DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 66.6 - - 67.1 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 54 - - 12 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 948 - - 1383 - - 1488 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1543 - - 1978 - - 2083 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 584 - - 938 - - 808 - - 529 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 173 - - 120 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 8 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 112 - - 123 - - 113 - - 085 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -229 - - 456 - - 641 - - -2121 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1772 - - 1522 - - 1442 - - 2697 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4567 - - 272 - - 161 - - -5312 ODpotential blCL - - - 6110 - - 1706 - - 1922 - - 5887 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 100 - - 99 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - 180 - - 260 - - 120 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.5 - - 66.6 - - 67.1 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.0 - - 61.9 - - 62.8 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.5 - - 66.4 - - 67.1 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 57.2 - - 61.6 - - 62.1 - - 56.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 54 - - 12 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 948 - - 1383 - - 1488 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 45 - - 100 - - 98 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 12 - - 12 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96506 57 251 81 256 82 260 74 264 96506 89447 40 256 49 257 51 264 49 258 89447 84005 34 269 32 258 33 264 35 268 84005 79452 31 270 24 270 26 252 29 283 79452 75525 30 265 23 283 28 257 27 289 75525 72054 23 270 25 277 33 270 24 284 72054 68895 24 277 24 269 26 262 24 268 68895 65978 26 262 22 271 19 257 25 270 65978 63263 27 263 30 275 22 271 29 269 63263 60625 29 274 38 264 32 277 33 265 60625 57870 44 265 45 253 41 270 38 259 57870 55019 50 248 48 251 48 257 42 258 55019 52317 51 262 50 260 53 257 50 262 52317 49900 61 260 57 266 59 264 58 263 49900 47745 59 260 65 263 70 261 59 260 47745 45808 57 267 74 250 71 252 63 251 45808 44046 68 273 64 268 52 261 48 268 44046 42420 86 274 77 275 60 264 54 274 42420 40908 82 274 73 271 67 264 55 268 40908 39479 72 270 67 264 63 266 55 264 39479 38119 71 265 65 259 56 263 55 267 38119 36793 74 266 66 260 53 258 52 267 36793 35435 74 267 65 271 50 257 51 261 35435 34015 70 273 59 273 48 264 52 257 34015 32536 60 276 56 269 46 268 52 255 32536 30986 49 273 51 272 46 269 49 250 30986 29353 37 260 43 271 47 271 38 249 29353 27638 34 258 36 251 41 272 28 266 27638 25841 33 264 36 251 37 263 29 254 25841 23964 32 264 28 259 31 259 30 254 23964 22012 30 261 23 269 22 251 22 258 22012 19981 26 250 21 266 19 261 17 257 19981 17863 23 250 19 261 18 273 14 263 17863 15709 12 260 16 256 15 276 14 273 15709 13641 5 203 12 249 10 283 14 280 13641 11764 4 199 9 252 11 260 12 277 11764 10098 7 239 8 229 9 243 11 259 10098 8618 8 240 8 206 7 223 7 234 8618 7304 4 249 8 195 9 208 8 194 7304 6137 3 229 8 189 11 198 11 177 6137 5104 3 156 9 189 12 202 11 164 5104 4194 5 145 9 196 10 193 11 160 4194 3391 13 148 8 187 9 161 13 157 3391 2674 20 136 9 143 9*123 13 132 2674 2043 23*121 8*128 9*113 15 113 2043 1517 20*117 9*123 8 113 16 107 1517 1114 15 111 8 123 8 113 15 102 1114 837 14 109 8 123 7 114 14 097 837 670 13 108 8 123 7 114 11*093 670 574 10 108 6 124 6 113 5*085 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography