DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 13.0 - - 23.0 - - 24.8 - - 13.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 78 - - 26 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1947 - - 2642 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 553 - - 554 - - 554 - - 553 Hcrit BL Top - - - 571 - - 2542 - - 3237 - - 571 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 422 - - 558 - - 734 - - 219 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 9 - - 219 - - 171 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 17 - - 19 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 283 - - 311 - - 293 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1240 - - 345 - - 475 - - -1224 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1811 - - 2197 - - 2762 - - 1795 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16177 - - -12351 - - -11214 - - -14156 ODpotential blCL - - - 16748 - - 14893 - - 14451 - - 14727 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 87 - - 93 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 13.0 - - 23.0 - - 24.8 - - 13.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.7 - - 15.8 - - 15.0 - - 8.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 14.3 - - 22.6 - - 24.8 - - 18.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.4 - - 14.6 - - 13.9 - - 10.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -13 - - 78 - - 26 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 1947 - - 2642 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 49 - - 72 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95509 143 230 125 232 146 235 141 236 95509 88273 123 236 111 242 126 241 116 241 88273 82786 101 241 92 244 105 239 98 246 82786 78242 85 247 79 243 90 238 91 245 78242 74298 76 249 72 249 79 247 86 252 74298 70793 66 249 67 258 71 257 85 261 70793 67617 60 253 61 260 68 263 83 266 67617 64691 62 259 58 258 69 263 78 266 64691 61966 65 259 59 260 68 261 73 267 61966 59309 66 260 63 264 66 260 72 267 59309 56519 70 263 67 264 68 262 75 267 56519 53609 74 264 73 261 75 264 76 265 53609 50819 76 265 77 260 80 266 76 264 50819 48298 79 267 78 261 82 267 76 265 48298 46032 82 270 76 265 82 265 78 266 46032 43980 82 270 76 269 82 263 79 267 43980 42109 76 270 79 273 80 268 79 266 42109 40399 74 275 83 274 81 274 75 266 40399 38828 80 278 88 273 83 277 75 269 38828 37375 84 275 91 273 88 276 80 273 37375 36022 83 273 91 274 93 274 82 274 36022 34724 84 273 91 276 98 271 86 274 34724 33419 85 277 93 276 100 269 93 272 33419 32071 85 279 95 275 97 271 95 271 32071 30674 85 280 94 273 91 273 91 272 30674 29212 85 283 91 272 87 272 86 273 29212 27673 82 284 88 272 85 274 82 277 27673 26057 80 284 87 275 83 277 80 281 26057 24358 80 287 87 277 80 277 74 284 24358 22578 80 290 85 280 74 281 69 284 22578 20719 77 288 81 284 71 287 67 285 20719 18777 77 287 77 287 71 289 67 288 18777 16753 75 292 76 290 71 289 68 292 16753 14692 71 295 74 293 72 291 68 293 14692 12710 66 296 71 293 69 293 66 293 12710 10909 64 299 68 291 64 294 60 295 10909 9313 62 294 63 289 60 295 55 297 9313 7904 60 290 59 287 57 294 49 303 7904 6666 53 287 56 289 52 294 42 308 6666 5582 49 287 50 295 44 297 37 310 5582 4636 45 292 42 299 35 299 30 307 4636 3816 41 299 36 302 28*295 24 299 3816 3097 34 306 29*308 21*292 22 301 3097 2456 30 317 19*311 20 293 20 305 2456 1889 32 313 18 311 20 293 19 310 1889 1417 33 295 17 311 19 294 18 313 1417 1055 29 290 16 311 18 294 17 315 1055 807 21 284 16 311 17 295 14 315 807 656 19*283 15 311 16 295 12*314 656 570 11*283 13 310 13 295 6*313 570 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography