DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 53.7 - - 51.1 - - 45.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 347 - - 76 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2400 - - 3770 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6528 - - 7632 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7461 - - 8831 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1152 - - 1567 - - 4287 - - 1742 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 369 - - 459 - - 104 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 35 - - 37 - - 19 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 277 - - 271 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -16 - - -8 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -908 - - -483 - - -3451 - - -2232 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8369 - - 9314 - - 8714 - - 7494 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4378 - - -2879 - - -6432 - - -6775 ODpotential blCL - - - 11839 - - 11710 - - 11694 - - 12037 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 85 - - 84 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 53.7 - - 51.1 - - 45.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.4 - - 31.2 - - 31.3 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.1 - - 51.9 - - 50.2 - - 46.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.1 - - 31.1 - - 31.2 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 347 - - 76 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2400 - - 3770 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 39 - - 38 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96335 5 064 5 061 6 065 8 074 96335 89233 4 024 2 055 2 045 15 061 89233 83720 1 313 3 114 14 036 8 053 83720 79126 2 069 6 334 15 337 10 356 79126 75148 10 054 2 278 7 302 13 287 75148 71596 19 332 19 309 17 309 15 296 71596 68336 31 282 29 264 26 279 13 288 68336 65359 19 264 11 199 24 286 17 298 65359 62616 37 318 29 324 32 321 39 312 62616 59961 62 307 54 300 59 311 65 305 59961 57208 62 312 57 305 66 303 65 302 57208 54346 70 311 68 309 69 306 67 309 54346 51603 79 303 76 304 73 302 73 306 51603 49134 77 299 78 300 73 297 75 302 49134 46926 70 304 73 305 72 306 75 309 46926 44937 80 315 82 315 85 316 89 318 44937 43142 103 314 103 312 105 311 104 311 43142 41512 109 302 104 299 105 294 103 298 41512 40009 100 294 92 290 89 285 90 289 40009 38597 89 301 87 297 82 290 79 291 38597 37265 89 309 85 303 84 299 83 297 37265 35984 90 309 85 304 97 302 89 302 35984 34692 86 305 88 304 101 302 94 304 34692 33366 81 302 96 304 100 303 95 306 33366 32010 86 302 101 304 97 306 92 308 32010 30614 95 304 99 305 93 307 88 308 30614 29168 101 306 94 307 87 307 85 307 29168 27677 97 307 89 308 81 306 82 305 27677 26143 89 307 85 308 74 305 78 303 26143 24572 82 305 81 306 69 304 73 302 24572 22966 77 305 77 304 67 303 67 302 22966 21319 72 304 72 302 67 303 62 302 21319 19622 69 304 68 302 65 303 58 303 19622 17906 66 303 64 302 63 303 57 304 17906 16257 64 300 59 302 60 303 56 303 16257 14757 62 297 56 301 57 301 55 302 14757 13417 61 294 54 299 55 299 55 300 13417 12217 60 291 53 297 53 297 54 297 12217 11139 59 290 52 294 51 293 54 293 11139 10168 58 289 50 290 49 289 55 288 10168 9297 56 289 45*285 46 286 55 284 9297 8517 52 287 41*281 40 281 54 282 8517 7819 47*283 40 280 36 277 52 281 7819 7185 40*277 39 278 34 275 48 281 7185 6617 37 273 38 276 33 274 43 279 6617 6139 35 270 37 275 32 273 35 273 6139 5767 34 269 36 275 30 273 29 268 5767 5510 32 268 34 274 28 272 24 265 5510 5352 29 267 31 274 26*272 21*264 5352 5262 22 267 24 273 19*271 14*262 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography