DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.8 - - 36.2 - - 32.5 - - 30.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 31 - - 24 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 577 - - 715 - - 562 - - 983 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1777 - - 1915 - - 1762 - - 2183 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 616 - - 583 - - 870 - - 967 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 117 - - 99 - - 127 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 18 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 330 - - 327 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 545 - - 663 - - 531 - - 855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1232 - - 1252 - - 1231 - - 1328 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 127 - - 272 - - 212 - - 376 ODpotential blCL - - - 1650 - - 1643 - - 1550 - - 1807 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 20 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.8 - - 36.2 - - 32.5 - - 30.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 34.8 - - 31.6 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 36.1 - - 32.4 - - 30.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 34.4 - - 31.3 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 11 - - 31 - - 24 - - 28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 577 - - 715 - - 562 - - 983 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96467 21 199 24 255 17 253 15 230 96467 89300 14 193 19 225 25 235 18 242 89300 83749 17 237 17 218 30 235 20 255 83749 79108 20 224 20 218 28 229 25 235 79108 75098 18 220 19 216 28 230 31 221 75098 71555 21 233 24 213 28 209 28 216 71555 68322 28 217 26 212 23 204 20 221 68322 65302 29 200 32 210 31 214 34 237 65302 62487 30 194 39 205 38 202 43 209 62487 59777 30 188 41 193 39 201 35 193 59777 56933 36 205 40 195 47 199 41 204 56933 53968 50 207 51 204 48 204 58 200 53968 51142 62 207 66 207 61 208 60 201 51142 48598 75 209 79 204 75 202 70 202 48598 46320 85 206 89 201 78 196 77 196 46320 44260 83 201 94 197 75 193 81 192 44260 42378 95 205 104 195 86 197 88 192 42378 40642 124 200 119 193 108 195 97 191 40642 39033 130 191 123 191 115 190 106 190 39033 37537 120 195 125 194 123 192 111 189 37537 36138 128 203 137 196 136 194 119 187 36138 34797 140 203 141 192 144 192 129 184 34797 33451 144 199 139 188 148 189 139 183 33451 32069 141 197 136 188 149 187 146 182 32069 30652 137 195 130 190 146 185 147 180 30652 29182 134 193 127 190 139 184 146 178 29182 27649 127 193 128 189 134 182 143 179 27649 26053 117 194 127 189 132 182 135 180 26053 24393 111 193 122 191 126 184 122 182 24393 22669 103 189 108 192 110 184 104 181 22669 20886 96 185 89 187 90 182 89 177 20886 19039 98 187 79 177 74 179 74 173 19039 17118 96 196 77 171 67 174 67 169 17118 15154 72 210 72 176 64 168 63 167 15154 13255 43 214 61 204 53 165 57 171 13255 11525 30 205 43 215 34 176 51 170 11525 9985 28 193 28 202 24 205 43 167 9985 8615 30 189 22 182 16 227 33 163 8615 7394 32 180 20 186 7 211 21 150 7394 6309 30 164 17 191 5 171 12 121 6309 5352 23 147 14 184 7 134 9 064 5352 4515 18 132 10 165 7 101 10 001 4515 3784 13 118 5 156 8 047 18 314 3784 3135 7 095 2 005 13 002 26 299 3135 2565 6 014 11 342 16 339 25*296 2565 2089 10*343 11*333 14*331 24*295 2089 1724 9*337 10*331 13*328 21 295 1724 1472 8 334 8 330 11 327 18 294 1472 1319 7 332 7 328 9 326 14 294 1319 1231 4 328 5 328 6 325 9 293 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography