DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Kendallville_IN 1004ft pt36929@-85.191,41.477,942ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Bryan Soaring Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 56.0 - - 58.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 29 - - -2 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 261 - - 711 - - 593 - - 2 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 989 - - 990 - - 990 - - 990 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1265 - - 1715 - - 1597 - - 1006 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 546 - - 855 - - 1048 - - 400 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 119 - - 52 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 121 - - 154 - - 118 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -984 - - -1467 - - -1919 - - -1759 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2249 - - 3183 - - 3517 - - 2765 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7127 - - -6491 - - -6821 - - -7999 ODpotential blCL - - - 8392 - - 8206 - - 8418 - - 9005 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.5 - - 56.0 - - 58.1 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 46.0 - - 46.6 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.0 - - 55.9 - - 58.6 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 45.2 - - 46.0 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 29 - - -2 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 261 - - 711 - - 593 - - 2 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95996 73 250 87 254 82 262 77 262 95996 89099 46 265 57 251 56 263 52 266 89099 83774 31 261 38 257 45 258 48 267 83774 79300 25 267 29 269 34 258 41 268 79300 75400 32 275 29 286 26 268 35 274 75400 71938 34 273 34 290 29 278 29 284 71938 68789 33 278 34 288 32 279 29 294 68789 65866 34 279 33 284 34 277 33 290 65866 63132 37 271 33 280 34 283 30 287 63132 60476 38 278 35 275 36 280 31 282 60476 57705 42 275 37 270 37 271 31 273 57705 54829 41 269 39 272 42 262 34 274 54829 52094 48 273 46 273 45 264 40 271 52094 49647 56 269 54 271 52 267 40 273 49647 47462 54 266 53 264 46 263 40 268 47462 45507 52 274 46 266 47 267 39 264 45507 43750 68 272 63 265 72 255 57 258 43750 42139 78 266 72 259 81 244 62 246 42139 40634 78 266 72 257 69 247 62 242 40634 39212 75 266 71 254 64 249 54 242 39212 37861 74 267 68 254 61 254 48 248 37861 36545 74 272 62 256 60 261 45 254 36545 35199 67 270 60 260 60 263 42 258 35199 33794 59 262 56 263 60 263 37 258 33794 32335 53 264 55 262 55 264 29 253 32335 30807 50 268 54 260 47 260 25 254 30807 29197 46 264 46 262 39 261 26 257 29197 27506 36 264 37 274 30 271 25 259 27506 25734 31 272 28 267 25 275 20 267 25734 23887 27 279 22 275 19 262 14 257 23887 21971 26 275 24 274 16 260 5 233 21971 19983 28 272 23 270 18 277 7 205 19983 17915 29 271 23 269 20 286 7 242 17915 15813 21 277 27 258 21 287 13 266 15813 13791 11 278 22 255 17 270 18 280 13791 11954 12 257 6 256 22 269 18 271 11954 10319 18 260 6 256 27 269 18 271 10319 8865 14 267 11 246 27 271 12 288 8865 7573 12 261 20 230 23 275 6 279 7573 6427 14 223 25 209 11 275 10 237 6427 5415 16 204 26 197 13 208 13 201 5415 4525 16 188 24 187 23 185 18 184 4525 3742 15 165 22 177 26 165 24 165 3742 3045 15 143 19 163 25 152 23 149 3045 2431 20 132 17 151 21 138 22 137 2431 1921 21 130 16*149 18*129 21 132 1921 1530 17*127 13*153 14*121 20 128 1530 1262 12*122 12 154 12 119 16 121 1262 1099 10 121 10 154 10 116 13 119 1099 1006 7 120 8 154 8 114 6*114 1006 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography