DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Hernandez 3063ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.6 - - 81.0 - - 86.5 - - 85.4 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 206 - - 287 - - 209 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1144 - - 4087 - - 2004 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 3521 - - 5799 - - 4134 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4207 - - 7150 - - 5067 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1121 - - 1581 - - 2167 - - 5966 - - 2441 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 258 - - 439 - - 312 - - 9 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 67 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 279 - - 219 - - 296 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -6 - - 20 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6005 - - -6367 - - -4604 - - -5704 - - -5455 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9083 - - 10574 - - 11754 - - 10771 - - 8534 sfcLCL ODpotential -11447 - - -9688 - - -7499 - - -8378 - - -9336 ODpotential blCL 14525 - - 13895 - - 14649 - - 13445 - - 12415 blCL maxRH 91 - - 95 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.6 - - 81.0 - - 86.5 - - 85.4 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.9 - - 45.5 - - 45.5 - - 48.8 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.3 - - 79.4 - - 84.5 - - 83.8 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.0 - - 44.7 - - 44.8 - - 48.1 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 206 - - 287 - - 209 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1144 - - 4087 - - 2004 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 81 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99397 36 108 35 102 27 105 28 102 27 095 99397 91890 29 102 32 109 24 115 27 098 23 098 91890 86110 27 108 23 104 24 111 20 103 23 088 86110 81308 30 108 16 113 23 095 21 106 19 091 81308 77182 23 107 17 119 20 092 23 102 17 100 77182 73548 17 116 17 116 16 098 18 103 15 096 73548 70261 11 122 22 125 18 124 17 105 15 094 70261 67246 19 137 22 125 20 120 16 120 17 104 67246 64465 18 140 20 149 13 144 16 126 11 118 64465 61783 13 169 22 170 19 164 12 153 8 154 61783 58993 18 187 26 163 26 168 24 172 15 198 58993 56115 21 183 22 183 24 171 28 172 27 179 56115 53394 31 190 30 194 27 192 23 187 28 171 53394 50959 41 190 41 185 40 197 35 206 31 191 50959 48778 46 193 43 183 52 189 44 191 35 197 48778 46800 47 202 41 190 55 180 45 181 36 194 46800 44987 48 213 42 198 48 180 41 178 35 190 44987 43300 53 211 43 206 41 189 35 188 34 193 43300 41711 58 203 48 202 38 194 35 193 36 195 41711 40213 66 200 57 195 45 196 39 196 40 193 40213 38802 77 197 66 193 58 199 49 199 47 194 38802 37443 75 194 72 191 70 196 58 197 54 196 37443 36068 67 191 66 190 66 193 59 193 56 195 36068 34648 55 185 52 184 61 191 58 190 54 192 34648 33187 48 187 45 181 55 186 52 190 52 189 33187 31672 43 197 37 189 49 181 45 191 50 187 31672 30092 38 202 29 198 43 179 40 188 44 187 30092 28449 29 207 28 198 37 182 34 182 33 190 28449 26748 32 202 32 190 31 182 33 176 28 177 26748 24986 30 194 35 188 29 177 30 177 29 174 24986 23164 25 191 37 191 30 178 25 181 26 187 23164 21284 23 176 38 189 30 185 23 193 22 191 21284 19341 28 171 42 189 30 192 24 200 17 192 19341 17370 31 161 39 179 31 193 25 188 14 172 17370 15475 18 142 26 154 31 182 21 169 9 103 15475 13752 7 160 20 129 25 165 15 157 9 064 13752 12214 8 224 16 124 25 180 10 141 4 068 12214 10840 10 248 9 137 19 177 6 128 3 195 10840 9608 12 260 7 160 8 163 3 123 7 205 9608 8507 12 265 6 195 1 251 2 110 9 202 8507 7523 8 257 9 226 1*311 2 088 6 192 7523 6649 7 216 12 233 1*078 2 072 3 111 6649 5872 7 190 12 235 1 096 2 037 5 059 5872 5172 6 176 10 242 1 146 2*341 7 034 5172 4549 6 165 7*260 1 208 4*313 7 013 4549 4027 6 171 6*278 3 232 5 300 7 356 4027 3624 6 192 6 280 3 238 5 294 6 345 3624 3345 5 202 6 281 4 240 5 290 5 336 3345 3176 4 204 5 279 4 241 5 289 4*330 3176 3079 3*209 5 279 4 242 5 288 3*326 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography