DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.4 - - 80.6 - - 86.4 - - 85.5 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 183 - - 544 - - 574 - - 260 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2659 - - 5873 - - 8498 - - 8429 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 6318 - - 9216 - - 11378 - - 10917 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 7487 - - 10701 - - 13326 - - 13257 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1429 - - 1727 - - 1913 - - 1831 - - 7830 Hgt.Variab. W* 328 - - 614 - - 707 - - 542 - - 3 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 19 - - 20 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 193 - - 208 - - 212 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 13 - - 12 - - 7 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg 16 - - 38 - - 44 - - 42 - - 24 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4600 - - -5097 - - -6403 - - -6786 - - -13881 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12087 - - 15799 - - 19730 - - 20043 - - 18257 sfcLCL ODpotential -10196 - - -10691 - - -11700 - - -11920 - - -19836 ODpotential blCL 17683 - - 21392 - - 25026 - - 25177 - - 24211 blCL maxRH 38 - - 25 - - 17 - - 16 - - 13 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.4 - - 80.6 - - 86.4 - - 85.5 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.7 - - 25.9 - - 13.3 - - 11.2 - - 11.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.1 - - 78.7 - - 84.3 - - 84.9 - - 80.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.7 - - 25.9 - - 13.0 - - 11.2 - - 11.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 183 - - 544 - - 574 - - 260 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2659 - - 5873 - - 8498 - - 8429 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98879 33 101 32 113 30 109 26 107 25 095 98879 91381 34 096 33 104 25 117 22 102 26 100 91381 85643 32 088 30 119 25 113 17 093 24 089 85643 80876 27 091 27 103 26 111 18 116 22 077 80876 76787 24 093 24 097 24 100 21 098 21 096 76787 73192 20 105 24 103 13 117 12 093 19 104 73192 69927 20 125 12 096 15 110 14 101 14 106 69927 66925 15 091 13 103 12 107 13 080 8 120 66925 64142 3 285 17 107 1 227 1 280 4 186 64142 61448 5 077 10 066 5 344 5 021 4 142 61448 58646 22 227 14 234 17 224 17 254 14 264 58646 55756 26 228 27 226 26 228 33 238 30 246 55756 53014 36 250 40 249 40 252 40 244 36 246 53014 50545 49 244 53 243 51 249 46 248 41 249 50545 48332 51 239 56 239 52 249 46 250 43 250 48332 46319 51 241 56 242 53 253 47 256 46 253 46319 44466 55 246 59 246 57 254 53 256 51 254 44466 42751 60 248 62 249 60 253 58 254 56 254 42751 41157 63 247 66 249 63 251 62 254 62 255 41157 39670 66 246 69 248 67 250 66 253 66 255 39670 38278 67 246 71 247 69 247 69 251 69 253 38278 36944 68 246 70 246 66 246 69 249 70 249 36944 35600 69 244 68 244 62 246 66 249 67 248 35600 34218 67 240 66 241 57 245 61 247 62 248 34218 32807 66 239 66 239 54 246 57 243 54 245 32807 31356 65 237 64 239 50 248 55 242 48 242 31356 29852 63 238 61 241 44 249 50 242 44 241 29852 28298 61 242 56 243 41 249 43 242 39 240 28298 26692 57 244 49 241 40 246 39 244 36 239 26692 25035 53 245 45 240 40 242 37 243 34 238 25035 23330 50 245 44 240 40 241 36 242 32 237 23330 21572 49 243 45 239 40 240 34 240 31 236 21572 19753 49 238 45 236 41 240 32 240 29 234 19753 17909 47 229 45 233 40 237 30 240 27 234 17909 16138 42 221 43 229 37 233 28 235 24 230 16138 14529 38 220 39 225 32*230 24*230 22 222 14529 13093 35 223 34 223 24*223 19*221 20 214 13093 11809 33 222 30*219 20 213 18 216 17 209 11809 10654 30 215 24*209 20 210 18 214 15 213 10654 9616 28 207 20 197 20 208 18 214 15 217 9616 8684 25 199 19 192 20 206 18 212 15 218 8684 7851 22*191 19 191 20 205 19 211 16 217 7851 7105 17*183 19 190 20 204 19 209 16 215 7105 6427 14 177 18 189 20 203 19 209 17 214 6427 5821 11 170 18 188 20 203 19 208 17 212 5821 5309 10 166 18 187 20 202 19 207 17 210 5309 4913 9 164 17 187 19 202 18 207 15 208 4913 4638 9 164 16 186 18 201 18 206 13 203 4638 4471 8 163 15 186 17 201 17 206 10*199 4471 4374 7 163 13 186 15 202 14 206 5*193 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography