 - - 16 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 293 - - 1958 - - 2397 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 60 - - 85 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97381 13 227 13 293 7 284 10 295 97381 90182 5 094 2 324 4 094 3 240 90182 84625 9 063 7 118 8 136 4 159 84625 79999 9 070 8 115 6 133 6 100 79999 76016 11 084 5 120 5 178 5 095 76016 72504 11 099 5 125 7 194 5 121 72504 69316 8 128 5 113 5 192 4 116 69316 66376 9 142 4 149 8 211 3 283 66376 63650 3 119 6 147 9 185 9 234 63650 61017 8 299 2 050 6 220 10 223 61017 58280 12 284 6 283 9 237 13 231 58280 55455 14 294 11 283 10 262 15 233 55455 52759 23 298 22 288 20 287 14 275 52759 50329 26 295 24 289 28 289 28 285 50329 48150 23 296 26 289 29 285 30 281 48150 46171 21 293 23 283 29 285 28 276 46171 44352 19 300 27 285 28 291 28 283 44352 42672 25 309 32 289 35 296 36 289 42672 41113 33 304 35 288 42 293 35 286 41113 39657 37 303 29 292 40 294 29 290 39657 38287 39 294 28 296 32 300 25 291 38287 36957 38 285 28 285 26 307 18 295 36957 35597 33 285 27 270 23 327 18 287 35597 34180 27 291 24 276 21 344 19 283 34180 32706 22 295 23 277 19 318 18 283 32706 31163 13 288 21 265 22 288 13 286 31163 29543 10 286 20 256 19 277 13 271 29543 27848 10 290 16 252 17 277 14 259 27848 26075 15 291 19 256 16 283 13 267 26075 24228 18 281 18 271 17 275 19 270 24228 22305 19 289 15 291 16 268 23 272 22305 20302 18 298 12 307 14 278 22 270 20302 18215 14 314 8 321 11 296 16 269 18215 16083 21 332 11 327 11 310 12 276 16083 14023 13 319 10 339 10 312 10 272 14023 12146 9 311 11 301 9 304 9 251 12146 10480 8 318 8 276 10 284 9 250 10480 9006 6 264 10 250 10 268 13 258 9006 7700 9 236 10 239 10 251 13 257 7700 6544 12 225 13 227 13 239 12 250 6544 5524 12 205 13 208 15 223 14 240 5524 4628 15 183 17 197 16 206 17 227 4628 3842 18 187 19 191 17*187 18 214 3842 3142 19 196 18*188 16*181 22 197 3142 2525 20 196 16*183 16 180 23 187 2525 2011 20 191 15 181 16 179 21 183 2011 1616 18*185 14 181 15 179 19 178 1616 1345 11*176 13 180 14 179 15 173 1345 1180 10 174 12 179 12 178 12*171 1180 1087 8 174 9 179 9 178 5*168 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography