DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.5 - - 27.5 - - 32.9 - - 27.4 - - 23.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 41 - - 113 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 161 - - 2666 - - 4279 - - 1942 - - 1212 BL Depth Hcrit 6582 - - 6582 - - 9940 - - 6582 - - 6582 Hcrit BL Top 7661 - - 10166 - - 11779 - - 9442 - - 8712 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2465 - - 1679 - - 1597 - - 2857 - - 2294 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 204 - - 335 - - 16 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 12 - - 14 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 035 - - 022 - - 011 - - 357 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 8 - - 9 - - 14 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg 12 - - -2 - - -10 - - -3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1351 - - -2 - - 550 - - -168 - - 423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9013 - - 10168 - - 11230 - - 9610 - - 8289 sfcLCL ODpotential -6817 - - -3216 - - -2808 - - -4723 - - -4201 ODpotential blCL 14478 - - 13382 - - 14587 - - 14165 - - 12913 blCL maxRH 81 - - 71 - - 60 - - 52 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.5 - - 27.5 - - 32.9 - - 27.4 - - 23.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.7 - - 6.3 - - 7.0 - - 8.8 - - 10.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.2 - - 29.8 - - 34.7 - - 33.3 - - 31.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 2.5 - - 6.1 - - 6.4 - - 8.4 - - 10.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 41 - - 113 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 161 - - 2666 - - 4279 - - 1942 - - 1212 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97313 70 080 61 077 74 086 66 086 54 081 97313 90160 73 079 64 078 73 080 69 082 63 079 90160 84608 74 080 63 084 61 082 63 078 64 080 84608 79931 71 080 63 085 54 087 53 076 56 076 79931 75832 61 077 58 083 52 083 50 081 46 075 75832 72145 46 074 47 084 47 077 47 086 43 080 72145 68753 31 068 32 079 36 060 39 070 40 072 68753 65624 24 048 24 072 23 033 27 051 37 051 65624 62753 21 025 16 044 17 011 23 028 31 025 62753 60004 25 002 20 021 12 005 16 349 16 005 60004 57133 29 351 31 011 21 011 22 351 18 005 57133 54143 31 337 38 353 29 357 31 350 24 357 54143 51301 30 334 39 342 32 353 36 348 36 357 51301 48775 31 340 37 339 34 350 40 348 44 354 48775 46541 35 344 36 344 35 348 41 345 40 001 46541 44522 39 343 36 353 35 354 38 350 45 014 44522 42673 40 339 37 000 37 002 42 008 56 018 42673 40968 38 338 39 005 41 009 53 014 64 019 40968 39385 36 340 43 008 47 014 62 016 70 019 39385 37914 35 340 47 009 54 015 70 017 77 020 37914 36548 32 337 51 010 59 017 77 019 89 021 36548 35255 28 339 52 011 63 019 83 021 98 021 35255 33971 26 345 52 013 69 022 84 020 100 021 33971 32666 19 343 52 016 76 024 83 021 101 022 32666 31342 22 038 47 016 82 026 83 021 98 022 31342 29993 31 027 39 013 84 026 87 022 85 020 29993 28615 26 013 30 023 80 026 88 023 70 016 28615 27208 19 012 32 020 68 025 85 024 63 015 27208 25768 15 016 29 012 55 023 79 025 62 017 25768 24294 12 017 26 020 44 018 69 023 62 016 24294 22794 10 027 28 027 38 014 56 020 60 016 22794 21269 11 054 31 030 34 014 42 017 52 015 21269 19716 16 073 30 035 33 018 35 011 39 011 19716 18163 17 070 27 041 31 027 30 009 29 003 18163 16682 15 057 23 045 28 041 26 009 25 357 16682 15337 14 047 20 048 25 048 23 010 23 355 15337 14135 13 041 18 050 23 049 20 011 20 354 14135 13054 13 039 18 050 21 046 18 014 19 354 13054 12077 13 040 18 047 19*040 16 018 18 355 12077 11192 13 042 16 042 16*030 15 018 18 355 11192 10392 14 045 15*037 15 026 15 016 18 356 10392 9672 12 033 13*033 15 023 15*015 18 357 9672 9022 11 027 14 039 14 021 15*013 18*358 9022 8428 13 049 14 041 14 020 15 013 17*359 8428 7892 15*060 14 040 14 019 14 012 15 360 7892 7438 14*058 12 031 13 018 13 011 12 358 7438 7083 11 047 10 023 13 018 11 008 9 356 7083 6837 8 024 9 021 12 017 9 007 7 351 6837 6686 6 000 8 021 11 018 6 001 3 328 6686 6599 3 302 6 020 8 018 2 321 3 213 6599 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography