DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 19.2 - - 22.7 - - 23.8 - - 22.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 67 - - 19 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 487 - - 1546 - - 1895 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1082 - - 2141 - - 2490 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1140 - - 601 - - 504 - - 2631 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 34 - - 192 - - 137 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 21 - - 19 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 285 - - 291 - - 307 - - 295 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -4 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -805 - - 232 - - 676 - - -856 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1887 - - 1909 - - 1815 - - 1428 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15879 - - -13669 - - 438 - - -1450 ODpotential blCL - - - 16961 - - 15810 - - 2052 - - 2022 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 91 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 19.2 - - 22.7 - - 23.8 - - 22.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 13.4 - - 16.9 - - 18.5 - - 18.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 19.6 - - 22.6 - - 23.9 - - 23.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 13.0 - - 15.9 - - 17.8 - - 18.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 67 - - 19 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 487 - - 1546 - - 1895 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 23 - - 65 - - 101 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96160 36 037 28 033 25 023 33 027 96160 89067 36 047 29 051 26 022 25 030 89067 83528 32 047 27 055 25 032 22 032 83528 78892 17 010 12 045 15 013 11 024 78892 74878 6 314 5 324 16 334 12 012 74878 71313 10 317 10 303 14 297 16 311 71313 68077 22 299 16 305 16 282 22 290 68077 65103 32 282 26 296 24 284 29 283 65103 62333 39 268 37 272 33 281 31 275 62333 59630 39 248 43 258 44 264 40 273 59630 56799 36 247 43 256 47 262 49 267 56799 53869 44 263 48 267 60 266 61 268 53869 51085 61 265 64 266 69 261 68 268 51085 48582 74 273 77 266 71 267 78 266 48582 46346 90 271 85 267 77 270 85 264 46346 44330 99 268 90 270 88 267 86 267 44330 42501 102 268 95 270 96 265 92 272 42501 40827 108 268 100 267 101 265 100 271 40827 39279 119 265 105 266 101 265 100 270 39279 37835 125 262 110 265 97 267 97 271 37835 36481 125 261 117 264 101 271 94 274 36481 35177 125 259 117 262 104 272 93 277 35177 33856 123 258 115 262 102 271 93 277 33856 32488 118 258 111 262 99 270 90 272 32488 31071 112 258 107 264 96 270 85 270 31071 29585 108 259 103 265 93 270 83 271 29585 28019 103 259 98 265 90 270 82 271 28019 26378 99 261 90 267 84 270 78 268 26378 24661 95 266 86 269 81 271 71 267 24661 22865 89 269 85 269 79 272 67 268 22865 20989 86 267 85 271 75 273 66 267 20989 19026 84 266 83 276 74 272 62 269 19026 16972 82 269 78 275 72 277 60 277 16972 14869 73 274 71 275 70 281 58 280 14869 12840 61 277 60 279 61 282 53 286 12840 11006 51 280 47 287 49 286 38 292 11006 9397 44 286 35 293 34 291 25 292 9397 7985 40 295 29 299 24 295 20 300 7985 6740 40 298 27 303 19 299 16 310 6740 5646 36 296 26 305 17 319 12 335 5646 4685 33 297 25 302 20 318 14 346 4685 3845 31 302 24 302 23 313 17 355 3845 3114 33 307 27 303 24*312 19 359 3114 2468 37 303 27*301 22*308 19 332 2468 1897 36 295 23*293 21 307 18 320 1897 1423 31*289 22 292 20 307 16 315 1423 1059 27*286 21 291 18 306 14 310 1059 809 23 285 20 291 17 306 10 304 809 657 20 284 18 290 15 305 8*302 657 571 14 284 14 290 11 305 4*295 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography