DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 70.4 - - 68.5 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 108 - - 11 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 78 - - 1561 - - 866 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 3976 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3615 - - 5098 - - 4403 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1956 - - 1851 - - 2240 - - 2762 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 51 - - 235 - - 98 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 17 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 171 - - 216 - - 028 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 18 - - 15 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6124 - - -5604 - - -6142 - - -6287 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9740 - - 10702 - - 10545 - - 8912 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13051 - - -10520 - - -11123 - - -12092 ODpotential blCL - - - 16666 - - 15618 - - 15526 - - 14716 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 81 - - 77 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 70.4 - - 68.5 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 32.8 - - 31.6 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 70.3 - - 69.1 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 31.6 - - 30.4 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 108 - - 11 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 78 - - 1561 - - 866 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 24 - - 9 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95830 46 282 45 276 39 269 48 266 95830 88819 28 275 42 278 31 287 33 288 88819 83417 18 272 31 278 26 298 29 299 83417 78924 12 264 20 274 18 300 23 297 78924 75042 9 277 14 267 15 287 18 286 75042 71604 13 307 10 282 11 278 13 266 71604 68491 15 297 14 297 11 298 11 283 68491 65625 20 269 21 286 21 291 18 292 65625 62972 21 258 27 267 27 280 20 276 62972 60412 23 254 29 255 30 273 22 271 60412 57727 29 262 33 255 32 263 28 272 57727 54920 37 263 43 261 46 266 43 269 54920 52224 43 258 51 257 54 260 52 260 52224 49780 40 252 48 253 51 259 50 256 49780 47571 40 259 43 257 51 264 49 261 47571 45552 43 262 44 261 51 264 51 264 45552 43693 44 258 47 260 47 261 52 261 43693 41970 42 255 46 256 46 261 51 256 41970 40372 36 248 39 241 41 256 47 251 40372 38899 35 239 33 229 37 245 41 250 38899 37530 35 233 30 229 37 238 34 254 37530 36213 32 223 32 226 38 231 32 277 36213 34883 31 219 34 226 36 233 30 282 34883 33514 28 214 33 224 33 235 36 282 33514 32105 27 201 32 211 30 234 34 279 32105 30637 33 182 33 191 25 224 27 275 30637 29109 40 176 38 176 26 206 19 254 29109 27528 40 176 36 177 28 193 15 235 27528 25890 37 177 26 185 22 194 15 219 25890 24189 34 178 23 184 16 186 12 208 24189 22424 30 174 23 175 17 182 11 206 22424 20589 26 169 24 170 18 178 11 204 20589 18680 24 165 23 171 14 182 8 202 18680 16732 20 164 20 174 10 187 5 200 16732 14852 14 158 16 174 7 183 4 181 14852 13138 9 150 12 170 5 170 4 172 13138 11608 5 144 9 166 4 159 4 163 11608 10244 4 153 7 160 4 149 5 162 10244 9026 4 165 5 152 3 142 6 167 9026 7938 4 168 4 139 4 141 7 172 7938 6970 4 166 4 132 6 136 8 177 6970 6113 4 154 5 127 6 125 7 177 6113 5351 5 146 5*119 5 103 6 176 5351 4665 6 141 3*120 3*082 4 176 4665 4056 7*138 2 143 1*104 1 178 4056 3546 6*136 3 180 2 217 1 339 3546 3153 3 126 3 191 3 220 3 350 3153 2882 2 114 3 196 3 221 3 011 2882 2717 1 120 3 200 3 221 4*025 2717 2623 1 134 3 202 3 221 4*028 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography