DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 45.6 - - 54.2 - - 55.3 - - 49.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 160 - - 21 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 322 - - 1661 - - 1500 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 1271 - - 556 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 917 - - 2256 - - 2095 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 665 - - 654 - - 721 - - 355 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 110 - - 260 - - 128 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 114 - - 143 - - 141 - - 123 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5318 - - -6031 - - -6498 - - -5944 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6235 - - 8287 - - 8594 - - 6518 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -18656 - - -17741 - - -17443 - - -17420 ODpotential blCL - - - 19573 - - 19997 - - 19538 - - 17993 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 95 - - 100 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 45.6 - - 54.2 - - 55.3 - - 49.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 20.5 - - 20.2 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 45.3 - - 53.4 - - 55.4 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.7 - - 20.1 - - 19.8 - - 23.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 63 - - 160 - - 21 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 322 - - 1661 - - 1500 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 82 - - 101 - - 88 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96018 31 284 32 261 38 282 42 277 96018 89098 24 300 21 296 24 293 30 290 89098 83702 19 315 21 318 17 306 22 308 83702 79156 18 332 19 318 15 309 21 310 79156 75213 18 330 16 298 16 304 21 309 75213 71730 17 321 15 275 17 293 20 314 71730 68572 18 311 14 292 17 289 18 301 68572 65657 19 312 18 292 18 284 18 289 65657 62948 25 306 22 287 25 274 24 296 62948 60322 36 286 30 289 30 273 31 279 60322 57592 40 282 38 288 40 272 37 269 57592 54757 57 282 53 281 43 278 44 269 54757 52026 66 277 61 273 57 278 56 268 52026 49545 68 273 62 265 65 270 60 268 49545 47314 59 272 58 266 68 265 64 265 47314 45297 52 280 53 269 65 261 65 263 45297 43462 58 285 53 272 61 260 65 264 43462 41775 61 282 58 273 62 263 65 265 41775 40207 57 282 67 267 67 263 66 263 40207 38742 54 285 73 260 69 261 65 262 38742 37365 56 280 68 258 69 259 60 266 37365 36040 56 273 62 257 69 256 56 274 36040 34700 53 274 61 257 68 253 54 281 34700 33317 53 272 61 259 67 253 54 276 33317 31885 55 270 59 260 64 257 46 281 31885 30384 53 273 55 261 58 262 47 283 30384 28799 50 277 52 265 52 266 46 283 28799 27131 47 280 49 269 51 269 46 278 27131 25378 47 275 47 269 49 273 44 272 25378 23543 49 272 47 268 47 274 42 272 23543 21632 48 273 47 269 44 276 42 274 21632 19639 43 277 45 271 42 275 39 275 19639 17559 35 283 41 270 39 268 34 274 17559 15438 30 293 32 277 31 257 29 263 15438 13396 31 302 25 289 23 250 27 246 13396 11534 27 304 20 285 22 238 24 233 11534 9880 27 300 16 281 17 224 24 228 9880 8415 27 300 17 274 16 221 23 228 8415 7113 22 293 18 260 20 227 21 219 7113 5961 18 279 17 253 17 223 22 204 5961 4947 13 264 10 234 13 199 30 198 4947 4059 7 249 8 180 15 173 30 186 4059 3279 2 160 13 156 18 161 28 172 3279 2587 9 129 16*147 17*147 26 159 2587 1981 15 117 14*144 15*142 24 147 1981 1477 17 115 14 144 14 142 23 142 1477 1090 17*115 14 143 13 141 22 137 1090 825 13*114 13 143 12 141 19 131 825 664 11 114 12 144 11 141 15*129 664 572 9 115 10 143 9 141 8*123 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography