DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 55.4 - - - - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 252 - - - - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3617 - - 3823 - - - - - 1844 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5865 - - 6010 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7154 - - 7360 - - - - - 5381 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1886 - - 2433 - - - - - 1445 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 408 - - - - - 132 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 275 - - - - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 47 - - - - - 43 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1765 - - 1298 - - - - - 676 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5390 - - 6063 - - - - - 4706 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 421 - - 790 - - - - - -260 ODpotential blCL - - - 6733 - - 6570 - - - - - 5641 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 100 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 55.4 - - - - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 37.9 - - - - - 38.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 54.6 - - - - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 37.4 - - - - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 254 - - 252 - - - - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3617 - - 3823 - - - - - 1844 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 101 - - - - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97459 28 285 36 292 28 304 97459 90084 22 293 24 301 31 301 90084 84437 24 307 21 293 27 305 84437 79781 24 311 21 294 25 308 79781 75782 18 313 15 309 15 303 75782 72225 14 297 11 300 8 258 72225 68972 13 267 18 269 5 246 68972 65970 9 237 20 243 10 254 65970 63177 16 242 19 228 19 245 63177 60457 25 232 22 218 24 244 60457 57610 35 246 29 242 31 255 57610 54646 42 250 45 252 44 258 54646 51819 45 256 55 252 57 263 51819 49292 52 258 61 255 70 263 49292 47041 59 259 62 260 75 261 47041 45000 65 262 66 260 77 262 45000 43130 72 262 68 262 82 265 43130 41404 73 260 73 266 88 266 41404 39804 77 261 81 266 91 267 39804 38317 82 261 83 264 90 266 38317 36929 78 262 75 264 86 265 36929 35603 76 266 73 266 85 267 35603 34273 72 267 71 267 86 268 34273 32908 66 267 65 268 86 268 32908 31510 61 268 56 268 81 269 31510 30065 56 269 50 270 70 269 30065 28562 51 272 45 272 56 269 28562 27001 48 274 41 274 46 268 27001 25380 47 274 41 275 40 268 25380 23695 47 275 35 278 37 269 23695 21948 45 276 30 281 33 269 21948 20135 38 278 28 288 29 268 20135 18251 36 282 29 292 25 273 18251 16334 34 291 30 297 21 283 16334 14488 32 298 30 300 19 284 14488 12807 29 300 28 297 20 276 12807 11311 27 297 24 297 23 269 11311 9980 22 295 15 300 21 270 9980 8796 18 293 12 295 17 271 8796 7743 16*292 12*286 14 271 7743 6809 15*291 14*279 12 272 6809 5983 14 290 15 277 11*270 5983 5251 12 288 15 275 10*266 5251 4592 11 285 16 275 11 263 4592 4006 10 284 16 274 11 259 4006 3514 10 282 16 273 11 256 3514 3135 9 279 15 272 10 253 3135 2872 9 278 14 271 10 252 2872 2713 8 277 13 270 8 250 2713 2621 7 274 10 269 6 249 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography