DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/24 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 32.8 - - 32.6 - - 31.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 4 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 687 - - 1073 - - 364 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1887 - - 2273 - - 1564 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2729 - - 2672 - - 2522 - - 1585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 94 - - 74 - - 23 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 292 - - 278 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 542 - - 643 - - 91 - - -225 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1346 - - 1630 - - 1473 - - 1456 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 197 - - 216 - - -421 - - -6679 ODpotential blCL - - - 1690 - - 2057 - - 1985 - - 7910 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.2 - - 32.8 - - 32.6 - - 31.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.9 - - 30.4 - - 30.9 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.3 - - 33.1 - - 33.3 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 29.9 - - 30.4 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 4 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 687 - - 1073 - - 364 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 94 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95631 27 302 24 296 22 300 17 302 95631 88760 14 322 14 299 21 315 21 327 88760 83406 8 355 17 311 17 322 24 334 83406 78921 12 354 19 325 14 347 19 327 78921 75009 13 343 20 316 23 334 15 318 75009 71509 15 353 16 312 22 321 18 309 71509 68300 16 311 15 321 18 302 14 289 68300 65308 14 305 17 312 16 300 17 310 65308 62505 24 289 23 298 28 280 28 309 62505 59802 23 274 30 279 34 274 35 287 59802 57003 27 282 32 267 31 275 36 283 57003 54092 38 279 33 270 38 289 45 284 54092 51313 44 282 41 285 55 284 60 277 51313 48812 55 285 56 286 65 277 63 276 48812 46563 57 282 66 284 69 274 68 274 46563 44518 55 283 68 280 69 276 64 273 44518 42644 58 287 67 283 68 284 64 278 42644 40921 64 291 70 286 75 287 71 284 40921 39338 74 292 76 286 84 285 84 289 39338 37880 77 290 84 287 92 288 111 293 37880 36521 81 294 96 290 109 293 139 289 36521 35213 94 296 108 291 123 293 145 285 35213 33885 103 294 117 291 123 291 130 283 33885 32512 102 295 120 291 119 288 111 281 32512 31096 104 299 119 290 115 287 105 283 31096 29619 111 301 117 293 109 291 101 286 29619 28067 113 302 109 294 100 294 95 287 28067 26447 104 303 100 295 94 294 90 287 26447 24756 87 302 99 297 94 296 87 290 24756 22997 77 302 94 300 89 298 82 292 22997 21173 71 303 84 301 73 297 77 291 21173 19283 63 305 75 305 59 297 64 295 19283 17320 52 306 63 307 55 300 49 293 17320 15319 43 305 55 309 54 301 40 290 15319 13391 36 304 51 313 49 304 33 289 13391 11635 32 304 47 315 45 304 29 288 11635 10074 34 307 43 316 41 304 30 288 10074 8690 34 309 38 318 37 305 30 289 8690 7461 29 305 35 317 32 307 28 290 7461 6371 26 300 30 309 29 310 25 289 6371 5407 24 299 23 299 26 308 22 284 5407 4561 23 300 20 295 19 301 20 275 4561 3819 21 298 19 295 14 291 19 265 3819 3160 20 297 17 294 13 287 17 258 3160 2581 18 295 15*293 12 286 15 256 2581 2099 15*293 12*292 10 285 12 259 2099 1729 12*291 11 292 8*283 9 261 1729 1474 10 289 9 291 6*280 6 256 1474 1320 8 289 7 291 5 279 3 231 1320 1231 6 288 5 291 2 274 2*170 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography