DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.9 - - 82.0 - - 81.0 - - 78.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 186 - - 521 - - 231 - - 40 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1267 - - 11224 - - 11087 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5360 - - 13608 - - 12990 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6116 - - 16073 - - 15936 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1401 - - 2886 - - 4280 - - 11009 - - 1232 Hgt.Variab. W* 259 - - 755 - - 574 - - 97 - - 12 W* B/S 5 - - 59 - - 23 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 213 - - 147 - - 140 - - 083 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 10 - - -4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4335 - - 1386 - - 1655 - - -8142 - - -3027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10451 - - 14687 - - 14282 - - 13298 - - 8182 sfcLCL ODpotential -6936 - - 549 - - 742 - - -9321 - - -6174 ODpotential blCL 13052 - - 15524 - - 15194 - - 14476 - - 11329 blCL maxRH 57 - - 65 - - 100 - - 95 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 310 - - 210 - - 300 - - 130 - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m 70.9 - - 82.0 - - 81.0 - - 78.0 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 35.0 - - 36.0 - - 37.5 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.3 - - 78.7 - - 79.0 - - 77.4 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.0 - - 34.8 - - 35.9 - - 37.4 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 186 - - 521 - - 231 - - 40 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1267 - - 11224 - - 11087 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 101 - - 82 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98306 15 092 16 124 11 119 15 118 19 127 98306 90861 13 098 12 104 13 130 9 092 16 066 90861 85130 14 098 7 111 17 122 8 089 14 042 85130 80378 12 083 14 110 14 095 14 084 15 085 80378 76297 8 091 16 106 11 086 13 082 21 094 76297 72713 11 139 9 133 9 120 10 043 11 074 72713 69478 7 125 7 139 4 135 6 024 7 069 69478 66502 8 102 11 127 6 163 1 215 6 050 66502 63741 10 269 6 026 5 219 4 218 9 288 63741 61077 13 239 13 259 14 271 4 280 12 268 61077 58311 12 267 15 260 11 270 10 278 6 281 58311 55430 21 281 21 276 17 280 23 276 19 289 55430 52683 23 287 28 282 26 280 31 275 27 288 52683 50228 28 291 29 287 26 286 33 278 36 284 50228 48047 33 293 30 296 25 299 32 286 42 288 48047 46079 33 294 34 305 28 306 33 299 46 292 46079 44277 31 294 40 304 36 307 39 302 47 294 44277 42612 28 300 42 302 44 307 43 300 46 297 42612 41059 34 306 41 301 47 306 45 299 45 298 41059 39603 41 304 43 301 47 306 44 298 41 298 39603 38235 42 299 42 302 44 306 39 298 37 298 38235 36924 39 296 39 306 39 305 35 300 32 299 36924 35607 37 302 38 308 35 305 34 304 27 302 35607 34255 34 314 36 312 32 305 32 306 26 304 34255 32872 32 323 32 316 29 308 28 307 26 303 32872 31446 31 326 29 318 28 312 25 308 24 302 31446 29968 26 321 26 327 27 317 22 309 20 305 29968 28440 18 312 22 326 24 319 19 308 16 311 28440 26863 13 305 16 329 20 318 18 304 15 309 26863 25240 11 299 13 334 16 312 19 301 14 298 25240 23575 7 328 12 325 13 309 16 314 12 314 23575 21866 9 021 11 332 10 321 9 337 13 324 21866 20113 14 063 6 048 4 330 7 325 14 299 20113 18346 13 076 11 091 2 007 5 289 14 291 18346 16648 11 075 6*104 2*023 4 274 14 290 16648 15100 8 063 2*107 1*058 1 244 13 284 15100 13712 6 059 2 122 1 087 2 107 9 286 13712 12465 5 074 2 139 2 118 4 096 4 318 12465 11341 4 087 2 144 3 135 5 094 4 046 11341 10326 3 085 2 148 5 142 6 093 7 071 10326 9413 0 356 3 152 5 144 6 093 9 084 9413 8593 4 268 3 153 6 146 7 093 10 096 8593 7858 6 244 3 155 7 146 7 091 11 109 7858 7189 9 224 3 159 7 147 7 089 13 119 7189 6589 12*213 3 163 8 147 7 089 16 126 6589 6082 12*212 3 164 8 147 7 087 19 128 6082 5689 10 213 3 166 8 147 7 086 19 128 5689 5417 9 213 3 166 8 147 7 085 17 126 5417 5251 8 214 2 166 8 147 7*083 14*126 5251 5155 7 214 2 166 7 147 6*083 8*124 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography