DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 82.0 - - 84.0 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 109 - - 41 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1391 - - 3866 - - 5145 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 2778 - - 3135 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1986 - - 4461 - - 5740 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1834 - - 1964 - - 1714 - - 6091 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 218 - - 331 - - 291 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 044 - - 040 - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -66 - - 931 - - 1482 - - -2538 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2052 - - 3531 - - 4259 - - 3114 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1661 - - -349 - - -325 - - -3932 ODpotential blCL - - - 3647 - - 4810 - - 6065 - - 4508 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 81 - - 76 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 790 - - 830 - - 780 - - 970 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.2 - - 82.0 - - 84.0 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.9 - - 68.4 - - 67.3 - - 68.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.6 - - 81.4 - - 83.9 - - 82.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 67.0 - - 65.9 - - 67.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 95 - - 109 - - 41 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1391 - - 3866 - - 5145 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 49 - - 24 - - 5 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 13 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99349 55 094 40 099 38 087 36 088 99349 91839 36 082 40 096 32 090 30 082 91839 86063 21 088 34 087 31 083 28 081 86063 81269 22 093 28 074 27 091 25 075 81269 77141 21 087 17 070 25 082 24 074 77141 73508 20 083 18 090 19 076 20 057 73508 70248 21 065 17 071 19 076 15 080 70248 67264 21 055 15 072 16 059 19 056 67264 64510 17 040 16 064 11 076 13 033 64510 61853 12 007 18 038 16 048 13 034 61853 59076 16 003 21 008 16 010 17 017 59076 56198 23 348 16 352 22 358 27 003 56198 53466 16 333 23 351 30 354 32 356 53466 51009 18 349 34 351 35 348 35 351 51009 48794 28 354 38 355 37 350 37 350 48794 46772 34 353 39 358 35 353 32 349 46772 44915 35 352 36 357 33 356 26 357 44915 43200 30 347 31 000 31 357 25 002 43200 41605 22 351 28 002 27 359 25 358 41605 40110 16 358 21 006 25 004 20 357 40110 38700 13 359 14 005 21 004 20 009 38700 37339 9 343 14 011 17 358 20 005 37339 35959 8 344 14 002 18 004 16 001 35959 34527 7 005 11 009 17 016 13 009 34527 33041 8 044 14 051 15 029 13 019 33041 31482 16 054 17 067 14 049 14 033 31482 29839 22 054 20 073 15 074 15 040 29839 28112 23 051 20 074 17 078 13 047 28112 26299 23 052 20 068 17 069 12 065 26299 24401 21 053 20 058 19 061 13 055 24401 22422 16 029 18 051 21 056 17 045 22422 20357 14 018 16 043 19 054 15 044 20357 18202 13 015 16 031 18 045 15 049 18202 16004 13 016 16 026 20 043 17 059 16004 13887 11 023 17 023 20 041 16 064 13887 11963 11 031 16 028 15 045 15 046 11963 10262 15 032 16 034 13 052 15 041 10262 8759 16 032 16 039 14 049 13 055 8759 7427 15 037 14 048 12 051 9 063 7427 6246 18 043 14 052 12*046 11 052 6246 5200 19 044 13*051 12*043 13 043 5200 4277 19 042 11*047 11 042 14 038 4277 3460 18 046 10 044 11 040 14 036 3460 2730 15 048 10 044 11 040 14 034 2730 2084 14*047 9 043 10 038 14 033 2084 1545 10*038 9 043 10 038 13 031 1545 1131 10 037 8 042 9 038 12 030 1131 846 9 036 8 042 9 038 10 027 846 674 8 036 7 042 8 037 8*025 674 575 7 035 7 042 7 038 6*024 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography