DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1336z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 67.7 - - 62.3 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 115 - - -13 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1139 - - 2495 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4357 - - 5975 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5967 - - 7323 - - 4375 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1195 - - 1349 - - 3670 - - 1129 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 175 - - 277 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 116 - - 197 - - 159 - - 089 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - 11 - - 15 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5638 - - -5858 - - -6631 - - -4400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11606 - - 13181 - - 11006 - - 8774 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12925 - - -12089 - - -13440 - - -13109 ODpotential blCL - - - 18892 - - 19412 - - 17815 - - 17483 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 64 - - 81 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 67.7 - - 62.3 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.7 - - 25.4 - - 29.7 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 67.7 - - 66.6 - - 59.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.7 - - 24.5 - - 29.0 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 115 - - -13 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1139 - - 2495 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96248 24 280 24 272 18 253 20 271 96248 89168 13 260 23 269 16 304 11 358 89168 83680 6 234 14 258 19 284 17 283 83680 79109 15 331 4 341 8 252 17 270 79109 75157 17 321 15 319 11 292 12 288 75157 71678 10 288 18 308 16 307 17 300 71678 68549 7 298 22 309 20 316 19 329 68549 65665 25 322 28 313 23 322 26 326 65665 62999 27 316 31 319 25 328 27 314 62999 60446 16 319 29 330 27 341 19 338 60446 57778 37 313 34 314 27 312 18 339 57778 55000 42 296 35 295 27 301 30 295 55000 52356 42 307 40 293 43 301 41 299 52356 49964 44 315 51 298 50 297 38 307 49964 47798 48 313 51 300 49 299 45 316 47798 45815 51 305 52 298 53 300 52 307 45815 43992 54 298 55 296 54 297 59 299 43992 42311 53 292 56 293 53 292 62 295 42311 40759 49 289 53 290 50 286 57 290 40759 39317 45 289 50 288 50 286 51 286 39317 37966 43 292 47 289 51 288 49 287 37966 36666 43 294 43 289 49 292 48 291 36666 35356 44 292 39 288 48 296 47 294 35356 34005 46 287 35 287 46 299 45 298 34005 32620 49 284 35 286 44 299 44 301 32620 31186 50 285 37 287 41 297 44 302 31186 29695 50 287 41 289 40 294 43 302 29695 28148 49 287 44 290 41 291 43 300 28148 26546 48 285 45 290 44 289 43 297 26546 24892 49 285 45 289 48 288 44 293 24892 23191 51 287 45 289 50 288 45 290 23191 21438 50 289 46 290 50 289 46 289 21438 19627 47 291 45 289 49 289 46 289 19627 17790 42 290 45 285 48 287 45 287 17790 16023 38 288 43 280 47 283 43 284 16023 14413 35 286 42 276 45 280 42 281 14413 12976 33 285 40 275 43 279 41 280 12976 11691 31 285 38 274 39 280 40 280 11691 10538 29 285 36 274 34 281 38 282 10538 9506 27 282 31 272 27 281 33 282 9506 8582 22 275 23 265 19 273 27 280 8582 7761 17 263 14*252 14 258 21 275 7761 7029 11 246 9*236 11 241 16 266 7029 6366 6*208 5 206 9 225 13 258 6366 5776 6*151 5 187 10 209 8 248 5776 5278 5 112 5 181 10 196 4 232 5278 4894 4 099 5 177 10 184 2 161 4894 4628 3 104 4 177 9 174 4 112 4628 4466 3 108 4 177 8*164 6*100 4466 4373 2 111 4 176 5*155 5*089 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography