DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.8 - - 72.6 - - 79.5 - - 80.3 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 15 - - 188 - - 51 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 352 - - 1832 - - 3005 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3062 - - 3997 - - 3909 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 3413 - - 4894 - - 6068 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 879 - - 1394 - - 1560 - - 1972 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 97 - - 299 - - 235 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 119 - - 176 - - 207 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - -8 - - 5 - - 12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6037 - - -5589 - - -5281 - - -4329 - - -3271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9116 - - 9003 - - 10175 - - 10398 - - 6350 sfcLCL ODpotential -16746 - - -13759 - - -12263 - - -11214 - - -11563 ODpotential blCL 19824 - - 17172 - - 17157 - - 17282 - - 14641 blCL maxRH 36 - - 32 - - 51 - - 60 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.8 - - 72.6 - - 79.5 - - 80.3 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 44.2 - - 45.8 - - 45.5 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.7 - - 72.6 - - 78.1 - - 79.8 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.4 - - 43.0 - - 44.5 - - 44.3 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 15 - - 188 - - 51 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 352 - - 1832 - - 3005 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96781 20 254 26 292 26 291 22 279 17 244 96781 89517 4 057 1 332 13 212 21 288 6 281 89517 83985 13 121 6 158 6 166 6 249 3 032 83985 79422 14 096 12 131 8 212 9 203 10 030 79422 75502 10 072 15 114 7 179 12 169 2 298 75502 72047 2 132 11 093 6 124 11 129 8 201 72047 68932 4 225 10 078 8 103 12 101 6 136 68932 66080 7 068 6 049 8 038 9 065 8 074 66080 63444 13 024 2 106 6 342 9 030 5 357 63444 60901 11 010 3 040 5 304 11 000 7 348 60901 58239 4 019 5 332 7 312 9 325 8 348 58239 55465 4 096 8 310 10 305 10 296 9 281 55465 52817 10 318 15 326 12 348 7 301 8 267 52817 50424 19 288 21 282 16 277 17 280 14 290 50424 48277 15 270 30 274 28 257 25 266 24 271 48277 46341 10 274 24 292 25 258 21 258 25 267 46341 44576 12 292 17 311 13 274 14 257 15 261 44576 42941 19 286 19 305 13 298 10 278 7 260 42941 41410 21 285 22 301 18 300 13 287 8 276 41410 39964 20 265 22 285 19 286 16 274 12 263 39964 38597 21 255 22 279 21 274 18 261 20 251 38597 37276 15 260 21 279 20 276 19 261 20 249 37276 35936 16 272 20 281 19 273 19 270 17 255 35936 34548 21 287 20 280 19 270 18 274 15 257 34548 33117 21 303 20 280 19 274 18 274 15 259 33117 31630 15 300 18 292 18 280 18 281 16 263 31630 30076 10 286 14 287 13 267 19 268 16 269 30076 28454 13 285 13 263 15 247 19 255 16 255 28454 26764 16 291 14 269 18 263 20 266 15 247 26764 25010 10 294 15 288 17 284 20 283 13 270 25010 23198 9 315 13 299 14 301 13 293 9 282 23198 21322 11 341 9 301 9 297 8 286 6 247 21322 19375 14 350 7 318 5 307 5 277 7 225 19375 17393 15 006 6 010 2 068 3 163 10 197 17393 15482 11 019 5 059 4 135 6 158 11 196 15482 13741 4 034 4 100 5 163 8 171 11 202 13741 12189 3 159 5 189 6 213 8 197 8 217 12189 10807 6 173 9 205 10 234 9 226 7 238 10807 9572 8 176 11 206 11 234 10 236 8 248 9572 8471 8 172 12 204 12 228 11 236 9 244 8471 7491 7 167 12 199 13 222 11 228 10 237 7491 6623 7 160 12 189 14 216 8*214 10 230 6623 5852 6 158 13 180 14 207 5*205 9 214 5852 5158 6 156 14 176 13*198 5 204 7 201 5158 4540 6 143 14 170 9*184 5 206 5 206 4540 4021 7 125 13 157 8 176 5 209 5 211 4021 3621 7 111 11*138 8 174 5 209 4 203 3621 3344 7 099 7*122 7 173 5 209 3 193 3344 3175 7*093 6 119 7 172 4 211 2 178 3175 3078 5*075 5 117 6 172 4 211 1*167 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography