DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 35.9 - - 34.7 - - 29.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 4 - - -7 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 115 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 572 - - 710 - - 573 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 204 - - 1071 - - 442 - - 121 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 32 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - 4 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 186 - - 105 - - 114 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -543 - - -510 - - -210 - - -302 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1115 - - 1220 - - 783 - - 874 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2782 - - -4338 - - -4703 - - -7444 ODpotential blCL - - - 3354 - - 5048 - - 5276 - - 8016 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 91 - - 91 - - 86 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.1 - - 35.9 - - 34.7 - - 29.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.5 - - 32.8 - - 33.4 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 36.1 - - 36.2 - - 32.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.2 - - 32.5 - - 33.3 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 1 - - 4 - - -7 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 115 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 63 - - 64 - - 45 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96231 2 005 7 067 1 243 7 247 96231 89013 4 342 2 249 5 308 3 284 89013 83436 5 317 9 239 9 261 7 266 83436 78810 10 297 10 264 12 233 13 249 78810 74827 16 269 21 270 21 263 16 272 74827 71316 16 269 25 261 27 270 22 270 71316 68148 21 277 28 269 30 265 29 278 68148 65228 24 270 34 263 36 268 33 275 65228 62508 35 273 40 269 40 267 42 283 62508 59865 43 265 52 266 53 274 48 274 59865 57087 55 266 58 265 62 264 56 268 57087 54174 65 263 69 259 64 263 68 272 54174 51389 69 259 66 257 73 269 91 268 51389 48898 68 256 79 268 92 265 99 257 48898 46652 76 264 98 259 98 254 90 250 46652 44590 91 261 100 248 82 252 80 263 44590 42694 86 256 69 253 84 270 90 268 42694 40949 78 259 77 274 100 274 100 268 40949 39337 80 263 101 273 113 271 103 266 39337 37838 83 262 109 268 120 267 109 266 37838 36439 83 261 100 264 115 265 111 261 36439 35103 82 265 90 264 109 264 103 258 35103 33755 84 264 88 265 98 266 101 259 33755 32362 80 260 81 267 88 270 103 260 32362 30921 64 266 62 271 86 274 105 263 30921 29417 55 275 65 280 85 278 105 263 29417 27840 52 278 64 286 79 274 100 264 27840 26199 45 283 58 286 74 266 87 267 26199 24494 44 298 52 280 62 269 75 268 24494 22719 42 302 56 276 63 273 68 268 22719 20874 38 295 59 277 60 270 58 273 20874 18951 36 288 55 279 52 270 51 271 18951 16943 33 288 45 279 48 272 47 269 16943 14894 33 287 36 274 40 267 46 270 14894 12923 32 284 30 268 37 269 44 264 12923 11137 29 282 28 269 32 270 35 263 11137 9554 26 285 28 272 27 269 27 264 9554 8150 25 290 24 271 24 268 21 251 8150 6906 26 295 20 282 20 265 18 240 6906 5804 29 297 25 294 16 274 15 232 5804 4830 31 286 25 284 16 273 12 215 4830 3972 27 280 23 269 16 264 13 202 3972 3215 23 283 15 263 16 235 17 194 3215 2541 19 289 7 258 13 204 22 176 2541 1948 15 296 4 225 11 182 23 166 1948 1454 13 303 3 218 9 167 22 159 1454 1076 11 312 3 227 7 149 20 150 1076 816 9 305 3*210 8 126 17 128 816 660 8*300 2*186 7*109 14*120 660 571 1*267 2 186 4*105 7*114 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography