DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Hinckley_IL 760ft pt37215@41.807,-88.677,765ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.0 degF SPONSORED BY: ChicagoLand Glider Council RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 64.3 - - 64.4 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - -22 - - -15 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 - - 76 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 819 - - 819 - - 819 - - 819 Hcrit BL Top - - - 835 - - 835 - - 835 - - 836 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1731 - - 1998 - - 1827 - - 1820 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 21 - - 19 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 175 - - 186 - - 174 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -241 - - -30 - - 0 - - -177 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1076 - - 865 - - 835 - - 1013 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -759 - - -839 - - -625 - - -1762 ODpotential blCL - - - 1594 - - 1674 - - 1460 - - 2598 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 90 - - 150 - - 160 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 64.3 - - 64.4 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.4 - - 62.9 - - 63.3 - - 62.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 65.0 - - 64.8 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 62.8 - - 63.2 - - 62.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - -22 - - -15 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 75 - - 75 - - 75 - - 76 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96015 65 265 70 264 65 273 60 271 96015 89135 31 276 46 270 38 272 45 283 89135 83790 27 283 28 280 24 268 32 274 83790 79331 18 292 21 277 21 278 18 278 79331 75465 13 329 12 267 22 273 17 307 75465 72019 13 343 7 302 14 261 16 299 72019 68876 12 334 7 347 4 224 14 277 68876 65966 13 311 11 346 4 077 9 254 65966 63260 13 291 16 327 9 021 2 155 63260 60640 12 283 20 305 14 335 4 033 60640 57924 9 282 16 276 18 297 8 315 57924 55118 6 312 13 233 19 261 9 283 55118 52445 13 302 10 235 13 233 7 201 52445 50039 17 280 9 258 9 216 12 168 50039 47871 19 245 16 219 22 199 18 193 47871 45886 27 224 27 216 28 198 27 191 45886 44055 33 216 36 217 35 204 34 193 44055 42360 36 212 39 213 42 203 41 195 42360 40786 39 212 41 217 44 209 31 191 40786 39318 42 216 47 217 51 211 33 206 39318 37930 40 218 49 214 55 204 47 204 37930 36586 35 227 43 208 50 196 50 189 36586 35221 37 235 36 206 46 195 50 183 35221 33801 40 238 31 205 42 193 52 190 33801 32331 40 238 31 204 39 188 48 196 32331 30797 39 236 34 207 36 188 46 200 30797 29184 37 235 36 212 33 194 46 202 29184 27490 38 234 37 212 34 202 48 205 27490 25716 41 231 38 208 43 205 52 206 25716 23868 46 220 45 207 56 203 58 203 23868 21951 57 209 58 207 64 204 61 197 21951 19959 56 205 54 200 59 200 60 195 19959 17884 51 202 53 197 56 198 61 195 17884 15772 43 201 45 196 51 195 56 194 15772 13738 38 203 39 203 46 196 51 191 13738 11886 38 199 38 211 40 199 49 190 11886 10240 39 203 39 211 35 202 47 190 10240 8778 40 208 41 210 33 211 46 191 8778 7478 40 210 46 209 33 213 47 191 7478 6325 40 209 50 207 38 210 50 193 6325 5306 38 208 51 204 45 205 53 190 5306 4411 41 207 52 203 47 199 51 183 4411 3622 48 201 47 199 46 194 48 178 3622 2916 47 195 42 195 42 188 45 173 2916 2293 40 188 36 192 37 184 41 170 2293 1772 33 182 32 190 32 181 36 165 1772 1372 29 179 28 189 28 178 30 160 1372 1097 24 177 23 187 23 176 23 155 1097 931 21 176 20 187 20 175 20*154 931 836 15*175 14*186 15*174 13*153 836 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography