DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 67.3 - - 68.0 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 320 - - 74 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2281 - - 6072 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6392 - - 9402 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7342 - - 11133 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2341 - - 2049 - - 8565 - - 228 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 345 - - 524 - - 104 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 34 - - 78 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 030 - - 111 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -689 - - 471 - - -5888 - - -3216 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8032 - - 10663 - - 11152 - - 8480 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2586 - - -401 - - -7224 - - -7128 ODpotential blCL - - - 9928 - - 11534 - - 12487 - - 12391 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 83 - - 88 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.1 - - 67.3 - - 68.0 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.1 - - 38.8 - - 37.4 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 65.0 - - 66.9 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 42.7 - - 38.6 - - 37.2 - - 38.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 320 - - 74 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2281 - - 6072 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 30 - - 53 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98205 7 294 11 308 14 313 13 295 98205 90888 14 328 14 326 15 325 20 301 90888 85241 18 336 14 332 17 320 21 329 85241 80568 16 316 16 324 18 315 21 343 80568 76547 14 312 12 323 15 302 21 326 76547 72988 14 310 12 323 12 299 15 316 72988 69750 18 293 17 315 16 313 13 330 69750 66766 16 279 19 298 17 308 16 333 66766 63996 17 288 17 288 16 302 14 310 63996 61310 20 287 17 278 16 304 15 293 61310 58499 19 277 19 273 19 300 18 301 58499 55578 17 268 22 272 24 287 22 298 55578 52792 15 273 22 277 24 276 22 287 52792 50287 15 277 20 283 19 277 19 287 50287 48042 16 286 17 286 17 289 19 314 48042 46006 18 292 15 298 18 299 21 326 46006 44143 20 301 16 311 18 308 21 339 44143 42425 22 304 19 322 19 322 21 343 42425 40832 23 305 22 319 21 326 20 334 40832 39348 22 307 23 315 23 319 19 322 39348 37965 23 311 23 314 24 310 19 314 37965 36647 26 311 24 314 24 307 21 308 36647 35329 29 310 27 312 25 308 22 300 35329 33982 31 309 28 311 25 309 21 298 33982 32608 28 312 24 312 24 308 19 301 32608 31195 24 313 21 317 20 306 17 303 31195 29735 25 313 20 318 15 310 13 306 29735 28230 25 314 21 319 14 312 11 313 28230 26677 23 317 21 320 15 315 11 317 26677 25078 20 320 20 319 16 317 12 320 25078 23436 18 322 19 317 16 320 13 325 23436 21748 17 327 18 322 15 323 12 322 21748 20008 16 335 15 330 12 328 9 320 20008 18247 15 342 14 335 12 340 7 356 18247 16556 15 350 13 340 14 356 12 024 16556 15019 16 357 13 352 16 000 15 023 15019 13649 17 001 13 003 15 356 16 017 13649 12423 15 000 10 003 11 355 14 008 12423 11319 12 354 9*002 4 356 11 005 11319 10324 10 346 4*000 3 005 5 355 10324 9430 8 339 2 002 2 084 1 355 9430 8628 5 330 1 013 2 099 2 129 8628 7909 3*307 1 032 3 106 4 135 7909 7255 1*213 1 053 3 108 6 133 7255 6668 2 190 1 068 4 111 7 130 6668 6172 2 184 1 085 4 111 7 128 6172 5787 2 177 1 093 4 112 7 126 5787 5519 2 177 1 095 4 111 7 124 5519 5356 2 173 1 094 4*111 5*120 5356 5263 2 173 1 096 4*111 3*122 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography