DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 91.0 - - 84.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 261 - - 117 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3396 - - 4674 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2740 - - 3254 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3991 - - 5269 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1069 - - 1304 - - 4664 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 390 - - 334 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 232 - - 223 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2796 - - -1527 - - -3407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6787 - - 6796 - - 3984 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6451 - - -4557 - - -5232 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10442 - - 9826 - - 5808 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 60 - - 71 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 150 - - 440 - - 1040 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 91.0 - - 84.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.0 - - 63.1 - - 68.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.2 - - 90.2 - - 86.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 60.7 - - 62.9 - - 68.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 261 - - 117 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3396 - - 4674 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97150 25 259 37 253 36 280 97150 90046 22 274 22 268 23 277 90046 84545 8 282 18 279 14 287 84545 79976 2 355 11 275 8 270 79976 76060 2 120 6 251 6 220 76060 72606 3 079 6 219 7 184 72606 69470 4 116 10 153 11 164 69470 66587 10 211 8 172 6 200 66587 63916 15 207 11 216 11 229 63916 61341 13 226 18 219 21 218 61341 58665 15 253 14 242 20 214 58665 55906 31 251 29 252 25 252 55906 53303 32 238 36 236 38 249 53303 50967 24 244 36 244 42 244 50967 48855 31 267 43 257 43 249 48855 46913 37 273 48 257 45 251 46913 45109 40 277 43 257 47 252 45109 43419 39 282 43 260 50 255 43419 41826 40 281 47 263 51 260 41826 40318 44 280 49 267 54 267 40318 38888 49 281 52 270 60 269 38888 37498 56 281 52 271 62 268 37498 36080 59 281 52 271 59 266 36080 34602 59 281 55 272 58 265 34602 33070 60 279 60 275 59 268 33070 31476 60 279 61 276 57 273 31476 29807 60 283 60 276 56 273 29807 28060 55 286 57 281 54 273 28060 26238 45 287 46 283 46 277 26238 24347 38 280 36 278 33 274 24347 22387 34 274 32 271 29 270 22387 20350 34 278 29 274 29 271 20350 18222 36 283 28 279 32 278 18222 16045 37 278 31 279 34 284 16045 13948 27 269 30 277 30 281 13948 12045 23 255 23 268 26 272 12045 10350 25 242 20 259 18 274 10350 8839 26 238 21 258 16 275 8839 7495 24 234 20 250 18 257 7495 6304 20 234 18*232 22 237 6304 5248 16 227 14*223 20 232 5248 4316 13*230 13 222 18 229 4316 3492 13*231 13 223 17 226 3492 2753 12 231 13 223 16 222 2753 2100 12 232 12 223 15 218 2100 1555 12 232 12 224 14 214 1555 1137 12 232 11 224 13 209 1137 850 11 232 11 224 11 206 850 675 11 232 10 224 9*203 675 575 9 232 9 224 5*197 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography