DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.2 - - 75.7 - - 82.4 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - 35 - - 146 - - 35 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 488 - - 2194 - - 2797 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2323 - - 3416 - - 2323 - - - Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 2811 - - 4517 - - 5121 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 71 - - 1287 - - 1668 - - 2801 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 122 - - 293 - - 208 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 13 - - 10 - - - B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - - BL Wind Direction 134 - - 134 - - 169 - - 231 - - - Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 6 - - 11 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4977 - - -5541 - - -5234 - - -5109 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7317 - - 8352 - - 9751 - - 10231 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -15871 - - -13059 - - -11667 - - -10776 - - - ODpotential blCL 18210 - - 15870 - - 16184 - - 15897 - - - blCL maxRH 27 - - 34 - - 47 - - 51 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 63.2 - - 75.7 - - 82.4 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.1 - - 47.6 - - 48.0 - - 47.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.6 - - 75.3 - - 81.2 - - 83.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 38.9 - - 46.4 - - 46.7 - - 46.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - 35 - - 146 - - 35 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 488 - - 2194 - - 2797 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96716 20 285 12 273 27 265 26 294 96716 89522 4 237 6 231 15 302 13 295 89522 84025 7 102 5 263 7 314 5 358 84025 79484 4 100 2 313 8 195 3 276 79484 75554 4 127 2 115 9 167 5 194 75554 72081 5 120 7 132 6 200 6 198 72081 68958 3 017 8 117 3 207 3 182 68958 66104 4 300 3 143 2 218 0 331 66104 63463 3 178 6 238 5 275 4 304 63463 60907 6 235 11 245 12 261 10 278 60907 58243 9 251 12 262 12 246 14 255 58243 55477 10 294 16 290 10 267 12 245 55477 52825 19 283 20 274 17 277 15 283 52825 50424 21 254 22 248 28 250 26 266 50424 48269 16 260 18 231 29 233 32 239 48269 46322 25 280 18 243 24 225 27 219 46322 44539 25 258 25 264 19 242 21 226 44539 42888 29 246 36 256 33 250 33 246 42888 41348 33 243 41 238 40 241 44 241 41348 39901 34 245 38 233 40 232 45 232 39901 38532 30 240 38 233 41 227 46 225 38532 37207 29 230 38 231 41 224 45 224 37207 35859 30 223 36 229 40 222 45 223 35859 34461 30 219 36 220 40 221 44 221 34461 33016 28 221 33 218 37 218 42 221 33016 31512 25 227 30 221 33 219 40 221 31512 29938 24 227 29 224 32 220 38 221 29938 28295 23 229 30 221 34 223 36 224 28295 26580 22 232 32 221 36 226 36 231 26580 24794 22 230 34 221 38 226 37 231 24794 22940 25 223 36 217 38 224 36 226 22940 21012 27 213 35 211 34 225 31 228 21012 19008 29 203 30 214 31 226 25 238 19008 16966 32 201 27 218 26 234 22 251 16966 15001 26 204 25 215 19 240 16 258 15001 13215 17 222 20 216 13 237 12 259 13215 11628 15 245 15 228 12 235 11 252 11628 10214 15 252 13 245 13 244 12 247 10214 8953 14 249 13 251 14 250 14 246 8953 7829 11 239 10 245 13 248 12 239 7829 6830 8 223 7 227 11 239 8 223 6830 5945 5 199 6 198 9 219 6 210 5945 5159 4 155 5 173 7*198 5*213 5159 4452 4 130 5 156 5*176 4*222 4452 3823 4 123 4 146 4 171 4 229 3823 3295 4 124 4 141 4 168 4 232 3295 2889 4 129 3*140 4 165 4 234 2889 2609 4 132 2*135 3 166 4 236 2609 2438 4*131 2 133 3 165 4 236 2438 2340 2*134 2 136 3 164 3 237 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography