DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.8 - - 65.3 - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 68 - - 100 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4192 - - 3547 - - 2229 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3314 - - 3045 - - 1217 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5392 - - 4747 - - 3429 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1419 - - 1480 - - 1371 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 296 - - 304 - - 91 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 22 - - 22 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 277 - - 297 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 16 - - 14 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1490 - - 138 - - -207 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3903 - - 4609 - - 3636 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 199 - - -6290 - - -9888 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5193 - - 11037 - - 13317 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 84 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.8 - - 65.3 - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.8 - - 49.3 - - 43.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.7 - - 65.0 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.5 - - 48.2 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 68 - - 100 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4192 - - 3547 - - 2229 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 79 - - 34 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98274 13 153 4 160 5 113 98274 90810 11 127 6 187 10 032 90810 85108 12 129 2 146 7 012 85108 80394 6 052 2 125 5 292 80394 76327 6 080 3 071 5 228 76327 72722 4 358 7 033 2 029 72722 69454 3 220 2 267 5 333 69454 66452 2 298 3 196 5 267 66452 63675 8 263 6 244 5 226 63675 60991 9 200 13 229 20 251 60991 58200 12 244 19 238 25 244 58200 55304 26 270 14 250 19 238 55304 52521 36 266 23 259 29 245 52521 50016 35 251 37 255 43 243 50016 47792 35 237 47 248 53 243 47792 45797 44 232 52 232 60 240 45797 43990 49 232 57 222 62 232 43990 42328 54 236 61 227 63 230 42328 40776 61 234 61 230 63 232 40776 39317 60 227 58 232 62 234 39317 37943 60 222 57 232 63 237 37943 36614 60 220 55 230 67 238 36614 35258 58 222 52 231 67 235 35258 33846 54 226 51 233 66 233 33846 32381 51 232 53 233 67 233 32381 30845 52 235 58 231 68 233 30845 29229 54 233 59 232 67 235 29229 27536 58 228 59 235 67 240 27536 25764 59 227 61 243 68 246 25764 23919 60 234 63 250 66 250 23919 22006 63 242 60 251 60 250 22006 20021 66 246 57 252 58 253 20021 17955 63 250 56 253 60 256 17955 15850 55 253 57 255 59 253 15850 13827 48 252 57 254 57 252 13827 11993 46 250 54 252 56 255 11993 10369 45 253 52 255 53 260 10369 8933 44 259 49 261 46 266 8933 7664 39 265 41 264 37 270 7664 6545 31 269 31 268 32 270 6545 5559 28*273 27*274 29 274 5559 4694 27*274 24*284 27 287 4694 3931 26 275 23 295 27*303 3931 3250 25 277 23 298 26*308 3250 2647 25 277 22 300 26 310 2647 2143 24 278 22 301 24 310 2143 1755 22 278 21 302 22 311 1755 1488 20 278 19 302 18 311 1488 1326 17 278 16 302 15 311 1326 1233 11 278 11 302 8 310 1233 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography