DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 45.8 - - 48.4 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 228 - - 58 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1122 - - 2436 - - 3387 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 817 - - 2142 - - 1763 - - 817 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1882 - - 3196 - - 4147 - - 833 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 630 - - 1124 - - 1526 - - 244 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 200 - - 333 - - 237 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 15 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 335 - - 317 - - 301 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4454 - - -4701 - - -5190 - - -6012 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6336 - - 7898 - - 9337 - - 6845 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18227 - - -16400 - - -16762 - - -18463 ODpotential blCL - - - 20109 - - 19596 - - 20909 - - 19296 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 43 - - 64 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 45.8 - - 48.4 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.9 - - 14.0 - - 10.2 - - 13.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 44.5 - - 47.9 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.7 - - 13.6 - - 9.8 - - 12.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 228 - - 58 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1122 - - 2436 - - 3387 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95506 25 310 31 298 26 285 35 281 95506 88647 27 314 31 302 24 304 27 304 88647 83297 21 335 30 319 24 320 17 309 83297 78820 27 319 28 308 29 322 25 332 78820 74934 26 317 22 310 26 303 28 325 74934 71476 26 316 22 338 20 307 30 316 71476 68333 27 308 34 316 31 314 33 321 68333 65428 32 319 32 305 31 310 29 322 65428 62713 38 313 33 302 31 305 34 308 62713 60072 42 301 42 294 41 297 41 300 60072 57315 48 298 44 296 46 292 45 297 57315 54450 53 295 51 304 48 294 47 294 54450 51713 62 299 60 301 55 298 54 294 51713 49244 72 304 68 297 63 298 59 294 49244 47022 84 301 75 295 68 299 62 293 47022 44999 86 294 77 295 71 297 65 291 44999 43145 83 298 78 297 75 295 71 292 43145 41438 88 305 85 301 81 295 81 295 41438 39856 105 303 93 299 87 294 87 296 39856 38383 114 297 98 297 89 294 91 298 38383 37005 116 295 99 296 90 297 91 299 37005 35681 115 297 97 296 95 299 89 299 35681 34339 113 299 95 297 98 298 91 298 34339 32945 113 301 95 297 98 298 93 300 32945 31498 115 302 95 297 97 296 94 300 31498 29983 116 304 97 298 94 296 95 299 29983 28387 116 304 99 301 88 297 93 298 28387 26714 115 304 102 303 88 301 86 299 26714 24966 114 304 105 303 91 305 83 304 24966 23143 110 307 102 304 92 306 85 306 23143 21254 104 309 94 305 86 306 80 308 21254 19294 97 314 88 307 77 307 70 310 19294 17255 83 315 81 315 71 310 64 311 17255 15178 64 311 70 315 67 315 61 310 15178 13180 55 313 58 310 60 315 58 312 13180 11371 55 315 48 309 54 314 52 316 11371 9777 55 316 46 315 48 315 46 321 9777 8373 52 319 46 319 45 319 42 325 8373 7132 48 323 44 323 42 323 38 329 7132 6036 43 327 40 326 36 322 34 332 6036 5071 40 330 34 329 29 315 29 327 5071 4224 39 333 28 329 22*301 26 319 4224 3477 36 337 23*326 21*301 25 314 3477 2808 31 341 17*318 21 301 24 313 2808 2215 28*341 16 317 20 301 24 313 2215 1721 22*336 16 317 20 301 23 311 1721 1342 20 335 15 317 19 301 20 309 1342 1081 19 335 14 317 18 301 16 304 1081 923 17 334 13 316 16 301 13 302 923 833 14 334 12 316 13 301 6*296 833 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography