DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.7 - - 83.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 131 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1521 - - 2859 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1356 - - 2048 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2116 - - 3454 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 700 - - 3594 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 294 - - 298 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 6 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 157 - - 195 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4371 - - -4843 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6487 - - 8298 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8322 - - -7349 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10438 - - 10803 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 71 - - 69 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 30 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.7 - - 83.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.4 - - 49.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 75.2 - - 82.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.6 - - 48.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 131 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1521 - - 2859 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96569 15 250 19 236 96569 89367 10 246 18 209 89367 83874 10 220 11 201 83874 79338 3 105 10 201 79338 75422 2 019 8 238 75422 71930 10 336 10 254 71930 68744 6 319 10 271 68744 65815 4 012 3 290 65815 63115 17 353 8 342 63115 60516 22 334 23 326 60516 57807 18 327 31 293 57807 54975 28 331 29 292 54975 52252 40 332 31 292 52252 49785 47 328 33 315 49785 47559 54 325 47 318 47559 45531 60 318 58 315 45531 43679 59 314 65 312 43679 41984 57 314 66 312 41984 40426 52 318 61 314 40426 38981 50 320 55 318 38981 37626 50 323 53 324 37626 36316 53 327 54 327 36316 34979 55 328 56 327 34979 33585 54 329 57 325 33585 32134 53 328 59 323 32134 30614 51 327 58 324 30614 29013 49 326 56 324 29013 27332 49 326 53 326 27332 25572 52 327 54 328 25572 23733 55 326 53 329 23733 21821 53 327 49 330 21821 19829 42 322 43 330 19829 17751 26 303 45 329 17751 15636 25 324 35 319 15636 13605 29 322 28 299 13605 11758 32 317 26 306 11758 10109 26 328 30 314 10109 8640 20 317 19 311 8640 7331 19 293 9 297 7331 6168 19 287 13 270 6168 5135 13 293 14 272 5135 4224 10 288 11*268 4224 3419 10 280 7*228 3419 2700 5*232 7 198 2700 2063 7*161 7 193 2063 1532 7 158 7 189 1532 1124 7 156 7 186 1124 843 7 155 6 185 843 672 6 154 6 184 672 574 6 154 6 184 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography