DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.1 - - 77.1 - - 68.2 - - 71.7 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 225 - - 367 - - 92 - - 74 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2487 - - 5129 - - 1782 - - 2562 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 6300 - - 8520 - - 5452 - - 5823 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 7336 - - 9978 - - 6631 - - 7411 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3304 - - 2541 - - 2090 - - 2140 - - 1950 Hgt.Variab. W* 345 - - 526 - - 244 - - 253 - - 20 W* B/S 37 - - 14 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 277 - - 085 - - 080 - - 137 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 32 - - -10 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 202 - - 1057 - - 1476 - - 1125 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7134 - - 8922 - - 5155 - - 6286 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential -1309 - - -453 - - -64 - - -776 - - -1278 ODpotential blCL 8645 - - 10431 - - 6695 - - 8187 - - 6433 blCL maxRH 76 - - 83 - - 97 - - 91 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 1000 - - 800 - - 1620 - - 1500 - - 1170 CAPE Temp@2m 72.1 - - 77.1 - - 68.2 - - 71.7 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.1 - - 55.4 - - 63.3 - - 61.2 - - 62.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.3 - - 74.4 - - 67.0 - - 70.7 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.0 - - 54.6 - - 62.3 - - 60.5 - - 62.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 225 - - 367 - - 92 - - 74 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2487 - - 5129 - - 1782 - - 2562 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 31 - - 86 - - 66 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 10 - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98907 47 098 49 094 36 103 27 113 44 077 98907 91470 52 099 53 102 47 102 42 099 45 095 91470 85742 48 088 47 099 52 098 54 093 45 093 85742 80977 34 086 41 101 52 096 51 096 43 091 80977 76891 32 102 37 106 41 093 43 098 41 093 76891 73291 35 105 34 108 32 102 31 090 39 095 73291 70033 33 097 34 104 28 113 22 086 34 093 70033 67054 27 099 28 093 24 116 18 103 24 093 67054 64314 23 089 25 092 22 105 23 113 15 099 64314 61663 21 075 25 086 22 095 24 096 14 094 61663 58902 22 087 21 078 25 084 23 088 19 073 58902 56059 23 081 23 069 26 074 18 069 21 066 56059 53370 27 060 29 058 28 054 18 040 22 038 53370 50956 32 042 28 044 27 027 24 027 25 009 50956 48774 34 026 25 031 25 009 27 016 27 357 48774 46771 34 010 22 017 21 354 28 009 26 356 46771 44923 32 352 20 000 16 349 22 350 23 351 44923 43209 29 339 17 342 14 334 15 323 20 343 43209 41611 25 328 20 310 17 308 15 315 14 332 41611 40113 21 314 21 293 19 285 18 303 12 334 40113 38710 19 301 20 273 21 264 20 289 16 315 38710 37367 17 304 19 268 25 256 17 280 20 293 37367 36018 17 316 17 267 25 254 13 282 20 293 36018 34634 16 326 17 266 24 255 13 284 17 295 34634 33219 12 329 15 261 21 258 16 280 13 301 33219 31762 11 315 14 255 18 251 16 280 14 304 31762 30252 11 302 11 247 19 237 17 274 15 301 30252 28691 15 297 10 241 16 228 17 267 13 303 28691 27080 16 282 13 230 14 233 14 253 11 309 27080 25428 18 262 18 233 12 244 7 241 7 322 25428 23741 18 246 20 242 7 235 8 230 3 326 23741 22009 11 230 21 247 8 242 7 242 2 343 22009 20225 3 170 17 248 8 258 5 298 1 029 20225 18422 5 078 5 269 8 270 6 347 3 051 18422 16694 8 063 3 266 8 279 7 332 7 051 16694 15122 6 017 3 319 9 278 12 305 9 008 15122 13718 2 023 5 355 8 273 11 306 10 335 13718 12461 4 056 6 008 4 281 8 311 10 329 12461 11330 6 047 5 016 2 020 5 292 10 331 11330 10311 7 030 5*036 4 075 3 235 8 330 10311 9394 6 014 6*068 5 087 4 200 2 309 9394 8575 6 001 6 075 6 086 5 179 3 194 8575 7842 6*358 6 082 7 082 5*151 7 186 7842 7176 4*345 7 086 8*078 6*143 12 179 7176 6580 2 275 7 088 8*078 6 139 17 174 6580 6077 2 258 7 091 8 079 6 137 17 172 6077 5686 2 255 7 093 8 081 6 136 15 173 5686 5416 2 251 7 093 8 081 6 134 13 176 5416 5250 2 252 7 094 7 081 5 134 10*178 5250 5155 2 252 6 094 6 081 5 133 6*181 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography