DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.7 - - 27.6 - - 32.8 - - 32.0 - - 27.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 105 - - 136 - - 663 - - 587 - - 158 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 19 - - 14 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 213 - - 125 - - 293 - - 280 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -89 - - -231 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5351 - - 5492 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -12822 - - -12324 - - -10828 - - -10269 - - -11541 ODpotential blCL 18083 - - 17585 - - 16089 - - 15530 - - 16802 blCL maxRH 78 - - 83 - - 76 - - 86 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.7 - - 27.6 - - 32.8 - - 32.0 - - 27.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.7 - - 23.2 - - 27.7 - - 28.4 - - 24.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.9 - - 27.8 - - 33.8 - - 34.8 - - 30.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.6 - - 22.5 - - 26.7 - - 28.5 - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 33 - - 5 - - 45 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96311 43 055 38 054 30 053 29 033 32 052 96311 89484 39 043 30 049 30 052 23 056 29 050 89484 84133 37 031 19 042 23 038 28 042 22 051 84133 79618 24 024 14 039 21 034 20 030 20 054 79618 75681 20 025 16 033 19 045 14 032 19 045 75681 72170 23 030 18 028 17 048 12 029 15 037 72170 68975 20 038 13 033 15 030 16 030 16 047 68975 66020 18 007 15 016 10 037 18 008 19 050 66020 63259 15 359 14 347 19 334 17 343 18 043 63259 60591 30 359 12 014 14 295 16 347 25 008 60591 57846 36 347 24 007 16 016 17 002 31 356 57846 55014 32 330 34 343 23 015 11 000 24 335 55014 52294 20 284 25 299 26 351 17 019 26 001 52294 49835 14 006 23 345 39 360 48 012 47 011 49835 47650 49 006 51 010 49 000 60 006 58 014 47650 45684 72 005 63 013 59 020 67 008 64 020 45684 43885 85 355 76 009 75 017 71 008 67 024 43885 42223 70 347 82 358 80 005 71 009 69 018 42223 40686 64 003 69 346 69 356 71 008 68 007 40686 39261 64 008 59 341 58 351 68 003 64 357 39261 37925 53 006 56 350 55 352 59 356 65 354 37925 36639 44 002 57 357 52 352 53 355 65 353 36639 35342 43 000 60 359 51 352 50 359 63 354 35342 34008 45 356 62 359 54 355 54 001 61 357 34008 32642 48 353 63 358 60 357 58 360 59 001 32642 31232 51 349 63 355 65 356 60 359 58 005 31232 29768 51 341 60 352 66 353 61 360 59 007 29768 28252 50 334 54 350 63 350 62 000 60 008 28252 26685 49 331 50 349 62 349 63 360 59 007 26685 25072 47 335 47 347 60 349 61 358 57 005 25072 23418 45 342 45 344 58 350 56 356 53 002 23418 21717 43 349 43 341 54 350 51 352 48 356 21717 19964 41 354 41 339 47 349 46 349 45 350 19964 18189 38 355 37 337 41 345 42 347 42 346 18189 16484 35 353 34 336 35 337 36 345 39 348 16484 14933 33 345 31 337 31 330 32 344 36 351 14933 13551 31 337 30 339 29 328 29 345 32 355 13551 12315 30 332 29 343 28 331 27 347 29 358 12315 11206 29 331 29 348 28 339 26 350 27 001 11206 10209 28 333 29 352 27 344 25 353 25 003 10209 9317 26 336 28 354 24 347 24 353 24 003 9317 8522 24 338 25 353 16 346 18 352 22 360 8522 7812 19 335 19 349 6 334 8 352 17 356 7812 7171 11 322 12 338 3 246 1 277 10 356 7171 6600 6 285 7 288 6 252 2 237 3 333 6600 6122 5 271 10 255 5 252 1 256 2 279 6122 5755 5 271 11 253 2 185 1 264 3 283 5755 5502 4 285 9 254 3 129 1 269 3 286 5502 5349 3*010 4*248 3 124 2 290 3*283 5349 5261 3*015 2*213 3*125 2*293 3*280 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography