DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.3 - - 84.1 - - 81.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 148 - - 83 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3392 - - 3563 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2548 - - 2354 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3987 - - 4158 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 919 - - 1344 - - 3851 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 339 - - 291 - - 18 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 214 - - 199 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -895 - - -569 - - -2584 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4882 - - 4728 - - 3161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5924 - - -4253 - - -5920 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9911 - - 8411 - - 6496 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 72 - - 73 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 120 - - 920 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.3 - - 84.1 - - 81.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.8 - - 65.3 - - 69.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.4 - - 83.7 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.5 - - 64.0 - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 148 - - 83 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3392 - - 3563 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99430 33 098 25 103 14 077 99430 91886 25 102 18 089 18 080 91886 86042 22 107 23 100 16 086 86042 81214 18 090 21 085 19 090 81214 77071 12 088 14 069 21 088 77071 73411 7 086 9 107 13 078 73411 70101 6 145 7 092 7 072 70101 67063 5 113 6 151 2 277 67063 64258 6 351 2 163 6 259 64258 61560 11 293 11 281 13 294 61560 58773 12 258 16 252 20 275 58773 55896 22 272 20 275 24 279 55896 53167 34 269 35 261 35 258 53167 50723 42 274 37 257 37 258 50723 48550 52 267 48 266 49 274 48550 46599 50 260 58 261 58 269 46599 44815 42 262 55 254 57 257 44815 43151 42 276 52 273 50 257 43151 41586 40 277 50 282 45 272 41586 40112 37 277 44 279 46 285 40112 38719 35 278 40 278 46 289 38719 37365 35 275 40 281 47 287 37365 35981 37 270 41 281 45 283 35981 34536 36 272 41 279 43 281 34536 33035 34 273 42 278 45 282 33035 31464 30 269 41 280 44 282 31464 29811 26 266 41 282 40 281 29811 28076 30 271 41 286 39 280 28076 26255 34 279 41 287 41 283 26255 24350 32 286 39 287 41 283 24350 22369 26 282 30 286 36 286 22369 20309 24 291 23 270 30 284 20309 18165 21 270 22 291 23 273 18165 15983 20 272 24 319 24 279 15983 13886 31 293 29 308 31 284 13886 11982 30 295 37 305 31 294 11982 10288 27 302 31 307 27 302 10288 8782 21 305 22 309 22 303 8782 7442 11 298 17 305 19 285 7442 6252 10 283 9 283 16 275 6252 5199 8 267 6 256 14 265 5199 4274 6*226 6*207 12 229 4274 3459 6*218 6*202 11 207 3459 2729 6 216 6 200 10 200 2729 2083 6 214 6 199 9 194 2083 1544 6 213 6 198 8 191 1544 1131 5 212 5 198 8 189 1131 847 5 212 5 197 7 185 847 674 5 212 5 196 5*182 674 575 4 212 4 195 4*181 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography