DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 53.8 - - 54.5 - - 47.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 104 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 424 - - 1239 - - 640 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2745 - - 3560 - - 2962 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 691 - - 634 - - 907 - - 694 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 116 - - 209 - - 38 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 344 - - 317 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -7 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -204 - - 314 - - 6 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2949 - - 3246 - - 2956 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8489 - - -7416 - - -6895 - - -6380 ODpotential blCL - - - 11234 - - 10976 - - 9857 - - 8717 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 93 - - 87 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.6 - - 53.8 - - 54.5 - - 47.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.8 - - 47.8 - - 49.6 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 53.1 - - 54.8 - - 50.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.3 - - 47.3 - - 49.3 - - 48.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 104 - - 1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 424 - - 1239 - - 640 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 72 - - 50 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96345 9 137 9 264 5 346 6 046 96345 89269 4 047 7 325 6 029 7 072 89269 83769 4 278 8 313 5 022 7 313 83769 79210 9 010 5 332 11 318 10 321 79210 75275 17 351 13 334 9 305 14 336 75275 71806 16 335 17 313 17 327 20 326 71806 68678 27 332 26 324 26 332 20 326 68678 65797 36 319 32 313 33 324 32 326 65797 63132 33 317 30 314 32 314 32 310 63132 60558 28 321 34 320 36 314 34 308 60558 57864 35 312 35 312 42 301 41 297 57864 55044 45 289 39 295 42 290 44 289 55044 52327 51 271 47 273 38 291 41 298 52327 49868 47 279 57 312 66 307 74 307 49868 47665 78 303 90 307 94 300 96 298 47665 45673 81 293 89 295 90 290 91 291 45673 43850 71 282 72 284 77 282 79 284 43850 42173 57 278 66 278 69 280 68 282 42173 40623 52 281 60 282 59 286 61 286 40623 39178 60 283 58 288 59 292 61 291 39178 37820 65 285 59 293 60 285 64 291 37820 36508 68 289 61 288 63 279 66 290 36508 35170 67 292 65 286 66 280 70 287 35170 33778 61 287 66 288 70 285 75 289 33778 32343 58 276 61 287 65 286 71 289 32343 30855 57 274 58 284 61 278 61 274 30855 29300 56 279 58 284 61 277 61 273 29300 27676 58 282 59 285 61 279 60 277 27676 25984 59 283 61 287 55 281 59 278 25984 24227 59 285 61 289 45 286 56 281 24227 22408 59 284 57 286 46 286 54 283 22408 20520 59 282 56 280 53 280 52 282 20520 18553 59 281 54 278 52 278 50 280 18553 16553 55 279 50 278 47 281 48 282 16553 14630 49 278 45 279 41 288 43 284 14630 12883 44 278 41 279 37 292 36 284 12883 11330 40 278 38 280 34 295 32 287 11330 9948 37 279 34 283 31 296 29 293 9948 8715 35 278 30 290 26 301 24 300 8715 7618 31 278 25 299 22 313 20 308 7618 6644 24 276 19 310 21 327 18 315 6644 5785 17 270 14 323 19 335 17 319 5785 5024 13 256 12 337 16 338 15 321 5024 4344 10 248 11 343 13 332 14 319 4344 3741 7 250 10*344 12 324 14 315 3741 3240 6 272 8*344 9*320 15 310 3240 2855 6*283 8 344 8*319 13 309 2855 2590 5*283 8 344 7 317 10 310 2590 2429 4 284 7 344 6 317 7 310 2429 2337 3 283 6 343 4 316 2*298 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography