DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/25 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 73.5 - - 71.7 - - 59.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 252 - - 125 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1027 - - 2476 - - 2156 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 3807 - - 3278 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3349 - - 4799 - - 4479 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1102 - - 1327 - - 1296 - - 785 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 207 - - 358 - - 271 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 345 - - 355 - - 339 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 3 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6576 - - -6302 - - -2443 - - -697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9925 - - 11102 - - 6922 - - 3035 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14719 - - -13271 - - -8165 - - -7342 ODpotential blCL - - - 18068 - - 18070 - - 12644 - - 9680 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 56 - - 64 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.2 - - 73.5 - - 71.7 - - 59.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.3 - - 33.2 - - 49.5 - - 54.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.3 - - 71.7 - - 70.6 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.1 - - 32.0 - - 48.7 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 108 - - 252 - - 125 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1027 - - 2476 - - 2156 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96253 41 281 39 288 35 283 41 280 96253 89132 25 288 27 295 27 282 27 285 89132 83672 16 288 23 286 22 287 18 297 83672 79148 14 241 26 269 22 294 17 303 79148 75274 6 281 21 256 23 285 18 302 75274 71849 9 315 16 254 20 261 19 290 71849 68738 12 306 13 242 15 257 14 267 68738 65875 16 305 14 220 15 238 14 251 65875 63221 20 268 16 236 19 227 19 235 63221 60659 25 251 25 259 22 238 19 237 60659 57996 30 231 35 242 33 239 28 248 57996 55225 32 232 38 229 42 233 40 241 55225 52563 34 242 38 232 43 233 47 239 52563 50144 37 244 40 239 43 240 45 240 50144 47951 39 239 41 240 44 245 42 240 47951 45940 41 235 42 236 45 242 40 243 45940 44091 42 232 41 231 45 240 43 247 44091 42390 37 241 33 234 38 240 41 247 42390 40821 31 243 23 236 28 239 34 254 40821 39363 21 242 18 253 21 254 32 273 39363 37998 17 254 22 281 25 289 32 284 37998 36681 16 250 21 280 27 295 30 286 36681 35343 22 225 15 267 24 294 29 286 35343 33956 29 223 13 235 20 290 31 289 33956 32526 37 216 19 227 17 284 31 291 32526 31040 37 213 24 217 17 282 28 288 31040 29481 37 213 26 214 16 274 25 288 29481 27851 35 214 26 219 15 265 24 288 27851 26153 32 214 23 220 14 248 22 285 26153 24389 31 210 23 215 15 233 19 275 24389 22563 27 218 20 234 15 259 18 269 22563 20672 19 232 17 251 15 266 20 273 20672 18707 16 239 17 250 16 263 20 274 18707 16705 15 240 18 250 16 265 19 275 16705 14773 14 236 16 257 15 274 17 278 14773 13011 13 233 15 266 13 285 15 283 13011 11444 11 235 13 273 12 290 13 293 11444 10048 9 248 11 278 10 293 12 306 10048 8805 9 269 10 287 9 301 11 316 8805 7698 9 285 9 300 9 318 10 326 7698 6716 8 295 7 318 8 337 9 338 6716 5846 7 307 5 352 7 353 9 353 5846 5076 8 329 6*003 8*355 11 003 5076 4385 9 346 6*001 9*347 14 359 4385 3772 10*351 7 358 10 341 17 347 3772 3260 9*348 7 355 11 339 20 334 3260 2867 8 345 7 352 11 337 19 325 2867 2597 8 344 7 350 11 337 15 320 2597 2432 7 343 6 350 10 336 12 318 2432 2338 6 342 6 349 8 335 6*315 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography