DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 87.9 - - - - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 567 - - 538 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9513 - - 10291 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12238 - - 12857 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14362 - - 15140 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1838 - - 1728 - - - - - 133 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 736 - - 743 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 233 - - - - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 5 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 4 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4490 - - -5213 - - - - - -11778 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18853 - - 20354 - - - - - 16934 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6954 - - -8757 - - - - - -16648 ODpotential blCL - - - 21316 - - 23897 - - - - - 21803 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 64 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.3 - - 87.9 - - - - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.2 - - 14.6 - - - - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 84.5 - - - - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.1 - - 14.4 - - - - - 18.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 567 - - 538 - - - - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9513 - - 10291 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98192 8 128 5 342 10 356 98192 90782 4 123 8 229 13 352 90782 85070 7 170 4 197 9 331 85070 80331 8 244 5 222 4 284 80331 76244 8 249 7 246 8 277 76244 72625 9 217 8 247 9 313 72625 69361 2 222 9 197 8 283 69361 66389 10 305 5 299 10 212 66389 63671 13 240 16 275 9 290 63671 61071 14 200 20 229 11 228 61071 58353 4 287 17 278 4 244 58353 55509 30 256 34 269 24 268 55509 52790 45 247 44 255 42 258 52790 50350 50 255 54 247 52 255 50350 48173 60 255 62 244 63 254 48173 46200 73 253 64 245 74 250 46200 44387 77 253 65 250 78 247 44387 42705 73 254 65 253 76 247 42705 41136 68 254 62 253 70 249 41136 39666 64 254 61 253 65 250 39666 38288 60 256 64 254 64 251 38288 36970 59 259 71 255 66 250 36970 35645 60 261 74 257 67 250 35645 34285 63 260 72 256 64 252 34285 32894 63 259 66 253 58 252 32894 31463 59 259 61 259 54 252 31463 29980 55 260 58 261 50 255 29980 28449 51 263 52 262 46 257 28449 26870 45 266 42 263 42 255 26870 25250 37 269 33 263 36 254 25250 23593 31 268 29 263 28 251 23593 21895 29 264 26 262 22 250 21895 20147 29 263 24 259 20 250 20147 18378 32 257 23 256 21 248 18378 16680 31 243 23*249 19 241 16680 15133 28*224 19*237 17 235 15133 13746 22*213 17 233 17 229 13746 12500 19 211 17 233 18 224 12500 11375 18 212 18 232 19 222 11375 10358 16 219 18 232 19 221 10358 9442 15 221 18 233 19 220 9442 8620 15 225 18 233 19 220 8620 7880 14 227 18 233 19 219 7880 7207 14 228 18 234 19 219 7207 6603 14 231 18 234 19 219 6603 6092 13 232 18 234 19 218 6092 5695 13 233 17 234 18 216 5695 5420 13 233 17 234 15 214 5420 5251 12 234 16 234 11*209 5251 5155 11 233 14 234 6*204 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography