DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.8 - - 41.7 - - 44.4 - - 40.3 - - 35.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 81 - - 91 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 746 - - 1643 - - 760 - - 263 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 7962 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 8246 - - 9143 - - 8260 - - 7763 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1592 - - 1046 - - 1240 - - 1181 - - 1012 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 174 - - 235 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 137 - - 159 - - 171 - - 168 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -5 - - -7 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1109 - - 1809 - - 1660 - - 1164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 7138 - - 7334 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -8030 - - -6313 - - -5402 - - -5045 - - -5132 ODpotential blCL 14631 - - 14559 - - 14545 - - 13305 - - 12895 blCL maxRH 74 - - 74 - - 76 - - 80 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.8 - - 41.7 - - 44.4 - - 40.3 - - 35.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.8 - - 33.5 - - 35.3 - - 35.4 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.7 - - 43.8 - - 46.3 - - 43.9 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 32.4 - - 34.1 - - 34.2 - - 32.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 81 - - 91 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 746 - - 1643 - - 760 - - 263 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 19 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97101 5 151 11 241 6 261 16 278 4 271 97101 89935 7 099 7 153 4 294 1 343 1 360 89935 84424 6 065 8 136 4 181 5 047 2 089 84424 79830 5 129 6 146 3 206 4 101 1 305 79830 75853 7 116 5 134 3 219 7 125 3 177 75853 72331 5 174 3 228 1 100 8 130 10 183 72331 69131 6 250 7 237 3 236 6 197 7 193 69131 66168 13 255 12 250 8 248 15 208 12 264 66168 63400 18 225 16 232 17 240 18 219 15 249 63400 60703 16 241 17 241 19 231 21 233 20 229 60703 57879 21 239 23 236 23 232 22 239 22 238 57879 54953 27 246 23 236 26 229 29 235 28 244 54953 52171 35 250 28 245 28 236 26 232 27 235 52171 49663 32 238 36 240 33 241 28 237 26 237 49663 47412 31 240 36 235 35 235 31 237 31 231 47412 45366 34 243 32 235 34 234 29 234 27 229 45366 43489 35 243 29 236 31 239 28 247 28 242 43489 41763 27 225 29 228 25 238 26 246 28 242 41763 40177 20 232 22 222 19 234 21 246 21 230 40177 38711 17 259 17 237 15 246 18 256 15 234 38711 37354 15 257 12 261 13 269 16 271 16 258 37354 36072 13 264 12 295 14 292 16 288 17 269 36072 34797 11 286 14 304 17 305 18 299 16 275 34797 33500 10 308 12 301 18 306 20 304 16 280 33500 32180 13 313 10 299 17 299 19 305 15 284 32180 30826 11 318 9 296 14 292 17 299 14 284 30826 29431 8 325 8 307 14 296 17 293 15 282 29431 28000 8 349 8 334 12 304 15 293 16 278 28000 26534 10 009 8 359 4 333 10 295 11 273 26534 25033 11 006 9 018 5 017 9 297 7 258 25033 23499 16 356 10 031 6 030 7 309 5 266 23499 21927 18 007 9 034 7 044 3 004 4 274 21927 20313 17 015 7 043 5 058 2 032 4 257 20313 18685 12 024 5 061 3 076 2 321 7 270 18685 17126 8 007 3 067 1 087 3 298 7 272 17126 15707 4 021 1 058 0 183 2 285 5 258 15707 14440 3 099 1 145 1 222 1 244 5 234 14440 13302 4 136 3 162 2 230 2 208 5 220 13302 12277 5 151 4 172 3 218 3 190 6 210 12277 11352 5 160 5 180 4 207 5 180 8 199 11352 10518 5 160 7 183 6 200 6 181 9 194 10518 9769 5 162 8 186 7*194 7 184 10 194 9769 9095 5 166 8 186 7*186 7 184 10 196 9095 8481 4 164 6*188 6 177 7*182 10 194 8481 7929 5 151 4*182 6 170 5*176 8*183 7929 7461 5 141 3 159 6 166 4 172 6*169 7461 7097 5 131 2 150 6 164 4 165 4 157 7097 6844 4 126 2 149 6 161 4 161 2 150 6844 6689 2*154 2 144 5 160 3 157 0 072 6689 6600 1*246 2 145 4 158 2 146 1 351 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography