DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 89.3 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 521 - - 472 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8160 - - 10831 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11085 - - 13231 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13009 - - 15680 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2357 - - 1645 - - - - - 3838 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 678 - - 722 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 076 - - 076 - - - - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 513 - - 1870 - - - - - -4250 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12497 - - 13810 - - - - - 9406 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1502 - - 629 - - - - - -6770 ODpotential blCL - - - 14511 - - 15051 - - - - - 11926 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 73 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 220 - - - - - 460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 89.3 - - - - - 77.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.1 - - 46.2 - - - - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.0 - - 86.2 - - - - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 46.2 - - - - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 521 - - 472 - - - - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8160 - - 10831 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98820 37 096 40 109 24 102 98820 91374 43 103 40 109 25 100 91374 85631 40 106 37 103 29 100 85631 80867 31 108 33 090 36 101 80867 76780 25 102 24 089 32 090 76780 73185 29 105 18 108 23 086 73185 69942 28 090 19 125 18 102 69942 66957 18 082 17 114 16 099 66957 64203 11 063 13 088 13 107 64203 61563 4 092 6 082 16 080 61563 58851 7 090 10 112 13 039 58851 56078 12 055 10 102 10 015 56078 53452 21 034 15 055 10 016 53452 51091 24 012 22 026 16 014 51091 48959 21 360 20 027 17 004 48959 47002 14 000 19 026 16 009 47002 45188 11 009 19 019 16 012 45188 43496 11 006 16 012 16 013 43496 41907 15 010 13 005 15 019 41907 40411 18 011 13 006 14 025 40411 39002 20 014 16 015 15 030 39002 37651 22 020 18 016 16 032 37651 36296 23 026 16 033 16 041 36296 34911 27 029 14 044 18 039 34911 33493 27 020 7 054 18 036 33493 32030 17 011 4 095 9 044 32030 30515 6 033 4 123 4 037 30515 28948 11 082 5 111 3 034 28948 27331 16 083 8 078 2 065 27331 25668 18 074 10 062 6 066 25668 23964 18 070 13 060 13 054 23964 22212 19 054 15 052 16 053 22212 20409 23 041 19 040 19 056 20409 18587 21 047 19 029 23 042 18587 16843 20 058 11*046 22 012 16843 15260 21 066 9*069 14 353 15260 13848 21*070 9 072 8 022 13848 12580 17*074 10 073 8 062 12580 11437 13 074 10 075 10 080 11437 10405 10 075 10 076 11 095 10405 9476 10 075 11 078 13 106 9476 8644 10 076 11 078 15 115 8644 7897 10 076 12 079 17 121 7897 7218 10 077 12 079 20 124 7218 6610 10 077 12 079 20 126 6610 6096 10 078 12 079 20 128 6096 5698 10 078 12 079 18 129 5698 5421 10 079 12 080 15 128 5421 5253 10 078 11 079 12*126 5253 5156 9 078 10 079 7*124 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography