DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 55.2 - - 55.4 - - 49.5 - - 43.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 336 - - 268 - - -24 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2261 - - 2641 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6260 - - 6474 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7110 - - 7490 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 81 - - 497 - - 858 - - 1952 - - 367 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 382 - - 373 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 28 - - 23 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 344 - - 053 - - 065 - - 069 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -23 - - -16 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7661 - - -5258 - - -3105 - - -4271 - - -2989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12815 - - 12369 - - 10595 - - 9425 - - 8142 sfcLCL ODpotential -18733 - - -14178 - - -11568 - - -13955 - - -14143 ODpotential blCL 23886 - - 21288 - - 19058 - - 19109 - - 19296 blCL maxRH 33 - - 38 - - 50 - - 43 - - 41 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 55.2 - - 55.4 - - 49.5 - - 43.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.7 - - 19.6 - - 27.2 - - 26.7 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 53.3 - - 53.7 - - 50.9 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.6 - - 19.6 - - 27.2 - - 26.7 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 336 - - 268 - - -24 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2261 - - 2641 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96354 29 239 34 285 29 278 34 285 38 279 96354 89177 10 002 18 288 14 296 19 285 18 296 89177 83675 13 007 8 282 12 296 15 280 13 317 83675 79118 11 334 8 279 11 286 12 298 13 345 79118 75175 9 347 9 303 9 295 13 356 12 354 75175 71674 11 017 6 298 11 286 16 351 9 350 71674 68514 17 354 9 301 14 291 14 312 12 345 68514 65631 21 321 17 311 17 292 19 283 16 289 65631 62983 27 286 23 316 20 295 24 283 21 283 62983 60435 32 279 27 304 28 306 31 289 28 305 60435 57774 37 285 36 279 39 306 39 287 41 295 57774 55010 46 287 44 271 47 293 49 288 49 283 55010 52372 53 282 49 271 52 282 54 285 52 281 52372 49981 56 277 49 273 55 274 56 281 53 284 49981 47817 50 273 46 275 53 269 51 280 49 279 47817 45851 43 273 41 276 42 266 43 274 42 268 45851 44063 40 274 34 278 27 270 32 263 32 268 44063 42421 40 275 28 280 21 279 21 261 25 277 42421 40891 38 278 28 278 20 285 14 280 17 287 40891 39455 32 283 26 272 19 292 12 317 11 304 39455 38107 23 287 15 257 12 282 8 332 9 312 38107 36813 14 289 4 208 4 264 6 359 7 271 36813 35509 6 012 3 020 6 008 10 011 2 287 35509 34170 13 044 9 341 13 356 14 011 5 053 34170 32796 14 042 12 331 11 357 15 005 10 042 32796 31376 9 015 10 338 10 016 14 001 13 038 31376 29900 4 307 9 005 12 027 15 003 10 043 29900 28373 6 355 11 009 10 029 16 006 7 034 28373 26797 12 019 11 006 6 015 11 004 7 354 26797 25176 13 019 11 357 6 339 7 332 7 329 25176 23511 11 011 11 350 7 322 7 306 8 317 23511 21798 10 000 9 344 8 328 7 306 9 319 21798 20031 10 350 6 330 9 341 6 329 9 331 20031 18242 11 344 4 328 10 339 7 358 7 351 18242 16522 11 328 5 319 10 339 10 005 7 017 16522 14952 11 320 9 323 12 350 14 008 10 034 14952 13549 15 316 12 337 13 341 15 008 12 037 13549 12293 18 302 11 330 9 308 12 004 9 038 12293 11169 12 300 6 300 10 243 8 339 3 009 11169 10162 10 337 4 239 9 209 7 291 6 305 10162 9261 17 002 3 012 8 110 4 237 8 289 9261 8459 23 011 16 053 19 077 6 136 8 266 8459 7745 25 017 26*058 23*068 11 098 6 225 7745 7099 26 019 29*056 24*066 14 080 5 166 7099 6523 27 016 29 054 24 065 15 072 6 105 6523 6039 25 011 29 053 24 065 15 071 9 079 6039 5663 21 359 28 053 24 065 15 071 9 073 5663 5403 16 346 27 053 23 065 13 071 8 073 5403 5244 12 341 25 053 21 065 10*071 5 061 5244 5153 5*344 20 052 17 065 7*069 3*049 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography