DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.5 - - 66.0 - - 70.2 - - 67.6 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 101 - - 443 - - 516 - - 288 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 841 - - 1309 - - 813 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 3963 - - 4327 - - 3849 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4378 - - 4846 - - 4350 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1215 - - 560 - - 676 - - 687 - - 1242 Hgt.Variab. W* 48 - - 297 - - 362 - - 254 - - 19 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 272 - - 244 - - 229 - - 219 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 33 - - 41 - - 35 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1610 - - -944 - - -1210 - - -1054 - - -898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4233 - - 5322 - - 6056 - - 5404 - - 3522 sfcLCL ODpotential -10821 - - -8384 - - -7328 - - -7815 - - -9784 ODpotential blCL 13444 - - 12762 - - 12174 - - 12165 - - 12407 blCL maxRH 75 - - 77 - - 74 - - 75 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.5 - - 66.0 - - 70.2 - - 67.6 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.0 - - 51.5 - - 52.5 - - 52.8 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.3 - - 64.1 - - 68.0 - - 66.4 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.9 - - 51.2 - - 52.1 - - 52.5 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 101 - - 443 - - 516 - - 288 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 841 - - 1309 - - 813 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98263 6 199 9 239 5 291 7 214 11 259 98263 90801 2 231 9 189 12 226 9 250 8 309 90801 85035 1 011 7 183 11 201 9 242 8 286 85035 80237 2 155 4 216 3 218 5 186 4 234 80237 76124 4 140 5 220 6 267 4 340 1 005 76124 72526 4 100 5 175 8 236 9 324 3 029 72526 69301 5 022 0 063 5 246 8 306 8 339 69301 66345 9 304 5 294 8 292 7 278 11 301 66345 63596 16 275 11 267 16 285 16 288 19 292 63596 60924 21 262 18 256 24 262 25 279 27 275 60924 58133 21 259 21 270 24 258 28 272 32 269 58133 55253 24 276 23 284 22 259 29 267 35 270 55253 52519 27 279 26 285 25 267 32 265 37 271 52519 50068 24 281 28 274 34 271 40 272 43 273 50068 47877 27 279 30 275 39 275 46 271 47 271 47877 45894 27 289 34 283 39 280 44 270 44 272 45894 44084 27 294 32 280 37 280 41 273 41 278 44084 42423 20 291 26 279 32 278 38 277 42 279 42423 40881 14 305 21 302 27 286 35 281 40 277 40881 39434 17 335 21 315 24 299 32 284 39 279 39434 38070 20 345 20 318 25 307 32 288 39 282 38070 36750 19 345 19 317 25 307 33 291 38 284 36750 35413 16 340 19 314 25 302 34 290 38 283 35413 34030 14 331 18 308 26 296 35 289 37 283 34030 32604 14 329 18 301 27 294 35 290 36 286 32604 31122 16 326 19 298 28 291 35 290 35 289 31122 29572 18 322 18 302 26 287 36 289 34 291 29572 27955 19 319 17 303 25 290 36 290 35 292 27955 26271 18 316 17 303 25 292 36 292 36 292 26271 24522 16 321 17 298 25 295 36 292 37 293 24522 22710 15 332 19 302 25 296 35 294 36 295 22710 20831 16 338 21 308 25 301 33 300 32 300 20831 18880 17 335 19 316 23 307 30 306 28 306 18880 16893 17 335 16 330 19 312 25 308 25 306 16893 14976 14 345 14 336 15 314 22 309 24 304 14976 13230 11 351 13 331 13 315 18 309 22 303 13230 11675 11 342 14 325 13 313 16 305 20 298 11675 10289 13 329 14 319 14 312 16 299 19 295 10289 9053 16 324 14 319 15 318 16 300 19 298 9053 7950 19 327 14 327 16 328 16 309 20 311 7950 6969 21 333 16 338 15 336 16 318 23 323 6969 6103 22 337 16 345 11 338 12 320 22 328 6103 5336 21 337 12 344 6*325 8 314 18 329 5336 4649 16 333 7*333 3*269 3*283 11 325 4649 4042 11 328 4*276 5 232 4*227 5 316 4042 3536 6 317 5 248 7 227 6 220 1 290 3536 3146 3 300 6 241 8 225 7 219 2 204 3146 2879 2 267 7 237 8 223 8 218 3 205 2879 2716 2*256 7 234 8 224 7 217 3*206 2716 2622 2*251 6 234 7 223 7 218 2*208 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography