DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.9 - - 85.7 - - 69.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 299 - - 87 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1624 - - 4103 - - 2965 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3078 - - 5074 - - 3562 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3947 - - 6427 - - 5289 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1241 - - 1206 - - 1814 - - 341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 279 - - 440 - - 263 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 43 - - 33 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 250 - - 323 - - 359 - - 356 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 12 - - 15 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9349 - - -8184 - - -7518 - - -6065 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13296 - - 14612 - - 12807 - - 8404 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16954 - - -14713 - - -14199 - - -15803 ODpotential blCL - - - 20901 - - 21140 - - 19488 - - 18142 blCL maxRH - - - 23 - - 21 - - 26 - - 28 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.2 - - 87.9 - - 85.7 - - 69.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.4 - - 31.7 - - 37.7 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.9 - - 85.7 - - 84.8 - - 73.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.0 - - 31.3 - - 37.4 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 299 - - 87 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1624 - - 4103 - - 2965 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98062 11 329 7 009 5 285 8 341 98062 90756 1 126 2 108 5 208 5 020 90756 85119 2 318 1 124 3 245 3 002 85119 80449 4 330 3 002 7 010 5 038 80449 76424 4 088 2 004 11 019 11 039 76424 72882 6 110 4 324 10 022 14 030 72882 69688 9 142 3 288 4 340 11 009 69688 66751 9 139 5 183 7 243 10 306 66751 64031 2 142 7 159 11 209 13 263 64031 61397 7 295 4 264 7 222 12 263 61397 58654 13 284 13 271 12 276 12 281 58654 55832 17 293 17 288 21 292 18 292 55832 53161 22 308 23 301 27 295 26 289 53161 50759 26 311 26 303 30 294 34 294 50759 48591 28 306 28 301 34 297 40 295 48591 46607 28 302 29 299 36 298 43 294 46607 44773 25 301 31 297 36 299 44 294 44773 43066 22 303 29 297 37 297 42 295 43066 41470 21 308 26 298 35 292 40 295 41470 39974 20 309 23 305 29 290 36 291 39974 38569 17 301 19 302 22 295 28 292 38569 37218 15 292 18 293 18 299 20 296 37218 35852 7 306 15 280 17 291 17 300 35852 34444 6 348 8 278 13 282 16 294 34444 32995 7 355 7 289 11 286 12 294 32995 31485 7 348 8 290 10 290 8 298 31485 29906 8 325 8 311 9 330 6 311 29906 28258 12 344 12 005 11 017 7 000 28258 26544 15 010 13 033 10 037 7 032 26544 24762 16 028 13 048 11 045 7 051 24762 22912 16 029 13 042 13 036 10 041 22912 20988 17 017 14 025 15 026 13 038 20988 18986 20 004 15 011 15 019 13 038 18986 16949 21 359 16 004 12 015 13 036 16949 14986 18 360 15 002 12 017 12 031 14986 13200 14 358 13 003 12 019 12 031 13200 11609 10 001 11 006 11 024 12 032 11609 10192 8 015 7 015 9 030 10 031 10192 8927 7 028 5 032 7 030 8 029 8927 7802 6 034 3 032 5 020 6 016 7802 6803 6 033 2*337 3 010 6 359 6803 5919 5 027 3*327 2*014 5 354 5919 5135 4 023 3 324 3*012 4 005 5135 4431 2*015 3 322 5 006 5 027 4431 3806 1*283 2 323 6 357 7 034 3806 3283 1 253 2 321 6 356 8 029 3283 2881 1 245 2 324 7 356 8 010 2881 2604 1 242 2 324 6 355 9 357 2604 2435 1 243 2 323 6 354 7*356 2435 2339 1 238 2 323 5 355 4*356 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography