DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.3 - - 85.8 - - 90.6 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 89 - - 460 - - 586 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 571 - - 1551 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 2607 - - 3775 - - 4526 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 2624 - - 4108 - - 5088 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 952 - - 755 - - 1441 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 46 - - 263 - - 397 - - - - - - W* B/S 5 - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 281 - - 200 - - 193 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 29 - - 42 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4294 - - -4161 - - -4138 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6918 - - 8270 - - 9227 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -11276 - - -9062 - - -7891 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 13900 - - 13170 - - 12979 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 50 - - 83 - - 81 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 80 - - 260 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 76.3 - - 85.8 - - 90.6 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.3 - - 58.6 - - 59.1 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.3 - - 83.7 - - 88.1 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.2 - - 58.5 - - 59.1 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 89 - - 460 - - 586 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 571 - - 1551 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 30 - - 22 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99092 47 108 41 102 41 102 99092 91609 42 103 42 102 37 107 91609 85853 40 098 33 101 36 109 85853 81093 37 099 27 092 35 100 81093 77009 32 093 27 099 30 099 77009 73419 25 099 29 108 23 107 73419 70182 28 110 27 114 21 119 70182 67207 24 123 25 126 18 128 67207 64454 19 112 18 129 17 133 64454 61808 15 126 16 132 13 118 61808 59078 13 142 20 162 15 156 59078 56299 13 174 25 164 27 170 56299 53691 14 188 21 163 30 169 53691 51333 24 221 26 185 36 170 51333 49190 33 211 31 185 41 172 49190 47221 38 197 32 188 37 179 47221 45397 40 196 33 192 34 193 45397 43694 37 197 35 194 34 197 43694 42093 38 200 36 196 33 203 42093 40583 38 203 34 196 32 206 40583 39156 40 204 31 198 31 205 39156 37776 40 197 31 199 31 203 37776 36377 44 192 34 194 30 199 36377 34931 41 189 37 189 33 197 34931 33445 37 188 36 187 34 195 33445 31906 32 187 33 187 34 192 31906 30304 25 188 29 191 34 191 30304 28636 20 188 28 193 30 190 28636 26904 19 188 27 191 28 189 26904 25109 21 191 27 189 28 187 25109 23255 21 192 25 190 27 186 23255 21332 21 193 25 190 26 189 21332 19336 18 186 25 189 25 192 19336 17305 18 177 25 184 25 191 17305 15350 20 179 25 180 26 189 15350 13569 22 184 25 182 23 192 13569 11981 21 188 24 186 20 196 11981 10562 20 191 22 191 17 199 10562 9294 18 192 18 192 15 197 9294 8162 14 191 13 185 13 189 8162 7152 12 192 10 179 11 183 7152 6257 9 187 8 170 9 179 6257 5464 7 181 7 161 8*180 5464 4750 5 177 5*158 8*184 4750 4117 3 179 3*174 8 188 4117 3587 2 196 4 194 9 193 3587 3178 1 289 5 203 10 196 3178 2895 1 296 6 206 10 198 2895 2723 2*280 6 209 10 199 2723 2624 1*270 6 209 8 200 2624 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography