DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 78.0 - - 74.4 - - 65.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 552 - - 279 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1127 - - 2403 - - 1705 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4167 - - 5164 - - 4471 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4664 - - 5940 - - 5242 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1086 - - 1133 - - 1210 - - 2052 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 451 - - 320 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 188 - - 224 - - 225 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 44 - - 45 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4704 - - -4183 - - -3149 - - -2713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9369 - - 10123 - - 8391 - - 5336 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12573 - - -11622 - - -10391 - - -11737 ODpotential blCL - - - 17237 - - 17562 - - 15633 - - 14360 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 43 - - 50 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.1 - - 78.0 - - 74.4 - - 65.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 42.7 - - 46.7 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 75.7 - - 73.3 - - 66.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 42.7 - - 46.7 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 552 - - 279 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1127 - - 2403 - - 1705 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98830 18 122 14 124 14 097 14 098 98830 91409 22 107 20 116 15 116 15 084 91409 85677 26 095 23 093 20 113 14 084 85677 80944 22 099 18 079 20 098 20 078 80944 76881 20 100 15 083 20 078 18 081 76881 73283 18 091 12 099 12 067 18 082 73283 70026 5 104 5 070 9 034 13 052 70026 67028 3 136 7 189 6 010 7 031 67028 64253 8 311 5 281 6 317 6 001 64253 61573 16 244 15 247 19 262 14 293 61573 58785 17 248 18 244 23 255 24 270 58785 55899 28 258 31 260 30 262 28 267 55899 53161 49 263 50 261 47 266 44 267 53161 50716 69 257 63 253 57 260 51 266 50716 48534 71 255 59 253 55 262 56 266 48534 46559 69 259 59 256 50 263 52 261 46559 44748 70 262 54 263 48 264 48 268 44748 43066 71 265 52 267 45 264 49 266 43066 41490 73 265 44 266 39 263 43 266 41490 40007 71 265 36 270 31 263 34 272 40007 38610 66 267 33 278 30 261 30 279 38610 37265 61 268 31 286 30 270 29 274 37265 35902 54 267 30 291 27 279 25 270 35902 34493 48 271 28 294 25 283 20 267 34493 33039 49 272 30 293 25 285 19 265 33039 31525 50 268 34 293 26 289 19 273 31525 29939 50 262 30 292 27 294 19 282 29939 28284 49 258 32 280 27 297 21 290 28284 26561 46 261 37 272 22 290 20 289 26561 24773 42 263 39 268 25 273 19 268 24773 22924 39 259 36 273 30 274 22 268 22924 21006 36 257 32 266 27 272 23 276 21006 19015 33 257 31 261 28 263 25 271 19015 16992 31 260 28 258 28 262 26 270 16992 15047 26 262 27 257 26 261 25 271 15047 13280 24 256 25 257 25 259 23 267 13280 11711 23 250 23 255 23 260 22 263 11711 10316 22 249 21 255 20 262 19 262 10316 9075 20 252 18 257 17 267 15 264 9075 7973 18 255 15 264 14 274 13 265 7973 6994 15 257 11 268 11 273 11 266 6994 6128 12 254 7*255 8 269 10 265 6128 5360 7 240 6*237 6*253 8 266 5360 4672 5*203 7 228 6*239 6 267 4672 4061 6*182 8 224 8 228 4 269 4061 3549 7 186 8 221 9 223 4 260 3549 3155 8 188 9 220 9 221 3 240 3155 2883 8 190 9 220 9 220 3 223 2883 2718 8 192 9 220 9 220 3*212 2718 2622 7 193 8 219 8 219 2*211 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography