DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0702z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 76.5 - - 74.7 - - 73.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - -2 - - -16 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1214 - - 2620 - - 35 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1218 - - 1218 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2414 - - 3820 - - 1235 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1682 - - 4187 - - 5406 - - 1887 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 169 - - 166 - - 22 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 10 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 219 - - 191 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 7 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1555 - - -445 - - -1359 - - -516 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3970 - - 4266 - - 2594 - - 1751 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4515 - - -2829 - - -3311 - - -2996 ODpotential blCL - - - 6929 - - 6649 - - 4546 - - 4231 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 50 - - 270 - - 610 - - 930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 76.5 - - 74.7 - - 73.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 62.0 - - 67.2 - - 69.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.0 - - 77.2 - - 76.4 - - 75.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 60.7 - - 65.9 - - 69.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - -2 - - -16 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1214 - - 2620 - - 35 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 52 - - 92 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99540 31 088 30 086 33 089 25 072 99540 91996 30 080 27 091 27 090 21 075 91996 86179 23 083 27 082 19 090 20 078 86179 81321 19 090 20 077 19 078 19 075 81321 77134 17 075 12 099 14 065 17 070 77134 73450 14 066 12 076 12 052 15 081 73450 70118 8 044 11 066 15 028 14 060 70118 67061 6 011 9 048 11 009 14 026 67061 64247 14 359 11 027 8 349 13 001 64247 61538 16 344 14 340 13 342 14 354 61538 58725 20 346 17 328 18 328 20 322 58725 55824 33 344 25 339 23 334 22 333 55824 53091 44 326 43 343 41 335 38 338 53091 50662 59 306 64 312 62 312 52 319 50662 48502 61 301 62 294 62 308 48 302 48502 46554 53 309 53 306 62 316 41 311 46554 44763 63 327 58 324 63 320 47 323 44763 43096 75 330 61 328 59 320 57 323 43096 41533 72 329 60 327 57 321 58 322 41533 40058 66 325 60 324 56 322 53 316 40058 38661 62 317 62 322 57 321 49 309 38661 37303 59 310 65 321 59 320 47 309 37303 35916 56 309 62 318 60 319 48 311 35916 34471 56 312 57 313 59 318 51 315 34471 32974 59 315 54 314 55 319 56 318 32974 31413 62 313 55 318 52 320 57 314 31413 29774 60 310 55 317 55 325 56 308 29774 28058 55 307 55 314 54 323 59 310 28058 26263 45 297 54 316 49 316 52 307 26263 24394 41 289 48 313 42 315 46 301 24394 22459 35 299 41 301 37 321 35 309 22459 20451 31 302 36 286 33 316 29 307 20451 18368 31 296 31 279 32 306 20 315 18368 16254 27 291 16 286 29 301 21 321 16254 14218 21 293 12 276 24 295 24 302 14218 12366 19 293 13 289 21 286 30 283 12366 10721 19 290 12 294 19 282 31 282 10721 9259 17 290 10 267 17 279 26 285 9259 7957 11 288 10 243 14 268 25 284 7957 6801 6 264 12 240 11 254 23 282 6801 5776 4 221 13 241 11 248 18 276 5776 4872 4 210 14 239 11 240 13 264 4872 4073 6 220 13*233 12 232 12 246 4073 3356 8 209 11*225 13 226 14 233 3356 2721 8*191 10 219 12 221 16 222 2721 2191 7*163 10 218 11 218 14 211 2191 1783 7 150 9 217 10 217 11 200 1783 1503 6 147 8 217 8 212 8 187 1503 1332 6 146 7 216 5*204 6*173 1332 1235 4 144 5 214 3*191 3*154 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography