DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.8 - - 87.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3049 - - 5957 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2107 - - 3410 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3644 - - 6552 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 979 - - 1355 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 292 - - 282 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 304 - - 312 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1426 - - 1776 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2218 - - 4776 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 215 - - -729 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3429 - - 7281 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 93 - - 73 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3310 - - 350 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.8 - - 87.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 77.2 - - 68.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.4 - - 87.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 76.1 - - 67.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3049 - - 5957 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 73 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 18 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99358 38 100 35 109 99358 91839 33 099 33 099 91839 86062 28 099 25 085 86062 81286 31 095 17 091 81286 77166 23 077 19 093 77166 73519 18 085 20 091 73519 70224 15 090 15 089 70224 67197 16 073 12 084 67197 64404 14 038 15 087 64404 61719 16 012 20 029 61719 58950 19 350 19 327 58950 56104 13 295 19 300 56104 53396 32 329 42 313 53396 50974 56 307 55 307 50974 48815 60 295 61 300 48815 46855 57 296 62 301 46855 45052 63 308 65 301 45052 43375 66 309 65 300 43375 41800 65 306 64 300 41800 40311 65 305 63 300 40311 38899 65 305 62 302 38899 37525 67 305 62 306 37525 36122 66 305 63 309 36122 34660 64 306 64 310 34660 33142 62 307 66 309 33142 31554 61 308 66 307 31554 29883 59 306 66 303 29883 28128 59 302 65 299 28128 26288 60 299 63 298 26288 24368 59 299 61 301 24368 22373 53 300 58 307 22373 20302 43 297 47 301 20302 18155 39 292 43 293 18155 15972 44 287 44 291 15972 13870 47 286 46 292 13870 11959 42 290 47 297 11959 10266 37 298 38 300 10266 8767 35 302 28 303 8767 7440 28 305 23*313 7440 6264 23 300 19*313 6264 5219 24 297 18 312 5219 4295 18*300 17 312 4295 3477 17*302 16 312 3477 2743 17 304 15 311 2743 2094 16 304 15 311 2094 1552 15 304 14 311 1552 1136 14 304 13 311 1136 849 13 304 13 311 849 675 12 304 12 311 675 575 10 303 9 310 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography