DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 23.8 - - 34.3 - - 30.6 - - 24.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 62 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5243 - - 5245 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 390 - - 694 - - 308 - - 78 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 89 - - 99 - - 17 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 268 - - 234 - - 246 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - -855 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5260 - - 6116 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10475 - - -8340 - - -7053 - - -9447 ODpotential blCL - - - 15735 - - 13601 - - 12314 - - 14708 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 72 - - 80 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 23.8 - - 34.3 - - 30.6 - - 24.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.3 - - 26.4 - - 27.1 - - 20.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 23.0 - - 33.6 - - 31.8 - - 26.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.3 - - 25.5 - - 27.3 - - 21.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 62 - - -5 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 0 - - 21 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96656 34 057 41 054 44 071 42 062 96656 89718 29 070 42 067 43 073 44 071 89718 84251 27 072 28 077 36 071 41 072 84251 79645 20 075 20 068 31 056 37 078 79645 75636 24 063 15 058 21 041 31 060 75636 72064 16 038 15 054 14 038 16 054 72064 68815 9 022 14 046 21 041 12 044 68815 65807 5 356 4 068 14 047 15 042 65807 62981 22 355 0 004 7 006 13 131 62981 60260 35 333 35 327 37 331 32 327 60260 57502 36 309 44 318 40 326 36 319 57502 54647 37 310 44 317 41 322 34 318 54647 51878 45 321 49 319 45 315 43 323 51878 49356 56 320 58 315 54 316 54 326 49356 47084 62 312 62 310 65 319 62 328 47084 45029 65 307 69 311 74 322 71 331 45029 43167 71 309 78 315 80 325 79 333 43167 41477 82 313 86 318 87 327 80 332 41477 39924 91 315 89 321 89 325 76 329 39924 38480 94 316 89 323 85 325 70 336 38480 37132 95 318 85 324 81 327 76 347 37132 35850 90 320 80 328 75 335 83 350 35850 34573 90 324 79 328 76 343 87 349 34573 33268 94 322 75 328 81 350 88 348 33268 31936 92 319 71 331 85 353 84 348 31936 30561 84 319 68 336 82 354 78 350 30561 29135 74 322 67 343 75 352 75 351 29135 27660 68 327 67 344 68 348 73 349 27660 26140 65 332 66 341 66 343 69 345 26140 24576 64 334 63 338 65 340 64 342 24576 22971 61 336 61 339 63 338 60 340 22971 21318 55 338 58 342 61 338 57 341 21318 19613 47 341 54 344 58 340 55 343 19613 17887 41 345 49 345 54 343 52 345 17887 16231 37 350 43 345 49 347 50 349 16231 14725 34 356 38 347 44 350 47 352 14725 13384 30 003 34 351 40 353 44 356 13384 12184 27 010 29 356 36 356 41 359 12184 11106 26 012 25 001 33 357 38 001 11106 10138 24 012 21 004 30 358 36 002 10138 9270 23 008 18 004 25 357 32 001 9270 8494 20 004 15 358 20 353 28 359 8494 7798 16 359 11 347 15 345 23 357 7798 7168 12 356 8 327 12 334 17 354 7168 6602 10 005 5 313 11 325 11 350 6602 6126 6 003 4 252 9 306 7 343 6126 5756 3 330 5 235 11 269 7 306 5756 5502 3 276 5 232 11 255 11 275 5502 5348 3*272 4*232 8*249 8*260 5348 5261 2*268 4*234 6*246 4*245 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography