DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Hartford_WI 1070ft pt39925@43.360,-88.340,973ft SPONSORED BY: Wisconsin Soaring Society BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.3 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.3 - - 41.0 - - 41.0 - - 37.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 26 - - -29 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 14 - - 948 - - 137 - - 15 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1068 - - 1069 - - 1068 - - 1068 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1084 - - 2018 - - 1207 - - 1085 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 225 - - 504 - - 1427 - - 836 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 126 - - 30 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 14 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 201 - - 216 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -660 - - -1174 - - -1179 - - -386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1744 - - 3192 - - 2386 - - 1471 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9987 - - -8189 - - -7798 - - -7639 ODpotential blCL - - - 11071 - - 10207 - - 9005 - - 8724 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.3 - - 41.0 - - 41.0 - - 37.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 31.0 - - 34.5 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 41.2 - - 42.3 - - 39.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.5 - - 29.8 - - 33.9 - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 26 - - -29 - - -59 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 14 - - 948 - - 137 - - 15 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 100 - - 101 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95942 20 005 24 010 23 009 13 004 95942 89065 29 020 22 028 20 013 26 013 89065 83696 33 036 25 029 22 012 29 013 83696 79187 33 035 26 028 25 010 26 012 79187 75251 26 013 20 028 16 000 20 356 75251 71731 19 344 17 354 13 355 16 330 71731 68524 20 320 17 316 16 323 16 305 68524 65564 23 307 22 291 24 316 17 288 65564 62812 27 285 28 279 29 293 23 299 62812 60135 31 278 34 277 34 280 30 288 60135 57328 34 270 39 275 39 274 38 278 57328 54409 42 273 42 270 43 271 43 279 54409 51625 51 274 43 265 47 269 46 280 51625 49119 55 267 45 269 47 271 47 277 49119 46867 54 263 44 268 46 272 51 278 46867 44818 48 262 41 266 44 271 55 274 44818 42939 42 264 39 268 42 271 58 274 42939 41212 43 273 40 275 44 280 55 277 41212 39625 46 277 45 276 49 288 50 293 39625 38153 47 278 47 281 55 287 66 297 38153 36772 45 290 50 283 60 280 79 287 36772 35444 40 294 43 275 59 275 75 277 35444 34101 39 306 42 285 61 275 72 273 34101 32713 44 308 46 281 62 272 70 273 32713 31288 51 289 53 282 62 272 71 270 31288 29806 53 283 58 279 62 271 77 263 29806 28252 54 283 59 277 58 267 81 259 28252 26626 58 283 58 280 60 270 81 266 26626 24928 57 284 54 281 66 280 81 279 24928 23161 54 289 49 279 57 278 79 289 23161 21327 47 289 48 278 51 280 69 295 21327 19417 39 286 47 279 48 281 50 287 19417 17422 36 293 46 284 44 283 48 274 17422 15387 36 299 45 287 42 285 54 276 15387 13430 33 297 43 289 44 282 50 283 13430 11656 30 296 41 291 46 279 44 287 11656 10082 27 292 35 287 43 272 43 284 10082 8683 25 288 32 281 41 273 42 281 8683 7438 23 292 33 276 40 269 38 282 7438 6331 22 298 26 264 41 261 34 285 6331 5350 20 298 23 256 39 256 31 289 5350 4485 16 290 22 246 38 251 31 290 4485 3724 12 277 20 234 36 239 31 283 3724 3049 7 247 19 219 35 227 37 262 3049 2457 10 215 20*208 30 221 37 247 2457 1966 14 209 18*203 25 217 32 237 1966 1590 14 191 15 201 21 217 28 233 1590 1331 12 180 13 200 18*216 21 229 1331 1175 8 173 12 200 15*216 17*228 1175 1085 2*175 9 200 9 216 10*227 1085 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography