DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.6 - - 68.0 - - 76.0 - - 76.8 - - 61.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 53 - - 118 - - 22 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 605 - - 1701 - - 1938 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1354 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1318 - - 2415 - - 2652 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 204 - - 546 - - 1080 - - 1413 - - 369 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 141 - - 252 - - 169 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 18 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 124 - - 041 - - 350 - - 294 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6957 - - -5398 - - -5617 - - -5550 - - -2043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7686 - - 6717 - - 8032 - - 8202 - - 2772 sfcLCL ODpotential -16947 - - -13479 - - -11970 - - -11601 - - -10501 ODpotential blCL 17676 - - 14797 - - 14385 - - 14253 - - 11230 blCL maxRH 20 - - 36 - - 87 - - 62 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.6 - - 68.0 - - 76.0 - - 76.8 - - 61.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.8 - - 41.8 - - 43.7 - - 43.7 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.2 - - 67.6 - - 75.1 - - 76.9 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 40.6 - - 42.4 - - 42.5 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 53 - - 118 - - 22 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 605 - - 1701 - - 1938 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 48 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 29 269 34 286 39 285 38 285 38 291 96497 89322 27 284 21 294 27 282 28 293 25 292 89322 83853 22 288 23 297 22 286 25 305 19 305 83853 79308 11 295 19 282 22 286 23 305 18 311 79308 75379 14 319 13 270 20 276 24 299 20 318 75379 71898 13 292 8 289 15 276 18 293 19 302 71898 68747 14 277 6 301 10 275 8 284 15 279 68747 65845 18 290 7 284 12 281 9 273 13 268 65845 63152 26 284 14 268 19 272 15 278 14 277 63152 60556 31 269 26 270 29 263 24 268 22 266 60556 57853 37 253 33 262 32 258 30 256 27 261 57853 55036 39 246 36 249 37 251 38 253 39 255 55036 52333 42 249 41 250 41 247 43 250 45 243 52333 49881 50 252 50 252 47 247 48 251 50 244 49881 47661 54 249 57 244 55 244 55 247 55 244 47661 45632 54 247 55 237 57 238 57 237 58 239 45632 43762 53 247 51 234 54 236 52 238 54 235 43762 42033 45 243 45 228 48 229 47 235 43 240 42033 40435 37 238 39 221 42 221 41 229 40 239 40435 38955 43 234 37 220 39 217 37 221 37 230 38955 37578 52 229 42 224 38 216 34 220 31 227 37578 36255 50 227 46 219 40 210 34 219 27 223 36255 34913 43 228 45 215 46 205 37 217 27 221 34913 33521 40 228 44 213 48 205 40 212 28 217 33521 32082 38 228 42 213 45 203 40 209 26 214 32082 30582 37 229 40 214 39 201 35 204 23 213 30582 29007 33 228 37 219 35 204 30 200 19 210 29007 27359 31 224 32 224 31 211 26 201 16 209 27359 25633 30 225 31 220 29 213 23 206 14 213 25633 23830 25 226 30 214 28 214 21 210 13 217 23830 21949 21 226 24 219 25 219 19 210 12 215 21949 19985 19 227 20 224 20 221 17 217 11 214 19985 17927 15 232 16 221 17 223 14 218 11 203 17927 15815 12 225 15 210 16 213 11 210 14 194 15815 13769 12 225 14 209 14 205 10 198 14 195 13769 11900 11 232 11 223 9 199 8 184 9 197 11900 10235 10 235 9 238 6 197 7 180 6 190 10235 8752 9 246 6 238 6 188 7 188 7 186 8752 7434 7 257 5 204 8 189 7 204 6 202 7434 6265 3 252 7 181 9 196 8 219 6 222 6265 5233 1 219 7 175 8 209 7 236 6 245 5233 4326 0 236 4 171 5 217 5 247 6 254 4326 3527 1 338 1 165 3 212 3 283 6 260 3527 2815 4 028 1 071 1*335 4*305 5 284 2815 2186 11 043 3 077 3*356 5*303 6 309 2186 1663 18 038 6*050 3 354 5 297 10 309 1663 1263 15 040 7*041 3 349 6 293 11 305 1263 989 9 056 6 041 2 345 5 290 9 300 989 824 5*092 5 040 2 343 5 291 7 293 824 729 4*124 4 039 2 345 4 288 4*284 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography