DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 56.1 - - 53.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -26 - - 0 - - -12 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 319 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3379 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 681 - - 932 - - 686 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 78 - - 16 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 125 - - 072 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -7 - - -6 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5330 - - -4772 - - -2450 - - -6654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8408 - - 8151 - - 5528 - - 9731 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13284 - - -11882 - - -9006 - - -15689 ODpotential blCL - - - 16361 - - 15261 - - 12083 - - 18766 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 45 - - 50 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 56.1 - - 53.2 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.6 - - 31.7 - - 40.1 - - 18.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 56.4 - - 54.6 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.7 - - 30.6 - - 38.8 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -26 - - 0 - - -12 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 319 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96247 24 339 12 341 13 330 19 346 96247 89286 15 017 22 034 18 052 19 067 89286 83824 8 037 15 007 21 050 18 064 83824 79267 7 043 8 360 18 042 20 043 79267 75360 10 047 8 021 16 045 14 045 75360 71899 10 046 9 014 17 026 16 049 71899 68747 9 025 9 357 17 359 18 025 68747 65846 10 004 10 356 15 337 19 354 65846 63160 12 346 11 334 15 312 19 330 63160 60553 19 352 13 342 15 319 16 329 60553 57826 30 341 24 348 22 343 23 347 57826 54980 37 328 33 339 31 342 30 346 54980 52239 35 324 37 328 37 332 41 342 52239 49750 33 317 36 322 39 330 43 343 49750 47519 29 318 31 318 36 331 42 350 47519 45509 25 320 30 320 32 335 42 353 45509 43678 28 321 32 316 33 339 40 352 43678 41995 33 314 28 312 33 327 38 351 41995 40439 36 307 32 308 31 317 35 337 40439 39000 32 298 34 294 37 295 33 312 39000 37660 32 302 34 286 38 281 38 302 37660 36370 32 302 39 287 37 282 35 296 36370 35062 33 302 38 286 40 284 32 293 35062 33709 35 302 37 288 42 285 33 296 33709 32314 39 303 40 292 43 291 31 303 32314 30866 38 304 44 298 48 299 27 310 30866 29352 26 305 35 308 34 308 20 311 29352 27774 18 293 19 299 21 310 16 315 27774 26131 15 282 17 285 19 309 17 324 26131 24426 16 303 18 302 20 316 19 334 24426 22662 20 323 19 322 21 326 18 342 22662 20836 19 330 16 346 18 341 14 351 20836 18941 12 332 12 357 12 001 13 355 18941 17011 9 324 10 002 11 010 14 006 17011 15149 8 327 9 022 11 031 15 024 15149 13451 7 348 9 037 12 045 15 038 13451 11936 7 020 7 038 10 046 14 043 11936 10584 6 051 5 040 8 042 12 045 10584 9378 7 073 5 049 7 047 9 045 9378 8303 6 089 5 071 7 062 6 042 8303 7348 7 127 6 118 7 106 3 058 7348 6504 11 147 11 147 9 137 2 131 6504 5755 14 153 15 154 10 147 3 153 5755 5081 18 155 17 156 11 150 2 161 5081 4483 20 151 18 153 12 149 1 144 4483 3982 20 144 17 146 12 141 2 050 3982 3596 18 134 12*134 9 123 5 042 3596 3330 13 122 9*126 6 090 7 038 3330 3169 10*111 8 125 5 078 6*038 3169 3077 5*096 6 123 4*072 5*037 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography