DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.3 - - 76.5 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2973 - - 1984 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2480 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4173 - - 3184 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2270 - - 2877 - - 4628 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 267 - - 157 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 265 - - 253 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1288 - - 570 - - -629 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2886 - - 2614 - - 1864 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1 - - -503 - - -2009 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4174 - - 3687 - - 3244 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 94 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1450 - - 1700 - - 2020 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.3 - - 76.5 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 68.5 - - 68.8 - - 69.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.0 - - 76.6 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.2 - - 67.9 - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 73 - - 17 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2973 - - 1984 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 77 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99704 24 087 13 105 18 056 99704 92198 15 104 14 083 17 054 92198 86395 15 111 15 070 15 059 86395 81562 14 088 14 086 10 070 81562 77399 13 079 13 082 8 091 77399 73717 8 095 9 076 6 092 73717 70383 9 101 6 063 4 085 70383 67317 6 093 2 124 2 095 67317 64472 5 139 1 006 2 072 64472 61719 2 210 4 289 3 019 61719 58857 15 226 11 242 11 261 58857 55904 14 242 13 227 14 239 55904 53110 22 256 18 248 22 233 53110 50623 27 253 31 251 25 233 50623 48403 31 245 38 245 34 260 48403 46391 28 243 40 246 50 251 46391 44544 34 247 47 248 53 242 44544 42825 39 246 51 245 58 239 42825 41212 47 241 55 241 60 236 41212 39697 51 227 57 235 56 238 39697 38274 46 218 55 228 52 239 38274 36909 46 220 50 222 50 237 36909 35529 45 222 47 223 51 236 35529 34101 42 225 47 228 44 246 34101 32627 39 228 54 230 38 252 32627 31089 37 229 50 227 37 253 31089 29476 35 229 45 227 34 262 29476 27790 36 233 42 232 30 259 27790 26032 34 237 36 241 29 248 26032 24200 27 238 29 244 32 245 24200 22297 21 234 28 237 34 256 22297 20322 18 228 21 234 22 268 20322 18272 18 237 18 238 19 266 18272 16180 17 247 16 239 14 242 16180 14162 17 252 16 246 14 253 14162 12321 14 246 18 254 20 260 12321 10686 13 237 18 254 19 262 10686 9235 13 241 17 262 17 261 9235 7942 13 245 16 272 16 263 7942 6792 12 249 15 269 16 261 6792 5772 12 254 14 260 16 259 5772 4871 11*255 13 255 16 258 4871 4073 10*259 12 250 14 256 4073 3357 9 263 10*249 12 253 3357 2722 8 266 9*251 11 252 2722 2192 7 267 7 252 10 249 2192 1784 7 269 6 253 8 247 1784 1503 6 269 5 254 7 244 1503 1333 5 270 5 253 4*237 1333 1235 4 271 3 254 2*227 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography