DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 78.2 - - 75.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 81 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4865 - - 5591 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3655 - - 3836 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5460 - - 6186 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1622 - - 1354 - - 6346 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 387 - - 342 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 060 - - 352 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 311 - - 903 - - -3545 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5149 - - 5283 - - 4121 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5211 - - -248 - - -4355 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10671 - - 6434 - - 4931 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 77 - - 82 - - 73 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 30 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.3 - - 78.2 - - 75.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.9 - - 57.2 - - 59.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.5 - - 77.7 - - 77.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.6 - - 55.8 - - 58.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 81 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4865 - - 5591 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99340 36 079 30 083 32 085 99340 91803 26 078 26 081 30 080 91803 85970 22 089 21 081 25 077 85970 81129 23 110 17 090 19 075 81129 76972 22 104 16 110 12 067 76972 73311 16 090 21 107 10 112 73311 70000 7 085 11 085 9 094 70000 66949 9 149 5 080 5 028 66949 64130 6 116 3 176 7 275 64130 61407 2 317 8 202 5 281 61407 58574 13 277 15 287 20 315 58574 55663 22 256 24 280 23 286 55663 52892 13 261 23 263 28 280 52892 50409 28 298 33 294 43 293 50409 48222 52 286 53 288 48 282 48222 46255 53 282 54 280 43 283 46255 44444 54 292 48 284 46 296 44444 42762 60 299 49 298 54 299 42762 41197 63 299 54 306 57 300 41197 39733 62 297 58 306 61 304 39733 38354 59 296 61 305 64 297 38354 37020 58 298 68 302 65 290 37020 35658 56 301 69 299 61 289 35658 34236 56 304 65 300 58 286 34236 32756 56 304 60 302 54 284 32756 31203 57 302 55 303 49 292 31203 29565 57 305 46 301 39 289 29565 27843 51 307 39 293 34 275 27843 26038 44 310 33 289 34 265 26038 24150 36 311 34 289 37 270 24150 22185 33 300 33 286 38 277 22185 20139 35 297 32 293 33 275 20139 18004 27 295 31 299 29 291 18004 15824 20 299 24 300 30 304 15824 13727 23 308 21 300 29 303 13727 11822 30 319 25 308 28 296 11822 10133 26 322 23 318 20 303 10133 8637 16 324 17 318 13 314 8637 7317 4 347 10*322 6 330 7317 6153 7*069 8*336 3 041 6153 5123 7*061 8 342 4 070 5123 4215 7 060 7 348 4 073 4215 3412 5 059 7 353 4 072 3412 2693 5 059 7 356 5 073 2693 2058 5 060 7 359 5 071 2058 1528 5 061 7 001 5 071 1528 1121 4 061 7 003 5 071 1121 841 4 062 7 004 4 070 841 672 4 061 6 003 4*071 672 575 4 062 6 005 3*071 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography