DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 84.7 - - 83.2 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 416 - - 124 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3376 - - 6362 - - 4602 - - 307 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7182 - - 9538 - - 7574 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8225 - - 11211 - - 9451 - - 5156 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3338 - - 2990 - - 4557 - - 735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 475 - - 582 - - 352 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 314 - - 350 - - 012 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 19 - - 13 - - -6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -615 - - 938 - - -1085 - - -1114 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8841 - - 10274 - - 10537 - - 6270 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3243 - - -362 - - -2915 - - -5127 ODpotential blCL - - - 11468 - - 11573 - - 12366 - - 10283 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 74 - - 74 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 890 - - 940 - - 400 - - 1650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 84.7 - - 83.2 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.1 - - 57.0 - - 54.5 - - 62.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 81.9 - - 82.0 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 56.7 - - 54.1 - - 62.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 422 - - 416 - - 124 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3376 - - 6362 - - 4602 - - 307 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98786 36 109 31 122 22 084 36 070 98786 91295 27 100 26 095 25 101 29 090 91295 85514 24 104 29 080 34 090 38 100 85514 80723 29 105 32 078 32 083 38 094 80723 76610 32 098 35 088 31 092 36 087 76610 72995 32 088 35 099 31 095 33 090 72995 69748 28 081 29 104 31 097 29 093 69748 66799 27 082 23 099 24 096 25 099 66799 64095 27 093 19 098 17 103 23 096 64095 61503 24 104 20 105 19 108 22 088 61503 58825 16 128 18 112 20 108 17 098 58825 56070 16 148 13 136 19 127 22 121 56070 53459 21 151 14 165 16 151 14 147 53459 51109 23 146 20 169 14 181 8 175 51109 48989 14 110 21 151 8 195 7 260 48989 47049 6 088 13 120 14 164 15 165 47049 45263 2 223 4 092 19 139 20 149 45263 43596 7 243 2 231 13 148 12 177 43596 42023 7 206 6 185 9 186 8 171 42023 40535 10 211 9 227 7 208 5 213 40535 39129 14 219 10 240 6 221 6 240 39129 37776 18 219 14 276 11 275 7 271 37776 36414 19 231 19 279 19 297 9 291 36414 35016 13 250 15 272 20 302 13 295 35016 33584 9 243 6 259 18 309 17 300 33584 32107 7 236 5 238 14 307 14 307 32107 30573 10 262 8 255 8 291 8 319 30573 28987 10 274 9 272 6 272 6 308 28987 27354 8 287 8 288 3 288 8 309 27354 25680 4 269 5 276 2 293 8 312 25680 23967 5 250 7 254 5 248 9 316 23967 22209 6 291 7 268 6 290 12 332 22209 20402 13 309 13 313 13 325 17 352 20402 18580 17 321 18 316 18 335 21 005 18580 16840 19 325 19 318 20 335 25 005 16840 15263 19 318 18 321 18 329 23 001 15263 13854 17 313 15 322 18 322 23 347 13854 12588 13 312 13 328 17 320 23 334 12588 11447 12 323 12*336 14 321 20 325 11447 10416 13 331 12*340 11 327 17 318 10416 9488 15 333 12 344 10*333 14 310 9488 8656 15*331 12 347 9*344 12 306 8656 7907 14*324 12 350 9 003 10 304 7907 7227 14 318 12 352 9 012 5 303 7227 6616 13 313 12 354 9 016 1 293 6616 6100 13 311 12 355 9 019 2 131 6100 5700 13 309 12 356 9 021 4 130 5700 5422 12 308 12 357 9 023 5 130 5422 5253 11 307 11 357 8 023 5*130 5253 5156 10 307 10 357 7 023 4*133 5156 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography