DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.4 - - 41.1 - - 41.4 - - 41.1 - - 38.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 37 - - 29 - - 1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 1360 - - 892 - - 1148 - - 120 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6584 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 7554 - - 8860 - - 8392 - - 8648 - - 7620 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2032 - - 1827 - - 2306 - - 2431 - - 1543 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 161 - - 129 - - 48 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 155 - - 176 - - 188 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 9 - - 13 - - 16 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -12 - - 5 - - 5 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 955 - - 2260 - - 1792 - - 2048 - - 1020 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential 599 - - 1449 - - 1091 - - 1243 - - 551 ODpotential blCL 6955 - - 7411 - - 7301 - - 7405 - - 7069 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 80 - - 100 - - 100 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 37.4 - - 41.1 - - 41.4 - - 41.1 - - 38.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 39.1 - - 40.6 - - 40.5 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.9 - - 43.4 - - 43.7 - - 44.0 - - 41.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.1 - - 38.6 - - 40.2 - - 40.4 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 37 - - 29 - - 1 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 54 - - 1360 - - 892 - - 1148 - - 120 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 103 - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96257 13 315 29 300 32 298 30 307 26 302 96257 89409 15 349 9 321 21 279 23 319 14 347 89409 84030 15 334 8 004 6 293 11 296 14 323 84030 79489 14 329 11 288 10 329 5 263 9 313 79489 75538 17 303 15 281 7 301 10 262 12 264 75538 72024 17 296 22 271 14 265 16 291 12 246 72024 68814 19 272 21 268 17 259 19 288 15 261 68814 65832 18 256 17 269 17 255 20 271 16 267 65832 63046 23 253 19 263 16 255 23 253 18 271 63046 60337 26 241 21 251 18 251 23 235 20 262 60337 57504 21 238 22 236 17 248 20 240 24 259 57504 54556 19 246 23 233 25 241 24 239 27 238 54556 51739 25 249 29 236 29 235 28 246 26 238 51739 49209 32 241 33 237 34 238 32 248 27 251 49209 46954 39 230 36 237 42 239 39 247 35 247 46954 44931 41 225 41 240 44 239 50 246 43 242 44931 43093 45 227 50 236 51 235 61 241 53 243 43093 41403 49 227 53 229 56 230 63 240 70 245 41403 39840 50 223 51 225 58 228 64 245 90 249 39840 38387 47 218 51 224 56 231 71 250 103 249 38387 37034 46 212 53 224 57 239 75 251 104 246 37034 35750 48 206 52 220 60 240 72 249 103 240 35750 34471 50 206 50 215 61 236 64 244 116 235 34471 33164 51 210 51 210 60 232 59 238 121 237 33164 31837 45 214 55 210 57 229 56 232 103 243 31837 30485 40 219 56 215 58 227 56 227 71 247 30485 29105 40 221 51 219 60 229 51 225 52 236 29105 27690 38 219 45 221 56 233 41 212 51 234 27690 26239 35 217 42 225 48 237 35 208 46 236 26239 24756 34 217 40 227 35 237 35 210 42 229 24756 23243 34 220 37 233 32 222 37 212 40 219 23243 21695 34 226 34 234 33 219 40 215 35 216 21695 20109 29 228 28 224 33 221 34 215 27 222 20109 18512 21 224 25 205 32 218 27 209 25 215 18512 16985 18 212 27 195 29 211 24 204 28 208 16985 15596 18 204 28 195 28 210 23 202 29 208 15596 14356 16 200 27 195 29 210 22 200 28 212 14356 13242 16 201 24 191 29 208 21 200 25 215 13242 12237 15 203 21 186 28 206 20 203 23 217 12237 11328 14 205 19 178 27 205 20 204 22 216 11328 10504 13 207 17 174 24 202 19 202 22 213 10504 9762 12 205 15 174 22 198 18 197 21 208 9762 9092 12 201 14*172 20 193 18*194 19 204 9092 8480 12 197 12*168 18*187 17*193 15 200 8480 7929 11*188 10 162 17*184 16 191 11*195 7929 7461 10*173 8 152 14 179 15 188 7*189 7461 7097 8 156 7 143 12 172 12 184 4 180 7097 6844 5 144 6 139 10 169 9 180 2 124 6844 6689 3 120 6 138 8 163 7 176 2 083 6689 6600 2 037 4 136 5 154 2 139 2 062 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography