DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 47.1 - - 46.0 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 16 - - 16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 15 - - 2261 - - 1583 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1085 - - 3331 - - 2653 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 762 - - 1947 - - 1303 - - 612 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 8 - - 142 - - 125 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 083 - - 338 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -7 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -386 - - 1297 - - 868 - - -144 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1471 - - 2034 - - 1785 - - 1230 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2011 - - 565 - - 394 - - -2149 ODpotential blCL - - - 3096 - - 2766 - - 2259 - - 3234 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.6 - - 47.1 - - 46.0 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 42.0 - - 41.9 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 47.1 - - 46.0 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 41.2 - - 41.3 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 16 - - 16 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 15 - - 2261 - - 1583 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95796 48 267 45 262 42 264 40 270 95796 88832 29 295 25 268 27 271 24 283 88832 83418 17 300 15 282 13 285 16 292 83418 78881 16 290 17 298 13 325 13 296 78881 74954 16 302 15 300 17 331 11 312 74954 71452 15 302 11 306 19 324 15 333 71452 68240 15 294 17 308 21 309 25 324 68240 65265 11 290 19 307 21 304 29 316 65265 62494 12 320 19 306 23 309 28 309 62494 59794 22 307 22 305 26 306 26 302 59794 56956 33 299 27 300 30 294 27 303 56956 53997 37 288 31 291 32 285 38 304 53997 51175 40 279 33 285 36 287 44 296 51175 48646 40 277 37 281 39 290 43 292 48646 46383 40 280 39 275 42 288 41 291 46383 44331 42 281 37 274 42 282 39 290 44331 42450 47 276 38 277 42 279 38 290 42450 40715 49 272 39 277 41 279 40 292 40715 39113 52 271 40 275 37 280 42 294 39113 37629 55 264 40 270 33 282 42 294 37629 36248 53 249 40 267 32 282 42 295 36248 34933 51 247 39 263 26 287 41 297 34933 33618 46 244 38 261 22 292 39 300 33618 32270 34 238 41 258 20 291 36 303 32270 30885 18 263 31 224 23 279 34 305 30885 29444 20 264 24 223 27 252 34 305 29444 27932 24 261 32 230 23 246 33 302 27932 26344 28 257 36 229 26 260 32 301 26344 24680 30 254 30 230 27 269 31 302 24680 22942 31 251 17 228 26 282 29 304 22942 21133 31 247 7 276 21 291 30 314 21133 19249 31 243 16 322 19 299 36 324 19249 17280 28 239 15 322 20 312 37 329 17280 15268 23 235 11 317 13 314 31 320 15268 13329 19 236 8 304 10 320 24 311 13329 11568 16 240 5 310 10 328 21 315 11568 10011 13 244 5 294 15 339 25 334 10011 8635 12 237 6 263 21 347 24 337 8635 7409 7 236 5 222 22 347 20 340 7409 6318 7 341 3 166 13 004 21 340 6318 5351 16 000 3 066 9 356 20 334 5351 4499 18 004 3 054 7 335 18 325 4499 3747 16 006 3*058 5 332 16 318 3747 3073 12 009 3*066 4*343 16 316 3073 2477 7 014 3 077 3*342 16 316 2477 1979 4 020 2 086 3 339 16 313 1979 1597 0 047 2 092 2 334 15 308 1597 1335 2 214 2 093 2 335 13 308 1335 1176 4 220 2 098 2 336 10 309 1176 1085 2*205 2 100 2 335 5*308 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography