DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 87.4 - - - - - 79.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 527 - - 503 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7705 - - 7884 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10720 - - 10847 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12554 - - 12733 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1824 - - 2058 - - - - - 6652 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 669 - - 664 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 098 - - - - - 104 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 328 - - -340 - - - - - -5546 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12227 - - 13074 - - - - - 10703 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2522 - - -2719 - - - - - -9201 ODpotential blCL - - - 15076 - - 15452 - - - - - 14357 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 79 - - - - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 570 - - 350 - - - - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.3 - - 87.4 - - - - - 79.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 47.5 - - - - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.8 - - 84.2 - - - - - 80.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 47.3 - - - - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 527 - - 503 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7705 - - 7884 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 15 - - - - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98721 31 123 27 109 33 077 98721 91241 31 100 29 109 31 091 91241 85512 35 092 33 098 32 093 85512 80764 31 090 32 096 32 091 80764 76668 25 087 26 087 30 087 76668 73071 29 092 20 076 25 082 73071 69854 30 076 16 090 19 079 69854 66909 25 068 17 095 15 092 66909 64173 25 074 19 081 20 083 64173 61538 19 066 18 068 27 067 61538 58819 11 075 14 065 32 055 58819 56033 21 049 20 067 22 035 56033 53385 24 016 28 029 25 021 53385 50989 22 012 28 354 36 007 50989 48831 27 016 26 354 36 003 48831 46848 37 356 33 351 36 355 46848 45014 43 348 40 345 40 352 45014 43310 45 340 42 340 43 354 43310 41724 41 327 48 332 44 353 41724 40243 47 312 45 314 47 342 40243 38855 49 308 44 306 52 327 38855 37523 48 308 44 303 44 319 37523 36180 44 311 40 307 39 321 36180 34798 40 322 36 317 39 328 34798 33383 40 331 34 322 35 330 33383 31923 31 336 32 321 31 320 31923 30411 27 337 27 318 29 309 30411 28850 22 332 21 309 30 310 28850 27241 15 315 22 313 31 319 27241 25587 12 295 19 307 24 334 25587 23893 10 337 13 308 12 355 23893 22154 12 356 15 341 11 012 22154 20371 17 025 12 358 13 014 20371 18569 18 065 8 023 12 009 18569 16839 19 073 15 054 12 017 16839 15262 15 058 17 055 13 040 15262 13850 11 054 11*053 11 041 13850 12584 6*073 7*089 8 049 12584 11442 6*080 7 094 10 069 11442 10411 6 084 8 098 12 081 10411 9483 6 088 8 099 13 093 9483 8651 7 090 9 100 15 102 8651 7903 8 091 10 100 17 109 7903 7224 8 091 10 099 19 114 7224 6614 9 091 10 099 20 116 6614 6099 9 091 11 098 20 116 6099 5700 9 090 11 098 18 115 5700 5422 9 090 10 098 14 111 5422 5253 9 090 10 098 11*108 5253 5156 8 090 9 097 7*104 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography