DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Pickle_Butte_ID 2993ft pt41913@43.425,-116.746,3054ft SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang Gliding Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1557z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.0 - - 64.4 - - 69.6 - - 68.3 - - 62.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 147 - - 231 - - 52 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2573 - - 4269 - - 2332 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 2934 - - 4336 - - 5778 - - 2935 - - 2935 Hcrit BL Top 2952 - - 5566 - - 7262 - - 5325 - - 2952 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1014 - - 2171 - - 2435 - - 3647 - - 3722 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 305 - - 415 - - 210 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 7 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 265 - - 305 - - 310 - - 352 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -4 - - -6 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1794 - - -1617 - - -1428 - - -2267 - - -4173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4747 - - 7183 - - 8691 - - 7592 - - 7126 sfcLCL ODpotential -5624 - - -4029 - - -3638 - - -4175 - - -7453 ODpotential blCL 8576 - - 9595 - - 10900 - - 9500 - - 10405 blCL maxRH 72 - - 77 - - 68 - - 79 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.0 - - 64.4 - - 69.6 - - 68.3 - - 62.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.4 - - 43.1 - - 41.6 - - 45.1 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 63.1 - - 67.8 - - 67.6 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 42.1 - - 40.8 - - 44.4 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 147 - - 231 - - 52 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2573 - - 4269 - - 2332 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 18 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98541 4 155 3 009 4 122 4 353 4 274 98541 91254 6 099 1 007 9 069 2 153 6 060 91254 85620 15 092 8 144 9 036 9 073 10 102 85620 80932 13 072 13 121 3 188 7 078 11 090 80932 76862 13 040 14 098 8 163 4 128 10 057 76862 73238 6 039 8 079 12 128 5 150 6 069 73238 69952 4 133 3 085 11 104 6 148 4 056 69952 66924 8 156 3 133 9 125 8 136 1 118 66924 64102 7 135 5 178 6 148 6 148 7 176 64102 61348 6 147 12 173 8 184 4 170 11 155 61348 58461 8 187 12 176 10 182 4 185 11 155 58461 55468 12 206 9 185 7 184 4 215 7 164 55468 52619 11 203 9 189 6 212 6 222 3 263 52619 50062 5 195 8 185 6 213 6 204 7 281 50062 47771 3 192 7 180 4 234 2 232 5 262 47771 45694 3 168 8 155 8 224 3 275 4 260 45694 43795 3 257 8 126 11 200 5 250 3 261 43795 42046 11 234 5 092 10 184 5 232 1 240 42046 40424 15 219 1 138 9 156 7 209 1 262 40424 38913 11 205 3 203 11 103 9 176 5 222 38913 37512 8 175 4 180 13 093 13 144 7 157 37512 36192 9 132 9 141 11 124 19 124 16 121 36192 34880 5 127 9 153 13 131 17 115 15 098 34880 33532 1 257 8 166 12 134 11 108 12 064 33532 32143 3 222 9 177 9 135 8 107 10 053 32143 30697 5 192 8 192 5 136 8 135 10 059 30697 29186 5 200 4 203 3 144 6 138 10 067 29186 27609 4 190 1 124 4 141 5 099 9 067 27609 25968 4 203 1 078 3 150 3 117 7 060 25968 24266 3 223 3 054 2 129 1 034 7 043 24266 22504 3 241 1 089 2 148 5 023 11 041 22504 20677 3 307 3 129 2 184 6 033 11 057 20677 18780 4 314 3 161 4 217 5 034 9 070 18780 16852 3 293 3 205 4 241 6 033 7 065 16852 14999 4 287 5 251 4 288 6 032 7 062 14999 13317 4 303 6 268 6 305 5 356 6 053 13317 11821 5 320 5 288 6 297 6 334 5 027 11821 10487 6 326 5 303 6 283 5 317 5 355 10487 9294 6 320 5 304 6 272 6 291 6 325 9294 8226 7 311 6 299 7*274 7 279 7 299 8226 7273 7 317 6 302 7*280 7 279 8 287 7273 6425 8 328 7 304 6 286 7 285 8 294 6425 5670 8 333 7*301 6 298 6*301 6 313 5670 4990 8 333 8*301 5 312 5*329 5 340 4990 4384 10 326 8 302 6 322 5 346 5 003 4384 3875 11 307 8 304 5 332 5 355 5 017 3875 3482 12 287 8 307 6 339 5 358 5 025 3482 3211 12 271 8 309 5 342 5 001 4 029 3211 3046 9*268 7 310 5 343 5 003 3*026 3046 2951 5*265 6 312 5 345 5 003 2*027 2951 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography