DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 87.1 - - - - - 77.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 567 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 764 - - 1488 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3912 - - 4474 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4301 - - 5025 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1113 - - 1221 - - - - - 1372 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 290 - - 388 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 221 - - - - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 39 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5394 - - -6087 - - - - - -5593 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9696 - - 11112 - - - - - 8218 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11914 - - -12075 - - - - - -13759 ODpotential blCL - - - 16215 - - 17100 - - - - - 16383 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 34 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.9 - - 87.1 - - - - - 77.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 47.5 - - - - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.9 - - 84.6 - - - - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.5 - - 47.3 - - - - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 460 - - 567 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 764 - - 1488 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99225 43 115 38 104 34 098 99225 91660 34 122 39 100 32 103 91660 85863 32 108 37 105 34 103 85863 81089 36 104 33 109 28 105 81089 76985 30 107 23 101 25 112 76985 73384 25 107 18 096 31 107 73384 70140 22 097 17 127 25 093 70140 67156 16 097 20 138 17 072 67156 64401 17 122 20 146 16 107 64401 61767 20 127 20 148 20 136 61767 59057 14 151 13 155 15 148 59057 56263 20 187 18 197 14 193 56263 53609 28 193 30 192 25 208 53609 51223 29 199 36 200 33 210 51223 49070 28 210 30 211 38 215 49070 47096 29 221 29 227 39 215 47096 45264 32 231 27 234 29 224 45264 43550 32 236 27 244 27 233 43550 41941 33 237 29 249 29 252 41941 40423 35 231 29 254 30 260 40423 38987 35 243 29 245 30 260 38987 37600 33 247 30 235 31 260 37600 36197 32 253 30 234 31 255 36197 34750 37 251 32 242 31 254 34750 33272 39 251 33 250 28 253 33272 31751 34 247 32 253 23 251 31751 30167 29 248 26 251 22 262 30167 28517 23 255 21 255 22 258 28517 26801 20 265 19 252 23 243 26801 25019 19 280 18 256 26 245 25019 23171 16 295 17 265 24 255 23171 21251 12 272 15 251 22 248 21251 19256 16 243 16 242 21 252 19256 17224 15 236 17 239 18 255 17224 15264 13 223 15 235 14 245 15264 13481 12 212 13 225 11 226 13481 11895 12 212 12 221 9 215 11895 10484 10 220 11 225 8 225 10484 9226 9 228 9 234 7 248 9226 8103 7 239 7 245 8 264 8103 7103 6 256 6 258 9 274 7103 6217 6 268 5 266 9 282 6217 5430 5 279 4*254 9 288 5430 4723 4*288 4*237 9 294 4723 4096 4*285 5 223 7 298 4096 3571 5 262 7 220 6 303 3571 3168 6 251 8 218 4 291 3168 2890 6 244 8 218 3 272 2890 2721 6 241 8 217 3*262 2721 2623 6 239 7 217 2*259 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography