DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 52.8 - - 52.4 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 133 - - 22 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 820 - - 1676 - - 2047 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3777 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3881 - - 4737 - - 5107 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1115 - - 1236 - - 1399 - - 1381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 266 - - 175 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 19 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 008 - - 004 - - 353 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -31 - - -21 - - -17 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1916 - - -2082 - - -983 - - -608 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5798 - - 6819 - - 6091 - - 3685 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8148 - - -8409 - - -5804 - - -6283 ODpotential blCL - - - 12029 - - 13146 - - 10911 - - 9360 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 43 - - 54 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 52.8 - - 52.4 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 33.8 - - 36.5 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 52.0 - - 52.2 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 32.7 - - 35.3 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 133 - - 22 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 820 - - 1676 - - 2047 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96347 30 290 33 282 26 289 26 295 96347 89224 22 304 21 277 22 292 15 318 89224 83777 18 297 11 265 15 302 13 333 83777 79229 4 003 7 275 10 307 16 329 79229 75288 11 352 5 299 14 300 21 317 75288 71815 15 310 4 335 5 274 12 294 71815 68666 13 293 17 316 8 344 5 304 68666 65740 14 263 26 281 22 300 17 316 65740 63009 11 245 22 255 28 279 23 298 63009 60352 12 289 19 268 26 271 21 286 60352 57558 30 288 27 284 28 276 23 287 57558 54640 38 283 35 283 31 280 29 293 54640 51838 43 282 40 282 35 287 34 298 51838 49309 44 281 45 281 40 294 38 301 49309 47045 45 287 47 285 42 298 37 297 47045 44991 45 293 43 285 40 297 31 311 44991 43107 44 306 35 290 36 303 35 328 43107 41370 45 323 36 317 36 322 41 339 41370 39769 56 328 47 329 43 331 46 341 39769 38294 63 323 55 325 47 327 48 343 38294 36928 58 319 58 317 46 331 42 347 36928 35624 50 327 53 311 46 345 35 005 35624 34315 48 338 45 319 46 348 40 019 34315 32975 51 344 47 335 42 346 44 020 32975 31601 54 344 53 339 40 346 42 015 31601 30177 53 343 58 337 40 343 34 008 30177 28690 52 346 58 335 40 336 27 003 28690 27144 53 350 56 336 42 329 28 351 27144 25542 55 352 56 340 46 328 28 344 25542 23884 58 352 56 343 47 331 27 347 23884 22173 59 352 54 346 44 338 29 351 22173 20398 57 351 52 349 43 343 31 350 20398 18555 55 351 51 352 44 349 33 350 18555 16675 52 353 50 356 46 360 35 353 16675 14861 49 353 47 001 44 007 35 357 14861 13207 44 355 42 006 39 012 34 001 13207 11733 40 357 37 009 34 016 30 005 11733 10417 37 001 31 011 29 019 26 007 10417 9242 35 005 27 015 24 021 23 007 9242 8193 34 008 26 021 20 020 22 006 8193 7258 34 011 25 025 19 013 22 005 7258 6431 34 013 24 025 20 002 25 005 6431 5698 33 015 23 019 21*355 29 004 5698 5040 33 014 22*010 20*354 30 003 5040 4455 32 012 21*006 19 353 29 003 4455 3965 29*010 20 004 18 353 26 004 3965 3587 25*008 19 004 17 353 23 006 3587 3326 22 008 18 003 15 353 18 008 3326 3168 20 008 16 003 14 352 14*009 3168 3077 12 007 10 002 9 351 6*010 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography