DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.4 - - 55.0 - - 58.2 - - 57.1 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 17 - - 114 - - 16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 148 - - 2054 - - 1038 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1358 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 692 - - 2598 - - 1582 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 287 - - 807 - - 964 - - 1564 - - 582 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 60 - - 257 - - 112 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 63 - - 6 - - 13 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 8 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 118 - - 019 - - 280 - - 309 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 4 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2322 - - -3434 - - -178 - - -1042 - - -487 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2882 - - 4126 - - 2776 - - 2625 - - 1047 sfcLCL ODpotential -10562 - - -9089 - - -3127 - - -3389 - - -6751 ODpotential blCL 11122 - - 9781 - - 5725 - - 4971 - - 7311 blCL maxRH 52 - - 51 - - 83 - - 76 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.4 - - 55.0 - - 58.2 - - 57.1 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.4 - - 39.5 - - 48.3 - - 47.9 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.4 - - 55.0 - - 57.3 - - 57.0 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 38.3 - - 47.3 - - 47.0 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 17 - - 114 - - 16 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 148 - - 2054 - - 1038 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 32 - - 5 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95597 61 284 57 295 66 290 51 293 65 299 95597 88742 40 311 32 296 33 312 34 308 49 318 88742 83351 35 310 26 304 35 308 33 317 37 323 83351 78827 31 309 26 315 32 304 33 320 31 320 78827 74904 31 308 25 315 24 305 30 315 26 309 74904 71420 29 307 27 319 26 317 31 316 30 311 71420 68261 29 308 29 315 28 320 34 314 34 311 68261 65360 30 305 31 309 31 316 33 308 33 311 65360 62668 30 307 32 303 30 307 33 307 38 313 62668 60059 32 309 31 302 31 316 37 304 41 313 60059 57333 35 311 36 305 37 316 38 305 42 314 57333 54492 39 310 38 306 35 320 40 310 43 322 54492 51772 44 310 37 309 40 322 47 317 52 334 51772 49324 46 309 37 310 45 319 53 323 63 330 49324 47126 45 306 37 311 45 318 53 325 61 326 47126 45123 43 304 41 316 41 321 49 326 54 327 45123 43285 39 307 44 319 41 333 48 330 50 329 43285 41606 39 310 41 322 48 334 50 332 48 331 41606 40082 39 310 35 332 47 335 47 330 54 335 40082 38675 37 313 40 355 46 345 45 330 64 329 38675 37345 37 313 52 005 49 353 43 337 62 332 37345 36049 35 311 56 006 54 355 44 348 56 337 36049 34723 33 306 54 003 55 352 48 356 51 345 34723 33337 32 300 50 002 53 350 46 355 50 353 33337 31896 29 301 44 003 55 351 45 001 40 002 31896 30388 22 310 32 354 52 354 42 359 28 001 30388 28802 19 312 24 334 41 357 39 345 27 327 28802 27135 17 311 22 328 27 358 33 337 36 313 27135 25382 18 306 24 336 19 343 27 323 32 315 25382 23550 18 299 23 340 19 335 28 317 26 309 23550 21639 16 292 24 341 16 333 22 314 24 309 21639 19644 15 285 18 320 11 335 18 314 22 299 19644 17557 15 273 11 281 8 263 11 305 17 296 17557 15426 13 266 15 259 18 259 10 275 11 284 15426 13376 12 239 17 249 15 239 12 239 10 258 13376 11518 15 219 14 225 14 199 12 197 11 224 11518 9871 18 212 19 200 20 198 16 189 13 195 9871 8411 15 196 21 194 20 198 19 189 16 187 8411 7118 13 175 19 187 18 193 19 187 18 187 7118 5974 13 159 17 182 15 194 18 180 19 187 5974 4964 13 148 16 180 11 197 15 168 19 182 4964 4077 11 147 14 179 8 203 13 152 17 172 4077 3296 10 151 13 181 6*225 10 139 15 160 3296 2598 7 158 12 183 7*273 7 125 12 142 2598 1983 5 166 11 185 9 279 2*109 10 120 1983 1472 4 176 10 185 9 280 1*319 7 111 1472 1082 4 154 7 178 9 281 2 308 4 107 1082 814 5 122 3*165 8 281 2 306 2 109 814 653 3 115 1*159 8 282 2 308 2 127 653 560 2*118 1 358 6 282 2 305 2*136 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography