DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.0 - - 62.2 - - 66.6 - - 65.7 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 25 - - 184 - - 234 - - 133 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 143 - - 1511 - - 2047 - - 1461 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 1359 - - 1828 - - 1124 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 856 - - 2224 - - 2760 - - 2174 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1186 - - 639 - - 1034 - - 886 - - 1247 Hgt.Variab. W* 62 - - 266 - - 318 - - 235 - - 14 W* B/S 2 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 249 - - 254 - - 278 - - 297 - - 294 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - -4 - - 4 - - -3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 127 - - 363 - - -230 - - -621 - - -245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 729 - - 1861 - - 2990 - - 2795 - - 974 sfcLCL ODpotential -56 - - 354 - - -2297 - - -3337 - - -3803 ODpotential blCL 912 - - 1870 - - 5057 - - 5511 - - 4532 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 91 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 250 - - 180 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 57.0 - - 62.2 - - 66.6 - - 65.7 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 56.3 - - 56.4 - - 55.8 - - 55.7 - - 57.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.8 - - 60.9 - - 65.1 - - 64.6 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 56.2 - - 56.0 - - 55.4 - - 55.5 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 25 - - 184 - - 234 - - 133 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 143 - - 1511 - - 2047 - - 1461 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 99 - - 96 - - 66 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98594 4 070 2 003 4 208 11 215 9 340 98594 91246 5 128 1 184 5 099 3 088 6 077 91246 85561 7 115 4 090 10 072 8 082 7 095 85561 80838 8 120 7 123 4 111 9 086 7 103 80838 76770 9 115 13 133 6 124 10 077 9 093 76770 73173 8 110 13 115 10 123 10 102 12 103 73173 69899 8 111 13 122 14 136 5 114 10 092 69899 66871 7 134 5 139 6 101 4 143 4 166 66871 64053 3 128 2 278 2 244 1 027 5 163 64053 61322 3 246 7 298 4 192 6 240 5 238 61322 58467 9 291 10 277 9 281 8 271 2 284 58467 55502 17 291 11 267 14 265 15 274 13 300 55502 52682 23 294 16 291 14 271 16 264 15 279 52682 50145 31 283 26 288 22 279 21 265 17 269 50145 47863 36 280 29 274 27 264 24 261 15 274 47863 45783 39 281 31 267 30 264 24 265 16 283 45783 43869 45 278 36 265 34 263 27 266 19 281 43869 42091 51 273 44 265 38 258 33 258 21 274 42091 40433 56 269 50 262 40 251 35 252 22 264 40433 38880 56 266 54 259 41 251 36 249 22 255 38880 37424 53 263 57 254 47 249 39 244 23 254 37424 36025 53 259 54 249 52 243 41 239 24 250 36025 34615 54 252 49 247 50 237 40 237 23 248 34615 33171 55 243 43 247 43 233 36 240 21 245 33171 31700 51 241 39 238 36 231 30 242 11 241 31700 30185 38 245 40 224 29 227 21 238 2 155 30185 28609 37 246 41 220 24 229 14 229 5 100 28609 26963 37 244 36 226 24 232 10 212 7 104 26963 25241 33 242 30 231 25 225 10 174 12 094 25241 23447 29 241 23 235 22 216 13 164 11 105 23447 21582 23 245 20 242 18 201 12 171 10 126 21582 19635 21 254 25 246 19 195 12 168 13 121 19635 17604 22 256 23 240 23 201 15 176 15 124 17604 15529 19 251 20 235 24 195 15 183 17 131 15529 13524 16 242 20 222 22 181 15 166 17 137 13524 11697 16 240 16 211 17 185 15 153 15 140 11697 10069 13 237 12 201 13 179 14 153 11 145 10069 8622 8 228 9 190 10 177 12 161 8 149 8622 7333 5 222 8 186 8 186 10 170 6 140 7333 6187 4 244 6 197 4 211 9 175 4 129 6187 5173 5 290 2 227 2 273 7 183 3 113 5173 4279 9 306 3 293 4 294 5 212 2 053 4279 3491 12 308 6 297 7 287 4 257 2 008 3491 2787 13 306 8*286 8*281 6*286 4 332 2787 2167 12 293 8*262 9*279 8*297 9 310 2167 1652 10 264 7 254 9 279 9 298 10 305 1652 1258 9 254 7 252 9 278 9 298 10 301 1258 988 8*251 7 250 9 277 9 297 9 299 988 823 7*250 7 250 8 276 8 296 7*297 823 729 5 249 6 249 7 276 7 295 5*294 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography