DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.7 - - 34.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 138 - - 19 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4655 - - 3450 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3984 - - 1215 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5855 - - 4650 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1313 - - 997 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 357 - - 176 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 17 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 311 - - 309 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1817 - - 898 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4038 - - 3753 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 913 - - 113 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4942 - - 4537 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 90 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.7 - - 34.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 22.6 - - 22.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 35.4 - - 34.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.4 - - 21.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 138 - - 19 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4655 - - 3450 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 59 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97484 13 249 16 254 97484 90235 10 220 14 253 90235 84636 12 216 8 254 84636 79959 11 214 13 264 79959 75912 12 230 15 245 75912 72323 13 270 11 240 72323 69051 24 263 19 268 69051 66032 28 247 32 256 66032 63232 28 239 33 241 63232 60518 31 232 36 241 60518 57664 35 238 37 235 57664 54680 49 244 50 252 54680 51838 62 244 60 250 51838 49293 69 242 66 248 49293 47021 80 239 72 245 47021 44960 90 234 74 243 44960 43067 94 230 76 242 43067 41314 95 229 81 241 41314 39689 96 229 88 239 39689 38176 99 229 93 237 38176 36764 101 230 93 239 36764 35409 103 230 93 236 35409 34038 101 227 75 240 34038 32617 95 227 69 256 32617 31160 92 230 78 253 31160 29656 87 234 69 258 29656 28094 84 236 63 288 28094 26466 76 241 77 306 26466 24766 63 254 82 306 24766 22994 58 268 78 299 22994 21152 58 276 77 295 21152 19234 60 280 75 294 19234 17234 60 280 71 291 17234 15196 60 279 69 289 15196 13242 61 286 64 292 13242 11480 59 296 56 297 11480 9929 52 304 49 304 9929 8562 47 309 44 311 8562 7354 32 310 39 315 7354 6288 24*310 30 312 6288 5351 24*310 23*308 5351 4530 24 311 20*308 4530 3804 23 311 20 308 3804 3154 22 311 19 308 3154 2578 22 311 18 309 2578 2098 21 311 17 309 2098 1729 20 311 15 309 1729 1474 18 311 14 310 1474 1320 15 311 11 310 1320 1231 10 311 8 310 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography