DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/03 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.2 - - 35.3 - - 34.4 - - 29.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 60 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 887 - - 1823 - - 1100 - - 393 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2087 - - 3023 - - 2300 - - 1593 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 560 - - 848 - - 1319 - - 893 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 201 - - 51 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 15 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 189 - - 190 - - 180 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -5 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1023 - - 558 - - 442 - - 39 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3110 - - 2465 - - 1858 - - 1554 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10354 - - -3783 - - -61 - - -8030 ODpotential blCL - - - 12441 - - 6806 - - 2361 - - 9623 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 91 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.2 - - 35.3 - - 34.4 - - 29.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 29.3 - - 31.0 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 35.1 - - 35.0 - - 30.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 28.2 - - 30.7 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 59 - - 60 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 887 - - 1823 - - 1100 - - 393 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 64 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96377 18 214 16 192 15 227 9 216 96377 89167 13 213 19 209 26 232 23 226 89167 83551 15 210 28 216 27 229 23 218 83551 78826 26 236 30 232 34 237 35 249 78826 74758 31 230 28 237 32 235 43 244 74758 71178 27 239 26 235 24 229 39 237 71178 67953 42 267 37 264 29 255 34 259 67953 64989 51 261 50 260 37 257 39 256 64989 62215 47 260 48 259 45 264 43 261 62215 59504 49 265 54 262 56 267 49 262 59504 56665 58 268 61 263 62 265 60 264 56665 53723 66 266 68 262 67 263 69 262 53723 50920 69 265 72 264 74 265 72 262 50920 48397 70 267 76 266 78 267 73 263 48397 46139 72 269 80 265 80 268 74 265 46139 44104 75 271 82 265 84 268 79 267 44104 42262 81 271 85 266 87 267 86 268 42262 40587 85 270 85 267 87 265 90 266 40587 39052 84 270 88 266 90 263 93 263 39052 37635 82 271 95 264 95 261 96 261 37635 36315 82 271 97 264 95 261 95 261 36315 35048 82 270 97 264 93 263 93 262 35048 33763 83 269 96 263 89 262 93 261 33763 32429 82 270 93 262 84 259 93 257 32429 31045 81 276 90 261 79 255 91 254 31045 29598 82 277 84 262 77 254 90 257 29598 28073 78 273 77 265 74 255 86 260 28073 26473 70 266 71 263 71 256 76 257 26473 24797 65 262 68 253 67 254 70 251 24797 23046 66 256 67 251 64 250 67 250 23046 21223 68 253 65 250 61 249 65 250 21223 19324 62 255 59 252 59 248 64 250 19324 17344 56 260 50 255 54 249 64 244 17344 15329 49 262 43 257 45 247 60 238 15329 13391 41 261 37 257 37 247 42 240 13391 11631 35 258 31 253 31 248 27 235 11631 10066 32 252 27 247 25 241 23 231 10066 8676 27 246 23 239 22 226 25 226 8676 7444 21 244 19 231 21 222 27 222 7444 6353 17 245 15 224 24 224 27 225 6353 5392 15 241 16 217 27 222 29 226 5392 4551 17 230 21 211 29 214 32 219 4551 3811 20 218 23 206 28 204 33 208 3811 3152 23 212 21*200 24 194 28 199 3152 2574 21*208 17*193 21*187 20 185 2574 2093 16*202 16 191 18*182 18 168 2093 1725 11 192 15 190 16 180 15*158 1725 1472 9 189 13 189 14 179 12*154 1472 1319 8 187 11 188 11 177 9 152 1319 1231 5 185 7 187 7 176 5 149 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography