DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 64.0 - - 61.1 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 320 - - 108 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1420 - - 1694 - - 1377 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1345 - - 1671 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2132 - - 2406 - - 2089 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 402 - - 602 - - 529 - - 981 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 332 - - 216 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 16 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 255 - - 248 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -854 - - -1788 - - -1834 - - -1305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2986 - - 4194 - - 3923 - - 2034 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8032 - - -8146 - - -9055 - - -10072 ODpotential blCL - - - 10164 - - 10552 - - 11144 - - 10800 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 69 - - 68 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 64.0 - - 61.1 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.9 - - 48.0 - - 46.3 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 62.3 - - 60.4 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 47.4 - - 45.9 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 320 - - 108 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1420 - - 1694 - - 1377 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97918 6 197 8 245 10 218 11 250 97918 90600 8 182 4 130 6 170 2 237 90600 84949 5 140 7 069 7 123 6 085 84949 80261 5 128 4 353 10 043 10 082 80261 76224 6 073 5 201 8 350 12 028 76224 72686 12 034 3 127 1 270 8 010 72686 69487 7 020 4 040 1 326 2 269 69487 66541 1 117 2 325 5 318 1 206 66541 63805 12 347 8 070 6 015 4 149 63805 61155 16 303 13 319 13 312 8 344 61155 58401 7 279 10 254 18 272 21 299 58401 55556 15 325 13 308 16 288 24 283 55556 52847 37 309 30 306 25 313 24 295 52847 50406 46 302 42 311 34 318 28 309 50406 48205 44 297 45 299 42 301 38 304 48205 46189 41 298 42 290 44 289 42 293 46189 44322 39 298 40 287 44 284 43 287 44322 42582 38 297 41 287 44 284 44 285 42582 40948 39 299 42 288 45 286 45 283 40948 39407 42 304 44 290 46 286 44 282 39407 37945 47 308 45 292 43 286 41 282 37945 36525 52 308 47 296 43 291 39 285 36525 35076 52 305 51 295 46 291 40 288 35076 33572 46 298 51 291 48 288 40 286 33572 32025 40 286 45 285 43 285 40 281 32025 30429 37 277 41 274 40 275 36 274 30429 28778 36 268 40 261 41 263 36 267 28778 27070 38 252 42 252 44 256 35 265 27070 25301 45 243 46 243 45 250 37 253 25301 23472 45 242 50 242 44 245 38 249 23472 21585 42 244 46 245 40 245 37 245 21585 19627 38 249 38 251 30 253 32 246 19627 17583 35 253 30 255 25 257 27 248 17583 15492 31 257 28 256 22 253 23 249 15492 13473 28 254 28 256 21 261 15 237 13473 11635 26 250 28 250 23 253 21 231 11635 10003 23 250 27 246 26 240 27 230 10003 8555 21 253 25 244 26 235 25 229 8555 7268 20 254 25 244 23 241 18 233 7268 6129 19 251 23 245 19 251 14 241 6129 5122 18 248 21 250 16 259 12 250 5122 4236 16 250 19 253 15 263 14 254 4236 3455 15 257 18 257 15 262 15 257 3455 2759 15 260 17*257 16 256 15 260 2759 2147 15*254 17*255 16*250 15 262 2147 1638 15*251 17 255 16*249 16 253 1638 1250 14 251 16 255 15 248 16 243 1250 984 13 250 16 254 14 248 14 234 984 822 12 249 14 254 13 247 11 231 822 728 10 249 11 254 10 246 6*228 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography