DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/14 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.5 - - 73.1 - - 79.2 - - 71.5 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 50 - - 322 - - 455 - - 327 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 168 - - 846 - - 1051 - - 793 - - 280 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 898 - - 1117 - - 862 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 712 - - 1391 - - 1597 - - 1338 - - 825 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 359 - - 334 - - 342 - - 334 - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 263 - - 317 - - 258 - - 90 W* B/S 9 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 236 - - 267 - - 273 - - 269 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -753 - - -3871 - - -5273 - - -2992 - - -541 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1465 - - 5263 - - 6871 - - 4330 - - 1366 sfcLCL ODpotential -15255 - - -14573 - - -14725 - - -14049 - - -14643 ODpotential blCL 15967 - - 15964 - - 16322 - - 15387 - - 15468 blCL maxRH 87 - - 56 - - 45 - - 66 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.5 - - 73.1 - - 79.2 - - 71.5 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.0 - - 52.5 - - 51.6 - - 54.8 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 71.0 - - 76.5 - - 69.6 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.8 - - 52.0 - - 51.1 - - 54.5 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 50 - - 322 - - 455 - - 327 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 168 - - 846 - - 1051 - - 793 - - 280 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99057 39 099 39 111 43 105 40 113 37 096 99057 91605 38 101 40 107 34 108 33 112 34 103 91605 85851 37 100 31 100 35 118 29 104 33 106 85851 81065 35 104 26 107 35 112 25 106 29 103 81065 76951 34 102 26 104 25 114 25 105 24 098 76951 73326 28 086 27 100 27 110 24 116 19 096 73326 70056 20 088 23 085 25 097 29 115 20 093 70056 67069 18 102 18 084 19 072 29 093 20 108 67069 64315 16 085 19 096 13 080 20 061 22 080 64315 61668 12 096 18 083 15 103 13 067 16 072 61668 58935 18 109 11 098 13 099 10 086 12 076 58935 56107 16 097 15 131 6 127 3 115 6 030 56107 53415 3 104 16 123 10 167 6 224 9 261 53415 51007 12 273 3 139 8 154 9 241 10 233 51007 48845 16 283 13 294 2 218 8 253 10 247 48845 46869 20 280 26 284 17 288 17 286 16 287 46869 45048 22 279 27 282 25 283 24 285 25 291 45048 43354 23 281 23 277 26 276 26 281 29 289 43354 41767 22 281 19 268 26 266 28 278 31 288 41767 40271 21 282 17 269 24 263 29 279 32 285 40271 38857 20 285 18 282 21 272 25 277 28 282 38857 37487 21 292 20 293 20 285 21 283 25 280 37487 36091 23 293 21 292 21 287 21 284 24 275 36091 34640 25 285 23 288 22 287 21 282 24 274 34640 33136 26 275 25 284 24 285 21 278 24 276 33136 31565 26 272 27 277 26 278 20 268 24 272 31565 29915 27 270 28 268 28 273 25 265 25 262 29915 28185 23 271 27 266 25 273 23 269 25 262 28185 26370 16 269 19 267 20 268 18 263 22 262 26370 24473 17 261 15 251 19 262 17 252 18 242 24473 22501 12 258 13 243 16 260 16 243 16 231 22501 20442 9 239 13 227 11 232 10 236 11 242 20442 18289 9 197 13 209 13 210 11 221 10 234 18289 16087 12 179 16 198 15 204 13 220 9 236 16087 13960 11 182 16 193 16 205 13 224 9 237 13960 12022 9 191 13 195 14 209 12 224 9 234 12022 10297 8 201 10 206 12 210 10 217 8 220 10297 8765 6 219 8 222 9 219 8 210 7 207 8765 7404 5 241 8 242 7 240 7 217 6 203 7404 6197 6 252 7 249 6 248 6 230 6 209 6197 5132 6 253 7 249 5 240 6 237 6 221 5132 4195 4 247 6 254 4 244 5 245 5 239 4195 3373 4 237 6 257 5 265 4 287 4 294 3373 2643 4 255 7 260 7 277 7 289 7 301 2643 2007 6 270 8 265 10*277 12 278 9 284 2007 1484 6 270 8*265 11*274 13*271 12 270 1484 1088 6 264 8*266 11 273 13*269 10*262 1088 818 3*251 8 267 11 273 13 269 9*259 818 654 2*235 7 268 10 273 12 269 8 259 654 561 2 236 6 268 9 273 10 268 6 259 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography