DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 61.3 - - 59.9 - - 50.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 179 - - 22 - - -70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 646 - - 3340 - - 3209 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 5550 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4183 - - 6877 - - 6746 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 830 - - 1543 - - 1906 - - 1111 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 173 - - 361 - - 200 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 26 - - 21 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 041 - - 033 - - 026 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 24 - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -137 - - -111 - - -88 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3751 - - -4125 - - -4689 - - -4764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7934 - - 11002 - - 11435 - - 7387 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11102 - - -12180 - - -12766 - - -11781 ODpotential blCL - - - 15285 - - 19057 - - 19512 - - 14403 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 22 - - 21 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 61.3 - - 59.9 - - 50.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 22.0 - - 18.8 - - 27.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 61.0 - - 60.7 - - 54.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 20.8 - - 17.7 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 96 - - 179 - - 22 - - -70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 646 - - 3340 - - 3209 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96470 35 283 29 268 29 289 21 288 96470 89265 17 296 23 262 19 276 20 303 89265 83765 12 292 19 279 12 278 18 312 83765 79208 3 327 13 290 9 266 16 307 79208 75278 12 354 2 310 9 274 12 307 75278 71797 14 303 3 039 5 287 8 345 71797 68641 11 311 9 319 7 312 11 299 68641 65742 16 283 15 293 8 293 12 273 65742 63045 19 263 21 269 17 278 21 284 63045 60423 20 263 29 264 28 274 25 278 60423 57663 22 265 33 256 34 270 25 277 57663 54764 26 268 34 262 38 271 29 277 54764 51970 37 272 41 267 42 274 36 275 51970 49435 48 273 47 271 46 279 43 282 49435 47151 53 273 51 275 52 281 46 286 47151 45074 54 277 51 274 51 277 48 286 45074 43174 55 284 46 279 48 279 50 284 43174 41429 55 286 47 287 45 285 48 285 41429 39821 52 287 45 294 41 295 44 291 39821 38334 50 294 48 304 44 305 44 304 38334 36954 56 301 56 308 53 308 49 315 36954 35643 63 302 62 305 61 305 48 320 35643 34329 64 302 63 303 64 301 45 320 34329 32984 62 301 57 305 61 301 42 319 32984 31604 57 303 50 313 52 310 40 320 31604 30173 56 309 49 323 50 321 41 322 30173 28680 57 312 54 327 53 327 46 320 28680 27126 55 311 58 326 55 327 50 316 27126 25509 50 308 57 327 54 327 51 315 25509 23827 44 308 55 332 53 329 50 319 23827 22082 41 312 54 339 53 331 48 323 22082 20267 42 317 54 345 50 334 45 325 20267 18374 45 324 52 346 47 341 41 335 18374 16443 49 330 49 342 46 349 38 344 16443 14582 51 335 48 341 45 352 35 348 14582 12892 50 338 47 344 42 353 31 350 12892 11393 47 341 45 351 37 355 22 344 11393 10061 44 345 40 357 29 358 16 337 10061 8872 41 349 33 005 26 007 15 344 8872 7811 39 354 28*017 25 016 14 003 7811 6866 36 002 28*028 24*023 16 023 6866 6029 34 015 29 033 24*026 18 033 6029 5286 35 029 29 034 23 026 18 035 5286 4617 37*038 28 034 23 027 18 031 4617 4022 36*041 27 034 22 027 19 024 4022 3523 34 041 26 033 21 026 22 018 3523 3139 30 041 23 033 19 026 21 017 3139 2874 25 040 21 032 17 025 18 017 2874 2714 21 040 17 031 14 024 14*017 2714 2621 12 039 11 030 9 022 8*019 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography