DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.5 - - 87.7 - - 91.4 - - 88.2 - - 76.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 152 - - 457 - - 410 - - 50 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1115 - - 7218 - - 10942 - - 8505 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5135 - - 10263 - - 13246 - - 9454 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 5964 - - 12067 - - 15791 - - 13354 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 688 - - 3241 - - 1504 - - 3548 - - 2275 Hgt.Variab. W* 232 - - 624 - - 692 - - 316 - - 12 W* B/S 4 - - 16 - - 18 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 234 - - 245 - - 205 - - 212 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 6 - - -9 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2086 - - -2365 - - 45 - - -101 - - -4936 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8050 - - 14432 - - 15746 - - 13456 - - 10092 sfcLCL ODpotential -6148 - - -7091 - - -2713 - - -1495 - - -8367 ODpotential blCL 12112 - - 19158 - - 18504 - - 14849 - - 13522 blCL maxRH 60 - - 58 - - 67 - - 69 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 550 CAPE Temp@2m 73.5 - - 87.7 - - 91.4 - - 88.2 - - 76.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.6 - - 41.8 - - 39.5 - - 46.7 - - 50.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.1 - - 84.6 - - 88.5 - - 87.3 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.5 - - 41.7 - - 39.4 - - 46.6 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 152 - - 457 - - 410 - - 50 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1115 - - 7218 - - 10942 - - 8505 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98361 24 095 30 098 28 094 27 083 27 088 98361 90991 30 106 26 098 24 093 26 070 31 077 90991 85326 33 101 30 109 25 097 19 086 25 069 85326 80618 32 090 31 103 27 094 22 103 21 083 80618 76550 24 090 28 098 30 100 25 100 21 093 76550 72961 23 097 24 093 28 105 22 101 24 093 72961 69726 17 107 15 083 26 103 24 102 21 096 69726 66773 14 128 8 088 20 098 18 096 19 113 66773 64061 19 122 11 161 6 136 5 106 8 077 64061 61461 11 116 13 166 12 191 10 204 6 182 61461 58789 5 246 5 208 7 215 10 202 9 190 58789 56062 19 253 12 258 8 258 9 186 9 217 56062 53487 29 246 29 254 28 266 21 265 18 269 53487 51168 34 244 38 246 38 255 31 262 28 264 51168 49068 34 250 37 247 40 250 30 256 29 257 49068 47132 31 259 33 253 37 254 28 258 28 256 47132 45331 32 264 34 261 36 262 28 260 28 257 45331 43644 35 265 37 264 37 268 31 263 27 257 43644 42055 37 266 38 262 38 268 34 267 28 260 42055 40553 40 270 37 260 37 266 36 266 30 262 40553 39135 41 270 37 262 36 262 36 263 30 259 39135 37771 42 270 38 263 37 260 38 260 31 255 37771 36399 42 270 39 263 38 260 40 259 32 254 36399 34992 43 270 40 266 40 265 41 263 33 256 34992 33558 42 273 40 271 41 272 42 268 33 262 33558 32083 40 278 37 278 38 279 41 272 33 268 32083 30558 38 282 33 284 33 282 37 276 31 271 30558 28982 35 278 31 283 29 280 33 274 27 269 28982 27357 31 265 29 274 29 271 32 268 26 264 27357 25685 30 258 30 262 31 263 34 267 27 260 25685 23969 27 259 30 257 33 262 33 271 28 265 23969 22206 23 261 26 257 30 262 31 276 29 275 22206 20393 21 264 24 259 25 262 27 274 28 284 20393 18567 19 268 21 260 19 259 21 268 25 282 18567 16827 15 264 15 250 11*248 11 260 22 273 16827 15253 6 247 10 222 6*209 6 236 23 259 15253 13849 2 149 7 177 6 207 7*228 21 255 13849 12585 3 167 8*173 6 206 7*222 16 256 12585 11443 7 216 7*204 7 205 8 217 14 253 11443 10413 12 236 8 240 7 204 9 214 13 248 10413 9484 15 246 7 251 7 204 10 212 12 235 9484 8652 15 245 7 252 7 204 10 210 11 216 8652 7904 13 238 7 252 7 204 11 209 12 190 7904 7224 11 244 7 251 8 204 11 209 15 166 7224 6615 11 256 7 249 8 204 11 209 20 153 6615 6100 11*251 7 248 8 203 11 209 19 152 6100 5700 10*236 7 247 7 204 11 209 16 155 5700 5422 10 234 7 246 7 203 11 209 12 161 5422 5253 10 233 7 246 7 203 10 208 9 164 5253 5155 8 232 6 245 7 203 9 209 5*171 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography