DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.7 - - 30.2 - - 26.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 247 - - 91 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1893 - - 1931 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1607 - - 940 - - 554 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2488 - - 2526 - - 572 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 871 - - 758 - - 427 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 312 - - 226 - - 5 W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 16 - - 19 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 183 - - 184 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -4336 - - -3952 - - -3742 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6824 - - 6478 - - 4314 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14349 - - -13289 - - -14159 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16837 - - 15815 - - 14731 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 86 - - 93 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 26.7 - - 30.2 - - 26.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - -0.9 - - 4.1 - - 9.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 25.6 - - 29.8 - - 28.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - -1.4 - - 3.9 - - 9.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 247 - - 91 - - -51 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1893 - - 1931 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 45 - - 74 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95701 28 269 25 263 31 265 95701 88689 23 261 25 271 23 259 88689 83234 24 274 28 276 25 283 83234 78657 27 260 30 272 35 284 78657 74699 28 269 32 270 42 275 74699 71185 33 258 34 270 37 266 71185 67962 36 279 39 285 34 282 67962 64968 49 277 49 283 47 285 64968 62192 53 271 55 276 53 276 62192 59496 56 273 58 269 56 273 59496 56671 60 273 62 265 65 273 56671 53737 68 271 67 270 70 271 53737 50941 75 270 76 272 75 270 50941 48432 79 268 85 269 82 270 48432 46189 81 266 88 266 85 269 46189 44156 81 268 86 268 83 270 44156 42294 86 272 88 275 87 274 42294 40584 96 272 99 275 97 274 40584 39013 102 268 108 270 102 269 39013 37566 100 267 108 268 100 265 37566 36219 97 272 106 270 94 265 36219 34923 100 278 109 274 93 266 34923 33609 105 278 110 274 96 266 33609 32244 105 275 107 275 96 266 32244 30827 103 272 104 278 96 267 30827 29343 102 270 101 281 95 268 29343 27781 98 270 96 279 88 271 27781 26146 92 273 92 277 80 275 26146 24437 86 278 88 278 77 278 24437 22657 81 281 84 282 73 279 22657 20811 74 281 74 286 66 279 20811 18889 69 280 67 290 55 279 18889 16882 64 280 69 291 52 278 16882 14836 54 278 68 289 57 278 14836 12865 49 280 62 284 56 278 12865 11077 52 282 57 280 50 278 11077 9491 59 284 56 276 42 282 9491 8084 51 285 53 268 38 282 8084 6834 41 285 46 265 39 277 6834 5726 33 274 40 267 42 266 5726 4752 29 260 33 253 36 255 4752 3902 22 238 28 236 30 239 3902 3158 19*200 24*211 27 221 3158 2497 17*187 21*189 27 202 2497 1917 16 184 20 185 27 189 1917 1434 16 183 20 183 27 180 1434 1065 15 182 19 182 24 172 1065 812 15 181 18 181 20 165 812 658 14 181 16 180 17*163 658 571 12 180 13 179 9*159 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography