DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 71.6 - - 74.0 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 64 - - 15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3023 - - 2260 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6560 - - 5588 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7872 - - 7109 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1635 - - 2109 - - 5034 - - 2288 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 242 - - 72 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 162 - - 161 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1855 - - 1150 - - -1992 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6017 - - 5959 - - 7147 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -842 - - -819 - - -4242 - - -2062 ODpotential blCL - - - 8714 - - 7928 - - 9397 - - 7217 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 91 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 1160 - - 1300 - - 1180 - - 1750 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 71.6 - - 74.0 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.4 - - 62.5 - - 59.9 - - 64.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 70.6 - - 73.6 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 61.2 - - 59.5 - - 63.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 64 - - 15 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3023 - - 2260 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 88 - - 63 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98437 12 141 5 181 10 099 15 070 98437 91028 11 131 11 141 11 129 10 075 91028 85286 15 119 18 117 12 121 14 095 85286 80507 15 106 23 109 12 096 20 090 80507 76436 18 093 23 110 12 104 19 074 76436 72875 21 091 19 101 14 108 15 072 72875 69662 17 094 14 087 16 101 13 099 69662 66722 17 085 14 072 17 090 10 104 66722 64022 12 069 12 075 17 081 12 093 64022 61432 6 317 7 117 7 115 7 081 61432 58750 9 193 8 199 8 185 1 216 58750 55982 13 201 22 215 19 221 17 233 55982 53348 20 193 27 215 26 219 25 225 53348 50968 28 267 25 233 26 260 36 274 50968 48823 57 269 54 266 72 270 76 276 48823 46870 75 263 71 261 77 263 87 273 46870 45064 74 253 71 253 77 257 82 262 45064 43381 81 247 72 246 79 250 87 252 43381 41797 75 247 76 240 80 247 90 251 41797 40301 66 249 67 243 74 247 88 255 40301 38894 62 257 56 248 59 247 74 258 38894 37549 60 255 56 247 50 243 60 254 37549 36198 59 250 57 243 53 244 56 249 36198 34809 57 247 53 237 51 241 53 244 34809 33387 47 234 38 226 46 233 50 236 33387 31923 44 216 29 219 40 226 46 234 31923 30405 45 214 30 227 40 231 44 239 30405 28834 49 219 37 234 36 231 39 234 28834 27213 45 227 31 234 29 228 32 223 27213 25549 40 234 29 236 29 235 30 235 25549 23849 36 237 25 241 30 247 29 260 23849 22108 26 232 21 244 29 254 25 267 22108 20315 18 228 23 248 26 257 20 260 20315 18503 15 235 23 253 22 260 17 256 18503 16767 10 247 19 251 19 261 17 264 16767 15187 7 244 16 243 15 256 15 268 15187 13776 9 240 14 231 12 243 12 258 13776 12513 12 246 14 219 12 227 13 244 12513 11375 14 244 13 210 13 211 12 228 11375 10350 14 229 13 203 14 194 12 205 10350 9430 12 212 11 190 13 178 10 167 9430 8607 11*199 9 167 10 160 10 142 8607 7869 11*191 8 158 9 154 12 135 7869 7198 11 189 8*157 7 153 15 132 7198 6596 12 187 7*160 6 156 15 130 6596 6086 12 187 6 161 5 158 13 125 6086 5692 11 186 6 161 4 159 10 114 5692 5418 11 186 5 162 4 161 7 100 5418 5251 10 186 5 162 3 161 5*091 5251 5155 9 186 4 164 3*161 3*085 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography