DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 S_Butte_ID 5061ft pt41326@-113.145,43.463,5173ft (BSB) #old BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by -0.4 degF SPONSORED BY: Idaho Hang and Paragliding Association Inc RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 74.2 - - 87.1 - - 92.2 - - 92.5 - - 84.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 107 - - 428 - - 492 - - 221 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 660 - - 5484 - - 7971 - - 6903 - - 204 BL Depth Hcrit 5247 - - 9056 - - 11121 - - 9865 - - 5248 Hcrit BL Top 5721 - - 10545 - - 13032 - - 11964 - - 5265 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 590 - - 2139 - - 2403 - - 3150 - - 7763 Hgt.Variab. W* 174 - - 558 - - 662 - - 484 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 12 - - 15 - - 15 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 068 - - 247 - - 247 - - 250 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 6 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -5 - - -11 - - -11 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7227 - - -5976 - - -5970 - - -8900 - - -13734 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12949 - - 16522 - - 19003 - - 20865 - - 19000 sfcLCL ODpotential -13002 - - -9796 - - -8660 - - -11845 - - -17760 ODpotential blCL 18723 - - 20341 - - 21692 - - 23809 - - 23025 blCL maxRH 28 - - 30 - - 61 - - 68 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 74.2 - - 87.1 - - 92.2 - - 92.5 - - 84.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 36.2 - - 32.6 - - 26.0 - - 18.0 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.9 - - 84.0 - - 88.9 - - 90.5 - - 89.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 36.1 - - 32.3 - - 25.7 - - 17.6 - - 19.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 107 - - 428 - - 492 - - 221 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 660 - - 5484 - - 7971 - - 6903 - - 204 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99654 34 101 28 106 27 106 24 101 25 101 99654 92083 26 099 23 116 17 095 22 104 22 084 92083 86255 23 105 21 117 16 103 22 092 23 097 86255 81428 20 105 17 108 20 112 16 092 18 112 81428 77276 16 111 14 093 18 122 17 117 11 096 77276 73619 17 128 13 111 11 137 15 113 11 091 73619 70316 12 115 11 107 13 154 6 190 7 091 70316 67286 6 135 8 194 14 145 10 174 4 194 67286 64487 4 124 11 209 10 185 9 183 13 205 64487 61799 11 220 16 195 21 215 21 201 16 221 61799 59023 17 225 24 219 25 218 19 224 14 232 59023 56165 28 212 31 212 31 232 29 235 31 240 56165 53468 28 239 37 236 45 240 42 235 41 240 53468 51053 45 249 48 244 50 243 53 239 51 244 51053 48883 57 253 53 247 57 245 59 245 60 242 48883 46895 63 254 54 250 60 245 63 245 64 240 46895 45052 67 255 57 251 60 245 63 244 59 238 45052 43333 71 256 61 252 61 247 63 245 55 241 43333 41723 72 259 65 253 65 250 66 248 57 244 41723 40213 64 261 66 256 68 252 69 252 61 251 40213 38799 53 258 59 257 63 255 67 256 66 258 38799 37447 46 250 49 256 53 253 58 259 69 262 37447 36093 45 246 43 253 46 249 48 258 61 263 36093 34709 41 245 42 253 43 250 42 258 47 262 34709 33304 34 248 43 252 39 256 38 259 37 259 33304 31867 30 252 42 256 35 261 36 263 32 254 31867 30388 29 254 39 262 33 268 34 269 31 260 30388 28864 28 257 35 266 37 275 33 268 31 265 28864 27293 27 259 33 270 38 274 33 261 29 261 27293 25676 27 262 32 273 34 268 31 249 29 252 25676 24013 28 267 32 275 30 261 29 241 26 239 24013 22298 31 270 31 272 27 252 27 237 24 227 22298 20525 32 269 29 267 27 248 26 234 24 223 20525 18725 32 266 27 263 26 251 26 237 24 228 18725 16991 31 262 25 264 26 262 26 244 25 229 16991 15409 29 255 23 265 25 270 25 250 24 223 15409 13994 25 246 21 265 20*269 22 250 22 216 13994 12723 21 236 18 261 15*253 17*249 20 213 12723 11578 19 234 16*254 15 249 16*248 17 206 11578 10544 19 236 15*250 15 247 15 248 13 200 10544 9613 19 242 14 250 15 247 15 249 9 195 9613 8778 19 248 13 248 15 246 15 249 8 195 8778 8028 18 256 12 247 15 246 15 250 6 198 8028 7346 14 269 12 246 15 245 15 251 5 203 7346 6733 5 282 11 245 15 245 14 252 4 212 6733 6215 3 053 11 245 15 245 14 253 3 226 6215 5813 6*066 10 244 15 245 14 253 2 245 5813 5533 6*067 10 243 15 245 13 254 2 263 5533 5362 6 068 10 243 14 245 13 254 1*288 5362 5265 5 069 9 243 13 245 11 254 1*314 5265 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography