DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.5 - - 46.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2470 - - 2317 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2435 - - 1216 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3670 - - 3517 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 722 - - 897 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 109 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 334 - - 314 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -244 - - -51 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3915 - - 3568 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12100 - - -12776 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15770 - - 16293 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 87 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.5 - - 46.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.9 - - 35.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.7 - - 47.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 33.7 - - 34.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 143 - - 4 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2470 - - 2317 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 9 - - 47 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97113 33 268 28 258 97113 90036 23 247 26 270 90036 84557 10 247 21 261 84557 79978 6 258 17 258 79978 76011 4 308 9 253 76011 72488 10 295 7 285 72488 69278 14 265 12 285 69278 66321 13 284 13 288 66321 63580 22 280 21 281 63580 60935 26 275 29 279 60935 58187 36 276 42 277 58187 55328 47 273 48 269 55328 52589 52 288 58 278 52589 50130 81 282 81 272 50130 47949 99 278 105 275 47949 45979 107 273 111 269 45979 44162 98 274 94 265 44162 42466 105 292 97 287 42466 40881 121 294 118 288 40881 39395 132 291 122 286 39395 37995 132 288 124 285 37995 36637 128 285 129 285 36637 35249 123 281 130 289 35249 33806 123 280 117 289 33806 32317 119 284 106 281 32317 30769 100 285 100 275 30769 29145 91 279 92 272 29145 27445 96 277 86 275 27445 25671 84 282 81 279 25671 23831 69 282 65 281 23831 21928 61 280 57 279 21928 19950 54 282 53 279 19950 17885 51 281 51 279 17885 15780 49 278 49 281 15780 13757 46 279 46 279 13757 11924 43 286 41 279 11924 10299 38 292 33 284 10299 8859 32 295 25 285 8859 7585 25 300 18 284 7585 6465 20 314 12 297 6465 5484 18 331 8 319 5484 4628 14 339 5 308 4628 3879 9*334 6*311 3879 3210 8*334 6*314 3210 2618 8 334 6 314 2618 2124 8 334 6 314 2124 1744 8 334 6 314 1744 1482 7 334 5 314 1482 1323 6 333 5 313 1323 1232 5 334 4 313 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography