DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.2 - - 60.6 - - 65.3 - - 62.7 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 272 - - 420 - - 198 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 915 - - 2405 - - 1545 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 3916 - - 5106 - - 4255 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top 2623 - - 4452 - - 5942 - - 5082 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1277 - - 1189 - - 1094 - - 1228 - - 1926 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 262 - - 415 - - 279 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 030 - - 195 - - 197 - - 204 - - 098 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 25 - - 40 - - 36 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4821 - - -1151 - - -894 - - -971 - - -1456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7444 - - 5603 - - 6836 - - 6053 - - 4079 sfcLCL ODpotential -11819 - - -6483 - - -5420 - - -5331 - - -6978 ODpotential blCL 14442 - - 10935 - - 11362 - - 10413 - - 9601 blCL maxRH 33 - - 64 - - 64 - - 72 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.2 - - 60.6 - - 65.3 - - 62.7 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.2 - - 45.2 - - 44.4 - - 45.2 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.1 - - 59.6 - - 63.7 - - 62.0 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.1 - - 44.0 - - 43.5 - - 44.7 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 272 - - 420 - - 198 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 915 - - 2405 - - 1545 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97431 43 283 41 277 43 285 43 302 35 305 97431 90076 36 288 35 269 37 272 37 282 39 285 90076 84376 30 275 33 266 34 265 35 262 35 265 84376 79623 36 264 35 267 37 263 37 256 35 257 79623 75520 34 262 32 261 36 261 38 259 35 261 75520 71903 30 266 27 258 32 259 36 259 29 262 71903 68645 29 268 26 256 28 257 29 256 26 264 68645 65664 28 267 24 258 27 256 28 263 26 260 65664 62899 23 271 21 264 23 257 29 261 23 268 62899 60220 25 277 20 270 21 259 26 258 24 280 60220 57430 25 273 22 278 21 269 24 255 26 276 57430 54537 28 274 26 276 27 282 24 271 27 274 54537 51778 26 275 28 271 32 280 29 281 31 272 51778 49301 24 284 25 274 31 275 32 279 31 269 49301 47087 25 290 26 280 32 274 34 273 30 277 47087 45088 24 295 25 279 33 273 35 275 35 283 45088 43281 22 312 19 288 28 272 37 279 38 280 43281 41638 22 315 18 298 23 277 37 285 41 276 41638 40124 21 324 19 300 23 287 37 290 42 276 40124 38706 22 327 18 299 25 293 38 291 43 279 38706 37370 17 310 20 292 27 285 39 291 40 282 37370 36080 9 306 21 281 25 274 40 291 36 279 36080 34771 6 326 18 269 23 275 40 293 34 280 34771 33414 6 313 17 269 25 284 40 297 34 283 33414 32011 9 311 17 280 28 290 38 301 33 287 32011 30553 12 310 19 292 31 295 34 300 28 288 30553 29028 13 305 20 298 32 291 32 295 28 283 29028 27440 10 305 19 306 27 287 31 291 27 282 27440 25793 10 313 19 309 23 278 27 286 28 279 25793 24086 15 314 18 310 21 280 25 285 25 280 24086 22318 17 323 17 315 20 288 21 284 21 289 22318 20483 17 327 16 317 16 292 16 286 18 290 20483 18572 16 322 14 314 13 288 14 279 16 279 18572 16624 15 314 12 305 12 283 14 277 14 272 16624 14747 12 319 11 294 11 276 14 273 13 265 14747 13039 7 332 9 280 10 263 14 263 14 257 13039 11517 3 353 7 253 9 245 13 250 15 252 11517 10161 1 031 7 229 9 230 12 241 13 249 10161 8951 1 199 8 220 8 219 9 235 11 250 8951 7872 3 228 7 220 6 211 8 231 8 253 7872 6913 3 249 7 229 5 196 7 229 7 256 6913 6064 4 266 6 235 6*190 6 216 6 261 6064 5311 5 291 4 230 6*190 6*204 6 271 5311 4635 8 306 3*207 7 192 6*201 5 276 4635 4034 10 319 3*191 8 195 7 202 4 293 4034 3531 9 330 4 192 9 198 7 204 3 319 3531 3145 8 342 5 195 9 200 8 206 1 352 3145 2878 6 354 6 198 9 202 8 206 0 079 2878 2715 4*011 6 199 8 202 8 207 1*103 2715 2622 3*030 5 199 7 203 6 208 1*105 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography