DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.2 - - 35.5 - - 40.2 - - 39.0 - - 36.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -18 - - -3 - - 3 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 283 - - 575 - - 932 - - 1464 - - 927 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 16 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 245 - - 247 - - 213 - - 121 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -5480 - - -3732 - - -2918 - - -531 - - -849 ODpotential blCL 10741 - - 8993 - - 8179 - - 5792 - - 6110 blCL maxRH 96 - - 99 - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.2 - - 35.5 - - 40.2 - - 39.0 - - 36.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.5 - - 34.7 - - 38.0 - - 38.7 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.2 - - 35.7 - - 39.9 - - 39.7 - - 36.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 34.7 - - 37.6 - - 39.3 - - 36.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -18 - - -3 - - 3 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 96 - - 88 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95643 38 345 22 340 21 333 28 346 33 300 95643 88803 19 360 15 006 15 329 20 330 24 341 88803 83438 15 005 13 008 12 343 14 310 21 339 83438 78912 15 350 10 354 14 352 11 308 10 329 78912 74979 13 331 6 329 9 326 13 306 14 314 74979 71487 9 317 7 294 9 304 10 307 11 300 71487 68312 10 301 12 292 12 314 11 316 10 298 68312 65375 14 276 14 290 17 300 17 306 11 303 65375 62640 16 287 20 277 20 287 17 296 14 294 62640 59988 20 297 22 263 28 278 19 285 14 268 59988 57219 26 287 24 265 24 276 24 288 19 288 57219 54335 28 278 28 275 29 284 34 281 29 288 54335 51578 30 282 30 284 41 278 36 275 41 275 51578 49098 35 281 35 282 39 273 41 274 43 274 49098 46876 37 279 38 275 36 271 51 272 43 276 46876 44859 38 278 35 272 37 272 48 269 48 277 44859 43020 37 277 33 272 43 272 42 273 49 275 43020 41342 36 274 37 273 41 276 48 281 52 279 41342 39799 33 268 41 277 37 290 60 283 66 281 39799 38369 29 274 44 288 51 297 69 285 75 276 38369 37040 34 283 47 296 61 290 74 287 70 279 37040 35770 35 277 46 295 65 286 75 287 66 283 35770 34496 32 260 44 292 63 287 71 288 63 281 34496 33187 28 223 44 290 62 291 67 290 61 280 33187 31847 19 238 40 285 62 296 62 292 56 282 31847 30465 15 244 36 278 62 297 56 293 50 283 30465 29034 18 256 33 271 58 295 52 294 44 282 29034 27558 21 271 33 274 53 296 47 295 40 281 27558 26039 19 286 33 278 48 295 44 294 38 282 26039 24477 25 300 30 282 43 290 41 292 37 282 24477 22873 31 310 28 284 38 283 36 292 35 282 22873 21223 33 312 28 283 36 281 33 292 31 280 21223 19523 33 310 28 283 34 281 31 289 29 277 19523 17806 34 307 25 285 29 279 29 289 27 278 17806 16162 32 307 24 286 24 277 26 287 25 282 16162 14669 28 310 23 286 23 267 23 278 21 284 14669 13338 25 316 22 285 24 266 23 264 17 282 13338 12148 23 325 20 288 22 275 21 263 15 276 12148 11080 22 333 17 292 19 284 18 268 14 267 11080 10119 23 338 15 299 16 289 14 272 12 255 10119 9256 22 341 13 306 13 290 11 270 12 250 9256 8484 21 341 11 311 10 289 9 267 12 248 8484 7790 18 339 9 307 9 284 10 268 12 247 7790 7161 14 333 7 283 10 277 13 264 12 245 7161 6599 8 306 11 262 15 268 15 256 11 243 6599 6126 10 261 18 260 18 256 15 248 11 234 6126 5760 16 252 19 255 16 251 13 243 9 224 5760 5506 16 249 15 248 14 250 10 236 6 212 5506 5350 13*246 12*246 12 249 7 229 3 175 5350 5261 8*244 8*245 8*247 3*213 2*121 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography