DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 77.1 - - 70.2 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 203 - - 138 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 655 - - 1946 - - 784 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1557 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1199 - - 2491 - - 1329 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 718 - - 3199 - - 613 - - 635 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 304 - - 197 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 278 - - 265 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4569 - - -6174 - - -4262 - - -1089 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5768 - - 8665 - - 5591 - - 1650 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9242 - - -11181 - - -8308 - - -7521 ODpotential blCL - - - 10441 - - 13672 - - 9637 - - 8082 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 84 - - 47 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.0 - - 77.1 - - 70.2 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.0 - - 41.1 - - 47.9 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 75.7 - - 69.1 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 39.9 - - 47.1 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 135 - - 203 - - 138 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 655 - - 1946 - - 784 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 38 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96910 36 282 38 286 33 287 39 289 96910 89718 23 284 28 290 33 300 33 310 89718 84187 19 302 16 289 27 299 25 320 84187 79586 16 306 13 294 19 297 21 319 79586 75633 11 311 12 292 11 307 16 316 75633 72156 9 320 12 298 9 327 11 318 72156 69006 10 330 13 304 12 329 10 323 69006 66099 13 319 15 293 10 312 11 308 66099 63384 13 281 13 259 14 276 13 283 63384 60739 13 260 16 259 21 256 22 252 60739 57962 21 268 26 266 24 275 24 248 57962 55037 43 264 37 268 38 270 32 254 55037 52205 46 252 45 268 45 268 46 267 52205 49653 43 262 56 267 63 266 55 267 49653 47397 51 259 61 259 60 254 54 262 47397 45380 44 249 48 254 53 243 48 257 45380 43550 30 262 41 259 42 252 49 256 43550 41868 40 280 46 274 43 268 50 259 41868 40309 54 280 55 275 46 271 50 264 40309 38855 58 275 58 266 52 264 47 265 38855 37493 66 272 68 261 63 256 45 255 37493 36183 63 270 67 261 65 256 44 245 36183 34844 42 257 44 256 65 261 48 247 34844 33446 28 241 26 240 45 270 50 260 33446 31997 23 249 21 236 27 255 31 266 31997 30484 21 250 21 245 23 237 19 239 30484 28895 16 229 19 249 17 234 20 224 28895 27223 14 202 16 241 15 235 18 215 27223 25469 18 202 17 218 15 225 17 226 25469 23635 24 204 19 206 16 219 13 232 23635 21730 25 210 18 205 14 212 9 219 21730 19744 26 222 17 212 14 207 10 199 19744 17668 21 225 13 205 13 199 12 198 17668 15545 12 211 14 192 11 189 13 199 15545 13499 9 174 15 192 11 192 14 197 13499 11639 8 160 14 191 13 192 16 187 11639 9990 7 148 12 181 15 180 16 175 9990 8525 7 148 11 173 15 169 14 168 8525 7222 7 152 11 163 14 166 12 167 7222 6063 8 156 10 154 11 162 9 160 6063 5035 9 157 8 144 7 156 4 124 5035 4131 9 151 5 125 2 146 3 045 4131 3334 9 136 3 108 2 313 5 331 3334 2622 9 121 1*333 6 299 8 310 2622 1997 7 116 4*286 12 281 9 294 1997 1479 1*196 5 280 12*272 9 270 1479 1085 5*260 6 278 12*266 8 252 1085 817 5 261 6 276 12 265 8 249 817 654 5 263 6 275 11 264 6*249 654 561 4 264 5 275 8 263 4*249 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography