DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.9 - - 61.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 184 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1574 - - 2788 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1411 - - 2149 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2169 - - 3383 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 488 - - 1250 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 303 - - 326 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 154 - - 139 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4362 - - -6379 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6532 - - 9763 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12861 - - -15684 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15030 - - 19067 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 87 - - 83 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.9 - - 61.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 27.7 - - 20.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.6 - - 60.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 26.6 - - 19.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 262 - - 184 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1574 - - 2788 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 47 - - 30 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96280 31 248 29 265 96280 89113 24 262 21 255 89113 83599 22 263 21 257 83599 79008 24 286 22 273 79008 75030 24 289 25 288 75030 71521 32 291 36 296 71521 68371 31 282 38 295 68371 65483 27 295 39 292 65483 62784 38 307 46 293 62784 60153 45 300 48 293 60153 57389 43 303 42 300 57389 54503 58 316 66 316 54503 51744 61 310 67 310 51744 49254 57 310 59 315 49254 47028 63 316 67 320 47028 45029 73 316 75 321 45029 43212 76 309 73 314 43212 41538 63 296 61 307 41538 39983 43 301 49 319 39983 38532 50 325 52 323 38532 37170 57 324 54 323 37170 35859 55 313 59 324 35859 34533 60 313 61 321 34533 33160 61 314 68 319 33160 31733 57 308 71 318 31733 30235 58 300 66 313 30235 28652 59 296 58 305 28652 26989 58 295 50 303 26989 25245 60 292 46 306 25245 23421 60 290 48 301 23421 21517 52 291 49 301 21517 19529 40 293 46 296 19529 17455 29 288 38 282 17455 15344 24 276 32 278 15344 13309 22 252 28 261 13309 11459 20 245 24 246 11459 9819 16 227 20 241 9819 8363 12 187 15 199 8363 7074 14 182 14 207 7074 5937 14 189 16 208 5937 4937 16 186 14 196 4937 4060 17 178 12*183 4060 3288 16 173 9*142 3288 2600 13*164 9 141 2600 1992 11*157 9 139 1992 1485 10 155 9 138 1485 1096 10 154 8 137 1096 828 9 153 8 137 828 666 9 153 8 137 666 573 8 152 7 136 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography