DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 59.4 - - 60.0 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 112 - - 22 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 3215 - - 2808 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 2198 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1642 - - 3759 - - 3353 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1891 - - 1849 - - 2977 - - 2776 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 301 - - 178 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 19 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 131 - - 058 - - 016 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -3 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -881 - - 81 - - -146 - - -897 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2523 - - 3678 - - 3499 - - 1457 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2628 - - -1624 - - -1143 - - -2830 ODpotential blCL - - - 4270 - - 5383 - - 4496 - - 3390 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 75 - - 80 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 150 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 59.4 - - 60.0 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.5 - - 45.5 - - 46.9 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 58.5 - - 59.9 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 67 - - 112 - - 22 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1098 - - 3215 - - 2808 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 2 - - 21 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96496 28 083 24 073 31 097 27 085 96496 89467 30 081 25 095 26 100 29 081 89467 83989 25 080 24 097 27 102 24 093 83989 79390 19 088 18 101 22 103 20 104 79390 75405 20 086 13 095 14 111 14 094 75405 71877 10 072 9 093 8 118 9 099 71877 68682 9 098 5 104 1 086 6 096 68682 65738 4 063 1 246 3 280 2 019 65738 62998 6 224 4 265 7 247 5 287 62998 60331 7 251 7 307 6 204 9 278 60331 57526 12 258 10 274 7 246 10 270 57526 54594 8 253 11 256 11 272 15 307 54594 51792 6 295 11 284 15 302 14 322 51792 49276 13 282 12 293 16 307 22 347 49276 47021 15 280 11 321 14 326 30 348 47021 44970 15 290 14 325 21 336 34 335 44970 43090 12 295 18 326 24 333 32 334 43090 41358 10 337 16 327 22 336 29 343 41358 39752 13 004 14 001 22 349 28 349 39752 38256 18 019 26 014 24 003 31 353 38256 36859 26 015 38 008 31 016 34 358 36859 35520 31 007 43 007 43 021 39 007 35520 34174 35 006 45 017 57 020 49 011 34174 32786 38 014 54 023 64 020 52 014 32786 31355 45 016 62 024 68 023 55 023 31355 29864 42 013 66 024 69 026 57 023 29864 28296 30 018 68 025 68 028 61 021 28296 26650 20 022 64 024 65 031 60 023 26650 24924 15 020 41 022 58 031 57 023 24924 23120 14 352 22 014 41 027 51 027 23120 21245 15 334 12 007 25 026 40 029 21245 19298 10 328 9 348 18 033 28 026 19298 17276 9 354 8 360 15 039 22 025 17276 15213 12 012 11 031 15 050 18 029 15213 13219 11 019 12 045 17 059 14 032 13219 11399 6 075 8 044 16 064 13 040 11399 9782 7 091 4 069 13 063 14 054 9782 8347 7 068 6 102 11 067 15 061 8347 7073 6 062 6 104 10 069 13 059 7073 5944 4 081 5 100 11 050 12 052 5944 4947 5 115 4 101 11 038 11 039 4947 4069 6 125 4*087 9*035 9 026 4069 3294 5 123 4*079 7*028 8 023 3294 2601 3 116 3 068 6 023 7 025 2601 1988 2*111 3 059 5 016 6 028 1988 1477 2*137 3 050 4 009 5 025 1477 1086 2 133 3 043 4 003 4 017 1086 817 2 127 3 039 4 003 2 353 817 654 2 124 2 039 3 002 1 282 654 560 1 122 2 037 3 000 2*244 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography