DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.3 - - 72.1 - - 69.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 155 - - 67 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2484 - - 1744 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1853 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3079 - - 2339 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 799 - - 1613 - - 2156 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 297 - - 202 - - 8 W* B/S - - - - - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 103 - - 074 - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4300 - - -4366 - - -5354 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7380 - - 6706 - - 5930 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -12230 - - -11974 - - -12706 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 15309 - - 14313 - - 13281 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 100 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 30 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.3 - - 72.1 - - 69.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.4 - - 45.1 - - 46.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 71.4 - - 71.8 - - 71.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.6 - - 44.4 - - 45.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 155 - - 67 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2484 - - 1744 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 92 - - 99 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98561 2 117 7 231 10 291 98561 91135 3 109 0 282 5 010 91135 85396 4 151 1 090 4 059 85396 80658 5 090 2 220 2 022 80658 76584 7 073 3 209 4 011 76584 72984 7 095 3 118 1 337 72984 69731 2 142 5 070 2 082 69731 66750 1 212 2 141 4 046 66750 63993 3 069 5 138 1 294 63993 61327 7 030 4 092 3 285 61327 58554 7 327 5 351 6 291 58554 55689 8 284 8 336 4 308 55689 52967 12 282 12 317 8 325 52967 50517 16 273 18 302 17 325 50517 48304 20 292 24 282 20 295 48304 46287 29 289 23 276 15 272 46287 44456 37 259 22 278 16 278 44456 42795 37 260 26 269 19 293 42795 41258 29 264 25 270 21 316 41258 39806 24 273 19 282 23 319 39806 38426 20 266 18 290 23 330 38426 37081 23 257 21 288 23 340 37081 35703 29 263 23 293 22 343 35703 34264 28 274 20 299 21 332 34264 32769 22 280 12 295 16 307 32769 31206 14 286 12 296 11 287 31206 29562 18 301 14 288 11 289 29562 27834 24 293 18 286 11 310 27834 26021 24 287 16 297 12 297 26021 24127 22 289 12 310 17 294 24127 22156 15 295 9 296 18 302 22156 20103 12 296 10 283 17 311 20103 17966 15 300 10 300 17 306 17966 15792 16 309 14 311 18 297 15792 13700 18 328 17 322 17 290 13700 11799 18 338 17 338 13 302 11799 10109 14 330 12 346 12 333 10109 8611 8 322 9 343 14 345 8611 7281 6 316 9 333 7 355 7281 6107 4 342 5 317 2 323 6107 5075 3 039 2 139 1 208 5075 4171 4 084 5 123 2 161 4171 3375 5*100 6 108 4 143 3375 2665 5*102 6*099 5 117 2665 2038 5 103 6*089 6 092 2038 1514 5 103 4 073 7 071 1514 1113 5 103 4 070 8 058 1113 837 4 103 4 067 8 053 837 669 4 103 3 065 7*052 669 574 4 103 3 063 4*052 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography