DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.2 - - 66.1 - - 67.8 - - 66.5 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 13 - - 50 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 367 - - 1163 - - 962 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3062 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 3428 - - 4225 - - 4023 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 1097 - - 2196 - - 1772 - - 1553 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 94 - - 187 - - 106 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 200 - - 265 - - 281 - - 323 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -1 - - 6 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4023 - - -3034 - - -1539 - - -889 - - -758 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7101 - - 6463 - - 5765 - - 4912 - - 3837 sfcLCL ODpotential -12127 - - -6930 - - -4987 - - -4426 - - -4890 ODpotential blCL 15205 - - 10358 - - 9212 - - 8449 - - 7968 blCL maxRH 82 - - 54 - - 82 - - 78 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 210 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 56.2 - - 66.1 - - 67.8 - - 66.5 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 48.4 - - 53.0 - - 55.3 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.8 - - 66.0 - - 67.3 - - 66.4 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 47.2 - - 51.6 - - 54.0 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 13 - - 50 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 367 - - 1163 - - 962 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 0 - - 28 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96576 11 104 7 047 4 159 2 111 4 338 96576 89410 10 094 7 076 1 052 2 011 4 328 89410 83884 6 037 6 032 6 348 5 347 9 022 83884 79303 11 327 7 335 15 343 12 353 14 009 79303 75392 8 016 9 351 12 347 16 349 16 334 75392 71988 25 347 17 353 15 350 14 345 9 322 71988 68903 27 328 26 335 22 332 17 346 11 001 68903 66043 30 311 31 318 31 327 29 323 24 328 66043 63376 36 295 39 295 40 293 38 300 34 309 63376 60774 39 287 40 277 42 276 36 278 43 291 60774 58044 46 284 44 287 47 285 46 293 53 291 58044 55202 63 282 62 288 60 286 61 286 62 286 55202 52479 66 278 66 277 64 277 64 277 61 278 52479 50021 66 278 57 268 58 270 57 275 54 277 50021 47812 72 274 57 274 54 275 57 280 58 279 47812 45798 79 268 66 278 59 275 60 276 63 275 45798 43948 78 262 67 273 61 270 60 268 60 269 43948 42240 71 259 62 273 54 272 53 267 56 266 42240 40662 66 260 61 276 61 279 58 278 52 273 40662 39204 67 265 71 274 71 275 60 278 55 273 39204 37849 71 265 72 264 70 267 56 282 49 278 37849 36551 76 261 65 257 61 265 55 281 47 279 36551 35234 79 256 58 257 58 272 58 278 45 274 35234 33868 73 252 55 261 61 271 60 278 46 272 33868 32461 62 248 59 261 61 269 62 279 49 273 32461 30997 55 253 61 260 61 267 66 279 51 276 30997 29466 58 265 63 262 62 268 68 275 55 275 29466 27870 62 262 62 265 63 271 66 271 60 273 27870 26208 61 250 58 268 61 272 63 270 59 272 26208 24484 61 246 51 272 54 272 58 271 55 270 24484 22704 58 247 45 280 41 268 48 267 50 263 22704 20861 52 251 43 266 46 254 45 261 46 254 20861 18944 42 255 46 254 47 254 48 258 48 255 18944 16998 33 253 41 251 39 257 43 257 46 261 16998 15136 29 244 30 253 33 258 34 256 40 264 15136 13453 25 229 23 254 29 255 28 257 35 265 13453 11960 20 227 20 243 23 253 26 261 30 264 11960 10627 15 239 18 227 17 249 23 266 23 263 10627 9431 11 250 16 225 14 247 19 267 18 263 9431 8361 9 252 15 239 13 256 15 266 15 264 8361 7404 9 251 14 254 12 272 12 265 12 264 7404 6555 10 250 13 260 11 284 10 273 9 264 6555 5799 9 244 11 262 10 285 8 285 6 263 5799 5118 6 237 8 257 9 279 7 292 3 275 5118 4511 2 206 5 248 8*272 6*287 2 308 4511 4002 2 104 4 235 8*267 6*283 2 311 4002 3609 5 079 3*213 8 265 6 281 3 304 3609 3337 6 074 2*204 8 264 5 281 3 301 3337 3172 6*077 2 200 8 263 5 281 2*305 3172 3078 5*068 2 195 6 263 4 280 2*323 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography