DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.9 - - 73.2 - - 78.0 - - 72.9 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 58 - - 331 - - 288 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 3186 - - 5642 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5138 - - 6956 - - 8802 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5155 - - 8035 - - 10491 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 607 - - 1342 - - 1955 - - 5397 - - 620 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 427 - - 493 - - 21 - - 12 W* B/S 4 - - 21 - - 19 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 212 - - 172 - - 148 - - 150 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 16 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2528 - - -1868 - - -897 - - -5103 - - -1156 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7683 - - 9904 - - 11389 - - 10259 - - 6310 sfcLCL ODpotential -8251 - - -5134 - - -2854 - - -8749 - - -7136 ODpotential blCL 13406 - - 13169 - - 13345 - - 13904 - - 12290 blCL maxRH 67 - - 83 - - 78 - - 66 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.9 - - 73.2 - - 78.0 - - 72.9 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.2 - - 47.6 - - 45.7 - - 45.8 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 70.9 - - 75.8 - - 73.0 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.0 - - 47.3 - - 45.6 - - 45.7 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 58 - - 331 - - 288 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 306 - - 3186 - - 5642 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 30 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97687 24 279 19 289 26 276 30 289 29 303 97687 90397 19 295 16 295 18 270 25 292 23 305 90397 84792 11 311 14 288 12 280 14 294 20 311 84792 80135 7 330 11 286 13 284 9 316 13 311 80135 76126 8 340 7 310 10 299 8 331 7 299 76126 72593 8 335 8 323 7 337 2 311 2 327 72593 69397 1 108 4 056 4 028 3 234 4 293 69397 66478 11 090 6 121 2 107 2 251 2 258 66478 63793 8 082 7 105 3 125 0 099 3 134 63793 61219 2 299 5 067 5 072 5 069 8 128 61219 58563 10 220 6 183 5 192 6 257 3 158 58563 55828 12 213 12 233 11 243 12 257 13 250 55828 53229 15 244 21 248 21 252 22 258 23 257 53229 50879 21 264 19 265 19 258 23 251 26 253 50879 48745 23 277 29 280 27 269 24 260 26 262 48745 46780 32 275 38 268 34 263 30 265 29 264 46780 44956 37 262 38 259 36 258 35 262 33 264 44956 43251 36 257 38 259 37 260 36 259 38 266 43251 41652 40 263 43 263 41 261 39 260 40 267 41652 40146 47 267 47 263 44 262 42 261 37 267 40146 38729 50 265 47 264 44 264 44 261 37 268 38729 37374 50 265 46 264 42 265 42 263 39 271 37374 36023 49 266 43 265 39 268 40 270 40 280 36023 34647 48 268 39 272 37 275 38 287 35 284 34647 33244 45 274 37 283 36 282 38 293 33 284 33244 31798 43 281 38 288 34 287 31 290 34 282 31798 30297 42 286 36 285 33 286 24 281 30 276 30297 28743 39 287 33 281 32 281 26 275 27 271 28743 27139 35 289 29 278 29 274 28 274 28 270 27139 25489 32 293 26 277 26 268 26 271 26 267 25489 23797 30 292 24 277 23 268 23 270 24 263 23797 22057 26 285 22 274 21 271 20 270 19 261 22057 20265 21 277 19 268 19 272 17 271 15 266 20265 18459 18 275 13 266 15 273 14 273 10 288 18459 16730 13 264 8 247 10 259 12 272 8 314 16730 15157 9 248 8 235 9 254 9 262 6 327 15157 13751 8 232 9 219 9 252 8 260 4 314 13751 12489 8 208 9 204 7 243 7 281 4 287 12489 11352 9 188 9 193 3*207 5 308 3 267 11352 10328 8 178 8 182 4*156 2 335 1 260 10328 9406 6 166 5 169 4 152 1 093 1 083 9406 8582 4 154 3*155 4 148 4 145 2 096 8582 7844 2 210 3*159 5 147 7 150 3 119 7844 7175 7 239 3 162 5 146 9 152 4 161 7175 6576 11 233 4 170 5 146 10 152 7 180 6576 6071 12 224 4 175 5 146 10 151 10 166 6071 5682 11 215 4 179 5 146 10 151 16 154 5682 5413 9 210 4 181 5 146 10 151 13 155 5413 5248 6*212 4 181 5 146 9*151 10 157 5248 5154 5*212 4 183 5 146 7*150 5*159 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography