DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.1 - - 73.8 - - 78.3 - - 76.3 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 270 - - 419 - - 258 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 282 - - 1151 - - 1302 - - 1082 - - 302 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1077 - - 1285 - - 1011 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 826 - - 1696 - - 1848 - - 1627 - - 847 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 363 - - 504 - - 579 - - 574 - - 552 Hgt.Variab. W* 90 - - 278 - - 333 - - 267 - - 43 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 260 - - 254 - - 251 - - 237 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1940 - - -3843 - - -4360 - - -3957 - - -2543 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2766 - - 5539 - - 6208 - - 5585 - - 3391 sfcLCL ODpotential -14355 - - -13804 - - -12540 - - -12170 - - -13019 ODpotential blCL 15181 - - 15500 - - 14388 - - 13797 - - 13866 blCL maxRH 68 - - 52 - - 51 - - 52 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.1 - - 73.8 - - 78.3 - - 76.3 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.1 - - 51.8 - - 53.3 - - 54.0 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.9 - - 72.1 - - 75.8 - - 74.7 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.5 - - 51.0 - - 52.6 - - 53.5 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 270 - - 419 - - 258 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 282 - - 1151 - - 1302 - - 1082 - - 302 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99432 51 099 45 107 43 119 36 114 31 111 99432 91887 47 103 34 106 36 110 30 110 33 103 91887 86073 37 101 36 111 36 105 30 113 27 104 86073 81266 33 099 34 108 33 112 33 117 25 110 81266 77145 26 099 24 113 26 112 28 111 26 113 77145 73512 23 104 19 122 22 112 23 106 25 111 73512 70221 23 104 24 121 19 120 19 110 20 112 70221 67204 12 110 23 111 21 127 22 111 20 113 67204 64422 14 139 18 131 20 137 19 115 18 117 64422 61732 17 145 17 144 22 149 20 145 19 139 61732 58928 17 170 17 178 13 176 13 155 14 158 58928 56033 22 192 19 184 23 201 20 203 19 189 56033 53287 17 179 23 204 31 197 31 207 29 202 53287 50824 23 215 30 209 37 209 37 215 36 205 50824 48618 29 221 36 219 43 222 52 226 44 220 48618 46613 38 234 41 222 49 221 61 222 60 223 46613 44765 44 231 43 216 49 218 56 224 63 223 44765 43046 45 224 45 211 49 218 54 223 59 225 43046 41449 44 223 45 211 49 213 55 219 58 224 41449 39957 44 225 45 211 47 209 54 215 57 218 39957 38552 44 227 46 213 51 206 49 212 54 212 38552 37192 42 228 46 217 51 209 48 212 52 211 37192 35808 38 230 43 224 47 213 47 213 49 211 35808 34369 37 227 36 229 37 215 41 207 47 208 34369 32874 38 223 32 224 34 210 41 204 46 209 32874 31309 37 225 34 218 37 209 42 207 42 209 31309 29663 32 227 32 220 38 216 40 214 38 205 29663 27938 26 222 27 217 32 216 36 219 34 199 27938 26131 23 222 25 213 30 213 31 214 32 199 26131 24245 24 224 25 211 26 210 30 214 33 200 24245 22283 23 223 23 211 25 206 27 210 31 202 22283 20239 18 213 21 211 22 213 23 215 27 205 20239 18105 17 194 20 210 19 220 16 215 18 197 18105 15921 15 208 16 224 15 230 12 221 12 192 15921 13817 14 242 13 248 11 246 8 234 7 213 13817 11904 13 256 12 258 10 250 6 238 7 227 11904 10205 10 260 12 251 10 241 7 228 9 221 10205 8696 7 265 10 236 11 230 9 221 11 214 8696 7355 5 282 8 224 11 221 11 217 13 212 7355 6165 3 318 5 225 9 212 12 218 14 214 6165 5112 5 328 3 253 7 216 10 226 11 231 5112 4188 10 323 6 305 5 276 7 272 9 270 4188 3377 14 326 10 319 9 312 10 318 10 306 3377 2657 18 331 12 324 9 304 11 310 11 321 2657 2024 15 329 9*307 10*270 11*280 10 309 2024 1498 9 302 8*264 12*256 13*256 10 273 1498 1098 8*257 8 260 12 254 13 251 11*246 1098 823 7*240 8 259 12 253 13 249 11*239 823 657 6 234 8 259 11 252 12 248 10 237 657 561 4 235 7 259 9 252 10 247 7 235 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography