DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.3 - - 79.6 - - 76.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 95 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5894 - - 5576 - - 131 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4408 - - 3904 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6489 - - 6171 - - 726 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1180 - - 1276 - - 6550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 408 - - 353 - - 36 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 000 - - 031 - - 081 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 11 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1817 - - 696 - - -3076 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4673 - - 5475 - - 3802 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 530 - - -555 - - -4122 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5959 - - 6726 - - 4848 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 90 - - 91 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 70 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.3 - - 79.6 - - 76.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.8 - - 57.6 - - 61.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.4 - - 79.1 - - 76.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.4 - - 56.3 - - 60.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 95 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5894 - - 5576 - - 131 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 59 - - 65 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99536 30 091 29 083 37 082 99536 92021 32 090 33 083 31 088 92021 86223 30 087 32 090 28 088 86223 81408 23 079 29 084 29 084 81408 77257 18 091 21 079 28 068 77257 73588 21 089 17 103 17 069 73588 70271 17 093 15 085 14 071 70271 67243 18 077 14 092 8 048 67243 64472 14 050 9 057 5 072 64472 61801 16 028 6 025 5 040 61801 59021 18 336 16 327 17 347 59021 56158 30 325 28 308 27 311 56158 53446 40 313 36 311 38 315 53446 51027 48 311 50 318 49 318 51027 48866 56 303 60 311 58 315 48866 46893 53 294 63 299 60 308 46893 45068 49 295 61 292 62 301 45068 43369 51 301 57 293 61 300 43369 41782 64 317 62 307 65 310 41782 40293 70 316 71 309 71 309 40293 38882 69 317 68 306 68 297 38882 37512 59 312 60 306 63 293 37512 36113 54 305 60 305 65 305 36113 34652 48 298 59 306 63 305 34652 33131 48 293 56 299 61 296 33131 31538 48 291 58 298 60 291 31538 29863 48 294 56 293 57 288 29863 28107 48 297 56 289 53 289 28107 26266 48 302 56 293 50 289 26266 24345 51 306 55 301 46 296 24345 22350 51 308 51 305 46 305 22350 20273 47 308 48 309 45 307 20273 18106 45 304 47 312 43 311 18106 15895 47 301 48 308 37 318 15895 13765 47 308 45 308 34 313 13765 11831 39 317 38 310 37 303 11831 10121 29 314 33 309 36 305 10121 8619 18 316 25 312 25 315 8619 7303 11*347 12*328 14 327 7303 6144 11*351 10*339 11 338 6144 5116 10 355 8 359 8 359 5116 4209 9 359 7 029 6 032 4209 3408 9 002 7 041 6 053 3408 2691 9 003 7 048 6 063 2691 2056 8 004 8 052 6 069 2056 1527 8 005 8 054 6 075 1527 1121 8 005 7 056 6 078 1121 841 7 006 7 057 6*081 841 672 7 006 7 058 5*081 672 574 6 006 6 058 3 082 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography