DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 59.6 - - 63.9 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 18 - - 2 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 508 - - 464 - - 479 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1103 - - 1059 - - 1074 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 790 - - 839 - - 1101 - - 1246 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 90 - - 84 - - 46 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 154 - - 152 - - 168 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 304 - - 276 - - 247 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 799 - - 783 - - 827 - - 574 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 88 - - 102 - - -98 - - -1093 ODpotential blCL - - - 1015 - - 957 - - 1172 - - 1668 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.0 - - 59.6 - - 63.9 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.5 - - 58.1 - - 62.0 - - 63.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.0 - - 59.7 - - 64.2 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 55.3 - - 58.0 - - 62.0 - - 63.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 20 - - 18 - - 2 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 508 - - 464 - - 479 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96358 66 261 69 267 64 261 74 265 96358 89356 43 271 40 272 42 274 41 274 89356 83928 24 283 25 274 27 275 23 299 83928 79432 11 303 14 277 18 290 13 309 79432 75555 15 335 11 296 13 315 10 298 75555 72103 18 323 15 320 14 328 11 315 72103 68947 19 317 15 329 13 314 14 310 68947 66027 21 314 15 344 13 305 16 313 66027 63310 24 304 16 341 14 307 20 314 63310 60677 23 304 17 323 16 311 19 308 60677 57938 22 310 19 312 19 318 15 314 57938 55121 28 308 27 311 27 317 19 321 55121 52475 30 299 33 302 31 309 25 316 52475 50123 23 295 31 315 29 319 29 310 50123 48012 39 319 35 328 29 320 29 304 48012 46079 36 311 31 331 27 313 24 287 46079 44295 39 308 29 313 27 307 20 269 44295 42638 42 299 25 290 28 295 20 268 42638 41088 35 299 26 280 23 280 27 262 41088 39629 32 296 27 279 22 266 35 250 39629 38246 27 296 24 264 23 255 36 236 38246 36901 18 297 17 249 17 262 33 224 36901 35527 14 322 16 245 14 253 31 219 35527 34099 10 312 17 247 20 238 32 215 34099 32617 10 274 17 252 20 249 32 217 32617 31065 21 250 20 252 20 252 29 226 31065 29431 25 254 23 250 19 246 25 236 29431 27719 22 262 26 267 28 257 34 249 27719 25928 25 281 34 277 36 261 41 251 25928 24057 30 291 26 269 37 257 39 250 24057 22107 31 291 22 255 33 252 32 241 22107 20071 21 308 19 236 27 241 29 231 20071 17943 7 304 19 226 27 243 30 230 17943 15766 9 261 16 230 23 242 28 233 15766 13667 15 240 15 230 18 222 27 219 13667 11765 17 225 17 229 18 210 28 212 11765 10086 19 216 18 220 20 202 24 210 10086 8599 19 220 20 217 23 202 24 212 8599 7280 21 216 22 219 27 208 29 211 7280 6113 26 215 32 214 35 216 32 205 6113 5081 34 216 34 208 34 215 32 202 5081 4173 31 215 34 203 33 207 32 201 4173 3374 25 205 33 196 34 195 35 193 3374 2660 23 190 29 185 32 188 35 187 2660 2032 22 176 25 174 30 182 33 182 2032 1509 17*162 20 161 25 176 28 173 1509 1110 14*156 16*155 21*171 24 167 1110 835 13 154 14*153 18*169 19 161 835 669 11 153 13 152 16 168 16*160 669 574 9 152 10 151 12 167 11*159 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography