DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.9 - - 85.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 200 - - 87 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2414 - - 5086 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1933 - - 3398 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3009 - - 5681 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 5084 - - 4066 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 324 - - 322 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 20 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 270 - - 279 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 9 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 7 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -6166 - - -3945 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 9175 - - 9627 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8872 - - -6507 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11881 - - 12188 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 54 - - 61 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.9 - - 85.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.6 - - 45.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.8 - - 84.9 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.4 - - 43.8 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 200 - - 87 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2414 - - 5086 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96596 9 232 15 267 96596 89439 4 264 7 218 89439 83904 10 240 5 185 83904 79323 4 009 6 231 79323 75378 8 006 7 246 75378 71872 4 312 7 285 71872 68698 13 357 9 342 68698 65788 18 345 12 344 65788 63079 9 299 13 302 63079 60442 13 294 22 279 60442 57672 22 312 24 299 57672 54795 34 335 41 308 54795 52049 46 321 54 315 52049 49563 52 323 57 316 49563 47334 67 329 60 324 47334 45318 71 329 66 330 45318 43484 75 333 83 335 43484 41819 86 338 93 336 41819 40293 91 340 91 340 40293 38866 85 341 90 345 38866 37517 77 341 88 346 37517 36208 70 342 80 343 36208 34874 67 343 71 338 34874 33485 65 341 65 338 33485 32043 62 339 61 341 32043 30533 60 332 57 343 30533 28944 58 327 54 342 28944 27277 57 326 52 337 27277 25533 54 323 51 329 25533 23712 52 321 51 327 23712 21816 50 322 49 329 21816 19836 48 326 46 326 19836 17767 44 330 38 326 17767 15654 37 329 29 315 15654 13616 27 319 33 306 13616 11763 34 300 42 299 11763 10114 34 298 34 289 10114 8645 28 302 32 291 8645 7338 24 301 32 296 7338 6175 21 300 29*292 6175 5143 21 301 23*282 5143 4232 22 297 21 280 4232 3427 22*287 21 279 3427 2706 19*274 20 278 2706 2067 18 271 20 278 2067 1534 17 270 19 277 1534 1125 16 269 19 277 1125 844 15 269 18 277 844 673 14 268 16 277 673 575 12 268 13 276 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography