DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 88.0 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 288 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7753 - - 8689 - - - - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10653 - - 11214 - - - - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12602 - - 13538 - - - - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1972 - - 3831 - - - - - 6345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 619 - - 569 - - - - - 28 W* B/S - - - 62 - - 23 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 117 - - 109 - - - - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 19 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1197 - - 648 - - - - - -3908 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11405 - - 12891 - - - - - 9064 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 81 - - -337 - - - - - -6327 ODpotential blCL - - - 12521 - - 13875 - - - - - 11482 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 99 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 540 - - 530 - - - - - 1080 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.8 - - 88.0 - - - - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.4 - - 49.0 - - - - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.8 - - 85.6 - - - - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.3 - - 48.9 - - - - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 288 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7753 - - 8689 - - - - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 95 - - - - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98809 27 092 33 107 34 100 98809 91347 28 122 21 103 26 076 91347 85597 30 107 26 112 28 078 85597 80823 28 082 34 105 32 096 80823 76739 23 079 32 092 31 104 76739 73153 19 104 22 085 24 101 73153 69911 17 129 11 104 19 080 69911 66931 17 113 11 131 11 066 66931 64189 19 075 17 105 6 075 64189 61565 14 083 17 090 7 097 61565 58854 17 111 15 094 12 082 58854 56088 20 112 13 102 16 052 56088 53481 24 101 18 092 16 036 53481 51122 27 085 23 079 17 060 51122 48976 29 070 28 069 23 072 48976 47006 28 061 26 061 27 064 47006 45183 26 056 21 055 28 049 45183 43483 26 053 20 053 28 034 43483 41886 29 049 22 054 23 032 41886 40386 29 039 26 049 21 042 40386 38980 24 037 29 036 25 045 38980 37635 20 038 28 021 27 039 37635 36280 19 028 27 018 27 033 36280 34886 18 025 26 016 27 039 34886 33458 18 031 25 014 28 040 33458 31986 19 037 23 011 28 037 31986 30468 17 039 20 007 29 036 30468 28907 13 045 17 004 25 040 28907 27302 10 048 13 010 19 042 27302 25649 8 034 11 026 15 035 25649 23954 7 031 8 023 13 035 23954 22212 5 053 6 031 14 031 22212 20416 4 064 3 034 12 027 20416 18594 3 088 3 332 12 011 18594 16846 5 123 3 336 14 345 16846 15264 6 097 3 345 13 340 15264 13851 7*075 2*018 9 335 13851 12582 7*074 1*047 5 300 12582 11437 4 079 2 080 4 220 11437 10406 3 082 3 104 8 184 10406 9477 2 123 4 109 11 170 9477 8645 2 151 5 111 15 157 8645 7899 2 166 6 112 18 148 7899 7220 2 181 6 113 21 142 7220 6612 2 188 6 114 21 140 6612 6098 2 192 7 114 19 140 6098 5699 2 195 7 114 15 140 5699 5422 2 197 7 114 10 139 5422 5253 2 196 6 114 7 138 5253 5155 2 197 6 113 4*134 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography