DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.6 - - 47.1 - - 51.7 - - 45.3 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 70 - - 245 - - 220 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 451 - - 1228 - - 2008 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth Hcrit 5135 - - 5426 - - 5946 - - 5136 - - 5136 Hcrit BL Top 5300 - - 6077 - - 6857 - - 5153 - - 5153 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 314 - - 427 - - 1715 - - 1274 - - 531 Hgt.Variab. W* 132 - - 281 - - 319 - - 28 - - 8 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 045 - - 078 - - 079 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 5 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1156 - - -2942 - - -2848 - - -2896 - - -1817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6456 - - 9019 - - 9706 - - 8049 - - 6971 sfcLCL ODpotential -12137 - - -10494 - - -9452 - - -10536 - - -10291 ODpotential blCL 17437 - - 16571 - - 16309 - - 15689 - - 15444 blCL maxRH 75 - - 84 - - 78 - - 82 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.6 - - 47.1 - - 51.7 - - 45.3 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.7 - - 25.9 - - 27.3 - - 28.3 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.8 - - 45.3 - - 49.9 - - 45.1 - - 39.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.7 - - 25.9 - - 27.3 - - 28.3 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 70 - - 245 - - 220 - - 1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 451 - - 1228 - - 2008 - - 304 - - 304 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 35 - - 12 - - 29 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96495 19 263 9 245 18 244 19 271 30 300 96495 89310 15 276 12 243 15 259 23 264 20 305 89310 83793 10 272 14 277 14 277 18 266 12 293 83793 79220 11 277 13 304 7 321 5 303 11 296 79220 75276 7 300 13 309 7 315 5 013 11 337 75276 71793 10 348 12 291 14 357 8 017 4 353 71793 68635 10 330 14 277 18 320 11 303 8 318 68635 65737 11 014 10 313 11 304 10 284 13 269 65737 63056 31 310 27 326 23 311 15 300 14 275 63056 60440 45 261 34 265 32 270 26 278 21 272 60440 57695 46 249 40 251 37 260 34 263 29 271 57695 54851 44 258 47 264 48 271 40 274 42 268 54851 52150 54 256 59 249 62 256 58 267 59 255 52150 49722 61 256 61 234 61 242 72 253 64 240 49722 47535 63 266 53 239 57 244 70 243 57 242 47535 45536 74 268 57 259 60 251 65 241 68 256 45536 43715 90 259 77 261 72 254 69 250 87 257 43715 42058 107 248 91 255 87 255 89 255 101 253 42058 40535 107 237 93 245 96 251 100 253 106 247 40535 39111 106 234 95 239 97 243 94 249 97 241 39111 37768 110 235 96 237 93 239 86 239 94 239 37768 36473 114 238 96 236 95 238 83 235 90 237 36473 35166 117 243 96 234 96 236 82 233 87 235 35166 33818 113 246 98 234 98 236 82 234 86 232 33818 32434 108 249 100 237 101 238 83 234 88 232 32434 31002 102 251 99 244 102 243 83 232 91 234 31002 29515 94 252 89 251 99 250 83 234 96 243 29515 27986 85 254 82 252 87 254 86 245 93 255 27986 26419 79 258 79 253 77 254 80 258 88 261 26419 24809 75 263 73 254 73 254 70 263 75 266 24809 23161 65 266 64 253 68 257 62 262 53 269 23161 21468 49 262 57 252 58 257 53 258 41 254 21468 19724 41 256 52 253 49 255 46 254 40 247 19724 17965 39 255 47 255 45 256 41 253 37 250 17965 16284 40 254 42 260 43 259 37 254 31 258 16284 14756 40 254 39 266 40 266 37 261 29 265 14756 13391 39 255 37 270 38 274 36 270 30 269 13391 12169 37 258 35 270 34 277 35 274 31 269 12169 11073 35 259 32 267 29 275 28 268 29 267 11073 10088 34 258 28 263 21 273 19 253 25 262 10088 9204 31 260 23 259 15 268 16 244 21 252 9204 8415 26 267 18 264 11 259 13 231 17 245 8415 7709 22 285 13 284 6 248 10 211 13 242 7709 7070 20 304 9 308 0*169 8 177 10 225 7070 6500 18 319 6*347 5*078 7 127 9 178 6500 6020 13 348 6*039 6 078 10 091 12 144 6020 5652 11 028 7 045 7 078 11 083 9 119 5652 5397 11*042 7 047 7 078 11 082 6 087 5397 5242 10*044 7 049 7 078 10*080 4*073 5242 5153 8 045 6 049 7 078 8*079 2*075 5153 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography