DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.3 - - 62.4 - - 67.2 - - 58.8 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 281 - - 210 - - -29 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2300 - - 3512 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 6237 - - 7028 - - 5137 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5153 - - 7149 - - 8361 - - 5154 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 243 - - 906 - - 2480 - - 2309 - - 427 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 362 - - 378 - - 10 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 13 - - 14 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 026 - - 127 - - 132 - - 106 - - 092 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3536 - - -4175 - - -3676 - - -4733 - - -3955 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8690 - - 11324 - - 12037 - - 9888 - - 9109 sfcLCL ODpotential -12665 - - -9900 - - -8695 - - -11425 - - -12492 ODpotential blCL 17818 - - 17049 - - 17056 - - 16579 - - 17646 blCL maxRH 69 - - 65 - - 78 - - 78 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.3 - - 62.4 - - 67.2 - - 58.8 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.8 - - 30.9 - - 32.4 - - 33.7 - - 30.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 60.3 - - 65.5 - - 60.5 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.7 - - 30.8 - - 32.3 - - 33.7 - - 30.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 281 - - 210 - - -29 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 304 - - 2300 - - 3512 - - 305 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96662 40 267 48 276 41 279 44 273 40 281 96662 89412 24 276 35 262 30 278 26 279 27 281 89412 83877 19 288 22 251 29 271 17 295 19 283 83877 79307 12 264 8 264 22 253 16 288 13 297 79307 75378 12 299 2 272 11 219 15 259 15 296 75378 71905 9 308 6 274 0 222 9 225 16 249 71905 68774 8 302 7 292 6 004 1 337 4 237 68774 65911 11 255 8 280 5 317 4 309 2 067 65911 63277 10 217 10 263 5 291 7 330 9 077 63277 60732 14 232 27 257 27 267 20 276 8 284 60732 58073 20 245 38 258 37 268 35 267 29 242 58073 55314 53 256 49 250 49 245 46 242 44 224 55314 52657 65 247 60 237 60 237 55 234 53 232 52657 50234 67 244 63 237 63 236 63 235 64 234 50234 48043 66 246 62 241 63 236 66 235 65 236 48043 46044 66 250 64 246 62 238 62 235 64 240 46044 44214 67 252 68 248 64 240 62 237 65 243 44214 42525 70 253 71 249 67 245 65 240 66 244 42525 40956 72 252 73 250 72 248 70 245 67 246 40956 39491 71 252 71 249 75 249 75 249 68 245 39491 38125 70 253 67 249 73 247 75 247 71 243 38125 36821 69 253 66 248 71 243 69 242 72 241 36821 35508 68 252 65 247 69 243 66 238 71 241 35508 34157 67 250 64 246 66 245 65 236 70 240 34157 32773 64 249 61 247 62 244 62 237 68 239 32773 31345 63 248 59 245 58 239 60 236 65 235 31345 29865 63 246 56 237 56 234 57 234 62 230 29865 28337 61 244 58 232 57 232 55 231 60 229 28337 26763 61 244 59 231 56 232 51 230 57 231 26763 25145 59 244 55 232 54 231 48 228 51 233 25145 23486 54 245 50 236 51 231 45 225 45 235 23486 21781 46 248 43 239 47 234 41 226 39 236 21781 20021 37 246 35 238 40 236 35 231 34 233 20021 18240 31 236 28 230 31 232 29 234 27 227 18240 16531 29 228 25 221 25 224 25 230 22 223 16531 14975 27 225 25 216 24 218 23 225 21 229 14975 13587 25 216 24 213 23 209 22 214 23 225 13587 12345 20 202 22 206 22 193 21 194 24 210 12345 11231 15 197 19 191 19 181 20 186 24 202 11231 10227 12 191 16 179 16 173 19 181 25 199 10227 9324 11 176 15 174 15 160 18 170 25 191 9324 8515 10 162 17 166 14*143 17 157 21 177 8515 7790 11 156 17*156 14*136 16 138 20 157 7790 7133 13 149 15*140 14 134 16 121 23 139 7133 6546 16 139 14 128 14 133 17 117 30 128 6546 6052 18 129 13 125 14 131 17 116 30 122 6052 5671 16 120 13 123 14 130 16 115 26 120 5671 5406 10 113 12 121 13 129 14 112 18 114 5406 5246 6 097 11 120 13 129 11*110 13*107 5246 5154 3*026 10 119 11 128 7*106 7*092 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography