DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 50.2 - - 54.2 - - 53.6 - - 54.6 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - -1 - - 12 - - -23 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 348 - - 990 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1060 - - 1702 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1154 - - 3406 - - 2960 - - 4678 - - 3063 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 44 - - 111 - - 19 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 19 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 158 - - 224 - - 201 - - 215 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -160 - - -87 - - 25 - - -928 - - -372 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 889 - - 1147 - - 1677 - - 1657 - - 1100 sfcLCL ODpotential -1953 - - -485 - - -1062 - - -1633 - - -1394 ODpotential blCL 2682 - - 1545 - - 2764 - - 2362 - - 2122 blCL maxRH 95 - - 100 - - 98 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 140 - - 90 - - 130 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m 50.2 - - 54.2 - - 53.6 - - 54.6 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 48.7 - - 51.7 - - 48.8 - - 49.8 - - 50.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.0 - - 54.3 - - 53.7 - - 55.4 - - 54.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.9 - - 51.3 - - 48.0 - - 49.2 - - 50.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - -1 - - 12 - - -23 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 348 - - 990 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 79 - - 100 - - 93 - - 77 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96089 11 324 13 310 18 310 13 305 22 268 96089 89023 4 014 5 313 15 338 6 343 15 304 89023 83589 4 144 5 342 11 355 4 348 13 319 83589 79063 4 296 3 333 6 000 7 291 9 298 79063 75138 6 312 11 278 18 310 10 319 9 289 75138 71646 3 288 11 236 23 265 17 287 16 281 71646 68458 9 263 9 245 25 255 24 259 24 268 68458 65510 13 224 18 237 22 242 25 228 28 244 65510 62758 17 232 21 222 21 227 25 216 27 242 62758 60061 26 241 20 226 26 227 27 224 34 238 60061 57221 35 235 30 239 36 234 34 236 30 235 57221 54258 47 240 49 245 42 242 40 249 26 248 54258 51422 56 238 61 244 55 248 51 253 43 262 51422 48873 57 236 63 236 63 240 62 251 59 254 48873 46602 60 238 64 236 63 234 65 245 61 252 46602 44552 65 237 67 236 63 234 59 245 62 254 44552 42684 67 233 69 235 60 232 64 249 67 253 42684 40971 69 233 69 232 55 236 68 250 70 255 40971 39391 78 236 70 233 62 243 69 250 77 254 39391 37930 92 236 76 233 72 243 70 247 81 251 37930 36576 104 234 83 230 77 239 69 245 81 254 36576 35284 106 233 90 228 80 233 71 248 87 261 35284 33978 105 232 95 227 77 230 77 256 95 265 33978 32621 100 229 97 224 71 233 82 258 93 264 32621 31213 94 226 94 221 72 236 86 260 84 262 31213 29738 87 222 93 218 78 235 89 261 78 258 29738 28186 84 219 92 217 84 231 82 260 75 253 28186 26558 81 216 90 216 87 228 74 257 72 251 26558 24853 79 215 86 217 89 228 71 255 69 250 24853 23070 78 216 84 219 86 228 68 253 66 247 23070 21213 77 218 82 222 75 229 64 250 63 245 21213 19277 76 220 76 226 66 231 62 249 57 245 19277 17256 73 220 67 224 58 232 57 249 50 246 17256 15187 69 217 56 217 57 221 47 245 43 249 15187 13196 61 214 47 212 61 215 40 237 37 244 13196 11402 51 217 43 213 63 220 37 231 36 238 11402 9819 47 219 41 217 55 234 37 236 33 239 9819 8417 46 221 40 218 44 247 37 240 30 240 8417 7168 41 224 37 219 38 250 36 241 28 237 7168 6059 36 225 35 223 33 244 33 241 26 236 6059 5076 32 225 34 227 30 236 32 239 26 236 5076 4208 30 223 33 229 29 228 32 237 27 234 4208 3441 28 220 32 230 28 221 31 232 27 232 3441 2754 26 217 30 231 28 215 29 224 27 227 2754 2147 24 212 28 231 26*209 27 220 26 219 2147 1640 21 206 24 229 23*203 25 218 23 210 1640 1251 19 198 20*226 21 201 22 217 20 202 1251 984 15 192 17*225 18 200 19 216 15 197 984 821 12*187 14 224 16 200 16*216 12 194 821 728 4*158 10 225 11 201 10*215 6*191 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography