DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.7 - - 57.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 285 - - 197 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3562 - - 4418 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2908 - - 3386 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 4157 - - 5013 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1339 - - 923 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 411 - - 390 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 24 - - 20 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 283 - - 283 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 8 - - 7 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -5 - - 0 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3014 - - -3411 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7171 - - 8424 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -11939 - - -11747 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 16096 - - 16760 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 74 - - 69 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.7 - - 57.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 26.1 - - 22.7 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 54.5 - - 56.8 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 24.9 - - 21.5 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 285 - - 197 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3562 - - 4418 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 3 - - 2 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96218 14 242 22 255 96218 89018 7 206 13 244 89018 83492 5 309 9 261 83492 78900 14 286 9 286 78900 74925 9 295 11 294 74925 71398 14 329 10 258 71398 68195 17 290 12 275 68195 65247 18 282 13 287 65247 62510 20 299 24 300 62510 59859 25 283 32 276 59859 57053 35 268 33 284 57053 54106 43 259 53 294 54106 51291 56 278 68 286 51291 48770 64 267 75 275 48770 46530 62 276 80 282 46530 44513 84 292 88 286 44513 42681 105 285 100 285 42681 41011 105 283 103 280 41011 39477 101 288 99 283 39477 38054 110 292 99 291 38054 36720 121 286 110 296 36720 35429 113 280 110 290 35429 34114 111 283 107 286 34114 32744 102 282 105 284 32744 31324 95 279 103 281 31324 29836 92 277 102 279 29836 28269 92 274 101 280 28269 26624 94 275 99 282 26624 24900 94 277 96 284 24900 23098 93 278 93 285 23098 21220 91 281 91 288 21220 19259 89 283 88 290 19259 17212 87 284 80 288 17212 15123 82 286 76 283 15123 13114 78 289 74 283 13114 11290 74 289 69 285 11290 9674 69 291 66 294 9674 8245 56 298 54 299 8245 6983 44 297 42 294 6983 5869 36 290 31*288 5869 4888 31*286 21*281 4888 4027 25*282 20 281 4027 3265 25 282 20 282 3265 2584 25 283 20 284 2584 1981 25 283 20 284 1981 1478 24 284 20 285 1478 1092 23 284 19 286 1092 826 22 284 18 286 826 665 21 284 17 286 665 573 17 284 14 286 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography