DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.1 - - 45.0 - - 47.6 - - 43.3 - - 38.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -20 - - 73 - - 82 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 1206 - - 2123 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5718 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 6267 - - 7184 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 290 - - 1298 - - 2122 - - 2748 - - 216 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 193 - - 239 - - 0 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 16 - - 14 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 247 - - 243 - - 222 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -7 - - -6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1005 - - 1178 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 5262 - - 6006 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -3923 - - -967 - - -23 - - -1667 - - -2299 ODpotential blCL 9185 - - 7234 - - 7207 - - 6929 - - 7561 blCL maxRH 93 - - 92 - - 93 - - 97 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.1 - - 45.0 - - 47.6 - - 43.3 - - 38.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.6 - - 40.2 - - 39.3 - - 39.2 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 44.1 - - 46.6 - - 44.7 - - 41.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.4 - - 39.4 - - 38.7 - - 39.0 - - 38.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -20 - - 73 - - 82 - - -10 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 1206 - - 2123 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 73 - - 69 - - 73 - - 87 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 15 069 13 014 18 033 19 060 5 080 96497 89452 15 051 9 069 13 075 14 060 12 058 89452 83960 11 058 12 097 9 081 7 053 13 053 83960 79368 13 061 14 075 6 092 4 358 13 051 79368 75402 13 073 12 061 7 080 2 051 11 046 75402 71883 9 070 9 046 6 090 6 078 13 043 71883 68667 6 013 5 075 2 164 3 084 9 012 68667 65690 11 306 4 096 4 203 2 256 7 319 65690 62922 14 262 2 269 3 267 4 272 5 282 62922 60236 12 239 14 257 7 282 7 287 5 237 60236 57420 11 226 18 250 11 256 10 268 7 259 57420 54476 13 226 15 243 14 243 12 243 12 257 54476 51659 11 223 14 247 15 247 10 236 12 241 51659 49130 11 234 16 252 17 253 14 258 11 245 49130 46878 13 216 19 242 19 247 18 255 13 247 46878 44843 5 239 17 222 18 235 14 241 15 227 44843 42983 7 269 13 218 13 231 9 215 13 201 42983 41264 6 269 14 222 21 242 11 234 10 209 41264 39682 14 244 19 222 24 230 18 233 14 225 39682 38234 13 127 12 198 15 211 17 224 18 232 38234 36898 15 260 7 271 10 210 15 213 25 210 36898 35624 19 251 16 282 12 227 20 195 28 190 35624 34349 14 216 19 268 11 224 21 188 29 178 34349 33042 18 183 24 244 16 224 20 185 26 173 33042 31707 18 180 25 226 24 219 20 192 25 170 31707 30331 12 189 21 223 26 207 25 186 29 178 30331 28908 9 218 20 211 24 202 29 185 26 189 28908 27442 6 208 20 192 25 204 29 193 19 196 27442 25933 6 107 17 188 23 205 24 204 17 215 25933 24384 9 090 15 187 20 207 19 216 17 223 24384 22796 9 086 14 184 16 214 15 226 19 218 22796 21163 9 100 15 185 16 219 14 239 21 217 21163 19479 7 130 15 184 16 216 15 249 13 231 19479 17776 4 146 13 187 14 214 14 245 10 252 17776 16142 4 186 8 181 10 224 10 228 8 250 16142 14658 7 248 5 194 5 258 8 219 5 234 14658 13336 10 280 6 257 2 340 5 219 1 172 13336 12153 12 294 8 278 2 014 4 244 3 106 12153 11089 12 295 6 285 0 197 4 244 2 164 11089 10133 13 292 5 305 1 227 4 229 5 234 10133 9272 15 286 6 322 2 255 4 225 7 246 9272 8501 17 278 7 311 6 253 6 234 9 244 8501 7808 19 270 10 287 11*251 9 237 10 230 7808 7179 21 264 14 269 14*246 11 237 11 216 7179 6615 22 261 17*256 14 244 11 236 11 213 6615 6137 23 260 17*249 15 243 11 234 10 214 6137 5766 21 258 17 247 14 242 11 232 9 216 5766 5509 16 245 16 246 14 241 10 229 7 216 5509 5352 13*238 15 245 13 241 8*226 5*210 5352 5262 7*232 11 244 11 240 5*222 4*206 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography