DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/04 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.8 - - 66.1 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 120 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4173 - - 4199 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3886 - - 3606 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5373 - - 5399 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2036 - - 2182 - - 4419 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 404 - - 337 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 314 - - 307 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 968 - - 341 - - -2290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4405 - - 5058 - - 3524 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 110 - - -794 - - -3900 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5263 - - 6193 - - 5134 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 77 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.8 - - 66.1 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.8 - - 48.3 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 63.0 - - 65.5 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.8 - - 47.1 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 120 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4173 - - 4199 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 62 - - 8 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99514 40 092 26 070 32 072 99514 91978 32 087 20 082 27 058 91978 86180 23 086 18 081 19 054 86180 81370 15 083 18 080 14 060 81370 77216 12 082 16 077 15 088 77216 73521 11 069 16 078 13 090 73521 70169 9 068 10 071 9 053 70169 67099 7 030 7 038 7 025 67099 64263 8 032 6 023 6 044 64263 61512 9 356 7 337 7 358 61512 58637 8 318 7 328 9 324 58637 55666 14 307 18 316 17 331 55666 52832 24 285 27 298 23 331 52832 50278 25 277 26 305 36 325 50278 47993 23 295 36 317 43 319 47993 45929 30 304 42 313 45 318 45929 44045 35 305 47 313 49 322 44045 42315 39 309 56 312 56 322 42315 40715 47 312 59 316 57 325 40715 39225 55 318 67 327 65 331 39225 37830 73 328 77 326 75 332 37830 36490 89 326 80 320 79 330 36490 35139 89 320 78 317 75 324 35139 33744 88 322 74 316 69 320 33744 32300 91 324 72 318 66 321 32300 30789 89 323 72 321 66 324 30789 29198 90 321 73 321 66 328 29198 27527 89 323 73 321 63 330 27527 25776 78 326 73 324 62 325 25776 23946 66 323 63 321 62 328 23946 22044 57 317 60 315 54 325 22044 20070 54 314 59 313 50 318 20070 18019 51 314 52 313 47 318 18019 15931 47 313 45 312 43 318 15931 13920 44 311 40 314 38 318 13920 12092 42 308 39 315 37 317 12092 10471 39 310 38 316 32 318 10471 9036 36 313 32 323 25 324 9036 7766 27 317 25 333 20 333 7766 6640 20 318 22 333 19 336 6640 5644 19*318 19*328 18 329 5644 4765 18*316 16*316 16 315 4765 3988 18 315 15 313 15 303 3988 3292 17 314 14 306 15 292 3292 2676 17 314 13 303 14 286 2676 2162 16 313 13 302 13 283 2162 1766 15 313 12 301 12 281 1766 1494 14 313 11 301 10 279 1494 1328 13 313 10 301 7*277 1328 1234 9 313 7 300 4*274 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography