DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 34.1 - - 23.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -5 - - -23 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 32 - - 249 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1232 - - 1449 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 662 - - 2912 - - 3828 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 170 - - 241 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 218 - - -817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1232 - - 1231 - - 2048 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9815 - - -427 - - -2192 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11047 - - 1876 - - 3423 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.0 - - 34.1 - - 23.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 34.7 - - 33.2 - - 18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 36.9 - - 35.5 - - 26.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.8 - - 33.2 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -5 - - -23 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 32 - - 249 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 102 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95039 57 263 51 258 55 245 95039 88120 52 257 51 253 52 248 88120 82779 37 258 44 248 49 247 82779 78355 30 250 35 233 39 241 78355 74521 31 254 24 241 24 245 74521 71061 31 267 26 268 24 243 71061 67863 33 251 42 238 38 232 67863 64894 41 224 46 213 46 226 64894 62130 36 230 39 222 44 228 62130 59436 39 247 37 243 39 229 59436 56601 51 237 38 242 38 223 56601 53635 52 226 44 228 45 221 53635 50798 43 222 51 229 50 219 50798 48243 56 231 63 223 54 219 48243 45947 66 231 66 216 58 217 45947 43857 74 235 62 219 57 214 43857 41939 86 234 68 225 55 217 41939 40168 87 228 80 223 60 223 40168 38524 87 224 85 216 69 225 38524 36990 108 223 91 212 76 222 36990 35556 131 220 104 212 78 217 35556 34181 136 217 118 213 77 212 34181 32797 132 216 129 212 77 209 32797 31374 123 214 137 210 77 209 31374 29916 115 211 140 207 77 208 29916 28410 112 211 139 205 76 207 28410 26850 107 213 133 205 77 207 26850 25245 98 214 124 204 73 208 25245 23596 85 210 115 202 68 211 23596 21903 75 203 108 198 67 212 21903 20160 69 197 101 193 66 209 20160 18355 70 196 95 188 61 208 18355 16479 74 200 92 186 55 210 16479 14571 79 204 88 186 46 213 14571 12740 81 206 80 186 36 216 12740 11084 80 208 67 185 33 216 11084 9618 70 209 52 187 35 214 9618 8322 54 205 36 192 36 219 8322 7173 47 203 28 199 34 233 7173 6154 48 208 28 214 34 248 6154 5251 45 217 32 231 35 255 5251 4455 42 222 34 240 35 254 4455 3750 41 219 33 244 33 251 3750 3117 36 213 31 244 31 246 3117 2554 25 205 30 244 29 241 2554 2083 18 187 27 243 26 237 2083 1720 14 176 23 243 22 235 1720 1470 9 170 18*242 16 231 1470 1318 7*167 15*242 13*230 1318 1231 2*170 8 241 7*226 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography