DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.6 - - 53.4 - - 62.7 - - 59.5 - - 49.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 66 - - 290 - - 397 - - 202 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 427 - - 1870 - - 4364 - - 2574 - - 654 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3393 - - 5384 - - 3779 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2748 - - 4191 - - 6686 - - 4896 - - 2975 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1128 - - 652 - - 1458 - - 2313 - - 835 Hgt.Variab. W* 126 - - 337 - - 495 - - 332 - - 85 W* B/S 2 - - 12 - - 13 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 228 - - 250 - - 180 - - 292 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 10 - - 3 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - 22 - - 22 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 411 - - 519 - - 660 - - -57 - - -127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3672 - - 6027 - - 4953 - - 3102 sfcLCL ODpotential -15 - - 373 - - 84 - - -607 - - -3678 ODpotential blCL 2763 - - 3818 - - 6602 - - 5503 - - 6653 blCL maxRH 99 - - 98 - - 89 - - 96 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.6 - - 53.4 - - 62.7 - - 59.5 - - 49.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.5 - - 45.3 - - 44.2 - - 45.7 - - 43.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.0 - - 51.5 - - 60.5 - - 58.0 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.3 - - 44.7 - - 43.5 - - 45.3 - - 43.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 66 - - 290 - - 397 - - 202 - - 13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 427 - - 1870 - - 4364 - - 2574 - - 654 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 97 - - 92 - - 55 - - 83 - - 55 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97799 19 243 21 236 29 248 26 259 22 258 97799 90324 10 251 25 245 20 248 23 246 24 261 90324 84631 12 256 18 237 20 259 22 261 21 244 84631 79919 17 278 11 276 18 244 17 249 17 278 79919 75868 16 288 14 285 18 270 14 285 16 274 75868 72280 17 282 16 273 20 284 17 303 13 261 72280 69015 19 274 15 272 23 278 21 284 17 308 69015 66016 20 283 16 277 21 274 20 278 24 306 66016 63240 20 297 20 278 20 271 21 285 27 294 63240 60545 22 299 23 283 23 273 29 281 29 283 60545 57728 29 268 24 280 26 275 32 268 31 273 57728 54800 27 259 26 266 26 274 32 255 32 267 54800 52003 24 274 28 261 31 272 32 259 33 265 52003 49487 29 268 33 262 44 267 36 271 36 266 49487 47232 34 259 38 261 45 258 46 266 44 261 47232 45190 38 257 41 256 43 254 54 256 55 251 45190 43326 47 250 40 255 45 256 57 252 59 250 43326 41616 51 241 42 257 51 260 60 254 65 255 41616 40031 50 240 46 256 59 261 66 258 76 260 40031 38548 54 245 50 254 66 261 77 260 89 260 38548 37153 58 244 51 251 71 260 87 261 98 258 37153 35810 54 239 51 249 75 259 93 259 102 255 35810 34452 44 230 49 247 76 257 98 258 102 253 34452 33048 40 214 44 242 72 256 102 258 97 254 33048 31604 41 204 36 226 59 253 99 258 91 257 31604 30111 40 195 35 212 42 246 80 257 81 259 30111 28562 39 188 33 213 35 232 52 252 56 259 28562 26965 38 187 24 204 33 225 34 237 34 251 26965 25325 36 191 24 175 31 227 23 218 17 227 25325 23634 32 195 30 173 27 230 17 197 11 183 23634 21884 28 188 29 184 17 219 16 191 14 166 21884 20064 27 180 25 184 19 186 15 175 16 169 20064 18168 26 176 26 178 23 178 18 171 20 172 18168 16235 25 172 26 177 23 175 21 176 21 177 16235 14372 25 166 27 173 23 176 22 183 19 183 14372 12674 25 159 27 170 25 181 21 191 19 186 12674 11160 26 155 28 168 26 182 20 191 18 183 11160 9811 27 158 28 169 25 178 19 176 18 178 9811 8609 29 162 28 170 20 166 16 147 17 165 8609 7537 30 162 27 168 15*151 14 133 14 138 7537 6583 30 162 25 162 12*151 10 134 11 126 6583 5739 28 167 21 163 10 157 5 148 6 140 5739 4990 25 180 15 172 7 177 2*215 3 224 4990 4319 21 196 8*197 7 190 5*279 6 278 4319 3726 16 212 5*236 7 197 8 292 13 301 3726 3231 14 220 5 248 6 204 8 294 16*305 3231 2851 12*225 5 253 6 208 9 294 16*305 2851 2589 11*227 5 257 6 210 9 294 15 305 2589 2429 10 228 5 257 6 211 8 295 13 305 2429 2338 7 230 4 257 5 212 7 294 8 304 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography