DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 17.8 - - 23.6 - - 19.8 - - 15.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 75 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 705 - - 1708 - - 625 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6581 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8205 - - 9208 - - 8125 - - 6599 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1142 - - 1089 - - 973 - - 1182 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 149 - - 215 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 327 - - 204 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 7 - - -1 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2132 - - -2556 - - -270 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10337 - - 11765 - - 8396 - - 6598 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13575 - - -12228 - - -10618 - - -10465 ODpotential blCL - - - 21780 - - 21436 - - 18743 - - 17064 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 38 - - 53 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 17.8 - - 23.6 - - 19.8 - - 15.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -3.5 - - -4.1 - - 6.9 - - 10.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 25.8 - - 23.4 - - 21.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -4.2 - - -4.9 - - 6.3 - - 10.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 75 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 705 - - 1708 - - 625 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96481 35 046 37 058 31 045 33 035 96481 89302 29 023 20 042 18 016 22 356 89302 83747 20 014 15 339 16 330 16 332 83747 79137 13 015 16 332 19 342 16 341 79137 75152 10 353 22 320 23 344 10 348 75152 71595 7 328 18 320 26 344 17 349 71595 68357 5 348 11 336 29 339 24 337 68357 65378 17 329 16 331 27 331 25 336 65378 62606 19 329 20 333 26 329 32 335 62606 59918 18 327 25 333 27 331 34 324 59918 57106 24 322 28 329 28 322 26 319 57106 54171 27 322 26 324 29 320 31 331 54171 51379 32 333 27 328 36 337 40 333 51379 48902 42 325 36 329 41 335 43 331 48902 46706 41 315 37 330 39 326 35 330 46706 44715 34 322 37 330 32 321 30 343 44715 42891 36 335 34 325 25 346 45 354 42891 41219 41 338 33 331 50 007 51 350 41219 39680 43 340 41 341 69 351 55 014 39680 38253 44 339 46 344 68 341 80 021 38253 36927 45 335 46 350 49 353 96 018 36927 35667 41 333 44 358 44 011 90 015 35667 34411 31 342 38 012 60 024 82 016 34411 33130 28 359 45 030 76 024 79 020 33130 31827 34 007 61 035 73 019 64 013 31827 30488 39 355 67 033 64 014 66 007 30488 29105 37 332 52 025 58 015 62 006 29105 27682 41 327 38 002 55 016 52 007 27682 26222 42 329 40 350 52 018 44 007 26222 24728 41 333 42 356 47 021 41 002 24728 23205 41 337 44 003 39 016 38 355 23205 21647 41 340 45 006 32 011 34 349 21647 20048 40 341 44 008 30 013 30 341 20048 18433 37 339 41 010 30 013 30 340 18433 16887 33 335 35 010 32 013 31 346 16887 15483 29 335 29 003 32 015 30 354 15483 14232 26 338 24 352 30 016 28 000 14232 13112 23 343 21 343 26 013 25 003 13112 12105 21 349 18 340 22 006 22 001 12105 11198 19 353 15 339 19 358 21 359 11198 10383 17 356 13 339 16 352 19 356 10383 9655 15 357 10*338 13 350 16 354 9655 9002 13 357 8*336 10 344 12 353 9002 8408 10*355 7 333 6*326 9 348 8408 7875 7*349 5 329 3*266 5 323 7875 7424 4 330 3 315 4 214 4 250 7424 7075 2 278 3 311 4 193 6 223 7075 6832 2 242 2 307 4 184 5 209 6832 6684 3 236 2 306 4 179 4*197 6684 6598 2 238 2 305 3 177 2*189 6598 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography