DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 81.1 - - 69.3 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 335 - - 115 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 897 - - 1089 - - 421 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 866 - - 1083 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1442 - - 1634 - - 966 - - 562 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 374 - - 432 - - 362 - - 582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 248 - - 291 - - 148 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 272 - - 258 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1833 - - -4886 - - -2769 - - -3655 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3275 - - 6520 - - 3735 - - 4217 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9840 - - -11415 - - -11706 - - -12829 ODpotential blCL - - - 11282 - - 13049 - - 12672 - - 13391 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 87 - - 65 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.5 - - 81.1 - - 69.3 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.1 - - 54.9 - - 55.1 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 79.0 - - 68.3 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 54.2 - - 54.8 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 335 - - 115 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 897 - - 1089 - - 421 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 40 - - 48 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99165 29 099 33 115 29 109 27 106 99165 91656 24 107 26 105 31 103 31 098 91656 85908 28 116 21 097 30 104 29 100 85908 81148 25 111 20 091 27 097 28 102 81148 77043 22 110 18 101 21 093 25 092 77043 73422 23 106 20 121 12 089 22 086 73422 70157 24 091 25 121 12 117 16 092 70157 67161 20 090 25 108 16 122 9 113 67161 64395 13 098 19 087 18 111 9 137 64395 61744 5 133 11 085 16 098 14 105 61744 59004 16 178 12 150 10 134 12 128 59004 56176 26 181 23 182 17 187 12 180 56176 53488 29 182 29 189 24 190 20 190 53488 51076 30 182 30 187 26 188 24 181 51076 48913 31 187 28 190 23 185 21 180 48913 46942 31 189 29 195 20 197 14 195 46942 45121 33 175 31 176 22 210 14 215 45121 43421 32 159 30 163 25 194 17 214 43421 41825 30 156 28 163 27 171 22 188 41825 40324 27 167 27 165 26 164 24 170 40324 38906 26 175 29 171 27 171 26 170 38906 37529 25 177 30 173 27 167 24 169 37529 36124 26 176 29 173 25 169 23 172 36124 34663 27 177 29 175 26 181 24 178 34663 33149 29 178 32 178 27 185 24 177 33149 31565 31 177 33 179 27 184 21 178 31565 29900 32 182 29 184 24 186 18 183 29900 28156 27 189 24 191 20 190 19 187 28156 26330 24 197 20 198 16 206 19 189 26330 24424 24 209 20 212 19 206 17 186 24424 22440 26 208 21 217 21 191 16 180 22440 20373 26 196 22 204 22 189 14 186 20373 18219 26 185 26 192 22 190 16 193 18219 16024 26 184 26 189 21 199 17 208 16024 13912 22 198 21 196 21 207 14 215 13912 11990 20 226 15 212 20 214 10 211 11990 10279 18 240 13 236 17 217 9 211 10279 8757 13 245 12 254 13 237 7 243 8757 7403 9 247 9 255 12 256 6 247 7403 6203 6 234 6 246 9 254 7 235 6203 5144 6 214 5 231 6 240 8 246 5144 4217 6 213 5 225 6 239 9 286 4217 3402 6 234 5 243 7 269 11 311 3402 2675 7 249 5 274 9 290 12 319 2675 2036 6 260 5*280 9 292 10 321 2036 1505 6*266 6*274 9 279 8 310 1505 1101 6*269 7 272 8*261 6 268 1101 825 6 271 7 271 8*258 6 248 825 657 6 273 7 271 7 258 5*245 657 562 5 273 6 272 6 258 4*244 562 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography