DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 48.9 - - 47.3 - - 37.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 157 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1695 - - 2870 - - 2099 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1799 - - 2749 - - 1216 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2895 - - 4070 - - 3299 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 918 - - 955 - - 1073 - - 1001 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 315 - - 67 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 001 - - 342 - - 347 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1208 - - -2114 - - -2269 - - -2147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4103 - - 6185 - - 5569 - - 3379 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10232 - - -10866 - - -10798 - - -12014 ODpotential blCL - - - 13127 - - 14936 - - 14097 - - 13246 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 54 - - 57 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 48.9 - - 47.3 - - 37.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 26.5 - - 27.7 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.9 - - 48.0 - - 48.1 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 25.4 - - 26.9 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 128 - - 157 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1695 - - 2870 - - 2099 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97332 10 322 15 263 17 288 11 313 97332 90156 9 000 6 029 7 303 6 325 90156 84617 7 359 14 008 3 051 6 351 84617 80024 3 038 7 345 9 355 13 011 80024 76061 6 072 2 074 7 346 14 031 76061 72520 9 045 4 096 6 356 11 004 72520 69293 7 024 5 086 3 011 10 337 69293 66316 7 018 5 002 1 038 4 312 66316 63531 7 316 6 323 7 325 6 330 63531 60815 8 278 6 280 7 244 10 276 60815 57971 15 300 10 292 8 242 8 267 57971 55016 20 257 19 262 19 277 15 310 55016 52203 17 248 17 251 21 276 18 313 52203 49667 20 279 17 279 17 276 17 295 49667 47382 24 283 21 283 19 269 19 281 47382 45302 22 277 22 269 26 265 24 295 45302 43399 20 272 24 266 30 272 25 297 43399 41649 19 269 23 284 23 284 22 290 41649 40035 19 276 21 299 19 299 23 297 40035 38544 21 298 23 311 21 311 23 311 38544 37160 25 312 28 317 27 314 28 319 37160 35843 31 317 34 318 32 317 31 316 35843 34521 38 319 40 319 37 320 36 314 34521 33156 42 322 43 319 39 322 38 316 33156 31739 42 325 44 322 39 324 38 317 31739 30256 44 326 44 324 40 327 36 320 30256 28695 46 330 43 327 39 327 35 323 28695 27058 47 334 43 330 38 327 36 323 27058 25346 46 335 42 333 36 330 35 328 25346 23561 44 337 40 337 33 335 32 328 23561 21704 45 339 39 338 31 340 29 326 21704 19768 43 342 36 341 30 339 26 336 19768 17747 41 347 31 347 27 342 24 340 17747 15685 38 353 28 354 24 350 20 341 15685 13699 35 001 25 004 21 000 17 352 13699 11893 32 010 23 019 18 012 14 006 11893 10291 29 019 23 030 16 027 12 021 10291 8871 27 025 22 034 14 041 9 035 8871 7611 25 027 20 033 13 047 7 041 7611 6493 24 025 17 029 12 043 6 038 6493 5507 23 022 16 019 11 032 5 031 5507 4642 22 016 13*359 10 005 5 020 4642 3883 20 011 11*343 10*350 6 006 3883 3208 16*011 11 342 10*347 7 003 3208 2615 11*004 10 342 9 347 8 006 2615 2120 10 001 10 342 9 347 9 007 2120 1741 9 000 9 342 8 348 8 006 1741 1480 8 360 9 341 8 348 5 002 1480 1322 7 359 8 342 6 348 3*341 1322 1232 5 357 6 341 4 349 2*331 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography