DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/22 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.0 - - 54.4 - - 60.1 - - 58.9 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 23 - - 80 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 124 - - 1050 - - 713 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 836 - - 1762 - - 1426 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 232 - - 497 - - 841 - - 1199 - - 377 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 61 - - 186 - - 71 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 20 - - 11 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 006 - - 295 - - 004 - - 055 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1661 - - -2317 - - -1606 - - -1215 - - -612 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2389 - - 3153 - - 3368 - - 2641 - - 1340 sfcLCL ODpotential -9637 - - -8260 - - -6166 - - -5917 - - -7617 ODpotential blCL 10365 - - 9096 - - 7928 - - 7343 - - 8345 blCL maxRH 59 - - 63 - - 82 - - 90 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.0 - - 54.4 - - 60.1 - - 58.9 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.5 - - 43.3 - - 48.0 - - 49.9 - - 46.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.7 - - 54.0 - - 59.3 - - 59.0 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 42.3 - - 46.7 - - 48.9 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 23 - - 80 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 124 - - 1050 - - 713 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 29 - - 62 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95522 10 064 10 283 21 315 25 324 5 286 95522 88717 23 060 12 057 11 016 18 020 6 122 88717 83405 24 054 13 062 13 033 20 022 12 062 83405 78967 20 052 16 054 12 040 14 015 16 034 78967 75121 13 041 22 044 14 044 10 014 13 014 75121 71704 14 033 22 039 15 047 12 022 12 018 71704 68596 17 023 17 031 14 045 12 016 13 020 68596 65726 18 010 16 017 12 027 13 014 11 012 65726 63058 16 351 19 003 15 010 15 012 10 008 63058 60470 16 350 19 342 19 352 16 351 13 004 60470 57758 16 349 21 327 23 336 20 337 13 344 57758 54924 16 345 18 312 20 317 21 327 16 334 54924 52192 15 340 13 315 17 303 18 315 17 333 52192 49705 17 338 13 336 13 302 17 311 17 336 49705 47457 20 333 15 344 8 314 13 312 16 334 47457 45405 19 323 16 345 5 003 9 320 13 336 45405 43512 14 319 15 349 10 025 8 346 14 346 43512 41750 11 349 13 003 12 023 10 002 18 352 41750 40106 8 019 9 015 12 037 13 004 20 355 40106 38574 12 052 9 057 14 037 15 007 20 006 38574 37149 16 042 8 083 16 022 19 023 27 022 37149 35793 17 038 19 085 10 051 26 033 36 033 35793 34433 12 063 22 071 20 075 32 033 46 036 34433 33039 15 081 26 071 34 060 31 042 52 033 33039 31610 26 094 32 081 36 056 34 046 44 029 31610 30126 26 095 31 080 28 071 27 048 35 030 30126 28569 12 132 23 089 24 087 17 074 29 030 28569 26935 17 170 20 109 22 094 17 098 29 033 26935 25217 17 156 17 115 19 091 15 117 26 036 25217 23417 17 137 14 112 19 083 20 075 22 039 23417 21542 19 128 15 103 21 082 26 069 22 047 21542 19588 20 126 17 120 20 083 27 067 22 053 19588 17547 17 133 16 139 12 104 18 079 24 051 17547 15467 12 144 15 147 11 133 13 088 22 047 15467 13464 8 145 17 138 14 136 14 089 19 060 13464 11639 7 128 18 137 15 122 13 081 15 071 11639 10014 7 096 16 137 13 113 10 072 15 068 10014 8569 10 071 11 132 8 117 8 063 15 053 8569 7283 15 074 5 131 4 124 11 062 15 043 7283 6141 15 089 2 114 2 078 12 055 11 042 6141 5132 11 102 3 093 2 029 8 051 6 036 5132 4245 5 096 3 096 2 347 4 044 5 016 4245 3463 2 014 2 102 3 330 2 008 5 016 3463 2766 3 330 1 317 4 339 2 012 6 023 2766 2152 5 315 3 302 3*351 2 033 6 022 2152 1642 6 302 2 279 3*359 3*048 5 019 1642 1251 6 289 2 224 3 006 3*055 4 030 1251 984 4 286 1*229 3 005 3 056 4 035 984 821 2*290 1*288 3 004 3 054 3 033 821 728 1*006 0 300 3 004 2 055 2*031 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography