DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 73.0 - - 76.2 - - 73.9 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -78 - - 97 - - 188 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1476 - - 3098 - - 1649 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 5353 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 5013 - - 6635 - - 5186 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 167 - - 1892 - - 1233 - - 2133 - - 2827 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 221 - - 347 - - 60 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 38 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 061 - - 151 - - 253 - - 284 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -38 - - 15 - - 22 - - 19 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8322 - - -7080 - - -6266 - - -7051 - - -8148 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10946 - - 12094 - - 12902 - - 12237 - - 10772 sfcLCL ODpotential -18610 - - -15884 - - -13244 - - -14464 - - -16791 ODpotential blCL 21233 - - 20897 - - 19879 - - 19650 - - 19415 blCL maxRH 21 - - 56 - - 48 - - 46 - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 73.0 - - 76.2 - - 73.9 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.9 - - 29.5 - - 29.0 - - 29.8 - - 29.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.0 - - 73.0 - - 75.6 - - 75.2 - - 73.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.9 - - 28.3 - - 27.9 - - 28.7 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -78 - - 97 - - 188 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1476 - - 3098 - - 1649 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96857 56 277 66 273 66 273 58 281 62 289 96857 89630 41 279 37 284 40 280 44 278 48 293 89630 84085 34 284 20 300 19 286 34 270 44 282 84085 79522 26 294 14 301 16 287 24 284 33 284 79522 75602 25 306 22 295 22 286 20 306 22 309 75602 72112 21 303 27 287 26 291 18 301 18 311 72112 68927 15 300 23 279 24 299 14 302 18 298 68927 65992 11 300 16 260 24 287 17 308 17 288 65992 63268 15 305 13 257 24 278 26 296 22 293 63268 60633 19 278 19 257 30 262 30 279 27 285 60633 57910 26 272 23 254 31 246 37 257 36 268 57910 55104 35 263 26 260 28 249 36 249 37 261 55104 52428 36 263 34 268 34 260 39 254 39 262 52428 50023 36 269 38 263 38 259 41 258 38 263 50023 47872 37 271 40 266 42 266 41 266 38 264 47872 45929 38 275 43 273 46 273 39 274 34 266 45929 44151 38 281 39 281 41 272 39 278 31 273 44151 42506 38 284 35 288 32 276 34 273 36 274 42506 40967 37 285 32 288 30 282 31 275 32 270 40967 39520 32 287 30 287 29 285 30 277 28 274 39520 38157 27 286 30 287 28 289 27 280 24 285 38157 36841 25 287 28 293 26 293 24 286 23 296 36841 35506 24 295 24 304 20 306 20 296 18 299 35506 34124 22 306 21 317 15 326 15 315 11 302 34124 32700 21 319 16 334 12 338 10 328 6 321 32700 31219 15 341 10 341 9 345 5 338 4 299 31219 29670 14 009 7 003 4 358 4 337 2 230 29670 28056 16 012 9 009 4 035 2 003 4 149 28056 26372 14 020 8 029 5 050 3 078 6 127 26372 24621 9 036 4 057 2 095 1 060 7 147 24621 22802 8 053 4 121 6 173 6 208 6 220 22802 20914 6 039 1 169 3 208 5 209 6 239 20914 18952 7 311 8 291 6 298 3 275 3 256 18952 16956 6 284 8 295 7 298 6 320 3 329 16956 15037 4 271 7 311 5 315 6 332 5 341 15037 13288 1 010 6 337 4 355 6 355 3 022 13288 11728 5 054 6 012 5 020 7 012 6 062 11728 10339 7 062 7 038 5 044 6 027 7 083 10339 9100 8 071 8 057 6 076 5 057 8 101 9100 7997 7 081 8 084 7 099 6 083 8 114 7997 7017 7 086 8 107 5*098 6 079 8 126 7017 6148 6 089 8 123 2*062 5 052 7 135 6148 5378 6 095 7*130 2 053 3*022 5 135 5378 4686 6 104 6*132 1 270 2*354 3 124 4686 4071 7 108 5 136 3 252 2 308 1 081 4071 3555 8 100 4 148 4 249 3 278 3 064 3555 3158 8 095 4 168 4 246 3 267 4 061 3158 2885 11 080 3 181 4 244 3 262 6 052 2885 2718 10*071 3 187 4 243 3 258 6*042 2718 2623 8*061 3 190 4 241 2 255 5*036 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography