DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.7 - - 49.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.5 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 50 - - 86 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 461 - - 1675 - - 1189 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2320 - - 2321 - - 2717 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2782 - - 3996 - - 3510 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 339 - - 926 - - 1633 - - 1830 - - 1070 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 125 - - 230 - - 113 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 4 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 208 - - 192 - - 198 - - 012 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1090 - - -1557 - - -1193 - - -1540 - - -636 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3427 - - 4339 - - 5189 - - 5050 - - 2974 sfcLCL ODpotential -12043 - - -8526 - - -8975 - - -8449 - - -8067 ODpotential blCL 14380 - - 11308 - - 12971 - - 11959 - - 10405 blCL maxRH 59 - - 63 - - 69 - - 59 - - 65 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.7 - - 49.8 - - 55.7 - - 55.5 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 39.2 - - 41.4 - - 41.8 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.0 - - 49.3 - - 54.9 - - 55.4 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 38.0 - - 40.1 - - 40.6 - - 43.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 50 - - 86 - - 7 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 461 - - 1675 - - 1189 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96818 24 104 24 109 14 104 15 087 15 110 96818 89635 24 097 24 104 14 123 12 098 13 087 89635 84085 18 098 15 111 13 113 12 102 10 079 84085 79471 6 089 9 136 2 178 5 086 2 041 79471 75492 3 125 7 176 3 254 5 042 1 067 75492 71972 5 249 12 256 10 272 12 294 11 331 71972 68782 11 245 14 238 14 256 16 253 13 301 68782 65842 9 222 13 262 12 273 20 262 18 285 65842 63109 28 262 27 269 22 265 24 267 21 273 63109 60459 40 260 36 268 33 263 32 269 27 274 60459 57692 46 255 45 267 40 263 43 266 38 275 57692 54826 49 252 48 256 47 254 51 261 49 268 54826 52102 43 252 44 248 51 256 51 261 51 271 52102 49657 42 275 49 260 59 262 66 275 69 279 49657 47480 57 275 64 264 73 265 81 268 78 274 47480 45525 74 259 73 260 76 260 79 265 74 270 45525 43747 79 251 71 256 72 263 71 273 68 272 43747 42111 73 252 70 253 68 271 71 281 64 284 42111 40591 70 252 68 249 65 271 72 283 79 305 40591 39163 69 252 64 253 67 263 71 285 83 304 39163 37814 70 257 64 257 65 258 68 285 78 301 37814 36505 68 260 62 257 61 254 63 284 72 296 36505 35171 65 259 62 256 60 254 60 278 68 292 35171 33784 64 259 61 257 59 254 60 272 66 290 33784 32345 61 260 58 259 58 255 58 264 64 286 32345 30843 57 262 53 258 55 254 54 260 60 277 30843 29271 54 264 47 256 50 251 49 256 56 267 29271 27638 52 263 43 255 44 248 46 251 48 263 27638 25942 50 259 42 251 41 247 43 251 42 260 25942 24183 47 253 42 246 40 248 40 250 39 256 24183 22361 45 250 41 245 40 249 38 249 38 250 22361 20471 42 247 40 245 39 248 37 249 36 249 20471 18506 38 242 39 245 38 248 34 251 31 250 18506 16506 34 238 36 245 35 249 31 253 25 250 16506 14583 31 234 30 244 31 250 27 254 20 250 14583 12837 28 231 25 240 25 247 23 252 16 254 12837 11285 26 226 21 233 20 238 18 242 13 253 11285 9904 25 218 19 219 17 222 16 222 11 230 9904 8674 23 208 18 201 18 205 17 209 14 204 8674 7583 23 202 18 192 19 198 17 205 17 195 7583 6617 23 202 17 195 17 199 15 204 16 188 6617 5766 20 206 15 204 13 200 11 201 14 177 5766 5014 15 214 13 215 8 200 8 196 11 162 5014 4339 11 230 11 226 6*193 7 188 8 146 4339 3741 9 245 9 229 6*190 6*190 6 141 3741 3241 8 244 9 221 6 192 5*195 4 137 3241 2856 9 226 8*211 6 193 5 197 2 124 2856 2591 9 211 7*209 5 194 5 200 1 111 2591 2430 7*204 6 208 5 195 5 200 0*024 2430 2338 3*192 5 207 4 194 4 201 0*012 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography