DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.8 - - - - - 72.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 44 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1762 - - 2995 - - - - - 525 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4358 - - 5773 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6590 - - 7823 - - - - - 5353 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1823 - - 2479 - - - - - 1831 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 220 - - 240 - - - - - 39 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 11 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 222 - - 306 - - - - - 149 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -7 - - - - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2216 - - 2034 - - - - - 978 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4374 - - 5789 - - - - - 4375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 609 - - -22 - - - - - -913 ODpotential blCL - - - 5981 - - 7845 - - - - - 6266 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 100 - - - - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 1580 - - 2060 - - - - - 2720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.6 - - 77.8 - - - - - 72.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.7 - - 66.8 - - - - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 78.5 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 65.7 - - - - - 69.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 64 - - 44 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1762 - - 2995 - - - - - 525 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 101 - - - - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99260 32 105 42 101 39 092 99260 91786 37 108 37 108 28 097 91786 86054 42 098 37 111 24 100 86054 81259 40 091 32 099 28 092 81259 77115 30 093 26 084 31 092 77115 73489 18 097 19 076 29 085 73489 70235 16 111 19 081 22 077 70235 67248 20 117 17 086 22 079 67248 64493 22 105 16 105 21 071 64493 61840 19 090 14 146 11 050 61840 59098 15 078 18 134 11 103 59098 56295 18 096 23 111 15 131 56295 53646 23 099 26 104 21 119 53646 51262 23 097 24 104 23 100 51262 49108 22 102 26 109 25 094 49108 47134 25 104 25 106 23 086 47134 45306 22 097 22 092 18 075 45306 43601 22 081 21 074 18 065 43601 42000 19 064 19 048 21 057 42000 40497 16 042 23 044 23 059 40497 39086 17 047 25 047 26 062 39086 37731 18 048 21 043 27 065 37731 36362 17 052 16 048 26 061 36362 34952 14 056 16 053 23 048 34952 33507 13 037 18 048 20 037 33507 32015 12 029 16 029 21 034 32015 30464 11 021 14 034 20 040 30464 28856 15 032 13 042 20 044 28856 27195 13 040 12 050 17 045 27195 25483 11 052 10 061 15 048 25483 23725 8 066 11 068 16 051 23725 21917 8 070 10 070 16 050 21917 20053 9 087 9 064 13 054 20053 18169 10 081 7 056 13 069 18169 16359 10 086 8 076 18 076 16359 14716 12 091 12 083 18 080 14716 13249 13 082 8 094 14 075 13249 11934 13 074 4 107 12 063 11934 10753 10 060 6 074 10 050 10753 9692 8 030 5 038 9 027 9692 8741 7 360 6 010 7 359 8741 7893 6 329 6*354 5 323 7893 7134 5*303 5*338 4 290 7134 6448 4*282 5 312 2 262 6448 5834 3 244 4 302 1*115 5834 5318 3 207 4 296 3*156 5318 4918 3 200 3 292 4 153 4918 4641 3 196 3 289 4 147 4641 4472 3 198 3 289 4 143 4472 4375 3 196 3 287 3 140 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography