DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/14 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 77.4 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 586 - - - - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 659 - - 1614 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3831 - - 4575 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4196 - - 5151 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 650 - - 958 - - - - - 1313 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 403 - - - - - 25 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 180 - - - - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 43 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -445 - - -1192 - - - - - -1099 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4641 - - 6344 - - - - - 3724 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5750 - - -4569 - - - - - -7391 ODpotential blCL - - - 9946 - - 9720 - - - - - 10015 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 75 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 580 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.2 - - 77.4 - - - - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.7 - - 58.4 - - - - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.4 - - 75.0 - - - - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 58.4 - - - - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 442 - - 586 - - - - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 659 - - 1614 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 0 - - - - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99086 37 104 34 116 36 113 99086 91643 34 107 30 118 25 107 91643 85880 27 105 36 117 25 091 85880 81096 23 103 28 105 17 093 81096 77006 20 109 24 109 20 118 77006 73398 20 113 20 115 20 109 73398 70127 17 107 13 130 17 111 70127 67121 11 133 12 124 11 100 67121 64346 9 127 8 159 6 111 64346 61669 5 206 10 175 4 142 61669 58876 8 202 8 184 12 193 58876 55973 21 225 18 205 13 211 55973 53195 24 226 23 219 22 224 53195 50694 33 233 25 225 27 221 50694 48448 40 227 35 238 33 240 48448 46408 38 222 47 226 42 245 46408 44551 30 225 40 224 47 244 44551 42849 32 239 40 236 48 242 42849 41270 36 247 43 243 45 246 41270 39793 42 249 47 247 43 249 39793 38403 45 247 47 249 42 251 38403 37064 44 244 45 250 40 252 37064 35707 41 242 42 250 38 251 35707 34307 38 242 40 251 35 252 34307 32866 36 243 37 252 33 252 32866 31370 35 242 32 253 30 249 31370 29806 35 242 29 250 27 246 29806 28174 33 243 27 248 24 242 28174 26474 32 246 25 246 21 244 26474 24709 30 247 24 245 18 247 24709 22883 27 242 24 237 15 243 22883 20989 26 228 27 227 18 237 20989 19023 28 221 30 224 24 229 19023 17029 27 216 32 221 32 224 17029 15109 25 210 32 220 33 224 15109 13356 23 204 29 217 29 218 13356 11790 22 202 24 212 25 209 11790 10392 19 204 21 206 22 202 10392 9143 17 205 17 202 19 197 9143 8028 14 200 14 195 17 193 8028 7037 13 194 12 179 16 184 7037 6160 11 180 11 167 14 174 6160 5383 10 164 10*166 13 165 5383 4685 10*158 10*169 10 156 4685 4068 9*165 10 175 8 150 4068 3552 9 173 11 180 6 149 3552 3157 9 179 11 185 6 152 3157 2884 9 184 11 187 4 157 2884 2718 9 186 11 189 4*159 2718 2623 8 188 9 191 3*166 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography