DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 55.4 - - 51.6 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 311 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3701 - - 6145 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7339 - - 9229 - - 5137 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8550 - - 10994 - - 5154 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1424 - - 1171 - - 6267 - - 1487 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 444 - - 519 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 58 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 195 - - 146 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4437 - - -2413 - - -8729 - - -5608 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12988 - - 13408 - - 13884 - - 10761 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8631 - - -5748 - - -13578 - - -15284 ODpotential blCL - - - 17181 - - 16742 - - 18732 - - 20437 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 52 - - 40 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.5 - - 55.4 - - 51.6 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.8 - - 14.5 - - 8.9 - - 11.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 53.2 - - 51.4 - - 44.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.7 - - 14.3 - - 8.8 - - 11.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 322 - - 311 - - 1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3701 - - 6145 - - 305 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96089 29 264 46 243 49 260 49 271 96089 88928 35 270 43 271 39 273 41 276 88928 83420 37 270 43 281 37 281 36 289 83420 78832 25 279 33 280 31 285 29 296 78832 74891 21 301 26 299 26 288 25 284 74891 71416 24 300 17 293 23 298 23 287 71416 68282 23 292 22 302 33 307 31 306 68282 65429 28 298 30 290 41 296 38 289 65429 62780 31 297 35 299 43 290 33 290 62780 60205 36 291 40 293 47 304 48 302 60205 57538 42 286 49 298 58 293 64 293 57538 54755 49 285 54 287 43 288 61 288 54755 52060 56 284 52 277 35 297 54 308 52060 49623 55 285 41 295 64 332 69 323 49623 47454 63 300 60 316 91 320 83 316 47454 45502 72 300 85 312 84 305 87 303 45502 43705 80 291 92 302 73 295 88 295 43705 42022 84 281 86 297 62 293 72 294 42022 40440 89 277 74 298 57 306 57 315 40440 38964 88 276 66 305 58 319 63 326 38964 37587 92 271 61 308 63 326 67 332 37587 36273 93 268 59 307 68 328 70 338 36273 34959 88 265 58 301 68 326 72 342 34959 33617 85 264 54 295 63 328 67 338 33617 32245 81 262 49 297 54 336 57 340 32245 30836 72 262 43 313 54 355 56 359 30836 29381 61 266 43 323 69 011 67 011 29381 27880 54 269 44 313 75 016 74 010 27880 26329 49 274 42 304 67 013 74 007 26329 24729 41 283 36 305 55 357 68 004 24729 23083 38 291 32 307 48 339 60 006 23083 21392 31 298 32 304 36 331 51 008 21392 19652 27 295 33 300 30 331 43 001 19652 17898 27 297 31 298 30 327 40 347 17898 16220 25 302 28 300 30 321 37 336 16220 14696 22 307 26 306 27 318 34 335 14696 13338 17 308 21 311 25 319 30 338 13338 12125 13 307 13 315 19 318 27 337 12125 11037 10 302 4*311 12 311 22 326 11037 10060 5 276 2*299 7 299 16 300 10060 9185 6*200 1 258 3 247 10 285 9185 8404 8*181 1 215 3 183 4 283 8404 7705 10 171 2 195 5 161 1 270 7705 7071 11 168 2 185 7 154 3 190 7071 6504 11 166 3 179 7 152 7 164 6504 6026 11 165 3 176 8 149 11 154 6026 5656 11 164 3 173 8 148 11 152 5656 5399 10 163 3 173 8 147 6 147 5399 5243 10 164 3 174 7*147 3*137 5243 5153 9 163 3 174 6*146 1*096 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography