DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.4 - - 62.1 - - 64.4 - - 57.5 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 216 - - 249 - - -15 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2635 - - 3683 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6406 - - 7232 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 7484 - - 8532 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 158 - - 1358 - - 1199 - - 2517 - - 301 Hgt.Variab. W* 35 - - 351 - - 408 - - 17 - - 10 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 9 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 035 - - 050 - - 067 - - 044 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1282 - - -2318 - - -2400 - - -3194 - - -835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6436 - - 9802 - - 10932 - - 8349 - - 5989 sfcLCL ODpotential -8115 - - -7658 - - -7371 - - -8201 - - -6998 ODpotential blCL 13269 - - 15142 - - 15903 - - 13355 - - 12152 blCL maxRH 55 - - 48 - - 49 - - 54 - - 60 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.4 - - 62.1 - - 64.4 - - 57.5 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 37.2 - - 34.5 - - 39.0 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 60.3 - - 62.4 - - 58.4 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 36.2 - - 34.2 - - 38.9 - - 42.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 216 - - 249 - - -15 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2635 - - 3683 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97280 51 265 62 263 57 258 65 265 63 265 97280 89777 42 276 44 272 46 272 44 282 43 293 89777 84113 32 271 35 283 37 277 31 297 25 307 84113 79486 22 264 29 296 28 281 32 297 25 324 79486 75526 22 301 22 293 23 284 30 295 27 316 75526 72047 27 310 20 295 20 298 21 290 22 317 72047 68905 28 302 24 302 24 313 18 299 18 317 68905 66020 27 297 29 300 28 315 23 311 24 320 66020 63362 24 297 30 293 28 312 30 317 28 316 63362 60808 23 305 30 296 29 313 35 315 33 310 60808 58156 26 312 30 307 32 310 33 312 31 306 58156 55409 32 312 33 306 33 305 37 316 40 311 55409 52785 40 301 35 305 35 307 44 311 46 303 52785 50395 43 290 37 302 35 304 46 313 44 303 50395 48218 47 282 38 297 32 298 44 309 41 309 48218 46218 55 277 40 288 36 295 38 299 40 311 46218 44364 62 268 43 287 44 290 39 295 39 310 44364 42633 68 264 47 277 42 282 43 295 41 308 42633 41017 72 263 57 267 50 274 41 289 39 297 41017 39509 70 262 64 263 50 274 43 275 42 287 39509 38099 66 263 65 262 49 269 42 276 40 276 38099 36759 56 266 59 263 46 268 37 272 32 276 36759 35427 42 268 48 264 38 268 31 272 27 278 35427 34069 28 273 37 263 31 272 23 271 21 287 34069 32690 23 273 26 258 27 272 17 275 15 296 32690 31274 25 270 25 260 24 272 17 273 14 292 31274 29806 26 271 25 264 24 276 16 269 14 278 29806 28287 21 279 20 261 22 277 16 266 13 269 28287 26720 17 288 14 260 17 276 15 262 10 276 26720 25107 12 291 11 259 13 277 14 268 7 297 25107 23452 4 275 7 249 10 280 10 276 4 327 23452 21750 5 112 2 180 3 305 5 292 3 062 21750 19994 10 090 6 094 4 086 2 020 4 086 19994 18214 12 075 7 089 4 089 4 017 3 074 18214 16504 10 061 4 086 2 037 6 359 4 046 16504 14948 5 028 2 056 2 337 6 347 6 022 14948 13559 6 360 2 025 2 334 5 351 7 003 13559 12318 7 008 3 040 2 326 4 016 7 005 12318 11205 7 013 4 055 1 312 3 027 6 013 11205 10205 7 016 4 054 1 327 2 007 4 347 10205 9307 7 029 5 047 3*030 2 312 4 271 9307 8503 9 039 6 040 7*042 2 357 4 237 8503 7783 10 039 9*034 8 046 4 040 1 217 7783 7129 10 033 10*033 9 048 7 051 5 055 7129 6544 11 022 10 033 9 050 9 058 10 053 6544 6052 13 010 11 034 10 052 10 061 11 048 6052 5671 14 351 10 036 10 053 11 063 11 045 5671 5407 13 335 10 036 10 054 10 066 10 049 5407 5246 9*330 9 036 10 054 9*066 8*048 5246 5154 2*313 8 037 9 055 6*067 5*044 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography