DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/29 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.0 - - 33.0 - - 35.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -8 - - -15 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 82 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 677 - - 572 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1325 - - 1161 - - 1435 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 19 - - 11 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 142 - - 164 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - -150 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 675 - - 571 - - 722 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -343 - - -1010 - - -6394 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1020 - - 1582 - - 6966 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 20 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 33.0 - - 33.0 - - 35.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 32.3 - - 32.8 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 33.7 - - 34.1 - - 37.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 32.3 - - 33.6 - - 34.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - -8 - - -15 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 82 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96007 19 342 24 013 14 007 96007 88962 11 340 20 352 19 005 88962 83446 8 357 11 333 17 335 83446 78842 9 355 7 304 17 324 78842 74865 9 326 10 279 16 321 74865 71335 13 306 11 282 17 303 71335 68130 19 279 20 281 21 292 68130 65172 21 273 26 276 20 279 65172 62406 28 272 32 281 31 287 62406 59722 37 265 37 278 45 275 59722 56924 43 260 42 275 44 264 56924 53992 42 256 47 267 41 270 53992 51176 42 256 49 268 53 272 51176 48649 46 260 54 265 57 264 48649 46395 55 258 59 264 69 262 46395 44370 62 262 68 266 70 259 44370 42533 71 262 79 261 64 270 42533 40845 76 253 75 252 72 276 40845 39283 76 254 66 249 87 274 39283 37833 86 251 61 254 97 274 37833 36477 92 241 66 253 105 273 36477 35171 89 236 77 243 108 273 35171 33848 83 239 84 235 104 272 33848 32478 75 245 85 225 98 274 32478 31063 68 243 81 216 97 276 31063 29583 61 237 76 207 97 277 29583 28024 55 235 68 202 96 275 28024 26386 53 235 68 203 93 274 26386 24670 54 235 66 204 84 273 24670 22877 55 234 66 207 75 266 22877 21010 55 234 72 214 73 260 21010 19068 54 235 77 224 64 255 19068 17050 52 237 71 231 54 244 17050 14993 52 240 63 235 54 245 14993 13008 51 241 56 238 53 251 13008 11203 50 238 49 249 48 245 11203 9598 52 233 50 251 45 240 9598 8174 57 229 61 242 41 241 8174 6913 61 221 69 227 44 248 6913 5799 69 206 71 215 48 252 5799 4815 65 193 64 207 51 246 4815 3953 59 183 55 199 53 232 3953 3197 54 176 48 192 53 215 3197 2526 48 165 43 189 50 204 2526 1938 42 156 37 184 44 194 1938 1449 37 150 30 178 39 188 1449 1074 31 146 24 172 33 184 1074 817 27*144 19 168 27 182 817 661 23*143 16*166 23*181 661 571 17 142 11*164 16*180 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography