DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/01 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.3 - - 83.8 - - 78.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 65 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2859 - - 2272 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2449 - - 1219 - - 1219 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4059 - - 3472 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1473 - - 2678 - - 2442 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 269 - - 149 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 11 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 224 - - 234 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1029 - - 795 - - -97 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3031 - - 2677 - - 1332 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1397 - - -857 - - -1413 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5456 - - 4329 - - 2648 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 90 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2720 - - 3770 - - 3470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.3 - - 83.8 - - 78.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.6 - - 75.5 - - 76.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.0 - - 84.3 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 72.2 - - 74.4 - - 75.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 65 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2859 - - 2272 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 48 - - 61 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99609 35 082 27 066 25 072 99609 92086 27 096 20 074 22 075 92086 86282 23 095 18 084 18 071 86282 81439 16 089 21 085 17 063 81439 77269 17 085 18 080 16 076 77269 73589 13 067 12 091 15 089 73589 70255 9 089 8 081 12 072 70255 67208 6 088 8 043 8 082 67208 64400 3 064 8 358 5 032 64400 61696 8 341 8 320 8 315 61696 58895 10 303 13 294 9 307 58895 56012 23 314 20 309 13 312 56012 53299 30 296 29 302 26 306 53299 50886 33 291 33 286 34 297 50886 48724 36 287 39 287 38 300 48724 46753 36 282 43 286 43 292 46753 44942 37 283 44 288 42 285 44942 43262 41 291 41 296 39 282 43262 41690 47 296 34 313 34 273 41690 40208 51 294 33 315 30 269 40208 38808 53 290 34 322 26 284 38808 37451 53 286 33 327 21 276 37451 36067 51 281 26 321 27 272 36067 34627 47 280 34 292 29 280 34627 33134 40 288 40 281 31 280 33134 31574 34 293 35 279 31 280 31574 29934 33 300 33 279 30 278 29934 28215 32 303 30 277 29 274 28215 26421 30 299 28 279 33 276 26421 24551 24 281 25 281 33 282 24551 22609 20 288 24 280 32 287 22609 20591 19 297 26 281 31 285 20591 18499 19 296 27 284 30 281 18499 16385 21 297 29 289 26 283 16385 14355 20 300 28 285 24 283 14355 12501 17 302 23 280 23 281 12501 10843 17 295 19 283 23 281 10843 9364 17 273 18 290 22 279 9364 8047 17 251 20 285 23 276 8047 6876 15 244 22 273 24 273 6876 5838 13 251 21 265 22 271 5838 4921 11 250 20 260 20 270 4921 4110 9*239 17*253 19 268 4110 3383 7*225 14*243 18 267 3383 2740 7 224 12 235 17 267 2740 2203 6 224 11 233 13 258 2203 1790 6 223 10 231 10 252 1790 1506 5 222 9 230 7 247 1506 1334 5 222 8 229 4 237 1334 1235 4 223 5 227 1*207 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography