DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 59.8 - - 64.6 - - 62.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 385 - - 247 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2136 - - 3497 - - 3249 - - 138 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1775 - - 2957 - - 2611 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2731 - - 4092 - - 3844 - - 733 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 894 - - 602 - - 930 - - 3107 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 448 - - 378 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 24 - - 12 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 3 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 085 - - 148 - - 163 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 2 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4078 - - -3668 - - -3789 - - -5132 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6809 - - 7761 - - 7633 - - 5865 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10553 - - -8803 - - -8080 - - -10257 ODpotential blCL - - - 13284 - - 12895 - - 11924 - - 10990 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 61 - - 51 - - 49 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.0 - - 59.8 - - 64.6 - - 62.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.6 - - 28.1 - - 33.4 - - 38.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.7 - - 57.8 - - 63.1 - - 63.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.5 - - 26.9 - - 32.3 - - 38.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 236 - - 385 - - 247 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2136 - - 3497 - - 3249 - - 138 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97267 22 267 32 226 37 250 41 254 97267 89943 48 269 37 268 38 268 35 272 89943 84314 41 260 37 257 32 256 33 262 84314 79625 27 252 33 239 37 248 34 258 79625 75585 21 250 26 251 32 256 27 271 75585 72022 26 270 23 270 24 269 17 269 72022 68773 23 275 21 274 23 265 17 290 68773 65785 24 290 21 281 23 261 25 294 65785 63038 31 289 28 294 26 284 32 295 63038 60393 38 295 37 285 32 289 34 296 60393 57622 43 295 34 298 34 288 41 294 57622 54732 47 295 47 301 41 292 48 291 54732 51967 55 295 52 293 47 297 55 293 51967 49470 59 298 54 296 54 297 64 297 49470 47222 63 303 59 300 61 299 70 297 47222 45178 70 306 65 301 67 301 69 295 45178 43314 78 303 70 301 72 302 65 297 43314 41619 78 302 74 302 73 303 65 299 41619 40068 75 302 72 304 71 304 67 303 40068 38631 71 308 66 312 65 308 68 305 38631 37286 77 313 64 320 66 316 66 310 37286 35988 78 313 66 322 69 321 65 315 35988 34666 72 317 68 318 68 323 65 317 34666 33286 72 321 67 317 66 321 64 317 33286 31851 74 319 68 315 65 316 61 317 31851 30347 68 316 67 315 63 314 59 319 30347 28762 62 317 64 315 59 316 57 322 28762 27095 61 317 61 315 55 319 55 322 27095 25346 62 318 58 315 50 319 52 323 25346 23517 57 318 55 315 47 319 47 324 23517 21611 55 314 52 313 45 317 45 325 21611 19622 55 312 49 313 45 316 42 323 19622 17547 53 313 45 312 42 316 39 317 17547 15436 52 311 41 307 40 308 38 305 15436 13408 51 308 39 302 42 304 39 305 13408 11560 46 312 37 303 31 302 32 298 11560 9915 42 308 31 300 28 288 32 281 9915 8455 39 300 29 300 33 281 30 282 8455 7158 32 296 26 299 30 280 25 273 7158 6009 20 284 21 290 22 285 21 254 6009 4996 14 276 14*282 14 280 18 237 4996 4105 6 275 2*213 5*193 15 224 4105 3322 4*027 3 159 6*174 11 186 3322 2624 8*078 4 148 6 168 11 161 2624 2009 8 084 4 144 6 164 11 156 2009 1496 8 086 4 140 6 161 10 154 1496 1102 8 087 4 137 6 158 10 152 1102 832 8 088 4 135 6 157 9*150 832 667 7 088 4 135 6 156 8*149 667 573 6 089 4 133 5 156 6 147 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography