DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 69.7 - - 76.2 - - 71.9 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 145 - - 253 - - 67 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1192 - - 2250 - - 699 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 780 - - 1831 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1737 - - 2795 - - 1244 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 125 - - 1176 - - 1423 - - 1021 - - 389 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 227 - - 336 - - 147 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 21 - - 9 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 108 - - 283 - - 286 - - 266 - - 210 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5089 - - -6994 - - -6819 - - -5747 - - -1451 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5651 - - 8731 - - 9614 - - 6991 - - 2012 sfcLCL ODpotential -18555 - - -16835 - - -15067 - - -13876 - - -11932 ODpotential blCL 19116 - - 18572 - - 17862 - - 15120 - - 12493 blCL maxRH 30 - - 28 - - 54 - - 38 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 69.7 - - 76.2 - - 71.9 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.6 - - 34.0 - - 36.4 - - 43.7 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.1 - - 68.6 - - 74.5 - - 71.3 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.1 - - 33.4 - - 35.9 - - 43.3 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 145 - - 253 - - 67 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1192 - - 2250 - - 699 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97512 9 266 17 299 11 311 17 296 6 284 97512 90284 6 019 10 277 14 303 10 290 4 344 90284 84699 5 340 3 287 12 295 5 240 7 320 84699 80053 0 153 2 025 6 254 4 224 9 315 80053 76067 3 075 3 082 4 239 5 286 10 333 76067 72571 5 269 4 087 4 245 5 297 4 335 72571 69407 4 318 4 055 5 189 5 294 3 008 69407 66489 10 294 5 005 6 172 6 292 5 359 66489 63787 8 278 7 322 2 259 8 283 10 317 63787 61177 10 309 6 304 10 298 12 289 12 296 61177 58458 19 321 11 305 18 301 18 313 16 309 58458 55647 25 328 17 319 21 304 26 311 25 305 55647 52970 30 327 23 327 22 304 28 314 26 307 52970 50555 38 338 30 333 26 315 33 322 36 322 50555 48376 44 332 36 323 35 312 41 320 48 320 48376 46384 43 332 39 316 42 311 47 317 55 319 46384 44543 44 337 43 319 46 316 51 317 58 320 44543 42830 51 332 49 326 48 320 55 320 59 323 42830 41228 62 332 58 331 53 324 57 322 61 324 41228 39723 69 332 67 329 59 326 59 326 61 324 39723 38303 73 331 72 326 65 327 60 328 59 324 38303 36929 75 331 73 325 71 326 62 330 54 330 36929 35532 75 331 73 324 73 324 63 330 53 335 35532 34087 74 330 72 324 70 323 62 329 53 332 34087 32599 69 332 68 325 63 325 58 329 51 329 32599 31052 59 333 57 325 55 326 50 331 48 329 31052 29432 53 334 50 323 47 326 46 333 46 334 29432 27732 47 337 46 328 44 331 45 334 44 334 27732 25947 43 337 39 329 41 337 43 335 43 334 25947 24078 42 336 38 331 36 335 37 337 39 335 24078 22131 40 340 37 338 32 337 32 338 35 336 22131 20097 35 345 32 340 29 338 28 337 30 336 20097 17973 31 349 28 342 26 341 26 342 26 340 17973 15803 27 353 24 352 23 346 23 352 22 349 15803 13709 24 355 22 360 19 354 20 003 19 001 13709 11802 21 358 18 001 15 003 16 011 16 010 11802 10108 18 004 15 358 12 003 13 012 13 011 10108 8605 15 009 12 360 11 356 11 009 12 010 8605 7273 13 013 11 005 10 349 11 008 12 009 7273 6096 12 014 10 013 8 346 12 012 12 005 6096 5059 11 013 9 010 8 348 11 019 11 006 5059 4151 7 020 7 356 7 338 10 009 8 012 4151 3352 5 031 5 343 6*316 9 351 7 009 3352 2639 4 026 2 329 6*297 8 333 8 002 2639 2011 3 011 1*288 6 290 8 296 8 350 2011 1489 2 359 2*277 7 284 10*274 6 325 1489 1091 1 056 2 281 7 282 10*268 6 273 1091 819 2 112 2 284 7 282 9 266 7 240 819 655 3*106 2 288 6 282 9 265 5*223 655 561 3*108 2 287 6 281 7 265 3*210 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography