DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 62.3 - - 61.7 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - -10 - - -18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 33 - - 206 - - 34 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1233 - - 1406 - - 1234 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1492 - - 1963 - - 2164 - - 520 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 34 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 191 - - 188 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -131 - - -41 - - -4 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1364 - - 1448 - - 1238 - - 1233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4171 - - -992 - - -1167 - - -2111 ODpotential blCL - - - 5404 - - 2398 - - 2401 - - 3344 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 80 - - 140 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.4 - - 62.3 - - 61.7 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.3 - - 59.7 - - 60.0 - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.4 - - 63.0 - - 63.0 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.1 - - 59.4 - - 59.8 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - -10 - - -18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 33 - - 206 - - 34 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 93 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95366 86 251 85 248 92 258 80 255 95366 88577 59 258 59 261 65 262 54 268 88577 83313 38 268 45 266 43 262 43 277 83313 78900 23 283 34 263 36 265 35 279 78900 75070 19 293 24 267 31 262 28 285 75070 71653 16 291 20 279 19 257 24 283 71653 68518 14 293 15 269 13 259 19 258 68518 65610 13 283 14 271 11 262 16 252 65610 62897 15 259 16 263 12 258 14 270 62897 60250 12 238 13 252 7 246 13 255 60250 57495 14 230 14 264 16 262 23 244 57495 54651 21 228 24 226 25 223 19 224 54651 51923 19 213 18 208 21 220 26 235 51923 49456 25 228 28 234 34 224 39 241 49456 47255 49 220 41 221 43 225 53 224 47255 45269 63 206 49 215 56 226 51 215 45269 43447 64 198 55 216 59 218 53 221 43447 41767 60 194 68 212 60 219 67 225 41767 40217 58 197 79 204 73 221 83 217 40217 38777 58 199 79 200 89 215 90 208 38777 37422 57 201 79 206 92 206 84 207 37422 36108 58 204 80 207 88 203 80 213 36108 34773 61 206 77 203 84 206 79 217 34773 33388 60 204 75 201 84 212 81 219 33388 31953 59 200 74 204 85 215 84 221 31953 30455 60 201 70 206 86 218 85 223 30455 28882 59 207 66 206 85 221 85 225 28882 27235 58 212 64 207 86 226 85 230 27235 25514 59 213 62 208 84 232 84 234 25514 23719 58 212 61 208 71 229 81 235 23719 21854 53 211 58 209 63 218 75 233 21854 19917 45 210 55 212 62 219 66 225 19917 17902 41 209 52 215 57 225 61 220 17902 15847 38 207 48 214 52 226 59 220 15847 13865 36 208 42 213 50 225 53 224 13865 12062 35 215 38 219 49 227 45 227 12062 10460 35 223 38 227 46 227 42 224 10460 9036 37 230 38 230 42 226 41 219 9036 7768 38 232 36 228 38 224 40 220 7768 6641 37 230 32 226 36 221 38 223 6641 5643 35 227 31 227 34 219 34 226 5643 4764 36 224 32 224 33 219 29 231 4764 3988 38 220 33 218 33 219 26 234 3988 3292 37 212 33 210 31 217 24 232 3292 2676 32 205 29 206 27 213 22 230 2676 2161 26 200 24 203 22 207 19 227 2161 1765 19 192 18 198 17 201 14 219 1765 1493 14 184 14*194 13 195 10 202 1493 1328 11 180 11*192 10*192 7 187 1328 1233 6*176 6 190 5*188 4*173 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography