DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 87.0 - - - - - 69.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 107 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 420 - - 2053 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1389 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 965 - - 2599 - - - - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1067 - - 1561 - - - - - 332 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 112 - - 261 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 43 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 006 - - - - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4677 - - -4574 - - - - - -3070 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5643 - - 7173 - - - - - 3632 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10972 - - -9952 - - - - - -11527 ODpotential blCL - - - 11937 - - 12551 - - - - - 12089 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 37 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 250 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 87.0 - - - - - 69.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - - - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 86.2 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 56.4 - - - - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 107 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 420 - - 2053 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 24 321 16 305 16 287 96488 89350 5 314 5 308 8 294 89350 83891 6 140 3 192 1 020 83891 79369 11 135 2 243 3 038 79369 75473 9 124 4 281 4 004 75473 72038 5 075 5 246 5 346 72038 68930 11 035 3 292 9 010 68930 66076 10 015 6 334 10 354 66076 63442 9 328 7 351 3 315 63442 60902 11 269 11 317 2 273 60902 58253 16 277 14 287 9 299 58253 55495 23 282 20 274 20 296 55495 52836 28 274 24 271 31 297 52836 50402 27 265 25 263 28 270 50402 48189 28 261 28 251 32 262 48189 46167 32 258 31 250 36 252 46167 44313 36 253 37 244 39 244 44313 42605 42 236 42 236 41 238 42605 41026 43 228 46 228 41 234 41026 39557 42 230 45 224 43 230 39557 38184 46 233 42 225 45 228 38184 36856 51 228 43 228 45 227 36856 35503 47 224 47 227 46 224 35503 34095 43 223 45 224 48 218 34095 32634 41 215 40 225 47 216 32634 31103 38 216 38 222 42 218 31103 29488 36 220 38 217 40 223 29488 27791 35 217 37 215 38 223 27791 26011 34 216 36 215 37 220 26011 24149 33 215 35 214 35 218 24149 22207 32 214 32 215 30 216 22207 20181 27 210 27 212 25 212 20181 18067 25 203 23 206 20 211 18067 15910 22 204 17 209 14 209 15910 13826 12 204 9 194 10 190 13826 11926 3 140 6 150 9 188 11926 10235 6 101 6 141 9 197 10235 8731 10 091 6 128 9 210 8731 7394 10 079 5 105 9 220 7394 6208 9 073 4 099 8 219 6208 5158 6 071 2 121 7 212 5158 4233 4 066 2 168 4 215 4233 3418 3 062 2 159 2 262 3418 2689 4 073 1*134 4 303 2689 2047 5 087 1*061 6 302 2047 1513 7 094 1 018 10 281 1513 1105 6*091 1 357 11 262 1105 827 4*082 2 356 9 243 827 658 4 080 1 357 7*227 658 562 3 080 2 357 4*210 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography