DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.5 - - 53.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 33 - - 7 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3834 - - 1903 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 556 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4429 - - 2498 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2643 - - 3033 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 223 - - 121 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 22 - - 17 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 310 - - 321 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 14 - - 9 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1684 - - 350 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2745 - - 2148 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 862 - - -353 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3567 - - 2851 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 120 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.5 - - 53.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.7 - - 46.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.5 - - 53.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.6 - - 45.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 33 - - 7 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3834 - - 1903 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97598 20 270 19 251 97598 90344 17 260 22 268 90344 84727 12 243 17 252 84727 80065 8 254 14 262 80065 76050 11 269 13 265 76050 72497 11 245 13 250 72497 69285 10 218 11 239 69285 66327 12 245 15 272 66327 63583 18 242 22 258 63583 60931 17 252 26 256 60931 58181 31 281 29 245 58181 55346 44 266 34 263 55346 52635 54 233 53 261 52635 50178 62 225 59 250 50178 47949 68 233 59 246 47949 45900 74 236 63 246 45900 44003 80 234 73 248 44003 42240 86 232 85 246 42240 40596 92 231 94 242 40596 39054 98 225 98 236 39054 37598 91 225 96 230 37598 36183 86 231 90 231 36183 34744 89 237 83 230 34744 33262 93 237 73 224 33262 31736 96 237 62 226 31736 30153 97 239 61 235 30153 28499 98 237 70 242 28499 26771 101 232 80 238 26771 24967 100 228 89 235 24967 23092 98 228 85 239 23092 21162 98 230 54 252 21162 19182 93 230 29 280 19182 17148 79 235 28 322 17148 15086 53 251 28 335 15086 13099 32 287 29 350 13099 11293 29 298 34 356 11293 9690 28 296 36 359 9690 8273 30 310 35 357 8273 7016 31 315 35 350 7016 5900 29 315 33 345 5900 4912 28*314 31 341 4912 4042 27*313 28 339 4042 3275 25 312 25 333 3275 2590 23 310 23*329 2590 1985 22 309 20*324 1985 1481 21 309 19 322 1481 1093 20 309 18 320 1093 827 18 308 16 320 827 665 16 308 14 319 665 573 13 307 11 318 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography