DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/20 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 51.9 - - 51.3 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 27 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 387 - - 1183 - - 922 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1099 - - 1894 - - 1634 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1557 - - 2011 - - 2811 - - 2927 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 135 - - 73 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 042 - - 010 - - 012 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 159 - - 752 - - 441 - - -66 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 940 - - 1142 - - 1193 - - 794 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -163 - - 428 - - 31 - - -736 ODpotential blCL - - - 1262 - - 1466 - - 1603 - - 1464 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 110 - - 150 - - 200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 51.9 - - 51.3 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.7 - - 49.5 - - 48.6 - - 48.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.1 - - 51.7 - - 51.2 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.4 - - 48.8 - - 48.1 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 27 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 387 - - 1183 - - 922 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 102 - - 98 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96619 5 066 8 058 15 072 17 080 96619 89525 13 084 8 127 19 086 21 103 89525 84030 13 103 9 096 14 098 13 095 84030 79457 13 120 7 072 12 121 10 083 79457 75491 13 113 10 111 9 128 9 067 75491 71950 9 089 11 134 6 127 6 066 71950 68725 4 023 11 133 6 143 7 154 68725 65757 8 258 2 143 3 154 12 165 65757 62997 8 240 7 226 4 256 10 186 62997 60313 11 252 10 236 5 242 6 181 60313 57497 12 240 13 247 11 262 1 016 57497 54563 15 235 16 236 16 260 8 341 54563 51754 15 244 13 228 11 263 9 332 51754 49215 21 249 12 259 7 315 7 359 49215 46931 23 239 14 248 9 310 13 011 46931 44853 16 241 5 249 3 314 11 004 44853 42947 21 280 10 310 7 010 14 021 42947 41185 23 267 15 309 14 005 19 028 41185 39546 21 263 17 315 18 360 22 022 39546 38013 18 272 18 312 21 350 25 019 38013 36577 18 272 19 309 26 351 27 016 36577 35197 17 269 20 315 27 353 26 012 35197 33806 16 275 18 326 26 353 27 009 33806 32373 15 286 18 344 26 351 31 010 32373 30905 14 298 20 346 27 350 34 017 30905 29391 17 299 18 330 22 346 27 012 29391 27821 18 289 12 312 10 340 17 001 27821 26199 17 289 9 317 3 300 5 101 26199 24521 18 304 9 318 5 185 15 156 24521 22780 18 313 9 317 3 193 17 153 22780 20970 16 326 10 296 5 247 9 135 20970 19079 13 342 12 286 8 259 4 109 19079 17101 12 334 13 292 9 256 5 098 17101 15078 13 332 10 304 12 263 7 086 15078 13127 9 348 3 325 9 275 7 074 13127 11352 6 351 3 022 5 325 7 029 11352 9775 6 011 9 350 6 351 8 016 9775 8374 6 021 10 010 8 357 7 005 8374 7129 8 011 12 017 12 358 13 017 7129 6023 10 005 15 014 14 358 18 020 6023 5043 9 002 16 010 15 003 18 014 5043 4180 9 357 14 006 14 004 16 005 4180 3418 8 353 12 005 14 005 13 001 3418 2737 7 357 11 008 12 006 11 003 2737 2135 6 015 11*010 11*007 10 007 2135 1632 7 041 10*010 10*010 8 004 1632 1247 6*043 9 011 8 011 6 359 1247 982 6*043 8 010 7 013 4 351 982 821 5 043 7 011 6 013 3 339 821 728 3 041 5 011 5 013 2*307 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography