DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.3 - - 57.5 - - 63.1 - - 59.6 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -67 - - -23 - - 88 - - -32 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 326 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3387 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 53 - - 255 - - 542 - - 397 - - 64 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 22 - - 130 - - 15 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 018 - - 032 - - 033 - - 035 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -10 - - -12 - - -11 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5000 - - -4636 - - -5530 - - -5821 - - -4959 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8077 - - 7713 - - 8917 - - 8900 - - 8037 sfcLCL ODpotential -16905 - - -13508 - - -13249 - - -14280 - - -16058 ODpotential blCL 19982 - - 16585 - - 16636 - - 17358 - - 19135 blCL maxRH 28 - - 56 - - 66 - - 41 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.3 - - 57.5 - - 63.1 - - 59.6 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.9 - - 35.2 - - 35.4 - - 32.3 - - 27.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 58.7 - - 62.4 - - 61.1 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.8 - - 34.1 - - 34.2 - - 31.2 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -67 - - -23 - - 88 - - -32 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 326 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96494 14 102 16 106 12 117 13 090 6 097 96494 89426 23 097 21 093 15 109 17 087 19 092 89426 83912 26 091 19 089 18 101 13 064 18 081 83912 79293 24 090 18 096 15 085 8 034 22 037 79293 75327 28 091 19 073 16 089 5 070 17 029 75327 71835 21 069 18 062 20 049 14 055 11 056 71835 68657 16 044 18 044 18 025 20 033 14 030 68657 65721 10 010 15 010 10 356 22 008 19 013 65721 63014 16 341 22 355 12 353 17 351 18 356 63014 60419 23 333 29 346 23 348 17 345 16 341 60419 57721 25 318 24 330 29 337 18 328 15 309 57721 54908 27 311 19 318 29 327 20 329 15 296 54908 52222 28 306 24 309 30 318 27 334 16 334 52222 49822 21 302 22 296 25 302 29 325 22 340 49822 47689 19 354 16 354 8 273 17 301 15 314 47689 45767 33 354 30 000 14 026 7 100 9 187 45767 44013 15 345 14 347 20 006 20 047 14 112 44013 42393 4 069 3 080 7 019 16 030 23 072 42393 40883 7 144 9 144 7 147 2 091 23 059 40883 39459 15 165 15 160 13 179 12 192 13 069 39459 38111 11 145 18 159 19 180 21 193 5 143 38111 36809 12 130 18 154 21 174 21 188 14 195 36809 35490 15 136 11 134 18 176 22 185 19 212 35490 34123 13 140 9 116 12 164 22 186 18 213 34123 32714 9 127 6 118 12 161 19 181 17 204 32714 31250 7 104 5 126 10 168 14 173 16 197 31250 29721 7 098 6 151 10 189 13 180 16 202 29721 28127 9 080 5 178 10 212 9 198 13 218 28127 26466 10 078 3 209 7 235 5 210 9 238 26466 24744 4 067 4 284 7 273 5 262 6 304 24744 22963 6 352 9 324 8 308 6 319 7 334 22963 21116 14 337 16 338 12 336 6 342 11 326 21116 19195 15 335 14 334 12 329 8 330 14 334 19195 17237 10 344 6 324 7 305 9 314 13 347 17237 15351 10 357 4 339 7 296 10 319 12 360 15351 13635 12 357 6 003 8 325 11 339 11 006 13635 12106 13 006 9 013 10 347 11 350 11 011 12106 10741 14 016 11 020 10 358 11 354 12 019 10741 9518 14 022 14 023 12 013 12 006 13 027 9518 8425 13 022 16 026 15 023 15 018 14 031 8425 7449 12 019 19 028 18 028 18 026 15 032 7449 6584 11 020 20 029 22 030 20 029 16 030 6584 5814 13 023 22 030 25 030 23 030 18 028 5814 5122 16 024 23 031 27 029 25 030 21 027 5122 4509 18 024 23 031 27 029 27 030 23 028 4509 3996 19 023 22 031 25 029 28 030 24 029 3996 3603 19 022 20 031 18*031 25 031 22 029 3603 3333 17 019 16 030 13*033 19 034 18 029 3333 3170 13*019 12 031 11 033 14*035 13*032 3170 3077 8*018 6*032 8 033 7*035 6*028 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography