DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 79.2 - - 89.3 - - 83.5 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 123 - - 214 - - 81 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 509 - - 1241 - - 621 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 1232 - - 714 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top 729 - - 1223 - - 1955 - - 1336 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 121 - - 396 - - 1022 - - 453 - - 209 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 164 - - 263 - - 151 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 281 - - 299 - - 298 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 1 - - 2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1744 - - -4562 - - -6838 - - -5155 - - -2491 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2473 - - 5785 - - 8793 - - 6492 - - 3221 sfcLCL ODpotential -10428 - - -9003 - - -9380 - - -8867 - - -9583 ODpotential blCL 11157 - - 10226 - - 11335 - - 10203 - - 10313 blCL maxRH 55 - - 54 - - 51 - - 45 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 79.2 - - 89.3 - - 83.5 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 53.0 - - 56.9 - - 53.5 - - 57.9 - - 56.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.2 - - 78.5 - - 87.8 - - 82.8 - - 70.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.4 - - 56.2 - - 52.9 - - 57.6 - - 56.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 123 - - 214 - - 81 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 509 - - 1241 - - 621 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97892 14 262 10 277 9 269 12 250 8 257 97892 90572 6 146 7 247 6 259 6 266 1 309 90572 84951 7 082 5 187 2 294 1 274 6 042 84951 80295 7 070 6 102 3 111 4 053 9 049 80295 76297 13 083 8 083 6 098 8 063 9 058 76297 72787 16 063 12 087 6 117 8 038 12 057 72787 69627 14 053 14 085 8 089 8 014 12 046 69627 66731 13 056 15 085 8 083 6 047 5 058 66731 64046 7 030 9 071 6 089 2 052 2 326 64046 61446 2 030 3 029 2 069 3 292 5 274 61446 58739 13 298 11 318 5 321 9 263 11 273 58739 55937 23 279 23 297 20 290 17 287 16 298 55937 53263 32 287 39 294 39 295 42 292 40 295 53263 50853 58 273 58 280 60 281 62 282 59 283 50853 48693 61 273 64 277 66 280 67 282 66 282 48693 46717 63 281 65 284 68 285 67 285 68 284 46717 44887 71 285 74 288 72 288 70 290 69 287 44887 43179 75 286 79 286 75 286 77 290 74 290 43179 41576 77 287 78 285 76 285 80 289 78 290 41576 40064 79 288 79 287 77 286 77 288 76 290 40064 38635 80 290 79 288 77 288 70 288 69 290 38635 37255 79 292 77 288 76 288 69 289 65 290 37255 35856 77 292 72 290 73 287 69 289 64 291 35856 34410 71 291 69 292 64 286 68 289 64 291 34410 32918 69 295 66 290 56 289 58 288 61 291 32918 31360 62 298 63 299 55 290 52 289 52 289 31360 29723 53 296 53 300 50 292 46 289 47 290 29723 28005 44 294 44 294 46 294 43 284 43 290 28005 26203 42 296 37 294 39 293 40 294 37 296 26203 24319 36 298 32 293 31 296 33 301 30 303 24319 22360 21 294 21 307 22 303 23 309 22 310 22360 20327 12 283 11 320 12 322 15 318 14 321 20327 18213 6 286 6 335 8 344 8 328 10 326 18213 16060 6 216 4 232 4 290 8 355 5 016 16060 13986 8 239 3 234 3 219 3 001 5 062 13986 12103 7 255 3 048 3 127 5 080 3 087 12103 10426 6 277 5 048 5 102 6 077 4 074 10426 8932 4 293 2 062 4 095 4 058 6 058 8932 7598 2 270 3 175 0 191 5 023 8 051 7598 6411 3 168 6 186 3 250 7 018 12 051 6411 5357 4 151 5 188 3 249 7 017 13 048 5357 4427 3 139 2 195 2 283 6 013 11 040 4427 3606 3 095 0 255 2 341 5 355 8 025 3606 2871 3 059 1 308 3 348 5 328 7 358 2871 2224 3 034 2 301 3*334 7 317 8 329 2224 1685 1 348 3 286 4*311 8*309 9 311 1685 1275 4 281 3*292 5 300 8*302 8 299 1275 995 6 287 3*285 5 295 8 298 7 288 995 826 4 297 3 280 5 292 7 296 5*276 826 730 2*317 3 279 4 291 6 295 3*260 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography