DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 85.5 - - 88.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 167 - - 59 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 3186 - - 3973 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 2450 - - 2432 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1660 - - 3781 - - 4568 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 622 - - 1592 - - 3160 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 148 - - 344 - - 278 - - - W* B/S - - - 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 7 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 213 - - 249 - - 256 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -1 - - -5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -17 - - 416 - - 195 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1678 - - 3366 - - 4373 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3247 - - -2273 - - -1064 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 4907 - - 6054 - - 5632 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 81 - - 91 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 1080 - - 1310 - - 1540 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 85.5 - - 88.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 69.5 - - 72.2 - - 71.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 84.5 - - 88.5 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.0 - - 71.2 - - 70.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 40 - - 167 - - 59 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1065 - - 3186 - - 3973 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 25 - - 64 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99349 42 094 40 095 35 091 99349 91868 36 083 36 093 36 092 91868 86102 29 082 33 089 32 085 86102 81302 26 085 27 092 29 085 81302 77172 28 087 25 094 24 081 77172 73543 26 083 26 086 21 090 73543 70265 24 070 23 086 20 087 70265 67254 19 060 21 076 17 073 67254 64471 13 055 14 041 18 054 64471 61795 8 004 10 023 17 029 61795 59022 10 338 9 355 14 001 59022 56171 11 336 13 309 15 315 56171 53476 20 345 18 311 22 318 53476 51063 33 325 29 313 33 305 51063 48899 37 319 34 318 42 324 48899 46927 45 318 46 321 53 319 46927 45112 49 316 50 314 53 314 45112 43419 47 314 51 309 52 316 43419 41829 44 311 52 304 52 322 41829 40331 44 314 50 300 56 329 40331 38917 47 321 51 326 60 331 38917 37549 50 326 59 333 60 331 37549 36158 52 329 60 328 57 326 36158 34710 54 330 60 325 56 320 34710 33207 52 327 56 325 54 318 33207 31632 51 323 51 324 49 316 31632 29974 51 323 49 324 52 326 29974 28232 48 329 47 329 51 330 28232 26404 37 325 36 322 45 325 26404 24493 30 308 33 316 41 316 24493 22504 31 308 33 315 42 316 22504 20431 26 299 27 321 39 319 20431 18272 24 303 25 308 27 315 18272 16075 16 302 25 305 27 324 16075 13965 13 311 21 305 21 327 13965 12047 16 306 22 301 23 334 12047 10342 21 299 23 293 22 329 10342 8831 20 289 23 284 21 306 8831 7491 18 279 22 282 20 298 7491 6300 17 284 19 288 17 292 6300 5243 15 293 14 288 13*278 5243 4312 16 288 12*276 9*260 4312 3489 18 279 10*263 9 257 3489 2752 18 269 8 251 8 255 2752 2100 14*251 7 248 7 255 2100 1556 9*214 7 246 7 255 1556 1138 9 213 7 244 7 254 1138 850 8 212 6 244 6 254 850 676 7 212 6 243 6 255 676 575 6 211 5 243 5 255 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography