DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 51.5 - - 51.1 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - -2 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 681 - - 22 - - 22 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 71 - - 71 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 746 - - 87 - - 87 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 852 - - 2831 - - 2677 - - 3625 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 14 - - 15 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 336 - - 327 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 377 - - -475 - - -600 - - -621 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 369 - - 563 - - 687 - - 708 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 235 - - -619 - - -764 - - -1281 ODpotential blCL - - - 511 - - 706 - - 851 - - 1368 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 96 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.7 - - 51.5 - - 51.1 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 49.4 - - 49.3 - - 48.5 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.8 - - 51.6 - - 51.4 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 49.0 - - 48.1 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - -2 - - -4 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 681 - - 22 - - 22 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 96 - - 82 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95824 41 258 33 271 37 259 38 257 95824 88846 20 286 18 275 23 271 20 256 88846 83403 18 273 20 275 24 285 23 300 83403 78883 17 277 20 263 23 275 25 277 78883 74978 23 281 20 271 22 264 18 273 74978 71509 23 267 28 276 30 287 25 291 71509 68386 19 269 22 264 30 281 28 283 68386 65530 20 292 16 274 23 265 23 264 65530 62862 32 296 21 280 20 254 23 276 62862 60252 38 286 27 279 26 281 38 276 60252 57523 46 287 46 280 45 282 42 272 57523 54689 54 276 62 275 50 270 48 260 54689 51972 52 269 60 263 48 255 46 241 51972 49505 50 269 55 256 49 257 52 260 49505 47269 55 264 54 256 58 255 61 257 47269 45224 59 258 60 257 60 247 66 250 45224 43337 61 260 65 259 64 251 67 248 43337 41590 63 264 74 263 68 252 63 250 41590 39973 67 267 83 260 70 254 64 262 39973 38468 78 265 89 257 75 258 72 262 38468 37058 86 258 86 256 77 257 67 262 37058 35706 88 252 77 254 71 261 61 262 35706 34349 82 250 72 250 66 264 47 269 34349 32955 79 253 68 250 50 277 45 274 32955 31520 80 253 62 249 52 280 44 283 31520 30021 81 252 59 256 52 276 47 290 30021 28439 79 250 65 254 47 276 46 288 28439 26770 72 249 62 248 44 283 44 282 26770 25014 62 246 58 244 41 293 44 272 25014 23170 67 250 57 236 38 299 45 266 23170 21241 74 255 56 231 35 298 44 266 21241 19223 66 253 53 237 38 294 40 269 19223 17112 59 250 58 255 34 295 35 272 17112 14952 51 245 57 265 32 294 32 281 14952 12868 42 256 47 264 33 290 28 279 12868 10983 44 266 37 259 32 280 25 275 10983 9323 41 270 23 255 33 272 21 276 9323 7859 36 270 24 255 28 274 19 282 7859 6563 30 265 22 269 27 283 21 294 6563 5420 28 262 16 279 27 286 23 302 5420 4418 27 265 10 313 24 298 19 315 4418 3545 28 267 12 352 16 316 15 337 3545 2780 20 284 14 354 12 335 16 348 2780 2097 12 323 14 349 13 339 17 350 2097 1493 11 357 13 343 14 335 18 349 1493 990 11*354 11 338 14 333 18 348 990 605 11*352 10 336 13 331 17 347 605 340 9 350 9 335 11 329 13 343 340 179 8 348 8 334 9 328 11*342 179 87 6 348 6*336 7*327 6*342 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography