DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 75.9 - - 78.5 - - 71.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 103 - - 115 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 592 - - 2368 - - 3218 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 1629 - - 2231 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1187 - - 2963 - - 3813 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 701 - - 931 - - 887 - - 2731 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 111 - - 269 - - 298 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 19 - - 25 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 200 - - 196 - - 188 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 2 - - -4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 47 - - 648 - - 263 - - -702 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1140 - - 2315 - - 3551 - - 1279 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3414 - - -2135 - - -2856 - - -1806 ODpotential blCL - - - 4601 - - 5098 - - 6669 - - 2382 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 93 - - 82 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 1070 - - 2470 - - 2080 - - 1900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.6 - - 75.9 - - 78.5 - - 71.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.2 - - 67.3 - - 64.5 - - 66.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 75.5 - - 77.9 - - 72.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.6 - - 66.3 - - 64.1 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 26 - - 103 - - 115 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 592 - - 2368 - - 3218 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 64 - - 71 - - 29 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96412 7 257 15 288 10 271 24 263 96412 89316 2 144 13 231 13 272 15 301 89316 83834 7 267 5 228 12 261 12 299 83834 79272 10 225 9 266 14 260 14 270 79272 75348 8 227 12 238 21 243 21 266 75348 71890 18 275 15 227 20 241 19 241 71890 68747 19 258 22 257 23 266 16 236 68747 65839 24 262 26 256 28 258 27 260 65839 63148 31 249 29 245 27 238 32 253 63148 60555 34 244 31 251 33 262 37 260 60555 57836 42 253 39 262 46 269 48 259 57836 54976 60 249 71 247 69 250 56 247 54976 52205 64 248 76 248 76 253 56 249 52205 49685 85 256 83 257 85 253 71 256 49685 47436 98 252 89 256 91 252 91 258 47436 45426 78 252 85 253 89 253 96 258 45426 43608 63 263 80 255 85 256 98 258 43608 41943 69 273 81 260 88 259 108 254 41943 40404 85 274 86 260 92 258 117 250 40404 38966 95 269 88 258 93 256 121 248 38966 37607 91 266 87 257 95 255 120 248 37607 36290 85 263 84 257 91 254 111 248 36290 34950 89 261 81 257 83 252 96 244 34950 33559 86 261 79 257 76 251 79 233 33559 32113 71 263 75 258 72 251 74 232 32113 30598 59 258 68 257 71 251 72 236 30598 29004 59 255 66 256 69 253 71 242 29004 27329 58 259 63 256 66 254 66 237 27329 25571 47 261 54 263 65 252 65 237 25571 23733 39 252 43 265 66 249 67 249 23733 21825 41 250 43 251 60 250 61 251 21825 19840 47 252 48 244 55 257 57 259 19840 17772 48 262 49 252 45 256 46 270 17772 15662 37 263 44 264 43 258 41 268 15662 13625 25 245 32 258 44 260 34 258 13625 11768 23 250 27 253 33 241 29 241 11768 10113 20 255 27 248 29 225 33 236 10113 8639 18 255 26 236 30 219 40 240 8639 7324 21 253 24 219 32 214 45 237 7324 6154 23 247 25 208 34 212 45 236 6154 5117 23 235 25 209 34 212 43 234 5117 4206 20 233 25 214 28*203 40 224 4206 3403 22 244 24*212 27*201 39 215 3403 2686 26 245 21*203 27 199 37 210 2686 2054 25 238 21 201 26 196 33 203 2054 1525 21*223 20 200 25 195 29 197 1525 1119 16*213 19 199 25 194 25 193 1119 840 14 210 18 198 23 194 22 191 840 671 13 209 17 198 21 193 18*190 671 575 10 208 14 198 17 193 13*188 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography