DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 80.6 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 58 - - 15 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 945 - - 1655 - - 721 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 559 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1540 - - 2250 - - 1316 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1177 - - 2319 - - 1209 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 160 - - 142 - - 68 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 208 - - 310 - - 359 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 7 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 563 - - 524 - - 328 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 977 - - 1726 - - 988 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 225 - - -246 - - -253 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1315 - - 2496 - - 1569 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1660 - - 2730 - - 1700 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 80.6 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.4 - - 74.4 - - 72.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.0 - - 80.7 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 72.9 - - 73.7 - - 72.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 58 - - 15 - - 3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 945 - - 1655 - - 721 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 101 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 18 - - 18 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99381 29 096 25 121 14 077 99381 91888 28 100 20 106 18 096 91888 86084 21 098 16 091 23 086 86084 81261 12 112 14 074 20 080 81261 77109 11 123 10 079 16 078 77109 73433 9 109 7 105 10 072 73433 70108 6 105 5 176 2 018 70108 67065 5 126 7 195 6 270 67065 64258 5 357 3 212 5 272 64258 61555 17 303 7 266 11 281 61555 58743 20 277 20 279 19 275 58743 55833 24 268 28 271 32 273 55833 53071 31 272 32 262 37 261 53071 50611 45 275 46 272 42 267 50611 48437 66 268 58 267 52 264 48437 46482 67 262 59 261 54 257 46482 44690 62 258 58 257 56 259 44690 43027 58 259 58 257 60 259 43027 41472 58 268 57 258 64 256 41472 40004 62 272 59 262 64 250 40004 38612 65 274 61 265 60 250 38612 37257 63 274 61 265 57 251 37257 35874 55 265 58 262 56 253 35874 34431 54 256 49 259 53 254 34431 32933 54 255 48 258 50 256 32933 31363 52 253 49 256 49 260 31363 29708 48 254 48 258 47 259 29708 27969 46 259 48 260 49 257 27969 26151 48 268 52 259 48 259 26151 24257 50 274 55 263 48 265 24257 22291 46 281 53 268 46 268 22291 20246 39 279 51 269 46 265 20246 18118 37 275 55 269 54 270 18118 15951 39 280 56 270 53 277 15951 13861 35 276 47 271 45 275 13861 11959 33 271 35 267 39 272 11959 10262 31 277 24 262 33 265 10262 8756 27 276 21 250 30 263 8756 7418 27 270 19 242 25 266 7418 6231 26 266 15 240 19 261 6231 5182 22 253 12 240 14 258 5182 4256 19 235 9 243 11 271 4256 3439 17 225 6 254 10 296 3439 2710 14 219 5*281 9 328 2710 2068 12*218 6*287 9 332 2068 1534 9*214 6 308 9*353 1534 1125 6 207 6 315 8*357 1125 843 6 206 6 318 8 359 843 672 5 205 6 320 7 359 672 575 5 204 5 321 5 359 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography