DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 75.3 - - 72.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 188 - - 154 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2998 - - 4228 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2359 - - 3152 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3593 - - 4823 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1314 - - 2871 - - 5116 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 349 - - 363 - - 13 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 262 - - 284 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 429 - - -1017 - - -3732 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3164 - - 5840 - - 4307 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1947 - - -3529 - - -5785 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5540 - - 8352 - - 6360 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 83 - - 54 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 490 - - 100 - - 230 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 75.3 - - 72.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.5 - - 51.6 - - 55.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.8 - - 74.5 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.2 - - 50.3 - - 54.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 188 - - 154 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2998 - - 4228 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 33 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97622 5 212 3 183 8 216 97622 90236 9 176 5 224 4 297 90236 84566 6 159 10 196 5 323 84566 79860 5 163 11 192 4 260 79860 75778 6 249 4 253 5 249 75778 72156 15 250 14 269 12 289 72156 68881 16 246 15 267 16 276 68881 65878 22 254 22 273 23 278 65878 63097 22 255 25 256 24 267 63097 60404 21 276 26 265 23 272 60404 57584 35 278 31 270 25 274 57584 54639 43 275 41 283 37 282 54639 51842 51 268 52 277 51 280 51842 49358 54 266 57 267 56 274 49358 47151 58 275 56 265 59 274 47151 45155 67 278 60 267 61 268 45155 43332 75 275 65 264 61 267 43332 41662 78 274 70 270 67 266 41662 40127 78 277 77 272 74 264 40127 38696 75 280 79 273 76 261 38696 37343 74 279 76 274 76 261 37343 36029 73 276 73 273 75 261 36029 34688 71 275 70 273 73 263 34688 33293 67 276 69 275 70 266 33293 31847 62 278 68 277 68 268 31847 30334 58 279 63 275 67 268 30334 28740 56 276 54 272 64 266 28740 27069 55 277 51 277 59 264 27069 25320 55 282 50 281 56 264 25320 23495 54 288 49 285 56 273 23495 21596 50 290 50 290 51 289 21596 19616 44 295 44 292 47 291 19616 17555 41 301 37 293 44 283 17555 15456 35 296 31 286 36 284 15456 13437 31 291 30 286 34 290 13437 11605 30 287 27 287 34 295 11605 9977 31 279 28 293 34 297 9977 8528 32 276 27 298 30 300 8528 7237 31 280 25 299 24 302 7237 6089 28 280 23 296 20 300 6089 5072 27 275 21*292 18 292 5072 4175 24*271 18*285 15 276 4175 3383 19*264 17 284 13 265 3383 2673 17 262 17 284 12 264 2673 2044 16 262 16 285 11 266 2044 1519 16 262 16 285 10 267 1519 1116 15 262 15 285 9 270 1116 839 14 262 14 285 7 272 839 671 13 262 13 285 6*271 671 574 11 262 11 285 3*271 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography