DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 70.6 - - 71.3 - - 62.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 406 - - 131 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3553 - - 6114 - - 4070 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7456 - - 9540 - - 7415 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8614 - - 11175 - - 9131 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2208 - - 2192 - - 4954 - - 2583 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 446 - - 569 - - 341 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 230 - - 214 - - 225 - - 030 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -8 - - -7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1280 - - -312 - - -2989 - - -5236 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9895 - - 11487 - - 12121 - - 10499 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3455 - - -1661 - - -4590 - - -9637 ODpotential blCL - - - 12069 - - 12836 - - 13721 - - 14900 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 74 - - 80 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.7 - - 70.6 - - 71.3 - - 62.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.3 - - 38.1 - - 36.2 - - 35.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.1 - - 67.8 - - 69.8 - - 66.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.1 - - 37.9 - - 36.1 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 334 - - 406 - - 131 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3553 - - 6114 - - 4070 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 0 - - 20 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98977 8 129 4 223 5 201 5 315 98977 91553 7 201 2 190 3 287 4 097 91553 85840 8 187 3 138 4 355 9 065 85840 81102 14 113 8 136 4 037 8 070 81102 77007 9 085 12 118 7 110 6 107 77007 73386 2 064 10 084 11 109 7 103 73386 70105 9 125 6 138 13 082 10 095 70105 67069 15 116 11 162 2 088 8 052 67069 64244 6 180 10 155 7 228 3 197 64244 61520 18 204 9 199 13 196 7 204 61520 58679 25 206 19 225 15 210 14 200 58679 55725 26 227 29 229 32 232 25 221 55725 52910 42 237 41 233 37 224 29 235 52910 50379 49 225 48 230 40 222 45 239 50379 48117 45 224 49 227 48 229 53 230 48117 46068 47 230 52 229 56 236 57 229 46068 44199 56 230 60 233 68 239 64 233 44199 42483 64 228 72 235 78 237 74 232 42483 40894 69 229 80 235 82 232 80 229 40894 39410 70 227 82 234 81 230 82 227 39410 38022 71 223 80 234 80 231 83 226 38022 36695 70 215 78 236 81 232 83 226 36695 35365 70 214 78 235 82 231 81 226 35365 34004 69 214 76 232 81 231 78 226 34004 32615 69 215 75 230 80 230 77 225 32615 31186 68 215 73 228 77 229 75 224 31186 29710 65 216 69 227 73 228 73 224 29710 28189 63 219 64 225 68 226 69 225 28189 26625 61 224 60 222 62 224 64 227 26625 25023 60 227 58 221 57 223 58 230 25023 23385 59 226 57 221 55 224 54 234 23385 21706 58 225 56 222 54 226 53 234 21706 19978 57 224 54 223 52 227 53 226 19978 18235 53 223 51 223 47 223 48 217 18235 16564 48 224 46 224 41 220 43 213 16564 15041 44 225 39 225 34 213 40 210 15041 13677 37 224 33 225 29 203 37 206 13677 12451 30 216 26 222 25 196 32 200 12451 11346 23 207 19*216 24 195 25 187 11346 10348 15 223 15*213 17 198 21 174 10348 9451 12*225 12 212 13*203 15 160 9451 8646 9*227 12 213 9*212 10 141 8646 7924 8 234 11 213 8 221 6 107 7924 7268 8 233 11 213 7 225 6 078 7268 6678 8 232 11 214 7 227 6 062 6678 6179 8 229 11 215 7 230 6 050 6179 5791 8 228 10 215 6 230 6 042 5791 5522 8 225 10 215 6 231 6 037 5522 5357 8 226 10 216 6 232 6*033 5357 5263 7 225 9 216 5 231 5*030 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography