DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/26 MtDiablo 712ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 62.7 - - 59.7 - - 56.7 - - 53.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 158 - - -1 - - 9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1801 - - 132 - - 595 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 712 - - 1504 - - 713 - - 712 - - 712 Hcrit BL Top 728 - - 2513 - - 845 - - 1307 - - 729 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 490 - - 1535 - - 2535 - - 1850 - - 2414 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 270 - - 31 - - 76 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 15 - - 13 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 226 - - 229 - - 270 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 5 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 10 - - 4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -562 - - -777 - - 399 - - -506 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 728 - - 3075 - - 1622 - - 908 - - 1236 sfcLCL ODpotential -6435 - - -3120 - - -1215 - - 67 - - -995 ODpotential blCL 7163 - - 5633 - - 2060 - - 1240 - - 1724 blCL maxRH 98 - - 89 - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 62.7 - - 59.7 - - 56.7 - - 53.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.3 - - 51.9 - - 55.1 - - 55.2 - - 50.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 61.8 - - 59.9 - - 56.7 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.1 - - 51.3 - - 54.8 - - 55.0 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 158 - - -1 - - 9 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1801 - - 132 - - 595 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 56 - - 101 - - 101 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97056 36 288 37 297 23 284 32 271 33 279 97056 89844 23 275 32 283 26 283 27 278 25 293 89844 84255 21 274 19 270 25 279 28 279 22 297 84255 79622 25 284 8 289 14 287 22 276 23 271 79622 75662 22 296 16 314 10 299 4 215 12 280 75662 72145 16 299 25 298 22 290 18 313 14 350 72145 68947 21 309 24 291 33 299 35 302 28 323 68947 66047 28 310 19 311 30 300 30 311 30 312 66047 63392 33 314 18 325 23 302 21 321 20 295 63392 60807 34 311 26 318 23 299 23 311 14 294 60807 58088 42 315 34 304 36 298 38 299 27 300 58088 55261 53 301 52 296 54 293 54 293 41 293 55261 52566 58 283 64 292 65 289 61 294 47 296 52566 50138 52 281 66 288 69 291 67 296 55 294 50138 47960 55 290 64 290 71 292 72 296 60 294 47960 45978 68 300 66 298 73 297 76 298 64 298 45978 44158 87 306 80 303 81 302 79 296 72 298 44158 42484 96 303 88 298 82 297 79 291 77 294 42484 40933 98 298 87 292 78 292 74 288 76 292 40933 39479 97 298 84 290 73 287 70 287 76 289 39479 38099 92 301 85 294 72 284 68 285 75 288 38099 36758 87 302 84 300 71 283 65 278 74 284 36758 35389 87 303 83 303 71 284 67 274 75 282 35389 33964 86 303 83 304 71 286 69 275 75 282 33964 32485 85 303 82 305 70 285 69 275 75 285 32485 30935 84 304 81 304 69 284 70 277 74 287 30935 29302 84 303 79 300 70 287 72 280 73 287 29302 27586 83 304 78 297 72 295 73 283 73 283 27586 25787 80 305 76 298 68 299 70 285 72 283 25787 23908 76 298 72 298 66 298 67 286 70 285 23908 21955 77 293 71 296 63 292 63 284 65 282 21955 19927 74 291 71 298 61 294 61 286 61 288 19927 17817 63 286 65 298 61 303 56 299 58 299 17817 15668 52 277 53 289 57 307 53 310 53 309 15668 13600 44 273 48 278 47 293 44 313 45 317 13600 11718 33 269 42 273 46 283 39 294 39 309 11718 10042 30 270 38 268 40 271 43 281 37 298 10042 8557 30 270 32 263 34 257 40 273 33 302 8557 7248 30 272 28 266 32 261 36 266 29 309 7248 6100 27 276 27 274 37 273 32 264 23 309 6100 5094 21 278 27 274 38 272 28 261 22 306 5094 4214 16 268 27 266 34 261 26 259 24 304 4214 3441 15 256 25 257 29 243 25 266 25 300 3441 2752 17 253 22*245 27 229 24 273 24 296 2752 2145 17 252 19*234 26 227 24 274 22 289 2145 1639 16 250 16 226 24 228 23*273 19 282 1639 1250 12 243 15 224 22 229 21*272 16 276 1250 983 10 230 14 223 19*229 18 270 13 271 983 821 7 224 13 223 16*229 15 269 11*268 821 729 3*226 10 223 11 229 11 267 6*264 729 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography