DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.6 - - 70.9 - - 75.1 - - 72.2 - - 66.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 84 - - 190 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 881 - - 2673 - - 651 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 5050 - - 2607 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4418 - - 6210 - - 4188 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2255 - - 2152 - - 1850 - - 2546 - - 3277 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 180 - - 332 - - 45 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 24 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 150 - - 171 - - 215 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 13 - - 22 - - 20 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6228 - - -5090 - - -4769 - - -5687 - - -7539 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8852 - - 9509 - - 10979 - - 9875 - - 10163 sfcLCL ODpotential -14176 - - -12304 - - -10465 - - -11892 - - -14693 ODpotential blCL 16799 - - 16722 - - 16675 - - 16080 - - 17317 blCL maxRH 30 - - 63 - - 57 - - 60 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.6 - - 70.9 - - 75.1 - - 72.2 - - 66.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 38.6 - - 36.2 - - 38.3 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.1 - - 70.8 - - 74.3 - - 73.2 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.5 - - 37.4 - - 35.2 - - 37.5 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 84 - - 190 - - -2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 881 - - 2673 - - 651 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96717 64 283 58 288 57 282 53 284 64 285 96717 89595 36 276 39 281 41 285 36 292 42 295 89595 84118 27 283 27 269 34 281 34 292 37 298 84118 79562 28 298 21 286 25 293 28 294 29 295 79562 75629 23 299 20 288 23 290 28 294 25 302 75629 72138 16 311 14 283 20 279 28 282 28 298 72138 68960 26 305 16 307 16 283 21 281 24 287 68960 66024 28 286 20 295 16 283 21 285 25 286 66024 63300 28 271 22 279 23 283 27 287 27 292 63300 60677 27 268 24 268 28 279 29 288 29 301 60677 57958 26 275 23 276 28 279 30 288 31 304 57958 55141 28 277 26 281 27 280 29 284 31 297 55141 52446 31 275 28 277 30 272 29 279 30 290 52446 50011 32 276 32 271 35 266 32 269 28 291 50011 47823 34 275 35 265 37 262 36 267 28 288 47823 45838 35 270 36 262 38 260 39 262 32 281 45838 44027 36 263 37 256 37 257 42 263 40 272 44027 42361 31 253 34 245 37 250 41 258 42 261 42361 40816 21 253 25 238 36 240 40 245 40 255 40816 39373 19 260 21 243 30 238 37 238 40 245 39373 38018 21 255 22 253 27 245 34 237 40 239 38018 36710 22 254 23 260 26 247 31 239 37 238 36710 35383 21 255 23 261 24 246 29 242 33 238 35383 34007 18 256 22 262 20 246 26 238 28 236 34007 32590 16 252 18 261 15 240 21 222 24 236 32590 31115 14 242 14 247 14 218 20 214 22 237 31115 29571 9 217 13 235 15 212 20 217 21 239 29571 27960 13 216 17 227 18 216 20 222 20 234 27960 26280 13 215 17 216 19 222 19 222 20 232 26280 24533 12 205 17 205 20 222 19 233 20 232 24533 22724 11 190 14 202 19 221 20 236 19 242 22724 20849 8 181 9 214 11 244 14 248 14 258 20849 18902 4 200 6 261 11 296 12 294 12 299 18902 16920 2 237 6 293 11 305 13 316 12 324 16920 15009 3 224 6 305 8 314 10 322 8 334 15009 13266 2 210 3 324 5 332 7 332 5 345 13266 11712 0 171 2 008 3 359 5 359 4 026 11712 10328 1 126 3 053 3 027 5 024 6 056 10328 9094 3 137 2 109 2 069 6 041 6 068 9094 7993 3 141 2 148 2 096 6 046 6 066 7993 7014 3 147 2 167 3*076 7 042 6 056 7014 6146 3 146 4 157 3*077 7 034 6 035 6146 5377 4 136 5 145 2 106 4 030 5 013 5377 4685 5 133 6*139 2 149 1*023 5 354 4685 4070 6 134 6*138 3 182 2*215 6 344 4070 3555 7 135 6 143 4 189 3 215 7 340 3555 3158 6 131 6 152 5 194 4 215 6 339 3158 2884 5 116 5 164 5 196 4 216 6 350 2884 2718 5*099 5 168 5 198 4 215 5*359 2718 2623 4*081 4 171 4 199 3 214 5*004 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography