DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 68.1 - - 68.0 - - 59.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 346 - - 426 - - 155 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4657 - - 9109 - - 9132 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8324 - - 11984 - - 11363 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9718 - - 14170 - - 14193 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3195 - - 2187 - - 2758 - - 9018 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 493 - - 661 - - 473 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 17 - - 17 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 226 - - 233 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -7 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3674 - - -1582 - - -2342 - - -9490 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13393 - - 15753 - - 16536 - - 14754 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6986 - - -4012 - - -4928 - - -12930 ODpotential blCL - - - 16704 - - 18182 - - 19121 - - 18193 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 72 - - 83 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 68.1 - - 68.0 - - 59.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.1 - - 16.7 - - 13.1 - - 13.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 65.2 - - 66.4 - - 64.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 15.7 - - 12.4 - - 12.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 346 - - 426 - - 155 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4657 - - 9109 - - 9132 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 0 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97416 21 196 25 238 13 257 9 251 97416 90005 12 195 13 230 14 246 11 224 90005 84309 8 205 6 222 14 227 13 244 84309 79608 9 244 3 265 7 252 9 270 79608 75567 6 277 3 259 10 296 7 305 75567 71988 8 301 6 282 15 309 9 313 71988 68734 8 312 10 286 17 308 10 309 68734 65739 8 344 11 286 17 297 12 315 65739 62961 10 343 11 308 13 295 12 317 62961 60262 12 319 14 318 14 309 13 307 60262 57437 15 313 15 308 17 298 16 303 57437 54498 17 306 16 304 16 296 18 307 54498 51694 19 295 18 300 16 313 19 302 51694 49185 21 294 22 296 22 315 19 302 49185 46952 20 290 23 288 25 307 23 306 46952 44937 20 294 24 290 30 297 26 297 44937 43108 23 298 25 287 23 288 27 287 43108 41447 28 286 29 285 30 281 26 276 41447 39931 24 269 30 274 39 276 34 279 39931 38532 26 274 32 281 44 271 42 267 38532 37224 27 273 38 279 36 273 41 264 37224 35968 26 280 39 275 34 274 36 267 35968 34702 27 284 39 274 33 275 32 272 34702 33401 26 279 35 269 34 275 29 274 33401 32068 21 283 28 273 35 275 28 278 32068 30692 18 293 25 264 31 273 29 284 30692 29265 19 293 22 265 24 273 32 288 29265 27789 20 282 21 270 24 281 34 292 27789 26267 19 271 20 277 26 276 33 296 26267 24701 17 267 18 286 23 269 29 292 24701 23099 16 255 15 292 19 271 24 272 23099 21458 15 243 13 282 14 283 19 272 21458 19768 14 237 14 267 13 283 14 284 19768 18058 12 239 13 265 12 281 12 295 18058 16415 10 244 11 262 10 276 8 308 16415 14917 9 246 8*241 7*245 7 286 14917 13575 9 242 8*231 6*238 7 260 13575 12369 11 235 8 229 6 236 7 247 12369 11280 11 231 7 227 6 235 7 242 11280 10297 9*224 7 226 5 232 7 241 10297 9410 8*216 7 225 5 232 7 242 9410 8615 7 207 7 225 5 230 6 244 8615 7900 5 188 7 224 5 230 6 245 7900 7249 5 179 6 223 4 230 5 247 7249 6665 5 172 6 222 4 229 5 249 6665 6170 4 165 6 221 4 229 5 252 6170 5786 4 160 6 222 4 229 4 254 5786 5519 4 157 6 221 4 229 4 255 5519 5357 4 154 5 222 4 230 3*255 5357 5263 4 154 5 221 3 228 3*258 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography