DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 36.5 - - 41.7 - - 31.8 - - 24.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 94 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 782 - - 201 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5843 - - 5262 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 706 - - 7924 - - 1550 - - 339 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 180 - - 112 - - 37 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 9 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 256 - - 257 - - 049 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1534 - - -3439 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7377 - - 8702 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4048 - - -4480 - - -207 - - -2810 ODpotential blCL - - - 9891 - - 9742 - - 5468 - - 8071 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 96 - - 99 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 36.5 - - 41.7 - - 31.8 - - 24.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.7 - - 21.9 - - 31.1 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.4 - - 40.5 - - 31.4 - - 27.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.3 - - 21.6 - - 30.9 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 99 - - 94 - - 3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 782 - - 201 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 84 - - 97 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96920 53 074 59 074 57 064 55 062 96920 89684 49 069 44 072 48 061 45 063 89684 84081 41 056 36 063 38 053 37 061 84081 79403 32 055 30 047 29 049 30 048 79403 75357 27 047 21 041 24 045 24 036 75357 71778 24 033 19 031 18 035 25 040 71778 68534 18 030 19 029 13 043 25 031 68534 65539 15 024 22 035 16 027 21 023 65539 62737 17 021 22 014 13 036 17 032 62737 59996 15 008 17 325 24 030 30 014 59996 57124 17 009 13 318 18 004 26 010 57124 54135 21 330 9 005 17 355 20 354 54135 51280 21 302 30 335 33 331 25 347 51280 48712 17 288 27 315 31 316 26 332 48712 46412 16 302 22 314 29 318 30 335 46412 44330 28 314 20 322 27 320 31 331 44330 42428 38 305 29 324 25 317 30 331 42428 40675 38 300 32 322 25 325 30 337 40675 39047 39 301 31 320 27 334 31 340 39047 37532 42 297 31 317 31 335 30 343 37532 36124 46 289 32 310 33 330 30 348 36124 34791 49 283 34 303 31 325 27 351 34791 33470 50 281 34 299 26 325 24 356 33470 32139 50 283 32 295 23 326 19 358 32139 30801 50 283 32 293 24 321 17 358 30801 29441 46 283 34 287 25 306 16 351 29441 28050 41 285 33 280 24 294 16 348 28050 26628 39 287 32 279 24 288 16 344 26628 25176 37 291 31 280 24 286 16 328 25176 23694 36 294 30 283 23 288 12 291 23694 22178 34 295 28 285 19 293 8 250 22178 20619 34 295 26 287 11 296 5 227 20619 19009 32 295 24 292 0 265 7 295 19009 17378 29 296 21 300 1 339 11 316 17378 15811 25 298 18 310 5 017 11 338 15811 14382 20 301 15 321 9 027 15 000 14382 13106 17 307 14 332 12 020 18 015 13106 11961 16 313 14 335 15 015 19 031 11961 10929 16 318 13 333 16 013 21 039 10929 9999 16 319 12 328 17 013 24 042 9999 9162 14 317 11 320 16 013 26 041 9162 8412 12 309 10 307 14 014 25 037 8412 7738 11 292 10 293 12 016 25 033 7738 7125 12 277 11 278 10 021 24 030 7125 6575 16 265 11 264 9 030 23 027 6575 6110 16*260 11 262 9 045 19 027 6110 5749 15*257 11 260 9 048 14 031 5749 5500 14 256 11 259 8 049 10 039 5500 5348 13 255 10*258 8*049 5*046 5348 5261 11 254 9*257 6*049 2*046 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography