DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 52.8 - - 48.4 - - 42.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 214 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2410 - - 5149 - - 3668 - - 129 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5888 - - 8255 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7238 - - 9977 - - 8496 - - 4957 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2609 - - 2412 - - 2401 - - 3741 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 270 - - 433 - - 168 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 7 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 310 - - 285 - - 327 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -15 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 295 - - 1474 - - 1722 - - 312 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6943 - - 8503 - - 6774 - - 4645 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1708 - - 532 - - 118 - - -2103 ODpotential blCL - - - 8946 - - 9445 - - 8378 - - 7060 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 94 - - 98 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 50 - - 100 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 52.8 - - 48.4 - - 42.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.3 - - 30.6 - - 33.7 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.8 - - 52.6 - - 49.3 - - 43.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.9 - - 30.1 - - 33.3 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 214 - - 16 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2410 - - 5149 - - 3668 - - 129 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 77 - - 93 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95396 71 261 79 270 78 274 79 268 95396 88511 47 276 57 272 58 267 55 275 88511 83178 33 276 36 274 44 272 42 281 83178 78683 31 279 32 276 40 293 35 290 78683 74787 28 279 34 272 37 295 34 297 74787 71341 20 272 31 266 28 271 31 293 71341 68223 19 282 23 276 24 269 25 288 68223 65344 23 283 28 300 29 289 27 286 65344 62662 26 273 31 288 33 283 36 278 62662 60057 28 258 30 263 33 267 39 267 60057 57328 31 274 31 273 34 272 37 263 57328 54471 42 280 39 279 38 276 38 267 54471 51719 44 270 42 276 40 275 43 267 51719 49217 40 267 43 272 40 274 44 267 49217 46952 38 270 41 262 41 275 44 276 46952 44877 33 271 35 265 41 277 44 282 44877 42964 29 280 38 281 45 282 38 288 42964 41193 33 293 37 284 48 283 37 299 41193 39541 41 294 33 290 46 276 48 303 39541 37999 46 281 39 297 41 290 57 294 37999 36565 40 269 46 295 45 296 53 292 36565 35200 38 274 48 291 46 296 46 296 35200 33841 47 273 49 289 47 297 37 286 33841 32470 55 261 51 276 50 291 38 288 32470 31091 52 252 56 255 54 284 43 288 31091 29685 42 251 52 247 50 274 39 284 29685 28242 36 252 39 256 43 269 33 275 28242 26763 37 251 37 276 36 274 31 267 26763 25246 44 244 40 283 34 288 27 263 25246 23689 49 243 40 277 33 288 22 265 23689 22094 49 250 35 271 28 277 19 268 22094 20455 41 263 32 287 24 272 16 257 20455 18764 31 284 30 294 18 290 16 243 18764 17048 24 303 20 277 14 303 15 253 17048 15394 18 309 15 257 11 296 15 289 15394 13888 12 298 12 244 10 290 14 323 13888 12544 8 288 9 221 11 286 11 343 12544 11340 5 302 5 192 11 290 12 359 11340 10257 5 350 3*183 10 300 16 016 10257 9283 7 001 3*235 12*311 19 020 9283 8408 7 359 7 268 15*320 18 023 8408 7627 6*353 9 280 16 325 17 025 7627 6927 4*339 13 288 16 328 15 026 6927 6293 3 324 14 289 15 328 13 026 6293 5725 2 313 14 290 14 329 10 021 5725 5247 2 300 14 290 13 329 7*005 5247 4876 2 279 14 290 12 329 6*330 4876 4619 2 268 14 291 11 328 6 302 4619 4462 2 262 13 291 9 328 5 297 4462 4372 2 262 11 290 7 328 3 295 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography