DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/06 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.4 - - 79.1 - - 78.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 38 - - 40 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1605 - - 2229 - - 506 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2200 - - 2824 - - 1101 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1974 - - 956 - - 3065 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 194 - - 208 - - 45 W* B/S - - - - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 15 - - 16 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 214 - - 178 - - 150 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 11 - - 1 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -18 - - 16 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -16 - - 1207 - - -248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2216 - - 1617 - - 1349 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3157 - - 498 - - -1282 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5357 - - 2326 - - 2383 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1930 - - 2160 - - 2550 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 80.4 - - 79.1 - - 78.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 72.3 - - 73.5 - - 74.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.4 - - 79.0 - - 79.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 70.9 - - 72.5 - - 73.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 38 - - 40 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1605 - - 2229 - - 506 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 89 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 15 - - 17 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99562 37 088 32 085 30 089 99562 92021 34 091 27 092 28 075 92021 86219 32 089 24 101 27 069 86219 81415 28 085 25 089 29 071 81415 77277 22 079 24 082 25 079 77277 73621 16 072 21 078 21 087 73621 70313 8 091 13 097 14 082 70313 67277 10 120 10 096 10 073 67277 64473 13 111 6 083 6 051 64473 61770 8 114 3 180 3 238 61770 58954 7 223 7 216 8 236 58954 56034 13 254 15 239 13 260 56034 53281 28 256 19 274 28 264 53281 50830 33 233 35 248 36 232 50830 48604 25 235 33 242 28 252 48604 46568 32 263 40 258 42 271 46568 44734 44 265 46 254 51 265 44734 43061 51 258 43 248 51 255 43061 41506 52 250 41 243 50 251 41506 40041 47 240 43 242 45 240 40041 38654 37 224 45 233 44 227 38654 37306 33 225 39 216 43 219 37306 35929 31 232 32 203 41 217 35929 34491 29 242 35 217 38 224 34491 32996 30 248 40 227 36 233 32996 31428 31 253 39 236 35 240 31428 29775 31 262 35 256 33 247 29775 28037 32 270 34 262 31 259 28037 26224 33 274 35 267 36 279 26224 24339 34 277 35 275 33 293 24339 22380 33 278 32 284 26 299 22380 20336 30 280 30 284 17 289 20336 18203 27 279 32 285 23 277 18203 16031 24 277 35 284 32 281 16031 13934 20 274 35 283 37 276 13934 12021 18 269 31 281 33 266 12021 10314 16 268 28 275 30 250 10314 8797 15 273 28 263 30 234 8797 7448 14 285 26 253 29 227 7448 6252 13 298 26 242 27 214 6252 5197 13 298 29 218 24 200 5197 4271 15 273 30 194 19 193 4271 3454 19 248 25*181 15 189 3454 2724 20*234 21*179 11 185 2724 2079 18*220 17 180 9 183 2079 1542 16 214 16 178 6 173 1542 1129 15 212 15 177 4*159 1129 846 14 211 14 176 3*153 846 673 13 211 12 176 3 150 673 575 10 209 9 176 2 148 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography