DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/03 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 39 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 875 - - 388 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 554 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1470 - - 983 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 242 - - 815 - - 1363 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 133 - - 25 - - 3 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 202 - - 207 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 192 - - -259 - - -70 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1278 - - 1242 - - 642 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 61 - - -8435 - - -736 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1409 - - 9418 - - 1308 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 95 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 29.6 - - 32.3 - - 31.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.4 - - 29.2 - - 30.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 29.5 - - 32.7 - - 32.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 25.7 - - 28.8 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 39 - - -1 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 875 - - 388 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 94 - - 78 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96310 7 151 11 347 8 074 96310 89175 5 221 11 307 8 330 89175 83640 5 314 4 243 11 248 83640 79038 11 300 7 286 12 268 79038 75053 20 260 20 265 22 271 75053 71521 22 262 26 269 27 268 71521 68315 23 260 28 264 24 264 68315 65339 22 270 29 257 28 273 65339 62558 32 267 30 258 40 265 62558 59857 34 263 48 253 43 265 59857 57033 51 256 56 253 59 267 57033 54121 63 255 71 255 74 253 54121 51362 72 254 76 256 74 251 51362 48877 80 252 83 255 80 256 48877 46647 91 251 92 253 91 258 46647 44627 104 249 107 251 99 257 44627 42786 111 248 118 248 114 255 42786 41095 113 249 116 248 121 251 41095 39536 107 252 110 250 115 249 39536 38088 105 257 108 253 106 254 38088 36731 108 257 114 255 114 261 36731 35423 107 255 118 254 122 260 35423 34094 104 254 121 253 121 256 34094 32710 102 252 121 253 118 256 32710 31273 100 250 118 252 119 258 31273 29766 98 250 111 254 119 258 29766 28177 94 251 104 256 119 258 28177 26514 89 253 99 256 111 259 26514 24777 87 256 93 256 98 258 24777 22967 81 255 84 257 87 261 22967 21083 72 254 75 258 76 261 21083 19120 70 254 69 257 66 260 19120 17072 61 257 59 256 58 256 17072 14987 52 257 54 266 49 253 14987 12984 47 262 55 266 41 261 12984 11166 43 271 48 261 41 263 11166 9556 37 260 38 265 37 260 9556 8132 27 242 33 265 29 261 8132 6871 23 241 33 252 25 268 6871 5757 17 247 29 247 22 266 5757 4778 14 259 21 246 17 261 4778 3922 15 275 17 256 13 278 3922 3173 18 276 18 273 13 300 3173 2508 17 266 18 269 14 292 2508 1924 14*241 15 253 12 261 1924 1439 11*204 10 221 9 231 1439 1068 11 203 8*211 8 205 1068 814 10 202 7*208 6 189 814 659 10 201 6 206 4*182 659 571 8 201 5 206 2*175 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography