DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.6 - - 47.7 - - 52.5 - - 48.1 - - 41.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - 32 - - 42 - - -19 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5263 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 77 - - 1206 - - 3934 - - 877 - - 81 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 84 - - 91 - - 20 - - 16 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 259 - - 259 - - 234 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -3 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -1083 - - -1907 - - -206 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 6345 - - 7169 - - 5469 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -6467 - - -3934 - - -4002 - - -3436 - - -5728 ODpotential blCL 11728 - - 9196 - - 9264 - - 8699 - - 10990 blCL maxRH 67 - - 66 - - 68 - - 73 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.6 - - 47.7 - - 52.5 - - 48.1 - - 41.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.5 - - 38.4 - - 39.5 - - 42.5 - - 37.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.2 - - 47.1 - - 51.8 - - 50.5 - - 44.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.3 - - 37.2 - - 38.2 - - 41.8 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - 32 - - 42 - - -19 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 202 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95960 34 296 29 284 31 283 37 288 31 313 95960 89097 29 303 16 292 20 294 23 302 22 307 89097 83752 19 302 15 310 17 286 23 314 15 313 83752 79261 13 328 13 325 14 288 17 312 13 322 79261 75350 11 328 11 313 13 302 10 296 10 306 75350 71865 11 313 12 306 12 320 18 295 12 329 71865 68692 13 318 14 304 10 345 16 294 18 324 68692 65770 16 316 15 308 15 344 8 003 11 303 65770 63046 23 316 20 330 27 328 16 360 20 338 63046 60415 27 315 24 314 34 309 32 308 34 311 60415 57689 23 314 28 306 30 302 25 301 28 303 57689 54853 26 305 30 299 29 308 38 319 35 310 54853 52123 27 298 32 303 51 295 51 305 35 290 52123 49635 31 297 44 303 46 289 42 293 53 320 49635 47399 44 296 55 301 44 303 54 323 65 322 47399 45386 52 294 54 300 50 309 72 322 68 328 45386 43559 52 293 47 302 53 308 72 315 69 325 43559 41894 49 296 48 310 54 303 57 302 56 311 41894 40363 52 305 48 306 51 297 48 284 42 297 40363 38939 61 305 43 300 43 295 36 276 42 276 38939 37602 65 297 36 300 36 306 28 299 30 286 37602 36318 65 288 36 318 41 329 42 320 30 307 36318 35033 62 288 53 334 52 332 48 314 37 309 35033 33718 55 293 72 340 54 328 48 307 42 303 33718 32374 53 307 66 339 50 319 39 310 41 301 32374 30988 57 313 52 339 49 318 40 304 38 300 30988 29548 60 314 45 333 51 331 47 296 35 297 29548 28058 61 312 40 321 40 340 46 292 35 301 28058 26516 59 311 39 308 28 335 40 282 39 308 26516 24926 56 311 37 307 24 324 43 280 42 310 24926 23293 49 311 38 301 23 309 45 289 39 310 23293 21615 42 310 39 287 28 302 47 296 35 307 21615 19887 41 302 40 285 32 305 47 304 34 304 19887 18137 44 300 39 293 32 309 47 312 34 306 18137 16454 39 307 37 303 31 311 42 317 33 312 16454 14921 31 310 32 307 27 309 32 320 31 319 14921 13553 27 306 26 303 24 308 24 317 28 323 13553 12329 25 299 23 296 22 308 20 316 22 325 12329 11232 24 294 23 292 21 308 17 315 15 320 11232 10246 22 292 23 290 19 308 15 314 10 307 10246 9361 20 292 22 288 16 309 13 312 8 290 9361 8569 17 297 20 286 13 309 12 308 9 282 8569 7858 15 306 19 284 11 303 11 299 10 279 7858 7214 12 313 18 280 10 287 12 286 12 277 7214 6637 8 313 18 272 11 269 12 275 14 275 6637 6150 6 286 18 266 10 265 12 268 17 270 6150 5773 10 261 17 264 10 262 12 260 17 266 5773 5512 14 254 13 261 10 261 11 251 15 264 5512 5353 11 253 11*260 9 261 9*243 10*259 5353 5262 6*253 9*259 8*259 6*234 6*256 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography