DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Hollister 546ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.1 - - 78.0 - - 85.4 - - 82.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 28 - - 91 - - 32 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 390 - - 1888 - - 632 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 545 - - 545 - - 1184 - - 546 - - - Hcrit BL Top 562 - - 935 - - 2434 - - 1178 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 128 - - 1163 - - 1894 - - 1253 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 106 - - 244 - - 124 - - - W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 14 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction 056 - - 087 - - 347 - - 282 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4257 - - -4673 - - -4837 - - -4463 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4819 - - 5608 - - 7272 - - 5641 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -16318 - - -12089 - - -11336 - - -10975 - - - ODpotential blCL 16880 - - 13024 - - 13770 - - 12153 - - - blCL maxRH 36 - - 43 - - 37 - - 43 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 64.1 - - 78.0 - - 85.4 - - 82.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 55.8 - - 55.7 - - 59.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.8 - - 77.9 - - 84.6 - - 82.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.5 - - 54.5 - - 54.4 - - 58.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 28 - - 91 - - 32 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 390 - - 1888 - - 632 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96705 18 285 10 261 28 267 23 291 96705 89532 6 282 6 264 10 284 16 304 89532 84028 7 130 6 240 9 348 4 339 84028 79482 5 113 2 077 4 238 1 037 79482 75553 5 102 4 070 7 176 5 153 75553 72078 3 120 7 127 6 174 4 189 72078 68952 1 282 8 119 6 178 4 207 68952 66098 4 340 3 177 4 201 3 180 66098 63457 3 234 8 240 7 272 2 291 63457 60903 7 235 13 236 13 263 12 271 60903 58241 10 240 14 257 15 253 16 260 58241 55472 12 277 17 283 12 256 15 249 55472 52817 21 280 21 280 17 275 17 268 52817 50415 23 251 25 252 28 255 23 275 50415 48254 18 253 22 230 31 232 32 241 48254 46300 28 280 20 241 27 221 30 221 46300 44514 27 262 27 262 22 244 23 228 44514 42864 30 245 39 256 35 249 37 243 42864 41325 35 244 45 243 46 240 48 239 41325 39877 38 243 43 236 44 233 48 232 39877 38505 35 240 41 234 44 227 49 225 38505 37169 32 232 40 231 44 225 49 223 37169 35803 33 224 40 226 43 224 47 223 35803 34379 35 218 39 220 42 223 46 223 34379 32900 34 222 37 219 40 220 45 223 32900 31351 31 229 35 222 37 219 44 223 31351 29721 30 228 35 222 37 221 42 224 29721 28008 30 228 36 223 39 224 41 228 28008 26208 30 227 38 224 40 227 41 233 26208 24323 27 226 40 221 36 229 34 232 24323 22358 27 219 39 215 33 231 30 229 22358 20308 30 213 35 214 30 233 28 235 20308 18168 32 207 30 218 29 233 23 247 18168 15985 30 209 26 223 22 239 17 256 15985 13883 22 222 22 224 16 242 10 270 13883 11971 17 244 15 239 14 247 11 260 11971 10270 17 246 16 246 16 247 14 251 10270 8762 15 241 16 247 16 241 15 244 8762 7423 11 229 12 242 13 232 14 237 7423 6235 6 203 8 219 11 215 12 228 6235 5183 4 171 7 191 10 197 10 213 5183 4255 2 147 6 169 8 184 7 205 4255 3437 2 120 5 150 4 173 4 216 3437 2706 2 108 4 126 1*105 2 273 2706 2062 2 121 4 102 3*000 5 305 2062 1526 4 138 4 098 3 350 6*295 1526 1115 5 127 5*095 3 344 7*285 1115 832 5 110 4*091 4 341 7 282 832 661 3*081 3 085 3 341 6 280 661 562 2*056 3 084 3 340 5 280 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography