DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 73.6 - - 78.7 - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 20 - - 57 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 297 - - 740 - - 2290 - - 796 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 558 - - 1005 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 892 - - 1335 - - 2885 - - 1391 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1508 - - 1529 - - 1725 - - 2442 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 105 - - 226 - - 58 W* B/S - - - 16 - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 8 - - 11 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 331 - - 038 - - 043 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 8 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 318 - - 578 - - 1118 - - 369 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 574 - - 757 - - 1767 - - 1022 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 86 - - 251 - - 352 - - -269 ODpotential blCL - - - 806 - - 1084 - - 2533 - - 1660 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1020 - - 1100 - - 1590 - - 1490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.7 - - 73.6 - - 78.7 - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.8 - - 71.7 - - 72.4 - - 72.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.6 - - 73.7 - - 78.5 - - 76.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 71.4 - - 71.4 - - 72.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 12 - - 20 - - 57 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 297 - - 740 - - 2290 - - 796 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 82 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 17 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99314 39 085 35 094 30 076 37 078 99314 91804 32 092 27 082 29 080 28 067 91804 86046 23 087 25 089 21 070 27 085 86046 81254 19 075 19 080 18 068 24 079 81254 77113 17 082 18 082 15 081 18 060 77113 73480 20 082 17 067 14 081 10 071 73480 70214 18 069 13 070 13 072 11 068 70214 67213 15 046 16 059 13 074 10 050 67213 64439 14 035 11 028 9 077 9 034 64439 61766 13 022 12 017 13 048 10 041 61766 58996 10 296 12 334 11 346 15 354 58996 56142 16 262 15 308 18 313 18 329 56142 53430 20 302 28 296 22 295 19 290 53430 50974 37 292 30 288 27 302 23 316 50974 48751 38 277 36 286 38 292 42 306 48751 46727 40 273 43 282 42 283 45 288 46727 44871 47 273 49 279 49 279 43 279 44871 43155 58 274 57 276 57 277 44 277 43155 41555 67 270 64 271 57 272 44 277 41555 40052 63 262 66 266 58 269 44 278 40052 38634 55 255 59 263 54 270 43 280 38634 37259 47 256 49 268 44 273 35 283 37259 35864 41 259 40 276 31 274 25 287 35864 34419 37 249 28 254 23 270 20 293 34419 32923 36 232 22 247 21 267 16 306 32923 31361 36 232 22 259 22 272 16 322 31361 29716 38 239 23 274 25 288 18 326 29716 27986 36 248 20 291 26 302 18 321 27986 26171 29 253 13 310 23 311 18 311 26171 24274 23 264 10 321 18 307 19 315 24274 22300 23 257 9 308 13 298 18 338 22300 20247 23 253 12 290 13 303 15 350 20247 18110 21 249 14 283 13 331 13 016 18110 15929 19 249 10 316 11 346 15 030 15929 13830 18 256 10 321 8 017 15 030 13830 11926 16 260 8 311 7 033 13 032 11926 10234 15 264 6 313 9 023 12 034 10234 8732 11 274 6 344 13 029 12 038 8732 7398 8 294 5 025 14 029 12 043 7398 6214 4 306 6 050 15 029 13 047 6214 5166 2 267 7 049 17 032 12 050 5166 4244 1 251 9 048 18 034 14 050 4244 3433 2 303 12 049 16*036 14 048 3433 2708 4 299 12 045 15*038 14 048 2708 2068 3 298 11 041 12 041 12 050 2068 1534 2 303 11*040 10 045 10*054 1534 1125 1*316 9*038 9 046 8*056 1125 843 1*332 8 038 8 047 7 057 843 673 1 327 8 037 8 048 6 057 673 575 1 336 6 036 7 048 4 057 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography