DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 MtDiablo 711ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.8 - - 52.0 - - 55.8 - - 53.3 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -50 - - 53 - - 85 - - -13 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 348 - - 584 - - 115 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 711 - - 712 - - 712 - - 712 - - 711 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 1060 - - 1296 - - 828 - - 728 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 315 - - 350 - - 251 - - 497 - - 275 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 112 - - 155 - - 29 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 12 - - 12 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 071 - - 076 - - 074 - - 067 - - 074 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -10 - - -10 - - -8 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -197 - - -683 - - -874 - - -831 - - -541 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 925 - - 1743 - - 2170 - - 1659 - - 1269 sfcLCL ODpotential -12229 - - -10770 - - -10432 - - -10507 - - -12046 ODpotential blCL 12957 - - 11830 - - 11728 - - 11335 - - 12774 blCL maxRH 87 - - 83 - - 78 - - 79 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.8 - - 52.0 - - 55.8 - - 53.3 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.6 - - 47.3 - - 49.1 - - 48.9 - - 43.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.8 - - 51.6 - - 55.2 - - 54.0 - - 47.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.9 - - 46.4 - - 47.9 - - 48.3 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -50 - - 53 - - 85 - - -13 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 348 - - 584 - - 115 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 47 - - 32 - - 12 - - 18 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96337 19 071 20 056 12 101 9 090 4 093 96337 89294 13 081 8 069 11 070 5 124 10 071 89294 83811 12 085 2 354 10 018 3 033 11 071 83811 79236 10 063 1 030 5 353 4 014 7 041 79236 75279 7 039 6 293 9 340 5 032 6 017 75279 71783 5 040 10 281 15 317 13 350 13 016 71783 68619 9 001 8 272 16 303 16 324 13 005 68619 65701 16 330 15 315 18 307 19 317 15 348 65701 62990 19 322 17 317 18 309 21 307 15 325 62990 60368 20 309 21 326 20 314 23 303 19 312 60368 57635 24 307 23 322 20 314 23 297 22 299 57635 54797 30 306 30 323 24 312 26 299 27 294 54797 52084 33 305 34 312 29 301 31 291 28 293 52084 49638 29 297 33 301 30 304 34 288 30 298 49638 47447 23 302 31 290 31 297 31 282 35 289 47447 45467 20 307 13 284 20 269 26 284 32 279 45467 43665 13 310 11 350 11 229 19 262 20 270 43665 42008 15 296 4 299 10 210 18 230 26 265 42008 40471 21 219 9 200 13 198 21 213 27 235 40471 39042 17 172 18 166 20 180 22 226 25 230 39042 37700 20 142 23 163 21 179 30 239 25 242 37700 36401 18 130 23 159 23 190 33 237 31 249 36401 35077 17 127 23 156 28 188 32 236 32 248 35077 33695 16 131 23 146 29 184 30 242 33 245 33695 32256 18 141 24 140 27 184 30 246 29 245 32256 30746 19 153 23 144 26 194 29 240 27 244 30746 29152 25 175 28 184 28 206 27 234 26 238 29152 27477 28 190 33 200 32 209 26 234 24 236 27477 25722 26 200 31 208 33 210 23 242 20 241 25722 23888 22 216 26 212 32 210 20 243 17 243 23888 21985 19 225 26 218 26 218 13 254 10 234 21985 20004 13 237 18 233 16 249 9 286 5 249 20004 17931 20 297 17 296 16 292 11 296 8 279 17931 15808 26 309 21 314 18 308 13 305 10 300 15808 13753 27 314 22 319 16 314 13 308 11 311 13753 11877 24 316 21 323 15 318 13 307 12 320 11877 10207 21 317 19 327 14 326 12 318 12 330 10207 8721 16 322 15 332 12 333 10 338 9 349 8721 7401 11 333 10 334 9 331 9 344 8 359 7401 6230 8 343 6 324 7 323 9 343 9 000 6230 5196 8 353 4 322 7 326 10 347 11 357 5196 4288 9 002 4 343 6 348 10 357 13 357 4288 3490 9 007 4 010 7 012 8 007 13 360 3490 2779 9 018 4 008 7 020 8 027 13 013 2779 2154 11 051 6 080 8 060 9 049 13 031 2154 1638 18 080 15 089 13*075 13 071 15 059 1638 1247 21 081 16*081 14*074 15 071 18 078 1247 981 19 075 15*077 13 073 13*068 17 078 981 820 16*073 13 076 12 074 11*067 14*076 820 728 8*071 9 076 9 074 6 067 7*074 728 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography