DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.3 - - 81.2 - - 77.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 140 - - 80 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3774 - - 4735 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2816 - - 3189 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4369 - - 5330 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1022 - - 1238 - - 5681 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 349 - - 320 - - 19 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 330 - - 328 - - 340 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -431 - - 772 - - -2750 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4801 - - 4558 - - 3326 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7141 - - -6050 - - -3849 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11510 - - 11380 - - 4425 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 67 - - 89 - - 79 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.3 - - 81.2 - - 77.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 61.3 - - 63.1 - - 64.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 79.5 - - 80.9 - - 79.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 59.9 - - 61.8 - - 64.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 140 - - 80 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3774 - - 4735 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 57 - - 17 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99278 35 097 22 088 23 094 99278 91823 32 089 27 091 26 095 91823 86064 22 090 26 081 25 083 86064 81257 18 100 17 075 21 073 81257 77106 16 086 12 101 14 070 77106 73445 11 064 16 121 7 068 73445 70137 4 091 12 110 4 114 70137 67096 6 105 4 096 4 083 67096 64285 6 077 1 144 2 305 64285 61589 7 004 3 227 5 259 61589 58813 14 311 10 263 11 276 58813 55973 19 263 15 266 15 285 55973 53280 24 250 20 277 26 288 53280 50851 38 252 31 265 40 269 50851 48677 51 253 40 268 42 253 48677 46716 54 248 48 275 42 261 46716 44928 44 243 56 272 57 279 44928 43266 35 244 64 257 60 266 43266 41700 29 246 45 244 54 249 41700 40225 27 257 38 246 42 235 40225 38828 31 272 35 264 38 243 38828 37469 36 283 34 271 41 258 37469 36078 37 288 31 267 41 264 36078 34624 31 283 31 255 40 268 34624 33113 26 269 32 260 41 278 33113 31529 31 263 34 265 36 276 31529 29859 32 262 36 261 33 276 29859 28101 32 258 36 256 34 276 28101 26260 33 259 33 263 30 281 26260 24345 31 273 32 274 23 281 24345 22358 28 273 35 275 23 282 22358 20290 31 272 36 278 28 283 20290 18136 28 292 25 284 25 292 18136 15944 21 296 20 294 25 300 15944 13837 19 295 18 298 23 301 13837 11922 21 290 19 301 24 303 11922 10219 22 291 21 302 25 310 10219 8708 18 298 21 307 25 319 8708 7369 17 309 19 318 22 322 7369 6192 16 318 14*326 14 325 6192 5156 16*330 14*327 11 334 5156 4242 15*329 13 328 11 338 4242 3434 15 330 13 328 11 340 3434 2710 15 330 13 328 11 341 2710 2070 15 330 13 328 11 342 2070 1536 14 330 13 328 11 342 1536 1126 14 330 12 328 10 342 1126 844 13 330 12 328 9 342 844 673 12 330 11 328 7*342 673 575 10 329 9 329 5*340 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography