DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1331z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 79.5 - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 59 - - -10 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3788 - - 1819 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3094 - - 1219 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4988 - - 3019 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2191 - - 3873 - - 4076 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 132 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 11 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 256 - - 231 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1522 - - 517 - - -92 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3466 - - 2502 - - 1328 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -720 - - -1380 - - -1521 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5708 - - 4399 - - 2756 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 87 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1190 - - 2160 - - 2310 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.0 - - 79.5 - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.3 - - 71.9 - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.7 - - 80.4 - - 76.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 67.9 - - 70.7 - - 72.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 59 - - -10 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3788 - - 1819 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 24 - - 48 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99065 31 094 27 076 21 074 99065 91558 27 096 19 090 24 073 91558 85783 26 080 16 105 21 074 85783 80992 24 065 22 087 18 080 80992 76865 18 077 23 081 16 074 76865 73221 16 079 18 069 17 069 73221 69926 14 061 12 060 14 055 69926 66911 16 045 9 057 14 062 66911 64128 15 022 9 040 13 064 64128 61444 8 006 8 014 8 060 61444 58653 1 002 7 010 2 026 58653 55763 1 020 7 325 4 292 55763 53009 5 326 9 294 7 298 53009 50538 14 270 13 261 17 260 50538 48336 23 248 16 255 23 244 48336 46354 23 237 27 226 38 221 46354 44547 15 235 26 206 42 205 44547 42869 9 222 20 201 41 191 42869 41293 14 235 23 219 40 189 41293 39805 22 255 28 237 43 201 39805 38396 24 255 31 235 43 209 38396 37034 25 255 32 230 36 213 37034 35650 26 253 28 229 30 226 35650 34215 25 249 24 228 31 228 34215 32733 22 242 21 228 31 228 32733 31187 17 236 20 238 32 229 31187 29563 14 246 20 241 34 226 29563 27861 13 246 20 246 34 225 27861 26080 13 261 22 253 32 227 26080 24226 16 273 27 253 35 234 24226 22309 18 272 27 253 33 239 22309 20327 17 260 27 251 26 239 20327 18274 18 251 28 253 24 241 18274 16184 19 257 27 259 27 246 16184 14168 26 265 26 263 27 252 14168 12333 27 268 25 263 25 256 12333 10699 24 271 21 258 23 257 10699 9245 20 273 18 252 20 253 9245 7950 16 275 16 246 18 248 7950 6797 15 274 15 244 18 248 6797 5776 14*266 15 241 19 254 5776 4876 12*261 14 235 19 260 4876 4077 10 256 14 231 19 263 4077 3361 9 254 13*230 19 264 3361 2726 9 254 13*230 17 263 2726 2194 8 254 12 231 14 261 2194 1785 7 254 11 232 11 260 1785 1504 7 254 10 232 8 260 1504 1333 6 253 8 232 6*260 1333 1235 5 255 5 232 2*257 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography