DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 56.3 - - - - - 49.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 146 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3692 - - 3309 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2653 - - 2571 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4404 - - 4021 - - - - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2304 - - 2925 - - - - - 3874 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 329 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 266 - - - - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 9 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1344 - - 1085 - - - - - -1113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3060 - - 2936 - - - - - 1841 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 523 - - 426 - - - - - -1980 ODpotential blCL - - - 3881 - - 3595 - - - - - 2708 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 92 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 140 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.2 - - 56.3 - - - - - 49.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.3 - - 45.9 - - - - - 44.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 55.4 - - - - - 51.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.1 - - 44.7 - - - - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 146 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3692 - - 3309 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 67 - - - - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97366 34 287 33 290 36 298 97366 90038 26 302 28 300 33 299 90038 84423 24 298 23 292 23 299 84423 79745 24 275 23 280 20 288 79745 75703 20 274 22 271 21 275 75703 72127 19 281 19 265 22 268 72127 68874 22 272 23 265 21 269 68874 65856 24 266 26 260 21 265 65856 63031 25 265 28 251 23 264 63031 60277 25 258 29 241 26 267 60277 57396 24 250 26 242 28 267 57396 54409 23 255 23 254 28 263 54409 51560 25 263 25 263 27 263 51560 48997 32 268 29 266 26 267 48997 46705 36 268 31 268 26 271 46705 44631 37 266 34 273 28 275 44631 42741 35 266 37 276 32 280 42741 41003 36 270 39 276 35 278 41003 39394 36 269 41 276 35 281 39394 37901 36 274 42 273 35 283 37901 36511 37 277 42 276 39 284 36511 35181 39 286 44 278 44 281 35181 33842 39 287 44 280 45 277 33842 32465 34 294 44 287 44 274 32465 31052 33 300 45 291 45 274 31052 29584 34 299 43 291 46 274 29584 28044 33 298 41 289 46 273 28044 26428 33 293 40 288 45 273 26428 24734 33 292 41 290 43 276 24734 22963 34 294 38 291 38 281 22963 21116 32 289 36 290 33 283 21116 19192 32 287 33 290 28 288 19192 17185 27 290 29 294 21 295 17185 15134 20 289 21 298 17 287 15134 13155 19 280 15 287 14 291 13155 11360 13 269 14 277 11 292 11360 9769 12 246 12 270 9 299 9769 8362 19 232 12 275 4 247 8362 7116 20 234 11 280 6 203 7116 6011 19 244 11 278 9 226 6011 5034 18*253 11 272 12 253 5034 4174 16*258 11*269 13 272 4174 3413 15 259 11*268 14 282 3413 2734 14 260 12 267 14 287 2734 2133 13 260 12 266 15 287 2133 1631 13 261 12 266 14 286 1631 1246 12 261 12 266 13 284 1246 981 12 260 11 266 11 283 981 820 11 261 10 265 8 281 820 728 8 259 8 264 5*278 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography