DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/09 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 97.8 - - 102.6 - - 101.1 - - 91.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 497 - - 233 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10024 - - 14386 - - 13893 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12495 - - 16173 - - 15220 - - 4359 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14852 - - 19214 - - 18721 - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3833 - - 1775 - - 1648 - - 11669 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 681 - - 802 - - 617 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 23 - - 17 - - 10 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 257 - - 262 - - 270 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -8 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2259 - - 1288 - - 918 - - -11572 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 17112 - - 17927 - - 17804 - - 15949 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4058 - - 1006 - - 69 - - -15188 ODpotential blCL - - - 18910 - - 18208 - - 18652 - - 19564 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 75 - - 74 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 97.8 - - 102.6 - - 101.1 - - 91.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 37.9 - - 37.2 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.1 - - 100.6 - - 100.4 - - 94.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.1 - - 37.9 - - 37.2 - - 36.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 437 - - 497 - - 233 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 10024 - - 14386 - - 13893 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99127 36 111 30 112 27 095 28 089 99127 91576 34 105 27 111 22 102 21 090 91576 85763 29 097 28 089 30 103 24 093 85763 80965 27 106 22 096 26 097 31 096 80965 76844 24 100 23 116 23 099 30 088 76844 73232 25 090 27 106 23 108 26 090 73232 69987 21 091 24 103 20 108 22 091 69987 67011 16 105 20 098 19 094 17 087 67011 64260 14 101 19 103 20 093 17 119 64260 61610 13 095 15 101 15 089 15 083 61610 58875 12 138 8 109 7 124 10 055 58875 56073 13 166 6 206 5 207 5 236 56073 53435 9 195 10 246 8 250 11 238 53435 51078 5 235 8 250 8 266 12 264 51078 48960 18 267 19 266 20 272 22 279 48960 47026 25 269 23 277 23 275 27 278 47026 45236 26 276 26 281 27 277 29 283 45236 43562 27 280 27 283 31 278 32 287 43562 41986 26 284 27 284 33 281 36 290 41986 40498 26 287 25 284 30 285 37 288 40498 39096 26 286 22 287 27 287 33 285 39096 37745 24 284 22 291 25 284 28 284 37745 36382 21 283 21 290 24 284 26 285 36382 34978 18 284 19 287 22 290 24 290 34978 33542 16 281 16 283 19 294 21 296 33542 32059 14 263 15 271 19 294 20 301 32059 30518 12 258 15 274 20 297 19 302 30518 28925 13 268 15 290 17 304 18 304 28925 27279 13 282 11 304 13 309 14 297 27279 25584 11 288 10 295 10 297 11 279 25584 23840 7 275 9 270 11 271 13 267 23840 22041 5 225 7 244 11 265 13 268 22041 20185 8 231 6*239 6*261 10 266 20185 18307 10 228 10*241 5*238 6 235 18307 16503 10*245 10 246 6 249 5 206 16503 14856 8*267 10 249 8 260 4 237 14856 13380 8 278 10 254 8 262 6 274 13380 12056 7 274 9 259 11 269 9 286 12056 10863 6 269 9 264 12 272 12 289 10863 9790 5 256 8 270 14 274 16 287 9790 8827 5 248 8 275 15 275 18 285 8827 7965 4 243 8 278 16 275 20 282 7965 7194 4 237 7 281 16 276 21 280 7194 6494 5 234 7 284 16 276 22 278 6494 5868 5 229 7 286 16 275 22 277 5868 5340 5 226 7 287 16 276 22 277 5340 4931 5 223 6 289 16 276 20 277 4931 4647 5 222 6 288 16 276 16 279 4647 4475 5 222 6 289 15 276 12*282 4475 4375 4 221 5 290 13 275 6*288 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography