DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 70.9 - - 78.3 - - 79.0 - - 65.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 213 - - 272 - - 26 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2388 - - 5562 - - 5972 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 6186 - - 8690 - - 6412 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 7216 - - 10390 - - 10800 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 565 - - 1548 - - 1483 - - 2263 - - 740 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 334 - - 481 - - 233 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 41 - - 18 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 1 - - 5 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 340 - - 336 - - 304 - - 305 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -10 - - -13 - - 7 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5620 - - -5376 - - -4169 - - -5008 - - -9308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9995 - - 12593 - - 14560 - - 15809 - - 13683 sfcLCL ODpotential -15248 - - -11459 - - -8825 - - -9975 - - -16634 ODpotential blCL 19622 - - 18675 - - 19215 - - 20775 - - 21009 blCL maxRH 73 - - 74 - - 65 - - 64 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 70.9 - - 78.3 - - 79.0 - - 65.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 31.1 - - 29.4 - - 24.6 - - 21.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 59.9 - - 70.5 - - 77.4 - - 79.7 - - 70.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.8 - - 30.5 - - 28.6 - - 24.0 - - 21.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 213 - - 272 - - 26 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2388 - - 5562 - - 5972 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 3 066 5 305 2 122 11 241 6 282 96488 89330 4 222 4 200 3 248 6 043 3 070 89330 83788 4 052 2 167 1 236 7 359 12 011 83788 79178 2 325 4 290 5 327 13 295 18 329 79178 75225 15 353 16 338 10 321 16 302 30 332 75225 71776 19 341 21 331 21 331 17 342 29 340 71776 68684 22 340 28 348 25 335 27 340 29 335 68684 65847 35 335 39 339 38 329 40 331 36 333 65847 63225 45 327 43 325 45 320 47 318 47 314 63225 60697 52 316 48 318 45 317 46 314 45 308 60697 58040 56 312 51 316 47 319 49 322 50 319 58040 55244 55 308 58 307 55 313 61 317 60 320 55244 52547 58 307 65 301 64 301 66 303 63 309 52547 50110 62 308 66 300 66 298 64 302 66 302 50110 47931 68 305 66 302 66 300 65 305 70 302 47931 45957 72 299 70 302 69 300 68 303 72 304 45957 44149 72 298 72 300 70 299 69 298 71 304 44149 42483 69 299 70 301 66 299 66 297 69 301 42483 40939 64 300 66 303 60 299 59 296 64 299 40939 39498 62 296 61 305 56 302 56 295 59 296 39498 38145 60 295 59 306 55 306 54 292 55 294 38145 36843 57 296 57 308 54 306 51 289 52 294 36843 35526 54 300 55 309 53 305 49 290 52 297 35526 34169 53 305 54 308 51 304 48 293 51 301 34169 32774 52 308 53 306 48 302 47 297 50 303 32774 31332 51 307 50 306 46 300 46 300 48 305 31332 29831 47 306 45 305 45 302 45 301 43 303 29831 28277 45 306 43 304 44 304 44 300 41 302 28277 26670 44 307 43 303 44 305 43 301 40 303 26670 25012 43 307 40 300 43 304 41 303 40 306 25012 23306 42 308 38 298 42 303 39 304 38 308 23306 21547 41 309 38 300 41 303 38 305 37 308 21547 19728 40 312 36 304 39 305 37 306 36 309 19728 17882 36 318 32 311 36 309 36 310 36 312 17882 16109 30 319 26 316 31 312 33 315 32 315 16109 14496 24 313 20 313 25 312 27 318 25 318 14496 13059 20 313 18 305 21 311 20 320 17 317 13059 11774 15 324 16 303 17 318 13*331 12 314 11774 10621 12 349 12 299 11*335 10*335 10 317 10621 9585 10 015 9 294 7*335 9 331 9 321 9585 8655 7 024 5 298 6 332 9 318 9 326 8655 7824 4 031 2*003 6 324 9 304 9 339 7824 7081 3 059 3*049 5 305 9 296 10 359 7081 6407 5 069 3 030 5 291 9 290 13 014 6407 5805 9 069 2 359 5 281 9 286 17 019 5805 5298 14 064 2 296 5 272 8 283 18 022 5298 4905 14 053 3 278 5 267 8 281 17 022 4905 4634 10 035 3 269 5 263 8 280 15 019 4634 4468 7*012 3 263 5 262 7 278 11*015 4468 4374 4*340 3 261 4 261 6 277 6*006 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography