DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 79.1 - - 78.5 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 437 - - 202 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6445 - - 8309 - - 8464 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8225 - - 9797 - - 9483 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9982 - - 11846 - - 12001 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1427 - - 1220 - - 1678 - - 2208 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 555 - - 636 - - 497 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 062 - - 041 - - 016 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 13 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -46 - - 34 - - 88 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5892 - - -4706 - - -3728 - - -7988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15875 - - 16552 - - 15730 - - 10612 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13122 - - -10687 - - -10251 - - -14841 ODpotential blCL - - - 23104 - - 22533 - - 22252 - - 17464 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 30 - - 31 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.8 - - 79.1 - - 78.5 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.3 - - 14.3 - - 17.6 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 77.4 - - 77.7 - - 68.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.2 - - 13.2 - - 16.7 - - 28.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 437 - - 202 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6445 - - 8309 - - 8464 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98104 5 181 5 287 6 258 12 339 98104 90676 5 302 2 107 6 220 7 309 90676 84997 7 260 4 122 1 250 1 117 84997 80278 4 186 10 231 8 329 6 052 80278 76179 4 141 13 219 8 281 8 307 76179 72565 2 285 3 190 5 216 6 268 72565 69304 6 215 8 274 5 225 1 234 69304 66289 7 199 12 252 6 259 8 258 66289 63486 5 281 10 242 7 271 12 254 63486 60774 14 291 10 256 10 257 12 266 60774 57943 17 282 18 266 20 267 19 295 57943 55010 20 280 19 271 24 273 24 288 55010 52224 24 280 22 286 23 285 22 289 52224 49728 27 282 25 288 26 289 25 299 49728 47504 28 283 29 287 29 289 28 300 47504 45497 32 286 30 281 31 285 33 301 45497 43672 35 283 34 279 34 282 37 294 43672 42004 39 280 39 275 35 276 37 281 42004 40464 42 278 41 274 33 281 33 273 40464 39025 42 279 40 277 35 291 27 276 39025 37669 43 282 41 279 34 295 24 291 37669 36361 44 284 43 280 33 296 26 305 36361 35035 47 282 43 282 32 296 29 312 35035 33664 49 280 45 282 31 304 30 318 33664 32253 48 278 45 281 30 320 29 324 32253 30787 46 275 43 280 31 339 28 330 30787 29253 43 273 41 285 31 350 28 336 29253 27652 40 277 35 297 28 351 25 342 27652 25985 37 288 30 307 25 337 21 346 25985 24255 34 301 28 314 25 327 22 339 24255 22464 31 310 26 324 24 331 22 340 22464 20607 26 315 23 333 21 338 17 338 20607 18677 20 316 23 343 18 344 12 322 18677 16712 15 321 21 350 18 359 10 342 16712 14822 12 332 17 352 17 016 11 007 14822 13108 12 347 12*001 14*028 13 028 13108 11589 11 357 8*024 12*032 14 034 11589 10235 5*012 7 035 12 030 13 036 10235 9023 3*047 7 039 12 026 12 035 9023 7939 3 054 8 043 11 021 9 023 7939 6971 6 061 8 045 10 016 8 000 6971 6113 10 063 8 045 9 009 9 331 6113 5350 12 062 8 046 7 000 11 314 5350 4664 13 063 7 046 5 348 14 306 4664 4055 13 063 7 045 4 335 16 305 4055 3545 13 063 7 044 4 320 15 310 3545 3153 12 063 6 044 4 309 13 319 3153 2882 11 063 6 043 3 302 11 328 2882 2717 10 064 5 042 3 295 9*335 2717 2622 8 065 4 044 3 286 5*346 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography