DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 68.1 - - - - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 174 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1161 - - 2119 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1811 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1874 - - 2832 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 640 - - 891 - - - - - 2275 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 222 - - 303 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 033 - - 047 - - - - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4098 - - -4454 - - - - - -5061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5973 - - 7286 - - - - - 5791 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12371 - - -11539 - - - - - -12386 ODpotential blCL - - - 14245 - - 14371 - - - - - 13115 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 37 - - - - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 68.1 - - - - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.4 - - 39.1 - - - - - 39.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 67.0 - - - - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 37.8 - - - - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 174 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1161 - - 2119 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96854 32 274 40 269 42 270 96854 89594 29 247 35 271 29 272 89594 84048 15 219 23 258 21 274 84048 79470 8 231 12 250 18 266 79470 75535 10 260 13 281 14 269 75535 72055 13 270 18 282 8 292 72055 68892 13 269 18 273 14 301 68892 65975 12 288 17 276 20 291 65975 63264 15 298 18 296 19 286 63264 60628 19 282 21 298 21 289 60628 57867 20 272 27 290 23 287 57867 54991 24 283 30 281 26 286 54991 52229 28 289 32 283 30 276 52229 49725 34 287 37 281 32 273 49725 47467 36 286 37 283 33 273 47467 45413 39 288 40 283 35 274 45413 43537 40 284 38 282 36 271 43537 41824 37 281 36 281 32 273 41824 40261 32 283 34 279 34 278 40261 38822 26 280 33 273 32 271 38822 37483 22 281 30 271 29 266 37483 36187 22 287 25 272 26 274 36187 34862 22 293 21 280 24 279 34862 33481 23 298 19 293 20 288 33481 32047 24 303 20 299 18 296 32047 30545 25 307 20 300 16 303 30545 28965 25 313 20 316 16 317 28965 27304 23 316 18 317 15 337 27304 25562 22 330 15 315 16 340 25562 23740 23 339 14 323 17 332 23740 21839 23 343 16 333 15 343 21839 19853 20 351 14 346 13 005 19853 17779 16 351 11 004 10 022 17779 15665 13 358 10 004 7 039 15665 13628 14 023 9 013 6 067 13628 11773 15 039 10 039 7 097 11773 10122 14 040 10 046 8 112 10122 8654 9 040 9 041 8 129 8654 7352 7 030 7 034 7 143 7352 6200 8 020 7 041 6 151 6200 5182 10 018 9 046 4 145 5182 4288 12 025 11 048 4 083 4288 3502 16 032 14*044 7 052 3502 2799 19 030 14*045 9 045 2799 2179 17*029 13 046 9 039 2179 1661 11*031 13 047 7 036 1661 1263 10 033 12 048 6 029 1263 990 9 034 11 049 5 019 990 824 8 034 10 049 3 012 824 729 6 034 8 050 2*007 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography