DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.5 - - 59.6 - - 61.3 - - 56.9 - - 56.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 181 - - 58 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3824 - - 4934 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7217 - - 7143 - - 5137 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 8673 - - 9783 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 475 - - 3097 - - 2772 - - 6051 - - 3060 Hgt.Variab. W* 94 - - 377 - - 279 - - 0 - - 9 W* B/S 9 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 13 - - 16 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 260 - - 260 - - 274 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -10 - - 11 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1135 - - 858 - - -2744 - - -2101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 7538 - - 8925 - - 7899 - - 7255 sfcLCL ODpotential -1485 - - -299 - - -441 - - -4988 - - -4751 ODpotential blCL 6639 - - 8972 - - 10224 - - 10142 - - 9905 blCL maxRH 98 - - 94 - - 100 - - 92 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 120 - - 70 - - 40 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 50.5 - - 59.6 - - 61.3 - - 56.9 - - 56.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.3 - - 44.1 - - 40.0 - - 40.1 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 58.0 - - 60.7 - - 59.0 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.1 - - 43.4 - - 39.6 - - 39.8 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 181 - - 58 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3824 - - 4934 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 76 - - 100 - - 68 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97028 50 251 49 262 55 257 56 262 46 273 97028 89595 36 256 42 268 47 262 44 271 41 273 89595 83980 23 273 30 274 29 277 32 275 30 287 83980 79369 22 299 23 291 17 290 25 271 30 294 79369 75410 23 321 24 298 20 300 17 282 30 283 75410 71929 28 315 22 297 23 303 17 303 18 291 71929 68759 28 300 17 295 24 298 22 290 17 319 68759 65824 24 284 25 278 32 290 30 289 28 289 65824 63126 29 290 30 274 29 275 34 287 35 274 63126 60539 31 291 25 280 29 278 29 290 25 283 60539 57839 31 274 30 299 37 295 36 303 28 317 57839 55020 44 300 54 289 59 287 52 288 49 301 55020 52317 61 283 59 270 56 275 55 298 61 292 52317 49888 51 277 49 279 54 295 77 306 70 294 49888 47717 40 294 60 304 79 305 86 300 77 293 47717 45750 58 301 82 299 92 298 84 295 74 296 45750 43951 85 290 93 282 92 292 83 293 78 301 43951 42291 93 279 94 278 85 293 81 293 80 299 42291 40742 90 272 79 281 84 300 78 299 77 297 40742 39287 72 274 72 298 88 308 80 307 74 302 39287 37921 54 273 81 309 92 312 85 310 75 306 37921 36612 45 278 94 312 94 309 88 307 78 307 36612 35294 59 300 94 310 95 304 88 302 80 304 35294 33939 87 306 89 305 94 301 86 300 81 303 33939 32554 94 304 87 299 90 301 83 300 80 302 32554 31125 86 304 84 297 85 300 82 297 80 299 31125 29646 79 304 77 296 83 298 80 294 77 295 29646 28121 75 304 71 295 81 295 77 293 72 293 28121 26551 73 305 68 294 77 291 74 293 67 292 26551 24937 63 309 65 295 73 290 72 291 65 292 24937 23282 50 305 60 296 67 291 71 291 65 293 23282 21581 45 295 51 293 60 292 66 290 63 294 21581 19831 45 294 43 290 51 289 58 290 58 295 19831 18066 40 299 41 286 45 281 50 287 53 295 18066 16376 35 289 40 281 44 275 47 284 49 292 16376 14843 31 273 36 272 42 272 45 280 45 282 14843 13482 27 262 31 262 34 267 40 272 36 266 13482 12265 23 263 23 254 22 261 30 263 30 262 12265 11168 20 271 20 250 21 261 23 258 26 261 11168 10181 19 282 18 254 19*260 19 257 20 258 10181 9292 20 289 16*258 18*260 17 259 16 256 9292 8496 19 291 15*259 17 260 16 262 12 258 8496 7781 18 294 14 259 17 260 15 265 11 265 7781 7131 16 301 13 260 16 260 15 269 10 277 7131 6548 13 308 13 260 15 261 14 272 9 290 6548 6056 9 307 12 260 15 260 13 273 7 299 6056 5674 4 281 12 261 14 261 12 275 6 298 5674 5409 3 232 11 261 13 260 10 275 4 277 5409 5247 2*218 11 261 12 260 7*275 3*269 5247 5154 2*212 9 261 10 260 4*274 2*274 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography