DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1557z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.4 - - 52.5 - - 54.4 - - 53.5 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 171 - - 132 - - 23 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1393 - - 4012 - - 4613 - - 3957 - - 1589 BL Depth Hcrit 6584 - - 9993 - - 10295 - - 6584 - - 6584 Hcrit BL Top 8893 - - 11512 - - 12113 - - 11457 - - 9089 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1426 - - 1967 - - 2134 - - 1975 - - 2791 Hgt.Variab. W* 61 - - 379 - - 364 - - 196 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 327 - - 323 - - 296 - - 333 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear 22 - - 7 - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - 10 - - -10 - - 14 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1676 - - 3078 - - 3318 - - 3499 - - 2489 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7217 - - 8434 - - 8796 - - 7958 - - 6601 sfcLCL ODpotential -2741 - - 1217 - - 1558 - - 1354 - - -852 ODpotential blCL 11634 - - 10295 - - 10555 - - 10103 - - 9941 blCL maxRH 83 - - 99 - - 97 - - 97 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 60 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.4 - - 52.5 - - 54.4 - - 53.5 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.5 - - 38.2 - - 38.6 - - 41.3 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.6 - - 53.9 - - 56.0 - - 55.9 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 37.5 - - 38.0 - - 40.8 - - 40.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 171 - - 132 - - 23 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1393 - - 4012 - - 4613 - - 3957 - - 1589 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 97 - - 90 - - 87 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98521 6 022 10 351 10 025 6 053 11 340 98521 91215 9 089 7 064 9 036 8 051 9 060 91215 85587 14 083 10 067 6 068 12 043 12 061 85587 80914 18 084 6 136 6 076 5 039 10 051 80914 76868 13 079 11 141 2 132 6 022 10 062 76868 73260 7 061 10 095 5 139 2 180 6 073 73260 69974 3 066 10 103 5 167 3 273 5 109 69974 66946 0 084 9 119 10 165 5 256 4 090 66946 64128 5 210 5 179 7 138 5 192 5 187 64128 61384 13 199 13 191 9 173 10 187 9 214 61384 58508 16 190 14 183 11 167 17 174 15 204 58508 55509 14 186 7 171 14 182 13 185 11 197 55509 52646 17 199 10 194 13 194 10 227 12 223 52646 50082 15 203 14 199 12 214 13 242 15 228 50082 47795 11 231 18 206 15 224 15 246 14 241 47795 45728 13 250 18 208 18 229 16 252 14 256 45728 43840 16 255 14 201 21 225 21 249 16 266 43840 42096 19 257 8 228 19 219 26 236 20 263 42096 40478 22 253 11 258 14 219 21 219 23 252 40478 38976 23 247 13 260 5 198 15 174 21 241 38976 37591 15 252 11 242 12 101 34 120 12 185 37591 36292 14 196 5 146 27 093 31 115 24 124 36292 35005 24 148 17 107 23 090 29 112 28 111 35005 33689 30 116 20 111 20 101 24 117 21 107 33689 32351 20 112 17 122 17 111 14 097 10 117 32351 30981 12 117 16 126 8 125 11 080 14 096 30981 29569 7 124 10 099 6 129 9 089 14 087 29569 28116 8 141 11 155 5 240 6 074 11 089 28116 26628 4 131 2 129 1 272 4 007 7 055 26628 25106 3 272 2 263 4 321 4 315 8 025 25106 23556 13 312 3 328 6 280 6 302 7 017 23556 21974 20 334 9 351 7 262 7 310 6 356 21974 20353 20 330 12 341 3 289 8 310 8 345 20353 18724 18 320 13 329 9 324 9 326 10 344 18724 17167 15 311 14 313 15 327 11 344 8 337 17167 15755 12 301 15 299 15 314 11 339 6 317 15755 14494 9 297 13 283 16 302 11 328 7 318 14494 13362 7 311 11 282 16 301 13 322 7 324 13362 12341 9 332 11*301 16*304 13*322 8 322 12341 11416 13 341 12*317 15*304 14*327 8 329 11416 10579 18 343 14 321 14 303 13 329 9 337 10579 9825 22 341 14 322 11 300 12 331 9 340 9825 9144 24*338 13 322 9 295 10 333 9*343 9144 8522 24*335 12 323 8 290 9 336 7*345 8522 7960 22 331 11 324 7 288 8 338 6 344 7960 7482 18 328 10 326 6 285 6 339 3 337 7482 7110 13 323 9 328 6 283 5 341 1 288 7110 6851 9 313 8 329 5 282 5 342 2 220 6851 6692 7 302 8 329 5 281 4 343 3 214 6692 6601 3 280 6 331 4 282 3 343 3 218 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography