DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/29 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 76.1 - - - - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 462 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1041 - - 1229 - - - - - 308 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1023 - - 1249 - - - - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1586 - - 1775 - - - - - 852 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 300 - - 425 - - - - - 472 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 277 - - 336 - - - - - 60 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 252 - - - - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2433 - - -3210 - - - - - -1424 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4019 - - 4985 - - - - - 2277 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11939 - - -11778 - - - - - -12713 ODpotential blCL - - - 13525 - - 13553 - - - - - 13565 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 63 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.9 - - 76.1 - - - - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.4 - - 56.4 - - - - - 57.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 73.6 - - - - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 56.0 - - - - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 462 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1041 - - 1229 - - - - - 308 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99319 32 114 38 104 40 104 99319 91815 35 120 30 116 30 106 91815 86043 35 114 26 128 26 086 86043 81266 30 113 26 120 25 090 81266 77144 29 109 28 112 20 099 77144 73500 24 108 28 115 18 120 73500 70210 19 103 25 120 19 115 70210 67198 13 072 18 116 17 118 67198 64423 6 116 12 129 14 112 64423 61759 9 148 15 171 2 076 61759 59009 2 182 15 183 9 249 59009 56170 15 234 15 225 16 239 56170 53466 22 248 23 252 26 258 53466 51042 41 246 41 255 42 259 51042 48870 44 250 45 252 46 252 48870 46880 41 273 41 278 46 254 46880 45036 56 288 56 289 44 274 45036 43317 55 279 57 286 51 290 43317 41707 45 268 49 282 56 295 41707 40192 38 265 41 275 55 297 40192 38763 37 273 40 271 52 296 38763 37384 39 278 41 270 47 292 37384 35984 40 276 43 271 44 288 35984 34533 41 278 44 275 41 286 34533 33032 41 279 42 278 36 281 33032 31466 39 274 40 279 36 275 31466 29820 38 271 37 278 34 275 29820 28095 34 278 32 282 32 280 28095 26289 34 291 30 287 28 284 26289 24400 27 297 27 295 23 288 24400 22426 18 287 19 290 18 285 22426 20364 12 263 16 274 17 284 20364 18208 10 260 15 259 14 283 18208 16009 9 279 12 263 10 278 16009 13892 10 296 8 292 5 308 13892 11968 10 316 9 329 7 000 11968 10259 9 324 10 333 9 000 10259 8741 8 325 10 326 9 354 8741 7391 7 334 9 323 8 351 7391 6194 5 347 8 321 7 340 6194 5135 4 355 7 319 7 326 5135 4204 3 338 7 317 9 318 4204 3385 3 302 7 312 12 319 3385 2658 4 270 8 292 12 323 2658 2023 6*255 10*262 10 301 2023 1497 7*254 12*253 11 260 1497 1096 8 256 13 252 12*240 1096 822 7 258 12 252 12*235 822 656 7 259 11 252 11 234 656 561 6 260 10 252 7 233 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography