DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.3 - - 14.7 - - 10.4 - - 1.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 92 - - 2 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3242 - - 3641 - - 3281 - - 29 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2405 - - 2956 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4442 - - 4841 - - 4481 - - 1229 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2356 - - 3694 - - 3134 - - 6130 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 286 - - 93 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 21 - - 27 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 266 - - 281 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 24 - - 18 - - 22 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 782 - - 1781 - - 1014 - - -869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3660 - - 3060 - - 3467 - - 2098 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -629 - - 860 - - 24 - - -1771 ODpotential blCL - - - 5071 - - 3981 - - 4457 - - 3000 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 99 - - 88 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.3 - - 14.7 - - 10.4 - - 1.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.7 - - 5.7 - - -0.3 - - -2.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 15.3 - - 14.4 - - 10.8 - - 4.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.6 - - 4.5 - - -1.2 - - -1.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 92 - - 2 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3242 - - 3641 - - 3281 - - 29 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 97 - - 51 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94480 95 229 103 238 113 233 114 230 94480 87558 85 230 87 234 83 226 82 227 87558 82174 62 218 67 228 74 230 82 240 82174 77645 58 237 60 219 82 246 91 249 77645 73723 68 251 66 235 90 249 89 250 73723 70239 74 247 79 246 85 247 83 252 70239 67063 76 239 82 243 82 248 82 252 67063 64119 76 237 81 239 83 247 82 249 64119 61359 76 240 83 240 83 244 84 249 61359 58654 78 241 85 239 83 243 87 252 58654 55808 80 242 84 241 86 246 92 254 55808 52838 84 245 88 248 90 249 97 253 52838 49996 88 248 96 251 94 251 100 252 49996 47436 94 250 100 249 98 250 101 250 47436 45140 102 250 102 246 101 248 101 250 45140 43057 109 247 104 245 104 247 101 250 43057 41151 114 245 108 245 106 247 103 251 41151 39396 118 244 113 245 109 248 106 251 39396 37771 121 243 118 246 112 248 108 251 37771 36256 123 242 122 245 115 248 110 251 36256 34839 125 241 125 245 119 247 112 251 34839 33480 127 241 129 244 123 247 115 251 33480 32115 130 242 137 244 129 245 118 250 32115 30715 136 242 148 243 134 244 122 250 30715 29284 139 242 155 242 140 243 125 249 29284 27808 140 242 156 241 144 242 128 248 27808 26275 140 242 155 242 147 243 130 248 26275 24688 139 241 154 244 148 244 131 248 24688 23045 138 242 153 244 150 245 129 248 23045 21348 137 243 149 244 148 245 123 248 21348 19601 136 244 144 245 141 244 114 247 19601 17799 131 246 136 245 127 244 104 247 17799 15940 120 246 124 246 109 244 90 248 15940 14066 104 246 107 245 92 247 74 251 14066 12287 82 248 88 246 75 250 60 256 12287 10694 63 249 68 244 58 247 53 258 10694 9291 51 244 49 237 46 239 49 260 9291 8051 43 240 40 238 43 243 44 264 8051 6948 40 242 35 244 39 253 39 270 6948 5967 38 250 31 250 36 263 35 277 5967 5097 35*257 28*256 33*271 35 282 5097 4328 33*257 26*260 32*276 34 285 4328 3647 28 254 25 263 31 279 33 286 3647 3036 26 252 23 266 29 281 32 286 3036 2495 23 251 21 268 28 282 29 286 2495 2044 21 249 20 269 26 283 25 286 2044 1696 19 248 18 270 23 284 20 286 1696 1457 17 247 16 271 20 285 14 285 1457 1312 14 247 14 271 17 284 10 284 1312 1229 9 246 9 272 10 285 5*283 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography