DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.1 - - 61.1 - - 65.9 - - 56.8 - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 247 - - 209 - - -27 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1528 - - 2385 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5641 - - 6202 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6377 - - 7234 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 132 - - 651 - - 809 - - 1261 - - 113 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 303 - - 333 - - 20 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 17 - - 17 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 272 - - 272 - - 255 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -10 - - -10 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3480 - - -6439 - - -6831 - - -6763 - - -5225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8634 - - 12817 - - 14066 - - 11918 - - 10379 sfcLCL ODpotential -14498 - - -13585 - - -12756 - - -14448 - - -14567 ODpotential blCL 19651 - - 19962 - - 19990 - - 19602 - - 19720 blCL maxRH 41 - - 36 - - 34 - - 25 - - 33 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.1 - - 61.1 - - 65.9 - - 56.8 - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.0 - - 23.4 - - 22.5 - - 23.3 - - 23.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.9 - - 59.3 - - 64.2 - - 59.4 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.0 - - 23.2 - - 22.4 - - 23.2 - - 23.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 247 - - 209 - - -27 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1528 - - 2385 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96385 33 277 43 285 36 293 32 282 36 266 96385 89182 19 318 17 280 18 281 17 304 16 285 89182 83663 23 305 9 305 12 236 18 270 20 308 83663 79096 22 318 12 276 9 273 12 275 18 302 79096 75170 18 332 7 299 8 313 8 304 16 293 75170 71705 11 342 7 349 6 341 7 288 14 291 71705 68572 6 345 7 291 8 330 9 267 14 296 68572 65695 12 311 17 270 17 314 14 294 15 298 65695 63038 21 309 21 281 25 287 23 300 23 291 63038 60479 29 305 25 293 32 286 30 295 29 287 60479 57818 33 286 33 286 40 289 37 295 33 287 57818 55053 38 282 39 279 47 283 43 288 38 281 55053 52397 45 284 40 279 47 279 46 282 40 280 52397 49986 48 281 40 282 44 275 43 280 39 283 49986 47808 46 278 39 280 38 277 37 278 37 281 47808 45822 38 275 34 273 32 279 31 279 32 274 45822 44002 27 280 24 276 21 283 23 273 27 272 44002 42328 16 285 15 271 14 275 14 250 21 266 42328 40781 12 271 10 253 10 257 8 220 14 255 40781 39342 8 232 8 236 7 246 5 177 7 232 39342 37992 4 161 10 212 6 241 5 153 4 162 37992 36698 4 111 14 189 9 215 4 156 5 120 36698 35396 6 109 15 168 16 180 4 201 4 097 35396 34058 8 091 13 158 21 168 9 207 3 098 34058 32689 5 081 10 146 19 167 12 182 5 094 32689 31275 1 079 10 152 17 167 11 172 4 076 31275 29808 2 195 9 156 12 162 12 170 2 107 29808 28292 4 201 7 152 10 160 12 160 5 143 28292 26727 6 226 5 164 8 164 9 153 5 136 26727 25118 8 239 5 193 5 171 5 160 4 134 25118 23467 7 246 6 210 4 211 4 182 1 177 23467 21770 8 215 7 231 4 243 3 241 2 306 21770 20021 9 205 7 244 6 256 5 279 6 318 20021 18248 6 214 7 239 7 250 8 279 14 304 18248 16546 2 273 7 230 9 250 11 279 16 303 16546 14998 3 345 7 222 9 253 11 285 17 307 14998 13613 4 327 7 223 8 263 11 293 17 314 13613 12370 7 301 6 245 7 285 10 301 17 323 12370 11249 10 293 6 271 8 295 10 308 18 330 11249 10239 10 288 8 283 9 290 9 317 18 335 10239 9332 9 281 11 281 12 284 9 321 19 333 9332 8520 9 272 14 278 16 281 12 309 20 324 8520 7793 10 270 16 278 17*276 16 294 22 311 7793 7135 15 275 20 279 18*273 19 284 25 296 7135 6548 20 275 20*276 18 272 19 279 26 285 6548 6054 22 272 19*273 18 271 18 276 26 280 6054 5672 21 268 18 272 17 271 17 273 23 278 5672 5407 17 264 17 271 16 271 14 268 17 271 5407 5246 13*255 16 270 15 270 11*262 11 257 5246 5153 7*246 13 270 13 270 6*255 6*236 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography