DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.6 - - 75.4 - - 80.8 - - 75.6 - - 70.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 118 - - 354 - - 341 - - 17 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1644 - - 5368 - - 8189 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5405 - - 8677 - - 10909 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6493 - - 10217 - - 13038 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1803 - - 2554 - - 2585 - - 8254 - - 5026 Hgt.Variab. W* 244 - - 520 - - 591 - - 76 - - 41 W* B/S 5 - - 47 - - 99 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 204 - - 258 - - 009 - - 032 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -2 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -181 - - 782 - - 951 - - -4583 - - -2133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6675 - - 9435 - - 12087 - - 9738 - - 7289 sfcLCL ODpotential -2386 - - -396 - - -132 - - -6378 - - -4596 ODpotential blCL 8879 - - 10613 - - 13170 - - 11533 - - 9751 blCL maxRH 91 - - 82 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 110 - - 70 - - 240 - - 510 CAPE Temp@2m 67.6 - - 75.4 - - 80.8 - - 75.6 - - 70.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.8 - - 51.6 - - 45.4 - - 50.6 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.3 - - 72.9 - - 78.4 - - 75.2 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.6 - - 51.4 - - 45.2 - - 50.3 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 118 - - 354 - - 341 - - 17 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1644 - - 5368 - - 8189 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 29 - - 83 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97947 27 083 32 105 33 107 18 106 27 094 97947 90628 28 090 29 102 25 111 20 097 27 084 90628 85015 29 096 25 101 19 116 20 102 24 080 85015 80343 27 095 25 096 18 102 20 101 24 083 80343 76295 19 087 24 087 16 098 18 097 20 092 76295 72711 16 090 17 085 15 090 13 091 19 088 72711 69483 12 089 13 114 15 088 13 107 12 085 69483 66540 8 094 8 120 12 084 15 089 9 098 66540 63819 8 124 6 119 5 060 8 052 13 074 63819 61187 5 111 8 077 3 012 6 332 9 040 61187 58468 4 334 5 306 8 313 12 317 10 334 58468 55687 14 346 12 306 12 295 16 330 15 329 55687 53052 24 317 25 315 23 305 29 318 27 327 53052 50683 31 303 30 320 28 307 27 303 30 313 50683 48559 35 297 37 313 32 308 27 300 33 312 48559 46619 38 302 41 300 36 309 33 304 36 314 46619 44824 46 303 44 292 44 302 37 306 41 312 44824 43154 55 296 40 288 42 293 40 305 41 307 43154 41590 53 296 40 286 39 299 41 307 41 315 41590 40120 51 302 43 280 56 317 46 320 52 326 40120 38737 48 308 43 281 52 314 54 325 57 327 38737 37404 44 307 45 295 41 301 55 326 52 328 37404 36059 42 293 46 302 37 289 48 322 48 326 36059 34678 36 289 43 310 39 290 39 307 40 315 34678 33264 28 294 34 317 37 294 39 292 35 298 33264 31804 25 302 25 293 29 297 37 288 35 287 31804 30290 21 280 19 278 29 284 33 288 33 284 30290 28724 21 275 15 265 26 277 29 289 29 291 28724 27111 18 276 15 274 18 278 24 285 22 297 27111 25457 13 268 14 288 14 284 14 274 12 290 25457 23765 12 255 14 285 13 296 12 279 8 272 23765 22025 15 260 13 283 12 306 13 285 6 273 22025 20229 11 265 9 288 10 298 15 295 11 309 20229 18418 3 251 6 273 8 295 10 319 14 315 18418 16688 3 322 3 271 6 321 10 322 13 317 16688 15116 7 335 2 310 7 331 6 300 13 310 15116 13716 9 350 1 328 6*331 4 284 9 315 13716 12463 11 005 2 340 3*333 1 279 7 331 12463 11336 13 011 2 345 2 335 1 053 3 295 11336 10320 12 012 2*339 2 341 2 074 6 224 10320 9407 8 008 2*327 1 359 4 075 9 202 9407 8589 4 307 2 278 1 025 5 073 12 182 8589 7854 9 245 2 258 1 042 6 067 14 166 7854 7187 12 226 2 251 1 072 6 059 17 155 7187 6588 12*212 2 249 1 086 7 052 17 151 6588 6082 11*206 3 248 1 091 7 044 16 150 6082 5690 9 204 3 246 1 092 8 039 13 150 5690 5417 8 203 2 246 1 093 7 036 10 150 5417 5251 8 203 2 245 1 092 7*033 7*149 5251 5155 7 202 2 246 1 095 6*032 5*147 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography