DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 58.1 - - 54.7 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - 10 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 355 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3077 - - 3415 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 435 - - 915 - - 753 - - 381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 89 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 119 - - 166 - - 111 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 2 - - -6 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4120 - - -3540 - - -2140 - - -6472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7198 - - 6956 - - 5217 - - 9549 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11253 - - -9463 - - -7974 - - -15365 ODpotential blCL - - - 14330 - - 12878 - - 11051 - - 18442 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 43 - - 47 - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 58.1 - - 54.7 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.2 - - 38.8 - - 42.9 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 57.9 - - 55.9 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 37.6 - - 41.6 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - 10 - - -7 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 355 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96203 26 041 31 059 42 066 41 070 96203 89330 36 067 36 085 44 085 37 085 89330 83915 32 070 33 086 39 081 39 090 83915 79351 28 076 29 076 34 069 40 077 79351 75408 23 075 23 079 23 069 31 065 75408 71933 18 066 17 069 22 069 20 067 71933 68786 15 058 18 044 22 058 21 067 68786 65888 13 058 18 032 20 031 22 054 65888 63206 14 044 19 027 18 013 21 019 63206 60620 15 023 18 017 20 017 22 019 60620 57916 21 001 24 356 23 358 22 004 57916 55098 24 356 20 342 21 349 23 012 55098 52395 35 013 35 005 40 004 44 009 52395 49957 49 006 50 007 48 004 50 003 49957 47771 54 008 55 012 48 012 51 012 47771 45781 58 012 56 012 56 013 59 017 45781 43946 57 012 58 013 58 010 61 020 43946 42237 53 013 56 015 54 013 59 022 42237 40640 50 014 55 018 55 020 52 030 40640 39148 47 016 50 020 51 026 49 038 39148 37753 36 020 44 022 47 025 49 037 37753 36420 25 027 34 020 42 026 46 036 36420 35082 23 031 25 027 34 033 36 047 35082 33705 25 027 23 043 27 054 32 068 33705 32296 20 027 29 042 33 065 39 083 32296 30845 16 035 28 038 37 057 45 080 30845 29336 15 035 19 052 37 049 45 075 29336 27766 16 024 16 064 34 050 41 082 27766 26131 15 021 16 066 28 058 40 094 26131 24435 14 032 17 065 25 070 38 099 24435 22677 16 042 16 069 26 083 35 098 22677 20852 15 052 17 081 23 091 32 096 20852 18955 14 063 17 091 21 093 28 098 18955 17025 13 058 15 094 17 097 22 099 17025 15164 12 043 12 091 14 098 17 092 15164 13467 13 032 11 080 11 098 16 088 13467 11953 14 032 9 074 9 099 15 101 11953 10603 13 037 7 076 7 103 13 118 10603 9398 9 037 5 079 5 128 10 128 9398 8322 4 043 3 089 6 156 7 136 8322 7364 4 157 5 159 7 172 6 149 7364 6516 11 171 11 179 8 180 7 161 6516 5764 18 172 16 185 10 183 7 169 5764 5087 24 172 16 192 11 180 7 175 5087 4487 26 173 15 193 12 174 7 171 4487 3984 26 170 14 187 11 165 7 157 3984 3598 23 163 10*176 9 152 7 143 3598 3331 17 153 8*168 6 133 7 130 3331 3170 12*140 7 166 4*121 5*121 3170 3077 5*119 5 165 3*111 4*096 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography