DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 73.9 - - 75.5 - - 71.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 64 - - 32 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1541 - - 1047 - - 1650 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2136 - - 1642 - - 2245 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1282 - - 1163 - - 1132 - - 2247 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 170 - - 175 - - 165 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 289 - - 316 - - 334 - - 004 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -10 - - -9 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 551 - - 313 - - 378 - - -66 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1585 - - 1329 - - 1868 - - 641 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1142 - - -1435 - - -1327 - - -806 ODpotential blCL - - - 3278 - - 3077 - - 3572 - - 1381 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 98 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 360 - - 120 - - 160 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.6 - - 73.9 - - 75.5 - - 71.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.3 - - 69.7 - - 69.0 - - 70.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 73.5 - - 75.3 - - 72.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 68.9 - - 68.3 - - 69.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 64 - - 32 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1541 - - 1047 - - 1650 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 78 - - 92 - - 83 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97442 35 269 35 266 31 260 33 266 97442 90274 19 265 21 259 24 250 26 271 90274 84752 8 272 12 243 16 252 15 279 84752 80158 6 296 8 242 10 258 10 302 80158 76179 6 278 2 217 7 221 4 314 76179 72659 5 239 3 281 5 155 2 331 72659 69481 5 173 10 232 5 234 7 243 69481 66575 8 262 14 223 10 270 8 239 66575 63892 16 259 18 229 18 257 13 259 63892 61301 17 233 22 230 24 250 20 262 61301 58629 24 222 29 244 30 245 29 252 58629 55878 33 238 32 246 30 232 30 233 55878 53258 38 243 35 256 30 242 34 233 53258 50909 44 243 45 253 41 255 37 241 50909 48794 48 249 54 252 53 260 43 256 48794 46848 60 257 60 254 64 253 59 257 46848 45039 67 260 64 253 68 250 63 255 45039 43347 71 257 67 250 68 249 65 254 43347 41758 72 253 68 248 68 247 68 253 41758 40257 71 251 68 249 68 244 70 250 40257 38835 71 251 68 249 67 247 69 248 38835 37452 67 254 57 247 64 249 65 246 37452 36045 60 260 47 249 53 254 56 246 36045 34585 51 258 46 249 49 254 50 245 34585 33070 45 253 48 247 47 247 49 235 33070 31487 47 250 47 245 45 241 46 241 31487 29824 44 253 47 246 43 245 43 248 29824 28079 41 258 44 245 44 252 42 247 28079 26248 38 264 37 249 43 259 38 250 26248 24335 39 275 28 256 41 256 36 255 24335 22346 42 286 29 273 32 250 31 260 22346 20277 35 273 34 291 25 299 16 265 20277 18121 37 256 25 290 13 293 18 258 18121 15925 41 250 22 248 18 264 21 266 15925 13816 32 254 19 230 22 244 18 277 13816 11904 15 257 19 255 14 241 15 263 11904 10207 11 251 18 253 12 257 14 250 10207 8703 19 253 19 239 14 241 11 251 8703 7368 24 244 17 259 15 249 11 235 7368 6186 21 235 17 254 12 255 4 231 6186 5140 10 285 13 244 7 269 2 119 5140 4220 11 304 3 278 2 274 0 322 4220 3410 13 314 4 343 2 329 2 327 3410 2689 13*315 5 325 4*323 5 012 2689 2054 11*304 5*315 6*333 8 020 2054 1526 9 290 6*315 6 333 7 013 1526 1120 8 282 6 315 6 334 6 009 1120 841 7 281 6 316 6 335 5 006 841 671 7 281 5 316 6 334 5*004 671 574 6 280 5 317 5 334 3*004 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography