DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/21 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 70.5 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 69 - - 34 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1492 - - 1568 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 557 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2087 - - 2163 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 849 - - 1242 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 201 - - 164 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 007 - - 015 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -4 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 771 - - 761 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1316 - - 1402 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 350 - - 330 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1737 - - 1833 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 370 - - 190 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.4 - - 70.5 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 66.3 - - 66.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.9 - - 70.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.5 - - 65.4 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 69 - - 34 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1492 - - 1568 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 13 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98256 15 181 5 254 98256 90856 11 158 7 205 90856 85144 4 008 11 195 85144 80402 10 320 4 194 80402 76317 9 294 8 323 76317 72728 6 285 9 296 72728 69508 5 323 2 291 69508 66557 9 342 3 018 66557 63818 5 036 8 358 63818 61166 8 046 6 349 61166 58404 6 015 1 294 58404 55556 11 280 10 265 55556 52846 16 264 17 270 52846 50394 28 258 31 259 50394 48183 35 247 37 242 48183 46162 39 231 40 241 46162 44308 38 233 43 237 44308 42602 43 235 43 235 42602 41021 47 231 49 236 41021 39547 52 226 55 234 39547 38161 57 226 54 235 38161 36824 57 223 47 233 36824 35466 53 224 32 233 35466 34051 48 229 32 258 34051 32579 29 259 39 270 32579 31038 29 282 39 262 31038 29414 31 280 30 248 29414 27708 27 273 25 253 27708 25921 23 271 29 266 25921 24052 20 273 28 265 24052 22106 17 266 23 253 22106 20075 19 259 23 258 20075 17957 22 253 22 260 17957 15801 19 261 20 265 15801 13727 14 277 15 275 13727 11837 14 276 13 281 11837 10149 16 268 15 278 10149 8648 16 266 17 272 8648 7316 12 266 11 292 7316 6140 4 275 11 300 6140 5104 7 321 10 303 5104 4192 11 329 9 322 4192 3389 11 329 7 347 3389 2674 8*355 7*012 2674 2044 8*005 7*014 2044 1519 8 007 7 015 1519 1116 8 007 7 016 1116 839 8 008 7 016 839 671 7 008 7 016 671 574 6 008 6 016 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography