DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.1 - - 89.5 - - 86.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 65 - - 17 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4986 - - 4362 - - 278 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3335 - - 1823 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5581 - - 4957 - - 873 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2948 - - 3379 - - 5794 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 321 - - 235 - - 56 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 257 - - 261 - - 264 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -11 - - -9 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1157 - - 701 - - -2026 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4424 - - 4256 - - 2899 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1040 - - -929 - - -3442 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6621 - - 5886 - - 4315 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 89 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2390 - - 2920 - - 3520 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 89.1 - - 89.5 - - 86.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.4 - - 72.5 - - 74.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.8 - - 89.6 - - 87.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.0 - - 71.0 - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 65 - - 17 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4986 - - 4362 - - 278 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 66 - - 56 - - 21 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99176 44 097 33 084 38 088 99176 91660 36 075 33 089 31 081 91660 85892 25 079 32 091 23 076 85892 81102 22 090 22 090 22 071 81102 76974 21 073 19 087 19 074 76974 73338 14 074 15 076 16 070 73338 70064 8 116 11 056 14 053 70064 67048 10 103 4 062 11 023 67048 64253 11 042 6 046 1 144 64253 61567 3 305 14 016 6 055 61567 58765 9 186 5 242 8 320 58765 55870 6 199 12 196 9 225 55870 53147 7 251 9 201 10 210 53147 50719 21 247 24 246 16 254 50719 48549 35 223 36 232 37 232 48549 46582 39 210 44 216 44 222 46582 44774 38 203 44 209 48 213 44774 43095 37 203 42 212 48 212 43095 41524 37 206 42 213 49 213 41524 40044 35 208 43 211 49 211 40044 38641 36 211 43 210 48 209 38641 37277 37 212 42 209 46 209 37277 35885 37 210 39 209 44 212 35885 34438 33 210 34 209 39 219 34438 32940 27 212 29 207 34 226 32940 31374 23 212 27 213 33 223 31374 29725 23 220 26 233 32 227 29725 27995 24 233 23 249 24 237 27995 26185 24 243 20 260 16 236 26185 24297 21 255 17 262 14 251 24297 22335 21 254 15 263 19 263 22335 20291 19 261 15 268 23 265 20291 18165 17 289 17 272 24 272 18165 16001 16 285 18 278 26 278 16001 13918 11 280 18 278 23 283 13918 12021 10 279 17 281 20 286 12021 10332 11 274 16 292 20 271 10332 8830 14 263 15 292 19 270 8830 7490 16 260 15 274 17 279 7490 6301 14*264 14 261 15 288 6301 5247 13*264 12*258 12 292 5247 4316 12 263 12*259 10 292 4316 3492 11 257 11 260 9 286 3492 2754 10 255 11 262 8 281 2754 2101 9 254 10 262 7 274 2101 1556 9 253 10 262 6 270 1556 1138 8 252 10 262 6*268 1138 850 8 252 9 262 6*266 850 676 8 251 9 262 5 263 676 576 7 251 7 262 4 264 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography