DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 66.1 - - 71.3 - - 70.8 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 251 - - 371 - - 174 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1798 - - 3972 - - 4012 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4050 - - 5804 - - 5523 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4860 - - 7033 - - 7074 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 263 - - 1594 - - 1535 - - 1574 - - 1102 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 321 - - 474 - - 371 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 343 - - 341 - - 347 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 8 - - 19 - - 19 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4059 - - -4009 - - -3208 - - -2743 - - -4012 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7136 - - 8869 - - 10242 - - 9817 - - 7089 sfcLCL ODpotential -11780 - - -10449 - - -8228 - - -7120 - - -9846 ODpotential blCL 14857 - - 15309 - - 15261 - - 14194 - - 12923 blCL maxRH 38 - - 53 - - 56 - - 51 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 66.1 - - 71.3 - - 70.8 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 38.0 - - 37.0 - - 38.4 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 64.4 - - 68.9 - - 69.4 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.7 - - 36.9 - - 35.8 - - 37.3 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 251 - - 371 - - 174 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1798 - - 3972 - - 4012 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96565 39 289 36 292 45 282 35 294 42 286 96565 89370 29 313 30 288 31 287 31 297 29 310 89370 83908 24 318 22 292 24 298 24 299 24 313 83908 79391 20 322 18 314 21 314 22 312 21 320 79391 75495 20 330 13 334 15 324 18 318 20 326 75495 72040 15 331 10 339 10 315 15 326 19 326 72040 68890 15 339 10 330 11 295 16 313 20 313 68890 65971 20 318 10 319 12 273 16 288 19 299 65971 63243 21 292 15 311 13 290 16 288 19 293 63243 60581 26 276 24 290 16 287 19 280 21 289 60581 57791 29 276 29 291 23 293 25 280 25 285 57791 54900 36 284 38 286 34 290 32 287 30 287 54900 52157 37 287 39 285 38 290 39 291 36 286 52157 49692 44 291 41 290 43 286 44 286 39 280 49692 47473 47 291 45 290 44 283 47 282 45 279 47473 45458 48 294 45 290 39 280 48 274 47 271 45458 43630 49 297 44 292 36 283 38 272 39 263 43630 41967 50 294 44 292 38 285 34 280 34 270 41967 40437 48 290 43 290 38 284 42 280 42 276 40437 39011 46 291 43 290 42 285 44 274 44 271 39011 37667 44 296 43 290 42 281 42 274 40 267 37667 36371 44 300 42 292 39 278 38 277 36 265 36371 35058 45 302 42 294 37 279 35 276 34 266 35058 33701 43 302 41 299 34 281 32 278 33 267 33701 32302 39 302 37 300 31 286 31 278 32 269 32302 30848 33 301 30 296 28 289 29 277 31 270 30848 29328 28 298 25 285 26 283 28 278 30 270 29328 27745 24 291 24 278 26 278 27 280 29 270 27745 26098 20 285 22 270 24 275 25 279 28 271 26098 24391 19 290 19 270 20 271 23 270 26 272 24391 22628 18 298 17 279 16 271 21 266 24 273 22628 20805 13 303 15 283 14 274 16 272 20 280 20805 18914 12 297 13 281 12 273 12 281 15 282 18914 16990 13 301 12 285 11 278 9 289 10 283 16990 15136 13 308 11 295 10 286 8 299 7 290 15136 13448 13 309 11 302 10 299 9 320 6 315 13448 11944 12 306 12 307 11 312 11 332 9 334 11944 10603 12 300 11 310 11 323 11 338 11 341 10603 9404 11 296 10 313 10 332 9 340 11 338 9404 8333 10 296 9 315 7 337 5 343 11 327 8333 7378 9 296 8 318 5*343 5*357 10 313 7378 6532 7 301 7 325 4*346 5*359 9 303 6532 5779 5 306 7 332 4 346 6 354 8 303 5779 5101 5 317 6*342 4 345 7 350 8 320 5101 4498 5 330 5*349 4 340 8 345 10 340 4498 3993 6 343 5 345 5 338 8 343 12 346 3993 3604 8 353 5 342 5 337 8 341 13 345 3604 3335 10 350 4 338 4 336 8 340 12 342 3335 3171 9 348 4 336 4 335 7 339 9 341 3171 3077 5*355 4 334 4 333 6 338 5*341 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography