DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.9 - - 95.9 - - 92.8 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 499 - - 223 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8477 - - 15099 - - 12542 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11260 - - 16777 - - 14101 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13305 - - 19927 - - 17370 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5579 - - 1451 - - 2246 - - 7870 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 656 - - 819 - - 589 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 18 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 265 - - 245 - - 278 - - 297 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 62 - - -10 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5476 - - 197 - - -2337 - - -13141 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18782 - - 19731 - - 19708 - - 17518 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7188 - - -1480 - - -5541 - - -18078 ODpotential blCL - - - 20493 - - 21407 - - 22911 - - 22454 blCL maxRH - - - 48 - - 63 - - 45 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.9 - - 95.9 - - 92.8 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.3 - - 22.4 - - 19.7 - - 20.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.0 - - 93.8 - - 92.3 - - 86.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.0 - - 22.4 - - 19.7 - - 20.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 458 - - 499 - - 223 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8477 - - 15099 - - 12542 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98645 17 135 10 119 13 103 11 117 98645 91135 18 134 13 148 8 126 7 093 91135 85378 17 127 12 142 15 112 14 117 85378 80595 10 112 14 122 15 106 15 117 80595 76468 11 133 17 121 14 105 13 099 76468 72852 13 128 9 127 12 094 13 095 72852 69603 16 133 11 133 5 083 13 077 69603 66623 11 113 11 151 2 198 9 045 66623 63877 8 143 8 172 5 195 5 065 63877 61228 8 117 12 171 12 238 6 315 61228 58478 0 300 7 145 12 206 11 250 58478 55637 7 298 6 304 6 234 9 219 55637 52920 7 269 11 291 12 290 11 280 52920 50468 4 310 10 281 14 290 20 290 50468 48269 11 319 9 298 12 285 21 289 48269 46279 17 335 11 330 8 326 17 300 46279 44460 28 351 21 351 16 001 17 326 44460 42781 35 358 34 359 27 359 22 338 42781 41221 36 002 36 002 30 359 23 342 41221 39758 35 360 33 005 24 001 22 351 39758 38382 31 360 32 004 23 008 20 005 38382 37059 27 005 32 002 24 011 18 010 37059 35726 27 009 31 003 24 014 18 008 35726 34356 29 014 29 008 22 018 18 005 34356 32952 31 015 27 014 19 019 18 004 32952 31502 32 016 26 016 17 014 17 006 31502 29993 29 018 26 018 18 011 15 007 29993 28430 24 023 23 022 18 015 14 009 28430 26817 19 024 17 029 14 019 13 012 26817 25155 17 023 14 027 11 014 12 006 25155 23444 14 019 14 030 11 026 9 359 23444 21682 9 019 10*045 9 059 1 050 21682 19865 1 062 4*125 10 087 9 132 19865 18025 8 224 8 220 5*102 12 126 18025 16254 10 203 8 225 1*204 7 152 16254 14640 9*204 9 229 5 271 5 206 14640 13195 10*241 9 235 6 273 5 244 13195 11898 11 264 9 243 9 277 8 281 11898 10731 11 266 9 250 10 278 12 295 10731 9680 11 269 9 255 14 279 16 297 9680 8737 10 269 10 259 15 279 20 295 8737 7894 10 270 10 261 16 279 22 292 7894 7139 10 269 10 264 17 279 23 290 7139 6453 10 269 10 266 17 279 24 287 6453 5839 9 267 10 267 17 279 24 286 5839 5321 9 266 10 268 17 279 23 285 5321 4920 8 266 10 269 17 279 21 285 4920 4642 8 265 10 268 17 279 17 288 4642 4472 8 265 10 268 16 279 13*290 4472 4375 7 264 9 268 13 278 6*297 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography