DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 73.6 - - 73.1 - - 60.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 253 - - 102 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 951 - - 2235 - - 1938 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 3626 - - 2998 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3274 - - 4557 - - 4261 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 626 - - 973 - - 919 - - 1015 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 211 - - 345 - - 246 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 028 - - 028 - - 053 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6385 - - -4998 - - -4798 - - -3400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9659 - - 9556 - - 9059 - - 5739 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13758 - - -10807 - - -10625 - - -11253 ODpotential blCL - - - 17032 - - 15364 - - 14886 - - 13592 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 87 - - 81 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 73.6 - - 73.1 - - 60.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.9 - - 40.0 - - 41.7 - - 44.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 71.9 - - 72.2 - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 38.9 - - 40.7 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 127 - - 253 - - 102 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 951 - - 2235 - - 1938 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 26 - - 48 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96315 37 284 29 279 35 254 43 279 96315 89189 28 275 33 277 27 283 30 291 89189 83723 15 256 29 264 28 283 27 295 83723 79192 9 267 23 263 23 289 21 279 79192 75300 12 275 18 271 20 294 15 263 75300 71861 14 267 17 265 16 282 14 272 71861 68725 12 265 15 238 18 239 16 272 68725 65830 15 263 15 242 18 229 18 268 65830 63160 22 255 17 259 17 246 18 258 63160 60596 30 244 21 266 22 270 16 256 60596 57926 33 244 30 260 29 267 19 266 57926 55141 33 242 34 247 34 257 28 258 55141 52468 33 239 35 247 39 252 36 252 52468 50046 33 247 38 247 43 250 40 253 50046 47852 38 255 40 250 44 248 42 255 47852 45840 45 257 44 251 45 248 45 252 45840 43986 50 247 50 240 49 242 46 248 43986 42283 53 243 50 238 49 236 48 240 42283 40722 56 241 53 241 50 234 51 232 40722 39277 55 239 54 240 53 235 54 231 39277 37919 57 239 52 235 54 234 55 232 37919 36604 60 234 50 236 50 230 53 231 36604 35268 59 233 50 237 48 232 50 234 35268 33882 55 236 51 238 46 237 47 236 33882 32452 51 236 50 236 46 234 48 232 32452 30969 48 239 47 235 45 233 45 229 30969 29420 43 241 46 235 42 236 42 231 29420 27805 36 240 43 237 39 238 39 232 27805 26121 34 243 40 238 34 238 35 231 26121 24370 34 246 36 238 30 237 29 229 24370 22558 34 247 32 244 26 240 24 233 22558 20681 30 254 25 256 20 249 19 238 20681 18728 23 267 18 260 14 245 17 229 18728 16734 20 273 16 257 14 242 17 225 16734 14808 15 275 13 258 12 241 13 228 14808 13050 9 287 9 269 7 236 7 225 13050 11483 7 325 5 299 2 255 1 233 11483 10085 7 344 5 334 2 354 3 047 10085 8836 8 351 5 002 4 029 5 048 8836 7723 9 001 6 021 6 041 7 053 7723 6733 9 012 7 026 7 047 7 057 6733 5858 10 019 7 024 8 041 7 054 5858 5082 10 024 7*024 9 030 8 040 5082 4387 10 026 7*026 10*027 12 025 4387 3774 10*021 8 028 10*027 16 023 3774 3262 9*021 8 028 11 028 17 027 3262 2869 8 019 8 029 11 028 15 033 2869 2597 8 019 8 029 10 029 12 039 2597 2433 7 019 7 030 9 029 9*044 2433 2339 6 018 6 030 8 029 5*053 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography