DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 66.0 - - 70.3 - - 68.7 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 84 - - 500 - - 624 - - 367 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 73 - - 1332 - - 1827 - - 1058 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2606 - - 4337 - - 4748 - - 4079 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 3610 - - 4869 - - 5364 - - 4595 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 787 - - 683 - - 616 - - 629 - - 1537 Hgt.Variab. W* 75 - - 359 - - 429 - - 300 - - 26 W* B/S 8 - - 14 - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 238 - - 238 - - 230 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 33 - - 48 - - 36 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 853 - - -482 - - -682 - - -1064 - - -1346 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2757 - - 5352 - - 6047 - - 5660 - - 3970 sfcLCL ODpotential 410 - - -5959 - - -5788 - - -5906 - - -7778 ODpotential blCL 3200 - - 10828 - - 11152 - - 10501 - - 10401 blCL maxRH 99 - - 85 - - 79 - - 78 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 66.0 - - 70.3 - - 68.7 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.9 - - 51.4 - - 52.6 - - 52.7 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 63.9 - - 67.8 - - 67.1 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.8 - - 51.2 - - 52.5 - - 52.6 - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 84 - - 500 - - 624 - - 367 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 73 - - 1332 - - 1827 - - 1058 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 41 - - 15 - - 10 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98821 34 101 27 107 29 101 18 114 30 105 98821 91326 34 095 30 106 20 104 18 106 24 095 91326 85594 35 094 29 111 21 111 17 097 19 094 85594 80859 27 091 25 103 22 112 17 105 23 086 80859 76773 16 098 23 111 20 107 21 102 16 107 76773 73169 18 111 16 123 15 101 20 095 18 111 73169 69909 13 095 15 114 12 119 12 097 16 105 69909 66902 11 133 10 139 7 105 10 084 11 105 66902 64111 11 128 10 136 9 174 6 157 5 136 64111 61406 5 210 5 239 3 321 3 108 2 127 61406 58594 8 249 9 254 15 264 15 268 14 292 58594 55704 18 278 19 273 19 261 20 264 21 270 55704 52957 32 280 31 280 25 270 23 267 23 260 52957 50479 42 275 38 277 35 280 29 281 29 278 50479 48252 47 278 48 285 48 283 45 287 41 287 48252 46227 58 278 61 280 59 277 57 280 49 284 46227 44369 66 275 61 272 61 270 56 274 52 282 44369 42654 64 271 59 272 56 270 50 278 50 283 42654 41063 62 272 59 274 53 273 48 282 47 286 41063 39579 60 275 54 275 48 272 46 283 45 290 39579 38185 58 276 48 276 40 273 41 282 42 294 38185 36842 52 275 42 278 35 279 34 283 39 298 36842 35486 39 276 38 278 35 277 30 293 35 303 35486 34087 30 280 32 274 32 274 30 300 33 308 34087 32647 24 278 24 270 25 277 30 300 30 311 32647 31155 21 284 20 271 22 282 26 293 27 308 31155 29601 23 292 17 275 19 275 22 290 24 303 29601 27984 25 294 14 286 16 265 20 288 23 304 27984 26299 26 294 14 296 14 266 20 287 21 311 26299 24547 28 295 16 291 16 273 19 284 18 316 24547 22731 28 293 19 291 17 283 18 285 18 313 22731 20846 29 292 21 296 18 298 16 298 17 314 20846 18886 28 300 18 301 18 310 14 312 15 315 18886 16891 23 311 13 318 16 317 13 320 13 318 16891 14968 18 324 12 339 13 328 11 327 12 325 14968 13221 16 335 13 348 10 342 8 347 11 328 13221 11670 14 345 13 357 8 358 5 012 8 324 11670 10292 15 359 15 012 9 028 3 352 6 316 10292 9061 17 005 16 022 13 039 6 348 7 315 9061 7961 18 003 17 021 15 031 8 350 9 323 7961 6982 19 358 17 012 14 013 10 348 12 330 6982 6114 18 350 13 002 9*358 8 340 11 324 6114 5346 13 339 7*350 3*314 6 325 9 315 5346 4657 9 332 3*309 3 278 3*281 5 302 4657 4049 4*301 4 244 7 235 5*241 2 273 4049 3541 1*244 5 234 9 229 6 232 3 191 3541 3150 2 213 6 230 10 227 7 228 4 192 3150 2880 2 211 7 229 10 227 8 227 5 194 2880 2717 2 209 7 228 9 226 7 226 4*195 2717 2622 2 211 6 227 8 225 7 226 4*196 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography