DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 55.0 - - 61.1 - - 57.4 - - 46.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 6 - - 96 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 547 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2868 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 76 - - 324 - - 360 - - 560 - - 159 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 24 - - 157 - - 13 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 3 - - 10 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 064 - - 070 - - 045 - - 051 - - 120 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - -3 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4200 - - -3757 - - -4243 - - -4214 - - -2411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6539 - - 6095 - - 7111 - - 6552 - - 4748 sfcLCL ODpotential -16924 - - -13731 - - -13245 - - -13405 - - -14534 ODpotential blCL 19262 - - 16069 - - 16113 - - 15743 - - 16871 blCL maxRH 30 - - 41 - - 43 - - 43 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 55.0 - - 61.1 - - 57.4 - - 46.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 37.2 - - 38.8 - - 37.5 - - 35.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.6 - - 55.2 - - 60.3 - - 58.2 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.8 - - 36.1 - - 37.9 - - 36.9 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 6 - - 96 - - -17 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 547 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96506 14 103 17 105 14 112 15 094 8 095 96506 89440 26 097 22 093 17 110 19 081 19 104 89440 83915 24 089 20 092 17 092 13 071 22 062 83915 79314 23 099 20 091 17 103 6 029 23 034 79314 75358 28 083 19 072 19 069 6 056 12 037 75358 71848 20 065 17 069 19 045 17 045 11 051 71848 68656 15 043 17 046 11 046 20 026 19 028 68656 65726 9 025 17 008 12 008 20 005 19 010 65726 63029 14 344 24 352 19 358 16 352 16 356 63029 60433 23 336 28 343 27 348 19 347 15 335 60433 57725 26 321 22 329 29 335 19 335 15 314 57725 54904 28 314 19 319 26 322 22 331 16 311 54904 52218 28 307 24 311 26 316 27 334 16 337 52218 49822 23 303 21 302 24 309 27 322 19 338 49822 47692 21 349 19 353 10 311 16 293 16 309 47692 45768 30 352 29 354 16 014 5 118 10 204 45768 44011 19 333 13 326 19 359 19 046 11 108 44011 42391 3 142 2 248 4 335 16 023 24 062 42391 40882 9 159 7 158 6 176 2 332 20 055 40882 39459 12 169 12 160 13 195 10 207 10 060 39459 38110 12 157 17 163 18 192 21 201 4 172 38110 36803 13 153 15 159 21 184 22 198 13 208 36803 35476 13 152 11 146 16 181 23 197 20 213 35476 34098 10 145 8 152 12 170 24 198 20 222 34098 32674 8 124 7 164 11 176 20 191 18 216 32674 31191 6 114 6 159 10 189 16 185 19 207 31191 29639 7 100 5 176 10 206 15 190 19 214 29639 28015 7 079 4 206 9 229 11 208 14 235 28015 26321 6 085 5 244 10 240 8 235 10 247 26321 24557 2 013 8 278 11 255 9 263 8 275 24557 22728 9 335 11 311 11 311 8 309 9 301 22728 20826 16 326 16 325 13 328 9 315 16 317 20826 18844 14 323 13 320 11 313 10 310 17 330 18844 16824 11 333 7 314 10 299 11 315 13 343 16824 14879 11 351 6 325 10 311 11 329 11 351 14879 13107 11 003 8 345 9 325 11 343 11 359 13107 11529 13 015 11 007 9 348 11 355 12 012 11529 10121 16 022 14 019 12 012 14 010 13 023 10121 8865 18 025 17 024 16 021 17 019 14 030 8865 7745 19 026 19 026 18 023 19 024 16 032 7745 6748 18 024 20 027 21 023 20 027 17 030 6748 5866 18 020 21 026 22 025 21 028 18 026 5866 5084 20 019 22 024 24 025 22 028 20 021 5084 4384 21 020 21 024 26 025 24 027 22 020 4384 3766 20 021 20 024 24 026 26 026 23 023 3766 3252 18 016 17 024 21*028 24 028 22 028 3252 2859 16 015 14 027 13*038 19 031 18 034 2859 2592 13 023 10 040 10 047 12 041 14 046 2592 2430 8*035 7*054 9 049 10 045 9 069 2430 2337 3*064 3*070 7 050 6*051 4*120 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography