DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 89.6 - - 90.5 - - 83.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 57 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 642 - - 1744 - - 3060 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 820 - - 821 - - 821 - - 821 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1402 - - 2504 - - 3820 - - 837 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 410 - - 6625 - - 6869 - - 2071 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 218 - - 177 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 225 - - 228 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1947 - - -1626 - - -466 - - -996 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3349 - - 4131 - - 4287 - - 1834 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5408 - - -3878 - - -2801 - - -4188 ODpotential blCL - - - 6810 - - 6382 - - 6621 - - 5025 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 80 - - 77 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 2430 - - 3300 - - 3610 - - 4320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 89.6 - - 90.5 - - 83.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.6 - - 73.9 - - 74.1 - - 77.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 89.2 - - 90.9 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 72.5 - - 72.8 - - 77.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 57 - - -8 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 642 - - 1744 - - 3060 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 22 - - 8 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99117 12 159 9 176 3 240 7 063 99117 91631 8 120 8 149 9 182 4 275 91631 85872 7 058 5 177 7 157 6 160 85872 81098 8 067 5 153 5 190 4 099 81098 76984 7 044 8 128 5 178 6 347 76984 73356 5 046 8 099 8 131 3 286 73356 70082 1 071 5 051 6 075 1 220 70082 67077 3 182 5 294 6 008 1 100 67077 64296 4 159 9 242 7 278 8 313 64296 61621 6 321 10 249 13 261 20 276 61621 58860 14 269 17 262 17 254 24 247 58860 56012 26 278 20 265 27 265 24 262 56012 53310 39 262 32 265 39 264 38 266 53310 50898 45 260 42 262 50 260 53 263 50898 48734 54 272 52 262 58 261 60 262 48734 46755 62 278 62 265 64 265 64 264 46755 44929 66 276 69 267 69 269 69 267 44929 43231 64 272 70 268 71 271 72 268 43231 41639 62 270 68 271 72 272 71 267 41639 40146 62 274 62 272 68 270 64 267 40146 38745 60 278 58 276 61 266 62 266 38745 37389 56 277 54 274 56 264 59 262 37389 36006 50 276 51 263 53 264 57 262 36006 34566 46 272 48 254 51 264 52 264 34566 33075 43 262 45 250 48 263 45 269 33075 31516 42 255 42 251 46 258 40 271 31516 29878 40 256 38 253 42 258 40 265 29878 28159 36 270 33 253 40 259 39 269 28159 26359 31 277 31 253 37 266 37 275 26359 24482 30 268 32 262 34 270 32 273 24482 22530 35 263 34 274 30 270 27 271 22530 20498 32 258 32 274 27 262 27 266 20498 18382 21 252 30 258 25 259 29 274 18382 16226 13 285 25 251 22 270 23 288 16226 14143 13 268 14 233 18 260 20 307 14143 12246 8 258 13 214 17 245 18 297 12246 10565 9 219 17 215 20 245 23 261 10565 9075 12 219 14 227 18 241 26 247 9075 7746 14 239 11 233 16 239 23 247 7746 6561 15 245 11 241 16 240 19 248 6561 5508 12 250 14 250 16 239 16 241 5508 4578 14 257 17 243 16*238 14 233 4578 3755 15 253 17 241 15*235 15 213 3755 3017 17 248 16*239 12 228 15 193 3017 2364 19 245 13*235 12 227 13 174 2364 1819 18*242 10 223 11 226 12 160 1819 1400 15*239 9 222 11 226 11 151 1400 1112 10 234 9 221 10 226 9 145 1112 937 9 233 8 221 9 226 7 141 937 837 8 232 7 220 8 225 4*135 837 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography