DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 63.4 - - 58.0 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 421 - - 222 - - 47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1776 - - 2069 - - 1525 - - 519 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1682 - - 2017 - - 1437 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2488 - - 2781 - - 2238 - - 1231 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 532 - - 499 - - 713 - - 1296 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 319 - - 389 - - 283 - - 118 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 16 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 252 - - 277 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 131 - - -693 - - 28 - - 189 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2357 - - 3475 - - 2210 - - 1042 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8199 - - -8086 - - 111 - - 97 ODpotential blCL - - - 10687 - - 10867 - - 2127 - - 1134 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 86 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 63.4 - - 58.0 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.2 - - 50.6 - - 50.8 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 61.1 - - 56.6 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 49.9 - - 50.6 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 421 - - 222 - - 47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1776 - - 2069 - - 1525 - - 519 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 44 - - 93 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98569 14 127 14 103 19 132 18 078 98569 91089 12 125 14 110 16 103 10 104 91089 85359 10 145 11 119 20 083 17 094 85359 80602 10 164 7 143 11 076 18 085 80602 76484 5 145 6 218 0 272 11 058 76484 72828 2 230 5 247 2 273 4 050 72828 69512 5 258 5 221 5 259 2 346 69512 66464 8 268 6 230 8 250 5 297 66464 63638 11 270 7 264 10 263 10 289 63638 60898 11 265 10 286 10 265 12 282 60898 58043 11 262 14 284 12 282 15 288 58043 55086 15 255 22 279 19 289 16 290 55086 52272 17 271 25 272 23 289 21 294 52272 49757 19 292 20 275 27 288 26 311 49757 47524 22 310 16 286 28 283 33 293 47524 45527 22 311 11 300 22 291 26 318 45527 43724 18 331 18 348 23 326 33 313 43724 42069 23 355 29 353 28 335 28 302 42069 40531 26 359 27 347 33 338 24 327 40531 39089 25 006 26 342 36 331 42 333 39089 37726 24 012 28 340 36 328 44 321 37726 36404 22 014 31 340 37 329 43 311 36404 35055 20 013 30 338 31 329 44 305 35055 33651 19 010 23 337 24 323 41 303 33651 32196 17 004 22 332 28 322 37 304 32196 30678 17 355 21 330 30 327 35 306 30678 29082 15 344 19 331 29 330 35 310 29082 27406 14 321 21 333 27 331 36 312 27406 25647 14 319 21 330 24 332 37 310 25647 23807 13 322 18 316 19 331 35 307 23807 21886 11 295 15 313 19 306 32 304 21886 19878 12 271 12 295 19 290 29 299 19878 17781 12 267 13 261 19 277 27 289 17781 15643 13 247 17 241 21 267 24 282 15643 13585 16 231 19 237 20 256 22 272 13585 11716 16 219 17 235 19 243 20 259 11716 10059 17 206 16 231 17 235 19 242 10059 8590 19 200 17 227 18 230 21 234 8590 7286 21 201 19 223 19 227 21 233 7286 6130 22 200 21 218 20 220 19 233 6130 5111 21 199 22 207 20 209 18 227 5111 4221 20 205 20 201 19 214 17 240 4221 3443 16 221 17*210 16 246 19 270 3443 2751 13*247 13*238 17*272 20 280 2751 2143 12*258 13 250 17*276 20 279 2143 1637 12 261 14 254 17 277 18 275 1637 1250 12 263 13 256 16 277 15*271 1250 983 11 264 13 256 16 277 14*270 983 821 10 264 12 257 14 277 12 270 821 729 8 264 10 257 11 276 9 269 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography