DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.6 - - 72.6 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4115 - - 2496 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2255 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5315 - - 3696 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2349 - - 3911 - - 5043 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 232 - - 110 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 243 - - 261 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 23 - - -224 - - -981 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5293 - - 3921 - - 2215 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1964 - - -1959 - - -2486 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7279 - - 5655 - - 3720 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 99 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 310 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.6 - - 72.6 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 59.5 - - 62.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.1 - - 73.6 - - 69.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.5 - - 58.5 - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - 0 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4115 - - 2496 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 93 - - 97 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99555 14 081 15 072 7 042 99555 92086 14 099 8 067 13 049 92086 86292 13 100 9 084 10 044 86292 81471 10 099 6 083 9 084 81471 77315 10 098 7 115 10 114 77315 73635 6 122 10 134 11 138 73635 70281 11 157 8 171 7 151 70281 67179 13 169 11 182 7 183 67179 64298 16 209 17 224 12 235 64298 61519 24 203 20 219 25 235 61519 58634 23 199 25 228 25 225 58634 55644 27 233 34 237 31 233 55644 52812 45 230 45 243 41 241 52812 50276 53 232 53 234 43 234 50276 48002 57 234 51 237 62 245 48002 45949 69 240 75 242 78 239 45949 44084 96 231 94 228 82 241 44084 42375 101 223 86 223 94 244 42375 40796 89 225 86 235 99 242 40796 39321 89 229 98 238 99 240 39321 37932 94 226 96 239 99 239 37932 36592 86 222 91 240 99 235 36592 35236 84 222 85 237 90 236 35236 33832 87 223 82 232 84 242 33832 32378 88 225 79 232 81 247 32378 30857 87 225 73 237 76 245 30857 29259 87 226 69 242 74 240 29259 27584 85 228 67 245 71 241 27584 25832 79 231 61 247 63 247 25832 24008 66 230 54 246 56 250 24008 22110 52 227 49 243 53 251 22110 20134 44 231 46 242 52 255 20134 18079 41 238 44 244 48 254 18079 15988 36 243 42 245 43 249 15988 13979 34 244 35 244 40 248 13979 12159 30 241 27 248 34 250 12159 10545 21 232 25 252 30 251 10545 9114 16 231 26 250 24 254 9114 7839 13 237 25 247 23 256 7839 6706 11 236 21 247 20 255 6706 5703 10*237 18 248 18 256 5703 4815 9*239 16 247 16 258 4815 4029 9 241 14*246 15 258 4029 3324 9 243 13*244 14 259 3324 2699 9 246 12 244 13 261 2699 2177 9 248 11 243 11 264 2177 1775 8 249 10 243 10 266 1775 1498 8 250 9 242 8 267 1498 1330 7 251 7 241 6 265 1330 1234 5 251 4 239 3*261 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography