DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 63.3 - - 65.6 - - 64.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 33 - - 19 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1632 - - 2311 - - 2858 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2227 - - 2906 - - 3453 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1880 - - 1397 - - 1604 - - 4523 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 111 - - 186 - - 172 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 032 - - 037 - - 029 - - 033 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 648 - - 740 - - 940 - - -1202 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1580 - - 2166 - - 2513 - - 1778 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 300 - - 389 - - 277 - - -1885 ODpotential blCL - - - 1927 - - 2517 - - 3176 - - 2460 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.6 - - 63.3 - - 65.6 - - 64.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 56.9 - - 56.0 - - 56.7 - - 58.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.8 - - 63.2 - - 65.6 - - 64.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 56.4 - - 55.2 - - 55.8 - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 8 - - 33 - - 19 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1632 - - 2311 - - 2858 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 102 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98497 11 110 2 054 10 175 10 234 98497 91065 14 120 10 128 3 108 7 085 91065 85353 6 082 10 119 9 150 3 046 85353 80636 4 007 5 144 5 116 1 098 80636 76567 3 322 3 150 0 149 2 322 76567 72975 4 149 3 112 4 197 2 024 72975 69743 11 104 2 146 4 249 6 017 69743 66787 4 083 2 151 4 259 4 006 66787 64053 2 113 1 242 5 300 8 346 64053 61413 4 005 1 161 7 237 9 285 61413 58663 11 318 9 311 6 285 10 268 58663 55807 15 296 15 297 17 310 16 313 55807 53096 22 298 21 301 25 302 26 316 53096 50665 30 290 26 306 26 302 33 308 50665 48475 31 295 35 308 33 304 36 303 48475 46472 35 307 42 299 36 314 39 318 46472 44625 42 312 44 301 56 316 60 309 44625 42928 48 311 50 310 68 301 65 304 42928 41361 59 310 61 309 69 305 63 311 41361 39895 67 305 69 308 75 318 74 327 39895 38509 67 305 74 314 82 326 92 330 38509 37159 70 314 75 320 86 325 89 330 37159 35778 81 322 81 327 85 322 80 328 35778 34335 83 323 87 328 82 322 76 321 34335 32833 80 323 82 324 80 321 73 320 32833 31260 74 320 73 320 76 321 72 319 31260 29604 70 320 72 317 72 320 66 319 29604 27865 60 321 64 322 69 319 64 317 27865 26042 43 319 52 323 58 327 59 318 26042 24137 35 319 41 319 47 327 53 326 24137 22157 32 326 31 322 35 330 44 329 22157 20100 27 331 20 326 27 330 34 334 20100 17956 20 339 16 344 20 332 28 337 17956 15768 13 347 14 357 15 343 24 347 15768 13664 9 351 9 012 10 004 14 009 13664 11759 11 357 7 034 9 048 11 040 11759 10071 11 018 8 056 10 055 9 051 10071 8571 8 024 6 035 9 032 9 033 8571 7239 7 005 6 002 12 015 10 034 7239 6063 11 007 9 022 11 022 11 043 6063 5036 11 045 15 048 15 029 14 027 5036 4142 14 044 16 043 15*026 14 027 4142 3354 13 040 15*041 15*026 15 029 3354 2649 13*037 14*039 13 027 15 035 2649 2026 12*034 14 038 11 029 15 039 2026 1507 11 033 13 036 10 030 15 040 1507 1109 11 031 12 036 9 031 13 040 1109 834 10 030 12 035 8 031 11 038 834 669 9 029 11 035 8 032 9*036 669 574 7 028 9 035 6 032 5*033 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography