DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/17 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 74.1 - - 74.0 - - 67.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 92 - - 12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1164 - - 1907 - - 2341 - - 24 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 72 - - 655 - - 73 - - 72 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1229 - - 1972 - - 2406 - - 89 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2415 - - 2388 - - 2375 - - 1601 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 120 - - 239 - - 154 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 060 - - 058 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 18 - - 15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 505 - - 570 - - 804 - - -147 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 725 - - 1402 - - 1602 - - 236 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 235 - - 34 - - 277 - - -344 ODpotential blCL - - - 994 - - 1938 - - 2129 - - 433 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 630 - - 830 - - 760 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.1 - - 74.1 - - 74.0 - - 67.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.9 - - 67.9 - - 67.0 - - 66.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 73.4 - - 73.9 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.5 - - 66.9 - - 66.2 - - 66.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 92 - - 12 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1164 - - 1907 - - 2341 - - 24 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 88 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98133 6 215 8 120 7 166 6 233 98133 90804 12 110 4 130 5 088 2 321 90804 85142 13 092 2 053 3 337 4 014 85142 80433 8 069 2 030 4 340 6 034 80433 76373 4 056 2 142 4 317 7 037 76373 72786 2 095 4 151 6 300 8 025 72786 69545 2 091 7 123 4 251 8 339 69545 66575 3 353 6 113 6 224 8 296 66575 63831 6 324 1 128 6 236 7 273 63831 61178 5 295 3 287 4 211 12 244 61178 58416 6 262 7 268 6 196 13 213 58416 55548 8 204 10 236 10 222 14 215 55548 52803 7 196 17 208 19 229 23 226 52803 50334 13 206 22 199 24 226 25 219 50334 48115 16 200 24 206 25 226 18 228 48115 46095 17 205 24 210 24 230 25 259 46095 44242 17 204 21 209 24 223 39 249 44242 42538 12 200 19 196 20 220 34 238 42538 40966 9 182 12 168 17 243 25 247 40966 39499 11 094 6 130 14 259 28 245 39499 38110 20 044 5 051 8 292 27 249 38110 36759 14 054 11 014 11 354 26 257 36759 35376 11 096 12 020 14 356 27 262 35376 33934 14 109 14 028 16 350 23 264 33934 32438 12 117 13 033 17 354 20 276 32438 30875 10 139 9 050 15 005 18 286 30875 29230 13 151 7 083 12 012 15 294 29230 27501 17 154 10 122 8 025 12 293 27501 25688 19 150 12 132 6 057 11 288 25688 23794 20 146 13 131 8 083 8 293 23794 21821 20 144 15 133 10 101 4 305 21821 19763 19 127 17 132 10 114 2 012 19763 17622 23 114 18 124 10 107 5 067 17622 15444 25 110 19 114 12 096 9 068 15444 13346 21 105 21 106 14 096 10 062 13346 11432 21 102 21 105 13 095 12 049 11432 9727 24 102 21 107 11 080 16 046 9727 8213 27 096 19 107 10 069 16 045 8213 6871 25 098 16 104 9 072 13 052 6871 5684 24 101 15 094 12 073 10 064 5684 4638 19 096 15 083 12 065 9 058 4638 3721 16 092 14 084 11 068 10 066 3721 2913 15 090 12 086 11*067 13 073 2913 2193 14 090 10*085 11*064 15 066 2193 1559 14*091 8*074 11 059 16 057 1559 1032 12*091 7 060 11 058 15 048 1032 629 11 089 7 057 10 057 13 042 629 352 10 089 6 055 10 056 10 037 352 185 9 088 6 054 8 055 9*036 185 89 7 088 5 052 7 054 6*034 89 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography