DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.0 - - 61.0 - - 67.3 - - 65.8 - - 55.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 122 - - 223 - - 34 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 949 - - 1813 - - 1595 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 2322 - - 3265 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 3271 - - 4135 - - 3917 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 200 - - 541 - - 887 - - 1091 - - 583 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 202 - - 304 - - 157 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 021 - - 013 - - 011 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 2 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -798 - - -857 - - -1287 - - -621 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3136 - - 4128 - - 5423 - - 4538 - - 2338 sfcLCL ODpotential -10147 - - -6241 - - -4646 - - -3759 - - -5089 ODpotential blCL 12485 - - 9512 - - 8781 - - 7676 - - 7427 blCL maxRH 65 - - 77 - - 75 - - 80 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.0 - - 61.0 - - 67.3 - - 65.8 - - 55.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.7 - - 51.1 - - 51.6 - - 54.0 - - 54.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.2 - - 60.1 - - 65.8 - - 65.5 - - 57.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 50.6 - - 51.4 - - 53.8 - - 55.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 122 - - 223 - - 34 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 949 - - 1813 - - 1595 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 9 - - 0 - - 18 - - 66 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96741 8 266 7 325 9 351 6 348 8 343 96741 89555 10 345 10 331 12 340 15 321 11 009 89555 83999 14 344 6 337 14 335 15 329 14 360 83999 79384 12 347 13 350 13 337 16 340 15 354 79384 75415 9 359 14 338 12 320 18 336 14 342 75415 71916 19 334 16 343 14 320 16 334 14 350 71916 68752 21 310 19 328 19 317 22 337 18 351 68752 65852 18 300 22 313 21 319 26 331 21 337 65852 63174 19 308 20 306 19 314 23 321 22 321 63174 60583 23 313 21 308 16 300 20 308 21 301 60583 57882 28 297 26 301 21 294 23 306 23 309 57882 55082 35 289 32 284 32 280 35 297 31 303 55082 52411 41 291 37 284 38 280 42 282 35 292 52411 50005 46 292 41 287 43 281 43 283 42 293 50005 47848 51 291 46 287 53 285 51 286 47 293 47848 45887 53 291 48 285 53 281 52 287 50 292 45887 44089 54 292 49 293 50 289 51 293 52 295 44089 42432 52 292 50 300 49 300 48 299 45 303 42432 40897 46 290 44 299 47 300 42 305 41 310 40897 39459 40 296 39 298 40 302 42 310 39 315 39459 38100 35 306 35 300 36 295 43 307 38 316 38100 36785 32 311 33 304 34 287 39 304 39 317 36785 35447 29 311 31 308 30 288 37 306 40 319 35447 34060 27 311 29 311 29 288 37 305 40 318 34060 32626 26 309 27 311 28 288 33 299 38 314 32626 31131 26 305 27 311 25 287 30 290 35 312 31131 29565 27 304 27 311 24 287 29 284 33 310 29565 27930 28 308 27 308 24 288 29 283 31 303 27930 26227 28 310 26 305 25 293 28 286 29 296 26227 24460 28 309 26 302 24 298 25 292 26 296 24460 22631 29 306 26 300 22 302 22 296 23 301 22631 20734 28 306 25 301 23 307 22 304 21 307 20734 18758 27 309 26 308 27 314 25 315 22 314 18758 16742 27 312 27 314 30 320 29 321 25 321 16742 14796 28 319 27 314 29 323 31 322 29 327 14796 13023 27 322 24 312 25 322 28 322 29 334 13023 11446 23 320 21 310 22 319 24 325 26 339 11446 10044 19 321 18 312 21 321 19 332 21 343 10044 8798 15 331 14 323 18 329 16 346 17 348 8798 7692 13 349 12 343 15 342 14 003 16 356 7692 6710 14 008 11 001 13 359 14 016 15 004 6710 5842 15 018 12 009 13 009 15 018 14 008 5842 5073 17 021 13 011 14 008 16 010 14 010 5073 4381 18 016 14 009 13*007 15*005 15 006 4381 3769 19 007 15*011 11*010 13*008 15 359 3769 3258 20 003 13*017 11 013 12 011 15 001 3258 2866 18 002 11 021 10 014 12 013 13 009 2866 2596 14 001 10 022 9 015 11 013 11 015 2596 2432 10*002 9 023 9 016 10 013 8 018 2432 2338 3*009 7 024 7 015 7 015 3*024 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography