DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 58.2 - - 54.1 - - 44.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 115 - - -7 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 566 - - 1455 - - 807 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 5226 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5394 - - 6283 - - 5635 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 786 - - 1426 - - 978 - - 450 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 234 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 16 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 072 - - 071 - - 062 - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 11 - - 23 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -11 - - -20 - - -16 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4514 - - -5852 - - -6787 - - -5954 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9909 - - 12136 - - 12422 - - 10328 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12315 - - -11851 - - -13080 - - -14676 ODpotential blCL - - - 17709 - - 18134 - - 18715 - - 19049 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 62 - - 34 - - 27 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.5 - - 58.2 - - 54.1 - - 44.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 20.6 - - 15.6 - - 15.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 58.3 - - 56.7 - - 49.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 19.5 - - 14.5 - - 14.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 34 - - 115 - - -7 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 566 - - 1455 - - 807 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95959 34 354 22 355 20 026 23 052 95959 89108 27 028 26 047 30 055 33 069 89108 83708 25 031 27 050 25 061 32 054 83708 79187 21 033 25 045 25 060 28 051 79187 75271 19 034 22 042 24 059 26 054 75271 71791 12 029 19 028 26 038 27 045 71791 68635 10 048 12 009 21 016 25 041 68635 65732 13 032 9 030 14 019 20 039 65732 63041 21 358 22 012 20 016 22 016 63041 60429 24 337 24 360 23 002 22 008 60429 57682 20 333 25 355 25 354 31 347 57682 54807 20 348 22 352 26 345 31 335 54807 52056 26 356 25 359 27 343 24 348 52056 49588 29 351 31 357 29 002 20 359 49588 47363 27 345 32 356 35 008 29 023 47363 45332 23 356 27 357 35 004 39 027 45332 43473 22 008 25 002 35 007 42 026 43473 41766 22 013 24 009 31 011 37 027 41766 40194 18 011 20 004 25 019 31 030 40194 38748 17 022 16 027 22 035 26 045 38748 37404 16 008 18 041 27 050 30 065 37404 36121 14 357 21 043 31 054 30 072 36121 34835 14 355 16 035 31 054 25 077 34835 33516 15 352 8 020 28 052 22 084 33516 32165 10 356 7 012 23 045 24 087 32165 30768 6 003 8 016 18 030 29 085 30768 29312 11 023 9 023 14 020 32 081 29312 27802 15 028 9 040 12 019 34 079 27802 26237 16 038 11 052 12 032 34 079 26237 24617 13 029 14 062 17 050 33 079 24617 22946 13 019 14 067 23 059 32 080 22946 21220 12 031 16 066 27 061 31 082 21220 19432 13 052 17 062 26 063 29 080 19432 17618 16 067 18 065 21 065 26 072 17618 15874 19 070 20 074 15 075 21 063 15874 14289 19 071 21 078 12 091 14 067 14289 12875 16 073 18 080 11 101 9 084 12875 11609 13 089 14 084 12 105 9 103 11609 10471 13 108 12 092 14 103 11 106 10471 9449 14 114 13 097 17 097 14 099 9449 8532 14 108 14 096 20 091 19 090 8532 7717 16 100 16 090 24 083 25 083 7717 6989 18 092 18 083 27 077 31 076 6989 6333 19 084 19*077 29 071 33 070 6333 5750 20*077 19*073 27*066 29 065 5750 5261 16*073 18 071 23*063 20 060 5261 4884 12 072 17 070 16 062 9 051 4884 4622 9 072 15 070 10 061 2 334 4622 4464 7 074 12 071 5 061 4*264 4464 4372 5 077 9 072 0 233 5*265 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography