DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 44.5 - - 40.5 - - 37.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 41 - - -12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1191 - - 4441 - - 3409 - - 426 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4355 - - 6726 - - 4355 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6019 - - 9269 - - 8237 - - 5254 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2440 - - 3411 - - 3558 - - 3323 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 266 - - 91 - - 38 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 23 - - 21 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 265 - - 301 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 12 - - 20 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 47 - - 44 - - 11 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1647 - - 3332 - - 3047 - - 685 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4372 - - 5938 - - 5191 - - 4569 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 518 - - 1048 - - 193 - - -1897 ODpotential blCL - - - 5501 - - 8221 - - 8044 - - 7151 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 87 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 420 - - 260 - - 120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 40.7 - - 44.5 - - 40.5 - - 37.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.5 - - 33.6 - - 33.0 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 45.3 - - 42.5 - - 39.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.9 - - 32.4 - - 31.8 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 41 - - -12 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1191 - - 4441 - - 3409 - - 426 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 47 - - 44 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96536 36 264 33 275 30 273 32 268 96536 89260 17 281 25 263 22 272 17 294 89260 83727 16 288 16 267 18 273 16 301 83727 79146 12 306 15 244 13 274 13 284 79146 75187 12 307 14 215 9 261 9 288 75187 71670 24 273 8 260 14 248 16 267 71670 68472 18 239 12 263 14 223 19 255 68472 65513 14 231 17 255 16 231 21 237 65513 62731 32 246 27 247 22 241 20 220 62731 59995 39 246 37 260 26 267 25 249 59995 57153 38 253 40 263 35 271 37 266 57153 54227 39 256 37 257 36 268 39 258 54227 51416 42 261 40 265 38 273 37 259 51416 48860 52 267 51 274 47 274 39 269 48860 46562 61 263 63 269 55 270 46 274 46562 44483 59 263 64 265 59 265 51 273 44483 42588 50 270 56 266 54 265 50 280 42588 40845 54 280 56 269 46 272 52 286 40845 39228 59 281 53 270 53 286 52 288 39228 37718 63 280 52 284 60 286 53 287 37718 36302 68 276 60 283 62 286 54 285 36302 34952 71 272 64 282 60 286 54 283 34952 33606 71 269 65 282 59 284 51 285 33606 32241 71 267 68 280 59 281 48 288 32241 30864 76 266 69 277 57 280 47 292 30864 29460 79 264 68 274 54 284 47 293 29460 28021 74 264 66 274 50 288 46 294 28021 26548 68 266 60 274 48 289 40 295 26548 25041 65 267 53 273 43 287 29 290 25041 23499 64 267 47 267 36 294 17 288 23499 21921 59 266 40 260 30 290 11 298 21921 20300 45 261 30 254 19 288 10 317 20300 18626 48 263 29 254 15 308 13 328 18626 16928 43 262 30 254 20 310 17 324 16928 15294 38 257 31 256 26 303 19 319 15294 13805 32 249 32 261 29 303 21 317 13805 12473 31 247 31 266 28 305 20 317 12473 11279 30 246 28 267 27 306 20 324 11279 10204 29 245 26*267 26 305 21 329 10204 9237 28 244 25*267 26 304 24 334 9237 8369 27 243 25 266 25*303 26 335 8369 7594 25 241 25 264 25*303 28 333 7594 6902 22 238 24 264 25 303 29 330 6902 6274 20*235 24 264 24 302 27 326 6274 5712 19*234 23 264 22 301 25*321 5712 5238 16 230 22 264 20 300 21*315 5238 4870 13 225 21 264 17 297 18 308 4870 4616 11 221 19 264 13 295 15 302 4616 4461 10 218 17 264 11 294 12 298 4461 4372 8 216 13 264 5 289 5 292 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography