DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.4 - - 58.8 - - 58.2 - - 58.4 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 111 - - 122 - - 31 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 954 - - 812 - - 949 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4491 - - 4349 - - 4486 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1617 - - 1345 - - 1364 - - 1360 - - 2446 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 198 - - 193 - - 131 - - 26 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 165 - - 159 - - 177 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 20 - - 21 - - 23 - - 31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -465 - - 1307 - - 1504 - - 1635 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3088 - - 3184 - - 2845 - - 2851 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -7716 - - 591 - - 692 - - 699 - - -403 ODpotential blCL 10339 - - 3900 - - 3657 - - 3787 - - 3026 blCL maxRH 84 - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 110 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 53.4 - - 58.8 - - 58.2 - - 58.4 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.9 - - 53.7 - - 54.5 - - 54.6 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 58.7 - - 58.0 - - 58.7 - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.0 - - 53.1 - - 54.1 - - 54.3 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 111 - - 122 - - 31 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 954 - - 812 - - 949 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 37 - - 93 - - 101 - - 97 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97068 44 280 50 265 49 271 55 269 53 275 97068 89804 39 264 38 267 39 267 35 269 41 277 89804 84229 24 259 33 274 30 266 25 266 32 272 84229 79600 16 251 23 273 26 264 23 275 24 269 79600 75615 14 249 24 260 27 264 26 282 19 266 75615 72088 15 243 27 249 29 255 27 272 18 257 72088 68872 17 248 26 239 27 240 24 261 21 252 68872 65885 17 251 23 233 24 239 30 250 24 254 65885 63096 25 260 23 235 27 243 35 243 28 257 63096 60388 33 252 24 236 27 242 33 236 36 257 60388 57564 32 251 24 246 28 250 27 245 40 249 57564 54642 36 255 32 255 37 254 38 263 35 266 54642 51874 35 253 35 256 40 249 52 261 50 273 51874 49403 31 258 37 259 39 250 54 253 60 263 49403 47198 34 262 40 258 36 254 48 252 57 257 47198 45202 37 259 38 259 36 259 44 253 51 254 45202 43381 39 257 36 261 40 262 40 259 46 257 43381 41707 39 254 37 259 43 261 40 267 48 266 41707 40160 41 251 38 257 43 258 43 272 58 270 40160 38720 43 244 36 259 41 258 44 268 72 268 38720 37368 39 241 39 260 40 260 45 262 86 268 37368 36062 38 241 41 255 40 259 43 258 85 269 36062 34739 39 234 38 251 43 256 41 253 67 271 34739 33374 37 232 37 246 46 252 38 246 41 264 33374 31972 36 234 34 243 45 253 41 234 34 243 31972 30515 35 234 32 244 38 253 42 228 39 225 30515 28994 30 232 30 245 36 250 36 231 47 222 28994 27413 29 225 30 240 33 246 33 234 45 221 27413 25770 27 223 27 225 29 240 31 233 38 215 25770 24059 27 223 27 217 31 229 30 229 35 218 24059 22286 26 227 30 219 33 222 32 224 35 226 22286 20450 23 230 28 218 31 220 33 225 34 226 20450 18547 20 236 23 221 27 223 29 228 28 228 18547 16609 16 232 17 224 21 224 23 227 22 224 16609 14740 11 230 13 220 16 222 18 222 18 215 14740 13036 9 234 12 216 13 221 14 220 15 207 13036 11516 9 238 12 215 12 218 10 218 12 196 11516 10160 8 228 11 206 13 213 12 229 10 201 10160 8950 6 204 12 182 13 199 10 223 9 172 8950 7872 9 173 15 170 10 181 7 201 9 166 7872 6914 12 160 16 168 11 176 7 188 10 170 6914 6066 13 154 15 168 12 176 7 182 10 171 6066 5314 13 154 13 167 12 171 7 182 8 185 5314 4637 13 155 11*165 12*161 7*176 7 201 4637 4037 11 155 9*162 12*157 7*174 6 201 4037 3533 10 151 9 164 11 156 7 176 6 203 3533 3146 8 145 8 165 11 159 7 177 6 204 3146 2878 7 139 8 168 10 160 7 180 5 205 2878 2715 4*112 7 170 9 162 6 180 5*205 2715 2622 3*059 6 172 7 165 5 182 4*206 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography