DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.4 - - 21.7 - - 22.5 - - 20.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 295 - - 206 - - 81 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2310 - - 4030 - - 3654 - - 3388 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2648 - - 3887 - - 3448 - - 2659 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3510 - - 5230 - - 4854 - - 4588 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 649 - - 573 - - 1174 - - 963 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 385 - - 435 - - 373 - - 267 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 14 - - 14 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 319 - - 310 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 838 - - 2363 - - 2057 - - 1747 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2672 - - 2867 - - 2797 - - 2841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 114 - - 1209 - - 1563 - - 1159 ODpotential blCL - - - 3396 - - 4021 - - 3291 - - 3429 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 97 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.4 - - 21.7 - - 22.5 - - 20.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.3 - - 13.7 - - 14.8 - - 13.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 20.6 - - 21.7 - - 20.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.2 - - 12.6 - - 13.7 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 359 - - 295 - - 206 - - 81 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2310 - - 4030 - - 3654 - - 3388 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 89 - - 97 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96221 23 223 21 223 27 234 27 243 96221 88978 20 231 21 223 31 230 27 235 88978 83402 32 246 31 247 27 236 32 233 83402 78771 37 239 42 239 35 240 35 239 78771 74748 35 245 39 235 44 244 38 247 74748 71192 38 246 42 236 47 243 45 246 71192 67988 41 239 43 242 44 245 42 241 67988 65039 43 255 48 247 47 245 44 248 65039 62292 60 271 51 243 55 248 60 255 62292 59621 72 264 60 252 63 256 70 248 59621 56820 75 258 72 256 77 257 75 251 56820 53907 76 260 78 255 85 254 80 247 53907 51107 88 261 86 257 89 250 85 251 51107 48564 96 259 96 260 96 253 102 255 48564 46280 99 261 105 260 108 255 115 253 46280 44204 103 265 112 258 116 254 120 249 44204 42300 112 265 119 258 121 253 118 247 42300 40543 123 261 127 256 125 252 116 247 40543 38914 130 253 135 252 128 251 118 249 38914 37398 132 249 138 249 134 250 125 250 37398 35986 135 246 142 250 143 249 133 248 35986 34638 138 245 146 250 149 246 141 246 34638 33281 139 245 147 249 151 246 146 243 33281 31884 139 246 147 247 154 246 149 243 31884 30446 137 246 148 246 156 246 151 243 30446 28952 134 248 148 247 155 245 151 244 28952 27392 132 251 147 248 155 246 145 244 27392 25769 133 253 147 250 154 246 134 243 25769 24083 136 256 146 252 144 248 125 244 24083 22339 133 262 127 257 122 253 112 245 22339 20543 110 264 104 255 100 252 95 243 20543 18689 85 262 86 249 88 244 84 243 18689 16772 73 254 78 245 83 245 71 250 16772 14826 68 253 73 251 67 253 56 257 14826 12951 62 260 64 265 54 262 49 261 12951 11240 56 271 54 279 46 267 45 264 11240 9717 52 280 49 292 38 273 39 267 9717 8368 44 287 47 303 30 288 32 271 8368 7179 37 296 42 316 26 308 24 278 7179 6136 33 306 29*324 16 309 16 285 6136 5226 31 316 16*320 14*305 13*293 5226 4430 26 322 15 319 14*306 12*299 4430 3727 21*324 14 319 14 308 12 302 3727 3096 20*324 14 319 14 310 12 305 3096 2538 20 325 14 319 14 311 12 306 2538 2071 19 326 13 319 14 312 12 308 2071 1713 18 326 13 319 13 313 11 309 1713 1466 17 326 12 319 12 313 10 309 1466 1316 14 326 11 319 11 314 9 310 1316 1231 10 326 8 319 8 314 6 310 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography