DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/23 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.0 - - 33.4 - - 29.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 372 - - 238 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2714 - - 3333 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2340 - - 2643 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3309 - - 3928 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 723 - - 684 - - 3421 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 403 - - 372 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 332 - - 329 - - 307 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1948 - - -2636 - - -5025 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5257 - - 6565 - - 5597 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -13094 - - -12628 - - -16182 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16403 - - 16556 - - 16754 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 60 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 28.0 - - 33.4 - - 29.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 7.3 - - 6.9 - - 6.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 26.3 - - 32.3 - - 30.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 6.6 - - 6.6 - - 6.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 372 - - 238 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2714 - - 3333 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96597 23 095 13 099 7 059 96597 89406 15 091 11 096 8 062 89406 83808 8 091 6 081 11 064 83808 79121 10 092 5 163 5 309 79121 75083 5 087 2 103 4 294 75083 71518 3 284 7 294 9 286 71518 68283 6 341 7 289 10 281 68283 65306 15 331 11 313 17 306 65306 62532 22 309 20 302 22 296 62532 59828 26 298 23 298 24 295 59828 56986 29 304 27 307 30 303 56986 54025 39 304 39 304 38 302 54025 51190 43 304 43 300 44 307 51190 48638 47 309 48 306 51 307 48638 46368 51 311 50 313 54 317 46368 44319 55 312 57 317 71 323 44319 42452 62 314 69 318 78 319 42452 40754 63 316 73 320 83 322 40754 39200 65 322 84 323 96 326 39200 37761 72 329 92 327 106 327 37761 36417 83 332 98 333 112 329 36417 35125 89 335 108 335 118 330 35125 33812 92 336 112 336 118 330 33812 32445 90 335 115 337 113 329 32445 31026 81 331 113 339 109 329 31026 29541 71 327 101 339 98 331 29541 27982 65 333 90 334 88 329 27982 26348 66 336 83 331 87 327 26348 24633 68 336 71 330 82 326 24633 22836 68 338 63 325 76 330 22836 20964 67 343 59 324 65 332 20964 19013 64 345 57 323 56 330 19013 16980 59 342 51 328 51 325 16980 14907 54 343 46 335 45 324 14907 12908 50 345 43 339 39 327 12908 11088 46 349 39 339 35 330 11088 9475 42 354 35 339 32 329 9475 8049 37 355 32 343 29 329 8049 6791 29 357 27 348 25 331 6791 5683 23 008 21 355 18 338 5683 4715 22 010 15*344 14 333 4715 3876 17*355 13*332 11 328 3876 3145 15*336 13 330 11 325 3145 2492 15 334 13 329 10 324 2492 1915 15 332 13 328 10 322 1915 1434 14 331 13 327 10 320 1434 1066 14 330 12 326 9 317 1066 812 13 329 12 326 8 315 812 659 12 329 11 325 6*311 659 571 11 329 10 326 4*307 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography