DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/24 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 96.4 - - 94.1 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 485 - - 74 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4873 - - 12264 - - 11372 - - 589 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8279 - - 14399 - - 12071 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9701 - - 17092 - - 16200 - - 5417 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4648 - - 2200 - - 3205 - - 3378 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 509 - - 755 - - 396 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 32 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 16 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 226 - - 249 - - 018 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 20 - - 8 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 24 - - 35 - - -24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3716 - - 1793 - - 748 - - -3754 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13417 - - 15300 - - 15452 - - 9171 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5722 - - 1046 - - -348 - - -7144 ODpotential blCL - - - 15423 - - 16046 - - 16548 - - 12561 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 95 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 260 - - 390 - - 200 - - 1130 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.9 - - 96.4 - - 94.1 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.0 - - 43.8 - - 41.1 - - 56.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.6 - - 94.4 - - 94.5 - - 83.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 43.6 - - 41.0 - - 56.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 485 - - 74 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4873 - - 12264 - - 11372 - - 589 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 46 - - 81 - - 96 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98918 39 099 37 096 28 096 36 084 98918 91442 36 102 32 098 31 096 28 088 91442 85685 29 109 26 108 28 094 24 094 85685 80906 22 101 23 120 23 091 20 093 80906 76785 19 100 19 104 20 114 21 074 76785 73145 16 121 15 087 16 108 16 081 73145 69865 11 114 12 083 13 085 16 097 69865 66858 12 111 5 088 9 071 20 073 66858 64076 16 081 17 103 7 072 13 037 64076 61409 12 005 15 048 7 061 12 006 61409 58677 10 310 16 337 9 001 5 319 58677 55876 18 292 19 301 16 321 15 295 55876 53222 28 287 28 290 31 293 29 288 53222 50842 37 284 36 278 39 284 35 287 50842 48704 41 280 45 278 47 282 45 284 48704 46753 47 277 52 279 52 281 50 281 46753 44952 53 277 54 279 51 280 50 280 44952 43275 56 276 54 275 50 278 50 278 43275 41704 54 275 53 273 49 274 49 275 41704 40223 50 275 51 272 48 271 45 272 40223 38828 46 273 48 274 47 272 43 271 38828 37485 43 273 44 275 44 273 41 271 37485 36129 40 274 38 277 39 273 39 271 36129 34732 35 274 32 274 32 272 36 268 34732 33301 29 273 28 269 28 269 34 262 33301 31823 21 268 27 266 28 265 32 256 31823 30293 17 248 26 265 27 263 28 251 30293 28711 19 249 20 275 23 257 24 249 28711 27077 21 250 17 252 19 249 23 251 27077 25394 24 239 20 251 22 247 24 253 25394 23661 31 230 26 250 25 241 26 257 23661 21872 32 228 31 240 26 241 28 255 21872 20029 35 229 33 237 28 236 29 250 20029 18166 36 230 34*237 28 235 31 245 18166 16374 34 231 29*236 24*236 32 245 16374 14738 30 231 22 230 19*239 32 247 14738 13273 27 229 18 226 17 244 28 245 13273 11959 23 227 16 224 17 246 23 241 11959 10778 17 226 16 224 17 248 19 240 10778 9716 12*222 15 223 17 250 16 245 9716 8763 7*213 14 222 18 251 11 254 8763 7912 3 190 13 222 18 252 6 276 7912 7151 2 132 13 222 18 252 6 317 7151 6461 4 096 13 221 18 253 6 339 6461 5844 5 091 12 221 18 253 8*005 5844 5325 5 089 12 221 17 253 11*019 5325 4922 5 086 12 221 17 253 11 019 4922 4643 5 086 11 221 16 253 10 017 4643 4473 5 087 11 221 15 253 9 017 4473 4375 5 088 10 221 12 253 6 015 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography