DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.2 - - 76.7 - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3381 - - 2003 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2677 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4581 - - 3203 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2163 - - 2879 - - 2868 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 269 - - 130 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 209 - - 203 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1588 - - 887 - - -44 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2993 - - 2317 - - 1278 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -41 - - -585 - - -1205 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4622 - - 3788 - - 2439 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1800 - - 1700 - - 1180 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.2 - - 76.7 - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.7 - - 70.0 - - 69.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.0 - - 77.3 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.3 - - 69.0 - - 69.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 54 - - -4 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3381 - - 2003 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 64 - - 92 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98979 30 078 23 064 25 074 98979 91472 26 080 27 068 26 070 91472 85714 23 076 25 072 18 073 85714 80951 15 076 17 068 17 064 80951 76850 14 071 14 058 19 062 76850 73223 16 068 13 050 19 054 73223 69937 15 073 12 043 19 037 69937 66918 14 049 14 035 17 029 66918 64127 12 032 15 015 15 019 64127 61435 13 012 13 002 15 004 61435 58639 19 358 14 000 17 344 58639 55751 26 338 20 347 21 333 55751 53000 32 328 26 330 26 327 53000 50528 40 315 37 318 30 314 50528 48325 41 314 45 309 34 299 48325 46328 45 309 50 292 40 283 46328 44494 46 306 46 289 44 269 44494 42799 45 305 41 289 41 265 42799 41228 45 300 42 286 39 269 41228 39760 44 297 45 287 38 261 39760 38373 40 291 44 286 31 257 38373 37025 30 278 40 284 26 260 37025 35649 25 270 33 287 28 253 35649 34217 20 277 27 285 31 252 34217 32732 17 293 25 275 31 251 32732 31182 14 296 22 269 27 251 31182 29557 18 270 22 264 19 258 29557 27856 18 263 22 256 18 258 27856 26079 14 256 21 257 17 258 26079 24230 15 236 19 250 13 252 24230 22313 17 227 17 246 15 239 22313 20321 16 223 15 245 16 236 20321 18253 14 218 14 255 18 231 18253 16149 11 219 11 253 18 230 16149 14127 10 226 10 235 17 234 14127 12292 14 227 12 219 17 246 12292 10659 14 230 13 211 16 251 10659 9206 15 235 12 210 14 248 9206 7913 16 235 11 212 13 244 7913 6765 17 231 13 211 14 245 6765 5747 16 224 13 205 16 246 5747 4849 14*216 13 201 17 242 4849 4055 12*210 13 201 17 235 4055 3342 11 209 13*202 16 229 3342 2711 10 209 13*203 14 226 2711 2185 10 209 12 203 11 218 2185 1780 9 210 12 203 8 207 1780 1501 8 209 10 203 7 198 1501 1332 7 209 9 202 5 188 1332 1234 5 209 6 202 2*173 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography