DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.8 - - 70.2 - - 76.9 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 313 - - 456 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 311 - - 1100 - - 1584 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 1243 - - 1674 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top 1024 - - 1813 - - 2298 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 387 - - 397 - - 396 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 100 - - 286 - - 364 - - - - - - W* B/S 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind 7 - - 10 - - 13 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction 246 - - 264 - - 276 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -819 - - -2468 - - -4150 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1843 - - 4282 - - 6449 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -13842 - - -12676 - - -13488 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL 14866 - - 14489 - - 15786 - - - - - - blCL maxRH 83 - - 67 - - 63 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m 58.8 - - 70.2 - - 76.9 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 54.1 - - 51.6 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.5 - - 68.3 - - 74.5 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.8 - - 53.6 - - 51.0 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 313 - - 456 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 311 - - 1100 - - 1584 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99266 37 108 37 101 39 102 99266 91759 38 104 33 103 33 108 91759 86004 32 104 29 100 33 104 86004 81237 33 100 23 111 22 103 81237 77132 28 100 28 113 17 112 77132 73516 20 103 24 099 20 122 73516 70254 15 113 20 106 20 131 70254 67257 15 119 13 122 14 130 67257 64480 12 140 13 155 9 169 64480 61797 15 150 15 160 17 173 61797 59027 12 165 20 178 23 187 59027 56199 10 211 20 188 26 192 56199 53520 25 236 24 221 31 214 53520 51103 41 226 37 225 43 220 51103 48923 55 222 53 223 56 218 48923 46935 68 223 66 223 66 218 46935 45101 74 222 73 220 73 218 45101 43392 73 221 73 218 73 217 43392 41789 68 219 69 216 71 215 41789 40281 63 219 64 215 67 212 40281 38856 60 221 60 215 61 211 38856 37475 58 222 57 217 55 213 37475 36071 56 221 55 218 53 216 36071 34614 54 216 53 217 51 218 34614 33107 52 217 52 219 50 220 33107 31533 48 221 48 223 46 222 31533 29878 44 222 43 222 42 222 29878 28146 38 224 37 219 38 216 28146 26331 34 224 36 217 38 216 26331 24436 32 224 34 218 36 218 24436 22464 29 225 30 221 32 220 22464 20413 26 224 27 222 28 220 20413 18276 25 224 25 224 25 221 18276 16094 24 225 24 225 23 221 16094 13988 21 222 23 222 21 224 13988 12072 18 215 21 219 19 227 12072 10370 16 215 20 220 18 226 10370 8859 14 219 17 224 17 225 8859 7518 11 225 14 229 14 228 7518 6329 8 228 11 235 11 233 6329 5280 6 243 9 253 8 246 5280 4359 7 282 10 281 8 273 4359 3548 11 300 13 298 10 293 3548 2828 15 309 14 303 13*289 2828 2197 17 310 13*297 13*281 2197 1673 15 299 11*269 14 277 1673 1271 10*269 11 265 14 275 1271 995 8*248 11 263 13 274 995 827 7 246 10 262 12 273 827 730 6 244 8 261 10 272 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography