DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.1 - - 56.4 - - 63.0 - - 63.5 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 120 - - 135 - - 26 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 809 - - 1646 - - 1564 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 1371 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1522 - - 2359 - - 2276 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 366 - - 531 - - 847 - - 1037 - - 810 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 191 - - 258 - - 161 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 181 - - 277 - - 301 - - 315 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -57 - - -1088 - - -2194 - - -2062 - - -1342 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 785 - - 2611 - - 4553 - - 4338 - - 2071 sfcLCL ODpotential -9161 - - -7823 - - -9005 - - -8304 - - -7860 ODpotential blCL 9889 - - 9345 - - 11364 - - 10580 - - 8589 blCL maxRH 91 - - 76 - - 58 - - 60 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.1 - - 56.4 - - 63.0 - - 63.5 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.3 - - 47.6 - - 45.9 - - 47.3 - - 48.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.2 - - 55.6 - - 62.1 - - 63.3 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.4 - - 46.4 - - 44.6 - - 46.0 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 120 - - 135 - - 26 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 809 - - 1646 - - 1564 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 63 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96478 16 287 19 290 29 282 19 290 18 279 96478 89293 8 307 10 273 21 275 20 299 10 339 89293 83797 15 284 6 294 10 265 15 266 10 332 83797 79240 17 273 12 263 11 276 19 262 16 288 79240 75294 16 289 13 255 16 278 18 262 20 300 75294 71786 17 302 12 289 16 282 13 274 20 299 71786 68606 21 301 17 292 23 287 17 298 18 301 68606 65675 22 287 22 278 26 281 23 302 20 312 65675 62948 24 294 20 282 25 278 29 292 26 305 62948 60300 30 295 21 300 26 278 32 289 28 301 60300 57524 36 286 29 303 30 283 35 295 32 296 57524 54633 44 282 36 296 34 288 38 294 34 294 54633 51873 43 288 42 297 41 299 44 303 39 307 51873 49413 44 297 49 297 48 301 53 306 49 309 49413 47247 43 298 47 294 48 299 53 303 51 304 47247 45318 38 324 52 325 45 319 46 309 48 302 45318 43577 68 327 66 327 55 322 51 314 46 306 43577 41976 71 321 64 324 56 319 47 314 45 304 41976 40478 64 323 59 322 53 316 45 312 44 299 40478 39062 56 324 56 321 50 315 46 308 43 298 39062 37716 53 331 53 322 46 315 44 304 42 299 37716 36405 54 334 50 323 43 315 40 301 42 302 36405 35064 57 336 48 324 43 316 39 298 43 307 35064 33665 56 336 47 324 46 316 39 299 43 311 33665 32211 53 333 47 322 48 313 39 298 42 315 32211 30687 51 331 47 321 48 313 39 298 41 317 30687 29079 49 329 46 320 48 314 37 303 40 315 29079 27389 49 328 45 319 47 312 39 308 44 311 27389 25621 51 324 47 320 45 312 44 312 51 311 25621 23778 53 318 49 319 44 319 47 318 56 317 23778 21863 53 315 48 321 48 328 50 325 57 320 21863 19866 52 316 44 328 52 334 53 328 55 323 19866 17781 46 320 43 338 46 335 50 331 50 325 17781 15654 39 320 38 335 41 335 44 328 44 328 15654 13607 28 313 34 327 36 337 38 324 39 328 13607 11746 21 311 28 315 31 337 35 326 35 331 11746 10096 19 318 25 310 28 334 29 331 32 338 10096 8632 18 328 21 317 24 330 25 337 29 344 8632 7332 19 343 18 329 20 333 23 344 26 347 7332 6180 19 353 17 344 16 344 18 353 21 351 6180 5160 18 352 16 353 14 353 12 007 15 004 5160 4266 12 351 15 354 13 356 9 014 12 021 4266 3480 8 003 13 352 11 351 9 011 12 027 3480 2779 8 013 10 002 9*339 8*357 11 017 2779 2161 7 005 8 354 7*308 7*328 9 351 2161 1648 5 330 5*308 7 303 7 317 10 327 1648 1255 5 260 5*280 7 299 7 311 9 309 1255 986 6 225 5 276 6 296 7 309 8 297 986 822 5 208 5 275 6 295 6 308 6*285 822 729 2*181 4 275 5 293 5 305 4*276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography