DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 69.4 - - 68.2 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 81 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 567 - - 2004 - - 992 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1188 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1111 - - 2548 - - 1537 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1352 - - 2085 - - 2527 - - 637 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 115 - - 241 - - 112 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 30 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 1 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 104 - - 339 - - 295 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4789 - - -4009 - - -3560 - - -2044 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5900 - - 6557 - - 5097 - - 2606 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11639 - - -9037 - - -7964 - - -8295 ODpotential blCL - - - 12750 - - 11585 - - 9501 - - 8856 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 48 - - 50 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 69.4 - - 68.2 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 42.9 - - 48.1 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 68.7 - - 68.4 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 41.7 - - 46.9 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 81 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 567 - - 2004 - - 992 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96151 20 311 16 318 12 339 6 319 96151 89124 9 327 15 300 16 327 9 025 89124 83691 1 015 8 296 11 315 6 003 83691 79157 2 057 2 083 5 300 11 350 79157 75242 1 036 5 298 5 292 11 339 75242 71779 3 036 10 259 8 298 9 333 71779 68637 5 094 7 210 7 262 4 305 68637 65735 3 097 3 121 5 197 4 272 65735 63027 7 083 7 059 7 103 4 129 63027 60384 4 156 3 264 4 249 13 305 60384 57616 18 040 26 053 23 083 13 097 57616 54741 35 029 30 030 30 045 22 044 54741 52010 33 043 24 050 33 058 33 057 52010 49583 54 060 51 067 52 070 51 068 49583 47422 71 053 65 054 62 052 53 057 47422 45466 68 046 61 051 54 041 45 051 45466 43682 62 056 64 059 52 049 47 057 43682 42042 70 063 73 059 63 055 61 059 42042 40522 83 060 76 053 70 054 68 055 40522 39097 88 052 71 048 70 050 69 052 39097 37749 83 046 67 046 62 047 68 054 37749 36436 75 046 66 048 57 049 67 054 36436 35093 72 052 66 051 54 051 67 054 35093 33692 70 058 65 052 55 052 68 055 33692 32237 65 057 63 051 56 051 67 055 32237 30713 60 048 60 050 55 049 67 053 30713 29107 57 040 57 049 54 047 68 050 29107 27418 55 037 55 048 53 047 68 049 27418 25645 54 040 54 047 54 049 66 049 25645 23793 54 045 54 048 55 052 61 049 23793 21868 55 050 55 049 56 055 56 051 21868 19861 54 054 54 051 56 058 53 057 19861 17761 50 057 51 055 56 059 51 063 17761 15615 45 058 46 061 53 063 49 070 15615 13545 38 053 37 063 43 070 45 077 13545 11665 28 053 27 066 31 079 36 081 11665 9997 22 059 19 070 20 086 27 079 9997 8522 17 064 15 064 12 086 17 073 8522 7215 13 068 15 057 8 076 10 034 7215 6056 10 073 13 051 9 049 12 026 6056 5033 10 071 10 040 12 035 17 037 5033 4135 8 070 7 028 10 033 18 041 4135 3344 8 079 3 034 7 020 15 041 3344 2637 9 083 1*017 6 348 10 043 2637 2013 10 084 1*345 7*314 5 048 2013 1494 10*091 1 339 8*299 3 047 1494 1095 8*101 2 338 8 295 1 001 1095 821 6 106 2 338 8 293 2 237 821 656 5 105 2 337 7 292 3*215 656 561 4 107 2 341 6 292 3*211 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography