DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 69.3 - - 72.2 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 370 - - 247 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1879 - - 2096 - - 1579 - - 183 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1354 - - 1839 - - 1349 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2424 - - 2641 - - 2125 - - 727 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1136 - - 967 - - 1295 - - 1294 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 375 - - 298 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 277 - - 271 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 523 - - -540 - - -2366 - - -2752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1901 - - 3181 - - 4491 - - 3479 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 255 - - -11334 - - -13121 - - -14348 ODpotential blCL - - - 2169 - - 13975 - - 15246 - - 15075 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 86 - - 68 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 69.3 - - 72.2 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.6 - - 57.2 - - 54.5 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 67.1 - - 70.6 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 56.5 - - 53.9 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 140 - - 370 - - 247 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1879 - - 2096 - - 1579 - - 183 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98838 25 121 19 114 17 143 11 110 98838 91310 24 127 16 115 14 122 16 101 91310 85525 21 116 17 108 18 109 21 103 85525 80761 18 126 13 101 19 082 20 103 80761 76678 17 126 12 122 15 082 20 095 76678 73073 14 110 16 125 10 103 11 097 73073 69819 9 100 13 132 15 128 10 125 69819 66835 7 108 6 148 4 095 9 060 66835 64076 4 092 2 228 5 214 4 023 64076 61410 4 183 7 257 10 293 6 351 61410 58648 6 332 3 215 9 274 13 302 58648 55815 15 316 10 321 8 285 16 279 55815 53119 23 320 17 326 11 302 15 260 53119 50682 31 311 26 321 19 308 18 296 50682 48487 38 294 36 299 35 301 32 308 48487 46495 40 295 41 295 41 300 40 303 46495 44679 47 314 46 314 47 310 41 307 44679 43008 62 323 60 324 53 320 43 317 43008 41450 67 324 63 325 55 325 48 326 41450 39984 63 324 59 325 55 327 49 330 39984 38594 59 324 54 326 46 326 48 331 38594 37243 55 325 49 325 41 331 47 331 37243 35865 54 326 46 323 40 332 40 324 35865 34433 54 324 46 322 40 333 34 317 34433 32948 51 325 47 324 39 334 34 316 32948 31394 52 336 49 325 39 333 34 315 31394 29755 50 343 51 326 40 329 34 315 29755 28030 46 342 48 328 40 327 34 317 28030 26218 41 333 41 327 41 320 34 319 26218 24319 38 323 37 326 39 318 34 319 24319 22337 39 319 36 326 35 322 32 320 22337 20268 40 324 37 334 33 327 30 324 20268 18111 38 325 35 338 34 342 29 336 18111 15912 36 323 34 333 33 353 27 347 15912 13793 32 328 34 333 31 354 24 352 13793 11863 25 335 29 339 30 356 23 355 11863 10150 18 337 20 343 23 000 23 002 10150 8636 14 336 15 348 15 003 19 009 8636 7299 12 336 11 357 11 005 15 010 7299 6118 8 339 8 003 9 006 14 000 6118 5077 4 004 6 009 9 016 13 357 5077 4164 5 009 7 357 10 359 12 352 4164 3363 7 340 7*336 10 336 12 344 3363 2649 8*327 7*308 10*309 14 339 2649 2021 7*306 9 280 11*282 13 330 2021 1498 7 291 10 273 12 272 10 312 1498 1098 7 287 10 270 12 269 9 287 1098 823 7 285 10 269 12 266 8*270 823 657 7 284 9 268 11 265 7*263 657 561 6 283 8 267 9 264 5 257 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography