DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 62.6 - - 60.9 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 160 - - 5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1380 - - 2419 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5215 - - 6138 - - 5137 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6229 - - 7268 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1150 - - 3118 - - 1822 - - 987 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 311 - - 63 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 12 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 265 - - 196 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -25 - - -26 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1075 - - 553 - - -871 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5154 - - 6715 - - 6025 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1301 - - -1224 - - -3967 - - -3808 ODpotential blCL - - - 7530 - - 8492 - - 9121 - - 8962 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 810 - - 140 - - 210 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 62.6 - - 60.9 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.1 - - 50.7 - - 52.0 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 61.2 - - 60.6 - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.9 - - 49.9 - - 50.9 - - 52.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 107 - - 160 - - 5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1380 - - 2419 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 102 - - 102 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97639 20 255 27 251 34 271 27 290 97639 90279 26 268 26 268 30 262 27 291 90279 84578 27 274 23 277 23 259 25 294 84578 79817 19 269 16 279 16 279 23 280 79817 75747 16 270 12 258 15 278 24 272 75747 72202 18 284 8 265 9 287 15 271 72202 69017 15 270 11 278 8 274 12 274 69017 66088 14 248 14 246 13 237 13 250 66088 63387 16 234 16 256 18 253 19 248 63387 60789 28 240 31 249 28 252 25 242 60789 58075 36 241 35 244 36 250 30 235 58075 55240 41 242 42 248 43 241 40 235 55240 52500 45 237 53 231 50 235 39 236 52500 50007 47 231 57 224 56 237 58 234 50007 47784 62 231 67 227 79 229 68 222 47784 45795 68 232 68 229 79 224 62 218 45795 43985 74 242 71 234 74 225 56 221 43985 42310 84 243 78 232 76 222 58 220 42310 40746 83 238 78 227 77 218 70 221 40746 39285 76 233 69 226 73 216 86 219 39285 37924 66 232 62 228 67 216 95 217 37924 36622 61 233 59 230 63 215 93 217 36622 35315 64 232 59 231 61 216 88 213 35315 33973 59 228 57 229 61 217 82 213 33973 32601 46 224 52 227 62 218 69 215 32601 31188 40 223 44 226 62 219 60 214 31188 29722 40 221 39 223 53 212 56 212 29722 28204 39 215 33 221 46 205 53 212 28204 26636 35 208 33 223 49 212 52 216 26636 25022 29 200 34 224 51 222 48 216 25022 23367 24 194 33 221 47 225 46 214 23367 21666 21 194 33 217 45 221 40 220 21666 19917 21 196 34 221 37 222 38 234 19917 18151 22 195 35 222 30 227 37 239 18151 16462 23 195 33 218 32 237 32 255 16462 14927 23 187 32 207 33 247 29 270 14927 13558 20 173 30 197 32 248 27 273 13558 12329 16 159 22 185 31 244 23 272 12329 11222 13 154 14 175 30 238 18 273 11222 10223 10 168 8 204 27 235 15 278 10223 9325 11 202 11 247 25 233 14 289 9325 8520 15 227 14 258 22 231 12 300 8520 7798 18 239 14*261 19 228 12 297 7798 7142 19 242 13*262 14 216 12 273 7142 6555 18*240 12 265 9 204 11 248 6555 6060 16*233 12 266 4 198 9 225 6060 5676 15 230 11 266 3 196 8 213 5676 5410 14 229 11 266 3 197 7 211 5410 5248 13 228 11 265 3*198 5*212 5248 5154 10 228 9 266 3*196 4*212 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography