DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.5 - - 38.9 - - 33.9 - - 31.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 49 - - -23 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1120 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6181 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2596 - - 5622 - - 3513 - - 1541 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 173 - - 95 - - 24 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 12 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 262 - - 244 - - 231 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -4 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 863 - - -764 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5318 - - 6025 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1174 - - -1794 - - -1300 - - -1331 ODpotential blCL - - - 7355 - - 7055 - - 6561 - - 6592 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 88 - - 84 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 90 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.5 - - 38.9 - - 33.9 - - 31.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.5 - - 30.8 - - 30.9 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 38.1 - - 34.8 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 29.7 - - 30.5 - - 30.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 56 - - 49 - - -23 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1120 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 39 - - 53 - - 34 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95911 30 266 30 280 24 286 30 264 95911 88941 14 286 23 282 23 322 14 298 88941 83517 17 320 16 292 17 296 15 288 83517 78985 16 315 13 296 13 277 13 291 78985 75076 18 325 13 291 11 280 6 312 75076 71583 25 275 15 293 15 289 10 294 71583 68380 28 263 20 263 21 274 24 278 68380 65404 28 271 17 280 25 274 32 272 65404 62616 33 278 24 291 25 259 33 267 62616 59898 34 274 28 276 21 263 31 267 59898 57042 40 264 29 271 26 272 31 263 57042 54052 41 256 34 276 34 271 30 272 54052 51188 37 255 40 271 43 272 32 282 51188 48621 38 254 44 262 45 271 33 287 48621 46336 38 251 42 260 42 270 35 284 46336 44273 35 252 37 263 37 272 36 276 44273 42383 34 258 34 268 33 278 35 274 42383 40640 37 262 33 270 32 281 33 280 40640 39030 41 264 35 271 34 280 32 293 39030 37539 45 262 41 271 40 277 38 300 37539 36153 47 257 47 268 43 276 45 293 36153 34839 46 255 46 265 44 279 43 282 34839 33538 44 255 46 265 49 274 40 281 33538 32223 43 256 44 264 48 266 39 285 32223 30902 40 257 37 265 51 268 40 286 30902 29567 37 262 33 266 51 260 47 291 29567 28201 38 267 31 267 46 258 57 294 28201 26796 37 268 31 267 44 259 62 295 26796 25346 38 270 30 268 40 257 54 298 25346 23853 37 271 29 270 37 255 42 298 23853 22320 33 272 30 272 37 258 44 289 22320 20743 28 272 32 273 39 265 46 281 20743 19115 24 270 32 272 40 270 46 277 19115 17467 21 265 31 271 40 273 42 273 17467 15882 21 260 29 270 38 273 39 270 15882 14441 21 261 26 268 35 269 36 267 14441 13155 21 266 24 268 33 265 37 263 13155 12001 20 271 22 269 31 264 38 262 12001 10961 19 278 20 268 27 265 37 264 10961 10024 22 281 19 263 24 264 35 269 10024 9181 24 280 19 259 22 261 32 273 9181 8426 24 281 19 255 20 257 29 275 8426 7749 22 282 19 251 20 252 26 273 7749 7133 20 281 19 249 19 247 24 268 7133 6581 19*275 18 247 19 243 23 262 6581 6115 17*266 18 246 18 240 21 256 6115 5753 17 262 17 245 17 237 18 251 5753 5502 16 261 16 245 15 235 14 242 5502 5349 14 260 15*244 12 232 11*238 5349 5261 11 259 12*244 8*231 7*233 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography