DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 55.0 - - 60.9 - - 59.2 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 15 - - 53 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 175 - - 1087 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 719 - - 1632 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 201 - - 695 - - 832 - - 1827 - - 495 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 63 - - 167 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 080 - - 056 - - 050 - - 039 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2561 - - -2273 - - -1180 - - -979 - - -367 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3121 - - 2992 - - 2812 - - 1540 - - 927 sfcLCL ODpotential -13320 - - -10406 - - -7627 - - -7147 - - -10129 ODpotential blCL 13880 - - 11125 - - 9259 - - 7708 - - 10689 blCL maxRH 49 - - 61 - - 69 - - 77 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 55.0 - - 60.9 - - 59.2 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.9 - - 44.2 - - 50.7 - - 54.4 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 55.0 - - 60.5 - - 60.1 - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.8 - - 43.0 - - 49.4 - - 53.3 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 15 - - 53 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 175 - - 1087 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 26 072 34 064 16 103 22 105 25 073 96264 89197 23 081 20 081 15 088 19 083 26 081 89197 83718 19 073 14 072 8 061 14 058 14 077 83718 79153 8 041 10 025 10 061 3 067 7 043 79153 75206 9 356 10 354 9 021 11 047 5 348 75206 71714 8 343 7 327 12 332 13 008 5 017 71714 68544 12 353 8 314 14 318 14 337 11 341 68544 65619 16 335 11 318 17 313 16 313 14 325 65619 62896 23 312 19 307 22 306 18 317 14 321 62896 60252 30 295 24 290 28 296 27 308 28 325 60252 57490 31 299 26 293 33 292 33 294 36 304 57490 54623 43 304 30 300 35 294 40 288 38 289 54623 51889 48 295 35 294 39 289 43 292 36 289 51889 49425 47 288 37 292 40 289 49 287 40 288 49425 47222 45 289 39 303 38 287 46 280 41 286 47222 45234 43 295 43 307 35 288 34 276 40 283 45234 43421 45 303 43 304 37 287 38 272 38 278 43421 41762 48 301 39 300 40 280 40 265 40 270 41762 40242 37 289 37 294 37 275 35 262 41 258 40242 38830 10 316 26 291 31 273 33 253 34 241 38830 37496 37 001 25 331 22 281 27 249 31 237 37496 36197 49 357 34 347 20 305 23 247 24 237 36197 34869 38 344 36 345 21 315 18 255 19 245 34869 33484 27 360 34 335 23 313 15 278 20 244 33484 32043 35 015 35 330 24 313 14 292 21 239 32043 30531 38 007 33 329 25 315 16 297 20 241 30531 28937 32 018 25 329 24 314 21 300 18 244 28937 27264 30 015 20 339 22 312 24 303 15 254 27264 25510 28 011 21 350 20 317 22 306 14 253 25510 23671 20 335 21 354 17 336 19 312 17 252 23671 21750 29 301 22 341 16 349 14 318 19 284 21750 19750 30 288 24 330 19 330 14 321 25 326 19750 17671 30 282 22 317 23 326 17 327 26 333 17671 15546 34 277 23 304 22 325 21 329 24 328 15546 13494 33 278 22 303 20 323 23 332 21 326 13494 11624 30 278 21 303 19 317 21 333 19 332 11624 9959 26 280 19 303 18 313 19 329 17 339 9959 8480 22 283 15 306 15 317 17 330 15 343 8480 7168 17 283 12 319 11 320 13 336 12 345 7168 6010 14 284 10 333 9 322 10 345 8 349 6010 4989 11 289 10 343 9 336 8 355 5 354 4989 4093 9 310 9 352 9 349 7 005 4 358 4093 3304 9 327 8 358 9 001 7 012 4 354 3304 2601 9 336 8 005 9 012 6 010 6 342 2601 1984 8 352 7 016 6*023 5 013 5 352 1984 1472 8 023 7 037 6*048 4 030 6 042 1472 1082 8 059 7 054 5 050 5 046 10 069 1082 814 9 072 6*058 5 051 4 046 10 071 814 653 6*074 3*060 5 052 3*045 7*065 653 560 2*080 2 052 4 051 2*039 3*052 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography