DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.4 - - 79.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - 3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1584 - - 1954 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 559 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2179 - - 2549 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1744 - - 2629 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 177 - - 135 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 197 - - 187 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 8 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -9 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 985 - - 1080 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1194 - - 1469 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 204 - - 125 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1975 - - 2424 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 98 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2440 - - 2270 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.4 - - 79.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 74.5 - - 74.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.5 - - 79.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 73.7 - - 73.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 36 - - 3 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1584 - - 1954 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 91 - - 92 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 18 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98607 21 117 24 110 98607 91173 18 126 18 121 91173 85494 23 096 15 103 85494 80782 23 076 17 079 80782 76722 22 077 16 076 76722 73136 17 089 13 084 73136 69900 18 089 10 093 69900 66940 15 077 9 085 66940 64211 10 077 8 072 64211 61586 7 044 7 041 61586 58847 7 345 7 353 58847 56003 11 294 9 324 56003 53291 14 285 18 310 53291 50848 19 274 22 295 50848 48648 20 264 20 303 48648 46636 19 257 25 301 46636 44790 17 250 29 281 44790 43092 18 248 26 253 43092 41514 22 230 21 241 41514 40029 14 252 25 277 40029 38627 31 276 26 276 38627 37271 29 263 24 262 37271 35889 25 256 22 256 35889 34449 21 245 24 250 34449 32952 18 240 23 250 32952 31380 18 233 21 249 31380 29723 20 236 20 248 29723 27984 21 234 19 249 27984 26162 22 227 18 256 26162 24261 22 226 19 263 24261 22286 21 232 20 266 22286 20231 22 236 17 267 20231 18091 24 232 16 271 18091 15910 25 233 14 268 15910 13816 25 243 10 281 13816 11912 22 244 12 275 11912 10223 20 239 17 266 10223 8727 18 233 14 253 8727 7399 18 220 16 239 7399 6219 20 219 19 226 6219 5175 22 219 20 212 5175 4257 23 215 21 200 4257 3445 23 210 21 196 3445 2719 22*207 21*194 2719 2076 20*202 19*189 2076 1541 17 198 17 188 1541 1129 16 196 16 187 1129 845 15 194 15 186 845 673 13 193 13 185 673 575 10 193 10 184 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography