DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 58.4 - - 60.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 389 - - 256 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1361 - - 3097 - - 4502 - - 2733 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1154 - - 2652 - - 3569 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1956 - - 3692 - - 5097 - - 3328 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 531 - - 958 - - 1330 - - 1779 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 261 - - 431 - - 426 - - 69 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 13 - - 15 BL Wind Direction - - - 330 - - 325 - - 319 - - 350 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2366 - - -3175 - - -2275 - - -3244 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4322 - - 6867 - - 7372 - - 6573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6155 - - -7108 - - -6199 - - -8293 ODpotential blCL - - - 8111 - - 10800 - - 11296 - - 11621 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 81 - - 83 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.0 - - 58.4 - - 60.6 - - 55.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.6 - - 30.5 - - 30.4 - - 28.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.1 - - 56.6 - - 59.2 - - 55.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.8 - - 29.4 - - 29.3 - - 28.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 194 - - 389 - - 256 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1361 - - 3097 - - 4502 - - 2733 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 13 - - 26 - - 30 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96574 30 267 31 243 39 249 39 260 96574 89221 27 271 26 262 33 266 34 273 89221 83626 19 259 22 279 24 259 25 266 83626 79033 13 229 20 276 19 278 22 271 79033 75075 6 280 18 278 18 295 18 276 75075 71565 18 290 16 270 17 269 22 254 71565 68359 19 271 14 288 20 272 23 283 68359 65409 25 286 29 287 32 282 35 292 65409 62688 32 284 30 277 35 274 38 280 62688 60034 32 282 36 286 34 274 37 277 60034 57230 38 285 42 286 42 288 44 286 57230 54294 49 279 47 281 55 286 54 289 54294 51485 52 273 52 271 59 276 60 280 51485 48964 53 277 54 272 57 267 58 270 48964 46711 59 275 59 276 54 273 54 270 46711 44679 65 266 64 270 58 277 56 276 44679 42848 56 269 65 262 62 269 58 277 42848 41186 62 283 62 266 61 268 61 276 41186 39660 70 282 65 280 63 277 64 276 39660 38241 68 279 74 285 70 285 64 278 38241 36907 66 281 77 283 74 286 65 284 36907 35616 65 283 75 284 72 283 66 288 35616 34301 66 283 72 286 68 281 65 287 34301 32930 68 284 69 286 66 282 63 284 32930 31503 69 284 68 286 64 283 61 283 31503 30005 69 283 68 287 64 287 62 288 30005 28426 67 282 67 287 64 292 64 294 28426 26770 66 285 65 288 64 296 66 298 26770 25033 66 291 63 290 61 297 67 300 25033 23215 64 294 59 291 58 296 66 300 23215 21318 61 289 54 291 54 294 62 299 21318 19344 57 286 54 285 50 300 58 299 19344 17291 57 295 50 294 51 309 47 295 17291 15206 53 307 52 302 54 308 48 305 15206 13198 46 309 47 309 47 307 53 308 13198 11368 41 311 42 314 38 312 47 300 11368 9746 39 317 44 315 39 308 38 291 9746 8306 39 316 40 304 37 298 33 293 8306 7029 38 312 33 299 29 310 28 295 7029 5902 35 307 36 315 23*326 18 305 5902 4910 35 304 32 324 14*318 12 327 4910 4040 35 305 22*325 14 318 13*341 4040 3274 33 306 17*325 14 319 15*347 3274 2589 27 314 17 325 14 319 16 350 2589 1984 18*329 16 325 14 319 16 351 1984 1480 17*330 16 325 13 319 16 351 1480 1093 16 330 15 325 13 319 15 351 1093 827 15 330 15 325 12 320 14 351 827 665 14 330 14 324 12 320 13 352 665 573 12 329 12 325 10 319 9 351 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography