DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/16 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.5 - - 70.3 - - 75.3 - - 73.8 - - 63.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 45 - - 309 - - 451 - - 279 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 284 - - 961 - - 1248 - - 1116 - - 394 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 1144 - - 1427 - - 1224 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 996 - - 1674 - - 1962 - - 1830 - - 1107 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 262 - - 255 - - 449 - - 413 - - 471 Hgt.Variab. W* 97 - - 273 - - 336 - - 276 - - 80 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 256 - - 262 - - 261 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1914 - - -3057 - - -4191 - - -3979 - - -2033 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2910 - - 4732 - - 6154 - - 5810 - - 3140 sfcLCL ODpotential -14327 - - -12776 - - -12970 - - -12932 - - -12745 ODpotential blCL 15323 - - 14450 - - 14932 - - 14762 - - 13852 blCL maxRH 68 - - 60 - - 53 - - 52 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.5 - - 70.3 - - 75.3 - - 73.8 - - 63.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.5 - - 52.4 - - 51.1 - - 51.2 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 68.5 - - 72.8 - - 72.2 - - 63.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.9 - - 51.7 - - 50.5 - - 50.7 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 45 - - 309 - - 451 - - 279 - - 18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 284 - - 961 - - 1248 - - 1116 - - 394 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99462 53 100 46 105 42 117 35 122 31 106 99462 91918 42 096 37 111 35 106 34 105 31 111 91918 86121 37 106 35 109 36 104 29 105 29 101 86121 81323 33 106 31 104 30 112 30 113 25 105 81323 77188 26 105 28 110 25 116 26 110 26 113 77188 73537 19 091 21 113 25 115 23 115 25 113 73537 70237 20 103 21 115 18 119 21 109 22 110 70237 67220 15 117 18 117 18 136 21 106 21 112 67220 64440 14 146 19 142 20 147 17 117 20 120 64440 61749 15 150 18 146 21 166 17 149 16 143 61749 58938 13 162 13 172 15 189 13 163 15 149 58938 56028 22 192 18 197 21 198 20 208 15 185 56028 53262 17 187 24 203 29 204 32 206 28 206 53262 50783 24 214 30 206 37 212 39 214 38 208 50783 48564 28 227 35 216 42 220 50 224 45 224 48564 46550 40 236 39 219 47 218 59 222 62 225 46550 44695 47 230 44 214 51 214 56 221 65 221 44695 42976 48 225 47 211 52 214 55 220 61 221 42976 41383 48 225 47 213 51 212 57 218 61 221 41383 39897 49 227 46 216 49 211 57 215 61 217 39897 38499 49 227 47 217 52 209 53 212 58 212 38499 37144 46 228 47 220 53 211 53 212 55 211 37144 35765 42 229 45 225 49 215 52 214 51 211 35765 34331 41 229 41 228 42 217 45 212 49 208 34331 32843 39 228 37 225 39 213 45 209 48 209 32843 31284 37 228 36 221 41 211 45 214 45 209 31284 29647 33 228 34 221 39 215 42 221 41 206 29647 27931 30 226 32 221 33 216 36 218 37 204 27931 26134 28 223 29 219 30 216 30 212 35 205 26134 24256 28 225 30 220 29 217 26 213 34 206 24256 22306 28 225 29 221 29 215 27 209 29 207 22306 20277 26 220 28 217 28 215 27 214 24 207 20277 18159 25 214 28 219 26 219 22 216 20 208 18159 15996 21 218 24 228 22 232 16 225 15 209 15996 13911 18 228 20 239 19 244 13 242 11 223 13911 12013 15 238 17 239 17 243 12 242 9 223 12013 10324 14 240 16 233 16 232 12 229 9 211 10324 8823 12 235 14 225 15 223 12 220 11 208 8823 7488 10 233 11 216 13 214 12 216 12 216 7488 6305 9 247 9 218 12 214 12 219 12 231 6305 5260 9 275 8 247 11 230 11 231 12 247 5260 4342 11 293 9 275 12 256 11 251 13 264 4342 3534 13 302 12 288 14 272 14 268 15 274 3534 2814 15 307 14 292 16 277 16 277 17 281 2814 2181 16 305 14*285 15*271 16*273 17 282 2181 1659 14 292 12*259 15*265 15*265 15 268 1659 1262 12*263 12 255 15 263 15 261 13*250 1262 990 10*244 12 254 14 261 14 260 12*248 990 824 9 241 11 254 13 260 13 259 11 247 824 729 6 240 9 253 11 259 10 258 8 247 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography