DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 78.2 - - 78.1 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 93 - - 16 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2131 - - 4274 - - 3200 - - 35 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1983 - - 3569 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3331 - - 5474 - - 4400 - - 1235 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2131 - - 1984 - - 3082 - - 3353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 324 - - 196 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 151 - - 198 - - 208 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1064 - - -601 - - -1812 - - -1706 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4395 - - 6075 - - 6212 - - 2941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4171 - - -3562 - - -5634 - - -3789 ODpotential blCL - - - 7502 - - 9036 - - 10034 - - 5024 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 83 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 120 - - 120 - - 770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.8 - - 78.2 - - 78.1 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 55.8 - - 55.1 - - 63.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.5 - - 77.8 - - 79.0 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 54.5 - - 54.0 - - 62.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 93 - - 16 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2131 - - 4274 - - 3200 - - 35 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 63 - - 33 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99661 20 076 27 084 20 087 14 071 99661 92129 18 085 20 096 16 086 11 070 92129 86308 15 085 16 097 10 076 14 075 86308 81469 11 093 12 091 8 086 8 079 81469 77292 8 106 7 088 7 092 6 084 77292 73596 5 116 5 089 4 126 3 071 73596 70249 7 101 2 111 4 122 2 140 70249 67171 2 002 6 204 5 289 4 335 67171 64314 2 219 6 161 6 229 9 279 64314 61554 6 254 9 261 11 247 12 263 61554 58670 14 262 17 246 19 258 13 262 58670 55673 23 275 20 253 27 247 24 252 55673 52835 30 258 29 252 32 249 30 253 52835 50301 39 258 45 250 41 249 39 256 50301 48046 48 253 52 247 46 253 54 247 48046 46014 55 257 58 250 58 253 48 240 46014 44152 63 251 63 242 62 248 48 254 44152 42436 65 245 62 236 59 245 66 260 42436 40850 63 259 64 248 66 247 74 257 40850 39373 69 259 73 249 73 244 76 253 39373 37987 71 258 75 244 76 243 76 248 37987 36648 72 256 72 243 72 238 76 246 36648 35287 68 251 66 236 70 239 76 246 35287 33875 65 249 63 237 68 242 78 249 33875 32416 63 252 66 247 67 241 78 251 32416 30893 59 252 63 251 65 237 78 253 30893 29294 54 251 56 252 65 238 74 253 29294 27619 50 250 54 248 64 245 67 252 27619 25869 48 248 54 247 63 250 59 253 25869 24048 47 251 56 253 58 255 52 253 24048 22159 42 251 54 259 50 259 42 251 22159 20196 38 241 42 262 43 263 39 246 20196 18152 38 243 34 266 37 271 36 246 18152 16071 36 252 29 263 28 273 37 251 16071 14068 30 255 29 265 23 261 32 250 14068 12249 21 265 24 264 20 253 24 244 12249 10631 20 277 18 243 20 243 20 241 10631 9188 16 265 14 223 20 236 16 246 9188 7901 9 237 13 221 18 232 13 249 7901 6757 4 191 14 218 15 227 13 244 6757 5742 5 159 13*210 13 219 16 235 5742 4844 7 153 11*204 12*212 20 227 4844 4051 9*152 10 201 12*209 24 221 4051 3340 11*153 9 199 11 208 24 217 3340 2710 11 152 8 197 11 208 22 216 2710 2184 11 151 8 195 11 208 20 214 2184 1779 10 150 7 194 10 207 17 212 1779 1500 9 150 6 192 9 207 13 209 1500 1331 8 149 5 192 8 206 10*205 1331 1235 6 149 4 191 5 206 5*201 1235 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography