DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.4 - - 62.3 - - 65.2 - - 64.7 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 43 - - 52 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 696 - - 1654 - - 689 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 544 - - 545 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1241 - - 2198 - - 1233 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 474 - - 1290 - - 1652 - - 1870 - - 1483 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 135 - - 200 - - 75 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 140 - - 241 - - 265 - - 281 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -552 - - -1288 - - -1268 - - -1571 - - -912 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1112 - - 2529 - - 3466 - - 2804 - - 1473 sfcLCL ODpotential -8140 - - -6977 - - -7723 - - -6509 - - -6061 ODpotential blCL 8700 - - 8218 - - 9921 - - 7742 - - 6622 blCL maxRH 85 - - 86 - - 97 - - 71 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.4 - - 62.3 - - 65.2 - - 64.7 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.7 - - 53.3 - - 52.1 - - 54.4 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 61.9 - - 64.8 - - 65.2 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.4 - - 52.0 - - 50.8 - - 53.2 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 43 - - 52 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 696 - - 1654 - - 689 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 44 - - 87 - - 0 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96437 25 095 13 064 18 074 25 080 25 099 96437 89335 22 091 16 100 9 077 12 051 18 073 89335 83846 15 056 13 121 5 111 5 016 14 026 83846 79264 12 042 10 083 6 093 4 014 9 345 79264 75321 13 007 10 028 9 019 7 037 9 348 75321 71840 9 307 10 308 12 311 12 330 7 351 71840 68686 7 295 12 301 15 297 19 315 13 332 68686 65792 21 315 16 321 26 305 23 294 26 299 65792 63117 31 300 26 290 29 291 22 284 30 287 63117 60531 33 287 24 276 26 287 24 300 25 304 60531 57825 31 284 33 283 34 287 42 295 39 314 57825 55000 40 282 49 279 47 279 44 282 45 296 55000 52297 52 277 52 271 53 273 50 278 48 279 52297 49873 59 271 55 269 59 271 61 276 58 278 49873 47702 69 268 64 270 72 268 74 271 72 275 47702 45737 74 265 73 266 71 262 80 269 79 267 45737 43947 76 264 78 265 71 262 73 263 80 264 43947 42299 75 263 74 268 74 262 69 264 83 261 42299 40763 73 261 73 269 75 259 80 263 87 261 40763 39318 73 275 71 270 75 255 85 263 88 263 39318 37949 74 285 67 273 72 254 86 268 88 266 37949 36617 68 286 65 276 64 255 84 270 85 267 36617 35256 62 280 67 275 62 255 81 267 78 268 35256 33837 59 275 69 270 62 258 74 264 72 270 33837 32362 61 269 64 262 62 261 73 264 70 269 32362 30818 62 267 58 260 63 263 73 266 70 267 30818 29191 62 267 60 261 64 263 71 267 72 264 29191 27480 61 266 62 259 67 265 68 264 73 264 27480 25686 63 262 62 261 68 268 61 262 68 267 25686 23809 63 260 64 266 65 267 60 262 65 269 23809 21856 64 267 66 266 65 265 66 266 64 270 21856 19829 62 267 64 265 65 264 68 267 67 272 19829 17723 51 263 66 265 63 268 62 267 59 277 17723 15574 44 257 59 258 66 264 63 266 44 276 15574 13506 43 260 48 256 56 258 58 262 37 279 13506 11631 39 257 43 251 48 251 48 259 36 285 11631 9964 39 256 44 251 45 250 42 260 33 288 9964 8484 35 255 40 251 40 254 35 260 28 283 8484 7173 30 253 33 250 33 253 27 262 25 274 7173 6012 25 254 27 248 26 246 19 255 21 259 6012 4989 21 257 23 243 21 238 17 237 15 237 4989 4093 16 260 20 239 18 234 16 218 13 223 4093 3306 14 262 18 238 16 237 14 209 13 233 3306 2605 12 262 16 240 14*244 11 216 15 254 2605 1989 9 259 13 242 11*258 8 235 17 269 1989 1478 5 248 10*242 10 264 7*265 16 278 1478 1086 3 203 5*239 10 268 7*277 12 287 1086 817 4 155 4 241 9 269 6 281 7 301 817 654 5 140 3 244 8 270 6 284 6*305 654 561 3*140 3 246 7 271 5 287 3*308 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography