DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 88.0 - - 86.1 - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 402 - - 60 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5641 - - 8319 - - 8143 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8946 - - 11096 - - 9458 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10490 - - 13168 - - 12992 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1777 - - 1964 - - 2570 - - 1940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 552 - - 627 - - 332 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 21 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 154 - - 139 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 16 - - 37 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 238 - - 120 - - 227 - - -2404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10252 - - 13048 - - 12766 - - 7560 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1541 - - -1464 - - -980 - - -5827 ODpotential blCL - - - 12031 - - 14632 - - 13972 - - 10983 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 69 - - 84 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 1150 - - 590 - - 430 - - 1630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 88.0 - - 86.1 - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 48.3 - - 47.8 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 85.1 - - 85.2 - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 48.1 - - 47.7 - - 59.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 402 - - 60 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5641 - - 8319 - - 8143 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98507 27 105 24 110 14 095 20 060 98507 91115 29 087 20 084 22 087 23 074 91115 85426 28 098 23 073 26 071 24 079 85426 80717 23 111 26 088 26 074 27 079 80717 76669 22 107 26 094 23 078 27 075 76669 73099 25 091 23 094 21 081 23 081 73099 69872 23 077 20 087 19 077 17 082 69872 66908 19 084 16 083 16 079 16 077 66908 64171 16 077 13 087 12 076 12 071 64171 61530 13 064 8 072 8 044 12 065 61530 58792 12 067 6 072 4 035 10 031 58792 55976 13 062 4 107 3 121 4 001 55976 53312 11 012 3 024 3 002 6 334 53312 50929 13 002 7 351 8 351 8 339 50929 48798 19 004 12 010 13 008 10 002 48798 46853 26 342 18 012 18 012 14 014 46853 45049 28 323 22 353 22 356 18 354 45049 43366 14 323 20 323 19 320 21 324 43366 41794 19 029 14 309 16 296 19 296 41794 40319 23 025 10 335 7 319 13 294 40319 38929 22 021 11 358 8 331 9 305 38929 37591 21 025 13 353 8 336 6 326 37591 36242 17 026 11 340 7 013 3 020 36242 34857 14 358 9 327 3 351 5 109 34857 33443 14 001 4 270 6 234 9 210 33443 31989 9 342 4 269 8 216 10 221 31989 30481 5 334 5 269 6 214 9 227 30481 28921 0 326 7 201 8 223 13 216 28921 27310 6 187 11 183 11 200 14 201 27310 25655 13 197 14 199 12 207 10 193 25655 23958 19 200 16 212 14 230 7 204 23958 22214 19 193 16 216 15 236 7 219 22214 20419 16 183 16 219 12 229 8 216 20419 18604 13 174 15 209 12 224 8 208 18604 16860 9 166 14 195 11 219 10 219 16860 15271 6 161 10 186 5 214 8 238 15271 13852 5 144 6*165 3*194 7 294 13852 12579 6 121 5*157 3*176 8 318 12579 11434 6*117 5 154 4 158 6 316 11434 10401 4*129 5 153 6 146 3 295 10401 9471 4 133 5 153 7 141 3 227 9471 8639 3 173 5 152 8 138 7 190 8639 7892 3 189 5 153 8 135 10 174 7892 7214 4 194 5 154 9 133 15 157 7214 6606 4 199 5 154 9 132 22 143 6606 6094 4 202 5 154 9 132 24 140 6094 5696 4 203 5 155 9 131 23 139 5696 5421 4 203 5 156 9 131 19 138 5421 5252 4 204 5 155 9 131 17*138 5252 5156 4 206 5 156 8 131 10*137 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography