DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 79.0 - - - - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 263 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3756 - - 5344 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7404 - - 8528 - - - - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8605 - - 10193 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2316 - - 1667 - - - - - 640 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 456 - - 470 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 160 - - - - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3029 - - -2732 - - - - - -887 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11634 - - 12925 - - - - - 6042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7542 - - -6619 - - - - - -7410 ODpotential blCL - - - 16147 - - 16812 - - - - - 12565 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 87 - - - - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 79.0 - - - - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.5 - - 40.1 - - - - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 76.9 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.2 - - 39.8 - - - - - 52.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 263 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3756 - - 5344 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 46 - - - - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97493 14 241 30 248 23 273 97493 90168 13 260 18 233 13 270 90168 84562 14 281 10 275 10 253 84562 79945 15 285 14 322 6 238 79945 75979 7 274 9 305 2 068 75979 72471 4 274 1 264 2 254 72471 69292 4 111 6 089 4 177 69292 66371 9 132 9 126 4 177 66371 63678 11 168 11 153 6 190 63678 61094 12 191 9 185 7 185 61094 58423 16 206 13 215 10 229 58423 55665 22 217 21 225 17 239 55665 53035 26 231 26 238 27 239 53035 50665 31 232 32 240 34 230 50665 48522 31 230 32 236 29 226 48522 46557 28 244 31 246 29 254 46557 44749 35 248 37 248 34 258 44749 43079 39 243 40 242 36 251 43079 41529 31 234 33 236 36 235 41529 40075 25 231 26 227 33 225 40075 38704 23 237 23 228 28 226 38704 37382 20 236 19 221 24 223 37382 36048 18 233 22 214 22 220 36048 34673 17 232 21 211 22 220 34673 33264 19 229 21 218 24 222 33264 31811 17 239 20 221 27 219 31811 30304 19 237 23 224 30 215 30304 28747 27 231 30 231 32 213 28747 27138 31 227 33 229 35 216 27138 25484 26 222 31 224 35 219 25484 23789 18 213 26 220 32 218 23789 22047 13 202 22 213 26 214 22047 20256 11 215 17 210 20 210 20256 18450 12 221 12 220 14 203 18450 16719 11 215 9 234 11 191 16719 15143 11 196 10 229 9 189 15143 13736 11 175 10 206 8 197 13736 12473 12 162 10 179 9 202 12473 11337 12 154 10 161 11 199 11337 10314 12 150 10*158 13 198 10314 9396 12*157 10*158 14 201 9396 8574 12*164 11 158 14 203 8574 7839 11 168 11 159 15 198 7839 7172 11 170 12 160 17 190 7172 6574 11 172 12 161 19 177 6574 6070 11 174 12 161 21 155 6070 5681 11 176 12 162 22 147 5681 5413 10 177 12 161 16 147 5413 5249 10 178 11 161 13*147 5249 5155 9 178 10 161 5*147 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography