DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 56.2 - - 65.6 - - 65.7 - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 253 - - 387 - - 128 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 1903 - - 9079 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 6135 - - 11909 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 6964 - - 14140 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 204 - - 1950 - - 2167 - - 12464 - - 278 Hgt.Variab. W* 55 - - 331 - - 639 - - 124 - - 9 W* B/S 4 - - 25 - - 13 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 9 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 032 - - 100 - - 269 - - 286 - - 306 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -3 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1774 - - -3622 - - -97 - - -9371 - - -5963 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7036 - - 10587 - - 14238 - - 14635 - - 11227 sfcLCL ODpotential -7332 - - -6433 - - -1236 - - -10216 - - -9972 ODpotential blCL 12594 - - 13397 - - 15376 - - 15479 - - 15235 blCL maxRH 79 - - 72 - - 70 - - 70 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 56.2 - - 65.6 - - 65.7 - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.1 - - 28.2 - - 21.0 - - 19.4 - - 22.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.0 - - 54.3 - - 62.8 - - 64.2 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.5 - - 27.3 - - 20.6 - - 19.2 - - 21.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 253 - - 387 - - 128 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 1903 - - 9079 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 14 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96264 22 299 15 282 25 265 28 287 20 296 96264 89090 16 275 19 290 20 282 26 300 18 330 89090 83626 15 293 16 291 23 300 27 308 17 321 83626 79097 20 318 15 300 24 299 26 307 25 310 79097 75188 20 321 21 309 26 304 24 305 28 308 75188 71720 25 304 27 302 31 300 31 307 29 312 71720 68555 30 301 30 300 33 299 36 306 35 309 68555 65619 37 307 36 300 36 295 37 300 37 302 65619 62869 43 307 39 300 40 292 41 295 41 299 62869 60181 46 299 43 298 43 292 43 294 44 296 60181 57359 47 290 47 294 46 294 43 295 44 295 57359 54421 44 286 47 288 49 293 46 297 44 297 54421 51617 41 288 44 285 47 291 48 296 44 294 51617 49103 43 290 39 288 44 289 48 292 42 292 49103 46861 44 290 39 292 42 289 48 288 43 293 46861 44838 43 288 41 291 40 291 45 286 44 294 44838 42996 41 286 40 285 39 290 41 285 44 291 42996 41314 39 283 38 281 39 290 37 288 41 287 41314 39773 39 282 37 280 40 288 37 293 36 286 39773 38353 38 285 41 276 42 286 37 294 33 291 38353 37036 38 288 41 273 44 282 38 294 33 295 37036 35777 38 286 39 277 44 282 39 292 32 299 35777 34512 37 284 37 281 43 284 41 289 30 305 34512 33214 35 282 37 284 41 285 40 289 31 309 33214 31885 34 279 36 286 38 286 37 290 31 309 31885 30516 33 278 36 288 34 287 35 290 29 307 30516 29097 32 277 36 287 32 287 33 291 27 305 29097 27632 31 274 35 286 32 287 31 292 25 306 27632 26121 33 269 34 280 31 290 28 292 25 306 26121 24569 33 269 35 277 29 292 24 294 24 302 24569 22980 28 278 31 281 27 294 22 300 23 300 22980 21351 23 290 25 285 25 296 24 303 23 302 21351 19671 21 291 20 286 22 298 23 305 23 304 19671 17971 20 286 19 290 20 299 19 306 21 304 17971 16336 19 287 19 291 18 298 13 294 18 302 16336 14845 17 293 18 291 15*292 11 284 16 298 14845 13510 14 301 16 291 12*281 11 282 15 289 13510 12311 11 307 14 295 11 278 11 282 15 282 12311 11229 10 303 12 298 11 276 11 282 15 279 11229 10252 9 285 10 300 9 269 11 282 15 281 10252 9372 7 264 9 299 9 266 11 283 14 286 9372 8582 4 218 8 295 8 263 11 283 14 295 8582 7873 3 186 6 284 8 262 11 284 14 305 7873 7228 2 156 2*251 8 260 10 285 14 315 7228 6648 2 078 2*106 7 259 10 285 15 323 6648 6159 5 051 2 102 7 257 10 285 16 324 6159 5779 9 047 3 098 7 257 10 286 16 322 5779 5516 9 047 2 098 7 257 10 286 13 318 5516 5355 6*042 3 096 6 256 9*286 10*313 5355 5263 2*032 2 096 6 256 8*286 6*306 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography