DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.7 - - 78.8 - - 88.6 - - 80.0 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 210 - - 318 - - 147 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 997 - - 1323 - - 708 - - 288 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 871 - - 1237 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1542 - - 1869 - - 1253 - - 833 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 197 - - 432 - - 1336 - - 475 - - 391 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 242 - - 305 - - 191 - - 64 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 209 - - 287 - - 279 - - 258 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1262 - - -3854 - - -6143 - - -4324 - - -1076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1823 - - 5396 - - 8012 - - 5577 - - 1909 sfcLCL ODpotential -10781 - - -9453 - - -9735 - - -9037 - - -9377 ODpotential blCL 11342 - - 10995 - - 11604 - - 10290 - - 10210 blCL maxRH 64 - - 65 - - 70 - - 75 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 61.7 - - 78.8 - - 88.6 - - 80.0 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.8 - - 57.4 - - 55.6 - - 57.8 - - 60.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.8 - - 77.3 - - 86.5 - - 78.9 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.6 - - 56.9 - - 55.1 - - 57.6 - - 60.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 210 - - 318 - - 147 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 997 - - 1323 - - 708 - - 288 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98149 14 054 15 088 15 157 6 167 1 111 98149 90776 10 097 13 065 15 138 7 114 4 091 90776 85094 14 101 13 087 9 089 14 101 9 089 85094 80405 13 080 12 116 8 075 16 107 12 076 80405 76370 10 066 12 103 12 105 13 111 12 080 76370 72802 8 097 11 083 16 095 15 086 15 098 72802 69582 12 109 10 091 13 100 14 077 15 101 69582 66637 12 110 8 122 7 096 7 063 12 089 66637 63917 8 093 9 105 7 108 5 088 7 093 63917 61297 3 043 4 076 5 094 7 068 9 118 61297 58570 0 202 3 177 5 190 5 322 6 072 58570 55742 1 141 4 212 9 209 13 241 10 298 55742 53051 7 280 4 241 7 230 15 220 18 263 53051 50634 13 276 10 234 10 235 18 222 19 239 50634 48463 15 258 13 224 15 234 14 223 16 230 48463 46482 18 258 15 237 18 237 12 243 15 232 46482 44647 23 250 17 245 18 243 22 243 19 233 44647 42939 26 238 21 239 23 237 29 235 21 228 42939 41344 26 224 24 228 28 228 31 227 24 227 41344 39853 26 221 26 221 31 222 34 226 28 230 39853 38452 26 222 26 215 33 215 44 229 35 234 38452 37097 25 224 26 214 32 209 55 222 53 217 37097 35716 26 227 26 214 30 207 57 214 52 215 35716 34280 26 228 25 215 29 208 48 225 39 208 34280 32791 24 228 25 215 28 208 38 240 29 206 32791 31232 22 222 24 209 27 205 20 228 25 238 31232 29590 19 211 21 199 23 205 17 203 17 244 29590 27871 17 203 20 193 18 208 17 200 8 176 27871 26072 18 198 19 195 14 215 16 198 9 165 26072 24190 19 190 18 187 13 201 14 198 8 159 24190 22232 17 175 16 176 15 176 8 207 6 162 22232 20195 15 159 13 191 15 177 4 188 10 147 20195 18078 15 152 14 208 13 193 8 127 16 133 18078 15921 12 170 12 213 11 204 10 125 15 122 15921 13838 8 204 12 220 11 220 4 152 14 120 13838 11936 9 226 13 214 11 221 5 206 11 116 11936 10238 9 228 12 207 9 202 9 183 9 114 10238 8727 9 223 10 201 8 191 11 179 6 115 8727 7383 9 217 8 204 6 194 8 177 4 153 7383 6193 8 206 4 213 3 209 5 185 1 265 6193 5139 6 174 1 172 1 244 2 205 6 317 5139 4214 6 119 5 091 2 058 1 277 10 311 4214 3398 8 087 7 085 3 047 4 317 15 295 3398 2672 8 073 7 071 3 021 7 311 18 273 2672 2033 5 041 4*040 3*313 10 287 19 269 2033 1502 5 356 2*309 6*282 12*266 15 264 1502 1099 4 338 3 285 7 279 12*259 12*253 1099 824 1 305 3 282 7 277 11 257 10*247 824 657 2 210 3 281 7 277 10 257 9 245 657 561 2*209 3 282 6 277 8 257 6 244 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography