DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/07 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.2 - - 55.8 - - 64.4 - - 61.6 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 64 - - 98 - - 31 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 337 - - 1038 - - 983 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1050 - - 1750 - - 1696 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 382 - - 475 - - 720 - - 842 - - 513 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 115 - - 197 - - 136 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 32 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 275 - - 009 - - 306 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -931 - - -2311 - - -1239 - - -222 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1982 - - 4061 - - 2935 - - 951 sfcLCL ODpotential -5942 - - -5468 - - -5638 - - -4525 - - -5703 ODpotential blCL 6670 - - 6518 - - 7388 - - 6221 - - 6432 blCL maxRH 99 - - 82 - - 72 - - 72 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.2 - - 55.8 - - 64.4 - - 61.6 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.0 - - 50.0 - - 49.5 - - 51.6 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.9 - - 55.2 - - 63.6 - - 61.4 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.7 - - 49.3 - - 48.2 - - 50.7 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 64 - - 98 - - 31 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 337 - - 1038 - - 983 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96522 17 109 5 080 12 084 16 120 13 177 96522 89425 21 116 10 120 10 082 21 093 16 118 89425 83948 18 115 10 130 11 125 11 092 12 092 83948 79387 13 107 14 118 10 126 4 116 7 089 79387 75443 10 118 8 109 2 077 4 109 7 086 75443 71946 6 130 6 134 5 239 4 083 8 040 71946 68779 4 255 4 167 7 246 1 020 4 358 68779 65866 9 262 4 187 7 234 3 240 4 260 65866 63161 10 250 6 250 4 263 5 214 7 242 63161 60541 10 249 8 267 10 287 8 243 12 244 60541 57801 12 269 10 272 17 276 12 260 15 253 57801 54950 14 281 11 291 17 252 15 272 15 256 54950 52224 18 285 15 289 10 265 18 288 19 283 52224 49768 23 301 27 298 16 298 25 288 21 273 49768 47554 28 305 30 294 18 308 21 283 22 314 47554 45525 23 287 14 313 24 325 28 312 42 316 45525 43664 23 341 33 317 49 321 55 309 65 308 43664 41959 46 323 46 318 56 307 61 294 52 291 41959 40389 40 327 44 321 28 331 42 292 21 315 40389 38945 54 336 36 348 39 007 47 351 54 353 38945 37607 65 334 50 002 59 356 58 359 53 351 37607 36316 60 327 45 006 58 351 50 359 39 347 36316 34999 54 333 30 347 46 351 37 358 32 334 34999 33625 46 343 32 330 35 354 26 355 31 325 33625 32195 42 351 34 324 26 344 21 350 32 319 32195 30691 38 352 34 322 27 326 20 347 32 311 30691 29103 34 349 32 329 24 323 21 331 28 313 29103 27430 26 358 24 341 21 335 27 325 24 316 27430 25670 20 004 6 012 21 340 30 330 24 300 25670 23826 19 346 11 330 19 325 26 328 23 273 23826 21901 23 327 23 315 15 317 17 322 22 267 21901 19892 27 326 19 325 12 313 17 324 24 289 19892 17794 22 317 16 321 12 310 17 335 25 297 17794 15656 17 288 16 303 15 311 11 322 20 311 15656 13597 15 286 13 286 16 316 7 295 13 302 13597 11731 11 280 10 267 14 299 6 299 10 283 11731 10081 8 271 10 262 11 280 8 284 8 292 10081 8620 6 273 10 271 10 276 10 279 10 308 8620 7326 3 284 7 276 8 281 9 280 12 310 7326 6178 3 013 5 277 5 284 8 282 13 306 6178 5162 5 017 3 289 3 283 7 290 12 305 5162 4268 6 007 3 321 2 302 6 304 9 314 4268 3481 7 350 5 339 2 002 7 321 7 329 3481 2778 10 339 6 351 4 033 8 328 6 341 2778 2159 11 334 6 350 4*036 9*325 7 339 2159 1645 10 323 5 333 2*026 10*312 7 332 1645 1253 8 295 3*294 1 013 10 307 7 319 1253 984 6 260 3*277 1 358 9 304 6 301 984 822 5 241 3 275 1 344 8 303 4*283 822 729 2*229 2 273 1 331 7 301 3*260 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography