DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 73.2 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 448 - - - - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 908 - - 1240 - - - - - 559 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1107 - - 1419 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1621 - - 1954 - - - - - 1271 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 290 - - 411 - - - - - 346 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 334 - - - - - 103 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 246 - - 257 - - - - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2106 - - -3693 - - - - - -813 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3727 - - 5648 - - - - - 2084 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11776 - - -11834 - - - - - -12162 ODpotential blCL - - - 13397 - - 13788 - - - - - 13433 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 57 - - - - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.9 - - 73.2 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 51.4 - - - - - 53.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 70.9 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.5 - - 50.8 - - - - - 53.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 312 - - 448 - - - - - 29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 908 - - 1240 - - - - - 559 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99537 40 105 34 108 30 104 99537 92008 34 106 34 117 30 111 92008 86216 30 105 33 116 27 102 86216 81422 24 112 29 118 23 109 81422 77299 20 119 23 114 25 100 77299 73650 24 124 16 114 21 093 73650 70347 21 123 12 130 16 106 70347 67318 20 113 16 127 11 137 67318 64526 7 108 15 142 11 150 64526 61829 13 163 14 149 15 145 61829 59015 21 177 22 187 14 168 59015 56105 33 186 33 193 20 200 56105 53336 38 185 41 193 34 208 53336 50860 35 204 48 202 51 204 50860 48656 49 213 56 212 58 201 48656 46657 62 220 67 216 62 211 46657 44819 76 220 72 213 70 216 44819 43110 76 219 71 214 74 218 43110 41509 77 223 72 217 78 219 41509 40001 78 223 75 217 81 219 40001 38576 75 220 72 214 78 218 38576 37197 70 218 69 212 72 217 37197 35798 65 218 64 213 66 215 35798 34350 61 217 60 211 62 214 34350 32853 59 216 58 210 59 213 32853 31289 58 215 57 211 58 213 31289 29647 55 214 57 212 57 214 29647 27927 51 213 53 214 52 215 27927 26133 46 212 46 212 45 212 26133 24264 40 209 43 210 45 208 24264 22320 35 204 41 212 43 207 22320 20291 29 199 35 208 38 207 20291 18170 23 205 28 205 32 204 18170 16006 17 196 19 200 23 199 16006 13919 14 187 15 185 18 192 13919 12020 13 197 14 177 16 197 12020 10331 12 207 14 176 15 199 10331 8829 12 203 14 183 16 199 8829 7493 11 197 15 190 17 201 7493 6306 11 193 15 194 17 204 6306 5257 11 194 15 200 16 208 5257 4334 11 200 15 207 13 220 4334 3523 12 214 14 222 12 238 3523 2802 13 235 14 244 13 256 2802 2171 14 244 14*253 15 265 2171 1651 13*245 14*256 14*261 1651 1257 12*246 13 257 14*259 1257 987 12 246 13 257 13 258 987 823 11 246 12 257 11 258 823 729 9 246 10 257 8 257 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography