DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0702z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 88.9 - - 90.6 - - 86.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 64 - - -16 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1826 - - 3077 - - 3895 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 559 - - 2017 - - 559 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2421 - - 3672 - - 4490 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 954 - - 881 - - 1484 - - 4308 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 215 - - 278 - - 216 - - 23 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 238 - - 218 - - 205 - - 193 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -3 - - 3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -143 - - -48 - - 400 - - -1750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2564 - - 3720 - - 4090 - - 2327 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5177 - - -4636 - - -4041 - - -6030 ODpotential blCL - - - 7598 - - 8308 - - 8531 - - 6607 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 75 - - 70 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 2690 - - 2800 - - 3220 - - 4390 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.7 - - 88.9 - - 90.6 - - 86.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 75.0 - - 74.2 - - 74.3 - - 77.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.5 - - 88.7 - - 91.3 - - 88.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.8 - - 72.8 - - 72.9 - - 76.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 64 - - -16 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1826 - - 3077 - - 3895 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - 16 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99121 39 087 30 115 28 102 29 072 99121 91614 33 092 30 097 27 108 21 080 91614 85840 26 089 33 089 25 104 20 095 85840 81049 25 085 27 083 24 084 22 093 81049 76939 22 088 25 082 21 076 20 093 76939 73326 22 087 19 083 20 089 15 098 73326 70065 19 085 17 080 20 087 13 103 70065 67073 8 088 12 069 19 085 16 098 67073 64300 4 103 6 116 9 078 13 056 64300 61628 8 078 10 125 5 144 7 358 61628 58869 7 005 4 078 3 181 2 277 58869 56029 2 181 8 239 8 251 8 269 56029 53351 9 270 7 271 3 298 4 270 53351 50967 16 284 15 312 10 347 8 022 50967 48826 17 280 13 301 15 301 13 339 48826 46864 12 277 9 288 14 266 16 302 46864 45055 11 313 4 332 8 184 15 250 45055 43383 8 264 6 334 5 235 15 206 43383 41820 9 233 8 265 7 247 14 187 41820 40344 10 275 8 252 9 204 13 207 40344 38942 9 279 5 263 11 192 17 204 38942 37576 5 269 3 201 8 186 19 189 37576 36182 9 239 6 182 8 180 17 194 36182 34729 16 217 14 207 10 202 18 223 34729 33225 19 208 22 211 22 222 26 225 33225 31654 21 216 26 211 25 218 27 213 31654 29998 23 229 25 215 23 214 28 208 29998 28259 21 228 23 217 25 215 27 210 28259 26440 20 208 22 208 26 214 24 215 26440 24542 21 192 23 196 24 217 23 222 24542 22564 17 197 20 200 26 228 24 228 22564 20500 19 217 22 222 27 232 21 234 20500 18354 26 219 27 223 25 231 18 233 18354 16173 31 226 31 230 28 232 22 228 16173 14070 34 229 36 236 32 237 26 231 14070 12149 31 229 34 238 34 241 28 241 12149 10434 27 229 27 240 28 243 30 250 10434 8907 23 233 23 239 23 246 26 249 8907 7551 21 236 20 234 20 245 21 238 7551 6349 19 236 20 235 18 237 19 228 6349 5285 20 242 18 245 18*222 19 216 5285 4347 23 256 16*240 17*208 20 212 4347 3517 22 257 11*221 17 207 20 210 3517 2773 19*255 11 219 16 205 20 207 2773 2114 13*243 11 218 15 203 20 204 2114 1565 11 238 10 217 15 203 19 201 1565 1143 10 236 10 217 14 202 17 199 1143 853 10 236 9 217 13 202 14 196 853 676 9 236 8 216 12 201 11*194 676 576 7 235 7 216 9 201 7*193 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography