DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 73.4 - - 71.4 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 422 - - 259 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 741 - - 1383 - - 1111 - - 441 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 713 - - 1510 - - 1196 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1453 - - 2097 - - 1825 - - 1154 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 415 - - 359 - - 410 - - 493 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 201 - - 339 - - 268 - - 55 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 272 - - 276 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 120 - - -2117 - - -2270 - - -764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1333 - - 4214 - - 4095 - - 1918 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9676 - - -9540 - - -10595 - - -10977 ODpotential blCL - - - 11129 - - 11637 - - 12420 - - 12131 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 74 - - 72 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 73.4 - - 71.4 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.1 - - 57.6 - - 56.2 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 71.1 - - 69.7 - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.6 - - 57.3 - - 55.9 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 159 - - 422 - - 259 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 741 - - 1383 - - 1111 - - 441 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99261 31 122 23 116 17 146 15 081 99261 91796 22 120 23 099 14 128 21 105 91796 86000 20 110 22 102 18 103 22 110 86000 81175 20 113 15 121 20 094 19 104 81175 77051 17 116 15 119 19 097 17 110 77051 73430 23 112 15 125 17 103 13 122 73430 70156 16 100 13 131 14 098 13 106 70156 67153 9 125 14 139 9 122 12 104 67153 64375 11 168 12 157 9 123 9 127 64375 61681 15 168 15 174 10 184 8 137 61681 58869 17 169 25 190 22 203 14 226 58869 55966 23 205 34 187 31 195 26 218 55966 53216 30 210 34 205 33 205 31 218 53216 50749 43 209 47 210 47 212 43 216 50749 48534 52 211 53 206 56 210 51 211 48534 46517 61 213 53 208 56 214 53 213 46517 44675 67 206 59 209 59 214 54 217 44675 42983 66 196 68 205 65 211 57 217 42983 41414 62 199 67 201 64 208 56 213 41414 39943 58 202 62 200 61 207 58 209 39943 38553 56 203 59 199 60 207 60 209 38553 37203 56 203 59 205 61 210 56 215 37203 35828 54 201 58 207 57 216 49 215 35828 34398 51 200 55 206 53 217 48 215 34398 32913 50 199 53 207 52 214 47 216 32913 31359 48 201 51 209 51 212 46 216 31359 29723 47 205 49 210 51 213 46 215 29723 28009 43 208 45 210 47 212 44 213 28009 26215 40 204 41 205 42 209 41 210 26215 24340 39 202 38 204 39 208 37 211 24340 22388 37 204 35 207 33 211 33 214 22388 20354 34 202 32 208 29 211 29 213 20354 18231 31 199 32 205 27 210 26 209 18231 16064 30 199 32 204 27 209 26 210 16064 13973 28 205 30 207 26 206 26 209 13973 12067 26 207 27 209 25 205 25 209 12067 10370 24 205 25 208 24 206 22 208 10370 8860 22 202 23 206 22 209 20 209 8860 7517 19 198 20 203 20 211 18 210 7517 6325 16 197 16 204 17 212 17 212 6325 5272 13 200 13 211 14 217 15 220 5272 4346 10 209 11 225 12 227 13 235 4346 3533 9 220 9 241 11 244 11 247 3533 2811 9 250 10 269 11 268 11 264 2811 2179 13 277 12*275 13*278 13 282 2179 1657 12*276 12*274 14*278 13 279 1657 1260 10*267 12 273 14 277 12*269 1260 989 10 265 12 272 13 275 11*266 989 824 9 264 11 271 12 275 9 264 824 729 7 263 9 270 10 274 6 263 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography