DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.0 - - 74.8 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 87 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5471 - - 2066 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8874 - - 5683 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10320 - - 6915 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2041 - - 3109 - - - - - 2069 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 578 - - 259 - - - - - 71 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 065 - - 064 - - - - - 053 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1042 - - 1515 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9279 - - 5401 - - - - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1083 - - -659 - - - - - -380 ODpotential blCL - - - 11403 - - 7574 - - - - - 5535 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 96 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 1490 - - 3110 - - - - - 1630 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.0 - - 74.8 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.5 - - 67.8 - - - - - 65.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 73.8 - - - - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 66.5 - - - - - 65.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 87 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5471 - - 2066 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 84 - - - - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 16 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98513 22 113 21 109 19 089 98513 91079 23 100 26 101 22 085 91079 85380 26 103 26 100 21 085 85380 80644 28 109 23 098 23 083 80644 76550 23 099 19 095 18 083 76550 72942 15 094 13 081 15 079 72942 69705 9 097 8 087 18 071 69705 66754 8 134 7 126 16 044 66754 64042 11 107 11 111 8 035 64042 61442 8 059 7 088 5 061 61442 58751 1 176 6 139 3 180 58751 55983 9 282 3 237 6 263 55983 53368 19 275 12 263 15 263 53368 51018 25 267 23 254 23 253 51018 48898 31 263 30 258 25 247 48898 46958 35 261 30 254 24 248 46958 45164 37 257 32 250 29 253 45164 43491 38 248 34 248 34 249 43491 41920 36 230 34 248 35 245 41920 40438 28 230 33 247 32 241 40438 39038 24 233 30 246 30 240 39038 37690 18 240 25 241 30 243 37690 36330 18 258 18 247 28 245 36330 34931 21 274 15 272 20 246 34931 33499 17 272 15 269 14 250 33499 32023 13 267 12 265 13 253 32023 30492 17 253 10 274 10 262 30492 28911 23 222 15 253 9 291 28911 27284 21 218 16 256 11 308 27284 25613 17 229 16 262 7 319 25613 23903 13 267 14 275 7 310 23903 22149 12 284 12 292 10 304 22149 20345 9 294 11 301 13 311 20345 18524 4 334 9 310 15 318 18524 16781 6 006 11 327 18 321 16781 15198 7 024 11 337 17 324 15198 13785 7 032 8 355 14 326 13785 12516 7 040 6 041 11 319 12516 11373 8 050 7 069 5 299 11373 10345 12*060 9 075 3 124 10345 9421 13*063 11 077 12 111 9421 8596 14 064 13 076 17 095 8596 7858 15 064 14 073 20 076 7858 7188 15 065 15*069 22 063 7188 6588 16 065 15*066 22 059 6588 6082 16 066 15 065 21 056 6082 5689 16 066 14 064 20 054 5689 5417 15 067 14 064 18 053 5417 5251 15 066 13 063 16*053 5251 5155 13 066 11 063 12*053 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography