DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.6 - - 36.5 - - 44.1 - - 42.6 - - 36.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 45 - - 46 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth Hcrit 5244 - - 5244 - - 5245 - - 5245 - - 5245 Hcrit BL Top 5261 - - 5261 - - 5261 - - 5262 - - 5262 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 178 - - 719 - - 2622 - - 3007 - - 436 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 89 - - 92 - - 15 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 036 - - 073 - - 124 - - 140 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 0 - - -566 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5261 - - 5261 - - 5828 - - 5262 - - 5262 sfcLCL ODpotential -6533 - - -4345 - - -1815 - - -1275 - - -2887 ODpotential blCL 11794 - - 9606 - - 7076 - - 6537 - - 8149 blCL maxRH 92 - - 94 - - 89 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m 28.6 - - 36.5 - - 44.1 - - 42.6 - - 36.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.6 - - 34.1 - - 36.7 - - 40.7 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.4 - - 35.7 - - 43.2 - - 43.3 - - 38.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 29.2 - - 33.6 - - 35.6 - - 40.3 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 45 - - 46 - - -3 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 200 - - 200 - - 200 - - 201 - - 201 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 69 - - 75 - - 55 - - 101 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95786 29 309 30 290 32 306 24 308 33 289 95786 88831 19 313 18 300 23 291 17 304 23 291 88831 83433 15 301 14 304 21 303 12 302 24 299 83433 78919 13 301 15 301 20 305 11 294 22 296 78919 74988 12 296 14 293 19 298 10 290 22 288 74988 71484 10 292 18 304 17 295 13 291 22 297 71484 68278 15 267 19 272 16 287 19 293 24 283 68278 65316 11 267 14 277 15 291 23 277 24 259 65316 62569 13 276 21 270 26 291 13 270 22 267 62569 59889 21 248 28 261 18 290 19 262 18 308 59889 57066 22 265 12 320 38 274 49 263 47 257 57066 54136 28 292 48 255 60 242 49 234 50 233 54136 51349 45 264 55 244 54 237 38 241 37 238 51349 48842 49 251 52 250 46 251 40 262 28 266 48842 46583 52 256 59 255 51 255 58 254 57 264 46583 44525 56 261 64 254 61 254 64 246 63 256 44525 42643 62 261 67 250 71 245 72 243 65 246 42643 40913 71 261 67 250 75 239 77 241 68 241 40913 39319 86 259 71 254 81 242 91 238 73 241 39319 37849 97 257 76 255 93 246 102 239 80 243 37849 36499 93 256 74 253 99 246 108 240 90 242 36499 35233 78 257 68 252 93 244 112 239 104 235 35233 33979 63 258 64 251 84 240 108 236 103 228 33979 32697 54 259 62 249 78 237 96 234 84 224 32697 31387 51 258 61 248 74 238 85 234 77 222 31387 30038 50 254 61 248 71 240 71 226 83 225 30038 28639 52 251 62 248 68 241 62 223 89 228 28639 27193 55 251 62 248 64 242 66 228 88 235 27193 25706 55 254 60 250 63 244 74 241 76 238 25706 24180 53 256 58 251 61 245 74 248 71 236 24180 22616 50 257 56 252 54 243 64 249 71 237 22616 21010 43 253 53 250 49 237 55 243 56 238 21010 19355 39 248 48 243 47 231 49 234 60 240 19355 17682 39 244 40 235 46 227 46 230 59 242 17682 16076 39 241 37 227 42 224 43 221 50 238 16076 14611 37 238 35 222 39 223 41 214 48 236 14611 13303 31 235 31 223 37 223 39 212 46 233 13303 12131 26 225 28 229 34 224 37 214 42 232 12131 11073 23 213 25 234 30 222 35 214 38 231 11073 10118 21 220 23 236 25 221 32 211 34 229 10118 9258 23 225 21 236 20 226 27 207 32 226 9258 8488 26 218 19 229 16 224 23 204 31 223 8488 7797 28 209 18 216 12 204 21 205 31 219 7797 7169 25 202 16 206 9 176 20 205 30 212 7169 6606 17 189 12 192 7 142 18 203 31 204 6606 6130 8 153 7 170 7 135 14 197 31 196 6130 5761 9 076 4 116 6 130 10 189 26 193 5761 5506 12 050 3 075 6 127 7 176 18 187 5506 5351 10*041 3*074 6 126 4*161 14*185 5351 5262 5*036 3*073 5*124 3*140 5*176 5262 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography