DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 71.6 - - 62.4 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 199 - - -39 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 3010 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5842 - - 6635 - - 5138 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6684 - - 7859 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 953 - - 1358 - - 1072 - - 72 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 353 - - 0 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 253 - - 242 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -16 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8055 - - -8241 - - -8864 - - -6740 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14740 - - 16101 - - 14018 - - 11894 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14483 - - -13577 - - -16176 - - -15616 ODpotential blCL - - - 21167 - - 21436 - - 21330 - - 20770 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 31 - - 33 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 71.6 - - 62.4 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 19.0 - - 19.8 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 70.1 - - 65.1 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 19.0 - - 19.7 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 234 - - 199 - - -39 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1835 - - 3010 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96634 41 257 33 258 43 261 36 267 96634 89377 25 270 26 241 26 259 22 283 89377 83818 16 275 17 258 17 232 20 278 83818 79215 13 265 16 286 9 269 15 244 79215 75244 13 237 13 272 11 285 12 246 75244 71742 15 233 13 274 15 259 17 267 71742 68589 15 254 17 244 18 257 21 269 68589 65703 14 270 19 284 17 270 16 277 65703 63041 29 288 32 296 33 294 31 303 63041 60492 31 277 32 286 34 282 36 283 60492 57853 21 300 24 290 28 272 33 264 57853 55114 30 324 30 305 26 284 27 271 55114 52487 38 316 33 304 27 293 25 281 52487 50100 36 307 31 300 27 294 26 287 50100 47940 31 301 30 300 27 296 31 295 47940 45972 28 300 31 301 29 303 33 303 45972 44170 21 299 28 301 29 305 32 306 44170 42513 15 301 22 301 24 300 30 296 42513 40976 15 318 18 301 18 299 28 288 40976 39536 16 326 17 299 15 299 25 278 39536 38182 16 321 17 296 16 301 22 275 38182 36880 16 310 17 295 17 302 20 275 36880 35569 18 302 18 296 18 296 19 276 35569 34222 20 302 18 299 19 291 18 285 34222 32842 19 305 19 299 22 294 20 292 32842 31418 18 310 22 299 26 303 21 295 31418 29943 17 312 24 300 25 311 23 298 29943 28423 17 309 24 296 22 315 26 305 28423 26856 19 303 22 291 19 316 27 315 26856 25241 19 306 20 293 18 316 25 315 25241 23583 19 310 19 296 19 317 24 308 23583 21879 17 314 20 296 21 318 24 306 21879 20121 16 322 21 296 22 317 23 312 20121 18341 17 329 20 299 21 313 22 315 18341 16628 16 329 20 305 20 307 20 311 16628 15067 14 321 20 308 17 308 16 309 15067 13671 12 307 17 305 16 315 14 313 13671 12419 13 312 15 305 16 318 13 318 12419 11291 14 316 14 306 16 316 14 319 11291 10275 16 308 14 298 17 310 15 314 10275 9362 19 296 16 280 18 297 18 304 9362 8545 21 282 17*261 20 281 21 292 8545 7814 23 269 18*255 21 268 23 281 7814 7153 23*256 18 254 20 258 25 273 7153 6561 21*248 18 253 19 253 24 267 6561 6063 19 244 18 253 18 252 22 263 6063 5677 18 242 17 253 17 250 20 256 5677 5410 17 242 17 253 16 248 17 248 5410 5247 16 241 16 253 12*246 13*237 5247 5154 13 241 13 253 7*242 7*227 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography