DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0653z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 42.7 - - 43.9 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 165 - - 97 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1655 - - 4991 - - 4383 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 555 - - 3691 - - 2875 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2250 - - 5586 - - 4978 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3531 - - 590 - - 1209 - - 4652 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 196 - - 378 - - 304 - - 5 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 17 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 342 - - 340 - - 335 - - 326 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1667 - - 850 - - -367 - - -3407 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3917 - - 4737 - - 5346 - - 3981 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2177 - - 868 - - -637 - - -4475 ODpotential blCL - - - 4427 - - 4718 - - 5615 - - 5048 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 100 - - 90 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.9 - - 42.7 - - 43.9 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.0 - - 24.0 - - 22.5 - - 24.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 38.6 - - 42.0 - - 43.5 - - 40.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.8 - - 23.8 - - 22.4 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 69 - - 165 - - 97 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1655 - - 4991 - - 4383 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 100 - - 59 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96147 48 246 53 246 57 257 55 258 96147 88947 21 268 31 251 28 258 32 257 88947 83445 11 259 8 260 16 235 15 260 83445 78882 7 268 7 293 6 239 9 294 78882 74947 11 294 9 258 7 290 15 307 74947 71459 6 296 6 282 10 300 14 294 71459 68286 17 321 12 311 14 308 15 303 68286 65358 22 300 21 313 19 306 18 299 65358 62630 20 312 24 299 21 299 23 305 62630 59969 25 318 27 308 32 301 30 302 59969 57181 37 317 38 312 38 304 33 308 57181 54283 49 314 47 312 43 310 42 313 54283 51512 54 315 54 313 52 313 56 314 51512 49009 57 319 59 313 64 316 66 314 49009 46756 63 323 65 316 74 314 73 315 46756 44706 70 325 72 319 80 312 80 314 44706 42824 75 323 76 319 82 312 86 313 42824 41084 73 327 76 320 81 314 91 313 41084 39466 77 331 78 324 83 318 92 316 39466 37957 82 332 85 326 89 320 96 320 37957 36544 90 332 92 326 94 323 103 322 36544 35185 97 332 100 329 102 326 106 323 35185 33812 100 332 110 329 108 326 110 323 33812 32394 103 333 118 327 111 326 111 322 32394 30931 107 335 121 325 116 326 111 322 30931 29409 108 336 124 325 119 324 111 324 29409 27817 105 336 124 325 113 323 109 324 27817 26159 99 335 121 324 102 325 97 325 26159 24434 89 334 116 326 95 328 87 329 24434 22640 77 336 93 331 84 331 85 331 22640 20775 63 335 64 335 72 337 82 331 20775 18840 53 334 48 337 62 340 74 334 18840 16831 46 336 40 336 51 337 62 336 16831 14787 40 338 36 336 44 333 51 336 14787 12823 33 340 31 338 39 333 40 340 12823 11042 29 343 28 340 33 336 34 345 11042 9465 26 342 24 343 28 342 29 348 9465 8069 24 345 20 346 21 345 27 351 8069 6835 19 337 12 355 11 357 15 005 6835 5748 16 345 15*347 14*349 11 034 5748 4788 20 002 17*343 15*340 14 008 4788 3945 23 001 17 341 15 338 17 358 3945 3200 23 357 17 340 16 337 17 353 3200 2534 23*351 17 339 15 335 17 349 2534 1945 21*346 17 339 15 334 17 346 1945 1454 19 341 17 338 15 332 16 342 1454 1077 18 341 17 338 14 331 15 337 1077 818 17 340 16 337 14 331 12 333 818 662 15 340 15 337 13 330 10*329 662 572 12 340 13 337 11 330 6*326 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography