DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.1 - - 41.9 - - 50.0 - - 44.8 - - 38.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 63 - - 13 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 123 - - 904 - - 1537 - - 1175 - - 101 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 101 - - 67 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 094 - - 223 - - 210 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - -536 - - -1636 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5799 - - 6899 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -11570 - - -8977 - - -6298 - - -4830 - - -6211 ODpotential blCL 16831 - - 14239 - - 11560 - - 10092 - - 11473 blCL maxRH 79 - - 83 - - 84 - - 84 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.1 - - 41.9 - - 50.0 - - 44.8 - - 38.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.7 - - 35.1 - - 38.2 - - 41.7 - - 37.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 33.4 - - 41.1 - - 49.5 - - 47.6 - - 43.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.0 - - 34.2 - - 37.0 - - 41.5 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 63 - - 13 - - -7 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 16 - - 30 - - 37 - - 34 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95814 37 287 39 283 41 287 40 287 45 287 95814 88937 24 299 27 290 28 294 28 292 32 292 88937 83581 21 293 22 295 22 281 22 285 22 297 83581 79077 13 284 14 302 12 290 19 287 20 309 79077 75134 10 316 16 270 22 272 30 264 25 290 75134 71625 16 288 11 266 20 239 23 249 22 277 71625 68461 24 266 15 299 3 269 14 281 17 292 68461 65550 37 248 41 276 36 283 31 290 18 323 65550 62833 39 247 46 258 42 266 36 282 32 295 62833 60191 29 254 39 248 39 255 40 275 37 276 60191 57437 32 269 36 255 39 260 41 269 41 270 57437 54588 45 268 40 262 46 266 44 273 48 273 54588 51885 53 264 45 265 52 268 51 276 54 272 51885 49469 54 264 47 266 54 265 54 270 53 267 49469 47318 54 262 41 268 48 268 51 271 54 269 47318 45384 49 269 53 287 54 279 60 277 61 273 45384 43631 62 283 69 284 64 278 64 276 64 277 43631 42018 61 277 62 273 65 275 66 283 66 280 42018 40509 45 270 51 263 61 276 69 286 64 277 40509 39086 48 280 50 269 61 276 64 283 63 274 39086 37745 52 283 50 272 60 271 60 277 63 275 37745 36455 51 279 49 272 58 266 61 273 63 277 36455 35157 51 275 47 271 57 263 59 272 63 277 35157 33824 51 272 45 270 55 262 57 272 63 278 33824 32460 49 272 45 269 54 261 57 274 62 278 32460 31054 46 272 46 271 53 261 59 273 61 279 31054 29595 44 271 48 274 52 260 59 268 59 278 29595 28088 42 269 48 274 51 259 58 262 56 275 28088 26532 42 268 45 268 51 260 58 259 55 271 26532 24933 42 268 44 259 51 260 58 260 55 269 24933 23294 42 270 45 258 53 261 56 262 55 269 23294 21608 40 269 45 261 54 263 53 265 54 271 21608 19871 36 264 44 262 53 265 51 267 51 272 19871 18113 34 258 42 259 50 263 47 270 47 271 18113 16427 34 258 40 257 46 261 43 271 44 271 16427 14895 34 259 37 257 41 260 39 271 39 273 14895 13530 31 257 32 255 35 257 35 271 35 274 13530 12309 28 254 27 250 30 253 31 269 31 272 12309 11213 25 252 24 247 26 253 27 266 27 270 11213 10228 22 249 21 246 23 255 24 263 23 267 10228 9344 19 246 19 244 21 258 21 261 20 262 9344 8554 16 235 20 240 18 258 19 260 17 255 8554 7846 15 225 20 239 16 257 16 260 15 250 7846 7204 15 215 16 246 15 253 12 252 12 250 7204 6630 13 201 11 241 12 248 11 237 11 243 6630 6146 6 136 4 215 7 232 11 226 11 236 6146 5770 9 066 1 096 7 228 10 226 9 238 5770 5511 11 057 2 091 6 227 9 222 6 244 5511 5352 9*051 2*096 6*224 6*216 3*251 5352 5262 4*047 1*094 5*223 4*210 2*272 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography