DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/26 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 68.0 - - - - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 444 - - - - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1407 - - 2024 - - - - - 332 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1400 - - 1995 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2119 - - 2737 - - - - - 1045 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 436 - - 536 - - - - - 1356 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 392 - - - - - 103 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 275 - - - - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 302 - - -143 - - - - - 142 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1817 - - 2880 - - - - - 904 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 460 - - -4368 - - - - - -38 ODpotential blCL - - - 1659 - - 7105 - - - - - 1083 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 68.0 - - - - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - - - - 57.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 65.8 - - - - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.5 - - 57.4 - - - - - 57.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 444 - - - - - 49 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1407 - - 2024 - - - - - 332 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 89 - - - - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98980 30 121 27 113 32 104 98980 91515 29 110 24 131 28 085 91515 85770 25 108 21 119 20 089 85770 80989 17 107 17 098 15 112 80989 76859 13 132 10 109 16 118 76859 73195 12 130 11 126 12 097 73195 69876 7 102 12 100 6 078 69876 66841 1 138 6 080 5 103 66841 64048 4 194 2 214 4 008 64048 61354 4 244 7 238 7 302 61354 58545 13 292 13 265 16 299 58545 55643 20 288 16 287 23 293 55643 52883 30 285 22 293 35 317 52883 50431 32 282 28 305 49 309 50431 48262 37 305 49 307 47 308 48262 46285 51 296 45 315 50 313 46285 44465 48 298 50 326 48 321 44465 42780 48 319 60 324 54 329 42780 41210 64 328 52 321 73 338 41210 39738 70 323 55 339 81 331 39738 38349 67 320 74 348 80 327 38349 37003 68 320 77 338 76 323 37003 35630 74 323 74 327 71 320 35630 34199 77 325 74 324 68 318 34199 32712 77 325 76 325 65 316 32712 31153 77 328 79 329 63 317 31153 29510 70 327 75 333 63 323 29510 27781 59 309 65 328 60 322 27781 25968 58 290 60 321 58 316 25968 24073 61 285 54 314 61 312 24073 22101 57 286 52 308 59 314 22101 20050 49 287 47 312 49 312 20050 17922 41 288 35 303 42 305 17922 15764 33 275 30 287 36 304 15764 13692 28 268 29 286 29 294 13692 11814 26 272 24 292 26 294 11814 10150 23 276 20 291 20 298 10150 8676 20 284 18 294 16 294 8676 7367 18 294 15 299 14 288 7367 6206 18 302 15 297 15 285 6206 5179 18 308 16 295 15 286 5179 4276 18 314 17 294 17 292 4276 3485 20 313 19 289 22 292 3485 2783 20 304 19*281 24 286 2783 2165 17*281 19*277 23 282 2165 1651 15*266 19 276 19 277 1651 1258 15 263 19 274 17*273 1258 987 14 262 17 273 15*271 987 823 13 261 16 272 13 270 823 729 10 260 13 272 10 269 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography