DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.2 - - 79.5 - - 86.7 - - 84.6 - - 77.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 67 - - 477 - - 568 - - 311 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 321 - - 1012 - - 576 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 4122 - - 3685 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 3858 - - 4549 - - 4113 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 833 - - 429 - - 561 - - 555 - - 738 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 219 - - 341 - - 232 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 199 - - 234 - - 220 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 28 - - 35 - - 26 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4147 - - -3131 - - -4779 - - -4294 - - -3540 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6771 - - 6990 - - 9329 - - 8407 - - 6166 sfcLCL ODpotential -12520 - - -9298 - - -9514 - - -9761 - - -10364 ODpotential blCL 15144 - - 13156 - - 14063 - - 13874 - - 12989 blCL maxRH 62 - - 60 - - 45 - - 59 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 30 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 70.2 - - 79.5 - - 86.7 - - 84.6 - - 77.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.0 - - 58.0 - - 55.1 - - 56.9 - - 59.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.2 - - 77.4 - - 84.3 - - 83.2 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.0 - - 58.0 - - 54.9 - - 56.8 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 67 - - 477 - - 568 - - 311 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 321 - - 1012 - - 576 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99243 36 110 33 110 37 101 36 107 33 112 99243 91738 38 107 32 111 34 111 31 110 35 101 91738 85940 35 107 33 107 32 104 35 107 36 100 85940 81149 32 105 32 104 29 103 37 102 38 102 81149 77051 29 108 30 107 30 113 33 093 33 103 77051 73436 24 103 30 116 24 108 23 094 31 096 73436 70167 19 104 26 112 17 128 18 102 20 085 70167 67174 17 107 15 110 23 128 15 104 12 108 67174 64406 17 116 11 128 21 123 12 122 10 097 64406 61747 13 092 12 140 10 101 14 129 7 073 61747 59006 8 120 12 136 2 086 6 102 6 105 59006 56177 10 094 15 121 6 155 1 274 4 080 56177 53501 7 040 8 096 12 135 5 177 3 108 53501 51119 9 338 10 352 9 112 7 137 10 160 51119 48982 6 318 5 339 5 124 6 144 8 161 48982 47026 6 289 3 283 5 161 7 199 2 328 47026 45218 8 282 6 264 5 216 9 239 8 321 45218 43532 10 262 8 294 5 268 10 237 8 294 43532 41947 11 241 9 284 7 291 10 234 9 264 41947 40451 10 242 10 252 10 276 12 242 10 245 40451 39039 10 243 13 243 12 276 11 255 9 245 39039 37674 12 227 14 235 13 266 11 267 8 254 37674 36291 15 218 14 222 12 248 11 262 9 252 36291 34860 12 220 12 225 11 249 10 256 9 243 34860 33386 10 240 10 245 9 269 8 267 6 236 33386 31855 12 254 8 268 7 276 6 289 3 238 31855 30252 11 261 6 263 5 245 5 293 4 199 30252 28582 9 244 5 223 6 200 2 265 5 151 28582 26847 5 210 5 172 7 149 6 136 6 134 26847 25050 3 129 6 142 10 136 8 125 7 132 25050 23197 5 105 8 138 14 148 13 152 9 142 23197 21283 10 128 13 145 19 154 18 160 15 164 21283 19299 15 126 15 150 20 162 19 170 16 167 19299 17282 10 130 14 156 19 168 17 171 14 156 17282 15338 8 145 13 172 18 173 14 174 8 158 15338 13561 8 169 12 188 16 187 9 194 5 158 13561 11974 5 186 13 203 12 204 5 223 2 149 11974 10555 4 229 12 219 8 229 3 284 2 097 10555 9285 6 257 10 242 6 265 5 314 2 038 9285 8150 7 262 10 264 7 292 6 316 3 010 8150 7140 7 259 9 280 9 301 4 296 3 351 7140 6245 7 253 9 290 8 306 3 255 2 317 6245 5452 6 247 7 294 6 301 3 249 2 261 5452 4739 5 236 5 297 3*278 3*253 3 231 4739 4107 4 216 1*244 4*250 2*243 3 222 4107 3578 3 194 3*193 5 237 4 219 2 266 3578 3172 3 174 5 198 7 232 5 219 1 314 3172 2891 3 168 6 201 7 230 5 219 1 338 2891 2721 2*167 6 201 7 229 5 218 1*351 2721 2624 2*171 6 202 7 228 5 218 1*340 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography