DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.6 - - 59.4 - - 65.4 - - 63.4 - - 54.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 95 - - 180 - - 27 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1045 - - 2837 - - 2246 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 713 - - 2298 - - 713 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1758 - - 3550 - - 2959 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 341 - - 1551 - - 1496 - - 1578 - - 988 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 193 - - 327 - - 161 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 018 - - 336 - - 330 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -195 - - -1255 - - -1331 - - -414 - - -456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 923 - - 3013 - - 4881 - - 3373 - - 1185 sfcLCL ODpotential -5803 - - -4007 - - -10228 - - -2494 - - -4354 ODpotential blCL 6531 - - 5765 - - 13778 - - 5453 - - 5083 blCL maxRH 83 - - 73 - - 78 - - 83 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.6 - - 59.4 - - 65.4 - - 63.4 - - 54.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.2 - - 48.8 - - 46.6 - - 51.2 - - 52.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.8 - - 58.6 - - 64.2 - - 63.4 - - 57.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.5 - - 47.9 - - 46.0 - - 50.8 - - 52.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 95 - - 180 - - 27 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1045 - - 2837 - - 2246 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 0 - - 12 - - 32 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96696 40 278 45 292 34 280 37 279 45 292 96696 89644 19 284 23 286 28 296 23 281 36 296 89644 84162 19 266 18 281 25 280 20 283 28 294 84162 79601 20 264 16 275 21 268 22 282 25 295 79601 75658 24 275 19 280 17 269 21 286 25 295 75658 72156 25 275 27 282 16 281 22 293 22 295 72156 68968 19 276 23 271 19 296 20 304 17 308 68968 66026 14 297 18 274 22 299 20 300 18 307 66026 63292 18 298 15 284 18 298 19 284 18 300 63292 60643 21 305 12 305 18 298 17 287 20 293 60643 57890 25 299 22 302 25 289 27 293 25 291 57890 55042 28 296 27 298 29 286 29 285 32 293 55042 52321 36 301 34 304 31 288 35 285 37 287 52321 49859 41 299 39 298 38 292 39 292 36 288 49859 47634 42 303 42 295 43 288 46 289 39 290 47634 45608 51 305 42 295 42 289 43 284 42 288 45608 43755 59 298 47 293 45 291 48 283 46 287 43755 42051 62 294 54 293 47 288 52 278 50 289 42051 40477 64 298 55 297 44 291 47 275 56 273 40477 39013 68 302 55 303 41 299 40 280 47 264 39013 37644 69 304 54 304 41 301 39 283 42 269 37644 36326 67 306 52 301 42 299 37 283 42 270 36326 34988 63 306 48 299 40 297 36 287 40 271 34988 33594 58 307 45 302 37 300 36 292 38 275 33594 32148 53 306 41 306 36 305 35 297 38 276 32148 30634 51 303 39 305 35 306 35 302 38 279 30634 29042 49 301 40 302 36 306 34 303 39 284 29042 27371 48 304 39 303 38 309 32 296 41 289 27371 25616 46 311 38 305 40 305 33 293 40 294 25616 23778 44 320 37 304 38 308 36 300 34 300 23778 21861 44 325 34 309 35 313 35 307 30 303 21861 19860 44 325 30 321 27 309 31 313 26 307 19860 17771 40 335 27 327 20 308 26 312 20 306 17771 15639 35 340 25 332 21 317 24 314 20 318 15639 13583 31 339 22 331 19 327 22 332 20 335 13583 11713 28 342 18 332 16 334 19 346 19 347 11713 10056 22 349 15 350 11 349 14 346 17 354 10056 8593 12 007 10 014 6 360 10 346 13 352 8593 7299 7 056 5 043 3 332 10 343 12 352 7299 6156 9 060 6 054 2 325 10 345 12 345 6156 5147 9 042 8 038 3 016 11 355 13 346 5147 4260 9 027 10 020 7*358 11 355 12 357 4260 3478 9 023 10 006 9*342 11*348 11 005 3478 2779 10 036 10 003 9 339 11*337 10 001 2779 2162 13 044 10*013 10 336 10 332 10 345 2162 1649 19 038 9*016 10 334 10 329 10 330 1649 1256 20 038 8 018 9 332 10 327 10 320 1256 986 15 041 7 019 9 331 9 326 9 313 986 822 11 045 6 020 8 330 8 325 6*306 822 729 5*047 5 020 7 330 6 324 4*299 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography