DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/17 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 84.8 - - 81.8 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 428 - - 156 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4180 - - 6771 - - 5927 - - 5283 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7742 - - 9849 - - 8681 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9008 - - 11599 - - 10755 - - 10111 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2739 - - 2595 - - 2058 - - 3389 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 486 - - 596 - - 412 - - 74 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 18 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 212 - - 176 - - 196 - - 250 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 15 - - 12 - - 35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 527 - - 786 - - 2159 - - 1206 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8482 - - 10813 - - 8596 - - 8905 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2082 - - -739 - - 363 - - -764 ODpotential blCL - - - 11090 - - 12338 - - 10392 - - 10875 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 96 - - 90 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 920 - - 500 - - 1410 - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 84.8 - - 81.8 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 57.8 - - 52.1 - - 58.8 - - 56.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.0 - - 83.1 - - 81.5 - - 81.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.4 - - 51.8 - - 58.3 - - 55.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 428 - - 156 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4180 - - 6771 - - 5927 - - 5283 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 85 - - 61 - - 92 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98787 47 108 36 100 35 092 42 093 98787 91404 40 105 31 116 27 096 32 092 91404 85706 31 103 29 109 30 112 28 100 85706 80955 26 117 28 108 29 106 28 104 80955 76846 22 111 21 104 24 102 24 090 76846 73211 18 099 18 104 18 107 19 078 73211 69929 17 087 18 103 16 104 13 076 69929 66933 11 071 15 093 16 096 12 094 66933 64171 7 089 9 099 13 091 13 095 64171 61508 9 103 4 115 9 070 11 094 61508 58750 8 109 7 161 4 091 5 116 58750 55909 6 124 6 153 2 192 4 167 55909 53217 2 152 5 161 4 215 7 197 53217 50808 6 212 4 201 4 173 9 171 50808 48653 9 189 10 217 7 227 5 224 48653 46683 16 154 22 187 19 216 19 216 46683 44862 15 128 24 162 26 192 25 189 44862 43170 13 086 20 136 24 174 22 177 43170 41589 7 106 14 139 16 173 20 184 41589 40105 11 185 10 162 13 184 24 195 40105 38709 16 181 11 181 17 199 30 202 38709 37367 19 178 16 196 25 202 31 203 37367 36015 21 177 22 198 28 200 30 205 36015 34626 22 178 25 193 27 201 28 206 34626 33202 23 179 23 191 26 202 26 203 33202 31730 23 185 23 195 27 201 25 201 31730 30204 25 196 25 197 30 201 28 199 30204 28625 26 202 24 197 31 203 31 198 28625 26991 23 193 24 198 28 205 31 201 26991 25302 21 186 23 202 24 203 26 204 25302 23565 18 190 20 195 19 206 20 205 23565 21777 18 197 17 198 13 198 14 196 21777 19933 17 203 14 203 11 178 14 162 19933 18069 15 206 11 186 11 166 17 151 18069 16283 12 188 9 178 11 160 18 145 16283 14656 12 166 9 157 12 165 17 147 14656 13204 14 151 9 148 13 179 12 168 13204 11904 13 137 8*146 13*186 8 188 11904 10735 10 139 6*153 12*192 7*208 10735 9684 6*154 5 174 11 194 8*229 9684 8740 5*187 5 182 10 194 9 241 8740 7896 4 212 6 184 9 194 10 247 7896 7139 4 222 6 183 8 193 10 251 7139 6453 4 220 6 180 7 196 10 253 6453 5839 4 218 7 177 6 197 10 256 5839 5321 4 214 7 174 5 202 10 258 5321 4920 4 212 7 171 5 206 10 260 4920 4642 4 210 7 170 5 208 8 261 4642 4472 4 209 7 170 5 210 7 261 4472 4375 4 208 6 169 4 210 6 260 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography