DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.1 - - 39.5 - - 46.8 - - 44.0 - - 35.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 94 - - 187 - - -10 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 3491 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 7176 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 8552 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 73 - - 2205 - - 1842 - - 3631 - - 171 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 112 - - 364 - - 17 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 9 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 331 - - 007 - - 266 - - 269 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 0 - - -4 - - -3 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1899 - - -3438 - - -2496 - - -4898 - - -2050 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7160 - - 8699 - - 11049 - - 10160 - - 7311 sfcLCL ODpotential -8830 - - -7270 - - -6760 - - -9147 - - -7521 ODpotential blCL 14091 - - 12531 - - 15312 - - 14409 - - 12782 blCL maxRH 57 - - 49 - - 67 - - 77 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.1 - - 39.5 - - 46.8 - - 44.0 - - 35.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.9 - - 20.2 - - 17.0 - - 18.3 - - 22.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.6 - - 38.4 - - 45.2 - - 44.3 - - 38.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.8 - - 19.6 - - 16.6 - - 18.2 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 94 - - 187 - - -10 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 3491 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 8 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95398 68 292 56 297 62 305 48 306 45 301 95398 88639 28 303 37 300 42 310 32 317 36 336 88639 83306 20 302 24 296 29 294 37 302 30 320 83306 78807 29 312 18 320 25 281 32 302 27 296 78807 74912 36 299 20 306 25 286 34 301 28 318 74912 71436 28 301 16 293 20 283 32 289 36 310 71436 68273 21 314 14 300 18 293 27 293 35 302 68273 65363 27 312 24 300 23 296 24 301 30 302 65363 62644 31 294 32 289 26 292 27 298 28 304 62644 59979 31 291 33 289 30 294 33 293 33 303 59979 57189 33 292 39 286 37 288 32 293 38 300 57189 54291 36 299 43 289 37 290 34 297 37 296 54291 51513 57 295 59 285 45 289 38 299 38 305 51513 49002 64 282 61 274 53 285 47 294 44 304 49002 46754 54 273 49 273 56 282 47 289 44 297 46754 44723 38 269 48 286 54 285 44 291 43 306 44723 42877 39 301 53 295 50 285 42 305 47 310 42877 41192 57 303 57 297 40 297 47 327 37 305 41192 39650 56 301 52 296 54 316 52 332 52 345 39650 38232 53 306 51 310 54 318 62 344 82 346 38232 36920 56 310 57 324 58 341 66 343 85 339 36920 35668 59 316 64 319 66 344 67 342 78 336 35668 34411 49 323 60 326 69 338 67 344 72 334 34411 33121 51 349 59 341 61 331 64 343 69 332 33121 31803 66 355 62 343 56 326 63 338 67 333 31803 30442 70 352 63 339 55 325 60 335 66 334 30442 29032 66 348 63 338 49 326 52 328 65 337 29032 27573 68 345 59 342 42 328 50 318 64 341 27573 26065 63 341 54 347 40 333 47 315 62 342 26065 24510 47 329 45 351 39 335 43 318 56 338 24510 22912 39 314 37 338 37 331 41 321 46 329 22912 21265 40 309 40 318 35 319 37 323 48 325 21265 19566 42 309 41 314 35 315 35 323 49 328 19566 17847 41 309 37 316 34 318 35 321 42 333 17847 16199 36 308 32 320 32 320 35 320 33 336 16199 14702 30 306 26 323 28 320 32 321 28 332 14702 13366 23 306 20 321 23 318 26 321 26 325 13366 12171 16 307 16 315 18 316 21 316 25 319 12171 11099 12 309 13 306 15 310 19 308 23 315 11099 10134 10 322 10 298 13 297 17 302 21 313 10134 9267 10 342 8 306 11*277 15 294 18 313 9267 8493 11 358 6 321 10*267 15 286 16 316 8493 7800 11 011 3 336 10 266 14 279 13 316 7800 7171 10 022 2 358 10 266 14 274 11 308 7171 6607 8 031 2 353 10 266 14 272 10 285 6607 6131 7 029 3 357 9 267 13 272 13 273 6131 5762 7 018 3 360 9 267 13 271 15 271 5762 5506 6 005 3 004 9 267 11 270 13 271 5506 5351 4*351 3 006 8 268 10*270 8 269 5351 5261 3*331 2*007 8 268 7*269 5*267 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography