DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.2 - - 83.0 - - 81.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 73 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5130 - - 5390 - - 196 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3906 - - 3548 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5725 - - 5985 - - 791 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2538 - - 2724 - - 7515 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 406 - - 320 - - 47 W* B/S - - - - - - 13 - - 12 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 291 - - 276 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 446 - - 415 - - -4007 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5279 - - 5571 - - 4798 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -463 - - -503 - - -5085 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6188 - - 6488 - - 5876 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 93 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 400 - - 340 - - 560 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 82.2 - - 83.0 - - 81.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.0 - - 60.5 - - 62.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.1 - - 82.5 - - 82.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.6 - - 59.2 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 170 - - 73 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5130 - - 5390 - - 196 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 34 - - 73 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98788 29 084 27 088 30 095 98788 91288 17 089 21 087 22 077 91288 85534 20 100 13 082 19 076 85534 80754 18 085 15 098 16 070 80754 76636 18 107 17 085 13 060 76636 73013 16 084 16 072 6 085 73013 69740 7 037 11 046 10 055 69740 66731 4 034 6 020 12 014 66731 63954 9 351 10 325 16 331 63954 61274 9 237 15 295 18 308 61274 58474 12 301 19 272 21 291 58474 55580 30 298 21 288 27 288 55580 52838 37 288 32 290 34 296 52838 50381 55 297 45 297 48 297 50381 48180 66 292 59 292 58 286 48180 46180 68 289 65 286 62 283 46180 44338 67 288 69 284 63 285 44338 42634 68 290 67 285 65 287 42634 41051 68 293 65 288 62 287 41051 39568 66 292 66 290 59 294 39568 38171 62 293 67 291 59 302 38171 36822 60 295 67 294 61 306 36822 35455 58 293 65 294 61 306 35455 34037 57 293 61 291 65 305 34037 32566 57 293 58 287 63 303 32566 31025 56 294 54 292 55 306 31025 29401 56 297 51 295 50 304 29401 27695 54 299 50 295 50 302 27695 25905 53 299 51 296 52 302 25905 24033 49 297 52 303 51 304 24033 22083 44 294 50 305 44 307 22083 20055 39 293 49 299 40 307 20055 17946 36 294 46 301 41 308 17946 15796 36 296 44 305 42 309 15796 13721 35 294 40 302 38 312 13721 11837 31 293 32 296 30 304 11837 10170 26 299 24 287 24 282 10170 8691 19 293 19 283 19 267 8691 7375 17 275 13 275 13 260 7375 6204 14*275 9*274 10 264 6204 5167 10*279 6*275 7 280 5167 4250 6 289 6 275 6 299 4250 3440 6 292 5 276 6 318 3440 2715 5 294 5 276 7 330 2715 2074 5 296 5 277 7 339 2074 1538 5 296 4 276 7 343 1538 1127 4 297 4 278 7 347 1127 845 4 297 4 278 7*349 845 673 4 296 4 279 6*350 673 575 4 298 3 278 5 351 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography