DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/14 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.7 - - 42.7 - - 45.6 - - 40.0 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 33 - - 44 - - -23 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1299 - - 3317 - - 5399 - - 2046 - - 370 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 84 - - 92 - - 28 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 251 - - 266 - - 243 - - 236 - - 245 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - -924 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5262 - - 6187 - - 5262 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -525 - - -1389 - - -2035 - - -1900 - - -2981 ODpotential blCL 5786 - - 6651 - - 7297 - - 7162 - - 8242 blCL maxRH 99 - - 100 - - 98 - - 95 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.7 - - 42.7 - - 45.6 - - 40.0 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.6 - - 37.7 - - 36.6 - - 36.7 - - 33.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 42.1 - - 44.9 - - 41.0 - - 35.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.4 - - 36.8 - - 35.4 - - 36.3 - - 33.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 33 - - 44 - - -23 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 95 - - 101 - - 91 - - 79 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96145 2 313 14 290 2 326 5 270 15 290 96145 89114 4 095 5 345 5 271 7 355 5 002 89114 83682 7 059 5 066 8 264 12 341 9 003 83682 79163 12 015 7 055 7 302 11 303 10 325 79163 75241 12 349 6 016 10 324 7 308 6 338 75241 71752 11 327 9 316 12 320 10 329 9 334 71752 68591 14 332 13 333 10 321 11 312 8 328 68591 65678 18 315 16 341 12 321 10 294 13 312 65678 62959 15 316 17 345 12 332 12 277 17 283 62959 60316 19 322 18 331 14 339 6 304 19 292 60316 57547 21 301 22 308 21 321 17 316 18 306 57547 54672 23 302 22 305 28 310 26 321 25 324 54672 51937 20 297 26 311 37 313 40 321 36 334 51937 49469 13 291 31 308 41 316 47 320 44 332 49469 47241 12 287 30 309 42 318 46 323 53 314 47241 45223 13 301 28 318 43 317 53 322 54 309 45223 43377 23 303 29 324 45 318 58 323 57 313 43377 41674 22 288 33 320 49 321 66 321 60 307 41674 40100 18 272 36 313 53 323 69 314 53 307 40100 38635 18 261 36 308 56 323 71 318 60 322 38635 37261 21 251 35 304 58 321 82 326 79 320 37261 35947 21 233 32 300 60 318 92 327 89 311 35947 34635 21 214 21 277 60 316 90 326 92 307 34635 33294 22 200 17 207 57 315 84 326 90 309 33294 31926 28 210 20 217 53 320 78 326 85 313 31926 30519 40 199 32 206 45 319 74 327 78 318 30519 29063 42 194 36 193 27 308 67 327 71 323 29063 27561 42 189 34 186 16 270 58 327 62 326 27561 26014 41 190 35 191 24 220 51 326 51 327 26014 24428 38 188 35 203 35 204 46 327 44 322 24428 22806 36 185 31 209 37 198 40 330 43 320 22806 21143 32 185 28 208 31 200 28 314 41 324 21143 19433 29 197 25 210 26 207 19 259 34 330 19433 17710 25 193 21 214 23 213 20 222 24 325 17710 16069 22 199 17 224 20 223 16 232 17 304 16069 14590 19 210 12 247 18 225 15 248 13 282 14590 13278 16 222 11 279 14 227 14 244 14 267 13278 12105 14 246 12 286 10 246 10 248 12 260 12105 11050 15 278 11 282 11 285 6 285 9 253 11050 10099 12 296 8 305 10 288 6 315 7 228 10099 9243 13 318 12 333 8 281 7 311 5 217 9243 8476 16 328 14 328 8 274 8 301 5 230 8476 7787 17 326 14 322 10 260 11 286 6 251 7787 7161 14 318 13 308 11 252 16 272 10 269 7161 6600 12 299 12 290 11 249 19 261 17 273 6600 6125 13 272 12 273 11 247 20 253 22 269 6125 5759 13 260 12 269 11 246 18 247 22 264 5759 5505 11 255 12 268 11 245 16 242 16 254 5505 5350 10 252 11*267 10*245 13*239 12*250 5350 5261 6*251 9*266 9*243 8*236 6*245 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography