DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 43.8 - - 47.0 - - 45.1 - - 34.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 376 - - 323 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2104 - - 1994 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6172 - - 6053 - - 5136 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 6953 - - 6843 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 413 - - 533 - - 1736 - - 290 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 387 - - 362 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 25 - - 16 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 329 - - 040 - - 041 - - 068 - - 080 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -13 - - -9 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4661 - - -2497 - - -3103 - - -5074 - - -3081 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9814 - - 9450 - - 9947 - - 10227 - - 8235 sfcLCL ODpotential -14074 - - -11550 - - -10790 - - -13224 - - -13256 ODpotential blCL 19227 - - 18503 - - 17633 - - 18377 - - 18409 blCL maxRH 54 - - 58 - - 51 - - 38 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 43.8 - - 47.0 - - 45.1 - - 34.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.9 - - 20.8 - - 21.7 - - 18.7 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.9 - - 41.7 - - 44.8 - - 45.3 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.8 - - 20.7 - - 21.7 - - 18.7 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 376 - - 323 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2104 - - 1994 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96451 4 099 6 332 8 008 12 042 9 012 96451 89283 9 085 9 112 12 074 13 089 15 058 89283 83784 3 075 17 100 11 123 12 082 17 060 83784 79231 3 073 18 075 13 114 7 103 14 047 79231 75289 15 091 16 089 18 084 7 097 8 076 75289 71783 25 074 13 097 11 116 6 071 9 023 71783 68589 13 037 10 063 6 168 5 203 6 325 68589 65650 9 303 6 328 7 309 4 285 11 217 65650 62917 22 280 10 256 22 282 20 282 23 250 62917 60280 29 281 21 248 28 272 27 283 30 263 60280 57535 37 281 32 273 39 278 36 277 38 283 57535 54688 44 280 44 281 46 278 45 273 49 283 54688 51974 42 275 48 286 50 277 52 282 56 286 51974 49537 35 282 48 284 53 276 63 287 68 287 49537 47358 31 303 42 280 50 274 63 283 75 283 47358 45374 34 314 39 287 46 282 62 282 77 282 45374 43543 46 294 44 296 54 293 64 280 77 279 43543 41842 54 283 60 289 62 297 65 283 75 277 41842 40259 57 282 69 278 70 291 69 283 72 278 40259 38783 62 284 67 272 81 284 70 283 70 284 38783 37413 66 282 59 272 87 280 70 284 68 284 37413 36113 65 280 55 277 85 278 69 286 65 282 36113 34811 63 279 54 278 71 275 66 282 65 284 34811 33482 64 278 42 279 56 277 58 280 66 285 33482 32128 61 276 35 283 46 278 54 278 65 281 32128 30735 53 274 40 283 44 282 52 280 63 279 30735 29294 48 273 43 283 46 284 52 280 63 279 29294 27802 46 269 41 283 45 286 51 280 63 283 27802 26261 42 264 39 285 44 292 51 285 58 287 26261 24678 39 267 37 286 43 293 48 289 51 289 24678 23057 37 277 35 285 41 289 44 290 45 291 23057 21390 34 285 34 281 41 287 42 292 41 296 21390 19670 30 289 33 282 36 289 39 295 39 299 19670 17928 26 300 30 287 30 292 34 298 37 299 17928 16255 23 315 26 294 26 295 30 300 35 302 16255 14731 22 325 24 299 23 298 27 304 32 310 14731 13371 22 327 22 304 20 301 24 311 29 318 13371 12154 22 326 22 310 18 304 21 319 25 323 12154 11061 22 328 19 312 16 304 17 326 20 325 11061 10079 22 336 14 312 13 299 15 330 16 323 10079 9198 22 349 12 342 8 301 14 322 14 318 9198 8412 22 358 18 026 5 359 11 301 12 303 8412 7708 24 002 25 038 12 034 8 288 12 277 7708 7070 28 004 26*040 16*039 3 302 12 263 7070 6500 31 004 27*040 17*040 3 052 9 259 6500 6021 30 003 27 040 17 041 5 065 1 325 6021 5652 23 356 26 040 16 041 5 066 7 075 5652 5396 16 346 25 040 16 042 5 068 8 079 5396 5241 12 340 23 040 15 042 5*068 6*080 5241 5153 4*329 18 040 13 042 4*068 4*080 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography