DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 38.7 - - 46.2 - - 38.5 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 14 - - 27 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 333 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 - - 6583 Hcrit BL Top 6601 - - 6601 - - 7833 - - 6601 - - 6601 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 817 - - 905 - - 1154 - - 1221 - - 1100 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 27 - - 95 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 122 - - 202 - - 223 - - 210 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -10 - - -11 - - -16 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -411 - - -771 - - 458 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7012 - - 7372 - - 7376 - - 6600 - - 6600 sfcLCL ODpotential -10189 - - -9400 - - -4132 - - -4811 - - -5324 ODpotential blCL 16790 - - 16001 - - 11965 - - 11412 - - 11925 blCL maxRH 69 - - 79 - - 78 - - 82 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 38.7 - - 46.2 - - 38.5 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.1 - - 29.7 - - 36.9 - - 36.2 - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.8 - - 42.4 - - 48.6 - - 44.9 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.4 - - 28.6 - - 35.7 - - 37.2 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 14 - - 27 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 333 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 14 - - 12 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95781 36 287 40 284 43 289 39 286 45 288 95781 88915 24 298 27 293 28 290 28 293 30 291 88915 83568 20 295 20 292 21 288 25 285 22 297 83568 79066 17 289 11 313 17 274 20 285 20 302 79066 75128 8 305 16 282 18 279 25 269 21 298 75128 71618 14 288 15 253 20 266 22 255 21 288 71618 68450 22 263 6 294 4 231 6 251 18 290 68450 65539 35 248 37 285 24 296 22 300 15 319 65539 62822 36 247 46 259 40 268 33 286 24 300 62822 60175 28 255 39 250 40 256 40 277 36 285 60175 57406 34 268 36 255 42 259 42 268 42 273 57406 54547 48 265 42 260 49 265 46 271 51 271 54547 51844 53 262 49 264 54 267 52 273 55 268 51844 49432 55 263 48 261 53 264 54 269 54 265 49432 47285 54 260 41 275 49 269 52 273 56 268 47285 45354 50 273 57 289 54 277 62 276 63 273 45354 43602 64 284 70 281 64 275 66 275 67 278 43602 41989 63 276 65 271 66 272 69 282 69 281 41989 40480 49 268 54 264 64 272 73 286 69 278 40480 39056 48 277 52 266 64 275 70 283 68 275 39056 37716 53 281 52 270 63 272 65 278 68 276 37716 36432 55 278 52 271 61 265 64 274 68 277 36432 35145 54 274 50 270 60 261 64 273 68 277 35145 33828 54 271 48 268 58 260 62 273 67 277 33828 32486 54 271 47 266 57 260 60 272 67 278 32486 31110 52 271 47 267 56 259 60 272 66 278 31110 29690 49 270 50 271 55 259 62 270 64 277 29690 28230 46 267 52 273 54 259 61 264 61 274 28230 26733 44 264 51 270 54 260 60 259 59 270 26733 25203 45 263 48 262 54 260 60 258 59 268 25203 23645 45 265 47 257 54 260 58 260 59 268 23645 22052 45 267 48 257 55 260 57 262 57 270 22052 20420 42 265 48 259 55 262 55 264 55 271 20420 18777 39 260 46 259 53 262 52 267 51 270 18777 17205 37 257 44 257 50 262 49 269 47 269 17205 15778 37 257 42 256 46 261 45 271 42 270 15778 14505 35 257 38 255 41 261 41 271 38 272 14505 13365 32 256 34 253 36 259 36 271 35 273 13365 12336 29 254 30 251 32 257 32 270 31 272 12336 11405 26 252 26 250 29 256 27 270 28 271 11405 10565 24 248 24 250 26 255 22 268 24 268 10565 9809 21 241 22 248 24 256 18 265 21 264 9809 9128 19 230 21 245 22 255 16 261 18 259 9128 8506 18 219 19 244 19 255 15 255 16 254 8506 7946 15 212 16 242 16*251 14 245 14 248 7946 7471 12 205 12 236 11*241 13 232 13 242 7471 7102 7 184 9 222 7 221 12 221 11 235 7102 6846 4 162 6 211 6 214 8 210 8 225 6846 6690 4*116 4*200 5 211 5*197 5*210 6690 6600 3*079 2*183 4 203 2*177 2*201 6600 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography