DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/12 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 52.0 - - - - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 56 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3150 - - 2777 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2116 - - 1399 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3862 - - 3490 - - - - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3373 - - 2268 - - - - - 4455 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 231 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 20 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 246 - - - - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 14 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 10 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1411 - - 1588 - - - - - -495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2451 - - 1903 - - - - - 1223 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 114 - - 566 - - - - - -1174 ODpotential blCL - - - 3748 - - 2924 - - - - - 1902 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 370 - - 260 - - - - - 270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.3 - - 52.0 - - - - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.1 - - 46.2 - - - - - 47.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.8 - - 51.8 - - - - - 51.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 45.3 - - - - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 56 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3150 - - 2777 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 100 - - - - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97279 50 278 50 265 57 273 97279 89875 44 275 48 273 50 277 89875 84180 37 273 44 274 42 277 84180 79484 37 261 42 262 33 274 79484 75449 33 249 36 243 29 268 75449 71875 23 238 29 231 29 258 71875 68618 20 240 24 241 28 263 68618 65609 25 244 27 239 26 267 65609 62816 29 239 25 241 26 261 62816 60105 26 243 25 250 26 251 60105 57258 25 260 25 263 25 261 57258 54294 24 262 31 272 27 289 54294 51462 25 267 34 262 35 293 51462 48913 30 275 29 274 39 287 48913 46633 39 283 35 286 42 287 46633 44571 49 280 44 286 46 291 44571 42681 56 275 53 282 49 292 42681 40930 57 273 55 279 50 287 40930 39301 56 273 55 281 50 281 39301 37784 56 274 57 284 50 280 37784 36368 58 273 60 284 50 280 36368 35016 61 269 66 283 53 277 35016 33663 60 268 72 281 59 275 33663 32283 62 271 72 278 65 273 32283 30871 69 270 61 278 68 271 30871 29404 71 265 64 296 70 270 29404 27863 67 263 71 296 67 270 27863 26249 60 270 71 298 59 275 26249 24563 58 270 72 296 50 280 24563 22807 55 270 72 298 42 277 22807 20979 49 271 65 297 39 278 20979 19070 43 268 57 289 38 287 19070 17077 39 272 48 284 34 291 17077 15045 29 282 36 279 24 295 15045 13092 23 268 33 259 14 289 13092 11321 24 262 32 251 12 278 11321 9751 23 258 28 254 16 266 9751 8359 23 251 26 262 22 267 8359 7118 24 245 24 267 22 272 7118 6015 25 243 24 262 20 275 6015 5038 24 241 25 255 16 267 5038 4178 24*240 25*251 14 255 4178 3418 23*241 25*249 14 251 3418 2737 21 242 24 248 14 251 2737 2135 20 244 22 246 13 250 2135 1633 19 245 20 245 12 246 1633 1247 18 245 18 244 11 244 1247 981 17 246 16 244 9 241 981 821 15 246 14 243 7 239 821 728 11 246 10 243 4*238 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography