DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.2 - - 45.0 - - 44.1 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 21 - - 19 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 670 - - 238 - - 498 - - 139 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3730 - - 3298 - - 3558 - - 3199 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2893 - - 2569 - - 1959 - - 2140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 100 - - 73 - - 91 - - 46 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 14 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 213 - - 206 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - 20 - - 13 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 654 - - 222 - - 482 - - 122 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3076 - - 3076 - - 3077 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 147 - - -4 - - 264 - - 76 ODpotential blCL - - - 3583 - - 3302 - - 3294 - - 3123 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.2 - - 45.0 - - 44.1 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.0 - - 44.3 - - 43.2 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 44.9 - - 43.9 - - 43.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.6 - - 44.1 - - 42.9 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 21 - - 19 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 670 - - 238 - - 498 - - 139 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96181 22 286 24 294 22 309 21 297 96181 89081 13 320 12 296 18 307 17 306 89081 83613 13 286 15 309 11 315 12 318 83613 79064 14 274 12 299 10 299 17 294 79064 75141 12 283 7 306 11 301 11 275 75141 71643 22 254 12 277 9 301 9 247 71643 68454 21 240 24 251 18 276 14 220 68454 65509 19 237 30 235 20 264 19 230 65509 62747 25 245 19 225 19 233 29 229 62747 60043 28 249 17 239 26 243 28 233 60043 57199 36 240 38 260 42 256 34 256 57199 54240 39 249 57 249 56 252 48 260 54240 51419 48 251 62 241 62 246 56 256 51419 48887 52 250 61 244 57 246 59 249 48887 46622 60 252 62 251 57 248 59 247 46622 44574 72 253 67 252 65 251 62 248 44574 42705 87 247 73 249 75 250 69 249 42705 40987 89 238 83 242 81 246 80 248 40987 39399 88 239 87 234 82 243 87 245 39399 37922 107 242 86 235 82 243 88 243 37922 36545 118 242 97 240 89 245 91 242 36545 35231 114 241 113 239 100 246 97 241 35231 33914 116 239 116 236 109 245 104 241 33914 32565 113 237 115 236 113 242 106 240 32565 31184 111 238 114 237 114 240 105 240 31184 29759 107 238 111 236 113 240 99 241 29759 28281 104 235 108 234 102 243 82 239 28281 26752 101 234 103 236 79 245 62 239 26752 25170 90 236 89 239 64 251 52 246 25170 23535 77 234 75 241 57 252 47 249 23535 21843 74 232 60 243 53 249 46 245 21843 20088 73 233 54 247 42 245 42 239 20088 18268 62 237 56 245 37 245 37 233 18268 16422 51 238 47 241 38 239 35 223 16422 14646 42 241 38 241 35 232 38 229 14646 13027 33 245 35 242 32 233 35 238 13027 11585 26 240 34 241 33 240 26 245 11585 10298 22 227 33 243 33 248 20 248 10298 9149 22 216 31 237 30 254 18 249 9149 8123 24 214 30 227 26 257 19 253 8123 7209 27 215 31 220 23 254 19 259 7209 6399 28 215 32 218 21 245 19 264 6399 5676 27 214 32 217 22 228 19 266 5676 5025 27 214 31 216 24 215 19 265 5025 4445 26 213 30 215 24 209 19 263 4445 3959 24*213 28 214 22 207 18 259 3959 3584 22*212 25 213 20*206 17 255 3584 3325 19 211 22*213 17*206 15*253 3325 3167 16 211 19*213 15 206 14*252 3167 3077 11 211 12 213 10 207 9 251 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography