DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.2 - - 39.9 - - 45.2 - - 43.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 91 - - 68 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1947 - - 2585 - - 3503 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 1599 - - 2034 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2542 - - 3180 - - 4098 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 252 - - 297 - - 750 - - 4317 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 213 - - 255 - - 261 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 20 - - 19 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 007 - - 355 - - 341 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - 4 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 760 - - 1367 - - 1351 - - -1943 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1782 - - 1814 - - 2747 - - 2516 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 577 - - 972 - - 692 - - -3015 ODpotential blCL - - - 1965 - - 2208 - - 3406 - - 3588 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.2 - - 39.9 - - 45.2 - - 43.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.9 - - 34.5 - - 35.7 - - 35.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.0 - - 39.6 - - 45.0 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.0 - - 33.4 - - 34.4 - - 34.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 71 - - 91 - - 68 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1947 - - 2585 - - 3503 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96345 36 257 33 250 41 245 48 259 96345 89094 33 256 32 261 36 265 35 263 89094 83524 28 255 37 263 39 277 36 275 83524 78924 25 274 27 258 35 260 35 265 78924 74967 28 280 21 274 27 266 31 270 74967 71490 34 269 33 280 25 272 28 280 71490 68356 39 254 40 274 36 288 33 294 68356 65495 34 263 40 266 45 275 38 289 65495 62852 36 269 35 264 39 266 42 281 62852 60279 39 275 43 282 38 270 47 276 60279 57585 51 277 53 278 50 277 58 276 57585 54790 62 273 63 272 67 278 67 275 54790 52116 70 271 70 270 75 277 71 275 52116 49691 72 269 75 270 77 272 76 272 49691 47488 70 267 76 269 77 269 76 269 47488 45464 66 267 75 268 77 270 77 272 45464 43600 66 275 73 272 81 273 78 277 43600 41888 71 281 78 278 87 278 85 282 41888 40316 82 281 86 278 94 278 96 284 40316 38860 88 281 87 276 92 276 103 284 38860 37493 88 283 86 274 91 276 102 283 37493 36168 87 283 86 272 89 277 98 283 36168 34815 85 282 85 273 86 277 96 284 34815 33407 85 278 84 274 85 277 97 284 33407 31943 86 272 83 271 85 275 95 282 31943 30410 81 268 83 269 84 273 91 282 30410 28795 73 266 81 270 82 272 88 280 28795 27100 70 266 77 271 79 272 84 278 27100 25321 72 266 74 266 75 271 79 277 25321 23462 70 267 74 264 72 269 74 279 23462 21526 65 271 75 267 74 267 70 282 21526 19507 61 273 69 271 76 267 66 282 19507 17398 57 273 62 273 68 281 62 280 17398 15246 52 262 61 281 62 298 59 291 15246 13177 40 271 48 292 54 304 58 300 13177 11303 43 313 35 308 46 316 53 313 11303 9656 40 319 33 321 39 328 48 326 9656 8214 35 319 33 327 33 325 41 332 8214 6947 27 335 33 334 35 326 36 333 6947 5831 26 341 29 338 38 339 35 334 5831 4852 22 345 27 332 29*342 33 338 4852 3994 16 358 27 346 22*340 31 340 3994 3237 22*011 23*353 21 340 27 341 3237 2561 22*008 23*353 20 341 25 341 2561 1963 21 007 22 354 19 342 22 341 1963 1466 21 007 21 355 18 343 20 341 1466 1084 20 007 20 355 17 343 17 341 1084 822 18 007 19 356 16 343 14 340 822 663 16 007 17 356 15 343 11*340 663 572 13 007 13 355 12 343 7*339 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography