DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 56.6 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - 14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2583 - - 5448 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1748 - - 2175 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3783 - - 6648 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2310 - - 2862 - - 6927 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 228 - - 226 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 255 - - 262 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - 10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1536 - - 2145 - - -1843 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2247 - - 4504 - - 3076 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 745 - - 453 - - -3473 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3038 - - 6195 - - 4706 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 88 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 350 - - 140 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 56.6 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 49.5 - - 41.2 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.1 - - 56.9 - - 52.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.4 - - 39.9 - - 39.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 55 - - 14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2583 - - 5448 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98075 13 142 8 173 9 260 98075 90702 10 150 3 214 2 176 90702 85005 4 150 1 158 3 087 85005 80242 5 194 5 049 5 117 80242 76116 6 167 4 221 3 012 76116 72461 4 177 11 180 5 264 72461 69145 9 179 10 211 10 212 69145 66074 12 186 14 239 14 247 66074 63219 9 206 16 234 23 247 63219 60471 16 229 14 223 21 220 60471 57588 25 234 16 243 18 267 57588 54573 31 236 30 246 33 256 54573 51703 36 241 40 247 42 241 51703 49133 44 247 51 243 42 242 49133 46842 60 245 58 238 52 247 46842 44778 67 240 59 239 66 249 44778 42897 69 239 68 246 76 245 42897 41166 72 240 75 244 79 238 41166 39563 75 238 74 238 75 231 39563 38074 74 236 69 236 69 226 38074 36687 73 236 68 238 65 229 36687 35366 74 235 70 239 69 235 35366 34043 73 234 72 238 73 238 34043 32678 71 234 73 237 73 236 32678 31266 70 235 72 237 72 235 31266 29789 71 236 71 238 71 234 29789 28236 72 237 73 239 72 233 28236 26609 74 238 75 240 74 232 26609 24908 76 238 76 240 77 233 24908 23138 77 238 76 239 79 235 23138 21299 78 237 76 238 79 236 21299 19387 76 238 76 238 78 237 19387 17398 67 237 70 237 72 236 17398 15376 53 232 60 232 62 235 15376 13440 42 225 51 229 51 232 13440 11691 36 222 43 227 42 231 11691 10146 33 223 35 226 33 232 10146 8778 32 225 28 233 23 234 8778 7562 28 226 22*244 17 243 7562 6479 24 229 19*252 16 256 6479 5517 21 235 17 257 17 264 5517 4666 19 242 15 260 17 269 4666 3912 18*248 14 263 18 272 3912 3236 16*252 13 265 18 275 3236 2637 15 254 12 267 17 277 2637 2136 14 256 11 268 15 278 2136 1751 12 257 10 269 13 277 1751 1486 11 258 9 269 10 274 1486 1325 9 258 8 270 7*269 1325 1233 7 258 6 270 3*257 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography