DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 67.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 120 - - 10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1633 - - 1562 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1743 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2833 - - 2762 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2306 - - 2811 - - 2921 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 243 - - 117 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 284 - - 259 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -700 - - -716 - - -678 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3533 - - 3478 - - 1912 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2849 - - -2516 - - -2070 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5682 - - 5278 - - 3304 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 210 - - 60 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 67.7 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.1 - - 56.6 - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.9 - - 68.2 - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.4 - - 56.0 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 120 - - 10 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1633 - - 1562 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 93 - - 93 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99156 9 152 6 005 8 357 99156 91750 8 111 5 017 6 034 91750 86009 7 054 4 045 9 026 86009 81215 5 042 4 063 5 001 81215 77079 7 013 2 023 5 002 77079 73424 3 242 3 231 11 332 73424 70113 2 333 4 281 4 286 70113 67056 7 323 5 311 9 336 67056 64198 14 285 16 276 12 280 64198 61431 14 238 16 281 23 300 61431 58561 19 282 25 285 27 299 58561 55589 33 278 35 286 34 289 55589 52765 39 274 40 277 41 291 52765 50230 43 274 46 277 48 291 50230 47954 56 274 58 276 60 284 47954 45900 63 269 67 274 72 279 45900 44033 66 264 73 270 79 275 44033 42315 70 263 75 268 80 273 42315 40719 72 264 77 269 80 276 40719 39230 73 265 82 274 84 284 39230 37836 73 267 87 278 92 288 37836 36496 74 268 92 279 98 289 36496 35136 74 268 95 275 100 289 35136 33725 74 269 93 270 97 287 33725 32267 73 269 91 269 92 281 32267 30746 72 269 88 270 89 278 30746 29148 70 269 86 275 83 278 29148 27478 61 266 77 279 75 278 27478 25737 61 260 62 275 70 279 25737 23922 61 263 56 270 65 277 23922 22038 43 266 54 268 63 277 22038 20078 40 264 47 267 60 279 20078 18036 39 263 36 267 53 279 18036 15958 32 266 34 282 50 282 15958 13960 24 270 34 292 45 288 13960 12142 20 254 31 294 39 293 12142 10525 31 246 29 287 32 289 10525 9087 44 249 33 278 28 285 9087 7809 45 250 36 266 26 281 7809 6673 42 252 33 256 25 281 6673 5669 38 257 29 253 26 281 5669 4784 33 262 25 254 25 282 4784 4002 28 266 22 254 22 280 4002 3302 22*271 19*255 19 275 3302 2683 17*276 16*257 17 271 2683 2166 14 283 14 258 15 268 2166 1768 11 288 12 260 12 269 1768 1495 10 290 11 260 10 271 1495 1329 9 291 9 261 7*271 1329 1234 6 293 5 261 3*267 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography