DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.4 - - 64.5 - - 66.3 - - 65.7 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 72 - - 270 - - 254 - - 35 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2567 - - 2590 - - 1944 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 6421 - - 6418 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 7416 - - 7439 - - 6793 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2152 - - 1717 - - 2163 - - 2250 - - 1706 Hgt.Variab. W* 118 - - 370 - - 364 - - 170 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 069 - - 080 - - 071 - - 076 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -9 - - -6 - - -5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 964 - - 792 - - -251 - - -859 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 6452 - - 6647 - - 7045 - - 6014 sfcLCL ODpotential -391 - - 265 - - -110 - - -2453 - - -4819 ODpotential blCL 5545 - - 7151 - - 7549 - - 9246 - - 9973 blCL maxRH 100 - - 98 - - 100 - - 82 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 30 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.4 - - 64.5 - - 66.3 - - 65.7 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.3 - - 53.8 - - 54.7 - - 52.4 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 62.4 - - 64.3 - - 65.1 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.3 - - 53.8 - - 54.6 - - 52.4 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 72 - - 270 - - 254 - - 35 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2567 - - 2590 - - 1944 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 92 - - 100 - - 29 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98127 11 224 7 262 5 184 7 187 4 217 98127 90714 13 146 8 160 12 201 9 285 7 333 90714 85008 10 135 13 124 9 169 2 025 5 055 85008 80282 7 066 13 095 8 112 9 111 12 065 80282 76231 9 049 9 081 11 086 14 123 12 066 76231 72667 9 083 7 108 7 064 13 109 11 095 72667 69449 9 101 7 107 8 034 14 060 15 079 69449 66522 6 126 9 102 5 065 11 037 15 051 66522 63859 7 084 9 110 4 147 3 008 11 041 63859 61307 7 070 8 128 7 188 6 277 10 341 61307 58664 13 018 4 049 5 176 7 243 9 297 58664 55940 18 323 12 352 5 022 2 264 7 294 55940 53344 18 311 14 321 13 312 16 307 19 314 53344 51000 18 304 15 292 18 294 24 295 24 312 51000 48878 19 301 18 283 22 285 24 289 24 301 48878 46929 22 298 21 278 24 281 24 290 25 291 46929 45121 25 299 24 283 25 285 25 292 26 285 45121 43432 27 300 25 288 27 287 27 290 27 288 43432 41843 28 299 28 288 29 288 29 290 29 291 41843 40343 28 295 29 284 30 286 30 291 31 294 40343 38929 28 282 29 279 31 282 31 292 31 296 38929 37569 32 286 29 278 31 283 31 290 29 304 37569 36199 31 290 29 281 30 288 31 286 26 305 36199 34792 27 289 25 283 29 291 29 285 26 297 34792 33356 22 297 20 284 26 286 27 287 29 290 33356 31880 17 307 13 279 20 285 23 287 28 290 31880 30350 13 301 12 269 19 279 18 287 28 294 30350 28772 10 284 13 260 17 266 19 285 30 299 28772 27155 8 276 12 263 18 266 19 281 27 299 27155 25506 6 280 15 272 20 259 21 274 22 293 25506 23815 4 261 14 283 18 273 21 284 18 282 23815 22070 3 106 5 256 10 277 12 284 14 301 22070 20265 4 063 0 100 2 262 2 278 5 286 20265 18440 5 077 3 348 2 349 2 074 1 355 18440 16687 3 059 5 316 5 320 2 001 3 316 16687 15095 5 302 7 283 7 293 8 303 8 308 15095 13679 7 273 8 262 9 266 12 292 10 334 13679 12415 4 256 6 245 7 243 11 296 12 341 12415 11283 1 261 2 189 3 221 9 309 10 340 11283 10268 1 219 4 168 2 176 5 343 5 343 10268 9358 3 129 5 136 1 119 5 034 2 051 9358 8546 12 083 8 108 4 076 9 064 6 099 8546 7818 18 072 10*095 7*067 10 070 10 103 7818 7159 19 071 10*089 10*068 11*072 11 098 7159 6567 17 070 11 083 11 070 11*074 12 092 6567 6068 16 070 11 079 11 071 11 076 12 087 6068 5681 14 070 11 077 11 072 11 076 11 082 5681 5413 13 069 11 076 11 073 10 077 9 081 5413 5248 12*069 10 076 11 073 10 078 6 079 5248 5154 10*069 9 075 10 073 8 078 3*078 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography