DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 69.9 - - 62.1 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 16 - - 34 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6079 - - 203 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9386 - - 5247 - - 5247 - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11140 - - 5264 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3745 - - 7369 - - 2832 - - 2505 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 516 - - 69 - - 87 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 174 - - 229 - - 231 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 48 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -562 - - -3903 - - -176 - - -296 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11703 - - 9167 - - 5440 - - 5560 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1739 - - -5378 - - -2176 - - -3108 ODpotential blCL - - - 12879 - - 10642 - - 7439 - - 8371 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 160 - - 410 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 69.9 - - 62.1 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.6 - - 47.6 - - 55.8 - - 54.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 69.5 - - 61.5 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 47.1 - - 54.8 - - 53.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 304 - - 16 - - 34 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6079 - - 203 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99485 20 096 24 106 17 112 17 102 99485 91952 12 103 16 087 18 094 15 090 91952 86126 16 095 9 099 11 084 14 086 86126 81297 12 099 9 106 8 100 11 089 81297 77142 9 079 9 109 6 125 10 070 77142 73473 6 080 10 098 7 138 5 061 73473 70152 5 112 6 109 5 091 5 099 70152 67095 5 106 4 138 1 350 4 070 67095 64266 3 072 2 192 3 269 3 002 64266 61535 2 062 6 178 8 254 3 318 61535 58700 5 266 10 214 13 234 14 253 58700 55773 12 262 11 244 15 234 20 236 55773 52986 31 249 30 263 20 260 26 234 52986 50485 39 240 40 251 35 252 32 241 50485 48248 43 235 44 240 43 243 40 237 48248 46216 44 232 49 229 47 230 45 232 46216 44352 45 229 46 224 45 222 46 225 44352 42633 48 229 41 226 42 223 46 221 42633 41040 52 227 46 224 44 228 45 230 41040 39556 55 226 55 219 48 230 48 234 39556 38173 55 223 54 216 48 229 54 230 38173 36858 53 222 46 212 45 227 61 227 36858 35540 52 222 41 208 45 224 60 222 35540 34187 46 220 39 205 49 218 56 212 34187 32801 34 216 37 206 46 215 55 207 32801 31371 32 227 35 208 40 212 54 212 31371 29889 32 222 35 206 36 212 50 218 29889 28360 30 221 29 200 33 215 43 226 28360 26783 28 223 28 207 31 220 37 234 26783 25161 27 228 29 216 28 223 32 234 25161 23497 27 223 28 219 24 226 29 239 23497 21788 27 202 27 219 22 228 25 247 21788 20032 21 197 22 215 23 235 18 243 20032 18260 14 204 18 203 19 242 15 242 18260 16563 9 205 11 197 21 256 14 253 16563 15023 9 215 7 199 21 253 13 261 15023 13652 9 229 9 224 17 239 12 265 13652 12425 9 220 12 234 11 220 12 253 12425 11322 10*197 16 241 7 228 11 226 11322 10329 10*186 17 243 7 247 7 193 10329 9434 11 181 19 243 8 258 3 223 9434 8632 11 178 19 241 8 263 3 252 8632 7912 11 175 19 240 7 264 4 242 7912 7258 11 173 19 238 6 256 6 223 7258 6671 10 171 18 236 5 242 8 215 6671 6175 10 168 18 233 5 235 9 211 6175 5789 10 166 17 232 5 233 10 209 5789 5521 9 165 16 231 5 231 9 206 5521 5358 9 164 14*230 5 230 8 203 5358 5263 8 163 11*229 4*231 5*199 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography