DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.3 - - 63.7 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 157 - - 14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2911 - - 2929 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2795 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4111 - - 4129 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1213 - - 1489 - - 387 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 320 - - 158 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 041 - - 038 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2935 - - -2228 - - -2313 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7046 - - 6357 - - 3546 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11861 - - -10434 - - -10855 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15972 - - 14563 - - 12088 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 44 - - 51 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 63.3 - - 63.7 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 37.2 - - 40.7 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 62.5 - - 64.1 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 36.0 - - 39.7 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 157 - - 14 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2911 - - 2929 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98607 9 189 12 237 9 245 98607 91254 12 215 12 206 6 217 91254 85557 8 216 9 197 6 267 85557 80806 4 186 6 219 9 287 80806 76710 3 196 2 211 6 278 76710 73087 1 191 1 224 3 307 73087 69807 2 246 6 304 5 343 69807 66798 4 226 10 297 8 329 66798 64021 4 225 11 282 10 324 64021 61346 4 259 9 260 12 311 61346 58561 7 293 8 242 16 290 58561 55670 12 285 7 274 17 271 55670 52913 13 270 12 283 15 251 52913 50434 14 254 14 267 14 239 50434 48209 14 237 16 250 14 244 48209 46181 15 230 17 236 14 243 46181 44319 17 227 20 223 18 234 44319 42598 19 223 21 218 27 225 42598 40997 19 217 21 222 33 229 40997 39498 15 213 20 223 37 229 39498 38090 11 217 20 220 44 231 38090 36738 8 202 18 212 54 228 36738 35366 7 148 11 201 50 222 35366 33943 10 111 7 196 30 209 33943 32474 14 097 4 148 14 209 32474 30947 13 087 5 100 9 207 30947 29347 13 075 8 076 5 130 29347 27673 14 067 14 060 8 091 27673 25921 15 069 18 052 12 072 25921 24093 17 068 18 053 16 063 24093 22190 17 063 16 055 16 061 22190 20207 14 059 12 051 14 055 20207 18138 12 051 11 040 13 037 18138 16029 10 045 10 037 11 037 16029 13996 10 045 8 046 8 045 13996 12150 10 051 7 057 6 055 12150 10511 10 056 8 061 7 063 10511 9059 11 060 10 061 8 066 9059 7773 13 063 12 061 10 077 7773 6637 15 065 14 065 15 080 6637 5635 15 068 13 060 16 068 5635 4756 13*065 11*046 14 051 4756 3980 9*053 9*039 11 036 3980 3285 8 042 8 038 10 028 3285 2669 7 039 8 039 9 024 2669 2156 7 039 7 038 8 019 2156 1762 7 038 7 038 7 014 1762 1491 6 037 6 038 5 002 1491 1327 6 037 6 038 3 334 1327 1233 4 036 4 037 2*320 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography