DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.6 - - 45.5 - - 46.0 - - 45.6 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 14 - - 67 - - 38 - - 15 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 776 - - 304 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5137 - - 5137 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 5625 - - 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1400 - - 1076 - - 1513 - - 1091 - - 1010 Hgt.Variab. W* 70 - - 161 - - 97 - - 71 - - 62 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 18 - - 13 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 051 - - 050 - - 052 - - 050 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 472 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential -195 - - 198 - - -158 - - 0 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 5348 - - 5427 - - 5311 - - 5153 - - 5153 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 40 - - 20 - - 90 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 45.6 - - 45.5 - - 46.0 - - 45.6 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 44.4 - - 45.1 - - 45.5 - - 45.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.2 - - 44.9 - - 45.4 - - 45.2 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.7 - - 43.8 - - 44.8 - - 45.5 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 14 - - 67 - - 38 - - 15 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 776 - - 304 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97262 62 265 54 274 57 267 60 273 58 275 97262 89811 44 261 44 268 44 270 51 277 47 285 89811 84125 35 272 32 272 37 263 33 269 37 278 84125 79476 27 286 23 275 26 261 23 272 27 268 79476 75508 18 287 18 263 17 286 24 286 18 286 75508 72012 9 300 14 276 21 297 23 287 17 301 72012 68857 17 305 9 266 16 296 16 280 11 297 68857 65975 18 306 9 283 8 291 12 289 15 273 65975 63322 11 304 13 300 9 282 16 294 15 274 63322 60762 7 283 13 302 14 288 17 287 20 287 60762 58097 15 295 14 307 13 299 13 269 20 267 58097 55332 24 285 18 303 16 310 9 302 11 256 55332 52687 21 276 22 283 21 287 18 304 12 284 52687 50297 18 291 20 274 23 265 29 276 24 273 50297 48141 30 290 17 277 20 262 29 268 30 265 48141 46163 34 277 20 276 20 272 28 276 33 270 46163 44334 32 282 28 273 25 278 26 283 35 272 44334 42637 35 286 31 274 29 271 26 286 31 267 42637 41047 37 285 32 277 33 261 25 281 24 268 41047 39547 38 279 34 279 32 257 25 270 25 270 39547 38133 36 273 34 274 30 257 26 260 27 262 38133 36774 31 270 30 260 33 255 30 252 29 254 36774 35407 30 270 33 245 40 251 34 248 32 254 35407 34005 30 259 29 240 45 243 39 248 34 260 34005 32576 31 258 30 239 41 240 42 245 38 262 32576 31108 27 259 26 235 30 239 38 241 37 262 31108 29603 13 255 6 237 12 231 21 231 24 257 29603 28070 9 242 6 040 9 088 6 165 0 079 28070 26503 12 241 9 069 20 077 20 068 18 054 26503 24895 16 250 12 084 23 086 20 069 21 050 24895 23247 17 244 13 100 14 104 13 077 16 045 23247 21555 15 218 16 147 11 155 7 117 6 044 21555 19816 16 190 19 183 12 175 7 143 3 151 19816 18057 21 177 22 188 11 190 7 151 6 179 18057 16369 27 173 21 181 12 192 5 167 8 161 16369 14832 31 169 21 181 14 184 7 167 8 160 14832 13462 31 156 21 184 16 178 8 167 9 159 13462 12236 29 139 19 178 16 181 7 166 8 140 12236 11133 24 124 17 161 14 172 6 158 7 112 11133 10142 18 110 19 138 15 149 9 136 7 101 10142 9251 14 093 23 116 19 121 15 112 7 089 9251 8455 14 076 25 099 25 104 21 099 7 077 8455 7742 18 064 27 085 27 094 25 092 8 077 7742 7096 23 055 27 072 24 077 24 085 10 080 7096 6519 24 049 25 058 23 058 20 072 13 070 6519 6035 23 047 23 052 22 052 17 056 15 055 6035 5661 21 046 22*051 21 050 16 054 14 050 5661 5402 18 046 21*051 19 050 14 052 13 050 5402 5244 16 047 19 051 17*050 12*052 11*050 5244 5153 12*047 15 051 13*050 10*052 8*050 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography