DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 74.1 - - 70.7 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 197 - - 70 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1007 - - 4082 - - 1888 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 4901 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3329 - - 6405 - - 4210 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2406 - - 2552 - - 7514 - - 684 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 178 - - 390 - - 216 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 253 - - 238 - - 294 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 7 - - -7 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4868 - - -3582 - - -3813 - - -2837 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8198 - - 9988 - - 8024 - - 5175 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8992 - - -6165 - - -5190 - - -6672 ODpotential blCL - - - 12321 - - 12570 - - 9400 - - 9010 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 88 - - 95 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.0 - - 74.1 - - 70.7 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.3 - - 38.3 - - 43.7 - - 43.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 72.7 - - 70.0 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 37.1 - - 42.8 - - 43.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 197 - - 70 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1007 - - 4082 - - 1888 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 51 - - 80 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96613 38 292 33 284 47 275 49 281 96613 89353 26 282 36 273 37 287 34 292 89353 83844 20 267 34 279 25 285 26 298 83844 79291 19 282 24 280 21 287 22 295 79291 75352 14 303 16 273 18 297 12 302 75352 71854 17 287 20 288 19 308 14 324 71854 68684 19 263 26 285 28 304 27 307 68684 65779 18 278 32 279 30 287 33 297 65779 63069 23 294 31 274 33 278 33 285 63069 60409 32 287 31 280 37 263 36 265 60409 57614 37 277 36 283 32 268 38 276 57614 54716 41 285 45 289 49 285 55 280 54716 51967 56 280 55 279 63 274 58 265 51967 49496 55 273 60 272 58 268 42 261 49496 47263 51 270 55 270 54 279 52 283 47263 45234 81 294 65 287 68 286 69 279 45234 43400 146 290 110 286 91 280 91 279 43400 41734 149 287 132 282 108 279 118 279 41734 40192 139 286 126 281 107 280 133 280 40192 38745 126 286 106 278 95 281 138 282 38745 37380 97 285 84 271 86 276 114 281 37380 36068 82 281 76 266 76 266 86 275 36068 34746 71 277 72 263 73 261 78 271 34746 33380 56 267 67 260 74 257 77 268 33380 31972 53 260 61 259 74 255 74 270 31972 30506 52 253 54 260 65 254 69 273 30506 28970 43 247 46 259 46 256 62 271 28970 27364 37 249 38 257 36 258 61 269 27364 25688 36 258 33 255 36 259 56 277 25688 23948 38 265 28 257 36 255 54 281 23948 22145 41 260 27 262 32 255 51 273 22145 20279 35 245 33 262 31 263 34 263 20279 18349 27 240 37 258 38 264 28 272 18349 16396 22 256 34 248 39 243 37 276 16396 14521 19 262 26 244 32 220 44 255 14521 12817 16 257 24 257 24 225 40 236 12817 11296 13 256 21 255 18 247 28 216 11296 9935 8 259 15 237 16 268 19 189 9935 8720 3 269 10 212 16 278 12 173 8720 7636 2 288 7 193 16 280 7 180 7636 6670 2 271 5*199 13 278 5 207 6670 5814 3 246 5*219 12 276 4 250 5814 5053 4 231 5 233 11 277 5 287 5053 4369 5 230 6 238 11*283 8 313 4369 3762 5*238 6 240 11*291 12 328 3762 3254 5*250 6 243 12 294 15 334 3254 2864 5 253 6 244 12 295 14 337 2864 2595 5 254 6 245 11 296 11 342 2595 2432 5 254 6 245 11 296 8*346 2432 2338 4 255 6 246 8 295 4*349 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography