DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 90.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 68 - - 23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4231 - - 4401 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2886 - - 2338 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4826 - - 4996 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2155 - - 3123 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 316 - - 257 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 23 - - 27 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 203 - - 212 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 11 - - 14 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 7 - - 5 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 1204 - - 605 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3622 - - 4392 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -313 - - -990 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5139 - - 5986 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 84 - - 75 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 3350 - - 3350 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 90.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 74.2 - - 72.8 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.5 - - 90.7 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 72.8 - - 71.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 68 - - 23 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4231 - - 4401 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 35 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98638 26 110 16 082 98638 91149 23 097 21 106 91149 85421 19 090 22 100 85421 80687 16 091 20 084 80687 76605 16 092 17 087 76605 73002 15 109 19 088 73002 69765 16 109 19 085 69765 66811 16 108 12 082 66811 64079 17 113 8 155 64079 61439 11 102 10 144 61439 58676 8 220 6 236 58676 55810 24 225 26 213 55810 53103 20 200 22 203 53103 50664 33 275 26 254 50664 48460 62 272 59 264 48460 46465 60 271 65 260 46465 44639 48 274 49 267 44639 42955 41 273 43 276 42955 41384 36 264 43 276 41384 39903 34 253 42 268 39903 38500 36 250 42 257 38500 37141 38 255 40 248 37141 35759 41 261 35 248 35759 34324 38 262 34 251 34324 32840 28 256 36 251 32840 31289 22 251 36 250 31289 29661 23 256 33 249 29661 27954 26 259 33 250 27954 26166 28 253 35 250 26166 24294 30 251 36 249 24294 22341 33 254 35 251 22341 20302 31 253 35 251 20302 18178 26 246 31 252 18178 16017 26 240 29 262 16017 13933 31 239 39 256 13933 12032 33 237 45 246 12032 10335 31 236 37 233 10335 8828 28 222 31 223 8828 7493 27 205 31 216 7493 6307 26 204 31 215 6307 5253 26*204 31*214 5253 4323 25*204 30*213 4323 3499 25 203 29 212 3499 2760 24 203 29 212 2760 2106 23 203 28 212 2106 1560 23 203 27 211 1560 1140 22 203 26 211 1140 852 20 202 24 211 852 676 18 202 21 210 676 576 15 202 16 210 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography