DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 60.1 - - 60.0 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 87 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1053 - - 2803 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 712 - - 1985 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1765 - - 3515 - - 729 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1237 - - 1502 - - 4699 - - 1564 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 173 - - 275 - - 26 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 17 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 011 - - 002 - - 345 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2302 - - -1486 - - -3830 - - -1722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4067 - - 5001 - - 4559 - - 2451 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7302 - - -7029 - - -6288 - - -5649 ODpotential blCL - - - 9067 - - 10544 - - 7017 - - 6378 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 52 - - 53 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.5 - - 60.1 - - 60.0 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.6 - - 41.0 - - 42.8 - - 45.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 59.6 - - 60.6 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 39.8 - - 41.6 - - 43.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 58 - - 87 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1053 - - 2803 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96271 31 292 29 287 25 298 21 300 96271 89191 18 293 15 291 21 305 14 332 89191 83748 12 325 14 283 17 294 15 333 83748 79209 9 348 7 237 11 275 20 316 79209 75302 10 323 3 318 5 247 17 294 75302 71844 13 313 17 305 7 339 10 317 71844 68684 17 293 19 287 22 309 19 321 68684 65751 17 273 16 273 25 289 19 302 65751 63004 15 282 15 285 22 284 20 305 63004 60322 24 299 21 295 23 291 26 305 60322 57513 31 289 27 287 24 286 27 300 57513 54588 33 290 28 286 25 298 29 302 54588 51786 40 295 36 296 33 301 32 303 51786 49259 40 294 42 294 35 303 32 306 49259 46994 38 305 39 297 35 314 26 325 46994 44939 41 311 36 307 42 326 33 345 44939 43059 41 320 35 323 48 332 42 348 43059 41340 48 329 44 332 47 334 44 346 41340 39769 54 326 46 329 43 334 50 356 39769 38315 52 323 43 329 42 348 57 009 38315 36952 43 329 42 331 49 005 64 016 36952 35635 45 351 40 337 59 014 73 021 35635 34298 55 355 39 349 60 015 67 024 34298 32916 62 350 43 356 55 015 53 027 32916 31491 63 346 46 355 47 015 39 021 31491 30007 63 346 45 349 41 015 34 006 30007 28448 62 348 43 344 35 011 36 358 28448 26811 61 351 44 341 29 353 36 355 26811 25097 61 351 46 341 29 346 36 350 25097 23305 62 353 46 343 33 347 37 347 23305 21440 63 360 46 347 37 347 37 353 21440 19498 61 003 47 351 39 348 39 360 19498 17471 57 003 50 359 37 354 40 001 17471 15400 54 004 48 005 37 001 40 001 15400 13398 49 006 42 008 38 007 40 004 13398 11573 44 006 38 008 37 012 39 011 11573 9952 40 005 35 007 35 017 37 019 9952 8515 36 005 32 007 34 021 33 025 8515 7240 33 009 28 012 31 020 29 027 7240 6109 31 016 25 020 27 014 26 022 6109 5111 29 022 23 020 25 004 28 017 5111 4232 27 025 21*011 23 356 32 016 4232 3458 26 023 18*003 22 353 33 015 3458 2766 26 019 18 002 21 352 31 012 2766 2155 25*017 17 002 20 351 26 008 2155 1645 21*013 17 001 19 350 21 003 1645 1254 18 011 16 001 17 349 17 358 1254 985 16 011 15 000 15 348 12 352 985 822 14 010 13 360 13*347 8*346 822 729 10 010 10 359 9*345 4*330 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography