DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 75.1 - - - - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 411 - - - - - 33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1029 - - 1148 - - - - - 463 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 936 - - 1168 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1574 - - 1693 - - - - - 1008 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 319 - - 392 - - - - - 468 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 317 - - - - - 101 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 282 - - - - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1031 - - -2241 - - - - - -358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2606 - - 3934 - - - - - 1366 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9245 - - -8864 - - - - - -10652 ODpotential blCL - - - 10819 - - 10557 - - - - - 11660 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 73 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 75.1 - - - - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.6 - - 59.9 - - - - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.8 - - 72.8 - - - - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 59.3 - - - - - 58.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 411 - - - - - 33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1029 - - 1148 - - - - - 463 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 0 - - - - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98798 26 106 22 101 15 095 98798 91328 19 102 19 093 15 082 91328 85603 19 108 13 075 19 090 85603 80863 21 106 7 088 22 092 80863 76793 20 111 10 146 21 089 76793 73193 19 105 12 129 16 082 73193 69940 16 088 15 104 15 066 69940 66967 11 098 16 079 15 066 66967 64217 9 104 8 077 18 066 64217 61549 8 085 4 119 12 045 61549 58772 5 090 5 124 9 016 58772 55900 5 295 4 091 3 287 55900 53157 12 252 5 302 5 270 53157 50683 15 264 10 271 12 281 50683 48463 21 277 15 280 14 283 48463 46442 24 275 20 274 19 278 46442 44592 26 269 25 273 25 279 44592 42893 28 271 30 274 30 281 42893 41319 30 276 32 275 35 280 41319 39844 32 281 30 281 36 280 39844 38454 34 285 31 287 33 281 38454 37106 33 287 33 287 30 285 37106 35734 34 286 33 285 25 289 35734 34307 31 284 29 284 18 290 34307 32828 23 287 22 285 11 298 32828 31282 18 292 17 289 8 315 31282 29654 17 292 16 286 9 322 29654 27941 19 286 17 282 12 315 27941 26141 21 283 17 278 15 307 26141 24258 19 283 14 276 14 301 24258 22299 14 284 9 272 9 311 22299 20256 8 291 5 255 7 341 20256 18120 5 297 4 240 5 324 18120 15938 3 230 6 244 2 032 15938 13833 4 179 5 213 2 112 13833 11919 5 152 8 177 4 172 11919 10222 6 149 9 169 7 181 10222 8716 6 153 8 166 9 175 8716 7375 8 153 8 167 10 152 7375 6182 11 145 10 166 8 134 6182 5125 13 138 11 164 6 118 5125 4195 13 139 11 163 4 103 4195 3377 12 150 9 161 3 046 3377 2649 9 164 4 173 4 322 2649 2014 3*196 5*280 10 282 2014 1491 4*294 10*283 11 275 1491 1093 5 296 11 283 10*271 1093 821 5 297 11 282 8*269 821 656 5 296 10 282 7 269 656 561 4 297 9 282 6 268 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography