DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 59.0 - - 57.7 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 135 - - 44 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1024 - - 1641 - - 1502 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1161 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1568 - - 2185 - - 2046 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 691 - - 904 - - 1327 - - 1327 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 252 - - 171 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 266 - - 268 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -29 - - -323 - - 236 - - -95 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1597 - - 2508 - - 1810 - - 655 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3347 - - -3162 - - -516 - - -1655 ODpotential blCL - - - 4915 - - 5347 - - 2562 - - 2215 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 85 - - 93 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 59.0 - - 57.7 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 50.1 - - 51.9 - - 50.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.3 - - 57.9 - - 57.4 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 49.0 - - 51.2 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 135 - - 44 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1024 - - 1641 - - 1502 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 40 - - 71 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96469 25 099 29 090 30 093 30 093 96469 89399 27 099 22 104 23 098 20 091 89399 83913 22 100 19 102 19 106 13 098 83913 79325 15 105 16 109 19 100 13 106 79325 75340 12 110 12 114 11 105 11 119 75340 71799 8 103 4 150 2 106 7 135 71799 68586 2 054 2 198 7 216 5 227 68586 65635 3 290 5 285 9 221 11 253 65635 62892 10 285 16 280 14 275 13 271 62892 60232 11 268 16 261 21 277 19 271 60232 57463 21 292 19 274 25 264 25 270 57463 54597 23 259 26 298 39 287 37 272 54597 51855 38 295 42 288 42 283 43 276 51855 49371 43 295 39 288 45 288 51 286 49371 47129 39 306 46 304 58 288 60 288 47129 45092 46 308 54 297 62 286 70 288 45092 43237 44 297 53 294 67 285 71 281 43237 41536 28 278 41 304 57 291 60 281 41536 39965 34 334 62 322 63 307 64 296 39965 38515 74 336 79 319 73 308 68 296 38515 37169 82 331 69 315 63 301 63 288 37169 35872 75 333 58 323 52 300 54 284 35872 34549 71 341 61 332 45 312 45 294 34549 33169 63 347 59 336 42 323 41 292 33169 31735 54 352 53 341 40 325 41 295 31735 30238 44 001 49 348 40 330 48 305 30238 28664 39 000 41 353 46 331 50 308 28664 27009 38 355 32 346 45 330 47 309 27009 25273 37 348 29 342 39 331 40 308 25273 23457 39 345 30 345 29 341 33 304 23457 21562 38 357 33 347 23 333 33 299 21562 19579 34 010 33 354 37 321 34 296 19579 17499 28 016 28 353 35 336 30 302 17499 15375 24 020 23 353 21 348 18 309 15375 13334 18 017 20 357 16 347 12 296 13334 11482 13 010 16 359 16 359 9 320 11482 9838 11 004 11 354 13 012 9 002 9838 8382 13 005 8 347 9 016 8 017 8382 7093 13 014 7 350 6 009 6 008 7093 5953 13 016 7 010 4 003 5 348 5953 4947 11 013 7 024 4 012 3 342 4947 4064 9 002 6 021 4 002 3 018 4064 3285 9 348 5 002 5 341 4 004 3285 2592 9 337 4*333 5*308 6 337 2592 1981 8*324 5*272 8*275 6 326 1981 1472 5*284 6 267 9 269 7 313 1472 1083 4 260 6 265 9 267 7 288 1083 815 4 258 6 264 9 267 7 263 815 653 4 255 5 264 8 265 5 238 653 560 3 255 5 264 7 265 3*225 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography