DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/29 Sedona_AZ 4828ft pt26576@34.853,-111.929,4491ft BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +1.1 degF SPONSORED BY: Ted Grussing RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 84.3 - - 80.8 - - 71.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 388 - - 50 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5595 - - 14010 - - 12175 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8806 - - 15708 - - 12137 - - 4357 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10423 - - 18838 - - 17003 - - 4375 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 5185 - - 1886 - - 3188 - - 12459 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 515 - - 735 - - 359 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 18 - - 17 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 227 - - 267 - - 274 - - 243 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 29 - - 10 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5023 - - 1466 - - 498 - - -9751 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15447 - - 17372 - - 16506 - - 14126 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7041 - - 1135 - - -906 - - -12504 ODpotential blCL - - - 17464 - - 17703 - - 17909 - - 16879 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 93 - - 90 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.8 - - 84.3 - - 80.8 - - 71.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.9 - - 22.1 - - 22.9 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 83.2 - - 81.4 - - 77.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.4 - - 21.8 - - 22.7 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 337 - - 388 - - 50 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5595 - - 14010 - - 12175 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 72 - - 61 - - 10 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96548 33 280 38 278 44 272 43 278 96548 89291 25 277 32 284 31 278 36 292 89291 83801 26 286 29 287 26 287 32 305 83801 79259 22 299 25 295 22 293 26 299 79259 75330 16 322 17 308 21 301 24 300 75330 71845 16 318 17 302 21 313 28 314 71845 68693 13 307 18 301 26 299 29 305 68693 65808 9 320 17 307 20 291 23 299 65808 63134 11 320 13 320 14 275 18 277 63134 60530 16 293 15 306 21 282 14 268 60530 57795 27 276 27 280 26 287 22 289 57795 54932 30 264 33 261 33 272 35 282 54932 52185 26 258 35 257 38 269 39 279 52185 49711 28 261 36 260 41 274 36 280 49711 47500 33 260 36 262 38 270 35 284 47500 45503 32 258 36 263 33 266 37 277 45503 43691 26 257 29 256 29 263 35 262 43691 42030 27 250 25 240 25 252 28 255 42030 40493 34 245 32 242 26 244 24 250 40493 39065 37 237 35 223 33 234 25 249 39065 37730 29 231 28 225 36 228 30 237 37730 36449 23 225 27 225 33 226 36 231 36449 35155 20 229 25 220 31 227 34 228 35155 33821 20 242 24 222 29 222 31 229 33821 32450 19 243 23 222 28 222 28 232 32450 31034 18 226 24 219 26 233 27 239 31034 29560 18 216 26 222 25 243 27 246 29560 28032 17 219 25 232 24 252 27 252 28032 26452 18 230 22 247 24 259 27 257 26452 24823 22 244 24 264 24 257 24 255 24823 23149 28 249 28 272 24 260 22 254 23149 21425 25 248 29 277 23 269 20 266 21425 19642 20 254 27*279 22 277 21 282 19642 17833 24 264 20*273 20*283 23 289 17833 16092 28 267 18 269 17*278 20 285 16092 14500 29 271 17 267 16 276 17 274 14500 13075 28 272 18 266 16 275 17 262 13075 11796 26 270 18 265 16 275 18 257 11796 10645 22*266 18 265 17 273 19 256 10645 9608 17*259 18 266 17 272 19 256 9608 8676 13 248 19 266 18 272 19 254 8676 7844 10 236 18 266 18 272 19 253 7844 7098 8 220 18 266 18 272 19 253 7098 6422 7 206 18 266 17 272 19 252 6422 5817 7 200 18 266 17 272 18 250 5817 5306 7 194 18 266 17 272 16 249 5306 4911 7 191 17 265 16 272 12 248 4911 4637 6 189 17 265 16 272 9 246 4637 4470 6 188 16 265 14 272 6*243 4470 4374 6 187 14 265 11 272 3*243 4374 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography