DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.1 - - 29.0 - - 34.4 - - 26.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 221 - - 76 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 918 - - 1703 - - 2002 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 553 - - 1436 - - 555 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1513 - - 2298 - - 2597 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 487 - - 571 - - 745 - - 179 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 163 - - 291 - - 216 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 281 - - 269 - - 222 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1426 - - -3188 - - -3727 - - -3503 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2939 - - 5486 - - 6325 - - 4075 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16723 - - -17409 - - -16266 - - -17852 ODpotential blCL - - - 18236 - - 19707 - - 18863 - - 18424 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 71 - - 87 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.1 - - 29.0 - - 34.4 - - 26.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.7 - - 7.3 - - 9.0 - - 11.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 18.8 - - 27.9 - - 34.1 - - 30.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 8.7 - - 6.8 - - 8.7 - - 11.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 73 - - 221 - - 76 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 918 - - 1703 - - 2002 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 49 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94712 69 253 65 263 72 256 76 261 94712 87527 75 254 60 255 72 253 73 261 87527 82038 73 255 64 256 72 261 69 264 82038 77533 67 254 70 254 75 266 68 264 77533 73669 59 248 69 251 69 264 67 269 73669 70250 52 260 69 258 61 268 64 275 70250 67149 58 273 68 265 62 275 62 282 67149 64293 68 278 70 272 69 282 62 287 64293 61629 69 271 75 275 74 280 63 289 61629 59032 62 269 77 271 72 274 69 292 59032 56325 65 279 69 273 67 281 71 291 56325 53514 65 277 62 281 65 287 66 290 53514 50816 52 279 55 293 58 291 63 296 50816 48378 67 303 60 306 57 306 65 302 48378 46199 75 305 71 311 71 315 75 307 46199 44238 72 302 76 310 79 312 82 308 44238 42458 61 311 78 308 78 308 82 307 42458 40828 68 327 74 309 76 310 80 307 40828 39320 71 328 71 316 75 312 81 307 39320 37906 68 330 71 323 76 313 79 309 37906 36570 68 335 72 326 77 313 79 312 36570 35276 70 342 73 326 77 314 81 313 35276 33959 78 347 75 326 76 315 79 312 33959 32588 83 344 74 327 76 315 76 312 32588 31166 85 340 75 327 75 315 74 314 31166 29678 82 340 71 325 75 315 72 316 29678 28112 74 343 67 321 75 315 70 318 28112 26466 67 345 65 320 74 315 68 320 26466 24739 60 339 65 320 68 319 67 321 24739 22934 51 326 64 319 64 319 62 321 22934 21055 41 324 61 316 61 316 57 322 21055 19092 31 313 55 315 56 313 55 324 19092 17038 45 306 51 314 53 310 54 326 17038 14939 51 316 52 314 51 309 54 327 14939 12925 44 327 51 318 48 312 48 317 12925 11110 38 329 45 320 47 317 43 312 11110 9511 38 325 39 317 47 321 40 313 9511 8098 39 324 35 316 40 322 39 312 8098 6846 35 322 34 317 33 318 34 307 6846 5739 29 318 30 316 31 312 32 305 5739 4764 26 314 27 309 30 304 32 304 4764 3912 26 311 25 304 29 291 32 297 3912 3166 24 312 21 301 25*285 32 284 3166 2505 20 311 16*292 16*271 24 271 2505 1923 18*304 13*283 15 269 20 256 1923 1439 14*296 12 281 15 269 18 251 1439 1068 13 292 12 281 14 269 16 245 1068 813 12 292 11 280 13 268 13 236 813 659 11 291 10 280 12 268 11*231 659 571 9 290 9 280 10 268 5*222 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography