DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 71.5 - - 69.5 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 464 - - 297 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1042 - - 1357 - - 1098 - - 572 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1195 - - 1510 - - 1223 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1755 - - 2070 - - 1811 - - 1285 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 298 - - 350 - - 381 - - 318 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 278 - - 348 - - 279 - - 112 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 259 - - 264 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -620 - - -2840 - - -2820 - - -704 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2375 - - 4910 - - 4632 - - 1989 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12330 - - -12543 - - -12863 - - -12847 ODpotential blCL - - - 14085 - - 14613 - - 14674 - - 14132 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 66 - - 65 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 71.5 - - 69.5 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 52.8 - - 52.1 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 68.9 - - 67.7 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.5 - - 52.4 - - 51.7 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 464 - - 297 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1042 - - 1357 - - 1098 - - 572 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99425 29 115 29 109 27 110 28 099 99425 91837 30 105 29 110 29 098 34 111 91837 86022 24 096 26 113 25 094 30 104 86022 81225 21 111 25 103 25 111 26 095 81225 77108 23 121 20 103 24 107 25 100 77108 73489 25 116 17 109 18 095 21 087 73489 70216 19 121 17 122 16 114 16 088 70216 67212 15 132 14 120 17 126 12 093 67212 64446 11 141 7 142 11 119 12 125 64446 61776 12 180 12 179 7 216 5 164 61776 59007 21 208 20 220 16 236 8 244 59007 56158 21 229 27 226 28 241 21 259 56158 53452 31 243 31 234 34 232 34 233 53452 51022 41 253 38 248 35 251 35 239 51022 48835 51 252 53 252 49 257 45 263 48835 46836 56 249 58 253 60 259 61 265 46836 44992 66 250 69 253 70 255 72 260 44992 43274 75 246 78 247 75 249 77 253 43274 41660 78 243 77 245 75 246 77 254 41660 40130 77 248 75 254 72 252 72 261 40130 38682 72 254 72 258 65 257 67 263 38682 37287 70 259 71 257 67 255 64 262 37287 35878 64 267 67 264 61 265 61 267 35878 34424 52 271 57 271 51 273 55 272 34424 32927 45 270 45 269 44 267 47 268 32927 31369 45 265 43 264 46 261 47 265 31369 29736 48 263 47 265 47 266 54 270 29736 28026 46 265 47 270 51 276 55 275 28026 26231 39 269 40 271 46 282 49 285 26231 24353 35 271 33 271 35 280 38 284 24353 22396 34 270 32 269 30 273 33 276 22396 20356 27 268 34 271 30 274 31 276 20356 18232 21 264 27 274 26 277 26 279 18232 16065 20 266 20 273 22 276 22 279 16065 13967 18 271 18 273 20 276 20 278 13967 12052 14 274 15 277 17 282 16 283 12052 10349 10 273 12 284 13 291 13 294 10349 8837 8 281 11 295 10 305 11 308 8837 7497 6 286 9 305 9 316 10 319 7497 6309 4 295 7 308 8 320 10 326 6309 5260 4 311 5 311 7 318 10 326 5260 4338 4 325 4 309 6 305 9 321 4338 3527 4 316 4 282 7 287 9 303 3527 2804 6 284 9 262 11 275 12 285 2804 2172 9*258 11*259 13*268 15 274 2172 1652 10*251 12*259 13*265 14*263 1652 1258 10 250 12 259 13 265 14*259 1258 987 10 249 11 259 13 264 13 258 987 823 9 250 11 259 12 264 11 258 823 729 8 249 9 259 10 264 8 257 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography