DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 94.1 - - 90.1 - - 79.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 561 - - 314 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 414 - - 1103 - - 550 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3647 - - 4187 - - 3661 - - 2607 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3951 - - 4640 - - 4087 - - 2625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 776 - - 1217 - - 908 - - 844 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 350 - - 229 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 208 - - 209 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 40 - - 31 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7099 - - -7470 - - -6155 - - -4833 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11051 - - 12110 - - 10243 - - 7459 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12170 - - -11927 - - -10493 - - -11690 ODpotential blCL - - - 16121 - - 16567 - - 14580 - - 14315 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 43 - - 61 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 94.1 - - 90.1 - - 79.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 50.3 - - 54.5 - - 56.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.0 - - 91.6 - - 88.8 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 50.2 - - 54.5 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 443 - - 561 - - 314 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 414 - - 1103 - - 550 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99267 45 105 34 102 38 098 37 091 99267 91773 41 101 40 102 38 093 41 093 91773 86010 38 102 39 103 35 096 41 090 86010 81254 34 106 34 107 34 101 33 097 81254 77159 29 103 32 109 27 103 25 104 77159 73527 30 096 27 105 28 109 28 100 73527 70241 27 091 24 097 26 110 24 092 70241 67241 20 087 19 099 22 101 20 112 67241 64476 19 106 15 113 16 085 20 110 64476 61813 19 102 12 117 12 085 15 077 61813 59094 18 088 14 149 9 130 7 064 59094 56338 9 081 10 135 10 172 5 178 56338 53728 6 124 3 067 7 146 7 167 53728 51370 3 063 5 028 7 072 7 103 51370 49238 9 180 5 207 2 099 5 134 49238 47282 15 191 13 247 9 279 3 011 47282 45470 18 204 17 240 15 271 7 304 45470 43778 14 215 15 235 18 265 14 298 43778 42189 10 249 13 236 17 257 16 291 42189 40690 13 247 11 240 15 254 14 281 40690 39273 15 240 11 247 13 266 13 273 39273 37901 14 230 10 237 11 277 13 273 37901 36508 11 198 10 199 7 259 8 280 36508 35066 10 173 10 173 10 208 9 247 35066 33579 9 167 9 172 10 188 12 213 33579 32038 9 186 11 158 10 176 11 195 32038 30428 6 171 11 147 10 171 9 187 30428 28747 6 167 8 157 7 172 6 172 28747 26998 7 163 8 167 5 165 3 199 26998 25187 10 159 9 176 6 185 6 202 25187 23316 12 159 11 176 8 189 9 193 23316 21381 12 153 11 182 10 201 9 195 21381 19375 10 161 11 188 8 195 9 190 19375 17339 10 172 11 191 5 201 7 205 17339 15378 10 173 12 194 7 218 6 242 15378 13591 8 171 10 198 8 223 7 251 13591 11997 7 183 8 208 7 221 9 246 11997 10572 8 208 9 221 8 225 11 242 10572 9298 10 217 9 226 9 230 12 243 9298 8160 9 222 9 228 9 237 12 248 8160 7147 8 219 8 224 9 238 12 251 7147 6250 6 213 7 215 8 233 10 253 6250 5455 5 205 5 209 7 230 8 254 5455 4741 3 206 5*206 5 228 6 254 4741 4108 3*229 6*205 5*216 4 263 4108 3579 4*232 7 208 5*209 3 271 3579 3172 5 229 8 208 6 209 1 216 3172 2892 6 226 9 210 7 210 1 185 2892 2722 6 225 9 210 7 209 1*188 2722 2624 6 225 8 210 6 210 1*188 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography