DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.6 - - 57.1 - - 57.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - -2 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 73 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 574 - - 668 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 613 - - 671 - - 394 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 21 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 146 - - 148 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1 - - 95 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 573 - - 573 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -59 - - -4589 - - -6433 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 633 - - 5257 - - 7007 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 70 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 51.6 - - 57.1 - - 57.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 51.6 - - 56.7 - - 57.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 51.8 - - 57.5 - - 59.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 51.6 - - 56.9 - - 58.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 9 - - -2 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 16 - - 73 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 101 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95574 55 260 63 262 60 259 95574 88565 37 268 46 264 47 269 88565 83168 33 273 32 267 37 276 83168 78683 27 277 31 283 29 291 78683 74807 27 282 30 293 26 303 74807 71386 24 298 26 303 24 305 71386 68293 27 292 24 306 29 304 68293 65456 30 276 38 292 42 288 65456 62847 39 288 44 295 44 287 62847 60330 50 290 54 298 51 302 60330 57702 62 295 67 302 69 299 57702 54963 78 291 78 296 83 293 54963 52322 84 284 84 290 92 288 52322 49919 84 281 86 286 96 288 49919 47750 83 286 85 285 96 290 47750 45782 84 290 83 285 92 290 45782 43986 85 291 82 286 87 290 43986 42328 83 289 83 287 89 295 42328 40784 85 283 88 285 94 296 40784 39339 86 282 86 274 93 295 39339 37972 82 282 85 270 88 291 37972 36644 79 279 87 276 91 285 36644 35285 81 277 85 278 95 284 35285 33871 83 280 84 280 92 284 33871 32403 82 279 83 284 81 289 32403 30868 81 277 80 287 69 303 30868 29259 76 275 76 286 71 313 29259 27570 70 276 73 284 64 312 27570 25799 62 279 70 286 59 306 25799 23942 56 279 64 286 57 294 23942 22008 51 282 54 284 60 289 22008 19992 47 285 49 285 54 281 19992 17889 46 287 47 284 50 280 17889 15738 43 286 46 280 48 280 15738 13659 37 283 44 277 43 284 13659 11768 29 278 39 275 37 287 11768 10090 23 274 34 275 34 286 10090 8605 22 265 35 276 30 281 8605 7287 25 257 34 268 27 276 7287 6119 22 239 26 249 26 267 6119 5086 22 235 22 235 23 251 5086 4177 20 223 22 227 23 241 4177 3374 19 208 23 218 24 235 3374 2658 20 192 22 211 27 226 2658 2028 21 176 21 196 29 215 2028 1505 20 163 19 172 27 198 1505 1107 16 154 16 162 23 187 1107 833 12 148 12*152 17 176 833 668 10*146 10*149 14*172 668 573 8*146 7 147 6*164 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography