DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.6 - - 51.9 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 210 - - 26 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3466 - - 2456 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3315 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4666 - - 3656 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 865 - - 1232 - - 1160 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 368 - - 167 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 298 - - 304 - - 111 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1015 - - -2185 - - -3002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5681 - - 5842 - - 4234 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12101 - - -13407 - - -15940 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16767 - - 17063 - - 17172 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 57 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.6 - - 51.9 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.4 - - 31.1 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 50.5 - - 51.9 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 30.4 - - 30.3 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 210 - - 26 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3466 - - 2456 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97315 47 249 47 249 38 257 97315 90164 37 241 38 254 32 263 90164 84647 29 242 26 259 24 277 84647 80036 27 241 28 264 19 287 80036 76016 22 258 29 257 23 280 76016 72444 20 267 23 264 24 271 72444 69210 22 261 26 281 25 277 69210 66233 21 259 32 270 29 269 66233 63454 28 277 37 257 32 270 63454 60742 44 276 39 263 40 283 60742 57931 59 273 56 281 58 287 57931 55064 69 266 73 275 74 279 55064 52373 70 261 81 265 84 271 52373 49969 72 269 85 262 90 266 49969 47819 91 275 87 264 91 265 47819 45872 101 273 85 268 90 266 45872 44100 103 269 86 271 92 269 44100 42469 102 269 93 272 99 267 42469 40939 96 270 98 271 98 260 40939 39486 87 271 88 271 100 261 39486 38104 78 274 78 272 102 267 38104 36760 75 276 74 270 91 272 36760 35396 75 278 73 269 69 272 35396 33982 74 280 72 270 65 271 33982 32514 72 280 72 275 65 272 32514 30977 71 281 71 278 61 275 30977 29363 70 282 68 282 52 282 29363 27674 68 285 63 285 44 289 27674 25905 60 288 56 289 42 292 25905 24061 54 293 52 290 41 291 24061 22143 52 297 50 288 41 290 22143 20148 50 300 46 289 41 291 20148 18070 50 303 42 294 38 292 18070 15951 49 300 42 299 34 295 15951 13911 49 296 42 300 33 302 13911 12058 48 297 42 302 31 308 12058 10416 44 299 41 308 29 311 10416 8963 40 302 38 311 27 315 8963 7676 36 305 34 312 24 318 7676 6542 31 306 28 311 20 318 6542 5546 22*304 20 307 14 305 5546 4677 12*296 14 297 13 281 4677 3912 10 296 7*292 11 266 3912 3232 10 296 6*297 7 249 3232 2631 10 298 5 302 4 214 2631 2131 9 299 5 304 2 158 2131 1747 9 300 5 308 2 116 1747 1484 8 300 4 310 2 096 1484 1324 7 300 4 311 3 103 1324 1232 6 301 3 313 3*111 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography