DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 78.7 - - 76.2 - - 61.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 415 - - 297 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6460 - - 8481 - - 7778 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9704 - - 11462 - - 10725 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11521 - - 13542 - - 12839 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3107 - - 5067 - - 3002 - - 2598 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 533 - - 641 - - 557 - - 49 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 27 - - 26 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 275 - - 253 - - 257 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -9 - - -14 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 139 - - 836 - - -27 - - -985 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11383 - - 12706 - - 12867 - - 6248 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2067 - - -312 - - -1735 - - -3908 ODpotential blCL - - - 13588 - - 13854 - - 14574 - - 9171 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 76 - - 61 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 480 - - 790 - - 250 - - 640 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.5 - - 78.7 - - 76.2 - - 61.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 42.5 - - 40.7 - - 37.5 - - 51.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.2 - - 76.2 - - 74.1 - - 61.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 40.4 - - 37.4 - - 50.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 306 - - 415 - - 297 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6460 - - 8481 - - 7778 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 67 - - 3 - - 0 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99097 27 083 24 109 22 091 26 096 99097 91541 21 090 19 100 22 089 26 092 91541 85728 20 116 19 096 18 097 22 104 85728 80940 22 106 15 097 18 092 19 114 80940 76830 15 096 12 118 12 098 15 083 76830 73190 10 111 10 087 15 113 8 077 73190 69899 13 109 7 103 12 081 11 097 69899 66872 6 121 8 137 1 275 8 084 66872 64056 3 174 6 172 7 255 4 303 64056 61347 7 282 4 258 13 273 10 283 61347 58528 13 259 16 250 20 267 16 275 58528 55590 23 262 23 262 27 261 25 270 55590 52776 26 266 30 259 32 263 31 268 52776 50242 34 264 36 259 36 261 36 264 50242 47972 42 263 39 261 39 266 40 266 47972 45910 46 258 40 262 41 266 43 268 45910 44022 47 257 42 264 40 265 44 268 44022 42282 46 256 44 265 40 268 44 272 42282 40673 40 255 40 260 39 271 41 281 40673 39182 31 250 32 253 34 266 38 281 39182 37802 22 249 20 247 21 266 25 282 37802 36495 24 241 13 253 16 266 19 284 36495 35192 24 213 10 243 7 269 10 269 35192 33860 14 165 6 213 1 342 4 289 33860 32499 10 181 2 155 2 075 14 324 32499 31094 15 201 3 179 1 100 16 323 31094 29637 17 215 5 191 2 233 15 313 29637 28130 16 228 7 198 6 261 17 300 28130 26574 18 237 11 212 13 260 18 297 26574 24973 22 247 16 237 17 258 16 297 24973 23333 26 261 25 252 19 258 14 298 23333 21649 25 266 29 256 20 251 11 293 21649 19918 22 261 29 256 23 247 14 308 19918 18173 23 252 25 257 27 251 16 311 18173 16500 26 248 22 258 31 253 20 300 16500 14977 27 248 23 257 31 254 23 296 14977 13619 23 252 23*256 29*255 22 292 13619 12401 20*265 24*256 27*255 18 288 12401 11304 20*274 25 255 26 257 15 287 11304 10313 18 279 26 254 26 257 13 293 10313 9420 17 280 27 253 26 257 12 311 9420 8620 15 278 27 253 26 257 15 332 8620 7902 12 275 28 253 26 257 20 340 7902 7250 10 271 28 252 26 257 24 343 7250 6665 9 269 28 252 26 257 24 342 6665 6171 8 267 27 251 25 257 22 341 6171 5787 7 267 27 251 25 257 20 339 5787 5520 7 267 26 251 24 257 17 337 5520 5357 6 267 24 251 22 257 14*337 5357 5263 6 267 20 250 19 256 10*335 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography