DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.4 - - 43.2 - - 49.5 - - 42.2 - - 34.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 56 - - 55 - - -11 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 102 - - 782 - - 1525 - - 732 - - 99 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 97 - - 98 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 043 - - 063 - - 074 - - 053 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -819 - - -2070 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 6081 - - 7332 - - 5262 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -11657 - - -9672 - - -9185 - - -7960 - - -9086 ODpotential blCL 16918 - - 14934 - - 14447 - - 13222 - - 14347 blCL maxRH 72 - - 82 - - 67 - - 81 - - 71 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.4 - - 43.2 - - 49.5 - - 42.2 - - 34.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.5 - - 35.0 - - 35.8 - - 37.9 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.6 - - 42.4 - - 48.7 - - 44.7 - - 38.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.3 - - 34.0 - - 34.5 - - 37.4 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 56 - - 55 - - -11 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 27 - - 0 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95964 26 302 22 313 16 298 14 308 17 302 95964 89010 12 321 18 301 15 308 12 004 8 328 89010 83624 13 347 14 293 17 314 13 358 9 347 83624 79113 12 345 7 299 15 305 15 303 16 349 79113 75192 8 338 6 303 13 294 13 308 11 321 75192 71699 8 306 7 300 10 278 14 284 11 319 71699 68505 9 301 8 292 13 264 18 268 14 286 68505 65568 12 279 13 284 12 264 15 274 16 302 65568 62854 18 263 16 290 15 279 18 274 20 293 62854 60244 24 256 28 267 24 273 24 279 25 280 60244 57533 30 261 24 257 20 271 32 264 29 263 57533 54704 35 276 29 267 30 254 31 251 33 246 54704 51996 51 269 48 270 38 256 38 255 39 242 51996 49566 59 260 58 265 59 260 58 257 49 253 49566 47392 57 262 66 259 74 257 79 256 74 254 47392 45428 60 269 67 257 71 256 79 250 79 245 45428 43648 63 271 66 262 65 263 69 250 70 239 43648 42013 58 269 59 263 61 264 64 249 66 238 42013 40483 47 266 47 263 53 255 56 244 56 238 40483 39043 44 267 43 269 50 249 53 240 46 237 39043 37685 47 270 43 268 47 250 51 240 47 237 37685 36380 44 267 41 258 43 247 44 241 48 237 36380 35067 35 256 36 250 41 242 38 241 46 233 35067 33719 30 247 31 248 35 238 35 239 42 228 33719 32340 26 250 28 244 31 233 35 233 40 227 32340 30918 21 246 26 236 32 226 34 226 39 225 30918 29441 17 226 25 220 36 216 33 221 38 220 29441 27916 19 207 29 207 39 209 37 219 39 214 27916 26353 22 200 32 209 39 205 40 215 42 210 26353 24761 24 208 34 211 37 203 39 207 43 206 24761 23139 28 217 35 213 37 200 38 199 42 202 23139 21474 25 228 31 215 35 197 39 194 40 199 21474 19758 17 235 26 213 33 194 39 190 40 197 19758 18021 15 232 22 206 31 190 38 186 41 192 18021 16356 18 222 21 200 29 186 37 185 38 190 16356 14841 21 212 23 197 29 187 34 186 35 190 14841 13488 22 205 25 197 29 191 31 188 32 192 13488 12276 22 200 26 199 28 196 28 191 29 195 12276 11187 21 197 25 201 26 199 24 196 25 198 11187 10207 20 195 23 201 24 202 21 201 22 200 10207 9325 19 190 21 198 22 205 18 204 19 198 9325 8537 16 184 18 194 20 205 15 200 17 192 8537 7831 14 178 15 192 16 200 14 189 17 185 7831 7190 13 169 13 180 11 189 12 175 17 173 7190 6618 10 136 9 144 6 148 9 142 14 139 6618 6137 9 086 9 080 7 078 9 089 13 093 6137 5764 13 058 10 064 7 074 11 068 15 063 5764 5507 13 049 8 062 7 074 11 061 15 054 5507 5351 10*044 8*063 7 074 8*056 10 047 5351 5261 4*043 7*063 6*074 5*053 5*042 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography