DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 87.3 - - 84.7 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 553 - - 485 - - 140 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8764 - - 9843 - - 7494 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11608 - - 12433 - - 9805 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13613 - - 14692 - - 12343 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2171 - - 2425 - - 4864 - - 5005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 709 - - 706 - - 427 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 096 - - 115 - - 111 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 561 - - 1372 - - -301 - - -4823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13053 - - 13321 - - 12645 - - 9979 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -694 - - 221 - - -1594 - - -7642 ODpotential blCL - - - 14307 - - 14471 - - 13937 - - 12797 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 77 - - 96 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 290 - - 240 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.2 - - 87.3 - - 84.7 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 46.4 - - 46.9 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.8 - - 84.2 - - 83.3 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 46.3 - - 46.9 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 553 - - 485 - - 140 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8764 - - 9843 - - 7494 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 9 - - 82 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99039 44 114 29 114 33 084 37 073 99039 91549 44 099 38 102 35 099 32 092 91549 85770 41 089 45 096 39 104 37 099 85770 80989 38 089 40 098 38 100 41 095 80989 76887 32 094 32 098 34 091 35 086 76887 73283 29 095 25 092 27 085 29 081 73283 70037 28 094 24 091 21 085 25 086 70037 67063 25 091 24 097 19 090 22 098 67063 64316 19 096 17 105 19 096 16 100 64316 61672 14 078 17 116 11 092 10 104 61672 58923 10 060 10 101 7 087 11 091 58923 56089 11 086 8 032 8 047 14 059 56089 53416 15 072 7 027 8 032 14 037 53416 51021 13 039 10 045 7 002 12 017 51021 48865 11 031 13 050 4 024 9 026 48865 46899 15 044 17 057 5 058 10 044 46899 45084 18 045 20 044 11 064 11 065 45084 43394 16 039 17 049 14 053 14 055 43394 41809 14 023 18 071 18 058 15 043 41809 40319 11 016 23 081 20 065 14 051 40319 38919 11 042 26 066 23 074 20 081 38919 37576 24 062 31 060 26 076 20 063 37576 36224 36 065 29 046 23 059 21 049 36224 34832 35 059 30 055 23 055 18 058 34832 33406 35 056 29 056 23 044 19 049 33406 31937 36 054 28 060 27 033 24 039 31937 30415 36 053 23 070 23 041 24 038 30415 28845 33 052 18 076 13 064 19 043 28845 27228 24 056 16 060 11 064 16 040 27228 25569 21 062 18 053 15 051 16 038 25569 23872 17 060 18 055 18 045 19 048 23872 22132 16 083 13 063 14 054 18 061 22132 20340 19 082 12 065 10 060 18 058 20340 18531 14 082 13 052 11 027 20 037 18531 16799 14 100 9 052 11 018 20 018 16799 15224 16 108 6*077 10 024 18 011 15224 13815 13*106 7*098 8 076 14 021 13815 12550 11*101 7 106 9*093 9 049 12550 11409 11 099 9 111 10*096 8 077 11409 10381 11 098 10 115 13 109 9 098 10381 9457 11 097 11 117 13 110 11 118 9457 8628 11 095 12 118 14 112 16 127 8628 7885 11 094 12 118 15 112 20 129 7885 7210 12 093 13 118 15 113 23 130 7210 6605 12 092 13 118 15 113 24 130 6605 6093 12 092 13 118 15 113 23 130 6093 5696 12 091 13 118 15 113 21 129 5696 5421 11 091 12 118 14 113 16 127 5421 5252 11 091 12 118 14 113 13 127 5252 5155 10 090 11 118 12 112 8*125 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography