DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/17 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0953z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 81.3 - - 82.7 - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 85 - - 14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1185 - - 2310 - - 2284 - - 25 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 73 - - 914 - - 74 - - 73 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1250 - - 2375 - - 2349 - - 90 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 802 - - 925 - - 991 - - 956 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 250 - - 159 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 215 - - 218 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1660 - - -1141 - - -1019 - - -1292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2910 - - 3516 - - 3368 - - 1382 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5331 - - -4465 - - -4361 - - -4366 ODpotential blCL - - - 6581 - - 6840 - - 6710 - - 4456 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 100 - - 87 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 80 - - 80 - - 130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 81.3 - - 82.7 - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.7 - - 66.3 - - 68.3 - - 70.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.3 - - 80.8 - - 82.7 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 65.2 - - 67.4 - - 70.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 85 - - 14 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1185 - - 2310 - - 2284 - - 25 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 99 - - 50 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98798 13 068 13 099 12 033 15 018 98798 91401 18 058 16 060 15 020 19 034 91401 85711 19 061 16 056 13 028 21 015 85711 80995 12 062 15 043 13 037 18 009 80995 76929 11 049 13 056 10 036 10 023 76929 73333 6 044 11 054 6 057 7 036 73333 70070 3 353 4 018 2 001 5 347 70070 67060 5 328 4 319 2 250 8 290 67060 64271 8 291 11 281 9 276 10 267 64271 61591 4 226 12 264 14 279 10 268 61591 58829 7 302 14 278 16 289 11 289 58829 56001 15 268 14 274 19 286 16 306 56001 53334 5 232 8 239 15 263 19 288 53334 50953 6 009 5 168 11 222 17 249 50953 48831 15 316 5 318 4 264 12 234 48831 46906 12 283 12 309 9 309 10 281 46906 45131 8 266 10 292 12 303 11 279 45131 43473 5 275 8 265 10 299 8 251 43473 41914 4 229 9 246 7 291 9 245 41914 40436 8 179 9 240 7 289 11 250 40436 39031 10 177 10 239 10 264 12 243 39031 37660 9 179 9 239 10 256 12 241 37660 36255 8 205 7 252 14 272 12 239 36255 34787 9 218 11 254 19 275 11 261 34787 33260 8 251 14 255 22 278 15 273 33260 31656 8 241 13 254 17 273 18 282 31656 29966 11 204 16 168 13 214 16 282 29966 28188 16 159 17 173 15 230 14 267 28188 26324 15 173 10 222 15 251 10 270 26324 24374 10 233 9 274 11 267 7 305 24374 22343 10 304 8 304 9 284 12 311 22343 20227 9 321 10 299 10 295 15 292 20227 18024 8 300 13 303 9 303 14 303 18024 15779 9 291 15 310 15 298 15 296 15779 13619 11 302 17 302 21 294 17 291 13619 11660 14 308 19 302 24 295 20 289 11660 9924 16 309 19 301 23 299 20 287 9924 8388 21 306 19 299 22 301 19 288 8388 7024 19 301 16 291 19 296 18 286 7024 5817 15 297 14 268 14 286 20 283 5817 4749 13 285 14 257 12 281 22 280 4749 3810 6 260 15 241 14 271 20 276 3810 2983 8 190 15*230 13*252 17 265 2983 2244 10 182 13*217 11*223 15 251 2244 1594 10*197 12 215 11 220 13 234 1594 1055 9*194 12 214 10 218 12 205 1055 642 9 193 12 214 10 216 12 194 642 359 8 193 11 213 9 216 10 186 359 187 7 193 10 213 8 215 8*181 187 90 6 192 8 212 7 214 3*171 90 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography