DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 13.3 - - 27.5 - - 32.7 - - 30.9 - - 22.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 11 - - -1 - - -11 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5260 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 90 - - 784 - - 1117 - - 328 - - 150 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 58 - - 22 - - 19 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 057 - - 049 - - 024 - - 032 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -779 - - -1364 - - -1716 - - -1070 - - -468 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6040 - - 6624 - - 6977 - - 6331 - - 5729 sfcLCL ODpotential -12814 - - -10264 - - -9391 - - -9425 - - -11293 ODpotential blCL 18074 - - 15524 - - 14652 - - 14686 - - 16554 blCL maxRH 65 - - 62 - - 51 - - 63 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 13.3 - - 27.5 - - 32.7 - - 30.9 - - 22.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.2 - - 17.6 - - 21.1 - - 22.2 - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 18.2 - - 27.1 - - 33.0 - - 34.1 - - 27.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 9.8 - - 16.4 - - 19.9 - - 21.0 - - 19.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 11 - - -1 - - -11 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 199 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96855 29 110 20 110 23 103 20 128 20 099 96855 89687 20 099 17 118 14 101 13 099 10 088 89687 84137 9 112 16 112 10 141 6 070 6 072 84137 79500 8 134 11 121 6 143 2 038 8 053 79500 75473 5 166 6 141 4 198 4 305 6 335 75473 71892 4 115 3 139 3 154 5 311 5 003 71892 68630 4 239 8 230 9 264 12 296 10 306 68630 65626 6 218 9 243 9 259 14 321 7 302 65626 62838 11 238 13 269 20 265 21 279 15 306 62838 60155 19 261 22 249 27 258 23 294 24 283 60155 57359 23 270 19 269 13 291 22 315 27 304 57359 54443 38 273 33 282 35 274 43 279 43 277 54443 51667 44 266 45 265 50 262 49 272 44 277 51667 49174 47 273 53 275 59 276 60 281 57 290 49174 46944 54 277 65 277 66 277 71 279 69 284 46944 44937 71 277 74 275 70 275 77 276 81 282 44937 43130 87 273 82 273 76 274 84 273 89 278 43130 41493 96 273 93 274 91 275 92 272 91 275 41493 39985 108 275 105 273 101 274 96 273 90 276 39985 38573 114 274 110 272 102 274 95 274 90 278 38573 37243 110 272 108 272 100 275 95 276 90 277 37243 35964 104 272 99 276 95 277 94 277 91 275 35964 34676 100 276 92 280 89 279 89 277 91 276 34676 33357 97 279 91 282 84 281 82 278 86 278 33357 32012 94 280 89 282 83 283 77 279 78 281 32012 30628 90 280 86 281 82 284 74 280 71 282 30628 29194 85 282 82 280 79 284 72 281 67 283 29194 27710 77 284 78 281 75 284 69 283 64 283 27710 26180 68 285 72 280 71 282 66 283 61 283 26180 24606 62 284 63 279 65 278 62 280 59 281 24606 22991 53 281 54 278 57 274 56 273 56 279 22991 21332 44 278 47 277 49 271 50 268 51 276 21332 19622 40 274 42 274 44 270 44 265 43 273 19622 17891 40 270 39 267 40 265 41 262 36 268 17891 16229 37 267 37 261 38 259 39 260 32 265 16229 14716 35 264 34 261 36 256 37 259 29 263 14716 13367 33 261 30 263 34 255 34 258 27 261 13367 12161 28 257 27 263 30 254 31 259 27 261 12161 11080 21 245 22 253 26 252 28 254 26 257 11080 10110 15 240 16 238 21 244 23 245 25 250 10110 9240 11 234 13 222 16 230 19 229 22 239 9240 8463 10 216 11 204 15 219 17 201 18 217 8463 7768 11 207 10 199 15 206 17 179 18 197 7768 7141 14 201 11 195 13 191 15 163 15 174 7141 6582 12 181 9 178 9 167 11 136 10 138 6582 6113 9 088 7 092 6 107 9 098 9 087 6113 5751 14 058 9 061 6 072 9 065 12 060 5751 5500 15 050 8 058 5 058 10 044 13 048 5500 5348 10*043 7 057 5*052 8*033 9*038 5348 5261 5*036 6*057 3*049 5*024 5*032 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography