DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 61.2 - - 70.6 - - 65.0 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 101 - - 130 - - 66 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 623 - - 1713 - - 858 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1230 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1168 - - 2258 - - 1402 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 92 - - 539 - - 1672 - - 817 - - 752 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 166 - - 258 - - 163 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 34 - - 14 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 019 - - 290 - - 260 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -295 - - -1407 - - -1963 - - -1522 - - -255 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 855 - - 2575 - - 4221 - - 2924 - - 816 sfcLCL ODpotential -10597 - - -8429 - - -6719 - - -6257 - - -7810 ODpotential blCL 11157 - - 9597 - - 8977 - - 7659 - - 8371 blCL maxRH 78 - - 73 - - 60 - - 70 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 61.2 - - 70.6 - - 65.0 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.9 - - 51.8 - - 54.0 - - 54.1 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.8 - - 60.4 - - 69.6 - - 64.5 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 50.7 - - 52.6 - - 53.1 - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 101 - - 130 - - 66 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 623 - - 1713 - - 858 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96433 24 290 12 324 14 264 23 288 24 279 96433 89286 8 295 10 300 19 270 17 294 12 294 89286 83745 11 318 12 273 18 267 18 287 18 294 83745 79147 13 297 14 283 15 270 18 271 24 288 79147 75193 12 270 13 271 17 284 14 269 16 287 75193 71692 12 273 11 257 23 280 20 290 18 303 71692 68517 15 287 11 285 20 273 22 281 18 300 68517 65585 18 283 12 294 14 271 19 266 16 283 65585 62848 18 277 12 277 18 282 24 282 20 289 62848 60186 17 275 10 258 21 274 27 272 24 283 60186 57403 15 284 10 271 19 261 24 270 23 283 57403 54519 16 319 20 306 17 287 23 287 26 293 54519 51776 21 321 27 306 26 303 28 296 30 296 51776 49306 19 315 24 296 30 296 37 295 36 304 49306 47091 17 317 25 299 34 294 42 297 43 307 47091 45092 20 315 28 300 38 300 43 304 43 309 45092 43281 22 308 20 295 31 295 45 305 46 313 43281 41634 23 328 14 308 24 302 42 301 48 316 41634 40118 33 352 31 343 37 326 38 308 52 315 40118 38699 38 355 41 344 43 328 39 316 54 313 38699 37357 36 351 41 340 39 326 37 315 51 310 37357 36055 34 346 36 336 37 322 35 311 47 309 36055 34726 31 344 33 332 37 323 34 311 45 309 34726 33340 30 347 32 331 35 323 35 313 41 314 33340 31902 31 350 28 334 32 321 37 316 40 320 31902 30396 32 352 24 335 30 323 37 319 39 324 30396 28809 30 352 25 336 30 326 35 322 37 325 28809 27142 28 351 26 339 28 331 31 324 36 324 27142 25394 29 351 27 342 24 335 30 324 36 324 25394 23568 32 351 27 347 23 338 31 325 35 328 23568 21666 31 354 22 352 21 341 31 325 35 331 21666 19684 23 001 16 353 17 340 29 324 34 331 19684 17616 18 002 14 359 16 338 25 325 30 327 17616 15502 15 355 13 353 16 339 22 326 28 322 15502 13460 13 347 12 345 16 343 19 330 26 326 13460 11602 12 342 10 346 14 352 16 341 20 333 11602 9950 13 346 9 351 11 360 12 354 16 345 9950 8482 11 350 8 355 8 009 8 356 13 351 8482 7178 10 346 6 358 4 012 6 344 9 347 7178 6022 8 345 4 359 2 351 4 338 6 338 6022 5001 4 002 2 015 2 310 3 330 2 360 5001 4104 3 038 1 058 1 268 3 326 2 033 4104 3314 2 053 2 081 1 142 5 330 2 346 3314 2610 2 051 3 082 0*283 6 322 4 321 2610 1990 2 051 5 078 2*297 7 304 5 287 1990 1477 2 046 4*071 3 290 8*268 8 264 1477 1085 1 007 1*038 4 289 8*262 9 256 1085 816 1 279 1 019 4 290 8 259 8 247 816 654 1 260 1 005 4 290 7 259 6*240 654 561 1*234 1 004 3 289 6 258 3*233 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography