DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.4 - - 60.7 - - 64.6 - - 57.9 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 289 - - 261 - - -38 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2024 - - 2999 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6045 - - 6735 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 6873 - - 7848 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 781 - - 898 - - 1275 - - 3054 - - 334 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 351 - - 387 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 25 - - 23 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 279 - - 286 - - 291 - - 279 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -20 - - -29 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -1405 - - -2570 - - -4298 - - -2138 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5154 - - 8279 - - 10419 - - 9452 - - 7292 sfcLCL ODpotential -4675 - - -6339 - - -8052 - - -11083 - - -10587 ODpotential blCL 9829 - - 13212 - - 15900 - - 16237 - - 15741 blCL maxRH 86 - - 64 - - 54 - - 73 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.4 - - 60.7 - - 64.6 - - 57.9 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.8 - - 42.2 - - 36.7 - - 34.5 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 58.9 - - 62.8 - - 59.2 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.8 - - 42.0 - - 36.7 - - 34.4 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 289 - - 261 - - -38 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 2024 - - 2999 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 43 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96030 25 290 22 266 32 271 34 291 24 280 96030 88849 16 338 15 304 19 303 22 299 21 305 88849 83383 19 344 16 305 14 316 10 309 11 321 83383 78896 18 348 10 344 10 324 4 344 12 334 78896 75053 16 345 13 345 9 309 6 306 11 334 75053 71636 14 017 10 007 4 049 4 138 7 013 71636 68503 5 003 4 278 8 289 7 204 8 258 68503 65634 3 355 4 108 13 156 9 137 11 147 65634 62977 27 288 27 282 21 263 24 293 14 303 62977 60414 20 272 32 264 27 276 28 273 31 276 60414 57768 19 271 25 262 19 285 20 270 27 259 57768 55011 35 275 27 272 23 282 22 280 25 266 55011 52353 51 269 40 275 37 276 36 279 35 273 52353 49943 59 266 53 273 52 272 49 276 43 274 49943 47775 61 267 60 271 60 271 57 275 48 276 47775 45801 67 268 66 269 65 273 63 276 52 279 45801 43981 75 264 72 267 69 275 67 276 57 280 43981 42292 79 262 77 265 74 270 69 273 60 278 42292 40720 81 262 79 263 75 266 68 271 61 275 40720 39257 80 263 79 262 72 267 66 269 61 273 39257 37896 77 266 77 262 70 269 65 268 61 275 37896 36599 76 270 72 264 70 269 65 269 61 278 36599 35296 73 273 68 268 69 268 65 268 61 280 35296 33957 68 279 70 272 66 270 63 267 61 279 33957 32585 63 286 68 276 65 275 59 267 60 277 32585 31170 59 289 60 280 63 281 55 272 57 278 31170 29706 54 290 55 280 57 280 53 277 53 282 29706 28192 48 292 51 282 53 272 52 280 49 287 28192 26631 43 295 45 287 50 267 50 282 46 288 26631 25026 39 300 41 289 44 266 46 283 45 289 25026 23379 39 302 39 286 40 269 42 283 43 293 23379 21686 37 300 36 283 38 273 39 284 40 299 21686 19941 34 292 34 283 36 278 36 289 39 304 19941 18173 31 286 30 288 34 282 35 296 38 308 18173 16472 31 290 27 297 32 287 33 302 35 313 16472 14923 31 296 24 305 30 290 33 305 33 318 14923 13539 30 299 22 312 28 292 33 307 31 323 13539 12300 29 301 21 315 27 294 34 307 30 326 12300 11187 28 302 21 314 26 297 35 306 30 325 11187 10186 28 303 21 310 26 299 35 304 31 322 10186 9288 29 303 23 303 26 300 34 300 33 317 9288 8486 29 302 26 298 24*296 32 294 35 311 8486 7769 30 302 28 294 24*293 30 290 37 307 7769 7119 30 303 28*290 24 292 29 289 39 304 7119 6539 30 304 27*288 24 291 27 288 39 303 6539 6049 28 305 27 286 24 291 26 287 36 302 6049 5670 24 303 26 285 23 290 23 285 31 300 5670 5406 18 297 25 285 22 290 19 283 23 296 5406 5246 14*290 23 284 20 290 16*281 19*292 5246 5154 8*279 18 284 17 290 10*279 9*281 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography