DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 97.9 - - - - - 88.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 463 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9325 - - 12575 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11967 - - 14627 - - - - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14153 - - 17403 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2539 - - 2475 - - - - - 11871 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 684 - - 749 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 221 - - - - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 2 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - 32 - - - - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1783 - - -206 - - - - - -11113 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15937 - - 17610 - - - - - 15490 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3878 - - -1364 - - - - - -14175 ODpotential blCL - - - 18031 - - 18767 - - - - - 18551 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 93 - - - - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 97.9 - - - - - 88.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.8 - - 34.7 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.2 - - 96.0 - - - - - 92.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 34.6 - - - - - 36.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 463 - - - - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9325 - - 12575 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 66 - - 74 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99081 42 118 31 115 37 103 99081 91558 42 110 35 128 30 097 91558 85795 30 096 35 107 26 118 85795 81030 27 099 25 094 33 111 81030 76925 28 105 21 116 36 088 76925 73324 31 097 20 107 27 083 73324 70092 21 088 18 108 18 100 70092 67123 19 103 28 128 16 089 67123 64379 22 114 22 107 12 082 64379 61749 15 101 9 133 12 112 61749 59032 11 103 8 146 6 127 59032 56244 5 093 5 174 4 215 56244 53602 1 186 8 249 10 244 53602 51210 12 301 14 269 13 269 51210 49039 19 291 21 277 20 302 49039 47047 22 284 27 276 30 305 47047 45201 25 279 29 272 30 294 45201 43478 30 276 31 269 33 281 43478 41863 34 275 35 268 38 275 41863 40346 37 270 38 269 40 270 40346 38920 41 264 37 271 40 270 38920 37553 43 265 32 272 37 274 37553 36183 36 273 23 272 31 281 36183 34783 24 281 12 263 25 284 34783 33356 20 285 9 264 18 271 33356 31882 14 295 7 283 16 262 31882 30350 10 283 5 296 13 265 30350 28762 8 265 5 280 12 263 28762 27123 9 258 7 257 12 263 27123 25436 14 194 12 230 11 249 25436 23707 8 197 17 209 10 209 23707 21930 1 167 17 207 14 205 21930 20091 3 215 17 215 15 206 20091 18224 13 244 15*224 14 201 18224 16426 22 239 11*224 10 186 16426 14788 23*231 10 225 5 171 14788 13323 20*225 10 225 4 188 13323 12007 16 218 10 225 6 220 12007 10823 14 212 11 223 8 237 10823 9758 13 208 11 222 10 245 9758 8800 12 205 12 220 11 248 8800 7944 12 201 12 219 13 250 7944 7178 11 197 13 218 14 252 7178 6482 11 194 13 218 14 252 6482 5860 11 191 13 217 15 253 5860 5335 11 189 13 216 14 253 5335 4928 10 186 13 216 13 253 4928 4646 10 186 13 216 11 251 4646 4474 10 185 12 215 8*250 4474 4375 9 185 11 215 4*249 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography