DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.5 - - 71.2 - - 78.2 - - 79.4 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -22 - - 210 - - 276 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2608 - - 5007 - - 7402 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 6343 - - 8266 - - 4358 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 7436 - - 9835 - - 12230 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 510 - - 1755 - - 1964 - - 2267 - - 1835 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 343 - - 467 - - 202 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 44 - - 12 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 1 - - 7 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 126 - - 275 - - 276 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -8 - - 6 - - 3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -6664 - - -5930 - - -5238 - - -3025 - - -8289 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11039 - - 13367 - - 15074 - - 15255 - - 12664 sfcLCL ODpotential -15665 - - -11622 - - -9579 - - -6735 - - -14370 ODpotential blCL 20039 - - 19058 - - 19414 - - 18965 - - 18745 blCL maxRH 85 - - 85 - - 71 - - 84 - - 48 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.5 - - 71.2 - - 78.2 - - 79.4 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.2 - - 27.9 - - 27.0 - - 27.4 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.8 - - 70.8 - - 77.5 - - 80.4 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 27.4 - - 26.2 - - 27.0 - - 26.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -22 - - 210 - - 276 - - 13 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2608 - - 5007 - - 7402 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 39 - - 42 - - 0 - - 37 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96537 4 201 9 309 5 276 4 187 7 299 96537 89348 5 061 6 192 8 242 7 333 6 337 89348 83769 8 358 4 354 2 348 4 319 10 325 83769 79152 9 329 12 330 14 315 10 318 17 342 79152 75213 22 347 16 341 19 331 16 319 24 332 75213 71774 26 341 28 332 26 342 21 328 28 322 71774 68692 33 345 32 337 30 335 26 338 30 329 68692 65877 40 329 39 333 37 330 40 330 35 335 65877 63257 46 318 45 321 42 319 45 316 45 324 63257 60701 48 313 49 308 53 306 50 303 53 305 60701 58025 51 310 53 303 51 301 56 301 56 296 58025 55224 62 307 54 304 54 300 61 297 59 297 55224 52521 64 302 58 295 58 289 65 288 65 298 52521 50072 62 302 57 290 59 286 66 286 66 295 50072 47870 64 300 61 291 64 288 66 288 64 293 47870 45866 66 297 67 289 70 286 70 289 61 295 45866 44027 69 291 70 285 71 284 72 286 63 294 44027 42334 71 287 72 285 69 284 68 283 63 287 42334 40776 70 284 70 281 69 284 63 282 55 279 40776 39331 62 284 61 278 67 281 65 281 49 279 39331 37977 56 283 56 276 63 273 67 280 52 283 37977 36678 54 284 56 278 61 273 66 281 53 285 36678 35368 57 288 56 282 57 277 64 283 49 286 35368 34020 57 289 55 286 53 282 62 284 46 290 34020 32638 56 290 54 288 52 284 59 283 45 292 32638 31209 54 291 53 288 54 283 57 282 43 293 31209 29722 53 290 50 285 54 280 51 283 37 296 29722 28182 50 288 45 283 49 279 45 286 34 299 28182 26588 44 287 43 282 42 279 40 290 37 295 26588 24944 38 286 41 282 37 280 37 291 42 290 24944 23254 33 287 38 282 37 281 34 292 39 289 23254 21509 30 286 35 286 36 284 33 288 34 285 21509 19703 27 284 26 285 34 292 32 284 33 276 19703 17870 26 294 20 280 29 296 30 286 31 275 17870 16106 26 305 18 288 22 287 29 296 29 284 16106 14499 26 311 18 300 19 286 26 299 28 294 14499 13065 22 313 18 303 18 292 18*285 26 301 13065 11781 17 308 17 298 17 293 15*275 21 306 11781 10629 10 293 15 293 16*290 14 274 16 306 10629 9592 6 263 14 287 12*285 13 274 14 303 9592 8662 5 240 11 284 9 279 12 275 16 303 8662 7831 3 182 5*285 8 277 11 275 18 301 7831 7086 4 125 1*096 7 276 10 276 19 296 7086 6411 3 120 2 099 7 272 9 277 20 288 6411 5808 3 120 2 105 6 269 8 278 22 281 5808 5300 6 106 2 123 5 266 8 279 22 277 5300 4907 7 079 2 157 5 262 7 279 19 276 4907 4635 8 051 2 172 5 261 7 279 14 279 4635 4469 7*031 2 175 4 259 7 280 9*286 4469 4374 6*019 2 181 4 257 6 280 4*308 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography