DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.1 - - 76.9 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - 33 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3505 - - 1434 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2584 - - 558 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4100 - - 2029 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1324 - - 3445 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 333 - - 172 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 21 - - 10 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 207 - - 188 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 586 - - -464 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3514 - - 2493 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 102 - - -1670 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 3998 - - 3699 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 91 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1510 - - 2020 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.1 - - 76.9 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.5 - - 67.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.4 - - 76.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.9 - - 66.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - 33 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3505 - - 1434 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 84 - - 65 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96792 40 277 41 274 96792 89473 36 277 39 278 89473 83940 31 274 35 285 83940 79410 24 273 27 274 79410 75525 18 280 13 255 75525 72060 20 268 8 295 72060 68884 21 238 21 267 68884 65951 18 232 22 250 65951 63227 20 262 25 247 63227 60579 27 256 24 255 60579 57799 39 259 33 268 57799 54908 51 251 48 253 54908 52159 50 243 51 249 52159 49703 46 249 50 256 49703 47524 48 258 56 263 47524 45572 56 270 62 262 45572 43801 65 270 63 258 43801 42171 68 266 60 257 42171 40649 62 263 59 258 40649 39216 54 261 60 257 39216 37858 51 263 62 257 37858 36537 51 264 62 256 36537 35185 53 264 59 256 35185 33775 55 264 58 257 33775 32310 55 263 58 257 32310 30775 51 261 55 257 30775 29160 47 256 50 254 29160 27465 46 255 48 253 27465 25692 41 259 45 255 25692 23844 35 255 32 258 23844 21924 34 252 28 259 21924 19925 33 245 27 252 19925 17838 31 241 27 241 17838 15710 33 237 36 235 15710 13665 33 234 33 230 13665 11804 27 234 27 229 11804 10143 24 233 25 235 10143 8661 21 234 24 249 8661 7341 17 233 23 255 7341 6169 18 233 22 236 6169 5134 21 216 22 217 5134 4224 22*210 22 207 4224 3419 22*208 21 203 3419 2699 22 207 20 200 2699 2062 21 207 17*198 2062 1531 21 206 14*194 1531 1123 20 206 11 188 1123 842 19 206 9 185 842 672 18 206 9 184 672 575 14 206 7 183 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography