DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 90.5 - - 89.0 - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 438 - - 412 - - 90 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7566 - - 8072 - - 7301 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10526 - - 10908 - - 9334 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12415 - - 12921 - - 12150 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3155 - - 4413 - - 5418 - - 2374 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 625 - - 626 - - 372 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 18 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 110 - - 147 - - 138 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 12 - - 17 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 691 - - 507 - - 22 - - -2481 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11725 - - 12415 - - 12128 - - 7638 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -504 - - -603 - - -1610 - - -5910 ODpotential blCL - - - 12919 - - 13524 - - 13760 - - 11066 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 74 - - 89 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 1070 - - 1350 - - 1340 - - 2240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 90.5 - - 89.0 - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 53.4 - - 53.3 - - 61.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.7 - - 87.5 - - 88.0 - - 77.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 53.3 - - 52.8 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 438 - - 412 - - 90 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7566 - - 8072 - - 7301 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 55 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98945 45 086 50 100 44 094 44 083 98945 91512 45 090 45 098 44 103 40 095 91512 85766 47 099 40 097 40 100 45 094 85766 80991 43 101 35 099 37 092 45 088 80991 76899 35 098 31 095 28 086 36 084 76899 73297 27 100 34 099 27 092 31 080 73297 70044 26 101 32 099 30 093 30 080 70044 67064 22 094 28 105 29 090 29 084 67064 64309 20 087 22 093 22 093 27 094 64309 61646 17 072 15 092 16 090 21 093 61646 58902 15 086 11 083 12 093 17 087 58902 56095 11 092 14 067 13 079 15 086 56095 53440 7 097 12 044 14 052 14 052 53440 51062 10 063 9 029 12 036 13 051 51062 48918 14 059 12 043 12 029 13 018 48918 46954 22 036 19 042 13 029 11 342 46954 45137 26 027 23 033 21 032 15 007 45137 43450 30 024 26 023 30 026 22 015 43450 41875 31 023 27 014 34 023 25 015 41875 40394 31 024 27 010 31 021 25 013 40394 39000 32 023 24 013 27 019 25 012 39000 37659 29 022 23 022 24 018 20 013 37659 36310 22 021 21 026 21 027 19 012 36310 34924 18 009 13 028 17 028 19 016 34924 33505 19 012 11 015 13 029 15 015 33505 32042 18 005 9 021 12 034 14 011 32042 30527 14 003 8 024 11 038 13 014 30527 28962 9 004 7 028 12 034 12 027 28962 27348 4 026 7 022 13 029 12 020 27348 25691 3 064 8 359 14 013 13 017 25691 23994 2 095 9 359 13 010 16 027 23994 22252 7 116 7 023 10 036 16 037 22252 20461 13 110 7 044 13 053 19 049 20461 18649 15 105 9 050 11 038 20 059 18649 16909 12 082 9 023 9 022 21 050 16909 15321 7 045 8 010 7 017 15 028 15321 13899 7 037 7*011 3 024 12 356 13899 12621 7*039 2*042 2*093 9 332 12621 11469 6*048 3 134 3*123 6 307 11469 10430 5 086 5 149 5 137 4 266 10430 9495 5 102 6 151 7 138 5 213 9495 8658 5 112 7 150 8 139 8 182 8658 7907 6 117 8 150 8 139 12 164 7907 7225 6 122 9 149 9 139 17 148 7225 6615 6 126 9 149 9 139 24 138 6615 6100 7 127 9 149 9 139 24 137 6100 5700 7 128 10 148 9 139 23 136 5700 5423 7 128 9 148 9 139 20 135 5423 5253 6 128 9 147 9 138 18*135 5253 5156 6 128 9 148 8 138 12*134 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography