DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.2 - - 59.3 - - - - - 46.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 128 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 1677 - - - - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5245 - - 5712 - - - - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5262 - - 6738 - - - - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1012 - - 1001 - - - - - 144 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 255 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 7 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 193 - - - - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2142 - - -3173 - - - - - -656 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7404 - - 9912 - - - - - 5919 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12175 - - -10936 - - - - - -9682 ODpotential blCL - - - 17437 - - 17674 - - - - - 14945 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 58 - - - - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.2 - - 59.3 - - - - - 46.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.4 - - 34.5 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 58.0 - - - - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 33.6 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 88 - - 128 - - - - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 201 - - 1677 - - - - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97537 9 268 12 264 15 298 97537 90302 7 262 7 231 6 319 90302 84653 3 080 8 216 13 319 84653 79957 7 300 7 259 16 277 79957 75927 9 278 15 274 18 287 75927 72375 9 292 17 265 24 284 72375 69183 17 279 26 272 22 297 69183 66255 24 267 30 280 28 303 66255 63531 24 271 29 281 33 282 63531 60885 26 278 31 274 35 279 60885 58115 32 275 37 275 40 282 58115 55246 39 265 43 266 44 278 55246 52523 45 257 48 260 43 277 52523 50079 49 250 48 256 45 276 50079 47886 47 253 46 251 47 267 47886 45898 44 253 44 251 47 254 45898 44086 40 250 41 254 44 247 44086 42420 37 239 36 245 39 244 42420 40871 32 230 34 243 38 245 40871 39419 24 226 34 233 34 254 39419 38059 22 226 30 234 29 252 38059 36758 22 230 29 234 27 242 36758 35449 20 237 28 236 30 241 35449 34105 19 247 25 243 34 241 34105 32729 20 250 25 249 35 245 32729 31308 19 250 25 248 34 253 31308 29837 19 250 24 247 32 256 29837 28321 22 247 26 244 29 252 28321 26758 24 248 26 242 28 247 26758 25149 25 249 25 240 27 247 25149 23498 25 247 25 240 25 250 23498 21800 25 246 24 243 24 248 21800 20049 24 245 23 243 23 243 20049 18276 24 241 24 240 23 239 18276 16573 24 236 25 242 22 240 16573 15022 24 235 27 247 21 249 15022 13638 25 241 29 253 21 261 13638 12400 27 245 30 258 22 266 12400 11290 27 246 28 260 22 267 11290 10292 25 246 25 259 21 266 10292 9397 22 247 22 254 17 262 9397 8598 19 245 19 243 14 253 8598 7882 16 241 16 232 11 235 7882 7233 12 228 13*220 10 227 7233 6651 9 212 9*202 11 216 6651 6160 4 175 8 193 13 207 6160 5779 4 089 7 191 13 199 5779 5515 4 086 7 189 7 187 5515 5354 4*085 6 189 2*163 5354 5263 3*085 6 187 1*024 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography