DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/02 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 67.7 - - 64.6 - - 54.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 419 - - 273 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 726 - - 1044 - - 968 - - 542 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 937 - - 1266 - - 1111 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1438 - - 1757 - - 1681 - - 1255 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 382 - - 300 - - 269 - - 299 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 309 - - 261 - - 112 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 267 - - 279 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1096 - - -2553 - - -2006 - - -200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2534 - - 4310 - - 3687 - - 1455 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10237 - - -10658 - - -10724 - - -11257 ODpotential blCL - - - 11675 - - 12415 - - 12405 - - 12512 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 66 - - 71 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 67.7 - - 64.6 - - 54.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.9 - - 51.6 - - 51.2 - - 51.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.8 - - 65.4 - - 62.9 - - 54.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.9 - - 50.8 - - 50.7 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 271 - - 419 - - 273 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 726 - - 1044 - - 968 - - 542 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98588 6 074 16 066 14 081 10 059 98588 91112 12 090 11 088 14 075 14 084 91112 85376 16 096 10 109 12 071 20 086 85376 80638 19 093 14 113 12 083 20 075 80638 76568 15 092 15 101 13 080 19 064 76568 72990 10 087 12 074 15 084 15 066 72990 69765 8 111 8 079 12 075 12 060 69765 66798 13 106 4 090 7 057 10 057 66798 64038 12 083 5 096 4 062 9 049 64038 61358 5 065 5 095 3 093 3 063 61358 58548 3 315 3 299 4 296 4 294 58548 55617 8 263 10 278 10 293 12 317 55617 52825 10 287 13 297 13 309 16 318 52825 50332 13 300 17 307 17 329 22 336 50332 48117 14 323 18 333 24 336 24 338 48117 46132 23 345 25 347 29 349 38 349 46132 44339 27 357 40 356 52 350 57 350 44339 42692 42 005 50 353 64 356 74 350 42692 41154 50 005 52 354 72 352 74 347 41154 39703 51 006 48 355 58 352 68 345 39703 38327 46 003 43 357 49 349 61 343 38327 36990 41 002 41 357 36 344 53 341 36990 35624 36 358 37 355 35 346 47 340 35624 34199 28 344 31 350 34 347 41 338 34199 32717 22 337 26 346 30 343 32 339 32717 31164 20 335 23 330 25 334 32 335 31164 29527 15 329 22 317 23 327 33 337 29527 27809 10 314 19 306 23 321 25 333 27809 26012 10 291 16 302 20 312 23 313 26012 24140 9 289 13 298 16 306 16 300 24140 22198 6 304 10 298 13 303 13 291 22198 20175 4 311 5 299 10 302 11 290 20175 18065 1 295 1 181 4 279 7 282 18065 15913 1 091 4 129 4 167 4 208 15913 13838 5 175 4 152 6 131 4 167 13838 11949 10 188 6 191 5 139 3 145 11949 10267 7 197 6 205 4 165 3 144 10267 8771 3 229 4 207 4 182 2 148 8771 7441 2 223 3 203 4 200 1 270 7441 6262 3 230 3 220 4 221 4 300 6262 5221 4 261 4 250 5 248 7 303 5221 4306 6 284 6 276 7 272 11 305 4306 3502 9 288 7 282 9 276 13 306 3502 2785 11 279 10 269 12 277 16 304 2785 2157 12 260 11*264 14*277 16 292 2157 1642 10*252 11*266 14*279 15*274 1642 1251 10*252 11 267 14 279 14*266 1251 984 9 253 10 267 14 279 13 265 984 821 8 254 10 267 13 278 11 264 821 729 7 254 8 267 10 278 8 264 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography