DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 65.3 - - 62.6 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 417 - - 215 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 961 - - 2435 - - 1467 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3954 - - 5127 - - 4230 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4498 - - 5972 - - 5004 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 881 - - 1022 - - 1233 - - 1485 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 416 - - 282 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 236 - - 242 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 26 - - 41 - - 37 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -373 - - -1094 - - -1838 - - -1676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4872 - - 7066 - - 6842 - - 4299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5368 - - -5527 - - -7269 - - -8249 ODpotential blCL - - - 9866 - - 11499 - - 12273 - - 10872 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 81 - - 66 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.1 - - 65.3 - - 62.6 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 43.3 - - 41.7 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 63.7 - - 61.9 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 42.4 - - 41.0 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 417 - - 215 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 961 - - 2435 - - 1467 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 28 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97630 39 276 43 287 34 289 30 271 97630 90214 34 256 39 263 37 272 33 279 90214 84485 31 257 36 250 34 257 30 268 84485 79712 34 265 34 252 34 262 29 261 79712 75589 36 259 35 259 38 264 34 270 75589 71968 30 248 36 253 40 264 37 272 71968 68722 21 249 33 247 36 259 34 269 68722 65758 20 273 26 253 30 247 33 263 65758 63008 28 281 26 272 23 259 27 266 63008 60330 33 277 31 279 25 278 25 274 60330 57530 33 273 31 279 29 280 29 277 57530 54633 32 270 32 283 32 280 32 278 54633 51876 29 272 34 279 33 277 34 281 51876 49395 28 277 32 271 32 274 35 281 49395 47168 29 275 30 269 32 276 34 279 47168 45148 29 270 30 270 32 278 33 275 45148 43306 26 270 28 268 29 271 28 273 43306 41620 27 259 26 270 26 271 24 286 41620 40069 25 250 28 264 26 285 24 302 40069 38634 25 245 24 259 28 284 25 314 38634 37295 27 238 24 255 27 281 25 321 37295 36008 27 233 23 254 27 285 25 323 36008 34705 23 235 21 256 26 288 24 322 34705 33357 21 244 18 266 25 293 21 324 33357 31967 21 249 17 273 24 303 20 332 31967 30520 18 250 16 271 22 309 22 339 30520 29007 14 259 13 265 21 313 26 343 29007 27427 14 277 13 286 20 319 28 342 27427 25782 18 290 14 305 20 324 27 341 25782 24073 20 290 14 317 21 329 25 343 24073 22303 22 273 16 322 20 332 23 344 22303 20466 26 267 16 312 17 333 22 343 20466 18556 23 275 18 287 15 333 21 341 18556 16611 17 275 17 278 14 333 19 333 16611 14738 15 270 14 289 14 334 18 323 14738 13031 15 280 11 299 14 332 17 318 13031 11510 13 289 10 302 13 325 17 317 11510 10153 13 302 11 306 12 318 18 318 10153 8942 13 312 11 311 14 321 18 320 8942 7862 12 314 11 311 14 325 18 322 7862 6903 11 310 8 300 11 320 16 323 6903 6056 10 304 6*272 8 314 15 322 6056 5304 8 301 6*250 6*296 12 321 5304 4629 4*300 7 241 6*263 9 320 4629 4030 3*247 8 236 7 247 6 322 4030 3528 4 223 8 234 8 240 2 342 3528 3142 5 218 9 232 8 237 0 351 3142 2876 5 216 9 231 8 235 1 198 2876 2715 5 215 8 230 8 234 1*193 2715 2622 5 215 7 230 7 233 1*191 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography