DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 52.5 - - 50.8 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 115 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 682 - - 2140 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 2064 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1882 - - 3340 - - 1233 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 656 - - 802 - - 2819 - - 191 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 259 - - 10 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 333 - - 301 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3296 - - -3600 - - -4860 - - -2304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5178 - - 6940 - - 6093 - - 3536 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12757 - - -11372 - - -12447 - - -12960 ODpotential blCL - - - 14639 - - 14712 - - 13680 - - 14192 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 69 - - 59 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 52.5 - - 50.8 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.8 - - 27.0 - - 29.1 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 51.8 - - 52.3 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.8 - - 25.9 - - 28.0 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 115 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 682 - - 2140 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97141 8 293 13 277 16 285 13 296 97141 90033 4 306 8 342 11 306 9 015 90033 84540 4 173 9 324 8 346 8 011 84540 79946 4 070 6 320 9 335 8 352 79946 75966 4 035 1 024 9 299 11 331 75966 72440 5 354 2 020 5 267 12 314 72440 69238 4 318 4 305 5 314 11 325 69238 66269 7 317 3 355 8 299 14 312 66269 63504 11 313 5 009 12 302 14 319 63504 60825 13 306 12 322 16 310 16 333 60825 58027 11 296 16 306 16 307 19 327 58027 55111 10 313 14 308 14 310 21 325 55111 52321 15 319 17 326 17 326 23 324 52321 49810 18 316 20 329 20 332 20 333 49810 47564 20 331 21 346 21 344 23 350 47564 45525 26 339 27 353 25 354 28 359 45525 43656 26 335 29 347 28 359 33 004 43656 41931 24 337 28 345 32 001 37 009 41931 40335 22 347 25 343 30 007 40 014 40335 38852 22 353 21 360 30 018 39 020 38852 37466 20 353 20 014 29 023 36 024 37466 36136 16 352 18 025 27 034 36 025 36136 34791 9 356 17 032 28 043 35 024 34791 33401 5 040 15 036 30 046 32 023 33401 31968 5 049 13 034 31 043 27 027 31968 30476 4 033 11 024 28 041 24 031 30476 28911 7 330 10 012 23 039 22 032 28911 27272 11 318 10 001 20 031 20 029 27272 25557 14 312 9 339 16 020 18 025 25557 23767 16 310 10 327 12 003 14 013 23767 21904 16 312 13 327 11 351 12 358 21904 19962 16 319 15 317 11 352 12 355 19962 17932 18 321 15 315 11 351 11 355 17932 15857 16 330 13 322 9 340 9 356 15857 13851 14 341 10 331 8 331 7 354 13851 12021 13 346 8 344 8 339 6 354 12021 10394 13 334 8 343 9 343 5 354 10394 8950 13 320 10 326 9 332 5 335 8950 7672 14 311 11 316 11 318 7 322 7672 6543 13 304 12 309 13 310 9 319 6543 5549 12 304 12 305 13 305 11 314 5549 4677 10 311 11 310 12 302 11 309 4677 3912 9 322 9*321 8 302 11 306 3912 3230 9 332 6*328 6 303 8 301 3230 2629 7 342 6 331 5 304 7 299 2629 2129 5*346 5 334 5 304 6 300 2129 1746 2*337 5 335 5 304 7 296 1746 1482 2 337 4 336 4 301 7 292 1482 1323 2 337 4 336 3*302 5 282 1323 1232 2 337 3 336 2*301 3*270 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography