DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.3 - - 68.0 - - 72.4 - - 71.0 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 254 - - 362 - - 168 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2318 - - 5619 - - 5284 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4428 - - 7089 - - 6459 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 5379 - - 8681 - - 8346 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 120 - - 2971 - - 1710 - - 1446 - - 815 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 350 - - 528 - - 403 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 44 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 253 - - 217 - - 279 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 7 - - 32 - - 25 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5050 - - -4595 - - -2035 - - -1516 - - -3354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8127 - - 9974 - - 10717 - - 9862 - - 6432 sfcLCL ODpotential -11515 - - -8778 - - -5381 - - -5012 - - -8246 ODpotential blCL 14592 - - 14157 - - 14062 - - 13358 - - 11324 blCL maxRH 74 - - 65 - - 66 - - 58 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.3 - - 68.0 - - 72.4 - - 71.0 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.9 - - 35.0 - - 35.9 - - 38.4 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.5 - - 66.3 - - 70.1 - - 69.7 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.8 - - 33.8 - - 34.7 - - 37.4 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 254 - - 362 - - 168 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2318 - - 5619 - - 5284 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96850 30 304 28 290 43 281 47 298 52 303 96850 89599 27 310 26 304 26 290 35 304 35 305 89599 84093 21 306 18 313 20 313 21 316 24 321 84093 79561 16 314 12 323 16 314 21 324 22 343 79561 75641 14 321 13 333 14 323 19 326 20 339 75641 72164 10 324 11 333 12 330 16 346 16 327 72164 69002 11 328 6 003 8 305 11 330 14 314 69002 66075 13 301 7 320 8 284 11 281 17 284 66075 63347 16 290 13 254 13 282 18 281 20 271 63347 60684 26 264 22 262 26 267 26 275 22 273 60684 57879 31 254 31 264 30 264 32 268 28 270 57879 54949 41 263 43 273 37 270 38 264 34 269 54949 52142 45 259 49 267 42 268 39 274 35 280 52142 49623 40 258 46 261 45 271 49 282 46 292 49623 47386 33 262 41 261 53 273 57 278 56 285 47386 45377 36 280 42 264 54 270 52 273 54 276 45377 43547 44 281 37 268 44 269 46 277 48 277 43547 41865 46 282 35 278 37 275 44 289 45 294 41865 40318 47 282 38 287 40 287 53 300 54 307 40318 38884 44 276 36 289 42 296 59 302 63 315 38884 37542 39 271 34 290 44 300 57 301 65 316 37542 36251 35 267 34 294 42 302 54 300 62 314 36251 34944 29 266 28 300 42 305 55 303 56 309 34944 33594 25 269 26 306 41 308 50 308 52 307 33594 32203 25 271 25 305 38 308 41 305 47 312 32203 30758 26 277 25 306 32 307 38 304 39 316 30758 29247 25 285 24 309 29 307 35 308 32 316 29247 27675 21 292 21 313 27 309 30 310 30 311 27675 26040 19 305 18 320 23 309 27 308 30 306 26040 24343 17 311 17 319 18 312 24 302 27 302 24343 22588 13 303 16 315 15 313 22 296 24 299 22588 20766 14 280 13 313 12 311 21 292 22 298 20766 18876 12 266 9 306 10 315 18 292 20 299 18876 16958 7 246 5 265 8 301 12 297 14 303 16958 15114 3 209 5 241 8 273 10 303 10 306 15114 13434 2 151 5 217 8 263 10 307 9 312 13434 11936 1 228 3 213 6 251 10 307 10 314 11936 10598 4 235 4 225 5 223 6 289 11 308 10598 9402 6 216 7 215 3*181 1*130 9 287 9402 8333 5 200 8 212 2*149 1*096 6 251 8333 7380 2 186 6 208 2 141 0 110 4 233 7380 6534 2 132 4 196 2 162 2 281 4 262 6534 5782 3 127 3*198 2 205 5 279 4 293 5782 5103 2 093 3*214 3 232 6 279 5 313 5103 4499 1 078 3 249 4 240 7 279 7 329 4499 3993 4 033 4 257 4 243 8 278 10 336 3993 3603 7 019 4 261 5 244 8 278 12 339 3603 3334 8 013 5 260 5 244 8 278 11 338 3334 3171 7 008 5 258 5 244 7 277 9*337 3171 3078 4*012 4 259 4 244 6 277 5*336 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography