DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/26 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 59.9 - - - - - 53.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 199 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8025 - - 8189 - - - - - 3520 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10792 - - 10561 - - - - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12853 - - 13017 - - - - - 8348 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1673 - - 1984 - - - - - 4282 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 601 - - 492 - - - - - 28 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 4 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - - - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 232 - - 234 - - - - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 8 - - - - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 53 - - 69 - - - - - 32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2911 - - 2248 - - - - - 591 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9943 - - 10770 - - - - - 7757 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1762 - - 1372 - - - - - -998 ODpotential blCL - - - 11091 - - 11645 - - - - - 9346 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 99 - - - - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 50 - - - - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.5 - - 59.9 - - - - - 53.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.8 - - 27.6 - - - - - 34.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 59.7 - - - - - 55.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.6 - - 27.4 - - - - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 199 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 8025 - - 8189 - - - - - 3520 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 90 - - 98 - - - - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97331 15 258 27 274 27 283 97331 90006 19 270 26 285 26 303 90006 84387 17 290 19 289 21 329 84387 79722 10 324 15 316 18 312 79722 75713 6 310 13 312 14 310 75713 72180 8 028 5 301 9 359 72180 68961 9 280 6 313 6 288 68961 65996 5 175 5 181 2 219 65996 63236 17 229 21 203 15 234 63236 60544 23 206 29 218 18 225 60544 57732 32 212 32 229 32 247 57732 54800 44 222 33 235 37 239 54800 51980 40 243 36 243 44 253 51980 49433 50 265 46 260 62 263 49433 47161 65 265 63 263 78 263 47161 45112 74 261 75 261 87 262 45112 43242 80 260 84 259 92 262 43242 41520 90 258 91 256 96 263 41520 39921 96 253 95 256 101 264 39921 38432 100 253 106 258 106 263 38432 37043 107 256 115 256 109 262 37043 35720 116 257 116 252 108 260 35720 34400 122 256 112 252 107 261 34400 33053 123 254 108 254 107 263 33053 31680 122 253 106 254 107 263 31680 30268 123 253 101 254 102 263 30268 28807 122 255 93 253 93 261 28807 27301 113 256 85 253 80 261 27301 25750 100 254 78 253 67 262 25750 24155 89 253 71 254 59 264 24155 22515 80 255 63 257 56 264 22515 20823 72 257 57 259 53 264 20823 19076 65 257 53 258 49 263 19076 17305 59 255 48 255 44 263 17305 15607 50 252 37 249 38 262 15607 14067 37*249 25*238 27 254 14067 12698 27*243 22*234 18 235 12698 11473 23 239 22 234 16 228 11473 10371 20 234 21 234 16 231 10371 9380 18 232 21 234 16 235 9380 8490 18 230 21 234 17*241 8490 7694 17 229 20 234 17*246 7694 6981 16 227 20 235 18 249 6981 6334 16 226 20 234 18 252 6334 5755 15 225 20 235 17 254 5755 5266 15 224 19 235 16 256 5266 4888 14 223 18 235 15 257 4888 4625 14 223 18 235 12 258 4625 4465 13 222 17 234 10 259 4465 4373 12 222 14 234 6 258 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography