DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 42.7 - - 47.1 - - 44.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 55 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1279 - - 1623 - - 2036 - - 117 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 711 - - 711 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1990 - - 2334 - - 2747 - - 828 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3308 - - 1944 - - 4580 - - 4051 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 191 - - 186 - - 176 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 256 - - 259 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -4 - - 4 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -703 - - 604 - - 381 - - -234 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2693 - - 1730 - - 2366 - - 1062 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1524 - - 314 - - -415 - - -574 ODpotential blCL - - - 3514 - - 2020 - - 3162 - - 1402 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 90 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 20 - - 180 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.5 - - 42.7 - - 47.1 - - 44.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 37.9 - - 39.4 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 42.2 - - 46.9 - - 44.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 37.0 - - 38.1 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 55 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1279 - - 1623 - - 2036 - - 117 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 99 - - 59 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96758 24 104 21 117 24 109 26 112 96758 89590 31 108 19 119 18 105 26 108 89590 84015 24 104 16 108 18 102 19 095 84015 79373 17 098 12 083 13 120 8 071 79373 75374 7 079 9 082 13 110 4 122 75374 71828 2 234 5 007 3 063 5 098 71828 68588 4 183 2 285 6 218 4 214 68588 65578 9 253 16 261 9 261 8 298 65578 62770 13 259 15 233 15 239 24 271 62770 60042 20 280 15 318 8 255 13 259 60042 57183 25 280 30 302 24 314 24 315 57183 54213 30 291 37 280 38 291 36 296 54213 51381 35 294 33 281 33 281 33 292 51381 48830 42 306 39 309 44 301 39 300 48830 46544 56 305 62 308 50 299 47 295 46544 44481 66 301 64 301 57 303 54 306 44481 42599 69 299 66 303 65 305 61 308 42599 40866 70 300 69 306 73 304 72 301 40866 39259 72 302 73 306 81 300 79 294 39259 37760 75 303 81 303 86 296 84 291 37760 36353 79 302 84 297 88 294 91 291 36353 35002 81 302 79 296 87 294 99 291 35002 33640 80 302 78 298 86 295 106 289 33640 32237 80 303 80 299 84 295 116 286 32237 30792 79 304 81 300 85 297 120 282 30792 29286 80 304 81 303 86 298 114 282 29286 27709 80 304 81 308 84 299 106 285 27709 26063 77 307 83 311 83 300 100 288 26063 24346 74 308 83 311 77 302 98 292 24346 22559 69 309 80 310 71 307 98 297 22559 20716 71 313 73 309 72 311 89 302 20716 18812 72 314 67 313 72 309 79 305 18812 16841 62 316 64 318 64 312 67 314 16841 14840 57 319 57 316 54 313 57 319 14840 12914 50 319 37 304 44 306 42 309 12914 11167 29 314 32 293 40 298 28 268 11167 9617 24 310 25 294 37 303 22 257 9617 8240 23 311 22 290 34 308 16 250 8240 7017 22 312 19 290 26 311 12 251 7017 5930 20 312 16 291 18 306 11 245 5930 4968 18 310 13 292 16 302 10 242 4968 4120 16 306 11 294 15 300 11 240 4120 3371 13 303 9 294 13*292 12 239 3371 2702 11 298 8*290 10*282 13 239 2702 2111 8*286 6*272 8 264 14 238 2111 1617 6*256 5 257 7 252 14 237 1617 1238 6 246 5 252 7 249 13 235 1238 977 5 244 5 249 7 248 11*234 977 819 5 244 5 248 6 246 9*233 819 728 4 245 4 248 5 245 6 233 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography