DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 54.8 - - 63.5 - - 58.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 165 - - 135 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 854 - - 2083 - - 3153 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 1623 - - 2264 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1449 - - 2678 - - 3748 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 420 - - 589 - - 904 - - 3648 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 158 - - 291 - - 309 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 11 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 233 - - 241 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1221 - - -1845 - - -2521 - - -3730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2670 - - 4524 - - 6269 - - 4304 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9788 - - -7101 - - -6042 - - -7967 ODpotential blCL - - - 11237 - - 9779 - - 9790 - - 8541 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 72 - - 57 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 41.0 - - 54.8 - - 63.5 - - 58.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.6 - - 37.1 - - 38.2 - - 41.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.9 - - 54.0 - - 62.9 - - 62.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 35.9 - - 37.1 - - 41.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 61 - - 165 - - 135 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 854 - - 2083 - - 3153 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96603 19 268 9 275 11 244 15 263 96603 89486 3 245 7 288 9 313 6 262 89486 83989 4 055 6 221 8 261 7 306 83989 79406 7 029 2 053 5 260 8 340 79406 75447 6 054 2 198 8 287 13 325 75447 71945 17 006 12 014 5 025 3 355 71945 68752 24 334 21 347 23 351 27 357 68752 65820 17 327 20 322 29 318 33 332 65820 63121 18 352 16 313 19 316 26 323 63121 60487 25 338 28 348 23 337 26 328 60487 57692 38 340 42 338 31 339 29 322 57692 54749 48 332 49 332 40 333 40 323 54749 51922 44 325 54 327 51 327 41 330 51922 49380 42 324 57 323 56 330 59 337 49380 47116 49 325 55 323 64 331 65 333 47116 45079 57 327 56 328 70 328 71 340 45079 43215 63 326 64 331 74 335 89 343 43215 41501 69 323 72 332 92 340 108 336 41501 39921 70 320 79 332 101 335 111 330 39921 38452 68 325 75 331 95 338 94 330 38452 37078 76 335 74 334 98 343 90 338 37078 35756 88 339 84 342 103 345 94 343 35756 34413 93 338 94 345 103 344 96 344 34413 33020 91 335 98 344 102 342 94 343 33020 31580 85 332 98 342 100 340 87 340 31580 30075 78 329 96 339 98 339 84 335 30075 28491 71 326 94 337 92 338 86 332 28491 26826 68 322 89 334 85 336 86 330 26826 25081 62 323 81 331 81 336 80 336 25081 23265 49 324 69 330 73 333 67 335 23265 21382 40 322 45 320 60 338 56 332 21382 19424 39 325 35 313 46 332 48 329 19424 17384 42 323 37 324 39 316 40 322 17384 15309 44 316 37 324 37 318 38 318 15309 13308 44 311 37 316 35 321 36 318 13308 11486 42 310 34 311 35 318 33 319 11486 9863 35 307 29 311 32 315 30 315 9863 8418 30 294 25 310 26 308 27 310 8418 7134 32 289 20 297 23 300 22 305 7134 5993 26 292 22 283 24 295 20 295 5993 4985 23 295 21 274 20 281 18 293 4985 4100 30 281 21 271 14*248 12 269 4100 3321 34 261 20*262 13*243 11 253 3321 2625 31 241 15*245 12 242 10 254 2625 2010 27 220 12 233 12 241 10 258 2010 1496 23*203 11 231 11 240 9 261 1496 1103 19*196 11 229 11 240 8 262 1103 831 18 194 10 228 10 240 7 261 831 667 16 193 9 228 10 240 6*256 667 573 13 193 8 227 8 240 4*248 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography