DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 70.4 - - 69.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 489 - - 314 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1981 - - 2269 - - 1819 - - 809 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1891 - - 2202 - - 1755 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2694 - - 2982 - - 2532 - - 1522 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 620 - - 782 - - 676 - - 590 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 354 - - 420 - - 337 - - 130 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 272 - - 280 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -368 - - -1208 - - -1641 - - -780 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3062 - - 4190 - - 4173 - - 2302 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8394 - - -7203 - - -9966 - - -10301 ODpotential blCL - - - 11088 - - 10185 - - 12498 - - 11823 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 80 - - 77 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.1 - - 70.4 - - 69.1 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.1 - - 54.5 - - 53.3 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 67.8 - - 67.2 - - 60.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 54.0 - - 53.0 - - 53.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 331 - - 489 - - 314 - - 40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1981 - - 2269 - - 1819 - - 809 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 22 - - 7 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98874 30 100 29 114 21 116 23 102 98874 91340 21 091 27 099 24 111 21 098 91340 85559 23 113 18 090 24 093 22 101 85559 80782 19 113 13 089 17 081 21 090 80782 76684 17 103 7 120 12 069 18 079 76684 73067 10 113 6 145 7 050 17 069 73067 69792 12 100 10 147 2 155 6 052 69792 66791 7 073 8 127 5 151 4 155 66791 64027 0 101 8 156 5 164 2 118 64027 61350 10 243 7 240 5 261 3 342 61350 58561 14 247 14 229 14 249 13 274 58561 55688 14 263 17 246 19 258 21 266 55688 52954 30 269 28 256 29 256 28 259 52954 50492 39 258 37 256 35 259 37 265 50492 48283 49 264 47 258 48 262 46 267 48283 46276 61 266 59 260 57 262 56 272 46276 44437 70 264 67 261 59 263 61 273 44437 42738 76 262 68 260 61 264 60 274 42738 41156 78 261 70 257 61 264 56 275 41156 39674 77 260 70 255 60 262 53 276 39674 38276 72 262 71 256 51 264 48 279 38276 36922 67 264 66 258 40 274 46 281 36922 35546 60 264 55 259 36 281 44 283 35546 34119 55 265 45 259 34 283 42 282 34119 32642 55 266 42 261 34 281 41 281 32642 31098 54 266 43 262 35 276 40 281 31098 29473 53 269 43 262 37 269 39 279 29473 27765 50 273 41 264 38 264 38 276 27765 25971 39 274 37 267 37 263 38 274 25971 24097 29 271 31 266 31 263 34 272 24097 22151 23 269 26 265 24 265 27 266 22151 20125 18 268 20 258 19 260 20 264 20125 18011 18 262 16 252 14 250 14 249 18011 15850 17 247 14 238 13 239 11 240 15850 13767 13 244 14 224 12 230 7 229 13767 11877 8 220 11 218 10 225 5 231 11877 10206 5 242 9 263 9 271 4 313 10206 8724 5 268 8 269 9 286 8 316 8724 7407 3 218 3 246 5 280 7 319 7407 6238 8 165 5 166 3 218 4 306 6238 5203 12 161 10 167 6 187 4 255 5203 4295 12 166 10 176 7 204 5 250 4295 3497 9 180 7*213 7 234 8 254 3497 2788 6*233 9*264 11*274 12 270 2788 2167 7*255 11 272 13*280 15 279 2167 1652 7 258 11 274 13 280 15*280 1652 1258 7 259 12 273 13 280 14*279 1258 988 7 260 11 274 13 280 13 278 988 823 7 260 11 273 12 280 11 278 823 729 6 260 9 273 10 279 8 276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography