DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 70.8 - - 70.3 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 334 - - 209 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1482 - - 2237 - - 2128 - - 566 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1390 - - 2091 - - 1854 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2195 - - 2951 - - 2841 - - 1278 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 541 - - 665 - - 662 - - 727 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 373 - - 313 - - 73 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 250 - - 254 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 246 - - -806 - - -883 - - -512 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1949 - - 3757 - - 3724 - - 1790 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6969 - - -5947 - - -6043 - - -8034 ODpotential blCL - - - 9164 - - 8898 - - 8884 - - 9312 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 80 - - 81 - - 90 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 70.8 - - 70.3 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.4 - - 56.7 - - 56.4 - - 55.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.2 - - 68.8 - - 68.9 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.6 - - 55.8 - - 55.8 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 201 - - 334 - - 209 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1482 - - 2237 - - 2128 - - 566 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 20 - - 22 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98240 8 085 4 059 13 120 12 134 98240 90838 5 130 10 147 11 155 8 134 90838 85166 10 225 9 178 5 191 4 122 85166 80441 14 210 9 230 0 182 4 090 80441 76331 9 210 11 225 4 253 3 025 76331 72668 6 186 9 207 8 238 5 299 72668 69357 4 166 5 228 6 244 6 295 69357 66332 5 331 6 241 7 261 7 293 66332 63533 11 305 7 236 10 259 11 288 63533 60826 13 286 9 247 11 261 14 285 60826 58004 11 284 12 258 12 267 15 271 58004 55090 13 280 14 268 16 279 15 267 55090 52325 14 276 17 267 20 285 16 273 52325 49847 14 278 17 264 19 277 17 271 49847 47641 15 275 15 263 16 258 17 254 47641 45664 12 248 15 247 14 242 17 238 45664 43873 7 249 17 216 18 222 15 228 43873 42227 7 279 17 201 18 215 13 232 42227 40694 7 278 15 207 15 226 14 240 40694 39249 8 270 13 219 15 238 15 245 39249 37879 8 271 11 230 13 247 13 258 37879 36548 9 274 11 241 11 256 13 264 36548 35191 9 256 12 245 12 255 12 261 35191 33781 7 238 11 250 13 255 12 259 33781 32318 4 219 10 256 11 259 13 261 32318 30789 4 188 8 259 10 260 12 259 30789 29181 3 200 10 262 11 265 10 260 29181 27494 5 256 11 263 12 272 8 273 27494 25729 7 265 10 255 10 275 6 271 25729 23886 6 264 8 240 7 262 4 252 23886 21967 5 258 6 230 6 246 4 243 21967 19963 5 252 5 241 3 230 1 175 19963 17874 5 220 5 217 5 186 6 183 17874 15750 5 200 9 200 10 182 10 191 15750 13708 8 209 11 203 10 194 10 205 13708 11849 11 213 11 207 12 201 10 207 11849 10193 12 211 13 204 14 202 11 209 10193 8719 13 217 14 209 16 206 14 218 8719 7409 13 220 16 215 17 209 16 220 7409 6244 12 216 16 209 18 206 17 217 6244 5212 13 203 17 195 18 196 16 211 5212 4303 15 192 17 192 17 196 15 202 4303 3503 17 197 14*205 14*211 16 204 3503 2791 15*207 10*231 12*237 16 220 2791 2168 10*221 10 247 12 251 14 237 2168 1652 7 236 10 252 12 257 12*265 1652 1258 7 240 10 256 12 260 11*278 1258 988 7 242 9 258 11 261 10 281 988 823 6 243 9 259 11 262 9 282 823 729 6 244 7 260 9 263 7 282 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography