DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 88.1 - - 87.9 - - 80.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 303 - - 101 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5044 - - 8507 - - 7600 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8310 - - 11104 - - 9615 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9893 - - 13356 - - 12449 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4120 - - 3599 - - 4295 - - 5592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 466 - - 577 - - 385 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 208 - - 217 - - 215 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - 18 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1701 - - 700 - - -534 - - -5497 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11595 - - 12656 - - 12984 - - 10653 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4052 - - -323 - - -2052 - - -8336 ODpotential blCL - - - 13945 - - 13679 - - 14501 - - 13492 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 88 - - 88 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 270 - - 730 - - 590 - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.9 - - 88.1 - - 87.9 - - 80.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 50.0 - - 48.5 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.9 - - 85.7 - - 86.7 - - 81.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.7 - - 49.8 - - 48.3 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 256 - - 303 - - 101 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5044 - - 8507 - - 7600 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 43 - - 50 - - 51 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98981 30 094 36 099 34 091 36 085 98981 91514 39 091 35 108 28 098 36 086 91514 85734 41 094 37 109 29 097 39 082 85734 80927 34 102 37 088 30 099 32 087 80927 76815 26 105 29 074 29 087 28 096 76815 73222 21 100 22 075 24 075 25 092 73222 69990 21 098 19 090 16 081 21 092 69990 67017 14 104 15 103 10 101 12 074 67017 64254 8 122 7 103 12 098 8 065 64254 61590 10 110 1 041 11 077 8 077 61590 58845 11 090 2 175 3 017 8 062 58845 56025 8 074 7 136 5 229 2 225 56025 53346 4 075 4 135 5 220 8 252 53346 50928 7 117 5 205 6 224 7 255 50928 48749 10 083 6 148 7 194 4 232 48749 46770 4 051 8 091 9 127 9 174 46770 44961 5 224 3 045 7 095 9 141 44961 43286 10 184 4 185 3 027 5 118 43286 41718 14 170 9 182 2 308 3 254 41718 40243 16 158 10 195 4 251 9 278 40243 38854 16 144 11 186 4 229 9 287 38854 37520 11 134 11 165 5 170 7 274 37520 36177 4 170 9 148 6 133 5 209 36177 34796 4 138 5 121 4 123 6 181 34796 33382 4 119 4 079 4 197 5 200 33382 31924 1 148 2 115 5 195 5 219 31924 30414 2 213 4 157 7 187 6 231 30414 28853 4 226 7 184 7 192 6 227 28853 27244 6 225 8 191 7 197 5 218 27244 25589 9 222 9 194 5 194 4 196 25589 23896 14 231 10 247 3 181 3 168 23896 22160 16 243 9 259 5 155 5 157 22160 20373 13 249 7 247 8 179 7 180 20373 18569 11 249 7 238 6 186 9 187 18569 16840 11 246 8 227 4 206 7 192 16840 15266 10 243 9 220 7 221 5 215 15266 13859 9 236 9*218 10 221 6 232 13859 12595 9 227 9*217 11*218 7 231 12595 11454 10 223 10 217 11*218 8 222 11454 10424 10*220 10 217 12 218 10 210 10424 9495 10*211 11 216 12 217 12 203 9495 8662 10 207 11 217 12 215 13 199 8662 7913 10 206 12 217 12 214 14 196 7913 7232 9 206 12 216 12 214 15 193 7232 6620 9 208 12 217 12 212 16 192 6620 6103 9 210 12 217 12 212 16 190 6103 5702 8 212 12 216 12 212 15 189 5702 5423 8 213 12 216 11 212 13 187 5423 5253 8 214 11 217 11 211 10*186 5253 5156 7 214 10 216 10 211 5*185 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography