DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 59.3 - - 56.6 - - 50.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -16 - - 39 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 222 - - 1417 - - 797 - - 168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 38 - - 11 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 209 - - 200 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 0 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4270 - - -4371 - - -3189 - - -3294 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6608 - - 6709 - - 5527 - - 5632 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12743 - - -11188 - - -10419 - - -12717 ODpotential blCL - - - 15081 - - 13526 - - 12757 - - 15055 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 78 - - 82 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.4 - - 59.3 - - 56.6 - - 50.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.3 - - 38.5 - - 40.9 - - 34.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.8 - - 60.7 - - 58.5 - - 56.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 38.3 - - 40.5 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -16 - - 39 - - -6 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 25 - - 13 - - 29 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96081 26 041 10 077 14 067 18 045 96081 89086 29 057 17 059 18 059 16 043 89086 83693 20 069 17 055 21 055 15 052 83693 79179 15 086 12 049 24 035 21 036 79179 75271 16 076 14 059 17 037 18 031 75271 71819 17 047 19 050 15 058 17 055 71819 68691 17 030 21 029 19 041 24 055 68691 65809 13 027 18 017 21 022 23 032 65809 63145 14 015 17 005 21 001 23 012 63145 60576 19 012 19 357 22 339 26 356 60576 57885 21 003 21 350 20 331 24 343 57885 55066 22 350 23 343 21 332 23 333 55066 52356 22 336 22 329 25 322 28 319 52356 49909 29 322 29 317 34 318 34 310 49909 47705 33 317 34 311 38 308 36 300 47705 45686 34 317 32 306 37 300 35 299 45686 43816 38 312 34 300 38 292 38 298 43816 42072 40 302 35 299 33 291 36 290 42072 40447 36 303 35 300 36 292 34 288 40447 38948 39 299 44 291 38 292 41 283 38948 37583 44 290 38 291 47 285 47 276 37583 36291 41 291 40 292 50 281 50 276 36291 34981 37 291 41 292 47 276 47 277 34981 33619 36 291 41 291 42 275 40 276 33619 32212 36 287 38 291 36 277 33 275 32212 30745 34 282 33 291 35 270 29 274 30745 29210 29 275 31 280 34 265 24 280 29210 27607 27 286 25 281 27 265 25 277 27607 25936 26 294 23 293 18 275 24 264 25936 24201 26 299 22 299 12 304 19 258 24201 22404 23 298 22 295 12 295 18 259 22404 20540 21 301 20 293 20 284 21 269 20540 18601 21 305 19 295 21 280 20 274 18601 16620 19 307 17 292 16 278 13 284 16620 14705 16 306 14 289 11 278 9 291 14705 12957 13 304 11 285 9 284 6 275 12957 11398 10 308 8 282 8 291 5 265 11398 10007 7 309 7 268 8 288 5 263 10007 8766 6 278 6 236 6 277 5 248 8766 7662 5 243 6 201 5 253 4 210 7662 6682 7 224 7 200 5 229 5 168 6682 5818 10 220 10 219 7 228 5 157 5818 5053 14 220 13 225 10 232 5 182 5053 4366 19 220 16 226 12 234 8 208 4366 3758 22 217 17 222 13 231 11 215 3758 3251 22 211 15 216 13 222 13 210 3251 2862 19 203 13 211 12 211 14 201 2862 2593 16 198 11 209 10 204 12 195 2593 2431 12*197 9 209 7*202 8*189 2431 2338 4*204 7*209 4*200 3*181 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography