DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 88.0 - - - - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 176 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 320 - - 2011 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1698 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1033 - - 2725 - - - - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 663 - - 1998 - - - - - 211 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 132 - - 289 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 21 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 2 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 068 - - 246 - - - - - 045 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 4 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7981 - - -9606 - - - - - -7045 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9014 - - 12331 - - - - - 7776 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16161 - - -16674 - - - - - -15969 ODpotential blCL - - - 17194 - - 19399 - - - - - 16699 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 17 - - - - - 23 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.7 - - 88.0 - - - - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.6 - - 36.7 - - - - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.1 - - 86.7 - - - - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.8 - - 35.8 - - - - - 40.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 176 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 320 - - 2011 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97641 15 280 19 284 18 296 97641 90354 5 284 9 260 14 307 90354 84746 1 117 5 281 6 288 84746 80096 5 345 3 323 0 297 80096 76098 2 309 2 222 2 331 76098 72574 11 152 3 243 7 176 72574 69375 11 123 10 218 6 009 69375 66444 10 321 20 177 18 295 66444 63756 18 280 9 305 18 236 63756 61142 16 231 22 291 9 204 61142 58407 12 196 16 248 17 289 58407 55618 11 310 12 222 26 277 55618 52990 24 319 11 282 21 264 52990 50612 25 324 19 316 18 278 50612 48456 26 331 26 327 21 291 48456 46480 28 340 32 334 23 302 46480 44649 31 346 34 341 24 312 44649 42946 29 356 32 351 22 330 42946 41359 25 014 28 003 21 348 41359 39870 22 033 24 015 20 360 39870 38473 22 047 21 034 19 013 38473 37126 22 062 18 042 18 028 37126 35756 24 067 20 068 19 059 35756 34330 25 071 24 083 24 084 34330 32851 27 072 28 088 28 093 32851 31304 30 070 31 089 28 088 31304 29677 32 069 33 086 30 087 29677 27971 33 072 34 082 31 091 27971 26183 32 073 34 079 30 091 26183 24312 32 073 36 084 30 096 24312 22360 32 078 35 091 31 105 22360 20322 29 087 34 098 28 111 20322 18195 29 099 33 104 22 109 18195 16031 28 108 28 106 16 112 16031 13950 26 117 21 118 13 126 13950 12058 21 130 13 161 13 145 12058 10374 12 148 10 175 11 161 10374 8877 7 134 6 193 13 181 8877 7547 7 114 6 210 12 192 7547 6365 6 122 8 228 8 208 6365 5319 4 157 9 234 8 232 5319 4398 4 212 10 230 9 243 4398 3585 3 235 9 229 7 246 3585 2859 1 190 6*231 3 246 2859 2219 3 103 4*242 2 036 2219 1686 5 087 3 248 6 044 1686 1277 8*072 2 245 7 046 1277 997 8*067 2 247 6 044 997 827 7 068 2 246 5*043 827 730 5 070 2 250 5*045 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography