DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.3 - - 69.6 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 328 - - 209 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1560 - - 1604 - - 1144 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1301 - - 1451 - - 985 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2105 - - 2149 - - 1689 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 451 - - 577 - - 691 - - 939 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 331 - - 254 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 280 - - 270 - - 258 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -659 - - -1553 - - -1458 - - -930 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2764 - - 3702 - - 3147 - - 1491 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7748 - - -7237 - - -6958 - - -9095 ODpotential blCL - - - 9853 - - 9386 - - 8647 - - 9656 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 73 - - 78 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 71.3 - - 69.6 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.3 - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 69.3 - - 68.1 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 56.1 - - 57.1 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 328 - - 209 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1560 - - 1604 - - 1144 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 0 - - 12 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97995 22 252 29 267 17 292 20 305 97995 90518 11 267 15 248 21 261 22 292 90518 84773 13 281 12 272 16 262 14 279 84773 80021 17 262 20 287 16 309 11 308 80021 75939 13 246 20 285 21 316 15 325 75939 72354 7 264 14 280 21 294 20 319 72354 69125 11 305 10 290 17 283 19 307 69125 66157 17 313 12 297 16 298 18 309 66157 63397 20 312 16 304 19 309 19 316 63397 60714 19 305 18 308 20 308 19 316 60714 57919 15 302 17 297 19 301 19 309 57919 55032 12 313 14 288 16 291 20 310 55032 52292 16 311 16 299 17 301 21 312 52292 49838 19 306 20 307 18 311 19 314 49838 47651 20 316 19 310 18 306 18 312 47651 45685 23 321 18 315 17 293 19 312 45685 43900 24 325 20 315 16 286 17 306 43900 42263 23 336 16 326 14 287 13 285 42263 40742 23 341 15 337 10 294 10 278 40742 39311 23 340 16 339 10 303 9 286 39311 37956 22 341 16 340 10 302 9 289 37956 36639 22 345 15 347 10 306 8 284 36639 35294 17 359 11 003 10 312 7 254 35294 33893 12 023 5 022 10 316 6 211 33893 32437 8 031 3 356 10 315 3 213 32437 30911 4 079 2 277 8 318 2 216 30911 29303 5 097 3 181 3 303 4 207 29303 27611 7 035 5 122 2 213 6 203 27611 25835 9 023 4 093 2 268 5 202 25835 23977 8 022 3 047 4 317 3 263 23977 22041 7 021 3 011 4 319 4 291 22041 20024 6 024 4 011 2 317 4 277 20024 17919 4 017 4 005 2 328 3 278 17919 15767 2 353 2 332 2 313 3 283 15767 13688 3 210 5 230 5 267 7 288 13688 11795 8 219 10 233 9 259 10 293 11795 10113 8 230 11 247 10 264 10 290 10113 8620 5 269 8 276 7 285 8 280 8620 7295 6 307 8 304 8 304 8 278 7295 6117 5 320 7 321 5 320 8 280 6117 5074 4 321 6 328 3 345 4 274 5074 4157 4 304 4 329 4 342 2 279 4157 3350 4 297 4 320 7 331 6 320 3350 2636 4*308 5*298 8 312 9 322 2636 2009 5*287 8*275 11*274 9 306 2009 1489 5 280 9 270 12*261 10 279 1489 1092 5 278 10 270 13 258 10 255 1092 820 5 277 9 269 12 256 9 245 820 656 5 277 9 269 11 255 8 240 656 561 4 276 8 269 9 255 5*238 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography