DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 14.2 - - 11.4 - - 5.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 175 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2586 - - 2859 - - 1376 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2591 - - 1933 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3786 - - 4059 - - 2576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 866 - - 1112 - - 1776 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 314 - - 232 - - 28 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 305 - - 304 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1491 - - 1619 - - 306 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2295 - - 2441 - - 2270 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 772 - - 1026 - - -295 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3014 - - 3033 - - 2871 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 14.2 - - 11.4 - - 5.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 8.9 - - 5.6 - - 0.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 13.5 - - 11.3 - - 6.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 7.8 - - 4.9 - - 0.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 175 - - 64 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2586 - - 2859 - - 1376 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 87 - - 98 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96675 14 129 13 134 9 145 96675 89484 14 156 10 197 12 166 89484 83855 12 188 19 205 16 224 83855 79145 23 219 23 217 22 231 79145 75053 26 220 30 226 25 229 75053 71398 27 217 27 224 32 228 71398 68087 31 224 29 236 32 244 68087 65057 37 226 46 244 32 238 65057 62232 40 228 47 235 34 240 62232 59471 42 224 45 228 44 251 59471 56586 54 233 48 237 56 246 56586 53592 62 231 60 237 58 245 53592 50732 67 229 63 233 62 252 50732 48161 63 226 64 239 70 252 48161 45860 61 233 69 246 74 248 45860 43777 64 245 76 248 74 246 43777 41874 77 252 80 247 73 244 41874 40121 90 248 83 244 72 245 40121 38495 94 242 83 242 73 250 38495 36981 89 238 83 243 79 252 36981 35567 83 236 85 245 86 251 35567 34213 79 235 86 244 89 250 34213 32850 77 237 87 245 86 251 32850 31454 80 238 87 246 84 255 31454 30028 86 235 88 249 85 258 30028 28558 87 230 93 249 90 261 28558 27031 87 232 98 247 95 260 27031 25446 89 236 101 247 98 258 25446 23793 93 236 102 247 100 257 23793 22070 94 235 102 247 99 257 22070 20278 95 235 101 246 95 257 20278 18415 96 236 99 246 91 257 18415 16480 89 238 89 247 84 257 16480 14523 72 238 76 250 69 260 14523 12664 56 243 66 255 54 267 12664 10993 47 252 61 260 47 273 10993 9519 45 260 56 265 45 276 9519 8212 43 268 49 272 43 280 8212 7055 38 276 43 279 38 285 7055 6032 32 284 35 282 33 290 6032 5134 27 292 26 287 28 291 5134 4349 19*301 20*297 25 290 4349 3660 18*304 20*301 25 294 3660 3045 18 305 20 303 24*299 3045 2501 18 306 19 305 23*302 2501 2047 18 306 18 306 21 303 2047 1699 17 306 17 306 18 304 1699 1458 16 306 16 307 14 305 1458 1313 13 306 13 307 11 304 1313 1229 9 306 9 307 6 305 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography