DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 78.3 - - 79.3 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 445 - - 134 - - 93 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8146 - - 10375 - - 8592 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11004 - - 11980 - - 10276 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12995 - - 15224 - - 13441 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5663 - - 4153 - - 6134 - - 4518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 644 - - 468 - - 390 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 13 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 226 - - 235 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 4 - - -8 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 692 - - 1520 - - -949 - - -7684 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12304 - - 13704 - - 14391 - - 12839 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -420 - - 303 - - -2067 - - -10601 ODpotential blCL - - - 13415 - - 14921 - - 15508 - - 15756 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 101 - - 98 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 720 - - 410 - - 300 - - 190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 78.3 - - 79.3 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 35.7 - - 33.7 - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.9 - - 77.0 - - 78.1 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 35.6 - - 33.7 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 445 - - 134 - - 93 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8146 - - 10375 - - 8592 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 102 - - 90 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98082 9 149 15 162 5 145 7 170 98082 90668 11 135 10 138 8 182 3 143 90668 84969 9 123 8 117 8 139 6 136 84969 80245 11 092 5 114 5 119 5 122 80245 76192 3 129 7 054 11 086 8 102 76192 72608 10 161 2 219 4 045 12 058 72608 69360 10 148 2 154 1 251 5 326 69360 66383 3 050 6 254 3 260 3 342 66383 63613 17 257 8 263 9 280 8 322 63613 60920 19 206 17 239 15 266 13 273 60920 58115 12 237 18 232 20 268 20 260 58115 55210 26 264 25 251 24 258 24 255 55210 52448 35 267 28 265 30 266 30 261 52448 49974 41 263 35 268 35 271 36 267 49974 47765 44 263 41 268 40 268 38 266 47765 45770 48 265 44 268 44 266 40 263 45770 43949 51 265 47 268 47 265 40 263 43949 42269 53 264 50 266 48 266 40 263 42269 40706 53 265 51 264 48 265 41 260 40706 39245 52 268 50 264 46 263 42 260 39245 37877 52 267 49 264 43 263 40 259 37877 36571 51 265 48 262 43 263 38 256 36571 35265 50 261 46 260 42 261 37 251 35265 33930 47 260 44 261 40 259 35 250 33930 32569 44 261 41 264 37 260 32 251 32569 31166 37 259 37 265 35 262 29 251 31166 29712 33 258 33 262 30 262 25 251 29712 28210 31 255 29 259 26 254 22 250 28210 26660 29 253 27 257 22 247 19 253 26660 25066 25 255 24 256 20 251 18 257 25066 23430 23 257 22 258 21 258 19 259 23430 21749 22 255 20 259 24 258 22 267 21749 20022 22 253 17 250 22 258 23 273 20022 18277 20 252 14 236 18 254 19 268 18277 16597 16 251 14*235 17 250 16 258 16597 15062 12 249 14*233 15 242 14 246 15062 13685 7*237 14 232 13*238 14 236 13685 12446 7*235 13 231 13*237 13 232 12446 11328 7 233 13 229 12 237 11 227 11328 10318 7 233 13 226 11 236 9 222 10318 9408 9 239 13 224 10 234 7 211 9408 8592 10 241 13 222 10 234 6 191 8592 7859 10 242 13 221 9 234 6 175 7859 7191 11 243 12 220 9 234 6 165 7191 6591 11 243 12 219 8 234 6 160 6591 6085 11 244 12 218 8 234 6 156 6085 5691 11 244 12 218 7 234 6 152 5691 5417 11 244 11 217 7 234 6 145 5417 5251 10 244 11 217 7 234 5*129 5251 5155 9 244 10 217 6 235 4*121 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography