DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 94.6 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 218 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 463 - - 2100 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1851 - - - - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1177 - - 2814 - - - - - 731 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 817 - - 1310 - - - - - 534 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 116 - - 316 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 038 - - 360 - - - - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 2 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7977 - - -10523 - - - - - -7997 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9155 - - 13338 - - - - - 8729 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14543 - - -15812 - - - - - -14383 ODpotential blCL - - - 15720 - - 18626 - - - - - 15114 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 91 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.6 - - 94.6 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 39.0 - - - - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 93.0 - - - - - 85.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 37.8 - - - - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 218 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 463 - - 2100 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 65 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99035 15 125 21 137 7 119 99035 91559 16 147 9 113 14 089 91559 85769 14 136 8 130 10 103 85769 80970 10 110 8 122 12 141 80970 76875 11 101 10 120 9 116 76875 73275 14 094 11 097 9 077 73275 70019 15 090 12 096 7 072 70019 67034 13 102 12 088 6 098 67034 64289 9 118 6 116 4 113 64289 61645 6 136 7 174 3 042 61645 58909 5 082 8 153 7 299 58909 56095 16 254 14 252 16 284 56095 53426 25 244 26 245 27 261 53426 51040 34 251 35 254 33 262 51040 48902 43 245 40 254 37 261 48902 46950 41 250 39 252 36 257 46950 45145 43 257 40 254 34 261 45145 43460 45 255 42 253 36 261 43460 41879 46 253 43 250 38 259 41879 40389 43 251 41 249 38 259 40389 38977 41 244 36 248 36 256 38977 37605 38 242 30 250 34 254 37605 36206 30 249 28 248 31 248 36206 34749 26 248 25 230 26 240 34749 33236 26 256 20 229 20 247 33236 31653 24 272 21 247 23 247 31653 29991 26 257 25 239 25 237 29991 28251 22 246 22 232 26 230 28251 26435 17 240 15 239 23 229 26435 24545 22 236 15 238 18 222 24545 22584 20 224 18 228 19 215 22584 20544 15 214 17 211 17 214 20544 18417 16 207 18 207 15 215 18417 16242 14 210 16 212 11 207 16242 14143 11 214 12 218 7 197 14143 12228 7 218 8 215 4 170 12228 10521 4 226 6 197 3 162 10521 9003 3 240 4 193 3 186 9003 7652 2 267 1 197 2 238 7652 6452 2 330 1 031 3 286 6452 5389 2 024 3 041 4 311 5389 4453 3 039 4 039 5 338 4453 3628 4 038 5 023 6 353 3628 2890 4 028 6*009 7 351 2890 2239 6 028 7*004 9 333 2239 1698 8 036 7 001 10 320 1698 1284 7*037 7 359 10 308 1284 1000 6*038 6 357 9 297 1000 829 4 038 6 356 6*285 829 731 3 039 5 354 4*274 731 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography