DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.5 - - 57.2 - - 62.7 - - 58.0 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - -9 - - 57 - - -7 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 446 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3507 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 87 - - 280 - - 989 - - 563 - - 71 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 17 - - 127 - - 9 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 013 - - 020 - - 016 - - 026 - - 017 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -9 - - -1 - - -5 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8998 - - -6062 - - -4552 - - -6771 - - -5337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12075 - - 9139 - - 8060 - - 9849 - - 8414 sfcLCL ODpotential -21759 - - -14927 - - -11234 - - -15736 - - -16560 ODpotential blCL 24836 - - 18004 - - 14741 - - 18813 - - 19637 blCL maxRH 60 - - 81 - - 79 - - 81 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.5 - - 57.2 - - 62.7 - - 58.0 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.0 - - 28.8 - - 38.5 - - 26.5 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 58.5 - - 62.2 - - 59.2 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 8.9 - - 27.8 - - 37.4 - - 25.3 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - -9 - - 57 - - -7 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 446 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 25 - - 15 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96565 26 079 23 057 32 070 30 078 13 099 96565 89567 37 104 32 087 35 095 28 090 28 095 89567 84086 41 101 34 102 34 106 30 099 31 097 84086 79536 33 102 37 102 32 112 28 106 23 109 79536 75605 26 098 30 099 25 110 24 115 19 107 75605 72122 21 097 18 110 14 109 15 097 16 092 72122 68987 15 088 12 109 9 093 8 077 12 082 68987 66118 10 083 9 099 6 056 3 043 3 101 66118 63472 7 092 2 086 7 327 12 322 5 345 63472 60924 3 041 2 344 6 295 11 311 11 307 60924 58274 11 343 7 314 10 293 13 309 17 291 58274 55512 14 340 10 328 11 294 16 290 23 297 55512 52849 17 336 17 331 23 308 28 304 34 299 52849 50425 27 332 25 320 28 309 24 308 32 291 50425 48226 23 333 28 326 34 330 30 331 40 327 48226 46214 39 345 40 338 48 329 53 326 52 323 46214 44358 54 337 56 326 48 319 60 316 63 318 44358 42638 50 330 48 323 41 320 55 317 67 313 42638 41036 31 338 31 326 41 329 53 321 62 316 41036 39542 35 009 36 344 43 332 48 323 56 318 39542 38159 46 359 43 341 46 332 51 324 53 317 38159 36847 51 350 44 321 41 316 48 319 48 307 36847 35526 49 343 45 319 41 312 41 306 44 301 35526 34158 48 342 41 319 43 312 43 312 42 302 34158 32747 47 346 35 316 38 312 41 312 40 305 32747 31279 36 349 30 316 30 318 33 310 41 310 31279 29741 28 336 28 315 29 322 27 316 43 314 29741 28136 27 328 26 317 29 319 25 319 41 314 28136 26463 24 329 24 317 26 322 27 322 36 313 26463 24724 21 334 22 316 26 322 29 325 29 316 24724 22925 20 335 20 315 25 321 29 330 25 320 22925 21064 21 332 20 323 23 320 27 333 25 318 21064 19137 20 333 20 330 22 325 26 331 27 318 19137 17181 18 335 16 341 19 337 27 330 26 325 17181 15296 18 338 15 348 17 349 23 333 22 333 15296 13578 18 342 16 349 17 000 17 341 19 338 13578 12046 17 350 15 349 17 007 15 353 16 343 12046 10680 16 359 13 354 15 009 15 001 14 351 10680 9460 16 004 12 001 13 009 16 004 14 356 9460 8372 14 008 11 008 12 009 15 007 13 356 8372 7404 12 015 10 013 11 009 14 007 12 356 7404 6547 11 022 9 014 10 009 14 007 12 359 6547 5787 9 028 7 016 10 011 13 007 12 005 5787 5103 8 030 7 017 10 012 14 010 14 011 5103 4496 8 029 6 018 10 014 14 013 16 014 4496 3989 8 024 5 022 9 017 13 017 18 016 3989 3599 9 019 6 026 7*018 12 022 18 016 3599 3332 10 016 6 024 5*015 8 023 16 016 3332 3169 8 013 5 018 4 016 6*025 12*016 3169 3077 6*013 3*020 3 017 3*026 6*017 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography