DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 69.6 - - 67.2 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 345 - - 157 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 1608 - - 1186 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1060 - - 1628 - - 1017 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1738 - - 2321 - - 1899 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 459 - - 610 - - 616 - - 726 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 334 - - 232 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 259 - - 272 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1087 - - -2579 - - -2571 - - -934 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2826 - - 4900 - - 4470 - - 1663 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9560 - - -10589 - - -10166 - - -10038 ODpotential blCL - - - 11298 - - 12910 - - 12065 - - 10767 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 64 - - 64 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 69.6 - - 67.2 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 50.7 - - 50.3 - - 52.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 67.4 - - 66.2 - - 57.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 50.3 - - 50.1 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 207 - - 345 - - 157 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 1608 - - 1186 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98466 6 055 8 126 7 134 6 129 98466 91091 11 102 11 136 6 148 5 175 91091 85406 7 136 11 122 4 121 5 143 85406 80675 6 149 6 109 3 099 6 080 80675 76608 2 126 4 108 4 093 5 046 76608 73027 2 261 2 053 4 042 5 024 73027 69787 2 169 3 211 1 301 3 343 69787 66805 7 247 5 244 3 290 4 003 66805 64020 7 206 11 237 8 260 8 283 64020 61315 8 263 12 248 14 256 16 266 61315 58502 20 255 20 260 18 256 17 264 58502 55593 19 258 24 256 24 261 24 267 55593 52829 19 279 25 258 28 262 31 264 52829 50348 26 278 29 261 32 258 36 260 50348 48120 30 269 33 258 37 257 41 261 48120 46090 33 263 37 254 43 256 47 258 46090 44220 38 256 42 248 46 253 52 253 44220 42488 40 253 45 245 50 250 56 251 42488 40874 43 253 44 246 52 246 60 249 40874 39368 45 250 45 244 52 242 60 247 39368 37959 47 245 45 241 51 240 58 245 37959 36605 46 243 47 238 51 239 56 242 36605 35241 45 241 51 238 51 239 53 239 35241 33831 45 243 49 239 50 243 51 237 33831 32368 42 245 44 242 47 246 50 237 32368 30836 39 245 39 245 43 247 47 240 30836 29224 37 244 36 245 38 246 41 239 29224 27535 35 244 35 243 36 246 38 236 27535 25768 32 246 33 246 34 244 35 235 25768 23921 30 248 29 244 32 241 35 234 23921 21997 27 247 27 239 31 240 33 235 21997 19989 26 245 26 240 29 239 30 237 19989 17894 24 245 24 238 27 237 27 238 17894 15757 22 243 22 235 24 236 22 238 15757 13698 19 242 20 231 21 234 17 237 13698 11827 18 238 19 230 19 233 15 227 11827 10166 17 231 19 224 18 226 16 213 10166 8691 16 222 20 217 18 220 20 206 8691 7381 15 215 20 213 19 214 22 204 7381 6220 15 208 19 211 20 210 22 202 6220 5193 15 205 18 211 20 206 20 201 5193 4290 15 208 16 217 18 204 17 198 4290 3495 15 218 13 231 15 210 14 202 3495 2787 14 235 11*244 12 233 10 225 2787 2165 13*245 10*256 11*263 9 261 2165 1649 10*249 10 259 11*271 9 274 1649 1256 10 250 10 260 11 272 9 272 1256 986 9 250 10 261 11 272 7 268 986 823 8 251 9 261 10 272 6*263 823 729 7 250 8 261 8 272 3*260 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography