DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.2 - - 67.2 - - 71.5 - - 67.3 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 35 - - 295 - - 407 - - 197 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 122 - - 1889 - - 3054 - - 2023 - - 991 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1788 - - 2753 - - 1741 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 834 - - 2602 - - 3768 - - 2736 - - 1704 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 922 - - 1022 - - 2169 - - 1916 - - 1272 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 334 - - 436 - - 298 - - 125 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 15 - - 17 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 268 - - 241 - - 255 - - 260 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -424 - - -94 - - 220 - - 146 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 833 - - 3026 - - 3862 - - 2516 - - 1558 sfcLCL ODpotential -413 - - -2374 - - -312 - - 179 - - -464 ODpotential blCL 1247 - - 4976 - - 4080 - - 2557 - - 2168 blCL maxRH 98 - - 86 - - 90 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.2 - - 67.2 - - 71.5 - - 67.3 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.9 - - 56.4 - - 56.9 - - 58.6 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.7 - - 65.5 - - 69.4 - - 66.2 - - 60.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.8 - - 55.9 - - 56.7 - - 58.5 - - 56.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 35 - - 295 - - 407 - - 197 - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 122 - - 1889 - - 3054 - - 2023 - - 991 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 46 - - 60 - - 81 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98986 17 112 13 114 8 156 5 073 9 085 98986 91531 18 086 19 096 16 126 10 124 12 068 91531 85777 17 097 17 083 18 108 16 115 13 080 85777 81024 14 115 11 090 12 098 17 087 16 096 81024 76932 12 112 13 106 9 091 15 071 17 096 76932 73305 6 091 12 075 7 107 11 103 13 092 73305 70009 6 129 3 106 5 112 5 134 5 078 70009 66974 5 005 4 140 2 239 1 353 3 024 66974 64152 10 294 6 257 8 275 7 266 4 285 64152 61418 19 298 10 269 14 271 16 260 15 277 61418 58591 22 283 13 285 14 262 19 270 18 254 58591 55683 26 282 22 287 21 273 22 271 20 271 55683 52913 31 275 32 293 33 277 35 279 31 276 52913 50420 38 280 41 284 43 273 47 271 43 266 50420 48185 40 282 44 283 46 275 52 268 51 263 48185 46153 42 284 46 278 48 274 53 269 54 270 46153 44296 45 282 44 276 53 276 57 276 60 279 44296 42588 46 279 48 277 58 276 61 279 62 281 42588 41004 47 277 50 278 56 274 60 276 60 282 41004 39522 46 275 47 280 53 271 57 272 61 284 39522 38129 46 272 47 281 52 270 51 272 60 281 38129 36783 46 268 48 280 52 271 47 276 58 277 36783 35413 45 267 48 280 52 272 44 279 55 279 35413 33985 44 265 47 280 52 274 43 283 53 281 33985 32502 44 265 45 278 50 274 43 283 53 281 32502 30950 44 266 43 275 48 274 42 279 53 283 30950 29314 43 266 41 276 48 273 42 278 53 282 29314 27599 43 265 39 277 49 271 43 278 51 279 27599 25804 43 265 40 273 49 270 43 278 48 280 25804 23928 43 265 42 269 47 271 45 278 44 284 23928 21975 42 266 42 266 45 272 47 276 43 277 21975 19941 40 268 42 265 44 272 44 273 43 270 19941 17823 37 266 40 265 41 268 39 273 42 269 17823 15668 32 263 37 261 38 265 37 268 37 265 15668 13598 30 267 32 256 34 260 34 261 34 260 13598 11726 26 262 26 252 29 251 30 254 28 253 11726 10073 22 249 24 244 25 239 26 244 23 242 10073 8613 20 242 23 245 22 235 22 232 21 236 8613 7320 16 245 19 248 19 236 19 228 20 235 7320 6172 12 253 14 246 16 235 17 233 19 237 6172 5157 9 255 11 245 15 235 17 240 19 243 5157 4265 8 254 11 247 15*239 17 246 18 247 4265 3481 8 257 11 247 15*245 17 252 16 256 3481 2782 9 262 10*245 15 251 18*256 14 274 2782 2165 11 266 9*243 15 255 18*258 13*284 2165 1652 11 268 9 241 15 257 17 260 13*287 1652 1258 8 269 9 241 15 258 17 261 12 287 1258 988 6*268 8 240 15 259 16 261 11 287 988 823 5*268 8 239 13 259 15 262 10 287 823 729 4 268 7 240 11 259 11 262 7 285 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography