DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 61.9 - - 65.4 - - 65.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 30 - - 95 - - 20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 661 - - 2179 - - 2038 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3985 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3722 - - 5240 - - 5100 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 307 - - 1182 - - 1692 - - 1925 - - 1723 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 131 - - 265 - - 169 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 19 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 263 - - 266 - - 320 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 5 - - 6 - - -3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3048 - - -3938 - - -2706 - - -3259 - - -3985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6125 - - 7661 - - 7946 - - 8359 - - 7062 sfcLCL ODpotential -10726 - - -10194 - - -7621 - - -9129 - - -11478 ODpotential blCL 13803 - - 13916 - - 12861 - - 14229 - - 14555 blCL maxRH 43 - - 39 - - 43 - - 43 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 61.9 - - 65.4 - - 65.1 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.1 - - 39.3 - - 41.4 - - 39.2 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 61.7 - - 64.5 - - 64.9 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.1 - - 37.9 - - 40.1 - - 38.0 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 30 - - 95 - - 20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 661 - - 2179 - - 2038 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96236 16 322 16 313 9 268 14 270 16 279 96236 89123 13 312 10 316 11 289 9 272 11 283 89123 83627 5 330 6 335 10 268 16 295 11 328 83627 79076 4 023 4 291 11 283 17 290 13 333 79076 75163 8 352 5 295 14 285 13 309 11 321 75163 71702 6 320 12 302 14 289 11 314 10 296 71702 68552 11 277 11 268 16 298 10 268 14 297 68552 65644 11 235 13 272 14 281 9 243 14 267 65644 62942 9 248 11 270 12 289 8 285 11 240 62942 60321 8 189 19 243 12 266 12 288 7 258 60321 57579 6 045 1 114 10 235 7 310 5 281 57579 54717 6 299 9 067 8 061 6 041 7 053 54717 51986 4 146 25 064 15 076 9 044 20 032 51986 49540 24 056 30 062 20 083 13 068 21 032 49540 47348 26 038 35 052 30 063 24 068 25 048 47348 45356 32 064 34 051 33 044 30 044 27 035 45356 43551 39 070 37 060 33 054 24 052 21 034 43551 41904 46 059 45 051 39 050 31 051 22 045 41904 40373 53 048 48 040 42 037 37 037 31 027 40373 38941 54 045 47 037 40 035 36 030 33 024 38941 37598 53 045 47 044 39 039 34 032 31 028 37598 36305 53 046 47 048 39 043 32 037 30 032 36305 34996 54 047 47 049 38 048 31 043 28 042 34996 33642 55 050 48 052 38 054 31 048 26 044 33642 32248 56 053 48 056 40 059 32 050 27 050 32248 30800 57 055 49 059 41 060 33 049 30 056 30800 29287 57 057 51 059 42 057 36 048 32 056 29287 27711 59 059 51 059 43 053 38 046 32 042 27711 26072 60 063 51 062 42 054 37 045 30 032 26072 24370 57 065 51 067 41 062 34 052 27 043 24370 22608 50 063 48 070 40 070 31 059 26 040 22608 20781 44 059 41 070 35 074 28 057 27 040 20781 18886 41 057 36 066 31 073 27 054 26 048 18886 16962 36 059 32 062 28 064 25 056 23 057 16962 15111 31 065 27 064 26 055 23 059 21 058 15111 13424 25 074 21 068 23 051 20 058 21 049 13424 11920 19 087 15 070 19 053 15 054 22 042 11920 10578 13 106 11 078 14 054 9 043 18 038 10578 9379 10 127 9 096 9 053 6 025 12 030 9379 8310 7 147 9 110 6 067 3 016 9 006 8310 7358 6 166 9 115 5 108 1 006 8 343 7358 6515 7 171 7 118 5 139 1 303 7 333 6515 5767 8 175 6 139 4*155 1*004 5 335 5767 5093 8 194 5 190 1*243 2*351 5 342 5093 4493 8 217 5 233 2 267 2 331 5 342 4493 3990 6 229 5*259 3 269 3 319 5 341 3990 3602 3 230 3*266 3 267 3 312 4 341 3602 3334 0 345 3 264 3 267 3 308 3 343 3334 3171 2 024 3 261 3 266 3 308 2 351 3171 3077 3*032 2 257 3 263 3 306 2*008 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography