DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 75.2 - - 74.3 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 167 - - 83 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 675 - - 1075 - - 764 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1059 - - 714 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1388 - - 1788 - - 1477 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 510 - - 596 - - 555 - - 574 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 195 - - 241 - - 173 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 268 - - 286 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - 3 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1798 - - -2386 - - -2501 - - -1073 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3186 - - 4175 - - 3978 - - 1802 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10584 - - -9162 - - -9506 - - -10761 ODpotential blCL - - - 11972 - - 10950 - - 10983 - - 11490 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 60 - - 60 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 75.2 - - 74.3 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 59.4 - - 59.4 - - 56.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 74.0 - - 73.5 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 58.1 - - 58.1 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 145 - - 167 - - 83 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 675 - - 1075 - - 764 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 19 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97913 15 208 8 233 5 221 14 186 97913 90489 10 185 12 207 8 222 4 273 90489 84772 6 157 13 193 11 247 5 350 84772 80039 11 139 6 178 6 244 5 114 80039 75999 7 114 2 099 1 206 5 080 75999 72459 5 068 3 175 3 015 7 359 72459 69254 6 357 2 313 4 021 5 000 69254 66291 2 005 5 250 6 315 5 339 66291 63534 1 318 6 222 8 288 6 284 63534 60859 6 251 7 221 9 254 8 276 60859 58067 13 255 12 245 14 242 14 254 58067 55183 22 247 20 245 21 236 21 237 55183 52444 28 239 27 236 28 233 26 234 52444 49985 32 234 33 232 32 232 30 230 49985 47792 36 233 38 232 35 234 33 228 47792 45826 42 237 42 235 41 235 39 230 45826 44052 48 236 48 232 51 233 49 230 44052 42423 49 234 49 229 52 228 54 222 42423 40900 46 237 45 230 46 228 46 223 40900 39464 44 237 42 232 42 229 42 223 39464 38103 41 238 41 232 41 227 40 221 38103 36782 39 239 41 231 40 223 39 219 36782 35434 38 240 39 230 40 221 39 220 35434 34030 37 240 37 229 38 219 40 220 34030 32573 37 239 35 228 37 218 41 220 32573 31048 36 237 34 228 35 218 41 219 31048 29440 33 236 32 228 33 216 38 218 29440 27751 27 231 30 226 31 215 34 215 27751 25980 19 214 28 227 28 215 31 210 25980 24128 15 203 23 225 26 217 30 209 24128 22198 12 188 19 212 21 216 27 208 22198 20188 13 179 17 195 18 205 23 206 20188 18093 12 184 16 186 15 186 21 212 18093 15957 11 189 12 184 12 177 16 194 15957 13893 10 188 10 185 10 180 12 186 13893 12009 11 192 13 192 11 192 13 194 12009 10329 15 194 17 189 16 192 18 196 10329 8835 17 191 21 185 21 189 22 194 8835 7508 16 186 23 184 23 187 23 190 7508 6328 16 184 23 186 22 185 21 186 6328 5284 15 186 21 190 19 185 18 182 5284 4363 14 191 18 192 16 187 15 182 4363 3551 14 196 16 193 14 192 12 190 3551 2825 14 203 13 198 11 205 11 205 2825 2188 12 213 9*212 8 227 10 222 2188 1662 8*228 6*260 7*280 9 255 1662 1262 5*259 6 269 8*286 10 284 1262 989 5 262 6 271 8 287 10 288 989 824 5 263 6 271 8 286 8 288 824 729 4 264 5 270 6 286 6*288 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography