DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 77.2 - - - - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 366 - - - - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 694 - - 1014 - - - - - 301 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 682 - - 1053 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1239 - - 1560 - - - - - 845 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 423 - - 458 - - - - - 365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 294 - - - - - 81 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 272 - - - - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3092 - - -4860 - - - - - -818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4331 - - 6420 - - - - - 1663 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9114 - - -9528 - - - - - -9694 ODpotential blCL - - - 10353 - - 11088 - - - - - 10539 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 45 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 77.2 - - - - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.9 - - 51.2 - - - - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.2 - - 75.0 - - - - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 50.2 - - - - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 239 - - 366 - - - - - 26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 694 - - 1014 - - - - - 301 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98130 8 049 5 106 1 031 98130 90722 8 157 6 257 6 031 90722 84995 8 138 10 226 5 000 84995 80233 6 126 8 176 1 282 80233 76140 5 153 2 073 1 179 76140 72525 4 187 6 345 1 104 72525 69252 4 233 4 334 6 034 69252 66243 2 235 5 257 12 350 66243 63463 12 025 3 048 11 312 63463 60769 22 343 11 001 10 317 60769 57963 11 330 11 336 14 330 57963 55066 19 357 15 337 18 345 55066 52321 21 345 22 332 22 353 52321 49868 13 356 18 341 24 351 49868 47693 22 028 17 025 17 339 47693 45747 31 038 27 036 15 339 45747 43976 38 040 29 033 18 346 43976 42332 36 047 29 031 25 352 42332 40791 34 050 29 030 29 352 40791 39337 34 046 29 029 29 351 39337 37960 35 042 29 028 28 350 37960 36624 34 040 28 029 27 351 36624 35261 32 037 26 029 26 350 35261 33844 30 032 25 026 23 348 33844 32374 29 030 25 024 21 346 32374 30836 28 035 25 021 21 348 30836 29216 33 033 25 021 20 349 29216 27516 33 029 25 021 20 349 27516 25738 26 030 24 019 20 350 25738 23884 24 025 23 017 22 355 23884 21955 24 020 21 013 24 359 21955 19943 22 024 18 013 22 002 19943 17841 16 042 11 017 18 001 17841 15695 10 038 6 008 11 347 15695 13630 3 360 4 321 7 350 13630 11753 3 205 3 243 5 358 11753 10084 5 184 4 195 1 304 10084 8602 3 172 4 186 5 200 8602 7284 1 239 3 174 6 190 7284 6112 2 300 2 154 4 206 6112 5074 3 305 1 086 2 281 5074 4160 2 325 1 019 5 317 4160 3354 1 346 2 310 9 324 3354 2635 1 324 4 290 11 319 2635 2004 3 299 8*279 11 294 2004 1482 5*275 9*274 11 269 1482 1087 6*268 10 272 10*252 1087 818 6 269 9 272 9*249 818 654 6 268 9 272 8 249 654 561 5 268 8 271 6 249 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography