DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.1 - - 82.0 - - 87.8 - - 87.3 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 432 - - 462 - - 167 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 760 - - 7660 - - 13478 - - 13531 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 10569 - - 15381 - - 14645 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 5588 - - 12488 - - 18306 - - 18359 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1470 - - 4228 - - 1690 - - 1606 - - 10871 Hgt.Variab. W* 159 - - 622 - - 769 - - 550 - - 5 W* B/S 11 - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 313 - - 302 - - 300 - - 309 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 9 - - 11 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -9 - - -34 - - -39 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -11157 - - -5425 - - -439 - - -446 - - -13117 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16746 - - 17914 - - 18746 - - 18806 - - 17494 sfcLCL ODpotential -16802 - - -8316 - - -2107 - - -2779 - - -18160 ODpotential blCL 22390 - - 20804 - - 20413 - - 21138 - - 22536 blCL maxRH 66 - - 48 - - 57 - - 48 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.1 - - 82.0 - - 87.8 - - 87.3 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.9 - - 17.4 - - 19.0 - - 18.4 - - 14.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.6 - - 80.4 - - 86.1 - - 87.1 - - 81.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.8 - - 17.3 - - 18.8 - - 18.3 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 432 - - 462 - - 167 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 760 - - 7660 - - 13478 - - 13531 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97828 13 327 13 322 19 275 16 306 20 310 97828 90434 8 314 13 281 18 283 23 310 15 324 90434 84705 10 296 14 264 12 301 11 294 12 314 84705 79945 19 290 13 267 13 309 7 309 10 293 79945 75867 16 290 17 276 16 293 12 305 7 285 75867 72275 20 300 19 289 17 284 24 290 13 302 72275 69033 22 287 22 276 23 282 31 286 23 299 69033 66072 21 276 21 270 23 278 32 286 27 298 66072 63337 25 288 21 274 21 277 25 283 28 294 63337 60685 31 292 23 289 21 282 18 286 28 291 60685 57913 31 284 29 292 26 287 20 294 28 290 57913 55034 27 277 31 283 31 291 24 298 26 296 55034 52298 23 282 27 276 30 287 24 298 27 307 52298 49862 25 311 22 299 24 290 27 301 26 307 49862 47699 30 312 27 317 21 312 27 302 21 321 47699 45747 32 308 27 315 22 330 19 319 21 344 45747 43965 29 309 25 323 25 331 20 347 25 358 43965 42320 27 339 26 331 26 326 28 350 26 002 42320 40790 31 357 26 341 27 326 29 331 22 355 40790 39358 32 004 26 349 27 333 26 322 25 335 39358 38011 33 008 27 354 25 338 24 324 27 314 38011 36714 32 011 28 359 24 339 22 324 24 311 36714 35405 30 014 27 001 23 339 20 325 20 310 35405 34055 28 019 24 357 21 337 19 329 17 308 34055 32670 28 019 21 352 19 334 19 331 16 312 32670 31240 26 015 18 349 18 336 19 332 17 318 31240 29753 24 011 17 352 20 345 19 341 16 318 29753 28212 22 004 17 357 24 356 18 353 16 319 28212 26617 21 354 22 356 29 004 21 007 14 332 26617 24972 23 351 26 355 30 007 24 015 15 353 24972 23279 25 345 26 356 26 004 21 017 16 001 23279 21534 22 338 26 355 21 355 16 008 15 004 21534 19732 16 350 23 352 16*346 12*346 12 359 19732 17910 13 011 18 349 15*324 12*314 8 343 17910 16160 12 017 15 341 16 306 13 307 9 305 16160 14564 12 016 13 329 16 305 13 306 12 303 14564 13133 12 010 13*324 16 304 14 306 13 308 13133 11847 12 002 12*322 15 303 14 307 15 313 11847 10689 13 355 12 317 15 300 15 309 16 317 10689 9646 13 348 11 311 14 298 15 309 16 320 9646 8709 14 339 11 305 13 295 16 310 17 324 8709 7871 13 329 11 299 12 292 16 311 18 327 7871 7120 12 321 10 294 11 289 16 312 19 329 7120 6439 10 314 9 289 11 286 16 312 19 332 6439 5829 7*310 9 286 10 283 15 312 19 333 5829 5314 5*311 8 282 9 280 15 312 18 334 5314 4916 3 317 8 278 9 278 15 312 16 335 4916 4639 2 313 7 276 9 277 14 312 13 338 4639 4471 1 304 7 275 8 276 13 312 10*340 4471 4375 1 308 6 274 8 275 11 312 6*346 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography