DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 76.4 - - 80.5 - - 77.1 - - 63.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 360 - - 367 - - 15 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3131 - - 5688 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6941 - - 8944 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 7980 - - 10537 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 540 - - 3329 - - 2821 - - 6271 - - 294 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 437 - - 536 - - 70 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 18 - - 16 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 291 - - 321 - - 317 - - 299 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 15 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7678 - - -7705 - - -5755 - - -10421 - - -7777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12832 - - 15686 - - 16293 - - 15577 - - 12932 sfcLCL ODpotential -16317 - - -12768 - - -10243 - - -15104 - - -15721 ODpotential blCL 21471 - - 20748 - - 20780 - - 20259 - - 20875 blCL maxRH 58 - - 62 - - 55 - - 52 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 76.4 - - 80.5 - - 77.1 - - 63.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.0 - - 25.3 - - 26.4 - - 26.6 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.9 - - 73.9 - - 78.0 - - 76.7 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.0 - - 25.3 - - 26.3 - - 26.6 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 360 - - 367 - - 15 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3131 - - 5688 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96586 12 254 12 258 5 291 10 272 13 290 96586 89339 9 340 3 316 9 219 16 280 18 317 89339 83759 13 312 4 275 9 241 13 283 15 334 83759 79143 8 225 5 275 7 274 7 241 13 311 79143 75174 6 312 9 278 7 283 6 244 8 244 75174 71663 4 254 11 301 5 284 7 267 10 265 71663 68506 6 301 19 293 13 299 11 281 11 266 68506 65642 15 335 12 302 18 307 15 301 20 305 65642 63014 26 321 22 316 26 312 22 295 24 306 63014 60491 30 314 35 322 32 317 24 305 23 309 60491 57868 35 314 33 319 31 308 33 311 31 309 57868 55141 37 309 26 311 30 300 35 300 39 307 55141 52524 33 307 24 313 31 307 37 306 42 311 52524 50152 37 321 34 324 41 320 49 312 46 316 50152 48015 52 331 46 325 50 317 56 315 55 318 48015 46072 59 330 51 318 52 314 58 315 57 315 46072 44286 54 331 49 314 51 314 53 314 53 309 44286 42633 51 336 46 321 48 318 47 314 45 304 42633 41093 53 340 44 325 43 319 43 316 37 305 41093 39650 53 339 41 323 39 319 40 318 36 315 39650 38293 50 336 39 319 37 319 38 319 37 323 38293 36988 45 334 38 316 34 319 37 320 35 325 36988 35672 38 332 36 313 31 318 36 320 31 322 35672 34319 29 330 35 311 29 315 34 320 29 318 34319 32934 28 321 35 310 31 309 34 320 29 316 32934 31507 30 313 36 310 32 307 35 322 30 319 31507 30027 28 310 36 313 32 310 37 323 32 320 30027 28496 27 313 36 317 32 314 37 323 33 321 28496 26916 28 319 33 319 35 315 36 323 35 326 26916 25290 29 323 30 318 37 314 36 323 34 333 25290 23624 28 326 27 316 36 313 34 322 32 338 23624 21912 26 330 26 317 33 315 32 322 30 340 21912 20147 24 335 26 318 31 318 31 324 30 340 20147 18360 20 334 24 317 27 314 30 323 28 336 18360 16644 15 326 23 310 22 308 28 320 26 332 16644 15080 12 314 21 295 19 297 23 315 24 330 15080 13685 11 304 14 280 15 283 17 312 20 332 13685 12434 9 312 10 291 12 289 13 318 18 339 12434 11309 10 339 12 327 13*316 12 320 18 345 11309 10295 14 352 16 340 15*321 12 315 19 341 10295 9382 16 352 18 342 15 320 13 311 21 329 9382 8566 17 344 19*340 16 320 14 307 24 315 8566 7834 19 330 19*333 16 318 14 305 27 305 7834 7170 23 318 19 325 16 317 14 303 29 301 7170 6576 29 311 19 320 17 316 14 302 30 301 6576 6074 33 307 18 317 16 315 14 301 28 301 6074 5684 31 305 18 315 16 313 14 300 23 301 5684 5413 23 300 17 314 15 313 13 300 16 297 5413 5249 20*298 16 314 15 313 12*299 11 289 5249 5154 10*291 14 313 13 313 10*299 6*272 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography