DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.5 - - 88.3 - - 85.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 169 - - 83 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2610 - - 4176 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2033 - - 2790 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3205 - - 4771 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2098 - - 2135 - - 5826 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 322 - - 307 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 14 - - 14 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 263 - - 242 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -719 - - -4 - - -2623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3925 - - 4775 - - 3199 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -2995 - - -1565 - - -3725 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6200 - - 6336 - - 4301 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 76 - - 80 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2120 - - 1950 - - 2740 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 86.5 - - 88.3 - - 85.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 71.0 - - 69.2 - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.4 - - 87.7 - - 86.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 69.9 - - 68.0 - - 71.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 169 - - 83 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2610 - - 4176 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 2 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 16 - - 14 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99523 32 093 32 104 15 091 99523 91997 30 099 25 102 20 082 91997 86169 28 089 20 105 19 071 86169 81359 24 076 24 097 20 092 81359 77229 19 087 19 086 20 092 77229 73565 16 101 16 078 15 074 73565 70252 15 113 12 066 12 064 70252 67226 13 086 8 088 6 067 67226 64432 5 049 5 128 5 026 64432 61736 2 172 5 183 5 291 61736 58944 3 199 3 194 5 243 58944 56066 9 351 2 266 7 214 56066 53322 30 299 10 318 9 297 53322 50854 31 265 24 289 26 299 50854 48655 26 237 30 267 29 281 48655 46662 19 239 30 250 30 267 46662 44828 21 263 31 247 33 260 44828 43125 26 264 33 251 38 257 43125 41530 31 262 35 256 41 257 41530 40033 35 261 39 257 39 258 40033 38622 38 256 41 254 34 255 38622 37256 42 253 41 252 28 253 37256 35864 43 251 38 253 23 257 35864 34417 42 247 31 259 23 267 34417 32920 39 244 27 266 22 281 32920 31358 32 244 29 269 19 294 31358 29715 29 245 29 270 16 305 29715 27992 22 252 32 264 20 303 27992 26189 13 228 29 259 24 292 26189 24312 13 223 22 271 23 297 24312 22367 10 267 17 298 23 311 22367 20338 12 314 17 319 24 313 20338 18213 12 318 15 312 24 312 18213 16039 15 316 19 315 23 319 16039 13942 19 317 22 323 21 325 13942 12034 17 311 19 328 17 324 12034 10338 11 280 14 330 8 325 10338 8829 12 270 10 315 6 349 8829 7488 12 263 5 309 3 350 7488 6297 12 251 4 285 4 229 6297 5242 11 248 4*272 7 220 5242 4311 7 256 4*260 7 213 4311 3488 5*263 4 252 7 202 3488 2751 4*264 4 245 6 193 2751 2099 4 263 4 238 6 183 2099 1555 4 263 4 234 6 177 1555 1137 4 263 4 231 6 170 1137 849 4 262 4 229 6 167 849 675 4 263 4 228 5*163 675 575 3 261 3 227 4*160 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography