DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 72.5 - - 72.4 - - 57.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 241 - - 342 - - 78 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2054 - - 5310 - - 4982 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6224 - - 8827 - - 7680 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7115 - - 10371 - - 10043 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1647 - - 1704 - - 2408 - - 237 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 332 - - 511 - - 307 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 16 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 247 - - 276 - - 274 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -6 - - 6 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7054 - - -5441 - - -5939 - - -7329 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14170 - - 15813 - - 15983 - - 12593 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12358 - - -9956 - - -10312 - - -14521 ODpotential blCL - - - 19473 - - 20327 - - 20355 - - 19784 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 40 - - 45 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.7 - - 72.5 - - 72.4 - - 57.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.2 - - 21.3 - - 20.6 - - 21.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 70.0 - - 71.4 - - 62.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.8 - - 21.2 - - 20.4 - - 21.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 241 - - 342 - - 78 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2054 - - 5310 - - 4982 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96461 16 271 19 285 13 335 10 203 96461 89445 2 298 15 265 14 326 6 356 89445 84012 1 087 13 246 14 298 15 345 84012 79474 4 248 9 293 11 279 13 330 79474 75538 9 268 11 320 9 260 13 316 75538 72043 11 292 16 326 9 296 15 316 72043 68882 14 294 18 311 14 328 15 322 68882 65993 20 291 29 296 20 315 19 332 65993 63332 21 293 20 283 25 305 20 324 63332 60760 21 306 18 316 26 307 13 324 60760 58072 42 294 34 300 36 295 34 300 58072 55278 40 281 40 285 40 289 40 293 55278 52601 37 284 43 284 43 289 41 291 52601 50182 41 287 45 282 46 290 43 295 50182 48005 45 290 47 284 52 288 49 297 48005 46024 52 292 52 287 58 287 55 293 46024 44204 60 292 59 288 61 286 57 289 44204 42523 65 289 61 289 59 285 55 284 42523 40963 66 287 57 289 49 283 49 283 40963 39512 66 288 51 292 43 286 43 280 39512 38151 66 289 47 294 44 293 39 277 38151 36842 69 287 47 295 42 294 38 275 36842 35522 74 283 48 292 40 289 40 280 35522 34166 77 280 56 288 46 287 44 288 34166 32782 76 279 67 287 50 293 43 293 32782 31359 72 279 72 285 47 295 44 290 31359 29886 69 279 71 284 53 288 50 289 29886 28367 63 282 69 284 62 285 57 290 28367 26804 57 286 66 286 63 285 59 289 26804 25199 52 288 61 287 60 286 57 288 25199 23554 48 288 54 285 55 286 54 287 23554 21862 46 286 49 281 52 285 51 288 21862 20114 45 285 48 278 49 284 49 287 20114 18342 42 286 45 278 46 284 46 287 18342 16639 38 285 41 280 41 285 41 289 16639 15089 33 282 36 281 36 286 37 292 15089 13704 30 278 32 281 32 287 33 292 13704 12464 28 277 29 284 27 286 30 292 12464 11349 27 277 25*286 20 280 28 291 11349 10345 25 277 18*283 17*274 24 288 10345 9444 23 276 17 278 17*274 21 282 9444 8638 21 275 16 277 16 273 17 273 8638 7915 17 271 16 276 16 274 16 268 7915 7258 14*258 16 275 16 274 15 268 7258 6669 13*250 16 274 16 274 15 273 6669 6172 13 248 16 274 15 274 13 280 6172 5786 12 247 15 273 15 274 11 283 5786 5519 12 245 15 273 14 274 7 282 5519 5356 11 245 14 273 14 274 5*278 5356 5263 10 245 12 273 12 274 4*277 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography