DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 Panoche 2322ft pt31353@36.586,-120.999 (at ridge) SPONSORED BY: DrJack RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 79.0 - - 77.5 - - 65.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 406 - - 228 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1802 - - 3394 - - 1975 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3342 - - 4638 - - 3396 - - 2322 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4124 - - 5717 - - 4298 - - 2339 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 739 - - 2061 - - 3232 - - 627 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 459 - - 317 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 15 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 338 - - 348 - - 345 - - 329 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 11 - - 6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3315 - - -3424 - - -4007 - - -2868 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7439 - - 9141 - - 8306 - - 5207 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8273 - - -7036 - - -7370 - - -8899 ODpotential blCL - - - 12397 - - 12753 - - 11668 - - 11238 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 44 - - 46 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.4 - - 79.0 - - 77.5 - - 65.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.1 - - 47.0 - - 49.2 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 76.5 - - 75.7 - - 65.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 46.2 - - 48.6 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 406 - - 228 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1802 - - 3394 - - 1975 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98007 21 258 29 269 18 288 22 304 98007 90528 9 264 15 250 21 261 22 292 90528 84778 12 284 10 272 16 263 16 280 84778 80026 17 264 19 288 16 308 12 298 80026 75940 14 252 22 285 22 318 13 322 75940 72352 8 258 16 275 22 296 20 322 72352 69124 11 299 10 281 19 282 21 306 69124 66160 17 311 11 297 17 290 20 306 66160 63400 20 308 16 304 18 304 19 316 63400 60717 20 303 20 305 19 305 18 319 60717 57922 15 301 17 293 19 299 19 313 57922 55035 12 311 13 285 17 292 21 304 55035 52293 16 316 15 301 17 302 21 306 52293 49836 20 308 20 308 17 309 18 313 49836 47650 22 318 20 310 17 301 18 312 47650 45685 24 327 20 320 16 293 18 307 45685 43904 26 333 22 326 17 297 15 297 43904 42270 26 341 19 339 17 303 13 293 42270 40748 25 345 19 347 14 311 10 294 40748 39316 25 348 19 345 14 318 10 308 39316 37963 24 348 18 345 11 321 9 309 37963 36656 22 357 11 003 6 308 6 264 36656 35331 15 021 5 062 4 273 7 219 35331 33956 11 038 5 092 4 307 4 187 33956 32537 8 026 3 045 8 323 2 156 32537 31058 4 054 1 350 7 308 2 098 31058 29507 6 090 3 121 2 260 2 123 29507 27887 7 061 6 111 3 166 3 171 27887 26196 9 040 6 106 3 156 6 193 26196 24436 10 037 5 088 0 052 4 207 24436 22611 9 034 4 048 3 343 3 289 22611 20719 7 033 5 030 4 011 4 323 20719 18755 6 031 5 028 4 021 2 357 18755 16754 4 028 3 024 3 004 2 344 16754 14823 1 013 1 349 2 321 3 310 14823 13063 3 209 5 237 5 272 5 309 13063 11495 8 218 11 246 10 267 8 304 11495 10099 9 228 11 254 9 273 10 298 10099 8854 6 246 8 274 6 288 8 295 8854 7745 4 296 6 307 4 320 6 302 7745 6757 5 340 5 334 3 010 5 308 6757 5882 6 347 4*348 4 032 4 309 5882 5105 5 342 4*351 4 029 3 327 5105 4406 3*341 5 351 6*013 4 357 4406 3786 3*340 6 349 9*352 5 009 3786 3268 3 338 6 347 10 346 10 344 3268 2871 3 339 6 347 10 344 12 334 2871 2599 3 338 6 346 10 343 12 331 2599 2433 3 336 6 346 9 342 10*330 2433 2339 3 337 6 345 8 341 6*329 2339 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography