DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.8 - - 56.6 - - 64.6 - - 61.8 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 238 - - 266 - - -14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1402 - - 4478 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 5541 - - 7862 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6251 - - 9327 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 127 - - 949 - - 1813 - - 5714 - - 434 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 291 - - 444 - - 16 - - 19 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 15 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 242 - - 263 - - 282 - - 234 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -15 - - -13 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4030 - - -6191 - - -4401 - - -8034 - - -5868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9184 - - 12443 - - 13728 - - 13189 - - 11022 sfcLCL ODpotential -13076 - - -11677 - - -8379 - - -12457 - - -12166 ODpotential blCL 18229 - - 17928 - - 17706 - - 17611 - - 17320 blCL maxRH 78 - - 81 - - 75 - - 58 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.8 - - 56.6 - - 64.6 - - 61.8 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.6 - - 20.4 - - 22.2 - - 22.1 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 54.7 - - 62.5 - - 62.3 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.6 - - 20.4 - - 22.2 - - 22.0 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 238 - - 266 - - -14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1402 - - 4478 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96238 35 250 49 257 43 250 44 267 45 260 96238 89091 39 252 48 254 46 257 41 268 34 259 89091 83649 38 263 37 257 38 266 30 270 28 271 83649 79107 31 274 19 259 21 265 18 268 30 277 79107 75161 25 280 7 259 12 234 18 257 27 271 75161 71682 18 289 6 306 7 240 14 253 26 264 71682 68573 22 279 11 298 6 292 12 250 19 258 68573 65746 22 259 16 290 11 310 12 287 10 272 65746 63124 22 271 21 280 19 292 20 284 16 278 63124 60579 24 266 23 270 25 276 28 280 29 287 60579 57940 28 275 28 273 33 271 38 284 36 287 57940 55198 37 280 33 274 40 262 42 275 39 284 55198 52547 44 277 39 274 43 264 42 276 45 276 52547 50129 50 274 46 278 51 277 55 274 54 268 50129 47935 53 276 54 279 56 276 62 270 61 265 47935 45917 57 281 57 277 59 272 61 269 63 262 45917 44049 59 284 57 274 59 272 59 270 61 264 44049 42312 56 281 56 272 59 273 58 272 58 268 42312 40692 58 278 56 273 58 274 61 273 60 273 40692 39180 58 275 55 275 56 275 64 275 63 279 39180 37778 54 272 52 274 55 277 61 278 64 283 37778 36458 50 271 48 270 50 285 61 288 62 282 36458 35153 49 267 43 266 55 290 62 294 55 281 35153 33821 50 258 39 266 59 295 63 295 54 280 33821 32459 48 253 36 261 58 297 62 292 55 279 32459 31051 45 250 31 256 60 303 61 291 53 279 31051 29589 38 247 26 260 60 301 59 290 51 280 29589 28074 27 234 21 254 43 292 56 289 49 278 28074 26511 17 225 25 252 33 285 52 294 47 277 26511 24904 18 234 28 255 32 277 45 294 43 277 24904 23263 21 252 26 247 33 271 32 288 37 275 23263 21585 22 263 22 254 31 274 28 283 27 279 21585 19859 21 257 23 268 26 278 27 281 21 290 19859 18110 21 251 23 264 25 280 25 280 20 300 18110 16426 20 249 22 265 25 283 22 281 21 304 16426 14891 19 244 21 268 23 286 22 283 25 302 14891 13519 16 243 20 268 21 287 23 285 29 299 13519 12290 13 250 18 266 20 285 22 286 30 297 12290 11185 12 262 15 267 20 281 19 286 29 298 11185 10191 13 268 14 269 18*274 16 285 27 297 10191 9298 15 270 13 269 16*266 15 285 25 294 9298 8499 17 268 14 266 16 265 15 284 23 288 8499 7783 19 264 17 263 16 264 15 284 21 283 7783 7132 20 256 19 257 16 263 15 284 19 281 7132 6548 21 247 19*251 15 262 14 284 17 281 6548 6055 20 239 16*245 15 261 14 284 14 282 6055 5673 17 234 15 242 14 261 13 283 12 281 5673 5408 13 231 14 241 14 261 12 283 9 274 5408 5246 9*231 13 241 13 261 11*282 5*254 5246 5154 5*231 11 240 11 261 8*282 3*234 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography