DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.4 - - 63.9 - - 67.1 - - 62.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 255 - - 244 - - -15 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2676 - - 4771 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6490 - - 8053 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7525 - - 9620 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 365 - - 2443 - - 3174 - - 5513 - - 604 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 371 - - 442 - - 16 - - 12 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 207 - - 197 - - 188 - - 180 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1032 - - 149 - - -3306 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5153 - - 8557 - - 9471 - - 8460 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -4502 - - -3282 - - -1341 - - -5484 - - -4210 ODpotential blCL 9655 - - 10807 - - 10961 - - 10638 - - 9364 blCL maxRH 82 - - 78 - - 81 - - 88 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 60 - - 170 - - 190 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m 51.4 - - 63.9 - - 67.1 - - 62.2 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.4 - - 44.0 - - 43.2 - - 42.8 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.0 - - 61.9 - - 65.2 - - 62.9 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.2 - - 43.7 - - 43.0 - - 42.8 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 255 - - 244 - - -15 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2676 - - 4771 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 26 - - 11 - - 25 - - 53 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96831 43 274 56 269 56 256 65 261 64 267 96831 89417 28 282 31 279 38 272 38 270 34 278 89417 83792 25 284 27 299 26 294 23 279 23 289 83792 79169 18 305 25 290 23 309 21 306 21 305 79169 75196 20 326 21 301 23 313 23 318 22 317 75196 71711 24 320 18 305 21 309 23 313 23 317 71711 68587 20 303 19 294 22 308 22 313 24 325 68587 65731 21 296 18 281 27 301 24 301 25 304 65731 63088 14 302 18 279 24 280 22 289 24 299 63088 60518 22 304 21 279 24 275 26 279 33 280 60518 57824 31 276 33 252 40 255 37 264 39 267 57824 55011 31 260 44 240 48 248 50 253 45 267 55011 52320 46 258 48 240 56 246 54 249 61 277 52320 49918 52 252 62 250 59 246 58 260 80 265 49918 47780 63 257 75 245 67 249 73 262 68 246 47780 45829 65 252 76 238 70 246 65 255 54 267 45829 44021 51 246 68 237 64 246 55 259 62 294 44021 42332 55 259 68 245 61 247 61 270 79 297 42332 40744 72 268 69 248 57 244 62 267 78 293 40744 39249 78 268 59 244 53 241 59 262 70 285 39249 37841 63 268 50 237 51 238 61 255 67 272 37841 36491 46 263 49 233 52 231 63 250 73 266 36491 35142 40 255 47 230 56 228 61 247 79 267 35142 33774 43 255 41 224 58 224 58 244 70 266 33774 32387 32 255 36 224 51 221 53 243 50 259 32387 30967 24 252 34 231 43 221 47 241 41 250 30967 29502 21 250 33 236 40 226 41 237 35 242 29502 27993 20 249 31 235 36 235 36 234 32 241 27993 26440 16 229 27 235 34 240 35 235 34 246 26440 24844 15 192 27 228 34 240 34 237 38 251 24844 23210 14 170 24 208 32 235 33 232 39 255 23210 21530 12 166 23 203 31 224 31 224 37 256 21530 19800 15 179 20 217 28 220 28 224 34 252 19800 18055 13 208 16 231 24 219 24 228 32 246 18055 16386 14 228 14 233 20 218 22 232 29 242 16386 14869 13 233 16 226 19 217 23 237 26 244 14869 13514 10 240 16 221 19 216 24 238 24 246 13514 12296 7 262 15 219 17 212 25 232 24 247 12296 11198 4 273 13 217 14 205 24 222 25 240 11198 10206 4 267 10 216 12*194 20 215 27 228 10206 9313 6 270 8 216 11*189 16 204 26 218 9313 8511 7 265 7 208 11 188 15 196 24 210 8511 7791 9 248 8*200 11 187 14 190 25 199 7791 7136 13 231 8*195 11 187 15 185 25 188 7136 6549 13 221 8 195 11 188 15 183 24 175 6549 6054 12 214 8 197 11 188 15 182 24 154 6054 5672 12 204 8 198 11 189 14 182 25 147 5672 5408 11 199 8 199 10 189 12 181 19 146 5408 5246 7 202 7 200 10 189 10 181 16*146 5246 5154 4*207 7 200 9 189 7*180 7*145 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography