DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 KingMountain_ID 7500ft pt41928@43.805,-113.209,6604ft SPONSORED BY: King Mountain Glider Park BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +3.0 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 67.9 - - 68.8 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 414 - - 151 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3751 - - 6614 - - 7378 - - 2120 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10099 - - 12407 - - 12473 - - 6585 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11251 - - 14114 - - 14878 - - 9620 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1756 - - 2189 - - 2461 - - 5259 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 597 - - 446 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 225 - - 239 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -13 - - -26 - - -46 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2341 - - -1830 - - -3797 - - -7415 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13593 - - 15945 - - 18676 - - 17035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7580 - - -5911 - - -8983 - - -14246 ODpotential blCL - - - 18831 - - 20025 - - 23861 - - 23866 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 61 - - 65 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.1 - - 67.9 - - 68.8 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 20.6 - - 9.3 - - 8.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.5 - - 68.1 - - 70.4 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 19.5 - - 8.3 - - 7.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 375 - - 414 - - 151 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3751 - - 6614 - - 7378 - - 2120 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97750 15 185 3 230 3 047 14 129 97750 90365 16 146 12 161 6 194 7 134 90365 84696 13 129 16 159 5 157 7 126 84696 79996 13 118 14 148 4 174 6 128 79996 75943 6 107 11 137 4 184 5 100 75943 72355 7 156 4 136 4 193 5 044 72355 69109 3 052 5 159 3 170 3 293 69109 66123 5 329 5 323 4 335 4 302 66123 63346 5 314 8 290 9 304 7 331 63346 60658 11 321 14 292 15 297 12 320 60658 57869 15 301 19 286 19 289 11 303 57869 54986 20 300 23 290 24 289 23 293 54986 52244 25 307 22 294 28 285 34 285 52244 49790 36 317 29 306 34 286 36 283 49790 47599 45 311 37 304 38 287 41 279 47599 45623 45 307 45 301 44 293 41 278 45623 43830 46 307 50 300 50 296 47 285 43830 42188 48 309 53 299 54 294 53 288 42188 40663 49 308 52 297 51 291 50 282 40663 39231 50 306 49 296 47 291 46 278 39231 37886 52 305 49 299 45 292 45 279 37886 36598 53 304 50 300 45 293 45 281 36598 35309 53 303 51 299 45 292 47 282 35309 33990 50 303 50 298 46 291 48 282 33990 32649 46 304 46 297 45 289 48 282 32649 31274 41 304 42 298 42 289 46 282 31274 29856 34 306 37 298 40 289 44 284 29856 28398 27 303 32 297 36 290 40 287 28398 26904 26 299 28 293 32 291 37 290 26904 25377 26 301 26 290 28 291 35 291 25377 23820 26 307 23 294 26 290 30 286 23820 22228 24 309 22 299 25 285 25 277 22228 20597 22 309 20 301 23 284 26 275 20597 18957 19 307 18 295 21 283 26 276 18957 17385 18 306 17 287 19 281 24 276 17385 15954 18 307 16 282 16*276 23 273 15954 14673 16 308 14*277 14*270 22 269 14673 13519 13 307 11*257 13 254 22 266 13519 12475 10 301 12 235 14 244 21 263 12475 11529 9*284 12 230 14 239 20 260 11529 10672 9*256 12 226 14 236 19 254 10672 9901 9 232 12 223 14 233 18*249 9901 9203 9 220 13 221 14 231 18*245 9203 8566 9 212 13 219 14 229 17 244 8566 7991 9 206 12 217 14 228 17 245 7991 7503 9 201 12 215 14 227 15 244 7503 7122 9 198 12 214 13 227 14 244 7122 6857 8 194 11 213 13 226 11 242 6857 6695 7 192 10 213 11 225 8 238 6695 6601 7 191 8 212 9 224 5 239 6601 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography