DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/08 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.6 - - 45.4 - - 51.1 - - 51.4 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 97 - - 184 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 882 - - 2549 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 6481 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5943 - - 7610 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 172 - - 1114 - - 2068 - - 4967 - - 176 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 185 - - 326 - - 19 - - 13 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 13 - - 19 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 235 - - 232 - - 229 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -10 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -919 - - -2294 - - -2504 - - -5674 - - -3093 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6180 - - 8237 - - 10115 - - 10937 - - 8355 sfcLCL ODpotential -7895 - - -6471 - - -5967 - - -9413 - - -9113 ODpotential blCL 13156 - - 12414 - - 13577 - - 14675 - - 14375 blCL maxRH 87 - - 100 - - 84 - - 86 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.6 - - 45.4 - - 51.1 - - 51.4 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.3 - - 27.9 - - 25.2 - - 22.0 - - 23.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.5 - - 44.3 - - 49.6 - - 51.4 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 27.7 - - 25.0 - - 21.8 - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 97 - - 184 - - -4 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 882 - - 2549 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 48 - - 101 - - 34 - - 43 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96874 14 035 12 042 13 069 13 051 20 024 96874 89851 18 059 18 086 19 086 21 082 18 062 89851 84345 15 078 16 097 17 092 17 080 16 074 84345 79732 15 070 14 102 10 076 12 085 15 063 79732 75717 6 074 11 098 5 056 5 028 4 062 75717 72140 5 007 9 075 1 126 4 300 6 021 72140 68876 8 338 6 008 6 006 4 268 9 328 68876 65885 12 303 16 272 17 287 11 293 15 305 65885 63129 14 281 14 268 17 285 15 310 15 316 63129 60462 14 285 22 297 22 290 22 296 23 290 60462 57691 21 284 27 286 26 283 22 284 22 279 57691 54809 26 283 29 274 26 276 25 286 21 291 54809 52017 28 293 30 273 29 280 32 281 31 279 52017 49476 37 290 33 280 38 276 45 277 43 273 49476 47201 40 278 38 279 42 267 52 270 51 266 47201 45143 34 277 39 286 38 272 51 270 49 263 45143 43271 53 285 56 294 52 287 59 285 65 283 43271 41575 54 282 68 282 75 281 76 283 92 283 41575 40031 62 311 54 283 70 277 78 282 93 277 40031 38604 109 317 85 310 74 299 73 293 91 280 38604 37274 120 313 108 310 95 305 81 297 92 282 37274 36003 107 306 96 306 85 300 73 291 87 279 36003 34726 94 301 83 301 71 291 62 282 82 275 34726 33415 84 297 79 296 66 281 60 273 80 268 33415 32072 79 294 75 292 68 273 65 267 79 262 32072 30686 72 286 71 284 74 273 70 265 81 262 30686 29245 70 279 68 279 77 276 74 267 84 267 29245 27753 70 277 67 279 74 281 76 271 86 272 27753 26214 66 279 65 280 69 285 75 274 81 275 26214 24634 59 279 60 282 64 286 72 276 70 275 24634 23020 54 280 55 281 60 284 67 276 61 271 23020 21364 53 281 51 280 56 281 62 275 57 266 21364 19659 52 284 49 279 52 277 56 272 57 262 19659 17937 48 285 47 277 49 274 51 265 56 262 17937 16285 41 280 44 272 49 271 49 260 54 262 16285 14783 35 263 40 266 47 268 49 258 52 260 14783 13444 31 249 35 255 43 261 47 255 50 258 13444 12244 27 241 32 245 40 253 43 251 48 256 12244 11165 25 238 31 239 39 248 39 248 45 254 11165 10195 26 238 31 237 37 245 34 243 43 251 10195 9322 26 239 31 237 33 242 30 238 42 248 9322 8540 26 241 29 236 30 239 27 234 40 246 8540 7837 26 242 27 235 25*235 23 231 38 244 7837 7199 24 245 25 238 21*233 20 230 34 242 7199 6627 23 250 22 242 20 232 19 229 28 240 6627 6144 20 249 18*240 20 232 18 229 23 238 6144 5769 18 244 14*235 19 231 17 229 18 236 5769 5510 16 236 13 235 18 231 16 229 13 228 5510 5352 11 226 12 234 17 231 14*229 8*210 5352 5262 5*222 10 233 14 231 10*229 5*195 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography