DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.7 - - 24.8 - - 27.4 - - 24.6 - - 20.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 29 - - 58 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1044 - - 811 - - 1283 - - 1097 - - 849 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 33 - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 188 - - 182 - - 185 - - 162 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - -6 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1338 - - -959 - - -661 - - 1 - - 2 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7938 - - 7559 - - 7261 - - 6599 - - 6599 sfcLCL ODpotential -9675 - - -8353 - - -7413 - - -7258 - - -7825 ODpotential blCL 16275 - - 14953 - - 14013 - - 13858 - - 14425 blCL maxRH 63 - - 75 - - 78 - - 81 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.7 - - 24.8 - - 27.4 - - 24.6 - - 20.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 9.1 - - 15.6 - - 19.5 - - 21.2 - - 18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 28.2 - - 27.4 - - 29.6 - - 28.7 - - 24.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.6 - - 15.2 - - 18.8 - - 21.0 - - 20.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 29 - - 58 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 1 - - 11 - - 25 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95700 47 317 42 325 34 337 28 338 31 326 95700 88892 28 329 17 322 30 327 31 338 26 343 88892 83516 22 337 16 327 23 316 34 341 24 353 83516 79021 20 325 21 324 21 326 23 332 18 347 79021 75120 13 324 19 322 22 324 15 327 21 339 75120 71633 14 342 17 325 20 314 20 332 22 319 71633 68442 17 345 16 347 18 334 21 339 11 335 68442 65480 16 334 19 356 21 349 26 341 22 341 65480 62730 23 339 21 331 23 323 21 326 30 319 62730 60081 29 341 18 340 16 306 25 308 25 295 60081 57315 42 353 38 008 32 352 17 336 25 303 57315 54443 55 346 52 345 34 348 21 337 31 306 54443 51708 57 340 51 343 39 341 49 313 36 299 51708 49240 50 343 48 343 44 327 47 303 39 292 49240 47020 46 347 44 340 41 326 30 315 33 294 47020 45004 48 349 40 339 41 325 29 325 32 301 45004 43188 46 352 40 338 38 322 51 310 46 299 43188 41567 42 002 34 345 31 320 52 297 48 296 41567 40086 42 010 32 349 28 321 47 298 47 294 40086 38696 43 010 32 349 31 322 40 301 48 288 38696 37384 42 005 32 347 33 324 35 298 47 290 37384 36123 38 004 33 346 35 327 33 297 46 291 36123 34855 39 008 33 346 35 328 33 300 47 285 34855 33553 43 004 32 346 33 323 33 302 47 280 33553 32224 41 358 31 346 26 309 33 302 46 280 32224 30857 35 353 28 343 19 301 33 303 45 285 30857 29447 33 343 25 337 17 311 31 310 42 291 29447 27998 36 337 19 343 24 321 28 315 35 294 27998 26512 37 338 24 348 33 327 29 318 32 293 26512 24994 36 339 35 341 34 327 31 322 31 298 24994 23451 33 340 40 335 34 324 30 322 29 304 23451 21875 33 345 37 336 30 322 27 319 26 303 21875 20261 35 350 34 341 28 325 24 316 26 298 20261 18636 37 354 34 346 27 332 23 317 26 294 18636 17078 37 357 34 353 26 339 21 324 23 292 17078 15658 36 000 33 359 23 343 20 331 19 295 15658 14389 34 002 30 004 20 346 19 334 15 302 14389 13250 31 002 26 006 17 347 17 332 13 304 13250 12223 27 001 21 003 14 342 16 325 12 302 12223 11296 22 359 16 354 11 325 14 316 12 301 11296 10462 17 356 12 338 10 308 12 307 11 305 10462 9715 12 351 10 314 10 295 10 297 11 309 9715 9044 7 340 9 291 10 279 9 283 9 306 9044 8435 4 313 9 271 10 261 9 259 6 277 8435 7890 4 258 9 255 9 239 7 228 6 222 7890 7432 4 229 7 242 7 203 7 194 7 186 7432 7079 3 213 6 221 6 182 7 171 7 168 7079 6834 3 203 4 195 6 179 6 161 6 158 6834 6684 2*192 3*176 6*177 5*154 5*150 6684 6599 2*185 2*174 5*175 3*153 3*139 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography