DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/04 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 83.0 - - 77.9 - - 66.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 404 - - 271 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 744 - - 1220 - - 874 - - 296 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 910 - - 1386 - - 1043 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1457 - - 1934 - - 1588 - - 1010 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 447 - - 499 - - 336 - - 363 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 322 - - 252 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 277 - - 283 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3569 - - -4452 - - -3660 - - -1290 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5026 - - 6386 - - 5248 - - 2300 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13604 - - -12804 - - -13092 - - -13224 ODpotential blCL - - - 15061 - - 14738 - - 14680 - - 14234 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 52 - - 58 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.4 - - 83.0 - - 77.9 - - 66.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.1 - - 57.7 - - 57.6 - - 58.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.8 - - 80.5 - - 76.0 - - 66.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 57.2 - - 57.3 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 246 - - 404 - - 271 - - 16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 744 - - 1220 - - 874 - - 296 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99329 32 098 41 111 29 107 34 107 99329 91843 36 114 31 102 28 113 27 097 91843 86093 36 113 27 108 27 112 29 099 86093 81314 28 099 21 115 26 098 28 093 81314 77206 19 089 16 112 20 089 25 102 77206 73571 14 112 13 115 13 078 23 094 73571 70277 14 099 17 129 12 110 12 061 70277 67268 13 097 17 112 14 129 4 090 67268 64488 10 089 12 085 15 107 9 130 64488 61797 9 148 6 063 14 082 18 103 61797 59010 15 116 12 176 4 211 7 047 59010 56169 4 091 9 156 8 241 9 277 56169 53494 7 253 6 200 14 253 15 259 53494 51090 9 272 9 236 13 246 17 233 51090 48929 21 270 10 283 10 262 11 227 48929 46948 25 255 22 262 18 257 17 243 46948 45115 26 247 26 246 28 248 28 247 45115 43410 30 246 29 246 34 247 34 247 43410 41814 34 247 34 246 36 248 36 250 41814 40312 37 248 35 245 37 247 37 251 40312 38892 36 245 34 245 37 243 37 250 38892 37516 35 242 33 245 35 240 37 248 37516 36119 34 241 31 243 34 239 35 248 36119 34669 30 243 24 241 30 240 32 248 34669 33171 20 251 14 237 24 239 29 243 33171 31610 12 227 14 222 20 231 25 236 31610 29969 9 214 13 229 19 232 20 231 29969 28245 8 224 12 233 17 238 19 236 28245 26437 7 226 11 223 14 231 16 241 26437 24547 7 199 13 203 13 221 12 233 24547 22579 8 175 13 203 12 219 10 228 22579 20527 7 203 10 223 7 232 5 242 20527 18387 8 231 9 237 6 238 4 245 18387 16204 7 261 8 241 7 228 6 213 16204 14098 7 285 6 253 5 222 6 176 14098 12180 8 293 7 279 3 265 4 151 12180 10470 5 283 6 264 3 246 5 154 10470 8949 4 245 6 236 5 223 5 173 8949 7597 3 191 6 220 6 215 5 187 7597 6399 5 164 7 204 6 205 5 197 6399 5339 7 166 8 203 8 202 6 205 5339 4405 8 171 10 200 10 196 7 211 4405 3581 7 191 11 200 11 200 8 219 3581 2846 9 208 10 216 11 215 10 229 2846 2201 11 220 9*244 10 242 12 243 2201 1669 9*236 9*274 10*278 13 264 1669 1266 7*259 10 277 11*283 12*280 1266 992 7 261 10 278 11 284 11*284 992 825 7 262 9 278 10 284 10 283 825 730 6 261 8 277 9 283 7 283 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography