DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/17 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 30.0 - - 31.0 - - 23.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1253 - - 275 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2453 - - 1475 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1586 - - 2732 - - 1002 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 142 - - 25 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 161 - - 202 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 720 - - -112 - - -273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1733 - - 1587 - - 1505 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 237 - - -650 - - -2781 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2216 - - 2125 - - 4012 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 96 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 30.0 - - 31.0 - - 23.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.9 - - 28.5 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 30.2 - - 31.5 - - 27.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.2 - - 28.2 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 31 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1253 - - 275 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 86 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95701 55 357 50 340 49 337 95701 88804 41 331 44 329 32 331 88804 83442 40 301 38 314 28 318 83442 78902 34 277 36 292 35 304 78902 74940 33 263 36 275 38 284 74940 71395 40 253 41 270 38 276 71395 68152 43 239 44 261 41 264 68152 65151 42 242 45 248 45 247 65151 62344 44 234 45 240 45 243 62344 59590 39 234 48 245 52 252 59590 56711 50 248 57 235 65 244 56711 53735 65 243 62 225 68 229 53735 50888 66 234 58 227 62 226 50888 48308 62 233 65 234 64 233 48308 45985 73 236 72 233 72 237 45985 43879 77 232 71 233 81 237 43879 41967 76 228 77 235 90 237 41967 40217 83 227 97 234 96 236 40217 38600 91 228 102 229 98 233 38600 37095 94 230 98 227 100 231 37095 35691 105 234 98 230 100 230 35691 34342 127 232 104 234 98 233 34342 32985 135 227 120 235 103 236 32985 31594 133 224 129 231 108 235 31594 30172 131 224 132 226 112 233 30172 28702 137 224 134 221 118 231 28702 27172 141 223 130 219 119 229 27172 25580 138 221 125 218 114 228 25580 23921 133 218 124 219 110 230 23921 22201 126 214 120 219 108 232 22201 20426 118 212 106 217 97 235 20426 18597 103 216 94 212 73 237 18597 16713 86 217 83 210 53 240 16713 14806 77 215 68 211 41 245 14806 12973 70 222 54 219 34 252 12973 11305 56 226 43 227 32 253 11305 9819 45 223 36 228 32 249 9819 8494 40 221 33 231 30 248 8494 7314 36 222 29 237 25 252 7314 6264 32 220 25 240 22 258 6264 5335 29 214 24 237 21 263 5335 4515 25 207 24 229 22 264 4515 3790 20 201 23 222 22 261 3790 3142 15 192 21 216 23 252 3142 2568 12*179 18 212 23 241 2568 2090 10*165 14 209 20 232 2090 1724 9 162 12*205 15 228 1724 1471 8 160 9*203 9 220 1471 1319 7 158 7 202 6*205 1319 1231 5 156 4 200 4*185 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography