DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 30.2 - - 32.4 - - 34.2 - - 33.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 55 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2089 - - 1972 - - 1360 - - 265 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2684 - - 2567 - - 1955 - - 860 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 820 - - 619 - - 641 - - 1205 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 166 - - 197 - - 69 - - 31 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 270 - - 232 - - 143 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 4 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 949 - - 672 - - 242 - - -63 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1735 - - 1895 - - 1713 - - 923 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 634 - - 350 - - -10852 - - -3207 ODpotential blCL - - - 2050 - - 2217 - - 12807 - - 4067 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 70 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 30.2 - - 32.4 - - 34.2 - - 33.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.0 - - 26.4 - - 28.9 - - 31.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 30.2 - - 32.2 - - 34.4 - - 33.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.0 - - 25.2 - - 28.0 - - 31.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 31 - - 55 - - 1 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2089 - - 1972 - - 1360 - - 265 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95211 51 277 58 284 56 283 63 277 95211 88335 52 286 43 285 47 287 53 284 88335 82964 34 289 41 290 45 293 45 298 82964 78467 35 305 45 288 51 297 50 295 78467 74559 44 311 42 284 50 290 50 292 74559 71092 49 309 39 292 50 289 45 300 71092 67946 45 299 41 296 52 295 49 306 67946 65044 46 294 46 294 51 298 56 309 65044 62349 52 293 51 290 57 299 61 296 62349 59725 54 291 55 294 59 292 59 284 59725 56937 53 289 56 295 53 293 53 293 56937 54017 54 297 50 296 58 307 71 304 54017 51247 63 304 55 308 74 300 78 298 51247 48765 76 304 74 307 76 297 76 297 48765 46542 80 304 79 302 72 301 80 301 46542 44532 85 305 79 308 86 306 92 303 44532 42702 91 310 98 305 99 304 106 301 42702 41027 110 308 104 301 110 302 117 300 41027 39488 110 307 109 305 113 307 123 300 39488 38061 110 316 121 312 124 309 125 297 38061 36719 125 324 134 315 126 305 124 295 36719 35419 134 324 139 316 125 302 122 293 35419 34089 133 320 138 315 125 300 121 294 34089 32702 132 318 134 311 126 299 120 297 32702 31261 129 318 131 309 124 301 120 299 31261 29754 125 318 129 308 121 306 120 302 29754 28169 121 316 127 312 120 308 118 303 28169 26508 110 314 114 314 120 308 114 302 26508 24767 100 315 100 308 109 306 110 301 24767 22948 95 315 92 301 96 303 105 299 22948 21055 92 316 87 303 90 300 98 297 21055 19087 91 316 83 306 79 299 95 297 19087 17039 83 311 83 309 75 300 84 296 17039 14953 59 305 71 306 76 299 74 295 14953 12946 44 304 60 294 74 298 68 291 12946 11119 38 305 46 293 57 290 67 285 11119 9495 36 300 39 297 47 272 67 280 9495 8068 37 304 43 291 39 272 58 266 8068 6822 41 308 37 285 34 264 44 247 6822 5728 38 309 28 289 22 257 28 232 5728 4763 30 316 25 308 13 263 18 215 4763 3916 15 293 15 303 10 253 12 195 3916 3171 8*264 8*241 12 214 12 174 3171 2507 7*265 7*232 12*181 16 154 2507 1924 7 268 6 232 10*150 19 136 1924 1440 6 272 6 232 9 145 19 120 1440 1069 6 273 5 231 9 141 17*104 1069 814 6 275 5 231 8 139 15*101 814 660 5 274 5 230 7 137 13 101 660 571 5 274 4 230 6 136 9 100 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography