DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 48.4 - - 47.2 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 23 - - 10 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 914 - - 718 - - 1006 - - 444 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3235 - - 3039 - - 3327 - - 2765 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2664 - - 2570 - - 1843 - - 2369 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 107 - - 110 - - 97 - - 57 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 18 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 217 - - 206 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - 2 - - -8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 860 - - 702 - - 990 - - 428 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2375 - - 2337 - - 2337 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 27 - - 121 - - 259 - - 47 ODpotential blCL - - - 3208 - - 2918 - - 3068 - - 2718 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 110 - - 30 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.3 - - 48.4 - - 47.2 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.8 - - 46.9 - - 45.0 - - 44.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.2 - - 48.3 - - 47.2 - - 45.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 46.4 - - 44.6 - - 44.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 16 - - 23 - - 10 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 914 - - 718 - - 1006 - - 444 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 101 - - 95 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96172 23 286 23 296 22 309 19 300 96172 89078 15 319 12 299 17 315 17 307 89078 83615 14 290 15 305 11 312 14 330 83615 79067 9 273 11 305 11 301 17 293 79067 75141 12 273 12 298 10 299 12 275 75141 71644 20 259 14 272 10 293 11 257 71644 68451 20 231 21 250 18 270 16 243 68451 65495 20 242 29 233 22 249 21 231 65495 62725 28 252 21 227 20 233 30 229 62725 60011 29 245 19 253 28 253 29 229 60011 57162 35 244 42 256 41 254 32 255 57162 54204 39 247 55 244 52 250 46 259 54204 51388 41 249 56 243 57 244 52 255 51388 48854 47 254 59 245 54 246 54 249 48854 46581 60 254 58 250 55 250 56 250 46581 44523 72 250 63 252 64 252 60 251 44523 42646 84 245 70 249 72 249 67 251 42646 40925 84 239 76 242 74 246 77 248 40925 39335 87 239 81 235 78 245 82 244 39335 37857 104 240 83 236 80 244 83 242 37857 36474 123 241 92 240 86 245 86 241 36474 35151 123 237 107 241 95 244 91 241 35151 33823 124 238 122 237 101 243 94 240 33823 32463 123 239 125 237 107 242 91 240 32463 31072 118 239 122 238 113 241 91 241 31072 29635 111 235 116 235 108 241 85 240 29635 28141 108 231 111 233 83 242 69 238 28141 26590 102 231 97 236 64 248 56 241 26590 24981 92 232 76 240 59 252 50 246 24981 23309 84 232 57 243 55 247 46 246 23309 21577 76 234 51 243 53 236 42 244 21577 19777 63 238 49 239 48 234 40 238 19777 17906 49 243 42 237 46 238 37 235 17906 16001 37 246 37 237 45 245 33 237 16001 14167 27 249 35 238 39 250 23 243 14167 12497 20 244 33 239 31 251 12 240 12497 11012 16 230 31 239 25 255 8 221 11012 9690 15 212 29 233 22 255 11 219 9690 8511 18 205 30 225 22 251 14 227 8511 7459 22 207 31 222 22 245 14 243 7459 6523 27 211 31 222 23 240 14 263 6523 5695 29 211 31 222 22 233 15 279 5695 4960 30 210 30 222 23 223 16 288 4960 4301 29 208 29 221 23 212 16 292 4301 3715 28*206 28 220 23*208 16 294 3715 3225 27*205 25*218 22*206 16 294 3225 2848 24 204 22*217 20 206 14*295 2848 2587 21 204 19 217 17 206 12*295 2587 2428 18 203 17 217 15 206 11 295 2428 2337 11 203 11 218 9 205 7 294 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography