DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 83.5 - - 73.2 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 303 - - 146 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 1584 - - 725 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1579 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1692 - - 2298 - - 1438 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 868 - - 1026 - - 466 - - 557 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 219 - - 319 - - 193 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 267 - - 270 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5932 - - -6486 - - -4675 - - -2898 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7625 - - 8784 - - 6113 - - 3627 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11376 - - -11349 - - -11310 - - -11962 ODpotential blCL - - - 13068 - - 13647 - - 12748 - - 12691 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 37 - - 47 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.0 - - 83.5 - - 73.2 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.5 - - 47.9 - - 49.4 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.8 - - 81.6 - - 72.0 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 47.3 - - 49.1 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 155 - - 303 - - 146 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 1584 - - 725 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98315 5 230 5 162 10 194 5 255 98315 90915 3 206 4 076 5 153 1 166 90915 85256 1 155 2 354 3 115 6 113 85256 80581 5 043 3 109 5 090 9 096 80581 76546 4 107 3 158 7 093 8 097 76546 72977 7 173 7 208 2 046 4 095 72977 69737 5 196 6 232 2 283 3 185 69737 66745 7 172 7 210 5 224 9 228 66745 63964 8 239 5 238 6 199 9 213 63964 61253 20 236 20 257 12 273 3 266 61253 58404 21 232 27 250 26 260 20 273 58404 55453 21 238 27 234 32 243 30 260 55453 52652 18 250 23 231 33 244 34 252 52652 50147 25 261 28 247 35 246 34 246 50147 47923 27 262 30 252 33 244 33 245 47923 45928 23 274 26 265 31 255 34 256 45928 44121 27 289 30 285 37 268 40 265 44121 42472 27 287 32 290 39 272 47 270 42472 40942 25 289 25 287 36 272 43 270 40942 39500 20 278 21 280 32 269 39 263 39500 38131 17 268 23 274 30 265 37 262 38131 36801 15 255 24 262 28 266 34 261 36801 35443 15 256 21 255 27 265 31 260 35443 34027 15 265 20 252 26 262 28 256 34027 32559 13 271 21 248 23 260 27 251 32559 31023 15 258 19 250 21 257 24 247 31023 29407 19 238 15 238 21 250 23 245 29407 27710 23 227 21 224 23 239 24 242 27710 25936 23 226 23 224 25 242 25 241 25936 24085 18 226 21 227 24 244 24 244 24085 22157 17 226 19 225 21 234 23 243 22157 20145 18 226 20 217 20 224 23 235 20145 18049 15 219 20 212 19 219 22 228 18049 15912 13 207 20 205 19 214 21 228 15912 13849 17 211 22 206 19 212 17 228 13849 11971 20 216 21 212 17 215 14 214 11971 10299 21 227 19 214 17 222 14 210 10299 8811 25 236 20 219 19 225 15 214 8811 7485 27 234 21 230 19 226 16 216 7485 6304 24 226 21 226 19 226 17 222 6304 5260 21 219 21 222 18 229 15 228 5260 4342 18 212 20 224 16 234 13 239 4342 3534 15 208 18 229 14 240 12 264 3534 2814 12 211 15*238 14 255 14 287 2814 2182 9*222 12*257 14 269 16 297 2182 1658 4*247 12 267 13*272 15 292 1658 1260 4 254 12 268 12*271 12 268 1260 988 4 253 12 270 12 271 10 251 988 824 4 254 11 270 11 270 8 245 824 729 3 253 9 270 9 270 5*242 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography