DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 56.6 - - 62.2 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 152 - - 42 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 527 - - 993 - - 1582 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 989 - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1531 - - 1997 - - 2586 - - 1006 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 153 - - 280 - - 973 - - 605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 148 - - 219 - - 168 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 20 - - 24 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 160 - - 283 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 232 - - -877 - - -2039 - - -1115 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1299 - - 2874 - - 4626 - - 2121 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 111 - - -7275 - - -7946 - - -8624 ODpotential blCL - - - 1420 - - 9272 - - 10532 - - 9630 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 84 - - 66 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.4 - - 56.6 - - 62.2 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 47.8 - - 45.8 - - 46.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.8 - - 55.7 - - 62.0 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 47.1 - - 45.2 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 90 - - 152 - - 42 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 527 - - 993 - - 1582 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 36 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97228 8 272 11 254 9 283 3 071 97228 90037 5 081 3 177 5 268 7 036 90037 84522 4 066 5 101 3 210 5 350 84522 79939 5 290 4 025 2 043 4 018 79939 75975 4 309 2 337 2 325 7 027 75975 72457 2 023 1 195 6 239 5 316 72457 69268 4 315 4 264 7 244 8 264 69268 66342 13 309 9 294 10 288 11 273 66342 63636 21 296 16 298 17 294 17 297 63636 61021 23 285 20 299 20 292 21 296 61021 58296 21 278 22 293 24 285 27 289 58296 55468 26 290 27 286 32 283 35 288 55468 52764 31 290 34 283 38 283 38 286 52764 50320 32 289 39 286 40 287 41 289 50320 48119 33 293 41 287 43 290 47 296 48119 46108 34 298 43 286 48 288 51 296 46108 44253 33 303 45 286 52 286 53 294 44253 42526 35 306 48 287 53 286 55 293 42526 40910 35 306 46 289 51 288 57 294 40910 39390 35 307 46 295 51 293 59 295 39390 37957 34 307 47 300 54 297 61 295 37957 36572 35 310 49 305 55 298 63 295 36572 35164 37 313 45 305 54 301 62 297 35164 33714 32 313 42 305 46 306 55 301 33714 32235 23 309 36 301 41 305 46 307 32235 30709 17 320 25 295 34 309 37 309 30709 29113 18 335 17 308 32 308 34 310 29113 27443 21 339 16 317 26 301 28 311 27443 25695 19 339 17 320 23 302 30 298 25695 23870 15 334 15 324 22 304 25 300 23870 21966 10 335 11 314 19 305 20 306 21966 19980 7 314 11 296 16 314 17 307 19980 17909 11 309 14 291 14 310 16 306 17909 15806 15 321 15 298 15 305 16 309 15806 13782 11 329 11 311 13 310 17 316 13782 11938 6 314 8 312 11 316 14 321 11938 10299 4 232 5 285 8 316 12 323 10299 8846 6 193 4 235 7 305 10 319 8846 7558 4 166 4 205 6 283 9 307 7558 6417 2 148 3 195 5 267 8 302 6417 5410 1 235 2 208 3 270 7 300 5410 4525 1 278 2 265 3 297 6 309 4525 3746 1 302 3 271 4 306 5 326 3746 3050 1 243 3 256 3*301 5 337 3050 2437 4 193 2*227 2*295 4 343 2437 1926 6*139 2*174 2 285 3 331 1926 1533 6*122 2 164 1 280 2 299 1533 1264 5 121 2 155 1 265 1 238 1264 1099 5 121 2 149 1 259 2 189 1099 1006 4 120 2 148 1 252 2*182 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography