DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/15 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.4 - - 54.7 - - 61.9 - - 57.8 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - -7 - - 57 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 440 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2337 - - 2761 - - 2338 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 134 - - 166 - - 938 - - 719 - - 194 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 17 - - 127 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 058 - - 114 - - 022 - - 041 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 1 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7531 - - -5231 - - -4848 - - -5215 - - -4501 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9870 - - 7569 - - 7609 - - 7553 - - 6839 sfcLCL ODpotential -20810 - - -14942 - - -12783 - - -14159 - - -16110 ODpotential blCL 23148 - - 17279 - - 15544 - - 16497 - - 18447 blCL maxRH 70 - - 78 - - 75 - - 78 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.4 - - 54.7 - - 61.9 - - 57.8 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.0 - - 30.7 - - 37.3 - - 33.6 - - 28.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.3 - - 55.6 - - 61.3 - - 59.0 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.0 - - 29.8 - - 36.1 - - 32.5 - - 27.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - -7 - - 57 - - -3 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 440 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96575 28 074 25 062 32 069 30 075 13 101 96575 89579 36 103 31 087 34 094 29 089 27 092 89579 84100 40 105 36 102 35 109 28 103 29 094 84100 79542 32 105 36 102 31 113 28 109 24 113 79542 75610 25 098 29 097 24 111 22 113 18 106 75610 72131 21 098 16 108 14 111 13 097 15 093 72131 68993 14 088 12 109 8 099 7 087 11 081 68993 66116 11 092 6 098 5 037 5 356 3 096 66116 63465 6 113 3 130 5 304 10 314 5 328 63465 60918 3 021 2 327 8 294 10 307 12 293 60918 58268 11 335 6 295 12 293 13 299 18 281 58268 55501 16 329 11 313 14 290 19 302 24 293 55501 52835 17 327 20 318 24 302 31 299 35 295 52835 50412 25 325 27 313 26 302 24 289 33 297 50412 48215 28 332 29 319 31 329 35 324 40 324 48215 46199 45 340 46 331 48 326 58 320 55 321 46199 44342 55 332 53 320 53 317 63 310 67 316 44342 42624 42 329 42 319 47 317 59 312 69 312 42624 41023 27 331 33 330 47 324 56 316 64 314 41023 39531 34 356 42 336 48 327 50 318 56 315 39531 38147 49 355 45 338 49 323 53 319 53 314 38147 36828 48 343 40 326 44 316 52 314 50 308 36828 35497 45 335 40 316 41 311 42 307 46 296 35497 34119 42 336 41 317 43 311 40 302 43 303 34119 32695 42 341 36 310 40 308 41 306 44 312 32695 31209 31 342 33 308 29 315 34 304 44 317 31209 29650 27 327 30 308 27 328 29 307 41 316 29650 28016 28 320 28 308 28 325 28 312 42 312 28016 26307 27 320 25 311 26 321 30 319 41 311 26307 24529 21 323 22 315 26 321 31 325 35 313 24529 22684 20 319 21 318 26 321 30 325 28 316 22684 20771 22 317 20 321 25 321 27 324 26 314 20771 18786 21 323 19 324 23 325 26 323 28 312 18786 16768 19 330 16 334 20 332 25 323 26 318 16768 14821 18 335 16 346 16 346 21 325 21 326 14821 13046 18 338 17 350 15 360 15 328 17 330 13046 11466 17 342 17 349 14 004 13 336 14 334 11466 10061 15 352 14 347 13 006 13 350 12 343 10061 8808 13 359 12 349 11 007 13 002 11 350 8808 7693 11 003 10 355 11 008 13 008 12 353 7693 6704 9 010 8 360 11 005 14 009 13 359 6704 5831 8 020 7 000 11 003 15 008 14 005 5831 5060 7 028 6 000 11 001 15 008 15 008 5060 4369 7 032 6 360 12 360 15 010 17 011 4369 3759 8 029 5 358 12 359 15 010 18 011 3759 3250 10 023 5 359 10 002 13 011 18 009 3250 2859 11 017 5 012 7*012 10 012 16 008 2859 2592 10 019 4 035 6*021 6 023 12 012 2592 2430 6*029 2 086 5 022 3*035 6 022 2430 2337 3*058 1*114 5 024 2*041 2*045 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography