DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 66.2 - - 69.2 - - 66.4 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 107 - - 201 - - 14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 817 - - 1800 - - 652 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3969 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 3879 - - 4861 - - 3714 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 1232 - - 1214 - - 1699 - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 185 - - 296 - - 90 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 16 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 122 - - 118 - - 058 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -2 - - 5 - - -2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5963 - - -6887 - - -5129 - - -4180 - - -8606 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9041 - - 10767 - - 9991 - - 7894 - - 11684 sfcLCL ODpotential -17199 - - -15012 - - -12305 - - -11133 - - -17894 ODpotential blCL 20277 - - 18891 - - 17166 - - 14847 - - 20972 blCL maxRH 41 - - 40 - - 46 - - 44 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 66.2 - - 69.2 - - 66.4 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.0 - - 30.4 - - 36.5 - - 42.7 - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 65.4 - - 67.7 - - 66.1 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.7 - - 29.6 - - 35.8 - - 42.3 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 107 - - 201 - - 14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 817 - - 1800 - - 652 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96637 52 285 51 270 63 280 57 283 50 287 96637 89495 36 287 29 286 32 284 37 281 46 294 89495 83998 33 287 25 306 10 287 20 260 39 284 83998 79462 29 288 24 298 16 301 16 285 29 289 79462 75546 25 296 22 288 25 285 24 305 23 307 75546 72050 21 301 21 283 29 279 27 291 21 301 72050 68852 21 305 19 281 29 283 29 288 25 292 68852 65910 23 289 20 282 26 282 29 283 28 284 65910 63190 26 275 21 264 27 268 30 272 30 278 63190 60555 31 261 22 262 28 257 31 266 31 275 60555 57813 36 262 28 267 30 257 32 259 31 263 57813 54985 45 262 34 264 31 262 33 262 33 257 54985 52302 46 257 38 262 35 268 37 262 37 258 52302 49898 43 262 43 261 36 271 35 264 36 263 49898 47748 45 268 44 270 39 272 34 269 35 269 47748 45802 49 271 49 276 42 272 36 273 35 269 45802 44024 49 274 45 275 38 275 33 274 31 269 44024 42382 46 279 40 275 36 277 29 277 28 272 42382 40852 45 275 39 273 35 272 29 277 25 269 40852 39416 41 278 35 274 33 271 33 275 30 270 39416 38063 37 287 28 284 28 277 32 273 31 262 38063 36756 34 292 26 293 26 282 29 272 28 254 36756 35432 33 290 24 294 22 279 25 272 25 251 35432 34061 28 286 22 289 19 276 21 268 23 244 34061 32650 22 283 20 281 17 272 18 256 23 239 32650 31186 17 286 17 278 15 266 17 248 23 237 31186 29656 16 297 14 279 13 260 16 243 21 232 29656 28062 16 310 12 290 11 260 14 239 19 229 28062 26401 15 316 11 298 10 256 12 240 16 229 26401 24676 12 324 9 297 10 249 11 244 14 230 24676 22890 10 330 7 286 10 240 11 242 13 240 22890 21042 8 328 7 264 10 256 10 263 10 268 21042 19122 5 312 9 273 11 280 10 286 8 278 19122 17168 5 277 11 271 12 286 10 287 8 260 17168 15283 7 253 12 266 12 280 10 274 11 250 15283 13567 9 264 13 268 11 274 10 262 10 248 13567 12039 11 283 12 275 9 269 7 253 7 244 12039 10678 12 296 8 286 6 251 5 227 5 228 10678 9463 11 302 4 292 4 208 4 208 4 217 9463 8378 7 305 1 266 5 195 4 222 2 237 8378 7412 4 324 3 157 5 195 3 247 1 327 7412 6557 1 029 5 151 5 189 3 275 2 022 6557 5797 2 081 6 156 4 190 3 298 3 038 5797 5114 2 094 5 161 3*177 3 309 3 042 5114 4507 3 107 6 153 2*140 2 332 3 049 4507 3999 4 119 6*133 3 116 2*043 3 054 3999 3607 5 113 5*124 4 115 3*054 3 054 3607 3336 6 102 4 122 4 114 4 060 3 055 3336 3172 5*094 4 121 4 116 3 060 3*052 3172 3078 5*075 3 121 3 116 3 059 3*045 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography