DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 88.8 - - - - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 407 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4640 - - 12782 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8162 - - 14754 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9489 - - 17631 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7070 - - 1454 - - - - - 70 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 522 - - 727 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 23 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 305 - - - - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10923 - - -4711 - - - - - -13483 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20413 - - 22343 - - - - - 18639 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15119 - - -8132 - - - - - -19656 ODpotential blCL - - - 24608 - - 25763 - - - - - 24811 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 39 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 88.8 - - - - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.7 - - 6.4 - - - - - 7.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 85.8 - - - - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.5 - - 6.2 - - - - - 7.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 407 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4640 - - 12782 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97147 30 243 36 266 38 259 97147 89786 22 260 29 249 29 268 89786 84196 22 292 18 242 25 285 84196 79568 16 244 15 254 18 293 79568 75586 10 203 10 248 11 321 75586 72071 3 165 4 266 3 289 72071 68889 5 268 1 357 5 206 68889 65974 7 244 2 021 3 313 65974 63303 8 192 4 119 3 303 63303 60744 1 266 4 066 2 329 60744 58077 1 058 5 044 5 022 58077 55304 4 072 9 004 10 023 55304 52653 2 060 9 350 13 011 52653 50256 5 076 8 341 18 024 50256 48089 11 014 11 351 14 007 48089 46107 15 359 11 018 7 351 46107 44281 16 013 11 028 6 343 44281 42589 17 016 13 018 8 340 42589 41026 14 012 15 004 16 000 41026 39581 10 348 18 360 19 007 39581 38231 6 354 19 001 15 024 38231 36935 9 026 17 006 16 025 36935 35628 14 017 18 015 17 024 35628 34286 16 010 17 020 18 027 34286 32912 17 008 18 020 19 022 32912 31495 17 008 19 016 18 016 31495 30025 17 012 18 012 16 009 30025 28506 19 022 19 012 15 009 28506 26937 21 026 20 015 15 015 26937 25323 21 030 17 024 14 022 25323 23667 18 044 17 035 11 029 23667 21960 16 047 16 041 14 044 21960 20201 13 050 13 047 11 045 20201 18427 8 032 9*011 6 025 18427 16726 6 052 7*343 8 018 16726 15172 5 073 6 338 9 020 15172 13777 5 053 6 333 9 024 13777 12524 5 024 6 322 9 028 12524 11392 4 017 6 311 10 031 11392 10370 4*351 6 299 10 034 10370 9450 6*311 6 292 9 036 9450 8624 9 286 7 286 9 038 8624 7882 11 269 7 282 9 042 7882 7207 12 263 7 278 8 047 7207 6602 12 261 7 275 8 052 6602 6091 12 259 7 273 8 053 6091 5694 12 258 7 272 7 047 5694 5419 11 257 7 271 7 029 5419 5251 11 257 7 271 7*012 5251 5155 10 256 7 270 6*010 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography