DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 82.2 - - 80.0 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 524 - - 247 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1599 - - 2753 - - 1624 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4500 - - 5421 - - 4379 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5136 - - 6290 - - 5161 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1293 - - 1575 - - 2010 - - 1836 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 361 - - 463 - - 303 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 193 - - 200 - - 093 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 46 - - 40 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5413 - - -6180 - - -5351 - - -5504 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10550 - - 12471 - - 10512 - - 8128 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12655 - - -12685 - - -10729 - - -12471 ODpotential blCL - - - 17791 - - 18975 - - 15890 - - 15095 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 64 - - 89 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.3 - - 82.2 - - 80.0 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.3 - - 36.6 - - 43.1 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 80.0 - - 79.0 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.2 - - 36.5 - - 43.0 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 426 - - 524 - - 247 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1599 - - 2753 - - 1624 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 55 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98747 25 099 18 132 13 133 13 072 98747 91337 17 112 19 110 15 097 15 089 91337 85615 16 106 20 116 17 107 12 091 85615 80864 21 102 18 113 17 111 14 093 80864 76783 23 110 15 115 14 107 13 094 76783 73178 17 109 12 113 13 090 14 096 73178 69927 10 089 9 108 9 065 11 116 69927 66943 5 100 6 170 3 059 7 099 66943 64196 6 154 14 193 3 222 3 297 64196 61550 9 222 6 228 11 217 11 262 61550 58781 17 214 20 247 22 243 21 255 58781 55940 18 225 31 231 36 237 35 247 55940 53261 31 252 36 255 39 252 42 255 53261 50854 53 259 58 261 60 265 62 273 50854 48695 73 260 74 262 77 265 73 266 48695 46723 84 255 78 256 81 259 75 259 46723 44905 83 249 77 249 79 252 75 251 44905 43215 80 249 75 248 79 248 74 248 43215 41626 79 253 71 250 77 249 73 247 41626 40125 70 256 69 248 73 250 71 250 40125 38706 61 255 65 248 68 250 69 250 38706 37335 58 254 63 248 65 251 68 250 37335 35948 58 254 59 250 61 254 66 255 35948 34518 55 254 51 252 57 255 62 264 34518 33046 48 252 48 253 53 255 53 268 33046 31522 44 246 46 249 48 255 43 259 31522 29933 45 240 45 247 44 251 40 246 29933 28277 46 235 44 243 43 246 42 239 28277 26557 44 233 45 238 44 244 41 241 26557 24776 41 235 43 240 45 244 39 242 24776 22936 41 235 40 239 41 242 38 236 22936 21030 40 235 40 236 39 238 36 233 21030 19051 38 233 39 231 38 234 35 232 19051 17041 38 229 41 230 38 234 36 229 17041 15107 38 229 43 231 37 232 35 229 15107 13348 38 229 41 231 36 232 32 230 13348 11781 37 229 36 231 33 231 29 230 11781 10385 36 229 33 228 28 229 26 227 10385 9138 32 230 30 227 25 226 23 224 9138 8028 28 229 26 225 21 223 21 221 8028 7039 22 226 20*220 18 219 18 219 7039 6165 16 216 14*208 14 211 15 214 6165 5390 12*198 12 195 10*203 12 206 5390 4693 11*179 12 189 9*197 10 195 4693 4076 11 170 12 188 9 198 8 183 4076 3559 11 170 12 190 9 199 6 171 3559 3161 11 172 12 191 9 200 4 155 3161 2886 10 175 12 192 9 202 4 142 2886 2719 10 176 11 192 9 203 3*134 2719 2623 8 178 9 193 7 203 2*054 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography