DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.8 - - 59.7 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 8 - - 23 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 874 - - 2398 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2074 - - 3598 - - 1403 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1578 - - 1152 - - 3381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 92 - - 183 - - 40 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 22 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 328 - - 355 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 18 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 710 - - 1350 - - -724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1364 - - 2248 - - 2127 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 64 - - 531 - - -1506 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2010 - - 3067 - - 2909 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 150 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.8 - - 59.7 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.6 - - 54.0 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.0 - - 59.8 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.3 - - 53.1 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 8 - - 23 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 874 - - 2398 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98786 24 096 25 065 31 076 98786 91327 21 086 15 077 20 072 91327 85606 18 088 14 080 12 071 85606 80867 14 082 12 060 9 076 80867 76773 12 084 7 058 7 040 76773 73141 12 077 6 042 6 037 73141 69845 10 038 6 024 7 017 69845 66807 9 035 5 004 10 340 66807 63994 7 001 6 334 14 334 63994 61266 11 334 8 321 10 338 61266 58403 14 313 15 323 17 337 58403 55428 13 309 18 316 22 329 55428 52594 19 320 19 314 20 329 52594 50045 22 309 19 317 22 335 50045 47761 19 297 23 323 24 334 47761 45697 17 304 26 324 32 335 45697 43819 16 310 28 323 35 337 43819 42091 19 315 28 327 37 344 42091 40486 24 321 28 339 42 344 40486 38993 25 324 33 340 46 351 38993 37599 20 340 34 336 51 359 37599 36261 28 350 32 329 49 359 36261 34908 29 345 30 318 45 359 34908 33510 32 347 28 306 44 357 33510 32069 33 354 24 306 45 354 32069 30569 33 356 24 322 45 350 30569 28997 31 358 30 334 45 350 28997 27353 28 001 32 338 44 352 27353 25634 22 006 35 350 43 354 25634 23840 22 001 38 357 44 357 23840 21971 29 358 40 359 45 360 21971 20023 33 001 40 001 44 001 20023 17987 29 001 42 008 43 001 17987 15905 22 350 42 013 43 003 15905 13889 21 344 34 010 43 009 13889 12051 21 344 28 001 37 006 12051 10421 19 349 28 356 32 001 10421 8982 21 344 28 353 28 359 8982 7709 23 333 28 350 26 000 7709 6581 23 332 29 355 25 009 6581 5583 22 341 32 003 28 014 5583 4711 23 347 33 001 30 008 4711 3946 23 347 30*357 29 004 3946 3262 23 341 28*356 28 003 3262 2655 22 334 26 355 26 001 2655 2148 21*331 23 354 22 359 2148 1758 18*329 21 354 19 357 1758 1490 16 328 18 354 15*355 1490 1327 13 327 15 353 12*354 1327 1233 8 326 10 352 7 354 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography