DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 89.8 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 402 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1904 - - 4341 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4172 - - 6121 - - - - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4967 - - 7404 - - - - - 3079 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 921 - - 1476 - - - - - 2884 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 501 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 36 - - 19 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 311 - - - - - 012 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 19 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8608 - - -8035 - - - - - -8668 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13575 - - 15439 - - - - - 11747 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15973 - - -13797 - - - - - -15842 ODpotential blCL - - - 20940 - - 21201 - - - - - 18921 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 38 - - - - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.3 - - 89.8 - - - - - 81.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.8 - - 32.6 - - - - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.3 - - 87.3 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 31.5 - - - - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 402 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1904 - - 4341 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99221 38 117 26 105 30 103 99221 91657 31 111 25 102 24 100 91657 85839 28 112 24 101 23 095 85839 81038 31 118 27 105 24 103 81038 76932 31 101 24 111 22 096 76932 73323 22 095 21 105 14 105 73323 70060 18 098 14 109 14 113 70060 67069 17 106 11 121 13 112 67069 64308 8 118 8 140 14 101 64308 61643 7 173 11 154 6 132 61643 58883 12 201 16 202 10 214 58883 56058 19 235 20 223 24 226 56058 53394 26 242 26 233 32 225 53394 51000 27 249 29 243 37 241 51000 48839 36 258 36 252 50 248 48839 46857 49 255 46 250 53 246 46857 45022 50 254 51 247 50 249 45022 43315 51 256 55 248 51 255 43315 41714 53 255 56 251 53 253 41714 40204 52 259 56 256 57 247 40204 38777 48 260 54 257 57 246 38777 37400 50 254 51 255 53 251 37400 36016 44 256 43 254 45 265 36016 34605 38 262 40 261 38 278 34605 33170 34 261 38 273 40 294 33170 31687 34 273 43 290 42 296 31687 30138 37 286 50 298 42 295 30138 28522 42 289 53 299 41 298 28522 26837 44 287 50 300 42 300 26837 25086 43 286 44 298 38 300 25086 23273 43 287 39 294 33 294 23273 21392 41 288 37 288 31 285 21392 19438 42 291 38 287 28 281 19438 17449 40 292 37 289 28 289 17449 15533 32 291 32 291 29 300 15533 13788 23 290 25 294 26 307 13788 12235 18 290 20 298 19 309 12235 10853 14 293 16 302 13 311 10853 9619 12 295 13 305 9 317 9619 8516 10 300 9 308 7 312 8516 7532 9 307 5*311 5 294 7532 6657 8 314 5*313 4 276 6657 5879 7 322 5 313 3 292 5879 5177 4*335 5 312 4 336 5177 4554 3*346 5 311 7 006 4554 4030 2 346 5 311 8 015 4030 3626 2 344 5 309 8 016 3626 3347 1 338 5 308 7 015 3347 3177 1 332 4 306 6*015 3177 3079 1 330 4 306 3*012 3079 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography