DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.6 - - 87.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 88 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2804 - - 3816 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2089 - - 2573 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3399 - - 4411 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1239 - - 2781 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 311 - - 303 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 187 - - 205 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 554 - - 794 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2845 - - 3617 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1378 - - -551 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4777 - - 4962 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 82 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2290 - - 2660 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.6 - - 87.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 72.7 - - 72.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.8 - - 86.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 71.5 - - 71.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 136 - - 88 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2804 - - 3816 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 59 - - 28 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99442 39 103 26 104 99442 91949 28 091 31 092 91949 86158 23 088 29 090 86158 81362 24 099 23 082 81362 77246 26 094 21 092 77246 73608 23 085 17 095 73608 70310 18 073 11 094 70310 67290 13 077 9 089 67290 64494 10 064 11 096 64494 61790 7 010 12 064 61790 58985 7 255 6 346 58985 56087 4 265 6 301 56087 53345 12 305 19 321 53345 50907 20 321 24 308 50907 48731 24 337 16 310 48731 46743 32 342 17 320 46743 44901 34 342 19 314 44901 43181 27 333 22 309 43181 41568 22 310 25 307 41568 40053 23 301 27 306 40053 38627 27 303 26 298 38627 37253 26 302 23 289 37253 35859 29 302 23 287 35859 34416 29 300 26 288 34416 32925 21 282 28 284 32925 31365 22 266 27 280 31365 29720 20 264 24 264 29720 27996 14 278 26 260 27996 26192 11 284 23 261 26192 24309 14 279 21 260 24309 22346 14 274 21 267 22346 20302 14 260 19 275 20302 18172 19 257 18 278 18172 16002 23 262 21 283 16002 13910 21 269 22 283 13910 12005 21 268 23 279 12005 10313 24 262 23 279 10313 8809 22 261 19 279 8809 7474 19 261 12 267 7474 6287 18 261 9 238 6287 5236 12 249 8*223 5236 4307 6 246 9*211 4307 3485 5*218 9 207 3485 2749 6*192 9 205 2749 2097 6 187 9 204 2097 1554 6 187 9 203 1554 1137 6 186 8 202 1137 850 5 185 8 201 850 675 5 184 8 201 675 575 5 184 7 202 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography