DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.4 - - 28.3 - - 34.5 - - 32.8 - - 30.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 103 - - 48 - - -19 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 728 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5243 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5260 - - 5789 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 371 - - 2019 - - 1183 - - 821 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 178 - - 90 - - 18 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 14 - - 12 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 241 - - 245 - - 248 - - 244 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -4 - - -4 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -471 - - -2377 - - -1411 - - -328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5260 - - 6261 - - 7638 - - 6672 - - 5589 sfcLCL ODpotential -9362 - - -7220 - - -7349 - - -6763 - - -5674 ODpotential blCL 14622 - - 13009 - - 12610 - - 12024 - - 10935 blCL maxRH 90 - - 78 - - 93 - - 95 - - 101 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 15.4 - - 28.3 - - 34.5 - - 32.8 - - 30.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 12.9 - - 19.8 - - 19.7 - - 22.3 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 17.5 - - 27.2 - - 33.9 - - 33.2 - - 30.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 16.2 - - 19.3 - - 19.5 - - 22.1 - - 24.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 103 - - 48 - - -19 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 199 - - 728 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 59 - - 12 - - 73 - - 78 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96587 38 084 22 077 31 088 28 084 27 091 96587 89462 32 071 21 062 25 079 28 067 29 081 89462 83951 29 066 19 077 21 065 22 048 26 055 83951 79379 27 050 21 071 19 064 14 028 22 036 79379 75433 19 038 26 043 26 054 13 031 20 022 75433 71944 19 029 29 025 24 048 11 046 14 011 71944 68785 19 017 24 013 23 024 19 016 15 019 68785 65866 20 023 21 016 21 006 16 009 13 012 65866 63133 23 010 23 015 15 356 18 341 12 331 63133 60476 26 009 23 018 15 353 20 339 23 337 60476 57732 32 016 30 014 21 355 30 335 26 336 57732 54889 39 014 37 000 34 345 31 337 20 348 54889 52135 43 002 42 345 39 346 36 349 30 349 52135 49628 43 348 42 350 51 353 50 349 47 349 49628 47367 45 355 55 356 61 351 56 351 61 347 47367 45302 53 004 66 352 65 353 65 350 71 342 45302 43397 66 358 70 350 70 348 74 344 74 336 43397 41631 65 352 69 349 68 346 73 340 69 334 41631 39986 60 354 67 352 64 350 65 341 64 340 39986 38450 58 002 68 358 69 355 67 348 66 345 38450 37014 65 008 74 002 79 355 78 351 73 343 37014 35651 85 006 84 359 87 349 83 346 76 339 35651 34307 100 001 89 351 82 342 76 336 75 336 34307 32955 102 358 91 350 75 341 65 331 72 334 32955 31596 98 359 93 353 75 346 62 333 68 329 31596 30212 96 360 91 353 78 349 63 334 63 323 30212 28790 94 358 86 351 77 347 62 335 61 322 28790 27328 93 357 83 349 73 344 61 336 63 325 27328 25821 85 359 80 350 69 343 59 335 59 324 25821 24270 57 357 73 351 63 343 57 336 53 326 24270 22681 47 346 63 350 58 343 54 337 50 332 22681 21048 45 337 53 346 52 341 50 336 48 335 21048 19368 39 332 46 340 47 336 44 333 44 333 19368 17671 35 334 42 334 42 329 39 330 40 329 17671 16046 31 337 38 329 38 324 35 328 37 323 16046 14570 28 335 31 323 32 321 32 326 35 318 14570 13253 25 330 26 317 27 318 29 326 32 316 13253 12076 23 323 23 312 23 313 27 325 31 316 12076 11017 20 318 20 308 20 309 25 324 29 317 11017 10065 14 312 16 301 18 305 23 321 27 318 10065 9209 10 307 13 289 17 299 19 317 25 318 9209 8444 8 307 11 275 20 292 17 311 21 315 8444 7758 7 311 11 264 24 280 18 297 20 307 7758 7135 6 311 11 263 26 267 24 279 21 290 7135 6578 5 304 13 263 24 253 28 266 26 271 6578 6111 6 286 13*259 23 250 28 257 28 258 6111 5750 9 267 9*247 22 248 25 253 24 251 5750 5501 10 253 8 240 20 247 21 251 19 247 5501 5348 6*243 7 238 18*246 18*249 16*245 5348 5261 3*232 6 237 14*245 12*248 11*244 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography