DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.8 - - 59.0 - - 62.8 - - 62.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 72 - - 107 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1121 - - 2192 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1556 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1834 - - 2905 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 255 - - 1258 - - 1329 - - 3196 - - 532 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 180 - - 254 - - 17 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 20 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 179 - - 254 - - 236 - - 090 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -278 - - -412 - - -730 - - -3927 - - -1532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1006 - - 2246 - - 3635 - - 4657 - - 2261 sfcLCL ODpotential -12526 - - -10294 - - -9771 - - -12772 - - -11036 ODpotential blCL 13254 - - 12128 - - 12676 - - 13501 - - 11765 blCL maxRH 86 - - 82 - - 90 - - 54 - - 61 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.8 - - 59.0 - - 62.8 - - 62.2 - - 54.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 51.8 - - 49.6 - - 44.6 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.3 - - 58.3 - - 61.9 - - 62.5 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.8 - - 50.9 - - 48.8 - - 44.0 - - 46.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 72 - - 107 - - 2 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1121 - - 2192 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 42 - - 27 - - 59 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96653 28 304 43 282 38 295 30 288 32 284 96653 89696 23 294 36 275 33 285 21 303 21 294 89696 84297 19 280 29 286 29 270 30 284 28 295 84297 79765 19 282 22 286 22 269 29 270 28 277 79765 75834 24 268 15 286 14 273 19 251 25 282 75834 72329 19 244 22 282 15 303 9 275 18 280 72329 69122 21 240 25 257 24 271 15 289 12 276 69122 66165 22 239 27 231 26 258 24 279 18 267 66165 63437 18 239 21 227 28 250 28 254 25 261 63437 60795 22 256 25 237 31 240 33 246 26 263 60795 58029 21 257 24 234 30 234 34 246 30 267 58029 55148 30 264 27 255 26 255 40 261 38 261 55148 52407 43 271 46 260 51 267 60 265 51 251 52407 49967 64 274 53 260 65 263 74 268 65 252 49967 47816 67 267 62 270 82 273 85 274 83 262 47816 45879 61 282 81 284 108 276 114 272 109 269 45879 44099 78 296 103 286 113 275 119 269 125 268 44099 42443 95 296 110 284 112 274 111 266 122 263 42443 40893 105 293 113 282 110 273 109 267 120 262 40893 39434 102 290 108 279 104 272 110 267 121 262 39434 38051 88 285 95 273 91 270 108 267 118 263 38051 36709 79 278 86 268 75 271 103 266 114 262 36709 35340 79 279 81 270 62 266 89 267 108 261 35340 33919 78 285 73 273 61 260 66 268 98 260 33919 32447 71 293 63 276 60 260 66 268 85 257 32447 30906 56 300 57 281 57 260 62 265 78 253 30906 29282 47 300 50 285 55 261 54 262 77 250 29282 27575 47 294 47 280 51 262 54 257 78 250 27575 25784 44 289 40 282 45 259 59 254 73 250 25784 23914 37 290 37 284 40 258 60 255 62 247 23914 21976 31 294 29 285 29 259 49 254 53 243 21976 19960 25 297 27 279 34 259 38 250 47 235 19960 17858 20 295 20 256 27 254 30 245 39 227 17858 15714 13 281 14 252 21 247 26 241 31 222 15714 13648 12 273 16 249 19 239 23 237 23 209 13648 11769 11 300 15 258 15 245 20 235 17 202 11769 10100 4 308 7 231 12 233 15 228 13 191 10100 8622 1 155 8 189 12 218 13 217 13 190 8622 7320 4 143 8 176 12 210 13 206 12 194 7320 6172 5 141 7 168 11 196 14 190 10 194 6172 5160 5 139 5 161 11 181 14 172 10 195 5160 4269 5 149 5 168 10 176 13 155 10 205 4269 3485 4 175 5 186 6*179 8 134 10 218 3485 2784 5 211 5 206 3*204 7 102 10 230 2784 2166 6 240 4*254 2 232 7 091 8 232 2166 1651 7 259 3*262 2 242 6 089 6 229 1651 1257 7 259 2 253 3 245 6 090 3 248 1257 986 6 238 2 250 3 247 5 091 2 315 986 823 5 208 2 250 3 249 5 091 3*350 823 729 3*179 2 245 2 249 3*090 3*354 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography