DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.1 - - 35.9 - - 34.1 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 26 - - 3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1804 - - 2187 - - 566 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3004 - - 3387 - - 1766 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2389 - - 3050 - - 3561 - - 1941 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 161 - - 51 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 290 - - 300 - - 306 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 706 - - 1099 - - 335 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2298 - - 2288 - - 1431 - - 1231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 270 - - 583 - - -196 - - -911 ODpotential blCL - - - 2734 - - 2804 - - 1962 - - 2142 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 99 - - 97 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.1 - - 35.9 - - 34.1 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.3 - - 30.1 - - 32.1 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.0 - - 36.1 - - 34.4 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 29.7 - - 31.9 - - 31.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 26 - - 3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1804 - - 2187 - - 566 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 96 - - 94 - - 87 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96100 28 231 30 255 52 257 36 260 96100 89043 14 245 17 238 29 251 21 284 89043 83599 10 268 12 229 20 238 19 269 83599 79025 11 250 12 253 11 217 20 265 79025 75040 11 247 13 239 12 214 20 262 75040 71498 12 260 13 244 13 216 16 235 71498 68263 14 251 19 251 15 249 10 240 68263 65269 17 234 22 246 19 254 19 278 65269 62483 17 230 22 241 19 243 25 262 62483 59762 20 247 22 244 21 243 26 254 59762 56891 23 250 26 244 30 258 30 254 56891 53894 24 247 27 237 34 252 28 257 53894 51027 25 243 27 238 32 252 28 258 51027 48440 25 245 27 247 31 261 28 255 48440 46113 25 253 27 252 33 266 32 264 46113 44010 25 254 27 253 32 261 33 261 44010 42090 22 252 25 253 23 257 25 260 42090 40316 20 252 22 264 17 273 23 273 40316 38667 20 258 24 276 20 293 26 278 38667 37131 24 268 27 276 28 292 26 271 37131 35695 25 264 26 277 28 285 21 259 35695 34313 20 257 27 275 24 281 17 270 34313 32917 20 265 27 265 25 283 21 283 32917 31483 22 261 26 260 28 279 24 281 31483 30026 22 261 25 265 28 272 24 281 30026 28532 21 275 25 262 26 270 23 284 28532 26994 25 277 24 257 25 274 23 282 26994 25416 25 280 24 257 25 277 21 281 25416 23796 25 286 25 258 25 274 19 286 23796 22127 25 287 25 260 25 270 18 297 22127 20402 26 278 25 263 24 274 17 303 20402 18609 28 277 24 271 20 281 16 313 18609 16741 26 285 22 283 18 283 13 314 16741 14834 20 286 20 283 18 291 12 308 14834 12992 20 291 19 283 19 300 14 314 12992 11314 16 291 17 289 17 307 13 322 11314 9825 15 289 16 298 17 303 11 329 9825 8502 14 306 15 305 17 302 12 337 8502 7328 14 332 16 305 17 308 14 340 7328 6282 13 336 18 300 17 311 15 342 6282 5354 14 326 18 300 17 312 16 338 5354 4534 15 312 18 300 17 313 16 333 4534 3808 16 300 17*301 16 313 16 327 3808 3157 15*296 16*301 16 313 15 324 3157 2581 14*293 13 301 14 312 15 320 2581 2099 12 290 11 300 12*310 13 315 2099 1729 11 288 10 300 10*307 10 308 1729 1474 10 288 9 299 8 306 7 294 1474 1320 8 288 7 299 6 306 5 278 1320 1231 6 288 5 298 4 305 2*250 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography