DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/01 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.7 - - 38.2 - - 36.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 39 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1498 - - 1603 - - 768 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2093 - - 2198 - - 1363 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 822 - - 1082 - - 1561 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 210 - - 161 - - 24 W* B/S - - - - - - 12 - - 8 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 114 - - 293 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 146 - - 104 - - -651 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1947 - - 2094 - - 2015 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 196 - - -59 - - -13600 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1897 - - 2257 - - 14963 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 35.7 - - 38.2 - - 36.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 29.3 - - 31.2 - - 29.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 35.2 - - 38.1 - - 36.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 29.0 - - 30.9 - - 29.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 92 - - 39 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1498 - - 1603 - - 768 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94448 73 267 80 268 79 266 94448 87581 55 286 60 300 53 305 87581 82246 48 299 45 304 52 316 82246 77804 52 313 45 311 52 318 77804 73981 59 315 53 317 56 323 73981 70605 63 315 60 321 62 328 70605 67543 62 316 64 318 64 325 67543 64709 58 314 61 313 63 318 64709 62057 56 312 58 311 61 312 62057 59464 57 311 58 306 61 311 59464 56748 61 307 61 306 64 306 56748 53933 72 299 72 304 69 299 53933 51251 74 297 75 300 77 296 51251 48834 76 304 77 301 79 297 48834 46659 88 309 89 302 84 297 46659 44691 98 305 95 302 94 295 44691 42913 110 305 112 301 107 298 42913 41294 120 304 130 301 120 298 41294 39789 121 306 137 301 126 299 39789 38368 130 309 138 302 122 299 38368 37020 136 308 132 305 117 299 37020 35706 130 309 131 305 117 300 35706 34362 112 308 125 306 118 300 34362 32962 95 307 110 304 119 301 32962 31510 87 308 89 303 110 302 31510 29994 83 310 80 310 98 304 29994 28401 83 309 79 312 89 303 28401 26737 78 305 78 309 79 301 26737 24999 75 299 75 306 71 302 24999 23187 73 296 71 305 66 302 23187 21300 71 296 68 302 63 299 21300 19331 70 299 67 300 61 300 19331 17275 69 301 69 298 61 302 17275 15172 65 299 67 301 63 301 15172 13140 59 299 60 301 55 300 13140 11293 50 297 55 297 49 298 11293 9656 44 295 48 291 50 298 9656 8208 39 291 43 290 46 289 8208 6930 35 289 38 287 39 285 6930 5799 27 281 33 278 37 284 5799 4801 23 269 29 266 34 284 4801 3929 18 257 21 255 29 284 3929 3175 10 240 10 248 16 278 3175 2512 4*183 4*270 5 284 2512 1930 3*120 4*285 4 316 1930 1444 3 114 4 292 4*338 1444 1072 3 112 3 294 4*347 1072 816 3 111 3 297 4 350 816 660 3 111 3 298 3 351 660 571 3 111 3 298 2 352 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography