DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 66 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4715 - - 1851 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3425 - - 926 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5310 - - 2446 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2322 - - 3276 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 359 - - 226 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 226 - - 230 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 17 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 510 - - 36 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4800 - - 2410 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2394 - - -1337 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7704 - - 3783 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 101 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1480 - - 2580 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 74.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.1 - - 83.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.1 - - 73.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 112 - - 66 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4715 - - 1851 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 4 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 18 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99493 37 099 16 100 99493 91927 24 098 23 102 91927 86072 18 096 26 101 86072 81224 18 091 22 096 81224 77079 16 095 17 092 77079 73432 15 088 13 095 73432 70140 14 083 13 101 70140 67133 14 087 9 086 67133 64374 14 074 7 078 64374 61714 13 039 10 049 61714 58944 8 015 12 004 58944 56093 10 298 13 307 56093 53393 12 268 11 294 53393 50970 15 302 19 304 50970 48799 27 309 21 299 48799 46812 33 309 23 304 46812 44963 39 311 37 307 44963 43237 40 308 38 307 43237 41623 34 292 32 295 41623 40117 26 275 39 279 40117 38704 23 271 45 267 38704 37336 21 264 37 253 37336 35943 18 264 32 257 35943 34495 13 271 27 256 34495 32990 18 298 30 257 32990 31414 23 311 26 258 31414 29751 20 309 26 258 29751 28006 25 299 29 263 28006 26182 24 296 31 265 26182 24277 26 292 27 262 24277 22297 29 288 26 263 22297 20236 26 292 23 272 20236 18093 23 290 18 276 18093 15917 21 277 15 263 15917 13835 18 273 17 249 13835 11951 14 272 19 255 11951 10275 11 265 20 260 10275 8782 12 269 19 257 8782 7450 12 272 16 248 7450 6264 10*270 13 238 6264 5212 8*254 11 231 5212 4286 7 244 10 227 4286 3467 7 223 10 227 3467 2734 7 218 10*229 2734 2087 7 216 10*233 2087 1547 7 215 9 231 1547 1133 7 214 9 230 1133 847 6 213 8 229 847 675 6 213 8 229 675 575 5 212 7 229 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography