DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 72.2 - - 82.5 - - 79.6 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 118 - - 224 - - 115 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 565 - - 1140 - - 702 - - 171 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 713 - - 1178 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1278 - - 1854 - - 1416 - - 885 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 331 - - 357 - - 565 - - 608 - - 404 Hgt.Variab. W* 21 - - 169 - - 260 - - 178 - - 48 W* B/S 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 229 - - 278 - - 280 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2249 - - -3938 - - -6338 - - -6140 - - -3996 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2978 - - 5216 - - 8193 - - 7556 - - 4882 sfcLCL ODpotential -12369 - - -12159 - - -11660 - - -11918 - - -12543 ODpotential blCL 13098 - - 13437 - - 13514 - - 13334 - - 13428 blCL maxRH 62 - - 87 - - 79 - - 63 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 72.2 - - 82.5 - - 79.6 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.7 - - 52.4 - - 49.7 - - 49.6 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.2 - - 71.4 - - 80.9 - - 78.6 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.0 - - 51.4 - - 49.0 - - 49.0 - - 51.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 118 - - 224 - - 115 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 565 - - 1140 - - 702 - - 171 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 47 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99470 30 102 32 106 26 101 30 107 30 101 99470 91960 31 109 35 109 25 122 25 094 25 102 91960 86184 28 100 23 113 26 106 20 100 21 086 86184 81387 23 104 18 110 23 100 22 105 20 081 81387 77248 22 113 14 111 19 103 23 112 16 093 77248 73599 18 126 17 119 15 108 17 107 16 102 73599 70316 16 143 13 129 9 099 14 123 12 083 70316 67297 17 142 15 147 12 145 12 140 10 100 67297 64487 11 157 15 149 13 145 18 144 14 147 64487 61776 9 192 17 171 18 182 10 167 15 144 61776 58969 15 172 22 187 26 184 20 197 13 194 58969 56087 22 177 36 187 34 193 27 193 25 198 56087 53350 29 197 40 188 43 201 33 199 27 189 53350 50887 40 219 37 193 48 196 44 206 34 208 50887 48695 53 220 43 207 52 195 53 203 49 211 48695 46720 61 216 55 214 56 199 57 199 55 202 46720 44903 65 212 59 213 58 203 57 198 56 196 44903 43207 68 206 59 205 56 204 55 201 54 199 43207 41613 75 202 70 202 56 202 55 202 53 201 41613 40110 76 201 75 197 62 202 58 201 52 200 40110 38689 73 203 74 196 66 201 62 200 54 197 38689 37312 72 202 69 198 64 200 63 198 59 197 37312 35913 74 199 63 201 56 196 59 198 62 196 35913 34464 73 200 60 200 50 191 50 199 61 193 34464 32965 62 206 56 198 48 187 43 198 57 195 32965 31399 51 203 48 198 43 182 40 198 52 195 31399 29754 46 203 42 193 40 182 39 196 45 194 29754 28028 36 205 40 191 39 188 38 189 41 194 28028 26220 26 204 35 194 37 193 40 184 39 190 26220 24335 22 198 34 198 33 195 40 182 36 191 24335 22377 23 196 35 202 31 198 34 186 32 194 22377 20342 28 194 34 209 27 209 26 210 25 196 20342 18227 35 191 30 222 25 227 20 237 15 221 18227 16073 36 184 24 221 19 237 14 259 9 247 16073 13995 28 178 22 219 13 222 8 264 6 222 13995 12097 23 187 18 206 17 196 2 162 9 180 12097 10404 22 204 21 191 30 190 9 141 12 185 10404 8896 22 216 23 189 33 188 15 158 14 199 8896 7555 23 220 23 191 28 188 20 174 13 201 7555 6364 20 223 19 196 24 194 21 198 11 197 6364 5312 11 236 15 198 21 205 21 216 8 199 5312 4386 7 254 12 199 17 215 18 221 6 215 4386 3569 5 273 11 207 14 223 13 220 6 233 3569 2842 6 270 13 213 11 237 10 223 9 238 2842 2201 7 243 15 215 10*257 10 237 11 242 2201 1671 8 225 15*218 10*277 8*264 11 252 1671 1267 8 225 12*222 10 279 8*279 10 261 1267 992 6 224 9 230 10 278 8 281 7*265 992 825 3 216 8 233 9 278 7 281 6*266 825 730 1*192 6 234 8 278 6 281 4 267 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography