DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Monticello_IL 740ft pt34206@40.047,-88.554,693ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF SPONSORED BY: Illini Glider Club RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 85.5 - - 86.5 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 209 - - 102 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 298 - - 5890 - - 6102 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 4695 - - 4375 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1038 - - 6630 - - 6842 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 573 - - 1220 - - 1273 - - 6046 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 126 - - 442 - - 355 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 39 - - 52 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 130 - - 154 - - 135 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5547 - - -2309 - - -2129 - - -5778 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6585 - - 8940 - - 8972 - - 6508 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12703 - - -7970 - - -7419 - - -12357 ODpotential blCL - - - 13741 - - 14600 - - 14261 - - 13086 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 63 - - 69 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 85.5 - - 86.5 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.5 - - 48.8 - - 49.6 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.0 - - 84.2 - - 85.6 - - 81.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.9 - - 47.6 - - 48.6 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 209 - - 102 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 298 - - 5890 - - 6102 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98559 7 266 9 262 13 278 9 268 98559 91218 2 080 4 005 2 346 10 307 91218 85537 5 036 6 025 7 011 7 324 85537 80822 10 027 6 068 8 026 11 052 80822 76759 10 042 10 096 7 034 15 066 76759 73160 10 028 12 066 7 086 11 056 73160 69905 7 017 10 042 11 080 8 051 69905 66917 4 359 6 024 6 065 7 039 66917 64145 4 311 4 021 3 092 3 339 64145 61460 7 257 4 322 5 303 9 295 61460 58666 7 208 9 253 10 281 3 274 58666 55782 7 284 15 271 19 284 15 287 55782 53051 18 306 21 298 19 284 17 274 53051 50603 34 315 33 295 35 291 27 308 50603 48410 43 308 42 294 38 288 36 295 48410 46427 44 308 43 301 33 298 32 292 46427 44617 42 309 41 306 36 293 32 298 44617 42950 33 323 32 311 38 284 29 289 42950 41399 36 337 23 314 23 296 31 284 41399 39932 40 331 22 331 16 303 28 281 39932 38538 39 337 22 335 15 290 22 286 38538 37180 33 338 19 337 12 288 16 292 37180 35793 28 324 18 325 11 300 15 289 35793 34348 22 347 18 338 10 306 18 281 34348 32851 17 354 13 352 11 310 15 280 32851 31282 13 344 12 321 19 313 14 286 31282 29631 12 331 15 308 21 313 18 292 29631 27899 12 322 14 312 20 305 21 293 27899 26090 13 322 13 316 16 304 19 296 26090 24207 10 319 8 315 10 323 16 302 24207 22249 3 348 7 287 5 306 12 312 22249 20214 4 008 2 316 1 258 7 323 20214 18103 5 319 4 015 2 081 7 347 18103 15954 2 327 4 071 4 107 6 016 15954 13878 0 283 3 120 3 229 4 332 13878 11988 2 221 4 182 7 235 4 315 11988 10312 8 185 9 190 8 224 4 271 10312 8826 11 184 10 210 8 238 6 239 8826 7511 9 181 6*225 2*240 5 243 7511 6346 3 149 2*184 1*227 5 248 6346 5311 2 101 2 174 1 205 3 223 5311 4398 2 117 2 164 1 164 3 176 4398 3589 3 126 2 153 1 134 4 151 3589 2865 5 126 2 149 2 125 5 141 2865 2225 8 126 2 144 2 119 7 138 2225 1691 10 125 2 141 2 117 7 137 1691 1280 8*127 2 137 2 114 8 136 1280 998 5*129 2 137 2 116 8 135 998 826 5 130 2 138 2 115 7*135 826 728 4 130 2 137 2 115 5*134 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography