DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 37.7 - - 42.1 - - 36.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 61 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1579 - - 1505 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1129 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2174 - - 2100 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 486 - - 538 - - 1020 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 244 - - 183 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 172 - - 166 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -576 - - -1348 - - -1712 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2750 - - 3448 - - 2284 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12808 - - -12698 - - -14172 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14982 - - 14798 - - 14744 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 94 - - 81 - - 66 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 37.7 - - 42.1 - - 36.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 28.0 - - 29.3 - - 28.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 36.9 - - 41.8 - - 37.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 27.8 - - 29.1 - - 28.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 141 - - 61 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1579 - - 1505 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 76 - - 24 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96051 40 258 41 247 39 253 96051 88868 21 274 23 262 25 258 88868 83378 19 274 18 272 17 276 83378 78853 16 269 19 277 22 286 78853 74950 18 291 16 269 23 285 74950 71471 26 290 17 280 26 291 71471 68294 29 282 24 281 26 291 68294 65359 31 280 31 282 32 286 65359 62644 34 281 34 275 30 273 62644 60020 35 282 36 285 33 283 60020 57282 43 286 44 284 47 281 57282 54441 52 287 54 278 53 268 54441 51713 57 284 59 274 59 281 51713 49232 59 291 65 280 67 285 49232 46998 73 290 68 284 69 285 46998 44975 76 286 69 289 70 282 44975 43132 77 288 78 290 71 283 43132 41444 81 285 85 284 78 287 41444 39891 82 283 87 281 89 286 39891 38450 94 283 90 281 91 284 38450 37100 92 283 86 282 87 285 37100 35797 83 285 81 281 80 286 35797 34473 77 286 80 279 75 290 34473 33098 73 288 74 278 74 292 33098 31670 67 290 66 275 67 286 31670 30175 62 282 64 275 65 288 30175 28598 55 277 65 277 66 291 28598 26936 50 277 62 275 60 288 26936 25190 45 274 58 276 59 287 25190 23363 43 270 57 281 57 290 23363 21463 43 273 55 284 56 290 21463 19486 41 288 50 285 56 292 19486 17423 38 295 48 283 54 292 17423 15314 35 296 34 289 39 289 15314 13273 29 297 30 283 33 283 13273 11413 23 291 22 279 27 271 11413 9764 17 289 19 274 21 253 9764 8308 11 298 15 262 21 245 8308 7020 10 296 12 257 21 240 7020 5880 10 283 10 258 19 237 5880 4876 12 273 10 252 18 234 4876 3996 12 268 12 237 19 233 3996 3222 9 255 13 218 19 229 3222 2538 4*190 11*183 18 214 2538 1942 4*175 10*169 17 188 1942 1451 4 174 10 167 16 172 1451 1075 4 171 10 165 14 165 1075 817 4 170 10 164 12 160 817 661 4 170 9 163 9*156 661 571 4 171 8 163 4*144 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography