DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.4 - - 56.3 - - 63.2 - - 63.3 - - 51.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 94 - - 155 - - 58 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 674 - - 2038 - - 1599 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 3328 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2996 - - 4360 - - 3921 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 166 - - 709 - - 964 - - 1100 - - 563 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 171 - - 291 - - 197 - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 302 - - 342 - - 354 - - 003 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -1 - - 4 - - 3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -678 - - -2528 - - -2238 - - -2479 - - -662 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3015 - - 5524 - - 6599 - - 6400 - - 3000 sfcLCL ODpotential -10956 - - -9472 - - -7547 - - -8409 - - -7448 ODpotential blCL 13293 - - 12468 - - 11907 - - 12330 - - 9786 blCL maxRH 62 - - 55 - - 60 - - 67 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.4 - - 56.3 - - 63.2 - - 63.3 - - 51.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.6 - - 40.4 - - 42.5 - - 43.5 - - 46.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.0 - - 55.5 - - 62.1 - - 62.8 - - 53.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.3 - - 39.2 - - 41.3 - - 42.4 - - 46.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 94 - - 155 - - 58 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 674 - - 2038 - - 1599 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96525 22 299 19 280 35 285 28 298 23 296 96525 89331 12 284 14 295 20 278 19 298 10 334 89331 83815 12 288 13 269 13 272 16 271 14 309 83815 79252 13 292 10 259 16 255 22 263 20 299 79252 75310 17 290 12 275 17 267 20 261 20 300 75310 71803 17 281 13 284 15 291 14 258 18 286 71803 68620 20 280 21 277 23 289 16 283 18 295 68620 65696 22 279 23 276 28 278 26 301 24 310 65696 62987 20 271 20 277 28 271 29 293 27 303 62987 60355 25 292 17 283 24 272 29 284 26 297 60355 57588 35 294 25 301 26 281 32 287 28 295 57588 54703 44 286 37 299 35 291 38 294 34 294 54703 51954 44 280 42 295 40 293 41 301 35 301 51954 49496 40 292 45 296 46 300 51 306 43 310 49496 47323 44 302 45 294 49 297 52 301 47 306 47323 45386 35 307 34 314 37 317 42 307 45 304 45386 43635 61 336 59 334 53 332 45 323 42 311 43635 42029 66 332 66 333 58 330 46 327 38 315 42029 40531 55 333 61 330 55 327 45 325 37 312 40531 39117 50 336 54 329 51 326 40 322 38 306 39117 37775 49 339 45 335 47 326 34 319 38 302 37775 36475 50 341 43 341 43 325 33 312 37 296 36475 35150 49 342 41 341 41 323 33 308 37 293 35150 33774 47 342 40 339 40 321 34 306 42 298 33774 32350 46 343 39 337 39 321 34 300 44 303 32350 30867 46 345 37 333 38 319 35 299 42 311 30867 29315 46 344 36 330 36 316 37 302 40 313 29315 27696 47 340 36 329 36 317 36 310 39 313 27696 26006 47 335 39 326 40 321 35 316 40 316 26006 24249 45 329 41 322 42 327 35 318 41 321 24249 22432 42 325 40 317 42 334 37 327 46 327 22432 20548 39 326 41 314 39 338 41 336 49 331 20548 18590 37 327 41 318 36 345 44 342 49 335 18590 16594 32 327 36 324 34 354 42 343 44 338 16594 14673 26 330 29 325 30 353 36 342 37 340 14673 12926 22 337 22 321 27 343 31 344 33 340 12926 11371 18 342 19 319 24 332 28 348 31 343 11371 9988 16 339 18 320 24 327 27 351 28 347 9988 8753 17 336 19 324 23 332 27 353 26 352 8753 7653 18 336 19 332 20 340 25 357 24 359 7653 6674 18 338 19 341 18 350 20 004 21 006 6674 5809 14 337 16 347 14 357 16 010 18 012 5809 5044 9 333 12 351 10*000 12 015 16 011 5044 4358 4 328 8 354 7*000 10*015 15 009 4358 3752 1 354 5 002 7 357 9*008 15 010 3752 3246 3 320 5*356 7 354 9 004 15 003 3246 2858 9 312 4*346 7 352 9 002 14 348 2858 2592 11 309 4 343 6 350 8 001 12 341 2592 2430 9*308 4 340 6 350 8 360 9*341 2430 2338 3*302 3 339 5 350 6 358 4*336 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography