DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.2 - - 75.6 - - 80.0 - - 76.9 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 211 - - 577 - - 502 - - 112 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2393 - - 5696 - - 8548 - - 4705 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 6210 - - 9121 - - 11389 - - 7558 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 7242 - - 10545 - - 13397 - - 9554 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1240 - - 1272 - - 1569 - - 4803 - - 3426 Hgt.Variab. W* 334 - - 624 - - 682 - - 339 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 17 - - 18 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 288 - - 269 - - 264 - - 285 - - 218 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 9 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - -6 - - -4 - - -13 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4259 - - -2891 - - -2097 - - -5366 - - -8390 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11502 - - 13436 - - 15495 - - 14921 - - 13546 sfcLCL ODpotential -9483 - - -7537 - - -6475 - - -8003 - - -13504 ODpotential blCL 16725 - - 18082 - - 19872 - - 17557 - - 18659 blCL maxRH 64 - - 65 - - 69 - - 70 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.2 - - 75.6 - - 80.0 - - 76.9 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 34.2 - - 29.2 - - 29.1 - - 27.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.6 - - 72.3 - - 76.9 - - 76.0 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.7 - - 34.1 - - 29.2 - - 29.0 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 211 - - 577 - - 502 - - 112 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2393 - - 5696 - - 8548 - - 4705 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97992 7 270 7 275 4 342 7 075 5 050 97992 90503 6 175 11 207 9 145 6 214 12 276 90503 84764 3 272 9 234 10 201 5 224 4 263 84764 80015 9 322 2 148 12 193 2 279 1 246 80015 75918 18 300 10 291 11 271 8 241 7 313 75918 72333 6 284 9 273 11 339 10 166 10 201 72333 69115 6 274 13 300 18 305 19 312 15 295 69115 66187 16 253 23 238 26 254 28 274 22 293 66187 63497 7 323 17 285 17 242 14 228 12 232 63497 60901 25 311 16 324 6 167 19 238 24 238 60901 58199 51 270 35 285 31 274 39 254 28 259 58199 55366 53 249 56 253 46 253 47 264 43 281 55366 52641 54 252 58 253 56 251 57 257 62 265 52641 50204 76 263 73 256 69 250 70 257 74 259 50204 48032 82 260 87 259 85 257 84 258 86 259 48032 46069 88 257 87 261 99 257 95 254 98 256 46069 44280 89 259 86 261 108 254 105 250 107 251 44280 42629 90 261 99 260 108 252 108 249 111 250 42629 41082 89 260 106 260 105 253 105 248 110 248 41082 39620 88 257 99 258 107 253 105 248 109 246 39620 38241 90 255 98 255 109 250 104 248 109 245 38241 36915 92 255 102 252 108 247 103 248 109 245 36915 35578 92 254 102 250 106 246 103 246 108 244 35578 34203 89 254 101 249 104 245 103 243 108 242 34203 32797 85 253 96 248 99 246 103 242 107 241 32797 31350 81 253 89 247 93 245 101 242 104 242 31350 29857 78 254 82 245 87 244 97 242 98 243 29857 28321 75 255 79 246 82 244 91 244 92 242 28321 26744 74 255 76 247 78 245 84 246 85 242 26744 25130 72 254 74 248 75 246 78 247 78 242 25130 23479 69 251 72 247 72 247 75 246 72 241 23479 21782 66 249 70 247 71 248 75 246 67 241 21782 20031 62 249 67 247 70 248 71 242 63 244 20031 18262 57 251 63 248 68 247 55 233 57 243 18262 16568 50 252 57 249 58 244 41 227 50 230 16568 15027 45 250 52 249 43 240 33 226 46 216 15027 13647 42 246 48 249 26*243 29 230 43 214 13647 12407 39 243 42 253 21*249 24 238 40 220 12407 11289 37 243 32*258 20 250 20 252 38 229 11289 10280 35 249 21*264 18 261 18*267 36 240 10280 9373 33 259 18 268 18 264 18*271 29 250 9373 8561 31 270 17 269 17 267 18 281 22 260 8561 7833 29*280 17 270 17 269 18 285 18 272 7833 7171 23*287 17 270 17 271 18 287 17 286 7171 6578 19 289 16 271 17 272 18 288 17 295 6578 6075 18 289 16 271 17 273 17 289 15 299 6075 5686 17 288 15 271 16 274 17 289 12 296 5686 5415 16 288 15 272 16 275 16 290 8 282 5415 5250 15 288 14 272 15 275 15 290 5*258 5250 5155 12 287 13 271 14 275 13 290 4*218 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography