DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 71.6 - - 71.1 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 238 - - 92 - - -70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2384 - - 5639 - - 5690 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1992 - - 4569 - - 4040 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3097 - - 6352 - - 6403 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1060 - - 1020 - - 1760 - - 1870 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 462 - - 346 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - 23 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 003 - - 004 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 16 - - -12 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2034 - - -2676 - - -3708 - - -7119 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5131 - - 9029 - - 10111 - - 7848 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10534 - - -13620 - - -15360 - - -18608 ODpotential blCL - - - 13631 - - 19972 - - 21763 - - 19337 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 54 - - 65 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.6 - - 71.6 - - 71.1 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 34.3 - - 29.0 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 70.1 - - 70.7 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.4 - - 33.0 - - 27.9 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 173 - - 238 - - 92 - - -70 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2384 - - 5639 - - 5690 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98164 6 256 8 337 11 328 11 309 98164 90722 5 326 9 302 12 321 7 353 90722 84961 8 314 7 307 11 331 9 010 84961 80186 4 062 5 277 8 313 9 001 80186 76100 6 035 7 292 5 277 6 305 76100 72505 5 353 9 311 4 322 4 298 72505 69238 12 312 13 295 13 309 12 344 69238 66212 10 290 12 282 14 297 10 305 66212 63390 16 313 14 298 17 314 15 323 63390 60662 23 305 19 307 20 308 18 320 60662 57837 21 297 19 310 18 320 18 322 57837 54926 27 316 30 322 31 322 31 327 54926 52156 39 320 38 316 38 316 37 318 52156 49684 45 324 41 327 40 334 37 329 49684 47535 53 336 50 342 62 348 49 347 47535 45628 79 344 77 343 76 337 47 341 45628 43866 96 336 81 340 70 342 50 342 43866 42218 87 322 79 348 69 350 55 341 42218 40673 70 340 85 355 72 352 59 342 40673 39218 75 354 83 353 71 351 61 341 39218 37841 85 358 81 356 69 349 60 338 37841 36504 86 356 78 354 67 345 57 335 36504 35140 79 351 76 345 65 339 55 334 35140 33717 74 348 73 337 64 334 53 334 33717 32240 69 346 72 333 64 332 54 337 32240 30695 70 340 72 335 63 335 56 336 30695 29070 73 337 71 337 62 334 58 336 29070 27362 73 336 71 336 62 333 58 341 27362 25569 65 333 71 334 63 331 58 342 25569 23695 62 333 69 331 67 328 56 337 23695 21745 65 337 71 334 69 329 54 333 21745 19719 65 344 69 335 60 333 49 333 19719 17620 49 340 58 334 52 335 44 337 17620 15486 39 327 48 334 49 336 45 345 15486 13436 33 331 43 335 46 339 44 350 13436 11588 29 337 41 334 40 347 35 358 11588 9966 27 338 36 334 31 354 30 017 9966 8537 25 338 29 335 28 004 32 031 8537 7272 23 338 17*350 27*008 36 035 7272 6149 21 341 15*360 26*008 40 036 6149 5151 22 358 16 001 25 007 42 035 5151 4271 22 004 16 004 25 005 42 034 4271 3491 18*358 16 004 24 004 42 033 3491 2793 14*344 16 004 23 003 40 032 2793 2174 12 334 15 004 22 002 39 030 2174 1658 11 328 15 003 21 001 34 027 1658 1262 10 324 14 003 19 000 28 024 1262 989 9 320 13 003 18 360 21 020 989 823 9 318 12 003 16 359 17 018 823 729 7 317 10 002 11 359 8*013 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography