DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.9 - - 77.6 - - 80.6 - - 77.6 - - 64.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 351 - - 372 - - 19 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 6799 - - 7261 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 9807 - - 10205 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 11648 - - 12110 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 112 - - 1618 - - 1701 - - 7926 - - 74 Hgt.Variab. W* 31 - - 560 - - 584 - - 75 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 12 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 312 - - 290 - - 294 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 32 - - -8 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8801 - - -4923 - - -5274 - - -11380 - - -8690 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13956 - - 16572 - - 17385 - - 16536 - - 13846 sfcLCL ODpotential -17191 - - -9340 - - -9117 - - -15298 - - -15392 ODpotential blCL 22345 - - 20988 - - 21227 - - 20453 - - 20547 blCL maxRH 55 - - 50 - - 44 - - 45 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.9 - - 77.6 - - 80.6 - - 77.6 - - 64.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.7 - - 22.4 - - 21.6 - - 22.8 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.6 - - 75.0 - - 78.0 - - 77.2 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.6 - - 22.4 - - 21.5 - - 22.7 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 351 - - 372 - - 19 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 6799 - - 7261 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96645 14 296 30 272 19 285 26 278 26 293 96645 89394 14 285 12 280 15 245 20 260 16 298 89394 83830 17 263 10 304 15 235 22 253 20 289 83830 79210 20 226 18 263 13 263 14 256 17 294 79210 75240 9 286 15 270 15 275 9 302 10 282 75240 71747 16 316 14 308 22 294 21 314 19 324 71747 68643 26 328 15 319 24 315 32 317 30 324 68643 65849 32 327 18 323 25 331 29 314 32 321 65849 63265 30 330 29 326 33 330 30 327 29 334 63265 60737 44 338 44 338 41 337 39 339 39 340 60737 58073 61 324 56 333 55 331 49 329 53 326 58073 55300 59 313 55 319 53 315 49 316 53 315 55300 52642 55 313 53 312 49 312 49 310 52 309 52642 50237 55 312 52 312 48 309 48 304 46 300 50237 48074 55 309 49 308 46 303 47 302 42 295 48074 46100 54 309 49 305 46 301 50 300 45 298 46100 44279 54 311 51 305 49 301 53 298 49 300 44279 42588 54 311 52 306 51 302 54 302 52 302 42588 41015 52 309 50 305 50 305 49 304 50 304 41015 39551 47 311 45 304 44 306 41 302 42 304 39551 38189 45 316 40 304 38 302 36 300 34 300 38189 36890 46 316 40 307 35 299 32 299 31 296 36890 35584 46 314 40 308 35 303 32 297 30 294 35584 34240 43 312 39 309 35 306 32 297 28 296 34240 32864 40 310 36 308 35 306 31 301 32 313 32864 31446 37 311 34 306 35 309 30 311 37 321 31446 29977 33 315 33 307 35 313 31 314 37 319 29977 28456 31 315 31 309 34 315 35 317 35 314 28456 26884 31 308 28 311 31 312 39 321 33 310 26884 25265 32 302 26 314 29 306 36 322 31 310 25265 23604 31 305 26 317 27 305 31 318 29 313 23604 21897 29 311 27 316 29 308 29 312 26 313 21897 20138 27 313 29 312 30 308 29 310 25 309 20138 18357 26 313 29 307 29 309 27 311 25 309 18357 16643 24 311 27 302 27 310 24 312 25 311 16643 15080 23 307 25 294 23 308 20 312 22 309 15080 13686 23 303 21 294 17 306 14 311 19 301 13686 12438 21 304 14*303 12*299 9 309 15 290 12438 11316 19 309 10*310 11*296 8 310 11 277 11316 10305 17 314 9 312 11 295 8 308 9 276 10305 9395 16 317 9 314 11 292 8 306 8 284 9395 8580 16 318 8 314 11 291 9 303 7 297 8580 7848 16 315 8 314 11 289 9 300 7 307 7848 7182 16 310 8 313 12 287 9 298 8 317 7182 6584 16 302 7 312 12 286 9 297 8 325 6584 6079 15 293 7 310 12 285 9 296 7 332 6079 5687 13 285 7 309 11 284 9 296 7 335 5687 5416 11 283 7 308 11 283 8 294 6 335 5416 5250 8*278 6 308 11 284 8*295 5*333 5250 5155 4*267 6 308 10 283 7*294 4*332 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography