DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.3 - - 44.9 - - 51.1 - - 50.7 - - 37.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - 93 - - 176 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 3643 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 7260 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 8704 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 56 - - 2306 - - 1628 - - 5427 - - 190 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 112 - - 362 - - 15 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 4 - - 19 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 309 - - 030 - - 327 - - 329 - - 360 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - 0 - - 3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -2416 - - -711 - - -4370 - - -1127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 7678 - - 9415 - - 9632 - - 6390 sfcLCL ODpotential -7208 - - -6226 - - -3385 - - -7234 - - -8074 ODpotential blCL 12469 - - 11488 - - 12089 - - 12496 - - 13336 blCL maxRH 71 - - 73 - - 70 - - 62 - - 72 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.3 - - 44.9 - - 51.1 - - 50.7 - - 37.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.7 - - 30.0 - - 28.5 - - 27.3 - - 28.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.7 - - 43.7 - - 49.5 - - 50.6 - - 41.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.7 - - 29.6 - - 28.3 - - 27.1 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - 93 - - 176 - - -3 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 3643 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95868 40 302 39 296 49 303 46 319 27 306 95868 89004 33 325 19 310 31 301 33 324 21 338 89004 83637 20 331 18 314 25 309 25 321 18 332 83637 79123 22 332 12 301 19 318 24 331 23 341 79123 75208 20 330 13 325 21 338 25 334 25 347 75208 71728 23 329 22 334 27 338 24 336 25 349 71728 68564 30 320 21 308 28 319 24 327 26 341 68564 65649 22 305 15 285 21 298 25 327 28 339 65649 62936 23 318 24 344 20 322 29 335 31 342 62936 60291 44 329 43 342 33 336 33 335 35 340 60291 57514 48 324 45 335 38 339 35 337 36 339 57514 54628 38 325 40 332 40 345 39 344 40 343 54628 51879 31 331 38 332 43 350 46 344 46 342 51879 49412 30 343 38 332 49 349 50 353 43 352 49412 47223 38 349 40 339 50 347 58 357 56 360 47223 45277 46 348 52 349 55 355 64 353 58 357 45277 43528 61 353 68 358 64 002 57 355 52 008 43528 41920 78 355 77 009 72 009 61 014 63 020 41920 40417 82 002 97 016 77 014 75 021 77 013 40417 39008 97 013 104 014 82 014 83 015 80 010 39008 37678 100 009 103 012 83 014 85 009 80 012 37678 36396 83 002 100 014 80 015 79 003 74 011 36396 35104 79 355 89 011 76 012 75 357 63 005 35104 33774 76 353 70 359 78 004 73 358 58 359 33774 32411 73 353 72 353 77 357 69 002 55 359 32411 31003 70 351 73 352 67 352 62 002 55 001 31003 29540 68 348 66 350 61 349 58 001 55 002 29540 28027 65 346 58 344 59 350 55 357 52 001 28027 26465 59 347 53 341 55 350 55 350 51 359 26465 24859 51 348 48 340 51 350 52 347 52 353 24859 23214 47 344 44 343 45 347 45 349 48 346 23214 21530 46 338 40 345 39 344 38 352 38 343 21530 19800 44 335 36 344 34 342 35 351 34 346 19800 18051 41 335 32 341 30 344 33 348 33 350 18051 16372 37 334 29 337 27 346 29 343 31 353 16372 14845 34 331 26 334 26 344 26 342 29 355 14845 13481 31 330 24 334 25 341 23 341 27 354 13481 12262 28 330 21 336 23 340 20 341 24 353 12262 11168 25 330 19 340 20 339 16 340 20 353 11168 10188 22 331 16 346 15 338 11 335 15 353 10188 9311 20 331 15 354 9*332 6 326 10 350 9311 8528 19 333 13 002 5*326 5 323 5 332 8528 7827 17 334 12 010 4 325 5 323 4 320 7827 7190 17 335 11 014 4 325 5 325 3 322 7190 6620 17 334 10 012 3 326 5 325 2 320 6620 6139 18 331 9 014 3 331 5 328 1 310 6139 5766 19 328 7 021 3 330 5 329 1 342 5766 5509 16 327 6 026 2 331 5 330 1 024 5509 5352 11*320 5*028 2 333 5*331 2*016 5352 5262 7*309 5*030 2 334 4*329 2*360 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography