DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 58.6 - - 57.5 - - 50.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 144 - - 30 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1087 - - 2961 - - 2779 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 2325 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1799 - - 3673 - - 3492 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1794 - - 1162 - - 1295 - - 1977 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 318 - - 201 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 325 - - 321 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 505 - - 453 - - 149 - - -721 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1294 - - 3221 - - 3343 - - 1449 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 305 - - -2531 - - -3097 - - -2774 ODpotential blCL - - - 1494 - - 6204 - - 6589 - - 3502 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 83 - - 77 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 58.6 - - 57.5 - - 50.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.1 - - 47.2 - - 45.5 - - 46.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 57.8 - - 57.2 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 45.9 - - 44.3 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 144 - - 30 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1087 - - 2961 - - 2779 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 30 - - 7 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96305 4 319 18 265 22 308 15 322 96305 89194 6 001 11 275 12 309 10 310 89194 83740 5 327 10 300 6 288 9 313 83740 79228 6 315 12 332 4 336 7 309 79228 75339 5 306 15 299 12 324 14 312 75339 71917 6 313 12 270 14 296 13 320 71917 68791 13 287 13 265 16 275 7 317 68791 65870 19 274 17 266 23 282 15 289 65870 63140 26 279 27 267 29 273 26 275 63140 60483 33 277 28 274 27 276 33 268 60483 57691 40 283 37 281 36 278 40 270 57691 54789 42 268 44 267 44 267 49 271 54789 52018 34 268 41 268 43 265 43 266 52018 49516 43 287 41 289 37 286 34 284 49516 47250 54 289 50 291 49 294 41 298 47250 45169 59 281 54 281 52 291 44 299 45169 43243 57 271 52 279 56 289 52 292 43243 41459 54 270 59 284 61 286 58 288 41459 39817 63 277 68 283 70 287 74 292 39817 38314 72 275 72 275 77 280 79 283 38314 36933 66 272 54 269 68 277 67 288 36933 35621 53 275 45 290 61 301 67 305 35621 34294 49 281 70 311 74 315 69 316 34294 32916 56 291 82 301 83 313 77 321 32916 31488 60 288 76 291 85 309 83 322 31488 29996 62 283 73 293 84 308 86 321 29996 28428 60 283 71 295 83 308 85 314 28428 26783 61 291 67 294 81 303 81 308 26783 25062 63 294 65 294 78 302 79 305 25062 23270 63 291 65 295 73 305 74 308 23270 21407 62 290 63 296 65 307 66 315 21407 19466 58 292 63 299 61 310 62 324 19466 17434 56 301 60 308 58 315 61 326 17434 15352 47 305 50 308 52 313 57 325 15352 13337 39 287 44 297 49 307 54 321 13337 11505 40 282 44 296 49 309 50 327 11505 9884 35 288 40 310 42 321 41 338 9884 8455 29 298 33 329 33 333 31 348 8455 7191 24 310 25 345 27 339 23 351 7191 6070 20 321 19 347 20 341 18 347 6070 5077 18 320 19 340 16 339 19 352 5077 4203 20 316 17*333 16*333 21 354 4203 3434 21 313 16*330 17*326 24 348 3434 2746 21 312 16 328 17 324 27 339 2746 2140 19*310 16 325 17 321 27 331 2140 1635 16*305 15 324 16 320 24 325 1635 1248 14 301 14 322 16 318 20 319 1248 982 13 299 13 321 15 317 14 312 982 821 11 298 12 321 13 316 11 307 821 728 8 296 9 319 9 314 5*300 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography