DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 65.4 - - 60.7 - - 48.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 340 - - 111 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7492 - - 10300 - - 9205 - - 2273 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10243 - - 12591 - - 10895 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12320 - - 15128 - - 14033 - - 7101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2262 - - 2085 - - 2501 - - 4338 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 543 - - 637 - - 424 - - 33 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 24 - - 19 - - 25 BL Wind Direction - - - 235 - - 241 - - 252 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 11 - - 11 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 58 - - 65 - - 22 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 410 - - 2120 - - -602 - - -4206 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11910 - - 13009 - - 14636 - - 11307 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -859 - - 972 - - -3165 - - -6206 ODpotential blCL - - - 13179 - - 14156 - - 17198 - - 13307 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 64 - - 40 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.9 - - 65.4 - - 60.7 - - 48.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.5 - - 22.9 - - 11.0 - - 14.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.2 - - 64.7 - - 61.0 - - 50.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.1 - - 22.4 - - 10.4 - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 292 - - 340 - - 111 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7492 - - 10300 - - 9205 - - 2273 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96351 32 286 27 259 31 263 39 282 96351 89197 27 290 24 274 21 274 26 283 89197 83708 21 275 23 283 17 279 18 300 83708 79167 8 290 14 282 12 308 12 301 79167 75269 9 329 10 273 12 318 8 346 75269 71809 5 309 6 284 7 269 7 297 71809 68672 6 019 2 167 6 231 11 253 68672 65806 14 254 8 249 7 236 8 201 65806 63128 15 214 10 242 22 247 15 229 63128 60494 23 235 22 232 32 239 26 242 60494 57725 37 243 31 235 36 244 33 243 57725 54830 41 240 40 240 40 244 39 252 54830 52045 40 250 42 238 42 247 46 253 52045 49527 47 257 40 244 42 251 45 252 49527 47249 54 257 44 255 44 256 44 253 47249 45161 55 257 51 260 47 256 46 254 45161 43234 54 257 56 261 51 257 48 256 43234 41450 54 255 60 260 56 259 49 256 41450 39789 55 253 61 257 61 259 51 260 39789 38241 54 253 60 254 66 256 57 265 38241 36807 52 256 58 250 67 252 69 263 36807 35458 55 260 56 249 64 252 65 255 35458 34121 61 261 59 256 59 256 50 256 34121 32763 66 257 64 260 59 262 42 267 32763 31393 70 251 68 259 65 263 44 264 31393 29991 72 248 71 256 66 258 51 253 29991 28540 73 249 75 252 63 254 57 248 28540 27036 72 249 77 248 61 252 57 248 27036 25480 71 247 77 246 63 249 55 250 25480 23877 69 244 74 245 64 247 51 250 23877 22239 66 242 69 242 61 246 47 246 22239 20562 62 242 62 240 57 239 47 234 20562 18840 56 243 54 239 53 231 49 224 18840 17106 48 243 45 237 46 229 43 220 17106 15448 42 243 35*235 34 225 33 210 15448 13939 38 244 27*236 24*222 26 199 13939 12591 33*242 25 237 19*228 20 202 12591 11381 27*239 25 238 19 235 13 228 11381 10293 24 239 25 240 18 240 11 273 10293 9315 22 239 25 241 19 252 13 308 9315 8435 20 237 25 242 20 257 17 332 8435 7650 18 235 25 243 21 260 23*344 7650 6947 17 233 24 243 21 261 28*350 6947 6308 16 231 24 243 21 263 29 350 6308 5737 15 230 24 244 21 263 29 349 5737 5255 14 228 23 244 21 264 26 346 5255 4881 13 227 23 244 21 263 22 341 4881 4621 12 226 22 244 20 264 18 335 4621 4464 12 226 20 244 18 264 14 332 4464 4372 10 225 17 243 14 263 8 328 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography