DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 66.9 - - 66.0 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 223 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2424 - - 4944 - - 5478 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 6003 - - 8118 - - 4357 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7252 - - 9772 - - 10306 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2107 - - 1494 - - 1961 - - 5340 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 433 - - 97 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 147 - - 179 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 15 - - 21 - - 3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7329 - - -5624 - - -5026 - - -7713 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14582 - - 15396 - - 15332 - - 12088 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15149 - - -11920 - - -11194 - - -14168 ODpotential blCL - - - 22401 - - 21692 - - 21500 - - 18542 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 27 - - 57 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 66.9 - - 66.0 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.3 - - 14.5 - - 13.9 - - 18.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 66.4 - - 67.2 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 12.1 - - 13.3 - - 12.9 - - 18.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 132 - - 223 - - -1 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2424 - - 4944 - - 5478 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96289 11 255 20 266 17 264 10 294 96289 89128 4 319 11 285 9 260 7 352 89128 83650 4 310 11 296 6 308 3 006 83650 79102 6 035 2 341 7 341 5 056 79102 75180 11 045 4 065 5 054 9 028 75180 71716 7 051 8 048 9 082 5 021 71716 68587 4 072 9 028 13 073 4 094 68587 65716 6 075 8 015 12 058 6 100 65716 63051 7 051 3 075 8 041 6 102 63051 60459 8 041 10 126 4 073 7 124 60459 57746 8 068 13 121 8 169 5 169 57746 54927 8 109 11 125 16 167 13 188 54927 52226 9 126 11 149 16 167 14 200 52226 49776 11 143 13 167 18 179 24 210 49776 47562 15 166 17 193 19 186 28 196 47562 45541 19 148 24 198 24 177 31 190 45541 43688 27 133 23 169 30 162 33 182 43688 41983 38 126 45 125 38 152 32 175 41983 40408 46 130 47 120 45 141 36 166 40408 38950 53 133 47 132 50 133 46 140 38950 37596 55 134 52 137 50 132 50 130 37596 36305 52 135 52 138 50 133 50 135 36305 35009 51 139 48 140 48 136 50 140 35009 33675 50 137 44 143 41 145 50 137 33675 32304 47 134 44 145 43 150 51 142 32304 30885 44 133 42 142 49 149 49 149 30885 29411 38 130 40 132 47 144 46 150 29411 27880 33 122 37 129 43 140 47 148 27880 26293 32 127 34 134 40 137 47 145 26293 24656 29 131 32 135 38 139 46 144 24656 22971 27 134 30 135 34 144 43 145 22971 21235 25 138 25 141 29 148 35 144 21235 19445 21 143 20 150 23 143 27 136 19445 17630 12 149 14 153 18 133 25 138 17630 15885 7 144 12 146 16 130 23 151 15885 14300 9 150 14 134 15 137 18 160 14300 12890 15 127 18 132 12 148 12 162 12890 11628 18 119 20 137 12 144 10 164 11628 10495 18 121 18*136 11*144 9 165 10495 9477 18 118 15*130 10*157 9 162 9477 8566 19 114 12 129 10 174 9 160 8566 7752 18*112 10 133 10 182 9 161 7752 7024 15*108 9 141 10 184 10 168 7024 6365 12 101 7 154 10 184 10 176 6365 5776 10 094 6 173 10 184 10 181 5776 5279 8 092 6 185 10 183 8 185 5279 4895 6 095 6 193 10 183 6 186 4895 4628 5 098 6 197 9 182 4 162 4628 4466 4 099 6 199 8 182 3*138 4466 4373 4 101 5 201 7 182 3*115 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography