DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.3 - - 43.0 - - 44.9 - - 34.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 180 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 3073 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 6858 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 8134 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1495 - - 1385 - - 5507 - - 240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 119 - - 346 - - 42 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 079 - - 178 - - 179 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -579 - - -225 - - -4004 - - -989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5840 - - 8359 - - 9266 - - 6250 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3831 - - -2868 - - -6438 - - -5003 ODpotential blCL - - - 9092 - - 11002 - - 11700 - - 10264 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 89 - - 78 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.3 - - 43.0 - - 44.9 - - 34.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.4 - - 24.8 - - 22.7 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.1 - - 41.4 - - 44.6 - - 37.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.5 - - 24.2 - - 22.4 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 180 - - 4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 3073 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 57 - - 11 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96874 30 086 39 087 32 112 24 079 96874 89721 27 088 27 095 26 090 21 096 89721 84156 21 090 24 102 17 088 19 088 84156 79503 18 100 17 105 9 099 10 069 79503 75454 10 111 9 097 6 153 5 067 75454 71848 5 110 4 088 5 128 2 053 71848 68569 6 273 9 266 3 290 1 314 68569 65541 8 248 11 253 13 282 7 290 65541 62727 14 282 19 270 19 272 17 262 62727 60008 28 262 30 260 26 274 25 267 60008 57171 34 262 35 261 31 271 26 276 57171 54217 41 272 42 270 43 269 40 275 54217 51399 52 268 49 267 55 264 51 271 51399 48867 59 267 57 269 63 266 62 268 48867 46603 63 263 66 268 70 267 67 266 46603 44564 60 265 69 266 71 268 67 269 44564 42710 66 272 72 268 67 270 68 272 42710 41011 73 272 75 273 70 273 77 272 41011 39454 82 279 89 279 90 275 97 273 39454 38027 109 280 107 277 113 272 116 270 38027 36705 111 279 104 276 114 270 112 267 36705 35441 101 281 96 277 107 271 102 269 35441 34169 95 282 94 276 101 271 99 267 34169 32864 91 280 94 273 97 269 93 266 32864 31531 89 278 92 272 92 268 87 265 31531 30161 85 276 87 271 86 267 81 264 30161 28742 79 277 80 271 80 265 78 263 28742 27278 72 279 75 271 75 266 74 263 27278 25770 63 276 69 272 69 268 69 262 25770 24226 54 269 61 272 62 268 63 261 24226 22650 49 266 53 269 56 268 55 258 22650 21037 47 269 46 265 50 268 47 251 21037 19375 43 269 41 265 45 267 42 243 19375 17692 35 263 41 267 39 266 36 241 17692 16072 29 256 40 263 34 266 29 243 16072 14596 26 257 37 257 33 264 23 250 14596 13277 21 259 32 256 31 266 19 261 13277 12096 16 258 23 254 26 265 15 267 12096 11037 12 256 16 238 19 249 11 253 11037 10087 10 251 13 222 13 213 10 214 10087 9234 10 241 12 211 12 202 9 199 9234 8471 10 227 10*195 10 196 10 186 8471 7785 9 206 8*186 9 192 11 176 7785 7161 8 187 7 180 9 188 12 169 7161 6601 7 156 7 179 8 185 13 166 6601 6127 6 108 6 175 8 183 13 162 6127 5760 6 083 5 174 7 181 12 155 5760 5505 6 081 5 171 7 180 9 143 5505 5350 6*080 5 172 6*179 5*126 5350 5261 5*079 4 171 6*179 3*101 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography