DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.3 - - 70.0 - - 78.5 - - 75.6 - - 63.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -3 - - 253 - - 316 - - 55 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2905 - - 8123 - - 7181 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 6630 - - 10795 - - 8692 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 7733 - - 12951 - - 12009 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1627 - - 2262 - - 2561 - - 2152 - - 5450 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 378 - - 575 - - 314 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 14 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 5 - - 15 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 044 - - 216 - - 269 - - 280 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 10 - - 22 - - 12 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8033 - - -6776 - - -4244 - - -4361 - - -9427 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12407 - - 14510 - - 17196 - - 16371 - - 13803 sfcLCL ODpotential -15239 - - -11577 - - -6895 - - -7931 - - -15715 ODpotential blCL 19613 - - 19310 - - 19846 - - 19940 - - 20090 blCL maxRH 76 - - 79 - - 83 - - 54 - - 24 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.3 - - 70.0 - - 78.5 - - 75.6 - - 63.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.9 - - 21.5 - - 17.3 - - 18.4 - - 18.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.9 - - 69.4 - - 77.6 - - 76.2 - - 69.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 18.2 - - 20.7 - - 16.4 - - 18.0 - - 18.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -3 - - 253 - - 316 - - 55 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2905 - - 8123 - - 7181 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 16 - - 32 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96477 17 257 15 232 25 233 28 245 29 272 96477 89203 3 329 9 196 13 243 12 236 12 314 89203 83640 7 350 2 326 3 290 5 091 7 359 83640 79035 8 004 5 332 10 298 13 350 14 006 79035 75074 9 347 3 005 5 295 10 343 14 004 75074 71564 10 353 15 324 16 309 16 307 19 355 71564 68406 19 332 29 314 20 310 20 303 25 317 68406 65562 35 314 38 309 27 312 27 308 26 313 65562 62936 33 305 37 311 29 307 33 300 27 321 62936 60367 35 305 38 314 37 299 40 297 34 312 60367 57658 38 298 43 308 44 297 45 298 43 303 57658 54833 40 295 47 294 49 295 50 298 53 299 54833 52131 42 298 48 287 51 291 51 294 57 296 52131 49687 43 300 46 286 50 284 53 292 62 300 49687 47488 43 303 45 290 48 280 56 290 68 298 47488 45497 44 305 43 292 48 283 58 289 67 294 45497 43682 47 300 45 294 54 288 61 290 65 295 43682 42014 63 297 55 295 61 288 65 289 63 296 42014 40466 75 291 69 286 66 285 73 284 62 297 40466 39015 76 283 76 282 71 283 80 280 62 296 39015 37652 69 280 75 281 73 281 82 277 66 293 37652 36345 65 281 73 282 75 281 80 277 70 289 36345 35031 65 284 72 282 74 282 77 278 67 287 35031 33683 65 284 72 281 73 282 73 281 58 292 33683 32311 58 283 71 279 73 283 70 283 52 299 32311 30898 50 284 68 279 72 283 68 285 44 308 30898 29431 48 285 64 282 72 281 65 288 45 318 29431 27911 48 285 59 282 69 282 60 293 50 324 27911 26338 48 286 55 278 58 283 55 298 51 326 26338 24713 48 284 51 277 56 284 51 300 49 327 24713 23038 38 284 46 280 54 285 48 302 46 325 23038 21310 31 286 39 283 46 283 44 303 40 323 21310 19521 29 281 33 280 37 287 41 299 36 320 19521 17706 26 278 28 276 34 289 37 296 34 316 17706 15963 24 280 25 275 32 284 33 297 34 313 15963 14376 20 280 25 278 29 281 28 299 34 314 14376 12960 18 283 25 281 23*277 22*297 31 316 12960 11692 16 279 24 281 18*270 19*292 27 315 11692 10553 15 266 21 277 17 267 19 289 24 311 10553 9530 16 258 19 270 16 268 19 285 23 306 9530 8613 16 257 17 263 16 268 20 281 23 303 8613 7792 14 259 14*257 15 269 20 278 23 299 7792 7057 10 257 9*249 15 270 20 276 23 293 7057 6391 6 242 6 235 15 271 19 274 23 287 6391 5794 3 201 4 201 14 272 19 273 23 282 5794 5291 3 173 4 196 14 272 19 272 20 279 5291 4902 2 130 4 191 13 272 18 272 16 277 4902 4633 2 078 4 190 13 272 17 272 11 274 4633 4468 3*051 4 189 12 273 16 271 7*272 4468 4374 3*040 4 188 11 272 12 270 2*259 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography