DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.6 - - 89.5 - - 92.6 - - 90.7 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 311 - - 388 - - 102 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 7248 - - 8970 - - 8551 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 8761 - - 10260 - - 8961 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2625 - - 10785 - - 12507 - - 12088 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4360 - - 1843 - - 1343 - - 1658 - - 1410 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 538 - - 622 - - 393 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 43 - - 68 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 022 - - 305 - - 340 - - 355 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - 38 - - 68 - - 68 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6597 - - -1852 - - -860 - - -837 - - -7354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9222 - - 12637 - - 13368 - - 12926 - - 9979 sfcLCL ODpotential -12998 - - -6284 - - -4568 - - -5419 - - -12041 ODpotential blCL 15623 - - 17069 - - 17075 - - 17507 - - 14666 blCL maxRH 71 - - 63 - - 72 - - 73 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 76.6 - - 89.5 - - 92.6 - - 90.7 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 42.9 - - 42.6 - - 42.8 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 81.8 - - 88.1 - - 90.9 - - 90.4 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.6 - - 42.8 - - 42.5 - - 42.8 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 311 - - 388 - - 102 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 7248 - - 8970 - - 8551 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97945 16 242 14 282 16 245 18 236 11 254 97945 90593 9 236 11 231 15 235 11 251 5 246 90593 84937 4 142 8 204 8 245 6 256 6 287 84937 80255 8 091 9 170 4 285 5 350 3 034 80255 76252 13 077 10 129 4 072 8 039 11 068 76252 72740 17 065 12 086 11 086 9 056 16 050 72740 69574 13 073 14 088 6 086 9 051 16 047 69574 66680 11 066 12 073 9 097 6 079 10 034 66680 64015 6 074 8 047 9 052 8 064 9 048 64015 61444 7 046 8 044 4 096 4 329 5 345 61444 58776 11 343 14 351 7 023 6 313 4 256 58776 56021 21 301 19 313 16 312 20 303 16 302 56021 53406 30 300 37 303 37 305 42 302 39 302 53406 51051 42 291 44 299 49 299 51 300 47 298 51051 48916 47 289 48 296 52 300 54 300 52 301 48916 46953 51 292 48 296 51 300 56 302 56 303 46953 45129 52 295 47 294 52 299 57 302 56 302 45129 43426 51 295 47 294 48 295 56 301 58 303 43426 41828 50 297 46 297 44 292 51 298 57 304 41828 40320 49 299 44 299 43 292 46 294 51 300 40320 38900 48 299 42 299 42 293 44 290 45 294 38900 37531 47 296 40 295 41 294 43 288 42 289 37531 36143 45 298 38 294 38 293 40 290 42 288 36143 34708 43 301 37 298 36 296 37 294 39 293 34708 33230 40 308 37 304 34 301 33 296 34 295 33230 31698 37 318 36 313 32 307 30 296 30 298 31698 30102 28 321 33 318 29 313 28 298 26 298 30102 28443 23 299 25 318 27 315 25 304 21 294 28443 26717 19 299 21 312 24 315 24 307 20 296 26717 24924 13 266 17 307 20 319 21 309 18 294 24924 23063 10 214 8 235 13 309 14 315 14 294 23063 21132 8 196 8 199 7 252 10 289 11 300 21132 19131 5 179 9 180 7 217 10 282 13 307 19131 17108 5 136 8 137 4 151 5 291 8 323 17108 15176 7 126 8 114 5 095 4 008 3 359 15176 13426 6 115 6 091 6*070 7*037 6 055 13426 11868 4 082 6*061 6*035 8*031 9 077 11868 10476 4 044 7*042 6 031 8 024 10 072 10476 9229 3 028 6 036 5 015 7 012 11 062 9229 8112 2 057 6 035 3 353 6 358 10 051 8112 7116 3 092 4 029 2 310 5 339 10 038 7116 6231 4 107 2 019 3 267 5 318 9 019 6231 5444 5 121 1 352 4 249 5 295 9 357 5444 4735 6 125 1 289 5 239 5 281 11 336 4735 4105 7 128 2 248 6 235 5 270 14 322 4105 3578 8 128 3 238 6 231 5 263 16 319 3578 3171 8 124 4 233 7 229 6 259 16 320 3171 2892 8 109 4 232 7 227 5 257 13 330 2892 2721 7*095 4 230 6 227 5 254 10*341 2721 2624 5*077 4 230 6 226 5 252 6*355 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography