DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.6 - - 70.2 - - 75.0 - - 74.3 - - 60.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 53 - - 443 - - 450 - - 80 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 5712 - - 10162 - - 10260 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 9039 - - 12657 - - 11357 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 5154 - - 10561 - - 15011 - - 15109 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 931 - - 3202 - - 977 - - 1700 - - 1558 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 572 - - 696 - - 393 - - 5 W* B/S 5 - - 19 - - 38 - - 18 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 020 - - 309 - - 235 - - 095 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 2 - - 23 - - 51 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1146 - - -1720 - - 841 - - -24 - - -5593 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6300 - - 12281 - - 14171 - - 15133 - - 10747 sfcLCL ODpotential -5214 - - -4072 - - 263 - - -1258 - - -9312 ODpotential blCL 10368 - - 14633 - - 14748 - - 16367 - - 14466 blCL maxRH 67 - - 47 - - 81 - - 82 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.6 - - 70.2 - - 75.0 - - 74.3 - - 60.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 34.0 - - 30.2 - - 25.4 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.9 - - 67.4 - - 72.0 - - 73.3 - - 62.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.7 - - 33.6 - - 30.1 - - 25.3 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 53 - - 443 - - 450 - - 80 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 305 - - 5712 - - 10162 - - 10260 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 30 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97454 43 246 48 249 45 237 41 245 39 245 97454 90013 37 255 38 242 36 235 42 253 36 263 90013 84315 27 262 28 244 34 235 38 247 33 265 84315 79634 19 269 20 260 27 251 26 244 24 259 79634 75617 12 257 14 273 18 265 15 270 12 259 75617 72076 7 261 7 269 9 270 11 272 12 271 72076 68905 4 265 7 257 5 326 6 282 10 282 68905 66015 9 207 13 260 10 282 12 294 12 299 66015 63334 7 278 13 251 15 246 20 257 15 269 63334 60717 31 287 27 291 19 278 19 271 17 271 60717 57972 36 278 33 279 29 285 27 285 27 280 57972 55127 44 284 39 281 36 281 33 283 35 278 55127 52416 53 285 47 283 41 280 40 281 41 277 52416 49970 57 282 50 282 49 276 47 276 46 272 49970 47768 56 281 50 280 51 273 49 272 47 270 47768 45761 55 283 53 278 50 272 48 270 48 271 45761 43924 58 285 55 279 50 275 46 269 44 264 43924 42240 62 284 56 283 50 278 44 271 39 257 42240 40687 60 283 57 285 47 279 42 270 36 256 40687 39241 55 284 55 284 45 281 43 267 35 253 39241 37887 47 287 51 280 45 280 45 266 32 254 37887 36587 44 290 44 278 44 276 45 270 32 260 36587 35278 43 290 40 281 38 274 41 273 29 266 35278 33934 41 289 39 283 34 279 34 276 24 265 33934 32562 40 288 38 283 35 280 28 277 17 262 32562 31150 39 289 37 287 36 279 26 281 13 265 31150 29685 37 289 35 290 34 284 25 284 12 271 29685 28172 34 287 32 289 31 287 23 285 13 272 28172 26614 30 289 28 287 29 287 21 284 14 275 26614 25013 27 297 26 288 27 288 20 288 15 285 25013 23370 25 301 23 293 25 293 20 300 14 305 23370 21680 27 306 23 300 23 300 18 312 13 318 21680 19932 25 316 20 306 20 308 16 314 11 333 19932 18161 19 334 10 300 17 306 15 293 13 308 18161 16466 18 340 6 310 14*297 10*276 18 279 16466 14933 17 330 9 323 9*296 7*274 14 262 14933 13567 15 320 11 316 8 296 6 265 13 259 13567 12340 11 335 10 314 7 297 6 253 11 254 12340 11233 11 005 6*348 5 299 5 241 9 241 11233 10234 13 010 6*013 3 305 5 231 6 217 10234 9335 12 000 6 015 2 319 4 222 6 185 9335 8529 11 351 6 017 1 346 4 210 8 161 8529 7806 8 348 6 019 1 024 3 200 10 147 7806 7150 6 343 5 021 2 049 3 193 14 138 7150 6561 5 317 5 023 2 064 3 185 17 131 6561 6064 7 296 5 025 2 070 3 180 18 125 6064 5679 8 277 5 027 3 071 3 178 17 120 5679 5411 7 271 5 028 3 072 3 176 14 111 5411 5248 5*266 4 028 3 074 3 175 10 103 5248 5154 4*265 4 029 2 073 3 175 6*095 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography