DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/23 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 74.2 - - 72.3 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 483 - - 316 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1019 - - 1663 - - 1387 - - 599 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1173 - - 1743 - - 1445 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1732 - - 2376 - - 2100 - - 1312 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 292 - - 439 - - 415 - - 440 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 274 - - 377 - - 308 - - 112 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 279 - - 278 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -459 - - -2333 - - -2382 - - -1042 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2191 - - 4710 - - 4483 - - 2354 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12283 - - -12156 - - -12694 - - -13638 ODpotential blCL - - - 14015 - - 14532 - - 14794 - - 14950 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 69 - - 69 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 74.2 - - 72.3 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.0 - - 56.2 - - 55.3 - - 55.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 71.7 - - 70.4 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 55.9 - - 55.0 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 299 - - 483 - - 316 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1019 - - 1663 - - 1387 - - 599 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 62 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99488 41 111 40 112 36 108 33 103 99488 91960 28 105 34 107 34 102 35 094 91960 86196 26 116 30 110 30 097 31 104 86196 81424 33 123 32 121 24 109 27 102 81424 77289 31 115 31 124 22 129 23 102 77289 73620 24 101 24 111 24 126 21 107 73620 70315 17 108 19 112 21 118 21 123 70315 67305 18 127 14 115 19 120 16 124 67305 64529 16 139 15 139 15 140 15 125 64529 61839 17 162 17 151 14 160 13 133 61839 59044 17 168 18 179 14 195 7 171 59044 56177 11 208 22 188 19 211 16 208 56177 53459 19 226 23 199 28 212 27 212 53459 51023 33 228 28 221 34 213 34 217 51023 48849 42 222 41 223 43 219 42 221 48849 46872 49 228 49 228 51 227 48 228 46872 45050 58 228 61 229 62 228 58 231 45050 43358 64 223 67 221 66 222 61 226 43358 41774 64 222 65 219 63 219 61 223 41774 40283 60 227 60 223 59 222 62 221 40283 38874 56 233 58 225 58 223 62 221 38874 37510 54 232 57 226 60 223 62 223 37510 36116 56 231 59 227 61 225 60 225 36116 34663 58 230 60 224 58 229 57 230 34663 33159 54 234 58 227 54 233 51 232 33159 31588 49 235 54 232 47 233 45 230 31588 29936 46 233 47 230 42 226 41 224 29936 28201 42 232 43 226 42 216 41 217 28201 26383 36 233 38 227 38 220 37 219 26383 24490 32 234 34 230 32 225 31 224 24490 22524 29 234 30 232 28 227 26 227 22524 20475 26 231 27 234 25 229 23 227 20475 18334 23 228 22 230 21 231 19 224 18334 16144 19 218 20 220 19 227 17 218 16144 14029 17 214 20 216 18 225 17 219 14029 12103 14 219 17 220 15 222 15 223 12103 10392 11 220 13 218 11 219 12 224 10392 8871 9 216 11 211 9 216 9 219 8871 7521 7 218 9 215 7 229 6 230 7521 6326 5 224 6 220 5 233 5 247 6326 5272 4 233 5 234 4 242 4 257 5272 4347 4 267 6 269 5 270 5 279 4347 3535 6 294 10 295 9 292 10 286 3535 2813 10 294 13*291 13 292 14 292 2813 2180 12*284 14*285 14*286 17 294 2180 1659 12*268 14 280 14*281 16*284 1659 1262 11 264 14 278 14 279 14*270 1262 990 11 263 14 276 14 277 13 268 990 824 10 262 13 276 13 276 11 266 824 729 9 261 11 275 10 275 8 265 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography