DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.3 - - 82.9 - - 74.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 242 - - 108 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4029 - - 4565 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3192 - - 3132 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4624 - - 5160 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1593 - - 1371 - - 1987 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 405 - - 325 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 175 - - 176 - - 145 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3844 - - -4031 - - -5996 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8469 - - 9192 - - 6572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10232 - - -11992 - - -14471 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14856 - - 17152 - - 15046 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 90 - - 77 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.3 - - 82.9 - - 74.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 46.2 - - 44.7 - - 48.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.7 - - 82.1 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.3 - - 43.8 - - 47.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 242 - - 108 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4029 - - 4565 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 58 - - 8 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97924 15 250 19 251 16 270 97924 90673 5 240 12 266 15 286 90673 85049 3 292 8 249 12 301 85049 80376 4 226 7 219 11 287 80376 76357 5 213 5 176 6 241 76357 72818 3 255 3 041 8 144 72818 69616 3 337 7 002 11 103 69616 66668 1 338 6 316 8 036 66668 63943 3 310 6 290 11 355 63943 61316 9 304 10 303 13 333 61316 58583 10 298 13 289 18 307 58583 55754 13 304 16 294 26 293 55754 53061 24 307 22 299 26 293 53061 50646 22 304 27 312 36 301 50646 48484 34 318 41 312 35 299 48484 46508 43 311 48 307 35 311 46508 44678 48 308 45 310 45 314 44678 42979 49 305 46 317 56 313 42979 41402 49 314 65 307 59 302 41402 39932 57 314 66 303 53 297 39932 38545 60 311 55 304 50 291 38545 37193 50 320 49 300 46 289 37193 35810 34 325 35 306 40 299 35810 34368 29 318 24 304 33 299 34368 32872 24 318 21 298 27 280 32872 31306 20 316 25 294 28 273 31306 29654 21 315 32 297 31 280 29654 27918 24 312 28 302 27 291 27918 26097 23 311 22 296 20 284 26097 24197 18 290 19 289 22 271 24197 22221 16 273 19 288 23 275 22221 20160 12 270 15 289 16 283 20160 18014 8 254 12 269 10 274 18014 15832 9 227 10 242 11 256 15832 13738 11 215 11 221 13 252 13738 11842 11 212 11 218 12 257 11842 10163 10 218 12 222 10 269 10163 8674 9 233 10 234 11 277 8674 7350 8 234 10 243 11 273 7350 6175 8 207 9*221 9 260 6175 5135 7*190 8*185 8 225 5135 4220 9*180 9 181 9 184 4220 3414 9 177 9 178 11 165 3414 2694 10 176 9 176 13 158 2694 2059 10 175 9 174 13 157 2059 1528 10 173 9 172 13 156 1528 1121 9 173 9 172 13 155 1121 841 9 173 8 171 12 153 841 671 9 172 8 171 10*150 671 574 8 173 7 170 5*145 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography