DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 79.7 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 401 - - - - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 883 - - 1663 - - - - - 320 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1079 - - 1705 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1596 - - 2377 - - - - - 1033 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 349 - - 820 - - - - - 399 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 355 - - - - - 73 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 266 - - 272 - - - - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -907 - - -3832 - - - - - -1307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2503 - - 6209 - - - - - 2340 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9119 - - -10026 - - - - - -10726 ODpotential blCL - - - 10715 - - 12403 - - - - - 11759 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 54 - - - - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.4 - - 79.7 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 55.2 - - - - - 56.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.6 - - 77.2 - - - - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 54.8 - - - - - 56.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 301 - - 401 - - - - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 883 - - 1663 - - - - - 320 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 0 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99299 41 102 34 097 35 100 99299 91876 34 113 29 096 32 100 91876 86122 27 112 27 108 26 100 86122 81322 26 102 26 116 19 100 81322 77196 19 099 22 116 16 094 77196 73560 14 097 14 109 14 079 73560 70269 12 087 10 126 16 079 70269 67247 9 107 8 132 12 061 67247 64444 7 109 7 149 5 062 64444 61731 7 153 12 186 3 157 61731 58902 4 167 13 180 12 207 58902 55963 25 228 16 223 17 220 55963 53166 32 221 31 226 27 237 53166 50656 30 225 37 225 45 247 50656 48423 34 231 42 232 66 238 48423 46420 35 231 46 245 67 235 46420 44599 38 242 49 239 66 236 44599 42932 41 250 49 234 66 238 42932 41389 42 248 49 239 69 242 41389 39937 39 239 47 241 66 239 39937 38558 38 237 44 238 62 238 38558 37216 35 233 43 236 59 232 37216 35842 33 228 41 237 56 225 35842 34408 31 229 37 238 55 224 34408 32918 30 234 34 236 53 225 32918 31361 29 230 33 232 52 227 31361 29721 29 224 31 228 50 227 29721 28000 30 227 30 227 47 224 28000 26197 28 234 32 223 43 223 26197 24315 25 233 31 217 38 223 24315 22355 20 230 28 217 30 222 22355 20311 16 222 23 217 24 220 20311 18182 16 213 19 213 23 202 18182 16013 15 212 16 210 21 191 16013 13924 13 202 13 199 17 185 13924 12025 15 187 14 188 14 180 12025 10337 15 177 16 181 13 182 10337 8838 14 172 17 176 13 189 8838 7507 12 176 16 176 14 197 7507 6327 12 185 14 179 13 200 6327 5282 12 189 12 183 10 202 5282 4361 11 187 9 189 7 219 4361 3549 10 188 7 205 6 250 3549 2825 7 211 6*239 8 270 2825 2189 8 257 7*268 13 275 2189 1662 8*266 8 273 14 278 1662 1263 8*266 8 273 13*278 1263 990 8 266 8 273 12*277 990 824 7 266 8 273 10 277 824 729 6 266 7 273 7 276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography