DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.7 - - 37.6 - - 37.3 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 53 - - 7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 476 - - 1087 - - 682 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1676 - - 2287 - - 1882 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1164 - - 1278 - - 1907 - - 1994 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 86 - - 159 - - 71 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 032 - - 039 - - 022 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 406 - - 768 - - 506 - - -338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1271 - - 1519 - - 1376 - - 1570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 111 - - 513 - - 67 - - -1030 ODpotential blCL - - - 1565 - - 1774 - - 1815 - - 2262 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.7 - - 37.6 - - 37.3 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 35.2 - - 35.5 - - 32.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.7 - - 37.3 - - 37.4 - - 35.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 34.7 - - 35.2 - - 32.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 53 - - 7 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 476 - - 1087 - - 682 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95697 44 259 45 236 67 249 62 253 95697 88646 27 261 24 255 33 258 23 263 88646 83232 17 266 18 274 14 249 15 265 83232 78700 10 281 15 258 12 257 12 283 78700 74742 6 281 10 236 12 270 9 280 74742 71210 7 299 3 243 6 250 9 247 71210 67988 13 264 12 266 6 279 7 235 67988 64997 11 245 13 250 10 264 11 239 64997 62206 10 245 11 248 10 245 15 230 62206 59491 17 253 12 260 11 247 14 239 59491 56640 24 239 21 246 20 229 20 232 56640 53669 24 226 22 233 21 219 23 223 53669 50830 25 241 28 237 28 239 26 228 50830 48278 36 242 41 238 40 238 31 234 48278 46000 42 240 49 232 46 231 41 229 46000 43942 46 235 49 229 48 228 44 221 43942 42061 43 230 49 227 46 225 43 217 42061 40326 44 237 49 224 43 227 42 218 40326 38717 53 240 47 228 44 230 41 224 38717 37224 54 235 50 226 48 224 44 226 37224 35843 58 229 49 222 49 214 45 216 35843 34541 65 218 46 225 37 213 39 220 34541 33239 56 231 50 222 39 229 41 225 33239 31904 65 237 51 215 46 225 48 214 31904 30534 69 230 52 216 46 215 55 207 30534 29107 69 227 53 219 40 217 65 200 29107 27608 66 227 53 223 37 226 64 202 27608 26037 60 230 52 232 39 243 52 209 26037 24392 50 232 49 232 45 240 41 217 24392 22677 48 237 46 231 43 237 35 225 22677 20892 55 234 46 233 36 234 33 230 20892 19034 59 231 46 231 35 235 31 236 19034 17099 57 235 42 229 35 233 30 235 17099 15126 49 247 38 236 30 227 27 225 15126 13225 40 252 33 244 24 222 24 217 13225 11498 34 246 30 240 19 222 19 214 11498 9966 29 238 26 236 16 213 11 226 9966 8608 23 238 21 249 10 211 4 233 8608 7402 14 218 13 260 4 229 2 171 7402 6332 11 191 6 234 4 192 4 110 6332 5385 7 194 5 203 5 161 5 101 5385 4552 5 177 5 171 5 116 6 076 4552 3818 3 154 3 115 6 062 9 059 3818 3163 3 080 5 065 8 036 14 049 3163 2584 6 047 5*051 8 031 17 034 2584 2101 7 042 5*044 8*027 16 026 2101 1731 6*039 4 040 7*024 13 020 1731 1475 4*033 4 036 6 022 10 016 1475 1320 3 032 4 036 5 021 8*013 1320 1232 2 030 3 034 4 020 4*009 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography