DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/29 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.2 - - 80.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 244 - - 79 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4028 - - 2608 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3217 - - 1576 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4623 - - 3203 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2730 - - 2596 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 413 - - 252 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 8 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 13 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 121 - - 128 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 5 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1367 - - -2385 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 5991 - - 5588 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -4732 - - -5149 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 9355 - - 8352 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 100 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 40 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 83.2 - - 80.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 58.9 - - 57.9 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 81.7 - - 80.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 57.7 - - 56.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 244 - - 79 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 4028 - - 2608 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 64 - - 102 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98140 6 089 8 080 98140 90787 14 061 9 076 90787 85109 17 064 12 080 85109 80382 13 083 14 059 80382 76318 16 080 16 058 76318 72740 19 048 16 056 72740 69506 16 030 13 033 69506 66532 15 014 10 013 66532 63770 15 001 9 346 63770 61099 15 357 11 360 61099 58326 16 337 17 351 58326 55463 17 321 18 313 55463 52746 16 307 17 288 52746 50315 16 265 21 279 50315 48147 13 198 15 237 48147 46198 15 180 11 198 46198 44419 24 173 11 173 44419 42774 23 159 16 133 42774 41234 17 144 17 136 41234 39777 16 135 15 145 39777 38394 18 152 12 159 38394 37047 19 157 10 168 37047 35669 17 152 12 163 35669 34233 16 148 12 168 34233 32740 15 150 11 172 32740 31176 14 153 10 174 31176 29530 11 149 7 159 29530 27800 9 161 4 162 27800 25987 12 191 5 194 25987 24096 11 200 9 219 24096 22131 11 190 9 228 22131 20090 11 162 8 201 20090 17967 11 148 7 175 17967 15803 10 171 7 181 15803 13719 11 187 8 185 13719 11825 10 205 8 189 11825 10147 12 199 10 175 10147 8658 11 179 9 163 8658 7336 4 122 6 129 7336 6164 4 084 9 092 6164 5128 6*114 10 095 5128 4218 9*121 11 098 4218 3414 10 121 12*105 3414 2695 10 121 13*115 2695 2060 10 121 13 126 2060 1530 10 120 13 130 1530 1122 10 120 13 132 1122 842 10 120 13 132 842 672 9 121 12 133 672 575 8 121 10 133 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography