DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 70.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 28 - - -24 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1052 - - 599 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 558 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1647 - - 1194 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1014 - - 3383 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 155 - - 81 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 20 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 190 - - 194 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 41 - - -62 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1606 - - 1256 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2427 - - -1118 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4074 - - 2312 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 82 - - 98 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1510 - - 1930 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 70.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.4 - - 66.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 70.8 - - 71.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.0 - - 65.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 28 - - -24 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1052 - - 599 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 26 - - 92 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96013 32 255 35 263 96013 88903 26 257 38 266 88903 83475 23 265 32 255 83475 78992 17 281 24 230 78992 75137 13 280 16 230 75137 71742 20 250 22 260 71742 68691 31 244 34 257 68691 65888 36 258 33 248 65888 63258 34 259 33 239 63258 60676 37 248 42 234 60676 57957 42 242 49 235 57957 55119 49 241 53 239 55119 52387 55 245 53 240 52387 49904 59 248 54 245 49904 47656 58 249 60 247 47656 45602 60 251 66 248 45602 43722 63 250 67 249 43722 41997 60 251 64 249 41997 40404 55 257 58 251 40404 38931 51 249 54 243 38931 37563 51 231 52 229 37563 36252 45 221 51 223 36252 34918 42 222 50 223 34918 33530 42 223 52 226 33530 32087 44 225 54 228 32087 30574 45 226 52 229 30574 28980 45 228 49 229 28980 27304 44 232 45 228 27304 25549 39 228 43 230 25549 23715 37 229 42 231 23715 21805 31 237 44 231 21805 19813 39 236 44 230 19813 17735 42 235 45 230 17735 15616 42 222 41 224 15616 13572 41 216 38 218 13572 11711 35 218 34 218 11711 10060 29 218 33 222 10060 8593 31 217 35 227 8593 7288 35 215 36 225 7288 6125 37 210 38 218 6125 5095 38 205 39 213 5095 4190 38 204 37 210 4190 3393 37 204 34 207 3393 2679 35 203 32 204 2679 2048 30*198 29 201 2048 1522 24*193 27*197 1522 1118 22 190 24*196 1118 840 20 190 21 194 840 671 17 189 18 194 671 574 14 188 13 193 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography