DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 88.9 - - - - - 72.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 416 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1981 - - 6353 - - - - - 639 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5711 - - 9506 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6809 - - 11181 - - - - - 5467 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1487 - - 2092 - - - - - 2518 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 580 - - - - - 71 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 20 - - - - - 6 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - - - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 289 - - - - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 12 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 953 - - 1247 - - - - - 1092 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5857 - - 9934 - - - - - 4375 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2612 - - -127 - - - - - -776 ODpotential blCL - - - 9421 - - 11308 - - - - - 6243 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 87 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 1740 - - 1600 - - - - - 2610 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 88.9 - - - - - 72.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.2 - - 59.9 - - - - - 69.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.8 - - 87.2 - - - - - 73.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 59.4 - - - - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 111 - - 416 - - - - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1981 - - 6353 - - - - - 639 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 50 - - - - - 89 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99269 37 113 29 118 34 088 99269 91679 38 114 39 119 28 090 91679 85870 35 101 40 111 32 100 85870 81108 28 090 35 099 34 102 81108 77020 31 104 29 097 31 101 77020 73405 34 112 27 104 30 093 73405 70140 27 110 20 104 23 088 70140 67151 18 104 19 123 15 105 67151 64406 18 086 24 123 21 124 64406 61785 21 087 22 100 23 106 61785 59069 21 125 15 117 15 093 59069 56254 25 135 29 134 21 126 56254 53576 28 109 34 120 21 118 53576 51164 28 093 29 105 15 110 51164 48989 22 099 22 094 13 120 48989 47008 19 098 17 070 7 071 47008 45199 13 074 16 049 10 005 45199 43527 5 036 18 038 7 031 43527 41959 7 056 18 028 9 029 41959 40475 10 056 18 017 8 021 40475 39072 8 043 17 013 7 012 39072 37719 7 028 12 022 6 003 37719 36351 9 038 9 033 5 001 36351 34941 10 027 10 053 6 005 34941 33492 11 029 12 063 7 003 33492 31993 13 047 12 064 8 007 31993 30436 13 060 10 072 8 014 30436 28823 12 086 10 092 6 004 28823 27156 15 100 13 108 6 343 27156 25439 17 091 12 105 6 352 25439 23675 13 095 12 097 6 037 23675 21862 12 113 10 091 9 063 21862 19994 15 114 7 101 10 068 19994 18108 16 097 13 105 9 088 18108 16301 15 074 17 090 6 081 16301 14666 12 079 15 081 7 051 14666 13207 13 095 13 077 9 050 13207 11900 13 085 9*079 10 042 11900 10726 12 065 5*071 9 024 10726 9671 10 045 2 350 8 003 9671 8726 6 025 5 293 7 354 8726 7881 5 348 6 289 6 004 7881 7126 5*320 7 287 5 022 7126 6441 5*310 8 285 6 029 6441 5830 4 302 8 284 6*025 5830 5315 4 299 8 281 4*019 5315 4916 3 299 8 280 3 004 4916 4640 3 297 8 279 2 302 4640 4472 3 296 8 278 2 285 4472 4375 2 295 7 276 2 281 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography