DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.0 - - 89.3 - - 87.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 165 - - 81 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3829 - - 4670 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2923 - - 3169 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4424 - - 5265 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2170 - - 2287 - - 5043 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 366 - - 322 - - 21 W* B/S - - - - - - 22 - - 20 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 216 - - 251 - - 189 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 850 - - 185 - - -2825 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3574 - - 5081 - - 3402 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -563 - - -4480 - - -6926 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4987 - - 9745 - - 7503 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 70 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1050 - - 560 - - 2060 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.0 - - 89.3 - - 87.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.9 - - 68.8 - - 73.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.9 - - 88.8 - - 88.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.6 - - 67.4 - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 165 - - 81 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3829 - - 4670 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 24 - - 0 - - 2 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99371 38 099 29 093 26 087 99371 91848 32 084 30 098 28 087 91848 86050 27 081 29 088 28 087 86050 81250 22 096 24 076 25 074 81250 77134 22 093 19 085 17 055 77134 73499 19 079 18 077 13 067 73499 70207 14 083 14 066 15 042 70207 67199 15 079 11 090 8 042 67199 64428 16 045 13 067 7 052 64428 61759 15 019 15 033 4 043 61759 58996 13 343 14 348 6 333 58996 56166 17 319 23 314 19 332 56166 53499 24 309 29 297 32 321 53499 51110 29 317 32 301 36 304 51110 48957 35 318 36 305 38 303 48957 46987 36 316 41 311 43 309 46987 45167 39 323 46 315 47 312 45167 43472 42 325 51 320 48 313 43472 41883 48 322 54 321 50 317 41883 40385 51 320 53 315 49 319 40385 38971 42 316 52 313 49 320 38971 37600 38 313 47 310 51 318 37600 36202 39 315 42 313 47 314 36202 34747 38 318 41 318 42 315 34747 33235 39 324 39 318 40 317 33235 31650 41 328 37 314 42 316 31650 29981 29 330 36 315 41 314 29981 28227 23 315 30 313 39 311 28227 26390 25 303 30 307 36 312 26390 24472 25 293 29 305 32 315 24472 22480 21 287 27 305 32 313 22480 20414 18 295 24 310 27 313 20414 18273 13 309 17 309 18 324 18273 16093 14 318 17 314 17 336 16093 13989 15 320 17 334 16 353 13989 12073 17 325 15 340 17 004 12073 10366 18 324 14 344 13 357 10366 8849 18 328 13 335 9 350 8849 7502 15 323 10 299 9 316 7502 6309 9 307 9*276 15 282 6309 5253 6*293 7*269 15 262 5253 4321 4*272 5 264 12 244 4321 3496 3 243 3 249 11 225 3496 2757 3 209 2 240 11 215 2757 2104 3 202 2 232 10 207 2104 1558 3 196 2 222 10 201 1558 1139 3 192 2 214 9 196 1139 851 3 190 1 210 8 193 851 676 3 189 1 208 7*191 676 576 3 188 1 209 5*189 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography