DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/12 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 70.3 - - 66.1 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 413 - - 217 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1052 - - 1588 - - 1340 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1164 - - 1653 - - 1298 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1766 - - 2301 - - 2053 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 373 - - 403 - - 444 - - 1298 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 352 - - 269 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 270 - - 276 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1366 - - -2661 - - -2206 - - -1740 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3132 - - 4962 - - 4259 - - 2470 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10415 - - -12806 - - -12550 - - -13001 ODpotential blCL - - - 12181 - - 15107 - - 14603 - - 13730 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 65 - - 69 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.9 - - 70.3 - - 66.1 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.7 - - 51.3 - - 50.1 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 68.2 - - 64.8 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 50.9 - - 49.9 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 262 - - 413 - - 217 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1052 - - 1588 - - 1340 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98758 7 236 6 221 9 208 8 250 98758 91347 10 194 5 230 7 217 5 222 91347 85610 9 176 3 248 7 232 4 262 85610 80824 2 275 2 321 4 250 6 261 80824 76710 5 292 3 223 1 351 2 271 76710 73089 6 270 4 252 4 008 6 087 73089 69817 6 197 8 247 8 338 9 042 69817 66820 1 232 8 249 11 314 8 342 66820 64070 5 300 8 273 9 298 10 292 64070 61428 9 292 11 273 14 283 15 275 61428 58677 18 277 22 268 20 263 17 250 58677 55820 24 280 27 259 31 261 27 275 55820 53103 37 276 38 261 48 263 52 275 53103 50686 51 274 50 267 58 265 63 272 50686 48527 64 276 61 269 68 272 69 274 48527 46555 68 273 66 262 72 264 74 269 46555 44735 67 269 72 261 76 260 79 265 44735 43045 65 266 74 261 81 259 83 261 43045 41465 64 262 74 260 83 259 84 260 41465 39977 63 262 72 259 80 260 83 262 39977 38569 63 263 70 258 75 260 80 264 38569 37202 64 263 68 257 72 259 76 264 37202 35809 63 260 67 256 69 260 72 261 35809 34362 63 257 66 257 66 260 69 261 34362 32863 63 257 64 256 64 260 67 260 32863 31296 60 256 64 254 65 258 65 258 31296 29650 56 256 63 253 67 256 64 257 29650 27924 52 256 60 253 64 254 62 257 27924 26116 49 254 55 251 60 253 60 256 26116 24227 48 248 50 250 56 253 57 254 24227 22257 48 244 50 248 52 255 55 256 22257 20203 46 244 49 244 47 256 51 256 20203 18069 41 245 41 247 42 255 45 260 18069 15898 33 253 31 260 35 258 41 266 15898 13808 27 260 28 266 32 268 36 270 13808 11906 22 248 24 258 28 264 29 266 11906 10217 17 229 22 240 24 250 25 259 10217 8721 14 227 21 233 23 240 22 250 8721 7399 12 231 17 234 21 241 22 249 7399 6230 10 234 14 235 19 247 20 257 6230 5197 9 242 14 244 17 258 19 270 5197 4289 10 258 15 260 17 268 18 284 4289 3491 12 271 16 272 18 282 18 298 3491 2783 15 276 17*274 19 287 22 305 2783 2162 15*271 17*272 18*281 22 300 2162 1649 13*263 17 270 17*278 18 285 1649 1256 13 261 16 270 17 276 16 274 1256 987 12 260 16 269 16 275 13 268 987 823 11 259 14 268 15 275 11*265 823 729 9 258 12 268 11 274 7*263 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography