DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.8 - - 35.0 - - 43.6 - - 43.2 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -1 - - 83 - - 126 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 1213 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 6274 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 102 - - 696 - - 670 - - 1758 - - 160 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 108 - - 225 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 16 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 066 - - 183 - - 239 - - 173 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -93 - - -1306 - - -2079 - - -2290 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5354 - - 6568 - - 8353 - - 7553 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -9746 - - -7622 - - -6908 - - -7531 - - -6621 ODpotential blCL 15007 - - 12883 - - 13182 - - 12793 - - 11883 blCL maxRH 79 - - 79 - - 83 - - 89 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.8 - - 35.0 - - 43.6 - - 43.2 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.4 - - 25.1 - - 25.9 - - 28.9 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.2 - - 34.0 - - 42.4 - - 44.6 - - 38.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.9 - - 24.6 - - 25.4 - - 28.4 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -1 - - 83 - - 126 - - -2 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 1213 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 17 - - 32 - - 55 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94663 82 287 96 295 88 300 84 299 70 290 94663 87999 49 308 70 304 72 308 67 308 58 300 87999 82766 44 315 53 306 56 305 52 305 49 311 82766 78393 47 315 36 306 46 296 47 295 42 307 78393 74589 47 317 24 296 33 282 38 298 32 305 74589 71188 53 318 16 326 33 301 35 313 30 311 71188 68075 60 310 33 319 48 307 45 322 34 320 68075 65185 50 306 46 311 47 305 47 315 36 311 65185 62488 36 308 41 315 41 316 40 319 36 312 62488 59873 34 322 38 323 49 323 51 325 44 323 59873 57149 44 323 46 319 61 318 70 313 64 312 57149 54322 54 314 62 309 63 312 66 300 69 296 54322 51623 60 302 63 299 57 313 55 308 55 299 51623 49186 50 296 55 305 58 324 54 316 55 315 49186 46988 42 314 66 318 69 321 55 320 65 313 46988 44998 67 316 79 308 76 309 69 313 73 303 44998 43205 71 309 74 302 70 304 77 305 65 304 43205 41585 67 321 67 307 67 309 81 305 61 311 41585 40093 78 329 74 317 80 311 76 303 69 312 40093 38697 84 324 78 318 85 311 71 303 72 308 38697 37382 85 318 81 317 84 312 74 309 70 308 37382 36117 84 314 84 314 81 314 72 314 70 310 36117 34841 86 313 84 313 79 316 70 316 70 312 34841 33528 89 312 81 315 75 313 70 317 68 312 33528 32182 88 311 83 316 71 312 73 317 63 311 32182 30792 84 309 81 317 68 314 75 316 59 310 30792 29350 78 308 75 318 62 316 77 315 60 312 29350 27859 74 313 71 317 61 314 77 315 64 315 27859 26319 72 317 69 314 63 313 76 314 69 314 26319 24735 72 317 66 315 62 317 73 311 67 308 24735 23112 67 318 60 320 61 320 66 308 60 305 23112 21445 55 319 49 324 54 318 58 308 54 308 21445 19725 43 315 37 321 45 317 50 307 50 311 19725 17988 37 309 30 315 36 314 40 307 41 315 17988 16324 32 304 26 313 28 309 34 311 31 316 16324 14810 30 304 23 314 23 305 31 316 24 311 14810 13459 28 304 21 314 19 303 27 315 21 311 13459 12249 26 303 19 313 16 300 22 309 19 312 12249 11162 24 305 17 313 13 294 17 296 16 312 11162 10185 22 311 14 314 10 286 14 283 14 310 10185 9307 20 318 11 315 8 274 13 272 12 303 9307 8522 18 323 9 311 8 263 12 262 11 295 8522 7819 14 321 7 294 8 258 11 256 11 290 7819 7182 9 307 7 277 8 251 10 243 9 287 7182 6612 6 278 6 277 5*218 8 231 7 278 6612 6134 8 269 3 298 3*189 7 229 6 256 6134 5764 5 259 4 052 3 185 6 233 6 240 5764 5507 0 049 5 064 2 179 5 236 5 232 5507 5351 1*025 5*067 2 179 4*238 3*195 5351 5262 1*325 4*066 2 175 3*239 2*173 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography