DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 94.8 - - - - - 75.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 169 - - 265 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1631 - - 3891 - - - - - 132 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1441 - - 3261 - - - - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2345 - - 4605 - - - - - 846 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 706 - - 1343 - - - - - 528 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 418 - - - - - 27 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 020 - - 005 - - - - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 12 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8100 - - -8526 - - - - - -6268 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10445 - - 13131 - - - - - 7115 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15903 - - -14634 - - - - - -15133 ODpotential blCL - - - 18248 - - 19239 - - - - - 15979 blCL maxRH - - - 23 - - 39 - - - - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.4 - - 94.8 - - - - - 75.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 39.8 - - - - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 93.0 - - - - - 76.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.3 - - 38.5 - - - - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 169 - - 265 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1631 - - 3891 - - - - - 132 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98727 20 106 12 108 24 106 98727 91252 20 103 22 105 16 087 91252 85506 18 099 22 091 17 086 85506 80755 18 103 19 102 20 079 80755 76673 16 099 15 096 18 073 76673 73071 15 105 12 095 17 076 73071 69805 17 093 11 115 15 086 69805 66791 13 075 10 110 9 066 66791 64011 7 047 8 095 4 033 64011 61346 8 330 4 008 4 037 61346 58578 9 277 5 318 5 340 58578 55717 9 308 7 310 5 282 55717 52999 20 306 18 299 8 306 52999 50563 21 290 23 283 19 306 50563 48381 21 292 25 277 26 293 48381 46397 25 294 25 280 29 283 46397 44579 28 300 25 294 31 277 44579 42898 30 305 28 305 29 276 42898 41332 31 304 31 307 28 280 41332 39860 32 302 33 303 26 286 39860 38471 34 301 34 301 27 294 38471 37125 34 300 33 300 29 299 37125 35756 32 299 31 297 28 298 35756 34334 30 298 30 296 27 296 34334 32859 29 301 29 298 25 299 32859 31315 28 304 29 301 24 303 31315 29690 29 301 30 303 23 314 29690 27986 30 298 32 303 22 326 27986 26204 26 300 30 306 18 343 26204 24345 21 307 26 313 17 349 24345 22410 19 324 20 326 17 346 22410 20388 15 347 12 353 17 353 20388 18276 14 009 12 021 16 007 18276 16118 13 019 12 026 15 014 16118 14033 9 028 9 022 12 015 14033 12129 7 037 6 020 10 028 12129 10433 9 036 7 037 11 043 10433 8923 14 021 13 027 12 054 8923 7581 18 007 18 017 14 049 7581 6389 16 002 14 023 17 033 6389 5335 11 012 10*024 15 023 5335 4407 11 033 10*018 11 015 4407 3590 17 032 9 016 8 354 3590 2859 18*027 9 009 9 324 2859 2215 13*024 8 003 14 303 2215 1681 9 021 7 356 14 293 1681 1274 8 019 7 351 10 286 1274 996 8 018 7 348 8*284 996 827 7 016 6 348 6*282 827 730 5 015 5 346 4 280 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography