DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.1 - - 78.6 - - 85.1 - - 81.4 - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 197 - - 321 - - 163 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1032 - - 1735 - - 1157 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 1046 - - 1704 - - 1031 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1746 - - 2450 - - 1871 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 195 - - 733 - - 1652 - - 768 - - 692 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 241 - - 335 - - 234 - - 7 W* B/S 1 - - 19 - - 13 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 316 - - 295 - - 304 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1009 - - -4097 - - -4843 - - -2978 - - -1067 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1738 - - 5844 - - 7293 - - 4850 - - 1797 sfcLCL ODpotential -11752 - - -11091 - - -10535 - - -8105 - - -8666 ODpotential blCL 12481 - - 12837 - - 12985 - - 9976 - - 9396 blCL maxRH 74 - - 50 - - 44 - - 62 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 61.1 - - 78.6 - - 85.1 - - 81.4 - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.0 - - 55.8 - - 55.8 - - 62.6 - - 64.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.9 - - 77.1 - - 83.2 - - 80.1 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.6 - - 55.3 - - 55.4 - - 62.4 - - 64.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 197 - - 321 - - 163 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1032 - - 1735 - - 1157 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98275 14 113 7 112 10 148 10 180 6 185 98275 90916 15 096 15 115 11 143 5 164 5 071 90916 85238 8 077 16 102 12 137 6 107 6 096 85238 80533 9 112 12 088 9 126 12 090 13 110 80533 76476 11 132 8 093 12 109 10 093 13 088 76476 72904 13 120 10 114 15 116 10 111 9 094 72904 69686 13 101 14 121 14 124 10 105 13 112 69686 66726 12 096 11 129 12 120 11 100 14 106 66726 63982 9 084 10 126 6 135 7 110 10 103 63982 61337 4 064 6 127 3 108 3 119 5 043 61337 58601 4 016 5 135 3 231 1 215 8 338 58601 55783 5 328 4 098 8 223 10 234 11 272 55783 53107 10 301 3 031 7 219 11 228 13 232 53107 50702 17 288 10 308 6 256 10 235 14 230 50702 48538 19 285 16 296 10 277 12 251 13 247 48538 46565 17 279 17 287 14 272 15 254 16 263 46565 44748 13 284 16 286 13 272 14 250 17 254 44748 43055 11 293 13 286 12 266 12 237 18 239 43055 41465 10 290 9 291 10 256 13 225 18 229 41465 39968 12 260 10 280 10 248 14 222 15 221 39968 38556 13 248 8 257 9 232 13 205 17 213 38556 37194 12 243 7 219 10 212 13 193 16 206 37194 35811 10 221 8 198 12 197 15 191 17 201 35811 34376 6 174 8 181 11 184 19 179 17 193 34376 32891 7 143 9 170 11 179 18 176 19 186 32891 31341 8 100 10 157 13 176 17 173 21 178 31341 29710 6 090 8 155 14 164 17 163 21 170 29710 27998 4 104 10 151 15 154 17 146 21 161 27998 26203 6 069 10 141 14 151 16 148 19 166 26203 24329 7 081 9 156 11 162 13 151 14 163 24329 22381 3 081 7 183 8 172 10 145 12 143 22381 20351 1 044 6 197 6 159 11 139 12 145 20351 18229 3 099 7 174 8 163 10 159 9 165 18229 16062 6 151 8 189 8 194 7 178 6 170 16062 13972 6 189 7 192 8 194 7 184 6 166 13972 12073 6 202 8 179 11 181 9 178 5 187 12073 10385 7 193 11 183 13 180 13 187 8 204 10385 8886 8 192 13 201 16 185 16 188 12 201 8886 7555 10 194 16 209 16 187 16 186 14 194 7555 6372 10 190 15 210 15 188 14 177 14 183 6372 5325 10 183 12 204 12 187 10 167 10 165 5325 4401 11 173 11 187 8 178 6 138 6 132 4401 3585 11 167 12 176 4 159 4 097 6 101 3585 2856 11 168 9 169 1*147 3 064 4 091 2856 2213 9 182 4*154 2*305 5*329 3 327 2213 1680 7 211 2*343 5 297 9*309 9 305 1680 1274 6 250 2 320 6 295 10 304 10 300 1274 995 6 287 3 310 6 292 9 302 9 297 995 827 5 315 3 306 6 291 9 301 7 293 827 730 3*342 2 304 5 290 8 300 4*291 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography