DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.1 - - 63.4 - - 57.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 89 - - 45 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1653 - - 2021 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 921 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2248 - - 2616 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 795 - - 733 - - 527 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 227 - - 191 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 25 - - 26 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 175 - - 181 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 13 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -860 - - -872 - - -1305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3108 - - 3488 - - 1879 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11174 - - -7539 - - -5987 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13422 - - 10155 - - 6561 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 69 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 60.1 - - 63.4 - - 57.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.4 - - 50.0 - - 50.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 59.8 - - 63.4 - - 59.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 47.3 - - 49.4 - - 50.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 89 - - 45 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1653 - - 2021 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97376 43 268 51 272 41 274 97376 90164 33 286 32 266 37 285 90164 84551 34 269 29 287 27 281 84551 79881 25 255 32 286 18 297 79881 75852 11 242 17 259 21 292 75852 72260 3 274 10 223 14 270 72260 69003 5 286 7 234 9 250 69003 66023 8 245 13 247 13 256 66023 63268 11 219 17 226 16 237 63268 60597 16 253 24 249 20 245 60597 57815 29 251 32 242 29 247 57815 54945 34 249 36 246 36 247 54945 52222 35 257 43 253 40 253 52222 49778 48 263 55 249 57 252 49778 47584 54 261 65 250 68 249 47584 45595 56 265 69 255 73 253 45595 43781 64 269 70 260 77 257 43781 42116 69 272 76 270 77 260 42116 40569 71 273 80 272 78 264 40569 39115 67 272 78 270 83 267 39115 37739 62 275 72 267 86 265 37739 36403 62 279 69 268 86 263 36403 35043 62 280 70 269 87 262 35043 33630 60 278 72 269 89 262 33630 32164 57 278 70 267 87 260 32164 30631 52 281 68 265 83 256 30631 29017 51 281 66 265 81 254 29017 27323 51 276 65 264 77 253 27323 25551 54 273 61 262 71 252 25551 23700 57 270 52 256 68 250 23700 21773 55 264 49 255 65 249 21773 19762 49 254 48 258 59 247 19762 17667 39 248 49 254 51 247 17667 15532 36 246 47 249 49 246 15532 13476 30 239 48 245 51 242 13476 11604 31 240 47 234 55 239 11604 9941 33 252 40 230 55 235 9941 8470 36 253 44 237 50 241 8470 7173 34 246 47 240 50 249 7173 6025 30 231 47 235 52 245 6025 5008 32 222 46 225 48 234 5008 4114 37 212 44 212 48 223 4114 3329 38 196 39 198 47 209 3329 2629 35*190 33*185 45 200 2629 2012 29*179 32*183 41 198 2012 1497 27 176 29 182 36 194 1497 1102 26 175 26 180 31 191 1102 831 24 174 24 180 22 185 831 667 21 173 21 179 19*184 667 573 17 173 16 179 10*182 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography