DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 76.0 - - 73.0 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 412 - - 215 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1683 - - 2080 - - 1406 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1436 - - 1849 - - 1173 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2228 - - 2625 - - 1952 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1294 - - 2474 - - 948 - - 815 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 385 - - 272 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 270 - - 259 - - 225 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4547 - - -4083 - - -3915 - - -2724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6775 - - 6708 - - 5868 - - 3285 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12385 - - -10221 - - -10128 - - -10745 ODpotential blCL - - - 14613 - - 12846 - - 12080 - - 11306 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 70 - - 67 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 76.0 - - 73.0 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.5 - - 48.6 - - 49.4 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 73.6 - - 71.6 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 48.1 - - 49.1 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 412 - - 215 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1683 - - 2080 - - 1406 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98865 14 096 12 124 10 095 16 070 98865 91435 13 120 12 117 14 122 9 091 91435 85712 20 125 9 132 10 108 8 090 85712 80967 21 120 14 141 9 115 9 089 80967 76867 19 103 14 135 8 106 10 104 76867 73238 16 089 16 117 10 109 13 118 73238 69960 7 100 10 116 10 115 11 128 69960 66954 6 096 12 159 7 155 3 192 66954 64177 8 227 6 134 8 142 3 203 64177 61483 15 234 16 249 10 239 5 242 61483 58658 22 200 25 228 26 241 21 249 58658 55735 20 239 23 239 29 239 31 242 55735 52955 37 258 36 254 38 253 41 252 52955 50460 52 259 50 255 51 259 59 258 50460 48227 62 255 62 255 67 259 77 257 48227 46202 68 251 71 253 78 256 88 255 46202 44341 71 252 74 251 83 252 92 254 44341 42617 72 252 74 249 84 252 94 255 42617 41013 73 252 76 250 85 253 98 256 41013 39516 75 253 79 253 85 256 96 255 39516 38113 75 253 81 255 87 258 92 256 38113 36758 72 252 79 254 87 257 91 256 36758 35379 68 251 74 253 82 255 88 255 35379 33947 65 248 70 253 76 255 82 254 33947 32464 64 245 67 252 72 252 75 252 32464 30917 60 242 64 249 67 250 69 249 30917 29290 53 244 63 247 63 248 64 247 29290 27584 49 245 58 241 60 245 60 246 27584 25797 45 244 51 242 56 245 54 245 25797 23932 40 245 47 245 50 249 45 246 23932 21988 36 244 43 247 46 251 41 249 21988 19959 37 241 40 245 43 248 39 249 19959 17839 37 238 37 242 40 245 37 246 17839 15678 36 236 36 238 37 243 34 242 15678 13599 34 237 34 237 32 240 31 236 13599 11710 31 232 29 231 26 229 28 226 11710 10036 24 220 24 213 23 211 27 205 10036 8555 15 203 19 196 21 187 25 181 8555 7243 9 194 16 181 20 169 22 167 7243 6079 5 209 12 186 14 171 11 159 6079 5051 4 217 8 201 5 184 4 111 5051 4147 5 223 5 237 4 311 4 358 4147 3351 5 234 6 269 7 315 8 339 3351 2640 5*252 8*276 9 297 10 334 2640 2014 4*265 10*273 12*269 10 322 2014 1493 4 269 11 271 13*262 8 291 1493 1095 5 271 11 270 13 260 9 255 1095 821 4 272 11 269 12 258 8 235 821 656 4 274 10 269 12 258 7*227 656 561 4 274 9 269 9 257 5*225 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography