DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.2 - - 67.1 - - 74.2 - - 72.4 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 270 - - 353 - - 156 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 710 - - 1889 - - 1073 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 3761 - - 4681 - - 3791 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4247 - - 5426 - - 4610 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 893 - - 768 - - 1427 - - 1441 - - 834 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 240 - - 364 - - 230 - - 3 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 300 - - 284 - - 271 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 19 - - 34 - - 28 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3230 - - -2460 - - -3041 - - -2842 - - -1724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5853 - - 6708 - - 8468 - - 7452 - - 4347 sfcLCL ODpotential -10929 - - -7872 - - -7346 - - -6557 - - -7379 ODpotential blCL 13552 - - 12119 - - 12772 - - 11167 - - 10002 blCL maxRH 46 - - 55 - - 52 - - 52 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.2 - - 67.1 - - 74.2 - - 72.4 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.9 - - 46.9 - - 46.2 - - 48.8 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.3 - - 66.1 - - 72.7 - - 71.8 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.7 - - 45.9 - - 45.1 - - 48.0 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 270 - - 353 - - 156 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 710 - - 1889 - - 1073 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96669 46 289 45 285 48 280 39 289 48 278 96669 89468 31 299 31 290 33 277 35 287 34 300 89468 83979 25 309 22 289 26 289 25 295 26 307 83979 79423 18 311 14 297 21 303 21 316 19 317 79423 75507 14 332 10 349 12 321 17 326 17 323 75507 72049 13 348 12 350 8 341 12 333 14 326 72049 68905 11 354 6 354 4 335 7 314 14 319 68905 65995 9 312 4 340 5 288 10 303 13 311 65995 63273 15 299 9 292 11 268 17 279 17 289 63273 60620 25 283 19 294 16 286 19 280 22 283 60620 57850 31 276 31 294 24 295 24 287 29 283 57850 54987 38 286 39 289 35 294 32 293 33 287 54987 52265 43 283 43 287 42 291 41 295 36 289 52265 49815 45 289 43 285 46 287 47 287 40 288 49815 47607 50 293 44 286 46 282 51 281 48 284 47607 45598 52 292 44 287 42 282 48 276 49 274 45598 43772 51 290 43 291 38 290 37 283 37 271 43772 42107 47 293 43 292 38 294 32 299 28 283 42107 40568 45 299 40 293 38 292 33 300 32 288 40568 39130 46 301 41 294 37 292 32 293 32 284 39130 37780 46 301 41 296 36 297 30 291 28 280 37780 36477 45 303 41 300 37 299 30 291 26 279 36477 35157 44 305 40 304 36 300 30 293 25 280 35157 33790 42 307 36 309 32 302 28 294 24 283 33790 32380 39 306 31 311 28 309 27 295 24 289 32380 30912 36 304 27 310 24 305 25 295 23 291 30912 29375 30 300 25 302 22 298 26 297 23 294 29375 27770 25 294 23 290 22 298 26 297 24 297 27770 26099 24 294 20 285 21 299 25 296 27 299 26099 24366 25 299 18 289 18 301 23 299 26 297 24366 22573 24 306 16 295 15 306 19 303 21 293 22573 20713 21 315 14 299 12 308 13 310 14 289 20713 18780 18 318 13 303 10 306 9 309 10 282 18780 16812 15 318 12 306 10 309 9 303 10 284 16812 14916 12 328 10 310 8 306 8 296 9 292 14916 13189 9 345 6 331 5 301 7 298 7 295 13189 11652 8 353 4 359 2 261 6 301 5 286 11652 10282 10 339 5 350 1 183 4 293 4 260 10282 9059 12 327 8 335 1 040 3 287 5 236 9059 7965 13 326 9 333 4 023 3 317 5 248 7965 6991 13 333 11 347 9 002 7 340 5 287 6991 6126 17 345 15 001 10*344 11 338 9 321 6126 5360 19 350 15 000 9*326 11 330 13 330 5360 4671 19 351 13*354 8 312 9*320 14 333 4671 4059 15 350 8*336 8 279 7*300 12 337 4059 3547 10 349 6 305 8 269 7 274 9 341 3547 3153 6 343 6 292 8 262 7 265 5 351 3153 2882 5 343 5 280 8 256 7 259 2 355 2882 2717 3*348 5 275 8 254 6 256 1*006 2717 2622 1*026 5 268 7 252 6 253 1*048 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography