DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.4 - - 49.2 - - 48.9 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 45 - - 4 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1415 - - 3110 - - 3356 - - 1787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 105 - - 92 - - 46 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 140 - - 023 - - 291 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -612 - - -555 - - -582 - - -232 ODpotential blCL - - - 5874 - - 5817 - - 5844 - - 5494 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.4 - - 49.2 - - 48.9 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.4 - - 46.6 - - 46.8 - - 44.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.4 - - 48.3 - - 48.6 - - 45.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.5 - - 45.6 - - 46.2 - - 44.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 45 - - 4 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 95 - - 101 - - 96 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97559 16 274 20 303 27 296 28 308 97559 90388 14 305 16 312 20 288 17 297 90388 84856 19 312 12 297 11 288 8 300 84856 80237 14 306 9 262 9 306 7 318 80237 76240 9 285 8 257 11 302 6 316 76240 72715 6 240 6 256 14 296 4 306 72715 69523 3 083 6 264 13 277 7 286 69523 66589 8 350 7 275 10 253 7 246 66589 63863 10 335 11 243 12 240 10 245 63863 61216 13 285 12 214 19 214 17 254 61216 58445 15 281 9 267 9 236 18 235 58445 55552 29 257 30 261 28 267 24 239 55552 52779 32 246 38 254 38 259 23 239 52779 50266 45 245 52 254 48 248 34 252 50266 48000 52 242 59 246 49 240 45 245 48000 45939 58 243 62 242 56 240 54 239 45939 44044 65 243 69 242 69 242 64 240 44044 42282 70 242 77 240 77 240 73 238 42282 40630 77 241 82 238 81 238 77 236 40630 39079 86 241 86 238 85 236 77 233 39079 37627 90 240 89 237 87 234 79 230 37627 36243 90 238 87 235 88 233 85 229 36243 34860 89 232 81 233 83 232 89 228 34860 33450 89 224 77 228 75 228 88 228 33450 32022 89 220 74 217 71 218 78 225 32022 30569 85 219 70 214 70 207 67 220 30569 29088 79 219 72 217 68 203 64 213 29088 27582 72 216 73 218 64 212 65 209 27582 26042 68 214 68 219 59 221 67 210 26042 24465 63 212 62 220 53 220 67 209 24465 22848 55 210 57 218 46 217 66 210 22848 21190 47 203 50 211 45 212 61 213 21190 19488 44 191 40 201 44 206 50 214 19488 17777 40 187 30 192 37 202 41 225 17777 16146 35 196 28 195 24 201 35 246 16146 14670 30 207 27 193 15 221 29 257 14670 13352 23 226 25 188 13 247 26 263 13352 12169 13 237 20 189 12 266 20 272 12169 11104 7 232 12 190 12 288 16 278 11104 10144 6 223 5 212 14 299 14 276 10144 9281 7 231 4 262 15 305 12 277 9281 8509 9 241 5 293 14 308 9 281 8509 7815 9 242 4 326 11 310 7 270 7815 7184 5 238 4 337 10 308 7 256 7184 6618 1 147 5 008 10 305 9 251 6618 6139 4 136 6 019 9 300 10 250 6139 5768 4 139 6 021 9 296 11 248 5768 5510 4 140 6 022 8 293 10 246 5510 5353 4*141 6*023 7 293 9*244 5353 5262 4*140 5*023 6*291 6*242 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography