DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 59.3 - - 73.5 - - 79.7 - - 76.7 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 249 - - 387 - - 243 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 679 - - 1044 - - 736 - - 281 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 835 - - 1251 - - 880 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1393 - - 1758 - - 1450 - - 994 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 419 - - 384 - - 302 - - 381 - - 306 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 226 - - 301 - - 229 - - 69 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 260 - - 252 - - 268 - - 277 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1320 - - -2830 - - -4621 - - -4117 - - -1132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2049 - - 4223 - - 6379 - - 5568 - - 2126 sfcLCL ODpotential -13286 - - -11656 - - -12015 - - -12238 - - -12033 ODpotential blCL 14015 - - 13049 - - 13773 - - 13688 - - 13027 blCL maxRH 76 - - 64 - - 70 - - 54 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 59.3 - - 73.5 - - 79.7 - - 76.7 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.9 - - 57.7 - - 54.7 - - 55.2 - - 57.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.4 - - 71.9 - - 77.4 - - 75.1 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.5 - - 57.0 - - 54.1 - - 54.8 - - 57.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 249 - - 387 - - 243 - - 17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 679 - - 1044 - - 736 - - 281 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99263 30 106 25 102 26 109 14 115 23 082 99263 91823 21 112 25 105 27 102 21 118 21 104 91823 86077 24 107 27 107 25 103 23 112 16 112 86077 81287 21 099 22 103 21 110 21 114 16 095 81287 77155 20 106 18 115 17 106 24 093 19 113 77155 73502 14 099 16 130 8 115 15 078 20 097 73502 70196 10 096 14 110 10 137 9 087 11 088 70196 67169 9 073 8 093 13 130 5 123 5 078 67169 64373 3 085 7 125 5 135 6 155 2 071 64373 61677 0 044 7 145 5 218 3 225 3 288 61677 58889 3 268 6 171 8 208 6 284 2 271 58889 56024 6 250 2 217 8 193 9 264 7 249 56024 53306 13 236 8 244 10 235 16 254 14 239 53306 50870 15 232 15 234 17 237 20 231 20 228 50870 48692 17 227 18 228 19 233 23 221 24 233 48692 46709 22 232 22 230 22 228 24 217 27 229 46709 44881 28 230 30 227 28 227 27 219 29 224 44881 43182 33 225 34 222 32 222 29 220 30 221 43182 41594 36 219 35 218 35 218 33 219 34 218 41594 40102 37 217 34 217 37 214 39 216 41 214 40102 38694 37 216 33 217 35 212 41 214 44 210 38694 37330 35 216 33 215 31 211 39 212 44 209 37330 35941 32 216 30 212 28 210 34 211 40 211 35941 34498 31 215 26 210 25 210 28 211 32 212 34498 33004 27 213 23 209 22 207 24 210 25 214 33004 31444 21 210 20 203 19 201 22 213 22 212 31444 29803 17 208 14 186 18 191 21 210 21 211 29803 28087 6 200 11 170 16 185 18 209 19 215 28087 26297 6 238 10 176 13 185 14 211 15 220 26297 24430 9 229 8 214 10 178 11 197 13 219 24430 22485 9 238 11 222 6 216 9 178 12 184 22485 20457 11 235 15 223 12 242 6 218 10 178 20457 18338 14 227 17 229 17 231 11 231 8 198 18338 16170 15 227 17 233 15 230 12 234 7 221 16170 14076 15 231 15 225 13 217 11 219 8 208 14076 12164 14 241 13 222 11 221 10 216 9 213 12164 10459 14 258 11 241 10 232 9 225 9 224 10459 8939 11 260 11 247 10 229 10 224 9 219 8939 7586 9 257 9 237 10 221 11 218 11 213 7586 6386 7 256 8 218 11 222 12 218 13 218 6386 5325 6 252 8 213 11 232 13 224 15 228 5325 4393 7 252 8 225 11 235 13 229 15 239 4393 3572 9 256 11 230 13 223 14 228 14 244 3572 2840 13 245 14 220 15 218 15 229 15 238 2840 2196 16 227 16 219 14*225 15 237 17 235 2196 1666 17 229 13*227 11*260 12*265 16 244 1666 1264 16 240 9*249 11 269 12*275 12*265 1264 990 11 246 9 252 10 271 11 277 10*274 990 824 8 253 8 254 10 271 11 277 9 276 824 729 5*260 7 254 9 271 9 277 7 277 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography