DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 94.2 - - 91.1 - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 545 - - 302 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 644 - - 1464 - - 659 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3826 - - 4449 - - 3745 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4181 - - 5001 - - 4196 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 561 - - 1622 - - 1203 - - 877 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 381 - - 240 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 231 - - 233 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 38 - - 34 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5303 - - -8298 - - -7367 - - -5495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9484 - - 13300 - - 11563 - - 8120 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11811 - - -12341 - - -12087 - - -11858 ODpotential blCL - - - 15992 - - 17342 - - 16283 - - 14483 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 53 - - 54 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.5 - - 94.2 - - 91.1 - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 45.0 - - 49.7 - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.5 - - 91.7 - - 89.6 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 45.0 - - 49.7 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 456 - - 545 - - 302 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 644 - - 1464 - - 659 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99205 40 113 39 110 34 107 29 104 99205 91751 37 109 36 111 32 114 27 096 91751 85990 35 102 31 111 29 104 29 103 85990 81193 33 103 30 108 26 104 29 102 81193 77072 29 106 26 099 28 097 26 099 77072 73451 23 107 21 089 26 098 22 090 73451 70183 23 109 13 093 19 090 20 084 70183 67183 16 093 11 131 10 072 15 061 67183 64412 12 059 14 121 8 102 10 056 64412 61738 8 053 12 088 8 092 6 062 61738 58971 4 098 10 070 6 081 4 120 58971 56135 6 160 3 051 5 083 5 114 56135 53461 18 168 15 203 11 227 3 288 53461 51073 22 147 27 179 25 208 17 228 51073 48935 15 137 23 167 24 197 22 212 48935 46986 10 177 15 169 17 187 19 200 46986 45184 15 205 15 195 18 198 17 200 45184 43505 23 204 19 200 20 202 17 207 43505 41929 26 199 22 194 22 198 19 207 41929 40441 26 194 24 198 24 198 20 197 40441 39033 25 184 22 199 24 203 20 200 39033 37670 22 183 20 187 20 202 20 201 37670 36290 20 188 22 183 17 196 20 198 36290 34863 20 192 17 182 14 189 16 194 34863 33394 16 187 13 185 9 184 13 182 33394 31866 7 166 6 148 7 167 9 175 31866 30268 5 115 7 126 6 157 9 175 30268 28604 5 087 6 104 5 126 5 169 28604 26877 4 045 4 080 5 090 4 128 26877 25088 3 329 2 048 6 079 6 115 25088 23239 1 341 4 079 7 078 7 098 23239 21323 6 133 8 117 6 086 7 084 21323 19334 7 145 7 120 6 096 8 093 19334 17312 7 155 5 130 6 095 9 106 17312 15363 9 168 5 162 4 100 11 120 15363 13585 10 172 6 175 3 123 12 117 13585 11995 12 168 7 181 5 147 10 113 11995 10573 12 164 7 182 6 163 8 115 10573 9301 10 160 7 178 7 175 6 122 9301 8164 9 161 7 171 7 183 3 144 8164 7151 7 167 7 169 6 191 2 193 7151 6254 4 177 5 174 5 207 3 232 6254 5458 3 190 3*199 4 243 5 253 5458 4743 2*201 3*236 4*262 5 265 4743 4110 2*219 4 237 5*256 5 273 4110 3581 4 221 6 231 6 236 5 289 3581 3173 5 221 7 229 7 229 2 306 3173 2892 6 220 8 228 7 226 1 274 2892 2721 6 220 8 227 7 224 1*260 2721 2624 6 220 7 226 6 225 1*258 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography