DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 46.1 - - - - - 40.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 270 - - 163 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4233 - - 6112 - - - - - 1996 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7659 - - 8830 - - - - - 4355 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9061 - - 10940 - - - - - 6824 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1513 - - 2196 - - - - - 3431 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 418 - - - - - 33 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - - - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 211 - - 214 - - - - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 13 - - - - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 14 - - 42 - - - - - 43 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 19 - - 1779 - - - - - -1363 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9042 - - 9162 - - - - - 8187 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2553 - - 839 - - - - - -3226 ODpotential blCL - - - 11614 - - 10101 - - - - - 10050 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 99 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.0 - - 46.1 - - - - - 40.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.6 - - 21.0 - - - - - 20.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 42.5 - - 46.0 - - - - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.9 - - 20.7 - - - - - 20.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 270 - - 163 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4233 - - 6112 - - - - - 1996 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 94 - - - - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96506 27 123 24 121 21 107 96506 89372 22 108 20 110 11 118 89372 83865 13 104 11 092 11 077 83865 79241 4 143 3 065 6 039 79241 75236 6 260 4 249 5 323 75236 71704 4 212 11 220 4 305 71704 68477 4 203 5 198 6 232 68477 65485 13 253 6 315 3 280 65485 62695 20 247 26 260 8 302 62695 60001 31 258 35 246 21 262 60001 57199 37 264 34 259 24 248 57199 54277 44 264 39 273 41 275 54277 51478 51 268 48 280 54 285 51478 48948 60 272 59 277 63 285 48948 46668 72 272 77 273 77 275 46668 44603 83 272 93 269 91 265 44603 42719 99 265 103 263 100 259 42719 40986 114 265 105 260 105 258 40986 39387 134 270 110 265 111 260 39387 37903 159 272 127 269 119 262 37903 36519 176 271 148 270 132 266 36519 35200 179 269 162 269 149 267 35200 33877 178 269 167 269 157 265 33877 32520 177 269 161 269 157 262 32520 31135 174 270 148 267 149 259 31135 29715 158 268 134 265 133 256 29715 28256 130 264 122 265 111 256 28256 26763 109 259 110 266 92 259 26763 25236 99 262 99 268 83 263 25236 23669 94 266 93 267 80 265 23669 22063 92 267 87 268 79 266 22063 20409 89 269 82 272 79 266 20409 18698 83 271 76 277 80 266 18698 16966 69 275 65 277 77 264 16966 15307 52 277 49 275 66 262 15307 13805 40 273 34 265 51 260 13805 12467 33 266 25 252 39 253 12467 11270 28 258 21*244 32 242 11270 10197 23 251 17*237 29 230 10197 9233 17*244 15 229 27 221 9233 8369 11*233 14 222 26 216 8369 7596 8 221 13 214 26 211 7596 6904 7 212 12 207 25*206 6904 6276 7 207 12 203 24*201 6276 5714 7 203 11 198 22 195 5714 5239 6 200 11 195 20 188 5239 4872 6 198 11 193 17 180 4872 4617 6 196 11 192 15 173 4617 4461 6 196 10 190 13 170 4461 4372 5 196 9 190 9 169 4372 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography