DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 65.5 - - 58.2 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 230 - - -18 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4827 - - 5656 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8147 - - 8703 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9676 - - 10505 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1396 - - 1859 - - 4785 - - 111 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 461 - - 458 - - 0 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 250 - - 225 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -6 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -738 - - -1441 - - -5508 - - -3256 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10415 - - 11947 - - 10662 - - 8411 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4343 - - -4498 - - -11258 - - -8676 ODpotential blCL - - - 14019 - - 15003 - - 16412 - - 13830 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 66 - - 60 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.1 - - 65.5 - - 58.2 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 30.8 - - 29.6 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 63.8 - - 61.0 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.2 - - 30.8 - - 29.7 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 275 - - 230 - - -18 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4827 - - 5656 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96462 20 256 3 265 11 225 11 245 96462 89358 6 216 8 220 14 217 17 277 89358 83866 5 139 11 219 13 245 19 273 83866 79283 7 272 14 232 11 263 12 297 79283 75330 5 340 7 256 7 278 11 334 75330 71826 19 266 9 015 5 025 0 309 71826 68649 24 254 22 292 18 303 9 287 68649 65732 16 274 25 266 22 294 12 305 65732 63016 14 308 19 269 39 261 33 284 63016 60391 32 267 34 270 38 265 52 248 60391 57674 42 258 46 271 37 238 44 239 57674 54837 53 257 50 248 52 246 43 266 54837 52111 65 244 63 243 68 257 75 267 52111 49676 67 241 65 245 79 257 88 254 49676 47513 70 248 73 250 86 254 86 244 47513 45558 81 251 85 248 86 250 80 244 45558 43770 93 248 94 244 83 250 76 251 43770 42127 99 248 95 243 82 253 84 256 42127 40606 102 253 93 248 86 254 95 254 40606 39181 107 256 94 254 91 252 99 250 39181 37837 109 256 100 258 93 251 96 248 37837 36542 109 256 107 259 93 252 94 250 36542 35234 108 256 110 258 93 252 94 254 35234 33889 105 256 106 253 93 252 94 258 33889 32511 101 256 100 250 91 251 93 259 32511 31088 99 257 95 252 84 252 90 258 31088 29612 95 258 91 259 79 254 85 253 29612 28086 85 256 88 260 77 255 82 252 28086 26511 76 250 83 254 77 254 79 258 26511 24896 73 246 75 249 75 253 73 259 24896 23245 72 246 70 247 71 252 68 255 23245 21554 69 248 66 250 66 251 65 254 21554 19816 61 248 61 253 63 252 60 254 19816 18063 53 246 53 251 60 254 56 255 18063 16386 47 244 46 251 57 257 52 258 16386 14863 44 247 41 255 51 260 48 258 14863 13504 40 251 38 259 43 258 43 255 13504 12286 37 257 34 260 34 251 37 250 12286 11190 33 263 24*256 26 240 32 249 11190 10200 24*262 18*251 23 234 29 253 10200 9308 18*255 17 250 21 232 26 254 9308 8509 17 252 17 250 20 232 22 253 8509 7791 14 245 16 250 20 234 19 251 7791 7139 13 244 16 250 19 234 17 247 7139 6553 13 242 16 250 18 235 15 240 6553 6058 12 241 15 250 17 235 14 232 6058 5674 11 240 15 250 15 234 13 225 5674 5408 11 239 14 250 12 232 10 221 5408 5247 10 239 13 250 9*229 5*231 5247 5154 9 239 12 250 5*225 3*245 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography