DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/08 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1335z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.6 - - 59.2 - - 62.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - -29 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 585 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 557 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1180 - - 574 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 523 - - 1629 - - 1714 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 115 - - 9 - - 6 W* B/S - - - - - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 20 - - 15 - - 22 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 152 - - 158 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 5 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 397 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 783 - - 573 - - 573 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 99 - - -822 - - -857 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1081 - - 1396 - - 1431 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 50 - - 120 - - 620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 58.6 - - 59.2 - - 62.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 56.8 - - 58.2 - - 61.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 58.6 - - 60.3 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 56.5 - - 58.2 - - 61.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 34 - - -29 - - -55 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 585 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 10 - - 11 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96490 56 249 50 261 34 264 96490 89206 33 242 41 258 31 263 89206 83687 23 238 27 242 25 265 83687 79137 15 230 14 237 11 234 79137 75183 10 226 10 260 11 225 75183 71685 7 200 13 254 15 237 71685 68549 9 239 19 250 19 244 68549 65667 24 260 23 236 25 234 65667 62981 35 247 26 246 27 237 62981 60365 33 248 28 254 33 249 60365 57599 38 254 40 255 41 248 57599 54691 50 256 51 242 59 247 54691 51897 59 244 56 243 59 250 51897 49387 56 238 64 252 60 243 49387 47155 59 248 65 244 44 226 47155 45134 62 253 44 238 42 245 45134 43288 63 257 53 246 77 242 43288 41605 80 253 90 248 85 235 41605 40048 91 244 99 244 90 241 40048 38591 93 243 91 244 99 246 38591 37220 92 247 86 244 103 248 37220 35894 88 248 83 242 103 247 35894 34549 78 245 79 240 100 246 34549 33157 76 245 75 237 94 242 33157 31721 76 245 74 235 89 238 31721 30223 71 243 74 236 83 235 30223 28649 62 237 71 239 82 235 28649 26996 53 232 73 243 82 237 26996 25264 50 232 78 243 80 238 25264 23454 53 233 82 238 78 239 23454 21568 62 234 83 230 73 238 21568 19598 72 232 81 223 65 232 19598 17544 77 228 79 219 69 226 17544 15450 72 226 80 217 75 225 15450 13429 64 232 80 216 75 227 13429 11591 60 231 74 214 70 230 11591 9956 57 222 70 214 64 229 9956 8500 58 211 63 211 63 222 8500 7204 54 206 57 204 69 216 7204 6053 43 195 55 202 73 210 6053 5035 35 175 52 199 72 204 5035 4140 33 163 49 189 69 198 4140 3350 32 164 49 180 65 193 3350 2645 29 168 46 174 61 188 2645 2022 28 166 42 171 57 185 2022 1504 27*158 35 164 49 180 1504 1107 23*153 31 162 43 178 1107 834 21 152 25 160 36 176 834 668 19 151 21*159 31*176 668 573 14 151 15*158 22*175 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography