DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.0 - - 40.2 - - 45.3 - - 42.8 - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 74 - - 41 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 203 - - 1574 - - 3499 - - 2915 - - 202 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 106 - - 89 - - 14 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 063 - - 061 - - 215 - - 209 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -27 - - -1045 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5290 - - 6307 - - 5262 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -5089 - - -2485 - - -2614 - - -1659 - - -3557 ODpotential blCL 10350 - - 7747 - - 7876 - - 6921 - - 8818 blCL maxRH 88 - - 88 - - 86 - - 90 - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.0 - - 40.2 - - 45.3 - - 42.8 - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.0 - - 35.4 - - 36.1 - - 38.7 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.1 - - 39.3 - - 44.5 - - 43.6 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 34.4 - - 34.8 - - 37.6 - - 34.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 74 - - 41 - - -3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 54 - - 50 - - 46 - - 61 - - 5 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95883 31 294 38 290 38 296 37 313 28 318 95883 89123 20 308 26 298 24 313 23 334 24 332 89123 83808 15 320 17 303 19 321 17 348 18 322 83808 79314 14 315 9 335 12 326 12 333 17 330 79314 75388 12 299 10 358 7 315 13 305 17 341 75388 71882 10 303 11 337 8 313 11 303 15 351 71882 68686 13 321 12 328 10 283 14 296 14 337 68686 65739 16 306 17 312 12 289 16 295 14 322 65739 63010 15 304 21 302 15 287 21 277 20 303 63010 60360 20 309 21 295 15 291 15 281 17 298 60360 57591 25 303 26 293 26 289 25 301 22 299 57591 54713 27 289 31 281 32 280 30 300 19 288 54713 51955 30 298 31 282 32 287 34 298 22 300 51955 49462 33 299 32 287 33 281 31 286 27 289 49462 47227 28 299 29 284 32 282 31 274 28 293 47227 45201 28 300 27 280 30 285 26 284 27 294 45201 43348 36 292 28 283 30 289 24 290 24 301 43348 41639 38 282 30 285 33 284 26 295 21 307 41639 40052 32 276 29 277 29 272 28 293 24 316 40052 38570 25 278 27 267 26 265 27 281 27 308 38570 37187 24 272 24 261 26 261 25 273 26 298 37187 35873 24 265 25 262 26 258 25 265 20 294 35873 34566 22 257 30 254 27 252 22 256 18 299 34566 33236 22 252 33 243 32 240 25 254 19 297 33236 31883 25 255 31 235 34 224 31 241 19 294 31883 30494 29 259 33 235 33 217 33 222 18 292 30494 29060 28 261 34 233 32 223 31 214 18 293 29060 27582 27 263 32 232 31 228 25 223 17 292 27582 26061 21 258 28 235 28 226 21 234 17 291 26061 24498 11 240 23 224 27 224 19 240 17 292 24498 22895 13 247 18 201 24 235 19 248 17 294 22895 21249 13 248 16 195 23 233 20 249 18 295 21249 19553 13 238 16 209 22 223 17 236 19 298 19553 17838 10 232 16 221 18 225 13 255 17 304 17838 16191 10 225 14 225 13 231 13 274 11 303 16191 14695 13 229 15 222 12 236 12 275 9 292 14695 13362 13 235 16 223 13 246 11 281 8 295 13362 12170 12 237 17 226 13 252 10 294 6 316 12170 11099 12 230 17 229 13 256 8 311 6 342 11099 10136 12 221 17 232 13 258 6 342 8 352 10136 9270 12 223 15 234 12 257 6 355 8 352 9270 8496 10 230 13 235 11 254 6 347 7 347 8496 7802 9 233 11 238 9 250 3 313 4 331 7802 7172 8 228 8 238 7 242 4 246 3 293 7172 6608 6 219 4 232 4 226 5 229 4 271 6608 6132 3 175 1 091 4 223 5 226 5 263 6132 5763 5 093 2 061 4 219 5 223 6 256 5763 5507 6 078 3 061 4 217 5 220 5 251 5507 5351 5*069 3*060 3*218 4*215 2 242 5351 5261 3*063 2*061 3*215 3*209 2*243 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography