DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.8 - - 27.1 - - 33.0 - - 29.5 - - 22.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 28 - - 83 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 681 - - 1506 - - 2637 - - 1300 - - 196 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 76 - - 108 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 16 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 035 - - 358 - - 006 - - 249 - - 232 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -613 - - -2764 - - -493 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5260 - - 5873 - - 8026 - - 5754 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential -5248 - - -6169 - - -7739 - - -4938 - - -6882 ODpotential blCL 10508 - - 11429 - - 13000 - - 10199 - - 12142 blCL maxRH 100 - - 76 - - 56 - - 73 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.8 - - 27.1 - - 33.0 - - 29.5 - - 22.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.6 - - 20.4 - - 16.8 - - 23.3 - - 20.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 22.0 - - 26.5 - - 31.9 - - 30.4 - - 24.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.3 - - 19.8 - - 15.7 - - 22.8 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 28 - - 83 - - -5 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 98 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97084 61 066 54 060 59 074 56 082 50 073 97084 89997 49 074 49 074 49 077 53 072 49 075 89997 84457 46 080 42 083 42 081 52 067 50 070 84457 79810 46 080 40 093 36 076 40 067 44 072 79810 75751 35 076 37 090 27 087 31 070 36 075 75751 72128 21 080 30 073 27 079 26 071 26 070 72128 68832 23 062 28 059 23 072 23 069 23 067 68832 65795 15 057 12 041 22 055 22 053 17 047 65795 62976 20 097 13 033 15 040 16 051 22 046 62976 60244 29 033 23 360 28 007 34 006 36 009 60244 57402 28 337 37 014 31 008 27 354 27 348 57402 54444 36 353 51 007 41 018 23 020 33 015 54444 51630 55 339 55 344 60 348 54 354 54 360 51630 49124 48 344 45 338 56 334 55 337 54 350 49124 46891 51 357 43 354 49 349 46 359 53 355 46891 44871 68 356 56 004 61 003 52 004 61 006 44871 43035 79 350 70 359 64 003 68 015 75 012 43035 41372 80 348 75 354 73 007 101 010 95 007 41372 39859 75 353 79 000 92 007 109 360 98 002 39859 38454 83 001 93 001 105 003 106 359 93 004 38454 37130 93 000 101 000 110 002 103 003 89 009 37130 35856 91 357 99 002 110 004 100 011 89 022 35856 34578 82 352 92 006 96 003 103 019 99 031 34578 33270 73 349 88 009 84 010 107 022 98 029 33270 31933 66 350 85 010 94 025 105 022 91 020 31933 30552 64 355 83 008 102 028 97 020 83 014 30552 29117 66 001 80 006 98 025 89 018 90 011 29117 27633 71 003 77 002 91 021 85 016 87 007 27633 26105 73 360 75 357 84 017 80 013 81 003 26105 24532 74 356 76 356 78 012 76 006 78 002 24532 22914 72 355 72 358 77 008 77 003 78 003 22914 21245 69 356 63 001 76 006 79 005 77 005 21245 19521 63 359 52 360 70 006 77 009 78 009 19521 17779 55 000 43 351 56 005 67 011 74 015 17779 16115 48 000 38 343 42 358 50 011 61 019 16115 14610 43 000 35 340 34 350 38 001 46 015 14610 13274 39 002 32 341 30 348 32 349 36 006 13274 12083 33 004 26 347 25 349 29 345 32 002 12083 11016 27 004 21 354 20 349 24 342 30 004 11016 10060 20 003 16 001 15 350 18 339 28 007 10060 9202 14 003 13 013 10 350 14 331 24 010 9202 8437 9 010 13 035 7 007 11 316 19 015 8437 7751 7 039 14 054 4 046 9 297 13 022 7751 7130 10 072 13 064 4 070 7 274 7 021 7130 6575 12 081 9 073 3 074 6 253 4 337 6575 6108 9 071 6 078 2 050 6 252 5 287 6108 5748 8 060 3 057 1 030 7 253 7 265 5748 5499 6 052 2 007 1 014 6 251 8 249 5499 5347 5 043 2 001 1*009 5*250 6 235 5347 5260 3*035 2*358 1*006 4*249 4*232 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography