DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.7 - - 92.3 - - 89.8 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 492 - - 123 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8704 - - 10032 - - 8593 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11525 - - 12594 - - 10531 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13553 - - 14881 - - 13442 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2176 - - 2214 - - 2845 - - 912 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 690 - - 713 - - 427 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 125 - - 123 - - 129 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1785 - - -2419 - - -2530 - - -7937 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15339 - - 17301 - - 15973 - - 13092 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4040 - - -4689 - - -5104 - - -12482 ODpotential blCL - - - 17593 - - 19570 - - 18546 - - 17637 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 65 - - 63 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.7 - - 92.3 - - 89.8 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.9 - - 33.6 - - 37.3 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.2 - - 89.0 - - 88.5 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 33.5 - - 37.2 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 492 - - 123 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8704 - - 10032 - - 8593 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98909 23 115 22 107 23 101 26 073 98909 91447 35 116 35 109 23 093 32 084 91447 85705 42 101 39 113 27 101 30 095 85705 80933 35 091 37 096 34 095 34 097 80933 76833 24 099 29 081 34 087 35 094 76833 73241 20 103 22 085 27 084 30 092 73241 70000 20 099 18 091 18 091 21 088 70000 67016 23 102 19 081 17 099 17 074 67016 64261 23 093 17 085 17 089 19 073 64261 61625 18 093 13 088 15 078 18 081 61625 58908 15 084 11 079 16 073 16 083 58908 56099 18 073 13 084 13 067 11 064 56099 53429 22 045 20 062 15 070 8 043 53429 51045 19 019 24 032 20 051 16 071 51045 48921 12 003 21 009 26 027 23 060 48921 46990 7 356 8 341 25 359 24 032 46990 45205 3 093 2 117 16 344 23 006 45205 43537 10 091 10 112 5 350 21 349 43537 41965 12 075 13 105 10 114 3 024 41965 40482 10 071 14 106 17 116 8 120 40482 39084 9 085 15 103 20 118 12 108 39084 37742 11 091 13 096 19 112 19 116 37742 36390 13 094 13 097 17 098 22 122 36390 34998 13 098 14 098 17 092 21 115 34998 33574 12 117 13 098 13 090 22 114 33574 32108 12 142 10 113 8 092 13 099 32108 30590 12 137 9 140 9 117 12 093 30590 29020 15 120 11 149 12 120 13 101 29020 27398 19 122 17 136 13 119 15 117 27398 25731 19 129 17 131 11 112 16 127 25731 24021 17 126 13 133 9 101 12 118 24021 22263 16 108 14 111 11 098 12 095 22263 20458 18 105 15 088 10 084 14 085 20458 18637 20 105 16 085 12 076 14 071 18637 16890 20 118 13 099 11 080 12 071 16890 15301 21 131 10*115 7 091 8 068 15301 13881 16*134 9*120 7*108 6 063 13881 12607 11*129 10 121 7*115 4 087 12607 11459 11 128 10 123 8 119 6 136 11459 10425 11 127 10 124 9 126 9 147 10425 9494 11 126 11 124 10 129 11 149 9494 8659 11 126 11 125 10 131 13 147 8659 7910 11 125 12 125 11 132 15 145 7910 7229 11 123 12 124 11 133 16 143 7229 6617 11 123 12 124 12 133 17 142 6617 6101 10 122 12 124 12 133 17 142 6101 5700 10 122 12 124 11 134 15 144 5700 5422 10 122 12 123 11 134 12 147 5422 5253 10 122 11 123 11 133 9 148 5253 5155 9 121 10 123 10 134 5*149 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography