DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 11.9 - - 20.4 - - 23.9 - - 20.5 - - 15.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 39 - - 76 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 6599 - - 6599 - - 6600 - - 6599 - - 6599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 379 - - 608 - - 1105 - - 932 - - 785 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 37 - - 46 - - 5 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 169 - - 183 - - 184 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -7 - - -5 - - -7 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1255 - - -1356 - - -1549 - - -454 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7854 - - 7956 - - 8149 - - 7054 - - 6598 sfcLCL ODpotential -10897 - - -9605 - - -8979 - - -8588 - - -8451 ODpotential blCL 17496 - - 16204 - - 15579 - - 15187 - - 15050 blCL maxRH 78 - - 82 - - 82 - - 81 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 11.9 - - 20.4 - - 23.9 - - 20.5 - - 15.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 1.5 - - 9.3 - - 11.8 - - 13.2 - - 10.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.1 - - 22.8 - - 26.0 - - 23.9 - - 22.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.1 - - 8.5 - - 11.2 - - 12.7 - - 10.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 39 - - 76 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 13 - - 29 - - 29 - - 26 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94946 23 348 27 324 33 321 38 314 33 330 94946 88328 19 352 21 341 26 324 29 335 28 354 88328 83097 17 359 23 347 28 342 28 343 22 351 83097 78659 23 359 23 346 32 346 29 347 28 338 78659 74798 22 350 19 340 25 340 26 350 28 343 74798 71371 18 336 17 352 22 340 25 347 28 341 71371 68242 24 347 29 351 25 339 27 344 30 334 68242 65338 33 348 37 338 30 344 29 344 29 340 65338 62627 43 339 44 337 41 344 35 348 33 349 62627 59986 46 329 50 335 49 338 44 347 42 350 59986 57217 49 326 52 332 52 334 53 342 47 346 57217 54322 52 327 53 330 56 330 57 335 51 340 54322 51538 54 331 54 333 58 330 58 330 53 330 51538 49016 57 332 58 335 60 330 60 327 54 325 49016 46745 61 331 62 335 61 328 61 324 58 322 46745 44679 62 330 64 330 62 326 63 324 60 322 44679 42781 60 328 63 325 63 326 67 324 63 325 42781 41022 57 324 62 321 62 323 67 321 68 322 41022 39388 56 323 61 318 60 321 63 316 66 317 39388 37875 58 324 62 316 62 320 57 317 57 312 37875 36481 62 317 60 312 63 314 56 322 49 314 36481 35178 63 312 58 309 60 309 56 316 53 316 35178 33901 71 304 60 306 60 310 54 309 58 310 33901 32619 73 300 61 304 62 312 56 305 60 301 32619 31329 72 301 63 305 65 312 57 302 58 299 31329 30011 71 303 68 305 64 313 55 303 56 302 30011 28655 69 305 69 305 58 312 52 308 56 302 28655 27260 65 307 66 304 55 307 51 307 54 303 27260 25830 62 310 62 307 55 305 49 305 52 307 25830 24366 59 313 57 311 53 305 48 305 51 310 24366 22877 56 316 53 313 51 304 47 306 48 312 22877 21358 52 320 51 312 47 302 44 306 43 311 21358 19803 48 321 47 310 44 302 41 305 39 307 19803 18235 42 322 42 311 40 299 38 305 36 307 18235 16734 38 323 37 312 36 297 35 304 33 311 16734 15372 34 322 32 310 33 298 31 304 28 315 15372 14155 31 320 27 306 28 300 27 304 23 316 14155 13064 28 318 23 305 23 304 23 305 19 317 13064 12079 24 317 19 306 19 306 20 307 15 320 12079 11188 20 316 15 307 15 307 17 309 14 325 11188 10383 17 315 12 307 12 305 14 310 13 331 10383 9660 15 315 10 306 9 300 11 308 11 335 9660 9007 12 315 8 304 6 287 8 296 9 337 9007 8412 10 312 6 298 5 259 7 269 6 337 8412 7877 7 302 4 280 5 233 7 234 2 326 7877 7425 3 270 3 236 5 205 7 205 2 206 7425 7075 3 188 4 184 5 189 7 193 4 197 7075 6832 5 152 4 172 5 183 6 182 4 201 6832 6684 4*158 4*168 5*179 5*179 3*207 6684 6598 2*184 3*167 4*179 3*177 2*211 6598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography