DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 40.5 - - 39.7 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 177 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2804 - - 3422 - - 2981 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2532 - - 3201 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4004 - - 4622 - - 4181 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 898 - - 864 - - 1262 - - 3163 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 283 - - 346 - - 74 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 15 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 291 - - 303 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 447 - - 457 - - 444 - - -1601 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3557 - - 4165 - - 3737 - - 2833 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -547 - - -7901 - - -235 - - -3821 ODpotential blCL - - - 4551 - - 12523 - - 4416 - - 5053 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 90 - - 96 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 40.5 - - 39.7 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.3 - - 27.0 - - 28.1 - - 26.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.7 - - 39.9 - - 40.3 - - 37.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 26.1 - - 27.6 - - 26.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 177 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2804 - - 3422 - - 2981 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 62 - - 85 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95814 82 241 87 242 86 243 83 247 95814 88940 56 242 65 240 68 250 63 245 88940 83590 39 241 39 238 52 249 44 255 83590 79105 28 250 30 243 37 242 38 254 79105 75181 35 257 33 254 37 256 38 256 75181 71673 40 253 38 260 40 255 41 262 71673 68489 39 253 36 261 35 259 39 258 68489 65541 40 262 34 263 31 257 36 264 65541 62784 35 263 35 270 32 265 38 264 62784 60091 35 270 42 272 40 276 37 270 60091 57264 46 269 48 271 48 278 43 283 57264 54330 52 268 50 269 52 271 53 281 54330 51539 55 274 50 272 53 272 58 278 51539 49048 60 279 57 278 60 277 62 279 49048 46832 66 275 67 278 67 278 64 279 46832 44822 65 275 72 276 71 277 67 279 44822 42980 66 282 73 276 75 278 70 282 42980 41282 73 286 75 277 78 282 77 285 41282 39710 81 285 80 279 84 283 83 284 39710 38246 87 286 86 279 90 282 86 284 38246 36877 92 287 91 279 92 282 88 285 36877 35558 94 288 95 280 92 283 89 286 35558 34223 95 288 97 281 94 284 89 287 34223 32842 94 288 96 280 92 284 88 289 32842 31415 94 291 95 279 87 284 85 290 31415 29927 94 291 93 278 84 282 77 290 29927 28363 89 291 87 280 85 280 73 289 28363 26720 79 290 78 282 83 278 67 292 26720 25002 71 291 69 282 79 276 61 299 25002 23211 67 293 67 284 76 274 56 306 23211 21350 67 295 67 287 69 273 50 309 21350 19417 64 296 62 290 56 271 42 317 19417 17414 52 293 56 293 47 272 37 333 17414 15387 43 293 50 294 45 275 32 333 15387 13441 42 295 42 292 39 281 28 322 13441 11670 42 298 35 289 35 287 30 309 11670 10095 40 302 32 290 34 291 34 303 10095 8697 37 305 30 293 34 293 33 300 8697 7462 34 308 29 297 34 293 30 297 7462 6373 33 308 28 298 32 290 29 293 6373 5417 30 308 25*295 26 290 28 289 5417 4579 26*309 19*292 22*294 25 291 4579 3840 19*312 18 291 18*300 23 298 3840 3179 16 314 18 291 17 301 21 308 3179 2596 15 315 18 291 16 303 20 315 2596 2108 14 316 17 291 15 305 17 319 2108 1734 13 316 16 291 13 306 13 321 1734 1477 12 316 15 291 11 305 9 321 1477 1321 10 316 13 291 9 306 6*320 1321 1232 7 316 9 291 6 306 2*315 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography