DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 65.0 - - 63.1 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 311 - - 77 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2469 - - 4725 - - 3440 - - 63 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8828 - - 10786 - - 9062 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9969 - - 12225 - - 10940 - - 7563 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2209 - - 1766 - - 2106 - - 2384 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 483 - - 275 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 18 - - 21 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 282 - - 282 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 16 - - 18 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -36 - - -43 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3261 - - -2627 - - -4585 - - -6351 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13231 - - 14853 - - 15526 - - 13914 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10090 - - -8156 - - -11356 - - -13791 ODpotential blCL - - - 20059 - - 20381 - - 22296 - - 21354 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 38 - - 49 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 65.0 - - 63.1 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.7 - - 22.9 - - 18.3 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 65.7 - - 65.2 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.7 - - 22.2 - - 17.7 - - 14.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 156 - - 311 - - 77 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2469 - - 4725 - - 3440 - - 63 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96437 15 268 19 286 14 337 10 198 96437 89424 1 344 14 262 15 327 6 355 89424 84000 1 116 12 255 15 293 13 354 84000 79466 3 262 9 285 11 282 16 332 79466 75537 9 260 9 342 8 254 12 318 75537 72042 12 296 16 333 8 304 13 317 72042 68877 12 301 16 320 12 315 13 319 68877 65983 17 298 15 294 22 313 16 335 65983 63318 19 297 20 287 24 309 19 321 63318 60749 31 307 20 311 20 311 16 305 60749 58062 40 292 35 303 33 298 31 301 58062 55259 44 283 43 283 42 288 39 296 55259 52576 42 283 46 281 45 287 43 292 52576 50155 44 285 48 282 48 288 46 293 50155 47979 48 289 51 284 55 289 51 294 47979 45997 55 291 57 287 62 287 56 292 45997 44175 63 291 62 288 65 287 59 291 44175 42491 67 290 63 288 63 286 59 287 42491 40932 66 289 59 288 53 281 52 283 40932 39483 61 291 54 293 50 286 47 280 39483 38127 58 294 51 295 53 295 45 278 38127 36825 59 293 50 295 47 291 44 278 36825 35518 64 288 50 291 33 280 46 281 35518 34183 70 283 53 287 47 287 46 290 34183 32824 72 280 60 287 50 297 44 293 32824 31433 72 279 64 288 45 298 44 291 31433 29998 71 280 66 286 45 291 46 288 29998 28525 66 282 67 285 52 286 50 287 28525 27016 61 286 67 284 58 286 54 286 27016 25477 56 289 63 285 60 286 56 286 25477 23911 52 288 58 284 57 286 56 286 23911 22310 49 286 53 281 54 284 55 287 22310 20665 47 284 50 278 52 283 52 287 20665 19005 46 283 49 277 49 283 49 287 19005 17414 43 283 45 279 45 283 45 287 17414 15966 39 282 41 280 40 284 41 288 15966 14672 35 279 37 282 37 285 37 289 14672 13508 32 278 34 283 34 285 35 290 13508 12459 30 279 30*285 31 284 33 290 12459 11509 28 280 26*286 29*283 31 290 11509 10651 26*282 20 286 27*283 29 289 10651 9880 23*283 19 285 25 283 26 288 9880 9185 19 281 18 284 23 283 24 286 9185 8549 15 273 17 281 21 282 22 285 8549 7978 11 259 16 279 20 282 20*284 7978 7493 9 247 15 278 18 280 16*283 7493 7116 9 241 15 276 17 279 13 282 7116 6854 9 239 14 276 15 278 10 276 6854 6693 8 238 13 275 14 278 8 268 6693 6601 6 237 10 276 9 276 3 197 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography