DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.2 - - 67.5 - - 70.9 - - 64.3 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 118 - - 161 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1583 - - 2493 - - 1006 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 964 - - 1822 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2127 - - 3038 - - 1551 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 463 - - 1750 - - 3629 - - 2904 - - 692 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 233 - - 300 - - 102 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 131 - - 234 - - 254 - - 025 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 5 - - -6 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -287 - - -1244 - - -1201 - - -109 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 847 - - 3371 - - 4239 - - 1660 - - 561 sfcLCL ODpotential -5726 - - -3263 - - -2110 - - -663 - - -3443 ODpotential blCL 6286 - - 5390 - - 5148 - - 2214 - - 4004 blCL maxRH 85 - - 86 - - 86 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 250 - - 370 - - 550 - - 860 - - 290 CAPE Temp@2m 53.2 - - 67.5 - - 70.9 - - 64.3 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.3 - - 54.5 - - 54.1 - - 58.7 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 66.5 - - 69.6 - - 64.1 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.5 - - 54.1 - - 53.8 - - 57.9 - - 57.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 118 - - 161 - - 11 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1583 - - 2493 - - 1006 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 45 - - 45 - - 94 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97628 10 328 9 306 16 290 13 315 17 278 97628 90329 5 341 14 308 10 330 10 339 14 290 90329 84709 11 303 14 326 8 287 12 310 12 334 84709 80058 15 266 7 321 6 270 9 278 12 353 80058 76060 9 244 8 249 11 268 11 276 11 319 76060 72541 6 255 7 233 13 253 12 270 8 295 72541 69342 6 252 8 240 15 204 13 257 6 288 69342 66367 5 226 12 209 17 205 21 238 14 252 66367 63594 15 241 16 229 22 222 26 228 21 236 63594 60900 22 203 20 229 22 217 23 218 21 225 60900 58069 24 221 20 213 18 216 22 223 22 228 58069 55109 33 207 23 222 25 223 26 229 28 235 55109 52277 32 193 34 216 38 219 30 224 34 229 52277 49731 31 205 43 204 43 212 33 223 40 227 49731 47451 44 204 45 195 43 209 39 219 44 222 47451 45375 46 200 42 194 43 206 41 216 44 213 45375 43471 46 204 38 199 41 205 44 215 45 211 43471 41715 49 209 37 204 42 208 51 210 48 210 41715 40087 56 211 41 207 47 209 53 205 53 206 40087 38566 67 208 49 209 56 203 55 203 58 204 38566 37138 75 205 56 209 66 194 63 201 62 203 37138 35764 84 200 69 202 70 188 67 196 63 200 35764 34378 91 196 82 193 67 181 63 192 63 196 34378 32952 86 191 79 180 63 173 59 189 64 192 32952 31494 78 185 72 177 61 166 61 186 67 187 31494 29991 71 179 66 177 66 162 64 181 60 182 29991 28428 65 179 58 174 66 162 64 174 48 170 28428 26792 58 180 51 169 57 166 67 170 47 162 26792 25077 51 185 38 158 43 172 67 171 53 162 25077 23284 49 189 27 150 38 170 60 176 57 162 23284 21412 52 187 27 156 33 164 45 183 58 163 21412 19457 52 174 29 157 26 159 33 183 53 161 19457 17415 47 153 28 157 18 162 32 185 43 163 17415 15336 40 141 21 157 15 183 33 187 32 172 15336 13334 32 144 20 152 14 201 28 177 21 173 13334 11511 24 150 23 151 15 185 27 164 12 174 11511 9888 20 156 26 155 27 153 26 162 9 168 9888 8446 19 155 27 157 35 141 24 158 10 151 8446 7163 19 152 24 159 28 138 17 144 13 142 7163 6021 19 153 23 163 20 146 10 110 14 137 6021 5008 19 160 21 170 16 168 8 067 13 135 5008 4116 19 173 19 177 13 184 6 038 12 130 4116 3328 17 187 16 184 9*195 6 025 11 116 3328 2625 14 197 12*192 6*218 5 024 11 093 2625 2004 9 203 7*208 5 251 4*034 10 069 2004 1487 4 227 4 237 5 260 3*030 8 047 1487 1091 2 260 3 244 5 263 3 025 6 017 1091 819 1 130 3 253 5 265 3 022 6 357 819 655 4 108 3 256 5 267 3 021 4*343 655 561 2*131 2 258 5 267 2 023 2*306 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography