DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 30.0 - - 25.4 - - 23.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - -2 - - -20 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 912 - - 837 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2112 - - 2037 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1438 - - 991 - - 1354 - - 603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 118 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 184 - - 169 - - 187 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 168 - - -350 - - -412 - - -522 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1944 - - 2387 - - 1644 - - 1753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -419 - - -3612 - - -4027 - - -4363 ODpotential blCL - - - 2531 - - 5649 - - 5258 - - 5594 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 92 - - 98 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 30.0 - - 25.4 - - 23.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.8 - - 23.9 - - 22.7 - - 19.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 30.5 - - 28.3 - - 26.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.2 - - 23.3 - - 23.0 - - 21.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - -2 - - -20 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 912 - - 837 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 70 - - 92 - - 65 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96345 20 037 17 053 14 053 12 034 96345 89062 12 023 20 047 18 052 12 080 89062 83423 3 158 4 307 11 345 5 344 83423 78740 8 214 6 220 7 293 4 233 78740 74692 7 277 12 254 20 259 12 265 74692 71126 24 264 25 240 26 243 25 255 71126 67900 27 244 20 255 25 246 39 254 67900 64907 31 268 39 262 39 250 49 248 64907 62119 45 268 57 258 59 255 58 250 62119 59418 59 253 68 252 71 254 65 252 59418 56593 66 251 75 251 77 252 72 255 56593 53648 82 255 85 252 85 252 79 251 53648 50827 98 252 95 252 91 251 84 247 50827 48277 102 247 99 251 96 253 88 248 48277 45979 100 246 101 250 101 253 96 250 45979 43884 98 247 103 249 103 252 103 250 43884 41954 97 249 102 249 102 251 102 248 41954 40169 97 250 98 248 101 250 98 247 40169 38514 97 249 93 247 98 247 96 246 38514 36978 96 249 90 248 95 245 95 245 36978 35553 94 249 88 249 91 245 91 243 35553 34198 93 247 88 250 87 247 85 244 34198 32844 91 244 90 249 83 249 80 246 32844 31468 85 242 92 246 79 250 76 245 31468 30073 81 242 90 244 77 250 72 244 30073 28636 82 242 83 244 75 251 68 246 28636 27132 88 243 75 246 74 253 65 248 27132 25555 94 243 71 248 72 254 61 250 25555 23912 93 242 63 246 68 254 57 251 23912 22213 84 241 57 245 61 252 55 251 22213 20463 72 237 51 243 52 250 53 249 20463 18653 63 236 44 244 47 250 49 248 18653 16770 54 241 37 252 45 251 43 249 16770 14850 48 245 35 260 37 251 39 254 14850 13000 42 244 36 258 31 252 35 258 13000 11316 37 245 34 252 31 250 31 254 11316 9819 33 248 32 250 32 247 28 248 9819 8491 31 248 31 251 32 243 25 249 8491 7309 30 248 29 250 31 241 24 256 7309 6257 26 249 26 249 30 240 26 266 6257 5327 24 249 22 247 29 241 29 272 5327 4508 24 240 20 242 27 241 31 272 4508 3785 25 226 20 231 26 239 30 271 3785 3138 23 218 21 217 25 234 27 265 3138 2566 19*212 19 205 24 225 25 252 2566 2088 15*205 15*194 19 215 23 239 2088 1722 11 197 13*188 14 205 18 231 1722 1471 9 193 10 184 10 193 12 221 1471 1318 8 191 8 180 7*182 7*206 1318 1231 5 189 5 178 4*169 4*187 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography