DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 56.5 - - 57.0 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 88 - - -1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 948 - - 2963 - - 3030 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1924 - - 557 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1543 - - 3558 - - 3625 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1591 - - 835 - - 1416 - - 3740 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 143 - - 273 - - 116 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 18 - - 18 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 265 - - 277 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 35 - - 958 - - 1078 - - -1204 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1508 - - 2600 - - 2548 - - 1778 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1303 - - 207 - - 314 - - -2059 ODpotential blCL - - - 2846 - - 3351 - - 3311 - - 2633 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 96 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.3 - - 56.5 - - 57.0 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.7 - - 47.0 - - 47.8 - - 47.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.2 - - 56.1 - - 57.4 - - 54.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 45.7 - - 45.8 - - 46.8 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 38 - - 88 - - -1 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 948 - - 2963 - - 3030 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 84 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96041 58 257 71 259 77 267 67 267 96041 89077 37 277 45 265 48 272 40 268 89077 83695 34 285 25 272 27 267 27 264 83695 79201 24 284 19 271 18 262 20 275 79201 75298 13 283 16 261 16 266 21 281 75298 71820 10 298 11 242 16 246 26 271 71820 68659 15 294 8 246 13 257 28 271 68659 65750 18 294 9 269 16 274 25 267 65750 63041 18 283 13 270 15 246 20 268 63041 60398 21 275 20 286 16 269 21 276 60398 57625 26 260 31 265 31 274 26 270 57625 54742 27 260 36 266 36 261 37 260 54742 51986 36 251 45 261 37 260 43 260 51986 49501 42 254 51 259 53 263 54 264 49501 47270 54 257 62 245 64 248 64 252 47270 45249 64 244 64 237 65 242 63 247 45249 43403 61 240 62 239 69 248 68 250 43403 41697 60 251 66 249 74 250 73 249 41697 40106 68 258 74 254 79 251 79 249 40106 38619 81 261 82 254 83 252 85 244 38619 37229 91 260 87 252 89 253 83 245 37229 35891 94 261 91 252 96 253 90 248 35891 34536 94 260 93 251 102 251 99 247 34536 33131 92 259 92 249 102 249 104 244 33131 31680 89 257 91 247 99 247 102 242 31680 30167 88 255 90 246 97 245 98 241 30167 28576 88 252 88 244 96 243 95 241 28576 26906 88 250 88 242 94 242 88 244 26906 25156 88 249 88 241 91 241 73 247 25156 23328 88 249 88 241 83 244 60 245 23328 21427 85 253 82 244 66 245 50 245 21427 19449 74 248 68 243 49 248 41 256 19449 17382 68 244 61 241 44 251 41 260 17382 15269 58 249 57 244 44 253 39 258 15269 13233 48 255 46 248 46 255 35 265 13233 11387 43 249 42 244 45 258 30 276 11387 9757 42 251 41 252 46 264 25 285 9757 8318 42 257 43 260 46 269 22 293 8318 7042 40 260 42 264 36 274 21 295 7042 5913 39 264 36 268 26 276 20 303 5913 4921 37 267 34 268 21 279 20 305 4921 4050 33 266 26*266 20*279 18 300 4050 3282 27 270 21*265 20*279 18 295 3282 2596 24 270 20 265 19 278 18 291 2596 1989 22*268 19 265 19 278 19 287 1989 1483 19*262 18 265 18 277 18 283 1483 1095 15 258 17 265 17 276 17 278 1095 828 13 257 16 265 15 276 14 273 828 665 12 256 15 264 13 275 12*271 665 573 10 256 12 265 10 275 7*267 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography