DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.7 - - 54.8 - - 58.1 - - 54.2 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 134 - - 67 - - -5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2245 - - 2554 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5952 - - 5713 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7094 - - 7403 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1155 - - 1132 - - 3151 - - 4082 - - 1172 Hgt.Variab. W* 81 - - 290 - - 244 - - 19 - - 21 W* B/S 6 - - 20 - - 11 - - 1 - - 7 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 039 - - 195 - - 225 - - 221 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -6 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1595 - - 1259 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5153 - - 5499 - - 6144 - - 5154 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -1605 - - 277 - - -184 - - -1750 - - -1534 ODpotential blCL 6758 - - 6817 - - 7587 - - 6904 - - 6688 blCL maxRH 98 - - 95 - - 99 - - 90 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 90 - - 70 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 48.7 - - 54.8 - - 58.1 - - 54.2 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.1 - - 48.4 - - 48.9 - - 49.9 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.2 - - 53.6 - - 57.2 - - 55.7 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.7 - - 47.3 - - 47.9 - - 49.3 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 134 - - 67 - - -5 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2245 - - 2554 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 82 - - 96 - - 61 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97182 55 268 67 276 64 266 61 264 60 274 97182 89753 42 263 52 276 50 274 49 277 50 284 89753 84119 36 277 30 276 33 271 38 288 34 281 84119 79526 28 289 19 268 25 267 32 277 25 289 79526 75576 23 296 12 263 18 275 23 277 23 298 75576 72080 19 284 10 268 11 263 19 278 20 298 72080 68931 15 278 11 250 13 235 21 278 19 301 68931 66052 11 292 12 258 10 246 17 280 15 284 66052 63391 15 273 17 270 13 282 17 296 14 270 63391 60821 19 252 21 262 20 290 20 306 15 274 60821 58140 23 256 25 256 24 276 22 280 21 274 58140 55360 28 266 27 246 27 257 30 251 33 255 55360 52708 22 274 24 253 28 249 32 241 35 251 52708 50313 26 278 23 267 30 251 36 241 39 251 50313 48153 33 267 27 276 39 255 34 249 40 248 48153 46179 41 262 33 274 40 261 33 260 38 252 46179 44361 40 258 37 266 36 268 35 265 40 258 44361 42669 34 255 39 255 35 271 33 271 42 261 42669 41082 30 254 37 252 38 272 33 275 38 265 41082 39586 30 266 35 255 38 269 36 274 35 267 39586 38181 36 279 35 263 36 271 37 273 34 266 38181 36837 38 285 28 272 35 276 38 276 37 270 36837 35491 37 291 32 289 37 276 42 277 42 273 35491 34114 35 289 36 283 41 276 43 277 42 275 34114 32711 34 277 33 273 44 273 39 277 37 276 32711 31270 28 267 34 271 40 272 41 276 34 276 31270 29779 23 269 37 271 39 282 36 279 36 275 29779 28239 16 301 23 281 33 283 28 291 29 272 28239 26659 9 314 16 283 21 297 22 299 18 281 26659 25046 11 015 8 278 16 300 15 298 15 289 25046 23393 14 014 5 349 12 300 13 293 14 281 23393 21689 15 354 4 340 7 298 11 287 14 268 21689 19929 10 337 3 295 6 267 11 279 14 272 19929 18148 1 229 3 267 7 242 9 278 11 279 18148 16441 5 229 7 235 9 234 7 261 8 267 16441 14889 11 224 10 219 13 226 9 239 6 251 14889 13506 15 226 12 216 12 217 9 219 6 213 13506 12270 15 226 13 210 11 218 9 212 7 210 12270 11162 13 216 13 202 9 231 7 228 9 220 11162 10166 11 214 14 202 9 242 4 272 10 225 10166 9273 8 220 13 209 9 246 3 291 8 223 9273 8476 5 222 9 227 8 244 4 276 2 254 8476 7763 1 241 6 234 5*233 5 262 3 331 7763 7116 2 076 4*216 4*227 6 245 2 316 7116 6537 3 079 3*203 4 225 6 235 2 261 6537 6048 3 071 3 196 4 224 7 229 3 230 6048 5669 4 058 3 194 4 225 7 226 3 219 5669 5406 3 040 2 189 4 225 6 224 3 211 5406 5246 3 038 2 187 4 224 5*222 1*195 5246 5154 3*039 2 185 3 225 3*221 1*174 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography