DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.0 - - 40.8 - - 42.5 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 190 - - 35 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 417 - - 2093 - - 2190 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 2134 - - 1069 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1487 - - 3163 - - 3260 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1276 - - 710 - - 849 - - 1974 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 298 - - 172 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 355 - - 318 - - 296 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3390 - - -3087 - - -3820 - - -4430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4877 - - 6250 - - 7080 - - 5516 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16351 - - -14561 - - -15214 - - -16765 ODpotential blCL - - - 17838 - - 17724 - - 18474 - - 17850 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 55 - - 96 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.0 - - 40.8 - - 42.5 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.8 - - 17.4 - - 15.5 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.8 - - 39.9 - - 42.5 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.6 - - 17.0 - - 15.2 - - 15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 65 - - 190 - - 35 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 417 - - 2093 - - 2190 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 85 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95684 28 312 36 310 33 297 33 302 95684 88812 23 325 32 315 31 312 33 314 88812 83464 30 335 28 316 32 315 35 318 83464 78978 29 336 24 325 28 313 32 316 78978 75073 24 327 23 326 27 316 26 314 75073 71585 24 321 25 308 26 315 26 316 71585 68403 28 320 28 308 29 310 27 314 68403 65464 31 312 28 308 29 301 28 310 65464 62725 34 307 30 305 30 302 30 305 62725 60058 39 296 35 298 37 297 36 302 60058 57267 40 297 40 293 40 290 42 292 57267 54368 44 295 47 287 46 286 48 289 54368 51601 46 299 49 284 47 284 50 282 51601 49108 51 300 48 287 47 283 44 282 49108 46871 53 295 48 288 52 279 49 280 46871 44846 54 295 50 289 56 272 52 278 44846 42997 61 298 61 289 54 271 53 276 42997 41299 74 294 70 287 52 273 47 273 41299 39728 81 294 70 285 50 275 44 277 39728 38268 88 293 69 285 52 273 42 284 38268 36905 90 293 70 287 54 271 46 288 36905 35598 90 293 77 281 62 270 57 287 35598 34276 91 292 82 277 64 275 67 286 34276 32904 92 292 82 278 61 276 70 285 32904 31482 93 293 79 280 57 279 68 284 31482 29996 91 296 77 282 63 278 61 282 29996 28438 83 297 76 284 66 279 54 287 28438 26806 74 297 72 286 66 284 51 287 26806 25095 72 297 62 289 64 289 49 289 25095 23305 69 302 60 291 57 291 46 287 23305 21442 63 302 59 295 53 291 45 286 21442 19501 59 304 55 298 49 296 45 287 19501 17479 56 305 49 301 48 297 44 286 17479 15420 54 305 49 301 54 296 44 288 15420 13436 52 307 50 303 52 297 45 292 13436 11631 45 307 45 307 44 304 44 295 11631 10028 37 310 37 308 36 308 37 298 10028 8612 30 314 29 308 28 305 32 298 8612 7360 26 315 23 308 22 303 27 299 7360 6257 23 314 19 312 19 304 20 308 6257 5287 23 313 16 318 14 307 14 320 5287 4438 23 317 14 321 9 307 8 325 4438 3694 20 323 12*321 5*293 2 285 3694 3032 14 329 7*317 4*293 2 135 3032 2449 10 339 6 318 4 295 3 098 2449 1962 9 351 6 318 3 296 5 074 1962 1588 8*354 6 317 3 296 6 064 1588 1330 7*355 6 318 3 297 7 061 1330 1174 5 356 5 319 3 299 6*062 1174 1085 5 355 5 318 3 298 4*065 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography