DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 56.6 - - 60.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - -5 - - 2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 74 - - 681 - - 75 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 818 - - 818 - - 818 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 834 - - 834 - - 1441 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 588 - - 1164 - - 675 - - 731 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 30 - - 73 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 126 - - 135 - - 118 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1353 - - -1187 - - -1164 - - -751 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2187 - - 2021 - - 2605 - - 1586 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7844 - - -5761 - - -5385 - - -6215 ODpotential blCL - - - 8678 - - 6595 - - 6826 - - 7050 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 90 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 10 - - 100 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.8 - - 56.6 - - 60.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 51.0 - - 52.0 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 56.8 - - 60.2 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 50.0 - - 50.9 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - -5 - - 2 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 74 - - 681 - - 75 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 98 - - 61 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95991 61 257 76 251 75 263 81 270 95991 89122 42 274 48 255 50 263 46 268 89122 83785 34 281 35 268 37 268 36 269 83785 79292 34 282 33 278 31 277 32 278 79292 75402 35 274 36 282 29 288 30 289 75402 71954 30 273 40 283 31 289 35 291 71954 68807 29 272 37 285 32 280 36 284 68807 65884 27 280 32 287 28 278 33 278 65884 63143 29 282 31 279 29 284 31 275 63143 60466 33 277 29 271 33 281 30 273 60466 57675 39 278 26 265 32 274 33 277 57675 54801 44 272 28 264 35 270 39 280 54801 52079 48 271 37 265 39 266 42 276 52079 49633 48 265 44 265 40 268 38 266 49633 47442 43 265 42 256 40 262 33 263 47442 45472 44 272 43 269 36 252 33 250 45472 43699 61 268 58 251 46 249 33 252 43699 42077 74 253 63 240 53 224 38 246 42077 40568 71 252 60 240 46 221 39 244 40568 39146 62 259 58 245 44 226 37 240 39146 37798 61 258 58 247 46 232 33 242 37798 36485 57 259 53 246 45 238 29 245 36485 35142 50 265 46 245 45 241 30 246 35142 33740 48 265 40 243 45 245 29 247 33740 32282 45 261 37 244 42 248 26 242 32282 30754 42 264 35 246 33 248 21 235 30754 29144 35 273 30 251 22 245 18 229 29144 27452 34 267 23 274 19 253 17 230 27452 25679 34 261 18 276 12 252 18 231 25679 23827 19 268 13 274 9 225 18 225 23827 21902 19 270 8 298 7 176 14 192 21902 19903 13 274 15 306 5 018 13 129 19903 17825 15 265 16 298 7 033 12 121 17825 15712 18 273 13 253 11 186 13 155 15712 13685 14 275 17 233 18 203 19 192 13685 11846 4 277 20 224 25 206 18 195 11846 10209 4 261 22 218 25 219 18 199 10209 8752 6 225 19 211 17 234 17 201 8752 7455 8 215 13 208 12 248 11 213 7455 6302 6 215 10 209 9 247 5 227 6302 5280 6 190 9 189 5 200 2 312 5280 4382 10 189 9 184 4 166 2 136 4382 3590 13 179 10 191 4 150 6 125 3590 2885 15 168 12 183 5 149 8 138 2885 2266 18 159 16 154 8 138 9 141 2266 1753 19 152 17 142 8*122 9 123 1753 1361 17 145 14 136 8*119 8 105 1361 1091 11 131 11 135 8 118 8 095 1091 928 8 126 10 135 7 117 6*083 928 835 6*126 8*135 6 117 4*063 835 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography