DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/03 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 68.0 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 299 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1081 - - 2953 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2669 - - 4210 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3403 - - 5275 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 687 - - 1409 - - - - - 1872 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 241 - - 399 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 13 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 050 - - 098 - - - - - 075 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4030 - - -4622 - - - - - -4653 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7434 - - 9897 - - - - - 6991 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11492 - - -10886 - - - - - -11436 ODpotential blCL - - - 14895 - - 16161 - - - - - 13774 blCL maxRH - - - 40 - - 46 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.9 - - 68.0 - - - - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.9 - - 32.9 - - - - - 36.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.8 - - 66.2 - - - - - 62.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.6 - - 31.7 - - - - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 176 - - 299 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1081 - - 2953 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96897 28 266 37 268 43 275 96897 89620 22 251 30 266 26 270 89620 84065 15 222 18 245 16 275 84065 79483 7 213 10 225 17 266 79483 75551 10 280 8 287 10 258 75551 72068 14 273 17 300 7 286 72068 68898 15 259 20 290 13 312 68898 65982 12 261 19 277 21 297 65982 63284 13 291 18 283 20 288 63284 60663 18 293 20 293 19 291 60663 57910 23 282 27 287 21 287 57910 55038 26 288 30 282 25 286 55038 52280 34 292 35 282 30 280 52280 49783 41 285 37 284 33 275 49783 47532 44 282 44 285 34 275 47532 45482 44 282 45 283 38 273 45482 43608 43 282 44 281 38 269 43608 41893 42 281 43 280 34 271 41893 40322 40 281 45 279 34 278 40322 38875 34 284 39 276 34 275 38875 37531 31 282 34 269 30 271 37531 36240 28 281 29 267 26 271 36240 34930 25 286 25 276 26 273 34930 33572 22 291 21 282 22 273 33572 32168 21 298 18 295 17 282 32168 30707 21 305 19 303 14 288 30707 29178 21 310 21 302 13 297 29178 27579 21 314 21 304 15 305 27579 25907 19 316 17 307 16 313 25907 24166 18 325 14 317 16 322 24166 22361 21 339 13 336 15 342 22361 20487 22 348 15 353 14 006 20487 18536 18 355 14 008 12 022 18536 16551 16 004 12 016 11 041 16551 14640 12 010 10 020 9 060 14640 12902 11 021 9 032 8 082 12902 11353 11 030 6 046 7 100 11353 9973 8 041 5 061 8 117 9973 8743 6 052 6 067 10 125 8743 7647 7 057 8 083 11 138 7647 6675 8 065 8 101 8 168 6675 5816 6 071 6*109 8 207 5816 5056 4 077 5*104 8 215 5056 4371 2 073 5 101 6 201 4371 3764 2*042 6 099 4 162 3764 3256 5*048 6 097 5 113 3256 2865 5 049 6 095 6 088 2865 2596 5 050 6 094 6 079 2596 2432 4 051 6 095 5 075 2432 2338 4 051 5 095 3*075 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography