DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 50.7 - - 49.8 - - 41.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 142 - - 32 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1165 - - 2966 - - 2685 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 4691 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4225 - - 6027 - - 5745 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1786 - - 1532 - - 2196 - - 789 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 321 - - 198 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 41 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 120 - - 035 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 10 - - -5 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -735 - - 683 - - 970 - - -59 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4960 - - 5344 - - 4775 - - 3136 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3581 - - -1765 - - -578 - - -3364 ODpotential blCL - - - 7806 - - 7792 - - 6323 - - 6441 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 77 - - 86 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.5 - - 50.7 - - 49.8 - - 41.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 38.2 - - 39.7 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 49.5 - - 49.3 - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 37.0 - - 38.4 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 142 - - 32 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1165 - - 2966 - - 2685 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 6 - - 46 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 25 080 24 080 30 093 28 082 96483 89451 28 081 24 093 27 102 27 079 89451 83968 25 083 20 088 29 103 24 091 83968 79367 21 091 18 097 21 101 19 099 79367 75388 17 094 10 096 13 103 16 093 75388 71868 11 105 10 113 8 144 8 082 71868 68680 6 053 3 088 4 115 7 119 68680 65744 6 271 3 254 5 293 4 347 65744 63008 7 208 5 246 6 249 7 276 63008 60340 5 247 6 264 6 244 9 277 60340 57533 13 247 8 276 10 242 12 259 57533 54604 15 235 14 260 14 250 15 284 54604 51803 11 262 17 250 19 267 13 301 51803 49279 18 275 14 258 14 271 20 318 49279 47017 21 265 14 273 15 283 24 327 47017 44965 19 254 17 292 17 300 24 333 44965 43082 16 251 20 293 17 310 24 335 43082 41341 12 266 17 288 18 321 26 332 41341 39727 11 301 13 288 19 314 29 339 39727 38227 15 314 12 304 16 325 31 340 38227 36833 16 303 12 325 20 357 30 351 36833 35505 14 295 17 354 24 008 34 004 35505 34176 9 304 22 001 31 017 38 013 34176 32815 10 337 24 002 40 021 46 022 32815 31425 15 335 25 007 48 024 55 027 31425 29992 16 320 30 014 52 029 60 026 29992 28501 17 299 28 005 51 032 62 025 28501 26951 20 286 21 345 41 031 56 022 26951 25347 23 280 15 301 31 031 43 024 25347 23694 24 283 21 271 21 029 32 033 23694 21988 22 289 22 277 12 012 23 034 21988 20222 19 297 17 292 7 333 16 032 20222 18394 15 301 11 291 5 319 9 026 18394 16538 13 289 9 277 5 343 7 359 16538 14749 10 272 7 279 5 342 8 337 14749 13116 5 256 4 276 5 345 7 334 13116 11659 1 172 3 235 6 349 5 019 11659 10360 3 100 3 192 5 355 8 045 10360 9199 3 122 3 169 4 029 9 050 9199 8162 5 145 3 154 4 044 8 052 8162 7238 5 150 3 149 4 039 7 051 7238 6419 6 148 2*124 4*034 6 044 6419 5690 7 146 2*113 5*034 6 037 5690 5034 7 147 2 114 6 034 7 030 5034 4451 6*141 1 118 7 035 9 025 4451 3962 3*116 1 123 7 035 11 022 3962 3585 2 095 1 125 7 036 13 021 3585 3325 2 088 1 131 7 035 12 021 3325 3167 1 086 1 138 6 036 10*023 3167 3077 1 086 1 140 5 035 6*024 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography