DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 58.1 - - 59.8 - - 52.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -14 - - 45 - - 4 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1303 - - 1560 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 556 - - 557 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 573 - - 1898 - - 2155 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 533 - - 601 - - 1140 - - 304 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 11 - - 161 - - 88 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 20 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 237 - - 274 - - 281 - - 248 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3503 - - -4878 - - -4323 - - -3729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4076 - - 6777 - - 6478 - - 4303 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13180 - - -9434 - - -7932 - - -7583 ODpotential blCL - - - 13753 - - 11332 - - 10087 - - 8157 blCL maxRH - - - 50 - - 100 - - 90 - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 44.7 - - 58.1 - - 59.8 - - 52.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.4 - - 30.7 - - 33.5 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.6 - - 57.9 - - 60.1 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.0 - - 30.2 - - 33.1 - - 35.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -14 - - 45 - - 4 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1303 - - 1560 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 101 - - 60 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95323 44 357 34 329 29 321 33 316 95323 88541 42 359 36 334 34 323 35 324 88541 83254 37 360 34 339 39 333 30 336 83254 78820 36 356 29 344 32 333 24 339 78820 74930 33 346 24 341 23 335 21 335 74930 71426 30 330 24 328 29 334 26 337 71426 68227 24 307 30 326 35 328 30 330 68227 65292 22 306 33 301 33 320 28 328 65292 62551 27 307 27 282 29 297 29 314 62551 59868 30 303 25 285 28 294 31 294 59868 57048 34 303 35 297 36 295 34 307 57048 54109 36 294 42 293 44 287 48 294 54109 51307 36 283 41 283 46 277 47 282 51307 48783 39 272 40 283 39 278 44 284 48783 46518 40 278 44 288 46 295 51 290 46518 44471 52 287 53 287 59 291 61 287 44471 42607 58 283 61 282 65 273 62 277 42607 40894 61 279 67 276 67 273 58 279 40894 39322 73 282 71 273 78 271 69 283 39322 37879 82 284 77 275 82 260 86 273 37879 36539 82 282 76 273 79 259 91 260 36539 35253 81 280 72 272 76 272 92 256 35253 33950 78 280 69 275 78 273 87 255 33950 32592 76 282 72 283 80 272 85 256 32592 31179 74 285 75 288 84 271 86 257 31179 29696 66 284 71 284 86 270 86 259 29696 28134 66 283 66 277 86 267 85 261 28134 26494 66 284 64 273 84 265 84 263 26494 24776 64 279 68 274 84 266 81 265 24776 22985 65 278 69 269 86 272 74 269 22985 21124 64 282 72 263 83 277 68 275 21124 19187 63 287 69 266 76 278 67 281 19187 17168 61 292 62 273 71 280 65 285 17168 15111 53 291 53 285 66 289 62 290 15111 13133 38 288 42 289 58 292 54 292 13133 11342 33 285 34 277 51 273 38 288 11342 9755 34 291 38 279 42 259 35 284 9755 8342 35 292 44 279 35 268 35 288 8342 7083 35 290 45 276 34 285 35 290 7083 5960 35 287 47 277 36 297 36 288 5960 4963 34 285 47 278 37 302 37 287 4963 4083 33 281 46 279 35 301 39 287 4083 3305 33 275 43 279 31 293 40 285 3305 2610 36 272 39 278 26*286 37 283 2610 1996 39 268 29*276 22*281 31 278 1996 1486 37 257 24*274 20 281 24 263 1486 1096 29 250 22 274 19 281 22 260 1096 828 20 242 20 273 17 280 17 253 828 665 18*241 17 273 15 280 14*251 665 573 10*237 14 272 11 280 6*248 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography