DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 32.9 - - 26.9 - - 22.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 40 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 390 - - 730 - - 355 - - 124 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 66 - - 85 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 074 - - 064 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -894 - - -1614 - - -15 - - -199 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6155 - - 6875 - - 5276 - - 5459 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13585 - - -12686 - - -12268 - - -13771 ODpotential blCL - - - 18846 - - 17947 - - 17529 - - 19031 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 79 - - 91 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 25.8 - - 32.9 - - 26.9 - - 22.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.8 - - 21.6 - - 22.5 - - 17.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 25.3 - - 32.2 - - 29.0 - - 26.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.1 - - 20.6 - - 22.0 - - 18.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 40 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 16 - - 65 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95527 75 017 72 011 75 005 63 004 95527 88753 66 026 61 012 56 011 51 006 88753 83440 62 021 56 019 49 016 42 001 83440 78977 53 013 48 020 40 023 34 002 78977 75082 42 005 37 008 33 018 28 009 75082 71592 35 004 32 002 26 008 25 009 71592 68411 31 356 32 001 26 354 26 010 68411 65478 28 342 32 352 26 349 28 355 65478 62758 23 336 29 346 28 346 29 339 62758 60126 24 333 30 340 31 345 26 332 60126 57390 30 315 30 321 30 325 26 320 57390 54554 29 309 29 305 29 309 25 310 54554 51836 29 302 30 289 27 297 26 290 51836 49389 32 302 29 288 33 284 30 289 49389 47238 35 288 39 274 50 276 46 275 47238 45338 48 283 55 279 64 276 54 277 45338 43599 74 288 82 280 76 283 72 275 43599 41973 102 282 100 282 99 269 98 261 41973 40450 100 282 99 276 102 266 97 258 40450 39014 88 284 91 276 88 268 88 260 39014 37661 76 285 83 278 75 274 71 267 37661 36366 71 286 78 278 65 273 57 273 36366 35065 67 286 72 280 62 274 54 275 35065 33728 52 283 65 287 59 278 54 277 33728 32359 39 278 62 290 55 282 49 280 32359 30946 32 275 63 288 50 286 46 283 30946 29481 32 274 53 294 48 293 40 290 29481 27967 35 278 38 283 42 298 33 295 27967 26405 31 282 35 270 35 286 28 283 26405 24798 25 273 29 272 31 272 33 271 24798 23153 24 261 25 270 22 265 30 272 23153 21470 20 259 23 255 22 257 25 263 21470 19742 16 248 21 242 25 256 24 257 19742 17995 16 240 20 238 23 256 21 257 17995 16317 15 242 19 237 20 253 19 256 16317 14791 15 244 17 239 19 248 16 254 14791 13431 15 246 15 240 16 248 15 250 13431 12215 14 250 13 239 13 244 14 243 12215 11124 12 251 13 237 13 235 13 234 11124 10142 11 250 12 234 14 230 13 229 10142 9263 10 247 12 233 13 228 13 229 9263 8480 10 238 12 230 12 225 11 231 8480 7781 9 233 10 222 9 217 8 220 7781 7149 6 222 8 203 6 193 4 186 7149 6586 4 180 7 170 6 164 5 134 6586 6113 4 095 6 101 6 089 7 090 6113 5750 9 056 7 075 10 062 11 064 5750 5500 9 054 7 075 10 059 13 052 5500 5348 6*056 6*074 7*059 10 043 5348 5260 5*057 5*074 4*064 5*039 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography