DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 07/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 85.3 - - 87.4 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 84 - - 50 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1168 - - 3470 - - 4306 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 558 - - 2393 - - 2640 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 1763 - - 4065 - - 4901 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1710 - - 1721 - - 2099 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 177 - - 303 - - 283 - - - W* B/S - - - 4 - - 8 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 057 - - 052 - - 072 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -999 - - -9 - - 670 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2762 - - 4074 - - 4232 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4955 - - -2999 - - -1038 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6718 - - 7064 - - 5939 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 71 - - 74 - - 79 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 510 - - 800 - - 1440 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.3 - - 85.3 - - 87.4 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.0 - - 69.3 - - 70.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.0 - - 84.7 - - 87.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.6 - - 67.9 - - 69.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 48 - - 84 - - 50 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1168 - - 3470 - - 4306 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 16 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99409 52 090 42 103 39 085 99409 91924 43 086 42 092 35 100 91924 86147 33 086 39 081 35 094 86147 81361 25 096 27 088 30 087 81361 77252 27 091 21 098 24 086 77252 73620 29 077 21 099 20 086 73620 70335 25 078 21 085 20 083 70335 67333 27 078 18 083 15 064 67333 64563 28 051 22 075 13 088 64563 61876 25 044 26 049 22 074 61876 59094 21 038 24 040 26 054 59094 56244 18 042 19 047 23 047 56244 53539 23 060 20 065 21 057 53539 51104 39 060 32 068 28 072 51104 48920 45 054 39 062 35 065 48920 46934 48 056 41 063 37 065 46934 45107 48 064 42 065 39 067 45107 43405 47 069 41 068 40 070 43405 41811 43 072 41 073 39 073 41811 40316 41 073 43 084 38 080 40316 38908 38 078 43 085 37 083 38908 37548 37 087 34 083 33 080 37548 36165 43 094 33 100 27 088 36165 34725 48 099 43 109 32 101 34725 33228 54 098 47 104 37 096 33228 31660 54 096 48 095 43 091 31660 30007 50 094 50 093 43 091 30007 28267 44 093 46 093 42 092 28267 26438 43 099 45 097 46 093 26438 24523 47 103 48 100 48 095 24523 22527 48 100 51 106 46 108 22527 20446 46 102 44 111 38 119 20446 18279 43 108 33 116 21 122 18279 16079 35 109 27 115 17 118 16079 13964 24 108 23 111 16 106 13964 12043 16 097 21 096 18 095 12043 10337 16 079 20 087 19 095 10337 8824 18 077 20 088 18 102 8824 7482 18 081 18 091 15 106 7482 6291 15 083 14 093 13 096 6291 5236 11 078 11 088 10*076 5236 4306 9 057 9*066 9*072 4306 3484 9 054 8*056 9 072 3484 2748 11 066 8 053 8 072 2748 2096 11*063 7 052 8 073 2096 1553 10*059 7 051 7 073 1553 1136 9 056 7 051 7 074 1136 849 9 057 6 051 6 073 849 675 8 056 6 051 6 073 675 575 7 055 5 050 5 074 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography