DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 73.1 - - 72.3 - - 65.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 531 - - 284 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1685 - - 1629 - - 1243 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4570 - - 4569 - - 4151 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5222 - - 5166 - - 4780 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1318 - - 1723 - - 1799 - - 1342 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 371 - - 392 - - 291 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 240 - - 265 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 36 - - 43 - - 33 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2948 - - -2694 - - -2768 - - -3152 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8170 - - 7860 - - 7549 - - 5777 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7846 - - -6886 - - -6937 - - -8729 ODpotential blCL - - - 13068 - - 12052 - - 11717 - - 11353 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 55 - - 53 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 73.1 - - 72.3 - - 65.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.1 - - 47.7 - - 48.3 - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 70.9 - - 71.2 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 47.2 - - 47.9 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 432 - - 531 - - 284 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1685 - - 1629 - - 1243 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98232 9 155 12 089 10 103 10 096 98232 90783 20 113 16 119 11 108 14 098 90783 85093 18 108 13 131 9 108 18 085 85093 80378 13 101 12 118 8 087 19 080 80378 76320 10 125 13 097 12 090 14 091 76320 72752 13 138 11 116 10 079 14 099 72752 69530 10 120 9 136 9 109 12 109 69530 66572 9 109 8 135 6 122 3 127 66572 63833 4 220 3 198 8 151 6 185 63833 61160 15 231 15 250 7 248 3 197 61160 58341 21 235 20 236 16 239 14 253 58341 55415 24 259 24 245 25 244 26 256 55415 52638 30 269 28 259 30 254 33 262 52638 50152 38 272 36 266 38 264 37 269 50152 47933 46 271 44 269 43 269 41 273 47933 45928 50 273 50 272 48 273 47 274 45928 44105 53 276 53 275 51 275 49 277 44105 42433 56 280 55 278 52 276 50 278 42433 40881 58 285 55 283 52 277 51 278 40881 39427 59 287 56 285 51 278 50 278 39427 38056 59 286 56 284 51 280 49 278 38056 36731 58 284 55 282 50 280 48 279 36731 35389 57 283 54 280 49 279 47 280 35389 34001 56 284 53 278 49 276 48 280 34001 32571 54 285 53 277 49 275 48 280 32571 31083 52 285 52 278 49 275 47 280 31083 29527 50 285 49 279 49 277 46 280 29527 27904 47 285 45 281 46 279 43 282 27904 26215 41 287 41 281 41 280 38 285 26215 24463 37 286 36 283 37 281 35 285 24463 22652 33 282 32 287 34 284 32 286 22652 20775 30 285 29 289 30 288 28 290 20775 18828 27 294 25 292 25 293 23 294 18828 16850 25 302 23 300 21 301 18 299 16850 14948 24 310 22 307 19 309 14 309 14948 13217 22 319 19 313 16 314 11 314 13217 11674 19 327 17 326 13 317 8 312 11674 10297 16 333 15 342 12 326 8 311 10297 9068 14 338 13 353 12 338 9 318 9068 7970 12 346 13 353 14 347 12 328 7970 6994 11 354 13 342 14 344 15 335 6994 6131 12 351 11 328 13 334 17 337 6131 5365 11*341 8*312 12*326 16 336 5365 4676 8*319 7*274 8*300 15 335 4676 4063 7 294 7 247 7 284 13 335 4063 3550 7 267 8 236 7 257 10 337 3550 3155 7 256 9 232 7 249 5 335 3155 2883 7 249 9 229 7 245 3 319 2883 2718 7 247 9 229 7 243 2*303 2718 2623 6 245 8 227 6 240 1*272 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography