DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 53.2 - - 52.7 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 70 - - 11 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 554 - - 3735 - - 2498 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 2408 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1265 - - 4447 - - 3211 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2585 - - 1200 - - 2009 - - 1787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 109 - - 275 - - 153 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 17 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 200 - - 191 - - 153 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 12 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2278 - - 1584 - - 555 - - -673 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3544 - - 2863 - - 2656 - - 1401 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8295 - - 753 - - -443 - - -2780 ODpotential blCL - - - 9560 - - 3694 - - 3654 - - 3508 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 97 - - 84 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 53.2 - - 52.7 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.4 - - 43.4 - - 43.7 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 52.8 - - 52.6 - - 48.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.2 - - 42.1 - - 42.5 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 70 - - 11 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 554 - - 3735 - - 2498 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 88 - - 35 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96830 28 110 22 117 17 100 20 105 96830 89618 27 117 22 114 21 112 19 105 89618 84032 18 116 17 123 18 105 20 105 84032 79391 11 135 13 150 8 133 11 103 79391 75378 8 155 6 148 4 168 6 120 75378 71822 8 180 6 238 6 236 3 209 71822 68591 8 211 9 225 10 205 5 213 68591 65605 10 205 12 253 17 238 13 242 65605 62842 14 228 21 257 19 233 20 238 62842 60168 21 250 24 258 18 247 19 241 60168 57370 30 254 28 253 33 253 31 255 57370 54474 37 258 36 254 44 251 45 250 54474 51724 47 262 46 259 50 257 51 250 51724 49248 54 268 53 260 62 259 61 259 49248 47031 59 269 62 260 68 257 71 263 47031 45045 68 273 70 263 72 254 79 257 45045 43260 81 274 71 264 71 252 76 249 43260 41620 84 278 75 279 71 264 71 256 41620 40090 88 283 79 274 76 269 74 258 40090 38650 84 275 78 261 77 260 77 252 38650 37283 85 271 79 256 81 253 80 247 37283 35953 87 270 80 258 82 252 82 244 35953 34597 85 269 80 261 80 253 80 246 34597 33192 84 268 78 263 78 255 77 250 33192 31740 85 267 76 263 78 255 76 251 31740 30222 82 266 76 261 77 253 76 250 30222 28625 76 264 75 259 77 252 76 250 28625 26949 66 264 74 256 77 253 75 251 26949 25196 56 265 68 255 77 254 74 250 25196 23365 47 267 59 254 73 255 72 250 23365 21462 45 266 49 254 64 253 67 250 21462 19483 45 266 43 256 53 245 56 247 19483 17424 44 262 43 257 48 241 53 240 17424 15324 41 248 41 255 43 241 48 236 15324 13301 35 229 36 236 37 237 42 230 13301 11464 31 214 37 219 35 223 40 223 11464 9841 28 203 37 208 36 213 35 213 9841 8410 28 194 36 200 34 209 28 206 8410 7148 27 189 33 192 30 203 23 210 7148 6031 27 188 28 191 28 199 22 212 6031 5045 25 194 22*197 27 197 24 206 5045 4178 24 203 21*199 26 195 27 201 4178 3415 23 206 20 200 25*194 28 197 3415 2733 22 204 19 200 23*193 28 195 2733 2131 21 197 17 200 21 192 27 192 2131 1630 18*189 16 200 20 191 24 188 1630 1245 15*184 15 200 18 191 19 184 1245 980 12 182 14 200 16 190 14 179 980 820 10 181 12 200 14 189 10 172 820 728 7 181 9 200 9 189 4*153 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography