DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 56.2 - - 52.9 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 73 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 345 - - 1556 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3060 - - 3061 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3405 - - 4617 - - 3077 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1334 - - 925 - - 1839 - - 421 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 211 - - 13 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 40 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 050 - - 032 - - 064 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 7 - - 2 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2630 - - -617 - - -862 - - -1477 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6036 - - 5234 - - 3939 - - 4554 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9909 - - -6909 - - -6640 - - -10250 ODpotential blCL - - - 13314 - - 11526 - - 9717 - - 13327 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 66 - - 78 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 56.2 - - 52.9 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 44.0 - - 46.4 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 55.6 - - 53.1 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 42.7 - - 45.3 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 73 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 345 - - 1556 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96495 3 003 4 165 6 256 4 341 96495 89357 4 010 4 301 3 358 7 071 89357 83860 4 045 6 277 7 333 11 075 83860 79294 3 070 8 222 6 270 7 331 79294 75354 3 080 9 211 7 252 9 278 75354 71850 2 128 10 198 12 250 6 276 71850 68657 11 279 8 241 15 254 15 281 68657 65714 16 252 12 251 16 240 16 259 65714 62984 17 257 18 263 16 254 18 265 62984 60348 19 255 21 263 23 262 23 266 60348 57610 20 264 21 269 23 258 25 267 57610 54781 21 279 23 281 23 276 22 275 54781 52087 15 284 27 285 26 286 27 287 52087 49654 16 289 30 277 34 289 33 288 49654 47467 21 301 26 278 36 292 38 283 47467 45477 25 314 30 294 39 290 40 281 45477 43647 33 320 34 298 42 286 46 284 43647 41964 35 319 31 295 40 281 51 288 41964 40411 28 326 23 294 36 286 50 287 40411 38971 26 346 27 304 34 295 43 286 38971 37623 28 350 32 312 36 303 43 290 37623 36325 33 348 36 315 39 307 44 288 36325 35009 37 342 42 308 39 307 39 287 35009 33649 32 346 34 312 36 307 33 291 33649 32248 29 357 26 320 33 303 30 297 32248 30797 29 007 23 323 30 296 31 302 30797 29281 32 007 23 324 29 306 31 302 29281 27702 37 001 26 328 28 319 31 303 27702 26060 36 007 26 339 26 327 31 305 26060 24361 32 012 26 346 26 329 30 314 24361 22605 30 009 26 347 26 336 29 325 22605 20785 30 004 24 348 26 342 31 337 20785 18895 27 001 22 343 28 347 34 346 18895 16968 26 358 21 341 32 349 35 351 16968 15111 27 358 20 345 33 350 34 353 15111 13419 28 001 22 350 30 352 33 353 13419 11911 27 008 24 354 27 356 31 353 11911 10568 23 011 24 357 24 360 28 354 10568 9367 18 008 21 359 22 002 24 357 9367 8295 13 357 18 359 19 003 21 359 8295 7341 10 337 14 356 15 001 18 000 7341 6495 8 315 10 350 12 360 16 002 6495 5746 6 306 7 347 9 360 14 005 5746 5072 4 307 3*355 5 000 12 009 5072 4476 2 320 2*014 2 358 10 014 4476 3977 2 360 1 033 1 012 8 018 3977 3594 2*037 1 039 1 052 6 021 3594 3329 2*051 1 045 1 056 4 028 3329 3169 2 049 1 055 1*064 2*041 3169 3077 1 049 0 050 1*064 2*054 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography