DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 17.7 - - 21.5 - - 21.6 - - 14.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 67 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 431 - - 207 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6581 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6599 - - 7931 - - 7707 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1474 - - 791 - - 893 - - 1161 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 37 - - 133 - - 38 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 186 - - 167 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -9 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 974 - - 854 - - -663 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6598 - - 6958 - - 6853 - - 7264 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5481 - - -5405 - - -5171 - - -7895 ODpotential blCL - - - 12080 - - 13336 - - 12878 - - 14495 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 76 - - 76 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 17.7 - - 21.5 - - 21.6 - - 14.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.8 - - 14.7 - - 15.3 - - 6.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 23.7 - - 24.5 - - 22.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.8 - - 13.6 - - 14.7 - - 14.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 67 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 431 - - 207 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 4 - - 3 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97031 25 120 28 122 22 115 20 103 97031 89809 26 130 17 131 15 114 16 099 89809 84188 23 126 14 151 11 097 12 112 84188 79511 18 117 11 158 5 094 10 118 79511 75470 12 103 8 141 3 117 6 119 75470 71886 8 112 5 117 1 189 1 070 71886 68638 4 149 2 172 7 249 3 288 68638 65640 4 195 7 231 11 243 5 255 65640 62841 4 277 5 266 10 252 10 257 62841 60121 13 297 13 292 15 268 13 266 60121 57284 21 287 23 288 22 271 13 274 57284 54327 27 283 29 285 26 281 26 278 54327 51506 31 285 34 284 37 281 39 278 51506 48981 31 290 38 283 48 279 48 287 48981 46724 38 289 47 281 56 279 55 282 46724 44681 47 284 50 283 59 278 58 280 44681 42817 49 287 61 288 54 279 73 283 42817 41118 52 293 66 288 54 290 87 287 41118 39569 69 289 72 297 87 291 107 288 39569 38140 76 288 101 299 117 288 117 286 38140 36808 81 300 127 294 128 287 119 285 36808 35533 95 308 128 294 129 288 119 286 35533 34255 103 308 115 296 127 290 117 288 34255 32950 103 309 93 297 111 291 111 289 32950 31626 97 310 76 297 86 289 99 288 31626 30276 93 313 70 297 69 280 84 284 30276 28893 85 316 67 297 67 283 71 281 28893 27478 71 313 63 299 64 286 63 281 27478 26028 59 309 58 302 56 289 57 283 26028 24546 51 308 51 304 50 291 49 288 24546 23039 46 308 43 308 45 290 43 285 23039 21504 40 308 37 311 39 288 39 275 21504 19933 34 303 33 307 32 286 35 268 19933 18350 29 296 30 298 28 283 31 262 18350 16831 28 291 27 286 26 281 27 259 16831 15450 28 286 23 278 24 279 23 258 15450 14215 26 282 21 278 21 279 19 260 14215 13107 24 279 20 278 18 280 16 262 13107 12108 21 274 20 274 17 277 14 259 12108 11206 19 267 20 265 17 267 14 253 11206 10392 17 258 18 254 17 252 14 242 10392 9663 15 246 17 241 17 237 13 228 9663 9008 14 233 15 228 16 223 12 207 9008 8413 14 222 13*216 14 210 12 185 8413 7879 13 214 11*203 10*198 11 168 7879 7427 11 204 8 193 7*187 9 157 7427 7076 8 196 5 175 4 169 6 143 7076 6833 6 179 5 170 3 151 4 123 6833 6684 4*169 5 164 3 143 3*090 6684 6599 3*164 4 160 2 133 1*359 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography