DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/28 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 79.6 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 428 - - - - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 944 - - 1516 - - - - - 396 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1107 - - 1611 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1657 - - 2229 - - - - - 1109 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 299 - - 430 - - - - - 466 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 352 - - - - - 74 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 258 - - - - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2056 - - -4128 - - - - - -2025 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3713 - - 6357 - - - - - 3134 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10684 - - -11884 - - - - - -10923 ODpotential blCL - - - 12341 - - 14113 - - - - - 12032 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 52 - - - - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.3 - - 79.6 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.7 - - 54.5 - - - - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 77.2 - - - - - 67.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 54.0 - - - - - 56.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 428 - - - - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 944 - - 1516 - - - - - 396 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99310 38 112 33 106 37 106 99310 91801 33 106 30 112 29 099 91801 86010 29 109 29 113 30 103 86010 81204 33 113 24 123 28 105 81204 77074 30 106 25 120 22 102 77074 73442 21 104 25 104 20 112 73442 70167 13 112 15 103 19 101 70167 67163 13 136 14 126 16 095 67163 64389 10 109 17 129 9 079 64389 61721 5 158 11 164 8 167 61721 58945 13 198 16 207 7 185 58945 56076 19 201 22 211 16 247 56076 53358 23 216 26 222 26 246 53358 50915 27 219 31 225 34 246 50915 48719 35 239 37 233 43 234 48719 46711 41 238 42 238 41 234 46711 44857 44 235 50 244 44 239 44857 43134 51 231 54 231 51 239 43134 41525 56 226 60 225 54 238 41525 40013 59 222 64 224 55 238 40013 38587 61 222 65 232 57 238 38587 37208 61 229 64 235 56 237 37208 35809 60 233 61 233 52 238 35809 34360 56 232 58 230 46 238 34360 32863 52 231 56 227 41 240 32863 31303 50 234 52 226 36 242 31303 29667 45 236 48 225 30 246 29667 27956 41 236 44 228 25 255 27956 26163 39 238 41 234 23 265 26163 24291 34 242 34 244 20 270 24291 22343 25 240 21 239 17 277 22343 20311 19 238 19 228 13 264 20311 18191 16 238 17 233 14 228 18191 16029 14 231 13 236 12 238 16029 13945 11 224 10 230 5 217 13945 12049 7 228 7 238 4 193 12049 10363 3 269 6 263 3 249 10363 8863 4 332 5 279 4 294 8863 7528 5 345 5 303 4 307 7528 6343 6 343 5 318 5 317 6343 5295 7 339 6 320 7 319 5295 4372 8 336 6 322 10 310 4372 3559 8 330 6 311 12 302 3559 2834 7 312 8*278 13 296 2834 2196 7 274 10*262 12 287 2196 1668 8*244 10 258 12 258 1668 1267 8*242 11 257 12*243 1267 992 8 241 10 256 12*240 992 825 8 240 10 255 10 239 825 730 7 241 8 256 7 239 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography