DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.8 - - 34.6 - - 34.9 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 22 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 419 - - 423 - - 614 - - 570 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1068 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1489 - - 1493 - - 1684 - - 1640 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1324 - - 1191 - - 1182 - - 1111 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 87 - - 64 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 13 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 094 - - 085 - - 062 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 404 - - 409 - - 487 - - 337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1085 - - 1084 - - 1197 - - 1303 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 222 - - 302 - - 142 - - -155 ODpotential blCL - - - 1267 - - 1191 - - 1542 - - 1795 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.8 - - 34.6 - - 34.9 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 34.1 - - 33.6 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 34.8 - - 35.2 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 33.9 - - 33.4 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 22 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 419 - - 423 - - 614 - - 570 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 103 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95874 37 319 30 306 39 302 36 300 95874 88991 34 327 30 320 31 292 41 321 88991 83645 35 328 29 326 27 318 36 325 83645 79156 29 325 28 320 33 328 26 333 79156 75239 27 328 27 314 33 319 28 336 75239 71740 25 323 25 313 28 312 28 319 71740 68548 23 322 24 311 25 300 25 302 68548 65584 25 310 27 309 28 296 24 302 65584 62816 27 298 32 297 34 294 34 302 62816 60145 35 293 34 286 39 293 41 292 60145 57367 38 291 36 281 41 289 40 285 57367 54473 40 292 35 281 41 282 42 287 54473 51693 40 290 36 281 40 281 44 286 51693 49181 39 285 41 282 42 285 46 287 49181 46934 45 272 43 279 44 283 47 285 46934 44899 52 269 42 278 40 273 44 284 44899 43035 49 264 41 276 34 281 40 292 43035 41317 33 262 39 276 41 292 40 297 41317 39729 25 265 43 273 46 293 38 301 39729 38254 31 256 43 254 35 294 33 304 38254 36878 33 247 35 243 30 313 30 314 36878 35559 29 241 21 242 34 326 37 323 35559 34232 24 228 15 246 32 335 41 323 34232 32862 16 201 12 253 30 357 42 323 32862 31446 12 178 11 260 33 017 40 326 31446 29965 10 166 11 253 39 030 36 329 29965 28410 9 179 12 230 32 021 34 329 28410 26779 12 219 9 229 17 014 31 328 26779 25072 20 235 13 242 10 008 28 326 25072 23287 25 237 18 236 11 004 26 325 23287 21427 25 231 20 232 11 357 24 330 21427 19489 27 225 22 243 10 332 20 339 19489 17468 29 235 26 248 14 294 14 342 17468 15410 28 256 27 247 16 281 10 332 15410 13432 21 258 24 246 15 280 9 319 13432 11634 19 259 19 252 16 299 14 304 11634 10037 23 254 15 256 18 290 10 327 10037 8625 11 203 13 244 16 267 11 332 8625 7372 8 160 8 177 5 213 9 304 7372 6261 9 192 10 144 8 173 3 013 6261 5288 15 186 15 143 8 172 7 023 5288 4436 11 147 18 133 9 116 8 061 4436 3689 17 122 18 120 13 094 13 083 3689 3024 24 112 19 102 16 085 18 084 3024 2440 25 102 20 090 16 074 19 076 2440 1956 24 099 19 088 15*068 18*071 1956 1584 22*097 18*086 14*064 16*068 1584 1329 19*095 15*085 12 062 13 065 1329 1173 16 094 13 085 10 061 11 064 1173 1084 12 093 10 084 8 061 7 063 1084 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography