DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - -29 - - -40 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 32 - - 398 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1232 - - 1598 - - 1233 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1059 - - 1627 - - 1724 - - 298 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 81 - - 28 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 15 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 190 - - 184 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1978 - - -2406 - - -1501 - - -353 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3210 - - 4004 - - 2734 - - 1585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7616 - - -7671 - - -5998 - - -6763 ODpotential blCL - - - 8848 - - 9269 - - 7231 - - 7995 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 91 - - 62 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 52.6 - - 51.6 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.4 - - 39.4 - - 43.9 - - 42.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.2 - - 53.8 - - 53.5 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 38.2 - - 42.6 - - 42.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -17 - - -29 - - -40 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 32 - - 398 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 62 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96098 23 290 19 305 26 278 20 318 96098 88948 27 288 25 286 25 272 24 293 88948 83474 21 270 24 266 29 286 22 287 83474 78921 32 262 25 235 30 274 24 283 78921 74984 33 262 29 255 30 263 27 284 74984 71498 33 255 32 276 35 251 29 263 71498 68339 34 254 38 262 35 242 33 246 68339 65423 35 259 42 249 33 253 39 254 65423 62709 42 266 42 246 44 253 49 255 62709 60075 58 258 45 253 51 245 54 253 60075 57311 64 251 59 254 51 245 54 254 57311 54421 57 248 67 248 54 245 57 256 54421 51646 54 245 64 242 59 243 62 256 51646 49144 60 254 57 246 65 246 65 257 49144 46907 69 263 62 257 72 250 68 261 46907 44881 78 266 75 257 77 250 74 259 44881 43025 85 259 85 250 80 246 77 253 43025 41320 84 249 83 248 80 246 78 248 41320 39752 72 251 79 257 81 250 80 246 39752 38296 75 268 87 265 85 257 82 249 38296 36931 92 273 96 265 93 259 85 254 36931 35617 96 271 99 262 95 256 92 255 35617 34288 91 269 95 260 94 252 98 252 34288 32913 88 267 88 256 92 251 97 248 32913 31493 85 265 82 251 89 251 90 251 31493 30014 80 260 78 247 86 249 87 259 30014 28462 79 255 76 248 81 250 81 259 28462 26841 80 252 75 249 75 254 78 254 26841 25149 78 253 72 249 69 255 74 255 25149 23387 72 255 67 250 66 253 63 255 23387 21558 65 254 62 252 64 251 54 249 21558 19653 60 253 60 253 62 251 52 248 19653 17667 60 253 59 252 59 254 49 253 17667 15640 61 255 56 252 53 255 43 256 15640 13684 58 255 55 253 48 253 40 255 13684 11902 52 253 55 249 47 250 40 252 11902 10318 49 246 56 243 46 248 40 249 10318 8910 49 240 55 240 44 247 37 251 8910 7658 50 235 53 239 41 248 35 257 7658 6547 50 231 49 238 40 246 37 260 6547 5563 48 229 46 234 40 241 40 258 5563 4695 46 228 45 226 40 233 41 250 4695 3929 43 227 43 217 40 225 42 239 3929 3245 38 226 40 209 39 217 43 229 3245 2640 33 223 34 203 34 210 40 220 2640 2137 25 214 28 197 27 203 34 214 2137 1750 17 200 23*194 22 197 24 207 1750 1485 13 189 19*191 16 191 16 193 1485 1324 10 184 15 190 13*188 12 185 1324 1232 6*179 9 188 7*184 6*176 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography