DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 59.6 - - 58.2 - - 51.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 63 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 239 - - 1052 - - 133 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 951 - - 1765 - - 846 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 588 - - 813 - - 1468 - - 630 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 80 - - 172 - - 23 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 278 - - 323 - - 255 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1126 - - -1445 - - -1402 - - -354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2077 - - 3210 - - 2248 - - 1083 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12105 - - -11026 - - -11044 - - -10765 ODpotential blCL - - - 13056 - - 12791 - - 11890 - - 11494 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 68 - - 84 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 59.6 - - 58.2 - - 51.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 48.3 - - 51.1 - - 49.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 59.2 - - 58.8 - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 47.0 - - 49.9 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 63 - - -2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 239 - - 1052 - - 133 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 10 - - 0 - - 37 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96199 15 075 4 047 9 084 11 094 96199 89194 12 065 7 040 8 036 10 086 89194 83756 2 018 5 348 7 022 6 062 83756 79218 11 003 5 315 12 022 5 014 79218 75293 8 346 13 321 17 344 10 322 75293 71815 17 345 17 306 19 330 18 341 71815 68661 24 332 17 321 21 323 28 333 68661 65771 24 323 22 311 23 305 30 315 65771 63105 33 325 25 310 24 306 27 298 63105 60521 38 314 33 317 26 324 22 299 60521 57817 40 307 45 313 37 316 29 303 57817 54998 47 312 52 301 40 302 34 296 54998 52302 60 315 58 295 50 301 46 302 52302 49877 67 305 67 296 71 296 63 296 49877 47702 63 299 66 293 73 289 68 294 47702 45726 62 296 64 291 68 288 72 289 45726 43922 62 294 62 293 61 287 66 280 43922 42274 60 294 58 297 56 286 62 281 42274 40747 61 295 55 296 54 281 64 276 40747 39308 61 295 58 296 55 279 63 275 39308 37940 60 296 63 291 55 279 64 274 37940 36609 61 296 64 289 56 278 66 271 36609 35246 62 295 60 288 58 276 65 272 35246 33825 62 295 58 284 61 273 63 273 33825 32350 58 294 60 281 60 275 60 272 32350 30811 63 291 64 282 60 277 59 271 30811 29196 67 291 63 285 61 277 59 272 29196 27506 66 292 62 286 61 279 57 273 27506 25738 64 293 61 286 59 280 55 272 25738 23892 63 292 61 286 58 280 56 271 23892 21967 60 293 57 286 58 280 58 273 21967 19958 52 294 51 286 56 280 57 276 19958 17865 47 292 45 286 50 278 52 279 17865 15731 46 292 45 285 47 280 48 279 15731 13669 44 291 45 288 47 282 46 282 13669 11791 36 292 40 290 43 286 42 286 11791 10123 27 291 32 286 34 288 36 288 10123 8646 23 288 25 280 29 282 29 280 8646 7337 20 287 21 281 25 278 25 270 7337 6180 15 286 18 283 18 273 23 258 6180 5159 11 294 11 287 13 276 18 242 5159 4264 11 314 8 311 10 287 14 232 4264 3477 9 318 10 335 8 303 10 245 3477 2776 8 306 10 340 9 317 9 262 2776 2159 6 290 6*343 5 322 8 263 2159 1645 5 276 3*332 2 305 8 255 1645 1253 3 268 3 324 2 269 7 250 1253 985 2*265 2 320 2*260 7 250 985 822 1*279 2 317 2*255 5*247 822 729 1 277 2 315 1 256 3*257 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography