DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1554z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.5 - - 64.2 - - 67.7 - - 64.6 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -146 - - 31 - - 79 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 317 - - 3654 - - 853 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2606 - - 5380 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3854 - - 7191 - - 4390 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 474 - - 1679 - - 3172 - - 4340 - - 2481 Hgt.Variab. W* 24 - - 106 - - 296 - - 75 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 14 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 16 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 048 - - 058 - - 037 - - 232 - - 347 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -56 - - -61 - - 38 - - 19 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2410 - - -2858 - - -782 - - -1215 - - -1819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5033 - - 6713 - - 7974 - - 5605 - - 4442 sfcLCL ODpotential -7120 - - -6149 - - -4181 - - -4152 - - -5961 ODpotential blCL 9743 - - 10003 - - 11372 - - 8542 - - 8584 blCL maxRH 58 - - 59 - - 48 - - 56 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.5 - - 64.2 - - 67.7 - - 64.6 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.8 - - 44.0 - - 41.8 - - 49.0 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 64.7 - - 67.8 - - 65.9 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.6 - - 42.8 - - 40.6 - - 47.8 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -146 - - 31 - - 79 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 317 - - 3654 - - 853 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97491 12 276 19 298 14 268 20 265 19 274 97491 90135 8 348 4 326 2 221 6 220 11 287 90135 84530 10 014 1 312 6 259 9 011 4 020 84530 79917 5 336 5 310 8 289 13 353 9 052 79917 75945 4 349 9 328 7 344 11 354 5 042 75945 72436 9 360 8 355 8 358 3 350 3 353 72436 69238 6 329 8 347 8 360 1 272 4 004 69238 66280 1 110 4 278 9 269 11 248 11 289 66280 63532 5 307 5 257 7 194 8 184 5 209 63532 60854 7 273 15 261 15 278 17 278 19 288 60854 58073 2 166 11 199 13 247 23 244 20 257 58073 55196 19 316 8 311 6 202 12 206 13 244 55196 52433 33 289 26 278 23 287 21 278 23 274 52433 49943 32 269 29 262 34 270 32 265 31 267 49943 47714 26 272 24 256 29 262 26 260 29 257 47714 45687 27 294 16 281 19 254 19 265 19 250 45687 43823 32 306 22 316 11 275 14 276 12 269 43823 42097 39 312 33 320 15 328 17 298 19 302 42097 40499 47 321 45 322 31 330 29 318 31 315 40499 39018 56 324 55 321 47 324 46 323 39 326 39018 37640 61 327 59 320 54 321 54 326 44 334 37640 36326 62 317 55 318 55 331 52 327 41 330 36326 35004 51 329 47 329 55 345 45 342 35 344 35004 33640 60 001 49 352 58 001 49 004 36 000 33640 32233 73 011 59 007 64 010 53 011 38 002 32233 30771 71 014 68 012 67 011 54 009 40 359 30771 29241 66 017 68 015 70 011 55 007 42 355 29241 27643 59 014 62 017 67 012 56 005 43 351 27643 25976 51 011 56 013 56 012 58 007 43 352 25976 24242 47 012 49 007 43 011 57 010 43 355 24242 22445 45 010 45 006 32 020 53 010 41 357 22445 20582 40 005 41 002 28 031 48 011 40 001 20582 18647 33 003 38 358 26 025 39 012 39 008 18647 16679 30 006 36 001 28 016 30 009 34 016 16679 14788 26 008 31 009 31 019 23 009 27 021 14788 13070 20 014 24 016 28 025 22 019 21 027 13070 11546 13 024 14 020 20 024 20 027 17 040 11546 10190 7 037 8 025 14 019 17 026 15 048 10190 8981 4 050 4 030 10 024 14 018 15 045 8981 7903 4 059 5 047 9*027 11 016 13 037 7903 6942 5 055 7 057 8*032 9 013 10 031 6942 6090 9 048 12 058 7 035 6 006 7 022 6090 5334 13 043 15 058 6 036 4 353 4 359 5334 4652 21 044 19 059 4 037 2*297 4 330 4652 4047 29 049 22*060 2 042 3*247 5 317 4047 3540 35 052 21*059 1 043 4 235 6 315 3540 3149 34 054 18 058 0 060 4 229 5 320 3149 2880 27 054 14 058 0 137 4 227 4 333 2880 2716 20*051 12 057 1 184 4 223 4*349 2716 2622 12*048 7 058 1 195 3 223 4*360 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography