DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/20 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 44.1 - - 44.9 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 140 - - 34 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1420 - - 3039 - - 3536 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2320 - - 3985 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3740 - - 5359 - - 5857 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1829 - - 1203 - - 1173 - - 3294 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 205 - - 320 - - 221 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 78 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 102 - - 312 - - 079 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 2 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -700 - - 519 - - 923 - - -304 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4440 - - 4840 - - 4934 - - 2641 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7813 - - -5284 - - -449 - - -1814 ODpotential blCL - - - 11553 - - 10643 - - 6306 - - 4151 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 77 - - 82 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.5 - - 44.1 - - 44.9 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 31.1 - - 31.5 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 39.9 - - 43.1 - - 44.6 - - 40.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.1 - - 30.0 - - 30.4 - - 35.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 78 - - 140 - - 34 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1420 - - 3039 - - 3536 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 8 - - 30 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96629 25 119 20 094 32 096 33 115 96629 89454 27 112 20 117 18 107 27 095 89454 83898 17 112 17 109 14 132 14 080 83898 79269 8 120 7 113 9 131 7 116 79269 75246 5 093 3 188 2 178 4 079 75246 71665 3 211 10 221 3 237 6 294 71665 68428 4 229 5 220 7 232 5 259 68428 65452 3 335 9 288 10 260 7 255 65452 62686 23 305 19 298 14 307 10 276 62686 60006 25 282 24 288 21 301 20 279 60006 57207 21 290 29 294 28 301 25 291 57207 54298 33 305 40 296 41 300 33 296 54298 51512 46 300 47 297 48 295 38 293 51512 48996 51 294 49 296 53 293 48 296 48996 46735 54 291 54 295 60 291 58 294 46735 44686 54 291 56 296 60 289 60 289 44686 42817 58 299 60 296 61 293 59 293 42817 41093 65 297 63 294 64 298 70 296 41093 39491 74 294 65 292 66 302 77 297 39491 38005 84 289 65 292 70 303 86 297 38005 36629 87 287 69 295 77 302 86 295 36629 35320 86 286 73 296 81 298 82 300 35320 34002 82 285 72 292 76 299 90 309 34002 32642 76 285 66 290 73 303 98 309 32642 31244 68 285 59 289 73 305 102 307 31244 29792 56 287 47 289 62 303 96 308 29792 28277 46 287 33 290 49 306 85 309 28277 26702 39 288 31 296 41 305 71 309 26702 25071 33 284 33 294 40 301 54 304 25071 23384 27 271 32 290 40 298 41 296 23384 21636 24 268 26 285 38 296 39 299 21636 19819 24 273 15 281 32 293 44 304 19819 17930 22 293 10 293 23 292 44 303 17930 16006 22 314 11 301 14 273 37 307 16006 14154 22 314 12 308 8 248 27 305 14154 12473 20 311 14 311 8 286 16 298 12473 10978 17 309 14 313 9 305 12 296 10978 9646 13 311 12 315 9 305 12 306 9646 8460 10 319 9 324 7 301 11 310 8460 7408 7 332 7 339 6 301 9 298 7408 6478 9 336 4 350 4*305 7 271 6478 5659 12 328 1*346 4*311 6 239 5659 4933 13 322 0*057 4 311 4 229 4933 4280 12*319 1 095 4 311 2 211 4280 3701 9*314 1 107 4 313 1 116 3701 3215 6 305 1 108 4 312 3 103 3215 2841 6 303 1 104 4 312 4 097 2841 2584 5 302 1 099 4 312 4 091 2584 2427 5 301 1 105 4 312 3*085 2427 2337 4 301 1 106 3 311 2*079 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography