DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.7 - - 85.5 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 132 - - -11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5147 - - 667 - - 383 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3702 - - 559 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5742 - - 1262 - - 978 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3281 - - 7397 - - 1091 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 362 - - 93 - - 53 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 215 - - 205 - - 270 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 15 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -456 - - -3352 - - -158 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6198 - - 4614 - - 1136 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1255 - - -4724 - - -3141 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6997 - - 5986 - - 4119 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 98 - - 98 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 160 - - 550 - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 87.7 - - 85.5 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.4 - - 67.0 - - 71.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.1 - - 86.2 - - 75.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.0 - - 66.0 - - 71.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 132 - - -11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5147 - - 667 - - 383 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 93 - - 92 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97956 20 238 20 255 22 240 97956 90657 14 241 15 256 14 274 90657 85002 9 259 14 248 9 291 85002 80330 6 294 9 254 7 268 80330 76336 3 277 6 250 7 299 76336 72800 1 221 7 216 7 306 72800 69588 3 214 7 207 5 269 69588 66650 7 186 4 248 7 212 66650 63947 6 158 7 281 11 204 63947 61341 14 238 13 253 14 221 61341 58637 19 225 27 230 25 239 58637 55839 25 225 36 215 38 225 55839 53172 33 242 37 228 44 230 53172 50786 45 250 48 243 57 236 50786 48647 54 244 57 239 63 237 48647 46694 58 240 60 237 63 233 46694 44894 58 242 60 238 60 234 44894 43214 60 242 59 236 62 238 43214 41636 60 236 58 237 65 240 41636 40148 58 235 58 240 61 235 40148 38734 57 237 56 240 58 229 38734 37355 54 237 52 239 61 230 37355 35947 45 233 47 240 59 231 35947 34484 41 228 41 239 54 229 34484 32967 40 223 41 232 53 232 32967 31378 36 224 44 227 52 233 31378 29705 36 229 47 231 47 232 29705 27952 40 234 52 236 44 232 27952 26122 41 233 52 239 50 227 26122 24223 43 227 49 236 52 224 24223 22253 45 224 49 231 46 230 22253 20202 48 222 47 231 42 234 20202 18068 44 221 42 230 39 239 18068 15895 39 219 39 234 35 241 15895 13803 34 212 38 228 33 243 13803 11902 30 209 39 225 33 249 11902 10215 27 213 37 219 32 238 10215 8720 27 225 35 215 32 227 8720 7392 31 231 32 209 32 219 7392 6214 30*228 30 202 31 214 6214 5170 27*220 29 201 29 212 5170 4249 25 216 28 200 26 215 4249 3435 24 215 27 200 23 220 3435 2707 24 214 26 201 21 227 2707 2065 23 213 25 201 21 232 2065 1532 23 213 23*203 19 242 1532 1124 22 213 21*204 15*257 1124 843 21 212 18 205 12*268 843 672 19 213 15 205 10 271 672 575 15 212 12 206 8 273 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography