DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 83.0 - - 79.9 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 379 - - 254 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 742 - - 1227 - - 1059 - - 363 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 916 - - 1380 - - 1160 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1455 - - 1941 - - 1773 - - 1076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 448 - - 590 - - 394 - - 378 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 317 - - 264 - - 103 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 285 - - 293 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 4 - - -4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2492 - - -4167 - - -3339 - - -791 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3947 - - 6109 - - 5113 - - 1867 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9346 - - -9862 - - -9112 - - -9854 ODpotential blCL - - - 10801 - - 11803 - - 10885 - - 10930 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 52 - - 58 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.0 - - 83.0 - - 79.9 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.2 - - 58.8 - - 60.0 - - 59.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.3 - - 80.7 - - 78.0 - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.4 - - 58.2 - - 59.6 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 379 - - 254 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 742 - - 1227 - - 1059 - - 363 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 44 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98734 23 117 30 103 21 127 15 094 98734 91224 21 101 22 092 24 103 19 098 91224 85490 16 117 14 099 17 073 20 100 85490 80763 14 112 8 117 13 058 20 087 80763 76698 17 110 10 126 12 076 18 078 76698 73112 21 111 14 109 16 087 15 093 73112 69867 17 107 12 111 16 081 18 086 69867 66887 11 114 11 101 10 093 13 073 66887 64132 13 105 6 109 5 103 9 054 64132 61477 12 089 9 151 5 188 10 017 61477 58714 4 056 4 093 8 176 1 006 58714 55846 4 011 3 270 7 235 6 287 55846 53108 10 310 8 295 9 254 11 276 53108 50639 17 289 14 281 16 265 19 277 50639 48417 23 284 20 279 20 269 24 276 48417 46396 27 287 25 282 23 276 24 274 46396 44547 29 287 30 284 28 284 26 280 44547 42844 29 285 30 282 30 290 26 289 42844 41265 29 289 29 286 30 298 27 297 41265 39788 29 291 28 293 28 303 28 300 39788 38396 28 295 27 294 27 307 27 300 38396 37052 26 302 24 295 28 308 26 301 37052 35685 25 302 23 297 28 306 26 302 35685 34265 26 299 23 295 27 301 26 301 34265 32792 25 297 24 292 25 297 26 300 32792 31250 26 291 25 293 25 299 26 299 31250 29626 25 287 24 296 24 303 25 299 29626 27921 23 292 21 299 21 304 24 297 27921 26133 19 292 19 298 19 298 23 291 26133 24264 17 289 17 296 18 295 23 286 24264 22318 13 293 13 298 14 300 19 290 22318 20293 8 291 8 287 9 302 12 301 20293 18181 5 282 4 272 5 294 7 309 18181 16025 2 308 2 315 3 329 5 316 16025 13945 2 040 2 347 6 003 5 353 13945 12050 7 036 5 041 6 030 9 016 12050 10368 6 026 9 035 7 047 10 022 10368 8875 5 061 5 042 6 045 6 030 8875 7546 6 075 4 095 1 100 2 038 7546 6363 6 079 5 122 4 178 1 146 6363 5312 5 096 5 141 5 183 2 188 5312 4385 6 119 5 157 5 194 2 221 4385 3566 5 143 5 185 6 224 3 261 3566 2835 5 193 5 227 7 249 6 258 2835 2194 7 227 6*269 9*276 12 265 2194 1665 6*254 8*285 11*291 15 276 1665 1265 6*274 8 286 11 293 13*290 1265 991 6 275 9 285 11 293 12*293 991 824 6 275 8 285 10 293 11 294 824 730 5 275 7 284 9 292 8 293 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography