DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 94.3 - - - - - 80.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 313 - - 411 - - - - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2617 - - 12193 - - - - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6721 - - 14490 - - - - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7678 - - 17254 - - - - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4111 - - 2493 - - - - - 108 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 393 - - 719 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 28 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 15 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 269 - - - - - 255 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 8 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -21 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10792 - - -2715 - - - - - -11332 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18471 - - 19969 - - - - - 16597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14276 - - -5048 - - - - - -15531 ODpotential blCL - - - 21954 - - 22302 - - - - - 20795 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 42 - - - - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 94.3 - - - - - 80.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.4 - - 23.5 - - - - - 27.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.3 - - 91.4 - - - - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.1 - - 23.1 - - - - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 313 - - 411 - - - - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2617 - - 12193 - - - - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99767 29 109 22 108 26 082 99767 92266 25 106 22 108 22 091 92266 86451 23 110 23 106 19 080 86451 81616 20 107 17 104 16 081 81616 77457 15 101 13 087 16 111 77457 73782 12 117 10 086 14 111 73782 70452 9 115 12 122 13 100 70452 67396 11 114 13 130 7 079 67396 64571 6 105 9 113 5 114 64571 61848 1 234 7 100 4 179 61848 59027 10 266 7 284 10 239 59027 56126 17 259 16 277 2 337 56126 53391 22 264 33 270 30 306 53391 50966 27 279 35 269 41 283 50966 48798 33 288 35 278 41 280 48798 46817 39 285 40 285 44 287 46817 44988 42 286 45 288 47 290 44988 43286 45 288 49 291 51 294 43286 41693 51 290 55 292 53 298 41693 40201 56 288 57 287 52 297 40201 38801 57 285 54 284 50 295 38801 37463 56 285 51 285 50 292 37463 36122 54 285 47 287 47 288 36122 34749 50 285 43 288 41 286 34749 33347 45 285 39 288 37 289 33347 31902 39 285 36 286 34 290 31902 30406 35 284 32 281 31 288 30406 28862 28 284 28 283 27 287 28862 27275 24 284 25 285 27 288 27275 25647 21 281 24 284 26 285 25647 23979 20 273 23 275 23 283 23979 22264 19 266 22 272 20 284 22264 20496 18 266 20 269 18 287 20496 18704 18 278 16*280 13 293 18704 16979 23 279 15*285 8 302 16979 15404 23 268 15 283 8 307 15404 13993 22 281 14 281 8 296 13993 12724 21 288 15 277 10 284 12724 11579 18 287 15 273 12 277 11579 10546 16 286 15 268 13 274 10546 9614 13 286 16 264 15 272 9614 8779 11 284 16 261 16 272 8779 8028 7*273 16 259 18 273 8028 7345 5*255 16 257 19 273 7345 6732 3 202 16 256 20 274 6732 6214 3 191 16 255 20 273 6214 5811 3 180 16 254 19 271 5811 5532 3 173 15 254 16 266 5532 5362 2 170 15 254 13 260 5362 5264 2 168 13 253 7*255 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography