DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.7 - - 66.7 - - 70.4 - - 65.6 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 342 - - 279 - - -30 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 2367 - - 3256 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6346 - - 6953 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5247 - - 7216 - - 8105 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 447 - - 841 - - 1290 - - 2879 - - 235 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 391 - - 407 - - 14 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 16 - - 16 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 205 - - 222 - - 213 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -7 - - -13 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2832 - - -4412 - - -3196 - - -5182 - - -1936 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8080 - - 11629 - - 11301 - - 10337 - - 7090 sfcLCL ODpotential -12523 - - -11492 - - -9352 - - -12218 - - -10447 ODpotential blCL 17770 - - 18708 - - 17457 - - 17372 - - 15601 blCL maxRH 52 - - 41 - - 52 - - 57 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.7 - - 66.7 - - 70.4 - - 65.6 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.4 - - 33.8 - - 38.6 - - 38.2 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 64.4 - - 68.3 - - 67.1 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 33.6 - - 38.5 - - 38.2 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 342 - - 279 - - -30 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 398 - - 2367 - - 3256 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97213 49 267 55 275 52 272 53 264 60 267 97213 89879 38 273 45 277 40 279 42 278 46 279 89879 84232 29 266 27 278 25 276 28 283 32 283 84232 79605 17 249 15 266 15 277 18 294 16 304 79605 75657 3 264 8 214 12 269 15 295 12 359 75657 72151 9 014 5 156 10 238 10 283 12 334 72151 68968 8 342 3 320 2 273 5 298 4 326 68968 66039 6 326 7 288 9 299 6 277 8 280 66039 63318 11 287 16 294 17 310 11 287 13 271 63318 60703 17 289 28 268 32 286 20 303 23 288 60703 58008 24 284 29 266 31 267 33 281 28 289 58008 55237 36 272 35 287 35 280 43 279 46 282 55237 52615 51 282 54 287 53 277 54 276 58 272 52615 50265 71 286 66 289 63 283 61 281 63 275 50265 48154 74 280 73 281 76 277 76 280 78 277 48154 46233 71 282 75 276 80 270 79 271 85 266 46233 44465 73 290 76 276 79 272 76 264 82 258 44465 42814 74 286 76 277 78 272 74 262 79 257 42814 41260 77 278 77 273 77 269 73 261 79 258 41260 39792 81 276 80 271 76 268 71 261 76 259 39792 38408 80 275 79 267 76 265 72 259 73 260 38408 37077 76 274 74 265 76 259 74 256 70 261 37077 35736 74 274 73 264 73 257 74 253 70 261 35736 34358 72 273 72 264 72 257 74 252 71 259 34358 32951 70 270 69 263 70 258 71 252 69 257 32951 31506 66 268 67 261 67 257 67 252 66 255 31506 30011 62 267 62 261 62 259 63 253 60 253 30011 28470 56 268 57 263 57 261 57 255 52 253 28470 26885 49 269 51 265 51 264 49 256 44 254 26885 25258 43 270 44 268 45 267 43 258 37 254 25258 23590 34 274 37 270 38 268 36 259 32 256 23590 21876 28 274 31 266 32 269 31 262 28 258 21876 20109 25 272 29 260 30 267 29 264 26 259 20109 18320 24 269 30 254 30 262 30 263 26 259 18320 16602 24 265 30 253 31 258 30 263 27 261 16602 15039 23 259 29 255 31 257 30 263 28 266 15039 13645 21 253 27 256 30 258 28 266 29 271 13645 12397 18 251 25 252 28 258 27 269 31 273 12397 11276 17 251 24 248 26 257 26 272 32 274 11276 10266 17 252 23 246 24 257 25 271 30 274 10266 9359 18 250 23 245 23 251 22 268 26 273 9359 8548 18 245 22 239 18*238 18 259 22 268 8548 7820 18 239 20*228 17*228 16 245 20 259 7820 7159 17 227 16*207 16 224 16 228 20 244 7159 6566 17 212 16 205 16 222 17 221 20 227 6566 6066 18 195 16 204 16 221 17 218 19 209 6066 5679 18 181 16 204 16 220 16 216 20 190 5679 5411 13*180 15 204 15 220 15 215 16 186 5411 5247 10*181 14 204 14 220 12 214 11*192 5247 5154 7 183 12 204 12 219 8*213 6*203 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography