DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.2 - - 65.7 - - 72.5 - - 68.7 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 58 - - 136 - - 12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 511 - - 1885 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1488 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1224 - - 2599 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 103 - - 898 - - 1156 - - 2311 - - 425 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 129 - - 261 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 14 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 043 - - 001 - - 316 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1203 - - -3033 - - -3287 - - -2839 - - -432 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1932 - - 4258 - - 5887 - - 3569 - - 1161 sfcLCL ODpotential -11411 - - -10719 - - -10005 - - -9146 - - -8901 ODpotential blCL 12140 - - 11943 - - 12604 - - 9875 - - 9630 blCL maxRH 64 - - 56 - - 51 - - 68 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.2 - - 65.7 - - 72.5 - - 68.7 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.7 - - 50.0 - - 49.6 - - 55.8 - - 55.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 57.0 - - 65.2 - - 71.5 - - 68.9 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.4 - - 49.2 - - 48.9 - - 55.4 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 58 - - 136 - - 12 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 511 - - 1885 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96544 44 297 38 291 47 281 45 301 51 291 96544 89486 32 306 24 304 31 288 29 300 33 298 89486 84025 24 301 25 302 27 301 19 304 22 304 84025 79465 15 291 21 284 26 306 21 299 20 302 79465 75522 15 298 18 280 19 303 25 292 23 313 75522 72036 20 306 16 297 12 305 23 281 21 302 72036 68876 19 296 19 304 13 300 14 265 13 273 68876 65963 15 294 18 291 22 300 19 315 16 315 65963 63282 18 299 16 282 29 283 32 295 28 301 63282 60724 13 276 22 267 25 264 25 282 29 284 60724 58069 35 313 24 312 25 303 24 297 22 267 58069 55297 49 312 34 307 29 309 25 308 19 287 55297 52626 49 318 42 319 40 317 41 315 36 310 52626 50208 49 318 49 325 52 318 53 311 56 308 50208 48034 42 321 56 328 59 321 61 308 63 303 48034 46055 53 327 65 327 61 319 61 306 62 300 46055 44231 63 322 66 319 58 314 56 308 59 300 44231 42540 60 319 56 318 52 310 52 314 50 298 42540 40961 47 325 50 331 46 322 48 320 36 313 40961 39478 36 331 54 342 52 339 55 334 47 345 39478 38074 27 334 54 344 60 342 69 339 63 342 38074 36714 25 334 47 341 68 343 70 338 71 338 36714 35332 28 332 31 331 52 350 63 339 61 341 35332 33902 29 327 27 326 34 343 42 350 49 345 33902 32430 26 319 23 331 31 322 27 336 34 352 32430 30895 23 315 18 333 23 330 33 319 21 339 30895 29283 22 310 20 323 15 338 12 309 23 331 29283 27597 23 304 21 317 16 334 3 285 16 332 27597 25836 23 297 17 312 16 323 6 310 6 272 25836 23998 23 303 17 314 17 319 12 312 5 240 23998 22083 19 315 11 325 11 329 12 300 4 282 22083 20087 17 335 11 338 7 337 9 297 3 315 20087 18002 14 339 13 333 10 339 11 321 7 340 18002 15867 4 014 4 304 7 302 12 321 7 349 15867 13800 5 071 1 163 3 241 9 330 4 033 13800 11914 4 037 1 059 3 174 2 038 6 137 11914 10236 3 351 1 309 2 182 3 134 5 165 10236 8747 4 354 2 297 2 231 1 318 2 182 8747 7426 4 030 1 108 2 222 3 330 1 190 7426 6257 5 043 2 080 1 202 2 329 1 210 6257 5225 5 036 4 044 1 099 2 343 1 098 5225 4320 6 032 6 026 3 049 3 033 3 079 4320 3523 7 026 8 016 5 030 4 027 4 063 3523 2811 8 022 9 011 5*016 5 008 3 013 2811 2185 7 020 9 013 4*006 6 349 6 337 2185 1663 6 019 7 023 4 003 6 326 10 330 1663 1264 5 018 5*038 3 001 6 321 11 325 1264 990 4 020 4*043 3 355 6 319 10 317 990 824 2*038 3 044 3 356 5 317 6 314 824 729 2*051 2 042 2 353 4*316 4*312 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography