DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.7 - - 85.5 - - 88.5 - - 85.1 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 53 - - 447 - - 584 - - 324 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 516 - - 1103 - - 572 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 3731 - - 4193 - - 3694 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4053 - - 4640 - - 4109 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1039 - - 727 - - 906 - - 615 - - 891 Hgt.Variab. W* 39 - - 252 - - 354 - - 234 - - 23 W* B/S 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 205 - - 195 - - 197 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 6 - - 30 - - 42 - - 33 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6113 - - -5241 - - -4754 - - -4677 - - -3813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8737 - - 9295 - - 9394 - - 8787 - - 6437 sfcLCL ODpotential -11973 - - -9084 - - -8113 - - -8759 - - -9925 ODpotential blCL 14597 - - 13137 - - 12753 - - 12868 - - 12549 blCL maxRH 69 - - 59 - - 51 - - 60 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 360 - - 320 - - 780 - - 200 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 77.7 - - 85.5 - - 88.5 - - 85.1 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.0 - - 54.0 - - 56.4 - - 55.8 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.7 - - 83.4 - - 85.9 - - 83.7 - - 75.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.9 - - 53.9 - - 56.4 - - 55.8 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 53 - - 447 - - 584 - - 324 - - 11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 516 - - 1103 - - 572 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99132 33 107 26 105 28 115 23 115 30 084 99132 91702 31 103 33 105 36 118 29 119 27 099 91702 85952 26 093 33 102 34 109 30 111 25 108 85952 81171 26 102 25 095 29 102 29 101 27 110 81171 77053 19 101 17 092 20 092 27 093 24 106 77053 73415 15 101 15 122 17 081 23 092 21 101 73415 70128 17 108 16 135 8 123 17 072 20 101 70128 67115 14 105 17 138 12 145 7 106 11 065 67115 64327 9 072 17 119 12 155 3 172 4 115 64327 61646 6 359 11 112 13 145 6 226 5 258 61646 58888 8 307 2 078 4 087 2 137 3 285 58888 56058 8 241 5 246 5 269 4 280 3 296 56058 53372 9 190 10 198 11 241 7 266 2 310 53372 50954 9 161 17 163 21 203 19 227 14 241 50954 48788 8 189 15 165 22 184 26 207 21 217 48788 46827 13 233 13 201 19 186 25 196 23 209 46827 45025 22 229 21 217 21 195 26 193 25 195 45025 43344 28 217 26 210 24 196 25 192 26 185 43344 41766 30 205 32 203 28 194 27 191 28 189 41766 40280 32 197 38 189 34 188 34 188 37 187 40280 38878 34 194 37 183 41 185 43 179 39 178 38878 37521 35 194 35 184 42 181 42 178 39 175 37521 36146 38 196 35 184 38 182 39 183 39 174 36146 34722 39 193 37 184 35 184 38 183 38 173 34722 33251 36 186 31 188 33 183 32 185 37 176 33251 31722 33 179 27 188 33 177 27 180 32 178 31722 30125 29 178 25 187 30 182 26 171 21 174 30125 28467 26 171 23 175 23 190 20 178 14 169 28467 26745 23 158 21 159 18 185 17 183 12 166 26745 24959 20 154 18 154 16 171 18 177 15 162 24959 23112 17 162 15 160 17 170 18 169 16 166 23112 21200 14 169 15 164 18 162 17 160 16 164 21200 19223 12 171 15 173 19 161 15 148 16 150 19223 17217 11 165 20 188 19 164 14 150 16 137 17217 15284 13 155 21 197 20 183 15 172 12 149 15284 13518 14 151 16 198 18 196 15 194 9 173 13518 11940 11 158 12 192 14 197 13 207 9 183 11940 10528 7 172 9 182 11 190 10 213 8 189 10528 9263 6 196 9 171 10 182 8 213 7 195 9263 8132 5 210 10 161 10 179 8 207 8 203 8132 7122 4 215 11 158 11 178 8 201 8 205 7122 6227 4 216 11 157 10 174 8 196 7 201 6227 5434 4 222 9 157 7 173 6 193 5 201 5434 4723 4 229 7 157 7*180 5*188 4 201 4723 4093 3 231 4*175 7*185 5*186 4 197 4093 3568 3 237 5*195 9 193 6 193 3 185 3568 3165 2 246 6 203 10 197 7 198 3 157 3165 2888 2 251 6 207 10 199 8 201 3 164 2888 2720 2*252 6 209 10 199 7 202 3*171 2720 2623 1*247 6 210 8 201 7 202 2*176 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography