DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 56.2 - - 52.8 - - 44.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 41 - - -19 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 566 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top - - - 728 - - 1278 - - 728 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 450 - - 446 - - 667 - - 116 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 21 - - 127 - - 17 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 058 - - 063 - - 073 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - -4 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2506 - - -2289 - - -1812 - - -2043 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3234 - - 3567 - - 2540 - - 2771 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13462 - - -12806 - - -11567 - - -14865 ODpotential blCL - - - 14190 - - 14084 - - 12295 - - 15593 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 58 - - 62 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 56.2 - - 52.8 - - 44.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.3 - - 43.5 - - 44.6 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 55.9 - - 53.7 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.1 - - 42.2 - - 43.3 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 41 - - -19 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 566 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96679 28 059 23 048 33 045 41 059 96679 89563 24 064 22 052 32 047 46 060 89563 84047 20 036 24 053 27 058 36 067 84047 79425 12 014 26 029 24 045 24 056 79425 75428 10 049 17 023 20 033 16 022 75428 71907 10 044 10 035 12 035 7 028 71907 68702 15 018 12 016 16 018 9 026 68702 65741 10 019 8 009 12 014 14 003 65741 63001 11 045 14 009 9 033 12 002 63001 60346 19 006 20 348 13 010 12 003 60346 57582 12 020 13 341 14 348 11 004 57582 54725 6 075 6 338 11 319 6 043 54725 51987 14 043 11 009 13 355 12 043 51987 49528 19 027 14 022 12 012 15 023 49528 47354 15 078 7 036 6 012 10 044 47354 45413 26 067 31 059 22 086 15 093 45413 43646 48 045 42 050 34 065 25 100 43646 42009 59 042 43 051 39 054 30 087 42009 40481 57 044 42 061 42 053 36 070 40481 39049 54 056 46 062 45 054 42 060 39049 37699 56 065 48 056 47 055 44 058 37699 36389 57 070 46 052 47 055 43 062 36389 35052 59 071 45 052 46 059 41 074 35052 33659 59 069 45 056 45 065 40 082 33659 32214 59 065 46 060 44 068 37 080 32214 30702 60 063 45 065 42 073 34 082 30702 29110 61 069 45 067 42 076 34 086 29110 27434 54 070 46 071 42 078 35 082 27434 25675 43 076 44 075 40 082 36 080 25675 23838 36 078 34 069 34 082 33 082 23838 21925 33 078 25 078 26 079 28 082 21925 19929 32 081 25 082 23 084 25 079 19929 17841 33 081 27 077 24 089 23 082 17841 15705 34 084 27 078 25 092 22 089 15705 13641 29 092 24 091 23 099 21 098 13641 11762 20 100 18 093 18 106 17 109 11762 10094 12 108 12 085 12 108 11 108 10094 8618 9 112 7 078 7 100 5 095 8618 7312 9 115 3 140 3 066 1 011 7312 6159 7 134 5 203 4 289 4 308 6159 5141 7 162 7 229 7 281 5 310 5141 4249 8 174 9 238 9 283 6 324 4249 3463 7 176 8 244 9 298 7 339 3463 2764 4 169 5 265 7 325 7 355 2764 2148 4 122 2 019 6 009 9 032 2148 1637 8 088 7*056 10 046 16 049 1637 1247 13 066 9*058 12 058 17 055 1247 981 13 059 8 058 11 060 14 066 981 820 11 059 8 059 9 061 11*072 820 728 6*058 6 059 5*063 5*073 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography