DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 51.6 - - 50.0 - - 43.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 99 - - -3 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 541 - - 666 - - 201 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1253 - - 1378 - - 913 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 285 - - 499 - - 579 - - 303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 131 - - 168 - - 32 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 081 - - 072 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -6 - - -6 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -443 - - -667 - - -514 - - -191 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1697 - - 2046 - - 1427 - - 919 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14057 - - -12453 - - -12363 - - -13580 ODpotential blCL - - - 15310 - - 13831 - - 13276 - - 14308 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 83 - - 86 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 51.6 - - 50.0 - - 43.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.0 - - 45.4 - - 46.4 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 50.9 - - 50.1 - - 45.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.0 - - 44.3 - - 46.0 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 99 - - -3 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 541 - - 666 - - 201 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 33 - - 33 - - 46 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96992 49 086 60 097 56 084 52 089 96992 89812 54 090 62 098 51 093 57 093 89812 84261 61 097 58 093 50 100 53 090 84261 79632 58 099 48 093 46 099 45 086 79632 75601 54 096 44 096 41 097 42 083 75601 71993 46 093 36 097 33 094 36 080 71993 68709 32 086 25 095 20 086 24 071 68709 65695 19 074 15 079 19 069 19 069 65695 62918 10 071 6 046 15 035 18 035 62918 60250 11 046 10 036 8 052 7 015 60250 57471 14 033 17 026 12 049 4 019 57471 54597 16 031 17 023 14 019 8 350 54597 51888 20 024 18 021 18 004 16 351 51888 49489 23 010 21 359 27 344 24 347 49489 47374 18 019 22 346 26 328 24 319 47374 45477 23 040 16 344 22 332 24 318 45477 43739 36 034 21 007 29 342 32 327 43739 42125 40 028 23 006 33 345 34 331 42125 40611 38 028 25 002 33 346 35 331 40611 39180 37 026 26 005 34 344 31 323 39180 37823 39 023 26 007 35 341 28 324 37823 36507 39 022 29 005 35 341 27 331 36507 35162 39 021 32 003 32 345 27 336 35162 33758 38 020 32 005 30 350 27 340 33758 32299 36 019 32 006 29 352 26 346 32299 30769 34 021 35 006 28 354 25 349 30769 29157 29 027 34 007 28 000 26 003 29157 27462 23 028 28 011 29 004 18 006 27462 25689 24 025 21 010 28 003 17 344 25689 23843 26 024 20 006 21 002 18 338 23843 21922 28 023 20 009 17 356 18 345 21922 19916 27 019 21 019 18 358 18 348 19916 17817 24 015 22 030 19 004 18 345 17817 15670 19 017 19 028 17 023 16 352 15670 13595 17 019 15 025 13 027 14 005 13595 11709 15 027 10 028 10 024 13 007 11709 10039 11 038 6 030 7 020 8 359 10039 8566 6 058 4 044 3 074 2 306 8566 7267 5 104 4 102 5 141 4 198 7267 6121 7 136 5 140 6 160 7 206 6121 5112 8 156 6 163 7 183 10 222 5112 4227 9 166 6 177 9 200 11 227 4227 3447 8 173 7 183 11 203 9 228 3447 2751 7 167 7 173 9 196 6 220 2751 2139 9 138 7 140 7 182 3 199 2139 1630 13*102 10*088 6 116 5 127 1630 1243 13*085 11*082 10 078 13 088 1243 978 12 082 10 081 10*074 14 075 978 819 11 081 10 081 9*073 12*072 819 728 8 079 8 081 6 071 6*071 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography