DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 1.3 - - 5.5 - - 9.5 - - 9.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 87 - - 39 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1052 - - 1387 - - 1880 - - 173 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1065 - - 1066 - - 1066 - - 1067 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2122 - - 2457 - - 2950 - - 1243 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 442 - - 535 - - 543 - - 1989 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 202 - - 171 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 248 - - 233 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 118 - - 440 - - 974 - - -381 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2004 - - 2017 - - 1976 - - 1624 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12758 - - -11036 - - 650 - - -1033 ODpotential blCL - - - 14880 - - 13493 - - 2300 - - 2276 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 91 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 1.3 - - 5.5 - - 9.5 - - 9.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -3.4 - - 0.7 - - 4.8 - - 6.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 1.5 - - 5.4 - - 9.5 - - 10.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -3.6 - - 0.0 - - 4.1 - - 6.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 87 - - 39 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1052 - - 1387 - - 1880 - - 173 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 63 - - 102 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96122 24 340 24 353 17 321 20 305 96122 89109 20 323 25 310 18 314 19 291 89109 83609 19 303 18 279 23 307 22 288 83609 78959 20 307 17 274 24 282 25 288 78959 74904 23 300 20 287 23 274 28 291 74904 71297 25 288 28 281 27 277 32 275 71297 68005 31 284 32 273 30 277 31 264 68005 64954 37 278 33 269 36 281 39 277 64954 62132 37 274 34 267 43 276 42 270 62132 59384 36 280 35 270 44 271 42 269 59384 56482 42 277 41 275 51 277 49 272 56482 53448 41 275 55 275 59 270 53 275 53448 50548 45 275 53 265 63 270 65 273 50548 47945 43 272 43 266 63 265 68 261 47945 45614 38 281 43 275 56 260 61 251 45614 43496 43 286 49 278 50 265 53 258 43496 41556 49 283 54 275 52 273 53 261 41556 39770 50 278 53 273 57 274 47 265 39770 38117 47 276 49 274 55 273 48 274 38117 36581 42 275 46 275 52 270 53 272 36581 35150 39 272 45 273 50 267 54 268 35150 33781 37 270 44 270 48 267 50 267 33781 32409 34 273 41 267 45 266 45 268 32409 31005 29 272 35 259 42 263 41 268 31005 29576 30 261 32 254 40 261 39 270 29576 28114 32 265 31 263 40 260 39 266 28114 26616 34 264 31 268 38 259 36 250 26616 25073 30 256 33 264 36 261 36 240 25073 23469 29 246 32 255 32 264 32 241 23469 21796 32 248 32 261 31 266 27 250 21796 20055 29 256 30 271 31 266 27 255 20055 18242 28 265 31 268 33 264 27 262 18242 16351 29 276 30 261 34 264 27 269 16351 14423 28 280 26 263 31 263 28 272 14423 12574 25 279 25 260 28 259 27 275 12574 10904 23 274 23 257 27 263 28 280 10904 9428 25 262 21 255 28 261 30 281 9428 8120 27 257 23 253 22 255 25 280 8120 6958 25 252 25 252 19 263 21 281 6958 5929 24 251 25 252 22 267 23 281 5929 5024 22 252 25 256 24 269 25 277 5024 4230 22 252 26 261 24 264 24 269 4230 3533 22 256 26 261 22*256 22 259 3533 2912 22 259 24*256 17*236 21 247 2912 2364 21*253 18*249 16 233 20 237 2364 1907 20*252 18 248 15 232 19 233 1907 1555 19 251 17 247 14 232 17 229 1555 1313 17 250 15 247 13 231 13*227 1313 1167 15 250 14 247 12 231 11*226 1167 1083 11 249 11 247 9 231 7 226 1083 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography