DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/09 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 69.1 - - 70.0 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 427 - - 272 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1591 - - 2255 - - 1638 - - 350 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1476 - - 2162 - - 1586 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2304 - - 2969 - - 2351 - - 1063 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 849 - - 712 - - 750 - - 585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 285 - - 402 - - 311 - - 48 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 279 - - 280 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 499 - - -1116 - - -2403 - - -2475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1805 - - 4086 - - 4754 - - 3538 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 393 - - -11738 - - -13060 - - -14004 ODpotential blCL - - - 1911 - - 14707 - - 15411 - - 15067 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 79 - - 64 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 69.1 - - 70.0 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.5 - - 53.7 - - 51.8 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 66.8 - - 68.2 - - 64.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 53.1 - - 51.3 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 427 - - 272 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1591 - - 2255 - - 1638 - - 350 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98867 28 127 20 111 19 130 15 103 98867 91340 23 121 18 113 16 122 17 099 91340 85549 18 121 15 099 17 107 20 105 85549 80780 17 135 11 095 18 080 22 109 80780 76695 14 126 12 127 13 087 20 094 76695 73094 14 114 14 125 12 113 11 109 73094 69833 10 095 14 126 13 122 9 116 69833 66842 7 099 7 146 6 118 6 090 66842 64070 5 156 8 219 5 284 5 043 64070 61396 4 035 8 210 10 264 12 314 61396 58641 13 324 7 330 5 261 14 287 58641 55806 19 310 17 317 13 296 16 271 55806 53100 23 311 19 317 17 295 18 276 53100 50652 33 311 26 314 25 307 23 308 50652 48446 40 294 37 296 39 303 39 308 48446 46447 43 298 42 297 45 301 43 304 46447 44628 55 314 53 313 50 310 44 307 44628 42960 70 321 66 320 55 318 48 317 42960 41405 74 322 70 322 58 324 52 324 41405 39941 71 322 64 322 58 328 51 326 39941 38555 67 322 58 325 53 325 49 326 38555 37207 64 322 59 328 46 324 49 325 37207 35832 64 325 59 327 45 327 48 325 35832 34401 65 326 59 326 45 328 46 323 34401 32918 66 325 57 324 44 327 43 314 32918 31367 64 328 56 324 43 327 42 305 31367 29733 62 338 56 324 42 326 42 304 29733 28015 58 338 57 322 43 324 41 307 28015 26212 52 328 53 319 45 324 42 309 26212 24323 49 320 48 321 45 321 41 313 24323 22354 50 323 45 324 42 321 38 314 22354 20298 47 328 44 331 41 326 35 320 20298 18157 43 323 42 340 41 337 35 329 18157 15977 40 319 36 334 38 348 33 336 15977 13878 36 323 35 331 32 349 29 340 13878 11967 27 329 30 336 29 345 25 342 11967 10271 19 331 22 340 26 350 24 350 10271 8770 15 337 16 342 18 356 20 001 8770 7444 12 346 12 349 12 353 13 007 7444 6272 9 349 9 360 10 354 11 013 6272 5238 6 346 8 004 8 005 13 016 5238 4328 4 340 7 348 8 357 13 009 4328 3526 8 317 7*314 8 339 13 351 3526 2811 10*304 9*290 10*301 14 326 2811 2182 10*297 10 282 11*284 15 310 2182 1660 9 288 10 278 12 281 12 294 1660 1262 9 284 10 276 12 279 9*270 1262 990 8 282 10 274 11 277 8*264 990 824 8 281 9 273 11 277 7 261 824 729 7 280 8 273 9 276 5 260 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography