DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 78.7 - - - - - 62.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 289 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 649 - - 1236 - - - - - 279 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1332 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1363 - - 1950 - - - - - 992 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 393 - - 1006 - - - - - 288 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 205 - - 294 - - - - - 57 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 283 - - - - - 280 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3491 - - -5395 - - - - - -1703 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4855 - - 7345 - - - - - 2695 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9660 - - -10138 - - - - - -9421 ODpotential blCL - - - 11023 - - 12088 - - - - - 10413 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 53 - - - - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.5 - - 78.7 - - - - - 62.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.0 - - 49.2 - - - - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.3 - - 76.9 - - - - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 47.9 - - - - - 52.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 179 - - 289 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 649 - - 1236 - - - - - 279 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98127 5 064 4 084 1 329 98127 90728 7 128 4 251 7 089 90728 84994 8 121 11 202 7 009 84994 80235 7 131 7 156 2 333 80235 76154 7 143 4 102 3 104 76154 72540 3 196 3 353 3 113 72540 69261 1 075 4 273 6 019 69261 66250 4 031 1 296 8 348 66250 63459 11 004 5 022 7 328 63459 60759 13 331 10 000 12 347 60759 57958 11 350 11 339 14 338 57958 55069 19 356 17 346 16 350 55069 52323 21 346 21 341 21 357 52323 49864 16 360 19 340 25 355 49864 47686 19 030 17 019 24 338 47686 45739 32 040 21 023 21 325 45739 43964 33 037 22 020 26 333 43964 42319 33 033 24 015 34 337 42319 40777 32 029 27 013 36 336 40777 39324 32 027 29 012 34 334 39324 37947 33 027 29 013 32 333 37947 36613 34 026 28 015 31 334 36613 35252 33 022 28 017 30 332 35252 33837 29 016 27 017 29 330 33837 32371 25 017 27 014 27 329 32371 30839 29 021 27 012 25 330 30839 29225 33 016 28 012 24 332 29225 27534 29 018 26 013 24 334 27534 25766 27 019 26 011 23 337 25766 23923 28 015 26 008 23 340 23923 22007 25 013 23 003 24 340 22007 20010 21 014 19 356 22 344 20010 17924 17 022 14 358 19 346 17924 15794 12 044 7 011 16 350 15794 13741 6 010 7 327 9 345 13741 11874 4 260 8 287 5 344 11874 10218 5 212 8 252 4 345 10218 8747 4 186 8 225 4 284 8747 7438 3 177 7 212 7 256 7438 6275 2 235 5 214 8 256 6275 5245 3 288 3 236 9 263 5245 4336 3 308 3 276 10 272 4336 3534 3 303 5 287 10 278 3534 2817 4 280 7 283 10 281 2817 2184 6 263 8*282 11 279 2184 1659 7*270 9*283 12 281 1659 1261 7*276 9 284 10*282 1261 988 7 275 9 282 9*281 988 823 6 275 8 282 8 281 823 729 6 275 7 281 6 278 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography