DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/26 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.9 - - 66.3 - - 71.8 - - 71.8 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 37 - - 60 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 590 - - 2065 - - 1473 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1135 - - 2611 - - 2018 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 272 - - 961 - - 1508 - - 2319 - - 1758 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 125 - - 225 - - 103 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 030 - - 030 - - 006 - - 072 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -871 - - -1765 - - -1099 - - -641 - - -766 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1432 - - 2900 - - 3710 - - 2660 - - 1327 sfcLCL ODpotential -8575 - - -7499 - - -5091 - - -3515 - - -5593 ODpotential blCL 9136 - - 8634 - - 7702 - - 5533 - - 6154 blCL maxRH 68 - - 66 - - 74 - - 82 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.9 - - 66.3 - - 71.8 - - 71.8 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.9 - - 55.8 - - 57.6 - - 62.1 - - 61.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 66.0 - - 71.3 - - 72.0 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.3 - - 54.5 - - 56.3 - - 60.8 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 37 - - 60 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 590 - - 2065 - - 1473 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96644 17 116 14 087 9 133 10 045 10 102 96644 89497 13 083 14 086 10 122 5 053 9 056 89497 83960 11 064 12 078 10 076 4 090 7 028 83960 79362 13 049 8 034 16 007 11 032 15 022 79362 75424 23 010 13 023 15 359 17 012 22 019 75424 71977 24 353 18 355 20 336 24 342 25 351 71977 68888 28 343 19 002 18 338 23 335 20 327 68888 66057 37 319 33 318 34 324 25 344 22 340 66057 63408 34 308 34 302 35 301 36 302 28 307 63408 60825 31 313 39 305 39 302 38 303 37 297 60825 58117 48 301 53 295 50 290 47 292 46 291 58117 55277 59 285 57 287 56 279 53 285 50 287 55277 52554 59 281 59 275 60 273 68 278 59 288 52554 50105 60 280 59 269 67 269 75 272 68 282 50105 47916 67 275 61 269 69 267 75 269 75 272 47916 45941 71 275 68 274 69 269 73 269 76 266 45941 44138 78 274 74 275 73 272 75 271 76 267 44138 42478 80 271 73 271 76 270 78 271 76 269 42478 40939 76 270 69 269 71 266 74 269 72 269 40939 39496 75 270 69 270 66 265 72 266 70 267 39496 38129 74 272 69 271 64 266 70 266 67 268 38129 36798 73 272 68 272 64 267 66 265 65 269 36798 35439 70 271 67 272 65 266 62 265 63 270 35439 34021 64 270 62 273 63 267 60 265 62 269 34021 32549 59 273 58 276 60 269 59 267 57 264 32549 31009 60 276 54 275 55 270 59 271 55 265 31009 29392 60 273 52 274 54 270 61 272 57 269 29392 27692 60 274 54 272 56 272 60 273 58 271 27692 25907 56 279 56 271 58 274 56 274 56 275 25907 24041 51 282 51 274 54 276 50 273 49 279 24041 22095 51 284 46 279 52 281 45 281 42 284 22095 20067 40 288 41 284 43 284 43 288 33 287 20067 17952 28 295 27 282 33 285 33 288 29 293 17952 15791 25 297 22 282 25 281 29 285 22 293 15791 13708 23 304 22 295 23 287 26 290 22 295 13708 11811 18 311 19 305 19 298 20 302 20 311 11811 10126 14 310 18 311 16 310 14 315 16 329 10126 8633 15 305 19 314 16 320 13 332 14 348 8633 7308 11 307 19 325 17 331 15 350 14 360 7308 6133 8 319 16 338 15 346 14 001 14 010 6133 5094 8 330 12 351 11 007 11 015 13 019 5094 4180 6 340 10 004 10 033 9 034 11 025 4180 3376 6 352 10 010 9 040 7 034 10 022 3376 2660 5 008 9 013 7*042 6 028 8 014 2660 2029 4 027 8 017 5*036 6*017 6 015 2029 1504 5 044 6*022 4 032 6*010 6 035 1504 1101 5 042 5*031 4 028 5 006 7 052 1101 825 4 028 3 029 4 027 5 004 6 061 825 657 3*011 2 030 3 026 5 004 4 069 657 561 1*350 2 030 3 024 4 003 2*072 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography