DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 74.6 - - 74.5 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 182 - - 27 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2065 - - 3636 - - 3129 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2219 - - 3374 - - 1218 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3265 - - 4836 - - 4329 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1147 - - 1182 - - 1617 - - 1151 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 357 - - 185 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 150 - - 152 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2369 - - -4500 - - -5373 - - -5697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5635 - - 9336 - - 9703 - - 6930 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9354 - - -11307 - - -11712 - - -12638 ODpotential blCL - - - 12619 - - 16143 - - 16041 - - 13871 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 86 - - 97 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 74.6 - - 74.5 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 38.2 - - 36.6 - - 39.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 73.6 - - 74.4 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.0 - - 37.4 - - 35.9 - - 38.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 174 - - 182 - - 27 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2065 - - 3636 - - 3129 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 45 - - 88 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98086 2 308 5 248 7 160 14 250 98086 90741 2 103 4 158 5 259 2 325 90741 85079 7 130 6 183 11 268 5 018 85079 80388 6 145 4 206 7 271 5 341 80388 76346 2 297 2 228 4 300 4 312 76346 72769 7 319 4 277 6 314 2 305 72769 69530 8 325 4 294 5 289 6 295 69530 66554 6 327 3 303 5 292 11 291 66554 63796 4 328 5 297 6 291 12 294 63796 61119 4 316 6 289 5 257 10 273 61119 58322 3 282 6 271 6 238 9 233 58322 55433 5 210 9 243 13 251 9 234 55433 52693 9 212 13 236 19 246 13 243 52693 50232 12 213 16 232 19 235 18 245 50232 48020 10 215 17 216 20 229 16 229 48020 46007 11 208 18 215 18 221 13 237 46007 44161 8 188 19 197 17 228 15 238 44161 42455 15 159 14 187 19 209 16 227 42455 40868 15 152 13 185 10 194 12 222 40868 39385 15 141 19 143 10 197 10 230 39385 37992 19 134 23 118 11 153 11 212 37992 36653 22 127 22 115 12 136 9 192 36653 35299 20 126 21 116 11 134 7 177 35299 33896 15 132 19 120 12 129 5 154 33896 32444 12 131 18 133 9 118 3 125 32444 30928 11 133 14 141 3 118 3 124 30928 29338 12 144 12 143 6 123 2 098 29338 27669 15 153 17 153 13 131 2 127 27669 25922 19 149 16 143 17 146 6 160 25922 24099 14 161 13 109 15 164 10 174 24099 22200 11 159 10 108 15 142 11 170 22200 20222 13 155 10 126 14 111 11 165 20222 18162 11 164 11 140 6 086 10 167 18162 16066 8 156 10 149 4 206 10 171 16066 14051 7 127 9 152 8 209 9 154 14051 12217 7 117 8 156 7 191 5 159 12217 10581 6 127 7 161 8 187 9 203 10581 9125 5 139 7 162 9 189 13 200 9125 7831 5 126 7 158 10 184 11 218 7831 6685 6 114 7 152 8 176 5 233 6685 5674 8 114 6*155 4 194 2 178 5674 4786 8 120 6*155 4*194 3 138 4786 4004 9 133 6 154 4*178 2 141 4004 3303 8*145 6 151 4 159 4 159 3303 2683 8*148 6 149 4 152 7 165 2683 2166 7 149 6 147 5 147 10 167 2166 1768 7 150 6 145 5 143 11 169 1768 1494 6 149 6 145 4 141 10 169 1494 1329 5 149 5 144 4 141 7 168 1329 1233 4 149 4 144 3 137 4*169 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography