DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 77.7 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 438 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 786 - - 1133 - - - - - 311 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1012 - - 1338 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1499 - - 1847 - - - - - 1024 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 338 - - 344 - - - - - 432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 322 - - - - - 61 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 263 - - - - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2556 - - -4873 - - - - - -1986 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4055 - - 6720 - - - - - 3010 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13756 - - -14438 - - - - - -14574 ODpotential blCL - - - 15255 - - 16285 - - - - - 15598 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 47 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 77.7 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.5 - - 51.3 - - - - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 75.1 - - - - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.8 - - 50.7 - - - - - 53.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 438 - - - - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 786 - - 1133 - - - - - 311 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99527 49 112 43 107 31 112 99527 91994 38 109 38 116 38 114 91994 86194 25 122 30 112 39 103 86194 81406 27 130 23 112 28 099 81406 77288 30 112 24 127 28 108 77288 73646 27 106 29 119 24 109 73646 70353 23 113 26 114 16 103 70353 67342 15 111 18 111 13 106 67342 64572 13 136 12 133 16 117 64572 61901 11 154 12 158 8 095 61901 59131 5 171 7 205 2 251 59131 56291 13 233 14 245 13 240 56291 53612 22 244 25 237 25 242 53612 51217 35 273 30 258 28 246 51217 49071 49 268 41 264 36 271 49071 47113 50 269 49 268 41 272 47113 45296 48 268 51 268 43 270 45296 43596 44 264 49 265 44 267 43596 41998 43 271 47 268 45 268 41998 40489 48 279 50 278 42 275 40489 39061 50 281 53 282 39 281 39061 37679 52 281 54 281 38 283 37679 36273 52 279 55 280 40 282 36273 34813 50 275 52 278 42 278 34813 33302 48 272 48 277 42 276 33302 31720 45 271 45 274 41 282 31720 30054 43 271 42 269 38 280 30054 28307 43 269 42 268 36 273 28307 26479 38 270 38 266 34 269 26479 24570 32 260 31 260 32 268 24570 22585 29 253 31 256 29 266 22585 20516 25 256 27 258 26 270 20516 18360 19 264 22 259 18 271 18360 16165 13 267 16 257 14 254 16165 14050 9 274 11 256 11 249 14050 12124 6 282 7 258 8 254 12124 10412 4 275 6 256 5 265 10412 8893 4 269 7 255 4 262 8893 7546 5 277 7 254 5 259 7546 6352 7 290 7 263 7 266 6352 5296 10 296 9 278 9 275 5296 4368 11 298 11 286 12 285 4368 3552 13 294 13 287 15 287 3552 2825 13 284 15 277 17 288 2825 2187 13 266 15*268 17 283 2187 1661 12*248 14*264 15 265 1661 1262 12*246 14 263 14*248 1262 990 12 245 13 262 13*245 990 824 11 245 12 262 11 245 824 729 9 245 10 262 8 244 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography