DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.1 - - 56.2 - - 62.9 - - 60.2 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 58 - - 120 - - 47 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 319 - - 1208 - - 1119 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1032 - - 1921 - - 1832 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 214 - - 663 - - 1078 - - 1738 - - 917 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 110 - - 220 - - 157 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 154 - - 270 - - 262 - - 299 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -384 - - -1598 - - -1631 - - -301 - - -23 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1112 - - 2630 - - 3552 - - 2133 - - 752 sfcLCL ODpotential -10038 - - -7782 - - -5829 - - -1320 - - -2320 ODpotential blCL 10766 - - 8814 - - 7750 - - 3152 - - 3049 blCL maxRH 80 - - 73 - - 68 - - 91 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.1 - - 56.2 - - 62.9 - - 60.2 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 47.6 - - 50.2 - - 53.6 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 55.7 - - 62.0 - - 59.8 - - 55.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.8 - - 46.8 - - 49.0 - - 53.1 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 58 - - 120 - - 47 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 319 - - 1208 - - 1119 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 63 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96794 22 125 14 074 9 089 14 106 20 094 96794 89673 25 090 21 091 15 115 17 111 14 092 89673 84145 23 099 18 108 14 099 17 110 10 092 84145 79550 17 101 16 129 5 093 12 092 12 077 79550 75582 11 086 10 118 7 140 2 091 13 048 75582 72069 3 038 4 089 5 110 5 162 5 036 72069 68892 4 253 1 359 1 156 2 178 2 026 68892 65970 5 246 5 278 9 297 4 306 5 305 65970 63257 11 287 10 255 13 264 10 284 8 294 63257 60628 15 271 12 250 16 262 17 283 18 298 60628 57881 18 280 17 261 20 261 25 278 29 297 57881 55025 23 287 17 262 23 262 31 271 35 281 55025 52294 25 286 18 281 23 253 29 273 30 268 52294 49820 34 293 27 298 28 288 35 286 33 271 49820 47586 41 290 42 294 41 287 43 285 42 278 47586 45561 42 299 48 300 47 297 49 294 52 287 45561 43736 56 300 63 304 69 302 70 301 79 300 43736 42086 44 287 61 294 66 288 68 286 73 290 42086 40564 26 279 46 280 47 269 55 266 52 288 40564 39145 33 311 40 282 39 267 44 259 53 293 39145 37800 60 327 38 311 39 299 41 277 56 295 37800 36489 71 329 43 324 48 314 43 294 54 289 36489 35148 62 326 36 313 45 309 46 296 49 285 35148 33750 54 321 32 291 39 298 45 289 46 289 33750 32297 42 318 35 277 35 279 43 278 48 293 32297 30775 29 310 40 271 39 262 45 270 53 288 30775 29170 26 278 42 265 42 259 47 266 52 280 29170 27476 33 269 42 262 43 268 54 273 52 274 27476 25694 39 273 43 266 46 276 57 281 58 279 25694 23832 42 273 45 274 48 276 54 285 60 285 23832 21897 41 277 42 278 50 272 53 286 55 281 21897 19883 37 282 37 273 50 274 49 280 49 269 19883 17785 33 279 32 264 41 274 40 264 46 271 17785 15654 28 276 30 264 34 264 34 265 42 278 15654 13605 24 262 28 264 29 263 31 263 35 273 13605 11742 20 257 25 270 24 265 27 260 29 264 11742 10088 16 260 19 269 20 268 24 259 23 266 10088 8622 12 270 16 264 17 272 20 256 19 274 8622 7323 10 279 14 261 17 274 16 259 17 280 7323 6171 8 285 12 263 16 275 14 271 15 285 6171 5155 5 269 10 270 13 274 14 282 11 296 5155 4263 5 232 9 285 10 277 14 288 13 306 4263 3479 5 227 8 301 8 282 15 297 17 308 3479 2779 5 232 9 312 6 281 15 300 18 314 2779 2160 5 235 9 314 5*272 15*300 15 325 2160 1646 4 247 8 306 5*265 14*300 11 331 1646 1254 4 268 6*288 5 262 13 299 7 320 1254 985 3 275 4*274 5 261 12 299 5 302 985 822 2*254 3 270 5 261 11 299 3*289 822 729 1*154 3 267 4 261 8 297 2*268 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography