DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 82.3 - - - - - 74.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 130 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4782 - - 3542 - - - - - 522 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8247 - - 6877 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9610 - - 8370 - - - - - 5350 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5356 - - 3525 - - - - - 1401 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 524 - - 341 - - - - - 78 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 22 - - - - - 15 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 3 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 220 - - 354 - - - - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - -6 - - - - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -831 - - 1487 - - - - - 975 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10442 - - 6883 - - - - - 4375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2797 - - -987 - - - - - -2159 ODpotential blCL - - - 12407 - - 9357 - - - - - 7509 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 93 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 1380 - - 2530 - - - - - 3330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 82.3 - - - - - 74.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.8 - - 66.4 - - - - - 71.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.4 - - 82.3 - - - - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.5 - - 65.3 - - - - - 70.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 413 - - 130 - - - - - 7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4782 - - 3542 - - - - - 522 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 73 - - - - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 14 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99165 43 095 44 107 45 097 99165 91709 45 118 45 101 30 104 91709 85942 53 116 45 104 26 094 85942 81142 42 102 40 108 30 095 81142 77040 24 095 31 109 33 104 77040 73440 16 093 23 103 31 092 73440 70186 28 114 22 110 28 076 70186 67200 35 112 26 120 21 082 67200 64444 31 107 28 123 19 105 64444 61796 20 110 22 128 20 110 61796 59065 12 119 17 137 18 108 59065 56262 10 156 18 151 17 123 56262 53606 18 166 20 154 15 141 53606 51219 26 164 21 164 16 150 51219 49069 30 163 25 171 16 158 49069 47095 29 163 27 161 15 180 47095 45261 23 155 26 158 17 183 45261 43546 16 141 21 161 14 191 43546 41938 3 165 15 145 11 208 41938 40435 9 276 5 122 2 188 40435 39028 15 271 9 306 4 021 39028 37677 18 275 13 307 5 035 37677 36314 16 273 13 306 5 032 36314 34910 8 269 10 315 6 025 34910 33469 3 298 7 347 6 022 33469 31978 8 334 6 006 8 013 31978 30427 10 348 7 032 11 020 30427 28823 12 357 12 052 12 026 28823 27165 12 010 13 059 10 027 27165 25457 10 035 10 051 9 032 25457 23704 10 072 10 028 10 054 23704 21902 10 098 11 009 13 070 21902 20046 6 125 12 003 12 076 20046 18169 8 123 10 360 11 079 18169 16369 8 092 8 357 10 069 16369 14731 6 066 7 358 8 046 14731 13268 3 040 7 005 6 351 13268 11956 2 343 6 007 8 311 11956 10776 2 301 6 013 11 296 10776 9712 2*266 6 007 13 290 9712 8757 4*247 6*002 12 286 8757 7904 7 237 5*003 8 278 7904 7143 8 228 4 005 5 262 7143 6453 8 221 3 002 2 237 6453 5838 9 214 2 354 2*310 5838 5320 9 210 2 344 1*334 5320 4919 9 206 2 329 1 067 4919 4642 9 204 2 318 1 076 4642 4473 9 203 2 312 1 077 4473 4375 8 202 1 309 1 081 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography