DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 66.0 - - 67.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 105 - - -23 - - -107 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 158 - - 3780 - - 2691 - - 3 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 989 - - 3005 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1162 - - 4784 - - 3695 - - 1007 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 602 - - 1010 - - 4109 - - 5948 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 55 - - 309 - - 99 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 43 - - 40 - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 199 - - 195 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 24 - - 26 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 27 - - 9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2148 - - 483 - - -988 - - -3195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3310 - - 4301 - - 4683 - - 4202 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10116 - - -3603 - - -1833 - - -4799 ODpotential blCL - - - 11278 - - 8387 - - 5528 - - 5806 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 91 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 120 - - 80 - - 180 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 66.0 - - 67.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.2 - - 50.2 - - 50.2 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 65.8 - - 68.4 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 49.6 - - 49.9 - - 49.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 105 - - -23 - - -107 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 158 - - 3780 - - 2691 - - 3 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 63 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96366 18 250 12 261 16 267 13 264 96366 89269 6 226 9 275 12 240 14 284 89269 83791 4 238 10 269 12 262 11 307 83791 79182 9 226 13 252 15 274 14 288 79182 75165 12 319 9 236 10 256 16 274 75165 71605 21 304 15 288 6 266 14 261 71605 68378 25 283 24 293 12 269 13 272 68378 65386 28 286 28 272 21 265 20 272 65386 62598 39 285 31 266 31 264 30 266 62598 59904 45 272 38 261 38 253 31 256 59904 57085 45 261 40 254 35 248 29 256 57085 54146 44 260 39 256 37 248 32 252 54146 51336 53 253 46 249 47 249 35 250 51336 48802 56 253 56 245 50 244 44 244 48802 46529 66 250 62 247 60 244 56 239 46529 44470 68 245 71 244 72 237 65 238 44470 42595 67 246 75 238 72 233 75 228 42595 40895 69 247 78 236 75 228 74 221 40895 39344 74 243 81 231 74 221 72 221 39344 37911 72 239 73 222 71 222 73 220 37911 36579 69 242 66 224 72 225 71 219 36579 35302 67 239 66 229 71 225 61 221 35302 34007 63 236 61 232 63 225 58 225 34007 32660 62 240 58 233 55 225 58 228 32660 31262 63 241 55 233 51 226 58 229 31262 29801 58 237 51 232 49 225 56 228 29801 28264 52 234 45 231 49 224 55 226 28264 26653 50 236 43 233 47 222 55 224 26653 24967 50 237 45 236 47 224 55 222 24967 23208 53 236 51 240 51 229 57 224 23208 21378 53 231 53 239 59 232 58 223 21378 19474 52 222 51 225 58 222 63 212 19474 17494 51 214 55 217 61 214 63 205 17494 15478 52 217 52 210 61 213 61 205 15478 13528 51 218 53 211 61 214 64 207 13528 11751 49 214 57 212 63 215 66 213 11751 10167 48 213 60 207 65 213 61 216 10167 8759 48 211 61 203 65 207 61 212 8759 7508 49 207 62 203 61 201 64 199 7508 6399 50 203 61 204 59 200 65 195 6399 5413 50 202 55*202 56 199 64 193 5413 4540 48 203 48*199 52 197 63 191 4540 3766 48 201 47 199 50*196 61 189 3766 3070 46 198 46 199 48*196 57 187 3070 2453 40 191 44 198 45 195 53 186 2453 1938 30 175 42 198 42 195 47 184 1938 1541 23 160 39 198 38 194 41 183 1541 1268 20*155 36 198 34 194 34 181 1268 1102 17*153 31 198 29 193 29*181 1102 1007 13 151 23 198 22 193 21*180 1007 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography