DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.3 - - 56.4 - - 58.4 - - 52.6 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 278 - - 207 - - -28 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 3189 - - 4431 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6899 - - 7712 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 8038 - - 9280 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 276 - - 1371 - - 1622 - - 4074 - - 775 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 403 - - 407 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 19 - - 19 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 267 - - 276 - - 277 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -7 - - -6 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2219 - - -1204 - - -92 - - -2752 - - -1121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7372 - - 9243 - - 9373 - - 7905 - - 6274 sfcLCL ODpotential -9193 - - -4191 - - -2289 - - -5853 - - -6768 ODpotential blCL 14346 - - 12229 - - 11569 - - 11006 - - 11921 blCL maxRH 79 - - 78 - - 83 - - 79 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.3 - - 56.4 - - 58.4 - - 52.6 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.3 - - 33.8 - - 35.2 - - 35.9 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.8 - - 54.5 - - 56.9 - - 54.1 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.2 - - 33.8 - - 35.2 - - 35.9 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 278 - - 207 - - -28 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 3189 - - 4431 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 18 - - 12 - - 31 - - 18 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96451 13 306 14 303 11 292 16 295 20 282 96451 89221 10 286 7 271 15 284 15 295 11 285 89221 83647 9 298 8 264 14 271 13 290 14 318 83647 79049 16 328 10 290 9 271 16 304 16 320 79049 75116 15 303 14 285 7 308 18 304 14 307 75116 71672 7 300 12 270 7 308 8 257 10 281 71672 68575 4 269 10 273 10 322 4 235 10 281 68575 65734 6 291 11 297 13 290 12 272 14 271 65734 63099 14 309 11 307 10 275 13 282 16 268 63099 60530 26 284 17 288 13 292 17 297 15 281 60530 57823 21 272 21 282 19 281 19 305 16 299 57823 55003 18 290 19 281 19 284 21 321 18 295 55003 52321 25 292 20 294 15 316 19 322 14 290 52321 49903 36 270 26 291 17 328 12 340 10 291 49903 47713 45 262 36 267 26 295 20 301 15 280 47713 45707 52 259 46 256 37 272 31 268 24 266 45707 43861 62 257 56 257 45 263 38 257 40 250 43861 42158 72 257 71 260 57 264 50 259 51 254 42158 40576 82 261 81 256 73 260 71 257 65 259 40576 39100 95 261 97 256 94 257 84 256 75 258 39100 37720 112 258 115 255 112 252 95 255 83 258 37720 36400 122 251 130 251 118 244 110 249 94 255 36400 35077 117 246 132 246 118 241 111 242 106 249 35077 33726 113 244 125 243 117 240 111 240 112 246 33726 32349 109 242 117 244 114 240 109 241 112 246 32349 30930 108 242 112 247 113 241 108 242 104 247 30930 29458 114 250 114 251 116 249 107 243 104 246 29458 27934 106 256 113 257 116 256 110 252 107 248 27934 26367 88 259 95 263 104 262 109 260 103 256 26367 24762 78 263 76 268 78 270 84 267 86 266 24762 23123 64 264 63 271 55 272 57 272 58 269 23123 21446 48 263 49 265 44 267 41 270 41 263 21446 19720 40 263 42 259 40 264 36 267 36 257 19720 17974 37 265 38 258 39 265 35 274 33 261 17974 16300 34 266 35 258 38 266 34 281 30 271 16300 14777 31 266 33 258 35 265 34 282 28 278 14777 13418 30 266 33 259 33 265 35 280 28 282 13418 12202 29 265 31 262 32 268 36 279 30 282 12202 11110 29 264 30 268 31 273 36 278 34 279 11110 10128 30 264 31 273 26*275 34 277 35 277 10128 9246 30 267 31 276 21*276 30 277 34 276 9246 8456 30 271 27*275 20 276 26 279 33 278 8456 7747 28 275 23*272 20 276 25 280 34 283 7747 7104 25 277 21 269 20 276 24 281 33 288 7104 6528 23 276 19 267 20 277 23 282 31 293 6528 6042 22 270 18 266 19 277 22 281 26 296 6042 5665 18 264 18 265 18 277 19 281 20 296 5665 5404 12 253 17 265 18 277 15 279 13 290 5404 5245 8*230 15 264 16 277 12 278 8 281 5245 5153 5*216 13 264 14 277 7*277 4*243 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography