DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 80.2 - - 73.5 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 103 - - 47 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8032 - - 2322 - - 1273 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10901 - - 5995 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12881 - - 7171 - - 6122 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3713 - - 9209 - - 1828 - - 2783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 636 - - 291 - - 177 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 135 - - 102 - - 098 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 8 - - -9 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1005 - - -1813 - - 103 - - -2323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11877 - - 8985 - - 6019 - - 7479 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -369 - - -4097 - - -2890 - - -5976 ODpotential blCL - - - 13250 - - 11268 - - 9012 - - 11131 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 100 - - 80 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 1300 - - 2630 - - 3490 - - 1410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.2 - - 80.2 - - 73.5 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 58.1 - - 64.0 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.2 - - 79.0 - - 73.0 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 56.8 - - 63.3 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 433 - - 103 - - 47 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8032 - - 2322 - - 1273 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 99 - - 19 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 11 - - 15 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98432 14 114 7 128 2 246 13 062 98432 90893 4 090 9 062 7 086 7 034 90893 85113 5 077 8 083 9 088 7 054 85113 80347 9 043 12 088 14 073 13 089 80347 76262 11 054 12 074 17 064 17 087 76262 72691 10 067 12 068 16 061 18 081 72691 69500 13 083 10 083 10 058 15 064 69500 66593 15 098 9 109 7 055 12 040 66593 63915 15 128 5 144 4 058 4 065 63915 61327 11 114 8 177 2 175 9 125 61327 58610 9 224 9 234 9 235 4 215 58610 55770 15 242 15 253 15 257 10 278 55770 53041 23 243 23 252 24 262 24 274 53041 50585 25 256 28 260 30 270 32 270 50585 48387 30 272 32 271 38 279 39 277 48387 46402 38 282 38 279 43 280 48 278 46402 44592 47 279 45 280 46 282 52 279 44592 42924 48 269 54 277 48 285 48 280 42924 41370 38 257 47 265 45 277 41 274 41370 39915 38 247 36 246 33 251 36 259 39915 38550 39 244 38 244 34 250 35 241 38550 37238 35 243 40 250 36 257 36 241 37238 35916 28 235 37 253 36 261 37 251 35916 34555 22 227 26 249 33 263 35 262 34555 33159 21 233 22 236 25 261 33 267 33159 31718 19 241 24 228 18 253 27 266 31718 30222 18 242 22 229 15 236 20 258 30222 28676 16 235 19 231 16 223 18 246 28676 27080 16 226 18 230 18 224 20 239 27080 25438 15 213 13 228 14 228 20 233 25438 23754 11 186 10 233 13 238 15 250 23754 22028 8 209 9 233 14 243 16 275 22028 20253 12 260 6 239 14 249 17 283 20253 18459 8 238 5 249 16 260 18 280 18459 16740 1 153 6 251 17 263 14 284 16740 15175 5 122 7 249 15 260 7 289 15175 13773 5*123 5 241 10 261 2 329 13773 12512 4*131 3 204 5 271 4 034 12512 11376 4 132 4 152 4 065 9 061 11376 10352 4 134 5 131 10 082 15 075 10352 9431 4 133 7 118 14 089 15 087 9431 8606 4 134 8 112 17 097 17 110 8606 7867 4 136 8 109 20 102 25 123 7867 7195 4 137 9*107 21 103 31 127 7195 6595 4 139 9*105 20*102 32 127 6595 6086 3 140 9 103 18*100 29 127 6086 5692 3 142 8 102 16 098 25 126 5692 5418 3 141 8 100 15 097 19 123 5418 5251 3 141 8 101 13 096 16*122 5251 5155 3 140 7 099 11 096 9*120 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography