DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.7 - - 82.2 - - 88.9 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 198 - - 336 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 822 - - 1105 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 692 - - 1101 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 562 - - 1367 - - 1651 - - - - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 357 - - 544 - - 671 - - - - - 558 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 226 - - 295 - - - - - 12 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 10 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 277 - - 272 - - - - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2940 - - -4592 - - -6928 - - - - - -4247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3502 - - 5960 - - 8580 - - - - - 4810 sfcLCL ODpotential -9996 - - -9059 - - -10816 - - - - - -12048 ODpotential blCL 10558 - - 10426 - - 12467 - - - - - 12610 blCL maxRH 56 - - 77 - - 69 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE 320 - - 140 - - 90 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 70.7 - - 82.2 - - 88.9 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.6 - - 58.5 - - 53.7 - - - - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.0 - - 80.9 - - 86.8 - - - - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.8 - - 57.5 - - 52.6 - - - - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 198 - - 336 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 822 - - 1105 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99340 45 111 36 103 46 107 38 107 99340 91847 49 105 38 123 37 113 38 105 91847 86069 45 104 37 123 28 120 34 105 86069 81266 29 099 30 112 26 116 30 103 81266 77137 23 111 24 102 27 113 29 101 77137 73504 21 109 23 110 24 117 23 106 73504 70229 15 101 25 109 24 124 20 111 70229 67215 9 114 16 112 20 129 18 124 67215 64435 15 135 12 125 14 131 15 141 64435 61764 17 159 10 169 10 166 13 128 61764 58971 28 168 25 188 18 190 11 168 58971 56078 27 173 33 181 30 202 16 205 56078 53326 24 173 33 179 39 197 31 209 53326 50854 28 199 36 187 45 194 42 203 50854 48637 41 199 44 200 53 210 50 219 48637 46633 56 204 62 208 72 210 71 220 46633 44809 68 199 73 201 78 199 85 210 44809 43119 72 192 67 192 58 195 67 207 43119 41536 65 194 54 195 52 214 55 211 41536 40049 59 201 53 205 56 215 55 217 40049 38645 58 204 54 206 58 210 57 220 38645 37284 56 203 53 202 58 203 58 220 37284 35898 56 200 53 199 58 199 56 218 35898 34457 54 200 54 199 57 200 53 218 34457 32965 51 205 53 201 57 202 50 219 32965 31407 49 211 51 204 57 206 44 225 31407 29768 47 211 49 206 53 209 41 231 29768 28044 45 210 46 209 48 213 41 227 28044 26236 40 209 43 212 45 216 41 229 26236 24346 30 205 38 218 40 217 36 232 24346 22378 24 204 31 215 27 218 29 239 22378 20334 18 213 24 217 24 215 19 214 20334 18208 18 213 17 210 18 213 17 199 18208 16037 13 223 17 204 15 211 15 213 16037 13941 6 222 14 202 15 218 13 218 13941 12031 2 205 10 196 13 216 11 210 12031 10331 1 223 6 203 8 202 8 200 10331 8816 3 276 4 215 4 189 7 196 8816 7465 6 272 3 208 3 183 6 201 7465 6263 7 287 1 215 2 185 3 229 6263 5197 7 307 2 316 0 292 2 314 5197 4259 5 324 2 332 2 329 4 324 4259 3431 5 325 2 315 3 304 9 335 3431 2694 5 316 2 290 5 286 14 337 2694 2048 5 303 4 280 8*278 12 326 2048 1512 4 283 4*274 10*273 10 290 1512 1104 3 262 4*275 10 272 9 250 1104 826 2 241 4 276 10 272 8 236 826 658 1*218 4 278 10 272 7*234 658 562 1*231 4 278 8 272 5*233 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography