DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.4 - - 42.2 - - 46.6 - - 41.7 - - 34.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 75 - - 69 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 137 - - 1196 - - 1789 - - 1064 - - 191 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 106 - - 105 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 100 - - 105 - - 078 - - 053 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -499 - - -838 - - 0 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5761 - - 6100 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -10180 - - -8343 - - -6401 - - -5984 - - -9850 ODpotential blCL 15441 - - 13605 - - 11663 - - 11246 - - 15112 blCL maxRH 86 - - 81 - - 80 - - 83 - - 78 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.4 - - 42.2 - - 46.6 - - 41.7 - - 34.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.3 - - 35.6 - - 38.4 - - 39.7 - - 32.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.0 - - 41.3 - - 45.5 - - 43.0 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 34.6 - - 37.2 - - 39.3 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 75 - - 69 - - -5 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 25 - - 19 - - 30 - - 11 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95702 27 296 32 282 43 288 34 297 42 294 95702 88895 19 299 24 279 29 281 22 303 26 293 88895 83567 13 310 17 283 15 271 22 292 15 303 83567 79086 11 322 12 310 5 272 18 274 13 307 79086 75212 7 335 9 310 2 290 9 242 9 292 75212 71784 4 321 9 292 7 293 1 251 2 023 71784 68638 5 307 9 268 15 283 12 314 10 357 68638 65710 10 318 3 317 18 259 22 279 25 298 65710 62999 23 311 14 344 16 292 21 274 25 288 62999 60385 29 297 28 305 20 303 21 279 26 283 60385 57670 29 299 30 296 21 284 21 267 27 271 57670 54855 34 314 31 306 19 291 22 277 28 265 54855 52158 45 311 47 303 33 298 33 295 35 281 52158 49726 48 295 55 290 49 292 51 288 49 275 49726 47539 41 285 50 280 50 283 51 281 48 277 47539 45551 42 298 54 294 56 293 58 292 47 289 45551 43743 55 306 65 297 65 295 66 296 55 301 43743 42097 66 306 66 297 65 293 66 299 58 301 42097 40575 72 306 66 301 63 296 58 302 50 299 40575 39149 69 304 67 302 61 300 49 308 43 304 39149 37810 60 301 61 299 53 302 45 316 40 309 37810 36526 53 299 53 298 48 301 44 319 38 311 36526 35235 49 297 46 300 45 303 43 318 34 309 35235 33908 46 295 38 304 41 305 40 310 30 303 33908 32550 44 294 35 307 36 305 39 305 30 298 32550 31150 40 289 35 304 33 303 35 306 28 298 31150 29697 35 278 37 303 32 304 31 311 25 303 29697 28193 34 279 37 304 32 309 28 316 22 304 28193 26639 33 286 36 305 31 314 26 317 21 298 26639 25037 29 295 34 307 27 318 22 312 21 289 25037 23392 23 298 30 313 22 318 18 296 21 282 23392 21701 21 304 26 318 19 315 15 285 21 280 21701 19958 22 314 22 319 17 314 14 287 20 276 19958 18196 22 321 20 320 15 317 12 295 19 274 18196 16501 20 325 19 325 12 323 10 300 15 273 16501 14958 18 322 17 327 9 334 5 301 9 261 14958 13577 16 316 14 317 7 339 2 312 7 223 13577 12340 15 310 12 308 6 330 1 089 9 198 12340 11229 13 306 12 303 6 329 3 113 10 190 11229 10231 10 304 11 297 4 325 3 136 10 190 10231 9338 7 299 9 285 3 302 4 152 10 195 9338 8542 5 279 8 268 3 273 4 166 10 205 8542 7831 5 252 8 256 3 240 3 189 8 218 7831 7189 6 247 8 244 2 156 3 194 7 227 7189 6617 7 241 6 222 6 085 2 123 5 227 6617 6135 6 219 4 174 7 081 4 068 2 303 6135 5764 5 191 3 111 7 078 6 059 4 004 5764 5507 5 156 4 109 7 078 6 056 5 013 5507 5351 4*122 3*107 7*077 6*055 4*003 5351 5262 2*100 3*105 6*078 3*053 3*344 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography