DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 76.5 - - 76.0 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 565 - - 311 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1558 - - 1534 - - 1048 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4489 - - 4509 - - 4035 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5095 - - 5071 - - 4585 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 781 - - 899 - - 853 - - 1087 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 369 - - 392 - - 283 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 227 - - 226 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 41 - - 30 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4201 - - -3675 - - -3839 - - -3347 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9296 - - 8747 - - 8424 - - 5971 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13253 - - -12382 - - -12781 - - -13681 ODpotential blCL - - - 18348 - - 17453 - - 17366 - - 16305 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 52 - - 50 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 76.5 - - 76.0 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.2 - - 47.3 - - 48.2 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.8 - - 74.2 - - 74.6 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 47.0 - - 48.0 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 565 - - 311 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1558 - - 1534 - - 1048 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98753 25 117 23 119 16 132 17 101 98753 91272 28 125 26 110 18 114 22 105 91272 85509 28 118 22 111 23 092 27 103 85509 80742 23 107 23 106 23 095 23 099 80742 76649 16 108 18 109 21 095 19 109 76649 73041 16 115 13 111 16 098 16 102 73041 69784 13 109 7 127 12 109 14 095 69784 66804 10 113 10 130 8 141 10 108 66804 64054 2 137 3 105 5 146 6 114 64054 61409 11 185 8 224 8 232 6 292 61409 58664 9 234 8 242 10 246 9 259 58664 55821 12 251 12 247 16 254 16 268 55821 53138 4 008 2 225 8 215 12 248 53138 50738 12 337 9 331 7 339 7 264 50738 48578 18 299 22 302 22 310 21 309 48578 46615 24 296 25 293 26 303 26 306 46615 44813 24 303 25 302 23 303 23 314 44813 43138 28 319 26 309 21 310 22 328 43138 41568 31 323 26 317 23 325 26 336 41568 40088 31 323 25 321 25 329 26 339 40088 38692 30 327 25 326 24 327 22 338 38692 37345 30 334 27 330 22 326 19 341 37345 35985 33 340 28 329 22 331 18 346 35985 34582 35 341 30 333 25 339 19 346 34582 33137 35 340 31 336 28 344 21 342 33137 31633 32 332 26 329 30 350 24 344 31633 30059 28 319 18 328 24 347 25 348 30059 28415 26 311 24 348 18 334 20 354 28415 26701 26 309 32 001 18 344 17 347 26701 24919 28 312 28 004 20 356 17 343 24919 23071 28 317 19 357 17 354 17 346 23071 21152 25 323 20 344 17 351 19 355 21152 19157 21 326 18 340 19 354 20 001 19157 17129 18 323 15 343 17 355 16 005 17129 15177 15 318 13 345 15 357 13 001 15177 13400 13 308 11 338 13 001 12 359 13400 11816 12 299 9 324 11 000 11 357 11816 10408 13 303 9 308 7 346 8 345 10408 9154 14 313 9 304 6 323 7 326 9154 8038 15 321 10 317 6 329 6 312 8038 7045 15 327 10 328 7 342 7 319 7045 6167 15 333 8 332 7 344 9 330 6167 5388 12*332 4*314 6 345 10 334 5388 4690 8*314 3*269 2*333 9 337 4690 4071 8 295 6 231 2*259 6 348 4071 3554 8 279 7 224 5 228 4 016 3554 3157 8 269 8 222 6 224 1 046 3157 2884 8 264 8 221 6 223 1 169 2884 2718 8 261 8 220 6 221 1*186 2718 2623 7 258 8 220 6 221 1*188 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography