DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Hollister 545ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.8 - - 64.7 - - 69.8 - - 63.7 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 88 - - 107 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1301 - - 3351 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 544 - - 544 - - 2214 - - 545 - - 545 Hcrit BL Top 560 - - 1845 - - 3896 - - 561 - - 561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 213 - - 1815 - - 2578 - - 3774 - - 1002 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 199 - - 293 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 192 - - 212 - - 273 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 17 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -532 - - 211 - - -1328 - - -147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 560 - - 2377 - - 3686 - - 1889 - - 708 sfcLCL ODpotential -8399 - - -1185 - - -183 - - -2355 - - -2516 ODpotential blCL 8959 - - 3030 - - 4079 - - 2916 - - 3077 blCL maxRH 90 - - 93 - - 97 - - 87 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 110 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.8 - - 64.7 - - 69.8 - - 63.7 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.3 - - 56.1 - - 55.4 - - 57.1 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 64.0 - - 69.0 - - 64.1 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.7 - - 55.7 - - 54.9 - - 56.7 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 88 - - 107 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1301 - - 3351 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 71 - - 88 - - 47 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96462 53 295 43 303 40 293 37 285 41 291 96462 89331 32 295 28 293 28 289 32 292 32 309 89331 83825 23 292 24 287 25 293 29 292 25 305 83825 79276 24 289 20 285 22 287 24 295 19 304 79276 75352 21 271 27 275 25 281 24 290 26 297 75352 71847 19 262 29 278 29 280 31 278 29 282 71847 68667 20 263 25 272 29 279 25 269 28 277 68667 65749 15 263 19 253 24 269 20 272 22 276 65749 63027 16 265 19 245 20 266 20 256 22 269 63027 60367 23 249 22 246 24 260 22 245 23 242 60367 57587 26 239 24 236 33 238 26 248 33 253 57587 54706 32 243 30 235 40 228 34 243 39 241 54706 51953 53 246 45 241 49 228 45 225 35 233 51953 49473 73 232 67 232 54 226 47 230 40 237 49473 47252 81 225 82 225 61 221 62 225 49 226 47252 45233 82 224 85 220 74 219 67 221 41 225 45233 43375 83 229 82 216 80 214 59 216 36 223 43375 41653 87 232 81 217 77 211 52 215 36 221 41653 40057 88 228 88 218 78 213 64 216 36 221 40057 38573 83 225 90 215 88 213 72 213 36 224 38573 37185 79 224 89 216 95 212 75 212 41 222 37185 35850 76 223 89 218 94 210 80 212 44 220 35850 34496 74 222 85 216 89 211 80 208 45 220 34496 33095 70 216 77 210 83 207 76 202 53 221 33095 31653 64 207 72 204 76 199 64 200 59 213 31653 30152 56 205 67 198 71 198 61 200 55 207 30152 28574 51 208 61 201 64 198 55 202 54 202 28574 26917 50 209 54 203 54 198 51 203 51 200 26917 25181 45 205 49 202 51 199 46 201 44 204 25181 23369 39 203 45 204 48 198 39 202 39 205 23369 21482 34 201 44 207 44 199 36 205 36 205 21482 19515 33 198 42 203 43 198 37 200 35 202 19515 17463 32 196 40 194 43 194 36 191 34 194 17463 15369 32 191 40 188 43 190 36 188 34 188 15369 13350 33 185 40 183 41 183 36 187 35 184 13350 11512 33 183 39 177 39 174 35 183 35 179 11512 9880 34 183 38 172 38 172 34 179 35 176 9880 8431 36 183 37 173 35 179 33 179 34 177 8431 7145 36 185 35 177 27 190 31 184 33 181 7145 6004 34 186 32 182 22 197 28 187 31 187 6004 4995 28 188 28 186 20 199 23 189 29 192 4995 4107 23 191 23 191 16*201 19 192 26 196 4107 3323 18 196 19 196 13*205 16 198 22 199 3323 2623 13 197 14 198 11 210 13 210 19 199 2623 2004 9 191 12*195 11 212 11 228 15 200 2004 1487 8 176 9*193 10 215 9 246 11 207 1487 1092 7 156 7 192 9 217 8 256 7 221 1092 820 6 118 6 191 9 218 7 263 3 238 820 655 6 085 5 192 8 220 6*268 1*327 655 561 4*068 4 192 6 220 4*273 2*030 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography