DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/09 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 3.0 - - 12.6 - - 14.3 - - 4.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 149 - - 21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 709 - - 1410 - - 1153 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 1669 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1909 - - 2610 - - 2353 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 525 - - 540 - - 719 - - 770 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 150 - - 243 - - 121 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 307 - - 307 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -538 - - -201 - - -718 - - -1313 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2448 - - 2811 - - 3072 - - 2543 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14483 - - -12451 - - -12739 - - -15144 ODpotential blCL - - - 16392 - - 15061 - - 15092 - - 16374 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 76 - - 69 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 3.0 - - 12.6 - - 14.3 - - 4.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -2.9 - - 5.0 - - 5.5 - - -2.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 2.8 - - 12.0 - - 14.4 - - 9.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -3.7 - - 4.0 - - 4.6 - - 2.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 149 - - 21 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 709 - - 1410 - - 1153 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95814 59 239 53 254 35 251 36 277 95814 88961 35 282 29 289 36 304 40 297 88961 83552 29 283 28 289 34 302 31 300 83552 78984 21 273 20 277 31 300 27 301 78984 74983 14 290 17 279 34 298 31 305 74983 71415 26 298 28 291 33 294 30 306 71415 68159 29 292 28 285 22 290 29 305 68159 65136 24 284 21 281 16 299 33 297 65136 62313 25 288 24 292 25 304 33 294 62313 59565 34 294 38 291 34 300 38 293 59565 56694 44 292 43 288 35 303 39 294 56694 53709 42 286 40 288 40 304 42 300 53709 50846 36 293 35 292 44 304 45 298 50846 48267 39 306 36 298 51 297 48 299 48267 45965 44 310 40 302 56 294 52 303 45965 43885 49 314 45 305 56 295 57 303 43885 41992 55 316 52 306 56 298 55 298 41992 40254 59 315 55 307 54 300 53 301 40254 38642 61 314 55 309 53 303 55 305 38642 37137 62 315 56 314 55 304 56 304 37137 35736 65 317 60 321 50 307 53 302 35736 34407 69 318 74 325 55 312 49 308 34407 33084 73 319 87 321 61 309 53 305 33084 31738 77 320 90 320 60 310 44 309 31738 30364 79 321 87 321 60 311 47 313 30364 28940 76 321 83 322 70 312 51 307 28940 27447 70 321 78 321 76 310 50 306 27447 25879 64 322 72 322 75 310 50 307 25879 24237 62 325 64 322 68 314 48 311 24237 22522 63 327 57 320 62 320 46 314 22522 20737 62 328 53 322 57 323 43 314 20737 18876 59 327 51 324 51 322 41 316 18876 16939 54 330 51 323 47 322 36 321 16939 14962 43 327 48 324 46 322 34 326 14962 13051 35 323 40 321 44 321 34 329 13051 11312 34 324 34 319 40 318 33 328 11312 9775 36 326 33 321 37 317 32 326 9775 8421 38 327 33 325 37 321 31 327 8421 7227 38 329 33 329 35 327 29 330 7227 6172 37 332 33 330 33 334 26 332 6172 5242 36 333 33 329 31 337 24 331 5242 4427 35 332 33 325 29 334 24 327 4427 3710 33 328 31 320 27 325 25 320 3710 3074 29 320 26*314 24 316 27 312 3074 2517 24 313 19*309 20*312 26 308 2517 2055 19*311 16 307 15*308 21 311 2055 1702 13*310 15 306 14 307 15 316 1702 1460 11 310 13 306 12 307 10 313 1460 1314 9 310 12 306 10 307 7*311 1314 1230 6 310 8 305 6 307 2*302 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography