DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.0 - - 48.9 - - 43.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 59 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3542 - - 3722 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2644 - - 2186 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4137 - - 4317 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1825 - - 1446 - - 2957 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 341 - - 266 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 286 - - 218 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 276 - - -267 - - -1050 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3861 - - 4584 - - 1623 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2285 - - -5786 - - -2484 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6422 - - 10103 - - 3057 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 78 - - 87 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 47.0 - - 48.9 - - 43.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.4 - - 31.1 - - 38.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.2 - - 48.7 - - 45.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 31.2 - - 29.9 - - 37.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 59 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3542 - - 3722 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 13 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96271 8 267 12 294 15 276 96271 89102 7 229 5 259 10 285 89102 83591 9 185 6 227 6 289 83591 78994 12 217 11 238 7 249 78994 74998 18 257 18 255 17 272 74998 71452 22 237 25 244 23 267 71452 68236 26 242 26 254 27 258 68236 65283 30 243 23 268 20 254 65283 62530 30 255 25 302 20 283 62530 59838 43 277 45 282 36 277 59838 57021 52 257 51 266 47 274 57021 54082 46 254 54 265 56 279 54082 51272 56 262 62 270 71 277 51272 48742 59 267 68 267 73 271 48742 46470 67 267 66 269 72 278 46470 44420 70 265 67 275 71 283 44420 42558 66 263 63 281 83 291 42558 40858 55 267 86 293 101 292 40858 39301 51 293 100 289 104 293 39301 37864 85 296 87 285 102 297 37864 36530 92 289 76 297 104 302 36530 35249 82 280 91 313 110 303 35249 33948 71 291 114 315 111 303 33948 32591 83 314 121 316 110 307 32591 31182 91 318 120 316 108 309 31182 29706 92 313 117 316 103 309 29706 28151 93 303 108 314 98 304 28151 26516 98 297 100 308 98 299 26516 24797 100 294 99 298 96 296 24797 22996 91 293 101 296 92 295 22996 21119 77 292 91 295 88 295 21119 19158 68 292 75 295 86 294 19158 17110 59 297 65 296 79 295 17110 15026 53 303 59 295 69 295 15026 13026 49 308 52 292 63 292 13026 11214 44 313 41 293 58 277 11214 9610 31 316 33 296 52 265 9610 8190 21 308 23 286 37 247 8190 6934 15 297 18 257 31 233 6934 5824 13 292 18 239 31 225 5824 4846 14*287 15*228 30 217 4846 3988 14*286 13*222 27 205 3988 3234 13 286 13 220 25 196 3234 2559 13 286 12 219 24 191 2559 1963 13 286 12 218 23 187 1963 1466 12 286 11 216 22 183 1466 1084 12 286 11 215 20 179 1084 822 11 285 10 215 17 175 822 663 11 286 10 215 14*173 663 572 9 286 9 214 8*171 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography