DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/07 MtDiablo 713ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 65.4 - - - - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 459 - - - - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1000 - - 1463 - - - - - 794 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1061 - - 1585 - - - - - 713 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1713 - - 2176 - - - - - 1507 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 483 - - 309 - - - - - 447 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 246 - - 355 - - - - - 140 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 15 - - - - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 263 - - - - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 293 - - -504 - - - - - 235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1420 - - 2681 - - - - - 1272 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 467 - - -11272 - - - - - 267 ODpotential blCL - - - 1246 - - 13448 - - - - - 1240 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.6 - - 65.4 - - - - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.8 - - 56.1 - - - - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 63.0 - - - - - 57.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.3 - - 55.7 - - - - - 54.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 220 - - 459 - - - - - 51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1000 - - 1463 - - - - - 794 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 74 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99410 34 104 31 104 36 109 99410 91892 29 119 31 118 30 091 91892 86094 33 127 29 119 23 088 86094 81278 33 117 28 116 26 101 81278 77142 33 096 26 120 26 098 77142 73502 20 091 20 113 24 100 73502 70224 19 133 13 127 21 096 70224 67224 19 122 14 148 15 087 67224 64453 14 122 16 147 12 154 64453 61782 8 173 13 149 13 165 61782 59015 20 217 16 198 12 210 59015 56153 31 209 29 222 23 222 56153 53433 33 217 38 224 34 233 53433 51001 41 240 44 230 42 236 51001 48817 51 244 52 238 50 240 48817 46819 57 245 60 240 58 244 46819 44969 60 249 66 244 60 248 44969 43243 70 251 72 245 71 252 43243 41626 76 248 77 243 80 248 41626 40098 78 243 79 245 81 246 40098 38647 74 243 71 247 71 246 38647 37242 65 247 61 246 63 245 37242 35826 57 249 51 248 58 247 35826 34371 52 250 45 248 51 251 34371 32876 51 255 41 247 43 249 32876 31317 48 255 39 252 40 246 31317 29680 41 252 34 251 35 247 29680 27964 37 250 26 240 29 249 27964 26174 30 250 24 241 23 243 26174 24310 27 246 22 245 21 244 24310 22364 23 245 19 242 20 241 22364 20325 19 236 17 234 20 241 20325 18192 18 222 18 224 18 238 18192 16014 20 217 19 219 17 235 16014 13913 19 217 18 216 16 232 13913 11999 17 213 16 211 14 225 11999 10297 16 206 14 206 11 221 10297 8790 14 205 13 210 9 223 8790 7454 10 207 11 220 7 234 7454 6270 7 214 10 235 6 252 6270 5225 6 233 8 249 6 273 5225 4306 6 237 8 248 8 275 4306 3499 8 239 11 244 10 263 3499 2783 11 261 15*258 15 266 2783 2159 12*261 15*262 18 268 2159 1646 12*255 16 263 17*263 1646 1255 11 251 15 263 16*260 1255 986 10 250 15 263 15 258 986 823 9 250 14 263 13 258 823 729 8 249 11 263 9 257 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography