DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 74.5 - - - - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 438 - - - - - 41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1097 - - 1875 - - - - - 978 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1175 - - 1883 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1810 - - 2589 - - - - - 1691 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 454 - - 540 - - - - - 642 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 264 - - 381 - - - - - 140 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 262 - - - - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -236 - - -1384 - - - - - -141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2046 - - 3973 - - - - - 1832 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11156 - - -10053 - - - - - -11500 ODpotential blCL - - - 12966 - - 12642 - - - - - 13191 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 82 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 40 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 74.5 - - - - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.8 - - 59.4 - - - - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.8 - - 72.0 - - - - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 59.0 - - - - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 245 - - 438 - - - - - 41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1097 - - 1875 - - - - - 978 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 28 - - - - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98807 32 121 32 104 28 118 98807 91320 29 121 27 128 29 103 91320 85571 26 123 22 128 23 087 85571 80800 27 123 15 124 12 097 80800 76689 19 123 15 133 10 127 76689 73062 15 124 11 130 11 114 73062 69796 13 128 10 132 11 105 69796 66804 13 125 9 120 9 125 66804 64046 6 097 6 131 7 116 64046 61389 2 208 2 180 8 118 61389 58627 8 225 16 220 11 219 58627 55783 8 233 22 209 24 224 55783 53083 16 250 21 224 24 230 53083 50651 32 244 28 236 36 232 50651 48468 37 245 34 242 39 236 48468 46486 48 256 48 250 56 249 46486 44667 63 255 60 251 67 248 44667 42974 64 255 55 252 71 249 42974 41387 59 262 52 257 73 247 41387 39894 59 267 56 261 68 247 39894 38484 58 269 60 262 62 250 38484 37121 55 271 59 262 60 253 37121 35736 49 275 59 266 57 253 35736 34299 36 268 49 270 51 249 34299 32810 29 256 32 259 41 243 32810 31252 21 251 27 246 35 234 31252 29614 14 234 20 243 33 226 29614 27901 12 210 16 221 23 223 27901 26114 9 207 13 213 16 198 26114 24250 7 208 9 208 17 198 24250 22309 8 220 9 197 18 190 22309 20286 17 205 15 179 19 162 20286 18176 24 198 20 187 21 150 18176 16017 21 186 21 189 23 152 16017 13925 16 155 16 171 25 160 13925 12014 16 132 15 150 23 172 12014 10313 13 120 14 138 18 183 10313 8801 12 109 11 124 11 179 8801 7461 10 099 8 127 8 171 7461 6274 6 093 6 149 8 178 6274 5227 5 115 6 187 11 183 5227 4308 7 156 11 199 14 186 4308 3504 11 186 14 209 16 202 3504 2792 12 213 13*225 17 224 2792 2170 11*238 12*253 16*241 2170 1654 9*261 12 261 14*258 1654 1260 9 264 12 264 13 263 1260 988 8 265 12 265 12 265 988 824 8 265 11 265 11 266 824 729 7 266 9 266 8 267 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography