DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 78.1 - - 88.7 - - 91.1 - - 84.8 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 136 - - 457 - - 306 - - 26 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1415 - - 9395 - - 11915 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5320 - - 12035 - - 13855 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 6264 - - 14244 - - 16764 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2493 - - 1910 - - 1736 - - 10718 - - 530 Hgt.Variab. W* 243 - - 681 - - 645 - - 88 - - 30 W* B/S 5 - - 258 - - 43 - - 4 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 304 - - 080 - - 072 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -1 - - 42 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2571 - - 1093 - - 2455 - - -5773 - - -3534 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8836 - - 13152 - - 14310 - - 10929 - - 8689 sfcLCL ODpotential -5086 - - -45 - - 1669 - - -7509 - - -7106 ODpotential blCL 11350 - - 14289 - - 15095 - - 12665 - - 12261 blCL maxRH 75 - - 73 - - 100 - - 94 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 500 - - 190 - - 200 - - 780 - - 540 CAPE Temp@2m 78.1 - - 88.7 - - 91.1 - - 84.8 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.8 - - 48.5 - - 45.7 - - 54.4 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 76.7 - - 85.6 - - 88.6 - - 84.7 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.7 - - 48.4 - - 45.6 - - 53.7 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 136 - - 457 - - 306 - - 26 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1415 - - 9395 - - 11915 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 1 - - 0 - - 98 - - 75 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98808 26 108 20 111 26 116 11 105 26 080 98808 91388 23 105 31 103 24 114 18 116 17 080 91388 85638 31 089 35 100 25 118 21 120 14 098 85638 80861 28 086 24 091 28 103 24 113 19 108 80861 76765 16 096 20 079 25 097 21 103 22 111 76765 73149 13 106 17 091 20 090 19 098 23 098 73149 69885 15 092 18 100 15 082 23 105 21 098 69885 66910 14 067 18 097 12 077 21 102 20 105 66910 64185 13 060 15 106 12 093 16 092 17 104 64185 61574 12 096 16 117 11 107 11 080 13 100 61574 58872 11 128 8 114 12 130 7 074 12 104 58872 56091 7 109 6 119 13 127 8 125 10 112 56091 53468 9 065 9 115 9 113 12 120 12 116 53468 51118 13 062 8 088 8 103 10 091 13 108 51118 48999 12 041 11 054 7 069 11 079 10 066 48999 47058 9 029 9 034 6 014 10 060 10 054 47058 45255 6 042 6 037 3 356 6 059 7 036 45255 43568 3 048 7 021 1 024 3 049 5 011 43568 41981 4 031 10 011 6 043 5 046 6 005 41981 40485 9 031 11 017 11 036 9 032 7 042 40485 39078 12 024 10 026 11 032 9 007 8 044 39078 37725 12 009 9 030 10 026 12 355 9 025 37725 36365 12 359 7 032 10 023 15 348 13 001 36365 34966 12 357 8 026 9 028 14 358 14 003 34966 33532 12 009 9 018 10 034 10 016 14 020 33532 32052 8 019 7 034 9 036 9 044 12 031 32052 30518 3 031 4 108 2 090 4 039 8 051 30518 28938 1 252 4 150 2 180 1 258 2 337 28938 27317 4 213 4 176 4 212 3 218 3 300 27317 25652 5 193 5 182 4 212 6 209 5 250 25652 23948 4 160 5 189 5 212 6 221 4 232 23948 22199 4 114 5 195 4 230 3 242 2 252 22199 20406 3 100 2 154 1 262 1 338 2 287 20406 18599 5 046 8 078 2 051 2 353 4 004 18599 16863 10 060 10 067 2*052 2 111 4 347 16863 15285 15 068 8*079 2*063 5 114 1 010 15285 13874 15 071 7*080 2 063 7 108 4 102 13874 12606 12 066 3 072 3 067 8 105 5 121 12606 11461 13 053 3 070 3 076 8 104 5 140 11461 10428 9 041 1 034 3 080 8 104 6 148 10428 9497 3 286 1 279 3 085 8 102 8 146 9497 8662 10 238 2 272 3 087 8 098 9 139 8662 7912 13 231 3 267 3 088 7 091 9 132 7912 7230 13 230 3 264 3 091 7 083 10 128 7230 6619 13*228 4 261 3 091 7 080 10 126 6619 6102 11*216 4 262 3 091 6 077 10 126 6102 5701 10 213 4 260 3 092 6 075 8 126 5701 5422 9 213 4 259 3 090 6 075 6 126 5422 5253 9 212 4 260 3 092 5*073 3 122 5253 5155 8 212 4 260 3 090 4*072 2*104 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography