DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/06 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.3 - - 29.1 - - 27.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - -7 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1185 - - 669 - - 169 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2385 - - 1869 - - 1369 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1024 - - 1289 - - 1028 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 138 - - 30 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 152 - - 148 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 653 - - 250 - - 89 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1732 - - 1619 - - 1280 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 322 - - -305 - - -7899 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2063 - - 2174 - - 9268 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.3 - - 29.1 - - 27.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.2 - - 26.4 - - 25.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 29.2 - - 29.9 - - 28.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 25.6 - - 26.3 - - 25.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 30 - - -7 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1185 - - 669 - - 169 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 95 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95678 66 250 71 259 73 259 95678 88656 38 248 40 252 49 253 88656 83207 32 254 33 260 34 259 83207 78643 33 261 34 271 34 276 78643 74709 25 254 27 263 31 271 74709 71214 18 254 20 258 31 270 71214 68021 23 274 20 268 28 274 68021 65061 34 279 24 277 27 270 65061 62292 39 279 30 281 26 267 62292 59583 44 271 36 279 32 277 59583 56738 45 264 41 272 42 275 56738 53771 46 260 47 269 48 274 53771 50930 45 256 51 265 52 269 50930 48375 45 257 52 260 51 264 48375 46096 46 257 51 258 49 264 46096 44043 49 260 56 260 53 263 44043 42175 53 265 61 255 56 255 42175 40461 61 267 59 254 58 255 40461 38873 67 263 64 261 64 254 38873 37400 76 263 76 259 66 251 37400 36032 83 266 78 256 70 251 36032 34727 89 267 75 256 71 249 34727 33419 94 265 76 256 74 244 33419 32079 97 262 78 250 70 241 32079 30707 93 260 68 246 58 241 30707 29279 86 258 65 244 48 239 29279 27778 80 257 64 245 46 234 27778 26204 76 258 60 246 44 232 26204 24552 70 260 55 246 42 239 24552 22826 62 262 49 249 40 243 22826 21028 57 264 39 256 38 244 21028 19153 53 263 33 260 35 245 19153 17197 42 262 31 256 26 240 17197 15205 33 261 31 248 20 218 15205 13289 27 261 25 240 16 220 13289 11549 21 261 18 237 17 238 11549 10005 18 258 16 241 17 227 10005 8635 16 256 17 240 16 203 8635 7418 13 252 17 237 13 195 7418 6338 11 242 15 231 13 196 6338 5381 10 225 15 224 15 197 5381 4541 10 215 15 215 17 199 4541 3800 11 214 15 200 18 200 3800 3142 10 206 14 178 19 188 3142 2565 7*183 14 155 21 166 2565 2087 6*157 13*151 20 152 2087 1722 6 152 12*150 16 148 1722 1471 6 150 11 148 13*144 1471 1318 5 149 8 147 10*142 1318 1231 4 148 5 146 5 138 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography