DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 60.0 - - 54.5 - - 45.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 82 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 117 - - 1594 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2322 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2438 - - 3915 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 352 - - 1167 - - 1758 - - 501 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 62 - - 216 - - 15 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 070 - - 298 - - 015 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 7 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2938 - - -3630 - - -2399 - - -849 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5377 - - 7545 - - 4738 - - 3187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11784 - - -10934 - - -9098 - - -9250 ODpotential blCL - - - 14222 - - 14849 - - 11436 - - 11588 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 73 - - 61 - - 62 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.9 - - 60.0 - - 54.5 - - 45.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.9 - - 35.4 - - 42.0 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 59.3 - - 54.8 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 34.4 - - 41.4 - - 39.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 23 - - 82 - - 2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 117 - - 1594 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96635 48 082 47 082 43 090 50 078 96635 89465 41 075 37 086 36 073 37 074 89465 83966 36 071 25 084 26 060 30 069 83966 79389 29 060 18 074 19 047 23 065 79389 75415 24 056 15 059 20 036 19 058 75415 71865 19 057 15 035 17 038 17 040 71865 68617 13 052 17 014 17 040 17 048 68617 65610 10 033 16 353 15 010 19 017 65610 62829 11 020 10 354 9 357 19 346 62829 60146 19 004 11 359 16 003 17 340 60146 57361 22 345 23 003 23 359 21 352 57361 54483 26 335 27 343 24 341 29 360 54483 51740 27 322 25 332 31 341 34 342 51740 49284 26 318 38 341 34 332 35 354 49284 47100 33 324 36 323 40 356 47 355 47100 45146 42 324 43 340 53 340 51 342 45146 43361 41 313 46 340 42 319 47 345 43361 41718 41 305 36 352 42 356 70 007 41718 40207 40 306 39 008 70 014 89 013 40207 38796 37 312 50 013 97 016 103 016 38796 37461 35 311 62 018 101 016 100 013 37461 36168 34 307 72 021 91 015 91 010 36168 34855 38 300 76 022 83 016 88 008 34855 33490 43 295 72 020 79 017 85 006 33490 32080 45 297 61 017 76 017 83 006 32080 30609 45 304 46 011 67 013 80 005 30609 29065 41 309 32 002 50 360 75 004 29065 27454 37 310 27 349 40 335 68 000 27454 25779 31 313 29 343 39 318 60 346 25779 24039 30 319 31 341 44 318 59 339 24039 22234 31 333 35 345 49 326 59 338 22234 20361 29 346 40 351 52 338 58 340 20361 18417 27 358 42 359 55 347 55 342 18417 16440 28 014 34 359 46 350 48 343 16440 14538 29 021 28 360 34 349 40 344 14538 12808 27 023 25 006 29 345 35 344 12808 11270 24 027 20 008 27 347 31 344 11270 9900 22 032 17 001 25 351 28 346 9900 8678 19 039 15 000 22 351 25 349 8678 7590 15 046 13 005 19 350 22 351 7590 6624 10 044 9 003 16 350 20 352 6624 5770 8 007 7 336 14 349 18 352 5770 5015 10 340 9 318 13 343 16 350 5015 4338 12 333 8*311 11 337 13 348 4338 3739 12 332 7*306 8 336 13 341 3739 3238 11 332 6 298 6 345 12 335 3238 2854 7 339 5 296 5 004 10 330 2854 2590 3*010 4 295 4 009 7 326 2590 2429 2*065 4 294 4*011 3*322 2429 2338 1 073 4 294 3*015 1*305 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography