DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.8 - - 48.2 - - 54.3 - - 51.7 - - 44.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 71 - - 58 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5263 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 2500 - - 5357 - - 4878 - - 1070 Hgt.Variab. W* 23 - - 108 - - 104 - - 26 - - 9 W* B/S 1 - - 11 - - 5 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 310 - - 319 - - 021 - - 056 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1703 - - -2692 - - -628 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 6965 - - 7954 - - 5892 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -6627 - - -5289 - - -4183 - - -2498 - - -3617 ODpotential blCL 11888 - - 10551 - - 9445 - - 7761 - - 8879 blCL maxRH 63 - - 70 - - 69 - - 85 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 100 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.8 - - 48.2 - - 54.3 - - 51.7 - - 44.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.2 - - 36.1 - - 37.7 - - 44.1 - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.2 - - 47.2 - - 53.5 - - 52.4 - - 48.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.3 - - 34.9 - - 36.5 - - 42.9 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 71 - - 58 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 - - 34 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97341 16 053 3 349 8 311 8 019 11 008 97341 90197 10 075 7 098 6 056 15 040 9 090 90197 84660 9 140 4 100 7 139 4 048 8 103 84660 80059 1 279 4 115 6 209 3 251 5 079 80059 76069 8 313 5 089 4 242 9 276 6 358 76069 72521 13 269 1 263 4 274 9 284 12 297 72521 69319 14 257 7 268 8 246 8 239 16 270 69319 66388 12 259 10 249 13 276 10 268 16 269 66388 63665 13 260 15 273 18 281 14 266 17 271 63665 61010 20 278 16 264 15 271 19 279 23 270 61010 58234 22 278 15 280 21 271 28 275 25 278 58234 55347 18 274 22 281 21 267 26 271 26 279 55347 52577 16 279 18 275 17 271 24 275 22 271 52577 50069 16 284 15 287 21 289 25 291 25 296 50069 47812 16 288 20 298 24 294 30 296 32 298 47812 45759 16 289 23 297 24 299 31 295 31 290 45759 43867 18 294 20 293 24 303 31 296 25 284 43867 42109 15 313 14 318 23 312 30 305 22 297 42109 40479 14 334 15 334 21 320 27 314 23 322 40479 38973 18 001 17 348 17 327 24 319 21 340 38973 37584 28 007 19 001 16 336 24 321 24 334 37584 36271 36 005 26 007 20 348 23 325 27 334 36271 34967 36 004 31 009 25 351 24 336 25 338 34967 33641 34 011 35 009 27 353 29 346 19 338 33641 32291 40 015 39 011 27 357 26 345 21 347 32291 30899 43 015 41 014 28 003 22 348 23 354 30899 29454 41 016 40 014 29 007 24 355 24 359 29454 27959 37 020 40 014 30 009 27 000 24 001 27959 26415 37 021 36 019 29 016 28 007 23 009 26415 24825 38 018 32 019 26 018 25 015 22 018 24825 23193 38 019 30 017 25 014 23 014 20 022 23193 21512 35 025 30 019 22 017 21 011 22 021 21512 19778 31 030 28 026 21 024 20 009 27 019 19778 18026 26 029 26 031 20 027 22 009 31 020 18026 16351 20 031 23 035 19 030 27 004 32 023 16351 14834 17 036 19 035 19 027 29 006 29 026 14834 13482 16 039 17 034 19 020 27 015 26 029 13482 12273 16 039 16 030 22 013 25 023 24 033 12273 11187 16 036 17 025 22 010 23 025 23 035 11187 10210 16 033 17 021 20 010 20 026 22 036 10210 9333 15 036 17 019 17 008 17 026 21 035 9333 8548 13 042 15 020 14 007 15 028 20 035 8548 7844 12 047 13 021 10 006 13 031 18 034 7844 7205 10 049 10 018 7 008 12 035 15 031 7205 6631 8 047 7 012 6 012 10 040 12 026 6631 6148 7 040 4 354 5 014 9 046 10 027 6148 5772 5 018 2 329 4 017 8 051 8 032 5772 5512 5 337 2 322 4 019 7 055 5 028 5512 5353 6 316 2*320 4 021 5*057 3 008 5353 5262 5*310 2*319 3*021 3*056 2*327 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography