DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 77.0 - - 79.8 - - 70.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 257 - - 128 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 343 - - 3000 - - 5742 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 2438 - - 4099 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 938 - - 3595 - - 6337 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 513 - - 1861 - - 1391 - - 1820 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 140 - - 372 - - 368 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 10 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 325 - - 005 - - 336 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3469 - - -4071 - - -1785 - - -4685 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4407 - - 7666 - - 8123 - - 5260 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11440 - - -11720 - - -8921 - - -12667 ODpotential blCL - - - 12378 - - 15315 - - 15258 - - 13242 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 53 - - 62 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 77.0 - - 79.8 - - 70.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 46.5 - - 45.6 - - 46.3 - - 49.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.7 - - 75.3 - - 79.0 - - 72.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 46.3 - - 45.1 - - 45.8 - - 49.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 257 - - 128 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 343 - - 3000 - - 5742 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98031 15 225 16 233 17 226 19 241 98031 90679 13 205 21 221 18 252 11 271 90679 85004 8 244 18 225 19 245 8 254 85004 80294 7 262 13 239 14 233 9 250 80294 76236 10 247 11 246 10 250 10 263 76236 72653 11 243 10 260 9 263 9 280 72653 69422 7 291 8 254 10 268 14 289 69422 66466 12 316 6 276 10 259 15 278 66466 63733 20 305 16 299 12 289 17 289 63733 61105 25 288 21 288 17 294 27 290 61105 58383 30 273 27 281 29 283 31 277 58383 55554 36 283 35 276 37 277 41 280 55554 52847 46 280 46 273 49 279 53 284 52847 50409 53 272 57 271 58 278 62 281 50409 48216 61 268 63 270 62 273 59 277 48216 46212 71 263 69 267 67 264 58 277 46212 44365 78 258 74 262 72 261 60 273 44365 42654 79 257 78 259 74 259 63 269 42654 41061 78 257 79 256 74 257 64 265 41061 39571 73 255 77 256 71 257 66 261 39571 38170 65 256 73 255 64 257 65 260 38170 36824 63 258 61 262 53 261 57 262 36824 35462 64 256 57 268 48 267 50 267 35462 34052 58 258 56 266 46 272 47 270 34052 32591 47 261 49 268 46 273 45 273 32591 31060 41 271 42 275 45 272 43 278 31060 29446 39 281 39 279 43 275 43 282 29446 27748 38 286 40 281 43 278 43 286 27748 25965 35 287 40 281 42 279 43 287 25965 24098 34 283 37 279 38 283 40 284 24098 22150 33 281 35 283 35 293 35 293 22150 20115 29 284 32 288 34 301 32 301 20115 17986 28 297 28 294 34 308 30 304 17986 15811 22 297 22 299 30 316 26 307 15811 13712 19 292 20 302 23 312 21 321 13712 11802 22 295 19 301 20 316 20 334 11802 10110 22 310 18 303 16 331 21 351 10110 8618 16 314 17 322 13 342 18 360 8618 7302 13 321 15 339 12*341 10 358 7302 6139 9 004 15 352 11*336 8 337 6139 5111 14 038 13 359 10 336 9 343 5111 4204 17 024 8*013 10 336 11 349 4204 3403 15 004 7*007 10 336 13 353 3403 2685 12 357 6 005 10 336 14 355 2685 2052 10 354 6 004 10 336 16 357 2052 1523 8 346 6 004 9 336 16 357 1523 1118 6*332 6 004 9 336 16 357 1118 839 4*327 5 003 9 336 14 356 839 670 4 324 5 004 8 337 11*355 670 574 4 323 5 004 8 336 6*354 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography