DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 69.3 - - - - - 52.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 381 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3235 - - 6467 - - - - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7110 - - 9796 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8296 - - 11528 - - - - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3074 - - 2263 - - - - - 2500 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 392 - - 568 - - - - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 27 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 269 - - 274 - - - - - 303 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 21 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5997 - - -2108 - - - - - -3443 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14294 - - 13637 - - - - - 8707 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9533 - - -4814 - - - - - -7760 ODpotential blCL - - - 17829 - - 16342 - - - - - 13023 blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 88 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.5 - - 69.3 - - - - - 52.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.0 - - 27.3 - - - - - 32.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 66.8 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.7 - - 27.2 - - - - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 381 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3235 - - 6467 - - - - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 54 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96362 23 235 13 260 17 264 96362 89306 10 248 16 263 8 262 89306 83823 5 287 13 283 13 301 83823 79262 2 323 8 277 14 288 79262 75325 14 300 12 301 9 287 75325 71837 19 276 21 300 10 305 71837 68694 12 291 18 314 12 336 68694 65819 24 314 25 294 19 304 65819 63172 24 292 22 268 23 281 63172 60608 16 286 13 263 36 276 60608 57899 23 305 29 276 37 272 57899 55044 40 283 43 271 47 277 55044 52285 48 278 52 270 63 277 52285 49780 54 271 62 269 71 275 49780 47517 60 268 68 269 73 275 47517 45451 64 270 70 271 74 272 45451 43559 68 274 74 271 70 276 43559 41820 73 274 83 268 77 284 41820 40218 80 269 92 266 97 276 40218 38745 90 266 96 265 106 267 38745 37386 96 267 96 262 96 267 37386 36096 87 268 93 260 84 265 36096 34809 77 266 90 259 82 266 34809 33493 78 263 87 259 86 271 33493 32145 79 260 83 259 90 271 32145 30752 79 260 80 262 92 269 30752 29305 78 261 75 267 94 271 29305 27811 75 262 72 271 90 275 27811 26275 72 264 70 272 75 274 26275 24699 69 265 68 271 68 267 24699 23085 67 266 65 269 65 268 23085 21430 65 267 62 266 59 273 21430 19729 62 267 59 265 53 276 19729 18010 59 266 55 267 51 276 18010 16361 56 265 52 271 52 275 16361 14859 53 265 49 274 52 272 14859 13514 49 266 45 275 49 270 13514 12307 45 267 37*274 44 270 12307 11220 40 267 31*272 39 272 11220 10240 37 266 28 272 35 278 10240 9359 35 268 28 272 32 284 9359 8571 32*270 28 273 30 291 8571 7863 29*271 27 273 27 299 7863 7221 28 270 27 274 24 307 7221 6644 26 269 27 275 20 313 6644 6157 25 269 26 275 15 316 6157 5778 24 268 25 276 12 315 5778 5515 23 267 24 276 9 313 5515 5355 21 267 22 276 7*310 5355 5263 17 267 19 277 4*303 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography