DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.0 - - 66.1 - - 71.0 - - 66.6 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 407 - - 507 - - 221 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1332 - - 2426 - - 1034 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 4297 - - 5163 - - 3921 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4869 - - 5963 - - 4571 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1303 - - 778 - - 869 - - 932 - - 1240 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 335 - - 440 - - 251 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 22 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 040 - - 236 - - 221 - - 219 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 27 - - 44 - - 35 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2330 - - -1620 - - -1390 - - -1048 - - -469 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4953 - - 6490 - - 7353 - - 5619 - - 3092 sfcLCL ODpotential -10581 - - -6808 - - -5199 - - -5311 - - -6372 ODpotential blCL 13204 - - 11677 - - 11162 - - 9882 - - 8995 blCL maxRH 62 - - 68 - - 67 - - 76 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.0 - - 66.1 - - 71.0 - - 66.6 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.4 - - 46.7 - - 47.6 - - 50.8 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.9 - - 64.4 - - 69.0 - - 65.7 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 46.6 - - 47.6 - - 50.8 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 407 - - 507 - - 221 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1332 - - 2426 - - 1034 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98521 17 103 17 122 11 135 7 086 12 058 98521 91128 15 105 17 100 16 098 21 100 17 109 91128 85445 17 112 15 098 16 122 15 099 16 098 85445 80750 22 108 17 107 15 120 14 118 14 095 80750 76694 21 108 17 127 17 097 16 109 13 100 76694 73094 19 106 17 137 10 083 15 090 18 098 73094 69823 13 083 17 135 11 117 8 083 13 090 69823 66824 11 070 14 121 9 146 5 148 5 041 66824 64050 7 322 8 070 9 174 13 187 5 230 64050 61356 16 254 15 270 9 284 8 227 13 191 61356 58565 21 254 22 257 21 253 15 276 12 256 58565 55689 33 264 36 257 38 242 35 246 32 263 55689 52955 50 267 46 261 47 252 51 251 51 250 52955 50514 66 268 59 266 60 260 62 258 63 251 50514 48326 79 263 73 260 73 253 70 255 72 252 48326 46326 85 260 82 255 81 250 78 250 79 251 46326 44476 91 257 87 254 87 250 84 248 83 249 44476 42753 94 257 90 254 90 251 87 248 86 245 42753 41139 95 255 93 253 92 251 89 247 89 243 41139 39623 95 255 92 251 92 250 91 246 91 243 39623 38197 92 257 90 252 92 249 92 244 92 242 38197 36823 89 257 86 253 91 250 93 242 93 240 36823 35435 85 256 77 255 79 249 91 244 93 241 35435 34007 81 256 73 252 74 246 86 242 91 240 34007 32546 80 254 73 251 73 245 83 242 88 242 32546 31036 76 249 74 252 70 245 76 245 80 245 31036 29463 71 249 76 252 69 247 70 247 76 245 29463 27824 69 250 73 251 68 250 69 250 76 246 27824 26117 66 251 65 253 69 253 68 248 73 244 26117 24349 60 254 57 255 64 259 63 250 69 243 24349 22527 54 257 50 254 52 255 56 254 62 245 22527 20643 44 259 45 256 47 255 49 252 54 248 20643 18697 30 262 36 258 36 257 38 257 41 252 18697 16729 22 268 23 255 26 249 25 252 25 253 16729 14841 17 275 16 260 16 250 14 251 15 245 14841 13123 11 281 12 270 9 263 8 266 10 242 13123 11593 6 282 9 270 6 278 5 288 6 236 11593 10228 4 315 6 278 3 291 1 284 3 192 10228 9008 7 336 5 310 2 330 4 146 7 147 9008 7919 9 337 6 334 2 062 7 152 9 142 7919 6949 11 335 7 346 3 072 3 160 8 149 6949 6091 11 335 7 356 1*075 1 231 7 156 6091 5330 11 336 5*005 1*222 0 271 5 162 5330 4647 9 337 2*353 3 220 1*234 3 172 4647 4042 6 337 1 266 7 222 5*221 3 180 4042 3536 4 335 3 233 8 221 6 220 3 164 3536 3147 2 338 5 227 9 221 7 219 3 149 3147 2878 1 017 5 224 9 221 7 219 3 149 2878 2715 2*044 5 223 9 220 7 218 3*150 2715 2622 2*049 5 222 8 220 6 219 2*149 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography