DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/13 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 80.7 - - 90.7 - - 94.8 - - 93.3 - - 84.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 41 - - 374 - - 434 - - 208 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 6254 - - 10267 - - 9430 - - 204 BL Depth Hcrit 5248 - - 9617 - - 12940 - - 11819 - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top 5264 - - 11315 - - 15328 - - 14491 - - 5265 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2351 - - 3529 - - 4020 - - 4263 - - 6425 Hgt.Variab. W* 86 - - 558 - - 692 - - 528 - - 16 W* B/S 3 - - 19 - - 16 - - 14 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 337 - - 302 - - 255 - - 245 - - 293 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - 4 - - -11 - - -21 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8373 - - -5934 - - -2767 - - -2501 - - -9194 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13637 - - 17249 - - 18095 - - 16993 - - 14459 sfcLCL ODpotential -12586 - - -8261 - - -4300 - - -4211 - - -12670 ODpotential blCL 17850 - - 19576 - - 19628 - - 18702 - - 17935 blCL maxRH 96 - - 88 - - 77 - - 85 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 80.7 - - 90.7 - - 94.8 - - 93.3 - - 84.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.4 - - 32.8 - - 32.7 - - 36.5 - - 40.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.9 - - 87.8 - - 91.6 - - 91.2 - - 86.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.3 - - 32.3 - - 32.2 - - 36.1 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 41 - - 374 - - 434 - - 208 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 6254 - - 10267 - - 9430 - - 204 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 54 - - 9 - - 39 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99775 43 108 40 114 32 100 37 101 34 097 99775 92153 36 098 31 104 32 111 26 104 27 095 92153 86329 26 099 24 104 33 109 24 106 24 100 86329 81524 22 100 17 107 24 099 23 096 26 103 81524 77386 17 121 19 106 16 103 20 093 25 093 77386 73734 19 123 17 118 14 111 12 076 19 087 73734 70439 18 106 16 133 15 133 8 106 14 107 70439 67424 9 110 16 131 12 157 6 159 8 113 67424 64632 5 207 10 139 12 183 13 185 8 179 64632 61941 15 207 11 172 11 184 15 170 11 160 61941 59157 21 213 18 206 18 225 20 224 19 223 59157 56309 30 205 33 203 34 212 37 206 32 197 56309 53622 31 194 35 205 39 213 33 211 31 210 53622 51194 39 221 47 223 43 222 33 215 37 227 51194 49001 49 228 59 221 52 221 43 217 49 227 49001 47003 57 225 58 218 57 220 55 221 56 224 47003 45170 59 220 55 217 55 217 55 219 56 224 45170 43473 53 217 50 221 54 218 50 217 52 224 43473 41889 47 214 41 226 52 218 50 221 49 219 41889 40400 49 215 47 233 45 220 47 227 45 221 40400 38998 51 216 54 226 44 235 48 235 44 230 38998 37652 49 219 50 214 49 238 52 239 46 237 37652 36298 42 215 48 211 47 229 53 244 45 246 36298 34906 37 196 44 213 47 225 45 245 41 249 34906 33484 34 198 40 213 46 221 39 241 37 245 33484 32021 32 214 37 212 43 224 35 239 33 240 32021 30508 31 226 34 213 33 225 29 239 32 237 30508 28950 29 236 26 220 26 215 26 228 32 233 28950 27350 28 235 21 220 24 213 27 220 31 230 27350 25708 21 219 20 199 25 208 25 214 26 222 25708 24028 22 217 25 220 24 217 22 218 20 215 24028 22302 28 213 32 217 25 217 20 223 15 225 22302 20522 27 211 31 210 25 217 20 226 15 230 20522 18719 24 218 26 212 22 218 19 222 16 214 18719 16987 23 222 22 221 18 220 16 218 17 207 16987 15408 25 219 20 242 10*236 8*216 11 190 15408 13995 21 219 15 255 7*245 6*220 8 167 13995 12725 10 238 9 253 7 249 6 224 6 161 12725 11581 9 297 5*291 7 251 6 229 4 174 11581 10547 12 290 6*303 7 253 6 238 3 222 10547 9615 10 285 6 304 7 255 7 244 4 274 9615 8780 7 298 6 305 8 257 7 250 7 291 8780 8030 7 321 6 304 8 258 7 255 9 295 8030 7347 9 338 5 303 9 258 8 258 11 297 7347 6734 11 346 5 300 9 259 8 260 12 296 6734 6215 11 347 5 299 9 259 8 262 13 296 6215 5813 10 345 5 297 9 259 8 262 13 296 5813 5533 6 339 4 297 9 259 8 263 12 295 5533 5363 6 339 4 296 9 259 8 263 10*295 5363 5265 5*337 4 296 8 259 7 263 6*293 5265 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography