DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 67.0 - - 68.9 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 70 - - -20 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 571 - - 1679 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1283 - - 2391 - - 729 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 552 - - 921 - - 3796 - - 828 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 117 - - 220 - - 25 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 050 - - 046 - - 038 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -14 - - -6 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3113 - - -2495 - - -4207 - - -2685 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4396 - - 4887 - - 4936 - - 3415 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9900 - - -8130 - - -7954 - - -10165 ODpotential blCL - - - 11183 - - 10521 - - 8683 - - 10895 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 54 - - 43 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.8 - - 67.0 - - 68.9 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 48.5 - - 50.1 - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 66.5 - - 69.8 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 47.2 - - 48.8 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 70 - - -20 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 571 - - 1679 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96120 21 323 18 333 18 348 6 312 96120 89100 4 002 11 310 15 330 11 010 89100 83677 2 010 5 275 11 298 11 353 83677 79166 4 346 4 328 5 315 6 335 79166 75253 4 083 5 301 8 311 13 006 75253 71782 4 118 9 253 8 282 15 347 71782 68637 5 088 3 213 5 224 3 336 68637 65734 5 059 3 292 6 279 7 267 65734 63022 9 081 2 130 4 025 4 193 63022 60387 5 019 4 287 11 318 10 301 60387 57626 27 046 23 072 24 061 9 056 57626 54762 38 041 34 043 29 054 22 062 54762 52057 39 055 34 045 40 071 33 075 52057 49632 55 058 48 055 55 062 50 060 49632 47469 66 041 52 048 49 042 50 043 47469 45518 58 034 46 051 43 045 43 045 45518 43736 53 049 51 055 48 051 48 054 43736 42099 60 060 63 051 55 049 60 052 42099 40584 74 055 72 047 63 044 63 048 40584 39165 84 049 75 046 64 043 60 047 39165 37819 81 046 71 047 61 045 55 047 37819 36507 70 047 62 047 54 046 54 047 36507 35166 65 053 59 049 50 045 54 046 35166 33767 64 057 59 050 49 047 54 044 33767 32313 60 056 56 049 50 047 55 042 32313 30791 54 048 53 048 49 047 56 042 30791 29190 52 040 52 047 50 047 58 042 29190 27510 50 036 51 045 52 048 59 044 27510 25746 47 038 51 043 56 048 59 047 25746 23902 45 041 52 042 58 049 55 048 23902 21985 45 044 51 044 57 052 48 047 21985 19992 48 049 49 047 57 057 42 046 19992 17912 50 058 47 051 57 062 42 052 17912 15783 47 063 45 057 54 066 44 059 15783 13726 40 061 39 064 47 068 44 066 13726 11853 32 056 33 070 39 072 42 074 11853 10188 25 054 24 072 29 079 36 080 10188 8709 19 057 17 071 19 082 28 079 8709 7398 14 065 12 068 11 072 23 072 7398 6237 11 070 10 067 11 058 21 068 6237 5213 10 070 11 065 16 056 19 060 5213 4313 11 062 12 057 19 050 18 049 4313 3520 14 060 14 049 20 044 20 044 3520 2812 22 049 15*045 19 041 23 041 2812 2186 27 045 14*045 16 039 26 035 2186 1665 27*045 13 046 14 038 25 031 1665 1265 22*048 12 046 11 038 19 028 1265 991 19 050 11 047 9 038 11 027 991 825 16 051 10 047 8 038 6*024 825 730 11 052 7 048 5*038 1*015 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography