DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 73.6 - - 72.2 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 203 - - 99 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 2150 - - 1538 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 1709 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1593 - - 2695 - - 2084 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 648 - - 1061 - - 1601 - - 899 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 316 - - 223 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 304 - - 295 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3840 - - -1967 - - -1147 - - -1294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5434 - - 4662 - - 3231 - - 1855 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13024 - - -8785 - - -6033 - - -8992 ODpotential blCL - - - 14617 - - 11480 - - 8117 - - 9553 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 62 - - 80 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 73.6 - - 72.2 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.6 - - 55.2 - - 59.9 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 72.3 - - 71.5 - - 62.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 54.0 - - 59.2 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 203 - - 99 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 2150 - - 1538 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96255 41 281 38 288 36 284 39 280 96255 89125 25 287 26 296 26 281 28 287 89125 83667 15 283 24 291 22 286 20 299 83667 79147 13 266 24 273 21 291 17 303 79147 75264 6 261 23 254 24 292 14 287 75264 71840 5 304 15 246 21 262 18 292 71840 68730 14 313 12 250 16 245 16 272 68730 65863 17 299 14 233 17 240 16 250 65863 63209 22 267 18 237 19 234 19 243 63209 60645 25 253 24 256 22 239 19 235 60645 57977 31 237 35 247 33 244 26 252 57977 55202 35 234 40 230 43 237 39 247 55202 52536 36 238 40 234 46 236 47 240 52536 50114 38 244 42 240 45 238 49 237 50114 47918 40 243 42 240 42 241 43 240 47918 45907 42 238 43 239 44 248 43 249 45907 44058 42 236 43 237 47 245 46 246 44058 42355 39 235 37 233 40 239 44 246 42355 40787 32 245 29 241 34 244 40 257 40787 39335 29 264 30 272 31 270 42 270 39335 37968 26 265 31 282 33 279 40 275 37968 36643 25 254 28 273 32 276 36 275 36643 35289 24 234 24 260 29 276 35 274 35289 33879 29 220 22 247 27 278 36 276 33879 32417 32 220 22 235 25 276 34 277 32417 30886 33 220 23 233 22 270 30 274 30886 29271 34 222 24 234 21 263 28 272 29271 27571 31 226 23 237 20 259 27 274 27571 25786 31 219 26 234 21 252 27 273 25786 23920 32 215 29 226 23 244 26 269 23920 21983 25 241 25 249 23 258 27 265 21983 19969 21 246 24 254 24 265 27 267 19969 17865 20 237 23 245 23 264 25 272 17865 15715 19 237 20 251 21 266 21 274 15715 13636 16 243 18 266 18 271 17 269 13636 11743 15 252 16 273 15 275 16 280 11743 10063 12 258 13 273 13 287 14 303 10063 8574 12 265 10 279 12 305 12 328 8574 7256 9 281 9 301 11 330 12 339 7256 6089 8 303 11 333 11 354 11 342 6089 5057 8 324 11 351 11 005 10 342 5057 4150 10 327 11 358 12 349 12 339 4150 3351 10 331 10*349 13 337 16 342 3351 2639 12 338 8*329 12*324 19 341 2639 2013 11*337 7 307 11*308 19 339 2013 1493 7*313 8 301 10 296 14 330 1493 1094 5 296 7 296 10 292 10 301 1094 821 5 292 7 294 9 289 8 262 821 656 5 290 6 293 9 287 7*246 656 561 4 289 6 292 7 285 5*236 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography