DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 32.7 - - 31.9 - - 24.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 33 - - 25 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2893 - - 1876 - - 1703 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4093 - - 3076 - - 2903 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2565 - - 2905 - - 3072 - - 2867 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 206 - - 168 - - 149 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 15 - - 23 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 254 - - 285 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 11 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -2 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1597 - - 946 - - 1119 - - -361 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2496 - - 2130 - - 1784 - - 1592 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 526 - - 144 - - 364 - - -1464 ODpotential blCL - - - 3567 - - 2932 - - 2539 - - 2695 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 96 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 33.2 - - 32.7 - - 31.9 - - 24.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.5 - - 27.7 - - 28.6 - - 22.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 32.7 - - 32.1 - - 26.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 26.8 - - 28.0 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 33 - - 25 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2893 - - 1876 - - 1703 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 84 - - 97 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96318 5 187 10 219 16 235 15 258 96318 89147 3 212 5 200 8 218 11 258 89147 83598 3 233 5 216 11 238 6 252 83598 78952 4 283 6 218 13 211 11 271 78952 74907 13 255 14 261 14 261 14 247 74907 71319 11 226 12 193 19 241 16 253 71319 68072 13 260 4 322 26 177 19 227 68072 65086 38 256 38 264 8 207 17 213 65086 62275 43 233 44 239 28 249 21 239 62275 59498 40 249 42 237 40 242 47 241 59498 56590 47 257 48 245 47 243 39 246 56590 53562 50 249 56 246 54 244 45 262 53562 50676 51 246 47 250 49 240 57 255 50676 48107 53 246 53 258 55 263 64 254 48107 45825 51 249 60 258 67 263 64 258 45825 43757 53 256 68 258 75 262 74 268 43757 41864 60 258 74 256 83 263 86 268 41864 40124 66 256 77 254 90 260 92 265 40124 38517 70 255 79 253 92 255 92 262 38517 37020 71 255 79 254 86 252 86 261 37020 35615 72 255 80 257 75 263 80 267 35615 34265 72 256 82 260 83 272 86 278 34265 32913 73 257 82 261 93 272 115 283 32913 31535 71 257 81 262 95 269 141 278 31535 30123 66 257 77 262 92 267 140 269 30123 28656 59 256 69 264 85 267 124 267 28656 27128 45 252 60 265 80 269 116 274 27128 25544 35 261 48 264 75 272 129 278 25544 23898 35 273 37 255 71 273 132 280 23898 22185 35 276 30 249 63 272 116 280 22185 20416 34 278 26 264 47 267 95 280 20416 18588 35 281 27 267 40 262 76 278 18588 16698 33 267 26 267 36 266 58 274 16698 14784 29 256 24 275 30 273 44 270 14784 12943 22 250 27 276 27 278 38 275 12943 11268 16 245 26 276 30 287 36 287 11268 9777 14 244 23 274 34 291 37 296 9777 8453 14 250 22 275 35 289 36 301 8453 7277 18 259 23 284 33 284 33 302 7277 6232 21 258 23 284 33 282 34 300 6232 5307 21 254 23 280 34 284 39 298 5307 4493 21*248 22 275 34 284 41 294 4493 3774 21*241 21 268 33 285 40 288 3774 3131 20 236 19*260 32*285 38 283 3131 2562 19 235 18*256 30*286 35 280 2562 2087 18 234 17 254 27 285 31 278 2087 1722 16 233 15 253 23 285 26 276 1722 1471 14 232 13 253 20 285 20 275 1471 1318 11 232 11 252 16 285 16 275 1318 1231 8 231 7 251 10 284 7*273 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography