DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 9.1 - - 11.6 - - 10.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 208 - - 44 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1859 - - 1772 - - 244 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1521 - - 553 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2454 - - 2367 - - 839 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 384 - - 433 - - 1915 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 293 - - 174 - - 12 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 061 - - 054 - - 049 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1003 - - 731 - - -479 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3457 - - 1636 - - 1318 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -21416 - - 263 - - -767 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 23870 - - 2104 - - 1606 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 96 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 9.1 - - 11.6 - - 10.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -3.6 - - 7.1 - - 7.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 8.2 - - 11.5 - - 11.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -3.6 - - 6.2 - - 7.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 208 - - 44 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1859 - - 1772 - - 244 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 83 - - 81 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95017 104 251 104 256 119 252 95017 88046 82 254 83 252 94 255 88046 82736 62 253 65 254 77 259 82736 78327 50 254 56 257 66 260 78327 74517 41 260 48 253 59 258 74517 71145 41 263 41 263 52 255 71145 68063 46 263 46 264 48 259 68063 65184 50 257 47 258 53 269 65184 62498 48 254 55 264 59 265 62498 59889 56 262 61 259 62 262 59889 57151 67 261 66 260 64 258 57151 54295 72 259 76 261 73 260 54295 51555 76 259 83 259 83 257 51555 49070 83 259 85 258 89 256 49070 46818 86 259 92 259 92 257 46818 44761 95 260 100 258 96 258 44761 42875 108 257 107 255 102 256 42875 41142 109 252 110 254 111 255 41142 39544 110 251 114 253 121 250 39544 38080 116 254 120 249 114 245 38080 36736 119 251 108 249 111 249 36736 35443 112 254 116 249 122 250 35443 34123 115 259 122 249 126 248 34123 32743 115 254 118 251 125 248 32743 31305 115 252 110 251 120 249 31305 29795 113 249 103 246 111 250 29795 28201 113 248 105 244 102 251 28201 26527 113 250 106 245 95 248 26527 24775 106 253 103 247 92 244 24775 22940 92 253 101 251 90 243 22940 21024 81 253 94 256 83 248 21024 19025 76 256 78 255 75 249 19025 16938 71 255 66 257 64 249 16938 14811 56 247 54 257 56 249 14811 12768 43 234 46 244 43 249 12768 10920 36 241 36 227 37 241 10920 9298 26 236 28 234 27 223 9298 7882 23 229 19 227 15 212 7882 6639 18 230 13 236 8 217 6639 5547 7 220 8 223 2 185 5547 4590 5 083 5 136 5 086 4590 3759 11 083 12 093 14 096 3759 3041 16*080 17 070 21 081 3041 2411 14*063 16*057 20 070 2411 1858 14 062 15*055 19 064 1858 1397 13 061 14 054 17 059 1397 1044 13 060 13 053 15*053 1044 801 12 059 12 053 12*050 801 654 11 058 11 052 10 049 654 570 10 058 9 051 7 048 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography