DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 88.5 - - 87.2 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 536 - - 506 - - 164 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5879 - - 10676 - - 9725 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9241 - - 13142 - - 11647 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10728 - - 15525 - - 14574 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3316 - - 1920 - - 2080 - - 3473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 614 - - 736 - - 490 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 104 - - 085 - - 078 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - -14 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2387 - - 633 - - -197 - - -6457 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13116 - - 14893 - - 14772 - - 11613 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4365 - - -435 - - -2581 - - -11599 ODpotential blCL - - - 15093 - - 15960 - - 17155 - - 16755 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 78 - - 70 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.8 - - 88.5 - - 87.2 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 40.5 - - 39.9 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.5 - - 85.2 - - 85.6 - - 78.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 40.3 - - 39.8 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 536 - - 506 - - 164 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5879 - - 10676 - - 9725 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 65 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98988 48 102 41 111 32 111 33 082 98988 91493 41 092 41 100 42 101 36 092 91493 85734 33 097 40 094 44 089 42 090 85734 80979 35 104 34 096 37 085 41 088 80979 76902 38 100 33 103 30 089 33 085 76902 73312 37 087 33 103 28 094 27 096 73312 70063 31 094 30 102 26 094 26 097 70063 67071 23 102 23 103 25 096 24 087 67071 64301 21 099 21 093 25 090 23 094 64301 61634 19 095 20 092 21 083 21 098 61634 58890 19 092 19 088 19 079 20 098 58890 56090 24 072 23 086 18 082 19 084 56090 53442 23 053 22 069 18 082 16 084 53442 51050 17 047 19 046 12 062 12 080 51050 48891 12 039 12 027 8 038 12 038 48891 46920 12 018 8 017 9 039 11 029 46920 45101 10 002 7 015 10 026 5 034 45101 43406 9 340 7 352 9 350 2 356 43406 41818 8 319 7 308 8 313 6 291 41818 40325 12 281 10 283 7 299 9 273 40325 38919 10 296 6 264 7 288 8 284 38919 37570 12 339 5 323 5 297 7 297 37570 36214 16 339 9 330 7 296 8 305 36214 34824 18 347 12 340 9 299 7 323 34824 33403 15 350 11 353 9 319 11 357 33403 31939 10 006 8 009 11 351 13 017 31939 30420 9 024 8 009 13 009 14 042 30420 28851 10 044 10 024 14 028 15 056 28851 27236 11 033 14 029 15 039 14 059 27236 25580 14 031 20 037 17 045 15 063 25580 23886 22 045 24 047 20 053 17 072 23886 22147 27 052 26 061 20 058 20 071 22147 20353 27 053 24 072 18 060 21 061 20353 18538 22 024 19 056 15 042 22 045 18538 16798 17 015 13*028 11 009 22 026 16798 15220 11 026 8*036 6*024 20 000 15220 13813 6 034 5 073 5*043 14 349 13813 12552 6 087 5 085 6 057 9 006 12552 11415 12*103 6 090 7 073 8 047 11415 10388 13*106 6 092 8 078 10 071 10388 9464 13 105 7 092 9 081 11 087 9464 8635 13 105 8 092 10 083 12 102 8635 7892 13 105 8 093 11 083 15 116 7892 7215 13 104 8 092 11 083 17 125 7215 6608 13 103 9 092 12 083 19 129 6608 6095 13 102 9 092 12 083 19 131 6095 5697 12 100 9 090 12 083 18 131 5697 5421 12 100 8 091 12 083 14 128 5421 5252 12 100 8 090 11 083 10*125 5252 5156 11 100 8 090 10 083 6*121 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography