DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.6 - - 56.3 - - 60.0 - - 63.0 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 113 - - 292 - - 139 - - 90 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2934 - - 3104 - - 7483 - - 8847 - - 7112 BL Depth Hcrit 6263 - - 6846 - - 9877 - - 10400 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 7762 - - 7932 - - 12311 - - 13675 - - 11940 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2044 - - 2295 - - 3388 - - 4106 - - 3009 Hgt.Variab. W* 289 - - 412 - - 447 - - 388 - - 51 W* B/S 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 187 - - 206 - - 227 - - 260 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 11 Wind Shear Max.Converg 15 - - 22 - - 38 - - 29 - - 88 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1758 - - 2366 - - 4474 - - 2122 - - 1869 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6005 - - 5566 - - 7838 - - 11553 - - 10071 sfcLCL ODpotential 811 - - 851 - - 2123 - - 1072 - - 297 ODpotential blCL 6951 - - 7081 - - 10188 - - 12603 - - 11643 blCL maxRH 99 - - 96 - - 98 - - 98 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 670 - - 680 - - 150 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m 53.6 - - 56.3 - - 60.0 - - 63.0 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.2 - - 46.8 - - 40.5 - - 27.2 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 55.6 - - 60.1 - - 63.4 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 42.1 - - 45.5 - - 39.3 - - 26.9 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 113 - - 292 - - 139 - - 90 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2934 - - 3104 - - 7483 - - 8847 - - 7112 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 84 - - 90 - - 93 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98031 14 267 13 273 15 294 19 292 16 286 98031 90520 13 273 13 260 22 274 19 278 16 273 90520 84719 14 309 11 274 9 269 15 276 12 273 84719 79932 17 298 12 274 7 264 13 306 8 285 79932 75851 10 269 9 280 16 258 15 293 12 307 75851 72287 13 351 0 070 5 242 12 257 15 304 72287 69087 25 307 20 296 11 298 13 271 17 270 69087 66129 32 283 25 282 22 274 19 279 17 264 66129 63364 28 279 33 286 30 274 34 281 32 278 63364 60679 39 263 39 272 40 270 48 267 41 268 60679 57864 48 256 48 258 45 261 50 260 45 260 57864 54925 48 254 53 254 52 258 53 257 47 257 54925 52110 50 258 57 251 60 253 54 256 46 257 52110 49572 56 255 57 249 58 249 51 256 45 261 49572 47295 60 251 54 250 53 250 51 255 50 262 47295 45226 66 248 56 253 56 251 54 255 54 258 45226 43330 73 246 69 251 61 249 59 253 57 254 43330 41585 82 245 80 245 67 247 64 250 59 251 41585 39969 95 244 89 243 76 243 66 249 60 249 39969 38463 105 242 99 243 83 243 69 248 60 248 38463 37056 109 242 112 243 91 242 75 247 62 248 37056 35714 112 243 122 242 101 240 80 246 64 247 35714 34372 118 242 127 241 110 239 85 246 63 246 34372 33001 120 240 127 239 114 238 88 245 59 248 33001 31604 118 237 121 238 108 237 87 245 55 253 31604 30172 113 235 111 236 97 236 78 245 45 253 30172 28698 102 235 99 234 81 236 61 247 30 254 28698 27190 86 238 85 232 58 237 40 252 16 261 27190 25652 69 241 66 229 41 237 22 262 2 314 25652 24078 53 242 45 225 27 234 8 308 14 099 24078 22461 41 239 34 224 25 240 7 357 15 087 22461 20794 36 235 34 224 20 236 6 336 5 072 20794 19073 33 233 35 224 20 234 10 268 2 300 19073 17326 31 229 32 222 21 232 10 255 5 299 17326 15645 28 223 31 219 21 228 10 249 8 280 15645 14112 24 216 24 217 19 223 11*247 11 274 14112 12742 22 213 22 217 18*217 11*243 12*271 12742 11514 21 216 20 216 16*212 11 241 12*267 11514 10409 20 216 18 214 15 208 12 236 13 264 10409 9414 17 213 16 210 15 207 12 230 13 262 9414 8519 14*208 14*206 14 206 12 227 14 260 8519 7718 12*203 13*200 13 205 13 224 14 258 7718 7001 10 200 11 192 13 204 13 222 14 257 7001 6349 9 198 11 186 12 203 13 220 14 257 6349 5766 8 193 11 184 12 204 13 218 12 255 5766 5273 7 191 10 182 11 204 12 216 10 254 5273 4892 7 189 10 180 10 204 12 215 7 254 4892 4627 7 186 10 180 10 204 12 215 5 255 4627 4466 6 186 9 179 9 204 11 214 3 254 4466 4373 6 186 8 180 8 205 10 214 1 250 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography