DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.4 - - 93.2 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 135 - - 13 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2978 - - 3530 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2202 - - 559 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3573 - - 4125 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1595 - - 3362 - - 4033 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 315 - - 206 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 211 - - 228 - - 201 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -800 - - -1347 - - -2817 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4373 - - 5473 - - 3394 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3321 - - -3709 - - -5734 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6894 - - 7834 - - 6311 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 95 - - 96 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2620 - - 1930 - - 2600 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.4 - - 93.2 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 73.9 - - 71.1 - - 74.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.6 - - 93.5 - - 89.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 72.9 - - 69.9 - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 135 - - 13 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2978 - - 3530 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 79 - - 86 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99408 45 095 34 080 43 079 99408 91975 39 089 31 092 33 082 91975 86216 31 084 31 095 27 088 86216 81409 24 074 29 094 23 086 81409 77263 14 057 26 088 21 074 77263 73613 7 061 14 069 15 059 73613 70326 12 103 6 049 9 037 70326 67312 16 104 3 088 5 350 67312 64514 12 097 9 139 4 248 64514 61817 6 099 8 130 5 171 61817 59047 4 235 2 304 6 189 59047 56223 10 219 10 252 5 240 56223 53562 9 235 14 232 11 242 53562 51188 12 262 11 228 13 218 51188 49061 17 221 13 239 10 269 49061 47103 15 188 20 226 13 264 47103 45280 12 165 23 208 25 213 45280 43586 10 162 23 199 33 197 43586 42002 14 133 23 192 30 192 42002 40509 18 114 24 181 22 187 40509 39098 18 107 23 166 19 157 39098 37727 18 113 16 140 20 139 37727 36324 15 110 21 118 15 137 36324 34862 13 103 23 114 13 105 34862 33342 15 119 21 122 14 092 33342 31748 15 153 9 160 11 083 31748 30073 10 213 8 246 5 122 30073 28323 9 252 12 242 16 252 28323 26493 9 261 19 245 23 264 26493 24580 17 263 21 247 22 269 24580 22590 18 270 20 261 22 262 22590 20523 17 269 21 274 21 262 20523 18375 20 267 25 288 22 272 18375 16186 24 265 28 280 24 275 16186 14076 23 265 24 270 23 278 14076 12155 19 273 16 279 20 279 12155 10443 15 278 14 276 15 276 10443 8917 15 253 16 258 15 273 8917 7559 16 232 20 255 18 266 7559 6354 15 242 19 256 21 251 6354 5288 14 267 17 245 23 237 5288 4348 12*269 15*232 21 228 4348 3517 7*232 14*229 20 225 3517 2773 6 213 14 228 19 222 2773 2113 6 208 13 228 17 218 2113 1564 6 207 13 227 16 215 1564 1142 6 205 12 227 14 211 1142 852 5 205 11 228 11 207 852 676 5 205 10 227 9*204 676 576 5 205 8 227 5*201 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography