DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.6 - - 74.6 - - 69.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 87 - - 16 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2804 - - 3623 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2504 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4004 - - 4823 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1617 - - 2162 - - 4694 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 279 - - 217 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 290 - - 303 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1564 - - 1330 - - -1240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2440 - - 3493 - - 2474 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 546 - - -505 - - -2747 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3458 - - 5328 - - 3981 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 83 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 500 - - 260 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.6 - - 74.6 - - 69.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.6 - - 63.2 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.2 - - 74.9 - - 71.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.3 - - 61.9 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 87 - - 16 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2804 - - 3623 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 76 - - 32 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99534 29 097 22 080 28 067 99534 92001 29 088 25 086 23 077 92001 86194 25 078 27 089 20 083 86194 81365 19 071 24 075 21 090 81365 77208 13 065 15 076 16 078 77208 73524 11 084 11 087 7 084 73524 70181 8 086 5 076 7 090 70181 67111 13 110 4 173 7 008 67111 64264 8 045 4 100 2 047 64264 61508 5 333 8 339 5 259 61508 58649 10 241 15 275 13 296 58649 55705 15 259 18 260 23 259 55705 52919 30 280 24 274 26 256 52919 50435 48 274 45 285 32 278 50435 48223 62 256 58 270 53 279 48223 46236 64 249 62 251 62 261 46236 44428 68 251 62 250 64 258 44428 42759 71 253 58 252 67 268 42759 41196 70 253 56 249 68 262 41196 39721 67 252 57 249 67 259 39721 38324 66 254 59 254 67 263 38324 36969 67 260 59 262 65 264 36969 35588 67 261 60 264 64 261 35588 34152 66 260 63 262 67 262 34152 32662 66 259 68 258 68 262 32662 31104 66 260 70 257 67 263 31104 29469 62 254 68 258 64 266 29469 27764 61 256 65 262 59 269 27764 25988 56 261 66 263 56 270 25988 24142 53 262 62 265 54 266 24142 22227 51 265 58 269 50 265 22227 20236 48 266 49 273 46 268 20236 18164 45 266 41 273 42 272 18164 16057 44 265 40 274 39 276 16057 14033 41 269 39 276 36 278 14033 12198 37 273 37 278 34 279 12198 10571 35 281 36 281 33 281 10571 9129 33 285 33 284 29 285 9129 7848 30 285 29 286 24 292 7848 6712 28 288 26 290 19 296 6712 5706 25 294 23 296 18 301 5706 4818 21 298 20*300 18 306 4818 4032 18*297 18*302 18 307 4032 3327 15*294 17 303 18 308 3327 2701 14 292 16 303 18 307 2701 2178 13 289 16 303 16 306 2178 1776 11 287 15 304 14 304 1776 1499 10 287 13 304 11 301 1499 1330 9 286 11 304 8 298 1330 1234 7 285 8 304 3*294 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography