DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 44.5 - - 45.2 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 236 - - 127 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 424 - - 2671 - - 2723 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 2157 - - 1888 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1019 - - 3266 - - 3318 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1010 - - 912 - - 998 - - 476 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 86 - - 346 - - 283 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 18 - - 20 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 267 - - 265 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 9 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 3 - - -9 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2704 - - -2380 - - -2987 - - -4292 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3723 - - 5647 - - 6305 - - 4865 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9114 - - -7014 - - -8009 - - -10751 ODpotential blCL - - - 10133 - - 10280 - - 11327 - - 11324 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 68 - - 50 - - 39 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 44.5 - - 45.2 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.1 - - 21.8 - - 19.7 - - 18.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.2 - - 43.3 - - 44.8 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.8 - - 21.4 - - 19.3 - - 18.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 22 - - 236 - - 127 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 424 - - 2671 - - 2723 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95547 33 251 41 261 39 264 44 254 95547 88525 24 285 27 255 31 255 39 264 88525 83122 33 282 24 268 31 256 34 266 83122 78604 35 274 26 252 32 267 34 270 78604 74681 29 279 24 250 34 270 33 275 74681 71183 29 280 29 263 36 259 37 274 71183 67977 32 268 33 271 45 275 38 272 67977 64993 36 273 42 271 46 270 51 282 64993 62217 45 275 43 263 56 269 62 269 62217 59534 53 274 50 267 58 259 58 259 59534 56721 66 268 61 260 53 250 55 261 56721 53774 71 258 62 256 58 269 65 266 53774 50950 71 252 68 258 80 268 72 268 50950 48412 75 256 78 261 86 262 79 267 48412 46146 84 261 83 260 84 261 82 266 46146 44095 91 263 83 261 84 263 86 267 44095 42220 91 265 85 264 89 262 91 267 42220 40500 97 265 92 263 95 258 97 265 40500 38921 102 257 100 259 99 254 102 260 38921 37463 103 252 105 254 97 252 102 254 37463 36099 97 253 105 252 96 254 97 253 36099 34788 95 258 104 250 94 255 93 260 34788 33471 98 258 99 249 90 258 93 264 33471 32120 104 254 92 251 88 263 93 264 32120 30726 104 254 87 254 88 265 92 263 30726 29271 96 254 83 258 88 263 90 262 29271 27739 86 253 82 261 84 260 89 265 27739 26132 80 255 82 261 78 260 90 270 26132 24446 78 258 79 261 74 264 92 273 24446 22684 74 260 77 260 75 270 90 274 22684 20847 74 259 75 260 75 273 85 271 20847 18927 81 262 74 262 74 274 81 269 18927 16920 85 263 69 265 72 271 80 269 16920 14869 71 257 62 264 69 274 79 274 14869 12897 62 263 56 259 61 276 78 282 12897 11112 54 264 53 256 55 276 73 289 11112 9534 49 260 51 256 53 278 68 294 9534 8137 46 257 50 259 52 280 56 292 8137 6899 45 253 47 265 46 282 50 287 6899 5800 41 252 44 272 41 281 47 283 5800 4825 36 260 37 272 38 279 45 276 4825 3967 32 268 29*267 26*270 43 271 3967 3212 30 272 21*267 22*265 37 264 3212 2540 24 280 18 267 21 265 30 253 2540 1949 23 283 18 267 21 265 27 249 1949 1456 23 272 17 267 21 265 24 249 1456 1078 20*266 17 267 20 265 21 248 1078 819 16*259 16 268 19 265 17 244 819 661 14 258 15 267 17 265 14*241 661 572 10 256 13 267 14 264 7*235 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography