DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.3 - - 70.1 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1176 - - 714 - - 380 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 558 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 1771 - - 1309 - - 975 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1587 - - 1647 - - 1560 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 115 - - 90 - - 67 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 6 - - 6 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 264 - - 280 - - 339 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 1 - - 3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 693 - - 546 - - 387 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1078 - - 763 - - 588 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 310 - - 118 - - -12 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1461 - - 1191 - - 987 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 30 - - 150 - - 30 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 68.3 - - 70.1 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 64.9 - - 67.9 - - 67.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 68.4 - - 70.1 - - 68.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.5 - - 67.7 - - 67.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 15 - - 13 - - 10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1176 - - 714 - - 380 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99391 39 100 30 090 36 078 99391 91917 37 096 31 081 36 079 91917 86151 33 090 29 091 28 081 86151 81374 26 084 23 084 25 089 81374 77245 20 082 23 087 20 088 77245 73594 20 072 21 085 16 083 73594 70297 15 068 18 092 14 073 70297 67265 13 084 13 095 6 051 67265 64452 11 066 14 088 4 117 64452 61731 10 028 12 077 7 101 61731 58901 9 341 9 358 12 353 58901 55992 3 354 7 237 11 278 55992 53234 12 304 14 275 9 264 53234 50738 24 266 25 274 13 287 50738 48485 32 258 35 263 28 278 48485 46440 46 246 44 250 39 262 46440 44566 52 236 43 246 38 251 44566 42823 48 238 42 250 34 253 42823 41192 47 248 43 252 35 258 41192 39668 44 247 38 252 34 261 39668 38249 31 243 32 259 25 268 38249 36892 25 257 21 274 19 279 36892 35512 27 266 19 287 17 293 35512 34075 27 273 18 282 20 298 34075 32584 28 276 20 275 23 295 32584 31023 27 272 22 279 24 291 31023 29379 27 274 24 281 22 291 29379 27655 25 277 25 284 20 297 27655 25853 24 270 26 285 21 299 25853 23974 25 262 26 282 19 302 23974 22020 24 264 25 285 19 321 22020 19987 22 269 23 293 24 341 19987 17870 18 275 23 308 27 346 17870 15715 17 283 20 322 26 353 15715 13640 15 286 18 330 26 001 13640 11754 11 300 17 334 25 008 11754 10081 14 313 16 330 24 012 10081 8597 13 308 14 339 26 011 8597 7282 12 309 11 337 26 009 7282 6118 13 319 11 324 24 006 6118 5090 13 315 11 313 20 006 5090 4183 13 305 10 303 19 003 4183 3384 12 299 9 293 19 000 3384 2670 11 287 9 286 19 356 2670 2040 10*276 9 285 19 353 2040 1516 8*268 8*282 17 348 1516 1114 6 263 7*280 15*343 1114 838 6 262 6 279 13*340 838 670 5 262 6 280 11 339 670 574 4 261 5 280 8 338 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography