DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 54.1 - - 53.3 - - 43.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 126 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 810 - - 2133 - - 1508 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 2119 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2010 - - 3333 - - 2708 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 736 - - 811 - - 1300 - - 216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 182 - - 267 - - 46 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 20 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 014 - - 002 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2243 - - -2496 - - -2593 - - -1800 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4253 - - 5829 - - 5302 - - 3032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14181 - - -13099 - - -13427 - - -13830 ODpotential blCL - - - 16191 - - 16432 - - 16135 - - 15062 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 54 - - 49 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.3 - - 54.1 - - 53.3 - - 43.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.5 - - 33.2 - - 34.8 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 53.2 - - 54.3 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.5 - - 32.1 - - 33.7 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 126 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 810 - - 2133 - - 1508 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97223 11 297 10 280 16 299 12 311 97223 90032 4 285 13 294 9 331 11 329 90032 84482 1 215 14 282 13 321 15 332 84482 79855 5 325 9 270 16 312 14 322 79855 75857 8 322 10 292 14 308 11 305 75857 72319 7 294 12 301 12 308 9 303 72319 69118 12 311 11 317 7 290 9 283 69118 66177 18 299 14 318 7 305 8 272 66177 63441 20 283 21 294 14 294 11 266 63441 60780 21 273 24 277 25 282 19 282 60780 58009 23 271 28 268 33 273 30 276 58009 55146 27 268 29 265 36 261 40 264 55146 52419 32 273 32 264 39 258 43 254 52419 49967 36 269 36 264 42 259 45 253 49967 47765 37 269 38 261 43 257 46 249 47765 45761 39 272 39 259 43 252 49 246 45761 43911 41 272 40 257 43 250 51 243 43911 42190 41 268 40 255 44 246 51 240 42190 40580 37 259 40 252 43 244 51 237 40580 39073 33 248 41 246 42 244 48 234 39073 37660 32 238 41 240 42 240 46 231 37660 36302 32 230 40 232 43 233 46 226 36302 34930 30 228 36 228 39 227 45 221 34930 33514 26 233 28 228 31 220 44 218 33514 32059 20 233 17 229 22 217 41 215 32059 30550 14 227 10 222 18 208 32 208 30550 28972 8 220 8 216 15 205 24 200 28972 27322 4 239 7 210 13 205 19 200 27322 25596 3 285 5 214 10 207 17 199 25596 23797 4 338 3 210 8 211 12 204 23797 21928 6 341 2 223 6 228 10 216 21928 19978 7 329 2 259 7 247 10 230 19978 17938 9 318 3 284 8 259 10 241 17938 15851 13 309 6 279 10 267 10 252 15851 13838 11 310 7 269 11 274 8 261 13838 12007 8 325 7 265 9 287 5 290 12007 10384 7 348 5 272 7 302 5 326 10384 8946 6 007 3 308 4 325 5 339 8946 7672 6 026 4 340 3 359 5 343 7672 6546 8 039 3 004 3 028 5 344 6546 5553 9 046 4 024 2 058 4 346 5553 4683 9 050 4 033 3 052 2 012 4683 3918 8 049 3*024 4 011 3 048 3918 3237 7 041 3*013 4*358 5 042 3237 2635 5 027 3 013 4*358 5 028 2635 2134 4*009 3 014 4 002 4 024 2134 1749 3*003 2 015 4 003 4 016 1749 1484 3 001 2 014 4 004 2 355 1484 1324 3 358 2 014 3 005 2 308 1324 1232 2 358 2 015 2 005 1*273 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography