DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 74.1 - - 72.5 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 76 - - 10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2948 - - 5425 - - 5158 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2733 - - 4386 - - 2611 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4148 - - 6625 - - 6358 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2056 - - 2094 - - 2539 - - 5923 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 304 - - 348 - - 234 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 328 - - 324 - - 324 - - 325 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 5 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1263 - - 1250 - - 1252 - - -1623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2886 - - 5375 - - 5107 - - 2857 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -180 - - -728 - - -580 - - -3070 ODpotential blCL - - - 4328 - - 7353 - - 6938 - - 4304 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 78 - - 82 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 130 - - 60 - - 70 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 74.1 - - 72.5 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.2 - - 54.6 - - 54.3 - - 59.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 73.8 - - 72.9 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 53.3 - - 53.0 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 116 - - 76 - - 10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2948 - - 5425 - - 5158 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 12 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99574 21 073 29 083 24 072 24 080 99574 92054 19 083 19 076 22 080 15 072 92054 86263 17 091 15 076 14 081 16 070 86263 81441 15 088 14 094 11 081 14 071 81441 77275 10 099 12 091 8 083 9 068 77275 73581 6 105 7 072 6 073 7 079 73581 70242 5 095 5 095 3 079 2 013 70242 67190 3 353 1 326 2 082 1 315 67190 64363 4 285 9 244 8 273 9 281 64363 61620 8 264 17 254 17 258 14 245 61620 58748 20 248 21 246 20 258 20 252 58748 55767 22 240 26 249 29 257 27 252 55767 52933 32 262 35 253 37 250 31 257 52933 50385 47 255 50 253 48 252 41 258 50385 48095 54 251 58 247 55 254 53 263 48095 46016 58 253 60 248 59 256 62 258 46016 44127 59 257 62 249 60 254 60 250 44127 42401 63 260 63 248 63 252 52 254 42401 40806 67 257 63 249 65 247 62 263 40806 39314 66 256 63 249 67 241 71 262 39314 37912 67 255 68 249 69 240 70 259 37912 36570 70 254 78 246 73 243 62 263 36570 35214 68 256 81 243 72 242 59 265 35214 33806 61 257 75 251 70 245 57 264 33806 32350 53 256 64 255 60 251 55 263 32350 30833 48 256 62 252 54 257 53 262 30833 29241 43 257 53 254 51 256 51 261 29241 27570 40 259 45 255 47 258 48 261 27570 25822 39 263 40 256 44 257 45 261 25822 23997 39 267 38 260 40 257 44 262 23997 22100 40 268 36 264 38 259 42 266 22100 20127 39 269 37 272 34 265 36 273 20127 18074 33 272 35 280 31 273 31 276 18074 15983 29 273 31 282 29 276 27 273 15983 13967 30 272 26 280 25 277 24 271 13967 12135 31 278 25 284 25 284 24 276 12135 10515 26 287 25 290 26 291 26 285 10515 9084 20 301 21 299 26 298 27 294 9084 7816 16 319 17 310 25 303 25 302 7816 6690 16 337 16*319 22*310 22 310 6690 5690 17 344 16*322 19*316 19 321 5690 4806 17*343 15 323 17 322 16 329 4806 4023 15*338 15 324 16 324 16 332 4023 3319 14 330 15 325 16 325 15 333 3319 2696 13 327 15 325 15 326 14 335 2696 2175 13 326 14 325 14 327 13 337 2175 1774 12 325 13 326 13 327 11 337 1774 1498 11 324 12 325 12 328 8 336 1498 1330 10 324 11 326 10 329 6*333 1330 1234 7 324 8 326 7 329 2*325 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography