DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 02/18 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 40.1 - - 39.7 - - 35.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 5 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1500 - - 1897 - - 3891 - - 2578 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4355 - - 4355 - - 4355 - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6328 - - 6725 - - 8719 - - 7406 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2036 - - 2607 - - 2155 - - 2503 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 92 - - 106 - - 108 - - 30 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 21 - - 23 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 223 - - 237 - - 264 - - 272 Direction Wind Shear - - - 19 - - 15 - - 18 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 63 - - 55 - - 32 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1638 - - 2202 - - 3130 - - 1083 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4690 - - 4523 - - 5589 - - 6324 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 281 - - 792 - - 1039 - - -2518 ODpotential blCL - - - 6047 - - 5933 - - 7680 - - 9924 blCL maxRH - - - 101 - - 100 - - 99 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 40.1 - - 39.7 - - 35.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.6 - - 35.4 - - 30.4 - - 23.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 41.4 - - 41.2 - - 40.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.2 - - 34.8 - - 29.4 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 5 - - 5 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1500 - - 1897 - - 3891 - - 2578 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 103 - - 100 - - 96 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96645 23 097 22 107 17 093 18 081 96645 89472 20 112 18 110 16 108 13 084 89472 83906 14 143 8 098 9 092 9 077 83906 79282 2 233 5 223 3 130 1 150 79282 75284 4 130 5 186 4 359 3 326 75284 71742 3 296 8 026 2 076 1 239 71742 68534 5 274 9 282 4 030 2 023 68534 65559 11 311 7 295 7 221 12 225 65559 62796 21 282 7 314 5 309 8 235 62796 60157 20 241 19 278 10 286 10 199 60157 57378 26 244 17 241 30 244 25 266 57378 54422 28 249 16 197 40 261 48 272 54422 51574 33 290 25 261 54 275 59 270 51574 49013 70 288 74 283 74 283 65 280 49013 46738 96 275 97 274 92 282 83 288 46738 44700 98 264 102 265 102 273 97 279 44700 42849 89 270 94 265 99 264 97 271 42849 41138 103 281 97 278 90 270 92 273 41138 39550 127 281 123 283 103 281 106 283 39550 38082 141 275 142 277 133 282 131 285 38082 36721 141 269 143 270 150 278 148 282 36721 35425 137 268 140 268 152 274 149 278 35425 34124 136 269 143 270 148 272 146 276 34124 32790 137 269 148 271 143 270 145 274 32790 31425 134 267 148 270 140 272 143 274 31425 30013 129 266 141 269 140 275 139 275 30013 28547 124 266 134 270 140 277 133 277 28547 27029 120 267 129 271 141 279 131 280 27029 25460 114 267 125 270 138 281 131 284 25460 23844 106 267 117 270 124 281 124 286 23844 22190 99 268 105 270 103 276 107 284 22190 20497 94 267 94 268 88 269 90 278 20497 18758 90 266 86 266 80 266 78 272 18758 17004 83 263 79 264 73 264 69 268 17004 15327 70 255 72 262 66 262 61 266 15327 13808 62 250 62 258 59 261 53 264 13808 12459 58 252 52 253 50 261 46 263 12459 11257 55 253 44 251 40 262 38 261 11257 10183 51 252 39 250 32 264 29 259 10183 9220 48 249 36 250 29*264 23 258 9220 8357 43 244 33 249 28*265 20 260 8357 7587 38 240 30 246 27 265 18*266 7587 6896 34*236 28*244 25 265 16*271 6896 6271 29*231 26*242 24 265 15 273 6271 5710 25 226 24 239 22 264 13 275 5710 5237 22 222 22 237 20 264 11 276 5237 4870 19 219 20 235 19 263 8 271 4870 4616 17 216 18 234 16 262 4 258 4616 4461 15 215 16 233 14 261 2 222 4461 4372 11 213 12 232 10 259 2 158 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography