DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/12 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.3 - - 84.3 - - 89.3 - - 87.0 - - 72.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 373 - - 497 - - 305 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1649 - - 3507 - - 2041 - - 288 BL Depth Hcrit 3062 - - 4039 - - 5529 - - 4274 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 4712 - - 6570 - - 5104 - - 3350 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 440 - - 1645 - - 1754 - - 2053 - - 363 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 352 - - 498 - - 353 - - 80 W* B/S 3 - - 17 - - 15 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 258 - - 216 - - 227 - - 241 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 8 - - 14 - - 11 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8300 - - -7918 - - -6357 - - -6533 - - -2869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11379 - - 12631 - - 12928 - - 11638 - - 6220 sfcLCL ODpotential -17518 - - -15350 - - -12766 - - -12803 - - -11392 ODpotential blCL 20596 - - 20062 - - 19336 - - 17907 - - 14742 blCL maxRH 24 - - 44 - - 52 - - 50 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.3 - - 84.3 - - 89.3 - - 87.0 - - 72.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 39.9 - - 43.3 - - 46.7 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.0 - - 81.9 - - 86.3 - - 84.9 - - 72.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 39.3 - - 42.7 - - 46.3 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 373 - - 497 - - 305 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1649 - - 3507 - - 2041 - - 288 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98808 33 103 32 104 35 105 34 101 35 099 98808 91370 31 103 27 112 31 111 25 106 28 098 91370 85635 27 100 29 109 20 106 28 115 21 100 85635 80901 28 099 27 101 18 108 24 104 27 112 80901 76816 28 101 22 106 20 111 20 091 27 088 76816 73205 20 108 17 102 19 106 18 096 20 080 73205 69958 18 117 15 101 17 102 19 103 15 085 69958 66989 18 100 17 101 16 099 16 098 15 096 66989 64246 14 079 20 095 12 104 15 099 15 094 64246 61609 15 091 20 090 15 122 11 110 15 074 61609 58885 13 072 16 099 18 111 13 141 9 090 58885 56077 9 053 7 105 9 087 14 113 9 116 56077 53411 6 340 6 040 5 010 4 068 5 103 53411 51025 15 291 12 311 12 345 7 329 4 020 51025 48889 25 283 22 290 18 307 15 314 11 332 48889 46943 28 285 25 283 22 296 22 306 21 321 46943 45144 29 287 27 279 27 287 26 298 25 306 45144 43465 30 288 28 284 28 285 26 292 25 299 43465 41885 31 289 31 291 29 287 28 290 28 297 41885 40395 32 292 35 290 32 287 33 287 33 287 40395 38989 35 291 37 285 35 285 37 283 37 284 38989 37633 38 289 37 286 36 286 39 279 38 283 37633 36261 40 289 37 290 35 287 37 280 36 283 36261 34846 39 287 36 294 34 295 32 284 30 287 34846 33392 35 284 33 297 33 300 28 290 25 291 33392 31884 31 290 27 297 30 302 28 299 23 300 31884 30309 25 292 24 295 25 297 27 306 22 311 30309 28669 25 292 23 299 21 297 24 301 21 309 28669 26964 23 298 19 303 17 299 20 296 19 304 26964 25197 19 299 15 299 14 291 16 292 17 300 25197 23371 16 294 13 290 14 283 15 291 16 296 23371 21478 16 288 15 281 15 283 15 293 16 295 21478 19512 20 284 18 280 17 282 17 290 17 294 19512 17512 20 282 16 278 15 279 15 288 16 290 17512 15586 15 279 11 271 11 274 10 284 11 287 15586 13834 8 271 8 254 8 262 6 278 7 292 13834 12273 3 253 5 216 6 232 5 250 4 283 12273 10879 2 219 5 168 7 195 6 217 4 238 10879 9634 1 233 5 151 7 176 5 196 7 201 9634 8523 1 351 4 149 4 153 3 087 8 168 8523 7534 1 002 2 182 2 108 7 055 9 123 7534 6656 0 129 2 208 2*111 6 045 10 095 6656 5874 3 167 2 177 2*194 3 025 9 077 5874 5169 4 157 2*154 4 222 3*267 7 068 5169 4543 4 142 2*179 6 227 7*245 3 061 4543 4020 2 151 3 212 7 228 9 241 5 242 4020 3618 1 226 4 220 8 230 9 240 8*240 3618 3342 2 264 5 223 8 230 10 240 8*242 3342 3175 2 257 5 225 8 231 9 240 8 242 3175 3078 2*258 5 224 7 230 8 240 6 243 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography