DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 2.2 - - 27.5 - - 31.9 - - 25.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 32 - - -1 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 400 - - 273 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 553 - - 554 - - 555 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 570 - - 995 - - 868 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 23 - - 355 - - 637 - - 122 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 15 - - 97 - - 30 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 128 - - 185 - - 171 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -774 - - -1123 - - -1024 - - -610 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1344 - - 2118 - - 1892 - - 1183 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19165 - - -12377 - - -10419 - - -11734 ODpotential blCL - - - 19735 - - 13372 - - 11287 - - 12306 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 98 - - 74 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 2.2 - - 27.5 - - 31.9 - - 25.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -1.2 - - 20.5 - - 25.8 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 2.4 - - 27.5 - - 32.2 - - 28.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 2.2 - - 19.5 - - 25.1 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 3 - - 32 - - -1 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 400 - - 273 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 47 - - 93 - - 0 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96309 1 293 11 309 4 358 9 305 96309 89139 4 083 5 327 4 010 8 297 89139 83582 11 087 3 329 10 342 10 291 83582 78947 9 336 2 347 15 310 12 301 78947 74950 11 330 6 269 19 292 22 307 74950 71437 17 315 11 289 21 288 23 304 71437 68264 23 308 19 294 24 274 27 302 68264 65345 28 306 22 293 24 276 32 292 65345 62635 34 301 29 294 35 286 33 273 62635 59984 39 291 40 287 40 273 43 294 59984 57212 42 283 48 278 49 282 60 288 57212 54338 45 278 50 268 66 278 63 275 54338 51573 48 273 58 272 66 268 64 268 51573 49058 54 268 64 267 61 265 66 265 49058 46786 64 266 62 261 66 268 67 263 46786 44715 69 262 63 269 71 271 73 260 44715 42811 70 259 76 271 79 268 81 259 42811 41052 75 258 83 264 84 258 88 255 41052 39418 83 258 85 257 86 256 96 253 39418 37896 91 257 88 257 92 259 100 252 37896 36477 96 257 94 256 98 257 103 254 36477 35121 100 255 101 255 104 254 105 253 35121 33753 98 253 101 256 104 253 102 256 33753 32354 88 255 103 261 99 255 103 256 32354 30928 90 260 104 257 102 253 100 256 30928 29448 91 257 93 257 97 256 96 255 29448 27890 90 256 80 265 88 260 93 253 27890 26254 77 264 78 268 83 258 91 252 26254 24539 73 264 75 266 81 256 87 253 24539 22747 68 265 76 263 79 257 81 256 22747 20884 65 267 74 264 76 259 76 258 20884 18947 62 264 69 269 70 262 71 259 18947 16930 54 258 59 270 62 266 56 261 16930 14878 45 260 48 269 51 273 44 269 14878 12902 41 253 40 264 43 267 38 274 12902 11105 37 254 37 267 39 268 37 273 11105 9513 34 259 33 267 33 271 32 277 9513 8108 30 259 29 262 28 277 24 288 8108 6863 21 264 27 259 27 268 24 290 6863 5761 13 260 24 256 29 254 28 280 5761 4788 9 250 21 250 28 250 29 270 4788 3935 8 246 19 240 25 248 27 261 3935 3187 9 243 17 231 23 244 26 244 3187 2520 11 228 17 228 21 238 24 226 2520 1932 12 232 16 225 17 223 24 212 1932 1444 13 230 15 211 14 201 26 198 1444 1070 13 212 12*195 11*177 25 187 1070 813 14 194 9*187 9*173 20 177 813 659 11*180 8 185 8 171 17*174 659 571 2*128 7 184 6 169 7*166 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography