DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/27 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 66.7 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 498 - - 548 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6681 - - 8906 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9837 - - 11694 - - - - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11509 - - 13734 - - - - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1394 - - 1435 - - - - - 7980 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 623 - - 708 - - - - - 3 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 214 - - - - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 7 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 29 - - 43 - - - - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1506 - - -1153 - - - - - -8094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13016 - - 14888 - - - - - 12468 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5574 - - -5221 - - - - - -12638 ODpotential blCL - - - 17083 - - 18955 - - - - - 17012 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 54 - - - - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.4 - - 66.7 - - - - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.0 - - 15.8 - - - - - 17.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.7 - - 64.9 - - - - - 60.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.6 - - 15.2 - - - - - 16.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 498 - - 548 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6681 - - 8906 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97522 20 248 26 275 25 295 97522 90164 21 267 23 280 21 299 90164 84530 12 279 18 289 21 317 84530 79878 10 320 8 290 20 334 79878 75859 14 316 7 334 14 322 75859 72298 8 350 5 311 11 335 72298 69068 6 322 6 345 8 256 69068 66092 11 227 1 070 7 235 66092 63319 11 245 11 216 6 258 63319 60618 27 250 29 261 23 262 60618 57801 48 243 46 248 35 253 57801 54870 53 244 52 248 44 261 54870 52050 62 250 65 253 60 262 52050 49502 75 252 75 253 74 256 49502 47225 82 252 80 254 75 254 47225 45180 87 254 85 257 84 264 45180 43329 89 256 91 259 100 265 43329 41626 93 258 97 259 100 261 41626 40040 100 258 100 259 96 262 40040 38556 105 258 101 256 99 267 38556 37173 108 258 100 254 106 269 37173 35857 112 258 102 256 111 268 35857 34540 113 257 105 255 109 266 34540 33195 109 255 101 254 101 264 33195 31827 104 254 97 254 95 262 31827 30420 99 254 95 253 94 259 30420 28963 93 254 93 253 94 257 28963 27452 87 254 89 252 94 256 27452 25890 79 255 80 251 88 255 25890 24281 71 256 71 251 80 255 24281 22632 64 257 63 253 72 256 22632 20935 58 256 58 253 62 258 20935 19183 51 256 53 252 52 260 19183 17408 43 254 47 250 43 262 17408 15701 36 250 38 246 35 261 15701 14148 31 244 26*238 25 253 14148 12764 27*239 19*226 18 237 12764 11528 21*232 18 222 14 225 11528 10418 16 222 18 220 13 228 10418 9420 15 216 18 217 13 232 9420 8523 15 212 18 214 13 235 8523 7721 14 207 19 212 14 237 7721 7002 14 204 19 210 14 238 7002 6350 14 201 19 208 15 239 6350 5766 13 198 19 207 14 238 5766 5273 13 195 19 205 14 237 5273 4891 12 194 18 205 12 234 4891 4627 12 193 18 204 10 226 4627 4466 11 193 17 204 7*218 4466 4373 10 193 15 204 4*214 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography