DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 48.7 - - - - - 42.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 143 - - 119 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2263 - - 2235 - - - - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5995 - - 5916 - - - - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7112 - - 7084 - - - - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 688 - - 683 - - - - - 1559 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 284 - - - - - 60 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 34 - - 30 - - - - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 051 - - 052 - - - - - 064 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -40 - - -27 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1516 - - -157 - - - - - -1741 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5596 - - 7241 - - - - - 6895 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9332 - - -11322 - - - - - -14247 ODpotential blCL - - - 16444 - - 18406 - - - - - 19400 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 87 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.3 - - 48.7 - - - - - 42.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.1 - - 35.3 - - - - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.3 - - 47.8 - - - - - 42.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 34.1 - - - - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 143 - - 119 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2263 - - 2235 - - - - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 47 - - - - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97997 27 275 34 266 29 292 97997 90649 20 251 22 267 15 296 90649 84977 11 244 14 224 10 314 84977 80263 3 080 11 182 15 238 80263 76208 3 348 4 115 11 203 76208 72632 6 272 1 004 1 105 72632 69407 3 199 5 183 7 358 69407 66471 5 161 4 208 10 323 66471 63788 9 159 1 293 5 329 63788 61214 5 290 7 014 7 060 61214 58534 13 256 10 290 11 332 58534 55766 14 222 18 241 20 274 55766 53138 11 238 20 223 24 259 53138 50771 11 247 17 235 25 263 50771 48634 18 264 23 262 33 254 48634 46681 25 265 31 264 36 256 46681 44878 33 267 38 267 39 259 44878 43194 40 269 42 270 42 261 43194 41612 48 267 45 268 42 262 41612 40120 54 262 50 264 41 264 40120 38714 54 253 51 258 40 266 38714 37364 52 244 50 251 39 267 37364 36005 46 223 46 246 39 266 36005 34607 44 222 43 236 39 261 34607 33182 44 227 43 230 37 247 33182 31723 42 228 43 234 36 238 31723 30211 36 223 38 236 33 246 30211 28643 30 210 28 242 27 250 28643 27024 21 202 19 242 16 237 27024 25360 17 173 16 222 3 311 25360 23654 16 148 11 174 3 071 23654 21901 2 303 3 022 15 117 21901 20093 21 329 20 356 23 100 20093 18261 19 027 19 055 22 100 18261 16505 14 050 14 091 18 113 16505 14916 9 076 11 124 15 114 14916 13509 9 101 9 153 11 091 13509 12253 12 112 7 167 9 095 12253 11127 17 107 7 143 8 118 11127 10116 20 089 9 097 12 103 10116 9214 29 065 20 056 20 077 9214 8414 38 055 31 046 28 064 8414 7706 40*051 34*045 31 055 7706 7068 38*050 33*048 31 052 7068 6501 36 050 32 050 29 057 6501 6024 35 051 31 052 27 062 6024 5655 33 052 30 053 25 064 5655 5399 31 052 28 054 22 064 5399 5242 28 052 26 055 20*064 5242 5153 21 053 19 055 14*064 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography