DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 80.0 - - - - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 517 - - 104 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7826 - - 5585 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10810 - - 8227 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12675 - - 10434 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3287 - - 3484 - - - - - 3236 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 668 - - 363 - - - - - 22 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 083 - - 096 - - - - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 10 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -106 - - 560 - - - - - -3085 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12781 - - 9875 - - - - - 8240 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1682 - - -1337 - - - - - -6108 ODpotential blCL - - - 14357 - - 11771 - - - - - 11263 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 100 - - - - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 770 - - - - - 820 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.9 - - 80.0 - - - - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 54.2 - - - - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.6 - - 78.8 - - - - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 53.3 - - - - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 517 - - 104 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7826 - - 5585 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 101 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98908 42 101 38 116 31 093 98908 91348 31 100 38 104 38 088 91348 85571 34 109 33 099 42 090 85571 80850 33 104 27 099 31 094 80850 76785 29 093 24 096 25 098 76785 73185 29 088 23 099 22 085 73185 69935 24 098 23 092 20 089 69935 66953 21 099 18 098 25 084 66953 64207 15 104 13 116 26 060 64207 61594 15 090 13 094 21 056 61594 58898 30 100 20 085 19 044 58898 56110 35 073 29 074 16 054 56110 53459 37 037 28 043 27 050 53459 51075 36 025 29 033 29 029 51075 48924 40 023 35 025 33 023 48924 46949 43 018 36 012 37 013 46949 45118 46 013 38 009 37 012 45118 43408 48 008 42 010 43 014 43408 41805 46 000 45 005 46 011 41805 40294 46 349 47 357 45 005 40294 38873 43 337 45 350 43 000 38873 37515 44 333 39 339 37 351 37515 36156 43 334 37 335 34 340 36156 34768 38 334 30 334 31 338 34768 33355 32 336 21 330 22 338 33355 31899 25 333 21 334 21 356 31899 30388 24 321 21 333 23 002 30388 28824 22 322 20 337 22 360 28824 27211 22 349 18 343 19 342 27211 25556 20 012 12 326 21 349 25556 23862 17 015 13 315 20 006 23862 22124 17 026 15 304 13 036 22124 20336 12 031 11 321 16 056 20336 18530 10 023 13 349 20 041 18530 16798 14 022 13 004 21 021 16798 15222 17 041 14 019 19 006 15222 13814 15*058 13 032 16 356 13814 12549 12*069 9 057 12 359 12549 11410 10 073 7*087 10 013 11410 10381 7 083 7*092 9 035 10381 9455 7 085 7 094 9 062 9455 8627 7 087 7 095 9 085 8627 7883 7 088 6 096 10 113 7883 7208 7 089 6 097 16 129 7208 6603 7 090 6 098 21 130 6603 6092 7 090 5 099 22 129 6092 5695 7 090 5 101 20 129 5695 5420 7 090 5 102 16 127 5420 5252 6 091 5 102 13 126 5252 5155 6 090 4 101 8*125 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography