DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.6 - - 92.1 - - 96.0 - - - - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 183 - - 510 - - 506 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1446 - - 6748 - - 7908 - - - - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit 5481 - - 9928 - - 10869 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top 6295 - - 11597 - - 12757 - - - - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1227 - - 2091 - - 4495 - - - - - 2152 Hgt.Variab. W* 269 - - 633 - - 666 - - - - - 13 W* B/S 5 - - 14 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 039 - - 071 - - - - - 127 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 11 - - -10 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4908 - - -2128 - - -3578 - - - - - -5969 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11203 - - 13725 - - 16335 - - - - - 11126 sfcLCL ODpotential -9117 - - -5160 - - -5876 - - - - - -10809 ODpotential blCL 15412 - - 16757 - - 18633 - - - - - 15965 blCL maxRH 56 - - 49 - - 46 - - - - - 74 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 130 - - 0 - - - - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 81.6 - - 92.1 - - 96.0 - - - - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.3 - - 49.3 - - 41.6 - - - - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.8 - - 88.7 - - 92.6 - - - - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.2 - - 49.2 - - 41.4 - - - - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 183 - - 510 - - 506 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1446 - - 6748 - - 7908 - - - - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99105 47 100 47 095 54 091 45 093 99105 91586 44 095 45 094 39 092 47 094 91586 85834 39 090 42 092 32 102 48 093 85834 81098 38 084 40 091 40 094 45 090 81098 77002 40 094 38 092 45 086 36 089 77002 73376 39 103 33 101 39 089 28 083 73376 70118 33 104 28 107 29 092 30 076 70118 67150 28 100 24 105 22 104 32 067 67150 64412 28 088 23 105 22 100 23 066 64412 61786 24 084 25 107 21 092 16 097 61786 59085 22 094 21 105 17 092 16 095 59085 56314 24 091 20 096 15 098 16 075 56314 53689 25 077 22 086 20 098 12 065 53689 51336 23 076 22 065 23 083 9 080 51336 49219 21 066 21 058 21 056 10 089 49219 47273 16 047 17 059 20 036 12 056 47273 45467 14 045 15 081 16 047 15 016 45467 43779 11 051 14 083 14 054 15 358 43779 42192 9 016 12 085 12 078 11 008 42192 40695 14 359 15 105 15 115 6 353 40695 39283 18 006 16 106 13 126 5 358 39283 37929 19 007 13 093 10 139 6 020 37929 36564 15 015 12 086 9 143 7 024 36564 35163 9 045 11 081 8 127 6 026 35163 33730 8 056 10 075 7 104 6 026 33730 32251 10 088 9 072 7 085 7 025 32251 30717 12 083 10 075 7 075 10 035 30717 29134 14 063 11 070 9 057 15 042 29134 27509 15 063 13 071 12 045 17 037 27509 25842 21 082 15 085 13 050 17 035 25842 24135 26 088 17 096 14 064 15 040 24135 22380 24 083 19 089 17 072 14 048 22380 20571 23 070 20 074 17 068 16 045 20571 18742 24 063 22 063 17 055 21 040 18742 16984 24 064 24 060 17 056 24 040 16984 15381 22 068 24 061 17 062 25 045 15381 13946 22 069 20 062 15*063 21 051 13946 12657 19 067 13*051 10*063 19 054 12657 11497 13 051 9*032 9 064 15 048 11497 10452 11 038 9 032 9 066 10 036 10452 9513 10 024 8 033 10 068 7 037 9513 8673 9 354 8 036 10 071 7 058 8673 7919 10 301 8 039 11 073 7 088 7919 7234 14 272 8 043 11 075 10 123 7234 6621 14*254 8 047 11 076 19 132 6621 6103 11*231 7 050 12 077 21 132 6103 5702 10 229 7 051 12 077 20 131 5702 5424 10 228 7 052 11 078 16 130 5424 5254 9 228 7 053 11 078 13*129 5254 5156 8 228 6 053 10 078 8*127 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography