DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 72.8 - - 68.9 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 93 - - -11 - - -106 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 481 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2624 - - 4018 - - 2624 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3751 - - 3526 - - 3217 - - 182 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 25 - - 153 - - 17 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 062 - - 075 - - 070 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -91 - - -56 - - -42 - - -40 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -11273 - - -9562 - - -8825 - - -9823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13898 - - 13581 - - 11449 - - 12447 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18395 - - -16630 - - -17017 - - -18798 ODpotential blCL - - - 21019 - - 20648 - - 19641 - - 21421 blCL maxRH - - - 11 - - 67 - - 17 - - 16 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.1 - - 72.8 - - 68.9 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.8 - - 22.7 - - 28.4 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 72.9 - - 70.4 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.7 - - 21.6 - - 27.2 - - 15.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 93 - - -11 - - -106 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 481 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96862 48 089 38 095 48 094 40 094 96862 89700 40 106 36 102 46 101 43 104 89700 84143 28 102 32 092 42 089 38 100 84143 79514 21 100 21 085 33 082 35 092 79514 75521 23 099 17 109 22 079 24 083 75521 71988 26 079 18 098 14 079 19 075 71988 68780 22 066 15 075 15 051 20 054 68780 65841 13 053 11 054 12 030 22 041 65841 63149 20 022 21 038 16 046 20 044 63149 60558 25 002 25 025 17 029 20 022 60558 57854 24 356 24 006 22 358 24 358 57854 55050 26 353 23 351 27 336 29 343 55050 52372 32 345 26 347 28 332 29 340 52372 49954 38 334 33 336 32 327 32 339 49954 47786 42 330 38 329 37 326 36 335 47786 45817 43 329 40 326 38 325 36 332 45817 44002 41 323 38 321 36 317 34 327 44002 42308 37 315 34 312 32 309 32 314 42308 40734 35 311 31 312 27 305 27 301 40734 39275 32 308 29 310 23 305 25 292 39275 37917 29 314 28 308 19 309 26 282 37917 36614 23 324 20 318 21 305 20 284 36614 35294 20 328 16 324 12 303 17 275 35294 33926 15 344 12 312 10 307 14 263 33926 32513 9 071 2 216 7 295 11 263 32513 31043 15 126 14 157 7 202 13 240 31043 29508 21 125 20 145 13 175 18 201 29508 27908 17 128 20 149 12 166 19 184 27908 26239 13 139 14 157 7 160 14 183 26239 24506 10 138 10 177 6 173 9 195 24506 22707 10 132 8 173 6 157 8 185 22707 20837 9 128 7 158 8 163 8 194 20837 18890 5 139 4 174 6 166 7 207 18890 16902 1 141 2 217 1 196 4 223 16902 14984 3 069 1 067 1 059 2 213 14984 13236 6 051 4 069 3 061 0 354 13236 11680 7 057 5 056 5 051 3 041 11680 10294 9 088 3 071 4 049 7 043 10294 9061 10 097 5 095 3 097 5 060 9061 7962 8 106 8 102 5 123 4 104 7962 6987 6 126 9 114 8 113 6 129 6987 6124 6 127 11 113 10 117 7 139 6124 5359 6 114 13 103 13 109 7 143 5359 4670 6 101 16 091 14 096 7 141 4670 4060 12 075 19*079 16 083 9 126 4060 3548 20 068 18*076 16 075 10 113 3548 3153 22 066 17 075 13 071 13 089 3153 2882 20 064 15 074 10 070 14 077 2882 2717 16*063 13 074 7*069 12*067 2717 2622 9*059 8 075 4*069 8*058 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography