DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 53.4 - - 48.9 - - 40.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 100 - - -4 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1426 - - 2012 - - 924 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4356 - - 5585 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6254 - - 6840 - - 5752 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1558 - - 2244 - - 1853 - - 947 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 252 - - 33 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 17 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 056 - - 071 - - 069 - - 015 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 12 - - 25 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -20 - - -18 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2318 - - -3132 - - -3934 - - -4774 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8572 - - 9973 - - 9686 - - 9147 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7629 - - -8867 - - -11124 - - -13369 ODpotential blCL - - - 13883 - - 15707 - - 16876 - - 17742 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 89 - - 75 - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.6 - - 53.4 - - 48.9 - - 40.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.5 - - 25.2 - - 22.1 - - 16.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 53.7 - - 51.7 - - 46.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.4 - - 23.9 - - 21.0 - - 15.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 100 - - -4 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1426 - - 2012 - - 924 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 8 - - 55 - - 1 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96265 8 284 18 326 24 350 13 015 96265 89211 9 025 15 352 17 349 15 001 89211 83754 12 338 6 032 4 017 9 000 83754 79225 16 310 5 314 10 321 14 342 79225 75305 16 323 11 325 10 297 18 322 75305 71809 20 314 22 300 16 285 18 299 71809 68616 27 280 30 290 21 292 19 273 68616 65669 28 259 30 278 25 294 19 280 65669 62926 28 266 31 272 28 286 23 297 62926 60262 35 276 36 267 34 278 29 293 60262 57485 42 271 40 259 40 269 35 281 57485 54611 47 262 43 259 41 265 38 263 54611 51888 53 253 50 260 44 272 39 257 51888 49450 57 253 63 262 54 268 44 265 49450 47260 64 255 77 256 63 262 61 267 47260 45263 70 250 83 241 80 244 73 258 45263 43436 70 249 71 244 72 243 67 248 43436 41767 86 258 90 262 69 257 70 254 41767 40228 116 265 108 263 104 261 94 261 40228 38792 130 262 119 257 119 246 114 246 38792 37443 123 261 119 254 116 242 116 240 37443 36143 116 257 117 253 115 242 113 241 36143 34827 112 256 114 255 116 245 113 244 34827 33473 111 257 111 256 116 254 109 255 33473 32087 111 258 108 259 105 259 100 261 32087 30655 110 260 87 261 87 260 89 260 30655 29169 99 263 68 256 65 253 77 259 29169 27636 72 265 64 249 65 245 62 249 27636 26054 40 264 63 250 67 243 59 242 26054 24422 13 267 48 254 68 245 60 247 24422 22745 3 250 26 257 62 253 51 262 22745 21021 5 213 7 258 39 259 19 269 21021 19245 5 233 1 116 13 254 5 202 19245 17447 2 075 4 122 2 130 4 129 17447 15719 13 048 8 089 4 123 5 146 15719 14146 16 033 12 070 12 097 14 106 14146 12747 15 031 12 068 14 104 18 106 12747 11500 12 031 8 079 11 120 15 119 11500 10384 12 038 6 103 10 130 10 134 10384 9382 14 045 9 107 11 121 11 154 9382 8484 17 051 12 096 13 107 13 143 8484 7680 19 055 16 086 17 094 16 120 7680 6963 20 056 19*079 21 084 21 098 6963 6314 17*056 20*074 25*077 28 083 6314 5736 13*055 19 072 26*072 33 071 5736 5252 9 056 18 070 22 070 33 065 5252 4878 6 056 16 069 16 067 26 060 4878 4620 4 056 14 068 10 063 17 052 4620 4462 3 057 11 068 5 057 9*038 4462 4372 2 058 8 068 1 026 4*347 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography