DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 92.7 - - 92.2 - - 81.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 469 - - 169 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10655 - - 13559 - - 14229 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13022 - - 15454 - - 15210 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15483 - - 18387 - - 19057 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2386 - - 2075 - - 1931 - - 14511 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 699 - - 773 - - 561 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 30 - - 52 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 244 - - 231 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 13 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 17 - - -48 - - 17 - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5592 - - -2935 - - -1597 - - -13931 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 21076 - - 21323 - - 20655 - - 18307 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8492 - - -5948 - - -3991 - - -18667 ODpotential blCL - - - 23975 - - 24335 - - 23048 - - 23043 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 31 - - 47 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.4 - - 92.7 - - 92.2 - - 81.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 9.2 - - 12.0 - - 14.8 - - 16.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.8 - - 90.9 - - 91.7 - - 87.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 9.0 - - 11.9 - - 14.9 - - 16.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 469 - - 169 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10655 - - 13559 - - 14229 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98075 10 200 8 215 6 218 6 215 98075 90632 10 197 8 197 9 227 6 316 90632 84903 13 190 12 173 11 206 7 287 84903 80141 11 179 11 178 3 189 3 201 80141 76044 7 162 10 197 6 251 1 235 76044 72445 4 226 4 231 6 217 5 239 72445 69225 11 249 11 297 6 331 3 258 69225 66281 8 230 15 274 15 318 5 333 66281 63546 1 234 12 243 14 289 7 291 63546 60902 4 325 7 201 13 248 11 265 60902 58158 13 275 9 276 13 257 11 281 58158 55333 19 240 19 262 21 263 20 286 55333 52658 13 237 17 245 21 250 23 263 52658 50254 15 279 14 271 16 255 25 242 50254 48094 23 283 22 276 20 272 22 257 48094 46147 25 284 24 275 23 275 21 280 46147 44376 22 298 20 289 19 282 19 290 44376 42735 21 318 18 309 16 307 15 298 42735 41199 22 328 18 319 15 325 13 312 41199 39750 23 329 17 321 13 324 10 316 39750 38385 22 326 18 321 13 318 9 316 38385 37072 19 322 17 322 13 319 11 322 37072 35750 15 320 13 318 11 319 11 322 35750 34390 14 318 11 310 7 308 6 313 34390 32994 14 321 11 312 7 296 3 283 32994 31549 13 327 11 322 6 310 3 267 31549 30046 10 327 9 329 5 327 2 247 30046 28489 9 321 7 322 4 307 2 234 28489 26876 10 313 6 321 4 308 0 080 26876 25211 11 296 7 314 5 311 2 035 25211 23498 11 285 9 300 6 307 2 310 23498 21734 2 304 3 234 4 173 7 156 21734 19917 3 089 3*150 3*252 11 081 19917 18080 2 141 0*340 9*280 5 064 18080 16310 2*205 3 285 9 281 1 203 16310 14691 5*264 4 283 8 276 3 233 14691 13240 7 270 4 277 6 268 4 242 13240 11936 6 273 3 270 5 252 5 249 11936 10762 5 280 3 261 5 226 6 253 10762 9705 4 283 3 244 5 200 8 257 9705 8756 3 273 3 228 6 188 9 259 8756 7908 3 228 3 214 7 180 11 260 7908 7148 4 207 4 206 7 175 12 260 7148 6459 5 204 4 200 8 173 13 260 6459 5843 6 203 4 197 8 172 14 260 5843 5323 6 201 5 193 8 170 13 257 5323 4921 6 202 5 191 8 170 11 253 4921 4642 7 203 5 191 8 170 8 243 4642 4472 6 203 5 190 8 169 6*232 4472 4375 6 202 4 189 7 170 4*227 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography