DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Ridgely_MD 65ft pt33961@-75.810,38.936,41ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Highland Aerosports RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 53.4 - - 54.2 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 21 - - -10 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2113 - - 1599 - - 22 - - 22 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1198 - - 71 - - 71 - - 71 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2178 - - 1664 - - 87 - - 87 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 714 - - 1303 - - 1961 - - 951 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 313 - - 137 - - 15 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 25 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 106 - - 117 - - 115 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2014 - - -2158 - - -2715 - - -835 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4192 - - 3823 - - 2802 - - 923 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10653 - - -9726 - - -6574 - - -4915 ODpotential blCL - - - 12831 - - 11390 - - 6661 - - 5002 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 100 - - 71 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.1 - - 53.4 - - 54.2 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 37.4 - - 42.6 - - 48.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.3 - - 53.3 - - 54.6 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.9 - - 37.0 - - 42.5 - - 48.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 221 - - 21 - - -10 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2113 - - 1599 - - 22 - - 22 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 100 - - 0 - - 30 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 23 257 23 259 31 258 30 266 96592 89379 15 267 19 251 25 264 18 286 89379 83790 10 252 14 265 21 270 16 295 83790 79136 10 241 12 283 13 289 12 301 79136 75125 11 243 17 283 16 290 13 310 75125 71583 13 262 19 273 16 264 15 264 71583 68377 17 269 19 282 14 270 12 257 68377 65423 27 267 24 268 22 267 19 276 65423 62696 35 259 30 258 32 269 26 281 62696 60072 39 268 35 270 35 276 25 280 60072 57324 44 270 39 272 34 262 32 248 57324 54458 46 264 42 263 40 253 37 240 54458 51733 49 263 49 257 45 255 41 248 51733 49294 57 262 51 256 50 259 43 254 49294 47106 62 254 58 257 57 258 56 252 47106 45122 60 253 61 255 62 253 63 246 45122 43311 62 257 64 254 65 250 65 242 43311 41646 62 253 65 254 63 248 61 239 41646 40110 56 247 64 247 61 248 58 241 40110 38684 52 248 61 238 61 248 54 244 38684 37343 52 247 57 234 60 249 53 243 37343 36037 53 242 58 236 60 250 57 239 36037 34697 53 240 58 235 61 250 59 238 34697 33296 50 238 57 235 59 248 58 237 33296 31838 49 239 54 236 55 245 54 235 31838 30306 48 242 50 237 51 242 53 233 30306 28692 45 241 47 237 49 237 56 231 28692 26995 43 241 47 236 51 234 57 228 26995 25220 41 242 47 234 52 234 52 228 25220 23366 40 241 45 234 51 236 46 234 23366 21432 38 237 41 234 48 234 45 235 21432 19410 37 231 40 231 47 226 46 223 19410 17300 35 220 40 222 44 219 44 217 17300 15151 34 215 38 213 38 219 43 215 15151 13078 40 214 41 204 35 210 45 209 13078 11187 38 215 38 201 36 197 40 200 11187 9507 35 213 35 202 35 191 33 195 9507 8022 32 210 33 198 32 183 32 189 8022 6711 31 202 34 193 34 184 32 188 6711 5552 33 193 36 188 37 185 34 182 5552 4530 34 177 38 173 40 178 36 176 4530 3630 32 150 38 153 42 162 42 167 3630 2839 32*125 35 140 44 149 49 155 2839 2133 28*112 31*125 39 141 49 149 2133 1514 27 108 29*120 32 129 44 141 1514 1001 26 105 28 118 27 122 36 136 1001 610 24 103 26 116 25 119 28 130 610 342 23 103 23 115 21 117 22 126 342 180 21 102 20 114 18 116 18 125 180 87 16 101 15 113 13*115 10*123 87 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography