DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 37.1 - - 33.2 - - 32.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 46 - - 1 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2950 - - 4789 - - 2135 - - 1093 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 94 - - 32 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 251 - - 222 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -6 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -42 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5261 - - 5303 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -485 - - -1245 - - -306 - - -1676 ODpotential blCL - - - 5746 - - 6506 - - 5567 - - 6937 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 93 - - 98 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 30 - - 0 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 37.1 - - 33.2 - - 32.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 32.0 - - 32.3 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 36.4 - - 32.8 - - 33.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 30.9 - - 32.2 - - 30.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 46 - - 1 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 73 - - 93 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95751 19 336 30 350 28 017 27 029 95751 88795 22 344 20 355 25 355 25 004 88795 83394 29 339 19 338 19 344 23 002 83394 78886 30 313 19 335 17 004 21 340 78886 74953 17 295 20 324 18 307 21 342 74953 71434 14 270 25 280 15 322 17 312 71434 68218 21 269 31 265 25 265 26 297 68218 65243 21 278 16 275 25 260 31 277 65243 62488 11 281 20 309 19 300 23 271 62488 59801 37 271 39 270 31 283 15 287 59801 56944 43 229 50 237 48 248 23 266 56944 53933 35 219 42 240 46 244 36 258 53933 51065 37 279 45 267 48 264 45 258 51065 48510 61 269 56 266 58 262 52 255 48510 46243 80 256 70 257 64 258 61 254 46243 44194 90 248 80 254 67 256 66 255 44194 42324 96 246 83 252 71 256 72 257 42324 40603 106 245 93 249 81 254 81 256 40603 39013 118 241 110 243 95 250 90 250 39013 37540 123 238 120 238 108 245 93 244 37540 36175 126 239 123 238 114 241 92 243 36175 34879 134 242 130 240 116 240 96 245 34879 33588 141 242 139 240 119 241 105 246 33588 32272 141 240 142 238 125 242 114 245 32272 30935 137 239 138 238 129 241 114 244 30935 29566 131 240 132 238 128 241 105 244 29566 28161 120 239 124 237 120 241 91 245 28161 26723 106 238 110 235 104 242 78 246 26723 25254 93 238 95 233 86 239 66 247 25254 23753 81 238 80 234 71 235 57 250 23753 22220 68 237 71 239 59 230 53 252 22220 20646 63 237 64 241 57 230 52 252 20646 19026 60 236 56 234 60 233 52 252 19026 17386 57 239 52 226 61 238 52 252 17386 15813 55 243 51 226 62 246 52 253 15813 14382 55 244 53 236 60 253 50 255 14382 13106 54 243 53 251 52 258 49 255 13106 11962 52 240 51 257 45 263 47 255 11962 10933 48 239 48 263 41 266 45 257 10933 10007 41 242 45 265 37 267 44 258 10007 9173 35 255 39 265 34 265 42 259 9173 8424 35 268 35 264 32 262 41 259 8424 7750 35 271 33 262 30 257 38 259 7750 7135 35 271 30 259 28 250 37 258 7135 6583 34 269 28 257 27 241 34 253 6583 6116 31 266 26 254 24 234 30 242 6116 5754 28 264 24 253 22 228 26 235 5754 5503 25 262 22 252 19 225 21 231 5503 5349 23 261 20*251 16 223 17*229 5349 5261 17*260 16*251 12*222 11*227 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography