DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1555z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.4 - - 83.8 - - 71.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 234 - - 77 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2639 - - 3694 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2135 - - 2209 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3234 - - 4289 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1718 - - 1787 - - 2595 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 345 - - 269 - - 10 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 12 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 127 - - 119 - - 133 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -5621 - - -5832 - - -5537 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 8855 - - 10121 - - 6112 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -9282 - - -9619 - - -11457 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12516 - - 13908 - - 12032 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 90 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.4 - - 83.8 - - 71.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 45.7 - - 41.5 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.9 - - 83.4 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 45.2 - - 41.0 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 234 - - 77 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2639 - - 3694 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 25 - - 60 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97861 40 251 39 266 40 265 97861 90555 33 257 31 267 21 284 90555 84906 25 255 29 258 19 286 84906 80225 17 262 20 257 15 277 80225 76189 15 247 18 260 19 279 76189 72622 12 209 19 249 19 266 72622 69406 7 212 12 239 10 256 69406 66456 15 275 12 272 8 320 66456 63723 27 265 23 269 21 298 63723 61094 31 246 30 256 28 271 61094 58378 29 238 31 243 29 248 58378 55571 25 239 29 236 28 233 55571 52886 22 237 28 227 27 228 52886 50455 19 233 27 218 28 224 50455 48261 22 233 26 218 28 225 48261 46256 25 234 27 220 28 227 46256 44409 26 234 26 223 27 221 44409 42694 25 236 24 229 23 216 42694 41087 19 244 22 230 22 219 41087 39571 19 239 16 227 25 216 39571 38140 22 212 14 234 20 219 38140 36773 28 184 20 219 14 212 36773 35396 27 158 21 188 11 191 35396 33963 15 182 12 154 9 126 33963 32475 16 199 3 152 3 169 32475 30918 23 187 5 207 5 173 30918 29280 31 171 11 214 6 179 29280 27564 27 151 18 189 7 189 27564 25767 19 072 22 177 12 180 25767 23893 24 058 13 108 11 163 23893 21950 22 064 25 044 16 049 21950 19938 18 064 20 046 29 027 19938 17844 16 050 18 044 23 032 17844 15709 16 047 20 037 22 031 15709 13650 13 044 19 034 25 020 13650 11771 9 063 13 037 25 016 11771 10100 9 081 11 065 17 022 10100 8618 7 092 10 071 15 039 8618 7300 9 125 17 098 19 069 7300 6130 15 127 21 110 14 095 6130 5098 18 125 16*117 12 127 5098 4192 19 127 13*120 14 134 4192 3393 14*130 13 120 16 137 3393 2679 10*128 13 120 19 138 2679 2047 9 127 13 119 22 137 2047 1521 9 127 13 119 23 136 1521 1116 9 127 12 119 22 135 1116 839 8 127 12 119 18 134 839 670 8 126 11 119 15*134 670 574 7 126 10 118 8*133 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography