DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 80.4 - - 79.0 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 462 - - 587 - - 310 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 693 - - 1251 - - 617 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3861 - - 4303 - - 3715 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4230 - - 4788 - - 4154 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 661 - - 1020 - - 961 - - 1078 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 370 - - 236 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 192 - - 194 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 42 - - 32 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1887 - - -2544 - - -3089 - - -2203 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6117 - - 7332 - - 7244 - - 4828 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7047 - - -5885 - - -7120 - - -8024 ODpotential blCL - - - 11277 - - 10673 - - 11274 - - 10648 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 70 - - 86 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 220 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 80.4 - - 79.0 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 57.3 - - 56.4 - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.7 - - 78.0 - - 77.6 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 57.2 - - 56.3 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 462 - - 587 - - 310 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 693 - - 1251 - - 617 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99103 41 104 32 121 26 107 36 089 99103 91665 40 105 39 119 32 111 33 093 91665 85920 33 112 34 108 34 108 32 102 85920 81154 25 106 32 108 32 103 32 110 81154 77066 21 105 27 097 28 104 28 114 77066 73459 20 114 16 097 23 093 26 110 73459 70190 25 110 17 119 16 088 19 099 70190 67197 19 126 15 142 8 115 9 098 67197 64432 20 114 16 131 15 140 12 111 64432 61745 12 122 13 166 11 182 4 055 61745 58944 11 169 14 173 17 185 11 217 58944 56052 18 209 18 210 16 217 10 215 56052 53285 28 216 28 219 24 223 14 224 53285 50783 35 222 33 219 31 232 23 230 50783 48540 37 221 41 224 42 232 38 238 48540 46521 36 235 48 227 49 230 48 232 46521 44694 43 242 51 224 51 229 50 229 44694 43016 48 241 50 231 51 228 51 232 43016 41457 50 242 51 237 50 231 49 233 41457 39992 49 244 53 238 51 234 51 233 39992 38609 47 243 55 239 53 236 55 234 38609 37272 46 240 55 239 53 238 55 236 37272 35915 44 239 52 238 52 238 52 239 35915 34508 41 238 48 239 50 238 47 241 34508 33058 39 239 45 240 44 240 42 241 33058 31551 36 242 43 243 38 243 37 240 31551 29976 31 244 38 246 34 246 31 243 29976 28333 28 240 31 247 28 248 25 241 28333 26623 24 235 26 245 23 244 19 233 26623 24849 21 230 23 234 21 234 18 220 24849 23011 20 223 23 229 21 230 17 212 23011 21104 18 224 23 233 18 235 12 220 21104 19118 16 218 19 223 15 222 13 212 19118 17101 19 203 21 211 17 213 16 204 17101 15167 23 195 23 201 22 212 20 199 15167 13408 23 192 22 194 22 207 20 197 13408 11837 21 193 19 192 19 201 18 197 11837 10434 18 194 16 186 17 194 15 197 10434 9179 17 189 15 180 16 186 13 195 9179 8059 15 182 14 173 15 181 12 193 8059 7063 13 172 13 168 14 177 12 189 7063 6181 12 158 11 161 12 173 10 182 6181 5400 10 146 9*160 9 172 9 177 5400 4700 7*146 7*171 6*172 7 177 4700 4079 5*168 8 185 5*179 6 176 4079 3559 5 190 9 194 6 192 5 169 3559 3161 7 198 10 198 7 196 5 161 3161 2886 7 201 10 201 7 199 3 154 2886 2719 7 204 9 202 7 201 2*152 2719 2623 6 204 8 203 6 202 1*143 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography