DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 74.6 - - 76.3 - - 67.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 253 - - 234 - - 101 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2241 - - 6421 - - 203 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6388 - - 9523 - - 5247 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7302 - - 11482 - - 5264 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2452 - - 2899 - - 11515 - - 1655 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 352 - - 482 - - 117 - - 40 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 13 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 136 - - 202 - - 255 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -1 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -844 - - 341 - - -6079 - - -2115 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8146 - - 11142 - - 11344 - - 7380 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3277 - - -814 - - -7218 - - -5516 ODpotential blCL - - - 10579 - - 12296 - - 12482 - - 10780 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 101 - - 90 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 1080 - - 380 - - 520 - - 1120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.7 - - 74.6 - - 76.3 - - 67.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.9 - - 43.9 - - 44.7 - - 53.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.6 - - 72.5 - - 75.0 - - 68.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 43.6 - - 44.2 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 253 - - 234 - - 101 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2241 - - 6421 - - 203 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 103 - - 61 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99615 35 112 21 105 18 085 27 088 99615 92138 18 114 16 094 13 116 17 070 92138 86349 14 117 10 118 11 112 13 096 86349 81531 14 132 11 134 10 104 11 091 81531 77372 8 095 7 141 10 119 6 080 77372 73704 3 129 9 121 5 125 4 078 73704 70388 5 154 6 104 8 153 1 027 70388 67335 6 149 7 167 5 164 0 099 67335 64510 5 278 3 221 3 260 3 319 64510 61790 14 215 10 236 11 229 12 250 61790 58963 16 259 13 254 14 257 16 234 58963 56025 25 234 26 236 20 237 19 220 56025 53212 25 222 21 225 21 244 19 227 53212 50669 28 234 27 249 26 251 21 253 50669 48382 40 241 41 242 39 252 32 257 48382 46312 45 233 50 235 48 247 45 249 46312 44432 44 226 51 238 48 242 50 244 44432 42717 41 232 48 243 44 246 47 243 42717 41142 46 241 47 248 42 253 42 249 41142 39681 47 243 46 251 43 258 41 255 39681 38315 42 248 43 253 44 260 40 258 38315 37005 36 252 43 257 44 260 39 259 37005 35687 32 253 44 260 43 261 38 258 35687 34334 28 251 43 262 39 262 36 257 34334 32952 27 255 38 261 36 261 35 257 32952 31526 29 258 32 254 34 259 34 258 31526 30048 33 260 30 245 32 257 32 260 30048 28522 25 260 26 242 30 253 29 260 28522 26948 18 257 21 245 29 250 28 257 26948 25332 17 258 20 250 29 253 28 255 25332 23675 16 247 19 250 26 253 28 256 23675 21971 14 229 18 253 20 257 28 260 21971 20215 12 231 17 253 20 271 23 262 20215 18441 10 237 17 256 22 269 25 264 18441 16742 5 242 16 252 22 254 24 262 16742 15197 2 304 15 250 21 248 18 254 15197 13812 3 305 12 235 19 245 13 241 13812 12566 4 259 11*231 15 234 12 226 12566 11442 7 248 8*211 12 226 11 214 11442 10426 8 235 8 208 11 226 10 204 10426 9511 6 215 7 206 10 225 8 191 9511 8692 6 201 7 202 8 225 6 169 8692 7958 5*184 7 200 7 228 4 116 7958 7290 5*172 7 199 5 232 6 077 7290 6692 4 141 6 198 5 238 9 060 6692 6187 4 131 6 197 4 244 13 050 6187 5796 4 125 6 195 4 248 15 044 5796 5525 4 119 6 196 3 252 14 042 5525 5359 4 117 5 196 3*253 12*041 5359 5264 3 115 5 195 3*255 8*042 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography