DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 63.2 - - 59.0 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 92 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 117 - - 988 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2439 - - 3310 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 286 - - 718 - - 1033 - - 200 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 57 - - 189 - - 19 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 106 - - 010 - - 050 - - 077 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2370 - - -3660 - - -2331 - - -781 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4809 - - 6970 - - 4669 - - 3119 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12557 - - -12097 - - -10657 - - -10985 ODpotential blCL - - - 14996 - - 15407 - - 12995 - - 13323 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 58 - - 62 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.5 - - 63.2 - - 59.0 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.9 - - 41.2 - - 46.8 - - 45.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.4 - - 62.6 - - 59.3 - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.8 - - 40.3 - - 46.3 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 17 - - 92 - - 5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 117 - - 988 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96153 12 077 3 323 4 057 5 099 96153 89169 10 056 4 013 6 061 8 107 89169 83736 7 032 12 357 7 355 6 033 83736 79213 11 333 9 325 11 337 6 346 79213 75296 10 341 8 297 8 002 4 304 75296 71809 21 007 12 317 16 342 20 335 71809 68664 24 343 15 327 20 333 24 338 68664 65791 22 329 16 320 23 326 24 321 65791 63132 27 323 24 313 28 315 25 308 63132 60552 36 321 34 319 30 316 25 307 60552 57852 44 316 44 316 35 307 34 304 57852 55047 47 316 54 302 44 299 42 300 55047 52377 56 317 62 297 49 302 45 303 52377 49975 62 308 68 301 66 300 62 300 49975 47814 61 303 66 297 65 294 65 295 47814 45851 59 300 59 293 63 291 65 294 45851 44054 56 297 54 299 55 292 60 291 44054 42395 52 296 52 303 47 294 53 286 42395 40853 56 303 52 298 46 291 51 280 40853 39410 62 303 54 295 47 291 51 276 39410 38045 60 300 53 296 53 281 54 270 38045 36723 59 300 51 297 56 278 55 268 36723 35376 56 299 50 294 56 277 58 264 35376 33981 55 298 53 291 56 276 61 261 33981 32541 58 295 57 289 55 278 59 263 32541 31045 60 295 59 289 56 280 55 267 31045 29483 62 296 58 290 59 281 57 271 29483 27856 60 298 56 291 59 282 57 274 27856 26159 57 299 55 293 56 283 51 276 26159 24397 57 299 55 293 52 284 49 273 24397 22572 55 301 53 294 49 284 51 274 22572 20677 49 304 47 295 45 284 51 281 20677 18705 43 304 39 291 41 283 48 284 18705 16696 40 302 37 289 39 286 45 283 16696 14759 39 299 38 294 39 292 42 283 14759 12994 35 300 36 298 40 298 39 288 12994 11422 29 302 31 299 36 300 33 293 11422 10025 23 304 25 299 29 300 26 294 10025 8784 19 308 20 302 23 299 22 290 8784 7680 16 311 17 305 19 300 18 284 7680 6699 13 312 15 308 16 303 14 279 6699 5832 12 315 12 317 12 308 10 278 5832 5064 11 322 10 333 9 318 8 281 5064 4374 9 327 10 351 6 342 6 285 4374 3764 8 329 9*354 5 004 3 301 3764 3253 7 331 7*358 5 013 4 348 3253 2862 4 349 6 012 4 039 5 005 2862 2594 2*097 6 015 4 048 4 032 2594 2431 3*107 5 016 4 050 3*067 2431 2338 2 105 4 016 3*050 2*077 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography