DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.7 - - 47.9 - - 43.2 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 270 - - -17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1762 - - 3072 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5854 - - 6798 - - 5136 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6611 - - 7921 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 667 - - 905 - - 3016 - - 713 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 335 - - 393 - - 10 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 107 - - 089 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6818 - - -7885 - - -8789 - - -6129 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13429 - - 15807 - - 13943 - - 11282 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16392 - - -16146 - - -17701 - - -17120 ODpotential blCL - - - 23003 - - 24067 - - 22854 - - 22273 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 87 - - 89 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.7 - - 47.9 - - 43.2 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.8 - - -2.7 - - 1.1 - - 4.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.8 - - 46.0 - - 43.9 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 1.7 - - -3.0 - - 1.1 - - 4.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 270 - - -17 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1762 - - 3072 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 49 - - 55 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96278 52 260 48 257 61 265 63 275 96278 89066 38 270 30 286 27 270 40 269 89066 83585 22 262 26 278 22 282 17 280 83585 79086 8 267 20 269 23 301 15 306 79086 75209 10 303 16 278 20 309 16 296 75209 71756 10 301 13 279 17 288 15 291 71756 68605 9 294 12 275 21 269 17 300 68605 65704 13 279 14 274 19 265 20 303 65704 63024 14 269 15 270 16 270 23 299 63024 60438 16 269 15 276 19 277 27 293 60438 57749 19 276 21 285 25 286 30 289 57749 54954 24 275 27 288 27 300 30 286 54954 52268 27 277 30 294 31 307 35 282 52268 49819 31 281 35 289 38 300 40 279 49819 47600 35 272 36 281 42 295 43 276 47600 45573 37 255 40 272 42 288 44 271 45573 43715 38 251 45 259 46 272 45 266 43715 42007 47 249 48 256 54 265 47 264 42007 40429 54 241 57 247 60 253 50 256 40429 38963 58 239 60 240 64 246 52 253 38963 37598 59 235 60 234 63 235 54 245 37598 36300 60 233 58 230 60 228 57 234 36300 35006 63 231 58 229 58 228 56 228 35006 33686 63 229 57 228 53 232 53 226 33686 32340 55 230 53 231 49 235 51 223 32340 30949 46 236 45 238 45 236 46 224 30949 29504 39 236 37 238 40 238 40 230 29504 28006 36 234 35 235 35 236 32 238 28006 26458 32 234 32 232 30 228 27 237 26458 24862 23 235 25 231 26 225 26 234 24862 23222 16 229 19 230 20 224 21 235 23222 21533 14 223 14 225 14 225 13 233 21533 19788 15 223 13 224 11 233 8 224 19788 18020 16 224 13 231 9 246 6 227 18020 16320 15 223 13 234 8 255 5 230 16320 14772 15 215 12 232 7 254 3 226 14772 13391 17 186 13 216 8 237 2 231 13391 12156 17 170 13 189 10 210 5 222 12156 11048 14 160 11 170 11 190 9 202 11048 10056 12 149 10 149 11 173 11 188 10056 9170 13 140 12 133 12 150 12 177 9170 8384 15 127 13*117 13 126 14 164 8384 7684 18 117 13*112 14 118 14 142 7684 7053 17*112 13 109 14 110 14 118 7053 6490 14*102 13 107 13 102 14 111 6490 6016 13 098 13 105 13 097 15 112 6016 5650 13 096 13 103 13 094 12 103 5650 5396 12 095 12 103 11 092 9 087 5396 5241 12 094 12 102 10*091 6*069 5241 5153 10 094 10 102 7*089 4*061 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography