DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/26 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 55.8 - - 54.4 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 471 - - 254 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3386 - - 4358 - - 2758 - - 1066 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4672 - - 5433 - - 3996 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5707 - - 6679 - - 5080 - - 3387 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 831 - - 1132 - - 3546 - - 1323 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 481 - - 522 - - 365 - - 122 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 297 - - 304 - - 304 - - 300 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -9 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 205 - - 1138 - - 131 - - 96 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5502 - - 5542 - - 4949 - - 3291 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6695 - - 573 - - -584 - - -1402 ODpotential blCL - - - 12402 - - 6106 - - 5664 - - 4789 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 92 - - 88 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.4 - - 55.8 - - 54.4 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 39.5 - - 40.7 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.8 - - 53.2 - - 52.9 - - 49.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 39.2 - - 40.5 - - 42.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 471 - - 254 - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3386 - - 4358 - - 2758 - - 1066 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 68 - - 53 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98564 14 150 16 100 18 138 13 091 98564 91093 16 117 12 105 17 123 14 094 91093 85355 12 128 9 132 17 079 17 098 85355 80600 15 122 8 143 16 060 17 091 80600 76488 14 102 10 133 5 073 13 075 76488 72839 4 086 8 088 9 117 9 076 72839 69525 6 157 3 186 6 090 4 101 69525 66477 4 214 5 188 4 093 1 202 66477 63648 7 249 3 232 4 250 3 067 63648 60901 5 275 1 331 7 255 6 312 60901 58035 13 283 11 293 7 274 10 274 58035 55067 3 269 8 290 7 303 15 302 55067 52242 24 309 32 297 29 301 24 315 52242 49707 31 286 29 302 38 307 30 310 49707 47442 38 312 44 307 38 299 37 308 47442 45384 46 288 46 291 39 293 44 305 45384 43502 34 291 39 288 41 295 57 307 43502 41774 45 316 43 299 51 306 69 306 41774 40172 61 318 61 308 68 309 75 303 40172 38673 70 315 75 309 79 307 80 299 38673 37268 79 316 83 310 86 305 85 296 37268 35918 81 314 87 309 89 303 87 293 35918 34558 77 311 88 306 90 303 87 292 34558 33158 73 310 84 303 91 303 85 295 33158 31722 70 309 80 301 91 303 84 300 31722 30235 68 307 77 300 90 300 84 304 30235 28685 66 304 75 297 88 300 86 305 28685 27068 63 301 75 296 85 303 87 304 27068 25382 60 298 76 301 83 303 87 305 25382 23629 57 295 72 301 78 301 87 308 23629 21814 54 292 64 293 73 297 85 309 21814 19942 53 291 60 286 67 295 77 309 19942 18017 52 291 59 287 58 297 60 311 18017 16079 49 290 54 291 48 301 45 321 16079 14224 39 291 43 296 35 312 35 326 14224 12542 33 284 28 304 24 315 26 327 12542 11050 27 285 20 291 17 313 20 329 11050 9724 22 290 20 276 13 322 10 336 9724 8541 16 297 18 282 10 347 4 027 8541 7487 11 305 13*302 9 001 5 050 7487 6547 12*305 13*306 9 357 7 031 6547 5715 14*299 13 306 10*329 9 003 5715 4976 14 298 14 306 11*320 11 341 4976 4311 15 297 15 304 14 306 15 321 4311 3723 15 297 15 303 15 302 18*306 3723 3230 15 296 15 302 15 301 18*302 3230 2851 15 296 15 302 15 300 18 300 2851 2588 14 295 14 301 15 300 16 299 2588 2429 13 295 13 301 14 300 15 299 2429 2338 11 295 11 301 10 299 9 298 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography