DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.9 - - 92.7 - - 89.5 - - 75.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 512 - - 467 - - 191 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9518 - - 9934 - - 6898 - - 405 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12193 - - 12490 - - 9558 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14367 - - 14783 - - 11747 - - 5254 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2081 - - 1922 - - 2751 - - 1453 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 711 - - 700 - - 460 - - 65 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 15 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 067 - - 075 - - 094 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 2 - - 11 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -23 - - 15 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1324 - - 1725 - - -269 - - -1752 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13044 - - 13059 - - 12017 - - 7006 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -686 - - 72 - - -2130 - - -6713 ODpotential blCL - - - 15053 - - 14711 - - 13877 - - 11967 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 72 - - 73 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 760 - - 770 - - 980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.9 - - 92.7 - - 89.5 - - 75.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 52.8 - - 54.2 - - 61.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.5 - - 89.6 - - 87.9 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 52.6 - - 54.2 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 512 - - 467 - - 191 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9518 - - 9934 - - 6898 - - 405 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98967 37 101 45 107 34 095 34 077 98967 91481 49 099 48 099 34 101 29 096 91481 85698 45 091 48 094 40 092 37 099 85698 80916 36 084 38 087 39 085 45 091 80916 76852 31 085 27 089 30 079 37 083 76852 73292 28 095 22 098 24 084 25 079 73292 70064 27 098 23 101 24 091 23 078 70064 67096 28 100 24 100 23 098 23 087 67096 64361 30 097 25 103 22 098 22 091 64361 61743 19 091 29 105 24 099 23 086 61743 59058 20 107 29 086 26 101 25 089 59058 56310 19 073 19 068 21 081 24 073 56310 53702 14 081 17 073 17 078 18 064 53702 51339 19 077 23 070 23 064 20 059 51339 49204 21 070 25 065 28 057 20 062 49204 47250 22 074 25 067 24 060 19 065 47250 45441 25 074 21 077 20 064 19 068 45441 43750 27 076 21 080 18 070 22 071 43750 42158 18 065 22 078 17 074 22 066 42158 40658 9 345 20 074 12 081 18 067 40658 39246 1 053 17 074 9 081 10 069 39246 37890 3 070 14 069 4 070 8 060 37890 36522 12 086 14 070 7 062 10 068 36522 35116 17 092 15 072 9 087 12 081 35116 33681 21 083 19 077 13 130 10 127 33681 32204 22 079 22 088 16 124 11 125 32204 30674 24 080 22 090 15 112 14 099 30674 29096 27 095 22 086 15 105 16 097 29096 27470 26 095 24 083 19 099 18 098 27470 25798 26 089 25 083 21 099 19 094 25798 24086 26 085 21 087 19 097 18 092 24086 22329 25 083 21 086 19 092 18 089 22329 20518 22 075 21 079 21 089 19 084 20518 18686 20 071 19 064 21 072 19 079 18686 16928 18 070 14 062 21 050 20 073 16928 15328 18*074 11*067 17 034 22 068 15328 13900 18*076 11*069 12 033 21 064 13900 12619 16 073 12 071 10*048 19 061 12619 11464 14 065 12 073 10*054 17 061 11464 10424 13 062 13 074 12 077 14 064 10424 9488 13 061 13 075 14 089 13 071 9488 8650 12 062 14 076 16 095 13 080 8650 7899 12 063 14 076 17 099 13 090 7899 7217 12 065 14 077 17 101 14 107 7217 6608 12 067 15 078 18 102 22 128 6608 6094 12 068 15 078 18 102 23 131 6094 5697 12 069 14 078 17 103 22 131 5697 5421 12 070 14 078 17 103 20*131 5421 5253 11 070 14 078 16 103 17*131 5253 5156 10 070 12 078 14 103 12 130 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography