DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 85.5 - - 86.0 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 137 - - 84 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10052 - - 9813 - - 6396 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12635 - - 11565 - - 8557 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14901 - - 14662 - - 11245 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5786 - - 4877 - - 7422 - - 2087 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 725 - - 463 - - 342 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 14 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 196 - - 179 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 45 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1549 - - 1977 - - -3791 - - -3401 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13353 - - 12685 - - 15037 - - 8557 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -140 - - 463 - - -5187 - - -6612 ODpotential blCL - - - 15041 - - 14199 - - 16432 - - 11767 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 101 - - 99 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1000 - - 1140 - - 150 - - 1420 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.7 - - 85.5 - - 86.0 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 47.4 - - 37.6 - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 84.1 - - 85.0 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 47.4 - - 37.6 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 514 - - 137 - - 84 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10052 - - 9813 - - 6396 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 103 - - 98 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98436 19 200 9 150 4 252 7 010 98436 90917 16 141 14 146 1 208 3 050 90917 85122 18 098 15 135 5 109 4 061 85122 80337 11 084 14 111 12 123 7 088 80337 76277 7 103 12 071 16 094 14 103 76277 72731 9 093 5 061 16 054 19 091 72731 69529 16 101 11 107 9 086 14 086 69529 66593 14 103 12 107 9 118 7 077 66593 63890 11 116 4 147 6 128 2 130 63890 61287 7 138 4 220 1 029 3 078 61287 58576 8 244 7 223 7 246 5 274 58576 55762 16 230 13 237 15 240 14 258 55762 53072 20 252 22 257 22 258 21 257 53072 50646 22 256 28 252 27 259 24 261 50646 48464 24 258 29 248 29 260 30 270 48464 46477 29 259 31 249 31 262 35 271 46477 44654 35 261 32 252 31 263 35 268 44654 42968 37 260 31 252 30 261 31 268 42968 41398 37 256 28 253 28 260 29 271 41398 39924 35 251 28 252 27 257 26 278 39924 38535 31 253 27 249 25 257 25 284 38535 37203 29 254 25 251 24 260 23 283 37203 35866 28 250 24 258 23 260 20 278 35866 34495 26 249 23 258 22 258 19 273 34495 33096 24 250 21 252 20 257 19 264 33096 31654 21 250 18 247 18 253 18 254 31654 30159 19 249 17 247 17 253 17 251 30159 28615 17 247 16 246 15 262 14 256 28615 27026 12 237 14 246 13 269 11 265 27026 25393 8 212 10 248 12 266 8 280 25393 23719 11 200 10 235 12 231 17 233 23719 22002 9 161 8 234 17 221 19 239 22002 20235 0 050 8 231 15 234 15 256 20235 18452 14 243 8 224 9 263 11 278 18452 16742 15 219 9 215 9 258 9 306 16742 15182 17*201 10*206 8 246 6 315 15182 13784 19*190 12*200 8 228 3 273 13784 12526 19 189 12 198 9 215 6 214 12526 11392 19 189 13 197 9*204 11 203 11392 10369 19 189 13 195 10*201 15 196 10369 9447 19 189 14 195 11 189 18 188 9447 8622 19 189 15 194 11 184 21 176 8622 7881 19 189 15 194 11 178 24 165 7881 7206 19 189 15 195 12 174 28 156 7206 6602 18 190 15 195 12 172 29 155 6602 6091 18 190 15 194 12 171 26 155 6091 5695 17 191 15 194 11 170 22 157 5695 5420 17 191 14 195 11 170 17 157 5420 5252 16 191 14 195 11 170 14 157 5252 5155 14 191 12 194 9 169 9*154 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography