DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.9 - - 59.3 - - 61.5 - - 63.6 - - 54.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 6 - - 77 - - 129 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1660 - - 2052 - - 2335 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1590 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2373 - - 2765 - - 3048 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 597 - - 1539 - - 1682 - - 1693 - - 667 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 210 - - 266 - - 150 - - 0 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 11 - - 12 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 041 - - 025 - - 030 - - 017 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - -10 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 746 - - 708 - - 106 - - -653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1627 - - 2057 - - 2942 - - 1383 sfcLCL ODpotential -1737 - - 424 - - 482 - - -1508 - - -4846 ODpotential blCL 2465 - - 1949 - - 2283 - - 4556 - - 5575 blCL maxRH 99 - - 99 - - 96 - - 83 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 52.9 - - 59.3 - - 61.5 - - 63.6 - - 54.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.8 - - 54.8 - - 55.0 - - 53.2 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.4 - - 58.7 - - 60.6 - - 63.6 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.2 - - 53.9 - - 54.3 - - 52.7 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 6 - - 77 - - 129 - - 18 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1660 - - 2052 - - 2335 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 97 - - 85 - - 33 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97452 1 137 10 300 11 336 8 349 11 301 97452 90178 10 034 8 333 15 339 13 350 9 008 90178 84611 11 011 7 047 11 336 14 354 10 028 84611 80007 13 014 7 042 7 306 11 344 10 012 80007 76031 15 321 7 001 2 155 6 300 6 317 76031 72514 13 279 5 291 3 238 9 278 2 030 72514 69314 6 218 4 296 5 264 8 278 6 336 69314 66359 6 270 6 274 7 231 5 256 9 293 66359 63616 15 270 9 292 10 274 8 264 11 252 63616 60939 14 264 12 282 10 278 10 263 9 220 60939 58121 18 284 14 291 18 298 21 287 18 284 58121 55194 21 298 22 295 19 274 22 268 22 282 55194 52404 34 306 27 307 16 312 23 311 27 309 52404 49894 35 305 34 319 36 321 40 321 40 318 49894 47645 35 313 44 316 49 317 48 322 48 322 47645 45608 39 321 50 316 50 317 47 323 51 323 45608 43755 46 320 46 326 42 325 44 332 46 324 43755 42058 47 316 34 334 37 348 46 346 41 336 42058 40490 40 322 25 352 58 359 53 356 43 354 40490 39027 32 355 56 000 73 355 60 356 50 000 39027 37652 50 002 80 354 78 352 64 353 59 359 37652 36324 76 356 85 353 77 355 65 350 63 356 36324 34975 90 355 87 356 78 358 64 352 63 354 34975 33576 85 357 89 358 77 357 66 358 61 357 33576 32126 79 000 89 359 76 355 66 001 60 360 32126 30611 86 004 89 003 74 355 64 359 58 359 30611 29017 83 003 87 006 73 356 61 356 56 358 29017 27342 70 004 83 009 71 360 58 355 55 359 27342 25587 70 008 81 012 69 005 55 001 53 358 25587 23754 71 006 78 010 66 013 53 009 52 002 23754 21842 68 359 71 004 62 015 49 012 49 017 21842 19846 63 359 61 359 58 010 48 014 46 026 19846 17759 59 001 56 001 53 004 50 014 44 023 17759 15627 53 003 52 008 50 007 49 017 45 021 15627 13572 38 359 46 009 45 012 48 023 46 026 13572 11702 31 351 41 005 40 012 44 025 44 030 11702 10043 28 348 33 003 35 016 38 025 35 034 10043 8580 25 352 24 006 30 020 31 027 25 044 8580 7290 22 003 17 016 24 018 24 033 20 055 7290 6150 20 010 13 023 17 015 20 037 18 053 6150 5142 17 013 11 022 13 015 19 030 18 038 5142 4257 14 018 10 025 12 024 18 018 20 023 4257 3477 12 023 8 029 12 028 15*013 22 019 3477 2781 10 025 9*028 12*029 14*014 22 015 2781 2165 11 024 8*027 12*030 13 016 17 010 2165 1652 10 024 7 025 12 030 12 018 12 001 1652 1258 8 021 6 025 11 031 11 019 9 346 1258 987 5 023 6 023 10 031 10 018 6 329 987 823 3 032 5 022 9 031 9 019 4*316 823 729 2*041 4 023 7 031 7 018 2*298 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography