DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 71.2 - - 70.5 - - 60.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 501 - - 168 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6706 - - 8296 - - 7342 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9812 - - 11156 - - 9791 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11534 - - 13124 - - 12170 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1764 - - 1886 - - 2362 - - 6140 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 601 - - 672 - - 449 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 287 - - 285 - - 300 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -12 - - -19 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2271 - - -2636 - - -5536 - - -11925 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13806 - - 15761 - - 17707 - - 16299 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6213 - - -6939 - - -9732 - - -18566 ODpotential blCL - - - 17747 - - 20063 - - 21902 - - 22940 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 31 - - 31 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.3 - - 71.2 - - 70.5 - - 60.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.5 - - 16.3 - - 6.8 - - 4.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 69.5 - - 70.1 - - 64.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 15.5 - - 6.0 - - 3.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 501 - - 168 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6706 - - 8296 - - 7342 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97453 28 265 25 271 20 286 35 289 97453 90094 42 267 43 278 37 284 34 288 90094 84422 31 268 38 267 45 273 31 282 84422 79719 16 267 23 239 34 249 30 273 79719 75671 26 279 21 262 25 231 31 251 75671 72091 41 268 32 277 18 265 28 253 72091 68851 43 255 38 267 26 285 28 269 68851 65884 38 244 39 252 35 269 31 273 65884 63131 35 245 37 250 36 253 29 264 63131 60440 31 261 36 265 34 260 26 265 60440 57627 34 264 39 264 40 266 33 272 57627 54725 39 254 43 257 44 266 38 273 54725 51966 41 255 44 258 45 265 41 272 51966 49480 46 267 45 263 44 265 43 273 49480 47246 52 267 47 264 45 268 45 276 47246 45216 53 263 49 262 46 269 48 275 45216 43361 54 262 51 259 48 268 49 271 43361 41662 48 257 49 257 49 264 48 266 41662 40100 45 263 45 262 48 264 46 264 40100 38658 50 269 46 271 46 272 42 268 38658 37315 55 267 47 277 47 278 39 280 37315 36032 55 267 49 280 49 284 40 291 36032 34743 49 274 51 283 50 291 43 295 34743 33419 45 281 51 284 48 295 41 293 33419 32062 44 287 50 288 47 298 34 297 32062 30660 46 291 49 292 46 300 29 312 30660 29202 46 293 48 295 46 302 31 324 29202 27690 46 294 46 294 46 304 34 330 27690 26122 44 294 44 294 44 302 36 335 26122 24503 42 294 42 294 41 298 35 339 24503 22834 40 296 40 296 38 297 32 334 22834 21114 39 299 37 297 35 300 31 318 21114 19341 36 298 32 299 31 304 30 304 19341 17544 32 293 27 297 25 307 27 301 17544 15818 29 287 22 291 19 307 21 298 15818 14250 28 288 18*286 13 303 14 281 14250 12855 25 286 13*284 8*301 8 251 12855 11605 19*282 12 284 7*306 5 239 11605 10480 13*287 11 285 8 307 3 268 10480 9469 9 293 12 284 8 307 4 299 9469 8560 8 294 12 285 8 304 5 322 8560 7749 8 292 12 286 8 302 5 353 7749 7023 7 288 13 286 8 298 7 027 7023 6364 7 285 13 285 9 297 10 046 6364 5776 7 280 13 285 9 294 14 053 5776 5280 7 275 13 285 9 291 16 053 5280 4895 6 272 13 284 8 290 15 051 4895 4629 6 270 12 284 8 289 13 046 4629 4467 6 269 12 284 8 289 10*042 4467 4373 5 268 11 284 7 288 7*036 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography