DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 72.4 - - 69.8 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 409 - - 224 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2172 - - 3634 - - 2244 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1972 - - 3200 - - 1953 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2885 - - 4347 - - 2957 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1521 - - 1856 - - 1663 - - 1359 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 342 - - 463 - - 323 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 281 - - 269 - - 291 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -6 - - -7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -777 - - -1937 - - -3039 - - -1687 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3662 - - 6284 - - 5996 - - 2416 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2412 - - -5214 - - -8051 - - -6318 ODpotential blCL - - - 5297 - - 9561 - - 11008 - - 7047 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 60 - - 54 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 72.4 - - 69.8 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.6 - - 47.3 - - 46.1 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.4 - - 70.1 - - 68.4 - - 59.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 46.8 - - 45.7 - - 51.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 272 - - 409 - - 224 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2172 - - 3634 - - 2244 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98968 15 143 6 104 11 120 11 106 98968 91531 12 118 9 132 11 113 10 095 91531 85787 15 101 14 140 8 129 7 087 85787 81019 16 094 14 129 13 108 9 118 81019 76913 18 096 14 116 15 109 12 116 76913 73279 11 096 16 119 10 111 12 111 73279 69989 6 135 10 116 7 098 8 132 69989 66962 9 138 9 151 5 164 9 125 66962 64141 7 219 8 215 11 223 9 214 64141 61410 11 201 17 219 13 240 11 215 61410 58565 14 224 18 230 16 246 15 243 58565 55623 22 250 24 236 26 240 29 254 55623 52837 29 260 28 249 34 240 36 246 52837 50338 39 258 38 264 38 252 38 246 50338 48096 47 253 49 259 45 260 42 252 48096 46060 50 254 55 256 53 260 49 255 46060 44195 52 256 58 254 58 258 55 252 44195 42476 56 256 60 253 62 255 60 250 42476 40883 60 255 64 252 65 254 65 250 40883 39396 64 255 68 251 69 253 70 250 39396 37996 65 254 70 252 70 252 73 250 37996 36641 64 253 68 252 68 250 73 250 36641 35262 63 252 67 252 64 251 71 250 35262 33833 62 253 67 252 63 253 67 251 33833 32355 62 253 67 251 62 254 64 252 32355 30810 61 253 66 252 61 255 60 253 30810 29185 58 253 63 253 58 257 56 254 29185 27481 51 256 55 255 52 258 47 258 27481 25701 46 260 47 254 45 256 43 259 25701 23842 44 260 44 255 42 253 42 253 23842 21904 45 256 44 255 43 254 42 253 21904 19883 45 256 45 255 42 254 40 255 19883 17776 43 256 42 256 39 254 36 254 17776 15631 35 254 35 258 33 259 29 259 15631 13571 25 257 21 257 20 258 17 256 13571 11708 17 261 13 263 12 255 12 244 11708 10063 16 267 10 266 9 247 12 235 10063 8608 16 263 10 256 9 250 11 251 8608 7317 13 263 10 253 8 241 12 270 7317 6170 9 268 7 247 7 223 13 277 6170 5157 6 273 5*245 7 221 10 272 5157 4266 4 279 5*257 6 246 8 257 4266 3481 4*289 6 265 7*275 8 257 3481 2781 5*288 7 270 11*290 10 288 2781 2164 5 285 7 272 12 292 12 299 2164 1651 5 281 8 272 12 291 13 295 1651 1257 5 278 8 272 12 290 11 286 1257 987 5 275 8 272 12 290 10 281 987 823 5 274 8 271 11 289 8 278 823 729 4 274 7 272 9 288 5*276 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography