DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.2 - - 65.5 - - 71.0 - - 70.9 - - 59.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 69 - - 371 - - 421 - - 150 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 5550 - - 11660 - - 11460 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 9057 - - 14070 - - 13161 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 10611 - - 16721 - - 16521 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1315 - - 4594 - - 2134 - - 3720 - - 736 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 536 - - 716 - - 506 - - 16 W* B/S 3 - - 74 - - 16 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 035 - - 283 - - 280 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -7 - - -11 - - 12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6116 - - -3552 - - 1207 - - 729 - - -6144 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11378 - - 14164 - - 15515 - - 15793 - - 11407 sfcLCL ODpotential -9189 - - -5469 - - -13 - - -365 - - -9143 ODpotential blCL 14451 - - 16080 - - 16734 - - 16886 - - 14406 blCL maxRH 79 - - 54 - - 74 - - 90 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 50 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 57.2 - - 65.5 - - 71.0 - - 70.9 - - 59.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.9 - - 21.4 - - 20.5 - - 19.2 - - 28.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.2 - - 62.9 - - 68.1 - - 69.3 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.4 - - 20.6 - - 19.7 - - 18.6 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 69 - - 371 - - 421 - - 150 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 5550 - - 11660 - - 11460 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97682 9 225 22 217 25 260 12 294 11 209 97682 90201 5 217 11 226 14 247 15 250 13 259 90201 84453 5 236 7 248 12 258 11 260 13 290 84453 79714 5 283 6 297 8 254 9 274 13 301 79714 75638 6 013 8 312 5 282 11 292 15 308 75638 72036 9 353 9 318 3 318 11 303 15 313 72036 68777 9 334 10 309 8 309 14 313 17 312 68777 65783 10 317 12 315 12 302 17 318 15 307 65783 62999 13 326 15 306 15 299 19 315 14 308 62999 60291 17 322 16 297 17 301 21 302 18 307 60291 57459 18 314 16 294 19 309 22 290 23 302 57459 54513 17 308 15 302 20 305 23 289 26 301 54513 51694 17 304 18 304 22 294 23 300 28 295 51694 49161 20 308 20 296 26 286 25 306 28 282 49161 46907 21 300 20 299 24 284 26 301 25 277 46907 44880 19 301 20 312 22 278 26 291 23 291 44880 43043 20 296 22 309 19 277 24 287 21 299 43043 41360 18 292 19 291 16 285 21 292 16 311 41360 39809 25 289 19 293 12 297 17 292 16 317 39809 38381 33 286 28 292 15 319 11 292 12 306 38381 37061 30 280 32 283 24 318 9 318 4 325 37061 35802 29 282 33 281 31 303 12 334 8 038 35802 34536 27 291 31 287 31 293 15 331 13 039 34536 33237 28 294 29 291 26 292 17 320 14 030 33237 31909 30 300 29 294 25 301 19 315 14 021 31909 30543 32 311 29 299 23 305 18 308 14 017 30543 29128 31 314 27 309 19 311 15 306 12 014 29128 27667 24 309 24 314 18 312 13 303 11 012 27667 26162 21 303 19 308 18 311 12 299 10 012 26162 24614 21 307 16 304 17 304 11 299 10 346 24614 23026 18 301 14 311 16 294 11 296 12 309 23026 21396 18 291 13 325 11 293 10 290 10 292 21396 19719 21 288 13 328 7 305 8 317 6 286 19719 18020 20 278 14 318 9*308 8*313 5 285 18020 16386 16 277 17 303 11*300 7*299 7 274 16386 14895 15 287 19 292 10 296 7 297 9 267 14895 13559 15 294 18 292 10 294 7 294 10 264 13559 12357 14 292 14 296 10 291 7 287 9 268 12357 11272 15 292 9*297 9 283 7 281 9 275 11272 10291 13 302 5*299 8 278 7 277 9 288 10291 9407 8 327 3 304 7 274 8 274 9 305 9407 8612 5 011 1 330 7 270 8 271 10 320 8612 7898 6 060 2 063 7 267 8 269 11 332 7898 7248 8 066 3 074 6 264 8 267 14 339 7248 6663 10 060 3 078 6 262 8 266 16 344 6663 6169 10 058 3 079 6 260 8 265 18 343 6169 5785 10 057 3 080 5 258 7 265 19 341 5785 5519 7 058 4 081 5 257 7 263 17 342 5519 5356 6 059 4 081 5 258 7 263 13*343 5356 5263 5*060 3 079 5 257 6 264 7*339 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography