DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 79.1 - - 74.8 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 418 - - 290 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 772 - - 1215 - - 979 - - 342 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 993 - - 1389 - - 1136 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1485 - - 1929 - - 1693 - - 1055 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 402 - - 590 - - 340 - - 378 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 249 - - 325 - - 267 - - 95 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 262 - - 276 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2221 - - -4425 - - -3454 - - -1778 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3706 - - 6355 - - 5147 - - 2833 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11610 - - -11877 - - -11336 - - -12301 ODpotential blCL - - - 13095 - - 13806 - - 13029 - - 13356 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 50 - - 58 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.2 - - 79.1 - - 74.8 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.6 - - 54.1 - - 55.0 - - 53.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.4 - - 76.7 - - 73.0 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.0 - - 53.5 - - 54.6 - - 53.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 418 - - 290 - - 37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 772 - - 1215 - - 979 - - 342 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99215 37 115 30 103 32 098 36 093 99215 91723 30 112 26 110 27 115 25 098 91723 85961 25 100 26 113 23 112 23 103 85961 81184 17 090 25 099 22 108 26 096 81184 77076 17 115 18 091 19 097 24 096 77076 73452 22 124 15 118 12 098 20 087 73452 70181 14 111 13 109 15 106 14 090 70181 67188 9 094 9 115 11 099 15 097 67188 64419 6 134 8 151 8 137 7 094 64419 61742 5 164 8 233 4 233 5 172 61742 58962 11 214 14 246 9 265 6 233 58962 56087 14 244 16 245 17 245 13 254 56087 53348 23 256 20 250 26 228 32 239 53348 50889 31 262 29 241 26 234 32 227 50889 48676 42 254 39 253 37 257 33 247 48676 46657 52 244 57 246 60 245 60 247 46657 44797 53 243 54 242 60 241 68 239 44797 43069 52 261 52 256 59 247 67 247 43069 41462 55 266 52 260 57 250 66 249 41462 39964 52 266 50 261 50 248 55 245 39964 38562 41 265 45 260 45 248 43 242 38562 37210 30 261 40 254 43 249 34 238 37210 35832 28 254 36 237 35 238 32 239 35832 34396 27 250 34 233 32 227 33 224 34396 32908 23 268 25 236 36 225 36 221 32908 31349 19 279 18 243 31 226 31 226 31349 29707 14 273 15 242 15 229 23 229 29707 27990 12 254 15 244 13 232 8 209 27990 26196 11 247 13 251 13 236 7 229 26196 24319 8 254 7 239 8 250 9 208 24319 22358 4 237 5 184 4 205 10 180 22358 20311 5 182 6 172 6 156 9 171 20311 18179 4 172 7 161 9 147 10 168 18179 16007 7 159 7 146 9 142 14 164 16007 13916 14 168 8 157 11 149 15 154 13916 12015 17 163 11 160 11 160 12 153 12015 10325 16 162 14 164 12 174 10 180 10325 8826 10 166 12 169 13 183 12 199 8826 7496 7 171 11 177 13 184 14 205 7496 6316 7 182 11 189 12 186 15 210 6316 5272 7 196 12 197 11 194 14 217 5272 4353 7 208 12 206 11 208 13 226 4353 3542 8 218 13 215 13 222 13 236 3542 2820 10 220 13 222 13 234 14 247 2820 2185 10 225 12*234 13*248 15 257 2185 1660 7*242 10*256 12*272 14 265 1660 1261 7*254 10 262 12 277 12*269 1261 989 7 256 10 264 12 277 11*270 989 824 7 258 9 264 11 278 10 269 824 729 6 258 8 264 9 277 7 269 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography