DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 43.6 - - 43.9 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3076 - - 3076 - - 3077 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1461 - - 2184 - - 2323 - - 939 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 22 - - 22 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 120 - - 021 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3076 - - 3076 - - 3077 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10 - - -76 - - -127 - - -2015 ODpotential blCL - - - 3086 - - 3152 - - 3204 - - 5091 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 40 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 43.6 - - 43.9 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.0 - - 43.3 - - 43.4 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 43.5 - - 43.7 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 43.1 - - 43.2 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96616 2 007 6 013 13 055 14 098 96616 89510 11 085 6 084 13 094 19 067 89510 84000 8 071 6 108 15 097 12 071 84000 79422 9 094 9 116 9 097 13 112 79422 75462 10 108 9 124 6 125 6 100 75462 71941 9 117 7 133 7 164 3 111 71941 68741 7 110 7 108 8 170 3 124 68741 65787 3 050 4 149 7 122 5 210 65787 63031 10 265 2 251 2 152 9 201 63031 60346 18 239 11 261 8 276 6 204 60346 57532 19 234 20 252 17 276 9 274 57532 54600 18 240 20 238 21 255 14 252 54600 51783 20 248 20 234 18 242 8 262 51783 49231 27 256 21 238 20 269 12 294 49231 46932 36 250 24 248 21 264 15 291 46932 44843 40 244 22 251 17 255 15 292 44843 42930 42 253 17 283 12 276 16 295 42930 41164 45 255 26 277 13 304 15 295 41164 39521 42 248 32 273 18 309 11 308 39521 37988 39 244 33 272 23 315 11 332 37988 36557 40 241 31 265 25 314 12 347 36557 35194 32 245 24 262 25 311 13 351 35194 33830 29 259 20 275 24 306 16 342 33830 32441 32 269 22 285 22 298 19 336 32441 31031 38 265 26 280 19 292 17 326 31031 29590 41 259 27 269 17 292 14 306 29590 28107 43 257 25 260 15 279 10 268 28107 26591 44 255 20 257 12 255 13 202 26591 25033 42 257 17 262 9 237 17 190 25033 23419 38 262 14 268 8 256 15 197 23419 21750 31 263 11 259 9 275 10 214 21750 20020 21 259 9 260 9 283 6 254 20020 18223 17 248 10 260 12 292 5 277 18223 16392 16 235 18 229 14 303 6 258 16392 14623 23 223 22 217 9 297 8 256 14623 13009 26 232 19 232 6 248 10 276 13009 11570 25 251 15 255 7 242 9 299 11570 10286 23 266 14 267 6 263 8 323 10286 9140 21 277 13 271 7 279 9 337 9140 8116 18 282 9 267 5 312 8 342 8116 7202 13 286 6 270 5 351 9 348 7202 6390 9 293 3 286 6 006 10 353 6390 5669 6 299 1 184 6 008 12 001 5669 5019 5 286 3 148 5 010 13 010 5019 4440 5 256 5 142 5 010 14 017 4440 3955 6 228 6 133 5 016 15 019 3955 3581 6 218 6 126 4 017 14 017 3581 3323 4 214 5 122 4 018 12 016 3323 3166 3 212 5 121 3*020 9 014 3166 3076 2*210 4*120 3*021 5*015 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography