DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 49.9 - - 48.2 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 74 - - 22 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1081 - - 1762 - - 456 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1793 - - 2474 - - 1167 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1817 - - 1908 - - 3189 - - 3395 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 129 - - 214 - - 92 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 16 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 358 - - 340 - - 283 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 573 - - 989 - - 137 - - -184 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1220 - - 1485 - - 1030 - - 913 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 126 - - 381 - - -230 - - -834 ODpotential blCL - - - 1667 - - 2093 - - 1397 - - 1562 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 100 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.1 - - 49.9 - - 48.2 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 45.5 - - 45.8 - - 45.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 49.3 - - 48.1 - - 47.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.4 - - 44.6 - - 45.5 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 25 - - 74 - - 22 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1081 - - 1762 - - 456 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 96 - - 101 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96641 31 088 29 103 33 096 38 107 96641 89493 24 099 20 114 22 115 28 102 89493 83923 15 098 15 115 16 113 15 100 83923 79301 12 125 7 132 5 118 4 086 79301 75308 12 154 7 166 4 184 1 080 75308 71746 10 190 7 204 5 231 6 235 71746 68487 11 235 14 217 13 241 14 248 68487 65472 19 228 18 233 20 233 24 227 65472 62668 22 246 23 229 15 225 25 212 62668 59928 26 225 24 256 21 263 20 240 59928 57043 28 231 36 248 34 249 31 252 57043 54034 32 239 38 240 41 247 36 257 54034 51149 38 242 38 246 46 250 42 265 51149 48548 39 237 46 248 50 251 49 266 48548 46218 41 239 52 245 52 251 53 264 46218 44107 50 238 54 243 54 251 56 263 44107 42178 57 235 55 239 57 249 56 263 42178 40403 60 232 56 235 58 247 58 262 40403 38760 61 233 55 232 57 246 56 258 38760 37231 63 235 53 229 56 243 54 257 37231 35803 69 233 54 227 52 237 52 254 35803 34437 79 226 58 224 49 234 49 257 34437 33068 90 219 65 219 44 230 51 256 33068 31666 100 213 68 210 36 225 45 249 31666 30239 100 205 70 198 30 221 34 246 30239 28781 92 199 79 191 31 211 23 265 28781 27285 83 199 71 190 22 197 19 284 27285 25732 67 198 53 189 5 227 11 302 25732 24105 52 195 40 191 3 204 12 284 24105 22402 46 195 30 192 5 220 18 288 22402 20625 42 199 25 186 7 233 20 287 20625 18768 40 204 21 189 8 239 20 284 18768 16827 33 205 26 201 9 249 19 281 16827 14844 23 204 34 202 9 269 19 280 14844 12929 17 201 38 199 14 306 20 287 12929 11186 16 197 31 205 19 322 24 297 11186 9638 20 191 19 212 22 323 28 300 9638 8265 21 182 13 197 26 318 31 301 8265 7044 16 168 8 184 29 311 33 301 7044 5958 10 135 2 148 31 306 32 303 5958 4994 9 098 4 042 31 302 30 306 4994 4144 9 065 9 008 30 300 29 306 4144 3392 12 027 14 352 28 298 28 305 3392 2718 16 008 18*344 27 297 27 301 2718 2122 17*003 18*343 24 294 24 295 2122 1624 16*001 17 341 21 290 20 284 1624 1242 15 359 17 340 18*286 16 271 1242 979 13 357 15 339 16*285 13 263 979 820 11 356 13 337 14 283 11 259 820 728 8 355 9 335 10 281 7*257 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography