DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.8 - - 62.5 - - 67.4 - - 62.4 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 83 - - 148 - - 12 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1188 - - 3075 - - 1529 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 2378 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1901 - - 3788 - - 2242 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 548 - - 1451 - - 1478 - - 2061 - - 1597 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 189 - - 316 - - 112 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 9 - - 18 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 144 - - 198 - - 201 - - 205 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 39 - - 415 - - 315 - - -197 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 1862 - - 3373 - - 1927 - - 926 sfcLCL ODpotential -7199 - - -328 - - -407 - - -246 - - -2487 ODpotential blCL 7928 - - 2229 - - 4195 - - 2488 - - 3216 blCL maxRH 99 - - 94 - - 86 - - 98 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 50.8 - - 62.5 - - 67.4 - - 62.4 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.2 - - 56.8 - - 55.0 - - 56.3 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.6 - - 61.8 - - 66.7 - - 62.5 - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.2 - - 56.4 - - 54.5 - - 56.1 - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 83 - - 148 - - 12 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1188 - - 3075 - - 1529 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 78 - - 43 - - 90 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96421 53 296 43 303 38 297 36 288 38 291 96421 89293 32 299 24 294 26 291 34 291 29 308 89293 83804 17 290 22 285 23 286 24 289 28 309 83804 79248 18 292 23 284 21 288 20 289 22 289 79248 75308 26 275 24 279 22 277 23 287 17 291 75308 71817 23 262 25 271 26 279 23 284 22 289 71817 68646 20 252 25 274 26 273 30 272 28 278 68646 65721 13 256 17 250 24 265 22 253 28 268 65721 63000 17 266 12 241 20 257 16 254 24 257 63000 60343 22 252 23 244 20 260 22 253 22 255 60343 57550 23 234 28 225 29 244 30 246 29 252 57550 54652 30 242 28 230 38 223 39 239 35 238 54652 51892 50 244 41 238 46 223 45 223 37 234 51892 49413 72 234 59 236 51 223 47 225 43 239 49413 47193 81 225 72 227 58 223 62 224 46 236 47193 45173 82 222 81 221 72 220 57 221 40 224 45173 43318 79 225 80 213 76 212 47 218 33 222 43318 41607 89 228 79 212 71 209 49 220 30 234 41607 40020 89 223 87 213 71 210 58 218 31 244 40020 38539 84 221 90 213 81 210 65 214 31 236 38539 37151 80 223 88 215 88 212 67 214 31 223 37151 35821 76 221 89 217 91 211 70 214 30 218 35821 34475 74 219 85 213 88 209 75 210 29 228 34475 33083 72 214 76 205 81 204 76 204 36 237 33083 31647 66 205 72 200 76 198 68 202 53 222 31647 30151 59 202 68 197 71 197 63 201 55 213 30151 28580 54 203 62 202 65 196 56 201 52 210 28580 26929 52 205 57 203 55 195 50 203 51 207 26929 25199 46 204 52 199 51 197 45 205 48 206 25199 23394 42 203 48 200 50 199 41 210 43 208 23394 21515 38 202 46 204 48 199 37 211 39 211 21515 19559 38 203 44 204 47 199 38 206 38 209 19559 17518 38 203 43 201 47 197 40 198 39 200 17518 15438 37 198 42 195 47 194 41 195 40 192 15438 13433 36 189 42 189 44 188 40 192 41 187 13433 11610 35 183 41 182 41 181 38 186 40 181 11610 9991 35 181 41 176 39 180 37 179 40 177 9991 8552 35 182 40 174 34 181 34 178 39 177 8552 7273 35 184 38 175 31 183 28 177 37 183 7273 6139 33 184 35 178 28 186 25 179 34 192 6139 5136 31 183 31 182 25 189 24 186 32 200 5136 4254 28 184 27 189 22*194 24 192 30 204 4254 3475 25 190 23 198 21*198 22 197 28 206 3475 2779 22 200 19 203 20 200 20*201 26 208 2779 2164 19 207 16*204 19 201 18*203 22 209 2164 1651 16 209 12*201 18 203 17 205 18 210 1651 1258 12 202 9 198 17 203 15 205 14 209 1258 987 9 194 8 197 16 204 14 206 11 208 987 823 6*185 7 197 14 204 12 205 8*207 823 729 1*144 6 197 11 204 8 204 4*206 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography