DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.7 - - 59.9 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 115 - - 13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1786 - - 1617 - - 602 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1822 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2986 - - 2817 - - 1802 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 733 - - 965 - - 1165 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 246 - - 124 - - 43 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 057 - - 064 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 20 - - 272 - - 211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2966 - - 2545 - - 1591 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5113 - - -5140 - - -718 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8099 - - 7957 - - 2520 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.7 - - 59.9 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 52.9 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.2 - - 59.9 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.3 - - 52.6 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 115 - - 13 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1786 - - 1617 - - 602 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 83 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98100 17 267 20 286 12 285 98100 90813 17 259 9 294 12 279 90813 85168 12 263 8 299 8 271 85168 80482 4 240 12 287 5 337 80482 76450 3 118 10 262 11 340 76450 72886 3 061 6 223 10 333 72886 69652 3 014 2 167 6 332 69652 66674 1 145 2 022 4 015 66674 63911 3 079 4 042 5 065 63911 61234 3 070 3 028 5 061 61234 58436 4 131 2 227 3 335 58436 55530 3 156 5 183 6 220 55530 52764 5 218 6 200 8 197 52764 50279 10 188 11 194 10 195 50279 48052 11 178 14 180 11 191 48052 46034 13 184 13 174 12 177 46034 44191 15 176 16 162 15 164 44191 42496 14 160 18 153 16 144 42496 40922 20 157 18 147 13 119 40922 39454 29 144 18 137 19 108 39454 38072 24 137 19 137 25 104 38072 36732 18 139 22 140 27 105 36732 35365 15 142 23 139 27 105 35365 33944 14 139 24 133 26 105 33944 32469 12 132 22 126 27 110 32469 30929 11 125 19 117 29 114 30929 29310 9 133 17 106 27 109 29310 27614 12 122 18 095 22 088 27614 25844 17 103 21 086 22 090 25844 24010 17 093 24 091 23 089 24010 22110 14 084 22 096 32 086 22110 20128 17 094 20 101 36 090 20128 18064 20 116 21 102 35 090 18064 15966 19 113 27 106 33 090 15966 13948 18 101 30 106 32 094 13948 12117 25 094 28 099 32 097 12117 10491 29 088 26 090 30 097 10491 9045 29 088 25 083 28 095 9045 7756 30 089 26 081 26 093 7756 6612 30 090 28 084 23 095 6612 5603 31 092 30 087 21 105 5603 4718 32 090 31 087 26 106 4718 3941 30 085 28 083 32 098 3941 3251 25*076 25*076 31 088 3251 2645 20*060 21*067 27 079 2645 2141 19 058 20 065 22*072 2141 1754 18 056 18 064 18*070 1754 1488 17 055 16 062 14 067 1488 1325 14 053 13 061 11 065 1325 1233 9 051 8 059 6 061 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography