DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 80.7 - - 81.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 67 - - -16 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 349 - - 1374 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 714 - - 714 - - 714 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1063 - - 2088 - - 731 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 720 - - 1474 - - 3141 - - 662 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 205 - - 26 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 053 - - 057 - - 001 - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2905 - - -3532 - - -5407 - - -2210 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3968 - - 5621 - - 6138 - - 2940 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10448 - - -10000 - - -11177 - - -10180 ODpotential blCL - - - 11511 - - 12088 - - 11908 - - 10910 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 47 - - 39 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.4 - - 80.7 - - 81.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.7 - - 58.9 - - 57.3 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.0 - - 80.2 - - 82.5 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 57.4 - - 56.1 - - 59.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 41 - - 67 - - -16 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 349 - - 1374 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96729 18 312 26 283 29 289 18 328 96729 89544 6 223 14 291 10 306 7 030 89544 84056 3 157 5 271 3 051 3 115 84056 79535 2 166 6 237 2 354 2 068 79535 75632 1 085 4 163 4 187 4 284 75632 72174 3 334 3 303 4 202 7 295 72174 69046 2 228 8 272 10 274 11 290 69046 66180 6 311 6 295 10 292 9 290 66180 63539 14 287 13 283 13 285 12 297 63539 60985 18 286 18 285 14 275 13 285 60985 58311 20 279 22 280 19 282 15 278 58311 55531 19 262 23 265 26 274 22 271 55531 52874 22 268 25 266 30 269 28 270 52874 50465 23 263 28 261 33 268 33 260 50465 48285 23 267 26 246 33 252 33 245 48285 46293 27 268 25 254 27 245 32 245 46293 44462 38 254 36 259 34 250 34 246 44462 42775 47 242 45 248 43 242 39 244 42775 41215 55 241 51 243 50 240 47 241 41215 39759 57 241 53 243 51 233 49 236 39759 38385 57 240 52 242 48 232 47 232 38385 37055 57 243 50 243 47 232 46 231 37055 35702 58 246 51 247 48 234 46 233 35702 34293 56 247 50 248 48 234 46 234 34293 32829 49 249 45 247 46 236 44 233 32829 31294 45 253 39 246 44 235 44 232 31294 29675 40 247 35 242 40 232 44 230 29675 27976 38 241 36 240 36 233 42 229 27976 26197 37 241 35 240 34 237 39 231 26197 24336 35 243 33 242 32 239 37 235 24336 22395 32 239 31 239 29 236 32 238 22395 20368 28 241 28 239 29 239 27 236 20368 18250 21 250 22 244 25 246 24 241 18250 16086 12 245 14 239 16 247 15 237 16086 14000 8 236 10 231 10 236 10 220 14000 12100 7 247 8 243 7 243 7 217 12100 10406 7 259 7 263 4 266 3 237 10406 8899 5 269 4 267 1 010 1 020 8899 7558 3 268 2 231 4 048 4 032 7558 6369 2 255 1 176 4 047 5 034 6369 5320 1 236 2 150 4 045 6 040 5320 4398 2 181 2 164 4 027 9 042 4398 3586 2 165 3 162 6 010 11 036 3586 2861 3 130 2 112 7 001 10 026 2861 2221 4 104 4*059 7 000 8 008 2221 1688 5 079 5*057 7 360 8 350 1688 1278 7*057 5 057 6 000 8 338 1278 997 6*053 5 057 6 001 7 326 997 827 5 052 5 057 5*001 4 313 827 730 4 053 4 059 4*001 3*301 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography