DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 51.7 - - 51.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 33 - - 23 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 549 - - 1094 - - 1418 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1261 - - 1806 - - 2130 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2022 - - 2168 - - 2055 - - 3674 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 139 - - 136 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 267 - - 268 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 375 - - 577 - - 762 - - -842 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 886 - - 1229 - - 1368 - - 1570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 114 - - 262 - - 420 - - -1246 ODpotential blCL - - - 1147 - - 1544 - - 1710 - - 1974 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 30 - - 60 - - 50 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 51.7 - - 51.7 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.6 - - 48.8 - - 48.1 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 51.4 - - 51.6 - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 48.2 - - 47.6 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 33 - - 23 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 549 - - 1094 - - 1418 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97433 23 284 30 283 33 294 36 298 97433 90063 24 280 30 284 32 301 29 303 90063 84391 25 286 24 296 25 302 25 313 84391 79674 20 275 18 287 21 286 21 306 79674 75605 18 275 18 274 21 274 23 293 75605 72018 21 282 23 281 20 274 24 277 72018 68771 19 266 27 271 23 278 22 270 68771 65773 18 262 26 263 26 281 21 269 65773 62972 20 264 26 257 28 274 24 269 62972 60244 18 268 24 246 30 257 30 268 60244 57397 22 274 21 257 29 257 32 268 57397 54440 33 272 28 275 28 266 31 266 54440 51604 39 265 35 272 31 269 31 264 51604 49045 35 261 36 264 35 265 33 266 49045 46754 34 261 35 261 36 262 34 269 46754 44678 37 257 36 259 33 258 34 269 44678 42782 38 256 36 251 32 257 33 266 42782 41040 39 257 36 251 31 252 30 264 41040 39432 39 255 34 243 26 251 26 262 39432 37941 43 253 35 239 26 245 22 262 37941 36551 47 244 43 229 25 241 19 263 36551 35223 48 238 42 217 23 235 14 254 35223 33887 52 236 38 214 21 226 9 235 33887 32515 52 235 36 220 14 215 4 161 32515 31110 42 230 29 225 8 173 10 097 31110 29648 34 224 21 222 8 138 8 099 29648 28106 28 222 18 212 8 182 6 084 28106 26485 21 224 20 217 9 206 7 025 26485 24782 19 232 21 227 9 226 6 343 24782 23003 15 231 17 219 11 236 8 326 23003 21151 4 240 11 181 10 220 1 314 21151 19222 4 108 12 124 10 135 6 111 19222 17215 5 115 11 099 15 100 16 057 17215 15168 5 140 5 074 15 069 15 027 15168 13193 6 178 3 257 13 021 10 010 13193 11396 9 188 7 250 10 346 6 003 11396 9798 10 187 7 240 5 300 4 337 9798 8379 9 189 7 222 6 252 5 322 8379 7122 9 195 10 194 10 206 7 261 7122 6009 9 218 8 196 14 206 13 221 6009 5028 11 268 8 222 14 230 17 225 5028 4168 13 272 10 240 14 249 18 243 4168 3410 15 267 12 256 14 262 18 257 3410 2731 15 264 12 261 14 266 17 261 2731 2131 15 261 12*264 13*267 17 262 2131 1631 14*259 12*266 13*268 16 262 1631 1246 13*257 11 267 12 268 14 261 1246 981 11 255 10 268 11 269 12 261 981 821 10 254 8 268 9 269 10 260 821 728 7 253 6 268 7 268 7*260 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography