DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 87.6 - - 85.7 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 313 - - 173 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1210 - - 2677 - - 1301 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1202 - - 2400 - - 1203 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1924 - - 3391 - - 2015 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 948 - - 1552 - - 1344 - - 605 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 259 - - 388 - - 252 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 340 - - 330 - - 296 - - 251 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5250 - - -6964 - - -7571 - - -5568 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7174 - - 10355 - - 9586 - - 6299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14504 - - -15521 - - -16116 - - -15415 ODpotential blCL - - - 16428 - - 18912 - - 18131 - - 16145 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 36 - - 27 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.7 - - 87.6 - - 85.7 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.2 - - 44.9 - - 46.6 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 85.5 - - 84.4 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.0 - - 43.6 - - 45.5 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 313 - - 173 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1210 - - 2677 - - 1301 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98810 27 112 15 120 14 094 22 071 98810 91309 18 101 20 106 15 125 15 083 91309 85534 14 102 18 094 20 099 19 100 85534 80773 15 111 17 099 25 088 20 110 80773 76700 18 124 12 107 18 084 23 095 76700 73087 16 125 13 120 12 094 19 081 73087 69807 11 092 14 122 10 079 14 083 69807 66805 9 077 5 099 5 106 9 060 66805 64030 7 072 1 058 2 036 4 025 64030 61351 8 305 6 311 8 333 4 358 61351 58571 14 288 12 283 16 288 13 301 58571 55712 21 302 18 298 21 296 18 299 55712 53004 31 297 25 302 26 302 21 310 53004 50576 36 299 34 306 34 308 30 318 50576 48407 39 305 36 306 39 310 37 315 48407 46446 38 307 37 313 40 310 40 315 46446 44651 39 316 41 327 39 316 39 314 44651 42985 48 325 45 330 39 319 36 315 42985 41428 53 321 49 327 40 320 36 317 41428 39964 52 319 49 318 43 320 37 319 39964 38582 50 318 46 315 45 318 41 316 38582 37242 49 318 44 315 45 314 43 313 37242 35876 48 316 42 314 43 315 44 311 35876 34452 47 315 41 313 36 314 42 311 34452 32972 43 317 39 311 32 309 39 311 32972 31421 37 317 34 309 31 303 35 308 31421 29788 33 316 30 305 31 301 35 305 29788 28077 28 317 28 298 29 301 33 306 28077 26283 25 314 25 294 26 300 29 310 26283 24409 25 310 24 294 25 299 25 316 24409 22457 26 312 24 307 24 315 23 327 22457 20418 26 317 26 326 25 334 23 339 20418 18287 24 325 24 337 24 343 21 346 18287 16109 21 328 20 344 20 348 18 345 16109 14010 17 330 17 341 18 350 16 345 14010 12100 14 346 15 345 17 350 14 351 12100 10403 15 001 14 356 13 346 12 352 10403 8898 16 006 13 011 9 003 8 010 8898 7560 16 009 13 025 12 032 12 031 7560 6373 17 010 15 031 15 033 19 023 6373 5325 18 009 15 029 16 030 21 019 5325 4403 18 008 12 021 14 026 19 018 4403 3589 18 011 11*013 12 016 15 011 3589 2861 16 014 10*002 10 348 13 351 2861 2218 13*011 9 337 11*313 13 333 2218 1684 7*352 8 324 11*301 11 324 1684 1276 6 341 8 318 11 296 7 307 1276 996 6 335 8 314 11 294 5 274 996 827 5 331 8 312 10 293 4 260 827 730 5 328 7 310 8 291 3*251 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography