DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/17 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.1 - - 46.6 - - 52.1 - - 51.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 153 - - 227 - - -3 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1076 - - 3076 - - 3540 - - 518 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 7811 - - 9411 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 8576 - - 10576 - - 11040 - - 8018 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 855 - - 1889 - - 2142 - - 1907 - - 1664 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 236 - - 379 - - 62 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 13 - - 21 - - 22 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 231 - - 241 - - 278 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 9 - - 14 - - 20 - - 30 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -11 - - -24 - - -29 - - -43 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1809 - - -701 - - 540 - - 1021 - - -587 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8410 - - 9278 - - 10036 - - 10020 - - 8605 sfcLCL ODpotential -10722 - - -6979 - - -4135 - - -4015 - - -6585 ODpotential blCL 17323 - - 15555 - - 14711 - - 15055 - - 14603 blCL maxRH 101 - - 54 - - 71 - - 74 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.1 - - 46.6 - - 52.1 - - 51.3 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.7 - - 29.0 - - 31.0 - - 30.3 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.8 - - 48.2 - - 53.2 - - 54.5 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.5 - - 28.0 - - 30.5 - - 29.9 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 153 - - 227 - - -3 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1076 - - 3076 - - 3540 - - 518 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96638 28 284 27 294 22 288 24 301 23 274 96638 89614 10 294 17 287 18 286 24 309 21 294 89614 84142 9 310 9 262 13 277 15 291 20 297 84142 79569 12 311 8 275 11 278 11 284 16 296 79569 75600 12 295 10 271 12 267 11 303 12 288 75600 72074 15 289 13 259 17 260 11 302 7 285 72074 68859 19 269 16 253 21 263 12 287 8 291 68859 65886 18 264 16 254 21 266 19 268 9 267 65886 63115 17 250 18 246 20 255 23 258 17 272 63115 60426 13 282 20 272 19 269 28 272 21 277 60426 57641 19 255 18 251 25 260 29 274 22 281 57641 54775 11 282 17 298 26 283 31 290 28 305 54775 52037 25 330 33 312 31 301 38 304 54 313 52037 49580 33 337 27 322 37 315 45 304 63 308 49580 47390 39 348 34 327 44 314 47 304 64 304 47390 45403 45 340 39 321 46 310 52 303 59 309 45403 43571 34 339 38 319 48 309 58 303 61 319 43571 41870 23 352 41 324 51 311 61 305 75 321 41870 40288 43 355 48 328 59 317 64 310 85 318 40288 38817 62 350 60 331 65 320 70 316 89 316 38817 37447 70 347 71 330 70 323 79 319 90 315 37447 36144 72 347 74 331 76 325 88 318 89 313 36144 34842 75 347 73 333 80 325 91 313 87 314 34842 33515 76 346 73 333 80 326 89 309 86 319 33515 32168 72 344 72 331 79 326 86 312 89 326 32168 30794 61 344 67 329 76 324 85 319 95 330 30794 29384 46 342 62 328 71 319 88 325 98 330 29384 27936 37 334 58 328 67 314 89 327 97 329 27936 26455 47 336 57 330 64 309 85 327 95 328 26455 24941 48 339 57 332 61 308 77 325 95 328 24941 23399 45 339 53 332 57 310 69 320 89 328 23399 21829 41 336 46 329 51 313 63 312 75 325 21829 20225 38 334 41 325 46 315 60 309 59 317 20225 18614 32 330 35 319 42 313 53 309 51 310 18614 17076 28 326 31 309 39 310 46 309 49 308 17076 15678 28 327 25 306 36 307 40 309 46 309 15678 14429 27 331 21 309 35 302 37 308 43 309 14429 13306 24 333 18 314 31 296 35 307 40 309 13306 12291 19 333 16 316 24 290 32 304 38 309 12291 11372 16 331 14 314 19*284 28*298 37 311 11372 10541 14 329 12 309 17*277 26*292 38 313 10541 9792 12 327 10 300 14 263 25 287 39 315 9792 9117 10 323 9*286 13 246 24 285 39 315 9117 8500 9 313 9*266 13 234 23 280 38*314 8500 7944 8 292 9 248 13 226 21 273 34*313 7944 7472 6 259 8 229 13 223 20 267 28 310 7472 7104 6 219 7 205 13 221 18 261 22 308 7104 6847 6 194 6 201 12 220 16 258 15 302 6847 6691 6*183 6 198 11 219 13 255 10 291 6691 6600 4*180 5 195 8 217 8 253 5 268 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography