DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 64.6 - - 66.9 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 288 - - 204 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 365 - - 816 - - 824 - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 3851 - - 3700 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3902 - - 4353 - - 4361 - - 3583 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 851 - - 815 - - 827 - - 862 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 254 - - 227 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 178 - - 180 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 27 - - 37 - - 32 - - 19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 605 - - 694 - - -152 - - 602 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3297 - - 3660 - - 4513 - - 2981 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 389 - - 368 - - -7348 - - -7182 ODpotential blCL - - - 3513 - - 3985 - - 11709 - - 10765 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 97 - - 84 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 64.6 - - 66.9 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 57.4 - - 55.9 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 63.6 - - 66.1 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 57.2 - - 55.9 - - 57.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 288 - - 204 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 365 - - 816 - - 824 - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 88 - - 36 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98824 21 114 18 127 17 122 9 066 98824 91467 22 101 23 115 19 113 16 113 91467 85761 22 114 23 102 23 108 25 121 85761 81003 21 120 18 098 23 103 29 111 81003 76909 18 128 19 119 20 101 27 091 76909 73288 16 131 16 130 13 111 18 100 73288 70007 11 138 10 141 10 106 15 103 70007 67006 10 143 11 173 7 146 7 097 67006 64228 7 155 6 181 5 181 2 008 64228 61543 15 191 11 212 13 231 9 259 61543 58758 13 193 19 209 19 228 17 231 58758 55890 13 248 20 223 24 232 26 232 55890 53176 29 253 30 240 32 239 34 240 53176 50743 38 252 40 249 43 246 45 248 50743 48561 49 249 50 248 51 243 53 245 48561 46570 53 245 54 246 56 243 56 244 46570 44735 53 242 54 243 59 242 58 241 44735 43030 52 242 54 240 57 239 58 236 43030 41433 52 242 53 238 54 238 56 235 41433 39932 52 243 53 238 53 234 53 238 39932 38520 51 243 53 238 54 233 52 239 38520 37160 49 244 51 241 53 237 51 240 37160 35786 46 244 47 244 51 239 51 242 35786 34369 44 244 43 241 45 239 49 244 34369 32913 41 241 42 231 44 236 46 241 32913 31402 37 235 40 223 44 229 42 237 31402 29827 36 224 39 220 43 230 42 236 29827 28188 37 219 40 217 41 235 42 235 28188 26481 36 231 39 230 41 233 40 235 26481 24711 32 239 35 232 41 230 39 233 24711 22881 31 240 34 230 39 230 37 232 22881 20981 36 237 36 232 35 232 35 235 20981 19002 37 236 36 232 34 232 34 236 19002 16985 33 233 34 229 32 231 32 234 16985 15044 29 227 30 228 28 230 28 230 15044 13278 24 225 26 228 24 226 25 224 13278 11708 21 222 23 223 21 223 22 220 11708 10312 20 218 21 220 19 221 19 216 10312 9069 18 217 18 220 15 221 16 213 9069 7963 17 216 15 217 14 213 15 203 7963 6981 14 211 11 206 12 192 15 186 6981 6114 12 199 9 189 10 174 15 174 6114 5348 11 186 10 177 10 167 12 164 5348 4660 12 179 11*172 10*170 10 161 4660 4052 11*168 11*172 9*175 8*168 4052 3543 10*166 11 175 9 178 7*167 3543 3152 10 168 11 179 9 182 7 168 3152 2881 10 171 10 183 9 184 5 168 2881 2717 9 173 10 184 8 186 4 169 2717 2622 7 175 8 186 7 188 2 174 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography