DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/22 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 56.7 - - 57.6 - - 52.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 82 - - 4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 539 - - 1083 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2860 - - 3404 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 567 - - 940 - - 3223 - - 1803 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 186 - - 18 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 225 - - 219 - - 121 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -2 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 397 - - 243 - - -1099 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2463 - - 3161 - - 3437 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4780 - - -2476 - - -1892 - - -1885 ODpotential blCL - - - 7640 - - 5880 - - 4230 - - 4223 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 90 - - 95 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.7 - - 56.7 - - 57.6 - - 52.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.0 - - 50.9 - - 50.5 - - 50.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 56.0 - - 57.6 - - 54.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.4 - - 50.4 - - 50.1 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 70 - - 82 - - 4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 539 - - 1083 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 73 - - 60 - - 80 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96040 13 336 15 279 22 296 15 297 96040 89008 11 307 11 334 12 337 8 346 89008 83559 13 296 15 325 11 348 11 320 83559 79019 13 299 17 303 10 315 15 324 79019 75090 12 289 14 281 13 284 19 307 75090 71605 21 290 15 287 17 278 20 280 71605 68456 20 270 20 266 21 265 21 268 68456 65555 21 257 19 253 24 249 21 256 65555 62844 30 243 23 246 26 241 22 243 62844 60206 36 242 30 242 30 246 28 235 60206 57453 46 246 40 247 44 250 37 248 57453 54598 64 240 62 240 62 242 64 238 54598 51867 65 232 68 234 63 241 70 229 51867 49388 62 246 63 241 63 242 69 232 49388 47157 90 246 83 243 76 241 81 236 47157 45143 107 235 108 238 94 240 93 236 45143 43308 101 231 103 232 102 235 100 234 43308 41626 96 240 99 236 107 234 106 231 41626 40084 110 245 112 239 118 237 120 231 40084 38651 119 240 129 240 131 236 131 229 38651 37296 122 235 134 237 124 232 130 228 37296 35984 107 233 123 234 110 232 117 228 35984 34655 94 235 105 232 101 230 104 228 34655 33283 88 237 94 234 96 229 86 229 33283 31872 85 238 92 235 91 233 84 231 31872 30405 84 238 90 236 84 237 79 232 30405 28876 84 238 87 235 78 237 71 230 28876 27285 83 238 83 235 73 236 66 227 27285 25631 81 240 77 236 70 235 62 227 25631 23913 75 240 69 236 63 235 56 227 23913 22132 66 240 59 239 54 235 49 228 22132 20282 55 240 54 243 46 239 43 230 20282 18356 46 240 49 242 41 242 39 232 18356 16392 40 235 41 238 36 240 36 230 16392 14501 37 232 35 232 32 235 33 225 14501 12781 34 231 33 227 29 228 31 220 12781 11251 31 231 30 223 28 222 29 215 11251 9889 27 231 27 224 26 218 27 212 9889 8674 21 229 23 224 24 216 26 209 8674 7591 15 224 16 219 20 211 23 207 7591 6627 11 217 11 209 16 199 20 201 6627 5776 9 217 7 207 9 178 16 185 5776 5022 9 232 5 229 4 143 12 165 5022 4347 10 247 6 245 3 123 9 159 4347 3747 12 251 6*238 2 109 6 154 3747 3245 12*243 6*221 2 109 5 158 3245 2859 10*228 6 218 1 118 3 168 2859 2592 9 224 6 218 1 121 2 181 2592 2431 9 223 5 218 1 119 1*203 2431 2338 6 222 5 217 1*121 1*240 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography