DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.7 - - 85.3 - - 88.8 - - 86.7 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 193 - - 539 - - 542 - - 205 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1767 - - 6793 - - 8733 - - 7866 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5729 - - 9985 - - 11574 - - 10356 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 6616 - - 11642 - - 13582 - - 12715 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3330 - - 1726 - - 1962 - - 2584 - - 5911 Hgt.Variab. W* 293 - - 646 - - 704 - - 492 - - 17 W* B/S 11 - - 27 - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 097 - - 084 - - 088 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - 8 - - -7 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1815 - - 159 - - -64 - - 525 - - -3776 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8431 - - 11484 - - 13647 - - 12190 - - 8932 sfcLCL ODpotential -4966 - - -3379 - - -2234 - - -788 - - -6084 ODpotential blCL 11582 - - 15021 - - 15816 - - 13503 - - 11239 blCL maxRH 63 - - 59 - - 54 - - 69 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 810 - - 680 - - 190 - - 530 - - 840 CAPE Temp@2m 76.7 - - 85.3 - - 88.8 - - 86.7 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.2 - - 52.4 - - 46.3 - - 50.8 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.1 - - 81.9 - - 85.4 - - 84.9 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 52.2 - - 46.2 - - 50.7 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 193 - - 539 - - 542 - - 205 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1767 - - 6793 - - 8733 - - 7866 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98864 45 088 43 101 34 094 28 111 35 073 98864 91410 33 093 36 087 39 095 41 089 37 102 91410 85666 31 092 30 080 36 088 42 081 40 094 85666 80911 32 102 31 096 28 083 32 086 35 076 80911 76830 30 097 35 106 28 097 26 092 30 082 76830 73229 28 087 35 110 32 111 24 097 25 091 73229 69977 23 082 26 105 31 112 24 104 24 089 69977 67011 15 083 16 095 24 105 25 101 26 091 67011 64303 10 091 14 109 16 094 22 096 24 083 64303 61703 20 107 19 112 13 085 22 081 22 068 61703 58991 31 107 27 105 17 097 21 082 21 096 58991 56193 34 090 36 093 30 104 30 088 30 101 56193 53539 37 079 40 085 36 095 35 084 37 088 53539 51143 37 076 41 083 37 092 37 095 39 090 51143 48983 35 073 42 082 41 092 40 101 41 094 48983 47009 33 072 43 079 41 087 42 093 42 090 47009 45191 34 074 40 075 40 080 42 085 32 093 45191 43504 35 072 36 075 37 076 32 085 17 105 43504 41923 34 067 31 077 29 082 19 101 13 141 41923 40435 32 066 28 083 22 095 11 118 12 167 40435 39033 30 075 27 095 12 104 3 205 14 191 39033 37686 26 083 18 105 8 212 15 233 15 198 37686 36328 20 091 12 149 17 219 17 227 16 204 36328 34934 19 090 16 155 19 213 16 224 18 214 34934 33507 22 087 16 142 15 209 15 219 17 221 33507 32035 23 076 15 127 11 215 12 227 14 221 32035 30512 18 067 16 109 7 178 6 226 9 233 30512 28942 17 067 14 103 10 125 5 145 3 214 28942 27325 16 082 8 100 10 111 7 102 5 091 27325 25665 16 087 4 067 7 069 8 087 10 067 25665 23964 16 089 5 043 7 052 10 079 11 059 23964 22219 16 095 8 063 7 061 13 068 13 034 22219 20421 17 093 10 078 8 068 13 044 18 035 20421 18602 21 074 14 069 11 063 14 029 20 047 18602 16857 24 060 21 056 17 056 13 028 21 053 16857 15269 23 058 23 052 12 045 8 022 21 050 15269 13850 19 064 17 056 4*050 6*054 15 037 13850 12578 16 073 9*065 5*065 7*069 9 024 12578 11434 13 079 4*084 5 073 7 072 9 041 11434 10402 10 068 4 092 6 080 11 087 12 066 10402 9474 8 053 4 097 8 085 12 088 14 083 9474 8643 5 028 4 099 9 086 13 090 17 098 8643 7897 3 296 4 101 10 087 14 091 20 105 7897 7219 6*239 5 100 11 087 14 091 22 110 7219 6611 6*226 5 100 12 087 15 091 22 111 6611 6097 5 222 5 099 12 087 15 091 22 111 6097 5699 5 222 6 099 12 086 15 092 20 111 5699 5422 4 222 6 098 12 086 14 091 18 109 5422 5253 4 222 5 098 12 086 14 091 15 109 5253 5155 4 222 5 098 11 086 12 091 11*108 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography