DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.3 - - 73.9 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5678 - - 4965 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4406 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6878 - - 6165 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1879 - - 3174 - - 6666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 331 - - 210 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 289 - - 274 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2293 - - 1367 - - -1145 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4585 - - 4798 - - 2380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 483 - - -924 - - -2883 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6395 - - 7089 - - 4117 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 73 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 190 - - 320 - - 1800 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.3 - - 73.9 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.2 - - 57.0 - - 64.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.1 - - 74.5 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.9 - - 55.6 - - 62.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5678 - - 4965 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99159 29 071 22 068 23 076 99159 91641 26 088 19 081 16 069 91641 85847 23 088 17 091 15 065 85847 81043 17 079 14 090 15 060 81043 76901 12 068 13 092 12 050 76901 73231 9 062 13 078 10 076 73231 69908 8 084 10 067 9 082 69908 66863 7 098 5 061 6 068 66863 64045 6 115 2 076 4 015 64045 61309 5 236 4 287 4 284 61309 58450 12 210 14 234 13 246 58450 55494 14 193 18 221 21 223 55494 52680 21 230 18 242 17 239 52680 50136 35 231 26 251 22 259 50136 47843 45 231 37 242 31 249 47843 45761 53 227 47 246 45 252 45761 43862 58 225 60 239 54 253 43862 42116 63 224 70 227 61 248 42116 40497 66 218 68 220 65 244 40497 38988 65 215 63 220 62 245 38988 37578 64 220 60 225 57 247 37578 36229 66 224 57 235 55 245 36229 34874 63 228 62 239 58 242 34874 33482 58 232 64 240 64 238 33482 32051 56 237 64 241 71 230 32051 30561 54 240 63 243 70 226 30561 28995 53 242 63 245 69 230 28995 27352 52 243 61 249 65 236 27352 25634 53 242 56 251 59 243 25634 23842 54 242 51 249 54 245 23842 21976 50 243 48 248 48 244 21976 20033 42 242 48 249 45 244 20033 18011 37 242 45 244 45 244 18011 15951 35 251 38 243 44 244 15951 13964 35 262 33 253 43 248 13964 12155 31 266 33 273 41 260 12155 10547 27 270 31 282 34 269 10547 9119 25 277 25 281 24 269 9119 7849 24*282 21 277 19 264 7849 6719 24*283 18*274 18 261 6719 5715 22 286 16*273 17 259 5715 4827 19 288 13 273 16 260 4827 4039 17 290 12 274 16 260 4039 3332 15 292 11 275 15 261 3332 2705 14 292 10 275 13 260 2705 2180 14 292 9 275 11 257 2180 1778 13 293 9 276 9 251 1778 1500 12 293 8 276 6 237 1500 1331 10 293 7 276 4 219 1331 1234 7 293 5 275 3*200 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography