DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 64.1 - - 71.3 - - 61.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 213 - - 100 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 123 - - 1684 - - 6054 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1419 - - 4150 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - 718 - - 2279 - - 6649 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 228 - - 2069 - - 2788 - - 119 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 77 - - 289 - - 348 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 13 - - 21 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 244 - - 240 - - 233 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 6 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2025 - - -3788 - - -2517 - - -6553 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2744 - - 6067 - - 9167 - - 7127 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6973 - - -5549 - - -4559 - - -10175 ODpotential blCL - - - 7691 - - 7828 - - 11208 - - 10749 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 54 - - 55 - - 32 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.0 - - 64.1 - - 71.3 - - 61.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.2 - - 39.6 - - 32.8 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 46.8 - - 62.8 - - 70.8 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 38.9 - - 31.9 - - 32.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 54 - - 213 - - 100 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 123 - - 1684 - - 6054 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96654 20 086 12 098 10 112 7 102 96654 89435 23 093 13 132 7 133 9 066 89435 83840 11 073 15 142 8 155 0 259 83840 79186 5 088 2 292 2 150 2 125 79186 75145 13 173 14 212 10 251 8 270 75145 71569 2 168 4 177 13 221 18 262 71569 68331 17 290 19 279 14 279 14 268 68331 65345 26 282 27 270 26 279 27 285 65345 62568 32 285 30 272 32 266 28 268 62568 59862 44 285 34 281 30 267 25 256 59862 57030 41 279 32 279 27 261 25 261 57030 54102 34 275 29 280 28 284 33 289 54102 51326 28 283 40 285 42 289 39 293 51326 48834 50 296 50 287 45 287 48 293 48834 46604 58 289 53 279 46 284 53 290 46604 44588 56 275 48 276 43 283 49 284 44588 42754 48 273 48 287 41 287 42 282 42754 41077 41 288 49 292 44 287 41 288 41077 39532 50 298 48 293 48 283 46 295 39532 38097 57 292 48 294 49 281 47 287 38097 36758 49 292 49 296 48 279 48 281 36758 35474 47 307 50 295 47 279 48 280 35474 34170 50 311 51 293 48 281 46 278 34170 32813 45 311 52 290 49 279 43 273 32813 31405 43 314 52 289 48 278 43 271 31405 29930 41 307 52 288 50 282 44 269 29930 28376 44 303 51 291 55 285 43 270 28376 26743 48 301 53 297 58 284 42 275 26743 25031 49 295 56 299 58 286 43 278 25031 23240 50 294 56 300 56 296 45 276 23240 21369 52 304 51 298 54 303 42 283 21369 19416 51 305 45 294 49 301 44 297 19416 17379 48 302 42 292 45 294 47 300 17379 15300 41 305 42 294 44 291 44 295 15300 13306 31 309 40 294 43 291 40 294 13306 11498 31 321 35 300 44 284 40 291 11498 9889 34 327 27 300 42 276 39 288 9889 8454 32 320 24 288 35 269 35 294 8454 7176 32 311 23 285 25*252 31 282 7176 6039 22 304 23 278 24*247 31 270 6039 5031 20 284 21 275 23 241 32 263 5031 4142 23 267 23 270 22 240 32 261 4142 3355 22 244 23 263 21 239 31 260 3355 2650 19 227 21*259 21 239 30 258 2650 2027 20 226 15*249 20 238 29 256 2027 1507 20 225 13 244 19 237 26 253 1507 1108 18 224 12 243 19 237 23 249 1108 834 12*219 12 242 18 237 19 243 834 668 8*216 11 242 16 237 15*240 668 573 7 215 10 242 14 236 7*233 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography