DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/31 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 6.7 - - 13.8 - - 18.7 - - 14.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 118 - - 48 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 278 - - 1399 - - 1412 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 553 - - 553 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 873 - - 1994 - - 2007 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 630 - - 546 - - 532 - - 1758 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 73 - - 223 - - 166 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 316 - - 326 - - 338 - - 311 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1227 - - 149 - - 215 - - -832 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2100 - - 1845 - - 1792 - - 1403 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10815 - - -7520 - - -6657 - - -8982 ODpotential blCL - - - 11688 - - 9514 - - 8664 - - 9553 blCL maxRH - - - 86 - - 93 - - 98 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 6.7 - - 13.8 - - 18.7 - - 14.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 0.2 - - 8.3 - - 13.4 - - 11.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 6.8 - - 13.3 - - 18.5 - - 18.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -0.5 - - 7.3 - - 12.6 - - 13.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 21 - - 118 - - 48 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 278 - - 1399 - - 1412 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 44 - - 73 - - 92 - - 80 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95582 85 235 83 232 89 238 93 243 95582 88308 77 246 73 240 75 254 79 255 88308 82814 62 251 62 245 59 253 66 250 82814 78230 54 262 56 257 50 257 50 260 78230 74222 55 277 55 271 52 274 50 284 74222 70662 59 279 53 274 59 282 56 294 70662 67451 55 278 53 278 61 285 53 298 67451 64511 53 276 53 280 59 284 51 297 64511 61774 49 277 51 280 51 280 50 293 61774 59098 47 283 46 288 47 288 47 299 59098 56292 46 281 45 297 50 298 53 313 56292 53373 44 294 49 307 49 305 58 315 53373 50577 52 303 53 308 48 316 59 314 50577 48051 55 304 51 313 52 319 57 313 48051 45781 48 306 55 322 52 322 56 316 45781 43721 42 315 58 322 54 325 57 323 43721 41841 42 325 53 323 55 328 60 324 41841 40113 43 333 48 329 58 332 59 326 40113 38518 47 338 49 338 62 337 62 331 38518 37043 47 340 58 342 65 343 64 337 37043 35674 45 346 62 345 73 349 67 344 35674 34371 56 356 66 349 84 351 70 345 34371 33061 68 355 70 349 92 351 67 350 33061 31711 68 350 69 350 94 350 70 356 31711 30319 60 352 63 359 97 353 73 359 30319 28868 55 359 61 008 91 355 72 360 28868 27344 53 011 61 012 74 002 64 358 27344 25749 53 017 59 012 70 011 55 356 25749 24078 54 019 59 011 65 014 51 358 24078 22328 54 021 59 011 58 012 48 356 22328 20499 54 022 57 012 53 008 47 353 20499 18589 53 021 55 014 50 007 45 353 18589 16596 52 018 52 015 46 009 42 359 16596 14571 50 015 48 017 42 006 40 003 14571 12628 48 013 44 017 41 004 37 001 12628 10865 45 014 41 016 39 003 35 359 10865 9301 44 017 39 017 37 003 32 001 9301 7915 44 020 37 016 36 005 30 006 7915 6687 33 023 33 014 33 006 28 012 6687 5601 25 030 24 006 29 010 27 015 5601 4648 21 029 16 020 25 007 24 010 4648 3818 22 013 17 016 18 359 19 010 3818 3093 22 354 22 356 18 359 19 010 3093 2449 21 352 23*344 17*352 17 355 2449 1883 25 346 20*331 13*340 15 335 1883 1414 26 332 19 326 13 339 13 335 1414 1054 23*321 18 324 12 337 12 331 1054 806 18*317 17 324 12 337 10 326 806 656 17 316 16 323 11 336 8*319 656 570 13 315 14 323 9 336 5*311 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography