DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.8 - - 96.1 - - 90.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - -8 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3032 - - 5013 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2189 - - 1584 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3627 - - 5608 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2303 - - 2655 - - 5131 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 307 - - 227 - - 22 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 240 - - 240 - - 240 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -436 - - -630 - - -3072 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4063 - - 6238 - - 3650 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4173 - - -4677 - - -5931 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7800 - - 10285 - - 6508 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 68 - - 65 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3660 - - 2100 - - 3490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 92.8 - - 96.1 - - 90.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 70.4 - - 75.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 92.1 - - 96.6 - - 92.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 75.1 - - 69.0 - - 74.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 111 - - -8 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3032 - - 5013 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 14 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99371 43 090 38 103 29 092 99371 91866 36 094 33 089 30 085 91866 86077 30 096 28 084 26 081 86077 81262 28 095 26 089 20 074 81262 77125 23 094 22 091 20 080 77125 73492 26 092 18 101 19 090 73492 70214 21 069 18 082 18 091 70214 67210 15 069 16 078 11 082 67210 64442 16 056 14 092 10 089 64442 61774 11 012 14 037 11 048 61774 59001 7 339 16 339 14 013 59001 56161 14 359 17 328 17 337 56161 53496 26 348 22 334 25 330 53496 51109 35 339 31 332 33 326 51109 48956 44 331 39 329 36 326 48956 46983 47 328 43 330 38 332 46983 45160 48 330 47 331 40 328 45160 43461 48 331 49 329 39 331 43461 41865 49 333 51 332 44 336 41865 40362 54 337 54 335 51 336 40362 38940 60 341 56 337 58 333 38940 37562 65 341 57 337 58 330 37562 36159 64 340 58 337 52 328 36159 34702 62 340 59 338 48 326 34702 33191 59 341 56 338 48 328 33191 31611 56 345 48 336 47 332 31611 29949 44 347 48 336 48 337 29949 28207 33 330 43 338 43 336 28207 26383 31 325 36 328 38 323 26383 24482 30 324 34 324 30 322 24482 22508 26 329 25 318 28 329 22508 20454 23 341 20 339 24 332 20454 18320 22 344 24 344 20 328 18320 16148 13 352 20 339 19 319 16148 14051 3 032 6 305 20 297 14051 12137 4 307 6 249 18 286 12137 10434 13 252 14 270 16 294 10434 8918 17 243 23 255 14 295 8918 7569 19 250 23 249 18 284 7569 6370 17 252 20*243 20 273 6370 5306 16 253 18*241 21 267 5306 4364 15*253 17 241 21 261 4364 3531 13*248 16 240 20 257 3531 2784 12 243 15 240 20 253 2784 2122 11 239 14 240 19 251 2122 1570 10 238 13 240 18 249 1570 1146 10 237 12 239 16 247 1146 854 9 236 12 239 12 243 854 677 8 235 11 239 10*242 677 576 7 236 9 239 6*240 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography