DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 92.5 - - 90.7 - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 480 - - 177 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8104 - - 11035 - - 7965 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11000 - - 13412 - - 10337 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12953 - - 15884 - - 12814 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2016 - - 2327 - - 5324 - - 6200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 657 - - 732 - - 471 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 142 - - 45 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 298 - - 071 - - 102 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 511 - - 1031 - - -1408 - - -5341 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12443 - - 14854 - - 14223 - - 10497 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1775 - - -189 - - -2819 - - -7954 ODpotential blCL - - - 14728 - - 16073 - - 15633 - - 13110 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 71 - - 77 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 650 - - 430 - - 470 - - 1030 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 92.5 - - 90.7 - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 44.7 - - 45.8 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 89.3 - - 89.0 - - 82.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 44.5 - - 45.7 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 474 - - 480 - - 177 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8104 - - 11035 - - 7965 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - 9 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98737 37 089 42 101 31 104 33 079 98737 91227 35 099 27 100 31 090 30 081 91227 85487 31 095 28 096 30 093 29 083 85487 80765 29 088 30 093 29 088 27 082 80765 76711 28 091 29 093 26 085 26 084 76711 73139 22 096 26 086 24 082 21 086 73139 69908 20 092 19 078 24 070 21 077 69908 66936 17 086 13 089 16 063 17 057 66936 64185 13 068 16 076 8 067 14 056 64185 61537 9 050 12 055 9 066 14 043 61537 58799 7 026 4 091 7 037 12 029 58799 55980 19 318 14 323 16 341 21 007 55980 53300 17 293 20 308 18 317 23 340 53300 50896 22 318 26 319 32 320 27 330 50896 48741 29 322 30 320 31 318 38 324 48741 46780 31 318 30 323 33 327 39 324 46780 44979 28 311 31 322 32 321 35 316 44979 43312 26 300 28 315 30 312 27 303 43312 41755 26 291 30 315 28 302 22 312 41755 40291 26 301 31 303 26 303 34 331 40291 38911 28 309 27 291 28 305 38 326 38911 37583 31 311 29 293 32 310 34 321 37583 36240 31 313 30 305 35 310 30 317 36240 34857 29 309 24 307 35 306 29 310 34857 33438 26 305 21 301 31 305 29 308 33438 31972 23 308 25 302 31 307 26 311 31972 30453 15 307 18 294 26 305 26 313 30453 28887 13 303 9 290 15 286 20 303 28887 27279 13 274 10 305 9 292 13 284 27279 25630 6 222 9 274 9 310 11 318 25630 23942 7 123 4 156 5 303 10 005 23942 22207 11 105 8 129 2 186 4 028 22207 20418 13 101 7 121 3 100 3 086 20418 18608 13 099 7 093 3 029 6 017 18608 16874 13 089 5*047 4 319 10 343 16874 15295 11 077 4*012 3 309 9 322 15295 13881 5*065 3 012 1*302 3 342 13881 12610 2*002 3 019 1*111 2 087 12610 11464 2 348 2 035 5 111 5 153 11464 10430 1 339 2 067 6 109 9 157 10430 9498 1 321 3 087 9 105 13 154 9498 8663 1 286 4 094 11 103 17 149 8663 7914 1 269 4 098 12 102 20 144 7914 7232 1 257 5 100 12 100 22 140 7232 6620 1 241 5 102 13 099 23 137 6620 6103 1 233 6 103 13 099 22 136 6103 5702 1 234 6 104 13 098 20 134 5702 5424 1 229 6 102 13 099 15 131 5424 5253 1 228 6 103 12 098 12*129 5253 5156 1 229 5 104 11 098 7*126 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography