DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.6 - - 89.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 195 - - 88 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2346 - - 2931 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1880 - - 1901 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2941 - - 3526 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 972 - - 1361 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 320 - - 272 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 174 - - 161 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3183 - - -3398 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6125 - - 6924 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7829 - - -7480 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10770 - - 11006 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 87 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 40 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.6 - - 89.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.9 - - 61.2 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.4 - - 88.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.9 - - 60.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 195 - - 88 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2346 - - 2931 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 89 - - 48 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99024 13 128 18 105 99024 91583 16 118 14 123 91583 85847 12 129 8 134 85847 81076 11 145 3 138 81076 76958 5 139 4 138 76958 73318 6 093 5 140 73318 70034 12 084 9 131 70034 67038 9 083 11 117 67038 64285 3 136 5 112 64285 61649 2 122 4 134 61649 58928 6 265 13 285 58928 56133 8 355 11 289 56133 53486 23 345 18 346 53486 51114 33 338 25 352 51114 48989 32 343 25 356 48989 47048 23 345 26 348 47048 45253 15 331 20 332 45253 43578 11 321 14 315 43578 42003 11 343 11 312 42003 40515 15 353 8 324 40515 39104 18 351 7 342 39104 37730 16 335 8 350 37730 36324 15 323 8 322 36324 34858 18 327 11 315 34858 33336 21 326 14 311 33336 31743 18 328 11 312 31743 30068 12 323 9 318 30068 28309 8 311 9 320 28309 26466 7 254 10 281 26466 24542 9 240 13 259 24542 22543 8 240 10 274 22543 20467 4 263 11 292 20467 18306 4 311 11 301 18306 16104 4 293 9 304 16104 13986 7 267 10 291 13986 12060 8 252 8 261 12060 10349 8 281 6 285 10349 8831 8 295 5 291 8831 7480 6 310 5 266 7480 6279 6 328 3 255 6279 5218 5 325 4 245 5218 4286 4 282 6*198 4286 3467 7*222 8*172 3467 2735 7*182 8 165 2735 2088 7 176 8 161 2088 1548 7 174 8 159 1548 1133 7 171 8 156 1133 848 6 169 8 155 848 675 6 169 7 155 675 575 6 167 6 154 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography