DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.0 - - 50.2 - - 48.8 - - 41.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 92 - - -16 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 926 - - 2566 - - 196 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 2245 - - 1216 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2126 - - 3766 - - 1396 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1070 - - 1211 - - 2658 - - 418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 260 - - 35 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 212 - - 188 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1632 - - -251 - - -1690 - - -494 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3758 - - 4017 - - 3086 - - 1726 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13240 - - -10559 - - -11020 - - -12090 ODpotential blCL - - - 15366 - - 14325 - - 12416 - - 13322 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 73 - - 67 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.0 - - 50.2 - - 48.8 - - 41.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.4 - - 37.4 - - 40.2 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 49.8 - - 49.9 - - 44.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 36.1 - - 39.1 - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 92 - - -16 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 926 - - 2566 - - 196 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97550 3 296 15 216 11 265 7 279 97550 90295 6 171 6 187 6 300 0 119 90295 84698 10 220 6 334 3 176 4 262 84698 80049 7 260 4 245 3 274 9 314 80049 76042 5 293 6 190 11 235 5 260 76042 72480 10 304 3 209 11 229 8 225 72480 69244 11 276 6 203 14 230 12 246 69244 66274 15 262 14 260 14 250 15 240 66274 63509 20 249 24 247 23 253 17 245 63509 60818 19 270 23 243 29 254 26 258 60818 58013 30 273 29 259 34 250 30 256 58013 55109 38 262 35 254 34 257 35 268 55109 52356 40 262 37 257 42 263 43 262 52356 49903 43 268 40 262 41 253 38 253 49903 47715 46 265 35 265 28 259 28 260 47715 45742 40 260 34 286 32 293 32 292 45742 43952 34 270 44 292 36 291 39 300 43952 42304 42 289 38 302 34 311 40 305 42304 40767 46 304 45 329 45 321 42 308 40767 39324 49 315 60 333 50 319 43 306 39324 37962 49 317 60 332 48 317 40 302 37962 36643 47 316 55 325 44 318 36 299 36643 35299 45 317 48 321 38 313 33 299 35299 33898 41 312 35 316 34 306 30 299 33898 32444 40 305 28 293 36 305 27 300 32444 30920 41 304 34 282 36 304 25 303 30920 29314 39 302 36 287 35 301 26 308 29314 27629 33 301 33 288 32 300 24 308 27629 25870 30 306 31 284 28 298 22 302 25870 24036 31 309 31 285 25 296 24 294 24036 22126 34 307 31 292 25 296 24 291 22126 20137 34 304 32 300 26 298 23 291 20137 18062 34 302 30 302 27 300 21 291 18062 15946 34 299 27 300 25 301 20 292 15946 13911 33 301 26 302 24 305 19 297 13911 12063 32 305 27 305 25 308 18 306 12063 10425 30 310 27 307 26 308 19 310 10425 8972 28 310 26 304 26 303 18 309 8972 7684 23 302 24 295 23 297 17 300 7684 6548 16 286 22 281 21 287 15 284 6548 5550 12 268 20 266 18 273 14 266 5550 4678 10 258 16 251 15 255 14 250 4678 3913 10 253 12*233 14 234 15 239 3913 3230 11 244 10*218 14 218 19 229 3230 2628 11*231 10 213 12 203 23 218 2628 2128 10*218 9 211 11 199 24 207 2128 1745 7 202 9 209 10 195 18 197 1745 1482 7 201 8 209 9*193 13 184 1482 1323 6 199 7 209 7*190 9*174 1323 1232 4 198 5 208 4 186 4*164 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography