DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 77.3 - - 83.4 - - 77.3 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 17 - - 228 - - 388 - - 244 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 695 - - 887 - - 662 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 546 - - 972 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1241 - - 1433 - - 1208 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 387 - - 384 - - 373 - - 319 - - 566 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 222 - - 285 - - 221 - - 16 W* B/S 17 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 273 - - 267 - - 262 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -409 - - -2398 - - -3889 - - -3045 - - -938 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 970 - - 3639 - - 5322 - - 4253 - - 1499 sfcLCL ODpotential -12582 - - -10673 - - -10768 - - -11413 - - -12352 ODpotential blCL 13143 - - 11914 - - 12201 - - 12621 - - 12913 blCL maxRH 90 - - 70 - - 57 - - 64 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 77.3 - - 83.4 - - 77.3 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.0 - - 63.2 - - 62.2 - - 60.8 - - 59.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.7 - - 75.8 - - 81.1 - - 75.6 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.8 - - 62.7 - - 61.7 - - 60.5 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 17 - - 228 - - 388 - - 244 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 695 - - 887 - - 662 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99305 30 096 36 109 30 110 29 125 18 090 99305 91804 31 105 27 113 31 116 26 114 23 095 91804 86009 33 098 26 107 25 114 26 096 25 107 86009 81211 27 092 23 114 23 100 27 097 26 107 81211 77079 23 098 20 112 24 105 24 088 22 103 77079 73439 20 102 14 102 16 098 18 089 18 083 73439 70150 13 099 15 111 8 083 17 086 15 085 70150 67127 9 105 9 103 13 113 8 072 10 068 67127 64341 7 076 6 095 9 090 9 119 2 117 64341 61665 5 005 7 085 5 002 4 065 6 067 61665 58885 7 302 5 066 4 339 4 329 6 003 58885 56023 8 253 4 303 5 286 6 308 4 341 56023 53319 8 243 8 232 12 229 12 267 9 294 53319 50902 10 240 10 228 14 215 16 230 13 249 50902 48740 11 235 14 225 16 223 22 223 20 236 48740 46772 17 233 24 224 23 228 24 221 22 228 46772 44960 23 226 25 221 25 226 24 221 21 220 44960 43277 23 227 24 219 25 222 26 223 24 218 43277 41704 21 233 22 221 25 217 29 220 29 217 41704 40221 19 235 20 224 22 216 28 215 28 210 40221 38815 18 237 18 226 20 213 27 209 27 208 38815 37450 17 240 16 226 18 210 24 208 26 208 37450 36056 14 248 11 228 16 208 20 213 25 205 36056 34607 10 250 9 224 13 207 18 212 22 204 34607 33107 10 236 8 212 12 210 17 217 18 204 33107 31540 10 237 7 219 10 214 15 206 14 201 31540 29893 9 238 6 236 8 217 12 190 17 192 29893 28164 9 241 8 239 9 230 9 199 18 189 28164 26353 9 250 9 245 10 232 9 225 11 193 26353 24464 8 253 10 248 10 232 10 230 9 210 24464 22499 9 251 12 249 9 240 9 227 10 209 22499 20451 9 231 11 241 10 241 10 242 10 219 20451 18311 6 193 9 218 11 236 11 258 8 257 18311 16125 5 117 3 170 6 231 8 271 4 288 16125 14016 4 079 4 083 3 099 2 012 3 007 14016 12089 3 026 4 045 4 057 4 048 3 034 12089 10369 3 359 3 013 3 022 3 021 4 016 10369 8837 3 343 3 337 3 339 3 356 4 006 8837 7473 4 337 3 315 4 321 3 345 2 338 7473 6262 3 339 4 306 4 315 3 338 2 289 6262 5190 4 338 4 302 4 310 2 324 2 271 5190 4246 3 329 3 296 4 295 3 307 3 292 4246 3416 3 312 3 283 4 278 4 308 6 308 3416 2678 4 282 6 260 8 266 7 291 9 314 2678 2032 4 261 6 251 10 266 11 275 10 302 2032 1500 5 258 5*262 10*266 12*266 10 283 1500 1097 3 259 5*270 11*266 11*263 9 262 1097 822 1 218 5 273 10 266 11 262 7 251 822 656 1*108 5 274 10 267 10 262 6 248 656 561 0*182 4 276 8 267 8 263 5*247 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography