DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 32.8 - - 29.3 - - 22.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 20 - - -17 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3148 - - 191 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4348 - - 1391 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1273 - - 5620 - - 2055 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 174 - - 29 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 261 - - 240 - - 220 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1759 - - -894 - - -555 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2589 - - 2285 - - 1786 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 817 - - -1786 - - -2464 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3531 - - 3177 - - 3695 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 32.8 - - 29.3 - - 22.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 25.7 - - 23.6 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.0 - - 30.6 - - 26.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 24.5 - - 22.7 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 20 - - -17 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3148 - - 191 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 102 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94451 95 244 96 247 88 244 94451 87753 64 246 60 243 74 246 87753 82599 46 246 42 240 57 246 82599 78264 42 242 46 247 47 246 78264 74450 47 247 55 252 41 246 74450 70993 57 248 60 248 40 251 70993 67790 59 238 61 243 48 253 67790 64802 56 234 59 240 59 248 64802 62011 55 235 56 238 64 242 62011 59293 56 237 53 236 64 241 59293 56443 61 236 55 238 66 241 56443 53473 70 229 64 238 64 239 53473 50630 77 222 73 231 62 236 50630 48067 81 218 75 223 63 231 48067 45769 77 219 71 219 61 227 45769 43683 78 226 69 221 53 226 43683 41769 90 230 72 224 49 229 41769 40001 108 229 78 222 50 232 40001 38359 125 224 87 220 55 232 38359 36826 135 217 97 217 59 231 36826 35390 136 210 101 213 59 229 35390 34011 129 207 100 210 59 225 34011 32622 120 209 100 208 62 223 32622 31194 127 215 104 207 64 223 31194 29734 143 216 112 206 65 221 29734 28230 152 214 119 204 63 217 28230 26677 152 211 123 203 59 214 26677 25076 150 209 118 202 51 214 25076 23426 143 209 107 202 43 219 23426 21729 131 209 96 204 38 227 21729 19989 116 207 87 207 37 230 19989 18203 99 206 82 208 35 228 18203 16366 84 206 76 208 31 233 16366 14507 71 209 60 210 30 247 14507 12720 58 215 42 213 30 254 12720 11097 47 221 31 218 28 261 11097 9653 36 223 27 232 30 269 9653 8368 29 223 26 249 31 269 8368 7219 23 225 28 256 30 267 7219 6195 18 239 27 255 31 268 6195 5285 16 256 26 254 31 268 5285 4480 16*259 25 253 31 267 4480 3768 15*260 23 252 28 263 3768 3128 15 261 21 249 26 257 3128 2561 15 261 19 247 24 251 2561 2087 14 261 17 246 22 247 2087 1722 13 262 14 244 19 244 1722 1471 12 261 11*243 14 241 1471 1318 10 262 8*242 9*233 1318 1231 7 262 5 239 5*220 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography