DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.9 - - 28.6 - - 28.4 - - 27.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 88 - - 60 - - 73 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4174 - - 2828 - - 3522 - - 3326 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2589 - - 2371 - - 2509 - - 2566 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5374 - - 4028 - - 4722 - - 4526 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2148 - - 4562 - - 2997 - - 2410 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 262 - - 251 - - 261 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 26 - - 28 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 254 - - 264 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 16 - - 20 - - 25 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - 5 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2318 - - 1437 - - 1920 - - 1724 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3056 - - 2591 - - 2802 - - 2802 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1003 - - 301 - - 987 - - 936 ODpotential blCL - - - 4371 - - 3727 - - 3735 - - 3590 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.9 - - 28.6 - - 28.4 - - 27.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.6 - - 21.5 - - 20.4 - - 19.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.9 - - 28.4 - - 28.5 - - 27.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 20.3 - - 19.3 - - 18.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 45 - - 88 - - 60 - - 73 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4174 - - 2828 - - 3522 - - 3326 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 75 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95723 17 012 20 024 12 029 12 343 95723 88733 14 018 13 024 10 010 14 346 88733 83261 6 337 2 081 7 286 13 333 83261 78693 2 191 6 203 5 252 10 314 78693 74730 3 263 7 215 11 259 11 302 74730 71195 4 245 12 233 12 245 7 282 71195 67950 3 248 8 219 8 244 14 238 67950 64932 11 215 9 225 18 232 20 223 64932 62110 19 219 25 224 24 225 28 223 62110 59344 22 220 22 213 19 211 29 228 59344 56435 21 218 18 244 29 238 29 239 56435 53409 28 223 41 237 39 241 41 249 53409 50526 38 226 49 232 42 238 40 242 50526 47929 47 225 45 234 38 242 38 247 47929 45606 52 220 39 233 42 251 43 249 45606 43507 50 219 36 235 44 248 48 247 43507 41594 46 221 39 236 43 249 47 247 41594 39836 43 221 42 235 45 251 44 246 39836 38203 41 219 41 236 47 252 39 250 38203 36673 40 217 39 239 44 246 41 263 36673 35244 40 217 39 243 39 254 52 266 35244 33880 41 217 41 245 47 265 50 264 33880 32511 42 217 44 244 50 263 46 262 32511 31106 43 219 43 242 46 259 44 260 31106 29669 43 219 40 240 43 262 43 271 29669 28189 41 217 37 243 42 267 44 279 28189 26660 38 214 33 248 41 271 44 282 26660 25088 32 218 27 255 40 274 44 284 25088 23479 30 232 24 265 38 277 44 287 23479 21827 35 234 24 275 38 283 45 289 21827 20122 36 234 26 279 41 288 44 292 20122 18346 35 236 31 278 41 289 41 292 18346 16490 33 238 36 272 39 284 38 290 16490 14593 30 239 36 268 35 278 38 285 14593 12766 28 243 33 271 32 275 38 278 12766 11109 31 251 32 274 32 274 36 272 11109 9644 33 253 28 270 32 275 33 272 9644 8347 33 251 27 266 32 275 34 277 8347 7194 30 248 27 264 32 272 37 279 7194 6171 26*245 27 263 32 269 37 277 6171 5265 24*243 27 262 31*267 36*276 5265 4464 23 243 27*260 30*266 35*275 4464 3755 23 242 25*257 29 265 33 272 3755 3118 22 242 23 255 28 264 30 271 3118 2555 21 242 21 254 26 264 28 269 2555 2082 20 242 20 253 25 264 26 268 2082 1720 18 241 18 253 23 264 23 268 1720 1470 16 241 16 252 20 264 20 267 1470 1318 13 241 13 252 16 263 17 267 1318 1231 9 240 9 252 10 263 11 266 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography