DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 46.8 - - 41.7 - - 39.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 68 - - 64 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 485 - - 1766 - - 1240 - - 569 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2320 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2805 - - 4087 - - 3560 - - 2890 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2612 - - 1955 - - 1780 - - 2353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 97 - - 211 - - 181 - - 86 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 22 - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 207 - - 261 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -8 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 468 - - 1538 - - 1223 - - 553 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2337 - - 2549 - - 2337 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -103 - - 496 - - 689 - - 119 ODpotential blCL - - - 2908 - - 3591 - - 2871 - - 2771 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 110 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.7 - - 46.8 - - 41.7 - - 39.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 43.3 - - 39.8 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 46.4 - - 41.3 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 42.4 - - 39.1 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 68 - - 64 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 485 - - 1766 - - 1240 - - 569 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 88 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96638 28 080 29 107 32 103 30 106 96638 89471 21 102 22 117 20 112 21 099 89471 83886 16 113 5 096 9 106 14 109 83886 79243 9 144 3 153 1 309 6 104 79243 75251 6 134 6 203 7 198 4 134 75251 71700 4 246 8 221 6 222 8 201 71700 68479 16 222 17 249 16 221 17 224 68479 65509 28 216 21 233 15 215 22 215 65509 62731 23 217 19 231 17 230 17 227 62731 60003 23 236 29 250 26 241 25 243 60003 57126 27 245 38 244 31 249 29 243 57126 54126 39 243 44 247 43 254 46 263 54126 51267 50 241 56 241 61 250 62 258 51267 48692 58 235 57 241 71 243 62 253 48692 46374 59 233 58 245 71 241 64 257 46374 44271 64 236 62 245 70 245 71 260 44271 42353 66 235 65 244 73 249 78 259 42353 40591 68 232 71 243 76 249 80 255 40591 38956 70 233 77 239 78 246 79 252 38956 37429 82 233 81 236 78 242 75 250 37429 36000 97 229 82 233 75 238 71 250 36000 34633 107 225 84 230 70 236 68 252 34633 33261 115 223 88 223 65 236 66 253 33261 31860 121 220 91 216 61 236 64 253 31860 30440 114 218 90 208 58 232 61 251 30440 28991 97 215 83 199 55 227 55 249 28991 27502 85 211 88 189 45 228 40 253 27502 25980 79 209 92 185 38 224 25 274 25980 24418 75 207 89 187 25 229 21 305 24418 22804 69 205 83 190 20 274 14 290 22804 21130 64 202 69 193 20 278 18 273 21130 19388 55 198 55 196 21 270 20 269 19388 17572 49 194 46 201 22 260 22 273 17572 15720 46 190 41 208 24 254 27 280 15720 13933 42 190 39 218 26 254 31 284 13933 12304 41 191 37 222 26 256 34 283 12304 10852 41 193 36 222 27 267 36 279 10852 9556 40 196 33 220 30 278 38 278 9556 8400 40 197 30 220 33 282 37 281 8400 7368 40 199 26 220 35 280 36 287 7368 6451 40 199 23 219 34 277 36 292 6451 5639 39 199 21 218 32 273 37 294 5639 4918 39 197 21 214 30 270 36 293 4918 4270 38 196 21*211 29 267 35 292 4270 3694 36 193 21*208 27*265 33 289 3694 3211 33 190 21 207 25*263 30*286 3211 2839 28*188 20 206 23 261 26*283 2839 2583 24*187 19 206 22 261 23 281 2583 2426 21 187 17 206 19 260 20 280 2426 2337 12 186 11 207 12 259 12 278 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography