DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 63.8 - - 68.9 - - 66.6 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 201 - - 292 - - 42 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1155 - - 3097 - - 3526 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3510 - - 5047 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4216 - - 6158 - - 6587 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 317 - - 1107 - - 3146 - - 1979 - - 1231 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 255 - - 401 - - 222 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 098 - - 159 - - 173 - - 199 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 3 - - 13 - - 24 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2516 - - -3943 - - -3125 - - -1495 - - -1780 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5593 - - 8159 - - 9284 - - 8083 - - 4858 sfcLCL ODpotential -8605 - - -6573 - - -5166 - - -3695 - - -6336 ODpotential blCL 11682 - - 10789 - - 11324 - - 10282 - - 9414 blCL maxRH 61 - - 66 - - 72 - - 95 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 63.8 - - 68.9 - - 66.6 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.1 - - 38.7 - - 38.7 - - 41.7 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.2 - - 62.3 - - 66.9 - - 66.1 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 38.2 - - 38.2 - - 41.4 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 201 - - 292 - - 42 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1155 - - 3097 - - 3526 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 79 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97740 11 319 20 293 23 307 21 322 12 310 97740 90429 11 331 13 287 13 287 20 313 19 312 90429 84773 11 317 7 271 8 286 15 288 13 292 84773 80097 9 299 6 273 8 276 17 288 8 318 80097 76082 8 308 3 271 8 271 10 275 11 292 76082 72538 11 298 3 334 2 249 4 224 12 267 72538 69329 6 287 8 298 6 255 5 210 11 253 69329 66369 5 186 7 210 13 250 12 227 11 235 66369 63608 8 228 13 187 15 210 16 211 14 218 63608 60921 15 232 18 211 20 209 21 219 21 220 60921 58106 22 215 26 221 30 213 31 218 27 212 58106 55175 28 216 35 219 39 213 40 210 36 203 55175 52376 42 224 45 217 48 214 44 208 43 199 52376 49849 59 226 61 216 61 216 48 219 45 216 49849 47576 73 221 74 214 70 215 69 217 64 217 47576 45509 82 220 82 214 76 215 76 209 71 210 45509 43606 90 222 87 214 83 212 75 215 74 212 43606 41848 95 221 89 213 85 208 84 216 84 208 41848 40218 96 220 87 214 84 209 88 209 87 200 40218 38694 90 220 90 215 86 211 84 205 66 199 38694 37270 85 221 88 213 85 210 75 209 76 220 37270 35920 85 223 79 213 80 208 79 216 92 218 35920 34576 86 221 77 214 77 208 83 213 89 211 34576 33208 82 217 79 212 78 207 79 206 77 204 33208 31820 76 213 75 209 75 203 69 202 70 204 31820 30392 69 210 69 207 68 203 56 201 63 206 30392 28908 59 208 60 203 60 201 52 200 57 204 28908 27361 51 206 47 198 50 196 49 199 53 199 27361 25749 45 205 39 196 40 191 46 194 52 195 25749 24077 41 201 37 194 37 192 44 194 49 193 24077 22351 38 198 36 191 38 194 41 193 46 191 22351 20561 36 197 36 191 38 197 37 190 44 186 20561 18704 33 199 35 191 37 196 37 186 41 179 18704 16815 30 200 34 188 35 191 37 177 38 172 16815 14999 31 195 33 183 34 182 34 170 37 164 14999 13345 34 190 33 177 32 173 33 170 37 159 13345 11868 35 189 31 176 30 168 31 168 36 157 11868 10547 33 193 28 174 27 166 29 164 34 160 10547 9362 30 194 24 173 24 165 26 162 32 163 9362 8300 26 191 22 172 21 166 19 162 30 165 8300 7351 23 185 20 172 18 168 10*164 25 166 7351 6508 22 179 19 172 13*171 8*179 15 159 6508 5759 21 176 18 174 10*175 8 188 7 150 5759 5085 21 176 16 174 9 174 8 200 3 193 5085 4487 20 175 15*172 9 173 8 204 4 250 4487 3985 17 177 10*162 9 172 8 205 6 255 3985 3599 12 181 9 159 8 171 8 207 7 249 3599 3333 7 184 9 159 8 170 8 207 5 245 3333 3170 4 183 8 158 8 170 7 208 5*242 3170 3078 1*098 7 158 7 170 6 208 2*245 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography