DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/04 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.0 - - 53.4 - - 52.8 - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 263 - - 9 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1567 - - 5675 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5693 - - 9005 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6628 - - 10736 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1346 - - 1690 - - 9116 - - 1758 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 259 - - 482 - - 52 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 17 - - 11 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 170 - - 194 - - 187 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 13 - - 0 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -359 - - 461 - - -4675 - - -1118 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6987 - - 10275 - - 9937 - - 6381 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3548 - - -848 - - -5893 - - -3784 ODpotential blCL - - - 10176 - - 11584 - - 11155 - - 9046 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 80 - - 100 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.0 - - 53.4 - - 52.8 - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.7 - - 26.5 - - 27.4 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 51.5 - - 52.6 - - 42.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.6 - - 26.0 - - 27.3 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 142 - - 263 - - 9 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1567 - - 5675 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 20 - - 99 - - 41 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96074 15 282 21 293 18 301 18 330 96074 89000 11 342 11 288 19 309 17 311 89000 83578 15 346 13 316 17 314 16 319 83578 79063 9 346 7 303 10 334 13 330 79063 75156 25 314 23 309 19 318 19 315 75156 71703 25 288 24 300 29 319 26 317 71703 68547 29 303 37 298 44 310 29 305 68547 65588 38 292 47 282 44 291 42 285 65588 62822 45 282 49 278 44 284 52 279 62822 60142 50 278 46 280 46 283 48 279 60142 57337 51 277 45 281 47 282 42 281 57337 54401 50 276 52 279 52 280 45 279 54401 51573 51 278 59 272 60 271 51 274 51573 49012 54 277 63 267 61 265 55 267 49012 46710 58 273 62 267 58 265 55 264 46710 44621 59 272 59 270 55 269 55 263 44621 42711 61 269 61 267 61 268 54 259 42711 40957 60 263 62 257 67 259 52 257 40957 39335 59 258 61 251 60 248 51 250 39335 37832 59 252 63 247 56 242 47 234 37832 36444 55 240 68 235 66 238 42 234 36444 35135 51 236 69 227 77 229 52 239 35135 33842 51 238 68 228 79 224 71 234 33842 32535 52 238 67 229 78 222 79 224 32535 31209 55 240 65 229 74 222 78 213 31209 29847 56 241 61 229 71 222 73 212 29847 28440 54 240 59 230 69 224 66 216 28440 26997 50 236 58 230 66 227 64 224 26997 25522 46 232 56 227 61 228 64 227 25522 24013 42 231 53 223 55 228 62 227 24013 22472 39 231 49 222 50 227 59 228 22472 20889 37 228 47 224 46 224 55 228 20889 19257 35 229 45 228 45 223 52 228 19257 17603 33 234 40 232 43 231 50 228 17603 16011 31 238 36 236 35 237 50 228 16011 14559 30 240 34 235 29 237 49 227 14559 13260 29 238 32 231 25 234 43 224 13260 12094 27 229 28 222 21 229 36 223 12094 11045 22 216 21*204 20 224 25 224 11045 10098 21 202 19*198 19 217 14 225 10098 9246 18 197 19 197 19 209 15 220 9246 8482 16 207 18 195 19 202 18 222 8482 7794 16 205 18 194 19 198 19 230 7794 7168 15*199 17 193 19 195 20 240 7168 6607 10*183 17 192 18 193 23 242 6607 6132 8 169 16 191 18 192 25 236 6132 5764 7 166 15 191 17 191 24 230 5764 5508 7 165 15 190 16 190 22 224 5508 5351 6 162 14 190 15*189 18*222 5351 5262 6 162 12 189 11*187 11*219 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography