DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 86.5 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 352 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3479 - - 7435 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7124 - - 10292 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8307 - - 12263 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2120 - - 1773 - - - - - 5076 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 425 - - 576 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 20 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 246 - - - - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8509 - - -6487 - - - - - -12378 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16816 - - 18750 - - - - - 16753 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15382 - - -11456 - - - - - -20096 ODpotential blCL - - - 23689 - - 23719 - - - - - 24471 blCL maxRH - - - 51 - - 46 - - - - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 86.5 - - - - - 73.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.6 - - 18.4 - - - - - 15.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 85.2 - - - - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 18.0 - - - - - 15.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 302 - - 352 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3479 - - 7435 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96415 30 267 46 288 39 282 96415 89230 10 275 32 291 29 306 89230 83778 11 281 17 280 24 303 83778 79268 9 312 9 252 18 308 79268 75393 15 348 5 010 10 295 75393 71967 13 328 17 005 2 195 71967 68855 6 304 13 343 4 068 68855 66004 2 215 10 289 10 011 66004 63393 6 116 5 312 11 345 63393 60884 8 025 10 000 11 324 60884 58262 18 358 11 352 11 303 58262 55519 20 331 16 320 14 296 55519 52875 20 319 20 309 16 306 52875 50468 20 324 16 313 13 314 50468 48290 20 330 14 317 9 313 48290 46309 14 331 12 322 14 297 46309 44489 18 027 5 001 12 262 44489 42807 20 048 7 035 17 217 42807 41251 14 048 5 007 15 198 41251 39803 7 035 4 294 18 200 39803 38446 4 013 4 311 18 207 38446 37141 3 009 5 355 18 201 37141 35821 3 056 2 020 15 188 35821 34461 6 091 5 148 15 190 34461 33064 8 106 6 178 17 201 33064 31617 8 143 11 194 18 224 31617 30111 9 210 17 201 16 247 30111 28549 7 267 17 222 12 257 28549 26931 7 316 9 245 10 245 26931 25256 7 298 5 283 14 237 25256 23529 8 262 6 209 14 232 23529 21746 9 259 10 203 7 259 21746 19904 10 293 7 260 4 284 19904 18040 12 316 4 317 4 291 18040 16249 9 313 5 327 4 268 16249 14616 5 286 5 304 2 238 14616 13158 4 250 7*279 0 227 13158 11854 3 229 8*265 3 005 11854 10686 2 230 8 262 3 329 10686 9639 3 272 7 259 3 278 9639 8700 6*285 6 254 5 275 8700 7861 7*283 5 246 7 274 7861 7110 6 280 4 237 9 272 7110 6430 5 274 4 226 10 267 6430 5822 5 264 4 214 10 260 5822 5309 5 257 4 205 9 249 5309 4913 5 249 4 198 6 232 4913 4638 5 245 4 194 4 202 4638 4471 5 243 4 192 4*165 4471 4374 4 241 3 191 3*130 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography