DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.8 - - 23.3 - - 26.2 - - 17.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 37 - - -8 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 199 - - 199 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5260 - - 5260 - - 5260 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 712 - - 1141 - - 1563 - - 331 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 79 - - 83 - - 22 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 068 - - 066 - - 044 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -386 - - -721 - - -541 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5646 - - 5982 - - 5801 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6330 - - -6543 - - -5937 - - -9135 ODpotential blCL - - - 11590 - - 11803 - - 11197 - - 14395 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 76 - - 77 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.8 - - 23.3 - - 26.2 - - 17.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.2 - - 16.1 - - 19.8 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.1 - - 22.6 - - 27.2 - - 21.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.5 - - 15.1 - - 19.0 - - 16.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 32 - - 37 - - -8 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 199 - - 199 - - 199 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 2 - - 10 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97017 26 120 28 122 22 115 20 101 97017 89802 26 126 16 125 16 111 16 100 89802 84187 22 125 15 150 10 099 12 117 84187 79508 17 120 11 163 6 083 10 122 79508 75465 11 103 7 136 3 117 5 106 75465 71885 8 118 5 143 2 212 2 112 71885 68639 3 121 1 134 5 254 2 323 68639 65643 7 223 8 232 10 237 5 253 65643 62845 3 284 5 260 9 255 10 247 62845 60128 16 295 14 293 16 268 12 269 60128 57290 23 284 23 290 21 266 17 272 57290 54342 27 281 28 287 27 281 28 276 54342 51537 30 286 35 284 38 281 36 282 51537 49015 32 291 41 283 50 279 48 286 49015 46758 40 286 49 281 57 279 55 281 46758 44715 48 284 52 284 58 278 61 281 44715 42855 50 288 63 287 53 280 76 284 42855 41161 56 292 66 288 56 289 89 288 41161 39610 73 287 73 299 93 291 104 289 39610 38174 77 291 109 299 120 288 114 286 38174 36834 83 303 130 294 128 287 117 285 36834 35549 100 308 129 294 128 288 118 286 35549 34257 109 307 116 296 125 290 117 287 34257 32932 109 307 96 298 112 291 112 288 32932 31583 100 310 78 298 86 288 100 287 31583 30201 92 312 70 297 68 281 84 284 30201 28777 84 317 66 297 68 283 70 280 28777 27312 72 315 62 299 64 286 62 280 27312 25802 60 309 56 301 57 288 56 285 25802 24250 51 307 50 303 51 289 49 288 24250 22665 45 308 42 307 45 288 43 281 22665 21040 40 307 36 310 39 288 38 274 21040 19365 31 298 32 304 31 287 33 268 19365 17667 28 294 27 293 25 283 27 262 17667 16036 28 290 24 283 23 282 23 258 16036 14550 28 283 22 281 21 281 20 258 14550 13225 26 276 22 277 20 281 17 257 13225 12039 22 269 22 269 19 276 14 253 12039 10975 19 261 20 260 18 268 13 248 10975 10021 16 252 18 253 17 254 12 239 10021 9165 14 236 16 238 16 229 11 222 9165 8403 13 222 15 224 14 196 12 199 8403 7723 12 210 13 210 13 165 13 159 7723 7109 10 198 10 191 12 139 14 140 7109 6560 8 188 7 161 10 102 14 117 6560 6098 5 164 6 089 10 073 14 079 6098 5742 6 073 7 068 11 057 16 056 5742 5496 6 068 6 067 10 050 15 049 5496 5346 6 068 6*067 9 047 11 044 5346 5260 6*068 6*066 6*044 6*042 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography