DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 67.6 - - 65.3 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 82 - - 3 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 110 - - 526 - - 446 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 823 - - 1240 - - 1159 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 235 - - 562 - - 794 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 53 - - 150 - - 65 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 080 - - 081 - - 059 - - 062 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -3 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3641 - - -3690 - - -2494 - - -1465 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4464 - - 4930 - - 3653 - - 2194 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9639 - - -7331 - - -6746 - - -8240 ODpotential blCL - - - 10462 - - 8571 - - 7905 - - 8969 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 50 - - 60 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 67.6 - - 65.3 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.9 - - 48.9 - - 51.9 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.3 - - 66.9 - - 65.4 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 47.6 - - 51.0 - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 10 - - 82 - - 3 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 110 - - 526 - - 446 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96160 11 349 19 351 6 001 3 342 96160 89128 15 070 5 068 14 042 15 075 89128 83694 18 078 9 140 8 018 7 019 83694 79155 12 040 6 068 5 036 5 061 79155 75233 2 181 7 043 2 082 9 079 75233 71776 6 164 5 082 5 120 5 088 71776 68646 5 117 6 090 11 101 6 156 68646 65764 5 110 7 212 7 098 7 144 65764 63082 13 147 13 214 3 212 5 150 63082 60467 16 107 13 176 8 180 9 166 60467 57725 14 094 17 124 13 159 13 161 57725 54868 11 101 22 107 19 160 15 168 54868 52120 14 136 25 107 24 147 19 178 52120 49620 24 144 21 120 22 144 20 178 49620 47365 25 142 23 137 16 156 16 173 47365 45313 24 144 24 139 14 175 14 172 45313 43436 23 144 24 153 18 175 15 187 43436 41703 40 147 32 165 24 153 25 178 41703 40098 54 148 43 160 32 165 36 157 40098 38614 63 154 55 158 55 167 42 161 38614 37237 73 151 69 156 69 158 60 163 37237 35928 73 146 73 153 74 153 81 152 35928 34608 68 144 71 149 72 151 74 150 34608 33234 67 149 71 147 70 152 65 151 33234 31808 62 151 69 148 69 152 60 153 31808 30313 59 149 65 150 69 150 57 153 30313 28738 56 152 60 150 69 148 55 153 28738 27084 54 152 58 151 65 150 49 151 27084 25350 53 152 57 152 53 153 46 154 25350 23541 49 157 50 155 46 152 45 156 23541 21662 41 163 40 155 40 150 45 149 21662 19705 34 162 35 152 38 151 43 146 19705 17662 32 161 33 157 39 158 38 154 17662 15577 30 165 28 167 34 164 29 166 15577 13568 26 168 21 174 24 170 20 178 13568 11739 22 167 18 174 18 176 16 180 11739 10111 20 172 14 180 17 178 16 177 10111 8660 17 179 13 196 17 182 15 172 8660 7367 17 177 13 202 17 185 14 164 7367 6217 18 176 12 206 15 180 12 155 6217 5198 18 177 13 217 13 175 10 153 5198 4301 18 182 12 222 10 175 8 153 4301 3509 18 188 10 214 7 180 6 156 3509 2801 18 189 8 195 3 177 4 159 2801 2175 16 186 7 184 2 068 5 154 2175 1655 13 177 5 145 5 061 7 126 1655 1258 9 138 6*089 7*059 9 097 1258 986 9*088 6*082 7*059 11 077 986 822 9*081 5 080 7 059 9*067 822 729 7 079 4 080 5 060 5*062 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography