DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.4 - - 45.9 - - 46.4 - - 47.4 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 19 - - 75 - - 6 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1601 - - 1959 - - 1901 - - 972 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 711 - - 711 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2312 - - 2670 - - 2613 - - 1683 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3739 - - 2320 - - 2743 - - 3703 - - 1490 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 137 - - 221 - - 121 - - 134 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 26 - - 18 - - 18 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 268 - - 278 - - 236 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 22 - - 7 - - 15 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -597 - - 1024 - - 1075 - - 424 - - 580 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1325 - - 1288 - - 1595 - - 2189 - - 1103 sfcLCL ODpotential -1688 - - 412 - - 539 - - -539 - - 309 ODpotential blCL 2416 - - 1900 - - 2131 - - 3152 - - 1374 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 100 - - 93 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 160 - - 30 - - 140 - - 140 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 45.4 - - 45.9 - - 46.4 - - 47.4 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.1 - - 42.7 - - 41.9 - - 40.1 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.7 - - 45.8 - - 46.0 - - 47.4 - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.8 - - 42.2 - - 41.0 - - 39.0 - - 37.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 19 - - 75 - - 6 - - 35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1601 - - 1959 - - 1901 - - 972 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 102 - - 101 - - 72 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96851 30 114 24 104 29 102 26 108 25 129 96851 89640 28 108 29 109 21 123 20 111 24 098 89640 84043 20 103 22 109 19 138 8 096 17 093 84043 79378 8 112 16 113 11 152 3 171 8 081 79378 75370 3 130 7 122 5 168 8 156 5 041 75370 71818 1 241 7 221 8 247 10 091 7 103 71818 68572 4 290 12 177 18 228 11 258 4 268 68572 65567 21 250 7 244 14 217 18 216 16 239 65567 62773 33 238 19 262 18 279 13 238 15 256 62773 60044 31 233 31 250 28 264 18 263 19 270 60044 57165 27 240 35 249 31 260 24 266 23 279 57165 54150 33 267 40 264 37 266 34 279 31 280 54150 51250 48 270 47 265 46 274 53 273 38 283 51250 48636 56 271 54 268 57 275 53 261 50 282 48636 46306 58 267 61 269 61 263 49 277 52 270 46306 44191 54 269 63 267 52 275 52 286 45 282 44191 42252 60 271 60 268 62 284 62 288 59 284 42252 40469 59 271 60 283 70 280 71 281 57 280 40469 38815 62 278 74 282 75 276 76 276 54 284 38815 37269 73 283 81 273 78 275 81 274 60 286 37269 35819 85 279 86 266 82 271 81 273 66 285 35819 34428 90 268 84 264 88 264 80 270 69 282 34428 33029 85 266 81 266 91 260 80 266 71 279 33029 31597 83 272 87 270 91 259 81 264 72 276 31597 30135 88 274 92 272 91 261 83 262 74 274 30135 28631 94 272 97 273 97 263 84 257 76 269 28631 27078 95 271 98 274 106 264 88 254 75 262 27078 25481 96 271 95 275 107 267 86 256 78 257 25481 23837 94 272 85 276 102 267 84 261 79 256 23837 22139 88 274 71 269 93 262 81 258 74 252 22139 20383 79 277 63 258 83 257 68 246 74 249 20383 18554 66 278 60 257 71 254 63 242 69 256 18554 16648 57 277 58 257 57 248 67 255 47 271 16648 14700 54 279 54 254 51 244 81 267 37 269 14700 12813 46 279 50 253 42 241 64 271 35 256 12813 11088 40 267 46 252 37 245 54 263 34 250 11088 9550 39 260 41 258 33 256 53 260 30 254 9550 8182 41 260 39 266 30 269 44 263 28 263 8182 6967 42 259 39 270 31 279 34 263 29 273 6967 5888 43 257 38 271 31 285 30 258 30 281 5888 4932 43 254 37 270 30 287 29 256 29 288 4932 4090 41 253 35 269 29 287 26 252 27 291 4090 3347 40 252 34 269 25 285 24 248 25 292 3347 2682 38 250 33*269 22*282 23*244 23 290 2682 2096 35 247 32*269 21*280 21*239 20*287 2096 1607 30 243 29 269 19 278 20 237 17*285 1607 1232 25 238 27 268 18 277 18 235 15 283 1232 974 20 235 23 268 16 277 16 233 14 283 974 817 17*234 20 267 14 276 14 232 12 283 817 727 10*232 14 267 10 275 10 231 8 282 727 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography