DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 71.7 - - 71.7 - - 58.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 273 - - 26 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1685 - - 3973 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5959 - - 7699 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6746 - - 9034 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1221 - - 1428 - - 5757 - - 98 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 311 - - 431 - - 74 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 071 - - 223 - - 228 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3705 - - -4050 - - -7962 - - -4944 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10451 - - 13084 - - 13226 - - 10207 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9148 - - -8605 - - -12544 - - -12378 ODpotential blCL - - - 15894 - - 17639 - - 17807 - - 17641 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 79 - - 71 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.9 - - 71.7 - - 71.7 - - 58.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 32.6 - - 32.0 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.9 - - 69.5 - - 71.1 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.4 - - 32.4 - - 31.9 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 273 - - 26 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1685 - - 3973 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97812 12 311 10 290 5 259 10 279 97812 90571 7 301 10 284 7 330 4 335 90571 84938 2 331 10 257 13 303 10 358 84938 80270 7 007 4 281 13 303 13 344 80270 76269 13 316 8 324 11 288 14 331 76269 72741 11 282 12 312 10 290 11 286 72741 69541 11 276 20 294 17 309 3 282 69541 66575 17 278 22 283 25 293 17 293 66575 63814 15 274 20 265 25 276 23 285 63814 61142 17 282 21 260 26 276 32 283 61142 58364 26 284 28 267 33 273 32 282 58364 55493 32 294 37 285 36 286 35 284 55493 52760 50 294 42 291 44 292 41 295 52760 50312 59 295 55 295 55 296 52 300 50312 48136 61 292 61 296 65 298 65 299 48136 46172 58 288 62 300 64 297 68 291 46172 44372 58 296 62 304 61 300 63 294 44372 42709 59 304 64 302 60 300 59 303 42709 41158 57 308 63 301 58 298 55 302 41158 39697 55 312 57 301 56 294 52 297 39697 38321 54 313 56 300 59 290 52 289 38321 36998 55 310 59 296 61 287 55 285 36998 35665 57 307 60 294 56 288 54 282 35665 34298 57 304 57 297 51 292 48 281 34298 32905 55 301 55 300 49 295 44 284 32905 31475 53 301 52 301 47 297 41 289 31475 29995 51 303 49 300 45 296 39 291 29995 28466 47 304 48 297 43 294 38 292 28466 26888 43 302 45 294 43 293 38 293 26888 25265 42 298 42 291 42 291 38 293 25265 23603 39 295 40 291 40 289 37 292 23603 21896 35 295 38 291 37 289 36 290 21896 20138 30 291 36 289 34 288 33 289 20138 18361 27 286 32 286 31 288 30 287 18361 16658 25 287 27 286 26 288 25 285 16658 15110 20 287 21 285 20 288 19 281 15110 13727 16 285 16 279 14 286 13 274 13727 12488 12 282 15 276 11 287 9 268 12488 11372 10 277 12 275 9 281 7 267 11372 10366 9 276 10 268 8 259 7 268 10366 9461 8 273 7*239 8 241 8 271 9461 8651 6 286 7*233 9 236 10 269 8651 7925 3 309 7 228 9 233 11 263 7925 7266 3*048 7 225 9 231 12 255 7266 6675 5*067 6 222 9 230 13 247 6675 6176 6 070 6 218 9 229 14 241 6176 5789 6 072 6 216 9 228 14 238 5789 5520 6 072 5 215 9 228 13 236 5520 5357 5 073 5 214 8 227 9*232 5357 5263 5 075 5 214 7*228 5*230 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography