DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 73.3 - - 75.0 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 233 - - 96 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 313 - - 2144 - - 2644 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 1770 - - 1632 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 908 - - 2739 - - 3239 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 378 - - 1551 - - 1506 - - 1784 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 320 - - 256 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 12 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 175 - - 174 - - 154 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2082 - - -2786 - - -2457 - - -3461 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2990 - - 5525 - - 5696 - - 4036 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6816 - - -5453 - - -5230 - - -7732 ODpotential blCL - - - 7724 - - 8192 - - 8469 - - 8307 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 83 - - 88 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.5 - - 73.3 - - 75.0 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 50.8 - - 51.4 - - 52.3 - - 52.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.0 - - 72.0 - - 74.4 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 50.7 - - 51.2 - - 52.1 - - 52.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 91 - - 233 - - 96 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 313 - - 2144 - - 2644 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 35 - - 31 - - 52 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96840 36 245 46 253 48 262 49 267 96840 89658 22 255 27 257 32 255 32 265 89658 84121 20 260 21 255 24 251 29 264 84121 79526 19 266 15 251 17 240 24 255 79526 75573 23 281 10 264 11 246 17 254 75573 72075 21 261 14 272 14 270 12 252 72075 68894 17 232 17 255 18 268 18 268 68894 65965 16 240 18 244 24 266 26 257 65965 63252 15 257 20 243 27 249 26 251 63252 60619 22 258 21 250 28 246 27 257 60619 57861 28 240 27 247 32 243 34 260 57861 54998 28 236 31 245 35 248 44 261 54998 52270 38 247 41 251 43 256 51 261 52270 49826 50 247 47 253 50 254 55 263 49826 47646 53 245 49 257 51 259 59 267 47646 45678 49 245 52 257 55 267 60 269 45678 43881 46 245 49 253 58 270 58 270 43881 42220 47 243 48 249 58 266 55 274 42220 40672 49 243 48 250 52 266 55 275 40672 39218 47 242 44 245 50 265 54 270 39218 37847 43 241 39 246 45 260 44 266 37847 36519 40 244 39 246 36 268 38 271 36519 35165 42 246 39 242 36 274 38 276 35165 33754 42 243 37 242 35 272 37 278 33754 32292 39 239 38 242 34 268 33 278 32292 30763 32 235 38 240 35 258 29 276 30763 29153 27 234 34 239 31 252 22 282 29153 27467 25 235 26 239 22 257 19 287 27467 25706 21 221 21 238 18 259 16 279 25706 23869 14 221 21 236 19 251 14 265 23869 21953 14 221 22 232 19 245 14 258 21953 19950 14 235 21 235 20 242 15 256 19950 17851 12 238 21 238 22 244 17 252 17851 15699 15 245 22 239 25 253 20 260 15699 13634 18 250 26 247 29 251 19 262 13634 11768 21 267 24 254 25 242 17 242 11768 10107 21 280 18 256 16 239 16 233 10107 8625 16 288 12 234 14 222 15 234 8625 7306 7 269 10 195 15 207 14 227 7306 6134 2 257 11 174 15 194 15 218 6134 5098 2 155 13 168 17 182 16 206 5098 4188 6 167 15 175 17 179 17 198 4188 3388 8 180 14*180 16*176 18 189 3388 2674 11 194 13*179 16*175 19 179 2674 2044 15 200 13 177 15 174 20 173 2044 1518 15 189 12 175 15 174 20 171 1518 1115 13*185 12 174 15 174 18 169 1115 837 8*182 11 173 14 174 15 165 837 670 8 182 11 173 13 173 12*161 670 574 7 182 10 172 11 173 6*154 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography