DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 60.8 - - 56.0 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -124 - - -16 - - -125 - - -221 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 590 - - 1066 - - 511 - - 180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 30 - - 31 - - 26 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 21 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 060 - - 064 - - 054 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -61 - - -116 - - -57 - - -60 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6256 - - -6893 - - -6705 - - -6564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8879 - - 9517 - - 9329 - - 9187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14333 - - -15433 - - -14270 - - -15826 ODpotential blCL - - - 16956 - - 18056 - - 16893 - - 18449 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 31 - - 24 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.8 - - 60.8 - - 56.0 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.9 - - 29.0 - - 25.2 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 62.1 - - 60.1 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 27.8 - - 23.9 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -124 - - -16 - - -125 - - -221 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96215 29 301 29 292 27 293 27 323 96215 89233 19 342 9 336 3 305 18 351 89233 83816 17 346 14 003 15 041 4 042 83816 79275 5 320 11 349 23 018 10 047 79275 75341 4 359 11 001 15 034 11 047 75341 71850 10 001 13 005 13 038 14 048 71850 68685 6 332 13 353 13 351 21 015 68685 65794 7 009 10 341 16 324 23 355 65794 63119 11 354 14 334 16 318 27 341 63119 60524 10 333 13 318 24 315 30 321 60524 57813 17 332 20 317 23 303 24 311 57813 54982 28 326 22 326 20 330 18 335 54982 52247 30 320 29 327 29 336 25 346 52247 49754 31 320 33 320 35 329 33 345 49754 47506 32 324 32 320 36 328 37 340 47506 45472 30 328 30 324 38 324 37 337 45472 43632 24 323 25 319 33 322 34 337 43632 41959 14 342 18 326 28 326 28 334 41959 40426 21 000 24 345 30 334 32 335 40426 39006 33 348 29 347 31 333 37 328 39006 37675 34 348 31 350 30 335 36 325 37675 36388 34 349 31 350 31 334 35 326 36388 35081 33 351 31 347 31 332 35 327 35081 33724 29 357 30 345 31 335 34 328 33724 32321 24 006 30 344 33 338 37 329 32321 30858 17 013 26 342 39 339 42 335 30858 29324 16 015 18 345 33 337 40 343 29324 27722 16 004 15 354 22 323 26 331 27722 26054 17 348 17 352 17 326 21 329 26054 24323 20 340 20 346 15 350 13 345 24323 22531 21 338 21 345 15 012 11 009 22531 20671 20 343 19 344 14 005 9 011 20671 18739 18 350 16 342 13 353 10 004 18739 16772 16 354 14 346 11 353 9 009 16772 14874 15 001 11 357 8 004 7 018 14874 13142 13 015 11 021 9 033 9 031 13142 11600 11 028 11 034 11 039 13 030 11600 10228 9 039 10 041 11 035 13 030 10228 9005 7 060 7 058 9 044 13 051 9005 7915 6 084 8 082 8 069 15 068 7915 6946 7 105 9 098 8 093 14 079 6946 6090 10 112 10 112 8 111 14 090 6090 5331 13 107 12 113 9 110 15 096 5331 4648 16 101 13 102 10 095 17 096 4648 4042 20 093 16 085 11 075 20 090 4042 3535 28 080 26 069 24 061 26 079 3535 3145 31 070 26 066 28 060 29 072 3145 2877 27 066 24 064 25 058 26 068 2877 2714 21*063 20*062 19*056 20*063 2714 2622 12*060 11*061 11*054 12*058 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography