DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.6 - - 49.7 - - 56.6 - - 53.7 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 42 - - 84 - - 2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 298 - - 866 - - 550 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1010 - - 1578 - - 1263 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 138 - - 317 - - 544 - - 582 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 98 - - 174 - - 52 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 062 - - 039 - - 061 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -4 - - -1 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1261 - - -1607 - - -1396 - - -570 - - -718 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1989 - - 2618 - - 2974 - - 1833 - - 1446 sfcLCL ODpotential -15520 - - -13408 - - -10924 - - -9992 - - -13513 ODpotential blCL 16248 - - 14418 - - 12502 - - 11255 - - 14241 blCL maxRH 59 - - 71 - - 72 - - 84 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.6 - - 49.7 - - 56.6 - - 53.7 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.0 - - 41.2 - - 46.4 - - 48.5 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.0 - - 49.3 - - 55.9 - - 53.8 - - 46.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.5 - - 40.2 - - 45.4 - - 48.0 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 42 - - 84 - - 2 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 298 - - 866 - - 550 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 36 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 31 103 23 109 18 105 22 088 14 122 96480 89363 21 088 23 094 12 100 15 067 15 086 89363 83838 20 096 16 083 16 072 11 061 17 072 83838 79255 18 080 15 080 15 053 11 072 12 042 79255 75329 12 077 13 078 13 044 13 063 14 047 75329 71873 13 061 8 088 10 019 14 014 17 015 71873 68750 15 021 9 074 5 359 8 351 14 320 68750 65875 13 352 18 359 14 006 16 358 17 343 65875 63221 7 328 17 345 20 336 24 341 19 339 63221 60663 11 348 16 331 18 316 19 321 26 329 60663 57995 14 347 17 004 19 346 21 325 30 317 57995 55217 23 359 29 354 25 338 27 317 33 309 55217 52547 27 359 27 335 30 325 35 323 35 312 52547 50124 27 353 29 333 38 331 39 328 36 314 50124 47935 33 355 40 343 42 335 41 332 39 326 47935 45935 44 355 44 342 41 335 46 332 46 331 45935 44096 45 355 44 342 42 334 51 333 53 333 44096 42402 44 005 45 347 45 339 57 340 59 338 42402 40835 56 013 51 353 53 351 62 345 64 341 40835 39375 72 010 65 360 67 355 62 347 58 337 39375 38003 79 008 69 004 75 004 58 355 49 338 38003 36674 81 009 76 012 80 006 58 356 45 343 36674 35315 82 012 85 013 74 004 57 358 49 347 35315 33901 82 012 81 010 71 004 65 001 58 347 33901 32435 81 011 75 007 69 000 70 357 65 346 32435 30903 79 009 73 004 69 358 68 357 66 346 30903 29292 78 009 75 001 70 358 62 357 62 343 29292 27600 75 009 74 001 67 354 58 357 54 339 27600 25826 72 008 68 360 60 352 55 350 52 334 25826 23967 68 006 61 359 54 354 53 343 51 334 23967 22029 61 004 54 359 47 351 47 341 49 335 22029 20010 54 359 47 000 43 345 39 341 45 338 20010 17909 50 358 43 001 39 345 34 343 39 344 17909 15766 46 003 38 004 32 352 37 350 36 348 15766 13700 41 006 33 005 28 356 36 356 34 348 13700 11820 36 005 28 002 28 357 30 358 30 350 11820 10152 33 004 25 359 26 360 27 357 25 353 10152 8669 28 005 22 359 22 360 24 359 20 356 8669 7352 23 006 17 001 17 355 19 003 17 360 7352 6185 18 009 14 359 14 354 15 004 14 002 6185 5157 15 011 12 355 12 355 12 005 11 006 5157 4255 13 012 10 355 11 357 11 008 9 012 4255 3464 13 011 10 357 10 358 11 012 7 015 3464 2760 13 009 11 357 9 003 11 016 7 011 2760 2144 12 014 10 360 7 011 9 026 6 001 2144 1634 10 031 8 018 3*028 7*047 5 019 1634 1245 8 065 7*060 3*037 8*060 6 083 1245 980 8 080 6*062 3 039 7 062 8 095 980 820 7*074 6 062 3 040 7 061 7*083 820 728 4*063 4 062 2 042 5 063 4*064 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography