DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.5 - - 50.4 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - -27 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 265 - - 32 - - 33 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1216 - - 1216 - - 1216 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1465 - - 1232 - - 1233 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 648 - - 769 - - 725 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 89 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 144 - - 153 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -8 - - -7 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 233 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1232 - - 1232 - - 1233 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 8 - - -6133 - - -5359 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1457 - - 7365 - - 6592 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 10 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.5 - - 50.4 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.1 - - 48.7 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 47.8 - - 51.6 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.9 - - 48.9 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 37 - - -27 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 265 - - 32 - - 33 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 80 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96530 3 358 11 291 11 286 96530 89388 2 100 6 231 8 299 89388 83832 2 343 5 189 9 287 83832 79185 10 246 5 275 9 278 79185 75161 14 221 8 283 4 239 75161 71587 14 232 14 276 7 261 71587 68351 16 219 19 254 12 283 68351 65367 20 243 23 236 20 264 65367 62600 25 238 22 216 24 235 62600 59932 27 243 21 214 22 216 59932 57135 25 235 15 243 22 222 57135 54208 34 234 29 241 26 227 54208 51411 58 227 44 228 47 214 51411 48913 67 223 61 215 57 212 48913 46693 66 217 70 210 61 212 46693 44689 68 217 79 213 65 208 44689 42861 76 221 86 215 75 208 42861 41192 86 222 90 215 99 210 41192 39672 94 220 93 212 116 207 39672 38259 98 218 94 211 116 203 38259 36929 96 217 97 212 108 199 36929 35639 87 217 97 213 101 196 35639 34325 74 214 92 213 104 196 34325 32955 61 209 85 210 103 199 32955 31536 64 204 75 204 102 200 31536 30053 60 206 69 202 97 200 30053 28497 58 211 66 203 88 197 28497 26868 58 213 67 203 82 194 26868 25165 58 215 66 201 77 191 25165 23393 57 214 67 200 72 189 23393 21554 59 209 68 200 68 189 21554 19642 60 205 69 201 65 187 19642 17653 60 202 68 202 64 184 17653 15630 58 201 66 203 62 181 15630 13687 58 201 61 204 63 180 13687 11919 58 203 58 206 67 182 11919 10342 58 204 56 206 69 185 10342 8937 61 204 55 203 69 187 8937 7685 63 201 55 199 69 188 7685 6571 63 196 55 195 70 189 6571 5584 60 192 56 191 70 188 5584 4712 57 189 57 188 69 185 4712 3942 53 185 55 184 64 182 3942 3253 48 178 53 180 57 177 3253 2645 42 166 48 175 50 170 2645 2139 35 155 40 166 42 164 2139 1752 29 149 31 159 34 158 1752 1487 23*146 24 156 25 155 1487 1325 19*145 19 155 20*153 1325 1233 11 144 10*153 10*151 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography