DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.1 - - 84.7 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 103 - - 60 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3844 - - 3740 - - 1705 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2689 - - 2251 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4439 - - 4335 - - 2300 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1993 - - 2257 - - 4173 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 318 - - 271 - - 100 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 10 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 188 - - 211 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 11 - - -1 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1110 - - 1027 - - -219 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3329 - - 3308 - - 2519 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 351 - - 115 - - -1427 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4088 - - 4220 - - 3727 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 89 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2010 - - 2210 - - 2450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 84.1 - - 84.7 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.1 - - 71.7 - - 73.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 83.3 - - 84.3 - - 83.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.0 - - 70.6 - - 72.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 103 - - 60 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3844 - - 3740 - - 1705 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 60 - - 58 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99534 29 090 23 097 24 079 99534 91976 24 096 24 092 20 082 91976 86138 23 095 21 091 19 080 86138 81298 22 087 20 082 21 083 81298 77142 22 085 18 086 20 075 77142 73493 20 087 18 096 15 074 73493 70210 16 076 17 087 14 072 70210 67203 13 055 17 059 14 075 67203 64429 13 044 18 040 16 062 64429 61755 11 063 14 030 15 030 61755 58983 13 064 12 033 14 015 58983 56119 17 037 16 030 12 023 56119 53393 21 004 16 013 14 009 53393 50941 19 357 18 013 20 012 50941 48731 16 343 24 006 25 001 48731 46711 12 330 26 358 26 359 46711 44849 16 341 19 346 29 004 44849 43128 20 322 18 359 34 357 43128 41527 10 323 17 343 41 347 41527 40029 8 017 15 336 28 330 40029 38619 10 018 17 355 22 325 38619 37254 5 041 19 357 21 343 37254 35862 5 048 16 347 22 350 35862 34417 5 056 14 338 17 353 34417 32921 4 062 13 336 15 355 32921 31357 7 049 10 344 15 356 31357 29713 10 033 9 358 14 354 29713 27987 14 022 11 012 14 359 27987 26180 14 025 13 008 17 353 26180 24292 10 042 13 002 21 342 24292 22325 8 066 10 352 17 340 22325 20275 5 078 8 335 13 353 20275 18138 2 013 8 335 10 005 18138 15959 2 316 4 354 5 355 15959 13858 1 328 5 134 4 319 13858 11954 1 018 7 140 4 323 11954 10273 1 282 4 159 5 283 10273 8779 2 256 4 258 5 265 8779 7446 2 215 5 244 6 259 7446 6261 3 190 5 212 8 245 6261 5213 3*186 5*208 7 238 5213 4287 3*185 5*206 7 225 4287 3469 4 185 5 208 7 208 3469 2737 4 187 5 211 6*194 2737 2089 4 187 5 212 6*182 2089 1549 4 189 5 212 6 175 1549 1133 4 191 5 214 6 172 1133 848 4 191 4 214 6 170 848 675 4 191 4 215 6 170 675 575 3 194 4 214 5 169 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography