DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 77.6 - - 76.8 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 392 - - 231 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1564 - - 2374 - - 1645 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1352 - - 2061 - - 1375 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2108 - - 2919 - - 2190 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 574 - - 3430 - - 2636 - - 1182 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 302 - - 398 - - 296 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 288 - - 269 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -5 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2038 - - -3728 - - -4177 - - -3647 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4146 - - 6647 - - 6367 - - 4209 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8697 - - -7264 - - -8956 - - -10427 ODpotential blCL - - - 10805 - - 10183 - - 11146 - - 10988 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 57 - - 53 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 77.6 - - 76.8 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 50.4 - - 50.9 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 75.3 - - 75.4 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 49.6 - - 50.2 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 392 - - 231 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1564 - - 2374 - - 1645 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99059 37 105 25 110 26 104 21 088 99059 91566 36 112 26 116 23 098 28 088 91566 85795 29 103 20 107 26 097 26 087 85795 81015 20 096 16 114 21 090 26 099 81015 76892 14 102 16 095 15 090 21 088 76892 73239 11 098 16 101 12 097 13 114 73239 69930 9 068 12 099 13 093 9 106 69930 66890 6 063 9 089 9 123 4 104 66890 64077 4 134 4 063 6 067 5 069 64077 61358 7 255 8 237 4 331 8 008 61358 58526 12 320 12 270 17 285 17 323 58526 55597 25 305 20 299 25 288 25 298 55597 52817 36 290 33 293 34 300 32 304 52817 50325 44 299 44 295 46 299 45 302 50325 48102 59 302 58 296 55 298 55 296 48102 46093 70 299 67 296 62 299 62 294 46093 44252 77 296 74 297 70 301 67 296 44252 42547 83 296 83 299 78 301 73 298 42547 40961 84 298 89 298 82 301 76 299 40961 39477 82 299 88 297 81 300 76 299 39477 38081 79 301 83 299 79 301 74 300 38081 36731 79 304 81 302 76 303 73 301 36731 35357 80 306 81 305 76 306 74 303 35357 33926 80 305 81 307 77 308 73 304 33926 32443 79 305 81 310 76 309 70 304 32443 30893 77 306 77 311 73 310 66 305 30893 29266 74 308 71 312 68 311 60 307 29266 27562 72 310 65 313 60 311 53 311 27562 25778 68 312 59 316 54 314 48 313 25778 23912 64 313 57 318 51 315 46 313 23912 21968 61 314 57 318 51 317 47 314 21968 19939 60 312 55 315 51 317 47 320 19939 17820 61 317 58 323 52 325 45 326 17820 15657 54 324 51 331 46 335 40 338 15657 13578 41 333 38 339 31 344 26 347 13578 11697 28 348 27 347 20 356 14 009 11697 10031 20 004 21 354 16 005 10 017 10031 8555 18 014 16 010 13 016 10 352 8555 7246 15 017 16 024 13 025 10 347 7246 6085 12 029 16 026 13 018 9 359 6085 5058 12 046 13 021 12 359 9 349 5058 4155 12 047 10 008 12 336 11 334 4155 3358 9 039 7*347 12 315 14 330 3358 2647 6*015 7*316 12*298 15 325 2647 2019 3*301 7 296 13*278 14 313 2019 1497 3 287 8 283 14 270 13 294 1497 1097 3 285 9 281 13 267 11 269 1097 823 3 283 8 279 13 265 10 257 823 657 3 284 8 278 12 264 9 250 657 561 3 284 7 278 10 263 6*246 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography