DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.7 - - 60.6 - - 67.2 - - 70.0 - - 59.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 164 - - 197 - - 41 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1703 - - 1794 - - 1954 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1446 - - 1586 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2416 - - 2507 - - 2667 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 452 - - 850 - - 1006 - - 1475 - - 945 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 267 - - 288 - - 177 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 043 - - 071 - - 357 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -3 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -427 - - -1412 - - -2780 - - -3288 - - -3033 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1155 - - 3829 - - 5287 - - 5955 - - 3762 sfcLCL ODpotential -8564 - - -6663 - - -6589 - - -6654 - - -8583 ODpotential blCL 9292 - - 9079 - - 9096 - - 9321 - - 9312 blCL maxRH 78 - - 74 - - 81 - - 85 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.7 - - 60.6 - - 67.2 - - 70.0 - - 59.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.2 - - 46.4 - - 46.6 - - 46.5 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.6 - - 59.4 - - 65.8 - - 69.7 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.7 - - 45.9 - - 46.1 - - 46.1 - - 45.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 164 - - 197 - - 41 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1703 - - 1794 - - 1954 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 12 - - 0 - - 25 - - 38 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97684 11 321 16 285 23 311 18 313 15 319 97684 90388 9 332 10 282 14 292 15 315 13 316 90388 84755 6 327 8 300 5 252 11 291 13 297 84755 80087 3 305 8 248 7 248 11 309 6 300 80087 76069 2 303 3 152 7 223 11 283 4 262 76069 72528 2 297 3 043 4 124 7 182 7 218 72528 69316 2 310 4 157 7 247 2 188 5 257 69316 66341 9 241 5 190 15 211 13 226 14 234 66341 63566 8 208 11 223 16 210 20 220 18 221 63566 60861 14 195 20 212 18 211 21 207 18 213 60861 58027 19 210 22 204 21 214 22 211 24 208 58027 55076 26 228 27 206 31 206 28 212 29 200 55076 52249 35 231 37 208 39 211 35 207 37 206 52249 49707 44 221 49 212 45 214 46 210 45 191 49707 47425 51 220 59 210 63 216 54 204 35 202 47425 45344 62 222 64 211 68 208 50 211 52 221 45344 43436 71 215 68 208 63 203 64 214 70 211 43436 41677 77 214 67 209 66 208 76 211 76 199 41677 40043 83 213 76 209 77 206 77 203 60 193 40043 38524 73 210 78 205 77 201 66 197 59 202 38524 37110 68 218 70 205 72 203 59 202 63 204 37110 35760 79 223 74 211 78 207 70 205 69 203 35760 34407 84 217 78 209 80 204 74 199 72 198 34407 33024 80 211 74 204 71 199 68 195 66 192 33024 31608 68 203 69 200 62 195 60 192 58 188 31608 30132 64 201 64 196 58 192 54 187 55 184 30132 28577 61 199 59 192 54 188 53 187 54 182 28577 26940 55 199 55 192 51 187 55 186 53 183 26940 25223 51 200 51 194 50 189 51 184 51 179 25223 23433 48 198 49 193 48 189 46 181 49 175 23433 21570 47 196 48 191 47 187 43 179 45 171 21570 19628 43 193 45 188 43 184 39 177 43 167 19628 17600 39 192 40 186 38 180 36 171 40 161 17600 15530 37 193 36 187 37 175 36 166 40 158 15530 13532 35 195 35 189 37 173 35 162 39 156 13532 11707 34 195 37 190 37 174 33 160 35 159 11707 10080 33 194 38 190 35 176 29 160 29 163 10080 8631 32 194 36 189 32 177 26 163 23 167 8631 7340 29 193 33 188 30 178 22 169 18 169 7340 6193 25 190 30 185 27 179 19 175 14 171 6193 5176 20 185 26 182 24 178 15 174 9 168 5176 4281 14 186 21 182 20 175 9 170 5 140 4281 3492 5 197 10 180 12 169 1 121 5 083 3492 2790 2 317 2*078 4*107 3*006 7 055 2790 2171 4 331 4*047 5*074 3*003 8 042 2171 1655 3 317 4 043 5 071 3 358 7 025 1655 1260 3 280 4 042 5 071 3 356 6 004 1260 988 3 229 4 043 5 070 3 353 4 351 988 823 2*202 3 042 5 072 3 353 3 338 823 729 1*160 3 041 4 071 2 350 1*319 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography