DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 83.3 - - 78.4 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 420 - - 153 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 412 - - 1248 - - 457 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4242 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3949 - - 4785 - - 3994 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1007 - - 2110 - - 841 - - 787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 212 - - 331 - - 169 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 19 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 255 - - 246 - - 021 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 31 - - 25 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4299 - - -4250 - - -3184 - - -2243 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8249 - - 9036 - - 7179 - - 4867 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9423 - - -8823 - - -8288 - - -9995 ODpotential blCL - - - 13372 - - 13608 - - 12282 - - 12619 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 43 - - 54 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 83.3 - - 78.4 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.0 - - 52.6 - - 55.8 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.7 - - 81.4 - - 77.7 - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 52.5 - - 55.8 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 420 - - 153 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 412 - - 1248 - - 457 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97980 14 309 1 324 11 224 15 299 97980 90714 3 281 3 255 5 328 8 011 90714 85096 7 148 2 209 6 324 11 019 85096 80422 8 104 6 125 4 121 3 354 80422 76395 7 133 3 077 8 093 4 133 76395 72837 2 216 3 024 6 027 10 092 72837 69620 2 208 4 217 5 320 9 051 69620 66682 9 110 11 179 6 204 2 049 66682 63974 3 122 1 313 0 200 4 050 63974 61363 6 134 4 198 6 241 8 282 61363 58655 10 307 9 331 4 316 10 266 58655 55858 18 299 21 304 18 308 16 291 55858 53199 26 314 27 306 29 310 25 310 53199 50805 36 316 33 309 36 307 35 309 50805 48645 43 314 39 308 40 305 43 307 48645 46666 47 310 42 307 44 304 49 307 46666 44835 47 307 42 306 49 306 53 306 44835 43129 42 306 43 304 50 306 53 306 43129 41530 36 308 37 304 47 305 52 305 41530 40025 31 315 32 307 42 303 49 305 40025 38610 29 314 26 312 34 300 42 305 38610 37251 23 308 24 311 25 306 34 301 37251 35878 20 313 21 295 20 311 27 306 35878 34463 16 334 15 299 17 297 18 315 34463 33012 15 359 10 307 16 283 14 306 33012 31506 15 015 7 330 12 290 11 298 31506 29933 16 006 9 337 8 311 6 295 29933 28293 17 355 12 350 9 353 6 339 28293 26581 18 327 15 323 11 330 9 354 26581 24801 23 313 19 319 15 345 10 009 24801 22958 22 329 18 343 12 357 9 002 22958 21050 18 349 14 354 11 357 12 358 21050 19074 14 353 13 346 13 357 14 358 19074 17066 14 006 13 351 13 001 12 005 17066 15134 18 018 13 003 12 004 10 023 15134 13376 19 022 14 019 10 008 9 050 13376 11810 18 022 16 030 10 022 11 065 11810 10415 17 027 17 036 12 034 9 065 10415 9170 16 037 16 042 13 039 7 055 9170 8059 14 045 15 039 12 034 5 028 8059 7068 12 048 14 031 12 025 5 348 7068 6189 11 043 12 025 10 008 6 322 6189 5408 11 035 8*015 8 346 7 314 5408 4706 9 029 5*360 6 335 8 315 4706 4083 6*020 2 289 4*314 7 318 4083 3562 2*352 4 245 4*257 5 324 3562 3162 2 276 5 237 5 248 3 334 3162 2887 3 248 6 234 5 243 2 345 2887 2719 3 241 6 232 5 241 2*009 2719 2623 3 237 5 231 5 239 1*029 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography