DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 76.4 - - 76.1 - - 67.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 47 - - -16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 1123 - - 168 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 714 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1055 - - 1837 - - 882 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 612 - - 804 - - 1786 - - 635 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 83 - - 178 - - 55 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 051 - - 037 - - 049 - - 022 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4328 - - -4410 - - -4655 - - -3061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5384 - - 6248 - - 5537 - - 3791 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13138 - - -12037 - - -12067 - - -12251 ODpotential blCL - - - 14193 - - 13874 - - 12949 - - 12981 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 39 - - 40 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 76.4 - - 76.1 - - 67.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.1 - - 51.9 - - 54.7 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 76.0 - - 77.0 - - 72.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 50.6 - - 53.4 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 47 - - -16 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 1123 - - 168 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96717 19 253 12 285 12 209 29 265 96717 89489 18 171 9 238 7 209 3 300 89489 83964 21 157 9 184 3 093 8 139 83964 79388 14 111 15 142 1 047 13 098 79388 75465 17 097 19 113 4 162 11 058 75465 72018 20 077 16 080 9 114 9 064 72018 68903 17 057 10 053 13 089 10 078 68903 66039 15 065 9 022 11 038 13 043 66039 63389 24 061 6 030 15 021 14 039 63389 60840 23 036 11 032 22 013 17 033 60840 58188 23 019 16 038 22 010 18 018 58188 55428 21 357 16 023 16 005 15 343 55428 52787 17 002 16 011 9 006 9 292 52787 50398 26 035 20 009 13 026 7 288 50398 48249 26 031 15 349 14 001 11 331 48249 46302 10 349 12 291 15 308 16 325 46302 44521 7 303 12 269 20 281 19 308 44521 42873 17 336 9 305 17 271 18 302 42873 41331 24 352 12 347 14 284 17 301 41331 39875 27 351 15 350 14 307 17 293 39875 38496 27 347 20 338 14 302 18 285 38496 37155 23 341 22 331 16 294 19 280 37155 35788 22 347 20 326 19 287 21 277 35788 34364 23 337 17 316 20 292 23 276 34364 32886 23 316 15 319 22 301 26 277 32886 31338 20 312 15 328 22 304 27 284 31338 29706 21 323 17 327 22 301 26 297 29706 27992 23 329 18 323 22 310 23 301 27992 26196 22 331 20 322 22 322 18 309 26196 24321 23 328 23 327 23 329 19 323 24321 22370 25 323 26 331 27 330 23 327 22370 20333 28 335 27 337 29 331 25 330 20333 18203 29 346 24 339 29 333 25 337 18203 16024 19 340 14 318 19 338 21 342 16024 13928 7 307 13 287 11 325 15 335 13928 12027 7 288 6 310 10 329 10 340 12027 10342 5 317 3 360 7 357 7 014 10342 8846 4 000 3 021 6 018 7 031 8846 7518 6 037 4 025 6 013 7 039 7518 6337 8 033 6 022 7 021 8 043 6337 5293 10 015 9 017 10 031 10 039 5293 4374 12 004 13 009 13 033 10 035 4374 3565 12 005 13 009 14 034 10 028 3565 2843 14 020 13 020 13 034 11 019 2843 2207 17 030 11*028 11 038 11 015 2207 1678 16 035 8*034 9 043 9 015 1678 1273 12*043 7 036 8 046 7 017 1273 995 8*049 7 038 7*048 5 016 995 826 7 051 6 039 6*049 3*016 826 730 5 052 5 039 4 049 1*022 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography