DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.7 - - 35.0 - - 35.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -16 - - -13 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 31 - - 31 - - 32 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1231 - - 1231 - - 1232 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 859 - - 940 - - 1049 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 - - - W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 168 - - 174 - - 197 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -308 - - -58 - - 0 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1539 - - 1289 - - 1232 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8949 - - -4112 - - -2609 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 10180 - - 5343 - - 3841 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 100 - - 98 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.7 - - 35.0 - - 35.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 33.7 - - 34.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.6 - - 36.5 - - 37.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 33.7 - - 35.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -16 - - -13 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 31 - - 31 - - 32 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 101 - - 92 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95147 26 290 28 290 33 297 95147 88350 28 308 24 302 21 306 88350 83017 26 300 28 306 21 301 83017 78529 22 288 28 296 19 297 78529 74627 25 292 25 294 26 298 74627 71162 29 297 28 298 30 287 71162 68021 36 296 31 295 24 298 68021 65104 43 280 34 292 28 305 65104 62376 37 271 36 282 39 289 62376 59732 34 274 38 270 44 285 59732 56965 38 274 40 269 54 277 56965 54079 41 275 43 271 57 267 54079 51309 47 281 45 270 52 266 51309 48802 54 274 49 274 53 273 48802 46555 51 269 56 278 61 276 46555 44530 53 275 62 274 68 275 44530 42684 61 273 61 272 72 274 42684 40984 65 270 62 276 75 277 40984 39412 67 271 72 281 81 280 39412 37952 79 275 89 283 91 279 37952 36592 95 276 109 281 97 276 36592 35291 105 274 121 274 96 272 35291 33970 108 274 121 270 95 269 33970 32598 111 274 111 268 95 267 32598 31178 116 274 103 270 93 266 31178 29698 119 274 103 273 92 267 29698 28144 120 276 106 272 92 269 28144 26517 119 277 108 272 92 269 26517 24815 109 277 107 273 91 270 24815 23039 84 269 103 275 90 270 23039 21194 68 249 96 278 89 270 21194 19276 71 239 75 276 86 269 19276 17284 64 243 66 248 81 265 17284 15261 51 240 75 249 81 260 15261 13321 47 239 64 256 75 261 13321 11570 43 241 40 250 56 265 11570 10025 39 241 30 242 41 257 10025 8658 36 239 30 253 37 244 8658 7448 33 240 33 258 36 242 7448 6377 29 242 35 257 34 248 6377 5429 25 239 35 255 34 258 5429 4590 24 231 34 251 33 264 4590 3849 26 221 33 245 32 266 3849 3186 27 210 32 237 29 264 3186 2599 28 198 29 227 27 255 2599 2110 25 189 23 220 22 242 2110 1735 19 178 16 209 17 233 1735 1477 14 172 10 195 11 222 1477 1321 11 170 7 186 8*214 1321 1232 6*168 4*174 4*197 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography