DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0957z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.5 - - 82.7 - - 87.9 - - 85.4 - - 72.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 307 - - 370 - - 86 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 6023 - - 10667 - - 9990 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 9105 - - 12935 - - 11234 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 10851 - - 15495 - - 14818 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 833 - - 2996 - - 2085 - - 2762 - - 6213 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 513 - - 661 - - 401 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 9 - - 11 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 323 - - 144 - - 181 - - 186 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -5 - - 15 - - 24 - - 31 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9548 - - -6073 - - -4448 - - -5580 - - -13360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 13923 - - 16925 - - 19944 - - 20399 - - 17736 sfcLCL ODpotential -16654 - - -10442 - - -7444 - - -9108 - - -18448 ODpotential blCL 21028 - - 21293 - - 22939 - - 23926 - - 22823 blCL maxRH 45 - - 37 - - 40 - - 37 - - 39 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.5 - - 82.7 - - 87.9 - - 85.4 - - 72.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.6 - - 23.1 - - 13.8 - - 9.5 - - 10.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.9 - - 81.5 - - 86.5 - - 85.7 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.2 - - 22.4 - - 13.4 - - 9.1 - - 10.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 307 - - 370 - - 86 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 6023 - - 10667 - - 9990 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96685 49 285 45 286 47 282 40 278 50 280 96685 89400 29 287 31 286 34 282 26 285 31 293 89400 83868 11 270 25 266 27 281 28 306 25 316 83868 79293 11 318 10 252 17 277 23 298 29 326 79293 75348 15 310 3 072 9 265 16 291 26 312 75348 71867 14 307 1 086 8 243 14 293 18 300 71867 68733 15 292 7 315 6 241 16 284 14 304 68733 65868 19 272 14 300 8 279 18 275 18 288 65868 63228 21 263 19 285 16 284 16 275 19 277 63228 60683 24 258 24 274 22 277 15 274 15 279 60683 58030 25 259 26 266 25 273 19 282 16 287 58030 55272 25 263 23 262 24 266 23 279 18 277 55272 52621 24 269 20 262 22 263 25 274 22 273 52621 50204 25 275 19 263 22 263 26 273 27 266 50204 48005 28 271 22 262 23 258 27 268 27 261 48005 45989 32 261 28 254 29 249 28 260 27 261 45989 44135 34 248 32 251 32 247 30 253 28 264 44135 42428 34 230 36 237 35 242 32 249 29 259 42428 40856 34 225 36 228 38 230 38 240 31 257 40856 39398 35 235 45 225 45 223 44 228 35 256 39398 38036 42 237 56 216 53 215 45 223 39 252 38036 36729 49 229 50 217 48 216 43 225 41 244 36729 35416 44 228 49 216 45 218 41 226 37 236 35416 34073 35 228 42 215 41 215 36 228 39 240 34073 32698 30 233 33 217 35 213 33 224 37 235 32698 31273 27 238 24 219 28 209 32 219 27 229 31273 29789 23 244 22 218 27 206 31 216 31 227 29789 28248 21 232 23 209 31 206 32 218 34 228 28248 26655 26 216 26 209 30 213 30 222 30 232 26655 25011 26 221 23 226 23 227 22 231 22 232 25011 23320 21 237 17 237 14 229 13 220 19 205 23320 21576 18 245 14 244 14 231 14 217 23 201 21576 19772 16 241 14 240 17 240 15 232 21 218 19772 17939 13 235 13 231 14 232 11 223 17 227 17939 16172 8 240 7 200 9*179 11*173 13 204 16172 14563 6 240 4 155 11*169 10*173 16 190 14563 13124 8 176 7 161 11 171 10 178 17 185 13124 11834 12 154 12*149 11 173 11 179 16 183 11834 10674 11 149 14*141 11 176 11 182 14 182 10674 9630 10 145 14 136 11 180 12 185 13 183 9630 8694 10 134 13 134 11 185 12 188 13 186 8694 7856 12 117 11 134 11 188 13 190 14 192 7856 7107 14 100 10 139 11 189 13 191 14 199 7107 6428 18 089 8 146 11 189 13 192 15 206 6428 5821 21 084 7 161 11 190 13 192 16 210 5821 5309 21 078 6 172 11 191 13 192 16 211 5309 4912 16 070 6 180 10 191 13 193 13 209 4912 4638 8 059 6 183 10 191 13 193 10 206 4638 4470 4*038 6 186 10 191 12 193 6*195 4470 4374 2*323 6 187 9 192 10 192 3*164 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography