DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 02/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.2 - - 56.1 - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 59 - - 28 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 988 - - 1531 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 557 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1583 - - 2126 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 573 - - 841 - - 1022 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 167 - - 159 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 16 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 182 - - 188 - - 158 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -193 - - 488 - - -123 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1776 - - 1638 - - 696 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -6154 - - -4994 - - -7345 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7737 - - 7120 - - 7918 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 85 - - 89 - - 89 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 53.2 - - 56.1 - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.5 - - 50.9 - - 47.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 52.9 - - 56.1 - - 49.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.3 - - 49.8 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 59 - - 28 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 988 - - 1531 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 40 - - 55 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96720 19 067 24 074 23 080 96720 89614 27 088 16 084 17 062 89614 84051 18 098 14 100 8 077 84051 79400 9 115 3 077 8 054 79400 75374 6 119 6 293 3 037 75374 71811 3 238 9 292 3 291 71811 68582 10 259 12 279 13 285 68582 65610 19 281 17 262 26 269 65610 62866 26 285 23 275 26 264 62866 60215 35 287 29 287 28 276 60215 57446 42 278 41 283 36 284 57446 54569 48 273 48 278 48 282 54569 51826 56 279 58 277 61 283 51826 49359 71 277 70 280 77 282 49359 47145 78 276 81 280 81 280 47145 45140 83 279 84 281 81 283 45140 43324 86 281 86 286 84 290 43324 41669 85 287 97 291 98 290 41669 40147 94 295 107 292 105 287 40147 38726 103 297 111 291 101 286 38726 37378 106 298 108 292 97 287 37378 36067 102 297 101 294 98 288 36067 34728 93 295 94 294 98 289 34728 33335 88 293 92 293 95 290 33335 31890 86 289 89 293 90 291 31890 30377 86 286 84 290 87 291 30377 28783 84 283 84 287 84 291 28783 27107 83 284 82 285 79 289 27107 25350 74 287 79 283 72 284 25350 23517 74 286 74 284 69 279 23517 21611 74 282 67 286 66 278 21611 19626 62 277 62 278 56 279 19626 17552 48 276 54 276 50 280 17552 15431 33 278 48 277 45 280 15431 13381 28 281 39 268 42 279 13381 11515 31 262 36 257 38 268 11515 9863 25 264 28 250 31 251 9863 8404 22 269 21 255 23 246 8404 7112 21 269 20 259 20 243 7112 5968 20 254 21 250 19 240 5968 4957 19 235 23 240 20 235 4957 4068 20 223 25 230 23 229 4068 3287 21 212 24 219 26 219 3287 2592 22 203 22*211 25 214 2592 1983 20*197 19*194 23 202 1983 1477 15*184 18 189 22 182 1477 1091 14 182 17 186 20 171 1091 825 13 181 16 185 17 164 825 664 12 181 14 184 14*161 664 572 10 180 11 183 8*158 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography