DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 73.8 - - - - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 554 - - - - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 698 - - 1250 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3872 - - 4296 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4235 - - 4787 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 538 - - 701 - - - - - 1332 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 365 - - - - - 30 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 196 - - - - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 33 - - 42 - - - - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1621 - - -1156 - - - - - -742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5857 - - 5943 - - - - - 3365 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9376 - - -7213 - - - - - -9015 ODpotential blCL - - - 13611 - - 12000 - - - - - 11638 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 81 - - - - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 73.8 - - - - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 56.4 - - - - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 71.5 - - - - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 56.1 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 554 - - - - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 698 - - 1250 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 24 - - - - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98561 21 114 15 143 9 097 98561 91079 13 100 9 115 12 080 91079 85342 10 131 13 114 12 074 85342 80589 11 125 16 120 12 097 80589 76483 10 091 13 110 12 105 76483 72856 12 088 9 115 15 115 72856 69584 9 108 6 144 10 105 69584 66594 5 151 8 179 4 003 66594 63845 6 211 3 216 6 278 63845 61195 9 264 12 311 9 336 61195 58438 12 271 18 274 18 283 58438 55594 8 276 17 265 26 269 55594 52888 25 293 31 276 40 267 52888 50443 42 280 41 274 48 265 50443 48239 48 286 47 282 51 273 48239 46231 59 297 54 286 59 281 46231 44389 69 298 60 289 68 283 44389 42685 77 296 69 290 72 280 42685 41101 83 293 75 286 69 275 41101 39619 77 289 75 282 70 272 39619 38230 71 287 73 281 72 270 38230 36892 70 286 72 280 72 270 36892 35537 66 287 68 277 68 270 35537 34136 61 287 60 273 66 270 34136 32692 58 288 57 273 63 269 32692 31194 50 283 53 275 62 267 31194 29631 48 277 49 274 55 263 29631 28003 48 277 47 277 50 261 28003 26308 41 273 42 278 46 264 26308 24549 35 264 39 270 42 260 24549 22734 31 258 35 259 37 255 22734 20856 23 257 30 252 34 250 20856 18906 18 253 24 253 30 250 18906 16919 20 249 20 255 23 253 16919 15002 20 249 16 256 16 260 15002 13255 18 241 15 250 13 271 13255 11699 17 234 15 247 12 285 11699 10312 15 234 13 249 12 293 10312 9075 13 237 11 254 12 302 9075 7970 11 240 10 257 11 314 7970 6988 9 240 9 251 10 316 6988 6119 6 235 7 235 6 306 6119 5349 3 223 5*211 4 292 5349 4659 4*193 6*194 2 267 4659 4049 5*183 7 193 3 163 4049 3540 6 189 9 195 5 150 3540 3150 7 194 9 197 6 158 3150 2881 8 196 10 199 6 165 2881 2716 7 197 9 199 5*168 2716 2622 7 199 8 201 4*171 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography