DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.5 - - 70.0 - - 71.1 - - 67.3 - - 55.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 169 - - 517 - - 219 - - 8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 910 - - 4761 - - 5780 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 8330 - - 8812 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5759 - - 9610 - - 10629 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 451 - - 1391 - - 4437 - - 8875 - - 384 Hgt.Variab. W* 224 - - 565 - - 465 - - 73 - - 32 W* B/S 7 - - 46 - - 18 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 214 - - 190 - - 156 - - 137 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 10 - - 29 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1279 - - -674 - - 946 - - -2695 - - -328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7038 - - 10285 - - 9684 - - 7850 - - 5482 sfcLCL ODpotential -6326 - - -2866 - - -582 - - -4666 - - -5794 ODpotential blCL 12085 - - 12476 - - 11211 - - 9821 - - 10948 blCL maxRH 87 - - 78 - - 88 - - 80 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 270 - - 810 - - 1070 - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m 56.5 - - 70.0 - - 71.1 - - 67.3 - - 55.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 42.5 - - 46.3 - - 50.4 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.1 - - 66.9 - - 69.4 - - 67.3 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 42.5 - - 45.5 - - 49.2 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 169 - - 517 - - 219 - - 8 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 910 - - 4761 - - 5780 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 13 - - 53 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97650 12 264 20 272 8 276 13 266 14 312 97650 90294 6 324 8 259 8 248 12 279 11 321 90294 84610 5 008 3 237 7 223 8 291 10 320 84610 79893 6 346 4 340 3 300 8 355 6 039 79893 75823 4 275 5 003 4 313 6 330 8 067 75823 72229 6 201 2 313 8 328 6 331 6 355 72229 69004 1 100 6 200 8 278 7 316 8 318 69004 66079 9 328 5 250 7 240 6 274 6 268 66079 63390 11 308 10 262 11 268 7 273 10 253 63390 60806 11 275 13 233 15 269 13 285 12 277 60806 58121 13 285 17 254 20 258 20 272 15 285 58121 55324 24 265 22 260 24 251 22 253 29 261 55324 52651 26 263 27 261 29 248 29 248 37 253 52651 50230 30 270 30 250 33 241 37 249 39 251 50230 48040 36 269 33 251 35 244 40 250 42 258 48040 46031 45 265 42 258 42 250 44 256 51 260 46031 44173 56 257 52 253 51 251 50 260 56 258 44173 42448 57 249 54 247 54 254 54 263 54 264 42448 40845 53 250 53 250 55 259 59 269 62 276 40845 39354 59 255 55 256 57 262 62 270 69 279 39354 37961 63 255 57 257 58 261 64 267 73 278 37961 36632 58 253 58 252 54 258 64 264 73 276 36632 35300 52 253 56 250 53 258 59 263 70 274 35300 33938 51 251 54 251 51 261 54 267 68 274 33938 32551 52 247 53 248 51 263 54 272 69 273 32551 31125 51 246 49 243 54 260 53 272 64 274 31125 29656 44 248 45 240 53 255 50 269 50 274 29656 28148 37 249 41 237 44 250 40 267 38 274 28148 26602 34 246 39 235 37 245 30 264 30 278 26602 25014 30 243 38 235 34 242 26 258 26 279 25014 23385 27 240 35 234 37 242 29 258 21 281 23385 21707 26 238 32 232 32 241 32 257 22 282 21707 19976 27 240 28 231 30 241 30 256 27 282 19976 18221 26 242 23 230 28 237 29 249 32 278 18221 16532 24 242 19 229 24 234 28 246 34 274 16532 14990 19 239 18 225 20 234 24 249 32 272 14990 13610 13 232 18 215 17 233 19 253 27 272 13610 12371 9 218 17 208 10 226 14 254 20 272 12371 11256 9 225 13 209 6*203 9 253 14 270 11256 10250 10 243 5*216 5*189 5 244 10 261 10250 9346 12 252 2*205 5 172 2 168 7 248 9346 8536 12 250 2 198 5 160 5 130 5 234 8536 7810 11 246 2 190 5 153 7 128 2 210 7810 7151 10 240 2 187 5 149 8 129 2 125 7151 6559 9 236 2 184 5 146 8 132 4 111 6559 6061 7*222 2 185 5 143 8 135 4 110 6061 5675 6*214 2 184 5 141 8 136 11 136 5675 5409 6 214 2 188 4 139 7 137 11 138 5409 5247 6 214 2 186 4 138 7*138 9*135 5247 5154 5 215 2 186 4 137 6*137 5*131 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography