DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.2 - - 85.8 - - 91.1 - - 87.5 - - 75.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 21 - - 334 - - 456 - - 284 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1992 - - 3268 - - 1382 - - 243 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3519 - - 4573 - - 3038 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4315 - - 5591 - - 3706 - - 2566 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 350 - - 1505 - - 1594 - - 1116 - - 346 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 359 - - 470 - - 302 - - 28 W* B/S 2 - - 14 - - 12 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 7 - - 11 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 265 - - 282 - - 308 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 5 - - 3 - - -9 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7729 - - -7757 - - -8141 - - -9856 - - -7049 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10068 - - 12073 - - 13732 - - 13563 - - 9615 sfcLCL ODpotential -17884 - - -15101 - - -14587 - - -16509 - - -15901 ODpotential blCL 20223 - - 19416 - - 20178 - - 20215 - - 18467 blCL maxRH 27 - - 35 - - 45 - - 35 - - 63 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.2 - - 85.8 - - 91.1 - - 87.5 - - 75.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.2 - - 41.2 - - 39.0 - - 36.5 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.0 - - 83.5 - - 88.4 - - 85.5 - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.9 - - 40.7 - - 38.3 - - 35.9 - - 42.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 21 - - 334 - - 456 - - 284 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1992 - - 3268 - - 1382 - - 243 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99273 32 104 26 112 23 095 26 105 23 114 99273 91733 29 107 26 109 26 101 21 118 25 112 91733 85891 26 106 25 105 29 110 18 119 25 098 85891 81056 24 109 25 105 28 124 19 117 21 097 81056 76929 24 113 17 113 21 119 18 108 21 105 76929 73305 22 112 17 137 12 130 18 111 19 102 73305 70024 18 116 18 138 16 154 11 123 11 115 70024 67016 10 108 16 116 20 153 10 167 7 170 67016 64245 9 193 10 170 10 155 11 172 6 187 64245 61574 20 198 23 197 18 224 13 196 12 197 61574 58803 11 189 21 185 23 209 15 210 16 196 58803 55958 17 256 20 216 28 214 32 228 28 231 55958 53280 33 247 33 236 33 227 39 221 42 228 53280 50883 46 241 42 239 40 229 49 226 48 227 50883 48723 53 243 51 243 46 238 50 231 52 229 48723 46745 57 242 56 239 53 236 52 232 53 230 46745 44915 58 238 58 239 53 237 52 231 54 229 44915 43206 61 237 62 237 54 236 52 233 54 228 43206 41602 63 238 64 237 61 234 56 233 56 230 41602 40094 62 242 62 239 61 236 59 234 60 233 40094 38676 54 246 51 243 53 242 54 237 57 236 38676 37312 37 248 40 248 44 244 45 240 47 240 37312 35936 32 251 30 251 37 244 38 243 36 241 35936 34522 30 251 25 254 32 241 34 243 34 241 34522 33072 26 264 23 256 28 242 33 239 34 234 33072 31572 23 282 21 256 26 233 29 224 30 230 31572 30007 24 274 19 243 23 234 23 221 27 232 30007 28373 28 258 25 253 26 255 20 243 32 236 28373 26667 32 256 34 250 33 247 28 246 33 230 26667 24890 32 262 39 246 37 245 32 243 26 233 24890 23044 36 264 41 254 38 257 29 250 21 234 23044 21121 40 268 42 265 35 272 24 266 17 237 21121 19116 39 277 37 275 28 282 20 273 14 245 19116 17069 30 284 28 281 21 282 16 268 12 249 17069 15094 22 284 21 283 16 271 15 262 12 253 15094 13296 19 294 18 285 14 262 13 255 12 251 13296 11695 19 308 15 290 12 260 12 245 12 245 11695 10269 16 312 13 294 11 260 10 236 11 242 10269 8995 13 305 11 289 10 258 9 233 10 242 8995 7859 11 292 9 278 8 255 7 229 8 236 7859 6848 9 285 7 268 6 252 6 227 7 216 6848 5952 8 285 5 256 5*255 5 239 6 205 5952 5158 7 291 4 244 5*262 6 259 4 229 5158 4444 7 301 4*248 6 273 7 281 3 267 4444 3812 7 307 4*257 8 283 10*303 6 315 3812 3284 8 311 5 264 8 286 12*308 12 325 3284 2880 9 313 5 267 9 287 12 308 14 325 2880 2603 9 314 5 269 9 288 12 309 12*324 2603 2435 7*316 5 270 8 288 11 309 11*325 2435 2339 3*310 5 270 8 288 9 309 6 323 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography