DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.6 - - 25.4 - - 28.9 - - 24.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 433 - - 282 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2455 - - 3243 - - 3513 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1952 - - 2789 - - 2848 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3050 - - 3838 - - 4108 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 446 - - 460 - - 818 - - 3942 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 323 - - 450 - - 401 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 26 - - 28 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 318 - - 316 - - 316 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 9 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -780 - - -1326 - - -2174 - - -4471 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3830 - - 5164 - - 6282 - - 5043 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8429 - - -9831 - - -9885 - - -11574 ODpotential blCL - - - 11479 - - 13669 - - 13993 - - 12146 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 78 - - 73 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.6 - - 25.4 - - 28.9 - - 24.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.2 - - 4.9 - - 3.5 - - 5.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.9 - - 23.8 - - 27.9 - - 25.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.8 - - 4.4 - - 3.2 - - 4.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 433 - - 282 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2455 - - 3243 - - 3513 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 36 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96721 25 081 21 092 17 095 15 079 96721 89568 24 094 21 102 13 107 15 086 89568 83992 18 094 19 109 7 126 9 073 83992 79339 16 082 9 098 8 091 5 039 79339 75317 12 080 3 087 7 030 7 021 75317 71753 12 035 4 062 5 306 5 330 71753 68517 13 336 8 358 4 313 10 351 68517 65536 10 317 16 320 17 313 20 303 65536 62770 20 304 19 311 20 297 21 285 62770 60064 26 296 22 306 23 298 29 291 60064 57215 27 293 26 302 29 293 32 295 57215 54244 36 288 35 297 36 289 39 302 54244 51401 41 288 43 292 43 293 52 301 51401 48842 46 293 51 294 52 296 58 298 48842 46543 54 293 57 293 56 297 59 299 46543 44453 56 296 61 295 59 302 62 303 44453 42535 58 303 65 297 64 305 70 306 42535 40764 67 304 68 299 70 306 76 307 40764 39122 71 302 71 300 76 305 80 308 39122 37592 71 302 74 301 82 304 84 308 37592 36162 71 302 76 301 84 304 87 308 36162 34786 71 301 74 303 84 305 88 307 34786 33395 68 302 77 307 82 306 86 308 33395 31961 65 310 78 308 82 309 84 313 31961 30490 64 314 76 313 88 310 91 317 30490 28974 65 316 75 317 83 308 94 315 28974 27397 57 318 74 320 76 312 86 315 27397 25755 42 328 62 318 77 316 80 319 25755 24048 27 356 43 318 77 316 75 321 24048 22275 28 010 38 322 64 316 66 322 22275 20443 30 355 36 323 48 310 49 327 20443 18546 36 346 36 327 38 306 34 338 18546 16571 41 339 37 331 40 312 32 343 16571 14554 45 332 37 333 41 314 36 337 14554 12610 39 329 35 332 40 317 42 333 12610 10847 37 330 34 331 39 322 44 334 10847 9284 38 329 34 329 38 326 44 335 9284 7902 39 328 35 329 39 328 42 335 7902 6681 40 329 36 330 39 331 41 336 6681 5605 39 332 35 332 37 331 40 333 5605 4662 36 333 32*328 29*318 36 322 4662 3840 32 329 27*318 29*317 33 319 3840 3117 28*321 27 317 29 317 32 321 3117 2470 28*319 27 317 29 317 32 323 2470 1900 27 318 27 316 28 316 30 324 1900 1424 27 318 26 316 28 316 28 324 1424 1060 26 318 25 316 27 316 25 325 1060 809 24 317 24 315 26 316 21 324 809 657 22 317 22 316 23 316 18*324 657 571 17 317 18 315 18 316 12*324 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography