DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 58.5 - - 63.3 - - 61.1 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - -3 - - 6 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 343 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3404 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 138 - - 635 - - 1367 - - 612 - - 199 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 10 - - 84 - - 12 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 311 - - 339 - - 352 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -6 - - 1 - - -4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9911 - - -8978 - - -4010 - - -3212 - - -7941 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12988 - - 12055 - - 7414 - - 6290 - - 11019 sfcLCL ODpotential -19538 - - -17041 - - -9942 - - -9111 - - -17355 ODpotential blCL 22615 - - 20118 - - 13346 - - 12189 - - 20432 blCL maxRH 14 - - 13 - - 41 - - 24 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 58.5 - - 63.3 - - 61.1 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.4 - - 17.6 - - 42.0 - - 44.6 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.1 - - 62.0 - - 63.3 - - 62.7 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.3 - - 16.5 - - 40.7 - - 43.1 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - -3 - - 6 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 343 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96284 36 069 19 105 8 050 18 072 26 085 96284 89378 43 091 23 109 14 120 23 077 35 077 89378 84052 48 090 44 105 31 098 30 090 36 088 84052 79546 46 088 41 098 39 098 35 103 36 094 79546 75576 33 091 36 092 33 101 31 095 29 088 75576 72055 26 093 23 086 22 094 23 091 24 081 72055 68877 25 068 20 081 19 077 21 089 24 090 68877 65965 20 058 19 055 23 050 20 058 26 064 65965 63292 12 083 14 077 13 036 16 021 18 037 63292 60718 28 058 19 090 3 111 9 321 9 022 60718 58023 32 022 31 036 24 051 17 044 7 020 58023 55210 27 022 33 028 25 033 20 045 15 045 55210 52521 38 035 39 030 33 025 39 030 42 042 52521 50098 45 016 46 014 42 012 45 014 54 020 50098 47909 42 005 43 000 35 003 38 007 51 009 47909 45901 31 019 33 021 25 024 33 017 37 003 45901 44057 37 047 39 055 33 055 27 033 14 015 44057 42359 56 054 56 062 45 066 34 072 27 114 42359 40783 65 050 66 059 59 069 53 079 55 101 40783 39320 54 046 58 052 63 062 59 078 69 094 39320 37954 36 054 44 057 56 054 55 074 69 090 37954 36643 39 083 35 088 49 065 51 077 64 090 36643 35322 49 099 41 111 40 084 46 086 61 099 35322 33963 53 098 42 110 30 092 49 097 61 107 33963 32567 48 092 41 101 34 098 53 100 50 110 32567 31119 48 093 41 095 41 099 48 099 44 114 31119 29602 47 095 42 093 43 094 42 097 45 116 29602 28018 44 090 42 091 42 093 41 097 44 113 28018 26366 42 085 41 089 43 096 41 100 40 109 26366 24651 41 084 39 090 42 100 38 105 37 104 24651 22876 39 089 37 092 41 104 35 115 33 102 22876 21034 36 095 34 094 38 107 33 121 27 102 21034 19118 30 095 31 096 33 107 29 121 25 101 19118 17165 24 088 28 100 28 105 26 113 24 095 17165 15284 23 083 25 105 26 111 24 107 22 095 15284 13571 19 083 24 113 26 120 22 099 19 091 13571 12044 14 088 21 122 24 124 20 099 15 086 12044 10683 10 102 16 130 18 124 15 109 10 098 10683 9468 10 127 11 142 10 123 8 104 4 121 9468 8382 9 148 8 161 4 128 5 058 2 341 8382 7414 6 167 7 184 1 340 8 033 4 012 7414 6556 3 174 8 209 4 315 9 020 7 026 6556 5794 2 159 9 226 7 306 10 008 8 029 5794 5109 1 146 11 234 8 304 10 357 10 030 5109 4501 1 168 11 237 9 308 10 350 11 034 4501 3993 1 212 10 238 8 317 9 347 11 038 3993 3602 1 237 7 242 6*326 8 348 11 039 3602 3334 1 295 5 246 4*337 6 347 9 044 3334 3170 0*253 3 245 3 339 4*349 7 053 3170 3077 2*358 2*311 3 340 2*352 3*055 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography