DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.4 - - 80.7 - - 84.9 - - 84.3 - - 76.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 60 - - 370 - - 421 - - 171 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 63 - - 5721 - - 7549 - - 6800 - - 3735 BL Depth Hcrit 6585 - - 11646 - - 13171 - - 12109 - - 6586 Hcrit BL Top 7563 - - 13221 - - 15049 - - 14300 - - 11235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1364 - - 1907 - - 3503 - - 3693 - - 4451 Hgt.Variab. W* 68 - - 548 - - 628 - - 452 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 185 - - 239 - - 249 - - 245 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 11 - - 19 - - 13 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -16 - - -28 - - -43 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6808 - - -3148 - - -2746 - - -4696 - - -6831 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14372 - - 16370 - - 17796 - - 18997 - - 18067 sfcLCL ODpotential -12144 - - -8062 - - -6904 - - -8729 - - -12062 ODpotential blCL 19707 - - 21283 - - 21953 - - 23029 - - 23297 blCL maxRH 25 - - 33 - - 75 - - 77 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 70 - - 100 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.4 - - 80.7 - - 84.9 - - 84.3 - - 76.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.7 - - 31.6 - - 29.3 - - 23.5 - - 21.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.6 - - 81.0 - - 85.0 - - 85.7 - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.0 - - 30.7 - - 28.3 - - 22.5 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 60 - - 370 - - 421 - - 171 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 63 - - 5721 - - 7549 - - 6800 - - 3735 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99666 33 102 28 108 26 107 24 105 25 100 99666 92103 27 099 22 116 18 095 22 098 22 085 92103 86267 23 107 22 116 16 102 23 089 23 099 86267 81437 22 102 18 106 21 113 16 098 18 111 81437 77289 15 111 14 102 16 117 17 117 10 103 77289 73635 18 125 14 109 11 145 13 116 9 095 73635 70329 13 116 12 106 14 153 7 179 7 068 70329 67293 6 130 5 207 11 149 11 184 8 194 67293 64491 6 166 11 207 9 184 10 185 9 186 64491 61796 9 213 16 189 17 215 14 197 14 227 61796 59013 10 239 25 217 26 220 20 227 20 232 59013 56155 28 209 32 216 34 235 32 236 31 240 56155 53455 31 229 39 238 45 239 43 238 40 243 53455 51037 48 251 49 244 49 242 53 241 50 244 51037 48862 59 254 53 247 56 243 60 245 59 242 48862 46870 64 255 54 250 60 244 64 245 62 240 46870 45024 69 256 58 252 60 246 65 244 61 239 45024 43303 74 258 63 253 62 248 66 245 60 242 43303 41691 73 260 68 254 67 250 69 248 61 245 41691 40182 65 261 69 257 70 253 73 252 65 251 40182 38770 56 257 61 257 65 255 69 256 70 257 38770 37425 50 248 51 255 55 254 58 259 71 261 37425 36083 47 243 46 253 49 252 48 258 59 260 36083 34719 43 243 46 251 45 253 44 259 45 257 34719 33342 37 247 46 251 42 256 43 262 37 256 33342 31940 33 251 44 255 38 259 40 262 34 256 31940 30500 32 254 40 259 39 267 37 262 34 260 30500 29023 31 257 36 263 42 272 36 263 33 262 29023 27507 29 258 34 267 41 269 35 260 32 259 27507 25955 29 259 34 272 36 264 34 251 32 252 25955 24369 30 262 35 273 32 259 33 242 32 244 24369 22743 32 265 34 271 30 252 32 238 29 234 22743 21070 34 266 31 266 30 249 31 238 27 229 21070 19379 33 266 29 261 30 252 30 241 27 230 19379 17754 31 262 28 260 31 258 30 247 26 231 17754 16274 28 257 26 262 30*265 28 253 25 229 16274 14947 26 248 24 264 26*270 25*257 24 224 14947 13753 24 239 21*262 18 267 22*257 23 220 13753 12673 22 233 16*256 15 255 17 251 21 216 12673 11695 22 233 14 246 15 249 16 246 18*212 11695 10809 21 235 14 244 15 245 15 244 16*212 10809 10011 21 239 14 241 15 242 15 243 14 214 10011 9290 20 242 13 237 15 239 15 242 12 219 9290 8632 17 246 13 234 15 237 15 240 11 225 8632 8038 11*241 13 231 15 236 15 239 9 230 8038 7533 6*224 12 228 15 234 15 239 8 234 7533 7140 5 185 11 226 15 233 14 238 7 236 7140 6866 4 162 11 225 14 232 13 238 6 236 6866 6699 4 159 10 224 13 232 12 237 4 234 6699 6602 3 156 8 223 10 231 9 237 2 233 6602 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography