DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.1 - - 58.9 - - 64.1 - - 62.1 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 132 - - 222 - - 56 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1656 - - 3163 - - 2486 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1298 - - 2622 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2369 - - 3876 - - 3199 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 633 - - 947 - - 1315 - - 1753 - - 1746 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 247 - - 362 - - 212 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 296 - - 295 - - 290 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -190 - - 148 - - 65 - - -117 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 2559 - - 3728 - - 3134 - - 845 sfcLCL ODpotential -8082 - - -5361 - - -398 - - -516 - - -1669 ODpotential blCL 8810 - - 7730 - - 4274 - - 3715 - - 2397 blCL maxRH 93 - - 88 - - 87 - - 81 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.1 - - 58.9 - - 64.1 - - 62.1 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.3 - - 50.4 - - 50.4 - - 51.0 - - 52.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.8 - - 58.0 - - 62.7 - - 61.9 - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 50.0 - - 49.8 - - 49.9 - - 50.7 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 132 - - 222 - - 56 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1656 - - 3163 - - 2486 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 50 - - 47 - - 24 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97098 15 267 19 276 15 292 17 279 18 297 97098 89874 4 228 9 272 12 310 10 310 3 297 89874 84305 4 106 6 220 11 288 12 319 3 015 84305 79679 4 025 1 206 9 266 9 315 7 337 79679 75704 8 329 5 035 3 263 7 277 8 315 75704 72191 9 314 5 319 4 315 5 266 2 294 72191 68986 10 299 8 279 13 274 12 262 3 302 68986 66012 13 287 5 261 14 251 15 255 10 305 66012 63242 16 281 8 265 12 244 13 252 16 294 63242 60556 15 276 14 274 14 263 15 266 18 280 60556 57749 13 270 13 271 13 260 17 267 17 281 57749 54824 19 268 15 285 13 277 19 277 20 283 54824 52040 24 275 21 288 20 279 21 283 24 292 52040 49560 30 282 29 297 25 296 25 294 30 294 49560 47365 28 291 37 295 39 299 35 307 32 296 47365 45402 32 307 36 300 38 295 44 305 38 299 45402 43624 36 324 40 319 43 304 51 307 42 302 43624 41992 47 325 43 324 47 307 55 307 44 304 41992 40473 48 324 43 328 49 312 56 308 42 311 40473 39045 45 327 44 327 50 314 56 309 42 320 39045 37694 44 334 44 322 49 311 55 312 41 318 37694 36381 46 336 44 317 48 309 52 313 38 314 36381 35041 49 335 45 313 49 307 47 315 33 315 35041 33646 49 331 47 310 49 309 42 317 29 318 33646 32198 47 321 49 307 48 313 39 321 26 318 32198 30682 49 313 49 306 46 315 37 327 24 314 30682 29085 48 311 48 308 44 316 34 331 23 310 29085 27408 46 307 46 310 43 316 32 332 25 310 27408 25650 42 304 43 305 41 314 33 328 26 312 25650 23812 38 299 44 299 39 313 34 321 27 313 23812 21897 35 294 44 298 37 315 34 317 28 312 21897 19896 35 293 42 296 35 312 33 315 30 310 19896 17804 35 294 38 296 35 308 32 313 30 310 17804 15666 32 293 33 294 33 304 32 311 30 309 15666 13602 30 285 30 284 31 300 29 309 27 310 13602 11724 29 282 30 280 28 291 25 305 23 312 11724 10057 23 276 24 277 25 288 23 297 18 308 10057 8584 19 276 19 269 23 274 20 301 14 302 8584 7282 15 280 15 267 19 257 13 282 11 298 7282 6133 10 287 11 268 12 251 12 249 8 289 6133 5123 8 298 8 271 10 276 9 267 8 273 5123 4238 7 303 9 288 11*297 10 292 9 274 4238 3460 8 298 14 315 11*297 11*293 11 285 3460 2767 13 308 15*315 11 297 12*292 12 296 2767 2155 16 310 11*302 11 296 12 291 14 301 2155 1645 15 305 10 296 11 295 12 290 14 298 1645 1254 12 293 10 294 11 294 12 289 13 293 1254 985 8 279 9 293 10 292 11 288 11 286 985 822 5 262 8 292 10 291 10 287 7 277 822 728 3*245 7 291 8 291 8 287 4*266 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography