DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/19 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 66.1 - - 63.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 38 - - -7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1073 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 560 - - 1618 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 370 - - 942 - - 1783 - - 275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 20 - - 156 - - 17 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 040 - - 060 - - 051 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3619 - - -3207 - - -2547 - - -1706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4179 - - 4825 - - 3108 - - 2267 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12695 - - -10677 - - -9338 - - -12038 ODpotential blCL - - - 13255 - - 12295 - - 9899 - - 12599 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 55 - - 58 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 66.1 - - 63.1 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.7 - - 47.3 - - 51.6 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 65.8 - - 63.7 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 46.0 - - 50.4 - - 44.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 38 - - -7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1073 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96457 27 051 25 062 38 076 28 079 96457 89409 35 070 30 073 29 076 23 075 89409 83947 40 068 33 075 25 072 25 060 83947 79377 35 074 28 074 19 065 25 052 79377 75417 28 079 25 063 21 061 26 053 75417 71910 23 074 21 052 28 050 28 058 71910 68738 23 071 16 039 29 045 27 057 68738 65834 22 055 16 043 26 042 24 049 65834 63153 21 027 18 038 25 037 21 039 63153 60563 21 020 22 027 22 030 19 027 60563 57854 22 013 22 021 20 016 16 019 57854 55024 21 004 19 008 19 345 18 355 55024 52303 21 354 18 345 24 321 26 344 52303 49843 22 348 19 331 25 319 31 329 49843 47629 23 332 24 328 25 327 31 323 47629 45607 21 330 23 314 28 322 35 320 45607 43746 23 325 25 311 31 321 36 317 43746 42030 24 322 25 318 31 317 38 316 42030 40443 24 322 26 328 29 318 32 312 40443 38971 27 315 26 324 28 309 27 310 38971 37604 25 310 24 310 22 304 24 299 37604 36294 21 318 22 302 17 304 19 292 36294 34962 21 334 21 311 18 278 18 288 34962 33575 20 331 19 316 14 284 17 283 33575 32135 20 322 19 312 16 283 17 284 32135 30624 22 312 21 295 20 268 18 286 30624 29034 22 312 21 298 20 280 19 279 29034 27364 21 320 20 313 17 303 16 281 27364 25613 18 327 18 317 17 313 13 296 25613 23780 18 334 15 327 15 310 12 311 23780 21867 17 320 14 326 14 314 11 315 21867 19871 15 301 14 308 14 312 10 298 19871 17786 14 306 14 304 14 309 12 294 17786 15652 14 314 16 308 16 311 13 301 15652 13588 15 324 16 313 16 315 16 312 13588 11704 15 325 15 316 15 319 16 320 11704 10030 13 323 15 318 14 326 14 333 10030 8545 10 326 12 324 12 334 9 347 8545 7228 7 339 8 335 9 340 6 356 7228 6062 8 349 7 345 8 342 4 349 6062 5033 8 352 7 353 7 343 4 341 5033 4129 9 350 7 357 7 344 5 340 4129 3334 9 345 8 000 7 351 5 347 3334 2626 8 342 7 009 5 006 4 010 2626 2003 6 348 6*036 4 038 4 039 2003 1485 4 023 5*061 6 057 7 070 1485 1088 5 069 5 060 7 061 10 077 1088 818 5 077 5 059 6 058 10 075 818 654 4 071 4 058 5 056 7*067 654 561 1*040 4 058 3*051 3*057 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography