DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/11 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 83.3 - - 82.4 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 508 - - 288 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 768 - - 1045 - - 755 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3918 - - 4130 - - 3804 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4305 - - 4582 - - 4292 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 660 - - 671 - - 859 - - 1157 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 292 - - 333 - - 247 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 201 - - 220 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 39 - - 30 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4108 - - -3412 - - -3835 - - -2882 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8414 - - 7995 - - 8127 - - 5507 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8339 - - -7051 - - -7815 - - -8300 ODpotential blCL - - - 12644 - - 11633 - - 12107 - - 10925 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 86 - - 78 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 110 - - 460 - - 440 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.7 - - 83.3 - - 82.4 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 57.3 - - 55.8 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.6 - - 81.2 - - 81.1 - - 74.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 57.0 - - 55.7 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 469 - - 508 - - 288 - - 12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 768 - - 1045 - - 755 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 42 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99123 26 123 30 105 27 096 29 089 99123 91650 37 108 34 108 28 106 26 099 91650 85886 35 098 36 108 30 105 25 102 85886 81119 29 098 29 091 31 096 26 096 81119 77015 21 104 21 092 27 096 28 095 77015 73387 19 099 20 097 20 100 20 091 73387 70109 14 093 14 112 14 092 18 090 70109 67104 12 084 13 109 11 100 13 088 67104 64327 5 131 4 124 4 112 7 069 64327 61654 6 125 5 200 3 228 7 321 61654 58888 1 308 5 229 7 241 6 269 58888 56035 6 275 6 267 8 253 5 250 56035 53327 13 229 18 221 16 220 14 243 53327 50906 17 200 25 194 21 197 20 217 50906 48742 15 185 24 178 23 186 22 199 48742 46767 12 195 23 178 24 187 22 198 46767 44942 17 210 22 189 22 197 22 198 44942 43242 23 209 24 204 23 210 23 204 43242 41650 27 201 29 207 31 214 28 209 41650 40159 27 192 33 203 37 209 28 208 40159 38757 26 184 30 200 38 200 29 210 38757 37406 24 184 26 199 33 200 29 207 37406 36038 21 184 23 204 25 210 23 233 36038 34623 21 180 19 213 19 235 23 259 34623 33163 20 175 16 219 19 242 18 273 33163 31643 14 174 13 217 16 243 15 261 31643 30052 10 181 12 204 13 236 12 247 30052 28395 9 180 14 194 13 225 10 239 28395 26674 11 168 16 189 13 222 10 225 26674 24891 11 171 18 182 11 222 7 220 24891 23046 11 177 14 174 12 204 7 204 23046 21136 11 178 11 178 9 187 7 187 21136 19161 11 178 7 175 7 158 8 174 19161 17159 11 171 5 153 6 140 7 177 17159 15232 10 166 5 156 5 129 5 180 15232 13474 8 175 5 182 2 132 4 185 13474 11901 7 188 5 200 2 211 4 199 11901 10494 7 188 5 196 4 222 5 217 10494 9233 7 184 5 188 5 214 7 227 9233 8106 8 185 6 188 6 211 8 235 8106 7102 7 193 6 195 7 213 8 239 7102 6213 5 205 5 205 7 217 8 241 6213 5425 5 210 4 200 6 225 7 245 5425 4717 4*211 5*194 5*229 6 251 4717 4090 4*212 6*194 5*223 5 255 4090 3567 5 213 8 199 5 220 3 256 3567 3165 7 212 8 202 6 220 2 212 3165 2888 7 213 9 204 6 219 3 206 2888 2720 7 212 9 205 6 220 3*206 2720 2624 6 212 8 205 6 219 3*209 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography