DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/07 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 68.9 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 437 - - - - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1382 - - 1581 - - - - - 544 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1144 - - 1494 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1927 - - 2126 - - - - - 1089 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 450 - - 436 - - - - - 735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 359 - - - - - 72 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 260 - - - - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 70 - - -1067 - - - - - -1142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1857 - - 3193 - - - - - 2231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11200 - - -11303 - - - - - -12846 ODpotential blCL - - - 13127 - - 13429 - - - - - 13935 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 84 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 68.9 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 56.8 - - - - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 66.5 - - - - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 56.3 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 203 - - 437 - - - - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1382 - - 1581 - - - - - 544 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 36 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99351 34 105 33 106 39 108 99351 91828 28 123 32 117 32 087 91828 86044 33 130 31 121 27 084 86044 81244 36 114 29 118 25 103 81244 77107 33 091 25 112 28 102 77107 73473 20 100 15 112 25 100 73473 70207 19 120 18 151 21 087 70207 67206 22 117 19 148 12 102 67206 64438 13 123 15 135 12 146 64438 61776 10 184 12 149 11 181 61776 59018 23 199 21 192 18 212 59018 56177 29 210 27 211 24 214 56177 53479 32 224 35 231 30 226 53479 51057 35 235 41 229 40 238 51057 48882 42 237 46 227 48 240 48882 46893 51 239 52 237 53 245 46893 45048 57 244 60 244 59 247 45048 43323 63 248 66 245 63 247 43323 41706 70 248 70 242 71 247 41706 40181 75 243 70 243 73 246 40181 38732 74 240 66 248 66 246 38732 37326 66 244 58 251 60 247 37326 35905 56 247 51 250 55 248 35905 34443 49 247 43 252 50 250 34443 32939 46 250 37 247 47 253 32939 31371 44 256 34 247 44 256 31371 29721 41 255 31 245 42 255 29721 27991 36 253 32 242 39 259 27991 26185 27 250 31 240 30 255 26185 24306 26 252 25 247 23 245 24306 22350 24 252 22 255 21 250 22350 20299 21 245 18 251 19 253 20299 18150 18 227 17 230 18 246 18150 15952 17 214 17 217 17 238 15952 13832 15 208 16 215 17 239 13832 11902 15 206 15 213 14 242 11902 10187 14 209 15 208 10 236 10187 8668 13 214 14 210 10 222 8668 7323 10 211 12 216 9 220 7323 6134 8 210 10 231 7 233 6134 5084 7 210 8 247 7 258 5084 4163 7 205 7 251 7 265 4163 3354 4 249 7 272 7 304 3354 2639 7 290 10*272 9 315 2639 2012 8*273 13*264 10 294 2012 1491 8*264 14 261 11 270 1491 1094 8 260 14 260 11*255 1094 821 8 259 13 259 11*250 821 656 7 258 12 259 10 247 656 561 6 257 10 258 7 245 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography