DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 55.0 - - 61.6 - - 57.9 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 2 - - 56 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 941 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 560 - - 1485 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 97 - - 317 - - 526 - - 1462 - - 606 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 18 - - 159 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 312 - - 297 - - 284 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2657 - - -3172 - - -784 - - -351 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3217 - - 3732 - - 2269 - - 912 - - 560 sfcLCL ODpotential -15039 - - -13187 - - -8238 - - -686 - - -9321 ODpotential blCL 15599 - - 13747 - - 9723 - - 1247 - - 9881 blCL maxRH 52 - - 51 - - 78 - - 97 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 55.0 - - 61.6 - - 57.9 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.5 - - 41.1 - - 53.6 - - 55.8 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 55.4 - - 61.0 - - 58.2 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.6 - - 40.2 - - 52.6 - - 55.6 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 2 - - 56 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 941 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 90 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96313 13 055 17 002 20 346 21 028 16 001 96313 89277 25 052 16 050 15 032 17 035 22 052 89277 83801 20 038 13 058 14 030 17 034 20 044 83801 79264 13 030 16 057 11 046 16 031 21 031 79264 75350 13 022 17 052 14 067 14 045 15 036 75350 71888 16 038 14 041 15 068 15 052 17 066 71888 68760 18 043 11 026 12 058 14 049 20 064 68760 65888 19 026 11 008 12 027 11 047 15 042 65888 63226 16 016 12 358 14 003 8 039 13 019 63226 60641 16 009 9 357 12 351 5 005 13 356 60641 57932 16 349 12 354 12 346 8 357 7 355 57932 55118 15 330 13 354 12 343 10 355 5 019 55118 52419 9 325 10 010 7 346 8 357 5 002 52419 49967 5 022 9 021 5 024 5 009 3 018 49967 47746 6 100 3 077 4 042 4 042 2 079 47746 45712 9 100 8 130 4 148 4 158 3 127 45712 43839 3 084 8 119 9 164 9 199 4 232 43839 42113 5 203 4 155 9 208 14 206 10 245 42113 40515 7 205 6 204 14 220 15 204 14 234 40515 39027 10 227 6 213 13 208 16 212 17 235 39027 37631 15 234 9 215 15 212 20 223 19 235 37631 36286 21 236 17 226 21 224 23 222 21 229 36286 34923 27 230 27 225 29 226 30 220 28 225 34923 33513 29 228 33 220 35 221 36 219 33 221 33513 32055 31 229 34 218 37 218 38 219 35 217 32055 30534 31 226 31 215 38 218 42 220 38 216 30534 28935 29 220 27 212 34 211 43 218 41 216 28935 27259 22 207 23 205 26 199 39 213 40 214 27259 25507 15 173 18 185 21 190 31 203 33 208 25507 23682 13 166 16 167 19 174 22 189 25 200 23682 21785 12 168 16 157 20 157 19 172 21 189 21785 19806 11 174 16 155 20 163 19 178 19 192 19806 17734 9 181 15 155 17 167 15 192 12 203 17734 15615 7 171 13 164 13 174 11 196 8 195 15615 13566 7 163 11 187 10 193 10 201 7 189 13566 11695 7 177 10 195 10 206 9 208 6 197 11695 10027 8 188 11 185 12 199 11 202 9 192 10027 8543 9 192 13 177 13 191 11 198 11 184 8543 7226 9 209 14 178 12 194 10 207 11 179 7226 6057 10 214 13 186 11 206 9 214 11 178 6057 5024 11 199 13 193 11 211 10 207 12 175 5024 4117 11 181 12 194 10 202 10 190 11 173 4117 3320 10 171 11 191 9 188 8 175 8 166 3320 2613 6 167 9 189 6 181 4 153 5 142 2613 1992 4 187 6 201 1*230 2 301 3 093 1992 1478 4 214 4 250 5*298 6 289 3 042 1478 1086 4 198 4 272 6 297 7 287 3 034 1086 817 3 137 1 289 5 296 7 285 4 049 817 653 3*067 2 004 5 295 6*284 2 051 653 560 2*039 2*312 4 296 4*284 1*066 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography