DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 80.3 - - 70.0 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 214 - - -12 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2667 - - 4763 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6194 - - 8005 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7516 - - 9612 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1615 - - 2495 - - 1888 - - 1614 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 429 - - 55 - - 59 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 22 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 186 - - 189 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1108 - - 938 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6408 - - 8674 - - 5155 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2055 - - -703 - - -2459 - - -230 ODpotential blCL - - - 9571 - - 10315 - - 7614 - - 5385 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 87 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 940 - - 1030 - - 1850 - - 1320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.8 - - 80.3 - - 70.0 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.6 - - 59.3 - - 66.3 - - 66.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 78.7 - - 70.3 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 58.9 - - 65.8 - - 66.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 97 - - 214 - - -12 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2667 - - 4763 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 47 - - 99 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98025 7 121 13 181 17 215 12 275 98025 90705 6 168 7 154 2 145 7 074 90705 85065 11 126 14 104 8 096 13 082 85065 80385 16 097 18 100 14 089 15 084 80385 76363 13 106 14 106 13 098 13 086 76363 72805 13 125 10 111 13 100 13 092 72805 69582 13 092 11 132 10 092 13 077 69582 66643 16 070 17 121 11 124 12 078 66643 63952 11 054 15 078 14 092 13 090 63952 61380 6 241 11 014 13 064 10 092 61380 58736 11 222 6 276 5 354 3 112 58736 56019 8 218 14 211 18 239 14 247 56019 53432 9 241 16 228 23 223 25 220 53432 51092 14 273 26 261 26 240 28 219 51092 48969 32 284 29 268 33 241 24 242 48969 47010 36 287 36 282 34 265 27 282 47010 45187 40 287 41 284 43 287 41 287 45187 43487 41 284 41 283 45 286 44 281 43487 41891 41 279 41 277 47 278 39 274 41891 40385 40 270 47 275 51 272 36 266 40385 38965 40 265 47 274 47 265 36 260 38965 37602 37 263 42 273 39 262 38 255 37602 36233 32 264 36 266 37 258 37 250 36233 34828 31 270 34 262 37 257 38 248 34828 33392 35 279 36 268 38 259 39 248 33392 31911 32 278 36 276 35 260 38 250 31911 30376 25 248 30 275 32 277 39 257 30376 28793 28 223 25 249 30 262 37 261 28793 27162 30 224 36 227 34 234 25 261 27162 25489 32 224 37 223 37 232 27 234 25489 23780 30 224 35 219 36 228 30 227 23780 22032 26 223 35 220 34 225 35 232 22032 20237 24 225 34 219 34 224 36 239 20237 18426 24 228 29 216 33 219 36 240 18426 16694 24 230 25 215 33 216 39 238 16694 15125 24 230 24 215 34 215 41 234 15125 13726 22 227 26 211 34 216 42 230 13726 12473 20 224 26 201 34 215 40 224 12473 11345 21 217 23 191 33 207 38 219 11345 10329 25 207 22*186 32 196 36 217 10329 9415 28 200 22*186 31 187 34 215 9415 8594 27 197 22 186 30 184 30 212 8594 7858 24*194 22 186 28 185 27 208 7858 7188 22*190 22 186 26 188 26 203 7188 6588 21 189 22 187 25 191 26 203 6588 6081 20 190 21 187 23 190 22 193 6081 5689 20 190 21 187 20 190 20 188 5689 5417 18 190 20 187 18 190 17 185 5417 5250 17 190 19 188 15*190 15*184 5250 5155 14 191 16 187 11*189 11*183 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography