DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 76.3 - - 73.3 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 229 - - -21 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1117 - - 4820 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5476 - - 8275 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6178 - - 9881 - - 5264 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 422 - - 6937 - - 11826 - - 77 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 251 - - 435 - - 8 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 18 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 240 - - 246 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -6 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6810 - - -6434 - - -10453 - - -7386 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12988 - - 16315 - - 15718 - - 12649 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11534 - - -8515 - - -12444 - - -12185 ODpotential blCL - - - 17712 - - 18396 - - 17708 - - 17448 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 49 - - 80 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.2 - - 76.3 - - 73.3 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.9 - - 22.3 - - 22.3 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 74.4 - - 73.8 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.8 - - 22.2 - - 22.2 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 189 - - 229 - - -21 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1117 - - 4820 - - 203 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97701 13 006 14 017 13 348 17 011 97701 90507 5 330 13 002 10 349 12 019 90507 84871 5 051 6 331 6 004 8 343 84871 80155 7 026 4 308 9 319 12 326 80155 76081 10 007 3 343 10 306 13 322 76081 72482 20 341 11 360 7 344 12 297 72482 69231 24 326 18 332 13 355 10 309 69231 66245 24 310 21 321 21 327 10 337 66245 63465 26 301 24 302 30 308 15 307 63465 60772 31 294 31 289 39 298 21 323 60772 57972 33 291 35 287 41 290 27 331 57972 55081 39 290 42 291 43 293 40 301 55081 52338 46 281 45 287 46 292 40 296 52338 49866 48 277 46 284 46 287 40 289 49866 47641 49 277 46 285 45 283 37 286 47641 45613 49 276 47 283 46 283 38 286 45613 43755 46 270 46 275 49 283 45 282 43755 42050 41 269 45 265 49 278 51 276 42050 40478 36 273 40 259 48 268 47 270 40478 39015 32 266 35 257 44 260 44 268 39015 37645 33 253 32 259 39 261 41 263 37645 36335 32 240 30 262 38 267 37 260 36335 35027 32 227 31 260 38 269 36 267 35027 33689 30 224 32 257 35 266 36 272 33689 32322 31 222 31 254 33 264 34 272 32322 30914 32 218 31 253 31 265 30 270 30914 29456 32 217 33 253 31 264 27 272 29456 27950 30 218 34 254 32 259 25 273 27950 26399 28 219 34 252 31 256 25 269 26399 24811 26 218 32 246 31 256 32 265 24811 23195 25 217 29 246 32 255 36 256 23195 21546 26 221 29 251 32 252 37 251 21546 19854 27 233 31 253 34 249 38 244 19854 18143 29 244 33 251 37 242 40 236 18143 16497 26 247 33 249 37 239 40 238 16497 14993 22 243 32 249 33 242 38 243 14993 13645 23 244 31 249 31 247 36 248 13645 12432 25 244 30 249 29 253 33 253 12432 11337 25 241 28 250 27 256 30 257 11337 10346 24 239 25*249 24 255 28 264 10346 9453 22 240 22*247 23 253 27 272 9453 8650 19 240 19 242 22 251 27 278 8650 7928 16 235 19 241 22 250 26 281 7928 7271 16 224 18 239 22 249 25 282 7271 6679 12*212 18 238 21 248 22 282 6679 6179 5*175 17 238 21 248 20 281 6179 5791 4 136 17 237 20 248 16 278 5791 5521 3 130 16 236 18 247 12 266 5521 5357 3 126 15 236 16*246 9*253 5357 5263 3 125 13 236 11*246 6*243 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography