DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.8 - - 69.0 - - 71.8 - - 64.4 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 294 - - 171 - - -14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4061 - - 6119 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7581 - - 8891 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 8910 - - 10968 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 157 - - 2121 - - 2720 - - 5593 - - 214 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 444 - - 426 - - 8 - - 8 W* B/S 6 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 11 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 083 - - 223 - - 216 - - 195 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -9 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3385 - - -3592 - - -3128 - - -8111 - - -6547 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8539 - - 12502 - - 14096 - - 13267 - - 11702 sfcLCL ODpotential -8985 - - -7592 - - -6532 - - -13005 - - -13192 ODpotential blCL 14139 - - 16502 - - 17500 - - 18160 - - 18346 blCL maxRH 64 - - 63 - - 79 - - 89 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.8 - - 69.0 - - 71.8 - - 64.4 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 32.0 - - 27.7 - - 24.6 - - 26.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 66.8 - - 70.2 - - 67.4 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.6 - - 32.0 - - 27.6 - - 24.5 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 294 - - 171 - - -14 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 4061 - - 6119 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 15 - - 57 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97068 51 254 66 252 69 260 64 271 57 265 97068 89844 50 253 45 257 38 253 45 260 47 265 89844 84246 37 254 35 255 35 246 38 253 36 271 84246 79585 15 256 23 257 28 244 27 255 26 283 79585 75565 11 263 14 260 13 247 17 246 19 267 75565 72026 13 250 10 264 5 241 10 247 12 242 72026 68839 9 227 13 262 3 306 3 288 5 225 68839 65917 4 265 13 225 11 253 13 263 9 270 65917 63252 12 276 19 233 19 243 15 226 22 226 63252 60714 19 246 25 252 20 274 10 214 24 198 60714 58031 36 251 41 246 38 250 28 252 23 226 58031 55199 50 243 47 237 48 240 42 248 39 241 55199 52494 56 239 47 237 49 238 52 241 52 244 52494 50078 61 241 52 242 54 240 59 239 61 245 50078 47923 70 244 63 245 64 241 67 237 68 241 47923 45973 79 244 76 245 80 241 77 238 77 236 45973 44192 85 245 93 243 96 239 91 237 91 232 44192 42546 86 247 102 242 101 238 96 232 97 229 42546 41006 86 247 100 242 98 237 95 231 93 228 41006 39554 86 246 96 241 95 234 97 233 90 230 39554 38186 85 243 93 238 94 232 93 233 89 231 38186 36870 80 241 91 236 92 233 89 232 86 233 36870 35543 75 240 86 236 88 235 85 231 83 233 35543 34179 73 241 80 238 81 236 83 231 80 231 34179 32785 70 242 73 240 77 235 82 233 78 230 32785 31350 63 244 67 241 74 237 79 234 76 231 31350 29866 57 245 64 240 70 238 72 235 71 233 29866 28337 51 243 60 237 66 236 66 234 67 235 28337 26759 46 240 56 234 61 232 62 234 64 236 26759 25136 41 237 51 232 56 230 59 233 60 234 25136 23470 39 236 47 231 52 230 55 231 55 231 23470 21758 35 238 42 231 46 228 49 229 48 229 21758 19997 32 238 35 230 39 226 40 227 42 227 19997 18221 34 236 31 231 33 226 33 226 37 224 18221 16521 37 233 31 233 31 229 29 226 31 222 16521 14978 36 229 32 232 29 230 27 228 26 222 14978 13602 30 227 32 228 27 229 24 230 22 224 13602 12368 24 232 29 226 21 227 20 229 21 225 12368 11257 18 240 24 228 15*222 15 225 21 222 11257 10254 14 241 18 233 12*218 11 217 21 219 10254 9352 12 234 12*235 11 217 9 211 20 218 9352 8543 9 231 9*232 11 217 9 208 18 217 8543 7817 8 240 7 226 11 216 10 206 16 215 7817 7158 7 257 6 223 11 216 10 205 13 209 7158 6567 7 275 6 222 10 216 11 203 11 201 6567 6067 8 293 5 219 10 215 11 202 10 192 6067 5681 9 311 5 217 10 215 11 201 9 186 5681 5412 9 321 5 218 9 215 10 200 7 188 5412 5248 5*330 5 217 9 215 8*197 4 191 5248 5154 1*083 5 216 8 215 5*195 2*189 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography