DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 68.2 - - 65.1 - - 56.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 7 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 356 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2322 - - 2321 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2338 - - 2678 - - 2338 - - 2338 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 245 - - 1700 - - 907 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 84 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 175 - - 093 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 1 - - 1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7161 - - -5346 - - -3994 - - -3482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9500 - - 8024 - - 6332 - - 5821 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16489 - - -12899 - - -10209 - - -12957 ODpotential blCL - - - 18827 - - 15577 - - 12547 - - 15295 blCL maxRH - - - 19 - - 32 - - 39 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.5 - - 68.2 - - 65.1 - - 56.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.0 - - 41.5 - - 45.7 - - 39.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 68.5 - - 66.3 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.0 - - 40.3 - - 44.6 - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 7 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 356 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96375 42 089 20 077 31 085 42 086 96375 89431 36 092 31 094 28 093 39 084 89431 84013 25 105 29 085 29 088 25 095 84013 79480 24 107 19 111 21 075 19 092 79480 75550 20 090 19 127 8 097 13 062 75550 72057 19 084 18 106 8 125 9 049 72057 68880 16 076 16 086 11 099 5 076 68880 65946 9 074 14 061 13 065 6 096 65946 63224 3 097 6 037 9 036 8 047 63224 60597 4 241 10 305 10 010 13 029 60597 57895 6 356 8 313 14 332 16 011 57895 55121 13 025 11 005 7 339 13 337 55121 52458 15 030 10 013 10 323 21 339 52458 50040 8 345 11 005 7 353 16 333 50040 47858 12 160 6 257 9 319 9 318 47858 45859 17 121 13 152 7 245 15 303 45859 44005 19 073 16 101 8 133 7 274 44005 42283 6 008 16 057 18 084 13 096 42283 40686 4 206 6 025 20 055 25 056 40686 39210 21 170 8 164 11 055 13 054 39210 37845 23 156 24 163 15 159 13 141 37845 36539 24 151 26 152 20 151 18 132 36539 35218 25 148 23 142 20 137 17 120 35218 33848 23 143 20 130 18 126 17 091 33848 32434 21 134 18 114 18 104 19 087 32434 30965 22 134 20 122 18 109 17 101 30965 29427 23 139 21 136 16 126 14 114 29427 27819 21 140 20 145 14 146 11 112 27819 26139 21 139 16 138 12 133 10 104 26139 24388 22 134 16 134 16 113 12 113 24388 22569 19 122 17 128 19 089 20 095 22569 20676 17 112 17 107 24 082 24 088 20676 18703 15 091 21 091 25 086 23 092 18703 16690 21 080 23 093 23 090 22 093 16690 14750 23 087 20 100 20 095 20 097 14750 12990 19 101 16 107 15 097 14 105 12990 11427 11 108 12 095 12 099 10 126 11427 10038 5 121 9 082 11 088 10 104 10038 8800 5 134 7 102 7 072 10 065 8800 7697 10 151 13 138 4 112 6 051 7697 6716 16 168 19 158 10 170 3 098 6716 5848 23 178 23 171 17 184 5 177 5848 5079 26 185 25 179 20 188 9 198 5079 4388 24 192 24 182 22 188 9 214 4388 3776 21 199 20 183 22 184 8 228 3776 3263 18 201 16 182 18 180 6 234 3263 2869 15 197 12*178 13 176 4 223 2869 2597 13 189 9*176 7 169 4 215 2597 2432 9 184 8 176 4 156 2*186 2432 2338 3*173 6 173 1*093 1*158 2338 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography