DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.2 - - 76.6 - - 80.7 - - 80.1 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 372 - - 423 - - 110 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 8647 - - 11338 - - 12607 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 4357 - - 11296 - - 13562 - - 13500 - - 4358 Hcrit BL Top 4374 - - 13475 - - 16166 - - 17435 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1873 - - 2485 - - 1268 - - 1130 - - 11551 Hgt.Variab. W* 25 - - 617 - - 705 - - 469 - - 2 W* B/S 1 - - 23 - - 23 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 017 - - 248 - - 230 - - 219 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 3 - - 10 - - 12 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - 13 - - -18 - - 54 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -10534 - - -3722 - - -1069 - - 572 - - -9722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14908 - - 17198 - - 17236 - - 16863 - - 14098 sfcLCL ODpotential -16355 - - -7452 - - -3822 - - -1092 - - -13695 ODpotential blCL 20729 - - 20927 - - 19988 - - 18527 - - 18070 blCL maxRH 48 - - 51 - - 54 - - 78 - - 70 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.2 - - 76.6 - - 80.7 - - 80.1 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.4 - - 15.3 - - 19.0 - - 20.4 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.2 - - 75.3 - - 79.1 - - 80.2 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 13.9 - - 14.6 - - 18.6 - - 20.1 - - 22.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 372 - - 423 - - 110 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 8647 - - 11338 - - 12607 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96840 44 276 45 268 55 266 51 270 55 262 96840 89551 36 282 34 267 42 271 41 277 42 278 89551 83997 26 287 23 272 29 271 32 280 31 293 83997 79410 25 291 22 296 15 272 21 272 26 297 79410 75473 23 300 25 308 13 296 15 288 22 301 75473 72010 16 313 19 308 14 296 18 314 18 309 72010 68864 16 316 15 319 12 297 14 306 15 304 68864 65941 20 302 16 310 16 293 17 288 14 287 65941 63204 24 291 18 292 22 288 21 290 16 291 63204 60544 28 292 22 289 27 285 26 294 22 291 60544 57771 34 286 29 286 30 287 30 290 24 287 57771 54894 37 288 33 287 31 286 30 285 26 280 54894 52150 41 287 40 282 34 286 33 284 32 282 52150 49674 42 285 44 276 41 280 37 284 37 280 49674 47444 41 287 40 274 43 271 40 277 40 275 47444 45423 41 290 35 280 39 265 40 267 38 267 45423 43593 47 289 35 285 32 271 31 263 42 259 43593 41926 48 284 36 284 30 270 29 266 36 254 41926 40388 38 281 35 275 32 262 31 261 33 258 40388 38958 30 286 30 271 31 256 32 252 34 250 38958 37620 28 294 28 271 28 254 32 245 34 249 37620 36333 29 292 26 271 27 253 33 246 33 253 36333 35036 27 292 23 273 26 256 31 244 32 254 35036 33704 25 297 22 279 25 258 27 248 30 254 33704 32339 24 301 22 283 23 259 24 253 28 258 32339 30928 24 302 22 285 21 259 23 261 25 260 30928 29460 24 303 20 288 19 271 22 266 23 260 29460 27939 23 306 20 293 18 284 22 272 22 263 27939 26366 20 309 19 290 19 287 23 279 21 268 26366 24742 17 300 17 288 20 287 23 284 19 275 24742 23069 16 291 18 290 18 284 18 285 17 279 23069 21342 15 291 17 294 16 284 12 280 16 272 21342 19559 13 297 14 302 11 293 9 273 15 257 19559 17750 9 315 8 291 7*278 9*277 11 236 17750 16014 6 323 2 274 9*253 9*273 3 137 16014 14434 7 291 2*230 9 251 8 263 3 185 14434 13020 8 260 5*252 9 250 8 248 5 231 13020 11750 9 254 6 266 8 246 7 232 7 248 11750 10607 7 256 6 269 6 240 8 219 10 254 10607 9577 6 266 5 265 5 228 8 209 11 257 9577 8652 4 273 5 253 5 214 9 203 13 258 8652 7824 2 306 5 244 4 201 9 199 14 258 7824 7084 3 336 5 236 4 189 10 195 15 258 7084 6411 3 323 5 230 4 180 10 193 15 258 6411 5809 2 305 5 225 5 171 10 192 15 257 5809 5301 3 326 5 220 5 168 10 190 13 256 5301 4908 3 010 5 216 5 164 10 190 10 253 4908 4635 6 027 5 214 5 164 10 189 7 249 4635 4470 4*014 5 213 5 163 9 188 5*240 4470 4374 3*008 5 213 5 164 9 188 3*233 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography