DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 03/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 67.6 - - 70.5 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 79 - - 40 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 515 - - 2088 - - 1825 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 557 - - 1241 - - 558 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1110 - - 2683 - - 2420 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 596 - - 720 - - 1844 - - 2074 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 108 - - 239 - - 182 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 21 - - 23 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 203 - - 195 - - 190 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 11 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -180 - - 910 - - 407 - - -397 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1290 - - 1773 - - 2013 - - 972 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6530 - - 166 - - -233 - - -1671 ODpotential blCL - - - 7640 - - 2517 - - 2653 - - 2246 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 94 - - 99 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 640 - - 1300 - - 1240 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 57.5 - - 67.6 - - 70.5 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 53.7 - - 61.5 - - 63.2 - - 64.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.5 - - 67.5 - - 70.3 - - 68.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 53.0 - - 60.5 - - 62.7 - - 64.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 79 - - 40 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 515 - - 2088 - - 1825 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 51 - - 77 - - 95 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 11 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96381 5 284 15 278 13 283 22 286 96381 89241 11 326 12 282 21 289 19 306 89241 83742 12 316 8 225 18 284 15 308 83742 79160 15 302 9 274 12 261 15 293 79160 75214 18 285 17 283 12 234 17 244 75214 71741 29 280 25 279 17 276 16 243 71741 68596 36 259 30 258 30 265 26 279 68596 65712 37 254 35 251 38 258 37 271 65712 63054 39 257 36 258 39 257 43 258 63054 60481 44 264 41 267 41 257 46 251 60481 57769 56 264 53 268 48 262 49 257 57769 54912 66 257 66 262 58 263 62 259 54912 52137 70 255 64 255 65 259 66 255 52137 49610 68 256 61 257 64 254 68 257 49610 47349 62 258 60 257 57 256 65 259 47349 45316 58 256 57 254 58 259 68 262 45316 43469 54 252 53 255 54 261 69 261 43469 41773 49 254 52 256 49 269 60 261 41773 40213 35 257 46 256 48 270 50 268 40213 38769 29 262 37 266 43 262 43 271 38769 37412 26 260 27 273 34 260 38 269 37412 36097 23 259 24 281 26 269 33 266 36097 34759 22 255 22 270 23 273 28 265 34759 33368 22 253 23 260 23 269 26 265 33368 31930 23 258 23 257 25 262 26 262 31930 30426 24 271 24 259 27 257 26 261 30426 28845 24 277 25 261 28 255 25 263 28845 27187 24 273 27 259 31 250 25 263 27187 25447 24 262 29 261 31 253 26 264 25447 23625 27 257 29 262 29 267 25 279 23625 21729 29 262 25 253 27 272 22 281 21729 19753 28 262 27 253 26 270 21 270 19753 17689 28 256 32 263 29 270 20 265 17689 15582 34 257 36 271 25 272 22 251 15582 13551 41 248 44 257 34 269 30 258 13551 11703 43 256 40 243 44 261 38 261 11703 10057 40 260 39 245 40 251 39 259 10057 8589 36 256 37 247 34 235 35 254 8589 7280 33 253 37 252 32 232 31 247 7280 6116 30 253 37 252 32 239 30 247 6116 5087 30 258 37 252 31 236 32 244 5087 4183 34 261 34 244 29 226 32 237 4183 3385 38 255 29*233 29 215 32 231 3385 2671 36 245 24*212 28*210 33 217 2671 2041 31 229 23 205 26*201 32 209 2041 1517 26*217 22 202 25 196 29 199 1517 1114 21*208 21 200 23 194 26 196 1114 838 18 205 20 199 22 192 22 193 838 670 16 204 18 199 20 192 19*192 670 574 13 203 14 198 15 190 12*190 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography