DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 63.2 - - 61.3 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 66 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 112 - - 1058 - - 137 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 824 - - 1771 - - 849 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 484 - - 1100 - - 1716 - - 521 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 56 - - 179 - - 38 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 004 - - 345 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3227 - - -3135 - - -2820 - - -937 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4052 - - 4906 - - 3669 - - 1666 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10852 - - -9059 - - -7828 - - -7956 ODpotential blCL - - - 11676 - - 10830 - - 8677 - - 8685 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 55 - - 55 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.4 - - 63.2 - - 61.3 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.7 - - 44.6 - - 48.0 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 62.6 - - 61.8 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.6 - - 43.3 - - 46.8 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 66 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 112 - - 1058 - - 137 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95576 48 289 48 288 44 288 52 282 95576 88669 26 284 37 286 31 307 36 293 88669 83330 15 290 23 278 27 313 23 304 83330 78876 13 298 14 281 20 300 19 302 78876 75012 9 290 9 283 18 291 16 298 75012 71569 9 282 8 282 14 279 15 289 71569 68423 18 283 16 301 16 291 12 302 68423 65517 25 268 27 283 25 285 19 312 65517 62817 27 251 31 272 28 269 27 285 62817 60193 28 259 33 257 34 264 35 274 60193 57451 45 264 42 264 43 268 40 270 57451 54598 53 252 53 260 53 269 47 271 54598 51869 50 248 57 257 60 266 52 272 51869 49407 48 256 58 257 60 264 55 272 49407 47197 53 259 59 257 56 261 54 265 47197 45183 56 255 58 253 52 259 49 260 45183 43329 55 250 55 249 48 258 48 262 43329 41614 54 246 50 248 48 258 50 259 41614 40033 54 245 50 252 42 260 42 255 40033 38581 56 244 58 253 43 260 27 260 38581 37230 54 240 59 248 53 252 25 273 37230 35925 52 235 52 236 58 245 27 274 35925 34597 52 232 51 234 56 245 31 271 34597 33221 52 222 52 237 56 243 38 268 33221 31796 54 217 50 232 53 236 47 254 31796 30307 56 218 49 225 49 233 47 249 30307 28743 56 223 48 227 47 240 40 243 28743 27103 53 231 46 232 38 246 32 251 27103 25384 48 235 41 237 32 250 30 246 25384 23585 43 241 31 249 28 243 29 248 23585 21708 38 244 30 258 28 251 28 252 21708 19744 35 245 30 253 29 261 25 265 19744 17690 34 246 30 253 25 268 22 279 17690 15590 31 249 25 254 23 268 19 281 15590 13562 19 252 16 256 18 272 16 279 13562 11715 13 265 11 270 13 277 10 283 11715 10072 11 275 9 262 10 271 8 287 10072 8613 11 289 7 259 8 263 5 274 8613 7318 7 308 6 300 5 262 4 259 7318 6169 3 323 5 322 3 296 4 303 6169 5155 3 316 6 328 6 328 8 347 5155 4263 6 336 7 346 8 344 10 360 4263 3478 7 345 8 003 9 358 11 003 3478 2777 8 347 9 010 8 006 13 001 2777 2160 8 343 9*010 7 000 14 356 2160 1647 9 342 7*007 7 352 13 348 1647 1254 9 343 6 004 6 349 12 343 1254 985 7*345 5 002 6*348 9 340 985 822 4*346 5 000 5*347 6*337 822 729 3 347 4 360 4 344 4*337 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography