DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 77.3 - - 72.1 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 305 - - 39 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3539 - - 5762 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7027 - - 8933 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8388 - - 10611 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1802 - - 3323 - - 5614 - - 1074 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 373 - - 510 - - 98 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 249 - - 248 - - 292 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - 8 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 744 - - 652 - - -2606 - - -98 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7645 - - 9960 - - 7762 - - 5253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3106 - - -710 - - -4569 - - -3826 ODpotential blCL - - - 11494 - - 11321 - - 9724 - - 8981 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 76 - - 82 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 160 - - 280 - - 240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 77.3 - - 72.1 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.2 - - 50.9 - - 55.2 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 75.2 - - 71.5 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 50.6 - - 55.0 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 305 - - 39 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3539 - - 5762 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 3 - - 26 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97998 7 164 21 225 14 249 9 294 97998 90695 7 108 6 129 5 209 5 098 90695 85057 5 111 14 092 10 123 14 105 85057 80370 7 113 16 081 13 105 15 114 80370 76343 13 124 13 098 12 088 15 098 76343 72812 15 132 9 142 6 072 15 074 72812 69612 20 126 17 148 5 126 14 058 69612 66671 16 116 17 139 10 147 7 091 66671 63977 10 109 16 130 9 147 8 078 63977 61385 10 110 8 129 9 129 2 152 61385 58703 9 158 11 187 12 186 13 211 58703 55956 22 178 28 197 29 211 34 215 55956 53361 24 214 29 218 37 219 38 216 53361 51026 31 257 31 255 39 248 39 222 51026 48898 44 267 44 265 44 252 46 240 48898 46932 51 260 50 256 50 252 50 250 46932 45100 53 253 55 251 54 250 54 253 45100 43385 52 244 58 247 56 244 59 253 43385 41775 50 234 55 237 60 242 67 253 41775 40260 50 225 56 226 63 243 73 251 40260 38835 49 223 56 225 61 242 72 248 38835 37463 48 229 56 228 60 241 71 246 37463 36082 47 233 56 229 62 239 69 243 36082 34664 47 238 56 229 63 238 66 241 34664 33216 48 239 56 231 62 240 63 242 33216 31724 51 237 57 235 63 242 65 244 31724 30181 53 236 60 239 65 242 63 240 30181 28593 55 237 60 241 62 241 59 238 28593 26972 54 240 59 245 56 245 51 242 26972 25321 52 244 59 249 55 251 46 247 25321 23638 50 245 59 247 55 253 44 251 23638 21911 49 241 56 242 53 252 42 250 21911 20132 49 237 53 239 50 248 42 246 20132 18335 46 234 49 240 48 247 41 242 18335 16618 40 232 44 242 42 242 39 242 16618 15062 37 231 36 239 33 239 38 239 15062 13674 34 233 30 232 27 236 35 239 13674 12430 33 235 25 227 22 229 30 241 12430 11309 30 237 23*227 17 223 23 239 11309 10298 27 238 18*234 15 221 16 235 10298 9387 22 240 17 237 13 224 11 225 9387 8571 20*244 17 241 11 233 8 223 8571 7838 19*246 16 248 10 251 7 241 7838 7172 18 248 16 253 11 272 9 274 7172 6576 18 250 15 255 12 287 12 293 6576 6074 18 250 15 258 13 290 13 310 6074 5684 17 251 14 260 13 291 10 327 5684 5414 16 251 14 260 13 292 6 338 5414 5249 15 251 13 261 12*292 3*356 5249 5155 13 251 12 262 10*292 2*027 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography