DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 88.4 - - 86.4 - - 71.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 543 - - 505 - - 136 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9371 - - 14950 - - 13885 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12099 - - 16689 - - 14739 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14220 - - 19799 - - 18734 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2115 - - 2225 - - 3044 - - 3503 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 721 - - 823 - - 518 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 72 - - 14 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 002 - - 202 - - 195 - - 087 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 19 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 44 - - 125 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3966 - - 38 - - -628 - - -5180 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18187 - - 19762 - - 19363 - - 10336 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4800 - - -600 - - -2275 - - -8921 ODpotential blCL - - - 19020 - - 20399 - - 21009 - - 14076 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 60 - - 46 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 88.4 - - 86.4 - - 71.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 17.8 - - 18.0 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.1 - - 85.1 - - 85.0 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.5 - - 17.5 - - 17.9 - - 44.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 543 - - 505 - - 136 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9371 - - 14950 - - 13885 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98137 4 257 7 161 3 284 10 028 98137 90679 5 133 2 346 3 077 6 347 90679 84980 15 095 5 097 6 045 4 085 84980 80268 15 072 22 097 10 108 4 121 80268 76195 3 082 11 081 12 101 12 104 76195 72595 8 154 1 198 8 067 9 090 72595 69350 13 132 10 168 3 132 10 035 69350 66386 8 114 18 179 10 199 7 224 66386 63648 6 236 19 175 15 209 10 184 63648 60989 15 228 9 214 12 216 13 193 60989 58223 26 216 16 260 15 256 20 246 58223 55377 35 223 34 241 29 248 30 244 55377 52672 38 219 44 226 39 240 34 233 52672 50232 36 220 43 221 40 238 33 229 50232 48045 34 225 36 232 40 241 38 234 48045 46073 31 231 34 240 40 244 39 243 46073 44282 27 236 27 235 40 244 44 260 44282 42636 23 242 20 234 34 252 47 265 42636 41099 24 239 17 253 32 261 44 265 41099 39654 25 242 18 262 26 256 40 263 39654 38292 30 239 18 262 18 257 37 259 38292 36982 31 230 19 263 14 277 33 256 36982 35662 30 224 23 261 16 286 28 256 35662 34305 28 222 28 257 17 286 22 259 34305 32918 27 221 31 250 18 286 17 267 32918 31487 28 222 32 245 24 276 12 277 31487 30001 29 219 30 246 29 261 9 289 30001 28464 28 213 31 248 32 253 11 280 28464 26877 25 206 33 236 34 243 22 255 26877 25250 20 206 28 232 31 236 31 245 25250 23587 19 221 26 240 25 234 33 243 23587 21885 25 233 28 236 21 230 33 244 21885 20139 35 227 27*227 14*215 32 244 20139 18373 33 224 23*220 10*194 30 239 18373 16675 22 204 17 208 10 192 29 227 16675 15123 14*191 14 202 10 192 28 223 15123 13731 5*189 12 200 10 194 26 224 13731 12479 1 210 11 198 10 196 21 225 12479 11351 1 258 10 197 9 197 12 218 11351 10332 2 351 9 196 9 198 4 150 10332 9416 3 001 8 195 8 198 11 086 9416 8595 3 005 8 193 8 198 17 079 8595 7859 4 007 7 192 7 197 20 080 7859 7190 4 008 7 190 7 198 23 085 7190 6590 5 010 6 189 6 198 23 089 6590 6083 5 011 6 189 6 197 23 091 6083 5690 5 011 6 188 6 197 22 090 5690 5417 5 010 6 187 6 197 19 089 5417 5251 5 012 5 187 5 196 16*088 5251 5155 5 012 5 187 5 197 10*087 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography