DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 80.8 - - 75.2 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 298 - - 121 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 646 - - 1095 - - 661 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1054 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1192 - - 1640 - - 1206 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 430 - - 413 - - 442 - - 606 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 201 - - 279 - - 175 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 288 - - 275 - - 274 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3300 - - -4432 - - -2786 - - -39 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4492 - - 6073 - - 3992 - - 600 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12966 - - -12485 - - -11600 - - -11535 ODpotential blCL - - - 14158 - - 14125 - - 12806 - - 12096 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 50 - - 65 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 80.8 - - 75.2 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.7 - - 56.4 - - 59.7 - - 60.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.9 - - 78.8 - - 74.1 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 56.0 - - 59.5 - - 60.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 298 - - 121 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 646 - - 1095 - - 661 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97874 4 295 5 256 14 283 9 305 97874 90622 4 103 1 230 4 216 1 228 90622 85044 2 123 2 152 5 104 7 118 85044 80398 3 038 6 146 8 080 7 062 80398 76391 3 068 3 134 5 088 10 066 76391 72853 6 085 3 075 4 062 9 070 72853 69649 2 107 3 153 3 043 2 076 69649 66708 6 171 5 242 3 261 6 306 66708 63991 3 256 8 261 6 259 9 278 63991 61373 12 310 12 269 10 285 10 272 61373 58656 17 293 15 263 18 270 17 274 58656 55860 24 287 19 272 25 263 26 265 55860 53204 35 289 30 288 29 276 28 265 53204 50804 43 283 37 283 34 275 33 273 50804 48640 45 281 40 277 41 277 42 277 48640 46665 47 282 43 278 46 277 51 273 46665 44842 48 285 46 279 51 277 55 274 44842 43142 51 287 51 284 56 278 61 277 43142 41548 53 289 52 286 60 279 66 275 41548 40047 53 290 52 287 59 279 64 275 40047 38631 49 292 51 289 54 280 59 277 38631 37260 41 295 50 289 52 283 55 280 37260 35868 30 292 36 284 46 285 47 284 35868 34425 18 284 17 273 36 281 36 285 34425 32934 10 278 14 281 22 268 34 285 32934 31377 5 287 16 282 22 272 30 279 31377 29739 7 303 14 277 20 284 25 270 29739 28019 9 317 12 263 13 284 14 271 28019 26219 10 333 9 263 9 268 7 249 26219 24339 6 330 5 252 6 258 6 241 24339 22380 6 327 4 181 4 214 6 240 22380 20331 2 338 7 148 7 169 6 213 20331 18187 3 108 6 162 8 171 8 193 18187 15997 3 142 5 177 6 172 7 174 15997 13885 3 182 3 191 5 163 6 162 13885 11964 2 194 3 198 5 168 7 166 11964 10256 3 175 5 201 7 186 9 183 10256 8739 4 174 8 201 10 195 11 200 8739 7393 4 182 9 204 10 200 12 204 7393 6200 4 188 10 208 9 203 10 197 6200 5144 3 178 8 211 7 201 9 185 5144 4215 4 163 6 207 5 196 6 174 4215 3396 5 155 4 203 2 203 2 144 3396 2666 6 153 3 227 2 329 2 063 2666 2025 5 158 4*271 4 313 2 012 2025 1496 2*200 7*275 7*281 5 289 1496 1095 2*286 8 275 8*274 8 275 1095 822 2 287 8 274 8 273 5 265 822 656 2 291 8 275 8 273 4 258 656 561 2 291 7 274 7 273 3*256 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography