DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.3 - - 41.2 - - 43.6 - - 40.5 - - 34.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 94 - - 81 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1672 - - 2840 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5532 - - 6293 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6733 - - 7901 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 243 - - 1916 - - 1622 - - 3028 - - 212 Hgt.Variab. W* 22 - - 235 - - 268 - - 24 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 12 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 242 - - 229 - - 222 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -6 - - -5 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 714 - - 1249 - - -165 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 6019 - - 6653 - - 5428 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -3297 - - -1885 - - -824 - - -2144 - - -4137 ODpotential blCL 8558 - - 8618 - - 8725 - - 7406 - - 9399 blCL maxRH 77 - - 79 - - 82 - - 70 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 32.3 - - 41.2 - - 43.6 - - 40.5 - - 34.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.4 - - 33.2 - - 32.8 - - 35.1 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.9 - - 40.1 - - 42.5 - - 41.6 - - 37.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.8 - - 32.0 - - 31.6 - - 33.9 - - 32.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 94 - - 81 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1672 - - 2840 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 7 - - 14 - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96290 20 265 31 268 34 271 31 272 37 280 96290 89263 16 281 22 274 27 271 22 292 22 287 89263 83837 19 285 8 255 18 271 17 300 16 291 83837 79281 10 279 8 260 12 254 17 281 17 275 79281 75332 12 278 10 270 9 260 11 275 7 288 75332 71805 23 263 14 277 9 271 17 265 21 258 71805 68586 23 261 20 253 25 255 23 266 22 255 68586 65611 22 242 25 238 24 254 27 281 20 280 65611 62825 19 249 24 238 25 245 34 265 26 273 62825 60112 26 261 19 246 31 240 38 248 36 256 60112 57282 32 263 28 258 35 250 34 250 37 250 57282 54348 40 258 37 256 36 257 34 261 35 251 54348 51549 42 254 38 254 38 252 41 259 36 257 51549 49035 41 256 38 258 38 250 44 254 40 258 49035 46793 39 261 41 261 40 253 42 255 42 260 46793 44774 41 269 44 262 45 259 40 258 45 260 44774 42937 47 277 45 264 50 259 42 266 48 260 42937 41257 56 274 49 265 51 260 50 269 50 263 41257 39712 55 269 53 262 54 263 56 263 56 265 39712 38278 53 268 58 257 57 262 54 257 61 262 38278 36940 53 273 58 253 59 258 50 258 59 259 36940 35661 56 278 56 255 60 254 54 261 56 261 35661 34379 58 279 54 256 58 252 58 256 55 264 34379 33072 58 279 51 257 56 254 58 253 57 263 33072 31743 56 280 50 260 53 254 58 253 57 260 31743 30375 55 283 49 262 50 257 58 254 54 258 30375 28959 54 285 47 262 50 259 57 257 50 260 28959 27495 52 281 45 263 50 258 56 260 48 262 27495 25983 52 275 44 265 49 259 52 262 46 265 25983 24425 53 276 43 267 47 260 46 263 45 267 24425 22828 47 275 42 270 44 260 41 264 43 269 22828 21187 43 267 38 266 41 260 38 264 39 269 21187 19498 40 263 39 261 38 260 37 265 36 269 19498 17790 36 260 37 261 35 261 34 266 33 271 17790 16151 32 261 32 256 31 259 30 262 31 272 16151 14661 27 265 28 254 29 256 27 260 30 269 14661 13332 21 270 24 251 26 252 24 260 28 262 13332 12144 16 272 22 246 24 248 22 258 25 256 12144 11078 11 269 19 243 22 244 21 254 24 251 11078 10118 8 253 16 240 20 240 20 252 23 246 10118 9257 8 236 15 237 17 236 18 246 21 243 9257 8486 10 234 15 236 14*232 16 240 19 239 8486 7795 13 238 16 238 13*231 14 234 17 234 7795 7167 16 242 15*241 13 229 11 230 14 231 7167 6605 18 246 14*242 12 229 10 229 12 231 6605 6130 19 250 13 242 12 229 10 228 9 229 6130 5762 18 253 13 242 12 228 10 227 7 227 5762 5507 15 250 12 241 11 228 8 226 5 227 5507 5351 10*246 11 241 11 227 7*225 4*228 5351 5262 5*242 9 240 9 227 4*222 3*238 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography