DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 39.2 - - 43.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 40 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 946 - - 1354 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 555 - - 555 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1541 - - 1949 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 417 - - 484 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 190 - - 156 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 118 - - 125 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2181 - - -2900 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3722 - - 4849 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11943 - - -11183 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13484 - - 13132 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 63 - - 79 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 39.2 - - 43.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 25.5 - - 24.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 38.5 - - 43.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 24.3 - - 23.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 105 - - 40 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 946 - - 1354 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95983 40 261 44 264 95983 88931 31 257 30 259 88931 83479 30 255 31 264 83479 78941 24 267 27 255 78941 75001 21 276 22 253 75001 71498 23 265 19 262 71498 68329 24 275 23 278 68329 65414 39 278 38 291 65414 62705 48 268 55 278 62705 60085 57 275 57 265 60085 57338 53 271 50 274 57338 54453 55 284 64 288 54453 51679 73 284 76 284 51679 49185 84 276 79 284 49185 46955 84 273 86 286 46955 44934 78 275 88 283 44934 43086 79 285 81 285 43086 41388 93 292 87 300 41388 39833 108 292 118 301 39833 38402 103 290 129 298 38402 37059 94 292 129 295 37059 35751 89 295 128 292 35751 34416 87 297 116 311 34416 33029 88 297 122 315 33029 31586 93 295 123 315 31586 30070 99 293 119 317 30070 28471 105 293 110 316 28471 26790 101 294 104 305 26790 25027 95 292 109 299 25027 23183 86 288 107 301 23183 21273 83 282 92 297 21273 19293 80 279 82 287 19293 17232 63 287 73 289 17232 15132 56 287 66 289 15132 13111 53 289 59 295 13111 11274 42 305 46 301 11274 9649 27 307 29 307 9649 8218 19 285 20 314 8218 6952 17 279 14 297 6952 5831 14 290 11 298 5831 4843 9 309 4 344 4843 3978 6 338 4 120 3978 3219 6 025 10 124 3219 2543 9 057 10*128 2543 1949 8*084 8*128 1949 1457 6*116 7 126 1457 1079 6 118 7 125 1079 819 5 119 6 125 819 662 5 120 6 125 662 572 5 119 5 124 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography