DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.5 - - 28.1 - - 26.1 - - 19.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 28 - - -16 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 415 - - 2100 - - 230 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1615 - - 3300 - - 1430 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1041 - - 1901 - - 3354 - - 464 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 164 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 16 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 184 - - 188 - - 186 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -5 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -603 - - 1021 - - -456 - - -514 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2218 - - 2279 - - 1886 - - 1745 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2484 - - 345 - - -1202 - - -3379 ODpotential blCL - - - 4099 - - 2955 - - 2632 - - 4610 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 99 - - 95 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.5 - - 28.1 - - 26.1 - - 19.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.4 - - 22.6 - - 22.4 - - 16.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.6 - - 28.2 - - 27.6 - - 23.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.8 - - 21.9 - - 22.1 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 24 - - 28 - - -16 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 415 - - 2100 - - 230 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 98 - - 80 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94425 109 237 113 244 119 245 113 243 94425 87589 86 243 90 244 92 246 88 246 87589 82251 74 247 79 243 73 244 77 243 82251 77746 64 248 71 240 65 245 67 245 77746 73821 59 252 66 246 67 248 60 248 73821 70327 54 250 64 250 67 252 60 250 70327 67134 51 247 61 251 62 256 64 254 67134 64189 50 251 54 252 58 256 65 257 64189 61465 53 254 54 253 55 253 61 257 61465 58819 57 252 58 246 56 250 57 255 58819 56028 59 249 56 241 58 248 55 254 56028 53097 56 249 51 249 57 249 56 255 53097 50279 57 255 55 260 58 255 60 255 50279 47740 65 254 68 259 67 256 68 254 47740 45476 71 252 76 254 75 254 78 254 45476 43438 73 250 82 251 83 253 86 253 43438 41577 70 250 84 249 91 252 89 251 41577 39859 67 252 83 248 93 250 89 248 39859 38267 70 254 81 249 91 250 91 246 38267 36790 76 253 81 252 91 252 97 245 36790 35417 81 252 83 253 97 253 101 246 35417 34108 84 252 87 254 105 252 106 247 34108 32791 85 252 91 253 107 250 115 248 32791 31434 85 252 94 252 106 249 122 248 31434 30041 83 251 94 251 108 251 126 248 30041 28597 77 249 95 252 113 253 132 248 28597 27090 70 245 95 254 119 255 138 246 27090 25518 65 242 89 253 121 257 137 246 25518 23877 61 242 79 248 115 257 128 247 23877 22173 54 239 68 240 104 256 113 248 22173 20409 49 230 61 237 95 253 100 250 20409 18579 42 225 54 233 81 250 91 248 18579 16678 34 229 51 231 63 247 83 246 16678 14745 35 234 49 232 52 243 75 244 14745 12890 40 235 43 233 48 240 62 244 12890 11211 41 232 35 232 40 241 48 245 11211 9726 39 228 33 230 34 242 37 247 9726 8414 35 222 33 227 32 242 27 247 8414 7251 29 217 31 224 30 241 24 252 7251 6217 25 210 30 218 29 238 26 258 6217 5298 23 202 28 211 28 230 29 260 5298 4486 23 199 26 203 27 220 30 256 4486 3769 23 199 22*195 26 211 30 247 3769 3126 22 200 20*191 24 204 29 236 3126 2557 21 200 18 189 22 200 27 226 2557 2083 19 197 16 187 18 196 23 219 2083 1719 16*193 14 186 15 192 17 211 1719 1469 11*186 13 185 12*189 11 195 1469 1317 9 184 10 184 9*187 8*181 1317 1231 6 182 7 184 6 184 4*167 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography