DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/04 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 62.3 - - 60.1 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 110 - - 19 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 123 - - 555 - - 292 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 836 - - 1268 - - 1005 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 298 - - 252 - - 316 - - 162 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 62 - - 166 - - 79 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 079 - - 080 - - 077 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -8 - - -9 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3122 - - -2802 - - -2036 - - -1024 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3958 - - 4071 - - 3041 - - 1753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12817 - - -11869 - - -10386 - - -11070 ODpotential blCL - - - 13653 - - 13137 - - 11391 - - 11799 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 57 - - 67 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.2 - - 62.3 - - 60.1 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.1 - - 47.5 - - 49.7 - - 46.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 61.6 - - 59.9 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.9 - - 46.3 - - 49.0 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 110 - - 19 - - -60 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 123 - - 555 - - 292 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96160 18 299 12 349 10 000 13 349 96160 89112 12 016 12 028 13 052 9 056 89112 83639 7 045 11 008 12 045 12 047 83639 79125 11 050 6 024 10 033 12 034 79125 75256 18 056 9 071 8 040 5 038 75256 71815 21 059 12 057 12 048 8 084 71815 68683 14 040 9 061 14 047 9 076 68683 65808 9 018 10 063 15 060 5 081 65808 63143 11 010 14 019 18 050 9 079 63143 60557 11 022 13 350 12 035 11 077 60557 57878 14 052 9 041 8 054 11 096 57878 55106 26 036 16 045 12 070 11 115 55106 52422 26 039 21 050 16 065 15 109 52422 49964 32 045 26 055 20 062 17 097 49964 47737 38 038 27 051 22 059 19 092 47737 45708 33 028 24 053 19 066 22 084 45708 43856 21 041 20 067 22 093 25 087 43856 42169 18 096 22 088 30 110 30 109 42169 40627 34 118 27 108 32 125 39 126 40627 39197 44 111 35 116 37 136 45 138 39197 37854 43 108 37 116 40 134 46 142 37854 36550 38 115 36 116 38 131 44 142 36550 35217 35 124 34 122 37 135 43 142 35217 33825 32 126 30 127 33 138 41 143 33825 32378 29 126 24 129 30 137 39 147 32378 30860 28 125 22 125 29 135 38 148 30860 29260 26 126 22 124 28 133 37 150 29260 27577 27 127 21 132 26 132 34 149 27577 25812 28 132 22 141 25 134 30 139 25812 23968 26 141 23 143 25 136 28 134 23968 22043 17 153 24 141 25 140 26 140 22043 20031 9 128 20 131 22 142 24 148 20031 17932 15 104 17 111 16 129 19 150 17932 15794 14 097 20 089 14 102 14 134 15794 13738 13 103 17 079 15 082 14 095 13738 11867 9 110 10 096 10 092 12 093 11867 10203 8 113 8 117 8 112 8 132 10203 8725 7 138 8 140 6 147 7 168 8725 7414 6 156 8 160 6 178 9 196 7414 6250 5 159 8 171 7 190 10 205 6250 5220 5 149 9 177 7 193 9 205 5220 4315 6 143 10 183 6 188 9 205 4315 3517 7 144 10 190 6 180 8 201 3517 2805 7 150 9 188 5 170 7 191 2805 2178 9 144 8 179 5 147 6 170 2178 1655 12 121 8*120 11 099 8 136 1655 1257 14 098 11*082 13*082 14 110 1257 985 12*084 11 080 12*078 15 091 985 822 10*079 10 080 11 077 13*083 822 729 8 078 8 079 8 077 8*078 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography