DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/24 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 90.4 - - 83.1 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 326 - - 137 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1620 - - 6814 - - 1056 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3115 - - 7229 - - 2323 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3943 - - 9137 - - 3379 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3816 - - 4031 - - 3298 - - 411 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 536 - - 216 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 209 - - 308 - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 18 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9034 - - -5219 - - -6655 - - -3610 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12977 - - 14356 - - 10034 - - 5949 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13679 - - -9164 - - -8960 - - -8681 ODpotential blCL - - - 17622 - - 18301 - - 12339 - - 11020 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 62 - - 76 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 90.4 - - 83.1 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.8 - - 35.0 - - 47.2 - - 51.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.1 - - 88.3 - - 81.8 - - 70.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.4 - - 34.6 - - 47.1 - - 51.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 215 - - 326 - - 137 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1620 - - 6814 - - 1056 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98255 7 210 1 264 8 173 2 193 98255 90894 5 135 10 137 4 169 5 105 90894 85252 4 091 7 143 5 121 4 087 85252 80568 4 039 4 108 8 106 10 113 80568 76531 3 134 4 125 3 096 11 100 76531 72965 5 173 2 283 6 097 4 072 72965 69741 8 151 5 200 3 109 3 176 69741 66762 4 187 5 178 5 195 9 182 66762 63982 8 203 9 234 8 243 7 235 63982 61284 12 235 13 233 10 241 8 238 61284 58455 20 246 21 250 17 259 11 261 58455 55514 22 232 27 240 30 253 26 264 55514 52721 20 231 27 238 32 240 31 255 52721 50223 18 245 23 235 28 245 34 252 50223 48005 20 266 21 249 28 252 32 246 48005 46018 22 281 20 265 25 258 28 246 46018 44216 22 300 19 296 26 279 28 265 44216 42565 20 315 22 311 31 292 36 280 42565 41031 19 329 23 314 32 295 35 281 41031 39584 18 335 21 315 27 295 28 277 39584 38213 15 336 17 307 21 295 25 272 38213 36886 11 322 12 304 22 291 23 267 36886 35539 8 298 14 299 23 289 22 269 35539 34145 8 270 13 306 21 285 20 274 34145 32706 11 239 10 278 18 281 18 269 32706 31209 14 223 13 221 13 275 17 257 31209 29642 13 206 14 211 12 243 16 243 29642 28008 13 220 15 223 18 233 19 245 28008 26311 13 228 14 226 19 237 19 251 26311 24546 10 227 13 216 16 240 18 253 24546 22715 9 232 11 215 14 237 17 248 22715 20813 8 245 9 222 12 233 15 241 20813 18839 5 236 7 208 8 222 13 233 18839 16832 6 181 10 190 9 205 11 223 16832 14900 13 174 16 183 14 184 11 207 14900 13142 15 180 19 183 15 186 13 209 13142 11575 16 188 18 195 14 201 17 215 11575 10177 16 199 16*208 12 211 18 221 10177 8927 14 204 11*208 11 210 17 229 8927 7808 10 203 9 204 10 202 14 234 7808 6811 9 195 8 203 9 197 11 235 6811 5926 9 189 8 206 9 197 9 230 5926 5139 7 189 8 209 9 200 8 219 5139 4432 7*194 8 211 7 206 8 214 4432 3805 7*202 8 213 5*254 10 216 3805 3280 7 208 8 215 7*303 9 240 3280 2878 7 210 8 216 8 308 10 283 2878 2602 6 211 7 217 8 309 10 302 2602 2435 6 212 7 217 8 309 8*307 2435 2339 5 212 6 218 7 309 3*320 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography