DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 68.9 - - - - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 325 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 951 - - 1398 - - - - - 379 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1463 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1663 - - 2111 - - - - - 1092 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 304 - - 416 - - - - - 801 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 223 - - 313 - - - - - 70 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 239 - - 256 - - - - - 260 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -65 - - -1485 - - - - - 240 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1728 - - 3597 - - - - - 852 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8008 - - -7655 - - - - - 33 ODpotential blCL - - - 9671 - - 9766 - - - - - 1059 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 78 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 68.9 - - - - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 55.6 - - - - - 56.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.5 - - 67.0 - - - - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.2 - - 55.2 - - - - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 171 - - 325 - - - - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 951 - - 1398 - - - - - 379 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 13 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98378 11 014 5 096 8 284 98378 91033 11 056 11 076 5 002 91033 85370 12 067 11 057 12 025 85370 80676 12 072 11 062 13 046 80676 76636 10 112 5 057 12 067 76636 73059 11 108 5 093 13 067 73059 69804 9 114 4 105 8 045 69804 66804 5 184 7 266 5 000 66804 64022 5 222 10 241 10 283 64022 61324 5 253 9 241 17 253 61324 58507 11 259 15 247 18 251 58507 55584 15 258 17 245 16 264 55584 52796 16 259 18 256 15 277 52796 50289 17 262 18 273 22 284 50289 48044 13 269 19 282 26 283 48044 46004 13 304 18 297 25 285 46004 44129 15 313 20 317 25 288 44129 42392 17 333 25 331 24 294 42392 40776 21 348 27 333 24 307 40776 39266 26 348 28 341 25 324 39266 37853 25 357 28 346 32 331 37853 36498 28 006 31 353 33 339 36498 35126 35 004 39 359 39 352 35126 33709 41 002 47 357 45 354 33709 32246 41 005 47 358 46 357 32246 30720 38 014 39 006 39 358 30720 29122 29 024 28 007 27 355 29122 27451 16 028 18 010 15 354 27451 25702 7 037 14 017 17 012 25702 23873 8 056 11 034 19 021 23873 21971 10 073 10 056 17 018 21971 19991 8 073 9 059 14 026 19991 17924 8 123 6 094 11 033 17924 15810 10 146 7 111 6 078 15810 13765 10 130 10 107 8 099 13765 11896 14 128 11 113 7 114 11896 10228 14 143 11 121 5 118 10228 8741 11 150 7 157 3 119 8741 7419 7 142 4 184 1 104 7419 6246 5 154 3 217 4 058 6246 5211 4 200 3 243 6 069 5211 4299 6 244 4 256 3 084 4299 3496 8 248 8 244 4 217 3496 2783 9 243 11 241 11 239 2783 2161 11*241 10*249 14 254 2161 1647 9*239 10*254 14 260 1647 1255 9 239 10 256 13*261 1255 986 8 239 10 257 12*260 986 822 8 239 9 258 10 260 822 729 6 239 8 258 7 260 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography