DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 81.6 - - 80.8 - - 66.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 114 - - 15 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 912 - - 3864 - - 3595 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 2884 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1625 - - 4578 - - 4308 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 679 - - 2605 - - 2835 - - 449 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 169 - - 329 - - 194 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 010 - - 334 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 6 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5745 - - -5388 - - -5005 - - -4068 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7370 - - 9967 - - 9313 - - 4798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10301 - - -10057 - - -8979 - - -9327 ODpotential blCL - - - 11926 - - 14635 - - 13287 - - 10057 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 79 - - 79 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 81.6 - - 80.8 - - 66.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 40.4 - - 42.5 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 80.7 - - 80.8 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 39.1 - - 41.3 - - 47.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 62 - - 114 - - 15 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 912 - - 3864 - - 3595 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 16 - - 15 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96568 28 296 33 281 32 271 47 277 96568 89254 28 283 33 284 29 284 36 285 89254 83741 20 283 23 281 23 288 26 294 83741 79220 15 287 16 270 23 296 18 307 79220 75312 16 286 23 269 32 287 21 298 75312 71848 14 286 23 270 29 285 20 290 71848 68696 12 283 17 282 23 288 20 290 68696 65766 19 281 21 279 25 270 23 284 65766 63022 23 281 26 271 28 260 27 285 63022 60353 29 277 27 269 28 273 34 284 60353 57564 32 270 40 270 43 277 40 278 57564 54667 41 265 44 261 45 266 47 276 54667 51897 40 267 45 272 44 273 51 277 51897 49400 44 274 53 273 50 274 56 277 49400 47168 46 275 55 271 56 273 57 278 47168 45168 45 274 51 269 58 273 57 280 45168 43365 39 273 45 266 55 273 55 283 43365 41720 34 271 35 263 47 271 56 284 41720 40199 34 273 32 264 41 269 55 280 40199 38778 38 272 38 261 38 266 51 274 38778 37438 36 265 40 260 43 264 47 274 37438 36140 33 260 40 263 49 268 46 269 36140 34817 29 260 38 262 48 275 49 269 34817 33442 28 264 37 262 42 274 53 273 33442 32014 27 264 33 257 39 269 46 273 32014 30519 25 262 31 257 37 271 39 263 30519 28946 25 260 30 262 33 269 39 266 28946 27292 24 256 30 263 31 271 35 270 27292 25555 23 253 30 262 29 274 32 269 25555 23737 22 254 28 264 26 275 28 261 23737 21844 22 258 25 263 23 268 26 257 21844 19873 22 259 26 266 21 264 23 251 19873 17817 20 257 24 265 21 273 19 251 17817 15718 15 249 19 256 17 272 15 252 15718 13690 9 247 14 245 14 264 11 257 13690 11844 5 271 7 231 9 249 6 248 11844 10202 2 290 3 218 6 244 3 260 10202 8740 2 347 1 207 3 253 1 214 8740 7437 5 359 3 020 1 016 1 149 7437 6278 9 002 8 019 5 027 2 010 6278 5251 11 001 9*014 6 009 4 352 5251 4345 13 002 9*012 6*359 7 345 4345 3545 13 012 9 010 6*350 9 339 3545 2830 14 023 9 009 7 341 11 331 2830 2198 14 024 8 010 7 333 12 324 2198 1672 11*024 8 009 7 328 13 319 1672 1269 7*022 7 010 7 327 12 310 1269 992 6 021 7 009 6 325 9 297 992 825 5 020 6 010 6 324 7*286 825 730 4 019 5 009 5 323 4*274 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography