DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 83.9 - - 78.0 - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 394 - - 265 - - -1 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6337 - - 6890 - - 306 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9491 - - 9775 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11186 - - 11739 - - 5155 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3542 - - 3811 - - 6695 - - 3592 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 569 - - 524 - - 70 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 117 - - 054 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 32 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 407 - - 827 - - -2386 - - -4032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10779 - - 10912 - - 7542 - - 9189 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -608 - - -964 - - -4776 - - -7021 ODpotential blCL - - - 11794 - - 12703 - - 9931 - - 12177 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 90 - - 83 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 800 - - 1080 - - 2240 - - 840 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 83.9 - - 78.0 - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.8 - - 53.6 - - 62.1 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.7 - - 81.8 - - 77.8 - - 77.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 52.9 - - 60.8 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 394 - - 265 - - -1 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6337 - - 6890 - - 306 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 58 - - 34 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 14 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98929 37 100 45 112 30 108 29 085 98929 91446 37 102 36 098 39 093 40 088 91446 85703 39 096 32 087 39 093 39 088 85703 80938 34 099 32 092 35 092 34 091 80938 76820 34 100 30 094 33 087 32 093 76820 73196 32 089 24 090 25 078 31 085 73196 69949 25 077 16 093 18 076 28 071 69949 66989 18 067 16 107 13 090 22 062 66989 64252 14 060 13 090 13 093 13 059 64252 61617 15 072 9 087 10 071 11 050 61617 58898 16 072 11 093 8 049 12 045 58898 56100 17 062 14 083 5 050 9 038 56100 53440 13 043 14 055 9 059 8 045 53440 51045 12 031 14 026 13 045 8 053 51045 48887 11 027 10 351 13 024 7 067 48887 46916 6 037 3 293 9 002 7 070 46916 45095 6 077 5 185 3 306 4 062 45095 43401 10 058 9 150 6 216 0 150 43401 41815 7 039 10 129 9 188 5 214 41815 40323 3 102 7 124 8 169 7 204 40323 38919 13 108 4 154 7 162 7 183 38919 37570 13 102 8 175 8 159 8 166 37570 36215 14 098 10 175 9 147 8 155 36215 34828 19 103 14 175 11 158 9 159 34828 33417 23 112 19 168 15 166 11 163 33417 31965 25 113 19 164 16 157 14 156 31965 30461 23 112 20 147 19 151 16 155 30461 28907 18 120 20 135 20 151 17 147 28907 27301 14 136 17 143 18 149 18 135 27301 25647 15 157 14 165 15 146 17 123 25647 23949 19 172 14 172 14 140 17 113 23949 22203 22 170 16 167 14 139 17 107 22203 20404 19 160 17 164 13 131 14 107 20404 18588 15 151 16 162 11 139 13 117 18588 16847 13 144 13 149 13 141 9 130 16847 15266 13 132 10 133 15 135 5 147 15266 13854 13 124 10 123 15 129 4 158 13854 12585 12 110 9*120 14 127 4 164 12585 11440 10*104 9*118 13 126 6 158 11440 10408 9*105 9 118 13 125 7 151 10408 9478 7 110 9 118 12 123 10 144 9478 8644 6 123 9 117 11 121 13 139 8644 7897 5 132 9 117 9 117 18 134 7897 7218 5 138 9 116 8 107 24 130 7218 6610 4 143 9 116 6 093 26 128 6610 6097 4 150 9 115 5 075 26 127 6097 5698 4 151 8 114 4 057 23 127 5698 5422 4 155 8 113 4 056 18 126 5422 5253 4 156 7 113 4 053 15*124 5253 5156 4 155 7 112 3*054 8*123 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography