DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.5 - - 63.0 - - 69.6 - - 70.1 - - 58.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 19 - - 335 - - 365 - - 90 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 3922 - - 6452 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 7736 - - 9761 - - 5246 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 8983 - - 11513 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 790 - - 1988 - - 2362 - - 9577 - - 314 Hgt.Variab. W* 66 - - 459 - - 558 - - 110 - - 8 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 13 - - 14 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 035 - - 051 - - 039 - - 062 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -6 - - -6 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2506 - - -1035 - - 141 - - -6342 - - -3218 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7769 - - 10018 - - 11373 - - 11605 - - 8481 sfcLCL ODpotential -6572 - - -3110 - - -798 - - -7589 - - -7108 ODpotential blCL 11834 - - 12093 - - 12311 - - 12852 - - 12371 blCL maxRH 65 - - 74 - - 85 - - 77 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.5 - - 63.0 - - 69.6 - - 70.1 - - 58.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.1 - - 37.4 - - 37.9 - - 37.5 - - 39.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.9 - - 60.6 - - 67.0 - - 69.0 - - 61.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.0 - - 37.4 - - 37.9 - - 37.5 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 19 - - 335 - - 365 - - 90 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 3922 - - 6452 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 42 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98232 5 061 3 094 15 136 3 255 3 293 98232 90952 8 098 9 071 8 111 7 073 6 143 90952 85341 10 103 7 111 5 104 7 058 8 108 85341 80644 13 084 10 118 4 112 5 008 11 055 80644 76581 12 077 12 098 7 107 2 333 11 050 76581 72994 8 081 9 099 13 086 1 178 9 068 72994 69745 9 073 6 126 10 065 5 068 8 073 69745 66762 8 048 8 118 2 062 11 067 9 045 66762 64012 7 026 8 081 5 121 6 055 8 022 64012 61360 2 017 3 013 8 062 6 059 3 082 61360 58584 1 111 5 235 6 354 6 003 6 047 58584 55691 8 336 2 087 6 305 6 322 9 350 55691 52922 16 320 12 354 8 345 9 335 11 343 52922 50420 15 338 14 332 12 338 16 346 18 340 50420 48170 19 336 16 353 11 338 19 334 22 340 48170 46126 17 322 20 344 14 350 19 325 24 341 46126 44254 18 352 21 349 19 357 19 326 26 336 44254 42520 27 344 28 007 28 357 17 354 23 328 42520 40905 26 338 31 004 33 352 31 006 21 342 40905 39402 23 357 31 005 34 352 43 358 31 003 39402 38010 29 016 36 002 37 002 42 351 38 359 38010 36693 32 017 32 004 37 009 35 355 34 351 36693 35384 38 023 36 008 33 016 28 004 25 351 35384 34048 45 021 37 016 32 019 27 003 22 352 34048 32682 44 025 35 019 33 013 29 001 23 349 32682 31272 38 028 34 020 34 008 31 359 24 351 31272 29810 29 064 35 021 36 004 32 357 26 358 29810 28299 35 068 35 022 36 002 33 355 28 000 28299 26740 30 053 35 019 34 000 33 354 29 360 26740 25136 25 042 33 011 31 359 31 351 28 001 25136 23490 23 032 31 007 29 000 27 349 26 005 23490 21797 24 025 27 016 27 002 24 353 26 009 21797 20050 23 024 25 033 25 003 21 360 25 011 20050 18282 21 028 24 043 21 009 19 003 24 011 18282 16587 18 024 23 050 19 021 19 359 24 009 16587 15049 14 015 22 053 19 026 20 001 24 356 15049 13676 12 015 20 047 21 018 20 006 23 347 13676 12446 11 023 18 039 19*019 17 016 20 352 12446 11338 11 033 17 036 17*024 15 030 17 004 11338 10340 11 040 17 039 16 029 15 033 16 021 10340 9441 12 043 15*044 15 033 14 042 17 036 9441 8637 14 047 14*048 14 038 13 050 18 047 8637 7916 15 055 14 049 14 042 13 053 19 055 7916 7260 18 060 13 051 13 044 13 056 20 060 7260 6671 21 059 13 052 13 047 12 057 21 063 6671 6174 21 054 13 053 13 049 12 059 21 066 6174 5787 17 048 12 054 12 050 12 060 19 068 5787 5520 12 041 11 054 12 051 12 061 16 068 5520 5356 8 037 11 055 12 052 11*061 12 067 5356 5263 6*035 10 055 11 052 10*062 5*063 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography