DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/22 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 59.9 - - - - - 51.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 131 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 768 - - 1594 - - - - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5246 - - 5674 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5829 - - 6655 - - - - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 799 - - 1352 - - - - - 1217 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 171 - - 254 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 063 - - 086 - - - - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 270 - - -29 - - - - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5559 - - 6685 - - - - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3389 - - -2763 - - - - - -2024 ODpotential blCL - - - 9218 - - 9418 - - - - - 7286 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 82 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 350 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.0 - - 59.9 - - - - - 51.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.6 - - 48.4 - - - - - 49.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 58.4 - - - - - 50.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 47.7 - - - - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 77 - - 131 - - - - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 768 - - 1594 - - - - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 59 - - 29 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97362 5 165 2 261 4 316 97362 90168 11 126 4 194 4 096 90168 84608 12 128 6 153 6 101 84608 79984 12 152 5 198 6 105 79984 76004 4 163 10 183 1 144 76004 72489 7 245 5 190 2 303 72489 69295 10 233 6 217 3 276 69295 66341 8 279 6 193 5 259 66341 63586 13 243 7 206 10 250 63586 60914 9 227 11 243 8 190 60914 58106 19 244 11 250 19 255 58106 55188 29 231 31 225 38 226 55188 52420 30 220 38 219 36 210 52420 49920 48 237 51 236 35 228 49920 47660 64 231 61 233 48 231 47660 45600 71 226 61 230 64 220 45600 43721 73 223 63 227 71 212 43721 41996 75 222 71 223 80 209 41996 40404 77 222 82 220 87 206 40404 38923 79 220 87 217 91 203 38923 37542 80 218 89 214 92 200 37542 36225 78 215 90 210 92 198 36225 34910 73 213 90 207 91 196 34910 33567 66 211 88 205 90 194 33567 32200 62 211 87 204 87 193 32200 30795 59 212 85 204 83 194 30795 29342 57 212 83 206 78 196 29342 27846 54 211 81 209 62 197 27846 26309 51 210 73 209 41 193 26309 24731 46 208 59 209 37 194 24731 23116 42 207 57 210 43 198 23116 21455 40 208 49 209 39 199 21455 19743 40 209 43 211 35 199 19743 18012 39 212 37 213 32 197 18012 16352 35 209 30 212 30 192 16352 14842 31 200 26 205 29 189 14842 13495 26 200 24 201 29 195 13495 12288 24 202 26 201 28 193 12288 11205 22 207 28 201 27 188 11205 10230 21 208 27 197 27 183 10230 9353 19 204 22 190 26 185 9353 8566 17 195 18 179 24 193 8566 7858 14 180 14 161 23 204 7858 7214 12 154 12*138 21 215 7214 6638 10 129 10*104 18 228 6638 6152 10*081 10 085 16 241 6152 5775 11*064 10 083 13 253 5775 5514 10 063 10 081 9 263 5514 5354 10 063 10 081 7 266 5354 5262 9 063 9 080 2*266 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography