DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.9 - - 31.0 - - 27.6 - - 21.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -10 - - 11 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6582 - - 6583 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 480 - - 740 - - 414 - - 493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 26 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 213 - - 193 - - 127 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -18 - - -12 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1720 - - -1317 - - -1621 - - -500 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8320 - - 7917 - - 8221 - - 7100 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12600 - - -9581 - - -11531 - - -11020 ODpotential blCL - - - 19200 - - 16181 - - 18131 - - 17620 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 57 - - 73 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.9 - - 31.0 - - 27.6 - - 21.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.3 - - 20.0 - - 15.4 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 33.7 - - 34.6 - - 28.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.2 - - 18.9 - - 14.3 - - 15.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -10 - - 11 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97260 30 066 38 063 19 062 8 080 97260 90106 23 088 20 070 19 056 13 065 90106 84494 21 080 21 051 21 051 24 055 84494 79796 17 083 19 041 17 034 27 038 79796 75734 15 077 11 034 16 018 27 021 75734 72134 17 058 5 060 12 003 21 019 72134 68855 16 031 9 062 10 006 13 027 68855 65814 9 326 11 358 11 348 9 032 65814 62985 1 100 3 295 12 350 9 021 62985 60263 20 007 6 355 23 342 19 345 60263 57443 39 001 22 357 28 344 26 350 57443 54527 39 358 33 355 34 354 44 346 54527 51769 42 353 39 353 46 350 50 339 51769 49317 46 349 48 350 45 344 45 336 49317 47133 49 348 52 347 44 350 45 342 47133 45153 51 348 55 344 49 352 48 346 45153 43340 51 349 52 335 52 341 48 341 43340 41674 52 346 47 324 51 329 51 337 41674 40141 52 340 52 330 54 329 55 337 40141 38719 51 336 71 330 58 329 60 337 38719 37390 54 335 68 327 60 326 65 330 37390 36120 58 336 69 328 63 326 65 324 36120 34848 60 336 69 329 66 326 71 320 34848 33549 60 335 69 329 68 326 73 318 33549 32226 62 335 68 328 70 325 73 318 32226 30868 63 337 66 327 71 324 74 320 30868 29467 61 340 66 325 71 324 74 321 29467 28025 59 340 66 326 70 325 70 323 28025 26545 59 341 66 328 65 326 62 324 26545 25030 60 343 62 330 59 327 55 325 25030 23486 58 347 59 332 56 328 50 327 23486 21908 54 352 54 334 53 329 45 330 21908 20294 51 355 47 337 48 331 40 333 20294 18668 47 356 41 341 42 334 37 334 18668 17112 41 357 37 345 36 337 34 335 17112 15696 35 001 32 346 31 338 31 336 15696 14429 31 005 28 347 28 336 29 337 14429 13290 29 007 26 347 26 333 28 337 13290 12263 27 008 24 347 25 331 27 337 12263 11336 25 007 22 345 23 328 26 337 11336 10499 23 004 20 343 22 326 24 336 10499 9749 20 359 16 338 19 325 23 334 9749 9074 17 353 12 332 15 325 20 332 9074 8460 14 348 9 316 11 323 14 332 8460 7908 11 347 7 286 7 308 6 337 7908 7443 7 351 8 252 6 269 3 113 7443 7084 1 347 8 233 6 239 7 124 7084 6836 4 189 7 223 6 220 9 124 6836 6685 5*190 5*210 5*199 7*127 6685 6599 4*194 4*203 3*189 3*134 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography