DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 45.3 - - 46.9 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 93 - - -1 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3801 - - 3704 - - 907 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1861 - - 1824 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3866 - - 3769 - - 972 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2740 - - 2882 - - 6087 - - 4632 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 282 - - 283 - - 37 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 19 - - 13 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 312 - - 309 - - 295 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 352 - - 49 - - -2620 - - -2425 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3514 - - 3720 - - 3592 - - 2512 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 441 - - -41 - - -2880 - - -3128 ODpotential blCL - - - 3425 - - 3810 - - 3852 - - 3215 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 45.3 - - 46.9 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.3 - - 29.3 - - 31.6 - - 33.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 44.8 - - 47.1 - - 45.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.2 - - 29.1 - - 31.4 - - 33.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 93 - - -1 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3801 - - 3704 - - 907 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 98 - - 101 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96577 55 244 61 244 61 255 59 256 96577 89280 46 236 37 238 45 247 44 261 89280 83698 35 240 26 232 36 235 33 255 83698 79082 28 248 23 231 32 224 35 244 79082 75109 24 242 20 244 24 219 25 232 75109 71600 22 238 20 255 16 229 15 226 71600 68409 21 238 23 237 16 251 16 240 68409 65448 23 246 28 239 29 250 21 244 65448 62688 26 240 32 240 32 241 31 263 62688 60005 23 248 32 235 33 242 41 253 60005 57194 29 254 33 240 40 245 45 242 57194 54262 35 253 44 245 44 251 47 243 54262 51454 44 260 52 244 53 254 52 247 51454 48921 55 260 54 244 60 252 60 251 48921 46645 64 253 57 252 63 252 65 251 46645 44576 65 244 66 255 68 252 67 253 44576 42681 62 241 71 252 68 251 69 251 42681 40932 61 244 69 252 68 254 67 250 40932 39306 62 246 70 254 69 257 70 253 39306 37789 60 247 72 255 68 260 70 253 37789 36366 57 252 69 255 67 262 68 258 36366 35003 57 254 66 254 65 262 69 259 35003 33629 53 251 63 254 60 264 63 257 33629 32208 44 251 57 253 57 269 54 260 32208 30747 40 252 47 261 47 274 45 272 30747 29234 34 265 39 275 39 290 44 289 29234 27658 25 274 32 295 40 306 46 298 27658 26014 16 311 30 316 41 314 48 301 26014 24297 18 338 30 326 41 314 48 301 24297 22504 23 341 32 328 39 313 46 298 22504 20638 22 341 33 329 39 315 44 297 20638 18689 20 343 33 327 38 317 43 298 18689 16650 20 341 31 320 35 321 41 298 16650 14567 21 325 28 313 33 321 36 299 14567 12559 19 326 28 306 32 316 33 302 12559 10733 17 319 27 305 32 314 32 303 10733 9118 21 308 27 308 34 307 32 307 9118 7697 24 311 34 313 33 302 33 314 7697 6447 26 319 33 313 33 302 33 316 6447 5342 26 319 32 313 32 302 32 314 5342 4366 23*317 30*312 30 301 31 311 4366 3508 21*315 25*311 26 298 29 307 3508 2751 19 312 21 310 23 296 26 300 2751 2075 18 311 19 308 21 296 25 295 2075 1477 17 311 18 308 20 296 24 293 1477 980 17 311 17 308 18*296 22 290 980 598 16 311 17 308 16*296 19 288 598 336 15 310 16 308 14 295 15 284 336 178 14 311 14 308 12 295 12*282 178 87 11 310 11 307 9 294 6*279 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography