DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/09 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.8 - - 86.0 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 457 - - 277 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2089 - - 4068 - - 2603 - - 445 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3593 - - 5198 - - 3914 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4412 - - 6392 - - 4926 - - 2768 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1054 - - 1497 - - 2272 - - 810 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 366 - - 505 - - 369 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 108 - - 18 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 059 - - 345 - - 344 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 18 - - 2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8026 - - -6671 - - -7688 - - -6235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12439 - - 13064 - - 12615 - - 9004 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15467 - - -12678 - - -14239 - - -14572 ODpotential blCL - - - 19879 - - 19070 - - 19165 - - 17340 blCL maxRH - - - 24 - - 24 - - 23 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.8 - - 86.0 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 38.7 - - 39.1 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.1 - - 85.1 - - 84.1 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.6 - - 38.0 - - 38.5 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 457 - - 277 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2089 - - 4068 - - 2603 - - 445 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99068 43 109 32 116 25 099 28 083 99068 91582 35 109 29 112 28 116 23 099 91582 85841 25 107 31 109 25 101 29 099 85841 81067 20 109 27 100 24 097 26 084 81067 76956 24 111 24 099 26 099 18 092 76956 73344 24 108 22 100 27 108 20 113 73344 70072 20 106 18 093 21 108 23 104 70072 67064 16 107 13 102 16 096 17 099 67064 64300 12 102 16 122 11 087 11 106 64300 61645 11 123 13 107 10 105 11 081 61645 58894 8 141 10 164 4 165 6 038 58894 56067 13 208 13 219 12 226 9 268 56067 53385 16 228 17 238 16 233 17 240 53385 50981 28 240 30 245 27 255 25 256 50981 48834 36 243 39 246 38 254 35 258 48834 46880 44 253 45 248 46 249 42 257 46880 45079 54 255 51 248 50 248 46 255 45079 43402 61 253 54 250 50 248 50 253 43402 41828 63 251 56 251 51 249 52 253 41828 40343 63 251 57 251 51 251 51 253 40343 38938 63 251 57 252 52 252 49 255 38938 37580 63 250 57 255 52 254 49 256 37580 36199 62 250 58 256 51 258 49 259 36199 34768 58 252 56 255 51 262 48 264 34768 33292 57 254 52 256 48 264 43 267 33292 31756 56 254 50 258 45 265 39 266 31756 30149 55 253 49 258 43 266 38 265 30149 28471 52 253 50 258 42 267 36 268 28471 26721 47 253 44 259 39 266 34 269 26721 24905 43 251 40 257 36 263 33 265 24905 23029 40 250 37 257 35 262 31 265 23029 21087 36 251 31 258 31 265 27 270 21087 19069 31 250 26 259 25 269 23 278 19069 17015 29 248 25 259 23 272 20 284 17015 15036 28 249 26 260 22 275 16 291 15036 13237 24 254 23 266 19 281 13 302 13237 11636 19 260 17 274 16 291 12 314 11636 10213 14 269 13 285 13 299 12 320 10213 8944 12 279 10 298 11 303 11 324 8944 7815 10 284 8 309 8 307 10 328 7815 6812 9 285 5*320 4 323 9 326 6812 5924 6 283 4*329 4 349 6 318 5924 5138 3 257 4 338 5*355 5 331 5138 4432 1*193 5 345 7*351 5 357 4432 3805 0*154 6 348 9 346 8 358 3805 3282 1 070 6 348 10 344 11 348 3282 2881 1 050 6 350 10 343 11*342 2881 2604 1 048 6 349 10 342 10*341 2604 2436 1 042 6 350 9 341 9 340 2436 2339 1 042 5 351 8 342 6 340 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography