DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/29 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 76.6 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 268 - - 370 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3022 - - 7846 - - - - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6986 - - 10889 - - - - - 5247 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8083 - - 12907 - - - - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1726 - - 3697 - - - - - 3043 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 396 - - 600 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 18 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 246 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -7 - - - - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 633 - - 442 - - - - - -5252 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7451 - - 12465 - - - - - 10516 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1535 - - -499 - - - - - -8331 ODpotential blCL - - - 9618 - - 13406 - - - - - 13594 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 89 - - - - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 750 - - 160 - - - - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.7 - - 76.6 - - - - - 65.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.7 - - 39.8 - - - - - 38.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.5 - - 73.9 - - - - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.1 - - 39.7 - - - - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 268 - - 370 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3022 - - 7846 - - - - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 56 - - - - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99263 16 112 9 111 9 040 99263 91789 14 136 10 140 8 051 91789 86009 5 143 8 120 5 081 86009 81217 8 135 4 104 10 124 81217 77075 8 141 5 172 12 111 77075 73417 8 118 7 160 8 081 73417 70107 7 087 2 084 5 043 70107 67053 2 311 4 258 1 236 67053 64232 6 274 8 200 10 215 64232 61515 13 257 11 241 15 210 61515 58690 23 236 21 228 23 255 58690 55756 26 237 25 246 32 244 55756 52944 44 249 46 248 37 240 52944 50400 48 238 49 239 44 244 50400 48122 46 246 53 245 52 249 48122 46066 58 249 63 248 60 250 46066 44190 67 244 67 245 64 247 44190 42461 69 240 67 240 68 243 42461 40859 68 238 67 236 71 241 40859 39373 66 235 66 234 75 239 39373 37991 64 234 62 233 78 238 37991 36674 62 232 57 235 78 237 36674 35355 63 232 55 241 74 237 35355 34004 65 232 55 243 69 237 34004 32625 66 231 53 243 65 239 32625 31207 66 231 50 245 65 242 31207 29737 65 232 49 249 65 244 29737 28217 60 236 48 250 64 245 28217 26650 51 242 48 251 60 246 26650 25040 44 251 46 251 55 247 25040 23394 41 254 43 249 49 248 23394 21709 35 256 42 247 43 247 21709 19980 27 261 40 248 39 243 19980 18238 23 266 31 247 39 242 18238 16569 21 270 21 250 38 248 16569 15048 20 265 17 254 35 253 15048 13685 19 259 17*253 29 253 13685 12459 19 263 17*251 26 247 12459 11353 18 263 17 250 23 238 11353 10354 17 259 18 248 20 235 10354 9455 15 254 18 247 17 238 9455 8650 13*245 18 246 14 247 8650 7926 12*236 18 245 13 260 7926 7268 12 234 19 244 12 272 7268 6678 12 232 18 243 12 281 6678 6179 11 231 18 243 12 290 6179 5791 11 229 18 243 11 299 5791 5522 10 229 17 242 9 304 5522 5358 10 229 16 243 7 308 5358 5263 9 228 14 242 4*309 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography