DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.5 - - 53.3 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 25 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 734 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 728 - - 1446 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 741 - - 739 - - 1340 - - 528 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 22 - - 123 - - 10 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 043 - - 047 - - 073 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2690 - - -2441 - - -1987 - - -1688 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3418 - - 3887 - - 2716 - - 2416 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11846 - - -9967 - - -8604 - - -10647 ODpotential blCL - - - 12574 - - 11413 - - 9333 - - 11375 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 66 - - 58 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.9 - - 55.5 - - 53.3 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 41.3 - - 44.2 - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 55.3 - - 54.6 - - 51.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 40.1 - - 42.9 - - 38.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 25 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 734 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96624 42 056 37 065 39 100 37 089 96624 89517 34 072 28 083 28 085 29 072 89517 84032 28 069 27 074 25 073 27 078 84032 79451 30 070 24 058 26 069 29 072 79451 75482 25 075 13 051 21 060 31 069 75482 71956 21 073 12 057 20 045 32 053 71956 68755 28 049 22 063 19 066 23 064 68755 65798 25 041 27 045 31 062 29 060 65798 63055 23 045 23 046 30 044 27 043 63055 60413 27 039 26 058 25 042 27 049 60413 57665 38 037 35 041 37 042 35 046 57665 54830 47 032 45 032 49 033 44 038 54830 52146 59 030 59 032 54 031 49 037 52146 49734 73 022 67 026 59 029 54 036 49734 47557 73 015 62 020 59 024 59 030 47557 45570 67 013 60 021 61 020 61 026 45570 43740 64 013 64 020 65 016 67 025 43740 42049 62 017 73 015 74 010 81 020 42049 40482 67 019 81 011 75 007 84 014 40482 39021 86 021 87 016 70 015 75 011 39021 37654 109 024 107 024 90 030 74 017 37654 36344 98 019 117 022 97 031 75 020 36344 35008 85 010 114 022 91 022 76 019 35008 33613 89 011 104 023 88 016 79 018 33613 32161 87 009 90 019 88 014 79 017 32161 30636 78 002 84 011 87 013 79 019 30636 29025 72 000 78 005 87 014 79 023 29025 27329 65 001 85 005 90 018 83 028 27329 25548 53 001 91 008 85 018 82 028 25548 23687 44 004 78 009 80 016 76 024 23687 21752 42 004 54 002 65 012 71 023 21752 19740 42 002 41 354 45 012 59 026 19740 17646 42 008 36 352 36 004 43 021 17646 15519 43 013 36 008 31 351 31 013 15519 13478 42 015 38 014 27 013 24 001 13478 11630 38 022 33 019 29 020 21 018 11630 9992 32 033 28 033 25 026 21 029 9992 8541 30 043 24 042 22 036 17 030 8541 7254 26 047 19 040 17 038 13 026 7254 6113 19 046 15 031 15 031 13 017 6113 5105 12 053 10 020 16 017 17 008 5105 4221 9 079 8 006 17 010 17 010 4221 3444 5 075 7 004 16 021 18 026 3444 2752 8 055 13 035 19 035 21 031 2752 2143 17 045 20 040 21 039 21 032 2143 1636 23 041 19*042 17 043 17 037 1636 1248 21 040 15*046 11 053 11 048 1248 982 15 042 13 047 8 059 7 061 982 821 13*043 11 047 6*064 4*076 821 728 8*043 8 048 3*073 1*116 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography