DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 24.2 - - 25.7 - - 24.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 49 - - 23 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1701 - - 1541 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2296 - - 2136 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 825 - - 822 - - 2038 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 179 - - 135 - - 4 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 281 - - 261 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 867 - - 743 - - -535 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1429 - - 1393 - - 1106 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 620 - - 474 - - -929 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1676 - - 1662 - - 1500 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 24.2 - - 25.7 - - 24.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 20.3 - - 22.0 - - 21.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 24.0 - - 25.8 - - 25.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 19.6 - - 21.3 - - 21.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 49 - - 23 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1701 - - 1541 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 102 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96217 5 026 21 064 18 080 96217 89110 9 036 7 029 9 069 89110 83606 8 001 3 023 3 051 83606 79019 8 356 2 347 5 336 79019 75037 8 298 10 269 15 311 75037 71495 7 268 14 241 23 283 71495 68266 13 294 14 250 23 268 68266 65283 18 277 17 285 28 268 65283 62515 23 272 28 275 33 265 62515 59828 31 278 32 272 32 275 59828 57025 38 276 36 278 39 269 57025 54124 46 268 46 273 40 268 54124 51353 50 267 50 266 49 265 51353 48862 53 270 47 267 51 268 48862 46644 50 268 57 269 55 269 46644 44638 48 264 62 259 62 269 44638 42798 47 260 54 253 73 264 42798 41098 40 276 46 270 75 260 41098 39518 59 294 65 280 74 267 39518 38048 77 285 78 275 79 275 38048 36676 81 272 80 273 82 275 36676 35362 70 270 79 275 78 280 35362 34037 65 278 77 280 78 287 34037 32666 65 282 76 284 76 285 32666 31243 61 289 75 284 73 281 31243 29751 59 299 73 285 74 280 29751 28178 62 302 75 287 74 281 28178 26524 68 300 74 289 72 281 26524 24788 65 307 67 288 69 280 24788 22971 57 304 63 287 63 279 22971 21075 55 293 63 284 59 280 21075 19096 48 292 56 285 55 284 19096 17032 39 293 48 286 46 281 17032 14932 39 299 42 287 39 282 14932 12906 33 309 35 292 31 286 12906 11067 25 307 26 295 25 286 11067 9450 21 300 22 298 22 295 9450 8032 19 295 20 303 20 299 8032 6783 17 298 19 299 17 296 6783 5681 15 293 18 295 17 290 5681 4711 12 293 16 292 15 285 4711 3863 13 293 16 286 14 284 3863 3121 11 296 12 269 12 263 3121 2468 10*286 10*263 10 234 2468 1899 10*283 9*263 9 224 1899 1425 9 282 9 262 9 221 1425 1060 9 280 8 261 8 218 1060 810 9 280 8 261 7 212 810 657 8 280 7 261 5*204 657 570 7 279 6 261 3*194 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography