DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.0 - - 64.2 - - 73.6 - - 72.3 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -88 - - 51 - - 196 - - 70 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 339 - - 1029 - - 971 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3434 - - 3062 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3400 - - 4090 - - 4033 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 216 - - 480 - - 998 - - 1055 - - 212 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 121 - - 249 - - 177 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 15 - - 14 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 020 - - 029 - - 030 - - 034 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -27 - - -18 - - -9 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1658 - - -4000 - - -7160 - - -6305 - - -5091 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4736 - - 7401 - - 11251 - - 10338 - - 8170 sfcLCL ODpotential -11836 - - -11588 - - -14698 - - -13799 - - -15274 ODpotential blCL 14913 - - 14988 - - 18788 - - 17832 - - 18352 blCL maxRH 49 - - 44 - - 70 - - 72 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.0 - - 64.2 - - 73.6 - - 72.3 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.3 - - 42.9 - - 35.4 - - 38.1 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.2 - - 63.8 - - 72.2 - - 71.7 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.2 - - 41.6 - - 34.1 - - 36.9 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -88 - - 51 - - 196 - - 70 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 339 - - 1029 - - 971 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96513 13 268 10 311 10 274 8 276 10 285 96513 89335 6 003 5 098 8 217 5 230 7 046 89335 83838 4 131 5 112 2 351 6 116 8 091 83838 79273 9 061 11 064 7 026 11 049 13 071 79273 75344 13 055 13 067 5 060 6 010 12 030 75344 71896 17 027 22 028 16 040 16 037 14 010 71896 68792 19 012 16 013 21 012 19 004 18 018 68792 65922 21 356 19 014 20 359 20 010 21 023 65922 63263 28 351 26 359 26 360 30 007 32 006 63263 60711 40 349 33 355 30 351 31 351 31 353 60711 58045 43 341 31 347 28 341 30 351 26 000 58045 55255 41 336 31 344 33 348 35 355 29 011 55255 52574 39 334 38 340 40 346 43 357 40 009 52574 50163 40 353 43 345 41 352 44 357 42 005 50163 48023 64 002 54 004 47 010 47 011 42 016 48023 46107 65 348 58 001 51 008 54 011 51 010 46107 44360 49 343 47 342 46 354 50 003 49 356 44360 42740 29 007 42 340 43 355 41 009 44 355 42740 41218 38 028 38 348 37 002 34 018 39 355 41218 39778 44 024 39 344 34 006 34 019 39 359 39778 38415 46 015 40 344 35 010 36 015 39 007 38415 37095 46 008 40 347 39 011 38 010 44 010 37095 35756 43 001 40 350 41 007 40 005 49 009 35756 34371 48 350 41 353 43 005 40 005 50 007 34371 32942 54 344 43 354 44 003 40 006 47 006 32942 31457 56 345 45 353 40 358 39 005 43 007 31457 29904 54 349 44 353 34 354 39 004 39 005 29904 28286 49 353 40 356 32 354 37 002 35 001 28286 26605 44 354 38 359 31 357 34 358 34 001 26605 24864 38 348 36 360 29 358 31 357 36 006 24864 23063 34 344 34 356 29 355 29 358 36 007 23063 21194 34 346 35 352 30 352 29 359 33 005 21194 19253 36 351 34 351 31 353 29 360 29 360 19253 17278 35 359 29 354 30 353 28 357 24 351 17278 15378 30 007 25 359 29 354 27 355 22 345 15378 13649 25 013 23 003 26 356 26 356 20 349 13649 12110 20 018 19 009 23 002 24 360 17 355 12110 10740 16 020 17 014 19 008 20 008 14 002 10740 9516 15 018 15 019 16 011 16 016 12 007 9516 8423 17 015 14 024 13 013 14 020 12 012 8423 7448 20 015 14 031 12 015 12 019 11 011 7448 6583 22 017 15 038 12 022 11 018 11 010 6583 5815 24 019 17 040 13 029 11 020 12 012 5815 5124 26 019 20 038 16 032 10 023 15 015 5124 4511 29 018 24 033 17*032 9*029 18 016 4511 3999 32 015 25 030 16*031 9*033 19 018 3999 3606 31 014 23*029 15 030 8 034 18 019 3606 3336 26 015 19*029 14 030 8 034 16 023 3336 3171 21*017 17 029 12 029 7 034 12*024 3171 3078 10*020 10 028 9 029 6 035 6*025 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography