DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 66.9 - - 65.7 - - 66.4 - - 64.2 - - 63.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 102 - - 63 - - 49 - - 11 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1862 - - 1283 - - 1590 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth Hcrit 5458 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 - - 5138 Hcrit BL Top 6711 - - 6132 - - 6439 - - 5155 - - 5155 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1734 - - 2019 - - 1940 - - 2148 - - 2056 Hgt.Variab. W* 242 - - 190 - - 190 - - 67 - - 60 W* B/S 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 13 - - 13 - - 3 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 184 - - 185 - - 171 - - 194 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1062 - - 977 - - 1285 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5649 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 - - 5155 sfcLCL ODpotential -78 - - 296 - - 292 - - -462 - - -368 ODpotential blCL 6789 - - 5836 - - 6147 - - 5617 - - 5523 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 410 - - 1030 - - 1100 - - 820 - - 830 CAPE Temp@2m 66.9 - - 65.7 - - 66.4 - - 64.2 - - 63.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 59.3 - - 62.8 - - 62.7 - - 62.3 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.7 - - 64.8 - - 65.7 - - 63.8 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 59.3 - - 62.2 - - 62.0 - - 61.9 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 102 - - 63 - - 49 - - 11 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1862 - - 1283 - - 1590 - - 306 - - 306 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 101 - - 99 - - 98 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98482 2 076 11 160 13 227 13 268 11 349 98482 91050 9 108 10 150 11 199 6 275 8 045 91050 85332 3 079 5 065 12 127 4 151 5 118 85332 80608 8 076 8 065 14 112 10 153 5 187 80608 76540 12 104 7 075 11 081 13 113 8 110 76540 72949 13 128 10 077 9 069 12 088 12 092 72949 69723 15 117 13 132 4 113 5 083 7 062 69723 66787 12 092 13 143 8 136 4 111 5 100 66787 64073 2 088 11 161 9 155 3 180 6 104 64073 61448 7 215 9 178 10 169 6 200 4 314 61448 58725 14 215 13 203 11 213 11 193 13 244 58725 55933 14 228 15 211 12 212 12 184 13 214 55933 53301 23 243 19 240 14 226 15 213 17 193 53301 50934 35 232 29 236 35 236 26 233 24 211 50934 48801 40 225 41 234 44 226 32 226 37 217 48801 46844 42 226 43 230 45 225 38 224 35 222 46844 45022 48 227 53 225 54 230 43 235 45 237 45022 43319 51 228 62 225 61 229 58 237 59 234 43319 41730 49 227 64 219 61 222 60 230 63 225 41730 40243 50 208 60 205 54 206 45 219 55 214 40243 38844 43 199 55 198 51 204 42 202 46 211 38844 37501 39 199 51 195 49 208 38 201 40 208 37501 36155 36 195 52 201 47 206 28 203 40 209 36155 34773 34 190 49 201 44 207 26 201 41 210 34773 33354 31 183 38 193 36 204 28 198 39 207 33354 31890 29 185 34 182 31 202 31 197 37 197 31890 30369 31 197 31 180 32 206 32 202 33 191 30369 28795 33 202 28 178 30 205 34 206 34 200 28795 27173 33 203 26 177 29 201 35 208 32 204 27173 25506 32 203 26 181 29 200 34 206 26 198 25506 23797 31 202 26 183 29 195 31 203 24 193 23797 22042 29 197 26 184 32 190 32 206 24 189 22042 20236 28 194 25 187 35 183 36 201 23 189 20236 18415 28 191 26 188 34 177 37 195 24 189 18415 16674 23 177 27 189 31 176 35 192 23 190 16674 15099 20 169 26 188 29 183 32 191 22 193 15099 13699 17 164 25 189 26 188 29 190 22 197 13699 12445 15 161 24 187 25 186 26 187 22 197 12445 11315 15 161 23 186 25 182 24 182 22 191 11315 10298 15 164 22 185 24 181 21 179 22 183 10298 9383 17 170 21 183 23 179 18 178 23 177 9383 8566 19 178 21 181 21 175 15 175 23 174 8566 7834 20 182 20 182 19 172 12 172 22 173 7834 7170 19*183 18 182 17 170 9 175 20 175 7170 6575 15*183 17*183 17*170 8 179 19 177 6575 6073 12 184 15*184 15*171 7 185 17 177 6073 5684 11 185 13 185 13 171 5 192 15 177 5684 5414 10 185 13 186 12 171 4 193 13 177 5414 5249 10 185 12 186 11 171 4*194 12*176 5249 5155 8 185 10 186 9 172 3*194 9*176 5155 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography