DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.8 - - 55.5 - - 54.3 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 156 - - 5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 286 - - 1558 - - 243 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3695 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3347 - - 4619 - - 3303 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 626 - - 647 - - 963 - - 601 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 260 - - 47 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 10 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 350 - - 353 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1344 - - 188 - - -1335 - - -87 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4692 - - 4432 - - 4638 - - 3164 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9618 - - -6967 - - -8246 - - -8595 ODpotential blCL - - - 12965 - - 11586 - - 11549 - - 11672 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 88 - - 82 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.8 - - 55.5 - - 54.3 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 46.8 - - 44.7 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 54.4 - - 54.3 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 46.2 - - 44.3 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 30 - - 156 - - 5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 286 - - 1558 - - 243 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 51 - - 27 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96342 7 173 10 259 6 321 5 038 96342 89264 2 085 9 317 4 050 4 071 89264 83763 6 332 7 305 6 013 5 318 83763 79208 10 006 9 320 9 323 11 323 79208 75275 16 358 12 341 13 311 15 326 75275 71803 14 318 18 320 15 326 21 326 71803 68682 23 339 21 334 25 332 21 323 68682 65811 37 324 34 316 33 322 29 322 65811 63144 35 320 34 315 32 314 30 313 63144 60568 28 318 31 318 34 318 34 314 60568 57878 34 314 35 317 41 306 43 299 57878 55066 42 293 43 295 43 292 46 287 55066 52356 46 273 49 277 39 287 40 293 52356 49901 45 281 55 310 64 308 72 308 49901 47705 72 305 87 308 91 301 94 300 47705 45715 78 295 85 296 87 291 89 293 45715 43892 67 282 72 285 74 284 77 285 43892 42217 58 282 66 283 66 283 65 282 42217 40670 59 287 59 282 59 282 57 277 40670 39227 63 285 58 284 58 286 60 278 39227 37866 61 284 58 287 61 280 64 285 37866 36551 60 286 61 288 63 276 71 288 36551 35214 57 282 61 288 65 280 75 290 35214 33834 55 277 59 289 66 287 72 291 33834 32418 54 278 55 288 61 285 58 276 32418 30952 53 283 55 286 58 278 57 273 30952 29419 55 286 56 287 59 277 58 277 29419 27822 58 285 58 286 58 280 59 277 27822 26164 58 285 60 286 54 284 57 278 26164 24447 58 286 58 287 49 287 54 279 24447 22673 56 285 56 284 49 286 51 281 22673 20834 57 281 56 282 52 282 50 282 20834 18923 57 279 55 282 52 279 49 283 18923 16982 53 278 51 281 46 280 47 282 16982 15115 48 277 45 280 41 285 43 284 15115 13418 42 278 40 277 38 291 38 287 13418 11908 38 279 36 275 36 294 33 289 11908 10562 35 281 34 274 32 296 29 291 10562 9359 33 282 31 276 27 301 25 296 9359 8287 30 282 27 281 23 310 21 303 8287 7333 26 281 22 289 20 324 18 315 7333 6489 21 279 16 295 18 337 16 327 6489 5740 17 274 12 306 16 344 15 335 5740 5069 12 265 10*332 13 346 15 337 5069 4474 9 261 11*347 11 348 14 338 4474 3976 6 270 11 350 8 348 13 339 3976 3593 4*276 11 351 6 350 12 341 3593 3329 2*270 10 351 4*352 9 343 3329 3169 2 266 9 350 4*353 7*347 3169 3077 1 255 7 350 3 353 5*350 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography