DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.5 - - 59.4 - - 67.3 - - 68.2 - - 56.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 249 - - 355 - - 84 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3746 - - 8063 - - 8575 - - 51 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 7260 - - 10802 - - 10139 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 8574 - - 12891 - - 13403 - - 4879 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3146 - - 2045 - - 1021 - - 1480 - - 2970 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 411 - - 594 - - 377 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 10 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 002 - - 298 - - 280 - - 295 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 7 - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - 5 - - 10 - - 18 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -937 - - 821 - - 1653 - - 1499 - - -3717 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5311 - - 7753 - - 11239 - - 11905 - - 8596 sfcLCL ODpotential -3653 - - -1628 - - 288 - - 281 - - -8253 ODpotential blCL 8027 - - 10202 - - 12603 - - 13122 - - 13132 blCL maxRH 91 - - 77 - - 82 - - 87 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.5 - - 59.4 - - 67.3 - - 68.2 - - 56.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.4 - - 40.5 - - 33.0 - - 31.0 - - 34.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.7 - - 58.9 - - 66.2 - - 68.4 - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.2 - - 39.7 - - 32.4 - - 30.6 - - 33.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 249 - - 355 - - 84 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3746 - - 8063 - - 8575 - - 51 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 65 - - 7 - - 28 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96670 18 269 31 286 21 291 23 293 30 287 96670 89398 20 284 16 271 22 284 23 277 22 297 89398 83830 17 283 15 293 20 274 24 269 27 303 83830 79233 19 296 19 282 23 260 29 277 27 292 79233 75276 24 288 23 271 27 263 31 276 34 279 75276 71799 27 280 27 269 27 270 27 268 34 272 71799 68667 34 270 26 266 25 271 26 269 26 254 68667 65763 36 254 29 268 29 276 25 270 21 267 65763 63041 33 247 31 256 33 263 31 274 27 283 63041 60392 31 238 32 246 36 255 40 268 32 282 60392 57629 31 252 34 252 40 261 42 258 35 279 57629 54766 32 266 34 265 35 262 34 254 37 267 54766 52016 25 276 32 267 31 267 34 267 36 270 52016 49527 26 284 34 268 45 278 41 279 42 283 49527 47304 31 286 37 268 47 274 43 285 41 294 47304 45311 34 286 32 274 32 271 43 298 40 297 45311 43508 31 287 25 285 32 291 35 297 32 290 43508 41857 15 294 20 302 23 313 25 330 29 328 41857 40331 14 001 29 354 34 009 45 353 46 345 40331 38911 26 010 42 013 59 003 55 352 56 348 38911 37579 38 004 61 008 65 002 53 351 57 350 37579 36295 48 006 65 004 63 008 46 349 55 350 36295 34997 53 014 60 003 52 009 45 349 55 349 34997 33659 53 019 57 006 51 004 52 349 55 347 33659 32286 51 017 54 006 56 003 58 349 54 346 32286 30867 49 016 51 006 58 002 58 350 53 346 30867 29390 42 023 47 006 58 002 55 351 53 345 29390 27859 26 022 42 008 55 003 53 351 55 345 27859 26273 18 010 38 011 47 359 50 350 56 346 26273 24638 11 020 30 014 38 354 46 349 54 347 24638 22956 13 017 23 005 30 355 43 347 49 348 22956 21221 14 359 20 015 26 354 37 347 44 347 21221 19426 12 015 21 027 24 356 32 345 39 340 19426 17606 6 055 20 022 21 001 29 343 37 331 17606 15860 8 113 10 355 16 001 25 343 34 331 15860 14276 12 112 2 159 13*337 16*337 28 337 14276 12866 10 100 8 155 9*300 13*316 20 341 12866 11608 3 011 7 192 9 295 13 310 12 340 11608 10479 6 313 5 265 9 290 12 306 9 335 10479 9465 6 306 7*310 9 284 12 299 12 323 9465 8556 7 311 9*319 9 281 12 294 16 314 8556 7744 8 312 9 313 9 275 11 289 19 306 7744 7017 10 312 8 306 9 271 11 285 20 296 7017 6359 10 312 8 298 9 269 11 282 22 287 6359 5771 10 315 8 288 9 266 10 279 25 278 5771 5276 9 326 7 282 8 263 10 277 25 275 5276 4893 7 344 7 277 8 260 10 275 21*276 4893 4628 6 002 7 273 8 259 9 274 16*279 4628 4466 5*002 6 272 8 259 9 273 11 282 4466 4373 4*004 6 270 7 258 8 273 4 293 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography