DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.6 - - 48.0 - - 55.4 - - 52.4 - - 43.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - 46 - - 80 - - -6 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 310 - - 604 - - 289 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1022 - - 1317 - - 1001 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 214 - - 347 - - 441 - - 513 - - 159 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 101 - - 153 - - 36 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 059 - - 069 - - 059 - - 061 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -6 - - -7 - - -3 - - -6 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -265 - - -627 - - -946 - - -662 - - -1032 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 993 - - 1649 - - 2263 - - 1663 - - 1760 sfcLCL ODpotential -14209 - - -12330 - - -11048 - - -11109 - - -14899 ODpotential blCL 14937 - - 13352 - - 12365 - - 12110 - - 15627 blCL maxRH 84 - - 85 - - 78 - - 83 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.6 - - 48.0 - - 55.4 - - 52.4 - - 43.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.3 - - 43.8 - - 48.3 - - 48.0 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.7 - - 47.7 - - 54.7 - - 52.7 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 43.1 - - 47.2 - - 47.5 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - 46 - - 80 - - -6 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 310 - - 604 - - 289 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 41 - - 12 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96340 22 078 20 064 19 096 17 082 10 105 96340 89275 19 083 20 082 17 082 18 080 19 084 89275 83800 22 087 25 089 15 064 19 078 27 080 83800 79224 19 067 25 079 21 078 19 080 24 072 79224 75262 10 045 18 073 20 069 15 076 21 070 75262 71747 11 026 10 024 19 039 18 060 15 072 71747 68558 14 014 10 328 19 348 18 014 20 035 68558 65642 20 352 14 354 14 340 18 343 16 357 65642 62951 22 338 20 330 16 311 21 339 20 346 62951 60344 24 333 22 329 16 307 21 324 21 325 60344 57624 28 325 26 333 20 324 22 322 22 318 57624 54806 35 309 33 322 28 324 27 322 27 316 54806 52117 41 298 37 311 35 315 36 312 32 323 52117 49707 41 299 36 311 36 308 38 309 35 315 49707 47561 44 305 42 314 36 319 31 303 35 307 47561 45634 45 309 39 318 31 329 29 352 20 340 45634 43896 38 311 35 327 44 360 34 015 20 011 43896 42295 34 326 33 328 44 348 34 029 21 023 42295 40792 37 336 28 339 30 337 35 032 23 032 40792 39370 37 332 28 026 14 011 37 027 26 042 39370 38020 29 326 47 045 32 043 35 021 27 045 38020 36705 27 341 55 044 41 038 31 024 28 039 36705 35361 33 352 53 046 40 034 27 034 27 030 35361 33958 36 355 38 044 32 040 24 036 25 024 33958 32500 32 353 30 009 19 048 24 029 20 019 32500 30976 26 352 34 351 18 022 21 028 15 017 30976 29373 21 350 29 347 26 358 15 016 9 017 29373 27684 20 347 26 343 28 345 16 360 4 357 27684 25909 20 347 23 343 26 337 21 334 17 348 25909 24056 19 351 18 338 20 331 23 318 22 326 24056 22123 17 349 18 312 17 316 22 307 23 314 22123 20104 17 326 21 312 19 312 19 311 18 320 20104 17995 22 331 20 325 18 322 17 327 17 334 17995 15842 20 336 19 331 17 331 16 343 16 340 15842 13762 16 334 15 325 14 326 15 345 15 338 13762 11867 14 335 11 323 11 313 12 335 13 340 11867 10182 12 335 9 328 10 312 11 331 12 341 10182 8691 13 327 8 337 9 317 12 334 11 345 8691 7372 14 321 9 341 8 323 12 339 12 347 7372 6205 14 326 9 349 8 334 11 348 11 346 6205 5175 13 339 9 001 8 348 10 001 10 345 5175 4270 12 352 10 006 7 003 9 014 9 350 4270 3477 11 000 10 011 7 013 9 025 8 357 3477 2770 11 004 11 020 8 020 12 027 9 009 2770 2150 10 009 10 041 7 037 12 036 11 018 2150 1637 10 035 12 068 7*055 11 052 12 029 1637 1246 16 061 13*070 7*058 11*059 13 045 1246 980 16 061 11*069 7 059 10*061 13 053 980 819 13*059 10 069 6 059 8 062 11*053 819 728 6*059 7 070 5 060 5 062 6*052 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography