DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.9 - - 73.8 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 126 - - 37 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5606 - - 5124 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4741 - - 3484 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6806 - - 6324 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2258 - - 2193 - - 4544 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 390 - - 272 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 264 - - 239 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1201 - - 772 - - -1910 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5605 - - 5552 - - 3144 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -360 - - -943 - - -3947 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7166 - - 7267 - - 5181 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 77 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.9 - - 73.8 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.5 - - 53.7 - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.4 - - 73.9 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.2 - - 52.5 - - 57.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 126 - - 37 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5606 - - 5124 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 36 - - 7 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99658 26 093 24 083 23 069 99658 92124 29 095 25 082 21 077 92124 86301 28 079 23 089 18 087 86301 81474 21 076 18 081 20 091 81474 77319 13 080 15 088 20 075 77319 73633 13 111 11 081 14 082 73633 70278 11 081 7 099 6 075 70278 67184 5 052 7 089 6 147 67184 64309 4 345 3 358 3 011 64309 61526 10 307 10 313 10 311 61526 58642 14 267 13 284 15 296 58642 55669 18 295 20 285 18 283 55669 52847 27 295 27 285 24 289 52847 50322 33 288 33 286 31 280 50322 48071 40 285 39 288 32 279 48071 46036 47 283 43 289 34 281 46036 44185 51 279 47 294 38 285 44185 42498 51 274 55 290 44 279 42498 40943 47 274 55 283 45 272 40943 39488 44 277 50 284 42 264 39488 38114 42 282 51 290 39 263 38114 36782 43 285 53 294 38 269 36782 35425 44 287 52 292 42 268 35425 34013 47 288 52 290 43 267 34013 32546 50 291 52 293 42 269 32546 31011 52 294 52 295 41 271 31011 29397 50 297 52 296 39 274 29397 27706 47 296 51 296 37 276 27706 25939 45 292 47 295 34 277 25939 24099 42 287 45 295 33 277 24099 22186 40 288 40 289 29 283 22186 20194 39 293 36 284 26 293 20194 18125 40 296 31 289 26 286 18125 16026 37 297 28 291 24 266 16026 14011 30 296 25 285 24 257 14011 12179 26 293 20 281 22 253 12179 10553 23 288 18 280 18 252 10553 9112 18 279 15 266 16 245 9112 7836 15*273 12 252 14 237 7836 6703 14*269 11*247 13 232 6703 5700 13 266 10*245 12 226 5700 4812 13 265 10 242 12 215 4812 4026 12 263 9 240 13 205 4026 3321 12 262 9 239 13 196 3321 2697 12 261 9 237 13 191 2697 2175 11 260 8 236 12 189 2175 1774 10 260 8 236 11 186 1774 1498 10 260 7 235 9 181 1498 1330 9 260 6 234 7*173 1330 1234 6 259 5 234 4*163 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography