DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 14.0 - - 21.2 - - 26.8 - - 26.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 257 - - 55 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1843 - - 1945 - - 2517 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1084 - - 1661 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2438 - - 2540 - - 3112 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 479 - - 438 - - 677 - - 3209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 233 - - 320 - - 209 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 18 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 212 - - 209 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 4 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -807 - - -2507 - - -2360 - - -4838 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3246 - - 5047 - - 5472 - - 5410 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13472 - - -12614 - - -11972 - - -11913 ODpotential blCL - - - 15910 - - 15154 - - 15084 - - 12485 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 88 - - 101 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 14.0 - - 21.2 - - 26.8 - - 26.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 2.0 - - 1.2 - - 4.8 - - 4.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 13.5 - - 20.1 - - 26.7 - - 27.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 1.8 - - 0.8 - - 4.6 - - 4.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 257 - - 55 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1843 - - 1945 - - 2517 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 52 - - 102 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96222 27 032 18 019 27 017 10 356 96222 89237 23 026 22 026 18 025 11 341 89237 83749 15 040 15 032 6 046 2 232 83749 79113 13 351 4 353 12 308 9 320 79113 75109 10 315 9 265 19 277 19 305 75109 71569 8 291 7 275 15 261 18 269 71569 68333 23 286 22 278 25 269 29 273 68333 65345 32 271 30 277 35 273 36 263 65345 62551 39 276 33 271 40 264 37 252 62551 59807 43 277 37 270 41 260 39 259 59807 56927 46 275 41 269 41 263 45 254 56927 53925 46 277 42 265 48 269 41 259 53925 51046 51 277 43 269 54 265 55 265 51046 48460 51 268 47 273 54 258 64 259 48460 46156 46 261 46 266 50 247 56 258 46156 44069 38 268 37 265 40 253 58 262 44069 42158 38 286 41 273 50 269 63 266 42158 40408 48 291 54 279 54 273 65 275 40408 38794 54 285 65 277 61 282 65 284 38794 37286 55 279 60 278 74 283 81 289 37286 35870 52 275 57 283 78 282 93 286 35870 34508 45 274 61 288 75 281 96 283 34508 33134 39 281 64 291 69 289 94 284 33134 31723 38 289 64 296 81 299 97 288 31723 30279 38 293 67 300 100 301 106 292 30279 28787 38 286 70 302 107 298 116 293 28787 27229 38 272 70 302 100 294 119 291 27229 25602 38 269 67 301 89 291 114 287 25602 23905 39 276 63 305 80 290 106 284 23905 22143 39 288 60 307 76 290 97 285 22143 20319 39 299 54 302 71 289 90 287 20319 18427 40 300 45 287 61 285 80 286 18427 16463 40 296 46 285 58 283 68 281 16463 14469 32 290 42 289 51 274 61 274 14469 12552 27 275 41 288 50 270 56 279 12552 10808 28 271 40 289 46 269 53 281 10808 9255 26 270 37 281 46 265 51 289 9255 7879 24 267 32 268 42 257 45 284 7879 6666 23 260 31 263 28 261 47 279 6666 5604 25 259 29 257 29 261 46 269 5604 4671 25 266 28 252 31 249 42 254 4671 3850 24 273 24 246 28*234 36 250 3850 3125 20*271 19*235 21*214 32 249 3125 2476 17*266 14*214 19 211 27 243 2476 1904 13 259 13 212 18 209 23 240 1904 1427 13 258 13 212 17 208 18 237 1427 1061 12 257 13 211 16 208 15 237 1061 810 11 257 12 211 15 207 11 237 810 658 11 256 11 210 14 207 9*238 658 571 9 256 10 210 11 206 5*235 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography