DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 77.2 - - 76.9 - - 70.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 113 - - 20 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3750 - - 4358 - - 4476 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3143 - - 3754 - - 2083 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4950 - - 5558 - - 5676 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1338 - - 1667 - - 2092 - - 4482 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 303 - - 347 - - 227 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 277 - - 278 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 3 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1730 - - 791 - - 838 - - -1541 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3220 - - 4768 - - 4838 - - 2775 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 536 - - -2589 - - -1049 - - -3169 ODpotential blCL - - - 4414 - - 8147 - - 6725 - - 4403 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 70 - - 70 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 220 - - 250 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 77.2 - - 76.9 - - 70.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.7 - - 60.4 - - 59.8 - - 62.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.6 - - 76.9 - - 77.5 - - 72.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 59.1 - - 58.7 - - 61.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 113 - - 20 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3750 - - 4358 - - 4476 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99636 19 076 18 087 14 072 14 076 99636 92135 24 094 14 110 11 061 16 066 92135 86332 20 075 12 108 9 074 11 070 86332 81495 16 080 11 102 7 096 6 088 81495 77312 13 088 11 081 7 122 3 071 77312 73618 9 095 9 057 7 118 2 092 73618 70290 5 082 7 061 6 103 2 353 70290 67232 3 313 3 004 4 081 2 195 67232 64391 4 253 5 199 5 306 1 179 64391 61632 10 247 8 189 9 209 5 258 61632 58757 14 236 8 217 19 239 17 261 58757 55786 13 202 25 220 33 235 29 253 55786 52964 11 256 23 228 34 231 37 242 52964 50439 45 259 35 257 34 259 37 249 50439 48189 51 238 54 251 46 262 45 263 48189 46160 44 225 64 239 58 253 59 262 46160 44321 41 250 54 239 62 247 69 258 44321 42644 57 262 55 249 59 251 66 251 42644 41082 64 259 62 253 65 254 61 256 41082 39615 59 263 61 248 64 250 62 268 39615 38236 58 267 57 250 62 256 64 270 38236 36900 54 261 57 253 65 275 63 271 36900 35539 52 252 57 252 66 279 60 269 35539 34124 53 248 57 250 62 272 60 265 34124 32655 52 249 58 250 59 262 61 262 32655 31118 53 251 57 251 57 259 62 262 31118 29502 52 255 55 254 55 258 58 264 29502 27810 48 256 52 257 55 261 52 264 27810 26042 41 256 49 259 55 264 51 266 26042 24198 38 252 45 260 52 264 51 269 24198 22287 38 252 41 260 46 259 47 269 22287 20309 36 257 37 261 41 257 43 266 20309 18254 35 266 34 264 38 261 43 265 18254 16158 34 274 34 273 37 269 42 268 16158 14135 33 281 37 285 37 277 36 274 14135 12293 29 280 37 291 37 285 31 278 12293 10653 24 269 29 290 35 296 28 282 10653 9194 21 257 22 277 24 299 23 287 9194 7896 19 256 19 272 14 289 19 282 7896 6748 18 265 16 273 13 282 17 272 6748 5733 17*268 16*275 14*280 17 274 5733 4840 16*267 15*275 14*279 17 280 4840 4049 15 268 15 276 14 279 18 285 4049 3339 14 268 15 277 14 278 18 288 3339 2709 14 268 15 277 13 278 17 289 2709 2183 13 269 14 278 13 277 16 291 2183 1779 12 269 13 278 12 277 14 291 1779 1500 11 269 12 278 11 277 11 290 1500 1331 9 269 11 278 9 277 8 288 1331 1234 7 270 8 278 6 277 3*284 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography