DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 60.9 - - 57.6 - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 34 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 2502 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2265 - - 3702 - - 1233 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2106 - - 1560 - - 4668 - - 407 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 136 - - 195 - - 12 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 002 - - 031 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1045 - - 255 - - -1079 - - -168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3310 - - 3447 - - 2312 - - 1401 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3281 - - -2978 - - -2102 - - -3083 ODpotential blCL - - - 5546 - - 6680 - - 3335 - - 4316 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 93 - - 92 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.3 - - 60.9 - - 57.6 - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 49.8 - - 51.6 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.2 - - 60.8 - - 59.2 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 48.6 - - 50.6 - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 27 - - 34 - - -6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 2502 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 74 - - 67 - - 20 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95547 79 254 81 250 82 254 82 250 95547 88644 50 254 54 255 64 255 52 258 88644 83340 36 263 42 257 44 255 42 264 83340 78921 29 276 31 253 33 260 35 268 78921 75074 23 273 21 261 26 262 26 269 75074 71641 16 265 19 273 22 262 21 264 71641 68500 15 257 21 266 21 255 27 262 68500 65589 12 243 19 252 17 242 24 247 65589 62877 10 248 16 258 9 271 13 227 62877 60222 17 256 20 257 20 269 14 265 60222 57434 25 249 28 253 28 247 28 248 57434 54541 30 238 35 235 35 234 29 243 54541 51770 38 230 38 220 34 227 35 241 51770 49269 40 225 35 225 32 230 38 233 49269 47032 39 241 43 241 40 237 42 235 47032 45011 58 238 55 239 52 234 51 232 45011 43173 68 228 63 235 69 228 61 225 43173 41487 74 218 80 226 76 221 69 215 41487 39931 76 214 85 213 76 213 74 210 39931 38484 79 213 88 208 77 206 82 209 38484 37132 81 211 90 205 80 204 90 209 37132 35832 82 209 93 203 83 202 95 207 35832 34515 84 210 93 203 86 199 96 206 34515 33144 86 210 88 203 91 199 98 204 33144 31720 85 213 85 204 91 199 98 204 31720 30230 84 214 84 205 89 199 92 205 30230 28665 83 214 85 207 90 199 87 205 28665 27024 83 215 84 210 88 202 85 206 27024 25309 79 219 79 214 83 210 83 212 25309 23523 71 220 73 214 76 217 73 220 23523 21669 64 217 69 211 69 219 57 217 21669 19742 60 214 67 209 62 218 47 211 19742 17736 58 214 63 212 54 216 40 210 17736 15691 57 216 56 214 48 212 34 213 15691 13719 58 219 52 215 44 210 32 209 13719 11927 52 223 42 219 38 214 33 204 11927 10336 40 224 28 216 27 210 33 205 10336 8925 32 221 24 206 22 197 25 210 8925 7673 26 220 23 207 18 204 16 203 7673 6563 22 215 19 217 9 218 8 199 6563 5580 19 212 14 229 1 197 2 256 5580 4714 14 214 7 244 3 048 2 349 4714 3947 9 223 2*311 5 040 4 027 3947 3261 4 256 3*355 6 035 6 042 3261 2653 3*283 4 002 7 032 10 040 2653 2146 3*281 4 004 7 031 13 037 2146 1756 0 286 4 004 7 029 13 033 1756 1488 0 356 4 004 6 029 10 028 1488 1326 0 005 3 003 5 029 6*021 1326 1233 0 056 3 003 3*031 3*010 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography