DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 58.3 - - 55.3 - - 46.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 65 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 965 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 969 - - 1677 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 449 - - 817 - - 1411 - - 685 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 170 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 054 - - 035 - - 055 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1631 - - -1114 - - -1048 - - -66 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2600 - - 2791 - - 1777 - - 795 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10758 - - -8450 - - -8108 - - -8640 ODpotential blCL - - - 11727 - - 10127 - - 8837 - - 9368 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 72 - - 77 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 58.3 - - 55.3 - - 46.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 48.8 - - 50.1 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 57.8 - - 55.7 - - 49.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 47.5 - - 48.9 - - 47.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 65 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 257 - - 965 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96745 56 080 56 084 46 085 50 084 96745 89564 44 080 43 082 40 081 41 079 89564 84026 38 073 34 082 28 066 33 068 84026 79425 30 059 20 073 22 060 23 069 79425 75443 28 048 12 043 22 042 25 063 75443 71889 21 044 11 027 20 028 26 051 71889 68646 16 044 13 032 16 038 24 037 68646 65648 14 040 17 016 16 025 19 012 65648 62864 18 023 22 012 13 360 19 017 62864 60175 21 007 22 009 20 012 23 014 60175 57382 24 357 26 000 26 020 25 005 57382 54486 27 344 27 346 37 356 32 010 54486 51734 28 335 34 345 35 344 39 357 51734 49281 28 333 35 326 36 000 43 356 49281 47101 43 334 50 352 55 356 48 359 47101 45139 44 319 53 339 52 341 55 000 45139 43359 42 332 37 341 48 355 66 004 43359 41732 38 337 54 012 77 013 83 008 41732 40225 41 007 74 013 108 016 93 014 40225 38808 51 014 78 010 114 016 104 018 38808 37463 59 014 70 010 112 015 107 016 37463 36155 66 014 72 014 103 015 100 013 36155 34821 69 015 80 019 96 016 86 009 34821 33432 64 015 82 019 88 015 75 359 33432 31991 55 015 75 016 78 014 76 355 31991 30478 46 015 62 012 72 010 76 000 30478 28881 40 012 47 002 63 002 73 005 28881 27202 36 010 37 351 53 348 70 005 27202 25445 31 006 36 333 51 337 64 355 25445 23610 30 354 41 328 54 336 63 348 23610 21700 39 349 45 333 60 339 62 345 21700 19714 41 358 50 341 62 342 64 346 19714 17648 29 004 50 350 55 343 61 347 17648 15543 28 004 42 356 47 343 52 346 15543 13513 27 009 33 355 38 345 45 347 13513 11667 23 018 27 354 31 345 39 350 11667 10027 21 022 21 358 27 345 33 350 10027 8572 19 024 15 346 24 349 28 349 8572 7279 15 025 12 334 21 351 25 351 7279 6133 11 021 10 340 18 350 21 353 6133 5121 9 019 8 344 14 350 17 353 5121 4231 8 022 7 342 11 349 14 350 4231 3449 7 025 7 344 9 347 11 340 3449 2752 7 024 5 353 7 347 8 322 2752 2141 7 029 4*008 3 343 5 295 2141 1634 8 042 4*023 1 353 6 287 1634 1247 9 053 4 036 1 050 8 288 1247 981 7*054 4 038 2 057 7 285 981 820 6*055 4 038 1*056 5 273 820 728 4 054 3 040 1*055 3*262 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography