DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/25 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.3 - - 57.7 - - 58.5 - - 59.6 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 30 - - 37 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 155 - - 355 - - 669 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 868 - - 1068 - - 1381 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1382 - - 1238 - - 1234 - - 1112 - - 1149 Hgt.Variab. W* 17 - - 69 - - 98 - - 130 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 257 - - 277 - - 290 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -63 - - 139 - - 314 - - 324 - - -44 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 792 - - 729 - - 754 - - 1057 - - 773 sfcLCL ODpotential -586 - - 34 - - 145 - - 70 - - -4392 ODpotential blCL 1315 - - 834 - - 923 - - 1311 - - 5121 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.3 - - 57.7 - - 58.5 - - 59.6 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 57.3 - - 57.2 - - 57.6 - - 57.4 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.6 - - 57.3 - - 58.2 - - 59.1 - - 58.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.1 - - 57.0 - - 57.3 - - 56.9 - - 57.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 30 - - 37 - - 45 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 155 - - 355 - - 669 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 97 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96533 16 093 17 114 9 136 17 080 10 091 96533 89410 10 094 14 097 8 150 10 078 9 073 89410 83889 8 047 10 079 8 054 7 093 11 037 83889 79280 5 105 4 034 4 051 1 114 14 015 79280 75316 10 342 10 001 10 340 11 351 15 342 75316 71848 13 323 16 001 8 339 9 322 15 357 71848 68715 23 318 24 317 21 311 20 318 21 357 68715 65830 30 318 24 309 25 311 29 306 25 308 65830 63158 34 303 30 303 30 304 37 303 29 293 63158 60563 36 284 36 299 42 301 45 303 35 305 60563 57838 39 282 48 292 52 294 53 293 52 297 57838 55011 54 282 55 281 54 283 55 287 64 288 55011 52315 53 271 60 277 59 271 61 279 65 281 52315 49878 60 279 68 278 65 274 65 276 67 275 49878 47692 81 276 77 277 73 276 74 273 78 273 47692 45726 88 272 81 270 82 266 82 267 90 271 45726 43942 86 272 79 267 80 260 92 265 91 268 43942 42296 87 275 84 268 84 264 93 265 88 268 42296 40759 94 272 87 268 90 265 90 268 90 268 40759 39311 95 270 88 269 88 266 89 272 90 270 39311 37944 94 272 90 269 85 268 86 272 86 272 37944 36616 93 274 89 268 86 273 81 269 79 273 36616 35260 89 273 85 270 88 274 82 267 76 273 35260 33844 86 273 85 273 86 274 82 266 73 268 33844 32374 82 274 82 272 86 273 80 269 73 266 32374 30835 79 274 80 267 84 266 77 272 74 267 30835 29213 79 272 81 264 79 262 75 271 75 269 29213 27511 80 270 82 265 77 264 74 263 74 269 27511 25728 82 270 81 269 74 268 70 263 73 270 25728 23868 81 265 76 269 73 270 64 268 62 270 23868 21940 73 263 70 268 71 270 56 272 49 274 21940 19936 60 268 66 267 64 269 49 273 43 276 19936 17843 47 272 55 267 48 271 39 280 41 275 17843 15708 36 279 39 275 41 268 33 286 36 276 15708 13653 30 275 31 268 32 263 29 284 20 283 13653 11786 28 271 25 257 29 260 27 276 18 284 11786 10130 27 272 21 263 25 272 25 280 24 292 10130 8661 22 277 17 269 18 285 17 292 24 300 8661 7358 16 277 14 271 12 289 11 288 18 295 7358 6200 16 272 13 268 9 278 9 269 14 279 6200 5178 17 268 13 265 9 276 8 274 11 272 5178 4280 16 269 13 263 8 271 7 270 8 267 4280 3490 13 266 12 257 7 262 6 254 6 242 3490 2785 12 255 12 249 7 266 5 259 6 205 2785 2165 11 252 12 247 7 271 5 281 5 186 2165 1651 9 249 10 250 6 275 5*290 1 181 1651 1257 8 240 9 254 5*276 5*290 0 301 1257 987 7 241 7*255 5*277 5 290 1 268 987 823 5*247 6*257 4 276 5 290 2 247 823 729 3*256 5 257 4 277 4 288 2*233 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography