DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.1 - - 73.1 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 47 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1568 - - 1569 - - 17 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1685 - - 1071 - - 1071 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2638 - - 2639 - - 1087 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 545 - - 608 - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 256 - - 179 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 198 - - 198 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1420 - - -1884 - - -821 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4058 - - 4524 - - 1908 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6828 - - -6587 - - -7421 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9466 - - 9226 - - 8508 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 64 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.1 - - 73.1 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.9 - - 57.0 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.4 - - 73.0 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.2 - - 56.4 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 47 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1568 - - 1569 - - 17 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97416 23 299 37 293 36 282 97416 90267 17 271 25 276 29 278 90267 84704 20 277 25 281 33 280 84704 80056 30 278 29 281 35 289 80056 76057 21 269 26 266 27 294 76057 72523 9 279 24 260 27 302 72523 69338 13 299 27 281 28 306 69338 66436 21 298 24 291 24 297 66436 63752 27 282 21 280 24 282 63752 61130 30 273 23 275 33 277 61130 58383 37 281 36 280 40 284 58383 55543 47 274 45 282 49 283 55543 52846 40 272 50 271 43 274 52846 50408 36 293 45 271 32 293 50408 48206 51 305 46 293 59 305 48206 46210 59 299 59 300 73 303 46210 44376 54 291 64 303 77 300 44376 42674 46 285 64 303 78 302 42674 41086 42 283 59 299 80 303 41086 39594 37 282 53 296 69 303 39594 38188 32 292 54 294 56 308 38188 36835 35 309 42 304 47 313 36835 35469 44 325 43 325 46 315 35469 34056 45 328 50 318 51 311 34056 32592 51 332 53 311 47 310 32592 31061 47 335 47 317 42 305 31061 29449 33 319 38 323 44 302 29449 27758 30 293 37 318 40 307 27758 25989 30 295 37 316 36 310 25989 24141 27 298 35 314 31 298 24141 22222 25 290 26 306 27 294 22222 20229 22 281 17 300 24 292 20229 18157 21 282 17 295 19 288 18157 16052 19 284 16 298 18 290 16052 14029 17 280 16 296 18 293 14029 12187 17 260 21 282 19 289 12187 10545 14 245 23 265 20 280 10545 9084 11 241 20 252 21 270 9084 7785 9 251 17 252 21 265 7785 6631 7 261 14 251 20 261 6631 5608 7 262 12 246 18 252 5608 4702 7 251 12 250 18 247 4702 3901 12 233 14 241 19 245 3901 3184 16*209 14*217 21 230 3184 2553 15*199 13*200 21 212 2553 2029 14 198 12 199 20 201 2029 1627 14 198 12 198 19 195 1627 1351 13 197 11 197 16 189 1351 1183 12 197 10 197 13 186 1183 1087 10 197 8 197 6*180 1087 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography