DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 59.5 - - 54.0 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 266 - - -35 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1969 - - 3003 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5980 - - 6743 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6818 - - 7852 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 818 - - 987 - - 2491 - - 106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 389 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 240 - - 238 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -17 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4685 - - -4959 - - -6543 - - -3204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11503 - - 12812 - - 11697 - - 8357 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12807 - - -11996 - - -14669 - - -13851 ODpotential blCL - - - 19625 - - 19848 - - 19823 - - 19004 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 33 - - 30 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.1 - - 59.5 - - 54.0 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 21.5 - - 21.2 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 57.6 - - 55.3 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 21.4 - - 21.3 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 266 - - -35 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1969 - - 3003 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96129 7 292 15 262 12 288 10 319 96129 89110 8 140 12 072 7 075 15 074 89110 83715 18 094 16 112 9 079 10 063 83715 79220 20 093 24 100 11 104 9 059 79220 75309 17 088 25 100 11 129 8 060 75309 71827 16 081 16 091 14 115 9 082 71827 68666 18 063 9 077 10 113 5 150 68666 65757 15 041 8 027 5 071 7 196 65757 63066 6 348 13 343 12 339 8 237 63066 60468 6 296 18 321 19 322 11 288 60468 57765 9 314 19 289 27 315 21 297 57765 54960 13 290 21 269 29 288 31 302 54960 52273 17 266 23 263 32 262 46 292 52273 49846 13 295 23 260 27 249 40 259 49846 47670 16 331 12 283 21 240 29 241 47670 45687 16 342 12 313 7 259 15 233 45687 43855 13 306 16 287 11 302 11 272 43855 42155 22 248 28 256 21 275 25 277 42155 40583 24 242 33 243 30 254 34 270 40583 39128 20 283 30 258 26 268 32 262 39128 37775 26 302 26 294 24 291 30 272 37775 36482 27 296 30 301 30 295 34 277 36482 35185 27 303 32 297 36 290 34 281 35185 33853 27 313 31 305 33 292 32 291 33853 32488 25 328 29 311 33 299 30 302 32488 31080 28 345 29 318 32 309 31 306 31080 29618 31 358 29 324 32 312 32 305 29618 28107 33 004 29 333 31 314 31 304 28107 26551 35 009 29 342 30 319 29 310 26551 24951 35 013 28 349 28 324 28 319 24951 23310 33 015 26 355 27 330 28 321 23310 21620 25 015 23 358 24 334 28 318 21620 19875 19 004 17 354 20 336 26 317 19875 18105 20 359 13 349 16 326 21 310 18105 16405 19 358 13 348 13 318 19 300 16405 14860 11 342 11 334 13 310 17 297 14860 13486 9 268 11 286 12 302 16 299 13486 12257 12 256 14 279 14 307 15 309 12257 11152 8 246 15 278 17 300 17 310 11152 10157 7 223 14 263 19 283 19 301 10157 9263 9 224 16 248 20 267 22 287 9263 8465 12 238 17*243 21 257 24 274 8465 7751 17 242 18*241 20 252 25 265 7751 7105 19*240 18 241 19 248 25 259 7105 6528 19*238 18 240 18 246 25 254 6528 6041 18 237 18 239 18 244 25 249 6041 5664 17 236 17 238 17 242 23 243 5664 5403 16 236 16 238 15 240 19 238 5403 5244 15 235 15 238 12*239 14*233 5244 5153 13 235 13 238 9*238 8*229 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography