DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 57.3 - - 62.6 - - 56.3 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 222 - - 176 - - -12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1331 - - 2231 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5468 - - 6022 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6180 - - 7080 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 175 - - 546 - - 1386 - - 1877 - - 265 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 279 - - 307 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 10 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 222 - - 218 - - 188 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -9 - - -5 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -2857 - - -2722 - - -2938 - - -1383 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5153 - - 9037 - - 9802 - - 8093 - - 6537 sfcLCL ODpotential -9193 - - -7718 - - -6613 - - -8764 - - -8223 ODpotential blCL 14346 - - 13898 - - 13693 - - 13918 - - 13377 blCL maxRH 85 - - 79 - - 85 - - 88 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 57.3 - - 62.6 - - 56.3 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 35.9 - - 37.6 - - 39.0 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 55.5 - - 61.0 - - 58.1 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 35.9 - - 37.6 - - 39.0 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 222 - - 176 - - -12 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1331 - - 2231 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 41 - - 17 - - 41 - - 53 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96335 46 273 36 287 24 267 31 271 32 273 96335 89239 13 311 7 281 10 282 9 342 15 038 89239 83796 16 013 10 064 5 074 8 067 21 053 83796 79255 17 026 11 058 13 068 14 090 22 066 79255 75337 11 046 11 070 16 068 17 081 22 080 75337 71882 13 070 14 061 19 068 18 070 19 078 71882 68764 15 067 12 048 17 052 15 068 13 082 68764 65902 14 060 10 031 16 023 14 033 12 056 65902 63253 10 038 7 023 16 009 14 008 14 017 63253 60692 12 005 2 343 11 350 13 356 13 355 60692 58021 18 350 8 336 12 339 15 328 16 321 58021 55244 23 332 17 332 16 333 15 324 17 316 55244 52574 26 315 23 316 21 314 19 304 19 312 52574 50147 31 302 33 298 30 305 24 301 16 293 50147 47955 45 299 47 294 41 291 34 293 24 302 47955 45967 62 289 64 285 57 285 56 285 38 280 45967 44162 68 278 78 275 85 279 85 278 59 277 44162 42499 68 281 77 267 86 266 91 267 82 273 42499 40947 83 289 68 269 80 263 83 263 87 261 40947 39489 83 281 72 280 71 262 78 260 81 253 39489 38120 79 276 73 279 68 270 74 262 74 253 38120 36807 79 276 69 275 68 272 70 266 69 256 36807 35485 77 277 71 271 70 274 67 271 66 256 35485 34124 75 278 72 272 72 275 66 270 65 257 34124 32730 71 278 69 277 71 277 65 269 65 261 32730 31293 64 279 66 276 64 276 64 269 64 265 31293 29808 55 282 63 276 57 274 61 268 59 263 29808 28276 33 283 56 276 51 273 54 266 56 257 28276 26697 18 262 32 271 39 260 47 264 51 257 26697 25077 16 252 24 256 30 245 41 260 43 258 25077 23423 16 256 21 248 29 250 35 254 38 260 23423 21723 15 251 17 217 26 255 30 257 34 261 21723 19969 11 235 15 195 24 252 27 263 28 265 19969 18196 10 237 14 213 23 257 25 270 23 270 18196 16495 13 253 16 251 22 268 24 278 19 274 16495 14948 15 259 17 263 21 272 23 280 17 280 14948 13565 15 254 17 255 18 263 20 276 16 280 13565 12327 13 245 17 242 16 249 17 269 14 272 12327 11214 11 240 17 232 15 239 14 255 13 265 11214 10212 10 238 15 224 15 234 12 246 13 261 10212 9312 11 239 14 218 15 228 10 240 13 255 9312 8507 12 239 13 218 13 223 9 233 14 250 8507 7787 13 240 14 224 12 221 7 226 14 246 7787 7132 14 239 16 228 10*220 6 212 13 241 7132 6547 16 236 16*226 10*219 7 198 10 235 6547 6053 17 227 13*222 10 218 8 192 8 230 6053 5671 16 220 13 222 10 217 9 191 9 213 5671 5407 13 220 12 222 9 217 9 190 9 202 5407 5246 10*226 11 222 9 217 8*190 6*215 5246 5154 5*228 10 222 8 217 5*188 4*226 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography