DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 44.9 - - 42.0 - - 42.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 31 - - 12 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 136 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2604 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2604 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 3673 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2198 - - 2204 - - 2988 - - 3048 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 33 - - 25 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 12 - - 15 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 181 - - 219 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 55 - - 80 - - 51 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1052 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2621 - - 2621 - - 2621 - - 2621 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -676 - - -69 - - -506 - - 563 ODpotential blCL - - - 3298 - - 2691 - - 3128 - - 3110 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 50 - - 150 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 44.9 - - 42.0 - - 42.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.1 - - 45.0 - - 41.1 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 45.7 - - 42.7 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 44.9 - - 40.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 31 - - 12 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 136 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 108 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96419 17 082 17 087 21 112 27 131 96419 89322 18 097 20 121 12 122 18 104 89322 83818 8 097 7 136 4 081 9 086 83818 79219 9 157 2 189 1 197 2 038 79219 75247 7 167 6 245 3 251 7 305 75247 71730 7 208 13 241 7 240 5 221 71730 68543 11 234 10 238 12 261 11 277 68543 65597 17 222 19 234 26 218 30 245 65597 62853 29 230 35 229 38 221 37 222 62853 60181 38 226 35 236 37 223 39 194 60181 57356 36 249 38 255 29 219 37 228 57356 54394 61 248 42 247 41 254 51 249 54394 51559 70 235 47 249 59 251 65 260 51559 49018 67 238 71 249 77 255 84 259 49018 46765 80 242 94 247 100 253 93 257 46765 44728 91 240 110 244 112 250 100 256 44728 42859 96 237 117 242 115 248 105 254 42859 41128 98 235 120 242 115 246 105 252 41128 39512 101 234 123 241 115 244 104 252 39512 37996 106 234 126 240 117 244 105 250 37996 36574 108 236 127 237 123 243 108 249 36574 35213 112 239 129 237 129 241 113 249 35213 33848 120 240 134 237 132 238 119 248 33848 32452 124 238 137 236 134 235 126 246 32452 31029 124 236 136 235 137 233 131 244 31029 29564 121 235 132 233 139 232 133 242 29564 28042 117 234 128 232 139 231 134 241 28042 26463 114 232 125 230 137 231 133 241 26463 24824 112 230 125 229 135 231 130 242 24824 23125 107 230 118 231 133 233 128 245 23125 21378 95 225 97 230 118 234 109 248 21378 19598 84 215 77 216 89 226 77 248 19598 17780 72 209 76 210 88 208 58 250 17780 15942 62 209 74 212 95 211 52 248 15942 14171 59 213 63 214 87 224 46 247 14171 12558 55 216 52 213 68 237 42 247 12558 11120 52 215 43 213 57 244 41 248 11120 9837 49 208 34 215 53 248 39 250 9837 8690 45 196 30 220 50 251 36 252 8690 7664 41 186 29 222 45 253 34 255 7664 6749 38 180 29 220 40 251 31 256 6749 5938 36 176 28 217 35 248 28 258 5938 5216 35 172 27 211 31 243 25 259 5216 4565 34 168 25 203 27 237 23 260 4565 3987 31 159 22 194 24 231 22*261 3987 3501 29 149 20 186 21 225 19*262 3501 3127 25 141 17 182 18 221 16 262 3127 2868 22 138 15 180 16 219 13 263 2868 2712 19*136 13*181 14*218 11 263 2712 2621 11*135 9*184 9*217 7 264 2621 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography