DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 75.8 - - 77.7 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 62 - - 113 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7679 - - 11460 - - 12028 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10513 - - 11915 - - 13074 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12507 - - 16288 - - 16856 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3509 - - 3420 - - 2252 - - 10872 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 592 - - 376 - - 465 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 20 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 241 - - 252 - - 261 - - 215 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 11 - - 9 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 25 - - 61 - - 33 - - 18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 792 - - 3992 - - 3754 - - -6200 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11715 - - 12296 - - 13103 - - 10575 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -767 - - 2025 - - 1816 - - -8688 ODpotential blCL - - - 13274 - - 14263 - - 15040 - - 13063 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 101 - - 86 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 300 - - 340 - - 220 - - 160 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 75.8 - - 77.7 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.2 - - 36.9 - - 35.1 - - 37.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 76.4 - - 78.0 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 38.8 - - 36.8 - - 35.0 - - 37.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 62 - - 113 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7679 - - 11460 - - 12028 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 103 - - 46 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96772 35 273 39 268 42 273 56 274 96772 89480 32 275 37 268 42 279 33 289 89480 83928 25 282 35 279 36 277 32 297 83928 79343 18 286 18 276 28 278 29 290 79343 75402 20 300 8 310 20 291 18 290 75402 71922 30 306 23 315 20 309 21 298 71922 68775 21 310 26 297 18 294 17 287 68775 65862 10 334 7 293 12 239 14 316 65862 63130 19 301 27 284 26 300 24 308 63130 60474 37 283 39 282 41 290 36 294 60474 57713 35 281 44 279 46 278 48 284 57713 54853 33 279 41 276 46 271 48 269 54853 52115 28 286 41 287 41 279 43 280 52115 49652 35 292 50 291 51 294 55 291 49652 47470 47 287 53 278 59 282 47 284 47470 45518 45 286 34 281 36 288 43 290 45518 43742 60 316 81 323 59 318 89 309 43742 42107 122 327 120 319 103 316 120 307 42107 40581 129 327 119 319 113 314 110 308 40581 39147 66 317 97 321 87 312 82 309 39147 37796 42 300 74 322 65 308 71 303 37796 36497 42 302 56 320 57 307 63 295 36497 35188 42 304 40 306 49 312 52 291 35188 33841 38 304 33 290 43 309 39 290 33841 32458 33 302 28 281 41 301 36 290 32458 31026 28 297 27 271 34 299 33 288 31026 29537 22 288 26 271 32 290 29 286 29537 27995 15 269 22 275 35 279 29 281 27995 26404 12 253 17 275 34 269 33 266 26404 24767 11 254 16 270 28 264 33 258 24767 23085 14 257 18 256 24 265 29 252 23085 21353 16 249 19 252 21 271 24 256 21353 19568 14 240 18 263 19 276 22 269 19568 17764 15 247 21*262 20*275 25 276 17764 16030 19 255 22*262 19*274 26 273 16030 14449 23 257 22 260 19 270 24 267 14449 13034 24*255 21 258 20 265 23 259 13034 11763 22*250 21 255 20 263 22 256 11763 10618 18 242 21 250 20 260 22 256 10618 9586 16 241 21 249 20 258 21 255 9586 8659 15 240 21 247 20 256 21 253 8659 7831 14 240 20 247 20 256 21 251 7831 7088 13 239 20 246 20 255 20 249 7088 6414 12 239 20 245 20 255 19 246 6414 5811 11 239 19 245 19 254 18 242 5811 5303 10 237 19 245 19 254 16 238 5303 4909 9 237 18 244 19 254 13 233 4909 4636 9 235 17 244 18 254 10 226 4636 4470 8 235 16 243 17 253 8*219 4470 4374 7 235 13 243 13 253 5*211 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography