DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/12 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.8 - - 89.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 255 - - 105 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5302 - - 5674 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4179 - - 3899 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5897 - - 6269 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1269 - - 1433 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 449 - - 344 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 18 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 228 - - 228 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 8 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - -4 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1109 - - -1117 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7006 - - 7386 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4820 - - -4704 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10717 - - 10973 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 70 - - 79 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 90 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.8 - - 89.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 59.0 - - 58.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 86.4 - - 88.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 58.7 - - 58.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 255 - - 105 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5302 - - 5674 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97205 36 280 30 280 97205 90118 21 270 23 287 90118 84636 14 295 17 281 84636 80053 10 327 11 269 80053 76093 9 341 7 308 76093 72592 9 337 7 338 72592 69430 4 331 7 003 69430 66540 1 222 4 282 66540 63880 6 333 3 317 63880 61323 13 311 11 308 61323 58665 12 319 7 300 58665 55911 20 308 16 302 55911 53291 24 299 20 293 53291 50924 25 305 25 290 50924 48778 29 308 31 292 48778 46802 37 299 39 297 46802 44969 43 296 48 291 44969 43258 49 292 51 295 43258 41650 54 291 61 297 41650 40133 57 291 65 298 40133 38694 59 288 69 299 38694 37296 63 284 70 296 37296 35871 68 288 70 294 35871 34391 69 290 71 293 34391 32863 63 290 67 294 32863 31273 53 287 56 294 31273 29618 46 275 46 288 29618 27901 43 269 44 275 27901 26106 44 277 44 267 26106 24226 39 288 39 277 24226 22267 32 286 31 289 22267 20226 27 275 25 293 20226 18097 26 268 25 282 18097 15932 24 269 24 281 15932 13848 21 272 20 284 13848 11949 17 274 19 285 11949 10259 16 261 16 275 10259 8758 21 250 18 264 8758 7429 25 241 21*249 7429 6250 21*235 20*233 6250 5205 20*232 20 229 5205 4282 20 231 19 228 4282 3466 19 230 19 227 3466 2734 18 227 19 227 2734 2088 18 226 18 226 2088 1548 17 225 17 226 1548 1133 17 224 17 226 1133 848 16 224 16 226 848 675 15 224 15 225 675 575 13 224 13 225 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography