DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -7.5 - - 4.5 - - 10.0 - - 6.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 92 - - 48 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 968 - - 2456 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 552 - - 553 - - 553 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 569 - - 1563 - - 3051 - - 570 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 267 - - 760 - - 455 - - 1128 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 180 - - 199 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 13 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 301 - - 286 - - 270 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1101 - - -568 - - 1012 - - -982 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1670 - - 2131 - - 2039 - - 1552 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15188 - - -14218 - - 657 - - -14551 ODpotential blCL - - - 15757 - - 15781 - - 2394 - - 15121 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 81 - - 101 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -7.5 - - 4.5 - - 10.0 - - 6.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -12.1 - - -2.2 - - 3.7 - - 2.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -6.3 - - 4.1 - - 9.9 - - 10.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -11.8 - - -3.0 - - 2.9 - - 4.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -8 - - 92 - - 48 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 968 - - 2456 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 4 - - 24 - - 104 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95266 141 240 131 235 138 242 148 242 95266 88159 110 243 104 244 115 245 116 246 88159 82769 81 246 85 252 91 251 91 254 82769 78307 65 252 69 255 76 254 75 259 78307 74435 66 254 58 257 65 253 62 257 74435 70986 65 250 51 257 57 256 54 253 70986 67832 57 247 50 259 50 258 54 257 67832 64910 59 249 50 254 52 262 55 257 64910 62188 63 242 52 255 60 260 58 256 62188 59536 62 248 58 254 61 251 55 257 59536 56747 73 249 61 253 60 251 63 263 56747 53833 77 249 65 250 67 258 73 259 53833 51027 79 249 73 254 77 256 76 258 51027 48479 80 250 83 253 77 253 80 260 48479 46180 89 253 85 252 77 256 83 260 46180 44084 97 251 88 253 82 254 81 262 44084 42161 92 251 92 248 78 254 82 265 42161 40395 90 252 85 244 79 263 81 264 40395 38770 90 254 82 253 86 264 73 265 38770 37264 92 257 88 257 86 259 66 276 37264 35867 95 259 91 258 76 259 70 283 35867 34539 96 258 85 260 71 264 62 284 34539 33206 89 257 81 261 65 272 49 287 33206 31834 79 258 73 268 61 279 49 301 31834 30418 73 262 68 274 52 288 53 306 30418 28944 72 265 58 278 48 307 52 310 28944 27401 68 269 40 298 55 311 50 312 27401 25784 55 277 45 330 60 303 53 309 25784 24091 48 293 52 334 55 298 57 305 24091 22326 46 303 50 335 50 295 57 304 22326 20489 46 306 41 333 46 295 54 306 20489 18574 50 306 37 324 44 294 51 306 18574 16578 52 304 38 315 46 297 50 306 16578 14541 53 302 41 309 46 301 45 307 14541 12579 52 304 42 304 44 301 42 306 12579 10797 48 301 42 303 40 300 41 303 10797 9220 45 299 39 302 35 301 40 301 9220 7825 40 301 40 300 33 299 37 299 7825 6597 38 304 40 299 32 299 36 296 6597 5520 36 307 36 298 33 301 36 292 5520 4580 34 309 34 302 31 299 34 290 4580 3763 32 314 33 303 27*288 30 280 3763 3050 33 318 29 300 19*272 26 257 3050 2419 34 319 23 301 18 270 23 245 2419 1863 31 323 19*298 17 270 21 238 1863 1400 29 326 14*287 16 270 19 229 1400 1045 27 323 14 286 15 269 17 218 1045 801 18 310 13 285 14 269 14 209 801 654 16*309 13 285 13 269 12*203 654 569 8*301 11 285 10 268 8*199 569 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography