DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 75.4 - - 76.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 117 - - 52 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3041 - - 4120 - - 4098 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2680 - - 3561 - - 2990 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 4241 - - 5320 - - 5298 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1876 - - 2273 - - 2501 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 288 - - 337 - - 269 - - - W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 319 - - 314 - - 319 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1291 - - 1027 - - 473 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2950 - - 4293 - - 4825 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 452 - - 54 - - -1037 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 3789 - - 5266 - - 6335 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 87 - - 79 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 360 - - 250 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.3 - - 75.4 - - 76.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.4 - - 60.6 - - 59.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 74.7 - - 76.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.2 - - 59.4 - - 58.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 117 - - 52 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3041 - - 4120 - - 4098 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 47 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99756 34 070 26 068 31 078 99756 92280 29 076 19 074 28 070 92280 86509 25 078 21 083 19 070 86509 81702 19 075 19 080 14 063 81702 77556 18 075 15 072 14 072 77556 73889 17 066 15 078 12 079 73889 70565 11 069 12 075 5 089 70565 67499 4 082 7 071 2 165 67499 64641 3 173 3 023 1 195 64641 61865 2 226 4 291 3 282 61865 58983 5 305 6 267 7 276 58983 56005 11 303 4 281 8 267 56005 53165 10 300 9 315 16 305 53165 50609 10 320 14 314 20 306 50609 48318 13 330 13 303 22 307 48318 46237 14 327 12 316 23 313 46237 44334 13 327 18 333 26 326 44334 42587 14 345 25 338 32 334 42587 40973 21 356 31 338 41 342 40973 39478 27 357 38 340 51 338 39478 38086 44 354 45 344 56 339 38086 36746 48 346 44 344 57 343 36746 35384 33 347 34 344 54 344 35384 33970 34 359 30 354 52 345 33970 32503 36 360 31 354 48 345 32503 30971 35 356 31 351 49 348 30971 29361 34 352 30 347 45 355 29361 27673 34 353 28 344 37 352 27673 25910 33 349 26 339 32 348 25910 24077 32 346 28 336 31 349 24077 22177 27 347 28 337 29 348 22177 20203 23 344 25 337 25 342 20203 18149 19 339 23 339 23 344 18149 16057 13 333 21 341 22 345 16057 14043 10 327 16 337 18 337 14043 12216 11 333 13 325 14 324 12216 10598 10 342 12 319 12 320 10598 9161 9 350 11 318 12 318 9161 7881 8 349 10 314 12 315 7881 6742 8 345 8 309 10 312 6742 5731 8 333 7*309 9*312 5731 4838 9*325 7*310 9*315 4838 4048 9*323 7 311 8 317 4048 3339 9 320 6 314 8 319 3339 2709 9 319 6 315 8 320 2709 2184 9 318 6 316 7 321 2184 1779 8 317 6 317 7 322 1779 1501 7 316 5 319 6 322 1501 1332 7 316 5 318 6 323 1332 1234 5 315 4 320 5 322 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography