DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 82.0 - - 73.9 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 235 - - -19 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5516 - - 6295 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8766 - - 9220 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10365 - - 11144 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2232 - - 2747 - - 3755 - - 1473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 481 - - 62 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 178 - - 180 - - 201 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 833 - - 973 - - -827 - - -1194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9532 - - 10172 - - 5982 - - 6349 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -723 - - -299 - - -3674 - - -4738 ODpotential blCL - - - 11088 - - 11443 - - 8829 - - 9893 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 90 - - 94 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 610 - - 600 - - 1820 - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 82.0 - - 73.9 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 54.8 - - 64.5 - - 60.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 80.1 - - 74.8 - - 72.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 54.5 - - 63.4 - - 59.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 235 - - -19 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5516 - - 6295 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 59 - - 76 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 15 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98097 10 066 19 124 1 097 8 042 98097 90733 14 117 16 114 4 040 15 052 90733 85061 18 112 16 109 6 120 13 076 85061 80372 18 108 15 076 16 097 14 101 80372 76332 11 091 10 094 12 070 15 085 76332 72759 11 100 10 096 8 093 11 052 72759 69545 10 106 9 062 12 065 12 086 69545 66614 10 086 9 062 14 055 16 086 66614 63919 11 065 10 080 11 057 12 054 63919 61350 14 040 8 050 9 052 9 040 61350 58699 13 003 12 005 7 359 7 008 58699 55966 18 304 21 311 19 315 14 324 55966 53386 20 296 26 299 30 298 31 308 53386 51060 30 304 34 296 40 298 30 299 51060 48941 39 309 43 306 43 309 32 308 48941 46986 50 307 52 307 49 309 34 306 46986 45165 53 303 52 297 52 302 39 302 45165 43455 56 302 56 295 54 298 51 301 43455 41847 56 300 58 295 55 296 59 295 41847 40335 52 294 55 287 56 290 54 288 40335 38917 52 287 55 281 58 286 47 282 38917 37557 51 284 52 278 55 286 43 279 37557 36192 47 285 45 277 48 283 42 282 36192 34793 43 285 41 276 41 277 42 283 34793 33365 41 283 40 276 36 273 36 283 33365 31894 38 285 36 279 31 268 30 277 31894 30371 30 285 31 283 26 266 26 275 30371 28798 25 274 28 272 26 271 19 275 28798 27181 22 265 32 259 26 270 13 266 27181 25521 16 264 23 263 22 256 13 242 25521 23823 10 274 15 268 18 247 11 232 23823 22081 7 248 8 248 14 247 11 226 22081 20290 8 218 10 210 12 245 13 227 20290 18481 7 231 11 214 10 237 16 221 18481 16749 5 262 10 226 8 229 18 219 16749 15176 4 277 7 225 6 215 20 224 15176 13773 3 242 6 207 5 172 22 225 13773 12515 4 204 7 201 7 162 21 217 12515 11382 5*173 8*189 10 166 20 209 11382 10360 8*169 9*185 12 171 18 200 10360 9441 9 173 9 184 13 172 16 190 9441 8617 9 175 9 182 15 174 15 180 8617 7876 9 177 9 180 15 176 16 169 7876 7204 10 179 9 179 16 180 19 156 7204 6600 10 181 9 178 16 186 22 147 6600 6090 10 182 9 177 16 191 22 143 6090 5694 9 183 9 177 15 194 19 144 5694 5419 9 184 9 176 14 197 14 147 5419 5251 9 184 8 176 11*198 10*147 5251 5155 8 184 7 175 8*201 5*146 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography