DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/06 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 76.0 - - - - - 57.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 472 - - - - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1239 - - 1826 - - - - - 363 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2989 - - 3481 - - - - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3561 - - 4149 - - - - - 2684 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 688 - - 933 - - - - - 358 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 314 - - 393 - - - - - 93 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 301 - - - - - 301 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -6 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7109 - - -6685 - - - - - -3812 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10670 - - 10834 - - - - - 6496 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14635 - - -13005 - - - - - -12420 ODpotential blCL - - - 18196 - - 17154 - - - - - 15104 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 62 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.6 - - 76.0 - - - - - 57.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.3 - - 36.7 - - - - - 37.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.5 - - 73.4 - - - - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 35.7 - - - - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 354 - - 472 - - - - - 31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1239 - - 1826 - - - - - 363 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98656 15 105 9 091 11 084 98656 91159 11 116 12 121 6 094 91159 85401 9 143 9 119 10 104 85401 80623 14 151 10 151 12 113 80623 76495 15 133 10 167 10 119 76495 72858 10 110 10 164 10 119 72858 69598 3 105 8 145 10 069 69598 66612 1 044 1 284 8 033 66612 63848 11 254 8 263 8 321 63848 61179 15 223 8 271 9 284 61179 58402 18 261 20 269 15 277 58402 55517 30 277 29 263 24 272 55517 52740 43 273 42 270 37 269 52740 50223 54 268 49 273 48 262 50223 47964 58 269 55 274 54 259 47964 45922 60 274 60 274 57 264 45922 44060 66 280 64 274 60 270 44060 42343 72 280 67 273 65 271 42343 40746 75 277 69 272 69 269 40746 39256 72 275 72 270 70 268 39256 37859 69 273 74 268 71 268 37859 36519 70 271 75 267 71 267 36519 35168 70 269 73 266 67 263 35168 33773 66 266 68 263 61 261 33773 32335 62 263 64 261 61 262 32335 30839 58 264 61 262 64 262 30839 29279 53 267 56 263 62 262 29279 27657 49 266 52 261 56 263 27657 25971 46 266 49 259 47 267 25971 24223 40 266 43 258 41 265 24223 22414 32 264 37 256 37 261 22414 20538 29 259 35 256 37 259 20538 18588 29 260 36 259 37 261 18588 16602 27 268 33 266 35 266 16602 14688 25 274 28 271 29 269 14688 12945 20 281 23 278 24 270 12945 11393 17 291 19 282 21 270 11393 10010 14 302 15 286 18 271 10010 8775 12 311 12 294 16 271 8775 7673 10 315 10 301 15 274 7673 6692 8 314 7 306 14 279 6692 5824 7 309 6 308 13 286 5824 5055 6 307 7 308 14 294 5055 4365 7 307 10*305 16 302 4365 3754 8*300 11*303 20 307 3754 3246 9*297 12 302 23 305 3246 2858 9 297 12 301 21*303 2858 2592 9 295 12 301 18*302 2592 2431 8 295 11 300 17 301 2431 2338 7 295 10 300 10 300 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography