DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.9 - - 33.4 - - 26.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1041 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1215 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2241 - - 1231 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2383 - - 2776 - - 1417 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 91 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 280 - - 302 - - 115 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 527 - - -248 - - -224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1714 - - 1479 - - 1455 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 159 - - -858 - - -10011 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2082 - - 2089 - - 11242 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.9 - - 33.4 - - 26.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 33.0 - - 31.6 - - 24.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 36.1 - - 34.5 - - 31.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.6 - - 31.4 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - -6 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1041 - - 31 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 99 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96048 50 259 49 270 55 267 96048 89051 30 264 27 282 30 269 89051 83632 24 268 24 276 20 283 83632 79074 25 276 33 276 27 289 79074 75140 18 285 27 261 23 282 75140 71651 18 293 20 255 24 281 71651 68465 29 289 24 278 29 287 68465 65509 37 280 28 286 31 289 65509 62736 36 271 32 286 31 288 62736 60028 31 269 33 277 30 280 60028 57190 33 271 32 277 32 281 57190 54245 36 273 36 278 38 280 54245 51448 37 274 39 275 40 279 51448 48944 38 270 39 273 43 273 48944 46701 37 271 39 279 44 270 46701 44660 39 280 48 284 44 277 44660 42804 43 285 58 282 54 288 42804 41119 51 289 69 280 69 289 41119 39569 64 286 72 281 71 285 39569 38127 65 278 69 282 68 293 38127 36784 54 270 65 283 77 297 36784 35500 40 282 67 285 86 305 35500 34194 40 290 75 290 93 306 34194 32832 42 290 81 291 94 299 32832 31419 44 292 76 292 93 297 31419 29937 45 291 67 291 88 301 29937 28373 47 287 54 287 84 308 28373 26730 52 287 49 286 73 314 26730 25014 56 291 47 284 54 307 25014 23233 61 295 44 285 44 297 23233 21388 59 295 43 290 40 290 21388 19470 55 291 45 291 37 283 19470 17470 53 294 44 285 35 284 17470 15435 45 303 37 285 32 283 15435 13480 38 306 31 288 27 271 13480 11705 36 302 29 290 21 270 11705 10128 36 302 29 298 19 285 10128 8729 34 307 28 305 19 293 8729 7488 29 309 24 308 20 296 7488 6389 26 304 21 306 20 300 6389 5419 23 296 20 299 19 304 5419 4568 20 293 20 292 16 300 4568 3823 17 294 19 290 13 295 3823 3162 15 293 18 292 11 296 3162 2582 14*291 16 294 7 306 2582 2100 10*283 13 297 4 331 2100 1729 8 280 10 299 3 354 1729 1474 7 278 8 300 2 011 1474 1320 6 277 6 301 1 047 1320 1231 4 277 3*302 1*115 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography