DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 14.2 - - 11.8 - - 9.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 70 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2198 - - 1370 - - 114 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1213 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3398 - - 2570 - - 1314 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1146 - - 1535 - - 2711 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 219 - - 76 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 282 - - 295 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1172 - - 267 - - -602 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2226 - - 2303 - - 1916 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 754 - - -306 - - -1131 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2644 - - 2876 - - 2445 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 14.2 - - 11.8 - - 9.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 9.0 - - 6.4 - - 5.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 13.9 - - 12.1 - - 10.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 8.0 - - 5.9 - - 5.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 70 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2198 - - 1370 - - 114 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 88 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95559 77 250 77 250 78 246 95559 88487 39 269 47 249 56 267 88487 83095 36 274 36 265 44 269 83095 78585 37 274 37 267 37 271 78585 74638 35 272 35 274 35 279 74638 71120 25 258 32 279 32 284 71120 67926 18 267 29 273 26 275 67926 64963 28 284 28 278 22 264 64963 62179 34 278 27 280 29 275 62179 59473 32 268 31 281 34 273 59473 56641 33 278 34 281 32 275 56641 53683 47 282 41 284 36 280 53683 50842 53 276 48 279 42 280 50842 48277 50 272 51 272 49 276 48277 45976 48 277 50 269 48 273 45976 43883 50 282 47 274 48 276 43883 41960 52 283 48 279 51 281 41960 40183 53 282 52 281 56 282 40183 38535 52 280 56 280 61 281 38535 37002 52 279 59 280 61 282 37002 35571 53 280 61 283 63 287 35571 34205 54 282 64 288 69 291 34205 32837 55 285 69 290 76 294 32837 31435 56 288 76 295 83 298 31435 30002 58 290 88 298 92 302 30002 28523 60 291 93 297 100 303 28523 26989 60 290 86 297 105 304 26989 25397 57 289 79 298 108 305 25397 23741 54 289 73 298 105 305 23741 22021 49 288 65 296 95 304 22021 20244 43 283 58 291 85 302 20244 18409 39 276 56 288 75 299 18409 16509 38 274 53 287 66 295 16509 14578 39 276 46 285 59 291 14578 12720 37 276 41 282 54 291 12720 11037 34 275 39 282 48 292 11037 9549 31 276 38 283 45 292 9549 8237 30 278 38 285 42 291 8237 7079 31 278 40 286 40 289 7079 6057 34 275 42 284 38 288 6057 5158 33 273 39 282 36 287 5158 4369 28 273 32 280 33 287 4369 3675 20*274 25 281 28 287 3675 3057 16*277 19*285 23 291 3057 2510 14 280 15*290 19 296 2510 2053 13 282 12 295 15 299 2053 1702 12 284 11 297 12 301 1702 1460 11 285 9 299 9*302 1460 1314 9 286 8 300 7*303 1314 1230 6 287 5 301 3 302 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography