DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 78.6 - - 77.3 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 341 - - 65 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2232 - - 5802 - - 5213 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6423 - - 9216 - - 7657 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7293 - - 10863 - - 10274 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1492 - - 1987 - - 3825 - - 3255 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 368 - - 527 - - 293 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 22 - - 26 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 256 - - 257 - - 246 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -9 - - -16 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7562 - - -5738 - - -4532 - - -6880 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14856 - - 16602 - - 14807 - - 12145 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13897 - - -9527 - - -7575 - - -10648 ODpotential blCL - - - 21190 - - 20390 - - 17849 - - 15912 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 89 - - 89 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 71.0 - - 78.6 - - 77.3 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.3 - - 23.7 - - 30.4 - - 35.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 76.4 - - 76.5 - - 71.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.2 - - 23.5 - - 30.3 - - 35.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 303 - - 341 - - 65 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2232 - - 5802 - - 5213 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 55 - - 55 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98758 22 273 19 282 14 267 14 287 98758 91341 12 263 16 276 15 284 17 288 91341 85606 7 207 13 274 13 282 13 310 85606 80838 2 017 5 271 11 279 8 307 80838 76729 6 001 2 055 7 290 5 284 76729 73095 7 324 5 015 7 292 9 332 73095 69807 9 300 10 317 9 299 10 320 69807 66788 8 304 11 309 15 308 16 315 66788 63995 16 310 15 306 16 304 20 312 63995 61292 27 290 24 297 17 307 14 313 61292 58488 30 285 36 283 34 287 31 290 58488 55611 33 285 41 274 45 284 42 285 55611 52890 40 286 44 279 46 281 48 282 52890 50449 49 283 51 284 52 282 57 280 50449 48265 53 283 59 286 62 285 62 279 48265 46279 57 285 64 283 66 283 66 279 46279 44458 57 284 63 281 68 281 68 277 44458 42769 55 284 61 280 68 279 68 274 42769 41190 54 283 60 278 67 277 68 272 41190 39706 54 282 61 278 65 275 68 271 39706 38312 54 282 65 278 63 275 69 271 38312 36980 57 282 67 276 64 275 68 271 36980 35645 57 282 63 274 63 273 66 271 35645 34278 53 279 59 272 59 270 62 271 34278 32884 46 274 57 271 57 266 60 268 32884 31448 44 276 51 268 55 265 57 263 31448 29961 41 272 46 265 54 265 53 265 29961 28424 35 257 48 268 53 265 48 269 28424 26844 36 239 51 267 51 264 41 270 26844 25224 34 237 51 260 50 266 34 271 25224 23568 32 236 43 248 47 271 32 274 23568 21870 30 240 35 241 42 275 35 276 21870 20125 28 253 31 255 40 275 36 274 20125 18362 27 265 29 273 33 280 36 272 18362 16670 25 268 29 284 28 293 34 272 16670 15129 24 265 30 289 29 291 31 271 15129 13751 24 262 28 290 28 285 30 271 13751 12515 23 262 26 285 27 274 31 270 12515 11400 22 263 23*272 27 270 33 268 11400 10396 21 264 23*263 27*265 35 268 10396 9491 20 264 23 261 27*263 36 269 9491 8680 19 263 23 257 27 259 36 270 8680 7951 16*257 23 255 27 258 37 271 7951 7287 13*243 23 254 27 257 37 270 7287 6691 10 226 23 253 27 256 36 268 6691 6187 9 224 22 252 26 255 33 262 6187 5796 9 221 22 251 26 255 28 255 5796 5524 8 220 21 251 24 255 22 250 5524 5359 8 219 20 251 22 254 18*248 5359 5264 7 219 17 250 17 253 11*246 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography