DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 46.7 - - 44.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 40 - - -12 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1935 - - 3368 - - 2703 - - 165 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3135 - - 4568 - - 3903 - - 1365 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2037 - - 1502 - - 2668 - - 5231 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 112 - - 216 - - 83 - - 29 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 23 - - 23 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 292 - - 283 - - 292 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 17 - - 21 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 918 - - 1327 - - 541 - - -1511 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2218 - - 3241 - - 3363 - - 2876 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 374 - - 708 - - -366 - - -2118 ODpotential blCL - - - 2761 - - 3860 - - 4269 - - 3483 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 46.7 - - 44.7 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.9 - - 36.9 - - 34.5 - - 35.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 46.7 - - 45.5 - - 44.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 36.3 - - 34.0 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 40 - - -12 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1935 - - 3368 - - 2703 - - 165 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96012 73 237 80 244 86 251 75 250 96012 89121 49 243 57 247 61 249 56 247 89121 83749 38 248 40 237 40 236 36 244 83749 79197 30 246 32 237 32 235 34 254 79197 75236 27 249 33 253 37 246 37 256 75236 71732 28 264 30 261 32 248 30 249 71732 68541 30 268 24 252 23 238 28 255 68541 65577 26 253 24 253 26 252 39 259 65577 62809 28 261 33 246 40 255 42 262 62809 60119 40 266 40 256 48 255 46 267 60119 57315 47 264 48 255 49 255 53 261 57315 54392 57 261 49 256 50 259 53 260 54392 51582 58 255 56 262 58 269 57 269 51582 49054 57 253 61 263 69 270 67 272 49054 46807 60 255 65 261 77 266 76 269 46807 44787 61 254 67 259 81 261 79 265 44787 42942 56 255 68 260 80 259 79 261 42942 41242 57 268 69 263 78 262 79 261 41242 39669 68 276 73 268 82 266 83 262 39669 38209 76 277 78 272 84 268 90 264 38209 36849 77 277 86 274 88 272 96 267 36849 35543 77 277 91 274 92 273 101 270 35543 34218 75 276 91 273 92 272 106 271 34218 32843 73 276 89 273 91 269 108 272 32843 31416 71 275 87 272 89 267 106 272 31416 29924 69 276 84 270 88 265 102 271 29924 28356 66 276 81 269 86 264 98 269 28356 26715 64 274 82 268 86 264 95 268 26715 24999 62 271 83 268 86 264 93 268 24999 23210 60 268 81 270 84 266 90 267 23210 21349 60 265 76 272 83 268 89 267 21349 19410 58 263 67 271 79 269 86 269 19410 17393 55 263 61 267 74 271 80 271 17393 15349 52 263 58 264 68 270 68 274 15349 13395 51 265 54 265 61 269 55 283 13395 11630 47 267 48 270 57 273 48 296 11630 10072 43 269 44 275 52 284 46 306 10072 8695 40 271 39 278 45 292 44 309 8695 7478 35 273 32 279 38 299 39 307 7478 6403 27 278 27 282 35 299 37 305 6403 5450 24 285 27 283 33 298 36 305 5450 4610 24 287 27*283 31*296 35 305 4610 3868 23 290 27*283 29*294 33 305 3868 3202 23*291 26 283 27 293 32 304 3202 2613 22*292 25 283 26 292 29 303 2613 2120 21 292 24 282 23 291 25 302 2120 1741 19 292 22 282 20 291 22 301 1741 1481 16 292 19 282 17 290 17*300 1481 1323 13 292 15 282 14 290 14*299 1323 1232 8 291 10 282 8 289 8 299 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography