DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/27 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.4 - - 57.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 53 - - -11 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 195 - - 450 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 907 - - 1163 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 265 - - 347 - - 547 - - 254 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 124 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 080 - - 069 - - 066 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -6 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1237 - - -1310 - - -996 - - -495 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2144 - - 2473 - - 1725 - - 1223 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11252 - - -9569 - - -9884 - - -11092 ODpotential blCL - - - 12159 - - 10732 - - 10613 - - 11820 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 72 - - 78 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.4 - - 57.8 - - 53.1 - - 46.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.9 - - 49.8 - - 48.3 - - 44.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.3 - - 57.4 - - 53.7 - - 48.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 48.5 - - 47.6 - - 43.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 53 - - -11 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 195 - - 450 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96382 30 065 32 070 38 105 22 116 96382 89307 15 065 20 069 19 089 24 082 89307 83803 6 058 8 050 10 064 18 051 83803 79234 5 032 4 352 8 357 16 013 79234 75302 7 006 4 320 10 357 15 001 75302 71813 5 010 9 322 11 344 14 354 71813 68644 6 354 13 314 12 329 13 333 68644 65726 9 340 14 312 13 308 14 314 65726 63008 15 320 16 305 17 293 15 301 63008 60356 19 299 20 292 25 284 22 298 60356 57582 26 294 27 288 31 288 27 281 57582 54701 37 282 39 278 41 286 34 292 54701 51956 41 276 45 270 45 286 44 285 51956 49492 40 274 44 260 47 285 43 283 49492 47280 42 276 41 259 44 280 42 286 47280 45276 42 274 41 267 38 278 40 290 45276 43450 40 273 40 271 39 285 39 292 43450 41775 37 274 34 277 41 279 37 284 41775 40230 36 266 32 277 34 273 33 277 40230 38793 36 265 32 271 30 281 33 283 38793 37445 35 264 34 268 30 289 34 288 37445 36145 33 267 37 267 27 289 35 293 36145 34824 33 263 36 268 23 291 32 295 34824 33447 36 252 33 270 22 297 30 295 33447 32016 36 250 30 273 23 299 27 293 32016 30515 36 257 27 278 23 297 24 291 30515 28934 34 261 24 282 22 296 23 292 28934 27274 32 261 22 288 21 294 20 291 27274 25535 28 272 23 285 22 290 20 280 25535 23720 25 277 25 282 21 290 23 282 23720 21836 26 279 23 283 24 287 26 283 21836 19874 26 279 23 278 24 283 27 280 19874 17820 21 279 21 279 24 279 27 277 17820 15714 17 276 19 278 23 281 26 276 15714 13674 17 277 19 277 20 275 25 279 13674 11813 16 285 19 281 20 276 24 284 11813 10156 13 288 16 284 17 283 21 288 10156 8683 11 287 12 282 14 288 16 286 8683 7373 9 289 9 280 12 288 14 283 7373 6212 7 301 8 287 12 293 13 288 6212 5185 6 322 7 300 10 308 11 301 5185 4282 6 349 5 327 9 328 9 319 4282 3487 6 001 5 355 9 345 6 337 3487 2779 7 007 5 022 9 001 6 355 2779 2156 6 036 5 059 7 019 6 005 2156 1640 13 088 8 076 8 065 7 056 1640 1248 15 087 10*070 12 070 13 078 1248 981 13*082 9*070 11 067 14 075 981 820 11*080 8 069 9*066 11 072 820 728 7 079 6 069 6*066 6*070 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography