DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/23 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1852z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 50.5 - - 57.5 - - 55.1 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 62 - - 108 - - 20 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 350 - - 1489 - - 739 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1007 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1062 - - 2202 - - 1451 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 428 - - 632 - - 718 - - 986 - - 454 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 115 - - 227 - - 108 - - 3 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 065 - - 005 - - 035 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - 3 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -649 - - -183 - - -981 - - -217 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1711 - - 2385 - - 2432 - - 945 sfcLCL ODpotential -7512 - - -7698 - - -5031 - - -6357 - - -7299 ODpotential blCL 8240 - - 8760 - - 7233 - - 7808 - - 8027 blCL maxRH 99 - - 87 - - 83 - - 75 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 50.5 - - 57.5 - - 55.1 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.1 - - 45.7 - - 49.6 - - 47.0 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.2 - - 50.0 - - 56.6 - - 54.9 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.2 - - 45.0 - - 48.5 - - 46.1 - - 44.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 62 - - 108 - - 20 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 350 - - 1489 - - 739 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 46 - - 32 - - 2 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95380 22 286 33 304 35 295 29 291 43 276 95380 88584 7 011 14 322 17 313 16 300 22 294 88584 83280 12 047 6 360 8 332 13 317 10 308 83280 78840 14 041 6 032 4 312 14 343 9 360 78840 74995 15 041 9 035 1 331 11 339 9 350 74995 71580 14 049 6 027 5 017 7 342 8 317 71580 68473 12 055 3 314 7 348 10 346 7 327 68473 65599 10 040 3 268 8 310 9 331 9 331 65599 62917 9 356 6 316 11 323 9 315 15 313 62917 60314 10 329 9 318 13 320 12 308 17 300 60314 57590 12 333 12 321 15 313 17 313 15 305 57590 54737 14 326 18 316 19 310 24 309 20 311 54737 51991 18 321 21 305 23 307 28 309 24 314 51991 49503 22 315 23 308 24 301 33 311 31 319 49503 47257 23 321 24 315 25 312 36 311 34 316 47257 45208 22 328 26 321 29 321 34 316 34 327 45208 43333 25 343 30 330 32 332 41 330 41 335 43333 41616 34 346 32 348 36 344 44 332 48 340 41616 40029 39 352 36 360 42 353 42 340 52 350 40029 38551 51 006 51 005 48 001 46 353 60 355 38551 37169 67 006 67 006 59 005 58 357 66 350 37169 35848 74 008 77 005 72 003 65 354 71 346 35848 34517 78 010 80 003 76 002 64 353 73 347 34517 33139 77 012 81 006 73 005 66 357 72 353 33139 31711 73 013 76 007 73 007 67 359 72 356 31711 30214 69 010 68 007 76 006 67 360 71 356 30214 28638 63 007 62 008 76 008 68 360 69 354 28638 26981 56 008 60 005 70 012 66 000 69 355 26981 25246 49 011 57 003 63 014 63 002 69 354 25246 23436 42 013 52 004 58 011 61 003 64 355 23436 21552 37 011 46 006 56 007 57 004 59 357 21552 19587 35 006 42 007 53 005 54 007 57 359 19587 17534 33 005 37 006 43 001 51 007 54 003 17534 15435 27 360 31 004 36 357 43 003 49 006 15435 13409 19 349 23 360 30 353 35 355 41 005 13409 11569 17 340 16 349 22 343 27 353 33 000 11569 9941 14 328 12 336 17 337 20 352 23 358 9941 8501 14 317 11 309 13 343 16 354 15 000 8501 7224 16 313 9 320 10 001 12 356 12 003 7224 6091 12 316 4 342 8 020 12 001 12 007 6091 5089 5 323 1 113 7 025 12 006 12 014 5089 4209 0 334 2 151 6 025 12 008 12 017 4209 3435 2 174 2 151 5 029 11 011 14 016 3435 2744 2 185 0 308 5*017 9 014 15 011 2744 2136 2 267 2 292 4*008 8 021 13 008 2136 1631 3 275 2 293 4 006 7*031 10 011 1631 1245 3 260 3*067 4 006 7*034 8 027 1245 980 2 238 4*065 3 003 7 035 7 041 980 820 2*220 3 065 3 002 6 035 6*042 820 728 1*195 3 065 3 001 5 035 3*046 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography