DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 78.8 - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 147 - - 105 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4250 - - 4547 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3179 - - 3200 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4845 - - 5142 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1924 - - 3801 - - 2794 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 366 - - 337 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 29 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 225 - - 214 - - 198 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -407 - - -1483 - - -3017 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5253 - - 6625 - - 3592 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2458 - - -4672 - - -5138 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7303 - - 9814 - - 5713 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 84 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1470 - - 990 - - 1430 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 78.8 - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.0 - - 51.5 - - 57.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.7 - - 78.5 - - 73.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 53.7 - - 50.2 - - 56.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 147 - - 105 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4250 - - 4547 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 38 - - 38 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97876 14 260 12 267 13 279 97876 90414 17 223 20 271 21 278 90414 84663 12 221 18 252 17 251 84663 79875 6 246 13 236 13 219 79875 75742 10 273 12 247 5 248 75742 72089 15 256 17 253 16 268 72089 68772 16 247 17 250 23 274 68772 65729 21 268 23 263 28 274 65729 62921 24 265 28 265 24 266 62921 60190 36 275 31 259 28 276 60190 57330 36 267 32 278 38 282 57330 54371 33 267 48 284 51 279 54371 51568 41 277 55 281 50 281 51568 49063 50 281 53 278 54 286 49063 46827 52 279 52 277 59 284 46827 44804 50 281 52 278 62 285 44804 42958 47 283 49 280 67 286 42958 41266 43 286 45 285 71 287 41266 39706 43 293 44 295 69 288 39706 38259 47 297 50 296 61 291 38259 36907 46 292 52 288 55 292 36907 35610 47 288 46 280 49 291 35610 34297 51 287 41 281 50 293 34297 32935 55 282 40 287 54 295 32935 31525 54 276 43 290 52 296 31525 30052 51 274 44 285 46 292 30052 28500 49 271 42 276 43 288 28500 26868 50 267 42 270 41 286 26868 25155 48 271 44 265 37 283 25155 23367 48 277 45 264 32 281 23367 21500 45 282 40 267 32 280 21500 19554 36 285 41 277 32 277 19554 17526 27 276 50 284 35 277 17526 15458 32 241 42 283 36 274 15458 13462 33 233 26 277 30 263 13462 11638 32 226 36 275 30 264 11638 10006 31 227 38 272 35 265 10006 8553 31 238 29 263 37 258 8553 7260 34 249 26 248 36 247 7260 6111 35 250 29*232 35 238 6111 5091 30*241 30*222 34 230 5091 4191 27*230 31 217 34 227 4191 3395 26 226 30 214 33 223 3395 2682 25 224 30 212 32 219 2682 2050 24 224 29 211 31 216 2050 1523 24 223 28 210 29 211 1523 1118 23 223 27 210 25 207 1118 840 22 223 26 210 19 202 840 671 20 222 23 209 16*201 671 574 16 222 18 209 9*198 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography