DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 59.9 - - 62.8 - - 62.4 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 111 - - 167 - - 67 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 668 - - 1664 - - 2016 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 4315 - - 2606 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4205 - - 5201 - - 5553 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1855 - - 1266 - - 1333 - - 1332 - - 1850 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 181 - - 280 - - 221 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 141 - - 247 - - 249 - - 277 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 15 - - 25 - - 29 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1005 - - 182 - - 698 - - 1018 - - -2338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3628 - - 4023 - - 4503 - - 4535 - - 4961 sfcLCL ODpotential -8144 - - -6467 - - -3484 - - -4177 - - -10591 ODpotential blCL 10767 - - 10672 - - 8685 - - 9730 - - 13214 blCL maxRH 63 - - 85 - - 78 - - 85 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 59.9 - - 62.8 - - 62.4 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.6 - - 51.2 - - 51.9 - - 51.4 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.8 - - 59.8 - - 62.3 - - 62.6 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.8 - - 49.9 - - 50.6 - - 50.3 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 111 - - 167 - - 67 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 668 - - 1664 - - 2016 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 42 - - 11 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96267 11 335 13 304 14 302 8 311 12 306 96267 89125 9 256 8 298 8 308 5 319 10 340 89125 83657 8 284 4 022 3 301 7 302 14 346 83657 79154 7 293 8 057 5 338 9 339 14 340 79154 75312 3 315 7 075 5 351 8 329 11 360 75312 71934 7 351 6 071 6 012 4 038 5 040 71934 68877 19 340 14 008 12 346 10 024 7 116 68877 66060 16 314 8 339 13 279 13 305 10 335 66060 63426 13 308 9 291 14 288 15 268 16 302 63426 60846 23 299 24 293 24 289 21 270 25 277 60846 58134 34 285 36 280 33 281 31 276 32 274 58134 55290 44 277 46 280 42 279 41 280 39 273 55290 52546 53 276 57 280 49 276 48 277 44 274 52546 50050 57 273 60 275 49 273 51 274 45 275 50050 47802 58 271 56 273 55 278 53 278 50 280 47802 45754 60 272 53 271 57 274 58 273 50 279 45754 43861 63 269 52 266 56 268 58 269 52 274 43861 42101 61 264 50 267 54 267 58 276 55 277 42101 40463 61 265 55 271 55 268 56 275 50 282 40463 38945 65 267 59 271 56 272 57 272 47 284 38945 37540 68 265 61 265 57 266 51 270 48 280 37540 36207 76 257 74 262 61 259 45 272 45 278 36207 34871 78 252 78 256 66 257 46 274 42 282 34871 33499 76 252 75 254 66 257 53 268 40 282 33499 32090 73 254 70 256 64 259 52 261 40 276 32090 30630 68 256 67 261 56 263 50 261 44 273 30630 29108 65 259 61 263 52 266 48 264 47 270 29108 27523 59 261 58 262 51 268 45 269 45 269 27523 25873 54 261 56 261 52 267 44 275 44 273 25873 24158 52 265 55 264 51 267 46 278 43 278 24158 22381 53 267 53 268 48 268 45 278 43 285 22381 20537 51 271 47 271 43 272 41 279 40 294 20537 18621 45 273 41 272 38 275 38 282 36 296 18621 16670 39 272 38 271 36 274 36 285 33 295 16670 14787 38 271 37 271 35 275 35 285 33 294 14787 13068 37 271 37 273 35 277 34 285 33 294 13068 11536 36 271 36 274 34 280 33 286 31 296 11536 10171 34 271 34 276 33 282 31 290 26 300 10171 8956 31 269 31 278 30 285 25 296 21 305 8956 7873 27 267 26 279 25 291 18 304 17 310 7873 6912 23 263 22 279 17 296 13 312 14 312 6912 6063 20 262 17 278 11 301 10*318 12 316 6063 5310 17 262 12 280 7*296 8*317 11 320 5310 4634 12 257 7*280 4*282 6 298 12 332 4634 4034 8 243 4*267 4 258 5 269 15 345 4034 3531 6 213 3 250 5 247 6 261 15 356 3531 3144 5 186 3 242 5 239 6 255 14 002 3144 2878 3 161 3 238 5 235 5 251 10 005 2878 2715 2*139 3 235 5 232 5 249 7*008 2715 2622 2*110 3 233 5 231 5 246 5*013 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography