DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Marfa_TX 4849ft pt18183@-103.864,30.408,4919ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Marfa Gliders RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.9 - - 69.4 - - 67.2 - - 60.8 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 62 - - 506 - - 68 - - 88 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 880 - - 6712 - - 2433 - - 1846 - - 305 BL Depth Hcrit 5137 - - 9897 - - 5450 - - 5305 - - 5137 Hcrit BL Top 5729 - - 11561 - - 7282 - - 6695 - - 5154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 782 - - 3658 - - 7733 - - 1169 - - 662 Hgt.Variab. W* 168 - - 631 - - 231 - - 231 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 18 - - 4 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 189 - - 243 - - 330 - - 052 - - 056 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 12 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -17 - - 71 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -414 - - 976 - - -2999 - - 50 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6143 - - 10586 - - 10281 - - 6645 - - 5154 sfcLCL ODpotential -4987 - - -429 - - -4379 - - -2951 - - -2265 ODpotential blCL 10716 - - 11990 - - 11661 - - 9646 - - 7419 blCL maxRH 87 - - 68 - - 100 - - 87 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 260 - - 300 - - 320 - - 530 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m 53.9 - - 69.4 - - 67.2 - - 60.8 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.7 - - 40.6 - - 39.9 - - 49.1 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 66.4 - - 66.3 - - 59.8 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 40.5 - - 40.0 - - 48.9 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 62 - - 506 - - 68 - - 88 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 880 - - 6712 - - 2433 - - 1846 - - 305 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 49 - - 0 - - 102 - - 47 - - 56 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97110 39 260 38 261 42 250 48 253 44 258 97110 89765 37 266 39 257 39 258 39 261 31 273 89765 84149 26 266 32 258 34 258 32 263 27 278 84149 79502 18 278 21 255 24 258 24 267 21 273 79502 75510 13 275 10 271 11 263 14 280 16 270 75510 71998 11 323 7 317 10 278 13 296 16 288 71998 68856 16 337 10 341 6 311 7 269 9 280 68856 65976 14 321 16 326 12 320 6 307 7 281 65976 63288 14 286 14 302 14 307 14 305 18 306 63288 60689 15 291 19 283 18 286 18 281 26 262 60689 57981 22 271 22 262 22 264 24 275 31 274 57981 55142 37 274 37 279 38 286 40 285 39 287 55142 52396 52 278 52 281 52 283 51 286 50 285 52396 49912 68 277 63 276 59 283 62 283 59 283 49912 47690 77 272 68 273 67 282 69 285 67 284 47690 45675 74 270 72 274 76 282 77 288 71 286 45675 43828 75 277 74 275 81 281 81 287 74 289 43828 42130 81 283 76 281 83 284 81 287 77 290 42130 40560 93 286 82 287 87 289 82 291 81 288 40560 39098 105 285 91 289 93 291 85 294 84 287 39098 37729 112 283 97 288 96 289 89 292 86 287 37729 36422 111 283 97 285 95 287 88 290 87 287 36422 35110 101 282 93 283 92 287 86 290 85 288 35110 33765 90 282 90 282 90 287 85 289 84 288 33765 32389 84 279 87 281 89 287 82 290 82 289 32389 30970 81 278 85 282 90 287 80 292 76 291 30970 29502 73 276 83 286 85 289 75 294 75 293 29502 27988 65 273 69 286 70 288 64 294 68 298 27988 26432 59 274 57 282 57 285 55 295 58 299 26432 24838 48 281 50 281 53 286 49 298 53 298 24838 23209 39 288 42 282 52 288 43 301 48 301 23209 21537 34 289 37 286 46 286 40 303 44 302 21537 19814 29 285 35 287 36 280 39 300 41 294 19814 18070 27 283 30 279 23 267 36 282 41 283 18070 16395 27 283 25 271 22 262 31 260 42 277 16395 14868 28 282 24 270 20 258 28 252 39 274 14868 13504 28 279 23 270 18 256 24 251 30 274 13504 12280 26 278 22*268 16 254 20 251 23 277 12280 11178 25 273 21*263 15 254 17 249 18 281 11178 10183 26 259 20 256 14 255 14 246 15 290 10183 9288 27 246 19 250 12 257 8 236 11 300 9288 8488 28 232 19 245 9 262 3 193 2 238 8488 7771 26 219 18 236 7*272 7 076 12 128 7771 7122 24 206 18 234 5*293 13*060 21 121 7122 6541 23 193 17 232 4 317 15*054 22 118 6541 6051 21*189 17 231 4 337 16 053 17 110 6051 5670 18*188 16 229 4 344 16 052 12 089 5670 5407 15 189 16 229 5 349 15 051 9 069 5407 5246 14 189 15 229 5 351 14 051 7*060 5246 5154 11 190 13 229 4 353 12 050 4*056 5154 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography