DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.0 - - 83.0 - - 73.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 157 - - 45 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2504 - - 2463 - - 904 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1907 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3099 - - 3058 - - 1499 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1361 - - 2785 - - 1353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 306 - - 208 - - 51 W* B/S - - - - - - 47 - - 16 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 054 - - 286 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1892 - - -2242 - - 620 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4991 - - 5300 - - 879 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5746 - - -4913 - - 222 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8845 - - 7971 - - 1277 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 170 - - 500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.0 - - 83.0 - - 73.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 61.8 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.0 - - 82.8 - - 73.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.1 - - 61.0 - - 70.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 157 - - 45 - - 1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2504 - - 2463 - - 904 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 50 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98917 6 133 3 065 9 014 98917 91451 6 117 6 185 6 002 91451 85685 4 097 5 196 2 181 85685 80910 1 089 2 250 4 160 80910 76792 2 226 4 293 4 304 76792 73151 1 172 3 214 6 261 73151 69862 5 295 2 235 6 209 69862 66846 9 248 8 274 6 270 66846 64057 9 225 13 239 15 281 64057 61372 13 241 14 237 16 267 61372 58600 16 234 14 250 19 266 58600 55755 23 251 22 265 18 265 55755 53057 30 262 24 259 25 264 53057 50643 40 259 33 256 32 262 50643 48485 44 251 45 253 40 263 48485 46526 41 243 44 241 42 250 46526 44735 36 239 40 240 45 252 44735 43076 36 247 39 242 50 251 43076 41516 38 258 41 240 48 245 41516 40041 39 253 42 237 45 238 40041 38642 40 241 42 241 42 236 38642 37282 40 236 43 255 41 240 37282 35892 40 242 44 264 41 249 35892 34442 40 246 42 264 40 251 34442 32938 40 246 41 258 41 250 32938 31362 42 240 41 253 41 256 31362 29702 45 238 42 251 40 263 29702 27959 47 237 44 251 37 267 27959 26134 46 236 44 247 34 265 26134 24229 43 240 41 245 35 260 24229 22250 38 250 38 244 32 254 22250 20192 37 254 31 249 28 247 20192 18048 36 255 22 274 29 243 18048 15868 35 250 24 270 33 243 15868 13779 34 252 26 264 22 251 13779 11887 32 254 27 263 16 291 11887 10203 32 246 28 248 15 313 10203 8704 30 246 29 245 14 302 8704 7371 23 255 19 250 14 283 7371 6189 11 252 11 272 11 263 6189 5144 7 227 7 284 7 245 5144 4225 4 190 4 281 4 235 4225 3416 1*115 3*285 2 139 3416 2694 1*058 2*289 4 108 2694 2057 1 057 2 286 1 067 2057 1527 1 055 2 287 3*076 1527 1121 1 050 2 285 3*077 1121 841 1 052 2 285 3 078 841 672 1 052 2 284 3 079 672 574 1 046 2 283 3 077 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography