DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.8 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 566 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 678 - - 1509 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3852 - - 4489 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4215 - - 5046 - - - - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 557 - - 932 - - - - - 875 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 389 - - - - - 14 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 183 - - - - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 28 - - 36 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3599 - - -5681 - - - - - -4670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7814 - - 10728 - - - - - 7295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9336 - - -9846 - - - - - -10980 ODpotential blCL - - - 13551 - - 14892 - - - - - 13605 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 80 - - - - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.8 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.2 - - 50.0 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.2 - - 85.3 - - - - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.1 - - 49.9 - - - - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 566 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 678 - - 1509 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 22 - - - - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99296 35 108 41 107 35 095 99296 91805 35 111 35 112 34 097 91805 86017 36 107 33 110 30 106 86017 81213 30 101 31 103 29 106 81213 77086 27 103 33 108 28 096 77086 73462 23 103 26 107 23 091 73462 70206 18 115 20 102 25 105 70206 67217 17 134 10 090 26 094 67217 64441 16 128 11 131 18 072 64441 61763 12 121 13 138 8 076 61763 59004 13 130 8 137 8 100 59004 56186 13 157 10 170 9 092 56186 53527 14 157 13 173 7 159 53527 51146 17 140 19 152 14 186 51146 49015 13 126 18 134 15 174 49015 47071 9 111 13 132 16 157 47071 45272 8 146 11 149 14 161 45272 43591 10 146 12 170 15 168 43591 42010 15 147 14 169 16 171 42010 40518 16 140 17 164 15 171 40518 39106 9 129 17 153 14 176 39106 37742 8 130 14 136 14 185 37742 36359 10 152 12 143 15 186 36359 34929 11 175 13 164 13 154 34929 33454 12 169 14 155 14 145 33454 31919 9 163 12 129 15 152 31919 30316 4 170 7 104 11 163 30316 28643 4 160 5 104 12 153 28643 26901 9 137 8 133 9 151 26901 25095 13 113 11 117 10 155 25095 23232 12 098 13 102 11 136 23232 21303 10 106 12 086 9 126 21303 19307 14 109 12 077 10 163 19307 17281 20 099 13 081 12 149 17281 15332 24 093 16 091 15 129 15332 13554 21 090 18 095 18 120 13554 11964 17 089 18 094 18 111 11964 10544 13 091 16 093 16 106 10544 9273 11 095 12 095 13 109 9273 8136 8 097 10 105 9 122 8136 7124 5 099 8 128 8 145 7124 6229 2 113 7 145 7 157 6229 5437 2 148 6*159 6 166 5437 4727 3*159 7*170 5 174 4727 4098 4*164 7 176 4 175 4098 3572 5 178 8 183 2 170 3572 3168 6 187 9 187 2 136 3168 2890 7 192 9 191 1 164 2890 2720 7 194 9 191 1*180 2720 2624 6 196 8 193 1*195 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography