DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 53.7 - - 49.1 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 92 - - -15 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 975 - - 2102 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4355 - - 5581 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5803 - - 6930 - - 4374 - - 4373 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1226 - - 1868 - - 3511 - - 3003 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 248 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 52 - - 13 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 340 - - 277 - - 138 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 4 - - 12 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3619 - - -3676 - - -5065 - - -3155 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9422 - - 10606 - - 9439 - - 7529 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14711 - - -11194 - - -12633 - - -11383 ODpotential blCL - - - 20514 - - 18124 - - 17007 - - 15756 blCL maxRH - - - 54 - - 62 - - 86 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 53.7 - - 49.1 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 22.6 - - 23.3 - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.1 - - 54.1 - - 52.1 - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 21.4 - - 22.1 - - 25.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 92 - - -15 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 975 - - 2102 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 44 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96452 32 087 28 080 20 086 21 050 96452 89316 30 078 25 078 21 081 16 058 89316 83830 25 072 20 066 21 057 20 052 83830 79251 25 070 16 073 12 052 22 025 79251 75262 20 066 13 077 6 040 15 011 75262 71709 15 079 8 063 7 014 9 358 71709 68483 8 081 8 033 8 359 7 348 68483 65502 6 275 12 319 9 338 8 320 65502 62730 14 280 18 284 16 298 14 293 62730 60049 20 293 23 269 24 288 22 280 60049 57266 29 282 26 274 27 275 26 272 57266 54374 35 269 32 277 30 274 30 272 54374 51605 31 269 39 267 37 277 41 283 51605 49127 36 283 39 265 42 269 48 275 49127 46926 46 274 44 275 44 271 51 271 46926 44941 45 269 49 272 52 266 55 266 44941 43130 47 277 50 275 59 268 60 265 43130 41468 47 279 53 271 62 266 70 264 41468 39936 46 280 55 263 63 260 78 262 39936 38507 46 276 53 258 62 256 80 260 38507 37163 44 271 52 257 62 255 78 256 37163 35873 43 268 53 258 61 256 78 255 35873 34572 41 270 52 269 59 259 79 258 34572 33231 38 274 51 272 60 262 78 260 33231 31861 35 282 50 262 63 265 71 265 31861 30454 34 276 52 257 62 274 60 265 30454 28996 39 262 54 267 56 278 59 263 28996 27487 42 270 52 281 49 277 57 269 27487 25928 38 281 49 285 49 280 47 281 25928 24322 33 286 44 278 50 279 39 293 24322 22670 29 284 38 268 49 277 38 297 22670 20964 27 282 36 266 45 275 37 301 20964 19199 26 284 33 268 41 277 35 303 19199 17407 25 285 30 271 39 284 29 300 17407 15682 23 283 29 278 37 296 26 295 15682 14111 22 284 26 285 35 307 25 291 14111 12710 20 288 23 290 32 314 26 287 12710 11461 18 291 20 294 28 315 25 282 11461 10346 16 292 19 296 21 309 21 268 10346 9349 14 289 19 296 14 292 16 252 9349 8459 13 285 18 293 10 259 13 249 8459 7666 12 282 15 293 9 232 11 259 7666 6957 9 282 12*293 8 204 12 270 6957 6314 5*288 8*291 9 178 13 279 6314 5740 2*324 4 283 10 160 12 285 5740 5256 1 011 3 271 11 150 9 289 5256 4881 0 339 2 261 11 144 5 292 4881 4622 0 207 2 255 10 140 1 293 4622 4463 1 201 2 250 8*138 1*099 4463 4372 0 193 2 246 5*135 2*092 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography