DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.9 - - 84.5 - - 92.1 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 190 - - 310 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 717 - - 1508 - - - - - 148 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 1539 - - - - - 714 Hcrit BL Top 730 - - 1431 - - 2223 - - - - - 862 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 229 - - 602 - - 1371 - - - - - 460 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 213 - - 319 - - - - - 30 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction 283 - - 263 - - 285 - - - - - 255 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5507 - - -7608 - - -8997 - - - - - -6002 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6237 - - 9040 - - 11221 - - - - - 6864 sfcLCL ODpotential -12750 - - -12530 - - -12678 - - - - - -12874 ODpotential blCL 13480 - - 13961 - - 14901 - - - - - 13736 blCL maxRH 50 - - 66 - - 76 - - - - - 51 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 130 - - 230 - - - - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 71.9 - - 84.5 - - 92.1 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.0 - - 48.0 - - 45.6 - - - - - 49.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.4 - - 83.2 - - 89.9 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.1 - - 46.9 - - 44.4 - - - - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 190 - - 310 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 717 - - 1508 - - - - - 148 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99412 43 107 36 104 47 106 37 108 99412 91907 49 108 35 118 37 112 37 106 91907 86116 46 105 39 124 27 122 32 103 86116 81306 32 098 30 111 29 117 30 103 81306 77174 22 105 27 109 27 116 29 102 77174 73536 18 110 29 107 24 121 24 102 73536 70250 15 105 24 103 20 122 20 117 70250 67235 12 090 17 115 22 131 14 125 67235 64451 10 132 13 119 16 138 13 145 64451 61763 17 157 10 171 10 151 15 143 61763 58961 24 165 19 189 15 200 13 172 58961 56061 26 171 31 185 30 204 18 207 56061 53299 25 175 33 179 39 197 31 211 53299 50814 26 198 38 188 47 189 43 201 50814 48582 42 202 44 196 50 210 50 219 48582 46562 58 204 66 208 76 209 77 220 46562 44727 70 198 76 201 80 199 86 210 44727 43033 73 193 72 191 66 196 70 204 43033 41452 68 196 59 196 61 211 63 212 41452 39968 65 204 59 203 64 211 64 219 39968 38568 63 204 61 203 65 205 65 219 38568 37212 61 200 61 199 65 201 65 217 37212 35832 56 200 59 196 64 200 61 216 35832 34397 51 204 57 199 62 200 58 219 34397 32912 49 206 55 204 59 204 56 223 32912 31360 49 208 55 206 58 207 55 227 31360 29725 49 208 53 209 59 207 53 229 29725 28008 47 208 51 207 56 210 52 227 28008 26212 41 210 48 208 52 211 49 228 26212 24336 30 206 37 217 43 218 44 233 24336 22387 23 213 28 211 27 221 34 237 22387 20366 17 221 19 211 21 216 23 202 20366 18261 15 219 16 214 18 210 23 196 18261 16110 11 214 14 214 16 212 19 212 16110 14033 6 219 10 201 14 211 14 218 14033 12142 3 316 6 177 11 201 9 221 12142 10456 3 338 4 199 7 195 5 224 10456 8951 3 336 5 273 4 223 3 194 8951 7610 4 324 5 286 3 279 3 184 7610 6416 5 319 2 319 1 295 0 181 6416 5358 6 310 4 356 2 022 3 343 5358 4426 6 308 6 357 3 000 5 329 4426 3602 6 304 6 350 4 334 7 313 3602 2868 6 300 5 338 6 306 12 305 2868 2221 6 286 4 300 7*293 14 305 2221 1684 7 265 5*270 8*288 12 298 1684 1275 7 249 5*265 8 286 9 273 1275 996 6 243 5 263 8 285 8*259 996 827 4*244 5 262 8 283 7*257 827 730 1*283 4 262 7 283 5 254 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography