DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 68.5 - - - - - 55.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 289 - - 397 - - - - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2665 - - 5685 - - - - - 965 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2363 - - 4807 - - - - - 712 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3377 - - 6397 - - - - - 1677 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3055 - - 3705 - - - - - 822 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 377 - - 537 - - - - - 103 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 267 - - - - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -7 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -537 - - 281 - - - - - -423 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3914 - - 6117 - - - - - 2100 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1305 - - -681 - - - - - -2963 ODpotential blCL - - - 4682 - - 7078 - - - - - 4640 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 71 - - - - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 170 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.7 - - 68.5 - - - - - 55.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.9 - - 43.9 - - - - - 49.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.9 - - 66.2 - - - - - 55.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.9 - - 42.8 - - - - - 49.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 289 - - 397 - - - - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2665 - - 5685 - - - - - 965 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98619 10 136 9 120 17 114 98619 91157 21 142 9 123 8 078 91157 85407 17 139 8 071 5 064 85407 80651 14 129 11 107 12 102 80651 76554 10 083 13 141 16 108 76554 72930 8 066 12 164 10 086 72930 69646 3 125 15 151 10 086 69646 66611 10 154 7 136 9 096 66611 63778 8 150 4 197 6 155 63778 61027 7 178 2 176 9 190 61027 58149 8 122 2 253 5 176 58149 55157 6 050 2 099 3 247 55157 52303 9 013 3 017 3 350 52303 49736 12 360 4 318 5 282 49736 47434 19 343 9 003 7 324 47434 45342 26 322 19 340 11 306 45342 43422 17 308 20 324 13 007 43422 41648 19 342 17 332 17 349 41648 39996 26 348 18 335 15 349 39996 38448 23 352 17 009 23 355 38448 36995 21 352 20 007 21 354 36995 35603 21 347 20 017 29 014 35603 34201 22 003 27 033 34 019 34201 32758 29 013 42 029 42 023 32758 31288 26 007 46 026 58 022 31288 29782 24 028 49 027 84 021 29782 28218 46 043 53 032 92 023 28218 26582 53 043 57 041 90 025 26582 24872 50 044 47 041 72 030 24872 23093 46 053 32 039 48 031 23093 21246 42 061 23 030 36 019 21246 19322 31 072 21 016 32 017 19322 17313 19 066 17 015 22 025 17313 15261 16 045 14 354 17 014 15261 13281 18 033 13 331 13 019 13281 11483 16 020 8 336 6 036 11483 9887 12 358 6 347 3 120 9887 8470 11 342 5 327 3 173 8470 7209 10 337 5*297 3 223 7209 6088 8 333 6*277 5 245 6088 5095 6 317 7 270 8 255 5095 4219 4 283 8 265 11 269 4219 3446 5*255 9 264 14 277 3446 2755 6*247 9 265 14 279 2755 2146 6 243 10 266 14*276 2146 1640 7 243 10 267 13*274 1640 1251 7 241 10 267 13 274 1251 984 7 242 10 267 12 273 984 822 6 242 9 268 10 273 822 729 6 242 8 267 7 273 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography