DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 73.1 - - - - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 471 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4090 - - 6287 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6394 - - 8195 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7627 - - 9824 - - - - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1964 - - 856 - - - - - 2692 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 489 - - 594 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 9 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 074 - - 087 - - - - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 13 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -72 - - 74 - - - - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5953 - - -1863 - - - - - -5181 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13581 - - 11687 - - - - - 7804 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17100 - - -11456 - - - - - -12468 ODpotential blCL - - - 24727 - - 21280 - - - - - 15091 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 50 - - - - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 73.1 - - - - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.6 - - 30.5 - - - - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 71.1 - - - - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.4 - - 29.5 - - - - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 471 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4090 - - 6287 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98050 6 304 10 330 13 330 98050 90683 8 258 12 302 7 356 90683 85002 5 216 9 266 7 343 85002 80254 4 056 5 196 7 316 80254 76149 6 016 2 159 6 322 76149 72527 8 019 4 060 4 352 72527 69260 6 309 6 228 5 355 69260 66257 2 302 8 244 6 218 66257 63461 4 256 13 264 9 240 63461 60745 12 300 15 268 10 280 60745 57918 23 295 18 277 18 294 57918 54999 24 278 23 271 20 294 54999 52218 21 266 26 269 24 286 52218 49727 26 265 33 270 35 287 49727 47529 33 263 42 263 42 273 47529 45566 39 259 51 254 45 270 45566 43779 43 258 59 246 54 266 43779 42136 46 260 61 250 56 262 42136 40608 48 264 61 256 56 265 40608 39169 50 267 61 259 56 266 39169 37806 52 270 58 261 56 263 37806 36485 49 274 55 264 56 263 36485 35146 47 275 55 269 55 265 35146 33761 45 272 56 270 56 269 33761 32335 42 270 55 269 56 272 32335 30853 41 271 54 272 54 274 30853 29303 40 272 49 277 51 272 29303 27688 39 274 45 281 48 272 27688 26007 38 279 42 285 43 277 26007 24263 37 288 40 292 38 281 24263 22460 37 294 38 293 35 282 22460 20590 35 295 35 291 33 285 20590 18647 30 295 28 291 30 296 18647 16673 25 296 23 294 25 307 16673 14776 22 295 18 300 16 316 14776 13056 16 300 13 316 8 346 13056 11533 7 327 6 031 10 045 11533 10183 5 053 13*077 16 054 10183 8981 7 097 14*078 17 052 8981 7907 9*104 13 078 16 049 7907 6948 13*089 12 078 14 047 6948 6096 17 078 10 080 11 042 6096 5339 22 072 8 086 8 033 5339 4656 24 072 7 095 6 019 4656 4050 24 071 5 108 4 353 4050 3542 23 071 5 120 3 326 3542 3151 21 071 4 131 3 300 3151 2881 19 072 4 139 3 282 2881 2717 16 072 4 143 3*274 2717 2622 11 074 4 153 2*266 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography