DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.1 - - 47.8 - - 54.0 - - 50.4 - - 45.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -17 - - 47 - - 78 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 689 - - 1458 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4355 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5517 - - 6286 - - 4374 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 500 - - 1335 - - 2064 - - 2349 - - 1420 Hgt.Variab. W* 9 - - 143 - - 210 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 350 - - 266 - - 261 - - 093 - - 065 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 5 - - 6 - - -3 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3749 - - -2509 - - -2991 - - -3724 - - -3149 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8122 - - 8027 - - 9277 - - 8098 - - 7523 sfcLCL ODpotential -13546 - - -9627 - - -8916 - - -10596 - - -11448 ODpotential blCL 17919 - - 15144 - - 15202 - - 14970 - - 15822 blCL maxRH 62 - - 47 - - 50 - - 44 - - 52 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.1 - - 47.8 - - 54.0 - - 50.4 - - 45.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 16.6 - - 28.1 - - 28.8 - - 30.4 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 41.9 - - 48.4 - - 54.5 - - 53.8 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.5 - - 26.9 - - 27.6 - - 29.2 - - 26.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -17 - - 47 - - 78 - - -6 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 689 - - 1458 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96396 8 042 3 312 4 227 9 009 8 238 96396 89235 9 028 2 194 4 342 0 327 5 245 89235 83698 7 360 1 343 1 006 2 046 5 347 83698 79104 5 351 4 345 4 010 5 352 11 351 79104 75163 11 001 1 048 5 022 6 334 11 339 75163 71702 8 341 4 347 6 026 13 349 9 326 71702 68581 4 274 5 321 4 321 12 332 10 319 68581 65714 4 358 4 325 7 303 17 329 12 330 65714 63072 12 348 11 319 17 310 17 315 22 305 63072 60527 3 346 11 295 12 300 12 309 23 276 60527 57851 20 018 17 358 22 344 21 339 19 301 57851 55057 32 352 27 341 34 336 31 325 32 320 55057 52382 28 340 22 321 29 307 27 317 39 331 52382 49953 13 328 13 321 22 325 34 328 38 324 49953 47748 9 354 24 357 30 338 33 321 32 321 47748 45725 37 003 37 356 36 337 31 330 33 327 45725 43857 48 353 41 344 36 344 37 343 40 336 43857 42129 44 347 39 342 37 353 44 344 54 338 42129 40529 40 348 35 347 40 000 45 339 55 327 40529 39040 41 357 33 349 45 002 38 339 37 320 39040 37650 43 358 37 354 46 003 24 358 19 340 37650 36319 46 356 43 000 47 008 34 034 28 019 36319 34980 48 357 53 006 55 016 74 028 59 024 34980 33612 45 360 63 010 73 022 109 021 81 018 33612 32224 41 003 70 015 93 023 116 016 90 016 32224 30795 41 004 78 020 110 023 111 015 93 014 30795 29311 43 003 78 021 116 024 101 017 88 014 29311 27776 42 358 66 019 107 026 85 021 76 015 27776 26193 39 352 51 011 85 028 70 022 68 011 26193 24561 36 347 44 358 59 021 60 019 68 007 24561 22883 30 344 40 353 47 011 56 014 62 011 22883 21151 27 336 33 355 46 009 52 010 49 011 21151 19362 30 333 29 355 41 007 45 007 38 001 19362 17549 32 340 26 351 33 360 36 006 34 351 17549 15807 31 345 25 354 28 351 31 001 33 346 15807 14222 24 340 25 001 26 352 30 356 32 347 14222 12809 20 336 24 005 25 359 28 357 29 354 12809 11547 17 337 21 003 23 008 25 002 25 005 11547 10418 15 340 18 001 21 014 20 008 19 015 10418 9408 14 343 14 001 16 015 14 014 13 024 9408 8505 12 344 11 006 12 011 9 012 7 034 8505 7701 10 344 9 018 9 004 5 354 3 052 7701 6983 8 348 8 029 5 339 4 314 2 095 6983 6333 8 354 7 032 5*291 5 286 2 124 6333 5752 9 002 4*020 6*275 5 274 4 127 5752 5263 9 005 3*308 5 263 4 265 5 118 5263 4885 9 003 4 266 5 257 1 201 6 102 4885 4623 8 355 4 257 4 251 2 101 7 086 4623 4464 7*353 4 253 4 249 4*095 7*072 4464 4373 5*350 3 251 4 247 3*091 5*065 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography