DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.3 - - 94.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 18 - - 26 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1663 - - 3731 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 559 - - 1673 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2258 - - 4326 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1566 - - 1783 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 148 - - 236 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 11 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 313 - - 251 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 768 - - -54 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1490 - - 4380 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 186 - - -3232 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2072 - - 7558 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 82 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 4380 - - 4210 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.3 - - 94.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 79.9 - - 77.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.4 - - 94.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 79.3 - - 75.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 18 - - 26 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1663 - - 3731 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 29 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 22 - - 19 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99385 38 092 30 102 99385 91860 30 084 34 099 91860 86066 23 091 33 084 86066 81278 27 093 25 085 81278 77162 26 077 23 088 77162 73526 23 075 27 085 73526 70243 20 077 24 080 70243 67245 16 097 16 085 67245 64480 21 072 13 086 64480 61813 22 040 14 058 61813 59056 25 009 17 016 59056 56213 27 356 22 356 56213 53522 40 341 43 338 53522 51116 38 327 38 322 51116 48948 30 328 30 331 48948 46963 34 341 37 343 46963 45136 39 341 48 343 45136 43443 42 337 50 342 43443 41855 41 331 49 340 41855 40357 39 323 40 340 40357 38939 37 317 31 339 38939 37566 36 319 33 324 37566 36171 35 320 33 320 36171 34721 35 323 33 321 34721 33212 36 324 35 324 33212 31633 36 325 37 325 31633 29971 36 326 36 321 29971 28227 28 316 36 318 28227 26400 22 310 27 323 26400 24489 23 318 20 311 24489 22501 29 324 28 312 22501 20444 39 325 34 306 20444 18317 49 315 30 308 18317 16151 40 314 26 316 16151 14062 33 322 27 328 14062 12154 29 320 22 335 12154 10452 22 317 18 351 10452 8935 14 308 17 354 8935 7581 11 314 13 341 7581 6377 13 305 8 296 6377 5310 14 300 11 265 5310 4368 12 300 12*255 4368 3534 11 303 12*253 3534 2787 10*307 12 252 2787 2124 9*310 11 250 2124 1572 8 313 10 249 1572 1147 8 314 10 249 1147 855 7 315 9 249 855 678 7 316 9 248 678 576 6 316 7 249 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography