DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 78.9 - - 82.7 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 446 - - 8 - - 49 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7390 - - 306 - - 2446 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10392 - - 5139 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12239 - - 5155 - - 7295 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3492 - - 8721 - - 8177 - - 408 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 624 - - 99 - - 210 - - 27 W* B/S - - - 44 - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 017 - - 102 - - 137 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 905 - - -3063 - - -2947 - - -1913 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11334 - - 8218 - - 10242 - - 7069 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -384 - - -5430 - - -4722 - - -5906 ODpotential blCL - - - 12623 - - 10585 - - 12017 - - 11062 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 97 - - 87 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 1570 - - 970 - - 960 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 78.9 - - 82.7 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 60.1 - - 55.3 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 78.5 - - 81.9 - - 75.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 58.9 - - 55.0 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 446 - - 8 - - 49 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7390 - - 306 - - 2446 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 89 - - 47 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 13 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98743 22 086 20 107 13 090 21 071 98743 91284 27 106 24 106 21 102 18 088 91284 85524 27 096 29 103 23 093 26 099 85524 80733 25 084 27 097 25 097 25 093 80733 76621 18 094 20 084 23 093 21 091 76621 73015 17 114 13 100 18 080 17 088 73015 69768 14 102 10 120 14 063 14 085 69768 66805 13 104 9 137 5 006 10 058 66805 64073 12 105 10 138 4 220 4 014 64073 61451 9 090 9 122 10 177 5 148 61451 58749 2 066 7 034 2 037 7 031 58749 55979 1 042 6 003 4 338 8 348 55979 53359 11 010 10 008 14 004 14 018 53359 50998 22 360 17 001 16 356 18 004 50998 48868 22 014 19 009 18 009 19 002 48868 46921 27 034 21 021 23 014 21 008 46921 45121 31 038 23 037 21 018 21 009 45121 43441 31 048 24 044 20 022 22 013 43441 41864 31 050 25 038 24 014 24 021 41864 40378 32 049 28 030 31 007 24 024 40378 38978 32 047 26 034 33 008 21 031 38978 37633 31 050 24 039 26 012 22 038 37633 36278 29 057 24 038 17 029 21 036 36278 34886 29 056 24 040 16 033 17 035 34886 33461 28 050 24 040 17 034 15 034 33461 31992 24 055 23 042 19 032 13 034 31992 30467 19 062 20 051 21 029 14 031 30467 28891 18 062 17 058 22 034 19 022 28891 27268 17 067 16 054 17 037 16 036 27268 25602 15 064 14 053 14 041 11 028 25602 23898 16 047 7 032 16 038 13 039 23898 22154 13 052 9 040 13 021 17 041 22154 20363 7 045 3 013 7 341 15 021 20363 18555 1 311 4 349 6 322 11 359 18555 16822 2 312 4 299 9 333 11 340 16822 15248 5 019 4 244 7 313 10 321 15248 13842 7 028 3 227 5 296 8 317 13842 12577 5*042 1 215 3 285 5 316 12577 11437 2*070 0 186 1 291 3 311 11437 10407 1 077 1 039 1 081 0 288 10407 9480 1 220 2 027 3 086 2 141 9480 8648 3 242 3 023 4 087 3 138 8648 7901 4 245 4 022 4*090 5 142 7901 7222 4 245 5 019 5*092 5 147 7222 6612 5 247 6 018 5 097 6 150 6612 6097 5 247 7 017 5 101 6 144 6097 5698 5 247 7 018 5 107 9 140 5698 5421 5 247 7 018 5 108 10 139 5421 5252 5 248 7 018 5 110 7*139 5252 5156 5 247 6*017 5 110 4*137 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography