DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.0 - - 36.3 - - 31.6 - - 28.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 54 - - -30 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3048 - - 5132 - - 3636 - - 1057 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 76 - - 97 - - 32 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 244 - - 262 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - -4 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -185 - - -360 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5261 - - 5446 - - 5621 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -733 - - -1305 - - -2431 - - -2207 ODpotential blCL - - - 5994 - - 6566 - - 7692 - - 7468 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 87 - - 66 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 90 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.0 - - 36.3 - - 31.6 - - 28.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.8 - - 30.6 - - 25.4 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 35.7 - - 32.8 - - 29.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 29.7 - - 24.5 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 54 - - -30 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 47 - - 0 - - 38 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95889 37 265 45 272 26 305 26 268 95889 88848 22 264 25 276 23 304 18 279 88848 83392 19 245 19 292 16 273 22 269 83392 78839 14 260 13 295 10 299 13 243 78839 74890 22 261 12 266 17 325 8 281 74890 71368 28 265 21 262 24 268 17 279 71368 68145 30 258 17 266 19 265 15 265 68145 65140 25 251 17 270 25 277 20 273 65140 62328 27 264 30 258 33 258 25 268 62328 59596 34 268 29 242 31 245 24 268 59596 56750 33 257 22 261 21 262 25 270 56750 53800 31 264 29 277 25 266 23 272 53800 50966 35 261 31 267 33 256 25 268 50966 48394 32 265 31 261 38 250 39 260 48394 46077 40 272 37 257 42 252 44 250 46077 43969 47 265 45 253 44 255 44 248 43969 42047 54 261 50 253 48 260 47 254 42047 40292 63 255 63 255 58 263 48 258 40292 38674 71 244 77 252 71 259 50 266 38674 37173 72 242 85 245 81 250 62 265 37173 35788 75 246 86 240 85 243 72 255 35788 34495 79 246 86 237 84 240 78 243 34495 33223 80 247 82 241 79 241 71 232 33223 31929 81 249 85 246 71 244 57 233 31929 30612 79 249 87 243 70 248 60 256 30612 29269 77 249 88 243 75 250 74 256 29269 27893 76 249 85 246 81 251 77 247 27893 26477 75 250 78 249 73 248 66 241 26477 25025 71 251 72 252 58 252 51 241 25025 23541 68 250 68 257 52 263 47 246 23541 22027 64 252 61 259 52 267 48 255 22027 20477 58 257 53 261 49 266 48 258 20477 18884 47 265 46 262 43 260 44 259 18884 17272 39 271 42 265 40 256 40 262 17272 15722 34 274 39 269 37 259 37 266 15722 14310 31 278 36 273 35 266 34 268 14310 13047 29 283 34 277 36 271 32 264 13047 11913 28 291 32 280 36 274 31 261 11913 10891 28 297 29 285 33 276 28 267 10891 9969 29 296 26 285 30 280 27 281 9969 9139 28 287 25 281 28 284 28 289 9139 8396 28 275 25 277 27 284 26 291 8396 7727 28 265 25 269 27 282 22 289 7727 7119 28 257 25 260 28 278 19 282 7119 6572 27 253 24 252 27 273 18 269 6572 6110 26 251 24 249 26 270 18 256 6110 5750 24 249 23 247 23 268 17 248 5750 5501 22 248 22 246 19 265 15 241 5501 5348 20*247 20*245 15*264 12*237 5348 5261 15*247 15*244 10*262 7*233 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography