DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.0 - - 77.6 - - 82.9 - - 80.3 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 112 - - 490 - - 607 - - 360 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 494 - - 963 - - 699 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 3731 - - 4096 - - 3819 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4031 - - 4500 - - 4236 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 947 - - 427 - - 550 - - 480 - - 905 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 256 - - 343 - - 259 - - 24 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 174 - - 214 - - 207 - - 211 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 30 - - 40 - - 34 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2912 - - -3316 - - -4171 - - -3529 - - -2659 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5537 - - 7348 - - 8671 - - 7766 - - 5283 sfcLCL ODpotential -13734 - - -10904 - - -10795 - - -11126 - - -12746 ODpotential blCL 16358 - - 14935 - - 15295 - - 15362 - - 15370 blCL maxRH 62 - - 58 - - 49 - - 54 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 66.0 - - 77.6 - - 82.9 - - 80.3 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.9 - - 54.5 - - 54.1 - - 55.5 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.7 - - 75.3 - - 80.3 - - 78.8 - - 69.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.9 - - 54.5 - - 54.0 - - 55.4 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 112 - - 490 - - 607 - - 360 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 494 - - 963 - - 699 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98689 31 102 33 112 32 100 33 102 36 091 98689 91275 36 099 30 108 26 100 26 110 27 087 91275 85564 34 093 30 096 28 113 27 098 24 100 85564 80836 26 097 28 095 29 109 30 101 24 106 80836 76764 21 098 26 104 21 095 28 098 25 102 76764 73154 23 108 26 104 17 112 22 077 29 090 73154 69891 26 105 24 099 21 118 15 094 21 072 69891 66926 22 094 17 090 23 105 20 107 13 098 66926 64194 18 085 18 099 17 091 20 095 19 094 64194 61558 14 062 16 102 13 102 15 107 18 074 61558 58838 14 077 17 105 13 102 12 110 11 088 58838 56046 10 060 13 070 13 108 10 119 5 103 56046 53400 6 041 10 020 10 043 9 090 5 100 53400 51029 20 314 16 347 17 360 10 018 7 039 51029 48902 22 295 16 323 18 336 16 341 14 003 48902 46959 21 293 19 310 22 323 22 333 20 346 46959 45163 19 299 19 298 23 315 25 329 24 340 45163 43487 20 302 19 293 23 306 24 324 23 337 43487 41913 21 301 20 296 23 302 22 316 23 331 41913 40427 23 311 21 303 22 305 21 311 24 321 40427 39023 26 313 23 310 22 309 21 302 24 311 39023 37667 29 311 24 312 23 310 21 295 24 303 37667 36292 29 311 25 312 23 314 21 298 24 305 36292 34870 25 309 25 309 24 317 19 309 21 316 34870 33403 23 305 23 306 24 315 19 317 19 324 33403 31878 21 308 21 312 23 314 19 318 18 321 31878 30284 18 314 18 318 20 319 18 323 15 323 30284 28622 17 318 16 319 16 319 15 323 14 320 28622 26892 15 313 15 312 15 313 14 320 15 312 26892 25097 16 308 17 305 18 311 17 321 16 318 25097 23239 17 311 18 305 17 311 17 322 16 328 23239 21313 14 320 14 303 14 302 14 313 15 326 21313 19314 11 316 11 289 12 279 13 293 14 315 19314 17280 7 296 9 275 11 278 14 287 13 308 17280 15317 7 292 7 277 9 279 13 294 13 304 15317 13527 7 294 5 277 7 273 11 297 12 301 13527 11930 7 300 5 276 5 258 8 289 9 295 11930 10507 8 308 5 279 4 236 6 274 6 290 10507 9238 9 311 5 288 4 232 5 261 3 258 9238 8105 10 307 6 292 4 252 5 262 2 264 8105 7097 10 303 6 288 5 268 6 270 3 290 7097 6204 9 298 5 283 5 266 6 274 4 300 6204 5414 7 292 4 277 3 259 5 279 4 296 5414 4705 4 282 3 273 3*222 3*262 4 305 4705 4080 2 247 2*231 5*205 3*215 3 318 4080 3558 2 194 3*214 7 205 5 210 1 078 3558 3160 3 164 5 214 8 208 7 211 2 139 3160 2885 3 167 6 214 8 208 7 211 3 174 2885 2719 3*176 6 214 8 208 7 211 3*181 2719 2623 3*179 6 214 8 209 6 211 2*185 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography