DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.7 - - 24.8 - - 28.8 - - 24.8 - - 21.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 5 - - 25 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 230 - - 479 - - 922 - - 848 - - 931 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 20 - - 32 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 169 - - 148 - - 152 - - 157 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -4 - - -4 - - -7 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1032 - - -1125 - - -650 - - -749 - - -1096 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7633 - - 7725 - - 7250 - - 7349 - - 7696 sfcLCL ODpotential -12257 - - -10756 - - -7625 - - -9490 - - -10524 ODpotential blCL 18857 - - 17356 - - 14225 - - 16090 - - 17124 blCL maxRH 54 - - 54 - - 68 - - 54 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.7 - - 24.8 - - 28.8 - - 24.8 - - 21.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 7.3 - - 14.8 - - 20.6 - - 16.3 - - 11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.0 - - 28.4 - - 31.3 - - 30.0 - - 29.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.0 - - 13.6 - - 19.6 - - 15.1 - - 12.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 5 - - 25 - - -8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96745 44 051 29 048 43 040 45 062 34 054 96745 89641 38 051 29 060 36 042 40 055 36 059 89641 84117 33 050 33 045 31 042 31 041 38 049 84117 79491 29 057 27 046 26 052 24 040 30 040 79491 75468 25 040 24 045 22 038 24 023 33 030 75468 71901 27 023 24 032 21 029 29 011 25 021 71901 68653 25 013 18 014 22 011 27 008 22 016 68653 65647 16 027 19 004 24 356 28 013 32 011 65647 62857 15 017 26 343 28 348 34 006 36 359 62857 60152 14 003 33 342 31 343 39 349 41 351 60152 57332 24 358 36 355 33 343 46 338 47 344 57332 54405 47 347 50 348 44 342 51 336 47 339 54405 51599 53 337 55 338 52 333 56 337 57 342 51599 49076 53 336 57 333 58 328 63 330 64 334 49076 46833 55 336 61 332 60 326 62 326 66 331 46833 44815 56 334 63 329 60 326 61 324 70 332 44815 42980 54 332 62 326 60 327 62 325 71 330 42980 41302 53 328 59 323 62 326 62 324 68 327 41302 39763 46 321 48 317 58 321 58 323 67 328 39763 38337 38 320 37 314 45 313 51 321 64 327 38337 37010 33 320 30 312 39 315 48 324 60 327 37010 35746 28 317 29 315 38 319 46 327 56 327 35746 34480 27 315 30 319 39 324 43 322 53 329 34480 33186 29 317 31 321 39 323 44 314 54 332 33186 31868 30 320 32 318 37 320 47 312 54 330 31868 30519 30 323 31 313 38 321 48 320 53 327 30519 29128 32 321 31 313 40 325 47 324 52 329 29128 27697 36 320 31 316 42 329 43 325 55 338 27697 26229 39 321 32 321 43 333 41 329 58 342 26229 24728 40 321 34 328 41 335 41 333 57 342 24728 23200 40 320 36 329 38 332 41 333 53 341 23200 21640 38 319 38 325 37 327 41 332 49 339 21640 20043 35 319 40 321 37 324 41 331 47 338 20043 18435 32 320 39 320 37 323 41 330 47 339 18435 16899 29 322 35 320 35 325 38 329 44 341 16899 15507 27 324 31 321 32 327 34 329 38 342 15507 14266 25 327 26 322 30 328 30 331 33 341 14266 13156 23 332 22 324 27 328 26 334 28 341 13156 12156 23 337 18 327 24 327 24 336 24 341 12156 11253 22 342 15 330 20 324 21 338 21 342 11253 10437 21 345 12 336 16 321 18 338 18 346 10437 9705 20 345 10 342 12 319 15 338 15 349 9705 9044 17 344 9 345 9 318 10 339 12 353 9044 8442 13 342 7 347 6 316 5 345 9 000 8442 7900 8 341 5 357 2 310 2 035 6 014 7900 7441 2 345 3 039 1 184 3 111 3 043 7441 7084 3 147 3 120 4 151 5 132 2 110 7084 6837 7 147 4 146 4 152 5 146 3 179 6837 6686 6*150 4*148 4*151 4*160 3*198 6686 6599 4*169 3*149 3*152 3*168 3*210 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography