DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 77.2 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 350 - - - - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 622 - - 906 - - - - - 286 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 824 - - 1130 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1335 - - 1620 - - - - - 999 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 234 - - 275 - - - - - 324 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 277 - - - - - 66 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 269 - - - - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1236 - - -3086 - - - - - -1288 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2571 - - 4706 - - - - - 2287 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11779 - - -11545 - - - - - -12907 ODpotential blCL - - - 13114 - - 13165 - - - - - 13906 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 74 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.4 - - 77.2 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.6 - - 59.5 - - - - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 75.1 - - - - - 65.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 59.0 - - - - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 273 - - 350 - - - - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 622 - - 906 - - - - - 286 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 0 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99491 33 108 34 107 35 092 99491 92002 29 108 34 110 27 087 92002 86223 27 112 28 105 20 087 86223 81432 25 104 25 102 23 108 81432 77303 22 104 24 115 25 109 77303 73648 21 110 18 111 22 096 73648 70343 11 104 14 099 19 089 70343 67319 11 151 8 090 14 110 67319 64526 17 140 4 197 9 087 64526 61830 11 138 12 190 3 266 61830 59044 6 199 12 194 7 222 59044 56199 13 209 11 226 6 307 56199 53512 16 201 15 213 12 251 53512 51115 14 204 19 209 20 222 51115 48976 14 229 18 223 25 224 48976 47021 21 252 17 240 26 215 47021 45214 26 243 23 222 23 209 45214 43529 29 228 27 225 21 214 43529 41947 31 230 29 229 23 221 41947 40454 33 238 31 228 27 221 40454 39040 33 247 32 236 28 220 39040 37667 28 244 29 247 29 223 37667 36266 23 240 24 241 31 227 36266 34808 21 236 20 236 25 235 34808 33295 18 234 19 231 24 238 33295 31715 15 235 17 232 22 236 31715 30057 16 240 13 246 22 238 30057 28319 12 244 14 254 21 238 28319 26503 9 232 26 236 18 236 26503 24613 14 221 24 219 13 223 24613 22651 21 202 19 197 10 214 22651 20609 26 195 26 186 10 222 20609 18478 25 189 20 178 9 195 18478 16298 17 193 10 186 12 163 16298 14185 8 200 6 219 12 153 14185 12254 4 212 5 237 8 149 12254 10533 3 234 5 253 4 120 10533 9000 4 277 5 275 4 043 9000 7635 5 291 7 295 5 013 7635 6422 5 298 7 304 7 356 6422 5349 4 303 6 308 6 343 5349 4407 3 297 5 298 6 308 4407 3579 5 281 5 285 10 282 3579 2844 8 265 8 270 12 273 2844 2200 12 259 10 265 15 273 2200 1669 12*263 10*268 15 269 1669 1266 10*266 10*269 12*264 1266 991 10 266 10 268 10*263 991 825 9 266 9 269 9 262 825 730 7 266 8 269 7 262 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography