DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/01 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 66.4 - - 74.4 - - 69.8 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 62 - - 153 - - 19 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 506 - - 1421 - - 315 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1048 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 1050 - - 1967 - - 861 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 172 - - 659 - - 1089 - - 982 - - 244 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 132 - - 247 - - 76 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 16 - - 11 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 261 - - 288 - - 279 - - 256 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1804 - - -3744 - - -4405 - - -3341 - - -840 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2365 - - 4794 - - 6372 - - 4202 - - 1401 sfcLCL ODpotential -16484 - - -14337 - - -12809 - - -11706 - - -12013 ODpotential blCL 17045 - - 15387 - - 14776 - - 12567 - - 12574 blCL maxRH 54 - - 51 - - 45 - - 53 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 66.4 - - 74.4 - - 69.8 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 47.9 - - 48.9 - - 53.6 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 66.0 - - 73.3 - - 70.0 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 46.9 - - 48.2 - - 53.1 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 62 - - 153 - - 19 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 506 - - 1421 - - 315 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96929 25 265 22 266 28 269 36 279 26 299 96929 89784 13 268 12 260 23 281 20 290 18 304 89784 84268 12 297 7 298 16 293 15 303 11 324 84268 79680 9 314 5 348 10 306 12 316 9 335 79680 75715 9 329 6 025 3 271 12 322 12 347 75715 72204 11 317 10 010 2 102 9 317 13 354 72204 69040 10 317 9 344 5 012 6 313 11 350 69040 66141 10 316 8 322 8 335 10 328 9 334 66141 63466 11 313 8 304 9 308 12 322 10 321 63466 60887 9 303 8 306 12 299 14 312 11 321 60887 58208 11 310 12 317 14 316 15 307 9 284 58208 55439 13 313 14 309 15 305 16 302 11 268 55439 52796 12 296 15 289 17 278 17 285 15 274 52796 50402 9 274 16 264 18 269 16 277 15 282 50402 48239 4 023 9 240 19 250 16 249 11 271 48239 46271 14 011 6 128 13 182 28 233 12 252 46271 44470 13 333 4 139 11 158 27 200 21 227 44470 42804 7 283 4 269 11 190 16 163 24 183 42804 41247 5 189 20 214 31 189 18 167 20 181 41247 39780 16 158 26 194 29 188 30 182 24 192 39780 38393 18 144 21 173 32 187 37 188 33 191 38393 37051 16 146 20 167 32 184 38 189 38 188 37051 35685 9 160 15 175 23 173 37 186 41 186 35685 34265 6 136 11 158 18 162 30 179 38 182 34265 32791 6 102 12 152 17 165 25 172 34 179 32791 31246 5 070 12 149 17 173 24 177 28 176 31246 29616 1 036 11 147 15 172 21 186 27 185 29616 27899 4 237 8 166 13 183 18 184 22 187 27899 26098 5 236 8 201 13 193 16 183 19 178 26098 24215 3 228 8 192 13 192 16 187 19 184 24215 22254 1 207 9 180 17 193 18 198 19 204 22254 20207 3 226 12 192 19 201 16 214 15 228 20207 18065 4 203 13 200 16 216 12 231 9 251 18065 15878 7 199 12 218 13 238 11 260 6 305 15878 13771 6 235 9 244 9 273 6 290 5 358 13771 11856 6 296 6 277 5 293 3 304 7 020 11856 10156 4 304 3 288 2 321 3 335 7 019 10156 8651 3 304 2 305 3 340 4 358 5 019 8651 7316 1 323 2 330 4 355 4 013 5 019 7316 6134 1 011 3 353 4 014 4 028 5 015 6134 5091 3 009 5 000 5 025 5 030 7 011 5091 4175 4 000 6 004 6 028 6 032 7 014 4175 3369 4 002 6 011 5 036 7 029 6 020 3369 2651 3 023 5 018 3 031 7 013 5 017 2651 2019 3 049 4 022 2*334 6 357 6 001 2019 1495 3 051 3 019 3*285 5 291 8 344 1495 1095 2 031 2*348 4 280 6*260 7 320 1095 821 1 344 2*291 4 277 6*257 5 277 821 655 1*299 2 288 4 275 6 256 5 235 655 561 1*261 1 285 4 276 5 254 4*218 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography