DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 53.8 - - 57.4 - - 56.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 27 - - 236 - - 305 - - 145 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 337 - - 1952 - - 3532 - - 2784 - - 245 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 4146 - - 5397 - - 4535 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3397 - - 5013 - - 6593 - - 5845 - - 3305 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 653 - - 1740 - - 2190 - - 2543 - - 2200 Hgt.Variab. W* 88 - - 325 - - 427 - - 309 - - 45 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 279 - - 268 - - 259 - - 253 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 320 - - 838 - - 1331 - - 1086 - - 83 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3077 - - 4175 - - 5262 - - 4759 - - 3222 sfcLCL ODpotential 102 - - -593 - - 349 - - 71 - - -1011 ODpotential blCL 3295 - - 5606 - - 6244 - - 5774 - - 4316 blCL maxRH 99 - - 89 - - 87 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 53.8 - - 57.4 - - 56.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.4 - - 46.0 - - 44.8 - - 46.0 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.2 - - 52.2 - - 55.5 - - 55.3 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.1 - - 44.8 - - 43.9 - - 45.4 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 27 - - 236 - - 305 - - 145 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 337 - - 1952 - - 3532 - - 2784 - - 245 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 55 - - 47 - - 63 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96726 35 277 43 279 42 285 43 291 32 278 96726 89429 25 294 21 280 31 280 45 285 35 301 89429 83894 22 305 15 265 20 286 29 287 30 314 83894 79357 14 321 15 284 19 286 15 295 16 313 79357 75435 18 307 18 285 23 286 19 295 18 299 75435 71939 15 281 15 271 25 282 25 293 23 308 71939 68747 22 294 18 292 21 272 27 274 26 302 68747 65792 32 287 24 306 17 272 22 259 28 282 65792 63047 37 281 38 294 22 287 24 288 29 288 63047 60395 42 275 47 283 37 292 33 293 34 294 60395 57628 46 279 49 283 44 289 34 291 37 290 57628 54746 50 281 49 286 46 292 39 299 38 294 54746 51978 55 288 52 289 51 295 47 301 43 300 51978 49470 60 286 53 285 58 292 58 295 53 296 49470 47229 57 284 54 286 65 288 66 288 60 292 47229 45223 49 288 55 293 61 286 65 285 65 287 45223 43410 51 305 68 307 68 305 59 300 58 284 43410 41748 84 309 92 302 80 301 71 304 61 292 41748 40218 107 298 87 293 74 293 77 295 67 291 40218 38793 91 293 81 283 67 296 70 286 67 287 38793 37450 74 297 61 300 69 303 65 296 65 289 37450 36151 68 306 65 314 70 304 68 304 66 292 36151 34834 68 316 70 315 67 303 71 305 68 291 34834 33472 71 321 70 312 65 300 71 303 69 290 33472 32068 70 321 69 311 65 300 71 300 69 290 32068 30609 68 318 68 310 66 299 72 298 70 291 30609 29084 67 316 68 308 66 297 72 297 70 292 29084 27495 69 316 67 306 68 297 71 297 68 293 27495 25844 69 317 67 305 69 299 69 296 65 295 25844 24132 64 317 63 304 68 302 64 297 62 297 24132 22364 56 312 55 303 63 303 56 298 56 298 22364 20539 50 308 46 299 57 299 50 298 47 297 20539 18653 45 310 43 298 51 294 50 296 41 295 18653 16740 40 305 38 296 43 292 48 295 41 294 16740 14904 35 299 35 291 38 288 44 291 40 292 14904 13236 28 298 34 288 35 286 41 287 38 290 13236 11754 24 301 30 287 33 286 36 285 34 290 11754 10435 20 301 25 288 27 285 29 285 28 292 10435 9258 16 300 21 290 19 281 20 286 23 294 9258 8209 13 296 19 292 14 278 15 287 18 294 8209 7275 12 289 16 291 12*274 13 281 13 292 7275 6448 11 283 14 289 10*268 12*273 11 285 6448 5714 11 280 11 287 9 263 13*262 11 284 5714 5052 10 280 9*281 9 259 13 255 13 283 5052 4464 9 281 8*273 9 257 14 252 13 279 4464 3971 7 279 9 269 9 256 13 251 13 272 3971 3591 6*279 9 266 9 255 13 250 12 265 3591 3329 4*278 8 264 9 254 13 250 10*261 3329 3169 3 278 8 263 8 254 12 249 9*260 3169 3077 2 282 7 263 7 254 9 249 6 259 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography