DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 74.4 - - - - - 62.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 441 - - - - - 33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 659 - - 1065 - - - - - 350 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 893 - - 1291 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1372 - - 1779 - - - - - 1063 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 306 - - 267 - - - - - 362 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 234 - - 316 - - - - - 92 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 263 - - - - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2211 - - -3816 - - - - - -1743 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3584 - - 5595 - - - - - 2806 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12218 - - -12744 - - - - - -13716 ODpotential blCL - - - 13590 - - 14523 - - - - - 14779 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 55 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 74.4 - - - - - 62.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 52.8 - - - - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.8 - - 72.0 - - - - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 52.3 - - - - - 52.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 282 - - 441 - - - - - 33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 659 - - 1065 - - - - - 350 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99301 34 112 25 098 28 109 99301 91737 30 119 25 108 26 106 91737 85926 26 112 22 104 23 096 85926 81114 26 116 25 098 17 081 81114 76985 27 104 20 104 16 105 76985 73363 23 100 19 103 18 106 73363 70088 15 115 14 125 15 101 70088 67080 14 112 12 144 12 102 67080 64302 12 088 4 122 9 119 64302 61630 3 210 8 177 9 179 61630 58858 13 211 13 184 10 212 58858 56001 17 254 18 225 26 234 56001 53306 35 243 31 234 38 232 53306 50887 34 249 30 243 37 233 50887 48710 38 261 34 257 38 245 48710 46722 50 263 46 258 51 254 46722 44889 60 261 56 253 63 252 44889 43182 66 261 64 253 69 247 43182 41575 70 255 71 255 70 249 41575 40060 73 256 68 256 60 257 40060 38636 64 263 58 262 49 263 38636 37260 52 272 50 266 45 266 37260 35866 47 272 44 266 44 273 35866 34429 46 273 40 268 47 276 34429 32953 48 282 41 274 54 282 32953 31413 50 279 45 278 58 284 31413 29789 52 279 52 285 55 284 29789 28081 52 289 53 288 55 290 28081 26286 49 292 48 290 49 292 26286 24406 44 286 43 288 42 287 24406 22445 42 285 38 288 36 289 22445 20399 33 291 30 289 34 287 20399 18264 24 294 21 289 28 285 18264 16087 17 298 14 290 19 287 16087 13990 12 303 11 295 14 287 13990 12082 8 308 9 307 10 285 12082 10385 6 314 7 308 8 284 10385 8877 6 312 6 294 8 283 8877 7535 5 313 6 277 8 283 7535 6343 3 318 5 253 7 284 6343 5288 3 010 5 232 7 278 5288 4361 5 051 6 225 9 269 4361 3545 4 051 7 229 11 267 3545 2819 1 339 9 248 13 268 2819 2182 6 253 11*259 15 270 2182 1657 8*253 11*263 15 263 1657 1260 8*255 11 263 13*257 1260 988 8 257 11 263 12*256 988 824 7 257 10 263 11 255 824 729 6 257 9 263 8 255 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography