DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.9 - - 47.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 0 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2205 - - 2470 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1721 - - 1216 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3405 - - 3670 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1406 - - 1361 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 230 - - 78 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 20 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 340 - - 342 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 15 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -180 - - 815 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3585 - - 2855 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1859 - - 278 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5264 - - 3392 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 98 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.9 - - 47.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 40.6 - - 39.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.6 - - 47.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.8 - - 38.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 0 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2205 - - 2470 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 85 - - 92 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97269 13 278 15 257 97269 90068 10 257 19 286 90068 84542 4 289 7 254 84542 79917 9 319 6 311 79917 75913 4 062 7 320 75913 72368 12 354 10 024 72368 69143 13 306 15 344 69143 66178 10 320 16 324 66178 63422 13 296 13 307 63422 60734 14 287 17 298 60734 57915 25 279 24 282 57915 54983 30 263 25 267 54983 52176 31 258 25 272 52176 49651 36 256 36 273 49651 47402 40 261 37 263 47402 45366 38 256 31 255 45366 43491 34 251 25 270 43491 41753 35 247 36 278 41753 40143 37 257 43 271 40143 38639 37 251 38 270 38639 37224 34 247 36 275 37224 35861 31 255 38 290 35861 34491 31 254 39 301 34491 33086 29 256 38 309 33086 31642 30 257 38 312 31642 30141 30 259 37 312 30141 28570 29 262 36 311 28570 26929 27 270 37 311 26929 25218 26 283 39 307 25218 23437 29 287 39 303 23437 21586 29 288 38 304 21586 19656 28 299 35 304 19656 17642 27 304 36 303 17642 15584 27 302 38 308 15584 13603 26 304 35 315 13603 11806 25 310 30 320 11806 10213 24 319 29 326 10213 8803 26 331 30 333 8803 7553 26 335 29 341 7553 6448 26 334 27 347 6448 5478 26 337 25 349 5478 4629 25 346 25 348 4629 3882 22*350 25*348 3882 3213 18*346 24*346 3213 2620 16 340 23 344 2620 2125 16 339 21 342 2125 1745 15 338 19 341 1745 1483 14 338 17 339 1483 1324 12 337 14 338 1324 1232 8 336 9 337 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography