DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.7 - - 89.7 - - 81.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 140 - - 66 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1137 - - 5146 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 3146 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1732 - - 5741 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 877 - - 3725 - - 2303 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 222 - - 292 - - 11 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 15 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 190 - - 194 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5168 - - -2470 - - -4704 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6901 - - 8212 - - 5280 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8217 - - -4247 - - -7399 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9949 - - 9988 - - 7975 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 78 - - 61 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.7 - - 89.7 - - 81.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 54.6 - - 55.6 - - 60.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.9 - - 89.3 - - 83.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.1 - - 54.9 - - 60.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 140 - - 66 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1137 - - 5146 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 11 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97922 21 257 17 248 20 269 97922 90686 19 245 16 275 13 268 90686 85055 11 241 14 272 4 279 85055 80381 8 237 11 276 10 274 80381 76357 1 228 6 261 10 290 76357 72813 4 127 3 248 9 337 72813 69623 8 087 6 171 8 326 69623 66695 7 026 4 130 4 297 66695 63986 8 337 2 011 1 333 63986 61371 9 327 7 315 2 016 61371 58652 10 286 17 270 16 298 58652 55845 22 296 24 285 27 287 55845 53187 35 292 37 282 31 284 53187 50796 40 290 36 294 26 286 50796 48643 50 301 48 307 49 306 48643 46682 57 307 57 306 61 302 46682 44875 64 302 66 301 63 295 44875 43198 69 298 67 297 57 288 43198 41626 60 292 62 297 48 287 41626 40143 51 284 54 292 40 289 40143 38738 47 285 47 281 35 283 38738 37371 40 287 40 278 34 275 37371 35974 30 279 34 267 34 273 35974 34516 27 278 29 260 36 266 34516 33002 24 278 30 261 36 251 33002 31417 23 264 28 248 36 237 31417 29748 26 266 22 245 31 242 29748 27997 27 267 19 253 28 255 27997 26165 26 267 23 248 29 261 26165 24257 25 264 25 253 36 250 24257 22279 27 258 21 251 39 239 22279 20222 25 241 23 251 33 237 20222 18080 26 228 25 238 29 241 18080 15897 25 230 23 234 27 247 15897 13799 16 220 19 212 21 237 13799 11904 13 220 18 205 18 218 11904 10228 15 216 19 217 16 218 10228 8742 17 215 18 227 13 228 8742 7419 17 220 19 230 12 232 7419 6240 19 223 17*217 10 226 6240 5194 21 225 17*204 12 212 5194 4271 23 226 16 200 15 197 4271 3456 24 221 16 196 19 189 3456 2726 24 215 16 193 21 182 2726 2081 21*208 15 191 23 176 2081 1543 14*193 15 189 24 170 1543 1129 12 190 14 188 22 166 1129 846 12 188 13 188 19 162 846 673 11 187 12 187 15*160 673 575 9 187 10 186 9*158 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography