DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.2 - - 65.7 - - 68.5 - - 68.9 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 309 - - 254 - - 177 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2506 - - 3766 - - 4317 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4618 - - 5495 - - 5740 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 5567 - - 6828 - - 7379 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 927 - - 1034 - - 1315 - - 1689 - - 3886 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 379 - - 407 - - 378 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 19 - - 27 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 215 - - 235 - - 245 - - 214 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 13 - - 16 - - 11 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3323 - - -2726 - - -2076 - - -478 - - -2757 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6400 - - 8294 - - 8904 - - 7858 - - 5836 sfcLCL ODpotential -9182 - - -5958 - - -4616 - - -2558 - - -5188 ODpotential blCL 12259 - - 11525 - - 11444 - - 9937 - - 8266 blCL maxRH 87 - - 89 - - 96 - - 78 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 120 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 55.2 - - 65.7 - - 68.5 - - 68.9 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.0 - - 39.9 - - 40.0 - - 45.0 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 63.6 - - 66.7 - - 67.5 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.9 - - 39.7 - - 39.7 - - 44.8 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 309 - - 254 - - 177 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2506 - - 3766 - - 4317 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 55 - - 86 - - 11 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98559 3 084 3 119 12 181 8 193 7 353 98559 91214 8 107 3 108 9 098 9 124 9 098 91214 85525 11 105 10 111 9 077 15 099 13 100 85525 80805 16 104 14 118 9 090 13 084 13 098 80805 76741 22 106 17 116 12 117 13 086 14 100 76741 73140 15 108 18 107 14 127 8 106 12 106 73140 69870 10 116 15 110 12 135 9 128 10 118 69870 66864 5 135 8 110 13 117 8 137 6 142 66864 64059 2 225 6 247 1 243 1 242 5 129 64059 61327 7 251 11 221 9 259 8 261 6 247 61327 58494 13 308 12 261 14 263 12 275 8 288 58494 55565 32 279 26 275 25 251 22 264 20 275 55565 52759 39 276 35 273 29 261 29 266 23 266 52759 50221 50 274 52 268 50 263 56 261 40 267 50221 47954 60 268 57 258 64 249 73 247 66 257 47954 45902 67 273 58 262 58 252 67 244 74 243 45902 44008 86 280 73 273 67 268 63 254 66 237 44008 42243 102 276 95 272 89 269 78 257 63 247 42243 40600 105 268 103 264 97 260 91 253 73 249 40600 39070 107 262 107 256 99 250 98 250 81 247 39070 37639 104 259 107 250 101 243 102 248 91 245 37639 36268 94 257 101 246 103 242 105 245 96 242 36268 34888 82 257 93 249 104 244 103 242 95 240 34888 33473 76 254 95 255 103 247 100 238 92 238 33473 32028 76 253 85 257 98 249 99 239 89 238 32028 30539 68 258 72 256 88 251 91 242 83 239 30539 28999 52 265 61 251 77 250 83 244 70 240 28999 27411 45 259 55 249 68 247 74 244 54 240 27411 25774 45 255 48 252 61 243 63 243 42 241 25774 24088 43 253 44 250 52 245 53 243 28 241 24088 22355 35 255 46 252 41 245 41 244 22 236 22355 20566 28 260 39 251 34 241 29 236 19 227 20566 18711 23 264 28 244 29 237 24 222 23 213 18711 16823 21 272 19 243 23 227 24 220 25 211 16823 15003 17 280 15 247 19 224 22 218 23 211 15003 13343 13 282 13 251 16 221 19 214 21 203 13343 11861 10 285 11 250 14 216 17 210 20 191 11861 10539 7 286 8 247 12 208 13 201 19 182 10539 9357 6 293 5 247 8 197 9 176 16 164 9357 8298 6 298 3 250 5 179 4*123 11 132 8298 7355 7 296 3 254 2*151 2*099 6 119 7355 6516 7 290 3 248 1*175 1 096 3 104 6516 5770 7 278 3*224 2 210 2 250 2 079 5770 5096 5 268 3*212 4 233 4 249 2 061 5096 4496 2 239 3 214 5 238 4 250 2 035 4496 3992 0 194 4 215 5 240 5 248 1 352 3992 3604 2 027 4 217 6 242 5 248 1 289 3604 3335 2 024 4 218 6 242 5 247 1 252 3335 3171 3 009 4 217 6 242 5 246 1*228 3171 3078 2*032 4 218 5 242 5 247 0*214 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography