DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 58.1 - - 54.7 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 408 - - 50 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2416 - - 4693 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6429 - - 8194 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7265 - - 9542 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 861 - - 1610 - - 4275 - - 487 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 417 - - 519 - - 104 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 15 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 028 - - 028 - - 054 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6785 - - -5603 - - -9407 - - -7271 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14051 - - 15146 - - 14562 - - 12425 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15844 - - -14356 - - -18916 - - -19403 ODpotential blCL - - - 23109 - - 23898 - - 24070 - - 24556 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 35 - - 32 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 58.1 - - 54.7 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.9 - - 9.8 - - 9.3 - - 8.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 55.6 - - 54.0 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.9 - - 9.8 - - 9.1 - - 8.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 410 - - 408 - - 50 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2416 - - 4693 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96554 14 141 3 234 3 005 4 018 96554 89404 4 070 4 197 5 230 3 295 89404 83904 2 328 6 001 1 125 2 008 83904 79346 5 250 5 223 5 326 7 024 79346 75400 3 019 5 160 3 316 7 024 75400 71899 5 208 11 228 13 278 10 340 71899 68736 5 001 14 198 10 254 15 245 68736 65825 20 310 17 299 13 345 11 314 65825 63122 30 279 42 271 31 289 30 307 63122 60541 32 253 42 260 43 275 40 289 60541 57877 27 245 42 260 47 268 46 272 57877 55105 37 280 48 275 48 272 44 272 55105 52437 64 278 66 282 57 282 55 282 52437 50022 77 271 75 273 65 277 66 280 50022 47848 77 267 75 269 70 271 68 274 47848 45873 78 269 73 271 67 270 63 274 45873 44067 83 274 75 275 63 275 61 279 44067 42407 91 275 79 276 66 282 63 284 42407 40871 91 273 79 273 69 282 68 285 40871 39437 86 271 75 271 71 279 74 284 39437 38089 84 271 66 270 71 277 75 283 38089 36792 81 273 60 271 69 278 74 283 36792 35482 78 280 60 271 66 278 68 285 35482 34133 79 284 60 273 61 277 65 288 34133 32751 77 281 61 276 57 277 62 287 32751 31323 75 279 61 279 53 276 58 283 31323 29840 74 280 60 280 52 277 53 281 29840 28304 71 279 58 280 52 278 50 283 28304 26716 69 276 57 278 53 278 48 285 26716 25081 68 276 56 278 52 279 47 286 25081 23404 64 277 55 279 50 280 45 285 23404 21681 60 276 53 281 48 281 43 284 21681 19906 58 272 52 281 45 284 40 286 19906 18112 56 269 51 279 44 289 37 292 18112 16392 51 268 50 280 42 292 36 297 16392 14832 44 265 47 280 40 290 33 297 14832 13445 39 263 42 278 36 286 28 295 13445 12210 34 264 33 276 29 275 23 290 12210 11103 30 269 18 276 19 264 19 272 11103 10111 25 278 7*289 11 264 12 248 10111 9223 20 293 6*296 6 278 6 248 9223 8431 16 306 4 334 4 029 1 025 8431 7723 10*347 6 029 9 048 10 061 7723 7084 12*021 8 037 13 052 17 062 7084 6513 12 027 8 040 13 053 20 062 6513 6032 13 028 9 041 14 053 20 061 6032 5659 13 030 9 043 14 053 19 061 5659 5401 12 030 9 044 13 053 16 058 5401 5243 12 030 9 044 13*053 12*057 5243 5153 11 030 8 044 11*054 6*057 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography