DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 49.2 - - 45.7 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 126 - - 52 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1482 - - 1934 - - 539 - - 333 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3630 - - 3849 - - 3060 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4542 - - 4995 - - 3599 - - 3393 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 906 - - 2364 - - 2127 - - 2216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 260 - - 128 - - 90 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 247 - - 273 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 10 - - 17 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 629 - - 780 - - 523 - - 317 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3914 - - 4215 - - 3076 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3145 - - 181 - - 276 - - 177 ODpotential blCL - - - 7687 - - 4814 - - 3323 - - 3216 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 49.2 - - 45.7 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.0 - - 41.3 - - 45.0 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 48.2 - - 45.4 - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 40.9 - - 44.5 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 152 - - 126 - - 52 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1482 - - 1934 - - 539 - - 333 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97494 22 275 29 286 33 292 37 300 97494 90128 25 301 27 287 26 295 30 302 90128 84441 28 282 30 293 26 299 24 311 84441 79712 25 273 27 292 27 292 26 301 79712 75663 17 284 21 285 21 287 22 286 75663 72098 16 296 19 278 16 296 17 276 72098 68854 23 271 27 270 24 284 19 278 68854 65845 23 258 30 264 27 269 26 277 65845 63041 19 261 25 257 31 261 32 266 63041 60321 19 266 24 257 35 255 35 258 60321 57482 29 267 32 258 36 258 35 262 57482 54530 38 262 37 263 40 262 37 264 54530 51702 42 264 41 266 40 261 38 262 51702 49150 43 267 46 259 41 258 40 261 49150 46861 50 263 48 255 41 259 42 262 46861 44787 54 255 46 258 44 259 43 260 44787 42889 53 251 51 253 46 254 43 258 42889 41143 52 252 52 244 45 249 40 259 41143 39527 55 251 48 241 43 245 38 259 39527 38028 59 245 48 243 43 241 37 255 38028 36631 57 240 54 239 43 239 34 253 36631 35299 51 236 54 230 41 237 28 252 35299 33967 49 239 48 224 40 235 24 253 33967 32604 53 240 48 225 40 231 22 252 32604 31214 57 239 53 228 39 226 17 251 31214 29787 57 240 56 228 38 221 10 231 29787 28317 55 241 58 228 33 210 7 139 28317 26795 48 238 58 230 28 180 9 089 26795 25211 39 233 49 230 20 169 5 068 25211 23567 37 229 36 232 13 194 0 196 23567 21869 34 233 33 225 13 214 7 230 21869 20110 28 243 28 223 19 243 12 244 20110 18284 29 247 23 223 21 253 12 266 18284 16427 22 240 18 228 15 237 13 266 16427 14639 13 231 13 220 9 186 11 263 14639 13014 10 224 12 206 8 199 7 270 13014 11570 11 223 13 209 9 221 6 275 11570 10283 13 226 12 214 5 229 4 250 10283 9134 13 230 7 206 2 230 2 207 9134 8107 11 225 3 107 4 262 3 236 8107 7193 9 202 3 069 6 270 5 263 7193 6383 8 179 2 059 8 271 8 284 6383 5664 5 182 2 275 9 274 13 290 5664 5016 3*239 6*257 10 274 15 290 5016 4439 5*270 8*250 10 274 16 289 4439 3955 6 272 9 248 10*274 15 287 3955 3582 6 272 9 247 10*273 14*286 3582 3324 6 271 9 246 10 273 13*284 3324 3167 6 271 9 246 9 272 11 283 3167 3076 5 270 7 245 7 271 8 282 3076 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography