DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 56.9 - - 63.1 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - -4 - - -10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 968 - - 33 - - 34 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2168 - - 1233 - - 1234 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 343 - - 1762 - - 3554 - - 2147 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 179 - - 14 - - 19 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 124 - - 135 - - 205 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 381 - - -252 - - -290 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1788 - - 1485 - - 1524 - - 1233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6711 - - -2100 - - -1576 - - -553 ODpotential blCL - - - 8879 - - 3333 - - 2810 - - 1786 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 120 - - 170 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.9 - - 56.9 - - 63.1 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 54.4 - - 60.3 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 58.0 - - 64.3 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 53.8 - - 59.7 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - -4 - - -10 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 968 - - 33 - - 34 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96661 5 272 18 247 22 255 23 256 96661 89456 9 283 18 257 20 274 18 288 89456 83987 10 255 21 263 19 285 20 268 83987 79456 22 284 21 275 19 286 21 271 79456 75530 24 284 19 289 19 281 28 292 75530 72053 28 291 24 292 26 290 29 289 72053 68876 32 291 25 282 28 282 28 267 68876 65912 32 286 29 273 23 265 29 254 65912 63136 29 278 30 260 32 267 28 270 63136 60448 31 276 30 255 37 263 28 276 60448 57645 36 264 34 265 37 271 32 287 57645 54735 39 266 41 275 49 277 51 282 54735 51966 40 266 62 265 58 267 58 270 51966 49472 60 272 55 258 59 261 56 267 49472 47233 65 263 61 266 61 259 63 265 47233 45233 65 250 71 260 68 262 70 261 45233 43451 68 274 59 267 74 267 76 266 43451 41840 78 286 70 283 87 271 82 267 41840 40344 94 288 89 281 95 267 79 259 40344 38928 89 282 91 280 91 267 79 256 38928 37584 84 281 87 280 87 268 79 255 37584 36276 81 276 77 273 87 268 81 254 36276 34941 82 274 72 266 87 266 81 254 34941 33552 80 273 71 263 83 265 77 256 33552 32111 74 271 67 262 78 268 73 257 32111 30603 65 266 62 263 75 270 69 256 30603 29019 62 264 62 264 72 269 64 256 29019 27359 61 262 66 266 71 267 61 259 27359 25623 62 259 70 267 70 264 64 265 25623 23812 63 260 70 267 65 264 65 267 23812 21929 65 260 62 264 58 264 63 269 21929 19969 64 253 57 261 56 264 57 269 19969 17928 55 245 55 264 53 262 50 262 17928 15852 45 238 54 266 51 257 50 261 15852 13862 37 231 50 260 54 259 51 267 13862 12058 31 223 48 254 57 268 50 272 12058 10454 28 217 49 250 55 274 41 278 10454 9026 25 218 49 248 48 273 37 286 9026 7751 20 222 48 239 42 267 38 287 7751 6617 15 232 47 227 38 260 34 284 6617 5613 12 235 41 216 35 254 30 275 5613 4735 10 231 32 204 33 249 25 263 4735 3963 9 229 25 190 30 245 21 259 3963 3271 6 219 21 176 27 240 19 261 3271 2660 3*156 18 164 23 235 17 271 2660 2151 4*129 15 157 18 229 14 284 2151 1760 4 125 12 152 13 223 11 292 1760 1490 3 121 8 148 10 218 8 298 1490 1327 3 120 5 145 7*212 6 301 1327 1233 3 120 2*135 4*205 2*304 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography