DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.2 - - 83.4 - - 80.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 91 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4311 - - 5672 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3318 - - 3940 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4906 - - 6267 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1568 - - 941 - - 6321 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 390 - - 350 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 18 - - 19 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 044 - - 077 - - 101 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 266 - - 1163 - - -3519 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4640 - - 5104 - - 4095 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5669 - - 80 - - -4407 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10575 - - 6187 - - 4983 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 73 - - 81 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.2 - - 83.4 - - 80.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 62.7 - - 62.9 - - 64.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.1 - - 82.8 - - 82.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 61.3 - - 61.5 - - 63.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 181 - - 91 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4311 - - 5672 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 25 - - 22 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99456 33 086 37 088 26 093 99456 91872 31 094 36 091 27 080 91872 86059 31 090 27 088 30 087 86059 81284 27 087 25 088 28 088 81284 77191 23 089 20 083 23 092 77191 73580 19 085 14 089 17 094 73580 70306 17 097 14 089 12 094 70306 67295 16 080 15 099 7 077 67295 64515 9 062 13 099 8 066 64515 61828 8 048 9 113 5 042 61828 59030 4 018 8 043 6 016 59030 56140 9 008 10 017 9 359 56140 53394 16 353 13 341 16 336 53394 50943 22 357 15 335 18 318 50943 48759 27 343 19 340 15 323 48759 46769 29 350 30 338 22 336 46769 44934 36 348 32 336 25 337 44934 43227 40 348 36 340 29 339 43227 41631 43 351 39 342 33 339 41631 40134 47 354 40 343 34 339 40134 38719 41 354 37 346 33 341 38719 37347 32 349 31 345 32 340 37347 35951 27 352 28 338 29 337 35951 34504 23 358 28 332 27 335 34504 33011 12 342 24 331 24 338 33011 31448 5 347 20 328 20 338 31448 29800 8 003 20 331 15 336 29800 28068 12 003 17 342 13 334 28068 26251 13 008 10 338 11 334 26251 24349 12 019 6 344 7 325 24349 22366 11 023 4 020 5 296 22366 20298 8 014 5 023 2 279 20298 18144 5 015 4 010 2 338 18144 15953 5 043 1 087 2 313 15953 13841 5 046 5 069 1 019 13841 11920 6 047 8 064 4 087 11920 10219 7 052 8 072 7 103 10219 8717 8 066 8 076 8 111 8717 7389 8 076 5*072 3 121 7389 6216 6 068 4*073 2 124 6216 5177 4*048 3 074 3 118 5177 4260 4*044 3 075 3 111 4260 3448 4 043 4 076 4 109 3448 2720 4 042 3 079 5 106 2720 2078 4 044 3 080 5 105 2078 1541 4 044 3 082 5 105 1541 1129 4 046 3 082 5 103 1129 846 4 047 3 082 5 103 846 674 4 048 3 083 4*102 674 575 3 047 3 082 4*101 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography