DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 54.8 - - 53.9 - - 44.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 129 - - 27 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 620 - - 2071 - - 1816 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 4018 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3680 - - 5132 - - 4876 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1140 - - 2335 - - 1656 - - 1173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 145 - - 278 - - 167 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 015 - - 013 - - 023 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -17 - - 8 - - -4 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1211 - - -534 - - -446 - - -223 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4891 - - 5666 - - 5322 - - 3300 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4429 - - -3852 - - -4876 - - -6894 ODpotential blCL - - - 8109 - - 8984 - - 9752 - - 9971 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 64 - - 65 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.2 - - 54.8 - - 53.9 - - 44.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 40.7 - - 41.3 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 53.7 - - 53.6 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 39.5 - - 40.1 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 129 - - 27 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 620 - - 2071 - - 1816 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96443 26 103 27 092 28 091 28 091 96443 89366 26 100 20 096 24 097 18 091 89366 83886 22 101 19 103 21 102 13 095 83886 79303 16 107 16 103 18 111 15 116 79303 75326 13 121 13 118 11 100 10 120 75326 71797 8 120 5 125 3 107 3 135 71797 68599 4 357 4 202 5 261 5 231 68599 65649 6 319 4 257 9 236 11 241 65649 62908 9 300 10 285 13 264 13 256 62908 60257 13 264 21 282 20 280 18 273 60257 57495 13 281 23 269 26 283 27 267 57495 54639 25 285 21 281 35 295 37 278 54639 51912 29 294 39 295 43 290 39 279 51912 49434 40 299 42 291 50 294 48 291 49434 47193 38 311 42 301 60 290 58 292 47193 45154 48 317 51 304 59 283 67 291 45154 43295 52 307 51 297 56 280 67 285 43295 41591 38 308 38 296 49 284 61 286 41591 40017 19 334 42 325 46 304 61 302 40017 38563 49 356 68 328 61 316 67 306 38563 37217 76 343 74 325 68 314 63 296 37217 35933 81 339 65 329 60 312 52 291 35933 34637 76 342 65 336 51 325 43 297 34637 33294 67 350 63 340 48 336 37 305 33294 31906 58 359 59 348 44 340 32 305 31906 30464 52 005 52 358 42 342 35 311 30464 28964 47 007 39 000 39 344 46 318 28964 27406 41 006 33 351 32 344 52 321 27406 25786 38 002 35 347 28 335 44 324 25786 24109 40 358 36 347 30 330 36 320 24109 22372 43 001 35 348 31 332 21 323 22372 20566 40 005 33 353 36 337 22 313 20566 18684 37 012 29 001 34 348 32 317 18684 16771 31 018 26 003 26 358 26 334 16771 14934 24 019 23 001 21 359 16 345 14934 13262 18 020 19 360 19 358 13 346 13262 11773 14 022 14 359 17 360 14 354 11773 10445 11 019 10 003 13 002 13 004 10445 9262 8 016 9 009 10 002 11 008 9262 8208 6 022 8 011 8 001 8 006 8208 7272 7 028 6 011 7 007 6 001 7272 6444 9 027 5 016 5 014 4 001 6444 5709 11 025 5*015 5 016 4 015 5709 5048 14 020 4*013 5*018 6 024 5048 4461 16 016 4 013 5*021 8 032 4461 3969 16*015 4 014 5 023 10 037 3969 3589 14*015 4 012 5 022 11 042 3589 3327 12 015 4 012 5 024 10 046 3327 3168 10 015 4 011 5 023 8*047 3168 3077 7 015 3 010 4 024 5*050 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography