DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.6 - - 57.0 - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 59 - - 61 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3331 - - 2706 - - 766 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2544 - - 2115 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4531 - - 3906 - - 1966 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2911 - - 3391 - - 3583 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 259 - - 244 - - 60 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 291 - - 282 - - 345 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 19 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1511 - - 1169 - - 323 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3020 - - 2738 - - 1643 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 234 - - 133 - - -373 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4297 - - 3773 - - 2339 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 94 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 320 - - 510 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.6 - - 57.0 - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.6 - - 49.2 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 56.6 - - 56.9 - - 52.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.3 - - 47.9 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 59 - - 61 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3331 - - 2706 - - 766 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 89 - - 78 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98646 17 084 9 079 22 036 98646 91157 14 085 9 057 15 052 91157 85384 7 082 10 053 10 076 85384 80586 9 053 12 066 10 064 80586 76444 9 053 13 075 9 063 76444 72770 8 065 8 065 12 054 72770 69424 8 045 8 070 13 027 69424 66334 10 030 9 026 12 012 66334 63458 12 007 12 014 15 021 63458 60660 10 340 17 350 19 352 60660 57741 16 336 19 334 20 327 57741 54714 24 315 22 324 20 320 54714 51824 31 309 32 319 27 325 51824 49230 34 309 38 316 35 321 49230 46913 39 310 42 314 40 316 46913 44818 42 307 46 309 44 311 44818 42905 44 306 49 305 49 306 42905 41144 48 306 50 304 54 303 41144 39511 51 309 55 306 58 301 39511 37990 57 312 63 307 64 300 37990 36569 66 311 75 305 70 298 36569 35212 80 308 88 302 75 296 35212 33852 90 305 100 299 78 293 33852 32457 96 303 111 298 81 292 32457 31028 101 301 117 296 80 291 31028 29548 97 301 120 295 79 290 29548 28002 89 298 114 295 77 291 28002 26391 85 295 103 297 70 293 26391 24716 81 298 92 298 60 295 24716 22981 67 302 77 299 49 293 22981 21188 53 305 60 300 31 286 21188 19327 46 304 50 301 22 282 19327 17384 41 302 44 298 23 290 17384 15400 35 300 39 297 24 298 15400 13486 32 302 34 302 26 296 13486 11742 28 304 34 303 26 297 11742 10189 26 302 34 306 25 302 10189 8809 27 303 32 308 27 308 8809 7582 29 305 30 310 28 314 7582 6492 29 304 29 309 27 320 6492 5525 28 302 28 304 25 326 5525 4671 26*299 26 297 23 332 4671 3915 22*295 24*291 21 338 3915 3237 18 291 21*286 19 344 3237 2637 16 290 19 283 17 345 2637 2136 15 289 17 281 15*346 2136 1751 14 289 16 279 13*346 1751 1486 13 288 15 279 11 345 1486 1325 11 288 12 278 9 345 1325 1233 8 288 8 279 6 344 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography