DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 44.0 - - 42.4 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 75 - - 13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2070 - - 304 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6021 - - 5136 - - 5136 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6919 - - 5153 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 760 - - 2406 - - 2233 - - 2116 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 121 - - 67 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 184 - - 158 - - 213 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1269 - - -67 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8189 - - 5220 - - 5153 - - 5153 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6674 - - -949 - - -310 - - -1260 ODpotential blCL - - - 13593 - - 6102 - - 5463 - - 6413 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.3 - - 44.0 - - 42.4 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.8 - - 39.2 - - 41.1 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 43.0 - - 42.2 - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 38.5 - - 40.9 - - 39.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 243 - - 75 - - 13 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2070 - - 304 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 99 - - 101 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95999 50 286 43 267 50 263 49 278 95999 88929 31 301 24 273 29 292 22 302 88929 83487 23 302 19 318 15 300 14 321 83487 78974 21 299 23 331 12 330 11 335 78974 75079 17 300 17 309 20 343 12 013 75079 71626 13 302 13 288 21 332 17 005 71626 68498 14 291 14 297 15 312 15 344 68498 65628 15 280 15 297 7 294 10 345 65628 62961 9 276 14 307 8 315 14 320 62961 60370 18 286 20 306 18 302 19 303 60370 57661 25 276 27 285 30 279 31 281 57661 54843 32 262 33 260 39 258 43 259 54843 52133 37 251 37 254 42 248 46 251 52133 49662 44 250 42 253 40 252 41 252 49662 47424 48 246 46 251 41 258 39 258 47424 45386 47 247 44 251 42 259 41 260 45386 43520 43 248 37 250 41 253 41 254 43520 41806 41 250 34 250 39 247 40 249 41806 40228 41 249 34 249 35 246 36 246 40228 38766 40 239 43 244 34 245 33 240 38766 37403 41 237 51 237 35 239 32 232 37403 36107 42 239 53 223 36 232 31 225 36107 34818 46 238 58 214 33 225 23 215 34818 33508 52 232 65 209 33 224 22 224 33508 32170 56 224 64 210 39 221 30 224 32170 30787 53 224 59 214 48 214 45 218 30787 29351 41 225 45 218 53 217 44 219 29351 27863 31 205 29 215 47 225 29 226 27863 26326 27 184 20 200 36 233 16 230 26326 24741 14 162 15 178 28 244 6 223 24741 23111 4 090 13 154 13 241 5 194 23111 21433 4 118 13 130 12 206 11 153 21433 19703 8 157 12 119 12 203 14 152 19703 17955 6 186 10 115 9 197 11 141 17955 16275 5 204 9 107 6 210 8 136 16275 14746 6 201 10 101 8 217 3 141 14746 13380 5 172 11 101 9 217 2 117 13380 12156 8 111 11 109 8 202 5 150 12156 11057 11 107 11 113 9 195 8 157 11057 10071 11 121 9 117 8 196 9 159 10071 9189 9 140 7 116 6 185 9 161 9189 8404 7 164 5 108 5 164 9 165 8404 7704 7 181 4 113 3 134 8 150 7704 7071 7*188 4 144 3 124 7 141 7071 6505 7*192 4 171 3 139 6 153 6505 6027 7 194 5 179 3 154 6 171 6027 5657 7 197 5 182 3 156 5 185 5657 5400 7 198 5 183 3 158 5 197 5400 5243 6 199 5*185 3*158 4*206 5243 5153 6 199 5*184 3*158 3*213 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography