DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.3 - - 92.2 - - 87.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 95 - - 21 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3953 - - 5413 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2804 - - 3023 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4548 - - 6008 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2593 - - 2181 - - 5432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 327 - - 273 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 203 - - 193 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 832 - - 1549 - - -2485 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3716 - - 4459 - - 3062 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -655 - - -215 - - -4415 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5203 - - 6223 - - 4992 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 82 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3700 - - 3530 - - 3770 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.3 - - 92.2 - - 87.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 75.6 - - 74.3 - - 75.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.8 - - 92.2 - - 89.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 74.2 - - 72.9 - - 74.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 95 - - 21 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3953 - - 5413 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 13 - - 27 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99349 37 102 32 097 37 080 99349 91842 32 098 26 094 28 071 91842 86050 26 083 27 097 20 082 86050 81234 19 090 24 079 22 095 81234 77088 18 102 19 065 21 088 77088 73435 19 093 14 105 17 087 73435 70152 16 081 15 124 10 095 70152 67153 11 099 9 108 8 093 67153 64373 10 139 3 081 4 024 64373 61689 8 157 1 207 7 293 61689 58910 6 144 8 174 8 252 58910 56054 6 147 11 172 10 236 56054 53359 6 237 2 208 6 195 53359 50946 11 214 14 269 4 141 50946 48779 14 178 17 251 9 267 48779 46813 9 170 10 215 14 260 46813 45016 4 209 7 196 13 258 45016 43348 4 250 5 195 12 257 43348 41784 2 255 5 196 11 263 41784 40305 4 095 7 162 11 253 40305 38901 6 091 9 141 8 208 38901 37534 2 105 6 154 6 179 37534 36139 2 110 5 150 6 210 36139 34688 2 242 3 176 5 185 34688 33187 6 246 6 222 6 167 33187 31618 11 230 10 231 7 203 31618 29965 14 222 13 227 9 220 29965 28230 20 210 17 229 11 230 28230 26411 24 217 19 236 13 228 26411 24510 22 225 19 239 11 224 24510 22530 16 233 15 228 9 215 22530 20468 20 219 17 205 11 221 20468 18325 27 203 24 210 17 228 18325 16144 33 205 30 212 26 224 16144 14038 26 206 24 216 25 225 14038 12119 18 207 21 208 21 230 12119 10410 15 209 18 207 18 225 10410 8892 12 224 16 212 18 220 8892 7541 13 229 14 215 18 216 7541 6341 13 218 12*210 16 209 6341 5279 11*209 11*202 16 204 5279 4341 9*205 11 197 16 198 4341 3511 8 204 10 194 16 193 3511 2768 8 203 10 192 16 188 2768 2111 8 202 9 190 15 184 2111 1563 7 201 9 187 14 180 1563 1142 7 201 8 186 13 177 1142 852 7 201 8 186 11 174 852 676 6 201 8 185 9*172 676 576 5 200 7 185 6*170 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography