DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.0 - - 87.6 - - 93.6 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 98 - - 384 - - 434 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 764 - - 5568 - - 13140 - - - - - 204 BL Depth Hcrit 5247 - - 9083 - - 15308 - - - - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top 5825 - - 10629 - - 18201 - - - - - 5265 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 708 - - 4962 - - 2577 - - - - - 11430 Hgt.Variab. W* 178 - - 542 - - 752 - - - - - 6 W* B/S 5 - - 55 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 060 - - 287 - - 260 - - - - - 285 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 6 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - 1 - - -3 - - - - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6028 - - -3173 - - 2260 - - - - - -9571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11854 - - 13803 - - 15941 - - - - - 14836 sfcLCL ODpotential -10079 - - -4939 - - 940 - - - - - -12399 ODpotential blCL 15904 - - 15568 - - 17261 - - - - - 17664 blCL maxRH 71 - - 65 - - 92 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 240 - - 310 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 77.0 - - 87.6 - - 93.6 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.5 - - 45.0 - - 41.3 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 75.7 - - 84.8 - - 90.5 - - - - - 88.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.4 - - 44.8 - - 41.0 - - - - - 38.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 98 - - 384 - - 434 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 764 - - 5568 - - 13140 - - - - - 204 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 67 - - - - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99702 32 094 32 109 23 094 27 086 99702 92148 29 098 33 114 25 101 29 093 92148 86329 27 096 26 106 21 099 24 091 86329 81510 24 099 19 096 18 098 24 087 81510 77364 23 103 22 087 19 108 23 079 77364 73697 19 093 22 089 22 107 15 076 73697 70381 16 108 14 097 19 086 11 101 70381 67351 19 120 11 095 9 071 15 113 67351 64566 11 124 7 117 5 080 7 085 64566 61872 2 077 9 172 3 319 3 111 61872 59084 13 231 6 247 8 264 7 257 59084 56237 24 234 26 235 27 248 17 296 56237 53538 26 234 34 235 36 242 33 264 53538 51117 29 250 36 242 41 236 43 252 51117 48955 48 251 47 256 43 250 52 249 48955 46987 57 246 60 258 55 259 54 257 46987 45173 61 250 65 253 57 257 56 261 45173 43484 66 251 63 244 54 257 55 261 43484 41897 66 247 60 248 55 260 54 263 41897 40401 64 255 59 265 58 262 55 262 40401 38992 69 266 66 272 60 262 56 262 38992 37636 71 266 66 268 60 260 57 262 37636 36273 69 261 62 258 59 254 58 261 36273 34873 67 255 62 252 59 250 59 259 34873 33444 66 251 61 254 61 251 57 257 33444 31971 63 252 60 253 61 255 53 257 31971 30447 54 249 57 253 57 254 51 261 30447 28881 46 249 48 256 52 254 48 258 28881 27277 40 253 42 259 43 257 44 254 27277 25638 39 258 39 261 38 255 39 258 25638 23962 38 264 38 261 36 255 35 264 23962 22245 33 269 35 260 34 260 32 261 22245 20477 28 273 31 256 29 264 29 258 20477 18687 28 272 26 262 23*268 24 258 18687 16967 25 267 22 270 19*268 15 257 16967 15397 19 246 19 273 15 266 8 262 15397 13990 18 240 17 260 12 263 7 269 13990 12725 18 243 18 256 11 260 8 276 12725 11583 16 243 13*269 10 258 8 278 11583 10551 12 243 5*282 10 257 8 279 10551 9620 9 242 3 288 10 255 9 282 9620 8785 7 240 3 287 10 254 9 283 8785 8034 8 242 2 287 9 254 9 286 8034 7351 5 255 1 289 9 253 9 287 7351 6737 4 023 1 290 9 253 9 288 6737 6218 8*050 0 350 9 252 9 289 6218 5814 7*057 0 089 9 252 9 289 5814 5534 6 060 0 091 9 253 8 287 5534 5363 5 061 1 097 8 252 7*286 5363 5265 5 062 1 096 8 252 5*285 5265 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography