DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.0 - - 71.6 - - 71.9 - - 66.6 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 95 - - 368 - - 280 - - 8 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 978 - - 3268 - - 3737 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 7052 - - 7320 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5827 - - 8117 - - 8586 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 686 - - 1116 - - 1647 - - 3644 - - 1543 Hgt.Variab. W* 191 - - 446 - - 427 - - 62 - - 86 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 3 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 16 - - 16 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 180 - - 179 - - 159 - - 160 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -612 - - -458 - - -193 - - -1318 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6439 - - 8575 - - 8780 - - 6473 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -5245 - - -3483 - - -2396 - - -3381 - - 0 ODpotential blCL 11072 - - 11600 - - 10982 - - 8536 - - 5154 blCL maxRH 76 - - 82 - - 82 - - 91 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 100 - - 610 - - 550 - - 990 - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m 63.0 - - 71.6 - - 71.9 - - 66.6 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.3 - - 51.5 - - 50.9 - - 55.6 - - 58.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.0 - - 69.1 - - 69.9 - - 66.4 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.2 - - 51.4 - - 50.8 - - 55.4 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 95 - - 368 - - 280 - - 8 - - 25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 978 - - 3268 - - 3737 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 29 - - 27 - - 65 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97675 30 246 30 245 25 250 29 254 28 282 97675 90252 20 247 18 254 18 247 13 247 19 271 90252 84603 17 247 15 235 15 255 7 279 10 256 84603 79971 16 247 15 240 14 258 8 289 9 260 79971 75979 10 235 12 239 12 262 8 271 10 266 75979 72446 7 248 8 234 8 252 7 239 8 259 72446 69251 7 258 2 244 6 223 7 232 6 257 69251 66315 7 241 8 229 5 202 8 262 7 237 66315 63624 4 254 5 224 7 231 6 262 7 262 63624 61042 10 231 15 226 10 249 11 252 13 260 61042 58351 11 211 12 220 18 220 20 223 22 231 58351 55574 23 254 19 255 19 228 16 230 25 210 55574 52932 34 232 34 234 25 233 23 239 25 224 52932 50543 33 217 34 220 36 232 36 227 36 222 50543 48378 37 225 38 224 43 221 35 216 36 217 48378 46381 49 229 42 227 41 221 36 228 41 226 46381 44527 54 226 52 233 50 229 50 235 55 232 44527 42808 62 226 65 228 62 226 65 234 71 230 42808 41215 70 224 73 224 70 222 77 229 80 228 41215 39745 65 220 69 220 72 220 81 225 60 219 39745 38384 55 214 63 216 70 217 80 215 44 210 38384 37078 52 206 65 208 68 214 72 216 39 206 37078 35761 55 194 70 202 67 212 57 216 36 204 35761 34404 55 190 73 202 63 207 55 210 34 203 34404 33011 57 191 67 204 59 204 53 210 31 200 33011 31570 57 199 61 204 58 204 50 212 28 196 31570 30074 59 212 60 207 57 207 49 213 29 196 30074 28527 58 216 54 211 55 213 47 217 33 200 28527 26932 51 212 47 205 51 215 45 219 36 207 26932 25291 47 206 46 202 47 211 41 216 33 210 25291 23605 43 207 42 206 44 211 37 210 32 211 23605 21871 36 209 36 215 40 211 31 203 31 210 21871 20086 32 216 32 224 36 211 26 196 29 204 20086 18287 26 228 27 224 30 212 25 189 29 195 18287 16567 21 234 21 221 23 218 21 188 27 187 16567 15008 18 243 16 217 19 222 18 194 23 182 15008 13619 14 245 13 219 17 217 18 208 19 182 13619 12376 11 229 14 225 17 215 21 218 16 190 12376 11260 16 223 18 225 15 207 22 219 15 200 11260 10253 21 218 20 224 13 189 20 212 14 202 10253 9347 23 210 18 217 14*173 19 201 14 195 9347 8535 20 203 15*195 15*164 19 189 13 184 8535 7808 19 199 16*182 16 160 19 175 12 179 7808 7149 20 195 16 180 16 159 18 165 11 185 7149 6560 24 182 16 179 16 158 18 164 11 190 6560 6063 23*180 16 179 16 158 18 162 10 185 6063 5678 19*179 16 178 16 158 17 161 8 183 5678 5411 18 179 15 178 15 158 16 160 7 183 5411 5248 16 180 14 178 14 157 15*160 7*183 5248 5154 12 181 12 178 13 157 11*160 5*184 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography