DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/14 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.1 - - 53.0 - - 53.7 - - 49.2 - - 44.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -45 - - 75 - - 68 - - -12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 831 - - 1735 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5892 - - 6796 - - 5263 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 167 - - 1183 - - 2468 - - 1915 - - 180 Hgt.Variab. W* 8 - - 168 - - 207 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 18 - - 20 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 239 - - 249 - - 255 - - 248 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -10 - - -13 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -90 - - -1972 - - -231 - - -881 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5352 - - 7864 - - 7028 - - 6145 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -5656 - - -4816 - - -2144 - - -3575 - - -4154 ODpotential blCL 10918 - - 10708 - - 8940 - - 8838 - - 9416 blCL maxRH 90 - - 88 - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.1 - - 53.0 - - 53.7 - - 49.2 - - 44.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.8 - - 36.7 - - 40.9 - - 40.4 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.5 - - 52.2 - - 52.9 - - 49.8 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.7 - - 36.4 - - 40.8 - - 40.3 - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -45 - - 75 - - 68 - - -12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 831 - - 1735 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 52 - - 90 - - 102 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96094 20 032 26 023 32 046 33 043 33 053 96094 89225 23 049 19 028 25 043 26 039 35 044 89225 83857 15 035 13 049 14 019 27 034 28 037 83857 79364 13 007 17 043 4 057 20 001 22 020 79364 75461 11 011 9 005 7 037 12 340 13 354 75461 71970 14 336 13 321 12 338 13 337 11 331 71970 68792 14 317 10 300 13 309 17 312 18 309 68792 65883 18 284 12 294 9 331 15 316 16 312 65883 63195 21 283 21 287 7 308 15 319 17 318 63195 60573 29 280 33 282 23 310 23 298 26 307 60573 57809 38 279 38 264 38 278 38 282 38 288 57809 54932 49 265 41 264 44 260 43 270 47 271 54932 52183 53 258 47 264 48 265 44 273 45 268 52183 49712 50 268 50 259 59 272 52 276 51 275 49712 47513 65 276 61 265 65 266 61 273 60 276 47513 45530 78 261 71 265 66 264 63 271 60 272 45530 43713 82 249 76 263 61 267 61 271 53 271 43713 42035 89 251 80 264 61 267 60 270 54 278 42035 40482 98 253 85 259 65 263 61 267 57 281 40482 39035 105 251 99 253 77 262 60 265 53 289 39035 37678 110 250 112 251 93 254 55 264 49 293 37678 36376 113 250 119 249 103 250 49 268 48 302 36376 35067 112 250 118 250 103 252 46 273 45 318 35067 33722 110 250 111 252 102 257 48 277 45 338 33722 32347 108 248 106 253 106 260 57 275 50 340 32347 30929 107 248 102 252 107 259 70 272 47 334 30929 29459 105 249 101 249 105 258 86 268 47 326 29459 27941 99 250 101 249 103 258 95 265 45 314 27941 26376 90 253 98 251 99 259 93 263 43 297 26376 24767 79 255 90 253 90 259 90 263 50 284 24767 23119 67 256 81 254 83 258 86 265 58 280 23119 21434 59 250 72 253 77 258 82 265 64 277 21434 19705 57 242 63 250 71 258 78 264 70 276 19705 17965 56 241 58 243 63 254 69 265 66 277 17965 16304 54 243 55 243 58 244 56 260 57 278 16304 14801 53 248 53 249 52 245 49 250 49 272 14801 13462 54 255 51 256 47 254 46 249 45 267 13462 12263 52 258 46 260 45 262 43 252 40 263 12263 11184 46 255 40 260 43 266 40 261 37 263 11184 10211 39 250 36 258 38 266 37 266 36 267 10211 9335 35 248 31 254 34 260 34 267 36 272 9335 8550 31 249 26 250 30 254 30 266 36 276 8550 7846 27 247 25 249 28 255 27 267 34 277 7846 7207 27 241 25 253 24*257 24 268 31 278 7207 6633 28 240 25 255 22*256 21 268 28 278 6633 6148 29 245 24*254 21 255 18 266 24 277 6148 5772 26 247 21*250 20 255 16 261 19 274 5772 5512 21 244 19 249 19 254 13 255 14 267 5512 5353 16*240 17 248 17 254 10*252 10 260 5353 5262 9*239 13 248 13 253 7*248 5*247 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography