DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.9 - - 89.6 - - 80.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 243 - - 65 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3850 - - 4668 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3060 - - 2846 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4445 - - 5263 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1611 - - 2500 - - 1934 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 400 - - 286 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 15 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 5 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 234 - - 257 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 13 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1690 - - -784 - - -1852 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6135 - - 6048 - - 2428 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3407 - - -2368 - - -3999 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7852 - - 7631 - - 4575 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 91 - - 96 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 480 - - 890 - - 1930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.9 - - 89.6 - - 80.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.8 - - 64.9 - - 71.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 87.3 - - 89.2 - - 81.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.3 - - 64.0 - - 70.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 243 - - 65 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3850 - - 4668 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 64 - - 85 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98178 10 080 6 069 5 051 98178 90857 6 077 1 034 10 053 90857 85189 6 311 2 348 8 006 85189 80481 4 304 6 321 6 307 80481 76430 9 330 7 328 5 276 76430 72847 17 331 8 324 10 322 72847 69610 11 342 9 338 16 331 69610 66640 4 023 8 334 13 338 66640 63883 5 023 3 346 10 339 63883 61220 8 358 8 328 11 333 61220 58468 6 331 10 299 10 315 58468 55642 11 309 11 311 11 285 55642 52960 15 279 13 288 12 261 52960 50555 20 277 18 272 26 272 50555 48395 24 277 19 253 23 265 48395 46427 33 272 33 265 28 273 46427 44616 33 257 36 255 33 266 44616 42941 33 253 36 246 39 249 42941 41382 30 257 39 246 40 243 41382 39916 29 260 39 242 36 246 39916 38525 28 262 36 240 35 249 38525 37173 27 271 29 239 35 244 37173 35790 28 277 25 242 37 240 35790 34350 27 276 26 248 38 243 34350 32855 25 267 27 251 35 244 32855 31289 23 258 27 245 34 245 31289 29640 21 257 27 240 31 250 29640 27910 18 254 28 243 27 257 27910 26100 19 253 27 249 31 267 26100 24212 24 261 28 257 36 269 24212 22249 28 269 32 265 34 264 22249 20211 37 270 35 265 28 262 20211 18094 40 270 36 267 25 264 18094 15937 35 260 32 270 27 277 15937 13857 30 261 30 270 26 276 13857 11960 29 264 31 264 25 268 11960 10271 24 257 28 259 27 248 10271 8772 25 253 26 257 26 239 8772 7439 27 253 20 257 21 237 7439 6254 24 252 14*253 13 234 6254 5204 18*249 9*254 7 196 5204 4279 9*243 8 255 5 172 4279 3460 5 234 8 257 4 125 3460 2728 5 232 8 257 6 071 2728 2081 4 230 8 260 11 049 2081 1543 4 230 8 259 16 040 1543 1130 4 229 7 260 16 038 1130 846 4 229 7 261 14 037 846 674 3 229 7 260 12*037 674 575 3 230 6 261 8*037 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography