DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.6 - - 43.9 - - 48.2 - - 40.7 - - 30.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 196 - - 296 - - 167 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 2193 - - 5984 - - 6129 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 6256 - - 9299 - - 9101 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 7254 - - 11045 - - 11190 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1058 - - 1003 - - 3471 - - 2408 - - 5383 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 318 - - 509 - - 424 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 37 - - 45 - - 36 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 245 - - 266 - - 280 - - 307 - - 342 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 30 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -16 - - -15 - - -12 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2164 - - 677 - - 2210 - - -180 - - -4118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7427 - - 6578 - - 8835 - - 11370 - - 9379 sfcLCL ODpotential -8600 - - -1600 - - 197 - - -1791 - - -6265 ODpotential blCL 13862 - - 8854 - - 10848 - - 12981 - - 11526 blCL maxRH 75 - - 88 - - 75 - - 60 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 130 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.6 - - 43.9 - - 48.2 - - 40.7 - - 30.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.4 - - 33.2 - - 27.6 - - 9.1 - - 8.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.8 - - 42.6 - - 46.6 - - 39.6 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.3 - - 33.1 - - 27.4 - - 9.0 - - 8.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 196 - - 296 - - 167 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 2193 - - 5984 - - 6129 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 53 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96241 7 086 8 034 9 102 6 087 1 041 96241 89128 11 052 7 082 9 088 2 064 11 026 89128 83621 9 046 8 089 5 055 4 034 15 031 83621 79041 11 013 8 092 3 347 5 348 16 029 79041 75087 8 001 7 035 4 335 6 007 13 023 75087 71588 11 354 9 351 10 338 9 319 9 010 71588 68407 17 338 13 345 11 347 7 335 16 322 68407 65466 20 335 18 288 16 311 12 327 13 305 65466 62717 20 324 18 287 24 283 13 273 11 293 62717 60027 20 300 17 308 21 268 22 303 16 310 60027 57179 34 324 15 335 45 296 40 302 28 319 57179 54194 53 308 54 307 58 295 47 289 49 311 54194 51344 65 297 62 297 51 289 50 303 59 312 51344 48798 71 292 65 297 60 301 66 308 65 314 48798 46532 75 291 70 294 75 299 74 305 68 315 46532 44483 78 288 71 289 76 297 73 305 71 318 44483 42612 79 285 71 287 74 298 75 307 78 323 42612 40890 79 282 74 287 75 299 80 309 88 323 40890 39296 80 281 76 287 77 299 86 310 95 320 39296 37817 82 280 76 287 79 297 90 310 99 321 37817 36450 87 276 76 286 80 296 94 313 108 326 36450 35158 91 272 78 284 80 298 102 317 120 329 35158 33874 91 270 80 282 84 301 113 321 130 330 33874 32564 85 271 79 282 90 304 125 323 139 331 32564 31231 79 274 77 282 96 304 133 322 149 331 31231 29859 73 276 76 281 100 304 139 321 156 330 29859 28436 67 278 75 281 100 304 141 320 159 328 28436 26964 62 280 74 281 96 303 138 319 160 327 26964 25440 60 282 72 280 91 302 130 317 159 329 25440 23872 59 283 70 277 87 300 118 312 149 329 23872 22271 59 282 70 276 83 296 111 306 127 324 22271 20641 58 282 69 276 82 292 104 301 111 317 20641 18980 57 282 67 278 82 289 95 299 100 311 18980 17318 57 282 65 280 81 289 85 297 87 310 17318 15736 57 281 62 284 73 289 75 297 74 313 15736 14306 58 279 59 288 62 287 63 299 60 318 14306 13035 59 278 55 291 56 285 49 303 44 321 13035 11897 60 277 51 294 55*285 40*305 32 323 11897 10875 61 275 49 294 54*286 39*306 28 329 10875 9955 61 274 48 292 52 285 38 307 31 336 9955 9127 62 273 48 289 50 285 38 307 33 338 9127 8385 61 274 47 285 47 282 37 307 34 340 8385 7718 58 276 44*278 44 279 36 307 33 341 7718 7112 52 277 41*271 42 276 36 307 32 342 7112 6567 44 275 40 268 40 274 35 306 30 342 6567 6107 36 270 39 266 39 273 34 306 28 343 6107 5749 27 264 37 265 38 273 33 306 25 343 5749 5500 20 256 35 264 36 272 32 306 23 343 5500 5348 16*252 31 263 33 272 29 306 20*343 5348 5261 9*245 23 262 26 271 22 306 14*342 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography