DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.1 - - 61.9 - - 69.8 - - 69.8 - - 58.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 183 - - 301 - - 62 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 2141 - - 5800 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 6206 - - 9158 - - 5247 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 7202 - - 10861 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 94 - - 2265 - - 2770 - - 8588 - - 155 Hgt.Variab. W* 38 - - 312 - - 505 - - 98 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 17 - - 25 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 253 - - 235 - - 199 - - 182 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -7 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -535 - - -70 - - -6250 - - -3588 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 7737 - - 10932 - - 11513 - - 8851 sfcLCL ODpotential -4817 - - -2926 - - -1391 - - -7778 - - -8225 ODpotential blCL 10079 - - 10128 - - 12252 - - 13041 - - 13488 blCL maxRH 71 - - 70 - - 71 - - 72 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 90 - - 70 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.1 - - 61.9 - - 69.8 - - 69.8 - - 58.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.2 - - 46.1 - - 40.0 - - 37.6 - - 38.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 49.2 - - 60.3 - - 67.4 - - 68.9 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.6 - - 45.4 - - 39.8 - - 37.5 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 183 - - 301 - - 62 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 2141 - - 5800 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98303 12 225 11 239 14 242 12 244 11 249 98303 90918 8 175 9 209 8 229 6 223 8 218 90918 85244 10 181 5 199 6 187 6 264 0 058 85244 80553 8 165 3 214 3 161 3 308 6 068 80553 76512 6 035 6 169 2 221 4 309 8 019 76512 72941 7 352 4 125 2 148 4 241 6 325 72941 69709 7 300 3 175 4 236 6 259 5 277 69709 66719 9 251 5 206 9 205 12 249 8 262 66719 63923 10 232 9 222 11 213 14 226 14 261 63923 61203 17 244 12 237 15 224 16 225 19 241 61203 58364 29 235 19 235 20 217 20 233 21 234 58364 55419 32 231 26 230 25 233 27 236 28 239 55419 52615 36 228 36 228 37 238 36 240 34 239 52615 50102 35 232 35 225 39 237 41 238 38 242 50102 47866 43 238 38 237 43 239 42 240 41 243 47866 45851 41 234 40 231 37 244 38 238 44 236 45851 44023 33 236 32 245 44 259 41 262 35 248 44023 42360 28 256 38 260 44 255 36 258 27 239 42360 40825 38 266 31 272 27 290 18 280 23 282 40825 39394 33 260 26 302 33 298 29 300 38 305 39394 38051 21 284 29 325 29 308 33 301 39 307 38051 36762 25 325 35 334 38 325 29 312 34 305 36762 35463 31 335 38 335 47 328 28 320 29 300 35463 34128 32 336 39 333 50 332 30 318 26 295 34128 32761 28 332 39 332 42 337 31 312 24 295 32761 31348 23 320 39 333 29 334 30 312 18 290 31348 29882 22 307 34 336 27 320 26 324 12 279 29882 28366 22 304 27 336 30 314 22 332 13 266 28366 26801 20 303 26 331 29 312 20 318 19 271 26801 25191 17 298 25 327 25 306 19 299 22 282 25191 23536 17 295 20 320 22 302 21 296 22 293 23536 21831 18 291 15 303 18 298 21 297 19 298 21831 20074 16 292 15 289 14 285 20 293 15 296 20074 18301 14 297 14 291 15 280 19 288 13 288 18301 16605 14 302 12 304 14 289 16 289 14 287 16605 15067 13 313 11 315 12 304 12 302 12 286 15067 13694 10 336 10 319 10 319 8 305 6 283 13694 12463 8 350 8 325 8 326 5 280 3 270 12463 11353 8 350 7 332 3*306 5 217 3 234 11353 10353 7 340 6 341 2*230 5 206 3 218 10353 9453 6 318 4 343 3 213 6 201 3 213 9453 8646 7 297 3 329 3 205 6 194 4 208 8646 7923 7 282 3 280 4 199 6 191 5 200 7923 7265 8 271 3*251 4 196 7 188 6 191 7265 6675 8 261 4*242 4 192 7 185 8 181 6675 6176 7 255 3 238 4 189 7 184 10 175 6176 5789 6 250 3 233 4 189 7 183 11 169 5789 5520 5 251 3 229 4 188 7 182 10 167 5520 5357 3 247 3 230 4 187 7 181 8*167 5357 5263 2*253 3 229 4 187 6*182 4*172 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography