DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 48.8 - - 51.9 - - 40.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -25 - - 42 - - -15 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1174 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 556 - - 556 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 572 - - 1769 - - 573 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 830 - - 751 - - 3964 - - 2103 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 159 - - 16 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 14 - - 6 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 221 - - 286 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1199 - - -1626 - - -3220 - - -1094 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1771 - - 3395 - - 3794 - - 1667 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15173 - - -12790 - - -12421 - - -10323 ODpotential blCL - - - 15745 - - 14559 - - 12994 - - 10896 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 64 - - 66 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 48.8 - - 51.9 - - 40.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 36.0 - - 37.4 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.2 - - 48.8 - - 53.1 - - 42.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.7 - - 34.8 - - 36.2 - - 35.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -25 - - 42 - - -15 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1174 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96330 30 250 29 247 31 245 34 266 96330 89206 19 252 24 233 31 239 23 249 89206 83723 11 243 27 224 28 237 22 239 83723 79143 10 257 27 227 29 245 29 248 79143 75155 22 260 26 234 29 245 28 253 75155 71617 35 254 26 237 28 245 28 249 71617 68404 24 245 30 245 32 247 25 239 68404 65451 27 274 35 245 31 264 25 268 65451 62734 36 251 34 250 39 260 34 255 62734 60115 35 222 41 240 35 247 37 262 60115 57390 30 227 36 279 44 265 44 265 57390 54561 41 268 42 276 56 259 61 262 54561 51837 46 276 58 263 53 258 65 255 51837 49351 48 279 58 261 57 270 70 262 49351 47113 66 282 66 271 73 273 87 262 47113 45096 82 272 86 266 93 261 89 251 45096 43249 90 268 84 256 82 252 79 255 43249 41539 91 259 83 255 83 260 97 276 41539 39977 92 255 92 262 109 268 119 271 39977 38541 95 256 106 260 120 265 119 266 38541 37193 92 252 105 256 113 264 116 270 37193 35888 91 254 103 253 108 262 116 273 35888 34558 93 263 102 255 111 262 113 270 34558 33168 92 264 101 260 112 261 112 267 33168 31721 92 264 99 261 112 261 111 265 31721 30201 92 267 95 261 112 262 108 260 30201 28599 85 268 96 265 111 263 105 255 28599 26913 80 269 89 267 110 267 105 257 26913 25143 76 269 76 265 105 272 103 264 25143 23294 74 267 65 258 88 271 96 264 23294 21373 72 262 68 252 80 264 84 266 21373 19385 69 259 69 255 72 263 70 257 19385 17316 56 253 64 257 66 254 68 263 17316 15208 47 240 57 252 64 254 56 265 15208 13177 41 231 50 245 51 257 46 266 13177 11335 42 228 40 246 30 260 43 296 11335 9703 41 228 38 247 27 302 25 281 9703 8258 40 226 37 241 28 300 22 293 8258 6977 34 225 28 235 29 297 18 309 6977 5844 27 235 19 255 23 285 22 324 5844 4847 31 247 24 277 18 293 23 337 4847 3978 42 244 31 272 15 285 23 358 3978 3220 48 233 30 261 15 285 28 012 3220 2547 49 222 26 245 15 286 28 010 2547 1954 43 210 21*235 14 287 26 003 1954 1460 35 200 17*225 13 288 24 359 1460 1081 27 192 15 221 12 288 21 356 1081 820 20 189 14 220 11 287 17 353 820 662 18*188 12 219 9*286 14*352 662 572 11*186 10 218 6*286 8*350 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography