DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 48.5 - - 48.4 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 59 - - 44 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1846 - - 2921 - - 3463 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1286 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2441 - - 3516 - - 4058 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2507 - - 1407 - - 292 - - 3560 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 188 - - 230 - - 220 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 004 - - 344 - - 341 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 408 - - 856 - - 137 - - -3085 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2033 - - 2661 - - 3921 - - 3658 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 106 - - 539 - - -10431 - - -14755 ODpotential blCL - - - 2335 - - 2977 - - 14489 - - 15328 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 48.5 - - 48.4 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 43.7 - - 39.1 - - 33.5 - - 30.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.2 - - 48.3 - - 48.2 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 38.3 - - 32.8 - - 29.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 51 - - 59 - - 44 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1846 - - 2921 - - 3463 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 89 - - 16 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96146 68 260 78 258 88 263 78 263 96146 89084 48 262 49 267 44 265 48 270 89084 83665 27 269 38 268 30 269 38 274 83665 79170 20 297 22 262 23 259 29 268 79170 75266 21 295 8 283 17 240 24 256 75266 71780 20 271 10 299 16 248 22 268 71780 68616 15 268 16 268 20 254 25 268 68616 65707 14 276 19 250 19 275 22 267 65707 62993 19 285 20 268 25 277 22 264 62993 60350 31 291 26 276 26 262 22 266 60350 57588 41 274 31 277 29 276 26 273 57588 54723 42 260 44 270 43 278 36 272 54723 51990 43 267 49 264 50 274 42 270 51990 49520 49 267 51 264 55 270 49 275 49520 47294 51 268 51 269 58 267 55 275 47294 45266 53 272 56 275 55 269 56 273 45266 43402 57 274 59 275 53 272 54 270 43402 41679 56 276 60 275 52 274 48 271 41679 40081 58 279 60 276 53 278 47 274 40081 38592 59 277 57 278 57 281 46 280 38592 37198 48 277 53 278 57 280 46 285 37198 35858 41 281 48 273 55 281 49 290 35858 34509 40 280 41 276 49 281 51 292 34509 33122 38 279 39 281 46 284 45 292 33122 31690 34 281 41 280 46 288 44 298 31690 30196 31 285 38 279 40 293 39 301 30196 28628 28 288 31 287 35 297 31 306 28628 26983 23 304 25 291 30 297 28 309 26983 25255 23 323 21 291 28 295 27 309 25255 23442 24 329 22 292 29 297 28 318 23442 21547 22 326 23 299 25 309 29 321 21547 19563 21 327 23 312 25 317 29 319 19563 17486 22 333 20 325 24 324 27 317 17486 15358 23 338 21 331 22 327 26 321 15358 13298 22 336 20 329 22 323 27 325 13298 11421 23 324 20 326 23 321 27 326 11421 9756 24 319 22 328 25 326 26 329 9756 8283 22 333 24 338 24 335 24 336 8283 6985 20 346 21 350 22 349 22 339 6985 5844 18 328 19 351 18 001 14 341 5844 4848 18 321 14 335 14*344 10 341 4848 3986 18 328 14*336 13*342 12 348 3986 3233 16 347 14*342 13 342 13 347 3233 2558 15*001 14 344 13 341 13 346 2558 1962 15*003 14 344 13 341 14 345 1962 1465 14 004 14 344 13 341 14 344 1465 1084 14 004 13 344 13 341 14 342 1084 822 13 004 13 345 12 340 12 339 822 662 12 004 12 345 11 341 10*337 662 572 9 004 10 345 9 341 5*333 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography