DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 58.7 - - 80.0 - - 87.8 - - 82.5 - - 66.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 123 - - 221 - - 79 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 602 - - 1256 - - 638 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 1256 - - 714 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1316 - - 1971 - - 1352 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 146 - - 420 - - 968 - - 505 - - 344 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 173 - - 267 - - 151 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 240 - - 329 - - 305 - - 299 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -827 - - -5584 - - -6849 - - -5475 - - -744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1556 - - 6900 - - 8820 - - 6828 - - 1474 sfcLCL ODpotential -10934 - - -12155 - - -11078 - - -10550 - - -8514 ODpotential blCL 11663 - - 13471 - - 13049 - - 11902 - - 9244 blCL maxRH 67 - - 38 - - 36 - - 41 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 58.7 - - 80.0 - - 87.8 - - 82.5 - - 66.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.4 - - 52.8 - - 51.9 - - 55.5 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.0 - - 79.4 - - 86.2 - - 81.9 - - 67.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.1 - - 52.1 - - 51.4 - - 55.1 - - 62.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 123 - - 221 - - 79 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 602 - - 1256 - - 638 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97908 4 209 11 341 7 274 5 340 8 018 97908 90614 2 170 8 001 2 161 7 055 10 006 90614 84961 6 057 1 254 7 006 7 063 4 045 84961 80274 12 061 10 138 2 062 9 033 11 038 80274 76271 13 062 17 091 12 112 8 060 13 038 76271 72768 11 066 13 070 18 076 16 074 15 069 72768 69611 13 042 13 096 14 076 10 066 15 058 69611 66711 6 064 6 111 9 088 6 067 14 052 66711 64017 3 075 8 141 2 153 6 352 11 030 64017 61412 8 001 6 045 4 176 6 264 13 322 61412 58711 18 306 19 323 15 306 15 312 19 324 58711 55927 31 288 31 300 29 300 30 309 27 313 55927 53277 43 292 39 301 39 302 40 303 34 315 53277 50879 49 292 47 298 48 300 47 302 40 310 50879 48711 52 291 55 294 54 297 53 301 44 306 48711 46725 57 290 58 293 56 294 57 298 50 305 46725 44888 62 292 60 292 58 294 60 298 54 302 44888 43178 64 293 61 292 59 294 62 297 56 301 43178 41577 67 291 63 292 60 293 61 296 57 298 41577 40072 72 289 66 290 61 293 59 295 57 296 40072 38652 73 288 66 289 62 292 59 293 56 295 38652 37280 72 290 64 290 61 291 59 292 55 292 37280 35888 68 294 61 290 58 290 57 290 54 289 35888 34447 60 295 55 288 53 287 54 288 51 286 34447 32954 50 292 47 284 47 284 48 286 47 285 32954 31393 43 285 43 281 43 282 44 286 41 287 31393 29753 38 284 39 281 38 283 38 287 36 287 29753 28032 35 285 34 284 32 285 31 288 29 286 28032 26232 31 289 26 289 24 288 24 289 21 284 26232 24351 21 298 18 285 18 284 18 288 17 280 24351 22393 13 295 15 276 14 279 14 286 11 280 22393 20352 7 291 7 268 7 266 8 295 4 291 20352 18226 2 109 1 191 2 190 1 208 4 151 18226 16061 6 110 5 141 5 155 4 146 11 155 16061 13979 9 166 9 176 9 169 9 158 15 157 13979 12090 14 191 14 199 13 185 10 170 13 154 12090 10410 14 189 15 218 11 206 8 186 8 145 10410 8914 9 181 11 217 8 234 5 207 5 143 8914 7582 5 183 8 204 5 247 3 244 2 161 7582 6395 4 217 5 209 5 261 3 286 1 287 6395 5342 4 264 5 241 6 283 5 310 4 319 5342 4414 5 307 5 274 8 301 7 318 8 319 4414 3594 7 327 6 312 9 320 10 323 12 323 3594 2862 9 335 7 337 8 335 11 329 15 325 2862 2216 8 328 7 354 7*330 11 326 14 325 2216 1680 7 307 6*359 7*316 10*314 12 318 1680 1271 7 291 4*343 7 306 9*303 10 302 1271 994 6 282 4 328 7 302 9 298 8 280 994 826 4 271 3 321 7 299 8 297 6*266 826 730 1*240 3 316 6 298 7 295 3*256 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography