DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 73.1 - - 77.1 - - 73.9 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -94 - - 101 - - 187 - - 4 - - -95 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1196 - - 3789 - - 1320 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 5861 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4733 - - 7326 - - 4857 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 203 - - 3381 - - 1273 - - 2950 - - 366 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 209 - - 371 - - 79 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 19 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 089 - - 104 - - 056 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -35 - - -11 - - 36 - - 9 - - -42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6645 - - -6698 - - -5490 - - -6983 - - -8807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9268 - - 11432 - - 12816 - - 11841 - - 11430 sfcLCL ODpotential -16707 - - -14590 - - -11780 - - -13823 - - -17520 ODpotential blCL 19330 - - 19323 - - 19106 - - 18680 - - 20143 blCL maxRH 44 - - 35 - - 39 - - 38 - - 27 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 73.1 - - 77.1 - - 73.9 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.8 - - 32.3 - - 30.1 - - 31.3 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.6 - - 72.9 - - 76.4 - - 74.7 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.8 - - 31.1 - - 29.0 - - 30.3 - - 24.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -94 - - 101 - - 187 - - 4 - - -95 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1196 - - 3789 - - 1320 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96687 60 280 50 282 60 271 60 273 59 277 96687 89527 38 279 39 282 40 275 41 285 34 297 89527 84038 28 273 33 289 31 290 26 283 32 295 84038 79450 17 280 24 271 27 291 25 280 31 283 79450 75490 18 304 16 251 25 269 24 279 25 287 75490 72001 22 304 13 299 19 259 21 261 26 285 72001 68840 17 274 20 293 16 301 14 273 25 280 68840 65934 9 255 19 262 18 295 9 292 16 294 65934 63262 12 002 5 239 19 264 12 290 17 311 63262 60701 18 339 10 347 12 283 18 288 20 287 60701 58035 18 304 13 313 10 308 15 302 16 267 58035 55261 16 298 19 304 15 305 17 309 15 273 55261 52618 21 320 19 315 17 293 17 287 19 278 52618 50238 23 333 20 332 16 301 17 282 21 276 50238 48090 24 320 24 331 17 321 17 299 25 280 48090 46123 27 315 25 322 21 327 22 311 29 287 46123 44309 29 321 24 321 22 320 25 310 29 288 44309 42628 30 332 26 322 24 314 26 309 28 291 42628 41065 31 344 26 333 27 316 28 314 29 304 41065 39604 32 356 29 344 29 325 29 316 32 317 39604 38227 34 004 30 352 27 338 24 320 32 321 38227 36900 34 008 28 355 26 348 21 330 28 319 36900 35555 35 012 28 358 26 348 24 338 21 322 35555 34163 39 012 32 358 26 350 24 347 20 330 34163 32725 37 015 30 009 22 359 17 001 22 339 32725 31230 28 028 26 014 15 010 11 006 17 346 31230 29671 24 037 21 018 13 008 13 003 15 335 29671 28045 24 029 17 034 10 020 11 002 15 340 28045 26353 25 022 18 041 11 049 7 018 12 339 26353 24595 20 019 19 040 16 071 6 058 5 346 24595 22778 15 012 14 034 15 072 5 064 2 018 22778 20896 14 006 10 021 10 049 5 029 2 053 20896 18939 12 010 8 007 8 009 7 007 4 342 18939 16943 15 042 8 040 6 354 7 000 5 334 16943 15018 18 054 13 054 6 039 4 359 5 039 15018 13267 20 048 15 048 12 040 9 026 11 054 13267 11710 21 049 15 047 15 039 15 036 15 056 11710 10324 21 064 17 065 15 056 15 045 15 055 10324 9090 16 075 15 076 16 075 14 062 12 062 9090 7990 10 088 12 092 12*081 12 070 9 071 7990 7011 7 099 12 104 7*085 10 071 6 086 7011 6145 7 108 12 104 6 088 9 068 5 104 6145 5376 8 113 11*100 4 095 9*063 6 114 5376 4683 10 108 10*094 3 106 8*058 9 110 4683 4069 15 094 10 089 3 118 6 055 12 103 4069 3554 20 086 9 085 2 136 4 054 15 090 3554 3157 21 084 7 086 2 156 3 058 18 076 3157 2883 18 081 5 091 2 165 2 060 17 069 2883 2717 13*072 5 093 2 171 2 065 14*062 2717 2622 8*063 3 099 2 179 1 069 8*056 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography