DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/12 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 92.8 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 488 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11170 - - 15141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 13444 - - 16796 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 15998 - - 19969 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3989 - - 2081 - - - - - 10866 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 710 - - 813 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 15 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 176 - - 186 - - - - - 227 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 7 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 27 - - - - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2809 - - 531 - - - - - -11410 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18808 - - 19439 - - - - - 15786 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4387 - - -1559 - - - - - -14621 ODpotential blCL - - - 20385 - - 21528 - - - - - 18997 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 38 - - - - - 50 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 92.8 - - - - - 80.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.2 - - 20.9 - - - - - 26.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.2 - - 90.9 - - - - - 85.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.1 - - 20.9 - - - - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 441 - - 488 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 11170 - - 15141 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98069 14 184 3 090 7 026 98069 90661 4 144 8 220 3 342 90661 84972 2 249 7 208 9 301 84972 80253 8 212 3 316 7 320 80253 76184 8 211 10 295 7 326 76184 72590 4 261 9 263 8 322 72590 69344 8 293 8 280 10 320 69344 66384 11 291 11 301 10 314 66384 63659 13 275 13 284 13 307 63659 61018 10 283 16 266 12 304 61018 58265 14 272 21 262 18 282 58265 55417 14 270 26 253 20 270 55417 52705 19 261 24 254 27 255 52705 50265 23 240 28 237 30 256 50265 48076 21 235 28 221 30 249 48076 46098 23 238 19 215 26 236 46098 44300 21 220 17 216 25 222 44300 42642 21 204 18 197 27 220 42642 41088 22 191 20 177 25 213 41088 39628 19 179 24 166 25 206 39628 38256 16 164 24 153 25 197 38256 36940 15 153 23 149 23 187 36940 35616 17 150 24 148 25 179 35616 34256 17 153 24 146 31 166 34256 32866 16 157 24 147 35 160 32866 31429 16 159 23 148 35 159 31429 29935 16 157 20 147 32 158 29935 28388 17 149 18 146 30 158 28388 26788 17 134 15 144 29 160 26788 25139 14 115 14 148 28 158 25139 23446 11 117 15 155 27 153 23446 21700 13 171 15*162 25 147 21700 19892 15 192 13*168 21 136 19892 18054 16 186 10 171 18 129 18054 16281 14*181 8 178 12 123 16281 14661 11*179 8 182 7 131 14661 13212 8 173 8 185 6 153 13212 11911 8 167 9 188 6 181 11911 10740 9 168 9 191 7 203 10740 9686 10 171 10 192 10 221 9686 8741 11 176 10 194 12 231 8741 7896 11 178 11 195 14 235 7896 7138 11 180 11 195 16 238 7138 6452 11 181 11 196 16 240 6452 5838 11 182 11 196 17 241 5838 5321 10 183 11 197 16 240 5321 4920 10 183 11 198 14 239 4920 4641 10 184 11 198 11 235 4641 4472 9 184 11 197 8*229 4472 4375 9 185 10 198 4*225 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography