DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 Panoche 2324ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 94.9 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 365 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1944 - - 4059 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3407 - - 5113 - - - - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4268 - - 6382 - - - - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1539 - - 2836 - - - - - 1944 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 326 - - 468 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 16 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 050 - - 046 - - - - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9324 - - -8460 - - - - - -8809 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13592 - - 14843 - - - - - 11149 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14245 - - -12078 - - - - - -14124 ODpotential blCL - - - 18513 - - 18460 - - - - - 16464 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 82 - - - - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.0 - - 94.9 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.7 - - 37.8 - - - - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.1 - - 92.6 - - - - - 86.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 37.3 - - - - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 365 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1944 - - 4059 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 26 - - - - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99038 19 121 21 119 6 065 99038 91549 13 128 13 118 15 111 91549 85748 15 122 14 132 15 111 85748 80957 13 116 10 120 11 097 80957 76857 11 105 10 116 9 123 76857 73241 12 096 15 117 9 106 73241 69982 14 102 14 099 9 109 69982 67006 16 101 13 103 9 093 67006 64271 10 105 6 107 9 079 64271 61638 7 137 4 177 8 037 61638 58910 3 182 7 178 5 291 58910 56108 14 238 15 236 13 257 56108 53456 22 246 21 240 16 252 53456 51076 33 244 28 241 23 261 51076 48942 36 241 32 247 25 257 48942 46995 36 241 33 247 23 257 46995 45195 35 247 31 246 24 259 45195 43511 37 251 30 248 24 257 43511 41928 37 244 30 248 24 255 41928 40435 36 238 31 249 23 249 40435 39024 35 236 31 245 23 244 39024 37659 30 231 30 237 23 244 37659 36274 22 232 26 231 23 245 36274 34839 15 250 18 229 21 248 34839 33357 18 265 13 237 20 248 33357 31817 21 242 19 234 19 242 31817 30208 23 227 24 227 22 239 30208 28532 22 226 19 220 23 234 28532 26788 21 238 16 238 21 232 26788 24980 20 244 14 230 18 224 24980 23113 15 236 9 214 17 216 23113 21180 13 213 11 193 14 203 21180 19172 15 197 14 194 10 190 19172 17127 15 187 13 194 7 177 17127 15158 10 188 10 197 4 165 15158 13361 4 182 4 202 2 145 13361 11757 4 145 3 176 1 061 11757 10324 6 125 4 150 2 359 10324 9043 5 113 4 145 2 323 9043 7899 3 095 2 117 2 284 7899 6881 3 083 2*052 2 271 6881 5981 3 064 3*041 2 343 5981 5184 3 041 4 041 4 012 5184 4467 5*039 5 043 8 012 4467 3832 5*046 6 046 10 011 3832 3301 6 049 6 048 11 010 3301 2892 6 050 7 050 11 006 2892 2609 6 052 7 051 10 004 2609 2438 6 054 6 051 7*005 2438 2340 5 053 6 050 4*006 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography