DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/05 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.2 - - 58.9 - - 58.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 45 - - 34 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 544 - - 958 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1139 - - 1553 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 487 - - 893 - - 1341 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 122 - - 136 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 308 - - 243 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 398 - - 662 - - -11 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 741 - - 891 - - 585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 151 - - 401 - - -2252 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 988 - - 1152 - - 2826 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 54.2 - - 58.9 - - 58.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.8 - - 56.9 - - 58.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 53.8 - - 58.9 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.1 - - 56.2 - - 58.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 45 - - 34 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 544 - - 958 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96257 25 251 37 260 30 270 96257 89092 22 258 21 267 22 260 89092 83578 21 258 23 273 29 282 83578 79074 17 251 20 258 16 259 79074 75208 27 292 15 283 14 307 75208 71785 34 271 32 282 31 297 71785 68706 39 241 36 259 38 275 68706 65858 32 277 33 272 34 270 65858 63181 49 281 42 282 43 284 63181 60570 58 280 55 281 55 281 60570 57847 62 279 65 275 63 276 57847 55008 63 278 68 272 67 273 55008 52269 58 275 67 271 66 267 52269 49780 53 272 65 271 61 267 49780 47529 53 272 64 271 58 267 47529 45474 56 269 66 270 60 268 45474 43584 56 266 68 266 65 268 43584 41846 54 265 63 261 68 266 41846 40252 61 271 57 263 66 264 40252 38793 74 267 65 264 66 258 38793 37447 86 254 76 251 69 246 37447 36153 89 245 74 246 66 247 36153 34829 80 244 66 252 65 250 34829 33446 74 249 64 258 62 256 33446 32008 73 254 64 261 60 259 32008 30499 68 259 61 265 57 262 30499 28910 59 256 56 268 54 263 28910 27243 53 251 47 268 51 261 27243 25495 53 257 44 263 46 259 25495 23665 52 259 41 258 39 257 23665 21753 48 261 36 254 33 255 21753 19754 46 267 28 256 28 254 19754 17667 40 272 24 260 28 248 17667 15541 33 260 29 250 29 249 15541 13495 37 251 33 252 29 247 13495 11636 39 250 31 256 28 250 11636 9985 38 254 28 249 27 246 9985 8518 35 258 29 241 30 246 8518 7214 23 246 31 237 31 243 7214 6059 20 237 31 241 30 240 6059 5038 20 241 23 242 27 231 5038 4140 21 243 17 244 23 227 4140 3347 21 245 13 236 19 222 3347 2639 15 248 10 229 15 218 2639 2017 10 262 5*234 10 219 2017 1500 7*302 3*240 6 215 1500 1104 7*308 3 243 2 168 1104 832 6 308 3 243 2 123 832 668 6 308 3 243 2*104 668 573 5 308 3 245 2*096 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography