DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.0 - - 47.1 - - 51.7 - - 45.6 - - 35.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 181 - - 153 - - -32 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 2549 - - 5209 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 6474 - - 8347 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 7610 - - 10270 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 276 - - 1745 - - 2520 - - 5055 - - 101 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 324 - - 389 - - 13 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 22 - - 25 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 220 - - 253 - - 283 - - 275 - - 268 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -8 - - -10 - - -5 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -379 - - 143 - - 365 - - -4321 - - -2168 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5641 - - 7467 - - 9905 - - 9584 - - 7431 sfcLCL ODpotential -5599 - - -1000 - - -657 - - -8626 - - -8938 ODpotential blCL 10860 - - 8610 - - 10927 - - 13888 - - 14200 blCL maxRH 92 - - 94 - - 85 - - 69 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.0 - - 47.1 - - 51.7 - - 45.6 - - 35.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 32.7 - - 26.6 - - 22.2 - - 21.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.4 - - 45.7 - - 50.4 - - 46.5 - - 38.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 32.7 - - 26.5 - - 22.2 - - 21.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 181 - - 153 - - -32 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 2549 - - 5209 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 76 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96690 15 098 7 085 10 087 17 076 4 043 96690 89472 13 078 12 072 9 110 12 052 15 031 89472 83907 11 016 7 081 5 047 17 008 13 013 83907 79281 12 000 6 025 7 022 10 302 12 359 79281 75288 12 321 7 290 9 338 11 288 15 352 75288 71743 17 303 6 330 10 310 15 335 16 358 71743 68507 19 294 13 346 9 287 21 319 17 330 68507 65535 17 300 18 309 14 298 28 281 20 324 65535 62777 28 306 27 309 27 283 19 326 23 335 62777 60089 37 297 22 305 26 295 37 331 29 306 60089 57312 21 293 15 290 41 298 41 309 35 311 57312 54437 23 299 48 302 50 293 59 298 55 318 54437 51667 64 301 62 301 56 298 62 297 62 309 51667 49166 70 295 66 297 63 301 71 300 70 305 49166 46936 70 295 66 295 71 300 80 298 76 306 46936 44931 74 296 71 293 78 296 77 299 82 307 44931 43118 78 294 74 291 76 294 73 309 94 310 43118 41469 75 292 71 294 72 304 90 317 103 312 41469 39951 74 299 80 309 84 315 110 312 104 311 39951 38534 88 306 100 315 112 313 115 308 100 310 38534 37202 97 303 115 312 127 305 111 308 99 310 37202 35922 93 298 117 306 125 300 110 309 98 310 35922 34632 88 295 109 302 118 300 111 309 96 312 34632 33308 81 297 100 300 108 306 110 308 97 318 33308 31955 73 298 92 302 105 311 106 309 104 322 31955 30560 69 299 88 306 106 314 100 311 104 323 30560 29115 66 299 85 306 107 317 92 314 94 318 29115 27623 63 295 77 304 103 320 86 314 82 311 27623 26088 60 291 70 297 93 318 84 317 75 309 26088 24511 57 289 65 290 81 310 81 321 68 315 24511 22896 53 287 61 287 76 301 76 319 67 321 22896 21235 50 284 57 286 71 293 73 313 66 320 21235 19526 47 282 54 284 66 291 71 309 65 315 19526 17800 45 280 53 281 60 291 68 307 62 313 17800 16150 44 279 53 279 55 292 62 307 55 313 16150 14655 44 277 52 279 48 293 53 307 46 313 14655 13325 42 277 51 281 38 293 45 307 38 312 13325 12136 41 280 48 283 29 290 36 305 32 312 12136 11070 42 284 43 287 27*287 29 301 27 313 11070 10111 41 285 36 291 26*286 24 294 23 315 10111 9250 37 284 31 290 26 285 22 289 20 318 9250 8481 31 281 28 282 26 284 22 285 18 321 8481 7793 26 273 25*271 25 283 22 283 16 323 7793 7167 25 262 24*263 25 282 22 282 14 323 7167 6606 24 255 23 254 25 282 22 281 11 318 6606 6131 21 248 22 252 24 281 21 280 10 310 6131 5763 19 240 22 250 24 281 20 278 9 297 5763 5507 16 228 21 250 23 281 18 277 9 285 5507 5351 13*222 19 249 21 280 15*276 8*275 5351 5262 7*220 15 249 17 280 11*275 5*268 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography