DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 75.7 - - 84.3 - - 88.1 - - 85.8 - - 73.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 194 - - 444 - - 348 - - 110 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2567 - - 7836 - - 10045 - - 7214 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 6302 - - 10751 - - 12417 - - 9412 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 7416 - - 12685 - - 14894 - - 12063 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1922 - - 2966 - - 2447 - - 4840 - - 2309 Hgt.Variab. W* 332 - - 635 - - 636 - - 391 - - 51 W* B/S 5 - - 26 - - 23 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 4 - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 220 - - 195 - - 174 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -3 - - 12 - - 16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1210 - - 1059 - - 1447 - - -58 - - -1009 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8626 - - 11626 - - 13448 - - 12122 - - 6164 sfcLCL ODpotential -3275 - - -231 - - 218 - - -1612 - - -4581 ODpotential blCL 10691 - - 12916 - - 14676 - - 13675 - - 9736 blCL maxRH 79 - - 69 - - 100 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 550 - - 550 - - 360 - - 670 - - 2150 CAPE Temp@2m 75.7 - - 84.3 - - 88.1 - - 85.8 - - 73.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.4 - - 50.8 - - 46.6 - - 50.2 - - 63.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.1 - - 81.3 - - 85.5 - - 84.7 - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.4 - - 50.7 - - 46.5 - - 49.9 - - 62.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 194 - - 444 - - 348 - - 110 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2567 - - 7836 - - 10045 - - 7214 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 0 - - 100 - - 70 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99055 52 102 43 103 37 102 26 089 30 084 99055 91545 37 087 37 095 39 097 42 097 36 090 91545 85773 31 082 34 096 36 085 42 099 39 096 85773 80997 35 097 29 092 32 089 30 092 36 095 80997 76895 35 100 27 085 30 097 26 081 32 092 76895 73297 28 091 27 086 28 101 25 087 28 092 73297 70055 20 087 26 104 23 108 22 096 19 088 70055 67078 20 099 22 110 18 113 16 107 13 080 67078 64321 16 105 16 110 17 113 13 122 11 085 64321 61667 9 112 10 114 13 116 11 138 14 116 61667 58926 3 028 5 127 7 106 8 152 10 138 58926 56103 4 229 4 153 0 020 5 110 5 087 56103 53417 15 144 7 101 3 194 4 101 6 032 53417 51006 19 098 17 089 10 134 6 119 7 057 51006 48849 21 066 21 083 15 110 12 111 8 072 48849 46888 22 053 22 077 19 097 16 096 9 076 46888 45078 21 059 21 073 19 093 17 087 9 090 45078 43394 21 072 19 073 17 092 13 088 10 096 43394 41813 18 070 15 072 15 089 13 099 10 107 41813 40324 13 053 12 070 13 083 14 107 11 112 40324 38922 10 046 12 083 11 098 13 118 10 117 38922 37578 9 060 12 097 8 115 11 132 8 117 37578 36227 11 074 11 108 5 134 11 135 7 111 36227 34841 12 084 10 112 4 137 9 129 5 114 34841 33426 12 086 10 111 4 134 8 120 3 116 33426 31970 11 085 8 107 4 126 7 116 2 126 31970 30459 9 094 7 117 3 111 5 099 2 122 30459 28895 10 103 6 147 1 145 4 084 2 104 28895 27282 11 105 7 172 4 228 3 082 4 112 27282 25626 10 105 8 180 6 223 2 094 7 123 25626 23931 9 104 9 175 7 211 1 130 7 115 23931 22187 6 106 9 164 7 201 3 254 6 078 22187 20387 3 150 8 170 7 204 3 285 5 050 20387 18566 4 162 6 182 7 211 4 315 3 009 18566 16821 4 140 4 212 3 239 3 289 8 335 16821 15242 4 107 3 274 2*240 3 282 11 320 15242 13834 9 025 4*323 2*231 3 264 8 290 13834 12569 8 024 3*322 3 218 3*211 7 241 12569 11428 6 075 2 259 3 209 5*192 10 212 11428 10398 7 100 3 237 4 198 9 179 11 194 10398 9471 4 105 4 225 5 194 10 177 14 179 9471 8640 6 192 5 214 6 192 11 175 17 165 8640 7895 13*210 6 212 6 190 12 173 20 155 7895 7217 13*210 6 210 7 188 12 172 24 149 7217 6609 13 210 7 209 7 188 12 171 24 147 6609 6096 12 210 7 208 7 188 12 170 22 147 6096 5698 12 210 7 208 7 187 12 170 19 146 5698 5421 11 210 7 207 7 186 12 170 14 147 5421 5253 11 210 7 208 7 186 11 169 10 149 5253 5155 9 211 6 207 6 187 9 169 5*154 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography