DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/22 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 57.7 - - - - - 53.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 158 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2980 - - 2264 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2106 - - 1686 - - - - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3525 - - 2808 - - - - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2503 - - 2479 - - - - - 2666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 306 - - 296 - - - - - 7 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 271 - - - - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 630 - - 662 - - - - - -744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2895 - - 2146 - - - - - 1304 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -85 - - 262 - - - - - -2068 ODpotential blCL - - - 3610 - - 2546 - - - - - 2628 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 90 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 190 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.6 - - 57.7 - - - - - 53.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 50.4 - - - - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.8 - - 56.5 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.8 - - 49.2 - - - - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 158 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2980 - - 2264 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 60 - - - - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97526 32 277 37 284 33 291 97526 90165 32 281 36 289 27 302 90165 84502 33 281 30 283 28 301 84502 79818 23 281 24 277 20 290 79818 75784 11 302 16 272 14 299 75784 72203 18 305 17 281 17 306 72203 68954 20 269 20 268 18 301 68954 65959 14 240 17 244 21 286 65959 63185 16 268 14 233 22 273 63185 60506 24 274 16 267 24 276 60506 57710 31 279 29 267 29 270 57710 54805 36 281 33 275 33 280 54805 52018 44 276 40 284 39 279 52018 49496 50 267 49 281 45 275 49496 47231 52 274 56 278 48 275 47231 45185 58 277 63 275 61 282 45185 43325 64 278 66 272 68 281 43325 41623 76 280 68 282 75 284 41623 40056 87 281 88 285 87 284 40056 38597 95 279 101 281 92 282 38597 37225 96 277 102 279 90 282 37225 35902 95 275 101 280 88 284 35902 34558 91 275 99 283 85 287 34558 33161 87 276 100 285 84 287 33161 31711 83 277 99 287 82 288 31711 30193 78 278 77 288 81 290 30193 28593 73 278 65 284 77 294 28593 26914 67 275 64 283 71 290 26914 25160 65 278 59 285 58 290 25160 23335 62 281 54 289 52 295 23335 21437 56 286 48 289 49 295 21437 19457 52 293 44 287 44 298 19457 17391 49 294 45 290 40 305 17391 15280 48 298 45 295 34 311 15280 13245 40 303 37 299 28 310 13245 11400 26 300 25 304 21 303 11400 9770 19 296 14 307 18 312 9770 8331 14 291 9 306 14 321 8331 7057 13 281 7 297 5 019 7057 5930 14 272 7 283 9 059 5930 4935 13 269 8 275 10 039 4935 4058 10*264 11 271 12 018 4058 3285 7*251 11*269 12 007 3285 2593 6 238 11*269 12 356 2593 1982 5 235 10 270 10 343 1982 1474 5 234 9 271 8 326 1474 1084 5 234 8 272 7 307 1084 816 4 233 8 273 6 288 816 653 4 233 7 273 5 271 653 560 4 234 6 274 3*255 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography