DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 55.3 - - - - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 347 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2276 - - 2862 - - - - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6334 - - 6723 - - - - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7125 - - 7711 - - - - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 489 - - 775 - - - - - 1478 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 415 - - 418 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 077 - - 082 - - - - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2155 - - -3994 - - - - - -3517 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9281 - - 11706 - - - - - 8670 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13947 - - -14595 - - - - - -15848 ODpotential blCL - - - 21072 - - 22306 - - - - - 21001 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 85 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.6 - - 55.3 - - - - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.5 - - 22.6 - - - - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.1 - - 52.9 - - - - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.1 - - 22.3 - - - - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 428 - - 347 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2276 - - 2862 - - - - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 39 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97993 23 284 34 265 30 291 97993 90676 18 267 21 248 26 299 90676 85022 14 255 10 251 11 298 85022 80334 8 228 6 221 8 236 80334 76289 9 227 3 254 6 206 76289 72712 6 264 6 291 4 021 72712 69492 5 349 3 250 6 338 69492 66551 8 014 1 083 7 346 66551 63851 2 009 4 342 9 350 63851 61274 1 206 7 350 7 328 61274 58615 3 252 8 307 10 284 58615 55878 9 297 12 307 11 301 55878 53262 21 278 25 286 21 311 53262 50890 28 283 31 280 31 284 50890 48751 35 276 35 271 37 273 48751 46791 39 271 37 270 36 270 46791 44974 43 268 40 269 38 269 44974 43278 48 265 44 267 41 269 43278 41686 51 262 49 264 43 268 41686 40187 49 259 51 260 47 267 40187 38777 44 260 48 258 48 265 38777 37423 40 260 42 257 46 262 37423 36061 36 261 39 257 43 260 36061 34663 35 261 36 257 38 260 34663 33233 33 259 35 256 33 260 33233 31761 29 258 32 254 30 259 31761 30238 25 258 27 255 29 259 30238 28663 20 262 20 257 24 261 28663 27041 17 255 18 253 19 260 27041 25382 20 255 20 254 15 257 25382 23691 17 219 18 260 13 255 23691 21951 13 208 17 231 10 252 21951 20151 11 227 16 218 10 244 20151 18326 11 215 11 222 7 226 18326 16573 12 182 10 215 3 201 16573 14979 11 159 11 200 3 209 14979 13560 12 136 10 171 4 214 13560 12293 13 121 12 148 5 192 12293 11161 11 113 11 135 8 170 11161 10147 8 110 8 131 9 168 10147 9243 5 107 5 129 11 175 9243 8439 5 099 5 103 9 170 8439 7726 8*081 6*092 7 137 7726 7085 9*078 7*087 8 117 7085 6513 10 077 7 084 9 117 6513 6032 10 077 8 082 9 107 6032 5659 10 077 8 080 9 096 5659 5401 10 076 8 080 7 088 5401 5244 9 076 8 079 5*081 5244 5153 9 076 7 078 3*078 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography