DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.0 - - 41.6 - - 41.6 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 91 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 1107 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 6168 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 670 - - 559 - - 2000 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 87 - - 196 - - 0 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 060 - - 098 - - 025 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1263 - - -2679 - - -3372 - - -860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6525 - - 8847 - - 8634 - - 6121 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10565 - - -9544 - - -9791 - - -7477 ODpotential blCL - - - 15826 - - 15712 - - 15052 - - 12738 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 76 - - 72 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.0 - - 41.6 - - 41.6 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.3 - - 21.6 - - 22.5 - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.3 - - 40.5 - - 43.1 - - 37.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 21.1 - - 22.0 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 44 - - 91 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 1107 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 79 - - 5 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94777 76 282 78 294 59 293 56 278 94777 88148 47 286 55 298 57 298 49 302 88148 82933 35 296 43 291 47 299 47 307 82933 78530 29 299 29 291 38 297 47 309 78530 74689 21 291 20 298 38 285 41 296 74689 71271 18 291 23 289 34 287 36 297 71271 68142 22 290 23 281 26 299 30 299 68142 65230 17 307 13 303 25 296 32 288 65230 62522 23 305 32 287 29 282 32 275 62522 59909 34 280 37 280 26 284 26 278 59909 57169 37 283 30 284 23 287 31 273 57169 54301 38 292 31 281 31 270 37 263 54301 51551 47 281 47 277 47 270 44 270 51551 49071 53 274 60 268 63 268 56 267 49071 46843 54 274 64 262 66 262 63 265 46843 44816 55 274 62 262 65 260 66 264 44816 42958 56 274 61 262 67 263 69 265 42958 41254 60 274 64 264 71 263 75 263 41254 39701 64 266 69 264 76 259 82 258 39701 38278 60 257 71 260 78 255 89 254 38278 36955 60 259 68 257 76 256 86 254 36955 35688 64 262 69 256 77 257 85 257 35688 34414 65 262 71 254 79 254 84 256 34414 33107 64 261 72 252 82 251 85 253 33107 31771 66 259 72 252 83 252 88 252 31771 30394 69 259 71 254 83 254 87 255 30394 28971 72 259 70 255 80 256 83 258 28971 27504 70 260 68 256 75 256 74 257 27504 25995 62 260 62 257 68 256 65 257 25995 24445 52 259 57 255 59 257 61 261 24445 22856 48 260 52 255 53 259 58 265 22856 21222 44 260 50 256 52 261 54 266 21222 19535 40 256 50 257 51 261 50 267 19535 17828 37 255 50 258 49 261 45 271 17828 16189 35 259 46 259 46 261 38 276 16189 14700 33 260 41 258 43 263 33 281 14700 13371 28 257 36 256 38 266 30 285 13371 12180 24 252 30 257 33 268 29 288 12180 11109 22 247 25 256 29 268 27 291 11109 10144 20 241 22 250 26 268 25 294 10144 9276 18 234 19 240 24 267 22 294 9276 8499 17 227 17 230 20 261 19 293 8499 7804 14 225 13 219 16 249 17 288 7804 7172 10 216 10 199 10 226 14 277 7172 6608 7 196 7*168 6 208 13 260 6608 6131 6 082 6*102 3 193 12 253 6131 5762 9 063 6 098 1 176 8 251 5762 5506 8 060 6 096 0 122 6 261 5506 5351 7*059 5 095 1 030 4 278 5351 5261 6*060 5 095 1*025 4*281 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography