DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.7 - - 37.1 - - 34.9 - - 30.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 56 - - 30 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 148 - - 760 - - 515 - - 1375 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 - - 69 Hcrit BL Top - - - 213 - - 825 - - 580 - - 1440 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1016 - - 1077 - - 1919 - - 874 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 50 - - 143 - - 102 - - 146 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 12 - - 23 BL Wind Direction - - - 321 - - 335 - - 324 - - 312 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -76 - - 463 - - 264 - - 605 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 289 - - 363 - - 316 - - 835 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1029 - - 433 - - 233 - - 190 ODpotential blCL - - - 1242 - - 392 - - 347 - - 1250 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.7 - - 37.1 - - 34.9 - - 30.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.0 - - 36.0 - - 33.9 - - 27.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 36.7 - - 34.8 - - 30.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 35.5 - - 33.6 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 56 - - 30 - - 32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 148 - - 760 - - 515 - - 1375 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96019 12 014 18 352 23 351 12 343 96019 89031 14 344 16 003 10 341 10 286 89031 83595 7 336 10 338 7 005 10 268 83595 79039 13 318 9 247 9 305 6 279 79039 75073 25 278 18 255 20 267 17 276 75073 71554 22 243 22 230 25 250 24 265 71554 68360 21 263 23 259 34 258 32 252 68360 65399 39 259 40 253 34 237 33 254 65399 62633 49 245 40 232 36 234 46 254 62633 59953 50 229 39 240 49 245 55 244 59953 57150 50 245 54 242 57 236 66 235 57150 54223 72 240 71 239 65 240 71 229 54223 51402 81 232 84 239 78 233 73 228 51402 48847 90 232 101 234 85 229 84 227 48847 46567 116 235 111 229 93 232 87 228 46567 44505 140 231 115 227 102 232 94 231 44505 42619 149 228 124 228 116 231 105 226 42619 40886 166 224 142 226 134 226 111 221 40886 39284 173 220 158 222 143 219 119 218 39284 37794 171 218 163 218 149 212 121 214 37794 36400 165 218 162 215 155 208 120 211 36400 35055 159 220 159 215 154 207 123 209 35055 33687 161 223 155 220 149 207 125 207 33687 32265 164 226 151 222 140 205 126 205 32265 30792 166 228 136 217 132 200 126 203 30792 29251 168 228 122 210 129 199 124 202 29251 27636 163 225 114 205 128 200 119 202 27636 25948 144 221 113 202 127 200 112 204 25948 24192 101 215 109 198 127 201 104 205 24192 22364 96 206 102 200 122 204 98 205 22364 20466 96 208 94 203 112 205 90 208 20466 18492 91 222 90 206 100 202 88 207 18492 16439 87 225 93 209 84 199 88 205 16439 14351 73 219 84 206 67 210 76 213 14351 12349 70 213 61 215 80 230 47 217 12349 10546 71 218 59 233 46 232 31 224 10546 8959 59 234 49 240 28 231 28 227 8959 7560 38 240 28 247 17 219 27 247 7560 6323 24 232 18 237 16 235 21 251 6323 5226 20 214 13 222 14 258 17 243 5226 4257 18 202 4 224 6 243 10 253 4257 3408 13 190 2 238 5 317 11 330 3408 2665 8 190 2 338 17 345 21 324 2665 2007 6 199 5 332 21 336 28*316 2007 1429 4 242 9 338 21 332 27*315 1429 949 5 286 9*337 20 329 26 313 949 580 7 314 8*336 17*326 24 312 580 327 8*321 8 336 15*324 21 311 327 173 7*322 7 334 13 323 18 311 173 86 6 321 6 335 10 323 13 310 86 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography