DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 86.5 - - 81.9 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 551 - - 158 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 814 - - 1917 - - 747 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3941 - - 4792 - - 2607 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4351 - - 5454 - - 4284 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 916 - - 836 - - 1052 - - 1105 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 418 - - 201 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 224 - - 177 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 42 - - 23 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4155 - - -4266 - - -3822 - - -3441 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8506 - - 9721 - - 8106 - - 6066 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8589 - - -8008 - - -8009 - - -8240 ODpotential blCL - - - 12940 - - 13462 - - 12293 - - 10865 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 91 - - 96 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 86.5 - - 81.9 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.6 - - 53.0 - - 55.5 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.8 - - 84.1 - - 81.2 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 53.0 - - 55.4 - - 59.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 440 - - 551 - - 158 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 814 - - 1917 - - 747 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 64 - - 85 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99016 26 115 31 106 30 117 29 095 99016 91511 32 101 29 106 32 100 30 103 91511 85773 35 105 28 108 29 094 31 100 85773 81033 30 106 27 103 28 093 28 093 81033 76949 25 105 26 108 25 092 24 092 76949 73345 25 105 22 112 21 105 20 103 73345 70090 20 101 21 105 19 109 18 094 70090 67102 16 096 18 103 15 119 12 099 67102 64339 11 107 17 098 17 115 18 112 64339 61687 6 143 16 095 17 109 25 106 61687 58962 10 167 10 110 15 098 22 102 58962 56169 22 148 22 157 10 162 10 103 56169 53513 29 138 29 151 17 163 6 144 53513 51113 29 135 28 140 22 150 12 160 51113 48946 27 133 27 133 24 142 19 153 48946 46960 24 130 24 128 23 136 19 146 46960 45123 21 125 18 132 18 127 17 140 45123 43416 19 124 17 142 11 134 13 137 43416 41820 18 124 17 146 11 136 10 132 41820 40325 17 118 13 146 10 123 11 110 40325 38917 15 097 12 136 11 124 12 103 38917 37558 17 096 12 135 10 130 10 114 37558 36179 19 095 10 144 6 141 7 128 36179 34753 18 090 9 123 4 113 5 139 34753 33282 17 094 8 113 5 095 7 142 33282 31754 14 104 4 118 9 094 5 151 31754 30158 11 112 2 164 11 107 5 184 30158 28491 11 115 5 125 12 120 5 177 28491 26756 10 116 11 102 11 125 5 130 26756 24958 7 122 14 103 10 123 9 101 24958 23100 8 128 11 118 9 121 10 100 23100 21180 8 138 10 119 3 117 13 111 21180 19191 5 149 5 115 5 311 14 119 19191 17172 0 299 2 027 10 328 15 121 17172 15232 1 292 4 005 12 343 13 112 15232 13466 1 123 3 357 9 347 9 104 13466 11893 3 145 1 063 5 014 7 093 11893 10489 1 103 4 124 5 043 6 087 10489 9232 4 005 3 094 5 043 5 075 9232 8110 7 355 3 017 5 040 4 039 8110 7109 8 349 4 357 3 032 4 345 7109 6223 8 345 3*337 1 032 7 322 6223 5436 5 338 2*280 1 100 9 315 5436 4727 3*328 3 248 2*142 11 313 4727 4099 2*279 6 223 4*157 12 314 4099 3573 4 239 7 219 6 174 11 315 3573 3169 5 230 8 217 6 180 9 318 3169 2890 6 227 9 217 6 183 7 316 2890 2721 6 225 8 217 6 185 5*316 2721 2624 6 224 8 216 6 186 3*317 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography