DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 82.0 - - 77.4 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 566 - - 299 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 764 - - 1517 - - 689 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3912 - - 4495 - - 3762 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4301 - - 5054 - - 4226 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 690 - - 889 - - 809 - - 1245 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 290 - - 390 - - 242 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 201 - - 198 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 32 - - 52 - - 35 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3339 - - -3161 - - -2640 - - -1204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7641 - - 8215 - - 6866 - - 3829 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7789 - - -6577 - - -7241 - - -7487 ODpotential blCL - - - 12090 - - 11631 - - 11467 - - 10111 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 92 - - 91 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 210 - - 410 - - 770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 82.0 - - 77.4 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 55.0 - - 56.2 - - 59.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 79.5 - - 76.0 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 54.9 - - 56.2 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 463 - - 566 - - 299 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 764 - - 1517 - - 689 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 68 - - 66 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99093 34 116 31 103 34 096 35 101 99093 91629 33 109 31 120 24 102 26 084 91629 85881 28 107 26 117 19 100 19 095 85881 81098 25 098 23 111 17 109 22 091 81098 76966 20 096 20 105 19 100 20 085 76966 73320 18 099 13 099 14 071 20 085 73320 70031 10 107 12 114 9 102 13 061 70031 67023 10 104 10 112 9 111 4 080 67023 64250 4 068 5 091 5 111 1 287 64250 61576 8 296 9 341 5 068 2 145 61576 58797 14 248 14 264 10 284 8 286 58797 55921 16 199 18 221 17 251 18 266 55921 53187 17 204 23 219 25 233 25 243 53187 50734 17 211 22 219 22 223 24 231 50734 48534 23 229 26 226 23 221 24 223 48534 46525 32 223 29 226 26 221 26 221 46525 44675 35 217 33 222 30 221 29 217 44675 42957 35 216 33 219 33 218 26 219 42957 41353 34 215 35 220 36 220 34 229 41353 39850 33 214 40 216 41 221 41 225 39850 38436 32 214 38 209 44 217 41 220 38436 37078 32 211 36 212 42 212 36 213 37078 35711 35 216 43 213 43 212 34 205 35711 34305 31 215 44 214 43 211 37 211 34305 32859 24 223 43 213 39 205 40 216 32859 31357 25 233 42 214 37 207 39 214 31357 29789 27 228 43 215 34 212 35 210 29789 28157 28 227 30 212 30 214 34 213 28157 26454 25 232 21 209 26 216 34 220 26454 24689 18 228 20 209 24 221 29 219 24689 22873 14 216 20 213 22 222 24 218 22873 20995 13 217 18 219 14 217 18 224 20995 19042 11 224 16 226 11 221 11 236 19042 17053 11 222 13 227 9 227 9 240 17053 15132 11 218 12 222 8 226 9 237 15132 13379 10 216 11 217 8 223 9 234 13379 11812 8 219 10 217 8 222 9 233 11812 10412 7 223 8 218 9 219 10 232 10412 9160 7 228 7 218 10 217 11 229 9160 8042 7 233 7 218 11 216 12 224 8042 7046 6 233 6 211 11 215 12 218 7046 6167 6 221 5 197 10 214 10 209 6167 5388 5 199 6*191 8 211 9 197 5388 4689 5*182 7*191 6*202 8 181 4689 4071 6*177 9 198 6*194 6 173 4071 3555 7 181 10 201 7 196 6 165 3555 3158 7 187 11 203 8 198 6 166 3158 2885 8 190 11 205 8 200 5 173 2885 2719 8 192 11 206 8 200 4*179 2719 2623 7 194 9 206 7 202 3*183 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography