DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 55.8 - - 59.0 - - 57.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 12 - - 179 - - 207 - - 116 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 135 - - 2714 - - 3249 - - 2195 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2321 - - 3854 - - 4298 - - 3252 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top 2457 - - 5036 - - 5571 - - 4516 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1542 - - 1685 - - 2778 - - 2556 - - 1567 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 331 - - 366 - - 265 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 11 - - 8 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 271 - - 254 - - 286 - - 291 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - 1 - - -9 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 120 - - 1263 - - 992 - - 733 - - -28 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2337 - - 3773 - - 4579 - - 3784 - - 2366 sfcLCL ODpotential -397 - - 220 - - 118 - - -39 - - -2179 ODpotential blCL 2854 - - 4816 - - 5453 - - 4555 - - 4517 blCL maxRH 96 - - 91 - - 91 - - 91 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 10 - - 60 - - 80 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 55.8 - - 59.0 - - 57.4 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 47.8 - - 47.3 - - 46.9 - - 48.8 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.0 - - 54.5 - - 57.7 - - 56.6 - - 50.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 47.6 - - 46.1 - - 45.9 - - 48.0 - - 47.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 12 - - 179 - - 207 - - 116 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 135 - - 2714 - - 3249 - - 2195 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 63 - - 65 - - 63 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96697 36 275 43 277 45 285 44 290 31 280 96697 89415 30 295 23 277 30 280 43 285 36 300 89415 83889 19 299 16 278 19 286 25 287 29 311 83889 79344 13 323 15 278 21 281 17 296 19 307 79344 75418 18 309 20 272 25 284 24 294 20 306 75418 71931 19 288 20 280 24 283 24 285 21 317 71931 68745 26 287 20 301 18 268 24 268 23 300 68745 65779 31 287 28 303 20 271 23 264 29 280 65779 63019 38 278 39 286 26 289 28 287 33 291 63019 60367 40 279 45 283 38 291 33 293 36 294 60367 57604 47 278 47 284 41 289 35 298 37 293 57604 54727 47 283 48 289 42 293 38 295 39 293 54727 51962 55 288 51 288 49 298 44 299 42 297 51962 49457 57 285 51 285 58 294 56 296 51 295 49457 47215 53 284 53 288 65 286 66 288 58 291 47215 45204 51 290 52 294 60 288 64 284 63 285 45204 43383 56 307 73 307 73 304 61 302 57 284 43383 41715 87 308 96 299 81 298 75 304 63 292 41715 40182 106 296 85 290 74 292 82 293 69 291 40182 38756 87 293 64 287 70 300 77 286 69 289 38756 37410 71 299 64 307 74 305 69 296 68 290 37410 36106 68 311 72 315 73 304 73 304 71 292 36106 34783 73 320 74 313 70 301 76 306 73 291 34783 33410 76 322 74 310 68 299 76 304 74 290 33410 31991 73 320 72 309 69 299 75 300 74 290 31991 30513 71 316 70 307 69 298 75 298 74 292 30513 28965 70 314 70 306 69 297 76 297 72 293 28965 27348 71 314 69 304 70 297 74 296 70 293 27348 25663 69 315 68 303 71 298 71 296 67 295 25663 23912 61 316 63 302 69 301 65 296 64 297 23912 22100 52 310 54 299 64 301 55 297 57 296 22100 20227 49 305 47 297 58 297 50 298 46 295 20227 18287 44 307 43 297 52 293 50 297 41 296 18287 16315 38 307 37 295 43 289 48 293 41 294 16315 14421 31 300 33 290 38 283 43 286 40 292 14421 12703 25 297 32 287 36 282 40 282 38 289 12703 11178 21 297 28 286 32 283 33 281 32 290 11178 9825 18 295 21 284 25 279 25 280 24 296 9825 8620 15 292 17 283 18 270 20 274 18 298 8620 7547 13 286 16 280 14 260 16 260 16 295 7547 6593 12 278 14 276 12 253 14 249 14 285 6593 5749 11 273 13*274 10*250 13 249 13 271 5749 5001 11 272 12*274 9*250 13*255 14 261 5001 4328 10 272 11 272 9 252 13*271 15 267 4328 3733 8 269 11 271 8 254 13 285 18 280 3733 3236 7 260 11 270 8 254 13 288 19 290 3236 2854 6 243 10 269 8 256 13 289 17 294 2854 2590 6*235 10 269 8 256 13 290 14 294 2590 2430 5*233 9 269 7 256 12 290 12*294 2430 2338 3 231 8 269 6 256 9 290 6*291 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography