DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.7 - - 52.1 - - 61.1 - - 56.5 - - 47.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 10 - - 47 - - -17 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 350 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 712 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 728 - - 1062 - - 729 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 88 - - 347 - - 489 - - 439 - - 110 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 26 - - 111 - - 18 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 053 - - 069 - - 060 - - 067 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -5 - - -3 - - -4 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2177 - - -2256 - - -2450 - - -2026 - - -1995 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2905 - - 2984 - - 3512 - - 2755 - - 2724 sfcLCL ODpotential -15814 - - -14100 - - -11980 - - -12979 - - -15680 ODpotential blCL 16542 - - 14828 - - 13042 - - 13708 - - 16408 blCL maxRH 47 - - 63 - - 61 - - 62 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.7 - - 52.1 - - 61.1 - - 56.5 - - 47.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.3 - - 42.2 - - 48.7 - - 47.4 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.4 - - 52.1 - - 60.6 - - 57.3 - - 50.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.2 - - 41.1 - - 47.4 - - 46.1 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 10 - - 47 - - -17 - - -61 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 350 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96294 25 096 19 079 18 059 20 090 31 109 96294 89384 34 079 26 088 20 102 18 081 29 086 89384 84000 28 086 22 085 22 090 23 084 23 084 84000 79484 26 084 17 081 15 059 27 077 25 080 79484 75572 28 076 22 090 8 075 14 061 21 074 75572 72088 22 066 21 083 16 096 8 066 13 052 72088 68900 9 057 14 081 21 087 13 081 16 078 68900 65976 1 013 8 049 16 066 16 048 21 063 65976 63307 16 058 7 053 4 084 9 006 7 035 63307 60743 27 045 20 062 20 089 8 152 7 277 60743 58058 14 015 19 028 26 056 27 076 20 105 58058 55283 10 291 18 319 21 009 23 044 23 081 55283 52656 10 108 2 225 20 335 21 004 14 038 52656 50275 29 077 24 107 5 171 11 317 19 014 50275 48103 39 064 38 094 22 126 10 167 9 357 48103 46102 44 056 44 082 34 113 26 144 7 180 46102 44253 36 066 43 073 37 105 31 135 16 163 44253 42537 25 088 33 072 32 099 30 124 21 157 42537 40947 16 114 21 078 24 091 24 100 28 135 40947 39476 31 161 19 134 16 108 17 102 24 100 39476 38112 34 160 30 154 22 148 23 169 13 149 38112 36796 42 153 35 157 30 161 35 170 25 172 36796 35453 44 143 39 144 33 162 36 167 36 176 35453 34055 41 133 38 132 29 160 35 169 37 176 34055 32604 40 129 35 133 31 153 37 174 33 176 32604 31083 34 124 30 138 31 152 37 175 31 176 31083 29479 26 125 23 138 26 145 31 172 30 175 29479 27793 22 133 19 133 22 139 25 162 24 168 27793 26025 19 133 17 119 21 130 23 143 22 151 26025 24178 17 113 20 116 24 121 27 132 23 133 24178 22252 18 110 23 123 27 122 29 123 25 124 22252 20242 17 113 23 131 24 129 24 124 20 115 20242 18139 17 112 18 139 17 140 17 123 17 103 18139 15984 17 110 15 151 12 140 10 109 13 094 15984 13898 18 112 16 150 10 143 8 094 9 080 13898 11997 15 120 16 146 9 159 4 068 6 056 11997 10305 13 142 14 149 9 163 2 054 8 041 10305 8800 10 161 10 156 7 161 3 074 9 051 8800 7463 6 172 8 158 6 178 4 102 8 068 7463 6276 3 156 6 163 6 196 5 123 5 081 6276 5229 3 115 6 169 6 199 4 143 2 075 5229 4310 2 061 6 161 6 192 3 157 2 055 4310 3505 4 002 5 146 6 182 2 154 3 022 3505 2792 5 358 3 130 4 175 2 111 4 036 2792 2166 4 037 4 103 3 141 5 087 8 060 2166 1647 6 063 6 096 4 084 9 079 14 063 1647 1252 10 064 11 079 6*063 12 072 16 063 1252 983 10 062 11 072 6*059 11 068 16 065 983 820 8*058 9 069 5 060 9*068 12 065 820 728 3*053 6*069 4 059 5*067 7*065 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography