DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 83.3 - - 82.1 - - 68.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 318 - - 152 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1465 - - 3649 - - 1805 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1344 - - 3130 - - 1480 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2178 - - 4363 - - 2519 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 971 - - 1622 - - 3141 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 428 - - 265 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 100 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 218 - - 298 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4210 - - -5354 - - -6077 - - -3277 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6388 - - 9717 - - 8596 - - 4007 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12504 - - -12426 - - -12745 - - -11782 ODpotential blCL - - - 14682 - - 16789 - - 15264 - - 12512 blCL maxRH - - - 45 - - 33 - - 33 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 83.3 - - 82.1 - - 68.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 43.3 - - 47.1 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 81.3 - - 81.0 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.7 - - 42.5 - - 46.6 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 187 - - 318 - - 152 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1465 - - 3649 - - 1805 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98863 3 076 4 049 16 135 7 162 98863 91427 11 131 6 167 6 128 8 054 91427 85668 11 118 12 133 3 035 11 073 85668 80904 12 085 15 109 7 076 13 086 80904 76821 14 081 16 104 12 095 13 080 76821 73230 17 078 14 111 11 076 14 088 73230 69980 15 078 15 120 9 072 12 068 69980 66976 5 110 6 092 3 004 9 039 66976 64178 4 135 3 168 11 233 6 287 64178 61478 7 257 4 260 10 228 11 267 61478 58668 16 254 16 270 14 260 15 259 58668 55758 23 268 26 269 26 263 26 263 55758 52989 31 269 32 261 33 258 35 261 52989 50500 37 264 39 262 42 259 44 258 50500 48270 41 263 43 263 47 258 50 257 48270 46247 40 265 43 263 49 257 53 257 46247 44397 39 266 42 264 48 254 52 257 44397 42692 37 264 41 266 41 254 50 257 42692 41112 32 267 37 264 34 265 42 254 41112 39638 31 273 31 264 30 271 33 255 39638 38251 32 273 29 270 28 274 28 262 38251 36910 31 274 29 276 26 275 28 265 36910 35546 29 275 28 281 27 273 30 264 35546 34131 26 275 25 286 27 278 29 266 34131 32663 23 280 22 287 28 279 28 270 32663 31124 22 283 21 281 26 272 26 267 31124 29502 21 282 22 273 25 267 26 262 29502 27803 19 282 22 270 26 268 25 262 27803 26024 19 279 22 272 24 270 25 263 26024 24164 19 279 21 271 22 266 20 260 24164 22226 17 278 19 271 19 266 16 245 22226 20204 15 281 15 274 14 274 10 246 20204 18093 13 285 12 271 11 276 8 231 18093 15937 12 275 12 258 9 266 8 231 15937 13856 14 276 11 260 8 262 6 234 13856 11963 14 267 11 253 10 251 5 234 11963 10284 13 255 10 248 9 239 7 210 10284 8797 10 247 8 245 8 221 10 204 8797 7480 6 221 6 228 9 199 11 199 7480 6311 6 178 7 199 8 180 11 187 6311 5277 8 167 7*186 3 158 7 171 5277 4365 8 165 4*178 1 085 4 111 4365 3560 6 160 1 176 2 357 5 064 3560 2841 3 138 0 214 3*327 5 038 2841 2205 3*067 0 279 6*309 6 008 2205 1675 3*053 1 278 8 298 9 333 1675 1270 3 048 1 271 8 296 10 318 1270 993 2 046 1 266 8 294 8 306 993 826 2 045 2 269 8 294 7*300 826 730 2 047 1 269 7 293 4*293 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography