DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 85.1 - - 82.7 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 264 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4883 - - 7074 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8316 - - 9885 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9732 - - 11923 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1663 - - 2387 - - 9236 - - 1411 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 513 - - 517 - - 21 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 10 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 202 - - 221 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1554 - - 59 - - -6587 - - -1097 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11287 - - 11865 - - 11744 - - 6252 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4178 - - -1155 - - -8462 - - -4944 ODpotential blCL - - - 13910 - - 13078 - - 13618 - - 10099 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 91 - - 87 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 300 - - 130 - - 1400 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.1 - - 85.1 - - 82.7 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 50.5 - - 48.8 - - 61.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.5 - - 83.0 - - 82.7 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 50.4 - - 48.8 - - 60.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 374 - - 264 - - -5 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4883 - - 7074 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 63 - - 48 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97712 21 271 28 267 32 266 31 280 97712 90423 7 315 16 265 18 284 16 252 90423 84785 2 302 7 267 9 293 10 330 84785 80097 12 332 4 131 2 232 6 022 80097 76089 7 298 5 051 6 002 6 057 76089 72580 6 176 6 030 10 011 7 050 72580 69413 3 090 5 348 11 001 8 018 69413 66515 3 020 2 125 2 071 6 004 66515 63837 9 209 10 187 10 193 1 137 63837 61262 14 179 16 195 15 208 13 205 61262 58621 14 194 19 205 20 207 23 211 58621 55915 16 221 23 204 26 191 25 200 55915 53331 23 208 26 209 28 198 25 194 53331 50991 27 210 30 216 29 212 27 204 50991 48879 30 209 31 212 29 215 32 212 48879 46941 30 196 29 207 28 213 33 211 46941 45143 25 196 24 213 25 216 26 212 45143 43461 24 218 22 220 23 221 22 220 43461 41878 25 216 24 224 22 222 23 227 41878 40382 22 209 23 227 21 224 23 217 40382 38972 19 210 23 224 22 223 23 211 38972 37617 19 208 24 218 22 219 23 212 37617 36250 22 203 26 213 24 214 25 215 36250 34847 29 202 29 217 29 223 30 219 34847 33418 32 208 35 219 36 229 35 220 33418 31950 34 209 41 222 39 227 39 221 31950 30429 36 212 41 224 42 221 40 219 30429 28855 36 220 41 220 42 221 40 220 28855 27232 35 219 41 221 40 225 39 220 27232 25566 35 215 41 225 39 224 38 219 25566 23864 36 214 41 222 40 218 38 216 23864 22121 34 214 40 216 41 212 39 212 22121 20328 32 214 38 214 40 209 38 210 20328 18516 31 216 36 213 37 212 37 213 18516 16780 31 214 34 213 33 217 35 218 16780 15205 29 213 30 214 27 216 32 223 15205 13799 27 216 25 215 20 212 27 224 13799 12537 24 221 17*208 14 209 20 224 12537 11400 18 223 12*201 11 209 14 221 11400 10375 10*231 12 201 11 211 11 223 10375 9452 5*243 11 201 11 214 9 226 9452 8624 4 247 10 201 12 216 6 218 8624 7882 4 248 9 202 12 218 6 180 7882 7207 4 248 9 203 13 219 9 150 7207 6602 4 245 8 204 13 220 13 139 6602 6091 4 243 8 204 13 221 14 133 6091 5694 4 241 7 204 13 221 12 126 5694 5419 3 240 7 204 12 221 9 110 5419 5252 3 240 6 205 11*221 7 101 5252 5155 3 241 6 205 8*221 4*095 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography