DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 74.8 - - 70.5 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 423 - - 273 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1021 - - 1121 - - 1009 - - 390 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 994 - - 1152 - - 970 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1566 - - 1666 - - 1554 - - 934 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 280 - - 346 - - 326 - - 577 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 316 - - 264 - - 83 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 279 - - 275 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1139 - - -2205 - - -1281 - - -290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2705 - - 3871 - - 2835 - - 1224 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10319 - - -9949 - - -9967 - - -10838 ODpotential blCL - - - 11885 - - 11615 - - 11521 - - 11772 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 75 - - 85 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 50 - - 40 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.3 - - 74.8 - - 70.5 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.3 - - 59.8 - - 60.0 - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 72.4 - - 68.7 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 59.4 - - 59.7 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 423 - - 273 - - 22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1021 - - 1121 - - 1009 - - 390 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 0 - - 40 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99258 26 127 26 107 26 095 27 095 99258 91803 31 105 29 109 22 117 19 086 91803 86039 28 093 28 106 22 107 20 099 86039 81247 21 096 21 100 21 090 21 098 81247 77120 18 089 18 100 18 092 19 096 77120 73476 15 093 15 092 16 106 14 085 73476 70183 10 102 12 096 11 104 11 084 70183 67166 8 142 6 093 8 065 9 091 67166 64379 8 107 4 185 4 009 10 058 64379 61688 7 067 5 199 3 234 7 000 61688 58899 3 323 4 230 4 251 6 319 58899 56021 5 221 10 215 7 223 8 239 56021 53283 9 196 13 206 13 224 17 230 53283 50826 13 196 21 197 23 212 23 216 50826 48630 14 219 21 199 24 212 24 206 48630 46636 20 222 23 215 28 214 28 206 46636 44800 26 214 28 217 32 210 29 206 44800 43091 29 208 33 211 31 214 26 221 43091 41492 33 207 37 206 35 222 31 238 41492 39993 37 206 39 206 38 221 37 236 39993 38590 37 202 40 205 34 220 41 234 38590 37239 34 201 32 206 32 222 41 237 37239 35863 28 206 26 215 33 226 36 235 35863 34427 25 212 21 220 29 233 32 240 34427 32934 22 214 20 217 24 239 26 235 32934 31371 19 216 18 213 17 245 18 226 31371 29728 15 218 17 214 14 236 13 224 29728 28004 13 214 16 207 13 222 12 226 28004 26201 15 209 17 202 15 204 12 212 26201 24321 14 208 12 198 10 189 11 207 24321 22364 11 197 10 186 7 190 7 188 22364 20324 10 191 8 190 9 197 8 180 20324 18195 12 192 9 201 12 195 11 189 18195 16020 10 182 8 198 11 198 12 192 16020 13920 6 184 6 196 10 200 11 200 13920 12004 8 215 8 225 10 201 10 205 12004 10294 10 224 10 234 10 214 9 213 10294 8770 11 229 11 237 11 227 10 225 8770 7412 11 223 12 223 12 237 11 236 7412 6207 10 211 12 222 13 231 11 228 6207 5139 10 201 12 223 13 221 11 213 5139 4201 11 194 11 216 10 204 10 195 4201 3377 12 189 9 203 7 201 7 196 3377 2647 11 190 6 217 7 244 7 235 2647 2012 6*214 7*262 12*270 11 260 2012 1489 6*275 10*278 12*275 10 271 1489 1092 7 281 11 279 12 275 8*271 1092 820 6 283 10 279 12 274 7*270 820 655 6 284 10 280 11 275 6 270 655 561 5 283 8 280 9 275 5 269 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography