DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 68.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 80 - - -14 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5814 - - 2737 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4684 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7014 - - 3937 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3143 - - 5230 - - 5304 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 358 - - 151 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 184 - - 154 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2285 - - 34 - - -851 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4729 - - 3903 - - 2085 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 555 - - -1703 - - -2687 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6459 - - 5640 - - 3921 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 880 - - 760 - - 880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 68.6 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.0 - - 55.5 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.4 - - 69.4 - - 66.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.7 - - 54.2 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 80 - - -14 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5814 - - 2737 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 27 - - 85 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99181 22 079 24 064 21 060 99181 91634 23 087 16 084 21 056 91634 85811 20 079 20 092 12 064 85811 80997 12 075 18 082 11 097 80997 76864 9 081 13 075 15 085 76864 73206 7 090 8 115 8 079 73206 69877 3 102 6 107 5 118 69877 66804 4 100 2 212 6 235 66804 63949 3 198 6 238 6 235 63949 61180 11 246 11 253 10 254 61180 58292 16 222 15 242 15 245 58292 55296 16 234 16 237 17 255 55296 52430 25 239 24 249 22 261 52430 49848 26 229 25 246 29 260 49848 47540 21 241 25 250 39 258 47540 45455 29 257 31 253 43 251 45455 43549 42 250 39 249 43 250 43549 41793 44 241 40 246 43 253 41793 40171 38 237 41 248 49 265 40171 38670 34 247 46 252 61 269 38670 37287 41 253 47 253 73 276 37287 35975 48 249 47 258 85 284 35975 34641 52 250 48 262 103 278 34641 33250 56 253 50 263 103 277 33250 31811 56 254 54 263 96 283 31811 30307 49 250 56 263 83 285 30307 28730 39 243 57 263 75 283 28730 27076 34 244 55 262 72 282 27076 25353 32 242 53 262 58 278 25353 23569 29 234 52 260 48 276 23569 21719 23 237 49 257 40 272 21719 19796 21 243 39 255 38 258 19796 17795 21 238 30 250 42 240 17795 15755 23 238 26 242 34 242 15755 13793 20 241 24 238 22 250 13793 12012 15 237 25 236 17 245 12012 10430 12 227 23 229 16 241 10430 9025 12 214 21 217 19 231 9025 7772 13*205 19 202 22 215 7772 6655 12*200 17 187 22 200 6655 5663 12 190 16 175 20 187 5663 4785 11 184 15 163 19 180 4785 4006 11 182 14*158 18 173 4006 3307 11 180 14*156 18 167 3307 2687 10 178 13 155 18 161 2687 2169 10 177 12 154 16 156 2169 1770 9 175 11 153 14 152 1770 1496 9 175 10 152 11 147 1496 1329 8 174 8 152 8*144 1329 1234 6 174 6 151 4*141 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography