DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 90.6 - - 88.9 - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 536 - - 255 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 931 - - 2072 - - 1359 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4005 - - 4904 - - 4199 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4468 - - 5609 - - 4896 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1188 - - 1250 - - 1351 - - 942 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 425 - - 288 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 224 - - 249 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 41 - - 32 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7129 - - -7429 - - -7662 - - -5997 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11597 - - 13038 - - 12559 - - 8622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13605 - - -13440 - - -13452 - - -13603 ODpotential blCL - - - 18073 - - 19049 - - 18348 - - 16228 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 89 - - 81 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 90.6 - - 88.9 - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.9 - - 42.7 - - 43.2 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 88.2 - - 87.7 - - 80.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.9 - - 42.6 - - 43.2 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 399 - - 536 - - 255 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 931 - - 2072 - - 1359 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 55 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99116 35 116 30 104 28 107 24 113 99116 91606 31 097 34 099 33 117 28 107 91606 85838 30 092 28 109 28 092 33 096 85838 81067 24 097 21 110 23 079 33 079 81067 76975 22 100 16 104 22 093 25 074 76975 73380 21 102 19 115 18 100 18 086 73380 70124 18 092 20 119 15 091 19 085 70124 67130 17 087 18 107 17 097 14 080 67130 64371 9 099 13 095 16 102 16 082 64371 61706 13 140 10 124 7 094 16 072 61706 58954 5 155 10 147 8 155 4 107 58954 56130 5 170 8 179 9 194 10 180 56130 53442 14 244 10 224 17 226 13 220 53442 51033 32 250 19 245 19 230 18 242 51033 48883 42 243 29 258 27 248 28 254 48883 46930 34 253 32 262 28 257 29 249 46930 45136 35 263 30 268 27 270 22 249 45136 43468 36 263 31 269 27 268 23 255 43468 41904 36 260 31 262 30 260 27 259 41904 40430 35 256 31 259 32 259 30 255 40430 39034 35 253 31 255 29 259 28 258 39034 37684 35 251 30 256 26 262 26 262 37684 36313 36 253 28 256 26 264 24 257 36313 34893 32 252 29 247 25 265 19 255 34893 33425 28 247 28 243 25 260 17 253 33425 31898 23 249 26 240 22 255 18 246 31898 30301 24 248 22 234 19 254 17 245 30301 28637 22 247 18 225 16 239 13 248 28637 26906 19 243 17 217 16 218 13 234 26906 25110 17 234 17 213 17 217 15 231 25110 23254 15 228 16 207 16 212 15 226 23254 21331 13 229 15 210 16 211 16 218 21331 19335 13 229 13 216 14 208 14 216 19335 17304 14 210 13 221 12 208 12 220 17304 15345 16 207 17 222 14 211 12 224 15345 13558 18 211 20 225 16 222 14 233 13558 11962 17 215 18 231 15 231 13 240 11962 10538 14 221 14 238 10 240 10 243 10538 9267 12 228 10 248 6 255 6 237 9267 8134 9 237 6 264 4 266 3 225 8134 7127 7 250 5 277 3 274 2 239 7127 6235 6 265 3*278 3 292 2 312 6235 5444 5 280 3*256 4*297 3 325 5444 4733 4*288 4 242 4*286 5 315 4733 4103 4*278 6 223 4 267 5 312 4103 3576 5 256 8 218 6 245 4 317 3576 3170 6 247 8 217 6 238 2 340 3170 2891 6 242 9 217 7 236 1 289 2891 2721 6 239 9 216 7 234 1*231 2721 2624 6 237 8 216 6 232 1*236 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography