DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 70.1 - - 75.8 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 374 - - 206 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2156 - - 2854 - - 3542 - - 406 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2271 - - 2941 - - 3250 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3226 - - 3924 - - 4612 - - 1476 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 646 - - 626 - - 870 - - 3683 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 326 - - 419 - - 373 - - 52 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 19 - - 18 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 207 - - 207 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2468 - - -1095 - - -1658 - - -3907 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5694 - - 5019 - - 6270 - - 5383 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8093 - - -5065 - - -4358 - - -7128 ODpotential blCL - - - 11319 - - 8989 - - 8970 - - 8604 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 72 - - 66 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 20 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 70.1 - - 75.8 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 51.7 - - 51.9 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 68.6 - - 74.9 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 51.0 - - 51.1 - - 53.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 374 - - 206 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2156 - - 2854 - - 3542 - - 406 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98285 4 141 7 157 2 195 8 265 98285 90810 6 134 8 189 10 230 10 311 90810 85082 8 116 6 149 7 246 8 270 85082 80338 5 119 1 018 7 220 12 235 80338 76231 3 226 6 271 7 230 8 227 76231 72604 4 237 7 284 5 294 2 271 72604 69325 5 224 9 281 7 308 8 331 69325 66306 4 237 11 259 8 295 10 299 66306 63497 4 306 11 269 11 313 9 270 63497 60764 7 317 13 283 16 299 12 296 60764 57936 19 319 12 287 17 275 11 303 57936 55049 22 315 17 323 14 284 11 263 55049 52299 26 323 20 309 18 295 7 264 52299 49804 30 312 27 296 28 292 22 297 49804 47566 38 301 31 279 36 279 34 289 47566 45535 32 293 28 279 30 266 37 272 45535 43669 34 295 34 291 26 275 39 261 43669 41946 49 288 46 277 38 277 38 268 41946 40365 54 280 46 267 47 272 45 266 40365 38909 47 277 43 267 55 261 50 261 38909 37547 47 283 44 269 53 257 53 267 37547 36235 51 286 47 268 52 262 57 265 36235 34900 51 286 50 269 55 268 57 266 34900 33511 47 282 54 271 62 271 56 267 33511 32071 42 273 57 271 62 271 54 266 32071 30568 47 266 55 270 57 268 54 266 30568 28990 51 267 53 269 53 266 55 265 28990 27335 49 266 51 269 51 267 56 265 27335 25603 45 266 50 271 49 269 55 266 25603 23796 46 269 49 274 47 272 53 268 23796 21917 49 272 50 277 44 274 50 271 21917 19966 48 278 48 276 44 279 47 275 19966 17938 41 278 42 279 48 283 45 279 17938 15873 33 276 39 282 45 285 45 279 15873 13881 27 291 28 286 43 290 39 277 13881 12065 25 302 24 295 34 291 34 278 12065 10446 22 296 25 302 24 283 25 280 10446 9007 18 277 23 300 20 284 17 279 9007 7725 24 248 20 282 18 285 13 268 7725 6586 22 234 19 268 17 276 14 248 6586 5573 20 242 19 243 16 257 16 233 5573 4680 23 245 20*227 18*214 21 215 4680 3891 24*229 19*211 19*210 22 210 3891 3184 22*208 20 209 19 208 22 208 3184 2557 22 206 20 207 19 207 22 206 2557 2033 22 205 19 207 18 206 21 205 2033 1630 21 204 19 206 18 205 19*203 1630 1353 19 204 18 205 17 205 17*202 1353 1184 18 203 16 205 16 204 14 202 1184 1087 14 203 13 204 12 203 10 200 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography