DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 90.2 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 321 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3406 - - 8849 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7023 - - 11382 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8234 - - 13677 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2347 - - 2436 - - - - - 4809 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 405 - - 593 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 12 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 250 - - - - - 310 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 15 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - 25 - - - - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -10972 - - -7048 - - - - - -12655 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 19207 - - 20726 - - - - - 17031 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15794 - - -11230 - - - - - -19212 ODpotential blCL - - - 24028 - - 24907 - - - - - 23587 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 63 - - - - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 90.2 - - - - - 74.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 14.5 - - 12.7 - - - - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.4 - - 89.0 - - - - - 80.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.6 - - 12.1 - - - - - 14.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 321 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3406 - - 8849 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96658 19 274 31 271 30 259 96658 89435 18 270 15 265 16 268 89435 83935 11 223 9 229 10 308 83935 79402 4 131 3 209 9 326 79402 75483 7 028 2 243 12 324 75483 72002 5 355 6 307 10 340 72002 68857 8 049 5 358 3 351 68857 65988 15 017 7 055 5 051 65988 63351 13 023 9 053 11 036 63351 60814 13 006 9 049 9 010 60814 58171 8 352 13 002 13 011 58171 55426 12 336 20 342 20 359 55426 52783 14 326 18 331 19 357 52783 50369 14 329 15 322 15 339 50369 48180 12 328 13 309 20 293 48180 46183 17 336 13 307 21 283 46183 44349 24 317 20 303 25 280 44349 42660 24 305 25 291 27 273 42660 41100 26 291 26 286 28 282 41100 39651 32 282 28 287 30 296 39651 38297 36 275 29 288 30 300 38297 36994 35 272 27 282 29 298 36994 35677 31 273 27 274 27 294 35677 34320 31 271 27 273 24 286 34320 32925 32 263 28 272 24 274 32925 31481 33 258 29 266 26 270 31481 29979 32 256 30 261 28 272 29979 28420 31 254 29 258 29 274 28420 26807 28 253 28 256 30 273 26807 25143 24 251 28 253 31 266 25143 23431 20 245 26 248 31 260 23431 21667 18 233 23 241 31 251 21667 19844 19 228 22 231 30 239 19844 17995 18 227 23 231 28 233 17995 16218 18 232 24 240 24 235 16218 14600 17 237 24*248 19 240 14600 13155 17 238 20*250 16 242 13155 11860 16 233 17 251 14 243 11860 10696 15 231 16 251 12 249 10696 9648 14 238 14 250 12 260 9648 8709 14*250 12 251 13 271 8709 7870 11*261 10 250 15 277 7870 7118 8 269 9 250 17 278 7118 6437 5 268 8 248 19 278 6437 5827 4 265 7 246 19 277 5827 5313 4 260 6 244 18 277 5313 4915 4 253 6 242 15 278 4915 4639 4 248 5 241 11 284 4639 4471 4 244 5 241 8*290 4471 4374 3 244 5 239 5*310 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography