DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 69.8 - - 69.2 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 109 - - 26 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2676 - - 1942 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6379 - - 5685 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7525 - - 6791 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2847 - - 2706 - - 3247 - - 3018 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 336 - - 267 - - 89 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 125 - - 104 - - 106 - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -12 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1146 - - 1570 - - -279 - - -624 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6379 - - 5221 - - 5434 - - 5779 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -439 - - -634 - - -1999 - - -3368 ODpotential blCL - - - 7964 - - 7425 - - 7154 - - 8523 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 90 - - 85 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 1470 - - 1630 - - 1380 - - 710 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 69.8 - - 69.2 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.6 - - 63.7 - - 62.3 - - 59.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.9 - - 68.7 - - 68.7 - - 68.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 62.5 - - 61.9 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 175 - - 109 - - 26 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2676 - - 1942 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 62 - - 41 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98478 13 184 17 213 16 254 5 312 98478 90990 7 119 12 182 8 241 3 043 90990 85237 7 081 12 142 5 125 7 143 85237 80496 2 087 9 089 11 083 11 106 80496 76440 2 165 11 067 11 088 15 091 76440 72863 5 109 9 062 11 096 16 080 72863 69630 9 105 7 089 9 104 11 072 69630 66673 9 122 11 101 7 132 7 085 66673 63953 10 130 8 112 8 124 6 139 63953 61337 9 131 8 153 9 142 8 145 61337 58629 11 180 11 191 9 187 8 197 58629 55848 19 204 15 207 15 202 20 227 55848 53207 21 206 19 209 19 207 22 213 53207 50827 23 224 24 224 25 240 28 229 50827 48689 27 219 30 218 48 225 38 221 48689 46743 26 233 43 230 45 227 36 238 46743 44944 46 243 52 236 50 245 52 238 44944 43269 55 240 53 234 60 238 60 234 43269 41704 46 231 46 233 61 232 56 232 41704 40231 35 217 41 223 50 227 47 226 40231 38840 26 210 38 216 42 225 37 220 38840 37499 24 207 29 209 37 228 34 221 37499 36147 21 221 23 206 36 221 35 219 36147 34757 22 236 23 211 31 210 34 216 34757 33333 29 225 26 222 27 209 34 211 33333 31864 32 226 31 218 28 207 34 209 31864 30344 32 222 33 211 32 209 34 208 30344 28774 28 211 29 210 31 207 32 199 28774 27156 23 211 21 210 28 206 29 191 27156 25493 15 205 16 205 22 198 25 186 25493 23792 11 195 14 196 17 185 22 182 23792 22048 11 154 12 190 14 190 16 181 22048 20252 10 146 12 179 10 194 16 177 20252 18439 9 141 13 159 12 163 18 160 18439 16705 10 128 14 154 15 152 17 144 16705 15132 12 129 15 151 15 157 16 135 15132 13730 13 125 13 144 15 151 15 127 13730 12474 15 119 13 141 16 141 15 123 12474 11343 15 118 13 135 18 135 17 125 11343 10323 15 125 14 126 21 134 22 125 10323 9408 15 131 16 119 24 132 28 126 9408 8589 14 131 16 114 26 128 31 127 8589 7855 14*130 17 110 26 124 33 128 7855 7187 14*128 17*108 24 120 34 127 7187 6589 13 126 17*106 21 117 34 127 6589 6082 13 125 16 105 19 113 30 125 6082 5690 12 123 16 104 17 110 24 121 5690 5417 12 122 15 103 15 108 17 113 5417 5250 11 122 14 102 13*107 14*109 5250 5155 10 120 12 101 10*106 8*104 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography