DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 68.1 - - 64.5 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 271 - - 93 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1587 - - 2852 - - 1649 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1358 - - 2474 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2299 - - 3565 - - 2362 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 949 - - 1859 - - 1703 - - 1087 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 260 - - 375 - - 219 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 010 - - 255 - - 260 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3017 - - -3093 - - -3307 - - -1736 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5317 - - 6658 - - 5670 - - 2465 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10061 - - -7312 - - -5718 - - -5720 ODpotential blCL - - - 12360 - - 10877 - - 8080 - - 6449 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 49 - - 60 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 68.1 - - 64.5 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.9 - - 41.1 - - 42.0 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 66.3 - - 63.9 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.2 - - 40.5 - - 41.7 - - 44.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 161 - - 271 - - 93 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1587 - - 2852 - - 1649 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97938 13 199 17 269 17 288 15 294 97938 90643 5 293 2 271 7 296 7 303 90643 85016 1 059 0 319 4 343 3 117 85016 80342 10 128 5 241 6 328 7 092 80342 76303 2 039 9 183 6 241 2 360 76303 72748 5 311 4 160 6 186 3 263 72748 69544 4 185 7 293 4 198 4 234 69544 66605 1 299 10 251 10 229 7 252 66605 63878 9 310 9 176 13 202 13 250 63878 61238 11 318 8 102 10 188 18 214 61238 58465 15 287 9 274 8 250 13 199 58465 55571 18 242 19 243 15 255 11 240 55571 52812 14 275 19 237 17 257 13 248 52812 50332 26 286 20 258 18 256 15 252 50332 48099 32 270 28 270 22 262 16 259 48099 46053 30 260 33 261 29 260 24 260 46053 44160 29 264 35 251 34 253 31 255 44160 42396 33 270 37 253 39 249 35 253 42396 40743 39 273 39 257 44 246 35 256 40743 39187 43 274 40 262 43 248 36 257 39187 37721 44 270 42 267 38 251 31 264 37721 36303 41 264 45 266 36 262 32 272 36303 34864 38 261 41 260 38 259 38 265 34864 33377 36 263 36 258 37 254 28 269 33377 31846 37 269 31 262 27 268 20 297 31846 30257 37 266 32 272 24 285 25 333 30257 28600 33 259 36 271 24 291 26 341 28600 26885 25 259 33 268 23 297 24 339 26885 25120 20 270 23 277 23 297 24 337 25120 23294 20 280 22 291 22 293 26 336 23294 21400 22 280 23 288 22 283 26 337 21400 19431 23 276 24 285 22 277 24 332 19431 17387 18 266 23 285 19 275 21 322 17387 15311 17 248 18 277 17 268 16 303 15311 13317 18 238 15 266 16 262 13 297 13317 11509 15 245 11 266 10 262 7 297 11509 9908 8 239 6 260 4 248 4 225 9908 8487 5 213 4 205 5 176 7 182 8487 7225 1 174 2 137 7 162 9 170 7225 6103 6 006 2 031 6 165 8 157 6103 5108 10 003 2 334 4 181 7 162 5108 4229 10 018 3*266 4 209 7 181 4229 3454 11 032 5*255 6 235 8 195 3454 2760 11*030 6 255 7*253 8 206 2760 2149 7*022 7 255 9*260 9 220 2149 1641 4 010 7 255 9 260 9 229 1641 1252 3 005 8 255 9 260 9 232 1252 984 3 360 7 255 9 260 8 232 984 821 2 356 7 255 9 260 6*227 821 729 2 356 6 255 7 260 3*222 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography