DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.5 - - 23.8 - - 25.5 - - 25.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 56 - - 16 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 482 - - 966 - - 1346 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1077 - - 1561 - - 1941 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 413 - - 1018 - - 436 - - 1550 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 84 - - 154 - - 116 - - 7 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 024 - - 334 - - 312 - - 147 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -380 - - 169 - - 284 - - -599 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1457 - - 1392 - - 1657 - - 1171 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9317 - - -94 - - 83 - - -838 ODpotential blCL - - - 10394 - - 1655 - - 1858 - - 1410 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 91 - - 99 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.5 - - 23.8 - - 25.5 - - 25.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 16.7 - - 20.3 - - 20.8 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.5 - - 23.6 - - 25.5 - - 25.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.2 - - 19.4 - - 20.1 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 18 - - 56 - - 16 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 482 - - 966 - - 1346 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 76 - - 65 - - 96 - - 76 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95966 22 278 20 273 19 285 19 254 95966 88764 14 303 21 258 28 284 21 314 88764 83215 12 293 14 254 27 273 23 300 83215 78577 24 287 14 276 25 263 32 296 78577 74571 27 280 23 280 27 266 32 284 74571 71016 26 280 29 277 28 275 33 285 71016 67798 27 273 34 274 36 286 46 283 67798 64861 30 270 40 271 43 283 48 275 64861 62137 40 275 46 274 46 274 47 276 62137 59480 52 274 48 263 52 279 51 279 59480 56688 64 272 59 277 64 276 58 281 56688 53781 68 274 70 273 72 272 73 279 53781 51009 72 275 75 272 78 273 81 276 51009 48516 73 273 78 273 85 274 84 278 48516 46284 73 273 82 273 90 273 90 279 46284 44262 74 275 85 272 91 272 91 277 44262 42412 73 277 85 273 91 273 88 275 42412 40708 71 278 86 273 89 275 83 276 40708 39128 68 281 84 272 83 280 77 280 39128 37657 67 284 78 279 81 288 77 286 37657 36281 64 285 81 289 82 290 81 289 36281 34958 60 289 87 292 85 292 82 291 34958 33619 64 298 85 292 87 295 84 291 33619 32236 72 301 79 293 88 295 83 289 32236 30814 73 300 78 298 82 295 78 288 30814 29338 70 298 87 300 74 301 70 293 29338 27792 68 302 96 297 69 305 69 301 27792 26170 68 310 98 298 73 302 68 306 26170 24468 67 316 86 300 75 298 66 306 24468 22689 65 318 75 303 71 294 63 302 22689 20834 58 317 69 307 66 294 60 299 20834 18906 45 308 68 307 57 301 50 296 18906 16899 37 307 64 316 53 310 42 290 16899 14848 33 306 52 316 46 317 34 293 14848 12866 33 304 36 312 36 313 37 300 12866 11067 23 308 29 311 33 304 34 305 11067 9479 18 309 29 312 28 304 28 304 9479 8071 16 306 22 308 28 297 26 302 8071 6819 13 307 16 309 25 291 29 304 6819 5709 15 316 14 310 18 291 24 300 5709 4734 17 323 13 317 15 302 17 295 4734 3883 17 315 11 328 16 309 8 288 3883 3138 14 315 11 325 13 311 7 266 3138 2478 11 319 10 316 8*310 7 242 2478 1902 6 001 5*336 3*312 5 207 1902 1426 7*032 4*334 3 311 4 174 1426 1061 7*027 4 335 3 313 4 160 1061 810 5 023 4 333 3 312 4 153 810 658 5 021 3 332 2 313 4*149 658 571 4 021 3 332 2 312 3*147 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography