DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 51.6 - - 59.7 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 146 - - 24 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 518 - - 948 - - 1119 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1113 - - 1543 - - 1714 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 288 - - 322 - - 739 - - 82 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 125 - - 211 - - 127 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 260 - - 250 - - 255 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -44 - - -727 - - -1907 - - -782 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1157 - - 2270 - - 3621 - - 1356 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11234 - - -9336 - - -8854 - - -10832 ODpotential blCL - - - 12347 - - 10879 - - 10568 - - 11406 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 85 - - 67 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 43.4 - - 51.6 - - 59.7 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.6 - - 43.9 - - 46.1 - - 45.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 43.1 - - 50.8 - - 59.6 - - 52.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.3 - - 43.2 - - 45.5 - - 45.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 55 - - 146 - - 24 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 518 - - 948 - - 1119 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 88 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96285 70 254 79 258 76 256 67 261 96285 89141 41 269 45 257 45 260 42 271 89141 83676 28 274 26 266 24 268 31 272 83676 79141 17 281 16 263 19 262 22 266 79141 75212 12 292 8 256 15 276 20 266 75212 71724 14 308 8 316 10 262 13 275 71724 68559 20 294 16 305 13 279 16 287 68559 65639 21 280 19 287 15 271 17 279 65639 62917 23 285 19 284 19 281 21 291 62917 60286 23 283 24 277 25 282 29 295 60286 57550 28 280 25 277 31 278 34 296 57550 54714 27 284 32 297 37 296 39 294 54714 52012 32 284 49 296 49 286 39 298 52012 49571 35 292 49 287 45 285 50 292 49571 47370 43 292 48 291 48 284 51 280 47370 45357 40 289 48 291 48 277 41 287 45357 43509 42 288 51 293 45 298 41 316 43509 41820 46 293 50 295 51 309 50 314 41820 40276 47 291 47 293 49 312 43 303 40276 38848 33 287 42 287 40 316 30 308 38848 37503 29 306 37 284 31 323 30 314 37503 36198 35 318 31 283 27 329 33 315 36198 34868 35 316 28 293 31 319 33 309 34868 33483 37 310 31 300 37 312 35 304 33483 32047 40 309 32 299 42 308 39 305 32047 30542 36 311 33 298 42 309 42 307 30542 28954 35 311 35 299 39 310 40 308 28954 27284 28 297 35 303 37 306 35 308 27284 25533 27 291 32 307 36 303 38 300 25533 23702 30 303 30 308 37 300 40 296 23702 21788 32 306 27 309 35 301 38 298 21788 19789 29 309 24 310 30 301 33 308 19789 17703 29 313 24 315 24 311 27 303 17703 15571 26 313 21 320 18 316 20 303 15571 13511 22 299 17 314 14 300 18 300 13511 11634 20 288 17 302 16 299 20 305 11634 9965 18 292 23 299 19 310 20 313 9965 8483 18 296 28 299 21 314 19 312 8483 7169 18 296 30 298 23 309 20 307 7169 6010 19 302 28 292 27 308 24 310 6010 4991 21 306 23 286 29 306 23 314 4991 4098 21 306 20 289 28 301 19 315 4098 3314 18 304 20 296 26 295 19 308 3314 2617 15 296 21 289 23 287 17 302 2617 2003 15 276 20*282 16*268 16 297 2003 1491 18*264 12*254 14*258 16 295 1491 1098 16*262 11 250 13 255 15 290 1098 829 12 260 11 249 12 253 12 280 829 666 11 259 10 248 10 252 9*267 666 573 9 259 9 247 8 252 5*258 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography