DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.7 - - 74.6 - - 77.8 - - 73.5 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -122 - - 95 - - 173 - - 7 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1724 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 4338 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 5261 - - 2624 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 164 - - 3311 - - 1936 - - 2697 - - 300 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 49 - - 279 - - 22 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 16 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 040 - - 318 - - 325 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -44 - - -9 - - 18 - - 6 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3959 - - -6948 - - -4578 - - -5514 - - -4609 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6583 - - 9572 - - 9839 - - 8138 - - 7232 sfcLCL ODpotential -12695 - - -12905 - - -9791 - - -11072 - - -13020 ODpotential blCL 15318 - - 15529 - - 15052 - - 13696 - - 15643 blCL maxRH 37 - - 40 - - 38 - - 42 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.7 - - 74.6 - - 77.8 - - 73.5 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.6 - - 42.1 - - 43.8 - - 47.1 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.8 - - 74.4 - - 77.1 - - 74.1 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.5 - - 41.1 - - 42.8 - - 46.4 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -122 - - 95 - - 173 - - 7 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1724 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 20 284 19 300 10 299 17 283 17 277 96685 89478 11 315 13 300 19 311 17 306 14 331 89478 83931 12 317 10 331 13 309 13 305 20 343 83931 79346 12 322 10 326 13 300 13 323 17 325 79346 75392 12 330 11 311 15 313 20 334 19 330 75392 71893 17 315 16 309 16 314 22 318 23 331 71893 68735 18 304 18 306 18 307 21 309 23 329 68735 65851 16 290 18 304 20 307 21 321 20 324 65851 63188 16 294 20 306 20 310 21 319 19 314 63188 60610 24 307 25 300 22 310 19 316 16 317 60610 57924 27 300 30 287 32 286 30 301 30 315 57924 55150 35 297 34 292 35 277 38 284 41 293 55150 52506 42 296 39 297 38 283 41 282 42 280 52506 50115 47 291 47 294 44 289 43 289 41 286 50115 47969 51 286 51 287 47 287 45 292 45 296 47969 46022 53 283 49 281 45 281 45 287 50 290 46022 44229 48 284 42 279 40 278 42 283 45 285 44229 42562 41 292 34 287 35 283 34 288 38 296 42562 41009 35 298 32 294 31 290 30 298 29 304 41009 39555 30 299 30 299 28 299 29 303 27 312 39555 38185 27 306 26 309 27 310 26 307 29 314 38185 36864 26 310 22 320 22 317 23 307 28 315 36864 35526 25 312 20 329 16 325 17 305 23 311 35526 34142 21 310 19 332 13 336 13 313 18 309 34142 32716 19 314 18 319 14 340 11 323 16 310 32716 31230 18 321 15 295 14 329 11 326 14 318 31230 29677 14 309 13 296 14 305 12 313 10 327 29677 28056 9 282 13 299 14 302 13 302 7 332 28056 26368 13 288 15 306 14 311 12 304 9 322 26368 24616 16 308 17 309 15 314 12 314 14 321 24616 22803 14 314 17 309 16 316 12 322 15 324 22803 20922 12 299 16 308 15 319 11 327 14 332 20922 18966 12 305 14 301 12 313 10 319 15 336 18966 16975 19 338 11 324 9 298 9 303 17 339 16975 15055 23 348 15 347 8 317 10 319 17 338 15055 13305 22 352 17 349 12 345 14 343 17 338 13305 11747 20 358 19 351 15 345 17 347 18 338 11747 10359 17 003 19 358 17 350 17 349 18 336 10359 9121 14 005 17 004 17 000 17 357 16 334 9121 8017 10 010 12 011 14 011 15 007 14 334 8017 7034 8 023 6 025 9 024 14 016 11 335 7034 6163 7 047 3 054 7 025 12 018 10 341 6163 5389 7 072 3 088 7*016 11 015 11 352 5389 4693 10 079 4 084 5*360 10 012 12 003 4693 4074 14 074 6 067 4 344 8 008 14 013 4074 3556 18 067 7 053 3 308 6 002 14 020 3556 3158 20 061 5 044 3 289 3 351 13 026 3158 2884 19 056 3 038 3 274 2 327 11 031 2884 2718 15*052 3*038 3 267 1*296 9*032 2718 2622 9*048 1*033 3 262 1*268 6*032 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography