DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 31.6 - - 36.1 - - 30.1 - - 21.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 99 - - -24 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2451 - - 5265 - - 2109 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 91 - - 114 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 2 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 028 - - 194 - - 219 - - 226 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2714 - - -4328 - - -1952 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7975 - - 9589 - - 7213 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5376 - - -6198 - - -5630 - - -5076 ODpotential blCL - - - 10637 - - 11459 - - 10891 - - 10336 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 68 - - 68 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 31.6 - - 36.1 - - 30.1 - - 21.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.5 - - 12.8 - - 17.3 - - 19.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.9 - - 35.0 - - 32.0 - - 23.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.8 - - 12.4 - - 17.2 - - 20.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 50 - - 99 - - -24 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 51 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96706 52 066 63 073 41 059 35 064 96706 89603 40 075 46 062 43 066 38 061 89603 84091 34 071 33 069 38 063 34 055 84091 79471 31 061 27 076 31 050 35 032 79471 75477 26 045 27 053 29 047 28 034 75477 71929 19 048 24 026 23 048 22 032 71929 68682 21 051 21 033 26 039 26 033 68682 65680 24 030 24 025 31 021 30 028 65680 62895 20 022 24 010 27 008 27 028 62895 60192 24 015 14 002 22 013 27 027 60192 57361 18 016 28 019 26 017 32 023 57361 54419 37 007 37 002 35 010 41 016 54419 51622 41 003 40 003 42 006 50 014 51622 49125 40 005 41 009 49 011 59 013 49125 46897 42 008 47 018 56 014 63 011 46897 44871 49 012 57 019 60 017 61 008 44871 43007 59 013 66 018 60 019 58 011 43007 41281 67 013 69 016 62 019 59 012 41281 39672 72 012 69 014 65 013 61 010 39672 38170 74 013 67 013 62 009 61 006 38170 36772 74 015 66 013 61 008 56 006 36772 35447 73 017 67 014 62 007 52 010 35447 34132 73 019 65 015 62 006 52 011 34132 32801 74 020 60 015 59 008 51 009 32801 31456 75 021 54 017 55 011 46 004 31456 30083 75 023 53 017 52 011 49 357 30083 28666 74 026 55 015 51 009 55 355 28666 27206 72 024 55 015 49 008 57 358 27206 25700 71 023 54 016 47 009 51 360 25700 24153 61 024 52 021 44 011 43 356 24153 22568 41 019 48 025 40 014 38 355 22568 20938 29 017 37 021 36 016 35 355 20938 19261 25 022 29 009 32 011 32 355 19261 17568 23 024 25 005 27 001 29 355 17568 15950 19 017 20 010 23 352 25 353 15950 14486 15 004 15 008 19 347 20 347 14486 13183 12 354 12 351 16 343 16 338 13183 12018 10 349 13 334 15 339 14 333 12018 10970 7 001 13 321 14 332 14 330 10970 10027 6 027 10 308 12 323 13 328 10027 9180 6 049 6 292 12 303 12 328 9180 8421 7 059 4 271 13 282 13 325 8421 7741 8 063 3 247 13 266 15 315 7741 7123 9 060 2 232 14 253 17 298 7123 6570 10 054 2 219 15 246 20 281 6570 6106 9 046 2 210 15 241 22 269 6106 5746 7 035 2 200 14 236 22 259 5746 5498 6 030 2 196 13 230 17 249 5498 5347 5*028 2 192 10*224 12 239 5347 5260 5*028 2*194 6*219 6*226 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography