DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 58.5 - - 56.3 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 89 - - -4 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 588 - - 1743 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1788 - - 2943 - - 1233 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 684 - - 849 - - 2380 - - 135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 138 - - 223 - - 9 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 262 - - 223 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3662 - - -4415 - - -5769 - - -2394 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5450 - - 7358 - - 7002 - - 3626 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13979 - - -13776 - - -15147 - - -15174 ODpotential blCL - - - 15767 - - 16719 - - 16380 - - 16406 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 38 - - 30 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 58.5 - - 56.3 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 31.2 - - 30.8 - - 31.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.0 - - 58.0 - - 58.8 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 30.1 - - 29.6 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 89 - - -4 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 588 - - 1743 - - 33 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96943 14 268 17 258 29 278 19 268 96943 89868 8 299 6 288 8 274 12 264 89868 84384 5 292 5 289 5 324 5 307 84384 79817 1 224 4 254 7 317 3 359 79817 75878 3 213 8 252 10 288 4 309 75878 72381 4 213 11 254 11 272 9 302 72381 69197 5 318 9 255 11 260 13 297 69197 66262 7 309 8 277 12 252 15 288 66262 63539 8 307 11 282 14 247 17 272 63539 60897 17 305 9 276 13 241 21 264 60897 58131 16 290 15 284 13 254 21 264 58131 55249 6 349 17 272 17 268 23 272 55249 52498 17 002 11 284 20 268 26 268 52498 50033 22 358 8 336 13 279 20 265 50033 47831 27 350 18 344 18 329 16 290 47831 45834 29 353 24 344 25 335 17 307 45834 44004 29 014 26 357 21 345 23 314 44004 42311 34 023 23 012 17 001 23 312 42311 40735 37 030 25 018 23 358 19 322 40735 39267 42 032 28 013 30 354 21 345 39267 37893 43 035 30 015 32 352 29 348 37893 36570 43 040 31 018 33 348 36 341 36570 35224 42 051 30 022 31 349 34 341 35224 33823 43 045 28 029 29 352 30 342 33823 32372 43 047 28 033 25 355 29 339 32372 30857 45 057 28 034 23 002 26 341 30857 29263 38 059 28 036 21 018 24 347 29263 27592 28 058 26 042 19 036 14 008 27592 25843 23 069 23 061 17 040 10 014 25843 24021 23 081 22 085 14 091 6 111 24021 22129 17 089 15 097 13 116 5 164 22129 20157 9 113 8 105 5 122 3 277 20157 18098 6 158 3 146 2 253 4 285 18098 15994 4 222 4 222 5 252 7 243 15994 13968 7 270 7 270 8 256 11 244 13968 12128 9 258 10 272 12 259 16 255 12128 10494 10 248 11 260 15 260 18 263 10494 9043 10 246 11 254 17 266 17 266 9043 7753 11 249 13 255 18 273 14 266 7753 6611 12 257 14 261 17 277 12 259 6611 5603 13 265 14 265 15 273 12 253 5603 4722 13 272 14 266 14 264 13 258 4722 3947 12 281 12 265 12 251 13 264 3947 3256 12 290 9*262 10 232 13 265 3256 2646 11 294 6*258 8 221 13 257 2646 2138 9*291 5 260 7 220 15 243 2138 1750 5*283 5 263 6 221 15 230 1750 1484 2 281 4 264 6 221 11 218 1484 1323 1 285 4 265 4*223 7 198 1323 1232 1 285 3 267 2*223 4*179 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography