DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 59.6 - - 59.1 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 120 - - 16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 790 - - 2335 - - 1665 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 4192 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3851 - - 5396 - - 4726 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1280 - - 1397 - - 1593 - - 989 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 161 - - 287 - - 153 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 044 - - 026 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - -8 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3149 - - -1574 - - -1892 - - -1740 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7001 - - 6971 - - 6619 - - 4817 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9038 - - -6168 - - -8002 - - -8595 ODpotential blCL - - - 12889 - - 11564 - - 12728 - - 11672 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 53 - - 63 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.1 - - 59.6 - - 59.1 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 39.9 - - 40.9 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 58.6 - - 58.9 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.3 - - 38.6 - - 39.7 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 120 - - 16 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 790 - - 2335 - - 1665 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96166 21 304 20 306 17 319 9 315 96166 89133 10 316 16 297 16 311 8 354 89133 83695 5 335 9 296 9 318 6 009 83695 79154 1 036 7 284 9 308 11 005 79154 75234 3 350 9 267 11 291 10 329 75234 71773 2 348 10 250 10 278 9 306 71773 68636 5 056 4 230 5 239 6 294 68636 65732 1 050 1 224 2 180 2 221 65732 63023 8 084 3 046 6 205 6 338 63023 60382 3 053 10 000 12 135 6 150 60382 57610 12 062 10 058 11 114 10 060 57610 54723 24 005 8 066 6 105 17 112 54723 51980 25 040 35 067 28 074 25 059 51980 49541 40 061 42 065 34 055 26 055 49541 47354 60 054 57 054 55 055 40 069 47354 45382 68 046 64 043 65 049 56 063 45382 43605 62 048 60 046 59 040 51 063 43605 41968 64 054 60 054 60 048 60 067 41968 40440 70 057 66 060 70 058 72 062 40440 39010 79 055 77 058 82 061 76 057 39010 37666 86 053 83 053 82 060 74 056 37666 36369 90 053 82 050 75 059 72 056 36369 35053 89 055 77 051 69 056 72 057 35053 33690 85 057 75 053 71 054 71 056 33690 32286 79 059 77 055 75 056 71 055 32286 30827 74 057 77 057 73 056 72 053 30827 29303 70 052 74 058 68 056 73 051 29303 27716 69 049 68 057 64 057 73 052 27716 26066 69 048 64 055 62 058 70 052 26066 24356 68 049 62 052 59 056 67 052 24356 22588 65 050 61 050 57 055 62 053 22588 20755 60 050 58 050 55 054 60 055 20755 18853 54 049 54 051 52 053 59 061 18853 16920 48 046 48 053 48 054 56 069 16920 15062 42 043 41 056 44 056 50 075 15062 13376 37 046 34 062 39 062 40 077 13376 11876 33 054 28 070 35 071 30 073 11876 10539 30 063 20 080 32 080 24 070 10539 9343 24 068 16 090 27 086 19 073 9343 8277 18 067 15 069 20 092 14 072 8277 7328 15 062 15 044 14 089 12 065 7328 6489 15 057 13 034 11 065 12 058 6489 5744 13 056 8*035 11 041 11 049 5744 5073 9 061 5*042 10*031 9 040 5073 4478 4 080 4 044 10*027 9 035 4478 3979 3*131 4 045 9 026 8 033 3979 3595 2*167 4 045 9 025 9 034 3595 3331 2 176 3 045 8 025 8 034 3331 3169 2 180 3 045 7 025 6*034 3169 3077 2 180 3 044 6 024 4*033 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography