DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 63.1 - - 57.4 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 26 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 230 - - 1198 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 774 - - 1743 - - 561 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 485 - - 1524 - - 1682 - - 519 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 69 - - 148 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 276 - - 244 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2451 - - -2965 - - -1350 - - -272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3225 - - 4708 - - 1911 - - 832 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12018 - - -10623 - - -8172 - - -8863 ODpotential blCL - - - 12792 - - 12366 - - 8733 - - 9423 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 51 - - 69 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 63.1 - - 57.4 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 44.7 - - 51.1 - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 62.8 - - 58.4 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 43.4 - - 49.9 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 26 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 230 - - 1198 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96653 52 081 51 083 45 089 50 081 96653 89490 41 078 38 089 39 074 38 074 89490 83996 37 076 27 084 26 064 32 072 83996 79409 30 058 19 074 22 049 23 066 79409 75430 27 048 14 049 19 040 21 053 75430 71883 20 051 15 030 19 042 21 048 71883 68632 13 051 17 011 18 031 18 037 68632 65626 8 050 10 007 12 018 20 014 65626 62844 14 031 13 015 12 359 17 341 62844 60156 22 003 18 011 17 002 19 353 60156 57370 22 345 25 355 23 005 19 359 57370 54490 24 339 24 346 27 354 30 006 54490 51747 28 329 30 348 35 344 35 344 51747 49293 28 324 38 340 30 345 40 354 49293 47115 32 329 35 329 49 356 47 357 47115 45162 45 333 54 345 53 342 48 351 45162 43379 38 323 43 342 41 329 54 355 43379 41742 32 315 40 003 50 007 75 010 41742 40233 27 336 53 013 90 016 89 016 40233 38820 33 354 64 015 112 017 102 019 38820 37478 36 355 69 018 111 017 99 016 37478 36174 35 356 74 021 102 018 87 011 36174 34841 35 358 75 021 87 018 82 007 34841 33450 35 360 70 019 80 019 77 001 33450 32003 34 356 60 015 74 018 77 002 32003 30484 32 353 46 009 65 014 77 006 30484 28881 30 353 34 359 50 359 73 007 28881 27198 29 341 29 350 41 337 65 002 27198 25436 28 337 30 341 43 325 59 348 25436 23594 30 347 31 339 47 325 59 342 23594 21675 32 353 36 343 50 332 59 341 21675 19675 31 355 41 352 53 342 60 345 19675 17592 29 003 43 359 56 347 55 346 17592 15466 29 015 35 359 44 349 48 345 15466 13417 27 027 28 357 32 347 40 346 13417 11555 24 029 24 005 29 347 34 347 11555 9903 21 031 19 008 27 352 30 348 9903 8437 18 037 13 356 24 355 26 351 8437 7136 12 047 10 353 20 355 22 352 7136 5984 7 029 7 340 16 356 19 352 5984 4968 9 344 8 319 13 357 16 350 4968 4076 11 334 10 310 10 352 13 346 4076 3292 10 335 10 308 8 346 10 341 3292 2594 10 341 7 304 5 347 8 334 2594 1981 8 350 5*295 3 334 6 327 1981 1471 6 026 4*278 3 284 5 314 1471 1081 9 075 4 276 5 256 6 284 1081 814 8*081 4 275 5 249 6 261 814 653 7*082 4 275 5*247 4 235 653 560 4 079 3 277 3*244 3*208 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography