DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 7.6 - - 11.6 - - 13.8 - - 10.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 80 - - 46 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1089 - - 1451 - - 1858 - - 90 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 553 - - 553 - - 553 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1684 - - 2046 - - 2453 - - 685 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 583 - - 606 - - 495 - - 1875 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 128 - - 198 - - 179 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 22 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 015 - - 356 - - 341 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -1 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 80 - - 401 - - 757 - - -878 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1604 - - 1645 - - 1696 - - 1563 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -21994 - - -350 - - 369 - - -16131 ODpotential blCL - - - 23678 - - 2396 - - 2084 - - 16816 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 93 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 7.6 - - 11.6 - - 13.8 - - 10.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 3.0 - - 6.8 - - 8.8 - - 6.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 7.7 - - 11.4 - - 13.8 - - 11.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.5 - - 6.1 - - 8.2 - - 6.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 29 - - 80 - - 46 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1089 - - 1451 - - 1858 - - 90 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 78 - - 72 - - 83 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95244 116 241 125 250 120 248 133 241 95244 88192 95 248 99 245 105 251 112 252 88192 82833 68 251 76 247 82 249 87 261 82833 78400 53 259 59 252 64 249 71 262 78400 74551 46 262 46 255 52 249 58 254 74551 71118 44 258 41 253 46 245 55 248 71118 67998 47 256 40 250 44 248 52 247 67998 65121 54 252 43 251 46 253 50 247 65121 62446 60 244 46 244 54 249 59 250 62446 59854 61 246 50 246 56 248 64 249 59854 57132 69 248 59 253 64 249 68 247 57132 54269 73 246 76 251 78 245 76 244 54269 51500 80 246 84 243 87 240 85 239 51500 48980 87 247 83 237 85 236 86 234 48980 46693 96 246 81 239 80 238 83 239 46693 44593 103 243 87 244 87 243 92 243 44593 42657 107 240 97 245 103 243 101 238 42657 40867 113 238 107 242 112 236 105 235 40867 39206 122 235 119 235 112 230 105 238 39206 37658 124 231 124 228 109 227 112 240 37658 36207 129 228 125 222 106 229 124 239 36207 34818 133 224 119 219 112 234 136 234 34818 33421 132 220 113 220 126 235 135 232 33421 31987 133 217 113 222 128 232 126 231 31987 30519 131 214 117 219 122 231 117 232 30519 29004 125 213 118 215 110 230 105 235 29004 27436 122 212 115 213 93 232 92 236 27436 25812 122 211 109 213 83 234 75 236 25812 24115 120 216 101 217 83 234 72 240 24115 22335 108 225 89 222 71 236 69 243 22335 20476 88 229 78 226 61 238 67 238 20476 18538 83 237 57 230 54 240 63 237 18538 16518 72 240 56 230 46 241 59 245 16518 14463 50 241 36 239 37 257 46 254 14463 12498 31 249 24 265 29 262 32 266 12498 10721 24 262 15 268 21 274 28 277 10721 9152 12 293 10 293 20 302 27 296 9152 7774 8 347 12 323 22 316 25 312 7774 6564 12 002 17 348 22 329 22 326 6564 5499 16 006 21 003 22 343 22 338 5499 4566 21 018 24 009 23 352 24 344 4566 3754 25 033 26 011 23 003 26 352 3754 3043 26 040 28 018 25*359 30 351 3043 2412 26 031 26*011 24*343 31 342 2412 1858 24*021 22*358 24 342 28 337 1858 1398 21*016 21 356 23 341 25 335 1398 1044 19 015 20 356 21 340 22 334 1044 801 17 014 19 355 20 340 19*333 801 654 15 013 17 354 17 339 16*332 654 570 11 013 13 353 13 339 11 331 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography