DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 55.2 - - 56.0 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 11 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 656 - - 590 - - 397 - - 100 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1660 - - 1594 - - 1401 - - 1104 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1236 - - 1199 - - 1343 - - 1344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 79 - - 28 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 166 - - 173 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 396 - - 408 - - 332 - - 68 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1264 - - 1186 - - 1069 - - 1036 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 143 - - 118 - - -26 - - -418 ODpotential blCL - - - 1517 - - 1476 - - 1427 - - 1522 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 55.2 - - 56.0 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 53.6 - - 54.8 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 55.4 - - 56.3 - - 56.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 54.7 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 11 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 656 - - 590 - - 397 - - 100 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96010 70 267 74 260 68 269 73 262 96010 89119 46 272 46 273 42 276 45 272 89119 83759 25 274 30 288 34 280 31 298 83759 79328 19 288 18 293 28 282 27 300 79328 75487 21 301 16 312 19 292 23 290 75487 72042 21 301 18 320 15 310 18 294 72042 68879 18 302 15 311 15 317 15 315 68879 65941 15 306 15 296 15 317 16 321 65941 63202 15 319 13 299 15 317 13 330 63202 60548 24 325 17 306 20 312 18 324 60548 57795 26 307 19 301 21 294 24 309 57795 54969 24 323 19 318 18 302 27 305 54969 52296 37 316 36 322 31 322 30 311 52296 49911 44 309 44 314 39 316 39 310 49911 47791 45 307 40 320 36 310 37 309 47791 45874 33 302 39 329 28 318 34 316 45874 44116 26 326 43 325 33 325 31 312 44116 42491 45 333 43 320 40 313 29 296 42491 40969 56 327 44 316 42 304 28 289 40969 39529 50 326 44 316 41 305 24 290 39529 38163 45 323 40 320 34 304 18 295 38163 36833 42 308 38 324 27 307 18 283 36833 35475 43 291 35 321 22 315 20 256 35475 34059 43 286 28 305 19 306 21 242 34059 32587 35 281 28 295 19 292 21 250 32587 31043 19 307 30 293 21 283 21 262 31043 29417 18 301 33 294 26 283 20 264 29417 27708 27 278 33 294 26 285 20 256 27708 25921 33 271 22 291 23 289 26 248 25921 24060 25 266 21 267 20 286 32 259 24060 22132 16 289 19 257 22 263 32 272 22132 20126 14 291 15 238 22 239 28 269 20126 18030 9 269 18 229 23 235 25 255 18030 15895 16 256 19 243 22 240 22 247 15895 13846 15 235 19 239 20 243 20 254 13846 11989 18 233 20 222 21 234 21 249 11989 10340 24 227 24 212 22 227 22 235 10340 8877 19 218 24 196 29 221 26 225 8877 7583 18 185 23 193 31 222 29 224 7583 6439 22 180 26 215 25 223 28 222 6439 5424 24 190 28 222 22 227 25 216 5424 4531 23 197 27 212 22 224 23 219 4531 3746 24 194 26 198 25 215 27 216 3746 3045 24 187 24 187 24 202 26 206 3045 2430 23 182 22 179 21 190 25 186 2430 1920 20*175 19*173 19 183 22 170 1920 1530 17*169 15*167 16*177 19 164 1530 1262 15 168 14 166 13*175 15*161 1262 1099 13 167 12 165 11 173 13*159 1099 1006 10 165 9 164 8 171 9 157 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography