DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 69.5 - - 69.9 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 62 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1425 - - 2631 - - 2939 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1217 - - 2271 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2625 - - 3831 - - 4139 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2412 - - 2958 - - 2324 - - 4128 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 204 - - 260 - - 167 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 300 - - 299 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2055 - - -966 - - -533 - - -962 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4680 - - 4797 - - 4672 - - 2196 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4797 - - -3842 - - -5534 - - -3135 ODpotential blCL - - - 7422 - - 7673 - - 9673 - - 4369 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 58 - - 61 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 69.5 - - 69.9 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.9 - - 52.9 - - 53.9 - - 60.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 69.2 - - 70.4 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 51.6 - - 52.6 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 62 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1425 - - 2631 - - 2939 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98874 27 094 22 086 12 061 19 067 98874 91354 24 094 17 086 13 084 16 059 91354 85582 17 093 11 117 12 093 12 049 85582 80791 10 099 12 120 8 101 10 049 80791 76672 11 077 12 093 7 112 7 055 76672 73027 11 079 11 078 10 081 6 096 73027 69708 14 064 8 088 8 044 7 097 69708 66645 11 038 6 073 6 028 6 090 66645 63802 8 012 4 017 6 017 3 067 63802 61055 3 030 5 329 5 003 3 330 61055 58195 5 005 7 321 5 330 7 328 58195 55233 4 015 8 336 4 340 9 344 55233 52415 8 017 12 319 9 326 15 335 52415 49902 11 008 11 312 11 321 16 329 49902 47671 13 358 14 313 19 323 19 325 47671 45663 16 338 16 314 22 313 20 322 45663 43839 20 338 10 296 22 316 26 326 43839 42173 32 338 18 328 29 316 29 329 42173 40645 31 341 25 313 31 319 28 334 40645 39220 34 003 23 321 31 326 30 327 39220 37872 41 002 32 343 30 333 31 321 37872 36562 45 357 42 341 31 333 34 321 36562 35226 48 356 43 339 34 331 38 324 35226 33836 50 358 42 340 39 330 39 326 33836 32395 53 002 42 341 43 329 39 325 32395 30890 53 005 40 345 42 328 40 323 30890 29309 46 003 39 350 38 327 40 317 29309 27650 39 002 38 356 36 328 35 312 27650 25912 37 005 37 002 29 336 32 314 25912 24095 35 008 34 004 25 346 25 316 24095 22203 32 006 30 005 23 359 21 324 22203 20227 27 000 24 003 20 000 19 327 20227 18163 23 353 20 354 16 350 21 335 18163 16059 19 346 18 344 15 339 19 346 16059 14036 16 346 15 335 16 337 15 343 14036 12198 15 347 13 330 15 337 13 331 12198 10566 14 343 12 329 15 332 11 329 10566 9120 15 334 12 321 15 327 10 331 9120 7838 17 318 12 320 15 323 11 317 7838 6701 16 306 14 323 14 318 14 301 6701 5695 15 303 16 322 14 309 15 292 5695 4808 15 305 15 318 13*304 15 284 4808 4023 15 305 14*313 11*302 14 278 4023 3318 15 300 11*305 8 299 13 274 3318 2694 13*292 9 299 7 298 11 268 2694 2173 10*284 9 298 6 299 8 257 2173 1773 9 284 8 298 6 299 6 241 1773 1497 9 283 8 298 5 300 5 219 1497 1330 7 284 7 297 5 299 4*197 1330 1234 5 283 5 297 3 300 3*184 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography