DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/26 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 84.5 - - 81.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 348 - - 188 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 681 - - 1414 - - 1088 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 1493 - - 1057 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1395 - - 2128 - - 1802 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 438 - - 618 - - 510 - - 602 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 217 - - 322 - - 240 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 276 - - 275 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4321 - - -7043 - - -5971 - - -3459 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5716 - - 9172 - - 7773 - - 4190 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11453 - - -12618 - - -11949 - - -11892 ODpotential blCL - - - 12848 - - 14746 - - 13751 - - 12622 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 58 - - 53 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.2 - - 84.5 - - 81.4 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.3 - - 47.4 - - 50.5 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.8 - - 82.2 - - 80.0 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.5 - - 46.7 - - 50.0 - - 54.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 217 - - 348 - - 188 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 681 - - 1414 - - 1088 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99153 20 112 20 100 23 106 25 087 99153 91708 23 118 18 102 18 089 23 097 91708 85953 17 099 21 108 17 106 19 092 85953 81164 14 085 22 108 14 104 15 084 81164 77047 9 099 14 108 10 093 13 076 77047 73433 10 100 9 117 9 098 8 089 73433 70171 6 094 7 100 10 090 10 097 70171 67161 6 085 5 123 3 093 6 063 67161 64366 5 072 8 131 5 167 1 166 64366 61668 11 207 6 258 3 225 3 206 61668 58865 20 179 20 220 17 243 13 251 58865 55971 18 214 27 220 30 237 25 254 55971 53232 29 238 35 222 43 228 40 239 53232 50781 39 240 40 230 46 231 46 236 50781 48579 49 247 48 247 50 242 50 246 48579 46573 59 249 64 247 65 245 66 250 46573 44733 65 245 68 243 70 242 72 249 44733 43030 65 243 67 245 63 244 70 248 43030 41439 62 242 63 245 59 246 66 248 41439 39949 57 244 57 243 54 242 60 244 39949 38552 52 246 53 243 51 237 55 235 38552 37204 49 245 49 243 49 237 53 234 37204 35831 48 242 48 240 46 233 48 233 35831 34404 46 238 46 235 46 232 47 228 34404 32923 44 235 47 232 46 234 45 230 32923 31374 42 232 45 233 45 232 44 229 31374 29743 38 230 40 232 42 229 44 228 29743 28031 37 225 36 229 41 227 43 230 28031 26236 35 223 35 227 39 228 40 229 26236 24361 30 226 28 223 34 226 38 224 24361 22409 22 221 26 214 34 225 34 221 22409 20378 20 215 27 216 33 224 29 218 20378 18264 20 220 28 220 31 226 26 215 18264 16109 23 227 28 224 27 228 23 221 16109 14027 24 226 26 225 24 231 20 225 14027 12128 23 225 24 226 21 231 19 224 12128 10433 21 227 21 228 20 231 18 225 10433 8923 20 230 19 231 18 231 16 229 8923 7577 19 237 18 238 16 237 15 237 7577 6380 16 239 16 242 15 243 14 248 6380 5322 13 234 13 240 13 242 12 255 5322 4390 11 228 11 235 12 239 10 259 4390 3572 9 235 9 243 11 245 10 267 3572 2844 8 275 9 279 11 275 11 279 2844 2205 9 290 10*283 12*283 13 288 2205 1674 7*281 10*279 12*279 13 287 1674 1270 7*271 10 277 12 276 10 268 1270 993 6 268 10 275 11 274 9 252 993 826 6 267 9 274 10 274 8*248 826 730 5 265 8 273 8 273 5*245 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography