DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 70.2 - - 79.7 - - 76.8 - - 62.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 228 - - 401 - - 263 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 843 - - 1310 - - 1121 - - 496 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 964 - - 1450 - - 1209 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1557 - - 2024 - - 1834 - - 1209 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 733 - - 409 - - 531 - - 453 - - 372 Hgt.Variab. W* 33 - - 237 - - 329 - - 271 - - 100 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 267 - - 278 - - 277 - - 285 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1093 - - -3043 - - -2528 - - -543 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 2650 - - 5068 - - 4362 - - 1752 sfcLCL ODpotential -151 - - -11564 - - -11294 - - -11447 - - -12848 ODpotential blCL 880 - - 13121 - - 13318 - - 13281 - - 14057 blCL maxRH 100 - - 81 - - 63 - - 69 - - 91 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 70.2 - - 79.7 - - 76.8 - - 62.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 60.3 - - 60.9 - - 60.2 - - 60.3 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 68.6 - - 77.4 - - 75.2 - - 62.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 60.2 - - 60.3 - - 59.7 - - 60.0 - - 57.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 228 - - 401 - - 263 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 843 - - 1310 - - 1121 - - 496 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 25 - - 0 - - 0 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99398 41 104 35 102 35 110 32 113 36 104 99398 91908 39 109 32 118 31 108 31 116 32 103 91908 86122 33 108 33 111 27 114 30 105 36 105 86122 81319 29 102 30 117 24 117 25 100 34 097 81319 77195 21 094 25 111 22 119 19 119 25 093 77195 73558 19 110 18 099 23 120 17 125 17 105 73558 70269 17 110 12 110 21 115 17 123 14 125 70269 67259 18 137 13 129 14 105 17 117 17 127 67259 64482 18 114 15 136 5 134 11 115 14 121 64482 61803 10 084 19 131 14 173 4 177 6 108 61803 59035 4 115 10 129 13 177 9 216 2 282 59035 56200 8 150 5 206 6 214 6 236 3 243 56200 53511 4 178 7 205 8 209 10 223 7 231 53511 51094 6 265 6 226 9 203 15 202 13 228 51094 48925 15 279 7 261 7 235 13 213 17 237 48925 46948 29 268 17 276 15 279 13 254 15 254 46948 45124 31 264 20 274 19 277 15 268 16 261 45124 43429 30 265 22 275 21 277 17 270 17 262 43429 41841 31 265 24 273 22 276 19 271 17 263 41841 40345 31 265 24 270 23 273 20 271 17 260 40345 38930 30 267 24 272 23 271 22 269 20 262 38930 37559 32 268 24 272 21 271 22 268 22 263 37559 36163 28 267 23 270 20 271 21 268 20 262 36163 34714 25 277 20 277 20 270 19 269 16 252 34714 33212 25 280 22 279 20 268 18 270 10 253 33212 31641 22 282 20 282 18 265 17 269 10 254 31641 29984 16 287 14 292 12 263 14 266 10 250 29984 28245 8 293 9 283 6 252 8 247 7 214 28245 26432 6 283 4 246 5 202 6 195 6 183 26432 24543 5 249 5 236 6 212 5 194 6 174 24543 22575 7 212 10 235 9 227 5 206 7 165 22575 20521 8 191 11 226 11 217 7 214 7 178 20521 18381 7 186 11 213 14 211 12 215 9 215 18381 16199 5 193 12 207 16 210 16 209 13 215 16199 14091 5 209 13 214 17 212 16 209 16 216 14091 12167 7 223 13 215 17 217 16 212 15 215 12167 10453 9 211 13 210 16 218 15 214 13 217 10453 8928 10 188 13 199 14 210 13 210 12 213 8928 7572 12 172 14 189 13 200 13 206 11 202 7572 6370 14 166 15 180 14 197 15 200 11 202 6370 5308 15 164 17 173 16 191 17 191 14 203 5308 4375 15 167 19 171 18 179 17 182 15 201 4375 3553 16 181 18 177 16 177 14 186 15 205 3553 2823 15 208 15 193 12 190 10 202 15 222 2823 2184 15 231 11 215 7*236 8*256 16 247 2184 1660 13 244 7*258 8*275 10*284 15 268 1660 1262 10 252 7*277 9 277 10 286 13*278 1262 989 6 262 7 279 9 278 10 285 12*280 989 824 5 266 7 279 9 277 10 285 11 280 824 729 4*267 6 279 8 277 8 284 8 280 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography