DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 72.5 - - 70.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 395 - - 212 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1156 - - 2543 - - 1663 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1227 - - 2354 - - 1520 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1868 - - 3256 - - 2377 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 674 - - 1553 - - 1238 - - 1177 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 406 - - 287 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 272 - - 276 - - 290 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -7 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1044 - - -2722 - - -3038 - - -2438 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2912 - - 5978 - - 5415 - - 3167 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4538 - - -5121 - - -7044 - - -7485 ODpotential blCL - - - 6406 - - 8377 - - 9421 - - 8214 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 71 - - 60 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.3 - - 72.5 - - 70.5 - - 61.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.0 - - 48.9 - - 49.3 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 70.4 - - 69.0 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 48.4 - - 49.0 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 258 - - 395 - - 212 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1156 - - 2543 - - 1663 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98888 11 099 8 119 9 107 12 079 98888 91472 12 103 10 129 10 135 7 073 91472 85741 18 138 11 138 10 114 6 108 85741 80984 24 131 14 143 4 095 10 082 80984 76881 19 092 17 129 8 138 10 087 76881 73250 14 070 16 122 13 117 11 113 73250 69968 8 113 12 120 11 116 10 130 69968 66958 8 141 8 142 7 139 5 169 66958 64176 2 244 3 075 4 116 7 197 64176 61478 18 223 19 242 12 261 7 219 61478 58637 18 201 23 225 24 242 21 240 58637 55684 20 242 25 239 30 235 31 243 55684 52882 36 259 36 254 33 250 38 251 52882 50366 46 256 48 252 44 257 48 259 50366 48110 52 253 54 252 56 257 65 258 48110 46061 56 252 59 253 66 254 76 253 46061 44183 64 252 65 249 74 250 81 250 44183 42452 69 249 71 247 78 249 86 252 42452 40847 71 249 74 251 79 252 90 252 40847 39348 75 249 78 253 84 256 90 252 39348 37939 76 247 81 251 89 256 92 254 37939 36582 74 247 79 251 87 255 93 256 36582 35209 72 245 78 253 83 254 88 257 35209 33792 68 242 75 249 80 252 82 254 33792 32330 65 240 72 244 78 249 77 251 32330 30801 62 241 70 242 74 248 72 249 30801 29193 59 243 69 242 69 248 66 248 29193 27506 55 244 64 244 64 249 60 248 27506 25738 51 245 60 246 60 249 56 249 25738 23889 48 245 56 247 56 249 51 249 23889 21962 45 244 54 246 54 249 46 249 21962 19950 41 239 51 241 51 250 41 253 19950 17848 38 234 45 236 45 248 34 249 17848 15704 35 233 40 235 39 244 33 240 15704 13644 31 233 31 235 26 244 27 233 13644 11776 22 230 21 228 18 233 21 219 11776 10123 15 212 17 209 17 211 23 204 10123 8660 11 205 17 201 21 206 25 198 8660 7361 9 233 15 205 20 206 21 197 7361 6208 8 238 13 217 16 214 14 209 6208 5188 7 232 11 226 13 229 11 241 5188 4290 7 232 8 241 11 248 9 267 4290 3499 7 243 8*269 10 273 7 286 3499 2794 8 259 9*277 11*291 7 307 2794 2172 8*270 10 277 12*292 9 315 2172 1655 8*273 10 276 12 291 9 307 1655 1260 8 272 10 276 12 290 9 288 1260 989 8 271 10 276 11 289 8 277 989 823 7 272 9 275 11 289 6*270 823 729 6 271 8 274 9 288 4*264 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography