DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 67.5 - - - - - 56.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 101 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 496 - - 2010 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 5548 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5324 - - 6838 - - - - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1166 - - 1915 - - - - - 2291 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 248 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 272 - - - - - 054 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 5 - - - - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5375 - - -5837 - - - - - -6667 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10699 - - 12676 - - - - - 11041 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13060 - - -13064 - - - - - -15424 ODpotential blCL - - - 18384 - - 19902 - - - - - 19798 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 39 - - - - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.9 - - 67.5 - - - - - 56.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.6 - - 27.3 - - - - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 67.6 - - - - - 63.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.4 - - 26.3 - - - - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 47 - - 101 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 496 - - 2010 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96244 7 319 8 316 23 263 96244 89218 3 021 9 311 6 314 89218 83774 8 338 12 296 14 352 83774 79262 11 348 7 297 19 327 79262 75347 8 323 7 281 15 334 75347 71820 7 315 5 260 18 315 71820 68630 11 298 10 287 23 306 68630 65755 21 282 25 285 26 297 65755 63117 26 287 30 278 21 284 63117 60536 34 287 33 289 21 300 60536 57846 43 284 48 293 43 293 57846 55075 49 281 55 287 56 281 55075 52404 52 286 55 288 54 286 52404 49963 59 295 63 300 63 305 49963 47765 66 296 76 300 88 307 47765 45772 65 291 77 294 101 302 45772 43947 61 294 78 290 101 304 43947 42268 68 305 81 295 93 312 42268 40721 78 308 86 302 84 314 40721 39286 79 306 86 304 70 306 39286 37939 75 304 79 304 60 303 37939 36641 72 308 77 312 53 316 36641 35329 70 309 73 319 47 325 35329 33974 63 308 68 325 57 339 33974 32582 71 311 68 328 69 347 32582 31145 73 321 66 329 76 346 31145 29657 66 328 62 329 79 340 29657 28119 54 332 56 329 74 337 28119 26525 46 333 53 329 64 333 26525 24881 44 327 50 329 52 324 24881 23189 47 326 47 331 48 316 23189 21441 47 329 41 330 48 315 21441 19630 42 329 34 321 45 315 19630 17789 38 325 35 319 42 315 17789 16015 35 321 36 321 41 317 16015 14402 32 319 33 320 39 320 14402 12965 30 317 30 320 36 323 12965 11684 27 315 27 321 34 328 11684 10537 24 313 24 320 32 334 10537 9509 20 310 21 316 26 337 9509 8588 17 310 18 310 19 336 8588 7768 14 312 15 304 12 328 7768 7036 12 314 12*298 7 313 7036 6373 9 319 8*290 2 266 6373 5781 7*322 5 279 3 184 5781 5283 5*315 4 266 3 174 5283 4896 4 296 4 259 2 146 4896 4629 3 282 3 254 2 074 4629 4467 3 273 3 251 3*057 4467 4373 2 271 3 250 3*052 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography