DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1557z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.8 - - 57.7 - - 61.2 - - 58.4 - - 51.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 15 - - 126 - - 140 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 2476 - - 4482 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth Hcrit 5245 - - 6304 - - 7781 - - 5246 - - 5246 Hcrit BL Top 5262 - - 7537 - - 9543 - - 5263 - - 5263 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 507 - - 3092 - - 2436 - - 5718 - - 752 Hgt.Variab. W* 65 - - 295 - - 365 - - 43 - - 10 W* B/S 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 250 - - 256 - - 276 - - 287 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - 11 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 512 - - 1326 - - -1207 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5262 - - 7025 - - 8217 - - 6470 - - 5263 sfcLCL ODpotential -2968 - - -1629 - - 109 - - -2782 - - -2621 ODpotential blCL 8230 - - 9166 - - 9434 - - 8045 - - 7884 blCL maxRH 88 - - 96 - - 98 - - 101 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 130 - - 170 - - 380 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m 47.8 - - 57.7 - - 61.2 - - 58.4 - - 51.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 44.2 - - 44.8 - - 43.2 - - 47.9 - - 48.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.2 - - 56.3 - - 59.7 - - 58.1 - - 53.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.6 - - 43.5 - - 42.5 - - 47.1 - - 48.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 15 - - 126 - - 140 - - 3 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 2476 - - 4482 - - 202 - - 202 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 53 - - 85 - - 92 - - 102 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98518 7 004 9 339 12 020 5 057 12 340 98518 91217 8 080 11 051 8 028 11 048 10 055 91217 85588 12 090 5 082 7 089 9 027 12 067 85588 80910 17 088 9 164 2 083 8 049 10 051 80910 76856 14 074 10 112 2 104 0 340 8 054 76856 73248 6 075 9 083 3 146 1 157 5 109 73248 69969 4 075 10 129 8 186 4 280 7 089 69969 66944 2 222 9 130 8 159 5 238 4 163 66944 64131 7 209 4 166 7 146 3 176 3 175 64131 61387 12 189 9 189 12 168 14 187 7 234 61387 58503 14 184 10 185 14 164 18 168 15 205 58503 55501 11 182 13 195 12 185 10 193 15 193 55501 52648 17 193 14 196 9 220 15 237 14 226 52648 50100 15 202 16 195 15 223 16 239 15 235 50100 47819 14 231 19 199 19 224 18 248 15 252 47819 45749 15 243 17 215 23 233 23 252 18 260 45749 43852 18 259 13 221 25 230 28 247 21 263 43852 42100 25 256 11 234 24 224 29 238 27 256 42100 40478 30 250 14 253 17 226 27 228 31 248 40478 38973 29 247 20 262 6 239 16 203 29 243 38973 37580 23 250 17 261 0 054 21 127 16 225 37580 36268 15 262 10 252 4 070 34 115 16 152 36268 34966 10 205 9 244 4 051 22 127 17 124 34966 33637 21 139 8 238 5 309 9 140 7 140 33637 32281 24 122 6 237 10 277 6 102 4 230 32281 30883 17 114 6 237 13 271 3 307 2 192 30883 29434 16 123 7 227 15 269 8 280 4 075 29434 27937 19 146 7 192 15 263 9 285 3 061 27937 26393 3 271 1 123 14 254 11 292 3 042 26393 24805 14 300 6 324 10 252 11 283 4 330 24805 23177 17 304 7 301 8 269 10 278 7 301 23177 21506 17 312 8 295 8 296 9 291 9 321 21506 19785 18 310 10 300 8 316 8 321 10 344 19785 18046 20 310 12 323 10 324 9 328 9 344 18046 16380 20 307 17 327 12 320 8 326 7 319 16380 14869 18 299 19 315 14 304 9 326 7 322 14869 13524 15 294 15 299 15 292 10 326 5 322 13524 12319 13 297 13 289 14 295 11 328 5 324 12319 11234 11 310 11 288 13 297 11 329 5 335 11234 10255 12 325 10 294 11*296 10 328 6 344 10255 9374 14 332 10 299 8*286 9 321 6 347 9374 8585 15 333 9 298 7 279 8 306 5 345 8585 7875 14 330 8*286 7 275 9 288 4 342 7875 7230 12 323 8*272 6 274 8 284 2 334 7230 6650 9 306 9 257 6 274 8 283 1 299 6650 6161 11 274 9 255 6 272 7 281 1 207 6161 5780 15 258 8 252 6 272 6 283 2 191 5780 5516 14 254 8 252 5 271 5 285 2 175 5516 5355 12*251 8 250 5 272 5*286 3*162 5355 5263 9*250 7 250 5 272 4*287 2*164 5263 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography