DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.1 - - 61.9 - - 68.8 - - 69.4 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 95 - - 281 - - 175 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 301 - - 1519 - - 3568 - - 2816 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 3018 - - 2260 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 1014 - - 2232 - - 4281 - - 3529 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1775 - - 2192 - - 1139 - - 1354 - - 1621 Hgt.Variab. W* 56 - - 214 - - 407 - - 321 - - 6 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 238 - - 275 - - 292 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -26 - - 316 - - 246 - - -629 - - -985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1041 - - 1916 - - 4036 - - 4158 - - 1714 sfcLCL ODpotential -457 - - -15 - - 80 - - -3881 - - -5688 ODpotential blCL 1471 - - 2247 - - 4201 - - 7410 - - 6417 blCL maxRH 100 - - 99 - - 93 - - 81 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.1 - - 61.9 - - 68.8 - - 69.4 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.0 - - 56.1 - - 53.7 - - 53.8 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.1 - - 61.1 - - 67.1 - - 68.1 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.9 - - 55.7 - - 53.2 - - 53.5 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 95 - - 281 - - 175 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 301 - - 1519 - - 3568 - - 2816 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 96 - - 71 - - 26 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99004 21 135 19 093 17 110 10 105 20 073 99004 91591 19 125 17 107 15 117 13 102 15 091 91591 85859 16 113 17 124 15 117 13 104 14 087 85859 81114 9 101 9 140 12 106 12 112 8 077 81114 77040 5 135 8 203 3 098 11 101 12 112 77040 73421 7 164 10 168 6 218 3 030 5 094 73421 70127 8 146 10 152 10 173 2 198 6 167 70127 67100 4 157 9 152 14 196 8 236 2 212 67100 64289 13 241 6 144 16 169 12 211 6 244 64289 61567 12 225 11 218 7 203 9 233 8 250 61567 58742 17 242 16 231 17 238 15 260 15 265 58742 55819 18 250 17 229 23 240 22 258 22 263 55819 53039 24 273 15 255 26 248 27 270 29 277 53039 50552 37 278 32 289 25 270 35 266 33 278 50552 48326 46 268 39 282 32 284 34 280 30 295 48326 46307 43 262 41 277 39 289 37 297 35 303 46307 44453 42 273 45 270 43 285 40 297 37 299 44453 42732 45 276 44 267 42 282 41 294 38 294 42732 41123 45 283 41 273 41 282 41 291 39 291 41123 39609 52 287 40 281 42 281 42 289 42 289 39609 38180 57 276 43 283 43 282 44 284 44 287 38180 36796 58 267 47 278 45 281 46 280 46 284 36796 35391 57 264 49 272 46 274 46 277 47 281 35391 33933 56 264 51 267 47 269 48 273 47 277 33933 32425 56 266 52 262 47 262 50 269 48 273 32425 30856 55 268 50 260 47 259 49 265 48 270 30856 29222 55 271 48 260 45 259 46 261 45 267 29222 27523 54 273 46 261 43 260 45 262 45 264 27523 25745 53 274 45 262 43 260 45 260 47 263 25745 23884 52 276 44 262 44 259 46 262 48 268 23884 21946 51 271 46 259 47 258 47 265 48 272 21946 19926 54 270 50 262 47 262 45 264 42 268 19926 17822 52 278 43 273 41 261 41 261 38 265 17822 15684 35 279 33 266 35 256 35 264 25 271 15684 13633 27 265 29 257 30 263 24 277 14 286 13633 11773 26 260 22 269 18 282 13 291 8 304 11773 10123 19 269 14 286 9 306 6 295 5 303 10123 8658 13 274 9 282 4 317 3 273 4 288 8658 7356 11 267 7 273 2 292 4 277 5 286 7356 6201 11 257 6 259 3 245 5 211 5 280 6201 5180 9 255 6 228 3 249 4 189 5 241 5180 4283 11 266 7 235 4*266 2*254 4 219 4283 3494 11 266 8 247 5*273 5*292 4 233 3494 2790 10 258 8*250 5 275 7 294 5 275 2790 2170 9 244 8*249 6 275 9 293 8 291 2170 1654 8 228 7 241 6 275 9 292 11 291 1654 1260 8*209 6 233 6 276 9 291 11 289 1260 988 7*201 6 229 6 276 9 290 10 287 988 823 6 200 5 229 6 275 9 289 7*285 823 729 4 199 5 227 5 275 7 289 4*281 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography