DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/12 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.1 - - 45.4 - - 49.0 - - 43.7 - - 39.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 85 - - 87 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 140 - - 807 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6584 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 7640 - - 8307 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 821 - - 841 - - 1266 - - 1743 - - 1407 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 97 - - 176 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 195 - - 197 - - 177 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -8 - - -12 - - -7 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1391 - - -1750 - - -2012 - - -2320 - - -2123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7992 - - 9390 - - 10320 - - 8921 - - 8724 sfcLCL ODpotential -8850 - - -7123 - - -7109 - - -8392 - - -8738 ODpotential blCL 15451 - - 14763 - - 15416 - - 14993 - - 15339 blCL maxRH 86 - - 87 - - 92 - - 87 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.1 - - 45.4 - - 49.0 - - 43.7 - - 39.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.6 - - 27.5 - - 27.0 - - 27.8 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.3 - - 47.3 - - 51.0 - - 48.5 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.8 - - 27.2 - - 26.8 - - 27.7 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 85 - - 87 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 140 - - 807 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 50 - - 67 - - 46 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95985 15 358 6 309 20 324 27 346 6 301 95985 89104 10 359 9 354 14 341 19 000 13 017 89104 83753 10 017 14 008 5 347 13 357 17 356 83753 79271 19 019 17 004 5 068 12 331 15 347 79271 75379 20 358 12 357 6 051 12 345 13 359 75379 71906 15 352 5 011 5 304 16 327 14 004 71906 68727 16 331 8 024 3 256 9 298 11 337 68727 65788 17 315 15 334 9 315 15 295 16 305 65788 63065 19 305 16 319 15 334 12 287 15 282 63065 60433 19 308 24 295 28 313 22 308 15 305 60433 57673 26 288 35 270 37 279 32 288 26 289 57673 54799 33 285 33 271 34 268 36 276 36 282 54799 52069 50 273 37 274 44 270 47 278 45 282 52069 49623 54 268 51 269 59 266 57 275 50 274 49623 47423 60 275 59 269 61 261 66 271 56 268 47423 45420 69 274 62 268 62 261 71 270 61 267 45420 43584 74 273 66 264 70 260 75 266 67 269 43584 41891 77 274 71 264 80 263 83 264 74 268 41891 40319 84 274 81 267 95 264 93 261 79 266 40319 38855 91 273 93 267 99 262 100 259 84 266 38855 37490 91 273 98 267 97 261 99 258 87 266 37490 36192 85 271 93 266 90 260 92 259 82 267 36192 34902 80 268 85 263 82 257 82 259 66 267 34902 33593 79 265 78 260 78 254 74 257 58 265 33593 32265 78 266 74 261 71 253 66 260 55 265 32265 30904 75 269 70 265 60 259 56 260 48 264 30904 29500 70 275 62 270 53 265 50 259 44 270 29500 28058 62 280 53 273 48 263 44 259 39 273 28058 26579 49 269 49 270 44 262 42 260 35 275 26579 25067 49 259 47 267 40 264 37 263 33 282 25067 23525 46 262 41 267 37 267 31 263 30 288 23525 21951 44 270 34 266 35 267 28 259 25 285 21951 20340 43 274 32 264 32 264 27 254 22 273 20340 18719 39 276 30 266 29 259 28 251 23 260 18719 17168 33 279 27 264 26 255 28 251 24 257 17168 15758 27 281 24 259 25 254 26 253 24 254 15758 14497 21 279 22 255 24 255 25 254 23 250 14497 13362 18 273 19 254 24 257 23 255 21 248 13362 12337 16 263 17 251 22 257 21 255 20 246 12337 11408 15 252 15 247 20 256 19 253 18 244 11408 10568 15 243 15 240 19 252 17 248 17 242 10568 9811 16 236 14 231 17 247 16 241 17 238 9811 9130 16 231 14 226 15 242 15 235 16 233 9130 8507 16 227 14 220 13*235 13 230 15 227 8507 7947 15 227 12*216 10*225 12 222 13 222 7947 7472 12 226 10*212 7 194 10 212 11 215 7472 7103 8 217 6 194 7 189 7 194 9 209 7103 6847 5 206 5 182 6 185 5 177 6 206 6847 6690 3*183 4 178 6 182 4*161 4*205 6690 6600 2*181 4 174 5 179 3*149 1*213 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography