DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0949z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.8 - - 48.9 - - 45.7 - - 42.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 199 - - 77 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1481 - - 3521 - - 4589 - - 2272 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 2709 - - 2808 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2076 - - 4116 - - 5184 - - 2867 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1476 - - 3616 - - 1665 - - 2976 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 225 - - 359 - - 286 - - 58 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 23 - - 25 - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - 336 - - 330 - - 340 - - 346 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - 12 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 2 - - -5 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -664 - - 459 - - 928 - - -73 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2740 - - 3657 - - 4256 - - 2940 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1872 - - 376 - - 411 - - -466 ODpotential blCL - - - 3948 - - 3740 - - 4773 - - 3333 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 96 - - 94 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.8 - - 48.9 - - 45.7 - - 42.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 34.9 - - 29.2 - - 31.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 48.1 - - 45.5 - - 42.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.8 - - 34.9 - - 29.0 - - 31.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 117 - - 199 - - 77 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1481 - - 3521 - - 4589 - - 2272 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 84 - - 76 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96136 53 267 59 258 54 255 55 249 96136 88934 33 266 40 266 31 265 35 262 88934 83430 19 285 21 260 26 281 18 290 83430 78878 20 291 13 303 22 297 19 314 78878 74940 17 288 11 303 15 300 23 310 74940 71456 16 325 9 315 13 296 22 305 71456 68289 27 323 19 325 14 318 19 298 68289 65345 30 314 27 323 19 334 22 322 65345 62599 32 310 32 311 33 318 31 315 62599 59933 29 301 34 302 33 303 29 311 59933 57121 29 304 35 307 32 313 30 316 57121 54177 42 311 44 311 44 312 44 307 54177 51359 53 306 52 308 53 309 46 309 51359 48817 57 301 57 306 60 309 53 314 48817 46537 57 301 60 303 65 307 58 318 46537 44470 59 303 59 305 63 306 63 317 44470 42579 60 304 61 309 61 311 64 315 42579 40835 60 304 64 312 65 313 64 318 40835 39219 61 305 66 310 67 310 68 318 39219 37715 62 306 67 309 66 309 67 314 37715 36307 63 307 67 309 66 315 61 318 36307 34959 62 306 68 311 68 317 63 324 34959 33608 57 304 68 309 66 317 65 322 33608 32225 51 309 66 305 65 319 61 320 32225 30806 52 314 64 303 65 321 58 328 30806 29334 54 314 63 301 63 324 60 334 29334 27791 53 312 63 300 60 328 62 335 27791 26175 51 313 63 299 58 333 63 334 26175 24481 49 313 62 300 57 334 62 335 24481 22711 45 310 60 303 55 333 61 337 22711 20864 44 308 55 307 51 331 59 339 20864 18936 45 308 49 308 49 328 57 340 18936 16921 43 305 44 308 47 326 53 340 16921 14863 41 303 41 312 44 327 49 342 14863 12881 39 304 37 315 41 331 45 345 12881 11084 36 306 37 309 37 333 41 347 11084 9494 34 309 38 305 34 338 36 347 9494 8088 32 311 28 316 29 346 32 346 8088 6843 29 310 25 325 28 340 28 338 6843 5749 27 312 24 327 27*338 27 331 5749 4792 25 316 23*328 27*338 27 335 4792 3949 25 322 23*328 27 339 28 343 3949 3204 26 334 23 329 26 340 28*345 3204 2537 25*341 23 330 25 340 27*346 2537 1948 23*339 23 331 24 341 26 346 1948 1456 21 336 23 331 24 341 25 346 1456 1079 20 335 23 331 23 341 23 346 1079 819 19 334 22 331 21 341 20 346 819 662 17 334 20 331 19 341 18 346 662 572 14 333 16 331 15 341 13 346 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography