DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.7 - - 69.4 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 393 - - 195 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3124 - - 2188 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2794 - - 1859 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3837 - - 2901 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1033 - - 1277 - - 1206 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 434 - - 306 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 292 - - 291 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2434 - - -2441 - - -1881 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6271 - - 5342 - - 2610 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11694 - - -11059 - - -11869 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15531 - - 13960 - - 12598 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 58 - - 61 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.7 - - 69.4 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.8 - - 48.6 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.5 - - 68.2 - - 61.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.3 - - 48.3 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 393 - - 195 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3124 - - 2188 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98824 8 178 7 237 6 276 98824 91382 8 195 5 207 3 203 91382 85613 6 196 3 164 3 195 85613 80828 2 204 4 194 1 197 80828 76710 6 269 4 199 3 035 76710 73081 10 251 1 112 3 023 73081 69814 7 232 2 300 2 358 69814 66820 4 212 5 231 1 018 66820 64058 5 277 10 313 10 321 64058 61407 8 238 10 299 8 296 61407 58649 15 253 17 279 17 290 58649 55783 25 259 26 255 26 259 55783 53043 33 270 33 269 30 266 53043 50586 48 268 50 270 46 272 50586 48391 55 269 60 273 57 275 48391 46391 66 271 71 273 63 272 46391 44542 75 272 74 272 69 274 44542 42823 78 273 75 273 73 275 42823 41222 77 272 73 273 72 276 41222 39726 71 267 70 272 70 276 39726 38325 66 265 65 271 68 276 38325 36979 62 266 61 271 67 274 36979 35613 58 268 61 275 68 272 35613 34191 56 269 61 279 65 271 34191 32711 56 270 63 282 61 269 32711 31160 56 270 62 283 59 271 31160 29525 56 270 58 281 56 276 29525 27806 54 272 55 277 51 279 27806 26004 51 274 53 277 49 279 26004 24120 50 275 49 279 47 281 24120 22158 46 278 45 280 42 285 22158 20113 43 280 43 284 39 291 20113 17982 41 286 41 290 31 295 17982 15815 32 285 33 292 25 301 15815 13735 27 284 26 289 20 300 13735 11847 24 292 23 304 16 303 11847 10170 17 302 18 325 14 324 10170 8685 11 311 10 336 8 340 8685 7370 9 323 7 341 5 344 7370 6209 9 329 7 343 8 012 6209 5187 9 323 10 338 12 021 5187 4289 10*311 11 326 12 010 4289 3497 10*305 12*313 11 347 3497 2791 11 298 13*301 12 325 2791 2170 12 292 13 294 14 317 2170 1654 12 288 14 290 11 301 1654 1259 12 286 13 287 10 283 1259 988 12 284 13 286 8 267 988 823 11 283 12 285 6 257 823 729 10 282 10 283 4*251 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography