DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 85.3 - - 81.0 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 242 - - 80 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 708 - - 2119 - - 958 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1898 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1421 - - 2833 - - 1672 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 603 - - 1559 - - 904 - - 335 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 185 - - 327 - - 175 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 329 - - 319 - - 290 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5350 - - -7367 - - -7638 - - -3822 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6771 - - 10201 - - 9310 - - 4552 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14656 - - -14339 - - -15224 - - -14275 ODpotential blCL - - - 16077 - - 17172 - - 16896 - - 15004 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 33 - - 27 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 85.3 - - 81.0 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.2 - - 43.2 - - 43.1 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 83.5 - - 80.2 - - 67.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 42.5 - - 42.5 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 242 - - 80 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 708 - - 2119 - - 958 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98047 6 096 5 161 4 249 2 284 98047 90757 3 083 2 235 1 155 7 131 90757 85096 3 022 3 000 4 326 7 030 85096 80413 5 024 2 308 6 021 7 010 80413 76403 6 013 0 356 9 015 10 035 76403 72862 4 053 2 069 4 009 6 024 72862 69646 3 098 4 299 5 350 4 051 69646 66677 3 284 9 284 11 307 9 340 66677 63932 3 271 8 261 10 260 14 294 63932 61290 4 302 4 262 7 228 14 260 61290 58543 17 295 15 302 13 299 13 291 58543 55702 18 279 21 286 25 294 23 295 55702 52994 18 308 21 310 25 311 22 295 52994 50550 30 326 28 324 30 319 24 319 50550 48353 36 337 30 334 34 323 30 323 48353 46353 37 340 30 335 34 323 32 323 46353 44520 34 346 29 344 29 329 30 330 44520 42832 34 005 30 360 24 346 26 341 42832 41264 35 012 30 010 23 005 23 349 41264 39793 36 014 29 014 24 007 21 357 39793 38403 36 011 28 012 25 359 20 005 38403 37057 36 011 28 011 24 355 20 007 37057 35686 35 008 28 012 23 358 19 002 35686 34261 33 356 27 016 22 001 17 356 34261 32783 33 348 26 006 19 357 13 346 32783 31235 35 347 26 354 19 348 12 348 31235 29603 33 349 24 354 17 338 13 342 29603 27890 28 353 22 355 17 331 15 326 27890 26098 24 359 21 348 19 331 17 325 26098 24227 24 002 19 348 22 328 20 332 24227 22282 24 005 20 355 21 327 22 335 22282 20255 26 005 21 358 18 330 21 341 20255 18141 26 007 21 003 16 346 19 356 18141 15987 25 018 21 013 17 004 16 010 15987 13911 21 030 20 020 18 019 14 012 13911 12022 17 038 17 024 18 024 12 015 12022 10341 14 043 13 021 16 023 12 032 10341 8847 10 036 11 013 15 020 13 044 8847 7520 10 017 12 012 15 023 15 045 7520 6341 13 002 14 012 17 021 21 028 6341 5298 15 353 17 007 19 014 25 016 5298 4379 17 349 17 004 18 006 21 008 4379 3567 16 353 15 002 16 354 17 354 3567 2843 16 009 11*351 15 330 16 337 2843 2203 15 014 8*333 14 311 17 322 2203 1671 9*005 8 322 12*298 14 311 1671 1267 4*337 8 316 11*292 9 284 1267 991 4 329 7 312 11 290 8 245 991 825 3 323 7 311 10 288 7 222 825 729 3 319 6 309 8 287 4*209 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography