DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 86.5 - - 88.1 - - 80.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 157 - - 65 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1695 - - 3883 - - 4410 - - 732 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1194 - - 2948 - - 2819 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2290 - - 4478 - - 5005 - - 1327 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1651 - - 2021 - - 2173 - - 2086 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 247 - - 364 - - 296 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 51 - - 17 - - 16 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 091 - - 108 - - 175 - - 088 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 10 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 261 - - 924 - - 931 - - -349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2030 - - 3554 - - 4074 - - 1676 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1042 - - -212 - - 22 - - -2390 ODpotential blCL - - - 3332 - - 4690 - - 4983 - - 3717 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 86 - - 89 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1900 - - 1780 - - 1890 - - 1980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.5 - - 86.5 - - 88.1 - - 80.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.9 - - 72.4 - - 71.8 - - 74.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 85.5 - - 87.6 - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.2 - - 71.2 - - 70.6 - - 73.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 120 - - 157 - - 65 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1695 - - 3883 - - 4410 - - 732 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 43 - - 58 - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99337 26 083 35 086 27 087 29 075 99337 91863 27 086 26 091 22 076 24 073 91863 86071 29 089 22 115 21 069 20 070 86071 81250 26 078 21 114 19 083 18 090 81250 77110 18 071 20 086 19 100 17 092 77110 73472 15 097 19 065 21 100 14 083 73472 70191 19 092 13 080 15 088 10 067 70191 67190 17 055 14 091 9 103 4 054 67190 64426 6 028 8 046 9 101 4 058 64426 61759 4 284 4 043 4 132 3 037 61759 58986 12 276 10 330 9 012 9 338 58986 56121 9 254 18 271 18 287 22 297 56121 53421 19 322 25 249 25 255 32 256 53421 51011 44 310 27 293 23 297 24 291 51011 48844 44 296 44 296 36 295 35 283 48844 46869 42 294 44 284 45 286 38 281 46869 45047 41 282 45 281 47 283 40 283 45047 43347 41 279 50 282 46 289 42 285 43347 41744 41 284 56 272 42 279 42 288 41744 40224 42 285 53 266 52 265 39 284 40224 38786 42 293 46 259 52 259 43 265 38786 37399 35 296 44 256 45 242 56 258 37399 35995 25 288 37 253 40 241 49 238 35995 34540 17 267 23 280 40 246 42 230 34540 33033 15 256 22 273 38 252 35 237 33033 31456 12 270 22 253 35 252 36 243 31456 29797 14 319 16 229 32 252 39 248 29797 28058 9 274 14 238 36 254 39 249 28058 26237 20 271 26 285 35 262 35 249 26237 24333 31 278 31 275 33 269 30 250 24333 22353 32 272 32 264 32 272 26 255 22353 20291 27 267 36 262 32 270 25 260 20291 18145 25 274 38 262 32 271 32 264 18145 15966 26 290 32 274 33 272 37 267 15966 13876 27 297 31 288 29 270 40 268 13876 11979 28 296 29 291 27 260 37 271 11979 10289 26 293 21 298 14 270 35 276 10289 8785 22 291 15 304 8 293 28 278 8785 7446 14 285 6 270 6 272 20 277 7446 6257 8 282 3 243 4 257 15 268 6257 5205 7 286 1*131 3*247 11 248 5205 4280 1 312 3*101 3*200 7 211 4280 3464 6 073 4 103 3 184 6 173 3464 2731 5*070 4 106 3 176 5 152 2731 2084 1*084 4 108 4 172 4 125 2084 1544 1 094 4 110 4 170 4*095 1544 1131 1 091 4 112 4 167 4*090 1131 846 1 093 4 114 4 167 4 088 846 674 1 091 4 113 4 165 4 087 674 575 1 099 4 115 3 165 3 088 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography