DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/28 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 88.1 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 589 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 658 - - 1686 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3843 - - 4630 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4195 - - 5223 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 670 - - 997 - - - - - 1049 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 410 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 220 - - - - - 234 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 41 - - - - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4183 - - -4855 - - - - - -3703 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8378 - - 10079 - - - - - 6327 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11177 - - -9738 - - - - - -10950 ODpotential blCL - - - 15372 - - 14961 - - - - - 13574 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 53 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.6 - - 88.1 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 53.0 - - - - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 85.5 - - - - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 52.9 - - - - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 589 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 658 - - 1686 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99121 32 118 35 109 35 101 99121 91619 37 101 32 111 28 101 91619 85846 35 103 29 107 25 096 85846 81059 32 111 28 102 26 099 81059 76943 34 106 27 108 25 106 76943 73320 29 101 31 109 25 106 73320 70061 20 105 29 107 24 100 70061 67078 21 103 22 115 22 101 67078 64317 21 095 15 125 17 111 64317 61664 15 114 16 130 10 104 61664 58930 17 146 13 143 8 160 58930 56125 12 188 14 172 6 201 56125 53457 30 184 30 197 17 229 53457 51054 37 167 40 174 28 221 51054 48903 17 200 25 180 34 209 48903 46942 27 220 25 228 30 201 46942 45130 40 215 36 224 24 209 45130 43441 48 208 35 216 27 213 43441 41855 50 203 31 211 32 209 41855 40359 49 203 28 203 35 206 40359 38945 37 210 23 200 37 204 38945 37578 20 207 16 202 35 208 37578 36193 15 187 13 204 24 214 36193 34764 10 186 10 211 16 218 34764 33294 11 199 11 229 15 212 33294 31766 15 203 14 234 14 223 31766 30170 15 213 16 234 12 239 30170 28510 13 214 17 231 12 245 28510 26783 12 212 18 228 11 253 26783 24992 13 212 17 227 11 256 24992 23141 12 218 14 221 10 249 23141 21223 10 222 11 212 10 235 21223 19234 7 228 11 205 10 240 19234 17213 6 221 10 216 9 258 17213 15266 8 232 10 229 9 254 15266 13492 9 238 11 231 9 229 13492 11910 10 239 12 227 10 210 11910 10498 10 241 10 222 10 200 10498 9237 8 243 7 214 10 194 9237 8111 6 250 6 199 9 196 8111 7109 6 260 5 193 7 201 7109 6222 5 266 3 203 5 207 6222 5435 3 276 3*220 3 231 5435 4727 1*286 4*226 3 273 4727 4098 1*238 6 221 4 296 4098 3573 3 210 7 220 4 312 3573 3169 5 210 8 219 1 299 3169 2890 6 211 8 218 2 242 2890 2721 6 210 8 218 2*233 2721 2623 6 210 8 219 2*228 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography