DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.2 - - 53.8 - - 49.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 68 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 811 - - 402 - - 139 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1406 - - 997 - - 734 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1179 - - 2913 - - 1841 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 156 - - 31 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 171 - - 110 - - 103 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -789 - - 313 - - 151 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2195 - - 684 - - 583 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2260 - - -18 - - -231 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3666 - - 1015 - - 965 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 56.2 - - 53.8 - - 49.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 48.7 - - 52.7 - - 48.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.8 - - 54.2 - - 49.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 48.3 - - 52.5 - - 48.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 68 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 811 - - 402 - - 139 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96570 29 072 34 065 28 083 96570 89453 28 085 16 074 17 058 89453 83898 24 074 11 114 8 046 83898 79267 14 070 8 076 8 038 79267 75268 6 047 10 025 6 021 75268 71736 13 310 17 340 11 007 71736 68535 15 278 15 312 12 332 68535 65578 19 299 18 311 17 304 65578 62825 26 288 26 293 24 292 62825 60152 27 289 33 289 34 297 60152 57362 39 293 45 285 45 289 57362 54468 50 279 49 275 51 283 54468 51706 46 273 49 274 52 277 51706 49214 45 285 51 274 54 273 49214 46973 55 291 51 277 60 273 46973 44936 66 285 63 281 67 272 44936 43070 77 283 74 282 69 273 43070 41354 89 275 88 276 80 271 41354 39779 101 267 97 269 96 267 39779 38329 107 263 109 266 104 261 38329 36986 107 261 112 260 104 253 36986 35696 107 260 99 255 96 248 35696 34380 106 260 90 253 90 248 34380 33007 102 260 81 247 85 248 33007 31578 90 261 79 246 74 247 31578 30082 77 263 80 250 63 242 30082 28505 68 266 79 261 58 241 28505 26850 60 262 78 269 64 254 26850 25114 55 258 66 274 66 274 25114 23303 53 256 51 277 42 287 23303 21419 52 253 48 271 28 259 21419 19449 49 256 48 261 34 247 19449 17384 41 258 42 253 39 247 17384 15276 29 242 38 246 36 244 15276 13246 19 201 32 238 35 241 13246 11401 15 164 32 228 35 238 11401 9766 13 161 32 221 34 237 9766 8318 14 177 31 209 33 232 8318 7033 16 185 32 191 34 222 7033 5895 16 184 28 177 35 202 5895 4896 17 188 21 165 33 176 4896 4026 17 193 17 140 27 154 4026 3262 18 193 16 133 25 138 3262 2579 18 188 16 127 25 128 2579 1976 16 184 15 123 24 114 1976 1474 12*177 14 119 23 107 1474 1089 10*172 12*114 20 105 1089 825 9 171 11*112 17*104 825 664 8 170 9 109 15*103 664 572 7 170 7 107 10 103 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography