DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.6 - - 39.2 - - 45.0 - - 41.9 - - 34.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 87 - - 76 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 145 - - 1349 - - 2529 - - 2037 - - 204 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 111 - - 108 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 256 - - 073 - - 207 - - 200 - - 202 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - -807 - - 1 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5262 - - 6070 - - 5262 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -7589 - - -4564 - - -3730 - - -4059 - - -6860 ODpotential blCL 12850 - - 9826 - - 8992 - - 9321 - - 12121 blCL maxRH 80 - - 90 - - 87 - - 80 - - 85 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.6 - - 39.2 - - 45.0 - - 41.9 - - 34.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 34.9 - - 37.0 - - 38.5 - - 33.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.1 - - 38.0 - - 44.0 - - 43.6 - - 38.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 34.0 - - 35.8 - - 37.9 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 87 - - 76 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 20 - - 62 - - 47 - - 20 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95675 31 300 34 296 36 300 34 293 32 285 95675 88903 14 328 22 307 21 308 22 304 20 316 88903 83616 6 014 11 340 12 318 14 327 14 348 83616 79164 7 015 8 010 7 311 13 315 15 338 79164 75283 11 332 8 016 7 281 12 296 15 308 75283 71830 13 331 9 360 3 342 7 269 15 310 71830 68688 17 334 14 323 10 328 12 298 16 295 68688 65788 23 315 17 311 9 318 10 310 9 291 65788 63081 18 307 14 310 17 319 20 319 16 316 63081 60455 14 319 20 314 20 296 28 318 21 307 60455 57721 25 330 18 311 20 318 29 322 24 322 57721 54888 33 321 26 334 28 339 29 327 28 314 54888 52184 26 323 31 340 30 341 20 322 26 326 52184 49744 29 337 36 346 25 355 39 332 43 334 49744 47565 30 330 37 345 53 338 56 323 50 319 47565 45591 31 346 37 357 59 330 42 323 40 325 45591 43773 45 354 65 341 55 348 45 342 50 352 43773 42089 63 346 77 343 67 353 64 348 75 340 42089 40529 69 340 75 346 73 346 74 341 83 334 40529 39085 58 344 62 343 70 343 71 339 73 335 39085 37740 46 351 48 339 57 343 60 340 60 339 37740 36454 38 004 34 347 46 343 53 339 50 345 36454 35159 44 018 32 004 40 342 46 338 42 350 35159 33830 50 020 36 009 39 339 37 336 32 351 33830 32469 52 020 40 002 38 337 30 332 27 347 32469 31064 52 020 39 359 30 340 26 325 26 336 31064 29606 55 015 34 006 21 346 25 321 22 326 29606 28098 62 008 33 004 21 353 21 319 22 316 28098 26540 59 004 34 359 23 352 19 317 22 315 26540 24935 52 008 39 351 30 341 19 316 22 315 24935 23287 40 032 40 346 31 335 19 320 23 314 23287 21592 26 032 29 348 27 329 22 326 24 314 21592 19843 21 002 22 346 23 327 25 330 22 314 19843 18078 22 350 22 343 21 331 24 328 19 316 18078 16387 20 340 22 349 19 343 20 328 17 326 16387 14853 19 336 19 352 16 352 14 335 15 330 14853 13487 16 337 15 351 12 354 10 333 13 331 13487 12266 13 338 12 349 9 349 8 328 10 330 12266 11169 11 338 9 347 7 337 7 320 9 330 11169 10185 9 334 6 349 5 317 7 314 8 332 10185 9303 6 317 3 353 5 296 7 307 8 329 9303 8515 4 284 1 321 5 278 7 296 7 320 8515 7812 4 251 2 251 5 262 7 278 6 301 7812 7176 2 228 2 245 4 240 7 260 6 284 7176 6609 2 176 1 214 3 228 6 238 5 252 6609 6133 3 127 2 069 3 220 7 229 6 223 6133 5763 3 102 3 069 3 215 7 223 6 213 5763 5507 4 091 3 070 3 211 6 216 5 205 5507 5351 1*103 3*074 3*209 5*208 3 194 5351 5261 0*256 2*073 3*207 4*200 1*202 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography