DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.6 - - 45.4 - - 44.3 - - 38.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 167 - - 56 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 903 - - 1691 - - 1736 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3059 - - 3850 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3962 - - 4751 - - 4796 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1063 - - 851 - - 916 - - 1122 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 175 - - 280 - - 198 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 206 - - 212 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 13 - - 12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -999 - - 645 - - 1267 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4961 - - 4106 - - 3529 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9278 - - -5978 - - 146 - - -7448 ODpotential blCL - - - 13240 - - 10729 - - 4650 - - 10524 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 82 - - 94 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.6 - - 45.4 - - 44.3 - - 38.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 38.3 - - 39.7 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.0 - - 44.3 - - 43.9 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 37.1 - - 38.6 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 167 - - 56 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 903 - - 1691 - - 1736 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 26 - - 77 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96782 28 115 23 112 22 115 20 105 96782 89564 26 112 23 117 23 109 23 113 89564 83974 19 109 18 122 15 113 21 106 83974 79343 13 118 10 139 7 130 12 096 79343 75352 5 150 5 193 3 201 4 086 75352 71815 11 192 8 230 7 228 5 228 71815 68602 8 178 9 244 7 215 7 217 68602 65640 8 237 12 257 12 249 16 251 65640 62896 15 248 19 254 20 250 20 242 62896 60235 25 253 25 257 22 260 18 243 60235 57455 33 256 31 258 28 263 25 251 57455 54589 38 261 36 258 38 260 38 260 54589 51868 46 267 41 261 48 258 48 265 51868 49411 56 266 49 263 54 257 57 266 49411 47208 56 268 57 259 58 255 61 261 47208 45233 61 277 58 261 57 254 61 256 45233 43452 71 277 60 272 51 257 56 251 43452 41814 71 277 56 277 49 273 51 259 41814 40281 68 286 55 280 52 275 52 267 40281 38840 68 284 53 271 53 261 55 257 38840 37476 69 275 57 260 52 253 49 246 37476 36158 71 269 61 257 56 251 53 241 36158 34823 71 270 63 257 58 252 53 247 34823 33450 71 273 63 262 59 254 52 249 33450 32039 72 272 63 264 59 256 52 248 32039 30577 73 271 63 262 59 253 55 247 30577 29052 71 270 64 259 61 251 56 248 29052 27466 69 269 64 260 62 251 56 250 27466 25823 63 267 63 262 61 252 55 249 25823 24123 57 266 60 262 61 254 55 250 24123 22365 49 268 54 261 58 257 53 252 22365 20542 44 271 47 260 49 255 50 254 20542 18651 43 272 40 263 41 251 44 251 18651 16733 40 268 35 266 35 251 38 244 16733 14891 35 260 32 266 31 252 34 241 14891 13216 30 248 29 257 30 248 31 240 13216 11726 27 233 27 242 28 239 29 235 11726 10398 25 219 28 223 27 229 28 226 10398 9215 24 208 30 211 28 218 29 216 9215 8162 25 198 30 201 29 205 31 204 8162 7227 26 189 31 192 30 194 34 193 7227 6402 26 183 30 188 29 191 36 186 6402 5671 26 182 27 190 23 196 34 184 5671 5016 24 184 21*197 18*205 29 187 5016 4436 22*185 18*204 16*209 22 194 4436 3952 19*186 17 206 16 211 17 203 3952 3580 16 186 16 207 15 212 14 209 3580 3322 14 186 15 207 14 213 11 211 3322 3166 13 187 14 208 13 214 9*210 3166 3076 9 187 10 209 9 214 4*210 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography