DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.2 - - 73.8 - - 81.3 - - 81.7 - - 69.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 334 - - 349 - - 100 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 488 - - 2667 - - 9356 - - 10539 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 6538 - - 11835 - - 11805 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 5316 - - 7495 - - 14184 - - 15367 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 965 - - 1847 - - 2914 - - 3152 - - 9205 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 401 - - 620 - - 428 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 9 - - 14 - - 18 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 181 - - 180 - - 235 - - 254 - - 223 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 4 - - 21 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 17 - - 18 - - 30 - - 49 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6566 - - -6769 - - -2191 - - -1717 - - -9998 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11883 - - 14264 - - 16376 - - 17085 - - 14374 sfcLCL ODpotential -12332 - - -10214 - - -4305 - - -3920 - - -14232 ODpotential blCL 17648 - - 17709 - - 18489 - - 19287 - - 18607 blCL maxRH 71 - - 85 - - 72 - - 51 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.2 - - 73.8 - - 81.3 - - 81.7 - - 69.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.1 - - 26.5 - - 24.0 - - 21.1 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.6 - - 72.8 - - 80.2 - - 82.0 - - 75.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.9 - - 26.2 - - 23.8 - - 20.9 - - 22.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 334 - - 349 - - 100 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 488 - - 2667 - - 9356 - - 10539 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96686 38 289 38 279 41 279 42 272 50 287 96686 89357 30 291 25 284 34 277 36 288 39 297 89357 83797 28 297 21 286 29 287 26 291 33 306 83797 79226 21 298 25 289 27 290 22 295 27 320 79226 75293 14 289 22 294 23 289 18 305 23 318 75293 71821 12 297 16 288 24 295 19 313 19 321 71821 68672 12 312 14 265 22 278 21 302 18 315 68672 65783 11 320 7 267 12 277 17 297 20 308 65783 63124 19 307 10 318 8 253 13 287 17 309 63124 60563 22 277 17 299 8 278 11 291 11 290 60563 57885 14 276 20 274 19 274 18 277 7 277 57885 55085 15 273 23 258 27 257 25 255 27 264 55085 52398 25 256 30 241 32 246 34 250 36 252 52398 49962 33 254 33 241 37 243 42 243 40 247 49962 47752 36 256 34 246 39 241 46 238 43 243 47752 45724 41 254 37 251 41 241 45 237 42 243 45724 43862 43 245 42 247 45 243 40 241 40 252 43862 42167 42 235 45 237 47 239 38 248 40 258 42167 40619 40 229 47 226 44 228 41 250 39 255 40619 39185 40 227 45 220 43 225 40 247 34 254 39185 37843 40 224 43 219 45 225 36 244 31 256 37843 36556 39 226 43 222 44 226 34 244 30 264 36556 35257 38 228 41 224 40 231 33 249 31 269 35257 33917 35 229 40 225 35 235 32 255 32 269 33917 32539 30 232 37 229 32 235 32 257 33 271 32539 31114 24 239 33 235 29 238 31 255 34 274 31114 29634 21 249 28 240 29 244 31 253 34 278 29634 28100 21 255 26 244 30 247 30 254 32 279 28100 26513 24 253 30 248 31 247 29 259 30 280 26513 24876 29 251 37 249 31 246 29 262 26 277 24876 23193 35 251 41 244 28 249 28 261 22 262 23193 21458 42 251 43 246 30 254 28 260 21 256 21458 19664 47 250 43 249 34 261 30 264 21 266 19664 17844 46 252 42 254 40 266 32 271 23 276 17844 16092 38 251 39 256 38 268 30*273 25 279 16092 14496 31 250 33 256 29*268 24*269 23 275 14496 13068 28 254 28 256 23*265 18 259 21 270 13068 11789 24 255 26 259 20 260 18 255 19 265 11789 10638 20 249 25 262 17 254 17 253 18 262 10638 9601 18 238 20 257 15 244 18 252 17 257 9601 8671 16 224 15 240 14 233 17 251 17 252 8671 7839 15 207 12*210 13 218 17 250 17 247 7839 7094 14 186 11*187 13 211 17 249 17 242 7094 6418 16 168 10 181 13 207 17 248 17 239 6418 5814 16*160 10 179 13 203 17 248 17 236 5814 5304 9*163 9 178 13 200 16 247 16 233 5304 4910 5 184 9 177 13 198 16 247 13 230 4910 4636 3 205 8 178 12 197 15 247 10 228 4636 4470 1 240 8 178 12 196 14 247 7*224 4470 4374 1 290 7 178 10 196 12 246 4*223 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography