DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 21.1 - - 21.1 - - 21.6 - - 13.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 66 - - 9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1899 - - 1440 - - 1516 - - 13 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1067 - - 1067 - - 1067 - - 1067 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2969 - - 2510 - - 2586 - - 1083 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 352 - - 750 - - 966 - - 444 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 134 - - 188 - - 98 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 317 - - 319 - - 332 - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 924 - - 93 - - -36 - - -976 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2045 - - 2417 - - 2622 - - 2060 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 542 - - -8289 - - -7974 - - -10152 ODpotential blCL - - - 2427 - - 10799 - - 10560 - - 11235 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 83 - - 88 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 21.1 - - 21.1 - - 21.6 - - 13.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.2 - - 14.5 - - 14.1 - - 8.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.3 - - 20.8 - - 21.9 - - 18.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.7 - - 13.4 - - 13.3 - - 12.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 66 - - 9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1899 - - 1440 - - 1516 - - 13 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 31 - - 52 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96279 27 069 26 111 20 104 16 107 96279 89015 7 041 8 122 8 079 4 152 89015 83418 8 007 4 237 5 293 8 221 83418 78749 14 295 13 258 14 277 12 284 78749 74706 19 263 20 276 25 273 22 276 74706 71127 22 271 31 264 33 262 39 278 71127 67871 35 279 40 267 48 260 43 273 67871 64858 50 277 48 265 51 268 54 278 64858 62071 60 276 59 270 60 274 64 276 62071 59382 69 268 66 270 64 272 66 270 59382 56563 68 263 66 268 66 264 67 264 56563 53602 70 267 65 262 70 258 67 264 53602 50747 76 269 67 257 72 261 72 267 50747 48167 82 268 72 261 79 264 79 268 48167 45860 84 267 82 264 84 262 83 267 45860 43773 85 267 87 262 83 261 83 265 43773 41866 86 267 86 261 81 263 81 264 41866 40107 85 266 85 261 81 265 79 265 40107 38476 82 267 79 262 78 263 82 265 38476 36963 82 269 73 267 74 262 84 264 36963 35555 83 271 73 269 74 264 84 263 35555 34210 78 270 70 268 75 266 81 262 34210 32865 70 270 71 271 72 268 75 262 32865 31497 63 271 75 270 70 267 71 262 31497 30108 60 273 78 274 67 261 69 262 30108 28678 59 276 80 275 62 259 64 264 28678 27189 60 283 76 276 60 260 60 264 27189 25630 61 290 71 278 55 262 58 264 25630 23998 65 296 65 279 52 269 60 265 23998 22298 61 294 59 279 53 267 59 270 22298 20531 59 288 55 279 50 263 59 273 20531 18688 55 284 47 281 44 266 53 274 18688 16766 49 287 43 283 41 265 43 276 16766 14807 46 288 42 271 40 264 34 285 14807 12925 46 283 42 264 39 266 31 269 12925 11214 44 278 41 259 35 264 33 268 11214 9691 39 278 40 254 35 261 28 270 9691 8336 34 282 37 252 34 261 25 265 8336 7132 30 284 30 255 31 257 22 265 7132 6067 27 295 23 260 24 247 20 256 6067 5130 21 303 16 271 15 244 14 242 5130 4312 15 304 12 284 8 260 9 224 4312 3597 13*315 10 287 5 284 7 212 3597 2959 12*318 7*297 2*307 6 198 2959 2397 12 317 6*315 2*323 4 166 2397 1927 11 317 6 318 2 331 2 104 1927 1567 11 316 5 320 2 333 4 065 1567 1320 10 316 5 321 2 336 5 054 1320 1169 9 315 5 321 2 337 5 048 1169 1083 7 315 4 321 2 337 4*041 1083 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography