DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 58.1 - - 59.3 - - 49.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 245 - - 32 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1560 - - 3844 - - 3610 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5356 - - 7324 - - 4356 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6388 - - 8672 - - 8438 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2011 - - 1135 - - 1795 - - 3514 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 244 - - 411 - - 207 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 32 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 300 - - 259 - - 090 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -13 - - -11 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -538 - - -1380 - - -4349 - - -6297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6926 - - 10052 - - 12787 - - 10672 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8503 - - -8037 - - -10973 - - -15056 ODpotential blCL - - - 14891 - - 16709 - - 19411 - - 19430 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 51 - - 52 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.3 - - 58.1 - - 59.3 - - 49.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 29.3 - - 18.5 - - 19.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.4 - - 57.5 - - 59.9 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.1 - - 28.4 - - 17.8 - - 18.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 245 - - 32 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1560 - - 3844 - - 3610 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96479 13 098 21 085 28 098 20 100 96479 89375 19 106 18 094 16 117 15 082 89375 83884 16 099 16 110 14 117 10 083 83884 79301 10 092 10 118 7 105 9 038 79301 75334 5 104 3 123 3 127 7 355 75334 71820 3 157 1 314 2 126 2 346 71820 68636 5 218 7 251 5 256 8 287 68636 65708 12 251 10 242 15 244 18 257 65708 62995 19 261 17 257 18 249 19 244 62995 60372 30 255 27 264 23 260 19 244 60372 57636 30 257 31 256 25 255 22 252 57636 54806 35 279 25 260 30 259 37 261 54806 52125 49 274 48 267 47 260 52 260 52125 49713 54 272 56 264 54 261 55 260 49713 47531 58 276 59 273 59 273 59 268 47531 45533 64 280 69 278 67 277 65 269 45533 43694 64 282 72 278 71 277 66 269 43694 41993 58 284 66 278 68 278 63 271 41993 40415 53 289 60 281 64 280 61 274 40415 38952 49 296 56 286 59 283 62 277 38952 37596 48 304 55 293 54 287 63 280 37596 36306 48 310 55 299 54 291 62 282 36306 35008 47 312 52 302 60 293 61 284 35008 33670 45 311 48 300 60 293 59 285 33670 32299 44 310 45 297 55 294 56 286 32299 30882 45 309 43 298 48 296 50 286 30882 29410 45 310 42 299 43 295 44 284 29410 27885 43 314 40 299 39 291 39 282 27885 26305 41 320 37 303 36 287 35 282 26305 24673 41 324 38 308 33 289 33 281 24673 22990 43 326 40 312 35 292 36 280 22990 21253 43 327 40 315 38 291 37 276 21253 19455 40 330 36 318 35 289 32 269 19455 17631 35 333 28 323 25 291 25 258 17631 15878 29 341 19 335 15 300 21 249 15878 14282 23 357 12 357 6 303 18 246 14282 12858 18 012 8 017 2 269 15 248 12858 11584 14 019 5 018 2 300 12 250 11584 10444 11 014 4 011 3 316 7 248 10444 9426 9 003 4*021 2 302 3 240 9426 8520 9 358 4*016 3*307 2 159 8520 7714 7 004 3 357 3*295 3 159 7714 6994 5*014 2 314 3 273 4 174 6994 6342 3*011 3 284 4 257 5 173 6342 5759 2 323 3 271 4 252 5 154 5759 5268 3 279 3 265 4 250 5 141 5268 4888 3 271 3 263 4 248 5 135 4888 4625 4 264 3 259 4 246 5 118 4625 4465 3 260 3 260 3 245 5*095 4465 4373 3 260 3 258 3 244 4*086 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography