DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/17 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.0 - - 41.7 - - 45.0 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 59 - - 17 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 243 - - 369 - - 1021 - - 452 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 Hcrit BL Top - - - 308 - - 434 - - 1086 - - 517 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1279 - - 1194 - - 576 - - 983 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 114 - - 108 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 218 - - 220 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 124 - - 209 - - 271 - - 193 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 184 - - 225 - - 815 - - 324 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 180 - - 290 - - 188 - - 104 ODpotential blCL - - - 128 - - 144 - - 898 - - 413 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.0 - - 41.7 - - 45.0 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 41.3 - - 42.0 - - 41.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.8 - - 41.3 - - 44.8 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.6 - - 40.9 - - 41.4 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 59 - - 17 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 243 - - 369 - - 1021 - - 452 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 99 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96732 28 077 33 080 25 076 27 063 96732 89626 28 071 25 073 26 077 21 069 89626 84093 19 087 13 072 17 076 13 062 84093 79448 11 085 9 126 4 076 8 022 79448 75428 4 301 8 142 7 183 10 284 75428 71857 6 283 4 273 5 282 10 277 71857 68607 11 252 11 255 10 283 14 286 68607 65610 6 266 9 294 11 280 15 286 65610 62818 25 305 21 290 21 286 25 279 62818 60118 34 280 26 301 28 293 31 287 60118 57301 41 282 44 289 42 288 40 290 57301 54371 52 277 55 279 55 282 58 286 54371 51581 52 281 67 277 65 280 65 286 51581 49085 67 284 70 279 76 283 80 282 49085 46857 74 282 73 284 88 283 83 278 46857 44842 74 288 77 287 87 282 82 282 44842 43009 83 297 82 288 84 286 82 292 43009 41331 91 295 85 288 83 291 88 299 41331 39788 92 292 84 288 85 294 102 299 39788 38360 90 295 84 288 90 295 107 295 38360 37022 95 300 84 287 95 294 101 291 37022 35725 99 301 87 287 99 295 97 290 35725 34399 100 301 89 289 99 294 97 292 34399 33012 101 299 92 294 92 293 93 293 33012 31569 108 298 97 296 88 292 88 290 31569 30053 107 299 96 295 87 291 85 288 30053 28450 99 297 90 293 87 289 83 294 28450 26763 92 295 82 290 84 288 77 290 26763 24993 83 293 78 287 84 288 71 288 24993 23142 78 293 72 286 76 290 60 288 23142 21213 71 293 63 288 63 289 50 286 21213 19203 59 292 58 291 53 287 42 285 19203 17106 54 290 49 289 48 291 39 288 17106 14969 45 290 39 284 42 292 38 290 14969 12910 30 284 33 278 36 285 32 283 12910 11039 25 292 26 279 32 284 29 265 11039 9380 25 294 20 283 23 276 23 263 9380 7912 25 285 20 288 19 276 15 267 7912 6612 22 273 22 283 19 285 12 278 6612 5461 19 265 22 275 20 287 13 281 5461 4445 16 268 18 267 19 280 13 274 4445 3554 15 270 13 273 16 271 14 264 3554 2771 19 263 11 283 11 270 12 257 2771 2076 21 245 10 262 9 271 9 254 2076 1472 17 227 9 220 7*243 8 230 1472 975 14 216 9 220 6*223 8 206 975 596 13 214 8*218 5 219 8*206 596 335 11*213 8*218 5 218 7*205 335 177 10*212 7 218 5 218 5 204 177 87 8 212 6 217 4 218 3 200 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography