DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.9 - - 66.6 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -40 - - -35 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 1986 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 558 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 575 - - 575 - - 2581 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2910 - - 3217 - - 865 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 17 - - 20 - - 182 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - 38 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 212 - - 259 - - 289 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -339 - - -509 - - 1137 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 914 - - 1084 - - 1444 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1653 - - -1601 - - 756 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2228 - - 2176 - - 1825 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 840 - - 780 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.9 - - 66.6 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.2 - - 63.1 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.3 - - 67.7 - - 42.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.8 - - 62.6 - - 37.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -40 - - -35 - - 38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 1986 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 93 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95694 37 264 38 279 41 277 95694 88787 24 299 28 287 26 292 88787 83406 22 303 20 288 24 305 83406 78910 14 310 14 292 11 323 78910 74992 14 311 15 282 15 324 74992 71520 12 290 14 273 13 279 71520 68374 13 291 7 258 8 243 68374 65454 20 301 23 289 24 291 65454 62743 35 273 48 274 34 289 62743 60116 44 259 56 260 51 271 60116 57361 58 262 55 254 60 256 57361 54497 68 258 62 254 69 257 54497 51754 78 252 77 251 85 254 51754 49273 77 247 82 244 92 242 49273 47045 72 254 77 250 86 243 47045 45027 88 262 96 261 94 257 45027 43190 109 258 116 261 124 262 43190 41495 106 250 122 249 138 256 41495 39932 96 252 117 241 128 241 39932 38487 99 262 107 239 113 236 38487 37124 103 264 110 243 113 243 37124 35806 100 260 115 246 125 250 35806 34469 97 256 114 250 126 247 34469 33075 96 257 110 253 122 242 33075 31623 95 260 105 251 121 241 31623 30097 92 259 97 247 120 242 30097 28486 85 252 94 243 120 242 28486 26800 81 245 94 240 116 239 26800 25037 79 242 92 238 114 234 25037 23197 76 240 87 237 112 232 23197 21281 71 239 84 236 112 235 21281 19289 66 235 81 235 108 237 19289 17218 68 235 76 234 102 238 17218 15112 68 232 72 235 94 235 15112 13091 65 233 69 239 83 229 13091 11262 64 237 66 244 74 231 11262 9643 62 239 59 243 59 240 9643 8205 59 240 55 237 55 250 8205 6928 56 244 50 235 49 258 6928 5800 52 245 46 237 47 263 5800 4811 49 240 42 242 46 263 4811 3948 45 235 40 249 42 281 3948 3198 42 231 39 255 43*288 3198 2532 40 228 38 257 42*289 2532 1945 37 226 37 256 41 289 1945 1455 32 220 33 259 40 289 1455 1078 28 217 29 259 38 289 1078 819 23 214 25 259 34 288 819 662 19*213 23*260 30 288 662 572 13*212 14*259 22 288 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography