DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.1 - - 53.2 - - 59.9 - - 56.9 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - -20 - - -4 - - -13 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 561 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 74 - - 134 - - 752 - - 314 - - 167 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 16 - - 22 - - 11 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 053 - - 089 - - 026 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3760 - - -4722 - - -3238 - - -2827 - - -3126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4321 - - 5283 - - 3800 - - 3388 - - 3686 sfcLCL ODpotential -16678 - - -15294 - - -8986 - - -7623 - - -12335 ODpotential blCL 17238 - - 15854 - - 9547 - - 8184 - - 12895 blCL maxRH 32 - - 28 - - 50 - - 47 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.1 - - 53.2 - - 59.9 - - 56.9 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.2 - - 33.0 - - 45.7 - - 44.5 - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.3 - - 55.5 - - 60.2 - - 59.0 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.0 - - 31.9 - - 44.4 - - 43.2 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - -20 - - -4 - - -13 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96486 48 053 32 047 36 036 36 043 36 053 96486 89386 43 052 35 047 31 035 33 051 32 055 89386 83895 39 060 39 055 29 047 30 047 31 051 83895 79321 33 070 36 063 26 058 27 047 32 043 79321 75353 27 071 27 073 22 064 22 051 24 036 75353 71830 19 049 16 085 16 058 14 054 15 032 71830 68641 18 027 11 067 12 044 8 039 11 021 68641 65722 18 008 14 040 10 051 5 022 6 032 65722 63025 13 350 14 016 9 046 5 357 6 084 63025 60408 8 331 12 352 10 028 5 012 8 109 60408 57661 4 318 7 346 5 331 3 328 6 127 57661 54792 3 149 2 327 4 246 5 217 4 211 54792 52050 6 144 5 193 9 207 13 224 5 238 52050 49604 9 185 10 190 16 193 19 211 18 221 49604 47447 9 178 14 190 19 205 25 216 26 199 47447 45523 18 201 39 197 41 219 35 224 33 226 45523 43772 26 212 60 203 78 228 62 231 64 242 43772 42156 39 220 80 211 114 226 92 233 104 233 42156 40640 47 226 103 218 113 225 104 229 103 232 40640 39207 53 225 107 219 111 223 97 226 87 230 39207 37847 51 224 103 218 106 223 100 226 83 227 37847 36522 49 224 94 216 96 222 101 226 84 224 36522 35166 46 222 72 213 77 218 95 227 87 224 35166 33748 41 218 47 211 53 209 77 226 87 225 33748 32273 38 215 34 209 40 195 56 221 77 229 32273 30729 30 214 30 200 40 183 38 210 56 228 30729 29106 25 214 28 192 40 178 30 187 44 222 29106 27406 24 211 23 186 37 177 32 178 38 215 27406 25627 28 210 14 182 29 177 33 181 33 207 25627 23771 23 210 14 168 22 170 32 181 30 204 23771 21840 13 155 18 161 22 157 31 184 27 191 21840 19823 14 150 22 155 24 160 29 190 21 189 19823 17715 21 144 22 158 23 158 24 197 16 209 17715 15563 29 132 21 163 20 150 19 204 14 197 15563 13492 31 120 22 164 19 144 17 194 15 187 13492 11615 30 120 24 157 19 153 17 164 20 182 11615 9953 25 128 25 152 22 161 24 157 21 169 9953 8484 15 137 25 159 23 168 26 144 20 154 8484 7183 8 147 22 168 23 176 20 146 16 151 7183 6030 8 162 16 181 21 181 14 161 11 165 6030 5012 9 175 13 194 19 185 13 173 10 190 5012 4117 9 179 10 203 19 184 13 183 9 207 4117 3327 9 179 8 203 19 177 13 186 7 219 3327 2622 8 177 7 196 17 166 14 184 5 225 2622 2001 6 173 6 190 15 150 15 178 4 221 2001 1483 5 170 8 182 14 130 12 167 7 183 1483 1087 5 133 7 164 13 108 9 136 8 147 1087 817 7 089 6 120 11 099 8 092 9 105 817 653 8 061 6 070 9*097 6*065 7 082 653 560 5*047 4*053 5*089 4*026 4*067 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography