DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0948z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 79.0 - - 77.6 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 120 - - 2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1265 - - 4051 - - 4112 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1218 - - 3499 - - 1218 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2465 - - 5251 - - 5312 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1726 - - 2117 - - 2336 - - 181 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 221 - - 333 - - 135 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 70 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 129 - - 150 - - 016 - - 126 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2135 - - -1373 - - -879 - - -2140 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4600 - - 6625 - - 6191 - - 3374 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5399 - - -5091 - - -5012 - - -6392 ODpotential blCL - - - 7864 - - 10342 - - 10324 - - 7626 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 83 - - 86 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 79.0 - - 77.6 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.0 - - 54.3 - - 54.9 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 78.1 - - 78.5 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.0 - - 53.1 - - 53.9 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 120 - - 2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1265 - - 4051 - - 4112 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 31 - - 42 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98471 6 181 14 226 4 217 11 238 98471 91145 5 299 4 210 7 275 2 170 91145 85468 10 347 7 359 12 310 7 010 85468 80766 9 003 5 007 12 302 13 001 80766 76718 6 005 4 089 6 277 11 346 76718 73132 4 358 5 071 0 166 7 325 73132 69878 6 015 9 006 5 018 7 329 69878 66877 6 025 11 351 6 357 7 322 66877 64090 4 328 9 323 4 348 5 278 64090 61399 8 288 10 278 8 301 8 270 61399 58601 13 290 13 255 14 284 12 277 58601 55700 18 281 16 261 19 276 15 292 55700 52940 20 270 18 277 19 261 17 270 52940 50474 18 265 18 284 16 261 16 259 50474 48269 18 258 23 263 21 269 18 266 48269 46265 21 262 28 241 25 253 21 253 46265 44425 30 262 27 236 26 239 21 245 44425 42730 32 251 30 236 26 242 31 231 42730 41168 37 242 35 237 43 228 53 215 41168 39715 45 246 40 236 53 224 50 213 39715 38340 47 239 41 234 52 223 37 213 38340 37003 42 235 41 230 42 229 37 207 37003 35637 38 237 40 228 39 232 34 202 35637 34212 33 244 38 228 34 239 26 207 34212 32734 26 252 32 229 32 237 29 221 32734 31186 20 258 23 241 30 225 22 217 31186 29559 16 256 17 244 26 217 15 196 29559 27854 12 244 16 231 16 213 9 171 27854 26073 11 234 14 228 9 230 10 133 26073 24222 10 218 11 217 7 192 11 129 24222 22301 10 210 11 189 8 178 12 127 22301 20307 6 205 8 170 7 165 11 125 20307 18238 2 182 6 144 7 159 5 148 18238 16134 3 165 6 159 8 194 3 256 16134 14110 5 193 5 187 7 219 6 278 14110 12270 4 214 3 199 5 225 4 283 12270 10637 2 236 2 165 3 199 2 312 10637 9187 1 266 1 133 2 168 2 077 9187 7898 1 259 0 162 1 205 3 099 7898 6753 1 176 1 203 1 310 3 107 6753 5738 3 146 2*198 2*337 3 098 5738 4842 5 135 2*190 3*359 3 090 4842 4050 8 136 1 181 3 009 3 085 4050 3338 9 140 1 161 4 016 4 084 3338 2709 8*140 1 135 4 019 5 092 2709 2182 6*137 1 116 4 021 6 099 2182 1778 4 129 1 101 4 021 7 105 1778 1499 3 127 1 088 4 022 6 109 1499 1331 3 123 1 086 4 024 5*117 1331 1234 2 121 1 080 3 025 3*126 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography