DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.8 - - 53.7 - - 58.4 - - 56.6 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 7 - - 96 - - -6 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 242 - - 2667 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1862 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 954 - - 3380 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 475 - - 1324 - - 1083 - - 4102 - - 2923 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 64 - - 267 - - 18 - - 10 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 12 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 156 - - 190 - - 205 - - 216 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4401 - - -3541 - - 420 - - -1602 - - -821 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5129 - - 4496 - - 2961 - - 2331 - - 1550 sfcLCL ODpotential -15724 - - -10944 - - -4442 - - -1901 - - -1968 ODpotential blCL 16452 - - 11898 - - 7822 - - 2630 - - 2697 blCL maxRH 35 - - 55 - - 85 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m 46.8 - - 53.7 - - 58.4 - - 56.6 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.7 - - 37.0 - - 48.2 - - 49.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 53.7 - - 57.7 - - 56.8 - - 53.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.5 - - 35.9 - - 47.0 - - 48.4 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 7 - - 96 - - -6 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 242 - - 2667 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 91 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96000 53 332 43 333 48 321 50 324 54 308 96000 89008 47 343 37 349 35 325 42 330 38 326 89008 83530 41 341 31 346 27 333 40 332 35 341 83530 78935 37 330 29 341 26 330 42 328 36 332 78935 74972 36 330 27 335 28 328 36 324 33 327 74972 71482 33 330 26 329 29 324 28 321 30 324 71482 68335 33 323 24 320 30 317 30 324 27 320 68335 65455 29 318 25 314 33 313 31 319 25 309 65455 62789 29 315 30 310 32 306 26 301 26 295 62789 60201 35 307 32 303 30 295 31 289 28 277 60201 57486 37 303 37 295 33 289 33 278 28 270 57486 54651 40 297 43 283 41 277 38 273 30 271 54651 51923 43 285 41 281 47 267 42 259 35 257 51923 49440 39 283 48 283 46 266 41 257 34 255 49440 47196 47 290 57 277 59 267 50 259 48 265 47196 45156 52 286 56 271 60 262 57 254 57 257 45156 43289 49 278 46 266 53 259 58 252 59 253 43289 41577 35 263 39 248 55 251 63 249 63 250 41577 40009 12 281 41 246 56 242 69 237 70 246 40009 38569 27 263 41 243 52 226 67 222 80 238 38569 37227 26 265 37 233 52 222 64 218 80 228 37227 35925 22 259 37 224 57 217 66 216 73 224 35925 34591 26 234 35 212 58 215 66 215 77 230 34591 33198 38 232 37 208 61 217 67 219 77 231 33198 31749 46 244 45 219 64 223 65 230 76 233 31749 30230 54 250 53 229 63 227 64 232 75 233 30230 28631 53 253 53 232 59 229 65 230 72 230 28631 26955 45 249 51 227 59 224 65 228 70 230 26955 25208 43 241 54 224 63 222 65 229 61 236 25208 23396 44 235 52 225 61 227 61 233 50 239 23396 21517 41 228 47 223 53 234 53 234 48 248 21517 19557 37 221 44 226 47 235 46 238 46 245 19557 17513 36 222 40 233 40 230 45 241 44 239 17513 15427 32 227 35 240 34 230 45 240 40 235 15427 13416 28 231 27 235 30 232 39 236 36 235 13416 11587 25 225 23 232 28 232 32 231 30 237 11587 9958 24 214 19 221 28 228 24 233 25 240 9958 8512 25 202 19 197 27 220 16 238 20 245 8512 7228 27 192 23 188 29 209 13 244 16 234 7228 6092 28 186 27 183 31 200 16 221 16 214 6092 5092 26 183 27 183 30 197 20 209 20 228 5092 4216 25 183 24 187 25 199 20 207 25 241 4216 3444 22 186 21 196 18*203 19 209 26 242 3444 2756 20 191 20 204 15*204 18 212 24 237 2756 2147 18 194 19 205 13 205 18 213 21 232 2147 1640 16 194 17 199 12 205 17 214 17 230 1640 1251 15 191 15 191 11 206 15 215 14 228 1251 984 11 190 11*190 10 206 13 216 12 226 984 821 6 186 9*189 9 206 11*216 8*226 821 729 2*156 6 190 7 206 8*216 4*229 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography