DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/24 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 60.4 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 294 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1915 - - 2218 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1506 - - 1873 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2459 - - 2762 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 660 - - 783 - - - - - 2133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 358 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 265 - - - - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -301 - - -187 - - - - - -788 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2760 - - 2949 - - - - - 1348 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5826 - - -4467 - - - - - -1179 ODpotential blCL - - - 8285 - - 7229 - - - - - 1739 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 83 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.7 - - 60.4 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 49.3 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 58.6 - - - - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 48.1 - - - - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 294 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1915 - - 2218 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 33 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97410 27 278 31 281 33 290 97410 90044 28 301 26 285 26 302 90044 84384 23 299 22 296 21 289 84384 79705 17 277 23 293 20 277 79705 75679 16 250 23 275 19 278 75679 72098 11 263 19 267 17 274 72098 68842 16 259 20 268 18 286 68842 65851 16 260 24 257 20 286 65851 63076 22 290 22 267 19 282 63076 60378 27 292 24 276 24 281 60378 57553 31 287 28 275 32 280 57553 54614 37 284 34 279 37 275 54614 51812 45 280 39 279 41 274 51812 49299 48 272 44 278 46 274 49299 47047 49 270 50 275 50 270 47047 45005 51 274 53 272 52 271 45005 43145 53 273 51 274 55 273 43145 41448 52 269 52 275 58 272 41448 39888 49 270 55 276 59 272 39888 38435 47 272 56 278 63 277 38435 37075 45 271 55 279 64 279 37075 35770 44 268 55 279 66 278 35770 34446 41 267 54 279 72 280 34446 33066 40 268 52 281 74 281 33066 31632 35 267 51 284 67 277 31632 30125 23 257 45 282 64 277 30125 28537 14 223 35 282 63 283 28537 26866 15 223 28 276 54 288 26866 25115 16 233 12 250 43 286 25115 23289 14 244 6 260 35 292 23289 21392 17 260 12 288 23 285 21392 19418 22 270 13 292 13 290 19418 17357 21 286 13 294 12 283 17357 15259 13 287 10 298 6 280 15259 13245 9 298 6 297 3 293 13245 11416 15 295 3 250 2 286 11416 9792 15 282 4 207 3 264 9792 8347 14 269 9 240 5 249 8347 7064 14 261 9 228 7 217 7064 5926 11 258 10 209 9 205 5926 4921 8 257 10 200 7 212 4921 4039 6 248 9 201 3 263 4039 3264 5 254 7*226 6 302 3264 2575 6*269 9*257 11 284 2575 1970 7*271 11 264 15 274 1970 1467 7 270 11 266 16 270 1467 1080 7 269 11 267 15 267 1080 814 6 269 11 267 13 265 814 653 6 268 10 268 11 264 653 560 5 268 8 268 7*263 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography