DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/20 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 65.7 - - 64.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - 30 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2161 - - 2843 - - 952 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1277 - - 557 - - 557 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2756 - - 3438 - - 1547 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 864 - - 910 - - 2408 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 240 - - 201 - - 71 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 028 - - 032 - - 071 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 7 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 379 - - 671 - - -455 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 2377 - - 2767 - - 2002 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -5140 - - -3755 - - -2236 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 7896 - - 7193 - - 3783 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 20 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 62.1 - - 65.7 - - 64.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 53.8 - - 55.7 - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 61.6 - - 65.7 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 52.5 - - 54.4 - - 57.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 83 - - 30 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2161 - - 2843 - - 952 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 99 - - 100 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98110 13 129 4 103 1 005 98110 90668 6 130 4 084 9 022 90668 84994 8 151 5 129 9 039 84994 80296 7 127 7 130 7 055 80296 76230 9 099 8 091 5 082 76230 72628 10 128 5 151 2 214 72628 69377 7 172 9 207 10 226 69377 66396 3 240 11 206 10 222 66396 63639 13 261 13 220 13 246 63639 60976 15 235 16 209 19 221 60976 58194 17 247 13 237 17 224 58194 55305 36 230 31 246 28 231 55305 52551 38 222 42 233 35 246 52551 50092 34 230 46 239 53 245 50092 47913 54 236 50 238 55 229 47913 45945 59 235 55 228 43 228 45945 44141 56 247 48 241 57 249 44141 42482 59 247 54 249 74 250 42482 40942 57 237 57 248 76 244 40942 39491 63 230 58 244 73 239 39491 38113 66 229 56 233 70 241 38113 36771 62 232 62 225 61 239 36771 35401 50 227 66 222 52 233 35401 33970 44 217 63 219 46 230 33970 32483 47 214 60 221 45 223 32483 30926 50 215 56 217 44 221 30926 29291 51 218 52 216 47 215 29291 27574 52 214 45 211 53 221 27574 25775 52 216 38 219 48 230 25775 23900 49 224 35 238 31 243 23900 21955 34 245 32 257 29 257 21955 19935 29 260 31 266 24 277 19935 17830 26 271 25 271 21 281 17830 15680 17 280 18 262 18 269 15680 13605 16 272 16 258 16 255 13605 11714 15 267 13 264 16 250 11714 10032 11 240 11 252 18 257 10032 8542 9 216 8 226 15 272 8542 7224 6 214 9 214 8 264 7224 6059 5 291 5 283 2 270 6059 5035 7 338 11 021 12 048 5035 4139 10 033 13*025 14 039 4139 3350 12*040 13*025 14 038 3350 2646 11*030 12 028 13 047 2646 2024 10 027 11 032 12*062 2024 1506 10 027 10 035 11*068 1506 1108 9 028 9 038 11 071 1108 835 8 028 8 039 10 072 835 669 8 028 7 040 8 074 669 574 7 027 6 040 6 074 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography