DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 72.9 - - 70.3 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 475 - - 317 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1502 - - 2083 - - 1660 - - 878 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1419 - - 2054 - - 1642 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2215 - - 2796 - - 2374 - - 1591 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 761 - - 456 - - 517 - - 492 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 404 - - 327 - - 129 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 268 - - 279 - - 283 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 239 - - -753 - - -711 - - -186 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1976 - - 3549 - - 3085 - - 1777 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 313 - - -9603 - - -10901 - - -11918 ODpotential blCL - - - 1902 - - 12399 - - 13275 - - 13509 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 90 - - 89 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 72.9 - - 70.3 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 62.3 - - 59.8 - - 59.2 - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.1 - - 70.3 - - 68.4 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 62.0 - - 59.4 - - 58.9 - - 58.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 475 - - 317 - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1502 - - 2083 - - 1660 - - 878 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 99 - - 59 - - 55 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99360 32 109 33 102 37 106 38 116 99360 91841 29 115 28 115 28 098 33 098 91841 86061 27 107 27 118 22 106 30 091 86061 81278 27 111 28 114 21 110 26 112 81278 77158 30 102 27 115 21 111 24 118 77158 73513 24 100 26 111 24 116 21 113 73513 70225 21 113 25 110 23 129 19 116 70225 67228 19 137 21 109 21 127 16 121 67228 64469 14 144 18 135 17 119 16 123 64469 61803 11 143 22 160 15 159 14 140 61803 59026 8 185 22 179 20 175 16 158 59026 56146 21 203 24 193 19 199 13 205 56146 53420 23 200 26 197 25 206 22 209 53420 50991 21 215 26 210 27 221 22 224 50991 48810 28 216 34 217 36 234 30 233 48810 46818 32 219 42 220 44 228 39 245 46818 44983 38 220 45 217 47 226 50 240 44983 43286 46 220 47 217 52 226 49 235 43286 41703 51 219 48 222 51 226 45 235 41703 40214 50 220 46 224 48 229 45 233 40214 38805 47 221 43 225 49 236 47 232 38805 37441 43 220 42 228 49 238 46 234 37441 36052 37 223 43 230 48 237 45 234 36052 34608 34 228 44 237 48 237 46 235 34608 33112 33 231 40 242 43 241 41 239 33112 31545 32 233 34 237 38 237 36 234 31545 29895 33 233 31 233 34 231 35 228 29895 28159 35 234 30 229 34 227 34 225 28159 26340 33 233 29 233 31 227 32 226 26340 24438 29 227 27 229 28 225 30 226 24438 22457 31 217 31 216 29 218 29 223 22457 20393 30 217 31 218 30 221 29 227 20393 18245 26 216 26 217 26 221 24 227 18245 16055 25 217 24 211 21 214 20 220 16055 13942 25 212 24 209 20 215 19 218 13942 12020 24 207 23 208 18 217 15 221 12020 10318 21 201 20 203 16 213 11 213 10318 8811 17 205 17 203 15 207 11 203 8811 7477 16 215 16 218 15 210 12 210 7477 6295 17 217 16 230 14 219 13 220 6295 5250 17 207 15 232 12 230 12 229 5250 4331 19 195 14 218 11 225 11 234 4331 3522 17 198 13 219 11 232 12 242 3522 2804 14*220 12*251 13*266 14 272 2804 2177 12*242 13*264 15*277 17 284 2177 1658 11 253 13 268 15 279 16*285 1658 1262 11 255 13 269 15 279 16*284 1262 990 10 257 13 270 14 279 15 283 990 824 9 258 12 270 13 279 13 282 824 729 8 258 10 271 11 279 9 281 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography