DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 37.1 - - - - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -28 - - 18 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 200 - - - - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5245 - - - - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 5261 - - - - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 7047 - - 5443 - - - - - 4957 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 60 - - 79 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 20 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 284 - - - - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -9 - - - - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -631 - - -2144 - - - - - -559 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5893 - - 7406 - - - - - 5821 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2349 - - -3364 - - - - - -2168 ODpotential blCL - - - 7611 - - 8625 - - - - - 7429 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 64 - - - - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 160 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.4 - - 37.1 - - - - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.6 - - 23.0 - - - - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 36.7 - - - - - 31.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 21.8 - - - - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -28 - - 18 - - - - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 200 - - - - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 18 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96287 26 057 14 069 8 002 96287 89272 15 043 13 037 13 039 89272 83747 13 016 11 031 16 359 83747 79133 15 353 11 002 14 353 79133 75154 13 321 15 324 10 346 75154 71624 16 316 13 299 14 043 71624 68383 16 300 15 280 6 351 68383 65400 11 287 20 267 12 259 65400 62663 20 298 54 269 23 327 62663 59991 24 300 52 268 38 331 59991 57165 52 288 43 294 54 301 57165 54231 62 292 68 294 58 290 54231 51435 68 290 81 288 59 290 51435 48911 77 284 78 286 60 290 48911 46653 86 280 76 290 62 300 46653 44628 89 278 80 294 86 313 44628 42795 88 280 88 297 111 310 42795 41118 89 283 96 299 111 307 41118 39563 94 286 103 299 104 318 39563 38114 99 288 109 298 124 328 38114 36765 102 289 111 297 152 330 36765 35479 100 289 111 299 161 329 35479 34184 98 289 116 303 156 328 34184 32853 98 291 126 306 154 324 32853 31495 100 291 136 308 148 320 31495 30098 104 290 140 308 140 315 30098 28654 107 286 137 306 134 312 28654 27165 107 283 133 304 132 312 27165 25631 106 282 129 303 129 313 25631 24055 102 283 123 302 122 311 24055 22443 93 283 113 302 116 308 22443 20794 82 278 98 302 111 307 20794 19109 78 270 83 298 101 309 19109 17425 79 271 74 293 87 312 17425 15823 82 275 69 290 72 313 15823 14374 83 278 66 290 61 310 14374 13086 82 280 62 293 53 307 13086 11936 80 282 57 297 45 306 11936 10906 78 283 52 299 38 309 10906 9980 74 284 49 300 33 311 9980 9148 70 285 46 298 30 312 9148 8402 65 285 43 296 26 310 8402 7733 60 284 40 293 23 308 7733 7123 56 281 39 291 21 304 7123 6575 51 278 36 289 19 298 6575 6112 46 275 34 287 16 291 6112 5751 42 273 32 286 15 284 5751 5501 37 272 29 285 12 278 5501 5349 33*271 26 284 10*274 5349 5261 24*270 20*284 7*271 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography