DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 78.1 - - 70.3 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 408 - - 276 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1002 - - 1276 - - 824 - - 291 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 917 - - 1256 - - 835 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1547 - - 1821 - - 1368 - - 835 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 302 - - 598 - - 342 - - 415 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 326 - - 247 - - 58 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 271 - - 261 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -682 - - -3831 - - -2540 - - -733 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2229 - - 5652 - - 3908 - - 1568 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9721 - - -10838 - - -11578 - - -12240 ODpotential blCL - - - 11268 - - 12659 - - 12946 - - 13075 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 74 - - 69 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 78.1 - - 70.3 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.1 - - 55.6 - - 55.4 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.4 - - 75.7 - - 68.6 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 55.2 - - 55.2 - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 408 - - 276 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1002 - - 1276 - - 824 - - 291 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 0 - - 0 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99255 31 101 35 105 30 115 25 100 99255 91751 35 112 32 109 33 107 28 092 91751 85971 32 099 28 101 31 101 28 090 85971 81203 25 092 22 095 24 080 30 093 81203 77105 22 094 18 103 20 074 26 091 77105 73478 19 081 14 102 15 089 17 084 73478 70199 13 070 12 105 15 094 11 086 70199 67201 9 110 7 129 11 091 8 091 67201 64427 8 134 11 140 7 109 8 091 64427 61740 7 197 7 152 4 135 8 133 61740 58938 13 191 16 203 13 224 8 203 58938 56035 16 186 24 204 28 220 24 225 56035 53268 29 237 25 221 30 223 33 228 53268 50787 39 232 45 237 47 243 46 242 50787 48588 56 237 55 231 59 240 59 241 48588 46617 61 233 52 232 54 238 59 239 46617 44823 63 234 60 247 61 245 61 240 44823 43163 63 233 68 244 66 245 62 240 43163 41610 62 234 65 232 64 240 62 241 41610 40142 62 234 64 228 64 233 57 239 40142 38749 66 234 63 224 62 229 52 234 38749 37394 67 236 64 225 59 228 48 229 37394 36008 61 232 65 226 57 235 47 233 36008 34564 58 228 60 223 51 241 45 241 34564 33064 58 236 57 223 48 242 43 244 33064 31493 55 237 53 231 45 239 41 245 31493 29838 52 238 51 238 45 237 39 246 29838 28100 48 251 42 247 41 240 37 244 28100 26274 38 248 40 239 36 231 32 239 26274 24362 32 237 39 228 36 233 34 241 24362 22372 29 218 38 224 34 233 34 244 22372 20309 31 215 32 231 25 239 28 242 20309 18167 26 226 15 268 14 232 13 247 18167 15982 19 235 10 245 7 214 8 223 15982 13871 14 227 11 252 9 242 5 230 13871 11946 14 208 6 214 9 230 2 251 11946 10234 14 209 9 202 9 230 4 243 10234 8714 13 211 11 201 9 225 8 239 8714 7367 12 205 11 196 8 217 9 228 7367 6173 12 197 11 196 7 215 8 217 6173 5118 11 189 11 200 7 217 7 215 5118 4191 10 183 10 208 6 233 4 237 4191 3375 8 186 8 226 5 267 3 304 3375 2649 6 210 7 254 7 285 5 339 2649 2012 6*254 7*267 10 275 6 315 2012 1488 7*262 8*270 11*263 8 271 1488 1091 7 264 9 271 12*261 9*254 1091 820 6 264 9 272 11 261 8*253 820 655 6 265 8 272 11 261 7 253 655 561 5 265 7 273 9 260 5 252 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography