DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/08 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.9 - - 48.5 - - 56.9 - - 56.6 - - 44.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -15 - - 180 - - 311 - - 71 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1428 - - 4312 - - 4307 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5693 - - 8015 - - 7117 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6489 - - 9373 - - 9368 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 332 - - 968 - - 1633 - - 2506 - - 245 Hgt.Variab. W* 15 - - 271 - - 464 - - 284 - - 12 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 23 - - 25 - - 25 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 238 - - 247 - - 263 - - 267 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -10 - - -9 - - -8 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -98 - - -603 - - -1775 - - -3446 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 6588 - - 9977 - - 11144 - - 8708 sfcLCL ODpotential -7335 - - -4794 - - -3847 - - -5457 - - -8909 ODpotential blCL 12596 - - 11283 - - 13220 - - 14825 - - 14171 blCL maxRH 91 - - 76 - - 73 - - 59 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.9 - - 48.5 - - 56.9 - - 56.6 - - 44.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.8 - - 37.9 - - 31.3 - - 25.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.3 - - 47.2 - - 54.8 - - 55.9 - - 47.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.8 - - 37.1 - - 31.0 - - 25.7 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -15 - - 180 - - 311 - - 71 - - -36 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1428 - - 4312 - - 4307 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96113 16 043 11 031 9 061 10 093 6 037 96113 89016 13 018 10 023 4 067 7 038 12 017 89016 83525 9 010 6 057 3 355 6 040 11 004 83525 78951 10 012 4 343 9 323 12 351 10 013 78951 74982 5 002 4 324 10 278 12 332 8 345 74982 71439 10 341 9 342 12 293 15 335 4 272 71439 68209 18 303 14 325 19 282 21 315 15 302 68209 65247 19 298 16 295 21 263 31 286 25 305 65247 62519 17 310 18 315 18 282 32 289 35 304 62519 59893 39 283 24 310 23 301 36 298 47 297 59893 57177 30 288 33 304 34 308 33 295 43 286 57177 54361 29 301 31 300 36 303 31 296 42 287 54361 51655 28 299 31 302 30 290 38 295 44 287 51655 49201 32 307 34 288 35 289 46 292 50 288 49201 46983 34 306 34 283 45 286 52 290 58 285 46983 44961 34 300 36 286 52 283 60 287 65 281 44961 43110 37 301 44 292 56 280 63 285 68 279 43110 41415 44 305 53 295 57 281 64 287 67 283 41415 39859 49 307 59 299 61 287 67 290 77 294 39859 38421 50 309 65 303 67 290 73 289 90 294 38421 37082 51 310 67 303 69 288 79 282 93 287 37082 35804 52 311 66 301 67 287 77 279 90 282 35804 34522 53 313 64 300 64 290 73 286 86 283 34522 33209 55 315 63 300 63 293 77 292 78 289 33209 31870 56 316 61 300 62 294 82 295 73 293 31870 30490 57 317 60 300 59 293 82 296 72 292 30490 29059 58 315 61 299 57 291 78 294 75 293 29059 27580 58 314 59 297 58 289 73 291 74 295 27580 26057 57 313 54 295 60 288 68 287 70 293 26057 24494 52 313 49 291 61 287 64 282 67 290 24494 22894 45 308 46 288 59 286 62 282 65 288 22894 21253 43 298 46 287 56 287 60 284 60 288 21253 19566 45 294 47 289 53 288 56 286 53 288 19566 17861 44 297 47 291 51 289 51 287 46 289 17861 16226 40 301 46 293 49 290 47 287 43 288 16226 14738 33 301 44 292 47 290 45 289 41 287 14738 13408 29 299 42 289 47 290 43 290 39 285 13408 12217 28 296 42 284 45 290 39 288 38 284 12217 11145 29 293 42 281 41 289 34 283 37 282 11145 10179 31 291 43 280 33*282 29*274 37 280 10179 9310 33 291 42 279 28*272 26*269 36 279 9310 8531 34 292 39 277 26 266 26 268 35 278 8531 7832 32 292 35 272 26 263 25 267 33 277 7832 7196 28 288 32 263 26 262 25 267 31 275 7196 6626 25 276 29*255 25 261 25 267 28 270 6626 6145 27 261 26*249 25 261 24 267 26 264 6145 5770 26 252 25 247 24 260 23 267 23 261 5770 5511 19 244 23 247 23 259 22 267 19 254 5511 5353 15 240 21 246 21 259 20 267 14*250 5353 5262 9*238 17 246 18 259 16 266 8*245 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography