DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.9 - - 40.9 - - - - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - -2 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2604 - - 2604 - - - - - 2604 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2622 - - 2622 - - - - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1470 - - 1971 - - - - - 4106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 0 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 2 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 143 - - 142 - - - - - 286 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 0 - - - - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -3 - - - - - 36 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2621 - - 2621 - - - - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -681 - - -879 - - - - - -1308 ODpotential blCL - - - 3303 - - 3501 - - - - - 3930 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 150 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.9 - - 40.9 - - - - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 41.1 - - - - - 37.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 42.8 - - - - - 40.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 42.2 - - - - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - -2 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - - - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96444 29 116 24 114 17 107 96444 89307 27 106 15 119 12 104 89307 83776 15 097 7 099 7 115 83776 79180 8 158 4 169 6 097 79180 75203 3 133 7 184 2 312 75203 71670 3 068 3 066 2 214 71670 68448 7 274 8 300 3 309 68448 65471 8 278 10 239 2 057 65471 62700 13 328 18 268 11 291 62700 59994 29 281 28 278 35 273 59994 57195 32 286 25 286 36 276 57195 54307 42 294 25 305 40 290 54307 51538 48 287 36 301 53 289 51538 49039 52 285 51 289 59 285 49039 46791 59 278 67 284 65 281 46791 44734 67 275 79 276 62 281 44734 42837 72 271 82 267 65 289 42837 41082 73 273 78 272 80 290 41082 39453 95 279 93 283 86 288 39453 37931 125 279 127 282 87 289 37931 36510 149 277 153 278 99 291 36510 35157 171 276 154 273 112 286 35157 33803 177 275 147 271 120 280 33803 32414 174 277 141 271 117 275 32414 30998 155 279 130 273 102 277 30998 29551 126 279 121 277 93 282 29551 28063 102 278 106 281 86 285 28063 26523 87 279 92 283 82 285 26523 24924 83 278 88 283 82 285 24924 23263 82 278 85 283 83 286 23263 21542 80 281 82 283 83 289 21542 19755 79 290 80 282 85 293 19755 17897 80 296 79 281 86 296 17897 16006 73 295 76 281 81 299 16006 14189 60 278 69 277 74 302 14189 12542 54 269 54 266 62 304 12542 11087 51 268 41 253 48 306 11087 9801 50 268 38 249 37 308 9801 8656 48 263 38 254 31 308 8656 7635 45 255 36 263 28 307 7635 6726 40 245 33 269 27 306 6726 5918 35 235 32 272 26 304 5918 5200 30 221 31 272 25 301 5200 4553 25 203 29 272 25 296 4553 3978 22 183 26 268 25 292 3978 3495 20 164 21 263 22 289 3495 3124 18 151 17 254 18 287 3124 2867 16 146 11 243 13 285 2867 2710 14*143 6*232 9*285 2710 2621 9*141 2*142 5*287 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography