DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.3 - - 86.8 - - 91.1 - - 86.2 - - 80.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 264 - - 328 - - 123 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2383 - - 7105 - - 1182 - - 258 BL Depth Hcrit 2323 - - 3741 - - 7468 - - 2323 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4707 - - 9429 - - 3505 - - 2581 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 375 - - 3163 - - 2138 - - 4608 - - 960 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 354 - - 546 - - 218 - - 25 W* B/S 1 - - 18 - - 50 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 207 - - 252 - - 334 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 7 - - 40 - - 5 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4727 - - -4886 - - -1007 - - -5086 - - -5034 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7066 - - 9594 - - 10437 - - 8591 - - 7616 sfcLCL ODpotential -9650 - - -7279 - - -2457 - - -7135 - - -8238 ODpotential blCL 11989 - - 11986 - - 11886 - - 10640 - - 10819 blCL maxRH 96 - - 96 - - 96 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 160 - - 110 - - 200 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 74.3 - - 86.8 - - 91.1 - - 86.2 - - 80.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.8 - - 52.8 - - 53.2 - - 56.6 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 74.5 - - 84.9 - - 88.9 - - 85.1 - - 81.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.5 - - 52.3 - - 52.7 - - 56.3 - - 55.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 264 - - 328 - - 123 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2383 - - 7105 - - 1182 - - 258 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 86 - - 85 - - 87 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99259 46 096 38 116 32 105 34 100 42 095 99259 91762 43 103 34 108 30 106 38 111 31 104 91762 86001 34 098 30 096 30 116 33 111 35 106 86001 81229 22 102 24 102 25 113 23 102 32 095 81229 77114 22 098 22 107 24 108 19 099 25 094 77114 73481 16 098 21 119 23 109 20 106 17 091 73481 70203 17 108 14 118 17 107 18 102 16 105 70203 67203 16 116 9 122 14 115 20 110 19 121 67203 64433 14 121 20 129 15 147 12 138 16 125 64433 61750 13 138 27 144 22 171 16 185 5 170 61750 58947 17 159 30 154 26 160 19 181 8 199 58947 56046 21 176 24 165 24 173 19 177 17 178 56046 53298 33 173 30 182 27 188 26 200 21 186 53298 50854 34 163 40 178 41 191 41 201 29 204 50854 48678 24 202 39 166 44 185 52 189 42 202 48678 46702 39 212 34 179 44 178 53 182 48 192 46702 44888 46 203 41 194 46 179 48 179 44 186 44888 43206 47 199 47 196 48 185 45 186 43 190 43206 41633 49 199 50 194 50 189 47 194 43 188 41633 40149 51 198 51 190 51 189 46 195 43 184 40149 38744 52 198 54 187 55 192 48 187 42 182 38744 37384 53 198 56 188 62 191 55 180 43 177 37384 36005 54 199 56 189 67 190 58 178 48 174 36005 34580 57 199 59 191 65 190 63 174 52 173 34580 33111 60 199 59 194 58 188 60 176 51 174 33111 31582 59 203 54 195 51 184 54 185 54 173 31582 29981 52 204 50 193 50 182 50 178 54 177 29981 28309 40 193 45 189 49 182 47 179 47 183 28309 26572 32 182 36 182 43 187 44 180 39 184 26572 24772 30 175 36 174 35 186 39 182 36 184 24772 22910 28 174 32 176 28 171 33 185 31 190 22910 20985 24 180 25 189 24 177 27 185 24 203 20985 18993 20 180 22 194 22 194 19 188 19 205 18993 16971 17 172 22 198 20 206 15 218 11 226 16971 15022 7 161 18 195 16 202 10 218 6 247 15022 13247 2 223 9 189 12 181 8 187 4 180 13247 11663 2 320 3 156 8 152 6 164 4 129 11663 10250 3 335 2 123 4*155 5 176 2 121 10250 8987 3 352 2 115 2*187 5 174 3 120 8987 7859 2 347 1 122 2 198 5 156 5 113 7859 6853 2 308 1 201 2 219 5 137 5 103 6853 5962 2 253 2 210 2 248 4 120 5 100 5962 5170 4 238 3*209 2 261 3 094 5 098 5170 4458 6 235 3*206 3 271 2 041 4 090 4458 3825 7 233 4 205 3 277 3*356 4 073 3825 3295 9 231 4 207 3 282 5*338 4 027 3295 2888 10 227 4 208 3 286 6 334 5 356 2888 2608 10 221 4 207 3 285 6 333 6*347 2608 2437 8 221 3 209 3 286 6 332 6*344 2437 2339 3*218 3 209 3 287 5 331 4 342 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography