DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 51.1 - - 52.6 - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 84 - - -21 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 139 - - 1190 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1069 - - 1069 - - 1070 - - 1069 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1209 - - 2260 - - 1086 - - 1086 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 346 - - 691 - - 1906 - - 346 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 59 - - 194 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 217 - - 223 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1123 - - -968 - - -1797 - - -67 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2333 - - 3228 - - 2883 - - 1153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12410 - - -9437 - - -8889 - - -8111 ODpotential blCL - - - 13619 - - 11697 - - 9975 - - 9197 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 78 - - 68 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.8 - - 51.1 - - 52.6 - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 40.9 - - 43.9 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 50.7 - - 53.8 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 39.7 - - 43.1 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 84 - - -21 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 139 - - 1190 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95768 48 255 60 257 57 259 52 255 95768 88806 28 276 40 253 41 259 36 279 88806 83425 22 281 26 274 30 257 26 261 83425 78930 22 284 24 274 23 265 18 274 78930 75031 16 292 19 255 22 257 19 287 75031 71560 12 307 14 256 20 241 21 280 71560 68387 19 283 19 284 19 254 19 279 68387 65452 21 264 24 282 23 267 22 279 65452 62732 17 269 22 267 27 262 29 267 62732 60095 15 297 17 269 26 264 26 255 60095 57331 30 296 29 284 32 280 40 275 57331 54454 49 278 44 279 45 277 46 271 54454 51708 46 271 51 278 53 278 52 274 51708 49249 40 286 51 278 54 273 56 273 49249 47055 39 292 49 282 56 286 55 281 47055 45072 46 301 55 288 68 289 63 288 45072 43269 55 301 66 286 74 287 73 289 43269 41613 62 300 67 286 76 286 83 286 41613 40081 65 299 65 292 76 287 86 284 40081 38648 63 298 70 295 79 288 87 287 38648 37297 61 298 75 295 83 288 91 290 37297 35989 62 297 75 295 84 287 94 291 35989 34655 61 297 72 293 78 285 90 289 34655 33269 62 296 70 287 75 284 81 288 33269 31837 62 295 70 283 76 284 79 287 31837 30343 59 293 68 284 77 286 81 285 30343 28771 58 289 65 286 73 289 80 286 28771 27123 58 288 64 285 67 290 73 284 27123 25400 58 289 60 284 62 286 67 281 25400 23604 55 290 55 285 59 281 66 278 23604 21736 50 291 51 286 56 280 63 276 21736 19788 47 290 46 286 52 281 58 279 19788 17759 48 291 42 284 46 277 49 281 17759 15691 46 289 42 282 40 278 41 283 15691 13695 41 291 41 279 38 278 39 279 13695 11880 37 296 38 282 37 282 37 270 11880 10269 31 297 34 284 37 278 35 271 10269 8836 26 298 29 282 33 274 33 272 8836 7562 22 302 24 279 30 270 29 269 7562 6433 20 307 19 277 28 266 28 270 6433 5436 16 309 16 272 27 262 30 270 5436 4559 11 304 16 259 25 257 33 266 4559 3787 7 273 17 247 25 251 34 261 3787 3098 8 246 18 236 23 244 31 254 3098 2492 8 238 17*229 20 232 28 243 2492 1989 8 230 12*218 18 229 25 231 1989 1603 9 215 11 217 16 226 23 223 1603 1338 8*208 11 216 14 225 19 217 1338 1177 5*202 10 216 11 224 15*215 1177 1086 3 202 8 216 7*223 7*213 1086 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography