DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.1 - - 53.1 - - 51.7 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 40 - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 260 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 3797 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1909 - - 1342 - - 2485 - - 2264 - - 1654 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 95 - - 26 - - 22 - - 18 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 13 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 123 - - 153 - - 154 - - 180 - - 161 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 12 - - 17 - - 59 - - 23 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1146 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2622 - - 2651 - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential -2361 - - 83 - - -618 - - -73 - - -79 ODpotential blCL 4984 - - 3714 - - 3241 - - 2696 - - 2702 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 50.1 - - 53.1 - - 51.7 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.9 - - 50.5 - - 50.4 - - 51.5 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.1 - - 53.6 - - 52.4 - - 52.2 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.2 - - 49.6 - - 50.1 - - 51.5 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 40 - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 260 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 94 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96138 5 318 9 280 14 298 7 232 27 268 96138 89014 5 345 5 282 10 299 5 294 15 294 89014 83598 2 312 8 298 8 268 6 323 7 297 83598 79098 6 351 5 304 5 257 9 308 13 307 79098 75196 7 258 8 270 11 274 6 269 12 277 75196 71721 5 275 5 268 10 292 7 274 13 274 71721 68552 15 305 18 267 21 269 19 263 20 248 68552 65637 22 265 23 259 17 267 13 313 8 251 65637 62912 14 252 20 262 24 261 19 294 23 276 62912 60253 13 247 29 251 36 249 40 239 41 242 60253 57481 28 243 35 240 37 244 44 224 48 239 57481 54601 47 240 46 250 41 250 49 245 51 248 54601 51847 51 235 58 243 56 249 67 250 59 253 51847 49359 59 247 64 237 74 240 74 246 69 254 49359 47129 68 242 72 240 81 235 76 246 74 251 47129 45117 69 242 78 240 85 230 79 246 75 248 45117 43283 71 248 74 242 80 229 85 244 76 249 43283 41599 92 251 83 247 89 238 93 241 84 250 41599 40043 109 246 108 243 111 241 108 238 92 248 40043 38593 108 243 111 232 117 237 117 238 93 248 38593 37237 101 241 106 228 122 236 114 237 89 249 37237 35938 96 237 106 230 119 234 113 236 80 247 35938 34629 98 239 106 233 113 228 113 235 70 252 34629 33280 102 243 104 233 114 227 108 235 66 264 33280 31892 94 246 103 237 112 232 92 237 65 267 31892 30449 81 247 96 245 96 240 66 239 64 263 30449 28939 69 248 77 244 76 234 55 244 63 258 28939 27360 57 246 64 235 70 222 53 252 62 256 27360 25715 47 242 56 222 71 220 52 255 59 257 25715 24007 41 235 54 223 66 226 51 254 55 256 24007 22238 41 228 58 228 62 233 50 251 52 251 22238 20403 42 225 61 229 60 240 50 250 51 248 20403 18492 43 231 57 229 57 244 56 252 50 247 18492 16546 41 236 51 229 54 246 54 256 49 248 16546 14673 34 234 47 232 49 247 43 254 47 250 14673 12974 33 219 41 237 44 247 40 246 38 238 12974 11464 34 209 35 240 39 241 38 238 33 226 11464 10122 31 211 32 240 36 233 37 231 30 226 10122 8922 27 218 29 237 34 224 37 225 27 232 8922 7849 25 226 27 233 32 216 34 218 24 231 7849 6892 24 230 25 230 30 212 30 208 24 223 6892 6046 20 228 22 224 27 205 27 197 24 213 6046 5295 17 220 19 213 24 194 25 189 22 199 5295 4622 13 207 16 195 21 182 24 184 20 186 4622 4025 11 190 14*175 19 171 23 182 19 176 4025 3525 10 166 14*159 17 161 22 181 17 168 3525 3140 11 143 13 152 15 155 20 180 15 164 3140 2875 10 130 12 150 14 154 18 180 13 162 2875 2714 8*125 10 152 12*153 15*180 11*161 2714 2622 4*121 7 153 8*154 9*181 7*161 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography