DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/04 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 78.7 - - 76.1 - - 65.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 343 - - 205 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1039 - - 1652 - - 1148 - - 126 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1126 - - 1667 - - 1155 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1753 - - 2366 - - 1862 - - 839 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 415 - - 701 - - 654 - - 568 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 257 - - 340 - - 254 - - 25 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 276 - - 278 - - 272 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2215 - - -3958 - - -4433 - - -3029 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3968 - - 6324 - - 6295 - - 3868 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12442 - - -12808 - - -13896 - - -14503 ODpotential blCL - - - 14195 - - 15174 - - 15758 - - 15342 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 50 - - 47 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 78.7 - - 76.1 - - 65.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.6 - - 53.6 - - 51.3 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 76.6 - - 74.7 - - 65.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 52.6 - - 50.5 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 232 - - 343 - - 205 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1039 - - 1652 - - 1148 - - 126 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98547 17 142 6 084 19 089 13 126 98547 91072 17 120 14 124 10 103 13 089 91072 85335 19 114 21 125 14 130 13 080 85335 80589 17 116 18 104 19 109 16 107 80589 76515 16 118 13 115 14 104 16 103 76515 72933 19 127 12 119 12 118 13 095 72933 69706 13 106 11 086 9 112 11 088 69706 66748 6 097 7 099 5 065 9 064 66748 64016 6 100 3 060 3 360 7 013 64016 61365 6 133 7 227 11 283 8 345 61365 58593 4 326 7 230 12 262 13 292 58593 55728 14 307 10 292 11 269 20 276 55728 53004 22 298 22 288 23 284 26 283 53004 50557 25 286 28 279 30 285 28 287 50557 48367 31 289 28 287 29 290 28 288 48367 46388 35 300 30 301 29 297 28 294 46388 44582 46 309 41 312 38 309 32 305 44582 42916 58 307 53 308 49 305 44 309 42916 41365 62 306 58 307 53 302 50 305 41365 39907 62 309 60 308 55 304 51 305 39907 38525 61 313 58 312 57 308 52 310 38525 37181 63 316 61 318 56 311 53 316 37181 35808 64 317 62 319 56 316 51 318 35808 34378 60 318 56 318 57 319 51 320 34378 32893 52 319 47 318 55 319 51 320 32893 31339 46 317 40 321 46 319 50 319 31339 29705 44 315 36 320 36 318 45 319 29705 27992 42 313 35 317 33 317 36 317 27992 26196 37 311 35 315 32 317 33 316 26196 24320 33 311 33 312 30 318 29 316 24320 22364 31 313 30 312 29 316 26 312 22364 20322 28 314 27 312 26 314 23 311 20322 18188 25 311 24 311 23 314 20 317 18188 16009 24 307 21 308 18 316 14 320 16009 13914 20 305 16 306 12 319 9 316 13914 12012 14 307 12 306 8 321 7 309 12012 10323 9 310 10 305 7 317 7 313 10323 8823 7 310 7 323 6 330 7 328 8823 7491 6 329 5 007 5 356 6 348 7491 6312 6 001 5 029 3 015 6 015 6312 5272 6 044 5 054 3 018 8 026 5272 4355 9 052 6 054 3 003 8 019 4355 3546 9 045 5 033 5 330 7 354 3546 2825 9 029 4*345 9 301 9 315 2825 2190 7*012 7*286 11*286 10 297 2190 1664 4*286 8 280 11*276 9 270 1664 1264 5 277 8 277 11 272 9 245 1264 990 5 273 8 275 11 271 9*242 990 825 5 271 8 274 10 270 8*241 825 729 4 270 7 273 8 269 6 240 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography