DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.0 - - 74.6 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 280 - - 7 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5395 - - 7099 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8604 - - 9936 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10244 - - 11948 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3273 - - 3387 - - 9285 - - 1519 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 484 - - 528 - - 55 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 23 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 122 - - 131 - - 121 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1077 - - 583 - - -6125 - - -1933 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9167 - - 11366 - - 11281 - - 7087 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -189 - - -665 - - -7362 - - -5175 ODpotential blCL - - - 10433 - - 12613 - - 12517 - - 10329 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 75 - - 95 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 230 - - 50 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.0 - - 74.6 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 43.7 - - 42.8 - - 50.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 73.7 - - 74.2 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 43.6 - - 42.8 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 280 - - 7 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5395 - - 7099 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - 79 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98008 17 211 20 251 18 250 16 246 98008 90631 12 231 13 224 12 229 12 281 90631 84906 7 245 8 181 8 204 5 276 84906 80142 3 041 10 139 9 164 7 186 80142 76076 2 203 8 150 5 166 16 172 76076 72521 11 222 6 232 1 167 11 162 72521 69327 12 203 11 251 6 308 1 129 69327 66414 8 168 14 222 14 281 11 325 66414 63730 6 078 9 207 11 257 16 303 63730 61158 9 354 3 337 5 260 11 271 61158 58491 11 319 10 318 10 282 10 258 58491 55720 14 308 16 306 16 279 16 277 55720 53073 21 300 23 293 24 286 29 283 53073 50679 25 291 29 297 33 286 35 289 50679 48518 29 292 34 292 38 287 42 286 48518 46543 32 291 37 289 41 285 46 284 46543 44720 34 292 38 291 43 281 47 284 44720 43022 35 296 38 294 42 279 47 285 43022 41430 36 300 41 297 39 283 45 288 41430 39932 37 304 45 300 38 291 43 290 39932 38526 41 306 48 303 41 298 42 293 38526 37178 45 306 50 305 43 300 44 295 37178 35823 50 304 51 307 44 299 43 295 35823 34433 53 305 52 307 45 298 42 297 34433 33015 51 307 52 308 46 300 42 301 33015 31559 47 314 50 310 46 306 44 304 31559 30055 46 322 46 313 46 311 44 306 30055 28506 44 322 42 321 45 314 40 308 28506 26912 36 324 40 324 43 317 37 312 26912 25279 27 327 35 329 38 322 32 321 25279 23609 21 326 29 336 30 327 26 329 23609 21895 14 323 23 337 23 335 18 335 21895 20129 9 332 18 335 18 342 12 358 20129 18340 8 356 12 337 14 343 9 012 18340 16623 7 018 5 355 11 332 9 032 16623 15058 5 020 2 259 5 309 10 358 15058 13667 2 058 3 222 3 239 11 325 13667 12424 1 115 3*196 3 209 9 304 12424 11305 1 140 3*156 3 168 6 292 11305 10296 4*137 4 147 4 151 2 271 10296 9386 5*133 4 140 5 140 2 152 9386 8571 6 129 4 134 6 134 5 147 8571 7839 6 127 4 129 7 129 9 151 7839 7175 6 123 5 125 7 126 14 150 7175 6579 6 120 5 122 7 124 20 148 6579 6076 6 117 5 120 8 123 23 147 6076 5685 6 114 5 118 7 122 21 148 5685 5415 6 113 5 118 7 121 16 150 5415 5250 6 114 5 116 7*121 12 150 5250 5154 6 113 4 116 6*121 6*151 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography