DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 73.4 - - 70.4 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 419 - - 287 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1388 - - 1531 - - 1030 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1255 - - 1450 - - 1002 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1932 - - 2076 - - 1576 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 458 - - 777 - - 355 - - 915 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 300 - - 351 - - 271 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 276 - - 271 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -6 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -479 - - -3290 - - -3117 - - -2499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2412 - - 5366 - - 4693 - - 3061 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4934 - - -6495 - - -6623 - - -6864 ODpotential blCL - - - 6866 - - 8571 - - 8199 - - 7425 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 57 - - 59 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 73.4 - - 70.4 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 51.9 - - 51.9 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 71.0 - - 68.6 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 51.1 - - 51.4 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 419 - - 287 - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1388 - - 1531 - - 1030 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98914 26 117 25 109 23 124 25 096 98914 91464 19 098 23 101 24 103 25 099 91464 85734 19 091 20 097 21 090 25 103 85734 80974 20 113 19 102 15 098 26 089 80974 76864 21 113 18 095 15 105 16 074 76864 73237 17 104 13 102 19 095 11 110 73237 69953 10 122 13 106 12 082 14 098 69953 66923 8 130 5 099 6 051 5 101 66923 64114 4 178 2 270 1 109 0 360 64114 61389 3 156 3 265 3 322 1 268 61389 58544 6 280 10 267 13 290 9 297 58544 55596 13 277 15 278 19 288 19 301 55596 52786 25 297 24 293 28 300 21 306 52786 50253 32 293 30 293 30 292 29 309 50253 47975 40 296 36 291 33 297 41 299 47975 45906 48 295 37 288 43 301 45 297 45906 44013 52 293 40 298 39 291 46 290 44013 42272 56 291 51 300 27 303 42 320 42272 40667 60 288 54 291 33 326 57 331 40667 39175 66 285 48 284 49 327 58 330 39175 37779 71 285 41 289 59 329 49 335 37779 36442 77 285 39 306 57 328 47 345 36442 35090 80 283 37 309 46 338 49 352 35090 33687 82 282 30 306 48 002 47 354 33687 32230 84 279 28 311 56 012 44 354 32230 30703 84 279 29 312 59 012 42 354 30703 29093 81 278 26 307 57 010 42 354 29093 27400 73 279 22 305 54 007 42 355 27400 25625 64 279 19 306 54 004 41 354 25625 23767 55 279 19 300 53 007 39 353 23767 21828 45 279 17 290 49 017 37 354 21828 19810 35 281 14 288 47 026 36 356 19810 17713 30 280 12 293 39 028 37 008 17713 15582 23 277 8 302 26 028 32 019 15582 13533 12 272 2 311 16 031 20 031 13533 11674 7 239 2 064 10 039 15 053 11674 10024 6 234 6 059 10 052 14 049 10024 8559 3 232 8 075 12 048 14 029 8559 7255 2 151 7 088 12 045 12 018 7255 6096 3 157 7 103 10 041 12 007 6096 5067 4 177 6 110 9 034 14 356 5067 4161 5 188 5 108 8 021 17 350 4161 3361 6 191 3 096 7 358 19 347 3361 2648 5 211 1*337 8 335 17 342 2648 2018 5*246 4*281 10*296 14 329 2018 1496 5*258 7 276 12*274 9 291 1496 1096 6 261 7 276 12 271 9 252 1096 822 6 262 7 275 12 270 9 244 822 656 5 264 7 275 11 269 8 242 656 561 5 265 6 276 9 269 6*241 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography