DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.0 - - 33.0 - - 31.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - 23 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 774 - - 889 - - 698 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1369 - - 1484 - - 1293 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1077 - - 817 - - 2088 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 111 - - 114 - - 27 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 336 - - 336 - - 335 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 512 - - 532 - - 308 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 857 - - 952 - - 986 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 368 - - 349 - - -6 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1001 - - 1135 - - 1299 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.0 - - 33.0 - - 31.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 31.6 - - 31.2 - - 29.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.0 - - 33.0 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 31.1 - - 30.7 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - 23 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 774 - - 889 - - 698 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 99 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95410 76 272 78 275 74 259 95410 88446 59 277 60 281 62 269 88446 83006 45 278 49 274 54 280 83006 78458 42 276 42 278 52 286 78458 74523 47 278 52 287 50 295 74523 71038 52 283 53 282 50 291 71038 67872 50 280 52 280 52 288 67872 64943 49 281 50 279 55 285 64943 62198 54 283 54 283 53 285 62198 59521 55 269 56 283 59 289 59521 56736 54 278 61 281 65 285 56736 53860 63 281 64 279 65 279 53860 51113 66 283 63 285 65 281 51113 48635 73 288 74 289 70 287 48635 46416 83 289 84 288 79 292 46416 44423 97 287 95 288 97 292 44423 42630 104 282 102 284 105 288 42630 40994 103 285 100 290 109 292 40994 39475 111 292 120 299 121 299 39475 38053 129 296 133 297 128 293 38053 36711 141 291 127 294 125 287 36711 35408 143 286 123 294 122 286 35408 34084 137 285 120 293 116 295 34084 32712 133 286 118 293 115 299 32712 31288 130 286 118 292 112 300 31288 29794 126 287 118 291 111 300 29794 28214 122 288 116 291 110 298 28214 26547 113 293 115 292 109 296 26547 24796 106 296 112 294 106 295 24796 22967 101 295 109 295 102 293 22967 21062 91 298 99 295 99 291 21062 19074 72 304 78 306 94 291 19074 17016 53 300 58 304 76 298 17016 14940 46 289 48 290 60 295 14940 12943 39 297 54 290 58 292 12943 11125 30 297 46 295 53 294 11125 9513 24 284 37 294 40 296 9513 8087 21 286 34 296 36 295 8087 6824 20 297 28 299 36 298 6824 5709 16 298 22 304 29 299 5709 4736 2 342 12 290 20 319 4736 3894 9 032 6 320 18 324 3894 3158 14 359 10 336 14 323 3158 2500 13 348 15 332 13 330 2500 1919 8 340 14*336 11 337 1919 1437 8*337 13*336 10*338 1437 1068 7*336 12 336 8*336 1068 814 7 335 11 336 7 335 814 659 7 335 10 336 6 334 659 571 6 335 8 336 5 333 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography