DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.3 - - 83.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 72 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3038 - - 4092 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2301 - - 2692 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3633 - - 4687 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2285 - - 2802 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 329 - - 300 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 004 - - 353 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 536 - - 617 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3097 - - 4070 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -636 - - -515 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4269 - - 5202 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 81 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1130 - - 970 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.3 - - 83.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 69.3 - - 67.4 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.4 - - 83.0 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 68.1 - - 66.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 150 - - 72 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3038 - - 4092 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 52 - - 22 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99271 38 086 36 098 99271 91762 33 088 29 095 91762 85986 28 096 23 096 85986 81184 23 090 21 081 81184 77051 22 095 17 079 77051 73419 18 090 15 095 73419 70135 13 078 17 080 70135 67110 14 073 17 076 67110 64312 15 069 14 070 64312 61626 14 085 8 050 61626 58842 13 075 5 026 58842 55963 10 050 5 048 55963 53221 7 036 3 074 53221 50750 7 050 2 192 50750 48530 5 002 1 339 48530 46511 13 248 2 336 46511 44662 22 186 21 207 44662 42960 25 195 31 217 42960 41382 57 217 53 218 41382 39902 60 214 52 206 39902 38502 57 208 51 204 38502 37143 57 214 48 205 37143 35756 52 217 48 206 35756 34312 41 219 45 212 34312 32813 26 219 28 213 32813 31248 21 207 23 200 31248 29605 23 202 18 199 29605 27885 18 207 13 198 27885 26081 14 208 3 168 26081 24196 11 225 2 339 24196 22233 7 261 4 357 22233 20190 4 291 4 020 20190 18059 3 310 5 013 18059 15885 4 341 5 026 15885 13793 6 332 7 009 13793 11894 5 336 8 354 11894 10211 5 349 10 349 10211 8722 3 337 10 339 8722 7399 1 350 9 341 7399 6222 2 007 9 349 6222 5181 4 358 9*352 5181 4262 7*001 9*353 4262 3450 7*003 8 353 3450 2722 8 003 8 353 2722 2079 8 004 8 354 2079 1542 8 004 8 354 1542 1129 8 003 8 354 1129 846 8 004 7 353 846 674 7 004 7 354 674 575 6 004 6 354 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography