DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 75.7 - - 70.8 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 32 - - 10 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2749 - - 7187 - - 4262 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2433 - - 5205 - - 1218 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3949 - - 8387 - - 5462 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3836 - - 3572 - - 4140 - - 4940 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 273 - - 326 - - 217 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 33 - - 24 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 275 - - 294 - - 316 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 27 - - 22 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 11 - - 14 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 259 - - 2171 - - 722 - - -1849 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3690 - - 6216 - - 4740 - - 3083 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1153 - - -142 - - -1041 - - -3303 ODpotential blCL - - - 5102 - - 8529 - - 6503 - - 4537 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 76 - - 84 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 400 - - 280 - - 370 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.2 - - 75.7 - - 70.8 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.0 - - 52.5 - - 54.1 - - 54.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 75.9 - - 71.4 - - 65.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 51.2 - - 52.8 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 32 - - 10 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2749 - - 7187 - - 4262 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 3 - - 36 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99733 33 078 32 078 35 078 30 084 99733 92202 30 087 29 083 29 079 32 072 92202 86401 24 090 23 086 22 072 26 061 86401 81575 21 091 20 097 15 086 16 062 81575 77408 22 087 21 090 14 099 12 067 77408 73702 17 067 14 070 15 092 7 117 73702 70333 8 019 10 083 10 082 7 119 70333 67231 6 030 2 355 7 019 10 037 67231 64350 11 353 1 293 7 314 9 355 64350 61568 16 319 12 359 1 140 11 319 61568 58662 22 303 24 306 14 293 17 276 58662 55631 27 279 32 297 31 300 27 289 55631 52749 33 282 48 284 47 291 42 290 52749 50181 48 288 51 281 54 285 53 285 50181 47890 65 289 57 284 61 282 56 285 47890 45815 81 290 68 287 64 285 64 290 45815 43914 94 287 80 288 75 290 73 290 43914 42157 96 284 93 284 89 289 80 289 42157 40529 97 284 104 281 101 286 87 287 40529 39014 102 285 111 280 109 283 89 285 39014 37596 107 285 115 280 111 282 85 286 37596 36233 108 285 116 281 110 282 85 290 36233 34858 108 285 116 281 109 281 88 293 34858 33444 108 285 115 280 109 281 83 292 33444 31997 107 284 115 281 108 281 67 292 31997 30495 102 284 112 282 104 280 62 298 30495 28921 96 281 105 282 100 281 65 299 28921 27271 88 279 99 280 97 281 66 297 27271 25543 82 278 94 278 93 281 62 299 25543 23739 78 276 91 277 89 281 59 305 23739 21859 73 273 87 277 84 280 58 309 21859 19903 69 270 81 279 78 280 54 308 19903 17868 66 269 77 279 71 281 48 305 17868 15797 64 272 71 281 64 284 42 299 15797 13809 58 278 60 285 57 284 38 293 13809 12010 53 281 48 285 51 281 37 290 12010 10419 51 279 44 283 48 282 39 289 10419 9009 46 275 42*281 46 285 40 286 9009 7755 40 274 40*279 43 286 38 285 7755 6638 33 279 38 277 40 288 36 287 6638 5645 29 285 36 276 36*290 33 293 5645 4768 27 284 34 275 32*292 31 302 4768 3992 25*279 33 274 28 294 28 311 3992 3296 21*274 32 273 26 294 27 313 3296 2680 16 267 31 273 25 295 26 315 2680 2164 14 263 29 272 23 295 23 316 2164 1768 13 262 27 272 21 295 20 316 1768 1495 12 261 24 272 18 295 16 316 1495 1329 10 261 20 271 15 295 13*316 1329 1234 7 259 13 271 10 294 6*316 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography