DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 Panoche 2321ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 51.4 - - 48.9 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 82 - - 25 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 728 - - 1980 - - 566 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2321 - - 2767 - - 2321 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3050 - - 4301 - - 2887 - - 2337 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2050 - - 2426 - - 2511 - - 3659 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 137 - - 229 - - 103 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 19 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 212 - - 213 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 12 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -9 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 712 - - 1293 - - 550 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2338 - - 3008 - - 2337 - - 2337 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 253 - - 468 - - -46 - - -751 ODpotential blCL - - - 2797 - - 3833 - - 2933 - - 3088 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 98 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 120 - - 100 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.4 - - 51.4 - - 48.9 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.4 - - 46.3 - - 47.1 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 51.0 - - 48.7 - - 47.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 45.6 - - 46.8 - - 45.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 82 - - 25 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 728 - - 1980 - - 566 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 90 - - 97 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97339 48 271 56 273 58 278 54 274 97339 89888 44 278 54 278 54 284 54 283 89888 84189 39 278 41 277 47 285 48 282 84189 79534 29 276 34 270 35 277 32 275 79534 75538 26 273 30 258 28 271 19 267 75538 71982 22 268 21 259 26 265 23 262 71982 68747 19 254 18 260 31 256 28 257 68747 65769 22 244 21 254 31 243 29 253 65769 62986 26 244 26 247 27 234 27 246 62986 60262 27 245 27 241 24 242 24 251 60262 57393 25 247 25 235 24 259 24 251 57393 54394 27 250 29 240 34 266 31 261 54394 51529 31 251 36 249 47 259 47 263 51529 48977 37 250 43 256 53 257 55 259 48977 46725 40 248 50 257 51 255 57 254 46725 44707 40 255 47 255 49 256 55 251 44707 42864 45 266 46 263 52 255 54 253 42864 41159 48 269 61 270 59 255 57 256 41159 39574 51 270 71 267 70 260 67 259 39574 38097 61 280 74 264 85 262 81 260 38097 36718 73 285 75 262 92 257 89 257 36718 35396 76 284 78 263 90 253 89 253 35396 34063 73 280 79 263 91 252 85 251 34063 32690 66 275 78 260 93 252 81 250 32690 31283 58 268 75 256 93 251 78 249 31283 29826 58 260 72 254 90 247 78 248 29826 28309 60 258 68 252 84 242 81 247 28309 26729 58 258 64 250 79 237 85 245 26729 25089 53 257 62 249 76 235 85 242 25089 23389 49 254 60 246 74 236 83 240 23389 21632 48 252 56 244 71 238 81 241 21632 19815 47 253 52 242 67 238 83 240 19815 17936 43 255 48 240 61 235 72 238 17936 16028 38 251 45 236 57 231 54 237 16028 14190 34 244 43 231 54 229 47 239 14190 12516 31 238 41 229 50 229 45 240 12516 11027 28 233 38 230 44 229 45 241 11027 9699 24 226 31 228 36 225 46 244 9699 8517 21 213 26 225 30 218 42 239 8517 7464 21 206 24 221 28 212 39 231 7464 6529 21 208 24 219 29 210 38 225 6529 5702 21 212 25 218 30 210 38 223 5702 4968 21 213 24 218 30 211 37 222 4968 4307 21 214 23*216 30 212 36 221 4307 3721 20 213 22*214 28 212 34 219 3721 3229 19*213 20 212 26*213 31 218 3229 2850 17*213 18 211 23*213 28 217 2850 2588 15 213 17 210 20 213 24 217 2588 2429 14 213 15 210 18 213 21 217 2429 2337 9 213 10 209 11 212 12*217 2337 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography