DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.2 - - 27.1 - - 24.0 - - 18.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 79 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 199 - - 199 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5243 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5260 - - 5260 - - 5260 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1461 - - 2751 - - 2686 - - 187 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 107 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 204 - - 234 - - 205 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2239 - - -2366 - - -976 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7499 - - 7627 - - 6237 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11410 - - -9721 - - -10296 - - -10579 ODpotential blCL - - - 16670 - - 14981 - - 15556 - - 15839 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 55 - - 63 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.2 - - 27.1 - - 24.0 - - 18.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.6 - - 12.7 - - 15.9 - - 15.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.4 - - 26.1 - - 25.4 - - 20.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.6 - - 11.5 - - 14.7 - - 16.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 79 - - -3 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 199 - - 199 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96470 34 047 37 058 32 047 33 036 96470 89306 25 027 22 039 17 022 19 006 89306 83744 21 016 14 337 19 334 20 341 83744 79138 14 026 13 324 17 328 13 334 79138 75162 10 352 18 319 21 343 9 333 75162 71611 10 336 17 313 26 348 14 356 71611 68372 8 296 18 330 32 343 25 344 68372 65388 13 318 19 333 28 333 29 340 65388 62611 21 330 19 327 22 326 31 336 62611 59914 24 331 20 328 25 330 35 331 59914 57109 24 324 26 328 30 325 29 318 57109 54195 25 319 30 325 28 318 24 327 54195 51406 28 328 30 322 32 335 35 333 51406 48919 39 324 33 327 40 337 44 333 48919 46718 42 315 34 327 41 330 37 326 46718 44731 36 319 36 327 35 321 28 341 44731 42911 36 334 36 325 28 342 39 359 42911 41240 41 339 33 327 50 010 47 351 41240 39698 44 340 34 336 70 356 48 008 39698 38262 45 336 40 343 67 347 67 023 38262 36925 46 329 42 347 52 356 90 021 36925 35653 41 326 41 352 40 002 92 016 35653 34382 31 330 36 002 40 020 85 016 34382 33082 25 347 36 020 58 027 74 016 33082 31754 29 354 44 032 66 022 64 009 31754 30386 31 338 36 021 62 016 64 007 30386 28964 35 327 31 348 56 016 57 008 28964 27492 38 325 38 344 53 019 47 009 27492 25974 37 328 39 352 53 024 43 006 25974 24412 35 333 40 002 49 026 40 359 24412 22810 36 336 42 007 40 020 34 351 22810 21159 38 339 43 008 34 017 29 344 21159 19452 38 341 41 010 31 020 28 342 19452 17723 35 338 35 010 32 018 30 346 17723 16062 31 336 29 004 34 018 30 355 16062 14554 28 338 25 351 33 020 27 003 14554 13211 25 343 22 342 29 017 24 008 13211 12013 22 349 18 339 24 010 22 009 12013 10945 18 356 14 337 19 001 20 008 10945 9990 15 002 10 335 15 356 17 002 9990 9139 12 005 8 331 11 353 13 353 9139 8383 9 006 6 320 7 337 9 333 8383 7709 6 357 6 299 5 289 7 290 7709 7101 3 319 5 266 6 243 9 255 7101 6557 6 235 6 244 7 231 11 247 6557 6099 7 209 6 239 6 225 11 240 6099 5743 6 205 5 236 6 219 10 232 5743 5496 6 203 5 233 6 214 7 220 5496 5346 5*204 5 234 5 210 5*210 5346 5260 5*204 5*234 3*205 4*205 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography