DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 82.6 - - 82.5 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 522 - - 272 - - 77 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9388 - - 11253 - - 9302 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12095 - - 13240 - - 10601 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14237 - - 16102 - - 14151 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3057 - - 3210 - - 4640 - - 2471 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 712 - - 609 - - 376 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 10 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 157 - - 182 - - 163 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 22 - - 23 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 867 - - 1508 - - -1243 - - -2898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13370 - - 14595 - - 15395 - - 8054 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -714 - - 599 - - -2378 - - -6642 ODpotential blCL - - - 14951 - - 15503 - - 16529 - - 11797 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 99 - - 96 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 280 - - 180 - - 90 - - 1230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 82.6 - - 82.5 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.0 - - 36.0 - - 32.5 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.7 - - 80.4 - - 81.7 - - 71.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 36.0 - - 32.4 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 522 - - 272 - - 77 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9388 - - 11253 - - 9302 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 97 - - 83 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98322 15 115 19 125 9 136 9 077 98322 90871 10 094 8 107 8 062 14 064 90871 85126 11 079 9 076 15 075 12 083 85126 80381 8 079 11 069 16 080 14 095 80381 76308 10 113 11 071 13 076 17 086 76308 72709 8 116 7 086 12 084 12 064 72709 69462 10 135 1 183 9 064 10 073 69462 66471 10 104 9 134 4 123 9 028 66471 63700 2 090 8 131 8 128 2 290 63700 61039 3 313 4 177 3 282 2 275 61039 58271 15 279 13 299 7 309 5 315 58271 55375 11 260 18 297 20 292 18 301 55375 52614 26 272 35 268 36 271 38 274 52614 50173 30 270 32 261 34 270 37 277 50173 47999 31 296 31 278 38 278 40 284 47999 46027 44 298 40 285 46 280 39 283 46027 44227 54 295 50 288 48 285 36 287 44227 42560 61 291 60 289 50 289 41 287 42560 41001 65 290 65 288 55 288 48 284 41001 39537 65 291 65 289 59 286 52 282 39537 38164 61 292 62 290 60 285 52 282 38164 36847 57 291 58 290 60 284 50 282 36847 35523 51 291 54 289 60 282 48 281 35523 34165 44 291 48 288 57 280 49 279 34165 32778 38 290 41 287 51 279 48 277 32778 31353 32 286 35 285 45 277 45 273 31353 29879 27 278 32 284 41 276 43 271 29879 28358 26 265 30 281 37 274 41 271 28358 26790 29 266 28 274 34 270 38 274 26790 25179 30 271 30 266 32 265 34 274 25179 23529 28 275 32 263 32 262 35 270 23529 21837 23 272 28 263 28 259 38 262 21837 20097 11 277 22 264 25 256 35 254 20097 18336 8 277 9 259 19 252 28 245 18336 16639 4 338 7*253 14 246 28 237 16639 15090 5*023 6*237 10*230 27 227 15090 13703 3*107 6 230 9*224 23 220 13703 12456 5 142 6 197 8 198 17 211 12456 11332 6 146 6 185 9 179 13 201 11332 10318 6 149 7 178 10 167 13 186 10318 9405 7 157 8 173 11 159 14 166 9405 8586 7 162 8 171 12 154 18 149 8586 7851 8 163 9 168 13 151 25 137 7851 7185 8 165 9 167 13 149 33 131 7185 6587 8 167 9 165 14 147 36 129 6587 6082 8 169 9 165 14 146 35 128 6082 5689 8 170 9 163 13 145 32 127 5689 5417 8 169 9 163 13 145 28 126 5417 5251 8 169 9 163 12 145 24*126 5251 5155 7 169 8 163 11 144 16*124 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography