DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - - - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - - - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - - - - 81.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - - - - 100 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - - - - 3538 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - - - - 2448 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - - - - 4133 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - - - - 1506 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - - - - 306 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - - - - 6 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - - - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - - - - 016 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - - - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - - - - -5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - - - - 452 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - - - - 3681 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - - - - -2198 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - - - - 6331 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - - - - 80 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - - - - 370 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - - - - 81.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - - - - 66.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - - - - 80.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - - - - 65.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - - - - 100 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - - - - 3538 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - - - - 19 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - - - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99189 20 107 99189 91766 20 099 91766 86020 20 107 86020 81248 19 096 81248 77128 10 092 77128 73476 10 113 73476 70161 3 074 70161 67116 4 233 67116 64297 6 222 64297 61572 11 277 61572 58752 20 259 58752 55843 22 249 55843 53077 26 281 53077 50613 38 274 50613 48419 39 264 48419 46433 36 268 46433 44620 34 273 44620 42949 37 276 42949 41388 38 275 41388 39919 38 275 39919 38528 37 276 38528 37176 34 279 37176 35797 31 284 35797 34358 28 286 34358 32864 26 287 32864 31299 26 286 31299 29649 26 285 29649 27914 25 284 27914 26095 23 283 26095 24198 23 285 24198 22226 23 285 22226 20171 23 287 20171 18032 21 290 18032 15859 15 284 15859 13773 9 280 13773 11879 7 295 11879 10199 9 314 10199 8706 7 330 8706 7379 6 005 7379 6201 6 017 6201 5160 8 016 5160 4245 9*015 4245 3436 9*015 3436 2712 9 016 2712 2072 9 015 2072 1537 9 016 1537 1127 8 017 1127 844 8 017 844 673 7 016 673 575 7 016 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography