DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 70.1 - - 67.8 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 478 - - 321 - - 48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1008 - - 1406 - - 1136 - - 608 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1155 - - 1552 - - 1271 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1720 - - 2119 - - 1849 - - 1321 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 309 - - 369 - - 404 - - 418 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 356 - - 290 - - 125 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 265 - - 260 - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -270 - - -1781 - - -1710 - - -294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1990 - - 3900 - - 3559 - - 1615 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11006 - - -10672 - - -11161 - - -11755 ODpotential blCL - - - 12726 - - 12791 - - 13010 - - 13076 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 77 - - 78 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 70.1 - - 67.8 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 55.5 - - 54.6 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.1 - - 67.7 - - 65.9 - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 55.1 - - 54.3 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 286 - - 478 - - 321 - - 48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1008 - - 1406 - - 1136 - - 608 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 9 - - 13 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99025 37 107 32 118 25 119 23 094 99025 91533 24 100 27 104 26 105 28 108 91533 85755 16 109 21 089 24 103 26 103 85755 80965 17 119 13 101 18 090 22 100 80965 76843 15 092 11 102 12 081 22 093 76843 73192 14 078 12 107 10 077 15 076 73192 69893 9 095 9 078 8 083 9 068 69893 66873 11 100 3 086 6 024 11 032 66873 64088 7 067 6 102 2 005 9 349 64088 61411 8 334 4 015 2 003 4 334 61411 58622 11 299 9 288 10 285 8 305 58622 55727 17 286 18 269 19 272 19 281 55727 52968 24 276 22 272 23 270 22 280 52968 50492 32 272 27 275 23 274 24 282 50492 48278 33 273 29 276 23 281 21 287 48278 46280 32 278 28 273 22 291 20 303 46280 44467 32 280 21 285 18 304 14 309 44467 42801 29 281 16 299 15 325 14 349 42801 41250 25 278 15 328 17 350 21 357 41250 39788 17 287 19 335 20 359 23 357 39788 38401 11 316 18 329 20 355 16 353 38401 37053 9 330 17 321 21 343 11 347 37053 35679 10 350 16 312 19 332 14 329 35679 34249 12 349 15 312 19 312 18 322 34249 32766 13 340 15 318 18 300 19 316 32766 31214 15 334 14 315 19 295 20 303 31214 29582 13 322 17 304 23 292 21 294 29582 27869 15 315 15 302 23 296 20 293 27869 26074 11 301 11 281 17 284 19 285 26074 24198 15 284 14 282 19 275 22 278 24198 22244 17 290 13 285 20 281 22 278 22244 20209 16 280 15 265 18 274 19 269 20209 18085 17 269 18 264 19 271 22 267 18085 15919 16 274 16 268 17 268 19 269 15919 13833 12 282 13 277 13 270 16 262 13833 11937 10 275 10 275 10 270 12 259 11937 10252 10 258 8 272 8 272 9 263 10252 8760 9 251 8 265 7 269 8 268 8760 7435 7 255 7 263 6 267 9 275 7435 6261 5 256 6 268 6 265 10 284 6261 5223 5 258 6 263 7 264 13 293 5223 4310 4 261 6 252 9 264 15 298 4310 3506 5 256 10 242 12 262 17 299 3506 2790 9 243 13 246 14 260 17 294 2790 2163 11*248 14*258 15*259 17 277 2163 1647 10*258 14*263 15*260 16*256 1647 1255 10 262 14 265 14 260 15*252 1255 986 10 263 13 265 14 261 14 251 986 823 9 264 12 266 13 260 13 251 823 729 8 264 10 266 10 260 9 251 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography