DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/05 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 75.0 - - 75.4 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 139 - - 66 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 647 - - 2583 - - 1967 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 2043 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1361 - - 3297 - - 2681 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 851 - - 2132 - - 4074 - - 603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 301 - - 218 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 16 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 061 - - 039 - - 298 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4521 - - -3868 - - -4159 - - -2292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5883 - - 7165 - - 6840 - - 3021 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9634 - - -8165 - - -7500 - - -7732 ODpotential blCL - - - 10995 - - 11462 - - 10181 - - 8461 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 87 - - 82 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.8 - - 75.0 - - 75.4 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.8 - - 46.2 - - 48.0 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.2 - - 73.9 - - 74.9 - - 60.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 44.9 - - 46.7 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 83 - - 139 - - 66 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 647 - - 2583 - - 1967 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 48 - - 26 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96869 32 273 39 287 32 289 37 284 96869 89676 25 284 25 291 35 300 32 309 89676 84151 19 305 19 279 31 298 28 325 84151 79570 15 307 14 278 22 295 22 323 79570 75632 12 315 9 321 9 301 17 315 75632 72151 10 324 14 318 10 323 14 320 72151 68997 12 327 16 309 10 311 14 317 68997 66093 15 311 17 291 10 292 13 291 66093 63379 16 276 17 264 15 287 15 271 63379 60715 15 271 20 259 21 274 22 251 60715 57912 25 265 27 263 26 273 23 248 57912 54971 38 260 35 271 36 277 31 266 54971 52139 39 253 47 264 48 268 48 268 52139 49600 41 258 55 258 60 261 52 261 49600 47349 46 252 49 254 56 251 49 256 47349 45323 37 249 42 260 43 246 44 257 45323 43479 32 265 41 265 38 257 42 260 43479 41790 36 275 44 268 41 267 42 264 41790 40234 43 277 43 268 42 271 43 264 40234 38787 44 271 40 260 43 269 42 262 38787 37430 41 263 38 254 51 264 41 257 37430 36119 32 256 32 250 54 265 42 257 36119 34786 24 251 24 240 34 262 41 265 34786 33401 22 252 22 242 21 236 30 263 33401 31970 21 258 20 250 24 228 21 231 31970 30472 19 251 16 257 21 234 21 225 30472 28893 20 225 14 249 17 244 19 222 28893 27232 23 205 16 229 14 239 16 221 27232 25489 20 201 21 213 14 222 15 225 25489 23670 21 207 23 208 16 211 15 228 23670 21781 20 226 22 211 17 213 13 224 21781 19811 17 235 21 216 15 222 12 209 19811 17753 13 207 16 208 10 209 11 195 17753 15650 16 196 14 197 11 193 11 185 15650 13621 15 195 15 197 11 202 11 188 13621 11774 13 194 15 194 14 203 14 194 11774 10132 9 197 14 185 17 192 16 193 10132 8675 6 201 12 177 18 185 17 186 8675 7380 3 200 9 171 16 175 15 180 7380 6228 3 184 8 166 12 178 11 174 6228 5208 5 156 6 158 7 184 6 172 5208 4308 7 143 5 149 1 204 2 160 4308 3513 7 126 2*090 2 314 1 078 3513 2802 8 109 3*044 3*316 2 329 2802 2175 10 093 3 040 5*304 6 310 2175 1655 8*079 4 040 6 299 9 299 1655 1258 5*062 4 037 6 297 10 294 1258 987 4 061 3 037 6 296 9 290 987 823 3 059 3 036 6 296 7 288 823 729 3 060 3 036 5 293 5*287 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography