DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 86.1 - - 85.9 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 581 - - 534 - - 129 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6916 - - 9185 - - 9778 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10116 - - 11942 - - 11489 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11765 - - 14034 - - 14627 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1376 - - 1664 - - 2901 - - 142 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 667 - - 714 - - 454 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 232 - - 231 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8888 - - -6391 - - -6971 - - -14601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 20654 - - 20425 - - 21599 - - 19757 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13066 - - -9835 - - -10114 - - -20170 ODpotential blCL - - - 24831 - - 23869 - - 24741 - - 25325 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 55 - - 44 - - 19 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.4 - - 86.1 - - 85.9 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.2 - - 12.6 - - 7.1 - - 4.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.9 - - 82.9 - - 84.6 - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.9 - - 12.3 - - 6.9 - - 4.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 581 - - 534 - - 129 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6916 - - 9185 - - 9778 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98072 6 231 8 288 11 323 13 017 98072 90643 8 344 6 047 11 309 16 348 90643 84943 9 063 11 067 5 111 3 328 84943 80215 5 131 2 054 8 073 2 139 80215 76149 9 249 6 267 11 003 7 016 76149 72565 11 243 11 235 17 295 17 349 72565 69324 3 206 11 209 15 215 15 257 69324 66357 2 271 13 204 16 170 9 222 66357 63616 18 232 15 229 12 212 14 215 63616 60989 22 213 12 237 7 227 15 198 60989 58267 15 217 20 261 7 243 16 155 58267 55409 26 245 37 251 31 247 28 245 55409 52662 46 228 52 236 52 236 51 244 52662 50204 53 224 59 235 58 235 56 238 50204 48003 56 227 66 235 63 235 59 237 48003 46010 60 232 71 233 64 237 60 234 46010 44192 63 236 71 231 65 237 60 233 44192 42515 64 238 66 231 65 236 61 233 42515 40950 62 239 59 232 61 234 59 232 40950 39483 60 240 54 232 54 234 51 235 39483 38109 58 242 52 232 49 236 47 242 38109 36794 57 244 54 233 48 237 45 243 36794 35473 56 245 53 234 46 239 44 242 35473 34116 53 243 48 235 44 239 40 241 34116 32733 50 239 45 235 41 240 34 243 32733 31311 50 232 44 236 41 240 28 244 31311 29840 53 228 46 236 40 238 24 248 29840 28323 55 230 48 239 41 236 25 251 28323 26759 53 239 46 242 42 233 29 246 26759 25155 48 245 44 246 41 232 35 240 25155 23513 43 244 43 250 41 236 42 241 23513 21830 41 241 41 250 43 243 45 245 21830 20095 42 237 40 248 42 251 40 250 20095 18341 42 235 38 242 36 250 31 246 18341 16655 40 234 37 237 27 242 29 238 16655 15115 36 232 30*234 22*237 27 231 15115 13732 32 230 20*230 21*236 26 226 13732 12488 21*231 19 230 21 235 25 222 12488 11365 16*237 19 230 21 234 24 219 11365 10351 15 241 19 231 20 233 22 216 10351 9436 15 243 18 232 20 231 21 212 9436 8615 15 245 18 232 20 229 19 208 8615 7876 15 247 18 233 19 228 18 204 7876 7205 14 248 17 234 19 226 16 198 7205 6601 14 249 17 235 19 225 16 192 6601 6091 14 250 17 235 18 225 15 186 6091 5694 14 251 16 235 18 224 14 179 5694 5419 13 252 15 235 17 224 13 176 5419 5251 13 251 15 235 16 224 9 170 5251 5155 12 251 13 235 14 224 6*164 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography