DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 82.2 - - 86.0 - - 79.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 115 - - 26 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 662 - - 2346 - - 3852 - - 77 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 820 - - 1869 - - 1844 - - 820 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1422 - - 3106 - - 4612 - - 837 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 583 - - 1369 - - 1454 - - 2505 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 130 - - 282 - - 235 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 181 - - 196 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -10 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -365 - - 23 - - 733 - - -570 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1787 - - 3083 - - 3880 - - 1407 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3450 - - -3627 - - -2227 - - -2053 ODpotential blCL - - - 4872 - - 6733 - - 6839 - - 2890 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 80 - - 85 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 2040 - - 2340 - - 3080 - - 3930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 82.2 - - 86.0 - - 79.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.8 - - 71.1 - - 71.4 - - 75.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 81.5 - - 85.8 - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 70.0 - - 70.2 - - 75.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 115 - - 26 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 662 - - 2346 - - 3852 - - 77 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 21 - - 41 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 16 - - 15 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99567 25 089 24 095 22 093 21 067 99567 92047 23 083 22 103 17 088 18 078 92047 86238 19 082 17 103 12 087 17 069 86238 81412 14 087 16 108 12 099 15 080 81412 77262 13 093 13 097 15 099 12 093 77262 73590 11 102 8 099 15 093 10 108 73590 70255 11 070 7 088 10 087 7 099 70255 67198 8 055 7 116 3 067 2 092 67198 64376 4 357 3 097 3 124 4 227 64376 61648 4 252 8 285 6 299 4 269 61648 58813 4 281 12 240 21 253 12 292 58813 55890 16 297 16 285 24 246 22 257 55890 53112 36 274 24 273 27 269 29 270 53112 50622 35 262 37 281 35 271 41 276 50622 48410 36 275 41 277 43 267 45 273 48410 46405 39 278 41 276 47 262 48 269 46405 44567 40 265 41 271 45 258 51 265 44567 42870 37 254 38 262 43 256 51 259 42870 41293 33 268 37 255 40 256 50 257 41293 39820 36 280 36 249 38 260 47 257 39820 38434 35 284 35 254 38 266 46 256 38434 37093 33 284 38 260 39 268 46 256 37093 35727 35 282 45 259 40 268 45 258 35727 34306 37 280 46 258 40 270 44 260 34306 32833 37 281 41 259 41 274 43 260 32833 31292 36 286 37 262 41 274 42 260 31292 29669 32 285 32 272 39 270 39 261 29669 27966 29 277 31 283 37 267 39 267 27966 26184 27 274 32 285 36 269 37 274 26184 24326 27 270 28 283 36 278 37 280 24326 22394 28 270 25 264 33 287 33 284 22394 20385 24 264 28 256 31 290 30 291 20385 18294 19 261 23 253 34 288 31 292 18294 16161 18 259 22 249 29 280 28 288 16161 14095 23 244 28 263 30 273 27 281 14095 12205 27 241 30 276 31 268 38 272 12205 10520 28 242 31 289 22 257 39 261 10520 9023 28 246 22 297 10 250 36 254 9023 7692 25 248 18 308 3 218 30 244 7692 6511 19 239 13 291 10 214 25 223 6511 5465 17 236 12 244 19*209 26 211 5465 4541 19 238 14 215 19*201 27 202 4541 3724 21 231 16*197 18 199 28 192 3724 2992 20 214 17*186 17 197 26 183 2992 2346 20 192 16 182 16 195 22 180 2346 1807 17*178 16 180 15 194 20 173 1807 1394 14*171 15 179 14 193 18 169 1394 1109 12 168 15 179 13 192 15 165 1109 936 10 167 14 178 12 192 13*164 936 837 8 167 11 178 10 191 9*161 837 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography