DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 48.2 - - 46.9 - - 40.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 153 - - 28 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 976 - - 2154 - - 2316 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2320 - - 3394 - - 2320 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3296 - - 4475 - - 4637 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 966 - - 882 - - 866 - - 1526 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 293 - - 178 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 201 - - 204 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1774 - - 635 - - 1382 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5070 - - 3840 - - 3255 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9934 - - -5231 - - 408 - - -7720 ODpotential blCL - - - 13230 - - 9706 - - 4229 - - 10057 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 83 - - 95 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.3 - - 48.2 - - 46.9 - - 40.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 39.7 - - 41.0 - - 39.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.7 - - 47.1 - - 46.7 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 38.5 - - 39.8 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 153 - - 28 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 976 - - 2154 - - 2316 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 30 - - 80 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96794 28 114 22 112 21 114 21 107 96794 89574 27 112 24 116 23 110 22 109 89574 83987 18 109 17 120 16 107 21 105 83987 79355 14 126 12 139 5 125 12 102 79355 75360 6 163 7 197 4 190 5 102 75360 71818 11 188 8 226 6 225 4 243 71818 68602 7 181 8 252 8 220 6 229 68602 65639 9 230 12 256 12 243 12 255 65639 62882 16 240 18 257 20 247 19 242 62882 60213 24 255 26 263 24 257 19 247 60213 57435 34 256 32 256 28 263 25 256 57435 54569 37 260 37 253 39 259 39 256 54569 51843 47 267 41 264 48 257 48 261 51843 49380 56 267 49 265 53 258 57 267 49380 47170 57 269 57 258 61 255 63 263 47170 45191 64 275 60 262 62 254 65 254 45191 43409 74 276 61 270 59 254 65 249 43409 41769 74 277 60 281 56 270 57 257 41769 40237 72 285 61 280 59 272 58 263 40237 38795 71 283 58 271 60 261 61 257 38795 37431 72 275 61 260 60 253 58 247 37431 36109 73 271 66 256 62 252 60 244 36109 34770 73 270 67 258 63 254 60 249 34770 33386 74 272 67 262 64 256 59 251 33386 31961 75 271 66 264 62 256 58 249 31961 30481 76 270 66 262 63 253 59 247 30481 28933 74 269 68 259 65 251 60 248 28933 27321 70 268 68 260 65 252 60 250 27321 25646 63 266 65 262 65 254 59 250 25646 23906 55 266 60 262 64 257 58 251 23906 22102 47 269 53 260 60 257 56 252 22102 20227 44 271 46 259 50 251 52 251 20227 18283 43 271 41 260 41 246 45 247 18283 16309 41 263 36 261 35 246 39 241 16309 14411 35 249 32 257 31 246 34 239 14411 12685 29 235 28 247 29 242 31 237 12685 11150 26 221 26 231 28 233 29 231 11150 9784 24 208 28 215 29 222 28 221 9784 8570 24 198 30 204 30 211 29 209 8570 7492 25 190 31 196 31 201 32 199 7492 6538 26 185 32 191 31 195 35 192 6538 5698 26 183 30 191 27 195 36 190 5698 4956 26 185 26*194 22*199 34 192 4956 4294 24 188 21*199 20*202 28 197 4294 3709 22*191 20 200 19 204 24 201 3709 3220 19*192 19 201 18 205 20 201 3220 2844 15 196 18 202 17 205 18 201 2844 2585 13 197 17 202 16 205 14 201 2585 2427 12 198 15 202 14 205 10*200 2427 2337 9 199 10 202 9 205 4*194 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography