DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.5 - - 80.9 - - 85.1 - - 82.6 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 88 - - 483 - - 592 - - 348 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 555 - - 1207 - - 839 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 3772 - - 4272 - - 3913 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4092 - - 4744 - - 4376 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 936 - - 443 - - 494 - - 584 - - 982 Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 265 - - 367 - - 273 - - 23 W* B/S 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 221 - - 210 - - 203 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 31 - - 41 - - 35 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4547 - - -4014 - - -4223 - - -3292 - - -2148 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7172 - - 8107 - - 8967 - - 7669 - - 4772 sfcLCL ODpotential -14491 - - -11205 - - -10360 - - -9734 - - -11435 ODpotential blCL 17115 - - 15297 - - 15104 - - 14110 - - 14059 blCL maxRH 47 - - 51 - - 48 - - 54 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 170 - - 330 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 70.5 - - 80.9 - - 85.1 - - 82.6 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.6 - - 54.6 - - 54.9 - - 58.0 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.5 - - 78.8 - - 82.6 - - 81.0 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.5 - - 54.5 - - 54.8 - - 57.9 - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 88 - - 483 - - 592 - - 348 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 555 - - 1207 - - 839 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99125 43 105 25 108 30 107 25 118 25 102 99125 91612 32 103 28 114 32 101 27 113 26 109 91612 85809 25 106 30 107 27 115 27 107 25 102 85809 81005 25 107 26 100 24 116 25 106 27 101 81005 76883 24 111 19 106 22 115 23 101 27 096 76883 73259 24 120 18 135 18 114 20 103 18 088 73259 69996 20 108 21 137 16 148 14 119 12 107 69996 67010 12 096 19 131 21 152 12 151 7 130 67010 64258 10 134 13 157 12 161 13 169 9 165 64258 61608 16 160 14 155 17 166 15 177 14 170 61608 58872 8 180 7 182 13 171 13 187 14 190 58872 56075 13 226 21 216 20 221 21 212 22 203 56075 53433 20 227 31 208 28 224 27 216 29 204 53433 51054 30 234 35 211 35 214 32 218 29 209 51054 48908 35 236 36 217 37 211 36 214 31 217 48908 46939 35 238 35 226 36 213 38 212 36 219 46939 45117 34 241 33 235 33 223 32 217 34 216 45117 43412 35 241 34 241 32 229 30 227 29 222 43412 41809 36 239 34 244 33 234 30 229 28 228 41809 40296 34 232 33 243 31 235 29 231 27 229 40296 38868 37 227 33 236 30 231 29 231 26 228 38868 37492 40 224 37 232 31 232 29 228 26 233 37492 36104 40 225 37 229 33 236 31 228 27 239 36104 34676 32 231 31 228 26 235 30 226 25 238 34676 33209 22 245 21 239 21 233 18 225 19 224 33209 31694 13 276 13 253 14 227 14 224 13 217 31694 30118 12 318 7 274 8 199 17 198 21 196 30118 28483 12 331 5 287 6 184 15 176 19 175 28483 26784 10 322 5 276 5 193 13 165 13 153 26784 25019 11 321 6 290 3 225 9 153 10 158 25019 23185 12 322 9 312 4 316 4 097 10 136 23185 21277 12 315 12 321 6 332 7 038 12 096 21277 19288 12 307 12 319 5 322 7 027 12 078 19288 17257 12 304 9 311 3 298 4 032 10 083 17257 15299 12 303 7 291 4 275 1 172 4 115 15299 13516 12 305 9 277 7 282 3 254 5 244 13516 11927 13 315 10 279 9 286 6 276 8 267 11927 10509 13 321 10 288 11 292 8 286 8 279 10509 9241 13 324 10 298 11 301 9 295 7 288 9241 8110 12 320 9 307 10 308 9 305 6 292 8110 7101 11 313 10 311 9 313 8 310 5 292 7101 6209 10 304 9 313 7 317 5 312 4 287 6209 5419 9 297 8 313 3*314 4 304 2 266 5419 4710 7 291 5*315 2*220 1*223 2 258 4710 4083 4 287 2*284 4 207 3*194 1 191 4083 3561 2 270 3 224 7 208 6 201 4 141 3561 3162 0 128 5 216 8 210 7 203 5 143 3162 2887 1 154 6 215 9 210 8 205 5 149 2887 2719 1*183 6 215 8 211 7 205 4*154 2719 2623 1*192 6 214 8 211 7 206 4*157 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography