DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 94.2 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 193 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 345 - - 1158 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 546 - - 962 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 891 - - 1705 - - - - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 553 - - 1804 - - - - - 324 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 248 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 014 - - 348 - - - - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7387 - - -8896 - - - - - -305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8279 - - 10601 - - - - - 866 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13748 - - -12422 - - - - - -8705 ODpotential blCL - - - 14639 - - 14127 - - - - - 9266 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 35 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 94.2 - - - - - 66.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 49.8 - - - - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 92.8 - - - - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 49.2 - - - - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 193 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 345 - - 1158 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97838 10 289 5 306 19 263 97838 90572 4 055 2 282 8 331 90572 84970 9 072 4 069 8 042 84970 80336 10 066 11 047 11 061 80336 76360 8 068 12 041 11 079 76360 72853 9 092 8 042 12 072 72853 69673 6 088 3 053 14 065 69673 66743 7 065 3 100 9 043 66743 64028 5 080 5 137 4 338 64028 61408 3 128 6 187 4 262 61408 58678 6 224 10 224 14 247 58678 55849 10 229 15 205 23 213 55849 53158 21 254 18 238 23 206 53158 50734 37 258 35 250 28 226 50734 48554 48 246 51 242 35 240 48554 46570 45 236 55 236 45 245 46570 44744 46 240 53 237 50 243 44744 43048 52 245 54 241 49 237 43048 41461 57 247 57 241 45 234 41461 39967 59 247 54 241 42 234 39967 38555 54 251 45 245 40 235 38555 37190 46 254 39 250 40 234 37190 35803 38 256 34 249 39 232 35803 34364 30 257 27 245 36 231 34364 32873 23 253 26 243 32 229 32873 31319 23 252 25 243 30 223 31319 29688 25 250 23 243 29 221 29688 27981 21 235 19 229 28 219 27981 26190 21 222 20 207 27 215 26190 24314 18 217 20 207 24 215 24314 22354 15 208 18 202 18 209 22354 20310 13 197 15 187 15 182 20310 18178 12 174 12 170 15 158 18178 16003 13 151 13 159 16 150 16003 13909 14 144 16 149 22 149 13909 12002 11 141 15 140 25 146 12002 10307 9 155 12 138 21 144 10307 8799 7 166 9 139 12 138 8799 7456 6 166 7 142 8 129 7456 6260 6 163 7 149 6 111 6260 5199 8 153 7 152 7 086 5199 4264 9 147 7 150 8 065 4264 3439 8 142 6 136 8 046 3439 2702 7 133 5 101 6 024 2702 2053 6 113 4*063 6 358 2053 1515 7 100 3*023 5 312 1515 1105 4*088 3 345 8 266 1105 826 1*030 3 337 8 240 826 658 1 011 3 333 6 228 658 561 1 360 2 331 3*220 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography