DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.5 - - 78.4 - - 82.8 - - 82.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 64 - - 384 - - 428 - - 199 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1096 - - 10652 - - 14176 - - 13927 - - 12306 BL Depth Hcrit 6585 - - 15655 - - 18627 - - 17855 - - 6586 Hcrit BL Top 8596 - - 18152 - - 21676 - - 21427 - - 19806 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6242 - - 1994 - - 2018 - - 1977 - - 1804 Hgt.Variab. W* 179 - - 684 - - 780 - - 602 - - 29 W* B/S 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 15 - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 259 - - 237 - - 235 - - 227 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 24 - - 13 - - 10 - - 25 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -16 - - -20 - - -26 - - -25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6116 - - 2123 - - 4518 - - 3947 - - 3720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14713 - - 16030 - - 17159 - - 17481 - - 16087 sfcLCL ODpotential -10618 - - -618 - - 1866 - - 1238 - - 774 ODpotential blCL 19214 - - 18770 - - 19810 - - 20189 - - 19032 blCL maxRH 40 - - 57 - - 59 - - 56 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 180 - - 110 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 70.5 - - 78.4 - - 82.8 - - 82.6 - - 75.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 30.6 - - 29.8 - - 28.2 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.7 - - 78.6 - - 82.9 - - 83.7 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.4 - - 29.8 - - 28.8 - - 27.4 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 64 - - 384 - - 428 - - 199 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1096 - - 10652 - - 14176 - - 13927 - - 12306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99599 27 113 24 118 24 098 25 091 27 102 99599 92041 22 116 20 113 20 102 21 091 21 099 92041 86213 23 103 18 104 19 120 16 097 20 100 86213 81379 24 099 15 125 13 105 14 105 16 088 81379 77218 23 100 19 115 11 127 14 097 13 089 77218 73549 16 091 19 104 16 124 9 140 10 081 73549 70238 11 091 10 102 12 135 9 152 7 163 70238 67205 3 147 2 118 8 171 5 165 9 172 67205 64400 13 207 6 246 5 200 6 182 11 172 64400 61691 11 190 12 235 4 219 9 232 8 214 61691 58874 12 248 22 237 21 253 20 251 10 229 58874 55961 18 248 29 235 35 245 31 256 27 263 55961 53196 24 260 29 237 40 245 44 252 42 255 53196 50720 36 266 34 253 45 251 49 255 50 253 50720 48501 44 271 44 261 50 259 54 261 50 259 48501 46482 55 269 51 263 58 264 59 266 58 269 46482 44631 55 269 53 264 61 266 63 269 66 271 44631 42922 45 266 47 264 56 266 61 271 64 272 42922 41333 30 263 37 262 50 268 57 273 59 273 41333 39846 16 246 27 254 42 268 53 274 55 274 39846 38454 9 239 18 227 34 259 50 276 52 275 38454 37126 5 164 11 187 26 238 47 278 49 277 37126 35798 9 134 12 180 20 230 41 279 45 280 35798 34447 12 136 15 176 16 210 35 275 41 284 34447 33076 13 150 17 174 18 200 34 270 37 284 33076 31677 12 164 17 174 22 188 35 269 36 279 31677 30237 11 160 16 170 23 186 31 269 36 276 30237 28758 12 157 17 166 21 199 28 270 37 277 28758 27241 14 167 20 169 21 205 29 272 36 278 27241 25690 10 179 15 179 18 205 27 259 34 279 25690 24112 9 224 11 204 15 218 19 235 28 278 24112 22502 11 254 11 240 19*239 18*245 25 270 22502 20857 17 262 18 258 21*240 18*238 25*248 20857 19202 22 261 24*259 19 241 16 224 25*238 19202 17615 25 262 26*256 18 239 15 220 23 235 17615 16164 26 262 24 249 17 237 15 220 20 229 16164 14863 25 261 21 243 16 235 15 220 17 223 14863 13689 24 259 18 242 15 233 14 223 16 219 13689 12624 23 258 16 240 15 233 14 225 14 218 12624 11658 23 260 14 235 14 232 13 228 13 218 11658 10782 21 264 12 228 14 232 13 230 11 219 10782 9992 19 269 11 221 14 232 13 232 10 223 9992 9277 16*272 11 218 14 232 12 233 8 227 9277 8622 12*274 10 213 13 232 12 236 7 233 8622 8032 7 270 10 208 13 232 11 237 6 242 8032 7529 4 253 9 204 12 232 11 238 5 250 7529 7138 2 212 9 202 12 232 10 239 4 261 7138 6865 2 169 9 200 11 232 10 239 3 270 6865 6698 2 159 8 199 11 232 9 239 2 290 6698 6602 2 156 7 197 9 231 8 240 2 348 6602 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography