DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.6 - - 27.6 - - 25.8 - - 20.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 45 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1669 - - 3322 - - 2290 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1215 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2869 - - 4522 - - 3490 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2481 - - 1357 - - 1873 - - 2781 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 137 - - 225 - - 60 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 12 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 244 - - 279 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 8 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -119 - - 973 - - 582 - - -658 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2988 - - 3549 - - 2908 - - 1889 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1435 - - -254 - - -482 - - -1965 ODpotential blCL - - - 4304 - - 4776 - - 3972 - - 3196 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 99 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.6 - - 27.6 - - 25.8 - - 20.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.0 - - 16.5 - - 17.5 - - 17.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.7 - - 27.7 - - 26.4 - - 22.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.8 - - 15.5 - - 16.5 - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 19 - - 45 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1669 - - 3322 - - 2290 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 94 - - 91 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95933 26 346 27 330 23 313 30 302 95933 88970 32 323 24 317 26 300 21 291 88970 83531 29 323 25 304 26 294 30 284 83531 78923 14 314 17 284 25 270 38 271 78923 74907 20 274 23 266 31 258 37 250 74907 71314 39 259 39 251 36 252 39 238 71314 68022 43 255 44 244 41 247 43 245 68022 64990 44 251 46 239 49 246 51 248 64990 62183 43 245 47 235 59 243 62 243 62183 59464 44 241 51 236 63 238 67 238 59464 56612 52 242 60 239 63 234 64 237 56612 53629 71 240 73 238 66 237 66 241 53629 50775 89 235 85 237 79 243 77 243 50775 48217 95 230 96 235 93 239 86 237 48217 45941 99 228 105 230 97 231 85 230 45941 43891 107 229 110 227 97 227 85 229 43891 42027 115 230 111 226 99 226 96 225 42027 40319 120 228 113 225 106 224 107 220 40319 38739 125 226 115 224 114 222 117 218 38739 37269 132 225 114 224 123 222 124 213 37269 35892 136 225 115 225 133 223 135 211 35892 34570 135 225 121 228 153 224 144 210 34570 33237 134 224 139 230 175 223 150 206 33237 31872 137 225 175 229 173 219 148 200 31872 30468 140 225 193 228 162 215 150 200 30468 28999 140 224 176 226 161 212 148 201 28999 27454 139 222 162 221 158 211 140 203 27454 25836 140 220 161 218 155 214 133 206 25836 24144 139 216 159 218 147 217 125 209 24144 22383 134 215 164 221 138 213 121 210 22383 20552 132 217 156 228 135 210 124 210 20552 18653 123 222 107 228 135 215 99 217 18653 16705 96 230 89 228 96 225 52 225 16705 14753 74 232 69 230 57 230 33 224 14753 12890 65 225 52 228 42 230 24 217 12890 11209 64 216 51 221 39 224 26 214 11209 9721 57 211 51 219 39 221 28 213 9721 8401 50 222 48 225 37 224 27 216 8401 7227 46 235 41 234 34 233 24 219 7227 6185 39 241 29 238 25 239 20 229 6185 5265 32 240 20*238 15 243 13 237 5265 4458 28 236 16*240 9 254 5 237 4458 3747 26 234 14 243 7*267 1 309 3747 3111 24*234 13 244 7*273 4 355 3111 2548 21*233 12 245 6 277 8 353 2548 2078 17 231 12 246 6 280 9 351 2078 1717 14 230 11 246 5 282 9 350 1717 1468 11 227 10 247 5 283 8 352 1468 1317 9 225 8 246 4 284 5*352 1317 1231 6 223 6 245 3 284 3*350 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography