DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/01 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.8 - - 71.8 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 348 - - 235 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 857 - - 1540 - - 968 - - 279 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 882 - - 1587 - - 1069 - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1570 - - 2253 - - 1681 - - 992 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 655 - - 1196 - - 359 - - 354 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 333 - - 250 - - 58 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 279 - - 280 - - 278 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -5 - - 4 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3438 - - -5095 - - -4439 - - -2077 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5008 - - 7348 - - 6121 - - 3069 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10556 - - -11734 - - -11858 - - -11626 ODpotential blCL - - - 12126 - - 13987 - - 13539 - - 12618 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 41 - - 47 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 77.8 - - 71.8 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.2 - - 48.2 - - 47.8 - - 51.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 75.6 - - 70.2 - - 61.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.0 - - 47.0 - - 47.0 - - 50.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 348 - - 235 - - 9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 857 - - 1540 - - 968 - - 279 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98611 5 100 5 025 7 013 10 056 98611 91135 9 131 12 089 7 095 11 082 91135 85379 18 130 16 099 12 099 13 088 85379 80624 22 111 14 111 17 095 14 087 80624 76550 16 095 13 098 17 097 16 073 76550 72964 16 103 9 087 15 093 17 084 72964 69720 14 093 8 120 12 091 16 081 69720 66729 9 089 6 119 8 086 10 073 66729 63953 6 105 6 179 2 124 5 056 63953 61256 6 153 11 219 8 238 5 284 61256 58427 6 227 11 238 12 248 11 251 58427 55476 15 252 15 244 18 251 17 248 55476 52650 23 257 20 248 21 251 20 250 52650 50107 28 258 22 259 21 262 18 258 50107 47834 32 264 26 266 24 272 17 272 47834 45783 35 266 29 271 28 276 18 282 45783 43922 39 270 31 272 31 275 20 284 43922 42229 39 274 29 280 30 275 21 278 42229 40678 37 279 31 287 29 281 21 284 40678 39242 33 281 32 288 28 286 22 293 39242 37891 27 282 28 286 27 290 23 294 37891 36580 23 284 23 286 24 293 22 294 36580 35241 19 281 19 289 19 295 19 296 35241 33845 16 277 17 290 14 300 14 300 33845 32393 13 275 15 287 10 312 9 308 32393 30875 9 284 12 282 8 316 8 314 30875 29276 7 308 10 285 8 300 9 304 29276 27600 7 319 9 296 8 283 9 294 27600 25841 8 301 8 283 9 262 9 290 25841 24003 8 287 8 275 10 262 7 285 24003 22088 8 275 8 276 9 259 6 262 22088 20090 9 267 7 274 7 260 4 260 20090 18002 7 281 4 284 3 267 1 222 18002 15867 5 259 5 230 3 241 5 211 15867 13804 8 245 8 242 5 273 5 254 13804 11922 9 270 7 264 4 315 3 288 11922 10246 8 293 4 232 2 240 2 232 10246 8760 5 308 4 211 4 185 4 220 8760 7442 3 328 3 207 4 173 5 212 7442 6273 3 353 3 209 4 176 4 211 6273 5240 4 008 3 216 2 209 2 229 5240 4330 5 032 2 234 3 255 3 280 4330 3528 6 038 3 258 5 273 6 293 3528 2812 5 035 6*273 10 277 11 294 2812 2181 3 344 9*279 12*278 14 294 2181 1658 4*288 10 281 11*279 13 290 1658 1259 4*282 10 280 11 279 11*285 1259 988 5 280 10 280 11 278 9*281 988 823 4 278 9 279 10 278 8 279 823 729 4 276 8 279 8 276 6 277 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography