DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 04/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 74.9 - - - - - 63.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 505 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7275 - - 9902 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10278 - - 12477 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12103 - - 14730 - - - - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1296 - - 1605 - - - - - 9169 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 621 - - 715 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 19 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 249 - - - - - 265 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 8 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 37 - - - - - 12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3564 - - -2144 - - - - - -10215 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15668 - - 16875 - - - - - 14590 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7774 - - -5044 - - - - - -14491 ODpotential blCL - - - 19877 - - 19774 - - - - - 18865 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 81 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 69.1 - - 74.9 - - - - - 63.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.9 - - 14.7 - - - - - 14.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 73.2 - - - - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 14.3 - - 14.2 - - - - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 453 - - 505 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7275 - - 9902 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 25 - - - - - 42 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97480 27 280 29 271 23 291 97480 90082 24 295 27 283 28 274 90082 84425 17 291 20 287 23 300 84425 79745 4 288 14 299 20 323 79745 75697 13 283 14 296 21 310 75697 72141 16 272 16 281 18 306 72141 68941 17 293 15 280 11 304 68941 65978 22 276 14 274 10 296 65978 63208 27 277 25 276 23 295 63208 60523 32 275 32 270 31 275 60523 57729 37 281 39 276 33 274 57729 54825 49 282 52 275 39 273 54825 52041 57 275 56 274 49 274 52041 49532 60 275 57 275 56 273 49532 47288 67 276 61 274 61 280 47288 45250 72 276 69 277 75 277 45250 43392 77 275 79 273 81 271 43392 41702 81 274 81 266 80 275 41702 40147 85 278 81 274 89 281 40147 38697 94 278 89 280 101 279 38697 37345 93 274 97 279 104 276 37345 36054 87 273 92 272 101 274 36054 34757 79 277 82 267 96 273 34757 33422 78 274 78 269 91 272 33422 32054 77 273 79 270 86 271 32054 30641 74 277 81 271 79 272 30641 29172 65 278 79 274 75 273 29172 27648 60 277 72 277 75 274 27648 26070 59 278 65 276 75 275 26070 24444 56 278 61 272 71 275 24444 22777 50 277 58 269 63 271 22777 21066 46 275 53 267 55 266 21066 19305 44 275 46 267 46 263 19305 17524 42 275 39 266 38 262 17524 15813 39 275 31*262 30 259 15813 14255 35 271 22*251 24 252 14255 12864 28*263 20 247 20 242 12864 11617 20*250 20 247 20 239 11617 10495 18 246 19 248 20 241 10495 9486 16 242 19 248 19 244 9486 8578 14 238 19 249 19 248 8578 7766 11 230 19 250 19 252 7766 7038 10 223 19 251 19 255 7038 6377 9 217 19 252 19 258 6377 5786 8 211 19 252 18 260 5786 5286 8 206 18 252 16 262 5286 4899 7 203 18 253 13 264 4899 4631 7 201 17 253 10 265 4631 4468 7 200 17 252 7*264 4468 4373 6 200 14 252 4*263 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography