DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 75.0 - - 76.3 - - 68.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 162 - - 24 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 317 - - 1693 - - 2319 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 1302 - - 558 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 912 - - 2288 - - 2914 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 373 - - 1458 - - 2287 - - 814 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 113 - - 263 - - 157 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 105 - - 117 - - 112 - - 060 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6483 - - -5745 - - -4289 - - -4641 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7396 - - 8033 - - 7204 - - 5215 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10891 - - -7769 - - -5881 - - -7612 ODpotential blCL - - - 11803 - - 10057 - - 8795 - - 8186 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 90 - - 97 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 240 - - 40 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.1 - - 75.0 - - 76.3 - - 68.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.5 - - 42.3 - - 47.1 - - 48.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.6 - - 74.0 - - 76.2 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 42.1 - - 46.9 - - 47.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 162 - - 24 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 317 - - 1693 - - 2319 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 61 - - 89 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96395 81 250 87 255 87 261 78 268 96395 89392 46 259 54 253 55 261 61 267 89392 83976 29 277 34 266 37 258 43 262 83976 79476 28 286 30 286 25 276 22 261 79476 75589 30 278 29 287 22 297 20 289 75589 72126 27 277 22 293 24 291 30 299 72126 68960 28 280 20 292 25 281 32 291 68960 66024 26 284 20 281 23 281 29 285 66024 63283 30 283 21 279 27 288 26 288 63283 60623 36 278 31 272 32 282 28 296 60623 57849 38 271 32 262 34 278 33 292 57849 54977 37 270 30 262 36 269 39 273 54977 52248 46 261 37 262 38 262 37 264 52248 49798 44 257 47 249 38 263 32 267 49798 47609 41 256 44 243 39 257 32 269 47609 45629 46 240 42 243 38 252 35 260 45629 43831 49 229 48 225 39 244 35 248 43831 42193 49 225 54 212 46 229 40 233 42193 40682 47 226 54 208 49 220 37 224 40682 39262 44 229 51 206 46 223 33 226 39262 37912 42 229 50 211 44 224 34 225 37912 36594 42 230 45 214 39 225 36 222 36594 35244 42 232 41 215 37 229 37 221 35244 33834 41 234 41 218 38 235 35 221 33834 32366 40 233 38 221 38 239 36 224 32366 30827 31 238 37 222 38 240 33 225 30827 29202 29 244 33 226 37 238 30 222 29202 27493 29 246 28 240 36 237 28 220 27493 25703 30 241 29 254 34 233 23 232 25703 23837 32 238 30 255 30 228 16 247 23837 21894 28 239 29 252 21 237 11 238 21894 19865 18 238 28 247 19 244 9 230 19865 17753 13 217 26 234 29 239 20 221 17753 15608 20 189 22 211 26 218 20 223 15608 13550 20 162 25 173 17 191 23 229 13550 11691 16 158 24 162 19 150 20 193 11691 10047 14 170 21 161 18 153 25 141 10047 8584 15 179 18 161 15 168 22 153 8584 7278 12 186 16 162 15 178 16 163 7278 6116 9 180 14 155 16 180 13 162 6116 5086 6 161 13 145 15 177 14 144 5086 4179 6 150 13 138 13 164 16 117 4179 3380 6 142 14 137 11*135 17 101 3380 2668 7 132 13*132 11*114 17 098 2668 2039 9 136 10*120 11 112 17 096 2039 1514 12 139 9 118 10 112 17 089 1514 1112 10*130 9 117 10 111 15 078 1112 836 5*106 8 116 9 111 13 066 836 669 5 105 8 116 9 111 10*062 669 573 5 104 7 115 7 110 6*060 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography