DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/02 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 58.1 - - 58.9 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 254 - - 93 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3254 - - 4387 - - 3755 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2676 - - 3622 - - 2621 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3966 - - 5099 - - 4467 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1192 - - 884 - - 1159 - - 3056 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 362 - - 430 - - 298 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 352 - - 020 - - 024 - - 003 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 43 - - 70 - - -782 - - -3094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3924 - - 5029 - - 5249 - - 3822 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9573 - - -8868 - - -8952 - - -11695 ODpotential blCL - - - 13539 - - 13967 - - 13419 - - 12423 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 78 - - 65 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 58.1 - - 58.9 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 38.7 - - 38.5 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 56.6 - - 58.2 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 37.5 - - 37.3 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 254 - - 93 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3254 - - 4387 - - 3755 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96649 29 278 38 273 34 276 34 272 96649 89364 27 265 36 262 34 272 28 278 89364 83850 13 279 17 268 17 266 20 266 83850 79317 14 281 12 311 5 257 13 223 79317 75376 19 275 24 287 18 277 12 283 75376 71863 14 273 22 276 23 274 22 298 71863 68683 10 286 14 265 19 280 23 296 68683 65758 20 294 16 283 18 285 21 289 65758 63040 27 292 23 293 23 293 23 292 63040 60401 29 288 27 288 27 291 27 287 60401 57635 35 284 34 286 32 296 29 298 57635 54744 42 283 42 288 42 296 38 301 54744 51972 44 283 46 286 48 287 43 292 51972 49474 43 285 46 286 47 287 45 291 49474 47234 47 289 47 288 46 291 43 293 47234 45209 50 292 49 290 47 293 43 294 45209 43371 53 295 51 294 47 299 44 293 43371 41699 56 294 55 294 53 298 47 297 41699 40164 58 296 57 299 55 296 50 299 40164 38733 61 299 59 303 52 298 49 302 38733 37380 64 300 62 304 52 303 51 308 37380 36068 65 301 64 305 54 307 52 310 36068 34730 66 301 67 306 58 308 54 310 34730 33335 67 301 68 305 61 308 54 311 33335 31888 67 300 69 305 64 309 56 313 31888 30371 66 298 68 305 66 311 57 316 30371 28774 65 297 66 307 66 313 59 320 28774 27096 63 299 62 311 64 315 56 322 27096 25339 59 301 55 313 58 316 51 325 25339 23508 50 303 47 312 49 317 46 328 23508 21608 46 307 44 311 42 317 41 329 21608 19632 46 312 43 312 40 317 37 328 19632 17572 45 317 37 316 37 321 34 327 17572 15470 44 318 34 324 33 328 30 328 15470 13441 42 321 34 331 32 336 29 333 13441 11592 38 330 33 336 31 344 28 341 11592 9949 36 335 34 341 30 354 26 353 9949 8495 34 336 33 349 27 006 23 009 8495 7211 30 340 26 360 24 017 21 024 7211 6079 21 349 15*012 17 021 22 027 6079 5083 15 004 12*019 13*021 22 021 5083 4209 14*003 12 020 13*022 21 013 4209 3441 13*357 12 020 12 023 20 011 3441 2754 13 354 12 021 12 024 19 012 2754 2147 13 352 12 020 12 024 18 014 2147 1640 12 350 12 020 12 025 15 015 1640 1251 12 349 11 020 11 025 13 015 1251 983 11 347 10 020 11 025 10 012 983 821 10 347 10 020 10 025 6 008 821 728 8 347 8 020 8 025 3*003 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography