DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Hernandez 3061ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 56.7 - - 61.9 - - 59.3 - - 53.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - -12 - - -2 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 - - 3061 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 3077 - - 3078 - - 3078 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 447 - - 469 - - 1153 - - 735 - - 298 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 12 - - 23 - - 12 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 097 - - 082 - - 065 - - 057 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -9 - - -2 - - -4 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7939 - - -8158 - - -3642 - - -1228 - - -3942 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11016 - - 11235 - - 6720 - - 4306 - - 7020 sfcLCL ODpotential -16591 - - -16314 - - -9353 - - -6686 - - -11928 ODpotential blCL 19668 - - 19391 - - 12431 - - 9764 - - 15005 blCL maxRH 97 - - 96 - - 93 - - 86 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 56.7 - - 61.9 - - 59.3 - - 53.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.6 - - 19.3 - - 43.5 - - 51.1 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.6 - - 61.8 - - 62.1 - - 60.2 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.4 - - 18.2 - - 42.3 - - 49.7 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - -12 - - -2 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 83 - - 72 - - 43 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96663 45 090 24 072 33 038 33 050 28 075 96663 89562 40 097 35 083 28 071 29 059 28 065 89562 84054 37 084 32 078 28 082 27 068 25 068 84054 79447 33 075 24 076 22 073 25 058 23 072 79447 75465 28 066 22 067 18 060 20 055 25 059 75465 71945 22 071 22 061 16 056 16 049 25 049 71945 68756 19 067 20 059 14 044 17 028 29 039 68756 65832 20 046 16 065 13 028 19 018 27 026 65832 63142 20 022 18 051 15 032 18 020 21 019 63142 60546 20 007 22 029 19 025 18 017 21 017 60546 57839 20 001 22 008 22 005 22 005 25 010 57839 55034 23 356 26 354 25 353 26 349 26 359 55034 52361 22 346 25 346 24 341 26 340 26 350 52361 49945 21 334 23 341 20 330 24 323 25 330 49945 47765 23 329 21 333 20 320 22 309 23 309 47765 45775 20 326 20 323 19 303 19 290 22 298 45775 43936 19 313 18 316 17 301 17 289 20 294 43936 42222 17 298 19 305 18 299 16 296 18 295 42222 40623 17 303 19 298 18 302 16 298 20 292 40623 39136 20 293 19 298 17 298 14 291 20 291 39136 37765 22 290 19 297 15 294 12 302 16 302 37765 36466 21 286 18 297 16 293 16 312 16 318 36466 35158 19 295 17 301 15 294 16 305 18 321 35158 33807 21 292 18 298 14 294 17 309 19 319 33807 32411 24 280 22 287 17 284 18 304 17 315 32411 30959 25 276 26 283 21 285 17 295 15 299 30959 29439 25 270 25 281 21 282 18 287 15 297 29439 27855 25 267 24 272 21 277 21 282 16 297 27855 26208 25 267 24 271 22 276 19 287 16 292 26208 24502 22 267 23 271 21 279 16 295 14 297 24502 22738 18 263 21 265 18 284 13 294 14 302 22738 20907 18 264 17 254 15 276 13 294 16 307 20907 19004 17 263 13 262 13 272 15 295 17 310 19004 17069 14 263 12 275 12 286 16 295 16 309 17069 15204 13 260 11 284 12 304 14 302 16 322 15204 13502 13 255 10 287 12 319 15 319 15 341 13502 11983 11 254 9 285 11 317 14 334 13 354 11983 10628 8 251 7 288 9 312 12 339 11 360 10628 9419 5 246 5 312 6 322 9 341 9 004 9419 8342 3 243 4 344 5 357 7 358 10 024 8342 7384 2 237 3 348 6 011 7 018 13 035 7384 6534 1 174 2 325 6 009 8 023 13 035 6534 5779 3 141 1 252 5 003 7 022 11 030 5779 5100 5 145 1 188 4 000 6 025 9 019 5100 4496 7 149 3 142 2 008 6 034 7 007 4496 3992 8 149 4 119 2 051 5 040 6 353 3992 3602 9 142 5 103 2 077 5 042 6 339 3602 3334 9 129 6 093 3 059 4 048 5 333 3334 3170 8 120 6 096 2*060 3*054 4 334 3170 3077 5*097 4*082 2*065 2*057 3*345 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography