DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 68.8 - - 65.1 - - 58.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 73 - - -28 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1760 - - 4546 - - 23 - - 23 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 72 - - 2447 - - 72 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1825 - - 4611 - - 88 - - 88 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 970 - - 1273 - - 5821 - - 320 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 214 - - 306 - - 27 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 16 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 305 - - 322 - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 77 - - 1620 - - -3204 - - -1499 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1748 - - 2992 - - 3292 - - 1588 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2314 - - 138 - - -3785 - - -3330 ODpotential blCL - - - 4139 - - 4473 - - 3873 - - 3418 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 82 - - 54 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.2 - - 68.8 - - 65.1 - - 58.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 56.0 - - 51.2 - - 51.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 68.4 - - 66.2 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 54.6 - - 49.8 - - 50.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 73 - - -28 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1760 - - 4546 - - 23 - - 23 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 29 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98210 11 238 14 223 19 243 21 250 98210 90829 15 248 13 231 20 223 22 258 90829 85090 17 226 15 243 13 255 16 264 85090 80318 15 220 15 239 15 263 14 276 80318 76220 10 231 14 247 17 270 15 292 76220 72619 11 234 12 242 13 252 14 260 72619 69348 13 212 12 253 17 268 18 269 69348 66350 15 256 17 238 20 256 23 268 66350 63604 22 265 14 256 19 237 25 246 63604 60945 31 282 29 290 20 269 25 263 60945 58163 45 268 43 269 41 275 39 275 58163 55292 55 252 55 255 60 266 54 269 55292 52573 60 251 66 256 72 258 67 264 52573 50136 70 256 72 254 75 254 77 260 50136 47951 79 259 78 260 81 260 82 260 47951 45965 87 259 86 261 86 261 87 261 45965 44146 94 256 87 261 85 261 92 261 44146 42464 99 251 87 259 85 265 92 261 42464 40892 102 245 89 253 85 267 89 260 40892 39413 117 236 91 250 79 265 85 257 39413 38014 122 235 88 249 68 264 82 255 38014 36651 123 235 85 247 62 267 77 260 36651 35260 122 237 82 248 59 271 70 266 35260 33816 100 243 80 251 57 275 65 273 33816 32322 81 248 76 252 55 276 62 278 32322 30763 67 247 64 253 53 275 58 281 30763 29123 53 249 54 255 51 273 55 282 29123 27398 48 255 52 259 49 270 53 280 27398 25589 44 258 51 263 49 270 51 276 25589 23696 42 257 51 269 53 272 50 274 23696 21720 42 255 52 271 56 273 50 277 21720 19657 42 262 50 267 57 273 49 279 19657 17500 40 265 47 260 55 272 49 281 17500 15296 38 263 46 265 52 271 48 282 15296 13171 39 272 44 276 48 276 47 284 13171 11240 36 279 41 284 46 285 45 290 11240 9531 33 279 39 289 45 294 42 298 9531 8027 31 282 39 294 41 301 37 305 8027 6710 29 289 35 300 29 302 29 306 6710 5555 26 296 24*305 20 308 22 306 5555 4540 22 299 19*307 19 315 19 317 4540 3647 19 299 18 306 19 318 19 323 3647 2859 17 299 17 305 19 320 20 325 2859 2156 14*293 17 305 18 321 21 325 2156 1534 10*271 16 304 18 322 21 325 1534 1017 10 268 16 304 17 323 21 324 1017 620 9 266 15 303 16 323 20 323 620 348 9 266 14 303 15 323 17 320 348 182 8 265 13 303 12 323 14*319 182 88 7 265 10 302 9*322 5*315 88 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography