DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Hollister 544ft pt31953@36.868,-121.523 SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 72.0 - - 69.1 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 312 - - 220 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 953 - - 1039 - - 814 - - 319 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 876 - - 1039 - - 746 - - 544 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1497 - - 1584 - - 1359 - - 863 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 264 - - 297 - - 356 - - 462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 246 - - 283 - - 231 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 280 - - 273 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -778 - - -2383 - - -1908 - - -269 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2275 - - 3967 - - 3267 - - 1132 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10231 - - -9929 - - -10066 - - -10894 ODpotential blCL - - - 11728 - - 11513 - - 11425 - - 11757 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 65 - - 73 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.0 - - 72.0 - - 69.1 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 56.7 - - 56.8 - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 70.1 - - 67.6 - - 58.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 55.7 - - 56.2 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 312 - - 220 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 953 - - 1039 - - 814 - - 319 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97939 14 210 11 256 5 226 14 188 97939 90497 9 218 13 198 12 244 3 283 90497 84776 10 174 8 209 11 243 5 326 84776 80048 10 129 8 194 8 261 3 059 80048 76007 7 082 6 143 2 286 4 071 76007 72461 4 081 1 092 3 061 6 347 72461 69248 1 042 5 293 5 025 5 004 69248 66284 3 044 4 248 5 307 4 321 66284 63535 1 326 5 220 8 281 6 274 63535 60866 4 253 7 215 8 253 6 255 60866 58085 12 255 10 245 12 243 15 248 58085 55216 21 247 19 247 20 233 19 242 55216 52481 26 233 26 236 26 226 25 231 52481 50022 28 229 30 232 30 229 29 224 50022 47830 32 234 35 232 32 235 30 225 47830 45866 39 235 42 229 41 234 37 230 45866 44093 44 232 46 225 50 228 52 225 44093 42464 43 231 43 223 47 223 49 218 42464 40940 40 233 39 225 41 225 40 219 40940 39503 37 234 37 226 38 226 38 218 39503 38142 36 233 36 225 37 223 37 215 38142 36819 35 233 34 224 36 220 35 214 36819 35468 32 235 32 222 35 217 35 214 35468 34061 31 238 29 218 35 215 35 213 34061 32599 30 236 28 217 35 214 35 212 32599 31067 29 233 28 217 34 212 36 211 31067 29453 29 232 28 216 33 210 36 213 29453 27755 27 231 27 214 30 208 33 215 27755 25971 26 229 26 217 27 207 30 213 25971 24105 24 225 25 220 25 209 28 209 24105 22160 20 215 23 218 22 212 27 207 22160 20133 18 195 20 207 20 213 23 204 20133 18020 16 187 18 195 19 217 18 205 18020 15863 13 192 15 196 16 213 16 212 15863 13779 13 199 13 198 13 198 14 203 13779 11876 15 193 14 184 14 191 17 184 11876 10183 16 183 17 176 18 186 22 176 10183 8679 17 175 20 172 21 178 22 172 8679 7342 18 170 22 170 21 169 21 170 7342 6156 18 172 21 169 19 167 18 174 6156 5106 16 179 17 169 17 169 14 178 5106 4182 15 187 13 172 12 169 9 174 4182 3367 13 191 10 175 6 174 4 170 3367 2642 10 193 5 188 2 256 1 225 2642 2007 5*224 4*274 7 285 4 266 2007 1485 5*271 8*281 10*275 8 273 1485 1089 6 281 8 280 11*273 8*274 1089 819 6 281 8 279 11 273 7*271 819 655 6 282 8 279 10 272 6 270 655 561 5 282 7 279 8 273 5 270 561 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography