DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 92.4 - - 91.6 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 459 - - 204 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1069 - - 2297 - - 1796 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4087 - - 5043 - - 4439 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4606 - - 5834 - - 5333 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1287 - - 2363 - - 2523 - - 1234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 301 - - 419 - - 295 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 240 - - 257 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 38 - - 40 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4984 - - -4139 - - -4859 - - -5055 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9590 - - 9973 - - 10193 - - 7681 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8091 - - -6696 - - -7502 - - -9524 ODpotential blCL - - - 12697 - - 12530 - - 12835 - - 12149 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 87 - - 85 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 250 - - 150 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 92.4 - - 91.6 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 57.6 - - 55.9 - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.3 - - 90.3 - - 90.7 - - 83.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.9 - - 57.4 - - 55.7 - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 459 - - 204 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1069 - - 2297 - - 1796 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 49 - - 40 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98793 15 120 18 082 15 093 9 099 98793 91340 16 111 15 082 16 088 15 091 91340 85595 13 107 12 109 18 068 16 089 85595 80831 13 116 12 138 10 050 17 084 80831 76734 14 095 6 104 6 101 9 064 76734 73118 11 060 10 091 6 118 6 060 73118 69845 6 051 9 104 6 107 8 018 69845 66850 6 084 7 122 2 066 9 357 66850 64105 3 060 4 076 6 053 5 022 64105 61480 5 109 2 335 3 035 9 358 61480 58773 6 110 2 261 3 271 9 298 58773 56004 2 174 6 227 9 257 11 260 56004 53385 2 269 7 222 11 246 12 257 53385 51026 5 262 9 228 13 236 15 249 51026 48897 13 249 16 243 19 242 22 248 48897 46950 17 247 19 251 21 243 26 245 46950 45148 20 248 22 253 25 249 27 248 45148 43467 24 244 26 246 27 248 30 250 43467 41886 24 245 25 245 27 249 29 251 41886 40394 22 245 24 247 25 252 28 254 40394 38984 22 243 24 245 23 253 24 254 38984 37624 24 243 25 247 22 254 22 258 37624 36244 23 245 22 249 22 255 21 256 36244 34820 19 243 20 247 22 257 20 252 34820 33352 15 244 17 248 21 265 18 257 33352 31827 12 246 14 250 18 269 17 265 31827 30229 11 250 12 247 16 262 17 255 30229 28563 11 264 10 251 14 268 16 252 28563 26828 9 261 8 241 11 265 13 257 26828 25029 7 258 6 250 10 279 11 274 25029 23173 9 229 8 255 9 289 9 293 23173 21256 11 220 12 255 10 283 7 283 21256 19271 10 221 11 250 11 258 8 249 19271 17254 7 226 8 251 9 249 7 235 17254 15310 6 234 6 251 8 247 5 234 15310 13539 5 248 5 259 6 244 5 222 13539 11959 6 285 5 291 5 259 4 231 11959 10547 9 298 6 306 4 279 4 262 10547 9284 10 310 7 319 5 306 6 278 9284 8155 10 317 8 326 7 318 7 294 8155 7149 10 326 8 325 8 310 8 303 7149 6255 9 345 6*315 9 300 10 305 6255 5462 7 357 4*282 9*289 10 305 5462 4748 4*358 4 260 9*280 9 302 4748 4114 1*247 6 239 9 267 7 301 4114 3583 4 209 7 233 9 254 5 307 3583 3175 5 209 8 229 9 248 3 329 3175 2893 6 208 8 227 9 245 1 359 2893 2722 6 207 8 227 9 244 0*040 2722 2624 6 207 7 226 7 241 0*078 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography