DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 66.6 - - 63.2 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 166 - - 354 - - 160 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1034 - - 1791 - - 1342 - - 659 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 916 - - 1767 - - 1160 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1746 - - 2504 - - 2055 - - 1371 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 513 - - 586 - - 496 - - 768 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 349 - - 243 - - 95 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 15 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 242 - - 259 - - 269 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -303 - - -1518 - - -1655 - - 251 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2050 - - 4022 - - 3710 - - 1120 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7066 - - -6407 - - -6477 - - 81 ODpotential blCL - - - 8812 - - 8911 - - 8532 - - 1290 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 76 - - 73 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 66.6 - - 63.2 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.3 - - 51.5 - - 49.5 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 64.7 - - 62.2 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 51.0 - - 49.3 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 166 - - 354 - - 160 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1034 - - 1791 - - 1342 - - 659 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 5 - - 0 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98418 4 098 13 145 8 223 7 288 98418 91035 6 134 5 133 5 179 5 146 91035 85332 6 133 2 065 6 107 6 140 85332 80601 2 064 5 101 8 105 3 017 80601 76557 2 252 5 356 5 096 5 023 76557 73000 5 186 9 307 4 012 7 031 73000 69775 5 158 8 238 6 332 7 355 69775 66805 2 015 6 193 4 318 6 260 66805 64047 8 227 10 232 11 270 9 222 64047 61368 11 248 14 231 17 263 13 261 61368 58569 21 259 20 248 22 240 18 260 58569 55668 27 261 23 263 25 262 25 268 55668 52903 33 266 38 266 29 263 29 264 52903 50402 44 257 40 262 39 274 35 269 50402 48151 44 257 48 267 48 270 40 272 48151 46101 51 263 53 264 55 262 47 274 46101 44215 59 258 56 261 58 259 58 267 44215 42462 67 250 57 257 59 256 62 258 42462 40816 70 245 57 255 56 253 59 256 40816 39260 65 246 59 253 55 257 55 259 39260 37789 66 248 61 252 61 257 57 260 37789 36370 69 245 63 249 68 255 61 259 36370 34938 70 243 67 247 69 252 59 255 34938 33468 66 240 70 243 65 250 53 252 33468 31964 64 235 67 237 63 245 50 247 31964 30412 63 230 63 234 63 241 49 246 30412 28797 63 229 61 237 63 240 49 247 28797 27116 60 229 58 236 62 237 47 245 27116 25363 56 229 56 234 59 237 44 244 25363 23542 52 227 55 237 53 240 37 246 23542 21654 48 225 49 235 39 236 29 245 21654 19691 44 230 42 232 39 230 25 248 19691 17642 36 238 35 229 36 231 23 254 17642 15552 29 239 27 228 27 234 18 260 15552 13538 24 229 20 228 21 226 16 239 13538 11705 17 218 15 229 17 233 16 241 11705 10072 11 209 13 237 13 242 14 252 10072 8616 11 207 12 258 10 267 12 273 8616 7321 11 213 11 278 12 296 13 300 7321 6170 8 228 10 292 14 308 14 317 6170 5152 7 250 9 294 15 311 15 322 5152 4256 8 270 9 289 14 305 15 316 4256 3467 9 279 11 274 15 293 16 304 3467 2765 10 268 12*264 15 282 17 292 2765 2150 12*252 13*261 16*273 17 279 2150 1641 11*243 13 260 16*270 15*265 1641 1252 11 242 13 259 15 269 14*261 1252 985 11 241 12 259 15 268 13 258 985 822 10 241 11 258 13 267 11 257 822 729 8 240 9 257 10 266 8 255 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography