DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 22.4 - - 20.4 - - 17.3 - - 15.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 132 - - 76 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1334 - - 1411 - - 1364 - - 1367 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 834 - - 957 - - 554 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1929 - - 2006 - - 1959 - - 1962 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 380 - - 457 - - 403 - - 589 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 226 - - 232 - - 190 - - 160 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 12 - - 16 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 360 - - 355 - - 346 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 386 - - 292 - - 327 - - 178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1544 - - 1715 - - 1632 - - 1784 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16319 - - 193 - - 136 - - -18541 ODpotential blCL - - - 18248 - - 1813 - - 1823 - - 20503 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 22.4 - - 20.4 - - 17.3 - - 15.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.1 - - 15.4 - - 12.7 - - 9.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 21.9 - - 19.8 - - 17.1 - - 15.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.1 - - 14.4 - - 11.9 - - 9.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 129 - - 132 - - 76 - - 44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1334 - - 1411 - - 1364 - - 1367 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95461 81 257 87 261 79 262 85 250 95461 88449 60 265 59 266 58 263 58 265 88449 83008 49 271 54 269 52 271 51 282 83008 78482 39 276 46 279 43 279 51 287 78482 74575 34 282 39 277 38 282 44 280 74575 71084 35 294 35 277 38 276 44 295 71084 67909 42 294 36 277 39 287 45 298 67909 64992 42 288 39 285 46 289 38 293 64992 62267 39 285 40 285 42 286 38 288 62267 59609 47 296 43 284 44 286 40 284 59609 56813 58 293 48 281 47 285 47 288 56813 53905 60 287 59 285 54 285 59 292 53905 51154 64 283 68 288 68 288 66 284 51154 48692 72 281 81 281 87 284 66 279 48692 46482 74 276 82 268 87 274 75 285 46482 44483 73 282 77 273 79 274 85 280 44483 42655 88 293 88 289 86 284 84 282 42655 40972 107 290 111 289 107 288 104 287 40972 39426 108 283 114 278 121 281 120 284 39426 37994 102 281 112 273 122 272 128 279 37994 36649 105 286 110 275 119 268 129 274 36649 35347 105 286 109 276 119 266 125 269 35347 34015 101 283 105 274 119 265 119 268 34015 32634 97 279 104 273 115 265 121 272 32634 31202 96 280 105 274 109 268 121 273 31202 29699 96 283 105 275 109 276 118 272 29699 28111 95 285 102 277 110 276 117 272 28111 26440 92 285 96 278 107 275 112 273 26440 24688 90 285 90 276 101 274 103 272 24688 22857 88 283 85 272 95 273 98 267 22857 20947 85 278 86 272 91 270 98 266 20947 18953 84 274 85 272 85 267 94 270 18953 16874 82 276 80 268 80 268 84 275 16874 14765 77 268 72 266 74 268 79 279 14765 12745 70 261 65 268 65 263 72 279 12745 10914 61 264 58 268 54 263 60 276 10914 9299 57 266 52 267 47 268 45 280 9299 7883 46 264 49 265 42 276 37 284 7883 6642 32 271 41 262 38 283 32 306 6642 5560 26 270 29 263 27 286 26 327 5560 4614 20 267 20 256 23 295 23 329 4614 3787 11 259 14 245 20 303 22 336 3787 3063 7 297 9 288 15 323 23 349 3063 2425 12*355 12*352 16*344 22*351 2425 1867 14*359 13*354 17*346 20*350 1867 1403 14 360 13 355 17 346 19 350 1403 1047 14 000 13 355 17 346 18 349 1047 803 14 000 12 355 16 346 16 349 803 655 13 360 11 355 15 346 14 349 655 570 10 000 9 356 11 346 11 348 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography