DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - - - - 0959z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - - - - 81.6 - - 73.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - - - - 51 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - - - - 3657 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - - - - 2030 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - - - - 4252 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - - - - 1227 - - 2790 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - - - - 256 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - - - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - - - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - - - - 340 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - - - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - - - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - - - - -2626 - - -4645 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - - - - 6878 - - 5220 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - - - - -8812 - - -11919 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - - - - 13064 - - 12494 blCL maxRH - - - - - - - - - 99 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - - - - 70 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - - - - 81.6 - - 73.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - - - - 53.6 - - 52.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - - - - 81.4 - - 75.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - - - - 52.3 - - 52.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - - - - 51 - - -41 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - - - - 3657 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - - - - 94 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - - - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98775 7 125 5 074 98775 91393 3 166 6 108 91393 85662 6 169 5 026 85662 80894 4 121 3 101 80894 76788 2 264 4 110 76788 73155 5 224 4 206 73155 69867 8 286 7 268 69867 66849 14 277 12 302 66849 64070 15 274 17 290 64070 61393 15 246 21 258 61393 58616 19 285 17 277 58616 55756 43 288 33 298 55756 53065 49 273 50 281 53065 50678 48 275 49 283 50678 48542 55 285 58 294 48542 46604 61 284 66 292 46604 44818 59 279 61 284 44818 43151 58 275 60 281 43151 41585 57 273 59 280 41585 40106 58 272 60 280 40106 38703 58 273 60 278 38703 37339 58 274 61 277 37339 35948 58 274 59 276 35948 34498 57 275 59 272 34498 32996 58 276 55 267 32996 31423 57 274 54 271 31423 29766 55 279 52 278 29766 28027 51 290 48 283 28027 26206 42 292 45 292 26206 24307 40 283 44 301 24307 22332 40 289 38 298 22332 20272 34 292 32 290 20272 18124 34 268 28 295 18124 15935 29 263 23 294 15935 13828 25 254 25 295 13828 11912 22 262 27 284 11912 10206 20 276 22 290 10206 8693 17 271 15 279 8693 7352 14 249 14 261 7352 6163 9 261 12 268 6163 5117 9*327 4 286 5117 4201 13*337 6 028 4201 3397 16 340 12 027 3397 2680 18 341 18 020 2680 2048 18 341 20 017 2048 1522 19 341 20 015 1522 1117 18 341 18 013 1117 839 18 341 16 011 839 670 16 341 13*011 670 574 13 341 8*009 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography