DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 32.6 - - 31.9 - - 31.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 79 - - -2 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 1263 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5261 - - 6324 - - 5261 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1826 - - 1860 - - 1454 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 85 - - 197 - - 17 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 13 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 229 - - 214 - - 227 - - 239 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1301 - - 1063 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6562 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3500 - - 141 - - -440 - - -7109 ODpotential blCL - - - 8761 - - 6183 - - 5701 - - 12370 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 98 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 32.6 - - 31.9 - - 31.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 28.9 - - 30.7 - - 30.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 31.5 - - 31.7 - - 31.9 - - 32.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 28.4 - - 30.6 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 37 - - 79 - - -2 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 200 - - 1263 - - 200 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 82 - - 90 - - 97 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96292 13 069 9 029 17 034 16 069 96292 89256 13 050 12 045 11 054 12 046 89256 83736 14 009 11 023 13 026 2 025 83736 79115 12 041 11 337 10 354 7 019 79115 75123 13 356 18 306 20 345 21 007 75123 71578 12 338 14 312 27 292 29 338 71578 68370 31 334 25 320 27 296 28 310 68370 65426 39 293 31 309 24 311 24 308 65426 62682 34 300 39 313 38 312 33 310 62682 60009 35 303 42 303 44 302 42 303 60009 57214 37 304 48 306 53 302 49 299 57214 54310 48 305 62 302 62 300 55 301 54310 51544 58 300 62 294 66 299 63 300 51544 49067 65 304 54 301 67 304 69 302 49067 46859 79 310 66 314 81 312 86 306 46859 44874 100 308 97 315 108 306 106 298 44874 43084 103 297 122 304 120 296 108 289 43084 41455 89 299 119 295 112 291 99 287 41455 39944 105 318 98 303 99 293 94 290 39944 38524 118 321 102 316 89 301 93 293 38524 37187 120 319 104 314 93 302 92 295 37187 35902 119 317 101 308 95 300 91 296 35902 34606 115 311 101 303 92 299 92 296 34606 33275 111 307 103 301 86 299 97 295 33275 31913 110 306 103 303 95 299 101 293 31913 30509 111 306 101 304 102 299 102 292 30509 29056 110 306 96 304 103 299 100 292 29056 27557 106 306 90 302 98 298 97 293 27557 26015 101 304 85 300 92 299 94 293 26015 24434 99 302 85 299 87 299 90 293 24434 22817 99 301 85 298 84 298 86 294 22817 21160 93 300 83 296 82 295 84 294 21160 19461 76 297 81 295 80 294 82 293 19461 17749 58 289 80 296 76 294 79 291 17749 16111 48 281 77 297 71 295 74 289 16111 14622 43 280 72 296 69 298 69 288 14622 13294 39 277 63 290 69 298 64 288 13294 12105 35 268 52 281 68 295 61 285 12105 11039 29 254 45 268 63 290 59 282 11039 10083 25 241 39 255 56 282 56 277 10083 9227 21 231 31 233 47 274 52 272 9227 8458 21 225 25 216 39 266 49 266 8458 7769 22 223 20 212 32 256 45 261 7769 7144 21 221 19 212 25 246 33 253 7144 6587 17 221 17*213 21 237 25 232 6587 6117 12 227 15*214 17 231 25 222 6117 5753 8 229 14 214 15 229 22 225 5753 5502 8 230 13 214 13 228 16 234 5502 5349 7*229 12 214 11*227 13 236 5349 5261 6*229 10 214 8*227 8*239 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography