DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 55.5 - - 61.1 - - 56.5 - - 48.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 23 - - 49 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 361 - - 797 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 905 - - 1342 - - 560 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 341 - - 543 - - 792 - - 867 - - 501 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 91 - - 149 - - 14 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 359 - - 067 - - 065 - - 062 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1474 - - -1524 - - -1233 - - -1055 - - -1170 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2034 - - 2429 - - 2575 - - 1615 - - 1730 sfcLCL ODpotential -13234 - - -11149 - - -9562 - - -9642 - - -12281 ODpotential blCL 13794 - - 12054 - - 10904 - - 10202 - - 12841 blCL maxRH 60 - - 68 - - 71 - - 75 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 55.5 - - 61.1 - - 56.5 - - 48.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.6 - - 47.2 - - 52.0 - - 51.6 - - 43.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 55.2 - - 60.8 - - 57.2 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 45.9 - - 50.7 - - 50.6 - - 43.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 23 - - 49 - - -10 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 361 - - 797 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96344 7 040 9 028 6 116 3 214 3 157 96344 89304 12 083 7 082 7 063 7 147 10 065 89304 83830 7 091 5 120 6 067 7 121 4 042 83830 79240 8 100 3 154 9 294 11 033 6 028 79240 75270 6 062 5 153 14 253 15 317 16 346 75270 71766 7 292 6 336 10 261 16 278 13 324 71766 68584 11 293 13 308 13 308 15 296 11 332 68584 65643 15 305 14 297 19 300 21 295 15 325 65643 62913 16 321 17 311 19 295 20 303 21 320 62913 60281 18 311 21 309 23 300 24 304 25 306 60281 57536 22 301 25 301 26 304 24 307 23 302 57536 54679 36 300 30 308 32 311 31 315 26 313 54679 51957 35 307 32 306 33 307 34 314 30 323 51957 49524 32 315 28 298 30 304 34 309 36 324 49524 47362 33 314 25 297 29 299 31 300 34 307 47362 45415 33 304 24 308 25 288 26 290 30 281 45415 43643 22 321 26 336 17 325 14 308 12 296 43643 42022 17 343 27 341 21 350 13 352 19 015 42022 40527 3 103 12 331 11 347 11 340 18 013 40527 39124 8 097 8 146 13 228 13 220 5 342 39124 37794 20 070 18 096 21 208 16 216 9 230 37794 36498 31 061 21 072 15 164 18 200 15 192 36498 35171 29 060 17 057 12 105 16 188 10 187 35171 33784 18 071 11 046 12 090 10 172 9 164 33784 32339 8 081 5 032 6 093 8 183 11 165 32339 30822 5 035 2 139 2 187 13 208 14 182 30822 29219 10 008 3 175 8 206 12 239 16 194 29219 27530 14 010 2 233 10 206 8 248 16 190 27530 25755 12 336 7 316 7 230 10 298 10 217 25755 23896 16 315 13 311 9 285 11 288 12 219 23896 21957 15 322 13 312 7 288 11 272 14 228 21957 19934 21 332 12 332 6 296 10 267 17 256 19934 17829 30 329 17 336 16 325 16 316 19 299 17829 15685 37 327 27 334 30 329 26 328 23 320 15685 13614 36 331 31 337 30 333 27 336 25 336 13614 11725 30 337 28 341 25 337 23 339 24 348 11725 10044 21 342 22 345 20 342 20 342 22 353 10044 8552 16 344 16 351 16 349 17 347 19 356 8552 7228 15 349 14 357 13 357 14 351 16 359 7228 6056 14 359 13 003 12 007 12 358 14 004 6056 5023 15 012 13 010 12 013 11 010 14 012 5023 4115 15 018 11 019 12 020 11 020 14 019 4115 3318 14 018 9 019 12 021 11 022 15 020 3318 2609 13 019 9 010 10 019 10 016 14 016 2609 1987 12 027 9 030 9 035 9 030 12 023 1987 1473 15 052 13 065 10*064 12 061 16 060 1473 1082 14 068 12*069 9*066 12 069 18 080 1082 815 11 073 9*068 9 065 10 068 16 085 815 653 7 067 8 067 8 066 8 067 11*088 653 560 2*359 5 066 6 065 4*062 2*099 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography