DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.7 - - 54.5 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 701 - - 988 - - 311 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1901 - - 2188 - - 1511 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 969 - - 902 - - 1518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 110 - - 109 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 311 - - 323 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 490 - - 572 - - 192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1411 - - 1616 - - 1319 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 139 - - 205 - - -346 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1762 - - 1983 - - 1857 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 52.7 - - 54.5 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.7 - - 51.7 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.7 - - 54.6 - - 54.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.4 - - 51.4 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 26 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 701 - - 988 - - 311 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97834 17 235 16 260 17 237 97834 90602 14 260 15 264 10 265 90602 85010 8 235 15 265 10 327 85010 80367 4 208 10 247 10 304 80367 76355 2 354 4 258 7 281 76355 72797 4 345 1 339 3 302 72797 69569 3 294 1 275 3 280 69569 66592 3 229 4 276 5 307 66592 63825 6 225 6 239 7 287 63825 61138 9 243 8 253 8 269 61138 58334 12 249 14 262 12 274 58334 55430 16 255 18 268 16 275 55430 52660 17 253 19 265 18 276 52660 50169 16 260 21 267 22 280 50169 47936 17 262 24 267 26 276 47936 45907 18 268 25 263 29 273 45907 44044 19 270 25 269 30 270 44044 42325 19 268 25 271 23 264 42325 40738 17 267 22 262 19 285 40738 39265 15 268 18 254 21 294 39265 37885 14 272 16 261 18 294 37885 36555 15 276 16 279 14 319 36555 35207 16 282 17 290 20 348 35207 33811 17 287 18 302 26 355 33811 32367 17 291 17 309 26 005 32367 30855 14 296 16 332 26 014 30855 29264 13 302 18 350 25 015 29264 27594 14 296 18 352 26 009 27594 25845 15 308 16 341 27 001 25845 24018 16 323 14 333 26 357 24018 22116 14 329 14 327 24 353 22116 20135 17 339 16 335 21 351 20135 18070 19 343 19 347 18 359 18070 15965 16 343 19 353 17 005 15965 13939 13 349 18 355 16 004 13939 12099 10 347 14 357 14 358 12099 10466 6 339 11 354 11 350 10466 9017 4 356 10 350 8 340 9017 7732 4 018 7 359 6 326 7732 6595 6 025 7 347 6 315 6595 5594 7 024 9 346 6 332 5594 4715 9 016 10 351 8 349 4715 3942 11 005 12 348 10 358 3942 3254 12 348 14 338 12 356 3254 2647 13 329 14*328 12 346 2647 2142 12*315 12*324 11 338 2142 1754 11*313 11 323 9*327 1754 1487 9 311 10 323 7*320 1487 1326 8 310 8 322 6 316 1326 1233 5 310 5 320 3 310 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography