DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.1 - - 46.3 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 58 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2190 - - 3134 - - 1354 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2033 - - 2149 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3390 - - 4334 - - 2554 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2581 - - 3067 - - 1852 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 253 - - 238 - - 72 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 276 - - 275 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 19 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 642 - - 924 - - 704 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2748 - - 3410 - - 1850 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 248 - - 287 - - 205 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3142 - - 4047 - - 2349 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 100 - - 110 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 44.1 - - 46.3 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.4 - - 35.6 - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 43.6 - - 45.9 - - 40.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.6 - - 34.7 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 58 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2190 - - 3134 - - 1354 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 88 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97718 11 173 3 233 7 169 97718 90358 9 171 10 220 4 264 90358 84716 8 184 12 189 7 230 84716 80026 8 169 5 153 8 196 80026 75955 12 171 4 217 6 204 75955 72339 13 152 9 200 9 212 72339 69058 9 181 9 208 10 183 69058 66017 13 171 13 194 10 193 66017 63173 15 200 16 206 17 224 63173 60404 26 187 23 196 22 207 60404 57498 21 192 23 215 22 199 57498 54461 23 219 28 215 23 217 54461 51566 30 232 31 213 37 224 51566 48978 36 235 33 221 40 225 48978 46663 42 239 41 235 44 233 46663 44561 50 238 51 237 51 235 44561 42634 55 236 59 236 56 233 42634 40860 59 234 62 235 60 231 40860 39216 61 234 65 236 64 230 39216 37689 67 235 73 237 65 232 37689 36266 77 233 84 236 76 234 36266 34908 85 231 96 231 94 230 34908 33548 88 231 98 227 103 224 33548 32155 93 233 96 230 102 221 32155 30727 103 237 103 232 99 222 30727 29249 111 239 104 232 97 222 29249 27705 95 235 103 233 94 222 27705 26096 65 226 87 230 89 223 26096 24420 56 231 63 222 83 223 24420 22678 55 231 50 222 73 220 22678 20873 53 230 48 227 62 219 20873 19002 48 227 49 230 50 221 19002 17055 40 223 45 229 45 221 17055 15077 37 222 40 228 34 219 15077 13183 33 220 30 227 22 214 13183 11474 26 213 18 226 9 170 11474 9962 19 205 16 214 6 142 9962 8618 16 210 13 207 10 213 8618 7422 15 224 11 208 14 239 7422 6358 13 238 8 212 14 247 6358 5413 12 245 6 235 13 252 5413 4579 10 251 6*262 11 261 4579 3841 8*259 7*271 10 282 3841 3181 7*269 9 275 9 300 3181 2598 7 275 9 276 9*305 2598 2111 7 278 10 276 7*307 2111 1737 6 279 10 277 6 309 1737 1478 6 280 9 276 6 308 1478 1322 6 281 8 277 5 308 1322 1232 4 281 6 276 3 310 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography