DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.8 - - 56.9 - - 52.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - -10 - - -13 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 155 - - 668 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1216 - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1355 - - 1868 - - 1233 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 522 - - 1577 - - 1605 - - 625 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 45 - - 62 - - 12 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 152 - - 198 - - 164 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1512 - - -2524 - - -1698 - - -441 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2867 - - 4392 - - 2931 - - 1674 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5923 - - -7340 - - -6041 - - -6393 ODpotential blCL - - - 7278 - - 9208 - - 7274 - - 7626 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 100 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.2 - - 60.8 - - 56.9 - - 52.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 46.2 - - 48.5 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 61.7 - - 58.8 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.4 - - 45.1 - - 47.6 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - -10 - - -13 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 155 - - 668 - - 33 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 102 - - 102 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95518 84 252 96 249 98 254 90 254 95518 88692 59 259 64 262 66 256 63 264 88692 83396 48 267 45 270 49 269 51 265 83396 78953 42 272 33 285 42 275 42 275 78953 75109 32 277 28 282 35 273 36 288 75109 71704 25 293 27 279 27 280 33 299 71704 68608 23 301 28 290 25 292 27 304 68608 65738 24 291 29 293 23 297 22 303 65738 63049 25 283 28 290 23 297 20 295 63049 60429 24 280 26 289 25 293 24 291 60429 57702 21 284 24 285 27 296 26 295 57702 54883 21 294 23 289 28 288 32 292 54883 52210 28 296 25 296 30 288 36 286 52210 49825 36 300 39 312 35 299 44 297 49825 47692 46 304 53 306 50 305 52 297 47692 45740 54 308 56 296 56 295 59 293 45740 43938 59 304 58 289 59 283 62 286 43938 42276 63 298 59 286 66 277 62 284 42276 40739 51 284 61 283 69 274 58 284 40739 39301 46 278 64 276 60 275 52 284 39301 37942 47 275 64 273 52 277 42 289 37942 36622 48 275 62 274 52 281 42 294 36622 35274 49 275 61 273 58 280 41 298 35274 33869 52 276 56 271 61 277 36 293 33869 32411 51 282 51 272 60 279 35 287 32411 30888 51 292 47 274 57 275 36 289 30888 29289 54 293 47 278 55 264 37 299 29289 27615 53 285 49 279 50 259 37 301 27615 25862 52 280 52 278 47 264 38 296 25862 24032 51 285 49 278 50 276 36 286 24032 22129 51 289 46 283 47 287 44 280 22129 20151 47 295 42 289 44 288 46 284 20151 18092 37 295 38 287 41 287 45 285 18092 15992 33 292 37 282 39 286 42 285 15992 13967 30 282 38 277 37 288 39 282 13967 12128 28 272 35 262 38 286 34 274 12128 10499 28 258 32 247 36 279 29 267 10499 9057 28 245 29 240 30 268 24 265 9057 7778 27 237 25 234 27 261 22 267 7778 6642 24 232 22 229 26 258 22 268 6642 5638 19 228 20 226 25 254 23 268 5638 4753 14 220 20 226 24 245 23 264 4753 3972 11 202 20 225 24 235 23 257 3972 3273 11 179 20 222 24 227 23 245 3273 2657 12 166 18 217 21 219 22 228 2657 2146 12 169 15*211 16 211 20 209 2146 1756 11 171 11*202 12 198 15 187 1756 1488 9*159 9 198 9 185 11 169 1488 1326 6*153 7 196 7 175 8*159 1326 1233 3 151 4 193 3*164 4*144 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography