DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 52.0 - - 56.6 - - 54.2 - - 46.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 110 - - 195 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1174 - - 4445 - - 2750 - - 380 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 6584 - - 10368 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 6602 - - 8674 - - 11945 - - 10250 - - 7880 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1951 - - 2900 - - 2619 - - 3488 - - 4377 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 219 - - 406 - - 38 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 117 - - 140 - - 176 - - 168 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 4 - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 5 - - -13 - - -13 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -691 - - 381 - - 2782 - - 1234 - - 1263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7293 - - 8293 - - 9164 - - 9016 - - 6617 sfcLCL ODpotential -6087 - - -2676 - - 573 - - -1951 - - -2554 ODpotential blCL 12689 - - 11350 - - 11372 - - 12201 - - 10434 blCL maxRH 79 - - 83 - - 83 - - 71 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 30 - - 70 - - 10 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 52.0 - - 56.6 - - 54.2 - - 46.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 38.5 - - 39.3 - - 37.6 - - 40.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 53.7 - - 57.9 - - 57.3 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 37.6 - - 39.0 - - 37.4 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 110 - - 195 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1174 - - 4445 - - 2750 - - 380 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 33 - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97472 8 064 7 263 15 300 9 354 4 316 97472 90254 7 000 2 178 8 279 13 354 3 037 90254 84684 9 332 2 272 2 288 6 336 4 335 84684 80061 6 354 3 276 4 153 5 306 4 302 80061 76074 5 350 6 276 3 206 8 281 5 325 76074 72543 6 287 7 264 6 254 9 254 8 310 72543 69333 5 294 7 246 6 256 8 245 9 255 69333 66374 12 274 11 243 12 243 10 245 15 240 66374 63632 13 245 8 238 9 232 10 267 8 248 63632 60969 15 246 23 248 19 243 19 259 13 284 60969 58180 25 234 27 234 23 239 26 238 24 246 58180 55292 31 235 30 232 29 228 35 220 34 233 55292 52558 36 237 37 234 38 231 39 230 41 231 52558 50101 47 240 49 236 41 237 43 243 44 233 50101 47884 62 239 51 238 62 246 55 244 49 238 47884 45860 69 235 68 240 75 242 69 240 62 237 45860 44003 76 235 80 238 84 239 77 237 75 235 44003 42287 83 236 87 238 89 239 81 236 81 231 42287 40692 82 235 88 238 89 242 83 237 82 229 40692 39205 73 233 81 236 80 243 82 241 78 230 39205 37818 66 231 68 238 67 243 74 243 72 232 37818 36498 57 232 60 239 56 244 61 244 61 232 36498 35186 52 237 51 233 53 244 50 244 46 229 35186 33855 45 230 50 228 47 238 44 240 37 217 33855 32509 41 221 48 221 43 230 41 232 35 208 32509 31132 42 222 47 221 47 223 39 228 33 204 31132 29709 42 225 47 226 47 218 37 224 30 203 29709 28244 37 230 43 228 41 215 37 224 28 203 28244 26744 31 232 37 230 37 214 30 226 25 210 26744 25214 24 238 25 234 26 216 24 217 24 216 25214 23658 18 260 20 229 19 223 18 201 21 210 23658 22071 15 270 15 235 15 228 14 187 20 200 22071 20446 15 268 13 245 11 225 11 175 20 202 20446 18811 13 264 10 254 8 224 12 181 20 209 18811 17247 10 251 7 253 7 221 10 184 18 210 17247 15827 9 239 5 229 6 212 8 189 15 201 15827 14560 10 239 7 221 7 224 8 202 14 191 14560 13421 11 239 11 217 10 226 9 209 13 186 13421 12391 12 234 12 210 11*217 10 206 12 186 12391 11458 12 227 11 206 10*210 10 203 10 187 11458 10613 9 218 10 201 9 201 9*195 10 188 10613 9852 7 205 8 192 8 193 9*188 10 185 9852 9164 5 183 6*184 7 179 9 182 10 177 9164 8535 5 157 6*167 6 164 8 175 10 165 8535 7968 6 139 5 147 7 151 7 163 9*154 7968 7487 6 123 5 131 7 146 7 151 7*143 7487 7112 7 112 5 129 7 143 6 147 5 122 7112 6852 5 116 5 128 7 140 6 145 4 102 6852 6693 4*119 4 128 7 139 5 143 2 084 6693 6601 1*150 4 129 6 139 4 142 1 351 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography