DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 42.6 - - 32.1 - - 31.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 65 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 53 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6600 - - 7553 - - 6601 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 992 - - 686 - - 722 - - 723 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 27 - - 65 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 196 - - 185 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -11 - - -7 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4299 - - -4335 - - -2247 - - -2605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10900 - - 11889 - - 8848 - - 9206 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13441 - - -12150 - - -12235 - - -13087 ODpotential blCL - - - 20041 - - 19703 - - 18836 - - 19687 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 50 - - 43 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 42.6 - - 32.1 - - 31.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.6 - - 14.4 - - 17.1 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 44.9 - - 39.0 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.8 - - 13.7 - - 16.6 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 65 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 53 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96742 61 047 71 051 71 049 62 065 96742 89760 48 039 48 047 51 048 48 055 89760 84323 42 050 37 051 37 051 31 047 84323 79755 37 063 23 060 29 049 26 048 79755 75759 31 059 16 074 19 037 18 037 75759 72203 17 027 12 031 11 027 11 011 72203 68976 15 016 12 339 10 358 13 358 68976 66018 16 345 18 315 16 337 19 329 66018 63286 15 350 19 335 19 329 22 325 63286 60645 27 331 34 329 23 327 23 317 60645 57887 30 323 33 322 27 321 32 318 57887 55019 33 313 34 314 37 306 37 308 55019 52276 35 305 35 304 41 302 35 301 52276 49793 34 300 38 295 44 299 37 308 49793 47556 37 288 43 289 47 294 44 304 47556 45524 43 283 45 287 45 290 45 297 45524 43662 49 286 45 288 40 289 41 291 43662 41944 50 283 43 284 36 287 37 289 41944 40357 44 276 42 279 35 282 34 287 40357 38894 35 278 39 276 36 278 34 291 38894 37541 30 287 30 273 34 267 33 284 37541 36256 28 300 22 276 27 255 32 278 36256 34976 23 301 19 290 20 255 32 263 34976 33674 22 295 17 305 17 260 31 256 33674 32352 25 287 17 310 15 265 32 257 32352 30995 27 278 21 297 17 265 31 259 30995 29594 26 274 25 281 23 264 31 261 29594 28151 24 274 27 272 28 264 35 261 28151 26669 24 273 26 266 31 262 36 260 26669 25151 26 269 24 264 31 259 31 260 25151 23604 25 264 23 267 29 258 29 255 23604 22020 25 258 23 263 27 256 28 255 22020 20396 26 253 24 253 25 253 24 260 20396 18757 27 248 27 247 23 251 20 262 18757 17187 26 246 28 247 22 254 18 263 17187 15760 26 246 27 249 20 260 15 264 15760 14485 25 244 26 249 18 267 14 265 14485 13342 24 243 26 248 18 271 13 270 13342 12312 23 242 25 245 18 271 13 279 12312 11381 22 239 24 243 18 267 12 287 11381 10541 20 236 23 240 18 263 12 292 10541 9786 19 231 21 237 17 258 11 290 9786 9106 17 227 19 233 17 252 11 283 9106 8486 15 220 17 229 15 243 11 270 8486 7930 14 213 14*222 13 229 11 253 7930 7459 11 206 11*214 11 214 11 239 7459 7095 8 194 6 195 9 201 9 228 7095 6842 6 182 5 185 7 192 7 223 6842 6688 4*162 5 178 5*182 5*220 6688 6599 2*153 4 174 3*176 2*231 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography