DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 33.9 - - 30.7 - - 27.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 132 - - -15 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 1635 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5676 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5260 - - 6696 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1108 - - 717 - - 1612 - - 579 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 121 - - 252 - - 14 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 215 - - 222 - - 219 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -528 - - -1269 - - -2365 - - -2374 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5788 - - 7965 - - 7626 - - 7636 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9656 - - -11223 - - -12573 - - -13489 ODpotential blCL - - - 14916 - - 17919 - - 17834 - - 18750 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 89 - - 90 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.9 - - 33.9 - - 30.7 - - 27.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.5 - - 17.8 - - 16.2 - - 13.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.7 - - 32.5 - - 31.5 - - 28.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.3 - - 17.5 - - 16.1 - - 13.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 119 - - 132 - - -15 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 1635 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 58 - - 58 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97145 71 065 72 064 66 063 66 064 97145 89940 59 064 58 062 50 051 52 050 89940 84376 52 064 44 059 37 040 43 035 84376 79703 41 059 33 054 28 038 34 024 79703 75620 29 053 26 040 26 033 26 020 75620 71981 25 039 23 029 24 030 20 022 71981 68667 18 037 17 020 21 023 16 022 68667 65608 16 033 14 014 19 013 16 013 65608 62772 13 017 14 005 17 354 12 005 62772 60031 5 022 13 345 12 330 13 347 60031 57180 12 025 11 350 12 324 13 337 57180 54239 22 002 21 341 21 335 19 344 54239 51464 26 342 24 331 33 331 26 333 51464 49000 28 344 33 337 36 332 34 332 49000 46815 38 350 48 341 43 330 36 323 46815 44839 50 335 49 333 41 325 36 316 44839 43024 51 328 56 332 44 329 43 316 43024 41352 62 343 65 330 55 322 52 312 41352 39807 72 341 71 327 59 319 56 311 39807 38371 76 339 76 327 66 320 62 312 38371 37032 78 339 74 328 67 315 63 312 37032 35761 77 340 68 328 63 314 62 311 35761 34487 72 344 65 329 62 317 63 308 34487 33180 66 350 61 330 61 317 61 304 33180 31842 61 355 54 337 58 315 57 302 31842 30462 57 001 52 340 55 315 52 303 30462 29031 55 005 50 339 53 316 51 306 29031 27553 52 005 43 338 51 319 51 309 27553 26027 50 006 42 340 50 322 49 310 26027 24455 51 007 42 342 48 321 48 313 24455 22844 51 007 41 343 44 320 49 316 22844 21185 49 007 38 343 40 320 50 317 21185 19476 43 005 36 345 37 321 47 315 19476 17748 37 001 33 348 34 323 41 313 17748 16092 32 354 28 347 30 329 35 314 16092 14592 30 345 25 340 27 333 31 315 14592 13261 27 340 24 332 25 333 27 315 13261 12075 24 334 22 328 23 331 24 315 12075 11013 20 330 19 326 21 327 21 316 11013 10061 15 324 16 320 16 319 19 317 10061 9206 11 311 12 304 10 297 17 318 9206 8441 9 286 11 278 10 277 15 314 8441 7755 9 260 11 260 13 276 16 303 7755 7132 8 250 10*242 16 263 19 288 7132 6576 6 248 10*225 18 243 23 276 6576 6108 5 231 10 223 17 235 24 266 6108 5748 5 222 10 221 16 231 21 256 5748 5499 4 219 9 220 13 226 16 249 5499 5348 4 216 9 219 11*224 12*246 5348 5261 4*215 8 218 7*219 7*239 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography