DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/05 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.8 - - 83.3 - - 81.3 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 499 - - 317 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2498 - - 4718 - - 2086 - - 402 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3931 - - 5739 - - 3573 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4821 - - 7041 - - 4409 - - 2724 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1407 - - 1197 - - 3198 - - 502 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 404 - - 546 - - 358 - - 74 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 22 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 229 - - 309 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 18 - - 10 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7669 - - -6331 - - -7972 - - -7029 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12491 - - 13373 - - 12382 - - 9753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15128 - - -12503 - - -13834 - - -15004 ODpotential blCL - - - 19949 - - 19544 - - 18243 - - 17728 blCL maxRH - - - 29 - - 30 - - 32 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.8 - - 83.3 - - 81.3 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 32.7 - - 35.3 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 80.4 - - 79.3 - - 70.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 32.2 - - 34.8 - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 499 - - 317 - - 14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2498 - - 4718 - - 2086 - - 402 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98977 37 106 41 111 34 120 32 099 98977 91513 31 110 31 104 29 111 32 097 91513 85772 30 124 24 102 30 099 30 100 85772 81008 32 120 27 125 23 094 28 097 81008 76894 29 103 29 120 21 106 22 102 76894 73264 20 098 27 102 26 101 20 115 73264 70000 16 119 16 097 22 091 20 106 70000 67017 18 108 14 125 13 098 13 072 67017 64264 10 102 9 123 8 106 7 066 64264 61603 8 148 9 177 2 191 3 020 61603 58823 8 216 10 203 6 229 4 230 58823 55934 13 238 14 220 15 240 16 246 55934 53180 19 243 19 232 26 238 27 247 53180 50702 27 250 28 244 33 244 36 245 50702 48474 37 251 39 249 42 244 41 236 48474 46437 43 250 46 249 48 243 44 240 46437 44561 44 249 49 249 50 245 42 243 44561 42827 41 246 43 248 46 247 40 247 42827 41219 36 243 36 244 37 244 36 248 41219 39724 32 238 31 237 31 242 32 248 39724 38324 28 234 26 233 29 241 30 250 38324 36980 22 231 23 233 25 239 27 251 36980 35623 18 231 20 223 18 234 23 249 35623 34224 18 223 16 211 16 222 17 248 34224 32785 17 216 15 207 16 209 13 246 32785 31290 18 216 15 206 17 208 11 240 31290 29729 16 220 16 206 17 210 11 229 29729 28100 13 235 16 202 17 207 12 224 28100 26401 16 242 17 210 17 204 14 229 26401 24631 18 237 18 217 17 205 13 241 24631 22792 18 230 18 219 16 211 12 241 22792 20880 17 231 17 217 14 219 13 222 20880 18891 17 228 17 222 13 222 13 214 18891 16865 16 225 16 228 13 219 12 206 16865 14911 13 224 13 225 11 211 10 201 14911 13133 10 221 10 210 8 209 7 195 13133 11549 7 209 10 186 7 208 5 203 11549 10138 6 190 10 170 9 191 7 217 10138 8880 5 197 9 172 10 164 9 200 8880 7760 7 211 7*174 10 151 10 178 7760 6766 9 206 5*181 8 149 6 166 6766 5888 10 199 5 190 5 162 3 157 5888 5108 8*195 4 209 2 221 1 044 5108 4408 5*200 5 233 4*283 3 003 4408 3787 4 225 5 248 8*308 8 346 3787 3269 3 238 6 255 10 309 13 334 3269 2872 3 248 6 258 10 310 13*328 2872 2600 3 253 6 260 10 310 12*327 2600 2434 3 255 6 260 10 310 11 327 2434 2339 3 256 6 261 8 309 7 325 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography