DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.7 - - 59.0 - - 66.3 - - 62.1 - - 50.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - -5 - - 58 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 325 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2647 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 68 - - 148 - - 433 - - 353 - - 65 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 16 - - 114 - - 7 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 109 - - 106 - - 109 - - 097 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9386 - - -7769 - - -4883 - - -3568 - - -3514 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11724 - - 10107 - - 7530 - - 5906 - - 5852 sfcLCL ODpotential -20967 - - -17569 - - -12094 - - -11242 - - -14378 ODpotential blCL 23305 - - 19907 - - 14741 - - 13580 - - 16716 blCL maxRH 25 - - 28 - - 39 - - 45 - - 30 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.7 - - 59.0 - - 66.3 - - 62.1 - - 50.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.5 - - 24.1 - - 42.0 - - 44.7 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.7 - - 60.3 - - 65.9 - - 63.4 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.4 - - 23.4 - - 40.9 - - 43.8 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - -5 - - 58 - - -3 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 325 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96559 25 024 24 006 33 350 25 336 33 333 96559 89516 20 035 23 049 11 040 8 341 23 324 89516 83981 20 066 17 077 7 046 8 028 14 005 83981 79365 18 068 14 072 9 025 13 026 19 036 79365 75405 13 036 12 058 8 013 14 023 21 027 75405 71915 8 342 13 023 8 006 13 014 19 015 71915 68764 7 003 17 342 14 355 15 003 20 013 68764 65876 11 021 17 330 17 348 16 001 23 017 65876 63198 14 017 11 328 17 348 14 359 21 359 63198 60604 13 018 9 347 14 338 13 344 17 342 60604 57905 11 010 11 346 12 336 14 352 12 340 57905 55102 8 340 8 349 7 334 10 350 10 359 55102 52411 4 348 7 015 2 344 4 290 8 005 52411 49978 3 031 9 006 6 062 2 166 3 311 49978 47793 2 013 1 288 2 014 5 045 1 202 47793 45806 4 111 6 203 6 234 3 290 1 348 45806 43987 7 132 10 156 14 190 13 203 9 253 43987 42318 7 072 12 107 17 145 18 161 15 231 42318 40772 13 212 11 197 11 168 17 161 21 193 40772 39327 20 193 17 202 13 196 12 167 20 162 39327 37969 20 187 21 197 18 204 8 197 14 160 37969 36661 19 192 22 196 22 208 17 216 14 192 36661 35337 17 202 22 198 24 204 23 214 21 203 35337 33968 18 215 21 207 24 203 25 213 27 207 33968 32555 22 216 23 215 24 207 29 217 32 210 32555 31083 23 212 26 215 27 216 37 218 33 211 31083 29540 20 209 23 209 26 223 28 225 25 218 29540 27927 15 217 19 199 21 212 22 219 16 215 27927 26244 11 222 16 211 17 211 17 221 12 197 26244 24494 7 233 13 227 14 227 16 243 3 215 24494 22677 7 260 11 236 12 240 12 262 4 312 22677 20785 7 269 11 241 12 245 6 295 5 356 20785 18815 9 296 10 279 8 294 5 014 7 030 18815 16809 9 348 6 007 8 040 11 060 10 049 16809 14871 13 023 13 050 14 064 13 063 13 062 14871 13104 13 030 13 048 12 064 13 064 15 075 13104 11529 10 034 10 047 10 057 12 064 16 079 11529 10123 8 032 8 056 8 055 11 061 15 078 10123 8869 9 038 7 065 6 058 9 060 12 075 8869 7750 8 044 6 069 5 060 7 062 10 067 7750 6756 6 042 5 068 5 056 6 066 9 062 6756 5875 4 031 3 064 4 050 4 070 7 063 5875 5096 3 019 0 074 3 042 3 070 5 067 5096 4396 0 054 2 194 2 065 2 078 3 045 4396 3778 2 182 2 179 3 103 2 106 3 324 3778 3262 3 178 3 159 5 114 3 130 4 301 3262 2866 4 174 5 150 5*111 4 132 2 299 2866 2595 4 172 5 148 5*106 4 124 1 030 2595 2431 4*152 4 128 4 106 4 111 4*098 2431 2338 3*138 2*109 4 105 3*109 3*097 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography