DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 65.8 - - 69.2 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 168 - - 44 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 282 - - 1530 - - 2573 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1207 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 877 - - 2125 - - 3168 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 398 - - 666 - - 1606 - - 168 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 97 - - 258 - - 198 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 271 - - 275 - - 280 - - 236 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2177 - - -3075 - - -2932 - - -3112 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3054 - - 5200 - - 6100 - - 3686 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10954 - - -8950 - - -7985 - - -10477 ODpotential blCL - - - 11831 - - 11075 - - 11153 - - 11051 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 57 - - 62 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 65.8 - - 69.2 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.4 - - 45.3 - - 44.7 - - 45.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 64.9 - - 68.9 - - 63.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.0 - - 44.9 - - 44.3 - - 45.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 168 - - 44 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 282 - - 1530 - - 2573 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96319 57 259 54 248 66 249 71 256 96319 89177 36 259 39 260 36 266 32 261 89177 83696 20 251 31 258 32 272 26 287 83696 79115 12 285 19 254 27 265 26 285 79115 75155 15 286 12 280 18 276 20 276 75155 71651 20 268 21 295 18 283 22 274 71651 68472 23 274 24 291 20 269 25 272 68472 65547 26 279 27 280 26 273 29 280 65547 62840 31 270 35 276 35 278 36 279 62840 60225 37 265 42 273 42 276 39 274 60225 57501 43 271 44 272 46 273 43 272 57501 54680 47 275 46 268 49 263 50 270 54680 51993 53 275 51 270 52 257 54 267 51993 49574 59 271 54 269 53 257 54 264 49574 47401 64 266 58 267 54 259 53 264 47401 45425 62 261 61 262 55 263 53 265 45425 43619 55 260 59 257 58 262 52 263 43619 41962 45 262 49 256 52 258 48 262 41962 40426 39 258 40 260 41 259 42 265 40426 38985 31 258 33 259 35 269 41 270 38985 37624 30 261 31 264 34 276 40 276 37624 36306 31 269 30 270 32 282 35 277 36306 34967 33 274 30 277 30 282 32 278 34967 33572 33 280 32 282 32 281 31 283 33572 32127 33 286 31 281 33 282 29 286 32127 30614 32 290 30 283 32 283 29 288 30614 29020 30 287 29 285 32 285 32 295 29020 27344 29 287 28 288 33 290 32 298 27344 25584 30 286 28 286 32 293 29 292 25584 23743 29 286 29 287 30 290 28 284 23743 21824 27 282 29 288 31 291 28 288 21824 19821 27 284 28 288 29 294 26 291 19821 17729 25 285 27 291 27 296 24 293 17729 15593 23 286 25 290 25 300 23 299 15593 13530 20 290 20 287 21 292 21 297 13530 11655 17 294 13 294 14 279 17 285 11655 9994 16 300 10 312 8 288 11 272 9994 8523 16 307 10 328 8 311 6 294 8523 7216 17 303 9 327 8 316 6 315 7216 6058 17 292 13 297 10 288 8 291 6058 5037 15 279 17 281 16 286 12 287 5037 4141 15 282 16 277 14 281 11 275 4141 3352 16 285 15 280 11*281 8 273 3352 2647 16 285 14*282 10*281 7 276 2647 2025 16 290 12*278 10 280 6 276 2025 1506 18 291 11 275 9 280 5 273 1506 1108 17*285 10 274 9 280 5 268 1108 834 11*272 10 274 8 279 5 259 834 668 10 271 9 273 8 279 4*239 668 573 8 270 8 273 7 278 4*236 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography