DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.8 - - 59.1 - - - - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 68 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1652 - - 1835 - - - - - 317 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2196 - - 2380 - - - - - 861 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3464 - - 3605 - - - - - 2521 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 216 - - - - - 43 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 153 - - - - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -5 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 384 - - 619 - - - - - -50 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1812 - - 1761 - - - - - 911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -904 - - -234 - - - - - -586 ODpotential blCL - - - 3100 - - 2614 - - - - - 1447 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 250 - - - - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.8 - - 59.1 - - - - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.7 - - 53.2 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 58.5 - - - - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 51.9 - - - - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 68 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1652 - - 1835 - - - - - 317 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 97 - - - - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98574 10 143 6 038 10 106 98574 91109 10 087 7 131 12 074 91109 85355 6 098 6 126 7 110 85355 80600 11 140 7 159 7 087 80600 76524 12 117 9 160 10 059 76524 72915 11 123 11 133 9 095 72915 69636 11 149 10 140 6 158 69636 66619 15 144 11 181 10 178 66619 63804 11 181 12 180 11 178 63804 61057 13 190 8 217 7 232 61057 58187 10 197 9 225 13 226 58187 55209 6 278 7 224 8 238 55209 52361 15 286 11 264 14 270 52361 49795 17 270 14 267 17 298 49795 47503 12 283 13 269 22 299 47503 45428 16 319 9 296 20 288 45428 43521 24 317 21 317 25 312 43521 41756 28 297 30 299 30 311 41756 40114 23 291 26 308 32 315 40114 38578 29 324 33 313 31 324 38578 37136 35 315 30 302 28 331 37136 35746 28 303 20 302 30 341 35746 34340 23 318 28 319 34 353 34340 32890 29 323 38 326 42 356 32890 31403 32 318 37 326 44 353 31403 29866 29 310 29 322 41 005 29866 28274 27 303 20 317 45 011 28274 26629 14 278 8 330 36 011 26629 24920 10 177 3 359 28 014 24920 23135 7 169 3 286 25 017 23135 21274 4 254 7 262 28 019 21274 19327 8 281 6 247 28 024 19327 17293 14 287 8 258 24 039 17293 15217 16 276 10 260 26 047 15217 13215 16 245 9 238 28 050 13215 11395 16 233 8 206 23 050 11395 9780 17 230 7 192 18 051 9780 8348 18 213 6 181 14 057 8348 7076 17 196 6 168 13 067 7076 5947 13 174 7 158 11 068 5947 4949 13 154 9 153 9 061 4949 4070 14 150 12 150 8 054 4070 3294 17 152 12 150 6 042 3294 2601 20*152 12*150 4 021 2601 1988 19*151 11*152 3 356 1988 1478 18 148 10 152 5 307 1478 1086 16 147 9 154 6*294 1086 817 14 146 8 154 6*288 817 654 13 145 7 154 6 286 654 560 9 143 6 153 4 282 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography