DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 72.2 - - 70.4 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 461 - - 312 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 852 - - 1171 - - 1083 - - 556 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1063 - - 1375 - - 1227 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1565 - - 1885 - - 1796 - - 1269 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 312 - - 398 - - 359 - - 355 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 331 - - 283 - - 112 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 271 - - 274 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -689 - - -2664 - - -2114 - - -328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2254 - - 4550 - - 3910 - - 1597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11780 - - -12590 - - -12374 - - -12930 ODpotential blCL - - - 13345 - - 14475 - - 14170 - - 14199 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 69 - - 71 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 72.2 - - 70.4 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 54.9 - - 55.8 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.6 - - 69.6 - - 68.4 - - 60.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 54.4 - - 55.5 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 461 - - 312 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 852 - - 1171 - - 1083 - - 556 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 0 - - 0 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98938 25 111 29 107 29 101 36 111 98938 91437 28 116 22 122 27 109 29 114 91437 85681 25 114 21 123 19 110 24 109 85681 80914 22 115 15 114 17 111 17 097 80914 76808 16 116 14 123 13 111 13 080 76808 73186 15 113 14 121 10 125 7 088 73186 69913 11 120 9 128 9 130 5 108 69913 66907 11 128 9 147 2 142 7 084 66907 64127 6 108 11 137 7 191 1 091 64127 61446 6 141 7 156 8 161 3 205 61446 58667 8 255 7 240 6 220 5 231 58667 55798 18 251 18 251 18 255 17 262 55798 53068 30 262 29 255 29 255 29 256 53068 50620 37 262 36 254 38 257 37 255 50620 48434 42 260 40 253 39 254 40 251 48434 46454 44 260 40 254 38 254 40 251 46454 44638 44 259 38 255 38 252 39 250 44638 42957 44 257 39 255 37 249 38 249 42957 41389 37 257 37 254 35 249 37 248 41389 39914 33 254 36 250 35 248 35 247 39914 38521 30 250 36 248 35 250 34 249 38521 37169 27 245 34 247 35 252 33 252 37169 35792 25 243 32 245 36 252 33 253 35792 34360 25 242 30 245 35 252 33 252 34360 32879 26 245 30 247 34 251 33 252 32879 31331 28 249 28 250 33 253 33 251 31331 29703 27 250 27 249 30 253 30 250 29703 27993 24 254 26 248 28 254 28 258 27993 26206 22 257 24 255 30 259 36 257 26206 24342 21 265 21 264 31 267 35 257 24342 22394 19 271 19 264 27 268 29 267 22394 20357 18 278 18 261 21 262 20 273 20357 18225 16 283 17 258 18 258 17 247 18225 16044 12 287 13 263 14 265 13 241 16044 13938 8 293 7 269 6 263 6 224 13938 12021 5 274 4 279 1 167 5 164 12021 10322 5 186 2 219 3 141 5 158 10322 8817 5 162 3 179 4 166 2 201 8817 7485 2 083 1 159 2 203 2 258 7485 6305 4 039 1 021 1 252 1 278 6305 5261 5 044 2 060 1 255 2 275 5261 4342 3 045 1 136 3 245 4 267 4342 3532 0 036 4 220 7 242 8 254 3532 2809 5 220 9 237 11 246 12 247 2809 2176 9 240 11*258 13*265 14 258 2176 1655 9*255 12*269 13*273 13*268 1655 1259 9*259 12 271 13 275 12*272 1259 988 9 261 12 272 13 275 12 273 988 823 8 261 11 272 12 275 10 273 823 729 7 262 9 272 10 274 8 273 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography