DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 57.4 - - 56.4 - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 154 - - 52 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 650 - - 2507 - - 2349 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 3640 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2971 - - 4829 - - 4671 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1001 - - 1571 - - 1383 - - 1293 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 307 - - 211 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 346 - - 359 - - 001 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1067 - - -744 - - -64 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4038 - - 5573 - - 4735 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4437 - - -3623 - - -2994 - - -3830 ODpotential blCL - - - 7408 - - 8452 - - 7665 - - 6168 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 68 - - 78 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 57.4 - - 56.4 - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.8 - - 41.2 - - 43.8 - - 44.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 56.3 - - 56.0 - - 48.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.6 - - 40.0 - - 42.9 - - 45.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 72 - - 154 - - 52 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 650 - - 2507 - - 2349 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 12 - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96459 26 102 28 091 29 093 29 092 96459 89381 25 097 20 100 23 097 19 092 89381 83897 20 102 19 104 21 104 13 094 83897 79313 18 103 15 103 19 106 14 114 79313 75332 14 128 14 116 11 101 11 118 75332 71796 7 113 5 135 3 102 6 134 71796 68592 2 350 2 215 5 243 5 230 68592 65646 6 321 5 268 10 216 12 250 65646 62904 9 296 13 282 11 272 13 251 62904 60245 12 251 20 275 22 281 17 271 60245 57476 16 291 21 263 27 276 26 275 57476 54618 27 278 22 288 34 290 37 275 54618 51887 29 293 42 292 43 288 40 277 51887 49404 40 298 42 290 50 291 49 289 49404 47163 41 308 43 303 58 287 58 290 47163 45124 52 313 52 302 59 283 68 290 45124 43268 50 301 52 294 59 282 69 283 43268 41565 30 310 37 295 53 285 60 284 41565 39992 17 350 50 324 53 304 62 299 39992 38542 57 347 74 325 69 313 67 301 38542 37196 79 338 72 321 70 309 62 293 37196 35909 79 336 61 327 59 308 52 288 35909 34605 74 341 61 334 50 324 42 294 34605 33251 66 348 60 338 48 330 38 301 33251 31849 56 356 56 343 43 333 35 300 31849 30391 49 003 55 352 40 337 41 306 30391 28870 47 002 42 359 39 338 49 313 28870 27285 41 001 33 353 37 340 51 316 27285 25633 38 357 33 347 32 342 43 318 25633 23915 40 352 35 349 29 334 35 313 23915 22134 41 000 36 351 26 327 24 307 22134 20278 39 007 33 352 36 330 26 301 20278 18340 34 015 28 355 34 343 33 309 18340 16364 28 020 25 359 25 353 24 323 16364 14466 21 018 22 002 19 356 14 330 14466 12742 15 015 18 002 18 359 11 334 12742 11207 11 010 13 356 17 002 11 350 11207 9841 9 006 9 351 13 003 10 004 9841 8626 8 016 7 355 9 002 8 006 8626 7547 11 024 6 012 7 005 5 357 7547 6591 14 024 7 025 6 018 5 348 6591 5746 16 020 8 022 5 029 5 354 5746 4998 16 015 7*012 6*029 5 021 4998 4327 15 008 7*005 6*015 6 042 4327 3732 14 003 7 000 6 002 7 036 3732 3235 13*356 6 359 7 360 8 019 3235 2853 10*349 6 358 6 357 8 001 2853 2589 8 346 6 357 6 356 7 356 2589 2429 8 345 5 356 6 355 6*358 2429 2338 6 344 5 356 5 354 3*002 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography