DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.9 - - 63.8 - - 68.8 - - 67.1 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 68 - - 110 - - 34 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 738 - - 2226 - - 1568 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 1692 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1451 - - 2939 - - 2281 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 160 - - 1039 - - 1053 - - 1442 - - 846 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 159 - - 270 - - 170 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 018 - - 040 - - 322 - - 301 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 7 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -802 - - -1615 - - -707 - - -770 - - -720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1530 - - 3066 - - 3646 - - 3051 - - 1449 sfcLCL ODpotential -10007 - - -7744 - - -5018 - - -4962 - - -6936 ODpotential blCL 10735 - - 9195 - - 7957 - - 7243 - - 7665 blCL maxRH 65 - - 68 - - 71 - - 76 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.9 - - 63.8 - - 68.8 - - 67.1 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.8 - - 52.8 - - 55.2 - - 56.0 - - 53.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.1 - - 63.2 - - 67.9 - - 66.8 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.9 - - 51.5 - - 53.8 - - 54.8 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 68 - - 110 - - 34 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 738 - - 2226 - - 1568 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96391 16 282 10 318 15 260 18 280 22 268 96391 89256 8 333 6 298 14 254 20 292 13 309 89256 83747 11 317 8 275 15 274 16 281 18 302 83747 79153 13 298 11 279 18 279 15 284 20 283 79153 75181 14 289 13 286 19 274 18 293 20 292 75181 71676 13 277 16 278 21 276 21 283 19 302 71676 68500 15 280 14 284 22 282 20 276 17 296 68500 65562 17 287 12 294 20 281 22 280 18 303 65562 62819 21 286 14 276 21 271 25 276 23 294 62819 60148 22 287 17 267 23 262 25 271 22 286 60148 57357 20 294 20 278 20 277 24 283 29 291 57357 54476 21 299 26 293 24 291 28 291 30 286 54476 51733 23 293 27 291 29 296 34 294 31 293 51733 49260 25 295 28 286 35 286 41 289 38 301 49260 47046 26 300 34 288 39 288 41 293 43 302 47046 45048 32 295 39 289 44 294 44 301 44 308 45048 43239 33 302 32 294 41 290 50 306 46 312 43239 41591 29 325 31 313 42 302 52 302 47 314 41591 40070 42 340 46 327 51 314 48 297 47 319 40070 38649 44 338 49 326 50 310 48 302 48 321 38649 37311 40 334 47 322 45 306 46 304 46 322 37311 36015 37 332 44 319 43 307 41 303 43 322 36015 34694 35 329 41 316 42 311 40 305 39 328 34694 33317 35 327 38 314 41 312 40 310 36 336 33317 31887 35 328 34 313 40 312 41 315 33 340 31887 30388 35 331 31 314 38 312 39 319 33 341 30388 28808 32 333 30 316 38 315 39 317 36 338 28808 27148 29 332 30 323 33 318 36 315 38 338 27148 25407 29 331 28 327 28 319 34 313 38 333 25407 23587 32 334 26 329 26 318 35 315 37 331 23587 21695 30 340 21 331 25 318 35 317 34 333 21695 19725 22 345 16 331 23 318 32 317 31 329 19725 17671 19 348 15 329 20 312 31 318 28 324 17671 15575 16 347 14 326 18 312 28 313 24 321 15575 13554 15 349 13 327 15 314 22 317 23 318 13554 11716 13 353 13 340 14 323 16 325 19 322 11716 10081 11 351 13 353 12 344 14 342 16 331 10081 8628 11 345 13 357 10 006 11 355 13 338 8628 7335 11 352 12 001 9 023 8 360 10 339 7335 6187 9 357 8 010 7 027 6 358 7 338 6187 5171 5 359 5 022 5 022 6 357 5 336 5171 4277 2 039 5 037 5 016 5 002 3 323 4277 3489 2 060 6 049 5*001 5 003 3 296 3489 2785 3 064 7 054 5*340 5*352 4 271 2785 2165 3 058 7 052 5 327 5*317 6 264 2165 1649 4 034 6*046 6 321 5 304 9 267 1649 1256 4 014 5*042 6 316 5 297 11 268 1256 986 5 008 4 040 6 313 5 294 10 266 986 823 4 009 3 038 5 313 5 292 8*264 823 729 4*018 3 036 5 311 4 291 5*263 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography