DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.2 - - 64.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2807 - - 2345 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2720 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4007 - - 3545 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 746 - - 1034 - - 2370 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 316 - - 126 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 165 - - 164 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1769 - - -1321 - - -1764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5777 - - 4866 - - 2999 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12725 - - -11035 - - -10314 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16732 - - 14580 - - 11548 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.2 - - 64.0 - - 59.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.6 - - 47.3 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 63.4 - - 64.6 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.4 - - 46.2 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 151 - - 3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2807 - - 2345 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 81 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99105 15 130 9 068 16 077 99105 91753 17 117 12 104 10 060 91753 86056 10 096 9 137 3 095 86056 81301 8 159 8 166 5 101 81301 77182 9 151 7 196 4 144 77182 73533 7 161 9 214 8 206 73533 70233 5 217 7 240 7 206 70233 67199 10 229 10 246 6 213 67199 64390 8 223 14 212 12 242 64390 61689 10 243 15 197 15 225 61689 58889 19 253 11 235 9 245 58889 56006 18 234 16 244 18 254 56006 53278 8 263 13 258 16 258 53278 50855 31 289 41 278 31 271 50855 48720 34 266 33 258 37 242 48720 46774 13 226 29 240 23 233 46774 44970 26 342 22 292 25 294 44970 43294 58 324 46 305 44 297 43294 41727 65 315 57 305 51 295 41727 40251 63 312 57 302 50 295 40251 38850 60 307 52 303 41 294 38850 37489 54 306 50 306 37 291 37489 36099 49 305 47 299 39 290 36099 34650 45 306 41 292 41 289 34650 33144 38 306 34 284 36 284 33144 31569 34 297 31 279 32 270 31569 29914 30 299 32 277 29 259 29914 28178 27 308 33 274 27 258 28178 26363 24 308 30 268 27 272 26363 24471 26 292 26 270 35 278 24471 22506 27 279 22 279 39 274 22506 20461 25 270 21 273 38 273 20461 18337 20 262 28 271 34 274 18337 16183 15 250 25 275 29 278 16183 14118 15 245 22 260 26 278 14118 12243 16 244 23 257 25 273 12243 10577 15 242 22 262 24 267 10577 9102 13 239 19 257 20 257 9102 7800 12 234 15 241 16 247 7800 6651 10 224 14 219 18 236 6651 5641 9 206 15 199 21 224 5641 4756 9*186 17 183 23 211 4756 3979 9*172 17*173 21 200 3979 3283 10 168 16*168 20 194 3283 2669 10 165 16 166 18 190 2669 2156 9 164 15 164 16 184 2156 1762 9 162 14 162 13 178 1762 1491 8 160 13 161 9 174 1491 1327 7 160 11 160 7*169 1327 1234 6 159 7 158 3*160 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography