DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.6 - - 73.4 - - 82.9 - - 80.1 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 181 - - 301 - - 111 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 702 - - 1223 - - 653 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1150 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1247 - - 1769 - - 1198 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 320 - - 516 - - 816 - - 507 - - 257 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 205 - - 291 - - 170 - - 3 W* B/S 4 - - 15 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 288 - - 276 - - 268 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -130 - - -4634 - - -5878 - - -5972 - - -2163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 691 - - 5881 - - 7647 - - 7171 - - 2724 sfcLCL ODpotential -12117 - - -12165 - - -11116 - - -12173 - - -11169 ODpotential blCL 12678 - - 13412 - - 12885 - - 13371 - - 11730 blCL maxRH 91 - - 48 - - 39 - - 39 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.6 - - 73.4 - - 82.9 - - 80.1 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.5 - - 50.1 - - 51.6 - - 51.0 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.9 - - 72.1 - - 80.9 - - 79.1 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.7 - - 49.5 - - 51.1 - - 50.7 - - 55.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 181 - - 301 - - 111 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 702 - - 1223 - - 653 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98380 12 221 9 239 10 198 9 244 9 256 98380 90980 5 030 3 289 7 159 4 203 3 235 90980 85296 11 093 3 158 1 073 7 142 1 333 85296 80582 13 106 8 097 4 072 7 077 10 081 80582 76524 9 094 13 094 5 099 6 033 10 078 76524 72950 9 082 12 110 3 111 2 330 4 099 72950 69720 1 008 8 117 4 150 3 195 4 162 69720 66739 8 261 4 276 3 187 6 189 7 181 66739 63960 7 220 12 241 14 263 10 270 4 311 63960 61251 9 213 13 222 19 237 17 253 10 270 61251 58417 14 266 16 251 19 250 22 257 19 261 58417 55486 24 261 22 261 21 257 24 252 23 253 55486 52695 23 257 24 265 26 261 27 256 25 260 52695 50195 22 261 24 260 29 255 28 260 25 265 50195 47970 22 267 22 261 28 253 29 265 24 274 47970 45968 23 268 20 259 24 255 26 268 27 288 45968 44158 15 268 15 265 14 255 19 263 23 286 44158 42510 12 288 14 290 12 287 10 269 13 272 42510 40986 13 320 14 315 16 299 12 296 6 281 40986 39554 20 335 17 329 15 296 14 284 10 277 39554 38196 23 338 19 329 11 298 13 273 14 264 38196 36873 22 339 19 326 9 311 10 259 13 253 36873 35522 19 341 17 325 7 316 4 246 11 226 35522 34114 16 351 14 316 6 295 3 227 11 205 34114 32653 15 002 13 301 8 273 8 260 10 225 32653 31124 15 000 8 298 8 270 8 258 11 233 31124 29513 14 349 7 299 7 270 8 254 11 225 29513 27817 13 337 8 306 8 269 11 262 11 236 27817 26038 12 337 8 320 7 263 11 270 11 249 26038 24175 10 334 7 339 6 249 8 264 10 247 24175 22231 10 326 6 324 6 257 7 268 8 251 22231 20202 13 328 9 326 6 290 5 294 3 200 20202 18082 15 338 10 349 4 343 1 352 4 151 18082 15916 11 349 6 350 0 011 1 183 5 179 15916 13827 4 328 5 268 4 249 3 289 2 213 13827 11926 3 244 7 218 7 217 4 244 3 223 11926 10235 4 207 9 213 9 213 7 222 8 220 10235 8732 5 196 8 215 9 215 9 216 11 217 8732 7396 5 197 6 214 8 216 8 210 11 208 7396 6209 4 209 5 202 6 212 7 200 9 192 6209 5157 4 227 4 182 5 208 5 187 7 175 5157 4230 3 238 4 176 4 211 2 148 4 146 4230 3413 3 238 4 181 3 225 3 055 4 087 3413 2684 2 244 3 192 2 267 4 020 5 048 2684 2042 2 298 1 208 4*280 4 355 6 018 2042 1509 3 317 1*288 6*278 5*284 5 352 1509 1103 2 302 2*286 7 276 7*269 4 286 1103 824 1 265 3 288 7 276 7 268 5 244 824 657 1*196 3 288 6 275 7 267 5 231 657 561 1*214 2 291 6 275 6 267 3*226 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography