DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 76.0 - - 79.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 250 - - 133 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1391 - - 2654 - - 3854 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5354 - - 6485 - - 7063 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6240 - - 7503 - - 8703 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1071 - - 1818 - - 3534 - - 4371 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 374 - - 338 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 14 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 256 - - 232 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -21 - - -18 - - -17 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -98 - - -256 - - -870 - - -3746 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6338 - - 7760 - - 9573 - - 8901 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3862 - - -3258 - - -2857 - - -7600 ODpotential blCL - - - 10102 - - 10761 - - 11560 - - 12755 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 94 - - 87 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 840 - - 1010 - - 590 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 76.0 - - 79.7 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.8 - - 59.1 - - 55.1 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 74.0 - - 78.2 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 58.3 - - 54.9 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 250 - - 133 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1391 - - 2654 - - 3854 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 76 - - 49 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98916 39 089 45 102 34 112 34 084 98916 91396 47 104 38 109 32 106 41 087 91396 85608 46 094 39 102 34 097 36 089 85608 80826 32 078 36 077 41 083 36 095 80826 76736 19 081 32 068 40 078 37 091 76736 73162 18 119 21 094 28 083 30 080 73162 69952 24 118 20 113 17 089 24 066 69952 67007 25 105 20 108 14 099 19 077 67007 64279 24 102 22 101 21 103 23 098 64279 61641 26 100 27 096 28 098 28 097 61641 58906 25 093 27 093 28 096 24 103 58906 56089 23 097 22 102 21 101 23 098 56089 53410 28 102 25 113 20 124 14 112 53410 50998 32 100 26 114 23 123 24 132 50998 48835 31 096 23 117 20 122 27 133 48835 46871 23 089 20 116 14 129 24 141 46871 45066 20 089 19 118 13 143 19 155 45066 43391 14 081 14 123 8 194 11 178 43391 41825 8 009 4 067 7 189 8 226 41825 40349 9 322 9 312 1 132 8 234 40349 38956 7 298 17 265 12 272 8 230 38956 37617 10 277 13 262 15 264 10 220 37617 36268 17 266 11 256 11 249 8 202 36268 34881 21 260 10 243 11 228 5 215 34881 33460 18 260 11 227 12 212 6 241 33460 31994 16 260 12 212 13 205 7 223 31994 30473 12 259 14 200 13 203 6 183 30473 28901 8 252 16 190 13 186 6 176 28901 27279 4 227 18 182 11 149 9 193 27279 25609 3 181 19 178 14 162 10 199 25609 23899 5 163 17 186 15 178 8 209 23899 22146 7 154 14 209 17 206 9 246 22146 20345 9 158 20 222 20 215 11 234 20345 18530 14 177 30 210 23 208 14 217 18530 16794 21 188 34 204 25 202 14 218 16794 15216 25 192 32 206 26 202 13 224 15216 13807 27 194 29 210 25 204 13 224 13807 12543 27 197 26 218 22 206 14 222 12543 11404 27 201 25 226 20 209 13 219 11404 10378 28 206 24 233 17 213 10 207 10378 9456 28 212 22 238 13*217 9 199 9456 8629 28 218 19 243 11*222 9 203 8629 7887 27 224 16*251 9 227 9 211 7887 7212 26 231 15*255 9 232 8 217 7212 6606 24*240 14 256 9 234 8 223 6606 6094 21*251 14 256 8 237 7 229 6094 5696 20 254 14 257 8 238 6 236 5696 5421 19 254 13 257 8 239 6 243 5421 5252 18 255 12 257 7 240 4 248 5252 5155 14 254 11 257 7 240 3*248 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography