DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 87.8 - - 86.1 - - 75.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 362 - - 213 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 630 - - 1224 - - 1039 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1366 - - 1082 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1344 - - 1938 - - 1754 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 317 - - 612 - - 409 - - 557 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 311 - - 247 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 266 - - 271 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4396 - - -7058 - - -6518 - - -4425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5740 - - 8996 - - 8272 - - 5156 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14521 - - -14997 - - -14427 - - -14446 ODpotential blCL - - - 15865 - - 16935 - - 16181 - - 15176 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 32 - - 35 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 87.8 - - 86.1 - - 75.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.9 - - 51.5 - - 53.0 - - 55.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.5 - - 85.5 - - 84.5 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.1 - - 50.8 - - 52.4 - - 55.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 362 - - 213 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 630 - - 1224 - - 1039 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99466 44 107 31 106 37 090 37 093 99466 91983 35 098 36 103 33 098 36 094 91983 86205 30 108 30 102 33 105 34 095 86205 81413 33 112 26 108 27 105 30 102 81413 77288 30 110 24 109 24 109 25 097 77288 73645 23 107 22 120 19 119 18 086 73645 70349 20 102 20 116 17 108 14 095 70349 67329 14 097 14 114 14 100 16 092 67329 64551 9 117 11 128 11 105 10 096 64551 61886 13 127 10 161 4 151 3 096 61886 59136 4 174 11 182 8 195 6 233 59136 56320 10 230 12 217 10 214 13 227 56320 53660 13 244 13 244 13 241 13 230 53660 51279 19 266 18 269 18 256 17 246 51279 49141 25 257 25 270 25 265 21 258 49141 47184 28 244 30 254 30 260 27 260 47184 45370 31 230 31 246 33 257 32 259 45370 43675 29 226 27 237 33 247 34 256 43675 42083 24 242 24 240 30 241 36 252 42083 40579 24 255 23 236 30 241 37 249 40579 39155 23 254 23 224 30 240 37 249 39155 37771 21 248 22 214 30 238 35 249 37771 36361 21 234 24 224 29 237 31 246 36361 34895 28 235 27 234 29 237 28 242 34895 33374 29 237 26 235 28 236 26 240 33374 31783 25 231 26 234 27 237 25 242 31783 30110 24 223 29 224 29 233 26 240 30110 28360 29 220 29 214 28 226 25 237 28360 26535 27 220 24 202 25 217 24 227 26535 24632 21 228 24 222 22 221 24 220 24632 22650 19 222 19 229 19 234 20 236 22650 20585 18 215 22 233 19 242 18 253 20585 18434 14 211 20 228 18 238 16 252 18434 16244 12 218 15 234 15 240 12 241 16244 14134 13 234 13 244 11 249 10 235 14134 12213 11 244 12 254 9 260 8 242 12213 10503 8 242 8 257 6 261 6 246 10503 8983 5 246 5 256 5 259 4 259 8983 7632 3 283 4 270 5 280 4 298 7632 6431 4 324 4 280 5 295 5 323 6431 5370 4 340 2 263 5 295 6 327 5370 4434 3 348 2 218 5 283 7 318 4434 3609 2 346 2 222 6 279 9 305 3609 2873 3 317 3 260 8 282 12 299 2873 2224 4 289 6*269 10*281 12 292 2224 1686 5*258 7*268 10*275 11 275 1686 1276 5*249 8 267 10 271 10 249 1276 997 5 248 8 265 10 271 9 241 997 827 5 247 8 265 9 269 8 240 827 730 5 247 7 265 8 268 5*239 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography