DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 68.9 - - 69.6 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 315 - - 196 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1069 - - 1198 - - 963 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 950 - - 1152 - - 816 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1613 - - 1743 - - 1508 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 420 - - 463 - - 338 - - 711 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 297 - - 235 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 257 - - 254 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -411 - - -1600 - - -2370 - - -1051 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2024 - - 3343 - - 3878 - - 1612 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11157 - - -11015 - - -11487 - - -12533 ODpotential blCL - - - 12770 - - 12758 - - 12995 - - 13094 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 74 - - 66 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 68.9 - - 69.6 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 56.2 - - 54.7 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.5 - - 67.1 - - 68.2 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 55.1 - - 54.0 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 315 - - 196 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1069 - - 1198 - - 963 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97746 14 252 13 277 11 279 10 243 97746 90277 11 262 9 287 15 282 9 228 90277 84572 4 206 8 235 13 286 5 330 84572 79884 3 131 8 245 10 306 8 028 79884 75862 6 041 1 204 9 317 9 359 75862 72322 10 004 4 025 7 330 9 343 72322 69125 8 351 4 340 8 337 8 351 69125 66182 6 326 3 319 6 320 7 346 66182 63441 7 310 4 297 6 285 6 322 63441 60780 8 288 8 278 8 286 7 256 60780 58017 8 260 12 246 11 278 9 260 58017 55171 10 251 15 242 16 265 16 275 55171 52475 11 250 17 246 17 247 22 261 52475 50052 10 263 14 248 16 242 23 246 50052 47882 21 262 24 260 22 256 28 245 47882 45927 33 259 34 257 33 260 35 250 45927 44154 36 262 38 257 43 257 44 250 44154 42521 40 267 43 262 46 257 48 249 42521 40993 43 268 45 262 46 258 47 249 40993 39551 39 263 42 259 44 258 45 251 39551 38185 37 260 40 257 42 258 43 253 38185 36858 36 260 37 255 40 257 40 253 36858 35503 34 261 36 254 39 255 38 252 35503 34091 32 262 34 255 36 254 38 250 34091 32624 30 262 34 256 35 255 37 251 32624 31086 29 259 31 255 32 253 34 253 31086 29463 28 254 28 251 29 249 31 252 29463 27759 26 247 25 248 25 249 27 255 27759 25972 24 243 23 242 20 246 21 252 25972 24106 21 240 19 234 14 239 17 244 24106 22165 15 230 16 222 13 227 13 235 22165 20142 13 217 15 214 12 223 11 239 20142 18030 9 211 11 215 8 220 9 223 18030 15871 2 240 4 217 3 186 5 187 15871 13779 2 290 1 206 5 153 7 164 13779 11868 5 190 7 183 8 185 8 182 11868 10168 11 187 13 193 12 198 10 202 10168 8661 12 185 14 192 13 199 11 207 8661 7323 9 186 11 193 12 199 9 206 7323 6138 6 192 6 204 9 202 9 204 6138 5090 4 211 4 218 6 214 7 211 5090 4169 4 240 3 238 3 236 4 232 4169 3358 4 262 2 278 2 299 2 297 3358 2637 5 291 4 283 4 312 5 331 2637 2006 6*277 7*266 5*284 6 306 2006 1486 7*258 9*257 9*255 8 259 1486 1090 7 257 9 257 10 253 10 241 1090 819 7 256 9 257 10 253 9 237 819 655 6 256 8 257 9 253 8*236 655 561 6 256 7 257 8 254 5*236 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography