DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 59.0 - - 60.2 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 81 - - 34 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 662 - - 2828 - - 3772 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 2232 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1732 - - 3898 - - 4842 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1180 - - 2829 - - 1737 - - 1161 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 261 - - 223 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 22 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 041 - - 186 - - 204 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2451 - - -1510 - - -215 - - -1198 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4184 - - 5408 - - 5057 - - 2284 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13564 - - -11116 - - -8469 - - -3542 ODpotential blCL - - - 15296 - - 15014 - - 13311 - - 4628 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 87 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.9 - - 59.0 - - 60.2 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.9 - - 39.4 - - 42.1 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 58.7 - - 60.2 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 38.1 - - 40.9 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 53 - - 81 - - 34 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 662 - - 2828 - - 3772 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 47 - - 8 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97912 18 270 25 232 30 236 35 253 97912 90552 20 253 21 252 20 257 22 266 90552 84881 15 245 21 254 18 270 15 283 84881 80174 11 281 14 241 20 268 16 296 80174 76119 12 301 11 241 16 273 16 285 76119 72528 16 309 15 289 14 282 16 293 72528 69282 24 303 22 299 17 282 17 294 69282 66300 26 291 27 301 18 296 16 305 66300 63523 30 295 32 293 28 295 24 315 63523 60822 35 290 35 288 36 293 35 306 60822 58014 38 286 39 290 40 291 40 294 58014 55123 45 299 47 293 45 293 46 290 55123 52377 63 297 54 290 54 291 53 289 52377 49911 68 293 60 287 61 287 56 288 49911 47701 71 291 65 287 63 285 57 285 47701 45697 73 290 70 289 62 285 58 283 45697 43870 75 294 71 290 63 284 61 283 43870 42194 78 302 70 292 65 285 62 283 42194 40642 84 308 71 294 66 286 60 283 40642 39191 86 311 72 296 65 286 59 282 39191 37823 81 312 72 299 63 287 58 282 37823 36498 75 312 69 301 62 290 57 283 36498 35149 72 311 67 301 62 290 55 282 35149 33746 69 311 66 301 60 289 51 284 33746 32293 66 311 65 301 58 290 48 287 32293 30773 62 313 63 301 55 292 46 288 30773 29175 58 315 62 301 53 293 42 291 29175 27499 54 316 59 299 53 294 40 293 27499 25745 53 311 56 299 52 295 40 297 25745 23913 54 307 54 301 49 298 40 298 23913 22001 53 302 51 301 46 301 38 295 22001 20008 50 299 47 298 44 303 37 296 20008 17929 45 298 42 294 43 302 35 301 17929 15811 40 298 36 294 41 299 36 304 15811 13772 37 300 31 296 37 300 37 304 13772 11920 36 305 28 301 32 303 34 308 11920 10282 35 307 27 304 28 304 31 314 10282 8834 30 312 23 306 26 304 29 315 8834 7556 26 320 17 307 20 293 25 303 7556 6432 25 320 12 290 13 273 19 279 6432 5442 21 324 10 277 9*263 15 255 5442 4572 17 316 6*281 5*245 12 234 4572 3802 13 305 3*271 3 208 9 218 3802 3113 6 323 2 191 2 197 6 197 3113 2504 5 044 3 177 2 190 7 155 2504 1996 7*046 2 173 2 183 11 133 1996 1608 7*043 3 169 2 175 13 122 1608 1341 6 041 2 168 1 170 13 117 1341 1179 5 040 2 165 1 170 10 114 1179 1086 5 039 2 166 1 170 5*111 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography