DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/22 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.6 - - 87.0 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 205 - - 112 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2643 - - 5449 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2109 - - 3841 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3238 - - 6044 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1076 - - 2834 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 337 - - 355 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 14 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 213 - - 297 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 15 - - 10 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3998 - - -1762 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7236 - - 7806 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7299 - - -4198 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 10537 - - 10242 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 76 - - 85 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 730 - - 810 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 85.6 - - 87.0 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 55.8 - - 54.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 84.4 - - 86.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 54.9 - - 53.6 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 205 - - 112 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2643 - - 5449 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 6 - - 40 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 9 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96696 36 244 28 264 96696 89457 17 235 18 251 89457 83934 10 211 16 239 83934 79359 6 198 18 227 79359 75407 4 236 13 242 75407 71909 3 275 11 237 71909 68733 12 280 11 236 68733 65807 15 244 15 252 65807 63098 18 218 21 253 63098 60490 16 221 26 245 60490 57777 15 248 29 249 57777 54943 28 261 29 272 54943 52224 39 276 38 271 52224 49759 45 270 42 273 49759 47530 44 267 54 269 47530 45499 49 274 59 260 45499 43636 54 265 57 257 43636 41918 48 268 62 262 41918 40344 56 279 71 272 40344 38900 70 286 73 272 38900 37545 75 288 73 275 37545 36230 75 286 79 279 36230 34888 73 284 82 278 34888 33490 73 280 83 277 33490 32039 73 278 81 276 32039 30520 71 278 74 276 30520 28924 67 277 67 279 28924 27258 59 276 64 280 27258 25522 53 279 60 280 25522 23710 51 284 56 278 23710 21823 48 286 51 273 21823 19858 42 284 49 269 19858 17805 38 263 47 258 17805 15702 31 262 45 253 15702 13665 27 254 43 251 13665 11803 26 237 44 243 11803 10145 27 233 38 235 10145 8672 29 240 26 230 8672 7362 30 242 17 237 7362 6196 31 240 13*258 6196 5162 32 235 12*268 5162 4248 28 229 13 288 4248 3440 21*224 14 297 3440 2717 14*215 14 301 2717 2075 12 213 15 303 2075 1540 11 213 15 304 1540 1128 11 213 15 305 1128 845 10 213 14 306 845 673 10 213 14 306 673 575 9 213 12 306 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography