DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1554z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 70.1 - - 67.8 - - 57.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 182 - - 297 - - 123 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 625 - - 909 - - 684 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1093 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1338 - - 1622 - - 1398 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 310 - - 282 - - 421 - - 714 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 198 - - 263 - - 178 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 264 - - 272 - - 270 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -632 - - -1277 - - -829 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1970 - - 2899 - - 2227 - - 729 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7818 - - -7404 - - -7555 - - -8851 ODpotential blCL - - - 9156 - - 9026 - - 8953 - - 9580 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 81 - - 87 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.7 - - 70.1 - - 67.8 - - 57.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.3 - - 59.6 - - 60.2 - - 56.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 68.3 - - 66.9 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.9 - - 59.2 - - 60.0 - - 56.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 182 - - 297 - - 123 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 625 - - 909 - - 684 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 24 - - 47 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97882 12 116 2 094 6 041 5 085 97882 90608 11 081 10 112 2 137 9 061 90608 84967 12 081 13 108 3 135 10 047 84967 80291 11 060 9 071 6 098 8 054 80291 76280 11 070 10 038 11 052 11 042 76280 72747 12 051 11 018 12 022 11 030 72747 69551 10 019 12 360 12 354 12 344 69551 66607 13 349 15 342 15 340 15 334 66607 63879 18 344 19 343 21 336 18 336 63879 61245 22 334 21 325 23 331 16 333 61245 58511 22 334 23 323 28 330 25 335 58511 55692 31 313 29 313 31 326 26 330 55692 53002 30 301 27 326 30 320 35 344 53002 50566 33 304 30 330 28 327 36 332 50566 48363 38 297 33 325 31 345 29 335 48363 46348 46 289 34 316 43 002 33 354 46348 44489 52 282 34 306 44 000 44 359 44489 42758 50 276 36 295 37 351 51 358 42758 41134 42 273 39 286 33 336 47 355 41134 39603 37 275 36 278 28 314 35 342 39603 38162 33 272 31 276 31 292 34 330 38162 36778 29 259 31 267 31 279 30 315 36778 35382 28 253 31 257 33 270 29 288 35382 33943 28 252 30 251 32 259 28 276 33943 32459 28 254 30 250 32 253 27 270 32459 30912 26 255 28 252 30 252 26 268 30912 29287 24 255 26 254 27 253 23 269 29287 27585 23 252 24 253 25 253 21 268 27585 25806 22 252 23 253 22 258 19 268 25806 23954 17 255 16 259 17 258 14 270 23954 22028 10 251 10 259 11 234 13 255 22028 20023 9 235 10 243 11 228 14 240 20023 17937 11 218 12 229 12 228 16 235 17937 15813 15 199 14 212 11 210 13 216 15813 13771 14 187 14 188 13 181 12 176 13771 11915 9 182 16 177 11 168 11 150 11915 10258 6 170 13 177 9 157 6 137 10258 8780 6 167 8 189 5 150 4 078 8780 7462 6 130 4 196 2 125 4 045 7462 6289 9 078 3 145 1 135 6 024 6289 5249 8 066 4 097 1 230 7 006 5249 4332 7 055 2 058 4 246 6 337 4332 3524 5 029 2 313 8 253 6 293 3524 2803 4 329 5 257 11 260 10 249 2803 2172 9 271 11 262 14 264 15 247 2172 1652 11*264 11*269 13*267 17 252 1652 1257 10*264 11*272 13*269 15 257 1257 987 9 264 11 272 12 270 12 258 987 823 9 264 10 272 11 270 9*258 823 729 7 263 9 272 9 270 5*258 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography