DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.5 - - 51.1 - - 54.2 - - 53.3 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 62 - - 148 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 990 - - 2270 - - 2918 - - 221 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 6584 - - 8659 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6602 - - 8490 - - 9770 - - 10418 - - 7721 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2335 - - 3928 - - 3294 - - 2623 - - 3876 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 174 - - 299 - - 42 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 131 - - 183 - - 181 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 6 - - -13 - - -17 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 1598 - - 1866 - - 2598 - - 1120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6601 - - 6892 - - 7904 - - 7820 - - 6601 sfcLCL ODpotential -3400 - - -1612 - - -645 - - -188 - - -2496 ODpotential blCL 10002 - - 10102 - - 10415 - - 10606 - - 10217 blCL maxRH 83 - - 96 - - 84 - - 76 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 190 - - 130 - - 110 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m 42.5 - - 51.1 - - 54.2 - - 53.3 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.9 - - 43.6 - - 42.3 - - 41.8 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 53.2 - - 55.7 - - 56.8 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.7 - - 42.6 - - 41.7 - - 41.4 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 62 - - 148 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 990 - - 2270 - - 2918 - - 221 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 82 - - 35 - - 6 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97409 2 077 6 228 6 263 6 274 7 326 97409 90212 5 023 2 202 0 317 5 328 5 039 90212 84629 9 005 3 328 3 069 6 010 7 016 84629 79996 4 061 5 274 4 313 8 017 4 356 79996 76020 2 143 4 214 6 269 4 304 3 301 76020 72505 5 328 5 178 8 247 9 262 3 275 72505 69306 2 223 7 194 12 231 12 268 5 260 69306 66349 4 224 7 206 10 217 12 260 11 277 66349 63591 10 272 7 249 11 216 13 233 15 268 63591 60910 13 240 6 262 9 216 11 230 13 230 60910 58121 14 226 16 225 16 206 14 253 18 217 58121 55230 28 233 29 216 31 219 36 232 40 228 55230 52471 37 224 35 222 44 222 47 220 38 225 52471 49973 40 224 48 220 54 219 50 226 40 235 49973 47706 43 232 59 224 61 224 63 226 49 230 47706 45651 57 234 66 225 61 225 66 230 76 233 45651 43801 65 233 72 233 77 236 85 233 95 232 43801 42114 77 233 85 232 92 230 97 228 97 230 42114 40548 84 226 85 227 92 227 100 226 97 226 40548 39087 73 216 75 222 88 225 94 226 90 225 39087 37725 58 228 65 225 82 224 84 225 83 225 37725 36430 66 242 64 233 74 226 77 226 76 227 36430 35138 72 242 68 239 66 231 70 227 70 228 35138 33823 73 240 69 237 61 230 64 229 64 227 33823 32485 67 242 70 232 60 227 61 230 61 225 32485 31114 57 240 68 232 60 225 59 229 60 225 31114 29699 47 233 63 234 57 224 56 227 56 227 29699 28246 43 226 56 238 50 226 50 228 50 226 28246 26755 40 221 48 241 44 231 42 229 44 224 26755 25228 37 217 43 241 37 237 34 227 36 219 25228 23673 35 216 41 237 31 241 27 229 30 218 23673 22085 31 217 38 237 29 238 22 235 24 217 22085 20462 27 216 30 238 30 227 19 239 17 214 20462 18829 25 219 25 236 26 226 17 239 15 210 18829 17266 23 223 23 229 23 235 15 237 15 209 17266 15844 21 226 22 221 21 233 14 234 15 207 15844 14574 19 230 22 215 19 221 15 232 16 204 14574 13432 19 235 21 212 19 211 16 227 18 202 13432 12402 19 236 20 210 18 201 17 223 18 200 12402 11468 18 234 19 209 18 197 17 217 18 198 11468 10622 15 232 17 206 17 200 15*211 17 193 10622 9859 12 225 15 199 15*203 13*203 16 187 9859 9169 10 213 13 193 14*201 11 196 14 180 9169 8539 8 197 10*186 11 193 9 186 11 170 8539 7971 5 174 6*172 8 180 8 170 8*168 7971 7489 4 142 4 131 7 172 7 163 5*167 7489 7113 4 104 4 117 7 170 7 159 2 148 7113 6852 4 085 4 116 7 168 6 156 2 089 6852 6693 3*072 4 114 6 166 5 155 2 047 6693 6601 1*019 3 113 5 165 4 154 1 003 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography