DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/14 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 61.6 - - 64.2 - - 57.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 419 - - 135 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5692 - - 9274 - - 11465 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8759 - - 11867 - - 12813 - - 4356 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10520 - - 14102 - - 16293 - - 4374 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1338 - - 1172 - - 1956 - - 12336 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 474 - - 657 - - 485 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 305 - - 337 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 11 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - 13 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2034 - - 2707 - - 2820 - - -6904 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8486 - - 11396 - - 13474 - - 11279 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 39 - - 1637 - - 1247 - - -9070 ODpotential blCL - - - 10481 - - 12465 - - 15046 - - 13444 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 88 - - 89 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 70 - - 50 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 61.6 - - 64.2 - - 57.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 26.6 - - 20.0 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.1 - - 60.2 - - 64.2 - - 61.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.5 - - 25.9 - - 19.3 - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 240 - - 419 - - 135 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5692 - - 9274 - - 11465 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 29 - - 51 - - 55 - - 54 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97494 31 284 39 294 37 293 38 295 97494 90115 38 285 51 291 42 305 40 298 90115 84419 33 291 46 291 45 303 38 299 84419 79707 24 293 31 286 35 293 33 294 79707 75639 22 287 22 268 29 265 30 277 75639 72032 32 263 25 255 33 253 33 266 72032 68777 33 249 25 253 29 243 32 256 68777 65787 30 237 25 239 29 235 32 243 65787 62998 30 234 31 236 32 240 37 243 62998 60280 33 239 34 241 37 246 36 245 60280 57450 34 242 36 246 37 249 34 252 57450 54532 34 241 38 247 39 250 36 251 54532 51756 32 244 36 243 36 243 35 253 51756 49255 35 250 35 249 35 253 34 258 49255 47008 41 248 42 250 41 258 40 268 47008 44973 43 247 44 248 41 257 41 264 44973 43111 43 249 44 254 42 258 37 265 43111 41388 45 252 51 253 44 259 36 274 41388 39788 51 250 53 248 42 258 45 280 39788 38307 60 246 50 250 37 263 48 282 38307 36936 66 241 50 250 39 272 41 290 36936 35635 68 238 50 249 37 272 37 302 35635 34335 72 238 47 246 33 271 33 313 34335 33005 79 239 45 244 29 269 34 326 33005 31648 84 239 43 246 22 284 37 334 31648 30250 86 239 43 248 24 282 39 341 30250 28803 82 240 41 248 17 296 40 349 28803 27308 71 244 31 251 18 320 38 352 27308 25770 53 249 18 278 16 336 35 351 25770 24191 40 260 14 310 18 344 28 345 24191 22570 25 271 14 307 19 342 18 334 22570 20897 14 287 17 311 15 337 16 330 20897 19164 16 288 16 320 13 326 19 320 19164 17408 19 289 14 315 16*337 16 314 17408 15721 18 295 14 300 16*340 9 320 15721 14184 16 294 12*305 15 341 8 309 14184 12804 14 285 12*309 14 342 8 310 12804 11566 12*285 12 308 13 341 8 313 11566 10451 9*301 11 307 12 340 9 317 10451 9447 9 301 11 307 11 339 9 319 9447 8545 8 300 11 307 10 336 10 321 8545 7738 8 298 11 305 10 333 10 322 7738 7015 7 295 11 304 9 331 10 323 7015 6359 7 293 11 302 8 327 10 325 6359 5773 6 290 11 300 8 325 10 326 5773 5277 6 288 11 299 7 322 9 326 5277 4894 5 286 10 298 7 320 9 325 4894 4628 5 284 10 297 7 320 7 324 4628 4466 5 283 9 297 6 318 6*324 4466 4373 4 282 8 296 6 317 4*325 4373 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography