DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 49.2 - - 48.6 - - 48.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2622 - - 2623 - - 2622 - - 2622 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2262 - - 2492 - - 2724 - - 3085 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 25 - - 23 - - 24 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 203 - - 208 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 44 - - 73 - - 66 - - 83 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2621 - - 2622 - - 2621 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -127 - - -78 - - -288 - - -228 ODpotential blCL - - - 2749 - - 2701 - - 2910 - - 2850 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 102 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 100 - - 120 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.5 - - 49.2 - - 48.6 - - 48.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 49.2 - - 48.4 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 49.9 - - 49.3 - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 49.2 - - 48.2 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 103 - - 101 - - 106 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96214 18 262 24 278 24 281 25 267 96214 89070 6 286 9 315 13 316 15 304 89070 83599 8 284 8 302 15 304 13 304 83599 79076 4 265 14 281 18 323 8 328 79076 75166 11 285 13 269 14 311 10 283 75166 71702 12 285 13 288 7 339 4 319 71702 68549 18 260 18 251 18 252 16 247 68549 65630 15 247 17 255 16 253 18 239 65630 62897 20 235 26 248 27 244 24 243 62897 60223 33 243 30 255 31 250 35 254 60223 57415 50 245 48 250 44 248 43 252 57415 54486 60 236 56 250 59 252 59 253 54486 51692 65 242 71 247 75 248 68 246 51692 49182 70 241 71 239 78 235 65 246 49182 46936 64 247 59 242 61 235 66 250 46936 44910 75 255 75 264 66 255 73 250 44910 43076 95 251 99 256 92 256 90 250 43076 41402 87 233 108 240 109 244 108 240 41402 39860 73 229 100 232 106 235 107 235 39860 38430 67 248 91 233 97 237 100 241 38430 37092 73 254 89 235 96 240 98 243 37092 35801 76 252 91 238 100 243 97 244 35801 34488 73 249 93 241 102 244 97 246 34488 33125 75 244 94 244 100 243 100 246 33125 31717 79 241 94 247 96 243 104 246 31717 30249 81 242 91 245 92 246 104 246 30249 28713 81 246 89 244 89 245 97 243 28713 27110 81 249 88 247 87 244 92 242 27110 25446 77 248 85 248 85 245 85 247 25446 23728 73 248 77 245 80 248 75 249 23728 21957 67 243 71 241 77 247 64 246 21957 20126 61 235 68 237 75 242 63 242 20126 18232 60 233 67 237 71 239 65 243 18232 16310 58 235 62 241 60 246 57 248 16310 14469 53 236 50 245 44 248 40 252 14469 12803 48 234 42 242 35 240 27 240 12803 11323 39 238 38 236 27 227 24 227 11323 10001 31 242 34 236 26 219 23 226 10001 8820 27 236 27 239 27 227 22 228 8820 7767 27 226 22 236 27 239 21 226 7767 6830 28 216 21 228 26 240 21 224 6830 6000 28 209 21 220 24 235 20 223 6000 5262 27 201 22 217 22 230 20 222 5262 4599 26 192 22 213 20 225 20 220 4599 4010 25 183 21 210 18 219 19 219 4010 3516 23 175 20 208 17 214 18 218 3516 3135 21 170 18 206 16 211 17 216 3135 2873 18 167 16 204 14 208 16 215 2873 2713 15*167 14*203 12*207 13*214 2713 2621 10*167 9*203 8*205 9*213 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography