DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 76.6 - - 78.3 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 88 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4375 - - 2190 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7958 - - 5771 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9224 - - 7039 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2514 - - 4639 - - 7692 - - 875 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 514 - - 264 - - 84 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 23 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 254 - - 257 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 189 - - 165 - - -2851 - - -315 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9036 - - 6874 - - 8007 - - 5471 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1620 - - -1864 - - -4521 - - -3753 ODpotential blCL - - - 10844 - - 8903 - - 9677 - - 8908 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 88 - - 74 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 920 - - 2180 - - 1690 - - 1590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.2 - - 76.6 - - 78.3 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 63.5 - - 60.4 - - 63.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.4 - - 75.6 - - 77.8 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 62.2 - - 60.0 - - 62.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 417 - - 88 - - 24 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4375 - - 2190 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 53 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98434 11 087 13 124 15 107 11 090 98434 91041 15 107 15 110 19 096 16 086 91041 85315 19 113 19 099 17 100 14 080 85315 80560 18 117 17 106 15 103 13 081 80560 76489 17 105 14 119 7 127 15 062 76489 72905 16 107 13 107 6 100 12 078 72905 69671 10 097 9 103 8 074 9 048 69671 66725 9 095 5 102 11 064 9 048 66725 64022 6 051 1 206 9 004 13 028 64022 61415 4 088 0 128 2 294 7 345 61415 58718 5 357 8 322 7 329 10 328 58718 55953 19 283 21 292 19 310 23 307 55953 53352 46 289 53 293 47 297 46 299 53352 51024 64 282 62 293 60 293 51 296 51024 48910 66 291 71 298 67 300 57 296 48910 46962 74 293 72 294 69 299 61 294 46962 45154 77 291 74 292 70 298 64 291 45154 43463 80 288 75 291 69 296 70 291 43463 41875 81 286 74 290 68 292 73 292 41875 40377 78 284 73 288 68 289 71 293 40377 38966 70 281 69 287 67 290 65 293 38966 37613 62 280 62 289 62 291 59 289 37613 36254 51 287 48 289 49 298 54 288 36254 34860 41 289 34 283 39 310 40 298 34860 33439 33 279 29 277 29 302 28 315 33439 31977 31 269 27 269 27 278 20 297 31977 30459 32 278 27 269 28 273 25 276 30459 28885 30 293 23 274 23 280 26 278 28885 27262 27 298 21 282 17 282 18 280 27262 25597 21 298 21 284 15 279 15 276 25597 23892 16 293 17 277 15 275 16 277 23892 22142 13 278 14 263 16 274 17 280 22142 20341 16 264 16 259 18 277 18 281 20341 18525 16 258 18 253 15 276 17 288 18525 16788 10 246 17 255 13 279 15 300 16788 15212 12 193 14 268 12 291 12 309 15212 13806 11 187 11 280 11 295 10 314 13806 12545 9 199 8 272 10 291 8 315 12545 11410 12 218 6 253 8 286 6 309 11410 10384 15 225 6 250 7 285 5 300 10384 9461 15*229 5 251 5 285 4 295 9461 8633 15*228 4 257 4 288 3 298 8633 7889 14 228 4 263 3 287 2 305 7889 7213 14 227 3*265 2 287 0 027 7213 6606 14 226 3*262 2 281 2 123 6606 6093 13 225 2 258 2 269 3 144 6093 5695 13 224 2 252 2 261 8 156 5695 5420 12 224 2 248 2 259 9 158 5420 5252 12 224 2 244 2*257 6 159 5252 5155 11 223 1 243 2*257 4*157 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography