DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 76.4 - - 76.8 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 147 - - 40 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 375 - - 1724 - - 1877 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 3086 - - 2323 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2697 - - 4047 - - 4200 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 587 - - 1228 - - 1383 - - 530 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 271 - - 189 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 070 - - 067 - - 061 - - 075 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 2 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4458 - - -4023 - - -4426 - - -3780 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7155 - - 8071 - - 8626 - - 6119 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12154 - - -10992 - - -12398 - - -13725 ODpotential blCL - - - 14851 - - 15039 - - 16598 - - 16064 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 64 - - 64 - - 38 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.9 - - 76.4 - - 76.8 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 49.3 - - 47.3 - - 47.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 75.3 - - 76.6 - - 70.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 48.0 - - 46.1 - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 147 - - 40 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 375 - - 1724 - - 1877 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96717 18 255 19 287 11 241 38 262 96717 89484 17 166 12 224 9 234 4 331 89484 83983 16 142 9 148 3 137 8 107 83983 79408 11 121 14 127 7 146 8 079 79408 75466 14 115 14 103 5 130 13 050 75466 71990 20 075 14 079 9 106 13 061 71990 68855 22 053 9 051 12 076 14 056 68855 66000 14 057 7 045 14 039 13 054 66000 63373 18 066 11 030 21 019 13 037 63373 60835 23 045 16 041 24 016 17 031 60835 58191 26 033 18 043 22 026 19 031 58191 55435 28 017 18 026 16 028 16 015 55435 52794 16 023 18 022 11 021 10 338 52794 50408 29 035 21 036 13 042 6 007 50408 48260 29 027 19 032 16 026 14 041 48260 46309 20 033 11 015 12 356 10 006 46309 44525 23 041 10 356 20 312 10 310 44525 42872 15 044 9 328 17 308 15 301 42872 41327 23 350 14 353 10 350 13 325 41327 39875 31 350 19 013 11 344 10 333 39875 38504 26 351 21 014 12 339 9 310 38504 37178 26 000 22 004 12 343 7 281 37178 35829 27 010 22 001 11 343 9 261 35829 34429 23 015 20 001 9 326 14 263 34429 32983 19 353 16 349 10 309 15 273 32983 31478 22 335 18 349 11 319 14 307 31478 29901 22 335 19 357 13 329 18 317 29901 28252 23 345 19 352 15 329 22 319 28252 26533 22 350 20 344 21 324 21 325 26533 24747 24 344 21 343 23 327 20 340 24747 22898 27 340 23 343 24 337 23 350 22898 20976 32 348 26 348 25 347 24 354 20976 18972 34 356 27 350 27 359 28 359 18972 16925 23 355 17 337 22 004 24 007 16925 14953 9 330 11 312 16 347 14 011 14953 13164 6 307 8 322 13 337 9 003 13164 11576 3 318 5 341 9 352 8 012 11576 10163 2 082 3 008 7 012 7 027 10163 8904 4 074 4 050 5 015 6 022 8904 7782 6 051 6 052 4 018 6 009 7782 6785 7 037 7 044 5 024 6 005 6785 5904 10 032 7 035 6 025 7 003 5904 5122 12 034 6 031 5 029 7 351 5122 4421 12 038 3*040 5*050 6 329 4421 3798 11 045 4*059 6*059 3 299 3798 3278 9 054 4 065 6 061 1 206 3278 2877 7*063 4 068 6 062 3 121 2877 2602 5*070 4 070 6 062 4 095 2602 2435 5 070 4 071 6 063 3*080 2435 2339 4 070 4 071 5 063 2*075 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography