DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 70.4 - - 67.6 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 342 - - 143 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 188 - - 1169 - - 746 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2606 - - 4149 - - 2606 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3725 - - 4706 - - 4283 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 857 - - 1352 - - 1154 - - 1175 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 306 - - 197 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 180 - - 187 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 37 - - 29 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4585 - - -2393 - - -1002 - - -482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8311 - - 7099 - - 5286 - - 3105 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9959 - - -6360 - - -5000 - - -5391 ODpotential blCL - - - 13684 - - 11066 - - 9283 - - 8014 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 80 - - 81 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 210 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.8 - - 70.4 - - 67.6 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 48.3 - - 53.3 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 69.0 - - 67.2 - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 47.5 - - 52.9 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 342 - - 143 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 188 - - 1169 - - 746 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 19 - - 25 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96811 43 286 41 276 48 272 54 280 96811 89487 33 271 35 279 36 287 36 284 89487 83930 22 258 28 277 25 280 24 294 83930 79352 15 278 19 274 16 286 21 293 79352 75426 13 289 19 282 20 296 18 304 75426 71965 10 268 21 279 21 291 19 320 71965 68815 11 275 22 285 25 292 23 315 68815 65898 23 290 28 291 29 290 28 305 65898 63181 32 281 32 278 32 283 29 291 63181 60534 31 274 32 272 32 278 37 282 60534 57768 32 280 35 274 32 275 47 273 57768 54895 37 289 38 282 41 279 46 275 54895 52150 53 288 56 288 61 286 57 281 52150 49696 67 286 70 279 67 284 54 286 49696 47515 65 279 56 277 52 289 68 295 47515 45583 38 287 58 295 84 298 96 294 45583 43846 107 310 114 300 118 293 113 291 43846 42225 129 309 116 298 119 292 111 292 42225 40694 113 305 116 299 121 294 114 293 40694 39243 104 304 106 297 108 296 110 295 39243 37869 93 303 88 292 88 294 103 296 37869 36543 77 301 78 287 73 288 88 294 36543 35201 61 297 76 285 67 284 71 286 35201 33810 46 285 71 280 64 279 62 280 33810 32372 43 278 57 274 60 272 56 274 32372 30876 44 274 48 276 50 265 54 269 30876 29312 46 272 42 272 41 273 59 268 29312 27686 46 269 43 263 48 279 54 264 27686 25997 40 264 41 260 57 280 57 266 25997 24245 32 255 40 259 56 269 64 269 24245 22433 27 254 37 260 49 259 63 268 22433 20564 22 254 30 255 39 252 55 254 20564 18641 20 248 25 243 36 248 47 244 18641 16699 21 246 26 237 38 247 46 245 16699 14829 23 249 28 242 39 248 45 248 14829 13119 25 251 31 248 38 251 39 250 13119 11591 26 253 32 254 34 256 32 253 11591 10227 25 254 29 258 29 260 27 257 10227 9009 25 255 25 258 25 261 24 260 9009 7921 22 256 20 255 21 259 22 262 7921 6953 19 253 16 248 17 256 19 266 6953 6096 15 245 13 237 13 252 16 267 6096 5336 10 220 10*214 9 239 10 259 5336 4652 9 182 9*189 6*211 6 254 4652 4046 10*154 10 177 6*185 3 246 4046 3538 10*151 11 177 7 185 3 196 3538 3148 10 155 11 179 8 187 4 170 3148 2879 9 159 11 182 8 189 3 163 2879 2716 9 161 10 183 7 190 3*160 2716 2622 7 164 8 184 6 191 2*159 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography