DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 74.3 - - 75.9 - - 63.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 399 - - 240 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 672 - - 1040 - - 980 - - 220 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1252 - - 1078 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1385 - - 1753 - - 1694 - - 934 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 359 - - 293 - - 282 - - 376 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 219 - - 303 - - 251 - - 50 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 269 - - 279 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -878 - - -2821 - - -3806 - - -1319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2263 - - 4574 - - 5500 - - 2253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10835 - - -10927 - - -12080 - - -12586 ODpotential blCL - - - 12220 - - 12680 - - 13774 - - 13520 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 65 - - 55 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.0 - - 74.3 - - 75.9 - - 63.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 57.0 - - 54.8 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 71.9 - - 74.2 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 56.6 - - 54.5 - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 230 - - 399 - - 240 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 672 - - 1040 - - 980 - - 220 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99296 28 109 26 098 33 110 24 111 99296 91796 24 101 29 106 27 103 26 104 91796 85998 21 103 23 105 25 100 25 097 85998 81204 21 105 16 100 18 093 22 090 81204 77097 20 098 14 107 13 096 18 077 77097 73473 17 090 18 126 13 090 16 078 73473 70189 19 094 11 126 9 069 18 078 70189 67182 15 067 15 122 7 091 10 081 67182 64416 10 108 10 093 6 086 9 097 64416 61747 6 154 3 139 5 168 5 129 61747 58961 14 206 13 201 9 202 6 177 58961 56080 15 206 20 217 15 209 16 204 56080 53338 20 227 24 229 24 216 21 213 53338 50865 38 237 40 226 37 228 35 230 50865 48658 50 234 47 231 52 232 51 235 48658 46679 54 238 50 233 58 235 62 234 46679 44880 62 246 51 235 60 236 63 232 44880 43215 66 243 57 238 61 238 61 235 43215 41655 64 239 59 238 60 239 60 237 41655 40182 63 241 57 237 58 239 57 236 40182 38785 62 242 53 236 56 237 57 237 38785 37428 61 240 50 236 51 235 56 238 37428 36042 59 239 48 238 49 236 52 237 36042 34600 56 239 47 239 48 238 46 236 34600 33104 52 239 46 239 46 238 40 235 33104 31539 44 240 41 241 44 241 35 238 31539 29892 38 237 37 244 40 244 35 240 29892 28164 34 235 37 239 35 238 34 238 28164 26353 33 234 30 230 32 231 31 235 26353 24462 31 234 29 221 27 221 29 234 24462 22494 28 245 28 231 21 226 25 226 22494 20444 29 245 27 235 21 232 21 220 20444 18305 24 242 26 236 22 236 21 225 18305 16122 17 231 18 238 18 249 19 243 16122 14017 14 237 15 242 13 246 14 250 14017 12101 12 250 13 256 10 256 10 260 12101 10397 8 248 9 247 7 256 5 263 10397 8885 7 242 8 246 6 259 3 281 8885 7541 4 247 6 262 6 282 2 318 7541 6351 2 251 4 270 5 296 3 322 6351 5299 1 176 3 265 5 289 4 311 5299 4373 2 157 3 266 5 285 5 301 4373 3558 2 200 4 277 5 285 7 295 3558 2830 4 245 6 281 7 277 8 285 2830 2191 8 262 7*274 9*277 10 278 2191 1663 9*261 7*271 10*280 11 273 1663 1263 8*261 7 269 10 280 11 269 1263 989 8 261 7 268 10 279 10*268 989 824 7 260 7 267 9 278 8*268 824 730 6 260 6 266 8 278 6 266 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography