DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.2 - - 65.1 - - 63.7 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 304 - - 187 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1258 - - 1478 - - 1077 - - 184 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1105 - - 1342 - - 891 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1802 - - 2022 - - 1622 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 487 - - 441 - - 536 - - 733 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 315 - - 241 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 269 - - 259 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -820 - - -1350 - - -1207 - - -338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2622 - - 3372 - - 2830 - - 1066 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6830 - - -7125 - - -6565 - - -6886 ODpotential blCL - - - 8632 - - 9147 - - 8187 - - 7614 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 73 - - 77 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.2 - - 65.1 - - 63.7 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 52.3 - - 53.2 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 63.3 - - 62.4 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 51.1 - - 52.4 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 304 - - 187 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1258 - - 1478 - - 1077 - - 184 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 0 - - 9 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97535 22 302 18 307 17 310 23 307 97535 90090 12 329 18 308 22 330 20 340 90090 84441 10 334 12 311 21 337 18 348 84441 79796 11 336 10 320 16 317 20 329 79796 75794 11 324 13 323 15 312 21 306 75794 72248 14 299 16 315 15 316 17 306 72248 69021 17 294 19 304 16 314 17 314 69021 66041 17 293 22 288 22 305 18 316 66041 63271 16 300 23 276 26 295 20 312 63271 60583 20 302 22 277 27 290 25 304 60583 57787 21 294 22 288 27 288 29 294 57787 54903 19 289 24 288 27 292 30 290 54903 52156 17 299 23 294 28 291 31 286 52156 49679 17 320 26 310 31 293 36 289 49679 47463 32 327 36 305 37 296 37 290 47463 45467 37 317 39 303 40 304 39 301 45467 43656 34 316 40 309 46 311 48 308 43656 41995 35 320 43 314 53 312 55 311 41995 40454 35 324 47 315 57 315 61 314 40454 39007 35 325 49 317 58 319 61 317 39007 37640 34 326 51 319 58 323 58 320 37640 36315 33 326 52 322 60 326 56 323 36315 34964 30 324 47 318 59 328 56 326 34964 33560 28 327 43 316 51 327 56 330 33560 32107 27 340 38 316 43 327 51 331 32107 30589 30 348 34 318 40 330 43 330 30589 28993 28 346 31 324 34 331 38 335 28993 27317 23 348 30 332 34 328 35 339 27317 25560 22 351 27 342 30 332 31 344 25560 23723 21 353 25 350 27 335 29 343 23723 21809 20 357 21 350 25 340 28 341 21809 19813 22 004 20 351 19 345 25 344 19813 17725 22 010 19 003 17 356 22 346 17725 15590 17 015 15 007 16 004 20 351 15590 13530 11 029 9 004 15 357 18 360 13530 11658 10 044 7 042 10 007 14 004 11658 10000 7 062 8 072 7 059 8 005 10000 8529 6 084 7 087 8 081 3 001 8529 7222 6 075 4 086 5 066 3 344 7222 6060 5 058 3 066 5 033 4 002 6060 5030 5 042 4 046 7 026 5 021 5030 4125 4 026 3 032 6 002 7 357 4125 3327 5 356 3 335 9 333 10 341 3327 2618 4 314 5*295 9 318 11 335 2618 1996 6*265 8*274 10*277 8 310 1996 1480 7*258 10 269 12*261 10 263 1480 1087 7 258 10 268 12 259 11 244 1087 817 7 258 10 268 12 258 10*240 817 654 6 259 9 267 11 258 9*237 654 561 5 259 8 267 9 257 6 235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography