DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.7 - - 28.5 - - 30.6 - - 26.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 151 - - 48 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 607 - - 2256 - - 3023 - - 72 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 816 - - 1832 - - 816 - - 816 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1367 - - 3016 - - 3783 - - 832 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1441 - - 1030 - - 1008 - - 3525 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 283 - - 215 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 313 - - 308 - - 297 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1180 - - -108 - - 168 - - -1472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2548 - - 3124 - - 3615 - - 2304 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3227 - - -4351 - - -297 - - -2452 ODpotential blCL - - - 4594 - - 7367 - - 4080 - - 3284 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 82 - - 90 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.7 - - 28.5 - - 30.6 - - 26.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.0 - - 18.1 - - 18.1 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 27.5 - - 30.1 - - 28.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.4 - - 17.3 - - 17.3 - - 18.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 151 - - 48 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 607 - - 2256 - - 3023 - - 72 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 27 - - 61 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96057 35 046 22 041 17 029 16 012 96057 89015 23 040 20 043 14 041 16 012 89015 83494 14 049 12 045 8 029 13 003 83494 78874 8 001 6 338 7 325 13 347 78874 74875 6 310 6 245 10 289 9 328 74875 71308 10 277 11 272 15 289 9 309 71308 68050 8 284 14 265 17 281 12 292 68050 65036 17 295 19 273 21 279 19 284 65036 62227 26 274 24 271 25 276 26 281 62227 59502 19 265 24 281 28 282 31 282 59502 56656 26 293 32 291 34 283 34 280 56656 53693 37 291 40 284 44 280 47 281 53693 50874 44 290 45 277 52 279 53 275 50874 48361 47 292 47 279 51 280 55 274 48361 46129 51 297 51 282 58 286 55 277 46129 44107 60 296 56 285 62 284 57 283 44107 42255 65 295 61 286 64 285 68 278 42255 40557 65 298 66 289 71 281 72 273 40557 38992 79 300 71 290 71 279 73 279 38992 37540 87 296 77 290 79 288 89 283 37540 36195 90 295 87 288 97 287 103 283 36195 34914 92 297 91 284 102 282 101 283 34914 33617 95 296 88 285 101 283 93 287 33617 32267 93 295 84 287 99 287 95 291 32267 30865 88 298 80 289 100 290 97 290 30865 29399 87 307 80 291 100 292 94 288 29399 27854 88 311 80 293 99 294 90 289 27854 26229 88 311 83 294 93 296 88 292 26229 24523 87 312 82 295 86 295 85 291 24523 22742 85 315 71 297 78 296 80 293 22742 20892 79 316 71 301 67 299 65 296 20892 18973 74 314 67 303 64 303 51 299 18973 16977 70 311 63 305 61 303 54 299 16977 14937 59 312 56 308 55 303 54 302 14937 12964 47 314 47 311 47 306 49 304 12964 11173 38 317 35 310 40 309 38 306 11173 9591 33 321 29 310 31 309 29 311 9591 8197 29 325 25 313 22 309 21 310 8197 6969 26 328 22 317 18 310 15 304 6969 5889 23 328 21 321 15 311 10 292 5889 4943 21 323 18 317 12 307 8 283 4943 4118 19 318 16 311 10*297 6 288 4118 3393 18 326 14*310 9*296 4 290 3393 2744 21 334 13*308 9 296 4 274 2744 2171 21 333 13 308 9 297 4 256 2171 1692 19*324 13 308 8 298 5 242 1692 1326 15*316 12 308 8 299 5 232 1326 1073 13 313 12 308 7 298 5 225 1073 920 12 312 11 307 7 298 5 213 920 832 10 311 9 307 6 298 4*210 832 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography