DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.3 - - 53.0 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 13 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 586 - - 459 - - 233 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1786 - - 1659 - - 1433 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1443 - - 2354 - - 1115 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 84 - - 36 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 142 - - 084 - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 554 - - 329 - - 200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1233 - - 1330 - - 1233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -64 - - -363 - - -114 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1850 - - 2022 - - 1547 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 130 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.3 - - 53.0 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.8 - - 51.1 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.4 - - 53.6 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.4 - - 50.8 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 13 - - -4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 586 - - 459 - - 233 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98265 12 155 2 338 4 029 98265 90819 6 118 1 284 5 305 90819 85099 4 023 3 250 2 341 85099 80332 3 192 6 220 3 308 80332 76215 5 130 6 224 4 305 76215 72573 6 140 8 222 6 265 72573 69265 4 140 5 216 4 231 69265 66207 5 251 4 272 6 271 66207 63364 11 218 10 222 14 256 63364 60608 10 200 11 205 11 232 60608 57719 13 237 12 235 10 243 57719 54703 15 231 14 244 15 242 54703 51820 16 234 16 242 16 224 51820 49231 20 222 20 223 15 227 49231 46919 23 214 22 218 18 226 46919 44825 26 211 23 214 20 206 44825 42912 28 211 23 212 18 189 42912 41150 32 209 24 204 16 185 41150 39517 40 200 27 195 19 197 39517 37997 42 192 32 192 22 196 37997 36583 52 191 36 190 23 182 36583 35235 60 187 44 189 22 175 35235 33883 66 182 51 187 27 180 33883 32496 65 181 59 182 35 177 32496 31081 71 184 65 179 40 171 31081 29625 72 183 67 176 43 166 29625 28110 66 181 61 168 43 159 28110 26524 58 180 57 157 41 151 26524 24860 48 175 52 158 42 143 24860 23120 39 163 44 159 41 134 23120 21308 38 160 37 160 38 127 21308 19420 37 164 30 161 38 123 19420 17452 30 161 28 151 36 120 17452 15447 26 157 29 135 30 112 15447 13517 24 156 23 120 23 102 13517 11761 25 158 12 108 21 100 11761 10200 24 160 8 126 18 097 10200 8812 23 164 8 145 15 093 8812 7579 22 163 13 138 12 087 7579 6485 20 156 19 135 9 073 6485 5517 19 149 21 131 6 052 5517 4665 18 147 21 129 5 020 4665 3910 16 147 20 127 5 355 3910 3233 14 150 17 123 7 337 3233 2633 11 153 13 115 11 335 2633 2132 8*153 10 105 14 334 2132 1748 5*148 7*094 13 331 1748 1485 3 141 6*088 10*326 1485 1324 2 135 4 084 8*324 1324 1233 1 135 3 079 5 320 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography