DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 04/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 39.4 - - 45.9 - - 50.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 106 - - 212 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2019 - - 1642 - - 1964 - - 2015 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1583 - - 943 - - 1617 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2614 - - 2237 - - 2559 - - 2610 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 723 - - 658 - - 478 - - 1042 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 289 - - 228 - - 304 - - 51 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 11 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 076 - - 082 - - 073 - - 096 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -5 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1728 - - 467 - - -73 - - -1911 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4342 - - 1770 - - 2632 - - 4522 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9518 - - 424 - - -6817 - - -8597 ODpotential blCL - - - 12132 - - 1813 - - 9376 - - 11207 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 100 - - 91 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 42.5 - - 39.4 - - 45.9 - - 50.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 26.0 - - 34.2 - - 36.7 - - 33.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.6 - - 38.7 - - 44.7 - - 50.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 25.9 - - 33.4 - - 35.7 - - 32.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 106 - - 212 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2019 - - 1642 - - 1964 - - 2015 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 100 - - 64 - - 47 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96589 32 236 40 235 47 249 50 258 96589 89297 31 251 31 243 40 254 40 250 89297 83680 31 257 25 258 32 258 38 245 83680 79029 27 253 23 256 24 249 30 255 79029 75045 25 280 23 259 24 252 29 264 75045 71528 28 282 27 271 27 261 35 275 71528 68333 32 291 30 279 34 275 36 276 68333 65384 39 288 36 283 36 273 40 280 65384 62643 39 278 44 283 39 274 42 281 62643 59971 39 275 50 281 44 283 44 282 59971 57165 46 281 51 278 52 283 50 280 57165 54243 55 283 51 277 55 281 50 277 54243 51449 59 280 53 278 55 284 48 277 51449 48937 57 279 54 277 56 283 49 283 48937 46697 55 282 53 277 54 277 52 286 46697 44680 56 282 54 277 52 274 53 283 44680 42847 56 281 56 273 54 279 51 279 42847 41169 57 282 58 273 59 283 50 280 41169 39632 62 283 59 277 64 281 53 283 39632 38215 66 282 63 282 63 279 56 281 38215 36888 68 283 67 284 63 280 56 277 36888 35604 68 284 67 284 63 281 56 278 35604 34294 65 284 65 284 61 282 56 278 34294 32929 63 280 62 283 58 281 52 275 32929 31512 63 278 59 282 56 280 45 274 31512 30024 60 276 56 280 52 283 38 289 30024 28456 55 278 54 282 49 288 46 299 28456 26812 53 278 52 285 44 296 53 301 26812 25088 49 273 48 284 46 293 45 300 25088 23285 37 273 42 283 45 285 34 293 23285 21402 41 291 37 283 41 285 31 283 21402 19436 48 302 31 280 33 288 31 277 19436 17381 40 294 27 279 31 285 31 266 17381 15279 47 294 31 286 32 282 33 255 15279 13247 48 289 37 299 28 290 28 253 13247 11400 45 287 36 301 27 298 18 260 11400 9765 41 286 39 284 30 286 21 286 9765 8319 36 278 40 274 31 284 22 298 8319 7036 28 260 35 265 30 285 22 304 7036 5898 11 262 22 254 21 278 20 304 5898 4894 12 329 5 276 8 242 13 295 4894 4017 13 022 4 034 2 113 8 157 4017 3252 17*075 12 085 10*083 11*120 3252 2571 17*077 13*087 11*076 12*103 2571 1972 17 076 12*085 11 074 11 098 1972 1471 16 076 12 082 11 073 11 095 1471 1088 16 076 11 081 10 072 11 093 1088 824 15 075 11 080 10 072 10 092 824 664 14 075 10 080 9 071 9 091 664 572 11 075 8 080 8 071 7 089 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography