DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 79.0 - - 78.4 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 249 - - 9 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 941 - - 4371 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5138 - - 7770 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5790 - - 9220 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1711 - - 2366 - - 7055 - - 2182 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 136 - - 437 - - 66 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 7 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 162 - - 116 - - 083 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -652 - - 176 - - -3851 - - -2163 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6442 - - 9045 - - 9008 - - 7319 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4188 - - -2063 - - -5805 - - -5597 ODpotential blCL - - - 9978 - - 11283 - - 10961 - - 10752 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 87 - - 81 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 590 - - 850 - - 950 - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 79.0 - - 78.4 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.6 - - 56.9 - - 56.5 - - 58.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.1 - - 77.0 - - 78.4 - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 56.3 - - 56.0 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 249 - - 9 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 941 - - 4371 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 47 - - 25 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98802 26 103 17 127 12 075 22 073 98802 91397 32 087 29 109 18 105 21 081 91397 85649 30 096 37 095 30 100 30 094 85649 80882 27 100 36 089 35 095 36 094 80882 76816 26 100 29 089 33 090 34 095 76816 73243 23 107 21 103 26 085 29 089 73243 70001 22 118 19 107 18 085 24 076 70001 67019 21 122 16 110 15 092 18 076 67019 64264 18 097 16 107 15 105 19 097 64264 61607 16 080 16 088 15 116 17 107 61607 58852 13 102 11 095 12 101 13 113 58852 56030 15 122 11 139 5 125 4 068 56030 53371 10 093 10 113 9 125 5 123 53371 50987 13 039 12 054 15 070 14 080 50987 48852 17 029 15 043 18 043 19 047 48852 46913 21 013 19 014 22 018 26 027 46913 45126 22 000 20 001 25 007 29 019 45126 43459 23 353 20 359 26 005 28 010 43459 41895 20 350 20 350 23 005 22 005 41895 40420 13 024 17 345 15 009 18 013 40420 39027 12 033 12 341 12 018 16 016 39027 37685 13 036 11 320 10 009 15 008 37685 36332 20 054 8 003 9 347 14 358 36332 34941 23 068 14 057 8 345 13 004 34941 33516 11 053 4 012 7 011 13 358 33516 32048 8 020 8 347 6 006 11 353 32048 30525 9 025 12 017 10 017 8 001 30525 28951 7 033 12 034 6 060 2 032 28951 27331 6 036 10 071 8 116 8 172 27331 25668 2 110 7 101 11 128 10 173 25668 23964 6 189 4 151 11 139 9 175 23964 22213 5 198 9 169 9 193 6 175 22213 20412 8 167 14 205 9 222 4 165 20412 18592 15 157 15 206 8 221 2 143 18592 16845 18 157 18 188 10 199 4 191 16845 15257 17 156 18 178 13 187 8 206 15257 13840 12 165 15 171 12 176 11 207 13840 12570 9 167 12 164 13 153 12 192 12570 11426 8 157 11 158 16 138 13 177 11426 10395 9 160 11 151 17 134 12 164 10395 9466 10 169 11*140 16 132 12 152 9466 8634 12 173 11*132 16 129 14 143 8634 7888 15 176 11 124 15 124 17 135 7888 7210 15 177 11 118 14 118 23 129 7210 6604 13 178 11 114 12 109 29 125 6604 6092 9*175 10 110 10 097 28 123 6092 5695 6*167 10 108 9 089 25 122 5695 5420 5 161 10 106 9 086 20 120 5420 5252 5 160 10 105 8*084 17 119 5252 5155 4 158 9 105 7*083 11*118 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography