DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.0 - - 57.0 - - 62.7 - - 60.6 - - 51.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 0 - - 87 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 350 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2672 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 86 - - 203 - - 366 - - 435 - - 76 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 18 - - 131 - - 7 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 116 - - 121 - - 092 - - 093 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -2 - - 0 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2553 - - -4478 - - -3331 - - -3030 - - -3458 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4891 - - 6816 - - 6003 - - 5368 - - 5796 sfcLCL ODpotential -14150 - - -13818 - - -10544 - - -10587 - - -15078 ODpotential blCL 16488 - - 16156 - - 13216 - - 12925 - - 17416 blCL maxRH 46 - - 29 - - 51 - - 53 - - 31 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 46.0 - - 57.0 - - 62.7 - - 60.6 - - 51.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.6 - - 36.2 - - 44.9 - - 45.5 - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.7 - - 57.3 - - 62.0 - - 61.5 - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.9 - - 35.3 - - 43.9 - - 44.8 - - 34.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 0 - - 87 - - -1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 350 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96578 23 095 17 062 16 066 33 059 24 084 96578 89498 24 093 26 078 20 088 16 080 20 087 89498 83919 16 071 20 079 17 090 7 061 13 038 83919 79314 17 063 14 073 17 048 10 030 17 025 79314 75380 14 069 15 088 15 045 7 014 15 017 75380 71895 14 068 13 104 12 047 8 039 14 028 71895 68720 10 058 9 066 12 029 12 038 12 043 68720 65801 8 038 10 022 13 005 14 017 8 044 65801 63109 10 022 12 005 10 340 16 343 7 350 63109 60520 11 001 12 343 9 320 17 334 12 341 60520 57833 19 347 16 343 11 331 15 333 12 339 57833 55040 26 337 18 348 13 338 10 325 8 325 55040 52356 18 317 15 347 11 339 5 347 4 334 52356 49932 6 311 9 331 11 320 6 004 4 021 49932 47763 8 025 2 286 9 290 6 297 6 009 47763 45803 18 029 8 068 3 159 7 193 2 250 45803 44019 19 042 18 059 13 070 11 133 11 162 44019 42376 13 038 15 072 16 090 17 120 16 147 42376 40851 12 248 5 220 2 113 15 124 23 127 40851 39421 22 207 17 205 11 198 17 165 17 129 39421 38071 19 196 18 192 15 187 22 177 15 166 38071 36767 17 188 19 189 18 191 20 179 17 169 36767 35442 12 190 19 189 18 200 18 185 17 169 35442 34070 10 203 18 189 19 201 20 191 15 179 34070 32652 9 196 15 186 20 194 23 201 19 199 32652 31174 6 186 15 183 18 189 25 205 20 204 31174 29623 4 249 13 192 17 198 22 202 20 212 29623 28000 6 278 10 206 15 207 18 202 20 227 28000 26307 5 289 11 227 14 218 14 202 15 229 26307 24543 6 313 10 242 12 236 12 211 13 230 24543 22714 12 309 10 267 11 247 10 222 11 238 22714 20813 17 307 14 278 13 267 7 262 8 258 20813 18831 16 322 14 292 15 287 10 319 5 335 18831 16809 15 333 11 308 11 301 6 333 2 346 16809 14862 14 337 10 322 10 325 6 340 3 328 14862 13095 13 344 10 342 10 346 7 358 3 012 13095 11522 13 353 10 004 9 000 5 008 2 075 11522 10119 12 005 11 015 7 018 5 020 2 093 10119 8866 12 017 11 024 7 034 5 023 2 051 8866 7748 12 022 10 041 5 054 5 024 5 037 7748 6754 13 026 9 056 5 064 6 028 8 036 6754 5873 13 022 8 063 5 057 7 032 8 030 5873 5093 13 019 7 062 5 052 6 032 8 023 5093 4394 11 022 6 065 4 041 5 014 7 016 4394 3777 9 027 4 075 2 026 5 341 7 005 3777 3261 8 027 4 102 2 091 3 319 6 359 3261 2866 6 051 5 127 3*098 1 265 4 028 2866 2595 6 083 4 139 4*093 2 113 3 089 2595 2431 6*099 4*134 4 092 2 096 5*107 2431 2338 3*116 2*121 3 091 2*093 3*110 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography