DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.1 - - 76.6 - - 87.2 - - 81.2 - - 66.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 206 - - 335 - - 225 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 611 - - 1046 - - 678 - - 186 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 1223 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1325 - - 1760 - - 1392 - - 900 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 285 - - 273 - - 324 - - 348 - - 308 Hgt.Variab. W* 19 - - 206 - - 288 - - 218 - - 48 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 275 - - 264 - - 268 - - 273 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1281 - - -3691 - - -6944 - - -5835 - - -2179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2010 - - 5016 - - 8705 - - 7227 - - 3080 sfcLCL ODpotential -12909 - - -12263 - - -13014 - - -13214 - - -12918 ODpotential blCL 13638 - - 13588 - - 14774 - - 14606 - - 13818 blCL maxRH 71 - - 71 - - 68 - - 63 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.1 - - 76.6 - - 87.2 - - 81.2 - - 66.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.8 - - 57.6 - - 52.3 - - 52.8 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.4 - - 75.2 - - 85.0 - - 79.6 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.1 - - 56.8 - - 51.5 - - 52.2 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 206 - - 335 - - 225 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 611 - - 1046 - - 678 - - 186 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99347 28 096 33 110 29 112 27 125 18 092 99347 91853 29 103 26 112 24 113 25 116 21 097 91853 86057 30 101 23 116 23 115 23 103 23 104 86057 81238 27 092 25 103 24 107 23 091 24 105 81238 77095 22 097 18 106 22 101 21 089 20 096 77095 73454 17 092 17 117 15 091 22 092 13 090 73454 70165 12 099 13 104 11 119 15 063 17 086 70165 67143 8 110 9 083 13 109 9 096 9 047 67143 64354 8 060 7 084 6 060 10 101 3 136 64354 61667 6 357 5 089 3 357 4 039 6 101 61667 58882 6 309 1 319 4 304 6 327 6 020 58882 56019 9 270 3 307 4 286 4 283 6 329 56019 53308 9 253 8 246 11 253 13 264 9 282 53308 50885 13 260 12 242 17 239 19 242 17 252 50885 48718 18 242 18 242 21 235 21 232 19 242 48718 46747 19 239 22 238 26 238 24 235 21 243 46747 44935 23 236 27 234 30 235 26 230 23 237 44935 43254 24 238 27 232 31 232 29 229 26 231 43254 41683 22 242 25 233 29 231 33 226 32 225 41683 40202 22 246 23 237 27 232 31 224 32 218 40202 38797 21 250 20 239 24 233 28 222 31 215 38797 37433 20 256 16 240 19 235 24 220 28 210 37433 36042 18 263 14 246 15 235 20 219 23 213 36042 34596 13 260 11 244 11 239 18 219 19 219 34596 33100 11 245 10 233 11 231 17 220 17 223 33100 31541 11 246 10 236 11 225 15 222 17 222 31541 29902 9 247 11 243 11 239 12 234 16 215 29902 28182 9 251 11 242 10 249 10 251 16 214 28182 26378 8 261 9 232 9 240 10 241 14 228 26378 24497 7 269 6 230 9 224 11 237 13 232 24497 22541 6 299 5 260 7 223 11 240 13 234 22541 20502 10 239 10 269 5 270 7 229 12 240 20502 18375 12 187 11 211 10 241 7 251 8 233 18375 16208 7 174 8 186 9 197 8 242 8 232 16208 14114 5 295 4 282 4 232 6 247 7 248 14114 12201 6 310 5 305 5 280 5 268 9 286 12201 10492 8 309 6 296 5 280 6 287 11 303 10492 8970 8 313 6 305 5 298 6 300 8 305 8970 7614 8 327 5 309 5 308 6 308 5 288 7614 6410 6 347 4 308 5 300 6 304 6 284 6410 5345 5 359 3 309 5 299 7 301 7 291 5345 4409 4 013 3 308 5 297 8 302 9 296 4409 3584 3 013 2 293 5 293 9 302 11 294 3584 2849 2 349 3 257 6 274 10 288 13 285 2849 2203 3 270 7 242 8*264 12 273 15 273 2203 1670 8 238 8*249 8*268 12*272 15 265 1670 1266 11 244 7*263 8 268 11*273 13 263 1266 991 9 250 6 264 8 268 11 273 11*264 991 825 6 259 6 265 8 267 10 272 9*263 825 730 3*275 5 264 7 267 8 272 7 263 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography