DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 26.4 - - 32.7 - - 30.5 - - 22.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 131 - - -3 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1698 - - 2479 - - 1958 - - 393 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 130 - - 125 - - 0 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 071 - - 151 - - 082 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4000 - - -5426 - - -5110 - - -3130 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9261 - - 10687 - - 10371 - - 8390 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11751 - - -11815 - - -12059 - - -11700 ODpotential blCL - - - 17012 - - 17076 - - 17320 - - 16960 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 72 - - 80 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 26.4 - - 32.7 - - 30.5 - - 22.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.9 - - 4.8 - - 4.1 - - 4.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.9 - - 31.4 - - 32.0 - - 24.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 4.6 - - 4.6 - - 3.8 - - 4.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 149 - - 131 - - -3 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 199 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 18 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97034 78 093 62 092 65 080 70 085 97034 89864 70 093 63 092 64 081 74 089 89864 84251 47 093 54 096 62 082 70 087 84251 79530 39 091 39 085 54 079 62 088 79530 75424 31 081 26 085 33 071 47 075 75424 71790 20 057 25 063 18 073 27 059 71790 68493 10 043 20 040 16 071 18 051 68493 65447 12 004 20 000 20 027 19 039 65447 62613 11 347 12 325 20 340 19 010 62613 59859 18 345 9 343 16 321 23 346 59859 56986 28 336 23 333 21 331 29 331 56986 54010 33 321 28 320 25 325 33 319 54010 51176 35 311 34 319 31 321 31 315 51176 48636 37 304 43 311 34 318 33 320 48636 46377 42 306 45 305 38 317 36 316 46377 44339 46 307 45 312 42 312 34 316 44339 42476 51 313 53 314 45 311 37 318 42476 40763 62 311 59 307 50 309 46 315 40763 39183 71 299 60 300 52 308 49 312 39183 37719 73 292 57 295 54 307 46 308 37719 36360 71 291 56 294 55 305 46 305 36360 35078 74 290 58 297 57 301 52 298 35078 33813 80 290 63 299 60 294 55 288 33813 32532 82 293 68 295 63 290 56 280 32532 31230 79 302 72 296 60 295 51 281 31230 29888 70 310 71 304 55 299 48 285 29888 28496 64 309 64 307 53 301 47 285 28496 27057 58 308 60 301 54 302 44 282 27057 25573 53 309 57 302 52 301 41 279 25573 24048 48 312 49 308 47 302 41 272 24048 22485 45 317 44 312 41 303 42 265 22485 20882 45 321 44 314 38 304 39 258 20882 19231 44 322 44 313 35 305 35 253 19231 17559 40 324 43 314 32 307 29 251 17559 15953 36 325 41 316 30 313 21 250 15953 14488 32 325 33 316 28 318 13 266 14488 13180 28 325 25 319 22 321 12 271 13180 12007 24 324 19 322 13 315 11 263 12007 10954 19 322 15 323 7 300 11 246 10954 10009 13 314 11 318 5 272 10 228 10009 9160 8 300 8 299 5 229 9 207 9160 8403 6 291 7 270 7 214 9 194 8403 7725 3 305 5 227 7 204 9 180 7725 7110 4 097 5 168 4 177 8 152 7110 6562 7 093 4 161 3 130 8 100 6562 6101 6 080 4 157 3 110 12 073 6101 5744 6 076 4 156 3 100 15 062 5744 5497 5 074 4 153 3 095 14 058 5497 5347 5*073 4*151 4*089 10 054 5347 5260 5*071 3*151 3*082 5*054 5260 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography