DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 71.1 - - 65.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 121 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1633 - - 1465 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1332 - - 941 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2228 - - 2060 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1640 - - 1696 - - 1932 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 274 - - 230 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 199 - - 201 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4202 - - -4501 - - -3585 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6431 - - 6561 - - 4160 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7412 - - -7189 - - -7418 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9640 - - 9249 - - 7993 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 96 - - 92 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 69.5 - - 71.1 - - 65.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 43.5 - - 44.6 - - 49.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.6 - - 70.3 - - 67.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 42.3 - - 43.9 - - 48.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 121 - - -34 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1633 - - 1465 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 84 - - 69 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96617 13 251 18 257 10 277 96617 89496 4 198 8 246 12 263 89496 84003 4 001 4 164 6 283 84003 79444 1 324 4 019 12 344 79444 75516 8 027 6 025 7 330 75516 72016 12 014 8 030 4 358 72016 68824 12 318 14 329 12 342 68824 65883 11 288 15 316 19 320 65883 63143 18 292 26 293 24 309 63143 60495 25 274 29 274 33 312 60495 57737 21 283 28 287 30 314 57737 54853 24 321 35 329 37 330 54853 52069 52 326 48 323 48 331 52069 49550 65 324 60 326 56 327 49550 47299 76 328 76 327 67 333 47299 45268 82 329 79 331 85 334 45268 43417 85 333 90 338 94 333 43417 41722 104 335 106 332 103 335 41722 40167 118 329 116 328 117 335 40167 38720 112 323 115 325 122 332 38720 37355 93 325 99 326 114 332 37355 36032 103 346 92 340 104 337 36032 34689 114 346 103 347 104 343 34689 33298 114 343 106 344 99 340 33298 31856 109 340 104 339 93 336 31856 30346 103 336 104 338 91 334 30346 28755 92 333 93 335 84 338 28755 27084 80 335 85 330 76 335 27084 25338 64 336 75 333 73 335 25338 23520 56 331 54 339 60 340 23520 21633 51 329 46 341 44 340 21633 19667 43 323 42 338 35 338 19667 17613 39 320 39 337 29 336 17613 15514 35 325 33 326 23 336 15514 13486 32 311 26 321 20 311 13486 11638 31 313 28 305 18 300 11638 9993 28 323 28 304 19 292 9993 8532 20 305 22 311 16 283 8532 7232 20 266 17 314 10 281 7232 6076 20 260 16 292 16 270 6076 5054 20 246 15 276 20 254 5054 4155 17 234 18 250 19 242 4155 3363 16 225 19 235 17 229 3363 2655 15*213 18*227 16 216 2655 2030 13*202 14*213 17 198 2030 1509 12 199 11 200 17 190 1509 1110 11 198 11 197 17 185 1110 835 10 198 10 196 15 182 835 669 10 197 10 195 12*180 669 574 8 197 9 195 7*177 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography