DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 18.4 - - 23.0 - - 25.5 - - 25.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 75 - - -5 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1185 - - 1492 - - 381 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 - - 1214 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2385 - - 2692 - - 1581 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 480 - - 631 - - 1293 - - 1074 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 199 - - 30 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 223 - - 171 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -29 - - 5 - - -872 - - -863 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2414 - - 2687 - - 2453 - - 2094 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13968 - - -13035 - - -11994 - - -12765 ODpotential blCL - - - 16353 - - 15727 - - 13575 - - 13996 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 81 - - 94 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 18.4 - - 23.0 - - 25.5 - - 25.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 12.4 - - 15.8 - - 19.4 - - 20.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 18.2 - - 22.8 - - 26.4 - - 26.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.3 - - 14.7 - - 18.5 - - 20.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 79 - - 75 - - -5 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1185 - - 1492 - - 381 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 26 - - 75 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95992 35 245 42 252 39 262 33 255 95992 89005 14 221 28 239 41 255 35 238 89005 83592 26 228 31 233 30 240 34 244 83592 79067 29 226 25 233 26 231 34 234 79067 75110 35 233 28 240 30 240 34 238 75110 71564 29 233 31 243 33 243 38 247 71564 68346 23 250 24 229 27 226 38 231 68346 65382 23 261 14 230 19 206 29 201 65382 62604 31 253 23 278 10 273 13 221 62604 59878 40 244 43 262 40 274 34 271 59878 57035 41 242 54 245 54 260 57 265 57035 54095 44 249 55 238 64 244 69 255 54095 51287 60 251 54 244 62 237 72 248 51287 48760 58 247 53 247 56 252 73 249 48760 46497 52 259 59 261 80 258 77 252 46497 44447 63 272 80 265 87 252 81 254 44447 42575 83 272 90 260 81 250 85 254 42575 40852 95 266 84 258 75 254 88 253 40852 39258 95 262 80 267 80 263 88 252 39258 37781 88 264 91 271 96 266 89 257 37781 36410 87 270 100 267 106 265 94 258 36410 35105 92 276 99 268 107 263 98 257 35105 33796 98 278 106 275 109 262 99 257 33796 32443 102 276 116 277 114 260 104 257 32443 31045 103 272 117 275 113 258 107 255 31045 29584 98 269 115 268 107 258 105 253 29584 28049 90 265 110 263 104 258 102 254 28049 26437 85 264 102 265 100 257 97 254 26437 24749 83 269 88 261 88 257 90 254 24749 22990 82 274 89 254 76 255 82 252 22990 21160 82 275 78 253 71 251 73 246 21160 19256 81 277 69 265 70 247 70 247 19256 17274 75 278 64 260 65 246 71 250 17274 15258 69 275 65 256 61 252 73 248 15258 13318 64 272 64 258 64 258 73 242 13318 11556 55 273 57 261 66 257 70 239 11556 9999 44 278 44 261 57 250 65 240 9999 8626 37 286 33 258 43 242 59 240 8626 7408 31 291 26 252 37 243 54 236 7408 6326 27 293 23 245 39 242 51 229 6326 5369 24 295 20 241 38 234 49 223 5369 4529 24 299 18 241 34 225 48 216 4529 3791 24 304 16 239 28 216 45 207 3791 3136 22 307 12*230 21 208 41 194 3136 2562 17*309 9*223 15 195 35 180 2562 2085 11*314 8 223 11 182 29 168 2085 1721 10 316 7 223 9*177 23 162 1721 1470 9 317 6 224 7*172 18 159 1470 1318 8 318 6 224 5 171 14*157 1318 1231 6 319 4 223 3 169 7*153 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography