DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 62.9 - - 59.3 - - 50.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 91 - - 13 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 125 - - 700 - - 429 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 838 - - 1412 - - 1141 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 352 - - 684 - - 415 - - 225 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 62 - - 169 - - 83 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 069 - - 067 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - -7 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2714 - - -2561 - - -1909 - - -852 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3552 - - 3973 - - 3050 - - 1580 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10557 - - -9369 - - -8911 - - -10916 ODpotential blCL - - - 11395 - - 10781 - - 10052 - - 11644 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 60 - - 67 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.2 - - 62.9 - - 59.3 - - 50.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 48.5 - - 48.8 - - 46.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 62.2 - - 59.2 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 47.3 - - 48.0 - - 45.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 91 - - 13 - - -50 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 125 - - 700 - - 429 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95591 53 297 43 303 58 303 49 292 95591 88671 31 307 26 314 36 302 36 297 88671 83327 21 319 19 318 26 313 24 309 83327 78867 15 320 19 321 21 313 20 324 78867 74998 14 302 20 315 15 317 21 330 74998 71566 13 296 18 295 19 314 21 319 71566 68455 11 294 20 289 19 302 21 310 68455 65581 13 285 22 282 21 301 25 307 65581 62913 15 291 21 266 27 293 34 286 62913 60331 22 303 24 280 28 267 33 268 60331 57640 36 300 29 279 33 307 34 295 57640 54840 49 288 49 283 48 288 41 285 54840 52145 47 278 54 278 49 284 43 293 52145 49697 46 279 52 279 52 282 50 286 49697 47499 46 279 48 279 49 275 56 279 47499 45511 41 278 43 273 42 272 50 272 45511 43707 37 269 45 271 47 272 50 271 43707 42072 37 261 49 262 49 266 56 266 42072 40572 39 261 51 262 49 256 55 257 40572 39161 43 268 52 264 49 257 51 253 39161 37822 44 270 50 261 46 261 50 251 37822 36517 42 271 48 259 39 262 47 252 36517 35181 36 272 41 259 33 263 37 252 35181 33790 29 271 32 260 30 261 29 262 33790 32347 26 279 28 266 28 260 27 266 32347 30834 27 294 25 272 27 268 28 267 30834 29238 31 299 32 289 33 280 36 276 29238 27559 38 297 41 290 40 285 40 278 27559 25798 44 296 43 288 41 282 40 277 25798 23956 38 293 40 286 43 281 41 277 23956 22037 34 285 34 280 40 283 37 275 22037 20033 32 261 33 279 35 284 33 278 20033 17939 26 258 29 278 31 285 29 282 17939 15800 25 263 25 272 24 278 22 279 15800 13736 18 262 22 264 21 269 19 271 13736 11860 15 251 17 252 18 261 17 260 11860 10195 11 237 14 241 15 254 16 254 10195 8718 8 244 11 238 13 250 13 248 8718 7406 6 275 8 245 9 247 9 239 7406 6242 4 304 4 230 5 235 6 213 6242 5211 1 315 3 183 4 198 7 184 5211 4305 1 082 3 159 3 174 7 172 4305 3507 2 074 3 142 2 156 6 165 3507 2795 2 044 2 107 2 061 5 150 2795 2169 1 071 4 079 5 068 6 124 2169 1649 3 108 6*071 10 072 12 112 1649 1253 5 095 7*069 12*068 17 101 1253 983 5*071 7 069 11*068 16 088 983 821 4*061 6 069 10 067 13 081 821 728 3 056 5 069 7 067 8*078 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography