DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 73.9 - - 73.5 - - 65.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 440 - - 147 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7297 - - 11459 - - 9878 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10500 - - 13932 - - 11910 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12358 - - 16520 - - 14939 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2328 - - 2236 - - 3744 - - 4833 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 608 - - 723 - - 479 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 17 - - 19 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 276 - - 268 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -16 - - -7 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3067 - - 1001 - - -215 - - -8319 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15426 - - 15520 - - 15155 - - 13582 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6007 - - -127 - - -1648 - - -11368 ODpotential blCL - - - 18365 - - 16647 - - 16587 - - 16631 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 79 - - 79 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.4 - - 73.9 - - 73.5 - - 65.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 23.3 - - 24.8 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 71.0 - - 72.1 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.7 - - 22.7 - - 24.3 - - 24.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 440 - - 147 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7297 - - 11459 - - 9878 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 17 - - 15 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98448 15 124 12 108 9 107 7 081 98448 90992 9 108 9 112 5 135 10 058 90992 85252 9 128 3 225 6 086 5 113 85252 80476 8 138 5 216 2 112 6 118 80476 76359 6 121 8 213 4 167 3 203 76359 72716 5 142 14 219 7 228 5 205 72716 69403 4 214 10 192 10 215 7 232 69403 66353 5 227 11 179 9 214 7 223 66353 63526 11 253 9 194 10 230 8 239 63526 60786 10 240 15 230 14 248 14 248 60786 57922 7 235 13 232 13 262 16 242 57922 54959 10 300 8 246 15 269 16 265 54959 52157 15 296 13 289 17 271 20 285 52157 49653 13 304 18 281 22 274 23 290 49653 47423 23 310 20 294 25 287 32 287 47423 45418 38 310 33 302 38 297 38 287 45418 43601 46 309 48 300 50 299 51 292 43601 41938 51 312 54 299 60 301 61 294 41938 40395 56 311 56 300 61 301 61 295 40395 38954 55 308 54 298 59 295 57 294 38954 37605 52 307 52 299 58 294 54 290 37605 36315 50 307 50 299 57 295 52 290 36315 35019 49 305 47 300 53 296 50 292 35019 33690 47 305 45 300 50 295 47 292 33690 32333 46 307 42 300 46 294 44 292 32333 30935 44 309 41 300 42 293 41 291 30935 29486 41 310 40 298 39 295 38 289 29486 27992 38 310 39 297 37 296 36 288 27992 26454 34 305 36 296 36 293 35 287 26454 24874 31 299 33 291 35 287 34 286 24874 23258 27 286 31 286 33 284 32 287 23258 21600 23 276 31 289 31 286 30 288 21600 19896 22 280 29 295 27 292 29 283 19896 18174 23 289 24*300 21 297 31 277 18174 16518 23 296 20*298 19 294 32 271 16518 15006 20 300 18 290 18*286 30 273 15006 13652 17*300 18 287 18*275 27 275 13652 12435 13*287 17 283 19 272 23 277 12435 11337 11 278 17 276 19 270 21 280 11337 10344 11 275 18 272 19 269 19 282 10344 9450 10 272 18 270 20 267 18 283 9450 8648 9 269 18 267 20 267 17 284 8648 7926 9 266 18 266 20 266 17 284 7926 7269 8 263 18 264 19 265 17 284 7269 6679 8 260 18 263 19 265 16 283 6679 6180 7 259 17 263 19 265 15 282 6180 5791 7 257 17 262 18 265 14 281 5791 5522 7 256 16 262 18 264 12 278 5522 5358 7 256 16 262 17 265 9*275 5358 5263 6 255 14 261 14 265 5*269 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography