DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.5 - - 27.1 - - 25.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - 9 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1091 - - 834 - - 180 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1686 - - 1429 - - 775 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1498 - - 1410 - - 1756 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 124 - - 79 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 142 - - 140 - - 327 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 183 - - 375 - - 24 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1503 - - 1054 - - 751 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -42 - - 224 - - -166 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1728 - - 1205 - - 941 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.5 - - 27.1 - - 25.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 22.4 - - 25.0 - - 25.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 26.4 - - 27.2 - - 26.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 21.7 - - 24.7 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 25 - - 9 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1091 - - 834 - - 180 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96217 34 044 33 038 29 043 96217 89141 20 038 17 043 13 025 89141 83650 18 044 18 036 11 034 83650 79050 19 041 18 026 16 034 79050 75039 17 043 18 021 18 027 75039 71443 12 039 13 004 14 354 71443 68164 9 314 14 322 13 329 68164 65150 19 283 23 287 22 307 65150 62361 28 277 30 265 28 286 62361 59657 34 277 37 268 40 278 59657 56837 46 274 44 267 45 271 56837 53910 55 271 52 273 48 271 53910 51117 71 270 67 270 59 271 51117 48612 80 257 76 265 71 266 48612 46378 79 252 85 261 84 261 46378 44357 87 254 92 254 94 255 44357 42508 94 257 94 251 97 249 42508 40806 100 258 101 251 96 247 40806 39232 103 257 104 250 101 246 39232 37767 103 258 105 251 106 244 37767 36396 107 258 111 253 106 243 36396 35080 107 255 116 253 105 244 35080 33752 102 253 113 250 105 245 33752 32384 100 254 108 248 108 244 32384 30971 98 252 105 248 107 242 30971 29493 96 251 100 247 104 240 29493 27936 95 251 96 246 100 240 27936 26301 89 254 94 245 97 241 26301 24583 82 255 90 244 96 239 24583 22787 79 253 85 243 93 236 22787 20917 80 249 81 243 88 236 20917 18963 77 246 75 242 84 237 18963 16924 72 246 71 239 74 238 16924 14844 64 246 67 237 65 237 14844 12836 52 247 61 233 64 236 12836 11010 38 246 53 229 57 235 11010 9398 31 231 43 224 40 237 9398 7986 25 225 29 238 33 242 7986 6746 15 227 23 251 25 250 6746 5652 14 228 20 241 20 246 5652 4695 17 227 15 234 9 258 4695 3860 15 192 11 241 5 288 3860 3128 13 161 8 202 4 238 3128 2477 11 158 8 173 5 181 2477 1903 9*153 6*166 4 171 1903 1426 5*142 3*145 1 148 1426 1061 5 142 3 138 1 359 1061 810 4 142 2 140 2*342 810 658 4 141 2 138 2*329 658 571 3 141 2 139 2 326 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography