DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.2 - - 41.2 - - 48.3 - - 46.2 - - 36.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -48 - - 59 - - 88 - - -6 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1185 - - 972 - - 791 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4355 - - 4355 - - 4356 - - 4356 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top 4372 - - 6013 - - 5800 - - 5619 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1518 - - 777 - - 809 - - 759 - - 721 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 182 - - 192 - - 0 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 14 - - 22 - - 12 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 280 - - 064 - - 065 - - 056 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 15 - - 23 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 5 - - -14 - - -30 - - -18 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3431 - - -4569 - - -5815 - - -6763 - - -5195 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7804 - - 10583 - - 11616 - - 12382 - - 9568 sfcLCL ODpotential -12879 - - -14289 - - -14862 - - -15786 - - -16090 ODpotential blCL 17251 - - 20302 - - 20662 - - 21405 - - 20463 blCL maxRH 32 - - 26 - - 31 - - 25 - - 29 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.2 - - 41.2 - - 48.3 - - 46.2 - - 36.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 13.2 - - 10.9 - - 13.3 - - 8.2 - - 11.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.7 - - 41.8 - - 48.7 - - 48.5 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 12.0 - - 9.9 - - 12.2 - - 7.2 - - 10.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -48 - - 59 - - 88 - - -6 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1185 - - 972 - - 791 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96378 42 259 56 266 54 270 55 275 54 282 96378 89258 33 276 32 277 34 286 36 279 32 282 89258 83771 29 281 20 282 20 288 24 275 24 284 83771 79204 20 284 19 281 20 291 17 287 16 296 79204 75251 16 299 15 263 20 286 16 288 18 307 75251 71749 19 298 14 290 18 285 12 296 16 311 71749 68569 18 287 15 292 19 300 18 312 14 313 68569 65640 14 274 9 301 16 299 16 306 17 333 65640 62927 17 308 16 282 23 308 22 307 18 332 62927 60298 22 319 18 305 26 292 30 311 26 329 60298 57551 32 328 25 327 20 322 31 331 29 331 57551 54703 30 332 31 335 23 339 24 328 28 344 54703 51980 29 341 32 340 28 351 26 356 30 007 51980 49513 31 343 33 354 34 001 41 010 41 014 49513 47284 30 340 39 359 41 003 48 011 45 014 47284 45257 21 348 36 354 40 358 46 010 45 012 45257 43413 28 015 30 006 37 006 41 015 40 011 43413 41734 43 012 37 018 37 020 40 025 34 018 41734 40192 36 360 37 024 35 032 38 025 37 034 40192 38761 22 018 32 034 36 044 34 024 44 039 38761 37426 49 049 40 050 39 050 32 030 47 039 37426 36148 68 045 54 053 43 050 33 041 45 040 36148 34864 67 042 60 050 46 050 34 050 37 048 34864 33550 62 046 56 049 46 050 34 053 31 056 33550 32204 63 050 52 050 48 048 33 050 28 057 32204 30812 65 051 50 050 48 048 33 049 29 054 30812 29360 65 049 50 049 43 050 32 049 29 052 29360 27850 61 046 51 047 38 051 31 050 27 050 27850 26282 56 045 50 044 37 049 30 050 26 046 26282 24658 47 047 47 043 37 045 31 048 25 041 24658 22979 39 049 42 043 36 042 31 046 27 038 22979 21242 33 047 36 044 34 043 30 047 29 037 21242 19442 29 042 31 048 29 045 28 047 29 038 19442 17612 26 036 26 052 24 044 25 045 26 041 17612 15851 22 026 21 049 20 047 22 045 23 040 15851 14248 18 016 15 040 18 053 19 047 21 033 14248 12820 16 012 11 038 15 051 14 054 17 029 12820 11546 14 019 8 059 11 049 9 073 11 040 11546 10406 15 036 9 082 6 062 8 095 9 067 10406 9384 20 052 13 083 6 098 11 099 13 078 9384 8471 27 061 18 078 9 092 15 093 20 077 8471 7661 34 066 23 073 14 082 20 084 28 075 7661 6942 37 066 26 069 19 075 25 077 35 072 6942 6296 36 064 25*067 24*070 29 072 37 069 6296 5724 27 058 21*065 26*067 28*067 31 066 5724 5245 16 042 17 064 25 065 23*062 19 061 5245 4873 8 356 12 064 23 064 16 057 8 048 4873 4617 9 296 9 064 19 064 10 050 3 290 4617 4461 10*283 7 064 16 063 5 035 7*263 4461 4372 9*280 5 064 10 063 2 310 6*263 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography