DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 89.0 - - 80.7 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 303 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7688 - - 9018 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10631 - - 11513 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12537 - - 13867 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2020 - - 3466 - - 8833 - - 344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 631 - - 588 - - 59 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 66 - - 34 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 144 - - 306 - - 131 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 26 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1318 - - 1176 - - -2944 - - -494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11219 - - 12691 - - 8100 - - 5650 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -397 - - 85 - - -5448 - - -4668 ODpotential blCL - - - 12934 - - 13782 - - 10604 - - 9823 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 95 - - 86 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 670 - - 490 - - 1980 - - 1650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 89.0 - - 80.7 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.4 - - 50.8 - - 62.3 - - 64.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.2 - - 86.6 - - 80.9 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 50.6 - - 61.0 - - 63.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 303 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7688 - - 9018 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 80 - - 46 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98771 22 113 20 121 18 078 31 066 98771 91353 25 094 24 094 25 101 29 073 91353 85637 29 098 29 091 29 094 25 091 85637 80866 31 096 32 098 28 096 25 101 80866 76746 26 086 30 098 25 101 26 100 76746 73138 19 088 24 093 23 095 26 102 73138 69904 15 089 18 092 22 085 25 097 69904 66944 13 102 12 100 17 083 21 086 66944 64217 8 123 8 122 9 100 15 083 64217 61598 10 154 10 146 6 142 8 081 61598 58894 13 151 16 156 8 152 3 154 58894 56116 15 136 16 144 10 153 5 173 56116 53488 13 112 11 129 5 119 8 111 53488 51133 8 081 9 108 4 045 8 077 51133 49010 8 041 8 077 4 031 10 031 49010 47061 10 023 12 041 7 042 15 019 47061 45251 8 040 13 024 9 029 14 022 45251 43561 9 071 9 024 7 002 14 021 43561 41975 12 080 9 059 5 002 12 017 41975 40481 15 077 13 074 4 054 10 044 40481 39073 15 070 13 069 7 075 10 060 39073 37721 14 062 11 062 8 060 9 053 37721 36360 13 064 11 054 10 035 10 030 36360 34963 13 061 11 050 12 029 13 020 34963 33535 14 059 13 052 13 035 14 028 33535 32063 14 055 15 053 14 042 16 036 32063 30536 11 045 15 041 15 046 16 036 30536 28958 12 050 13 042 15 046 16 035 28958 27332 13 071 11 067 13 051 13 037 27332 25663 10 085 7 092 8 052 9 038 25663 23956 6 073 3 079 5 035 7 040 23956 22206 4 042 4 029 7 023 7 053 22206 20404 6 015 6 024 5 040 7 065 20404 18585 5 015 4 012 6 047 7 062 18585 16843 2 088 1 014 6 039 8 017 16843 15260 3 116 1*104 5 072 8 342 15260 13850 3 119 2*120 6 094 3 310 13850 12584 4*132 2 126 5 104 2 251 12584 11442 4*136 2 131 4 113 2 260 11442 10410 3 137 3 138 3 130 1 281 10410 9481 1 165 3 144 2 158 0 116 9481 8648 2 238 3 147 2 193 4 137 8648 7901 2 244 4 147 2 223 8 141 7901 7221 2 245 4 149 2 250 13 140 7221 6612 3 243 4 149 2 272 17 139 6612 6097 3 241 4 150 2 287 17 139 6097 5698 3 240 4 150 2 296 17 138 5698 5421 3 239 4 150 1 302 14 138 5421 5252 3 238 4 149 1*307 10 137 5252 5155 3 238 4 149 1*306 5*131 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography