DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 51.8 - - - - - 48.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 163 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2850 - - 3058 - - - - - 289 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5070 - - 5289 - - - - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6387 - - 6595 - - - - - 3826 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3568 - - 2492 - - - - - 4289 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 337 - - - - - 24 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 242 - - - - - 291 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 22 - - 51 - - - - - 20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1818 - - 2152 - - - - - 99 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4569 - - 4443 - - - - - 3728 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 602 - - 926 - - - - - -1607 ODpotential blCL - - - 5785 - - 5669 - - - - - 5433 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 99 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 170 - - 220 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 51.8 - - - - - 48.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 41.5 - - - - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 51.6 - - - - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 40.2 - - - - - 40.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 163 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2850 - - 3058 - - - - - 289 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 96 - - - - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97522 24 273 28 266 35 286 97522 90175 36 286 38 282 33 291 90175 84506 32 291 32 283 29 282 84506 79776 26 279 28 272 31 271 79776 75677 29 264 30 268 31 272 75677 72048 39 259 33 263 33 273 72048 68767 35 252 33 254 34 265 68767 65751 27 242 35 248 35 253 65751 62948 28 252 37 242 37 260 62948 60239 32 258 29 247 35 261 60239 57421 35 260 31 266 32 272 57421 54501 34 260 35 270 34 266 54501 51723 36 261 34 268 29 260 51723 49223 38 263 38 273 34 282 49223 46978 38 265 44 270 41 279 46978 44939 38 270 41 265 40 282 44939 43064 44 269 43 272 41 281 43064 41329 48 267 50 267 46 285 41329 39721 51 263 51 260 53 287 39721 38224 54 257 47 257 58 287 38224 36827 58 252 46 263 65 287 36827 35491 61 249 48 269 72 285 35491 34150 62 250 55 271 77 282 34150 32770 66 250 59 270 75 281 32770 31358 70 246 61 268 67 284 31358 29900 71 240 60 263 63 290 29900 28387 66 237 58 261 64 296 28387 26816 62 235 53 266 66 299 26816 25186 55 231 49 271 64 304 25186 23502 48 230 42 274 56 311 23502 21774 44 231 36 277 39 317 21774 19992 40 233 32 276 27 332 19992 18141 35 239 28 273 27 340 18141 16253 32 249 25 275 27 338 16253 14431 26 261 23 267 24 339 14431 12769 21 272 21 271 22 343 12769 11289 16 274 18 281 22 343 11289 9973 12 274 16 286 22 340 9973 8801 9 275 14 287 21 338 8801 7754 8 279 12 281 18 334 7754 6823 8*282 11*270 15 328 6823 5996 7*282 11*255 13 318 5996 5260 6 277 11 249 12 308 5260 4599 5 271 11 243 11 300 4599 4010 5 264 11 240 11*295 4010 3517 5 259 11 237 10*292 3517 3136 5 253 11 236 9 291 3136 2873 5 250 11 234 7 291 2873 2713 5 248 10 234 6 290 2713 2621 4 246 8 232 3 294 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography