DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 52.4 - - 49.2 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 100 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 302 - - 962 - - 343 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2623 - - 3284 - - 2664 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 296 - - 622 - - 670 - - 224 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 103 - - 192 - - 59 - - 1 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 064 - - 086 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1555 - - -1757 - - -983 - - -493 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4179 - - 5041 - - 3647 - - 2831 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11272 - - -6569 - - -6803 - - -9964 ODpotential blCL - - - 13895 - - 9853 - - 9467 - - 12301 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 87 - - 85 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.6 - - 52.4 - - 49.2 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 38.7 - - 41.5 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.2 - - 51.6 - - 49.2 - - 44.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.5 - - 37.7 - - 40.9 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 100 - - 7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 302 - - 962 - - 343 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 47 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96605 41 066 30 070 31 079 28 081 96605 89478 30 072 20 068 22 097 20 075 89478 83960 30 054 24 064 24 080 22 064 83960 79381 24 058 16 072 22 067 23 079 79381 75428 16 064 14 074 15 042 25 070 75428 71918 19 061 11 044 20 047 23 065 71918 68719 14 048 14 064 21 059 25 062 68719 65761 22 045 24 050 28 062 26 062 65761 63018 26 032 28 018 32 048 32 053 63018 60375 26 035 24 016 29 036 31 034 60375 57629 30 028 26 033 29 043 32 039 57629 54783 39 023 39 031 42 034 42 037 54783 52088 48 023 52 026 52 031 51 037 52088 49677 64 024 62 027 60 030 54 037 49677 47507 75 019 66 024 60 024 56 032 47507 45520 69 014 61 021 56 019 59 025 45520 43690 61 016 58 018 58 014 61 016 43690 41995 62 019 60 014 59 010 65 012 41995 40418 67 017 69 011 60 008 69 011 40418 38951 82 020 78 012 74 016 68 015 38951 37586 107 025 100 018 101 024 75 023 37586 36280 114 024 115 021 117 024 83 027 36280 34960 102 016 110 023 116 025 86 029 34960 33592 99 010 97 023 114 026 88 027 33592 32176 96 009 81 009 109 028 89 025 32176 30697 83 004 81 003 95 027 87 023 30697 29142 70 360 78 002 77 018 85 022 29142 27514 56 000 64 359 72 006 79 022 27514 25817 49 001 55 351 78 009 73 023 25817 24056 46 000 48 344 62 008 65 022 24056 22236 45 000 40 343 45 359 50 017 22236 20349 46 003 37 351 38 340 35 015 20349 18392 48 006 37 002 34 337 26 009 18392 16405 48 004 41 001 30 356 22 357 16405 14495 43 008 39 010 34 009 25 002 14495 12760 38 020 34 024 34 022 29 018 12760 11219 32 032 28 036 28 035 23 030 11219 9851 24 042 19 041 21 046 14 040 9851 8635 19 041 12 031 15 042 8 042 8635 7553 16 034 8 028 12 022 8 030 7553 6594 14 053 6 063 7 027 8 030 6594 5747 14 083 7 089 5 051 6 034 5747 4997 14 098 6 095 5 025 5 027 4997 4324 10 107 2 052 6 357 5 009 4324 3729 6 108 2*026 5 359 6 001 3729 3231 6 102 3*054 3 033 6 002 3231 2849 7*096 4 064 5*081 5 026 2849 2587 6*098 4 067 5*085 4 064 2587 2428 5 099 4 068 5 086 4 089 2428 2337 4 101 4 068 4 087 2*102 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography