DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.2 - - 56.3 - - 62.4 - - 58.2 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 362 - - 469 - - 292 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 274 - - 1277 - - 2499 - - 2172 - - 358 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3762 - - 4732 - - 4357 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3334 - - 4337 - - 5560 - - 5233 - - 3418 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 464 - - 726 - - 1174 - - 967 - - 1169 Hgt.Variab. W* 98 - - 321 - - 438 - - 356 - - 92 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 13 - - 17 - - 20 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 220 - - 213 - - 228 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 10 - - 16 - - 18 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1147 - - -3691 - - -2378 - - 15 - - 341 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4481 - - 8028 - - 7938 - - 5218 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -8971 - - -9802 - - -5646 - - -2658 - - -18 ODpotential blCL 12305 - - 14139 - - 11206 - - 7891 - - 3436 blCL maxRH 71 - - 63 - - 67 - - 83 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.2 - - 56.3 - - 62.4 - - 58.2 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 32.0 - - 38.2 - - 45.8 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 54.3 - - 59.8 - - 56.5 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 31.1 - - 37.2 - - 45.5 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 362 - - 469 - - 292 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 274 - - 1277 - - 2499 - - 2172 - - 358 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97492 39 283 44 276 54 273 46 291 37 292 97492 90087 35 276 37 279 40 265 47 282 45 287 90087 84395 31 270 32 271 30 270 37 274 40 286 84395 79706 28 272 27 267 27 279 28 268 28 274 79706 75666 22 278 24 269 27 276 21 282 17 266 75666 72095 20 266 19 265 22 270 21 285 11 282 72095 68860 19 267 11 242 15 254 19 265 13 272 68860 65894 21 272 13 236 16 230 18 257 14 259 65894 63150 21 279 15 241 17 227 20 241 16 236 63150 60485 25 266 15 258 16 237 20 229 20 237 60485 57691 36 247 26 255 24 246 27 235 26 242 57691 54777 42 241 37 250 34 241 36 238 35 235 54777 51988 43 242 43 248 36 240 43 237 43 232 51988 49479 43 252 42 247 38 244 42 230 46 232 49479 47239 48 253 42 247 45 244 38 232 47 230 47239 45219 47 249 46 246 49 239 43 245 45 231 45219 43389 42 248 45 235 48 231 49 242 49 234 43389 41722 37 236 44 223 45 218 47 231 55 236 41722 40188 31 236 43 213 49 205 42 221 59 236 40188 38757 32 239 40 213 49 197 41 221 59 234 38757 37410 35 242 39 216 49 196 42 222 58 233 37410 36110 36 245 38 221 48 198 42 221 59 234 36110 34794 36 250 38 223 47 200 42 223 60 234 34794 33434 37 253 39 226 46 204 43 225 60 230 33434 32032 41 252 39 228 46 209 45 225 58 228 32032 30576 44 248 41 226 47 212 47 225 59 232 30576 29056 45 240 48 223 49 215 48 225 59 235 29056 27474 48 231 55 227 53 218 49 226 56 233 27474 25829 53 231 58 229 57 222 52 223 52 227 25829 24126 54 235 57 230 59 223 57 218 55 218 24126 22368 52 235 54 231 61 223 60 216 58 214 22368 20550 50 233 49 228 56 223 58 216 57 211 20550 18667 46 229 45 223 49 218 52 215 53 210 18667 16759 40 223 40 216 43 211 46 213 45 206 16759 14930 38 217 38 208 41 205 42 213 39 201 14930 13270 35 212 36 204 39 206 41 211 36 202 13270 11794 31 207 33 204 37 209 39 209 35 204 11794 10475 27 203 28 203 34 210 36 206 34 204 10475 9294 25 197 25 202 31 209 32 204 33 201 9294 8237 24 194 22 204 28 210 29 204 32 200 8237 7294 23 196 21 210 26 211 27 205 29 203 7294 6459 22 202 20 219 22 211 24 210 26 214 6459 5718 21 209 20 226 19*212 21*218 24 228 5718 5054 21 215 19 227 18*212 21*224 24 238 5054 4464 21 221 16*223 18 213 21 227 22 240 4464 3971 20 225 15*221 18 213 21 229 20 240 3971 3591 18*226 14 220 17 214 20 229 18*240 3591 3328 14*227 13 220 16 215 19 230 16*240 3328 3169 11 228 12 220 15 215 18 230 14 240 3169 3077 7 231 10 220 12 215 13 231 9 241 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography