DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 89.1 - - 84.4 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 374 - - 253 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 665 - - 1160 - - 747 - - 175 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1329 - - 919 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1379 - - 1875 - - 1462 - - 888 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 384 - - 613 - - 440 - - 365 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 224 - - 309 - - 234 - - 55 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 271 - - 281 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6499 - - -7987 - - -6284 - - -3798 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7878 - - 9863 - - 7746 - - 4686 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14731 - - -14278 - - -13759 - - -14094 ODpotential blCL - - - 16110 - - 16153 - - 15221 - - 14982 blCL maxRH - - - 35 - - 28 - - 38 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.6 - - 89.1 - - 84.4 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.3 - - 48.9 - - 53.5 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 86.8 - - 82.7 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 48.1 - - 53.0 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 374 - - 253 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 665 - - 1160 - - 747 - - 175 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98898 41 108 36 110 31 114 33 106 98898 91461 29 092 34 101 34 108 32 108 91461 85756 26 105 26 103 30 101 29 096 85756 81010 27 106 20 119 24 099 27 094 81010 76913 26 101 24 113 20 100 26 091 76913 73298 22 098 22 106 19 112 20 081 73298 70037 17 096 19 096 19 101 15 099 70037 67050 15 085 15 100 17 093 14 108 67050 64296 11 079 10 112 17 083 15 087 64296 61648 11 093 10 098 11 096 11 072 61648 58902 8 093 6 076 7 095 7 095 58902 56064 1 311 1 261 1 353 2 032 56064 53376 10 286 9 289 8 294 8 321 53376 50973 18 289 17 294 17 289 15 304 50973 48822 29 283 27 286 26 281 25 291 48822 46866 36 276 35 282 33 279 32 284 46866 45062 40 272 39 279 37 278 36 283 45062 43381 41 272 40 277 41 278 38 282 43381 41802 42 273 41 276 42 278 40 280 41802 40310 43 274 40 275 44 277 42 280 40310 38897 43 274 39 274 44 276 44 280 38897 37526 43 274 39 274 43 272 46 278 37526 36131 43 274 39 275 38 273 43 277 36131 34682 40 278 38 276 35 276 37 276 34682 33181 39 281 36 281 33 278 33 280 33181 31609 40 280 36 281 34 278 30 282 31609 29958 40 280 36 281 33 279 29 280 29958 28227 37 277 36 278 34 278 29 279 28227 26413 36 278 34 277 34 277 31 278 26413 24520 33 280 32 280 32 276 30 280 24520 22547 27 280 27 285 28 281 27 278 22547 20491 16 288 16 282 19 280 19 282 20491 18356 10 293 8 276 10 282 6 286 18356 16181 7 287 4 266 4 281 1 196 16181 14080 5 279 3 242 1 206 4 131 14080 12163 4 303 1 217 3 169 4 158 12163 10457 3 297 1 271 2 161 2 157 10457 8945 1 182 0 296 2 050 2 081 8945 7601 4 129 1 209 3 021 5 045 7601 6407 5 096 1 179 3 008 5 031 6407 5349 5 067 0 078 2 343 4 358 5349 4417 4 042 1 287 2 279 5 299 4417 3596 2 347 3 264 6 260 10 283 3596 2862 4 271 8 259 10 259 13 280 2862 2215 8 246 9*261 12 262 15 271 2215 1680 8*245 9*269 11*275 15 266 1680 1272 7*255 9 272 11*281 12 274 1272 994 7 258 9 272 11 281 9*282 994 826 6 258 9 272 10 281 8*282 826 730 6 258 8 272 9 281 6 281 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography