DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 09/04 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 95.6 - - 97.1 - - 92.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 144 - - 60 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7091 - - 7867 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 5299 - - 5215 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 7686 - - 8462 - - 577 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2015 - - 2308 - - 8798 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 430 - - 348 - - 9 W* B/S - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 232 - - 228 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 4 - - 12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 758 - - 978 - - -4846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6928 - - 7484 - - 5424 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -1138 - - -156 - - -6350 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 8824 - - 8618 - - 6927 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 81 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 1220 - - 1220 - - 2200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 95.6 - - 97.1 - - 92.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 67.1 - - 66.2 - - 70.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 94.7 - - 96.8 - - 94.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 65.8 - - 64.9 - - 69.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 144 - - 60 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 7091 - - 7867 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 25 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99021 7 112 7 107 3 019 99021 91582 4 155 7 344 8 055 91582 85829 3 171 1 309 9 037 85829 81046 5 106 6 130 4 003 81046 76939 8 047 8 103 3 142 76939 73308 4 026 7 042 8 066 73308 70018 9 066 2 030 7 043 70018 67011 12 024 4 064 8 345 67011 64254 10 355 8 023 7 325 64254 61611 9 306 11 310 8 347 61611 58877 6 325 10 280 9 307 58877 56061 19 295 20 297 22 307 56061 53395 29 275 30 277 34 283 53395 51007 32 273 30 271 37 280 51007 48854 36 271 36 274 42 281 48854 46887 41 267 43 275 46 277 46887 45077 44 263 46 271 46 268 45077 43393 45 267 45 271 45 269 43393 41813 43 271 40 278 48 282 41813 40323 41 275 45 291 51 292 40323 38914 42 280 49 296 51 296 38914 37546 41 280 45 293 46 292 37546 36150 35 274 38 286 40 283 36150 34698 28 266 32 279 35 280 34698 33195 24 258 31 274 33 274 33195 31622 20 252 27 271 29 276 31622 29965 16 251 21 265 22 277 29965 28229 13 261 15 276 16 293 28229 26414 11 269 14 284 15 308 26414 24518 11 235 15 266 13 292 24518 22539 7 231 13 261 15 282 22539 20476 8 251 12 253 14 286 20476 18331 12 268 11 270 13 309 18331 16148 11 271 13 288 10 322 16148 14042 14 275 15 297 9 326 14042 12125 17 254 16 283 13 304 12125 10423 17 235 15 244 20 258 10423 8912 15*228 13*233 16 243 8912 7565 12*230 12*231 11 233 7565 6364 10 231 11 230 9 230 6364 5298 10 231 9 229 7 226 5298 4356 9 232 8 227 6 221 4356 3523 9 232 7 227 5 215 3523 2777 8 232 7 226 5 209 2777 2118 8 233 6 226 4 202 2118 1567 7 233 6 226 4 196 1567 1144 7 233 5 226 4 190 1144 853 7 233 5 225 4 185 853 677 6 233 5 226 3*176 677 576 5 233 4 226 2*166 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography