DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 54.6 - - 56.8 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 38 - - -35 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 617 - - 1591 - - 75 - - 74 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 818 - - 818 - - 818 - - 818 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1377 - - 2351 - - 835 - - 834 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 410 - - 696 - - 2706 - - 97 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 184 - - 40 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 197 - - 191 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -909 - - -1887 - - -3934 - - -1859 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2286 - - 4239 - - 4769 - - 2693 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15674 - - -15754 - - -15398 - - -15432 ODpotential blCL - - - 17051 - - 18105 - - 16233 - - 16266 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 52 - - 40 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.1 - - 54.6 - - 56.8 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 39.5 - - 39.4 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 54.3 - - 58.1 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 38.3 - - 38.3 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 38 - - -35 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 617 - - 1591 - - 75 - - 74 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97541 4 258 9 227 14 256 9 258 97541 90295 1 210 3 173 13 233 12 278 90295 84703 5 298 3 284 11 238 13 264 84703 80036 4 253 13 274 13 267 12 280 80036 76014 4 316 15 282 15 261 14 284 76014 72457 10 294 12 295 12 258 16 258 72457 69248 16 283 13 287 12 285 16 254 69248 66311 21 278 20 269 21 294 19 276 66311 63592 18 278 24 262 27 277 27 276 63592 60959 24 305 23 267 27 267 29 264 60959 58215 33 296 28 281 26 273 26 261 58215 55375 36 282 33 283 30 277 25 273 55375 52669 34 283 33 278 30 272 29 283 52669 50225 36 288 32 275 27 258 32 275 50225 48023 38 288 29 276 24 257 30 254 48023 46019 33 289 29 276 28 257 27 245 46019 44190 26 292 26 264 29 250 30 242 44190 42510 21 300 24 256 27 248 31 235 42510 40953 20 307 20 253 23 243 26 231 40953 39496 15 317 16 247 22 231 27 229 39496 38120 11 333 15 232 23 222 29 223 38120 36787 8 340 14 223 22 219 27 217 36787 35428 6 334 15 228 20 222 26 212 35428 34011 7 314 15 227 21 220 26 203 34011 32540 9 320 11 220 21 211 25 199 32540 31000 8 332 9 216 18 205 21 201 31000 29381 7 326 9 221 13 207 17 202 29381 27686 8 310 8 251 12 216 16 213 27686 25911 10 300 9 259 16 230 19 242 25911 24059 11 276 13 259 20 250 19 257 24059 22126 14 276 18 266 20 259 17 264 22126 20102 16 284 17 267 18 260 20 273 20102 17982 13 283 14 262 19 257 23 270 17982 15816 14 271 16 254 18 258 21 264 15816 13733 12 262 14 256 15 256 14 262 13733 11852 13 251 14 250 12 246 9 251 11852 10189 20 234 20 235 18 235 13 241 10189 8717 22 219 24 225 22 227 17 233 8717 7411 23 217 24 223 22 224 18 229 7411 6254 23 217 24 219 23 219 19 229 6254 5233 23 215 25 213 25 217 20 232 5233 4340 23 218 26 214 26 214 22 230 4340 3559 23 226 27 214 24 203 23 215 3559 2866 25 226 25*209 22 198 23 205 2866 2256 27 219 20*199 21 197 22 201 2256 1747 24*215 19 197 20 196 21 198 1747 1357 20*213 18 196 18 194 20 194 1357 1089 16 211 16 195 16 193 17 187 1089 926 14 210 15 195 13*192 14 185 926 834 11 209 12 194 9*191 6*178 834 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography