DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.1 - - 83.1 - - 86.9 - - 86.2 - - 78.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 69 - - 324 - - 342 - - 168 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1955 - - 7237 - - 11707 - - 11889 - - 8331 BL Depth Hcrit 6586 - - 12804 - - 16452 - - 16093 - - 6586 Hcrit BL Top 9455 - - 14737 - - 19207 - - 19389 - - 15831 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3427 - - 3684 - - 2609 - - 2551 - - 3731 Hgt.Variab. W* 222 - - 570 - - 680 - - 543 - - 43 W* B/S 3 - - 15 - - 14 - - 10 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 301 - - 238 - - 230 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 12 - - 21 - - 15 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - -11 - - -8 - - -11 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4112 - - -1455 - - 2355 - - 3340 - - 1473 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13567 - - 16193 - - 16853 - - 16049 - - 14358 sfcLCL ODpotential -9107 - - -4511 - - 338 - - 1159 - - -2457 ODpotential blCL 18562 - - 19248 - - 18869 - - 18230 - - 18288 blCL maxRH 87 - - 89 - - 88 - - 80 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 10 - - 60 - - 210 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 76.1 - - 83.1 - - 86.9 - - 86.2 - - 78.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.6 - - 34.7 - - 35.5 - - 38.4 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 78.2 - - 83.6 - - 87.3 - - 87.5 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 33.7 - - 34.4 - - 37.5 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 69 - - 324 - - 342 - - 168 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1955 - - 7237 - - 11707 - - 11889 - - 8331 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 58 - - 53 - - 21 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99800 44 107 39 116 31 101 36 100 34 097 99800 92174 36 100 33 100 32 112 25 104 27 096 92174 86344 25 096 23 107 31 107 22 104 24 099 86344 81537 21 107 19 107 24 103 23 100 25 104 81537 77394 18 106 19 111 16 105 19 098 24 093 77394 73743 17 128 16 116 14 108 12 069 19 092 73743 70451 16 111 15 134 13 131 7 104 13 106 70451 67428 8 090 18 126 13 159 6 147 10 119 67428 64634 6 199 10 131 11 183 13 200 5 175 64634 61946 14 212 9 179 10 183 16 180 11 169 61946 59153 22 214 16 211 15 221 19 220 15 233 59153 56286 32 209 32 209 34 218 38 212 37 203 56286 53594 33 199 39 203 42 214 37 212 36 208 53594 51172 39 218 44 217 46 223 38 220 38 226 51172 48984 50 229 57 223 56 224 46 222 52 229 48984 46990 58 230 57 222 58 221 54 225 59 227 46990 45159 59 227 59 222 56 221 54 221 57 226 45159 43463 56 222 52 223 57 220 52 220 53 223 43463 41879 52 220 41 225 51 216 51 224 48 219 41879 40391 49 218 47 231 43 222 45 228 44 225 40391 38993 51 218 54 225 45 236 45 234 45 236 38993 37655 52 219 50 217 46 233 51 239 47 243 37655 36312 47 216 49 213 47 226 53 243 45 250 36312 34939 42 199 46 211 50 224 44 243 42 253 34939 33540 38 202 43 210 48 223 38 239 38 248 33540 32107 35 214 40 209 44 227 36 238 34 241 32107 30630 33 230 37 214 36 227 33 239 32 239 30630 29114 31 237 29 221 27 216 29 234 32 237 29114 27564 28 236 24 221 25 216 29 225 34 230 27564 25984 24 221 23 202 27 208 29 218 32 221 25984 24378 25 222 26 219 27 215 26 218 27 213 24378 22739 30 219 35 225 28 221 24 222 21 216 22739 21062 29 213 36 221 29 222 23*226 20 219 21062 19372 26 215 31 215 27*222 21*226 18 211 19372 17753 26 219 27 217 23*225 17 226 13 207 17753 16278 27 219 25 231 14 233 10 226 7*184 16278 14957 23 221 22*245 11 235 7 228 4*168 14957 13765 15 227 13*255 9 237 7 229 3 177 13765 12686 9 249 6 279 8 238 7 231 2 222 12686 11708 7 260 6 301 7 241 7 233 3 252 11708 10822 6 269 7 305 7 245 7 234 5 260 10822 10022 7*300 7 308 6 248 7 236 7 267 10022 9300 10*320 7 311 6 250 7 236 8 271 9300 8639 14 333 7 314 5 254 8 236 9 276 8639 8044 15 340 7 317 5 257 8 236 10 281 8044 7537 14 342 7 319 5 261 7 236 10 284 7537 7142 13 341 7 322 4 262 7 236 9 285 7142 6868 11 340 7 324 4 264 7 236 8 285 6868 6700 10 339 6 325 4 264 7 236 6 287 6700 6603 7 340 6 326 4 266 6 236 4 285 6603 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography