DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 10.8 - - 30.7 - - 32.7 - - 27.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 10 - - -19 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 72 - - 257 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 815 - - 816 - - 816 - - 816 Hcrit BL Top - - - 832 - - 1017 - - 833 - - 833 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 74 - - 476 - - 847 - - 312 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 60 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 205 - - 208 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -779 - - -732 - - -591 - - -337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1611 - - 1749 - - 1424 - - 1170 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -21855 - - -15605 - - -14317 - - -15031 ODpotential blCL - - - 22687 - - 16622 - - 15150 - - 15864 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 82 - - 81 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 10.8 - - 30.7 - - 32.7 - - 27.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.1 - - 26.2 - - 29.6 - - 25.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 13.5 - - 30.8 - - 34.2 - - 30.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.9 - - 25.6 - - 29.3 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 10 - - -19 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 72 - - 257 - - 73 - - 73 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 26 - - 22 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95396 59 313 62 301 64 316 51 308 95396 88630 58 299 56 302 53 306 51 301 88630 83375 52 309 45 299 41 297 46 302 83375 78926 46 314 37 299 35 300 38 303 78926 75019 42 305 32 300 36 302 36 300 75019 71542 39 304 31 297 36 295 35 290 71542 68400 42 309 30 301 36 290 31 287 68400 65504 41 308 34 296 33 287 27 296 65504 62781 39 312 36 292 35 278 32 293 62781 60113 43 311 44 295 36 271 37 265 60113 57334 43 302 46 293 33 283 37 261 57334 54461 46 288 45 283 42 287 38 275 54461 51711 45 294 50 276 51 276 48 284 51711 49217 50 301 51 282 55 277 63 284 49217 46966 53 302 56 289 58 274 69 278 46966 44912 53 301 51 287 57 273 65 268 44912 43035 53 294 45 285 57 275 58 265 43035 41324 50 287 44 282 57 267 58 268 41324 39762 42 287 43 279 52 263 64 268 39762 38322 37 286 44 274 47 270 60 262 38322 36976 41 282 46 277 45 267 59 254 36976 35677 43 274 42 279 44 260 57 252 35677 34357 43 268 42 266 46 264 51 254 34357 32986 41 270 50 262 46 263 49 255 32986 31563 38 272 54 266 46 262 50 263 31563 30075 36 269 50 268 45 264 52 264 30075 28511 38 263 48 265 46 265 53 260 28511 26870 48 263 49 262 49 268 54 256 26870 25150 55 254 55 262 52 264 56 255 25150 23352 56 259 54 262 53 263 59 258 23352 21481 52 267 49 269 54 266 55 259 21481 19530 49 280 47 271 52 265 45 257 19530 17496 40 280 42 268 45 263 42 260 17496 15420 36 277 36 268 37 264 40 265 15420 13418 35 276 32 273 31 266 31 268 13418 11600 33 276 30 277 28 267 29 271 11600 9987 30 279 27 273 27 268 31 273 9987 8554 26 283 25 269 27 266 31 269 8554 7276 24 281 22 261 26 259 31 264 7276 6139 24 269 23 256 27 249 30 259 6139 5132 25 260 26 253 29 246 31 260 5132 4248 25 252 27 250 32 248 32 262 4248 3475 25 240 28 247 34 247 32 263 3475 2792 26 229 30 236 37 242 35 253 2792 2197 27 224 30 224 36 229 39 237 2197 1705 24 224 26 217 31 219 37 224 1705 1331 21 224 22 212 23 212 30 216 1331 1075 17 210 16*207 18 209 21 209 1075 921 12*186 15*206 16*209 18*206 921 833 6*174 12 205 11*208 10*203 833 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography