DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.1 - - 73.3 - - 71.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 313 - - 195 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4941 - - 5847 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 4007 - - 4482 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5536 - - 6442 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3363 - - 2326 - - 7323 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 474 - - 432 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 295 - - 306 - - 271 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2233 - - -1730 - - -5978 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7770 - - 8172 - - 6554 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7490 - - -6354 - - -7862 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13026 - - 12796 - - 8437 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 75 - - 67 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 71.1 - - 73.3 - - 71.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 39.1 - - 39.4 - - 44.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.5 - - 72.1 - - 72.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 37.8 - - 38.2 - - 43.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 313 - - 195 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4941 - - 5847 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98122 3 209 7 211 10 327 98122 90706 8 228 7 247 9 264 90706 84979 6 209 7 222 9 226 84979 80200 6 213 5 206 6 231 80200 76087 6 219 3 229 2 221 76087 72459 9 230 7 249 5 267 72459 69187 8 256 12 264 13 287 69187 66199 4 284 12 244 14 270 66199 63422 17 298 10 304 7 271 63422 60721 26 286 29 305 22 313 60721 57912 28 270 29 281 25 293 57912 54994 36 289 36 287 36 297 54994 52219 52 280 52 275 51 284 52219 49730 57 266 47 276 49 277 49730 47493 47 285 49 286 46 282 47493 45472 55 294 50 284 50 293 45472 43644 59 293 48 287 52 290 43644 41976 60 287 48 301 49 286 41976 40431 56 293 53 310 49 291 40431 38988 56 307 55 311 50 297 38988 37631 62 317 52 312 50 300 37631 36318 63 317 50 314 47 298 36318 34977 61 315 52 314 44 298 34977 33580 60 312 53 312 43 303 33580 32130 56 315 52 306 46 310 32130 30611 53 319 51 303 48 312 30611 29011 51 313 48 305 46 315 29011 27330 53 306 46 312 42 319 27330 25565 53 307 45 317 40 316 25565 23714 49 310 45 319 41 312 23714 21782 43 310 42 317 42 316 21782 19766 36 306 37 312 35 320 19766 17669 31 303 30 302 31 310 17669 15538 28 303 27 297 28 301 15538 13486 27 314 26 303 25 305 13486 11622 27 324 25 313 24 316 11622 9971 32 326 30 317 30 327 9971 8511 33 322 28 317 27 329 8511 7220 28 319 21*313 17 328 7220 6075 24*309 16*308 13 326 6075 5059 19*302 16 307 12 321 5059 4163 16 299 16 307 10 312 4163 3371 13 295 15 306 10 304 3371 2663 12 292 15 306 9 296 2663 2036 12 292 15 305 9 290 2036 1514 12 291 14 305 9 285 1514 1113 11 291 14 305 9 282 1113 837 11 291 13 304 8 278 837 670 10 291 13 304 6*275 670 574 9 290 11 304 4*271 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography