DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.2 - - 64.5 - - - - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 225 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1180 - - 2072 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1161 - - 1861 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1892 - - 2785 - - - - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 697 - - 1187 - - - - - 1503 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 253 - - 324 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 234 - - - - - 263 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1268 - - -1729 - - - - - -1631 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3160 - - 4515 - - - - - 2359 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6376 - - -6682 - - - - - -8333 ODpotential blCL - - - 8268 - - 9467 - - - - - 9061 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 73 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.2 - - 64.5 - - - - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.8 - - 47.2 - - - - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.0 - - 63.1 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.6 - - 45.9 - - - - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 225 - - - - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1180 - - 2072 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97191 49 278 58 282 49 289 97191 89862 43 278 47 273 43 286 89862 84210 31 275 33 269 36 279 84210 79528 26 272 23 267 26 277 79528 75513 23 273 23 273 10 274 75513 71971 14 274 19 264 8 282 71971 68757 12 286 16 242 14 261 68757 65807 12 280 15 233 14 248 65807 63068 18 270 16 243 13 239 63068 60400 23 246 23 251 13 237 60400 57608 32 262 41 256 32 256 57608 54714 49 248 50 242 43 249 54714 51937 47 243 46 240 48 250 51937 49413 51 252 52 250 55 247 49413 47144 54 254 57 247 56 242 47144 45095 54 255 55 249 50 242 45095 43243 56 255 54 250 49 246 43243 41560 54 248 50 248 49 253 41560 40018 44 247 49 247 60 258 40018 38590 38 243 46 243 59 258 38590 37245 34 243 41 242 61 257 37245 35941 30 247 40 243 60 253 35941 34610 31 251 40 243 59 253 34610 33222 33 250 40 242 56 252 33222 31781 32 251 39 246 51 249 31781 30273 31 249 37 250 46 241 30273 28686 32 239 35 248 46 231 28686 27021 33 233 37 238 47 224 27021 25276 32 228 38 230 48 223 25276 23453 32 225 36 228 45 224 23453 21559 31 223 37 224 43 218 21559 19589 29 219 38 221 44 210 19589 17539 28 210 37 217 41 206 17539 15454 27 203 38 209 38 202 15454 13445 28 203 35 208 34 201 13445 11617 26 205 29 206 30 198 11617 9991 21 206 26 198 28 191 9991 8548 20 199 24 190 28 184 8548 7263 22 192 23 185 28 179 7263 6123 24 191 23 185 27 180 6123 5113 23 192 23 188 26 187 5113 4227 21 195 20 191 24 199 4227 3447 19 199 17*197 22 211 3447 2754 17 206 12*209 19 220 2754 2145 13*221 9 230 17 230 2145 1638 9*246 8 240 15 244 1638 1251 9 251 8 245 14 253 1251 984 9 253 8 246 11 259 984 821 8 254 7 247 9 261 821 728 7 254 6 248 5*263 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography