DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 38.1 - - 37.2 - - 37.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 22 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1747 - - 2136 - - 2034 - - 1929 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2947 - - 3336 - - 3234 - - 3129 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2150 - - 2216 - - 2274 - - 2366 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 151 - - 60 - - 49 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 281 - - 292 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 690 - - 745 - - 818 - - 921 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2257 - - 2591 - - 2416 - - 2208 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 311 - - 331 - - 292 - - 221 ODpotential blCL - - - 2636 - - 3005 - - 2942 - - 2908 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 38.1 - - 37.2 - - 37.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.7 - - 31.2 - - 31.0 - - 32.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.3 - - 38.1 - - 37.5 - - 37.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 30.7 - - 30.6 - - 31.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 22 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1747 - - 2136 - - 2034 - - 1929 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95828 62 265 58 252 75 248 64 254 95828 88732 39 261 33 264 36 255 40 261 88732 83278 20 252 21 256 23 275 21 270 83278 78770 16 268 17 253 19 285 10 285 78770 74843 16 265 18 259 21 289 3 308 74843 71309 8 248 11 250 17 276 8 283 71309 68080 8 274 7 256 9 271 11 284 68080 65101 16 281 14 262 7 277 12 285 65101 62325 19 277 17 258 11 283 14 270 62325 59619 21 266 21 265 21 278 17 279 59619 56779 24 259 26 262 27 262 27 267 56779 53828 29 268 31 260 34 255 35 260 53828 51017 40 270 37 259 40 261 42 261 51017 48503 45 270 45 263 50 262 49 259 48503 46266 53 271 54 262 56 260 55 262 46266 44240 58 269 57 261 62 259 65 256 44240 42392 60 270 62 258 66 255 65 246 42392 40695 68 269 66 260 71 256 64 245 40695 39125 76 267 74 260 75 254 65 250 39125 37672 81 268 79 260 82 260 75 260 37672 36319 87 269 89 263 101 262 97 256 36319 35018 89 270 99 264 112 256 104 249 35018 33700 93 273 106 265 112 255 106 248 33700 32335 100 276 113 266 113 255 110 249 32335 30923 104 275 113 267 111 255 106 248 30923 29457 105 275 107 267 102 255 98 246 29457 27928 103 274 98 267 90 254 90 248 27928 26330 90 275 91 266 83 254 77 249 26330 24659 80 276 85 268 77 257 66 252 24659 22915 76 276 79 270 72 259 60 258 22915 21101 73 275 71 268 68 259 56 261 21101 19210 68 272 64 269 61 262 50 261 19210 17237 63 270 60 270 53 266 43 259 17237 15227 57 271 53 268 50 267 39 260 15227 13293 54 274 47 269 47 268 35 265 13293 11538 51 277 41 274 42 272 32 269 11538 9984 46 281 37 279 36 276 30 270 9984 8608 41 284 34 280 31 279 29 270 8608 7391 36 286 31 279 29 280 28 274 7391 6319 29 286 26 276 24 279 25 278 6319 5379 21 286 22 275 20 279 20 278 5379 4553 17 287 20 275 19 282 18 282 4553 3822 16 289 18*276 18*283 16 286 3822 3168 14*292 15*278 16*287 14*294 3168 2589 11*297 14 280 14 290 11*302 2589 2105 11 298 13 281 13 292 10 307 2105 1733 10 300 12 282 11 294 9 310 1733 1477 9 301 10 283 10 296 7 311 1477 1321 7 302 9 283 8 296 6 312 1321 1232 5 303 6 284 5 297 3 313 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography