DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.0 - - 71.7 - - 75.1 - - 74.2 - - 64.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 169 - - 548 - - 520 - - 92 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2563 - - 7876 - - 9825 - - 8089 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 6241 - - 10875 - - 12453 - - 9883 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 7412 - - 12725 - - 14674 - - 12938 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2945 - - 2354 - - 1813 - - 5745 - - 3203 Hgt.Variab. W* 317 - - 682 - - 722 - - 380 - - 8 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 19 - - 22 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 283 - - 260 - - 252 - - 250 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -9 - - -20 - - -20 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2644 - - -1040 - - -143 - - -1705 - - -7219 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10057 - - 13766 - - 14817 - - 14643 - - 12375 sfcLCL ODpotential -4861 - - -2782 - - -1767 - - -2857 - - -10754 ODpotential blCL 12273 - - 15507 - - 16441 - - 15795 - - 15909 blCL maxRH 65 - - 70 - - 65 - - 87 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 64.0 - - 71.7 - - 75.1 - - 74.2 - - 64.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.8 - - 28.8 - - 27.4 - - 27.5 - - 28.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.5 - - 68.5 - - 72.2 - - 73.2 - - 68.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.7 - - 28.7 - - 27.3 - - 27.5 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 169 - - 548 - - 520 - - 92 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2563 - - 7876 - - 9825 - - 8089 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 48 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97492 29 316 34 310 28 316 33 311 31 314 97492 90162 35 322 29 326 27 310 30 332 32 337 90162 84483 32 339 21 343 23 335 28 336 34 347 84483 79760 18 353 20 005 16 001 13 335 17 342 79760 75729 8 344 14 319 11 352 12 039 9 040 75729 72189 5 356 2 041 4 178 2 344 3 041 72189 68993 12 272 8 260 1 245 11 232 2 268 68993 66086 15 192 24 221 7 245 14 217 15 206 66086 63391 9 156 27 166 11 249 17 165 14 205 63391 60738 51 249 53 246 49 250 40 254 17 257 60738 57946 63 222 63 234 63 236 57 245 54 244 57946 55077 49 228 55 230 58 230 57 241 66 240 55077 52357 63 235 55 236 66 230 68 238 71 238 52357 49907 70 221 67 227 74 221 75 230 68 236 49907 47704 62 212 64 227 69 221 69 232 68 245 47704 45709 64 233 69 238 70 237 75 240 84 248 45709 43888 93 244 82 244 86 241 91 241 102 246 43888 42207 117 238 96 244 96 239 101 240 109 245 42207 40638 122 232 108 242 97 240 102 241 107 246 40638 39169 117 229 114 240 97 243 94 242 102 249 39169 37794 103 230 107 236 100 241 89 245 100 253 37794 36482 88 232 98 235 101 239 92 247 99 254 36482 35168 77 234 81 236 97 240 91 246 96 256 35168 33823 71 236 74 235 86 241 86 246 90 258 33823 32452 66 236 73 234 72 239 77 247 81 259 32452 31044 63 237 71 235 69 236 71 246 75 259 31044 29589 62 239 68 234 70 236 67 243 71 255 29589 28088 62 238 66 234 71 238 65 241 67 249 28088 26543 61 236 65 234 70 239 66 242 65 245 26543 24953 59 233 64 234 68 239 67 244 62 245 24953 23321 58 232 59 235 61 241 64 247 60 247 23321 21647 58 232 54 234 52 243 56 249 53 242 21647 19925 57 233 50 233 45 245 47 250 45 233 19925 18183 53 236 46 233 42 245 38 249 40 232 18183 16507 46 239 41 235 38 244 34 248 33 236 16507 14977 38 239 36 237 30*244 28 246 27 239 14977 13608 31 237 30*241 25*246 23*244 23 241 13608 12378 28 238 24*247 24 248 20*244 19 241 12378 11268 25 244 22 251 23 249 19 245 15 240 11268 10267 24 253 20 256 23 250 17 247 13 241 10267 9365 24 262 19 259 22 252 16 249 11 246 9365 8556 23 271 19 263 22 254 15 251 9 254 8556 7829 21*278 18 265 22 254 14 253 7 266 7829 7168 18*284 18 265 21 255 14 254 6 286 7168 6575 16 285 18 267 21 256 14 255 6 308 6575 6073 13 283 17 268 20 257 13 256 6 322 6073 5684 12 281 17 268 20 257 13 256 6 332 5684 5414 11 280 16 268 19 257 12 257 6 338 5414 5249 11 280 15 269 18 258 12 256 5*349 5249 5155 9 279 14 268 16 257 10 257 4*356 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography