DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.8 - - 76.3 - - 75.9 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 53 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5552 - - 1544 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8799 - - 5139 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10401 - - 6393 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4001 - - 6197 - - 7382 - - 435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 516 - - 203 - - 52 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 062 - - 046 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - -6 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 217 - - -1105 - - -1694 - - -738 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10185 - - 7499 - - 6850 - - 5894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1465 - - -3377 - - -4411 - - -5159 ODpotential blCL - - - 11866 - - 9770 - - 9567 - - 10314 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 93 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 880 - - 1710 - - 2250 - - 1000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.8 - - 76.3 - - 75.9 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.6 - - 60.6 - - 62.9 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.3 - - 75.5 - - 76.2 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 59.3 - - 61.7 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 53 - - -7 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5552 - - 1544 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 99 - - 72 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98168 10 071 8 142 10 276 12 346 98168 90790 16 049 10 103 4 134 9 040 90790 85133 12 051 12 071 13 086 15 075 85133 80470 13 069 14 062 19 063 22 077 80470 76450 15 087 12 071 15 062 23 074 76450 72893 17 087 12 070 14 076 15 064 72893 69675 16 078 14 064 17 072 12 081 69675 66724 13 058 14 057 17 062 16 078 66724 64001 7 069 8 034 12 038 16 057 64001 61381 8 065 1 020 8 356 13 017 61381 58679 7 010 6 032 8 025 8 030 58679 55904 10 307 13 314 18 318 15 324 55904 53275 9 285 17 279 23 289 21 296 53275 50908 16 303 20 281 26 285 27 298 50908 48769 18 284 23 266 26 280 34 292 48769 46812 17 281 20 273 34 289 38 282 46812 45004 28 302 31 289 38 282 39 278 45004 43312 31 303 37 282 35 273 39 273 43312 41719 28 299 33 277 30 281 38 283 41719 40218 28 301 29 282 36 301 44 302 40218 38811 34 300 35 306 43 312 50 313 38811 37468 35 298 41 319 48 318 54 317 37468 36121 31 290 39 327 49 325 46 322 36121 34741 29 288 30 319 41 328 32 326 34741 33330 26 281 27 316 30 319 25 304 33330 31873 24 278 33 335 27 307 27 287 31873 30361 22 280 25 333 27 299 27 286 30361 28798 22 278 17 306 24 300 23 291 28798 27185 18 269 17 293 18 316 16 310 27185 25524 13 279 15 293 14 318 10 319 25524 23825 12 280 16 299 12 307 7 298 23825 22082 15 272 14 303 11 315 11 308 22082 20292 12 262 14 279 7 313 9 312 20292 18489 8 224 14 273 6 299 6 277 18489 16761 7 191 13 254 8 299 8 308 16761 15193 5 176 10 251 8 296 10 328 15193 13792 2 169 7 256 8 311 11 334 13792 12534 0 146 3 278 7 322 11 336 12534 11399 2*292 2 348 6 331 10 339 11399 10374 3*315 3 010 6 341 8 342 10374 9451 4 332 3 020 5 354 5 350 9451 8623 4 336 4 028 4 018 3 038 8623 7881 4 336 4 038 5 043 6 084 7881 7206 4 330 4 044 7 060 8 103 7206 6601 3 318 4*050 9 063 9 133 6601 6090 3 310 4*058 8 056 11 148 6090 5693 3 304 4 062 6 046 16 151 5693 5418 2 298 4 063 5 045 13 155 5418 5251 2 296 4 063 4*046 9 158 5251 5155 2 295 3 061 4*046 4*167 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography