DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/26 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.9 - - 90.5 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 241 - - 95 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2956 - - 4858 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2399 - - 3317 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3551 - - 5453 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1084 - - 1867 - - 1142 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 368 - - 328 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 26 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 218 - - 219 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2711 - - -2179 - - -5178 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6263 - - 7632 - - 5754 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6509 - - -5618 - - -9892 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10060 - - 11071 - - 10468 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 66 - - 68 - - 51 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1210 - - 1450 - - 920 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.9 - - 90.5 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 60.3 - - 58.8 - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.7 - - 90.1 - - 84.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.6 - - 57.9 - - 58.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 241 - - 95 - - -58 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2956 - - 4858 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96345 32 239 37 257 39 261 96345 89097 29 234 41 245 40 266 89097 83570 26 249 33 246 33 259 83570 79007 21 245 25 245 26 247 79007 75079 22 259 26 249 28 259 75079 71627 30 269 35 254 34 261 71627 68535 33 261 32 268 36 265 68535 65692 37 266 32 273 34 267 65692 63053 40 271 37 284 40 288 63053 60507 36 268 48 284 47 289 60507 57851 41 282 56 291 54 293 57851 55073 59 288 57 283 62 291 55073 52404 62 284 58 283 63 289 52404 49990 58 286 61 287 57 289 49990 47808 58 292 61 287 56 289 47808 45809 57 296 57 288 58 287 45809 43968 56 300 54 289 57 283 43968 42272 58 304 53 289 55 283 42272 40707 61 305 54 293 58 293 40707 39254 59 301 57 300 64 298 39254 37891 52 295 64 306 65 296 37891 36569 46 291 65 305 61 292 36569 35221 46 291 61 301 55 287 35221 33819 47 291 56 295 52 285 33819 32366 48 292 53 292 51 285 32366 30845 49 293 50 291 51 285 30845 29246 50 296 49 288 49 282 29246 27569 53 300 47 285 47 278 27569 25811 47 291 45 282 45 274 25811 23972 42 284 45 283 49 279 23972 22060 44 290 46 285 54 279 22060 20067 46 295 43 279 50 269 20067 17987 47 289 41 277 49 268 17987 15860 42 284 42 271 51 272 15860 13802 32 269 41 258 46 268 13802 11922 26 255 40 255 47 264 11922 10245 25 238 45 258 52 265 10245 8752 30 239 45 262 52 261 8752 7424 34 240 41 255 46 254 7424 6245 32 231 32*239 39 246 6245 5200 31 226 28*224 36 238 5200 4278 27*229 28 222 35 233 4278 3463 22*221 27 220 34 230 3463 2732 21 219 26 218 33 226 2732 2085 21 217 26 217 32 222 2085 1546 20 217 25 216 29 218 1546 1131 19 216 24 215 26 215 1131 846 18 215 23 214 21 211 846 674 17 215 21 214 17*209 674 575 14 215 17 213 9*207 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography