DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.9 - - 50.0 - - 57.8 - - 53.2 - - 47.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 6 - - 33 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 117 - - 536 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 727 - - 829 - - 1249 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 89 - - 286 - - 415 - - 539 - - 139 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 45 - - 115 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 042 - - 057 - - 037 - - 016 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -5 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1377 - - -1740 - - -2171 - - -1615 - - -1512 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2104 - - 2570 - - 3420 - - 2345 - - 2240 sfcLCL ODpotential -16351 - - -13128 - - -11641 - - -11797 - - -14137 ODpotential blCL 17078 - - 13957 - - 12890 - - 12526 - - 14865 blCL maxRH 55 - - 66 - - 61 - - 65 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.9 - - 50.0 - - 57.8 - - 53.2 - - 47.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.0 - - 41.8 - - 45.8 - - 45.9 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.4 - - 50.1 - - 57.6 - - 54.1 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 40.6 - - 44.6 - - 44.6 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 6 - - 33 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 117 - - 536 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96602 35 064 27 067 28 072 28 069 9 094 96602 89622 35 102 32 087 32 092 27 085 20 088 89622 84145 38 110 35 101 33 104 26 110 23 093 84145 79579 28 110 32 099 30 112 23 114 19 107 79579 75638 23 112 24 098 24 121 18 111 17 114 75638 72154 19 102 15 115 13 129 10 090 12 091 72154 69001 12 102 8 117 4 119 3 035 6 064 69001 66107 9 116 4 159 3 328 5 323 3 294 66107 63444 3 092 5 194 10 295 9 311 7 274 63444 60885 3 316 6 245 12 278 13 293 16 272 60885 58224 11 301 12 286 16 273 21 286 26 279 58224 55453 21 295 18 292 23 287 30 289 31 282 55453 52789 28 300 29 295 30 283 37 285 36 289 52789 50363 23 303 27 289 28 289 34 289 34 298 50363 48156 26 325 32 315 46 316 50 310 50 309 48156 46138 50 325 49 318 60 306 56 304 65 311 46138 44280 59 317 55 307 58 299 63 304 72 307 44280 42558 46 311 49 306 55 306 70 304 73 303 42558 40952 34 320 49 316 58 311 65 305 70 303 40952 39455 50 329 56 318 55 312 58 304 63 306 39455 38057 42 324 54 312 56 307 56 301 59 310 38057 36717 38 308 50 302 49 300 54 293 64 314 36717 35366 33 313 41 299 46 298 51 291 69 314 35366 33971 33 312 39 295 46 298 50 297 69 312 33971 32524 32 311 32 304 44 294 51 299 59 311 32524 31005 27 312 32 307 38 292 48 298 53 306 31005 29399 27 303 32 298 36 296 48 298 51 303 29399 27708 32 301 29 297 36 302 48 301 51 298 27708 25928 33 301 28 304 37 306 40 301 51 299 25928 24066 32 299 27 304 35 306 35 301 44 304 24066 22129 29 298 24 301 31 305 30 307 35 305 22129 20109 28 301 22 303 25 300 27 303 29 302 20109 18000 29 307 21 307 24 298 24 291 28 297 18000 15847 26 314 16 311 21 299 22 298 26 295 15847 13770 20 320 16 316 15 297 17 304 21 300 13770 11878 17 325 15 309 14 289 15 306 16 309 11878 10200 14 319 15 310 14 307 14 314 13 318 10200 8713 11 310 15 320 13 333 13 331 11 330 8713 7394 8 322 12 328 14 346 13 346 12 338 7394 6224 6 339 10 333 14 351 14 357 12 346 6224 5191 6 350 8 338 13 353 15 004 12 352 5191 4284 7 000 7 344 12 355 16 007 13 357 4284 3486 7 012 6 349 11 358 16 008 15 000 3486 2778 7 019 7 345 10 003 15 007 15 000 2778 2156 8 021 8 341 9 017 14 009 13 358 2156 1642 8 032 6 357 7 038 10 016 9 358 1642 1250 11 058 10 046 6*054 7 031 5 005 1250 982 12 072 9*047 6*056 5 042 4 015 982 820 9 070 8*044 5 057 4*041 3 013 820 728 5*063 5 041 4 059 2*037 2*016 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography