DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 85.4 - - 85.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 132 - - 61 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1022 - - 2921 - - 3375 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 2162 - - 2048 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1617 - - 3516 - - 3970 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1498 - - 2004 - - 2138 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 98 - - 313 - - 267 - - - W* B/S - - - 7 - - 13 - - 9 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 5 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 095 - - 015 - - 063 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 570 - - 943 - - 1239 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1047 - - 2573 - - 2731 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 109 - - 30 - - 215 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 1508 - - 3486 - - 3755 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 95 - - 93 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 1610 - - 2540 - - 2410 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 85.4 - - 85.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.8 - - 75.4 - - 75.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.2 - - 84.4 - - 85.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.4 - - 74.3 - - 74.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 9 - - 132 - - 61 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1022 - - 2921 - - 3375 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 79 - - 71 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99336 37 086 32 089 32 089 99336 91828 31 084 29 088 30 086 91828 86057 25 075 27 084 29 091 86057 81257 21 083 25 078 25 080 81257 77118 23 083 17 093 21 067 77118 73466 19 064 19 089 18 070 73466 70175 12 073 15 073 15 078 70175 67165 19 058 20 063 14 081 67165 64384 21 031 12 018 14 051 64384 61718 15 026 16 026 19 031 61718 58977 19 016 16 021 9 011 58977 56138 19 357 19 007 17 001 56138 53441 29 354 31 351 31 349 53441 51036 38 354 37 341 41 349 51036 48886 40 351 38 344 45 343 48886 46924 38 353 39 345 41 338 46924 45106 41 360 44 351 39 344 45106 43408 47 004 48 356 44 348 43408 41814 44 002 46 359 45 349 41814 40309 35 347 43 358 45 350 40309 38885 34 337 44 355 43 351 38885 37502 30 326 42 350 37 346 37502 36095 31 320 37 342 33 338 36095 34633 32 324 32 335 31 336 34633 33118 28 330 28 330 32 336 33118 31539 24 330 27 337 30 330 31539 29884 22 316 27 346 28 330 29884 28147 22 317 23 348 27 331 28147 26324 18 319 18 322 24 337 26324 24417 16 323 17 309 21 324 24417 22435 16 317 15 308 21 317 22435 20372 15 319 13 307 18 305 20372 18222 15 325 12 322 13 305 18222 16030 15 314 14 326 11 320 16030 13919 15 310 17 312 12 319 13919 12004 15 318 17 302 15 315 12004 10310 16 319 13 300 17 291 10310 8810 15 311 17 298 17 292 8810 7474 15 304 17 304 15 301 7474 6283 12 309 13 312 11 309 6283 5230 8 308 10 321 6 334 5230 4302 5 292 7*333 4*017 4302 3481 3 274 4*000 5*053 3481 2746 2 143 4 013 5 059 2746 2096 3*121 4 016 6 063 2096 1553 3*108 5 019 6 066 1553 1136 3 095 5 020 6 067 1136 849 2 092 4 021 5 067 849 675 2 089 4 020 5 068 675 575 2 085 4 021 5 069 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography