DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.1 - - 57.2 - - 61.9 - - 62.3 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 77 - - 155 - - 58 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 685 - - 1925 - - 1507 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 4004 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3746 - - 4987 - - 4568 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 160 - - 861 - - 1036 - - 1252 - - 564 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 164 - - 289 - - 195 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 331 - - 011 - - 348 - - 011 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 0 - - 9 - - -6 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2677 - - -2426 - - -1464 - - -2137 - - -888 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5755 - - 6173 - - 6451 - - 6705 - - 3965 sfcLCL ODpotential -12638 - - -9151 - - -5998 - - -7984 - - -7263 ODpotential blCL 15715 - - 12897 - - 10985 - - 12552 - - 10340 blCL maxRH 41 - - 53 - - 60 - - 63 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.1 - - 57.2 - - 61.9 - - 62.3 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.1 - - 41.0 - - 44.4 - - 43.7 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 56.6 - - 60.9 - - 61.8 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 39.8 - - 43.2 - - 42.5 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 77 - - 155 - - 58 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 685 - - 1925 - - 1507 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96542 21 301 21 281 36 284 31 299 25 297 96542 89348 13 284 13 289 20 283 18 297 9 327 89348 83823 14 289 14 275 15 278 16 274 13 307 83823 79249 15 289 11 251 19 249 24 258 24 305 79249 75312 18 290 12 279 18 268 21 258 21 290 75312 71807 23 279 19 279 15 285 16 259 18 284 71807 68628 22 271 22 275 22 288 18 285 18 292 68628 65709 21 276 23 276 27 279 25 300 21 306 65709 62997 22 269 21 277 28 273 29 294 26 304 62997 60360 22 290 18 280 25 270 32 285 29 300 60360 57599 34 297 24 300 26 281 33 284 29 295 57599 54725 43 287 37 298 34 291 36 290 32 292 54725 51978 41 279 42 292 41 291 40 298 33 298 51978 49515 39 290 44 294 45 299 49 308 41 311 49515 47339 44 300 45 296 50 298 51 303 47 308 47339 45399 35 304 35 303 37 314 40 303 45 304 45399 43646 58 338 59 336 52 335 44 325 41 312 43646 42042 65 335 67 335 58 333 48 331 36 317 42042 40545 56 336 62 332 55 331 46 328 36 315 40545 39131 50 338 52 333 50 330 39 327 37 309 39131 37792 48 339 42 338 46 329 34 323 35 302 37792 36496 47 341 39 344 43 327 33 315 35 296 36496 35180 47 342 38 344 40 325 33 311 36 293 35180 33816 45 343 38 341 38 324 33 306 40 296 33816 32407 44 345 38 341 37 323 33 300 45 301 32407 30941 45 348 36 338 36 321 33 298 45 307 30941 29412 45 347 35 333 34 319 35 299 42 313 29412 27819 45 343 35 333 32 319 36 308 40 315 27819 26163 45 339 37 329 33 322 36 319 39 318 26163 24447 43 335 38 323 37 328 35 324 39 323 24447 22675 39 332 38 315 40 334 35 330 42 329 22675 20843 37 332 39 315 39 335 37 339 46 334 20843 18942 35 334 38 321 35 341 40 346 47 337 18942 17010 30 335 34 329 32 345 39 348 44 341 17010 15149 26 338 29 331 30 344 36 349 38 344 15149 13456 22 344 23 330 27 338 32 352 33 344 13456 11949 19 347 18 329 25 331 30 356 31 345 11949 10606 17 345 16 327 24 328 29 358 28 348 10606 9404 18 342 17 327 23 331 28 357 25 352 9404 8330 19 340 18 333 21 338 26 358 24 357 8330 7373 18 340 19 340 19 346 22 002 22 002 7373 6523 15 339 18 346 16 354 17 006 19 006 6523 5769 11 334 15 350 11 358 12 009 16 008 5769 5090 6 322 10 351 5*002 10*010 15 009 5090 4488 3 303 5 356 5*357 10*011 15 010 4488 3985 3 320 3*013 4 352 9 012 15 011 3985 3598 6 322 3*015 4 345 9 011 15 012 3598 3332 7 322 2 012 4 342 8 011 13 014 3332 3170 7*322 2 007 4 340 8 010 10 015 3170 3077 5*331 2 006 3 338 6 009 5*016 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography