DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 71.8 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5931 - - 5855 - - 34 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4582 - - 1218 - - 1218 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7131 - - 7055 - - 1234 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2889 - - 3007 - - 6610 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 335 - - 195 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 242 - - 201 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2058 - - 2611 - - -854 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5073 - - 4444 - - 2088 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 223 - - 635 - - -2607 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6908 - - 6420 - - 3841 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 97 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 530 - - 810 - - 1730 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.2 - - 71.8 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.2 - - 56.7 - - 63.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.9 - - 72.9 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.9 - - 55.4 - - 61.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 56 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5931 - - 5855 - - 34 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 38 - - 89 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99399 39 077 24 076 20 068 99399 91859 31 078 22 072 21 069 91859 86050 22 074 22 072 25 072 86050 81234 14 075 17 080 21 072 81234 77077 9 080 14 096 16 081 77077 73395 8 126 14 118 8 120 73395 70057 7 130 11 124 7 146 70057 66979 3 162 5 168 2 198 66979 64112 6 208 9 194 7 246 64112 61333 14 205 11 224 13 232 61333 58432 15 247 12 261 10 237 58432 55413 24 241 24 251 19 260 55413 52538 27 233 26 240 27 245 52538 49972 24 235 21 246 25 237 49972 47677 29 249 28 259 25 248 47677 45595 37 241 40 240 35 251 45595 43700 37 240 39 237 38 246 43700 41959 47 246 43 248 43 241 41959 40348 62 233 53 241 46 239 40348 38858 68 234 51 239 54 241 38858 37481 75 234 57 251 61 241 37481 36169 76 237 67 251 72 240 36169 34844 77 239 67 250 71 241 34844 33472 71 241 62 252 54 239 33472 32051 61 243 57 248 49 233 32051 30564 50 244 58 245 51 229 30564 29000 49 244 54 244 52 231 29000 27356 53 237 42 249 46 233 27356 25634 50 232 39 245 38 234 25634 23835 40 247 39 241 33 239 23835 21962 38 251 36 242 32 249 21962 20010 40 246 33 248 31 252 20010 17976 33 247 32 249 27 246 17976 15902 22 251 24 240 20 236 15902 13912 16 251 19 241 14 217 13912 12113 13 251 15 243 10 201 12113 10515 13 249 10 239 11 194 10515 9094 11 246 7 230 13 194 9094 7827 8*245 6*208 13 197 7827 6699 6*239 6*202 13 195 6699 5697 5 237 6 201 12 191 5697 4810 4 239 5 201 11 191 4810 4026 4 240 5 200 12 192 4026 3321 4 244 5 200 12 193 3321 2697 3 246 5 201 12 193 2697 2175 3 249 5 202 11 193 2175 1775 3 252 5 201 9 192 1775 1498 3 253 4 202 7 187 1498 1330 2 252 4 203 5 179 1330 1234 2 254 3 202 3*170 1234 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography