DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 65.1 - - 64.6 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 140 - - 49 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3639 - - 4888 - - 4783 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3028 - - 4256 - - 3495 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 4839 - - 6088 - - 5983 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1242 - - 1978 - - 1959 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 383 - - 285 - - - W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 24 - - 24 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 303 - - 304 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 15 - - 17 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1744 - - 1431 - - 1342 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3095 - - 4657 - - 4641 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 732 - - -473 - - -349 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 4107 - - 6561 - - 6332 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 75 - - 77 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 60 - - 50 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 65.1 - - 64.6 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 48.8 - - 48.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 64.7 - - 64.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 47.5 - - 47.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 140 - - 49 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3639 - - 4888 - - 4783 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 84 - - 0 - - 8 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99562 31 068 27 083 25 076 99562 92016 26 075 26 080 19 075 92016 86192 25 077 22 083 21 080 86192 81358 19 077 17 070 19 083 81358 77197 13 083 14 060 14 077 77197 73511 6 092 12 081 12 081 73511 70166 8 086 8 061 10 108 70166 67080 5 075 1 314 3 061 67080 64209 7 248 4 205 1 265 64209 61418 10 200 9 280 13 255 61418 58509 2 200 11 223 17 234 58509 55492 16 289 10 264 14 261 55492 52603 37 259 31 271 29 281 52603 50012 35 260 39 264 39 271 50012 47705 42 264 42 263 44 265 47705 45618 47 255 46 262 46 263 45618 43705 47 252 48 261 46 267 43705 41941 52 259 51 264 52 274 41941 40312 61 265 59 268 56 276 40312 38805 73 266 71 266 63 278 38805 37409 82 262 78 263 71 277 37409 36079 86 258 82 260 76 273 36079 34740 85 257 82 259 78 269 34740 33351 81 260 80 263 78 268 33351 31916 78 267 79 266 76 270 31916 30420 76 272 78 268 74 271 30420 28848 73 271 76 271 74 273 28848 27201 70 270 74 271 72 277 27201 25476 69 272 74 271 69 279 25476 23676 67 275 71 275 67 280 23676 21802 65 278 64 278 66 284 21802 19850 62 279 58 277 60 289 19850 17818 57 280 54 276 52 288 17818 15750 50 280 49 278 47 284 15750 13760 44 280 45 284 44 282 13760 11954 42 283 43 290 41 283 11954 10354 41 292 42 296 38 289 10354 8940 41 302 38 301 34 296 8940 7691 39 311 28 303 29 300 7691 6587 33 318 27*303 28*301 6587 5606 27*316 27*303 28*303 5606 4739 27*315 26 303 27 303 4739 3970 26 315 25 303 26 304 3970 3280 24 311 25 303 25 304 3280 2669 22 309 24 302 24 304 2669 2157 21 308 23 302 23 304 2157 1764 19 308 22 302 22 304 1764 1493 17 307 20 302 19 304 1493 1328 15 307 17 302 16 304 1328 1234 10 306 11 302 11 304 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography