DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 58.2 - - 57.1 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 19 - - -33 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1145 - - 1522 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2345 - - 2722 - - 1233 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 613 - - 975 - - 2491 - - 1192 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 203 - - 141 - - 18 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 191 - - 186 - - 165 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4157 - - -3433 - - -3505 - - -2114 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6502 - - 6155 - - 4738 - - 3348 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13502 - - -9609 - - -8710 - - -7466 ODpotential blCL - - - 15847 - - 12331 - - 9943 - - 8699 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.9 - - 58.2 - - 57.1 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 35.6 - - 40.7 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 59.0 - - 59.1 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.1 - - 34.6 - - 39.7 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 100 - - 19 - - -33 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1145 - - 1522 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97585 32 237 37 246 35 253 38 239 97585 90281 23 244 29 239 33 245 31 237 90281 84606 20 257 24 240 29 232 24 249 84606 79894 19 234 21 236 23 230 18 254 79894 75843 13 219 18 233 21 249 15 245 75843 72257 10 276 18 226 19 250 15 233 72257 68994 16 258 14 234 20 238 15 239 68994 65990 13 250 16 245 19 229 17 246 65990 63205 17 263 15 242 18 228 19 241 63205 60500 19 275 22 248 22 238 22 236 60500 57678 28 260 29 243 29 240 31 247 57678 54761 31 237 36 236 39 235 36 244 54761 51986 26 242 42 235 45 236 39 245 51986 49481 41 250 49 240 51 240 47 248 49481 47225 55 243 57 239 56 235 59 243 47225 45176 60 240 60 237 58 235 65 235 45176 43292 58 242 61 238 65 237 66 242 43292 41551 60 248 62 245 67 242 76 246 41551 39940 68 252 72 250 75 248 80 240 39940 38445 72 249 82 248 83 243 77 239 38445 37053 68 249 84 244 81 239 79 245 37053 35730 69 251 82 243 78 250 91 250 35730 34400 72 247 82 245 88 252 96 246 34400 33026 71 244 80 244 89 246 92 242 33026 31604 69 243 76 241 83 244 88 241 31604 30119 65 244 75 236 79 248 85 244 30119 28557 61 246 74 236 77 248 85 247 28557 26918 59 247 68 237 74 244 84 249 26918 25202 56 246 62 236 69 240 79 248 25202 23415 52 246 55 236 64 237 70 241 23415 21567 45 245 49 239 59 236 63 236 21567 19655 41 244 44 238 53 235 54 233 19655 17669 37 247 41 239 49 237 47 232 17669 15647 33 254 40 243 45 236 41 232 15647 13699 36 259 41 250 41 236 39 226 13699 11925 38 254 42 250 40 236 36 224 11925 10343 36 251 39 243 40 233 32 234 10343 8933 31 249 34 235 39 229 29 250 8933 7678 28 246 32 228 38 228 29 261 7678 6563 27 242 33 223 37 228 31 258 6563 5575 26 235 34 220 36 226 33 244 5575 4706 26 225 36 216 35 219 35 229 4706 3939 26 213 35 209 33 209 36 218 3939 3253 26 201 30*202 29 199 36 207 3253 2648 24*190 25*195 25 193 32 198 2648 2142 19*176 23 192 22 191 27 191 2142 1755 17 174 21 191 20 190 21 182 1755 1487 16 172 18 189 16 189 16 175 1487 1326 13 171 15 189 12*188 12*171 1326 1233 9 169 9 186 6*186 6*165 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography