DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/17 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1331z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 86.4 - - 86.0 - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 380 - - 484 - - 296 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1920 - - 4640 - - 4023 - - 343 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3497 - - 5666 - - 5008 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4243 - - 6964 - - 6346 - - 2666 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 753 - - 1497 - - 2121 - - 666 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 369 - - 537 - - 436 - - 77 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 15 - - 14 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 187 - - 211 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 18 - - 36 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4705 - - -3938 - - -4077 - - -4245 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8949 - - 10902 - - 10423 - - 6911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11720 - - -9203 - - -9021 - - -11631 ODpotential blCL - - - 15963 - - 16167 - - 15367 - - 14297 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 42 - - 46 - - 48 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.9 - - 86.4 - - 86.0 - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.9 - - 46.5 - - 48.3 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.6 - - 83.5 - - 83.9 - - 72.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.7 - - 46.2 - - 48.0 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 380 - - 484 - - 296 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1920 - - 4640 - - 4023 - - 343 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98818 50 113 38 109 36 113 40 096 98818 91445 38 112 32 109 33 115 29 103 91445 85747 27 114 31 113 27 104 29 113 85747 80992 23 118 26 113 24 110 25 099 80992 76895 23 107 23 107 22 107 21 098 76895 73275 21 107 21 107 22 107 20 100 73275 70005 20 092 16 105 19 106 16 109 70005 67006 10 060 15 107 15 093 17 107 67006 64228 6 128 14 102 7 087 11 082 64228 61556 12 103 9 097 8 117 4 063 61556 58789 5 073 2 093 11 098 7 098 58789 55924 3 162 3 159 6 027 7 043 55924 53202 2 140 7 156 6 299 7 322 53202 50771 3 257 7 163 8 230 9 272 50771 48599 8 261 5 234 10 198 9 240 48599 46622 12 244 9 254 7 208 6 240 46622 44801 14 229 11 243 7 245 6 262 44801 43109 13 234 12 241 10 256 8 251 43109 41521 13 251 11 251 11 259 8 249 41521 40024 15 263 12 264 12 266 8 264 40024 38611 16 265 14 271 14 265 12 267 38611 37246 17 265 15 272 15 259 15 265 37246 35866 17 269 14 276 15 257 17 264 35866 34440 16 280 15 284 15 267 18 263 34440 32970 17 287 17 293 17 278 19 269 32970 31445 17 290 20 297 20 289 20 285 31445 29853 17 295 19 301 21 298 21 297 29853 28199 16 308 16 310 19 305 20 305 28199 26483 14 323 15 327 14 318 16 314 26483 24703 11 322 10 337 12 338 13 338 24703 22859 8 302 5 308 7 337 10 355 22859 20944 6 286 2 221 4 245 1 310 20944 18957 8 230 10 213 10 217 7 211 18957 16932 11 219 13 219 13 222 8 213 16932 14978 10 210 12 223 12 227 8 214 14978 13195 12 204 12 224 12 228 8 220 13195 11605 13 198 13 211 11 230 9 232 11605 10186 11 192 14 197 12 209 11 230 10186 8920 9 190 14 186 12 172 14 208 8920 7793 7 192 11*174 10 156 17 178 7793 6792 8 189 8*173 9*163 14 153 6792 5909 9 177 7 177 8*175 11 150 5909 5126 9 175 6 183 7 190 10 169 5126 4423 7*185 6 189 6 205 9 183 4423 3800 6*198 6 192 5 221 7 194 3800 3278 6 204 6 196 5 232 4 258 3278 2878 6 206 6 198 5 239 6*303 2878 2603 6 208 6 198 5 242 6*304 2603 2435 5 210 5 199 5 243 6 306 2435 2339 5 209 5 200 5 245 5 306 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography