DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.1 - - 69.8 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 133 - - 15 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5543 - - 5194 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4681 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6743 - - 6394 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1121 - - 1920 - - 2500 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 386 - - 211 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 326 - - 318 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 843 - - 1021 - - -2221 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5900 - - 5374 - - 3455 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4187 - - -397 - - -4378 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10930 - - 6791 - - 5612 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 84 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.1 - - 69.8 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.6 - - 50.7 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 70.4 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.5 - - 49.6 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 133 - - 15 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5543 - - 5194 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 34 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99282 10 122 11 171 3 164 99282 91809 17 190 9 190 5 224 91809 86000 16 194 7 143 13 218 86000 81139 16 201 6 247 11 184 81139 76943 12 196 15 229 4 196 76943 73268 11 196 13 221 8 305 73268 69965 3 218 6 216 11 294 69965 66928 7 283 5 288 11 309 66928 64101 7 291 8 280 15 296 64101 61357 9 289 16 279 21 302 61357 58503 13 288 18 276 19 295 58503 55539 19 302 18 278 19 295 55539 52707 26 311 22 309 27 301 52707 50166 31 314 33 314 33 298 50166 47898 34 306 36 307 29 301 47898 45843 33 303 32 307 30 310 45843 43963 30 310 35 316 44 308 43963 42238 28 326 48 314 47 299 42238 40655 31 343 46 315 41 303 40655 39203 47 347 40 320 57 317 39203 37852 54 345 58 336 65 315 37852 36542 53 352 66 335 63 312 36542 35201 53 354 59 331 58 309 35201 33805 52 350 51 330 56 316 33805 32357 52 344 48 338 56 325 32357 30842 51 343 45 344 43 325 30842 29250 46 344 43 341 37 332 29250 27581 41 343 42 342 39 335 27581 25831 37 341 33 346 37 329 25831 24004 34 340 31 341 36 329 24004 22107 31 339 29 336 31 329 22107 20132 30 341 28 333 27 327 20132 18075 27 341 26 331 25 327 18075 15981 25 341 24 326 22 323 15981 13966 25 344 23 323 21 321 13966 12135 25 343 21 324 21 322 12135 10509 24 341 21 325 20 321 10509 9069 25 339 21 323 19 317 9069 7797 25*335 20 323 17 314 7797 6670 21*329 20*322 17 314 6670 5672 21 328 19*320 18 311 5672 4790 20 327 18 319 20 308 4790 4008 19 325 17 318 21 307 4008 3307 19 324 16 318 22 306 3307 2686 18 324 15 317 21 306 2686 2168 17 323 15 318 20 305 2168 1770 16 323 14 317 16 303 1770 1495 15 323 12 317 12 297 1495 1329 13 323 10 317 9*291 1329 1234 9 322 7 316 4*277 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography