DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.7 - - 75.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - -12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2600 - - 4543 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2119 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3800 - - 5743 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2675 - - 1897 - - 4463 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 247 - - 196 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 264 - - 263 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1081 - - 1384 - - -1352 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4881 - - 4359 - - 2586 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4427 - - -2753 - - -3782 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8227 - - 8496 - - 5016 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 71 - - 77 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 140 - - 570 - - 370 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 74.7 - - 75.1 - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 57.6 - - 60.1 - - 62.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 74.6 - - 75.9 - - 72.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.2 - - 58.8 - - 60.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 48 - - -12 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2600 - - 4543 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98930 13 096 10 081 19 061 98930 91393 18 106 15 100 9 062 91393 85614 12 099 9 065 11 088 85614 80826 6 102 4 060 7 043 80826 76717 6 097 2 048 3 030 76717 73075 5 106 3 346 2 221 73075 69755 2 028 1 297 4 266 69755 66696 2 286 3 283 10 301 66696 63866 5 347 1 326 6 292 63866 61117 12 324 8 336 6 342 61117 58257 16 303 16 308 15 323 58257 55320 13 293 18 294 15 293 55320 52531 14 309 13 300 18 304 52531 50034 21 313 20 317 23 302 50034 47809 26 311 29 315 26 309 47809 45797 36 298 36 311 38 314 45797 43979 32 276 47 306 60 305 43979 42333 29 280 49 306 46 301 42333 40808 30 266 46 312 43 310 40808 39370 35 265 53 323 55 319 39370 38008 36 270 60 320 54 311 38008 36685 36 273 61 313 52 310 36685 35332 38 273 65 310 52 311 35332 33923 38 273 63 309 54 312 33923 32461 38 273 51 312 56 311 32461 30933 38 276 43 313 51 309 30933 29327 35 279 41 310 45 305 29327 27647 31 278 37 308 39 303 27647 25895 28 274 33 297 30 291 25895 24072 24 271 33 287 28 274 24072 22180 21 276 31 282 31 272 22180 20212 22 291 29 283 31 272 20212 18162 25 300 27 285 27 271 18162 16070 22 303 23 286 22 270 16070 14053 17 293 18 287 18 269 14053 12218 15 289 16 282 18 272 12218 10589 15 286 16 279 20 275 10589 9145 15 280 19 277 19 279 9145 7863 16 277 21 272 17 279 7863 6725 17 279 19*267 17 275 6725 5716 16 281 17*266 17 272 5716 4826 15 279 15 265 17 273 4826 4037 13*274 13 264 18 277 4037 3330 11*268 12 263 18 281 3330 2703 9 264 11 261 18 284 2703 2180 8 263 10 260 17 285 2180 1777 8 263 8 259 14 285 1777 1499 7 264 7 258 10 284 1499 1331 6 264 6 257 7 277 1331 1234 5 264 5 256 3*265 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography