DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 27.3 - - 25.5 - - 24.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 159 - - 144 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2879 - - 3030 - - 3285 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2796 - - 2870 - - 2995 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4079 - - 4230 - - 4485 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 850 - - 1258 - - 1792 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 324 - - 322 - - 319 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 26 - - 27 - - 25 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 284 - - 293 - - 292 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 18 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1534 - - 1520 - - 1837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2545 - - 2711 - - 2648 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 1006 - - 948 - - 1332 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3073 - - 3282 - - 3153 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 27.3 - - 25.5 - - 24.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.5 - - 17.9 - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 26.9 - - 25.1 - - 23.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 19.5 - - 16.9 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 159 - - 144 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2879 - - 3030 - - 3285 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 91 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96182 5 066 7 335 3 347 96182 89145 1 359 7 301 6 018 89145 83659 2 316 3 212 6 302 83659 79064 3 146 5 188 4 191 79064 75080 14 232 12 260 9 206 75080 71543 13 225 14 243 13 238 71543 68320 17 219 22 228 22 232 68320 65346 29 231 30 219 32 227 65346 62568 38 239 30 218 34 223 62568 59855 51 236 42 229 38 226 59855 57016 57 226 54 220 46 215 57016 54058 58 223 58 212 55 215 54058 51211 61 230 60 222 59 218 51211 48639 79 230 74 229 71 225 48639 46343 92 222 88 225 85 220 46343 44274 92 218 92 217 90 213 44274 42381 87 213 85 214 90 206 42381 40627 83 212 84 215 85 204 40627 39002 91 214 93 218 84 200 39002 37494 110 213 105 214 88 204 37494 36080 124 210 112 208 101 209 36080 34724 127 206 116 204 120 208 34724 33359 127 204 120 204 131 205 33359 31955 127 205 129 205 132 201 31955 30513 132 208 133 203 131 199 30513 29017 130 212 131 200 134 199 29017 27452 120 215 126 200 138 195 27452 25820 119 217 120 202 133 193 25820 24117 115 217 117 203 132 191 24117 22345 99 208 121 203 130 190 22345 20506 101 203 123 202 120 192 20506 18601 101 202 118 200 113 202 18601 16628 98 202 109 200 101 210 16628 14650 96 205 99 209 63 221 14650 12787 92 214 76 225 33 251 12787 11117 76 227 48 248 31 278 11117 9638 55 245 38 275 33 288 9638 8326 42 264 38 286 34 292 8326 7163 40 276 40 290 32 295 7163 6138 41 281 37 290 27 294 6138 5236 32 281 30 290 28*293 5236 4440 28*282 30*291 28*293 4440 3735 28*283 30*291 28 293 3735 3104 28 283 30 292 28 292 3104 2544 27 284 29 293 26 292 2544 2076 26 284 28 293 25 292 2076 1716 25 285 26 293 23 291 1716 1468 23 285 23 294 21 291 1468 1317 19 285 19 294 17 291 1317 1231 12 285 12 294 11 291 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography