DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.8 - - 64.6 - - 72.3 - - 67.9 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 115 - - 199 - - 39 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1077 - - 2683 - - 1014 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 545 - - 2063 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1622 - - 3227 - - 1558 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 188 - - 974 - - 1572 - - 2349 - - 539 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 205 - - 332 - - 142 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 28 - - 15 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 4 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 147 - - 230 - - 291 - - 272 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 3 - - 4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1160 - - -3566 - - -5297 - - -3851 - - -1214 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1720 - - 5188 - - 8525 - - 5409 - - 1775 sfcLCL ODpotential -12971 - - -12387 - - -12917 - - -11978 - - -10943 ODpotential blCL 13531 - - 14009 - - 16144 - - 13536 - - 11504 blCL maxRH 64 - - 50 - - 33 - - 45 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.8 - - 64.6 - - 72.3 - - 67.9 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 44.2 - - 37.1 - - 46.4 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 63.7 - - 70.9 - - 67.8 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 43.3 - - 36.3 - - 46.0 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 115 - - 199 - - 39 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1077 - - 2683 - - 1014 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97404 9 309 14 296 10 294 6 258 16 280 97404 90106 8 025 8 035 6 305 6 301 5 335 90106 84489 14 031 13 016 6 328 7 351 10 029 84489 79873 12 010 10 004 7 324 9 000 11 030 79873 75924 9 323 14 331 4 332 10 003 5 041 75924 72417 1 183 7 303 5 260 8 298 4 290 72417 69219 6 302 10 313 4 211 5 249 5 249 69219 66261 8 259 14 271 8 273 7 250 8 251 66261 63506 4 178 12 243 12 261 12 266 9 259 63506 60823 6 308 9 239 10 255 18 269 16 273 60823 58022 12 294 9 246 12 246 18 254 19 265 58022 55124 16 292 7 276 10 237 15 235 18 255 55124 52356 23 291 17 291 15 275 16 249 18 260 52356 49855 31 294 25 293 24 286 20 272 21 267 49855 47603 34 303 27 300 27 288 25 278 24 268 47603 45562 35 313 28 309 24 285 26 278 23 274 45562 43716 35 324 27 317 18 289 23 287 22 288 43716 42040 35 334 27 328 14 308 17 299 19 295 42040 40494 35 345 28 340 17 337 15 333 16 303 40494 39049 38 355 30 350 25 345 22 346 16 317 39049 37688 44 359 34 356 32 346 28 345 19 330 37688 36372 50 000 37 359 34 347 30 345 22 338 36372 35033 49 001 36 003 34 350 30 343 24 340 35033 33640 45 006 34 008 32 354 29 343 26 338 33640 32195 42 012 30 008 27 353 26 350 25 335 32195 30682 40 013 30 005 23 350 24 355 21 337 30682 29088 41 011 32 003 23 355 23 358 19 340 29088 27411 43 014 33 360 25 002 24 003 18 345 27411 25650 43 013 33 004 27 003 26 006 18 351 25650 23807 41 012 32 010 26 007 26 005 19 354 23807 21885 38 018 30 011 25 013 25 007 20 354 21885 19878 35 020 27 014 24 015 24 010 19 356 19878 17778 32 018 25 016 21 014 23 010 18 004 17778 15629 30 024 23 020 20 014 22 009 17 012 15629 13553 28 029 21 030 17 017 18 011 15 014 13553 11663 26 031 19 039 15 022 17 015 13 011 11663 9984 22 034 17 049 13 027 16 022 12 016 9984 8498 17 036 12 045 9 028 9 030 8 021 8498 7187 12 026 8 026 4 009 1 351 3 331 7187 6030 10 006 7 010 2 324 1 204 3 231 6030 5011 8 002 5 014 2 350 1 086 4 183 5011 4116 8 002 4 011 3 338 2 022 2 129 4116 3328 9 357 4 358 3*313 2 330 2 017 3328 2624 9 356 3 348 4*302 4 297 5 352 2624 2003 7 356 1*325 4 294 8*279 5 335 2003 1486 3 355 1*228 4 290 10*274 6 314 1486 1091 1 204 1 228 4 287 10 272 6 281 1091 819 3 176 1 230 4 286 10 272 6 245 819 654 4 152 1 236 4 286 9 270 5*217 654 561 4*147 1 237 3 285 7 271 4*200 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography