DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 69.8 - - 62.3 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 228 - - -19 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1931 - - 3677 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5864 - - 7188 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6780 - - 8526 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1083 - - 1751 - - 3212 - - 88 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 395 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 16 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 231 - - 232 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -18 - - -17 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6611 - - -5124 - - -7253 - - -5226 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13391 - - 13651 - - 12407 - - 10381 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13588 - - -10419 - - -13847 - - -13336 ODpotential blCL - - - 20368 - - 18945 - - 19001 - - 18490 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 70 - - 68 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 69.8 - - 62.3 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 27.8 - - 26.3 - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.2 - - 68.1 - - 65.1 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 27.7 - - 26.2 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 205 - - 228 - - -19 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1931 - - 3677 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96568 35 258 39 262 37 265 41 274 96568 89248 24 286 25 269 19 283 29 274 89248 83676 23 292 19 277 18 290 14 297 83676 79105 14 279 13 297 17 281 15 315 79105 75190 15 288 8 283 18 256 16 291 75190 71748 16 294 8 301 12 263 10 275 71748 68639 14 312 8 312 10 290 11 276 68639 65801 26 303 21 301 17 297 15 274 65801 63170 28 284 24 280 15 284 19 282 63170 60602 29 277 23 269 31 282 29 274 60602 57924 31 275 39 275 40 274 39 265 57924 55142 38 270 47 270 40 279 38 264 55142 52462 46 267 54 271 51 282 45 276 52462 50030 57 263 63 264 65 265 61 264 50030 47858 64 254 69 252 72 251 73 249 47858 45905 56 258 65 253 62 254 66 246 45905 44134 70 285 70 276 71 271 65 265 44134 42509 90 283 82 279 84 273 73 277 42509 40987 86 283 84 271 85 271 78 271 40987 39545 69 284 84 270 83 267 80 260 39545 38182 54 282 81 275 83 270 81 260 38182 36871 54 271 74 279 84 273 77 267 36871 35550 52 264 66 276 81 275 75 273 35550 34192 52 257 58 257 75 274 70 270 34192 32800 54 255 57 248 68 269 65 262 32800 31363 57 256 57 249 60 260 63 250 31363 29873 58 259 58 254 57 250 67 246 29873 28336 53 263 58 256 59 248 70 250 28336 26755 49 266 54 255 59 249 67 253 26755 25131 46 265 50 256 55 247 59 250 25131 23469 46 263 47 253 51 246 52 247 23469 21765 44 263 46 250 47 247 47 248 21765 20012 40 256 44 246 43 250 39 254 20012 18238 38 244 41 244 38 255 32 263 18238 16533 37 235 38 243 34 261 27 268 16533 14979 35 234 34 243 31 266 24 270 14979 13590 32 235 30 244 28 268 21 273 13590 12346 29 238 26 244 25 270 21 274 12346 11229 27 240 23 246 22 269 22 274 11229 10225 26 239 21 246 19 264 21 271 10225 9324 26 235 19*241 15 257 19 262 9324 8519 29 227 18*236 12 244 17 249 8519 7798 30 220 17 234 11 236 15 243 7798 7143 27*215 17 232 11 236 14 243 7143 6556 22*211 17 231 11 237 13 242 6556 6060 19 210 17 230 11 237 13 239 6060 5676 18 210 16 229 11 237 12 234 5676 5409 17 211 15 229 10 236 12 229 5409 5247 16 211 14 229 8*235 9*228 5247 5154 13 211 12 228 6*232 5*226 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography