DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.6 - - 51.6 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 52 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1863 - - 2028 - - - - - 784 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4184 - - 4349 - - - - - 3105 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2423 - - 2099 - - - - - 3121 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 187 - - 207 - - - - - 51 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 5 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 161 - - 152 - - - - - 186 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 2 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1406 - - 1612 - - - - - 395 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2778 - - 2738 - - - - - 2710 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 141 - - 515 - - - - - -531 ODpotential blCL - - - 4043 - - 3834 - - - - - 3636 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 60 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.6 - - 51.6 - - - - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.4 - - 47.5 - - - - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 51.1 - - - - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 46.3 - - - - - 47.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 43 - - 52 - - - - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1863 - - 2028 - - - - - 784 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98552 10 140 7 033 10 116 98552 91100 9 093 8 140 14 068 91100 85359 7 090 9 117 8 092 85359 80612 7 148 7 166 11 077 80612 76533 10 121 9 148 9 062 76533 72920 14 119 10 134 8 101 72920 69640 10 151 9 131 8 134 69640 66617 16 158 8 191 8 178 66617 63803 11 165 13 191 12 186 63803 61057 11 194 9 196 6 197 61057 58185 10 199 10 217 16 233 58185 55210 5 252 9 228 10 228 55210 52366 15 284 14 254 16 279 52366 49800 22 272 17 260 19 289 49800 47506 18 267 15 269 24 293 47506 45431 13 294 13 277 23 289 45431 43524 22 317 16 305 27 307 43524 41760 29 295 32 299 31 308 41760 40118 29 283 29 286 33 306 40118 38583 26 290 32 307 31 303 38583 37142 32 308 36 298 27 316 37142 35758 36 295 33 282 29 324 35758 34366 31 282 26 296 32 332 34366 32939 28 291 34 314 34 336 32939 31483 31 297 36 314 31 337 31483 29985 34 290 31 298 28 353 29985 28442 32 285 26 287 29 002 28442 26861 21 275 16 293 29 001 26861 25231 12 259 2 261 26 353 25231 23543 8 251 6 123 23 353 23543 21795 7 256 3 230 21 004 21795 19978 10 258 10 274 20 012 19978 18085 14 258 14 278 18 019 18085 16156 16 261 17 266 15 028 16156 14298 18 258 18 247 15 032 14298 12608 21 247 18 231 13 032 12608 11106 19 238 15 221 10 036 11106 9769 16 227 12 217 10 049 9769 8577 12 200 11 212 13 056 8577 7514 14 173 12 198 14 058 7514 6569 18 162 14 185 12 057 6569 5733 20 159 16 174 7 051 5733 4993 20 160 17*164 5 050 4993 4326 20*160 18*156 3 058 4326 3734 17*160 17 153 1 110 3734 3238 15 161 16 152 2*165 3238 2855 13 161 15 151 2*179 2855 2591 12 161 14 151 2 186 2591 2430 11 161 13 150 2 188 2430 2338 8 161 9 149 2 197 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography