DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - -39 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3586 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4786 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1895 - - 5065 - - 4418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 220 - - 19 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 224 - - 200 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1744 - - -1029 - - -1006 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3042 - - 2260 - - 2237 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 607 - - -1979 - - -1851 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4179 - - 3210 - - 3082 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 88 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.5 - - 26.7 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 35.6 - - 34.0 - - 33.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 25.4 - - 25.9 - - 25.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - -39 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3586 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 81 - - 53 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95620 20 045 14 038 15 030 95620 88703 17 062 14 024 15 049 88703 83312 8 016 6 035 12 016 83312 78797 8 317 0 298 7 346 78797 74854 2 292 4 163 5 289 74854 71318 8 218 10 257 7 281 71318 68081 12 170 7 198 12 221 68081 65084 15 230 8 215 10 197 65084 62276 25 229 22 217 17 210 62276 59539 23 235 26 217 24 214 59539 56676 33 237 33 228 34 233 56676 53698 50 229 46 227 42 226 53698 50853 61 225 51 229 45 219 50853 48291 69 224 62 232 53 223 48291 45996 74 224 73 227 62 223 45996 43917 77 224 74 224 65 220 43917 42013 76 221 75 225 64 221 42013 40256 75 220 79 223 69 221 40256 38631 75 219 84 218 78 219 38631 37123 77 220 86 214 86 215 37123 35720 82 220 87 213 87 212 35720 34377 85 222 91 215 85 213 34377 33028 95 226 95 216 88 213 33028 31645 111 227 96 217 91 212 31645 30228 126 226 97 218 86 211 30228 28767 129 226 104 219 83 210 28767 27251 118 223 109 220 85 211 27251 25677 112 222 106 220 87 213 25677 24035 105 224 97 220 88 213 24035 22323 96 225 92 221 87 217 22323 20543 90 224 87 222 79 219 20543 18693 87 225 79 223 68 217 18693 16770 82 229 74 225 61 218 16770 14813 67 230 70 227 57 222 14813 12936 49 229 58 228 51 225 12936 11246 35 229 39 230 40 231 11246 9761 27 237 27 243 32 246 9761 8452 26 252 30 259 31 259 8452 7286 29 257 32 257 32 257 7286 6248 29 252 33 248 36 249 6248 5326 28*241 34 239 38 242 5326 4513 27*232 33 233 38 235 4513 3793 26 228 32 229 35 228 3793 3147 24 224 30 224 32 223 3147 2575 23 222 27 219 29 219 2575 2096 21 220 23 214 24 216 2096 1728 19 218 20 210 20 213 1728 1474 16 217 15 206 16 209 1474 1319 13 216 12 204 13*208 1319 1231 9 214 7*200 7*206 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography