DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.0 - - 73.3 - - 69.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 67 - - 95 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1131 - - 2444 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 1544 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1726 - - 3039 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1316 - - 1329 - - 3881 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 178 - - 255 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 321 - - 342 - - 328 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1251 - - -2337 - - -4050 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2977 - - 5376 - - 4625 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7067 - - -6940 - - -9491 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8793 - - 9979 - - 10066 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 96 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.0 - - 73.3 - - 69.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.9 - - 51.8 - - 51.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.5 - - 72.6 - - 73.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.1 - - 51.1 - - 51.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 67 - - 95 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1131 - - 2444 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 96 - - 83 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98320 12 280 9 279 13 269 98320 90948 3 227 5 226 8 274 90948 85269 3 203 2 290 4 016 85269 80547 1 287 4 326 11 032 80547 76472 4 008 4 330 12 016 76472 72886 5 052 3 280 11 019 72886 69642 7 051 1 271 10 010 69642 66657 5 041 3 070 6 326 66657 63895 3 350 5 039 3 297 63895 61226 4 337 5 346 2 316 61226 58449 6 349 5 344 3 308 58449 55583 7 344 5 336 9 303 55583 52850 8 337 7 336 11 297 52850 50379 13 309 12 327 12 315 50379 48148 13 284 15 306 15 308 48148 46115 5 270 13 290 15 304 46115 44257 2 341 11 284 18 311 44257 42557 4 354 6 283 17 313 42557 40991 2 141 3 181 8 317 40991 39534 5 157 7 122 3 088 39534 38161 7 158 7 130 4 133 38161 36828 5 163 4 140 6 151 36828 35465 2 338 3 057 7 152 35465 34043 3 026 3 041 7 143 34043 32568 5 065 6 349 2 093 32568 31025 3 048 11 335 6 352 31025 29399 4 312 12 329 9 340 29399 27690 6 284 15 313 10 323 27690 25896 6 296 13 313 12 327 25896 24017 9 302 10 322 13 344 24017 22061 9 306 9 332 11 007 22061 20025 9 336 8 320 9 007 20025 17900 11 339 7 315 9 347 17900 15734 13 333 5 319 9 333 15734 13651 11 000 4 354 7 319 13651 11761 8 030 4 017 2 314 11761 10082 4 016 3 350 2 003 10082 8592 2 319 5 322 5 016 8592 7271 2 302 7 329 6 028 7271 6106 4 324 7 343 5 045 6106 5081 3 352 6 016 9 049 5081 4181 3 055 7 028 12 045 4181 3385 4 054 7*011 11 040 3385 2673 3 012 6*352 9 029 2673 2044 3*331 6 345 7 014 2044 1518 4*324 5 341 6 001 1518 1116 4 323 5 337 4 354 1116 838 4 320 5 335 4 348 838 670 4 319 5 333 3*338 670 574 3 318 4 332 3*328 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography