DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 71.6 - - 74.2 - - 64.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 215 - - 92 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 310 - - 2241 - - 3475 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1808 - - 2192 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 905 - - 2836 - - 4070 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 425 - - 1419 - - 1262 - - 160 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 122 - - 316 - - 277 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 10 - - 11 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 141 - - 151 - - 134 - - 135 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3134 - - -4263 - - -3613 - - -5305 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4039 - - 7099 - - 7683 - - 5879 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12963 - - -12111 - - -10367 - - -14979 ODpotential blCL - - - 13868 - - 14947 - - 14437 - - 15553 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 83 - - 89 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 71.6 - - 74.2 - - 64.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 43.0 - - 43.0 - - 41.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.2 - - 70.3 - - 73.5 - - 68.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.5 - - 42.6 - - 42.8 - - 41.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 89 - - 215 - - 92 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 310 - - 2241 - - 3475 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 31 - - 55 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97368 16 240 15 257 10 268 13 267 97368 90134 1 018 8 170 9 230 9 292 90134 84557 7 058 5 117 5 155 1 342 84557 79920 9 087 3 076 5 118 5 098 79920 75930 6 110 3 057 1 108 8 066 75930 72418 8 116 4 087 3 258 9 045 72418 69249 10 094 5 088 4 218 2 009 69249 66342 10 065 3 101 2 227 2 265 66342 63651 7 027 1 319 3 261 5 248 63651 61048 8 306 3 312 3 246 8 229 61048 58343 16 280 6 314 5 243 9 229 58343 55539 19 273 14 287 8 273 8 247 55539 52868 21 289 24 290 20 285 18 280 52868 50467 22 286 24 284 21 277 19 296 50467 48301 20 296 21 301 23 281 24 299 48301 46324 24 317 28 302 24 281 31 293 46324 44509 29 314 24 304 26 288 33 286 44509 42828 28 316 28 303 29 295 31 278 42828 41261 33 305 32 303 31 303 26 279 41261 39793 37 294 34 297 31 305 26 289 39793 38409 35 297 31 295 35 293 30 299 38409 37069 27 301 24 292 37 277 33 301 37069 35701 26 296 25 294 36 275 36 297 35701 34276 25 300 25 293 32 282 37 294 34276 32797 23 305 26 293 30 290 32 297 32797 31246 23 306 26 293 30 295 29 299 31246 29609 20 307 25 294 30 302 28 298 29609 27886 14 303 22 298 29 301 30 300 27886 26079 12 308 19 294 30 301 35 305 26079 24188 11 305 15 290 29 300 30 311 24188 22217 7 307 11 284 21 302 24 311 22217 20160 7 324 6 297 14 308 17 310 20160 18015 9 007 6 012 6 344 13 321 18015 15827 11 010 10 018 7 024 10 345 15827 13717 9 005 10 007 9 008 9 356 13717 11800 7 012 6 007 6 349 6 344 11800 10101 4 005 2 282 5 299 7 310 10101 8601 6 302 5 283 5 294 7 314 8601 7275 8 302 6 304 4 314 5 309 7275 6102 8 331 5 355 3 353 3 301 6102 5072 6 359 5 054 2 088 4 180 5072 4169 1 301 3 085 4*132 10 150 4169 3375 4 225 3*145 4*133 11 145 3375 2664 6 199 6*152 5 134 10 144 2664 2037 9 170 6 152 5 134 9 143 2037 1513 11 155 6 152 5 135 8 143 1513 1112 10*147 6 151 5 135 8 143 1112 836 8*142 6 150 5 134 7 142 836 669 7 141 5 150 4 135 6*139 669 573 6 141 5 150 4 135 5*135 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography