DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.9 - - 91.9 - - 89.2 - - 78.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 517 - - 496 - - 133 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7870 - - 9458 - - 7654 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10846 - - 12126 - - 9883 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12719 - - 14307 - - 12503 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2144 - - 2717 - - 2922 - - 2700 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 669 - - 701 - - 422 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 108 - - 103 - - 101 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1465 - - -1226 - - -2246 - - -5802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14185 - - 15534 - - 14749 - - 10958 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4211 - - -3885 - - -4691 - - -10090 ODpotential blCL - - - 16930 - - 18192 - - 17194 - - 15245 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 64 - - 66 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 50 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.9 - - 91.9 - - 89.2 - - 78.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.2 - - 41.1 - - 42.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.5 - - 88.5 - - 87.8 - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 41.0 - - 42.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 517 - - 496 - - 133 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7870 - - 9458 - - 7654 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99076 31 096 32 119 20 112 23 078 99076 91561 41 088 28 102 32 112 27 100 91561 85767 44 086 34 090 38 105 37 101 85767 80989 38 088 39 083 38 089 40 096 80989 76901 33 096 30 084 37 077 37 087 76901 73294 31 103 20 101 26 072 32 074 73294 70030 30 092 19 107 19 094 22 073 70030 67042 26 079 22 115 18 099 16 089 67042 64293 15 089 24 094 18 095 17 090 64293 61654 11 113 21 086 19 078 20 089 61654 58921 17 077 20 088 17 080 20 081 58921 56108 24 066 18 081 16 073 18 076 56108 53426 24 068 16 043 15 046 16 050 53426 51007 19 061 19 012 17 020 21 031 51007 48841 20 043 20 026 20 021 23 026 48841 46874 21 028 21 041 18 033 18 029 46874 45064 19 033 21 052 16 055 15 036 45064 43383 24 040 20 047 22 058 20 045 43383 41815 25 046 22 042 30 055 24 048 41815 40345 27 057 25 043 35 051 24 054 40345 38964 26 052 27 043 34 052 23 059 38964 37635 28 043 29 047 33 053 25 053 37635 36296 31 043 31 048 30 058 27 050 36296 34917 30 049 32 049 27 066 27 055 34917 33504 29 054 29 059 28 071 26 059 33504 32044 21 047 16 054 24 069 25 062 32044 30532 18 036 17 042 17 055 18 055 30532 28972 21 030 18 034 19 045 18 037 28972 27364 16 040 15 031 18 035 18 037 27364 25710 15 076 13 051 16 033 18 030 25710 24014 16 095 11 065 15 044 18 034 24014 22270 17 091 14 064 18 056 19 041 22270 20473 19 080 18 067 20 054 20 054 20473 18655 20 072 17 063 21 044 22 055 18655 16908 20 073 13 074 18 043 20 050 16908 15315 20 089 13*099 11 052 17 048 15315 13890 17*097 11*102 8 078 12 051 13890 12611 11*105 11 103 9*089 8 058 12611 11459 10 108 11 103 10*091 7 062 11459 10422 10 109 11 103 11 096 8 068 10422 9490 10 109 11 103 11 099 10 080 9490 8655 10 109 11 103 12 101 11 099 8655 7905 10 109 11 103 13 103 13 113 7905 7225 10 108 12 102 13 104 18 120 7225 6614 10 108 12 103 14 105 22 123 6614 6099 10 107 12 102 14 105 23 124 6099 5699 10 107 11 102 13 105 21 124 5699 5422 10 106 11 102 13 105 17 124 5422 5253 10 106 11 102 13 106 13 122 5253 5155 9 106 10 102 11 105 7*120 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography