DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 61.1 - - 72.6 - - 66.3 - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 158 - - 197 - - 73 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1321 - - 2277 - - 953 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 969 - - 1758 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1865 - - 2822 - - 1498 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 712 - - 743 - - 1089 - - 546 - - 734 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 241 - - 311 - - 168 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 18 - - 20 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 163 - - 048 - - 082 - - 269 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -3 - - 1 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -318 - - -1544 - - -3773 - - -2694 - - -929 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 878 - - 3409 - - 6596 - - 4192 - - 1490 sfcLCL ODpotential -8183 - - -6544 - - -6550 - - -6359 - - -6528 ODpotential blCL 8743 - - 8409 - - 9372 - - 7857 - - 7089 blCL maxRH 86 - - 74 - - 85 - - 65 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 61.1 - - 72.6 - - 66.3 - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.8 - - 48.1 - - 45.7 - - 50.0 - - 52.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 60.0 - - 71.3 - - 65.7 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.7 - - 47.7 - - 45.2 - - 49.7 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 158 - - 197 - - 73 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1321 - - 2277 - - 953 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97722 11 317 18 287 23 311 21 318 14 313 97722 90415 10 335 12 295 15 284 17 310 16 314 90415 84763 10 320 11 280 6 279 13 298 12 292 84763 80086 2 311 5 247 7 250 16 284 6 298 80086 76076 8 304 1 309 6 240 10 266 8 276 76076 72537 4 271 1 317 0 318 6 142 8 274 72537 69319 2 307 3 218 10 247 8 232 12 246 69319 66351 8 271 3 187 10 218 13 222 12 229 66351 63581 12 223 13 220 14 215 16 214 12 213 63581 60882 14 202 21 212 19 215 21 211 17 212 60882 58062 17 213 25 208 28 212 24 218 24 210 58062 55118 27 225 30 212 36 208 33 214 34 205 55118 52293 40 227 40 216 42 214 40 210 40 200 52293 49758 51 224 57 216 51 214 51 209 39 201 49758 47479 65 221 70 212 63 217 55 202 44 211 47479 45395 73 220 72 212 74 213 60 222 58 214 45395 43484 80 218 73 213 74 206 82 218 72 212 43484 41723 86 217 75 213 72 209 87 211 82 205 41723 40088 89 218 80 212 80 208 82 203 77 196 40088 38564 84 216 85 210 81 204 71 200 64 204 38564 37146 73 217 77 208 77 204 67 207 77 211 37146 35792 73 223 73 210 79 208 77 209 81 207 35792 34433 80 219 78 212 83 206 79 203 79 202 34433 33041 80 214 79 209 77 203 73 198 71 197 33041 31617 76 209 75 205 68 200 62 195 64 195 31617 30135 68 205 65 199 60 197 55 191 57 194 30135 28576 58 200 55 193 53 193 53 190 53 190 28576 26935 54 201 50 191 49 191 54 189 53 188 26935 25210 52 203 49 192 48 190 50 190 53 188 25210 23407 51 201 47 193 47 190 45 188 50 185 23407 21530 49 199 45 193 45 190 42 184 46 181 21530 19570 43 198 42 192 41 188 39 182 44 176 19570 17522 37 195 37 189 36 183 36 180 41 169 17522 15432 35 194 35 187 34 176 36 175 40 162 15432 13416 35 195 35 187 35 173 37 169 41 157 13416 11578 36 195 36 186 33 172 36 167 39 158 11578 9939 37 195 34 185 30 173 32 168 36 162 9939 8479 35 197 32 184 27 174 27 167 30 166 8479 7181 31 198 29 183 25 177 21 165 22 175 7181 6030 26 196 27 182 23 177 16 160 15 176 6030 5011 22 186 24 180 20 171 12 153 11 159 5011 4113 18 177 21 177 17 162 8 140 6 128 4113 3323 12 183 15 175 11*151 4 104 5 071 3323 2618 5 228 5 155 4*113 2 044 4 034 2618 1997 5 296 3*055 3 091 5*297 4 340 1997 1482 4 308 3*051 3 077 11*272 6 292 1482 1088 2 322 3 050 3 065 11 269 8 268 1088 818 0 243 2 047 2 056 11 268 7 252 818 654 1 170 2 045 2 054 10 268 5*232 654 561 1*163 2 044 2 050 8 267 3*206 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography