DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 75.1 - - 75.7 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 207 - - 78 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 378 - - 2119 - - 2548 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3061 - - 4230 - - 3998 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3440 - - 5181 - - 5610 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 955 - - 1035 - - 1161 - - 966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 322 - - 250 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 21 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 055 - - 120 - - 062 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 6 - - 12 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4643 - - -3624 - - -3110 - - -3945 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8083 - - 8806 - - 8721 - - 7024 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11433 - - -10139 - - -9599 - - -13378 ODpotential blCL - - - 14873 - - 15320 - - 15209 - - 16456 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 58 - - 59 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 75.1 - - 75.7 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 47.3 - - 48.2 - - 45.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 73.6 - - 74.8 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.2 - - 46.0 - - 47.1 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 207 - - 78 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 378 - - 2119 - - 2548 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96711 18 256 22 284 11 249 39 262 96711 89481 17 159 10 207 8 251 6 003 89481 83991 17 140 9 150 5 160 7 124 83991 79412 12 128 14 121 8 139 8 068 79412 75464 12 099 13 094 7 157 11 039 75464 71985 20 072 12 085 7 095 13 064 71985 68846 21 057 9 059 9 063 15 058 68846 65992 11 062 9 030 14 033 14 050 65992 63371 18 069 11 047 18 020 13 037 63371 60837 25 043 17 039 25 020 18 028 60837 58191 27 033 20 035 24 028 19 029 58191 55433 29 023 19 025 17 031 17 025 55433 52790 21 043 18 025 12 016 11 356 52790 50402 31 042 22 037 14 037 7 017 50402 48254 32 025 21 035 18 035 14 051 48254 46305 29 036 14 026 13 011 9 020 46305 44522 22 045 14 014 17 319 6 348 44522 42870 21 045 12 359 17 319 11 317 42870 41325 17 018 13 352 13 001 11 337 41325 39874 27 353 19 012 13 006 10 347 39874 38505 29 355 23 021 13 356 9 337 38505 37184 28 005 24 017 13 002 4 302 37184 35844 29 015 25 011 11 010 8 263 35844 34457 21 012 21 010 9 007 16 276 34457 33026 17 355 16 000 7 329 14 280 33026 31539 20 339 18 350 10 315 10 309 31539 29985 22 336 20 357 12 336 14 331 29985 28365 23 345 20 357 14 342 20 329 28365 26679 23 353 21 352 18 334 22 330 26679 24933 24 353 23 350 22 330 21 340 24933 23128 27 347 23 348 24 337 23 352 23128 21257 34 356 25 352 25 346 25 358 21257 19312 35 000 27 353 27 004 30 005 19312 17327 25 358 19 345 24 009 25 013 17327 15416 11 346 12 325 17 356 15 013 15416 13680 8 322 9 329 14 345 11 003 13680 12138 5 308 7 347 11 355 9 007 12138 10765 2 035 4 010 9 011 8 023 10765 9538 5 070 3 046 6 020 6 028 9538 8443 6 056 3 047 4 027 5 016 8443 7467 6 044 2 031 3 027 5 002 7467 6602 6 044 0 026 3 020 6 356 6602 5833 7 046 1*147 2*034 5 347 5833 5141 8 048 2*123 2*058 4 315 5141 4527 8 049 3 118 3 059 3 269 4527 4011 8 050 3 119 3 063 2 249 4011 3614 7*051 3 120 3 064 1 048 3614 3340 5*054 3 122 3 064 2 053 3340 3174 4 055 3 123 3 065 3*053 3174 3078 4 057 3 125 2 068 2*046 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography