DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.5 - - 60.5 - - 52.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 214 - - 46 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3485 - - 3518 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3348 - - 2069 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4685 - - 4718 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 596 - - 889 - - 1275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 374 - - 231 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 23 - - 288 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 330 - - 352 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1581 - - -2072 - - -2968 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6266 - - 6790 - - 4201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11082 - - -11318 - - -12203 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15767 - - 16036 - - 13436 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 65 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.5 - - 60.5 - - 52.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.6 - - 35.3 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.3 - - 60.3 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.5 - - 34.2 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 214 - - 46 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3485 - - 3518 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98277 12 077 8 001 11 048 98277 90919 3 065 6 002 8 008 90919 85216 1 291 8 290 8 316 85216 80461 6 288 14 258 13 286 80461 76356 14 299 13 263 13 280 76356 72732 10 288 14 282 13 299 72732 69463 4 307 12 266 16 289 69463 66457 11 294 10 270 19 268 66457 63669 22 299 22 299 25 294 63669 60986 35 298 33 285 34 283 60986 58192 43 290 33 276 35 282 58192 55293 49 286 46 295 46 290 55293 52547 58 284 62 289 58 282 52547 50098 67 281 69 282 65 281 50098 47918 75 279 77 279 73 277 47918 45949 77 279 77 278 72 278 45949 44138 77 281 81 279 82 286 44138 42463 79 283 88 280 100 283 42463 40905 83 283 87 286 105 281 40905 39433 90 283 96 291 104 281 39433 38039 94 281 100 292 103 284 38039 36688 93 279 97 289 95 283 36688 35313 91 278 86 283 87 285 35313 33887 88 276 75 285 76 287 33887 32414 81 275 73 287 69 295 32414 30877 72 279 70 287 66 292 30877 29259 66 283 66 287 63 281 29259 27563 63 283 63 287 57 276 27563 25791 64 281 57 286 52 280 25791 23943 60 283 51 284 47 282 23943 22025 54 289 50 286 46 283 22025 20034 44 290 44 288 42 286 20034 17963 37 287 35 286 34 284 17963 15857 32 287 28 281 28 277 15857 13837 27 287 23 280 22 273 13837 12009 22 283 20 281 17 270 12009 10393 18 283 17 279 15 267 10393 8962 14 286 13 278 13 263 8962 7696 10 283 11 278 11 254 7696 6574 6 280 8 268 10 238 6574 5584 3 292 4*239 9 217 5584 4715 3*311 2*229 7 196 4715 3949 3*320 1 226 5 188 3949 3262 3 325 0 242 6 174 3262 2655 3 328 0 025 5 163 2655 2147 3 333 1 037 5 157 2147 1757 3 336 1 035 5 153 1757 1489 3 338 1 034 4 147 1489 1326 3 337 1 033 4*144 1326 1233 2 338 1 029 2*144 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography