DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.2 - - 55.1 - - 61.7 - - 62.8 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 286 - - 354 - - 82 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1437 - - 3911 - - 7159 - - 7514 - - 1978 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 10126 - - 12771 - - 12044 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top 8937 - - 11411 - - 14659 - - 15014 - - 9478 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2158 - - 1975 - - 943 - - 1634 - - 7502 Hgt.Variab. W* 156 - - 442 - - 580 - - 363 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 15 - - 19 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 230 - - 215 - - 199 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 14 - - 24 - - 22 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg -36 - - -31 - - -27 - - -18 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -38 - - 2467 - - 3394 - - 2613 - - -2834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8976 - - 8945 - - 11265 - - 12402 - - 12312 sfcLCL ODpotential -3217 - - 932 - - 1558 - - 727 - - -6012 ODpotential blCL 12154 - - 10479 - - 13101 - - 14287 - - 15490 blCL maxRH 94 - - 95 - - 92 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.2 - - 55.1 - - 61.7 - - 62.8 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 38.5 - - 35.0 - - 31.2 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.8 - - 55.9 - - 62.4 - - 64.8 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.3 - - 38.3 - - 34.7 - - 31.0 - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 286 - - 354 - - 82 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1437 - - 3911 - - 7159 - - 7514 - - 1978 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 75 - - 81 - - 68 - - 90 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98968 6 129 6 223 3 274 2 271 8 275 98968 91583 10 093 8 126 6 141 4 083 3 097 91583 85851 14 085 11 101 11 101 8 067 9 089 85851 81091 8 104 6 099 7 100 7 044 15 085 81091 76993 10 118 6 098 5 069 6 092 11 052 76993 73370 5 086 8 104 4 182 7 091 6 096 73370 70080 4 052 3 065 9 154 1 355 9 068 70080 67029 6 219 4 194 2 141 6 201 6 355 67029 64188 7 227 8 177 5 227 3 194 6 243 64188 61435 11 231 10 255 9 229 10 273 12 229 61435 58563 21 241 23 240 20 228 15 234 14 217 58563 55597 22 230 23 224 28 244 22 242 23 243 55597 52782 32 264 23 240 37 251 31 248 33 233 52782 50252 47 255 39 256 40 248 35 240 38 226 50252 47984 54 256 50 265 43 246 41 242 45 232 47984 45930 62 260 58 259 54 246 55 246 52 241 45930 44050 65 260 56 245 60 241 64 240 61 241 44050 42323 67 264 55 245 62 236 64 237 65 239 42323 40731 76 265 69 250 66 236 63 237 62 237 40731 39252 87 258 83 248 71 236 62 237 59 237 39252 37877 91 258 90 245 74 234 62 234 57 237 37877 36569 93 260 91 243 75 233 60 231 53 237 36569 35262 90 260 91 244 76 232 60 231 51 236 35262 33926 84 260 89 246 76 233 59 232 49 234 33926 32566 81 259 84 247 75 234 59 232 48 231 32566 31173 80 259 79 247 72 234 59 231 50 229 31173 29737 79 259 73 247 69 233 60 230 52 227 29737 28265 77 260 67 247 68 233 62 229 55 224 28265 26759 72 263 63 246 66 234 62 229 56 222 26759 25222 62 263 59 246 64 236 61 230 56 222 25222 23659 54 256 56 245 60 237 59 231 55 226 23659 22068 52 252 52 243 58 238 57 233 53 231 22068 20442 50 249 49 241 56 237 53 236 51 235 20442 18813 45 245 47 239 54 236 50 237 51 234 18813 17262 38 243 43 239 50 235 44 229 41 225 17262 15856 34 244 38 237 43*233 36*215 31 208 15856 14596 32 246 33 236 32*228 30*206 28 195 14596 13462 31 245 30 238 27 223 25 202 27 189 13462 12433 28 243 29 240 23 219 22 199 26 185 12433 11498 25 240 27*238 19 213 20 198 25 183 11498 10650 23 240 22*234 18 211 18 197 23 180 10650 9885 21 244 18 232 17 210 17 197 20*178 9885 9193 20*250 16 231 16 209 16 197 16*176 9193 8558 19*256 14 229 16 208 15 197 13 173 8558 7986 16 260 14 228 15 208 14 198 10 169 7986 7500 13 258 13 228 15 208 13 197 8 166 7500 7120 10 253 12 228 14 208 12 197 6 158 7120 6856 9 250 11 227 13 207 12 198 5 142 6856 6694 8 249 10 227 12 207 11 197 4 100 6694 6602 5 249 8 226 10 206 8 197 3 051 6602 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography