DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 71.2 - - 72.7 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 231 - - 99 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 302 - - 3646 - - 3661 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 2867 - - 2386 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 897 - - 4241 - - 4256 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 403 - - 947 - - 1036 - - 166 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 123 - - 381 - - 289 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 17 - - 21 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 155 - - 137 - - 112 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2993 - - -4355 - - -4760 - - -5266 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3890 - - 8597 - - 9016 - - 5840 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11028 - - -10839 - - -10804 - - -13374 ODpotential blCL - - - 11925 - - 15080 - - 15060 - - 13948 blCL maxRH - - - 63 - - 62 - - 59 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.2 - - 71.2 - - 72.7 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 44.8 - - 35.9 - - 35.6 - - 39.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.6 - - 69.9 - - 71.9 - - 66.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 44.6 - - 35.5 - - 35.3 - - 39.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 93 - - 231 - - 99 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 302 - - 3646 - - 3661 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97403 2 263 12 227 13 275 14 301 97403 90154 7 283 7 278 2 229 7 239 90154 84593 10 264 9 275 4 243 4 252 84593 79988 7 286 6 201 15 237 9 287 79988 76026 2 300 4 229 9 253 7 286 76026 72515 4 310 7 284 9 307 10 320 72515 69338 7 344 4 280 5 307 8 319 69338 66427 13 319 9 310 9 334 11 339 66427 63741 14 299 11 292 12 293 14 321 63741 61157 15 309 10 303 13 272 18 300 61157 58469 21 321 14 314 12 290 16 283 58469 55672 27 309 20 317 15 311 14 295 55672 52990 29 297 27 309 23 314 18 311 52990 50562 29 298 32 302 31 310 28 315 50562 48369 30 301 33 303 35 307 34 310 48369 46362 31 303 35 307 34 304 36 304 46362 44508 30 304 37 308 35 304 35 304 44508 42782 29 305 39 307 37 306 33 310 42782 41168 28 310 39 308 38 306 33 314 41168 39652 32 315 39 310 39 306 34 313 39652 38220 39 315 41 311 38 308 32 309 38220 36834 44 311 43 310 38 310 32 307 36834 35426 44 306 46 309 39 314 33 306 35426 33969 41 307 46 306 43 316 35 308 33969 32467 32 313 38 304 45 312 38 309 32467 30909 21 325 27 311 36 307 34 306 30909 29286 17 341 21 312 27 305 27 297 29286 27587 14 329 19 309 24 303 21 304 27587 25804 7 333 16 304 22 302 19 306 25804 23938 8 317 12 319 18 301 16 301 23938 21994 13 301 15 323 12 316 8 307 21994 19969 15 310 13 320 12 327 7 325 19969 17857 7 331 7 321 10 325 11 307 17857 15700 3 007 7 324 7 316 12 293 15700 13618 8 333 11 340 9 324 10 290 13618 11726 10 315 10 331 8 325 7 302 11726 10048 8 297 8 316 7 318 5 338 10048 8562 6 284 3 300 5 297 5 343 8562 7245 2 275 2 257 3 279 3 332 7245 6079 3 115 3 200 2 256 2 328 6079 5053 4 089 4*175 1*181 2 083 5053 4155 2 129 4*159 2*140 4 090 4155 3363 4 164 4 157 2 138 4 096 3363 2656 5 182 4 156 2 136 5 102 2656 2031 6 187 4 154 3 136 6 107 2031 1510 8 186 4 153 3 136 6 111 1510 1110 7*178 4 152 3 138 7 112 1110 835 5*173 4 150 3 136 7 114 835 669 5 172 4 151 3 136 6*112 669 573 4 173 4 152 3 138 5*112 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography