DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 79.7 - - - - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 401 - - - - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1002 - - 1260 - - - - - 402 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1139 - - 1414 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1716 - - 1974 - - - - - 1115 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 337 - - 532 - - - - - 406 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 265 - - 325 - - - - - 99 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - - - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 285 - - - - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1387 - - -3289 - - - - - -960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3104 - - 5263 - - - - - 2075 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8806 - - -8611 - - - - - -10579 ODpotential blCL - - - 10522 - - 10585 - - - - - 11694 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 61 - - - - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 79.7 - - - - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.4 - - 59.3 - - - - - 58.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.8 - - 77.3 - - - - - 64.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 58.7 - - - - - 58.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 269 - - 401 - - - - - 36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1002 - - 1260 - - - - - 402 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 6 - - 0 - - - - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98837 25 109 25 102 19 091 98837 91342 21 108 19 091 18 088 91342 85624 21 106 14 090 20 087 85624 80895 22 113 9 092 23 086 80895 76814 20 118 10 108 20 088 76814 73208 18 102 11 124 16 083 73208 69956 17 088 15 113 15 065 69956 66984 12 087 16 095 11 070 66984 64235 8 089 12 073 15 066 64235 61570 10 109 4 081 16 051 61570 58787 5 071 6 105 10 025 58787 55904 4 295 1 262 6 331 55904 53152 10 303 3 279 10 284 53152 50673 16 283 12 300 12 288 50673 48446 23 276 19 294 16 289 48446 46419 27 276 23 291 20 287 46419 44561 28 275 27 283 24 287 44561 42853 27 274 28 278 27 285 42853 41275 25 277 26 281 24 287 41275 39803 24 283 23 286 22 291 39803 38418 22 287 21 287 19 289 38418 37080 17 294 16 292 15 293 37080 35716 14 304 11 307 14 302 35716 34297 13 312 10 315 13 299 34297 32825 12 312 9 302 11 299 32825 31285 11 307 7 285 9 309 31285 29664 10 314 5 284 9 322 29664 27960 6 332 4 291 9 327 27960 26172 6 335 1 023 7 353 26172 24302 6 318 4 051 8 009 24302 22355 4 315 3 037 6 045 22355 20327 3 019 2 128 8 037 20327 18209 7 051 10 103 5 036 18209 16043 3 075 7 089 8 100 16043 13953 6 147 5 130 14 112 13953 12052 10 147 9 152 13 115 12052 10366 11 136 11 152 8 126 10366 8870 8 137 9 158 7 156 8870 7539 8 157 9 173 8 167 7539 6356 9 150 9 178 8 162 6356 5305 7 136 10 183 7 154 5305 4379 7 145 11 184 7 157 4379 3560 9 173 12 186 6 186 3560 2831 9 195 10 199 8 219 2831 2191 8*230 7*237 12 250 2191 1664 7*281 8*282 13 272 1664 1264 8 285 9 285 11*286 1264 991 7 285 9 285 11*287 991 824 7 286 8 285 10 288 824 729 6 285 7 285 7 287 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography