DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 47.5 - - 59.7 - - 65.7 - - 64.8 - - 56.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - 167 - - 240 - - 12 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1723 - - 6381 - - 6818 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4356 - - 5620 - - 9266 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 6551 - - 11209 - - 11646 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1109 - - 2948 - - 3293 - - 3586 - - 7985 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 277 - - 483 - - 191 - - 3 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 166 - - 177 - - 185 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 8 - - 14 - - 14 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6612 - - -6182 - - -1173 - - -853 - - -5661 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10986 - - 12734 - - 12383 - - 12500 - - 10035 sfcLCL ODpotential -13629 - - -10251 - - -2767 - - -2950 - - -8935 ODpotential blCL 18002 - - 16802 - - 13976 - - 14596 - - 13309 blCL maxRH 78 - - 74 - - 76 - - 87 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 47.5 - - 59.7 - - 65.7 - - 64.8 - - 56.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.6 - - 19.2 - - 26.5 - - 25.2 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 59.5 - - 65.1 - - 65.7 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.6 - - 18.4 - - 25.7 - - 24.4 - - 27.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - 167 - - 240 - - 12 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1723 - - 6381 - - 6818 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 0 - - 4 - - 46 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96427 2 324 9 291 7 295 5 268 11 271 96427 89254 6 118 7 113 4 196 1 233 7 057 89254 83742 8 117 7 125 2 164 2 299 9 056 83742 79179 11 080 5 159 2 336 2 348 6 016 79179 75253 8 078 3 078 2 001 1 186 7 338 75253 71782 2 068 4 084 1 315 2 085 3 304 71782 68645 1 038 3 116 3 219 3 007 5 187 68645 65772 2 260 4 199 4 187 6 295 4 194 65772 63117 5 206 7 225 5 244 8 248 5 242 63117 60546 9 210 13 232 13 266 11 282 9 280 60546 57850 17 230 20 224 21 240 21 246 20 248 57850 55033 24 249 18 229 19 223 21 222 22 224 55033 52329 28 249 23 231 19 217 18 217 21 218 52329 49873 32 246 27 223 25 224 19 231 22 227 49873 47642 34 236 29 220 31 226 28 228 28 231 47642 45590 35 230 33 216 38 220 35 218 34 228 45590 43691 37 225 37 218 41 220 37 219 38 221 43691 41929 41 223 43 220 41 219 41 219 37 215 41929 40295 47 218 47 214 48 210 49 216 44 221 40295 38782 50 208 50 207 53 207 59 214 56 223 38782 37383 51 210 55 210 60 211 66 212 64 222 37383 36062 55 214 64 211 71 209 72 209 74 218 36062 34753 56 213 70 208 78 210 78 210 81 217 34753 33423 56 215 77 208 85 211 80 213 80 216 33423 32065 56 217 78 209 82 212 75 211 72 211 32065 30659 57 218 72 211 72 216 71 211 71 206 30659 29194 55 220 62 214 66 216 67 212 71 203 29194 27670 47 219 52 208 57 211 63 211 71 206 27670 26095 44 211 49 196 55 203 61 212 64 218 26095 24477 45 205 48 196 55 204 49 212 45 220 24477 22819 46 207 44 207 44 209 36 207 33 209 22819 21112 42 214 36 215 35 210 28 204 28 205 21112 19349 32 218 27 214 28 203 20 198 22 201 19349 17562 23 214 22 204 22 192 15 185 18 191 17562 15843 19 210 19 198 17 186 12 174 12 174 15843 14277 15 204 15 194 13 181 10 161 9 154 14277 12877 12 196 11 184 11 174 9*158 7 144 12877 11623 12 193 11 175 11*168 8*168 5 141 11623 10495 12 191 11 171 10*168 8 180 4 143 10495 9480 10 190 11 168 9 171 7 185 4 148 9480 8569 7 185 10 166 8 174 7 188 5 155 8569 7755 5 173 9 165 8 177 7 189 5 163 7755 7027 4 159 9*165 7 179 7 188 6 175 7027 6368 4 139 8*165 7 182 7 189 6 193 6368 5777 4 118 5 164 6 183 7 188 7 210 5777 5280 4 110 3 165 6 183 7 187 8 216 5280 4895 6 093 3 168 6 185 7 187 7 217 4895 4629 7 075 3 173 5 186 6 188 4 215 4629 4467 6*061 3 173 5 187 6 188 2*189 4467 4373 5*047 3 174 5 187 5 189 1*141 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography