DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 77.8 - - 75.4 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 337 - - 150 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 725 - - 1560 - - 1097 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1587 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1439 - - 2273 - - 1811 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 509 - - 541 - - 597 - - 603 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 328 - - 223 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 274 - - 276 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2654 - - -4070 - - -3881 - - -1338 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4093 - - 6343 - - 5692 - - 2067 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9995 - - -11266 - - -10833 - - -10696 ODpotential blCL - - - 11434 - - 13539 - - 12644 - - 11425 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 51 - - 53 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 70.6 - - 77.8 - - 75.4 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.4 - - 52.8 - - 53.2 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.1 - - 75.7 - - 74.2 - - 63.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.8 - - 52.3 - - 52.9 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 216 - - 337 - - 150 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 725 - - 1560 - - 1097 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98658 19 096 13 089 12 113 5 051 98658 91284 17 095 14 092 9 101 15 061 91284 85591 15 077 13 092 10 064 19 063 85591 80865 13 081 9 066 12 057 15 054 80865 76800 8 078 9 071 10 068 13 056 76800 73215 11 106 7 070 10 052 9 051 73215 69971 7 113 1 120 3 057 4 052 69971 66980 3 045 5 306 3 040 2 191 66980 64201 6 307 8 268 6 306 3 254 64201 61503 7 267 12 244 13 283 8 283 61503 58695 11 271 18 234 20 261 16 283 58695 55796 17 280 18 234 22 250 21 272 55796 53046 24 277 19 260 27 256 29 265 53046 50577 35 278 31 271 33 264 29 263 50577 48352 41 279 40 272 41 273 40 269 48352 46325 50 277 44 276 45 270 45 263 46325 44466 50 276 47 279 46 275 46 271 44466 42752 49 277 51 283 57 281 55 275 42752 41165 48 281 53 284 64 280 62 271 41165 39689 42 285 50 288 65 280 61 270 39689 38306 37 286 45 290 61 283 57 270 38306 36968 34 283 37 288 59 287 50 273 36968 35604 31 289 33 291 54 292 41 274 35604 34182 27 283 31 296 39 294 32 271 34182 32706 22 277 26 298 32 286 28 263 32706 31160 16 260 21 296 24 293 27 264 31160 29534 13 271 15 286 20 294 15 262 29534 27832 14 280 13 276 16 289 11 259 27832 26051 12 273 11 275 13 277 13 264 26051 24190 9 278 11 265 13 274 11 274 24190 22247 6 275 9 224 10 272 6 263 22247 20218 6 256 8 196 8 240 6 205 20218 18100 6 246 8 197 9 198 9 183 18100 15939 5 275 2 199 4 174 7 161 15939 13856 3 301 2 006 1 088 6 137 13856 11963 2 048 3 031 3 064 6 118 11963 10284 7 053 6 053 5 072 7 108 10284 8795 10 040 8 050 6 066 6 077 8795 7475 11 034 9 040 6 044 9 042 7475 6304 12 027 9 027 7 023 11 034 6304 5266 11 022 9 018 9 014 10 021 5266 4352 9 016 10 011 10 002 8 357 4352 3545 8 010 8 000 9 350 10 330 3545 2824 7 354 6*325 9 321 11 310 2824 2189 5 306 8*281 9*294 11 292 2189 1663 7*261 8 275 9*279 11 273 1663 1263 7*258 8 272 10 276 12 258 1263 989 7 257 8 271 9 274 11 252 989 824 7 256 8 270 9 273 9 248 824 729 6 255 7 269 7 272 5*248 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography