DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.8 - - 71.9 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 154 - - 43 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5711 - - 5430 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4899 - - 3696 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6911 - - 6630 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1395 - - 1457 - - 3527 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 409 - - 277 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 010 - - 349 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 163 - - -6 - - -2618 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6748 - - 6636 - - 3852 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7629 - - -6960 - - -4876 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14540 - - 13590 - - 6110 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 66 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.8 - - 71.9 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.6 - - 47.2 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.1 - - 71.9 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.5 - - 46.1 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 154 - - 43 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5711 - - 5430 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99391 14 085 15 067 11 084 99391 91984 13 066 12 059 14 076 91984 86249 11 075 12 098 12 050 86249 81454 11 078 9 095 8 051 81454 77303 10 076 8 124 6 051 77303 73623 6 062 6 095 3 070 73623 70286 8 131 3 205 2 222 70286 67211 9 176 4 229 5 243 67211 64354 17 201 15 223 13 243 64354 61582 18 223 14 225 15 218 61582 58693 25 230 23 237 23 237 58693 55716 26 223 29 229 34 230 55716 52889 39 241 35 241 30 233 52889 50359 52 233 46 238 43 249 50359 48130 58 229 62 233 66 243 48130 46139 68 227 69 224 95 233 46139 44307 72 226 67 225 88 228 44307 42597 72 227 71 229 76 231 42597 41011 74 227 76 228 82 235 41011 39531 78 225 79 226 89 233 39531 38135 80 226 80 227 93 233 38135 36781 75 227 76 227 90 232 36781 35405 70 229 74 229 83 230 35405 33980 67 231 72 231 77 231 33980 32509 63 232 67 230 67 227 32509 30977 59 233 60 235 61 228 30977 29369 54 233 55 237 55 233 29369 27687 50 234 51 237 49 237 27687 25926 47 237 47 237 44 240 25926 24087 46 240 42 237 39 241 24087 22174 45 247 37 239 35 240 22174 20186 41 251 32 246 27 242 20186 18120 37 252 30 248 23 246 18120 16018 30 254 26 246 22 247 16018 13992 25 260 21 247 20 246 13992 12149 20 268 15 254 15 240 12149 10517 13 271 10 259 11 237 10517 9077 6 266 5 256 8 237 9077 7803 3*336 2 296 3 205 7803 6674 5*006 4*336 5 086 6674 5674 6 008 5*344 7 063 5674 4790 7 010 5 346 7 039 4790 4007 7 011 6 348 9 016 4007 3307 7 011 6 349 10 002 3307 2686 7 011 6 350 12 353 2686 2168 7 012 6 351 12 348 2168 1770 7 012 6 351 12 344 1770 1495 6 012 6 351 10 341 1495 1329 6 011 5 352 7*337 1329 1234 5 011 4 352 3*330 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography