DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 61.3 - - 63.3 - - 61.7 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 62 - - 80 - - 17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1968 - - 2448 - - 1719 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 1285 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 2513 - - 2992 - - 2263 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1571 - - 2494 - - 2130 - - 2249 - - 1488 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 204 - - 238 - - 129 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 145 - - 270 - - 262 - - 278 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -130 - - 337 - - -210 - - -574 - - -468 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 691 - - 2176 - - 3202 - - 2838 - - 1028 sfcLCL ODpotential -1679 - - 26 - - -608 - - -1563 - - -2973 ODpotential blCL 2240 - - 2487 - - 3600 - - 3826 - - 3533 blCL maxRH 99 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 60 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 61.3 - - 63.3 - - 61.7 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.5 - - 53.6 - - 51.1 - - 51.1 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 60.7 - - 62.5 - - 61.7 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.1 - - 53.1 - - 50.6 - - 50.6 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 62 - - 80 - - 17 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1968 - - 2448 - - 1719 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 85 - - 101 - - 101 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96834 47 275 55 281 46 277 53 268 50 281 96834 89654 39 279 39 269 43 277 41 274 38 289 89654 84134 34 276 30 275 35 269 30 280 36 277 84134 79542 31 268 27 278 28 272 24 278 30 269 79542 75557 28 257 28 260 28 266 22 262 24 267 75557 72006 24 251 26 241 28 246 24 249 22 269 72006 68764 24 253 24 233 26 243 21 251 18 262 68764 65755 28 257 23 235 26 244 21 257 18 257 65755 62943 30 251 26 239 26 240 25 249 25 255 62943 60220 29 241 28 242 26 235 31 243 32 253 60220 57386 26 248 29 243 29 243 31 250 31 252 57386 54453 32 260 33 252 34 249 36 257 33 257 54453 51664 44 262 41 257 38 252 42 253 38 255 51664 49163 49 257 45 254 42 253 46 252 41 251 49163 46926 48 255 45 248 46 252 50 250 45 252 46926 44907 44 256 46 248 48 253 52 249 51 252 44907 43067 40 260 47 249 51 252 51 250 52 252 43067 41375 41 264 45 247 49 247 50 249 55 253 41375 39810 42 264 41 247 42 244 50 247 58 252 39810 38357 40 264 38 244 44 241 47 246 58 249 38357 37005 37 265 37 242 48 231 44 245 57 246 37005 35705 36 266 36 241 46 225 43 245 56 243 35705 34378 36 267 37 239 43 226 44 241 56 242 34378 32993 36 268 38 238 42 229 44 235 55 241 32993 31555 34 270 38 239 40 233 44 233 53 240 31555 30050 31 273 37 241 39 238 44 235 50 240 30050 28469 30 276 37 245 37 243 44 236 47 239 28469 26811 30 279 37 249 35 246 41 237 46 238 26811 25073 24 277 36 250 35 247 40 238 45 236 25073 23259 23 262 34 252 33 246 38 240 42 235 23259 21374 27 246 30 255 31 245 35 237 38 236 21374 19410 28 234 25 244 27 244 30 237 33 238 19410 17362 23 229 26 226 27 234 26 237 29 238 17362 15274 21 238 26 231 27 229 24 229 25 234 15274 13267 18 234 21 233 20 226 18 218 20 230 13267 11444 10 242 17 233 15 225 15 219 17 225 11444 9824 11 251 11 232 11 228 13 228 14 226 9824 8383 11 239 13 213 12 233 12 235 11 219 8383 7103 14 219 19 204 15 220 12 231 12 206 7103 5968 18 212 19 201 17 205 14 213 15 193 5968 4964 17 215 13 209 14 200 11 201 12 185 4964 4080 13 224 10 224 9 206 7 200 6 189 4080 3301 9 237 7 238 6*229 4 233 3 222 3301 2605 6 252 5*257 6*257 5*276 4 266 2605 1991 5 270 4*266 6 261 6*279 7 274 1991 1480 4 281 4 269 6 263 7 278 8 276 1480 1087 3 289 4 271 6 264 7 278 8 273 1087 817 1 265 4 271 6 264 6 277 7 266 817 654 1*139 3 274 6 265 6 277 5 248 654 560 1*145 3 275 5 264 5 277 3*239 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography