DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 62.9 - - 58.7 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 19 - - -11 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 165 - - 1162 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1365 - - 2362 - - 1233 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 925 - - 1445 - - 1531 - - 312 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 43 - - 131 - - 11 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 11 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 245 - - 206 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3233 - - -4078 - - -3704 - - -2292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4599 - - 6440 - - 4937 - - 3525 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7945 - - -8244 - - -8118 - - -8473 ODpotential blCL - - - 9310 - - 10606 - - 9351 - - 9706 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 95 - - 87 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.7 - - 62.9 - - 58.7 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 39.4 - - 41.9 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 63.1 - - 61.6 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.2 - - 38.2 - - 40.8 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 19 - - -11 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 165 - - 1162 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 81 - - 47 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95510 84 250 95 244 94 246 95 250 95510 88698 64 250 64 255 67 252 60 259 88698 83408 49 247 47 258 46 255 50 265 83408 78974 42 265 38 262 45 269 46 276 78974 75134 39 275 35 277 41 280 38 280 75134 71715 34 281 32 284 35 288 30 288 71715 68590 28 284 27 284 26 292 27 295 68590 65682 25 290 23 279 22 293 30 298 65682 62955 28 295 24 286 26 296 31 300 62955 60296 29 296 28 293 31 294 30 302 60296 57514 25 297 28 289 27 286 23 299 57514 54617 19 300 16 281 17 272 25 300 54617 51857 21 303 12 300 19 288 29 291 51857 49384 29 291 29 299 27 291 29 293 49384 47182 36 286 38 295 32 295 39 296 47182 45203 41 285 40 292 39 295 42 304 45203 43415 43 280 47 292 48 304 62 326 43415 41785 44 276 51 294 63 315 102 329 41785 40276 47 271 54 300 76 317 115 322 40276 38853 52 270 56 304 74 315 112 320 38853 37500 54 270 59 311 68 316 107 325 37500 36186 56 269 60 315 71 319 96 329 36186 34854 57 266 58 313 67 316 70 320 34854 33475 56 264 52 305 61 311 60 308 33475 32045 53 265 48 297 53 305 58 307 32045 30545 48 269 45 293 48 300 57 309 30545 28966 46 272 43 293 45 297 48 310 28966 27312 48 273 43 287 41 292 39 286 27312 25584 50 274 43 275 39 289 38 279 25584 23782 48 275 41 269 38 284 36 279 23782 21909 38 276 41 268 35 278 37 276 21909 19956 33 276 39 274 36 268 35 271 19956 17923 32 277 36 277 35 270 33 265 17923 15861 32 279 35 276 32 272 31 264 15861 13879 29 282 34 275 31 271 28 269 13879 12073 27 284 33 275 31 273 26 270 12073 10465 25 282 32 275 30 273 25 271 10465 9036 25 280 31 275 30 273 25 272 9036 7763 26 281 31 275 30 274 25 273 7763 6632 28 281 30 274 29 276 24 274 6632 5631 29 279 28 273 28 277 24 274 5631 4750 28 277 27 270 27 275 23 271 4750 3972 26 276 25 266 25 270 23 267 3972 3276 23 271 22 259 22 262 22 260 3276 2661 21 264 19*252 20 251 23 250 2661 2148 19 251 14*246 17 240 24 236 2148 1756 14 242 13 246 13 235 20 228 1756 1488 10*237 11 245 10 232 12 220 1488 1325 8*234 9 245 6 225 8*204 1325 1233 4 229 6 245 3*206 4*179 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography