DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.5 - - 79.0 - - 76.8 - - 70.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 213 - - 501 - - 341 - - 57 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1933 - - 4732 - - 3942 - - 1891 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5882 - - 8298 - - 7556 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6782 - - 9581 - - 8791 - - 6740 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 943 - - 2480 - - 2178 - - 1582 - - 2003 Hgt.Variab. W* 312 - - 559 - - 467 - - 207 - - 33 W* B/S 6 - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 15 - - 14 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 088 - - 099 - - 115 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -11 - - 6 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1155 - - 711 - - 1013 - - 815 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5627 - - 8871 - - 7778 - - 5925 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential 290 - - -735 - - -708 - - -1746 - - -3593 ODpotential blCL 6492 - - 10316 - - 9499 - - 8486 - - 8748 blCL maxRH 98 - - 86 - - 97 - - 100 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 640 - - 590 - - 820 - - 660 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m 69.5 - - 79.0 - - 76.8 - - 70.6 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.0 - - 57.5 - - 59.9 - - 61.7 - - 62.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.7 - - 75.8 - - 74.4 - - 69.8 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.9 - - 57.4 - - 59.4 - - 61.3 - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 213 - - 501 - - 341 - - 57 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1933 - - 4732 - - 3942 - - 1891 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 44 - - 89 - - 98 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98923 37 101 40 103 38 101 25 100 29 066 98923 91408 38 082 44 075 41 089 35 093 34 094 91408 85651 40 082 33 072 37 079 39 086 43 095 85651 80905 38 094 23 102 23 087 31 075 40 082 80905 76826 35 096 33 113 24 112 24 073 29 073 76826 73219 33 086 37 100 32 112 25 087 26 083 73219 69958 26 081 29 085 30 096 30 087 32 090 69958 66992 16 091 17 087 24 081 27 084 31 090 66992 64285 18 109 15 129 15 092 18 093 20 085 64285 61686 27 104 26 124 17 118 20 106 13 105 61686 58980 31 096 39 097 31 104 30 093 26 109 58980 56189 29 101 42 090 39 093 36 090 38 100 56189 53551 34 112 46 101 39 105 36 104 37 101 53551 51185 43 106 46 102 43 111 39 124 35 111 51185 49053 41 099 36 109 41 105 38 120 35 117 49053 47097 35 105 31 119 32 108 32 114 30 116 47097 45281 36 107 27 122 26 118 26 115 25 123 45281 43591 20 094 25 127 20 128 20 111 21 134 43591 42010 6 113 20 123 18 140 14 117 18 139 42010 40522 6 142 10 105 19 133 13 132 16 147 40522 39118 7 146 6 130 18 132 12 121 12 145 39118 37767 9 143 8 156 17 141 11 116 11 149 37767 36406 13 133 13 156 13 154 9 125 9 160 36406 35006 3 011 15 160 9 170 8 134 8 165 35006 33571 10 329 15 172 11 189 10 149 7 164 33571 32091 3 350 13 159 14 187 12 161 6 160 32091 30558 10 101 15 149 20 178 13 170 8 172 30558 28975 8 124 17 149 23 176 12 187 8 195 28975 27344 7 112 13 151 19 166 8 204 7 210 27344 25669 10 082 8 147 11 146 8 183 4 190 25669 23953 18 093 6 139 7 136 12 159 5 127 23953 22193 21 106 7 126 5 105 12 136 7 121 22193 20380 20 108 10 123 7 060 11 106 8 102 20380 18550 19 102 10 116 12 060 13 081 9 094 18550 16797 19 100 12 106 14 073 13 080 9 095 16797 15203 23 103 14 104 13 076 13 085 10 094 15203 13781 24 104 15 106 12 073 12 086 15 080 13781 12509 24 105 15 104 14 080 15 082 22 071 12509 11367 23 105 13 098 16 088 19 081 26 068 11367 10340 21 100 12*093 17 091 22 080 27 070 10340 9418 20 091 11*089 17*091 22 082 26 075 9418 8594 18 082 11 088 17*092 20 084 23 082 8594 7855 16 078 11 088 16 097 17 091 19 089 7855 7185 12*083 11 088 15 100 15*107 15 101 7185 6586 11*085 11 087 15 101 15*113 15 114 6586 6081 10 085 12 087 15 102 14 115 15 118 6081 5689 10 085 11 088 14 101 14 115 14 119 5689 5417 10 084 11 088 14 101 14 116 13 118 5417 5250 9 084 11 087 13 101 13 116 11*117 5250 5155 8 083 10 087 11 100 10 116 7*117 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography