DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 71.9 - - 71.8 - - 62.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 378 - - 465 - - 201 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7627 - - 10595 - - 10467 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10727 - - 13250 - - 12618 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12688 - - 15656 - - 15528 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2517 - - 1645 - - 1755 - - 1835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 600 - - 717 - - 541 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 284 - - 290 - - 300 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 9 - - 26 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1481 - - 204 - - 490 - - -7094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14169 - - 15453 - - 15039 - - 12358 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3752 - - -1024 - - -576 - - -11258 ODpotential blCL - - - 16440 - - 16680 - - 16104 - - 16521 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 69 - - 77 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 71.9 - - 71.8 - - 62.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.3 - - 21.6 - - 23.6 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 68.9 - - 70.0 - - 64.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 21.0 - - 23.1 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 378 - - 465 - - 201 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7627 - - 10595 - - 10467 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 5 - - 0 - - 9 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97848 13 242 13 299 7 284 13 290 97848 90428 11 238 8 279 9 293 3 344 90428 84715 9 219 10 236 9 292 3 004 84715 79981 6 200 7 252 8 316 2 031 79981 75889 3 185 8 256 9 298 8 337 75889 72269 6 229 6 294 4 308 5 326 72269 68992 1 230 9 284 9 299 10 351 68992 65976 3 328 7 288 8 269 10 332 65976 63170 7 336 9 323 9 294 7 320 63170 60442 6 301 9 278 13 293 13 319 60442 57602 12 334 4 281 12 292 14 315 57602 54672 22 311 18 317 17 316 23 320 54672 51898 21 303 20 311 18 310 20 305 51898 49416 17 312 21 315 21 325 24 323 49416 47203 31 317 39 316 40 323 36 322 47203 45217 43 319 49 318 50 320 47 323 45217 43423 56 327 57 325 59 326 53 333 43423 41795 70 331 72 330 73 337 69 343 41795 40293 79 330 83 329 81 336 73 341 40293 38883 77 326 83 325 81 334 71 338 38883 37552 70 322 78 322 79 335 69 337 37552 36271 66 320 72 320 78 335 68 337 36271 34980 66 321 68 321 76 334 66 337 34980 33654 65 322 67 322 74 332 63 337 33654 32297 65 323 65 324 72 334 60 334 32297 30901 65 323 64 326 68 340 55 333 30901 29455 64 324 62 328 61 345 51 334 29455 27962 62 324 54 329 56 348 47 337 27962 26424 56 325 47 328 50 345 45 343 26424 24843 48 324 45 328 46 343 43 348 24843 23222 42 321 42 325 39 343 37 345 23222 21556 38 317 40 322 33 338 32 333 21556 19839 34 313 36 320 31 333 31 322 19839 18103 31 311 29 316 22 332 28 322 18103 16440 29 310 19*311 14*327 19 326 16440 14933 25 309 15*304 13*326 9 339 14933 13590 20*304 15 303 13 325 9 352 13590 12384 16*293 15 301 13 320 10 347 12384 11294 15 289 15 297 13 310 12 341 11294 10310 15 287 16 291 14 302 14 335 10310 9422 15 285 16 288 15 294 15 330 9422 8625 15 283 16 285 15 289 16 324 8625 7908 15 282 16 283 16 285 17 318 7908 7255 14 280 17 281 16 283 17 311 7255 6669 14 280 16 279 16 281 18 304 6669 6173 14 278 16 278 16 280 18 297 6173 5787 14 278 16 277 16 279 17 290 5787 5520 13 278 16 277 15 278 15 283 5520 5357 13 277 15 276 15 278 12*279 5357 5263 11 277 14 276 13 277 8*276 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography