DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 79.8 - - 74.1 - - 63.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 392 - - 253 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 626 - - 1071 - - 714 - - 197 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1273 - - 882 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1340 - - 1785 - - 1427 - - 910 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 283 - - 323 - - 364 - - 361 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 217 - - 305 - - 230 - - 48 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 265 - - 273 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3073 - - -4495 - - -3744 - - -1305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4414 - - 6280 - - 5171 - - 2215 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12610 - - -12240 - - -12838 - - -12729 ODpotential blCL - - - 13950 - - 14025 - - 14265 - - 13639 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 50 - - 57 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.4 - - 79.8 - - 74.1 - - 63.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.9 - - 55.2 - - 54.4 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 77.6 - - 72.4 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 54.7 - - 54.1 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 392 - - 253 - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 626 - - 1071 - - 714 - - 197 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99295 28 142 24 106 21 102 22 103 99295 91773 26 116 29 101 26 113 21 108 91773 85974 27 110 25 119 20 109 20 096 85974 81176 24 095 26 130 18 104 21 096 81176 77039 19 092 20 114 18 098 20 095 77039 73392 13 090 15 097 14 094 17 082 73392 70116 13 107 14 098 14 095 14 094 70116 67123 12 104 11 107 12 105 11 100 67123 64354 10 091 13 141 10 124 10 104 64354 61679 9 146 10 143 7 130 12 128 61679 58894 9 192 17 174 13 198 10 194 58894 56009 20 210 22 195 25 197 22 210 56009 53264 31 215 33 213 31 216 30 220 53264 50802 42 219 42 219 40 225 37 227 50802 48609 49 226 52 226 47 230 44 237 48609 46640 54 231 53 228 52 230 48 239 46640 44844 54 234 48 232 48 233 50 236 44844 43180 50 236 45 238 47 235 51 232 43180 41621 47 238 44 237 46 235 50 231 41621 40151 47 242 42 236 46 236 48 231 40151 38759 47 245 41 236 45 237 46 233 38759 37405 47 245 40 235 43 237 43 234 37405 36024 45 243 40 234 42 238 41 233 36024 34584 43 240 41 233 41 237 38 231 34584 33091 41 237 42 233 41 236 37 232 33091 31528 40 235 42 229 39 237 37 234 31528 29884 40 235 42 226 38 235 38 232 29884 28158 39 231 41 225 39 234 39 232 28158 26350 39 223 39 222 37 236 38 233 26350 24463 38 220 38 222 35 234 34 233 24463 22499 35 224 37 224 34 232 31 228 22499 20451 31 224 35 230 32 229 29 227 20451 18315 26 227 29 230 27 230 23 230 18315 16136 19 230 21 227 19 226 17 228 16136 14035 16 226 17 229 16 218 15 223 14035 12122 14 227 15 238 13 228 13 230 12122 10421 9 237 11 239 11 250 9 248 10421 8908 4 250 7 231 8 259 6 275 8908 7563 3 252 5 235 6 257 6 288 7563 6370 2 255 5 246 6 257 6 288 6370 5314 1 270 5 252 7 264 6 287 5314 4385 1 284 5 257 7 273 7 288 4385 3566 0 252 6 258 8 281 7 286 3566 2836 2 245 7 252 9 272 9 274 2836 2194 6 237 9*255 11 268 10 266 2194 1665 7*247 9*264 11*272 11 265 1665 1263 6*253 9 266 11*274 11 265 1263 990 6 255 9 266 11 274 10*266 990 824 6 256 9 266 10 273 8*267 824 729 5 256 8 266 8 273 6 266 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography