DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.5 - - 59.3 - - 62.8 - - - - - 48.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 10 - - 292 - - 212 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2868 - - 3836 - - - - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5136 - - 6673 - - 7275 - - - - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7717 - - 8685 - - - - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 478 - - 1236 - - 1338 - - - - - 148 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 395 - - 391 - - - - - 0 W* B/S 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 261 - - 265 - - - - - 325 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -7 - - -11 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2469 - - -4048 - - -4341 - - - - - -4596 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7622 - - 11766 - - 13027 - - - - - 9749 sfcLCL ODpotential -11407 - - -10156 - - -10320 - - - - - -13984 ODpotential blCL 16560 - - 17873 - - 19005 - - - - - 19137 blCL maxRH 59 - - 56 - - 81 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.5 - - 59.3 - - 62.8 - - - - - 48.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 25.8 - - 23.8 - - - - - 24.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.3 - - 57.2 - - 61.1 - - - - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 25.6 - - 23.6 - - - - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 10 - - 292 - - 212 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2868 - - 3836 - - - - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 24 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96614 36 280 47 271 36 270 31 277 96614 89460 20 283 30 264 26 287 21 284 89460 83966 18 286 9 301 11 256 24 297 83966 79388 11 260 11 304 7 286 20 277 79388 75444 3 161 10 255 10 290 8 284 75444 71962 3 241 4 208 13 277 6 342 71962 68806 5 123 7 135 7 209 8 328 68806 65919 3 185 1 207 3 126 6 188 65919 63273 13 221 11 215 10 222 11 232 63273 60740 21 240 16 201 16 220 24 197 60740 58084 27 251 22 253 22 259 34 249 58084 55296 46 246 45 245 47 246 52 243 55296 52616 53 238 51 232 54 232 59 234 52616 50189 47 232 49 228 54 226 59 235 50189 48009 47 231 49 230 54 228 62 241 48009 46029 49 233 53 235 57 234 67 245 46029 44208 53 235 62 238 66 241 71 247 44208 42515 58 239 68 238 74 243 72 249 42515 40934 66 246 72 242 76 244 71 253 40934 39453 75 249 78 245 80 246 75 256 39453 38069 78 248 82 243 85 245 82 256 38069 36748 77 247 82 242 84 244 88 254 36748 35425 77 248 82 244 85 246 87 253 35425 34070 78 248 84 244 88 249 84 252 34070 32683 79 247 86 245 86 246 81 253 32683 31254 82 246 87 246 83 247 77 254 31254 29773 84 247 86 246 81 247 70 254 29773 28243 82 248 85 246 79 246 59 250 28243 26670 77 248 82 247 76 246 47 246 26670 25056 70 247 72 244 70 248 37 250 25056 23401 63 247 62 241 61 249 32 257 23401 21699 56 248 53 241 47 251 31 260 21699 19942 48 248 46 245 35 257 30 260 19942 18164 41 246 41 248 29 263 28 257 18164 16457 35 244 37 249 27 263 24 251 16457 14905 32 243 33 249 27 258 22 250 14905 13523 30 244 30 251 27 253 20 253 13523 12286 29 248 26 255 24 250 19 255 12286 11177 28 253 23 262 19 252 16 258 11177 10180 27 258 20 270 12 254 13 258 10180 9285 26 262 18 275 8*260 9 250 9285 8487 25 264 16 275 8*261 5 213 8487 7771 23 264 13*270 8 263 6 171 7771 7122 20 264 10*265 8 264 6 160 7122 6541 17 270 10 262 8 265 6 157 6541 6050 15 280 10 261 8 267 3 151 6050 5670 12 287 9 259 8 268 0 137 5670 5406 6 282 9 258 8 269 1 338 5406 5246 3*248 8 258 8 269 1 339 5246 5153 2*186 8 258 7 269 1*325 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography