DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 59.2 - - 57.1 - - 54.8 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 30 - - 111 - - 140 - - 62 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 923 - - 2329 - - 1859 - - 1365 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5955 - - 5718 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5772 - - 7178 - - 6708 - - 6214 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1775 - - 3180 - - 2143 - - 1639 - - 1562 Hgt.Variab. W* 135 - - 283 - - 280 - - 193 - - 93 W* B/S 3 - - 26 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 2 - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 266 - - 009 - - 035 - - 050 - - 059 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 5 - - 1 - - -4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 618 - - 1392 - - 1554 - - 1060 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 5786 - - 5154 - - 5154 - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential -52 - - -293 - - 95 - - 224 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 5824 - - 7471 - - 6613 - - 5990 - - 5153 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 97 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 550 - - 560 - - 380 - - 130 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 59.2 - - 57.1 - - 54.8 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.5 - - 51.2 - - 52.4 - - 51.7 - - 49.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.0 - - 58.2 - - 55.8 - - 54.0 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.9 - - 49.9 - - 51.1 - - 50.9 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 30 - - 111 - - 140 - - 62 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 923 - - 2329 - - 1859 - - 1365 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 93 - - 99 - - 88 - - 93 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97763 24 230 23 244 18 212 21 242 14 255 97763 90266 18 231 24 229 27 223 25 241 17 232 90266 84491 12 224 17 227 21 233 23 234 20 239 84491 79749 11 258 16 223 9 257 9 245 13 234 79749 75728 11 261 9 278 8 230 5 275 5 208 75728 72200 4 234 5 292 10 290 10 313 7 024 72200 69008 6 121 11 193 8 275 9 308 4 321 69008 66072 12 338 6 276 7 297 12 298 15 307 66072 63364 13 312 10 285 16 284 21 282 27 276 63364 60754 15 299 22 276 26 280 32 273 33 274 60754 58017 45 278 38 267 32 266 32 269 39 272 58017 55160 58 263 49 273 40 268 39 269 42 266 55160 52427 62 264 59 271 49 269 46 273 41 271 52427 49958 68 268 61 267 57 270 54 278 50 279 49958 47740 74 266 62 268 63 271 63 277 65 279 47740 45728 71 262 63 270 66 271 70 274 74 277 45728 43886 67 261 66 271 66 268 70 270 76 273 43886 42195 68 263 68 271 66 269 67 271 72 270 42195 40636 71 267 71 273 70 272 69 274 68 273 40636 39189 76 269 72 274 75 274 72 272 68 277 39189 37834 81 269 72 272 77 276 71 270 70 277 37834 36534 84 265 70 269 76 279 70 272 70 275 36534 35225 80 262 69 269 74 279 70 275 69 275 35225 33877 77 260 69 271 73 277 72 278 67 277 33877 32496 78 259 71 272 74 275 72 281 66 279 32496 31070 83 256 72 272 72 275 68 282 64 281 31070 29593 83 254 71 272 69 276 64 282 60 284 29593 28069 71 251 68 274 64 278 58 280 57 285 28069 26498 52 241 66 276 58 281 53 278 54 285 26498 24885 34 224 65 275 55 285 46 281 51 284 24885 23233 28 223 58 278 52 288 44 285 49 285 23233 21539 28 232 36 273 51 291 44 283 45 285 21539 19798 30 241 25 272 42 292 44 278 40 280 19798 18042 32 244 25 273 25 277 40 276 39 274 18042 16359 33 247 26 275 22 270 37 278 38 273 16359 14828 33 248 23 279 22 267 30 279 37 274 14828 13459 33 249 24 282 21 261 25 277 33 276 13459 12234 32 251 23 282 21 258 22 276 27 278 12234 11133 31 253 20 280 19 265 20 277 19 278 11133 10143 28 256 17 279 15 272 16 281 14 285 10143 9253 25 258 13 281 10 278 12 285 10 310 9253 8457 23 260 9 285 6 293 8 298 9 360 8457 7747 20 261 5*293 4 344 5 359 13 037 7747 7104 15 266 3*314 8*024 9 037 18 053 7104 6528 14 269 2 348 9*029 13*048 20 058 6528 6042 12*269 2 020 11 034 14*049 20 059 6042 5666 11*268 2 029 11 036 14 050 19 059 5666 5404 9 266 2 033 11 036 13 050 18 059 5404 5245 9 266 2 034 11 037 13 050 16 059 5245 5153 7 265 2 034 10 036 11 050 12*059 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography