DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 12/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 12.8 - - 19.9 - - 21.7 - - 13.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 57 - - 16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 891 - - 907 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 553 - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 571 - - 1486 - - 1502 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 635 - - 465 - - 595 - - 1052 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 12 - - 152 - - 102 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 7 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 356 - - 014 - - 005 - - 042 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1502 - - -1403 - - -1317 - - -1173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2073 - - 2889 - - 2819 - - 1744 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17812 - - -16188 - - -14366 - - -15222 ODpotential blCL - - - 18383 - - 17674 - - 15868 - - 15793 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 91 - - 74 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 12.8 - - 19.9 - - 21.7 - - 13.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.3 - - 9.7 - - 11.8 - - 8.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 13.0 - - 19.6 - - 21.8 - - 17.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.8 - - 8.6 - - 10.8 - - 10.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 57 - - 16 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 891 - - 907 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 62 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96324 11 021 13 038 11 093 6 316 96324 89183 5 337 6 028 5 008 10 343 89183 83648 7 292 5 264 11 318 15 309 83648 79039 14 298 4 284 8 310 12 257 79039 75038 20 289 16 299 18 306 14 306 75038 71497 25 278 24 278 28 292 24 301 71497 68298 27 286 25 276 32 274 27 280 68298 65339 31 289 27 272 32 269 29 284 65339 62580 34 282 30 269 38 279 42 287 62580 59909 38 274 38 273 49 275 44 275 59909 57107 42 272 47 266 51 267 43 275 57107 54186 51 270 54 264 56 267 51 280 54186 51402 65 272 66 262 62 268 59 279 51402 48909 76 262 76 263 73 266 71 273 48909 46693 79 260 87 260 82 262 79 264 46693 44693 88 265 89 259 88 258 79 258 44693 42856 104 265 97 257 92 255 80 259 42856 41156 115 260 109 256 97 254 89 259 41156 39577 139 255 126 256 108 254 98 259 39577 38100 151 253 135 252 126 254 105 260 38100 36708 152 252 143 252 138 252 112 259 36708 35359 151 252 149 252 142 251 121 258 35359 33986 155 253 148 252 143 252 123 257 33986 32559 154 253 144 252 141 252 123 257 32559 31085 145 254 144 251 139 250 124 256 31085 29549 139 254 145 249 136 247 121 254 29549 27939 134 253 141 249 135 245 120 250 27939 26255 127 254 131 251 133 245 120 246 26255 24498 114 256 120 251 124 246 108 247 24498 22682 103 256 102 252 106 247 81 253 22682 20820 92 259 93 248 86 247 64 259 20820 18891 79 256 87 251 70 253 53 262 18891 16874 61 268 56 264 50 263 43 257 16874 14810 47 261 45 266 38 270 37 262 14810 12820 38 266 30 269 30 271 30 268 12820 11014 31 267 24 273 24 269 26 268 11014 9412 28 274 24 275 24 273 25 271 9412 7992 24 285 19 276 21 267 23 268 7992 6739 20 302 12 290 16 266 19 269 6739 5640 17 323 9 319 9 278 12 265 5640 4677 15 335 7 342 4 302 8 261 4677 3837 12 360 6 040 1 037 4 262 3837 3102 14 020 10 059 5 074 2 142 3102 2452 15 034 11 053 7 055 4 103 2452 1884 18 045 10*038 8*017 6 074 1884 1413 19 038 8*019 8*006 7 050 1413 1053 16 029 7 014 8 005 7 044 1053 806 10 009 7 012 8 004 7 042 806 656 9*006 6 011 7 003 5*040 656 570 4*356 6 011 6 002 3*042 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography