DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/17 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.1 - - 61.5 - - 67.4 - - 67.1 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 64 - - 225 - - 36 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 712 - - 2286 - - 2133 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 4362 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3773 - - 5348 - - 5194 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 282 - - 1131 - - 1506 - - 1841 - - 955 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 158 - - 334 - - 180 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 082 - - 193 - - 222 - - 304 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 3 - - 11 - - 4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3576 - - -3691 - - -3549 - - -5467 - - -3056 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6653 - - 7464 - - 8897 - - 10661 - - 6135 sfcLCL ODpotential -14703 - - -12833 - - -11407 - - -13628 - - -13149 ODpotential blCL 17780 - - 16606 - - 16755 - - 18822 - - 16227 blCL maxRH 65 - - 62 - - 62 - - 67 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.1 - - 61.5 - - 67.4 - - 67.1 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.2 - - 39.7 - - 39.2 - - 31.3 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 60.8 - - 65.7 - - 66.6 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.9 - - 38.5 - - 38.1 - - 30.4 - - 39.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 64 - - 225 - - 36 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 712 - - 2286 - - 2133 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97079 25 273 27 288 33 282 30 279 33 278 97079 89878 16 282 20 280 23 270 26 294 22 296 89878 84336 12 278 14 276 15 281 17 294 19 281 84336 79714 6 276 5 259 7 252 9 289 9 258 79714 75720 4 113 6 146 5 220 8 288 3 300 75720 72197 6 097 7 114 4 236 5 315 4 355 72197 69012 4 054 5 081 2 192 6 294 7 337 69012 66083 3 016 2 005 5 350 5 285 5 311 66083 63364 7 006 3 180 6 274 8 314 4 308 63364 60748 6 330 5 065 2 181 5 316 3 300 60748 58035 6 010 2 310 5 266 6 309 3 303 58035 55227 5 003 12 032 8 004 8 008 10 027 55227 52569 12 028 12 035 5 025 9 021 13 019 52569 50183 10 034 22 077 13 125 12 095 13 060 50183 48030 43 046 41 051 32 057 26 059 21 049 48030 46070 44 036 43 030 34 034 28 023 23 032 46070 44268 30 048 25 028 22 019 22 004 25 024 44268 42593 27 070 10 055 12 352 15 010 22 021 42593 41023 35 071 13 045 12 028 14 029 20 028 41023 39547 46 060 38 051 30 057 13 040 28 031 39547 38164 58 050 51 046 38 038 24 038 29 029 38164 36836 65 043 52 046 41 032 27 035 24 028 36836 35497 66 045 51 048 40 029 28 032 20 035 35497 34113 63 045 51 048 39 027 29 031 19 044 34113 32689 53 042 48 051 37 029 28 030 20 048 32689 31213 47 040 40 047 33 037 26 027 20 046 31213 29671 48 036 36 042 24 041 21 023 18 038 29671 28066 46 036 39 044 23 044 17 024 18 027 28066 26396 43 040 40 042 25 037 20 028 18 020 26396 24664 42 045 35 032 24 025 25 024 20 018 24664 22873 37 048 30 028 25 013 27 019 23 020 22873 21016 30 042 25 033 24 015 25 017 27 023 21016 19088 27 031 22 034 20 022 23 013 29 027 19088 17126 27 027 22 029 20 027 20 012 26 031 17126 15235 26 030 21 024 20 027 20 021 23 034 15235 13514 23 040 19 029 18 031 20 033 20 038 13514 11984 17 046 15 043 15 039 17 037 17 041 11984 10623 12 040 12 056 11 043 13 041 13 041 10623 9411 6 025 7 058 7 032 9 042 10 038 9411 8331 2 184 1 214 5 327 8 013 9 029 8331 7372 8 190 9 215 8 268 8 322 9 002 7372 6525 10 193 12 215 11 257 8 304 9 332 6525 5772 11 195 11 220 9*258 7*304 9 308 5772 5096 11 193 10 220 5*247 6*307 9 295 5096 4495 10 190 8 214 5 226 6 306 7 293 4495 3991 9 194 6*202 5 218 6 304 4 299 3991 3602 8 187 4*193 5 214 5 303 2 324 3602 3334 6 164 4 193 4 210 5 302 2 028 3334 3171 5 146 3 193 4 210 5 301 3*054 3171 3078 3*082 3 193 4 208 4 301 3*058 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography