DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 82.4 - - 71.5 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 374 - - 298 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 668 - - 886 - - 655 - - 312 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 967 - - 734 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1213 - - 1432 - - 1200 - - 857 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 367 - - 439 - - 292 - - 352 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 218 - - 283 - - 236 - - 87 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 274 - - 274 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1671 - - -4771 - - -2826 - - -1364 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2884 - - 6203 - - 4026 - - 2222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11225 - - -11704 - - -12144 - - -13197 ODpotential blCL - - - 12438 - - 13136 - - 13344 - - 14054 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 48 - - 66 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 82.4 - - 71.5 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 57.4 - - 56.0 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 80.0 - - 69.7 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 56.5 - - 55.6 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 374 - - 298 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 668 - - 886 - - 655 - - 312 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98624 26 117 22 103 22 099 20 107 98624 91199 16 095 15 069 17 089 20 104 91199 85472 17 092 10 078 11 086 19 082 85472 80718 18 091 10 121 13 070 15 078 80718 76643 21 102 11 132 13 068 18 076 76643 73045 16 098 10 112 14 085 16 069 73045 69791 15 123 7 130 10 075 16 062 69791 66813 18 095 11 148 5 097 9 054 66813 64058 12 073 9 114 6 131 2 039 64058 61403 6 063 2 134 2 006 1 088 61403 58648 4 360 1 295 2 312 4 308 58648 55802 10 344 3 335 3 243 7 268 55802 53092 15 316 10 315 9 301 9 297 53092 50648 17 292 15 294 16 291 15 289 50648 48452 21 284 18 293 18 288 17 285 48452 46452 23 284 23 294 21 294 20 291 46452 44613 22 285 27 293 25 297 22 297 44613 42919 20 284 25 291 24 293 23 301 42919 41349 19 289 24 302 23 305 23 304 41349 39878 19 294 27 309 25 318 22 310 39878 38489 20 295 25 315 27 324 22 316 38489 37140 21 291 25 323 26 322 22 315 37140 35765 21 290 26 329 23 318 22 309 35765 34333 21 295 24 328 21 312 23 304 34333 32850 20 303 23 323 21 312 23 302 32850 31302 20 308 22 321 24 318 23 306 31302 29674 20 316 21 321 23 317 23 313 29674 27962 16 319 20 320 21 314 21 315 27962 26165 12 316 16 316 18 316 19 317 26165 24286 10 305 13 306 15 318 17 318 24286 22330 7 265 10 301 12 320 14 324 22330 20289 6 332 9 321 9 317 10 329 20289 18159 10 352 8 342 9 321 8 337 18159 15983 10 359 6 350 9 331 9 337 15983 13882 8 016 6 350 7 332 9 323 13882 11965 9 031 6 007 5 329 8 311 11965 10258 12 028 7 027 3 324 6 289 10258 8742 12 026 7 047 1 034 5 278 8742 7394 10 028 5 043 2 006 4 310 7394 6198 6 035 3 023 4 004 5 338 6198 5139 4 038 2 359 5 002 8 339 5139 4206 2 021 3 346 7 346 10 335 4206 3384 2 316 4 326 10 335 11 334 3384 2653 3 283 5 306 11 311 10 316 2653 2014 3 268 7 286 15 286 10 285 2014 1489 4*272 9*276 15*279 10 272 1489 1091 5*277 10*274 14*275 9*265 1091 819 5 278 10 274 13 274 8*263 819 655 4 279 10 274 12 274 7 263 655 561 4 280 8 273 10 274 5 263 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography