DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 57.9 - - 63.5 - - 62.3 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 22 - - 120 - - 33 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 143 - - 1880 - - 1462 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 3074 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2465 - - 4202 - - 3783 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 1067 - - 1350 - - 1359 - - 505 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 66 - - 258 - - 156 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 65 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 186 - - 334 - - 009 - - 016 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3243 - - -3843 - - -3499 - - -2796 - - -521 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5581 - - 6308 - - 7702 - - 6580 - - 2859 sfcLCL ODpotential -12713 - - -10887 - - -9668 - - -7987 - - -7138 ODpotential blCL 15051 - - 13352 - - 13870 - - 11770 - - 9476 blCL maxRH 51 - - 54 - - 80 - - 85 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 57.9 - - 63.5 - - 62.3 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.5 - - 38.9 - - 38.2 - - 42.0 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.3 - - 57.7 - - 62.5 - - 62.1 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.1 - - 37.8 - - 37.1 - - 41.1 - - 45.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 22 - - 120 - - 33 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 143 - - 1880 - - 1462 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 21 - - 38 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96697 19 124 13 072 12 108 19 108 25 117 96697 89591 22 086 24 097 17 096 21 118 17 083 89591 84099 23 094 17 101 14 101 18 099 8 077 84099 79523 17 085 14 120 8 102 10 093 10 053 79523 75563 12 064 14 120 4 129 3 073 14 044 75563 72056 7 019 8 091 5 122 2 181 8 037 72056 68889 3 220 2 358 2 329 1 018 5 046 68889 65978 10 191 4 265 7 283 4 273 3 271 65978 63274 7 220 10 255 11 282 5 287 7 292 63274 60647 13 257 15 256 18 279 13 283 13 280 60647 57902 12 234 17 252 22 268 21 289 24 300 57902 55054 17 276 18 258 25 264 33 280 36 282 55054 52339 25 284 16 264 22 254 27 272 29 273 52339 49893 29 308 22 312 19 286 31 290 31 278 49893 47685 42 308 39 307 33 295 33 277 34 273 47685 45663 46 313 43 309 37 300 33 297 36 296 45663 43824 57 319 52 316 60 318 61 317 63 313 43824 42168 49 317 57 313 45 315 67 309 77 311 42168 40654 24 311 38 297 29 311 25 306 68 300 40654 39237 21 325 24 287 28 305 14 315 49 299 39237 37898 27 348 15 294 24 313 17 310 37 287 37898 36601 48 357 24 333 24 326 20 299 31 285 36601 35279 57 355 23 322 22 319 23 281 32 296 35279 33906 55 352 24 304 17 284 25 279 34 307 33906 32487 45 351 30 297 25 273 27 286 34 306 32487 31007 29 344 26 297 33 279 30 276 31 292 31007 29454 21 331 21 291 34 278 28 271 31 281 29454 27825 18 311 22 287 31 270 32 287 36 281 27825 26122 21 298 29 289 31 266 39 298 42 293 26122 24353 26 300 29 288 33 275 40 301 42 298 24353 22523 26 301 31 293 35 283 36 300 39 294 22523 20620 18 297 30 297 32 284 34 290 35 281 20620 18640 17 298 24 292 26 273 34 287 35 278 18640 16627 16 292 19 285 22 266 31 282 32 282 16627 14693 9 284 18 277 20 269 24 273 30 280 14693 12936 4 302 15 272 20 278 20 272 26 274 12936 11374 4 353 11 271 18 287 16 283 22 274 11374 9984 7 352 8 275 14 294 13 300 17 279 9984 8746 10 351 6 289 10 302 11 313 12 287 8746 7643 9 345 5 311 8 316 9 323 9 298 7643 6665 8 334 4 328 7 333 8 330 8 314 6665 5801 6 323 3 339 6 348 6 340 9 329 5801 5038 5 317 3 343 6 359 5 351 11 341 5038 4354 4 313 3 335 7*005 4*356 12 349 4354 3749 3 308 4 330 7*006 4*359 14 349 3749 3245 3 295 4 330 7 008 4 013 16 345 3245 2857 2 271 2 338 7 009 4 022 15 336 2857 2591 2 224 0*006 7 010 3 024 13 332 2591 2430 2*195 0*350 6 010 3 025 9*333 2430 2338 2*186 0 328 5 009 3 027 4*334 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography