DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.2 - - 54.0 - - 59.0 - - 56.7 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - 135 - - 280 - - 67 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2156 - - 4278 - - 2845 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 8540 - - 10405 - - 8505 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 9656 - - 11778 - - 10345 - - 6602 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1599 - - 1599 - - 1697 - - 2109 - - 2841 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 286 - - 454 - - 247 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 20 - - 20 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 241 - - 305 - - 296 - - 291 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 19 - - 23 - - 23 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -17 - - -30 - - -51 - - -30 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5460 - - -4298 - - -3398 - - -4345 - - -6430 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12062 - - 13954 - - 15177 - - 14690 - - 13033 sfcLCL ODpotential -16022 - - -13773 - - -11615 - - -12588 - - -16696 ODpotential blCL 22623 - - 23429 - - 23393 - - 22933 - - 23298 blCL maxRH 62 - - 82 - - 84 - - 77 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.2 - - 54.0 - - 59.0 - - 56.7 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.3 - - 16.2 - - 15.6 - - 15.5 - - 13.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 55.8 - - 60.0 - - 58.8 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.2 - - 15.1 - - 14.5 - - 14.6 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - 135 - - 280 - - 67 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2156 - - 4278 - - 2845 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 30 - - 35 - - 9 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96482 5 275 12 281 11 289 11 295 11 287 96482 89474 9 013 8 216 8 254 8 300 9 293 89474 84051 1 074 2 187 5 204 7 005 5 321 84051 79509 3 330 3 226 7 176 6 312 7 298 79509 75563 5 350 1 165 4 206 9 272 5 305 75563 72049 6 278 4 273 5 273 19 263 5 314 72049 68836 5 256 7 311 6 299 10 237 5 317 68836 65887 7 308 6 270 8 295 21 310 17 317 65887 63194 20 302 14 293 25 291 25 315 20 309 63194 60600 23 312 14 282 18 293 19 318 20 325 60600 57887 15 280 6 326 20 340 36 323 39 319 57887 55070 27 321 50 323 47 333 47 325 47 319 55070 52376 58 324 71 315 62 322 57 323 55 318 52376 49942 70 317 80 309 68 312 62 317 58 315 49942 47758 69 311 87 308 71 309 65 314 62 319 47758 45793 76 312 92 309 77 312 75 311 68 318 45793 44011 85 313 96 308 83 313 86 305 68 310 44011 42371 89 313 95 306 81 319 79 304 70 302 42371 40837 89 313 92 306 87 328 74 316 63 302 40837 39395 87 312 86 309 92 326 74 324 72 309 39395 38042 84 310 79 312 83 319 73 321 74 309 38042 36747 81 310 76 313 73 317 74 317 73 305 36747 35446 79 311 76 313 77 315 75 312 69 301 35446 34112 75 313 77 313 83 314 76 309 63 301 34112 32749 71 315 79 313 87 314 80 307 66 301 32749 31348 68 315 82 313 85 314 81 308 71 303 31348 29904 66 313 85 312 82 311 78 309 74 306 29904 28423 66 312 86 311 81 309 78 311 77 311 28423 26908 66 312 85 312 85 308 80 313 80 314 26908 25361 66 312 81 312 85 309 81 315 82 317 25361 23784 64 311 72 310 78 308 81 316 81 319 23784 22173 61 310 61 306 65 304 76 314 76 319 22173 20524 57 309 53 303 56 300 66 310 69 314 20524 18866 54 310 48 301 53 299 58 306 62 307 18866 17283 52 312 46 302 50 300 55 304 56 302 17283 15849 51 314 45 304 47 300 53 303 51 300 15849 14569 50 315 42 306 44 301 50 301 47 299 14569 13421 47 316 39 309 40 302 46 300 44 299 13421 12384 44 317 37 311 36*303 43 299 41 299 12384 11447 41 318 34 313 32*303 39 298 39 298 11447 10600 39 318 31 314 27 301 35*298 37 298 10600 9838 36 317 28*315 22 299 31*298 34 298 9838 9152 33 315 24*314 21 297 26 297 30 299 9152 8525 29 312 19 312 18 293 22 293 26 299 8525 7961 22 306 14 306 17 291 19 288 21 297 7961 7482 16 295 11 297 16 289 17 284 16 291 7482 7110 13 278 9 290 15 288 16 282 13 279 7110 6850 11 262 9 287 14 287 14 280 11 265 6850 6692 10*252 8 285 13 287 13 279 10*255 6692 6601 5*241 6 284 10 287 9 279 5*206 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography