DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.7 - - 31.1 - - 31.6 - - 27.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 29 - - -26 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 522 - - 0 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 987 - - 988 - - 988 - - 988 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1004 - - 1526 - - 1004 - - 1004 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 296 - - 334 - - 1141 - - 525 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 105 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 14 - - 12 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 216 - - 205 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2111 - - -1704 - - -761 - - -378 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3115 - - 3230 - - 1765 - - 1382 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -20462 - - -17668 - - -14855 - - -15844 ODpotential blCL - - - 21466 - - 19194 - - 15859 - - 16848 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 67 - - 80 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.7 - - 31.1 - - 31.6 - - 27.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.0 - - 20.7 - - 27.6 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.0 - - 31.1 - - 33.1 - - 30.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.2 - - 19.6 - - 27.2 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 29 - - -26 - - -57 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 522 - - 0 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 0 - - 18 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95286 63 296 74 297 69 305 64 302 95286 88514 64 296 62 290 67 298 67 299 88514 83249 59 307 51 287 52 297 53 294 83249 78817 56 311 44 296 43 296 38 297 78817 74943 52 306 43 304 39 292 32 298 74943 71483 51 305 41 300 40 292 33 287 71483 68345 47 306 40 294 41 292 35 290 68345 65458 42 301 40 292 41 287 39 298 65458 62762 39 298 41 293 39 278 40 294 62762 60127 38 304 42 293 34 280 47 277 60127 57366 44 310 47 287 39 295 44 263 57366 54489 55 310 50 281 44 289 41 271 54489 51720 61 308 45 284 47 283 49 276 51720 49211 62 304 49 301 51 281 54 276 49211 46957 60 292 54 299 54 281 59 273 46957 44919 56 281 52 291 53 275 55 269 44919 43062 49 277 50 283 48 271 52 275 43062 41360 45 295 48 278 47 273 56 271 41360 39795 49 299 44 283 48 276 60 265 39795 38349 56 295 49 283 50 278 55 256 38349 37003 59 292 54 284 47 278 55 246 37003 35709 50 296 55 282 46 270 53 245 35709 34395 42 298 56 265 54 264 50 246 34395 33028 39 298 53 262 54 268 51 244 33028 31608 39 298 49 264 53 272 56 244 31608 30124 40 299 48 264 53 269 58 248 30124 28563 47 296 50 264 54 267 56 251 28563 26928 55 288 53 264 56 267 56 255 26928 25216 62 282 61 261 58 266 57 258 25216 23428 63 284 63 266 57 267 55 259 23428 21564 53 286 54 274 50 270 54 261 21564 19617 46 284 40 268 49 271 53 261 19617 17584 44 278 39 262 47 268 50 261 17584 15510 43 275 38 273 43 263 43 263 15510 13514 39 274 35 275 38 270 39 263 13514 11701 31 281 35 273 33 275 35 265 11701 10086 26 274 32 268 31 272 32 271 10086 8649 29 271 29 263 30 265 31 264 8649 7372 28 270 28 262 30 258 34 257 7372 6241 24 261 26 261 28 256 34 253 6241 5244 23 255 26 257 27 255 32 251 5244 4372 23 259 27 248 27 247 33 247 4372 3613 23 259 30 241 29 237 40 247 3613 2943 25 248 33 232 35 231 43 237 2943 2356 28 236 32 230 35 221 42 225 2356 1870 27 229 26*225 30 214 38 213 1870 1500 22 228 17*217 24 208 32 207 1500 1246 14 218 15 216 20 206 24 203 1246 1092 12*216 13 215 17 205 21 202 1092 1004 6*214 11 214 12*205 13*200 1004 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography