DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 53.7 - - 52.0 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 40 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2920 - - 4281 - - 2926 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5731 - - 6341 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7748 - - 9109 - - 7754 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1975 - - 2230 - - 3241 - - 4801 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 239 - - 247 - - 66 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 230 - - 168 - - 155 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 10 - - 7 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 13 - - 18 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2995 - - 2792 - - 2024 - - -749 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4754 - - 6317 - - 5730 - - 5123 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1164 - - 1046 - - -463 - - -3203 ODpotential blCL - - - 6584 - - 8063 - - 8217 - - 7577 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 98 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 100 - - 70 - - 70 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.1 - - 53.7 - - 52.0 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.4 - - 41.2 - - 42.0 - - 40.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 54.4 - - 53.9 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.4 - - 39.9 - - 40.8 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 40 - - -5 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2920 - - 4281 - - 2926 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 92 - - 93 - - 79 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96376 27 261 28 251 31 255 34 275 96376 89151 15 285 16 280 12 278 12 275 89151 83674 4 277 14 291 11 306 10 327 83674 79136 4 177 10 290 10 307 9 318 79136 75217 2 228 16 311 9 349 4 275 75217 71751 5 296 13 296 6 341 6 263 71751 68610 5 300 9 318 8 303 13 277 68610 65709 12 278 21 271 18 278 23 269 65709 62993 29 266 36 255 27 270 27 258 62993 60340 52 254 48 259 38 260 36 257 60340 57561 59 242 61 256 55 249 54 248 57561 54663 53 249 64 247 60 249 59 249 54663 51886 68 258 69 250 69 253 70 251 51886 49383 76 249 78 251 75 254 69 252 49383 47141 75 246 80 252 79 256 71 259 47141 45120 84 252 88 253 90 255 84 258 45120 43288 106 249 100 252 105 251 103 251 43288 41623 119 246 110 248 109 248 108 248 41623 40092 123 244 118 247 115 249 115 252 40092 38665 125 242 124 247 123 247 123 252 38665 37322 123 243 121 248 123 247 122 252 37322 36027 119 248 114 249 117 249 116 253 36027 34719 118 250 109 251 111 250 112 253 34719 33374 116 248 106 250 109 251 109 254 33374 31996 109 248 106 250 104 253 101 257 31996 30575 100 250 103 254 96 255 93 253 30575 29099 95 251 97 257 88 257 88 251 29099 27570 90 251 88 259 83 257 83 250 27570 25992 83 250 76 257 77 255 78 250 25992 24367 72 250 67 254 67 255 74 252 24367 22700 60 254 60 251 58 256 60 253 22700 20988 50 259 52 251 53 257 47 254 20988 19220 47 262 47 253 49 258 40 257 19220 17426 44 264 43 257 44 260 35 255 17426 15702 36 262 38 260 37 261 29 248 15702 14135 28 254 33 262 31 260 26 242 14135 12739 27 249 27 259 25 256 22 242 12739 11493 24 249 19 255 17 250 18 245 11493 10378 18 250 15 253 13 239 12 242 10378 9381 13 245 14*252 11 234 6 215 9381 8487 11*233 10*248 8*228 5 211 8487 7689 10*222 8 246 6*219 5 229 7689 6975 9 218 5 237 4 204 6 245 6975 6329 8 214 4 220 3 184 6 250 6329 5750 6 205 3 206 3 152 7 244 5750 5262 4 195 3 195 3 135 6 228 5262 4885 4 191 3 189 3 124 5 204 4885 4624 4 190 2 185 4 118 5 171 4624 4464 3 189 2 183 4 116 4*152 4464 4373 3 187 2 178 3 115 3*141 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography