DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.6 - - 74.3 - - 79.8 - - 79.2 - - 69.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 71 - - 422 - - 466 - - 163 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1850 - - 6020 - - 11299 - - 11190 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 9238 - - 13584 - - 12769 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 6678 - - 10848 - - 16127 - - 16018 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1368 - - 5343 - - 1793 - - 1814 - - 9474 Hgt.Variab. W* 212 - - 569 - - 727 - - 512 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 146 - - 179 - - 180 - - 198 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 5 - - 10 - - 7 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg 10 - - 17 - - 23 - - 25 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4806 - - -2915 - - 1021 - - 642 - - -9475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11485 - - 13763 - - 15107 - - 15377 - - 13851 sfcLCL ODpotential -7924 - - -4345 - - -273 - - -825 - - -13817 ODpotential blCL 14602 - - 15193 - - 16400 - - 16843 - - 18192 blCL maxRH 71 - - 78 - - 68 - - 64 - - 66 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.6 - - 74.3 - - 79.8 - - 79.2 - - 69.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 30.7 - - 28.8 - - 28.0 - - 26.3 - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.9 - - 72.8 - - 78.0 - - 79.0 - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.5 - - 28.5 - - 27.5 - - 26.1 - - 23.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 71 - - 422 - - 466 - - 163 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1850 - - 6020 - - 11299 - - 11190 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97499 33 280 31 269 38 269 48 279 38 288 97499 90156 33 268 38 275 37 269 36 284 31 286 90156 84486 29 268 37 270 31 270 34 284 26 284 84486 79789 25 277 25 272 23 260 28 271 23 280 79789 75741 23 274 21 281 21 257 23 260 22 269 75741 72166 23 271 24 279 20 271 22 272 18 272 72166 68941 18 259 20 254 23 259 22 275 19 288 68941 65990 11 246 17 250 17 257 21 270 24 281 65990 63264 19 271 18 248 20 266 22 261 25 257 63264 60638 26 253 22 248 22 253 22 250 25 243 60638 57908 27 249 26 245 24 251 24 252 24 249 57908 55070 32 244 32 248 35 261 38 256 37 254 55070 52352 36 256 42 252 43 257 41 251 37 246 52352 49892 44 253 46 251 46 263 47 262 40 259 49892 47675 49 253 49 251 48 263 51 267 50 263 47675 45661 53 254 46 251 44 269 50 271 49 265 45661 43834 50 260 37 265 43 275 47 274 46 270 43834 42174 40 274 25 282 31 275 38 276 38 267 42174 40643 34 296 30 335 14 340 21 268 24 243 40643 39210 33 306 43 357 28 018 14 058 6 115 39210 37861 34 319 46 358 30 011 16 045 3 076 37861 36563 30 335 44 354 28 357 13 017 6 279 36563 35254 22 327 39 353 28 340 13 341 11 270 35254 33904 13 302 36 357 28 333 16 326 10 274 33904 32520 11 308 29 360 26 333 17 316 10 283 32520 31088 8 306 18 322 21 342 18 305 13 285 31088 29597 10 318 14 299 22 326 20 295 14 288 29597 28051 12 332 16 299 24 318 20 295 13 289 28051 26451 13 344 15 307 22 320 20 302 13 290 26451 24804 13 348 13 309 17 313 19 314 12 304 24804 23112 11 331 9 310 13 302 14 312 11 309 23112 21374 8 327 4 314 8 272 10 294 10 291 21374 19583 2 239 5 257 5 253 6 270 10 259 19583 17768 9 164 8 210 4*212 5 143 7 212 17768 16024 12 153 12 166 11*144 8*143 10 152 16024 14437 8 170 16 158 11 155 7*164 10 142 14437 13019 10 205 16 160 10 168 7 173 7 154 13019 11747 12 209 14*171 10 173 7 177 6 167 11747 10602 13 200 12*183 10 183 8 193 6 180 10602 9571 14 193 11 182 10 188 8 201 7 192 9571 8645 14 190 10 181 10 192 9 205 9 208 8645 7818 14 185 10 180 10 195 10 208 11 219 7818 7078 14*176 10 178 10 196 10 209 14 223 7078 6407 14*166 9 177 10 198 10 210 16 225 6407 5806 11 154 9 176 10 199 11 211 17 224 5806 5299 9 141 9 176 10 199 11 212 16 223 5299 4907 7 130 8 176 10 200 11 212 14 221 4907 4635 6 123 8 176 10 200 10 211 11 217 4635 4469 6 120 8 176 9 200 10 212 8*211 4469 4374 5 121 7 177 9 201 9 211 4*200 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography