DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.4 - - 90.6 - - 88.9 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 520 - - 512 - - 158 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7774 - - 8997 - - 7908 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10771 - - 11766 - - 10209 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12623 - - 13846 - - 12757 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1069 - - 1365 - - 2081 - - 2032 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 668 - - 698 - - 452 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 19 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 103 - - 128 - - 115 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 10 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2098 - - -2666 - - -2928 - - -8213 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14721 - - 16513 - - 15686 - - 13369 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5574 - - -5963 - - -5830 - - -13666 ODpotential blCL - - - 18197 - - 19809 - - 18587 - - 18822 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 35 - - 40 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.4 - - 90.6 - - 88.9 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.2 - - 35.4 - - 37.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.0 - - 87.3 - - 87.3 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.0 - - 35.2 - - 37.4 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 520 - - 512 - - 158 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7774 - - 8997 - - 7908 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98878 35 099 42 100 33 102 34 079 98878 91383 41 092 38 097 36 096 38 099 91383 85620 43 096 39 094 36 088 40 092 85620 80859 40 095 34 085 38 088 41 084 80859 76783 31 090 30 087 38 083 39 084 76783 73216 27 095 28 098 27 078 34 090 73216 70008 27 095 26 109 20 096 21 081 70008 67065 22 091 20 113 21 102 13 084 67065 64328 18 097 13 115 19 092 16 084 64328 61680 18 090 16 114 17 109 15 076 61680 58943 15 093 17 100 18 104 14 085 58943 56127 15 095 19 076 17 074 17 092 56127 53455 16 084 17 079 15 073 17 095 53455 51056 14 073 13 102 9 070 14 083 51056 48901 9 070 12 099 4 085 10 065 48901 46936 9 061 12 085 5 134 7 067 46936 45122 9 059 10 092 6 179 4 001 45122 43434 11 075 10 120 7 203 6 323 43434 41851 14 079 14 118 7 202 6 301 41851 40358 15 076 13 108 6 179 2 301 40358 38954 14 077 14 097 6 130 3 092 38954 37606 14 085 14 083 7 112 8 106 37606 36249 15 090 11 068 11 101 12 106 36249 34855 18 080 9 057 11 089 13 107 34855 33427 17 064 11 054 13 084 17 104 33427 31955 13 056 14 049 22 070 29 088 31955 30433 11 076 14 047 24 059 32 073 30433 28869 16 097 13 066 19 057 24 068 28869 27261 20 099 16 085 16 082 22 083 27261 25607 23 096 17 096 18 088 25 086 25607 23909 22 084 16 101 12 078 24 067 23909 22164 20 067 17 092 10 097 19 066 22164 20368 20 063 20 070 17 076 18 088 20368 18559 15 072 15 057 15 054 17 063 18559 16825 12 092 9 065 11 036 16 041 16825 15245 10 100 5*089 8 017 18 017 15245 13832 6*082 4*121 3*037 17 353 13832 12564 5*089 4 126 3*089 12 343 12564 11422 5 094 5 130 3 096 5 336 11422 10393 5 099 6 129 5 113 0 180 10393 9466 5 102 6 130 6 116 5 160 9466 8637 6 105 7 129 7 118 9 158 8637 7892 6 105 8 128 8 118 13 153 7892 7215 6 107 8 128 8 118 17 149 7215 6608 6 107 9 127 9 118 22 144 6608 6095 7 108 9 126 9 118 23 142 6095 5697 6 108 9 126 9 118 22 142 5697 5421 6 108 9 125 9 117 18 143 5421 5252 6 107 8 125 9 117 14*143 5252 5156 6 108 8 125 8 117 7*144 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography