DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.1 - - 65.4 - - 67.2 - - 66.5 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - -4 - - 62 - - 2 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 106 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 2624 - - 3643 - - 2624 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1285 - - 1404 - - 1181 - - 2118 - - 1113 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 28 - - 87 - - 25 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 352 - - 319 - - 287 - - 303 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -6 - - 15 - - 5 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7872 - - -3699 - - -1149 - - -1504 - - -2367 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10495 - - 6324 - - 4792 - - 4128 - - 4991 sfcLCL ODpotential -19494 - - -9896 - - -5650 - - -5922 - - -9023 ODpotential blCL 22117 - - 12520 - - 9293 - - 8546 - - 11647 blCL maxRH 76 - - 73 - - 74 - - 68 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.1 - - 65.4 - - 67.2 - - 66.5 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.3 - - 47.1 - - 55.2 - - 57.3 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.1 - - 66.5 - - 67.5 - - 67.3 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.1 - - 45.9 - - 53.9 - - 56.0 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - -4 - - 62 - - 2 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 106 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96419 17 056 10 080 15 060 16 088 13 086 96419 89300 17 066 13 087 6 105 10 056 16 057 89300 83798 16 070 12 081 3 058 11 029 15 039 83798 79227 15 063 12 089 8 056 7 341 15 358 79227 75290 9 034 8 031 12 021 5 016 12 339 75290 71814 9 014 7 349 8 005 7 034 7 346 71814 68672 19 319 18 337 19 342 20 354 16 331 68672 65794 20 326 22 319 20 329 19 332 19 333 65794 63128 31 324 26 318 30 320 37 315 37 325 63128 60546 40 300 35 310 42 300 48 302 46 312 60546 57864 35 288 39 300 47 297 53 300 50 307 57864 55086 37 296 39 291 48 290 55 297 51 298 55086 52436 47 291 45 290 48 285 52 289 53 292 52436 50052 52 288 54 292 51 285 54 287 56 289 50052 47917 62 287 59 287 54 284 53 284 51 284 47917 45978 65 288 59 285 56 286 54 284 52 281 45978 44207 60 285 55 280 57 277 62 283 58 280 44207 42575 53 277 51 275 56 268 65 276 64 282 42575 41049 47 275 48 279 50 265 62 274 62 280 41049 39607 47 277 43 284 42 269 55 276 56 280 39607 38243 47 279 41 288 40 273 50 279 50 278 38243 36921 45 283 42 289 39 276 45 278 45 273 36921 35580 43 289 40 290 39 277 42 276 44 270 35580 34189 42 290 38 289 39 274 41 273 44 272 34189 32753 42 285 35 287 37 269 38 271 45 276 32753 31257 42 281 37 282 35 270 34 271 50 278 31257 29691 40 283 38 277 38 272 36 277 47 277 29691 28057 39 288 35 271 42 271 43 278 43 277 28057 26355 38 288 34 268 44 272 46 277 42 276 26355 24588 39 288 36 273 44 273 47 277 45 277 24588 22757 41 289 40 278 43 272 47 278 47 276 22757 20860 45 285 43 284 42 272 46 280 45 274 20860 18892 48 280 44 284 43 279 45 280 45 274 18892 16896 46 283 41 284 44 284 45 280 46 278 16896 14979 40 289 38 288 41 284 44 281 47 282 14979 13240 34 296 33 291 37 281 41 279 46 282 13240 11692 27 298 29 290 33 279 38 277 43 281 11692 10312 23 294 25 285 29 278 34 277 40 282 10312 9080 20 293 22 283 26 278 29 280 35 283 9080 7980 18 298 20 282 23 280 26 286 31 287 7980 7002 16 303 18 283 20 284 23 293 26 292 7002 6136 15 307 16 287 18 290 20 298 21 297 6136 5367 13 308 15 291 16 294 17 301 16 304 5367 4676 12 308 14 295 14 299 14 302 11 315 4676 4063 11 308 12 300 11*304 11 307 10 328 4063 3550 10 310 9 305 8*304 8 314 9 341 3550 3155 9 315 8 314 6 284 5 307 9 355 3155 2883 8 328 6 321 5 281 4 304 8 002 2883 2717 7*335 5*319 5 278 4*300 7*014 2717 2623 5*352 3*315 4 275 3*296 5*022 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography