DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/03 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.2 - - 53.1 - - 57.8 - - 60.5 - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 22 - - 61 - - 10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 532 - - 1020 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1244 - - 1732 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1392 - - 1052 - - 2497 - - 4982 - - 3701 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 97 - - 166 - - 24 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 15 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 200 - - 201 - - 204 - - 232 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -94 - - 87 - - 289 - - -1668 - - -1065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 822 - - 1157 - - 1443 - - 2397 - - 1794 sfcLCL ODpotential -6008 - - -1568 - - -90 - - -2010 - - -2050 ODpotential blCL 6736 - - 2812 - - 1822 - - 2739 - - 2779 blCL maxRH 91 - - 99 - - 98 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 110 - - 160 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 48.2 - - 53.1 - - 57.8 - - 60.5 - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.2 - - 50.6 - - 54.0 - - 52.6 - - 52.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.1 - - 53.1 - - 57.4 - - 60.7 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.8 - - 50.2 - - 53.5 - - 52.1 - - 51.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 22 - - 61 - - 10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 532 - - 1020 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 62 - - 95 - - 93 - - 94 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96594 26 287 26 280 30 276 31 282 34 292 96594 89587 24 277 26 291 20 292 21 280 23 290 89587 84168 23 255 27 276 24 304 21 299 20 283 84168 79659 20 269 21 273 27 293 22 296 20 277 79659 75732 19 282 19 283 25 282 21 281 21 275 75732 72229 18 286 17 279 21 274 22 268 19 279 72229 69034 18 291 16 288 15 280 17 265 16 285 69034 66070 22 282 21 260 19 282 22 281 21 284 66070 63318 24 262 21 269 24 263 25 265 20 273 63318 60658 28 269 23 279 21 273 15 268 21 277 60658 57882 31 267 29 280 19 292 21 292 24 275 57882 55007 37 275 35 273 37 279 39 289 33 299 55007 52267 46 275 43 274 54 281 51 291 43 295 52267 49805 50 275 55 277 65 272 53 288 45 293 49805 47593 70 271 68 269 58 268 58 289 48 304 47593 45570 81 263 69 265 56 279 64 294 61 305 45570 43714 83 266 72 278 70 293 78 294 72 291 43714 42015 102 271 98 282 90 291 89 283 69 286 42015 40440 113 265 112 273 102 282 90 277 61 297 40440 38957 108 258 111 261 105 274 83 284 69 311 38957 37553 99 256 105 254 91 276 86 296 91 307 37553 36192 93 261 95 254 88 282 97 302 103 297 36192 34815 98 263 92 260 97 282 101 302 100 295 34815 33395 100 260 105 262 100 277 100 302 96 302 33395 31934 97 254 109 255 93 271 100 304 94 308 31934 30409 93 249 104 246 83 268 95 303 95 311 30409 28807 91 248 102 242 75 273 84 308 96 313 28807 27128 88 246 100 243 73 280 83 311 96 313 27128 25368 82 244 93 244 77 282 79 307 93 311 25368 23528 75 240 81 243 78 280 78 302 92 310 23528 21615 68 238 75 241 71 276 77 304 83 313 21615 19627 64 238 66 242 58 272 69 310 70 312 19627 17554 60 236 55 242 49 272 59 302 59 314 17554 15442 52 228 45 241 43 270 51 294 47 313 15442 13410 45 220 41 230 32 272 38 288 38 319 13410 11566 40 216 32 219 24 267 28 288 27 316 11566 9944 36 216 24 219 24 256 19 284 10 324 9944 8516 28 217 21 233 27 252 17 269 7 295 8516 7247 20 219 21 247 27 249 18 263 11 274 7247 6119 15 223 24 255 27 244 17 255 12 258 6119 5120 14 226 26 255 27 237 16 244 8 230 5120 4242 15 228 25 246 26 234 15 240 7 203 4242 3467 18 224 24 232 25 232 15 239 8 198 3467 2774 20 219 23 220 23 227 14 239 8 203 2774 2161 20 216 22 212 21*218 13 236 8 210 2161 1650 19 214 20 205 18*208 11 235 8 213 1650 1257 16 210 17*202 16 203 10 234 7 213 1257 987 13 206 14*201 15 202 9 233 6 206 987 823 9 204 12 202 13 201 8*232 5 193 823 729 4*200 8 201 9 202 6*232 3*179 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography