DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 72.8 - - 67.7 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 219 - - 35 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1319 - - 1827 - - 621 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4064 - - 4484 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4856 - - 5364 - - 4158 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2159 - - 2907 - - 1580 - - 1835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 303 - - 116 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 14 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 200 - - 236 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 59 - - 19 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6834 - - -2184 - - -1730 - - -5660 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11691 - - 7549 - - 5888 - - 8285 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11568 - - -6110 - - -5466 - - -9223 ODpotential blCL - - - 16424 - - 11474 - - 9624 - - 11847 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 98 - - 98 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 90 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 72.8 - - 67.7 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 48.5 - - 50.7 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 72.0 - - 68.0 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 48.6 - - 50.5 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 219 - - 35 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1319 - - 1827 - - 621 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 92 - - 94 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98045 23 255 26 241 27 256 25 273 98045 90658 15 251 15 229 16 242 17 273 90658 84943 12 248 9 252 4 242 8 242 84943 80217 13 207 12 277 4 339 4 150 80217 76175 7 178 8 243 4 304 5 083 76175 72631 2 025 1 205 2 306 4 071 72631 69442 6 081 2 216 6 294 5 336 69442 66527 6 019 1 207 7 276 7 301 66527 63832 8 325 7 329 6 234 7 261 63832 61214 8 276 13 314 8 273 8 261 61214 58481 11 281 15 292 16 287 14 283 58481 55664 15 303 13 272 16 284 20 279 55664 52984 17 304 14 273 17 291 23 283 52984 50564 12 277 17 268 21 294 26 286 50564 48378 10 288 14 268 19 291 23 288 48378 46372 12 304 11 281 15 288 20 296 46372 44510 11 273 11 289 13 292 20 303 44510 42770 11 257 10 271 14 302 19 306 42770 41135 9 262 9 236 15 302 18 307 41135 39595 16 255 16 229 13 259 18 306 39595 38141 32 243 29 228 20 240 16 309 38141 36739 48 241 34 236 29 239 12 295 36739 35329 62 238 47 237 39 232 17 272 35329 33887 75 234 66 228 53 222 30 244 33887 32419 79 227 78 222 74 216 51 221 32419 30906 80 228 79 221 81 214 68 213 30906 29330 67 239 70 226 77 217 66 211 29330 27691 46 236 51 235 68 226 65 208 27691 25993 38 219 26 228 51 236 58 217 25993 24241 31 216 22 224 32 233 46 227 24241 22433 32 212 27 219 27 219 36 227 22433 20563 32 206 28 219 22 208 24 217 20563 18632 27 207 26 212 14 195 25 197 18632 16676 24 203 24 204 17 168 30 196 16676 14799 22 208 24 199 14 160 24 210 14799 13097 21 217 22 194 15 180 17 227 13097 11583 20 224 21 191 16 190 22 229 11583 10234 20 227 18 197 13 194 28 225 10234 9028 20 229 16 207 9 200 29 225 9028 7948 18 233 16 215 7 212 27 226 7948 6983 16 237 16 216 7 224 24 226 6983 6126 13 240 15*210 8 230 19 226 6126 5363 10*242 15*202 8 235 15 225 5363 4675 7*233 14 199 7*237 11 220 4675 4064 5 214 14 199 5*235 7 209 4064 3551 5 204 14 200 5 235 4 181 3551 3156 5 203 14 201 4 236 4 107 3156 2883 5 203 13 202 4 237 6 086 2883 2718 5 205 12 202 4 236 6*082 2718 2623 4 204 10 204 4 235 5*079 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography