DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 58.4 - - 61.3 - - 52.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 260 - - 128 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 585 - - 2183 - - 2463 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 556 - - 1840 - - 1714 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1180 - - 2778 - - 3058 - - 574 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 544 - - 767 - - 693 - - 1453 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 160 - - 335 - - 275 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 13 - - 11 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 172 - - 173 - - 171 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1918 - - -2193 - - -2775 - - -2834 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3098 - - 4972 - - 5833 - - 3408 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16455 - - -14358 - - -14003 - - -15767 ODpotential blCL - - - 17635 - - 17136 - - 17061 - - 16341 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 64 - - 55 - - 55 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.5 - - 58.4 - - 61.3 - - 52.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 37.6 - - 39.2 - - 38.3 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.9 - - 56.9 - - 60.6 - - 55.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 38.6 - - 38.0 - - 40.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 104 - - 260 - - 128 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 585 - - 2183 - - 2463 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97642 9 208 23 265 19 268 12 254 97642 90343 16 287 9 230 24 243 27 275 90343 84734 16 293 9 254 18 240 28 261 84734 80088 10 285 13 260 13 279 12 245 80088 76096 6 261 10 242 11 286 6 265 76096 72567 6 266 6 262 7 288 8 301 72567 69365 8 285 8 285 10 276 13 301 69365 66422 12 290 15 288 16 275 17 300 66422 63708 11 302 15 286 17 273 20 280 63708 61093 21 309 13 289 15 273 20 267 61093 58366 27 294 18 281 20 283 21 275 58366 55533 28 277 25 273 27 286 26 287 55533 52826 23 276 24 271 28 284 30 292 52826 50382 23 280 19 273 23 282 29 290 50382 48178 25 276 19 273 20 278 28 289 48178 46165 25 263 21 259 18 267 26 285 46165 44318 17 263 19 235 17 245 19 270 44318 42626 13 288 14 227 17 222 19 235 42626 41063 15 285 12 242 12 217 23 205 41063 39599 10 309 12 242 12 218 20 195 39599 38216 7 333 10 226 12 214 18 192 38216 36874 5 355 9 212 12 203 16 194 36874 35504 4 033 9 193 13 204 15 204 35504 34078 6 063 10 186 12 211 15 219 34078 32599 9 087 7 197 8 207 14 232 32599 31052 5 086 2 257 5 189 13 242 31052 29423 6 340 1 199 7 203 13 244 29423 27712 7 016 6 164 9 207 11 242 27712 25919 7 065 9 173 9 214 8 237 25919 24048 3 068 9 182 6 201 4 233 24048 22098 2 325 6 177 6 166 2 150 22098 20059 5 294 1 156 4 144 5 147 20059 17919 6 292 2 334 4 157 9 165 17919 15726 4 290 3 190 9 192 8 213 15726 13613 3 224 9 203 11 222 8 237 13613 11700 5 231 10 216 9 223 10 224 11700 10011 7 202 9 212 10 208 13 216 10011 8515 8 203 9 194 11 194 13 213 8515 7190 8 188 11 183 13 184 11 205 7190 6019 10 175 13 183 14 184 10 196 6019 4990 10 175 14 186 14 188 10 186 4990 4093 10 184 15 185 14 181 12 178 4093 3309 13 192 16*182 12*173 14 163 3309 2613 16 191 14*176 12*172 14 155 2613 2000 18 182 14 174 12 171 13 157 2000 1489 17*177 13 173 11 171 12 162 1489 1098 13*174 13 172 11 171 11 165 1098 829 10 171 12 172 10 170 11 166 829 666 10 172 11 171 10 171 9*164 666 573 8 171 10 171 9 170 5*159 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography