DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.9 - - 42.8 - - 50.0 - - 43.8 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 42 - - 40 - - -11 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 83 - - 1050 - - 2874 - - 382 - - 112 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 90 - - 89 - - 16 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 045 - - 089 - - 135 - - 086 - - 064 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1343 - - -2209 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 6605 - - 7471 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -7590 - - -5820 - - -4984 - - -3553 - - -4721 ODpotential blCL 12851 - - 11082 - - 10246 - - 8815 - - 9983 blCL maxRH 71 - - 91 - - 80 - - 84 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m 30.9 - - 42.8 - - 50.0 - - 43.8 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.3 - - 32.1 - - 35.3 - - 39.1 - - 35.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.7 - - 42.1 - - 49.3 - - 46.4 - - 39.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.2 - - 31.0 - - 34.0 - - 38.6 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 42 - - 40 - - -11 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 65 - - 18 - - 35 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95938 6 309 11 309 8 332 7 076 13 261 95938 88968 8 337 2 323 7 304 8 360 6 012 88968 83547 8 347 8 048 4 253 11 323 13 008 83547 79011 9 349 11 011 4 290 9 323 12 346 79011 75071 6 324 11 321 8 302 10 322 11 345 75071 71561 7 299 6 303 6 294 12 304 10 314 71561 68368 12 295 7 317 4 292 11 304 9 332 68368 65423 9 309 9 297 9 300 9 277 10 318 65423 62673 17 276 14 294 13 286 10 306 9 339 62673 60000 15 244 23 249 19 257 26 272 15 274 60000 57213 22 243 20 249 20 256 19 261 16 248 57213 54298 34 244 26 249 23 263 27 240 21 244 54298 51490 37 246 28 229 38 238 39 227 31 235 51490 48971 42 218 35 246 44 220 40 217 35 216 48971 46737 43 204 34 211 36 208 36 203 32 217 46737 44715 47 216 45 203 36 224 33 207 33 214 44715 42859 64 217 58 200 46 210 32 213 31 189 42859 41154 76 208 68 196 58 194 35 203 29 182 41154 39578 73 201 71 194 68 189 42 190 34 193 39578 38107 65 196 73 191 71 187 53 186 46 196 38107 36742 61 195 73 189 71 188 58 188 57 188 36742 35458 59 195 71 189 68 192 60 188 62 186 35458 34183 62 197 69 191 63 198 56 186 68 186 34183 32878 65 201 66 194 60 206 47 188 56 180 32878 31544 60 201 61 199 58 211 43 191 54 182 31544 30172 51 200 54 204 53 211 49 196 53 188 30172 28752 40 201 46 210 48 209 46 195 50 186 28752 27287 34 201 38 212 48 207 45 194 50 184 27287 25779 31 202 34 210 46 204 46 192 50 180 25779 24232 32 203 35 209 45 203 46 192 48 176 24232 22652 35 202 37 206 44 204 45 190 45 178 22652 21033 39 200 40 203 44 203 43 188 42 186 21033 19369 41 199 41 201 44 201 41 188 37 195 19369 17693 41 202 39 205 42 198 39 191 33 200 17693 16092 36 203 36 207 39 197 34 196 28 203 16092 14637 30 206 32 208 33 201 30 198 25 209 14637 13335 25 207 29 208 27 203 28 200 24 212 13335 12163 23 208 26 208 24 206 27 202 24 213 12163 11107 22 210 24 209 23 209 27 203 24 213 11107 10151 21 212 23 212 23 210 28 201 26 211 10151 9290 21 215 24 212 22 204 29 199 30 208 9290 8516 21 214 23 207 21 196 29 195 33 202 8516 7820 20 209 23 201 19 190 27 190 34 197 7820 7187 22 200 20 194 15 179 24 184 30 192 7187 6618 20 187 14 181 10 159 20 175 24 184 6618 6138 12 158 8 153 8 143 16 165 17 176 6138 5765 8 093 6 109 7 139 13 149 9 145 5765 5508 11 059 5 093 7 138 9 125 8 099 5508 5351 10*049 5*091 7 136 7*102 7*074 5351 5262 5*045 5*089 6*135 5*086 5*064 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography