DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 74.7 - - 73.9 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 148 - - 19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4996 - - 6003 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8318 - - 8708 - - 5139 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9845 - - 10852 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1964 - - 1881 - - 7540 - - 6307 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 481 - - 403 - - 76 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 52 - - 33 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 192 - - 182 - - 187 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 520 - - 680 - - -4551 - - -3349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9325 - - 10173 - - 9707 - - 8505 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -389 - - -249 - - -5850 - - -5229 ODpotential blCL - - - 10234 - - 11101 - - 11005 - - 10384 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 20 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.1 - - 74.7 - - 73.9 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 47.7 - - 49.0 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 73.3 - - 73.4 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.8 - - 47.7 - - 49.0 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 148 - - 19 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4996 - - 6003 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98137 6 339 13 179 13 199 5 297 98137 90711 17 176 11 174 4 267 5 018 90711 84969 17 139 12 153 5 140 5 051 84969 80222 11 086 7 128 10 097 9 107 80222 76171 8 048 9 085 13 086 10 109 76171 72606 6 038 7 072 11 065 11 070 72606 69401 7 079 5 072 8 067 10 043 69401 66487 10 061 12 067 12 081 10 073 66487 63805 12 035 14 044 12 045 17 043 63805 61236 6 044 5 012 6 323 12 011 61236 58589 11 351 6 350 5 319 11 329 58589 55858 25 337 28 335 30 334 30 326 55858 53255 40 317 41 315 43 312 38 307 53255 50895 35 311 35 308 36 306 36 308 50895 48757 36 310 36 311 34 307 38 311 48757 46797 37 304 38 306 38 308 40 307 46797 44986 39 303 38 297 42 305 42 301 44986 43299 37 301 36 288 40 294 44 296 43299 41717 34 298 36 286 38 280 45 289 41717 40223 37 292 35 281 43 281 45 283 40223 38816 42 290 39 282 46 287 47 286 38816 37464 40 289 43 287 44 285 46 290 37464 36105 36 288 41 289 44 283 43 289 36105 34709 35 284 40 288 43 283 42 289 34709 33283 35 291 39 288 40 285 40 293 33283 31816 34 298 37 293 37 287 37 294 31816 30297 28 297 34 295 34 290 33 297 30297 28733 27 300 28 294 28 292 30 299 28733 27123 25 310 23 303 21 300 23 301 27123 25471 22 314 23 307 19 304 17 315 25471 23780 23 312 27 303 22 303 17 322 23780 22046 22 312 27 308 25 305 20 312 22046 20260 16 313 17 316 20 312 20 316 20260 18449 10 338 12 332 13 323 16 330 18449 16706 9 016 11 342 9 354 12 345 16706 15118 9 360 12 334 13 014 13 022 15118 13703 12 327 14 313 14 338 13 019 13703 12446 12 305 11 302 12 327 11 347 12446 11323 6 292 8*294 8 323 8 347 11323 10311 4*289 4*272 4 311 5 360 10311 9400 2*230 3 229 2 239 2 008 9400 8583 2 209 2 207 3 200 1 234 8583 7850 2 199 2 179 5 190 4 218 7850 7183 2 188 3 163 6 189 7 213 7183 6585 2 185 3 154 7 189 8 207 6585 6080 2 180 3 148 7 188 9 204 6080 5688 2 173 4 144 7 187 9 202 5688 5417 2 176 4 141 7 188 7 201 5417 5250 2 175 3 140 7*187 6*200 5250 5155 2 175 3 140 6*187 3*201 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography