DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 51.4 - - 52.1 - - 47.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 58 - - 23 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 2039 - - 2036 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1573 - - 2634 - - 2631 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1179 - - 378 - - 366 - - 1731 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 117 - - 213 - - 165 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 17 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 030 - - 018 - - 354 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 702 - - 1065 - - 912 - - -175 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 871 - - 1569 - - 1719 - - 748 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 387 - - 444 - - 206 - - -699 ODpotential blCL - - - 1186 - - 2190 - - 2425 - - 1272 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 46.4 - - 51.4 - - 52.1 - - 47.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.7 - - 46.5 - - 46.6 - - 46.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.5 - - 51.1 - - 52.1 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.1 - - 45.3 - - 45.3 - - 46.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 58 - - 23 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 978 - - 2039 - - 2036 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 98 - - 89 - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96651 35 088 32 065 35 082 25 084 96651 89509 28 084 31 081 31 091 23 082 89509 83938 18 082 23 093 15 095 14 063 83938 79292 13 072 18 127 2 020 14 010 79292 75294 8 036 8 122 3 347 8 328 75294 71763 2 019 3 296 6 308 4 296 71763 68544 9 346 8 302 13 266 12 274 68544 65577 18 304 17 318 17 291 17 291 65577 62827 27 287 30 293 30 291 30 288 62827 60169 39 269 35 272 38 275 39 278 60169 57402 37 263 33 268 34 267 39 280 57402 54530 38 274 39 291 50 288 57 284 54530 51785 48 291 75 288 69 282 58 283 51785 49297 77 288 85 281 73 283 64 288 49297 47057 92 281 79 282 76 290 80 290 47057 45024 82 281 75 287 84 293 96 291 45024 43162 69 293 70 292 93 293 101 291 43162 41446 70 297 71 295 92 292 97 290 41446 39868 57 289 70 291 83 291 88 291 39868 38415 43 279 68 294 78 294 88 297 38415 37066 44 294 67 300 84 302 93 301 37066 35770 53 310 69 307 87 305 90 297 35770 34444 62 318 70 311 86 305 85 293 34444 33059 67 319 69 314 81 306 88 298 33059 31619 62 314 63 313 72 305 88 302 31619 30112 56 307 55 306 66 301 80 305 30112 28527 52 304 52 299 66 301 75 308 28527 26862 46 301 54 299 67 305 70 308 26862 25115 43 296 55 305 66 310 66 308 25115 23288 42 292 52 307 62 314 64 309 23288 21386 44 294 47 303 55 316 58 309 21386 19408 39 301 48 302 48 318 49 316 19408 17348 33 306 47 309 45 318 41 322 17348 15254 28 325 36 320 42 321 39 320 15254 13240 24 345 30 337 36 330 33 330 13240 11411 23 358 29 350 32 348 26 344 11411 9785 26 004 26 351 32 359 24 010 9785 8342 27 018 27 001 30 359 23 023 8342 7062 29 027 30 014 27 357 18 010 7062 5929 31 034 27 022 22 356 15 356 5929 4926 31 037 24 027 20 006 14 354 4926 4043 32 049 25 027 17 010 13 349 4043 3267 29 050 23*027 14*005 11 342 3267 2577 23 041 19*020 12*357 8 335 2577 1974 20*036 18 019 12 356 7 335 1974 1474 19*034 17 017 11 354 8 332 1474 1089 16 029 16 016 11 353 9 330 1089 825 14 028 15 016 10 352 9 329 825 664 13 027 14 015 9 351 8*327 664 572 10 026 11 015 8 351 5*324 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography