DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/14 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.7 - - 74.3 - - 80.5 - - 80.1 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 311 - - 404 - - 172 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2592 - - 4429 - - 4222 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4687 - - 6184 - - 5661 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 5654 - - 7491 - - 7285 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 380 - - 1102 - - 1052 - - 1350 - - 1631 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 385 - - 502 - - 373 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 44 - - 27 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 010 - - 296 - - 330 - - 000 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 14 - - 27 - - 25 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5141 - - -4954 - - -5416 - - -4714 - - -4384 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8220 - - 10608 - - 12908 - - 12000 - - 7462 sfcLCL ODpotential -14434 - - -11572 - - -12191 - - -10974 - - -12357 ODpotential blCL 17512 - - 17226 - - 19682 - - 18259 - - 15435 blCL maxRH 34 - - 36 - - 40 - - 37 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.7 - - 74.3 - - 80.5 - - 80.1 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 38.6 - - 34.5 - - 38.1 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.7 - - 72.2 - - 77.9 - - 78.6 - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 38.1 - - 33.8 - - 37.6 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 311 - - 404 - - 172 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2592 - - 4429 - - 4222 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98175 20 072 11 103 15 130 10 122 4 018 98175 90860 10 088 16 086 12 099 13 118 9 086 90860 85199 13 098 17 083 11 103 10 097 17 072 85199 80493 13 090 16 092 12 114 10 083 16 068 80493 76445 13 107 12 097 12 110 11 092 10 068 76445 72873 11 083 11 085 9 104 9 091 9 075 72873 69644 8 067 10 070 9 091 10 069 10 063 69644 66681 9 077 7 073 8 064 12 089 8 061 66681 63939 7 041 5 084 2 082 6 059 6 046 63939 61287 4 338 4 115 2 195 3 285 5 353 61287 58541 11 320 4 319 7 287 9 293 11 320 58541 55710 16 290 12 300 13 291 14 290 13 296 55710 53020 16 308 22 302 23 300 21 308 20 308 53020 50600 32 298 26 279 28 287 27 297 24 305 50600 48421 31 280 25 286 27 288 30 300 31 316 48421 46433 28 292 30 295 32 295 35 301 37 314 46433 44602 34 289 33 289 35 288 38 296 36 309 44602 42905 36 285 33 288 36 288 40 292 33 305 42905 41327 39 288 35 293 38 287 40 291 31 306 41327 39853 41 291 37 293 38 290 39 294 29 308 39853 38470 41 290 37 295 37 295 35 297 25 313 38470 37136 38 297 39 297 34 299 33 300 20 327 37136 35785 36 303 41 303 33 305 33 301 22 327 35785 34388 34 301 40 308 35 305 33 301 26 320 34388 32948 34 301 36 313 34 306 33 308 31 319 32948 31454 36 301 33 317 31 308 32 316 34 324 31454 29898 34 296 33 315 29 311 31 322 33 327 29898 28280 30 291 34 315 29 316 29 327 30 329 28280 26601 27 285 29 319 29 323 25 331 23 331 26601 24861 23 289 21 309 26 327 22 332 18 325 24861 23062 18 299 19 303 16 312 19 328 16 308 23062 21198 15 309 16 317 15 309 16 311 16 307 21198 19262 13 312 9 313 11 315 14 309 14 315 19262 17292 11 315 8 299 8 298 11 317 11 325 17292 15394 8 320 8 293 9 294 9 314 9 337 15394 13666 7 325 8 292 9 298 8 313 8 340 13666 12128 6 335 8 297 9 303 8 322 6 332 12128 10757 7 341 9 304 9 313 7 338 5 339 10757 9532 8 338 9 307 9 324 6 356 5 350 9532 8438 8 329 9 303 6*331 3 011 5 346 8438 7463 7 317 9 293 4*338 2*008 3 317 7463 6600 6 309 7 285 3 339 3*004 2 230 6600 5833 6 308 5*281 3 335 4 003 2 214 5833 5142 4 316 2*291 3 331 5 002 3 027 5142 4528 3 328 2 299 3 327 5 360 9 025 4528 4013 3 343 2 300 3 323 5 359 11 020 4013 3615 5 356 1 296 4 321 5 359 11 014 3615 3341 7 359 1 294 3 319 5 358 9 012 3341 3174 6*359 1 291 3 318 5 357 7 012 3174 3078 4*010 1 290 3 318 4 357 4*015 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography