DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 85.6 - - 84.9 - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 534 - - 222 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9670 - - 12329 - - 12628 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12268 - - 14510 - - 14164 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14498 - - 17157 - - 17456 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3025 - - 2501 - - 2407 - - 10981 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 701 - - 782 - - 589 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 31 - - 22 - - 19 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 148 - - 193 - - 222 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 5 - - 10 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -15 - - -35 - - 24 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2531 - - -1626 - - -1335 - - -11047 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17030 - - 18784 - - 18792 - - 15423 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5012 - - -3882 - - -3645 - - -14503 ODpotential blCL - - - 19510 - - 21039 - - 21101 - - 18878 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 38 - - 44 - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.3 - - 85.6 - - 84.9 - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.8 - - 16.6 - - 16.2 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.6 - - 83.4 - - 84.4 - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.7 - - 16.6 - - 16.2 - - 22.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 491 - - 534 - - 222 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9670 - - 12329 - - 12628 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98193 17 125 11 119 8 094 12 106 98193 90811 16 137 11 139 8 100 9 043 90811 85139 8 147 7 130 4 055 9 053 85139 80405 9 107 8 123 5 061 8 061 80405 76313 6 181 1 266 6 107 4 079 76313 72695 11 186 9 261 3 195 3 338 72695 69415 9 195 10 240 10 218 7 270 69415 66394 6 239 9 240 11 229 8 250 66394 63589 15 264 10 251 10 246 10 262 63589 60873 17 263 13 264 14 260 16 277 60873 58059 14 269 18 264 17 270 20 279 58059 55164 15 283 19 267 20 278 19 282 55164 52416 21 297 19 287 22 285 21 287 52416 49954 24 302 22 294 23 294 23 285 49954 47766 27 305 26 297 27 296 24 291 47766 45804 29 305 27 301 27 294 28 291 45804 44019 28 301 27 302 24 294 26 291 44019 42372 22 329 22 300 22 293 23 297 42372 40838 19 343 17 321 15 295 21 296 40838 39396 13 351 17 327 12 298 21 287 39396 38038 9 358 14 319 10 294 17 274 38038 36732 7 002 9 309 9 277 14 270 36732 35415 8 352 7 301 10 266 14 272 35415 34057 9 340 8 293 10 273 14 276 34057 32663 10 341 8 294 11 271 14 282 32663 31222 11 345 8 299 11 268 14 280 31222 29725 10 322 11 298 10 270 13 268 29725 28174 14 298 14 306 8 289 9 257 28174 26572 13 301 14 311 7 299 6 245 26572 24920 10 315 10 297 7 282 7 235 24920 23224 8 296 10 271 8 262 8 234 23224 21478 9 281 8 262 5 232 9 216 21478 19681 5 252 2 192 5 111 13 157 19681 17862 15 177 4*144 3*067 14 116 17862 16113 18*163 5*164 4*298 14 088 16113 14518 12*140 5 179 4 283 6 080 14518 13090 11 115 5 185 5 272 1 276 13090 11809 8 108 6 191 5 258 4 255 11809 10656 4 109 6 194 5 234 7 252 10656 9618 1 169 7 198 6 219 10 250 9618 8685 2 200 8 198 7 209 12 248 8685 7851 3 217 8 198 8 204 13 246 7851 7104 4 218 8 199 9 201 14 243 7104 6426 5 217 8 199 10 198 15 241 6426 5820 5 215 8 198 10 198 15 238 5820 5308 5 212 9 198 10 196 15 235 5308 4912 6 211 9 198 10 196 13 231 4912 4638 6 209 8 198 10 196 10 224 4638 4471 5 209 8 198 10 195 8*217 4471 4374 5 209 8 199 9 196 4*207 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography