DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 61.0 - - 61.5 - - 50.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 190 - - -5 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1624 - - 2339 - - 2796 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 596 - - 1311 - - 72 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1689 - - 2404 - - 2861 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 583 - - 691 - - 946 - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 242 - - 311 - - 95 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 15 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 013 - - 002 - - 002 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 6 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2085 - - -2881 - - -2424 - - -2160 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3774 - - 5285 - - 5286 - - 2247 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13250 - - -12567 - - -12153 - - -13590 ODpotential blCL - - - 14939 - - 14971 - - 15014 - - 13677 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 53 - - 53 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.8 - - 61.0 - - 61.5 - - 50.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 38.5 - - 39.1 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.9 - - 59.8 - - 61.8 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 37.4 - - 38.1 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 125 - - 190 - - -5 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1624 - - 2339 - - 2796 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97375 12 258 13 290 16 298 11 263 97375 90101 12 269 11 276 10 303 10 304 90101 84508 6 269 11 262 6 304 11 312 84508 79885 3 289 9 263 5 294 10 314 79885 75917 6 325 6 270 10 283 12 331 75917 72406 8 344 3 289 13 283 13 322 72406 69216 9 333 4 336 11 293 10 310 69216 66288 11 314 8 319 10 294 13 302 66288 63591 13 324 11 306 10 297 12 297 63591 60994 16 318 14 310 12 312 9 297 60994 58283 15 298 14 313 13 306 10 289 58283 55460 13 293 13 314 14 294 16 286 55460 52756 13 295 14 308 16 289 19 285 52756 50312 13 291 15 297 20 289 19 289 50312 48111 13 301 12 287 19 280 18 285 48111 46101 13 316 9 293 14 270 19 278 46101 44246 12 327 11 311 11 278 17 273 44246 42523 11 336 15 312 11 297 13 275 42523 40914 12 346 15 313 12 304 12 281 40914 39401 14 357 12 325 13 306 12 284 39401 37969 15 016 11 338 10 307 11 286 37969 36577 8 018 8 346 11 322 11 294 36577 35156 6 159 4 189 8 299 11 315 35156 33686 15 158 18 162 14 184 8 255 33686 32182 12 154 13 162 14 156 22 170 32182 30623 3 106 5 152 7 153 17 158 30623 28988 6 077 5 031 2 007 6 156 28988 27276 9 043 8 001 8 351 6 319 27276 25480 11 024 8 004 8 351 8 320 25480 23600 12 014 8 011 7 346 10 322 23600 21641 15 353 9 354 11 335 10 344 21641 19599 17 342 13 343 16 333 12 349 19599 17467 17 351 13 347 15 343 12 349 17467 15286 16 013 12 009 15 359 13 002 15286 13179 20 043 16 028 16 010 16 013 13179 11260 22 044 17 035 17 008 17 358 11260 9557 24 041 19 037 17 010 17 351 9557 8051 26 036 21 035 17 014 16 348 8051 6720 27 028 23 028 19 012 17 354 6720 5546 29 023 25 021 22 010 19 002 5546 4516 30 023 28 019 25 011 22 010 4516 3618 28 023 27 015 22*004 23 008 3618 2834 27 024 24*011 18*001 22 005 2834 2136 26*022 17*003 18 001 20 001 2136 1520 20*015 16 003 17 002 20 357 1520 1007 19 013 16 002 16 002 19 355 1007 613 18 012 15 002 14 002 18 351 613 343 17 011 14 003 13 003 15 344 343 180 15 011 13 002 11 002 13 341 180 87 11 010 11 002 8 002 5*331 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography