DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 42.2 - - 41.3 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 19 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 500 - - 1585 - - 1421 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1700 - - 2785 - - 2621 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1379 - - 2120 - - 2241 - - 3097 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 133 - - 56 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 19 - - 16 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 282 - - 279 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 468 - - 829 - - 445 - - -515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1232 - - 1956 - - 2176 - - 1747 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 180 - - 253 - - -269 - - -1469 ODpotential blCL - - - 1520 - - 2532 - - 2890 - - 2701 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.8 - - 42.2 - - 41.3 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.8 - - 37.8 - - 36.0 - - 36.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 42.3 - - 42.0 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 37.3 - - 35.7 - - 36.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 19 - - -8 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 500 - - 1585 - - 1421 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95486 79 247 87 253 82 250 85 251 95486 88524 50 250 54 257 52 261 49 258 88524 83198 28 253 35 245 40 259 39 269 83198 78773 21 265 24 242 32 249 30 269 78773 74921 22 269 19 250 21 243 24 258 74921 71474 20 253 18 251 19 247 22 258 71474 68322 16 233 21 240 23 238 20 256 68322 65392 14 227 20 223 19 235 18 258 65392 62641 14 234 16 229 20 248 17 256 62641 59951 23 248 22 245 24 250 18 257 59951 57128 29 235 24 243 25 240 18 250 57128 54185 29 231 22 240 21 233 21 246 54185 51369 29 236 20 243 20 237 26 250 51369 48836 32 239 26 246 26 245 32 253 48836 46565 32 233 30 243 29 246 32 245 46565 44501 27 228 28 240 27 247 29 241 44501 42608 23 227 26 240 25 249 27 242 42608 40859 18 229 25 248 28 249 27 244 40859 39232 16 251 28 255 30 245 28 244 39232 37717 21 264 28 251 28 245 29 238 37717 36306 23 255 24 257 28 252 32 232 36306 34965 17 267 22 276 30 263 31 230 34965 33623 20 290 24 290 33 270 31 233 33623 32243 20 292 29 292 39 280 30 230 32243 30830 24 302 35 290 49 279 28 221 30830 29372 28 311 39 291 53 278 27 213 29372 27852 33 316 43 294 55 278 16 217 27852 26264 39 319 46 295 52 281 17 229 26264 24605 43 318 47 296 45 281 23 235 24605 22875 40 318 45 297 41 284 26 236 22875 21077 31 308 42 298 37 291 26 235 21077 19205 28 305 39 300 30 294 25 236 19205 17254 28 304 35 300 30 287 25 239 17254 15266 30 312 32 298 31 284 27 246 15266 13349 32 315 31 299 31 283 28 254 13349 11607 31 316 32 301 32 283 29 260 11607 10058 28 315 32 302 33 284 29 265 10058 8683 30 305 32 302 34 287 30 269 8683 7460 34 295 33 296 34 290 32 272 7460 6375 35 288 34 289 33 286 34 274 6375 5419 33 286 33 284 32 279 34 273 5419 4583 32 287 31 283 29 276 32 272 4583 3846 30 286 30 283 27 277 28 271 3846 3187 28 284 28*282 25*278 24 270 3187 2602 25 281 25*282 21*279 20 269 2602 2114 20 277 22 282 19 279 17 269 2114 1738 16*276 20 282 16 280 13 269 1738 1479 13*275 17 282 13 280 9 269 1479 1322 11 275 14 282 11 280 6*265 1322 1232 7 274 9 282 6 280 2*246 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography