DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.4 - - 93.8 - - 94.6 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 499 - - 544 - - 250 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7311 - - 11114 - - 11679 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10344 - - 13508 - - 13489 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12139 - - 15942 - - 16507 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1734 - - 1610 - - 1406 - - 10548 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 640 - - 758 - - 596 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 17 - - 15 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 226 - - 226 - - 244 - - 287 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 30 - - 59 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -709 - - 1029 - - -558 - - -10763 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12849 - - 14914 - - 17065 - - 15140 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3297 - - 198 - - -3051 - - -14665 ODpotential blCL - - - 15436 - - 15744 - - 19558 - - 19041 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 69 - - 62 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 310 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.4 - - 93.8 - - 94.6 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.9 - - 42.9 - - 34.1 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.4 - - 91.7 - - 93.7 - - 88.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.9 - - 42.9 - - 34.1 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 499 - - 544 - - 250 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7311 - - 11114 - - 11679 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98952 38 103 36 103 37 098 36 106 98952 91510 34 115 31 108 30 100 35 084 91510 85756 30 116 28 107 29 109 31 081 85756 80956 26 106 30 107 30 109 27 098 80956 76839 24 103 30 107 26 096 26 100 76839 73220 25 108 24 110 22 094 25 100 73220 69949 25 113 20 115 16 101 23 097 69949 66958 22 118 17 123 13 117 17 084 66958 64207 16 105 14 136 11 124 8 095 64207 61573 6 115 6 139 10 117 7 129 61573 58843 1 184 5 205 2 026 6 111 58843 56017 12 232 12 236 11 252 9 278 56017 53339 19 219 21 233 21 232 23 248 53339 50945 25 242 25 248 22 239 25 239 50945 48797 41 247 36 249 34 245 34 241 48797 46833 48 239 47 247 42 248 39 245 46833 45014 51 238 54 245 50 249 48 251 45014 43319 56 238 60 242 58 247 57 250 43319 41731 60 236 63 240 64 244 61 248 41731 40235 63 236 64 241 65 244 63 248 40235 38824 65 239 65 242 64 246 64 248 38824 37467 63 241 63 243 63 246 63 248 37467 36102 57 244 57 246 60 248 57 249 36102 34700 51 247 47 249 53 251 52 254 34700 33269 46 249 39 248 44 251 45 257 33269 31796 41 250 36 246 37 249 38 250 31796 30270 35 247 32 242 31 244 34 245 30270 28690 31 242 27 237 27 236 32 240 28690 27059 30 242 24 237 23 231 24 244 27059 25383 28 245 21 240 19 230 16 247 25383 23662 25 249 19 251 14 234 13 232 23662 21887 19 246 16 254 12 247 9 226 21887 20051 14 244 12 247 10 251 7 224 20051 18187 11 242 9 240 6*249 6 191 18187 16389 9 238 7*240 3*238 5 162 16389 14751 7 232 8*244 5 235 4 139 14751 13289 9*240 8 244 5 234 4 165 13289 11977 10*242 8 242 6 238 4 188 11977 10796 10 240 8 236 7 242 4 236 10796 9734 10 238 8 230 8 245 6 269 9734 8779 9 234 8 224 8 246 8 278 8779 7927 7 223 9 219 9 248 10 281 7927 7163 6 217 9 215 9 249 12 282 7163 6471 6 210 9 211 9 249 13 282 6471 5851 6 204 9 208 10 249 14 283 5851 5329 6 200 9 206 10 250 14 282 5329 4924 6 197 9 204 10 250 13 282 4924 4644 6 196 9 204 9 250 11 284 4644 4473 5 194 9 203 9 249 9*285 4473 4375 5 194 8 203 8 249 5*288 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography