DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Invermere_BC 5500ft pt54264@-115.892,50.505,5212ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.9 degF SPONSORED BY: Canadian Rockies Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.7 - - 35.8 - - 34.4 - - 28.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 207 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2360 - - 2963 - - 1984 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6516 - - 7265 - - 4580 - - 4580 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7860 - - 8463 - - 7484 - - 4598 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1530 - - 1251 - - 1486 - - 2677 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 355 - - 187 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 12 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 081 - - 091 - - 076 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 8 - - 6 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - -14 - - -12 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 245 - - 792 - - -70 - - -1408 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7615 - - 7672 - - 7555 - - 6006 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1849 - - -367 - - -6303 - - -8650 ODpotential blCL - - - 9709 - - 8830 - - 13787 - - 13248 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 94 - - 85 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.7 - - 35.8 - - 34.4 - - 28.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.6 - - 18.4 - - 17.6 - - 18.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 35.4 - - 34.9 - - 31.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.3 - - 18.1 - - 17.3 - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 207 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2360 - - 2963 - - 1984 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 76 - - 39 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97413 30 304 40 316 30 318 27 313 97413 90303 23 324 28 316 20 325 26 335 90303 84785 19 340 13 307 17 319 22 342 84785 80188 18 324 10 312 14 328 9 345 80188 76206 16 322 10 289 16 307 5 037 76206 72665 12 332 10 276 16 280 5 331 72665 69443 8 321 8 273 16 257 13 286 69443 66462 8 284 10 304 15 256 17 281 66462 63676 9 291 19 290 16 258 16 274 63676 60964 16 298 24 264 17 271 15 275 60964 58131 22 278 22 270 22 266 16 269 58131 55193 17 281 24 273 19 269 19 265 55193 52379 17 304 16 273 22 282 21 267 52379 49828 18 318 11 291 24 278 23 275 49828 47524 19 321 11 302 21 279 20 279 47524 45423 19 315 12 308 18 278 17 288 45423 43492 16 311 14 310 12 281 13 280 43492 41706 13 301 14 309 10 301 9 272 41706 40047 9 299 12 305 10 303 5 269 40047 38501 5 302 11 303 8 295 3 301 38501 37060 4 343 9 294 5 296 2 311 37060 35689 3 016 5 280 4 291 3 348 35689 34321 1 328 3 276 2 299 4 009 34321 32929 5 222 2 256 1 081 3 021 32929 31517 6 211 6 221 2 086 2 086 31517 30074 10 210 5 197 1 116 4 105 30074 28590 20 199 3 178 2 074 5 096 28590 27067 25 194 2 174 4 069 6 083 27067 25509 26 193 2 172 8 079 6 119 25509 23915 25 196 6 169 10 091 9 156 23915 22288 24 195 14 161 15 097 10 162 22288 20619 21 187 15 149 14 100 9 143 20619 18898 20 172 9 145 11 095 11 092 18898 17158 19 153 6 114 10 103 14 093 17158 15487 20 131 16 106 13 106 18 094 15487 13968 20 113 22 099 17 090 19 088 13968 12615 18 097 21 101 19 087 20 084 12615 11410 12 078 18 105 16 095 17 082 11410 10337 12 085 15 106 13 099 10 075 10337 9379 16 088 13 103 11 099 6 070 9379 8525 19*084 13*098 10 092 5 100 8525 7763 20*082 14*094 10*085 7 115 7763 7081 19 081 14 093 11*081 10 113 7081 6463 18 081 14 092 11 078 12 106 6463 5911 17 081 13 091 10 077 14 095 5911 5446 14 081 13 091 10 075 12 089 5446 5086 12 080 12 090 9 074 8 081 5086 4837 10 080 10 090 8 073 5 073 4837 4684 8 079 9 089 7 072 3*047 4684 4597 5 079 6 089 5 069 2*335 4597 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography