DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.9 - - 34.7 - - 31.8 - - 25.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 64 - - 57 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2593 - - 1317 - - 1873 - - 757 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3793 - - 2517 - - 3073 - - 1957 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2133 - - 3239 - - 2227 - - 4106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 218 - - 181 - - 197 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 6 - - 23 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 280 - - 318 - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 3 - - 16 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 7 - - 21 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 621 - - 1094 - - 1278 - - 233 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3172 - - 1423 - - 1795 - - 1725 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -193 - - 682 - - 716 - - -216 ODpotential blCL - - - 3986 - - 1835 - - 2357 - - 2173 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 170 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.9 - - 34.7 - - 31.8 - - 25.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.5 - - 33.0 - - 28.6 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 34.5 - - 31.7 - - 25.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.5 - - 32.2 - - 28.0 - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 64 - - 57 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2593 - - 1317 - - 1873 - - 757 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 99 - - 100 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96701 24 240 26 219 31 233 34 228 96701 89325 23 213 29 210 22 217 19 232 89325 83678 19 229 27 218 22 224 26 240 83678 79022 18 205 25 210 26 216 26 227 79022 74997 20 235 24 185 24 205 21 217 74997 71396 25 228 27 224 24 216 26 231 71396 68122 32 233 31 226 33 241 33 235 68122 65102 35 227 34 232 43 222 31 235 65102 62290 34 244 44 242 36 234 37 241 62290 59546 47 249 49 246 45 251 40 239 59546 56663 56 237 57 241 54 247 49 250 56663 53667 57 224 60 234 59 241 58 248 53667 50807 50 237 59 240 61 240 62 248 50807 48237 65 250 67 246 65 244 65 247 48237 45939 74 246 72 244 71 246 67 244 45939 43858 73 240 73 241 72 244 66 246 43858 41954 70 241 70 240 69 243 68 251 41954 40200 72 243 71 243 70 246 74 253 40200 38575 77 246 74 246 75 246 81 251 38575 37061 85 246 80 248 79 245 83 247 37061 35646 94 245 87 248 81 245 80 246 35646 34290 101 243 93 245 83 245 76 245 34290 32927 105 240 94 240 84 244 73 245 32927 31529 107 236 91 238 82 242 70 246 31529 30103 104 234 87 239 76 243 66 250 30103 28636 98 235 83 241 72 246 61 255 28636 27115 91 237 78 242 66 250 59 263 27115 25538 78 239 69 244 60 254 57 271 25538 23906 57 240 57 246 51 257 56 278 23906 22218 43 238 46 246 44 263 54 280 22218 20473 36 238 41 242 40 268 50 279 20473 18659 31 231 37 240 38 270 47 280 18659 16765 31 222 32 233 34 274 44 283 16765 14831 30 225 28 224 32 272 41 285 14831 12967 28 230 24 228 24 263 36 287 12967 11273 27 232 24 233 16 260 29 283 11273 9770 24 222 19 233 10 259 24 277 9770 8436 18 213 11 230 9 261 24 279 8436 7253 12 214 7 225 8 269 22 288 7253 6211 8 209 7 228 10 300 25 305 6211 5292 8 186 6 235 15 317 28 310 5292 4481 10 166 6 245 21 321 29 309 4481 3765 11*152 6 258 26 321 29 308 3765 3123 11*150 6 273 27*320 28 307 3123 2556 11 150 7*278 27*319 26 306 2556 2083 10 149 6*280 26 318 22*305 2083 1720 10 149 6 280 24 318 18*304 1720 1470 9 149 6 281 21 317 15 303 1470 1318 8 149 5 280 17 316 12 302 1318 1231 6 148 4 279 11 315 7 302 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography