DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 51.8 - - 45.4 - - 36.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 113 - - -44 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 669 - - 1725 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5644 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5730 - - 6786 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 501 - - 1079 - - 1031 - - 196 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 153 - - 244 - - 0 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 20 - - 9 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 252 - - 251 - - 245 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -8 - - -3 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2093 - - -2358 - - -3197 - - -1654 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7823 - - 9145 - - 8459 - - 6917 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7133 - - -7807 - - -10719 - - -11579 ODpotential blCL - - - 12863 - - 14593 - - 15981 - - 16841 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 65 - - 72 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 51.8 - - 45.4 - - 36.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 30.2 - - 27.1 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 50.6 - - 47.2 - - 39.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 30.2 - - 27.0 - - 25.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 113 - - -44 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 669 - - 1725 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95867 40 352 28 359 36 355 41 357 95867 88984 27 352 22 359 32 353 33 354 88984 83590 24 005 22 008 17 358 20 006 83590 79053 28 011 37 002 28 355 23 000 79053 75108 22 006 31 002 31 358 29 004 75108 71616 9 356 18 013 23 352 25 003 71616 68440 20 006 19 017 21 026 17 022 68440 65492 37 342 35 343 26 001 28 006 65492 62769 41 335 41 337 36 343 38 352 62769 60158 36 338 39 331 41 330 34 350 60158 57435 44 334 40 325 40 322 35 343 57435 54599 53 324 47 323 46 323 47 328 54599 51889 58 321 53 318 57 318 55 321 51889 49453 61 317 57 319 60 318 59 320 49453 47271 63 317 61 320 61 317 62 318 47271 45296 67 318 63 320 61 317 61 314 45296 43497 67 316 63 318 59 318 56 311 43497 41850 64 313 59 314 57 317 53 311 41850 40327 61 313 52 311 53 311 53 309 40327 38903 60 314 48 314 49 306 53 303 38903 37565 58 314 50 316 47 310 51 301 37565 36280 55 313 54 315 49 317 48 305 36280 34989 52 311 54 313 51 320 47 310 34989 33663 50 310 53 310 50 319 45 314 33663 32305 50 308 52 306 48 317 44 315 32305 30903 50 305 51 304 46 316 44 312 30903 29450 49 303 49 305 43 312 43 309 29450 27951 45 303 44 307 42 308 45 309 27951 26407 42 305 41 307 42 308 49 313 26407 24822 42 307 40 306 44 311 51 317 24822 23196 43 309 42 309 46 313 51 320 23196 21526 44 311 44 315 46 313 49 321 21526 19803 43 311 44 318 45 312 45 321 19803 18059 40 309 42 317 42 311 42 319 18059 16385 36 307 39 312 39 309 39 317 16385 14863 31 304 37 307 37 309 36 315 14863 13505 27 300 33 305 36 310 35 313 13505 12288 23 296 29 302 35 312 34 312 12288 11196 20 294 27 299 33 313 33 312 11196 10213 18 292 25 294 31 311 32 313 10213 9331 16 289 24 287 29 307 29 314 9331 8542 14 285 24 280 28 299 26 313 8542 7836 14 279 24 272 27 288 22 310 7836 7194 13 273 24*264 28 277 20 300 7194 6620 15 266 22*255 29 267 21 280 6620 6137 16 262 21 252 27 259 26 265 6137 5764 16*258 21 250 24 254 27 259 5764 5507 13*253 20 250 20 249 21 253 5507 5351 11 252 18 249 16*248 15*247 5351 5262 9 251 14 248 9*245 8*242 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography