DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/16 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.0 - - 53.0 - - 57.3 - - 58.6 - - 55.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 31 - - 61 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 238 - - 547 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 951 - - 1260 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 167 - - 340 - - 444 - - 964 - - 471 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 82 - - 135 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 066 - - 076 - - 061 - - 234 - - 186 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -190 - - -835 - - -963 - - -211 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 1141 - - 2096 - - 1692 - - 940 sfcLCL ODpotential -10663 - - -8709 - - -8573 - - -7541 - - -6927 ODpotential blCL 11391 - - 9660 - - 9833 - - 8270 - - 7656 blCL maxRH 95 - - 92 - - 82 - - 87 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.0 - - 53.0 - - 57.3 - - 58.6 - - 55.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 50.8 - - 50.9 - - 53.8 - - 53.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.6 - - 52.7 - - 56.7 - - 59.3 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 50.3 - - 49.9 - - 53.0 - - 54.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 31 - - 61 - - -5 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 238 - - 547 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 80 - - 69 - - 28 - - 48 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96456 15 065 9 030 15 014 15 026 12 031 96456 89536 12 074 9 067 7 029 13 022 8 015 89536 84154 11 101 16 097 10 119 6 054 8 007 84154 79594 17 117 18 112 12 121 7 128 2 322 79594 75607 8 115 10 100 10 103 11 121 2 153 75607 72081 3 087 4 100 3 063 5 013 3 057 72081 68904 4 359 2 222 8 281 12 296 11 316 68904 65998 11 326 9 278 13 275 11 301 12 303 65998 63313 25 288 21 291 18 291 18 291 20 282 63313 60732 31 279 31 283 27 282 34 279 32 268 60732 58058 35 280 37 283 36 282 44 284 37 271 58058 55278 41 281 46 282 49 279 52 285 46 281 55278 52606 47 278 55 275 60 273 61 285 59 290 52606 50191 43 279 57 275 61 273 64 283 66 286 50191 48009 44 296 59 288 55 283 59 280 64 278 48009 46006 58 306 58 299 58 303 66 303 68 298 46006 44160 71 306 74 304 83 303 96 300 94 303 44160 42461 80 302 92 298 93 294 89 289 101 291 42461 40888 90 297 88 293 84 287 76 287 85 282 40888 39419 80 305 75 298 76 305 65 301 70 290 39419 38041 72 313 73 304 81 319 74 311 69 292 38041 36710 74 309 74 298 81 315 68 306 87 285 36710 35351 76 300 73 291 75 306 68 292 85 286 35351 33933 71 296 68 291 75 301 73 290 84 287 33933 32458 69 296 67 293 75 299 76 294 84 290 32458 30913 67 296 66 297 74 296 78 294 82 293 30913 29288 66 295 65 299 73 297 77 295 80 295 29288 27584 65 288 65 296 67 298 69 295 76 297 27584 25801 63 288 63 291 55 296 62 297 68 296 25801 23939 62 293 57 285 48 298 51 293 60 291 23939 22006 58 289 47 285 50 292 52 292 59 287 22006 19997 51 290 50 287 50 286 54 292 58 286 19997 17904 44 293 49 290 47 288 54 291 52 288 17904 15768 35 293 37 295 44 296 48 291 44 292 15768 13709 24 288 27 294 35 292 38 295 37 293 13709 11836 18 286 20 283 28 282 32 294 28 290 11836 10172 13 290 16 277 23 281 29 291 25 292 10172 8695 10 297 12 285 19 291 26 292 24 294 8695 7384 10 307 10 298 15 303 22 299 22 295 7384 6221 11 315 9 313 14 309 18 308 21 302 6221 5194 12 319 9 330 10 314 12 314 16 312 5194 4293 12 328 9 345 8 331 9 314 13 314 4293 3501 16 336 10 355 8 342 10 311 13 305 3501 2794 18 340 12 357 8 343 13 306 14 293 2794 2171 15 342 12 360 6 359 12 303 13 288 2171 1653 11 349 9 019 5*033 7 284 9 282 1653 1257 7 022 9 061 4*059 5 249 6 252 1257 986 7 060 8*074 4 061 4 240 6 220 986 822 6 063 7*075 4 063 4*238 5*200 822 729 4*066 5 076 3 064 3*234 3*186 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography