DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.4 - - 51.1 - - 55.2 - - 55.9 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 130 - - 147 - - 46 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1553 - - 2862 - - 3096 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2870 - - 3885 - - 3053 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3874 - - 5183 - - 5417 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 882 - - 985 - - 1117 - - 1283 - - 1839 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 247 - - 319 - - 230 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 308 - - 329 - - 339 - - 357 - - 338 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -3 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 800 - - 1124 - - 1365 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3074 - - 4059 - - 4052 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -3120 - - -1882 - - 82 - - 236 - - -1828 ODpotential blCL 5457 - - 5756 - - 5101 - - 5181 - - 4166 blCL maxRH 97 - - 92 - - 90 - - 91 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.4 - - 51.1 - - 55.2 - - 55.9 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.1 - - 45.8 - - 45.6 - - 46.2 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.2 - - 50.2 - - 54.1 - - 55.4 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.5 - - 44.7 - - 44.3 - - 45.0 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 130 - - 147 - - 46 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1553 - - 2862 - - 3096 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 88 - - 68 - - 60 - - 63 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96295 15 325 14 336 9 325 10 340 12 323 96295 89151 7 280 7 347 6 303 9 322 11 351 89151 83672 7 271 8 347 10 346 10 332 19 350 83672 79188 7 309 6 003 5 012 9 356 9 006 79188 75337 8 007 15 001 8 356 8 353 17 023 75337 71923 7 011 10 027 10 333 12 319 16 335 71923 68841 12 310 6 075 4 306 6 318 9 285 68841 65995 16 299 16 286 12 297 15 307 9 273 65995 63325 19 284 22 264 25 277 29 285 26 285 63325 60720 27 281 25 265 34 265 40 269 36 273 60720 57987 39 280 32 277 39 267 42 270 42 274 57987 55127 47 275 36 279 42 273 44 274 45 272 55127 52367 48 275 40 284 44 279 52 280 51 280 52367 49865 53 276 47 286 50 284 60 274 63 274 49865 47611 56 276 54 281 52 280 56 272 62 267 47611 45553 53 273 54 275 48 280 54 284 55 275 45553 43657 51 277 55 279 49 283 55 287 60 284 43657 41903 57 279 59 278 56 285 55 285 59 287 41903 40278 60 275 60 271 62 280 58 284 58 287 40278 38772 59 275 56 274 57 278 57 284 57 286 38772 37381 58 282 55 281 49 282 47 289 46 292 37381 36056 62 284 58 283 48 291 41 305 46 308 36056 34717 64 282 61 282 50 297 46 314 47 317 34717 33336 66 281 62 282 50 300 48 316 47 320 33336 31920 69 280 60 287 49 300 47 317 50 319 31920 30451 70 279 60 290 48 296 43 314 50 319 30451 28919 70 279 60 289 48 292 41 305 45 321 28919 27326 68 278 61 287 49 293 41 303 41 320 27326 25667 65 279 61 287 49 295 40 303 39 315 25667 23943 64 280 58 288 50 293 41 303 37 310 23943 22153 65 281 56 290 50 295 42 307 37 312 22153 20292 65 284 56 292 51 298 44 313 35 320 20292 18355 62 288 52 294 48 299 45 315 36 328 18355 16382 52 290 46 295 40 303 39 314 34 331 16382 14481 42 291 38 301 32 310 31 316 28 331 14481 12754 33 288 30 306 27 313 25 321 22 334 12754 11218 28 291 24 309 23 314 20 326 17 339 11218 9853 21 296 19 315 19 316 16 331 13 346 9853 8639 15 293 14 319 13 321 13 334 9 355 8639 7560 12 291 10 319 8 329 9 344 6 016 7560 6601 12 303 9 321 5 339 7 006 5 038 6601 5755 13 316 8 328 5*344 7*013 7 042 5755 5006 13 328 7 336 5*342 7*011 9 034 5006 4334 13 333 8*337 6 341 7 003 11 028 4334 3738 14 330 9*332 6 340 7 355 10 019 3738 3239 14 324 9 329 6 338 7 353 10 004 3239 2855 14 320 8 328 6 338 7 351 10 349 2855 2591 12 316 8 327 6 337 7 350 9 343 2591 2430 10 314 7 327 6 336 7 349 7*341 2430 2338 5*308 6 326 5 335 6 348 4*338 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography