DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 78.2 - - 76.5 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 398 - - 251 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 616 - - 932 - - 697 - - 183 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1175 - - 862 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1330 - - 1645 - - 1411 - - 896 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 237 - - 241 - - 344 - - 345 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 292 - - 228 - - 42 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 269 - - 274 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2354 - - -4211 - - -3916 - - -1940 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3684 - - 5857 - - 5327 - - 2836 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12726 - - -12619 - - -12812 - - -13244 ODpotential blCL - - - 14056 - - 14264 - - 14223 - - 14140 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 85 - - 70 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.9 - - 78.2 - - 76.5 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.5 - - 55.7 - - 56.2 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 76.0 - - 74.8 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 55.1 - - 55.8 - - 56.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 237 - - 398 - - 251 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 616 - - 932 - - 697 - - 183 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99417 32 107 35 105 31 116 20 100 99417 91937 28 110 32 100 27 110 26 096 91937 86145 30 118 24 093 29 103 25 089 86145 81340 29 115 19 106 28 095 25 101 81340 77209 26 106 24 122 23 082 25 102 77209 73564 18 097 20 108 16 093 19 092 73564 70270 15 097 11 115 11 109 11 077 70270 67252 11 090 9 126 4 124 5 067 67252 64463 5 071 4 093 5 039 6 046 64463 61774 2 074 1 030 4 003 5 023 61774 58986 3 313 3 359 4 004 4 023 58986 56124 10 263 8 291 9 301 7 316 56124 53425 14 230 20 253 19 271 16 294 53425 51018 20 221 22 232 25 238 22 258 51018 48863 21 227 24 229 28 226 23 240 48863 46895 23 234 25 229 28 227 22 246 46895 45080 34 230 29 226 30 236 25 255 45080 43398 38 225 32 225 31 237 26 248 43398 41823 31 226 27 225 27 234 25 241 41823 40340 26 232 22 234 25 237 25 240 40340 38936 25 234 18 244 22 239 24 236 38936 37573 24 235 16 248 20 236 24 231 37573 36183 23 236 15 249 19 235 23 231 36183 34738 21 234 14 248 18 232 21 233 34738 33239 19 232 15 242 17 234 20 236 33239 31671 17 239 14 243 15 241 20 241 31671 30023 16 243 9 242 13 253 16 245 30023 28295 16 236 9 229 10 249 10 244 28295 26489 14 236 13 235 13 245 11 245 26489 24602 8 253 10 251 10 248 9 237 24602 22638 9 233 7 266 2 301 3 210 22638 20593 11 194 8 248 4 288 2 056 20593 18462 14 171 7 192 2 203 5 109 18462 16285 13 159 6 175 2 159 6 127 16285 14177 7 159 1 059 3 088 3 105 14177 12252 2 351 5 359 5 042 6 047 12252 10536 6 355 7 356 8 019 9 028 10536 9007 8 357 8 355 8 007 10 011 9007 7644 8 357 8 353 9 358 11 000 7644 6432 8 357 7 353 8 355 10 353 6432 5359 8 360 5 341 6 342 9 341 5359 4417 7 357 5 313 7 321 10 329 4417 3588 6 343 7 294 8 311 12 318 3588 2850 5 305 9 272 9 289 12 306 2850 2203 9 257 11 262 12 272 12 285 2203 1669 11*251 11*266 12*273 12 266 1669 1266 9*255 11*268 12*274 11 261 1266 991 9 257 11 269 11 274 10*263 991 824 8 256 10 269 11 274 8*263 824 729 7 257 9 269 9 273 6 263 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography