DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.6 - - 49.6 - - 51.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - -9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 645 - - 183 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1845 - - 1383 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 832 - - 1028 - - 669 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 118 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 143 - - 128 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 17 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 400 - - 151 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1445 - - 1232 - - 1233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -117 - - -731 - - -8313 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1962 - - 2114 - - 9546 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 90 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.6 - - 49.6 - - 51.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 44.4 - - 48.7 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.6 - - 50.2 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 44.1 - - 48.6 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - -9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 645 - - 183 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96808 62 245 53 251 47 246 96808 89777 36 258 39 257 29 259 89777 84323 22 247 30 269 28 293 84323 79803 12 284 17 254 19 293 79803 75903 25 320 12 290 12 312 75903 72439 24 313 19 298 18 300 72439 69298 19 290 22 291 21 285 69298 66405 19 303 20 303 20 279 66405 63709 26 307 20 292 23 282 63709 61090 30 300 28 291 30 292 61090 58361 43 300 39 292 39 291 58361 55527 58 294 49 294 46 294 55527 52808 61 289 64 291 60 291 52808 50345 56 291 69 287 66 282 50345 48124 59 296 64 287 62 279 48124 46099 63 295 58 291 59 284 46099 44233 62 290 59 290 65 291 44233 42496 57 289 63 287 75 293 42496 40868 55 290 62 286 76 292 40868 39336 55 286 60 286 71 287 39336 37901 56 283 59 285 65 279 37901 36529 56 281 59 284 59 274 36529 35148 57 279 57 282 57 272 35148 33720 62 274 53 273 56 273 33720 32244 58 263 56 258 56 273 32244 30706 55 262 64 243 56 269 30706 29097 53 263 62 244 54 266 29097 27421 51 262 52 252 50 261 27421 25678 50 265 44 250 47 253 25678 23868 48 268 40 251 41 252 23868 21992 48 273 36 261 33 252 21992 20043 50 277 37 273 32 255 20043 18014 55 276 51 271 41 266 18014 15948 59 269 61 274 50 276 15948 13956 56 265 65 270 52 279 13956 12139 51 264 64 264 49 280 12139 10520 44 262 61 261 47 279 10520 9077 38 257 59 255 45 275 9077 7790 34 249 55 246 43 267 7790 6647 33 241 52 234 42 261 6647 5636 33 232 50 221 41 254 5636 4746 32 216 45 207 42 241 4746 3962 33 190 39 189 41 227 3962 3264 36 164 36 170 35 214 3264 2651 36 150 32 153 26 199 2651 2142 33*146 27 142 20 179 2142 1753 29*144 22 136 15 159 1753 1486 24 143 17*132 11 142 1486 1325 20 142 14*130 8*132 1325 1233 12 141 8 126 4*122 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography