DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/23 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 86.0 - - 82.0 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 340 - - 190 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 672 - - 1464 - - 987 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1523 - - 984 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1386 - - 2178 - - 1701 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 612 - - 986 - - 450 - - 533 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 205 - - 323 - - 234 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 267 - - 279 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - -4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6105 - - -7131 - - -6322 - - -3206 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7492 - - 9310 - - 8024 - - 3937 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13309 - - -12810 - - -12809 - - -12444 ODpotential blCL - - - 14695 - - 14988 - - 14510 - - 13174 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 65 - - 58 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.1 - - 86.0 - - 82.0 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 48.1 - - 49.9 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 83.8 - - 80.6 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.7 - - 47.4 - - 49.4 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 340 - - 190 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 672 - - 1464 - - 987 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99221 29 115 16 119 25 129 9 090 99221 91787 21 122 15 122 18 105 18 089 91787 86029 15 113 16 122 14 085 22 093 86029 81233 18 101 18 115 15 084 15 101 81233 77107 15 107 17 097 14 098 12 104 77107 73465 13 097 13 094 12 106 10 085 73465 70167 10 109 10 109 10 107 7 095 70167 67144 11 139 10 136 7 141 11 143 67144 64353 10 128 8 150 6 174 7 147 64353 61639 3 223 7 177 5 219 3 114 61639 58801 13 223 16 192 16 214 13 221 58801 55873 19 213 25 202 23 215 22 219 55873 53081 23 214 31 210 31 215 30 221 53081 50563 31 218 34 215 38 217 36 221 50563 48304 34 220 38 213 41 218 39 222 48304 46263 38 223 44 212 47 217 43 222 46263 44410 41 222 48 211 48 213 48 218 44410 42718 45 223 46 218 51 212 51 215 42718 41163 45 226 48 221 56 211 51 214 41163 39713 45 228 52 221 53 212 50 212 39713 38345 46 228 54 221 48 215 46 212 38345 37016 47 228 52 224 45 217 42 211 37016 35660 47 225 49 225 41 219 39 213 35660 34246 43 223 45 225 38 219 37 213 34246 32778 39 226 38 223 36 217 35 211 32778 31240 36 228 33 219 34 214 33 208 31240 29622 33 224 33 216 32 211 31 210 29622 27925 29 216 32 214 31 213 29 217 27925 26148 27 217 28 217 29 216 28 217 26148 24292 25 219 25 218 28 217 27 211 24292 22359 26 219 26 218 29 218 27 209 22359 20340 29 218 27 218 27 216 25 207 20340 18230 29 218 26 217 24 212 24 205 18230 16073 27 216 25 216 21 210 23 204 16073 13988 23 215 23 214 20 208 22 203 13988 12086 19 213 21 212 20 207 20 204 12086 10394 17 215 20 209 19 207 19 205 10394 8888 16 214 20 207 18 206 18 206 8888 7549 15 213 19 206 18 209 18 208 7549 6359 12 206 17 202 17 209 17 210 6359 5306 10 196 14 201 16 209 15 214 5306 4381 7 181 12 207 14 212 13 216 4381 3566 5 164 9 221 12 224 11 225 3566 2839 3 155 7 246 10 246 10 246 2839 2200 2 208 7*262 10*266 10 265 2200 1671 3*265 7*266 9*278 10 273 1671 1267 3*270 8 267 9 279 9 277 1267 992 3 267 8 267 9 279 8 277 992 825 3 265 7 266 9 279 7*276 825 730 3 264 7 266 7 278 5*275 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography