DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 53.4 - - 52.6 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 78 - - -28 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1735 - - 2854 - - 22 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 71 - - 1227 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1800 - - 2919 - - 87 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 927 - - 922 - - 5431 - - 1216 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 201 - - 260 - - 20 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 18 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 306 - - 296 - - 279 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -372 - - 92 - - -2118 - - -1141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2172 - - 2827 - - 2205 - - 1228 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9778 - - -7877 - - -2955 - - -2910 ODpotential blCL - - - 11578 - - 10796 - - 3042 - - 2997 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 77 - - 60 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 53.4 - - 52.6 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.6 - - 41.3 - - 43.3 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.5 - - 53.0 - - 53.8 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 40.0 - - 42.1 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 78 - - -28 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1735 - - 2854 - - 22 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96376 90 248 88 243 98 250 85 248 96376 89164 59 246 56 248 63 256 52 254 89164 83686 31 246 38 245 39 259 36 256 83686 79150 19 240 26 240 25 247 28 248 79150 75237 15 228 17 246 20 256 21 250 75237 71776 17 234 18 250 16 269 16 251 71776 68626 14 242 17 224 11 239 12 241 68626 65713 12 252 14 227 16 247 16 250 65713 63000 20 259 24 241 26 238 24 250 63000 60367 24 240 26 226 30 240 31 256 60367 57618 24 234 23 232 30 235 32 243 57618 54751 35 247 29 239 29 228 33 233 54751 52003 47 245 40 246 35 244 39 236 52003 49515 54 235 52 240 46 245 36 236 49515 47257 59 232 61 236 51 242 41 251 47257 45194 63 233 60 234 53 241 51 255 45194 43306 61 233 58 233 57 240 58 252 43306 41571 60 231 60 235 59 243 60 252 41571 39964 62 229 65 237 60 246 59 252 39964 38465 63 230 67 236 61 247 61 251 38465 37054 63 234 65 234 61 247 63 246 37054 35692 65 237 62 233 63 246 62 243 35692 34308 66 235 62 232 64 244 60 244 34308 32876 65 232 62 230 64 245 59 248 32876 31404 64 229 60 233 63 248 62 254 31404 29882 64 228 65 240 64 252 65 259 29882 28290 64 228 70 242 67 255 69 263 28290 26619 64 229 70 242 69 255 72 265 26619 24862 64 230 68 243 70 254 73 265 24862 23019 62 230 65 243 71 254 74 268 23019 21092 56 230 60 244 68 253 72 269 21092 19081 50 228 56 243 64 252 69 270 19081 16986 48 228 55 243 60 251 64 269 16986 14847 46 236 53 245 58 253 59 263 14847 12782 42 244 47 248 56 255 58 262 12782 10906 37 249 42 252 52 258 51 271 10906 9255 33 254 38 257 49 264 42 271 9255 7811 27 253 35 263 45 273 29 276 7811 6542 27 244 30 267 35 285 28 299 6542 5420 28 242 27 271 25 300 30 307 5420 4429 18 244 24 291 25 303 30 307 4429 3557 16 279 23*299 24 300 29 305 3557 2789 25 306 21*297 23 297 29 302 2789 2102 26*307 20 297 22 294 29 299 2102 1497 24*306 19 296 21 291 28 297 1497 992 23 306 18 296 19 288 26 294 992 605 21 306 18 296 17 285 24 292 605 340 20 305 17 295 14 283 18 287 340 179 17 305 15 295 11 281 15*285 179 87 13 305 12 295 7*279 6*279 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography