DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 03/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.4 - - 49.4 - - 45.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - 47 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1401 - - 1454 - - 1501 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1996 - - 2049 - - 2096 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 560 - - 818 - - 1242 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 181 - - 176 - - 101 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 21 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 289 - - 292 - - 288 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - -6 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 981 - - 927 - - 890 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1015 - - 1122 - - 1206 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 502 - - 375 - - 333 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1494 - - 1674 - - 1763 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 370 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.4 - - 49.4 - - 45.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.9 - - 46.6 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.3 - - 49.4 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.1 - - 45.7 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 53 - - 47 - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1401 - - 1454 - - 1501 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95778 52 255 55 261 51 267 95778 88696 38 252 41 267 46 268 88696 83302 24 252 36 259 41 266 83302 78847 27 266 31 262 34 272 78847 74985 28 264 36 263 33 270 74985 71558 31 262 32 255 32 254 71558 68446 39 239 34 250 35 262 68446 65568 41 237 42 250 42 252 65568 62896 47 243 53 242 50 243 62896 60324 56 236 52 240 53 239 60324 57641 56 223 54 244 55 245 57641 54831 51 227 60 244 57 240 54831 52112 64 232 62 242 52 243 52112 49632 66 232 61 240 62 253 49632 47387 64 241 62 240 71 254 47387 45337 65 248 70 248 80 252 45337 43453 74 250 83 250 85 248 43453 41718 87 243 91 245 87 243 41718 40118 93 237 92 235 88 239 40118 38636 91 233 87 234 95 239 38636 37255 83 213 88 234 107 240 37255 35935 81 213 93 228 113 240 35935 34601 77 213 95 222 116 238 34601 33212 73 213 98 217 115 235 33212 31765 70 212 96 216 111 233 31765 30247 68 212 94 217 108 230 30247 28646 67 212 92 221 105 227 28646 26965 69 215 88 224 99 228 26965 25204 72 220 84 228 91 230 25204 23368 71 229 80 236 81 238 23368 21464 72 242 75 247 81 252 21464 19485 64 252 65 247 73 256 19485 17418 53 248 56 256 64 264 17418 15311 52 260 59 263 58 266 15311 13280 53 269 57 258 48 260 13280 11431 47 264 57 263 42 256 11431 9787 40 255 44 259 38 251 9787 8326 34 256 40 248 42 245 8326 7029 31 255 40 242 40 250 7029 5883 32 242 37 238 34 259 5883 4874 32 234 36 234 27 277 4874 3994 29 240 34 251 24 287 3994 3229 26 251 27 279 22 290 3229 2555 26*284 25*291 22*290 2555 1960 26*288 24*292 21*289 1960 1464 26 289 23 292 20 288 1464 1084 25 289 22 292 19 287 1084 822 24 289 20 292 17 287 822 663 21 289 18 292 15 286 663 572 16 289 14 291 11 286 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography