DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 75.5 - - 74.9 - - 67.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 234 - - 139 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1541 - - 2559 - - 2475 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5454 - - 6391 - - 6097 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6390 - - 7408 - - 7324 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2047 - - 1539 - - 1736 - - 1394 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 256 - - 361 - - 296 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 9 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 176 - - 191 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -10 - - -13 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 185 - - 611 - - 360 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6206 - - 6797 - - 6965 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2776 - - -2129 - - -2378 - - -4123 ODpotential blCL - - - 9166 - - 9537 - - 9702 - - 9278 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 93 - - 95 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 960 - - 1870 - - 1610 - - 1910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 75.5 - - 74.9 - - 67.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.7 - - 62.8 - - 61.4 - - 65.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 73.6 - - 73.5 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 61.9 - - 61.2 - - 64.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 234 - - 139 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1541 - - 2559 - - 2475 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 74 - - 79 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98921 31 104 29 109 26 108 26 079 98921 91394 27 111 25 105 26 098 30 095 91394 85604 22 102 26 107 28 095 32 099 85604 80806 22 092 29 106 29 103 28 103 80806 76684 21 097 24 104 24 105 21 099 76684 73067 23 111 19 102 17 100 21 096 73067 69822 23 111 18 108 18 110 18 093 69822 66866 20 103 16 109 20 113 15 097 66866 64134 19 093 10 109 16 114 12 096 64134 61491 14 096 11 131 13 118 10 100 61491 58754 11 141 9 183 3 116 3 100 58754 55943 8 159 15 181 9 190 8 211 55943 53281 6 259 12 241 8 242 10 219 53281 50896 15 245 12 260 11 257 11 212 50896 48756 17 236 18 238 18 246 20 243 48756 46803 19 220 25 216 29 233 31 242 46803 45006 21 237 27 248 31 244 27 254 45006 43335 34 271 43 270 34 257 40 287 43335 41768 44 279 51 271 38 263 59 290 41768 40289 43 273 45 271 39 268 52 286 40289 38894 36 258 31 255 36 263 45 279 38894 37552 31 242 28 242 32 254 37 276 37552 36202 27 228 24 235 30 245 24 250 36202 34814 23 221 21 224 29 236 24 224 34814 33393 22 216 18 225 26 225 24 224 33393 31928 21 207 18 226 24 220 22 226 31928 30407 18 203 18 228 22 217 19 223 30407 28837 16 200 18 232 20 217 16 224 28837 27218 14 198 17 232 18 222 13 215 27218 25553 14 193 15 227 16 229 15 228 25553 23846 14 187 13 218 14 241 16 242 23846 22098 15 184 10 201 12 246 14 253 22098 20305 15 185 4 167 10 295 13 266 20305 18498 15 182 3 013 12 324 10 295 18498 16767 13 170 6 018 8 015 9 359 16767 15194 12 150 6 015 9 011 10 008 15194 13788 12 133 5 024 10 358 9 003 13788 12525 11 124 2 070 2 328 7 359 12525 11386 10 118 4 149 6 201 5 346 11386 10359 8 115 7 162 8 201 4 307 10359 9434 7 115 8 163 7 203 6 262 9434 8606 5 129 8 162 7 202 9 239 8606 7864 4 169 8*164 8*198 12 223 7864 7191 7 212 9*171 9*193 13 207 7191 6590 12*234 10 175 10 191 15 194 6590 6083 14*238 10 177 10 191 15 188 6083 5691 14 238 10 178 10 190 13 188 5691 5418 13 239 9 179 10 190 11 192 5418 5251 13 239 9 180 10 190 8*194 5251 5155 11 239 8 180 9 190 5*196 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography