DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 73.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 373 - - 236 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5479 - - 5577 - - 150 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4498 - - 4365 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6074 - - 6172 - - 745 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 700 - - 821 - - 5480 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 518 - - 449 - - 35 W* B/S - - - - - - 30 - - 15 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 143 - - 180 - - 146 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2361 - - -3625 - - -7586 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8436 - - 9797 - - 8331 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10635 - - -11710 - - -16097 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16709 - - 17882 - - 16842 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 47 - - 46 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.7 - - 73.4 - - 70.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 35.6 - - 32.3 - - 36.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.7 - - 71.9 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 34.4 - - 31.2 - - 35.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 373 - - 236 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5479 - - 5577 - - 150 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98195 9 166 9 213 6 290 98195 90732 3 190 1 314 2 264 90732 84979 6 242 5 224 2 022 84979 80209 3 168 7 238 4 002 80209 76101 3 111 6 243 4 326 76101 72476 2 165 9 225 8 278 72476 69203 3 035 9 189 11 249 69203 66200 9 352 3 333 7 261 66200 63418 13 317 11 332 11 299 63418 60720 16 293 17 305 16 311 60720 57903 21 314 23 304 20 308 57903 54981 27 313 30 305 24 313 54981 52203 35 308 35 304 35 305 52203 49721 41 303 38 307 41 310 49721 47511 43 303 47 307 43 305 47511 45525 47 310 49 299 41 296 45525 43733 53 311 46 301 37 301 43733 42096 57 308 46 306 39 305 42096 40572 53 306 48 311 37 309 40572 39141 49 308 50 312 34 316 39141 37788 49 310 48 308 34 318 37788 36477 50 312 45 310 36 315 36477 35137 50 314 47 317 34 311 35137 33740 47 320 48 324 30 316 33740 32285 40 331 48 321 28 320 32285 30760 40 335 48 315 25 321 30760 29150 43 330 47 313 26 313 29150 27458 45 326 45 315 30 305 27458 25683 44 326 46 316 33 305 25683 23830 47 326 43 319 36 317 23830 21901 50 325 39 318 40 321 21901 19890 51 325 36 316 43 315 19890 17786 49 331 34 320 40 311 17786 15635 47 331 33 326 34 310 15635 13559 41 324 29 329 26 309 13559 11672 32 329 24 324 23 312 11672 9997 24 339 17 312 21 316 9997 8512 19 355 10 307 16 298 8512 7202 12*007 4*245 11 240 7202 6051 1*040 5*189 12 199 6051 5040 2 145 6 184 11 182 5040 4149 3 147 6 182 11 173 4149 3361 3 148 6 180 11 166 3361 2655 4 147 6 177 11 161 2655 2031 4 145 6 176 12 156 2031 1510 4 144 6 174 11 152 1510 1111 4 143 6 174 11 150 1111 836 4 143 5 173 10*148 836 669 4 142 5 174 9*147 669 574 4 143 5 173 6 145 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography