DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/31 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 75.3 - - 71.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 353 - - 226 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1036 - - 1670 - - 1144 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1095 - - 1685 - - 1184 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1750 - - 2383 - - 1858 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 788 - - 1370 - - 665 - - 751 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 250 - - 344 - - 261 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 280 - - 281 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2547 - - -4465 - - -4273 - - -3199 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4297 - - 6848 - - 6131 - - 3928 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8764 - - -10328 - - -10355 - - -11124 ODpotential blCL - - - 10514 - - 12711 - - 12213 - - 11853 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 44 - - 47 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.9 - - 75.3 - - 71.9 - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 47.9 - - 47.8 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 73.1 - - 70.3 - - 63.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 46.8 - - 46.9 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 211 - - 353 - - 226 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1036 - - 1670 - - 1144 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98444 16 113 15 112 11 103 14 109 98444 91025 20 113 13 137 9 107 14 090 91025 85326 20 130 13 146 11 093 14 082 85326 80574 19 132 15 135 9 095 14 067 80574 76488 17 133 15 127 13 102 10 081 76488 72899 12 127 13 135 11 099 10 086 72899 69657 9 136 10 137 8 097 9 089 69657 66664 10 197 9 159 1 210 6 082 66664 63871 10 186 11 217 7 216 3 209 63871 61151 8 234 12 220 12 223 10 232 61151 58304 19 261 15 240 17 235 16 244 58304 55348 30 264 24 260 22 259 21 248 55348 52525 37 262 35 263 33 270 27 254 52525 49981 41 266 40 265 42 268 34 263 49981 47706 47 269 46 269 47 267 40 268 47706 45658 52 271 50 272 50 267 46 271 45658 43804 56 273 53 274 51 268 51 272 43804 42108 61 276 56 277 53 272 53 274 42108 40547 64 277 59 280 54 276 52 276 40547 39092 65 279 61 282 55 281 52 280 39092 37724 63 281 60 284 55 282 52 283 37724 36402 62 283 59 288 51 285 50 284 36402 35058 61 282 57 287 46 289 40 286 35058 33664 59 283 53 287 39 288 33 291 33664 32223 55 286 44 290 26 295 28 289 32223 30718 47 284 35 296 22 312 20 298 30718 29135 35 283 30 303 20 322 17 321 29135 27474 29 301 28 311 19 328 16 331 27474 25730 29 309 27 310 17 326 15 327 25730 23903 28 311 24 309 16 320 13 314 23903 21993 22 308 20 307 17 322 14 320 21993 19995 20 298 18 299 15 302 13 305 19995 17905 20 291 19 288 16 289 15 297 17905 15771 19 293 18 286 16 289 14 295 15771 13716 17 298 17 291 15 289 13 288 13716 11847 14 302 14 297 12 291 11 288 11847 10188 9 302 9 293 8 289 8 291 10188 8716 7 299 6 293 6 289 5 311 8716 7409 6 315 4 323 3 303 4 357 7409 6249 6 341 4 350 2 320 6 029 6249 5223 7 355 4 349 3 335 7 038 5223 4318 7 002 5 343 5 329 6 025 4318 3519 8 007 6 326 7 309 5 344 3519 2806 7 004 6*304 11 290 11 307 2806 2178 5*348 8*284 12*284 14 301 2178 1658 4*272 9 281 12*283 13 292 1658 1260 5 266 9 280 12 282 9 275 1260 989 5 263 9 279 12 281 8 267 989 823 5 263 9 278 11 280 7 266 823 729 5 263 8 278 9 279 5*264 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography