DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 68.5 - - 68.0 - - 64.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 464 - - 102 - - 34 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7562 - - 9202 - - 8333 - - 4709 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10523 - - 10803 - - 8613 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12390 - - 14030 - - 13161 - - 9537 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1673 - - 1139 - - 1520 - - 3475 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 635 - - 411 - - 275 - - 45 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 17 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 225 - - 229 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 9 - - 13 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 39 - - 71 - - 68 - - 56 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -396 - - 1072 - - 9 - - -3098 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12787 - - 12959 - - 13153 - - 12635 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2751 - - -4 - - -2581 - - -5942 ODpotential blCL - - - 15141 - - 14034 - - 15742 - - 15479 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.6 - - 68.5 - - 68.0 - - 64.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 26.5 - - 25.1 - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.2 - - 68.9 - - 68.8 - - 66.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.8 - - 26.3 - - 24.8 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 464 - - 102 - - 34 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7562 - - 9202 - - 8333 - - 4709 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97477 26 288 26 281 18 267 24 295 97477 90055 25 289 25 279 24 290 26 287 90055 84388 24 278 27 285 26 300 23 305 84388 79715 16 276 23 292 22 299 19 307 79715 75697 9 272 11 311 12 301 14 305 75697 72147 14 280 14 285 10 293 14 282 72147 68939 11 292 12 269 10 283 11 257 68939 65975 20 290 16 271 19 282 16 289 65975 63198 27 266 27 264 31 274 29 287 63198 60509 30 262 35 262 39 266 42 268 60509 57719 36 258 43 255 38 259 45 255 57719 54824 43 269 42 261 39 257 40 251 54824 52046 54 274 48 266 43 264 38 260 52046 49534 65 272 56 265 56 271 45 266 49534 47275 73 272 70 267 72 270 65 267 47275 45227 84 270 83 265 86 266 85 264 45227 43366 87 269 93 263 95 262 97 258 43366 41667 92 267 100 261 98 257 99 253 41667 40099 94 264 102 258 99 256 97 251 40099 38640 95 262 101 256 102 257 99 253 38640 37276 97 261 100 257 103 257 103 253 37276 35973 96 261 98 257 100 256 101 252 35973 34667 91 262 93 258 91 256 94 252 34667 33328 85 263 84 257 80 256 87 254 33328 31961 80 262 75 256 70 258 81 254 31961 30552 76 260 69 257 63 261 75 253 30552 29091 70 259 69 259 58 260 68 252 29091 27576 62 257 69 259 54 256 64 252 27576 26007 59 256 67 260 50 253 63 251 26007 24391 58 258 61 261 48 253 60 250 24391 22738 55 261 57 261 50 255 55 249 22738 21040 47 262 53 261 52 257 48 249 21040 19283 40 262 48 257 51 256 45 248 19283 17499 37 261 44 251 49 253 43 246 17499 15784 37 256 35 244 44 247 38 243 15784 14225 36 250 25*235 33*238 33 239 14225 12835 31*244 22*231 23*224 28 232 12835 11591 23*237 21 230 20 225 24 223 11591 10473 20 229 21 228 20 226 23*220 10473 9467 19 223 20 227 19 227 22*221 9467 8563 18 218 20 225 18 229 22 221 8563 7754 18 215 20 224 17 231 22 222 7754 7029 18 212 19 222 16 233 22 222 7029 6371 18 210 19 221 15 235 22 221 6371 5782 17 207 19 220 14 236 21 220 5782 5284 17 205 18 220 14 237 18 217 5284 4898 17 204 18 220 13 238 16 212 4898 4630 16 203 17 219 12 238 13 205 4630 4467 15 203 16 219 11 238 10 199 4467 4373 13 202 13 218 9 238 6 192 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography