DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 61.9 - - 65.8 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 57 - - -11 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 357 - - 738 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 818 - - 819 - - 819 - - 819 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1117 - - 1498 - - 835 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 320 - - 568 - - 4998 - - 187 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 99 - - 150 - - 27 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 153 - - 156 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -142 - - -808 - - -2853 - - -1509 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1259 - - 2306 - - 3688 - - 2344 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4467 - - -3648 - - -4245 - - -4269 ODpotential blCL - - - 5584 - - 5146 - - 5080 - - 5104 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 78 - - 53 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 61.9 - - 65.8 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 54.8 - - 52.8 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 61.4 - - 66.9 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 53.6 - - 51.5 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 57 - - -11 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 357 - - 738 - - 75 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96768 31 255 28 257 36 268 36 275 96768 89645 18 240 25 251 24 271 25 274 89645 84127 12 231 21 232 19 245 18 278 84127 79536 12 258 11 241 13 232 14 244 79536 75579 10 262 9 260 7 247 10 227 75579 72081 8 226 12 243 10 236 9 269 72081 68906 6 226 11 236 14 240 15 256 68906 65987 8 243 10 231 14 236 15 235 65987 63278 15 251 13 233 16 248 19 229 63278 60647 16 247 17 232 21 242 23 230 60647 57889 20 253 21 234 25 233 28 225 57889 55015 24 255 24 231 28 232 28 228 55015 52264 41 250 32 233 33 230 31 246 52264 49781 44 234 41 236 45 233 44 238 49781 47561 40 232 46 233 50 233 52 225 47561 45555 44 237 53 231 56 234 53 225 45555 43728 48 239 63 231 66 231 60 222 43728 42051 63 237 71 229 71 224 65 217 42051 40501 71 234 74 227 73 222 67 217 40501 39053 67 231 72 225 74 223 66 218 39053 37688 63 231 62 222 70 223 63 217 37688 36366 59 228 55 218 64 223 58 216 36366 35017 55 225 50 221 61 223 54 215 35017 33617 48 228 51 223 62 221 51 213 33617 32167 44 229 51 224 61 218 53 211 32167 30654 42 233 50 226 60 218 54 213 30654 29060 43 237 53 230 61 222 49 219 29060 27383 42 238 53 230 60 227 48 225 27383 25623 45 241 53 223 51 232 48 224 25623 23782 52 245 50 221 46 231 41 231 23782 21863 56 238 50 221 46 227 39 233 21863 19867 54 232 40 222 46 216 39 233 19867 17786 36 228 28 215 35 221 38 229 17786 15663 26 245 27 211 26 215 32 216 15663 13630 21 234 26 210 23 216 17 217 13630 11789 17 221 26 212 24 221 14 231 11789 10157 18 203 23 210 22 228 13 247 10157 8709 15 196 19 205 19 233 13 239 8709 7426 15 190 18 198 19 227 15 228 7426 6290 14 190 19 192 19 211 19 216 6290 5284 12 191 17 194 19 199 20 206 5284 4396 10 196 14 197 19 194 18 203 4396 3611 9 204 13 196 18 192 18 201 3611 2908 9 201 12 195 16 189 18 197 2908 2286 12 194 13 187 15 184 18 191 2286 1767 12 188 11*170 12 179 18 184 1767 1369 11*163 9*154 10 173 18 178 1369 1095 8*150 9 153 9 167 16 171 1095 929 7 150 8 152 7 161 12 166 929 835 6 149 7 151 4*156 5*156 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography