DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 85.4 - - 76.2 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 274 - - 120 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 676 - - 1216 - - 601 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 545 - - 1121 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1221 - - 1762 - - 1146 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 532 - - 1129 - - 305 - - 376 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 194 - - 282 - - 170 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 275 - - 265 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6014 - - -6808 - - -4759 - - -1380 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7235 - - 8570 - - 5906 - - 1941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14953 - - -13874 - - -13918 - - -13681 ODpotential blCL - - - 16174 - - 15636 - - 15064 - - 14242 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 33 - - 46 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 85.4 - - 76.2 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 50.0 - - 52.7 - - 54.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 83.6 - - 75.3 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.4 - - 49.5 - - 52.3 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 274 - - 120 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 676 - - 1216 - - 601 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98072 9 336 9 019 3 284 9 350 98072 90768 3 002 1 135 2 240 5 029 90768 85127 4 310 1 125 3 252 2 350 85127 80451 5 295 6 310 5 342 5 031 80451 76431 2 063 5 315 10 011 11 027 76431 72890 4 132 4 311 10 015 13 030 72890 69689 9 141 4 254 6 315 13 355 69689 66748 8 143 5 187 8 234 11 293 66748 64028 1 211 5 164 10 211 13 261 64028 61393 7 289 5 262 7 239 11 266 61393 58650 13 283 14 273 13 275 13 285 58650 55825 18 291 19 287 21 288 19 288 55825 53152 22 305 23 298 28 289 28 286 53152 50748 27 308 26 298 31 292 36 292 50748 48579 27 303 27 297 35 295 41 293 48579 46594 27 299 28 296 37 296 44 291 46594 44759 25 297 30 295 37 298 45 290 44759 43052 22 297 28 294 37 296 42 292 43052 41457 21 302 26 296 35 290 39 293 41457 39961 19 306 22 304 28 289 36 289 39961 38553 15 301 19 303 23 291 27 292 38553 37192 13 285 16 284 18 299 21 293 37192 35811 9 275 15 269 18 286 17 298 35811 34378 6 307 11 255 15 270 17 296 34378 32894 6 312 11 264 12 270 13 297 32894 31340 7 306 10 279 9 298 9 295 31340 29703 9 326 9 327 9 002 6 327 29703 27988 14 351 12 016 10 026 6 011 27988 26191 16 016 13 039 10 039 5 039 26191 24311 16 033 13 045 11 036 6 044 24311 22348 14 026 12 033 14 028 10 035 22348 20296 15 007 12 017 14 024 12 034 20296 18153 17 352 13 004 13 014 11 032 18153 15967 17 349 14 357 12 010 11 031 15967 13860 14 352 12 355 11 018 10 032 13860 11942 11 355 11 355 11 024 8 036 11942 10238 9 004 8 004 10 025 8 041 10238 8724 7 022 5 019 8 032 7 033 8724 7380 7 029 3 040 6 034 5 016 7380 6189 7 020 3 042 4 030 5 360 6189 5136 6 003 2 027 4 019 5 007 5136 4210 4 344 2 352 4 008 7 019 4210 3394 2 311 2 289 5 350 8 011 3394 2666 2 246 4 272 5 325 8 357 2666 2026 3 226 6*273 8 285 6 330 2026 1497 3*247 7*274 10*271 6 287 1497 1095 3*271 7 274 9*266 7 260 1095 821 3 274 7 275 9 265 6 248 821 655 3 277 7 276 9 265 5 242 655 561 3 278 6 275 7 265 3*241 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography