DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.5 - - 83.6 - - 77.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 81 - - 34 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5006 - - 4179 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4004 - - 2656 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6206 - - 5379 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1698 - - 2466 - - 4850 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 328 - - 246 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 243 - - 210 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 14 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1382 - - 611 - - -1192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4824 - - 4768 - - 2427 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 278 - - -1100 - - -2542 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5928 - - 6479 - - 3777 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 90 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 350 - - 840 - - 1670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.5 - - 83.6 - - 77.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.5 - - 66.8 - - 70.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.1 - - 83.9 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.4 - - 65.7 - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 81 - - 34 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5006 - - 4179 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 59 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99764 25 096 21 083 18 061 99764 92224 23 081 19 077 22 078 92224 86436 18 092 21 080 23 075 86436 81643 15 084 22 085 18 076 81643 77505 10 061 18 082 15 083 77505 73832 11 076 12 065 14 083 73832 70497 11 090 8 062 13 079 70497 67434 10 098 9 098 9 086 67434 64606 6 124 8 113 6 108 64606 61884 10 147 5 151 6 158 61884 59063 9 152 5 190 5 176 59063 56156 14 192 12 233 10 226 56156 53400 19 200 22 226 17 227 53400 50936 27 212 29 225 29 227 50936 48738 37 207 38 208 40 213 48738 46751 40 216 43 210 43 208 46751 44932 49 226 50 222 46 213 44932 43246 58 223 57 223 53 215 43246 41672 61 217 58 223 56 215 41672 40192 61 217 57 224 57 216 40192 38792 59 220 54 227 57 217 38792 37435 56 226 51 228 53 222 37435 36052 55 228 51 229 47 226 36052 34613 54 229 51 229 45 227 34613 33121 50 228 53 229 46 223 33121 31561 48 228 54 228 45 219 31561 29920 49 226 54 229 46 226 29920 28204 49 224 52 229 47 231 28204 26411 46 227 48 226 44 229 26411 24542 41 230 43 224 43 230 24542 22604 38 228 40 228 41 231 22604 20591 33 225 36 236 38 234 20591 18497 28 228 32 243 32 241 18497 16363 25 234 28 246 25 245 16363 14307 20 238 23 245 20 244 14307 12437 18 238 19 239 16 241 12437 10775 16 235 15 245 15 241 10775 9303 13 219 13 248 14 238 9303 7995 7 204 11 232 12 223 7995 6833 4*219 9 214 10 204 6833 5805 4*235 9*209 9 206 5805 4897 4 240 8*208 9 217 4897 4093 4 243 8 208 9 223 4093 3371 4 245 8 209 9 231 3371 2732 4 245 8 210 8 239 2732 2198 4 245 8 210 7 251 2198 1788 4 245 8 211 6 259 1788 1505 4 245 7 211 5 267 1505 1333 4 245 6 211 3*271 1333 1235 3 244 5 210 1*280 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography