DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/27 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.2 - - 56.5 - - 63.0 - - 60.4 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 118 - - 222 - - 35 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1583 - - 2888 - - 2245 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1145 - - 2422 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2295 - - 3600 - - 2958 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 973 - - 1009 - - 1106 - - 1406 - - 1247 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 234 - - 352 - - 177 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 229 - - 269 - - 294 - - 276 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -337 - - -1954 - - -1321 - - -708 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 2632 - - 5554 - - 4279 - - 1437 sfcLCL ODpotential -2498 - - -8991 - - -10340 - - -9526 - - -8694 ODpotential blCL 3226 - - 11286 - - 13940 - - 12484 - - 9423 blCL maxRH 93 - - 83 - - 71 - - 88 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.2 - - 56.5 - - 63.0 - - 60.4 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.1 - - 47.6 - - 41.3 - - 44.3 - - 48.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 55.8 - - 61.6 - - 60.4 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.1 - - 47.0 - - 40.7 - - 43.9 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 118 - - 222 - - 35 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1583 - - 2888 - - 2245 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 33 - - 0 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97114 14 269 29 267 22 285 20 278 25 279 97114 89856 13 300 12 263 23 282 14 292 23 279 89856 84269 15 292 8 328 19 283 12 277 17 299 84269 79619 12 278 7 303 13 286 13 284 12 289 79619 75604 12 278 9 249 9 275 14 266 16 278 75604 72060 15 275 9 253 8 263 15 244 16 274 72060 68839 15 272 11 269 10 267 12 261 10 259 68839 65858 15 283 15 276 14 276 14 289 8 255 65858 63079 20 290 19 277 19 273 22 283 14 286 63079 60377 22 277 21 272 23 266 27 273 20 292 60377 57559 25 274 22 270 25 266 28 274 22 281 57559 54645 31 281 26 278 29 264 31 279 25 282 54645 51873 38 288 31 284 33 264 36 280 27 287 51873 49390 41 287 38 286 39 272 42 280 32 289 49390 47179 43 288 44 287 42 277 48 280 38 287 47179 45195 45 289 51 290 49 285 56 282 45 280 45195 43402 47 289 59 289 60 285 63 278 52 267 43402 41764 47 293 62 285 65 281 63 274 54 263 41764 40246 48 299 62 284 67 280 61 273 54 262 40246 38820 54 305 62 282 67 281 55 276 54 265 38820 37471 55 306 59 282 64 281 54 296 54 268 37471 36162 49 302 58 285 60 282 60 301 50 271 36162 34828 47 297 55 286 59 284 59 298 48 283 34828 33438 45 290 51 285 58 287 60 296 49 290 33438 31994 46 284 48 283 57 291 60 292 48 291 31994 30483 46 280 46 284 54 290 55 283 48 289 30483 28891 44 277 46 289 52 282 55 278 50 286 28891 27220 43 273 46 286 50 277 53 280 48 284 27220 25467 42 269 45 281 49 279 45 280 45 286 25467 23635 42 272 44 277 47 279 40 278 41 288 23635 21730 41 279 43 276 44 280 39 279 38 289 21730 19745 39 285 42 275 41 281 39 281 37 286 19745 17673 37 292 39 276 42 278 40 280 33 292 17673 15556 34 290 37 282 41 283 38 288 27 298 15556 13513 31 288 31 284 35 285 35 299 26 298 13513 11653 27 290 26 288 30 286 30 305 27 301 11653 10003 23 294 23 294 25 293 25 309 20 303 10003 8545 18 291 18 297 20 296 19 310 12 302 8545 7255 15 284 13 295 14 300 11 305 8 297 7255 6115 11 279 10 300 10 310 6 294 6 314 6115 5112 9 273 9 308 10 323 5 305 6 347 5112 4232 11 281 11 302 9*321 7 303 7 003 4232 3457 14 294 12 298 8*307 9*292 6 004 3457 2765 17 298 12*291 8 300 10*283 5 345 2765 2154 17 295 11*275 8 295 11 278 6 321 2154 1644 14 289 10 269 8 291 11 276 6 304 1644 1253 11 277 10 267 8 287 11 274 6 285 1253 985 8 261 9 266 7 284 10 274 5 266 985 822 6 244 8 265 7 283 9 272 4*244 822 729 4*229 7 265 6 282 7 271 2*215 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography