DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.2 - - 55.3 - - 62.1 - - 59.1 - - 51.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -58 - - 40 - - 100 - - 12 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 289 - - 623 - - 338 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1001 - - 1336 - - 1051 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 244 - - 480 - - 420 - - 159 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 96 - - 167 - - 75 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 069 - - 069 - - 075 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -8 - - -7 - - -10 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -942 - - -2019 - - -2432 - - -1907 - - -1095 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1670 - - 3020 - - 3768 - - 2958 - - 1824 sfcLCL ODpotential -12218 - - -12044 - - -11088 - - -10591 - - -11991 ODpotential blCL 12946 - - 13045 - - 12424 - - 11642 - - 12719 blCL maxRH 64 - - 66 - - 60 - - 67 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.2 - - 55.3 - - 62.1 - - 59.1 - - 51.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.0 - - 45.1 - - 48.6 - - 49.1 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.2 - - 55.1 - - 61.3 - - 59.0 - - 53.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 44.2 - - 47.3 - - 48.3 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -58 - - 40 - - 100 - - 12 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 289 - - 623 - - 338 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96127 11 281 9 001 16 312 25 313 7 013 96127 89102 14 355 10 327 16 348 16 349 6 031 89102 83675 18 342 6 339 11 333 12 333 14 341 83675 79168 20 335 9 014 11 337 12 307 17 322 79168 75295 15 327 8 353 9 345 10 357 10 308 75295 71852 8 337 8 339 8 312 13 008 11 353 71852 68715 14 354 15 357 13 336 17 351 21 355 68715 65841 20 332 17 336 17 334 15 346 19 350 65841 63187 24 322 18 326 20 356 17 004 18 005 63187 60609 19 316 30 326 28 355 24 352 22 011 60609 57908 27 330 30 331 28 343 28 342 26 000 57908 55097 30 326 31 344 31 356 31 344 29 346 55097 52408 42 341 39 354 38 005 31 356 32 357 52408 49968 44 341 47 000 46 013 40 009 40 013 49968 47761 47 351 51 356 53 003 48 006 46 010 47761 45754 46 359 51 355 53 359 53 359 44 006 45754 43939 50 359 44 008 45 006 52 354 40 018 43939 42298 55 014 50 035 38 035 39 007 42 034 42298 40785 64 031 69 053 56 067 31 049 43 032 40785 39358 74 033 72 048 59 063 40 062 34 048 39358 38004 73 030 69 043 56 052 45 059 38 064 38004 36691 73 032 66 043 54 045 47 055 40 066 36691 35349 72 035 65 048 51 044 47 053 38 064 35349 33948 70 036 66 059 51 047 46 055 33 061 33948 32492 64 056 60 070 55 061 43 060 33 061 32492 30964 46 058 45 074 58 085 39 060 35 058 30964 29350 32 041 27 068 48 092 32 073 31 071 29350 27652 25 009 24 050 27 071 23 080 28 090 27652 25871 19 360 20 030 19 050 21 069 28 094 25871 24011 12 027 15 023 15 058 15 068 25 095 24011 22087 8 066 9 044 11 081 3 139 9 108 22087 20093 5 084 3 047 6 103 6 177 8 159 20093 18009 2 126 1 255 2 132 5 169 8 162 18009 15874 3 240 1 236 1 150 2 154 3 197 15874 13809 3 085 3 022 4 081 3 054 2 127 13809 11924 4 151 2 078 4 098 7 072 3 135 11924 10245 3 248 1 256 2 077 6 063 3 144 10245 8752 4 308 2 350 4 059 8 063 5 134 8752 7427 5 352 5 070 7 096 9 078 6 127 7427 6254 7 012 9 088 10 107 8 095 5 122 6254 5218 7 002 8 091 8 108 7 102 3 101 5218 4308 7 355 5 080 5 101 5 095 3 075 4308 3508 7 358 4 057 4 100 5 084 4 063 3508 2796 5 010 3 050 5 098 8 084 5 086 2796 2171 7 043 5 082 9 089 14 080 10 092 2171 1651 10 060 9 085 10*077 16 077 14 088 1651 1255 13 062 13*073 10*070 15*075 16 085 1255 985 13 058 12*069 10 069 13*075 15 082 985 821 11 055 10 069 9 068 11 075 13 078 821 728 6*054 7 070 7 070 8 076 7*076 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography