DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.8 - - 56.2 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1548 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2748 - - 1233 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1021 - - 2117 - - 180 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 185 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 194 - - 214 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1867 - - -1812 - - -669 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4615 - - 3045 - - 1901 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10142 - - -7370 - - -9176 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12890 - - 8603 - - 10408 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 58 - - 60 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.8 - - 56.2 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.3 - - 47.4 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.6 - - 57.6 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.1 - - 46.2 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 47 - - -3 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1548 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97492 6 276 10 266 13 287 97492 90287 5 244 8 284 8 314 90287 84706 6 211 9 286 5 327 84706 80029 4 151 8 262 6 306 80029 75989 4 241 6 252 11 289 75989 72431 11 225 9 249 15 259 72431 69216 14 239 13 256 16 255 69216 66254 20 251 19 248 18 262 66254 63499 23 242 23 242 24 253 63499 60828 20 233 27 244 27 244 60828 58054 23 243 29 248 27 255 58054 55192 27 251 32 247 31 260 55192 52471 29 247 34 237 36 255 52471 50021 28 244 34 232 40 248 50021 47820 30 243 35 232 43 244 47820 45823 31 243 35 231 43 238 45823 43999 30 244 34 237 40 230 43999 42320 29 245 33 242 36 231 42320 40761 28 241 31 240 34 234 40761 39301 26 233 28 235 32 226 39301 37924 26 230 27 238 31 228 37924 36591 24 233 26 242 30 233 36591 35233 22 234 25 240 29 237 35233 33823 21 233 23 237 29 236 33823 32364 21 233 23 233 28 236 32364 30841 22 231 23 230 26 237 30841 29241 22 226 24 228 25 240 29241 27565 22 220 25 225 26 241 27565 25815 23 216 26 230 26 243 25815 23993 24 218 26 233 22 254 23993 22099 23 224 25 244 20 265 22099 20120 24 232 25 255 21 261 20120 18052 26 240 25 256 22 255 18052 15944 25 242 24 251 23 259 15944 13919 23 242 22 248 21 265 13919 12085 21 252 19 253 16 272 12085 10461 20 265 16 273 12 279 10461 9021 20 276 18 289 13 284 9021 7741 20 278 20 290 15 285 7741 6606 18 271 19 285 17 288 6606 5604 15 256 18 280 18 294 5604 4725 13 241 16 273 19 297 4725 3951 12 230 13 265 17 297 3951 3260 10*219 11 251 15 296 3260 2651 8*205 9 234 13 294 2651 2143 7 193 8 224 11 283 2143 1754 6 191 6 220 10 266 1754 1486 6 189 5 218 6 247 1486 1325 5 188 4 215 4 223 1325 1232 4 187 2*214 3*201 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography