DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.5 - - 67.2 - - 72.4 - - 70.9 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 354 - - 418 - - 210 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 293 - - 836 - - 700 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 3951 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3830 - - 4373 - - 4237 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 828 - - 515 - - 984 - - 1053 - - 1053 Hgt.Variab. W* 36 - - 195 - - 292 - - 219 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 353 - - 243 - - 238 - - 250 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 25 - - 34 - - 32 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1571 - - -1705 - - -2207 - - -1912 - - -1584 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4194 - - 5535 - - 6580 - - 6149 - - 4208 sfcLCL ODpotential -6724 - - -4785 - - -4824 - - -5063 - - -6467 ODpotential blCL 9347 - - 8615 - - 9197 - - 9300 - - 9091 blCL maxRH 70 - - 70 - - 64 - - 73 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 120 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.5 - - 67.2 - - 72.4 - - 70.9 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.2 - - 51.9 - - 52.4 - - 52.8 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.9 - - 65.8 - - 70.5 - - 70.0 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.9 - - 51.3 - - 51.6 - - 52.3 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 354 - - 418 - - 210 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 293 - - 836 - - 700 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97424 11 245 19 229 18 243 19 267 19 285 97424 89993 15 288 9 274 8 239 18 266 19 278 89993 84334 16 318 15 335 6 313 5 284 12 292 84334 79684 14 318 14 315 17 303 12 341 11 339 79684 75692 13 328 10 291 17 288 16 309 12 332 75692 72160 17 313 9 307 10 289 16 297 15 297 72160 68954 18 292 18 302 18 289 19 300 17 293 68954 66000 20 289 21 296 22 285 21 295 21 284 66000 63267 22 283 21 296 22 287 21 285 21 288 63267 60624 24 279 20 284 24 294 21 296 23 298 60624 57851 26 280 26 275 30 290 32 296 32 296 57851 54960 29 285 31 278 37 280 42 280 42 287 54960 52204 36 295 40 283 40 276 49 280 47 285 52204 49731 48 293 43 283 43 279 51 281 51 285 49731 47520 52 290 47 288 46 284 50 283 57 285 47520 45518 56 294 51 291 49 288 52 285 61 283 45518 43694 59 295 51 293 49 290 51 287 63 284 43694 42022 58 292 51 294 47 289 50 286 59 283 42022 40474 57 289 50 292 46 289 47 280 52 282 40474 39032 55 291 48 292 47 289 43 279 47 281 39032 37682 52 295 50 294 49 291 39 283 43 281 37682 36386 51 299 51 296 50 295 40 287 39 282 36386 35072 53 302 50 297 48 299 43 289 38 284 35072 33710 56 306 48 298 46 300 42 290 38 285 33710 32303 58 309 46 300 43 298 41 289 38 289 32303 30839 56 314 45 301 40 298 38 289 37 290 30839 29304 51 315 42 303 39 300 34 292 35 286 29304 27704 42 318 37 300 39 300 32 296 29 286 27704 26036 36 326 30 305 36 300 33 301 26 294 26036 24303 32 326 27 314 28 297 26 301 24 301 24303 22507 30 326 26 319 23 305 19 297 19 307 22507 20649 28 332 24 327 20 318 14 303 14 301 20649 18723 26 340 22 339 17 331 11 320 9 296 18723 16762 23 347 20 348 16 342 10 337 7 307 16762 14875 16 346 16 341 13 347 10 350 7 341 14875 13159 7 348 8 319 8 339 6 005 4 014 13159 11632 2 339 4 277 2 281 1 098 3 121 11632 10269 3 258 3 240 3 197 3 171 3 164 10269 9050 6 263 5 244 4 194 5 194 3 209 9050 7959 9 275 5 268 3 210 6 218 4 242 7959 6986 9 289 5 302 3 230 6 238 6 257 6986 6123 11 307 7 332 3 248 7 257 7 267 6123 5357 11 322 8 350 3 282 7 277 7 276 5357 4668 11 334 8 355 3*279 7*283 7 288 4668 4057 10 344 5*350 4*258 6*272 7 297 4057 3545 9 350 2*274 6 241 6 253 5 304 3545 3152 6 352 4 245 7 235 7 246 3 305 3152 2882 3 351 5 238 7 234 7 242 2 286 2882 2717 2*355 5 234 7 231 7 240 1*276 2717 2623 0*358 5 232 6 230 6 239 1*273 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography