DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.8 - - 91.7 - - 91.8 - - 79.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 413 - - 154 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4016 - - 9714 - - 8560 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7810 - - 12461 - - 10915 - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9077 - - 14775 - - 13621 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4843 - - 2714 - - 3983 - - 91 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 463 - - 668 - - 462 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 15 - - 16 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 233 - - 265 - - 268 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -12 - - -29 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10356 - - -5284 - - -6893 - - -12247 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19433 - - 20060 - - 20515 - - 17512 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14175 - - -8269 - - -9883 - - -17485 ODpotential blCL - - - 23252 - - 23044 - - 23504 - - 22749 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 30 - - 27 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.8 - - 91.7 - - 91.8 - - 79.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.0 - - 20.6 - - 18.7 - - 21.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.3 - - 88.6 - - 90.2 - - 83.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.6 - - 20.1 - - 18.2 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 333 - - 413 - - 154 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4016 - - 9714 - - 8560 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99712 30 111 28 107 20 090 26 100 99712 92175 27 112 21 099 27 101 25 099 92175 86365 26 102 23 113 18 098 26 091 86365 81557 19 089 21 103 15 114 16 091 81557 77426 15 106 14 091 20 103 13 119 77426 73760 17 104 15 128 14 076 17 104 73760 70427 12 093 18 128 8 086 15 070 70427 67381 11 103 18 103 11 132 14 055 67381 64575 11 102 14 088 7 133 11 076 64575 61865 8 083 11 075 4 148 2 001 61865 59052 1 289 4 335 4 073 3 205 59052 56162 11 271 13 292 9 327 6 299 56162 53438 13 305 16 278 19 288 21 296 53438 50999 20 306 17 285 26 282 26 293 50999 48816 25 306 22 285 28 278 27 290 48816 46830 30 298 26 287 30 278 27 292 46830 45003 34 291 31 284 31 283 28 290 45003 43304 37 287 31 283 30 288 29 290 43304 41711 39 290 31 288 33 291 32 293 41711 40212 39 294 35 293 38 293 36 296 40212 38802 36 296 40 293 42 294 39 295 38802 37451 34 300 43 293 43 294 40 292 37451 36099 32 300 42 295 44 296 41 293 36099 34719 31 300 43 300 47 298 44 295 34719 33316 30 302 44 302 47 298 43 294 33316 31873 30 306 42 301 41 296 39 293 31873 30379 33 311 40 302 35 296 35 287 30379 28839 34 313 36 303 32 299 33 284 28839 27255 34 309 33 303 30 301 30 284 27255 25627 34 302 31 304 27 299 28 284 25627 23957 34 297 31 305 24 297 26 282 23957 22239 32 294 30 305 21 296 24 281 22239 20467 28 290 29 302 18 297 23 283 20467 18673 25 291 27 298 16 298 21 286 18673 16948 25 295 22 296 14 302 16 287 16948 15377 24 294 17*291 14 296 10 295 15377 13969 22 290 16*287 14*288 10 301 13969 12704 19 287 16 283 14*286 10 296 12704 11562 17 284 15 273 15 279 11 286 11562 10532 15 279 15 268 16 271 13 278 10532 9603 12*268 15 262 16 267 14 273 9603 8771 10*255 16 258 17 265 15 270 8771 8022 9 239 16 256 17 263 15 269 8022 7341 8 232 16 255 17 262 15 268 7341 6730 8 228 16 253 17 261 16 266 6730 6212 7 225 15 252 16 260 15 265 6212 5810 7 222 15 251 16 259 14 262 5810 5532 7 221 14 251 16 260 13 258 5532 5362 6 220 14 250 15 259 10*252 5362 5264 6 219 13 250 13 259 7*249 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography