DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 85.7 - - 80.4 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 215 - - 79 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 571 - - 1064 - - 589 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1105 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1285 - - 1778 - - 1303 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 281 - - 590 - - 307 - - 244 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 175 - - 250 - - 147 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 309 - - 303 - - 295 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4608 - - -6533 - - -5302 - - -1198 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5893 - - 8312 - - 6605 - - 1928 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10460 - - -9895 - - -9817 - - -9118 ODpotential blCL - - - 11745 - - 11673 - - 11120 - - 9848 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 59 - - 56 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.6 - - 85.7 - - 80.4 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.8 - - 52.1 - - 54.4 - - 59.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.8 - - 84.2 - - 79.6 - - 66.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 51.6 - - 54.0 - - 58.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 136 - - 215 - - 79 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 571 - - 1064 - - 589 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97844 4 150 9 068 11 071 4 125 97844 90584 5 064 10 095 6 091 10 075 90584 84960 5 064 6 060 8 065 12 071 84960 80296 5 129 9 359 15 027 14 064 80296 76302 12 093 9 042 10 029 12 041 76302 72781 18 075 11 071 7 048 11 048 72781 69601 17 074 8 101 4 053 8 017 69601 66691 10 060 4 095 8 357 9 010 66691 63998 9 031 6 026 9 349 12 347 63998 61392 9 011 7 332 11 315 17 332 61392 58674 17 335 15 327 16 308 23 318 58674 55859 25 314 21 316 19 308 25 307 55859 53177 28 310 25 313 24 317 26 312 53177 50756 29 300 33 297 33 304 31 313 50756 48569 30 298 33 293 35 291 33 310 48569 46567 31 304 36 301 36 290 31 299 46567 44720 39 302 38 295 37 284 33 287 44720 43007 42 297 38 294 37 281 34 281 43007 41408 42 295 38 294 34 282 34 277 41408 39908 43 294 38 292 34 283 32 276 39908 38496 43 293 38 290 35 283 32 276 38496 37131 40 292 37 287 35 283 33 275 37131 35741 35 291 33 284 34 281 33 276 35741 34297 31 290 30 282 32 280 30 275 34297 32802 29 287 27 281 29 279 26 273 32802 31241 29 281 27 275 28 275 24 269 31241 29606 29 276 27 271 28 270 24 267 29606 27893 26 275 24 272 25 269 23 267 27893 26098 21 275 19 275 18 271 17 262 26098 24224 16 274 13 270 13 264 13 250 24224 22275 10 268 9 253 10 247 11 230 22275 20244 5 231 7 215 8 224 10 217 20244 18130 6 156 9 180 9 191 11 184 18130 15984 10 160 12 171 12 165 14 156 15984 13927 16 173 17 182 14 167 14 143 13927 12055 15 180 15 193 11 170 11 138 12055 10386 11 176 9 199 7 165 9 133 10386 8896 9 163 7 187 6 154 8 146 8896 7566 8 146 6 176 7 149 8 147 7566 6383 5 126 4 151 5 129 6 116 6383 5334 2 342 2 029 3 059 6 055 5334 4408 7 344 7 000 7 008 8 031 4408 3590 7 001 7 007 9 003 11 017 3590 2859 5 021 6 015 8 000 12 003 2859 2214 4 037 5*357 7 346 10 342 2214 1678 4*029 5*318 8*315 11 322 1678 1271 3*331 6 304 8*300 10 309 1271 993 3 308 6 299 8 294 7 289 993 825 3 300 6 297 8 293 5*267 825 730 3 295 5 294 6 292 3*249 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography