DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.5 - - 39.0 - - 40.1 - - 35.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 67 - - -6 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 294 - - 977 - - 116 - - 21 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 - - 70 Hcrit BL Top - - - 359 - - 1042 - - 181 - - 86 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 364 - - 838 - - 2908 - - 284 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 80 - - 164 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 49 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 123 - - 274 - - 264 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -308 - - 209 - - -811 - - -293 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 667 - - 833 - - 992 - - 379 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3630 - - 222 - - -1123 - - -1940 ODpotential blCL - - - 3989 - - 820 - - 1304 - - 2026 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.5 - - 39.0 - - 40.1 - - 35.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.1 - - 35.8 - - 36.2 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.3 - - 38.6 - - 40.7 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 35.2 - - 35.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 67 - - -6 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 294 - - 977 - - 116 - - 21 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 99 - - 87 - - 23 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96228 5 046 9 053 3 013 4 077 96228 89021 1 263 2 332 5 247 9 249 89021 83453 7 255 5 238 11 256 13 251 83453 78831 13 276 12 265 10 248 14 256 78831 74853 21 266 14 245 10 270 19 270 74853 71353 22 257 26 253 26 258 29 261 71353 68200 23 260 31 259 25 254 32 253 68200 65296 29 273 33 256 32 264 36 259 65296 62590 39 270 39 250 41 259 46 254 62590 59954 50 272 45 254 49 253 53 247 59954 57188 64 263 58 259 59 253 57 245 57188 54308 73 255 68 254 68 251 64 249 54308 51547 79 252 76 251 76 250 77 253 51547 49056 85 254 85 251 82 250 95 250 49056 46822 89 255 92 251 83 250 95 249 46822 44781 93 253 100 252 83 252 89 253 44781 42891 104 250 105 250 93 255 108 258 42891 41145 117 250 111 248 111 254 126 248 41145 39533 127 249 121 247 125 250 133 239 39533 38024 132 247 127 246 132 246 124 240 38024 36597 133 246 131 246 137 243 120 248 36597 35222 131 246 133 245 149 241 130 248 35222 33830 134 247 136 244 162 239 141 243 33830 32387 139 246 140 244 173 236 152 241 32387 30895 140 245 145 243 176 235 149 243 30895 29346 138 244 151 240 173 237 122 243 29346 27729 136 244 154 240 161 238 118 236 27729 26047 127 247 146 243 151 239 111 239 26047 24298 107 249 117 247 138 241 96 244 24298 22481 92 248 97 245 112 245 83 249 22481 20593 81 248 90 245 97 248 73 254 20593 18630 70 245 80 243 86 250 64 259 18630 16596 65 244 72 244 72 252 54 263 16596 14530 60 246 61 245 54 252 46 268 14530 12540 52 248 45 250 41 258 39 267 12540 10730 39 246 34 256 29 262 31 261 10730 9123 26 249 29 262 20 277 24 262 9123 7699 23 244 23 265 19 280 20 273 7699 6437 20 239 20 264 18 277 18 289 6437 5322 19 218 18 262 19 279 20 301 5322 4340 18 202 15 246 18 281 22 307 4340 3481 17 202 12 245 16 280 23 309 3481 2727 12 230 8 285 13 278 21 305 2727 2056 8 234 8 292 12 281 20 302 2056 1464 6 225 7*285 9 278 20 301 1464 971 3 246 5*277 8 273 19 300 971 593 0*336 4 273 7 270 17 296 593 333 0*125 4 272 7*267 13 290 333 176 0 122 4 272 5*265 10 282 176 86 0 122 3 271 4 264 5*274 86 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography