DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.5 - - 69.4 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 146 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3968 - - 5661 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3171 - - 4166 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4563 - - 6256 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1378 - - 1465 - - 6954 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 411 - - 389 - - 15 W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 355 - - 319 - - 334 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2032 - - -2166 - - -7238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6595 - - 8422 - - 7813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7191 - - -7447 - - -12253 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11754 - - 13703 - - 12827 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 98 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 67.5 - - 69.4 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 40.7 - - 34.5 - - 34.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 66.2 - - 68.6 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 39.3 - - 33.2 - - 33.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 245 - - 146 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3968 - - 5661 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 23 - - 91 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97919 11 181 13 191 13 280 97919 90498 8 180 13 173 9 257 90498 84793 11 188 8 191 9 212 84793 80055 9 174 7 215 4 213 80055 75961 5 175 8 202 5 243 75961 72347 7 228 8 235 9 260 72347 69084 10 245 11 244 12 267 69084 66081 14 245 18 251 19 284 66081 63293 10 237 19 241 22 259 63293 60593 19 286 16 272 24 262 60593 57777 31 267 30 278 31 269 57777 54857 32 262 34 262 32 276 54857 52083 41 277 44 271 44 274 52083 49596 53 262 54 263 49 264 49596 47355 56 257 56 250 51 265 47355 45305 55 257 52 255 57 268 45305 43427 55 260 60 266 66 266 43427 41702 68 262 69 267 71 260 41702 40109 85 265 78 264 71 259 40109 38632 97 263 83 262 78 259 38632 37258 98 258 88 262 86 259 37258 35946 90 257 91 263 101 256 35946 34620 85 259 97 262 107 251 34620 33240 81 260 90 260 103 248 33240 31804 79 262 85 264 99 251 31804 30298 80 262 82 268 91 257 30298 28712 81 270 79 265 85 259 28712 27048 67 275 74 265 75 263 27048 25306 51 269 60 266 68 263 25306 23486 46 270 54 260 58 269 23486 21588 48 262 54 258 51 262 21588 19605 50 265 49 260 50 256 19605 17534 51 270 49 266 48 262 17534 15420 49 276 46 270 48 272 15420 13381 44 276 39 270 47 279 13381 11526 44 280 36 284 37 286 11526 9884 39 285 31 289 27 286 9884 8432 32 286 19 295 19 291 8432 7150 25 295 11*299 8 338 7150 6017 16 303 9*322 10 350 6017 5012 10*333 10 322 11 348 5012 4126 10*353 10 321 11 347 4126 3342 10 354 10 319 11 346 3342 2641 10 355 11 319 12 345 2641 2021 10 356 11 317 12 344 2021 1504 10 355 11 316 11 342 1504 1107 10 355 11 315 10 340 1107 834 10 355 10 314 9 338 834 668 9 355 10 314 7*335 668 573 8 355 9 314 5*334 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography