DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 86.2 - - 83.3 - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 532 - - 282 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 2897 - - 1612 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4101 - - 5538 - - 4410 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4602 - - 6434 - - 5149 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1753 - - 2184 - - 2680 - - 1286 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 474 - - 316 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 206 - - 210 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 48 - - 39 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3415 - - -2059 - - -2678 - - -2238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8017 - - 8494 - - 7827 - - 4862 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7058 - - -4972 - - -5564 - - -6792 ODpotential blCL - - - 11660 - - 11406 - - 10713 - - 9416 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 77 - - 52 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 830 - - 680 - - 490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 86.2 - - 83.3 - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.2 - - 57.8 - - 57.8 - - 60.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 84.0 - - 82.0 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.2 - - 57.8 - - 57.8 - - 60.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 401 - - 532 - - 282 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 2897 - - 1612 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99008 28 124 27 131 16 107 21 102 99008 91508 30 121 21 119 25 111 25 093 91508 85745 28 112 22 129 24 102 25 108 85745 80977 24 101 25 118 19 105 20 098 80977 76880 18 103 21 112 16 117 16 082 76880 73259 12 126 15 104 18 122 9 098 73259 69982 15 131 9 143 12 112 12 100 69982 66962 13 107 14 150 5 187 9 100 66962 64176 7 143 9 157 13 165 2 315 64176 61502 7 239 8 283 6 063 0 279 61502 58737 11 197 14 242 16 281 13 279 58737 55884 13 268 15 243 22 253 18 267 55884 53159 31 272 30 255 36 250 37 257 53159 50711 45 269 40 259 45 253 46 252 50711 48506 60 269 51 262 54 259 53 254 48506 46492 72 267 64 263 65 260 60 255 46492 44638 75 262 71 260 72 257 65 253 44638 42920 75 257 70 258 71 254 65 249 42920 41321 70 255 67 255 67 252 61 247 41321 39829 65 253 65 249 63 248 58 245 39829 38430 63 251 63 246 59 244 58 242 38430 37083 64 249 63 245 59 242 59 239 37083 35720 67 246 63 244 60 243 58 238 35720 34311 64 246 60 243 61 243 56 240 34311 32863 56 246 56 243 58 242 54 239 32863 31364 50 243 51 241 52 242 51 237 31364 29799 49 242 49 240 48 241 47 237 29799 28165 46 243 46 241 45 242 42 239 28165 26466 42 242 42 240 41 241 38 238 26466 24705 36 241 36 239 35 240 34 236 24705 22884 31 241 30 237 29 237 30 231 22884 20996 27 238 26 234 26 234 27 228 20996 19034 23 233 27 230 28 235 24 230 19034 17041 23 234 24 228 24 233 20 227 17041 15124 20 237 20 231 18 227 17 221 15124 13376 17 243 16 231 14 223 15 218 13376 11818 15 250 13 232 12 219 14 220 11818 10426 14 254 12 235 12 218 14 223 10426 9181 13 254 11 239 12 221 14 226 9181 8067 12 255 10 240 12 225 14 228 8067 7075 10 262 7*235 11 224 13 232 7075 6196 8 263 7*213 9 221 12 234 6196 5416 5 256 7 206 8*216 10 234 5416 4714 3*233 8 204 7*213 7 229 4714 4090 3*219 9 205 8 211 5 216 4090 3568 5 214 10 205 8 209 4 187 3568 3166 6 213 10 206 9 209 5 166 3166 2889 6 214 10 207 9 210 5 160 2889 2720 6 214 10 207 8 210 4*158 2720 2623 6 213 9 207 7 211 3*159 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography