DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 58.9 - - - - - 52.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 493 - - 432 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8701 - - 11156 - - - - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11720 - - 13667 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13762 - - 16217 - - - - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2079 - - 807 - - - - - 4389 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 683 - - 710 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 003 - - - - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 16 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 8 - - - - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1226 - - 1652 - - - - - -7563 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12536 - - 14566 - - - - - 12826 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -82 - - 612 - - - - - -12163 ODpotential blCL - - - 13844 - - 15605 - - - - - 17425 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 95 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 20 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 58.9 - - - - - 52.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.2 - - 12.8 - - - - - 14.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 56.2 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 12.2 - - - - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 493 - - 432 - - - - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8701 - - 11156 - - - - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 80 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98267 15 104 13 115 9 103 98267 90825 14 113 5 064 8 084 90825 85101 11 121 8 057 14 075 85101 80340 10 123 7 127 6 054 80340 76227 7 133 8 127 5 028 76227 72591 9 122 6 125 3 001 72591 69296 6 091 4 159 1 059 69296 66255 1 069 6 172 2 182 66255 63425 1 336 6 273 1 251 63425 60667 3 353 10 212 5 015 60667 57787 2 276 7 299 14 296 57787 54803 4 030 7 240 10 272 54803 51958 12 026 13 318 15 315 51958 49425 26 311 21 322 19 343 49425 47180 21 285 27 331 32 330 47180 45160 9 312 37 337 36 315 45160 43321 35 359 53 342 37 310 43321 41626 65 358 63 337 39 310 41626 40053 82 351 66 339 43 312 40053 38592 86 348 71 340 47 314 38592 37234 88 348 75 340 52 316 37234 35942 91 348 76 339 54 317 35942 34653 92 349 75 338 52 316 34653 33333 91 349 72 340 50 318 33333 31985 92 347 70 342 49 321 31985 30596 90 344 70 344 50 323 30596 29155 89 343 69 345 49 326 29155 27666 89 346 65 345 47 332 27666 26130 85 348 64 345 46 338 26130 24551 76 346 65 350 45 340 24551 22937 65 342 63 354 42 341 22937 21284 56 339 55 352 38 344 21284 19586 46 337 45 350 34 346 19586 17873 38 338 34*346 32 337 17873 16234 30 343 23*343 29 319 16234 14750 23*351 22 344 25 314 14750 13425 20*356 20 348 21 323 13425 12235 18 001 19 355 16 339 12235 11162 18 003 17 007 14 001 11162 10195 17 004 17 010 13 024 10195 9324 17 005 17 014 14 045 9324 8543 17 006 17 017 16 060 8543 7843 17 007 16 019 18 071 7843 7205 17 008 16 022 19 076 7205 6633 16 008 16 023 20 080 6633 6149 16 008 16 025 20 082 6149 5774 15 009 15 025 19 084 5774 5513 15 009 15 026 16 086 5513 5354 14 009 14 026 13 087 5354 5262 13 009 13 027 8*088 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography