DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.6 - - 66.3 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 451 - - 313 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1549 - - 1596 - - 1179 - - 588 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1365 - - 1512 - - 1126 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2094 - - 2141 - - 1723 - - 1132 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 462 - - 474 - - 476 - - 562 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 364 - - 291 - - 120 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 11 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 272 - - 270 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -447 - - -1808 - - -1112 - - -135 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2541 - - 3949 - - 2835 - - 1267 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8789 - - -9162 - - -9011 - - -9968 ODpotential blCL - - - 10883 - - 11303 - - 10734 - - 11100 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 74 - - 87 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 70.6 - - 66.3 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 55.2 - - 55.7 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 68.1 - - 64.4 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 54.6 - - 55.4 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 278 - - 451 - - 313 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1549 - - 1596 - - 1179 - - 588 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 0 - - 47 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99200 30 112 28 119 28 115 28 100 99200 91696 26 123 27 117 24 112 26 101 91696 85924 23 120 20 117 25 119 24 100 85924 81147 22 117 20 132 23 111 22 113 81147 77028 21 107 23 131 18 110 24 116 77028 73385 16 111 16 125 17 114 19 102 73385 70093 17 117 14 124 13 123 14 094 70093 67075 11 127 12 119 11 144 9 104 67075 64277 9 122 9 125 8 142 5 107 64277 61564 3 226 3 081 6 164 4 177 61564 58732 8 228 9 250 6 256 3 332 58732 55795 8 254 12 259 14 274 14 294 55795 52999 15 278 15 272 20 280 22 283 52999 50493 23 286 21 287 24 292 25 286 50493 48251 32 285 29 290 30 295 28 289 48251 46221 37 286 35 288 34 289 29 291 46221 44365 44 286 38 284 37 283 31 296 44365 42654 50 281 44 284 40 278 37 291 42654 41068 49 276 47 281 42 276 43 280 41068 39592 45 277 46 274 41 277 42 274 39592 38209 42 276 43 272 40 278 39 273 38209 36872 41 274 42 272 39 279 35 277 36872 35509 40 274 41 274 38 278 33 280 35509 34090 38 278 40 275 36 276 32 280 34090 32616 36 281 38 274 36 274 31 280 32616 31072 34 284 34 271 37 273 33 279 31072 29445 31 284 32 272 36 274 33 278 29445 27734 27 279 31 271 33 275 30 279 27734 25939 24 273 28 270 29 274 28 279 25939 24062 20 274 21 270 26 275 25 279 24062 22107 18 279 16 270 18 271 18 277 22107 20069 17 289 11 276 12 270 12 265 20069 17944 14 304 6 284 7 268 9 255 17944 15774 10 297 5 280 3 234 5 241 15774 13682 4 263 3 238 4 169 4 189 13682 11783 3 167 4 205 4 170 3 171 11783 10097 4 149 6 204 3 199 3 186 10097 8602 4 155 5 208 4 192 5 184 8602 7277 2 203 3 200 6 176 7 179 7277 6100 3 236 3 176 8 174 7 184 6100 5060 4 212 4 182 9 175 6 197 5060 4145 6 188 6 186 6 188 4 226 4145 3339 7 185 5 198 3 239 3 268 3339 2623 5*209 5*232 8 270 6 275 2623 1997 5*259 10*269 13*271 10 270 1997 1481 6 270 11 272 14*271 11*266 1481 1088 6 274 11 272 14 270 10*266 1088 818 6 277 11 272 13 270 9 264 818 654 5 276 11 273 12 270 9 265 654 561 5 278 9 273 10 270 6 265 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography