DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 83.1 - - 75.7 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 241 - - 399 - - 268 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 751 - - 1078 - - 692 - - 250 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 731 - - 1113 - - 723 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1297 - - 1624 - - 1238 - - 794 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 419 - - 317 - - 346 - - 336 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 231 - - 307 - - 232 - - 59 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 275 - - 270 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4260 - - -6090 - - -4160 - - -1011 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5558 - - 7714 - - 5398 - - 1806 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15202 - - -15468 - - -14941 - - -14776 ODpotential blCL - - - 16499 - - 17092 - - 16179 - - 15570 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 39 - - 54 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 83.1 - - 75.7 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 51.8 - - 54.4 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 80.6 - - 73.9 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 51.1 - - 54.1 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 241 - - 399 - - 268 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 751 - - 1078 - - 692 - - 250 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99301 35 119 32 103 37 108 32 098 99301 91820 39 105 37 110 33 106 30 108 91820 86052 41 099 32 104 31 105 30 099 86052 81279 31 097 24 114 25 096 27 092 81279 77184 23 111 22 112 20 095 21 090 77184 73556 22 124 22 111 17 098 17 097 73556 70256 21 111 18 117 12 102 17 086 70256 67230 13 092 15 109 10 125 11 076 67230 64453 8 082 9 103 11 081 11 097 64453 61785 7 087 7 140 5 080 13 086 61785 59020 9 113 11 179 4 195 3 087 59020 56190 2 185 12 183 10 225 5 262 56190 53524 15 267 7 251 10 229 13 240 53524 51134 26 271 17 285 12 267 12 247 51134 48986 29 257 23 286 17 285 13 280 48986 47023 27 260 27 276 24 279 19 287 47023 45206 29 262 29 269 28 269 25 275 45206 43512 31 262 29 265 29 264 28 264 43512 41923 32 264 28 264 28 260 29 257 41923 40424 33 269 28 269 27 265 30 260 40424 39003 35 271 30 269 29 272 28 268 39003 37624 35 271 29 269 30 274 28 274 37624 36217 32 265 26 263 28 276 25 275 36217 34753 24 263 21 257 24 265 24 264 34753 33239 16 268 15 253 22 260 21 264 33239 31662 16 275 12 260 18 255 17 264 31662 30002 18 272 14 258 17 260 18 264 30002 28259 17 275 16 272 17 271 17 268 28259 26431 13 283 15 286 15 279 12 272 26431 24523 11 288 11 291 11 283 7 267 24523 22537 9 284 10 290 9 278 4 261 22537 20469 8 269 9 276 9 275 4 276 20469 18311 7 279 8 274 7 281 4 290 18311 16108 6 298 5 281 4 288 3 316 16108 13982 5 313 5 293 3 321 4 357 13982 12045 4 324 6 292 5 319 5 351 12045 10323 4 328 6 282 5 307 4 328 10323 8794 3 318 6 262 4 286 2 290 8794 7437 2 291 6 245 4 242 4 212 7437 6233 2 244 7 228 5 218 5 204 6233 5169 3 206 7 221 6 217 5 206 5169 4231 4 205 7 221 5 230 3 242 4231 3405 6 217 7 227 4 272 4 306 3405 2670 7 225 6 248 6 295 6 330 2670 2025 7 234 8*271 10 281 7 299 2025 1495 5*257 10*275 11*272 8 274 1495 1094 5*269 10 275 11*270 8 265 1094 821 5 272 10 276 11 270 7*262 821 656 5 274 10 276 10 269 7*262 656 561 5 275 8 276 8 269 5 262 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography