DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.9 - - 54.7 - - 42.3 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 275 - - 13 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2025 - - 5564 - - 304 - - 303 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6028 - - 8719 - - 5136 - - 5135 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6874 - - 10413 - - 5153 - - 5152 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 792 - - 1724 - - 2597 - - 1083 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 344 - - 483 - - 66 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 13 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 329 - - 036 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 27 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4443 - - -2852 - - -6551 - - -6110 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11317 - - 13266 - - 11704 - - 11262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11010 - - -7258 - - -15157 - - -18212 ODpotential blCL - - - 17884 - - 17671 - - 20310 - - 23364 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 40 - - 33 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.9 - - 54.7 - - 42.3 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.6 - - 14.4 - - 9.6 - - 2.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.9 - - 52.8 - - 42.0 - - 33.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.6 - - 14.3 - - 9.4 - - 2.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 274 - - 275 - - 13 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2025 - - 5564 - - 304 - - 303 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96491 16 054 13 057 21 045 36 065 96491 89379 23 077 22 086 20 081 31 073 89379 83876 16 103 21 067 19 112 15 087 83876 79285 14 130 1 146 6 018 14 041 79285 75328 4 103 4 161 7 249 10 359 75328 71817 6 322 5 268 6 284 10 313 71817 68634 8 235 11 254 6 288 10 275 68634 65704 13 301 13 296 7 301 12 209 65704 62956 25 288 23 299 18 293 11 290 62956 60283 35 273 33 296 26 303 25 299 60283 57533 42 275 44 283 39 290 39 296 57533 54704 51 278 51 280 47 283 47 291 54704 52000 59 285 58 284 55 288 54 293 52000 49566 70 288 66 287 66 290 61 294 49566 47386 83 289 77 289 73 291 67 295 47386 45407 91 287 85 288 81 292 72 292 45407 43587 91 287 90 289 86 289 71 294 43587 41905 96 285 89 288 80 294 74 302 41905 40353 89 284 83 293 80 301 76 303 40353 38909 83 293 85 294 79 299 71 298 38909 37553 88 294 87 290 73 293 60 304 37553 36253 83 288 83 284 65 294 57 316 36253 34948 71 286 76 283 60 312 57 332 34948 33612 68 292 63 301 68 339 60 345 33612 32249 69 298 67 322 79 351 62 351 32249 30844 70 304 77 331 78 351 63 352 30844 29386 71 308 82 333 74 346 64 351 29386 27879 71 311 83 332 73 343 65 349 27879 26325 70 313 83 330 76 340 63 345 26325 24725 65 313 82 330 78 339 62 342 24725 23082 59 310 75 328 76 339 60 341 23082 21391 55 303 65 326 71 338 54 344 21391 19646 57 302 55 319 64 336 50 356 19646 17883 57 304 52 306 55 331 47 358 17883 16191 53 303 56 303 49 324 43 350 16191 14656 48 302 55 309 48 316 39 341 14656 13292 42 300 48 316 48 319 36 341 13292 12076 36 300 35 323 41 325 35 347 12076 10989 32 299 22*326 25 324 31 345 10989 10013 29 295 17*325 15 319 24 340 10013 9138 25 287 15 325 15 348 17 339 9138 8359 21 279 13 326 17 010 11 343 8359 7662 15 271 13 328 18 027 7 007 7662 7033 8*250 12 331 21 033 10 067 7033 6475 5*225 12 333 21 035 18 081 6475 6007 5 224 11 334 21 035 21 079 6007 5644 5 224 11 335 21 035 19 074 5644 5393 5 224 10 336 20 035 16 069 5393 5240 4 225 10 336 18*035 12*067 5240 5152 4 225 9 336 13*036 8*066 5152 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography