DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 57.2 - - 59.5 - - 58.5 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 56 - - 45 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1185 - - 3299 - - 193 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1615 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1897 - - 4011 - - 905 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 603 - - 3909 - - 2799 - - 5346 - - 3760 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 174 - - 234 - - 36 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 131 - - 212 - - 223 - - 256 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - -6 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -321 - - -43 - - 1270 - - -1145 - - -648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1049 - - 1940 - - 2742 - - 2050 - - 1377 sfcLCL ODpotential -2502 - - -705 - - 258 - - -1957 - - -2233 ODpotential blCL 3230 - - 2602 - - 3753 - - 2862 - - 2962 blCL maxRH 85 - - 87 - - 91 - - 92 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 110 - - 100 - - 100 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 57.2 - - 59.5 - - 58.5 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 51.2 - - 50.0 - - 52.0 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.3 - - 56.7 - - 59.1 - - 59.2 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 50.1 - - 48.7 - - 50.9 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 56 - - 45 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1185 - - 3299 - - 193 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 40 - - 47 - - 64 - - 67 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96342 27 288 31 291 27 277 31 269 38 287 96342 89239 18 294 12 283 21 272 25 276 26 293 89239 83774 14 304 17 278 16 292 12 286 17 295 83774 79230 9 310 15 287 15 307 4 275 10 286 79230 75300 10 318 4 284 9 313 8 265 8 308 75300 71815 17 317 9 263 12 296 15 281 14 291 71815 68669 16 311 7 266 16 252 14 281 12 276 68669 65780 21 328 12 345 9 248 12 290 10 298 65780 63101 27 311 20 324 10 299 20 289 16 272 63101 60500 23 297 23 315 15 293 19 280 19 260 60500 57789 19 313 26 320 18 281 21 275 24 273 57789 54991 46 321 32 300 27 284 27 283 29 276 54991 52316 40 294 37 294 38 286 37 283 35 276 52316 49893 32 327 45 309 39 290 43 278 41 271 49893 47711 60 316 58 309 49 298 45 280 44 269 47711 45718 74 308 58 299 58 295 47 284 45 268 45718 43882 65 301 51 292 57 287 49 284 49 270 43882 42186 54 309 53 295 56 282 50 282 56 270 42186 40613 65 321 58 302 56 284 50 281 58 270 40613 39141 74 315 59 302 56 284 51 281 58 272 39141 37754 74 308 57 301 54 283 54 279 58 271 37754 36411 70 305 54 300 54 288 57 277 60 269 36411 35044 66 302 53 299 57 294 57 278 61 271 35044 33623 67 300 52 298 58 295 56 280 57 275 33623 32151 68 300 53 299 57 293 56 280 52 278 32151 30611 66 301 52 303 54 293 55 281 50 278 30611 28992 63 304 53 310 51 292 53 284 50 278 28992 27294 58 307 51 314 48 293 49 286 48 280 27294 25520 53 308 46 314 43 294 44 287 47 282 25520 23672 50 307 42 311 37 291 42 287 46 280 23672 21753 46 310 37 309 35 291 42 292 45 277 21753 19753 45 314 35 305 36 298 43 295 44 277 19753 17662 44 311 33 312 34 304 39 293 40 277 17662 15529 41 307 29 314 29 306 30 289 31 273 15529 13476 36 307 24 297 23 307 24 282 25 268 13476 11615 31 314 20 287 17 296 18 276 21 260 11615 9966 16 316 15 291 14 281 15 269 19 255 9966 8507 9 283 9 252 9 238 13 227 16 242 8507 7221 10 265 10 239 9 222 14 199 16 220 7221 6091 9 268 10 246 10 226 12 193 16 202 6091 5098 7 276 9 242 10 227 9 197 13 190 5098 4225 5 286 9 239 10*227 8 209 10 191 4225 3455 4 295 8 244 10*227 7 220 8 199 3455 2764 3 309 8 245 8 225 6 232 7 207 2764 2155 2 318 8*241 7 222 6 241 6 219 2155 1645 1 294 7*221 7 222 6 248 5 229 1645 1254 3 213 6 211 6 221 5 253 4 236 1254 985 5 185 6 210 6 221 5*255 3 234 985 822 4 162 5 209 6 221 4*256 2*207 822 729 3*131 4 208 5 220 3 257 1*154 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography