DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.9 - - 58.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -17 - - -38 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 33 - - 33 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1233 - - 1233 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1081 - - 840 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 182 - - 192 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1233 - - 1233 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5467 - - -2611 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6700 - - 3844 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 150 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.9 - - 58.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 57.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 57.2 - - 60.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.6 - - 57.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -17 - - -38 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 33 - - 33 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97392 12 275 19 258 97392 90207 10 261 12 266 90207 84621 12 223 8 256 84621 79962 9 219 11 245 79962 75946 10 232 12 233 75946 72394 12 245 12 240 72394 69164 14 240 15 233 69164 66195 14 257 15 222 66195 63456 18 258 11 219 63456 60788 23 245 22 246 60788 57998 26 240 44 248 57998 55131 45 246 58 247 55131 52420 63 243 67 244 52420 49994 74 247 75 242 49994 47820 84 247 84 243 47820 45839 91 247 96 242 45839 44015 99 248 105 237 44015 42319 109 243 110 235 42319 40729 115 240 113 233 40729 39228 113 240 114 233 39228 37808 110 240 112 233 37808 36436 108 239 110 231 36436 35044 108 238 109 229 35044 33600 107 239 112 227 33600 32108 103 241 109 228 32108 30557 97 241 96 229 30557 28940 90 239 87 228 28940 27256 88 238 84 228 27256 25504 86 241 83 230 25504 23686 78 241 83 232 23686 21808 73 237 82 232 21808 19866 75 233 79 232 19866 17849 79 230 77 233 17849 15795 78 229 76 235 15795 13818 68 232 73 236 13818 12016 49 237 67 234 12016 10411 43 245 63 234 10411 8988 45 251 62 242 8988 7728 47 253 57 253 7728 6613 49 251 51 259 6613 5625 51 245 49 259 5625 4754 51 238 47 255 4754 3981 48 228 43 250 3981 3287 43 218 39 244 3287 2673 36 210 35 235 2673 2158 28 204 29 226 2158 1764 21 197 22 217 1764 1492 15 190 16 207 1492 1328 11 186 12 201 1328 1233 6*182 6*192 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography