DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.7 - - 80.2 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6413 - - 6023 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5256 - - 3902 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7613 - - 7223 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2228 - - 2706 - - 6997 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 391 - - 273 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 24 - - 14 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 196 - - 200 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1494 - - 957 - - -2252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6120 - - 6266 - - 3486 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 282 - - -261 - - -4040 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7331 - - 7484 - - 5274 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 88 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 440 - - 460 - - 1140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.7 - - 80.2 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.9 - - 56.8 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.1 - - 80.2 - - 76.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.7 - - 55.6 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - 32 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 6413 - - 6023 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 65 - - 51 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99772 37 082 22 070 28 077 99772 92209 28 083 20 076 26 076 92209 86370 22 079 22 083 24 069 86370 81531 17 078 21 078 18 068 81531 77370 13 079 17 085 13 055 77370 73687 11 078 16 087 8 062 73687 70344 11 080 11 084 4 075 70344 67262 6 058 10 087 6 109 67262 64395 2 047 7 072 6 106 64395 61612 2 034 3 059 3 071 61612 58716 2 299 3 287 5 297 58716 55718 4 271 7 289 7 293 55718 52857 8 271 11 291 10 296 52857 50287 10 274 13 290 14 289 50287 47991 11 257 14 285 13 301 47991 45914 9 249 13 284 16 316 45914 44017 9 273 13 292 19 312 44017 42277 13 283 14 305 18 312 42277 40677 13 274 15 302 19 320 40677 39199 10 281 14 290 23 315 39199 37823 8 311 13 295 26 299 37823 36500 8 335 14 303 23 289 36500 35157 11 341 14 305 22 290 35157 33759 13 336 14 309 24 295 33759 32309 15 326 15 310 22 302 32309 30795 16 323 15 311 18 304 30795 29205 16 323 14 319 15 301 29205 27538 15 325 12 319 14 294 27538 25796 12 323 11 300 12 286 25796 23981 12 314 13 293 12 286 23981 22095 13 315 14 302 11 293 22095 20134 12 311 14 306 9 309 20134 18092 8 312 12 304 8 317 18092 16014 5 308 8 294 8 324 16014 14019 5 295 4 272 6 275 14019 12209 7 290 5 259 6 228 12209 10600 6 279 9 280 5 230 10600 9168 5 239 8 271 5 229 9168 7893 4*222 6*227 7 203 7893 6756 4*209 5*214 7 199 6756 5745 4 202 5 207 6 197 5745 4849 3 200 4 201 5 195 4849 4056 3 195 4 198 5 192 4056 3344 3 191 3 194 4 189 3344 2713 3 188 3 193 4 188 2713 2186 2 186 3 188 3 189 2186 1781 2 183 3 187 3 187 1781 1501 2 181 2 187 2 190 1501 1332 2 183 2 184 1 200 1332 1234 1 182 2 182 1*219 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography