DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 50.3 - - 48.3 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 407 - - 584 - - 260 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8007 - - 11266 - - 6559 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11064 - - 13919 - - 9688 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13068 - - 16327 - - 11620 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2992 - - 1940 - - 5094 - - 4777 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 623 - - 788 - - 503 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 15 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 9 - - 16 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 015 - - 352 - - 024 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -11 - - 11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 560 - - 3250 - - 794 - - -4720 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12509 - - 13078 - - 10826 - - 9983 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -39 - - 1998 - - -387 - - -6880 ODpotential blCL - - - 13107 - - 14329 - - 12007 - - 12142 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 86 - - 86 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 100 - - 140 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.7 - - 50.3 - - 48.3 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.8 - - 10.7 - - 19.0 - - 17.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 47.0 - - 46.2 - - 43.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.5 - - 10.6 - - 19.0 - - 17.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 407 - - 584 - - 260 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8007 - - 11266 - - 6559 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 57 - - 45 - - 45 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98030 14 124 3 195 12 042 9 096 98030 90601 4 076 5 092 2 012 8 038 90601 84876 5 047 1 015 4 024 6 065 84876 80113 2 003 3 254 6 352 7 046 80113 76027 4 307 3 339 3 324 9 355 76027 72432 1 229 5 342 6 315 7 349 72432 69173 3 079 8 307 7 330 5 020 69173 66148 6 254 12 238 14 292 9 355 66148 63312 2 169 8 200 16 252 11 281 63312 60548 6 332 6 060 8 233 9 269 60548 57653 18 274 11 307 7 288 7 323 57653 54631 15 260 13 289 10 296 13 304 54631 51739 11 287 15 295 16 304 19 297 51739 49137 14 276 20 284 20 299 20 298 49137 46812 12 265 19 284 22 288 20 302 46812 44712 16 274 20 289 20 287 22 306 44712 42794 23 275 21 287 19 298 23 302 42794 41028 25 269 22 285 21 306 23 299 41028 39390 23 264 22 282 23 306 23 296 39390 37866 22 266 23 275 23 301 21 291 37866 36450 26 266 23 268 21 294 17 287 36450 35111 27 256 23 259 20 285 15 286 35111 33780 27 248 22 247 16 271 17 272 33780 32433 31 243 21 241 16 271 16 235 32433 31081 40 232 25 235 22 261 21 241 31081 29711 49 219 33 233 30 233 34 224 29711 28314 51 214 45 234 44 218 37 216 28314 26890 51 221 59 233 47 222 41 224 26890 25427 51 227 60 236 48 230 45 223 25427 23923 45 234 49 238 39 225 41 221 23923 22381 35 241 41 235 32 223 32 228 22381 20799 24 256 39 244 25 238 24 234 20799 19169 11 249 26 253 10 243 14 231 19169 17523 6 223 9*279 3 295 3 116 17523 15947 7 006 6*334 4 338 8 070 15947 14513 12 002 6 345 7 349 12 064 14513 13228 13*002 7 350 9 356 16 056 13228 12073 10*008 7 353 12*004 19 050 12073 11030 10 010 8 355 15*009 21 046 11030 10088 9 011 9 356 15 013 22 042 10088 9239 9 013 10 356 16 016 22 038 9239 8476 8 016 11 356 16 021 23 032 8476 7790 8 018 12 355 16 026 24 025 7790 7166 7 020 13 354 17 031 26 018 7166 6606 7 022 14 353 17 033 28 014 6606 6132 7 023 14 353 17 035 27 012 6132 5764 6 026 14 353 17 036 24 011 5764 5508 6 026 14 353 17 036 20 011 5508 5351 6 026 14 352 16 037 17*010 5351 5262 5 026 12 352 14 037 11*009 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography