DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 30.8 - - 29.7 - - 25.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 20 - - -1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 951 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2151 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 608 - - 1469 - - 228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 111 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 45 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 066 - - 117 - - 136 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 226 - - -301 - - -261 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1926 - - 1532 - - 1493 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10489 - - -11005 - - -12068 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12640 - - 12236 - - 13299 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 89 - - 85 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 30.8 - - 29.7 - - 25.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.1 - - 27.7 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 30.9 - - 31.6 - - 27.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.3 - - 27.5 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 20 - - -1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 951 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 56 - - 39 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95146 27 287 33 272 37 277 95146 88280 29 290 34 285 31 283 88280 82943 30 290 29 294 26 295 82943 78487 31 294 27 292 24 304 78487 74627 32 296 29 288 29 300 74627 71190 32 293 32 287 32 298 71190 68048 34 291 32 288 35 291 68048 65135 33 284 33 289 36 285 65135 62416 32 276 34 283 33 281 62416 59762 31 272 33 279 38 274 59762 56980 35 276 35 282 37 269 56980 54081 40 275 42 279 39 277 54081 51308 42 273 47 273 47 277 51308 48817 43 272 49 271 48 276 48817 46591 45 273 47 273 46 274 46591 44576 45 273 47 273 48 274 44576 42735 44 275 48 274 53 276 42735 41036 43 278 50 276 58 273 41036 39453 46 279 50 275 57 271 39453 37978 47 281 47 276 53 276 37978 36605 47 280 44 281 50 279 36605 35294 45 275 44 282 46 282 35294 33976 40 273 40 278 45 280 33976 32620 32 273 34 276 39 270 32620 31224 29 271 32 264 34 268 31224 29770 27 282 28 247 32 274 29770 28243 25 287 25 247 32 277 28243 26639 24 284 20 251 31 276 26639 24957 23 280 17 261 30 275 24957 23200 26 276 17 272 25 267 23200 21372 29 272 20 275 19 254 21372 19470 30 271 23 275 16 252 19470 17484 27 272 23 275 14 247 17484 15456 23 277 20 275 15 238 15456 13501 20 282 17 276 15 235 13501 11719 18 285 15 279 13 243 11719 10134 15 287 14 289 9 258 10134 8726 12 286 12 297 6 271 8726 7477 8 276 9 293 5 262 7477 6373 8 260 6 270 5 243 6373 5403 9 251 5 245 7 223 5403 4556 9 242 5 227 8 203 4556 3816 8 234 6 221 8 196 3816 3157 6 221 6 210 8 193 3157 2578 3*201 6 185 9 182 2578 2095 1*159 5 166 9 170 2095 1726 1 059 3 150 9 160 1726 1472 1 037 2 142 7 148 1472 1319 1 029 2 131 5*144 1319 1231 1 027 1*117 2*136 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography