DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 93.5 - - - - - 85.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 390 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7992 - - 13913 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10849 - - 15624 - - - - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12820 - - 18741 - - - - - 4376 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5187 - - 923 - - - - - 13841 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 636 - - 732 - - - - - 5 W* B/S - - - 21 - - 14 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 248 - - 288 - - - - - 293 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 14 - - - - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 24 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1187 - - 3793 - - - - - -8909 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11634 - - 14949 - - - - - 13286 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -648 - - 2612 - - - - - -11217 ODpotential blCL - - - 13468 - - 16129 - - - - - 15593 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 101 - - - - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 1090 - - 480 - - - - - 480 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.6 - - 93.5 - - - - - 85.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 51.4 - - 42.5 - - - - - 42.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.9 - - 92.1 - - - - - 88.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 42.5 - - - - - 43.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 444 - - 390 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7992 - - 13913 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 103 - - - - - 63 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 6 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98637 24 101 22 127 22 065 98637 91190 18 101 19 088 15 084 91190 85448 13 090 16 079 12 092 85448 80698 14 084 14 080 13 057 80698 76623 14 088 14 093 14 051 76623 73023 17 101 15 084 15 073 73023 69765 18 076 12 072 19 049 69765 66789 9 032 17 074 9 067 66789 64055 4 051 8 035 16 049 64055 61422 8 039 2 028 21 014 61422 58701 11 350 6 306 20 331 58701 55889 11 315 13 273 22 290 55889 53192 20 302 14 288 21 280 53192 50748 37 291 29 281 30 280 50748 48548 47 276 44 269 37 275 48548 46546 50 267 52 264 42 272 46546 44710 54 258 54 259 46 267 44710 43016 59 247 56 256 44 265 43016 41442 58 245 55 253 41 267 41442 39970 51 248 48 257 36 273 39970 38592 48 254 42 262 30 276 38592 37269 44 261 39 265 25 278 37269 35933 40 267 36 270 24 281 35933 34556 39 272 33 278 22 283 34556 33144 37 276 32 284 21 287 33144 31683 33 278 29 288 21 293 31683 30167 29 280 26 292 20 296 30167 28596 27 284 24 296 17 294 28596 26975 25 291 22 304 13 298 26975 25307 21 301 18 316 10 313 25307 23593 15 319 15 332 6 338 23593 21824 10 332 12 342 6 047 21824 20000 7 329 11*323 11 041 20000 18155 11 317 13*323 13 028 18155 16376 15 312 13 315 13 017 16376 14749 18 307 12 306 13 358 14749 13291 17*300 12 302 14 340 13291 11981 14*291 11 296 15 324 11981 10802 10 283 10 284 17 314 10802 9740 7 273 10 276 18 307 9740 8785 5 258 9 268 20 301 8785 7932 5 235 9 262 21 297 7932 7168 5 214 9 257 22 294 7168 6474 6 203 8 253 22 292 6474 5854 6 199 8 248 22 290 5854 5331 6 196 8 245 21 289 5331 4925 6 194 8 244 19 289 4925 4645 6 193 8 243 15 290 4645 4473 6 194 8 242 12*291 4473 4375 6 193 7 242 6*294 4375 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography