DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.5 - - 58.5 - - 61.8 - - 54.4 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 22 - - 340 - - 265 - - -20 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2965 - - 3721 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6795 - - 7282 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7814 - - 8570 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 981 - - 1256 - - 1249 - - 3355 - - 731 Hgt.Variab. W* 79 - - 420 - - 417 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 19 - - 18 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 268 - - 288 - - 283 - - 277 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -19 - - -8 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2041 - - -3286 - - -3983 - - -5203 - - -2842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7194 - - 11101 - - 12554 - - 10358 - - 7995 sfcLCL ODpotential -8491 - - -8701 - - -9006 - - -11848 - - -11152 ODpotential blCL 13644 - - 16515 - - 17576 - - 17002 - - 16305 blCL maxRH 60 - - 43 - - 37 - - 41 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.5 - - 58.5 - - 61.8 - - 54.4 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.0 - - 27.8 - - 24.7 - - 27.2 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.0 - - 56.3 - - 59.9 - - 56.3 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.0 - - 27.7 - - 24.6 - - 27.2 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 22 - - 340 - - 265 - - -20 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2965 - - 3721 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 38 257 34 263 32 260 52 266 33 272 96480 89314 26 269 24 275 29 258 30 269 30 268 89314 83820 19 253 17 262 23 258 19 272 23 266 83820 79261 10 224 19 244 20 267 13 284 10 259 79261 75323 2 204 13 240 13 284 15 283 11 273 75323 71835 10 305 11 254 11 318 11 274 9 290 71835 68677 13 329 12 251 16 300 8 293 15 296 68677 65792 24 302 2 244 11 279 9 301 14 288 65792 63123 18 278 6 285 8 187 11 184 12 286 63123 60531 21 279 28 278 33 280 35 274 37 272 60531 57835 36 262 46 246 39 252 46 254 45 255 57835 55022 47 223 47 228 40 230 44 240 42 248 55022 52325 45 239 43 238 38 243 40 245 38 255 52325 49893 56 258 50 252 37 264 37 266 40 266 49893 47709 59 260 49 263 44 272 40 272 44 271 47709 45720 55 260 48 268 48 272 45 267 46 270 45720 43894 47 257 47 269 45 268 44 271 47 268 43894 42207 44 255 45 266 40 274 48 276 47 267 42207 40641 46 255 47 271 54 279 54 269 49 263 40641 39178 50 258 54 271 63 266 57 261 49 261 39178 37807 58 259 60 267 55 259 51 260 49 267 37807 36498 65 253 63 265 43 277 47 272 51 272 36498 35188 66 246 60 265 47 286 49 280 52 274 35188 33849 66 248 57 269 52 288 50 283 51 274 33849 32481 74 251 58 275 55 291 52 286 50 276 32481 31069 78 249 61 275 55 292 52 286 48 277 31069 29605 77 247 62 270 54 291 50 284 46 278 29605 28093 74 247 61 259 51 296 47 284 43 275 28093 26536 74 248 53 265 48 301 46 287 41 271 26536 24931 74 250 42 274 48 300 42 289 37 270 24931 23280 71 253 34 279 45 289 37 291 35 271 23280 21580 61 255 29 292 39 284 35 291 33 276 21580 19829 48 259 29 297 36 288 31 294 31 278 19829 18062 39 265 28 296 34 294 30 295 26 278 18062 16372 33 272 27 294 29 293 29 292 23 279 16372 14834 30 275 25 289 25 292 27 286 21 283 14834 13462 27 276 25 283 22 294 24 284 20 288 13462 12233 26 277 24 278 21 296 20 286 18 293 12233 11130 25 279 23 277 20 296 18 295 16 297 11130 10140 24 282 22 279 21 293 17 300 14 301 10140 9252 24 285 22 282 18*287 17 297 14 300 9252 8459 24 288 21*287 18*285 16 292 15 294 8459 7750 23 290 20*289 19 284 16 290 18 290 7750 7106 22 291 19 288 19 284 16 289 19 288 7106 6530 22 292 19 288 19 283 16 288 20 291 6530 6043 21 292 19 287 18 283 15 288 20 295 6043 5666 17 290 18 287 18 282 14 286 17 296 5666 5404 11 282 17 287 17 282 12 284 12 291 5404 5245 9*277 16 287 16 282 9*280 7 278 5245 5153 6*268 14 286 14 282 6*277 4*260 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography