DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 44.1 - - 36.2 - - 28.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 75 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 201 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 486 - - 1105 - - 840 - - 106 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 88 - - 104 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 058 - - 096 - - 071 - - 352 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2051 - - -4237 - - -1750 - - -798 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7312 - - 9500 - - 7011 - - 6059 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12780 - - -12823 - - -11884 - - -12841 ODpotential blCL - - - 18041 - - 18085 - - 17145 - - 18102 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 44 - - 48 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.6 - - 44.1 - - 36.2 - - 28.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.5 - - 21.5 - - 24.4 - - 21.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 43.1 - - 40.4 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.2 - - 21.2 - - 24.2 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 46 - - 75 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 201 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96724 58 046 69 051 71 049 63 065 96724 89746 47 040 48 048 52 047 48 057 89746 84308 44 051 37 050 37 051 34 049 84308 79741 38 064 23 064 31 054 27 053 79741 75748 32 064 17 074 19 040 19 042 75748 72193 19 027 12 034 13 036 11 021 72193 68976 15 026 11 340 12 005 12 348 68976 66025 14 338 18 319 14 336 16 330 66025 63293 16 351 21 340 16 337 20 323 63293 60653 27 332 32 333 23 326 24 315 60653 57900 29 325 32 322 26 321 31 315 57900 55035 33 314 35 315 36 309 36 312 55035 52296 32 306 32 306 40 302 35 302 52296 49817 31 299 36 295 43 299 34 308 49817 47583 34 292 41 288 45 293 42 304 47583 45551 41 288 44 286 44 289 45 297 45551 43687 47 286 44 286 39 289 41 293 43687 41969 48 281 43 284 36 288 37 288 41969 40381 40 275 42 281 36 282 33 284 40381 38915 30 278 36 272 36 279 32 289 38915 37555 26 291 25 269 34 262 34 282 37555 36259 24 303 16 282 25 252 36 272 36259 34965 26 302 14 305 17 250 33 259 34965 33646 30 286 15 310 17 255 32 259 33646 32301 33 273 22 288 22 261 36 261 32301 30914 33 270 30 276 29 264 39 258 30914 29472 30 273 33 271 33 264 39 257 29472 27981 27 273 30 268 34 263 38 258 27981 26439 26 271 26 267 33 262 38 259 26439 24852 25 269 25 268 31 259 33 260 24852 23222 22 264 24 266 29 258 28 254 23222 21544 22 260 24 260 26 258 26 252 21544 19813 23 248 25 250 24 254 23 258 19813 18059 23 242 26 243 23 251 19 259 18059 16375 24 243 26 242 22 254 16 258 16375 14844 25 241 26 243 20 258 14 264 14844 13479 25 238 26 243 20 261 12 275 13479 12258 24 237 25 242 19 261 12 281 12258 11162 22 235 23 240 18 258 13 284 11162 10178 20 230 19 239 18 253 14 281 10178 9296 18 226 17 237 17 249 14 275 9296 8509 15 223 16 232 16 246 13 267 8509 7806 12 219 13 227 14 246 12 256 7806 7171 11 209 11 218 11 237 11 249 7171 6604 9 195 8 208 9 220 10 234 6604 6127 5 117 3 143 5 164 7 216 6127 5759 9 060 3 102 4 124 1 204 5759 5504 8 057 3 097 4 097 3 037 5504 5350 6*057 3*096 4*077 4*024 5350 5261 5*058 3*096 3*071 3*352 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography