DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 75.3 - - 71.7 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 398 - - 205 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 704 - - 1503 - - 533 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3808 - - 4423 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4241 - - 5040 - - 4070 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1628 - - 4089 - - 1751 - - 891 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 254 - - 350 - - 199 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 160 - - 167 - - 176 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 30 - - 25 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3317 - - -3239 - - -2741 - - -2131 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7559 - - 8280 - - 6812 - - 4754 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6755 - - -5485 - - -5999 - - -6784 ODpotential blCL - - - 10996 - - 10525 - - 10069 - - 9407 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 78 - - 61 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 80 - - 190 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.7 - - 75.3 - - 71.7 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 48.0 - - 50.8 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 73.6 - - 70.9 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 46.9 - - 50.2 - - 50.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 326 - - 398 - - 205 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 704 - - 1503 - - 533 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97566 17 240 21 236 26 247 23 254 97566 90144 14 234 18 233 21 237 23 245 90144 84467 17 251 20 263 13 266 12 252 84467 79766 13 258 18 272 15 290 10 295 79766 75729 10 277 14 273 16 278 14 289 75729 72178 14 272 18 277 20 286 19 283 72178 68975 14 277 19 282 22 290 19 286 68975 66020 13 289 20 283 22 294 20 296 66020 63265 17 292 24 286 25 287 26 285 63265 60599 22 289 26 287 28 279 26 287 60599 57819 28 285 30 282 30 279 31 284 57819 54933 36 282 36 276 35 280 39 272 54933 52177 47 281 41 276 43 280 42 273 52177 49694 56 276 50 278 53 279 52 278 49694 47472 62 274 59 276 64 273 67 273 47472 45476 65 272 68 273 72 268 77 268 45476 43667 67 277 75 275 73 269 86 268 43667 42003 70 282 78 279 78 274 100 269 42003 40453 68 282 81 280 90 278 104 269 40453 39000 57 280 80 278 95 278 101 269 39000 37635 51 278 75 276 90 277 92 269 37635 36324 47 271 66 274 82 277 84 266 36324 34999 46 265 57 272 78 277 77 266 34999 33630 43 264 50 265 73 277 69 267 33630 32219 36 262 43 260 54 274 58 265 32219 30752 33 258 40 259 42 263 47 261 30752 29220 31 256 38 257 44 257 41 256 29220 27623 30 256 34 252 41 257 39 255 27623 25962 28 258 33 255 37 255 36 252 25962 24237 24 262 30 257 32 255 32 247 24237 22452 16 259 21 245 27 253 27 241 22452 20602 10 250 14 224 23 238 23 233 20602 18682 8 256 11 224 19 218 21 224 18682 16729 5 237 10 198 17 194 19 201 16729 14851 4 178 11 171 15 176 21 188 14851 13142 11 168 14 170 18 172 26 179 13142 11619 15 171 18 173 22 173 30 173 11619 10259 16 171 21 177 25 174 30 175 10259 9042 17 167 21 180 26 175 28 182 9042 7954 19 162 21 179 25 175 25 188 7954 6983 20 158 21 173 23 175 23 192 6983 6122 18 154 18 165 19 173 19 191 6122 5357 16 148 15*154 15 168 16 184 5357 4669 13*139 10*150 10*158 12 171 4669 4058 9*133 9 154 7*156 9 157 4058 3546 6 145 9 171 6 171 8 142 3546 3153 6 174 9 177 7 181 7 145 3153 2882 6 181 9 183 7 186 7 149 2882 2717 6 185 8 184 7 188 5*145 2717 2622 5 189 7 187 6 191 2*094 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography