DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.8 - - 83.3 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 241 - - 107 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4617 - - 5413 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3625 - - 3718 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5212 - - 6008 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1333 - - 1800 - - 3560 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 420 - - 340 - - 2 W* B/S - - - - - - 30 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 176 - - 215 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5667 - - -5152 - - -8335 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 10880 - - 11161 - - 8911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10386 - - -9759 - - -14949 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15598 - - 15767 - - 15524 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 56 - - 49 - - 29 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.8 - - 83.3 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.1 - - 36.4 - - 36.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.3 - - 82.5 - - 78.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.5 - - 35.7 - - 36.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 241 - - 107 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4617 - - 5413 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97624 48 241 54 247 52 242 97624 90369 37 236 45 245 41 247 90369 84750 34 246 30 252 32 250 84750 80048 23 245 21 249 21 266 80048 76004 14 283 13 241 18 262 76004 72438 15 276 12 276 12 262 72438 69204 13 277 16 260 17 295 69204 66236 16 282 19 269 22 274 66236 63488 18 292 23 286 21 270 63488 60835 25 298 24 287 23 288 60835 58078 30 298 27 284 29 281 58078 55231 38 292 34 277 37 272 55231 52527 44 284 40 273 44 271 52527 50091 48 278 43 274 45 272 50091 47895 50 282 47 278 48 276 47895 45894 52 280 51 275 52 271 45894 44059 50 272 52 266 53 261 44059 42362 48 269 51 265 53 254 42362 40785 47 270 49 268 49 258 40785 39316 47 271 50 272 47 266 39316 37940 49 270 52 273 49 275 37940 36614 49 272 52 275 51 279 36614 35266 49 275 50 278 49 279 35266 33860 48 279 49 279 48 280 33860 32398 48 278 48 277 46 282 32398 30867 47 275 47 280 43 285 30867 29257 45 273 46 285 41 289 29257 27568 45 276 46 288 41 292 27568 25799 47 279 46 290 41 296 25799 23952 47 282 45 291 42 302 23952 22024 45 286 45 294 44 306 22024 20009 44 290 46 298 45 307 20009 17905 40 294 44 299 41 305 17905 15758 36 298 36 297 34 298 15758 13688 36 300 32 298 28 296 13688 11805 35 309 31 302 27 297 11805 10131 31 321 26 322 21 313 10131 8646 25 325 19 336 12 331 8646 7328 19 315 11 330 6 340 7328 6159 10*299 4*234 2 263 6159 5126 2*245 4*219 4 187 5126 4217 2 186 5 217 4 176 4217 3413 3 177 5 215 5 179 3413 2694 3 173 5 214 5 183 2694 2058 3 168 5 214 6 188 2058 1528 3 167 5 214 6 190 1528 1121 3 167 5 215 6 192 1121 841 3 164 5 215 7 193 841 671 3 164 5 215 5*193 671 574 3 163 5 215 4*191 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography