DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 79.9 - - 75.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 336 - - 156 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1125 - - 2620 - - 1465 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1121 - - 2368 - - 1244 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1838 - - 3333 - - 2178 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 699 - - 1410 - - 1325 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 390 - - 249 - - - W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 10 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 296 - - 285 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3532 - - -5331 - - -5422 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5371 - - 8664 - - 7601 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11925 - - -12843 - - -13199 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 13763 - - 16176 - - 15377 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 59 - - 39 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.8 - - 79.9 - - 75.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 44.6 - - 45.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 77.9 - - 74.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.3 - - 43.9 - - 45.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 199 - - 336 - - 156 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1125 - - 2620 - - 1465 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98633 11 148 14 200 11 230 98633 91246 7 163 15 192 8 182 91246 85523 11 142 10 191 5 218 85523 80766 3 193 7 139 8 183 80766 76669 4 234 3 196 5 153 76669 73040 7 254 4 295 4 066 73040 69755 10 222 9 255 6 357 69755 66748 9 201 10 256 9 315 66748 63982 5 221 7 282 9 281 63982 61319 5 287 6 285 7 275 61319 58540 13 276 15 274 16 282 58540 55660 18 266 23 253 27 268 55660 52910 24 279 24 257 36 269 52910 50426 39 273 41 267 46 269 50426 48201 44 273 50 266 49 266 48201 46188 41 279 42 269 43 265 46188 44345 54 288 41 283 50 284 44345 42642 72 284 66 286 72 287 42642 41067 75 276 76 272 83 277 41067 39600 70 267 76 262 80 264 39600 38219 64 263 63 254 71 256 38219 36884 56 264 65 274 59 271 36884 35525 52 268 71 285 63 276 35525 34110 53 272 71 287 63 274 34110 32638 52 275 63 283 60 268 32638 31095 51 271 54 272 62 269 31095 29469 51 274 54 264 62 270 29469 27762 44 279 50 263 53 269 27762 25975 42 275 48 265 48 266 25975 24111 42 275 45 271 50 272 24111 22167 29 278 34 280 43 279 22167 20138 29 273 27 280 31 275 20138 18020 24 275 24 278 24 267 18020 15864 13 274 15 278 13 266 15864 13794 7 295 5 282 5 251 13794 11914 6 330 5 348 2 259 11914 10243 5 351 5 347 3 345 10243 8758 6 019 4 010 5 357 8758 7441 11 029 6 043 4 356 7441 6274 15 017 11 033 4 023 6274 5242 16 004 14 015 7 024 5242 4335 14 002 12 354 8 356 4335 3537 14 007 10*334 10 319 3537 2824 13 007 10*313 13 297 2824 2196 8*352 10 300 13*292 2196 1673 5*298 10 295 12*288 1673 1271 5 291 10 291 12 286 1271 994 5 286 10 289 12 284 994 826 5 283 9 288 11 283 826 730 4 281 8 287 9 282 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography