DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/21 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.3 - - 63.6 - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 35 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1523 - - 2370 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1217 - - 1217 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2723 - - 3570 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1886 - - 1680 - - 3702 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 164 - - 177 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 285 - - 290 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1071 - - 1446 - - -270 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1652 - - 2124 - - 1504 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 276 - - 528 - - -1198 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2447 - - 3042 - - 2432 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 95 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 300 - - 920 - - 870 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 59.3 - - 63.6 - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.1 - - 58.3 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.2 - - 63.8 - - 63.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.4 - - 57.3 - - 58.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 35 - - 22 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1523 - - 2370 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 95 - - 80 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99348 27 107 24 085 28 092 99348 91798 24 096 22 103 19 086 91798 85987 22 085 22 103 15 094 85987 81162 21 098 18 102 15 111 81162 76989 20 096 15 110 13 094 76989 73289 14 093 12 132 8 091 73289 69936 10 112 10 119 5 116 69936 66859 9 133 1 026 5 051 66859 64008 6 181 6 239 6 279 64008 61240 10 229 9 264 11 246 61240 58346 8 253 11 265 13 232 58346 55336 16 277 18 268 11 271 55336 52466 26 256 21 264 23 284 52466 49891 23 252 24 281 31 280 49891 47588 27 268 35 287 39 282 47588 45503 30 272 43 281 45 284 45503 43603 32 276 43 278 49 284 43603 41860 34 279 43 279 55 286 41860 40251 35 276 43 283 67 290 40251 38757 32 271 45 285 80 288 38757 37360 28 272 47 286 84 288 37360 36017 25 274 46 286 91 291 36017 34657 17 267 41 286 103 292 34657 33246 3 131 28 280 109 294 33246 31786 6 079 15 255 104 295 31786 30267 8 077 7 163 77 296 30267 28688 10 069 7 143 41 286 28688 27054 3 349 5 190 19 242 27054 25356 7 305 5 265 12 211 25356 23586 6 302 7 299 6 246 23586 21744 5 301 6 299 7 238 21744 19825 6 323 7 292 10 242 19825 17823 8 328 8 288 11 256 17823 15781 9 316 9 287 10 263 15781 13812 10 302 9 283 8 276 13812 12020 10 294 9 280 9 292 12020 10427 11 292 11 280 11 297 10427 9012 12 308 12 285 11 299 9012 7753 14 320 12 295 10 299 7753 6632 14 322 13 302 10 295 6632 5637 16 320 13 301 12 294 5637 4760 18 313 14 297 13 296 4760 3985 18 306 15*295 13 298 3985 3291 17*297 15*293 12 299 3291 2676 15*291 14 291 11 297 2676 2162 13 285 13 290 10 295 2162 1766 11 283 12 289 8 292 1766 1494 10 282 11 288 6 290 1494 1329 8 282 9 288 5*288 1329 1234 6 280 6 288 2*282 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography