DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1555z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 78.2 - - 75.0 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 353 - - 0 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6503 - - 7812 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9631 - - 10622 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11352 - - 12661 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1193 - - 1453 - - 8035 - - 554 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 577 - - 588 - - 20 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 19 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 184 - - 178 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 483 - - 345 - - -7242 - - -4413 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10870 - - 12317 - - 12397 - - 9569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3906 - - -1825 - - -10886 - - -10039 ODpotential blCL - - - 15258 - - 14486 - - 16041 - - 15194 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 68 - - 54 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 78.2 - - 75.0 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 41.7 - - 38.5 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 75.6 - - 75.0 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 41.5 - - 38.4 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 353 - - 0 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6503 - - 7812 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98134 19 236 24 254 23 270 15 289 98134 90728 15 211 21 231 11 268 7 280 90728 85038 8 183 12 161 9 164 5 241 85038 80324 7 155 14 109 14 170 7 184 80324 76268 8 213 9 111 6 172 10 171 76268 72691 10 210 9 211 4 252 3 177 72691 69469 5 220 14 229 7 265 3 266 69469 66531 8 224 14 235 9 273 6 289 66531 63837 9 227 11 244 10 260 9 276 63837 61260 5 249 7 251 10 246 9 258 61260 58593 9 280 8 287 10 255 10 268 58593 55851 15 287 15 288 14 277 16 280 55851 53253 21 298 21 286 19 280 18 279 53253 50905 29 298 27 283 25 278 24 279 50905 48780 33 295 35 280 32 273 31 272 48780 46833 37 292 39 281 32 275 29 268 46833 45030 41 291 38 288 33 293 25 273 45030 43341 44 291 37 297 34 295 25 269 43341 41752 45 292 35 298 33 294 23 263 41752 40253 44 292 35 298 35 293 23 274 40253 38841 41 294 39 295 39 297 35 292 38841 37488 41 294 45 292 52 298 41 287 37488 36124 40 291 42 292 51 297 42 280 36124 34722 41 288 37 292 41 300 38 275 34722 33287 40 285 34 293 33 288 30 270 33287 31808 36 277 33 289 26 279 28 260 31808 30275 31 272 32 281 25 277 24 258 30275 28692 28 267 27 276 25 278 20 256 28692 27063 24 260 25 259 22 276 20 256 27063 25392 17 257 23 236 22 259 21 256 25392 23686 15 256 20 231 23 239 21 253 23686 21941 14 246 21 230 22 233 22 247 21941 20154 14 240 21 232 20 234 18 240 20154 18356 13 238 15 234 16 231 15 240 18356 16638 10 235 11 244 13 230 13 245 16638 15078 8 223 10 241 11 233 14 249 15078 13686 5 207 7*206 10 221 15 246 13686 12439 1*215 7*190 9 201 18 233 12439 11317 1*203 7 187 9 192 19 223 11317 10305 3 187 7 185 10 187 16 216 10305 9394 4 179 8 184 11 184 13 203 9394 8578 6 179 8 182 11 182 15 185 8578 7845 7 180 8 183 12 181 16 169 7845 7180 7 181 9 183 12 179 17 156 7180 6583 7 180 9 183 12 179 19 146 6583 6078 7 181 9 182 12 179 20 140 6078 5687 7 181 9 183 12 178 19 138 5687 5415 7 182 9 183 12 178 15 139 5415 5250 7 181 9 183 11 178 10*136 5250 5155 7 182 8 182 9*178 5*130 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography