DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.2 - - 70.1 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 94 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2177 - - 223 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1990 - - 1218 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3377 - - 1423 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1570 - - 3593 - - 2349 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 249 - - 37 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 246 - - 302 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -104 - - -1332 - - -648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3481 - - 2755 - - 1883 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1560 - - -2309 - - -1767 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4937 - - 3732 - - 3001 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.2 - - 70.1 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.2 - - 62.3 - - 62.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.7 - - 71.1 - - 67.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.3 - - 61.8 - - 61.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 94 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2177 - - 223 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 81 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99153 15 084 13 076 13 051 99153 91790 16 081 10 080 15 039 91790 86071 10 079 6 052 11 053 86071 81308 4 081 6 013 4 014 81308 77203 4 177 2 279 7 317 77203 73565 8 231 9 266 8 286 73565 70257 7 251 9 244 10 272 70257 67205 7 248 11 240 13 261 67205 64387 13 224 12 242 17 240 64387 61668 21 251 20 243 21 248 61668 58849 29 251 26 258 26 263 58849 55972 35 245 41 256 36 259 55972 53281 36 242 40 249 42 257 53281 50889 41 247 44 259 47 264 50889 48744 44 253 55 257 57 266 48744 46789 47 252 56 249 59 255 46789 44977 49 271 53 271 50 264 44977 43292 70 282 70 280 66 280 43292 41722 80 277 73 272 72 280 41722 40251 72 266 71 265 70 274 40251 38860 70 257 71 264 67 269 38860 37506 76 257 72 265 65 265 37506 36120 80 267 72 267 64 260 36120 34675 81 277 73 270 63 257 34675 33175 78 284 71 278 64 257 33175 31605 59 281 63 284 66 266 31605 29955 49 275 50 277 59 274 29955 28231 46 275 44 268 54 275 28231 26429 39 261 42 262 47 270 26429 24549 38 257 41 258 43 270 24549 22593 35 254 41 261 41 274 22593 20557 36 257 43 267 40 275 20557 18436 40 265 45 272 39 279 18436 16278 39 274 43 281 34 281 16278 14205 32 275 34 280 30 273 14205 12329 28 271 28 269 30 265 12329 10669 25 267 28 266 30 267 10669 9198 24 266 26 269 27 271 9198 7896 25 272 23 271 20 264 7896 6744 24 277 20 272 16 258 6744 5722 21 276 15 268 14 252 5722 4821 17 267 10 261 11 252 4821 4027 12*259 7 267 8 267 4027 3317 7*250 7 281 7 293 3317 2692 5 246 8 294 7 313 2692 2171 5 246 8 299 7 323 2171 1772 4 245 8 301 7 324 1772 1497 4 246 8*301 6 323 1497 1329 3 245 6*302 4*323 1329 1234 3 245 4 301 2*327 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography