DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/20 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.5 - - - - - 83.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -19 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1714 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4359 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6542 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 10350 - - - - - 5598 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 153 - - - - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 116 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 0 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 122 - - - - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 25 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2927 - - - - - -3988 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9469 - - - - - 8364 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5847 - - - - - -7693 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12389 - - - - - 12069 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2050 - - - - - 2600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.5 - - - - - 83.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.9 - - - - - 62.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.2 - - - - - 88.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - - - - 60.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -19 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1714 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 103 - - - - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - - - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99099 19 110 34 093 99099 91705 33 120 21 105 91705 85970 36 114 19 091 85970 81179 28 111 23 095 81179 77062 20 115 24 099 77062 73425 14 123 21 091 73425 70126 17 133 14 087 70126 67105 19 134 9 090 67105 64334 15 105 12 102 64334 61680 12 110 19 117 61680 58932 13 122 13 125 58932 56100 11 136 6 133 56100 53421 10 151 3 043 53421 51029 4 168 4 111 51029 48889 4 203 6 087 48889 46944 5 230 5 110 46944 45152 6 250 7 145 45152 43483 3 240 7 142 43483 41919 2 326 2 161 41919 40444 6 336 5 226 40444 39052 7 350 7 218 39052 37711 1 102 7 218 37711 36357 9 115 7 227 36357 34961 13 089 6 211 34961 33528 12 079 8 190 33528 32046 11 074 11 175 32046 30505 7 110 13 153 30505 28908 7 126 14 141 28908 27257 6 109 13 130 27257 25558 8 129 11 123 25558 23814 11 130 8 120 23814 22020 9 140 8 113 22020 20170 10 146 9 111 20170 18297 8 156 16 107 18297 16494 7 157 16 111 16494 14848 6 142 13 117 14848 13373 5 133 9 129 13373 12050 3 143 6 142 12050 10859 3 162 3 160 10859 9787 2 167 2 199 9787 8824 2 178 2 258 8824 7963 2 183 4 289 7963 7192 2*181 6 302 7192 6493 1*179 8 307 6493 5867 0 148 9 312 5867 5339 0 074 10 321 5339 4930 0 063 9 327 4930 4647 0 028 7 331 4647 4475 0 031 6*332 4475 4375 0 017 3*336 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography