DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.4 - - 60.1 - - 62.8 - - 60.9 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -27 - - 64 - - 86 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 261 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3798 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 362 - - 1855 - - 1223 - - 1990 - - 1125 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 45 - - 122 - - 19 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 055 - - 175 - - 225 - - 246 - - 351 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - 13 - - 17 - - 10 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2929 - - -2654 - - -1422 - - -2083 - - -2411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5552 - - 5278 - - 5220 - - 4706 - - 5034 sfcLCL ODpotential -15539 - - -12759 - - -10139 - - -11609 - - -12963 ODpotential blCL 18162 - - 15382 - - 13937 - - 14232 - - 15586 blCL maxRH 50 - - 65 - - 85 - - 81 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.4 - - 60.1 - - 62.8 - - 60.9 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.8 - - 46.2 - - 49.0 - - 49.4 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 60.2 - - 62.7 - - 62.1 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.6 - - 45.0 - - 47.8 - - 48.4 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -27 - - 64 - - 86 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 261 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 39 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96878 45 283 62 279 53 287 48 278 57 275 96878 89883 31 289 38 278 37 287 34 282 37 290 89883 84456 22 302 25 287 26 284 24 294 28 313 84456 79909 11 307 21 315 14 307 12 299 18 300 79909 75964 7 336 5 284 14 276 12 299 9 300 75964 72444 9 308 3 170 8 218 5 237 7 263 72444 69242 8 250 7 195 6 215 4 225 9 237 69242 66305 15 263 10 244 5 215 7 233 8 210 66305 63575 20 267 19 257 13 263 14 253 8 250 63575 60930 18 261 20 243 24 252 21 256 16 270 60930 58191 15 280 19 255 23 261 27 262 28 260 58191 55389 31 291 31 278 31 275 38 280 36 256 55389 52757 41 281 40 274 49 284 52 284 48 270 52757 50409 47 279 46 274 57 282 62 285 58 277 50409 48297 57 294 55 285 54 285 67 286 71 286 48297 46372 68 289 58 298 61 300 77 292 82 288 46372 44597 66 306 71 310 79 305 80 294 82 287 44597 42942 84 319 82 311 83 302 77 295 82 288 42942 41385 91 319 85 309 81 298 76 294 84 288 41385 39915 84 318 85 308 77 297 76 293 81 286 39915 38522 76 313 80 306 71 294 75 290 78 285 38522 37174 75 307 73 301 67 290 73 287 78 285 37174 35807 75 308 67 294 66 289 75 288 75 284 35807 34392 70 314 62 295 65 292 74 288 70 284 34392 32934 61 312 57 301 59 293 68 288 66 283 32934 31421 60 311 47 304 52 289 59 288 58 283 31421 29842 52 314 43 303 44 284 48 286 49 280 29842 28197 47 318 43 304 39 287 41 290 45 278 28197 26484 45 316 43 302 37 293 36 294 45 280 26484 24703 41 313 44 302 35 299 34 297 42 280 24703 22857 41 312 42 305 33 306 35 300 39 281 22857 20940 38 315 35 308 30 314 32 304 35 283 20940 18954 32 318 26 308 23 313 26 308 26 279 18954 16938 25 322 21 315 17 301 20 305 16 281 16938 15002 22 326 18 322 15 300 17 300 12 295 15002 13242 21 330 16 329 14 306 15 304 10 317 13242 11676 19 336 13 330 11 305 11 309 8 335 11676 10281 16 350 9 336 7 310 5 327 7 005 10281 9039 13 020 4 020 4 340 3 065 7 051 9039 7938 12 043 8 072 4 053 6 094 8 080 7938 6963 10 057 10 089 6 080 8 087 8 093 6963 6102 10 072 11 100 8 075 7 066 8 094 6102 5340 11 080 10 102 7 055 6 036 7 084 5340 4655 13 081 9 099 4 041 4 016 7 068 4655 4048 14 081 7 094 2*029 2 345 7 048 4048 3540 14 079 5 098 1*238 1 299 7 031 3540 3149 13 078 2 136 3 226 2 255 6 019 3149 2880 12 074 2 179 3 223 2 245 6 007 2880 2716 9*068 3*186 3 223 2*244 5*353 2716 2622 5*055 2*192 3 221 2*242 4*350 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography