DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 47.8 - - 42.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 159 - - 37 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4297 - - 5959 - - 4071 - - 3059 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3561 - - 5055 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5497 - - 7159 - - 5271 - - 4259 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2969 - - 3497 - - 2887 - - 2234 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 408 - - 224 - - 75 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 26 - - 32 - - 29 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 273 - - 285 - - 290 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 17 - - 23 - - 26 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1474 - - 1362 - - 769 - - 707 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4023 - - 5797 - - 4503 - - 3552 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 494 - - 558 - - 162 - - 140 ODpotential blCL - - - 5003 - - 6601 - - 5109 - - 4119 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 130 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 53.4 - - 47.8 - - 42.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.7 - - 32.1 - - 32.3 - - 31.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 52.9 - - 47.8 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.7 - - 31.2 - - 31.8 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 159 - - 37 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4297 - - 5959 - - 4071 - - 3059 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 101 - - 70 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98004 31 234 31 231 26 251 20 248 98004 90581 23 227 21 236 23 258 26 246 90581 84871 18 231 25 240 26 246 25 254 84871 80142 21 243 22 252 23 259 18 263 80142 76041 18 241 12 252 17 255 18 275 76041 72421 16 237 15 259 22 250 17 275 72421 69153 21 228 22 245 24 252 13 266 69153 66113 23 216 20 229 20 248 18 273 66113 63271 20 220 26 242 24 251 33 267 63271 60532 31 248 39 245 38 249 32 256 60532 57661 43 250 43 249 43 250 36 262 57661 54653 56 246 48 252 43 258 49 265 54653 51778 58 241 60 250 56 260 59 264 51778 49200 60 246 67 248 63 256 66 262 49200 46899 71 248 70 246 66 254 70 263 46899 44813 82 244 69 244 68 254 76 262 44813 42901 87 238 70 246 72 255 77 262 42901 41130 86 236 75 247 78 256 82 266 41130 39482 87 237 82 245 84 255 85 263 39482 37940 91 239 84 241 83 252 82 258 37940 36491 99 240 82 241 78 253 74 264 36491 35098 108 236 83 243 77 257 81 273 35098 33697 109 231 90 244 82 258 91 274 33697 32257 108 232 97 241 86 258 91 272 32257 30784 113 236 101 239 86 258 88 273 30784 29264 120 237 103 239 83 260 86 276 29264 27689 121 236 105 238 78 261 86 279 27689 26063 120 236 106 237 72 262 83 277 26063 24385 119 237 103 238 64 266 70 275 24385 22658 115 237 95 241 58 271 55 275 22658 20880 110 237 86 246 55 276 43 277 20880 19037 102 239 73 252 52 279 39 279 19037 17118 88 241 60 254 50 282 40 281 17118 15156 73 243 53 249 47 284 41 286 15156 13263 57 248 50 258 45 286 44 291 13263 11539 45 255 42 271 44 287 44 293 11539 10005 38 259 35 273 42 285 42 294 10005 8641 34 262 32 271 37 276 41 294 8641 7432 30 265 30*271 36 273 40 293 7432 6363 29*268 29*271 36 274 39 292 6363 5419 29*270 28 272 36*279 38 292 5419 4587 27 274 28 272 36*283 38*292 4587 3850 25 278 27 273 35 284 36*291 3850 3190 23 282 26 273 34 285 34 290 3190 2604 22 283 26 274 33 286 32 290 2604 2115 21 284 25 274 32 287 29 289 2115 1739 20 285 24 274 29 287 25 289 1739 1480 18 285 21 274 25 287 21 289 1480 1322 15 286 18 274 21 287 17 289 1322 1232 10 286 12 273 13 288 10 289 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography