DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.0 - - 44.7 - - 40.8 - - 37.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - -8 - - -22 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 32 - - 433 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1216 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1232 - - 1633 - - 1232 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 521 - - 1415 - - 710 - - 419 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 19 - - 58 - - 13 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 183 - - 143 - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1464 - - -1499 - - -600 - - -310 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2696 - - 3132 - - 1832 - - 1542 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7572 - - -6345 - - -5854 - - -6360 ODpotential blCL - - - 8804 - - 7978 - - 7086 - - 7592 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 93 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.0 - - 44.7 - - 40.8 - - 37.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.9 - - 35.5 - - 37.3 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.0 - - 45.3 - - 43.1 - - 39.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.8 - - 34.2 - - 36.7 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -11 - - -8 - - -22 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 32 - - 433 - - 32 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 71 - - 100 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95631 12 353 13 333 24 356 30 013 95631 88788 16 017 12 015 14 355 25 011 88788 83449 8 352 14 338 13 347 17 351 83449 78955 9 027 10 336 13 327 17 336 78955 75045 10 316 12 313 14 309 16 321 75045 71556 11 298 17 290 22 295 22 306 71556 68361 15 301 19 283 25 272 29 274 68361 65411 22 299 19 277 21 273 31 262 65411 62666 30 282 24 272 22 276 29 264 62666 59997 36 267 32 281 28 280 35 277 59997 57206 39 258 43 269 40 274 46 269 57206 54310 38 263 47 263 48 273 46 264 54310 51556 43 263 48 266 59 274 54 273 51556 49092 41 261 49 270 71 267 64 269 49092 46880 42 271 50 271 71 259 66 263 46880 44860 53 271 55 269 69 254 71 258 44860 43002 57 266 60 265 68 253 75 253 43002 41287 64 269 62 268 67 254 77 254 41287 39700 81 270 74 272 64 258 75 256 39700 38227 114 271 94 270 70 263 75 256 38227 36857 138 269 118 266 84 266 76 254 36857 35545 142 263 130 262 99 264 78 250 35545 34216 135 261 123 257 114 262 82 247 34216 32842 121 260 119 252 121 262 79 250 32842 31424 100 258 108 249 108 260 80 248 31424 29945 82 252 108 250 92 254 80 246 29945 28391 65 254 96 259 86 253 76 246 28391 26761 59 256 81 268 81 256 71 246 26761 25056 58 253 68 262 79 262 65 245 25056 23277 56 252 66 255 66 267 61 247 23277 21429 49 250 65 258 51 267 55 243 21429 19507 37 248 59 255 47 259 45 234 19507 17508 31 251 47 249 48 254 40 236 17508 15471 29 258 35 249 42 254 36 238 15471 13513 29 261 30 251 30 245 30 230 13513 11743 31 255 30 251 20 245 20 198 11743 10182 34 248 30 248 19 255 13 183 10182 8798 34 236 30 247 21 251 11 212 8798 7565 31 229 30 245 24 244 14 223 7565 6467 25 233 28 238 27 241 19 223 6467 5494 24 240 26 233 29 239 22 225 5494 4636 26 241 25 234 30 236 26 226 4636 3880 29 237 26 232 30 229 29 219 3880 3206 30 231 25 222 29 219 32 209 3206 2611 30 221 22 211 26 207 32 202 2611 2117 28 212 17 201 20 193 24 192 2117 1738 21 208 13*193 15 174 18 173 1738 1479 12 198 10*186 12 160 14 164 1479 1322 9*191 8 183 9*153 10*158 1322 1232 4*172 5 180 4*143 4*149 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography