DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.2 - - 59.8 - - 65.5 - - 58.8 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -8 - - 76 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 625 - - 120 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3078 - - 3687 - - 3181 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 215 - - 545 - - 1010 - - 805 - - 335 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 18 - - 155 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 228 - - 208 - - 234 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -6 - - 4 - - 4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1341 - - -4284 - - -4808 - - -1814 - - -1623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4418 - - 7362 - - 8496 - - 4995 - - 4700 sfcLCL ODpotential -9739 - - -10564 - - -10025 - - -7226 - - -8750 ODpotential blCL 12816 - - 13642 - - 13712 - - 10407 - - 11827 blCL maxRH 60 - - 36 - - 37 - - 64 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.2 - - 59.8 - - 65.5 - - 58.8 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.8 - - 38.7 - - 39.2 - - 47.5 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 60.8 - - 64.7 - - 59.1 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.2 - - 37.7 - - 38.2 - - 47.2 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -8 - - 76 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 625 - - 120 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 11 044 22 343 19 339 20 017 13 005 96292 89272 24 047 10 036 13 014 15 036 21 037 89272 83793 19 023 13 068 14 012 15 027 21 028 83793 79239 12 022 16 054 13 045 14 019 21 030 79239 75324 13 038 17 036 15 067 12 040 16 045 75324 71874 16 048 16 026 16 061 14 055 16 063 71874 68750 18 042 12 019 13 043 16 056 17 057 68750 65870 19 020 10 013 12 015 12 049 15 042 65870 63196 17 007 10 004 13 358 8 030 12 033 63196 60610 17 004 10 351 12 343 9 003 9 014 60610 57916 15 339 11 352 13 340 10 358 9 009 57916 55111 13 325 13 357 12 337 10 001 8 001 55111 52414 8 331 10 004 7 346 7 351 5 346 52414 49961 2 050 5 031 6 022 5 023 2 018 49961 47739 8 090 6 120 2 082 1 018 4 086 47739 45705 4 075 10 114 9 148 8 211 3 189 45705 43840 2 264 5 116 8 182 11 217 8 237 43840 42124 8 238 7 237 14 223 14 219 13 247 42124 40532 12 236 8 240 15 226 19 216 18 243 40532 39049 17 245 12 242 19 225 22 221 22 233 39049 37666 23 246 21 238 24 232 26 230 27 230 37666 36345 30 242 30 237 31 236 32 231 33 229 36345 35018 32 236 33 236 34 231 40 230 39 226 35018 33653 34 237 35 234 41 228 49 229 44 224 33653 32253 36 239 38 234 45 229 51 228 48 224 32253 30801 35 237 39 232 47 229 49 227 47 224 30801 29284 34 232 36 228 43 226 46 225 44 222 29284 27704 30 227 32 224 39 222 45 224 43 220 27704 26061 21 221 28 214 34 217 44 221 42 219 26061 24359 12 204 22 198 29 210 40 217 41 219 24359 22601 11 187 15 181 22 197 30 213 31 214 22601 20783 10 177 15 164 19 175 21 194 25 198 20783 18900 9 170 16 158 19 180 21 183 23 191 18900 16985 8 175 15 164 17 188 19 196 18 200 16985 15138 7 187 13 180 15 189 15 194 13 197 15138 13455 8 192 12 196 13 191 12 186 10 184 13455 11953 9 188 11 204 11 198 12 189 10 180 11953 10611 9 182 11 199 11 196 12 191 11 181 10611 9410 9 179 11 187 11 188 12 191 11 181 9410 8336 8 180 11 175 11 178 12 187 12 177 8336 7378 8 182 11 169 11 172 11 183 12 169 7378 6529 8 184 11 169 10 172 9 180 13 162 6529 5775 8 187 10 174 9 177 8 180 13 156 5775 5096 9 186 10 180 8 183 6 183 12 151 5096 4493 9 189 9 187 7 188 6 190 9 146 4493 3989 9 195 8 192 6*191 5 207 6 153 3989 3600 9 202 8 200 5*203 5 225 5 176 3600 3333 8 205 6 206 5 209 5*230 4 183 3333 3170 8 206 5*211 4 210 4*233 3 175 3170 3077 1*212 1*228 4 213 3 235 1*124 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography