DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 75.7 - - 75.2 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 578 - - 522 - - 150 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2348 - - 3924 - - 2705 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6456 - - 7668 - - 6286 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7197 - - 8773 - - 7554 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 593 - - 1519 - - 2249 - - 899 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 463 - - 532 - - 310 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 14 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 070 - - 077 - - 088 - - 084 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -10 - - -13 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2172 - - -3759 - - -4819 - - -4293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9370 - - 12533 - - 12373 - - 9449 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6143 - - -6297 - - -7528 - - -9141 ODpotential blCL - - - 13340 - - 15070 - - 15082 - - 14296 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 40 - - 35 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.3 - - 75.7 - - 75.2 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.1 - - 38.6 - - 38.9 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 72.4 - - 73.6 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 38.6 - - 38.9 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 578 - - 522 - - 150 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2348 - - 3924 - - 2705 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98100 5 182 16 157 10 206 6 010 98100 90619 15 176 13 168 12 173 3 252 90619 84882 7 177 9 164 5 175 5 151 84882 80145 7 186 1 169 2 095 4 153 80145 76080 10 168 5 241 5 082 4 107 76080 72510 7 166 11 216 1 219 7 030 72510 69298 1 135 8 195 7 203 6 216 69298 66353 13 285 11 303 7 299 3 288 66353 63638 24 240 23 256 20 259 17 282 63638 61029 21 236 25 239 26 248 25 273 61029 58314 23 266 25 251 28 257 27 270 58314 55501 30 276 23 255 27 258 27 259 55501 52824 32 275 23 262 28 257 30 257 52824 50425 37 269 27 267 32 261 35 261 50425 48280 41 264 32 269 36 262 37 259 48280 46329 45 261 36 267 37 260 39 257 46329 44532 46 260 40 264 37 260 39 255 44532 42859 45 257 39 264 34 265 39 254 42859 41293 37 260 35 261 32 266 34 255 41293 39822 34 268 30 267 27 266 31 257 39822 38440 28 270 30 267 25 276 24 261 38440 37114 16 282 25 262 27 275 20 282 37114 35785 13 295 15 272 25 266 22 290 35785 34427 14 291 15 283 17 268 20 279 34427 33040 15 291 15 280 15 277 14 277 33040 31609 13 321 12 311 10 299 9 277 31609 30125 16 345 14 340 10 346 4 309 30125 28590 17 354 14 346 13 004 5 358 28590 27005 16 004 14 348 14 008 6 023 27005 25372 14 017 13 352 14 004 10 021 25372 23695 13 012 9 355 13 356 13 015 23695 21972 12 359 8 342 12 332 16 005 21972 20195 12 357 9 333 13 316 17 350 20195 18400 15 354 12 342 15 324 19 340 18400 16682 17 353 15 346 17 333 22 335 16682 15121 17 356 16 348 18 339 23 335 15121 13723 14 003 14 356 15 342 22 336 13723 12467 9 012 11 359 11 342 18 332 12467 11335 8 028 7 004 7 335 14 321 11335 10313 5 015 4 007 5 320 11 308 10313 9395 4 336 3*054 3 309 7 292 9395 8574 1 024 4*070 1 092 5 164 8574 7840 6*066 5 074 4*097 12 134 7840 7175 9*067 6 076 7*091 16 128 7175 6579 10 069 7 077 9 089 17 123 6579 6075 10 070 8 078 9 087 16 115 6075 5685 10 071 8 079 9 087 14 105 5685 5414 10 072 8 079 9 086 11 094 5414 5249 10 072 8 080 9 086 8*088 5249 5155 9 072 8 078 8 085 4*084 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography