DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/27 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.1 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 80 - - 119 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3665 - - 5763 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2371 - - 4147 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4260 - - 6358 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2172 - - 2185 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 287 - - 374 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 42 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 002 - - 004 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 2 - - 8 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 633 - - 662 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3627 - - 5696 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 9 - - -128 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4251 - - 6486 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 97 - - 93 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 750 - - 400 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 79.1 - - 84.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.0 - - 61.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 78.6 - - 83.4 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 63.8 - - 60.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 80 - - 119 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3665 - - 5763 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 88 - - 71 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 11 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98518 13 093 5 051 98518 91080 12 053 12 072 91080 85342 10 084 12 075 85342 80566 15 079 13 088 80566 76463 18 070 13 104 76463 72850 12 073 11 121 72850 69586 10 090 9 121 69586 66598 10 093 8 065 66598 63841 8 092 10 028 63841 61169 6 010 7 002 61169 58380 9 290 9 270 58380 55496 16 254 18 248 55496 52750 23 234 20 249 52750 50282 22 238 23 253 50282 48079 25 236 28 261 48079 46093 31 247 45 256 46093 44288 45 251 45 277 44288 42637 45 249 63 285 42637 41097 43 258 66 286 41097 39642 49 265 62 278 39642 38261 58 262 69 268 38261 36917 56 259 71 268 36917 35541 47 258 71 265 35541 34105 40 258 67 265 34105 32613 36 253 57 264 32613 31056 35 246 39 270 31056 29426 36 243 35 274 29426 27716 33 245 34 273 27716 25923 26 249 29 274 25923 24050 18 260 22 274 24050 22101 17 269 17 280 22101 20072 16 270 16 278 20072 17955 14 268 16 272 17955 15800 14 264 13 275 15800 13730 10 265 5 333 13730 11849 8 284 6 004 11849 10175 2 274 6 019 10175 8689 3 133 6 014 8689 7371 3 101 7*360 7371 6201 4 050 7*357 6201 5164 4*031 5 353 5164 4249 5*007 2 347 4249 3440 5 005 1 003 3440 2715 4 002 0 061 2715 2073 4 001 1 127 2073 1538 4 001 1 137 1538 1127 4 359 2 139 1127 845 4 359 2 140 845 673 3 358 2 140 673 575 3 357 2 142 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography