DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.1 - - 86.7 - - 85.4 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 558 - - 530 - - 201 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6892 - - 9005 - - 8003 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10078 - - 11788 - - 10452 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11741 - - 13854 - - 12852 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1686 - - 1572 - - 2962 - - 5218 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 656 - - 706 - - 492 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 19 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 111 - - 106 - - 123 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -237 - - 830 - - 331 - - -3721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11979 - - 13024 - - 12522 - - 8876 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2931 - - -1312 - - -885 - - -6320 ODpotential blCL - - - 14672 - - 15166 - - 13737 - - 11475 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 65 - - 71 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 210 - - 350 - - 880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.1 - - 86.7 - - 85.4 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.1 - - 47.0 - - 48.0 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.4 - - 83.3 - - 83.6 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 46.9 - - 47.9 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 558 - - 530 - - 201 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6892 - - 9005 - - 8003 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99096 57 096 41 113 32 105 28 099 99096 91498 35 090 42 107 33 100 36 089 91498 85658 13 086 41 085 38 091 42 090 85658 80864 19 126 29 093 34 093 34 096 80864 76767 35 112 20 116 27 085 26 088 76767 73179 39 091 23 118 24 093 22 089 73179 69947 27 077 25 095 27 089 27 099 69947 66987 14 094 24 082 27 086 31 086 66987 64272 14 119 17 088 21 078 26 069 64272 61668 21 106 16 105 13 082 19 055 61668 58967 28 095 21 079 20 072 18 057 58967 56174 34 070 29 070 26 065 21 061 56174 53522 41 061 37 062 32 060 29 055 53522 51146 48 056 44 062 37 061 35 052 51146 49000 53 047 46 053 40 057 41 048 49000 47026 53 044 47 049 42 052 46 049 47026 45191 55 046 51 048 47 046 47 049 45191 43474 57 041 55 046 48 044 45 047 43474 41859 57 039 58 044 46 046 44 047 41859 40337 49 032 55 037 45 045 47 046 40337 38904 36 024 41 029 44 045 47 049 38904 37533 28 031 27 023 38 035 42 050 37533 36167 17 051 15 028 20 031 28 046 36167 34780 23 061 16 051 16 037 17 051 34780 33370 25 050 21 042 21 031 18 044 33370 31919 24 038 23 035 23 027 20 037 31919 30413 22 035 23 037 23 036 21 041 30413 28856 19 039 21 030 23 040 21 044 28856 27251 18 045 19 020 23 027 22 043 27251 25600 18 055 17 027 22 025 22 047 25600 23909 20 064 16 056 17 048 17 047 23909 22169 21 072 17 074 16 067 14 049 22169 20375 22 068 19 066 17 062 15 049 20375 18561 22 071 19 059 19 051 17 054 18561 16821 16 075 14 056 14 037 17 059 16821 15237 12 066 9*048 6 034 14 033 15237 13824 10 060 5*073 4*067 11 005 13824 12559 7*093 4 090 4*091 6 358 12559 11420 7*107 5 099 5 101 1 334 11420 10393 7 109 6 108 8 122 4 183 10393 9467 7 112 7 110 9 125 7 173 9467 8638 7 113 8 111 10 126 11 161 8638 7893 7 112 8 111 10 127 16 151 7893 7216 7 112 9 112 11 127 19 145 7216 6609 7 112 9 112 11 127 21 140 6609 6096 7 112 9 112 11 127 21 138 6096 5698 7 111 9 112 11 127 19 136 5698 5422 7 111 9 112 11 128 16 135 5422 5252 7 110 9 112 11 127 13 135 5252 5155 6 111 9 112 10 127 9*134 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography