DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 56.0 - - - - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 107 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 118 - - 1573 - - - - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 4013 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3655 - - 5110 - - - - - 3879 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2387 - - 2274 - - - - - 2101 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 68 - - 238 - - - - - 24 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 228 - - - - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 30 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1034 - - 1975 - - - - - 1257 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2622 - - 3135 - - - - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 662 - - 811 - - - - - 240 ODpotential blCL - - - 2993 - - 4299 - - - - - 3639 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 95 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 470 - - 710 - - - - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 56.0 - - - - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.4 - - 51.2 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 56.0 - - - - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 49.9 - - - - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 35 - - 107 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 118 - - 1573 - - - - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 81 - - - - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97373 9 304 6 300 11 290 97373 90128 8 025 2 116 9 316 90128 84568 8 014 7 037 13 357 84568 79969 6 316 7 353 14 009 79969 76011 2 320 9 316 11 010 76011 72512 7 007 8 359 10 011 72512 69333 2 022 3 297 6 021 69333 66389 1 138 5 081 2 291 66389 63644 10 200 7 193 8 163 63644 60984 14 228 21 238 3 206 60984 58203 20 217 26 220 14 257 58203 55315 20 206 24 214 26 253 55315 52558 21 230 32 232 35 268 52558 50056 37 231 37 233 43 264 50056 47790 44 224 41 234 49 260 47790 45719 48 226 41 239 50 257 45719 43817 52 227 46 244 48 259 43817 42056 52 228 49 242 51 266 42056 40420 53 227 50 236 57 269 40420 38897 58 223 46 234 58 273 38897 37472 63 220 47 236 58 276 37472 36104 68 216 42 234 58 278 36104 34727 72 213 43 244 59 279 34727 33314 71 210 42 243 57 281 33314 31870 77 208 37 233 54 285 31870 30386 77 205 32 233 53 290 30386 28849 70 204 31 240 54 294 28849 27259 64 205 29 247 54 298 27259 25609 51 205 26 242 53 304 25609 23896 40 207 21 239 46 308 23896 22123 38 210 20 236 40 303 22123 20289 39 217 21 230 33 297 20289 18386 35 218 21 233 28 297 18386 16451 28 216 18 237 26 299 16451 14590 25 214 18 237 23 297 14590 12899 24 216 18 240 19 294 12899 11396 23 219 16 247 16 293 11396 10058 21 220 16 249 15 291 10058 8865 21 220 16 246 14 282 8865 7803 18 221 16 244 14 271 7803 6859 14 224 14 242 14 265 6859 6023 12 226 12 241 14 265 6023 5281 10 225 11*241 12 265 5281 4614 9 222 9*238 10 267 4614 4021 8*220 8 230 8*269 4021 3523 7*218 7 226 6*274 3523 3140 6 215 7 225 4 280 3140 2875 6 215 7 222 3 287 2875 2714 5 215 6 222 2 305 2714 2622 4 214 5 222 1 321 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography