DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/10 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 56.8 - - 54.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 172 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1319 - - 2195 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5137 - - 6011 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6168 - - 7044 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1655 - - 2782 - - 4287 - - 1749 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 187 - - 309 - - 53 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 15 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 204 - - 235 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -6 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1014 - - 597 - - -284 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5154 - - 6447 - - 5438 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -541 - - -1113 - - -1581 - - -2083 ODpotential blCL - - - 6709 - - 8157 - - 6735 - - 7237 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 310 - - 60 - - 70 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.7 - - 56.8 - - 54.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 46.2 - - 48.5 - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 55.5 - - 54.7 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 45.4 - - 47.9 - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 172 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1319 - - 2195 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 80 - - 92 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96426 4 340 5 352 7 058 16 064 96426 89295 13 088 15 109 12 064 18 057 89295 83808 16 103 17 074 11 085 13 049 83808 79224 20 086 9 123 8 091 12 053 79224 75271 12 071 14 110 9 127 6 100 75271 71805 6 133 11 021 10 103 12 130 71805 68697 7 182 8 342 8 002 8 079 68697 65860 7 205 11 236 10 300 6 286 65860 63240 8 222 15 191 18 236 12 252 63240 60703 27 272 21 260 19 262 25 265 60703 58034 46 251 47 248 32 260 30 263 58034 55247 46 248 50 243 33 248 47 264 55247 52582 55 251 53 249 57 262 46 254 52582 50155 59 242 58 255 62 259 49 268 50155 47955 55 242 66 258 71 259 63 274 47955 45954 61 248 73 253 76 251 82 268 45954 44122 66 249 73 248 64 236 84 259 44122 42426 70 249 73 245 57 225 84 252 42426 40838 71 247 68 247 53 244 83 257 40838 39351 74 237 58 249 73 269 83 263 39351 37971 75 227 55 251 88 276 80 269 37971 36663 71 225 56 251 80 285 78 274 36663 35355 69 225 55 242 75 295 74 281 35355 34012 68 227 54 236 64 304 69 288 34012 32637 66 230 50 234 58 324 64 294 32637 31218 54 230 41 230 63 333 63 296 31218 29743 33 219 28 214 58 330 60 298 29743 28218 26 206 17 175 44 315 52 300 28218 26644 26 211 14 166 28 305 42 303 26644 25021 26 216 11 170 26 305 36 308 25021 23353 29 217 8 188 31 310 32 306 23353 21642 31 219 8 209 29 319 28 305 21642 19883 33 223 8 236 20 330 23 317 19883 18106 33 227 18 229 14 339 23 338 18106 16400 30 235 28 232 9 332 25 350 16400 14851 21 244 30 241 8 302 23 356 14851 13472 13 226 27 251 10 311 20 355 13472 12243 12 202 23 254 10 316 18 353 12243 11142 13 198 21 241 10 300 14 346 11142 10154 15 207 24 230 11 277 10 326 10154 9268 16 216 24 228 12 258 8 295 9268 8475 16 228 23 226 12 250 8 267 8475 7765 15 239 22 223 12 246 9 260 7765 7119 14 242 20*217 12 240 9 262 7119 6539 14*240 17*209 11 237 9 266 6539 6050 13*238 16 204 11 236 9 269 6050 5670 13 237 15 203 10 235 8 268 5670 5406 12 236 15 202 10 235 7 260 5406 5246 11 236 14 202 9*235 5*250 5246 5154 9 236 12 201 7*235 4*247 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography