DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.9 - - 27.3 - - 32.7 - - 35.1 - - 25.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 52 - - 141 - - -9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 200 - - 810 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5261 - - 5871 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 123 - - 607 - - 1065 - - 2681 - - 98 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 92 - - 204 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 11 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 016 - - 018 - - 260 - - 249 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -5 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -536 - - -2943 - - 342 - - -566 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5796 - - 8205 - - 5529 - - 5827 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -10247 - - -9790 - - -1652 - - -2627 - - -3617 ODpotential blCL 15507 - - 15051 - - 7523 - - 7888 - - 8878 blCL maxRH 89 - - 94 - - 97 - - 85 - - 81 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.9 - - 27.3 - - 32.7 - - 35.1 - - 25.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.7 - - 10.5 - - 27.2 - - 28.4 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 20.2 - - 26.6 - - 31.4 - - 35.9 - - 27.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.8 - - 10.1 - - 27.1 - - 28.2 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 52 - - 141 - - -9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 200 - - 810 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 77 - - 86 - - 40 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94842 97 309 104 306 93 298 93 300 86 300 94842 88057 95 316 88 316 86 315 90 311 78 308 88057 82740 91 321 80 316 82 315 84 314 76 311 82740 78289 86 326 70 317 78 310 76 316 71 315 78289 74424 80 326 61 320 66 310 68 318 65 319 74424 70980 70 323 55 321 56 316 63 320 58 319 70980 67856 62 319 53 313 57 317 63 315 54 319 67856 64983 55 314 53 315 55 314 57 306 52 316 64983 62309 51 310 58 308 51 316 51 306 49 309 62309 59700 49 299 58 298 54 314 50 310 49 303 59700 56956 49 294 47 290 50 302 50 309 51 299 56956 54089 49 296 46 291 45 299 48 305 48 302 54089 51336 52 289 53 288 49 296 45 302 46 305 51336 48838 50 281 56 285 51 293 46 303 46 306 48838 46581 48 274 54 281 52 290 47 303 51 300 46581 44532 51 262 50 277 51 287 49 302 55 294 44532 42662 48 258 47 278 47 284 50 301 50 296 42662 40937 47 254 45 274 45 282 50 301 50 306 40937 39335 51 244 41 263 45 282 53 305 57 311 39335 37850 59 236 41 257 42 285 53 309 62 311 37850 36488 67 230 44 255 40 291 52 314 64 315 36488 35221 70 222 46 248 42 296 56 319 66 320 35221 33966 68 218 51 238 40 296 61 321 68 327 33966 32680 67 222 55 225 37 291 68 326 70 333 32680 31365 68 226 55 216 35 281 76 332 70 338 31365 30012 66 228 55 212 26 259 81 336 71 342 30012 28612 63 227 50 207 27 249 83 339 72 344 28612 27165 58 226 40 210 26 234 74 340 71 343 27165 25673 49 226 35 225 24 244 48 329 69 343 25673 24137 42 230 30 235 29 256 32 306 67 345 24137 22562 40 234 27 247 27 267 28 300 59 344 22562 20947 38 239 27 256 23 279 28 307 47 336 20947 19287 35 246 26 263 20 295 31 314 39 329 19287 17610 32 252 24 267 20 303 33 316 30 329 17610 16002 32 252 21 272 20 307 31 316 25 326 16002 14537 28 243 19 270 20 313 26 318 24 327 14537 13228 23 248 20 256 19 321 22 326 22 334 13228 12056 20 261 18 238 17 330 22 336 21 342 12056 11002 18 267 13 219 16 335 23 340 20 348 11002 10055 18 263 2 188 15 336 22 341 19 354 10055 9204 17 257 6 015 14 336 20 341 19 357 9204 8443 15 260 8 355 13 333 18 340 19 357 8443 7761 12 258 8 328 11 327 14 336 18 354 7761 7142 9 244 10 301 9 314 12 325 17 350 7142 6587 5 224 9 285 9 286 10 301 14 344 6587 6117 5 063 3 293 11*266 10 279 12 331 6117 5753 11 053 3 021 12*262 10 269 11 305 5753 5501 12 045 3 025 11 261 9 261 11 278 5501 5348 8*033 2*019 10 259 7*255 10*272 5348 5261 4*016 2*018 9 259 5*249 6*271 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography