DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.3 - - 72.8 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 588 - - 329 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1037 - - 1632 - - 1136 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4113 - - 4589 - - 4110 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4574 - - 5169 - - 4673 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 736 - - 915 - - 769 - - 1534 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 325 - - 405 - - 296 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 175 - - 188 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 43 - - 48 - - 23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -843 - - -1000 - - -283 - - -273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5418 - - 6169 - - 4956 - - 2896 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6101 - - -4803 - - -5250 - - -7157 ODpotential blCL - - - 10675 - - 9972 - - 9923 - - 9780 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 85 - - 84 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 470 - - 400 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.3 - - 72.8 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.5 - - 59.0 - - 59.8 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 74.8 - - 71.4 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 58.9 - - 59.7 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 480 - - 588 - - 329 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1037 - - 1632 - - 1136 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 38 - - 37 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98997 36 104 32 112 30 110 29 101 98997 91563 26 099 28 120 20 102 26 084 91563 85812 22 090 28 111 16 099 24 091 85812 81023 19 102 25 097 21 116 18 091 81023 76912 18 111 20 100 23 103 17 104 76912 73289 13 115 14 093 20 095 19 102 73289 70013 11 130 10 104 13 096 15 097 70013 67004 6 102 6 104 6 079 8 093 67004 64226 7 168 5 156 3 215 1 107 64226 61551 5 150 5 259 8 272 6 267 61551 58773 10 210 14 220 13 241 12 236 58773 55890 12 224 16 209 16 218 13 225 55890 53122 21 227 23 221 22 214 17 228 53122 50623 25 228 31 226 30 222 31 223 50623 48384 30 236 33 227 36 224 36 216 48384 46350 40 239 42 235 44 231 45 219 46350 44485 51 231 49 230 57 225 54 221 44485 42765 51 219 56 228 61 221 60 221 42765 41170 47 225 63 229 67 220 63 223 41170 39685 51 233 65 226 69 215 62 221 39685 38295 58 234 67 220 68 214 61 214 38295 36958 65 229 74 224 71 217 68 213 36958 35604 63 225 68 227 69 216 70 218 35604 34204 61 222 60 221 62 217 63 221 34204 32762 58 224 59 220 55 218 52 219 32762 31266 48 237 49 223 49 219 47 218 31266 29703 40 242 35 227 35 218 41 217 29703 28074 32 241 28 232 23 229 36 216 28074 26381 27 238 24 225 20 232 27 225 26381 24625 24 234 23 223 20 235 22 228 24625 22808 24 235 22 229 21 236 19 227 22808 20925 23 238 21 235 20 231 20 227 20925 18972 23 235 21 235 18 223 21 226 18972 16986 24 226 22 232 18 216 22 221 16986 15071 22 224 21 230 18 217 22 221 15071 13324 19 226 18 232 17 220 21 221 13324 11763 16 224 16 230 15 222 19 221 11763 10369 14 218 14 222 15 218 17 218 10369 9122 13 209 13 210 15 211 17 213 9122 8008 13 200 14 201 16 206 16 206 8008 7018 13 188 14 186 16 195 16 197 7018 6143 12 173 12 175 14 182 16 186 6143 5368 12 163 12*169 12 176 15 172 5368 4674 12*160 12*168 11*176 13 160 4674 4060 11*163 13 172 12*183 11 157 4060 3548 12 167 13 175 12 187 10 162 3548 3154 12 171 13 178 12 189 9 163 3154 2883 11 176 12 181 12 191 8 166 2883 2718 11 177 12 182 11 192 7*168 2718 2622 9 179 10 184 9 194 5*170 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography