DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.0 - - 58.9 - - 55.6 - - 55.7 - - 54.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 148 - - 41 - - 26 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 2191 - - 1555 - - 1273 - - 744 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1763 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 866 - - 2903 - - 2267 - - 1986 - - 1456 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2265 - - 1818 - - 1994 - - 2192 - - 2149 Hgt.Variab. W* 52 - - 285 - - 167 - - 136 - - 73 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 233 - - 249 - - 254 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -68 - - 711 - - 662 - - 498 - - 218 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 934 - - 2192 - - 1605 - - 1488 - - 1238 sfcLCL ODpotential -367 - - 465 - - 276 - - 202 - - -88 ODpotential blCL 1233 - - 2438 - - 1991 - - 1784 - - 1544 blCL maxRH 99 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 70 - - 10 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.0 - - 58.9 - - 55.6 - - 55.7 - - 54.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.3 - - 51.8 - - 51.0 - - 51.7 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.8 - - 57.9 - - 55.3 - - 55.6 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.0 - - 50.9 - - 50.6 - - 51.3 - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 148 - - 41 - - 26 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 154 - - 2191 - - 1555 - - 1273 - - 744 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 92 - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96584 41 276 44 275 46 285 43 283 37 281 96584 89368 26 297 31 276 31 280 36 288 28 311 89368 83863 17 289 21 279 25 278 28 291 28 302 83863 79308 14 302 14 278 22 280 24 291 24 294 79308 75383 22 305 16 279 19 272 23 287 19 309 75383 71881 27 292 19 283 21 277 26 280 22 304 71881 68678 30 287 29 284 25 274 28 272 27 295 68678 65729 35 283 35 292 28 280 29 274 32 292 65729 62991 39 272 39 290 32 286 28 279 30 285 62991 60328 37 275 39 288 31 294 26 292 30 292 60328 57539 41 285 40 286 37 292 30 298 36 289 57539 54631 46 289 41 288 42 293 42 299 43 290 54631 51843 53 288 44 289 54 295 49 300 44 295 51843 49334 50 288 53 290 59 290 61 297 55 297 49334 47097 54 290 54 289 61 286 68 285 65 288 47097 45080 52 297 57 300 68 299 63 291 65 286 45080 43250 72 307 84 300 80 297 66 301 63 295 43250 41588 93 299 86 289 75 291 80 302 78 294 41588 40064 79 293 64 294 63 299 84 295 84 291 40064 38635 67 301 70 309 78 306 84 295 81 290 38635 37283 71 315 82 313 86 306 83 299 78 291 37283 35971 81 319 86 312 84 304 84 302 78 292 35971 34632 85 319 84 308 80 300 86 301 79 293 34632 33238 81 316 81 304 78 298 86 301 79 292 33238 31789 78 312 78 304 79 297 84 300 79 292 31789 30272 75 310 76 302 79 297 82 297 78 291 30272 28674 73 308 76 300 79 295 80 296 76 292 28674 26995 71 306 75 300 78 293 78 294 75 293 26995 25236 69 306 72 299 75 294 74 294 70 294 25236 23399 60 308 67 296 70 297 66 294 64 292 23399 21491 50 303 59 292 67 299 59 296 57 294 21491 19510 47 298 50 291 62 296 56 301 51 298 19510 17449 42 304 42 288 55 290 49 296 48 299 17449 15349 33 301 40 283 45 279 47 285 46 293 15349 13330 27 294 36 278 43 268 44 281 47 290 13330 11504 22 286 30 272 39 274 40 286 42 290 11504 9892 21 279 25 259 31 274 34 296 38 281 9892 8466 19 278 21 253 24 266 26 286 32 279 8466 7198 18 278 19 256 22 255 24 264 27 266 7198 6075 16 273 20 257 19 235 23 256 28 255 6075 5083 13 253 21 253 20 230 21 249 26 249 5083 4210 13 237 21 246 20 239 21 248 24 249 4210 3440 15 233 20*240 19 245 21 250 23 251 3440 2752 16 231 18*235 19*247 21 252 23 251 2752 2145 16 228 16 233 18*248 19*253 22 249 2145 1639 14 227 15 233 16 249 18*253 19*246 1639 1251 12 224 14 233 14 249 16 254 17*245 1251 984 9*221 13 233 13 249 15 254 15 245 984 822 7*221 11 234 11 249 13 255 13 244 822 729 5 222 9 234 8 250 9 255 9 245 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography