DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 42.3 - - 45.6 - - 47.1 - - 45.7 - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 30 - - 31 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 5245 - - 5246 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 644 - - 3161 - - 3890 - - 4500 - - 2805 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 81 - - 83 - - 21 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 051 - - 054 - - 004 - - 292 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -1 - - -2 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -1172 - - -667 - - -1091 - - -1330 - - -2121 ODpotential blCL 6434 - - 5929 - - 6353 - - 6592 - - 7383 blCL maxRH 101 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 210 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 42.3 - - 45.6 - - 47.1 - - 45.7 - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.2 - - 42.6 - - 42.6 - - 43.1 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 44.9 - - 46.4 - - 46.4 - - 42.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.3 - - 41.8 - - 41.5 - - 42.2 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 30 - - 31 - - -6 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 101 - - 100 - - 95 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96324 23 305 18 305 29 296 23 307 22 313 96324 89512 7 024 9 351 15 303 9 317 17 337 89512 84181 11 359 9 346 5 328 5 293 10 331 84181 79672 11 309 12 320 6 035 5 281 5 315 79672 75731 13 282 14 282 7 353 8 282 8 313 75731 72225 12 269 16 266 15 304 8 305 7 334 72225 69029 13 253 15 260 21 281 13 301 12 307 69029 66069 11 262 12 243 19 265 18 288 17 287 66069 63308 14 282 10 246 18 260 21 268 21 275 63308 60627 19 272 16 273 16 255 20 264 21 279 60627 57829 21 259 20 273 17 261 21 276 22 286 57829 54918 22 254 23 271 24 270 25 282 23 283 54918 52129 23 253 27 265 27 270 29 278 22 290 52129 49610 26 254 28 243 26 265 29 279 27 303 49610 47347 31 242 22 237 25 262 27 283 30 309 47347 45287 36 238 27 248 26 255 28 285 35 316 45287 43392 43 232 38 230 30 246 30 278 37 320 43392 41638 48 231 42 224 35 234 25 266 38 323 41638 40002 59 232 45 227 36 225 22 262 38 320 40002 38470 69 230 53 232 35 216 22 246 33 312 38470 37038 76 226 69 229 39 214 16 233 27 304 37038 35676 77 222 85 221 47 217 22 242 19 311 35676 34320 72 219 100 215 58 216 33 225 24 311 34320 32941 72 216 107 213 65 213 31 203 29 299 32941 31556 75 216 93 217 63 211 29 211 13 270 31556 30159 75 213 69 219 57 209 34 218 14 260 30159 28734 70 208 55 214 47 206 30 215 14 228 28734 27278 65 207 54 211 39 199 28 206 18 224 27278 25782 60 210 52 205 38 200 29 197 18 224 25782 24244 55 217 47 200 34 196 26 191 16 224 24244 22667 47 216 43 199 28 196 19 188 7 245 22667 21048 41 206 35 206 18 201 13 193 9 338 21048 19381 33 202 24 214 11 194 10 211 18 331 19381 17696 25 210 15 198 9 182 5 294 16 346 17696 16078 22 212 11 196 7 191 13 341 16 003 16078 14608 20 213 11 165 5 210 17 341 19 004 14608 13295 14 217 10 165 4 254 17 347 20 004 13295 12119 11 199 7 141 4 340 17 350 21 010 12119 11061 11 175 3 101 9 354 18 353 22 014 11061 10108 7 181 4 013 13 352 19 354 23 016 10108 9251 3 198 6 011 15 349 19 354 24 014 9251 8484 1 255 6 026 14 347 18 352 25 011 8484 7796 1 252 7 039 12 347 16 350 24 008 7796 7171 2 212 7 046 10 350 15 347 20 006 7171 6609 3 182 7 051 8 353 13 344 16 005 6609 6134 5 150 7 054 7 359 11 338 11 004 6134 5765 7 123 7 054 6 001 8 327 7 359 5765 5508 6 107 7 054 6 002 7 314 4 347 5508 5352 4*086 6*055 5*003 5*302 3*325 5352 5262 2*051 6*054 5*004 4*292 2*278 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography