DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.3 - - 46.0 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 152 - - 57 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4732 - - 4656 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4154 - - 3377 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5932 - - 5856 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3133 - - 3233 - - 6484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 382 - - 280 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 276 - - 272 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1696 - - 1886 - - -1281 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4236 - - 3970 - - 2513 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 171 - - 631 - - -2143 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5761 - - 5225 - - 3375 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 94 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 100 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.3 - - 46.0 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.9 - - 32.8 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 45.9 - - 45.9 - - 43.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 30.7 - - 31.6 - - 34.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 152 - - 57 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4732 - - 4656 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 61 - - 77 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97581 2 049 8 318 15 345 97581 90267 2 098 7 311 6 007 90267 84608 3 222 2 289 4 202 84608 79890 3 302 2 174 2 295 79890 75811 7 280 4 222 7 280 75811 72171 6 196 9 217 10 221 72171 68840 10 204 9 224 16 238 68840 65778 20 235 10 258 12 260 65778 62943 22 257 29 265 26 266 62943 60179 42 238 43 242 38 251 60179 57293 39 225 43 232 39 244 57293 54288 33 229 41 238 43 244 54288 51407 42 247 49 240 47 238 51407 48810 55 248 52 241 51 240 48810 46487 63 246 59 245 55 241 46487 44385 71 245 65 245 58 242 44385 42465 78 243 76 244 68 241 42465 40703 85 240 86 234 75 231 40703 39074 90 236 83 229 70 226 39074 37555 89 234 80 236 70 232 37555 36134 87 237 89 238 81 234 36134 34778 94 239 95 233 87 228 34778 33420 100 235 94 231 83 225 33420 32026 98 233 93 233 85 229 32026 30601 97 236 97 238 93 232 30601 29129 99 238 103 239 99 233 29129 27595 98 237 106 239 100 234 27595 25995 96 236 103 238 94 232 25995 24329 92 236 94 238 89 232 24329 22602 84 234 82 238 80 236 22602 20818 74 235 70 238 69 240 20818 18969 68 237 64 239 59 244 18969 17045 64 238 62 243 54 246 17045 15081 61 238 58 246 50 250 15081 13189 56 240 50 250 42 254 13189 11472 47 244 40 256 33 262 11472 9953 33 253 32 260 29 268 9953 8609 27 263 28 263 27 267 8609 7419 28 268 27 264 26 266 7419 6362 28*270 26*266 26 268 6362 5422 27*271 24*269 26 271 5422 4591 25 274 21 271 25 275 4591 3854 24 275 20 272 23 279 3854 3193 23 276 19 273 21 283 3193 2607 22 277 18 273 20 285 2607 2117 21 277 18 274 18 287 2117 1740 20 277 17 274 15 288 1740 1480 18 278 15 274 11 288 1480 1322 16 278 12 274 9*288 1322 1232 11 278 9 274 5*288 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography