DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.8 - - 46.8 - - 48.9 - - 46.5 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 35 - - 20 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5246 - - 5246 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 200 - - 2888 - - 3901 - - 3464 - - 714 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 83 - - 72 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 5 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 122 - - 160 - - 206 - - 043 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -1992 - - -604 - - -915 - - -424 - - -1529 ODpotential blCL 7254 - - 5866 - - 6177 - - 5686 - - 6791 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 160 - - 360 - - 220 - - 90 CAPE Temp@2m 39.8 - - 46.8 - - 48.9 - - 46.5 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.7 - - 43.9 - - 45.2 - - 45.3 - - 42.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.4 - - 46.2 - - 48.4 - - 46.2 - - 43.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.7 - - 43.4 - - 44.5 - - 45.0 - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 35 - - 20 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96260 15 311 31 298 34 298 32 308 27 306 96260 89417 15 340 9 315 21 278 23 314 14 336 89417 84041 15 340 10 339 9 286 13 295 14 310 84041 79496 16 313 14 277 11 307 10 262 13 303 79496 75543 18 306 17 284 7 300 11 262 13 268 75543 72031 20 292 23 269 16 263 15 288 14 252 72031 68825 20 263 23 262 19 253 19 276 16 248 68825 65849 21 265 20 267 17 256 21 270 13 270 65849 63060 25 251 20 265 18 256 25 245 18 261 63060 60345 27 241 22 248 19 244 19 233 22 264 60345 57509 22 237 22 234 17 247 21 244 27 261 57509 54564 19 247 25 237 26 240 25 241 28 241 54564 51753 27 250 28 237 29 238 29 243 27 232 51753 49223 34 241 35 238 37 239 35 246 30 244 49223 46971 38 230 38 240 42 240 41 250 37 248 46971 44951 40 228 44 240 47 242 53 247 42 246 44951 43117 45 230 50 235 55 236 63 241 57 247 43117 41435 51 228 51 231 60 232 65 243 79 249 41435 39878 52 223 51 228 61 231 71 248 101 249 39878 38427 49 219 53 229 61 235 79 251 115 249 38427 37071 46 215 55 229 60 240 81 252 111 246 37071 35780 47 209 54 226 60 242 76 250 108 238 35780 34488 51 207 51 221 59 238 69 246 119 234 34488 33162 51 211 50 214 57 233 62 242 121 235 33162 31807 45 214 52 210 55 230 53 238 109 240 31807 30422 38 219 55 214 57 227 47 231 73 245 30422 29000 37 223 55 221 61 227 45 230 51 237 29000 27535 36 222 49 226 59 231 39 230 52 230 27535 26024 35 222 42 226 51 237 31 219 50 230 26024 24471 34 223 38 221 37 236 29 212 45 228 24471 22878 32 224 33 227 28 214 30 218 40 221 22878 21239 30 227 31 228 28 218 31 218 36 215 21239 19551 27 227 27 220 29 223 30 215 27 210 19551 17845 22 219 25 205 29 222 29 213 28 206 17845 16209 21 210 26 202 29 222 28 210 30 204 16209 14721 21 206 26 195 28 218 28 210 26 207 14721 13393 20 203 25 196 28 210 28 210 24 212 13393 12204 17 204 23 197 28 206 28 208 22 215 12204 11133 15 206 20 196 27 205 27 207 21 214 11133 10169 14 206 19 187 24 203 26 206 21 208 10169 9300 13 204 17 181 22 198 23 204 20 199 9300 8523 12 201 14 179 19 190 21 203 18 191 8523 7824 9 199 12 176 17 184 21 203 15 178 7824 7189 8 199 11 173 15 177 20 204 11 161 7189 6620 6 196 9 164 14 175 20 204 7 143 6620 6140 6 186 7 139 12 167 19 205 5 097 6140 5768 5 162 6 126 11 164 18 205 7 066 5768 5510 4 123 6 124 10 162 16 205 8 051 5510 5352 3*055 6*123 9 161 14*205 7*046 5352 5262 2*015 5*122 7*160 9*206 4*043 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography