DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 05/02 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.8 - - 56.1 - - 55.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 128 - - 40 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5177 - - 6046 - - 3791 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 3714 - - 3099 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 5772 - - 6641 - - 4386 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 4700 - - 3020 - - 4233 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 361 - - 262 - - 74 W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 356 - - 349 - - 332 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 4 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 12 - - 16 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 915 - - 688 - - -1839 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4857 - - 5953 - - 6225 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 328 - - 169 - - -3145 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 5444 - - 6472 - - 7531 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 150 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 55.8 - - 56.1 - - 55.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 36.6 - - 32.0 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 55.1 - - 55.9 - - 56.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 35.5 - - 31.0 - - 29.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 128 - - 40 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 5177 - - 6046 - - 3791 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 98 - - 102 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97754 18 257 21 265 26 273 97754 90308 21 250 23 254 25 265 90308 84577 15 231 18 244 18 263 84577 79831 12 223 13 230 13 257 79831 75747 12 223 12 226 14 262 75747 72145 13 204 16 242 14 262 72145 68883 13 210 17 236 15 259 68883 65864 17 230 21 252 25 247 65864 63043 20 235 27 234 27 238 63043 60296 20 245 26 248 26 256 60296 57428 32 259 32 257 33 267 57428 54450 35 259 40 263 39 265 54450 51605 43 263 44 261 39 263 51605 49039 46 266 41 262 42 269 49039 46734 50 265 45 267 44 271 46734 44639 47 261 48 270 46 276 44639 42727 46 265 51 267 49 282 42727 40979 49 265 45 271 52 285 40979 39370 43 266 45 287 50 285 39370 37881 35 274 46 292 46 298 37881 36501 40 292 45 300 51 304 36501 35184 47 294 48 308 52 306 35184 33858 43 295 53 317 52 312 33858 32492 42 312 58 323 55 318 32492 31081 49 326 61 324 58 321 31081 29603 57 334 62 325 59 323 29603 28048 62 338 62 326 60 325 28048 26414 61 340 59 326 58 324 26414 24700 49 335 54 328 55 323 24700 22909 37 319 54 329 50 326 22909 21048 34 311 54 334 46 326 21048 19110 32 319 48 330 43 328 19110 17084 29 327 43 321 41 332 17084 15020 26 327 36 319 36 334 15020 13038 23 334 30 326 30 331 13038 11238 13 336 20 320 27 331 11238 9643 11 318 13 297 22 322 9643 8239 11 310 12 304 15 302 8239 6994 11 312 11*323 14 302 6994 5888 11*328 10*336 13 312 5888 4907 11*341 10 341 12*320 4907 4041 11 350 10 346 10*326 4041 3276 11 355 10 350 9 330 3276 2591 11 357 10 353 8 332 2591 1986 11 359 10 354 7 334 1986 1481 11 000 10 355 6 336 1481 1093 11 001 10 356 5 336 1093 827 11 002 10 357 5 338 827 665 10 002 9 357 4 338 665 573 9 002 8 357 3 340 573 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography