DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 86.0 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 77 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2257 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2607 - - 4335 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2625 - - 5794 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4082 - - 3681 - - - - - 1667 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 247 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 19 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 2 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 318 - - - - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -45 - - 11 - - - - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4371 - - -2764 - - - - - -4188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6996 - - 8559 - - - - - 6814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7853 - - -5886 - - - - - -8262 ODpotential blCL - - - 10478 - - 11680 - - - - - 10887 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 98 - - - - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 350 - - - - - 350 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.9 - - 86.0 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.3 - - 57.6 - - - - - 59.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.7 - - 86.7 - - - - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 56.7 - - - - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 77 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 2257 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 94 - - - - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99012 29 113 28 137 15 095 99012 91545 17 101 26 127 19 106 91545 85778 13 124 17 110 21 109 85778 80996 9 136 12 084 18 112 80996 76884 6 141 11 106 17 102 76884 73260 11 136 10 118 12 081 73260 70001 13 118 6 115 10 089 70001 67020 13 111 13 123 12 104 67020 64268 10 124 12 134 6 135 64268 61619 10 172 5 149 7 178 61619 58886 17 212 14 241 9 244 58886 56092 20 228 29 223 18 231 56092 53452 25 236 33 211 24 217 53452 51073 31 239 36 224 27 222 51073 48925 43 237 42 231 34 233 48925 46963 49 234 47 232 38 236 46963 45149 52 231 49 232 38 236 45149 43455 49 232 48 232 41 231 43455 41864 47 240 46 233 44 232 41864 40365 48 243 46 234 46 238 40365 38947 51 243 49 234 46 240 38947 37576 53 244 53 235 47 240 37576 36187 54 242 51 234 47 239 36187 34752 52 239 46 232 42 238 34752 33275 42 242 41 233 35 233 33275 31747 36 246 38 235 27 230 31747 30154 27 236 33 237 19 227 30154 28495 22 223 27 232 15 220 28495 26770 20 215 22 226 18 211 26770 24982 20 214 19 216 20 209 24982 23135 20 223 19 218 20 211 23135 21222 21 229 19 225 17 206 21222 19240 21 232 21 222 14 198 19240 17226 20 235 21 218 14 192 17226 15286 17 238 19 225 10 185 15286 13519 15 238 17 236 5 172 13519 11943 13 235 15 241 3 172 11943 10536 10 232 12 242 4 179 10536 9277 7 229 8 243 4 185 9277 8150 5 227 4 247 2 196 8150 7146 4 228 1 319 1 286 7146 6256 2 241 3*003 3 331 6256 5463 1 329 3*005 4 343 5463 4750 2 035 3 353 6 344 4750 4116 4 048 2 324 7 345 4116 3584 7 050 3 302 8 344 3584 3176 9 058 3 284 8 342 3176 2893 8 060 3 277 6 342 2893 2722 7*062 3 272 5*341 2722 2624 5*060 3 267 3*349 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography