DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 70.2 - - - - - 56.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 386 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1897 - - 4581 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3312 - - 5549 - - - - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4219 - - 6903 - - - - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2024 - - 1526 - - - - - 1660 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 305 - - 501 - - - - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 201 - - - - - 232 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -4 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4838 - - -3548 - - - - - -4701 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9058 - - 10452 - - - - - 7040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10499 - - -8828 - - - - - -11243 ODpotential blCL - - - 14718 - - 15731 - - - - - 13581 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 64 - - - - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.8 - - 70.2 - - - - - 56.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.3 - - 32.3 - - - - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.3 - - 67.9 - - - - - 58.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.2 - - 31.1 - - - - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 209 - - 386 - - - - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1897 - - 4581 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97260 48 274 58 281 51 291 97260 89919 42 280 45 273 43 279 89919 84270 33 277 34 263 37 281 84270 79579 32 273 28 269 27 279 79579 75552 24 270 27 271 17 270 75552 72000 14 268 20 262 13 268 72000 68780 10 278 18 242 17 258 68780 65821 13 283 16 239 17 243 65821 63093 21 269 15 246 13 246 63093 60450 24 260 20 235 19 234 60450 57680 35 268 25 260 22 251 57680 54798 51 251 49 251 39 253 54798 52035 50 243 52 239 45 245 52035 49529 49 249 51 242 53 247 49529 47269 58 257 58 248 58 247 47269 45222 61 259 61 249 52 248 45222 43364 60 260 60 252 50 254 43364 41673 58 255 55 252 47 254 41673 40125 45 248 42 250 52 272 40125 38695 35 253 38 253 52 272 38695 37355 30 257 30 252 48 270 37355 36062 26 258 28 263 47 267 36062 34748 25 257 27 265 47 265 34748 33385 29 244 27 262 44 263 33385 31977 33 230 30 262 41 258 31977 30512 31 233 31 265 38 249 30512 28978 31 233 29 262 36 239 28978 27376 31 232 27 250 36 233 27376 25706 30 232 29 238 36 233 25706 23970 28 230 30 231 34 232 23970 22174 29 226 30 228 33 226 22174 20312 32 224 31 223 32 219 20312 18379 31 221 35 213 30 214 18379 16416 28 217 35 204 29 208 16416 14527 26 215 30 202 30 203 14527 12806 24 210 25 200 28 198 12806 11274 22 209 21 195 27 192 11274 9908 20 210 18 189 25 185 9908 8689 18 204 16 186 25 181 8689 7602 19 193 14*189 24 182 7602 6636 21 187 13*195 23 188 6636 5782 21 186 13 197 21 198 5782 5025 20 186 14 200 20 210 5025 4348 18*187 14 202 19 218 4348 3748 15*189 14 203 19 219 3748 3246 14 191 14 203 18 216 3246 2859 13 192 13 204 16 216 2859 2593 12 192 12 205 13 221 2593 2431 11 193 12 204 10 226 2431 2338 9 193 10 205 5*232 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography