DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 26.6 - - 33.3 - - 36.7 - - 31.5 - - 25.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 109 - - 145 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 883 - - 1055 - - 303 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5135 - - 5038 - - 5135 - - 5135 Hcrit BL Top 5152 - - 5732 - - 5904 - - 5152 - - 5152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 111 - - 631 - - 881 - - 821 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 196 - - 226 - - 51 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 039 - - 065 - - 074 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -3 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1712 - - -1397 - - -2194 - - -1383 - - -449 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6864 - - 7129 - - 8098 - - 6536 - - 5601 sfcLCL ODpotential -14152 - - -12961 - - -12483 - - -12193 - - -12878 ODpotential blCL 19304 - - 18693 - - 18387 - - 17345 - - 18030 blCL maxRH 41 - - 57 - - 67 - - 65 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 26.6 - - 33.3 - - 36.7 - - 31.5 - - 25.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.4 - - 20.7 - - 19.8 - - 21.5 - - 19.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.3 - - 32.3 - - 35.5 - - 31.5 - - 28.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.3 - - 19.6 - - 18.8 - - 20.8 - - 19.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 109 - - 145 - - 5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 303 - - 883 - - 1055 - - 303 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96139 85 247 63 249 80 245 83 258 75 253 96139 89011 83 260 69 255 79 253 78 258 75 260 89011 83546 73 265 70 265 74 266 76 269 73 270 83546 78958 57 263 60 266 51 271 58 265 59 266 78958 74984 43 269 46 266 39 272 48 256 47 264 74984 71497 41 268 38 261 33 265 39 261 37 271 71497 68365 42 268 38 260 35 258 41 271 35 278 68365 65491 37 267 40 257 40 258 42 265 41 273 65491 62829 35 262 37 266 41 269 44 263 45 271 62829 60245 42 275 49 264 46 268 47 266 53 271 60245 57538 56 266 54 254 53 263 53 264 62 262 57538 54712 61 262 62 253 60 265 58 267 66 261 54712 52000 74 261 70 260 69 262 65 267 71 261 52000 49553 82 258 81 259 76 258 69 262 74 256 49553 47357 87 255 88 252 79 255 72 257 76 255 47357 45366 87 252 90 249 84 254 75 257 78 259 45366 43550 86 253 90 250 85 253 78 259 81 262 43550 41886 89 257 91 253 84 258 80 263 83 263 41886 40352 92 260 93 256 88 262 84 267 87 263 40352 38925 95 266 95 259 93 263 87 269 92 266 38925 37590 97 269 95 260 96 262 90 269 92 270 37590 36308 95 269 94 261 95 262 92 269 89 270 36308 35016 92 269 92 264 93 264 90 271 84 270 35016 33688 91 272 90 266 90 266 89 275 82 273 33688 32326 88 274 90 269 88 269 88 277 81 276 32326 30921 86 276 89 274 88 273 86 277 79 278 30921 29461 85 278 86 276 86 273 83 276 76 281 29461 27953 81 282 81 276 82 274 77 276 74 282 27953 26399 75 286 76 280 72 277 71 279 70 281 26399 24801 72 289 69 285 64 280 63 280 64 281 24801 23162 69 288 66 289 61 282 56 280 56 283 23162 21472 65 290 64 289 60 285 53 282 51 283 21472 19727 59 294 58 290 57 288 51 284 47 283 19727 17960 54 297 51 294 53 292 49 288 44 284 17960 16263 48 304 42 302 42 298 41 292 39 285 16263 14720 39 313 33 308 29 304 30 294 31 284 14720 13344 32 319 25 311 21 305 21 291 25 281 13344 12116 28 320 21 310 18 298 17 287 20 280 12116 11014 23 322 18 308 16 289 15 284 16 285 11014 10027 19 330 15 307 15 282 16 283 14 292 10027 9144 16 349 12 307 13 279 16 280 14 300 9144 8360 17 008 10 327 9 277 12 275 11 292 8360 7663 19 019 12 001 5 278 8 274 8 257 7663 7035 24 022 15 025 2 351 5 272 8 220 7035 6476 27 022 16 031 5 055 1 291 9 186 6476 6006 25 021 16*031 6*061 5 069 12 169 6006 5643 21 018 13*036 6*064 8 071 11 162 5643 5392 16 016 12 039 6 065 7 072 8 153 5392 5239 10 015 11 040 6 065 7*073 4*146 5239 5152 5*015 9 041 6 065 6*074 2*143 5152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography