DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 71.1 - - 72.8 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 248 - - 35 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1660 - - 2926 - - 2845 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1370 - - 2492 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2372 - - 3639 - - 3557 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1094 - - 1413 - - 1695 - - 725 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 257 - - 366 - - 192 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 017 - - 021 - - 353 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -5 - - 8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6686 - - -8278 - - -8594 - - -3408 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9059 - - 11918 - - 12151 - - 4137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18072 - - -18897 - - -18714 - - -14081 ODpotential blCL - - - 20444 - - 22536 - - 22271 - - 14810 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 45 - - 62 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 71.1 - - 72.8 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.6 - - 21.5 - - 22.3 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 69.6 - - 72.7 - - 59.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.6 - - 20.4 - - 21.5 - - 40.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 147 - - 248 - - 35 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1660 - - 2926 - - 2845 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97477 17 316 12 323 12 319 14 320 97477 90255 5 312 9 302 12 332 11 017 90255 84648 6 338 8 297 10 350 7 003 84648 80006 5 035 5 297 5 337 4 011 80006 76024 7 066 2 265 4 285 4 009 76024 72507 6 338 4 254 5 304 6 311 72507 69326 9 264 5 229 5 256 5 303 69326 66402 9 245 7 257 9 273 9 313 66402 63689 5 283 6 293 9 254 13 285 63689 61067 9 328 13 307 9 293 14 303 61067 58333 19 310 13 296 14 322 16 323 58333 55484 23 316 21 319 29 330 24 328 55484 52760 28 328 35 326 38 329 31 334 52760 50308 37 332 42 331 44 335 43 342 50308 48112 47 337 46 337 52 341 51 348 48112 46114 54 340 54 343 64 347 59 350 46114 44270 61 340 65 340 70 349 69 347 44270 42562 66 341 70 341 75 348 75 344 42562 40974 71 345 75 345 78 346 77 344 40974 39491 77 348 78 348 81 346 77 346 39491 38100 79 350 80 351 85 348 79 348 38100 36761 78 351 78 353 88 349 81 349 36761 35402 76 354 76 353 84 351 77 349 35402 33989 78 357 72 353 76 352 71 349 33989 32522 83 360 71 357 71 353 65 350 32522 30986 77 355 72 359 68 355 60 351 30986 29368 73 355 72 358 68 357 57 351 29368 27666 69 356 65 358 64 000 53 352 27666 25880 62 357 56 358 60 359 51 353 25880 24011 54 357 51 358 53 359 52 354 24011 22060 50 359 46 360 48 001 51 000 22060 20026 49 001 42 001 44 003 44 007 20026 17909 48 004 40 005 39 003 37 010 17909 15755 46 008 40 013 35 008 31 010 15755 13683 44 013 38 023 32 018 27 008 13683 11803 38 016 29 025 27 025 23 012 11803 10138 32 020 19 043 22 036 19 023 10138 8664 27 023 18 067 20 048 15 037 8664 7356 24 024 18 071 18 055 12 053 7356 6198 23 026 16 068 15 054 12 063 6198 5176 24 027 13 060 13 038 10 054 5176 4278 24 025 12*032 12*010 11 028 4278 3488 22 020 12*022 11*001 12 007 3488 2783 18*016 12 021 11 357 13 338 2783 2163 14*017 12 021 10 353 19 324 2163 1649 12 017 12 021 10 349 20 319 1649 1256 11 018 11 021 9 348 14 311 1256 986 10 018 10 021 9 347 9 297 986 822 9 018 10 022 8 345 6*285 822 729 7 017 8 022 6 344 4*265 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography