DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 72.5 - - 66.2 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 65 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6447 - - 1925 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9662 - - 5444 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11296 - - 6774 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2781 - - 5143 - - 3610 - - 995 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 612 - - 239 - - 87 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 11 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 174 - - 151 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 866 - - 383 - - -617 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10431 - - 6391 - - 5772 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -388 - - -2000 - - -3125 - - -3321 ODpotential blCL - - - 11684 - - 8774 - - 8280 - - 8476 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1160 - - 2420 - - 680 - - 1330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.2 - - 72.5 - - 66.2 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 61.5 - - 58.1 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 71.5 - - 66.0 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 60.2 - - 56.8 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 479 - - 65 - - 15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6447 - - 1925 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 101 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98470 17 099 26 122 19 126 7 116 98470 91011 18 114 17 135 13 103 14 082 91011 85270 20 131 16 121 12 119 20 092 85270 80483 18 134 16 092 17 104 21 104 80483 76365 11 125 11 107 14 089 23 095 76365 72758 14 113 13 128 9 115 16 070 72758 69535 20 101 12 112 12 115 8 091 69535 66609 21 103 12 104 11 081 8 084 66609 63908 15 104 17 120 8 089 7 065 63908 61285 9 042 12 116 10 118 10 120 61285 58553 5 229 6 044 8 092 11 120 58553 55705 15 189 9 218 5 286 2 155 55705 52973 13 213 19 226 15 210 17 210 52973 50519 28 247 38 237 31 229 17 222 50519 48330 46 231 49 220 50 216 44 214 48330 46351 42 227 46 219 60 210 61 214 46351 44537 50 233 56 229 69 213 80 211 44537 42864 67 229 79 225 73 210 80 210 42864 41302 65 219 83 217 65 206 74 209 41302 39837 53 211 57 214 55 206 66 207 39837 38460 49 210 31 212 40 204 54 206 38460 37138 45 211 31 208 27 194 45 203 37138 35807 40 213 38 206 21 174 39 194 35807 34437 36 217 38 203 22 163 35 179 34437 33034 39 223 36 201 24 168 33 174 33034 31585 41 228 30 201 26 181 33 173 31585 30084 36 229 26 202 26 186 32 178 30084 28536 31 229 21 204 27 192 31 183 28536 26940 24 233 20 205 25 194 31 187 26940 25304 19 233 18 207 22 190 27 192 25304 23628 18 235 15 209 21 186 20 189 23628 21904 16 241 12 214 20 183 12 181 21904 20127 17 261 9 216 19 182 8 217 20127 18333 11 278 7 230 16 184 10 243 18333 16614 5 277 6 255 12 186 12 243 16614 15055 2 276 5 272 8 186 12 239 15055 13666 2 329 5 282 3 196 10 243 13666 12423 3 076 3 293 4 332 6 254 12423 11302 3*120 1 286 8 340 4 284 11302 10292 4*158 1 166 10 334 4 320 10292 9382 4 162 3 155 9 323 4 344 9382 8568 4 163 4 158 7 302 4 358 8568 7837 4 162 5 162 5 266 4 006 7837 7172 4 163 4*166 5 220 2 031 7172 6576 4 161 4*170 6 190 4 090 6576 6074 4 159 4 173 7 165 8 089 6074 5684 4 159 4 175 8 155 11 088 5684 5414 3 158 4 176 7 153 9 088 5414 5249 3 156 4 176 7*152 7*088 5249 5155 3 155 3 176 6*151 5*088 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography