DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/31 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 60.4 - - - - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 36 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2207 - - 1497 - - - - - 271 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1782 - - 712 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2920 - - 2210 - - - - - 983 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3603 - - 3111 - - - - - 2243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 162 - - - - - 38 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 235 - - - - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -407 - - 506 - - - - - -349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3327 - - 1704 - - - - - 1333 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1320 - - -250 - - - - - -724 ODpotential blCL - - - 4240 - - 2460 - - - - - 1707 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 610 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 60.4 - - - - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.6 - - 55.3 - - - - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 60.1 - - - - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 54.7 - - - - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 36 - - - - - 2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2207 - - 1497 - - - - - 271 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 101 - - - - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96644 41 291 39 276 40 307 96644 89416 24 289 35 285 31 306 89416 83890 19 284 29 293 23 301 83890 79292 18 277 21 294 25 296 79292 75335 20 292 23 292 23 305 75335 71851 18 291 25 283 21 325 71851 68673 18 300 20 275 25 308 68673 65714 26 295 22 279 28 287 65714 62946 27 293 31 277 37 285 62946 60261 39 290 35 266 43 280 60261 57460 42 278 37 266 43 271 57460 54529 37 273 45 275 42 275 54529 51710 44 279 49 274 53 280 51710 49173 56 279 55 273 57 278 49173 46906 64 277 62 271 61 279 46906 44859 69 274 66 270 63 274 44859 42987 74 269 69 267 57 272 42987 41256 86 266 73 265 56 279 41256 39649 96 264 77 264 61 283 39649 38157 98 260 80 262 65 283 38157 36765 103 259 82 260 66 279 36765 35430 116 259 82 258 62 274 35430 34077 125 257 83 254 55 271 34077 32677 121 257 89 249 48 271 32677 31231 101 258 94 248 43 274 31231 29727 88 257 86 252 41 273 29727 28160 76 255 68 256 34 277 28160 26536 56 249 52 253 26 278 26536 24851 49 240 44 244 27 265 24851 23093 51 241 43 246 31 263 23093 21261 56 248 42 256 33 273 21261 19344 48 266 44 262 30 279 19344 17335 32 291 37 265 21 288 17335 15281 22 291 36 270 14 285 15281 13301 20 280 30 271 12 266 13301 11498 13 301 25 267 15 256 11498 9895 8 307 21 265 11 246 9895 8472 7 231 19 260 10 244 8472 7205 13 232 20 255 13 253 7205 6082 14 230 19 249 18 248 6082 5089 14 225 19 244 21 238 5089 4215 14 223 18 241 22 231 4215 3444 13*218 15 237 21 232 3444 2755 11*214 13*236 19 237 2755 2147 10 214 12*236 17 241 2147 1640 10 214 11 235 15 245 1640 1252 9 215 10 234 12 247 1252 984 9 216 9 235 11*247 984 822 8 216 8 235 9*247 822 728 6 216 6 235 6 248 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography