DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.7 - - 58.2 - - 60.3 - - 56.9 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - -2 - - 93 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 967 - - 163 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 4028 - - 3224 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 152 - - 1016 - - 961 - - 1026 - - 284 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 21 - - 191 - - 26 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 21 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 005 - - 357 - - 303 - - 017 - - 025 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -5 - - 6 - - 0 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8643 - - -5050 - - -3243 - - -2560 - - -1919 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11720 - - 8127 - - 7271 - - 5784 - - 4996 sfcLCL ODpotential -16024 - - -10188 - - -7998 - - -7827 - - -9926 ODpotential blCL 19101 - - 13265 - - 12026 - - 11051 - - 13003 blCL maxRH 77 - - 51 - - 48 - - 56 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.7 - - 58.2 - - 60.3 - - 56.9 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.4 - - 33.7 - - 39.3 - - 42.4 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.5 - - 58.4 - - 59.5 - - 57.1 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.3 - - 32.7 - - 38.2 - - 41.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - -2 - - 93 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 967 - - 163 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 27 067 34 068 19 103 19 096 25 074 96219 89167 23 079 19 071 14 078 21 084 24 079 89167 83704 15 076 15 066 5 066 13 056 13 083 83704 79144 8 044 10 033 9 049 4 013 9 022 79144 75197 10 002 7 348 13 017 8 046 5 307 75197 71709 11 360 10 325 16 337 12 003 8 353 71709 68549 9 359 10 310 16 309 15 320 14 344 68549 65629 15 332 10 323 15 302 14 312 17 303 65629 62914 24 315 19 308 23 307 21 321 16 309 62914 60280 32 300 25 294 32 296 31 307 24 327 60280 57523 31 297 27 286 31 286 34 291 34 304 57523 54660 43 304 30 296 34 294 40 289 40 291 54660 51929 52 296 38 294 43 290 48 290 44 291 51929 49467 54 288 42 289 45 286 57 284 47 287 49467 47265 53 281 38 294 42 288 50 279 45 284 47265 45277 43 281 39 304 41 296 39 275 42 280 45277 43465 40 296 46 310 40 296 40 274 41 277 43465 41809 46 305 47 309 39 290 39 272 43 273 41809 40287 39 305 38 297 35 281 35 274 38 263 40287 38872 21 298 24 290 31 277 31 266 31 254 38872 37541 16 351 10 306 19 276 27 254 27 243 37541 36254 25 358 23 358 17 316 23 249 22 237 36254 34949 35 352 34 002 21 337 17 259 17 260 34949 33597 43 339 36 355 24 334 15 278 15 252 33597 32203 28 355 35 344 26 326 15 304 14 231 32203 30754 25 346 34 340 28 324 15 316 13 227 30754 29240 28 329 31 348 29 327 17 317 12 248 29240 27665 28 320 28 357 24 329 22 304 8 272 27665 26029 28 312 26 011 19 334 24 305 6 294 26029 24332 27 300 22 355 19 353 22 313 11 275 24332 22572 26 293 28 324 20 357 16 328 16 284 22572 20747 29 294 29 313 21 340 13 337 17 309 20747 18854 34 290 31 294 25 321 17 333 20 326 18854 16933 34 285 35 285 27 313 21 330 23 328 16933 15086 32 284 33 286 26 308 21 328 24 329 15086 13407 30 287 29 289 24 306 22 328 23 332 13407 11908 28 289 24 290 22 309 22 326 21 335 11908 10569 24 290 21 288 20 310 21 324 19 336 10569 9372 20 289 18 286 17 309 19 323 18 336 9372 8302 17 288 16 284 14 308 16 322 15 339 8302 7349 15 286 14 282 13 306 13 323 12 347 7349 6505 13 285 12 281 11 305 11 326 9 356 6505 5757 12 286 11 283 10 305 10 331 7 357 5757 5084 10 291 9 291 8 311 9 339 6 354 5084 4485 8 301 7 305 5*316 8 346 6 357 4485 3983 8 314 7 319 2*311 6 348 7 005 3983 3597 7 326 6 328 2 304 3 353 7 011 3597 3331 7 342 5 337 1 298 2*011 7 018 3331 3169 6 350 4*347 1 293 1*015 5*021 3169 3077 4*005 2*357 1 292 1 019 3*025 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography