DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 81.0 - - 75.3 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 517 - - 322 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 571 - - 1208 - - 582 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3774 - - 4254 - - 3705 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4108 - - 4745 - - 4119 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 629 - - 845 - - 603 - - 991 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 353 - - 236 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 182 - - 180 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 39 - - 34 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2525 - - -4096 - - -2194 - - -1573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6633 - - 8841 - - 6313 - - 4197 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9683 - - -10257 - - -9007 - - -9836 ODpotential blCL - - - 13791 - - 15002 - - 13126 - - 12460 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 44 - - 64 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.9 - - 81.0 - - 75.3 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 51.3 - - 56.5 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.0 - - 78.9 - - 73.8 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 50.8 - - 56.4 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 517 - - 322 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 571 - - 1208 - - 582 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98624 12 145 13 111 9 077 16 095 98624 91111 13 146 9 122 11 143 5 048 91111 85344 9 138 10 131 11 121 3 129 85344 80571 8 120 15 133 15 114 16 131 80571 76458 16 127 12 135 16 097 18 114 76458 72824 18 131 10 163 10 076 20 094 72824 69562 19 132 12 140 4 098 13 061 69562 66595 12 122 9 143 8 161 4 025 66595 63860 5 091 4 169 3 207 6 339 63860 61217 5 336 1 344 4 311 10 334 61217 58474 6 303 11 300 14 300 17 315 58474 55646 6 326 10 283 16 290 20 314 55646 52961 16 325 15 317 20 320 26 323 52961 50551 35 325 32 323 32 318 34 316 50551 48392 42 326 34 324 36 310 41 309 48392 46428 45 329 34 325 37 310 43 313 46428 44621 46 329 39 324 43 319 50 316 44621 42948 46 327 47 327 47 322 58 316 42948 41385 46 327 49 325 50 324 58 314 41385 39912 45 328 48 325 50 324 53 313 39912 38519 43 329 45 327 47 324 48 313 38519 37175 37 328 38 325 38 325 47 316 37175 35812 28 331 32 321 33 317 47 319 35812 34405 20 334 22 323 31 311 38 317 34405 32953 18 329 12 324 26 311 32 308 32953 31446 19 324 13 320 17 304 30 305 31446 29876 20 330 16 323 14 297 23 300 29876 28245 21 336 16 324 16 302 18 291 28245 26548 21 332 18 321 18 311 17 292 26548 24782 20 332 19 324 17 323 14 300 24782 22948 16 340 15 330 13 328 11 306 22948 21042 13 342 10 328 9 323 11 297 21042 19061 10 326 9 309 10 309 13 297 19061 17047 9 306 9 300 11 308 13 303 17047 15110 6 284 8 291 9 301 11 292 15110 13350 6 252 8 268 7 272 11 253 13350 11784 7 238 9 245 9 248 12 240 11784 10387 9 237 11 236 10 238 12 238 10387 9139 9 238 12 228 11 232 12 236 9139 8025 8 231 11 217 12 225 13 232 8025 7034 7 221 10 207 11 217 13 224 7034 6158 7 205 9 193 10 200 13 210 6158 5381 6 187 8*179 8 185 12 195 5381 4684 5*174 8*173 7*170 9 177 4684 4066 5*176 9 176 8*169 7 160 4066 3551 5 186 10 182 9 177 7 159 3551 3156 6 193 10 186 9 182 7 159 3156 2884 7 198 10 189 9 185 6 158 2884 2718 7 200 10 190 9 187 4*160 2718 2623 6 200 8 192 7 188 2*159 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography