DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/23 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.9 - - 44.8 - - 46.3 - - 46.0 - - 41.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 47 - - 32 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3121 - - 2811 - - 3589 - - 3564 - - 2745 Hgt.Variab. W* 42 - - 93 - - 84 - - 35 - - 15 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 11 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 192 - - 226 - - 275 - - 263 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -3 - - -5 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -304 - - -481 - - -818 - - -797 - - -768 ODpotential blCL 5566 - - 5743 - - 6080 - - 6059 - - 6030 blCL maxRH 101 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 80 - - 0 - - 0 - - 120 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.9 - - 44.8 - - 46.3 - - 46.0 - - 41.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.9 - - 42.6 - - 42.9 - - 43.7 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 45.6 - - 44.1 - - 45.7 - - 45.8 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.6 - - 41.9 - - 41.8 - - 43.1 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 47 - - 32 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97220 4 160 8 243 6 286 7 351 4 260 97220 90057 6 131 10 133 1 338 9 051 8 069 90057 84547 9 083 13 132 1 114 9 005 9 054 84547 79964 9 055 10 111 1 118 6 332 14 048 79964 75987 6 032 6 074 3 098 2 294 7 028 75987 72459 9 342 3 017 7 156 1 258 2 001 72459 69260 6 284 3 282 7 170 2 223 4 265 69260 66308 8 232 8 261 6 224 6 248 8 232 66308 63560 13 251 14 254 12 233 15 247 13 238 63560 60882 24 237 13 253 15 237 20 229 22 228 60882 58068 26 239 17 244 20 235 22 222 26 220 58068 55124 31 235 25 231 26 225 24 218 28 220 55124 52292 37 220 34 228 30 219 27 220 29 223 52292 49729 39 212 38 218 31 219 28 222 28 226 49729 47427 35 205 36 208 32 215 27 222 25 224 47427 45337 32 200 33 201 31 208 29 224 24 227 45337 43426 29 199 29 197 30 203 30 220 27 230 43426 41667 27 203 26 194 28 202 26 211 26 219 41667 40039 33 204 26 196 23 211 17 233 13 221 40039 38530 41 197 28 204 22 230 18 243 11 299 38530 37134 44 194 32 204 23 232 17 234 15 299 37134 35813 39 189 27 202 21 225 12 234 12 285 35813 34506 31 184 19 202 10 214 2 130 7 151 34506 33188 22 171 6 149 17 032 19 050 22 083 33188 31853 18 135 24 034 22 011 17 024 14 046 31853 30477 16 097 35 016 22 349 18 345 17 355 30477 29054 16 086 24 359 26 336 19 337 23 353 29054 27583 11 106 24 358 25 331 18 333 29 358 27583 26063 3 140 19 351 25 330 19 339 31 357 26063 24498 2 323 13 347 24 326 21 350 29 359 24498 22892 3 340 7 332 24 324 21 355 25 003 22892 21241 4 269 7 288 24 322 20 354 19 004 21241 19540 5 284 14 266 24 321 18 356 15 003 19540 17823 6 325 21 264 23 322 17 359 12 001 17823 16176 4 344 22 265 22 324 18 003 11 002 16176 14680 2 313 23 268 21 329 19 005 11 011 14680 13347 2 225 26 269 21 333 21 002 11 028 13347 12156 6 198 25 271 21 335 21 355 15 039 12156 11086 9 191 24 275 21 333 21 346 19 039 11086 10125 12 190 22 277 21 327 19 338 22 034 10125 9263 13 191 21 274 19 316 17 331 23 028 9263 8492 12 192 23 267 18 305 16 323 23 020 8492 7801 11 194 23 258 17 290 14 312 22 014 7801 7172 11 195 23 249 17 283 14 302 18 011 7172 6609 11 196 23 240 17 280 13 290 13 007 6609 6134 10 195 22 233 16 278 13 277 8 355 6134 5764 10 194 21 230 16 277 13 270 5 326 5764 5508 8 193 20 228 15 276 12 267 4 290 5508 5352 7*193 18*227 14*276 11*265 4*275 5352 5262 6*192 14*226 11*275 8*263 3*263 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography