DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.2 - - 68.0 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 185 - - 63 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4762 - - 4717 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4265 - - 3539 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5962 - - 5917 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1558 - - 2343 - - 4609 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 404 - - 292 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 314 - - 317 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 838 - - 1100 - - -1694 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5124 - - 4818 - - 2929 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -542 - - -253 - - -3073 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6504 - - 6170 - - 4307 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 83 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 70 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.2 - - 68.0 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.2 - - 51.4 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 65.4 - - 68.0 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.1 - - 50.4 - - 51.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 185 - - 63 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4762 - - 4717 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 20 - - 33 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99692 32 077 25 072 31 055 99692 92205 24 081 24 081 21 061 92205 86417 22 076 24 079 19 072 86417 81589 15 085 18 072 16 072 81589 77411 12 082 13 079 9 088 77411 73696 8 076 6 065 8 045 73696 70332 3 354 2 088 3 014 70332 67241 4 329 8 012 6 020 67241 64382 4 297 15 322 10 318 64382 61629 10 334 17 295 19 326 61629 58769 24 301 27 302 28 309 58769 55823 31 300 35 302 35 312 55823 53024 47 303 50 308 50 312 53024 50515 56 303 63 304 55 304 50515 48269 64 300 66 298 60 312 48269 46225 64 305 65 302 74 310 46225 44353 68 305 68 311 79 310 44353 42631 73 306 73 318 91 314 42631 41038 80 308 84 318 102 315 41038 39554 87 309 89 314 99 312 39554 38161 90 307 87 310 94 307 38161 36819 93 305 84 310 90 306 36819 35456 96 302 83 311 79 311 35456 34039 99 300 81 311 75 314 34039 32571 100 300 79 312 73 315 32571 31036 98 300 76 315 69 315 31036 29421 94 299 77 317 64 316 29421 27725 85 296 78 321 58 315 27725 25947 83 295 71 327 56 323 25947 24093 79 292 63 329 48 328 24093 22172 68 285 49 339 38 326 22172 20178 63 283 37 359 27 327 20178 18103 51 280 29 010 19 336 18103 15994 41 280 22 006 16 344 15994 13966 31 281 19 349 13 344 13966 12125 22 272 18 339 13 348 12125 10492 20 269 16 328 14 354 10492 9046 19 293 14 304 15 355 9046 7766 17 310 16 293 13 346 7766 6636 15*312 17*297 10 335 6636 5640 14*313 16*305 10 339 5640 4763 15 313 15 316 10 345 4763 3987 15 314 15 318 11 346 3987 3292 15 314 15 319 12 345 3292 2676 15 314 15 320 12 345 2676 2161 14 314 14 321 12 344 2161 1765 14 314 14 321 11 343 1765 1494 13 314 12 322 9 340 1494 1328 11 314 11 322 6*337 1328 1234 8 314 8 322 3*331 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography