DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 68.2 - - 65.8 - - 55.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 243 - - 102 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1100 - - 2429 - - 3108 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 1993 - - 2023 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1695 - - 3024 - - 3703 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 823 - - 731 - - 900 - - 505 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 181 - - 339 - - 277 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 21 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 315 - - 336 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2142 - - -2873 - - -3125 - - -4356 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3837 - - 5897 - - 6828 - - 4930 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9497 - - -8267 - - -10068 - - -13951 ODpotential blCL - - - 11192 - - 11291 - - 13771 - - 14525 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 57 - - 54 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.8 - - 68.2 - - 65.8 - - 55.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 47.3 - - 44.6 - - 38.1 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.6 - - 67.0 - - 65.3 - - 58.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.2 - - 44.4 - - 38.0 - - 36.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 82 - - 243 - - 102 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1100 - - 2429 - - 3108 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96398 8 348 9 338 9 274 15 272 96398 89274 4 339 5 271 10 295 13 295 89274 83776 7 273 8 301 11 299 10 313 83776 79208 8 276 10 269 15 295 12 306 79208 75262 16 301 12 250 20 278 17 302 75262 71765 21 283 16 261 22 276 23 296 71765 68596 16 284 15 287 21 271 24 300 68596 65684 30 285 20 293 21 277 26 289 65684 62987 31 270 28 295 26 287 31 290 62987 60373 29 293 40 292 43 289 45 280 60373 57643 44 276 49 281 51 280 53 279 57643 54813 49 280 58 282 60 283 61 284 54813 52118 62 284 65 283 67 282 69 284 52118 49691 68 281 69 282 70 278 72 278 49691 47511 71 276 73 278 71 275 73 276 47511 45532 74 274 79 273 73 276 74 281 45532 43729 78 274 79 270 76 280 75 284 43729 42078 80 271 78 274 77 279 72 282 42078 40550 79 269 77 275 73 276 69 278 40550 39117 75 273 75 275 66 280 66 278 39117 37759 70 273 70 277 63 285 65 280 37759 36439 60 272 66 278 61 288 65 283 36439 35091 56 275 65 278 59 291 66 287 35091 33687 56 278 63 277 58 293 66 290 33687 32229 57 280 61 275 56 291 66 292 32229 30700 57 278 58 277 55 286 66 292 30700 29088 60 277 51 284 54 286 66 293 29088 27389 59 278 50 287 55 288 64 291 27389 25604 59 275 58 283 56 291 61 289 25604 23736 60 274 62 282 59 291 53 291 23736 21791 62 274 64 282 59 290 51 292 21791 19764 58 274 66 282 57 288 52 291 19764 17655 50 272 61 279 54 290 47 293 17655 15508 37 269 54 277 53 293 37 296 15508 13442 30 285 49 286 50 294 37 302 13442 11567 33 294 36 275 41 288 38 300 11567 9906 28 290 38 278 35 288 37 296 9906 8436 29 292 35 297 36 294 32 302 8436 7135 30 290 30 299 33 305 23 324 7135 5986 26 282 28 306 31 321 21 353 5986 4976 24 285 28 318 26 340 21 011 4976 4092 26 297 27 324 22*337 21 010 4092 3315 25 296 23*320 22*336 22 007 3315 2620 28 289 21*316 22 336 23 006 2620 2005 29*278 21 315 22 336 23 005 2005 1493 24*269 21 315 22 336 22 003 1493 1100 23 267 20 314 21 335 20 359 1100 830 21 266 19 314 20 335 16 354 830 666 19 266 18 314 19 335 13*350 666 573 15 265 15 314 15 334 6*343 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography