DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/22 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.6 - - 47.1 - - 55.6 - - 52.6 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - 173 - - 191 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1090 - - 2182 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5418 - - 6235 - - 5246 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 6151 - - 7243 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 142 - - 507 - - 961 - - 2488 - - 130 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 242 - - 314 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 050 - - 066 - - 113 - - 077 - - 027 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -2961 - - -4541 - - -5587 - - -2403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 9112 - - 11785 - - 10849 - - 7666 sfcLCL ODpotential -10852 - - -10415 - - -10216 - - -11740 - - -10720 ODpotential blCL 16113 - - 16566 - - 17459 - - 17002 - - 15982 blCL maxRH 72 - - 55 - - 87 - - 90 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.6 - - 47.1 - - 55.6 - - 52.6 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.3 - - 25.9 - - 22.6 - - 23.7 - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.7 - - 45.6 - - 53.9 - - 53.7 - - 45.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.2 - - 25.4 - - 22.4 - - 23.4 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - 173 - - 191 - - -5 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 1090 - - 2182 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 47 - - 61 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96635 25 305 23 307 15 297 21 310 20 299 96635 89543 22 302 16 307 14 315 21 324 16 308 89543 84026 14 325 7 308 15 291 21 330 8 312 84026 79418 11 334 10 304 11 305 15 328 8 307 79418 75442 9 295 11 310 7 291 13 298 11 310 75442 71937 11 328 8 309 7 278 12 302 13 320 71937 68762 18 318 13 295 12 280 17 297 18 315 68762 65820 20 324 14 295 13 271 18 285 22 299 65820 63073 24 302 17 297 14 272 17 278 18 281 63073 60402 24 283 20 288 17 287 21 282 16 280 60402 57613 25 273 22 282 19 287 23 274 18 278 57613 54726 22 276 25 272 22 288 27 277 20 281 54726 51982 29 281 26 265 27 272 26 271 23 284 51982 49512 37 277 28 272 30 266 23 268 25 280 49512 47300 41 276 31 273 30 262 21 274 22 261 47300 45295 41 270 32 267 32 252 29 246 25 255 45295 43461 39 272 32 261 24 237 25 235 22 236 43461 41773 39 276 37 262 33 245 25 236 18 236 41773 40212 39 274 38 250 31 227 24 225 18 228 40212 38765 37 277 31 246 24 227 20 220 12 213 38765 37424 39 276 29 255 22 232 17 218 10 197 37424 36148 38 272 31 253 21 229 15 206 8 191 36148 34869 33 274 29 252 19 223 15 188 8 187 34869 33555 31 276 26 249 19 223 14 197 11 213 33555 32211 31 275 25 249 18 225 16 214 18 229 32211 30825 30 273 24 254 17 226 20 222 19 226 30825 29387 27 275 24 256 20 225 22 231 18 240 29387 27899 25 277 23 256 24 233 23 234 17 256 27899 26362 22 279 19 253 24 242 19 232 15 268 26362 24782 20 280 18 253 20 242 15 241 10 260 24782 23164 19 283 17 254 19 241 15 235 10 239 23164 21504 19 282 17 257 19 247 15 240 10 240 21504 19793 19 278 15 260 17 249 13 253 8 257 19793 18061 17 275 14 259 15 250 11 247 9 251 18061 16395 15 274 12 255 13 252 11 247 10 249 16395 14876 12 273 11 247 11 250 10 249 9 256 14876 13517 10 267 10 236 10 247 9 248 8 264 13517 12300 9 258 10 230 9 240 8 247 8 269 12300 11207 8 246 8 224 8 226 8 242 8 271 11207 10223 7 228 8 212 8 217 9 240 9 273 10223 9339 7 216 8 201 9 210 9 237 9 272 9339 8551 6 206 7 191 8 199 7 233 8 271 8551 7843 5 190 7 181 6*180 5 210 6 261 7843 7202 4 146 6 159 5*131 4 123 4 232 7202 6629 6 104 6*119 5 116 5 103 2 149 6629 6145 10 070 7*067 5 112 5 091 4 086 6145 5770 14 060 7 065 5 108 5 085 7 063 5770 5510 14 056 7 066 5 107 5 081 9 054 5510 5352 10*051 7 066 5 105 5 079 6*041 5352 5262 4*050 6 066 5 105 3*077 3*027 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography