DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.2 - - 57.4 - - 53.6 - - 54.5 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - -9 - - 22 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 968 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 729 - - 1680 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2526 - - 3803 - - 3183 - - 4127 - - 5217 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 17 - - 123 - - 16 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 18 - - 8 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 215 - - 289 - - 275 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -76 - - -925 - - 536 - - -445 - - -350 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 805 - - 1654 - - 1144 - - 1174 - - 1078 sfcLCL ODpotential -1270 - - -1487 - - -94 - - -934 - - -1389 ODpotential blCL 1999 - - 2216 - - 1774 - - 1663 - - 2117 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 30 - - 40 - - 130 - - 310 - - 320 CAPE Temp@2m 54.2 - - 57.4 - - 53.6 - - 54.5 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.8 - - 52.4 - - 50.8 - - 51.6 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.8 - - 57.7 - - 53.4 - - 54.9 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 53.1 - - 52.0 - - 50.2 - - 51.1 - - 50.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - -9 - - 22 - - -7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 968 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96346 41 293 35 304 31 291 43 279 46 294 96346 89207 23 296 22 301 20 296 21 284 25 293 89207 83713 16 301 16 300 17 310 17 299 14 315 83713 79143 21 292 18 273 18 291 15 305 16 311 79143 75210 26 283 18 268 21 287 12 322 16 311 75210 71725 22 287 21 284 27 282 20 295 19 338 71725 68552 17 286 15 269 19 259 30 282 24 316 68552 65623 20 295 11 265 21 276 22 269 21 290 65623 62908 27 288 27 290 25 268 15 332 22 296 62908 60275 33 280 22 286 12 294 31 320 24 304 60275 57507 36 284 39 290 43 298 45 286 40 311 57507 54617 52 273 44 286 59 278 40 284 55 305 54617 51853 46 279 46 289 49 297 61 302 73 305 51853 49359 70 304 48 292 59 306 75 305 76 304 49359 47128 86 296 61 292 68 304 88 305 82 307 47128 45113 86 282 73 288 77 300 95 299 85 310 45113 43270 77 275 79 283 87 294 91 301 89 315 43270 41567 66 278 80 285 89 296 102 312 106 318 41567 39980 68 284 95 295 104 305 126 313 127 316 39980 38492 66 289 116 298 132 305 141 306 139 311 38492 37090 88 301 128 295 139 297 143 298 139 308 37090 35738 123 301 127 290 128 292 123 293 136 305 35738 34372 128 295 118 286 111 288 95 295 130 300 34372 32960 113 290 109 283 111 291 108 304 123 297 32960 31499 97 289 110 283 120 294 120 306 102 303 31499 29979 101 289 109 284 121 293 123 303 113 320 29979 28389 101 287 99 286 121 290 122 298 113 316 28389 26723 87 284 80 284 121 289 123 297 110 308 26723 24975 72 276 61 271 116 292 123 300 110 306 24975 23140 63 267 56 253 103 297 115 298 112 309 23140 21225 52 257 56 246 73 287 110 300 111 307 21225 19239 44 238 53 246 62 257 83 304 101 308 19239 17187 43 228 50 244 66 239 53 291 65 306 17187 15107 41 222 48 243 64 236 50 275 57 297 15107 13121 41 222 46 241 50 226 43 262 50 287 13121 11342 41 224 41 233 40 222 33 257 36 277 11342 9774 39 227 37 226 36 221 30 260 30 281 9774 8380 36 228 39 225 31 223 31 268 23 285 8380 7139 36 223 42 220 25 231 28 278 21 284 7139 6037 37 216 44 218 22 251 26 282 21 284 6037 5060 36 212 44 217 25 270 25 284 20 286 5060 4198 35 211 43 217 28 280 25 286 20 287 4198 3435 32 210 41 217 28 283 25 288 19 288 3435 2751 30 209 38 216 27 286 24 289 17 289 2751 2145 27 207 34 215 25*288 22 287 16 290 2145 1639 24 202 31 215 22*289 19 285 13 291 1639 1251 21 198 27 214 20 289 16 281 10 293 1251 984 17 198 23 215 18 289 14 278 7 292 984 822 13*197 20*215 16 289 11*277 4 286 822 728 6*195 13*215 11 288 8*275 1*267 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography