DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/28 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.6 - - 63.6 - - 64.1 - - 57.8 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 57 - - 431 - - 349 - - -13 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1347 - - 2051 - - 2655 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6166 - - 6567 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 6196 - - 6900 - - 7504 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 753 - - 574 - - 656 - - 2439 - - 426 Hgt.Variab. W* 179 - - 402 - - 408 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 30 - - 26 - - 21 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 032 - - 037 - - 047 - - 047 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -14 - - -10 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5763 - - -2420 - - -1834 - - -3254 - - -2140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11960 - - 9321 - - 9338 - - 8408 - - 7294 sfcLCL ODpotential -14382 - - -9423 - - -8550 - - -11804 - - -12424 ODpotential blCL 20578 - - 16323 - - 16054 - - 16958 - - 17578 blCL maxRH 33 - - 57 - - 60 - - 60 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.6 - - 63.6 - - 64.1 - - 57.8 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.8 - - 40.7 - - 41.1 - - 39.1 - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 61.1 - - 62.0 - - 58.0 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.8 - - 40.7 - - 41.1 - - 39.1 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 57 - - 431 - - 349 - - -13 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1347 - - 2051 - - 2655 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97403 38 269 43 267 43 265 45 274 44 275 97403 90187 29 276 24 282 30 254 39 250 33 268 90187 84602 23 280 19 277 20 257 31 248 28 277 84602 79949 12 260 14 255 15 249 17 264 17 290 79949 75916 10 223 10 234 10 257 10 290 9 291 75916 72350 11 247 6 257 6 249 3 250 7 267 72350 69133 11 261 10 276 11 281 6 319 6 221 69133 66177 12 269 13 278 15 278 16 301 5 323 66177 63466 12 278 16 288 22 301 21 291 21 326 63466 60897 15 262 16 268 25 291 19 281 24 308 60897 58240 12 285 15 313 20 310 17 296 23 293 58240 55479 30 312 24 324 26 316 28 315 25 304 55479 52848 39 300 28 324 29 305 36 309 31 313 52848 50480 38 297 31 316 32 296 38 297 38 314 50480 48348 38 305 32 307 30 297 33 299 42 305 48348 46399 38 313 33 310 35 323 31 310 43 300 46399 44595 41 316 39 316 42 325 34 312 42 303 44595 42911 45 308 45 312 43 316 39 312 43 311 42911 41336 46 296 48 301 43 304 41 311 44 314 41336 39858 41 293 45 292 42 297 43 314 43 316 39858 38476 36 304 43 298 42 305 44 318 45 321 38476 37160 34 307 37 297 42 309 42 313 46 324 37160 35839 32 304 34 292 39 300 41 304 44 324 35839 34482 31 304 32 296 37 290 37 295 43 320 34482 33090 30 305 30 296 37 297 35 298 43 319 33090 31652 27 303 30 294 38 302 37 307 41 313 31652 30159 25 299 29 295 36 299 37 304 39 299 30159 28615 23 299 27 298 33 293 35 300 37 295 28615 27017 23 303 27 299 32 295 34 304 38 302 27017 25370 26 303 30 304 33 306 36 313 38 314 25370 23681 30 304 30 313 30 313 32 317 30 313 23681 21945 32 317 25 309 23 308 25 310 23 307 21945 20155 30 321 24 306 22 310 21 310 21 311 20155 18342 28 312 26 310 22 317 20 321 21 319 18342 16601 26 304 26 317 21 324 21 327 20 326 16601 15018 23 299 24 322 20 331 20 333 18 332 15018 13608 20 297 22 324 20 334 18 338 15 333 13608 12351 15 299 19 323 19 329 17 339 14 333 12351 11222 7 312 17 321 17 321 16 335 13 337 11222 10207 7 021 15 332 14 323 14 333 13 343 10207 9298 16 031 15 010 13 353 11 347 13 359 9298 8488 26 032 23 032 17 025 13 025 15 022 8488 7767 32 032 29 034 21*035 19 042 20 038 7767 7117 35 030 28*032 22*036 21 045 25 046 7117 6537 35*027 27*032 22 037 21 046 25 049 6537 6048 34*026 27 032 22 037 21 046 24 050 6048 5669 32 026 26 032 22 038 20 046 21 050 5669 5406 30 026 25 032 21 038 18 047 18 049 5406 5246 27 027 23 032 19 038 16*047 14*047 5246 5154 18 027 19 033 16 038 12*047 8*047 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography