DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 56.2 - - 57.1 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 40 - - 26 - - 45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2031 - - 1662 - - 2727 - - 929 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2744 - - 2374 - - 3439 - - 1641 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2895 - - 3469 - - 3241 - - 1585 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 147 - - 177 - - 190 - - 145 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 22 - - 27 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 209 - - 207 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 17 - - 21 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 15 - - 8 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 882 - - 405 - - 549 - - 514 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1862 - - 1969 - - 2890 - - 1127 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 226 - - -459 - - -446 - - 205 ODpotential blCL - - - 2518 - - 2833 - - 3885 - - 1436 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 150 - - 180 - - 140 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.6 - - 56.2 - - 57.1 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 50.0 - - 46.8 - - 45.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.6 - - 56.0 - - 57.0 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 49.1 - - 46.0 - - 45.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 40 - - 26 - - 45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2031 - - 1662 - - 2727 - - 929 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 80 - - 92 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97172 45 267 58 270 61 278 57 275 97172 89790 41 272 51 276 53 282 51 282 89790 84130 42 278 42 274 42 282 43 279 84130 79468 33 276 34 268 32 275 33 268 79468 75465 25 267 32 260 31 268 26 271 75465 71913 24 263 28 252 38 255 30 261 71913 68686 28 259 26 247 38 253 31 256 68686 65703 32 255 26 245 33 249 30 255 65703 62914 30 248 25 246 30 245 29 250 62914 60185 24 242 27 248 22 239 25 230 60185 57308 22 242 26 241 18 258 21 249 57308 54307 25 244 27 242 32 266 29 266 54307 51441 31 243 38 247 45 259 45 261 51441 48880 37 243 40 248 50 248 52 248 48880 46609 42 244 46 250 49 246 46 240 46609 44550 46 245 46 241 50 243 39 242 44550 42653 44 250 41 247 53 243 38 256 42653 40891 49 267 51 265 54 247 46 260 40891 39252 62 266 75 265 65 253 57 262 39252 37728 73 267 90 259 75 253 70 261 37728 36312 81 269 95 255 86 251 83 258 36312 34963 87 270 95 252 94 248 89 252 34963 33610 86 267 97 252 94 243 86 247 33610 32217 80 265 99 253 90 240 85 246 32217 30787 74 262 96 251 93 240 89 245 30787 29305 68 256 90 246 98 236 92 239 29305 27758 69 252 85 242 100 231 92 231 27758 26144 69 251 80 239 98 230 90 226 26144 24463 63 248 76 235 93 228 80 224 24463 22718 58 245 72 233 86 227 67 218 22718 20909 55 244 66 232 78 226 59 206 20909 19020 50 242 58 229 72 225 61 203 19020 17039 42 239 53 226 66 224 58 210 17039 15018 38 233 50 222 57 225 50 222 15018 13073 37 229 45 218 46 225 47 231 13073 11300 34 224 40 209 37 222 46 233 11300 9724 34 225 37 195 35 212 40 232 9724 8326 32 221 38 196 38 204 34 226 8326 7086 26 211 40 206 40 205 32 222 7086 5984 25 201 41 218 39 210 29 222 5984 5009 25 200 39 221 38 212 26 225 5009 4151 25 201 37 220 36*212 22 232 4151 3394 24 201 34 218 34*210 20 240 3394 2718 23*201 32*216 31 208 18 254 2718 2121 21*199 28*213 28 206 16*269 2121 1623 19 198 25 210 26 206 15*277 1623 1242 18 198 22 208 24 205 15 280 1242 979 16 198 19 206 21 205 13 281 979 819 13 197 16 205 18 205 12 282 819 728 9 198 12 205 13 206 9 282 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography