DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.1 - - 67.2 - - 71.6 - - 59.4 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - 222 - - 190 - - -15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1865 - - 3847 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5846 - - 7232 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6714 - - 8696 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 80 - - 1386 - - 2351 - - 1526 - - 305 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 312 - - 377 - - 5 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 286 - - 306 - - 280 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 2 - - 5 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4615 - - -8932 - - -8538 - - -8529 - - -6066 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9768 - - 15647 - - 17235 - - 13684 - - 11221 sfcLCL ODpotential -15007 - - -15550 - - -14037 - - -16360 - - -15079 ODpotential blCL 20160 - - 22264 - - 22733 - - 21514 - - 20233 blCL maxRH 50 - - 63 - - 80 - - 74 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.1 - - 67.2 - - 71.6 - - 59.4 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.3 - - 16.8 - - 13.6 - - 18.2 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 65.4 - - 69.9 - - 63.3 - - 58.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 16.8 - - 13.5 - - 18.1 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - 222 - - 190 - - -15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 1865 - - 3847 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 19 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96343 54 256 48 259 52 251 51 254 57 264 96343 89154 35 275 35 273 37 271 38 262 40 282 89154 83617 26 287 22 273 32 271 34 275 31 294 83617 79038 19 291 13 281 19 271 21 286 19 291 79038 75102 19 294 17 295 14 320 10 326 3 279 75102 71620 19 307 22 294 24 336 10 350 7 008 71620 68469 20 317 20 303 24 323 16 351 10 007 68469 65594 21 301 16 318 21 298 22 324 21 326 65594 62971 25 292 24 320 21 300 25 308 27 324 62971 60454 29 300 28 314 24 310 23 308 29 323 60454 57816 32 305 29 308 27 309 27 301 29 308 57816 55056 33 304 31 298 30 292 34 295 33 296 55056 52409 33 307 30 298 30 295 38 298 39 290 52409 50018 41 301 40 295 39 305 46 300 45 293 50018 47866 46 293 49 289 52 297 54 294 57 290 47866 45904 59 301 55 289 56 292 54 291 58 289 45904 44099 69 298 58 290 56 291 54 290 62 288 44099 42431 68 293 56 290 58 290 61 290 64 288 42431 40882 63 292 55 290 61 290 69 292 70 290 40882 39433 59 298 58 287 61 289 64 293 77 292 39433 38071 60 300 56 282 57 284 57 295 65 293 38071 36767 61 301 51 287 51 278 52 288 58 292 36767 35457 58 305 46 294 46 278 50 277 56 288 35457 34111 52 313 41 298 45 281 47 274 56 286 34111 32734 47 323 36 297 43 283 44 277 51 286 32734 31313 41 323 38 295 41 285 39 284 45 287 31313 29841 35 317 40 297 40 289 36 293 35 295 29841 28320 30 316 38 301 38 297 31 294 30 299 28320 26751 28 323 32 305 33 301 26 296 28 297 26751 25135 28 328 26 311 27 303 26 298 24 297 25135 23477 26 334 22 313 22 306 25 297 20 303 23477 21772 22 347 18 327 16 310 21 302 19 307 21772 20011 15 344 13 340 12 325 15 306 16 301 20011 18230 8 331 9 342 10 333 9 329 9 304 18230 16527 7 305 8 325 8 342 8 358 4 345 16527 14979 9 290 10 296 9 325 9 356 6 010 14979 13595 11 298 13 293 10 310 9 337 8 003 13595 12355 13 305 13 303 10 311 10 326 10 009 12355 11239 13 308 12 316 9 322 9 325 10 007 11239 10234 14 309 12 331 8 334 6 338 8 005 10234 9331 14 310 13 344 8*337 5 004 6 021 9331 8525 14 309 14 344 8*331 6 002 8 037 8525 7802 14 303 13 333 9 317 8 344 10 035 7802 7145 15 295 13*314 10 307 11 324 13 024 7145 6556 15 287 13*296 10 302 13 311 14 005 6556 6059 16 279 12 287 10 299 13 305 16 344 6059 5674 15 272 12 284 10 297 12 301 16 331 5674 5408 13 265 12 281 10 295 11 295 11 327 5408 5247 10 255 11 280 10 294 8 287 5*320 5247 5154 6*246 10 279 9 294 5*280 1*242 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography