DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/06 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.3 - - 47.5 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 256 - - 40 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3529 - - 3424 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3445 - - 1216 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4729 - - 4624 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1118 - - 1331 - - 3183 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 395 - - 215 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 19 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 288 - - 293 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -286 - - -852 - - -2104 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5015 - - 5476 - - 3337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10885 - - -11306 - - -13786 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15614 - - 15930 - - 15018 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 66 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.3 - - 47.5 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.7 - - 27.8 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 45.4 - - 47.4 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.9 - - 27.1 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 256 - - 40 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3529 - - 3424 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97796 26 238 39 252 26 243 97796 90445 22 233 31 246 28 253 90445 84749 20 235 24 245 25 258 84749 80022 11 232 18 240 19 261 80022 75957 12 280 9 249 7 265 75957 72351 20 267 12 285 5 359 72351 69059 19 262 21 276 17 296 69059 66033 12 250 21 262 28 274 66033 63248 11 275 22 260 23 259 63248 60544 23 286 25 269 21 282 60544 57710 31 276 30 278 30 287 57710 54777 42 270 38 281 36 284 54777 51986 51 270 47 280 45 285 51986 49483 56 274 52 279 51 284 49483 47241 60 276 57 278 56 285 47241 45204 63 277 61 276 61 282 45204 43338 67 275 64 277 62 277 43338 41609 69 273 66 275 58 275 41609 40002 68 274 66 275 64 275 40002 38507 71 275 72 276 70 270 38507 37114 75 274 78 271 70 270 37114 35783 77 273 78 270 70 275 35783 34444 77 272 78 271 70 278 34444 33064 74 272 78 273 71 281 33064 31638 71 273 77 274 71 282 31638 30148 71 274 75 276 69 281 30148 28583 70 277 74 276 66 280 28583 26943 68 279 71 276 62 281 26943 25228 64 280 69 277 58 280 25228 23437 60 280 66 281 55 279 23437 21572 58 282 60 283 51 279 21572 19627 58 284 53 284 46 282 19627 17601 57 287 51 288 44 286 17601 15536 54 291 49 291 42 289 15536 13546 51 295 47 293 41 292 13546 11739 48 298 44 295 40 296 11739 10140 44 299 41 296 37 300 10140 8733 39 300 37 297 35 302 8733 7495 37 302 33 298 31 302 7495 6405 36 301 31 296 28 299 6405 5448 30*295 27*291 28 294 5448 4607 24*288 22*291 27 288 4607 3865 24 288 22 292 26 287 3865 3200 24 288 21 292 24 290 3200 2611 23 288 20 293 22 294 2611 2119 22 288 19 294 19 297 2119 1741 21 288 17 294 15 297 1741 1480 19 288 15 294 11 295 1480 1322 16 288 13 295 7*290 1322 1232 11 288 8 295 3*275 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography