DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.0 - - 60.2 - - 57.9 - - 57.2 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 56 - - 91 - - 38 - - 23 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 917 - - 1534 - - 949 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 5123 - - 5137 - - 5137 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5766 - - 6383 - - 5798 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1205 - - 2072 - - 2055 - - 1867 - - 2096 Hgt.Variab. W* 160 - - 226 - - 144 - - 82 - - 71 W* B/S 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 16 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 091 - - 077 - - 073 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 612 - - 1229 - - 644 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 5154 - - 5154 - - 5154 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -1975 - - -53 - - 85 - - -190 - - -356 ODpotential blCL 7741 - - 6436 - - 5713 - - 5344 - - 5510 blCL maxRH 90 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 120 - - 70 - - 40 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 59.0 - - 60.2 - - 57.9 - - 57.2 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.1 - - 55.4 - - 55.9 - - 56.3 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.1 - - 59.2 - - 57.5 - - 56.7 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.7 - - 54.6 - - 55.6 - - 56.2 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 56 - - 91 - - 38 - - 23 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 917 - - 1534 - - 949 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97430 51 250 52 258 53 258 48 277 43 277 97430 90084 38 257 39 265 35 265 35 276 33 265 90084 84430 28 269 28 268 27 280 23 275 27 273 84430 79769 19 259 22 257 23 275 24 278 20 292 79769 75789 10 232 19 232 22 255 23 271 17 288 75789 72275 7 282 14 221 15 226 16 230 19 264 72275 69100 11 275 10 241 12 221 17 213 18 242 69100 66188 19 254 13 241 11 229 15 203 15 240 66188 63480 25 229 18 242 20 249 22 233 18 234 63480 60840 27 210 23 203 28 222 22 232 14 256 60840 58094 32 246 28 243 30 245 35 241 39 251 58094 55283 47 226 48 233 46 227 41 233 46 229 55283 52600 41 218 40 221 44 223 45 237 43 238 52600 50173 53 248 46 239 55 242 56 241 65 250 50173 48006 80 246 77 238 71 237 67 236 70 239 48006 46054 87 239 84 226 78 230 65 227 58 227 46054 44275 83 228 73 222 74 225 60 225 51 233 44275 42632 89 222 70 218 71 219 59 223 50 231 42632 41097 89 215 69 217 76 215 60 220 50 216 41097 39651 85 214 65 218 76 216 58 224 53 217 39651 38288 79 223 63 220 67 222 57 231 49 223 38288 36978 61 235 62 221 60 226 54 234 43 227 36978 35658 59 237 59 222 55 230 47 232 41 231 35658 34300 51 234 55 223 47 235 38 229 37 233 34300 32909 44 239 51 226 42 235 34 236 29 217 32909 31472 41 244 42 229 34 230 31 235 27 214 31472 29980 38 250 35 224 29 224 24 215 25 207 29980 28434 26 244 29 201 25 209 19 199 27 198 28434 26839 23 224 30 191 29 204 20 208 28 195 26839 25198 26 212 33 188 30 203 23 210 28 198 25198 23519 19 231 32 193 29 197 25 206 26 211 23519 21797 7 235 27 194 28 192 27 201 18 216 21797 20027 9 185 23 178 26 193 28 200 18 216 20027 18240 11 153 20 166 24 197 28 209 21 229 18240 16531 15 125 18 160 21 201 21 226 18 240 16531 14975 17 111 17 166 20 201 13 241 12 249 14975 13584 17 109 18 157 20 196 8 241 6 254 13584 12339 14 103 19 145 17 192 5 208 3 192 12339 11221 11 098 20 131 13 187 7 163 6 149 11221 10216 10 120 20 113 11 165 10 147 9 144 10216 9314 14 143 21 100 11 134 10 132 10 143 9314 8509 16 152 19 095 14 108 11 112 10 134 8509 7787 18 160 17 093 17 091 14 088 10 116 7787 7134 18 168 13 093 18 083 16 080 11 097 7134 6550 16 180 11*092 19 080 16 078 11 087 6550 6057 12*194 10*091 18*079 16 077 10 083 6057 5674 9*204 9 091 18*078 15 075 10 081 5674 5410 8 207 8 091 16 077 14 075 9 079 5410 5247 7 207 8 091 15 077 13*074 8*079 5247 5154 6 208 7 091 12 076 10*073 7*078 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography