DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 77.5 - - 76.7 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 342 - - 126 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1578 - - 1885 - - 1203 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1295 - - 1658 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2123 - - 2431 - - 1748 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 547 - - 995 - - 1788 - - 974 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 350 - - 217 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 272 - - 269 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -871 - - -2275 - - -4041 - - -2933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2994 - - 4706 - - 5789 - - 3495 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6146 - - -5782 - - -8558 - - -11368 ODpotential blCL - - - 8269 - - 8213 - - 10306 - - 11929 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 69 - - 57 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 77.5 - - 76.7 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.5 - - 58.9 - - 53.4 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 75.4 - - 75.6 - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 58.5 - - 53.0 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 342 - - 126 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1578 - - 1885 - - 1203 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98356 10 142 12 118 7 157 8 268 98356 91022 9 100 8 101 6 083 9 094 91022 85381 7 089 7 117 8 081 10 083 85381 80684 10 082 6 107 4 112 6 062 80684 76631 6 068 7 079 9 098 1 110 76631 73049 5 091 4 357 8 035 2 119 73049 69799 5 151 0 235 4 053 3 109 69799 66802 6 177 6 246 5 307 5 007 66802 64013 4 128 9 249 7 275 5 328 64013 61301 11 291 7 244 11 272 10 289 61301 58470 19 279 14 258 20 266 17 273 58470 55547 25 264 20 259 23 272 21 280 55547 52781 25 270 22 271 24 281 21 281 52781 50312 26 272 23 277 22 291 21 296 50312 48110 26 287 24 291 22 296 21 299 48110 46119 25 289 24 297 21 292 20 293 46119 44297 25 300 22 296 19 291 20 284 44297 42614 29 300 25 299 22 297 21 287 42614 41043 29 291 29 289 29 294 26 287 41043 39567 29 281 33 276 34 282 30 281 39567 38176 30 275 35 273 37 273 35 276 38176 36830 32 275 36 274 37 273 37 274 36830 35460 34 280 36 274 35 277 36 275 35460 34036 33 281 32 274 33 276 33 272 34036 32558 31 280 27 271 31 270 30 269 32558 31012 30 280 23 270 29 260 32 264 31012 29388 23 276 23 255 30 257 34 263 29388 27681 20 266 25 259 31 266 32 270 27681 25893 25 261 26 271 27 278 24 274 25893 24026 29 269 23 278 21 278 21 264 24026 22079 29 264 23 275 18 273 19 259 22079 20045 28 261 24 271 19 273 18 260 20045 17922 26 261 23 265 20 267 18 263 17922 15755 23 257 21 258 20 259 20 262 15755 13670 21 247 21 249 20 252 20 259 13670 11778 20 242 19 248 18 249 19 254 11778 10100 18 241 16 246 15 245 16 247 10100 8610 15 242 13 245 12 241 13 235 8610 7287 11 243 10 242 10 238 12 223 7287 6111 7 246 7 244 9 235 10 223 6111 5071 5 263 5 254 6 248 7 231 5071 4157 5 301 4 284 6 317 4 268 4157 3355 7 321 6 309 9 328 5 306 3355 2642 8*324 7*300 9 319 7 321 2642 2016 7*305 8*282 9*293 11 338 2016 1495 6 283 9 273 9*276 12 338 1495 1096 6 279 9 270 9 269 9 321 1096 822 6 276 9 268 9 266 6 284 822 656 5 275 9 268 8 265 5*252 656 561 5 275 8 267 7 264 4*234 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography