DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/19 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 82.1 - - 79.6 - - 69.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 230 - - 111 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1673 - - 6090 - - 1735 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1400 - - 4896 - - 1301 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2386 - - 6804 - - 2449 - - 730 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1286 - - 2540 - - 6305 - - 1071 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 467 - - 244 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 9 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 016 - - 313 - - 273 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - 12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7381 - - -6107 - - -7205 - - -6934 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9767 - - 12911 - - 9654 - - 7664 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14108 - - -12678 - - -12797 - - -13903 ODpotential blCL - - - 16494 - - 19482 - - 15246 - - 14633 blCL maxRH - - - 27 - - 39 - - 29 - - 25 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 82.1 - - 79.6 - - 69.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.1 - - 27.5 - - 39.8 - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 80.6 - - 78.8 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 26.2 - - 38.6 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 139 - - 230 - - 111 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1673 - - 6090 - - 1735 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98164 6 219 6 312 4 228 5 079 98164 90694 2 072 4 162 7 234 6 349 90694 84956 1 060 7 091 7 186 7 244 84956 80221 7 173 3 221 2 358 4 077 80221 76150 3 142 3 198 3 246 5 027 76150 72548 2 182 3 184 2 276 3 244 72548 69269 4 350 6 238 5 344 4 157 69269 66234 4 235 9 259 11 298 10 334 66234 63430 5 340 4 240 9 266 10 310 63430 60720 15 316 9 332 10 327 10 337 60720 57887 13 317 13 316 16 324 16 330 57887 54952 17 334 14 334 15 332 16 330 54952 52163 29 318 22 326 21 325 20 335 52163 49667 28 309 24 315 23 315 26 331 49667 47442 23 318 26 323 24 315 27 326 47442 45436 29 339 27 337 23 331 26 333 45436 43616 36 340 31 342 27 347 28 347 43616 41954 39 343 35 343 31 347 29 357 41954 40419 45 350 38 345 33 348 30 016 40419 38983 48 349 41 345 34 351 38 024 38983 37631 46 350 40 346 35 352 42 024 37631 36323 43 356 37 347 34 353 39 020 36323 34991 41 359 35 348 33 354 35 016 34991 33604 38 003 34 348 32 356 31 016 33604 32164 35 001 34 349 33 001 30 019 32164 30652 37 359 35 353 36 006 28 019 30652 29060 37 003 36 358 38 011 27 013 29060 27390 35 003 37 002 39 012 29 011 27390 25642 35 360 37 006 36 014 31 011 25642 23817 36 002 37 009 33 015 31 012 23817 21916 36 007 37 011 31 015 29 012 21916 19932 35 014 34 012 29 014 25 010 19932 17856 31 013 28 011 25 012 21 005 17856 15733 28 008 24 012 22 012 18 007 15733 13685 23 014 23 018 21 021 18 023 13685 11824 17 024 19 024 21 035 14 039 11824 10174 12 027 15 026 19 037 14 045 10174 8712 12 027 13 016 18 026 16 038 8712 7415 14 030 11*016 17 022 16 031 7415 6261 14 028 11*016 16 020 14 025 6261 5238 15 024 10 016 14 013 12 015 5238 4335 15 024 10 016 12 002 12 353 4335 3536 16 028 10 016 12 345 15 340 3536 2823 15*033 10 016 12*329 19 332 2823 2193 12*036 10 016 13*318 20 328 2193 1669 11 037 9 016 13 314 16 325 1669 1268 10 037 9 016 13 312 12 315 1268 992 9 037 8 015 12 311 8 301 992 825 8 037 8 014 11 310 6*289 825 730 7 037 6 015 9 308 3*273 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography