DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 78.3 - - 76.2 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 166 - - 276 - - 172 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 986 - - 3114 - - 1649 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 5507 - - 4262 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4523 - - 6651 - - 5186 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1790 - - 1969 - - 2322 - - 1762 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 391 - - 270 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 183 - - 188 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 45 - - 43 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3266 - - -2612 - - -3567 - - -3012 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7790 - - 9263 - - 8753 - - 5637 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6949 - - -6415 - - -7238 - - -8330 ODpotential blCL - - - 11472 - - 13066 - - 12424 - - 10954 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 96 - - 88 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 78.3 - - 76.2 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 46.7 - - 46.9 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 77.3 - - 75.7 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 46.6 - - 46.9 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 166 - - 276 - - 172 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 986 - - 3114 - - 1649 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 86 - - 52 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98465 10 134 13 146 13 167 4 245 98465 90993 6 127 15 135 12 153 2 057 90993 85276 4 112 12 129 6 116 7 113 85276 80573 6 148 6 103 7 081 7 117 80573 76533 8 147 5 010 9 087 6 152 76533 72973 6 137 3 013 8 066 8 126 72973 69741 6 168 2 186 7 031 6 073 69741 66772 6 140 5 171 3 040 6 023 66772 64044 2 233 11 143 12 172 8 268 64044 61428 16 219 12 239 4 333 8 232 61428 58700 12 213 22 217 17 246 12 264 58700 55853 18 282 16 257 24 245 25 270 55853 53145 38 262 37 263 40 246 42 253 53145 50713 51 253 48 253 44 255 49 250 50713 48528 62 257 62 258 62 262 59 254 48528 46536 92 259 96 258 85 259 77 253 46536 44697 109 252 103 251 99 254 92 251 44697 42980 109 247 106 245 102 248 97 250 42980 41365 103 247 107 242 104 244 98 250 41365 39841 96 244 106 242 104 242 96 249 39841 38400 90 242 100 243 103 243 93 249 38400 37011 84 240 90 244 97 246 90 249 37011 35609 77 240 81 241 86 245 86 249 35609 34174 69 242 72 240 78 241 79 246 34174 32713 58 241 64 242 71 240 72 241 32713 31205 53 240 59 243 66 242 70 240 31205 29633 52 238 55 239 64 242 71 242 29633 27996 48 236 53 238 62 242 67 243 27996 26293 48 235 49 238 58 242 60 241 26293 24525 40 239 46 239 52 241 56 239 24525 22699 39 246 47 239 50 240 55 240 22699 20810 42 252 45 241 49 243 54 247 20810 18853 37 255 43 244 45 246 47 251 18853 16867 33 252 40 248 40 249 37 249 16867 14961 33 249 35 247 34 246 31 244 14961 13228 30 243 29 243 28 243 28 236 13228 11683 24 227 25 226 25 233 26 226 11683 10304 20 211 24 211 25 225 26 219 10304 9073 18 199 23 204 24 218 25 215 9073 7975 19 191 22 198 21 209 24 213 7975 6998 20 188 19*194 19 200 22 213 6998 6134 19 186 16*187 16 191 18 211 6134 5367 18 178 14 181 13*184 15 204 5367 4678 16*164 14 180 12*183 12 191 4678 4066 14*154 13 181 11 185 10 179 4066 3553 11 159 13 183 11 189 8 170 3553 3157 10 163 13 184 11 191 7 164 3157 2884 10 167 12 186 11 193 7 158 2884 2718 9 170 11 186 10 193 6*156 2718 2623 7 172 9 188 8 195 3*152 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography