DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 24.0 - - 34.7 - - 36.9 - - 35.0 - - 33.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -23 - - 72 - - 55 - - -22 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 750 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5244 - - 5244 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5811 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 107 - - 1211 - - 2856 - - 1978 - - 668 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 159 - - 93 - - 10 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 14 - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 244 - - 244 - - 232 - - 229 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -7 - - -2 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - -1216 - - -1694 - - -1382 - - -270 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 7027 - - 6956 - - 6644 - - 5532 sfcLCL ODpotential -5894 - - -4356 - - -4567 - - -6558 - - -5182 ODpotential blCL 11155 - - 10167 - - 9828 - - 11819 - - 10443 blCL maxRH 84 - - 96 - - 100 - - 90 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 24.0 - - 34.7 - - 36.9 - - 35.0 - - 33.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.1 - - 22.7 - - 25.1 - - 24.6 - - 28.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.7 - - 34.0 - - 36.0 - - 36.2 - - 35.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 21.3 - - 22.6 - - 25.0 - - 24.5 - - 28.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -23 - - 72 - - 55 - - -22 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 750 - - 200 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 35 - - 83 - - 100 - - 62 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96340 14 086 10 078 11 061 18 057 12 041 96340 89163 16 050 16 059 7 070 14 018 18 031 89163 83611 21 017 16 059 6 050 18 004 23 031 83611 78974 12 017 18 041 12 084 11 011 23 024 78974 74938 9 061 16 013 16 019 20 355 25 012 74938 71359 10 010 8 332 16 344 23 349 17 348 71359 68140 28 334 22 330 22 349 25 013 23 356 68140 65191 30 307 34 317 35 330 32 340 26 328 65191 62460 27 307 33 311 35 306 41 302 26 322 62460 59803 26 315 29 311 28 296 40 295 41 304 59803 57022 35 326 35 324 38 308 42 307 46 301 57022 54137 54 314 53 312 54 309 55 314 49 301 54137 51389 60 306 65 305 61 308 60 309 54 304 51389 48923 69 307 69 300 66 303 64 303 60 307 48923 46711 76 304 69 299 70 301 65 304 64 306 46711 44703 75 301 77 304 73 304 67 304 66 303 44703 42868 77 302 90 302 78 304 69 303 65 302 42868 41182 88 304 96 296 82 301 73 303 62 303 41182 39621 101 307 96 296 84 300 82 303 61 305 39621 38167 111 309 98 300 90 301 88 300 65 307 38167 36811 113 309 105 302 98 301 90 296 71 305 36811 35520 113 309 108 303 102 301 89 296 76 301 35520 34234 114 310 106 304 100 301 88 297 78 297 34234 32928 112 312 102 306 94 303 87 299 79 295 32928 31603 107 314 96 308 91 307 84 300 81 294 31603 30243 99 315 91 310 89 308 81 300 80 294 30243 28834 87 314 84 311 85 308 79 301 75 294 28834 27380 75 308 79 313 78 307 76 301 68 295 27380 25880 68 306 72 314 69 306 73 300 63 298 25880 24336 66 308 65 311 61 304 68 300 59 301 24336 22751 65 308 61 305 58 301 62 301 54 303 22751 21123 64 310 57 301 55 300 56 304 49 304 21123 19447 57 308 53 303 50 302 51 304 45 305 19447 17751 46 301 48 306 43 306 48 303 42 306 17751 16123 37 296 43 306 39 309 46 306 40 306 16123 14640 33 297 38 304 38 310 43 307 39 305 14640 13316 30 298 33 301 35 309 38 305 37 307 13316 12129 28 298 27 297 31 306 36 301 37 309 12129 11061 25 298 23 292 27 300 34 297 36 309 11061 10101 21 296 19 288 24 288 33 293 35 304 10101 9239 16 294 16 281 22 271 29 287 34 296 9239 8468 12 290 15 270 21 257 24 273 33 285 8468 7778 9 284 16 258 20 248 23 257 32 275 7778 7153 7 278 18 247 17 241 21 249 32 267 7153 6594 7 268 19 246 15 236 19 238 29 259 6594 6122 9 257 19*246 14 234 18 236 26 252 6122 5757 12 255 15*245 13 233 17 234 23 247 5757 5504 12 251 14 244 12 233 14 232 18 245 5504 5350 10*245 13 244 11*232 11*231 15*244 5350 5261 6*244 10 243 9*232 7*229 8*243 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography