DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.2 - - 57.7 - - 68.2 - - 68.4 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 180 - - 491 - - 458 - - 89 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1303 - - 2719 - - 4564 - - 4023 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5365 - - 6705 - - 8133 - - 6886 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6152 - - 7568 - - 9413 - - 8872 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 507 - - 634 - - 996 - - 1320 - - 1031 Hgt.Variab. W* 257 - - 460 - - 535 - - 297 - - 6 W* B/S 3 - - 15 - - 16 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 059 - - 136 - - 202 - - 195 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 2 - - 4 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1294 - - -1885 - - -1910 - - -2854 - - -3561 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7447 - - 9453 - - 11324 - - 11726 - - 8716 sfcLCL ODpotential -11867 - - -9179 - - -6871 - - -7737 - - -11006 ODpotential blCL 18019 - - 16747 - - 16284 - - 16609 - - 16160 blCL maxRH 86 - - 74 - - 62 - - 56 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.2 - - 57.7 - - 68.2 - - 68.4 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 34.5 - - 36.5 - - 35.1 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.7 - - 54.8 - - 65.3 - - 67.3 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.1 - - 34.5 - - 36.5 - - 35.1 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 180 - - 491 - - 458 - - 89 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1303 - - 2719 - - 4564 - - 4023 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97177 43 272 45 275 35 266 43 266 46 282 97177 89701 33 277 38 279 31 270 36 266 35 277 89701 84022 26 272 29 270 31 273 29 281 27 282 84022 79364 15 277 25 266 29 280 27 293 22 305 79364 75393 17 320 12 269 21 264 24 293 18 317 75393 71915 19 328 9 308 13 246 17 276 14 316 71915 68782 14 324 9 306 9 292 8 259 11 307 68782 65907 11 283 12 298 13 309 8 291 8 288 65907 63251 14 246 12 258 15 287 13 293 11 286 63251 60702 14 239 14 237 15 272 17 273 16 267 60702 58060 14 251 15 249 15 277 16 271 17 259 58060 55314 15 268 17 264 15 264 18 273 19 262 55314 52671 18 272 18 269 20 252 21 266 19 261 52671 50264 17 274 18 272 19 250 23 254 19 257 50264 48078 18 282 20 269 18 259 22 247 17 257 48078 46075 23 269 21 272 21 264 22 248 20 261 46075 44226 23 256 23 252 24 246 24 252 22 251 44226 42514 20 258 22 236 23 238 24 245 24 253 42514 40933 23 238 21 219 23 228 24 225 22 231 40933 39469 24 215 24 211 23 215 19 226 19 220 39469 38106 27 208 29 209 26 206 22 218 23 225 38106 36800 27 210 35 202 31 200 24 207 21 218 36800 35491 24 214 30 197 28 196 24 194 23 207 35491 34151 18 226 25 198 24 193 20 181 22 198 34151 32783 17 234 21 201 22 193 19 179 19 188 32783 31371 16 232 17 207 18 198 17 178 18 181 31371 29905 13 223 14 211 15 203 16 180 17 187 29905 28386 9 203 12 202 14 205 14 184 13 200 28386 26817 8 189 11 200 13 208 12 191 10 213 26817 25202 8 203 9 216 10 221 7 209 6 236 25202 23549 7 203 6 232 7 264 3 285 3 293 23549 21853 4 169 4 177 3 253 0 104 2 125 21853 20102 6 031 7 086 5 104 6 073 8 096 20102 18324 10 018 8 041 5 043 10 046 12 068 18324 16611 8 010 9 029 7 041 9 054 12 066 16611 15045 7 357 7 028 4 050 5 081 8 074 15045 13643 7 336 5 011 1 020 2 166 3 069 13643 12386 9 301 6 330 4 292 4 253 4 304 12386 11256 13 266 10 262 8 261 5 275 8 281 11256 10240 15 252 15 247 7*233 2 240 9 263 10240 9330 14 254 16 238 6*210 4*192 8 244 9330 8520 9 264 12 221 6 204 4*191 7 229 8520 7795 3 248 6*178 6 202 5 193 8 214 7795 7139 7 072 6*152 6 201 6 194 11 200 7139 6552 15*061 6 141 6 201 7 196 14 185 6552 6058 15*060 6 135 6 200 7 196 17 173 6058 5675 15 059 6 130 6 199 7 197 17 168 5675 5409 15 059 6 127 6 199 7 197 15 169 5409 5247 14 059 5 126 6 200 7 197 11*172 5247 5154 11 059 5 125 5 198 6 197 6*177 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography