DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 70.4 - - 61.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 3 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2902 - - 2664 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2726 - - 1218 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4102 - - 3864 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 973 - - 1351 - - 428 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 307 - - 138 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 187 - - 180 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1871 - - -1337 - - -1165 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5973 - - 5201 - - 2399 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10453 - - -9051 - - -6664 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14555 - - 12915 - - 7898 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 72 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 70.4 - - 61.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.0 - - 52.0 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.1 - - 71.3 - - 64.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.8 - - 51.0 - - 54.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 3 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2902 - - 2664 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98978 1 262 7 153 8 234 98978 91565 11 182 10 230 11 270 91565 85808 14 196 14 226 10 253 85808 81002 13 211 10 221 12 223 81002 76845 13 224 15 218 15 245 76845 73186 12 228 15 217 19 241 73186 69894 6 250 9 233 16 219 69894 66867 10 270 10 250 8 235 66867 64057 19 249 17 253 11 264 64057 61344 19 244 19 239 17 259 61344 58531 22 263 22 250 21 246 58531 55631 31 271 26 272 22 253 55631 52883 35 264 35 276 29 263 52883 50433 34 259 41 259 37 262 50433 48253 32 264 40 250 40 260 48253 46281 35 269 38 252 43 257 46281 44476 42 265 38 261 52 247 44476 42807 47 262 42 270 52 242 42807 41250 47 258 48 270 48 252 41250 39789 45 258 47 263 51 262 39789 38406 42 258 40 260 56 260 38406 37060 40 255 41 257 59 256 37060 35684 40 251 42 253 60 255 35684 34251 40 249 45 249 57 256 34251 32764 38 248 42 247 47 255 32764 31208 37 248 38 246 47 246 31208 29577 36 248 37 243 41 246 29577 27873 35 244 35 238 33 234 27873 26095 33 241 33 238 32 231 26095 24246 32 239 31 239 26 238 24246 22329 29 237 29 242 23 230 22329 20334 26 235 28 244 21 225 20334 18254 21 233 26 243 20 213 18254 16131 18 227 23 234 21 205 16131 14087 18 219 20 222 21 210 14087 12231 20 216 21 216 22 222 12231 10588 21 217 22 217 21 227 10588 9134 20 221 21 222 20 230 9134 7847 19 226 20 226 19 238 7847 6705 18 228 19 226 20 243 6705 5694 19 224 20 217 22 240 5694 4803 18*214 20 202 23 231 4803 4015 14*199 18*187 24 216 4015 3311 13 189 17*183 24 199 3311 2689 12 186 16 181 23 190 2689 2169 12 183 16 180 20 183 2169 1770 11 181 14 179 16 177 1770 1495 10 180 13 178 12 170 1495 1329 9 179 10 177 8*165 1329 1234 7 179 7 176 4*158 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography