DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.9 - - 63.5 - - 60.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - 25 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5552 - - 1800 - - 614 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4242 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6752 - - 3000 - - 1814 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3111 - - 1641 - - 2164 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 320 - - 169 - - 42 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 209 - - 199 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - -7 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2785 - - 669 - - 368 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3968 - - 2331 - - 1446 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 913 - - -1193 - - -396 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5839 - - 4193 - - 2210 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 390 - - 90 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.9 - - 63.5 - - 60.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.7 - - 57.5 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.7 - - 63.5 - - 61.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.4 - - 56.3 - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - 25 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5552 - - 1800 - - 614 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 24 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99578 25 089 25 088 23 070 99578 92047 23 097 17 090 19 071 92047 86237 19 105 13 114 16 084 86237 81389 13 113 13 104 14 102 81389 77198 11 126 12 093 11 107 77198 73494 11 130 8 101 8 103 73494 70141 11 120 8 149 1 168 70141 67068 5 154 5 173 3 203 67068 64223 5 136 9 195 8 241 64223 61471 7 273 4 232 9 242 61471 58605 15 255 15 270 16 263 58605 55628 22 254 25 253 26 253 55628 52796 32 266 35 263 36 258 52796 50262 53 266 49 263 51 262 50262 47994 60 253 53 258 57 263 47994 45928 54 251 56 256 62 259 45928 44035 51 257 60 254 64 255 44035 42296 55 261 62 252 66 255 42296 40693 68 259 65 251 64 256 40693 39209 79 249 75 246 63 259 39209 37824 73 244 79 235 65 259 37824 36495 69 244 80 233 63 256 36495 35151 70 245 76 230 57 255 35151 33755 68 239 69 229 54 256 33755 32308 67 235 64 230 53 257 32308 30792 68 237 59 232 49 255 30792 29197 65 238 54 236 47 252 29197 27524 59 239 47 244 45 251 27524 25772 51 240 43 256 42 248 25772 23945 43 242 41 256 41 250 23945 22044 29 241 44 245 41 252 22044 20067 25 247 46 237 42 254 20067 18007 28 257 47 234 47 254 18007 15909 17 252 40 233 47 250 15909 13890 10 208 28 233 38 234 13890 12059 15 208 21 233 35 213 12059 10442 20 219 17 200 24 197 10442 9015 17 235 16 159 11 195 9015 7749 13*239 14 149 7 219 7749 6624 10*223 10 152 6 214 6624 5628 9 212 8 160 7 195 5628 4750 8 209 9 173 10 172 4750 3975 8 207 10 184 13 157 3975 3281 7 205 14*195 15 150 3281 2668 7 205 14*198 15 148 2668 2156 6 205 13 199 15*148 2156 1763 6 204 12 199 13*146 1763 1492 6 204 11 199 10 144 1492 1328 5 204 10 199 8 143 1328 1233 4 203 7 198 5 144 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography