DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 21.8 - - 21.3 - - 19.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 88 - - 8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2543 - - 1967 - - 1327 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2134 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3743 - - 3167 - - 2527 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1165 - - 1987 - - 1992 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 250 - - 109 - - 32 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 301 - - 292 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 3 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1488 - - 892 - - 757 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2255 - - 2276 - - 1770 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 773 - - 417 - - 397 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2970 - - 2750 - - 2130 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 21.8 - - 21.3 - - 19.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 16.6 - - 16.0 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 21.6 - - 21.4 - - 19.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 15.5 - - 15.5 - - 16.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 88 - - 8 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2543 - - 1967 - - 1327 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95749 51 225 44 225 56 218 95749 88553 45 223 44 241 56 231 88553 83039 37 223 41 244 45 230 83039 78420 41 242 43 246 43 248 78420 74424 41 244 41 245 45 255 74424 70891 34 243 37 244 41 252 70891 67677 35 246 35 244 39 253 67677 64692 44 254 37 248 39 257 64692 61901 50 254 38 257 41 260 61901 59186 50 255 41 262 41 260 59186 56340 52 256 47 260 43 260 56340 53366 53 251 50 259 46 262 53366 50510 47 245 52 256 47 263 50510 47935 42 255 50 253 47 263 47935 45628 46 259 47 255 48 263 45628 43543 48 255 48 259 49 262 43543 41642 44 253 47 260 51 260 41642 39894 42 255 48 262 51 259 39894 38280 45 257 51 262 53 258 38280 36784 46 258 55 261 56 254 36784 35395 48 265 54 261 57 251 35395 34073 47 273 53 264 57 250 34073 32756 57 282 58 267 59 253 32756 31413 63 282 64 270 65 253 31413 30047 62 286 68 272 70 253 30047 28633 65 294 70 273 72 253 28633 27151 71 297 69 273 70 253 27151 25598 70 299 65 271 66 255 25598 23972 67 301 60 271 61 257 23972 22275 66 302 56 274 55 260 22275 20509 63 303 51 276 51 263 20509 18668 58 302 47 280 47 265 18668 16748 49 307 43 289 44 269 16748 14790 39 313 37 296 36 275 14790 12908 30 321 30 305 28 283 12908 11205 23 330 26 314 24 293 11205 9701 19 340 24 319 22 304 9701 8372 18 341 20 321 19 318 8372 7195 17 336 17 321 18 330 7195 6154 17 332 17 317 18 330 6154 5236 19 323 18 302 18 319 5236 4432 19*311 18 295 19 307 4432 3727 17*305 17*294 19 304 3727 3095 16 303 16*293 18 305 3095 2537 15 301 14 292 17*306 2537 2071 14 300 13 292 16*306 2071 1713 13 299 12 292 14 306 1713 1466 12 299 10 292 11 307 1466 1316 10 298 8 291 9 307 1316 1230 7 299 5 291 5 307 1230 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography