DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/19 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 72.0 - - - - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 463 - - - - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1793 - - 2775 - - - - - 1270 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1684 - - 2576 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2506 - - 3488 - - - - - 1983 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 704 - - 676 - - - - - 1032 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 442 - - - - - 163 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 249 - - - - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 196 - - -580 - - - - - 141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2310 - - 4069 - - - - - 1842 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 363 - - -7301 - - - - - -3 ODpotential blCL - - - 2143 - - 10789 - - - - - 1986 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 87 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.5 - - 72.0 - - - - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 56.6 - - - - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.0 - - 69.5 - - - - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 56.1 - - - - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 463 - - - - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1793 - - 2775 - - - - - 1270 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 50 - - - - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98909 25 110 21 111 24 093 98909 91424 18 113 15 106 24 105 91424 85667 15 111 14 116 19 081 85667 80879 20 123 18 128 9 077 80879 76760 21 121 18 135 6 101 76760 73127 14 105 19 130 4 127 73127 69840 11 146 10 120 9 122 69840 66826 10 141 9 167 8 110 66826 64044 9 150 11 159 7 178 64044 61367 7 222 8 183 7 189 61367 58585 15 227 20 227 11 269 58585 55709 22 239 31 221 27 245 55709 52976 31 228 30 224 32 234 52976 50515 34 239 31 241 32 246 50515 48295 51 244 45 250 47 252 48295 46271 64 238 60 243 57 250 46271 44409 70 232 63 237 61 247 44409 42682 69 231 63 238 64 248 42682 41071 68 234 63 238 69 251 41071 39561 70 236 62 240 71 254 39561 38140 72 235 67 245 78 256 38140 36770 70 234 70 247 84 255 36770 35381 68 233 65 246 84 253 35381 33942 67 231 56 245 75 254 33942 32461 62 228 45 244 61 257 32461 30924 53 226 38 246 48 259 30924 29317 43 225 31 248 38 257 29317 27634 33 217 27 247 35 259 27634 25871 28 210 26 242 32 259 25871 24026 23 212 18 238 27 254 24026 22102 22 205 18 235 23 247 22102 20093 21 205 18 236 22 242 20093 17990 16 208 17 233 22 237 17990 15838 17 191 16 223 21 233 15838 13760 20 176 15 210 17 231 13760 11868 20 168 16 193 12 223 11868 10191 17 170 15 183 10 217 10191 8704 13 181 10 193 9 215 8704 7385 10 188 9 210 12 205 7385 6216 11 183 12 206 15 184 6216 5184 14 180 15 185 18 173 5184 4279 16 189 14 189 15 185 4279 3486 16 206 10*217 14 220 3486 2784 14*218 10*234 15 245 2784 2167 12*226 10 246 14*260 2167 1653 10 231 11 250 14*265 1653 1259 10 233 10 253 14 266 1259 988 9 235 10 255 13 268 988 824 8 236 10 256 12 268 824 729 7 237 9 256 9 268 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography