DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.8 - - 33.7 - - 35.7 - - 31.2 - - 30.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 55 - - 59 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 2756 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5913 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 7817 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2300 - - 3487 - - 1230 - - 2281 - - 979 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 97 - - 239 - - 20 - - 19 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 11 - - 20 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 258 - - 256 - - 229 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -15 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -162 - - -970 - - 1334 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5424 - - 6231 - - 6484 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -2279 - - -2097 - - -2509 - - -1829 - - -3299 ODpotential blCL 7540 - - 7358 - - 10326 - - 7090 - - 8560 blCL maxRH 77 - - 75 - - 82 - - 75 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m 30.8 - - 33.7 - - 35.7 - - 31.2 - - 30.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.5 - - 25.0 - - 25.9 - - 27.6 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 31.1 - - 32.9 - - 35.1 - - 32.4 - - 31.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.6 - - 23.8 - - 24.7 - - 27.2 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 55 - - 59 - - -16 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 2756 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 6 - - 1 - - 26 - - 1 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95970 17 304 27 297 28 313 20 326 26 305 95970 88990 16 324 16 274 16 314 24 314 26 315 88990 83505 15 323 14 310 18 306 18 297 22 311 83505 78916 12 298 10 303 13 299 14 325 24 326 78916 74937 17 321 9 290 14 268 21 313 27 327 74937 71416 22 298 17 302 12 301 23 302 33 287 71416 68258 20 279 31 268 25 317 26 291 27 272 68258 65345 19 270 18 277 32 284 19 296 18 298 65345 62587 8 310 7 205 47 284 31 301 41 308 62587 59883 25 308 35 299 57 288 59 294 59 296 59883 57067 67 292 64 291 63 293 63 295 66 292 57067 54152 75 286 74 287 69 294 72 294 74 287 54152 51376 77 280 76 287 76 291 80 291 77 285 51376 48880 73 283 80 290 84 289 83 287 75 288 48880 46641 80 291 87 292 91 289 85 289 76 294 46641 44608 91 293 96 289 96 287 89 291 83 296 44608 42748 99 290 97 285 96 286 95 292 95 295 42748 41038 101 287 94 285 97 286 102 290 108 292 41038 39464 102 287 95 287 100 287 106 287 111 290 39464 38022 106 288 100 289 104 286 109 286 127 298 38022 36691 114 289 106 287 107 285 114 288 154 303 36691 35419 122 289 110 285 108 285 120 289 152 302 35419 34138 129 289 113 285 112 288 125 289 135 298 34138 32826 130 287 115 284 118 289 125 288 127 291 32826 31486 126 286 115 284 120 289 122 288 126 286 31486 30103 118 286 114 284 117 288 119 288 124 284 30103 28671 111 287 113 285 113 288 116 288 121 285 28671 27193 105 287 109 287 108 288 113 288 115 288 27193 25673 99 288 101 290 101 290 111 290 108 292 25673 24119 92 290 91 291 90 292 101 293 99 298 24119 22537 89 294 82 290 78 292 81 295 78 302 22537 20922 85 296 75 290 69 288 65 291 56 295 20922 19261 77 294 70 291 63 284 59 285 51 276 19261 17581 69 289 64 292 59 281 56 281 55 264 17581 15971 65 284 59 291 56 281 52 280 55 265 15971 14509 63 283 54 288 52 281 47 276 51 268 14509 13208 60 284 50 285 48 281 45 271 49 265 13208 12042 57 285 46 285 44 282 43 267 49 262 12042 10990 53 284 42 287 40 282 41 265 44 261 10990 10042 51 282 36 288 35 279 38 264 38 259 10042 9190 47 282 31 286 31 273 35 263 32 259 9190 8429 42 283 27 282 26*265 30 261 27 261 8429 7748 36 284 23 276 23*258 26 259 20 256 7748 7131 29 282 19 270 22 257 22 254 15 243 7131 6579 23 277 17 264 21 256 19 249 13 224 6579 6114 19 271 15 261 20 255 18 246 13 211 6114 5753 15 264 15 260 20 255 16 242 13 206 5753 5502 12 259 14 259 19 255 13 237 11 203 5502 5349 10*255 13*259 17 254 10*233 9*203 5349 5261 7*252 11*258 13 254 6*229 4*207 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography