DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.5 - - 85.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 209 - - 110 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3533 - - 4214 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2794 - - 2968 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4128 - - 4809 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2204 - - 2639 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 380 - - 330 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 078 - - 087 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1041 - - -1139 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5169 - - 5948 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3942 - - -3640 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8070 - - 8449 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 86 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 120 - - 80 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.5 - - 85.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.8 - - 60.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 82.3 - - 84.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.6 - - 59.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 209 - - 110 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3533 - - 4214 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 26 - - 44 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98434 10 058 3 333 98434 90979 10 075 11 048 90979 85258 13 052 15 082 85258 80528 15 064 13 090 80528 76447 15 063 15 060 76447 72836 16 043 13 049 72836 69580 12 037 11 035 69580 66600 11 045 8 023 66600 63845 8 006 8 338 63845 61179 6 342 11 314 61179 58407 13 339 15 315 58407 55541 13 295 17 302 55541 52815 7 256 16 264 52815 50375 8 007 11 309 50375 48220 25 274 22 269 48220 46303 35 256 26 256 46303 44547 37 254 31 256 44547 42909 39 255 37 259 42909 41367 38 256 40 256 41367 39906 33 260 35 260 39906 38517 29 261 30 263 38517 37163 25 265 29 261 37163 35779 25 271 25 263 35779 34336 25 273 19 271 34336 32839 24 269 23 272 32839 31271 20 268 23 273 31271 29618 15 258 22 273 29618 27882 10 244 17 270 27882 26066 2 085 5 277 26066 24175 1 167 2 044 24175 22209 6 225 2 021 22209 20162 2 219 3 078 20162 18030 2 093 6 085 18030 15862 5 075 14 099 15862 13777 9 076 14 099 13777 11886 11 085 10 094 11886 10208 13 090 9 084 10208 8718 18 074 12 073 8718 7393 23 068 15 069 7393 6218 26 069 17 072 6218 5177 25 072 16*074 5177 4259 18*073 15*077 4259 3447 15*075 13 084 3447 2720 15 076 13 086 2720 2077 14 078 13 088 2077 1541 14 079 13 089 1541 1129 13 081 12 091 1129 845 13 081 12 092 845 674 12 082 11 092 674 575 10 082 9 093 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography