DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/11 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 62.9 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 229 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3230 - - 6105 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6741 - - 9024 - - - - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8058 - - 10933 - - - - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2934 - - 2219 - - - - - 7085 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 352 - - 468 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 181 - - 200 - - - - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 13 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 24 - - 35 - - - - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -515 - - 814 - - - - - -4936 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8574 - - 10119 - - - - - 9310 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2297 - - -1075 - - - - - -8149 ODpotential blCL - - - 10355 - - 12008 - - - - - 12523 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 86 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.0 - - 62.9 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.7 - - 33.7 - - - - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.7 - - 62.6 - - - - - 59.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.3 - - 33.2 - - - - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 185 - - 229 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3230 - - 6105 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 46 - - - - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96486 21 063 23 093 13 080 96486 89387 28 093 24 083 21 066 89387 83886 26 103 23 080 17 071 83886 79310 20 089 18 080 15 080 79310 75353 10 075 20 106 10 073 75353 71845 7 081 13 095 5 024 71845 68671 6 257 4 009 5 331 68671 65756 14 161 10 262 1 246 65756 63048 7 250 14 186 14 240 63048 60431 32 268 22 261 31 239 60431 57701 48 247 46 248 39 236 57701 54854 53 227 61 235 52 238 54854 52122 40 232 54 229 57 229 52122 49651 59 262 61 253 47 237 49651 47427 106 261 96 258 73 254 47427 45414 119 252 119 250 104 250 45414 43578 118 240 121 237 119 239 43578 41893 120 234 116 229 122 229 41893 40337 115 233 109 233 112 226 40337 38890 110 235 109 236 108 231 38890 37535 110 235 109 234 111 234 37535 36230 113 235 107 228 112 232 36230 34908 109 238 107 228 111 232 34908 33548 102 240 106 231 109 234 33548 32154 97 240 105 233 107 237 32154 30713 96 239 104 234 104 238 30713 29219 96 239 102 236 99 237 29219 27676 94 241 96 239 90 237 27676 26089 87 245 85 243 82 237 26089 24456 76 249 70 243 72 234 24456 22782 69 249 60 242 60 233 22782 21063 64 241 58 241 53 234 21063 19293 55 229 55 236 50 235 19293 17503 47 219 48 225 47 234 17503 15781 40 218 42 221 41 229 15781 14214 34 217 37 220 34 223 14214 12818 31 215 33 217 27 216 12818 11570 29 210 29*213 22 210 11570 10449 28 205 24*210 18 204 10449 9442 27 201 20 205 16 200 9442 8539 24*196 18 200 15 199 8539 7731 21*191 17 199 13 201 7731 7009 18 185 17 197 13 206 7009 6354 16 181 16 196 12 211 6354 5768 14 177 16 196 12 214 5768 5274 13 175 16 195 11 214 5274 4892 12 174 15 195 10 211 4892 4627 11 174 14 194 7 202 4627 4466 11 173 14 194 5*188 4466 4373 9 174 12 194 3*170 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography