DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/28 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.4 - - 55.6 - - 60.3 - - 62.8 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 330 - - 317 - - 227 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3597 - - 6247 - - 6341 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 5472 - - 7519 - - 7423 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 6658 - - 9308 - - 9402 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2440 - - 1242 - - 1218 - - 1144 - - 3688 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 440 - - 521 - - 469 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 63 - - 91 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 330 - - 017 - - 002 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 13 - - 41 - - 40 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1831 - - -122 - - 1427 - - 659 - - -4363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4908 - - 6780 - - 7882 - - 8743 - - 7440 sfcLCL ODpotential -4624 - - -3043 - - 662 - - -1383 - - -9645 ODpotential blCL 7701 - - 9701 - - 8646 - - 10785 - - 12722 blCL maxRH 55 - - 69 - - 92 - - 83 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.4 - - 55.6 - - 60.3 - - 62.8 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 36.6 - - 36.5 - - 35.1 - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 53.5 - - 58.3 - - 61.3 - - 55.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 35.5 - - 35.6 - - 34.2 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 330 - - 317 - - 227 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3597 - - 6247 - - 6341 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97631 24 312 24 298 24 289 26 299 28 312 97631 90279 20 304 20 295 21 306 15 311 27 316 90279 84640 17 296 15 293 18 296 20 306 23 317 84640 79982 17 296 12 284 14 294 17 295 18 309 79982 75966 16 288 14 268 11 284 10 289 11 297 75966 72388 14 267 15 264 11 269 7 251 9 251 72388 69124 17 259 14 256 15 260 10 248 11 250 69124 66112 21 251 18 253 22 266 16 259 16 257 66112 63311 22 244 22 250 27 261 20 262 19 250 63311 60595 20 241 24 251 27 251 23 259 21 249 60595 57759 18 252 23 248 25 247 25 258 21 252 57759 54813 23 265 22 252 23 252 26 259 21 265 54813 52013 29 261 24 257 26 255 28 261 26 280 52013 49513 31 262 28 258 31 256 32 264 32 273 49513 47285 35 266 31 259 34 257 36 264 35 267 47285 45269 42 269 33 265 36 261 37 267 36 274 45269 43435 49 267 38 269 37 264 39 268 40 278 43435 41758 54 265 44 270 40 266 41 268 46 273 41758 40203 57 264 53 269 44 267 42 274 47 268 40203 38743 62 261 62 266 48 266 42 287 37 274 38743 37372 65 260 69 262 52 264 37 287 35 280 37372 36058 67 261 72 258 56 262 30 293 31 271 36058 34731 68 262 67 256 55 262 29 308 18 328 34731 33366 66 263 58 258 48 264 32 319 35 002 33366 31967 62 261 54 263 41 267 33 328 40 359 31967 30518 53 256 53 264 40 269 35 335 39 359 30518 29002 45 255 50 265 42 269 37 333 40 004 29002 27425 42 260 48 265 44 269 36 322 38 347 27425 25791 41 263 48 263 45 269 38 302 39 339 25791 24101 38 259 48 262 45 268 42 294 35 334 24101 22357 37 260 47 262 46 268 42 293 30 320 22357 20550 36 263 46 262 45 265 38 295 33 304 20550 18671 32 264 41 264 41 264 31 298 33 306 18671 16761 27 267 33 265 35 266 24 304 28 320 16761 14926 22 271 22 267 26 267 19 310 20 333 14926 13261 18 275 14 269 17 262 14 317 15 342 13261 11779 13 276 10 268 11 244 10 315 12 345 11779 10460 7 267 6 242 4*210 4*333 10 343 10460 9283 3 248 6 184 2*091 4*357 7 330 9283 8234 0 321 5 142 2 077 4 001 4 301 8234 7300 1 356 4*080 2 060 4 005 2 318 7300 6470 1 297 3*059 1 033 5 004 5 007 6470 5733 2 239 2 037 1 002 5 004 10 015 5733 5068 2 200 1 359 1 345 5 003 14 019 5068 4476 2 179 2 315 2 330 6 001 15 021 4476 3980 2 203 2 294 2 319 6 359 15 022 3980 3596 0 272 3 284 2 313 5 359 15 022 3596 3331 2 015 3 282 2 311 5 358 12 021 3331 3170 3*020 3 278 2 306 5 358 9 020 3170 3077 2*026 3 279 2 302 4 356 5*022 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography