DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 71.2 - - 71.4 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 401 - - 223 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2113 - - 3142 - - 2814 - - 335 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3540 - - 4441 - - 3995 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4434 - - 5465 - - 5136 - - 2657 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 570 - - 744 - - 1007 - - 906 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 340 - - 446 - - 354 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 41 - - 19 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 348 - - 358 - - 337 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 9 - - 10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -364 - - -1546 - - -1440 - - -1406 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4798 - - 7012 - - 6576 - - 4063 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6067 - - -5339 - - -5183 - - -7368 ODpotential blCL - - - 10501 - - 10804 - - 10319 - - 10025 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 67 - - 66 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.2 - - 71.2 - - 71.4 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.2 - - 48.6 - - 50.7 - - 51.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.5 - - 68.8 - - 69.9 - - 61.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 47.8 - - 50.2 - - 51.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 259 - - 401 - - 223 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2113 - - 3142 - - 2814 - - 335 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98100 17 247 17 248 21 264 22 289 98100 90590 15 260 23 266 12 276 13 278 90590 84812 10 245 19 257 16 283 16 288 84812 80033 9 252 12 264 17 286 16 289 80033 75944 9 273 14 286 15 288 14 300 75944 72359 12 293 17 287 18 295 19 310 72359 69128 15 286 17 287 17 289 19 300 69128 66154 14 298 16 285 17 293 17 295 66154 63382 17 304 18 291 23 297 15 305 63382 60682 17 288 18 298 20 300 20 321 60682 57868 12 293 17 294 18 299 21 307 57868 54966 15 355 10 324 15 292 21 303 54966 52219 24 358 16 354 12 334 16 320 52219 49767 23 360 23 358 18 360 18 357 49767 47594 27 008 26 011 22 013 19 004 47594 45654 29 015 28 018 28 016 20 013 45654 43889 29 032 27 028 24 025 23 020 43889 42254 36 047 32 044 25 041 25 020 42254 40723 43 050 38 046 29 045 25 023 40723 39282 46 049 39 045 31 045 25 025 39282 37921 43 050 37 043 29 042 25 026 37921 36604 38 050 34 044 26 038 23 031 36604 35267 33 044 30 043 24 032 21 029 35267 33882 30 042 28 035 23 028 20 027 33882 32453 26 041 26 026 21 025 20 028 32453 30967 24 039 23 023 20 017 17 024 30967 29414 24 037 21 025 19 012 14 015 29414 27797 25 037 20 029 18 011 14 007 27797 26114 26 039 20 037 17 017 16 009 26114 24363 25 042 21 043 16 023 17 011 24363 22545 23 044 19 044 16 028 17 026 22545 20657 24 045 19 044 17 038 17 042 20657 18692 26 048 20 053 18 049 16 052 18692 16692 22 048 20 061 17 058 14 058 16692 14766 18 044 16 060 13 063 11 062 14766 13011 16 041 14 053 11 061 9 063 13011 11449 13 037 12 039 13 052 7 056 11449 10056 12 038 10 033 16 041 9 039 10056 8813 10 042 9 040 15 034 14 033 8813 7703 8 034 7 030 12 023 16 026 7703 6714 6 017 5 359 7 011 14 009 6714 5841 5 008 4*351 6*024 10 356 5841 5069 3*346 4*349 6*022 7 013 5069 4380 2*330 4 349 7 010 7 026 4380 3769 2 328 4 348 8 356 8 014 3769 3258 2 329 4 348 9 353 10 349 3258 2866 1 330 5 348 9 351 10*340 2866 2596 1 333 4 348 9 351 10*338 2596 2432 1 334 4 347 8 350 9 337 2432 2338 1 334 4 347 7 350 5 335 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography