DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 40.6 - - 39.4 - - 37.2 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 10 - - -1 - - -20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 4599 - - 4599 - - 4598 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1001 - - 2010 - - 2578 - - 2744 - - 2139 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 24 - - 12 - - 9 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 089 - - 159 - - 167 - - 163 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -6 - - -3 - - -4 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -909 - - -1696 - - -681 - - 1 - - -33 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5508 - - 6296 - - 5281 - - 4597 - - 4631 sfcLCL ODpotential -6475 - - -5872 - - -3237 - - -2214 - - -2484 ODpotential blCL 11073 - - 10471 - - 7836 - - 6812 - - 7082 blCL maxRH 78 - - 84 - - 99 - - 96 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 40.6 - - 39.4 - - 37.2 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.1 - - 28.8 - - 32.1 - - 32.9 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.9 - - 42.6 - - 40.5 - - 39.3 - - 36.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 28.0 - - 31.8 - - 32.8 - - 29.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 10 - - -1 - - -20 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 35 - - 95 - - 84 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96241 21 116 27 109 31 103 29 113 16 108 96241 89240 24 115 29 113 23 111 16 100 24 099 89240 83779 23 106 23 100 20 115 8 124 18 086 83779 79207 18 098 16 103 11 114 11 137 9 076 79207 75243 10 087 9 095 7 133 7 132 6 085 75243 71716 4 041 5 092 4 119 4 149 3 198 71716 68508 10 289 3 013 1 229 4 214 5 235 68508 65543 13 265 5 306 6 284 4 250 11 256 65543 62781 10 277 8 268 10 286 9 273 16 260 62781 60098 11 298 6 227 11 254 10 267 13 264 60098 57283 19 270 4 256 12 269 16 273 16 269 57283 54356 15 257 13 267 22 273 22 267 20 277 54356 51574 11 270 17 246 25 269 24 278 24 283 51574 49074 16 249 14 248 26 271 25 283 25 283 49074 46826 27 217 19 256 27 274 26 286 29 287 46826 44773 25 206 24 245 30 268 31 282 36 286 44773 42883 21 210 22 226 33 253 35 276 39 277 42883 41138 29 223 22 221 29 246 36 268 40 273 41138 39519 38 211 24 221 25 244 33 265 42 271 39519 38008 44 190 25 212 23 237 29 269 45 268 38008 36604 51 174 26 206 22 224 31 276 45 267 36604 35282 52 175 38 196 21 223 37 270 41 270 35282 33974 48 186 46 191 26 231 37 264 38 272 33974 32643 47 195 47 185 39 223 32 274 35 274 32643 31289 44 199 40 185 50 192 31 283 34 279 31289 29893 43 199 36 192 42 185 24 265 34 284 29893 28447 40 198 39 195 42 195 22 228 34 287 28447 26952 36 196 38 193 49 191 26 205 33 291 26952 25409 30 194 37 192 49 184 33 197 32 295 25409 23823 26 198 37 191 49 186 41 194 32 297 23823 22197 27 198 35 191 47 186 45 191 31 296 22197 20527 28 199 35 196 44 188 42 195 30 293 20527 18810 26 205 34 203 41 192 42 203 28 284 18810 17086 23 211 32 206 37 198 39 212 25 257 17086 15445 20 211 30 207 31 200 30 223 23 236 15445 13961 19 209 28 207 25 203 21 230 19 227 13961 12638 18 208 27 208 21 210 15 230 15 222 12638 11453 18 206 25 209 19 222 13 237 12 218 11453 10387 18 203 24 210 18 233 14 247 12 221 10387 9429 17 199 22 211 19 243 17 254 14 232 9429 8569 17 199 20 210 20 248 20 253 18 240 8569 7800 16 199 18 208 19 248 20 249 20 241 7800 7112 15 197 16 206 19 243 19 242 20 237 7112 6488 13 191 14 202 16 232 18 230 18 226 6488 5930 11 186 13 193 14 210 16 211 15 207 5930 5459 10 183 12 180 14 185 15 191 15 185 5459 5093 9 175 12 173 13 172 15 178 15 171 5093 4840 7 157 10 167 12 167 13 171 13 165 4840 4686 5*130 7*161 10*164 10*166 10*160 4686 4597 4*089 3*131 5*160 4*158 4*146 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography