DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0948z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 52.9 - - 66.5 - - 72.4 - - 69.6 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 286 - - 358 - - 189 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2273 - - 4699 - - 2565 - - 278 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3676 - - 5603 - - 3736 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 4595 - - 7022 - - 4887 - - 2600 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 338 - - 1216 - - 1389 - - 3396 - - 525 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 355 - - 488 - - 322 - - 45 W* B/S 0 - - 23 - - 29 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 253 - - 236 - - 326 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 5 - - 23 - - 24 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1092 - - -3278 - - -2271 - - -1990 - - -769 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3430 - - 7873 - - 9294 - - 6878 - - 3369 sfcLCL ODpotential -7636 - - -7043 - - -4803 - - -3064 - - -3925 ODpotential blCL 9974 - - 11638 - - 11825 - - 7951 - - 6525 blCL maxRH 84 - - 87 - - 96 - - 84 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 140 - - 310 CAPE Temp@2m 52.9 - - 66.5 - - 72.4 - - 69.6 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.0 - - 40.1 - - 39.6 - - 47.4 - - 51.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 64.7 - - 70.2 - - 68.2 - - 57.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.9 - - 39.9 - - 39.4 - - 47.3 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 286 - - 358 - - 189 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2273 - - 4699 - - 2565 - - 278 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 47 - - 85 - - 35 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98567 5 070 3 066 11 185 9 207 7 333 98567 91227 9 098 4 115 9 095 7 136 7 083 91227 85534 13 110 9 119 10 078 13 094 11 107 85534 80803 16 108 15 116 9 098 13 088 12 097 80803 76744 18 101 18 112 11 112 14 087 15 109 76744 73149 14 103 18 105 14 128 8 100 13 089 73149 69877 10 117 14 113 12 136 10 127 9 124 69877 66864 5 133 6 105 12 123 6 135 8 147 66864 64055 4 226 6 246 2 281 1 335 2 145 64055 61326 6 237 15 222 9 269 8 271 3 276 61326 58487 14 301 10 274 10 267 11 264 12 283 58487 55549 28 279 24 271 24 254 20 261 18 257 55549 52738 33 276 31 274 29 266 26 276 22 283 52738 50205 41 276 44 268 40 261 48 263 39 270 50205 47941 50 275 48 262 50 254 62 248 51 252 47941 45877 59 276 48 265 52 256 56 241 48 246 45877 43966 80 277 71 274 59 263 52 249 48 252 43966 42189 98 275 97 271 82 266 63 258 56 252 42189 40539 101 269 108 262 98 259 79 257 64 247 40539 39000 99 264 109 253 101 250 92 251 67 244 39000 37559 93 259 104 248 105 243 102 247 70 243 37559 36177 82 257 97 246 105 243 105 242 76 242 36177 34785 74 256 91 251 99 244 100 239 81 240 34785 33356 71 252 80 253 88 246 91 238 83 238 33356 31898 69 254 68 255 87 249 84 241 79 236 31898 30398 57 263 60 253 83 248 84 243 67 238 30398 28848 42 263 53 245 68 246 77 243 52 242 28848 27246 43 257 48 245 58 244 62 242 38 238 27246 25586 45 253 43 247 53 241 49 241 27 233 25586 23871 42 250 43 248 44 240 41 239 20 223 23871 22102 34 250 42 253 36 238 33 234 17 210 22102 20270 24 258 35 256 32 235 26 225 18 196 20270 18364 21 268 27 246 29 231 22 218 18 194 18364 16422 20 273 21 239 23 219 20 216 16 198 16422 14547 16 272 16 234 19 210 19 212 13 204 14547 12835 13 270 14 231 16 208 19 208 14 203 12835 11308 11 267 12 229 15 205 18 201 16 194 11308 9944 9 266 10 229 13 199 17 186 17 183 9944 8726 8 267 7 229 11 189 12 156 14 165 8726 7638 9 270 6 228 6*174 10 138 12 155 7638 6671 8 269 5 225 4*181 8 133 9 142 6671 5813 6 263 5 212 3 193 3 124 6 097 5813 5052 4 258 5*205 3 218 1*016 7 054 5052 4368 3 274 3*218 3 244 5*334 8 039 4368 3760 2 314 3 244 4 256 8 327 8 021 3760 3252 4 327 3 258 4 262 8 326 11 345 3252 2862 8 323 3 267 4 266 9 325 12*330 2862 2594 9 318 3 269 4 269 9 324 11*327 2594 2431 7*318 3 272 4 268 8 323 10 327 2431 2338 3*310 3 270 4 268 7 324 6 326 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography