DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.4 - - 66.0 - - 68.6 - - 59.3 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 24 - - 365 - - 298 - - -15 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3204 - - 4163 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 7000 - - 7668 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 8053 - - 9012 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 589 - - 1258 - - 1971 - - 2406 - - 933 Hgt.Variab. W* 82 - - 442 - - 451 - - 13 - - 11 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 319 - - 013 - - 014 - - 038 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 8 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3942 - - -3922 - - -4308 - - -4978 - - -3146 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9097 - - 11976 - - 13321 - - 10132 - - 8300 sfcLCL ODpotential -10704 - - -10201 - - -10301 - - -11608 - - -10839 ODpotential blCL 15858 - - 18254 - - 19313 - - 16762 - - 15992 blCL maxRH 42 - - 67 - - 43 - - 43 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.4 - - 66.0 - - 68.6 - - 59.3 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.7 - - 31.4 - - 28.0 - - 33.1 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 63.4 - - 66.3 - - 59.7 - - 53.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.5 - - 31.3 - - 27.9 - - 33.1 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 24 - - 365 - - 298 - - -15 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 3204 - - 4163 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97011 58 269 51 280 59 260 57 266 59 271 97011 89729 43 260 46 277 43 268 44 274 42 274 89729 84155 32 272 29 265 33 283 34 282 29 282 84155 79556 20 295 13 259 19 284 20 282 22 290 79556 75605 13 341 8 253 9 261 8 284 15 294 75605 72114 9 312 4 288 6 274 6 284 9 313 72114 68946 6 202 5 274 1 000 3 230 6 244 68946 66040 6 064 8 213 5 295 8 300 4 242 66040 63354 7 288 14 246 14 273 10 282 4 288 63354 60749 19 292 18 271 16 288 16 279 13 287 60749 58039 20 279 21 275 23 282 23 279 21 279 58039 55250 25 283 26 281 31 269 34 272 29 276 55250 52601 45 279 39 277 40 267 44 267 38 273 52601 50212 67 272 53 270 50 267 52 265 46 270 50212 48059 77 271 65 268 65 267 65 265 57 269 48059 46096 87 272 80 268 80 263 78 262 68 268 46096 44289 93 267 92 263 90 258 90 258 78 264 44289 42608 94 259 93 258 88 254 93 254 83 257 42608 41035 92 256 89 256 84 255 89 251 81 253 41035 39556 88 258 89 258 84 256 87 250 74 250 39556 38166 85 260 89 257 85 254 86 249 67 249 38166 36835 84 259 84 253 85 250 84 248 64 249 36835 35496 82 258 86 257 85 250 81 248 63 252 35496 34124 80 263 88 264 82 255 76 251 62 254 34124 32726 73 264 79 267 70 262 66 254 58 253 32726 31292 65 257 67 263 59 268 59 256 51 250 31292 29813 60 252 58 260 54 267 56 259 46 254 29813 28289 53 257 50 263 48 265 51 261 44 258 28289 26717 44 260 42 260 40 266 41 262 39 258 26717 25097 38 259 37 255 35 265 34 263 31 261 25097 23435 34 260 33 255 33 263 31 267 26 266 23435 21726 33 266 30 258 30 263 28 267 23 269 21726 19965 32 270 28 262 27 265 23 266 20 267 19965 18183 32 270 27 268 25 271 21 274 18 270 18183 16474 32 267 27 271 25 276 21 285 18 282 16474 14921 30 266 26 269 27 276 22 288 19 289 14921 13538 26 268 24 267 27 271 22 286 18 290 13538 12300 23 276 22 268 24 270 18 285 14 286 12300 11189 21 286 20 275 16 272 14 280 12 265 11189 10188 21 296 19 286 9 281 9 267 11 240 10188 9289 22 304 14 299 7*296 7 260 7 246 9289 8485 22 309 10*334 6*331 3 275 2 307 8485 7766 22 313 11*001 7 001 5 026 10 051 7766 7116 22 316 12 009 10 015 12 035 19 054 7116 6536 22 320 12 013 10 018 15 035 22 049 6536 6047 21 324 13 015 11 020 16 035 23 037 6047 5668 19 326 12 017 11 022 15 036 21 029 5668 5406 14 324 12 018 11 023 14 036 17 029 5406 5246 10*322 12 018 11 023 13*037 14 031 5246 5153 6*319 11 019 10 024 9*038 7*036 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography