DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/15 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 58.9 - - 58.6 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 103 - - -11 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 675 - - 1037 - - 23 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 71 - - 71 - - 72 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 740 - - 1102 - - 88 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 591 - - 620 - - 1478 - - 188 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 193 - - 10 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 077 - - 170 - - 176 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2614 - - -4218 - - -4075 - - -2313 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3355 - - 5320 - - 4163 - - 2400 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11595 - - -11215 - - -10375 - - -10097 ODpotential blCL - - - 12335 - - 12317 - - 10463 - - 10184 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 94 - - 51 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 58.9 - - 58.6 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.5 - - 36.0 - - 40.8 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 58.2 - - 59.4 - - 52.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.1 - - 35.5 - - 40.4 - - 40.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 81 - - 103 - - -11 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 675 - - 1037 - - 23 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 89 - - 76 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96012 91 249 95 246 100 250 90 246 96012 88934 65 257 63 253 71 253 65 247 88934 83449 50 267 43 254 47 256 45 250 83449 78892 38 260 35 262 40 262 33 267 78892 74956 24 267 28 265 36 262 40 281 74956 71473 22 301 15 245 26 248 38 270 71473 68297 26 305 16 293 17 251 25 266 68297 65339 36 296 38 298 27 303 25 293 65339 62583 36 291 42 296 34 307 39 303 62583 59923 28 286 41 294 38 304 51 298 59923 57161 33 280 43 288 44 294 54 292 57161 54285 36 288 42 290 45 290 52 292 54285 51532 48 304 48 297 52 296 58 297 51532 49062 63 308 54 300 63 300 57 297 49062 46850 69 305 63 303 69 297 70 296 46850 44844 62 308 68 300 69 294 75 288 44844 43010 58 312 68 301 70 294 70 289 43010 41323 80 309 71 305 75 294 76 298 41323 39766 80 313 79 304 81 290 86 301 39766 38315 92 309 92 300 79 285 91 301 38315 36948 92 296 89 299 70 284 90 300 36948 35625 92 298 81 294 68 283 83 297 35625 34279 86 299 77 290 71 285 73 291 34279 32883 81 302 72 292 71 286 62 282 32883 31438 80 309 67 296 69 286 58 279 31438 29928 74 313 62 296 66 284 56 282 29928 28336 66 314 55 294 61 282 55 287 28336 26661 60 310 51 293 54 282 55 291 26661 24904 57 300 49 289 48 281 54 292 24904 23069 58 294 46 290 47 281 53 293 23069 21162 55 295 45 291 44 280 54 288 21162 19177 50 303 46 290 45 273 54 279 19177 17112 47 308 44 288 46 267 52 271 17112 15009 48 309 41 289 44 269 48 268 15009 12983 45 307 41 287 40 270 41 264 12983 11138 39 300 39 284 36 268 33 264 11138 9492 35 294 34 278 35 269 34 272 9492 8030 32 292 34 277 36 274 38 270 8030 6733 33 295 37 278 36 272 35 260 6733 5583 36 299 32 281 34 267 35 243 5583 4563 33 299 25 277 31 261 37 238 4563 3665 23 282 18 260 27 253 36 237 3665 2870 19 252 18 244 24 239 36 237 2870 2158 13 251 15 237 23 224 36 232 2158 1531 2 265 11*229 19 206 36 215 1531 1010 8*079 6*171 13 182 35 197 1010 612 8*078 5 169 12 180 30 185 612 342 8 077 5 170 10 179 20 173 342 180 7 077 5 169 8 177 17 171 180 87 6 077 5 170 5*176 7*166 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography