DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 85.5 - - 86.9 - - 79.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 250 - - 132 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 430 - - 5298 - - 5702 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 4176 - - 4110 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1025 - - 5893 - - 6297 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 459 - - 1561 - - 1400 - - 4927 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 155 - - 449 - - 374 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 100 - - 58 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 237 - - 170 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2600 - - -2029 - - -2233 - - -5733 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3625 - - 7923 - - 8531 - - 6308 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7527 - - -7582 - - -7294 - - -12120 ODpotential blCL - - - 8552 - - 13475 - - 13591 - - 12695 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 65 - - 64 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.2 - - 85.5 - - 86.9 - - 79.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.4 - - 52.7 - - 51.5 - - 53.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.3 - - 84.0 - - 86.0 - - 81.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.1 - - 51.9 - - 50.7 - - 53.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 250 - - 132 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 430 - - 5298 - - 5702 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98586 5 249 4 298 6 290 3 270 98586 91236 5 090 1 175 1 346 8 314 91236 85551 9 062 5 067 7 003 6 335 85551 80818 14 049 11 058 8 042 10 043 80818 76740 12 050 12 059 8 050 14 066 76740 73149 9 055 13 060 8 074 8 059 73149 69909 9 064 11 060 8 080 8 052 69909 66926 8 054 8 074 5 072 7 064 66926 64150 3 334 4 023 5 099 6 048 64150 61463 5 233 10 278 5 327 6 323 61463 58683 6 281 11 273 14 289 12 285 58683 55821 16 292 9 271 17 266 13 274 55821 53109 15 296 21 288 25 280 26 296 53109 50677 38 292 33 288 30 290 31 286 50677 48495 49 303 49 306 49 299 43 301 48495 46509 56 308 57 299 54 295 54 298 46509 44684 53 310 52 298 48 291 50 297 44684 43005 48 311 43 287 40 271 28 286 43005 41447 39 321 32 287 33 252 17 256 41447 39979 29 339 18 312 13 246 15 262 39979 38583 24 355 11 321 12 245 17 264 38583 37223 20 346 10 310 9 244 21 267 37223 35833 18 331 11 319 7 265 23 271 35833 34383 13 325 12 315 6 283 22 278 34383 32877 8 337 13 296 8 299 16 288 32877 31299 6 324 13 284 11 302 15 279 31299 29641 4 307 12 270 13 290 16 278 29641 27901 5 312 10 249 13 276 19 279 27901 26080 10 300 8 258 12 273 18 281 26080 24185 12 304 6 299 11 287 15 280 24185 22216 11 306 6 336 7 300 11 285 22216 20168 7 316 5 011 1 349 6 287 20168 18042 4 026 5 093 4 148 2 248 18042 15877 5 082 8 134 6 181 2 233 15877 13789 2 122 6 146 6 185 2 269 13789 11887 3 139 4 167 4 201 4 269 11887 10201 5 185 5 216 4 230 5 242 10201 8707 9 193 8 211 6 238 5 215 8707 7384 7 195 5 216 2*274 1 070 7384 6210 7 152 3*207 1*296 3 025 6210 5170 4 142 1*242 0 268 2 032 5170 4252 2 098 1 259 1 197 1 131 4252 3441 2 109 1 250 1 170 4 159 3441 2716 3 125 1 246 2 167 5 166 2716 2074 4 157 1 229 2 159 7 171 2074 1538 6 183 1 226 2 159 8 175 1538 1127 5*191 1 217 3 159 9 177 1127 844 4*194 1 221 3 159 9 178 844 673 4 193 1 217 3 157 8*177 673 574 3 194 1 211 2 158 5*174 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography