DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 85.5 - - 83.8 - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 327 - - 183 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1062 - - 1426 - - 823 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 880 - - 1323 - - 546 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1607 - - 1972 - - 1369 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 701 - - 1402 - - 812 - - 512 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 318 - - 219 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 277 - - 254 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3662 - - -6012 - - -6398 - - -4592 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5270 - - 7984 - - 7767 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13106 - - -13962 - - -14944 - - -15316 ODpotential blCL - - - 14713 - - 15934 - - 16313 - - 15878 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 36 - - 35 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 85.5 - - 83.8 - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 52.7 - - 52.1 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.3 - - 83.5 - - 82.4 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 51.7 - - 51.1 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 178 - - 327 - - 183 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1062 - - 1426 - - 823 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98768 20 115 16 119 14 093 20 078 98768 91280 18 103 20 112 15 120 15 072 91280 85519 16 107 17 104 21 100 16 102 85519 80764 17 112 18 090 23 089 22 102 80764 76681 18 119 14 095 22 092 21 090 76681 73067 20 112 16 129 14 080 21 087 73067 69791 13 088 14 112 10 107 16 077 69791 66788 9 100 6 132 5 074 13 068 66788 64018 3 084 6 105 2 111 1 061 64018 61348 7 283 10 328 8 006 2 040 61348 58584 13 280 15 277 18 298 15 297 58584 55736 19 306 14 277 20 281 17 294 55736 53030 32 298 25 300 25 296 22 308 53030 50606 35 294 31 300 30 303 26 316 50606 48440 34 302 32 307 33 309 32 317 48440 46483 34 312 33 313 34 312 33 316 46483 44689 38 317 35 328 33 318 32 319 44689 43024 42 319 40 334 33 322 30 319 43024 41465 44 324 45 329 36 323 30 319 41465 40001 46 329 44 325 39 323 32 321 40001 38618 47 330 42 326 40 320 35 320 38618 37279 44 328 39 326 38 319 38 317 37279 35910 42 326 39 323 33 320 37 315 35910 34482 40 322 38 319 31 319 34 314 34482 32996 35 320 34 317 31 315 31 310 32996 31439 31 320 28 312 31 311 32 307 31439 29800 27 319 24 304 30 305 33 307 29800 28079 23 321 22 295 29 303 32 309 28079 26273 19 314 19 291 27 303 30 312 26273 24384 20 305 18 292 24 305 27 317 24384 22418 22 306 19 310 21 318 21 323 22418 20365 22 310 20 328 20 340 20 338 20365 18219 21 316 19 340 19 351 19 349 18219 16025 19 323 17 344 16 357 15 351 16025 13912 17 335 15 345 14 358 12 348 13912 11990 15 352 12 353 12 360 11 349 11990 10281 14 003 9 006 11 007 11 359 10281 8762 13 004 8 012 10 013 11 003 8762 7413 13 006 9 015 11 019 12 002 7413 6218 14 010 13 027 15 032 13 017 6218 5163 16 013 15 031 15 032 15 027 5163 4237 18 016 13 025 13 018 13 023 4237 3419 15 018 11 012 11 355 12 008 3419 2690 11 018 8 348 11 334 13 353 2690 2047 6*012 7*307 10 301 13 341 2047 1513 2*305 9*282 10*265 9 314 1513 1105 3 282 9 277 11*257 8 256 1105 826 3 276 9 275 10 254 8 232 826 658 3 276 9 274 10 253 7*226 658 562 2 274 8 273 8 252 5*224 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography