DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 61.6 - - 59.9 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 259 - - 119 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3458 - - 3572 - - 2166 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2647 - - 2834 - - 1441 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4002 - - 4116 - - 2710 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1723 - - 2184 - - 1998 - - 2984 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 366 - - 401 - - 262 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 273 - - 286 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -5 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 536 - - 69 - - -749 - - -1196 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3466 - - 4047 - - 3459 - - 1756 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 11 - - -578 - - -2217 - - -2181 ODpotential blCL - - - 3991 - - 4694 - - 4927 - - 2741 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 97 - - 99 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 61.6 - - 59.9 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 45.8 - - 46.7 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 60.1 - - 59.1 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.8 - - 44.8 - - 45.9 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 259 - - 119 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3458 - - 3572 - - 2166 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 88 - - 96 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97817 17 238 23 252 28 259 23 276 97817 90335 20 252 23 261 26 266 24 273 90335 84611 19 267 24 276 21 287 16 280 84611 79879 18 272 19 270 19 286 12 285 79879 75801 14 278 15 250 21 278 14 300 75801 72210 14 288 11 276 18 285 18 302 72210 68974 15 288 13 282 15 277 19 302 68974 65991 17 280 17 285 17 286 18 288 65991 63212 19 273 24 279 19 285 17 292 63212 60511 20 270 27 268 24 276 21 291 60511 57677 23 277 26 265 25 272 23 279 57677 54724 29 278 26 271 25 269 24 267 54724 51905 29 271 28 268 24 263 24 264 51905 49370 29 265 28 251 25 262 22 263 49370 47095 30 261 28 240 27 255 20 260 47095 45026 36 255 28 243 27 244 18 250 45026 43126 45 248 36 253 27 243 17 244 43126 41373 50 244 43 248 30 243 14 243 41373 39746 47 242 46 240 29 240 9 240 39746 38229 42 243 40 236 26 236 5 242 38229 36810 39 247 32 236 24 237 2 284 36810 35449 41 249 28 240 20 239 3 059 35449 34079 43 248 28 243 14 235 8 069 34079 32675 41 247 25 241 8 210 13 081 32675 31240 35 251 16 242 8 117 25 091 31240 29757 28 253 8 239 18 084 45 087 29757 28205 18 257 4 067 34 075 64 079 28205 26575 9 248 11 065 49 070 62 080 26575 24864 3 220 15 075 49 069 54 088 24864 23078 2 158 13 077 35 076 39 090 23078 21219 10 083 10 082 19 069 30 094 21219 19280 16 081 11 095 14 077 20 091 19280 17255 17 093 13 098 12 080 15 094 17255 15183 15 109 13 081 11 093 11 103 15183 13182 13 124 13 088 12 097 7 095 13182 11360 12 117 12 111 8 113 7 045 11360 9740 6 116 8 129 4 134 7 024 9740 8305 4 121 6 130 3 157 3 343 8305 7035 7 173 4 155 4 164 1 287 7035 5911 7 191 1 163 1 163 3 022 5911 4917 4 248 0*245 3 332 4 359 4917 4043 6*285 4*277 5 307 6 322 4043 3272 7*287 5 275 7*294 10 306 3272 2585 7 286 9 273 13*288 13 296 2585 1977 7 286 10 273 14 286 14 287 1977 1471 7 285 10 273 14 286 14 279 1471 1083 7 285 11 273 14 286 13 273 1083 815 7 284 10 273 13 286 12 269 815 653 6 285 10 273 12 286 10 265 653 560 6 284 8 273 9 286 6*261 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography