DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.3 - - 63.8 - - 66.4 - - 64.7 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 191 - - 233 - - 1 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3670 - - 3348 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7104 - - 6951 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 8519 - - 8197 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 102 - - 2176 - - 2106 - - 5076 - - 849 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 372 - - 386 - - 29 - - 11 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 236 - - 254 - - 223 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -7 - - -22 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5014 - - -5261 - - -3829 - - -5521 - - -3265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10168 - - 13781 - - 12027 - - 10675 - - 8419 sfcLCL ODpotential -13442 - - -10152 - - -6706 - - -9082 - - -7038 ODpotential blCL 18596 - - 18671 - - 14903 - - 14236 - - 12192 blCL maxRH 91 - - 96 - - 98 - - 91 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.3 - - 63.8 - - 66.4 - - 64.7 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.6 - - 21.5 - - 31.8 - - 35.9 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.9 - - 62.1 - - 64.6 - - 64.5 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.6 - - 21.4 - - 31.8 - - 35.9 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 191 - - 233 - - 1 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3670 - - 3348 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 83 - - 90 - - 65 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96614 6 215 10 276 18 250 24 315 8 348 96614 89384 5 084 2 062 4 103 9 292 11 026 89384 83852 14 042 13 123 10 069 9 080 15 081 83852 79262 10 029 14 111 12 107 7 057 15 083 79262 75312 8 005 6 080 11 059 6 075 13 111 75312 71828 3 018 7 145 8 345 6 019 9 105 71828 68697 8 115 2 224 8 283 8 014 6 145 68697 65835 8 171 9 266 10 262 10 337 2 130 65835 63193 1 243 9 225 14 249 13 292 10 257 63193 60654 16 287 20 256 25 243 23 260 18 242 60654 58004 31 262 27 269 25 254 27 262 23 259 58004 55226 38 250 32 264 28 263 31 266 32 273 55226 52557 36 253 32 255 40 258 43 248 51 244 52557 50155 45 249 47 249 49 244 48 237 54 231 50155 47994 58 251 59 242 58 246 49 236 42 230 47994 46011 69 246 68 236 70 241 61 237 40 236 46011 44171 66 237 67 227 75 232 71 238 51 243 44171 42465 63 239 60 223 79 228 80 237 64 243 42465 40880 69 244 57 239 69 227 87 231 82 241 40880 39403 79 251 74 249 64 240 83 228 90 234 39403 38024 86 250 87 245 73 245 74 229 87 231 38024 36705 83 248 81 241 81 243 70 235 85 234 36705 35386 86 247 80 242 88 240 76 235 87 236 35386 34035 91 252 84 246 88 239 76 235 88 235 34035 32653 87 257 80 248 86 239 75 235 87 234 32653 31226 77 253 71 245 82 238 75 229 81 232 31226 29752 73 246 71 239 78 239 72 227 63 225 29752 28230 65 242 65 233 63 233 75 232 51 221 28230 26661 49 238 51 229 40 228 63 233 47 221 26661 25045 38 226 44 228 42 230 44 228 44 220 25045 23388 35 229 42 231 39 230 36 223 36 220 23388 21686 21 246 37 232 35 230 34 221 29 220 21686 19933 20 257 24 232 32 229 33 221 28 218 19933 18162 11 287 14 233 30 224 33 222 29 211 18162 16465 5 216 10 228 28 220 32 222 28 204 16465 14922 12 192 15 209 25 218 29 221 25 201 14922 13546 16 208 20 214 22 217 27 218 21 200 13546 12314 18 218 19 220 20 217 24 214 18 202 12314 11207 15 219 16 224 19 216 20 212 15 210 11207 10212 9 224 11 231 17 220 16 212 14 221 10212 9316 7 237 7*237 14 235 10 217 15 231 9316 8513 6 255 6*236 11*250 8 222 15 236 8513 7794 6 262 6 236 11*254 8 223 15 240 7794 7139 7 263 6 236 11 255 9 223 15 243 7139 6553 7 257 6 237 10 255 9 223 15 243 6553 6059 8 250 6 236 10 254 9 223 16 245 6059 5675 8 245 6 237 10 254 9 223 17 250 5675 5409 7 245 5 236 9 253 8 222 15 252 5409 5247 6*246 5 236 9 253 8 222 11*254 5247 5154 4*240 5 236 8 252 6*223 6*253 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography