DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 61.7 - - 60.5 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 369 - - 33 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2426 - - 4517 - - 3708 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6415 - - 8020 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7275 - - 9366 - - 8557 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 873 - - 997 - - 1641 - - 706 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 496 - - 208 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 23 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 167 - - 171 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 8 - - 12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7096 - - -5989 - - -6307 - - -6187 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14371 - - 15356 - - 14864 - - 11340 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15157 - - -12311 - - -12926 - - -16497 ODpotential blCL - - - 22432 - - 21677 - - 21483 - - 21650 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 61 - - 49 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 61.7 - - 60.5 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.5 - - 12.6 - - 13.7 - - 15.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 59.3 - - 59.9 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.5 - - 12.6 - - 13.7 - - 15.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 377 - - 369 - - 33 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2426 - - 4517 - - 3708 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96582 10 297 5 305 11 311 13 333 96582 89352 6 305 1 084 5 292 9 347 89352 83810 8 206 9 242 11 288 12 346 83810 79228 2 305 4 227 9 260 7 318 79228 75272 11 308 8 309 15 284 14 340 75272 71771 6 300 9 297 20 290 21 309 71771 68623 16 344 13 338 18 313 19 309 68623 65746 27 317 26 326 23 329 22 320 65746 63083 33 313 34 318 31 320 29 317 63083 60509 40 305 38 305 41 312 39 317 60509 57828 43 295 45 302 46 302 40 309 57828 55046 45 299 47 301 47 312 44 326 55046 52396 51 301 54 311 57 314 52 314 52396 50015 59 302 61 306 58 304 51 302 50015 47863 56 299 53 308 51 304 45 292 47863 45883 49 302 51 319 49 319 44 316 45883 44060 46 306 49 323 50 332 55 332 44060 42384 46 309 51 328 58 339 59 340 42384 40841 44 312 56 329 60 342 58 347 40841 39408 43 310 55 325 55 341 53 345 39408 38064 40 306 45 326 50 333 41 343 38064 36773 37 311 37 332 47 330 36 355 36773 35473 36 325 35 338 47 333 40 001 35473 34134 39 334 37 346 46 334 43 001 34134 32760 38 339 34 347 42 336 44 002 32760 31339 31 347 35 344 37 341 43 001 31339 29864 29 340 34 345 28 349 41 358 29864 28336 29 331 25 339 23 347 32 343 28336 26754 30 318 22 328 24 337 27 333 26754 25125 30 308 25 316 23 330 26 337 25125 23455 27 307 27 310 22 321 22 335 23455 21741 24 316 24 313 23 318 18 330 21741 19978 20 328 19 321 23 317 17 329 19978 18196 16 327 15 319 20 314 17 325 18196 16484 14 313 15 309 19 316 17 324 16484 14924 13 296 17 301 19 320 15 329 14924 13531 13 284 19 292 20 320 13 333 13531 12284 11 273 16 282 20 313 14 331 12284 11165 8 257 10 271 14 303 16 318 11165 10161 5 255 3*239 4 304 14 293 10161 9262 3 260 3*172 1*186 12 276 9262 8463 3 226 3 166 3*168 9 270 8463 7748 5*195 4 164 5 171 8 262 7748 7101 8*191 4 164 6 171 10 238 7101 6524 9 192 4 166 7 172 12 208 6524 6038 9 193 4 167 7 172 16 176 6038 5662 9 194 4 168 7 172 17 164 5662 5403 8 195 4 169 7 173 14 166 5403 5244 8 196 4 169 7 173 9 172 5244 5153 7 196 4 168 6 172 4*185 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography