DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.2 - - 57.9 - - 60.7 - - 57.5 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 115 - - 181 - - 61 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1935 - - 2032 - - 1445 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1255 - - 1569 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2479 - - 2576 - - 1989 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2027 - - 1796 - - 2734 - - 1863 - - 3297 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 250 - - 296 - - 184 - - 18 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 261 - - 265 - - 269 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -41 - - 744 - - 208 - - 446 - - -508 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 602 - - 1736 - - 2368 - - 1543 - - 1069 sfcLCL ODpotential -638 - - 553 - - -323 - - 8 - - -725 ODpotential blCL 1198 - - 1926 - - 2899 - - 1981 - - 1286 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 93 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 30 - - 40 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 53.2 - - 57.9 - - 60.7 - - 57.5 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.3 - - 52.3 - - 52.3 - - 52.7 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 57.1 - - 59.6 - - 57.0 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.3 - - 51.6 - - 51.2 - - 52.2 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 115 - - 181 - - 61 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1935 - - 2032 - - 1445 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 96 - - 71 - - 100 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96682 38 276 43 274 48 284 45 290 34 282 96682 89417 28 294 25 283 28 282 39 282 32 300 89417 83884 18 297 20 280 21 284 25 293 30 305 83884 79329 13 312 16 264 23 276 21 299 22 307 79329 75414 17 307 17 277 23 281 24 288 19 319 75414 71929 25 291 19 291 22 277 24 280 19 316 71929 68733 30 285 24 300 20 272 24 267 27 287 68733 65762 34 283 34 291 22 275 24 275 30 286 65762 63007 38 277 39 283 29 291 29 291 34 298 63007 60355 41 277 42 284 37 290 28 295 34 295 60355 57588 42 277 42 285 40 290 33 297 38 292 57588 54707 45 286 44 291 42 292 38 290 39 288 54707 51939 52 287 47 289 50 299 45 299 42 292 51939 49429 54 285 51 288 59 294 60 297 51 294 49429 47184 55 288 56 290 65 285 68 289 59 291 47184 45172 55 291 54 294 60 292 64 287 65 285 45172 43347 69 309 80 306 76 304 63 306 59 289 43347 41678 95 304 98 295 80 296 78 303 67 295 41678 40149 95 293 82 286 74 291 82 292 73 292 40149 38724 74 296 65 296 73 302 76 289 72 291 38724 37374 67 306 70 310 77 307 72 298 72 292 37374 36061 72 317 76 313 75 304 74 303 75 292 36061 34720 78 321 77 310 72 301 77 304 77 291 34720 33321 77 320 76 307 70 299 78 303 78 291 33321 31867 74 317 73 306 71 299 77 300 77 292 31867 30342 72 314 72 305 72 298 76 297 76 293 30342 28736 71 312 72 304 72 297 77 296 73 293 28736 27048 71 311 71 303 73 296 76 296 71 294 27048 25278 70 311 69 302 73 297 72 296 68 297 25278 23428 60 312 63 300 70 300 64 296 63 297 23428 21505 50 308 54 296 64 300 54 297 54 295 21505 19510 48 303 47 296 59 294 49 298 43 295 19510 17432 40 308 41 295 53 291 48 295 40 296 17432 15312 34 307 36 292 42 285 47 290 40 292 15312 13275 27 300 32 286 40 277 42 282 39 292 13275 11431 23 296 30 282 36 279 39 279 36 289 11431 9801 19 291 22 273 27 274 27 282 29 288 9801 8360 16 285 17 272 24 263 22 280 22 295 8360 7081 13 280 17 271 21 252 22 282 17 289 7081 5945 12 272 18 268 15 248 20 274 16 278 5945 4939 12 270 17 260 13 241 18 258 17 274 4939 4058 12 272 14 261 13 241 15 259 16 267 4058 3285 9 267 13 264 13 246 13 267 16 267 3285 2594 8 258 12*263 13*255 13*271 16 270 2594 1984 9 254 11*261 13*260 13*270 16 271 1984 1475 9 252 11 261 13 264 12 269 15 271 1475 1085 8 248 10 261 12 265 12 269 13 271 1085 817 6 236 10 262 12 267 11 269 12 271 817 654 3 218 9 262 11 267 10 270 10*271 654 561 2*218 7 262 8 268 7 270 7*270 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography