DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.9 - - 85.0 - - 89.9 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 221 - - 535 - - 506 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2403 - - 5630 - - 7964 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 6232 - - 9040 - - 10914 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 7252 - - 10479 - - 12813 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1318 - - 1507 - - 1304 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 339 - - 605 - - 667 - - - - - - W* B/S 5 - - 21 - - 18 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 13 - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 201 - - 158 - - 151 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 9 - - 17 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 90 - - 340 - - 1007 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7163 - - 10140 - - 11806 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -3839 - - -915 - - -653 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 11091 - - 11394 - - 13466 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 83 - - 81 - - 72 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 400 - - 790 - - 940 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 74.9 - - 85.0 - - 89.9 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.7 - - 57.9 - - 55.5 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.0 - - 81.5 - - 86.6 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.6 - - 57.8 - - 55.4 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 221 - - 535 - - 506 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2403 - - 5630 - - 7964 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 31 - - 25 - - 0 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98793 30 114 31 108 33 102 98793 91353 41 085 42 095 39 099 91353 85636 38 077 38 090 38 092 85636 80897 27 080 30 087 32 087 80897 76824 30 085 31 095 30 095 76824 73238 33 088 38 099 33 100 73238 70009 33 088 36 098 29 100 70009 67054 29 093 29 098 25 098 67054 64324 28 103 27 096 25 093 64324 61701 29 102 27 086 25 089 61701 58997 29 088 27 086 28 085 58997 56223 31 064 31 082 31 079 56223 53597 31 054 36 074 36 072 53597 51241 31 070 36 071 39 065 51241 49123 36 085 34 078 34 067 49123 47191 32 085 31 086 25 076 47191 45401 25 078 26 085 20 077 45401 43726 16 083 18 083 18 072 43726 42148 12 106 10 091 17 065 42148 40655 12 109 9 106 14 059 40655 39245 14 103 11 112 10 060 39245 37887 15 105 15 120 9 079 37887 36518 15 111 15 120 10 078 36518 35113 12 108 11 093 16 063 35113 33675 8 105 10 083 15 067 33675 32193 4 161 4 081 9 053 32193 30658 3 198 1 341 7 014 30658 29073 1 167 4 035 8 030 29073 27446 3 084 9 068 7 064 27446 25780 7 113 10 069 8 082 25780 24074 10 126 8 084 4 095 24074 22322 13 130 7 124 3 131 22322 20515 17 134 9 132 6 134 20515 18688 16 131 12 146 7 160 18688 16933 15 111 12 142 7 163 16933 15336 19 095 11 119 6 135 15336 13911 21 091 12 106 5*143 13911 12635 21 094 12 112 4*151 12635 11486 22 097 8*123 5 151 11486 10450 18 090 5*146 6 152 10450 9516 11 087 5 152 6 152 9516 8678 5 141 5 156 7 151 8678 7927 11*200 5 158 8 151 7927 7242 13*202 5 160 8 150 7242 6628 13 201 6 161 8 150 6628 6109 13 201 6 162 9 150 6109 5706 13 201 6 162 9 149 5706 5426 12 201 5 162 9 149 5426 5255 11 200 5 161 8 149 5255 5156 10 200 5 162 8 149 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography