DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 9.2 - - 13.6 - - 13.0 - - 4.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 76 - - -16 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 157 - - 3976 - - 267 - - 29 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 3038 - - 1213 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1357 - - 5176 - - 1467 - - 1229 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1331 - - 1545 - - 5191 - - 1232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 74 - - 278 - - 26 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 21 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 278 - - 285 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 17 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -821 - - 1892 - - -1411 - - -1499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2178 - - 3284 - - 2878 - - 2728 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2417 - - 602 - - -2227 - - -3678 ODpotential blCL - - - 3774 - - 4574 - - 3694 - - 4907 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 89 - - 88 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 9.2 - - 13.6 - - 13.0 - - 4.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.0 - - 3.4 - - 4.7 - - -3.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 9.3 - - 13.5 - - 14.2 - - 9.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.4 - - 2.5 - - 4.0 - - 2.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 76 - - -16 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 157 - - 3976 - - 267 - - 29 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 58 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94238 103 237 95 238 83 244 86 238 94238 87396 63 262 58 261 56 255 68 256 87396 82014 51 276 46 282 41 266 57 269 82014 77523 49 279 45 287 42 269 46 283 77523 73642 46 283 45 278 44 270 39 293 73642 70182 42 279 40 266 42 276 37 298 70182 67018 37 274 37 268 40 280 40 299 67018 64086 34 275 42 270 44 275 45 296 64086 61353 33 277 38 267 43 273 49 291 61353 58694 34 274 36 270 40 269 48 283 58694 55900 39 272 36 279 38 270 46 279 55900 52969 42 279 36 283 41 281 44 278 52969 50143 49 277 39 285 52 287 49 281 50143 47585 51 274 52 279 59 280 59 283 47585 45292 51 274 58 275 60 277 65 280 45292 43218 51 272 59 274 61 276 66 278 43218 41323 50 270 61 273 64 276 69 277 41323 39577 49 271 63 271 66 276 72 276 39577 37960 50 276 63 270 66 276 73 277 37960 36455 55 281 61 271 66 275 77 278 36455 35047 61 281 59 274 68 275 79 277 35047 33700 64 278 60 276 71 276 77 278 33700 32350 63 274 64 276 74 277 77 281 32350 30965 63 271 68 275 75 279 82 282 30965 29545 62 268 69 274 75 281 85 282 29545 28074 60 268 67 274 72 281 86 285 28074 26549 58 272 66 274 69 280 82 286 26549 24978 61 278 63 276 64 280 74 285 24978 23359 65 280 63 280 62 281 69 284 23359 21683 65 280 63 283 64 281 62 284 21683 19947 63 283 60 284 63 281 57 284 19947 18141 60 285 54 282 60 283 55 284 18141 16265 52 277 47 278 55 284 53 284 16265 14363 43 271 42 278 48 283 49 283 14363 12540 32 273 38 280 41 280 44 279 12540 10892 32 279 36 281 37 284 41 280 10892 9437 40 279 40 282 43 287 41 285 9437 8156 44 276 44 282 49 284 43 287 8156 7026 42 274 40 281 45 281 44 284 7026 6027 36 274 30*280 38 279 44 281 6027 5145 31 276 26*280 32 278 41 280 5145 4366 27 274 25 280 28 278 37 279 4366 3676 25 267 24 279 25 280 34 277 3676 3058 24 260 22 278 22 281 30 275 3058 2511 23 254 20 277 19 283 27 276 2511 2053 19 244 18 277 17 284 22 280 2053 1702 15 239 17 277 15*285 16 285 1702 1460 11*235 15 276 12*285 11 285 1460 1314 8*232 13 276 10 285 7 283 1314 1229 5 231 8 276 6 285 3*274 1229 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography