DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4457 - - 3487 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3860 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5657 - - 4687 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3212 - - 4136 - - 2031 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 356 - - 124 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 18 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 277 - - 264 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 731 - - -339 - - -422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4926 - - 5026 - - 1654 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -266 - - -1443 - - -1933 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5923 - - 6130 - - 3165 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 94 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 60 - - 50 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.6 - - 35.6 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.3 - - 53.6 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.7 - - 34.8 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4457 - - 3487 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 61 - - 75 - - 59 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97605 47 232 60 237 62 236 97605 90343 53 238 59 242 55 239 90343 84683 46 236 47 245 41 244 84683 79941 32 233 36 243 36 250 79941 75868 26 244 28 240 32 250 75868 72300 26 261 23 249 13 250 72300 69045 28 251 24 265 16 277 69045 66017 23 236 25 259 35 267 66017 63218 21 242 32 247 39 256 63218 60510 27 242 37 242 42 260 60510 57676 33 248 35 249 51 254 57676 54723 51 258 52 254 47 248 54723 51877 61 249 54 250 43 254 51877 49296 59 257 57 269 64 266 49296 47000 79 266 86 269 88 268 47000 44948 103 262 105 264 105 270 44948 43080 110 254 114 263 121 269 43080 41356 107 255 121 259 136 263 41356 39755 113 256 124 256 141 258 39755 38257 116 255 126 257 136 258 38257 36853 108 256 126 258 135 261 36853 35515 104 261 117 259 136 262 35515 34165 108 266 118 267 130 263 34165 32767 109 268 127 272 125 268 32767 31325 111 271 136 274 129 272 31325 29825 108 273 143 275 135 273 29825 28250 96 272 146 277 141 273 28250 26601 83 271 137 278 140 274 26601 24883 74 270 119 277 129 279 24883 23104 65 268 103 278 120 285 23104 21264 58 268 88 279 114 286 21264 19356 54 269 73 279 106 289 19356 17378 54 269 62 278 85 290 17378 15376 55 269 56 277 65 283 15376 13455 54 271 51 279 56 277 13455 11713 52 274 47 280 52 276 11713 10166 49 278 44 277 48 278 10166 8791 42 280 42 273 46 280 8791 7567 37 279 38 270 45 280 7567 6477 32*278 33 267 43 279 6477 5510 27*277 29*266 39 281 5510 4656 24 277 25*265 35 283 4656 3901 23 277 22 264 32 285 3901 3225 22 277 20 264 28 285 3225 2628 21 278 18 264 23 282 2628 2129 20 278 17 265 19 277 2129 1747 19 278 15 264 14 271 1747 1484 17 278 13 264 10 265 1484 1324 15 278 11 264 7 261 1324 1232 10 278 7 264 2*246 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography