DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 87.2 - - 88.9 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 207 - - 91 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 4651 - - 5826 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 3608 - - 3980 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1573 - - 5246 - - 6421 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 762 - - 1230 - - 1611 - - 6340 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 199 - - 409 - - 343 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 9 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 104 - - 072 - - 065 - - 046 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2031 - - -1086 - - -876 - - -4445 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3604 - - 6332 - - 7297 - - 5021 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5484 - - -4899 - - -4321 - - -6830 ODpotential blCL - - - 7057 - - 10145 - - 10742 - - 7406 blCL maxRH - - - 68 - - 58 - - 63 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 730 - - 620 - - 430 - - 690 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.5 - - 87.2 - - 88.9 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.6 - - 61.5 - - 59.0 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.8 - - 86.0 - - 88.3 - - 84.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 60.5 - - 57.9 - - 61.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 115 - - 207 - - 91 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 4651 - - 5826 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98214 17 059 16 097 12 143 9 106 98214 90870 9 066 11 071 9 121 9 083 90870 85221 7 102 3 100 7 087 10 064 85221 80521 12 118 10 136 2 074 6 083 80521 76462 15 103 16 116 5 098 5 112 76462 72879 10 101 15 111 9 097 5 099 72879 69643 9 085 11 114 8 134 5 001 69643 66673 8 069 7 088 13 125 5 318 66673 63915 6 095 6 072 11 086 3 113 63915 61238 4 094 5 102 10 077 6 083 61238 58459 7 109 7 111 7 101 5 056 58459 55597 11 056 8 092 1 131 3 355 55597 52878 11 009 8 057 2 025 2 341 52878 50434 10 339 13 008 10 044 6 072 50434 48244 10 342 15 344 14 013 13 026 48244 46260 14 003 14 349 16 350 20 001 46260 44445 21 352 18 356 18 348 23 354 44445 42770 21 337 21 347 21 346 24 355 42770 41213 22 340 24 354 23 356 22 358 41213 39755 24 351 24 355 24 002 23 354 39755 38378 20 348 24 350 25 000 24 356 38378 37041 17 356 20 352 24 002 24 004 37041 35679 13 037 16 005 22 009 20 014 35679 34261 14 064 15 044 17 020 16 026 34261 32791 15 078 17 069 13 031 17 052 32791 31253 16 091 16 078 12 039 16 053 31253 29633 19 095 16 090 11 058 13 049 29633 27932 20 086 19 096 10 088 10 061 27932 26144 19 079 18 098 10 100 9 080 26144 24274 19 086 15 104 8 097 7 090 24274 22323 13 094 13 104 8 096 7 094 22323 20285 13 089 14 100 9 104 7 090 20285 18155 11 091 11 096 9 086 6 066 18155 15980 7 062 7 061 10 066 8 043 15980 13883 8 065 8 036 11 045 11 038 13883 11978 12 029 11 030 12 041 11 040 11978 10285 17 020 18 022 17 030 14 037 10285 8783 14 016 21 019 18 031 14 034 8783 7450 14 022 20 029 10*054 6 050 7450 6268 15 034 14*044 9*066 5 087 6268 5218 13 051 9*066 9 067 6 087 5218 4291 9 057 9 071 9 067 7 079 4291 3472 8 040 9 073 9 066 7 073 3472 2738 8 066 9 073 9 065 8 069 2738 2089 10*109 9 074 9 064 8 066 2089 1548 9*107 9 074 8 063 8 063 1548 1133 7 104 9 073 8 063 8 061 1133 847 7 103 8 074 8 063 8 058 847 674 6 103 8 074 7 062 6*054 674 575 6 103 7 073 7 063 4*046 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography