DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.3 - - 49.9 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 80 - - 64 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4295 - - 3872 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3426 - - 2937 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5495 - - 5072 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1607 - - 2600 - - 4673 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 303 - - 273 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 18 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 010 - - 358 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1916 - - 1298 - - -1553 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3579 - - 3774 - - 2785 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 627 - - 247 - - -2548 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4868 - - 4825 - - 3780 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 94 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.3 - - 49.9 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 38.1 - - 37.8 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 49.0 - - 49.8 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.9 - - 36.6 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 80 - - 64 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4295 - - 3872 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 78 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98645 24 104 8 092 10 062 98645 91126 18 089 7 084 15 044 91126 85354 11 065 10 067 13 066 85354 80569 8 056 13 060 11 066 80569 76435 10 076 14 053 7 060 76435 72768 11 056 12 051 6 048 72768 69431 9 031 8 033 12 021 69431 66350 9 026 6 008 12 340 66350 63487 10 006 7 000 10 326 63487 60710 11 345 6 333 12 322 60710 57808 18 334 11 347 14 323 57808 54794 23 324 20 340 20 333 54794 51922 25 321 27 330 23 331 51922 49349 24 321 33 325 26 331 49349 47047 23 325 34 323 28 331 47047 44962 24 334 34 323 32 333 44962 43059 27 340 33 324 36 336 43059 41308 30 338 33 333 40 337 41308 39686 28 339 33 341 40 339 39686 38179 29 347 39 346 43 344 38179 36778 30 350 39 349 45 349 36778 35441 28 354 35 356 47 351 35441 34100 28 006 38 008 46 352 34100 32727 27 003 44 010 43 357 32727 31320 19 001 42 012 44 360 31320 29856 16 008 39 023 43 003 29856 28317 18 359 44 028 39 006 28317 26702 21 350 45 028 34 008 26702 25012 26 336 42 031 31 008 25012 23249 27 339 35 030 31 006 23249 21413 28 354 31 026 30 003 21413 19498 25 357 28 017 31 001 19498 17501 22 351 27 007 29 002 17501 15465 19 358 26 003 25 007 15465 13506 16 014 22 008 24 013 13506 11728 20 026 22 016 27 018 11728 10154 23 023 24 019 31 017 10154 8762 21 025 23 011 32 015 8762 7529 16 031 19 004 32 017 7529 6441 15*022 19 003 28 019 6441 5481 15*020 19*001 25 020 5481 4636 15 016 19*000 22 019 4636 3888 15 011 19 359 19 017 3888 3217 14 009 19 358 16 014 3217 2623 14 006 18 357 14 012 2623 2127 14 005 18 357 13 009 2127 1746 13 004 17 357 10 006 1746 1483 12 002 15 356 8 001 1483 1323 10 002 13 356 6 357 1323 1232 7 001 9 355 3*349 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography