DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 74.3 - - 71.9 - - 55.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 17 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 771 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 545 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 561 - - 1316 - - 562 - - 560 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 260 - - 1467 - - 1536 - - 106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 123 - - 19 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 068 - - 129 - - 076 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5085 - - -5880 - - -4556 - - -1782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5647 - - 7197 - - 5119 - - 2342 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13451 - - -12342 - - -9515 - - -10625 ODpotential blCL - - - 14012 - - 13658 - - 10077 - - 11185 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 31 - - 40 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.0 - - 74.3 - - 71.9 - - 55.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.2 - - 45.2 - - 51.9 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 74.3 - - 72.9 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.2 - - 43.9 - - 50.6 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 17 - - -15 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 771 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96169 17 301 12 339 14 005 13 338 96169 89105 9 024 13 014 7 084 8 034 89105 83637 11 036 7 003 14 046 11 057 83637 79116 14 044 5 032 14 014 13 036 79116 75236 15 040 9 053 7 010 9 358 75236 71791 16 046 10 034 11 057 9 057 71791 68667 16 040 12 029 15 051 10 076 68667 65801 9 028 9 030 12 046 4 090 65801 63138 7 046 11 043 15 055 6 136 63138 60550 14 018 10 015 18 043 13 096 60550 57862 14 007 9 021 15 035 14 074 57862 55078 22 040 15 037 11 035 9 062 55078 52396 31 047 25 052 15 063 15 093 52396 49949 38 045 30 051 23 064 23 095 49949 47732 42 037 30 046 26 061 21 082 47732 45708 37 036 28 054 25 068 22 075 45708 43853 24 052 28 062 29 084 29 081 43853 42159 22 102 23 080 34 098 33 098 42159 40609 38 115 33 111 35 119 40 119 40609 39178 48 107 36 116 42 123 52 131 39178 37834 51 104 38 119 45 122 54 131 37834 36529 50 108 39 119 43 126 51 130 36529 35194 44 114 39 118 41 130 46 132 35194 33802 38 120 35 121 40 134 42 138 33802 32355 34 117 31 125 39 137 41 142 32355 30836 32 116 28 122 37 136 40 144 30836 29233 32 118 26 116 35 132 40 145 29233 27546 29 124 26 117 31 124 36 143 27546 25776 26 130 24 124 27 118 30 135 25776 23924 23 130 22 131 26 123 29 128 23924 21991 16 121 23 131 24 130 28 132 21991 19971 12 111 21 126 21 136 27 138 19971 17860 18 094 17 113 17 132 24 139 17860 15709 21 086 17 089 16 109 18 134 15709 13642 13 096 16 079 15 092 17 114 13642 11764 7 100 10 097 11 101 14 122 11764 10094 3 122 8 126 6 127 9 144 10094 8614 4 225 7 174 4 239 6 190 8614 7298 8 220 10 207 9 240 8 207 7298 6129 10 213 14 215 12 217 10 194 6129 5094 9 203 16 208 14 197 12 185 5094 4181 8 187 16 199 17 186 13 183 4181 3376 8 173 16 192 16 180 13 183 3376 2658 7 162 14 185 13 174 12 182 2658 2025 8 154 11 176 9 157 9 176 2025 1498 10 145 8*159 7 121 6 150 1498 1095 10 128 5*133 9 096 9 108 1095 820 9 113 5 130 8 086 12 083 820 655 6 096 4 126 6*081 10 065 655 560 2*068 3 124 4*076 4*045 560 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography