DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 79.6 - - 75.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 368 - - 166 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1449 - - 2197 - - 1072 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1247 - - 1908 - - 772 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1994 - - 2742 - - 1617 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 730 - - 1806 - - 1137 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 378 - - 228 - - - W* B/S - - - 16 - - 8 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 278 - - 255 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3419 - - -4647 - - -4451 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5413 - - 7390 - - 6068 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13006 - - -12913 - - -12974 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 15000 - - 15655 - - 14591 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 42 - - 47 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 79.6 - - 75.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.3 - - 49.2 - - 51.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 77.4 - - 74.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 48.7 - - 51.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 368 - - 166 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1449 - - 2197 - - 1072 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98622 12 156 16 188 8 223 98622 91236 10 146 14 184 10 185 91236 85510 9 135 9 173 4 172 85510 80760 3 134 12 148 7 162 80760 76676 6 226 4 146 9 131 76676 73054 6 201 2 264 6 124 73054 69767 8 197 5 280 4 024 69767 66756 12 192 9 242 8 296 66756 63986 4 240 5 243 8 300 63986 61327 6 283 8 281 10 293 61327 58560 11 269 14 263 15 264 58560 55683 14 257 21 252 22 269 55683 52946 28 277 38 260 47 270 52946 50490 39 265 43 260 52 261 50490 48286 49 275 50 269 50 268 48286 46287 54 281 55 276 51 276 46287 44452 63 286 64 285 62 287 44452 42756 70 284 69 281 73 285 42756 41181 71 275 72 273 74 273 41181 39713 68 268 68 265 69 262 39713 38331 62 266 62 263 59 263 38331 36994 57 269 56 260 44 266 36994 35629 51 273 45 259 43 273 35629 34205 47 276 49 285 44 271 34205 32723 42 273 52 295 44 267 32723 31170 40 274 46 288 42 269 31170 29536 36 274 42 274 41 270 29536 27818 32 284 39 263 42 273 27818 26018 33 275 36 259 40 265 26018 24138 35 267 38 260 41 260 24138 22176 33 279 37 271 42 269 22176 20128 28 276 27 277 30 281 20128 17991 26 277 24 282 23 282 17991 15811 22 285 19 291 18 281 15811 13713 14 295 8 302 10 280 13713 11809 6 311 2 338 3 280 11809 10123 3 340 3 028 4 050 10123 8629 3 018 4 034 5 052 8629 7304 5 032 5 040 3 051 7304 6130 8 016 8 030 8 037 6130 5094 10 015 10 019 10 017 5094 4185 9 018 8 358 11 348 4185 3382 10 013 7*337 11 332 3382 2666 8 002 6*304 10 310 2666 2033 4*331 8 281 10*278 2033 1507 3*289 9 276 11*261 1507 1104 3 285 10 274 11 256 1104 827 3 284 9 273 11 253 827 658 3 283 9 272 10 252 658 562 3 282 8 271 8 251 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography