DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 66.5 - - - - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 278 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2022 - - 3621 - - - - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1727 - - 3055 - - - - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 2734 - - 4333 - - - - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1169 - - 2758 - - - - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 295 - - 408 - - - - - - W* B/S - - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 303 - - - - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1759 - - -2159 - - - - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4493 - - 6492 - - - - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4229 - - -3942 - - - - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6963 - - 8275 - - - - - - blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 54 - - - - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.7 - - 66.5 - - - - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.6 - - 40.5 - - - - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 64.8 - - - - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 39.9 - - - - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 186 - - 278 - - - - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2022 - - 3621 - - - - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97756 20 287 15 326 97756 90497 5 263 11 319 90497 84875 4 071 3 301 84875 80215 5 030 3 155 80215 76204 2 289 3 144 76204 72671 6 193 6 229 72671 69482 6 248 5 235 69482 66543 7 250 4 225 66543 63802 8 254 6 250 63802 61136 11 228 12 229 61136 58338 10 239 9 241 58338 55420 20 251 16 251 55420 52633 15 248 11 240 52633 50121 17 268 19 288 50121 47860 25 263 25 281 47860 45793 27 260 26 280 45793 43887 27 257 27 296 43887 42130 21 277 30 308 42130 40504 27 306 32 342 40504 38991 34 332 51 000 38991 37576 44 345 64 357 37576 36216 46 348 65 353 36216 34841 47 351 58 351 34841 33420 47 356 52 356 33420 31956 50 000 53 001 31956 30430 55 000 56 002 30430 28826 56 357 58 001 28826 27143 53 356 58 358 27143 25379 54 358 57 356 25379 23536 56 002 55 359 23536 21618 56 003 53 002 21618 19621 56 003 51 001 19621 17541 57 006 50 359 17541 15425 54 011 48 001 15425 13393 42 013 41 004 13393 11554 31 008 31 002 11554 9933 23 000 23 356 9933 8505 19 000 17 348 8505 7242 12 011 10 347 7242 6118 7 007 7 351 6118 5123 5 355 6*333 5123 4246 4 353 7*316 4246 3471 3 006 7 311 3471 2778 4*338 7 305 2778 2164 4*306 8 301 2164 1652 4 299 8 297 1652 1259 4 295 8 295 1259 988 4 291 8 293 988 823 4 289 7 293 823 729 4 289 6 291 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography