DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/02 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.3 - - 69.9 - - 76.2 - - 70.7 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 245 - - 302 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3985 - - 9337 - - 7696 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 7428 - - 11743 - - 4357 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 8813 - - 14165 - - 12524 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1363 - - 2674 - - 2172 - - 2625 - - 7601 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 415 - - 593 - - 112 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 14 - - 21 - - 21 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 075 - - 203 - - 239 - - 236 - - 183 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - 28 - - 63 - - 50 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5530 - - -4246 - - -1622 - - -1371 - - -7556 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9905 - - 13059 - - 15788 - - 13895 - - 11930 sfcLCL ODpotential -12365 - - -8635 - - -4378 - - -4321 - - -11920 ODpotential blCL 16739 - - 17448 - - 18543 - - 16845 - - 16294 blCL maxRH 67 - - 79 - - 81 - - 97 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.3 - - 69.9 - - 76.2 - - 70.7 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.8 - - 27.7 - - 21.3 - - 24.8 - - 25.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.7 - - 69.3 - - 75.6 - - 72.2 - - 67.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.5 - - 27.0 - - 20.7 - - 24.5 - - 25.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 245 - - 302 - - -6 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3985 - - 9337 - - 7696 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 18 - - 23 - - 89 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96195 17 292 15 278 15 293 7 240 17 281 96195 89085 4 175 10 268 18 276 3 280 14 315 89085 83609 9 318 1 185 9 256 8 298 14 308 83609 79072 9 316 15 301 9 318 9 340 17 313 79072 75219 9 306 4 021 7 323 11 336 15 331 75219 71849 8 032 9 047 3 152 7 234 17 333 71849 68806 23 323 19 340 18 344 12 339 16 341 68806 65988 23 325 22 351 21 335 19 350 17 001 65988 63349 17 295 21 322 15 319 18 321 17 302 63349 60791 10 304 15 305 23 280 22 298 19 306 60791 58095 23 292 33 280 44 274 38 279 34 297 58095 55257 50 291 48 289 45 283 46 280 45 285 55257 52528 58 290 53 288 48 286 48 285 48 282 52528 50050 59 288 55 281 51 284 50 288 48 281 50050 47808 62 283 58 277 55 282 54 287 49 281 47808 45755 62 280 61 275 60 276 59 284 55 282 45755 43863 62 278 63 271 65 272 65 279 59 282 43863 42108 66 275 64 269 68 270 69 273 59 279 42108 40471 71 271 68 269 70 268 71 269 62 275 40471 38946 72 267 72 266 73 265 76 264 66 270 38946 37533 68 264 73 263 79 262 83 260 73 267 37533 36205 64 261 74 259 83 258 87 259 85 261 36205 34893 63 259 71 254 82 256 87 257 90 255 34893 33552 61 255 70 254 81 257 85 255 87 254 33552 32179 58 249 71 256 81 259 82 256 84 254 32179 30762 60 249 71 257 80 260 77 256 80 254 30762 29290 64 253 71 255 78 257 73 254 77 254 29290 27766 66 255 71 254 75 253 72 253 72 255 27766 26191 66 255 70 254 72 253 72 253 67 258 26191 24569 64 256 67 255 68 255 70 256 63 260 24569 22903 60 258 65 256 65 257 67 258 60 259 22903 21185 56 259 62 257 61 258 62 259 56 259 21185 19412 50 258 58 257 57 256 56 259 49 260 19412 17616 45 258 52 255 52 254 52 258 42 262 17616 15890 39 258 45 255 45 254 47 257 37 263 15890 14318 35 258 40 254 35*251 38 253 31 262 14318 12914 31 256 36 253 26*245 28*246 26 256 12914 11657 27 255 34 252 23 241 23*239 23 245 11657 10527 24 252 30 249 22 240 23 237 22 237 10527 9510 22 250 25*243 22 239 22 237 21 237 9510 8596 21 248 20*231 21 238 22 236 20 240 8596 7780 18 247 17 216 21 238 21 236 19 243 7780 7049 14 243 15 204 21 237 21 236 18 244 7049 6384 9 231 14 195 21 237 20 235 17 243 6384 5790 7 206 13 191 20 236 20 235 14 240 5790 5289 6 178 12 188 20 235 19 235 12 233 5289 4901 5 154 12 186 19 235 18 234 9 224 4901 4632 5 111 11 186 18 235 16 234 7 207 4632 4468 5*084 10 186 17 234 15 233 5*192 4468 4373 5*071 9 185 14 233 11 232 3*176 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography