DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 34.9 - - 34.0 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -14 - - 9 - - 1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2007 - - 2023 - - 2126 - - 2089 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2602 - - 2618 - - 2721 - - 2684 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2993 - - 2226 - - 1487 - - 1301 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 95 - - 130 - - 97 - - 73 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 33 - - 32 - - 29 - - 21 BL Wind Direction - - - 294 - - 307 - - 324 - - 317 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 20 - - 17 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 1 - - -3 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1267 - - 985 - - 1039 - - 1227 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1335 - - 1633 - - 1682 - - 1457 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 497 - - 365 - - 418 - - 410 ODpotential blCL - - - 2105 - - 2253 - - 2303 - - 2274 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.5 - - 34.9 - - 34.0 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 29.8 - - 28.8 - - 28.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 35.0 - - 34.1 - - 32.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.9 - - 29.0 - - 27.9 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -14 - - 9 - - 1 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2007 - - 2023 - - 2126 - - 2089 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95231 60 278 75 256 67 269 66 268 95231 88325 54 273 60 273 54 258 56 263 88325 82961 39 277 52 279 47 283 45 270 82961 78420 40 302 35 269 43 279 40 292 78420 74484 39 303 36 299 46 297 52 306 74484 71055 44 308 44 303 47 294 47 297 71055 67958 52 310 35 293 36 282 36 275 67958 65051 45 298 25 290 30 284 25 284 65051 62298 35 290 30 303 42 300 43 306 62298 59627 38 302 44 307 54 300 58 300 59627 56846 56 306 60 300 64 293 62 292 56846 53933 68 294 68 292 69 292 62 288 53933 51124 70 287 66 288 68 291 63 288 51124 48596 69 284 65 284 66 286 62 287 48596 46335 69 279 65 283 63 288 59 297 46335 44280 69 278 65 285 64 294 69 302 44280 42403 70 283 66 287 69 295 76 300 42403 40677 78 287 70 289 73 293 83 298 40677 39080 85 286 73 288 77 291 87 292 39080 37593 88 282 74 286 77 290 83 287 37593 36202 87 279 76 284 78 293 78 290 36202 34861 86 277 77 284 83 296 80 297 34861 33505 86 276 80 285 85 299 86 301 33505 32102 88 274 83 285 87 304 89 304 32102 30655 88 271 84 284 90 308 93 309 30655 29145 86 270 84 285 91 309 95 313 29145 27562 83 272 78 286 88 310 96 313 27562 25911 80 275 73 288 83 310 101 311 25911 24197 78 276 68 290 76 308 102 312 24197 22422 74 277 64 295 64 303 106 311 22422 20576 66 282 62 305 50 294 109 316 20576 18651 61 289 59 312 44 295 95 314 18651 16657 59 293 56 314 47 304 75 309 16657 14645 57 289 53 314 51 310 53 306 14645 12716 58 278 53 316 49 316 46 307 12716 10959 57 272 53 321 46 319 42 310 10959 9395 56 274 48 326 42 324 38 320 9395 8005 46 276 45 327 40 331 36 325 8005 6772 40 284 45 330 38 335 34 328 6772 5681 37 299 44 327 36 337 33 332 5681 4719 39 299 43 320 35 333 31 329 4719 3880 39 298 41 316 35 327 27 323 3880 3149 39*297 40*313 34*326 25*319 3149 2496 39*296 38*310 33*325 24*319 2496 1919 37 295 36 308 32 324 23 318 1919 1438 35 294 34 306 30 324 22 317 1438 1068 32 293 31 305 28 323 20 315 1068 814 28 292 28 304 25 323 17 314 814 659 24 292 24 303 21 322 14 313 659 571 18 291 18 302 16 321 10 312 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography