DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.8 - - 67.6 - - 71.8 - - - - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 50 - - 309 - - 437 - - - - - 47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 768 - - 1002 - - - - - 547 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 1002 - - 1242 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1481 - - 1715 - - - - - 1259 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 762 - - 374 - - 271 - - - - - 298 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 252 - - 308 - - - - - 120 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction 259 - - 263 - - 272 - - - - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1374 - - -2263 - - - - - -622 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 2855 - - 3978 - - - - - 1881 sfcLCL ODpotential -54 - - -11245 - - -10882 - - - - - -11817 ODpotential blCL 783 - - 12726 - - 12597 - - - - - 13076 blCL maxRH 100 - - 92 - - 94 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.8 - - 67.6 - - 71.8 - - - - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.2 - - 57.5 - - 57.0 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.4 - - 65.6 - - 69.3 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.2 - - 57.0 - - 56.5 - - - - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 50 - - 309 - - 437 - - - - - 47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 768 - - 1002 - - - - - 547 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 67 - - 75 - - - - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99437 36 097 42 110 31 116 26 097 99437 91899 40 100 36 100 33 109 30 102 91899 86085 38 098 27 098 31 098 31 101 86085 81276 30 097 23 112 25 086 30 103 81276 77153 27 094 23 106 18 105 23 091 77153 73519 21 091 25 114 16 122 17 086 73519 70238 18 092 21 105 18 113 15 101 70238 67237 11 105 21 083 20 103 19 115 67237 64471 11 119 10 106 11 105 19 098 64471 61800 12 149 10 148 10 123 13 080 61800 59030 12 169 19 185 11 185 1 166 59030 56174 16 181 26 188 24 196 14 199 56174 53463 24 217 33 199 36 200 26 197 53463 51042 42 223 41 205 46 205 37 198 51042 48887 55 216 47 211 50 207 41 205 48887 46927 59 217 54 209 53 208 44 213 46927 45115 62 216 56 213 54 213 50 215 45115 43424 61 220 58 214 53 213 57 211 43424 41841 62 226 59 214 53 212 59 208 41841 40345 65 227 58 218 56 207 56 211 40345 38924 67 224 58 220 59 208 52 212 38924 37543 69 228 57 220 58 211 52 210 37543 36134 67 232 58 220 57 217 54 208 36134 34667 59 228 58 219 58 218 56 207 34667 33144 55 227 59 218 58 216 54 210 33144 31553 51 226 62 216 56 214 48 213 31553 29882 50 223 58 212 51 215 39 211 29882 28130 43 219 43 207 42 219 34 202 28130 26298 39 216 36 209 39 205 32 190 26298 24390 37 210 37 204 36 195 28 179 24390 22411 34 201 36 202 31 192 28 176 22411 20362 32 193 33 198 29 188 30 179 20362 18230 31 186 30 192 28 185 29 175 18230 16054 27 185 27 187 26 183 26 168 16054 13954 20 187 23 183 22 180 22 164 13954 12041 15 197 17 184 16 178 19 169 12041 10340 11 203 11 186 11 181 17 182 10340 8830 8 200 8 179 9 182 15 192 8830 7491 6 188 8 173 9 186 14 199 7491 6305 6 180 9 170 10 194 14 208 6305 5258 6 179 9 171 11 201 14 217 5258 4338 6 182 9 177 12 209 14 220 4338 3528 8 188 9 192 12 221 14 219 3528 2805 10 200 9 210 13 232 15 225 2805 2173 11 245 8 245 12*255 15 252 2173 1653 12 268 8*263 12*270 15*269 1653 1258 9 266 8*264 12 272 14*274 1258 987 7 261 8 263 12 272 12 275 987 823 6*259 7 263 11 273 11 275 823 729 5*259 6 263 9 272 8 275 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography