DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.3 - - 61.7 - - 61.6 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 282 - - 117 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4174 - - 4159 - - 3231 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3505 - - 3474 - - 2348 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4887 - - 4871 - - 3943 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2027 - - 3366 - - 3381 - - 3332 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 431 - - 297 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 300 - - 296 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 632 - - 262 - - -263 - - -1917 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4255 - - 4609 - - 4206 - - 2646 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 332 - - -59 - - -821 - - -3212 ODpotential blCL - - - 4555 - - 4930 - - 4764 - - 3941 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 87 - - 98 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 110 - - 180 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.3 - - 61.7 - - 61.6 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 43.9 - - 45.6 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 60.2 - - 60.9 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 43.2 - - 45.1 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 282 - - 117 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4174 - - 4159 - - 3231 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 50 - - 91 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98611 15 134 19 108 18 145 15 087 98611 91123 14 127 11 115 19 121 11 098 91123 85383 12 136 5 158 17 079 11 114 85383 80633 12 115 10 151 10 054 16 075 80633 76513 14 100 9 151 6 051 11 075 76513 72853 6 086 5 124 1 180 7 100 72853 69537 2 181 5 125 8 140 2 153 69537 66484 5 233 1 347 6 107 2 090 66484 63656 7 172 6 238 2 202 3 046 63656 60911 1 024 2 089 2 228 3 332 60911 58037 7 247 8 318 4 255 4 269 58037 55057 17 291 16 290 14 306 13 328 55057 52219 11 268 15 307 19 318 22 323 52219 49666 27 312 27 312 28 319 27 320 49666 47380 42 304 34 310 32 311 32 313 47380 45311 43 301 41 311 39 317 40 320 45311 43417 49 308 52 308 48 320 48 320 43417 41667 58 314 59 310 55 317 52 315 41667 40037 68 317 68 315 59 314 54 312 40037 38511 81 318 77 315 61 315 58 313 38511 37079 87 315 83 314 65 315 62 315 37079 35699 90 312 88 314 67 316 67 318 35699 34303 90 310 93 312 72 318 75 321 34303 32863 90 310 93 308 80 320 79 321 32863 31381 90 310 91 306 87 319 82 322 31381 29840 87 310 87 307 87 318 85 323 29840 28227 83 309 86 309 85 318 87 325 28227 26546 77 307 87 310 82 319 88 326 26546 24797 67 303 86 309 79 323 84 326 24797 22988 62 302 82 308 74 323 77 327 22988 21122 60 303 77 310 64 323 70 326 21122 19193 57 300 63 309 56 324 62 327 19193 17191 54 295 49 309 50 328 53 330 17191 15154 50 292 42 313 44 328 43 337 15154 13197 45 303 36 323 32 334 21 345 13197 11420 34 317 28 328 24 349 16 355 11420 9840 19 294 17 341 18 355 15 355 9840 8435 12 288 14 357 14 352 13 348 8435 7184 10 307 13 355 12 345 12 337 7184 6073 11 319 12 340 12 339 13 331 6073 5087 12*321 13*323 13 324 14 331 5087 4217 15*316 14*312 13*316 16 332 4217 3447 15 314 15 307 14*305 17 330 3447 2758 16 312 16 300 15 299 17 323 2758 2150 16 310 16 297 15 296 15 313 2150 1643 15 309 16 295 15 294 14 304 1643 1253 15 307 15 294 14 293 12 298 1253 985 14 306 15 292 14 292 11 294 985 822 13 306 14 292 13 291 9*291 822 729 10 305 11 290 10 289 6*288 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography