DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.9 - - 74.1 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 175 - - 109 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3047 - - 5148 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2381 - - 3691 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3642 - - 5743 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 964 - - 1180 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 347 - - 360 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 18 - - 22 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 331 - - 326 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -526 - - 588 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4168 - - 5155 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7924 - - -5570 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11566 - - 11313 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 80 - - 77 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 10 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 72.9 - - 74.1 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.6 - - 53.5 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 72.1 - - 73.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 55.2 - - 52.2 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 175 - - 109 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3047 - - 5148 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 22 - - 6 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 9 - - 8 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98820 28 093 30 078 98820 91321 26 076 20 087 91321 85554 21 079 19 081 85554 80778 13 079 8 094 80778 76679 7 073 8 111 76679 73061 5 056 9 072 73061 69776 3 140 8 032 69776 66759 1 068 1 317 66759 63978 3 303 7 182 63978 61293 8 334 2 338 61293 58487 16 289 14 315 58487 55599 40 265 40 273 55599 52878 39 235 39 258 52878 50431 38 263 43 266 50431 48229 56 280 50 271 48229 46231 69 280 63 274 46231 44401 78 279 72 276 44401 42709 84 278 79 276 42709 41131 88 277 84 274 41131 39649 90 274 86 271 39649 38248 91 270 86 268 38248 36890 91 265 89 264 36890 35506 92 263 92 260 35506 34063 94 264 96 260 34063 32563 89 266 94 266 32563 30997 70 266 77 272 30997 29360 67 261 63 273 29360 27645 71 264 60 272 27645 25848 69 272 56 273 25848 23971 53 275 53 275 23971 22012 46 267 52 274 22012 19966 44 268 52 275 19966 17829 45 272 56 279 17829 15655 48 271 60 280 15655 13573 54 273 56 279 13573 11689 55 277 46 280 11689 10021 50 285 39 286 10021 8543 42 299 34 298 8543 7237 29 298 26 313 7237 6087 25 292 22*324 6087 5070 26 316 22*325 5070 4173 24*330 23 326 4173 3380 20*331 23 326 3380 2670 19 332 23 326 2670 2042 19 331 23 326 2042 1518 18 332 22 326 1518 1115 17 331 22 326 1115 838 16 331 21 326 838 670 15 331 19 326 670 574 12 331 15 326 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography