DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 80.8 - - 77.7 - - 67.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 466 - - 566 - - 281 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1131 - - 2173 - - 1114 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4176 - - 4992 - - 4055 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4668 - - 5710 - - 4651 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1061 - - 1576 - - 1649 - - 1344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 439 - - 279 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 190 - - 199 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 35 - - 46 - - 35 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2214 - - -2750 - - -3402 - - -2180 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6882 - - 8461 - - 8053 - - 4804 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6338 - - -7278 - - -8400 - - -8368 ODpotential blCL - - - 11006 - - 12988 - - 13051 - - 10992 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 53 - - 49 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 80.8 - - 77.7 - - 67.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.0 - - 52.6 - - 51.5 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 78.4 - - 76.5 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 52.5 - - 51.4 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 466 - - 566 - - 281 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1131 - - 2173 - - 1114 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98970 27 112 20 136 13 119 16 063 98970 91491 23 106 25 113 30 112 20 106 91491 85745 18 107 24 098 27 107 27 113 85745 80998 18 119 15 112 19 101 20 095 80998 76918 16 116 15 123 11 106 12 093 76918 73320 17 125 10 124 12 124 11 105 73320 70053 15 142 12 157 8 131 9 092 70053 67037 11 162 11 164 7 159 6 090 67037 64243 5 174 10 202 8 221 3 225 64243 61552 5 160 14 191 11 190 8 206 61552 58763 9 291 8 238 13 228 22 244 58763 55917 18 267 24 259 26 258 28 259 55917 53233 29 281 31 273 31 269 33 260 53233 50811 45 280 40 283 41 279 40 266 50811 48623 50 284 51 285 51 281 47 277 48623 46626 57 294 56 288 65 291 67 288 46626 44789 61 299 65 294 81 289 83 284 44789 43083 62 302 73 296 82 287 87 281 43083 41485 59 304 74 299 83 291 86 282 41485 39987 53 305 71 302 84 293 84 283 39987 38580 49 302 68 305 80 294 81 284 38580 37223 45 298 56 304 75 295 78 286 37223 35849 43 298 44 296 70 297 74 287 35849 34430 37 291 40 291 55 298 65 288 34430 32970 28 287 35 291 40 289 52 285 32970 31456 24 291 31 287 38 281 41 273 31456 29874 23 287 26 278 34 284 40 269 29874 28224 21 289 23 267 26 278 34 273 28224 26510 18 287 20 261 23 262 26 263 26510 24733 18 272 19 259 20 255 23 254 24733 22897 20 258 18 260 18 252 19 250 22897 20993 21 252 18 262 16 253 18 236 20993 19014 20 242 18 247 16 240 17 223 19014 16999 22 235 21 237 19 235 19 225 16999 15061 23 231 24 233 22 234 19 228 15061 13302 24 225 24 231 23 234 20 231 13302 11741 24 221 23 226 22 233 20 233 11741 10351 22 225 23 224 21 229 21 232 10351 9111 20 226 20 222 20 225 19 229 9111 8005 17 222 17 219 17 221 18 222 8005 7022 14 221 14 213 15 217 16 213 7022 6151 11 209 11*200 12 210 14 204 6151 5380 9 188 10*190 9 203 13 195 5380 4686 9*174 10 187 7*196 11 188 4686 4071 10*170 11 188 7*195 8 178 4071 3555 10 173 11 190 8 198 7 165 3555 3159 10 177 11 192 8 200 6 155 3159 2885 10 180 11 194 8 201 6 152 2885 2718 10 182 11 195 8 202 4*141 2718 2623 8 184 9 196 7 203 2*080 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography