DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 74.1 - - 69.2 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 366 - - 199 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 918 - - 1556 - - 1079 - - 319 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1018 - - 1605 - - 1072 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1631 - - 2269 - - 1792 - - 1032 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 412 - - 604 - - 492 - - 585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 243 - - 337 - - 243 - - 59 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 261 - - 273 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1753 - - -3324 - - -2474 - - -139 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3384 - - 5593 - - 4266 - - 1171 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9335 - - -9969 - - -9338 - - -9417 ODpotential blCL - - - 10966 - - 12238 - - 11130 - - 10449 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 58 - - 66 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 74.1 - - 69.2 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.6 - - 52.2 - - 53.1 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 71.9 - - 67.9 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.0 - - 51.8 - - 52.9 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 366 - - 199 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 918 - - 1556 - - 1079 - - 319 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98741 6 171 9 136 6 099 13 108 98741 91377 11 134 10 152 5 153 8 101 91377 85660 9 128 10 159 7 167 10 146 85660 80893 11 160 6 188 6 167 8 146 80893 76784 9 139 9 190 7 211 5 226 76784 73155 2 141 6 170 7 180 7 233 73155 69873 5 222 5 223 3 146 3 195 69873 66857 8 223 10 237 7 314 2 346 66857 64061 4 246 10 245 11 280 7 313 64061 61365 8 252 14 259 16 265 14 284 61365 58564 12 276 17 260 21 253 21 270 58564 55660 21 283 21 265 27 259 29 266 55660 52891 31 281 31 270 35 270 34 271 52891 50402 41 274 42 269 44 274 43 271 50402 48170 50 272 53 271 55 270 51 268 48170 46134 55 271 58 267 59 267 55 266 46134 44260 57 273 57 267 58 264 58 266 44260 42525 59 271 57 267 57 264 60 267 42525 40914 56 266 58 263 56 265 63 267 40914 39413 50 264 50 259 52 264 63 263 39413 38009 47 265 43 263 46 263 56 260 38009 36658 47 265 44 268 41 268 49 261 36658 35291 48 262 46 265 44 271 48 266 35291 33877 44 260 45 262 46 264 49 265 33877 32415 42 263 42 265 44 261 47 262 32415 30888 38 265 41 265 41 265 44 262 30888 29282 35 269 37 265 38 265 39 264 29282 27596 32 267 30 268 35 262 37 264 27596 25829 28 264 26 271 30 262 35 262 25829 23982 27 260 23 271 27 265 29 263 23982 22056 26 260 18 273 23 269 25 265 22056 20047 21 262 16 273 18 267 18 261 20047 17953 17 260 15 274 13 269 14 263 17953 15815 12 267 11 265 10 276 11 267 15815 13750 7 264 7 242 7 271 9 277 13750 11871 4 241 6 218 6 257 7 284 11871 10204 4 209 5 206 5 255 4 289 10204 8726 5 186 5 200 3 242 3 285 8726 7413 6 180 6 196 4 211 2 213 7413 6248 5 171 7 189 6 206 5 201 6248 5217 5 164 8 185 8 202 7 209 5217 4309 4 165 8 184 10 202 9 209 4309 3508 5 188 8 196 11 211 12 213 3508 2793 8 203 8*214 11 226 13 224 2793 2166 9 219 8*252 11*260 14 246 2166 1649 8*237 9 262 11*271 14 261 1649 1256 8*242 9 263 12 273 13*267 1256 986 7 243 9 263 11 274 12*269 986 823 7 243 9 263 11 274 10 269 823 729 6 244 8 264 9 273 7 270 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography