DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 73.1 - - 75.0 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 129 - - 25 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 845 - - 2729 - - 5046 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 2587 - - 2581 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2045 - - 3929 - - 6246 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 883 - - 2541 - - 2258 - - 4491 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 170 - - 298 - - 234 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 249 - - 271 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -90 - - 793 - - 1511 - - -1818 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2135 - - 3136 - - 4736 - - 3052 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2195 - - -58 - - -375 - - -3946 ODpotential blCL - - - 4240 - - 3987 - - 6621 - - 5180 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 86 - - 73 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 630 - - 110 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 73.1 - - 75.0 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.3 - - 63.2 - - 58.3 - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.2 - - 72.4 - - 75.6 - - 71.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.9 - - 62.2 - - 57.3 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 129 - - 25 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 845 - - 2729 - - 5046 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 43 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99102 8 147 12 170 5 286 4 142 99102 91648 4 145 14 178 6 204 6 255 91648 85890 1 121 9 184 10 199 4 260 85890 81091 5 278 3 157 8 203 6 288 81091 76957 7 277 1 098 2 259 6 257 76957 73312 4 266 4 338 5 309 4 223 73312 70016 5 347 4 343 5 290 4 328 70016 66995 6 335 6 344 5 305 8 351 66995 64196 9 336 7 307 9 301 11 322 64196 61479 12 330 6 288 12 293 14 301 61479 58641 14 307 13 306 18 300 24 286 58641 55701 26 304 26 293 25 302 28 284 55701 52903 36 281 35 288 39 295 35 294 52903 50385 35 277 45 287 47 296 43 297 50385 48126 36 280 49 283 54 292 53 295 48126 46075 37 281 50 279 59 289 63 289 46075 44201 43 279 49 279 59 286 62 282 44201 42480 47 275 47 282 56 285 60 286 42480 40891 47 269 46 285 53 285 71 291 40891 39412 44 263 45 286 47 285 83 291 39412 38024 42 261 42 287 44 279 90 289 38024 36685 38 262 36 290 41 277 98 287 36685 35325 34 262 33 292 39 281 101 288 35325 33912 30 257 32 294 37 282 93 289 33912 32451 31 256 33 293 36 283 64 287 32451 30928 33 258 32 287 35 284 48 278 30928 29330 32 260 31 280 36 286 46 274 29330 27655 30 263 29 275 36 286 46 272 27655 25902 28 266 28 276 38 285 45 273 25902 24073 29 269 29 279 39 285 42 274 24073 22173 31 270 31 280 39 282 39 274 22173 20195 33 271 31 279 39 280 37 276 20195 18136 31 268 33 274 38 276 35 278 18136 16040 31 263 35 266 36 273 34 280 16040 14025 30 260 31 257 33 271 32 282 14025 12195 27 260 28 251 29 272 31 282 12195 10572 24 261 27 256 28 273 30 280 10572 9132 22 262 26 264 25 270 29 276 9132 7854 20 264 24 270 24 268 25 273 7854 6719 18 265 23 273 23*269 22 270 6719 5713 17 266 21 273 21*269 21 270 5713 4823 16 264 19 273 19 270 20 272 4823 4036 16 259 17*270 17 270 20 275 4036 3329 15 247 13*264 17 271 19 277 3329 2703 13 222 10 253 16 272 18 278 2703 2179 11*191 8 245 15 272 17 279 2179 1776 10*177 7 239 14 272 15 278 1776 1499 9 173 6 236 13 272 11 275 1499 1331 8 171 5 234 11 273 8 271 1331 1234 5 170 4 232 7 272 4*257 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography