DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 82.6 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 559 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 678 - - 1139 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3854 - - 4214 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4215 - - 4676 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 688 - - 892 - - - - - 1471 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 354 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 238 - - - - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 39 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5154 - - -4499 - - - - - -3614 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9369 - - 9175 - - - - - 6238 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10418 - - -8610 - - - - - -9069 ODpotential blCL - - - 14633 - - 13286 - - - - - 11693 blCL maxRH - - - 41 - - 49 - - - - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.5 - - 82.6 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.7 - - 51.5 - - - - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 80.2 - - - - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 51.3 - - - - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 465 - - 559 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 678 - - 1139 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98701 26 103 27 111 20 094 98701 91204 22 103 21 119 17 100 91204 85485 18 107 15 088 18 098 85485 80760 13 123 10 068 20 092 80760 76693 19 119 6 092 19 072 76693 73100 23 117 9 135 18 060 73100 69847 20 101 11 123 13 050 69847 66873 19 066 11 104 8 076 66873 64130 6 028 10 067 11 092 64130 61482 3 197 1 207 11 054 61482 58733 2 115 6 174 7 341 58733 55896 6 309 4 185 10 254 55896 53199 16 270 11 261 12 275 53199 50764 24 247 20 258 19 284 50764 48562 27 240 25 250 24 276 48562 46550 29 237 30 242 26 268 46550 44713 28 236 29 244 29 264 44713 43026 27 251 28 250 29 260 43026 41457 28 260 28 248 28 259 41457 39987 24 262 24 247 26 260 39987 38602 21 266 21 249 25 259 38602 37265 20 270 20 258 23 257 37265 35909 21 271 20 268 20 260 35909 34507 20 270 19 271 19 270 34507 33061 18 268 18 273 20 276 33061 31558 17 278 17 285 19 276 31558 29987 17 294 17 293 18 283 29987 28348 15 292 16 285 19 286 28348 26643 15 282 16 286 18 283 26643 24871 10 296 12 292 14 274 24871 23035 7 300 8 287 9 276 23035 21129 9 272 10 258 9 287 21129 19145 7 260 12 231 10 269 19145 17129 8 221 14 233 11 254 17129 15194 12 213 23 234 15 252 15194 13437 15 222 26 236 19 254 13437 11870 19 239 24 241 20 258 11870 10468 20 251 21 251 19 266 10468 9213 19 259 18 264 17 279 9213 8091 17 268 17 275 16 287 8091 7091 16 278 16 282 15 289 7091 6205 15 287 13 284 14 287 6205 5420 13 294 10 283 12 286 5420 4715 9*297 7*269 10 288 4715 4090 5*281 6*254 8 292 4090 3568 6 251 7 241 7 300 3568 3166 7 242 8 235 4 290 3166 2889 7 237 8 232 4 279 2889 2720 7 235 8 231 3*276 2720 2623 6 232 7 230 3*270 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography