DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 65.7 - - 57.2 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 203 - - -18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2999 - - 4403 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6724 - - 7680 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7848 - - 9252 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1299 - - 1049 - - 2650 - - 626 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 383 - - 403 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 39 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 167 - - 085 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 7 - - 2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3401 - - -3087 - - -5037 - - -1687 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11250 - - 12340 - - 10191 - - 6840 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9878 - - -8308 - - -12012 - - -10290 ODpotential blCL - - - 17726 - - 17560 - - 17166 - - 15443 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 86 - - 87 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 65.7 - - 57.2 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 29.7 - - 30.9 - - 35.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 63.9 - - 58.9 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.3 - - 29.7 - - 30.9 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 203 - - -18 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2999 - - 4403 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 44 - - 47 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96262 44 287 38 273 40 272 45 270 96262 89151 31 291 25 277 27 271 29 279 89151 83680 21 286 19 280 18 269 24 291 83680 79126 19 278 16 298 16 275 16 295 79126 75177 19 266 19 306 18 298 13 329 75177 71670 21 256 23 290 26 302 24 321 71670 68510 18 259 25 276 26 295 28 301 68510 65630 18 281 24 277 25 289 28 295 65630 62970 24 288 25 287 26 289 29 295 62970 60400 30 287 29 288 29 302 29 293 60400 57729 35 290 32 294 31 300 31 301 57729 54963 36 299 35 299 38 299 41 307 54963 52321 42 300 46 295 48 301 46 310 52321 49931 50 293 53 298 54 303 52 307 49931 47785 59 293 60 297 60 302 61 303 47785 45838 65 294 65 296 65 300 70 299 45838 44052 70 294 76 295 75 298 80 296 44052 42397 70 294 80 294 82 296 89 295 42397 40851 64 290 72 292 81 295 90 294 40851 39396 55 285 63 289 72 291 85 291 39396 38030 43 280 55 288 62 285 77 288 38030 36724 36 284 47 285 56 285 68 286 36724 35413 31 289 43 278 48 289 60 285 35413 34071 24 279 42 276 42 284 51 279 34071 32699 28 265 39 279 43 279 47 275 32699 31283 29 246 31 261 41 270 43 274 31283 29813 25 239 30 241 35 251 38 271 29813 28295 16 235 24 233 31 227 36 257 28295 26729 10 226 14 224 30 215 35 244 26729 25118 6 254 15 226 24 210 32 230 25118 23464 8 259 19 227 26 210 32 215 23464 21760 12 240 21 226 30 215 29 219 21760 20002 13 248 18 228 28 223 23 234 20002 18224 11 259 13 235 20 231 17 241 18224 16517 8 267 11 249 14 230 13 234 16517 14962 8 262 11 254 10 241 11 229 14962 13570 8 257 10 245 10 250 10 232 13570 12322 8 262 10 234 13 250 11 234 12322 11200 7 270 10 230 13 245 12 235 11200 10193 5 267 7 211 9 232 15 231 10193 9291 4 261 5*185 7 174 17 223 9291 8486 1*231 5*180 8 161 14 209 8486 7767 1*176 5 174 9 146 11 197 7767 7116 2 170 5 169 10 131 10 188 7116 6534 2 166 5 164 10 113 10 174 6534 6043 2 168 4 162 11 100 13 153 6043 5665 2 167 4 160 11 093 17 143 5665 5404 2 168 4 159 10 089 12 140 5404 5245 2 170 4 156 8*086 8 136 5245 5153 2 169 4 156 6*085 4*123 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography