DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 73.3 - - 71.3 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 498 - - 611 - - 354 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 825 - - 1328 - - 933 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3968 - - 4367 - - 3982 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4362 - - 4865 - - 4470 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 522 - - 598 - - 667 - - 1465 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 305 - - 383 - - 284 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 211 - - 221 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 43 - - 36 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1993 - - -2867 - - -2323 - - -1704 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6355 - - 7732 - - 6793 - - 4327 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10927 - - -11006 - - -11079 - - -12517 ODpotential blCL - - - 15289 - - 15871 - - 15549 - - 15140 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 59 - - 62 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 73.3 - - 71.3 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.8 - - 48.5 - - 50.6 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 70.8 - - 69.8 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 48.3 - - 50.5 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 498 - - 611 - - 354 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 825 - - 1328 - - 933 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98656 29 091 31 102 30 119 23 097 98656 91179 24 092 26 101 21 096 26 101 91179 85447 24 105 23 096 19 084 27 089 85447 80694 22 111 20 095 21 082 21 085 80694 76604 19 104 15 087 21 088 17 083 76604 72994 15 093 9 100 14 072 20 091 72994 69724 14 090 10 124 6 068 13 070 69724 66734 11 074 6 138 4 130 5 037 66734 63990 3 354 4 217 1 331 1 017 63990 61347 6 223 10 226 6 273 4 337 61347 58613 9 261 17 240 17 257 15 266 58613 55803 16 238 19 236 23 247 22 258 55803 53137 24 256 25 242 27 245 28 257 53137 50739 36 262 36 251 40 254 40 255 50739 48587 47 255 48 253 48 252 48 254 48587 46628 55 256 52 253 51 254 53 257 46628 44820 62 256 58 255 57 258 60 261 44820 43138 68 255 65 254 65 257 65 261 43138 41564 69 256 71 252 73 254 72 260 41564 40085 70 256 73 251 77 252 76 258 40085 38689 70 257 74 254 76 254 76 257 38689 37341 71 258 71 256 74 256 73 259 37341 35974 69 261 68 261 70 260 70 262 35974 34559 65 265 63 262 68 263 67 264 34559 33100 58 264 55 261 61 263 64 265 33100 31585 53 264 49 260 54 260 59 262 31585 30001 49 262 45 259 49 259 54 259 30001 28349 48 262 43 261 46 261 49 261 28349 26629 45 262 43 264 43 262 46 263 26629 24840 45 260 42 265 41 260 44 264 24840 22989 40 263 39 266 38 264 40 265 22989 21068 36 266 35 269 33 269 33 267 21068 19071 31 264 30 269 28 269 28 266 19071 17039 23 264 23 266 23 267 25 266 17039 15086 14 263 15 262 17 259 21 261 15086 13314 11 258 12 253 13 251 17 257 13314 11740 13 248 13 240 13 244 15 255 11740 10341 15 247 15 238 14 243 15 252 10341 9095 14 255 13 244 14 249 14 254 9095 7984 12 265 10 253 12 255 12 260 7984 6997 11 273 8 254 9 259 10 266 6997 6125 9 279 6 252 7 263 8 268 6125 5353 7 278 5*230 6 265 6 274 5353 4663 4*259 6*214 5*247 4 276 4663 4053 4*227 7 210 6*230 2 260 4053 3543 5 221 8 210 7 222 2 194 3543 3152 7 218 9 210 7 220 3 185 3152 2881 7 218 9 211 8 218 4 189 2881 2717 7 218 9 212 8 218 4*190 2717 2622 6 218 8 211 7 218 3*192 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography