DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.8 - - 41.5 - - 41.8 - - 37.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 140 - - 44 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1477 - - 2790 - - 3020 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3059 - - 4556 - - 3599 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4536 - - 5850 - - 6079 - - 3076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1453 - - 1167 - - 1143 - - 3225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 313 - - 226 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 53 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 315 - - 319 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -204 - - 639 - - 1106 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4740 - - 5211 - - 4974 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7562 - - -5411 - - -3477 - - -783 ODpotential blCL - - - 12098 - - 11261 - - 9556 - - 3859 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 80 - - 86 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.8 - - 41.5 - - 41.8 - - 37.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 29.5 - - 30.8 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 40.5 - - 41.4 - - 38.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 28.4 - - 29.6 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 80 - - 140 - - 44 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1477 - - 2790 - - 3020 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 20 - - 43 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96615 25 119 20 092 33 097 33 114 96615 89440 26 110 18 116 18 109 27 093 89440 83883 17 107 17 119 13 124 11 101 83883 79258 7 117 7 098 7 134 6 118 79258 75243 4 102 2 216 4 179 3 100 75243 71666 1 214 11 221 3 244 4 266 71666 68425 3 249 7 196 7 230 6 272 68425 65450 7 221 9 292 9 251 7 266 65450 62690 19 308 17 301 13 306 10 273 62690 60016 24 289 24 289 22 299 23 285 60016 57223 21 282 30 292 28 299 27 287 57223 54314 33 303 41 296 40 301 33 297 54314 51532 48 301 48 295 49 294 41 294 51532 49022 54 293 51 293 54 292 49 295 49022 46766 55 287 55 292 62 292 59 292 46766 44718 53 290 58 296 64 291 60 288 44718 42850 60 298 62 294 65 291 59 293 42850 41125 66 297 66 293 64 295 71 296 41125 39523 78 294 68 291 67 301 79 297 39523 38037 89 288 69 292 71 303 89 296 38037 36665 92 287 72 294 79 302 89 294 36665 35363 93 286 76 295 85 298 85 299 35363 34054 92 285 78 291 81 297 92 307 34054 32706 88 285 75 289 77 300 101 307 32706 31321 83 286 69 288 77 305 107 305 31321 29885 72 287 61 287 71 304 104 305 29885 28390 59 289 42 288 56 305 92 307 28390 26838 50 289 32 296 46 306 79 308 26838 25234 42 290 34 296 42 303 60 304 25234 23583 32 282 35 290 39 300 44 298 23583 21880 27 273 34 288 38 297 41 297 21880 20115 27 274 26 284 36 296 44 302 20115 18281 24 285 14 282 31 299 45 304 18281 16418 23 307 10 298 18 289 38 306 16418 14626 25 313 13 305 8 260 28 304 14626 12998 23 309 15 307 6 278 17 297 12998 11548 20 307 16 310 9 303 11 288 11548 10255 16 309 15 312 9 308 10 302 10255 9101 13 311 13 318 9 312 10 316 9101 8072 11 314 10 326 9 315 9 319 8072 7161 11 323 6 336 6 322 7 294 7161 6357 13 328 2*331 5*329 5 276 6357 5644 15 327 1*333 6*327 4 270 5644 5001 14*326 1 327 6 324 3 251 5001 4429 12*323 1 319 6 320 3 211 4429 3949 10 318 1 311 6 317 4 182 3949 3578 9 317 1 297 5 314 4 164 3578 3322 8 316 1 295 5 313 4 157 3322 3166 8 316 1 289 5 312 4*152 3166 3076 6 315 1 289 4 311 3*151 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography