DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 57.6 - - 55.6 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 52 - - -8 - - -77 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 1498 - - 1144 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3736 - - 5035 - - 4681 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1862 - - 2562 - - 2076 - - 517 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 82 - - 202 - - 98 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 324 - - 342 - - 318 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - -9 - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1422 - - -1301 - - -316 - - -2692 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5158 - - 6336 - - 4998 - - 5315 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5496 - - -4682 - - -3843 - - -7091 ODpotential blCL - - - 9232 - - 9717 - - 8524 - - 9714 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 77 - - 85 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 57.6 - - 55.6 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.7 - - 39.1 - - 42.9 - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 57.9 - - 56.7 - - 53.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 37.9 - - 41.7 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 52 - - -8 - - -77 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 1498 - - 1144 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 9 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96385 21 081 20 086 25 080 23 072 96385 89342 26 082 20 085 25 095 24 087 89342 83883 23 095 21 088 26 103 20 095 83883 79320 24 110 15 095 24 093 19 094 79320 75363 18 096 14 101 16 112 11 083 75363 71857 8 075 14 141 4 127 4 051 71857 68684 2 161 3 131 7 202 1 247 68684 65762 4 214 8 281 7 230 3 261 65762 63040 7 266 12 249 10 243 8 246 63040 60379 21 233 17 259 15 259 14 266 60379 57574 26 223 23 240 25 244 24 248 57574 54648 28 233 22 223 33 227 28 247 54648 51852 29 241 23 231 29 235 27 248 51852 49334 33 242 28 245 28 240 26 258 49334 47081 37 247 35 252 33 247 29 260 47081 45036 46 240 44 247 38 248 34 256 45036 43159 51 238 47 241 41 246 34 251 43159 41424 53 236 46 235 43 242 31 249 41424 39811 55 233 48 232 46 238 31 250 39811 38305 61 233 51 240 46 238 35 253 38305 36895 74 234 62 245 51 241 41 251 36895 35548 95 234 81 236 67 242 47 243 35548 34198 109 233 100 229 86 237 51 237 34198 32820 117 232 109 228 101 229 56 239 32820 31413 118 232 110 228 105 226 76 233 31413 29970 114 232 109 230 103 227 74 227 29970 28482 105 236 93 231 83 229 61 227 28482 26938 87 241 71 240 63 240 56 230 26938 25328 74 240 66 239 58 239 58 230 25328 23656 61 241 64 248 54 238 50 238 23656 21927 50 238 48 248 47 238 42 234 21927 20133 44 238 35 240 37 233 35 227 20133 18269 30 240 26 235 30 236 24 232 18269 16373 26 222 18 239 21 241 14 241 16373 14545 24 225 16 228 14 246 9 250 14545 12878 22 235 16 222 12 239 7 255 12878 11392 17 248 14 234 10 243 6 256 11392 10065 13 264 12 251 7 259 5 256 10065 8878 11 280 8 267 6 280 3 249 8878 7819 10 289 5 285 4 317 2 212 7819 6874 9 296 4 313 5 003 2 169 6874 6036 8 306 4 353 8 016 1 144 6036 5291 7 315 6*013 9*001 2 063 5291 4620 6 322 7*006 9*341 5 039 4620 4023 6*335 6 351 9 325 9 031 4023 3524 4*344 5 340 8 314 12 025 3524 3139 3 333 5 331 8 307 16 020 3139 2874 2 302 4 322 7 303 14 020 2874 2713 2 293 4 320 6 301 11*022 2713 2622 2 290 4 315 5 298 7*024 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography