DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.9 - - 70.9 - - 75.9 - - 71.8 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 457 - - 559 - - 285 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1296 - - 2194 - - 1284 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 4292 - - 5006 - - 4179 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4833 - - 5731 - - 4821 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1586 - - 842 - - 917 - - 991 - - 1369 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 344 - - 439 - - 294 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 181 - - 200 - - 204 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 30 - - 45 - - 38 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3557 - - -1773 - - -1987 - - -1098 - - -1118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6182 - - 6606 - - 7719 - - 5919 - - 3742 sfcLCL ODpotential -13559 - - -9368 - - -8872 - - -7408 - - -9449 ODpotential blCL 16183 - - 14201 - - 14603 - - 12229 - - 12073 blCL maxRH 52 - - 66 - - 61 - - 73 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.9 - - 70.9 - - 75.9 - - 71.8 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 51.0 - - 51.0 - - 54.7 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.3 - - 69.2 - - 73.6 - - 70.7 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.1 - - 50.9 - - 51.0 - - 54.7 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 457 - - 559 - - 285 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1296 - - 2194 - - 1284 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98862 20 130 17 101 20 128 11 142 9 068 98862 91424 26 103 18 115 15 148 13 110 14 090 91424 85681 19 092 17 103 16 132 15 110 18 091 85681 80923 13 105 17 083 16 095 20 109 17 093 80923 76839 15 095 12 088 14 076 21 094 20 107 76839 73240 10 090 13 102 12 101 16 082 18 085 73240 69983 10 079 9 098 9 087 7 076 8 080 69983 66982 4 359 8 116 6 098 4 082 10 107 66982 64198 9 003 4 134 3 210 4 292 2 282 64198 61519 14 286 2 273 8 237 7 267 7 267 61519 58735 19 265 15 267 15 267 17 258 16 250 58735 55858 26 261 23 264 21 270 20 262 19 250 55858 53140 29 264 26 261 24 265 22 272 21 265 53140 50714 32 263 23 270 24 266 24 277 22 275 50714 48531 36 266 26 277 27 270 28 273 29 272 48531 46538 43 267 30 272 31 266 34 267 39 268 46538 44706 46 262 34 264 35 260 41 260 45 262 44706 43009 46 262 36 260 37 259 43 257 45 261 43009 41424 48 265 39 260 36 261 43 259 44 263 41424 39935 50 265 42 262 37 261 46 262 42 267 39935 38530 50 263 43 261 38 259 48 263 41 268 38530 37177 48 262 43 260 38 258 47 263 40 266 37177 35806 45 261 43 259 40 258 46 262 42 265 35806 34391 44 265 42 258 42 255 46 262 43 265 34391 32937 43 267 41 256 43 251 43 259 44 263 32937 31428 40 268 41 256 42 251 43 254 44 258 31428 29853 36 267 41 256 43 251 44 251 44 254 29853 28210 34 262 39 255 43 252 43 251 42 252 28210 26500 33 259 37 255 40 256 41 254 39 251 26500 24724 33 259 35 261 37 260 39 259 38 254 24724 22886 30 261 33 263 34 262 35 260 36 256 22886 20978 26 258 29 259 33 259 34 259 34 259 20978 18994 23 250 27 251 30 254 32 260 31 262 18994 16976 22 254 26 250 29 254 29 260 26 262 16976 15034 20 258 24 252 27 254 25 257 24 256 15034 13269 18 258 22 250 24 252 22 250 22 251 13269 11703 16 259 20 248 21 250 20 247 20 248 11703 10311 15 262 18 251 19 254 17 249 17 246 10311 9072 16 266 17 257 16 259 14 254 14 245 9072 7968 16 271 16 265 13 265 12 258 13 242 7968 6989 16 275 14 271 9 264 10 253 12 237 6989 6122 15 277 11 273 6*232 7 242 10 229 6122 5355 11 276 6*258 7*204 6*219 8 218 5355 4667 8 273 4*198 8 198 6*204 7 200 4667 4056 4 266 6 174 9 199 7 202 5 181 4056 3546 2 261 7 177 10 200 8 203 5 166 3546 3153 0 178 8 181 10 201 9 204 5 158 3153 2882 1 104 8 183 10 202 9 205 5 157 2882 2717 1*083 8 185 10 202 8 206 4*160 2717 2623 1*080 7 187 8 203 7 207 3*161 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography