DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 52.0 - - 51.5 - - 48.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 25 - - 17 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 199 - - 697 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3736 - - 4234 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2031 - - 1729 - - 1580 - - 2530 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 23 - - 73 - - 100 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 231 - - 195 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 47 - - 20 - - 26 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1114 - - 1612 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2622 - - 2622 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -73 - - 584 - - 354 - - -262 ODpotential blCL - - - 2696 - - 3152 - - 3880 - - 2885 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 20 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.3 - - 52.0 - - 51.5 - - 48.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 50.5 - - 49.4 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 52.5 - - 52.2 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 50.0 - - 48.7 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 25 - - 17 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 199 - - 697 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 77 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96001 31 351 29 355 25 000 21 345 96001 88976 29 024 21 018 18 011 20 012 88976 83537 24 035 18 025 17 021 13 010 83537 79020 18 061 14 022 14 028 7 021 79020 75117 10 082 11 003 10 018 7 063 75117 71636 6 105 7 343 4 011 3 343 71636 68464 1 119 7 317 3 322 2 009 68464 65553 4 211 9 291 5 277 14 268 65553 62869 6 261 12 259 13 255 13 266 62869 60260 9 291 7 269 14 261 15 281 60260 57515 17 270 16 265 21 261 21 269 57515 54672 22 268 21 262 27 260 34 265 54672 51970 21 274 23 271 31 260 39 258 51970 49529 30 259 33 259 35 258 38 256 49529 47325 35 244 35 249 36 256 37 259 47325 45313 36 243 37 249 34 258 39 267 45313 43460 41 249 42 248 45 260 50 270 43460 41762 40 245 44 248 52 253 61 262 41762 40209 33 248 48 255 52 261 56 260 40209 38772 33 258 51 268 56 271 55 277 38772 37425 43 263 66 270 64 275 66 281 37425 36129 53 264 66 267 69 271 73 271 36129 34817 59 262 63 269 73 269 69 265 34817 33460 60 265 68 274 75 270 66 268 33460 32060 63 272 71 275 75 269 64 271 32060 30601 65 276 73 274 71 269 64 273 30601 29074 65 272 72 274 69 267 64 273 29074 27479 63 268 70 273 67 267 64 272 27479 25815 60 263 68 270 65 266 66 272 25815 24084 57 257 63 268 65 265 66 272 24084 22290 57 254 58 265 59 263 61 270 22290 20432 57 249 55 261 54 262 54 268 20432 18506 53 241 53 260 49 261 48 267 18506 16548 48 231 50 257 46 260 45 264 16548 14664 44 221 45 246 42 260 43 261 14664 12951 40 213 40 236 38 256 38 262 12951 11427 38 204 38 226 34 247 34 259 11427 10071 37 207 37 217 31 237 31 253 10071 8864 32 211 37 211 30 232 29 249 8864 7791 29 212 35 214 28 229 26 246 7791 6842 26 214 31 220 25 228 22 240 6842 6005 24 217 25 225 21 228 18 235 6005 5265 21 221 19 229 16 224 15 225 5265 4600 18 227 13 232 12*216 12 205 4600 4011 15 234 9*234 9*204 11 187 4011 3517 13 235 6*233 8 195 10 175 3517 3136 12 234 6 230 8 192 8 174 3136 2873 10 233 5 230 7 191 7 173 2873 2713 8*232 5 229 7 191 6*170 2713 2622 6*230 4 229 5 193 4*169 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography