DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.1 - - 61.8 - - 68.2 - - 65.1 - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 169 - - 234 - - 50 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1735 - - 2941 - - 1940 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1307 - - 2311 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2279 - - 3486 - - 2484 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 92 - - 758 - - 990 - - 1840 - - 1829 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 270 - - 359 - - 188 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 303 - - 297 - - 281 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10 - - -1245 - - -2127 - - -1212 - - -688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 570 - - 3524 - - 5614 - - 3696 - - 1249 sfcLCL ODpotential -9589 - - -8496 - - -9444 - - -8093 - - -9613 ODpotential blCL 10149 - - 10775 - - 12930 - - 10577 - - 10174 blCL maxRH 87 - - 75 - - 63 - - 77 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.1 - - 61.8 - - 68.2 - - 65.1 - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.7 - - 48.6 - - 45.8 - - 50.9 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.1 - - 60.6 - - 66.6 - - 64.6 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 47.9 - - 45.3 - - 50.6 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 169 - - 234 - - 50 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1735 - - 2941 - - 1940 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 2 - - 0 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97118 15 268 22 273 17 291 18 283 20 291 97118 89885 5 240 8 270 11 308 10 311 2 350 89885 84319 5 094 5 222 10 268 10 317 5 035 84319 79693 3 024 3 149 10 265 9 298 5 330 79693 75714 6 317 3 003 5 285 6 276 6 314 75714 72197 5 316 5 312 6 299 5 287 4 300 72197 68994 10 319 4 295 9 270 9 268 6 304 68994 66026 13 309 5 254 13 258 13 261 9 290 66026 63262 14 292 8 260 12 246 13 254 15 290 63262 60581 16 279 11 271 11 258 18 257 18 283 60581 57777 19 276 15 279 15 273 17 262 18 278 57777 54856 22 269 18 280 16 280 18 285 20 287 54856 52076 20 268 19 287 18 284 22 286 24 291 52076 49604 27 290 25 295 23 290 29 295 29 295 49604 47417 32 291 36 302 36 303 35 305 35 296 47417 45455 35 299 40 301 41 297 46 304 35 301 45455 43680 35 319 38 318 41 312 49 308 40 301 43680 42049 46 326 45 325 45 315 53 311 40 304 42049 40530 49 326 43 325 43 315 52 309 40 308 40530 39101 46 327 39 329 43 314 50 310 39 312 39101 37747 44 330 39 332 43 309 49 313 40 314 37747 36430 44 332 39 329 45 306 48 314 41 315 36430 35083 44 329 39 324 48 310 46 314 39 314 35083 33681 46 322 38 318 50 313 43 315 35 315 33681 32226 47 315 40 312 50 312 41 319 32 318 32226 30704 44 311 43 312 49 312 38 323 27 320 30704 29102 42 310 44 317 46 313 34 323 22 320 29102 27420 39 311 41 315 41 312 33 321 21 318 27420 25655 35 310 42 308 39 308 34 320 24 314 25655 23809 28 308 42 301 41 304 35 315 26 312 23809 21883 24 304 38 293 40 303 34 311 28 310 21883 19870 24 302 36 292 37 304 33 311 29 310 19870 17764 25 306 34 298 34 304 31 311 28 313 17764 15611 24 295 28 295 31 302 28 309 27 312 15611 13533 26 288 27 286 28 294 25 306 25 310 13533 11642 21 283 25 284 26 288 25 301 22 310 11642 9962 18 281 21 277 23 284 25 302 19 309 9962 8477 13 286 17 278 19 278 19 290 14 310 8477 7167 9 299 13 280 13 278 11 260 7 283 7167 6011 7 312 8 287 8 275 8 238 10 247 6011 4993 6 317 3 274 5 278 4 242 9 248 4993 4101 5 327 3 244 5*309 4 319 4 262 4101 3317 6 329 4 291 6*306 6 320 4 311 3317 2617 6 315 6*306 6 302 8*303 7 332 2617 2000 7 320 6*304 7 297 9*288 11 340 2000 1485 8 338 5 304 7 293 9 282 11 334 1485 1091 4 343 5 302 6 291 9 279 8 321 1091 819 1 191 4 300 6 291 8 277 6 292 819 655 3*184 4 302 6 290 8 276 5*260 655 561 3*185 4 301 5 289 6 276 3*238 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography