DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/14 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.6 - - 81.9 - - 84.1 - - 84.7 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 98 - - 393 - - 215 - - 117 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2562 - - 11346 - - 15198 - - 15143 - - 9075 BL Depth Hcrit 8627 - - 16233 - - 18947 - - 18313 - - 6586 Hcrit BL Top 10062 - - 18846 - - 22698 - - 22643 - - 16575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 6300 - - 2481 - - 947 - - 1022 - - 4833 Hgt.Variab. W* 270 - - 702 - - 635 - - 522 - - 50 W* B/S 5 - - 15 - - 11 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 349 - - 278 - - 268 - - 280 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 16 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 20 - - 48 - - 39 - - -29 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3974 - - 3219 - - 6322 - - 4977 - - 1024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14036 - - 15628 - - 16377 - - 17666 - - 15552 sfcLCL ODpotential -7549 - - 417 - - 4363 - - 3233 - - -2528 ODpotential blCL 17611 - - 18429 - - 18335 - - 19410 - - 19103 blCL maxRH 53 - - 52 - - 100 - - 86 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 270 - - 440 - - 160 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 74.6 - - 81.9 - - 84.1 - - 84.7 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.0 - - 35.9 - - 34.8 - - 29.6 - - 30.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.4 - - 82.0 - - 85.2 - - 86.4 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 35.2 - - 34.1 - - 28.8 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 98 - - 393 - - 215 - - 117 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2562 - - 11346 - - 15198 - - 15143 - - 9075 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 101 - - 44 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99525 42 106 34 106 36 109 34 107 32 090 99525 91984 33 106 30 102 28 101 29 111 25 087 91984 86193 29 111 29 101 25 111 26 102 22 086 86193 81372 24 100 24 103 20 109 19 097 20 098 81372 77211 22 075 22 101 20 111 15 099 17 087 77211 73551 13 071 19 084 19 097 14 096 14 081 73551 70255 9 086 14 066 16 093 15 102 9 088 70255 67229 12 124 8 043 15 063 16 106 6 102 67229 64413 11 081 4 053 13 037 19 060 16 096 64413 61667 8 354 1 308 8 312 12 003 14 040 61667 58817 23 333 12 347 13 307 21 319 18 332 58817 55896 27 320 19 315 25 300 29 304 27 315 55896 53134 26 317 28 316 30 305 33 299 36 311 53134 50658 33 318 34 314 33 310 33 303 38 305 50658 48437 39 317 36 312 35 311 36 307 40 303 48437 46420 41 312 37 313 37 314 37 314 41 302 46420 44573 40 307 36 315 37 313 39 316 39 302 44573 42871 33 303 36 310 33 309 37 311 36 310 42871 41291 27 311 25 313 28 304 29 301 37 311 41291 39818 22 321 23 323 17 308 22 298 30 304 39818 38443 19 321 18 326 14 321 16 311 21 301 38443 37131 17 311 12 328 12 314 14 328 16 308 37131 35818 15 306 7 342 8 306 12 327 13 319 35818 34476 15 309 6 018 4 331 8 332 11 319 34476 33109 14 315 6 038 2 016 6 347 8 319 33109 31706 13 318 6 022 3 023 7 347 6 331 31706 30258 14 301 11 329 3 012 6 339 5 349 30258 28773 13 285 19 293 7 316 6 305 5 331 28773 27253 13 301 21 285 14 292 11 288 8 316 27253 25705 15 313 20 289 15 291 14 272 12 294 25705 24131 15 312 17 293 14*294 13*268 14 269 24131 22525 16 306 14 291 13*292 9*289 11 244 22525 20880 15 300 13 287 13 289 9 298 7 212 20880 19221 13 295 13*288 12 287 10 296 4 198 19221 17628 12 289 14*294 12 285 11 292 4*245 17628 16175 14 277 15 293 11 283 12 289 5*272 16175 14871 14 265 14 287 11 276 13 286 7 287 14871 13695 13 258 13 284 11 267 14 281 10 295 13695 12630 11 257 11 280 11 260 14 278 13 300 12630 11663 8 270 9 273 11 254 15 275 16 303 11663 10787 7*299 7 267 11 250 15 272 18 304 10787 9995 8*326 6 258 11 246 15 270 19 304 9995 9280 7 332 5 248 11 243 15 268 19 304 9280 8625 10 347 4 231 11 240 15 267 20 303 8625 8033 12 355 3 213 11 238 15 266 19 302 8033 7531 12 355 3 198 11 237 14 265 18 301 7531 7139 12 356 3 188 11 236 14 265 16 299 7139 6866 11 357 3 178 10 236 13 264 13 295 6866 6699 10 358 3 176 10 235 12 264 10 292 6699 6603 7 358 3 170 8 234 9 264 5 284 6603 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography