DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 73.0 - - 71.8 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 342 - - 221 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1052 - - 1234 - - 1035 - - 127 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 991 - - 1196 - - 930 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1597 - - 1779 - - 1580 - - 672 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 365 - - 507 - - 451 - - 613 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 308 - - 251 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 261 - - 251 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1131 - - -3574 - - -2873 - - -1774 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2729 - - 5354 - - 4453 - - 2446 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13398 - - -13983 - - -13226 - - -14031 ODpotential blCL - - - 14995 - - 15762 - - 14806 - - 14703 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 55 - - 60 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.8 - - 73.0 - - 71.8 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 51.8 - - 54.3 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 70.9 - - 70.3 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 50.7 - - 53.6 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 251 - - 342 - - 221 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1052 - - 1234 - - 1035 - - 127 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98537 16 137 4 095 16 079 9 119 98537 91048 17 116 15 128 10 128 11 090 91048 85300 18 108 20 120 12 132 10 109 85300 80552 16 118 18 101 18 117 15 116 80552 76486 19 126 13 103 18 110 16 101 76486 72912 18 116 12 126 9 118 13 089 72912 69688 13 111 10 104 7 102 11 084 69688 66735 7 110 10 091 6 067 8 057 66735 64005 8 127 3 155 4 345 9 016 64005 61364 6 084 4 203 7 278 10 324 61364 58607 4 065 4 215 8 252 11 287 58607 55753 12 310 9 302 8 278 16 286 55753 53038 20 305 17 296 18 287 23 280 53038 50591 24 299 24 285 28 280 27 285 50591 48400 28 296 30 292 29 290 28 293 48400 46421 34 304 30 304 29 302 29 300 46421 44617 44 310 40 313 36 312 33 312 44617 42954 51 308 51 307 50 308 44 314 42954 41406 52 308 54 306 52 303 48 306 41406 39948 54 313 54 312 50 307 45 306 39948 38565 54 318 53 316 51 312 45 312 38565 37219 56 321 54 322 51 316 47 318 37219 35844 58 322 56 323 51 321 47 321 35844 34410 56 322 56 322 52 323 47 324 34410 32920 49 322 53 322 52 323 48 323 32920 31360 45 322 46 323 49 325 48 321 31360 29717 42 320 42 322 41 326 45 323 29717 27994 39 318 40 320 36 324 39 324 27994 26187 33 317 36 319 34 322 34 322 26187 24300 27 318 30 317 31 321 31 321 24300 22331 27 318 27 318 29 319 28 321 22331 20275 29 319 27 319 25 318 25 320 20275 18125 29 321 25 318 23 316 22 317 18125 15930 24 319 23 310 22 308 18 309 15930 13817 19 317 17 307 17 306 13 305 13817 11899 13 319 11 308 11 304 9 293 11899 10196 10 316 8 296 9 302 8 292 10196 8683 8 309 8 290 8 313 7 308 8683 7341 8 304 7 300 7 329 4 322 7341 6152 6 307 4 322 3 358 2 319 6152 5104 5 321 2 012 3 053 1 329 5104 4182 4 338 3 039 5 032 2 000 4182 3371 4 338 4 020 7 346 7 337 3371 2650 4 314 4 333 8 323 11 333 2650 2017 6*271 6*281 9*280 9 320 2017 1493 7*258 8*262 12*254 8 264 1493 1094 7 257 8 261 12 250 10 238 1094 821 7 257 8 261 11 250 10*233 821 656 6 258 8 261 11 249 9*232 656 561 5 259 7 262 9 249 6 232 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography