DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/22 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 78.7 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 381 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 820 - - 1495 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 972 - - 1571 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1533 - - 2209 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 365 - - 477 - - - - - 670 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 240 - - 337 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 271 - - - - - 237 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1343 - - -3889 - - - - - -2669 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2876 - - 6098 - - - - - 3399 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9572 - - -10809 - - - - - -11698 ODpotential blCL - - - 11105 - - 13018 - - - - - 12428 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 54 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 78.7 - - - - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.5 - - 54.8 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 76.5 - - - - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 54.3 - - - - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 381 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 820 - - 1495 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99189 23 118 21 096 15 089 99189 91757 27 115 19 110 18 099 91757 86005 22 111 18 102 24 102 86005 81212 21 097 19 106 19 100 81212 77084 14 096 16 117 16 089 77084 73440 13 099 14 130 8 086 73440 70142 11 099 7 127 6 120 70142 67118 9 103 6 153 6 125 67118 64327 8 136 10 134 7 184 64327 61636 8 203 8 230 6 173 61636 58819 15 205 19 217 10 231 58819 55900 23 211 24 205 22 223 55900 53135 30 217 28 211 29 218 53135 50658 32 219 33 217 29 212 50658 48438 39 227 34 222 29 233 48438 46423 43 222 41 218 35 238 46423 44578 45 222 43 219 39 233 44578 42876 47 225 41 222 45 233 42876 41297 51 226 47 226 52 230 41297 39826 52 226 51 225 55 227 39826 38445 51 227 50 224 54 226 38445 37107 48 227 46 226 50 227 37107 35742 44 228 43 226 48 228 35742 34321 41 229 40 227 45 228 34321 32845 40 229 38 226 42 228 32845 31301 39 227 36 225 41 227 31301 29676 37 228 37 225 39 229 29676 27970 36 226 37 226 34 232 27970 26181 36 225 36 227 30 234 26181 24310 36 225 34 229 29 232 24310 22362 37 225 33 228 29 229 22362 20333 36 224 34 226 29 224 20333 18216 35 223 33 223 28 220 18216 16054 32 222 30 219 26 216 16054 13965 28 220 27 219 23 216 13965 12061 26 219 25 220 21 217 12061 10367 24 219 24 221 19 220 10367 8860 22 218 21 223 17 223 8860 7521 18 220 18 222 13 223 7521 6334 12 221 13 220 10 227 6334 5286 7 223 9 219 9 250 5286 4365 4 277 6 243 9 281 4365 3555 6 312 6 288 12 296 3555 2833 7 305 8*287 15 305 2833 2197 9 288 9*277 15 307 2197 1668 8*262 9 272 11 292 1668 1267 8*255 9 271 10 256 1267 991 8 254 9 269 9 242 991 825 8 253 9 268 8*239 825 730 7 253 8 268 5*237 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography