DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Panoche 2323ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.6 - - 73.4 - - 80.9 - - 81.7 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 25 - - 139 - - 36 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 351 - - 2064 - - 2418 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2322 - - 2322 - - 3309 - - 2323 - - 2323 Hcrit BL Top 2338 - - 2673 - - 4388 - - 4742 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 78 - - 810 - - 1452 - - 2001 - - 805 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 102 - - 284 - - 199 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 085 - - 137 - - 175 - - 117 - - 091 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - -2 - - 7 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5501 - - -5662 - - -4767 - - -4678 - - -4343 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7839 - - 8335 - - 9155 - - 9420 - - 6683 sfcLCL ODpotential -17179 - - -14251 - - -11946 - - -11441 - - -13466 ODpotential blCL 19517 - - 16924 - - 16334 - - 16183 - - 15805 blCL maxRH 26 - - 33 - - 47 - - 57 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 60.6 - - 73.4 - - 80.9 - - 81.7 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.4 - - 45.5 - - 49.0 - - 48.6 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.0 - - 73.2 - - 79.8 - - 81.2 - - 74.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.2 - - 44.1 - - 47.8 - - 47.3 - - 48.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 25 - - 139 - - 36 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 351 - - 2064 - - 2418 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96760 20 252 25 290 23 295 23 278 16 244 96760 89517 3 077 1 095 13 214 16 284 5 290 89517 83992 12 115 5 162 8 173 3 237 2 038 83992 79426 14 091 12 125 6 192 7 209 9 034 79426 75501 10 085 15 112 6 167 11 181 1 024 75501 72047 1 091 12 097 8 124 10 131 7 200 72047 68938 3 230 9 080 8 100 12 094 8 145 68938 66086 5 083 3 055 6 036 9 065 7 063 66086 63446 12 026 0 012 7 343 7 041 6 353 63446 60897 11 002 2 064 6 292 9 002 8 339 60897 58236 3 360 6 343 6 291 9 321 8 356 58236 55464 2 102 10 309 9 301 9 284 10 274 55464 52813 10 311 17 317 11 350 9 301 10 255 52813 50417 20 284 21 277 18 284 18 286 13 291 50417 48269 18 267 30 271 30 262 26 265 25 275 48269 46334 10 280 24 287 26 262 24 253 26 268 46334 44567 15 287 18 301 13 275 15 256 17 256 44567 42932 20 282 20 300 14 299 13 288 10 269 42932 41401 22 281 25 298 19 297 18 283 12 275 41401 39955 21 266 26 282 22 279 21 271 18 263 39955 38587 23 254 24 277 23 271 22 260 24 252 38587 37262 19 260 24 277 22 273 22 262 25 249 37262 35914 21 268 23 276 23 269 22 272 20 253 35914 34516 23 287 23 276 23 265 21 273 18 263 34516 33070 22 297 24 280 21 272 22 272 18 263 33070 31565 16 292 21 290 19 281 21 282 20 258 31565 29987 14 280 17 284 15 268 19 273 21 258 29987 28337 17 279 17 266 17 251 21 257 18 256 28337 26614 20 284 19 268 20 263 23 263 17 252 26614 24821 14 286 20 281 20 278 25 279 16 271 24821 22963 11 303 16 290 15 296 17 286 13 275 22963 21038 12 322 11 287 11 290 11 280 9 247 21038 19036 13 330 8 299 7 291 8 269 11 230 19036 16994 12 347 4 340 1 244 4 200 12 209 16994 15023 7 013 3 098 5 159 8 162 14 204 15023 13226 1 068 3 165 7 190 9 182 13 207 13226 11628 5 176 7 201 10 216 9 214 10 219 11628 10205 7 178 10 204 12 228 12 231 8 237 10205 8939 6 177 11 202 12 227 13 231 8 248 8939 7812 4 164 10 194 12 220 13 224 9 245 7812 6811 4 137 10 183 11 212 12 210 10 237 6811 5926 4 121 9 174 11 203 9 188 10 224 5926 5141 4 118 10 170 11 193 5*170 10 202 5141 4436 4 114 10 167 8*180 4*149 9 198 4436 3810 4 109 9 164 6*174 4 119 6 187 3810 3285 5 107 8 160 4 175 4 113 5 153 3285 2882 6 104 7*152 4 176 4 109 5 120 2882 2605 5 100 5*141 4 174 4 107 5 102 2605 2436 4 094 4 135 4 174 4 105 4 093 2436 2339 2*085 3 134 3 174 4 106 3*091 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography