DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.4 - - 31.7 - - 37.7 - - 33.0 - - 25.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 105 - - 143 - - -22 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 2727 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 6490 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 7788 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 283 - - 2778 - - 1389 - - 2294 - - 205 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 116 - - 306 - - 11 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 296 - - 178 - - 227 - - 225 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 0 - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1159 - - -4334 - - -3710 - - -4773 - - -2584 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6420 - - 9595 - - 11498 - - 10035 - - 7845 sfcLCL ODpotential -11095 - - -13589 - - -12593 - - -13390 - - -13190 ODpotential blCL 16356 - - 18850 - - 20381 - - 18651 - - 18451 blCL maxRH 66 - - 79 - - 82 - - 81 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.4 - - 31.7 - - 37.7 - - 33.0 - - 25.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.5 - - 8.6 - - 6.1 - - 8.1 - - 10.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.3 - - 30.5 - - 36.2 - - 34.6 - - 29.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.0 - - 8.4 - - 5.9 - - 8.0 - - 10.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 105 - - 143 - - -22 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 2727 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 16 - - 27 - - 23 - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96471 40 091 37 090 40 079 39 086 37 081 96471 89397 28 094 21 085 21 084 23 082 28 072 89397 83891 15 083 10 077 9 074 9 073 17 069 83891 79277 9 056 4 108 6 057 1 294 9 035 79277 75260 8 006 4 079 2 069 5 206 7 339 75260 71686 1 042 2 267 8 291 2 327 8 341 71686 68433 10 354 2 332 6 295 7 312 7 359 68433 65428 17 261 13 308 16 313 15 326 10 350 65428 62628 10 248 14 301 22 295 21 312 17 323 62628 59914 15 325 14 308 19 295 22 302 14 309 59914 57079 26 310 22 308 25 308 31 305 26 312 57079 54155 29 307 29 306 34 302 38 302 35 298 54155 51389 36 308 36 315 39 309 36 308 39 315 51389 48911 43 314 46 316 47 311 49 317 54 313 48911 46708 50 317 52 314 56 315 61 306 55 304 46708 44735 62 318 60 312 71 312 65 305 56 312 44735 42959 69 304 70 307 75 308 76 304 75 312 42959 41342 57 315 53 305 66 309 74 300 84 305 41342 39839 82 349 68 340 82 329 72 313 83 306 39839 38426 112 345 111 341 101 331 83 325 85 311 38426 37102 117 342 112 338 99 330 90 325 85 313 37102 35836 118 339 103 336 92 329 89 319 81 312 35836 34563 118 338 90 328 86 325 88 315 80 308 34563 33251 111 337 92 322 88 318 87 313 80 308 33251 31905 96 330 91 323 91 317 89 313 82 308 31905 30515 93 323 91 326 88 316 89 314 80 311 30515 29072 92 319 90 325 78 315 83 314 74 315 29072 27581 82 314 84 321 73 320 73 313 68 313 27581 26044 67 305 73 316 72 324 66 317 64 309 26044 24464 59 309 63 312 70 323 63 320 61 310 24464 22844 57 312 57 312 63 316 60 317 58 310 22844 21181 54 312 52 315 55 311 54 307 53 309 21181 19470 48 310 48 319 48 310 48 303 48 308 19470 17743 41 307 41 317 42 313 45 307 44 309 17743 16092 37 307 34 311 38 316 43 312 41 308 16092 14595 32 311 30 310 35 315 39 314 38 308 14595 13263 29 317 27 315 29 311 34 314 34 308 13263 12074 24 319 23 319 24 307 29 312 29 307 12074 11009 20 316 19 318 19 301 23 306 24 301 11009 10053 14 306 13 308 15 292 18 297 20 292 10053 9197 10 284 9 278 12 274 16 288 17 280 9197 8432 8 259 7 230 9*246 15 275 16 271 8432 7749 5 253 9 200 9*233 15 260 16 263 7749 7130 3 205 8 170 9 230 15 251 16 258 7130 6577 5 152 7 167 8 228 15 245 16 253 6577 6112 6 148 5 172 8 226 15 242 16 246 6112 5750 5 154 3 179 8 224 14 237 15 239 5750 5501 3 179 2 179 8 222 13 233 13 236 5501 5348 2*238 2*178 7 222 10*229 9*228 5348 5261 3*296 2*178 7 221 6*225 5*216 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography