DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.5 - - 76.4 - - 79.9 - - 77.4 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 124 - - 413 - - 401 - - -10 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1052 - - 6081 - - 10013 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 9306 - - 12474 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5901 - - 10930 - - 14862 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2247 - - 4540 - - 1396 - - 12408 - - 4914 Hgt.Variab. W* 213 - - 570 - - 667 - - 12 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 11 - - 19 - - 10 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 284 - - 248 - - 238 - - 258 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -9 - - -7 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4275 - - -1364 - - 1426 - - -9055 - - -6987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10176 - - 12294 - - 13437 - - 14210 - - 12142 sfcLCL ODpotential -6989 - - -2463 - - 638 - - -10317 - - -10195 ODpotential blCL 12890 - - 13393 - - 14224 - - 15472 - - 15350 blCL maxRH 73 - - 94 - - 91 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 40 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.5 - - 76.4 - - 79.9 - - 77.4 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.7 - - 40.0 - - 38.3 - - 32.8 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.3 - - 73.6 - - 77.2 - - 77.7 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.7 - - 40.0 - - 38.3 - - 32.6 - - 34.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 124 - - 413 - - 401 - - -10 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1052 - - 6081 - - 10013 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 76 - - 64 - - 102 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97085 30 276 29 260 48 263 47 269 40 271 97085 89716 38 266 38 262 32 258 38 262 33 270 89716 84091 33 261 38 266 24 257 31 262 24 273 84091 79451 21 266 27 280 23 266 22 263 23 286 79451 75475 16 264 14 275 17 263 15 271 18 279 75475 71975 18 292 12 296 5 215 11 247 13 273 71975 68815 18 299 17 308 7 292 12 287 12 274 68815 65931 14 268 18 293 15 292 21 306 18 318 65931 63288 15 264 15 265 23 299 22 307 13 286 63288 60709 26 292 23 283 34 296 10 289 15 237 60709 57976 38 292 32 288 37 300 39 303 32 269 57976 55122 48 295 42 292 47 296 64 295 50 283 55122 52392 58 288 50 285 56 287 74 289 61 281 52392 49938 51 285 55 288 63 289 68 286 60 278 49938 47751 49 297 58 293 71 290 62 285 65 283 47751 45793 55 301 54 295 66 285 58 278 74 285 45793 44031 47 298 42 300 48 282 55 272 73 282 44031 42415 44 292 38 293 43 288 55 275 71 282 42415 40900 40 290 39 284 45 292 56 278 71 280 40900 39468 34 290 40 287 44 290 56 278 68 277 39468 38116 30 290 43 288 45 287 54 276 64 277 38116 36814 29 290 42 287 48 287 53 274 63 278 36814 35499 29 290 40 287 51 287 52 275 62 277 35499 34148 30 291 39 287 51 285 53 275 59 272 34148 32765 32 293 39 286 48 279 51 273 55 266 32765 31338 34 292 38 285 44 271 50 270 51 262 31338 29855 36 289 37 284 44 267 50 264 50 263 29855 28319 35 288 36 281 45 267 50 261 50 264 28319 26737 31 287 34 277 45 269 51 264 51 265 26737 25109 26 281 31 272 43 271 52 270 52 266 25109 23441 25 282 28 266 41 270 53 271 52 266 23441 21730 26 288 28 269 39 267 52 266 52 263 21730 19973 27 290 31 277 35 263 39 254 49 254 19973 18204 31 285 34 273 30 256 25 237 42 233 18204 16515 35 271 34 257 27 250 25 240 37 218 16515 14980 30 257 30 231 22*243 24 244 34 212 14980 13606 19 231 28 213 21*238 23 247 30 210 13606 12370 15 206 24 209 20 237 22 250 25 217 12370 11257 13 204 18*212 20 237 22 253 23 236 11257 10254 11 210 14*220 20 237 22 255 26 259 10254 9353 8 232 12 231 20 237 21 257 30 277 9353 8547 9 269 11 242 19 238 21 259 34 288 8547 7823 13 290 11 254 19 238 21 260 35 294 7823 7164 18 300 11 257 19 238 20 261 35 298 7164 6572 19 301 11 259 19 239 20 261 35 301 6572 6072 18*298 11 261 18 239 19 261 34 304 6072 5684 14*289 11 263 18 240 18 261 32 306 5684 5414 12 284 10 263 17 239 16 260 28 307 5414 5249 11 282 10 263 16 239 13*259 25*307 5249 5155 9 281 9 263 14 239 10*258 17*308 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography