DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Montpelier_VT 1200ft pt43602@44.219,-72.589,1132ft SPONSORED BY: Moshe Braner, Post Mills Soaring Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 39.0 - - 37.6 - - 35.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 196 - - 34 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3887 - - 3573 - - 31 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3611 - - 1215 - - 1215 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5087 - - 4773 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2474 - - 2366 - - 5328 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 378 - - 211 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 22 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 300 - - 303 - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 17 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1490 - - 1485 - - -1610 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3597 - - 3288 - - 2841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 858 - - 777 - - -2080 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4229 - - 3996 - - 3311 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 39.0 - - 37.6 - - 35.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.9 - - 27.9 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 38.5 - - 37.7 - - 36.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.7 - - 27.0 - - 27.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 196 - - 34 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3887 - - 3573 - - 31 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 100 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96873 34 239 36 266 18 276 96873 89450 19 243 30 254 38 267 89450 83825 23 234 29 237 33 252 83825 79170 15 233 20 220 30 255 79170 75135 26 255 29 261 31 261 75135 71563 38 245 42 253 33 249 71563 68321 40 232 43 249 37 252 68321 65337 38 235 45 253 44 261 65337 62572 35 245 43 249 48 259 62572 59882 34 254 39 249 45 257 59882 57059 42 260 43 257 45 256 57059 54112 50 257 51 260 49 260 54112 51292 52 253 55 260 56 264 51292 48759 52 256 54 266 59 265 48759 46494 57 261 53 269 59 268 46494 44441 60 264 56 273 60 273 44441 42567 62 268 61 278 64 279 42567 40854 65 271 69 282 68 283 40854 39283 69 273 75 283 70 287 39283 37837 75 274 80 283 73 290 37837 36493 78 278 83 282 75 290 36493 35205 82 285 84 283 77 288 35205 33899 89 291 85 284 77 286 33899 32544 92 293 85 285 77 285 32544 31137 91 292 84 286 77 286 31137 29666 89 290 82 288 77 288 29666 28120 87 288 81 288 77 289 28120 26498 87 288 81 288 77 289 26498 24802 86 287 82 289 77 291 24802 23033 84 286 78 290 75 292 23033 21194 81 284 76 291 72 292 21194 19280 77 283 75 292 69 293 19280 17284 72 284 72 291 66 293 17284 15249 66 286 66 291 63 291 15249 13294 58 290 59 294 59 291 13294 11524 51 294 50 298 53 294 11524 9963 46 298 43 301 45 298 9963 8587 42 302 37 302 39 300 8587 7376 30 301 31 298 34 300 7376 6313 29 301 29 299 31 302 6313 5377 29*301 28*300 30 305 5377 4552 28*301 27*302 30 308 4552 3821 27 301 26 303 29 310 3821 3166 25 300 24 303 28 311 3166 2587 24 300 23 303 25 311 2587 2103 23 300 22 303 22 311 2103 1732 22 300 20 303 19 311 1732 1476 20 300 17 303 15 311 1476 1320 17 300 14 303 12 311 1320 1231 11 300 9 303 7*310 1231 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography