DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.1 - - 52.8 - - 60.8 - - 59.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -28 - - 93 - - 162 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 669 - - 3086 - - 3610 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4355 - - 4356 - - 6579 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top 4373 - - 5497 - - 7914 - - 8438 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 651 - - 1175 - - 2002 - - 2277 - - 3071 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 167 - - 333 - - 52 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 42 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 6 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 034 - - 148 - - 288 - - 309 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 7 - - 12 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -4 - - -4 - - -6 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8838 - - -8039 - - -7846 - - -6821 - - -9927 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13211 - - 13536 - - 15761 - - 15260 - - 14302 sfcLCL ODpotential -19596 - - -15767 - - -14448 - - -13110 - - -17146 ODpotential blCL 23969 - - 21264 - - 22362 - - 21548 - - 21520 blCL maxRH 86 - - 85 - - 80 - - 81 - - 79 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.1 - - 52.8 - - 60.8 - - 59.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -0.0 - - 9.4 - - 6.9 - - 8.2 - - 4.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.8 - - 53.0 - - 60.6 - - 61.9 - - 58.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -1.0 - - 8.4 - - 5.9 - - 7.2 - - 3.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -28 - - 93 - - 162 - - -5 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 669 - - 3086 - - 3610 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 44 - - 40 - - 19 - - 22 - - 15 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96066 49 290 50 285 60 287 59 290 51 290 96066 88917 38 301 32 307 34 283 45 293 43 307 88917 83418 40 312 35 325 19 301 32 298 34 307 83418 78834 37 312 36 325 23 321 23 307 27 319 78834 74867 32 307 38 316 31 326 25 315 26 316 74867 71377 33 308 33 294 36 323 32 326 29 317 71377 68256 33 311 33 292 36 315 32 323 30 328 68256 65411 32 305 37 300 34 301 36 314 29 318 65411 62777 33 303 35 293 29 286 33 302 31 305 62777 60215 36 294 41 285 36 278 32 291 37 293 60215 57522 46 287 45 284 41 285 34 283 42 286 57522 54706 53 265 48 275 46 287 40 288 47 281 54706 52000 58 261 57 265 49 282 51 289 50 289 52000 49553 62 260 62 258 56 278 61 285 61 288 49553 47356 57 270 58 262 63 274 66 280 67 282 47356 45364 64 268 60 271 64 271 68 278 68 279 45364 43541 65 264 62 273 65 268 71 274 69 273 43541 41857 66 264 69 269 72 262 75 268 77 265 41857 40288 64 261 73 262 76 256 83 261 81 261 40288 38820 59 261 70 262 75 259 86 259 82 264 38820 37454 57 255 65 257 73 266 85 267 91 267 37454 36157 47 249 66 251 70 270 91 271 97 270 36157 34858 40 259 66 250 66 267 83 268 94 270 34858 33521 34 265 56 247 66 262 74 260 85 261 33521 32150 32 263 48 243 65 259 67 256 73 257 32150 30735 33 265 44 243 58 264 62 260 66 267 30735 29266 36 270 44 250 51 269 58 270 57 278 29266 27744 37 266 44 257 47 270 51 276 45 277 27744 26172 39 243 40 257 44 265 48 277 34 292 26172 24552 39 246 36 252 41 263 39 284 28 309 24552 22886 37 250 36 249 37 265 25 298 25 309 22886 21168 35 251 35 254 36 269 21 313 22 305 21168 19390 31 252 35 265 35 276 23 316 22 304 19390 17585 28 251 32 276 33 289 23 317 23 306 17585 15848 25 250 28 286 30 295 23 318 23 312 15848 14265 21 251 24 295 23 300 24 319 24 319 14265 12853 17 255 20 300 18 306 26 322 24 326 12853 11591 15 258 17 295 16 312 27 324 23 333 11591 10460 13 257 15 283 15 312 24 324 21 337 10460 9446 11 253 13 271 14 304 21 322 17 336 9446 8538 9 248 11 258 13*294 18*319 14 334 8538 7728 6 241 8 244 10*291 15*317 11 333 7728 7004 3 215 6 226 8 293 13 313 10 336 7004 6349 2 130 3 195 6 292 11 310 11 344 6349 5764 3 084 3*133 5 287 10 307 11 350 5764 5271 4 092 2*102 4 283 8 303 10 352 5271 4890 5 078 1 131 4 278 7 301 9 357 4890 4626 6 062 1 187 4 272 6 297 7 003 4626 4465 7*042 1 196 3 270 5 296 6*360 4465 4373 6*034 1 197 3 268 3 296 5*002 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography