DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.7 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 91 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 390 - - 2137 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1551 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1103 - - 2850 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 547 - - 917 - - - - - 589 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 256 - - - - - 12 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 330 - - - - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2939 - - -2209 - - - - - -1799 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4042 - - 5059 - - - - - 2529 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8846 - - -7337 - - - - - -9387 ODpotential blCL - - - 9949 - - 10187 - - - - - 10117 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 57 - - - - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.8 - - 76.7 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 57.1 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 76.0 - - - - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 55.7 - - - - - 54.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 91 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 390 - - 2137 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96456 15 262 19 265 24 276 96456 89341 9 200 5 254 7 261 89341 83894 10 210 3 216 1 011 83894 79368 8 226 5 204 4 280 79368 75462 6 231 5 260 3 294 75462 72013 1 233 6 279 11 326 72013 68888 8 335 5 338 10 294 68888 66008 13 299 8 282 8 271 66008 63350 11 250 13 263 8 281 63350 60796 13 243 17 266 18 298 60796 58140 20 266 23 262 27 284 58140 55358 30 272 32 256 36 268 55358 52664 37 267 39 251 43 264 52664 50210 42 263 45 258 48 266 50210 47985 48 263 53 265 50 265 47985 45948 52 260 57 261 51 265 45948 44078 51 250 56 253 55 263 44078 42358 54 248 55 249 55 259 42358 40766 59 247 53 249 49 258 40766 39289 60 246 56 247 40 250 39289 37912 67 236 60 245 31 255 37912 36588 66 235 63 241 24 267 36588 35242 64 234 64 242 18 272 35242 33841 62 231 64 242 14 282 33841 32386 64 235 61 245 16 285 32386 30864 61 242 57 251 18 281 30864 29266 48 252 43 254 20 280 29266 27589 41 255 34 253 19 288 27589 25829 37 254 31 257 19 299 25829 23986 35 246 29 261 19 294 23986 22064 33 242 29 263 22 280 22064 20060 27 256 27 273 22 289 20060 17971 24 266 24 282 17 305 17971 15844 20 278 17 292 15 300 15844 13793 15 287 14 295 17 292 13793 11922 11 293 12 294 16 295 11922 10256 7 291 10 289 14 304 10256 8774 4 280 10 280 12 316 8774 7456 3 267 9 289 11 330 7456 6287 3 268 6 308 11 344 6287 5252 3 281 3 000 11 350 5252 4342 2 275 6 013 11 349 4342 3539 2 247 8*357 13 341 3539 2822 2 226 9*344 16 335 2822 2191 3 219 9 334 20 330 2191 1666 2 223 9 328 18 323 1666 1266 2*244 8 323 13 305 1266 991 2*249 8 321 10 282 991 825 2 248 7 319 8*270 825 730 2 247 6 318 4*262 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography