DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 74.4 - - 72.2 - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 422 - - 294 - - 53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 1358 - - 1155 - - 592 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1138 - - 1494 - - 1265 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1738 - - 2072 - - 1869 - - 1305 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 393 - - 443 - - 446 - - 430 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 262 - - 338 - - 284 - - 129 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 14 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 271 - - 275 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -557 - - -1918 - - -1750 - - -509 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2295 - - 3991 - - 3619 - - 1814 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10389 - - -10055 - - -10570 - - -12096 ODpotential blCL - - - 12127 - - 12127 - - 12439 - - 13401 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 75 - - 78 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 74.4 - - 72.2 - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.8 - - 59.4 - - 58.7 - - 54.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.8 - - 72.1 - - 70.3 - - 60.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 58.9 - - 58.4 - - 54.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 422 - - 294 - - 53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1025 - - 1358 - - 1155 - - 592 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 1 - - 13 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98702 25 121 29 106 31 112 27 114 98702 91213 28 117 25 114 19 113 25 091 91213 85471 26 115 19 115 19 114 22 090 85471 80716 24 108 16 128 19 098 22 100 80716 76627 19 100 19 123 12 107 21 095 76627 73034 16 099 16 115 13 131 11 092 73034 69801 15 101 15 115 16 123 9 137 69801 66841 11 106 11 120 12 102 13 108 66841 64106 8 119 8 130 5 124 8 078 64106 61466 7 134 3 132 2 175 2 044 61466 58724 4 154 3 228 5 251 6 285 58724 55887 4 261 7 241 10 244 12 250 55887 53185 11 273 11 252 14 254 17 256 53185 50753 19 268 15 250 18 254 24 262 50753 48563 23 267 19 254 22 263 28 267 48563 46562 23 265 23 263 25 268 29 268 46562 44717 24 266 24 264 25 267 27 269 44717 43003 20 262 23 267 26 266 27 270 43003 41399 10 241 18 267 27 263 30 267 41399 39890 13 157 9 227 19 258 29 257 39890 38471 18 135 11 149 11 219 23 249 38471 37105 25 127 18 125 20 151 15 228 37105 35726 28 123 21 124 20 146 16 178 35726 34301 28 124 20 127 16 150 19 170 34301 32827 25 129 17 131 14 153 22 177 32827 31285 20 135 14 133 13 146 17 182 31285 29660 17 139 11 123 13 128 11 176 29660 27954 17 132 11 129 14 125 11 165 27954 26165 18 122 16 135 15 132 13 151 26165 24297 20 122 20 141 15 143 14 153 24297 22353 19 131 21 147 16 152 15 155 22353 20329 14 147 17 154 16 153 16 152 20329 18219 16 173 14 174 13 164 14 158 18219 16064 15 174 16 179 12 173 11 166 16064 13981 8 128 8 148 9 143 7 142 13981 12078 8 057 11 089 12 100 10 107 12078 10379 8 050 12 071 14 074 11 064 10379 8868 5 044 9 066 13 065 14 041 8868 7521 3 040 5 058 9 059 13 046 7521 6325 3 060 2 094 3 054 7 046 6325 5269 3 117 4 216 7 268 5 285 5269 4341 6 161 11 236 16 262 14 274 4341 3525 10 186 14 218 17 238 15 247 3525 2801 13 207 15 217 17 228 18 224 2801 2170 12*224 12*239 16*244 19 232 2170 1652 8*254 11*267 15*271 16*257 1652 1258 8 264 11 271 14 276 14*276 1258 987 7 267 11 272 14 277 13 278 987 823 7 267 11 272 13 278 12 278 823 729 6 268 9 273 11 277 9 279 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography