DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.8 - - 66.7 - - 70.2 - - 66.2 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 265 - - 269 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 2372 - - 3958 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6284 - - 7472 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5425 - - 7221 - - 8807 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 585 - - 2383 - - 2628 - - 4467 - - 819 Hgt.Variab. W* 129 - - 363 - - 429 - - 26 - - 18 W* B/S 3 - - 9 - - 11 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 205 - - 187 - - 179 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 271 - - 514 - - 569 - - -1938 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 6708 - - 8238 - - 7093 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -3494 - - -1145 - - -645 - - -4086 - - -3769 ODpotential blCL 8919 - - 8366 - - 9452 - - 9241 - - 8923 blCL maxRH 91 - - 85 - - 77 - - 78 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 630 - - 1310 - - 1040 - - 850 - - 860 CAPE Temp@2m 57.8 - - 66.7 - - 70.2 - - 66.2 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.4 - - 54.8 - - 51.6 - - 52.6 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.2 - - 64.6 - - 68.0 - - 66.1 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.9 - - 54.2 - - 51.4 - - 52.5 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 265 - - 269 - - -2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 576 - - 2372 - - 3958 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 42 - - 7 - - 13 - - 60 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97539 26 258 47 262 52 269 52 277 49 275 97539 90141 34 267 27 254 35 255 38 280 35 271 90141 84488 30 260 18 262 19 254 23 256 27 262 84488 79840 20 262 20 268 19 272 18 263 16 269 79840 75843 14 264 18 256 19 271 14 277 12 259 75843 72304 13 260 15 236 17 265 8 284 16 242 72304 69108 13 272 15 230 17 243 7 252 10 251 69108 66169 15 269 11 218 14 237 16 246 8 269 66169 63446 16 259 16 236 17 229 20 248 18 241 63446 60821 19 265 23 249 21 242 25 249 25 251 60821 58091 34 252 35 243 30 239 32 243 31 261 58091 55262 37 245 39 249 38 245 39 251 38 259 55262 52572 47 247 50 251 50 253 55 258 47 260 52572 50171 52 245 57 245 57 253 64 261 56 263 50171 48032 54 245 59 245 61 255 69 265 65 265 48032 46091 59 249 60 250 64 260 73 264 70 266 46091 44301 63 255 63 255 68 264 72 259 72 263 44301 42634 67 257 67 257 72 264 68 258 70 258 42634 41073 68 258 68 258 73 263 65 260 63 256 41073 39606 64 259 64 258 71 264 61 263 58 260 39606 38224 59 261 57 258 62 262 60 264 55 262 38224 36899 55 259 52 260 54 257 56 266 51 261 36899 35568 51 257 50 260 50 256 51 263 49 258 35568 34206 49 257 49 259 47 259 50 262 46 257 34206 32817 50 256 47 257 46 261 45 264 41 258 32817 31390 49 256 45 256 46 262 40 268 38 257 31390 29913 45 259 44 257 45 260 38 268 35 256 29913 28387 37 259 41 258 42 260 38 267 33 257 28387 26813 30 253 37 256 37 261 35 267 31 258 26813 25194 24 252 32 250 34 259 30 267 29 257 25194 23532 18 256 22 244 31 254 26 269 25 259 23532 21825 15 256 15 241 22 243 22 270 19 265 21825 20067 14 249 13 234 15 233 16 260 15 272 20067 18290 13 242 14 226 13 234 13 247 12 269 18290 16584 13 241 13 231 12 244 12 246 10 258 16584 15031 12 234 11 243 12 258 12 257 10 257 15031 13644 8 228 9 250 11 267 10 269 10 266 13644 12400 4 218 5 244 8 270 9 275 9 276 12400 11280 2 199 2 184 3 258 7 276 8 279 11280 10270 2 192 4 156 2 208 5 270 8 269 10270 9363 1 181 4 156 3*185 3 239 9 252 9363 8549 1 296 3 164 4*181 5 199 9 233 8549 7821 4 269 4*190 6 182 8 188 11 216 7821 7158 9 241 7*201 7 186 11 182 13 199 7158 6566 14 229 7 204 7 188 12 180 16 182 6566 6066 14 225 7 205 8 189 13 179 19 160 6066 5680 12*222 7 207 8 190 13 179 19 153 5680 5412 9*224 7 208 8 190 12 179 15 154 5412 5248 7 224 7 208 8 191 11*179 12*157 5248 5154 6 225 6 209 7 192 8*179 5*162 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography