DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/14 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.5 - - 26.7 - - 35.8 - - 31.8 - - 26.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 10 - - 32 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 109 - - 233 - - 672 - - 483 - - 396 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 54 - - 80 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 012 - - 069 - - 198 - - 214 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -193 - - -30 - - -914 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5454 - - 5291 - - 6176 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -15243 - - -13110 - - -11555 - - -11240 - - -12371 ODpotential blCL 20503 - - 18370 - - 16816 - - 16501 - - 17632 blCL maxRH 74 - - 81 - - 70 - - 72 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.5 - - 26.7 - - 35.8 - - 31.8 - - 26.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.0 - - 22.6 - - 27.7 - - 28.5 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.2 - - 26.2 - - 35.5 - - 34.8 - - 30.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.3 - - 22.1 - - 26.8 - - 28.8 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 10 - - 32 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 22 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96415 32 081 11 057 28 040 32 048 28 064 96415 89549 21 083 19 085 16 059 19 059 26 066 89549 84160 11 079 21 094 9 095 12 085 25 063 84160 79623 11 087 20 081 12 126 10 085 18 054 79623 75673 19 062 17 075 13 103 13 079 14 053 75673 72148 18 062 17 061 14 079 13 062 11 066 72148 68936 18 054 11 055 15 073 11 032 14 052 68936 65977 19 043 14 042 14 059 7 045 12 021 65977 63235 16 035 9 041 9 016 10 328 6 342 63235 60602 9 063 7 103 4 055 9 261 15 337 60602 57892 10 014 13 004 16 357 18 331 20 328 57892 55093 26 013 19 010 14 340 24 346 31 349 55093 52422 41 358 31 003 28 354 38 346 38 330 52422 50022 42 360 39 351 32 348 32 345 32 325 50022 47859 47 005 39 355 32 348 28 343 26 322 47859 45876 49 007 40 357 30 341 27 332 26 321 45876 44042 48 010 40 001 28 343 28 318 28 317 44042 42345 46 011 41 005 29 341 31 308 31 300 42345 40766 39 007 39 360 27 335 37 308 36 298 40766 39293 32 351 34 348 33 319 48 312 48 309 39293 37925 31 329 35 325 43 319 59 312 60 314 37925 36625 34 330 39 317 49 322 61 310 70 313 36625 35319 38 333 44 322 52 324 59 309 72 311 35319 33978 38 331 48 330 54 325 58 309 71 311 33978 32608 37 329 50 336 51 326 60 310 68 312 32608 31199 40 336 49 336 47 326 57 312 63 313 31199 29742 46 343 47 333 45 325 50 310 59 312 29742 28238 48 347 47 334 44 330 45 310 55 309 28238 26683 47 351 45 340 42 338 45 321 53 310 26683 25079 46 353 42 349 36 344 43 330 49 316 25079 23429 43 354 36 356 30 345 38 333 43 320 23429 21730 40 352 31 351 27 339 34 334 38 318 21730 19975 39 351 29 341 29 334 32 335 36 317 19975 18196 36 355 28 341 31 335 32 338 33 321 18196 16488 33 360 26 348 29 341 29 340 30 327 16488 14935 30 001 24 351 26 346 25 339 26 330 14935 13551 28 001 21 349 23 348 22 340 23 329 13551 12314 25 002 18 346 20 346 20 343 20 326 12314 11203 22 002 16 345 17 341 17 344 17 325 11203 10206 18 000 13 346 14 335 12 338 15 326 10206 9313 14 356 11 346 10 323 8 320 13 324 9313 8516 9 345 9 338 8 298 8 289 12 314 8516 7804 5 321 6 313 9 271 10 269 11 295 7804 7161 4 297 6 270 11 259 10 263 11 280 7161 6592 2 307 8 250 11 250 8 258 10 267 6592 6117 2 034 8 244 8 233 5 231 4 241 6117 5753 3 062 4 233 6 209 4 209 3 173 5753 5502 3 069 1 159 4 199 3 207 2 137 5502 5349 3 042 1 073 3*195 2*212 1*068 5349 5261 2*012 1*069 2*198 1*214 2*030 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography