DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.1 - - 80.9 - - 86.6 - - 84.0 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 298 - - 352 - - 126 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 446 - - 8662 - - 14008 - - 12478 - - 764 BL Depth Hcrit 6585 - - 13896 - - 18358 - - 16284 - - 6586 Hcrit BL Top 7946 - - 16162 - - 21508 - - 19978 - - 8264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3617 - - 3283 - - 1611 - - 1990 - - 9643 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 586 - - 728 - - 500 - - 17 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 16 - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 275 - - 266 - - 271 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 33 - - 17 - - 9 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 37 - - 78 - - -25 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7958 - - -2193 - - 2600 - - 1690 - - -7434 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15905 - - 18356 - - 18909 - - 18289 - - 15699 sfcLCL ODpotential -12007 - - -5891 - - 265 - - -1072 - - -12043 ODpotential blCL 19953 - - 22053 - - 21243 - - 21050 - - 20307 blCL maxRH 92 - - 66 - - 61 - - 55 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.1 - - 80.9 - - 86.6 - - 84.0 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.8 - - 22.8 - - 25.6 - - 26.1 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.2 - - 81.4 - - 86.9 - - 85.7 - - 80.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 21.9 - - 24.6 - - 25.3 - - 27.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 298 - - 352 - - 126 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 446 - - 8662 - - 14008 - - 12478 - - 764 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99554 21 100 24 110 19 099 20 095 14 104 99554 92069 17 114 17 114 18 099 17 084 21 101 92069 86245 20 110 15 111 14 091 11 102 15 082 86245 81391 18 098 13 088 13 104 10 101 11 062 81391 77227 12 077 10 107 9 094 10 122 8 073 77227 73560 11 083 5 115 7 101 9 093 10 081 73560 70241 10 085 6 118 2 040 12 080 10 080 70241 67189 6 070 10 108 4 187 6 002 13 064 67189 64353 7 023 2 057 6 145 5 266 3 324 64353 61611 7 292 1 009 4 304 2 317 5 316 61611 58778 12 299 4 357 4 354 5 350 7 313 58778 55876 25 282 24 281 14 311 16 309 5 306 55876 53127 31 275 25 271 28 284 30 281 30 288 53127 50658 32 283 31 282 31 282 37 280 38 283 50658 48448 40 290 39 283 43 285 44 284 42 286 48448 46450 49 292 48 282 50 279 50 283 46 287 46450 44631 55 288 53 278 53 275 52 284 44 295 44631 42959 57 284 55 277 54 274 53 283 46 305 42959 41403 57 283 53 278 55 273 53 282 45 308 41403 39942 54 284 48 281 55 271 52 281 41 308 39942 38566 50 286 46 283 53 270 50 279 40 302 38566 37249 46 288 45 283 50 269 48 277 42 298 37249 35927 43 288 44 282 47 270 46 275 41 296 35927 34575 41 290 40 279 44 271 44 272 38 289 34575 33199 41 293 36 274 42 271 44 270 39 281 33199 31789 37 290 35 272 41 271 43 270 40 277 31789 30338 35 285 34 273 40 273 40 272 41 277 30338 28849 33 284 32 271 39 273 37 273 39 275 28849 27325 30 286 30 269 38 271 35 273 36 273 27325 25769 29 288 29 267 36 269 33 273 34 269 25769 24186 31 288 28 269 33 269 31 273 33 267 24186 22570 34 279 28 272 30*269 28 273 30 267 22570 20913 38 273 31 273 25*269 23*275 27 268 20913 19244 38 268 35 270 18 267 15*284 22 269 19244 17645 34 268 37*265 16 267 13 289 14 273 17645 16188 31 272 35*263 16 267 13 288 9 288 16188 14882 28 276 29 265 15 268 13 286 9 302 14882 13704 25 283 24 270 15 267 14 281 11 301 13704 12636 21 292 19 277 15 266 15 274 13 294 12636 11667 16 298 16 281 14 266 15 267 14 288 11667 10789 12 298 13 286 14 265 16 262 16 282 10789 9996 8 295 10 290 14 264 16 258 17 276 9996 9280 6 293 9 293 13 263 17 255 18 272 9280 8624 4 298 7 295 13 262 17 254 19*267 8624 8033 3*304 6 296 13 262 16 252 20*263 8033 7530 0*297 5 299 12 261 16 251 19 259 7530 7138 1 135 4 303 11 261 16 250 17 255 7138 6865 2 141 3 304 11 261 15 250 14 251 6865 6698 1 138 3 307 10 261 14 249 10 248 6698 6603 1 147 2 317 8 262 10 249 5 244 6603 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography