DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.3 - - 58.5 - - 67.1 - - 63.3 - - 53.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 0 - - 20 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 314 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2636 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 59 - - 202 - - 657 - - 458 - - 111 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 10 - - 90 - - 13 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 168 - - 197 - - 097 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8166 - - -9675 - - -5297 - - -2043 - - -3877 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10504 - - 12014 - - 7933 - - 4382 - - 6215 sfcLCL ODpotential -19469 - - -19124 - - -11874 - - -8886 - - -14388 ODpotential blCL 21807 - - 21462 - - 14510 - - 11224 - - 16726 blCL maxRH 37 - - 40 - - 36 - - 56 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.3 - - 58.5 - - 67.1 - - 63.3 - - 53.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.4 - - 15.7 - - 41.1 - - 52.3 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.9 - - 61.4 - - 67.0 - - 64.1 - - 59.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.2 - - 14.6 - - 39.9 - - 51.2 - - 34.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 0 - - 20 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 314 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 6 - - 9 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96283 19 090 11 058 20 066 10 099 29 101 96283 89343 30 082 20 105 17 088 25 086 28 083 89343 83953 30 086 28 088 16 090 26 081 20 085 83953 79442 27 084 22 080 14 077 21 077 20 083 79442 75523 28 080 18 096 10 070 13 052 19 072 75523 72045 25 073 21 087 15 096 12 055 18 081 72045 68888 13 045 20 069 18 092 12 069 18 096 68888 65988 6 300 13 034 15 068 15 048 16 050 65988 63314 15 117 2 313 3 086 10 033 11 030 63314 60726 29 042 15 073 16 111 8 154 14 286 60726 58024 26 357 27 020 37 045 33 078 25 118 58024 55254 18 299 24 350 38 006 37 035 34 062 55254 52626 18 130 6 238 17 332 24 355 29 026 52626 50236 40 075 33 094 16 140 10 255 20 355 50236 48062 50 057 49 081 34 112 19 151 5 243 48062 46071 52 056 50 078 43 101 30 131 12 174 46071 44234 45 068 43 081 41 099 32 129 22 146 44234 42522 29 084 35 086 39 099 34 125 32 132 42522 40930 28 142 23 097 31 093 32 107 34 126 40930 39457 39 150 25 140 20 098 25 113 34 099 39457 38094 46 143 33 142 25 146 29 145 25 116 38094 36786 49 138 39 144 31 151 37 151 33 158 36786 35459 45 140 40 144 33 142 41 152 40 164 35459 34085 40 133 34 145 32 135 41 152 43 161 34085 32666 38 116 33 131 30 134 40 155 39 158 32666 31189 35 110 35 126 32 137 39 157 34 156 31189 29639 32 118 32 125 38 143 37 157 34 153 29639 28018 33 126 29 123 35 141 34 149 31 147 28018 26329 30 128 26 117 27 127 32 147 25 132 26329 24572 24 118 26 108 30 112 28 135 29 125 24572 22747 22 101 27 104 31 103 29 122 29 119 22747 20848 21 101 27 107 30 105 28 116 26 115 20848 18868 21 112 26 114 26 113 24 115 22 112 18868 16849 22 119 25 123 19 119 17 115 17 105 16849 14902 19 120 21 123 16 126 13 101 12 092 14902 13129 14 116 19 131 15 124 14 092 11 070 13129 11547 10 111 15 150 9 130 10 093 9 057 11547 10136 9 131 8 167 7 180 5 072 8 052 10136 8877 8 157 5 190 8 212 4 030 8 056 8877 7755 8 176 7 199 10 226 3 350 8 069 7755 6757 9 184 10 203 14 237 3 316 8 084 6757 5875 8 182 12 208 17 239 4 287 6 097 5875 5095 7 176 13 213 18 235 5 274 5 104 5095 4395 5 168 12 217 17 234 5 268 4 106 4395 3777 3 165 11 217 14 236 5 260 3 108 3777 3262 2 163 9 212 11 237 4 240 5 111 3262 2867 2 155 8 202 6*227 2 177 6 112 2867 2596 3 153 7 195 2*201 3 115 6 113 2596 2431 3*155 5*186 2 197 3 103 5*105 2431 2338 2*161 2*168 2 192 3*097 3*097 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography