DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 59.9 - - 55.9 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 289 - - 298 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2349 - - 4547 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6282 - - 7964 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7198 - - 9396 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1289 - - 1073 - - 4437 - - 625 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 368 - - 464 - - 0 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 116 - - 155 - - 161 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 9 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4891 - - -4306 - - -7468 - - -4337 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12089 - - 13703 - - 12623 - - 9490 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12766 - - -11279 - - -14865 - - -14548 ODpotential blCL - - - 19964 - - 20675 - - 20019 - - 19701 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 77 - - 86 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 59.9 - - 55.9 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.0 - - 17.9 - - 18.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 57.8 - - 55.9 - - 48.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 17.8 - - 18.9 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 289 - - 298 - - -4 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2349 - - 4547 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 7 - - 45 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96180 32 243 52 252 54 253 57 260 96180 89043 42 262 47 251 51 265 45 270 89043 83592 38 270 30 253 36 273 36 279 83592 79042 32 270 25 272 21 269 25 268 79042 75110 23 279 22 270 17 270 21 260 75110 71655 22 302 17 287 13 276 14 258 71655 68535 21 310 14 324 11 307 12 286 68535 65674 23 289 17 324 14 315 14 302 65674 63041 20 287 18 291 21 298 21 300 63041 60504 22 310 22 292 26 284 26 285 60504 57858 30 313 30 309 28 305 25 292 57858 55088 40 307 40 313 36 317 31 302 55088 52421 45 301 44 307 42 312 35 304 52421 50001 45 301 44 298 44 305 40 305 50001 47814 42 299 43 291 44 300 46 298 47814 45813 40 300 42 287 44 293 47 288 45813 43972 42 300 39 287 41 286 46 284 43972 42274 47 298 41 289 40 278 48 278 42274 40705 56 287 47 286 40 283 48 281 40705 39249 62 282 53 278 49 278 47 276 39249 37898 55 281 52 276 48 274 50 271 37898 36608 47 283 49 277 46 275 50 270 36608 35306 42 286 43 282 43 279 43 272 35306 33966 32 286 35 280 40 279 39 276 33966 32596 26 286 25 269 32 276 33 277 32596 31184 18 308 20 266 24 267 23 263 31184 29722 17 328 13 283 20 266 16 244 29722 28209 16 319 12 292 16 270 11 254 28209 26645 19 307 15 305 15 296 6 276 26645 25033 20 310 16 328 10 323 2 136 25033 23377 19 325 16 348 7 359 5 104 23377 21674 18 339 16 356 9 032 10 090 21674 19915 18 343 13 348 9 036 11 088 19915 18131 16 346 11 358 6 026 7 091 18131 16419 12 340 9 005 4 037 3 115 16419 14863 5 308 6 337 3 039 2 144 14863 13477 4 177 6 272 3 315 1 033 13477 12238 8 142 6 216 6 246 5 286 12238 11128 10 129 8 175 8 195 8 248 11128 10133 11 125 7*164 8 171 9 218 10133 9243 11 129 7*160 7 163 9 197 9243 8450 10 132 7 160 7 162 7 184 8450 7740 7*128 7 157 8 162 6 176 7740 7098 5*121 7 155 9 162 6 174 7098 6523 5 118 7 153 10 162 8 173 6523 6038 5 116 7 151 10 162 10 169 6038 5663 5 113 7 150 10 162 12 167 5663 5402 5 111 7 150 10 161 10 167 5402 5244 5 110 6 149 9*162 6*166 5244 5153 4 109 6 148 7*161 3*165 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography