DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 80.2 - - 77.3 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 396 - - 182 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1881 - - 4526 - - 3111 - - 134 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3403 - - 5507 - - 4118 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4204 - - 6849 - - 5434 - - 2456 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1282 - - 1224 - - 2537 - - 629 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 338 - - 499 - - 340 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 207 - - 228 - - 296 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 7 - - 21 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5722 - - -5311 - - -3643 - - -1667 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9927 - - 12161 - - 9078 - - 4123 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13565 - - -12058 - - -9635 - - -9318 ODpotential blCL - - - 17769 - - 18907 - - 15069 - - 11774 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 48 - - 47 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 80.2 - - 77.3 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.0 - - 34.9 - - 45.5 - - 52.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.3 - - 77.8 - - 76.0 - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 34.5 - - 45.4 - - 52.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 296 - - 396 - - 182 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1881 - - 4526 - - 3111 - - 134 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98752 7 123 8 115 10 126 13 113 98752 91376 13 116 13 122 10 155 10 101 91376 85661 15 134 12 140 8 151 9 134 85661 80892 14 136 12 171 3 109 7 130 80892 76773 10 122 12 163 2 148 8 152 76773 73143 4 129 5 150 6 175 7 182 73143 69870 5 216 5 228 6 175 6 181 69870 66862 8 228 8 254 2 220 1 087 66862 64075 10 206 9 238 7 245 2 288 64075 61382 3 254 7 232 9 273 6 302 61382 58590 11 256 18 244 20 259 18 272 58590 55717 19 279 21 250 26 249 28 262 55717 52984 38 276 36 269 37 262 33 257 52984 50519 49 269 53 269 52 271 45 273 50519 48309 58 273 68 269 70 270 65 270 48309 46298 70 274 73 264 75 262 72 262 46298 44439 76 272 76 263 77 260 75 258 44439 42709 77 270 78 262 77 260 76 260 42709 41099 73 267 74 263 76 261 76 262 41099 39596 63 260 69 262 72 259 73 261 39596 38193 58 258 64 260 65 257 69 261 38193 36851 58 260 63 262 61 257 66 259 36851 35499 61 262 66 262 62 263 64 260 35499 34101 65 262 69 260 65 264 64 263 34101 32660 66 261 69 256 67 262 65 265 32660 31161 61 258 62 255 63 260 65 264 31161 29593 53 257 54 254 55 259 58 262 29593 27956 49 261 43 258 43 257 49 259 27956 26252 47 260 39 261 38 257 43 259 26252 24480 39 251 38 259 34 258 37 258 24480 22644 35 248 38 254 31 258 31 256 22644 20738 34 250 34 253 30 258 26 258 20738 18759 32 260 25 257 25 256 22 255 18759 16745 25 267 19 257 19 252 17 248 16745 14805 16 261 15 247 15 251 11 242 14805 13037 12 237 14 236 13 247 9 238 13037 11465 11 224 13 232 12 243 8 243 11465 10069 9 217 11 225 10 226 7 252 10069 8826 8 207 9 206 8 167 7 238 8826 7718 7 201 8*188 8 139 10 189 7718 6733 7 197 6*191 7 151 10 149 6733 5862 6 201 6 196 7*176 10 121 5862 5088 8 210 6 203 7*196 7 134 5088 4393 8*215 7 208 7 211 7 195 4393 3777 7*221 7 212 6 228 10 215 3777 3263 7 225 7 215 7 240 8 240 3263 2869 7 227 7 218 7 243 8 282 2869 2597 7 229 7 219 7 245 8*294 2597 2433 6 230 7 218 6 247 7*295 2433 2339 6 230 6 220 6 248 4 297 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography