DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 73.9 - - 68.4 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 397 - - 256 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1167 - - 2308 - - 1373 - - 561 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1219 - - 2186 - - 1381 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1880 - - 3022 - - 2086 - - 1273 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 644 - - 1299 - - 782 - - 540 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 397 - - 288 - - 81 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 8 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 302 - - 278 - - 278 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2931 - - -3988 - - -4245 - - -2148 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4812 - - 7010 - - 6331 - - 3421 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9859 - - -10732 - - -12155 - - -11686 ODpotential blCL - - - 11739 - - 13754 - - 14241 - - 12959 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 64 - - 58 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 73.9 - - 68.4 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.2 - - 45.7 - - 43.4 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 71.7 - - 66.8 - - 57.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 44.7 - - 42.7 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 235 - - 397 - - 256 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1167 - - 2308 - - 1373 - - 561 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98649 15 106 12 070 20 083 20 090 98649 91176 14 093 12 097 15 081 14 072 91176 85432 10 109 11 111 16 090 16 077 85432 80675 10 116 10 128 9 094 18 077 80675 76580 12 115 7 147 9 095 13 081 76580 72959 10 107 7 156 9 107 13 111 72959 69675 7 140 2 188 4 098 11 087 69675 66652 7 113 13 193 10 188 4 153 66652 63862 5 270 8 243 5 245 4 264 63862 61165 9 233 15 235 12 260 12 264 61165 58344 16 264 20 241 20 258 21 271 58344 55405 27 272 22 255 22 264 21 273 55405 52595 33 271 30 273 29 279 22 275 52595 50075 31 272 31 278 31 281 26 284 50075 47825 32 280 33 285 32 289 32 277 47825 45806 35 283 37 288 35 307 34 328 45806 43990 34 283 40 294 41 310 57 341 43990 42334 27 302 35 317 34 311 50 331 42334 40798 46 339 37 344 53 356 39 325 40798 39357 55 339 69 001 56 356 37 331 39357 37992 42 333 68 001 53 356 37 340 37992 36661 35 358 47 357 44 348 37 338 36661 35301 41 359 36 344 41 339 39 328 35301 33881 42 352 34 333 41 333 35 325 33881 32407 36 003 36 328 44 323 22 339 32407 30861 29 006 34 326 43 315 24 330 30861 29231 31 333 32 318 42 303 27 322 29231 27519 33 325 30 307 39 296 31 302 27519 25726 28 321 30 303 36 299 35 296 25726 23855 23 312 32 302 28 285 32 290 23855 21912 20 311 28 293 31 281 31 275 21912 19893 19 323 26 292 28 281 29 278 19893 17798 17 327 22 298 24 287 24 275 17798 15670 16 322 17 297 18 290 18 274 15670 13620 14 323 13 295 15 288 14 283 13620 11758 12 320 11 292 13 289 12 294 11758 10105 11 316 11 292 11 294 12 303 10105 8639 11 317 9 292 10 301 12 311 8639 7337 8 322 7 291 9 307 11 319 7337 6183 7 332 3 278 8 302 11 320 6183 5162 4 347 1 294 8 289 13 313 5162 4266 3 034 2 326 9 285 16 305 4266 3476 5 038 4*305 12 286 18 301 3476 2773 7 030 6*289 15 287 19 301 2773 2155 6*017 9 280 14*284 18 295 2155 1643 4*317 10 277 14*280 16*276 1643 1253 3 305 10 275 14 278 14*262 1253 985 4 297 10 275 13 277 13 259 985 822 3 293 10 274 12 275 12 257 822 729 3 291 9 273 10 274 8 256 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography