DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 84.8 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 482 - - 550 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 713 - - 1141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3884 - - 4213 - - - - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4250 - - 4678 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 647 - - 1045 - - - - - 885 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 288 - - 352 - - - - - 18 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 244 - - - - - 212 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 34 - - 37 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3762 - - -4732 - - - - - -3442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8012 - - 9411 - - - - - 6066 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8418 - - -8016 - - - - - -8857 ODpotential blCL - - - 12668 - - 12694 - - - - - 11481 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 48 - - - - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 84.8 - - - - - 73.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.3 - - 52.6 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.2 - - 82.4 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 52.4 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 482 - - 550 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 713 - - 1141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98631 17 107 22 099 14 079 98631 91186 16 096 14 106 18 113 91186 85469 14 089 12 093 21 097 85469 80722 13 099 10 101 22 082 80722 76641 16 096 12 095 16 065 76641 73054 19 082 16 105 12 080 73054 69821 14 077 18 096 15 070 69821 66861 12 103 19 064 17 070 66861 64132 10 088 11 079 15 052 64132 61508 7 094 13 081 11 035 61508 58782 4 060 5 095 5 022 58782 55954 11 344 1 237 3 290 55954 53248 24 293 14 284 13 291 53248 50801 34 280 27 281 24 288 50801 48595 40 274 35 278 33 283 48595 46584 41 274 40 276 42 279 46584 44731 41 273 36 270 42 276 44731 43016 36 267 32 270 34 274 43016 41426 28 262 30 263 26 273 41426 39944 26 259 26 257 20 273 39944 38559 23 262 21 247 17 274 38559 37229 22 268 18 246 14 264 37229 35880 23 269 17 251 12 268 35880 34483 23 267 18 255 11 274 34483 33041 23 265 18 261 11 278 33041 31539 21 267 18 267 11 277 31539 29967 20 269 15 269 10 276 29967 28328 19 272 14 266 9 276 28328 26623 17 276 12 265 9 274 26623 24852 14 283 8 277 7 262 24852 23020 9 292 1 332 8 190 23020 21119 2 319 6 127 11 169 21119 19143 4 162 10 154 8 158 19143 17132 7 161 11 176 5 169 17132 15197 10 185 16 203 9 190 15197 13440 15 212 18 211 15 196 13440 11872 18 221 16 214 15 202 11872 10470 17 228 13 217 11 213 10470 9215 14 240 9 223 8 224 9215 8093 10 260 6 236 6 234 8093 7093 9 275 5 259 6 241 7093 6207 9 283 5 278 5 250 6207 5420 8 290 5 284 5 265 5420 4714 6*292 5*278 5 273 4714 4088 5*279 5*265 5 277 4088 3565 6 248 7 247 4 295 3565 3164 6 239 8 242 1 302 3164 2888 7 234 8 238 1 216 2888 2720 7 232 8 236 1*214 2720 2623 6 231 7 235 1*206 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography