DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 57.1 - - 55.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 154 - - 43 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 628 - - 1327 - - 1485 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1161 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1340 - - 2039 - - 2197 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 616 - - 668 - - 577 - - 1588 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 156 - - 244 - - 168 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 267 - - 263 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 142 - - -167 - - 421 - - -130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1198 - - 2206 - - 1776 - - 858 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3539 - - -2838 - - 145 - - -563 ODpotential blCL - - - 4879 - - 4877 - - 2052 - - 1291 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 88 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.2 - - 57.1 - - 55.0 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.7 - - 50.1 - - 49.9 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 56.0 - - 54.6 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 49.1 - - 49.4 - - 48.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 87 - - 154 - - 43 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 628 - - 1327 - - 1485 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 52 - - 97 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96514 28 095 33 093 33 096 33 094 96514 89438 27 095 23 102 23 097 24 092 89438 83950 19 098 17 107 22 101 14 108 83950 79354 17 108 13 101 15 093 11 107 79354 75359 12 095 10 117 9 097 9 126 75359 71809 6 099 6 122 3 149 6 099 71809 68587 2 108 1 018 8 178 7 236 68587 65622 3 351 5 271 6 258 10 243 65622 62867 10 295 10 255 16 258 14 275 62867 60202 14 288 16 274 20 261 21 271 60202 57423 18 280 21 267 25 273 24 263 57423 54541 25 293 34 291 42 281 39 267 54541 51785 42 288 38 277 41 275 43 270 51785 49291 32 287 33 275 45 288 49 281 49291 47043 27 304 47 301 59 289 60 286 47043 44999 46 308 60 297 69 287 75 285 44999 43139 52 300 61 294 71 282 78 277 43139 41437 37 295 48 310 53 295 61 283 41437 39877 61 329 74 316 67 305 72 293 39877 38442 86 327 75 310 72 301 72 287 38442 37104 77 322 61 303 61 294 63 283 37104 35810 70 329 55 314 47 299 56 285 35810 34489 69 337 58 324 43 310 52 284 34489 33112 59 343 56 328 43 310 49 285 33112 31685 48 346 52 332 42 306 49 293 31685 30196 40 353 49 337 45 311 53 297 30196 28628 32 355 45 341 54 315 52 298 28628 26981 29 335 34 347 52 314 50 297 26981 25255 33 324 26 338 42 307 44 293 25255 23450 33 337 25 327 23 308 40 289 23450 21567 34 351 32 324 23 304 40 285 21567 19596 31 001 36 331 38 302 42 284 19596 17534 26 006 23 349 34 320 31 287 17534 15430 22 009 17 344 17 322 19 276 15430 13409 19 009 17 344 13 309 15 285 13409 11575 18 007 17 351 12 333 10 307 11575 9948 14 002 15 357 12 355 8 343 9948 8504 10 360 11 354 9 360 7 001 8504 7224 9 004 7 345 6 351 6 356 7224 6091 9 006 4 347 3 337 4 335 6091 5090 8 003 3 356 2 329 4 319 5090 4209 8 355 4 358 2 326 3 312 4209 3433 8 347 5 342 3 294 3 276 3433 2741 7 340 5 310 6*274 5 275 2741 2135 6 315 6*277 8*265 9 280 2135 1632 6*271 7*269 9 263 11 279 1632 1247 6*252 7 267 9 263 10 276 1247 981 6 250 7 266 8 263 9 273 981 821 6 249 6 265 8 262 7 269 821 728 5 248 6 264 6 262 4*266 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography