DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.0 - - 42.3 - - 40.4 - - 32.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 170 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2189 - - 2704 - - 2007 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2212 - - 2664 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3389 - - 3904 - - 3207 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 736 - - 700 - - 1016 - - 1607 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 316 - - 63 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 334 - - 312 - - 321 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -634 - - -1406 - - -1915 - - -1695 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4024 - - 5311 - - 5122 - - 2926 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13286 - - -13431 - - -14975 - - -16297 ODpotential blCL - - - 16675 - - 17335 - - 18182 - - 17528 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 62 - - 56 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.0 - - 42.3 - - 40.4 - - 32.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 23.7 - - 22.8 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 41.5 - - 40.9 - - 36.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.1 - - 22.8 - - 21.9 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 170 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2189 - - 2704 - - 2007 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96582 28 263 40 254 35 259 33 257 96582 89523 17 254 24 251 26 260 24 260 89523 84045 19 276 20 251 23 258 17 261 84045 79472 17 264 18 251 22 260 16 262 79472 75510 14 263 17 249 24 258 24 265 75510 71998 22 274 18 248 26 254 29 271 71998 68815 29 282 22 270 26 250 29 266 68815 65878 33 270 29 279 22 268 25 269 65878 63141 30 260 34 271 30 278 31 280 63141 60487 32 271 39 272 39 269 41 276 60487 57726 42 273 44 272 43 269 47 276 57726 54863 52 272 53 273 50 277 54 275 54863 52126 60 267 60 271 58 274 57 274 52126 49659 65 267 62 268 61 271 61 271 49659 47445 68 268 63 267 63 271 58 272 47445 45436 70 264 63 267 67 274 69 272 45436 43609 64 264 66 267 74 273 71 267 43609 41934 66 275 64 270 77 274 75 270 41934 40381 75 280 67 284 80 281 79 276 40381 38932 78 281 81 290 87 286 81 281 38932 37571 81 282 95 288 87 291 86 283 37571 36255 84 282 98 285 92 292 89 283 36255 34915 88 284 94 286 101 291 90 283 34915 33520 94 287 94 291 103 290 88 283 33520 32072 92 285 94 292 98 291 84 285 32072 30558 91 281 89 293 97 297 85 289 30558 28962 88 284 81 290 83 294 83 290 28962 27285 83 284 76 287 73 288 87 294 27285 25527 83 280 76 286 71 287 73 291 25527 23696 79 279 75 288 66 292 63 283 23696 21798 71 281 68 289 60 295 56 286 21798 19825 58 286 61 289 52 295 48 289 19825 17769 45 287 56 289 48 293 44 291 17769 15672 38 289 50 288 47 292 43 292 15672 13655 34 293 42 288 45 292 41 294 13655 11824 32 296 34 290 38 292 37 297 11824 10204 29 295 27 285 30 288 30 298 10204 8774 24 292 23 277 25 285 24 294 8774 7515 20 295 20 276 21 288 20 295 7515 6407 18 306 16 289 17 293 18 299 6407 5434 19 314 15 304 16 297 17 297 5434 4584 19 322 12*310 13 304 16 297 4584 3840 16*329 11*311 10*315 14 306 3840 3177 10*333 10 312 10*320 12 323 3177 2593 9 334 10 312 10 321 11 339 2593 2106 9 334 10 313 9 322 11 349 2106 1733 8 335 9 314 9 322 11 350 1733 1476 8 334 9 313 8 322 9 348 1476 1320 7 335 8 314 7 322 5 344 1320 1231 5 334 6 314 4 322 3*345 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography