DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.7 - - 78.1 - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 102 - - 71 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3602 - - 3415 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2489 - - 2137 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4197 - - 4010 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 2178 - - 2717 - - 5960 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 307 - - 274 - - 20 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 006 - - 358 - - 001 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -7 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 893 - - 526 - - -2604 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 3304 - - 3484 - - 3179 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 121 - - -578 - - -3857 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 4076 - - 4588 - - 4432 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 90 - - 110 - - 210 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 76.7 - - 78.1 - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 63.9 - - 64.5 - - 65.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.3 - - 77.9 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 62.9 - - 63.5 - - 64.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 102 - - 71 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3602 - - 3415 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 101 - - 98 - - 24 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99398 42 096 31 093 30 083 99398 91888 34 089 31 089 31 086 91888 86138 27 083 29 088 33 084 86138 81373 26 094 27 096 27 083 81373 77251 27 094 20 096 21 085 77251 73603 22 094 17 096 16 084 73603 70305 21 099 13 097 14 091 70305 67277 16 093 13 114 6 074 67277 64470 13 082 12 096 7 143 64470 61756 13 068 8 088 4 077 61756 58939 11 028 9 049 6 021 58939 56029 10 337 8 005 12 347 56029 53255 13 323 12 323 10 328 53255 50756 11 332 10 331 17 348 50756 48527 21 350 23 355 22 349 48527 46510 32 351 31 001 15 009 46510 44651 36 353 39 003 42 355 44651 42931 38 359 43 358 47 349 42931 41330 40 000 47 360 45 354 41330 39834 38 357 50 359 44 004 39834 38430 34 359 50 360 51 007 38430 37077 34 007 50 360 57 004 37077 35703 38 013 46 002 54 001 35703 34274 43 013 46 005 50 000 34274 32790 46 010 47 006 48 002 32790 31235 44 006 46 006 44 000 31235 29595 38 003 45 002 39 359 29595 27871 36 004 42 001 36 358 27871 26063 35 008 38 000 31 002 26063 24179 34 014 31 358 28 000 24179 22221 32 021 25 359 28 343 22221 20178 30 023 24 007 25 344 20178 18045 33 020 27 016 23 005 18045 15864 35 016 29 019 20 011 15864 13761 31 014 27 017 20 011 13761 11855 31 020 24 023 19 016 11855 10170 32 024 24 030 20 009 10170 8678 32 025 24 031 20 007 8678 7358 28 022 20 024 19 014 7358 6190 21 016 19 019 18 012 6190 5154 22 016 19 014 17 008 5154 4240 21*015 20*011 15 005 4240 3433 19*012 19*001 14 003 3433 2710 18 007 18 359 13 003 2710 2070 18 005 18 357 13 003 2070 1536 17 004 17 357 12 004 1536 1126 17 004 17 356 11 003 1126 844 16 003 16 356 10 002 844 673 14 003 14 356 8*002 673 574 11 003 11 355 6*001 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography