DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.2 - - 72.1 - - 73.6 - - 67.8 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 17 - - 61 - - 11 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 341 - - 1121 - - 585 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 886 - - 1666 - - 1130 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 246 - - 1054 - - 1498 - - 839 - - 688 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 89 - - 187 - - 94 - - 20 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 090 - - 129 - - 270 - - 243 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -2 - - -4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2220 - - -2780 - - -1874 - - -1443 - - -272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2781 - - 3666 - - 3540 - - 2573 - - 833 sfcLCL ODpotential -9424 - - -6620 - - -5274 - - -6105 - - -6541 ODpotential blCL 9985 - - 7506 - - 6940 - - 7235 - - 7102 blCL maxRH 51 - - 58 - - 67 - - 79 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 80 - - 180 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.2 - - 72.1 - - 73.6 - - 67.8 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.2 - - 58.0 - - 60.0 - - 58.4 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.4 - - 71.9 - - 73.0 - - 67.9 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.3 - - 56.7 - - 58.6 - - 57.2 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 17 - - 61 - - 11 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 341 - - 1121 - - 585 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96580 12 108 10 054 3 129 5 139 3 314 96580 89418 14 102 6 074 3 108 4 024 5 029 89418 83893 9 035 6 047 7 352 5 355 6 018 83893 79314 3 266 4 332 12 335 14 354 16 008 79314 75408 10 004 8 359 10 349 14 345 12 326 75408 71985 25 336 18 341 17 357 18 341 8 316 71985 68887 28 322 28 327 23 334 22 335 18 332 68887 66031 33 301 36 321 27 311 27 317 24 319 66031 63360 34 285 34 285 40 292 38 297 33 301 63360 60745 32 279 40 281 44 281 38 285 43 290 60745 58006 44 290 48 288 46 286 49 289 54 291 58006 55162 63 282 62 286 58 283 61 284 60 287 55162 52434 71 276 65 274 62 276 63 276 61 276 52434 49967 69 275 62 270 61 274 56 276 53 274 49967 47747 69 273 65 276 62 274 60 279 57 280 47747 45728 74 270 66 276 64 272 63 271 65 277 45728 43876 80 264 66 276 61 274 61 267 61 269 43876 42165 77 258 66 275 59 279 56 274 54 269 42165 40587 72 259 70 275 66 276 64 276 59 275 40587 39132 76 263 79 268 72 266 66 275 59 274 39132 37776 79 260 77 262 66 261 66 280 53 277 37776 36465 74 259 68 260 57 260 64 282 51 278 36465 35124 70 258 64 260 59 264 56 285 49 276 35124 33723 67 259 60 257 65 265 57 280 49 276 33723 32265 63 266 61 258 68 267 60 276 48 271 32265 30735 62 271 65 260 69 267 66 273 49 267 30735 29120 57 269 68 262 67 267 67 274 51 268 29120 27423 59 262 67 265 66 266 68 273 56 269 27423 25645 62 256 64 268 65 265 67 271 58 269 25645 23788 61 243 57 273 59 266 58 268 55 265 23788 21855 61 243 48 278 49 267 48 261 54 258 21855 19837 46 251 50 254 47 261 42 254 52 254 19837 17733 31 247 41 251 50 254 45 256 48 261 17733 15592 27 233 28 246 35 252 40 262 40 264 15592 13539 24 222 21 236 28 248 28 249 35 258 13539 11680 15 234 19 232 24 242 27 247 33 257 11680 10030 11 240 17 232 19 235 26 250 28 254 10030 8561 10 231 15 241 16 241 20 248 21 252 8561 7251 10 236 14 250 12 251 14 255 17 247 7251 6086 8 249 10 253 8 254 10 260 14 247 6086 5056 5 256 7 255 7 252 8 266 10 256 5056 4148 2 291 4 249 7 250 8 277 8 272 4148 3347 2 042 3 216 8 255 8 290 7 277 3347 2634 4 067 2 177 9 264 9 294 8 276 2634 2005 8 079 4 149 10*269 9 281 9 267 2005 1485 13 088 6 144 10*270 8*263 10 254 1485 1090 14 093 5*141 10 271 7*245 10 247 1090 819 11 095 3*139 10 271 7 242 8 246 819 655 7 092 2 125 9 270 6 241 7*247 655 561 3*090 1 118 7 270 5 241 5*250 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography