DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.5 - - 47.0 - - 50.6 - - 48.9 - - 42.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -40 - - 55 - - 126 - - 0 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 560 - - 807 - - 341 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1272 - - 1518 - - 1052 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 133 - - 323 - - 418 - - 582 - - 317 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 130 - - 192 - - 35 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 13 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 067 - - 074 - - 069 - - 067 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -11 - - -11 - - -9 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1184 - - -298 - - -266 - - -486 - - -277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1912 - - 1570 - - 1784 - - 1538 - - 1005 sfcLCL ODpotential -15856 - - -11541 - - -10236 - - -10727 - - -12842 ODpotential blCL 16584 - - 12813 - - 11754 - - 11779 - - 13570 blCL maxRH 63 - - 90 - - 90 - - 87 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.5 - - 47.0 - - 50.6 - - 48.9 - - 42.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.3 - - 43.1 - - 45.7 - - 45.0 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.9 - - 46.5 - - 49.8 - - 49.0 - - 44.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.9 - - 42.5 - - 45.0 - - 44.7 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -40 - - 55 - - 126 - - 0 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 560 - - 807 - - 341 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 60 - - 60 - - 47 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96257 27 095 19 067 20 092 19 070 22 119 96257 89253 32 084 24 091 21 080 18 093 17 104 89253 83849 31 079 28 083 25 082 20 095 13 101 83849 79342 26 072 23 066 23 076 23 073 19 083 79342 75447 27 082 21 066 20 078 18 065 17 069 75447 72006 28 062 22 069 21 077 16 075 14 075 72006 68879 21 048 21 058 22 059 23 063 20 067 68879 65993 23 057 19 056 15 059 23 042 24 049 65993 63320 31 057 23 061 15 073 19 037 22 036 63320 60745 35 055 29 061 23 060 21 046 16 042 60745 58059 41 048 36 054 31 051 27 038 20 039 58059 55268 45 043 43 045 35 044 30 030 24 032 55268 52593 46 039 47 046 35 045 35 040 29 037 52593 50167 52 043 56 043 50 039 45 027 38 028 50167 47978 65 035 64 027 57 029 44 015 37 014 47978 45975 65 025 60 024 53 022 39 015 37 009 45975 44120 57 028 54 027 49 026 42 021 41 014 44120 42393 66 040 55 032 57 029 55 017 50 018 42393 40782 84 035 69 029 64 023 62 011 63 012 40782 39285 94 027 76 020 69 017 64 005 67 012 39285 37890 95 026 82 017 72 011 63 006 75 016 37890 36549 94 025 83 016 72 012 67 014 82 013 36549 35190 85 024 76 016 72 013 80 017 85 014 35190 33782 70 019 68 016 70 014 84 016 88 017 33782 32327 62 018 63 011 66 014 80 016 88 018 32327 30806 59 018 58 007 63 014 74 017 83 019 30806 29204 57 018 53 009 63 015 62 019 73 020 29204 27522 54 019 49 008 61 014 55 021 63 020 27522 25755 52 020 46 006 55 013 54 018 59 018 25755 23905 52 022 45 007 49 014 55 016 57 016 23905 21974 53 027 46 009 47 014 55 018 54 014 21974 19958 53 031 46 010 45 016 49 019 51 012 19958 17858 47 026 43 013 46 019 43 020 49 012 17858 15715 41 022 42 018 44 021 41 023 49 013 15715 13647 37 026 39 020 43 025 41 025 47 015 13647 11761 31 029 33 025 37 030 40 028 43 020 11761 10088 27 029 25 028 30 031 35 032 38 024 10088 8605 24 026 21 025 24 027 29 033 33 026 8605 7293 22 027 19 025 20 026 24 031 29 026 7293 6134 19 025 15 027 15 029 21 030 26 024 6134 5114 17 016 12 026 12 036 17 034 23 024 5114 4222 17 009 11 021 11 042 14 039 20 024 4222 3440 16 011 8 021 10 051 13 046 18 026 3440 2744 14 024 6 046 10 071 12 056 16 027 2744 2133 13 041 10 072 14 077 13 067 15 031 2133 1627 14 050 15*072 15*074 14 069 13 045 1627 1242 13 060 15*068 15*074 14*069 14 059 1242 978 12 070 14 067 14 074 12*069 13 063 978 819 10*068 12 067 12 074 10 070 10*064 819 728 6*066 8 067 9 075 7 069 4*067 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography