DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/30 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 68.2 - - 68.4 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 279 - - 386 - - 233 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1145 - - 2016 - - 1728 - - 362 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1251 - - 1961 - - 1605 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1858 - - 2730 - - 2441 - - 1075 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 550 - - 822 - - 965 - - 783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 281 - - 376 - - 302 - - 35 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 268 - - 279 - - 259 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -776 - - -2243 - - -3104 - - -2031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2634 - - 4973 - - 5545 - - 3106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5786 - - -6792 - - -8274 - - -8892 ODpotential blCL - - - 7644 - - 9522 - - 10715 - - 9967 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 65 - - 54 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.4 - - 68.2 - - 68.4 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.5 - - 49.2 - - 46.8 - - 48.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 66.1 - - 66.9 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 48.2 - - 46.0 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 279 - - 386 - - 233 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1145 - - 2016 - - 1728 - - 362 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98312 9 153 12 084 18 106 18 123 98312 90858 18 119 16 107 12 113 14 091 90858 85162 19 118 16 127 12 118 17 078 85162 80460 16 126 13 133 10 108 18 077 80460 76412 8 121 12 108 11 104 13 087 76412 72839 6 156 8 109 11 106 13 104 72839 69588 14 158 9 185 4 163 8 084 69588 66580 10 150 14 174 12 199 9 229 66580 63785 8 218 8 178 8 181 12 195 63785 61063 21 245 16 249 10 261 8 223 61063 58210 24 247 24 245 19 266 15 261 58210 55244 26 254 29 247 29 256 27 262 55244 52421 32 267 32 254 35 254 36 259 52421 49889 37 272 38 269 39 262 40 263 49889 47628 45 277 42 275 43 270 45 270 47628 45591 50 277 50 279 51 277 52 276 45591 43741 56 282 57 281 58 279 58 279 43741 42045 63 285 62 282 62 282 62 283 42045 40482 71 286 65 284 63 285 64 285 40482 39027 75 286 68 286 64 288 63 287 39027 37663 74 286 68 288 65 290 62 288 37663 36344 70 286 67 289 66 291 62 289 36344 35001 60 285 64 288 61 290 64 289 35001 33601 53 285 56 286 54 290 64 289 33601 32149 50 286 45 287 48 289 61 290 32149 30630 49 292 43 288 41 289 51 290 30630 29036 45 294 42 289 38 292 43 292 29036 27366 40 299 40 296 38 291 38 295 27366 25615 37 303 37 299 36 291 35 296 25615 23784 35 298 32 297 33 292 33 297 23784 21875 35 296 31 294 32 297 29 302 21875 19883 30 300 28 304 29 306 26 308 19883 17802 24 303 22 311 22 317 22 317 17802 15679 20 307 17 315 17 323 17 325 15679 13631 18 314 15 319 13 324 14 332 13631 11767 14 318 11 325 10 327 10 338 11767 10115 11 312 10 321 9 327 8 337 10115 8650 10 306 9 319 10 333 8 341 8650 7349 8 299 6 321 9 340 9 350 7349 6196 7 301 4 315 7 339 9 357 6196 5176 5 301 3 307 5 326 8 359 5176 4279 4 289 3 293 6 309 8 350 4279 3488 5 276 6 280 8 300 9 326 3488 2783 7 269 8*273 10*292 11 306 2783 2163 8*260 9*271 10*284 13 296 2163 1649 8*258 9 269 11 280 12 279 1649 1256 8 258 10 268 11 278 11*264 1256 986 8 257 9 267 11 276 10*261 986 823 7 256 9 267 10 276 9 259 823 729 6 257 8 266 8 275 6 257 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography