DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.2 - - 64.6 - - 69.9 - - 62.6 - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 132 - - 186 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1083 - - 2001 - - 758 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1714 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1796 - - 2714 - - 1470 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 538 - - 863 - - 2813 - - 1804 - - 2325 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 215 - - 294 - - 103 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 275 - - 270 - - 268 - - 333 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -669 - - -962 - - -1518 - - 177 - - -1199 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1398 - - 2758 - - 4232 - - 1294 - - 1928 sfcLCL ODpotential -6310 - - -3358 - - -2750 - - -952 - - -2876 ODpotential blCL 7039 - - 5154 - - 5464 - - 2422 - - 3605 blCL maxRH 74 - - 77 - - 93 - - 98 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 180 - - 210 - - 470 - - 840 - - 250 CAPE Temp@2m 54.2 - - 64.6 - - 69.9 - - 62.6 - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.5 - - 54.8 - - 53.7 - - 59.2 - - 55.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.2 - - 63.6 - - 68.6 - - 62.4 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.7 - - 54.2 - - 53.2 - - 58.5 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 132 - - 186 - - 17 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1083 - - 2001 - - 758 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 10 - - 72 - - 91 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97605 8 333 8 300 15 280 13 316 16 286 97605 90335 6 342 15 303 8 334 9 347 11 289 90335 84723 7 296 11 329 8 314 10 319 9 352 84723 80061 12 273 4 309 8 268 10 276 13 351 80061 76054 11 230 6 256 8 247 10 275 10 324 76054 72521 7 239 10 260 15 240 15 247 11 297 72521 69307 8 246 13 238 18 218 19 219 9 236 69307 66332 12 237 11 226 15 201 15 227 10 229 66332 63556 12 214 15 219 18 220 17 234 18 235 63556 60856 16 221 21 216 21 216 20 230 23 223 60856 58032 18 216 20 208 23 217 22 223 24 226 58032 55087 26 218 19 201 23 212 24 225 26 231 55087 52261 37 198 23 215 24 217 25 225 27 225 52261 49711 33 188 34 213 33 212 27 221 28 222 49711 47423 40 204 41 199 38 207 32 216 32 222 47423 45340 49 198 40 191 40 200 36 206 37 216 45340 43428 47 194 37 190 37 191 36 202 41 204 43428 41669 42 194 34 190 35 190 38 200 38 198 41669 40044 42 197 35 191 35 194 39 194 38 199 40044 38531 47 202 37 196 35 194 40 192 40 202 38531 37108 54 203 44 203 45 193 45 192 44 203 37108 35740 66 201 60 200 60 190 51 190 49 197 35740 34361 78 196 75 193 68 180 48 184 51 188 34361 32949 75 189 75 181 75 165 46 176 53 181 32949 31509 61 176 62 174 79 164 54 170 52 177 31509 30024 56 174 61 172 75 168 60 164 52 163 30024 28471 50 173 60 167 60 168 60 157 61 152 28471 26840 45 174 49 156 47 162 53 158 65 153 26840 25127 46 178 29 137 36 162 53 172 63 156 25127 23335 52 173 27 156 31 163 41 175 57 162 23335 21470 53 158 37 186 27 150 29 169 46 164 21470 19525 41 146 27 191 22 142 23 147 36 159 19525 17499 37 149 21 172 28 144 27 146 25 147 17499 15435 35 152 24 167 38 146 28 160 14 116 15435 13444 34 152 32 158 35 143 26 159 10 111 13444 11627 31 151 37 150 27 132 26 156 9 109 11627 10008 27 152 30 150 25 132 27 156 13 127 10008 8570 24 151 24 154 26 150 21 150 15 140 8570 7294 21 145 21 152 21 166 9 125 16 145 7294 6162 19 144 17 151 15 178 8 090 12 140 6162 5160 17 151 13 152 12 190 7 061 9 123 5160 4276 14 160 10 155 11 204 7 030 7 104 4276 3494 12 172 8 167 9 220 6 001 6 093 3494 2794 11 189 7 190 9*240 6 339 5 088 2794 2175 10 211 5*236 9*263 6 333 3 084 2175 1658 9 229 6*270 9 269 5*334 1 037 1658 1262 8 240 6 271 9 269 5*333 2 312 1262 989 5 242 6 271 9 269 4 333 2 293 989 824 3*245 6 270 8 269 4 333 2 281 824 729 1*275 5 269 7 269 3 332 2*276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography