DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.7 - - 65.9 - - 71.7 - - 62.9 - - 55.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 317 - - 245 - - -24 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2341 - - 4255 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6304 - - 7654 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7190 - - 9104 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 240 - - 874 - - 1740 - - 2675 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 379 - - 424 - - 15 - - 14 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 17 - - 15 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 243 - - 247 - - 268 - - 256 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -15 - - -3 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5154 - - -5513 - - -6032 - - -7741 - - -5641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10308 - - 12703 - - 15136 - - 12896 - - 10796 sfcLCL ODpotential -15417 - - -12593 - - -12147 - - -15721 - - -14976 ODpotential blCL 20570 - - 19783 - - 21251 - - 20876 - - 20130 blCL maxRH 36 - - 33 - - 37 - - 35 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.7 - - 65.9 - - 71.7 - - 62.9 - - 55.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.4 - - 28.4 - - 23.3 - - 25.0 - - 26.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 63.6 - - 69.9 - - 65.8 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.4 - - 28.5 - - 23.2 - - 24.9 - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 317 - - 245 - - -24 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2341 - - 4255 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97129 57 255 58 256 48 257 59 257 57 265 97129 89827 47 251 49 256 45 260 49 254 49 265 89827 84191 43 260 42 257 46 252 43 256 43 275 84191 79511 31 259 29 258 34 251 33 260 33 260 79511 75474 15 277 21 259 21 254 20 267 20 256 75474 71930 11 300 18 282 15 270 11 269 14 269 71930 68772 14 297 23 300 21 304 9 317 6 292 68772 65903 17 281 21 289 28 305 20 315 6 335 65903 63246 16 297 16 289 28 301 28 301 16 325 63246 60681 23 314 17 304 26 298 30 298 26 308 60681 58027 32 312 22 309 27 301 31 298 31 303 58027 55281 37 311 28 310 30 300 33 295 33 295 55281 52648 39 312 33 309 33 300 33 293 32 284 52648 50258 38 303 35 304 32 293 32 298 27 283 50258 48106 31 289 35 296 30 293 32 300 28 292 48106 46149 26 286 34 288 28 302 26 313 27 296 46149 44353 25 277 32 283 29 295 25 327 23 304 44353 42695 18 274 30 283 27 284 26 332 20 316 42695 41157 10 279 25 276 22 284 25 320 21 322 41157 39716 5 314 20 276 21 289 22 306 20 327 39716 38358 9 343 20 288 21 293 19 304 19 328 38358 37053 11 345 20 293 20 298 19 306 21 326 37053 35736 12 342 18 291 19 304 18 304 24 322 35736 34380 10 334 16 292 19 305 17 301 24 317 34380 32991 8 334 14 299 19 297 18 297 22 311 32991 31557 10 349 12 300 14 289 17 297 20 309 31557 30072 8 006 10 290 12 285 14 291 17 304 30072 28536 5 019 10 279 12 280 12 289 14 296 28536 26950 2 339 9 267 13 273 10 289 12 299 26950 25316 3 269 9 268 13 276 10 294 12 306 25316 23640 5 276 9 280 11 286 10 299 12 310 23640 21916 9 288 9 294 10 296 12 299 13 316 21916 20140 12 295 10 294 12 296 16 297 15 317 20140 18341 12 297 12 280 15 287 19 298 18 310 18341 16614 11 288 13 267 17 279 21 303 19 310 16614 15046 9 277 13 267 19 281 20 305 18 312 15046 13650 7 281 11 283 18 290 18 308 15 318 13650 12401 10 289 11 301 16 300 17 311 16 322 12401 11276 14 287 13 306 14 307 17 310 18 318 11276 10264 18 281 15 301 14 295 19 303 20 312 10264 9354 21 276 18 291 14*275 21 292 22 303 9354 8542 22 273 19 279 15*271 20 279 22 294 8542 7814 24 271 19*264 15 269 19 271 22 283 7814 7155 26 268 18*252 15 268 18 269 21 276 7155 6564 26 263 18 248 15 268 18 270 20 273 6564 6065 26 257 17 246 15 268 17 270 18 269 6065 5679 22 253 17 245 15 268 16 268 16 262 5679 5411 16 251 16 245 14 267 13 266 13 252 5411 5247 12 247 15 244 14 267 10*261 9*231 5247 5154 8*243 13 244 12 268 6*256 6*215 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography