DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.2 - - 60.5 - - 60.5 - - 60.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 103 - - 53 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 1722 - - 1438 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 5422 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 6571 - - 6287 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1216 - - 1339 - - 2221 - - 2922 - - 1022 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 243 - - 184 - - 32 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 173 - - 160 - - 170 - - 168 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1417 - - 1133 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 5154 - - 5154 - - 5154 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -3017 - - 362 - - 193 - - -1277 - - -2245 ODpotential blCL 8171 - - 6209 - - 6094 - - 6431 - - 7399 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 310 - - 770 - - 1110 - - 1090 - - 910 CAPE Temp@2m 57.2 - - 60.5 - - 60.5 - - 60.1 - - 56.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.8 - - 56.2 - - 56.4 - - 55.7 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 59.3 - - 59.7 - - 60.2 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.3 - - 55.5 - - 55.8 - - 55.5 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 103 - - 53 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 1722 - - 1438 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 72 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97528 34 262 35 265 42 263 40 281 38 265 97528 90171 22 269 21 257 30 254 26 258 25 276 90171 84517 14 264 11 261 21 253 18 245 19 254 84517 79840 15 246 11 280 13 286 10 232 12 267 79840 75828 12 254 10 289 6 278 6 249 11 283 75828 72296 7 246 12 258 5 246 7 273 9 255 72296 69112 7 245 9 225 6 217 8 227 9 253 69112 66184 10 222 14 246 12 241 9 239 13 213 66184 63472 12 218 16 230 16 245 14 231 16 226 63472 60858 11 207 18 218 18 235 19 232 20 234 60858 58127 15 240 26 216 30 227 33 227 24 235 58127 55285 28 225 31 201 30 214 36 223 32 236 55285 52572 33 237 32 236 39 248 42 241 39 247 52572 50135 54 240 57 242 54 241 57 244 53 244 50135 47957 71 235 61 234 58 236 61 238 56 240 47957 45982 68 231 55 230 59 237 54 237 57 242 45982 44172 61 234 59 230 63 234 56 240 61 242 44172 42497 62 232 66 224 66 230 58 239 65 239 42497 40934 61 225 63 218 68 225 60 239 67 238 40934 39466 62 225 61 217 68 222 63 238 68 239 39466 38086 63 222 59 215 67 223 63 237 67 242 38086 36762 60 214 56 210 63 225 61 236 66 245 36762 35431 59 206 51 203 56 222 57 240 59 247 35431 34068 59 200 50 195 52 208 49 242 54 249 34068 32682 57 196 51 196 54 203 40 237 46 251 32682 31263 53 187 50 197 50 207 37 229 36 253 31263 29797 51 181 49 200 39 211 36 224 30 257 29797 28282 54 189 47 205 32 220 34 226 28 260 28282 26718 55 209 48 210 36 223 33 231 28 260 26718 25111 42 235 37 219 35 227 33 235 29 256 25111 23466 30 262 28 244 29 240 31 243 30 247 23466 21776 18 279 22 255 28 253 25 252 30 241 21776 20031 9 273 13 262 24 255 19 249 28 246 20031 18260 4 271 12 256 20 256 18 246 24 253 18260 16556 3 236 9 229 16 258 17 254 21 260 16556 15005 2 226 12 213 13 238 15 265 17 258 15005 13618 3 209 16 212 12 229 13 277 11 254 13618 12376 8 190 17 211 11 219 8 289 7 261 12376 11257 12 186 14 208 10 202 7 288 6 260 11257 10249 13 190 10 198 9 188 6 273 5 250 10249 9343 13 199 7 179 10 179 6 252 6 242 9343 8532 12 202 9 159 10 174 7 222 7 217 8532 7807 10 199 10 156 10 172 7 202 9 198 7807 7147 6 188 10*158 9 171 9 185 12 185 7147 6557 6 187 9*159 9*171 10 175 13 161 6557 6061 6 189 9 160 9*169 10 171 16 140 6061 5676 5 189 8 161 8 169 10 170 14 134 5676 5410 3 183 8 161 8 170 10 168 10 127 5410 5248 2*173 7 161 8 170 8 168 7*114 5248 5154 2*173 7 161 7 169 6*168 3*097 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography