DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/16 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.3 - - 42.7 - - 40.9 - - 41.0 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 15 - - 5 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 840 - - 645 - - 226 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 6584 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 8340 - - 8145 - - 7726 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1339 - - 1470 - - 1231 - - 2202 - - 4852 Hgt.Variab. W* 1 - - 104 - - 71 - - 23 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 150 - - 175 - - 129 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 15 - - 15 - - 12 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - 8 - - -9 - - 11 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -874 - - 474 - - 1545 - - 1126 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7475 - - 7867 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -6508 - - -3735 - - -188 - - -813 - - -1879 ODpotential blCL 13109 - - 12075 - - 8333 - - 8539 - - 8480 blCL maxRH 97 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 70 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 38.3 - - 42.7 - - 40.9 - - 41.0 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.6 - - 31.0 - - 37.6 - - 38.8 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 45.4 - - 43.7 - - 44.4 - - 44.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 30.2 - - 36.9 - - 38.3 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 15 - - 5 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 840 - - 645 - - 226 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 100 - - 102 - - 102 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96549 27 056 23 029 23 039 22 032 16 359 96549 89571 25 061 15 048 15 029 13 026 14 000 89571 84108 24 063 16 063 10 035 10 055 14 021 84108 79498 16 047 14 059 8 038 10 054 17 033 79498 75486 11 052 11 071 7 050 8 038 13 036 75486 71926 9 018 8 057 6 091 4 336 10 044 71926 68701 8 316 7 333 1 023 10 319 7 056 68701 65735 7 307 10 301 4 284 14 289 8 355 65735 62984 12 314 15 279 14 309 13 265 13 281 62984 60309 20 286 19 270 17 283 14 282 12 265 60309 57503 21 265 22 256 19 254 20 264 14 266 57503 54578 20 266 22 242 17 267 18 256 17 252 54578 51769 23 238 22 231 22 255 19 271 12 267 51769 49217 16 236 16 210 22 222 16 249 15 233 49217 46939 20 255 8 226 20 216 18 233 19 208 46939 44900 31 232 19 245 23 226 15 227 13 204 44900 43047 38 225 28 240 23 224 20 213 16 230 43047 41332 40 221 33 230 31 220 25 205 26 221 41332 39744 39 220 38 228 35 214 27 196 29 176 39744 38282 35 222 36 220 36 211 27 191 20 159 38282 36933 30 228 33 213 36 210 27 198 16 193 36933 35658 24 244 29 214 35 209 29 203 19 205 35658 34389 22 243 26 214 32 209 29 202 26 210 34389 33096 25 213 24 201 27 212 29 199 34 207 33096 31781 26 190 20 188 24 215 29 196 38 201 31781 30436 26 197 16 195 22 217 28 195 35 200 30436 29049 27 214 14 213 22 217 26 197 31 201 29049 27624 26 220 14 225 24 212 26 201 29 200 27624 26166 23 219 17 219 26 202 29 205 27 197 26166 24678 22 213 23 213 27 194 31 205 25 197 24678 23165 19 195 32 212 30 198 32 204 21 205 23165 21622 21 182 38 211 34 204 33 202 19 218 21622 20043 27 193 37 210 36 207 35 203 18 221 20043 18455 31 201 31 205 33 205 34 207 20 222 18455 16937 29 206 28 197 29 198 30 211 23 219 16937 15557 24 195 29 190 27 195 24 209 24 209 15557 14326 21 187 31 187 28 200 22 213 21 197 14326 13220 20 186 31 187 30 207 22 213 19 194 13220 12223 21 188 30 190 31 210 21 207 17 208 12223 11322 21 189 28 193 31 209 21 200 16 221 11322 10506 21 190 27 197 30 204 21 194 15 224 10506 9769 20 195 27 202 27 200 21 189 13 223 9769 9102 20 200 25 203 24 198 21 184 12 220 9102 8490 19 199 21*197 20*197 19 177 11 217 8490 7937 15 190 15*180 15*193 16*169 9 214 7937 7467 10 176 11 155 10 183 11*156 7 211 7467 7101 6 145 8 134 7 165 9 136 4 205 7101 6846 4 114 5 115 4 142 6 106 2 196 6846 6690 4*084 4 103 3 128 5 087 0*092 6690 6600 2*033 3 082 3 111 3 069 0*046 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography