DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.0 - - 83.7 - - 84.7 - - 84.1 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 67 - - 467 - - 344 - - 110 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1192 - - 6248 - - 6015 - - 6179 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 9492 - - 9180 - - 8651 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 6041 - - 11097 - - 10864 - - 11028 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1820 - - 2920 - - 3688 - - 4009 - - 895 Hgt.Variab. W* 196 - - 601 - - 536 - - 373 - - 38 W* B/S 3 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 250 - - 188 - - 185 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -12 - - -3 - - 17 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -433 - - 476 - - 415 - - 307 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6474 - - 10622 - - 10450 - - 10722 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential -3397 - - -663 - - -954 - - -1173 - - -3484 ODpotential blCL 9438 - - 11760 - - 11818 - - 12201 - - 8639 blCL maxRH 82 - - 81 - - 90 - - 92 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 860 - - 750 - - 1300 - - 920 - - 2430 CAPE Temp@2m 72.0 - - 83.7 - - 84.7 - - 84.1 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.8 - - 54.5 - - 56.2 - - 54.5 - - 66.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.1 - - 80.6 - - 82.0 - - 82.9 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.7 - - 54.3 - - 56.0 - - 54.3 - - 65.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 67 - - 467 - - 344 - - 110 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1192 - - 6248 - - 6015 - - 6179 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 30 - - 24 - - 61 - - 69 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98727 32 108 34 103 29 121 19 097 24 077 98727 91256 33 081 31 106 28 113 23 113 23 083 91256 85516 33 084 28 103 32 100 31 106 29 102 85516 80744 32 094 27 103 26 098 29 091 28 094 80744 76640 30 095 26 105 25 107 23 086 25 074 76640 73040 22 087 28 100 28 109 19 095 21 075 73040 69805 14 073 27 085 27 099 21 099 18 096 69805 66848 10 095 20 082 22 086 21 095 16 112 66848 64118 8 124 11 094 15 081 15 085 14 110 64118 61481 12 133 9 153 6 089 8 089 9 099 61481 58750 15 115 11 147 7 176 7 143 5 112 58750 55953 9 111 9 140 11 176 12 177 6 157 55953 53311 8 167 7 187 12 218 11 218 4 181 53311 50941 12 215 18 211 19 225 19 236 11 253 50941 48814 18 194 24 192 22 215 19 232 16 243 48814 46870 18 247 18 213 22 211 16 234 15 251 46870 45073 22 264 17 259 18 245 19 263 17 246 45073 43395 21 256 22 272 22 258 20 259 15 240 43395 41821 20 253 24 270 20 255 20 256 15 254 41821 40339 21 259 23 264 16 252 21 254 15 267 40339 38943 22 264 20 264 16 253 22 252 16 271 38943 37601 22 264 20 271 18 257 24 256 17 273 37601 36248 23 263 21 275 22 263 26 262 17 273 36248 34857 25 263 21 271 24 264 27 267 15 271 34857 33431 24 260 22 263 24 259 25 266 14 274 33431 31960 21 252 23 255 24 245 22 256 14 258 31960 30436 19 242 24 247 24 236 19 240 16 236 30436 28861 16 228 22 239 21 239 18 233 16 226 28861 27239 16 220 18 231 17 236 20 230 15 230 27239 25573 16 208 15 213 12 225 15 218 14 225 25573 23867 14 199 13 197 10 215 12 203 13 219 23867 22118 10 200 12 203 11 202 13 192 14 208 22118 20320 8 197 13 192 10 198 12 187 16 200 20320 18507 5 200 13 184 12 200 11 195 18 197 18507 16770 3 187 11 177 12 192 11 198 19 199 16770 15195 5 154 12 166 11 172 10 193 18 200 15195 13791 6 149 11 169 9 160 8 191 16 196 13791 12532 5 215 7 184 8 162 8 189 16 189 12532 11397 13 251 7*229 8*170 8*188 15 185 11397 10373 18 250 9*248 8*177 9*187 14 185 10373 9451 19 249 10 250 8 180 9 186 14 189 9451 8624 19 249 10 251 8 185 9 186 13 195 8624 7882 20 246 10 251 9 187 10 185 12 202 7882 7206 19 240 11 251 9 190 10 184 11 210 7206 6601 18 231 11 250 9 192 10 184 9 227 6601 6089 16*222 10 250 9 193 10 184 7 261 6089 5694 14*218 10 249 9 195 10 183 7 301 5694 5419 13 217 10 249 9 195 10 183 5 319 5419 5252 12 217 9 249 9 195 10 183 4*328 5252 5155 10 217 9 249 8 195 9 183 2*353 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography