DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 66.7 - - 74.1 - - 71.2 - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 359 - - 359 - - 4 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2030 - - 3757 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6106 - - 7423 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6879 - - 8606 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 176 - - 701 - - 1622 - - 4129 - - 99 Hgt.Variab. W* 64 - - 377 - - 464 - - 46 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 18 - - 18 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 269 - - 285 - - 283 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -10 - - -4 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6533 - - -8663 - - -9273 - - -11513 - - -8529 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11687 - - 15543 - - 17880 - - 16669 - - 13684 sfcLCL ODpotential -17319 - - -16020 - - -15385 - - -17682 - - -18260 ODpotential blCL 22472 - - 22899 - - 23991 - - 22837 - - 23414 blCL maxRH 42 - - 70 - - 61 - - 72 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 66.7 - - 74.1 - - 71.2 - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.5 - - 16.7 - - 13.2 - - 16.1 - - 16.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.7 - - 64.3 - - 71.7 - - 71.0 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.5 - - 16.6 - - 13.1 - - 16.0 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 359 - - 359 - - 4 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2030 - - 3757 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96460 13 255 11 304 3 216 14 269 14 272 96460 89233 7 227 3 253 6 235 12 261 11 321 89233 83687 4 218 7 243 13 230 12 252 11 323 83687 79098 7 325 12 255 11 263 11 268 10 313 79098 75146 9 315 11 246 18 282 16 285 10 007 75146 71636 14 332 7 241 12 286 19 265 15 329 71636 68471 29 317 12 326 15 343 13 300 16 312 68471 65587 30 316 27 317 27 325 22 324 14 315 65587 62923 30 320 30 323 31 321 27 317 27 306 62923 60366 34 321 42 323 38 322 35 326 37 317 60366 57741 45 320 46 318 42 324 46 330 47 327 57741 55027 55 309 44 313 46 322 47 325 43 330 55027 52405 47 302 38 308 43 321 43 328 41 335 52405 50018 35 318 38 328 50 335 48 337 46 339 50018 47865 51 341 58 333 59 338 58 337 52 341 47865 45913 62 335 68 332 64 342 62 339 59 345 45913 44134 65 340 69 340 66 345 59 342 59 349 44134 42500 72 348 72 350 63 350 54 353 53 352 42500 40981 77 351 70 352 53 353 50 359 50 357 40981 39552 77 354 67 353 48 349 48 002 48 359 39552 38204 70 355 68 354 49 340 43 005 45 360 38204 36905 51 351 64 355 49 339 40 011 42 000 36905 35595 40 342 52 356 41 348 35 010 40 004 35595 34246 40 343 47 347 33 338 31 354 39 007 34246 32865 41 346 46 342 35 333 32 340 37 007 32865 31438 42 346 42 342 37 334 34 338 34 002 31438 29955 42 347 39 345 38 334 34 337 31 352 29955 28421 39 351 36 349 37 334 30 334 30 345 28421 26841 33 356 32 352 34 334 29 337 30 344 26841 25218 27 350 25 354 30 333 35 339 28 344 25218 23552 25 338 20 343 25 333 40 330 26 346 23552 21836 27 336 21 329 24 329 37 318 29 342 21836 20066 25 335 22 332 26 320 31 313 33 322 20066 18279 18 335 20 324 28 314 28 316 32 311 18279 16568 15 326 18 301 24 307 23 320 23 310 16568 15015 18 310 19 296 18 299 18 326 17 319 15015 13630 19 307 20 305 17 303 18 331 15 335 13630 12386 18 307 19 310 18 303 20 324 17 335 12386 11266 15 308 18 312 20 302 23 314 21 321 11266 10257 13 312 17 312 21 300 27 307 26 310 10257 9350 12 311 18 310 21*295 28 300 32 304 9350 8539 14 304 20 303 19*290 25 294 36 301 8539 7812 17 294 22 294 19 287 23 290 37 299 7812 7153 21 285 21*282 19 286 22 288 36 296 7153 6563 25 279 19*273 19 284 21 287 34 293 6563 6064 26 274 19 269 19 283 21 286 31 292 6064 5678 23 269 18 268 18 282 19 285 26 292 5678 5410 17 264 17 267 17 281 18 285 19 285 5410 5247 12 256 16 266 16 281 15*284 13*273 5247 5154 7*246 14 265 14 281 12*283 7*248 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography