DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 55.8 - - 50.2 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 25 - - -12 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 445 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3506 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 539 - - 1089 - - 485 - - 86 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 109 - - 17 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 098 - - 064 - - 064 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -6 - - -5 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2945 - - -2402 - - -1539 - - -6119 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6022 - - 5909 - - 4616 - - 9196 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10470 - - -7600 - - -8070 - - -16106 ODpotential blCL - - - 13547 - - 11106 - - 11147 - - 19183 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 53 - - 57 - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 55.8 - - 50.2 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 40.9 - - 40.9 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 55.5 - - 51.0 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 39.7 - - 39.7 - - 15.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 25 - - -12 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 445 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96636 28 076 19 046 30 030 32 053 96636 89496 22 064 21 059 25 043 33 057 89496 83958 20 031 24 037 20 056 29 060 83958 79339 14 001 23 029 22 041 21 045 79339 75359 6 017 14 037 18 029 17 029 75359 71840 3 047 12 028 14 032 17 013 71840 68655 6 056 15 010 13 031 12 353 68655 65724 6 032 12 004 11 020 5 329 65724 62998 9 017 11 004 14 005 6 003 62998 60353 13 006 14 359 12 349 8 011 60353 57590 9 022 11 360 9 348 10 006 57590 54717 5 043 7 353 8 351 11 003 54717 51975 4 037 6 321 11 345 7 357 51975 49522 4 042 3 003 5 352 1 114 49522 47344 4 097 1 210 1 249 2 151 47344 45386 9 081 5 102 2 085 2 183 45386 43600 22 073 18 081 13 081 6 163 43600 41953 30 067 31 082 18 105 12 179 41953 40417 30 068 39 075 23 097 13 158 40417 38974 32 076 43 070 29 091 13 122 38974 37614 43 078 50 070 39 087 16 096 37614 36304 53 073 60 071 48 082 19 093 36304 34980 58 069 70 071 55 081 24 094 34980 33614 60 070 73 070 60 081 30 094 33614 32210 62 072 70 070 64 084 37 095 32210 30754 63 076 62 069 66 087 45 096 30754 29236 66 080 55 070 64 088 50 094 29236 27656 67 082 51 073 59 087 50 091 27656 26015 64 086 51 080 55 086 48 086 26015 24315 53 089 49 086 50 087 47 085 24315 22560 37 088 45 088 44 089 46 085 22560 20741 25 087 40 089 37 091 43 089 20741 18851 20 088 33 091 32 094 40 094 18851 16925 19 087 24 092 27 096 36 099 16925 15069 20 087 21 090 23 095 32 104 15069 13381 22 095 20 093 21 099 24 106 13381 11880 23 103 21 108 19 106 17 111 11880 10542 21 114 19 123 19 112 15 101 10542 9345 19 127 16 133 18 121 13 098 9345 8278 15 135 11 135 14 134 8 110 8278 7329 12 144 9 130 7 134 3 091 7329 6489 10 153 7 114 3 079 4 065 6489 5743 9 151 8 092 6 041 6 053 5743 5072 9 133 9 075 9 037 8 049 5072 4476 10 116 10 062 11 039 10 049 4476 3977 12 112 10 056 13 040 11 050 3977 3593 13 111 8*058 12 048 12 050 3593 3329 11 107 6*063 10 057 11 053 3329 3168 9*103 5 064 7*062 9*058 3168 3077 6*098 4 066 4*064 6*060 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography