DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 60.9 - - - - - 56.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 49 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1131 - - 1532 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1843 - - 2244 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1767 - - 2021 - - - - - 2300 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 177 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 236 - - 253 - - - - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 418 - - 689 - - - - - -17 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1425 - - 1555 - - - - - 746 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 153 - - 256 - - - - - -275 ODpotential blCL - - - 1690 - - 1988 - - - - - 1004 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 300 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 60.9 - - - - - 56.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.0 - - 56.4 - - - - - 55.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 60.4 - - - - - 56.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 55.8 - - - - - 55.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 49 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1131 - - 1532 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 92 - - 100 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97515 11 339 11 017 7 023 97515 90283 7 044 6 043 15 344 90283 84715 7 005 8 018 9 345 84715 80079 7 298 8 347 7 036 80079 76064 3 260 8 281 10 350 76064 72519 3 257 10 253 14 294 72519 69323 9 274 9 240 11 246 69323 66371 12 253 15 258 7 197 66371 63600 17 240 20 251 7 253 63600 60889 18 230 22 242 16 262 60889 58062 18 232 23 237 24 263 58062 55133 18 242 21 238 25 266 55133 52322 19 257 18 244 22 273 52322 49776 21 268 20 247 27 277 49776 47490 23 269 24 253 28 275 47490 45421 23 273 23 261 24 283 45421 43522 22 266 21 286 25 296 43522 41764 18 281 24 299 28 298 41764 40129 16 282 26 305 27 299 40129 38605 9 286 25 312 26 310 38605 37180 11 342 27 321 29 324 37180 35816 22 346 38 333 32 336 35816 34442 28 347 49 342 41 342 34442 33032 34 351 57 342 47 345 33032 31592 39 348 56 340 40 343 31592 30099 29 350 51 346 37 006 30099 28535 28 356 50 352 40 014 28535 26896 28 353 47 354 38 012 26896 25176 27 354 41 356 37 009 25176 23376 17 360 33 358 37 007 23376 21498 9 355 24 360 33 014 21498 19538 6 353 12 343 25 003 19538 17494 4 341 9 344 23 350 17494 15413 5 293 6 310 22 347 15413 13410 5 275 8 314 19 350 13410 11590 4 274 6 301 13 345 11590 9971 2 260 5 285 9 343 9971 8533 1 266 4 260 8 348 8533 7255 2 198 5 244 7 348 7255 6122 4 189 6 229 7 339 6122 5119 5 197 7 224 6 329 5119 4236 6 208 7 227 3 316 4236 3460 7 218 6 235 4 289 3460 2766 8 225 6*244 7 294 2766 2155 8*230 5*248 9 294 2155 1645 8*233 5 252 9 292 1645 1254 7 236 5 255 9 289 1254 985 7 238 5 255 8 285 985 822 7 239 5 255 6*284 822 729 5 239 4 256 5*282 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography