DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 71.7 - - 69.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 400 - - 275 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1510 - - 2204 - - 1633 - - 657 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1415 - - 2103 - - 1584 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2223 - - 2917 - - 2347 - - 1369 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 520 - - 553 - - 587 - - 835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 389 - - 311 - - 119 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 13 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 237 - - 259 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 162 - - -764 - - -1069 - - 174 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2061 - - 3681 - - 3416 - - 1195 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 85 - - -7096 - - -8080 - - -38 ODpotential blCL - - - 2138 - - 10013 - - 10427 - - 1407 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 88 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.1 - - 71.7 - - 69.6 - - 60.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.4 - - 57.8 - - 56.9 - - 57.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.8 - - 69.5 - - 67.8 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 57.5 - - 56.7 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 212 - - 400 - - 275 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1510 - - 2204 - - 1633 - - 657 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 54 - - 44 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99192 30 093 29 116 18 120 18 099 99192 91737 17 105 23 091 22 118 17 089 91737 85974 17 121 16 093 20 099 17 092 85974 81173 21 118 11 120 14 096 15 093 81173 77029 22 113 13 131 11 103 15 097 77029 73366 10 083 15 122 8 102 12 087 73366 70061 4 112 8 098 9 089 5 082 70061 67045 3 143 3 172 5 357 5 068 67045 64249 1 218 6 183 7 253 3 235 64249 61530 4 258 6 212 10 203 9 226 61530 58694 9 247 9 235 11 204 13 235 58694 55762 11 233 12 236 13 223 15 233 55762 52964 15 225 18 232 17 236 15 232 52964 50441 18 220 20 226 20 239 17 234 50441 48177 19 218 20 221 20 234 19 226 48177 46123 18 223 18 221 20 228 19 219 46123 44246 20 231 19 232 19 224 19 220 44246 42519 21 234 20 238 19 225 19 222 42519 40920 17 233 17 241 19 223 19 222 40920 39431 14 242 17 248 18 222 18 228 39431 38039 10 252 15 255 15 233 15 235 38039 36701 5 287 11 260 12 247 13 243 36701 35345 6 024 3 259 8 267 14 235 35345 33935 8 018 5 274 8 261 13 240 33935 32472 7 357 7 269 10 244 10 252 32472 30942 5 334 7 265 11 248 9 257 30942 29333 5 324 7 279 9 262 7 267 29333 27645 6 340 7 299 7 273 7 268 27645 25876 9 328 8 309 7 273 7 260 25876 24027 9 296 8 303 8 271 7 260 24027 22101 7 270 8 274 9 260 9 262 22101 20090 6 258 8 250 11 242 10 250 20090 17991 8 228 11 222 14 231 12 229 17991 15846 12 212 13 209 18 223 17 223 15846 13775 16 214 16 213 20 222 17 218 13775 11892 17 216 16 211 16 216 15 207 11892 10220 16 217 14 208 14 208 14 204 10220 8736 13 216 12 211 12 207 11 206 8736 7418 11 215 11 217 10 215 10 208 7418 6246 12 211 11 221 10 221 10 211 6246 5210 14 202 14 208 12 204 14 204 5210 4298 18 195 18 196 16 196 18 200 4298 3497 20 198 18*201 16 203 19 210 3497 2787 18*207 14*220 14*225 18 241 2787 2166 14*221 14 233 13*252 17 259 2166 1652 12 231 13 240 14 259 16*264 1652 1258 12 234 13 243 14 261 14*265 1258 987 11 236 12 245 13 261 13 266 987 823 10 237 12 246 12 262 12 266 823 729 8 238 10 248 10 263 8 266 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography