DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 6.7 - - 15.1 - - 16.1 - - 8.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 173 - - 51 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 696 - - 2707 - - 2446 - - 30 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1213 - - 2670 - - 1214 - - 1213 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1896 - - 3907 - - 3646 - - 1230 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1231 - - 1027 - - 1097 - - 1341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 170 - - 317 - - 206 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 271 - - 274 - - 128 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -578 - - 242 - - 342 - - -1665 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2474 - - 3665 - - 3305 - - 2895 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9154 - - -6202 - - -3818 - - -10187 ODpotential blCL - - - 11050 - - 10109 - - 7464 - - 11417 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 74 - - 83 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 6.7 - - 15.1 - - 16.1 - - 8.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 1.0 - - 3.9 - - 6.5 - - 0.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 6.3 - - 14.4 - - 16.0 - - 13.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.1 - - 2.9 - - 5.4 - - 4.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 106 - - 173 - - 51 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 696 - - 2707 - - 2446 - - 30 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 33 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96396 7 100 9 181 8 184 8 177 96396 89201 10 166 17 185 16 190 13 211 89201 83611 19 212 21 210 17 206 20 230 83611 78922 22 203 34 211 27 232 26 239 78922 74858 21 224 34 216 32 236 26 229 74858 71229 29 234 33 226 27 236 22 232 71229 67905 37 242 33 237 31 239 35 244 67905 64846 40 253 34 254 40 246 40 257 64846 62024 46 251 46 253 48 247 49 255 62024 59288 45 246 49 244 48 252 52 249 59288 56422 46 248 51 256 53 265 56 260 56422 53446 57 260 63 261 66 264 60 266 53446 50602 66 260 71 259 66 262 68 269 50602 48043 72 259 72 256 67 264 76 269 48043 45762 75 256 70 257 71 265 78 266 45762 43706 72 254 71 260 74 264 75 267 43706 41833 69 259 74 264 76 265 75 270 41833 40112 69 261 78 266 77 266 78 275 40112 38522 69 266 81 269 78 269 88 278 38522 37048 80 269 86 273 82 275 101 277 37048 35683 93 266 96 273 96 278 111 275 35683 34384 97 264 104 270 112 276 111 273 34384 33082 102 266 107 266 117 271 108 279 33082 31746 114 263 105 266 111 270 114 288 31746 30372 114 259 107 269 107 274 118 291 30372 28941 102 264 110 271 113 280 118 290 28941 27438 112 270 111 271 120 281 115 287 27438 25860 119 268 111 271 120 279 113 283 25860 24207 115 268 109 271 117 278 110 280 24207 22480 108 268 108 271 114 279 104 278 22480 20682 98 270 103 270 112 278 97 278 20682 18807 80 271 91 270 108 278 92 278 18807 16853 66 266 74 268 91 281 88 280 16853 14867 60 264 66 265 76 283 79 286 14867 12972 56 268 60 268 67 281 67 292 12972 11261 48 272 50 274 59 276 56 295 11261 9746 39 275 41 276 48 276 48 291 9746 8403 31 275 33 275 38 276 42 284 8403 7213 26 270 27 269 33 271 37 278 7213 6161 23 264 24 263 30 265 33 274 6161 5237 21 261 22 262 25 261 28 267 5237 4429 18 260 16*263 19 262 22 258 4429 3720 15 259 12*266 13*265 17 247 3720 3087 11 256 10 269 9*270 12 234 3087 2529 8 251 9 272 8 273 8 213 2529 2065 4*238 8 273 8 275 5 192 2065 1709 3*227 8 274 7 276 3 173 1709 1464 2 223 7 276 7 277 3 148 1464 1315 2 220 6 276 6 278 3*132 1315 1230 1 220 5 277 4 278 3*128 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography