DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 74.5 - - 72.9 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 419 - - 201 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1724 - - 1900 - - 1337 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1490 - - 1719 - - 1099 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2269 - - 2446 - - 1882 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 799 - - 1656 - - 980 - - 700 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 375 - - 262 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 265 - - 260 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2831 - - -3575 - - -3890 - - -2643 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5100 - - 6021 - - 5773 - - 3204 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10782 - - -10315 - - -10516 - - -11000 ODpotential blCL - - - 13051 - - 12761 - - 12398 - - 11561 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 53 - - 52 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 74.5 - - 72.9 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 50.1 - - 49.7 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 72.0 - - 71.4 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 49.7 - - 49.4 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 419 - - 201 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1724 - - 1900 - - 1337 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98821 11 123 15 092 15 098 12 136 98821 91413 17 091 10 115 7 087 12 069 91413 85681 20 087 9 129 4 071 15 046 85681 80930 17 084 14 102 11 089 10 068 80930 76861 14 093 11 069 14 077 12 081 76861 73264 13 078 8 061 14 061 20 077 73264 69996 9 108 4 140 9 058 11 046 69996 66995 6 062 7 142 2 084 7 087 66995 64208 10 256 5 215 11 297 6 329 64208 61506 18 210 9 226 15 222 15 266 61506 58705 12 232 17 253 12 255 23 274 58705 55820 24 261 28 260 28 267 31 258 55820 53074 39 260 34 262 33 257 27 260 53074 50608 48 262 38 265 28 266 25 279 50608 48406 55 258 40 267 37 281 30 287 48406 46409 57 253 40 270 36 276 34 278 46409 44574 56 255 36 269 29 272 35 267 44574 42867 58 252 32 269 29 280 34 256 42867 41268 63 247 27 279 32 281 33 254 41268 39762 66 243 24 284 32 279 30 259 39762 38341 67 240 24 286 32 277 29 266 38341 36968 66 239 24 282 31 278 30 268 36968 35573 65 240 22 278 29 284 30 269 35573 34125 61 241 19 286 26 292 27 272 34125 32627 56 242 16 309 25 302 23 279 32627 31063 53 241 16 316 25 312 19 290 31063 29419 52 239 15 316 23 314 17 306 29419 27695 48 238 15 303 23 314 18 314 27695 25891 40 241 18 282 23 314 19 310 25891 24008 33 242 23 265 22 308 22 312 24008 22048 29 242 25 252 18 295 21 316 22048 20009 29 244 25 250 20 272 16 302 20009 17885 30 244 25 251 22 262 16 291 17885 15720 31 244 26 248 22 259 17 280 15720 13637 29 247 27 247 23 256 17 267 13637 11746 27 250 25 247 21 256 17 258 11746 10068 21 240 21 242 16 257 12 254 10068 8582 19 226 15 236 9 241 10 219 8582 7264 14 218 10 220 9 204 13 191 7264 6095 8 211 7 205 10 193 15 180 6095 5062 4 219 4 218 7 201 10 191 5062 4153 3 240 3 280 3 274 3 249 4153 3354 3 256 5 289 6 320 6 334 3354 2643 5*277 6*282 7 311 9 332 2643 2016 5*274 9*268 9*275 9 323 2016 1495 6 272 10 265 10*263 8 299 1495 1096 6 271 10 264 10 260 8 260 1096 822 6 270 10 263 10 259 8 232 822 656 5 270 9 263 9 258 7 220 656 561 5 270 8 263 8 257 5*217 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography