DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 56.6 - - 53.5 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 333 - - 91 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1209 - - 230 - - 183 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 4166 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 4746 - - 3767 - - 3720 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2036 - - 906 - - 1703 - - 2019 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 304 - - 114 - - 77 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 177 - - 196 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 20 - - 29 - - 41 - - 49 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 898 - - 860 - - 430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2622 - - 3848 - - 2907 - - 3290 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -334 - - 657 - - 67 - - -513 ODpotential blCL - - - 2957 - - 4089 - - 3700 - - 4233 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.8 - - 56.6 - - 53.5 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 48.6 - - 49.5 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 55.5 - - 53.7 - - 52.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 48.4 - - 49.4 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 170 - - 333 - - 91 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1209 - - 230 - - 183 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 86 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98492 6 113 9 110 7 143 10 079 98492 91031 16 113 11 104 12 113 12 108 91031 85305 13 118 14 083 16 101 17 092 85305 80533 18 116 11 118 17 087 18 085 80533 76417 17 116 9 121 14 090 13 100 76417 72781 11 106 12 122 12 088 12 099 72781 69501 4 143 7 111 7 106 5 085 69501 66484 8 182 3 161 2 122 4 097 66484 63665 9 242 6 205 4 244 4 176 63665 60923 12 256 11 257 12 262 8 307 60923 58060 16 274 16 271 18 257 18 289 58060 55101 22 275 21 291 23 285 28 285 55101 52300 25 279 32 289 30 290 31 299 52300 49791 34 286 34 286 35 297 41 298 49791 47562 38 289 41 278 38 293 52 300 47562 45561 33 289 32 288 52 286 58 292 45561 43741 46 308 39 298 59 291 57 289 43741 42074 49 304 36 296 66 296 61 291 42074 40532 35 312 48 307 68 297 65 288 40532 39086 46 332 57 309 67 299 67 285 39086 37718 52 329 60 308 65 300 66 283 37718 36395 49 321 58 305 63 300 64 284 36395 35052 45 313 57 302 61 299 62 285 35052 33663 44 309 55 298 58 296 61 285 33663 32232 42 307 53 297 54 293 59 285 32232 30745 38 303 51 296 52 291 57 285 30745 29190 35 297 49 295 50 290 56 288 29190 27570 35 291 47 293 50 288 54 290 27570 25884 36 294 46 291 51 283 53 291 25884 24133 38 299 46 290 52 279 50 290 24133 22321 38 303 45 288 53 277 50 287 22321 20446 32 303 42 285 54 277 52 285 20446 18506 26 288 34 278 52 278 52 283 18506 16538 27 284 35 269 48 269 49 279 16538 14648 24 273 37 268 44 262 42 272 14648 12931 24 268 35 263 39 260 37 265 12931 11407 24 268 32 259 35 258 32 260 11407 10054 23 266 29 257 32 257 28 252 10054 8853 22 264 26 258 29 256 24 244 8853 7788 21 262 24 258 24 259 18 238 7788 6844 17 256 18 254 17 256 13 231 6844 6010 12 236 13 239 13 243 11 226 6010 5271 10 205 11*217 11 225 11 224 5271 4606 11 184 10*193 10 206 11 223 4606 4015 11 172 11 177 11*199 11*222 4015 3520 10 168 11 174 11*197 11*220 3520 3138 10 167 11 173 11 196 11 219 3138 2874 9 168 11 173 10 195 10 217 2874 2714 8*168 10 173 9 194 9 217 2714 2621 7*169 8 175 7 196 6 217 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography