DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.9 - - 54.8 - - 56.9 - - 55.1 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -158 - - 18 - - 144 - - 14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1394 - - 807 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 4030 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 2623 - - 4931 - - 4344 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 132 - - 4031 - - 2194 - - 2996 - - 1888 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 32 - - 247 - - 101 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 16 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 052 - - 081 - - 215 - - 258 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -48 - - -25 - - 22 - - 22 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7277 - - -6100 - - -1721 - - -2402 - - -2361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9899 - - 8723 - - 6652 - - 6747 - - 4985 sfcLCL ODpotential -17510 - - -14868 - - -5809 - - -8390 - - -8353 ODpotential blCL 20132 - - 17491 - - 10740 - - 12734 - - 10976 blCL maxRH 44 - - 82 - - 81 - - 84 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.9 - - 54.8 - - 56.9 - - 55.1 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.7 - - 26.1 - - 37.1 - - 34.9 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.1 - - 55.5 - - 56.5 - - 55.7 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.5 - - 24.9 - - 35.9 - - 33.8 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -158 - - 18 - - 144 - - 14 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1394 - - 807 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 28 - - 23 - - 37 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95699 84 270 71 275 76 271 74 274 83 266 95699 88711 53 269 53 265 64 274 62 280 57 281 88711 83344 36 278 38 268 50 279 47 281 46 287 83344 78865 30 294 27 275 37 282 33 281 36 287 78865 74970 31 301 20 285 27 283 26 282 29 291 74970 71493 29 304 17 290 24 281 26 282 28 295 71493 68327 30 298 20 277 29 276 31 282 32 292 68327 65410 27 283 17 262 28 267 34 275 33 293 65410 62701 22 291 16 284 26 281 32 274 34 291 62701 60065 32 302 25 295 30 292 31 283 33 291 60065 57295 42 283 33 283 38 288 36 288 39 290 57295 54403 41 276 33 283 37 282 42 288 45 284 54403 51637 38 288 37 288 40 289 45 288 45 277 51637 49152 45 296 47 295 50 288 44 292 43 284 49152 46940 59 296 54 290 56 294 54 298 51 292 46940 44951 60 297 64 293 70 291 70 289 60 291 44951 43140 70 302 76 292 75 286 74 282 67 286 43140 41476 80 302 79 293 75 283 73 282 70 283 41476 39938 85 306 82 297 75 283 76 284 73 282 39938 38507 85 310 85 298 78 288 80 285 77 281 38507 37168 81 311 76 297 80 291 80 288 79 282 37168 35880 78 311 66 300 73 290 75 291 77 284 35880 34578 77 310 65 301 66 290 70 292 72 287 34578 33233 76 308 69 299 59 292 65 291 66 288 33233 31846 72 307 68 298 56 293 59 290 61 287 31846 30403 66 316 61 298 55 296 54 293 55 288 30403 28893 63 322 54 299 53 299 53 298 52 292 28893 27318 58 321 48 303 49 300 50 301 42 289 27318 25677 52 321 45 309 45 302 45 297 41 286 25677 23968 48 326 45 314 46 306 42 302 42 286 23968 22194 48 329 40 318 40 305 38 309 35 287 22194 20352 46 331 37 325 30 312 30 303 26 295 20352 18446 42 336 33 333 27 318 24 302 20 295 18446 16509 35 340 29 339 22 322 18 309 19 290 16509 14638 27 341 24 341 18 331 13 323 11 294 14638 12934 21 343 18 341 14 339 11 345 6 307 12934 11421 17 351 12 340 10 344 9 001 3 335 11421 10077 13 359 7 342 6 343 7 018 2 057 10077 8881 10 006 5 357 2 333 4 045 4 085 8881 7816 8 015 5 018 2 054 2 060 5 096 7816 6868 5 029 4 034 4 090 3 039 5 102 6868 6028 3 042 3 072 5 094 4 004 3 102 6028 5283 3 056 5 095 3*088 4 326 2 098 5283 4613 4 067 7 097 1*114 5*300 1 104 4613 4019 4 063 10 088 1 202 5*279 1 093 4019 3521 11 061 11 081 3 220 5 259 1 061 3521 3138 18 063 10 079 4 221 5 254 1 042 3138 2874 18 063 7 079 4 219 5 250 2 044 2874 2714 15*059 5*082 4 219 5 249 2*043 2714 2622 9*052 3*088 4 218 4 248 2*044 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography