DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Panoche 2324ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 97.3 - - 95.5 - - 82.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 410 - - 231 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1822 - - 4847 - - 2447 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3367 - - 5777 - - 3736 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4145 - - 7171 - - 4771 - - 2340 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1744 - - 1413 - - 3525 - - 813 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 337 - - 518 - - 340 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 23 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 221 - - 330 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 14 - - 24 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9518 - - -9112 - - -9695 - - -8377 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13664 - - 16284 - - 14467 - - 10717 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17463 - - -15893 - - -15560 - - -16474 ODpotential blCL - - - 21608 - - 23064 - - 20331 - - 18814 blCL maxRH - - - 38 - - 41 - - 40 - - 24 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.8 - - 97.3 - - 95.5 - - 82.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.3 - - 33.5 - - 40.1 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.9 - - 94.7 - - 93.6 - - 84.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 32.8 - - 39.7 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 300 - - 410 - - 231 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1822 - - 4847 - - 2447 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99282 36 118 32 103 35 110 33 097 99282 91799 40 106 38 108 35 108 29 108 91799 86040 40 094 33 107 31 103 31 099 86040 81270 30 098 24 108 25 097 29 087 81270 77176 26 115 23 116 22 091 22 093 77176 73549 22 124 22 112 17 102 17 100 73549 70248 21 111 16 112 13 107 18 085 70248 67224 13 094 16 115 9 120 12 080 67224 64450 9 082 10 107 11 079 11 093 64450 61784 6 095 7 137 5 067 11 084 61784 59023 9 130 8 180 4 195 4 116 59023 56195 2 178 13 191 10 226 6 260 56195 53529 15 277 8 228 11 226 13 245 53529 51142 26 274 17 288 10 269 11 250 51142 48997 29 259 24 288 16 289 12 283 48997 47037 28 260 26 280 22 282 20 287 47037 45222 28 259 27 271 26 271 26 278 45222 43529 28 261 28 268 27 266 27 269 43529 41941 30 267 27 266 27 264 27 259 41941 40443 31 270 27 271 26 267 27 262 40443 39027 32 271 28 272 27 273 26 271 39027 37657 31 268 27 267 27 277 25 276 37657 36268 27 263 23 263 25 277 23 276 36268 34830 24 261 20 261 23 266 22 267 34830 33350 16 266 14 256 22 262 21 264 33350 31817 14 273 10 254 17 259 19 266 31817 30215 15 270 11 251 17 262 18 264 30215 28543 16 273 14 266 17 268 17 267 28543 26801 13 286 14 286 15 274 14 273 26801 24991 11 298 11 295 10 279 9 275 24991 23119 9 298 9 294 7 282 5 265 23119 21179 7 279 7 273 6 279 4 269 21179 19164 6 271 7 267 5 281 4 280 19164 17113 5 283 5 274 4 291 3 303 17113 15136 5 288 5 284 3 317 3 352 15136 13335 5 295 5 294 3 341 3 358 13335 11730 4 316 5 304 4 341 3 350 11730 10300 4 343 4 296 5 321 3 356 10300 9024 3 343 4 268 2 262 4 329 9024 7885 1 302 3*217 3 159 3 303 7885 6872 2 192 4*206 5 151 4 161 6872 5977 4 170 4 207 4 151 6 160 5977 5182 4 175 4 214 2*154 4 164 5182 4466 5*192 4 219 1*325 3 158 4466 3831 5*205 4 225 4 330 1 094 3831 3299 5 211 5 231 5 331 3 347 3299 2890 6 215 5 233 6 330 5 333 2890 2609 6 219 5 234 6 329 6 327 2609 2438 5 220 4 235 6 330 6*324 2438 2340 5 221 4 236 5 328 4*318 2340 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography