DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 81.7 - - 83.4 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 173 - - 43 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 673 - - 2350 - - 2837 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2323 - - 3587 - - 2323 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2995 - - 4673 - - 5160 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 942 - - 1318 - - 1152 - - 805 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 157 - - 314 - - 220 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 20 - - 25 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 103 - - 018 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3429 - - -4058 - - -4848 - - -3005 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6424 - - 8732 - - 10009 - - 5345 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10729 - - -9780 - - -10785 - - -10436 ODpotential blCL - - - 13724 - - 14453 - - 15945 - - 12775 blCL maxRH - - - 47 - - 41 - - 36 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.7 - - 81.7 - - 83.4 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.9 - - 51.8 - - 48.0 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.2 - - 80.5 - - 83.0 - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 50.6 - - 46.8 - - 53.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 173 - - 43 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 673 - - 2350 - - 2837 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96753 21 307 31 287 34 285 24 322 96753 89572 6 297 16 272 13 304 5 003 89572 84081 5 209 12 279 7 344 4 030 84081 79547 3 200 6 283 1 186 3 003 79547 75637 0 131 4 251 4 249 4 311 75637 72176 4 013 2 306 1 196 5 280 72176 69056 5 350 6 300 3 318 6 328 69056 66199 5 357 6 304 5 302 8 320 66199 63558 7 311 11 309 8 319 9 321 63558 61003 12 281 14 286 12 290 11 284 61003 58338 16 288 16 284 14 297 14 281 58338 55575 17 279 19 272 19 285 19 284 55575 52928 16 271 21 271 24 275 23 283 52928 50526 18 278 21 267 24 264 22 272 50526 48349 21 271 20 269 22 260 22 256 48349 46352 24 258 24 254 25 242 28 232 46352 44520 34 255 28 248 29 239 31 226 44520 42841 44 248 37 249 34 244 31 237 42841 41284 43 233 39 234 42 230 38 239 41284 39828 42 229 38 227 39 224 40 228 39828 38459 42 232 37 230 38 225 41 223 38459 37138 42 234 36 234 37 227 42 221 37138 35800 42 234 36 233 36 228 41 223 35800 34412 41 238 36 236 34 229 39 226 34412 32978 41 247 35 243 33 231 37 227 32978 31482 39 248 33 243 32 230 33 225 31482 29913 37 244 31 240 32 227 30 217 29913 28274 33 240 30 238 31 226 29 214 28274 26565 31 237 29 237 30 226 31 214 26565 24789 30 233 28 234 30 225 32 214 24789 22947 28 229 30 233 30 225 32 217 22947 21032 24 228 32 233 31 227 28 223 21032 19036 21 230 28 231 28 236 22 233 19036 16999 18 236 21 229 20 238 16 233 16999 15034 13 252 14 231 10 233 8 218 15034 13245 8 262 8 235 4 219 3 156 13245 11651 5 254 6 234 1 184 5 114 11651 10228 5 258 5 245 2 022 8 094 10228 8957 5 267 4 258 3 015 8 091 8957 7824 5 267 4 255 3 006 6 085 7824 6817 4 253 4 235 2 350 4 071 6817 5928 4 223 3 204 1*300 3 027 5928 5141 4 193 3*180 1*315 3 336 5141 4435 4 182 2*132 1 340 3 346 4435 3809 4 179 3 105 2 022 3 009 3809 3285 3*147 3 102 2 030 7 034 3285 2882 3*092 3 097 2 039 9 038 2882 2605 3 089 3 095 2 039 9 040 2605 2436 3 088 3 096 2 040 8*041 2436 2339 3 088 3 094 2 038 5*043 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography