DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 15.9 - - 19.4 - - 15.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - 7 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1450 - - 2331 - - 0 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 987 - - 987 - - 987 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2454 - - 3335 - - 1004 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2262 - - 1928 - - 2804 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 177 - - 108 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 19 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 312 - - 313 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -133 - - 569 - - -748 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2587 - - 2766 - - 1752 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1036 - - 9 - - -1723 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3490 - - 3326 - - 2727 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 15.9 - - 19.4 - - 15.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 8.6 - - 11.4 - - 11.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 15.7 - - 19.7 - - 17.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 7.7 - - 10.6 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - 7 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1450 - - 2331 - - 0 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 38 - - 101 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94681 81 254 84 250 81 271 94681 88015 59 263 64 272 67 281 88015 82809 51 281 49 280 52 288 82809 78406 45 277 41 290 50 301 78406 74561 36 281 46 298 52 310 74561 71132 36 295 46 297 55 308 71132 68009 38 299 41 293 52 303 68009 65106 38 296 38 297 45 304 65106 62379 37 292 44 301 50 306 62379 59715 40 299 47 300 52 307 59715 56914 47 301 49 301 53 312 56914 53977 46 300 52 300 64 314 53977 51162 43 302 50 303 67 312 51162 48640 48 307 61 312 67 319 48640 46397 58 312 72 315 75 325 46397 44370 70 317 81 318 79 324 44370 42513 79 318 86 318 79 320 42513 40797 84 314 87 316 79 315 40797 39204 82 313 84 317 77 317 39204 37718 80 317 82 321 82 321 37718 36332 84 322 85 327 94 323 36332 35016 89 326 92 329 101 323 35016 33701 95 329 99 329 101 326 33701 32343 98 330 102 330 104 329 32343 30937 98 332 107 334 110 329 30937 29464 102 336 111 337 108 328 29464 27913 109 338 116 338 100 331 27913 26280 112 337 116 339 95 330 26280 24566 112 337 111 339 94 328 24566 22773 107 339 101 339 92 335 22773 20903 94 338 89 338 88 338 20903 18951 78 336 79 338 81 338 18951 16920 66 338 71 336 70 337 16920 14867 62 343 58 332 59 335 14867 12913 59 348 47 335 50 335 12913 11155 54 350 42 343 41 332 11155 9604 49 349 40 344 34 332 9604 8236 42 344 35 348 29 338 8236 7029 35 343 29 355 23 333 7029 5964 30 348 26 352 17 340 5964 5029 28 346 24 343 17 358 5029 4217 28 329 22 329 19 359 4217 3506 28 323 21*322 18 343 3506 2871 27*322 21*317 18 323 2871 2310 22*317 20 314 19 311 2310 1843 17 312 20 313 18 303 1843 1485 16 310 19 312 16 297 1485 1238 15 309 17 311 13 292 1238 1089 13 309 14 310 11*289 1089 1004 10 308 11 310 7*285 1004 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography