DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 84.5 - - 80.2 - - 69.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 114 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6796 - - 6807 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9853 - - 9155 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11645 - - 11656 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2538 - - 3441 - - 8519 - - 480 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 580 - - 391 - - 87 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 14 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 216 - - 176 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 15 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 769 - - 449 - - -3295 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10877 - - 11207 - - 8451 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -460 - - -1092 - - -5492 - - -3404 ODpotential blCL - - - 12105 - - 12748 - - 10648 - - 8559 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 101 - - 92 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 780 - - 800 - - 1820 - - 2130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 84.5 - - 80.2 - - 69.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 52.9 - - 60.3 - - 65.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.5 - - 83.3 - - 80.4 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 52.6 - - 59.3 - - 65.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 114 - - 3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6796 - - 6807 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 103 - - 66 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98705 36 081 29 110 19 117 12 078 98705 91134 33 084 30 095 27 093 22 077 91134 85361 25 091 27 085 33 081 34 085 85361 80643 19 091 21 078 30 067 35 083 80643 76598 15 097 18 086 23 066 28 079 76598 73039 13 109 17 080 17 083 19 084 73039 69828 15 112 13 074 16 095 15 095 69828 66878 12 110 12 112 10 113 14 093 66878 64141 7 146 7 149 1 193 8 056 64141 61492 12 215 10 199 11 231 5 297 61492 58753 11 198 10 238 7 231 4 251 58753 55958 5 206 7 209 5 189 4 164 55958 53335 6 261 5 189 4 187 4 157 53335 50992 8 267 4 235 5 215 7 256 50992 48875 14 258 11 259 8 249 11 253 48875 46925 16 256 18 253 14 256 13 248 46925 45114 14 257 19 247 19 250 16 242 45114 43421 15 272 18 249 19 242 19 243 43421 41832 20 282 18 260 20 251 20 251 41832 40335 24 278 23 268 24 266 19 264 40335 38928 24 269 25 263 27 270 18 264 38928 37578 25 265 25 249 28 263 19 257 37578 36224 22 240 27 242 25 243 18 235 36224 34836 19 221 27 226 26 233 20 229 34836 33414 19 209 21 218 26 235 19 231 33414 31947 18 211 20 215 23 237 15 228 31947 30426 17 218 20 225 20 234 12 222 30426 28854 18 221 17 233 16 227 13 223 28854 27233 16 221 13 227 15 230 12 224 27233 25569 13 225 11 207 15 232 12 217 25569 23867 13 219 12 204 14 229 12 214 23867 22123 13 209 12 211 13 228 12 218 22123 20328 13 211 16 213 12 231 14 220 20328 18514 14 208 14 217 12 228 18 224 18514 16779 12 201 12 227 9 218 20 229 16779 15205 11 198 11 234 8 220 20 228 15205 13801 10 219 7 244 9 222 17 225 13801 12541 9*245 6*247 8 215 12 219 12541 11405 8*263 5*244 7 201 8 198 11405 10379 9 274 5 240 7 187 8 180 10379 9456 8 276 5 229 8 171 9 163 9456 8628 8 277 5 219 8 167 9 153 8628 7884 8 277 5 211 8 165 8 148 7884 7208 8 277 6 205 8 167 7 142 7208 6602 8 278 6 201 9 170 4 127 6602 6091 8 277 6 198 9 172 3 075 6091 5694 8 278 6 197 9 173 4 050 5694 5419 7 277 6 196 9 175 5 074 5419 5252 7 277 5 196 8*175 6*099 5252 5155 6 277 5 196 7*176 5*102 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography