DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 68.2 - - 64.1 - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 46 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 333 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2655 - - 2339 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 164 - - 702 - - 901 - - 177 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 108 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 165 - - 197 - - 223 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -9091 - - -5359 - - -4045 - - -2196 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11430 - - 8014 - - 6385 - - 4535 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18119 - - -11713 - - -10914 - - -11294 ODpotential blCL - - - 20457 - - 14368 - - 13253 - - 13632 blCL maxRH - - - 20 - - 40 - - 41 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 68.2 - - 64.1 - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.4 - - 41.7 - - 44.6 - - 42.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.3 - - 67.8 - - 66.1 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.4 - - 40.6 - - 43.6 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 46 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 333 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96202 20 358 17 335 19 312 18 315 96202 89221 13 030 11 355 12 346 14 003 89221 83824 15 069 9 024 13 017 14 016 83824 79309 15 061 10 023 15 023 16 037 79309 75394 13 051 11 024 17 014 19 032 75394 71920 14 044 13 034 19 023 18 030 71920 68770 18 031 15 030 21 026 19 033 68770 65879 18 022 16 018 20 020 23 033 65879 63203 15 014 14 001 17 356 24 013 63203 60612 14 358 12 346 14 347 19 354 60612 57908 19 351 12 354 12 351 13 348 57908 55094 18 345 13 360 7 016 9 349 55094 52391 9 351 11 360 9 034 6 001 52391 49945 6 041 3 013 5 045 4 015 49945 47740 2 053 3 040 6 084 1 112 47740 45733 5 179 1 306 7 071 6 125 45733 43895 9 179 10 208 6 255 1 177 43895 42205 6 215 10 210 10 223 10 217 42205 40642 7 248 10 225 13 225 12 206 40642 39179 9 234 15 232 15 238 11 208 39179 37803 13 224 18 237 16 241 13 226 37803 36482 17 222 20 239 17 243 19 240 36482 35148 17 217 20 238 17 243 26 247 35148 33772 13 206 17 225 18 242 30 245 33772 32355 9 183 11 198 17 232 27 242 32355 30882 9 174 9 158 13 208 24 241 30882 29344 12 182 8 164 11 160 17 216 29344 27743 12 182 11 177 10 134 16 161 27743 26078 9 175 10 170 9 128 14 141 26078 24343 7 170 9 168 9 135 10 137 24343 22541 7 174 7 171 7 139 10 129 22541 20664 4 208 4 175 5 129 10 121 20664 18708 2 104 4 117 4 111 9 121 18708 16713 5 068 5 095 4 124 6 129 16713 14789 6 054 6 067 4 111 4 128 14789 13034 8 044 7 058 3 099 4 121 13034 11469 10 042 6 068 2 097 3 136 11469 10073 11 051 4 091 1 186 6 183 10073 8828 7 063 2 162 4 207 9 189 8828 7717 2 097 6 204 7 206 9 187 7717 6729 4 195 8 204 8 204 8 189 6729 5855 7 200 9 201 9 205 7 199 5855 5081 7 199 9 201 9 208 7 212 5081 4386 8 189 9 202 10 210 7 223 4386 3773 10 178 10 198 11 207 7 227 3773 3260 10 172 9 196 10 205 7 219 3260 2867 10 173 7*197 7 217 8 205 2867 2596 8 179 4*198 5 223 7 197 2596 2432 5 179 3 197 4*224 4*185 2432 2338 1*165 3 195 2*223 2*151 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography