DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.7 - - 51.7 - - 55.6 - - 55.7 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 77 - - 182 - - 338 - - 237 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 407 - - 1124 - - 483 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 4017 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2623 - - 3944 - - 4661 - - 4020 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1516 - - 1826 - - 1107 - - 958 - - 993 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 59 - - 213 - - 266 - - 108 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 152 - - 196 - - 182 - - 183 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 13 - - 30 - - 32 - - 41 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -159 - - 1 - - 660 - - 838 - - 653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2783 - - 2622 - - 3284 - - 3824 - - 3368 sfcLCL ODpotential -5609 - - -303 - - 281 - - 238 - - -462 ODpotential blCL 8232 - - 2926 - - 3663 - - 4423 - - 4482 blCL maxRH 94 - - 100 - - 95 - - 95 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.7 - - 51.7 - - 55.6 - - 55.7 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.4 - - 49.9 - - 50.1 - - 47.8 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.9 - - 51.2 - - 54.5 - - 55.0 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.3 - - 49.7 - - 49.7 - - 47.4 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 77 - - 182 - - 338 - - 237 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 407 - - 1124 - - 483 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 100 - - 80 - - 80 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97933 22 238 28 240 28 244 29 259 25 244 97933 90416 13 243 26 231 25 255 26 262 27 257 90416 84665 15 257 18 243 26 245 22 251 24 273 84665 79936 17 273 16 282 18 254 17 265 17 289 79936 75869 20 278 14 283 13 272 14 271 18 286 75869 72291 19 277 18 254 17 277 17 278 19 293 72291 69060 12 292 12 276 19 280 20 282 20 296 69060 66086 23 271 22 290 27 282 25 284 24 285 66086 63334 27 265 27 273 30 273 28 277 24 284 63334 60662 22 276 25 282 24 272 25 280 26 275 60662 57858 35 297 29 288 31 275 34 271 36 269 57858 54953 51 276 42 274 43 274 44 270 46 268 54953 52190 53 262 52 263 51 276 54 272 55 272 52190 49712 55 260 54 264 61 272 62 267 63 267 49712 47512 63 266 73 266 73 263 63 261 62 265 47512 45530 79 262 81 260 70 265 65 261 67 268 45530 43718 79 263 90 265 78 272 73 263 88 268 43718 42055 89 263 100 263 85 267 83 260 126 266 42055 40513 94 262 100 261 88 264 87 257 144 261 40513 39056 100 269 102 264 90 265 90 260 132 258 39056 37673 106 269 102 265 93 266 95 263 130 257 37673 36333 106 265 103 266 98 266 101 263 132 257 36333 34969 102 261 104 264 104 265 108 263 136 261 34969 33555 98 257 103 261 103 263 111 263 134 268 33555 32102 93 256 102 260 98 261 109 264 108 268 32102 30608 87 255 99 259 94 261 102 263 92 263 30608 29060 80 253 92 257 93 264 92 261 82 258 29060 27455 76 250 81 252 93 264 86 260 77 256 27455 25786 66 246 75 247 87 262 82 260 73 258 25786 24053 54 237 70 245 77 258 82 259 73 257 24053 22260 46 223 58 241 66 252 81 262 75 255 22260 20400 46 219 46 234 52 249 66 260 71 253 20400 18471 43 220 40 231 36 235 45 252 59 250 18471 16513 35 218 34 229 31 227 33 235 43 242 16513 14637 28 209 27 215 29 220 26 228 32 234 14637 12935 26 202 27 197 29 212 24 226 25 227 12935 11421 27 196 28 189 28 207 23 222 21 225 11421 10071 28 192 28 183 26 203 22 219 15 225 10071 8867 28 187 29 182 25 197 20 216 12 223 8867 7794 27 185 27 184 24 195 19 209 9 207 7794 6844 24 182 22 178 22 189 16 198 8 184 6844 6006 21 172 17 168 18 180 13 186 9 174 6006 5264 18 162 13 164 15 170 11*177 9 177 5264 4599 16 153 10 174 13 163 11*175 7*175 4599 4009 15 149 8 183 10*166 11 179 6*171 4009 3516 13 149 8 191 9*175 11 184 5 174 3516 3136 11 148 8 194 9 181 11 187 5 177 3136 2873 10 151 7 195 9 185 11 189 5 181 2873 2713 9*154 7*197 8 187 10 190 4 180 2713 2621 6*158 6*199 7 190 8 192 4 183 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography