DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.8 - - 66.8 - - 76.1 - - 73.9 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 64 - - 125 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 546 - - 2482 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1699 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1090 - - 3027 - - 562 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 155 - - 940 - - 1471 - - 3837 - - 431 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 136 - - 279 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 127 - - 042 - - 018 - - 338 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3861 - - -5025 - - -5536 - - -6060 - - -1336 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4421 - - 6116 - - 8563 - - 6622 - - 1897 sfcLCL ODpotential -15787 - - -12770 - - -11336 - - -10948 - - -8717 ODpotential blCL 16347 - - 13860 - - 14363 - - 11510 - - 9278 blCL maxRH 36 - - 40 - - 48 - - 40 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.8 - - 66.8 - - 76.1 - - 73.9 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.3 - - 42.6 - - 40.8 - - 47.2 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.5 - - 66.3 - - 75.2 - - 74.7 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 41.7 - - 40.0 - - 46.5 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 64 - - 125 - - 0 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 546 - - 2482 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96646 60 284 50 292 47 290 43 285 48 284 96646 89532 33 275 39 286 35 293 31 297 36 301 89532 84039 18 280 26 276 30 280 31 294 34 300 84039 79495 18 318 14 280 22 276 22 281 27 294 79495 75567 27 301 19 292 24 284 23 292 23 298 75567 72063 31 285 25 279 32 283 31 294 26 297 72063 68870 30 278 26 276 28 278 26 292 25 291 68870 65925 29 280 25 274 25 282 27 291 28 296 65925 63209 31 282 31 282 27 292 27 293 28 300 63209 60596 34 283 32 283 29 297 31 296 32 300 60596 57865 33 279 30 281 34 292 37 290 36 296 57865 55019 33 282 30 276 36 286 39 291 37 304 55019 52308 37 278 34 280 37 288 39 296 38 302 52308 49873 45 271 39 277 38 292 37 296 34 312 49873 47681 49 260 43 269 38 290 39 298 43 315 47681 45684 51 255 47 258 39 275 40 291 44 304 45684 43848 53 252 50 251 45 257 41 273 38 293 43848 42150 58 245 55 243 56 244 45 259 35 278 42150 40581 55 241 57 239 61 240 55 252 41 269 40581 39123 50 238 53 237 59 242 61 244 47 257 39123 37760 46 238 50 239 55 241 58 240 57 243 37760 36447 46 236 48 240 53 241 55 235 60 238 36447 35106 45 234 46 239 52 241 51 236 56 236 35106 33710 44 231 44 236 51 239 49 239 52 236 33710 32260 42 230 43 235 48 237 48 239 49 239 32260 30743 39 230 42 235 45 237 45 237 46 245 30743 29145 35 229 38 235 41 239 42 238 44 249 29145 27469 31 230 33 237 37 241 38 241 42 252 27469 25710 27 236 30 239 34 242 35 241 38 249 25710 23867 23 236 28 235 33 241 32 240 36 251 23867 21945 22 229 28 230 32 239 31 244 34 262 21945 19939 24 227 30 232 32 239 31 249 30 269 19939 17844 26 236 30 239 30 244 29 255 26 269 17844 15703 22 247 25 246 24 251 24 265 22 271 15703 13636 14 249 20 254 19 263 19 277 16 279 13636 11753 11 240 16 254 16 267 16 284 13 291 11753 10081 9 234 11 255 12 262 12 291 9 301 10081 8595 7 249 8 258 8 259 9 304 6 308 8595 7275 6 263 4 248 5 262 7 315 4 334 7275 6105 4 233 3 210 3 254 4 336 5 348 6105 5071 3 230 1 193 2 358 5 033 5 360 5071 4162 0 243 2 028 5 020 7 041 7 018 4162 3363 3 065 4 019 6*021 6 032 7 020 3363 2650 4 059 5 016 5*022 6 020 9 021 2650 2021 4 052 6 024 4 020 5 009 11 018 2021 1498 4 053 6 041 4 019 5 358 12 009 1498 1097 4 053 5*047 3 016 4 351 10 360 1097 822 3 052 3*044 3 013 4 348 6 347 822 656 1 063 3 041 3 014 4*342 3*317 656 561 1*127 2 041 2 015 3*338 2*239 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography