DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 78.8 - - 73.9 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 400 - - 253 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 787 - - 1354 - - 965 - - 321 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 946 - - 1478 - - 1085 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1500 - - 2068 - - 1679 - - 1034 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 409 - - 669 - - 312 - - 415 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 237 - - 331 - - 254 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 269 - - 283 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1371 - - -4222 - - -3901 - - -1300 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2871 - - 6290 - - 5580 - - 2334 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9873 - - -10865 - - -12175 - - -12078 ODpotential blCL - - - 11373 - - 12933 - - 13854 - - 13112 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 57 - - 67 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.3 - - 78.8 - - 73.9 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.3 - - 54.0 - - 52.4 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 76.4 - - 72.2 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 53.6 - - 52.1 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 400 - - 253 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 787 - - 1354 - - 965 - - 321 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99294 30 103 35 106 30 112 28 100 99294 91808 34 114 31 112 30 107 27 088 91808 86025 28 099 24 101 28 104 24 089 86025 81239 21 086 20 090 22 092 27 092 81239 77128 22 095 16 096 20 075 23 094 77128 73502 18 091 15 107 15 074 16 089 73502 70225 13 087 13 113 12 090 11 078 70225 67220 9 086 6 126 10 100 9 093 67220 64442 5 113 6 161 5 097 8 093 64442 61751 5 175 6 186 2 085 5 091 61751 58934 12 189 17 200 13 223 8 231 58934 56016 15 203 23 194 26 213 24 223 56016 53241 28 232 23 209 24 225 26 222 53241 50742 40 229 46 236 46 242 37 246 50742 48525 54 232 60 228 61 233 60 241 48525 46544 57 230 57 232 57 233 63 239 46544 44742 60 237 66 246 69 246 68 241 44742 43087 69 240 76 240 77 244 71 241 43087 41538 72 238 74 228 73 238 70 238 41538 40072 70 235 76 226 73 232 66 236 40072 38682 71 233 77 230 72 230 62 236 38682 37331 71 230 72 233 69 233 58 235 37331 35951 70 226 64 227 66 237 55 242 35951 34515 71 228 62 226 63 241 58 252 34515 33021 68 233 60 230 59 242 56 246 33021 31455 62 238 59 234 54 240 54 245 31455 29806 63 247 58 241 49 230 48 245 29806 28076 50 253 45 248 45 238 42 246 28076 26262 36 237 41 229 38 234 36 241 26262 24364 36 222 48 222 40 228 37 237 24364 22387 35 220 39 229 35 235 39 245 22387 20340 28 226 26 236 24 234 27 246 20340 18218 25 227 21 256 18 217 15 229 18218 16053 23 239 17 242 14 209 14 210 16053 13960 16 226 13 239 15 245 11 224 13960 12050 15 204 11 215 12 224 12 250 12050 10352 16 200 14 198 14 214 8 240 10352 8845 15 197 15 200 14 218 9 246 8845 7507 14 191 13 200 12 219 10 256 7507 6321 13 185 12 196 11 215 7 256 6321 5273 13 181 11 196 10 211 6 234 5273 4350 12 184 11 203 9 213 6 220 4350 3539 12 196 11 217 9 228 8 232 3539 2816 12 213 10 235 9 253 9 253 2816 2182 12 232 10*256 11*275 11 270 2182 1658 10*250 10*267 11*283 12 278 1658 1261 9*257 10 269 11 284 12*282 1261 989 9 257 10 269 11 284 11*282 989 824 8 258 9 269 10 283 10 282 824 729 7 258 8 269 9 282 7 281 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography