DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.5 - - 56.8 - - 60.4 - - 55.1 - - 50.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 92 - - 380 - - 290 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 744 - - 1995 - - 2586 - - 304 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6094 - - 6461 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5593 - - 6844 - - 7435 - - 5153 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 511 - - 668 - - 828 - - 2058 - - 1392 Hgt.Variab. W* 171 - - 382 - - 381 - - 17 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 070 - - 076 - - 072 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -6 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1227 - - -3572 - - -3606 - - -4240 - - -2528 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6821 - - 10417 - - 11042 - - 9394 - - 7683 sfcLCL ODpotential -8408 - - -10355 - - -9389 - - -10509 - - -8641 ODpotential blCL 14001 - - 17199 - - 16824 - - 15662 - - 13795 blCL maxRH 88 - - 77 - - 86 - - 81 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 47.5 - - 56.8 - - 60.4 - - 55.1 - - 50.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 29.4 - - 30.2 - - 32.1 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.5 - - 54.3 - - 58.3 - - 54.9 - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 29.3 - - 30.1 - - 32.1 - - 35.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 92 - - 380 - - 290 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 744 - - 1995 - - 2586 - - 304 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 10 - - 46 - - 22 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97035 64 269 55 266 61 257 66 265 63 268 97035 89739 45 269 43 264 45 265 45 272 44 272 89739 84168 30 257 29 271 31 265 34 271 32 272 84168 79557 18 262 19 261 21 279 24 284 20 283 79557 75592 6 263 11 225 12 249 17 283 17 297 75592 72086 4 315 6 246 10 235 14 269 15 308 72086 68909 8 302 9 268 9 265 10 263 14 293 68909 65995 9 291 9 241 13 274 10 277 12 274 65995 63291 13 299 8 260 12 243 11 265 14 260 63291 60665 19 294 17 291 16 270 15 277 16 274 60665 57938 25 268 30 269 29 271 26 278 25 269 57938 55126 28 272 39 261 38 264 33 271 29 274 55126 52440 35 281 45 265 45 264 44 267 38 272 52440 50015 53 271 55 265 56 262 58 263 52 264 50015 47836 56 263 61 265 62 262 67 259 64 258 47836 45857 65 271 71 268 69 267 73 262 69 258 45857 44044 87 273 79 272 83 269 85 267 80 263 44044 42370 92 270 84 271 87 269 96 268 100 267 42370 40812 86 273 84 271 87 269 97 267 108 266 40812 39350 83 276 85 272 89 270 98 265 108 265 39350 37976 85 278 83 272 92 273 104 266 108 265 37976 36659 87 279 79 273 84 271 103 268 106 266 36659 35340 84 282 77 274 73 266 86 267 93 264 35340 33989 73 276 74 276 70 264 64 262 75 259 33989 32610 65 267 66 271 67 265 57 257 66 255 32610 31188 54 262 63 263 62 265 55 253 60 254 31188 29713 40 260 55 261 58 259 55 251 57 253 29713 28185 38 260 46 265 55 258 54 254 57 252 28185 26609 39 263 42 265 47 259 49 259 54 248 26609 24994 38 267 38 266 42 261 42 258 46 245 24994 23346 35 267 33 267 37 262 34 255 36 245 23346 21655 27 261 29 263 31 263 29 252 29 245 21655 19911 21 258 24 258 25 262 26 249 24 240 19911 18143 16 265 20 257 21 257 23 245 20 232 18143 16445 16 276 17 258 18 249 18 241 15 223 16445 14902 16 268 16 253 16 245 15 236 10 216 14902 13524 15 259 17 246 16 237 15 227 10 214 13524 12290 12 259 15 241 16 231 15 220 12 200 12290 11178 8 272 10 238 13 228 12 215 12 186 11178 10177 6 279 5 232 8 219 8 206 10 176 10177 9277 3 283 3 225 5 192 6 179 9 164 9277 8473 1 256 3 184 4 136 6 149 9 150 8473 7753 3 171 3 129 7*082 8 116 10 126 7753 7103 5 093 9*075 9*078 10 089 15 094 7103 6526 13 071 11*071 10 076 14 075 20 080 6526 6040 17 065 12 070 10 075 15 072 22 074 6040 5664 15*064 12 070 11 075 15 072 20 071 5664 5404 12*064 11 070 10 074 14 072 16 069 5404 5245 11 064 11 070 10 075 12 072 13*068 5245 5154 9 063 10 070 9 074 9*072 9*067 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography