DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 95.4 - - 94.1 - - 85.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 560 - - 306 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 583 - - 1222 - - 1130 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3780 - - 4275 - - 4087 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4120 - - 4759 - - 4667 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1071 - - 1703 - - 2223 - - 1266 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 362 - - 288 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 220 - - 225 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 40 - - 35 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6759 - - -7644 - - -7631 - - -7630 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10879 - - 12404 - - 12298 - - 10255 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12077 - - -11523 - - -11637 - - -13046 ODpotential blCL - - - 16197 - - 16282 - - 16304 - - 15671 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 35 - - 42 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.2 - - 95.4 - - 94.1 - - 85.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.7 - - 50.0 - - 49.3 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.0 - - 92.7 - - 92.7 - - 87.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 49.9 - - 49.2 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 449 - - 560 - - 306 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 583 - - 1222 - - 1130 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99265 46 095 48 103 46 102 45 098 99265 91784 35 111 39 112 37 101 41 085 91784 86038 32 116 40 117 33 106 38 091 86038 81266 35 104 39 107 36 114 34 109 81266 77145 33 107 30 101 34 111 30 115 77145 73504 30 119 29 107 27 102 28 104 73504 70219 25 114 30 109 23 113 22 111 70219 67216 21 119 22 104 21 113 19 112 67216 64451 24 126 17 127 15 115 16 092 64451 61795 24 119 18 145 18 146 15 125 61795 59055 15 116 16 162 15 167 14 146 59055 56232 13 156 19 187 16 190 18 169 56232 53562 21 179 25 187 23 195 23 186 53562 51183 23 190 25 191 33 195 32 195 51183 49052 22 208 28 199 34 202 33 196 49052 47103 26 215 37 213 35 203 32 198 47103 45300 29 215 39 214 36 201 33 200 45300 43622 30 218 35 208 36 202 31 202 43622 42046 30 221 30 208 36 206 30 205 42046 40556 26 218 27 215 36 211 31 207 40556 39145 23 214 27 219 34 216 30 212 39145 37778 22 212 26 220 29 220 29 217 37778 36391 22 211 20 216 26 223 24 214 36391 34955 20 215 19 218 21 209 20 200 34955 33476 20 214 19 217 17 196 21 181 33476 31942 20 214 19 213 18 202 21 181 31942 30339 21 213 20 213 17 208 18 189 30339 28668 16 226 18 215 14 213 13 202 28668 26930 12 240 14 225 10 219 9 208 26930 25130 4 192 8 213 7 200 7 181 25130 23273 6 104 4 166 6 170 8 164 23273 21351 7 096 5 150 7 166 7 168 21351 19358 7 120 8 153 7 170 6 176 19358 17332 7 142 8 158 8 167 7 192 17332 15380 7 167 9 152 9 146 9 167 15380 13599 8 179 9 150 13 126 13 138 13599 12008 11 183 9 144 13 119 14 138 12008 10587 11 180 9 148 10 129 14 153 10587 9315 9 175 9 154 8 151 13 167 9315 8178 8 165 9 154 9 170 11 180 8178 7166 6 153 8 154 8 182 8 196 7166 6268 5 144 7 157 6 191 5 214 6268 5471 2 137 4 178 3 223 4 241 5471 4754 4*322 4*218 4*243 3 278 4754 4118 4*306 5*222 4*238 5 297 4118 3586 5 262 7 221 6 226 4 309 3586 3176 6 248 8 220 7 223 2 301 3176 2894 6 241 8 219 7 221 1 242 2894 2722 6 239 8 219 7 220 1*223 2722 2624 6 236 7 219 6 220 1*217 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography