DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 90.4 - - 89.9 - - 79.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 483 - - 176 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10684 - - 14347 - - 13867 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13037 - - 16128 - - 14961 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15512 - - 19175 - - 18695 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3359 - - 1248 - - 1675 - - 11998 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 696 - - 796 - - 564 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 39 - - 12 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 019 - - 309 - - 311 - - 007 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 21 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - 18 - - -28 - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3616 - - -876 - - -1646 - - -15760 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19129 - - 20052 - - 20342 - - 20137 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6624 - - -3268 - - -4701 - - -21486 ODpotential blCL - - - 22136 - - 22443 - - 23396 - - 25862 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 65 - - 45 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.0 - - 90.4 - - 89.9 - - 79.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 15.7 - - 15.5 - - 13.9 - - 5.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.4 - - 88.6 - - 89.6 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 15.5 - - 15.3 - - 14.0 - - 5.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 435 - - 483 - - 176 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10684 - - 14347 - - 13867 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97824 7 260 15 254 11 286 6 334 97824 90405 9 252 10 225 8 270 6 296 90405 84706 7 237 6 213 9 197 9 261 84706 79975 4 204 7 258 2 206 7 224 79975 75896 5 264 4 230 2 289 3 108 75896 72311 3 291 6 248 7 291 8 000 72311 69099 4 346 6 264 8 283 9 316 69099 66160 6 319 8 290 9 291 11 287 66160 63442 10 332 6 306 7 276 7 283 63442 60818 14 317 9 329 7 282 5 290 60818 58077 12 291 11 307 12 311 6 301 58077 55233 13 323 12 310 16 319 12 315 55233 52536 15 333 14 310 17 310 17 303 52536 50125 17 353 14 351 11 320 12 311 50125 47968 28 355 28 002 19 353 17 357 47968 46015 38 348 38 351 31 350 27 350 46015 44228 42 346 40 350 35 348 32 345 44228 42580 41 351 38 355 35 349 31 340 42580 41045 42 000 39 359 35 351 28 341 41045 39605 44 005 39 360 34 353 27 346 39605 38248 44 004 38 001 32 355 26 348 38248 36940 42 002 35 001 29 357 25 349 36940 35620 40 357 33 359 28 360 23 352 35620 34262 39 353 33 358 27 002 21 358 34262 32871 39 353 32 359 26 005 20 004 32871 31431 38 355 32 004 25 010 19 010 31431 29934 37 357 30 009 23 014 18 016 29934 28380 34 356 27 011 22 014 17 019 28380 26772 33 355 25 010 21 012 16 020 26772 25111 32 360 24 007 19 011 17 024 25111 23404 26 007 21 007 15 008 16 030 23404 21648 16 007 15 007 11 359 11 018 21648 19841 10 352 13*001 6*014 7 327 19841 18014 11 336 15*002 5*020 4 278 18014 16252 13*325 12 359 5 353 4 261 16252 14642 12*332 9 353 6 323 3 256 14642 13197 10 345 6 341 8 314 3 259 13197 11900 9 353 4 312 9 310 3 268 11900 10732 6 010 4 279 10 307 3 287 10732 9680 5 042 4 253 11 305 3 310 9680 8735 5 057 5 239 12 304 4 334 8735 7891 5 066 6 231 12 304 6 348 7891 7135 5 071 7 226 12 302 7 354 7135 6450 4 076 7 221 12 302 9 357 6450 5836 4 080 8 219 12 301 11 359 5836 5319 4 084 8 217 12 301 11 359 5319 4919 4 087 8 216 12 300 11 360 4919 4641 4 088 8 215 12 299 10 002 4641 4472 4 090 8 215 11 299 8*004 4472 4375 4 092 7 214 10 298 6*007 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography