DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.8 - - 88.1 - - 93.0 - - 91.1 - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 220 - - 526 - - 464 - - 143 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2586 - - 7910 - - 10647 - - 8988 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit 6368 - - 10886 - - 13073 - - 10969 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 7435 - - 12759 - - 15496 - - 13837 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1386 - - 1428 - - 1789 - - 4017 - - 3488 Hgt.Variab. W* 348 - - 674 - - 715 - - 457 - - 15 W* B/S 5 - - 48 - - 78 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 3 - - 2 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 256 - - 064 - - 120 - - 142 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 14 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - 10 - - 29 - - 44 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -605 - - 500 - - 1293 - - 329 - - -5563 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8040 - - 12260 - - 14203 - - 13508 - - 10719 sfcLCL ODpotential -3222 - - -2711 - - 478 - - -825 - - -9380 ODpotential blCL 10657 - - 15470 - - 15018 - - 14662 - - 14536 blCL maxRH 75 - - 65 - - 79 - - 83 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 1420 - - 700 - - 690 - - 810 - - 640 CAPE Temp@2m 77.8 - - 88.1 - - 93.0 - - 91.1 - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.8 - - 51.7 - - 48.0 - - 49.4 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.9 - - 84.6 - - 89.9 - - 89.6 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.8 - - 51.6 - - 47.9 - - 49.3 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 220 - - 526 - - 464 - - 143 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2586 - - 7910 - - 10647 - - 8988 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98910 32 098 35 095 40 103 38 100 43 088 98910 91477 40 095 41 095 42 103 42 106 36 100 91477 85740 41 098 38 090 40 099 38 101 37 104 85740 80970 38 096 33 095 35 100 33 095 35 097 80970 76865 33 097 32 099 31 099 33 090 34 090 76865 73256 27 091 30 101 28 097 35 086 32 089 73256 70014 26 099 28 112 21 102 27 086 28 087 70014 67053 27 093 26 116 17 115 16 093 21 091 67053 64309 22 089 24 109 20 116 10 111 13 097 64309 61653 17 101 22 096 24 110 13 126 9 095 61653 58901 10 109 17 079 23 089 22 114 14 103 58901 56076 10 085 10 069 13 066 20 081 21 085 56076 53420 15 079 10 068 7 069 13 060 18 065 53420 51050 19 084 17 063 10 074 10 061 14 050 51050 48916 22 055 22 056 15 064 13 057 14 044 48916 46957 27 036 19 051 15 055 14 056 16 039 46957 45148 28 029 16 057 16 044 16 049 16 037 45148 43465 22 024 19 063 17 049 17 056 15 050 43465 41888 14 026 22 066 20 056 19 065 18 051 41888 40401 13 037 25 063 23 049 20 067 18 048 40401 39000 17 041 26 061 23 048 19 072 19 047 39000 37654 20 036 28 061 23 053 21 076 17 044 37654 36302 22 035 26 062 25 062 23 069 12 059 36302 34916 22 033 20 061 23 069 22 071 15 081 34916 33501 17 026 13 070 18 068 20 069 16 076 33501 32044 13 033 11 077 13 069 15 066 14 074 32044 30536 13 059 11 082 11 072 12 080 11 080 30536 28977 15 081 10 093 9 076 10 084 10 076 28977 27368 16 092 9 111 6 074 8 074 10 064 27368 25711 14 099 7 127 3 060 5 055 10 056 25711 24012 10 108 4 121 4 016 7 028 12 051 24012 22264 10 116 3 109 5 014 9 011 16 046 22264 20463 12 115 4 108 3 357 12 018 16 049 20463 18647 19 089 12 070 11 051 12 015 18 046 18647 16905 23 079 18 064 10*035 8 340 22 039 16905 15317 21 079 16 049 7*004 6 332 17 014 15317 13894 18 056 15*031 6 004 3*329 13 335 13894 12617 18 036 9*010 5 007 1*039 10 316 12617 11465 14 035 6 350 2 031 4 118 7 304 11465 10426 10 041 3 320 1 079 5 120 5 262 10426 9493 6 037 3 257 2 119 7 121 7 205 9493 8656 5 199 5 226 3 132 8 121 11 182 8656 7907 13*199 5 223 3 138 9 121 15 167 7907 7226 14*199 5 220 4 144 10 122 21 153 7226 6616 14 200 6 217 4 144 10 121 24 146 6616 6100 14 200 6 215 5 146 10 121 24 144 6100 5700 14 201 6 215 5 146 10 120 22 143 5700 5423 13 201 6 215 5 147 10 120 18 143 5423 5253 12 201 6 215 5 147 10 120 15*143 5253 5156 11 201 6 214 4 146 9 120 10*142 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography