DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 55.3 - - 52.9 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -3 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 506 - - 1916 - - 790 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1706 - - 3116 - - 1990 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2905 - - 2225 - - 2290 - - 2739 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 44 - - 85 - - 40 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 035 - - 080 - - 139 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 6 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 140 - - 1072 - - 555 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1566 - - 2044 - - 1435 - - 1233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -535 - - 74 - - -315 - - -708 ODpotential blCL - - - 2241 - - 3042 - - 2305 - - 1941 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 60 - - 50 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 55.3 - - 52.9 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.6 - - 50.5 - - 50.8 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 55.7 - - 53.4 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 49.4 - - 50.3 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -6 - - -3 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 506 - - 1916 - - 790 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98262 6 089 4 072 2 079 12 323 98262 90849 1 150 3 019 5 303 8 286 90849 85152 1 142 1 193 13 273 6 325 85152 80410 3 150 4 217 13 270 9 308 80410 76299 4 096 7 219 5 277 8 283 76299 72643 1 312 7 202 1 154 4 301 72643 69331 4 220 8 172 6 149 3 283 69331 66294 5 182 7 224 4 238 6 248 66294 63466 5 176 12 244 14 261 10 253 63466 60711 7 240 12 260 17 262 12 262 60711 57831 13 251 14 257 12 251 16 262 57831 54842 15 242 13 257 12 258 13 265 54842 51998 13 233 14 259 18 266 15 292 51998 49449 8 222 13 256 21 275 21 296 49449 47171 3 248 12 276 16 282 25 296 47171 45106 7 315 13 304 18 310 17 304 45106 43221 11 325 14 327 23 320 31 326 43221 41508 14 334 23 342 27 333 40 325 41508 39947 15 334 30 349 38 349 41 341 39947 38496 21 352 35 357 57 359 52 350 38496 37135 21 356 42 006 70 355 64 339 37135 35827 21 037 53 011 71 352 67 336 35827 34499 36 025 55 007 67 356 65 336 34499 33117 33 021 47 006 64 357 60 342 33117 31684 35 049 42 006 62 004 56 348 31684 30187 35 047 36 359 58 001 54 356 30187 28611 31 034 28 354 54 356 53 357 28611 26961 30 026 28 358 47 358 51 347 26961 25237 30 026 29 359 35 355 52 351 25237 23445 29 028 32 002 27 353 40 357 23445 21592 29 032 27 009 24 354 29 344 21592 19669 28 042 18 001 29 344 23 331 19669 17665 25 045 17 346 25 344 23 331 17665 15621 19 040 15 005 15 355 19 344 15621 13653 18 050 15 033 12 008 12 355 13653 11870 19 056 12 037 11 011 8 352 11870 10289 20 074 13 039 13 003 8 004 10289 8888 19 083 12 048 10 005 6 359 8888 7641 17 090 13 066 7 029 5 358 7641 6537 17 090 14 083 6 049 3 302 6537 5558 18 085 13 082 6 077 4 257 5558 4695 17 078 13 082 7 100 4 226 4695 3932 15 070 11 079 7 113 5 212 3932 3250 14 062 9*078 8 122 7 207 3250 2646 13 053 8*078 8 129 8 207 2646 2141 12 047 7 079 7*137 8 207 2141 1754 10*042 6 080 6*139 8 203 1754 1487 8*038 6 081 5 139 6 198 1487 1326 6 035 5 081 4 141 5*192 1326 1233 4 031 3 081 2 136 2*184 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography