DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 55.4 - - 57.0 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 76 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 155 - - 1163 - - 2185 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1070 - - 1070 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1225 - - 2233 - - 3255 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 289 - - 1306 - - 1671 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 53 - - 187 - - 84 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 327 - - 283 - - 287 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1781 - - -2651 - - -2708 - - -1909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3006 - - 4884 - - 5963 - - 2995 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10358 - - -8729 - - -8846 - - -8910 ODpotential blCL - - - 11583 - - 10962 - - 12101 - - 9996 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 52 - - 48 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 55.4 - - 57.0 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.1 - - 38.0 - - 34.8 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 55.0 - - 57.6 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.1 - - 36.7 - - 33.7 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 76 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 155 - - 1163 - - 2185 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95861 53 254 54 263 53 250 53 259 95861 88889 25 272 28 260 38 261 32 268 88889 83468 18 276 20 259 22 274 22 275 83468 78933 14 283 17 258 20 283 22 294 78933 75007 9 289 17 255 18 286 18 297 75007 71503 10 288 14 257 19 274 22 295 71503 68307 10 299 9 269 16 260 19 285 68307 65354 24 287 24 302 20 294 18 304 65354 62603 34 271 32 283 32 281 29 300 62603 59930 32 272 38 278 38 279 33 297 59930 57148 41 279 43 277 40 274 44 286 57148 54273 48 282 47 282 44 271 47 275 54273 51530 56 280 55 282 49 272 49 270 51530 49062 60 279 63 279 56 273 53 273 49062 46856 65 278 65 278 61 277 64 278 46856 44854 68 282 67 282 72 274 70 269 44854 43034 80 285 79 281 78 273 68 269 43034 41378 91 279 92 277 89 277 69 280 41378 39854 95 278 98 275 99 278 78 285 39854 38430 97 279 98 276 101 278 88 284 38430 37089 97 279 95 279 98 279 89 283 37089 35790 96 278 93 281 95 280 87 284 35790 34465 95 280 93 282 92 280 84 283 34465 33088 95 281 92 281 90 281 80 281 33088 31663 93 282 91 282 88 282 75 278 31663 30176 92 287 89 283 85 283 70 277 30176 28613 88 284 86 290 83 285 65 283 28613 26974 86 282 80 293 81 293 62 285 26974 25257 76 286 75 288 73 293 61 286 25257 23465 66 289 69 288 68 291 54 290 23465 21599 61 292 54 292 64 296 50 289 21599 19656 52 294 47 291 54 298 48 291 19656 17631 41 290 40 287 44 292 41 295 17631 15567 37 287 35 284 38 285 36 290 15567 13582 35 294 31 287 33 283 31 286 13582 11782 33 302 28 291 28 283 26 283 11782 10187 27 311 26 294 26 285 23 278 10187 8773 24 311 24 297 25 290 22 283 8773 7518 22 309 24 300 23 294 20 287 7518 6404 22 309 23 303 22 297 17 289 6404 5419 21 310 21 304 21 298 16 293 5419 4553 20 311 19 299 19 294 16 293 4553 3788 18 310 19 298 17*289 15 292 3788 3104 15 310 17 297 15*287 14 294 3104 2500 14 323 14*293 14 287 14 296 2500 1995 15 337 10*284 13 287 13 298 1995 1607 15 336 9 283 12 287 12 298 1607 1340 13*332 9 282 11 288 11 295 1340 1178 10*328 8 281 10 288 7*286 1178 1086 6 325 7 281 7 288 4*279 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography