DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 73.9 - - - - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 420 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 945 - - 1513 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1090 - - 1604 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1657 - - 2227 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 333 - - 458 - - - - - 827 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 258 - - 349 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 264 - - - - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1058 - - -3436 - - - - - -2020 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2715 - - 5663 - - - - - 2749 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9584 - - -10754 - - - - - -11313 ODpotential blCL - - - 11241 - - 12981 - - - - - 12042 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 58 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 73.9 - - - - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.3 - - 51.8 - - - - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.1 - - 71.6 - - - - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 51.4 - - - - - 51.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 420 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 945 - - 1513 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99164 30 112 19 119 16 081 99164 91704 20 123 15 114 15 089 91704 85958 18 114 15 131 13 093 85958 81170 16 114 15 124 11 118 81170 77033 16 130 10 116 14 124 77033 73377 10 103 9 154 11 103 73377 70067 5 102 7 106 8 113 70067 67040 8 057 3 138 4 088 67040 64253 7 252 7 091 3 093 64253 61562 11 204 6 265 3 338 61562 58748 7 275 14 227 11 256 58748 55823 24 261 20 238 24 267 55823 53035 34 258 31 252 35 265 53035 50530 47 264 39 258 37 261 50530 48286 55 262 44 259 41 263 48286 46246 55 261 47 258 45 264 46246 44374 54 260 50 256 46 263 44374 42641 56 259 53 253 45 263 42641 41030 57 256 53 249 47 262 41030 39530 56 255 49 247 48 258 39530 38130 54 254 46 246 46 253 38130 36785 51 254 45 247 43 253 36785 35421 50 253 44 248 41 255 35421 34005 48 252 42 249 40 258 34005 32540 46 251 39 250 39 258 32540 31009 43 250 37 252 38 256 31009 29395 40 250 38 252 38 255 29395 27698 40 250 39 252 39 255 27698 25917 42 250 41 251 39 256 25917 24054 41 253 43 252 37 260 24054 22116 36 254 41 254 34 262 22116 20101 33 254 34 255 30 261 20101 18006 27 256 27 256 23 260 18006 15870 22 259 20 252 18 257 15870 13808 18 256 17 245 17 248 13808 11928 17 253 17 241 17 243 11928 10254 16 252 17 245 16 248 10254 8766 15 253 17 251 15 262 8766 7444 14 257 14 254 13 278 7444 6271 12 255 12 258 11 285 6271 5234 12 258 11 264 9 281 5234 4322 12 269 10 268 11 270 4322 3519 12 276 13 273 14 267 3519 2804 13 272 14*271 16 269 2804 2175 13*258 14*266 16 273 2175 1655 12*248 14 264 15 262 1655 1259 12 246 14 263 14 248 1259 988 12 246 13 263 12 242 988 823 11 245 12 261 10 239 823 729 9 245 10 261 6*239 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography