DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 73.8 - - 71.3 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 457 - - 314 - - 42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1039 - - 1384 - - 1146 - - 564 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1202 - - 1528 - - 1274 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1753 - - 2097 - - 1859 - - 1277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 350 - - 441 - - 440 - - 394 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 349 - - 289 - - 117 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 274 - - 279 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -839 - - -2002 - - -2103 - - -405 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2592 - - 4099 - - 3962 - - 1682 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10216 - - -9926 - - -10855 - - -11602 ODpotential blCL - - - 11969 - - 12023 - - 12714 - - 12879 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 75 - - 74 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.4 - - 73.8 - - 71.3 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.4 - - 58.3 - - 56.5 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 71.3 - - 69.4 - - 59.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 57.9 - - 56.2 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 316 - - 457 - - 314 - - 42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1039 - - 1384 - - 1146 - - 564 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 0 - - 0 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99161 37 112 28 108 26 113 31 089 99161 91654 27 103 27 101 29 109 24 099 91654 85844 23 112 26 101 20 101 22 093 85844 81031 23 121 19 099 20 089 22 101 81031 76894 21 116 17 115 13 072 24 098 76894 73247 15 122 15 122 9 079 19 081 73247 69964 14 099 12 122 11 103 12 082 69964 66964 11 067 10 098 12 126 9 103 66964 64183 4 097 2 096 6 081 9 069 64183 61494 2 152 4 215 2 037 3 335 61494 58712 6 247 13 255 10 276 7 277 58712 55827 14 266 20 264 20 264 18 283 55827 53071 29 270 31 269 34 264 32 281 53071 50593 41 262 42 263 44 263 42 274 50593 48371 47 262 48 259 47 258 47 265 48371 46359 51 263 50 256 51 254 53 259 46359 44526 54 261 54 256 53 253 54 256 44526 42841 55 261 55 256 56 256 55 254 42841 41276 55 261 54 256 60 255 59 254 41276 39807 54 259 53 258 58 255 60 255 39807 38418 52 258 53 262 55 258 57 255 38418 37069 48 258 49 264 53 261 54 257 37069 35694 44 260 44 265 50 260 52 261 35694 34263 44 261 42 265 44 262 47 263 34263 32781 40 263 40 265 40 264 40 267 32781 31233 36 268 34 268 32 266 32 264 31233 29605 31 273 31 270 28 268 27 267 29605 27896 29 278 28 272 29 266 25 271 27896 26105 29 270 23 273 26 265 25 269 26105 24235 28 267 23 271 22 266 23 264 24235 22285 25 252 23 257 22 256 21 262 22285 20253 22 247 26 250 25 250 24 257 20253 18135 19 252 23 249 23 253 21 253 18135 15974 15 243 17 246 18 256 15 257 15974 13887 12 236 13 237 13 251 10 270 13887 11987 9 218 9 221 8 249 7 285 11987 10300 9 201 9 216 5 262 4 294 10300 8803 10 192 9 203 4 258 3 299 8803 7473 12 189 11 196 5 219 4 274 7473 6294 13 189 12 194 6 216 6 257 6294 5251 13 191 14 194 8 220 8 256 5251 4334 13 197 15 193 10 219 11 254 4334 3525 14 205 15 200 12 218 13 244 3525 2804 15 220 14 214 13 226 15 236 2804 2173 14*234 11*249 13*261 16 250 2173 1653 10*254 11*271 14*278 15*268 1653 1258 9 260 11 274 14 280 14*274 1258 987 9 261 11 275 13 280 13 275 987 823 8 262 10 275 13 280 11 276 823 729 7 262 9 275 10 280 8 275 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography