DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 61.0 - - 61.5 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 248 - - 187 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4037 - - 4056 - - 3483 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3129 - - 3168 - - 2611 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4581 - - 4600 - - 4027 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1745 - - 3167 - - 2847 - - 4403 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 400 - - 408 - - 353 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 294 - - 287 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 15 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 830 - - 359 - - -92 - - -2388 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3751 - - 4241 - - 4119 - - 2949 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 609 - - 148 - - -523 - - -3401 ODpotential blCL - - - 3972 - - 4452 - - 4550 - - 3962 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 95 - - 88 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 80 - - 70 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 61.0 - - 61.5 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 44.3 - - 45.3 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.6 - - 59.7 - - 60.3 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 43.7 - - 44.8 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 248 - - 187 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4037 - - 4056 - - 3483 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 81 - - 51 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98579 14 149 17 105 18 141 14 090 98579 91096 15 118 11 109 18 123 14 099 91096 85363 12 138 8 135 18 080 15 099 85363 80609 14 122 9 161 15 051 16 084 80609 76494 15 093 12 134 2 069 12 084 76494 72843 5 104 6 079 7 130 7 085 72843 69532 4 156 3 179 6 104 1 101 69532 66479 6 237 4 204 2 099 2 129 66479 63649 3 232 2 254 3 224 4 054 63649 60903 6 292 6 327 4 304 8 319 60903 58037 10 266 8 274 9 265 10 267 58037 55062 7 296 15 313 11 305 14 323 55062 52225 25 292 28 286 28 311 28 319 52225 49689 25 297 31 308 35 307 35 314 49689 47424 41 313 43 302 37 309 38 310 47424 45371 47 290 45 295 42 308 47 312 45371 43494 42 300 46 301 49 307 59 309 43494 41768 54 319 56 308 62 311 67 306 41768 40163 69 320 72 312 74 310 70 305 40163 38659 79 317 82 311 80 308 74 304 38659 37243 87 317 88 313 84 306 78 302 37243 35877 87 314 92 313 86 306 81 300 35877 34493 82 312 92 310 87 305 82 302 34493 33063 79 311 89 307 88 307 82 305 33063 31591 77 311 85 305 89 308 83 309 31591 30059 75 309 81 304 90 306 87 312 30059 28452 72 308 80 302 88 306 89 312 28452 26763 68 304 80 303 86 309 90 312 26763 24991 63 300 79 307 85 311 90 314 24991 23139 58 296 72 304 80 310 89 316 23139 21215 53 294 63 297 73 308 85 316 21215 19224 51 293 56 291 65 309 74 315 19224 17170 50 290 54 289 54 314 58 318 17170 15094 51 294 51 296 45 318 46 327 15094 13101 44 305 41 308 36 323 36 334 13101 11296 28 308 27 317 29 329 25 342 11296 9700 21 293 21 310 20 343 17 354 9700 8285 20 291 16 314 15 011 11 008 8285 7027 16 309 14 327 13 012 6 357 7027 5910 15 314 13 328 11 350 7 322 5910 4921 15*314 13*322 11 328 9 312 4921 4050 15*311 13*313 12*311 12 316 4050 3280 15 302 14 304 12*303 13 316 3280 2591 16 295 16 295 13 293 14 312 2591 1982 16 289 16 291 14 285 14 302 1982 1474 16 287 16 288 14 282 14 294 1474 1085 15 285 16 286 14 280 13 288 1085 816 15 284 15 285 13 279 12 283 816 654 13 283 14 284 12 278 10*279 654 561 10 282 11 283 9 276 7*275 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography