DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 34.5 - - 35.3 - - 33.4 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - -11 - - -11 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 98 - - 163 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 572 - - 573 - - 693 - - 758 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 155 - - 682 - - 1179 - - 1835 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 6 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 325 - - 010 - - 006 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 5 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - 0 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - -65 - - 122 - - -43 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 571 - - 638 - - 571 - - 801 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3704 - - -3122 - - -83 - - -385 ODpotential blCL - - - 4276 - - 3695 - - 776 - - 1143 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 34.5 - - 35.3 - - 33.4 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.2 - - 34.7 - - 33.2 - - 31.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 36.8 - - 34.3 - - 32.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.3 - - 35.0 - - 33.7 - - 30.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - -11 - - -11 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 98 - - 163 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96194 14 240 16 250 21 272 19 275 96194 88964 10 265 17 220 18 264 19 261 88964 83384 13 284 13 226 19 259 18 253 83384 78768 16 262 13 227 17 250 20 273 78768 74798 23 281 17 282 16 271 26 262 74798 71283 28 280 30 280 28 268 30 274 71283 68103 24 281 28 271 31 251 27 275 68103 65172 23 278 31 271 30 269 23 270 65172 62427 26 286 38 278 36 285 34 288 62427 59751 31 266 52 269 50 276 46 283 59751 56958 41 247 48 256 51 255 53 270 56958 54057 41 254 50 267 53 262 60 270 54057 51279 64 267 66 268 66 261 67 270 51279 48767 82 266 81 261 77 259 70 267 48767 46515 88 261 81 258 79 258 74 265 46515 44474 88 260 82 261 79 261 76 263 44474 42600 88 261 87 261 80 261 77 259 42600 40868 89 260 92 258 81 257 78 256 40868 39260 87 259 90 253 78 254 77 256 39260 37763 83 259 84 248 75 254 73 255 37763 36364 80 259 79 248 76 254 68 254 36364 35020 78 259 77 252 77 253 65 253 35020 33663 77 260 77 257 77 251 64 253 33663 32264 79 260 78 259 76 250 66 253 32264 30826 82 260 79 258 76 250 68 251 30826 29331 80 262 77 257 76 251 68 250 29331 27771 70 265 72 259 74 253 62 250 27771 26148 55 269 61 261 61 257 54 252 26148 24456 42 274 48 260 46 261 43 256 24456 22689 37 273 35 260 36 259 33 258 22689 20849 37 270 28 265 27 258 25 252 20849 18928 41 266 23 273 19 256 19 249 18928 16920 45 270 24 277 16 260 15 251 16920 14867 39 277 26 275 19 265 16 261 14867 12885 29 278 23 277 19 264 20 268 12885 11084 28 273 18 274 18 266 20 280 11084 9486 25 264 16 256 17 274 18 293 9486 8075 27 261 14 280 14 284 13 317 8075 6832 23 259 16 303 11 350 7 355 6832 5735 7 265 6 302 7 335 4 328 5735 4764 10 299 8 342 4 002 5 003 4764 3913 12 294 6 010 5 087 13 053 3913 3168 12 303 8 027 9 063 25 049 3168 2505 16 294 8 012 15 039 27 042 2505 1924 19 277 11 360 24 024 23 028 1924 1440 19 261 16 352 24 016 20 017 1440 1069 16 248 19 343 22 014 18 013 1069 814 13 239 15 331 18*012 15*008 814 660 9*235 13*328 16*011 13*007 660 571 1*202 6*325 10 009 9 005 571 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography