DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Hernandez 3062ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 77.7 - - 78.4 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 382 - - 188 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1651 - - 4345 - - 5584 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3944 - - 6108 - - 6752 - - 3062 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4712 - - 7407 - - 8647 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 776 - - 1829 - - 1919 - - 2045 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 312 - - 494 - - 426 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 52 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 326 - - 327 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 23 - - 35 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2509 - - -2303 - - -1372 - - -3765 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7221 - - 9711 - - 10020 - - 6843 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7116 - - -5318 - - -5030 - - -8601 ODpotential blCL - - - 11828 - - 12725 - - 13677 - - 11679 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 48 - - 56 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 77.7 - - 78.4 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 45.7 - - 45.0 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 75.4 - - 76.9 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 44.6 - - 44.0 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 248 - - 382 - - 188 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1651 - - 4345 - - 5584 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98017 22 259 29 269 18 287 22 305 98017 90539 10 269 15 255 21 261 21 291 90539 84786 10 271 9 271 15 268 17 278 84786 80030 14 270 18 286 17 307 12 291 80030 75944 15 262 24 286 22 316 13 322 75944 72356 11 260 17 276 22 298 21 323 72356 69128 11 289 11 270 20 281 23 304 69128 66163 16 308 11 296 18 282 21 303 66163 63404 20 307 17 306 18 300 19 313 63404 60725 19 303 21 303 19 305 17 319 60725 57932 14 303 17 290 19 299 19 313 57932 55043 12 308 13 284 17 291 22 303 55043 52297 17 312 13 302 16 303 20 303 52297 49839 21 307 18 307 17 308 18 310 49839 47653 23 319 19 313 17 300 18 310 47653 45690 24 330 21 323 16 297 17 301 45690 43911 26 338 23 331 18 305 15 294 43911 42277 28 344 22 344 19 310 13 300 42277 40755 27 347 22 350 17 318 11 306 40755 39322 27 350 22 348 17 326 10 319 39322 37969 26 351 20 349 13 328 8 321 37969 36666 23 000 11 009 6 291 6 268 36666 35347 16 024 7 062 3 204 6 220 35347 33983 13 030 7 075 1 252 2 135 33983 32578 9 019 6 041 5 338 2 091 32578 31117 4 052 3 020 4 333 3 067 31117 29590 6 075 4 087 1 024 3 069 29590 27998 7 058 6 097 3 109 2 107 27998 26341 10 044 7 101 3 126 4 177 26341 24622 12 039 7 091 2 104 4 195 24622 22842 10 038 6 061 3 012 2 258 22842 21002 6 037 5 031 5 008 4 320 21002 19094 6 040 5 037 6 021 3 003 19094 17156 5 039 3 048 4 019 3 016 17156 15287 1 027 1 042 2 352 2 337 15287 13584 3 231 4 258 3 286 2 316 13584 12064 8 228 13 258 10 267 7 305 12064 10709 9 230 16 259 12 266 9 304 10709 9497 8 236 12 265 6*267 9 305 9497 8415 7 253 7 283 3*288 7 302 8415 7450 5 287 4*321 3 300 5 297 7450 6592 5 325 4*328 3 316 4 304 6592 5828 6 342 4 331 4 327 4 333 5828 5139 4*349 4 329 4 339 6 008 5139 4526 1*339 4 327 5 341 10 019 4526 4012 1 312 5 324 5 343 13 023 4012 3615 1 285 4 322 5 344 13 022 3615 3341 1 271 4 320 5 344 11 022 3341 3174 1 264 4 318 5 344 8 021 3174 3078 1 261 4 319 4 343 5*022 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography