DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 79.2 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 181 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 721 - - 3581 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2323 - - 4500 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3044 - - 5904 - - - - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1697 - - 1679 - - - - - 770 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 366 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 17 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 010 - - 330 - - - - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 11 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4211 - - -3126 - - - - - -1780 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7256 - - 9031 - - - - - 4120 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9718 - - -7243 - - - - - -7804 ODpotential blCL - - - 12762 - - 13147 - - - - - 10143 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 82 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.3 - - 79.2 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.7 - - 47.7 - - - - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 77.9 - - - - - 66.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 46.4 - - - - - 54.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 181 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 721 - - 3581 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 28 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96496 17 267 20 279 24 273 96496 89346 9 199 9 249 12 281 89346 83885 8 222 5 237 6 186 83885 79357 6 243 8 237 5 311 79357 75449 7 228 5 223 11 309 75449 71989 4 212 3 273 7 297 71989 68865 6 068 1 218 3 304 68865 66012 10 347 4 065 2 348 66012 63371 11 295 8 302 8 323 63371 60822 12 278 16 298 14 310 60822 58173 13 276 19 272 19 292 58173 55408 18 262 22 249 28 267 55408 52736 25 252 30 242 35 259 52736 50294 31 263 35 255 37 266 50294 48073 39 266 40 262 43 268 48073 46044 42 257 44 259 45 268 46044 44179 42 260 46 253 47 264 44179 42456 47 260 46 254 45 255 42456 40859 52 252 52 249 43 248 40859 39380 60 238 56 242 49 242 39380 38004 56 234 55 242 59 240 38004 36684 55 234 55 243 63 239 36684 35349 54 237 54 239 63 239 35349 33964 55 241 56 235 59 237 33964 32533 55 241 56 234 58 237 32533 31043 54 239 56 236 56 243 31043 29485 52 235 54 240 31 249 29485 27867 53 234 49 244 19 252 27867 26184 47 238 30 262 18 249 26184 24434 36 244 22 265 19 263 24434 22618 30 253 23 253 20 281 22618 20728 20 255 24 249 18 290 20728 18762 14 259 19 255 15 307 18762 16758 12 264 13 271 13 324 16758 14828 10 279 9 303 11 335 14828 13070 8 294 8 341 9 345 13070 11504 7 299 8 356 8 360 11504 10108 6 289 7 354 8 009 10108 8861 5 269 6 339 8 005 8861 7748 4 252 6 320 9 002 7748 6758 4 239 6*311 8 008 6758 5883 4 227 4*321 8 014 5883 5106 3 211 4 324 8 013 5106 4407 2 187 4 329 9 010 4407 3789 1 154 4 332 12 359 3789 3271 1*033 4 334 15 345 3271 2874 2*016 4 337 16 336 2874 2600 2 008 4 337 13 333 2600 2434 2 009 4 337 10*334 2434 2339 2 005 3 336 5*333 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography