DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 42.9 - - 43.9 - - 40.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - 18 - - -39 - - -85 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 606 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 555 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 572 - - 1201 - - 573 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 490 - - 939 - - 1245 - - 562 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 7 - - 102 - - 15 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 16 - - 9 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 201 - - 185 - - 184 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -373 - - -432 - - -754 - - -648 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 945 - - 1633 - - 1327 - - 1221 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7088 - - -5958 - - -6353 - - -8547 ODpotential blCL - - - 7660 - - 7159 - - 6926 - - 9120 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 81 - - 73 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 42.9 - - 43.9 - - 40.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.2 - - 37.8 - - 40.1 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 33.7 - - 43.3 - - 45.8 - - 43.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.1 - - 36.8 - - 39.5 - - 37.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -27 - - 18 - - -39 - - -85 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 606 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 37 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95690 26 266 44 256 53 271 60 274 95690 88613 23 301 33 285 43 284 57 286 88613 83106 32 294 28 279 37 280 51 284 83106 78504 39 301 34 286 38 270 44 275 78504 74492 36 285 38 283 36 283 41 291 74492 70951 38 289 39 288 46 293 44 299 70951 67778 50 295 48 289 44 283 32 278 67778 64839 50 284 49 281 42 278 30 294 64839 62086 43 277 45 284 47 291 48 309 62086 59427 52 296 51 288 62 297 65 302 59427 56666 66 289 58 288 69 291 67 292 56666 53796 64 281 63 286 61 287 65 291 53796 51046 67 287 58 281 59 291 67 285 51046 48579 69 284 49 282 65 291 65 288 48579 46388 63 281 66 301 70 292 60 289 46388 44414 52 286 79 303 75 296 79 299 44414 42619 61 303 87 299 81 297 91 297 42619 40979 87 305 86 289 73 298 103 296 40979 39462 94 300 65 288 72 308 98 290 39462 38045 73 306 58 318 99 318 101 306 38045 36712 55 314 84 332 117 321 117 312 36712 35420 52 320 97 332 120 321 112 310 35420 34101 53 324 100 333 113 320 102 307 34101 32728 56 331 102 334 100 315 94 301 32728 31305 68 334 86 330 89 307 93 298 31305 29814 78 327 75 318 88 303 93 298 29814 28242 84 320 70 308 84 298 92 297 28242 26588 75 322 66 302 79 294 93 297 26588 24854 57 332 65 299 74 294 91 297 24854 23044 48 329 68 295 68 296 83 293 23044 21159 42 308 67 289 64 298 82 293 21159 19196 30 295 55 282 63 295 78 295 19196 17156 23 312 40 280 61 293 68 292 17156 15085 21 303 46 281 55 289 56 289 15085 13105 28 295 41 271 51 278 48 282 13105 11308 32 290 34 274 52 274 52 274 11308 9708 32 285 40 273 47 271 57 274 9708 8285 33 283 41 270 46 263 53 273 8285 7018 34 287 31 263 46 261 53 267 7018 5892 33 288 25 268 42 257 55 262 5892 4893 29 286 26 268 44 249 53 259 4893 4015 28 284 27 265 45 243 50 250 4015 3246 31 283 29 253 41 236 48 237 3246 2563 35 271 29 237 33 224 44 224 2563 1962 33 252 26 219 29 208 40 213 1962 1463 27 234 22*209 27 202 37 201 1463 1082 23 219 19*203 23 195 33 193 1082 820 17 207 17 201 19 190 26 187 820 663 14*205 15 200 16*188 22*186 663 572 8*200 11 199 9*185 13*184 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography