DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 84.6 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 383 - - - - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1513 - - 2904 - - - - - 339 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3134 - - 4248 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3836 - - 5228 - - - - - 2661 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 701 - - 1371 - - - - - 421 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 429 - - - - - 83 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 209 - - - - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -2 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3068 - - -6297 - - - - - -1442 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6904 - - 11526 - - - - - 4103 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8007 - - -9913 - - - - - -8997 ODpotential blCL - - - 11843 - - 15141 - - - - - 11658 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 71 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 250 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 84.6 - - - - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.3 - - 42.1 - - - - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 82.2 - - - - - 61.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.6 - - 41.1 - - - - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 283 - - 383 - - - - - 24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1513 - - 2904 - - - - - 339 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98046 9 231 7 233 1 100 98046 90635 9 211 5 254 5 237 90635 84926 10 182 10 240 5 321 84926 80196 4 171 11 226 9 331 80196 76136 3 151 4 166 4 310 76136 72562 2 179 2 066 1 022 72562 69348 1 221 5 290 6 030 69348 66398 3 291 7 272 10 011 66398 63648 2 331 7 232 9 346 63648 60970 11 275 6 245 11 325 60970 58177 10 255 10 260 12 265 58177 55290 18 238 14 255 17 248 55290 52533 22 227 24 236 23 238 52533 50045 21 229 28 229 25 230 50045 47818 24 230 27 229 26 229 47818 45809 31 222 31 230 29 234 45809 43984 41 208 37 214 30 229 43984 42313 45 201 40 202 32 224 42313 40767 46 201 43 200 36 216 40767 39325 44 202 42 199 40 211 39325 37971 46 202 40 200 39 211 37971 36661 46 200 42 197 36 209 36661 35331 44 201 40 198 36 201 35331 33955 43 203 39 202 32 196 33955 32536 42 203 37 204 28 198 32536 31059 40 204 36 205 27 201 31059 29510 40 202 36 206 29 199 29510 27891 38 199 36 205 32 193 27891 26201 35 195 35 200 31 190 26201 24442 29 187 32 191 27 190 24442 22619 24 182 28 180 25 182 22619 20734 24 190 25 180 30 177 20734 18777 31 196 32 192 40 172 18777 16782 43 194 43 186 42 168 16782 14856 46 192 41 185 34 167 14856 13096 38 192 30 184 26 176 13096 11525 30 191 23 180 17 190 11525 10124 24 202 18 187 9 214 10124 8871 22 215 16 186 8 223 8871 7752 18 213 17 177 8 217 7752 6757 17 196 17 178 7 207 6757 5875 18 180 14*183 6 205 5875 5094 19 170 11*197 8 220 5094 4393 15*170 11 206 11 241 4393 3774 10*179 11 210 14 264 3774 3260 7 197 11 213 16 287 3260 2866 7 201 11 215 15*295 2866 2597 7 204 10 216 13*297 2597 2433 6 205 10 217 12 297 2433 2338 6 206 8 217 8 297 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography