DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.0 - - 75.6 - - - - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 384 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3703 - - 4181 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7443 - - 7784 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8552 - - 9030 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2105 - - 2575 - - - - - 2391 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 493 - - 496 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 044 - - 061 - - - - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1064 - - 734 - - - - - -792 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7488 - - 8296 - - - - - 5948 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -314 - - -653 - - - - - -3463 ODpotential blCL - - - 8866 - - 9683 - - - - - 8618 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 77 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 750 - - 620 - - - - - 810 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.0 - - 75.6 - - - - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 56.6 - - - - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 72.9 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 56.1 - - - - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 384 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3703 - - 4181 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 9 - - - - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98808 34 105 38 090 41 087 98808 91403 46 100 46 100 42 089 91403 85675 51 097 53 104 43 098 85675 80903 48 092 46 097 43 101 80903 76812 35 091 32 088 45 095 76812 73218 23 097 22 087 39 083 73218 69975 27 096 22 112 29 080 69975 66993 35 093 26 110 26 080 66993 64241 34 090 29 107 25 081 64241 61606 24 095 32 094 26 090 61606 58884 25 092 25 077 30 071 58884 56083 23 071 20 088 25 061 56083 53418 20 061 28 073 26 052 53418 51017 23 051 31 045 29 040 51017 48856 23 034 30 026 27 026 48856 46879 22 027 27 010 22 009 46879 45047 25 025 24 004 18 359 45047 43338 24 012 23 002 17 349 43338 41736 23 352 21 349 22 338 41736 40230 25 348 20 335 29 330 40230 38811 26 348 21 329 29 315 38811 37450 26 342 22 321 29 309 37450 36083 27 334 24 316 30 299 36083 34683 30 326 24 315 33 292 34683 33254 32 324 22 308 33 286 33254 31784 31 325 22 300 30 282 31784 30267 24 331 21 294 26 288 30267 28704 23 328 19 291 21 302 28704 27096 22 319 17 290 19 308 27096 25442 20 317 12 309 18 314 25442 23745 19 318 16 330 15 317 23745 22002 17 317 17 324 11 315 22002 20217 10 342 10 339 3 016 20217 18418 9 023 10 012 8 082 18418 16692 8 032 10 012 11 054 16692 15120 6 035 8 006 12 005 15120 13720 4 045 6 331 15 332 13720 12467 6 061 3 324 15 326 12467 11340 8 058 2 009 12 333 11340 10324 10 051 3 030 9 355 10324 9409 11 045 7*048 8 026 9409 8589 12*042 9*053 9 053 8589 7853 13*042 10 057 10 075 7853 7185 13 042 11 060 10 101 7185 6586 14 043 11 061 11 129 6586 6081 14 044 12 063 14 140 6081 5689 14 044 12 065 14 140 5689 5417 13 045 12 065 13 141 5417 5251 13 045 12 065 11*141 5251 5155 11 045 11 066 8*140 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography