DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 51.0 - - 54.8 - - 51.0 - - 48.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -308 - - -141 - - -57 - - -196 - - -265 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 - - 2605 Hcrit BL Top 2622 - - 2622 - - 2623 - - 2623 - - 2623 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 238 - - 628 - - 772 - - 403 - - 194 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 32 - - 32 - - 28 - - 25 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 15 - - 21 - - 13 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 057 - - 058 - - 057 - - 053 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -78 - - -75 - - -130 - - -69 - - -66 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5935 - - -5947 - - -5836 - - -5728 - - -6216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8557 - - 8570 - - 8460 - - 8352 - - 8839 sfcLCL ODpotential -15666 - - -14846 - - -14379 - - -14687 - - -16017 ODpotential blCL 18288 - - 17468 - - 17002 - - 17310 - - 18640 blCL maxRH 19 - - 22 - - 25 - - 23 - - 40 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 51.0 - - 54.8 - - 51.0 - - 48.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.5 - - 23.6 - - 27.7 - - 24.5 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.7 - - 54.9 - - 57.0 - - 56.0 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.4 - - 22.4 - - 26.6 - - 23.4 - - 19.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -308 - - -141 - - -57 - - -196 - - -265 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96349 35 276 45 278 56 275 46 276 41 282 96349 89259 23 285 28 291 33 282 24 289 22 303 89259 83800 19 293 18 299 24 297 19 283 24 302 83800 79253 13 315 11 294 16 309 18 278 19 298 79253 75317 14 322 12 310 6 000 8 296 4 262 75317 71804 14 301 17 308 14 336 13 340 8 012 71804 68617 13 326 11 295 21 324 22 329 17 001 68617 65709 13 333 9 333 22 322 24 312 17 346 65709 63030 19 352 17 001 15 328 16 311 17 338 63030 60444 28 347 21 356 17 344 15 344 17 332 60444 57751 39 353 31 348 22 360 17 356 8 327 57751 54929 52 345 43 352 33 356 27 344 19 338 54929 52213 52 346 46 346 39 337 34 323 34 315 52213 49765 52 352 44 348 38 331 31 318 33 308 49765 47549 54 358 46 354 41 339 32 335 29 320 47549 45516 56 004 49 359 46 343 41 335 32 331 45516 43660 55 008 51 004 44 353 44 335 37 343 43660 41976 55 013 48 011 43 005 39 346 40 353 41976 40438 58 019 51 021 46 021 39 007 39 005 40438 39010 65 024 62 025 53 028 46 020 45 017 39010 37671 73 024 69 026 60 030 53 024 50 020 37671 36379 77 024 68 029 63 033 55 026 48 023 36379 35066 77 027 64 032 59 037 54 029 42 025 35066 33706 72 031 61 033 55 040 51 031 40 026 33706 32303 67 037 57 037 53 044 46 032 38 027 32303 30844 58 041 48 046 44 048 43 033 37 031 30844 29317 43 042 42 054 35 055 36 032 34 037 29317 27722 31 047 35 057 28 063 26 037 26 041 27722 26064 29 052 26 065 20 065 18 053 15 052 26064 24343 28 056 20 075 12 064 13 056 13 065 24343 22558 24 057 17 066 9 054 12 036 13 060 22558 20702 21 062 16 049 10 040 11 012 13 054 20702 18768 17 067 15 045 14 035 10 004 13 057 18768 16794 14 052 16 043 16 038 7 029 13 070 16794 14888 18 037 19 040 16 043 9 044 12 071 14888 13149 20 037 20 045 16 050 10 056 12 053 13149 11598 17 045 20 057 17 067 13 074 13 053 11598 10216 15 063 19 071 19 082 17 085 16 073 10216 8985 13 081 15 086 18 097 18 089 18 082 8985 7896 11 097 13 100 14 117 14 101 16 087 7896 6931 11 109 13 111 13 127 11 111 12 096 6931 6078 11 110 14 108 12 123 10 113 12 102 6078 5321 12 094 16 089 11 111 10 110 13 102 5321 4641 13 074 18 070 14 080 10 102 14 098 4641 4037 22 059 27 059 22 066 16 073 16 090 4037 3531 34 060 37 060 30 062 28 061 27 075 3531 3142 39 062 38 062 31 060 32 059 32 069 3142 2875 35 062 33 062 27 059 29 058 29 065 2875 2714 26*061 25*061 22*057 23*056 22*062 2714 2622 15*057 15*058 13*054 13*053 13*057 2622 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography