DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.1 - - 87.9 - - 95.1 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 317 - - 435 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1923 - - 3884 - - - - - 158 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3452 - - 5036 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4246 - - 6207 - - - - - 2481 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 219 - - 1034 - - 1463 - - - - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 348 - - 489 - - - - - 17 W* B/S 0 - - 17 - - 26 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 312 - - 337 - - - - - 322 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 4 - - 15 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10800 - - -12300 - - -11296 - - - - - -7866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13140 - - 16547 - - 17504 - - - - - 10348 sfcLCL ODpotential -23276 - - -22174 - - -19758 - - - - - -18244 ODpotential blCL 25615 - - 26420 - - 25965 - - - - - 20725 blCL maxRH 14 - - 21 - - 32 - - - - - 26 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.1 - - 87.9 - - 95.1 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.3 - - 23.9 - - 26.1 - - - - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 73.0 - - 85.9 - - 92.3 - - - - - 78.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.5 - - 23.1 - - 25.2 - - - - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 317 - - 435 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1923 - - 3884 - - - - - 158 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99546 49 098 45 116 38 114 35 100 99546 92043 44 109 40 107 39 117 32 095 92043 86257 36 111 36 105 37 104 33 109 86257 81445 31 110 29 105 30 103 33 107 81445 77316 24 116 26 109 27 109 29 101 77316 73687 24 119 25 116 25 116 25 103 73687 70406 27 122 26 127 22 122 25 102 70406 67402 25 122 26 133 18 134 19 096 67402 64632 17 118 19 132 17 131 13 111 64632 61960 11 113 17 140 16 145 11 154 61960 59201 7 129 14 145 20 161 11 163 59201 56383 9 200 6 196 13 169 9 231 56383 53736 16 212 20 224 18 220 21 233 53736 51359 21 221 27 221 30 233 24 231 51359 49207 23 221 29 220 33 230 24 240 49207 47239 23 221 27 222 28 224 27 253 47239 45422 20 213 25 217 29 220 31 250 45422 43729 15 205 21 208 32 219 33 245 43729 42139 13 202 17 192 28 223 33 242 42139 40639 10 209 14 189 21 218 34 237 40639 39221 13 232 14 198 19 210 33 230 39221 37851 15 223 18 203 22 200 30 222 37851 36465 15 219 19 202 24 195 28 221 36465 35033 16 219 17 208 21 191 25 211 35033 33558 13 235 11 225 12 190 27 184 33558 32023 10 258 5 267 7 167 25 171 32023 30414 11 291 4 295 7 162 22 165 30414 28732 11 301 5 284 7 168 19 158 28732 26978 9 306 4 264 7 170 17 154 26978 25155 10 305 6 264 6 183 15 151 25155 23268 10 281 7 264 5 208 14 153 23268 21307 8 260 8 250 6 220 13 160 21307 19266 8 247 10 230 9 217 11 176 19266 17188 7 244 11 224 10 218 8 180 17188 15189 5 258 9 232 9 227 4 177 15189 13374 2 308 5 232 6 239 2 064 13374 11757 3 015 3 200 3 236 5 039 11757 10317 4 014 1 161 2 207 5 029 10317 9031 5 359 1 333 1 233 5 013 9031 7885 6 346 3 323 2 305 4 350 7885 6867 5 344 4 312 2*322 4 317 6867 5967 4 338 4 288 2*338 4 289 5967 5170 3 313 4 274 2 340 4 281 5170 4454 3 283 3*286 3 339 4 286 4454 3819 3 270 3*303 4 335 6 315 3819 3289 5 291 4 311 4 336 12 323 3289 2883 7 309 4 314 5 335 14 323 2883 2605 9 314 4 314 5 336 13*323 2605 2436 8*318 4 314 5 334 11*323 2436 2339 3*313 4 315 4 335 6 321 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography