DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 82.1 - - 78.7 - - 67.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 204 - - 307 - - 190 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 658 - - 1540 - - 1123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1560 - - 1111 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1371 - - 2254 - - 1837 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 412 - - 945 - - 651 - - 795 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 321 - - 247 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 271 - - 268 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3782 - - -5921 - - -5403 - - -3965 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5153 - - 8176 - - 7241 - - 4695 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13279 - - -13839 - - -12870 - - -12952 ODpotential blCL - - - 14650 - - 16093 - - 14707 - - 13682 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 57 - - 39 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.0 - - 82.1 - - 78.7 - - 67.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.2 - - 49.0 - - 49.8 - - 49.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.5 - - 80.1 - - 77.4 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.9 - - 47.7 - - 48.8 - - 49.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 204 - - 307 - - 190 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 658 - - 1540 - - 1123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98681 15 157 11 107 13 119 14 134 98681 91187 14 155 6 130 10 151 5 112 91187 85429 13 143 8 186 5 100 9 112 85429 80643 14 106 13 163 4 091 11 100 80643 76519 11 092 14 134 8 117 10 088 76519 72892 10 123 5 125 11 114 8 095 72892 69634 7 111 5 130 5 083 5 076 69634 66656 5 131 3 180 1 092 3 006 66656 63899 4 303 5 293 6 340 5 344 63899 61228 4 285 9 278 15 292 17 309 61228 58440 9 289 16 270 23 281 21 291 58440 55551 19 304 20 276 29 283 31 285 55551 52813 33 293 31 291 36 286 41 284 52813 50364 42 292 43 292 44 288 43 285 50364 48170 47 294 49 289 50 287 48 285 48170 46175 52 296 53 290 54 287 53 287 46175 44348 59 297 56 291 57 287 60 287 44348 42663 60 295 60 291 61 287 68 287 42663 41094 59 292 62 291 65 287 73 286 41094 39621 58 292 62 291 67 288 72 285 39621 38231 52 289 59 290 65 287 67 284 38231 36885 43 281 52 286 60 284 65 282 36885 35513 37 274 47 274 55 282 61 282 35513 34088 33 270 45 267 49 275 56 280 34088 32612 29 262 40 264 45 274 54 278 32612 31071 28 263 35 256 38 271 50 274 31071 29452 29 270 32 255 32 260 40 271 29452 27758 28 279 30 257 31 253 33 259 27758 25989 29 284 27 268 31 254 32 253 25989 24138 29 287 28 273 29 259 30 260 24138 22202 26 289 27 277 30 267 27 272 22202 20177 22 284 23 278 27 275 25 280 20177 18063 18 276 18 280 21 277 22 280 18063 15909 11 267 12 274 11 274 16 276 15909 13840 7 261 8 283 6 284 12 270 13840 11959 3 273 5 292 6 303 10 278 11959 10288 2 325 4 288 6 306 9 292 10288 8801 4 005 2 310 6 305 8 304 8801 7479 6 004 4 338 7 312 9 309 7479 6304 8 001 7 336 7 316 10 306 6304 5265 7 359 6 336 8 312 11 305 5265 4350 6 001 5 329 8 302 13 305 4350 3544 4 355 4 304 9 291 14 313 3544 2824 3 307 6*279 12 284 16 320 2824 2190 6 255 8*272 13*277 15 313 2190 1665 7*249 9 271 12*271 12 286 1665 1265 6*252 9 271 12 268 11 254 1265 991 6 253 9 271 11 267 10 249 991 825 6 254 9 270 11 266 9*247 825 730 5 254 7 270 9 265 6*245 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography