DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 MtDiablo 714ft pt33457@37.708,-121.962 SPONSORED BY: Bay Area Paragliding Association - BAPA NOTE: Sfc.elevation based on smoothed model topo so represents plain around Mt Diablo, not the peak RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 71.4 - - 81.5 - - 79.2 - - 82.2 - - 74.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 114 - - 60 - - 160 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 653 - - 588 - - 692 - - 196 BL Depth Hcrit 713 - - 714 - - 714 - - 714 - - 714 Hcrit BL Top 730 - - 1367 - - 1302 - - 1406 - - 910 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 316 - - 641 - - 529 - - 583 - - 440 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 175 - - 136 - - 197 - - 49 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 258 - - 275 - - 295 - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4427 - - -5941 - - -4654 - - -4944 - - -4402 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5157 - - 7308 - - 5957 - - 6351 - - 5312 sfcLCL ODpotential -11674 - - -10628 - - -9818 - - -9405 - - -10953 ODpotential blCL 12404 - - 11995 - - 11120 - - 10811 - - 11863 blCL maxRH 54 - - 100 - - 100 - - 91 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 71.4 - - 81.5 - - 79.2 - - 82.2 - - 74.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.9 - - 52.6 - - 56.1 - - 57.2 - - 53.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.7 - - 80.5 - - 78.7 - - 80.9 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.0 - - 51.7 - - 55.5 - - 56.7 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 114 - - 60 - - 160 - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 653 - - 588 - - 692 - - 196 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 99 - - 102 - - 63 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99353 48 098 36 113 32 108 36 105 42 096 99353 91839 43 102 36 109 35 115 33 112 31 109 91839 86072 34 100 28 101 31 109 27 109 29 106 86072 81281 25 096 30 100 28 111 27 105 31 099 81281 77158 20 110 19 104 24 102 24 098 28 096 77158 73528 23 112 21 119 16 104 20 093 20 101 73528 70251 16 100 17 119 20 111 17 113 16 103 70251 67243 14 108 14 117 20 111 19 123 13 116 67243 64453 13 110 14 137 12 122 18 123 13 121 64453 61749 9 160 17 160 19 149 14 139 13 145 61749 58940 17 179 28 158 22 172 18 196 11 181 58940 56034 26 169 31 175 29 170 22 186 15 192 56034 53269 25 165 39 183 33 185 31 197 24 192 53269 50809 22 191 44 172 39 195 38 198 31 197 50809 48627 31 212 29 175 44 187 44 196 44 203 48627 46649 50 210 41 202 48 182 52 192 52 199 46649 44827 61 202 57 200 51 191 56 189 55 193 44827 43138 61 198 61 194 59 198 60 192 57 192 43138 41560 62 200 63 192 63 196 63 194 58 188 41560 40074 64 202 63 194 65 194 61 194 57 187 40074 38666 64 204 63 196 65 192 62 190 56 184 38666 37299 63 202 62 193 66 190 67 186 58 179 37299 35907 64 199 66 190 69 192 74 189 62 180 35907 34460 65 200 68 195 68 193 74 190 66 180 34460 32957 61 206 62 200 63 192 64 190 65 181 32957 31386 53 208 51 199 58 191 57 190 59 187 31386 29737 45 209 43 197 51 190 54 188 52 188 29737 28012 39 205 37 197 44 186 51 188 44 189 28012 26209 32 204 36 193 40 179 41 191 39 186 26209 24331 26 196 35 189 40 185 36 191 33 186 24331 22379 24 183 35 193 33 193 32 191 28 193 22379 20348 20 173 37 198 19 208 26 199 27 201 20348 18234 15 172 33 199 16 214 20 208 20 213 18234 16080 11 192 25 181 16 213 12 218 8 207 16080 14005 9 220 14 142 17 188 8 204 5 171 14005 12114 8 240 4 134 13 170 8 181 4 157 12114 10428 8 255 5 282 8 162 7 169 5 137 10428 8925 8 265 11 277 3 159 5 161 4 139 8925 7585 6 277 13 268 2 333 2 176 4 173 7585 6393 3 242 11 254 4 306 1 236 6 203 6393 5337 6 216 11 243 6 287 2 263 8 231 5337 4407 9 224 13 242 8 264 5 238 11 250 4407 3587 10 232 11 237 9 237 8 237 12 258 3587 2856 10 235 10 230 11 222 11 246 12 259 2856 2212 10 235 10 227 11 227 11 254 12 262 2212 1679 10 240 8*232 10*238 10*275 12 268 1679 1272 8 254 4*253 7*266 9*294 11 279 1272 994 7 279 4 259 6 277 9 295 9*284 994 826 5*299 4 260 6 278 8 295 8*285 826 730 2*310 4 260 5 279 7 295 5 285 730 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography