DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 73.7 - - - - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 440 - - - - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 809 - - 1101 - - - - - 323 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1014 - - 1316 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1522 - - 1815 - - - - - 1036 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 340 - - 331 - - - - - 344 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 319 - - - - - 92 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 280 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -907 - - -1672 - - - - - -1236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2429 - - 3487 - - - - - 2272 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10533 - - -9862 - - - - - -11969 ODpotential blCL - - - 12055 - - 11677 - - - - - 13005 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 78 - - - - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.9 - - 73.7 - - - - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 60.9 - - - - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 71.4 - - - - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 60.5 - - - - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 440 - - - - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 809 - - 1101 - - - - - 323 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 10 - - - - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98818 24 114 25 108 16 080 98818 91322 16 105 18 091 21 109 91322 85564 21 098 17 087 25 089 85564 80818 21 097 15 092 23 078 80818 76749 24 101 17 111 19 077 76749 73164 24 091 19 106 17 075 73164 69931 16 088 20 094 19 077 69931 66969 16 090 18 085 20 071 66969 64235 18 078 17 092 14 065 64235 61595 15 071 17 079 10 069 61595 58837 11 061 11 063 10 063 58837 55970 10 025 8 045 9 039 55970 53232 10 344 7 014 8 358 53232 50762 11 323 5 351 8 341 50762 48537 11 318 8 357 9 006 48537 46512 8 314 10 005 6 034 46512 44657 7 332 9 023 14 077 44657 42951 10 014 9 045 26 079 42951 41373 9 007 13 048 34 083 41373 39898 5 008 15 051 39 090 39898 38509 7 041 13 055 45 093 38509 37164 10 045 12 079 49 092 37164 35796 11 052 17 089 49 090 35796 34374 11 057 20 085 44 090 34374 32899 11 061 18 083 37 093 32899 31357 13 060 18 090 32 094 31357 29735 15 054 20 093 27 094 29735 28032 17 056 22 091 24 097 28032 26247 17 069 23 087 23 099 26247 24380 19 080 24 086 23 096 24380 22433 22 089 27 092 24 099 22433 20402 22 091 25 095 22 111 20402 18286 18 083 22 105 22 124 18286 16128 14 110 19 117 20 125 16128 14041 17 125 16 113 13 104 14041 12135 20 124 16 110 11 084 12135 10433 20 111 16 115 10 069 10433 8916 16 095 15 119 10 061 8916 7566 9 086 6 105 9 052 7566 6367 6 052 2 018 9 049 6367 5308 5 028 3 326 8 050 5308 4376 4 358 5 305 2 356 4376 3556 4 302 7 286 9 276 3556 2828 9 266 12 272 16 267 2828 2188 12 261 13*274 17 264 2188 1661 11*269 13*279 15 268 1661 1261 11*273 13 280 14*272 1261 989 10 274 12 280 12*273 989 824 10 275 11 280 11 273 824 729 8 275 9 279 8 272 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography