DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.8 - - 70.9 - - 73.7 - - 63.4 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - 242 - - 209 - - -30 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 1880 - - 2773 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 5885 - - 6484 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 6729 - - 7622 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 85 - - 878 - - 1833 - - 1923 - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 322 - - 350 - - 6 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 20 - - 18 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 286 - - 289 - - 278 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -7 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5716 - - -9229 - - -9673 - - -9234 - - -7872 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10871 - - 15959 - - 17296 - - 14389 - - 13027 sfcLCL ODpotential -13921 - - -13660 - - -13591 - - -15496 - - -15579 ODpotential blCL 19075 - - 20389 - - 21213 - - 20650 - - 20733 blCL maxRH 33 - - 46 - - 54 - - 39 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.8 - - 70.9 - - 73.7 - - 63.4 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.2 - - 19.1 - - 15.5 - - 19.0 - - 19.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.0 - - 69.2 - - 72.0 - - 66.2 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 19.1 - - 15.5 - - 19.0 - - 19.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - 242 - - 209 - - -30 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 1880 - - 2773 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96617 23 266 33 259 34 246 53 261 52 280 96617 89353 24 264 26 265 32 261 24 267 28 270 89353 83803 20 264 22 259 25 268 14 277 22 260 83803 79228 11 284 14 225 14 249 12 264 15 260 79228 75285 12 265 17 266 20 263 17 254 13 284 75285 71779 20 237 19 258 19 267 22 274 22 283 71779 68627 13 227 12 252 5 260 8 271 17 265 68627 65777 7 238 27 273 12 307 10 300 4 261 65777 63145 18 247 36 260 27 275 28 290 7 029 63145 60602 17 294 29 269 23 292 32 298 20 328 60602 57987 32 299 29 281 16 307 25 293 26 295 57987 55283 31 277 28 281 18 300 14 287 18 284 55283 52670 25 279 28 292 28 299 14 304 27 304 52670 50282 28 290 37 293 39 299 32 307 37 299 50282 48114 35 290 39 284 43 289 42 298 42 293 48114 46124 36 289 37 282 44 284 45 287 44 291 46124 44285 32 287 34 286 40 290 44 286 43 288 44285 42581 27 293 31 289 36 297 40 293 38 289 42581 41001 25 304 25 295 30 298 34 301 34 300 41001 39536 24 308 18 306 23 299 23 305 29 310 39536 38171 24 308 16 320 14 290 13 303 21 307 38171 36868 22 307 16 319 10 276 8 295 15 295 36868 35558 19 313 15 315 10 279 7 284 12 276 35558 34215 20 322 16 318 14 290 10 282 11 255 34215 32839 22 326 18 326 17 292 14 279 12 253 32839 31417 24 326 20 332 20 289 19 275 15 268 31417 29941 22 306 20 322 24 286 21 281 20 285 29941 28415 25 300 24 298 28 289 22 295 23 294 28415 26841 31 307 31 290 30 294 23 309 25 302 26841 25222 33 305 30 295 28 297 23 313 25 309 25222 23561 29 301 28 299 26 304 22 310 23 312 23561 21856 24 293 27 290 25 298 21 303 21 309 21856 20099 21 287 25 285 24 289 21 295 22 308 20099 18320 19 286 20 287 21 287 21 293 24 309 18320 16609 17 289 15 291 18 288 20 297 24 312 16609 15051 15 295 11 296 16 291 19 300 23 316 15051 13657 15 300 10 301 16 294 18 302 22 320 13657 12406 15 303 11 302 16 297 17 305 21 324 12406 11282 17 302 13 300 17 299 18 309 21 326 11282 10269 19 301 16 299 18 300 20 311 21 325 10269 9359 22 299 20 298 19 301 22 311 22 322 9359 8545 25 298 23 297 19 298 23 308 24 317 8545 7817 28 299 25 297 19*294 21 301 25 312 7817 7156 31 299 25*295 18*291 19 292 24 304 7156 6565 34 300 23*291 18 290 18 288 22 297 6565 6066 34 300 22 287 18 289 18 287 21 294 6066 5679 30 298 21 285 18 288 17 285 19 292 5679 5411 21 292 20 284 17 287 15 284 15 290 5411 5248 16*282 18 283 16 287 12*281 10*286 5248 5154 6*245 15 283 13 287 7*278 5*281 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography