DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 54.8 - - - - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 231 - - - - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3454 - - 1949 - - - - - 1447 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5843 - - 4592 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6991 - - 5486 - - - - - 4984 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1680 - - 2787 - - - - - 3083 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 436 - - 316 - - - - - 139 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 217 - - - - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 50 - - 57 - - - - - 39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1889 - - 984 - - - - - 1309 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5102 - - 4502 - - - - - 3675 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 870 - - 236 - - - - - 565 ODpotential blCL - - - 6121 - - 5250 - - - - - 4419 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 97 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 100 - - - - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.0 - - 54.8 - - - - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.6 - - 43.9 - - - - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 54.3 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.4 - - 43.7 - - - - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 343 - - 231 - - - - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3454 - - 1949 - - - - - 1447 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 89 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98468 15 134 15 101 12 099 98468 91083 19 154 10 121 12 057 91083 85357 19 117 11 115 11 076 85357 80577 14 111 13 130 11 125 80577 76472 11 090 16 112 14 110 76472 72854 7 067 16 103 13 101 72854 69576 8 145 8 092 12 118 69576 66571 16 155 5 130 5 182 66571 63777 12 144 6 173 12 176 63777 61048 4 137 9 202 11 238 61048 58198 12 280 12 241 13 239 58198 55239 16 272 21 267 10 237 55239 52419 27 283 33 270 25 268 52419 49895 41 279 40 270 37 269 49895 47637 46 272 45 267 49 269 47637 45586 48 271 47 259 60 257 45586 43702 56 280 48 260 60 250 43702 41952 75 283 61 265 57 257 41952 40320 93 280 76 265 69 258 40320 38800 103 277 86 266 79 254 38800 37383 108 273 95 268 87 256 37383 36027 108 268 104 269 92 254 36027 34659 103 261 107 266 84 251 34659 33247 95 256 108 261 76 253 33247 31793 89 257 105 254 83 259 31793 30288 88 260 102 250 91 258 30288 28723 86 261 101 250 93 252 28723 27100 85 261 99 253 87 245 27100 25420 82 262 95 254 85 243 25420 23692 78 262 89 253 83 242 23692 21919 73 261 81 247 76 239 21919 20090 69 259 74 241 67 237 20090 18197 65 258 70 239 56 238 18197 16272 58 258 64 241 46 238 16272 14427 49 254 52 240 33 249 14427 12758 40 251 37 240 22 266 12758 11278 30 247 20 243 16 291 11278 9964 21 240 11 247 12 305 9964 8794 15 231 7 226 6 275 8794 7750 13*217 8 208 5 233 7750 6820 13*205 10 207 6 223 6820 5995 13 194 12*214 7 223 5995 5261 14 188 13*216 8*222 5261 4600 14 186 13 217 8*221 4600 4012 14 184 13 218 9 218 4012 3518 14 184 13 217 9 215 3518 3137 14 185 12 217 9 214 3137 2874 13 185 12 217 8 213 2874 2713 12 186 11 217 8 213 2713 2621 10 186 8 216 6 212 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography