DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.5 - - 53.5 - - 58.0 - - 58.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 69 - - 127 - - 37 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 681 - - 1827 - - 2099 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 3853 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3741 - - 4888 - - 5160 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 122 - - 1148 - - 1096 - - 1198 - - 1341 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 159 - - 268 - - 193 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 055 - - 105 - - 062 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -4 - - 2 - - 7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1259 - - -1305 - - -72 - - 457 - - -132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4336 - - 5046 - - 4960 - - 4703 - - 3209 sfcLCL ODpotential -11447 - - -8939 - - -5483 - - -4357 - - -6627 ODpotential blCL 14524 - - 12680 - - 10371 - - 9517 - - 9704 blCL maxRH 57 - - 72 - - 76 - - 80 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.5 - - 53.5 - - 58.0 - - 58.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 42.1 - - 46.9 - - 48.4 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 52.9 - - 57.0 - - 58.0 - - 52.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.0 - - 40.8 - - 45.6 - - 47.1 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 69 - - 127 - - 37 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 681 - - 1827 - - 2099 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 20 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96206 6 332 10 268 20 282 14 308 11 305 96206 89115 11 338 8 333 10 253 11 300 15 329 89115 83696 11 318 11 358 8 332 7 347 8 359 83696 79205 10 328 12 009 11 347 13 010 10 026 79205 75348 5 029 6 338 10 293 16 349 16 015 75348 71941 5 012 3 064 8 253 10 314 9 357 71941 68830 15 303 9 295 12 280 10 285 8 298 68830 65949 17 268 14 248 18 270 16 276 15 273 65949 63263 18 274 20 266 26 266 27 265 27 271 63263 60652 30 272 30 264 34 263 39 259 40 266 60652 57916 39 268 41 264 41 260 42 255 47 257 57916 55051 44 271 48 267 46 264 47 262 49 260 55051 52287 55 276 56 270 55 266 55 266 53 266 52287 49780 61 270 60 272 59 264 61 264 59 266 49780 47517 58 264 57 270 60 263 65 262 57 262 47517 45453 54 272 55 274 59 268 64 262 57 266 45453 43570 55 279 55 274 57 269 59 266 56 268 43570 41852 56 278 54 274 50 271 51 270 47 270 41852 40271 47 282 49 282 45 277 43 275 42 277 40271 38809 38 295 41 285 40 279 41 276 42 284 38809 37454 38 298 38 286 35 277 38 276 44 288 37454 36163 40 292 35 287 35 282 35 278 41 283 36163 34863 40 291 31 288 29 280 31 277 29 282 34863 33520 39 292 31 286 27 279 26 275 25 306 33520 32137 37 295 30 284 28 277 25 280 28 315 32137 30698 36 298 29 286 25 277 23 281 26 313 30698 29192 35 296 27 287 22 283 18 280 23 308 29192 27622 33 294 24 285 19 291 13 287 18 308 27622 25989 30 294 23 285 18 295 9 301 13 305 25989 24297 28 296 23 289 19 297 11 305 14 296 24297 22549 26 307 22 299 19 302 14 303 16 295 22549 20737 24 317 18 308 19 304 16 310 16 298 20737 18852 22 333 14 306 16 304 17 318 15 308 18852 16927 22 341 12 316 15 315 15 326 12 325 16927 15070 18 337 11 328 13 326 12 341 10 333 15070 13378 16 331 11 335 11 337 10 355 7 330 13378 11871 14 334 9 340 6 359 6 000 3 306 11871 10530 9 344 5 349 2 055 1 020 3 218 10530 9334 5 011 2 061 3 133 1 197 5 193 9334 8268 5 048 4 128 6 151 3 215 5 192 8268 7321 7 063 7 140 9 160 4 202 4 188 7321 6483 8 063 8 138 10 162 4 195 3 188 6483 5740 8 059 8 127 8 157 1*172 1 206 5740 5072 6 055 6 117 5*126 2*065 0 249 5072 4478 5 040 5 111 4*106 3 060 1 037 4478 3979 5 016 5*072 4 105 3 062 5 038 3979 3595 5 007 5*057 4 104 3 061 8 035 3595 3331 6 009 5 055 4 106 3 062 8 035 3331 3169 6*005 5 055 4 105 3 064 6 035 3169 3077 5*012 4 054 3 108 2 064 4*034 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography