DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/13 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 37.8 - - 37.0 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 58 - - 6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2166 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5876 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7227 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2135 - - 4610 - - 4259 - - 2856 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 252 - - 97 - - 50 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 234 - - 205 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1448 - - -1127 - - -1055 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5779 - - 6388 - - 6316 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 305 - - -2025 - - -2133 - - -1984 ODpotential blCL - - - 6922 - - 7286 - - 7394 - - 7245 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.4 - - 37.8 - - 37.0 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 28.4 - - 27.9 - - 29.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.2 - - 36.8 - - 36.6 - - 34.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 27.4 - - 27.1 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 94 - - 58 - - 6 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2166 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 93 - - 101 - - 99 - - 53 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96857 37 089 41 077 42 092 33 081 96857 89743 32 102 31 078 31 097 25 091 89743 84144 25 102 22 088 15 098 18 078 84144 79463 17 096 17 092 7 101 11 084 79463 75416 9 051 9 100 1 119 9 072 75416 71822 2 110 2 114 5 276 6 045 71822 68551 1 284 5 267 7 257 4 291 68551 65533 6 292 11 254 12 269 11 284 65533 62734 15 290 15 255 20 277 19 270 62734 60024 15 274 19 259 20 271 16 252 60024 57186 20 282 23 271 22 274 21 267 57186 54235 24 280 29 275 30 281 28 265 54235 51421 23 284 31 278 33 268 35 270 51421 48884 25 279 31 267 31 270 36 272 48884 46610 23 270 28 261 35 269 39 286 46610 44546 25 273 37 275 33 272 39 275 44546 42668 26 276 35 276 35 287 33 271 42668 40954 25 280 27 279 45 280 50 294 40954 39385 23 280 25 291 39 261 50 295 39385 37952 10 284 25 298 37 294 47 300 37952 36634 11 346 22 343 49 311 63 314 36634 35383 19 349 42 345 50 314 82 316 35383 34124 21 340 48 345 46 319 78 314 34124 32830 17 342 39 351 41 321 65 312 32830 31509 14 359 32 345 30 317 48 305 31509 30144 15 013 30 333 29 308 41 296 30144 28730 18 003 29 335 34 303 41 288 28730 27274 19 358 25 339 34 307 33 294 27274 25775 20 358 22 338 25 315 25 308 25775 24234 20 358 19 337 15 316 31 312 24234 22650 17 003 17 335 11 310 31 315 22650 21018 12 018 11 327 14 299 19 314 21018 19335 10 021 5 309 16 291 22 294 19335 17637 9 355 4 300 15 290 21 298 17637 16012 9 328 4 287 15 296 17 304 16012 14537 11 309 6 265 13 295 14 302 14537 13223 11 297 9 265 12 289 13 295 13223 12047 10 288 9 274 11 288 12 285 12047 10992 7 287 8 281 9 295 12 281 10992 10044 3 301 7 275 7 299 10 286 10044 9195 1 218 7 268 7 280 8 299 9195 8438 4 187 7 266 7 267 7 283 8438 7760 5*208 7 260 7 251 8 266 7760 7142 7*235 6 252 7 232 8 256 7142 6588 7 236 6 246 7 219 8 246 6588 6120 7 236 6 242 7 214 8 236 6120 5756 7 235 6 239 7 211 8 226 5756 5503 7 234 5 237 6 209 7 215 5503 5349 7 233 5*236 6*207 6*204 5349 5261 6 233 5*234 5*205 4*197 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography