DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 01/28 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - -2.4 - - 23.4 - - 28.2 - - 25.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 71 - - 22 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1853 - - 2145 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 552 - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 570 - - 2448 - - 2740 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 45 - - 889 - - 1163 - - 2732 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 14 - - 209 - - 153 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 289 - - 280 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -856 - - -376 - - 174 - - -823 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1426 - - 2824 - - 2566 - - 1395 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -19056 - - -11025 - - -7339 - - -1675 ODpotential blCL - - - 19626 - - 13473 - - 10079 - - 2247 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 88 - - 86 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - -2.4 - - 23.4 - - 28.2 - - 25.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -5.9 - - 13.4 - - 19.3 - - 21.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - -2.1 - - 23.0 - - 28.2 - - 27.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -4.7 - - 12.3 - - 18.3 - - 21.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 71 - - 22 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1853 - - 2145 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 20 - - 54 - - 43 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95341 128 231 111 231 117 240 105 244 95341 88136 108 245 103 240 105 247 95 252 88136 82527 103 251 99 246 96 252 96 256 82527 77878 98 255 90 251 96 255 97 263 77878 73908 94 258 86 262 94 260 97 268 73908 70432 92 266 86 270 95 267 91 271 70432 67301 95 271 88 272 93 273 84 278 67301 64425 90 272 85 273 89 276 82 285 64425 61747 83 272 86 277 86 281 88 288 61747 59145 79 278 92 281 87 285 95 288 59145 56428 86 289 92 287 88 287 98 286 56428 53605 92 292 95 294 92 292 98 286 53605 50901 94 293 96 297 96 296 95 288 50901 48452 93 292 95 298 99 299 92 294 48452 46234 87 292 95 299 98 300 99 298 46234 44219 77 295 95 297 100 302 105 295 44219 42400 75 303 93 295 103 302 104 295 42400 40752 80 307 88 299 108 304 102 302 40752 39232 81 308 89 309 110 307 110 301 39232 37812 81 313 100 319 113 314 116 299 37812 36474 87 319 113 323 118 318 112 299 36474 35174 92 319 120 324 119 316 108 299 35174 33844 90 316 118 323 119 314 108 298 33844 32454 86 313 112 321 118 314 109 298 32454 31007 85 313 107 319 113 314 109 300 31007 29492 84 315 105 319 110 313 109 302 29492 27900 82 315 102 319 108 311 106 307 27900 26234 75 314 100 318 104 310 104 311 26234 24492 69 312 97 316 100 310 98 312 24492 22675 65 308 90 313 97 311 91 309 22675 20788 67 303 81 310 93 311 86 307 20788 18826 68 299 79 306 85 309 82 306 18826 16786 71 298 77 304 77 307 77 305 16786 14717 71 302 69 304 69 304 70 305 14717 12739 62 306 61 303 61 303 64 302 12739 10950 57 303 57 303 56 301 61 302 10950 9371 55 301 54 300 54 299 57 302 9371 7978 51 304 49 298 50 300 51 301 7978 6743 47 306 44 298 45 299 44 302 6743 5653 45 309 39 301 40 300 38 302 5653 4696 41 311 35 306 35 299 30 306 4696 3861 36 312 30 308 29 294 23 307 3861 3131 31 314 26 303 23*289 18 293 3131 2481 26 310 20*297 18*283 15 278 2481 1908 23 298 15*291 16 280 15 276 1908 1430 21 289 14 289 15 279 14 272 1430 1063 18 281 13 289 14 279 13 268 1063 811 16 273 13 289 13 278 11 262 811 658 13*262 12 288 12 277 9*258 658 571 3*245 11 288 10 277 5*253 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography