DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 65.1 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 288 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 534 - - 1001 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 3980 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4071 - - 4538 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 886 - - 855 - - - - - 1554 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 195 - - 271 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 190 - - - - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 28 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 680 - - 940 - - - - - -721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3392 - - 3598 - - - - - 3344 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 64 - - 709 - - - - - -5995 ODpotential blCL - - - 4007 - - 3829 - - - - - 8618 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 99 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 410 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.0 - - 65.1 - - - - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 58.1 - - - - - 54.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 64.0 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 58.0 - - - - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 200 - - 288 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 534 - - 1001 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 96 - - - - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98235 13 092 9 134 8 024 98235 90916 17 078 14 093 10 102 90916 85280 13 082 18 087 11 078 85280 80600 10 101 17 084 13 064 80600 76560 10 096 14 105 13 064 76560 72982 12 084 12 102 9 065 72982 69740 10 109 8 124 9 061 69740 66758 12 111 9 125 3 099 66758 63997 6 087 7 086 5 158 63997 61330 6 126 3 122 3 167 61330 58552 3 200 3 252 6 260 58552 55659 8 217 9 234 12 257 55659 52903 16 252 18 264 19 267 52903 50435 27 258 31 260 21 266 50435 48221 34 249 33 259 30 264 48221 46203 35 253 37 257 34 258 46203 44345 41 257 40 258 36 262 44345 42623 47 256 43 260 41 268 42623 41021 50 255 45 265 46 269 41021 39524 50 252 52 268 50 268 39524 38119 47 248 56 267 54 267 38119 36768 50 251 52 263 55 266 36768 35403 54 246 51 258 55 266 35403 33994 53 238 49 252 55 267 33994 32545 53 232 47 248 56 266 32545 31042 53 229 47 242 55 267 31042 29474 53 229 50 238 53 270 29474 27842 47 230 49 239 51 275 27842 26143 39 230 43 241 51 278 26143 24382 34 225 31 237 49 280 24382 22568 34 217 25 227 37 282 22568 20701 31 216 27 223 23 290 20701 18769 28 218 23 230 16 299 18769 16804 22 217 16 230 12 300 16804 14909 18 206 13 214 10 302 14909 13182 15 205 9 208 8 306 13182 11643 12 204 7 197 4 309 11643 10272 10 199 9 192 1 155 10272 9048 8 188 8 187 3 155 9048 7953 9 177 8 177 2 161 7953 6978 9 169 7 153 1 334 6978 6113 8 157 7 148 6 350 6113 5347 9 167 6 163 6 353 5347 4660 9*171 6*175 4 337 4660 4051 7*158 6*182 2 291 4051 3542 7 157 6 188 1 229 3542 3150 7 165 7 191 2 201 3150 2881 7 170 7 195 3 196 2881 2716 7 172 6 197 2*186 2716 2622 6 175 6 198 2*189 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography