DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.9 - - 62.7 - - 70.3 - - 68.4 - - 57.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 208 - - 329 - - 168 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1055 - - 2309 - - 1762 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2719 - - 3757 - - 3132 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2337 - - 3377 - - 4631 - - 4084 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 279 - - 725 - - 1727 - - 1511 - - 635 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 252 - - 379 - - 277 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 9 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 318 - - 335 - - 341 - - 331 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 1 - - 2 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -951 - - -3016 - - -4530 - - -3824 - - -2871 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3288 - - 6394 - - 9161 - - 7908 - - 5209 sfcLCL ODpotential -8438 - - -9228 - - -10383 - - -9095 - - -9492 ODpotential blCL 10775 - - 12605 - - 15014 - - 13179 - - 11830 blCL maxRH 72 - - 50 - - 56 - - 53 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.9 - - 62.7 - - 70.3 - - 68.4 - - 57.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.7 - - 43.0 - - 38.3 - - 42.0 - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.1 - - 61.3 - - 68.1 - - 67.1 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 41.8 - - 37.1 - - 41.1 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 208 - - 329 - - 168 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1055 - - 2309 - - 1762 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96550 37 288 35 294 43 282 34 295 40 289 96550 89364 29 314 29 286 31 291 30 297 27 310 89364 83904 25 321 22 293 25 299 24 303 23 315 83904 79384 20 323 19 319 20 310 22 314 22 319 79384 75489 20 333 14 340 15 319 18 315 22 327 75489 72038 16 326 10 347 11 315 15 319 19 323 72038 68889 16 329 11 331 12 298 16 310 20 309 68889 65970 21 313 11 312 11 277 16 296 19 301 65970 63241 22 293 15 306 13 287 17 293 18 295 63241 60574 26 278 21 288 16 285 18 282 21 291 60574 57776 28 276 27 291 25 294 26 282 26 289 57776 54882 37 284 37 286 33 289 32 286 30 286 54882 52139 38 288 37 285 36 289 38 290 35 286 52139 49674 44 291 41 290 42 286 43 286 39 280 49674 47454 46 290 46 290 43 284 46 281 44 278 47454 45438 47 294 46 289 39 280 48 273 47 270 45438 43609 49 297 45 291 37 281 39 269 40 262 43609 41944 50 293 45 291 39 284 36 278 36 269 41944 40414 48 289 44 289 40 283 45 279 43 273 40414 38989 46 290 44 288 43 284 46 273 46 269 38989 37645 44 294 43 288 44 280 43 273 41 265 37645 36346 44 298 43 289 41 277 39 275 37 263 36346 35027 45 300 43 291 38 278 36 274 34 262 35027 33660 44 300 41 295 35 280 33 276 33 264 33660 32247 39 300 36 296 32 284 32 275 32 266 32247 30776 33 299 30 291 29 286 30 274 31 268 30776 29234 28 296 26 281 26 280 28 276 30 268 29234 27622 24 289 24 274 26 276 27 277 29 269 27622 25942 21 284 23 267 23 271 24 275 28 269 25942 24196 20 290 20 267 20 265 22 266 27 269 24196 22388 19 296 18 277 16 265 20 262 24 270 22388 20514 14 299 16 282 14 271 15 267 21 277 20514 18567 13 295 15 282 13 272 12 276 15 280 18567 16582 13 301 12 288 11 277 8 283 10 278 16582 14669 12 305 11 296 11 290 8 301 7 291 14669 12927 11 302 12 301 13 303 10 320 8 319 12927 11376 11 296 12 307 12 316 11 332 10 336 11376 9995 11 293 11 314 11 328 11 338 11 342 9995 8762 10 294 9 320 9 339 9 339 11 342 8762 7663 9 298 8 324 8 345 8 336 11 337 7663 6686 8 306 8 328 7 348 6 338 11 331 6686 5822 8 312 9 332 7 352 6 343 11 330 5822 5056 8 317 9 338 7*351 7 345 12 335 5056 4369 7 327 10 345 7*347 8*339 13 338 4369 3760 8 339 10*342 7 344 10*333 16 337 3760 3252 11 336 9*338 8 341 11 331 18 330 3252 2862 15 326 9 336 8 338 11 330 17 324 2862 2594 15 323 8 334 8 337 10 329 14 321 2594 2431 12 323 8 334 7 336 10 329 11 321 2431 2338 5*318 6 332 6 336 8 328 5*319 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography