DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 69.9 - - 76.6 - - 68.9 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 50 - - 127 - - 10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 363 - - 1963 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 1337 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 561 - - 908 - - 2508 - - 562 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 93 - - 1103 - - 1389 - - 1434 - - 550 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 109 - - 259 - - 23 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 038 - - 101 - - 256 - - 282 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -1 - - 2 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2774 - - -6334 - - -6564 - - -3341 - - -9 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3336 - - 7243 - - 9073 - - 3903 - - 570 sfcLCL ODpotential -13558 - - -13829 - - -12635 - - -9010 - - -8713 ODpotential blCL 14119 - - 14737 - - 15143 - - 9572 - - 9274 blCL maxRH 45 - - 31 - - 29 - - 56 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 69.9 - - 76.6 - - 68.9 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 41.8 - - 40.8 - - 39.1 - - 54.0 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.5 - - 69.7 - - 75.8 - - 69.3 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.0 - - 39.9 - - 38.3 - - 53.5 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 50 - - 127 - - 10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 363 - - 1963 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96776 37 287 42 287 52 293 44 288 53 293 96776 89645 27 294 29 299 34 292 31 295 37 300 89645 84144 21 298 24 300 26 300 23 301 27 294 84144 79590 20 300 21 296 25 290 28 303 30 305 79590 75650 17 292 20 287 16 284 27 296 35 309 75650 72135 16 296 21 269 25 292 28 281 34 289 72135 68943 26 292 22 268 32 286 25 276 30 290 68943 66012 31 273 20 259 28 276 21 278 27 281 66012 63308 27 250 21 246 27 271 23 279 22 270 63308 60690 26 281 27 259 32 262 26 255 27 253 60690 57978 37 278 32 257 33 250 34 249 37 249 57978 55205 36 256 37 247 41 245 47 253 42 240 55205 52564 29 247 39 249 43 238 48 247 41 242 52564 50164 39 280 46 270 47 255 51 250 49 254 50164 47998 56 281 54 269 54 261 59 257 61 259 47998 46027 59 277 54 265 60 265 71 262 76 261 46027 44216 56 272 57 262 64 264 74 261 84 258 44216 42535 51 266 54 259 65 261 68 255 78 253 42535 40967 44 260 47 251 55 256 60 255 69 251 40967 39497 35 261 43 248 45 246 53 251 65 253 39497 38110 32 273 39 250 40 241 45 238 57 246 38110 36763 33 286 36 258 39 247 39 239 50 230 36763 35392 35 297 37 270 41 252 38 243 44 230 35392 33966 36 305 38 277 40 257 42 247 41 231 33966 32487 34 310 34 278 34 256 38 243 41 226 32487 30935 29 311 27 271 32 248 37 232 43 224 30935 29299 19 312 22 260 28 236 36 226 38 227 29299 27583 12 289 16 242 26 228 29 224 33 225 27583 25789 10 298 9 237 19 217 23 219 29 227 25789 23916 7 331 3 221 14 190 19 199 25 224 23916 21970 2 075 7 172 14 178 18 188 23 211 21970 19949 7 185 13 192 17 184 18 192 22 204 19949 17846 9 202 15 203 18 186 19 193 22 202 17846 15702 7 190 12 197 17 189 19 194 18 202 15702 13636 8 176 14 192 17 196 18 200 16 203 13636 11754 10 191 16 211 16 208 16 204 17 193 11754 10080 11 212 17 219 15 208 14 198 18 180 10080 8592 11 207 17 211 16 201 15 195 19 176 8592 7269 13 193 18 201 19 198 17 195 20 181 7269 6097 14 187 17 193 20 198 18 195 18 185 6097 5061 14 184 15 189 18 197 17 191 16 186 5061 4152 12 176 12 187 13 189 14 176 14 180 4152 3350 10 168 10 187 8 177 12 160 12 167 3350 2635 8 162 7 186 3*187 6 145 8 148 2635 2007 7 154 6 185 3*230 1 106 4 120 2007 1487 7 143 4 176 3 254 5 289 2 282 1487 1090 7 123 3*151 4 259 7 284 6 273 1090 819 7 097 2*114 4 263 7 283 6 259 819 655 6*060 2 096 4 265 7*282 5*241 655 561 4*038 1 089 3 266 5*282 3*223 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography