DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/22 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 71.7 - - 67.6 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 345 - - 176 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 825 - - 1461 - - 1116 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 932 - - 1520 - - 1035 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1538 - - 2174 - - 1829 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 375 - - 401 - - 481 - - 735 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 323 - - 236 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 10 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 258 - - 270 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -602 - - -2552 - - -1726 - - -602 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2140 - - 4726 - - 3556 - - 1331 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8477 - - -8396 - - -8475 - - -9624 ODpotential blCL - - - 10015 - - 10570 - - 10304 - - 10353 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 66 - - 76 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.3 - - 71.7 - - 67.6 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 53.6 - - 54.5 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 69.6 - - 66.4 - - 59.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 53.2 - - 54.4 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 229 - - 345 - - 176 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 825 - - 1461 - - 1116 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 0 - - 4 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98259 8 330 6 202 12 232 8 250 98259 90888 4 050 2 284 3 351 0 310 90888 85233 5 067 7 015 11 038 7 069 85233 80556 10 106 6 337 9 031 15 054 80556 76521 8 068 5 090 4 021 12 047 76521 72944 8 033 11 086 7 114 5 134 72944 69694 5 127 3 122 5 091 8 131 69694 66696 5 168 6 163 2 302 3 064 66696 63913 9 190 8 212 8 255 5 277 63913 61205 10 201 14 217 14 241 11 256 61205 58374 14 233 20 254 18 265 17 272 58374 55440 16 259 20 250 21 252 19 255 55440 52633 17 267 19 262 23 262 24 273 52633 50115 27 277 28 266 33 264 32 267 50115 47879 34 272 32 264 31 260 31 265 47879 45875 26 274 20 272 20 279 24 276 45875 44066 23 302 22 308 25 298 25 297 44066 42413 29 311 26 307 27 307 25 321 42413 40879 26 315 25 314 23 323 39 334 40879 39443 24 338 30 331 36 339 31 329 39443 38089 36 346 42 339 34 342 21 332 38089 36772 47 344 48 337 35 352 23 353 36772 35424 49 342 46 332 46 356 21 347 35424 34017 49 342 43 333 40 356 21 335 34017 32554 49 342 40 341 32 348 28 326 32554 31022 46 343 41 346 38 338 38 331 31022 29411 42 341 43 344 40 338 38 335 29411 27717 41 338 41 339 33 339 34 332 27717 25940 37 340 34 337 31 334 32 326 25940 24082 32 344 28 336 27 332 29 327 24082 22146 23 346 23 339 21 323 24 336 22146 20128 19 346 17 335 17 325 19 325 20128 18024 16 349 13 328 14 322 16 317 18024 15880 11 346 9 319 10 317 11 318 15880 13817 7 325 6 302 5 299 5 297 13817 11942 6 303 5 276 4 260 5 241 11942 10273 5 298 6 266 6 249 6 236 10273 8787 5 306 6 264 5 255 5 241 8787 7464 6 301 5 272 4 269 4 254 7464 6287 5 315 4 276 5 272 4 271 6287 5245 3 331 4 249 6 272 5 282 5245 4329 1 274 6 235 8 275 7 295 4329 3522 4 230 9 239 9 275 8 301 3522 2805 9 230 11 245 12 275 8 294 2805 2174 11 231 10*254 13*272 10 277 2174 1654 10*233 11*257 13*271 12 264 1654 1258 9*233 11 258 13 270 12 254 1258 987 9 233 10 258 12 269 10 247 987 823 8 234 10 259 12 269 8*244 823 729 7 234 8 258 9 269 5*241 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography