DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 63.2 - - 54.7 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 225 - - -29 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1886 - - 4450 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5927 - - 7769 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6735 - - 9299 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1522 - - 1589 - - 2848 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 336 - - 420 - - 4 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 17 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 253 - - 233 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -9 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4038 - - -2950 - - -5329 - - -3209 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10773 - - 12249 - - 10483 - - 8364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8473 - - -7745 - - -12493 - - -11909 ODpotential blCL - - - 15208 - - 17044 - - 17647 - - 17063 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 41 - - 38 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.3 - - 63.2 - - 54.7 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.2 - - 27.3 - - 27.1 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 61.5 - - 57.4 - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 27.2 - - 27.1 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 225 - - -29 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1886 - - 4450 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96403 3 105 8 146 4 238 9 285 96403 89248 3 167 8 126 6 206 6 316 89248 83732 7 097 6 113 3 263 3 251 83732 79143 6 336 4 102 5 286 7 302 79143 75175 7 289 7 017 3 202 4 222 75175 71664 8 260 9 303 3 305 4 302 71664 68498 10 305 12 273 13 271 11 303 68498 65607 24 275 25 266 18 281 21 290 65607 62930 31 255 33 262 30 266 30 268 62930 60330 36 255 40 256 36 260 39 251 60330 57613 53 272 49 262 41 268 38 263 57613 54771 69 265 66 264 61 271 60 266 54771 52060 75 251 77 255 73 257 79 251 52060 49643 67 255 74 253 75 248 80 246 49643 47486 67 267 70 261 68 253 73 251 47486 45536 69 268 72 266 69 263 75 254 45536 43766 73 266 74 263 75 264 78 254 43766 42139 76 267 75 259 79 260 82 254 42139 40618 76 268 74 258 80 259 88 254 40618 39183 75 267 72 260 81 261 92 254 39183 37827 75 265 70 261 83 262 95 254 37827 36522 76 263 69 263 81 264 96 254 36522 35205 73 262 68 264 76 265 95 258 35205 33853 68 263 65 267 70 266 91 264 33853 32474 62 266 60 269 64 267 86 270 32474 31055 51 270 56 269 59 268 80 273 31055 29588 38 271 50 267 56 269 71 276 29588 28074 29 278 43 266 53 269 62 276 28074 26512 24 286 38 267 49 268 56 272 26512 24907 24 282 35 269 45 270 53 269 24907 23261 27 276 34 270 40 275 51 271 23261 21568 22 270 35 270 35 279 46 275 21568 19823 20 268 35 272 33 281 39 274 19823 18060 24 265 35 271 34 279 33 271 18060 16371 28 261 33 268 36 275 32 269 16371 14839 27 261 30 266 37 272 34 270 14839 13474 26 265 28 266 37 271 38 270 13474 12252 25 272 27 267 36 272 42 267 12252 11154 27 276 26 270 35 272 42 266 11154 10165 28 276 22*267 30 268 39 266 10165 9276 27 272 19*259 25 261 34 264 9276 8481 25 266 18 255 22 257 29 260 8481 7767 22 263 18 253 21 255 24 257 7767 7120 18*258 17 252 20 254 21 256 7120 6540 15*250 17 251 19 252 18 253 6540 6049 12 241 17 250 18 250 16 246 6049 5669 12 240 16 250 16 247 15 233 5669 5406 11 239 16 250 14 242 13 222 5406 5245 10 238 15 250 11*238 10*214 5245 5154 9 238 13 249 6*233 6*206 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography