DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.0 - - 68.8 - - 73.8 - - 71.2 - - 64.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 47 - - 264 - - 445 - - 288 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1030 - - 1092 - - 940 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 985 - - 1143 - - 938 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 885 - - 1575 - - 1637 - - 1485 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 405 - - 297 - - 324 - - 287 - - 748 Hgt.Variab. W* 104 - - 266 - - 320 - - 263 - - 14 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 254 - - 260 - - 251 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -224 - - -1681 - - -3257 - - -2810 - - -1862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1109 - - 3256 - - 4894 - - 4295 - - 2423 sfcLCL ODpotential -13835 - - -12133 - - -13022 - - -13609 - - -14125 ODpotential blCL 14720 - - 13708 - - 14659 - - 15094 - - 14686 blCL maxRH 93 - - 73 - - 61 - - 64 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.0 - - 68.8 - - 73.8 - - 71.2 - - 64.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.0 - - 56.4 - - 54.6 - - 54.6 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.6 - - 67.2 - - 71.3 - - 69.5 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.6 - - 55.6 - - 54.0 - - 54.2 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 47 - - 264 - - 445 - - 288 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 1030 - - 1092 - - 940 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99289 31 103 27 111 23 097 27 103 24 114 99289 91740 30 105 26 108 26 102 23 114 26 112 91740 85891 26 109 25 107 28 107 17 125 24 100 85891 81060 24 109 24 105 31 124 20 108 21 097 81060 76932 24 115 18 119 21 116 18 121 20 103 76932 73308 24 110 13 132 10 122 16 107 18 104 73308 70029 15 112 19 140 16 159 9 119 12 114 70029 67015 11 115 17 130 21 151 11 168 6 153 67015 64239 7 187 8 178 6 188 12 163 7 189 64239 61569 20 193 23 196 20 219 10 210 13 192 61569 58785 12 178 24 191 26 214 17 221 12 200 58785 55926 11 267 23 224 29 216 32 221 30 233 55926 53246 35 246 32 239 33 226 39 221 44 226 53246 50848 44 244 41 247 38 234 43 222 51 228 50848 48686 53 246 54 241 49 240 48 233 52 231 48686 46706 60 241 61 239 56 237 56 235 56 232 46706 44875 64 237 62 240 58 237 58 233 57 229 44875 43166 67 237 65 237 59 235 58 232 59 229 43166 41562 68 239 68 237 64 234 61 231 62 230 41562 40054 62 242 59 240 62 238 63 233 65 233 40054 38635 48 246 46 244 50 240 55 237 57 237 38635 37263 36 249 37 245 41 244 45 240 46 240 37263 35872 32 252 28 248 33 242 37 241 36 241 35872 34434 31 259 24 255 30 239 36 239 36 240 34434 32951 26 275 24 256 29 236 35 238 38 234 32951 31405 27 271 23 257 26 231 33 230 35 231 31405 29782 30 259 21 247 23 232 28 234 31 232 29782 28078 33 255 27 249 31 253 27 249 37 237 28078 26288 34 257 40 249 39 249 37 242 38 234 26288 24411 33 262 42 249 42 249 36 245 30 238 24411 22449 40 261 44 258 42 259 31 257 24 239 22449 20397 42 266 39 265 36 268 25 266 20 243 20397 18248 36 274 35 275 29 278 20 264 17 250 18248 16049 25 279 26 278 21 277 18 259 16 250 16049 13928 20 281 19 280 15 264 17 252 15 246 13928 11999 18 298 16 278 14 255 14 242 15 235 11999 10284 17 309 13 282 13 255 12 238 15 230 10284 8759 12 305 10 275 12 255 10 240 13 229 8759 7402 9 287 9 262 11 257 9 250 10 232 7402 6198 9 281 7 269 9 262 9 264 8 238 6198 5135 10 292 7 280 8 268 9 280 6 265 5135 4201 10 304 7 290 8 281 10 302 8 300 4201 3382 11 317 7 299 8 290 11 321 11 318 3382 2656 10 320 6 288 9 280 11 318 13 334 2656 2021 8 301 8*258 11*267 11 288 10 328 2021 1496 7 257 9*252 13*260 13*256 8 272 1496 1096 6*242 9 253 13 260 13*252 10 242 1096 822 5*235 8 255 12 259 12 251 9 236 822 656 4 235 8 256 11 259 12 251 8 236 656 561 3 235 7 256 10 260 9 251 6*235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography