DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 72.1 - - 70.1 - - 59.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 411 - - 233 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 976 - - 1456 - - 1054 - - 298 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1127 - - 1558 - - 1118 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1689 - - 2170 - - 1767 - - 1011 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 301 - - 390 - - 392 - - 478 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 342 - - 254 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 244 - - 259 - - 269 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -796 - - -2989 - - -3136 - - -802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2485 - - 5159 - - 4903 - - 1813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9488 - - -10095 - - -10976 - - -10892 ODpotential blCL - - - 11177 - - 12265 - - 12743 - - 11903 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 62 - - 59 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 72.1 - - 70.1 - - 59.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.8 - - 52.2 - - 51.4 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 69.7 - - 68.6 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 51.7 - - 51.1 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 281 - - 411 - - 233 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 976 - - 1456 - - 1054 - - 298 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99103 26 122 15 118 16 105 13 116 99103 91637 19 111 16 136 11 102 17 088 91637 85886 16 116 15 126 12 135 14 090 85886 81105 13 120 13 119 11 115 14 108 81105 76974 12 131 8 102 14 112 7 110 76974 73331 14 132 9 166 6 105 5 101 73331 70035 7 107 8 138 2 166 2 202 70035 67004 7 116 6 188 4 313 3 007 67004 64198 5 043 6 160 7 229 8 305 64198 61499 9 283 7 259 8 253 12 269 61499 58684 13 266 12 252 11 255 11 256 58684 55751 19 268 19 267 20 274 21 269 55751 52959 23 268 22 264 23 266 22 265 52959 50447 23 274 21 269 19 267 21 269 50447 48197 24 277 24 278 23 283 25 283 48197 46166 24 276 24 273 21 286 19 288 46166 44312 18 276 13 276 12 289 16 306 44312 42601 12 297 7 310 7 338 11 316 42601 41016 9 330 7 014 12 028 11 022 41016 39540 9 008 15 047 19 050 21 042 39540 38156 12 050 22 059 23 060 26 046 38156 36822 19 056 24 059 25 065 28 049 36822 35462 20 054 23 056 25 063 26 049 35462 34048 21 056 21 054 23 058 22 044 34048 32581 20 059 20 057 19 057 18 044 32581 31047 19 057 19 061 17 062 14 047 31047 29431 17 057 16 065 13 064 11 050 29431 27735 13 061 13 067 9 055 10 027 27735 25960 9 045 12 055 9 033 9 021 25960 24105 7 037 10 050 8 023 8 017 24105 22170 5 050 5 065 4 006 8 017 22170 20150 4 078 4 089 2 016 6 017 20150 18041 4 081 5 097 2 061 4 033 18041 15891 3 173 3 132 4 106 4 065 15891 13819 5 194 6 190 4 123 4 113 13819 11935 5 196 8 185 4 166 3 138 11935 10261 5 205 8 182 6 177 3 169 10261 8772 6 211 7 191 7 178 3 198 8772 7449 7 212 7 200 7 184 4 202 7449 6274 7 207 7 204 7 190 5 199 6274 5235 6 198 7 201 7 197 6 205 5235 4321 6 194 9 199 8 210 8 224 4321 3516 7 205 10 212 10 222 10 236 3516 2800 10 231 11 234 11 238 12 244 2800 2171 11*242 10*252 11*257 13 259 2171 1652 10*244 10*257 11*267 13 264 1652 1257 10 244 11 258 11 269 12*267 1257 987 9 245 10 259 11 270 10*268 987 823 9 245 10 260 10 270 9 268 823 729 7 245 8 260 9 270 6 268 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography