DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.1 - - 45.1 - - 52.4 - - 47.4 - - 41.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 81 - - 48 - - -7 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 202 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5263 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 150 - - 1747 - - 5414 - - 5575 - - 2928 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 110 - - 97 - - 19 - - 33 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 4 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 054 - - 097 - - 178 - - 232 - - 254 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -349 - - -933 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5611 - - 6196 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -6381 - - -3460 - - -2138 - - -1266 - - -1177 ODpotential blCL 11642 - - 8722 - - 7401 - - 6528 - - 6439 blCL maxRH 88 - - 81 - - 91 - - 96 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 340 - - 740 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m 34.1 - - 45.1 - - 52.4 - - 47.4 - - 41.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.1 - - 38.7 - - 43.3 - - 45.1 - - 38.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.0 - - 44.0 - - 51.5 - - 48.3 - - 41.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.0 - - 37.5 - - 42.0 - - 44.6 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 81 - - 48 - - -7 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 202 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 52 - - 25 - - 63 - - 83 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96908 4 311 13 259 13 269 18 285 17 312 96908 89776 5 111 7 195 10 273 7 316 3 330 89776 84257 6 115 7 156 8 274 8 355 2 061 84257 79655 1 084 5 150 4 213 4 350 4 015 79655 75677 3 097 6 131 6 161 0 234 8 327 75677 72150 4 018 2 161 4 155 6 195 10 261 72150 68946 5 302 5 212 2 218 7 204 7 224 68946 65982 12 251 9 232 9 237 7 243 7 224 65982 63211 17 237 10 260 8 222 14 244 15 236 63211 60509 16 234 16 262 11 241 16 225 23 228 60509 57669 16 241 22 230 14 235 19 250 22 236 57669 54712 19 246 19 221 20 239 27 238 29 246 54712 51890 20 229 16 218 25 220 27 225 30 238 51890 49345 23 236 23 230 24 217 28 225 25 228 49345 47051 34 233 32 227 27 235 26 229 22 236 47051 44962 40 222 35 225 34 243 29 250 28 244 44962 43057 39 215 34 224 41 249 38 246 34 250 43057 41313 34 222 36 234 44 240 42 248 38 255 41313 39701 34 230 47 235 43 241 50 250 41 258 39701 38203 35 228 51 227 47 240 53 246 46 262 38203 36809 36 234 47 223 49 241 54 246 48 258 36809 35485 42 236 48 231 54 242 58 247 47 257 35485 34166 43 232 45 229 58 238 64 245 48 259 34166 32824 40 226 41 232 60 237 70 239 49 259 32824 31463 38 219 42 238 63 237 74 233 48 255 31463 30071 37 215 44 242 66 237 76 232 47 249 30071 28640 35 218 44 244 66 237 76 232 46 244 28640 27176 34 222 42 241 65 236 74 232 48 237 27176 25685 33 222 43 233 62 232 70 231 51 227 25685 24165 33 221 45 229 61 228 66 229 48 220 24165 22613 33 220 44 226 61 227 61 229 47 220 22613 21013 31 218 43 221 59 226 49 229 50 222 21013 19357 30 219 42 219 54 225 52 232 53 222 19357 17677 31 224 42 222 50 224 47 230 51 225 17677 16063 32 229 40 223 46 224 42 228 48 232 16063 14595 32 234 36 221 41 223 36 227 46 242 14595 13285 29 234 32 217 35 220 31 227 42 249 13285 12111 25 228 29 212 29 211 24 233 39 256 12111 11056 22 211 26 201 26 208 20 241 37 262 11056 10105 20 200 22 202 24 208 18 244 36 266 10105 9248 17 196 22 207 23 204 17 243 34 268 9248 8481 16 196 23 202 21 198 16 241 32 270 8481 7793 16 198 21 196 19 194 15 242 31 272 7793 7167 18 196 17 189 17 188 14 242 29 273 7167 6606 15 180 10 168 15 183 13 243 27 271 6606 6132 9 126 7 129 15 182 12 242 24 267 6132 5764 11 079 6 103 14 180 10 239 22 262 5764 5508 12 066 6 100 13 179 8 237 18 258 5508 5351 9*057 6*098 12*178 7*236 16*256 5351 5262 4*054 6*097 10*178 4*232 11*254 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography