DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 69.4 - - 70.6 - - 59.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 350 - - 76 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2173 - - 5367 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6382 - - 8884 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7234 - - 10428 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1423 - - 2122 - - 8593 - - 274 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 366 - - 518 - - 104 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 29 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 220 - - 232 - - 061 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4504 - - -4229 - - -10280 - - -7697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11739 - - 14658 - - 15544 - - 12960 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9900 - - -7972 - - -13849 - - -13432 ODpotential blCL - - - 17134 - - 18400 - - 19112 - - 18695 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 42 - - 42 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.5 - - 69.4 - - 70.6 - - 59.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.5 - - 23.1 - - 20.4 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 66.8 - - 69.6 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 23.0 - - 20.3 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 305 - - 350 - - 76 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2173 - - 5367 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 64 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98801 18 221 16 261 14 287 5 272 98801 91426 17 249 12 236 12 264 13 225 91426 85687 16 239 16 255 17 248 18 246 85687 80910 15 231 16 253 15 254 13 239 80910 76784 17 248 16 252 15 268 11 269 76784 73139 14 240 16 239 19 264 16 283 73139 69842 9 241 15 243 18 253 15 266 69842 66809 14 274 17 267 16 260 13 263 66809 63996 19 273 20 268 18 275 13 277 63996 61264 24 271 23 264 24 271 20 265 61264 58412 28 261 29 259 31 263 28 259 58412 55466 32 254 32 258 34 263 31 265 55466 52662 34 258 35 260 38 262 37 266 52662 50132 37 261 40 257 43 258 45 260 50132 47861 43 260 46 257 50 258 53 253 47861 45803 50 253 54 257 56 257 58 250 45803 43927 51 248 58 256 60 254 62 251 43927 42203 52 248 61 252 61 252 64 251 42203 40607 50 249 61 250 63 251 64 248 40607 39125 48 250 59 249 64 250 64 247 39125 37749 48 251 59 248 64 249 62 246 37749 36443 47 252 56 246 61 246 59 244 36443 35140 46 252 52 244 59 245 53 241 35140 33810 44 250 47 245 58 245 51 239 33810 32450 41 249 45 246 54 245 49 240 32450 31047 37 249 43 248 50 245 43 244 31047 29593 34 249 41 247 48 247 39 249 29593 28093 34 247 42 245 46 249 37 252 28093 26547 33 246 42 244 44 250 36 250 26547 24959 34 246 41 244 42 250 36 246 24959 23330 33 246 38 244 39 247 36 242 23330 21658 31 246 37 245 37 244 34 244 21658 19937 30 244 36 246 35 243 33 250 19937 18198 28 243 35 246 34 246 34 256 18198 16528 26 243 33 245 33 249 34 253 16528 15008 25 243 30 244 31 249 31 248 15008 13649 23 242 27 242 28 244 25 244 13649 12428 21 240 25 238 22 237 20 232 12428 11327 20 237 20*235 18 234 18 220 11327 10333 18 235 13*228 13 231 16 212 10333 9437 16 232 13 226 12 231 13 206 9437 8634 13 227 10 220 11 231 9 203 8634 7914 10*218 9 219 10 231 5 191 7914 7259 5*201 9 217 9 231 2 139 7259 6672 2 151 8 216 9 232 2 092 6672 6174 2 138 7 214 8 231 2 080 6174 5788 2 127 7 213 8 231 3 073 5788 5520 2 122 7 213 8 232 3 070 5520 5357 2 119 7 212 7 232 4*065 5357 5263 2 118 6 212 7*232 3*061 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography