DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.4 - - 63.3 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 41 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2489 - - 2249 - - 144 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2186 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3689 - - 3449 - - 1344 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2286 - - 1921 - - 3630 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 257 - - 196 - - 28 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 008 - - 012 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 770 - - 1146 - - -265 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2919 - - 2303 - - 1609 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 225 - - 555 - - -1118 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3464 - - 2894 - - 2462 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 200 - - 220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 64.4 - - 63.3 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.6 - - 57.3 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 63.9 - - 63.2 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.8 - - 56.6 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 41 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2489 - - 2249 - - 144 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 95 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98988 9 123 10 173 7 221 98988 91526 6 218 4 070 8 197 91526 85734 10 219 1 280 4 147 85734 80919 6 217 9 233 5 284 80919 76782 9 208 8 245 5 308 76782 73141 1 199 4 244 3 350 73141 69842 4 337 6 198 6 345 69842 66800 9 299 6 258 15 314 66800 63975 8 259 10 275 13 301 63975 61227 11 313 16 308 17 311 61227 58357 20 320 21 311 21 303 58357 55380 24 306 27 299 23 296 55380 52532 26 293 26 293 21 302 52532 49958 35 300 34 303 32 310 49958 47650 43 293 41 298 40 301 47650 45566 43 284 42 295 42 300 45566 43663 41 288 43 300 43 303 43663 41905 50 292 48 304 47 304 41905 40273 52 288 53 299 54 300 40273 38755 53 288 55 292 56 295 38755 37343 56 289 54 290 55 294 37343 35997 58 291 50 292 57 299 35997 34644 60 291 45 296 59 301 34644 33249 57 293 45 304 57 302 33249 31813 51 294 46 305 55 302 31813 30320 42 292 45 301 54 300 30320 28757 37 296 44 299 54 298 28757 27122 38 301 41 299 52 297 27122 25414 38 302 39 303 48 299 25414 23633 34 307 38 305 43 302 23633 21781 28 313 35 308 41 309 21781 19848 26 315 30 308 37 307 19848 17830 23 317 26 304 34 304 17830 15777 19 327 20 305 21 303 15777 13804 16 331 16 314 15 307 13804 12010 14 338 11 333 15 315 12010 10414 13 351 10 353 12 323 10414 8995 13 359 10 355 12 344 8995 7732 12 360 9 345 11 351 7732 6610 9 004 9 340 11 354 6610 5618 8 006 9 347 10 022 5618 4745 8 006 10 358 13 045 4745 3973 9*006 11*007 14 048 3973 3281 10*007 11*010 13 046 3281 2668 10 008 11 012 12 044 2668 2156 10 008 11 013 10 040 2156 1763 10 009 10 014 8 037 1763 1492 9 009 10 014 6*034 1492 1328 8 008 8 014 4*032 1328 1233 6 009 6 014 2 031 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography