DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 59.1 - - 65.6 - - 62.2 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -5 - - -2 - - 25 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 313 - - 123 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2338 - - 2634 - - 2445 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 93 - - 176 - - 1139 - - 853 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 9 - - 92 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 210 - - 139 - - 108 - - 098 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9278 - - -9663 - - -5233 - - -2962 - - -2237 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11617 - - 12002 - - 7867 - - 5408 - - 4575 sfcLCL ODpotential -19072 - - -18480 - - -10975 - - -9217 - - -10749 ODpotential blCL 21410 - - 20818 - - 13609 - - 11662 - - 13087 blCL maxRH 94 - - 87 - - 92 - - 76 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 59.1 - - 65.6 - - 62.2 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.6 - - 15.9 - - 39.7 - - 46.9 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.4 - - 61.8 - - 65.3 - - 62.9 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.4 - - 14.9 - - 38.6 - - 45.7 - - 41.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -5 - - -2 - - 25 - - 0 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 313 - - 123 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 47 - - 68 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96668 45 088 21 070 33 038 34 051 29 073 96668 89582 40 097 36 079 28 068 28 059 27 068 89582 84071 37 084 32 080 27 079 26 068 26 073 84071 79452 34 073 24 078 22 072 26 057 27 066 79452 75472 27 063 22 061 19 064 21 053 25 059 75472 71955 21 071 22 055 17 057 16 050 25 052 71955 68766 20 068 18 064 15 041 19 026 29 039 68766 65844 21 047 17 062 14 027 19 019 27 028 65844 63152 22 022 19 048 14 035 17 024 22 019 63152 60553 21 005 23 025 18 029 19 019 21 015 60553 57845 20 357 22 009 23 006 23 007 26 011 57845 55038 21 353 26 354 25 353 27 349 26 358 55038 52362 21 343 24 346 24 341 25 340 26 348 52362 49945 21 334 22 343 20 330 24 321 24 330 49945 47763 23 329 22 333 21 321 22 308 22 314 47763 45769 21 328 21 324 19 300 20 295 22 298 45769 43928 20 315 19 316 17 293 18 294 21 293 43928 42214 17 298 19 307 17 295 17 297 18 296 42214 40614 14 295 18 300 18 299 16 294 20 296 40614 39131 17 297 18 298 16 307 13 283 19 293 39131 37760 24 292 17 301 16 308 13 305 16 299 37760 36457 23 297 19 296 18 299 17 325 17 323 36457 35141 23 303 19 299 17 298 20 315 19 325 35141 33778 23 304 18 306 16 299 20 309 21 325 33778 32368 24 290 18 301 17 284 19 305 20 318 32368 30897 27 279 20 291 19 282 19 296 17 307 30897 29355 25 278 26 288 20 286 19 289 16 302 29355 27744 24 274 25 286 20 281 20 284 18 302 27744 26063 23 271 22 280 19 281 20 289 18 298 26063 24316 23 269 19 279 18 285 17 296 16 298 24316 22506 18 256 16 273 14 286 13 295 15 307 22506 20625 18 256 16 259 14 288 12 300 16 310 20625 18666 18 260 16 256 15 283 14 303 17 313 18666 16671 15 262 15 266 16 281 17 298 16 310 16671 14745 13 264 13 297 15 300 19 306 17 322 14745 12988 12 259 11 308 14 319 17 322 16 339 12988 11421 10 255 9 299 11 322 14 334 13 355 11421 10026 7 254 6 302 8 314 11 334 10 000 10026 8787 4 257 3 333 4 332 7 343 8 004 8787 7685 1 267 3 010 4 015 6 026 9 026 7685 6705 2 073 3 015 5 013 8 035 11 033 6705 5838 3 086 2 002 6 000 9 030 11 029 5838 5069 3 106 1 322 6 350 8 023 9 018 5069 4379 2 117 1 283 5 344 6 014 8 357 4379 3769 1 131 0 239 3 341 4 004 8 337 3769 3258 2 154 1 104 1 002 2 016 7 327 3258 2866 3 176 2 122 1*083 2 064 5 319 2866 2596 3 195 2 145 1*107 2*093 3 310 2596 2432 2 222 2*146 1 107 2*095 1 295 2432 2338 1*210 1*139 1 113 2 099 1*183 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography