DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.0 - - 46.8 - - 44.7 - - 45.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -38 - - -7 - - -26 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 785 - - 1623 - - 1250 - - 467 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 46 - - 38 - - 21 - - 28 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 9 - - 8 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 187 - - 177 - - 200 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -50 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5312 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2788 - - -1929 - - -1738 - - -3063 ODpotential blCL - - - 8050 - - 7191 - - 7000 - - 8325 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 100 - - 97 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.0 - - 46.8 - - 44.7 - - 45.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.8 - - 43.9 - - 43.1 - - 42.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.0 - - 46.8 - - 45.6 - - 46.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.9 - - 43.3 - - 43.0 - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -38 - - -7 - - -26 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 98 - - 89 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95847 34 325 28 335 33 333 27 352 95847 88863 29 329 22 327 35 322 24 330 88863 83453 31 305 24 304 28 304 27 317 83453 78947 21 313 22 301 25 305 25 322 78947 75032 32 287 36 288 30 299 39 299 75032 71569 25 266 23 284 17 266 30 270 71569 68428 3 351 1 017 12 327 14 250 68428 65492 21 261 38 273 26 270 32 256 65492 62756 54 242 50 245 38 234 33 234 62756 60114 50 224 46 237 33 241 30 263 60114 57338 37 240 48 247 56 257 52 261 57338 54440 51 255 63 243 91 242 88 245 54440 51681 80 247 85 235 98 231 96 235 51681 49195 89 244 81 232 81 229 86 230 49195 46971 91 249 67 242 75 239 84 234 46971 44965 104 247 91 252 95 244 97 236 44965 43139 119 241 122 246 119 238 113 234 43139 41458 127 238 136 239 127 232 125 231 41458 39899 129 239 140 235 126 228 130 228 39899 38449 130 241 140 235 125 227 132 227 38449 37100 128 242 130 236 126 228 134 228 37100 35815 122 242 115 235 123 229 132 227 35815 34528 113 239 100 233 111 229 123 223 34528 33213 102 233 89 232 94 227 111 219 33213 31871 88 229 78 225 80 223 94 217 31871 30489 81 228 74 219 75 219 88 215 30489 29057 79 231 71 218 76 219 89 215 29057 27577 72 231 64 218 77 220 88 215 27577 26052 63 226 57 219 77 221 83 216 26052 24486 58 226 54 220 74 221 74 217 24486 22885 54 226 53 221 70 221 68 219 22885 21245 50 225 50 221 66 221 63 221 21245 19559 47 223 46 221 64 222 59 222 19559 17855 46 223 42 223 61 224 56 221 17855 16221 44 225 41 228 57 226 53 221 16221 14735 44 228 43 232 53 228 51 222 14735 13409 44 231 46 233 48 230 50 222 13409 12221 44 233 46 232 45 230 49 220 12221 11152 43 233 43 227 45 227 48 219 11152 10188 40 231 40 219 47 223 46 219 10188 9321 36 226 38 212 47 216 44 219 9321 8542 34 218 38 207 50 206 44 216 8542 7841 34 214 38 204 51 199 48 212 7841 7203 34 211 37 200 47 194 51 208 7203 6630 36 203 32 197 41 190 50 206 6630 6147 37 200 25 193 33 186 45 203 6147 5772 33 198 19 190 26 183 37 201 5772 5512 25 197 15 188 19 180 28 200 5512 5353 22*197 13*187 16*179 23*199 5353 5262 14*197 9*187 8*177 12*200 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography