DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 88.8 - - 87.5 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 482 - - 440 - - 129 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7467 - - 8820 - - 8001 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10487 - - 11546 - - 10123 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12316 - - 13669 - - 12850 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1093 - - 1655 - - 2183 - - 1636 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 642 - - 658 - - 424 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 17 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 104 - - 093 - - 138 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - -3 - - -8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1371 - - -2250 - - -2361 - - -6728 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13688 - - 15920 - - 15211 - - 11883 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5394 - - -5606 - - -5498 - - -11668 ODpotential blCL - - - 17710 - - 19275 - - 18348 - - 16823 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 82 - - 54 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.2 - - 88.8 - - 87.5 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.8 - - 36.4 - - 38.4 - - 42.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.0 - - 85.8 - - 86.0 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 36.3 - - 38.4 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 482 - - 440 - - 129 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7467 - - 8820 - - 8001 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99015 41 107 32 115 31 101 28 084 99015 91462 37 098 40 108 30 099 36 089 91462 85681 34 093 34 104 30 095 36 080 85681 80902 35 087 29 103 30 094 34 078 80902 76792 33 086 31 096 29 092 31 089 76792 73191 28 087 28 080 27 085 30 092 73191 69948 21 086 18 088 21 073 24 086 69948 66976 15 086 14 102 18 078 19 070 66976 64231 16 070 11 098 16 084 17 067 64231 61589 16 056 12 096 12 064 17 069 61589 58859 20 067 17 080 11 051 21 059 58859 56057 23 071 21 068 16 069 21 041 56057 53395 19 047 20 057 20 070 17 052 53395 51000 12 017 17 043 18 055 18 068 51000 48848 8 034 13 047 14 048 18 051 48848 46879 8 088 9 072 11 084 10 068 46879 45061 9 098 10 092 13 116 10 140 45061 43375 8 113 11 151 13 138 13 159 43375 41800 6 106 16 176 12 165 12 165 41800 40319 5 135 15 174 15 168 13 175 40319 38924 2 094 12 164 15 157 13 172 38924 37585 3 013 13 163 11 150 15 164 37585 36238 2 058 14 164 11 160 17 159 36238 34857 8 141 15 168 8 177 10 150 34857 33447 10 156 14 171 7 186 5 142 33447 31995 11 151 13 163 8 186 6 143 31995 30487 13 142 13 142 8 154 10 122 30487 28926 14 134 13 132 11 126 11 107 28926 27313 13 123 10 130 10 120 9 087 27313 25653 11 115 7 116 6 100 11 063 25653 23954 12 102 7 123 3 100 8 054 23954 22210 14 090 9 126 3 156 5 023 22210 20416 12 096 10 114 5 111 8 053 20416 18600 11 120 11 106 10 086 12 069 18600 16858 14 130 12 110 12 087 15 086 16858 15271 17 126 9 115 7 060 17 093 15271 13852 17 119 5*107 6*067 10 079 13852 12579 10*102 5*107 6*078 6 036 12579 11435 8*098 5 106 7 083 6 029 11435 10404 8 096 6 104 7 088 5 049 10404 9476 7 093 6 105 8 092 4 101 9476 8644 7 091 7 104 9 094 7 138 8644 7897 7 088 7 103 9 096 11 144 7897 7219 6 085 8 103 9 097 15 144 7219 6611 6 083 8 103 10 098 18 142 6611 6097 6 081 9 102 10 098 19 140 6097 5698 6 079 9 102 9 098 18 140 5698 5421 6 079 9 102 9 098 15 141 5421 5252 5 079 9 102 9 098 11*140 5252 5155 5 078 8 102 8 099 6*138 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography