DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0701z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.2 - - 67.6 - - 72.0 - - 71.4 - - 61.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 275 - - 361 - - 156 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2709 - - 6722 - - 6596 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 4744 - - 7964 - - 7410 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3078 - - 5770 - - 9784 - - 9658 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 754 - - 3676 - - 1827 - - 2711 - - 1237 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 379 - - 560 - - 424 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 16 - - 10 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 355 - - 335 - - 322 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -24 - - 8 - - 12 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1576 - - -887 - - 965 - - 807 - - -2224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4655 - - 6658 - - 8820 - - 8852 - - 5303 sfcLCL ODpotential -5442 - - -2487 - - -458 - - -634 - - -4803 ODpotential blCL 8520 - - 8257 - - 10242 - - 10292 - - 7881 blCL maxRH 64 - - 62 - - 73 - - 71 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 200 - - 40 - - 60 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 57.2 - - 67.6 - - 72.0 - - 71.4 - - 61.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.5 - - 49.0 - - 43.9 - - 43.2 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 65.9 - - 69.8 - - 70.3 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.0 - - 48.1 - - 42.8 - - 42.3 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 275 - - 361 - - 156 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2709 - - 6722 - - 6596 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96702 37 288 36 281 44 276 36 280 43 277 96702 89424 33 294 23 290 32 279 35 278 32 276 89424 83928 22 297 17 301 20 276 30 274 26 289 83928 79405 16 315 13 294 19 273 23 285 20 300 79405 75502 16 320 9 304 16 254 16 288 15 310 75502 72026 17 313 10 316 10 239 12 278 12 300 72026 68853 18 304 13 305 10 279 12 284 9 277 68853 65907 15 297 12 309 15 276 11 286 11 295 65907 63153 16 295 11 306 15 266 18 283 18 281 63153 60481 20 289 15 295 17 278 19 275 19 279 60481 57692 26 277 23 281 18 288 18 276 22 273 57692 54797 26 273 29 266 25 275 25 266 26 264 54797 52019 26 276 27 258 31 265 25 259 26 254 52019 49502 31 268 32 263 35 267 30 269 28 257 49502 47248 34 266 35 265 37 264 40 271 33 265 47248 45216 38 267 38 264 38 264 44 268 39 270 45216 43370 43 270 40 264 40 260 44 266 43 271 43370 41686 47 267 37 264 39 258 44 266 45 269 41686 40140 47 257 38 263 38 260 46 267 46 268 40140 38709 45 247 38 259 39 261 46 266 46 271 38709 37370 45 239 36 259 39 260 43 265 47 273 37370 36084 47 237 34 261 37 257 41 263 46 274 36084 34784 48 241 34 260 37 256 39 262 40 271 34784 33442 44 247 33 262 37 257 39 262 34 267 33442 32060 39 252 34 262 36 259 39 263 33 265 32060 30623 36 256 36 258 34 261 38 265 33 262 30623 29120 36 256 35 259 33 261 36 268 34 259 29120 27554 36 254 34 259 35 260 32 268 32 256 27554 25924 33 253 34 252 34 259 30 265 28 254 25924 24233 28 252 32 246 32 256 28 261 25 251 24233 22484 24 251 29 245 32 247 26 254 23 250 22484 20673 20 249 26 245 31 242 28 243 25 247 20673 18796 17 245 23 242 26 242 28 241 26 247 18796 16889 14 235 20 235 22 243 24 247 23 251 16889 15054 12 232 17 230 18 242 18 255 18 258 15054 13386 9 243 13 233 14 248 11 257 13 265 13386 11902 8 268 9 251 10 266 7 268 8 252 11902 10579 7 283 7 270 8*290 6*285 7 237 10579 9393 6 293 6 287 8*315 6*309 7 247 9393 8331 8 323 9 326 9 331 7 322 7 267 8331 7381 13 341 15 342 10 334 8 325 8 281 7381 6537 18 347 18 348 10 336 9 325 9 296 6537 5785 23 351 19*351 10 338 10 323 10 307 5785 5107 26 354 19*353 11 339 10 322 11 316 5107 4503 28 356 18 355 11 340 11 322 13 323 4503 3996 28 357 17 356 10 340 11 321 15 328 3996 3605 26 357 16 356 10 340 11 321 14 331 3605 3336 22 357 15 355 10 340 10 320 12 329 3336 3172 18*357 14 355 9 339 10 319 10*329 3172 3078 9*358 10 354 8 338 8 318 5*327 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography