DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/27 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.6 - - 42.8 - - 41.5 - - 39.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 29 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1821 - - 2133 - - 994 - - 32 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1215 - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3021 - - 3333 - - 2194 - - 1232 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2603 - - 3160 - - 3081 - - 2855 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 168 - - 49 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 351 - - 344 - - 336 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 569 - - 840 - - 246 - - -179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2453 - - 2493 - - 1948 - - 1411 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 57 - - 421 - - -315 - - -1145 ODpotential blCL - - - 2964 - - 2912 - - 2509 - - 2377 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.6 - - 42.8 - - 41.5 - - 39.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.7 - - 36.6 - - 37.7 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.3 - - 42.7 - - 42.0 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 35.9 - - 37.2 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 29 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1821 - - 2133 - - 994 - - 32 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 87 - - 101 - - 100 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96288 35 254 37 269 32 260 34 247 96288 89307 28 273 28 247 30 263 26 263 89307 83865 19 258 23 254 29 276 19 270 83865 79292 9 245 14 242 28 267 24 289 79292 75334 12 258 11 236 19 266 17 288 75334 71818 15 245 12 252 19 274 19 288 71818 68620 9 273 10 237 19 269 19 286 68620 65661 20 308 9 294 12 253 19 267 65661 62889 21 294 18 298 12 277 23 281 62889 60188 16 287 18 287 13 276 23 280 60188 57364 22 287 18 291 13 292 19 278 57364 54417 24 279 24 293 25 308 19 301 54417 51596 22 285 26 285 31 303 26 313 51596 49061 24 293 24 287 31 297 30 313 49061 46796 23 295 22 290 28 297 30 314 46796 44742 23 306 19 308 28 302 29 315 44742 42860 22 307 21 317 27 304 30 317 42860 41123 19 318 21 318 23 305 29 314 41123 39510 22 333 19 330 21 320 26 314 39510 38004 27 337 21 344 22 339 22 321 38004 36591 29 334 24 349 25 355 19 335 36591 35234 27 326 27 350 29 004 21 353 35234 33866 22 326 29 355 33 005 27 008 33866 32463 18 350 30 358 37 005 31 015 32463 31027 23 008 31 356 37 006 30 018 31027 29548 26 014 30 355 30 004 26 017 29548 28011 29 020 31 001 23 359 23 017 28011 26411 33 025 32 006 21 351 20 011 26411 24743 35 028 31 007 22 351 20 009 24743 23004 32 027 30 009 24 360 21 010 23004 21195 28 023 27 010 27 008 23 010 21195 19308 22 020 27 011 29 011 25 013 19308 17343 18 027 29 013 28 010 25 017 17343 15344 17 028 29 011 24 015 22 024 15344 13419 14 008 25 008 22 025 19 030 13419 11665 14 354 22 008 20 024 18 026 11665 10102 15 359 21 011 19 020 18 025 10102 8713 14 013 21 012 18 023 19 025 8713 7488 15 023 17 019 20 024 17 025 7488 6409 16 031 14 023 19 020 16 030 6409 5453 18 034 14 016 19 015 17 032 5453 4610 17 026 13 009 18 011 19 032 4610 3864 16 019 12*002 17 005 20 029 3864 3198 14*009 11*352 16 356 20 023 3198 2609 11*359 10 345 15*345 18 019 2609 2117 9 351 10 343 14*340 14 011 2117 1739 9 349 9 342 12 337 11 360 1739 1479 8 348 8 340 10 334 8 347 1479 1322 7 347 7 340 8 332 6*337 1322 1232 5 346 5 339 5 330 3*324 1232 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography