DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 79.8 - - 78.6 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 475 - - 200 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7308 - - 4436 - - 4732 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8913 - - 6722 - - 6598 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10845 - - 7973 - - 8269 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1903 - - 5408 - - 3673 - - 2869 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 578 - - 531 - - 408 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 038 - - 247 - - 278 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 42 - - 57 - - 48 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2785 - - -4314 - - -6102 - - -10168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13631 - - 12288 - - 14372 - - 12792 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9255 - - -8973 - - -10544 - - -15972 ODpotential blCL - - - 20100 - - 16946 - - 18813 - - 18596 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 43 - - 49 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 79.8 - - 78.6 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 34.6 - - 24.2 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.7 - - 77.8 - - 78.1 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.8 - - 33.8 - - 23.4 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 475 - - 200 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7308 - - 4436 - - 4732 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98167 10 342 10 012 6 061 7 040 98167 90745 2 125 2 321 2 295 8 338 90745 85020 5 144 4 193 8 283 8 353 85020 80255 3 128 6 181 4 291 5 348 80255 76163 3 237 2 013 6 090 4 155 76163 72555 8 188 2 261 0 002 2 073 72555 69275 5 166 6 218 9 264 5 321 69275 66253 1 190 6 233 12 272 10 298 66253 63449 4 282 5 275 9 263 11 291 63449 60738 10 289 11 316 7 316 9 316 60738 57914 14 294 15 300 14 314 14 329 57914 54992 13 298 14 293 18 306 21 312 54992 52217 15 317 16 292 20 297 19 300 52217 49725 19 304 16 304 18 310 19 320 49725 47497 20 313 26 311 26 319 22 326 47497 45487 24 309 25 301 26 316 26 323 45487 43659 19 293 17 299 21 314 28 313 43659 41985 14 326 13 333 18 312 25 303 41985 40442 25 345 18 359 12 319 21 295 40442 39003 27 339 22 355 11 332 16 299 39003 37652 19 344 23 346 17 329 16 306 37652 36349 15 353 21 337 17 323 16 310 36349 35029 16 351 16 329 16 321 14 315 35029 33664 19 349 14 331 16 322 13 324 33664 32255 19 352 15 337 14 324 13 316 32255 30790 15 352 13 339 12 327 12 305 30790 29258 13 340 11 338 10 326 12 294 29258 27659 13 330 11 337 9 319 12 290 27659 25993 12 323 10 331 10 309 13 291 25993 24263 12 331 9 330 10 306 11 292 24263 22474 13 339 9 344 8 317 9 305 22474 20621 10 343 10 352 9 352 7 335 20621 18701 7 008 7 002 8 350 5 027 18701 16750 9 041 5 033 4 332 5 076 16750 14871 12 049 10 047 4 022 10 069 14871 13160 10 054 15 041 13 042 14 053 13160 11636 8*075 14 029 17 040 15 043 11636 10276 7*074 12 021 14 030 14 038 10276 9057 7 064 9 009 9*354 12 032 9057 7967 6 046 6*346 8*312 8 019 7967 6994 6 036 5*304 9 298 6 341 6994 6132 6 028 6 270 11 284 7 304 6132 5366 5 020 8 254 12 277 9 293 5366 4677 4 007 10 245 12 273 12 295 4677 4065 2 340 11 240 13 270 13 301 4065 3552 2 303 11 237 13 267 12 309 3552 3157 2 271 12 235 12 265 10 315 3157 2884 2 257 12 234 12 264 9 320 2884 2718 2 252 11 233 11 263 8*323 2718 2623 2 243 9 231 9 261 4*334 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography