DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 65.9 - - 70.1 - - 67.1 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 287 - - 450 - - 230 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1690 - - 1823 - - 1807 - - 369 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1467 - - 1678 - - 1478 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2234 - - 2368 - - 2352 - - 914 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 535 - - 783 - - 1049 - - 832 - - 1861 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 319 - - 379 - - 302 - - 72 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 12 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 268 - - 270 - - 276 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -349 - - -534 - - -1643 - - -151 - - -7 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 909 - - 2768 - - 4011 - - 2503 - - 921 sfcLCL ODpotential -7889 - - -4919 - - -5122 - - -3067 - - -340 ODpotential blCL 8449 - - 7153 - - 7490 - - 5419 - - 1254 blCL maxRH 93 - - 87 - - 74 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 65.9 - - 70.1 - - 67.1 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.9 - - 55.6 - - 54.4 - - 57.9 - - 59.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.8 - - 64.0 - - 67.6 - - 65.7 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.8 - - 55.2 - - 54.1 - - 57.7 - - 59.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 287 - - 450 - - 230 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1690 - - 1823 - - 1807 - - 369 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 49 - - 0 - - 77 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98971 18 115 15 103 10 146 7 112 9 083 98971 91505 21 097 20 104 17 127 8 105 12 066 91505 85749 19 092 19 090 20 109 12 106 14 090 85749 81012 11 102 13 086 15 094 19 097 18 091 81012 76925 12 112 13 088 9 082 17 096 18 086 76925 73295 10 087 12 091 9 111 14 090 10 080 73295 70005 5 063 8 119 4 105 6 045 9 072 70005 66975 5 030 3 140 2 176 3 228 3 026 66975 64162 10 300 8 286 6 304 5 262 4 265 64162 61441 15 286 11 263 9 258 11 264 12 261 61441 58624 23 279 13 271 16 261 17 274 16 262 58624 55728 25 278 20 289 22 279 21 268 16 266 55728 52973 29 279 27 287 29 273 31 275 30 277 52973 50503 33 278 34 283 38 273 44 270 44 268 50503 48293 35 282 38 286 41 276 48 265 49 265 48293 46280 41 288 43 285 45 277 50 268 49 265 46280 44425 45 282 42 279 48 274 51 270 51 274 44425 42709 49 277 41 280 50 275 55 278 55 280 42709 41119 51 274 42 282 53 276 58 279 58 281 41119 39629 53 270 41 284 52 272 55 275 57 278 39629 38226 54 267 40 284 51 271 53 274 55 275 38226 36868 53 266 41 283 50 273 51 274 50 274 36868 35489 51 265 42 280 48 274 50 274 43 278 35489 34057 49 263 41 276 46 274 49 274 40 283 34057 32569 49 262 41 273 44 273 47 274 39 285 32569 31011 47 263 40 274 44 272 45 273 38 285 31011 29369 43 264 39 276 45 270 44 271 37 283 29369 27645 39 264 38 277 46 272 45 270 38 279 27645 25839 38 265 39 276 43 275 46 271 41 274 25839 23954 36 263 39 273 39 273 45 273 42 273 23954 21992 33 265 40 267 39 272 43 273 43 272 21992 19944 33 273 39 267 39 268 41 273 43 269 19944 17806 30 273 38 266 38 267 39 272 39 271 17806 15629 29 270 35 263 36 267 36 268 35 270 15629 13540 27 271 28 264 32 267 32 267 31 262 13540 11652 20 262 23 257 25 256 26 259 26 251 11652 9984 17 253 20 251 23 249 23 247 21 240 9984 8507 15 255 17 250 19 245 19 235 18 228 8507 7199 11 259 13 252 15 243 15 227 17 216 7199 6039 7 263 9 254 12 245 13 234 16 221 6039 5016 5 269 7 247 10 249 12 249 15 247 5016 4118 5 286 6 260 10 256 13 260 15 269 4118 3328 7 302 6 279 11 264 13 270 16 284 3328 2625 8 306 7*274 11*268 16*278 16 286 2625 2005 7 298 7*269 12*268 16*277 15 286 2005 1489 6 282 8 268 13 270 16 276 15 283 1489 1093 6 261 7 267 13 271 16 275 12*274 1093 821 4 233 7 268 12 271 15 275 10*271 821 655 3 202 7 268 11 271 14 275 9 271 655 561 2*208 6 268 10 272 11 274 6 269 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography