DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.0 - - 74.0 - - 67.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 1 - - 52 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 664 - - 2187 - - 159 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1218 - - 1218 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1864 - - 3387 - - 1359 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2230 - - 2023 - - 1870 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 53 - - 209 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 232 - - 266 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 312 - - 915 - - 98 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1552 - - 2472 - - 1261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -758 - - 167 - - -956 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2622 - - 3220 - - 2315 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 350 - - 860 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.0 - - 74.0 - - 67.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.8 - - 66.8 - - 65.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 73.7 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.5 - - 66.1 - - 64.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 1 - - 52 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 664 - - 2187 - - 159 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 83 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99558 22 071 21 088 22 075 99558 92032 21 094 21 091 18 075 92032 86221 21 101 19 092 19 089 86221 81420 15 081 19 093 20 100 81420 77288 8 084 15 089 16 111 77288 73622 9 154 10 120 12 110 73622 70287 9 164 8 158 2 124 70287 67210 7 158 7 209 3 230 67210 64353 5 223 11 244 8 277 64353 61590 8 220 17 213 16 249 61590 58729 10 230 13 230 18 239 58729 55790 13 264 13 253 16 233 55790 53004 29 263 24 268 21 258 53004 50504 40 255 39 263 37 260 50504 48272 48 256 51 252 51 247 48272 46245 56 254 55 250 48 247 46245 44384 67 258 63 260 62 263 44384 42674 78 257 80 264 83 261 42674 41092 78 253 91 260 92 254 41092 39610 74 253 97 259 85 250 39610 38213 75 255 85 259 76 252 38213 36867 76 256 77 255 72 256 36867 35498 72 257 73 254 71 256 35498 34076 68 258 70 257 63 256 34076 32604 64 259 60 265 56 253 32604 31065 57 256 51 260 54 251 31065 29451 52 251 48 252 52 251 29451 27761 46 254 46 254 51 253 27761 25998 37 260 44 257 46 258 25998 24164 35 259 42 260 37 262 24164 22262 35 260 37 261 32 262 22262 20283 32 264 32 262 30 261 20283 18220 27 263 28 262 27 259 18220 16118 26 258 26 258 25 253 16118 14096 23 251 24 254 25 246 14096 12257 18 242 20 252 24 244 12257 10622 16 252 17 248 21 245 10622 9170 14 257 16 241 15 247 9170 7880 14 255 16 241 12 255 7880 6731 13 249 15 249 11 263 6731 5713 12 239 13 263 10 275 5713 4816 12 227 11 274 9 294 4816 4025 11 219 9*276 10 315 4025 3318 11 215 7*272 12 329 3318 2693 11 217 5 263 13 334 2693 2173 10*222 4 263 12 334 2173 1772 8*229 3 265 10 332 1772 1497 7 233 2 265 7*330 1497 1330 5 235 2 265 6*330 1330 1234 3 236 2 268 3 326 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography