DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 45.4 - - - - - 41.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 94 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2100 - - 2189 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4031 - - 3892 - - - - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5160 - - 5249 - - - - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2337 - - 2668 - - - - - 4055 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 253 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 17 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 249 - - - - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - 16 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1218 - - 1815 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3943 - - 3434 - - - - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 165 - - 720 - - - - - -1485 ODpotential blCL - - - 4995 - - 4529 - - - - - 4561 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 99 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 180 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 45.4 - - - - - 41.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.0 - - 41.0 - - - - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.6 - - 44.8 - - - - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 39.8 - - - - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 94 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2100 - - 2189 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 96 - - - - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97361 40 283 46 267 54 272 97361 90004 37 284 50 276 46 281 90004 84326 40 271 48 275 38 288 84326 79595 42 265 40 265 38 279 79595 75521 27 260 32 254 37 266 75521 71946 21 240 25 244 35 264 71946 68714 26 230 24 241 25 255 68714 65716 31 233 35 239 23 249 65716 62903 30 235 37 240 26 249 62903 60168 22 244 25 245 33 256 60168 57325 26 268 19 250 32 268 57325 54382 31 267 39 273 32 277 54382 51573 46 261 44 264 35 284 51573 49045 48 257 45 266 39 282 49045 46780 45 268 49 271 40 275 46780 44720 49 275 54 274 40 278 44720 42826 56 276 58 275 46 282 42826 41077 66 273 64 274 56 277 41077 39461 78 269 70 271 64 271 39461 37966 84 266 75 269 66 267 37966 36580 88 266 81 269 67 267 36580 35263 95 266 85 268 71 265 35263 33947 102 265 82 270 72 264 33947 32603 105 263 84 275 71 265 32603 31229 106 262 88 277 70 264 31229 29810 105 261 90 276 69 264 29810 28332 100 260 88 274 67 265 28332 26795 93 260 78 275 63 268 26795 25200 86 261 64 281 61 269 25200 23547 76 262 55 287 58 271 23547 21840 68 262 50 290 51 275 21840 20075 62 262 48 288 39 278 20075 18251 56 266 47 284 30 270 18251 16399 49 270 44 283 23 280 16399 14615 36 267 38 280 20 295 14615 12990 25 245 30 271 16 288 12990 11547 24 231 26 259 14 264 11547 10266 24 242 26 253 13 254 10266 9123 25 260 26 256 11 262 9123 8104 25 273 25 262 10 276 8104 7195 22 280 23 265 11 285 7195 6388 19 282 22 265 11 285 6388 5669 16*282 21*263 12 281 5669 5020 13*276 20*258 12 273 5020 4443 11 265 18 251 12 267 4443 3958 10 254 17 247 11 261 3958 3583 9 250 17 245 10 255 3583 3324 9 248 16 245 8 252 3324 3167 8 247 14 244 6 252 3167 3076 7 246 11 243 4*252 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography