DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.8 - - 63.2 - - 65.4 - - 64.6 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -86 - - -17 - - -8 - - -22 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 292 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3062 - - 3062 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3078 - - 3353 - - 3078 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 666 - - 820 - - 799 - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 30 - - 82 - - 26 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 9 - - 14 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 033 - - 039 - - 037 - - 037 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -14 - - -28 - - -12 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1652 - - -2437 - - -2344 - - -1858 - - -1487 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4729 - - 5515 - - 5697 - - 4937 - - 4565 sfcLCL ODpotential -10239 - - -7376 - - -7747 - - -6703 - - -7891 ODpotential blCL 13316 - - 10454 - - 11100 - - 9781 - - 10969 blCL maxRH 81 - - 82 - - 88 - - 79 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.8 - - 63.2 - - 65.4 - - 64.6 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 49.9 - - 51.2 - - 53.6 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 63.9 - - 65.9 - - 65.7 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.9 - - 48.6 - - 49.9 - - 52.3 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -86 - - -17 - - -8 - - -22 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 292 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 25 - - 30 - - 50 - - 16 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96652 5 071 10 083 7 055 10 056 4 032 96652 89498 2 103 13 072 7 120 5 040 12 025 89498 83950 4 015 8 033 9 023 12 021 12 021 83950 79341 12 024 6 029 11 339 13 354 15 016 79341 75409 20 001 19 357 21 358 13 333 23 359 75409 71977 20 000 19 342 21 337 17 340 18 327 71977 68885 24 335 23 343 24 329 25 342 16 340 68885 66034 28 304 25 337 25 327 27 325 23 327 66034 63381 27 302 35 322 35 319 35 316 28 311 63381 60799 34 302 40 300 42 300 37 305 32 301 60799 58088 42 291 43 295 44 292 50 292 55 299 58088 55267 52 288 48 289 53 279 59 283 59 287 55267 52562 62 284 52 285 54 273 61 278 59 279 52562 50110 62 277 57 281 54 279 61 275 61 276 50110 47908 65 279 64 277 63 282 61 274 65 274 47908 45915 71 275 68 272 69 277 64 276 64 270 45915 44092 74 270 69 270 68 270 69 273 64 270 44092 42412 70 265 65 270 65 265 71 266 67 264 42412 40860 65 264 61 270 61 262 66 260 66 256 40860 39417 61 267 58 271 57 262 62 260 60 255 39417 38062 60 270 55 272 54 261 61 261 57 256 38062 36754 57 271 51 270 51 262 59 262 57 255 36754 35426 55 269 49 270 51 261 55 263 56 255 35426 34052 51 268 49 271 49 262 50 264 51 256 34052 32637 49 267 48 270 47 262 48 265 50 258 32637 31166 49 267 47 268 47 264 49 266 50 261 31166 29632 49 270 46 265 48 261 51 265 49 263 29632 28035 46 272 44 265 46 259 53 263 47 264 28035 26373 41 274 42 266 42 260 50 260 42 268 26373 24649 39 274 43 266 40 266 43 260 38 268 24649 22868 37 272 41 269 37 271 37 262 33 261 22868 21021 32 274 34 269 30 272 30 267 26 257 21021 19102 27 277 27 268 25 272 22 269 20 257 19102 17149 22 275 24 268 24 271 17 275 16 265 17149 15272 17 278 22 270 23 270 16 286 13 279 15272 13567 15 291 19 277 19 271 16 292 12 293 13567 12049 14 307 16 285 15 276 14 291 11 301 12049 10695 13 329 11 301 12 286 12 295 9 308 10695 9483 11 352 8 322 7 303 9 309 9 324 9483 8400 10 002 7 349 5 327 9 330 12 340 8400 7433 8 357 9 015 4 357 9 341 15 349 7433 6576 8 356 11 030 6 030 8 346 15 353 6576 5813 10 012 15 036 10 039 7 358 13 352 5813 5125 15 023 20 037 15 039 8 017 11 352 5125 4515 20 027 23 037 21 037 12 027 9 355 4515 4003 23 031 24 037 22 036 15 032 9 006 4003 3609 22 032 22 037 21*037 16 033 9 017 3609 3337 19 031 18 038 17*037 14 035 8 028 3337 3172 16 031 15*038 15 037 12*035 7*035 3172 3078 9*033 9*039 10 038 7*037 5*036 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography