DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.1 - - 49.4 - - 52.4 - - 47.6 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -34 - - 70 - - 105 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1475 - - 3462 - - 2347 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6584 - - 9307 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 8975 - - 10962 - - 9847 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 781 - - 1579 - - 1400 - - 1720 - - 3237 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 203 - - 305 - - 14 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 18 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 11 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 332 - - 289 - - 190 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 12 - - 8 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -11 - - 10 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1559 - - 8 - - 1935 - - 1150 - - -526 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8161 - - 8967 - - 9027 - - 8697 - - 7127 sfcLCL ODpotential -10495 - - -4182 - - -207 - - -3318 - - -6055 ODpotential blCL 17096 - - 13157 - - 11169 - - 13165 - - 12656 blCL maxRH 86 - - 88 - - 91 - - 75 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.1 - - 49.4 - - 52.4 - - 47.6 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 33.1 - - 35.6 - - 32.5 - - 34.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 51.4 - - 54.1 - - 53.5 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.0 - - 32.4 - - 35.4 - - 32.3 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -34 - - 70 - - 105 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1475 - - 3462 - - 2347 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 51 - - 65 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96444 57 059 55 051 47 065 40 054 33 048 96444 89517 45 058 41 057 43 063 32 058 29 055 89517 84062 34 052 27 065 31 055 34 052 29 065 84062 79467 20 058 23 062 20 048 24 043 26 063 79467 75479 15 054 12 052 10 041 19 040 19 064 75479 71939 14 022 6 054 7 072 10 347 17 040 71939 68733 10 335 5 359 7 017 7 305 11 334 68733 65803 10 311 10 341 10 323 5 279 12 307 65803 63094 28 300 20 306 18 293 14 292 17 304 63094 60472 35 295 30 295 28 279 27 287 24 291 60472 57733 32 277 31 289 29 267 31 277 32 272 57733 54885 31 258 35 277 31 275 34 271 29 263 54885 52150 30 256 34 265 35 274 34 271 32 263 52150 49679 26 280 27 257 36 246 37 250 31 248 49679 47458 35 297 22 257 20 249 29 245 34 252 47458 45444 40 286 18 317 28 250 37 245 38 226 45444 43627 54 268 48 247 43 250 32 246 23 222 43627 41965 62 240 60 234 60 246 43 259 17 249 41965 40418 47 239 59 242 69 236 55 248 42 243 40418 38974 46 273 64 248 63 238 60 239 49 231 38974 37629 61 274 67 250 54 246 59 237 45 229 37629 36346 64 269 68 251 49 253 55 241 38 228 36346 35060 63 265 61 255 48 252 48 245 35 231 35060 33743 64 261 56 264 47 255 40 250 32 235 33743 32401 65 261 54 272 42 264 33 251 29 246 32401 31024 66 267 54 279 37 267 32 251 24 242 31024 29600 61 268 46 282 35 275 31 247 20 231 29600 28138 51 271 25 294 25 272 25 241 20 228 28138 26640 34 283 21 310 13 251 21 242 19 229 26640 25111 27 298 19 313 12 244 23 245 18 232 25111 23558 25 304 17 305 13 251 23 251 18 228 23558 21976 25 301 18 294 15 269 21 263 19 241 21976 20356 25 294 21 288 17 285 20 269 18 250 20356 18728 27 288 23 284 18 295 14 267 16 243 18728 17173 27 288 23 281 19 298 13 272 14 235 17173 15760 26 291 22 278 18 297 13 281 12 234 15760 14497 26 295 20 276 17 296 12 282 12 233 14497 13362 25 299 17 279 14 299 10 279 12 232 13362 12337 25 302 16 286 12 306 7 271 11 230 12337 11409 25 305 15 297 11*313 5 259 10 222 11409 10570 25 306 16 308 8*314 3*244 9 207 10570 9816 24 305 17 318 5 306 3*211 8 190 9816 9136 23 304 18*325 4 296 3 187 7 172 9136 8514 20 301 17*328 3 277 5 186 7 159 8514 7953 16 297 15 331 2 264 6 189 6 159 7953 7477 14 285 11 334 2 248 7 191 4 169 7477 7106 13 268 9 333 2 238 7 191 2 188 7106 6849 13 253 8 334 2 226 6 187 1 165 6849 6691 11*247 7 335 1 223 5 183 1*084 6691 6600 5*220 5 335 1 220 3 178 1*008 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography