DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 60.1 - - 61.0 - - 51.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 396 - - 83 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3421 - - 8944 - - 7824 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7136 - - 11567 - - 9568 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8249 - - 13772 - - 12652 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4854 - - 2169 - - 3199 - - 1235 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 447 - - 636 - - 364 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 32 - - 19 - - 18 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 082 - - 104 - - 089 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 10 - - 16 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -34 - - 37 - - -30 - - -34 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4331 - - -387 - - -2856 - - -9570 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12581 - - 14160 - - 15509 - - 13945 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7488 - - -3341 - - -6152 - - -14710 ODpotential blCL - - - 15737 - - 17113 - - 18804 - - 19084 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 56 - - 48 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.6 - - 60.1 - - 61.0 - - 51.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.5 - - 12.6 - - 7.6 - - 6.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 59.0 - - 61.3 - - 55.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.9 - - 11.9 - - 6.9 - - 6.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 361 - - 396 - - 83 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3421 - - 8944 - - 7824 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96195 33 283 33 273 27 276 30 300 96195 89111 17 280 21 278 18 273 22 294 89111 83672 7 284 16 284 17 292 16 289 83672 79143 5 285 16 287 17 305 13 306 79143 75232 3 302 12 279 15 299 10 306 75232 71782 7 328 8 282 12 297 9 286 71782 68650 9 279 11 279 13 283 9 295 68650 65742 7 254 11 262 15 255 11 297 65742 63031 12 268 13 253 16 240 13 264 63031 60403 16 251 16 257 13 239 18 239 60403 57642 18 247 19 249 14 264 17 230 57642 54753 18 253 21 232 19 260 13 252 54753 51987 17 259 12 246 17 246 13 246 51987 49495 15 254 11 266 5 245 7 190 49495 47254 5 238 4 281 2 238 4 139 47254 45215 3 267 4 352 2 152 7 092 45215 43352 1 115 7 066 10 107 15 082 43352 41641 8 095 12 071 18 079 25 082 41641 40062 17 095 21 075 26 082 37 082 40062 38596 23 080 33 072 38 085 54 078 38596 37227 27 068 41 071 47 082 63 076 37227 35920 33 064 47 072 61 077 75 078 35920 34608 37 066 54 070 79 073 96 076 34608 33260 41 069 61 070 87 071 100 074 33260 31878 39 069 64 070 83 073 94 074 31878 30451 28 075 56 070 74 076 84 079 30451 28974 14 093 37 077 69 081 73 084 28974 27451 11 200 20 080 50 085 70 089 27451 25885 20 212 15 211 26 093 54 091 25885 24278 25 198 31 205 9 177 30 090 24278 22637 24 187 34 199 17 191 11 093 22637 20951 18 179 26 187 19 177 5 129 20951 19207 18 156 23 163 23 167 11 174 19207 17434 17 138 24 137 26 159 18 176 17434 15728 13 121 22 125 25 150 22 165 15728 14175 12 116 17*126 24 146 24 152 14175 12790 11 136 16*129 21*142 22 147 12790 11548 12 140 16 127 18*131 17 148 11548 10432 15 131 17 120 17 116 15 148 10432 9427 20 114 19 109 17 102 15 145 9427 8525 27*100 21 100 18 091 16 136 8525 7718 32*089 22 095 20 080 18 122 7718 6996 33 084 22 094 20 077 20 105 6996 6342 34 082 22 093 21 075 24 088 6342 5759 33 081 22 093 20 074 29 074 5759 5267 32 080 21 092 20 073 31 064 5267 4887 31 079 21 092 19 073 28 060 4887 4624 28 079 20 092 19 072 23 056 4624 4464 25 079 18 092 17 072 17*053 4464 4373 18 079 15 092 13 071 10*049 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography