DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 75.1 - - 76.0 - - 64.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 201 - - 61 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 252 - - 3146 - - 4141 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 2435 - - 2220 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 847 - - 3741 - - 4736 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 304 - - 2635 - - 1994 - - 110 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 93 - - 346 - - 256 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 8 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 234 - - 201 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3727 - - -4360 - - -3638 - - -4702 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4574 - - 8102 - - 8374 - - 5276 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11542 - - -10663 - - -9318 - - -13096 ODpotential blCL - - - 12389 - - 14404 - - 14054 - - 13670 blCL maxRH - - - 55 - - 86 - - 88 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.1 - - 75.1 - - 76.0 - - 64.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.7 - - 41.9 - - 41.6 - - 44.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 63.9 - - 73.8 - - 75.6 - - 67.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 41.6 - - 41.3 - - 44.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 49 - - 201 - - 61 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 252 - - 3146 - - 4141 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 43 - - 53 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97116 23 250 28 251 36 259 36 271 97116 89897 12 245 16 250 18 273 14 270 89897 84328 3 206 12 241 11 268 6 246 84328 79708 5 183 11 218 10 228 6 219 79708 75731 4 157 11 206 15 213 9 236 75731 72215 7 130 11 177 18 200 17 241 72215 69029 2 050 5 195 11 186 12 216 69029 66106 12 251 5 259 8 227 9 223 66106 63420 14 224 9 222 16 229 15 234 63420 60838 9 236 8 234 14 215 15 220 60838 58140 20 268 22 261 11 250 15 247 58140 55326 30 235 34 249 26 260 22 256 55326 52624 32 236 37 239 40 250 37 252 52624 50179 35 233 39 232 47 237 43 236 50179 47975 31 249 39 236 42 236 41 238 47975 45967 41 258 45 245 47 248 44 249 45967 44142 47 251 45 247 49 247 51 262 44142 42487 47 238 43 251 39 245 46 249 42487 40960 45 233 38 248 28 260 30 238 40960 39524 42 244 37 250 28 280 22 248 39524 38163 44 247 38 253 31 284 21 273 38163 36838 46 245 39 251 34 287 19 282 36838 35482 44 244 40 248 30 284 19 274 35482 34067 39 247 42 244 25 284 20 265 34067 32591 32 251 41 248 26 260 20 272 32591 31039 30 250 37 255 36 246 22 278 31039 29401 29 258 33 251 39 245 23 256 29401 27684 27 265 29 233 33 247 30 252 27684 25887 29 254 29 235 30 248 31 256 25887 24016 26 231 30 239 23 246 25 268 24016 22073 23 220 28 226 23 244 23 263 22073 20042 16 221 24 234 27 243 21 251 20042 17915 13 231 23 243 22 251 21 252 17915 15743 13 228 21 237 18 260 16 252 15743 13648 9 234 15 227 11 242 12 231 13648 11744 4 184 10 208 8 211 12 218 11744 10058 2 160 7 197 8 195 9 215 10058 8572 2 166 6 193 7 196 5 202 8572 7260 2 123 7 171 7 190 5 184 7260 6100 1 142 6 162 7 187 6 174 6100 5075 3 235 5 191 6*196 5 178 5075 4174 6 256 7*225 6*199 5 180 4174 3378 8 262 8*233 6 199 5 177 3378 2667 10 258 8 234 6 200 6 174 2667 2038 12 263 8 234 5 202 7 172 2038 1515 13 266 8 234 5 202 8 170 1515 1113 12*266 8 235 5 202 9 168 1113 836 9*261 7 234 5 202 9 166 836 669 6 256 7 235 5 203 8*161 669 573 5 255 6 235 5 203 5*157 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography