DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 72.8 - - 75.8 - - 73.5 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 368 - - 369 - - -4 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3022 - - 4559 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6864 - - 8056 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 7871 - - 9408 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 162 - - 1177 - - 1602 - - 8111 - - 1671 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 435 - - 499 - - 10 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 35 - - 33 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 257 - - 251 - - 263 - - 286 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -30 - - -67 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7157 - - -8301 - - -6799 - - -9372 - - -5193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12312 - - 16173 - - 16208 - - 14528 - - 10347 sfcLCL ODpotential -16665 - - -13768 - - -11817 - - -15263 - - -13247 ODpotential blCL 21819 - - 21639 - - 21225 - - 20418 - - 18401 blCL maxRH 52 - - 48 - - 59 - - 54 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 72.8 - - 75.8 - - 73.5 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.8 - - 19.8 - - 22.4 - - 27.5 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 70.9 - - 73.8 - - 73.3 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.7 - - 19.7 - - 22.3 - - 27.5 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 368 - - 369 - - -4 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3022 - - 4559 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96710 6 180 7 282 8 328 6 007 8 272 96710 89573 8 137 7 176 5 185 5 145 1 125 89573 84044 4 130 7 160 8 170 10 181 3 052 84044 79431 3 117 5 201 5 182 7 201 3 253 79431 75443 2 103 6 180 9 182 2 195 2 204 75443 71894 3 227 7 245 6 218 6 254 2 339 71894 68669 13 298 8 232 10 221 17 173 14 213 68669 65754 25 228 8 233 14 178 20 098 13 119 65754 63082 35 228 36 231 43 240 33 271 17 249 63082 60540 58 246 63 242 68 252 60 257 55 251 60540 57928 59 255 66 247 62 251 64 259 61 254 57928 55179 54 259 55 251 56 250 70 255 66 262 55179 52526 53 256 51 255 54 254 67 253 68 260 52526 50131 54 255 52 257 58 258 64 257 68 258 50131 47984 58 253 58 257 66 259 65 260 71 256 47984 46040 58 251 60 256 73 258 68 262 74 256 46040 44262 55 253 60 260 76 260 72 264 75 260 44262 42620 53 262 61 267 80 266 74 264 78 263 42620 41086 57 274 68 274 86 269 74 262 84 263 41086 39643 65 279 76 275 88 268 72 259 86 262 39643 38282 72 277 79 272 87 265 71 257 84 260 38282 36972 76 273 79 268 86 263 72 257 82 259 36972 35650 77 269 78 263 86 264 74 258 81 259 35650 34289 76 266 76 261 88 265 76 259 80 260 34289 32894 76 266 75 260 88 264 80 259 79 259 32894 31454 74 265 74 260 87 264 82 260 79 258 31454 29959 72 266 73 261 84 264 83 262 81 258 29959 28414 72 268 71 261 80 264 83 263 82 260 28414 26823 73 267 69 260 76 260 80 263 82 261 26823 25190 70 262 68 258 73 255 78 260 79 260 25190 23520 65 253 67 253 71 249 76 255 77 254 23520 21807 63 247 66 248 69 246 76 251 76 250 21807 20040 62 245 66 245 67 244 76 250 75 250 20040 18252 58 244 63 243 64 244 74 251 71 252 18252 16538 54 242 59 242 61 244 71 252 67 254 16538 14979 50 240 55 241 58 245 63 251 63 254 14979 13589 47 238 52 239 57 245 50 248 56 249 13589 12347 44 239 51 237 55 247 41 248 49 240 12347 11231 43 242 50 238 52 248 38 250 44 232 11231 10226 42 247 49 242 45*248 36 252 40 230 10226 9323 43 254 49 247 39*248 34 255 37 234 9323 8514 43 261 45*252 35 249 32 258 34 245 8514 7791 41 264 39*256 34 251 31 260 33 263 7791 7136 36 264 37 257 34 251 30 262 34 280 7136 6551 31 260 36 258 33 252 29 263 35 291 6551 6057 27 257 35 258 32 252 28 263 33 293 6057 5675 23 256 34 258 31 253 27 264 29 293 5675 5409 18 251 32 258 30 253 25 264 23 291 5409 5247 12*236 29 258 27 253 22*263 19 289 5247 5154 7*224 23 257 22 253 16*263 11*286 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography