DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 72.7 - - 69.8 - - 58.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 257 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3782 - - 7992 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7283 - - 10596 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8631 - - 12841 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3352 - - 2034 - - 9891 - - 985 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 534 - - 14 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 208 - - 193 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -8 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2319 - - 824 - - -6313 - - -1406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10951 - - 12017 - - 11469 - - 6560 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4641 - - -414 - - -7779 - - -4650 ODpotential blCL - - - 13272 - - 13255 - - 12934 - - 9804 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 89 - - 90 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 40 - - 60 - - 730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.7 - - 72.7 - - 69.8 - - 58.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 37.6 - - 37.3 - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 70.7 - - 69.7 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 37.6 - - 37.3 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 257 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3782 - - 7992 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 55 - - 61 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96373 14 129 4 223 7 085 5 065 96373 89293 11 116 12 103 11 093 11 070 89293 83837 16 107 8 080 10 106 8 078 83837 79273 13 102 9 123 3 102 7 066 79273 75311 10 082 14 114 5 159 4 121 75311 71823 1 122 7 068 1 021 3 072 71823 68691 6 108 7 231 3 242 3 065 68691 65816 10 226 11 219 11 231 10 294 65816 63154 21 229 16 233 12 239 16 256 63154 60586 32 200 23 231 16 253 19 232 60586 57912 35 231 30 254 18 250 18 239 57912 55104 47 235 51 256 42 254 39 255 55104 52394 56 239 69 247 71 251 62 260 52394 49953 70 242 75 241 77 249 68 260 49953 47759 87 240 80 240 80 248 72 260 47759 45754 97 240 88 242 85 248 78 259 45754 43905 104 243 98 241 94 246 84 256 43905 42193 111 243 106 240 104 245 92 253 42193 40599 108 241 109 240 108 243 100 250 40599 39113 102 242 109 241 109 243 106 246 39113 37729 102 245 108 242 110 244 109 244 37729 36416 100 248 106 244 110 244 113 243 36416 35104 97 248 103 244 108 243 114 241 35104 33762 96 247 102 243 107 240 109 239 33762 32391 96 247 100 243 102 238 106 238 32391 30980 94 246 96 243 93 237 104 237 30980 29520 93 245 92 241 88 238 100 235 29520 28016 90 244 89 238 88 236 91 233 28016 26469 84 244 86 236 86 234 68 233 26469 24879 75 245 83 235 83 234 73 233 24879 23250 68 242 78 234 78 234 73 233 23250 21575 66 237 72 231 71 233 70 234 21575 19844 61 233 65 227 65 231 65 233 19844 18092 51 230 58 223 59 229 58 234 18092 16413 39 227 50 221 52 228 47 236 16413 14888 30 228 39 221 44 229 36 239 14888 13528 21 230 26*220 35 227 28 239 13528 12309 16 216 18*218 29 225 22 237 12309 11212 13 195 16 217 26 223 18 233 11212 10222 11 175 14 214 24 221 13 225 10222 9327 10*162 11 206 21 217 10 209 9327 8524 10*161 11 204 18 211 9 184 8524 7803 10 163 10 202 15 202 10 162 7803 7147 10 166 10 202 14 198 11 144 7147 6559 10 169 10 202 14 196 15 132 6559 6062 10 172 10 201 14 194 19 126 6062 5677 9 174 10 201 13 194 16 125 5677 5411 9 175 9 201 13 193 13 122 5411 5248 8 176 9 201 11*193 10 117 5248 5154 7 177 8 201 9*193 5*094 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography