DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.3 - - 44.4 - - 46.1 - - 42.4 - - 34.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 55 - - 46 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5261 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 467 - - 4578 - - 5801 - - 3054 - - 499 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 99 - - 95 - - 29 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 290 - - 047 - - 211 - - 237 - - 256 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - 0 - - 0 - - -2 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -97 - - -1358 - - -1430 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5358 - - 6620 - - 6693 - - 5262 - - 5261 sfcLCL ODpotential -4362 - - -2739 - - -2498 - - -843 - - -2531 ODpotential blCL 9623 - - 8001 - - 7760 - - 6105 - - 7792 blCL maxRH 70 - - 70 - - 94 - - 99 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.3 - - 44.4 - - 46.1 - - 42.4 - - 34.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.3 - - 33.9 - - 35.3 - - 39.7 - - 34.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.3 - - 43.6 - - 45.3 - - 42.1 - - 35.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.3 - - 32.7 - - 34.1 - - 39.2 - - 35.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 55 - - 46 - - -1 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 200 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 77 - - 97 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96310 11 314 24 281 27 316 20 315 24 309 96310 89490 9 341 6 327 12 311 11 345 19 333 89490 84147 5 010 8 030 2 233 4 349 12 324 84147 79647 5 331 4 285 3 277 4 289 7 330 79647 75710 2 248 9 248 8 288 10 269 8 290 75710 72201 3 007 10 231 15 252 14 261 9 261 72201 69016 7 306 8 235 14 253 15 260 11 270 69016 66079 13 252 12 264 14 268 15 262 13 283 66079 63345 18 236 15 250 16 272 18 280 22 274 63345 60692 14 234 14 246 19 246 21 256 24 252 60692 57924 17 280 12 236 19 229 14 244 13 252 57924 55034 24 279 26 271 24 269 32 273 15 292 55034 52265 33 287 35 258 37 251 36 252 29 265 52265 49777 35 277 31 232 36 229 24 234 29 260 49777 47554 29 275 15 208 23 228 21 259 28 277 47554 45541 22 273 21 275 22 292 32 275 29 287 45541 43711 28 299 38 292 29 295 33 292 33 317 43711 42036 38 304 41 295 32 305 37 313 55 323 42036 40481 33 304 35 293 37 306 49 319 79 314 40481 39029 33 311 26 297 41 305 58 318 91 313 39029 37668 35 318 26 318 42 311 59 318 95 312 37668 36361 32 326 38 333 47 321 58 321 96 312 36361 35045 30 339 51 332 56 329 60 327 100 313 35045 33693 38 349 54 333 68 333 64 329 95 315 33693 32309 51 351 56 339 76 333 69 326 75 315 32309 30886 59 349 65 339 77 333 72 322 63 320 30886 29417 56 349 62 340 75 333 68 325 62 328 29417 27908 50 357 52 351 66 335 65 334 52 337 27908 26356 52 005 47 000 55 346 60 346 46 344 26356 24765 55 004 48 002 51 001 52 353 43 353 24765 23135 56 003 52 002 56 007 47 355 41 358 23135 21464 54 006 54 003 60 007 48 002 41 007 21464 19745 53 008 53 004 59 010 52 013 42 021 19745 18003 43 005 50 006 52 013 54 019 37 031 18003 16326 31 354 45 006 46 015 49 025 28 037 16326 14796 25 346 33 359 39 017 39 032 26 047 14796 13429 20 343 22 348 29 010 28 031 22 045 13429 12209 16 338 16 339 21 355 21 015 18 032 12209 11116 14 338 12 334 15 347 15 004 16 016 11116 10138 12 343 10 335 9 342 10 006 12 013 10138 9266 10 352 8 348 5 338 7 013 7 051 9266 8491 11 002 8 004 3 335 4 024 7 099 8491 7797 13 005 8 012 1 291 2 036 8 116 7797 7167 16 003 7 017 1 240 0 038 6 144 7167 6603 18 358 5 024 3 218 3 235 6 207 6603 6128 18 354 3 034 3 216 7 239 11 248 6128 5760 15 350 3 039 3 213 8 238 15 255 5760 5506 9 344 2 044 3 212 8 238 13 256 5506 5350 6 331 2*044 3*212 7*237 10 256 5350 5261 4*290 2*047 3*211 6*237 5*256 5261 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography