DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 76.7 - - 88.6 - - 90.9 - - 89.5 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 222 - - 528 - - 527 - - 183 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1871 - - 9200 - - 9865 - - 7230 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5852 - - 11948 - - 12494 - - 9789 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 6720 - - 14049 - - 14714 - - 12079 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1384 - - 1576 - - 2204 - - 3588 - - 2595 Hgt.Variab. W* 313 - - 711 - - 727 - - 461 - - 18 W* B/S 4 - - 24 - - 22 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 069 - - 076 - - 107 - - 132 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 16 - - 3 - - 8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2607 - - 494 - - 408 - - -2676 - - -4420 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9328 - - 13556 - - 14307 - - 14756 - - 9575 sfcLCL ODpotential -5696 - - -1718 - - -1005 - - -5224 - - -8992 ODpotential blCL 12416 - - 15767 - - 15719 - - 17303 - - 14147 blCL maxRH 67 - - 67 - - 67 - - 60 - - 49 maxRH CAPE 210 - - 190 - - 280 - - 50 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m 76.7 - - 88.6 - - 90.9 - - 89.5 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.4 - - 46.5 - - 45.4 - - 42.3 - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.8 - - 85.1 - - 87.5 - - 87.7 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.3 - - 46.3 - - 45.3 - - 42.1 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 222 - - 528 - - 527 - - 183 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1871 - - 9200 - - 9865 - - 7230 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98984 36 087 35 093 41 099 33 113 25 089 98984 91496 39 097 33 099 34 099 34 104 33 082 91496 85717 35 101 39 097 29 101 37 096 37 083 85717 80938 29 106 35 095 28 102 29 101 34 089 80938 76841 35 106 27 100 24 106 22 097 29 095 76841 73247 37 096 26 113 22 109 21 089 22 096 73247 70008 31 080 30 118 22 104 23 091 18 097 70008 67034 15 063 27 102 22 098 26 101 19 102 67034 64286 3 165 21 087 21 102 26 094 23 096 64286 61655 13 159 17 099 18 109 19 088 24 084 61655 58949 19 107 23 110 18 098 17 092 22 084 58949 56166 27 082 28 087 25 087 21 087 22 081 56166 53521 30 059 32 072 30 081 26 077 25 072 53521 51132 29 049 33 064 31 073 28 070 27 067 51132 48975 29 054 33 064 31 069 29 064 29 069 48975 46998 30 055 32 066 32 071 29 061 31 069 46998 45166 29 055 31 069 32 074 30 063 33 066 45166 43455 30 057 33 071 33 074 32 067 35 067 43455 41851 32 055 35 067 36 072 34 070 37 068 41851 40348 33 053 36 059 36 070 32 071 37 062 40348 38933 32 057 36 057 35 067 31 076 36 062 38933 37572 30 064 34 063 30 065 28 079 35 063 37572 36206 26 073 29 063 19 063 20 085 29 066 36206 34813 23 083 21 077 10 086 11 092 18 067 34813 33396 21 093 18 091 10 088 9 091 11 077 33396 31940 23 099 10 102 7 063 10 076 9 096 31940 30431 22 094 4 130 6 041 12 063 9 096 30431 28873 18 083 3 124 7 037 14 058 11 084 28873 27267 15 077 4 082 9 041 15 055 12 078 27267 25617 12 084 6 078 10 046 15 052 14 070 25617 23927 13 078 7 091 9 046 14 050 16 059 23927 22193 14 066 9 092 8 062 12 054 17 052 22193 20406 17 059 12 080 11 077 13 062 19 046 20406 18596 18 050 16 068 11 067 13 047 21 036 18596 16856 19 051 17 058 9 040 15 020 19 038 16856 15270 22 051 13*052 5*006 11 352 19 039 15270 13852 24 050 9*045 5*007 8 343 16 011 13852 12579 19 058 8 046 4 015 5*350 14 342 12579 11432 14 052 6 054 4 039 3*029 11 336 11432 10399 12 052 5 065 4 058 4 084 7 346 10399 9469 9 047 5 073 6 082 7 105 3 005 9469 8636 4 287 5 081 8 088 8 109 3 140 8636 7890 14 242 5 086 9 090 9 111 10 145 7890 7212 18*230 5 092 9 092 10 112 18 140 7212 6606 16*223 5 096 10 092 10 112 24 136 6606 6094 13 218 5 097 10 093 10 113 24 135 6094 5697 13 218 5 100 11 093 10 112 22 134 5697 5421 12 218 5 101 11 094 10 112 19 133 5421 5252 11 217 5 101 10 094 10 112 16 132 5252 5155 10 218 4 101 9 093 9 112 11*132 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography