DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.7 - - 58.2 - - 61.0 - - 60.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -98 - - 8 - - 59 - - -1 - - -108 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 918 - - 123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 2623 - - 4455 - - 3660 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 68 - - 2718 - - 1581 - - 2060 - - 180 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 31 - - 176 - - 46 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 134 - - 138 - - 093 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -37 - - 3 - - 11 - - -9 - - -39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4496 - - -4698 - - -1548 - - -1257 - - -4176 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7118 - - 7321 - - 6003 - - 4917 - - 6800 sfcLCL ODpotential -15166 - - -13388 - - -8492 - - -6829 - - -13305 ODpotential blCL 17788 - - 16011 - - 12947 - - 10489 - - 15928 blCL maxRH 62 - - 43 - - 89 - - 59 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.7 - - 58.2 - - 61.0 - - 60.9 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.6 - - 35.7 - - 44.1 - - 48.6 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.9 - - 59.0 - - 61.2 - - 61.8 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 34.6 - - 42.8 - - 47.4 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -98 - - 8 - - 59 - - -1 - - -108 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 918 - - 123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 55 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96812 22 123 23 090 16 125 9 128 5 070 96812 89603 22 091 23 103 17 125 13 117 8 110 89603 84033 13 079 16 107 9 133 9 069 11 093 84033 79414 7 099 7 135 2 103 3 066 9 026 79414 75448 1 289 2 218 3 341 1 013 7 347 75448 71947 7 259 13 261 11 319 9 324 9 349 71947 68778 9 249 19 260 19 285 23 292 20 315 68778 65878 17 264 19 267 22 269 24 276 23 304 65878 63188 24 267 21 283 18 270 23 264 25 280 63188 60575 29 271 29 281 24 279 27 263 29 269 60575 57841 38 269 39 266 37 277 38 276 36 274 57841 55006 42 264 46 257 51 269 48 268 44 277 55006 52307 44 263 44 256 50 259 48 270 48 277 52307 49881 42 265 39 261 48 269 52 275 56 280 49881 47711 42 275 50 271 57 272 63 276 64 280 47711 45756 50 278 63 270 68 270 71 274 65 281 45756 43976 48 269 60 262 69 267 65 275 62 283 43976 42335 40 260 53 257 60 262 57 281 59 291 42335 40808 33 261 49 257 53 257 59 292 54 303 40808 39374 33 266 43 257 47 256 57 297 56 313 39374 38018 36 269 41 260 47 267 53 301 56 311 38018 36702 40 275 41 268 47 266 48 294 54 305 36702 35362 39 282 38 275 42 263 46 276 50 302 35362 33971 35 285 35 279 35 258 40 263 45 301 33971 32531 29 279 29 271 31 249 39 265 46 295 32531 31031 29 265 27 256 31 241 39 265 45 293 31031 29466 35 261 29 254 31 245 38 257 36 282 29466 27836 38 261 30 256 33 248 32 252 34 277 27836 26145 37 257 31 252 32 249 28 253 31 269 26145 24396 34 255 28 249 30 246 26 253 26 262 24396 22591 31 252 26 242 30 245 25 256 25 256 22591 20718 28 252 25 238 30 248 23 258 23 257 20718 18772 26 248 25 237 28 248 21 257 21 257 18772 16791 25 240 24 237 25 242 22 256 20 255 16791 14881 23 235 23 239 22 242 20 252 19 256 14881 13144 20 232 20 241 19 245 17 249 16 252 13144 11598 17 228 16 237 15 243 14 245 12 239 11598 10223 15 224 14 227 12 231 11 238 9 225 10223 8999 12 219 12 216 10 215 8 221 7 203 8999 7910 9 205 10 203 9 197 6 190 7 180 7910 6944 8 186 9 186 8 172 7 158 8 165 6944 6090 9 169 9 170 9 150 9 134 9 148 6090 5332 9 157 9 159 9 130 10 118 9 137 5332 4650 9 149 9 148 8*114 10 104 10 124 4650 4045 9 144 9 139 6*114 8*089 11 103 4045 3538 8 140 9 136 4 132 6*085 13 084 3538 3148 6 127 6 134 4 147 3 088 14 071 3148 2878 6 104 4 132 4 156 2 105 14 064 2878 2715 7*065 3*135 4 161 1 116 12*058 2715 2622 8*051 2*137 3 164 1 120 8*052 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography