DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.9 - - 90.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - 46 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3115 - - 5130 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1780 - - 3203 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3710 - - 5725 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1943 - - 2045 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 253 - - 298 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 14 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 270 - - 270 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - 4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1072 - - 1205 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2638 - - 4520 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -482 - - -432 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4192 - - 6157 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 99 - - 80 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2980 - - 2270 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.9 - - 90.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 75.7 - - 72.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 85.6 - - 90.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 74.6 - - 71.1 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - 46 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3115 - - 5130 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 96 - - 20 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99506 32 101 30 082 99506 91977 27 080 27 085 91977 86179 28 081 26 080 86179 81378 26 083 22 083 81378 77241 23 076 21 087 77241 73575 17 078 18 072 73575 70263 18 085 15 078 70263 67239 18 060 12 062 67239 64455 17 030 10 069 64455 61768 13 359 11 020 61768 58997 6 326 17 333 58997 56160 5 317 18 317 56160 53465 11 351 14 333 53465 51039 20 331 27 346 51039 48861 25 321 25 331 48861 46878 29 318 23 325 46878 45049 27 309 22 324 45049 43352 20 298 19 311 43352 41767 21 300 18 296 41767 40279 21 299 16 304 40279 38872 20 295 17 324 38872 37506 17 300 16 331 37506 36111 12 314 15 332 36111 34656 9 329 13 324 34656 33146 8 337 10 312 33146 31565 7 335 9 316 31565 29900 9 288 12 311 29900 28154 11 270 18 306 28154 26329 12 278 18 305 26329 24423 15 288 19 300 24423 22443 17 287 21 293 22443 20382 19 292 22 288 20382 18238 21 296 21 289 18238 16052 20 289 18 295 16052 13944 20 282 19 297 13944 12034 19 281 20 296 12034 10344 17 281 19 291 10344 8840 17 278 18 287 8840 7499 17 277 19 283 7499 6308 18 281 19*280 6308 5253 18 282 17*274 5253 4321 18*281 16 271 4321 3497 17*275 15 270 3497 2758 16 272 14 269 2758 2104 16 270 14 268 2104 1558 16 269 13 268 1558 1139 15 268 13 267 1139 851 14 267 12 268 851 676 13 268 11 267 676 576 10 267 9 266 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography