DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/23 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 66.4 - - - - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 208 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1980 - - 2995 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1484 - - 2340 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2524 - - 3540 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1325 - - 1768 - - - - - 1567 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 358 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 300 - - - - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1000 - - -580 - - - - - -886 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3524 - - 4120 - - - - - 1446 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4211 - - -4198 - - - - - -2767 ODpotential blCL - - - 6735 - - 7738 - - - - - 3327 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 68 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 66.4 - - - - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.8 - - 50.4 - - - - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 65.0 - - - - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 49.1 - - - - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 208 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1980 - - 2995 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97535 28 273 38 294 29 285 97535 90135 30 279 36 283 29 305 90135 84462 24 292 31 276 27 306 84462 79788 17 299 22 278 20 291 79788 75759 16 304 13 278 16 287 75759 72182 19 303 11 309 14 282 72182 68933 19 272 15 299 17 288 68933 65934 19 258 18 275 23 278 65934 63146 18 268 18 265 23 266 63146 60442 22 264 20 272 19 275 60442 57614 26 271 24 273 24 289 57614 54674 34 272 31 269 32 288 54674 51865 37 271 39 270 42 283 51865 49347 44 269 45 267 48 277 49347 47103 44 270 44 268 50 278 47103 45076 45 280 45 283 53 275 45076 43229 53 287 55 282 48 274 43229 41534 66 283 62 277 53 277 41534 39971 78 276 72 274 58 275 39971 38525 78 273 75 272 56 274 38525 37176 77 278 73 275 49 276 37176 35880 75 282 66 277 44 281 35880 34562 70 286 61 280 43 281 34562 33188 64 289 56 281 43 277 33188 31757 64 294 52 284 44 275 31757 30256 65 293 49 289 42 279 30256 28672 61 294 48 293 39 284 28672 27008 53 296 47 296 34 286 27008 25262 47 299 39 300 31 286 25262 23438 38 302 30 298 29 285 23438 21541 30 309 24 299 21 289 21541 19565 27 323 19 308 13 283 19565 17500 16 344 8 332 9 296 17500 15389 8 018 5 330 9 317 15389 13353 7 340 9 311 7 326 13353 11503 12 331 10 306 8 328 11503 9861 15 342 11 323 9 329 9861 8408 13 355 10 340 9 324 8408 7122 10 006 7 354 5 315 7122 5983 9 014 6 006 3 026 5983 4976 10 022 5 010 4 355 4976 4090 11 021 5*349 8 329 4090 3309 10 012 5*326 10 330 3309 2611 6*354 6 311 12 333 2611 1995 4*315 7 298 11 330 1995 1481 4 308 7 294 9 315 1481 1088 4 303 7 292 8 287 1088 818 4 301 7 291 7 261 818 654 4 300 7 291 6 247 654 560 3 298 6 290 4*238 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography