DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/09 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 42.6 - - 41.8 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - -6 - - -10 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1102 - - 1033 - - 769 - - 460 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2302 - - 2233 - - 1969 - - 1660 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2374 - - 2073 - - 3022 - - 3319 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 47 - - 42 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 16 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 291 - - 292 - - 292 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 13 - - 12 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 698 - - 621 - - 313 - - -81 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1605 - - 1612 - - 1656 - - 1741 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 193 - - 137 - - -268 - - -633 ODpotential blCL - - - 2109 - - 2096 - - 2237 - - 2293 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.6 - - 42.6 - - 41.8 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.6 - - 39.7 - - 38.8 - - 37.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 43.1 - - 42.4 - - 41.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 39.5 - - 38.6 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - -6 - - -10 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1102 - - 1033 - - 769 - - 460 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95706 79 258 78 255 88 247 76 254 95706 88709 51 259 47 269 43 261 44 263 88709 83316 27 274 32 263 34 263 31 280 83316 78809 19 277 23 257 32 262 27 288 78809 74904 18 264 17 249 30 261 27 279 74904 71431 17 258 16 248 23 258 25 273 71431 68268 19 258 14 266 15 256 19 268 68268 65342 20 256 17 274 9 288 10 250 65342 62604 20 252 21 272 16 297 7 279 62604 59934 18 258 24 278 23 284 18 286 59934 57143 21 270 25 281 29 284 21 281 57143 54242 21 296 24 291 27 282 21 283 54242 51460 31 301 30 307 26 296 27 282 51460 48930 36 293 37 303 31 292 35 271 48930 46643 36 292 37 294 35 292 38 263 46643 44559 35 295 35 286 37 288 33 266 44559 42654 33 300 32 295 34 288 29 278 42654 40906 35 303 32 309 30 301 29 291 40906 39295 32 297 33 306 33 308 35 308 39295 37799 26 297 30 303 37 310 50 312 37799 36404 21 298 28 306 44 312 58 310 36404 35069 18 312 28 317 45 315 61 310 35069 33725 16 321 30 334 47 319 61 309 33725 32343 15 336 33 345 47 319 60 311 32343 30927 12 010 36 350 44 322 63 315 30927 29457 23 050 35 355 41 327 66 317 29457 27921 29 050 34 003 41 330 62 316 27921 26321 28 054 33 007 39 329 54 311 26321 24653 22 048 30 003 38 327 45 310 24653 22917 15 032 26 001 37 326 43 314 22917 21112 13 027 25 354 34 327 42 315 21112 19230 11 011 24 346 32 326 38 313 19230 17268 10 323 24 336 33 322 34 314 17268 15266 11 299 22 330 33 317 32 316 15266 13338 14 276 22 316 32 314 33 317 13338 11585 16 285 24 308 33 314 35 314 11585 10031 21 305 24 303 32 313 35 311 10031 8654 24 305 24 303 32 308 33 310 8654 7435 24 295 26 305 34 300 31 306 7435 6361 22 290 28 302 36 297 33 297 6361 5415 21 291 29 301 34 299 35 296 5415 4582 20 295 29 301 32 299 34 297 4582 3845 19 299 29 300 31 298 33 299 3845 3185 18 299 27 299 30 298 31 300 3185 2601 17*299 24*297 28 296 28 300 2601 2113 14*295 20*294 24*294 24 299 2113 1737 12 291 18 292 20*293 20*299 1737 1479 9 288 15 291 17 292 16*298 1479 1322 8 288 12 290 14 291 13 298 1322 1232 5 286 7 289 8 290 8 299 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography