DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.4 - - 39.7 - - 37.7 - - 36.4 - - 32.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 6 - - 9 - - -7 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 252 - - 8 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 - - 4581 Hcrit BL Top 4598 - - 5752 - - 5508 - - 4599 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2260 - - 2857 - - 2320 - - 3055 - - 3153 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 56 - - 19 - - 9 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 119 - - 182 - - 212 - - 099 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 5 - - 5 - - -10 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1154 - - 911 - - 2 - - -489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4597 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 4598 - - 5087 sfcLCL ODpotential -1533 - - -553 - - -318 - - -1622 - - -3457 ODpotential blCL 6131 - - 6305 - - 5826 - - 6221 - - 8055 blCL maxRH 99 - - 96 - - 101 - - 98 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.4 - - 39.7 - - 37.7 - - 36.4 - - 32.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 35.6 - - 34.8 - - 34.1 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.6 - - 40.6 - - 38.5 - - 38.3 - - 37.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 35.0 - - 34.2 - - 33.5 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 6 - - 9 - - -7 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 252 - - 8 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 84 - - 103 - - 91 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97218 39 067 30 053 41 047 24 048 23 048 97218 90153 38 068 36 055 29 045 29 049 21 059 90153 84572 31 065 29 046 21 048 24 046 22 060 84572 79908 26 056 21 043 20 050 19 039 21 052 79908 75863 25 044 16 040 19 048 16 031 17 029 75863 72261 22 023 15 037 17 037 13 039 13 003 72261 68983 14 013 13 026 15 014 13 025 13 008 68983 65954 13 005 12 005 14 350 15 351 11 009 65954 63130 15 339 12 355 11 329 12 319 11 349 63130 60380 18 325 17 344 14 327 13 310 14 318 60380 57512 18 318 18 324 19 303 17 306 16 317 57512 54534 24 327 20 319 23 307 21 322 19 338 54534 51688 27 321 22 314 26 300 30 314 37 326 51688 49134 28 315 22 307 26 300 38 306 40 315 49134 46847 28 307 22 298 26 304 37 307 34 311 46847 44762 27 304 25 296 29 308 32 309 30 306 44762 42847 27 302 26 296 27 298 35 312 30 299 42847 41081 29 300 26 290 29 294 40 301 31 296 41081 39445 29 292 26 282 35 283 39 289 31 302 39445 37927 29 277 28 279 33 269 35 282 35 299 37927 36518 32 262 31 279 30 272 32 277 38 288 36518 35188 33 251 34 276 34 276 33 269 37 278 35188 33870 32 240 34 274 38 275 37 262 36 272 33870 32535 34 231 33 275 39 279 40 260 34 268 32535 31186 36 221 30 279 41 286 38 264 31 269 31186 29808 38 212 27 285 43 294 39 269 30 267 29808 28389 41 205 19 281 44 300 38 269 29 257 28389 26923 44 198 9 266 44 306 32 268 26 251 26923 25408 43 190 6 127 41 309 26 266 21 247 25408 23847 40 182 13 105 29 314 20 267 18 254 23847 22243 39 174 15 107 15 332 18 265 20 263 22243 20593 37 172 15 111 12 353 18 266 21 265 20593 18891 36 178 14 130 16 356 15 268 18 268 18891 17170 38 187 12 167 19 345 8 291 15 273 17170 15517 38 198 10 205 20 338 5 357 13 282 15517 14013 36 206 11 233 19 333 7 342 14 296 14013 12671 31 212 12 240 20 330 11 327 15 311 12671 11473 26 214 13 243 22 321 16 327 16 322 11473 10400 23 215 14 251 23 312 20 328 18 329 10400 9437 21 211 14 258 23 304 22 329 18 331 9437 8575 18 204 14 258 21 299 22 327 18 332 8575 7805 17 194 14 252 18 293 21 324 18 332 7805 7115 16 182 14 240 14 287 20 319 19 331 7115 6490 16 174 14 224 11 275 17 316 18 328 6490 5931 16 169 14*207 8*258 13 318 16 328 5931 5459 15 164 14*190 7*232 10 328 13 331 5459 5094 14 156 13 182 7 211 6 341 10 341 5094 4840 11 145 12 179 6 204 4 003 7 357 4840 4686 8*134 10 177 5 201 2*061 5*026 4686 4597 3*101 5 174 3 198 2*119 3*088 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography