DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 90.0 - - 87.3 - - 77.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 433 - - 61 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4238 - - 13188 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7577 - - 15129 - - 5139 - - 5139 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9087 - - 18037 - - 5156 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5685 - - 2499 - - 14073 - - 2514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 750 - - 112 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 244 - - 278 - - 094 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 21 - - 1 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5856 - - 1334 - - -10950 - - -8073 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14944 - - 16704 - - 16106 - - 13229 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7552 - - 1275 - - -11622 - - -10493 ODpotential blCL - - - 16639 - - 16762 - - 16778 - - 15648 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 96 - - 100 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 200 - - 100 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 90.0 - - 87.3 - - 77.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 33.8 - - 34.0 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.6 - - 87.2 - - 86.4 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 33.7 - - 33.9 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 433 - - 61 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4238 - - 13188 - - 307 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 86 - - 101 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98178 7 181 0 071 7 320 4 029 98178 90725 8 099 10 156 4 017 4 039 90725 84991 11 095 9 159 3 093 5 081 84991 80216 8 083 10 139 4 192 3 091 80216 76109 6 051 7 091 9 126 4 099 76109 72505 3 265 5 358 7 038 9 032 72505 69268 1 246 2 275 11 285 12 329 69268 66341 11 351 4 350 6 270 6 263 66341 63653 14 305 14 318 14 321 5 303 63653 61073 8 272 20 295 19 316 11 295 61073 58390 17 307 19 292 21 289 16 291 58390 55581 37 284 34 288 32 282 31 284 55581 52879 57 276 52 283 47 285 45 289 52879 50440 64 269 67 273 65 280 63 280 50440 48257 66 270 70 271 78 270 76 272 48257 46279 68 271 73 274 78 273 77 272 46279 44469 68 277 80 278 86 280 91 278 44469 42799 73 281 88 280 95 279 102 277 42799 41244 87 283 98 277 96 274 95 273 41244 39788 94 283 101 275 94 272 90 271 39788 38419 86 284 90 273 88 268 92 272 38419 37102 78 283 84 270 78 266 93 274 37102 35775 70 278 81 271 65 264 86 273 35775 34413 59 272 74 273 59 261 72 269 34413 33019 53 269 68 272 57 264 59 262 33019 31584 57 274 63 273 51 270 51 258 31584 30097 55 276 53 274 45 269 48 268 30097 28560 48 271 42 271 44 265 46 275 28560 26974 41 271 34 261 40 260 47 275 26974 25345 27 267 28 260 29 254 44 274 25345 23678 23 261 24 268 19 255 41 267 23678 21969 23 261 21 276 14 262 34 257 21969 20211 22 264 17 278 12 266 24 251 20211 18436 21 268 13*272 11 270 18 237 18436 16733 10 278 12*263 11 271 16 245 16733 15179 12 262 12 261 11 272 15 248 15179 13785 13 257 12 257 11 272 14 252 13785 12531 12 264 12 250 11 273 13 255 12531 11399 10 279 13 245 10 273 11 257 11399 10376 9 281 13 241 10 274 9 257 10376 9454 9*275 13 238 10 274 7 253 9454 8628 9*256 13 235 10 275 5 237 8628 7885 9 245 14 234 10 276 3 179 7885 7210 9 242 14 232 9 276 6 132 7210 6605 9 240 14 231 9 276 9 118 6605 6093 9 239 14 230 9 276 10 113 6093 5696 9 237 13 230 9 277 10 109 5696 5420 8 237 13 229 9 277 9 105 5420 5252 8 236 13 229 8*277 7*100 5252 5155 7 236 11 229 7*278 5*094 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography