DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 78.2 - - 77.0 - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 426 - - 275 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 1561 - - 1122 - - 323 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1203 - - 1644 - - 1224 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1761 - - 2275 - - 1836 - - 1036 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 400 - - 648 - - 552 - - 424 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 280 - - 355 - - 275 - - 88 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 274 - - 280 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -5 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2028 - - -3859 - - -3832 - - -2054 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3790 - - 6135 - - 5668 - - 3090 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9774 - - -10707 - - -11087 - - -12405 ODpotential blCL - - - 11535 - - 12982 - - 12923 - - 13441 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 54 - - 55 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 78.2 - - 77.0 - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 54.0 - - 54.9 - - 53.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 75.6 - - 75.0 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 53.4 - - 54.4 - - 53.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 309 - - 426 - - 275 - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1048 - - 1561 - - 1122 - - 323 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 33 111 26 112 26 112 30 104 99261 91763 27 109 24 103 28 119 24 094 91763 86004 27 109 23 114 22 116 22 105 86004 81217 24 119 26 117 16 111 20 102 81217 77094 21 121 22 111 20 123 14 107 77094 73466 18 102 19 112 25 119 16 118 73466 70195 14 117 13 123 16 110 14 095 70195 67196 12 134 7 142 7 092 9 109 67196 64410 9 133 10 168 3 156 6 143 64410 61705 2 140 8 161 6 202 4 158 61705 58890 6 243 6 232 7 248 2 328 58890 55995 10 262 11 267 14 268 13 296 55995 53254 10 286 14 270 19 266 22 275 53254 50790 11 304 11 274 19 269 26 266 50790 48572 12 284 14 283 18 267 24 263 48572 46550 14 303 17 279 17 273 21 261 46550 44689 21 313 17 294 18 278 17 263 44689 42966 25 311 21 305 19 279 18 271 42966 41364 25 304 24 300 20 289 20 280 41364 39867 24 298 21 301 20 303 16 287 39867 38461 22 300 19 308 19 305 15 295 38461 37104 21 307 19 306 18 303 14 304 37104 35727 24 309 19 298 18 297 15 307 35727 34301 26 304 21 302 17 294 17 302 34301 32823 23 297 23 305 16 301 16 298 32823 31278 22 296 24 288 18 297 14 289 31278 29652 20 294 21 292 19 298 14 290 29652 27945 18 291 17 294 17 296 13 303 27945 26154 16 297 17 289 16 291 12 307 26154 24280 13 296 15 285 15 291 11 304 24280 22325 11 297 14 285 12 297 10 297 22325 20286 6 294 5 282 6 292 5 300 20286 18160 5 284 2 285 3 265 1 109 18160 15990 3 278 1 068 1 207 4 113 15990 13899 2 154 3 126 2 112 7 122 13899 11996 6 140 7 144 4 120 7 134 11996 10307 8 140 9 149 5 141 5 152 10307 8811 6 133 8 147 5 165 4 201 8811 7484 5 120 6 143 7 185 8 207 7484 6308 6 117 7 149 9 192 10 207 6308 5268 7 122 8 159 10 191 11 213 5268 4352 8 139 8 171 9 201 11 222 4352 3544 8 165 7 192 9 221 11 230 3544 2822 9 194 7*224 9 240 12 238 2822 2188 9*218 7*264 9*264 12 248 2188 1662 7*249 8 275 10*279 11 266 1662 1263 7 255 8 276 10 281 10*278 1263 990 7 257 8 276 10 280 10*281 990 824 7 258 8 276 9 280 9 280 824 730 6 258 7 275 8 280 7 281 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography