DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.9 - - 58.6 - - 66.2 - - 65.5 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 18 - - 71 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 144 - - 1244 - - 776 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 688 - - 1789 - - 1321 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 131 - - 910 - - 935 - - 1647 - - 571 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 62 - - 192 - - 69 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 42 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 287 - - 016 - - 067 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3169 - - -3483 - - -3153 - - -2432 - - -1409 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3730 - - 4171 - - 4942 - - 3753 - - 1970 sfcLCL ODpotential -12936 - - -11221 - - -9183 - - -8332 - - -9904 ODpotential blCL 13496 - - 11909 - - 10972 - - 9653 - - 10465 blCL maxRH 42 - - 51 - - 52 - - 55 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.9 - - 58.6 - - 66.2 - - 65.5 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.3 - - 42.8 - - 46.9 - - 51.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 58.5 - - 65.7 - - 65.8 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.9 - - 41.4 - - 45.7 - - 50.0 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 18 - - 71 - - -2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 144 - - 1244 - - 776 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95915 39 285 26 309 29 293 29 299 24 286 95915 88920 23 310 24 317 23 314 26 307 20 305 88920 83534 16 326 18 303 18 320 21 324 19 309 83534 79054 14 338 12 282 18 319 17 327 13 298 79054 75178 9 333 3 277 15 302 13 304 12 302 75178 71735 11 324 7 330 11 300 9 307 13 304 71735 68595 17 299 14 313 16 313 12 326 15 319 68595 65698 22 288 16 293 18 303 16 305 24 317 65698 63016 23 277 14 292 17 294 19 289 24 302 63016 60414 32 286 24 295 19 293 18 277 18 279 60414 57665 37 276 30 283 23 285 19 274 25 306 57665 54792 32 274 33 275 26 288 40 295 40 294 54792 52047 39 273 38 272 46 287 49 289 41 289 52047 49562 46 269 51 272 56 273 44 286 40 298 49562 47326 55 266 52 263 48 259 37 285 37 297 47326 45301 46 261 41 253 38 252 31 280 30 297 45301 43456 34 263 29 282 28 259 30 294 24 320 43456 41763 36 286 36 293 30 294 31 306 28 341 41763 40199 37 296 40 294 38 302 33 314 32 341 40199 38746 32 298 31 294 34 307 34 308 31 339 38746 37390 24 302 18 276 25 297 23 321 25 344 37390 36088 15 322 6 173 8 234 21 341 23 000 36088 34771 15 352 17 066 4 017 15 007 18 012 34771 33406 18 009 34 029 28 029 20 028 17 038 33406 31994 20 008 34 022 36 035 23 017 19 044 31994 30515 13 069 26 024 32 040 23 016 22 055 30515 28954 29 080 19 037 26 045 22 024 25 052 28954 27308 39 073 22 052 22 055 21 040 27 047 27308 25575 37 070 27 056 23 073 21 060 27 056 25575 23757 24 054 28 063 24 077 20 074 26 069 23757 21857 15 017 26 066 20 078 15 075 25 085 21857 19868 10 353 26 065 21 089 13 092 22 085 19868 17785 7 360 20 075 17 096 13 111 17 090 17785 15650 6 021 9 062 9 074 10 085 13 101 15650 13587 6 022 7 045 7 039 10 057 8 072 13587 11708 7 016 6 045 7 038 9 054 9 066 11708 10037 8 014 7 036 8 048 9 057 7 078 10037 8554 8 016 10 039 11 053 9 058 5 071 8554 7235 9 020 14 044 13 060 9 057 5 046 7235 6065 11 021 14 049 12 063 9 052 6 029 6065 5033 11 029 12 048 10 056 8 042 8 023 5033 4127 9 041 11 047 9 044 9 035 9 017 4127 3332 9 044 11 045 10 039 9 031 9 011 3332 2625 9 042 10 042 9 035 6 035 8 006 2625 2002 8 045 8 035 6*031 6 049 7 012 2002 1485 6 061 6 034 4*020 6*065 8 049 1485 1089 5 084 4 045 4 015 6*066 10 071 1089 819 3 099 1*042 3 015 6 067 9 077 819 654 1 076 0*282 3 014 5 067 6*074 654 561 0*022 0 289 3 014 4 065 3*065 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography