DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.8 - - 80.3 - - 77.6 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 492 - - 591 - - 350 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 611 - - 1132 - - 666 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3815 - - 4217 - - 3790 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4148 - - 4669 - - 4203 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 605 - - 713 - - 678 - - 1109 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 275 - - 359 - - 253 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 187 - - 187 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 42 - - 33 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3843 - - -4155 - - -3420 - - -2428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7991 - - 8825 - - 7623 - - 5052 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10408 - - -9742 - - -9798 - - -10292 ODpotential blCL - - - 14556 - - 14411 - - 14001 - - 12916 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 68 - - 59 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.8 - - 80.3 - - 77.6 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 50.8 - - 53.3 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.8 - - 77.8 - - 76.0 - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 50.6 - - 53.2 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 492 - - 591 - - 350 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 611 - - 1132 - - 666 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98911 37 110 35 107 29 100 39 089 98911 91465 38 116 30 104 27 101 34 102 91465 85702 27 112 30 107 25 097 31 104 85702 80904 25 115 24 108 26 113 26 094 80904 76783 24 117 19 110 25 103 20 092 76783 73145 18 117 17 106 18 099 21 085 73145 69860 16 107 13 111 14 112 12 065 69860 66863 12 080 11 099 12 118 8 107 66863 64104 5 049 7 056 9 057 9 055 64104 61458 3 054 4 039 4 038 5 009 61458 58724 4 261 6 308 4 299 8 325 58724 55908 8 264 12 271 11 265 13 279 55908 53234 17 262 21 263 18 272 20 270 53234 50829 25 257 30 253 29 264 29 264 50829 48665 34 252 41 251 40 261 39 261 48665 46693 44 251 50 249 49 255 48 255 46693 44874 50 253 54 249 54 252 54 250 44874 43186 53 255 58 248 58 248 58 245 43186 41609 54 255 58 248 59 245 61 243 41609 40128 50 255 55 249 57 246 58 243 40128 38731 43 255 49 249 53 246 53 244 38731 37382 37 255 40 250 49 247 49 244 37382 36013 33 257 37 252 41 249 45 244 36013 34595 30 261 33 253 35 249 40 244 34595 33132 29 262 28 255 30 247 36 244 33132 31608 27 259 25 254 26 245 31 244 31608 30018 25 255 24 253 24 247 23 244 30018 28366 26 251 25 253 23 248 21 249 28366 26650 28 247 27 248 25 252 23 256 26650 24870 25 244 24 246 24 253 23 258 24870 23029 19 238 19 247 21 252 21 258 23029 21121 20 220 21 234 19 247 20 259 21121 19141 22 218 20 238 18 247 18 262 19141 17125 18 216 17 239 15 242 15 261 17125 15184 15 213 15 231 13 234 15 248 15184 13416 15 210 14 222 14 230 16 236 13416 11836 16 210 14 217 14 225 16 226 11836 10425 16 211 15 215 14 220 15 222 10425 9167 15 212 15 212 14 215 13 221 9167 8046 13 211 13 206 13 208 11 214 8046 7049 11 203 12 195 11 196 10 200 7049 6169 9 187 11 180 11 183 10 187 6169 5391 9 171 10 172 9 177 10 179 5391 4692 8*162 9*172 8*174 8 172 4692 4073 7*169 9*178 7*176 6 168 4073 3556 7 179 10 185 8 184 5 157 3556 3158 7 187 10 189 8 188 5 158 3158 2885 8 192 10 192 8 192 4 167 2885 2718 7 195 10 193 8 193 3*173 2718 2623 7 196 9 195 7 196 2*176 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography