DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.4 - - 78.2 - - 77.2 - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 74 - - -4 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3414 - - 4869 - - 3118 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2870 - - 3942 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4614 - - 6069 - - 4318 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3100 - - 2027 - - 3095 - - 3048 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 330 - - 156 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 234 - - 233 - - 321 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 3 - - -3 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -366 - - -310 - - -781 - - -2855 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4980 - - 6379 - - 5099 - - 4091 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2692 - - -3969 - - -4134 - - -5222 ODpotential blCL - - - 7306 - - 10038 - - 8452 - - 6457 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 79 - - 97 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 0 - - 170 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.4 - - 78.2 - - 77.2 - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.9 - - 54.6 - - 59.1 - - 59.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 77.9 - - 78.3 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 53.3 - - 57.9 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 74 - - -4 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3414 - - 4869 - - 3118 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 16 - - 88 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99823 45 079 29 090 34 076 33 067 99823 92267 30 084 26 090 27 087 26 079 92267 86442 25 084 28 090 21 091 22 079 86442 81601 21 081 25 085 16 086 19 078 81601 77422 21 078 18 087 14 083 15 073 77422 73721 16 066 16 080 11 092 11 064 73721 70371 12 043 12 058 9 068 8 053 70371 67294 10 026 8 046 8 053 6 028 67294 64448 13 011 10 024 9 022 10 006 64448 61702 13 356 13 335 12 332 16 351 61702 58840 15 341 16 327 18 336 20 340 58840 55879 24 333 25 324 31 329 30 333 55879 53067 27 319 27 317 35 320 31 338 53067 50535 22 313 26 313 31 320 38 341 50535 48270 28 325 29 313 32 323 44 329 48270 46229 38 310 31 305 35 313 48 329 46229 44375 37 300 33 294 38 302 55 327 44375 42680 34 300 37 284 38 301 50 317 42680 41117 32 298 44 278 37 308 34 326 41117 39661 33 293 47 274 39 313 59 007 39661 38292 33 287 39 275 40 307 69 003 38292 36965 30 284 38 273 40 299 61 354 36965 35610 31 286 37 277 39 293 64 352 35610 34198 33 286 35 277 37 291 67 351 34198 32734 34 286 33 274 38 297 65 350 32734 31202 32 283 32 271 34 309 62 349 31202 29587 31 278 30 274 33 320 55 346 29587 27891 29 283 29 281 35 326 48 334 27891 26118 30 290 30 285 37 326 43 327 26118 24270 30 296 31 283 35 325 40 327 24270 22349 26 298 29 284 33 321 38 321 22349 20357 19 288 25 285 30 312 39 318 20357 18286 18 273 25 290 28 297 37 315 18286 16179 18 271 23 289 28 293 31 308 16179 14150 14 275 21 287 28 292 27 300 14150 12301 13 279 18 285 26 287 32 294 12301 10657 14 279 16 287 24 286 37 287 10657 9197 14 268 13 285 24 283 36 272 9197 7904 12 253 10 271 22 272 32 256 7904 6757 12 244 9*248 20 262 28 249 6757 5741 13 242 9*237 17 255 24 250 5741 4844 13*239 9 235 15*247 20 256 4844 4050 12*235 8 235 13*241 17 266 4050 3338 11 230 8 234 12 234 16 281 3338 2708 11 227 8 234 11 232 17 297 2708 2182 10 226 8 234 10 231 19 309 2182 1778 9 225 7 234 10 229 18 314 1778 1500 9 224 7 233 8 227 15 316 1500 1331 8 223 6 233 7 226 12*317 1331 1235 6 222 5 232 5 224 6*321 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography