DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.8 - - 69.8 - - 68.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 57 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2107 - - 2912 - - 2146 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 1496 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2702 - - 3507 - - 2741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1563 - - 1688 - - 2542 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 203 - - 239 - - 102 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 013 - - 017 - - 011 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -3 - - -5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 804 - - 1019 - - 164 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1898 - - 2488 - - 2577 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 422 - - 392 - - -894 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2280 - - 3115 - - 3635 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 66.8 - - 69.8 - - 68.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.3 - - 60.8 - - 59.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.6 - - 69.5 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.6 - - 59.8 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 50 - - 57 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2107 - - 2912 - - 2146 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 97 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99313 34 100 29 111 32 087 99313 91766 29 112 26 102 25 089 91766 85930 27 109 27 110 23 101 85930 81071 25 098 25 104 24 107 81071 76900 16 097 19 086 19 097 76900 73243 13 114 14 091 15 074 73243 69950 13 127 12 115 11 094 69950 66928 14 120 10 141 7 101 66928 64137 10 103 13 150 7 181 64137 61447 5 140 5 162 11 152 61447 58635 8 230 7 258 1 154 58635 55734 15 234 21 256 19 272 55734 52994 23 257 21 254 33 275 52994 50547 30 268 36 262 48 254 50547 48362 46 255 41 250 43 239 48362 46366 43 251 38 260 34 241 46366 44517 46 257 50 265 44 264 44517 42803 61 259 58 261 55 265 42803 41211 75 252 63 254 59 260 41211 39724 78 245 68 247 59 253 39724 38322 68 246 69 241 57 247 38322 36961 63 247 58 242 53 245 36961 35573 60 244 51 246 49 247 35573 34131 56 241 48 255 45 253 34131 32635 55 243 46 253 43 258 32635 31072 55 244 41 252 39 256 31072 29430 53 246 40 253 35 260 29430 27707 50 247 45 258 37 269 27707 25904 46 247 45 266 37 281 25904 24019 40 245 39 272 28 286 24019 22057 28 257 33 273 25 281 22057 20014 28 280 24 275 25 287 20014 17886 27 276 27 273 24 291 17886 15721 27 271 26 283 22 289 15721 13636 24 275 25 288 22 297 13636 11741 25 276 24 284 22 298 11741 10058 23 283 19 292 16 312 10058 8566 18 305 11 308 12 307 8566 7245 14 334 8 311 10 312 7245 6079 13 010 8 358 11 028 6079 5056 14 022 13 018 18 038 5056 4161 14 019 13*020 16 035 4161 3370 13*018 13*019 15*030 3370 2662 13*016 13 018 12*020 2662 2036 12 013 13 017 10 012 2036 1514 12 012 13 016 10 010 1514 1113 11 012 12 016 9 008 1113 837 10 012 12 016 8 007 837 670 10 011 11 015 7 006 670 574 8 011 9 015 6 006 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography