DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.8 - - 86.1 - - 92.3 - - 90.3 - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 319 - - 422 - - 163 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 4553 - - 11300 - - 9463 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit 5247 - - 8210 - - 13773 - - 11657 - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top 5264 - - 9614 - - 16361 - - 14524 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 263 - - 3147 - - 3605 - - 4157 - - 150 Hgt.Variab. W* 59 - - 476 - - 708 - - 486 - - 11 W* B/S 4 - - 37 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 18 - - 17 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 244 - - 263 - - 263 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 10 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -1 - - -16 - - -19 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8486 - - -8423 - - -2725 - - -3948 - - -10059 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13751 - - 18038 - - 19087 - - 18472 - - 15324 sfcLCL ODpotential -13184 - - -11955 - - -4261 - - -6649 - - -14619 ODpotential blCL 18448 - - 21569 - - 20622 - - 21173 - - 19883 blCL maxRH 96 - - 56 - - 65 - - 40 - - 42 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.8 - - 86.1 - - 92.3 - - 90.3 - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.5 - - 24.6 - - 25.5 - - 26.6 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.4 - - 83.6 - - 89.4 - - 88.7 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.4 - - 24.2 - - 25.2 - - 26.3 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 319 - - 422 - - 163 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 203 - - 4553 - - 11300 - - 9463 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 82 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99537 22 102 24 111 20 099 20 094 14 097 99537 92056 18 114 17 111 18 099 18 087 22 102 92056 86236 20 109 16 107 16 096 12 099 15 083 86236 81381 20 102 13 106 13 098 11 104 11 077 81381 77216 12 082 11 087 11 093 10 114 10 068 77216 73549 11 082 7 126 5 079 10 097 10 078 73549 70233 8 077 7 101 4 117 8 064 11 076 70233 67183 8 072 8 112 1 198 3 029 12 060 67183 64349 6 008 4 060 4 152 5 324 3 339 64349 61612 7 293 1 329 4 234 8 256 6 304 61612 58780 15 297 7 293 7 330 4 004 5 282 58780 55878 24 283 25 278 29 291 24 307 15 310 55878 53136 31 278 26 272 33 278 33 283 36 291 53136 50678 34 281 33 282 35 282 37 279 40 281 50678 48472 41 286 42 284 42 287 43 280 42 282 48472 46476 49 291 50 282 49 283 49 283 47 288 46476 44658 54 290 55 278 55 278 54 282 45 293 44658 42984 56 287 56 276 56 275 55 281 44 304 42984 41426 56 286 54 277 56 273 54 280 44 308 41426 39962 52 287 49 281 54 271 52 278 41 306 39962 38584 49 287 44 284 51 270 52 275 41 300 38584 37261 46 288 43 285 48 269 51 272 41 297 37261 35929 42 287 43 285 46 269 49 270 39 295 35929 34559 39 289 39 282 44 269 46 268 37 287 34559 33160 36 290 35 277 42 267 46 266 37 278 33160 31721 34 285 34 274 40 268 44 267 39 276 31721 30233 33 281 35 275 40 271 41 271 39 276 30233 28697 31 282 35 274 39 271 37 272 37 275 28697 27115 28 283 32 271 35 268 35 273 34 273 27115 25492 27 286 28 267 31 266 33 273 33 272 25492 23830 29 281 27 265 29 270 31 274 31 272 23830 22123 32 281 29 265 30 274 29 274 30 273 22123 20366 35 279 34 265 32 274 29 273 29 272 20366 18587 31 273 36 265 32 275 27 276 28 273 18587 16876 27 266 35 265 27*276 23 277 26 275 16876 15316 25 264 34 262 22*276 20*274 23 277 15316 13918 22 271 31 266 20 274 18*271 20 278 13918 12662 19 283 24 280 18 270 18 268 18 279 12662 11529 16 298 20 294 18 266 18 266 17 278 11529 10505 13 306 13*294 18 263 18 264 17 277 10505 9582 10 300 8*290 18 260 18 262 18 275 9582 8754 7 294 5 278 18 257 18 261 19 273 8754 8009 4 306 3 246 18 255 18 259 19 272 8009 7332 2 005 2 208 18 253 18 258 20 271 7332 6723 3 066 2 192 18 252 18 258 20 269 6723 6208 6 082 2 177 18 251 17 257 19 267 6208 5808 6 084 2 168 18 250 17 257 18 264 5808 5531 4 065 2 164 17 249 16 257 15 259 5531 5361 4*031 2 159 16 249 16 257 12 254 5361 5264 3*015 2 160 15 249 13 256 7*249 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography