DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 50.2 - - 54.1 - - 53.9 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 106 - - 155 - - 45 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1332 - - 2915 - - 2884 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3060 - - 4707 - - 3629 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3076 - - 4392 - - 5976 - - 5944 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 238 - - 1185 - - 1086 - - 1170 - - 1412 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 224 - - 331 - - 227 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 342 - - 350 - - 005 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -3 - - 6 - - -4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -285 - - -45 - - 1213 - - 1333 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3362 - - 4437 - - 4763 - - 4611 - - 3077 sfcLCL ODpotential -6594 - - -3506 - - -1476 - - -94 - - -3636 ODpotential blCL 9670 - - 7898 - - 7452 - - 6038 - - 6713 blCL maxRH 66 - - 77 - - 90 - - 91 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 50.2 - - 54.1 - - 53.9 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 41.5 - - 43.9 - - 44.3 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.6 - - 49.3 - - 53.0 - - 53.5 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.5 - - 40.4 - - 42.6 - - 43.1 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 106 - - 155 - - 45 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1332 - - 2915 - - 2884 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 9 - - 58 - - 64 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96301 15 327 15 333 10 328 9 345 11 321 96301 89150 7 281 4 307 6 292 9 322 11 349 89150 83666 6 265 9 358 8 348 9 329 17 354 83666 79175 7 299 6 345 7 353 7 349 12 355 79175 75337 8 005 15 017 9 358 8 358 14 026 75337 71929 8 010 9 010 11 349 11 328 14 350 71929 68844 12 300 6 103 6 273 4 357 8 291 68844 66005 16 300 12 281 13 296 12 321 9 268 66005 63346 21 293 21 266 23 276 27 284 24 282 63346 60746 29 284 27 268 32 265 38 270 34 272 60746 58017 38 280 33 281 38 268 42 271 40 275 58017 55159 47 274 39 282 42 275 45 273 44 272 55159 52400 48 269 42 282 44 279 49 279 47 278 52400 49895 52 275 47 282 47 283 57 277 60 275 49895 47638 57 275 55 279 51 280 55 277 61 269 47638 45581 53 275 55 272 50 281 53 284 54 279 45581 43690 53 275 54 275 50 282 51 281 59 285 43690 41940 54 276 59 280 55 285 52 283 56 284 41940 40311 58 277 59 274 60 280 57 284 56 284 40311 38797 61 276 55 272 57 275 56 285 58 285 38797 37399 60 278 53 275 52 279 49 289 48 287 37399 36075 62 280 56 279 49 288 43 297 45 305 36075 34744 64 278 62 280 50 295 44 309 46 315 34744 33374 67 276 64 280 51 295 46 311 47 318 33374 31971 70 276 61 282 50 294 44 312 50 317 31971 30521 71 276 59 287 49 291 41 308 49 316 30521 29012 71 274 59 287 50 288 42 299 42 316 29012 27446 70 273 60 284 51 287 43 295 40 313 27446 25822 67 275 61 282 51 288 42 298 40 308 25822 24137 65 278 60 282 51 289 42 300 40 304 24137 22393 64 280 58 284 52 288 44 302 39 306 22393 20584 65 282 57 288 51 291 44 308 37 314 20584 18704 65 286 57 290 50 295 47 311 36 324 18704 16792 58 288 53 293 46 298 43 311 36 329 16792 14951 47 288 43 298 39 304 34 313 31 329 14951 13277 37 287 33 303 32 309 27 317 24 330 13277 11788 30 288 26 307 27 314 23 323 19 334 11788 10462 24 291 21 310 22 317 20 328 15 341 10462 9280 19 291 17 314 17 322 16 334 12 351 9280 8226 15 287 13 314 11 330 11 339 9 006 8226 7289 13 295 10 315 6 341 6 355 8 012 7289 6458 12 312 9 318 5*352 6*007 6 013 6458 5720 12 326 9 322 5*357 7*008 5 012 5720 5057 12 338 8 333 5 355 7 006 6 016 5057 4467 13 344 9*342 5 351 7 006 9 016 4467 3973 14 344 9*343 5 348 7 005 12 016 3973 3592 15 341 8 343 5 345 7 004 13 016 3592 3329 13 340 8 342 5 344 7 004 11 016 3329 3169 11 341 7 341 5 343 6 003 9*016 3169 3077 5*352 6 340 4 342 5 002 5*016 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography