DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 63.3 - - 60.8 - - 44.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - -8 - - -47 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1681 - - 1435 - - 16 - - 1649 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2276 - - 2030 - - 574 - - 2244 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 882 - - 1847 - - 2378 - - 1066 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 186 - - 80 - - 17 - - 179 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 38 - - 39 - - 20 - - 35 BL Wind Direction - - - 190 - - 193 - - 193 - - 278 Direction Wind Shear - - - 25 - - 24 - - 0 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 6 - - 2 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 58 - - -31 - - -174 - - 1244 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2218 - - 2061 - - 748 - - 1000 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6593 - - -804 - - -931 - - 593 ODpotential blCL - - - 8869 - - 2834 - - 1505 - - 1651 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 780 - - 560 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 61.7 - - 63.3 - - 60.8 - - 44.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.5 - - 55.6 - - 58.6 - - 42.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 61.7 - - 63.7 - - 61.9 - - 44.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.2 - - 55.4 - - 58.4 - - 41.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 52 - - -8 - - -47 - - 43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1681 - - 1435 - - 16 - - 1649 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 94 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96497 25 246 24 267 28 269 27 254 96497 89306 13 252 17 257 18 249 15 272 89306 83767 7 264 13 238 13 236 16 270 83767 79148 7 252 11 247 8 236 15 265 79148 75147 6 277 8 249 6 243 12 280 75147 71603 10 321 6 264 5 257 9 288 71603 68391 12 315 8 294 5 248 7 311 68391 65429 7 290 8 282 4 205 8 310 65429 62666 9 211 9 224 6 227 8 295 62666 59986 11 239 10 212 10 266 10 295 59986 57186 17 272 11 276 14 280 12 314 57186 54255 27 272 25 259 30 268 22 285 54255 51431 42 255 37 248 40 252 32 256 51431 48875 59 249 50 245 48 241 46 242 48875 46587 58 244 61 239 61 239 49 239 46587 44513 59 246 68 236 65 236 54 233 44513 42617 69 243 71 236 65 228 57 229 42617 40880 75 240 69 235 60 220 59 227 40880 39292 77 239 66 232 58 225 82 221 39292 37840 74 235 62 230 74 233 80 213 37840 36492 65 229 62 230 75 232 70 221 36492 35197 59 228 64 230 75 232 78 219 35197 33884 63 233 65 228 73 230 83 206 33884 32519 62 237 63 226 72 230 83 194 32519 31106 59 237 59 228 71 228 78 190 31106 29627 58 236 57 233 70 227 76 192 29627 28071 54 233 58 238 70 225 79 197 28071 26439 46 232 60 235 69 223 84 208 26439 24730 40 235 61 231 67 220 85 217 24730 22945 48 236 63 228 66 216 81 220 22945 21085 55 234 62 222 65 211 79 220 21085 19145 57 229 62 220 66 208 79 223 19145 17120 57 221 64 221 66 206 74 227 17120 15051 54 217 64 213 67 204 72 223 15051 13056 50 215 65 205 68 201 76 219 13056 11242 48 214 70 207 66 204 70 213 11242 9630 49 215 66 212 62 212 59 205 9630 8199 51 218 58 223 63 221 49 203 8199 6931 54 219 59 229 60 222 38 217 6931 5810 57 217 60 225 59 216 34 235 5810 4821 61 214 60 218 59 207 33 253 4821 3958 63 208 57 209 57 202 36 273 3958 3206 59 201 53 201 54 199 40 280 3206 2539 52*195 51*198 50 197 41*280 2539 1950 47*193 46*195 48 197 40*279 1950 1459 42 191 43 194 42 195 38 279 1459 1081 38 190 39 193 38 194 35 278 1081 821 34 189 35 192 32 193 32 278 821 662 29 188 30 191 28*193 28 277 662 572 22 188 23 191 20*193 21 277 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography