DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 69.4 - - 69.5 - - 58.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 208 - - 81 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 906 - - 1672 - - 1522 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1546 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1619 - - 2385 - - 2236 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 442 - - 743 - - 889 - - 808 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 216 - - 293 - - 212 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 288 - - 288 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -709 - - -505 - - -1108 - - -1472 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2328 - - 2890 - - 3344 - - 2201 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8981 - - -4772 - - -6012 - - -8923 ODpotential blCL - - - 10600 - - 7157 - - 8248 - - 9652 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 84 - - 74 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 69.4 - - 69.5 - - 58.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.6 - - 59.2 - - 57.4 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 68.1 - - 68.9 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.7 - - 58.1 - - 56.4 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 208 - - 81 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 906 - - 1672 - - 1522 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 37 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 41 280 36 287 34 285 37 282 96219 89099 22 294 25 297 26 291 26 286 89099 83655 16 278 22 297 21 282 21 301 83655 79137 11 287 27 275 23 292 18 305 79137 75246 8 264 22 266 21 288 14 282 75246 71814 2 258 15 249 20 277 15 283 71814 68706 10 318 13 224 18 257 18 279 68706 65842 21 297 14 246 19 234 19 263 65842 63182 24 271 20 258 19 237 21 238 63182 60609 33 253 27 248 23 251 19 237 60609 57933 36 243 34 243 35 249 28 256 57933 55159 37 243 39 239 44 241 41 254 55159 52490 38 244 44 239 50 239 50 247 52490 50058 41 247 47 240 50 241 51 243 50058 47854 44 248 48 244 48 245 48 244 47854 45842 46 242 49 243 48 248 48 249 45842 43993 45 240 47 242 47 246 49 249 43993 42292 43 247 43 246 46 249 50 248 42292 40730 41 253 42 253 44 253 50 257 40730 39282 40 261 42 261 42 259 50 264 39282 37920 39 260 43 264 41 264 48 265 37920 36595 37 254 42 259 41 264 45 265 36595 35242 37 242 41 255 41 264 46 265 35242 33832 38 236 40 252 42 267 48 266 33832 32370 38 231 40 253 43 269 49 267 32370 30842 38 230 39 253 41 266 45 266 30842 29234 39 234 37 247 38 257 40 262 29234 27544 40 235 37 242 36 250 38 259 27544 25772 41 235 37 242 35 246 38 260 25772 23920 39 242 37 246 35 248 38 263 23920 21993 35 247 37 247 36 251 37 262 21993 19989 33 242 35 247 36 254 38 260 19989 17900 31 242 32 252 33 259 37 264 17900 15766 27 247 29 260 28 264 32 270 15766 13707 25 251 25 261 25 267 26 270 13707 11833 22 256 21 262 23 273 20 274 11833 10172 18 258 18 267 18 288 15 290 10172 8699 16 260 12 276 13 304 13 306 8699 7390 13 266 9 300 11 315 12 309 7390 6228 11 277 11 326 12 323 13 310 6228 5201 12 295 12 332 13 329 14 312 5201 4298 13 308 12 335 14 330 15 317 4298 3502 13 316 13 330 14 326 17 322 3502 2793 16 322 12*321 13*315 20 327 2793 2169 15 319 11*295 12*298 21 325 2169 1652 11*306 10 290 12 289 19 317 1652 1257 8*284 10 286 12 286 12 293 1257 987 8 282 10 284 12 284 10 275 987 823 8 280 9 283 11 282 8 265 823 729 6 278 8 281 8 281 5*259 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography