DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 58.8 - - 60.1 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 351 - - 173 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3448 - - 7649 - - 7098 - - 4597 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2506 - - 6193 - - 5343 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4043 - - 8244 - - 7693 - - 5192 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3254 - - 1509 - - 3368 - - 5110 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 324 - - 567 - - 438 - - 91 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 16 - - 12 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 337 - - 323 - - 314 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 9 - - 11 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - 4 - - -3 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -535 - - 1347 - - 101 - - -1044 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4578 - - 6897 - - 7592 - - 6237 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2799 - - 587 - - -675 - - -2203 ODpotential blCL - - - 6842 - - 7657 - - 8368 - - 7395 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 81 - - 96 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 40 - - 30 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.1 - - 58.8 - - 60.1 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.2 - - 30.4 - - 28.6 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.6 - - 57.2 - - 59.1 - - 58.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.0 - - 29.2 - - 27.5 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 130 - - 351 - - 173 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3448 - - 7649 - - 7098 - - 4597 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 23 - - 85 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97549 20 252 24 239 24 267 23 264 97549 90147 17 244 18 243 23 249 23 243 90147 84470 13 211 13 227 22 238 14 256 84470 79768 5 184 9 212 14 223 10 266 79768 75721 3 246 2 239 9 206 9 245 75721 72146 6 223 7 249 6 248 5 259 72146 68892 9 289 10 248 10 252 11 280 68892 65883 16 271 11 249 18 241 20 252 65883 63070 17 273 15 260 19 250 20 250 63070 60317 25 277 24 259 30 262 30 269 60317 57453 33 268 33 258 40 260 41 269 57453 54503 37 266 40 260 45 261 41 265 54503 51688 45 268 44 265 45 263 42 262 51688 49148 53 269 47 269 45 264 49 261 49148 46870 62 270 55 273 50 269 52 262 46870 44802 73 267 66 267 62 274 57 269 44802 42907 80 263 73 262 73 270 67 269 42907 41164 83 263 81 261 81 261 80 265 41164 39559 93 267 91 260 92 258 89 260 39559 38072 99 264 95 257 102 256 96 258 38072 36681 100 263 99 258 106 254 103 255 36681 35341 108 266 103 260 108 255 106 254 35341 33988 115 264 107 259 112 258 111 256 33988 32594 116 263 109 259 116 258 118 257 32594 31154 116 264 108 259 117 258 120 258 31154 29648 109 263 106 259 115 259 116 257 29648 28059 99 264 106 259 113 260 114 255 28059 26386 87 267 96 262 108 262 111 257 26386 24640 73 270 82 264 92 263 100 260 24640 22836 59 277 70 266 76 263 87 262 22836 20972 56 277 62 266 65 265 79 273 20972 19035 52 275 53 271 60 266 63 277 19035 17027 48 280 52 276 54 271 48 281 17027 14987 44 284 46 275 45 276 38 288 14987 13019 37 291 41 285 38 289 33 292 13019 11238 30 302 33 291 26 296 29 290 11238 9665 28 315 24*307 25 300 27 291 9665 8264 24 322 20*315 23*301 26 290 8264 7016 20 331 17 321 18*304 20 286 7016 5906 24 343 16 322 15 306 15*286 5906 4922 27*344 16 323 12 313 12*291 4922 4054 26*340 15 324 11 316 11 298 4054 3286 23 337 15 325 11 318 10 304 3286 2599 22 337 15 325 10 319 9 310 2599 1991 17 336 15 326 10 321 9 315 1991 1485 16 336 14 326 10 322 9 318 1485 1096 15 335 14 327 9 323 8 320 1096 828 15 335 13 326 9 323 8 321 828 666 13 335 12 326 9 323 7 323 666 573 11 335 11 326 8 323 5 323 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography