DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 92.7 - - 90.2 - - 78.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 529 - - 519 - - 158 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8394 - - 10519 - - 9156 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11285 - - 13026 - - 11177 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13243 - - 15368 - - 14005 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1822 - - 1503 - - 2555 - - 2846 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 689 - - 739 - - 475 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 24 - - 22 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 079 - - 077 - - 090 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -835 - - -1558 - - -2193 - - -4779 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14078 - - 16927 - - 16199 - - 9934 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4760 - - -6107 - - -7004 - - -9215 ODpotential blCL - - - 18003 - - 21475 - - 21009 - - 14370 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 32 - - 42 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 92.7 - - 90.2 - - 78.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 35.5 - - 36.6 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.3 - - 89.3 - - 88.6 - - 78.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.2 - - 35.2 - - 36.5 - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 529 - - 519 - - 158 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8394 - - 10519 - - 9156 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98944 37 101 41 123 25 117 25 089 98944 91447 38 102 32 099 37 105 35 095 91447 85693 40 100 33 084 45 097 39 095 85693 80932 39 097 33 095 39 091 37 090 80932 76840 35 093 35 103 31 086 32 081 76840 73240 30 095 32 098 28 076 30 084 73240 70001 25 097 25 091 23 074 29 083 70001 67038 24 092 19 089 19 089 24 079 67038 64304 21 094 16 103 18 098 19 083 64304 61664 19 103 17 112 16 099 15 086 61664 58920 14 096 16 092 17 096 15 089 58920 56095 9 085 13 075 16 087 16 099 56095 53427 10 072 11 088 15 073 14 094 53427 51039 12 077 6 115 13 046 13 071 51039 48896 14 090 7 123 10 041 13 049 48896 46939 15 085 10 104 6 071 13 041 46939 45130 15 069 12 092 8 105 12 040 45130 43445 11 070 12 076 7 102 5 044 43445 41865 10 095 9 095 4 119 2 350 41865 40380 12 098 9 121 4 142 5 271 40380 38982 10 084 6 094 5 107 4 248 38982 37639 8 061 4 086 6 090 2 163 37639 36289 6 050 5 120 9 107 9 126 36289 34903 6 069 13 096 16 105 16 108 34903 33487 9 075 21 087 18 097 20 099 33487 32028 9 079 20 083 20 090 23 085 32028 30517 7 119 18 077 22 083 23 077 30517 28955 24 127 15 094 18 084 23 072 28955 27344 30 123 20 121 18 108 20 070 27344 25687 28 125 23 124 23 124 16 087 25687 23987 25 118 20 116 20 115 15 106 23987 22236 25 108 19 110 18 106 16 099 22236 20433 25 117 16 110 14 091 19 085 20433 18611 18 112 9 096 10 049 18 069 18611 16863 12 091 6*071 9 347 20 051 16863 15271 16 064 4*053 6*330 18 009 15271 13853 13*052 4 053 5*335 17 339 13853 12583 8*048 4 056 4 354 11 339 12583 11439 7 050 4 064 3 043 6 339 11439 10407 6 059 5 075 5 086 1 252 10407 9479 5 079 6 080 7 096 7 179 9479 8647 5 090 7 083 9 100 12 171 8647 7900 5 096 8 085 10 101 16 163 7900 7221 5 101 9 087 10 102 20 151 7221 6612 5 106 9 088 11 103 26 142 6612 6098 5 109 10 088 11 103 25 140 6098 5699 5 110 10 089 11 104 23 140 5699 5422 5 111 10 089 11 104 18 140 5422 5253 5 111 10 089 10 104 15 139 5253 5155 5 112 9 089 9 104 9*139 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography