DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.4 - - 40.3 - - 39.2 - - 36.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 9 - - -47 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 201 - - 200 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5261 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1516 - - 2050 - - 1836 - - 775 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 46 - - 59 - - 0 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 21 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 243 - - 238 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -7 - - -5 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5261 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4125 - - -709 - - -840 - - -2226 ODpotential blCL - - - 9386 - - 5971 - - 6101 - - 7488 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 99 - - 99 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.4 - - 40.3 - - 39.2 - - 36.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.1 - - 37.8 - - 38.5 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.4 - - 40.0 - - 40.3 - - 37.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.3 - - 37.5 - - 38.6 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 9 - - -47 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 201 - - 200 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 58 - - 97 - - 97 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96231 5 250 15 348 18 339 13 310 96231 89250 8 011 10 012 11 024 9 345 89250 83770 2 066 2 295 11 326 13 345 83770 79144 3 077 7 319 10 337 13 340 79144 75132 11 036 7 245 15 317 19 342 75132 71568 17 005 5 337 11 325 13 332 71568 68317 19 313 15 345 15 315 11 308 68317 65325 25 288 20 316 19 302 16 294 65325 62569 52 297 43 299 33 316 23 298 62569 59903 60 284 46 284 51 292 47 302 59903 57104 54 277 58 285 60 292 54 294 57104 54189 56 276 69 279 70 287 62 280 54189 51405 66 279 64 279 72 280 65 275 51405 48890 68 285 83 291 72 282 72 284 48890 46637 85 292 98 288 84 288 85 287 46637 44601 95 286 99 280 94 287 95 286 44601 42741 99 276 92 275 101 284 99 284 42741 41023 98 269 90 274 105 281 101 282 41023 39427 95 271 95 277 106 278 103 280 39427 37941 102 278 105 277 105 278 106 280 37941 36558 119 280 116 276 102 279 109 281 36558 35249 132 280 122 272 101 280 116 284 35249 33950 131 277 120 268 102 281 125 286 33950 32631 119 271 114 263 105 278 130 285 32631 31291 111 267 109 260 107 275 128 283 31291 29916 113 267 104 257 108 272 124 280 29916 28497 114 270 98 257 108 271 121 278 28497 27037 111 272 97 259 109 272 119 277 27037 25537 106 274 101 262 110 273 118 277 25537 24000 100 276 104 265 109 273 115 278 24000 22432 95 276 103 269 108 275 107 278 22432 20829 91 274 96 272 104 277 98 278 20829 19183 88 272 85 269 96 279 90 277 19183 17524 86 273 75 264 86 281 83 276 17524 15936 82 276 72 268 79 281 78 272 15936 14493 77 280 74 274 75 278 72 268 14493 13204 73 280 71 277 72 276 70 270 13204 12045 68 277 64 277 68 274 70 277 12045 11003 63 272 61 274 65 271 68 284 11003 10063 62 272 62 273 63 269 62 289 10063 9217 62 272 62 270 60 265 54 294 9217 8458 60 269 59 265 57 262 44 299 8458 7776 56 263 55 258 53 258 38 303 7776 7155 51 256 52 253 49 254 33 301 7155 6597 48 252 49 251 45 249 27 291 6597 6125 43 247 44 248 40 245 25 274 6125 5759 37 244 38 246 34 242 22 260 5759 5505 32 242 34 245 29 240 19 254 5505 5350 28 241 29*244 25 239 16*251 5350 5262 20*240 21*243 17*238 10*248 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography