DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.1 - - 76.2 - - 76.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 129 - - 50 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3854 - - 2614 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2798 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4449 - - 3209 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1236 - - 1961 - - 3931 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 336 - - 223 - - 16 W* B/S - - - - - - 31 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 2 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 245 - - 203 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -881 - - -1004 - - -2681 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5330 - - 4213 - - 3256 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -8087 - - -7064 - - -4965 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 12536 - - 10273 - - 5540 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 78.1 - - 76.2 - - 76.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.9 - - 59.8 - - 63.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 77.3 - - 76.0 - - 77.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.6 - - 58.8 - - 63.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 129 - - 50 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3854 - - 2614 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 10 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99475 49 096 43 101 28 096 99475 91958 34 089 34 088 30 085 91958 86157 24 088 26 074 33 079 86157 81338 25 086 21 088 27 067 81338 77214 22 085 24 097 20 069 77214 73588 21 078 24 086 18 090 73588 70302 21 067 22 075 19 086 70302 67285 16 040 16 065 18 070 67285 64515 13 032 11 041 15 048 64515 61858 10 019 7 010 11 013 61858 59097 6 347 6 345 9 324 59097 56241 10 337 11 332 12 327 56241 53538 17 328 16 303 17 318 53538 51133 18 324 17 295 19 300 51133 48982 24 333 20 297 19 282 48982 47016 29 337 22 315 18 289 47016 45196 36 329 29 320 23 302 45196 43498 42 318 32 311 28 305 43498 41904 46 309 35 302 33 304 41904 40399 45 300 39 296 36 300 40399 38974 44 294 42 289 39 294 38974 37592 44 292 41 285 41 289 37592 36185 44 290 43 282 40 287 36185 34721 46 287 44 272 38 288 34721 33202 48 285 39 274 36 288 33202 31613 48 285 42 279 34 285 31613 29938 47 288 39 283 33 282 29938 28180 45 290 35 287 31 282 28180 26338 41 293 36 294 28 286 26338 24414 33 288 33 302 25 299 24414 22413 27 292 27 295 23 313 22413 20331 24 299 27 294 19 317 20331 18163 22 289 23 300 14 303 18163 15958 19 286 19 292 22 293 15958 13843 20 285 20 290 32 296 13843 11922 23 279 22 281 35 296 11922 10215 20 277 16 273 23 288 10215 8701 16 272 16 271 23 277 8701 7361 11 284 15 266 20 279 7361 6177 8 313 5 251 16 270 6177 5134 5*318 2 145 11 247 5134 4218 2*262 3 147 6 192 4218 3413 2 252 4*176 6 155 3413 2695 2 244 8*199 7 161 2695 2059 2 241 10 203 8 169 2059 1529 2 239 10 204 8 175 1529 1122 2 238 10 204 8 178 1122 842 2 241 10 205 8 179 842 672 2 242 9 205 7*181 672 574 2 240 8 205 5*181 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography