DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/23 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.1 - - 72.2 - - 77.3 - - 75.8 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -110 - - 128 - - 258 - - 88 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 726 - - 2010 - - 1639 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 4216 - - 3062 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3788 - - 5072 - - 4701 - - 3078 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 82 - - 1045 - - 2042 - - 1886 - - 205 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 195 - - 338 - - 225 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 15 - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 021 - - 022 - - 022 - - 020 - - 020 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -28 - - -13 - - -16 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6518 - - -8609 - - -8397 - - -7453 - - -5363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9595 - - 12398 - - 13469 - - 12155 - - 8442 sfcLCL ODpotential -17642 - - -18086 - - -16564 - - -15416 - - -14556 ODpotential blCL 20719 - - 21874 - - 21636 - - 20117 - - 17634 blCL maxRH 56 - - 52 - - 54 - - 74 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.1 - - 72.2 - - 77.3 - - 75.8 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.9 - - 29.1 - - 29.0 - - 33.4 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.6 - - 71.2 - - 75.5 - - 74.9 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.6 - - 27.9 - - 27.8 - - 32.3 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -110 - - 128 - - 258 - - 88 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 726 - - 2010 - - 1639 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96707 32 290 29 294 42 281 39 305 30 287 96707 89486 17 314 12 281 31 280 26 302 21 305 89486 83967 12 341 3 274 19 268 23 294 18 322 83967 79421 10 330 8 009 6 258 17 273 16 318 79421 75520 7 312 6 348 4 344 6 237 9 318 75520 72077 4 286 5 340 8 344 2 289 5 334 72077 68954 5 305 6 289 6 323 6 321 8 350 68954 66086 13 340 6 333 8 317 10 314 13 340 66086 63445 15 330 6 319 11 280 14 280 15 313 63445 60903 17 309 11 338 10 299 11 273 15 283 60903 58245 24 304 20 311 15 316 12 314 10 275 58245 55468 31 304 23 297 20 303 20 314 14 312 55468 52809 34 300 23 300 20 276 23 292 22 295 52809 50398 34 307 31 321 20 287 22 292 27 281 50398 48209 42 314 44 324 32 321 28 325 21 312 48209 46215 49 317 51 318 48 326 38 326 30 336 46215 44404 38 311 51 308 49 315 37 312 30 327 44404 42747 20 335 32 315 26 310 26 292 23 300 42747 41204 44 001 29 004 24 343 14 313 11 271 41204 39753 46 000 31 359 29 350 23 336 8 250 39753 38387 34 352 29 358 30 343 28 331 8 299 38387 37071 25 342 26 351 27 338 26 329 17 318 37071 35735 21 334 19 330 22 330 25 324 23 319 35735 34351 18 321 18 313 21 325 25 318 26 306 34351 32925 17 296 19 311 23 320 25 311 23 282 32925 31442 22 283 21 318 22 311 21 300 21 267 31442 29893 26 289 23 324 19 306 17 294 19 268 29893 28277 26 297 25 322 19 311 16 295 23 284 28277 26593 24 294 25 319 18 314 20 301 22 287 26593 24844 21 286 24 316 18 311 18 293 19 288 24844 23037 21 285 24 311 18 305 16 289 17 296 23037 21166 23 290 21 308 16 293 16 290 17 303 21166 19222 25 295 18 307 14 284 18 293 17 298 19222 17246 24 298 17 305 13 288 20 295 19 290 17246 15349 21 301 18 303 14 297 19 299 20 288 15349 13627 20 306 19 302 16 302 18 305 19 291 13627 12095 19 310 18 303 18 307 18 311 17 298 12095 10731 18 313 17 303 19 311 17 318 15 307 10731 9511 18 319 16 307 19 315 16 328 12 319 9511 8422 18 325 14 312 18 322 15 339 10 333 8422 7452 18 332 12 318 15 327 13 347 9 349 7452 6591 18 340 11 333 11 336 10 358 9 006 6591 5826 18 349 11 354 10 354 10 009 8 019 5826 5136 20 000 13 013 10*013 10*016 8 028 5136 4522 22 007 17 020 11*020 11*019 10 028 4522 4008 24 010 18*022 11 022 11 020 12 021 4008 3612 25 011 17*022 11 023 11 020 14 016 3612 3339 22 012 16 022 10 023 10 020 14 015 3339 3173 18 014 14 022 10 023 10 020 12*016 3173 3078 10*021 10 022 8 022 7 019 6*020 3078 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography