DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 29.1 - - 31.6 - - 32.8 - - 29.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - -3 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6582 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6600 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 715 - - 796 - - 1084 - - 853 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 163 - - 142 - - 194 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 2 - - -9 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1175 - - -1086 - - -821 - - -1285 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7775 - - 7686 - - 7421 - - 7886 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10126 - - -8964 - - -7485 - - -6621 ODpotential blCL - - - 16726 - - 15564 - - 14085 - - 13222 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 86 - - 76 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 29.1 - - 31.6 - - 32.8 - - 29.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.6 - - 21.4 - - 23.7 - - 18.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 34.9 - - 37.4 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.4 - - 20.3 - - 22.5 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - -3 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 44 - - 4 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94717 75 284 78 295 60 295 53 278 94717 88109 49 285 56 297 58 300 50 304 88109 82907 36 297 45 294 49 297 48 306 82907 78517 30 302 31 294 37 296 45 308 78517 74681 23 297 22 298 38 289 42 301 74681 71252 21 294 22 287 35 285 36 294 71252 68123 22 290 24 279 26 291 29 301 68123 65215 20 295 16 293 22 305 32 293 65215 62505 22 304 26 298 29 291 35 274 62505 59884 28 288 38 282 28 284 31 274 59884 57137 37 283 37 279 26 282 31 270 57137 54270 38 287 34 283 31 269 38 262 54270 51526 48 281 44 280 44 271 44 268 51526 49047 52 273 57 271 60 270 54 267 49047 46814 52 274 63 264 66 263 61 266 46814 44781 53 276 64 262 67 261 65 265 44781 42918 54 276 65 261 69 262 70 264 42918 41213 59 275 67 261 73 262 76 263 41213 39658 67 266 72 261 79 259 83 258 39658 38232 66 257 75 258 83 254 89 255 38232 36911 65 257 75 255 82 254 89 256 36911 35652 68 260 75 255 83 256 91 257 35652 34391 70 260 77 253 84 253 90 257 34391 33102 69 260 78 252 87 250 90 254 33102 31790 70 259 77 252 89 252 92 253 31790 30446 72 258 76 253 88 256 91 256 30446 29064 73 258 74 255 85 257 83 257 29064 27646 69 259 68 255 78 257 74 255 27646 26195 62 258 61 255 67 256 69 257 26195 24713 55 258 55 255 57 257 67 262 24713 23205 51 259 53 256 53 259 63 265 23205 21664 45 260 51 259 53 260 57 266 21664 20083 38 259 51 260 53 260 52 266 20083 18489 35 257 50 260 51 261 46 267 18489 16964 35 256 48 260 48 262 40 271 16964 15578 34 257 45 259 44 264 36 275 15578 14341 30 257 41 258 41 267 33 280 14341 13229 27 255 36 257 36 269 31 285 13229 12225 25 251 31 255 33 270 28 290 12225 11316 23 246 27 251 30 271 26 295 11316 10494 22 241 24 244 27 271 23 300 10494 9754 21 235 22 237 23 270 21 303 9754 9085 20 231 20 230 20 265 18 304 9085 8474 17 227 17 223 17 256 15 300 8474 7923 14 220 14 213 14 242 13 288 7923 7456 11 208 11 198 12 227 12 266 7456 7093 7 188 8 179 10 214 11 251 7093 6841 6 172 6 157 8 205 7 242 6841 6688 4*159 5*140 5*191 3*223 6688 6600 2*149 3*118 3*171 1*152 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography