DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/03 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.8 - - 74.2 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 292 - - 144 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2760 - - 3670 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2304 - - 2656 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3355 - - 4265 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 643 - - 673 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 377 - - 329 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 10 - - 9 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 093 - - 106 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - -2 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3894 - - -4629 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7250 - - 8894 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -14010 - - -13955 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 17365 - - 18220 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 45 - - 70 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 70.8 - - 74.2 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 41.4 - - 37.6 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 69.2 - - 73.3 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 40.8 - - 36.9 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 292 - - 144 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2760 - - 3670 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97891 18 213 25 225 97891 90560 19 215 19 234 90560 84903 20 210 16 240 84903 80207 11 208 11 223 80207 76174 2 289 9 221 76174 72621 9 321 6 273 72621 69422 7 297 9 293 69422 66492 7 270 11 285 66492 63771 13 276 17 273 63771 61134 21 270 25 264 61134 58395 29 261 32 257 58395 55566 35 260 37 254 55566 52878 39 264 42 259 52878 50466 41 266 45 264 50466 48296 44 263 46 263 48296 46313 48 258 48 261 46313 44487 52 256 52 255 44487 42799 55 257 58 252 42799 41225 57 255 66 250 41225 39746 59 254 71 251 39746 38353 58 254 87 249 38353 37000 55 253 92 250 37000 35616 48 252 87 256 35616 34175 38 248 66 258 34175 32682 35 246 51 251 32682 31124 35 247 40 252 31124 29487 32 252 33 256 29487 27770 27 260 27 257 27770 25969 26 266 25 261 25969 24085 26 268 25 264 24085 22122 22 267 23 260 22122 20074 17 263 20 256 20074 17938 16 255 17 258 17938 15759 15 248 14 255 15759 13663 10 253 10 248 13663 11761 2 242 5 211 11761 10074 5 116 5 170 10074 8577 8 102 7 145 8577 7251 10 096 8 142 7251 6081 11 103 10 131 6081 5054 12 094 10*113 5054 4156 12*092 9*108 4156 3366 11*094 9 107 3366 2659 10 093 9 106 2659 2034 10 093 9 106 2034 1513 10 093 9 105 1513 1112 10 093 8 104 1112 837 9 093 8 105 837 670 9 093 8 104 670 574 8 092 7 104 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography