DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 80.3 - - - - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 586 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 964 - - 1500 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4057 - - 4488 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4501 - - 5037 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 726 - - 847 - - - - - 1541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 315 - - 393 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 213 - - - - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 41 - - - - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1732 - - -2027 - - - - - -3452 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6233 - - 7065 - - - - - 6076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6573 - - -5770 - - - - - -9524 ODpotential blCL - - - 11074 - - 10807 - - - - - 12148 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 79 - - - - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 80.3 - - - - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.4 - - 58.1 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 77.7 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.3 - - 58.1 - - - - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 586 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 964 - - 1500 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 16 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98991 38 117 37 104 36 095 98991 91543 31 115 28 104 29 106 91543 85811 33 108 24 102 32 105 85811 81038 28 099 25 103 26 091 81038 76929 26 082 29 100 17 092 76929 73319 22 085 25 087 19 107 73319 70068 21 094 17 096 20 092 70068 67093 20 094 13 109 16 078 67093 64352 14 093 18 113 16 094 64352 61714 9 108 16 109 13 107 61714 58983 4 204 9 144 8 120 58983 56178 14 228 11 217 6 236 56178 53519 27 236 22 240 16 238 53519 51118 31 247 28 249 27 243 51118 48947 34 255 33 248 36 247 48947 46956 39 264 38 254 40 249 46956 45109 45 264 44 258 44 252 45109 43386 47 257 52 255 47 253 43386 41770 49 250 54 249 52 253 41770 40250 47 248 51 248 55 252 40250 38818 40 248 40 248 46 252 38818 37447 33 245 32 243 37 249 37447 36069 25 243 29 236 29 244 36069 34647 23 246 25 231 23 246 34647 33182 21 218 22 231 19 245 33182 31659 19 219 21 239 18 245 31659 30066 20 249 17 243 18 226 30066 28405 19 264 13 227 20 215 28405 26679 15 248 18 226 21 227 26679 24887 18 239 22 231 18 241 24887 23035 24 232 21 228 16 258 23035 21118 27 229 20 222 14 249 21118 19130 27 227 19 216 15 239 19130 17111 25 223 18 210 15 243 17111 15168 22 221 15 206 16 238 15168 13400 19 218 14 201 15 232 13400 11826 15 219 13 213 12 228 11826 10424 10 222 9 215 9 228 10424 9173 8 232 7 205 7 230 9173 8057 6 249 6 202 7 231 8057 7064 4 276 5 205 6 235 7064 6183 3 308 3 213 5 240 6183 5402 1 344 3*214 4 258 5402 4701 1*158 3*213 4 266 4701 4080 2*181 6 211 4 278 4080 3561 5 203 7 212 2 283 3561 3162 6 206 8 213 2 219 3162 2887 7 207 9 214 3 213 2887 2719 7 209 8 214 3*212 2719 2623 6 209 8 214 3*211 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography