DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/19 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.5 - - 51.2 - - 49.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 27 - - 16 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 882 - - 1354 - - 478 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 556 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1477 - - 1949 - - 1073 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1809 - - 1328 - - 1787 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 120 - - 119 - - 23 W* B/S - - - - - - 18 - - 11 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 038 - - 291 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 409 - - 478 - - 51 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1068 - - 1471 - - 1022 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 276 - - 270 - - -304 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1201 - - 1679 - - 1377 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 49.5 - - 51.2 - - 49.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 47.0 - - 47.0 - - 47.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 49.4 - - 51.2 - - 50.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 46.6 - - 46.5 - - 47.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 27 - - 16 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 882 - - 1354 - - 478 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96215 30 286 32 290 42 287 96215 89197 23 302 31 300 34 304 89197 83770 22 297 27 306 31 315 83770 79249 18 299 23 300 27 306 79249 75332 15 317 16 296 19 297 75332 71849 19 319 14 298 14 299 71849 68678 17 304 16 289 14 306 68678 65751 19 302 20 286 18 299 65751 63040 24 282 24 294 22 297 63040 60417 28 278 36 286 31 288 60417 57680 39 277 44 277 34 283 57680 54829 45 266 51 271 52 282 54829 52115 49 265 62 264 65 266 52115 49701 58 272 64 265 66 270 49701 47536 69 274 72 270 77 275 47536 45567 79 270 84 267 84 270 45567 43767 84 266 88 266 89 267 43767 42105 96 266 92 269 94 267 42105 40555 106 264 97 269 98 266 40555 39102 110 262 100 268 101 265 39102 37729 108 263 101 267 105 264 37729 36396 107 264 99 265 106 264 36396 35036 100 265 96 264 103 264 35036 33624 89 267 88 265 99 263 33624 32164 78 269 80 267 96 261 32164 30640 70 268 69 270 91 262 30640 29034 64 269 65 265 85 266 29034 27345 60 271 67 268 75 264 27345 25574 56 269 63 274 67 265 25574 23722 56 267 61 267 57 267 23722 21792 52 268 58 267 56 272 21792 19780 46 269 49 267 54 268 19780 17684 43 275 42 268 47 266 17684 15544 36 282 37 271 40 270 15544 13473 33 282 32 273 34 272 13473 11583 31 279 33 275 34 278 11583 9905 27 275 32 279 32 282 9905 8420 25 272 30 280 31 280 8420 7105 23 272 27 275 32 275 7105 5946 17 278 24 269 31 270 5946 4929 16 283 21 265 27 265 4929 4041 13 288 19 264 18 264 4041 3265 5 279 11 271 8 270 3265 2578 3 281 4 284 2 276 2578 1976 2*295 3*286 1 202 1976 1474 1*030 2*289 1 165 1474 1090 1 037 2 290 2*155 1090 825 1 042 2 291 2*156 825 664 1 040 2 293 2 154 664 572 1 043 2 293 1 163 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography