DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 54.0 - - 57.3 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - -41 - - -25 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 75 - - 75 - - 398 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 817 - - 818 - - 818 - - 817 Hcrit BL Top - - - 834 - - 835 - - 835 - - 1158 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 667 - - 1342 - - 1681 - - 725 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 94 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 17 - - 17 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 190 - - 191 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1069 - - 0 - - 1 - - 324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1903 - - 835 - - 835 - - 834 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8409 - - -1024 - - -489 - - 171 ODpotential blCL - - - 9243 - - 1859 - - 1324 - - 987 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 560 - - 190 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 54.0 - - 57.3 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.2 - - 53.4 - - 56.6 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 55.1 - - 57.9 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 53.8 - - 56.8 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - -41 - - -25 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 74 - - 75 - - 75 - - 398 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 101 - - 101 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96436 18 251 13 270 10 261 15 241 96436 89293 9 231 7 273 13 280 10 280 89293 83766 8 327 5 226 12 255 15 303 83766 79164 4 251 5 278 6 247 10 296 79164 75158 5 329 10 290 3 252 12 285 75158 71593 17 296 13 295 5 284 13 298 71593 68358 17 297 21 283 16 283 17 304 68358 65366 28 290 23 258 20 266 25 280 65366 62581 35 276 25 249 30 261 26 264 62581 59873 38 271 31 259 33 263 21 258 59873 57024 43 267 39 258 37 260 29 277 57024 54053 47 261 40 255 39 252 38 260 54053 51218 47 252 42 250 46 255 44 258 51218 48658 51 248 48 250 48 253 49 246 48658 46357 47 249 54 244 52 245 48 239 46357 44273 62 247 58 241 61 236 52 234 44273 42376 64 245 69 238 65 229 58 226 42376 40634 65 242 73 231 65 218 59 220 40634 39040 70 233 68 223 65 219 80 217 39040 37592 78 231 63 216 77 221 91 213 37592 36263 83 232 59 217 70 218 92 204 36263 34992 83 234 59 222 68 217 88 190 34992 33699 78 237 61 225 67 217 86 191 33699 32354 73 235 63 225 66 217 81 190 32354 30959 71 227 65 223 67 215 75 189 30959 29498 70 224 66 223 67 214 70 190 29498 27961 69 225 66 221 65 214 65 192 27961 26350 66 226 65 219 63 215 63 196 26350 24664 64 228 65 217 63 216 66 202 24664 22906 60 225 67 217 64 215 73 207 22906 21081 58 219 67 215 66 214 71 211 21081 19185 62 218 65 216 67 213 67 217 19185 17213 63 220 62 215 69 212 58 223 17213 15200 60 218 60 211 69 211 48 223 15200 13254 59 212 54 211 69 210 50 221 13254 11480 58 204 52 216 66 211 53 219 11480 9900 53 200 50 222 63 213 52 213 9900 8497 44 199 47 226 62 214 50 207 8497 7247 35 202 44 230 59 218 48 204 7247 6135 33 208 46 232 57 219 45 201 6135 5148 40 212 53 225 54 213 40 199 5148 4279 50 213 60 214 49 204 31 197 4279 3512 52 208 57 209 45 199 20 198 3512 2829 50 200 52 204 43 198 8 206 2829 2227 43 194 47 201 41 198 7 345 2227 1728 34 182 40 196 36 195 16 354 1728 1347 26 172 35 194 31 193 18*353 1347 1084 19 164 28 192 26 192 18*351 1084 925 17*163 24*191 22*191 17 350 925 834 13*162 17*190 17*191 14 348 834 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography