DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.9 - - 72.8 - - 78.7 - - 78.6 - - 73.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 103 - - 406 - - 417 - - 123 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 5534 - - 9226 - - 11643 - - 203 BL Depth Hcrit 5246 - - 9080 - - 12071 - - 13121 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top 5263 - - 10595 - - 14287 - - 16704 - - 5264 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2001 - - 3855 - - 5961 - - 3346 - - 13545 Hgt.Variab. W* 116 - - 552 - - 660 - - 477 - - 14 W* B/S 7 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 8 - - 14 - - 16 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 042 - - 257 - - 255 - - 262 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 6 - - 18 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -9 - - -13 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7764 - - -5139 - - -2440 - - -694 - - -10559 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13027 - - 15734 - - 16728 - - 17399 - - 15824 sfcLCL ODpotential -13029 - - -8483 - - -3793 - - -2277 - - -12810 ODpotential blCL 18292 - - 19078 - - 18080 - - 18981 - - 18074 blCL maxRH 38 - - 52 - - 82 - - 92 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.9 - - 72.8 - - 78.7 - - 78.6 - - 73.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.5 - - 21.7 - - 22.8 - - 19.8 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 70.0 - - 75.8 - - 77.2 - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.1 - - 20.8 - - 21.9 - - 18.9 - - 21.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 103 - - 406 - - 417 - - 123 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 202 - - 5534 - - 9226 - - 11643 - - 203 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 30 - - 68 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98713 40 108 22 116 25 101 18 091 22 104 98713 91238 23 117 17 108 16 080 23 094 22 106 91238 85517 20 117 18 103 13 096 17 068 21 100 85517 80775 23 107 19 097 12 118 11 059 17 069 80775 76703 21 090 14 097 14 110 11 067 16 073 76703 73102 14 075 15 087 14 094 12 091 15 083 73102 69842 11 078 11 082 12 078 13 077 10 091 69842 66850 9 091 7 077 8 068 7 036 12 069 66850 64074 6 077 9 105 3 081 1 052 8 032 64074 61373 4 348 5 091 2 201 2 285 3 013 61373 58542 7 282 3 250 7 267 6 290 7 310 58542 55601 10 244 10 263 13 281 12 310 11 318 55601 52791 9 234 13 270 15 279 20 293 15 311 52791 50263 11 298 14 298 13 284 20 295 21 311 50263 48002 18 296 19 296 15 305 21 303 28 314 48002 45960 18 294 22 299 24 309 32 310 35 315 45960 44104 20 308 29 298 34 301 42 313 42 317 44104 42405 25 310 31 297 38 300 50 316 52 326 42405 40833 15 288 31 303 40 299 63 321 59 327 40833 39361 14 317 27 300 39 300 74 321 60 317 39361 37981 21 326 23 289 35 297 75 316 60 310 37981 36663 21 316 23 290 31 282 75 314 61 307 36663 35341 17 307 26 294 29 266 69 312 62 307 35341 33986 14 307 27 297 27 264 52 304 61 307 33986 32603 12 309 25 298 26 261 40 289 59 306 32603 31180 12 306 21 280 28 263 39 278 57 305 31180 29707 11 298 20 271 30 274 35 273 52 302 29707 28191 10 294 19 253 32 281 29 268 48 296 28191 26634 11 283 20 241 33 281 25 263 45 290 26634 25040 17 274 17 243 31 276 29 262 39 278 25040 23414 20 287 15 260 25 264 37 267 38 263 23414 21751 22 289 18 280 21 261 41 269 40 257 21751 20039 25 274 23 284 25 267 41 258 36 248 20039 18305 25 275 28 288 28 266 35*254 28 246 18305 16636 23 281 28 288 26 270 27*255 20 241 16636 15113 20 280 26 282 21*271 23 257 16 236 15113 13747 18 275 25 270 16*259 19 259 14 234 13747 12517 17 273 24 267 15 257 17 261 12 232 12517 11407 16 274 18*267 15 255 16 262 11 231 11407 10404 15 274 14*264 14 255 14 264 9 230 10404 9500 14 275 11 259 14 254 13 265 8 229 9500 8688 12 276 9 257 13 254 13 266 6 228 8688 7958 10 281 8 255 13 254 12 267 5 230 7958 7293 7 288 7 254 13 254 11 268 4 232 7293 6696 3 318 7 253 13 254 11 268 3 239 6696 6191 3 028 6 253 12 255 11 269 2 252 6191 5798 4 036 6 253 12 255 10 269 1 275 5798 5526 3 040 5 252 11 255 10 269 1 315 5526 5360 3*043 5 252 11 255 10 269 1*353 5360 5264 3*042 5 251 10 255 9 270 1*015 5264 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography