DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 63.0 - - 58.9 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 91 - - 0 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 706 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3767 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 756 - - 1010 - - 1222 - - 344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 170 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 147 - - 237 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 3 - - 1 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5956 - - -5183 - - -3848 - - -4962 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9034 - - 8951 - - 6925 - - 8039 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13033 - - -11637 - - -10317 - - -14463 ODpotential blCL - - - 16110 - - 15404 - - 13394 - - 17540 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 36 - - 54 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.4 - - 63.0 - - 58.9 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 34.9 - - 39.6 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 62.2 - - 59.7 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.3 - - 33.8 - - 38.5 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 91 - - 0 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 706 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96498 20 025 20 016 25 074 17 048 96498 89580 31 063 30 069 35 086 39 082 89580 84112 26 073 26 075 24 092 38 091 84112 79560 21 086 20 074 18 084 30 084 79560 75650 21 081 17 084 18 078 25 084 75650 72186 22 079 19 098 15 092 20 077 72186 69035 17 075 17 087 17 092 12 062 69035 66140 9 069 11 071 17 089 10 074 66140 63458 3 080 4 014 11 065 9 062 63458 60861 5 002 8 339 12 024 11 032 60861 58158 10 359 10 335 11 003 11 001 58158 55345 15 346 11 344 11 345 11 343 55345 52636 12 342 14 327 16 330 16 341 52636 50173 8 358 16 310 21 318 18 330 50173 47948 8 347 17 310 21 308 19 315 47948 45914 10 337 16 316 15 305 20 312 45914 44041 11 335 15 325 14 309 22 316 44041 42309 16 324 16 325 16 314 23 323 42309 40704 17 311 17 315 22 338 26 332 40704 39218 17 303 20 311 32 340 28 351 39218 37843 16 307 21 309 38 326 48 013 37843 36533 16 316 19 325 32 318 74 010 36533 35209 17 322 25 347 25 331 79 007 35209 33837 22 333 37 359 34 348 75 015 33837 32424 26 339 47 359 41 345 49 008 32424 30963 32 342 47 359 36 344 36 342 30963 29441 34 341 39 004 29 354 31 331 29441 27856 30 343 29 001 23 354 24 328 27856 26204 25 348 22 355 27 339 21 328 26204 24486 20 353 17 348 30 346 27 329 24486 22711 15 351 15 339 24 345 28 340 22711 20875 9 332 13 328 17 341 22 341 20875 18972 8 298 13 314 14 326 19 334 18972 17036 7 274 10 305 11 321 16 334 17036 15169 5 234 6 296 8 319 13 343 15169 13467 5 203 4 256 6 318 11 357 13467 11951 6 200 5 224 5 331 10 012 11951 10601 7 206 6 216 5 342 8 021 10601 9396 7 207 5 209 5 341 5 034 9396 8321 8 202 5 200 3 337 3 066 8321 7365 9 195 5 189 1 316 3 119 7365 6517 9 190 6 182 1 185 5 138 6517 5765 10 185 6 176 3 170 6 141 5765 5088 11 177 8 163 4 158 6 136 5088 4488 11 169 8 150 4 145 6 132 4488 3985 10 164 7*140 3 130 4 133 3985 3598 9 155 4*143 0 306 3 130 3598 3332 7 142 4 146 1 269 2 100 3332 3170 5 132 3 149 1 259 2*069 3170 3077 2*112 3 150 1*237 2*054 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography