DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.8 - - 55.3 - - 62.3 - - 59.4 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 27 - - 115 - - 26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 285 - - 1031 - - 668 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 2606 - - 3353 - - 2990 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 91 - - 342 - - 753 - - 856 - - 175 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 88 - - 209 - - 113 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 087 - - 054 - - 049 - - 066 - - 102 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -5 - - 1 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2645 - - -2290 - - -2889 - - -2517 - - -1101 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4982 - - 4896 - - 6242 - - 5507 - - 3439 sfcLCL ODpotential -11511 - - -8809 - - -8124 - - -8326 - - -9654 ODpotential blCL 13848 - - 11415 - - 11477 - - 11316 - - 11992 blCL maxRH 42 - - 57 - - 51 - - 55 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.8 - - 55.3 - - 62.3 - - 59.4 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.7 - - 42.3 - - 43.4 - - 43.6 - - 41.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 55.0 - - 61.4 - - 59.1 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.4 - - 41.1 - - 42.2 - - 42.7 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 27 - - 115 - - 26 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 285 - - 1031 - - 668 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95930 38 281 27 305 29 295 29 298 24 283 95930 88921 24 308 24 309 22 305 24 301 22 308 88921 83526 17 325 18 308 17 322 23 323 20 303 83526 79048 16 334 13 294 17 317 18 327 12 287 79048 75181 12 318 7 284 16 300 12 312 11 299 75181 71738 8 328 6 313 14 302 8 314 13 306 71738 68596 16 293 12 306 15 317 10 326 14 318 68596 65692 19 287 17 292 18 306 14 310 23 323 65692 63005 26 277 17 288 18 292 21 292 27 310 63005 60414 31 280 24 287 21 284 22 285 20 287 60414 57679 38 278 29 279 25 288 21 269 16 279 57679 54799 34 275 33 272 25 274 25 286 38 301 54799 52046 38 274 40 265 35 289 45 294 48 294 52046 49567 44 267 46 274 53 280 54 292 42 295 49567 47338 52 271 54 271 55 269 48 286 37 287 47338 45313 52 266 48 261 44 258 39 279 29 279 45313 43459 40 261 37 258 31 257 30 272 24 306 43459 41756 33 278 32 285 27 277 22 284 29 331 41756 40186 34 292 38 294 31 295 28 312 32 336 40186 38731 33 299 29 294 31 306 34 314 30 337 38731 37380 34 297 24 285 28 303 26 329 25 347 37380 36091 33 283 13 264 14 289 20 314 16 337 36091 34792 21 300 10 094 4 199 13 284 9 355 34792 33454 15 318 27 044 24 047 13 359 21 049 33454 32077 10 316 35 031 35 039 29 021 26 049 32077 30642 4 019 30 021 36 040 33 023 27 052 30642 29137 15 071 22 027 30 039 31 035 29 055 29137 27561 24 066 19 055 24 045 28 049 30 056 27561 25914 23 055 26 068 27 067 24 062 29 058 25914 24194 18 033 32 067 29 074 21 069 27 063 24194 22407 15 008 32 066 26 077 19 071 24 071 22407 20545 13 349 29 067 24 082 18 076 22 078 20545 18603 11 337 22 070 21 091 17 090 21 077 18603 16618 8 344 14 062 12 088 12 086 19 083 16618 14700 5 001 9 053 7 060 10 064 13 088 14700 12952 5 011 7 050 7 036 10 054 9 075 12952 11396 5 005 6 041 8 033 10 053 8 065 11396 10009 7 007 8 035 11 041 10 060 7 062 10009 8770 8 015 10 032 13 051 10 066 5 059 8770 7666 8 024 10 034 12 057 9 066 4 038 7666 6684 8 034 9 036 10 058 7 056 4 012 6684 5817 7 040 9 038 8 053 6 036 6 009 5817 5050 7 042 10 039 8 047 6 022 7 017 5050 4362 8 041 11 040 7 039 6 018 8 023 4362 3755 9 037 9 034 6*036 6 028 8 027 3755 3248 10 038 11 040 6*043 6*052 9 035 3248 2860 11 042 11*045 6 049 7*064 9 044 2860 2592 10 047 9*050 6 051 7 066 7 061 2592 2430 7 053 7 055 5 052 7 067 5*084 2430 2338 3*087 4 058 5 053 5 068 3*102 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography