DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.5 - - 83.1 - - 79.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - 76 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2693 - - 3232 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2044 - - 2054 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3288 - - 3827 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1332 - - 1573 - - 4123 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 314 - - 274 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 14 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 126 - - 133 - - 108 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2079 - - -2039 - - -2820 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5368 - - 5866 - - 3396 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6488 - - -6937 - - -5594 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9776 - - 10764 - - 6170 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 79 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 300 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.5 - - 83.1 - - 79.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.0 - - 59.5 - - 66.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.6 - - 82.7 - - 80.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.7 - - 58.2 - - 65.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 149 - - 76 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2693 - - 3232 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 41 - - 18 - - 40 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99319 30 108 22 097 25 086 99319 91844 23 107 23 099 25 082 91844 86081 22 097 21 091 20 103 86081 81295 16 101 16 086 12 078 81295 77157 17 121 12 089 10 060 77157 73498 16 106 11 117 7 060 73498 70192 11 101 8 100 6 086 70192 67158 9 092 1 239 4 029 67158 64349 7 050 3 177 3 240 64349 61632 7 350 3 356 4 247 61632 58806 8 314 8 309 8 307 58806 55908 14 315 17 308 18 316 55908 53165 21 309 20 293 22 305 53165 50700 28 309 29 301 28 287 50700 48500 36 299 31 294 37 298 48500 46517 39 299 51 305 37 297 46517 44707 48 308 54 308 36 309 44707 43030 52 308 54 311 43 313 43030 41468 47 309 54 311 49 310 41468 40004 39 321 53 309 52 308 40004 38621 42 326 49 303 48 300 38621 37276 38 322 48 306 44 295 37276 35898 32 314 48 309 38 290 35898 34461 29 314 40 313 34 286 34461 32965 29 314 35 309 33 287 32965 31394 31 317 39 309 29 288 31394 29742 32 316 31 308 19 283 29742 28010 28 313 27 313 16 286 28010 26193 22 300 27 317 20 290 26193 24295 22 295 26 307 25 298 24295 22325 22 300 21 294 27 307 22325 20276 22 300 21 307 24 310 20276 18143 21 306 21 318 23 302 18143 15969 18 329 19 332 18 309 15969 13875 17 335 19 333 16 315 13875 11968 16 326 16 326 15 313 11968 10271 15 318 16 316 15 306 10271 8762 13 322 11 311 15 303 8762 7421 11 328 9 328 14 299 7421 6231 7 314 7 305 10 292 6231 5180 5 276 6 273 7 276 5180 4257 1 229 3*181 4 179 4257 3445 6*130 4*145 6 142 3445 2718 7*128 4 139 7 131 2718 2075 7 126 4 134 7 124 2075 1539 7 126 4 131 7 119 1539 1128 7 125 4 127 7 115 1128 845 7 125 3 125 7 113 845 673 6 124 3 124 6*111 673 575 6 123 3 123 4*108 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography