DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/19 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 60.6 - - 62.4 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 179 - - 76 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 202 - - 3619 - - 378 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5246 - - 7254 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5263 - - 8680 - - 5439 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4576 - - 2810 - - 7348 - - 2937 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 134 - - 364 - - 129 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 18 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 138 - - 161 - - 046 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 18 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -882 - - 640 - - -3812 - - -1564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6145 - - 8040 - - 9252 - - 6827 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1762 - - -338 - - -4917 - - -4685 ODpotential blCL - - - 7025 - - 9018 - - 10356 - - 9948 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 97 - - 81 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 630 - - 550 - - 100 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 60.6 - - 62.4 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 43.5 - - 40.1 - - 41.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.7 - - 58.8 - - 61.4 - - 56.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.6 - - 43.3 - - 40.0 - - 41.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 153 - - 179 - - 76 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 202 - - 3619 - - 378 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 75 - - 86 - - 23 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98508 8 007 8 302 12 336 11 300 98508 91190 8 312 7 318 10 293 16 319 91190 85524 11 311 10 317 16 298 19 317 85524 80818 14 297 19 308 20 326 17 325 80818 76767 14 286 18 301 19 324 19 324 76767 73178 12 306 15 290 15 303 16 317 73178 69906 15 305 15 285 20 297 19 316 69906 66889 20 290 19 290 23 291 21 299 66889 64099 17 273 21 284 20 279 21 281 64099 61398 13 266 19 270 18 274 20 280 61398 58578 18 273 19 263 23 279 21 293 58578 55651 18 262 21 264 29 274 22 290 55651 52857 19 263 22 259 28 272 25 279 52857 50341 23 262 21 260 26 270 28 272 50341 48083 24 257 20 257 24 268 28 269 48083 46031 25 249 19 259 23 274 24 273 46031 44148 23 239 18 257 21 276 21 284 44148 42407 19 236 15 258 18 280 18 295 42407 40788 16 246 14 274 16 291 17 311 40788 39272 16 247 12 287 15 299 16 317 39272 37852 15 251 8 306 13 320 29 332 37852 36496 12 252 5 317 18 341 25 336 36496 35153 10 244 5 334 27 002 45 354 35153 33800 7 230 11 006 44 006 56 346 33800 32429 1 298 19 022 49 357 56 345 32429 31017 12 057 21 028 41 005 58 353 31017 29553 16 059 19 031 40 021 59 358 29553 28040 16 058 12 049 45 028 56 001 28040 26485 8 039 7 079 46 029 43 008 26485 24892 6 032 7 098 42 032 33 020 24892 23263 4 038 8 097 34 039 28 029 23263 21591 2 061 8 087 25 046 22 033 21591 19866 2 125 7 072 17 051 17 030 19866 18121 2 168 9 055 16 050 16 035 18121 16446 3 204 11 049 15 044 17 040 16446 14925 2 207 13 043 15 039 15 043 14925 13568 1 076 13 051 12 042 14 051 13568 12354 5 060 13 069 8 043 13 050 12354 11261 6 064 9 080 5 039 13 029 11261 10277 5 071 6 083 3 036 12 017 10277 9392 6 082 5*090 3 038 8 008 9392 8599 5 091 3*117 2 038 6 003 8599 7886 4 101 3 147 2 040 4 001 7886 7238 3 112 4 162 2 042 3 006 7238 6656 3 130 4 167 2 041 3 021 6656 6164 3 133 4 170 2 046 2 034 6164 5782 3 136 4 173 2 045 3 042 5782 5517 3 139 4 173 2*045 3 045 5517 5355 2*138 4 174 2*045 3*037 5355 5263 2*138 4 173 2 046 2*024 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography