DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 93.5 - - - - - 87.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 442 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5721 - - 13758 - - - - - 204 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9214 - - 15831 - - - - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10782 - - 18819 - - - - - 5265 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5790 - - 2203 - - - - - 14495 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 551 - - 768 - - - - - 11 W* B/S - - - 85 - - 26 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 133 - - 272 - - - - - 210 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -3 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1734 - - 2989 - - - - - -9793 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12516 - - 15831 - - - - - 15058 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3768 - - 1061 - - - - - -11840 ODpotential blCL - - - 14550 - - 17758 - - - - - 17105 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 66 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 780 - - 350 - - - - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.9 - - 93.5 - - - - - 87.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.9 - - 41.7 - - - - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 90.3 - - - - - 89.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 41.3 - - - - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 393 - - 442 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5721 - - 13758 - - - - - 204 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99855 37 108 23 095 27 106 99855 92284 29 102 30 096 26 096 92284 86438 27 104 23 101 25 086 86438 81608 30 101 18 113 23 087 81608 77475 25 087 19 111 18 096 77475 73825 20 081 20 088 16 101 73825 70515 15 102 12 079 14 090 70515 67475 14 103 13 128 15 086 67475 64663 10 116 15 124 11 115 64663 61955 13 118 8 141 12 141 61955 59160 12 194 12 196 5 189 59160 56293 21 192 24 219 18 254 56293 53581 22 216 32 218 36 239 53581 51150 36 234 38 231 41 238 51150 48975 39 226 45 232 49 238 48975 47005 38 229 43 227 49 233 47005 45187 41 235 44 234 48 234 45187 43486 44 236 48 238 52 239 43486 41887 47 234 53 238 57 244 41887 40383 51 236 56 237 61 246 40383 38970 53 240 56 239 61 244 38970 37612 53 244 56 239 60 240 37612 36246 53 241 56 237 59 240 36246 34843 52 234 54 235 57 240 34843 33413 50 232 50 232 54 239 33413 31945 47 226 46 230 50 238 31945 30431 43 224 40 229 45 240 30431 28872 37 226 36 229 41 245 28872 27268 34 230 32 234 39 251 27268 25627 33 231 30 240 34 256 25627 23956 29 235 27 244 30 254 23956 22245 21 237 22 253 24 251 22245 20484 14 244 16*265 14 255 20484 18702 13 302 11*278 9 246 18702 16984 18 303 9 281 8 236 16984 15413 17 301 7 281 8 237 15413 14004 14 304 7 281 8 239 14004 12735 10 306 6 279 8 241 12735 11591 5*304 5 270 8 242 11591 10557 1*257 4 263 8 242 10557 9625 1 197 4 257 8 241 9625 8788 1 155 3 252 8 238 8788 8036 1 140 3 248 8 236 8036 7352 1 130 3 245 8 233 7352 6738 2 123 3 242 7 229 6738 6218 2 117 3 238 7 225 6218 5815 2 113 3 236 7 221 5815 5534 2 112 2 240 6 217 5534 5363 2 110 2 238 5*213 5363 5265 2 109 2 236 3*210 5265 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography