DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.1 - - 77.2 - - 79.8 - - 71.2 - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 205 - - 547 - - 404 - - 134 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1215 - - 8192 - - 14632 - - 4439 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5360 - - 11136 - - 16279 - - 7483 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6064 - - 13041 - - 19481 - - 9288 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 566 - - 3453 - - 2399 - - 5723 - - 480 Hgt.Variab. W* 264 - - 692 - - 759 - - 353 - - 0 W* B/S 8 - - 33 - - 34 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 19 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 205 - - 153 - - 326 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 15 - - 132 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1240 - - 42 - - 4587 - - -2379 - - -5682 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7304 - - 13000 - - 14895 - - 11668 - - 10837 sfcLCL ODpotential -5064 - - -2161 - - 3621 - - -3942 - - -9368 ODpotential blCL 11128 - - 15202 - - 15860 - - 13230 - - 14523 blCL maxRH 69 - - 44 - - 92 - - 87 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 510 - - 300 - - 400 - - 360 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 64.1 - - 77.2 - - 79.8 - - 71.2 - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.6 - - 37.5 - - 31.6 - - 37.7 - - 35.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.5 - - 73.7 - - 76.9 - - 70.0 - - 67.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.5 - - 37.4 - - 31.6 - - 37.7 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 205 - - 547 - - 404 - - 134 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1215 - - 8192 - - 14632 - - 4439 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 50 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97737 3 312 6 295 13 284 19 316 18 334 97737 90387 6 335 12 324 9 270 16 315 13 327 90387 84710 14 323 6 245 8 267 11 286 10 314 84710 79980 16 329 11 278 7 325 11 277 14 314 79980 75919 14 300 10 312 4 331 4 289 7 252 75919 72342 20 284 14 312 14 299 14 326 13 317 72342 69138 18 286 17 290 17 276 16 295 19 295 69138 66209 11 270 6 261 15 204 6 272 10 268 66209 63497 8 258 22 304 21 292 27 294 18 283 63497 60881 24 275 34 267 45 274 43 262 33 276 60881 58139 44 241 48 241 50 251 39 256 40 265 58139 55285 41 246 50 247 52 246 47 260 48 267 55285 52557 56 254 58 253 53 249 58 256 56 258 52557 50100 62 254 59 250 57 248 61 254 59 253 50100 47897 63 253 59 248 57 251 60 255 62 255 47897 45898 60 253 58 249 58 256 61 257 65 258 45898 44072 58 255 59 248 59 255 63 254 67 259 44072 42382 64 255 60 247 60 250 59 252 64 259 42382 40800 70 252 62 248 61 245 58 254 61 262 40800 39314 73 248 66 248 64 243 58 252 56 260 39314 37921 74 244 71 245 67 242 58 247 52 256 37921 36588 72 241 75 242 71 241 59 243 48 258 36588 35248 70 240 76 238 76 238 59 243 45 262 35248 33875 68 240 75 236 79 231 55 244 41 262 33875 32477 68 239 72 234 78 224 50 244 30 273 32477 31044 66 237 67 232 75 222 42 245 20 309 31044 29570 64 235 62 231 71 223 27 245 21 010 29570 28060 60 233 59 231 68 223 15 322 38 035 28060 26513 54 235 56 232 65 222 22 343 34 035 26513 24928 50 237 53 232 58 222 19 347 24 026 24928 23302 46 240 47 232 43 222 12 347 22 024 23302 21632 40 242 40 233 22 224 0 010 19 023 21632 19913 32 243 31 235 8*212 10 158 22 016 19913 18176 25 243 20 236 6*194 16 165 18 013 18176 16506 20 240 12 232 6 183 16 171 13 011 16506 14980 16 242 8 232 5 176 15 170 9 009 14980 13613 12 246 3*213 5 171 10 166 7 003 13613 12384 9 232 3*206 5 165 4 159 5 353 12384 11275 7 204 3 205 5 153 2 343 5 341 11275 10273 5 168 4 207 4 142 8 335 5 333 10273 9370 5 122 4 207 4 130 13*332 5 329 9370 8560 7 101 4 206 4 119 16*330 4 327 8560 7832 7 094 4 206 4 114 19 328 4 334 7832 7170 5 086 4 205 4 106 20 326 5 343 7170 6576 1 357 4 205 4 102 21 325 5 359 6576 6074 5*246 4 204 4 099 21 324 7 021 6074 5684 6*233 4 203 4 098 21 324 9 039 5684 5414 6 231 4 203 4 096 20 324 9 048 5414 5249 6 231 4 203 4 095 19 323 6*054 5249 5155 6 231 4 204 4 095 16 323 3*073 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography