DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 95.8 - - 96.7 - - 90.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 162 - - 69 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5815 - - 6496 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4389 - - 4317 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 6410 - - 7091 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2006 - - 2994 - - 7347 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 415 - - 337 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 300 - - 333 - - 008 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 408 - - 218 - - -3992 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6002 - - 6874 - - 4570 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2053 - - -1104 - - -5706 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8463 - - 8195 - - 6283 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 88 - - 76 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2940 - - 2240 - - 3030 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 95.8 - - 96.7 - - 90.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.2 - - 68.4 - - 72.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 94.8 - - 96.3 - - 92.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.1 - - 67.3 - - 71.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 162 - - 69 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5815 - - 6496 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 53 - - 6 - - 14 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98941 11 091 7 163 9 122 98941 91466 10 093 4 064 9 029 91466 85714 6 141 3 098 9 010 85714 80957 3 131 3 045 6 038 80957 76847 4 077 4 064 6 062 76847 73210 9 054 7 049 7 049 73210 69936 11 083 9 052 9 042 69936 66945 13 054 9 067 10 014 66945 64193 16 021 9 018 8 018 64193 61537 14 357 10 335 8 355 61537 58790 12 319 10 326 13 339 58790 55968 22 306 18 329 20 330 55968 53279 27 312 25 328 26 326 53279 50862 41 312 40 314 39 321 50862 48707 43 299 41 302 42 306 48707 46755 39 296 37 299 39 306 46755 44954 42 298 39 300 37 312 44954 43275 46 304 44 310 37 318 43275 41700 51 307 50 312 40 318 41700 40216 52 306 52 307 43 309 40216 38812 51 309 46 309 38 304 38812 37449 52 311 42 312 33 298 37449 36058 55 311 41 311 27 292 36058 34609 52 307 35 308 15 289 34609 33105 44 304 29 310 14 307 33105 31528 32 297 30 307 18 312 31528 29869 28 292 29 300 24 313 29869 28131 26 295 26 305 25 319 28131 26316 23 301 25 310 24 324 26316 24425 17 306 21 318 23 320 24425 22461 16 317 19 329 21 323 22461 20415 17 317 18 345 18 340 20415 18282 18 329 19 353 19 355 18282 16108 17 332 18 350 18 002 16108 14016 16 329 15 327 15 345 14016 12113 12 340 15 320 13 321 12113 10419 10 346 15 326 11 321 10419 8908 11 337 11 328 10 306 8908 7560 11*322 9*325 9 312 7560 6361 11*297 8*327 8 327 6361 5296 11 295 8 329 9 339 5296 4354 10 296 8 331 10 348 4354 3522 9 299 8 333 10 355 3522 2777 9 302 8 335 11 360 2777 2117 8 304 8 335 12 004 2117 1567 8 306 8 337 12 007 1567 1144 8 306 7 337 11 009 1144 853 7 307 7 338 10 010 853 677 7 307 7 337 8*010 677 576 6 307 6 338 4*008 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography