DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 KagelMt_CA 3537ft pt26848@34.438,-118.271,3301ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.8 degF SPONSORED BY: Sylmar Hang Gliding Association RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 81.6 - - 79.2 - - 70.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 574 - - 328 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 777 - - 1798 - - 910 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3932 - - 4710 - - 3950 - - 2606 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4314 - - 5335 - - 4447 - - 2624 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 755 - - 1316 - - 1246 - - 1140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 298 - - 415 - - 275 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 219 - - 204 - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 31 - - 41 - - 30 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3526 - - -6075 - - -6027 - - -4217 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7840 - - 11410 - - 10474 - - 6841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11375 - - -12803 - - -13947 - - -12814 ODpotential blCL - - - 15689 - - 18138 - - 18394 - - 15438 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 49 - - 32 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 81.6 - - 79.2 - - 70.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 40.8 - - 42.7 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 79.2 - - 77.8 - - 71.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 40.6 - - 42.4 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 490 - - 574 - - 328 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 777 - - 1798 - - 910 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99034 37 113 30 115 30 108 33 091 99034 91585 28 112 31 114 28 116 24 094 91585 85844 26 115 30 109 25 116 24 094 85844 81064 25 112 24 105 23 116 21 105 81064 76950 25 110 23 108 25 103 23 117 76950 73338 19 101 22 109 24 097 24 103 73338 70091 17 127 14 113 15 109 22 081 70091 67108 14 123 12 139 9 104 15 069 67108 64342 9 124 8 142 6 120 4 041 64342 61684 3 113 5 155 3 168 5 248 61684 58923 9 256 6 262 6 286 6 289 58923 56064 16 304 15 300 15 280 16 289 56064 53357 31 286 35 293 33 296 31 300 53357 50932 44 279 50 282 51 283 50 288 50932 48754 52 279 53 280 51 285 51 289 48754 46767 57 281 59 281 65 288 61 295 46767 44929 61 280 64 280 73 284 72 291 44929 43216 63 278 64 277 67 279 69 286 43216 41616 62 276 62 274 61 272 60 278 41616 40117 62 274 60 273 60 271 59 271 40117 38709 60 275 57 272 59 273 60 266 38709 37354 50 278 45 267 53 272 58 265 37354 35982 39 281 34 259 43 262 56 265 35982 34562 33 283 28 260 38 250 52 268 34562 33100 31 279 25 264 36 246 41 264 33100 31586 32 269 25 262 28 255 27 259 31586 30010 35 262 26 261 23 263 17 273 30010 28369 36 256 28 265 22 265 14 272 28369 26657 34 254 27 264 20 256 12 236 26657 24876 31 254 24 266 17 263 11 241 24876 23031 28 256 21 266 14 273 9 254 23031 21116 26 256 19 264 12 270 7 255 21116 19125 25 251 19 255 14 255 9 248 19125 17100 23 251 20 251 15 249 11 239 17100 15152 20 252 18 243 15 246 12 234 15152 13380 17 253 17 235 14 240 12 230 13380 11806 14 254 16 230 15 235 13 229 11806 10404 12 251 14 227 15 235 14 233 10404 9154 10 249 12 223 14 236 14 238 9154 8039 8 248 11 222 12 234 13 241 8039 7047 7 246 9 222 11 230 12 241 7047 6169 6 242 7 222 9 225 11 238 6169 5392 4 224 6*221 7 220 9 231 5392 4694 3*196 6*220 6*211 7 222 4694 4076 3*189 7 219 5*203 4 211 4076 3558 5 196 8 218 6 203 3 194 3558 3160 6 200 8 218 6 204 3 176 3160 2886 7 203 9 219 7 205 3 176 2886 2719 7 203 8 218 7 205 3*177 2719 2623 6 205 8 218 6 206 2*181 2623 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography