DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 44.3 - - 41.9 - - 40.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 76 - - 46 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 729 - - 1620 - - 1637 - - 1966 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1324 - - 2215 - - 2232 - - 2561 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1596 - - 880 - - 1759 - - 1582 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 64 - - 210 - - 180 - - 94 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 29 - - 27 - - 28 BL Wind Direction - - - 234 - - 322 - - 319 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 15 - - 15 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -7 - - -4 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 573 - - 1181 - - 970 - - 1164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 751 - - 1034 - - 1262 - - 1397 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18 - - 629 - - 483 - - 514 ODpotential blCL - - - 1342 - - 1586 - - 1749 - - 2047 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 610 - - 170 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 65.6 - - 44.3 - - 41.9 - - 40.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 63.7 - - 41.8 - - 38.5 - - 36.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 44.1 - - 41.8 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 63.4 - - 40.9 - - 37.7 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - 76 - - 46 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 729 - - 1620 - - 1637 - - 1966 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96377 15 217 15 275 10 276 14 267 96377 89282 5 110 7 210 11 235 7 276 89282 83793 1 227 8 189 12 243 11 260 83793 79229 7 224 9 202 11 238 13 261 79229 75288 13 237 14 226 17 245 18 265 75288 71791 12 254 15 236 23 240 21 245 71791 68617 22 264 21 258 22 236 24 242 68617 65695 26 259 30 246 24 258 22 240 65695 62976 33 259 39 247 45 262 36 255 62976 60332 50 244 54 242 57 251 49 245 60332 57553 53 236 61 239 64 241 55 242 57553 54653 51 246 62 238 68 238 62 247 54653 51872 57 260 63 245 69 239 70 245 51872 49365 76 256 70 251 71 241 79 243 49365 47115 82 246 79 251 81 248 88 244 47115 45072 84 245 84 251 94 250 94 247 45072 43210 91 243 92 245 100 247 102 249 43210 41514 91 238 102 237 109 240 108 246 41514 39958 101 237 107 230 119 233 112 242 39958 38514 114 238 115 230 129 228 106 237 38514 37152 115 237 121 230 136 227 99 239 37152 35825 107 233 123 230 136 225 96 245 35825 34472 94 225 118 231 135 224 96 247 34472 33067 91 223 116 229 135 225 98 244 33067 31610 92 225 113 227 134 230 100 235 31610 30082 94 227 110 229 128 234 101 232 30082 28468 95 227 107 230 115 236 101 232 28468 26770 95 229 106 233 102 238 101 234 26770 24993 86 231 105 240 95 241 99 238 24993 23140 75 234 102 240 89 244 95 244 23140 21217 66 240 93 240 83 246 90 253 21217 19216 61 239 73 232 76 249 86 261 19216 17135 59 238 56 229 66 249 75 258 17135 15018 58 239 59 243 57 244 66 246 15018 12984 53 240 58 247 55 246 61 248 12984 11152 49 239 53 245 53 245 45 270 11152 9549 47 240 49 247 48 252 34 294 9549 8134 45 245 46 245 45 267 31 306 8134 6880 44 247 39 236 32 281 30 326 6880 5771 45 248 32 233 25 315 34 341 5771 4794 44 247 25 261 31 322 36 338 4794 3943 39 245 29 303 36 321 34 331 3943 3198 35 242 34 322 35 321 33*330 3198 2532 33 241 34*323 34*320 32*328 2532 1944 33 240 33*323 32*320 31 327 1944 1454 28*237 32 323 29 320 29 326 1454 1077 25*235 30 322 28 319 27 325 1077 818 23 234 27 322 25 319 24 324 818 662 20 233 24 321 22 319 21 324 662 571 14 232 18 321 17 318 16 323 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography