DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/22 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 45.7 - - 47.1 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 27 - - 27 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1479 - - 2292 - - 2953 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 817 - - 817 - - 817 - - 817 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2239 - - 3052 - - 3713 - - 834 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2360 - - 2210 - - 2416 - - 5322 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 172 - - 185 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 24 - - 24 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 295 - - 295 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 349 - - 839 - - 731 - - -1853 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1890 - - 2213 - - 2982 - - 2687 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -339 - - 312 - - 4 - - -2454 ODpotential blCL - - - 2578 - - 2740 - - 3709 - - 3288 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.1 - - 45.7 - - 47.1 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.8 - - 38.9 - - 37.0 - - 36.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 45.6 - - 46.9 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 38.2 - - 36.2 - - 35.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 14 - - 27 - - 27 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1479 - - 2292 - - 2953 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96600 26 265 29 267 26 248 35 248 96600 89455 16 273 29 257 28 270 27 257 89455 83961 14 258 27 246 29 265 21 267 83961 79377 21 249 28 241 31 260 22 279 79377 75393 18 248 23 245 32 254 23 274 75393 71847 17 258 22 247 24 257 20 270 71847 68625 17 241 16 243 20 255 18 271 68625 65647 9 236 12 252 16 260 15 271 65647 62865 17 298 16 261 20 261 22 280 62865 60150 22 281 22 263 24 265 26 285 60150 57316 24 283 22 280 25 278 30 289 57316 54370 37 281 31 290 31 288 33 287 54370 51541 39 286 40 280 41 281 41 288 51541 48988 48 294 43 272 47 271 51 286 48988 46693 56 294 48 281 51 281 50 288 46693 44606 64 289 58 287 58 285 54 293 44606 42700 68 286 63 289 58 288 61 295 42700 40948 68 290 69 291 65 294 65 294 40948 39325 74 294 76 291 74 292 66 293 39325 37810 82 292 80 291 77 289 68 293 37810 36390 82 292 86 290 74 288 71 294 36390 35026 83 295 88 289 73 291 74 294 35026 33652 89 297 86 289 74 292 73 295 33652 32242 94 295 84 291 76 292 71 295 32242 30801 93 294 86 292 76 290 69 296 30801 29311 92 293 90 292 76 290 67 296 29311 27757 91 294 90 293 75 292 63 297 27757 26138 84 294 87 294 71 294 56 297 26138 24453 75 295 82 294 69 294 51 295 24453 22704 62 295 75 293 68 293 48 294 22704 20889 51 296 69 293 65 292 45 295 20889 19001 51 298 62 295 61 292 42 298 19001 17033 53 301 54 296 55 294 40 301 17033 15022 50 303 49 297 46 295 41 302 15022 13082 45 305 47 298 42 294 43 301 13082 11316 41 306 43 299 41 294 42 299 11316 9748 39 307 37 300 39 295 40 299 9748 8357 36 306 34 304 35 298 36 299 8357 7123 33 304 34 307 30 302 30 304 7123 6035 34 311 32 307 29 303 29 308 6035 5077 33 317 31 304 29 302 29 307 5077 4231 33 316 31 303 28*302 29 306 4231 3483 33 312 29*299 27*297 29 306 3483 2813 31*303 28*297 26 296 28 307 2813 2220 28*296 27 296 25 295 27 307 2220 1725 27 293 25 295 24 295 25 307 1725 1345 25 292 24 295 22 294 22 306 1345 1084 22 290 21 294 20 294 18 305 1084 925 19 289 19 294 18 293 15*304 925 834 15 288 15 293 14 293 10*303 834 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography