DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 71.3 - - 63.7 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 245 - - -22 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2605 - - 6773 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6410 - - 9607 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7454 - - 11622 - - 5155 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3843 - - 2961 - - 6184 - - 2876 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 358 - - 497 - - 3 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 27 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 231 - - 244 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -21 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 906 - - 272 - - -5457 - - -4023 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6548 - - 11350 - - 10612 - - 9178 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -162 - - -1744 - - -8095 - - -7994 ODpotential blCL - - - 7616 - - 13366 - - 13250 - - 13148 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 57 - - 73 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1240 - - 60 - - 10 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 71.3 - - 63.7 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 39.1 - - 35.3 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 69.8 - - 66.0 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 39.0 - - 35.3 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 245 - - -22 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2605 - - 6773 - - 306 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 0 - - 0 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96550 35 257 41 260 35 276 32 273 96550 89351 13 277 19 253 24 254 34 270 89351 83850 12 279 19 261 16 265 18 261 83850 79280 11 277 14 272 11 278 12 275 79280 75339 10 288 12 272 8 271 12 268 75339 71876 11 245 11 249 9 268 8 279 71876 68761 6 240 9 148 8 222 7 250 68761 65892 8 285 3 294 5 244 12 298 65892 63230 13 240 9 251 15 239 16 275 63230 60694 6 194 29 229 33 254 22 256 60694 58048 11 307 45 256 44 255 26 256 58048 55238 46 256 50 255 52 257 48 261 55238 52525 62 243 55 248 58 257 60 257 52525 50071 66 236 53 243 63 254 64 249 50071 47859 61 237 53 241 66 251 65 245 47859 45841 60 238 57 243 66 250 66 246 45841 43983 62 240 62 244 67 248 69 248 43983 42263 65 245 69 245 66 245 72 249 42263 40665 67 251 74 248 66 245 73 248 40665 39180 71 255 76 252 66 248 74 249 39180 37802 76 253 80 254 70 252 77 251 37802 36495 79 248 84 251 75 253 81 252 36495 35188 78 244 83 245 77 250 84 251 35188 33849 77 244 83 244 78 246 86 250 33849 32478 77 246 84 245 79 244 86 248 32478 31065 78 246 84 246 79 245 85 247 31065 29602 77 244 83 247 79 247 84 247 29602 28091 76 240 81 246 78 248 83 248 28091 26533 73 238 79 245 77 246 82 247 26533 24930 71 237 76 244 76 244 81 246 24930 23285 70 237 73 244 75 242 78 245 23285 21595 69 237 69 245 73 243 74 243 21595 19855 65 236 64 244 70 243 67 242 19855 18101 59 232 56 241 62 241 57 235 18101 16423 55 228 47 235 49 235 49 221 16423 14896 51 227 42 229 40 230 43 214 14896 13528 49 229 39 226 34 227 36 214 13528 12298 45 231 34*226 31 225 30 210 12298 11189 39 229 30*227 28 225 22 206 11189 10190 34 220 29 229 26 226 12 195 10190 9294 31 215 28 230 24 230 6 144 9294 8493 29 212 28 231 22 234 7 071 8493 7777 26*208 27 232 20 237 10 032 7777 7128 22*204 27 232 19 239 13 015 7128 6546 21 202 26 233 18 241 15 006 6546 6055 20 202 26 233 17 242 16 006 6055 5673 19 202 25 233 16 243 15 010 5673 5409 18 202 24 233 13 243 13 012 5409 5247 17 202 22 233 10*244 11*014 5247 5154 14 203 18 234 6*244 6*018 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography