DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 64.8 - - 61.7 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 19 - - -17 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 710 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 1255 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 231 - - 1379 - - 1008 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 17 - - 116 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 044 - - 081 - - 063 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3898 - - -3387 - - -2354 - - -1923 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4458 - - 4642 - - 2915 - - 2483 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12612 - - -10287 - - -8794 - - -12609 ODpotential blCL - - - 13172 - - 11542 - - 9355 - - 13169 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 48 - - 55 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.9 - - 64.8 - - 61.7 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 46.9 - - 51.2 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 64.8 - - 63.0 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 45.7 - - 49.9 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - 19 - - -17 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 710 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96274 30 051 33 063 45 069 41 070 96274 89405 39 072 41 088 46 085 36 085 89405 83980 34 076 37 089 40 085 40 088 83980 79406 29 077 29 086 31 069 39 082 79406 75461 22 072 24 084 24 068 26 065 75461 71987 17 064 19 072 20 069 20 064 71987 68832 13 066 16 042 20 053 17 073 68832 65925 14 067 15 038 19 028 19 046 65925 63238 13 053 16 021 16 015 18 022 63238 60641 15 028 15 021 20 010 21 010 60641 57934 21 352 24 354 22 353 21 010 57934 55115 20 351 21 348 24 004 30 021 55115 52420 36 010 39 002 39 357 47 004 52420 49999 48 006 48 008 43 358 50 000 49999 47828 56 007 52 015 47 010 51 008 47828 45844 58 006 58 011 55 011 52 013 45844 44007 57 007 60 006 55 010 57 015 44007 42294 55 008 57 008 55 009 55 015 42294 40692 52 010 56 015 52 014 52 020 40692 39194 49 015 53 019 53 023 49 032 39194 37791 45 021 48 020 49 026 49 043 37791 36442 33 032 43 024 44 025 49 043 36442 35080 24 041 33 028 38 032 46 040 35080 33672 24 038 25 038 38 038 39 046 33672 32218 25 030 26 045 34 057 35 071 32218 30699 20 037 30 040 34 064 43 087 30699 29104 18 047 28 038 36 054 43 080 29104 27430 17 047 18 056 33 045 36 079 27430 25676 16 043 18 062 27 051 34 094 25676 23839 15 042 18 063 26 066 32 098 23839 21920 17 045 17 068 24 080 29 095 21920 19914 17 051 17 077 21 094 28 098 19914 17817 17 055 18 086 18 098 24 107 17817 15672 16 043 15 088 14 100 19 106 15672 13600 16 026 12 073 11 089 15 102 13600 11712 15 021 12 049 9 075 11 101 11712 10035 14 028 11 045 8 075 8 107 10035 8547 11 037 7 050 5 077 5 133 8547 7229 3 034 2 047 2 079 4 183 7229 6063 5 204 3 196 5 195 6 203 6063 5034 10 199 7 185 12 193 7 201 5034 4130 12 196 8 182 16 189 8 190 4130 3335 11 193 7 176 17 183 9 184 3335 2626 8 193 6 159 14 174 7 177 2626 2002 4 191 5 137 10 158 4 144 2002 1483 2 171 5*108 8 125 7 108 1483 1087 3 106 5*084 10 094 12 096 1087 816 7 080 5 081 9 083 13 087 816 653 6 062 4 078 7*072 10 077 653 560 2*044 3 075 4*063 4*065 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography