DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 62.2 - - 59.2 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 33 - - -13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 684 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 1228 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 403 - - 1165 - - 1475 - - 275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 18 - - 127 - - 14 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 074 - - 072 - - 064 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3058 - - -2482 - - -1577 - - -1987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3618 - - 3710 - - 2138 - - 2547 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12099 - - -8395 - - -6881 - - -12962 ODpotential blCL - - - 12659 - - 9623 - - 7442 - - 13522 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 58 - - 66 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 62.2 - - 59.2 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 48.3 - - 52.0 - - 39.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 61.9 - - 60.2 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 47.0 - - 50.8 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 33 - - -13 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 684 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96674 27 073 19 054 30 033 35 055 96674 89538 26 052 25 046 27 055 39 066 89538 83982 16 036 24 041 27 046 34 057 83982 79367 13 024 19 042 21 045 26 041 79367 75405 8 010 13 039 18 041 14 034 75405 71894 6 072 14 021 16 024 9 011 71894 68696 9 059 11 026 11 027 6 341 68696 65738 15 023 16 008 8 027 7 007 65738 62990 15 004 17 351 11 005 12 012 62990 60343 7 021 11 347 14 358 11 001 60343 57586 10 037 7 354 10 342 5 356 57586 54715 13 027 9 355 10 343 10 006 54715 51973 8 045 7 340 11 331 12 009 51973 49525 4 084 3 008 2 360 6 037 49525 47355 8 034 13 037 13 052 8 100 47355 45392 16 067 14 058 16 044 13 110 45392 43605 37 071 23 075 19 075 17 088 43605 41966 51 063 42 068 30 088 24 081 41966 40442 58 055 52 062 40 077 29 082 40442 39010 58 056 58 062 45 070 38 082 39010 37653 61 061 62 063 52 066 42 078 37653 36336 66 062 64 062 56 065 45 076 36336 34993 64 064 63 063 58 066 47 077 34993 33596 61 070 62 067 57 069 48 079 33596 32147 65 076 62 068 56 072 49 083 32147 30629 67 075 62 068 58 078 52 086 30629 29027 64 074 59 071 57 081 52 088 29027 27342 61 075 50 078 51 081 49 083 27342 25578 56 076 40 079 45 082 45 080 25578 23736 50 082 35 079 42 087 42 085 23736 21818 48 087 34 079 40 090 40 089 21818 19814 44 088 33 080 36 087 37 086 19814 17718 37 089 32 085 34 086 34 085 17718 15574 27 092 26 094 30 094 31 095 15574 13505 20 097 19 096 23 099 26 106 13505 11626 17 105 15 100 16 108 16 103 11626 9961 16 121 12 107 12 132 7 103 9961 8484 15 131 9 111 9 144 4 140 8484 7175 14 141 8 138 5 132 3 116 7175 6017 14 155 9 169 3 106 3 044 6017 4995 14 169 9 187 1 064 5 012 4995 4098 15 175 8 196 3 328 6 002 4098 3309 16 175 6 197 5 340 7 004 3309 2606 15 171 3 174 6 003 7 014 2606 1988 14 162 3 110 8 033 7 038 1988 1475 12 145 5*084 10 061 10 076 1475 1082 12 120 5*076 11 072 14 092 1082 814 10 105 5 072 10 070 13 093 814 652 7 093 4 070 8*068 9 086 652 560 3*074 4 068 4*064 4*080 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography