DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 74.2 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 253 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1941 - - 4427 - - - - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6148 - - 8013 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7002 - - 9488 - - - - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1745 - - 1473 - - - - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 328 - - 435 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 30 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 158 - - - - - 035 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -4 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5016 - - -5175 - - - - - -6768 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12018 - - 14664 - - - - - 12032 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10505 - - -9492 - - - - - -14211 ODpotential blCL - - - 17507 - - 18980 - - - - - 19474 blCL maxRH - - - 44 - - 38 - - - - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 74.2 - - - - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 28.2 - - - - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 72.0 - - - - - 65.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.8 - - 28.0 - - - - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 253 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1941 - - 4427 - - - - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97722 8 241 10 272 16 283 97722 90504 3 217 4 244 13 308 90504 84911 1 327 3 280 8 300 84911 80272 6 031 7 295 7 327 80272 76305 16 331 10 349 10 016 76305 72801 17 302 15 352 14 009 72801 69610 8 276 15 329 17 339 69610 66670 5 334 16 311 17 325 66670 63941 14 322 20 306 18 327 63941 61289 19 303 21 290 24 318 61289 58524 22 306 21 291 26 299 58524 55674 30 313 27 305 28 292 55674 52970 37 301 35 300 26 295 52970 50538 39 297 40 301 29 306 50538 48352 46 303 44 301 29 304 48352 46355 50 304 46 306 28 304 46355 44514 51 304 47 308 30 312 44514 42809 50 300 46 304 31 318 42809 41224 46 297 43 299 29 323 41224 39742 39 299 38 297 25 331 39742 38354 32 296 33 299 24 323 38354 37030 29 293 31 302 26 310 37030 35707 26 298 29 296 27 305 35707 34354 25 300 27 291 25 302 34354 32972 23 303 25 288 22 300 32972 31548 20 309 22 290 20 300 31548 30072 18 312 19 292 19 301 30072 28547 15 308 17 288 18 299 28547 26972 13 298 15 284 17 297 26972 25352 12 284 17 281 15 293 25352 23692 17 277 19 288 16 286 23692 21987 21 281 19 294 16 280 21987 20228 20 289 17 294 16 276 20228 18446 18 292 15 290 16 276 18446 16734 15 292 14 284 15 278 16734 15172 13 291 12 278 13 280 15172 13777 11 287 11 273 11 283 13777 12527 9 283 11 269 9 288 12527 11402 7 274 8 259 5 302 11402 10390 6 257 5*229 4 334 10390 9481 4 165 3*188 4 342 9481 8667 9 121 3 174 2 323 8667 7938 12 103 3 165 1 248 7938 7276 12*089 3 157 2 167 7276 6682 12*071 3 148 2 134 6682 6181 12 066 2 141 3 103 6181 5792 11 064 2 136 3 082 5792 5522 11 064 2 132 4 068 5522 5357 10 063 2 131 4*056 5357 5263 9 063 2 130 3*035 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography