DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 48.8 - - 47.8 - - 41.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 71 - - -11 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 714 - - 1451 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1914 - - 2651 - - 1232 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 635 - - 654 - - 1549 - - 374 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 151 - - 196 - - 11 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 193 - - 142 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2828 - - -3269 - - -3513 - - -1730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4742 - - 5921 - - 4745 - - 2962 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15359 - - -13794 - - -10988 - - -10219 ODpotential blCL - - - 17273 - - 16445 - - 12220 - - 11451 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 86 - - 89 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 48.8 - - 47.8 - - 41.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.8 - - 27.8 - - 31.9 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 48.5 - - 49.8 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 26.6 - - 30.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 71 - - -11 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 714 - - 1451 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 30 - - 44 - - 57 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96475 44 230 46 254 44 259 45 251 96475 89407 27 240 34 236 38 257 38 254 89407 83924 20 256 22 229 31 245 33 252 83924 79353 17 257 21 246 27 238 29 251 79353 75403 19 260 20 255 22 250 25 259 75403 71910 21 272 19 264 20 255 23 262 71910 68746 22 279 22 268 21 258 20 259 68746 65825 24 270 26 273 25 263 21 259 65825 63099 26 260 28 267 29 264 22 269 63099 60445 28 254 32 262 32 262 30 272 60445 57669 31 261 36 258 33 254 37 258 57669 54784 39 260 38 262 35 256 40 256 54784 52025 52 258 49 261 44 259 48 258 52025 49542 52 257 54 255 51 257 49 256 49542 47323 61 252 56 251 55 256 51 255 47323 45318 65 248 59 251 58 257 54 256 45318 43497 68 250 62 256 61 258 57 259 43497 41830 72 250 69 260 62 259 61 258 41830 40285 75 250 76 256 64 262 61 255 40285 38840 78 251 77 254 68 262 56 255 38840 37480 88 252 77 253 69 260 54 257 37480 36168 89 251 77 251 66 258 55 257 36168 34836 78 253 72 251 61 261 50 258 34836 33451 71 256 63 252 56 263 49 260 33451 32017 64 254 57 254 51 263 49 259 32017 30518 57 247 55 258 46 264 47 261 30518 28941 55 252 54 258 44 266 44 264 28941 27286 58 257 51 260 45 266 40 265 27286 25553 61 259 48 260 47 263 36 268 25553 23741 64 262 45 261 49 259 31 271 23741 21856 54 260 43 261 48 255 25 276 21856 19895 49 263 44 259 47 260 27 267 19895 17857 53 269 41 261 41 264 34 260 17857 15786 49 269 36 266 32 265 31 268 15786 13798 44 270 29 269 26 270 23 278 13798 11996 41 276 26 276 26 277 19 280 11996 10393 41 285 28 288 27 280 20 276 10393 8968 41 288 30 295 25 282 24 278 8968 7701 33 289 29 297 23 283 23 276 7701 6573 24 292 25 296 21 281 18 269 6573 5573 17 286 19 287 18 276 13 269 5573 4694 12 263 17 269 17 271 10 263 4694 3920 11 239 16 250 14 264 9 236 3920 3231 11 222 15*233 11 244 14 221 3231 2626 11 202 11*212 9 212 20 213 2626 2125 10*182 8 191 8 182 23 206 2125 1742 8*171 7 188 8 170 19 193 1742 1481 7 169 7 186 7 160 13 176 1481 1322 6 169 6 184 5 150 9 169 1322 1232 5 167 4 182 3*142 4*162 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography