DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 66.9 - - 59.6 - - 55.3 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 77 - - 504 - - 535 - - 107 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 611 - - 8258 - - 3024 - - 1793 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 11154 - - 6968 - - 5436 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5460 - - 13107 - - 7873 - - 6642 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2507 - - 1896 - - 2251 - - 1300 - - 1180 Hgt.Variab. W* 151 - - 675 - - 493 - - 242 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 39 - - 30 - - 25 - - 15 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 221 - - 277 - - 289 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 20 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -35 - - -26 - - -18 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2875 - - 971 - - -21 - - -1596 - - -2720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8335 - - 12137 - - 7894 - - 8238 - - 7873 sfcLCL ODpotential -5913 - - -763 - - -1751 - - -4389 - - -7198 ODpotential blCL 11373 - - 13870 - - 9624 - - 11031 - - 12351 blCL maxRH 59 - - 55 - - 78 - - 60 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 350 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 66.9 - - 59.6 - - 55.3 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.7 - - 31.3 - - 42.5 - - 37.0 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.6 - - 64.6 - - 56.8 - - 54.4 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.7 - - 31.1 - - 42.5 - - 37.0 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 77 - - 504 - - 535 - - 107 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 611 - - 8258 - - 3024 - - 1793 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96859 31 258 34 283 24 263 27 261 34 274 96859 89500 23 256 25 261 23 257 28 276 31 294 89500 83938 16 248 28 258 26 253 32 277 30 307 83938 79365 17 286 26 263 25 274 25 270 26 290 79365 75411 25 302 18 271 27 277 16 271 21 275 75411 71930 20 286 11 281 15 277 16 291 10 329 71930 68797 16 265 14 273 9 282 21 291 21 306 68797 65935 19 306 21 335 12 263 15 293 21 273 65935 63291 32 358 29 355 29 359 16 008 16 283 63291 60710 26 238 23 254 25 288 21 294 21 275 60710 58006 50 218 39 231 40 234 48 248 38 228 58006 55168 45 224 39 229 34 229 58 240 56 242 55168 52426 53 236 44 236 41 246 58 238 59 249 52426 49958 61 242 56 235 54 252 51 240 44 251 49958 47740 70 242 65 233 58 252 48 245 38 252 47740 45716 77 240 72 233 65 249 53 248 46 253 45716 43851 83 237 78 234 74 243 61 245 56 247 43851 42122 89 233 84 235 79 237 68 241 62 243 42122 40511 94 229 89 234 82 233 72 236 64 241 40511 39002 96 227 94 232 88 230 76 233 70 238 39002 37590 100 226 99 229 97 227 82 233 78 232 37590 36245 102 225 105 226 104 224 87 230 85 226 36245 34905 101 224 105 222 103 220 90 227 90 222 34905 33542 98 223 101 221 98 220 91 225 92 220 33542 32157 94 222 100 222 98 226 90 224 93 219 32157 30738 91 221 101 221 103 231 90 225 92 219 30738 29275 88 219 101 219 107 230 91 226 90 219 29275 27769 85 219 100 217 110 229 90 227 88 221 27769 26219 82 219 98 215 110 229 90 228 90 221 26219 24628 78 217 94 214 105 228 91 228 86 220 24628 23003 73 214 90 212 95 226 88 226 73 219 23003 21341 69 213 83 211 85 223 79 223 61 216 21341 19637 64 213 77 211 73 220 69 219 55 212 19637 17916 58 214 69 215 63 217 61 215 51 207 17916 16265 53 215 62 221 56 215 53 216 46 207 16265 14759 49 217 57 226 51 215 45 221 39 215 14759 13413 46 220 50*226 47 216 39 228 33 228 13413 12204 44 223 45*224 43 218 36 234 30 239 12204 11115 43 226 43 223 39 221 34 240 30 245 11115 10133 42 228 41 222 35 227 33 244 30 247 10133 9249 39 228 40 221 32 233 31 251 30 252 9249 8457 37 226 39 221 30*245 30 259 30 263 8457 7747 35 227 38 220 29*260 30 267 33 276 7747 7104 33 230 38 220 30 274 30*278 36 285 7104 6527 29 234 37 220 31 279 27*287 38 291 6527 6042 25 235 36 220 31 281 27 289 37 293 6042 5665 20*233 35 220 31 282 26 289 33 293 5665 5404 16*231 33 220 30 283 24 289 27 292 5404 5245 14 230 31 220 28 283 22 289 23 291 5245 5153 11 229 25 220 22 283 16 289 15*289 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography