DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.4 - - 60.5 - - 59.4 - - 52.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 74 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 430 - - 1265 - - 1125 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1630 - - 2465 - - 2325 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1147 - - 1560 - - 2976 - - 2128 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 106 - - 200 - - 102 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 221 - - 238 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2211 - - -2033 - - -901 - - -133 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3841 - - 4498 - - 3226 - - 1366 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6966 - - -5597 - - -2653 - - -1690 ODpotential blCL - - - 8596 - - 8062 - - 4978 - - 2923 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 69 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.4 - - 60.5 - - 59.4 - - 52.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 45.1 - - 49.5 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 60.4 - - 60.0 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 43.9 - - 48.5 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 74 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 430 - - 1265 - - 1125 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 74 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96297 5 357 12 331 14 311 13 345 96297 89226 13 261 9 344 10 280 14 341 89226 83752 15 279 16 311 13 320 13 304 83752 79190 7 228 13 269 12 316 11 325 79190 75229 6 243 15 273 20 280 15 287 75229 71687 18 264 20 252 25 261 21 280 71687 68477 18 263 27 261 34 264 35 265 68477 65543 34 267 35 259 36 265 35 259 65543 62814 43 256 43 258 45 263 39 254 62814 60150 51 259 56 257 55 256 46 257 60150 57358 64 261 63 259 60 256 53 263 57358 54451 72 256 69 258 62 262 60 268 54451 51662 66 250 67 255 64 261 65 265 51662 49155 57 249 59 255 58 259 64 260 49155 46922 55 253 57 256 59 264 63 260 46922 44914 60 258 62 256 69 266 66 258 44914 43092 71 257 70 257 74 262 67 258 43092 41433 75 252 75 255 69 257 63 259 41433 39907 73 257 76 255 63 249 63 267 39907 38486 76 262 76 256 63 245 66 270 38486 37144 81 257 77 256 62 244 59 263 37144 35841 82 259 78 255 62 245 56 251 35841 34514 80 261 78 253 62 248 57 244 34514 33137 79 264 77 252 66 252 59 245 33137 31718 76 265 75 251 70 256 63 245 31718 30240 71 264 74 252 71 256 66 244 30240 28687 67 262 74 253 71 254 63 247 28687 27058 64 261 71 254 71 253 60 253 27058 25351 62 262 66 254 68 252 59 254 25351 23569 61 265 61 253 65 251 59 251 23569 21714 57 265 56 252 63 252 57 252 21714 19782 51 257 54 251 61 254 54 256 19782 17771 51 249 55 253 58 255 50 261 17771 15723 51 248 55 257 52 256 47 261 15723 13751 45 248 50 259 45 257 39 257 13751 11957 40 253 42 257 38 259 32 256 11957 10360 39 256 33 252 33 259 29 254 10360 8940 37 252 30 252 28 254 29 249 8940 7677 34 243 32 252 26 251 29 246 7677 6558 31 234 33 245 28 256 28 248 6558 5571 28 231 31 238 29 260 25 254 5571 4704 24 236 28 236 26 260 22 259 4704 3939 20 243 25 238 24 257 15 257 3939 3254 16 245 23 236 22 251 11 262 3254 2648 15 240 20*230 19*243 10 278 2648 2143 15 228 15*223 16*239 9 294 2143 1755 13*222 13 221 14 238 9 297 1755 1488 10*218 11 220 12 237 7 292 1488 1326 8 216 10 220 9 237 5*285 1326 1233 5 214 7 220 6 237 2*281 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography