DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 0959z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.4 - - 83.6 - - 89.3 - - 89.5 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 259 - - 364 - - 131 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2423 - - 6048 - - 6787 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 3758 - - 6672 - - 6646 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2339 - - 4746 - - 8371 - - 9110 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 147 - - 2072 - - 1622 - - 1545 - - 482 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 352 - - 534 - - 396 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 17 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 182 - - 146 - - 161 - - 168 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 6 - - 20 - - 55 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3948 - - -8085 - - -5286 - - -4310 - - -3701 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6288 - - 12832 - - 13658 - - 13421 - - 6041 sfcLCL ODpotential -14036 - - -14573 - - -10434 - - -9404 - - -10478 ODpotential blCL 16375 - - 19319 - - 18805 - - 18514 - - 12818 blCL maxRH 38 - - 23 - - 32 - - 41 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 64.4 - - 83.6 - - 89.3 - - 89.5 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.5 - - 35.6 - - 37.2 - - 38.5 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 69.1 - - 81.8 - - 87.0 - - 88.2 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 45.3 - - 35.2 - - 36.8 - - 38.2 - - 55.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 259 - - 364 - - 131 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2423 - - 6048 - - 6787 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98263 14 117 7 121 14 142 11 166 2 093 98263 90909 13 102 14 113 13 147 5 122 6 123 90909 85217 12 086 16 104 11 132 5 105 8 115 85217 80499 10 094 11 097 11 105 10 102 12 104 80499 76450 12 135 8 098 12 101 13 089 17 086 76450 72886 15 105 11 111 13 119 12 093 14 089 72886 69670 12 108 11 108 14 116 12 106 12 099 69670 66716 12 090 11 119 14 103 15 105 10 101 66716 63979 9 076 10 122 8 111 11 094 10 084 63979 61340 7 066 6 119 3 121 6 080 8 062 61340 58606 4 045 5 104 3 216 2 354 4 357 58606 55797 3 005 5 090 5 212 7 257 7 275 55797 53132 8 318 5 029 4 201 9 222 10 257 53132 50733 16 291 8 332 4 269 10 211 11 239 50733 48573 18 276 13 306 10 288 7 239 11 240 48573 46601 14 273 12 286 12 272 10 257 10 249 46601 44780 10 274 11 282 11 268 10 250 12 241 44780 43084 8 288 9 284 7 270 8 232 13 228 43084 41491 6 271 7 270 6 256 8 224 12 213 41491 39992 4 259 6 229 10 228 13 217 14 214 39992 38582 3 266 4 177 11 191 15 213 15 220 38582 37229 7 205 5 183 11 183 16 217 16 220 37229 35862 9 163 9 170 14 184 17 208 19 215 35862 34450 9 150 10 152 17 167 16 202 19 205 34450 32995 10 146 10 146 18 161 17 189 17 201 32995 31483 10 132 11 152 17 159 19 176 17 195 31483 29902 11 100 13 143 17 154 17 171 17 188 29902 28251 12 097 14 136 17 150 16 167 16 183 28251 26530 13 095 14 135 16 149 14 160 15 180 26530 24740 11 100 10 151 12 156 12 154 14 179 24740 22888 7 132 7 160 8 157 11 145 12 168 22888 20970 4 154 5 160 7 139 11 140 13 150 20970 18978 1 187 3 148 7 136 10 150 13 147 18978 16948 3 129 5 165 8 162 7 158 9 139 16948 14993 7 147 9 181 9 178 6 175 6 106 14993 13212 7 156 10 181 11 182 10 182 4 117 13212 11623 5 155 10 170 12 174 15 183 7 193 11623 10207 6 157 10 158 12 170 12*182 13 204 10207 8946 8 162 11 155 9*174 8*181 15 196 8946 7822 10 168 11 158 7*175 7 181 11 169 7822 6823 10 170 12 164 7 175 5 182 8 153 6823 5938 8 170 12 165 6 172 4 171 6 141 5938 5152 7 163 9*160 6 162 2 150 5 116 5152 4444 8 148 6*153 5 154 2 134 5 084 4444 3816 7 137 5 150 5 148 2 118 6 055 3816 3290 6 135 5 145 5 144 1 101 7 031 3290 2884 5 154 5 142 5 140 1 092 9 360 2884 2606 5 181 4 140 5 140 1 089 9 341 2606 2436 4*194 4 140 5 139 1 084 8*336 2436 2340 2*182 4 140 4 137 1 079 4*330 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography