DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 87.1 - - - - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 412 - - 401 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4373 - - 10563 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7948 - - 12921 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9222 - - 15412 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4108 - - 2681 - - - - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 510 - - 678 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 281 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 0 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 283 - - - - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 2 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10239 - - -6167 - - - - - -12358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19462 - - 21580 - - - - - 17514 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13702 - - -9962 - - - - - -19203 ODpotential blCL - - - 22924 - - 25374 - - - - - 24358 blCL maxRH - - - 23 - - 22 - - - - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 87.1 - - - - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.3 - - 8.3 - - - - - 11.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 84.2 - - - - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.2 - - 8.2 - - - - - 11.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 412 - - 401 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4373 - - 10563 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97011 30 246 35 260 29 276 97011 89702 25 271 22 256 21 275 89702 84098 15 279 18 269 22 274 84098 79460 9 243 10 258 12 267 79460 75490 3 113 6 265 4 321 75490 72008 6 114 6 318 6 026 72008 68855 9 097 3 210 4 025 68855 65955 7 078 6 118 1 304 65955 63283 1 090 8 092 1 229 63283 60725 1 043 7 065 4 101 60725 58073 8 085 10 069 11 090 58073 55318 14 080 14 064 12 066 55318 52673 10 053 9 071 12 055 52673 50269 14 018 10 041 9 044 50269 48097 21 033 15 022 5 078 48097 46113 23 027 19 028 14 049 46113 44293 17 018 18 008 21 031 44293 42619 15 017 16 360 26 018 42619 41070 17 027 15 012 24 016 41070 39627 22 032 17 027 27 033 39627 38274 29 026 24 030 34 040 38274 36975 37 021 36 027 34 039 36975 35666 42 018 40 023 33 041 35666 34322 44 019 39 021 31 036 34322 32947 45 023 39 023 29 031 32947 31530 43 026 38 027 26 034 31530 30058 39 023 37 028 24 045 30058 28533 37 019 34 024 24 051 28533 26956 36 021 33 021 25 045 26956 25332 34 031 32 027 27 038 25332 23666 31 035 30 034 25 043 23666 21955 23 041 25 037 24 048 21955 20193 21 064 20 054 23 039 20193 18410 23 073 20 073 18 046 18410 16700 21 076 17*076 10 024 16700 15145 16 076 6*056 7 002 15145 13752 9 085 3 035 7 338 13752 12499 6 074 2 026 8 315 12499 11369 7 050 1 007 9 298 11369 10350 6 035 1 283 9 281 10350 9432 3*013 1 247 10 264 9432 8609 3*318 2 236 11 249 8609 7870 5 273 3 233 13 238 7870 7198 7 257 3 231 14 230 7198 6596 8 254 3 229 15 223 6596 6087 8 252 4 229 16 219 6087 5691 8 252 4 228 15 216 5691 5418 8 250 4 227 14 212 5418 5250 8 250 4 227 10*207 5250 5155 7 250 4 226 6*204 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography