DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 87.2 - - - - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 168 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 208 - - 2068 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1726 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 922 - - 2782 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1067 - - 3199 - - - - - 261 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 289 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 088 - - 264 - - - - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7842 - - -8485 - - - - - -5111 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8764 - - 11268 - - - - - 5841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12944 - - -12672 - - - - - -11796 ODpotential blCL - - - 13866 - - 15454 - - - - - 12526 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 25 - - - - - 34 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.7 - - 87.2 - - - - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 40.5 - - - - - 46.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 86.1 - - - - - 73.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.5 - - 39.6 - - - - - 46.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 168 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 208 - - 2068 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97717 20 273 15 273 17 271 97717 90442 14 275 19 285 9 278 90442 84827 8 281 17 276 14 299 84827 80167 10 283 13 260 12 287 80167 76153 7 269 7 248 11 294 76153 72602 5 228 7 230 8 280 72602 69388 7 293 6 304 10 319 69388 66443 7 255 10 269 15 301 66443 63728 5 321 6 229 13 272 63728 61101 16 295 18 284 19 286 61101 58370 20 262 27 267 27 286 58370 55549 21 259 24 258 27 280 55549 52851 32 276 30 276 31 280 52851 50410 41 275 37 276 37 273 50410 48213 41 277 40 274 42 272 48213 46209 39 285 41 280 45 273 46209 44367 37 292 42 285 47 275 44367 42664 30 298 38 290 48 279 42664 41082 21 300 28 292 41 283 41082 39607 15 305 19 291 35 286 39607 38222 12 336 14 303 28 283 38222 36881 14 357 11 332 22 281 36881 35514 12 011 10 355 18 282 35514 34092 11 038 8 007 13 279 34092 32617 14 027 13 026 11 295 32617 31075 15 019 15 017 11 326 31075 29453 14 057 12 042 11 343 29453 27751 19 077 14 063 13 353 27751 25969 23 079 18 071 14 005 25969 24107 20 085 16 081 15 027 24107 22167 10 098 7 067 15 040 22167 20147 8 141 2 159 6 051 20147 18050 8 161 6 203 1 289 18050 15916 4 195 2 243 1 170 15916 13860 4 174 1 163 3 115 13860 11989 6 147 3 154 4 133 11989 10324 2 192 3 207 5 214 10324 8843 4 246 6 236 7 251 8843 7523 5 242 9 231 7 253 7523 6348 7 233 10 222 8 245 6348 5307 10 225 11 216 8 244 5307 4389 13 217 11 217 8 253 4389 3579 17 210 10 224 7 264 3579 2854 17 202 8*235 4 273 2854 2215 13 198 5*256 2 297 2215 1682 7 195 4 264 2 328 1682 1275 2 131 4 267 4 320 1275 995 3*085 4 268 5 312 995 826 3*086 3 269 4*302 826 730 2 089 3 269 3*299 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography