DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 84.7 - - - - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 598 - - - - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 851 - - 2016 - - - - - 109 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3981 - - 4884 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4388 - - 5553 - - - - - 3646 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 686 - - 870 - - - - - 985 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 305 - - 437 - - - - - 44 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 240 - - - - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 44 - - - - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3941 - - -3877 - - - - - -3191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8329 - - 9431 - - - - - 6837 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8636 - - -8089 - - - - - -9318 ODpotential blCL - - - 13024 - - 13642 - - - - - 12964 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 86 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.0 - - 84.7 - - - - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 52.4 - - - - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.8 - - 82.1 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 52.3 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 484 - - 598 - - - - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 851 - - 2016 - - - - - 109 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 43 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99068 37 115 32 118 42 099 99068 91607 33 109 32 125 33 102 91607 85876 32 112 32 117 25 109 85876 81097 33 108 35 101 29 110 81097 76971 30 103 35 100 31 109 76971 73343 21 106 27 103 28 103 73343 70082 20 112 18 110 20 093 70082 67103 26 104 19 130 11 094 67103 64357 25 103 24 126 10 110 64357 61713 20 109 23 118 15 130 61713 58974 19 121 21 121 17 118 58974 56150 20 138 19 137 15 144 56150 53473 19 140 20 145 18 148 53473 51073 16 138 18 132 16 145 51073 48919 15 149 12 145 16 170 48919 46957 13 144 16 186 15 181 46957 45146 9 162 18 192 16 191 45146 43460 8 189 16 191 19 198 43460 41881 8 217 10 189 23 201 41881 40392 11 265 8 214 23 202 40392 38986 16 274 14 220 21 203 38986 37627 18 267 17 214 19 202 37627 36248 17 261 16 219 19 197 36248 34820 17 259 15 223 19 194 34820 33346 14 257 15 218 18 188 33346 31812 12 254 14 212 15 190 31812 30208 11 256 11 215 12 183 30208 28538 9 257 6 222 9 155 28538 26800 7 261 3 210 7 133 26800 24997 5 262 3 229 5 129 24997 23135 2 243 2 232 4 127 23135 21210 1 169 2 283 2 117 21210 19215 1 137 2 333 1 303 19215 17189 3 151 0 293 4 282 17189 15239 7 163 4 164 4 285 15239 13464 8 174 8 168 4 260 13464 11883 7 177 7 174 5 235 11883 10472 5 173 4 184 5 246 10472 9211 1 180 2 283 4 285 9211 8085 5 329 6 318 7 312 8085 7083 9 334 8 323 9 313 7083 6197 11 339 6*316 11 309 6197 5413 9 339 4*283 11 303 5413 4710 5*335 4 268 11 300 4710 4087 3*294 7 238 9*300 4087 3566 4 243 8 232 9*300 3566 3165 5 235 9 229 8 299 3165 2888 6 230 9 228 8 297 2888 2720 6 229 9 227 7 295 2720 2623 6 227 8 227 5 294 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography