DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.9 - - 67.5 - - 73.7 - - 71.2 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 59 - - 331 - - 462 - - 306 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 321 - - 793 - - 1109 - - 952 - - 367 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1039 - - 1329 - - 1129 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 1034 - - 1506 - - 1822 - - 1665 - - 1080 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 295 - - 314 - - 301 - - 258 - - 447 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 261 - - 325 - - 269 - - 88 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 12 - - 14 - - 14 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 243 - - 254 - - 264 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -355 - - -2061 - - -3675 - - -3250 - - -1059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1389 - - 3567 - - 5498 - - 4915 - - 2140 sfcLCL ODpotential -13462 - - -12538 - - -13356 - - -13613 - - -13660 ODpotential blCL 14496 - - 14044 - - 15178 - - 15278 - - 14740 blCL maxRH 91 - - 73 - - 57 - - 60 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.9 - - 67.5 - - 73.7 - - 71.2 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.3 - - 54.5 - - 52.5 - - 52.5 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.4 - - 65.7 - - 71.3 - - 69.3 - - 60.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.9 - - 53.9 - - 52.0 - - 52.2 - - 53.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 59 - - 331 - - 462 - - 306 - - 27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 321 - - 793 - - 1109 - - 952 - - 367 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 64 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99331 31 103 27 110 22 094 28 101 25 114 99331 91782 29 106 25 105 25 106 25 114 28 113 91782 85931 26 109 24 110 29 113 19 107 26 099 85931 81094 24 112 22 110 29 119 20 114 22 101 81094 76971 23 111 19 115 18 113 23 113 21 102 76971 73340 19 114 14 138 13 136 13 114 16 095 73340 70046 17 106 18 139 12 158 9 122 12 112 70046 67026 8 125 18 121 13 169 12 175 5 158 67026 64246 7 149 13 162 9 172 13 149 13 169 64246 61561 17 190 22 195 17 225 8 248 7 160 61561 58767 14 185 23 195 31 215 26 228 16 235 58767 55901 13 244 20 215 35 220 34 221 32 231 55901 53206 27 250 34 239 33 224 41 220 44 224 53206 50792 43 254 47 251 43 244 42 230 47 224 50792 48618 58 246 61 245 56 244 53 236 53 235 48618 46631 68 238 67 243 63 241 61 236 60 236 46631 44796 73 238 66 242 65 240 65 235 65 233 44796 43087 73 239 67 239 66 239 67 234 68 231 43087 41486 66 241 65 240 67 239 69 234 72 232 41486 39984 56 244 55 242 59 241 64 238 67 237 39984 38569 47 248 46 247 48 242 54 241 57 241 38569 37204 40 253 39 251 40 241 47 244 49 242 37204 35819 36 263 34 255 33 238 39 243 41 242 35819 34384 32 275 28 259 29 238 36 235 40 237 34384 32906 38 272 27 272 27 241 35 234 45 240 32906 31366 37 265 30 265 27 241 35 233 43 237 31366 29751 34 263 31 255 27 234 35 236 39 239 29751 28056 34 261 30 250 31 240 36 254 43 244 28056 26276 34 261 32 251 39 253 42 251 45 243 26276 24410 35 263 34 253 45 258 45 251 38 246 24410 22462 38 262 35 257 41 260 40 258 31 249 22462 20426 40 265 37 265 37 263 33 265 28 253 20426 18294 34 273 33 268 35 270 27 265 25 254 18294 16114 27 277 25 267 27 268 22 262 22 248 16114 14012 25 280 22 265 21 261 19 251 20 240 14012 12100 23 292 18 267 18 257 18 243 19 230 12100 10398 18 298 14 269 17 255 16 243 17 225 10398 8885 11 292 12 267 14 252 14 246 14 227 8885 7538 9 275 10 264 12 248 13 248 11 234 7538 6342 9 278 9 263 10 247 12 250 10 248 6342 5285 9 284 9 266 11 257 12 258 12 260 5285 4356 10 284 11 273 13 270 13 273 13 273 4356 3540 11 285 12 275 14 275 16 283 16 283 3540 2813 11 281 12 266 15 264 17 282 19 287 2813 2177 12 265 13 249 15*255 16*274 18 287 2177 1654 13 250 13*244 15*254 15*266 16 272 1654 1258 12*242 13*243 15 254 14 264 14*261 1258 988 11*240 12 243 14 254 14 263 13*258 988 823 9 240 11 243 13 255 13 263 11 257 823 729 7 240 9 244 11 254 11 263 8 256 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography