DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 24.5 - - 30.5 - - 24.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 277 - - 145 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2046 - - 2533 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1756 - - 1834 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2641 - - 3128 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 582 - - 448 - - 442 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 333 - - 289 - - 7 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 291 - - 252 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2670 - - -4487 - - -4989 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5311 - - 7615 - - 5560 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -15474 - - -16550 - - -17504 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 18115 - - 19678 - - 18075 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 58 - - 61 - - 35 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 24.5 - - 30.5 - - 24.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 3.3 - - -0.8 - - 2.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 23.1 - - 29.8 - - 27.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 3.1 - - -1.0 - - 2.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 277 - - 145 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2046 - - 2533 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95885 22 319 19 345 15 344 95885 89050 17 005 20 356 16 358 89050 83676 15 060 7 003 16 342 83676 79138 12 036 8 343 17 320 79138 75178 6 336 13 306 18 319 75178 71657 15 314 18 286 16 283 71657 68436 16 288 17 293 15 272 68436 65438 16 288 23 298 15 278 65438 62642 18 313 17 300 17 303 62642 59924 23 324 25 301 29 301 59924 57084 30 321 30 291 31 286 57084 54144 32 332 28 299 31 285 54144 51345 51 330 34 316 36 301 51345 48821 58 320 52 317 43 303 48821 46539 62 326 58 317 46 301 46539 44450 69 327 66 318 66 304 44450 42530 73 324 73 314 76 302 42530 40752 74 323 74 311 80 301 40752 39099 74 323 73 312 78 300 39099 37563 76 325 73 315 72 302 37563 36137 78 326 77 317 70 306 36137 34781 80 326 81 317 70 307 34781 33423 79 328 78 315 66 306 33423 32035 76 333 71 317 64 306 32035 30620 82 337 65 319 63 303 30620 29158 83 337 62 319 62 302 29158 27624 80 337 64 320 64 302 27624 26015 78 339 70 319 67 303 26015 24330 76 339 70 319 66 304 24330 22566 75 337 67 321 62 306 22566 20727 73 341 65 326 56 304 20727 18809 69 346 61 329 46 310 18809 16810 60 347 60 336 43 315 16810 14767 54 338 52 339 40 317 14767 12794 50 335 40 333 39 314 12794 10999 47 335 37 321 38 312 10999 9409 44 335 33 318 32 311 9409 8005 41 334 30 320 27 305 8005 6766 37 334 27 318 22 289 6766 5675 30 336 23 315 20 271 5675 4716 22 341 17 306 19 260 4716 3875 15 341 13*280 20 251 3875 3139 9*315 10*254 20 236 3139 2485 7*294 10 252 17 221 2485 1910 7 292 10 252 15 211 1910 1431 7 291 9 251 14 205 1431 1064 7 290 9 251 12 200 1064 811 6 289 8 251 11 193 811 658 6 289 8 251 9*187 658 570 6 288 7 251 5*182 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography