DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Hernandez 3060ft pt30752@36.268,-120.696 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 55.1 - - 60.2 - - 59.0 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 153 - - 268 - - 47 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1089 - - 2615 - - 1828 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 3060 - - 3319 - - 4657 - - 3061 - - 3060 Hcrit BL Top 3077 - - 4150 - - 5676 - - 4889 - - 3077 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 608 - - 820 - - 623 - - 1241 - - 935 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 230 - - 368 - - 184 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 21 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 004 - - 274 - - 271 - - 338 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 2 - - 13 - - 9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1016 - - -1239 - - -1016 - - -1377 - - -116 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4093 - - 5390 - - 6692 - - 6266 - - 3194 sfcLCL ODpotential -11903 - - -9548 - - -8022 - - -8016 - - -8000 ODpotential blCL 14980 - - 13698 - - 13698 - - 12905 - - 11077 blCL maxRH 62 - - 70 - - 73 - - 85 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 55.1 - - 60.2 - - 59.0 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.0 - - 42.3 - - 41.5 - - 42.2 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.3 - - 54.0 - - 58.5 - - 58.5 - - 51.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 41.5 - - 41.1 - - 42.0 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 153 - - 268 - - 47 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1089 - - 2615 - - 1828 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97189 21 271 31 268 27 273 21 272 31 277 97189 89896 13 283 14 270 24 279 18 282 25 275 89896 84296 15 282 8 292 18 293 13 291 19 303 84296 79653 12 279 11 279 19 291 17 292 15 311 79653 75647 10 318 7 256 12 266 18 273 14 274 75647 72108 17 308 7 290 8 247 15 259 16 254 72108 68895 23 280 17 279 15 246 20 260 14 264 68895 65918 20 267 21 265 17 272 22 258 13 272 65918 63141 15 265 19 263 20 282 21 269 20 271 63141 60447 19 270 18 266 27 274 29 279 25 270 60447 57643 24 274 23 271 31 262 32 279 25 278 57643 54741 27 282 26 282 32 260 34 278 31 284 54741 51981 31 286 33 287 34 268 40 274 38 283 51981 49500 42 289 40 287 39 273 46 271 42 280 49500 47287 45 287 42 284 42 277 47 275 44 271 47287 45309 48 291 46 290 49 286 52 276 46 264 45309 43532 48 293 53 289 54 284 51 279 49 264 43532 41906 45 293 55 289 54 280 53 276 51 262 41906 40391 42 296 56 292 53 281 49 270 49 262 40391 38965 40 293 53 290 52 285 45 269 46 262 38965 37619 38 289 48 289 50 288 43 275 43 261 37619 36321 38 291 43 291 49 286 40 283 42 262 36321 35008 37 291 37 287 45 281 40 291 41 263 35008 33649 36 293 35 286 42 279 44 288 40 266 33649 32249 36 294 36 285 41 282 42 281 39 270 32249 30794 36 290 36 283 41 284 39 275 38 274 30794 29275 33 281 36 279 40 284 39 276 39 276 29275 27692 29 277 36 275 39 283 40 279 41 275 27692 26046 29 278 34 268 36 280 44 275 40 274 26046 24342 30 278 33 266 35 276 44 273 38 275 24342 22579 30 278 32 268 36 273 40 271 37 278 22579 20754 30 281 32 271 36 270 36 268 35 278 20754 18863 30 286 31 275 35 269 33 268 32 276 18863 16940 29 289 29 280 32 269 30 271 29 280 16940 15087 27 290 27 280 29 272 28 276 26 288 15087 13398 25 291 26 278 26 276 26 284 23 295 13398 11892 23 290 24 276 24 281 24 292 21 300 11892 10549 20 288 22 278 22 285 22 297 19 304 10549 9349 18 283 19 282 19 288 20 300 16 307 9349 8278 16 280 16 285 16 289 17 299 13 308 8278 7326 14 277 12 286 11 281 10 290 11 304 7326 6484 11 264 8 268 4 250 1 247 7 276 6484 5738 10 237 8 231 1*246 3 069 6 211 5738 5068 10 213 8 214 1*273 3*047 7 179 5068 4475 9 195 6*217 3 274 3*000 4 152 4475 3977 6 193 3*266 3 272 3 343 4 059 3977 3594 2 214 4 275 4 270 3 333 7 032 3594 3330 1 308 4 277 4 268 3 327 7 028 3330 3169 3*340 4 276 4 269 3 325 6*027 3169 3077 3*004 3 275 4 268 3 321 4*024 3077 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography