DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 72.6 - - 78.8 - - 78.7 - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -77 - - 62 - - 181 - - 36 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 880 - - 299 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2607 - - 3754 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 4417 - - 3836 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 177 - - 1372 - - 3136 - - 3986 - - 329 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 45 - - 231 - - 100 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 052 - - 069 - - 070 - - 041 - - 035 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -29 - - -28 - - 4 - - 2 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3864 - - -5673 - - -5154 - - -6075 - - -7324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6488 - - 8297 - - 9572 - - 9911 - - 9949 sfcLCL ODpotential -13307 - - -13146 - - -11549 - - -12131 - - -16053 ODpotential blCL 15930 - - 15770 - - 15966 - - 15967 - - 18677 blCL maxRH 32 - - 34 - - 73 - - 55 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 72.6 - - 78.8 - - 78.7 - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 45.6 - - 46.0 - - 44.5 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.8 - - 72.7 - - 78.1 - - 78.9 - - 73.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 44.4 - - 44.7 - - 43.3 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -77 - - 62 - - 181 - - 36 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 880 - - 299 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96600 16 281 19 289 13 248 20 261 21 275 96600 89360 2 113 5 163 10 230 6 281 4 057 89360 83832 5 018 8 066 1 338 2 311 10 044 83832 79244 2 348 5 028 11 008 8 100 9 042 79244 75287 6 040 8 046 14 345 15 048 12 059 75287 71802 17 015 14 045 11 360 15 017 14 024 71802 68675 29 355 26 012 20 029 14 013 20 342 68675 65831 34 353 33 356 23 352 17 000 21 346 65831 63203 39 343 35 346 27 355 21 002 17 011 63203 60645 35 333 36 346 36 001 34 359 33 010 60645 57971 35 333 40 342 40 349 41 350 38 356 57971 55191 44 333 40 332 38 332 41 343 37 354 55191 52526 47 321 37 324 38 329 43 342 37 359 52526 50125 42 310 36 329 40 334 41 346 40 008 50125 47994 44 356 45 006 45 001 46 011 45 020 47994 46090 71 356 61 008 55 007 53 016 50 018 46090 44352 61 344 62 355 54 360 52 008 45 013 44352 42732 39 001 49 353 49 004 45 003 39 019 42732 41207 59 031 37 015 43 011 38 005 39 024 41207 39766 60 026 42 025 44 013 35 009 43 023 39766 38400 52 013 45 015 44 007 36 012 47 019 38400 37077 49 006 47 003 45 357 38 015 49 017 37077 35734 49 002 46 353 43 354 42 018 49 016 35734 34343 49 358 47 352 42 357 46 019 49 017 34343 32905 50 355 45 356 42 002 49 020 47 017 32905 31409 51 355 40 358 43 006 48 020 45 017 31409 29843 50 355 37 359 42 008 44 018 41 015 29843 28209 44 355 35 003 38 008 38 014 37 012 28209 26508 33 348 33 006 34 007 32 008 33 006 26508 24740 30 339 28 003 30 004 28 005 30 357 24740 22910 33 340 25 354 28 000 27 004 28 353 22910 21013 31 344 26 355 26 355 27 004 28 356 21013 19042 24 343 25 359 26 353 29 004 28 000 19042 17035 19 345 21 356 26 355 30 005 29 005 17035 15100 17 354 18 356 22 358 32 008 29 011 15100 13339 15 003 14 004 18 003 31 012 27 015 13339 11771 10 009 8 011 12 008 23 014 22 019 11771 10379 8 023 4 017 7 024 13 018 14 023 10379 9141 7 047 2 039 6 058 8 037 8 026 9141 8036 5 054 2 049 7 090 8 055 4 031 8036 7053 6 074 4 091 10 093 10 061 3 056 7053 6179 8 083 5 097 11 081 12 060 4 073 6179 5403 10 088 8 086 12 074 12 057 5 070 5403 4704 13 089 13 074 12*067 11 054 8 065 4704 4083 16 084 16 069 9*064 9*048 10 063 4083 3562 21 077 15 067 6 064 6*043 13 063 3562 3162 20 073 12 067 4 073 3 042 12 061 3162 2886 16 068 8 069 3 082 2 037 10 054 2886 2718 12*061 6*072 2 096 1 036 7*046 2718 2623 6*052 3*077 1 128 0 024 5*035 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography