DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.4 - - 66.0 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - 4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2154 - - 1738 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1838 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3354 - - 2938 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 783 - - 1270 - - 551 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 237 - - 100 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 227 - - 224 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -332 - - -753 - - -411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3686 - - 3691 - - 1644 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5093 - - -5373 - - -6613 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8447 - - 8311 - - 7846 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 91 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.4 - - 66.0 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.5 - - 54.1 - - 54.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 64.9 - - 66.4 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.5 - - 53.3 - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - 4 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2154 - - 1738 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 65 - - 64 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97905 26 228 23 238 20 242 97905 90659 14 240 20 252 14 246 90659 85047 10 250 20 275 8 275 85047 80384 6 263 12 274 7 312 80384 76368 6 294 9 247 10 314 76368 72810 6 294 7 252 10 295 72810 69577 5 284 9 300 9 307 69577 66600 6 249 10 294 8 294 66600 63833 8 265 10 281 8 285 63833 61154 15 265 15 292 12 279 61154 58369 17 271 18 276 17 282 58369 55487 18 265 22 270 25 276 55487 52743 21 271 23 270 25 275 52743 50273 23 276 25 275 27 267 50273 48051 25 278 24 275 28 273 48051 46027 29 274 33 276 40 274 46027 44191 37 273 45 275 32 268 44191 42530 43 283 46 290 36 284 42530 41003 45 290 60 290 51 274 41003 39561 42 293 62 285 52 270 39561 38191 39 294 53 287 48 265 38191 36860 38 296 42 285 37 267 36860 35500 40 294 39 282 36 265 35500 34083 43 290 40 280 37 261 34083 32611 43 287 42 279 37 257 32611 31071 41 284 44 278 37 255 31071 29450 35 282 42 276 36 254 29450 27749 29 280 35 271 34 259 27749 25973 29 280 35 275 33 254 25973 24122 34 281 35 278 31 246 24122 22203 37 271 33 268 34 241 22203 20213 29 254 33 256 35 237 20213 18144 26 251 34 249 35 237 18144 16039 23 244 31 247 32 241 16039 14017 19 242 25 248 26 246 14017 12181 16 252 19 253 22 253 12181 10553 14 260 17 259 21 261 10553 9107 11 258 17 263 20 265 9107 7821 11 259 15 266 18 265 7821 6679 10 257 12 268 15 265 6679 5668 9 247 10 275 13 267 5668 4778 8 236 8 278 13 268 4778 3994 7*229 6 262 12 267 3994 3293 6*224 5*233 10 260 3293 2674 6 225 4*225 7 239 2674 2159 6 228 4 225 8 214 2159 1763 5 229 4 225 10 199 1763 1492 5 231 3 224 9 189 1492 1327 4 231 3 224 6 177 1327 1233 3 232 2 223 4*169 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography