DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 64.1 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 27 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3248 - - 4569 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2964 - - 2328 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4448 - - 5769 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2433 - - 3552 - - 3188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 317 - - 231 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 333 - - 332 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1330 - - 641 - - -1588 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3118 - - 5128 - - 2821 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 417 - - -805 - - -3526 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4031 - - 6574 - - 4759 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 79 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 280 - - 90 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.6 - - 64.1 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.2 - - 46.0 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.0 - - 64.3 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.0 - - 44.9 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 130 - - 27 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3248 - - 4569 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 64 - - 18 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99088 15 153 9 217 1 196 99088 91596 5 130 11 190 10 233 91596 85804 4 193 8 207 12 216 85804 80993 5 203 9 231 9 218 80993 76834 7 253 4 230 6 188 76834 73165 7 241 4 252 0 050 73165 69859 3 238 6 290 4 325 69859 66814 2 233 7 272 8 295 66814 63983 8 358 6 310 8 307 63983 61235 16 331 14 323 16 322 61235 58359 18 328 18 311 23 318 58359 55363 22 317 24 309 29 312 55363 52499 26 307 29 314 31 309 52499 49921 31 308 35 312 32 308 49921 47613 35 313 38 312 36 311 47613 45528 38 317 43 312 41 312 45528 43623 43 319 46 311 43 313 43623 41870 47 319 47 311 44 313 41870 40248 48 320 47 316 42 312 40248 38741 51 322 48 319 39 321 38741 37339 50 324 46 319 41 326 37339 36001 46 323 43 322 42 328 36001 34654 34 322 41 324 40 330 34654 33263 29 336 40 328 40 329 33263 31829 29 336 40 331 42 328 31829 30337 27 336 39 332 44 330 30337 28769 29 333 38 330 44 331 28769 27124 32 333 36 327 43 333 27124 25402 34 339 36 328 41 336 25402 23606 34 342 37 332 34 335 23606 21740 34 338 39 335 30 334 21740 19801 34 330 39 334 31 333 19801 17784 34 328 37 332 33 336 17784 15731 32 329 33 332 33 341 15731 13755 30 322 29 340 32 348 13755 11959 26 323 28 351 29 356 11959 10370 24 326 26 354 29 357 10370 8964 21 332 24 354 31 356 8964 7715 19 338 21 351 29 354 7715 6604 17 341 18*343 26 351 6604 5618 15 340 16*336 24 348 5618 4747 14*338 16 334 22 342 4747 3974 14*336 16 332 20 334 3974 3282 13 334 15 332 19 328 3282 2669 13 333 15 331 18 324 2669 2157 13 332 14 331 16 320 2157 1763 12 331 13 330 14 314 1763 1492 11 331 12 330 11 308 1492 1327 10 330 10 330 8 299 1327 1233 7 330 7 330 4*285 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography