DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.3 - - 92.3 - - 87.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 126 - - 64 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5312 - - 5568 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3906 - - 3698 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5907 - - 6163 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2992 - - 4348 - - 7176 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 381 - - 326 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 15 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 207 - - 196 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 975 - - 426 - - -3634 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4932 - - 5737 - - 4212 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -367 - - -1226 - - -5683 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6274 - - 7389 - - 6260 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 79 - - 71 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2320 - - 2110 - - 2360 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 90.3 - - 92.3 - - 87.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 70.3 - - 68.9 - - 70.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 89.5 - - 92.1 - - 89.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.0 - - 67.5 - - 69.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 126 - - 64 - - -47 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5312 - - 5568 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 15 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99014 36 091 37 084 36 093 99014 91556 32 091 26 093 31 091 91556 85824 30 096 26 097 25 090 85824 81059 24 093 29 088 20 086 81059 76940 19 091 23 089 20 088 76940 73298 14 093 15 093 17 087 73298 70018 14 093 10 089 15 078 70018 67031 12 078 10 110 11 075 67031 64279 11 078 10 104 9 094 64279 61609 10 092 10 087 7 081 61609 58819 10 119 5 099 5 030 58819 55943 7 121 6 185 2 237 55943 53214 6 184 11 217 8 227 53214 50773 5 193 11 216 15 216 50773 48591 13 288 10 256 12 232 48591 46606 34 270 21 278 25 260 46606 44779 44 254 28 265 29 255 44779 43086 36 237 33 252 24 240 43086 41510 29 225 32 236 25 230 41510 40033 24 222 34 232 26 227 40033 38639 21 220 37 229 24 233 38639 37284 20 219 35 229 25 239 37284 35900 20 215 32 229 27 243 35900 34459 21 217 30 232 31 242 34459 32965 27 226 34 238 32 241 32965 31402 31 229 36 242 33 240 31402 29753 29 229 29 241 31 231 29753 28019 25 233 21 244 22 235 28019 26205 20 237 17 246 13 203 26205 24314 14 237 14 244 12 186 24314 22349 11 230 12 257 8 204 22349 20303 9 242 10 263 8 221 20303 18174 9 252 8 274 9 229 18174 16005 14 220 12 238 11 220 16005 13917 19 209 16 219 13 218 13917 12021 15 227 16 217 15 225 12021 10338 16 235 17 220 17 230 10338 8839 15 229 17 220 18 232 8839 7503 14 223 17 215 18 228 7503 6314 13*220 16*209 19 219 6314 5258 13*216 16*203 20 212 5258 4325 12 213 16 201 21 208 4325 3499 12 209 16 198 21 205 3499 2759 12 207 15 196 21 202 2759 2105 11 204 15 194 20 199 2105 1558 11 202 15 192 19 197 1558 1139 10 201 14 192 18 194 1139 851 10 200 14 191 15 192 851 676 9 200 13 190 12*190 676 576 8 199 10 190 8*188 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography