DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 70.7 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 35 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3247 - - 3629 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2989 - - 2222 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4447 - - 4829 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2616 - - 2801 - - 5084 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 322 - - 235 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 299 - - 291 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 804 - - 1163 - - -784 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3643 - - 3666 - - 2018 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -854 - - -348 - - -2229 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5301 - - 5177 - - 3463 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 80 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 890 - - 960 - - 900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 70.7 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.4 - - 58.6 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.8 - - 70.7 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.2 - - 57.4 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 125 - - 35 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3247 - - 3629 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 31 - - 19 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99758 33 100 29 098 26 086 99758 92231 28 102 20 097 21 101 92231 86382 21 103 16 106 18 097 86382 81506 17 106 12 114 12 080 81506 77308 10 115 13 123 8 120 77308 73596 6 147 8 139 10 127 73596 70214 4 208 4 186 3 126 70214 67104 6 219 4 216 3 221 67104 64223 6 272 5 290 4 212 64223 61430 20 263 21 288 13 312 61430 58532 24 262 25 277 26 292 58532 55531 27 270 23 283 29 283 55531 52668 40 275 40 290 38 288 52668 50104 45 275 54 284 51 287 50104 47821 48 279 59 279 62 286 47821 45752 54 287 62 285 74 284 45752 43854 66 289 72 287 75 279 43854 42101 73 287 81 289 83 290 42101 40485 80 293 94 293 110 294 40485 38985 97 294 110 295 130 293 38985 37575 102 291 123 294 138 292 37575 36213 93 290 122 292 136 292 36213 34836 87 288 109 290 132 290 34836 33415 78 286 97 288 124 286 33415 31947 77 285 88 284 120 288 31947 30425 76 282 81 284 103 286 30425 28843 76 279 78 281 90 282 28843 27197 76 281 79 280 82 281 27197 25481 75 288 77 283 77 282 25481 23692 61 290 68 288 73 285 23692 21833 46 281 52 285 61 284 21833 19901 41 272 45 276 49 279 19901 17892 40 274 43 275 43 280 17892 15844 37 274 38 281 38 284 15844 13869 33 274 32 282 33 286 13869 12072 29 277 28 278 29 287 12072 10474 27 278 26 279 28 289 10474 9056 23 278 24 284 27 288 9056 7793 19 283 23 288 25 288 7793 6669 17 292 21 289 23 289 6669 5672 15 296 20*289 22 292 5672 4791 13*296 18*289 21 296 4791 4011 12*297 15 290 21 298 4011 3310 12 298 14 292 19 299 3310 2690 11 299 13 292 18 301 2690 2171 11 300 12 292 16 301 2171 1771 10 300 11 293 13 302 1771 1497 9 301 9 294 10 301 1497 1329 8 301 8 294 7*300 1329 1234 6 301 6 294 3*297 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography