DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 67.2 - - 66.5 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 367 - - 42 - - 6 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4562 - - 1167 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8056 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9411 - - 6016 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1601 - - 2060 - - 3042 - - 1373 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 498 - - 167 - - 64 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 196 - - 126 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -9 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1165 - - 861 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8246 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 275 - - -180 - - -894 - - -1526 ODpotential blCL - - - 9136 - - 6196 - - 6049 - - 6681 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 98 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 740 - - 1530 - - 1300 - - 840 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 67.2 - - 66.5 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 63.8 - - 63.3 - - 62.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 66.4 - - 66.2 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.7 - - 63.0 - - 62.8 - - 62.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 367 - - 42 - - 6 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4562 - - 1167 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 92 - - 95 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98327 12 126 6 217 4 014 11 100 98327 90919 16 102 10 139 5 116 11 072 90919 85229 13 091 15 113 10 129 9 049 85229 80513 14 071 14 093 12 095 12 102 80513 76474 12 078 15 085 14 081 16 096 76474 72923 12 086 12 081 15 064 15 078 72923 69710 11 097 11 101 10 062 13 059 69710 66768 8 113 10 116 7 077 10 055 66768 64058 6 166 7 115 7 116 9 090 64058 61447 7 159 2 133 5 130 3 095 61447 58742 3 205 4 223 5 255 2 274 58742 55973 16 200 20 209 19 235 18 233 55973 53351 20 212 25 209 25 228 21 221 53351 50967 25 233 21 225 20 257 11 236 50967 48809 36 244 56 256 52 262 57 263 48809 46846 62 243 72 250 75 246 70 253 46846 45036 76 233 78 232 68 240 64 258 45036 43352 69 222 67 229 59 236 65 257 43352 41775 63 219 57 232 60 231 65 247 41775 40292 57 221 59 227 53 226 62 243 40292 38898 56 224 58 225 46 222 56 238 38898 37558 55 223 45 221 42 223 48 229 37558 36211 55 221 36 206 38 226 35 213 36211 34827 53 220 39 218 36 229 30 216 34827 33407 50 214 41 227 36 229 29 214 33407 31941 48 211 37 217 36 226 30 215 31941 30419 42 215 32 207 35 219 31 215 30419 28845 37 216 29 209 31 211 32 215 28845 27223 32 207 25 212 27 206 32 211 27223 25555 33 205 21 211 26 204 32 206 25555 23846 30 206 18 208 27 203 29 203 23846 22092 22 203 16 205 26 205 26 208 22092 20289 19 199 16 201 26 211 24 219 20289 18470 13 207 16 190 22 217 23 227 18470 16726 11 204 14 180 20 215 22 228 16726 15142 10 192 11 175 19 208 21 222 15142 13731 12 179 9 177 18 203 21 210 13731 12468 10 163 9 188 16 198 22 198 12468 11332 9 157 10 193 13 187 21 187 11332 10311 11 168 10 190 11 169 19 172 10311 9394 12*170 10 189 10 154 18 152 9394 8576 13*170 11 194 10 145 18 136 8576 7843 13 172 12 199 10 139 21 129 7843 7176 13 173 13 200 9 137 24 124 7176 6579 13 173 13 198 8 142 24 119 6579 6075 12 174 13*198 7 137 20 115 6075 5685 12 175 12*197 7 131 16 110 5685 5415 11 175 11 196 6 128 13 105 5415 5250 11 176 11 196 6*128 11*103 5250 5155 10 176 9 195 5*126 9*102 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography