DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 81.1 - - - - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 378 - - - - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1062 - - 1378 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4041 - - 4313 - - - - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4599 - - 4915 - - - - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1053 - - 1826 - - - - - 1680 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 330 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 30 - - 34 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 057 - - - - - 041 Direction Wind Shear - - - 25 - - 23 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -109 - - -172 - - - - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8867 - - -9359 - - - - - -8670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13467 - - 14275 - - - - - 11295 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13449 - - -12668 - - - - - -13870 ODpotential blCL - - - 18048 - - 17583 - - - - - 16494 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 47 - - - - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.5 - - 81.1 - - - - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.7 - - 27.4 - - - - - 30.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.5 - - 80.0 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.6 - - 27.2 - - - - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 378 - - - - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1062 - - 1378 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97746 17 276 21 255 18 297 97746 90450 14 280 11 263 12 278 90450 84853 13 260 11 272 9 299 84853 80207 9 209 12 259 6 343 80207 76208 9 169 3 255 2 114 76208 72681 6 149 5 130 6 074 72681 69498 8 110 10 118 7 027 69498 66575 7 069 11 139 4 322 66575 63873 3 013 3 024 2 296 63873 61259 2 355 6 297 9 013 61259 58556 9 001 6 336 12 355 58556 55774 23 349 12 010 2 272 55774 53076 35 324 35 334 22 359 53076 50619 37 317 40 323 44 342 50619 48416 39 327 37 332 45 335 48416 46400 43 333 41 344 38 339 46400 44531 44 337 46 349 47 357 44531 42789 45 342 50 350 47 358 42789 41156 48 345 50 352 42 006 41156 39622 50 347 53 354 55 020 39622 38185 53 348 55 352 52 027 38185 36808 63 343 54 349 39 029 36808 35423 62 337 46 351 29 023 35423 34002 51 332 37 351 26 017 34002 32551 40 327 31 343 27 032 32551 31057 31 331 23 340 28 059 31057 29508 26 338 20 009 32 074 29508 27900 24 351 24 029 31 077 27900 26230 25 359 25 032 26 082 26230 24497 25 360 23 033 22 081 24497 22700 25 001 23 032 23 073 22700 20835 26 005 24 028 24 065 20835 18898 26 009 25 026 23 062 18898 16928 24 013 24 023 20 070 16928 15034 20 011 19 014 11 092 15034 13307 10 005 10 010 10 115 13307 11762 3 010 3 025 11 106 11762 10379 2 044 3 065 14 087 10379 9140 6 059 8 073 20 072 9140 8031 13 059 14 067 28 063 8031 7043 21 060 22 063 35 060 7043 6167 27 061 29 060 41 059 6167 5391 34 063 35*059 46 060 5391 4694 39*066 38*058 47 062 4694 4076 38*066 38 058 45 063 4076 3559 35 067 36 057 39 064 3559 3160 31 067 33 057 31 062 3160 2885 26 067 29 057 23 058 2885 2719 21 067 25 056 16*051 2719 2623 13 068 15 056 8*041 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography