DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 91.9 - - - - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 550 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 838 - - 1802 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3954 - - 4704 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4375 - - 5339 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1031 - - 2133 - - - - - 930 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 293 - - 409 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 208 - - - - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 42 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5757 - - -5824 - - - - - -5891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10132 - - 11163 - - - - - 8517 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9937 - - -8626 - - - - - -11639 ODpotential blCL - - - 14312 - - 13965 - - - - - 14264 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 68 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 270 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 91.9 - - - - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.8 - - 52.0 - - - - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.9 - - 89.4 - - - - - 82.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 52.0 - - - - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 550 - - - - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 838 - - 1802 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98946 34 111 30 123 23 089 98946 91541 24 102 29 106 28 100 91541 85833 30 105 27 098 27 111 85833 81074 28 103 24 091 24 105 81074 76956 21 108 19 099 24 100 76956 73322 15 102 19 096 21 091 73322 70045 13 124 14 109 13 085 70045 67051 14 102 13 122 10 086 67051 64293 4 134 17 134 6 112 64293 61636 12 172 8 153 12 136 61636 58880 14 178 20 195 8 229 58880 56031 19 201 23 190 22 217 56031 53325 18 204 25 202 30 216 53325 50893 19 218 30 202 34 210 50893 48707 31 223 41 216 42 220 48707 46714 43 212 54 212 48 219 46714 44880 52 205 51 208 44 221 44880 43184 46 212 45 207 40 221 43184 41604 41 214 41 204 37 213 41604 40125 41 206 41 201 36 210 40125 38733 38 202 39 202 34 211 38733 37392 31 206 32 200 32 206 37392 36032 26 207 28 204 30 210 36032 34623 23 212 25 210 24 216 34623 33168 25 208 26 213 21 211 33168 31657 28 206 29 212 21 207 31657 30079 28 206 31 211 22 209 30079 28437 23 204 27 210 22 213 28437 26730 22 197 19 208 20 204 26730 24958 19 199 17 200 20 197 24958 23127 17 205 15 201 19 196 23127 21230 15 208 13 208 16 190 21230 19258 14 209 12 213 14 179 19258 17247 14 210 12 212 12 177 17247 15306 14 209 13 206 11 188 15306 13534 14 200 13 199 11 198 13534 11953 14 190 14 192 11 200 11953 10540 13 189 14 192 11 200 10540 9276 11 194 12 191 11 200 9276 8146 8 198 9 189 10 203 8146 7138 6 200 7 186 9 209 7138 6245 4 202 5 192 8 214 6245 5452 3 203 5*202 6 222 5452 4740 3*212 6*205 5 235 4740 4108 3*222 7 207 3 247 4108 3579 5 224 8 209 3 270 3579 3172 6 224 9 209 1 301 3172 2892 6 223 9 209 0 155 2892 2721 6 223 9 210 0*179 2721 2624 6 222 8 210 0*185 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography