DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 71.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 19 - - 113 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3328 - - 2030 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 1456 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3923 - - 2625 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1624 - - 1109 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 206 - - 265 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 310 - - 320 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 304 - - -997 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3619 - - 3623 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3574 - - -5984 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7497 - - 8609 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 97 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 73.5 - - 71.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.5 - - 57.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 73.7 - - 71.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.1 - - 56.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 19 - - 113 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3328 - - 2030 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 88 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98990 28 101 23 104 98990 91449 17 102 19 084 91449 85660 15 087 17 096 85660 80866 17 092 16 094 80866 76741 15 096 15 108 76741 73113 11 118 14 109 73113 69846 9 099 8 095 69846 66849 2 048 7 142 66849 64073 3 183 9 166 64073 61387 3 221 10 195 61387 58597 10 276 14 229 58597 55713 25 261 28 260 55713 52965 39 242 38 254 52965 50496 42 245 42 253 50496 48291 43 258 46 255 48291 46290 47 261 50 253 46290 44452 53 257 50 250 44452 42755 56 252 45 253 42755 41183 56 253 47 259 41183 39712 59 255 49 263 39712 38322 60 255 49 265 38322 36971 61 256 50 263 36971 35592 62 257 54 260 35592 34154 63 259 58 258 34154 32661 63 258 57 255 32661 31099 63 258 57 252 31099 29457 63 264 56 256 29457 27737 63 267 56 263 27737 25934 53 264 52 268 25934 24047 51 267 52 268 24047 22084 58 275 55 269 22084 20038 65 282 59 270 20038 17905 68 274 62 270 17905 15731 64 256 60 268 15731 13640 63 246 58 266 13640 11742 52 235 56 267 11742 10060 32 234 41 257 10060 8577 25 300 31 256 8577 7263 36 311 30 272 7263 6096 38 315 36 283 6096 5063 23 308 38 285 5063 4158 18*298 26 288 4158 3364 17*304 16 294 3364 2657 16 309 13*307 2657 2033 15 310 13*316 2033 1512 15 311 13 319 1512 1112 14 312 13 321 1112 837 13 312 13 322 837 670 12 312 12 322 670 574 9 311 10 322 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography