DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.8 - - 97.7 - - 96.0 - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 482 - - 146 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10098 - - 12680 - - 12758 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12668 - - 14775 - - 13937 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14947 - - 17529 - - 17607 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1293 - - 843 - - 1391 - - 2981 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 724 - - 768 - - 518 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 26 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 333 - - 357 - - 348 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 80 - - 84 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 838 - - 83 - - 84 - - -8542 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14110 - - 17446 - - 17524 - - 13699 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2516 - - -2713 - - -3116 - - -11505 ODpotential blCL - - - 17463 - - 20242 - - 20723 - - 16661 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 91 - - 84 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.8 - - 97.7 - - 96.0 - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 38.0 - - 36.2 - - 42.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.5 - - 94.4 - - 94.5 - - 88.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 37.8 - - 36.1 - - 42.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 508 - - 482 - - 146 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10098 - - 12680 - - 12758 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 63 - - 37 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98555 29 107 29 110 25 101 29 085 98555 91069 23 100 23 096 25 090 28 091 91069 85332 19 105 22 104 25 078 32 095 85332 80574 22 101 21 096 20 090 23 096 80574 76485 24 097 26 097 20 098 21 113 76485 72883 20 085 23 107 20 087 22 100 72883 69642 13 080 18 096 19 082 22 083 69642 66692 10 102 10 084 15 084 18 070 66692 63975 10 127 9 102 9 094 12 064 63975 61357 8 138 13 152 7 174 1 001 61357 58659 5 172 9 177 10 196 10 255 58659 55905 6 246 11 255 12 247 18 253 55905 53309 12 287 16 271 15 270 16 267 53309 50975 21 284 25 286 20 286 17 287 50975 48858 24 284 28 286 25 288 26 298 48858 46912 27 294 27 290 29 291 32 296 46912 45109 29 300 24 296 28 294 30 295 45109 43430 26 298 23 301 23 297 26 294 43430 41860 19 292 21 302 19 296 21 297 41860 40382 17 298 18 305 17 294 17 294 40382 38989 17 310 16 304 15 295 14 290 38989 37648 18 320 15 311 13 294 11 287 37648 36297 18 325 15 318 12 291 9 288 36297 34907 18 325 15 316 12 291 9 291 34907 33485 17 325 17 316 14 298 11 302 33485 32021 18 326 20 323 18 312 15 315 32021 30506 18 330 19 333 18 322 16 322 30506 28943 19 342 20 340 20 330 17 331 28943 27333 23 351 23 345 24 340 20 340 27333 25679 17 007 17 351 21 343 22 346 25679 23986 10 005 9 337 14 330 17 338 23986 22248 9 350 11 329 13 327 13 325 22248 20452 10 359 10 335 10 333 14 327 20452 18640 6 026 6*311 5*295 8 315 18640 16910 5 062 5*311 4*309 6 314 16910 15334 6*048 5 318 5 321 6 323 15334 13919 9*005 5 328 5 329 5 330 13919 12647 10 354 5 341 5 337 4 337 12647 11498 10 351 6 352 6 345 3 349 11498 10461 10 341 6 001 6 351 2 007 10461 9526 10 332 6 007 6 357 2 042 9526 8687 10 326 7 012 6 001 2 074 8687 7933 10 321 7 016 6 004 3 097 7933 7247 10 316 7 019 6 006 5 108 7247 6631 10 313 7 022 6 009 7 113 6631 6111 10 310 7 023 6 010 8 114 6111 5706 9 308 7 025 6 010 8 113 5706 5426 9 308 7 025 6 011 7 110 5426 5254 9 307 7 025 5 011 5*107 5254 5156 8 307 6 025 5 011 4*104 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography