DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.9 - - 63.3 - - 67.8 - - 67.3 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 7 - - 192 - - 317 - - 187 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1573 - - 1734 - - 1409 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 1251 - - 1527 - - 1119 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 2118 - - 2279 - - 1954 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1236 - - 715 - - 1153 - - 778 - - 1078 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 273 - - 332 - - 260 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 238 - - 271 - - 278 - - 271 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2 - - -22 - - -914 - - -1269 - - -99 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 562 - - 2140 - - 3193 - - 3223 - - 660 sfcLCL ODpotential -621 - - -4098 - - -3676 - - -3840 - - -3805 ODpotential blCL 1181 - - 6216 - - 5955 - - 5794 - - 4366 blCL maxRH 98 - - 95 - - 99 - - 79 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 120 - - 80 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m 55.9 - - 63.3 - - 67.8 - - 67.3 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.1 - - 55.7 - - 55.6 - - 54.9 - - 58.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.8 - - 62.0 - - 65.9 - - 66.0 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.1 - - 55.4 - - 55.3 - - 54.8 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 7 - - 192 - - 317 - - 187 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1573 - - 1734 - - 1409 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 80 - - 96 - - 17 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98579 6 070 4 045 9 168 9 212 8 339 98579 91231 9 093 6 103 9 076 8 136 8 093 91231 85542 13 112 9 120 11 080 13 087 11 110 85542 80819 15 115 14 115 10 101 13 085 11 087 80819 76754 15 101 18 115 10 115 14 088 12 104 76754 73157 12 108 18 106 15 123 9 109 14 097 73157 69883 12 118 12 106 13 131 8 113 9 119 69883 66861 4 105 5 086 10 124 4 139 7 146 66861 64050 5 187 5 251 2 272 1 256 4 159 64050 61323 3 209 6 234 6 267 4 262 4 300 61323 58486 13 289 12 283 12 259 12 261 12 266 58486 55539 22 281 19 276 20 262 18 262 12 277 55539 52717 29 286 26 273 27 267 27 277 23 291 52717 50182 40 283 33 270 31 267 42 261 32 267 50182 47909 48 279 38 271 37 257 43 249 32 256 47909 45835 55 277 43 274 40 263 39 248 31 259 45835 43921 67 273 66 271 50 261 40 254 37 261 43921 42144 79 273 85 266 59 263 52 260 45 254 42144 40490 86 270 95 259 79 260 66 257 52 247 40490 38943 86 265 96 254 89 253 73 251 51 244 38943 37491 78 260 92 252 93 248 80 246 52 246 37491 36092 70 258 85 252 90 243 86 241 60 245 36092 34677 65 255 74 251 81 239 85 238 65 242 34677 33221 62 250 63 252 78 243 80 238 63 239 33221 31731 59 252 55 254 80 245 75 243 54 238 31731 30198 46 259 50 247 68 246 66 245 40 241 30198 28606 38 255 47 239 51 244 49 243 30 243 28606 26945 42 254 45 243 47 241 37 240 21 231 26945 25209 41 253 41 247 44 238 31 240 17 225 25209 23400 39 252 38 247 33 231 27 235 13 217 23400 21523 33 255 37 251 30 225 24 222 10 201 21523 19568 26 260 31 253 29 224 22 215 12 179 19568 17524 23 266 24 243 25 229 20 211 13 167 17524 15436 21 267 20 229 23 218 18 203 13 168 15436 13420 15 257 17 221 20 203 17 192 12 174 13420 11582 15 249 16 221 16 198 16 185 13 182 11582 9944 15 248 14 225 14 195 14 176 14 180 9944 8486 11 254 10 224 11 192 13 168 16 169 8486 7189 8 253 8 213 10 192 12 166 13 158 7189 6038 7 265 5 207 8 197 8 177 6 148 6038 5019 6 300 2 210 5 210 4 228 4 063 5019 4121 8 326 2 342 2 264 4 302 6 022 4121 3330 9 333 5 340 4 293 6 311 9 350 3330 2624 10 333 5*318 6*288 9 295 10 334 2624 2002 8 322 5*274 8*281 12*276 10 309 2002 1486 6 285 5 270 9 278 12*272 10 278 1486 1091 6 254 5 270 9 277 13 271 9 258 1091 819 5 245 5 269 9 277 12 271 8 241 819 655 4 239 5 269 8 276 11 270 7*235 655 561 3*238 4 270 7 276 9 270 5*234 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography