DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 69.3 - - 71.7 - - 66.8 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 322 - - 402 - - 117 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1346 - - 2801 - - 1397 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 4254 - - 5389 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4883 - - 6338 - - 4934 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 998 - - 2038 - - 2406 - - 1628 - - 1554 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 311 - - 427 - - 225 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 16 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 090 - - 146 - - 161 - - 170 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 18 - - 35 - - 41 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1990 - - -1662 - - 321 - - -482 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4613 - - 6546 - - 6018 - - 5417 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -7240 - - -3978 - - -1156 - - -2883 - - -2947 ODpotential blCL 9863 - - 8861 - - 7494 - - 7817 - - 5570 blCL maxRH 58 - - 62 - - 75 - - 72 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 510 - - 170 - - 370 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 69.3 - - 71.7 - - 66.8 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.7 - - 49.5 - - 54.1 - - 51.9 - - 57.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.7 - - 68.0 - - 70.1 - - 66.7 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 49.5 - - 54.1 - - 51.9 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 322 - - 402 - - 117 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1346 - - 2801 - - 1397 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97751 19 303 22 292 21 294 23 326 14 290 97751 90445 19 311 21 300 17 291 23 308 15 306 90445 84818 16 299 20 290 20 294 22 299 19 321 84818 80154 12 315 11 292 12 281 21 295 20 312 80154 76134 12 299 8 287 8 312 9 264 22 301 76134 72588 12 306 6 280 8 305 6 314 10 290 72588 69381 7 291 3 320 3 224 7 291 7 343 69381 66428 4 222 6 221 11 241 10 242 11 255 66428 63705 4 205 12 185 13 227 11 217 10 183 63705 61054 11 218 15 218 16 212 15 199 17 140 61054 58252 26 229 24 230 25 213 23 215 20 204 58252 55343 41 222 36 221 42 215 43 216 43 226 55343 52584 50 223 47 217 50 214 55 212 59 216 52584 50107 58 226 61 223 61 220 61 213 65 209 50107 47882 64 226 71 222 73 221 67 218 70 213 47882 45855 68 224 74 220 79 218 76 221 80 217 45855 43991 70 223 76 221 83 216 84 220 88 218 43991 42262 72 224 79 222 85 216 90 218 91 219 42262 40651 74 225 80 222 87 217 95 217 90 220 40651 39147 77 228 81 220 89 218 99 218 88 221 39147 37739 80 229 82 220 89 218 97 217 88 220 37739 36387 81 229 81 220 88 217 90 218 82 219 36387 35019 79 229 80 221 87 217 87 221 79 222 35019 33610 75 227 78 220 85 216 86 220 78 223 33610 32171 72 224 76 218 81 215 83 217 74 221 32171 30688 70 222 72 218 73 213 75 214 70 218 30688 29147 66 219 68 216 68 212 67 212 65 218 29147 27547 61 219 64 214 67 211 65 213 59 218 27547 25889 57 218 60 214 63 213 61 212 51 220 25889 24171 51 218 53 213 54 214 50 211 43 225 24171 22394 41 217 42 208 45 212 40 208 36 224 22394 20550 32 215 34 200 38 208 35 205 31 218 20550 18638 28 212 29 197 33 205 33 204 30 210 18638 16692 25 209 27 200 30 199 30 203 30 204 16692 14815 23 203 23 196 27 194 27 200 28 199 14815 13104 18 200 20 185 24 187 25 192 27 188 13104 11579 15 193 20 178 22 178 25 181 29 177 11579 10220 15 181 20 173 22 171 26 171 31 169 10220 9006 16 173 22 168 24 167 28 166 32 167 9006 7921 17 169 23 165 25 165 28 164 29 168 7921 6955 18 167 23 162 24*162 26 163 26 171 6955 6099 18 163 23 157 21*159 23 159 22 170 6099 5339 18 156 21*150 17 157 18*156 18 163 5339 4656 17 149 18*142 16 158 15*159 16 152 4656 4050 16 140 15 141 15 161 14 167 13 144 4050 3542 14 132 13 146 15 164 14 171 11 141 3542 3150 12 130 12 150 14 166 13 174 10 143 3150 2880 10 128 11 154 13 168 13 175 8 142 2880 2717 7*120 10 156 12 169 12 176 6*141 2717 2622 4*090 8 160 10 171 9 178 3*121 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography