DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.5 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 422 - - 219 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2196 - - 2636 - - 1725 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4300 - - 4810 - - 3948 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5256 - - 5697 - - 4786 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 723 - - 1114 - - 823 - - 904 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 430 - - 301 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 7 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 003 - - 013 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -4 - - -23 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 680 - - -1000 - - -3262 - - -2219 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4576 - - 6697 - - 8048 - - 5295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7588 - - -7585 - - -10825 - - -10688 ODpotential blCL - - - 12844 - - 13282 - - 15611 - - 13764 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 65 - - 45 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.5 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.9 - - 36.5 - - 31.1 - - 33.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 52.7 - - 54.1 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 35.4 - - 30.2 - - 33.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 226 - - 422 - - 219 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2196 - - 2636 - - 1725 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96736 31 282 40 276 30 278 34 274 96736 89463 28 267 32 273 30 274 17 289 89463 83919 15 278 18 256 22 268 19 272 83919 79344 13 298 7 271 9 246 18 253 79344 75411 20 284 19 299 5 284 9 320 75411 71912 19 279 27 280 23 285 19 312 71912 68724 15 280 20 269 29 281 24 290 68724 65796 13 279 15 289 24 282 25 284 65796 63084 20 291 19 287 18 294 23 285 63084 60449 31 305 23 282 20 303 22 301 60449 57686 40 294 33 295 29 294 31 304 57686 54811 47 279 45 296 41 291 41 297 54811 52061 47 274 52 288 47 287 48 288 52061 49574 46 279 54 281 52 287 52 285 49574 47341 46 282 53 280 56 286 52 286 47341 45318 49 286 51 283 54 286 50 287 45318 43475 51 290 47 286 50 291 46 289 43475 41797 50 290 48 291 50 295 45 295 41797 40260 42 282 47 287 50 293 46 292 40260 38832 37 282 45 286 46 292 44 290 38832 37486 37 288 42 290 45 294 42 293 37486 36188 39 294 41 291 46 295 42 296 36188 34872 42 295 41 291 46 296 42 298 34872 33513 45 294 42 294 46 299 42 297 33513 32113 45 295 44 297 48 303 43 296 32113 30659 45 297 46 300 50 307 44 300 30659 29138 48 301 49 303 52 307 45 308 29138 27553 49 302 51 303 53 308 47 313 27553 25904 49 300 52 302 54 312 48 314 25904 24193 49 297 52 304 51 316 51 316 24193 22425 48 296 50 306 45 315 49 320 22425 20601 45 297 45 308 40 313 41 323 20601 18718 41 302 41 313 37 316 36 325 18718 16809 40 309 40 318 34 320 33 328 16809 14972 40 314 39 320 31 327 30 334 14972 13298 37 315 36 324 28 335 27 342 13298 11807 34 316 31 330 26 343 25 348 11807 10476 31 319 27 338 24 352 23 355 10476 9288 27 323 24 346 23 001 20 005 9288 8228 23 324 21 354 22 011 17 014 8228 7286 18 320 13 357 19 017 14 020 7286 6451 13 323 8 355 16 018 11 021 6451 5710 12*338 7*356 16 015 11 014 5710 5044 12*346 7*359 17*013 15 009 5044 4455 12 349 7 002 17*013 20 007 4455 3964 11 351 8 004 17 013 23 007 3964 3586 11 352 8 004 17 013 22 008 3586 3326 11 353 7 004 16 013 18 009 3326 3167 10 353 7 004 14 013 15 008 3167 3076 8 352 6 004 10 014 7*008 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography