DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 65.8 - - 65.0 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 68 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 425 - - 2034 - - 2887 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 819 - - 1262 - - 819 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1185 - - 2794 - - 3647 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 664 - - 1606 - - 1253 - - 326 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 109 - - 231 - - 148 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 322 - - 315 - - 314 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1135 - - -557 - - -46 - - -768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2320 - - 3351 - - 3693 - - 1603 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4478 - - -6002 - - -7590 - - -3050 ODpotential blCL - - - 5663 - - 8796 - - 11237 - - 3885 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 71 - - 71 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.3 - - 65.8 - - 65.0 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.2 - - 54.1 - - 51.9 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 65.2 - - 65.3 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 52.8 - - 50.6 - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 68 - - -10 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 425 - - 2034 - - 2887 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97929 23 238 23 252 23 238 22 240 97929 90575 13 226 23 242 23 244 19 261 90575 84911 5 219 17 231 20 255 15 266 84911 80219 8 270 11 216 13 254 12 248 80219 76178 10 238 12 240 15 258 14 273 76178 72615 8 291 12 244 15 251 15 280 72615 69385 11 296 14 279 15 276 20 294 69385 66413 12 289 17 275 21 265 27 276 66413 63651 18 306 23 290 25 271 29 278 63651 60974 30 299 32 287 34 284 36 290 60974 58191 43 285 40 279 43 276 41 284 58191 55304 49 275 45 266 45 274 46 286 55304 52546 51 271 47 270 55 281 59 275 52546 50051 57 272 58 276 64 274 59 270 50051 47795 63 270 64 275 63 270 65 281 47795 45747 65 268 65 271 64 275 71 284 45747 43881 70 267 69 269 68 279 70 284 43881 42176 75 267 73 270 72 278 68 282 42176 40602 76 266 73 274 71 276 66 282 40602 39137 70 270 71 278 67 277 65 283 39137 37762 67 274 71 279 67 281 64 285 37762 36436 65 273 69 276 71 282 65 285 36436 35091 61 273 66 277 73 279 68 284 35091 33699 60 275 65 276 72 281 67 288 33699 32259 60 278 66 275 69 284 62 289 32259 30755 60 280 67 277 61 286 56 287 30755 29169 58 280 64 280 49 290 51 288 29169 27501 58 282 56 283 46 300 46 292 27501 25748 57 285 52 285 48 302 46 295 25748 23912 53 287 51 285 49 303 51 302 23912 21993 47 285 49 286 48 304 52 307 21993 19991 41 285 46 285 45 304 47 307 19991 17899 36 293 41 286 41 301 41 302 17899 15765 31 300 36 290 39 298 39 299 15765 13711 25 298 31 293 38 297 39 300 13711 11843 26 288 26 294 34 297 37 303 11843 10184 28 289 25 298 30 296 35 309 10184 8716 30 299 25 305 26 298 32 312 8716 7416 30 309 24 312 22 302 29 312 7416 6269 27 314 21 317 18 311 23 318 6269 5259 21 316 18 316 17 318 20 324 5259 4374 18 314 17 314 17*314 20 318 4374 3594 18 318 16 316 15*313 20 315 3594 2895 17 322 13*316 15 313 19 318 2895 2278 15 334 12*315 14 314 18 323 2278 1762 15 334 12 315 14 315 16 326 1762 1367 14*332 11 316 13 315 15 328 1367 1094 9*323 11 315 12 315 12 327 1094 929 8 322 10 315 11 315 10*326 929 835 7 322 8 315 8 315 5*324 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography