DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.1 - - 84.5 - - 88.6 - - 86.9 - - 75.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 195 - - 291 - - 73 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2124 - - 8425 - - 8442 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4190 - - 9203 - - 8092 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3079 - - 5186 - - 11487 - - 11505 - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 7094 - - 2667 - - 2428 - - 1368 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 310 - - 559 - - 355 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 35 - - 37 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 052 - - 166 - - 119 - - 059 - - 040 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 12 - - 38 - - 39 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6002 - - -6720 - - -993 - - -568 - - -6947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9082 - - 11906 - - 12480 - - 12074 - - 10027 sfcLCL ODpotential -10602 - - -9205 - - -2210 - - -2188 - - -13070 ODpotential blCL 13681 - - 14391 - - 13697 - - 13693 - - 16149 blCL maxRH 67 - - 70 - - 69 - - 71 - - 46 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.1 - - 84.5 - - 88.6 - - 86.9 - - 75.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.6 - - 43.0 - - 44.2 - - 44.4 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.8 - - 83.0 - - 86.5 - - 86.2 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.6 - - 42.3 - - 43.6 - - 43.9 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 195 - - 291 - - 73 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2124 - - 8425 - - 8442 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97877 12 269 11 271 12 258 14 241 11 257 97877 90573 4 154 7 242 7 263 7 231 1 177 90573 84941 11 123 3 175 2 179 2 314 7 030 84941 80277 12 097 6 126 4 134 7 028 7 041 80277 76288 11 076 10 111 7 119 7 045 7 062 76288 72782 13 066 13 100 7 120 6 064 10 082 72782 69614 13 071 13 090 8 098 8 067 11 061 69614 66709 13 060 14 080 8 093 4 053 7 049 66709 64027 8 054 10 072 10 087 2 099 8 046 64027 61435 8 107 2 030 7 045 3 091 7 348 61435 58750 8 324 5 341 6 292 6 252 12 275 58750 55972 26 294 15 321 13 306 13 289 19 298 55972 53326 44 287 42 292 44 294 48 290 43 292 53326 50950 53 280 57 284 57 286 54 285 54 286 50950 48800 59 283 62 285 60 287 60 288 62 286 48800 46826 62 286 62 287 59 288 64 289 69 287 46826 44999 64 287 65 290 60 288 67 291 71 288 44999 43294 64 289 66 288 64 287 70 293 69 291 43294 41695 63 292 65 287 66 287 73 292 71 292 41695 40186 65 293 66 289 66 287 71 290 73 292 40186 38763 64 293 66 290 65 287 67 289 71 292 38763 37394 63 293 65 291 63 287 64 288 66 290 37394 36016 61 294 61 293 60 291 62 288 61 288 36016 34599 60 295 56 295 53 292 58 291 58 288 34599 33142 57 296 51 297 48 293 49 290 52 291 33142 31632 51 301 47 299 44 294 44 291 47 293 31632 30060 41 302 41 298 38 290 39 291 43 296 30060 28427 35 292 38 288 34 286 37 287 38 295 28427 26728 34 290 37 288 33 288 34 289 34 294 26728 24964 31 297 31 296 29 296 27 295 28 295 24964 23141 24 294 23 296 22 303 20 301 22 295 23141 21256 16 267 15 274 15 283 15 296 17 300 21256 19306 15 227 16 228 16 252 12 294 10 305 19306 17331 12 231 11 217 11 237 8 296 5 335 17331 15438 7 216 5 195 4 183 1 313 4 054 15438 13717 9 176 5 156 5 125 5 101 9 100 13717 12186 8 172 6 133 6*102 4*094 10 103 12186 10821 4 180 6 127 6*097 3*089 7 097 10821 9599 4 130 6 113 5 097 2 088 5 095 9599 8502 7 112 6 104 4 102 1 081 4 097 8502 7523 9 109 7 112 3 118 1 070 4 100 7523 6651 10 110 8 129 2 126 1 058 4 101 6651 5874 10 108 8*146 2 139 1 050 5 076 5874 5173 11 102 6*156 2 150 2 046 8 048 5173 4550 11 096 5 164 2 157 3 043 11 036 4550 4027 11 090 4 168 2 166 3 041 13 033 4027 3624 11 083 4 169 2 170 3 042 12 034 3624 3345 9 071 3 172 2 174 3 043 10 037 3345 3176 8*062 3 175 2 174 3 042 8*040 3176 3079 5*052 3 175 2 177 3 043 5*040 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography