DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 72.4 - - - - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 124 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 624 - - 1123 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 713 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1337 - - 1836 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 535 - - 706 - - - - - 484 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 164 - - 223 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 286 - - 283 - - - - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3201 - - -3735 - - - - - -1530 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4538 - - 5571 - - - - - 2259 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11885 - - -10417 - - - - - -11041 ODpotential blCL - - - 13222 - - 12253 - - - - - 11770 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 60 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.3 - - 72.4 - - - - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.3 - - 50.8 - - - - - 50.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 71.4 - - - - - 58.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.0 - - 49.5 - - - - - 49.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 124 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 624 - - 1123 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96627 31 268 28 283 29 258 96627 89427 11 269 19 268 20 311 89427 83906 4 236 14 274 14 318 83906 79353 0 103 7 295 11 305 79353 75445 8 320 8 300 10 315 75445 71982 15 316 13 301 10 326 71982 68845 12 317 12 300 12 301 68845 65966 9 279 11 272 15 299 65966 63309 13 283 16 281 21 294 63309 60757 23 281 22 273 24 293 60757 58087 30 281 28 281 29 297 58087 55297 37 280 40 284 40 294 55297 52610 47 282 47 278 43 273 52610 50154 54 268 42 289 41 304 50154 47939 56 293 54 301 61 305 47939 45945 52 287 63 295 61 291 45945 44135 54 276 61 287 43 286 44135 42461 41 299 37 281 35 307 42461 40904 67 336 22 322 42 315 40904 39458 86 338 46 345 48 309 39458 38101 79 333 51 342 40 304 38101 36783 68 331 49 335 38 296 36783 35436 63 330 45 328 41 290 35436 34029 57 328 43 319 41 289 34029 32565 49 324 39 315 44 287 32565 31027 39 312 34 307 49 283 31027 29407 33 294 31 296 49 281 29407 27704 32 275 36 290 43 276 27704 25921 30 274 38 293 37 277 25921 24057 29 271 29 285 35 281 24057 22117 31 265 28 284 34 286 22117 20093 29 263 27 278 36 291 20093 17982 27 267 26 277 35 291 17982 15832 25 271 24 281 29 289 15832 13764 22 278 20 285 23 292 13764 11886 20 284 17 292 15 298 11886 10218 19 297 15 301 11 313 10218 8736 15 313 11 309 10 319 8736 7420 11 329 6 329 11 313 7420 6253 9 350 4 001 11 310 6253 5221 8 002 4 007 9 303 5221 4313 8 016 6 356 8 291 4313 3514 9 020 8 349 9 284 3514 2801 12 017 7 340 11 282 2801 2173 11 003 6*318 12 284 2173 1653 7*329 7*288 12 283 1653 1257 5*290 7 284 12 277 1257 986 5 286 6 281 10 273 986 823 5 283 6 279 8*270 823 729 4 282 5 279 5*267 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography