DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 73.0 - - 63.9 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 194 - - -12 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1586 - - 3858 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5649 - - 7250 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6435 - - 8707 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1589 - - 2213 - - 3575 - - 75 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 296 - - 380 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 216 - - 201 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -5 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8353 - - -7540 - - -9264 - - -6892 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14789 - - 16248 - - 14418 - - 12047 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13925 - - -12494 - - -16440 - - -16114 ODpotential blCL - - - 20360 - - 21201 - - 21594 - - 21268 blCL maxRH - - - 30 - - 42 - - 36 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 73.0 - - 63.9 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.8 - - 19.7 - - 19.3 - - 21.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 71.3 - - 67.9 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 19.6 - - 19.3 - - 21.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 223 - - 194 - - -12 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1586 - - 3858 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96276 30 282 21 251 36 270 38 282 96276 89128 28 291 22 262 29 262 34 288 89128 83625 34 283 30 283 25 274 25 288 83625 79068 32 283 32 292 30 292 18 293 79068 75150 31 276 28 291 29 293 23 295 75150 71709 28 268 24 279 29 295 25 298 71709 68627 20 261 21 279 19 292 20 303 68627 65822 11 240 21 265 15 286 16 293 65822 63252 17 244 24 267 19 276 18 276 63252 60792 26 247 30 263 21 265 14 256 60792 58224 35 243 35 257 29 277 21 276 58224 55534 41 246 41 252 39 272 30 261 55534 52927 43 247 45 251 45 260 37 254 52927 50542 41 244 46 251 50 256 44 257 50542 48375 36 240 41 247 40 255 45 258 48375 46387 33 235 34 241 31 244 37 256 46387 44555 29 226 32 230 25 241 31 264 44555 42869 26 220 27 223 23 277 26 285 42869 41312 20 228 17 273 26 314 19 314 41312 39854 17 286 19 316 28 328 16 320 39854 38481 14 336 14 001 23 337 17 319 38481 37161 18 018 13 347 18 347 16 312 37161 35833 21 009 18 359 16 355 12 323 35833 34468 22 021 19 010 16 357 9 016 34468 33067 23 036 18 026 14 008 10 013 33067 31622 24 044 17 048 13 016 10 353 31622 30119 24 066 23 063 16 044 8 017 30119 28561 25 082 27 073 20 087 13 090 28561 26951 21 084 25 086 23 096 17 107 26951 25295 15 096 16 105 16 105 14 121 25295 23606 10 111 9 116 11 123 13 136 23606 21879 9 120 7 135 8 129 13 133 21879 20107 10 128 8 145 8 132 12 116 20107 18318 11 136 10 159 10 155 11 124 18318 16602 11 153 13 171 13 173 11 159 16602 15040 13 164 15 174 14 183 12 182 15040 13644 15 169 16 176 14 190 13 199 13644 12394 14 172 14 179 13 194 13 211 12394 11270 12 175 11 181 10 193 13 214 11270 10259 10 176 8 188 7 181 11 211 10259 9351 8 178 7*207 5 169 10 206 9351 8540 8 191 7*212 5 173 10 202 8540 7813 10 211 7 215 5 186 10 199 7813 7153 12 219 7 215 7 193 10 192 7153 6563 12*222 8 216 8 196 11 183 6563 6064 11*222 8 217 8 199 13 175 6064 5678 11 223 7 217 9 201 14 173 5678 5411 10 224 7 217 9 201 13 174 5411 5247 10 223 7 217 8 201 9*173 5247 5154 9 224 6 218 5*201 6*170 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography