DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/18 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 76.8 - - - - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 254 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2837 - - 4921 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2267 - - 4039 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3550 - - 5634 - - - - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1137 - - 1988 - - - - - 4462 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 320 - - 449 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 13 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 024 - - - - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5735 - - -5970 - - - - - -7743 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9285 - - 11604 - - - - - 8472 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14502 - - -12993 - - - - - -11914 ODpotential blCL - - - 18052 - - 18627 - - - - - 12643 blCL maxRH - - - 26 - - 36 - - - - - 21 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 76.8 - - - - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 28.0 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 75.3 - - - - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 26.8 - - - - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 151 - - 254 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2837 - - 4921 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98118 3 318 4 328 6 314 98118 90708 9 217 9 285 6 000 90708 84991 5 238 11 251 5 008 84991 80236 4 329 10 175 7 320 80236 76153 1 182 3 097 5 275 76153 72548 0 104 6 307 5 086 72548 69263 10 132 9 286 5 023 69263 66229 8 003 4 251 8 310 66229 63418 18 328 6 305 9 273 63418 60695 22 309 14 309 6 306 60695 57848 19 286 17 290 17 320 57848 54905 15 283 20 293 23 311 54905 52115 18 298 25 299 21 308 52115 49613 24 293 26 302 24 308 49613 47368 33 295 34 299 32 307 47368 45340 41 290 40 289 42 311 45340 43500 50 287 50 299 48 308 43500 41816 58 284 53 293 49 306 41816 40257 58 283 52 306 49 309 40257 38796 56 287 56 311 52 309 38796 37423 57 293 57 309 53 308 37423 36097 57 297 57 307 53 309 36097 34750 55 300 58 305 53 311 34750 33354 52 306 60 305 51 315 33354 31909 56 309 61 307 49 321 31909 30401 58 307 60 312 48 327 30401 28812 53 305 59 317 48 330 28812 27144 48 310 58 326 51 338 27144 25394 45 323 50 334 49 343 25394 23572 44 341 40 332 44 341 23572 21683 41 342 40 325 41 343 21683 19720 42 341 41 332 38 348 19720 17675 38 349 38 342 32 349 17675 15588 34 003 31 003 27 358 15588 13575 31 006 30 018 26 012 13575 11743 29 023 28 034 23 018 11743 10116 30 041 21 039 20 017 10116 8671 24 052 13 033 19 025 8671 7385 17 065 9 048 20 027 7385 6241 14 076 10*038 20 022 6241 5226 14 082 13*028 20 016 5226 4329 15*070 14 025 20 012 4329 3536 18*055 14 025 20 009 3536 2826 20 047 14 024 19 007 2826 2198 20 045 14 024 17 004 2198 1673 20 044 13 023 15 359 1673 1271 19 044 13 022 12 350 1271 994 18 044 12 022 9 337 994 826 16 044 11 021 6 324 826 729 11 044 9 022 4*307 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography