DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.3 - - 54.7 - - 58.6 - - 55.2 - - 46.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -38 - - 20 - - 22 - - 0 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 337 - - 879 - - 214 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5165 - - 5707 - - 5042 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 206 - - 1420 - - 2413 - - 3444 - - 215 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 94 - - 134 - - 12 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 12 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 003 - - 273 - - 258 - - 048 - - 038 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 3 - - 5 - - -6 - - -20 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2527 - - -1498 - - -1164 - - -449 - - -819 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6901 - - 6663 - - 6871 - - 5492 - - 5193 sfcLCL ODpotential -12015 - - -8276 - - -5277 - - -5764 - - -9035 ODpotential blCL 16388 - - 13441 - - 10984 - - 10806 - - 13409 blCL maxRH 46 - - 58 - - 55 - - 58 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.3 - - 54.7 - - 58.6 - - 55.2 - - 46.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.0 - - 40.8 - - 43.6 - - 46.2 - - 39.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.2 - - 55.6 - - 59.5 - - 59.2 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.8 - - 39.7 - - 42.4 - - 45.0 - - 38.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -38 - - 20 - - 22 - - 0 - - -48 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 337 - - 879 - - 214 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96262 15 259 27 268 17 278 29 246 31 279 96262 89168 6 238 12 235 13 275 6 257 11 264 89168 83709 5 304 9 221 15 271 6 303 6 297 83709 79158 10 308 5 228 14 258 12 277 9 289 79158 75212 13 288 5 277 11 251 15 287 12 286 75212 71711 13 281 11 262 14 270 17 289 12 304 71711 68534 11 280 15 255 17 275 20 285 16 309 68534 65607 16 285 18 264 21 275 25 280 21 302 65607 62892 19 277 20 285 23 276 26 276 23 290 62892 60258 25 288 27 288 26 279 26 275 24 284 60258 57502 34 292 33 282 30 287 27 278 28 284 57502 54641 41 289 39 283 35 286 31 290 29 291 54641 51921 47 285 41 287 36 290 37 291 33 292 51921 49487 48 278 42 293 37 295 39 293 38 290 49487 47314 44 281 43 289 37 299 40 293 40 294 47314 45346 40 289 43 307 40 311 35 298 37 281 45346 43560 42 306 50 305 37 316 29 332 31 341 43560 41941 43 298 39 302 38 321 47 345 46 351 41941 40445 30 290 33 317 36 319 46 337 39 331 40445 39042 35 349 26 338 17 354 31 319 24 314 39042 37721 58 021 45 032 34 046 8 317 12 320 37721 36449 55 025 59 037 45 042 8 058 18 352 36449 35163 39 011 48 033 43 037 15 050 24 000 35163 33835 32 358 32 016 34 028 14 029 27 009 33835 32469 31 351 30 348 27 007 22 004 30 006 32469 31053 32 345 36 338 31 344 39 352 33 359 31053 29579 31 342 41 336 37 342 44 349 35 358 29579 28049 28 343 43 338 40 348 35 344 36 356 28049 26461 29 346 43 342 41 352 30 341 36 354 26461 24820 28 348 39 341 41 351 29 345 33 351 24820 23126 27 341 34 333 36 348 28 349 30 346 23126 21376 30 331 31 324 31 336 28 352 26 341 21376 19563 32 326 28 319 31 327 26 351 21 336 19563 17722 33 323 28 316 31 322 24 342 19 328 17722 15952 32 323 29 315 30 320 24 335 18 326 15952 14343 31 326 28 317 27 321 23 335 17 333 14343 12911 27 334 26 320 23 322 20 339 16 341 12911 11633 22 344 23 325 19 324 16 343 15 348 11633 10491 19 354 20 332 15 329 12 346 14 355 10491 9468 15 357 16 338 12 340 8 353 12 359 9468 8554 12 358 12 343 9 001 4 013 8 001 8554 7740 10 359 8 351 6 032 3 070 5 004 7740 7012 7 359 4 009 5 066 4 092 3 021 7012 6354 6 358 3 049 4 069 4 087 2 049 6354 5767 5 003 3 075 2*051 4 078 3 065 5767 5272 6 007 2*058 1*278 3*061 7 054 5272 4889 7 011 2*313 2 259 3*053 10 057 4889 4625 8 009 3 269 2 254 2 048 13 050 4625 4464 8*007 3 264 2 250 2 045 12*042 4464 4373 6*003 3 263 2 252 1 041 7*038 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography