DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 54.5 - - 55.6 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 21 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 560 - - 1045 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 937 - - 1155 - - 1640 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 845 - - 1790 - - 1540 - - 2086 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 72 - - 95 - - 72 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 273 - - 271 - - 241 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 317 - - 501 - - 642 - - -7 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 620 - - 654 - - 999 - - 581 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 117 - - 216 - - 259 - - -775 ODpotential blCL - - - 820 - - 939 - - 1381 - - 1349 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 30 - - 50 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 54.5 - - 55.6 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 52.5 - - 53.4 - - 53.1 - - 52.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.5 - - 54.4 - - 55.9 - - 54.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 52.2 - - 53.0 - - 52.6 - - 52.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 15 - - 21 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 342 - - 560 - - 1045 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96046 11 270 21 265 29 293 22 298 96046 89062 4 329 3 277 13 299 12 301 89062 83650 3 005 7 306 6 306 5 303 83650 79121 2 302 7 298 3 219 7 243 79121 75193 4 224 7 238 6 247 7 231 75193 71705 8 222 8 221 8 254 7 230 71705 68530 10 201 15 221 14 253 9 234 68530 65582 11 229 20 215 19 243 12 260 65582 62834 15 248 23 216 28 233 29 244 62834 60184 21 244 25 231 30 219 31 226 60184 57417 45 250 39 248 39 240 41 248 57417 54538 50 236 53 239 58 237 58 242 54538 51788 42 241 54 232 63 232 62 234 51788 49308 43 251 46 237 56 237 59 233 49308 47076 50 252 51 247 60 242 61 237 47076 45040 55 246 60 247 68 240 71 239 45040 43165 59 240 66 245 74 236 79 238 43165 41429 60 236 68 244 76 235 80 239 41429 39818 61 238 73 243 75 236 79 238 39818 38320 64 243 77 241 76 237 78 234 38320 36927 63 246 78 239 79 238 79 234 36927 35598 60 249 75 239 81 237 83 235 35598 34261 60 251 71 240 78 236 85 234 34261 32880 59 250 69 240 73 238 86 234 32880 31449 54 252 67 239 72 238 86 234 31449 29952 50 256 61 238 70 236 82 234 29952 28381 48 261 57 237 66 232 76 235 28381 26735 47 267 57 236 62 231 71 236 26735 25011 48 271 57 236 59 232 65 235 25011 23209 46 270 53 238 55 232 58 237 23209 21333 42 267 48 242 50 233 50 239 21333 19378 32 267 43 244 45 238 44 244 19378 17339 28 255 40 246 40 248 43 250 17339 15255 30 249 36 247 36 253 38 256 15255 13244 29 249 34 255 34 259 33 260 13244 11413 28 250 30 262 32 263 30 267 11413 9786 22 252 26 267 25 267 28 277 9786 8341 18 255 22 262 22 280 28 282 8341 7061 17 260 20 250 23 278 25 272 7061 5934 16 240 15 276 21 270 24 265 5934 4943 14 236 15 288 19 272 26 267 4943 4068 12 256 14 267 18 273 26 267 4068 3295 13 271 13 261 18 267 25 266 3295 2604 11 276 11 264 17 266 25 263 2604 1994 9 281 9 268 15*268 23 259 1994 1486 11 275 8*270 12*270 20 256 1486 1096 10*272 8*273 11 271 16 252 1096 828 6*264 7 273 10 272 11 247 828 666 6 263 6 273 9 272 9*245 666 573 5 262 5 273 7 273 5*241 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography