DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 04/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 78.9 - - - - - 69.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 402 - - 424 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4763 - - 11003 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8221 - - 13287 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9591 - - 15831 - - - - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4223 - - 2507 - - - - - 12240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 518 - - 698 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 174 - - - - - 223 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 18 - - 24 - - - - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5716 - - -382 - - - - - -9482 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15308 - - 16214 - - - - - 13857 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8120 - - -1877 - - - - - -12371 ODpotential blCL - - - 17711 - - 17708 - - - - - 16746 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 80 - - - - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.7 - - 78.9 - - - - - 69.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.3 - - 22.0 - - - - - 24.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.4 - - 77.3 - - - - - 75.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 21.3 - - - - - 23.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 402 - - 424 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4763 - - 11003 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 18 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97312 36 282 43 273 44 288 97312 90021 37 268 41 274 39 289 90021 84391 29 260 35 268 34 278 84391 79708 24 264 28 268 25 264 79708 75661 24 272 23 270 23 262 75661 72082 23 276 24 262 20 271 72082 68869 20 273 20 257 18 276 68869 65942 19 272 17 259 19 274 65942 63242 21 275 18 267 20 264 63242 60643 24 274 20 278 19 259 60643 57939 29 271 26 288 21 257 57939 55126 40 264 37 275 35 260 55126 52430 44 268 44 268 43 255 52430 49992 52 267 53 272 51 259 49992 47788 56 266 59 271 57 256 47788 45766 61 269 61 269 54 252 45766 43893 64 268 65 268 55 254 43893 42150 60 265 60 263 60 253 42150 40525 52 260 52 257 57 252 40525 39018 36 253 43 248 44 248 39018 37627 25 245 26 228 30 247 37627 36319 25 234 22 215 26 235 36319 35019 26 215 25 205 24 227 35019 33689 28 212 29 205 25 224 33689 32323 29 214 33 210 24 227 32323 30909 26 217 32 214 22 229 30909 29436 22 211 28 218 18 211 29436 27909 19 212 24 227 17 199 27909 26331 19 226 21 231 16 201 26331 24705 22 229 18 226 16 200 24705 23034 19 220 15 230 14 200 23034 21314 16 206 12 224 14 190 21314 19541 15 186 11 200 15 175 19541 17745 14 176 11 172 15 169 17745 16016 12 195 11*160 13 159 16016 14437 12 209 11*164 12 154 14437 13022 12 207 11 166 11 155 13022 11752 12 200 11 168 10 160 11752 10608 13*193 11 170 9 166 10608 9579 12*185 11 173 9 173 9579 8653 12 173 11 175 10 180 8653 7825 11 168 11 177 10 186 7825 7084 11 167 11 179 10 192 7084 6411 10 168 11 180 11 200 6411 5809 10 169 11 181 11 208 5809 5301 9 171 11 181 11 217 5301 4908 9 173 11 182 10 222 4908 4636 8 174 10 182 7 225 4636 4469 8 175 10 183 5*222 4469 4374 7 177 9 182 3*221 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography