DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 05/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 56.1 - - 51.6 - - 47.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 21 - - 72 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1127 - - 1682 - - 1430 - - 956 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 557 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1722 - - 2277 - - 2025 - - 1551 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 805 - - 1144 - - 874 - - 966 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 146 - - 149 - - 198 - - 105 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - 21 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 022 - - 041 - - 011 - - 013 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 6 - - 10 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 8 - - -12 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -31 - - 77 - - 915 - - 511 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1753 - - 2200 - - 1111 - - 1040 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5861 - - -7517 - - 156 - - 168 ODpotential blCL - - - 7583 - - 9794 - - 1869 - - 1383 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 20 - - 10 - - 170 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 54.3 - - 56.1 - - 51.6 - - 47.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 48.5 - - 48.3 - - 48.6 - - 44.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.3 - - 56.1 - - 51.4 - - 47.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 47.5 - - 47.2 - - 47.9 - - 44.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 33 - - 21 - - 72 - - 15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1127 - - 1682 - - 1430 - - 956 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97930 8 201 8 238 11 255 9 287 97930 90496 12 255 9 256 5 257 14 215 90496 84775 14 219 11 220 16 243 15 252 84775 80021 11 204 15 209 19 210 17 231 80021 75905 12 260 11 236 15 217 14 237 75905 72258 13 257 15 249 16 236 15 233 72258 68966 12 280 14 277 17 261 14 266 68966 65949 25 283 30 279 26 280 26 283 65949 63155 33 269 37 263 41 275 37 276 63155 60436 31 268 36 260 43 254 39 272 60436 57597 41 280 30 267 39 266 43 271 57597 54667 48 287 40 290 50 273 52 272 54667 51884 66 286 64 290 51 274 63 270 51884 49401 78 275 78 283 68 276 70 270 49401 47204 86 279 82 281 79 277 83 274 47204 45225 102 278 92 279 92 277 99 269 45225 43417 101 275 101 279 103 272 96 267 43417 41750 91 281 104 281 108 274 106 272 41750 40204 95 284 107 281 116 277 116 273 40204 38751 107 282 110 280 117 276 112 271 38751 37377 110 280 109 278 114 274 109 269 37377 36044 108 281 103 277 113 273 106 267 36044 34684 102 282 99 276 113 275 104 265 34684 33267 90 280 99 275 105 276 102 267 33267 31799 79 272 96 275 87 272 101 269 31799 30267 74 262 86 273 77 266 97 270 30267 28662 72 254 77 265 68 267 87 267 28662 26982 67 248 73 259 61 266 81 262 26982 25221 60 247 67 255 52 260 75 262 25221 23383 55 245 65 254 51 257 56 262 23383 21475 49 245 65 254 51 257 44 261 21475 19488 40 259 56 257 54 256 42 257 19488 17419 39 273 49 256 60 248 55 253 17419 15309 27 270 50 255 63 238 61 248 15309 13272 23 262 42 249 60 229 57 240 13272 11415 23 236 33 236 48 223 48 238 11415 9763 21 218 29 235 33 221 41 237 9763 8297 19 218 25 233 25 220 34 227 8297 7005 16 232 19 214 22 214 13 235 7005 5871 12 239 17 206 18 203 13 341 5871 4875 6 225 12 174 8 184 18 357 4875 4003 1 093 10 090 7 044 21 006 4003 3239 10 034 17 049 18 027 23 011 3239 2560 17 026 14*045 23*017 21 013 2560 1962 17*023 13*042 23*012 19*015 1962 1465 15*022 12 042 23 011 15*014 1465 1085 14 022 11 040 22 010 13 014 1085 822 13 022 10 039 20 011 12 013 822 663 12 022 9 039 17 011 10 012 663 572 9 022 7 037 13 011 8 012 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography