DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 80.8 - - 76.5 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 323 - - 14 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4214 - - 6265 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7828 - - 9347 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9063 - - 11114 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1767 - - 2485 - - 6324 - - 1990 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 506 - - 531 - - 68 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 185 - - 171 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -9 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -472 - - 671 - - -3339 - - -1263 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9536 - - 10443 - - 8494 - - 6418 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2953 - - -518 - - -5282 - - -4746 ODpotential blCL - - - 12016 - - 11632 - - 10437 - - 9901 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 79 - - 78 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 240 - - 260 - - 360 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.2 - - 80.8 - - 76.5 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 52.4 - - 56.6 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 78.6 - - 76.1 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 52.3 - - 56.5 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 323 - - 14 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4214 - - 6265 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - 11 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98129 18 281 23 285 26 289 18 291 98129 90747 6 252 15 262 18 293 20 319 90747 85047 5 143 10 178 4 262 14 330 85047 80344 9 122 4 103 3 108 2 041 80344 76317 6 083 6 069 6 084 4 104 76317 72768 4 059 5 067 6 089 4 058 72768 69571 3 280 3 308 1 036 4 015 69571 66650 9 237 5 300 4 324 5 336 66650 63969 8 185 3 208 3 345 3 122 63969 61402 3 115 8 186 5 232 4 072 61402 58766 8 229 10 213 10 223 3 259 58766 56057 8 213 13 222 13 234 11 218 56057 53472 16 270 16 234 18 234 19 232 53472 51139 20 263 16 251 18 226 19 225 51139 49029 24 269 20 279 14 259 12 246 49029 47085 31 272 31 283 26 281 20 277 47085 45280 30 269 37 279 34 276 29 276 45280 43593 28 270 36 276 36 276 32 276 43593 42007 31 270 33 270 35 279 31 276 42007 40508 34 263 34 266 33 279 29 269 40508 39095 34 255 34 265 31 273 29 261 39095 37736 33 255 32 260 31 263 31 256 37736 36367 32 256 30 254 32 254 32 251 36367 34959 32 255 30 249 31 242 31 246 34959 33518 33 250 32 244 33 236 31 238 33518 32031 33 245 35 239 35 237 32 233 32031 30489 32 244 37 237 36 242 34 234 30489 28896 31 251 36 239 35 242 35 238 28896 27258 32 258 31 246 32 238 33 239 27258 25583 31 255 29 259 27 244 29 238 25583 23873 27 246 28 261 24 262 24 241 23873 22121 23 244 25 254 23 267 22 245 22121 20319 22 249 23 245 21 252 20 246 20319 18501 20 241 20 235 20 227 21 243 18501 16761 16 226 16 222 18 217 22 242 16761 15182 14 219 14 225 16 218 22 244 15182 13774 16 210 15 219 13 221 21 245 13774 12513 17 203 16 205 11 214 18 243 12513 11377 18 201 17*191 11 200 16 235 11377 10354 18 200 18*188 15 183 17 216 10354 9432 18*196 18 186 17 176 20 196 9432 8607 18*192 18 185 19 174 24 179 8607 7868 19 191 18 185 19 173 26 171 7868 7196 19 190 18 184 19 172 27 167 7196 6594 19 190 18 184 19 172 26 161 6594 6086 18 190 18 184 19 171 25 156 6086 5692 18 190 18 184 18 171 22 153 5692 5418 17 190 17 184 17 171 17 153 5418 5251 16 190 16 183 16*171 14*152 5251 5155 14 190 14 183 12*171 8*150 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography