DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 59.3 - - 58.4 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 127 - - 22 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 303 - - 1949 - - 1503 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1070 - - 1857 - - 1070 - - 1070 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1373 - - 3019 - - 2573 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 628 - - 627 - - 732 - - 1633 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 42 - - 259 - - 135 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 159 - - 189 - - 222 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 3 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1066 - - 27 - - -483 - - -1249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2439 - - 2992 - - 3056 - - 2335 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6730 - - -4348 - - -4737 - - -5479 ODpotential blCL - - - 8103 - - 7367 - - 7310 - - 6565 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 99 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 80 - - 50 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 59.3 - - 58.4 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.6 - - 50.2 - - 49.1 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 58.8 - - 58.5 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 49.6 - - 48.7 - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 127 - - 22 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 303 - - 1949 - - 1503 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 65 - - 95 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95804 52 258 67 256 69 262 75 271 95804 88966 44 281 47 255 46 270 51 274 88966 83632 38 285 36 266 36 274 36 279 83632 79175 33 284 34 279 34 278 31 279 79175 75307 34 273 36 288 33 280 32 277 75307 71854 36 269 38 290 31 290 34 277 71854 68697 36 268 37 285 33 293 33 283 68697 65763 32 273 35 282 35 284 33 283 65763 63014 34 286 34 285 35 273 33 275 63014 60341 41 283 33 288 33 278 33 281 60341 57560 40 274 36 270 40 270 37 274 57560 54689 42 272 34 265 39 266 36 272 54689 51962 50 279 39 276 42 272 39 277 51962 49519 60 267 48 266 46 266 42 274 49519 47341 54 265 45 269 43 265 37 273 47341 45381 48 276 47 275 43 270 36 270 45381 43608 58 279 61 269 54 263 44 269 43608 41995 84 268 78 251 68 247 47 242 41995 40497 91 262 73 255 65 243 42 250 40497 39080 90 265 74 259 58 252 41 260 39080 37732 78 271 72 260 53 250 42 255 37732 36418 71 274 68 267 49 254 44 247 36418 35078 73 272 61 270 50 272 39 245 35078 33680 68 275 53 268 47 270 35 268 33680 32230 54 281 49 268 42 267 34 281 32230 30715 50 283 46 275 38 272 28 269 30715 29123 46 280 43 279 35 280 22 266 29123 27453 42 279 38 284 31 289 17 272 27453 25705 38 274 31 286 24 291 14 265 25705 23878 37 278 28 267 22 282 13 257 23878 21976 32 275 25 268 21 288 11 281 21976 19997 17 263 18 279 17 283 6 314 19997 17939 15 261 17 283 11 273 4 283 17939 15844 16 288 13 273 10 266 6 256 15844 13828 15 309 8 246 12 257 11 233 13828 11997 18 299 7 237 10 228 22 238 11997 10372 20 300 6 264 9 200 23 239 10372 8928 14 273 8 251 11 198 19 244 8928 7645 15 247 8 213 13 215 15 245 7645 6505 11 246 9 195 13 243 16 249 6505 5496 9 203 18 207 16 252 18 266 5496 4609 16 182 18 210 17 242 15 267 4609 3825 17 188 18 189 19 229 16 249 3825 3126 18 194 16*189 17*223 14 223 3126 2512 20 187 14*189 9*220 11 184 2512 2003 22 174 14 189 8 223 11 179 2003 1612 19*166 13 189 7 223 10 182 1612 1343 13*161 12 189 6 224 9 183 1343 1179 11 159 11 190 6 224 7 181 1179 1086 7 158 9 189 5 224 3*173 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography