DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.3 - - 43.4 - - 44.1 - - 39.2 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 23 - - 44 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2579 - - 3535 - - 1327 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6584 - - 8593 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 10079 - - 11035 - - 8827 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3154 - - 2152 - - 1773 - - 2516 - - 3284 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 179 - - 239 - - 0 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 340 - - 192 - - 208 - - 208 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 7 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -5 - - 4 - - -12 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 2667 - - 4309 - - 2227 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6600 - - 7413 - - 6727 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -3076 - - -685 - - 1803 - - 603 - - -1825 ODpotential blCL 9677 - - 10764 - - 9232 - - 8224 - - 8426 blCL maxRH 85 - - 84 - - 98 - - 92 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.3 - - 43.4 - - 44.1 - - 39.2 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.6 - - 33.7 - - 37.2 - - 37.3 - - 34.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.6 - - 45.9 - - 46.3 - - 43.6 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.2 - - 32.5 - - 36.1 - - 37.1 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 23 - - 44 - - -4 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2579 - - 3535 - - 1327 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 37 - - 91 - - 66 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96501 16 068 15 014 19 030 19 056 7 083 96501 89464 15 051 9 070 13 083 16 064 12 063 89464 83973 13 062 12 101 9 080 7 054 14 054 83973 79378 14 060 15 075 7 063 4 021 15 045 79378 75408 14 062 12 060 8 071 4 036 12 039 75408 71888 9 062 9 050 5 099 6 054 11 039 71888 68673 3 010 5 056 3 159 3 088 9 020 68673 65694 10 301 3 113 5 221 3 266 7 310 65694 62924 14 267 3 270 4 257 7 265 7 299 62924 60232 12 249 14 263 7 291 5 271 5 254 60232 57412 10 227 18 251 11 268 8 276 7 245 57412 54469 12 219 16 243 16 243 12 247 13 263 54469 51654 11 219 14 248 17 242 11 245 13 250 51654 49126 12 238 15 254 16 256 15 261 11 244 49126 46874 14 218 19 242 19 253 19 257 13 251 46874 44838 6 235 19 222 19 237 14 246 15 235 44838 42975 5 236 16 215 14 222 8 225 15 204 42975 41256 7 248 12 192 20 241 10 241 9 183 41256 39675 15 239 19 220 25 231 18 235 14 234 39675 38231 18 134 15 203 18 213 17 225 19 245 38231 36900 10 245 9 265 10 213 16 215 24 215 36900 35635 22 245 17 279 14 233 19 197 28 196 35635 34372 20 227 21 265 11 228 21 192 28 185 34372 33082 19 196 25 241 18 225 21 193 25 178 33082 31770 22 188 27 225 25 220 23 202 22 174 31770 30424 15 191 24 222 27 208 27 192 28 180 30424 29039 14 220 21 210 25 207 30 188 26 187 29039 27620 10 186 20 196 26 207 29 195 17 189 27620 26169 11 127 18 190 25 204 24 203 17 200 26169 24687 9 117 16 186 21 202 19 215 19 205 24687 23176 2 091 16 181 17 208 16 221 21 198 23176 21633 7 122 17 182 17 214 14 235 19 208 21633 20053 10 142 18 183 18 216 15 242 15 222 20053 18462 6 148 16 186 16 218 14 240 13 236 18462 16939 4 143 11 186 13 223 11 225 11 238 16939 15556 6 196 7 196 9 233 7 219 8 232 15556 14322 7 224 5 229 4 248 3 210 3 215 14322 13214 6 259 6 252 3 330 2 170 3 123 13214 12215 5 295 7 255 4 349 3 163 4 117 12215 11311 8 316 6 252 3*346 2 164 3 122 11311 10492 10 321 4*254 2*348 2 167 2 131 10492 9755 11 319 2*295 1 245 3 165 2 136 9755 9088 10 313 4 353 2 198 4*156 2 150 9088 8478 9 308 8 348 5 194 6*204 3 173 8478 7928 8 300 7 346 7 191 8 216 4 204 7928 7461 8 284 6 339 7 190 9 212 7 214 7461 7097 8 265 4 325 7 188 9 207 8 214 7097 6844 9 257 3 309 7 187 8 201 7 209 6844 6689 7*248 3 304 7 186 6 196 6*201 6689 6600 4*236 2 299 6 186 3 190 4*205 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography