DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 03/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 17.5 - - 25.6 - - 31.6 - - 32.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 365 - - 196 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2110 - - 2958 - - 3385 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1692 - - 2527 - - 2611 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2705 - - 3553 - - 3980 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 782 - - 705 - - 985 - - 3563 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 304 - - 416 - - 355 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 291 - - 236 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -5 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -655 - - -807 - - -1949 - - -4634 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3360 - - 4360 - - 5929 - - 5206 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16004 - - -16590 - - -16652 - - -18229 ODpotential blCL - - - 18709 - - 20143 - - 20632 - - 18801 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 80 - - 85 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 17.5 - - 25.6 - - 31.6 - - 32.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 5.0 - - 8.6 - - 7.6 - - 11.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 16.5 - - 23.9 - - 30.6 - - 33.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.9 - - 7.5 - - 6.4 - - 10.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 202 - - 365 - - 196 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2110 - - 2958 - - 3385 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 20 - - 40 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96616 14 262 14 266 23 260 21 264 96616 89433 4 231 5 196 13 256 17 292 89433 83904 4 100 2 139 5 206 14 302 83904 79293 7 009 2 073 8 158 10 278 79293 75297 11 324 4 322 4 122 9 231 75297 71740 7 332 12 289 12 310 9 302 71740 68498 5 238 17 247 14 295 16 327 68498 65502 19 313 14 296 21 308 23 317 65502 62721 27 295 21 309 23 302 26 323 62721 60022 23 301 22 304 30 310 33 318 60022 57194 26 309 26 304 35 305 31 323 57194 54244 32 311 30 309 35 317 36 330 54244 51426 40 313 38 320 43 324 51 328 51426 48898 45 316 46 318 52 326 50 320 48898 46632 47 318 53 318 54 327 57 321 46632 44577 51 321 55 318 59 330 60 314 44577 42711 56 321 55 324 71 319 60 319 42711 41005 56 326 65 331 68 324 72 322 41005 39435 60 335 78 335 79 333 83 323 39435 37982 72 339 99 342 103 333 92 323 37982 36624 94 338 131 343 117 330 97 322 36624 35317 115 343 144 343 119 329 97 322 35317 33985 127 347 145 343 115 329 95 321 33985 32599 116 346 136 343 111 331 93 318 32599 31159 110 350 119 341 109 333 93 316 31159 29651 112 351 102 337 102 333 95 316 29651 28061 114 350 89 333 89 326 95 318 28061 26392 112 350 88 330 81 321 88 320 26392 24645 109 345 85 328 74 315 79 317 24645 22825 108 338 76 334 65 316 69 314 22825 20936 97 340 72 335 59 317 61 315 20936 18962 82 334 72 333 59 319 56 317 18962 16902 70 329 58 333 58 312 54 308 16902 14811 62 323 45 324 48 299 55 309 14811 12809 57 315 42 313 47 297 56 311 12809 10995 55 314 43 309 43 301 51 303 10995 9395 47 318 40 311 37 304 43 297 9395 7989 37 320 33 313 32 305 33 291 7989 6756 31 320 25 311 24 301 27 284 6756 5670 28 319 21 304 17 286 23 274 5670 4715 24 326 15 301 10*245 18 253 4715 3881 18 330 9*286 8*234 12 204 3881 3149 12*322 8*286 7 234 11 185 3149 2496 10*316 8 287 6 235 10 179 2496 1918 10 315 8 290 6 236 10 174 1918 1437 10 315 8 292 5 238 9 168 1437 1068 9 314 7 294 4 240 8 165 1068 813 9 314 7 295 4 242 7 162 813 659 9 314 7 295 4 241 6*159 659 571 8 314 6 296 4 240 5*156 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography