DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.4 - - 74.2 - - 70.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 337 - - 228 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3553 - - 4147 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2964 - - 3261 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4148 - - 4742 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 843 - - 1236 - - 4622 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 435 - - 403 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 066 - - 082 - - 066 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1038 - - -1842 - - -5192 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5187 - - 6584 - - 5768 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4811 - - -4999 - - -9005 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8959 - - 9741 - - 9580 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 65 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.4 - - 74.2 - - 70.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.5 - - 47.2 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.6 - - 72.8 - - 71.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.5 - - 46.2 - - 46.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 337 - - 228 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3553 - - 4147 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97404 35 250 42 250 27 261 97404 89971 30 239 32 247 31 253 89971 84281 22 237 24 241 29 253 84281 79591 16 251 17 248 22 249 79591 75556 7 266 12 260 14 256 75556 71991 6 314 5 287 9 251 71991 68763 13 297 9 296 12 286 68763 65801 14 296 11 275 17 286 65801 63053 12 283 13 297 17 293 63053 60376 18 269 18 278 16 301 60376 57568 17 251 21 287 26 278 57568 54638 28 256 32 254 23 264 54638 51831 25 241 28 256 36 276 51831 49304 31 277 38 264 44 273 49304 47045 41 268 43 268 44 271 47045 45007 44 257 44 264 42 272 45007 43154 41 251 39 261 42 276 43154 41456 35 260 37 264 45 277 41456 39887 34 276 37 272 45 276 39887 38426 39 279 39 278 42 277 38426 37060 45 275 41 278 40 280 37060 35748 45 270 41 277 39 281 35748 34423 40 264 39 277 38 283 34423 33053 34 259 32 278 32 286 33053 31638 31 259 29 281 28 285 31638 30160 29 260 29 277 25 279 30160 28602 27 265 28 274 24 279 28602 26963 26 274 26 278 23 293 26963 25245 22 289 24 280 26 298 25245 23445 16 293 16 278 23 276 23445 21567 15 288 12 286 19 267 21567 19609 8 293 11 294 8 285 19609 17564 4 117 7 228 7 243 17564 15474 6 113 5 207 5 241 15474 13456 7 098 5 111 5 097 13456 11617 10 089 9 085 9 099 11617 9979 9 078 10 079 9 101 9979 8520 10 080 8 081 8 088 8520 7223 9 080 10 072 9 080 7223 6071 10 067 11 075 9 095 6071 5054 12*063 10*083 9 108 5054 4159 12*065 10*083 10 103 4159 3369 12 066 10 083 12 089 3369 2662 12 066 11 082 13 079 2662 2036 12 067 11 081 14 075 2036 1513 12 067 11 081 15 071 1513 1113 11 067 11 080 14 069 1113 837 11 067 10 080 13 068 837 670 10 068 10 080 11*067 670 574 9 067 9 080 8*066 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography