DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.0 - - 67.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 247 - - 112 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2246 - - 2518 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1866 - - 1663 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2841 - - 3113 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1040 - - 805 - - 1719 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 332 - - 265 - - 0 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 156 - - 152 - - 141 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3081 - - -3940 - - -3858 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5922 - - 7053 - - 4432 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11474 - - -11238 - - -13247 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14315 - - 14351 - - 13821 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 52 - - 60 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 65.0 - - 67.5 - - 58.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.6 - - 39.2 - - 41.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 63.6 - - 66.8 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.2 - - 38.9 - - 41.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 247 - - 112 - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2246 - - 2518 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97572 17 260 8 249 15 286 97572 90311 18 245 16 274 16 275 90311 84721 13 226 21 262 14 284 84721 80092 2 207 14 241 11 290 80092 76098 0 350 9 218 10 285 76098 72572 3 283 5 220 7 295 72572 69382 11 307 8 316 6 311 69382 66439 13 295 11 322 8 318 66439 63728 11 260 14 292 17 309 63728 61122 9 261 16 276 19 295 61122 58405 18 302 18 297 20 300 58405 55590 25 301 23 302 22 298 55590 52899 27 297 25 295 27 303 52899 50460 32 295 32 297 36 302 50460 48258 38 292 40 291 39 296 48258 46243 42 289 44 285 40 293 46243 44384 48 288 46 284 43 292 44384 42660 55 289 52 284 47 290 42660 41054 58 288 56 284 52 288 41054 39549 56 285 55 283 55 286 39549 38131 54 283 54 280 55 284 38131 36761 49 283 53 280 56 283 36761 35370 42 279 48 280 57 282 35370 33929 32 269 42 278 54 278 33929 32443 23 252 31 272 46 274 32443 30901 22 242 23 258 35 274 30901 29288 19 237 25 260 34 272 29288 27597 17 241 27 269 34 275 27597 25822 17 255 29 279 29 277 25822 23960 19 268 25 289 20 278 23960 22017 18 273 21 295 20 273 22017 19987 16 279 17 304 9 270 19987 17864 14 277 12 309 8 276 17864 15691 14 269 9 287 11 305 15691 13600 13 259 12 270 6 289 13600 11706 11 241 12 263 9 271 11706 10028 10 223 10 252 10 273 10028 8540 8 215 8 249 8 275 8540 7221 5 194 5 237 5 264 7221 6054 5 170 4 205 4 240 6054 5026 5 155 4 179 4 214 5026 4128 5 147 5 164 5 182 4128 3339 5*156 6*157 7 161 3339 2637 5*157 6*154 7 152 2637 2018 5 157 6 153 7 151 2018 1501 5 156 6 153 7 150 1501 1105 5 155 6 151 7 150 1105 832 5 155 6 150 7 148 832 667 5 154 6 151 6*144 667 573 5 154 6 151 5*141 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography