DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 70.9 - - 71.4 - - 61.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 273 - - 31 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1904 - - 3626 - - 3753 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5836 - - 7199 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6732 - - 8454 - - 8581 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1236 - - 1627 - - 3206 - - 5251 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 309 - - 417 - - 208 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 20 - - 21 - - 31 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 131 - - 264 - - 076 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - -16 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6966 - - -6575 - - -7004 - - -9422 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13698 - - 15030 - - 15586 - - 13797 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14474 - - -13072 - - -14117 - - -18468 ODpotential blCL - - - 21206 - - 21526 - - 22698 - - 22843 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 82 - - 56 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.1 - - 70.9 - - 71.4 - - 61.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.8 - - 20.3 - - 18.2 - - 17.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 70.2 - - 72.0 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.1 - - 19.5 - - 17.7 - - 17.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 214 - - 273 - - 31 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1904 - - 3626 - - 3753 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 28 - - 0 - - 7 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96533 10 080 9 060 2 324 7 016 96533 89412 16 087 8 103 5 032 12 039 89412 83905 11 071 12 092 3 359 15 008 83905 79318 9 031 10 059 4 311 17 348 79318 75353 7 348 11 012 9 327 18 333 75353 71845 13 310 16 328 17 339 19 336 71845 68673 22 308 24 314 30 325 29 330 68673 65773 25 302 29 301 32 312 32 311 65773 63099 21 311 25 304 30 310 29 312 63099 60507 26 312 31 309 33 308 35 317 60507 57801 43 302 43 301 44 305 45 312 57801 55001 45 290 45 292 49 308 48 305 55001 52330 44 294 43 292 54 299 48 306 52330 49915 49 303 48 295 56 300 58 316 49915 47751 60 306 61 301 66 303 70 309 47751 45820 68 304 67 298 73 301 70 310 45820 44083 67 305 62 301 70 298 61 319 44083 42479 66 314 62 306 59 312 64 330 42479 40970 69 320 60 309 63 333 67 330 40970 39543 67 320 58 309 67 335 69 330 39543 38192 56 321 58 308 62 330 67 330 38192 36889 49 323 55 307 56 325 60 332 36889 35570 44 324 49 309 54 322 50 337 35570 34211 42 324 42 309 56 320 44 335 34211 32815 39 322 38 307 54 316 44 331 32815 31370 35 314 37 306 49 312 43 332 31370 29864 34 307 38 305 46 314 41 328 29864 28299 35 306 38 307 43 311 40 322 28299 26679 34 312 36 309 37 303 36 314 26679 25009 29 316 31 311 31 302 32 309 25009 23287 18 309 25 307 24 306 24 311 23287 21511 11 295 19 289 18 296 17 311 21511 19680 11 273 16 275 18 276 17 299 19680 17831 13 272 17 275 17 273 17 292 17831 16058 14 274 17 275 15 277 17 286 16058 14444 13 268 16 271 13 280 16 283 14444 13005 10 262 14 266 11 281 12 277 13005 11722 5 263 10 262 8 284 8 268 11722 10573 1 283 5 255 5 286 7 259 10573 9543 2 034 1 145 3 286 7 262 9543 8620 4 063 5*103 3*291 6 256 8620 7796 6 083 5*102 2*295 5 239 7796 7059 7*091 5 105 2 292 4 220 7059 6391 6*093 4 116 1 289 5 205 6391 5794 4 095 3 135 1 253 5 194 5794 5291 2 120 3 157 1 232 4 182 5291 4901 2 151 4 170 1 224 3 169 4901 4632 2 173 4 175 2 221 2 135 4632 4468 3 178 4 179 2 221 2*091 4468 4374 3 182 4 181 2 219 2*068 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography