DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 23.5 - - 24.6 - - 21.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 323 - - 199 - - 55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2705 - - 3062 - - 2338 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2301 - - 2386 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3300 - - 3657 - - 2933 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1341 - - 869 - - 1614 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 389 - - 346 - - 207 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 30 - - 28 - - 26 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 302 - - 299 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 11 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1507 - - 1739 - - 1173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1793 - - 1918 - - 1760 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 1130 - - 1303 - - 799 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 2170 - - 2354 - - 2134 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 23.5 - - 24.6 - - 21.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 17.8 - - 18.4 - - 16.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 22.4 - - 23.9 - - 21.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 16.7 - - 17.3 - - 15.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 323 - - 199 - - 55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2705 - - 3062 - - 2338 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 102 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96657 30 252 22 263 31 261 96657 89416 12 267 9 223 17 273 89416 83845 10 276 7 224 14 277 83845 79207 7 271 4 214 8 275 79207 75193 2 067 3 354 3 316 75193 71634 7 010 2 056 5 305 71634 68402 10 321 7 335 7 324 68402 65422 4 014 11 293 13 318 65422 62641 13 307 16 296 19 325 62641 59915 15 258 21 282 23 305 59915 57030 27 265 24 269 27 273 57030 54002 37 253 29 257 32 259 54002 51094 38 244 34 257 33 259 51094 48475 36 245 36 260 31 264 48475 46129 36 249 33 262 32 270 46129 44004 34 250 31 264 33 277 44004 42061 32 255 32 268 35 287 42061 40268 34 259 35 269 40 293 40268 38602 36 258 34 269 45 294 38602 37048 35 254 35 271 48 293 37048 35593 34 250 36 273 50 291 35593 34198 33 252 36 275 51 291 34198 32794 33 254 34 278 48 292 32794 31351 34 251 33 282 46 297 31351 29874 32 247 33 289 47 299 29874 28348 28 247 33 293 49 299 28348 26767 23 248 33 291 49 298 26767 25138 21 258 33 286 46 298 25138 23464 21 292 28 287 39 295 23464 21741 23 292 29 286 32 292 21741 19958 21 276 29 279 32 293 19958 18106 22 293 25 288 38 302 18106 16182 31 312 25 307 42 312 16182 14224 38 311 33 317 39 311 14224 12341 41 312 38 318 33 304 12341 10637 45 319 37 321 31 300 10637 9125 43 324 37 322 31 294 9125 7786 45 330 38 325 30 293 7786 6595 45 327 36 327 27 298 6595 5539 38 323 33 323 27 299 5539 4610 31 315 30 311 30 297 4610 3799 31*307 29*299 30 296 3799 3086 32*304 30*299 30*297 3086 2448 32 303 29 299 30*298 2448 1885 32 302 29 299 28 299 1885 1415 31 302 28 299 27 300 1415 1055 30 302 27 299 26 300 1055 807 29 301 26 299 23 301 807 656 26 301 23 299 20 301 656 570 21 301 18 299 16 301 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography