DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 57.2 - - 64.6 - - 62.7 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - -19 - - 41 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 945 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 4006 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 264 - - 407 - - 1378 - - 1978 - - 854 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 22 - - 158 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 112 - - 173 - - 189 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -10 - - 2 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6895 - - -4384 - - -4038 - - -3354 - - -2145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9973 - - 7462 - - 8044 - - 6432 - - 5222 sfcLCL ODpotential -16603 - - -12186 - - -9878 - - -8258 - - -9028 ODpotential blCL 19680 - - 15263 - - 13884 - - 11336 - - 12105 blCL maxRH 68 - - 67 - - 77 - - 47 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 57.2 - - 64.6 - - 62.7 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.7 - - 35.9 - - 40.4 - - 45.4 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.5 - - 58.8 - - 64.3 - - 63.1 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.5 - - 34.6 - - 39.2 - - 44.3 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - -19 - - 41 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 945 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95820 50 286 50 295 53 287 49 290 46 286 95820 88782 25 293 21 312 35 274 35 291 32 305 88782 83352 14 318 15 326 21 290 25 309 28 311 83352 78842 21 344 11 335 6 304 9 315 20 292 78842 74970 21 322 14 338 4 348 5 232 17 260 74970 71550 20 272 19 317 14 338 6 285 10 256 71550 68451 15 235 18 282 18 324 17 311 6 353 68451 65599 11 352 17 256 16 292 25 303 10 346 65599 62951 26 328 12 275 15 267 29 278 15 300 62951 60390 35 305 10 302 14 272 27 259 21 266 60390 57712 37 293 16 301 19 281 31 269 25 260 57712 54919 37 286 26 293 26 275 37 268 32 261 54919 52235 32 287 30 290 26 274 35 266 33 261 52235 49800 39 294 30 289 27 278 34 276 39 275 49800 47597 39 286 34 282 34 281 40 272 41 268 47597 45583 36 282 37 279 36 276 41 269 40 258 45583 43732 33 282 37 278 35 274 39 270 37 259 43732 42033 33 286 34 272 34 265 37 256 39 257 42033 40479 35 292 35 272 32 258 31 244 40 254 40479 39048 37 289 35 268 30 261 28 246 37 244 39048 37709 38 285 30 264 27 251 30 243 35 238 37709 36418 35 279 26 263 26 253 27 237 31 233 36418 35111 32 274 23 264 27 263 23 231 28 231 35111 33757 26 272 21 253 26 265 21 231 26 232 33757 32360 24 277 17 244 22 254 17 243 23 231 32360 30905 23 284 15 245 19 226 16 232 20 225 30905 29384 24 286 14 234 21 208 18 224 22 217 29384 27799 23 284 16 219 24 202 26 201 31 197 27799 26150 18 274 18 206 26 196 32 191 37 192 26150 24440 13 247 17 195 24 189 33 192 38 197 24440 22675 10 210 15 190 22 189 31 194 35 194 22675 20850 11 199 13 199 20 202 26 197 30 188 20850 18954 15 208 12 198 18 202 26 198 27 193 18954 17023 16 210 11 199 19 204 26 203 25 203 17023 15164 13 212 10 210 17 212 24 208 21 209 15164 13472 11 214 12 220 16 216 19 208 18 209 13472 11962 11 215 13 222 15 214 15 206 16 205 11962 10615 9 207 12 215 15 208 14 202 14 197 10615 9411 8 192 11 200 16 204 13 204 13 191 9411 8335 7 175 10 182 16 202 12 211 12 194 8335 7377 7 159 11 173 15 199 12 217 10 205 7377 6528 6 146 13 172 15 194 11 217 9 224 6528 5775 6 136 14 178 14 191 10 216 10 243 5775 5097 6 128 15 186 12 190 8 217 11 257 5097 4495 6 117 15 191 9*189 6 214 11 267 4495 3992 7 108 14 195 5*180 5 205 10 268 3992 3603 9 102 13 184 4 172 4 198 9 263 3603 3334 9 095 11 167 3 170 4 195 7 261 3334 3171 8 098 7 146 3 170 3*193 4 270 3171 3077 6*087 3*112 3 168 2*189 1*303 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography