DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/09 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.8 - - 66.9 - - 76.2 - - 71.8 - - 61.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -75 - - 86 - - 130 - - 1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 314 - - 639 - - 138 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 713 - - 714 - - 713 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1028 - - 1353 - - 852 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 136 - - 288 - - 750 - - 844 - - 120 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 124 - - 179 - - 32 - - 1 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 9 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 073 - - 080 - - 061 - - 056 - - 055 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -7 - - -4 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1551 - - -3026 - - -4777 - - -3827 - - -2071 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2280 - - 4054 - - 6130 - - 4679 - - 2800 sfcLCL ODpotential -12355 - - -11170 - - -11239 - - -10366 - - -10990 ODpotential blCL 13084 - - 12198 - - 12592 - - 11218 - - 11719 blCL maxRH 62 - - 60 - - 45 - - 51 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.8 - - 66.9 - - 76.2 - - 71.8 - - 61.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.7 - - 52.1 - - 52.3 - - 54.3 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.0 - - 66.2 - - 75.2 - - 72.1 - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.5 - - 51.5 - - 51.6 - - 53.8 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -75 - - 86 - - 130 - - 1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 314 - - 639 - - 138 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96852 15 100 9 054 12 035 6 105 5 027 96852 89702 19 079 16 071 10 100 7 048 11 032 89702 84157 15 077 16 069 10 078 14 056 11 081 84157 79560 14 070 12 065 11 052 18 069 11 087 79560 75595 12 043 7 058 10 016 15 054 14 049 75595 72089 19 036 6 084 6 344 10 014 16 002 72089 68925 17 355 13 023 10 041 8 021 9 353 68925 66025 14 329 15 334 13 358 13 003 6 016 66025 63337 5 359 8 337 9 316 14 313 7 314 63337 60741 8 347 7 329 9 274 18 282 11 287 60741 58047 23 295 13 307 14 281 20 296 13 294 58047 55253 33 279 23 288 23 287 27 294 24 291 55253 52581 36 267 31 274 33 276 34 279 34 277 52581 50174 33 269 34 270 34 264 36 262 39 268 50174 48019 28 267 34 269 31 263 33 254 38 258 48019 46077 23 267 28 258 28 251 30 249 33 255 46077 44313 22 269 23 249 23 237 30 244 35 253 44313 42690 27 251 23 237 22 236 26 241 31 248 42690 41167 31 238 27 224 24 225 22 234 27 244 41167 39724 28 229 30 211 28 214 23 233 27 238 39724 38356 28 219 31 204 30 212 26 225 30 230 38356 37027 25 209 29 206 29 212 27 223 30 227 37027 35669 19 200 28 207 28 216 27 224 30 225 35669 34254 15 200 27 209 27 221 26 223 29 224 34254 32784 16 214 26 212 25 226 26 223 30 225 32784 31245 15 218 24 214 25 233 25 226 31 227 31245 29622 11 208 21 207 24 233 26 230 30 228 29622 27917 10 193 20 203 22 227 25 226 26 229 27917 26128 10 181 19 207 21 221 24 221 23 230 26128 24259 10 184 17 217 20 220 22 219 18 232 24259 22313 10 174 13 212 14 219 17 213 14 213 22313 20281 9 153 11 185 10 196 14 202 13 197 20281 18158 8 143 10 164 11 169 13 181 14 191 18158 15991 8 127 9 138 13 156 15 163 15 185 15991 13906 10 113 11 125 15 142 16 153 17 164 13906 12011 11 127 9 138 14 140 15 151 19 164 12011 10327 12 163 9 182 13 151 16 160 21 168 10327 8832 17 189 17 194 18 175 20 170 22 168 8832 7503 21 193 21 195 23 185 23 175 20 170 7503 6324 20 192 18 196 23 189 20 180 17 172 6324 5282 17 189 14 200 21 191 15 179 12 172 5282 4365 12 186 11 206 18 191 10 175 7 153 4365 3557 9 181 9 206 13 189 5 179 5 120 3557 2835 7 172 8 193 8 186 1 145 3 101 2835 2201 6 155 7 173 3 161 4 067 2 063 2201 1673 7 133 7 140 4*068 6 062 3 053 1673 1269 13 100 11*087 6*061 8 056 6 053 1269 992 15 081 10*080 6 061 8*056 6 053 992 825 12 074 10 080 6 061 7*057 6 055 825 729 8*073 7 079 5 061 5 056 4*055 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography