DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 54.6 - - 53.9 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 169 - - 56 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 975 - - 2053 - - 2747 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 4120 - - 3855 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4036 - - 5113 - - 5808 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1035 - - 999 - - 993 - - 1290 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 191 - - 302 - - 236 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 348 - - 000 - - 358 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -11 - - -13 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -531 - - 503 - - 1548 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4567 - - 4611 - - 4260 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7534 - - -4814 - - -4117 - - -6356 ODpotential blCL - - - 11570 - - 9927 - - 9925 - - 9433 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 76 - - 86 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 54.6 - - 53.9 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 45.1 - - 45.9 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 53.4 - - 53.4 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 43.8 - - 44.6 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 86 - - 169 - - 56 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 975 - - 2053 - - 2747 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 3 - - 42 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96350 11 299 25 268 22 301 15 310 96350 89217 6 312 17 272 16 301 16 323 89217 83743 5 353 8 289 7 294 10 302 83743 79230 9 359 7 335 3 329 5 318 79230 75346 5 324 12 313 8 315 12 333 75346 71912 4 216 11 279 11 310 14 331 71912 68798 9 264 13 257 13 301 13 301 68798 65916 15 280 17 275 16 274 15 261 65916 63219 26 277 24 274 23 271 23 275 63219 60579 34 266 33 264 35 265 36 271 60579 57805 40 267 38 265 39 262 39 266 57805 54910 45 271 43 269 40 271 41 273 54910 52143 44 274 40 273 43 268 45 270 52143 49641 38 284 37 280 40 280 34 274 49641 47374 45 286 44 283 45 296 34 295 47374 45295 50 276 52 279 54 291 45 292 45295 43375 51 270 58 275 60 278 55 279 43375 41604 48 273 58 273 64 275 62 277 41604 39975 56 276 60 276 67 277 67 281 39975 38483 61 274 64 277 72 279 67 285 38483 37117 62 271 62 274 67 282 57 284 37117 35821 63 268 61 275 59 283 47 293 35821 34518 59 268 60 279 48 291 56 312 34518 33178 55 267 55 281 58 308 64 315 33178 31803 49 268 47 286 68 309 66 311 31803 30377 45 269 50 293 68 305 63 307 30377 28888 45 273 53 293 64 300 61 303 28888 27337 48 278 50 291 60 299 62 303 27337 25723 44 282 46 292 59 300 63 304 25723 24050 36 286 47 294 57 300 62 303 24050 22319 39 310 50 298 56 303 60 302 22319 20524 41 316 48 302 53 305 57 303 20524 18658 32 317 45 303 52 306 51 305 18658 16760 25 307 41 308 49 311 44 308 16760 14930 28 302 36 309 44 314 39 310 14930 13262 32 308 32 302 36 307 38 311 13262 11774 30 315 32 301 35 300 39 314 11774 10445 23 321 29 306 35 306 39 320 10445 9260 17 321 24 311 33 321 38 328 9260 8203 14 320 20 316 29 336 33 336 8203 7266 11 323 17 324 21 348 28 341 7266 6436 9 327 14 338 15*000 23 345 6436 5701 7 327 14*353 15*003 20 349 5701 5040 8 338 15*359 15 001 19 349 5040 4454 11*348 15 000 14 358 21 343 4454 3964 12*349 15 001 14 357 22 337 3964 3587 11 348 14 001 14 356 20 334 3587 3326 11 348 13 001 13 355 16 331 3326 3167 10 347 12 001 12 355 13*330 3167 3077 7 345 9 000 8 353 6*326 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography