DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 72.3 - - 70.3 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 447 - - 286 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1228 - - 1844 - - 1497 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1158 - - 1861 - - 1494 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1940 - - 2557 - - 2210 - - 1277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 658 - - 635 - - 522 - - 541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 380 - - 305 - - 62 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 271 - - 281 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 182 - - -1739 - - -1600 - - -794 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1758 - - 4296 - - 3811 - - 2071 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 394 - - -8092 - - -8896 - - -10013 ODpotential blCL - - - 1546 - - 10649 - - 11106 - - 11290 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 78 - - 76 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 72.3 - - 70.3 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.1 - - 56.1 - - 56.2 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.9 - - 69.8 - - 68.5 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.7 - - 55.8 - - 56.0 - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 447 - - 286 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1228 - - 1844 - - 1497 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 11 - - 5 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99268 36 112 28 108 31 098 39 106 99268 91857 33 121 25 123 24 106 31 101 91857 86138 27 117 26 122 25 117 22 105 86138 81383 18 110 26 119 23 120 14 104 81383 77278 16 114 18 115 21 112 14 093 77278 73629 11 112 15 119 14 125 12 090 73629 70309 15 102 14 127 10 132 11 094 70309 67261 12 098 15 133 10 157 5 103 67261 64446 10 138 10 145 10 148 10 163 64446 61724 15 166 18 191 7 213 11 154 61724 58876 13 188 17 181 12 206 14 182 58876 55916 24 221 19 200 19 210 16 208 55916 53093 36 219 27 224 24 226 20 221 53093 50557 35 216 37 222 34 231 29 240 50557 48296 32 225 39 219 44 230 41 243 48296 46262 31 233 37 225 43 226 43 239 46262 44418 28 239 35 230 39 231 39 240 44418 42733 26 246 33 232 42 241 41 252 42733 41178 26 249 30 236 44 242 45 252 41178 39721 26 246 29 245 42 242 43 248 39721 38346 24 243 30 249 40 247 40 246 38346 37009 23 242 28 249 37 250 39 247 37009 35644 22 244 25 249 35 248 37 249 35644 34220 22 242 23 244 33 245 33 248 34220 32742 21 239 24 241 30 240 32 245 32742 31195 20 236 25 241 29 235 31 239 31195 29569 18 237 24 238 27 234 30 234 29569 27862 17 237 21 232 24 233 26 232 27862 26072 17 234 19 230 21 231 23 230 26072 24200 17 231 17 230 19 226 21 223 24200 22250 17 222 18 223 19 217 20 217 22250 20219 19 221 20 220 19 214 18 213 20219 18102 18 218 17 216 16 207 15 202 18102 15943 15 213 14 209 13 202 13 194 15943 13863 12 210 11 205 10 198 10 189 13863 11967 11 203 9 197 8 187 9 186 11967 10282 12 188 10 182 8 174 9 180 10282 8786 13 185 13 184 9 189 9 189 8786 7458 14 193 15 186 13 192 12 196 7458 6282 16 200 17 188 14 189 14 195 6282 5242 17 202 17 189 13 186 14 189 5242 4327 16 202 16 191 11 198 11 191 4327 3521 13 209 13 202 9 220 8 213 3521 2804 9 243 9*242 9*264 7 250 2804 2176 9*266 10*268 12*281 10 279 2176 1657 8*267 10 271 12 282 11*280 1657 1261 7 268 10 271 12 281 10*274 1261 989 7 268 10 271 12 281 10 272 989 824 6 267 10 272 11 280 8 271 824 729 6 268 8 272 9 279 6 270 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography