DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.8 - - 33.5 - - 35.4 - - 34.6 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 11 - - 8 - - -10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6601 - - 6601 - - 6601 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1125 - - 1494 - - 1980 - - 2107 - - 631 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 25 - - 23 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 239 - - 241 - - 236 - - 224 Direction Wind Shear 18 - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -42 - - -42 - - -38 - - -31 - - -28 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6599 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential -5640 - - -3711 - - -2604 - - -2190 - - -4443 ODpotential blCL 12240 - - 10312 - - 9205 - - 8791 - - 11043 blCL maxRH 93 - - 91 - - 89 - - 90 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.8 - - 33.5 - - 35.4 - - 34.6 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 31.2 - - 32.7 - - 33.1 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.6 - - 36.2 - - 38.1 - - 38.2 - - 36.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.1 - - 30.8 - - 32.2 - - 32.8 - - 30.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 11 - - 8 - - -10 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 72 - - 64 - - 58 - - 60 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96699 23 083 18 076 17 059 18 065 24 060 96699 89521 21 058 13 096 15 037 19 058 12 068 89521 83907 17 037 11 110 2 331 19 016 12 023 83907 79218 16 008 5 047 7 300 9 003 3 038 79218 75161 13 330 12 323 17 295 19 354 15 354 75161 71584 18 329 17 333 23 304 30 317 30 324 71584 68370 26 330 21 328 19 299 22 291 24 314 68370 65403 27 325 12 312 11 302 25 305 27 305 65403 62652 20 308 24 301 31 309 38 302 37 286 62652 59994 34 299 45 294 43 301 43 302 36 284 59994 57190 51 296 55 302 54 307 59 304 46 301 57190 54271 64 295 73 300 67 299 69 298 65 298 54271 51513 80 290 81 298 81 299 91 296 78 298 51513 49053 78 284 91 293 100 291 114 290 94 296 49053 46859 71 291 93 289 103 284 114 282 109 291 46859 44882 91 302 97 292 90 290 105 279 115 279 44882 43077 124 303 122 303 117 299 108 290 112 279 43077 41425 149 303 147 298 132 298 127 290 128 288 41425 39909 147 301 142 297 133 295 129 287 143 290 39909 38490 131 297 142 298 137 294 131 288 132 285 38490 37151 125 296 139 298 137 295 134 288 130 283 37151 35867 124 298 133 296 124 295 131 289 132 285 35867 34577 120 299 123 292 105 290 122 288 137 289 34577 33257 112 297 117 289 109 284 111 283 135 291 33257 31915 100 293 110 288 106 281 108 278 117 288 31915 30541 91 289 94 285 106 279 113 275 105 281 30541 29125 96 283 97 281 106 278 112 273 114 280 29125 27672 97 282 97 280 104 278 107 274 113 279 27672 26191 90 284 95 280 102 279 99 275 107 278 26191 24683 83 287 90 279 99 280 93 276 100 279 24683 23154 79 289 85 280 94 281 89 276 86 280 23154 21601 78 289 80 281 88 282 86 278 72 284 21601 20018 78 286 74 284 84 282 82 280 62 287 20018 18433 75 282 70 288 78 282 75 282 53 289 18433 16919 70 279 66 288 70 281 66 284 52 291 16919 15544 63 277 62 287 62 282 57 287 58 292 15544 14315 58 279 55 287 55 285 50 289 62 293 14315 13209 54 283 48 290 49 288 44 290 61 293 13209 12209 52 285 44 293 44 290 39 292 57 292 12209 11303 51 285 41 293 39 290 35 293 52 291 11303 10484 50 283 39 290 34 290 33 293 46 290 10484 9746 47 278 34 287 28 289 29 292 41 289 9746 9080 43 273 28 284 23 286 25 290 36 287 9080 8470 39 267 24 278 21 279 21 287 31 283 8470 7921 34 261 21 267 19 269 17 280 26 275 7921 7455 29 253 20 255 18 256 17 265 22 264 7455 7093 25 244 18 244 17 245 17 250 20 251 7093 6841 20 236 16 239 15 241 15 240 17 240 6841 6688 16*233 14*237 13*239 12*237 14*235 6688 6599 3*190 7*229 7*231 5*224 5*204 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography