DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 59.8 - - 58.5 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 43 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 755 - - 3559 - - 164 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1597 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1299 - - 4103 - - 708 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2238 - - 1852 - - 5045 - - 1727 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 237 - - 34 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 164 - - 189 - - 333 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 12 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -598 - - 1306 - - -1268 - - -285 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1897 - - 2797 - - 1976 - - 845 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2208 - - 565 - - -2002 - - -1827 ODpotential blCL - - - 3507 - - 3538 - - 2710 - - 2387 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 94 - - 90 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 120 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.3 - - 59.8 - - 58.5 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 49.6 - - 51.9 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 59.3 - - 58.9 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 48.3 - - 50.8 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 43 - - 0 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 755 - - 3559 - - 164 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 77 - - 60 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96559 19 307 26 292 38 314 39 296 96559 89361 11 300 22 302 17 316 20 297 89361 83860 10 291 13 283 15 308 14 293 83860 79288 10 305 11 266 19 299 15 294 79288 75329 11 279 13 278 14 289 16 280 75329 71810 13 253 17 274 11 268 16 265 71810 68607 18 249 22 271 17 280 17 266 68607 65650 21 244 23 262 23 276 21 265 65650 62897 18 251 22 254 25 269 20 260 62897 60216 19 257 22 258 23 267 21 263 60216 57410 19 256 24 255 25 270 22 267 57410 54495 17 254 21 248 24 263 22 271 54495 51715 15 274 15 252 15 248 19 280 51715 49218 13 289 7 262 6 281 14 300 49218 46989 10 286 7 334 8 343 5 329 46989 44969 3 274 10 337 8 340 15 012 44969 43124 5 054 8 023 5 041 19 007 43124 41436 12 068 15 038 17 045 33 018 41436 39884 16 058 23 044 29 044 45 015 39884 38447 25 058 34 053 42 043 41 028 38447 37097 38 055 49 052 54 048 48 048 37097 35787 48 052 62 053 62 056 57 042 35787 34456 56 050 69 058 70 050 55 037 34456 33076 66 050 78 054 70 049 52 035 33076 31642 74 052 81 050 66 052 53 033 31642 30138 72 055 77 047 64 050 53 033 30138 28552 59 061 75 056 62 050 52 034 28552 26883 33 064 65 061 58 050 50 034 26883 25131 11 044 51 055 59 046 47 034 25131 23299 10 318 34 052 50 048 49 030 23299 21394 12 292 12 049 20 059 46 032 21394 19422 7 281 7 336 10 068 24 043 19422 17376 2 227 5 331 14 355 17 040 17376 15286 2 215 4 085 15 356 17 023 15286 13266 2 077 9 087 9 060 18 020 13266 11426 5 132 9 120 12 112 10 054 11426 9795 13 160 14 150 14 137 6 131 9795 8352 17 165 13 154 13 147 7 172 8352 7075 17 165 11 161 10 152 5 187 7075 5944 17 166 10 172 9 150 4 209 5944 4945 16 170 8*179 7 136 2 167 4945 4067 17 175 6*182 5 122 3 067 4067 3291 18 178 6 185 3 106 5 051 3291 2598 18 178 5 188 2 062 6 042 2598 1986 16 174 4 191 2 014 6 029 1986 1476 14*170 4 193 3 349 6 015 1476 1085 11*166 4 195 3 341 4 006 1085 816 9 163 3 197 3*338 2 356 816 654 8 163 3 198 3*335 1 232 654 560 5 160 3 198 2 332 2*201 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography