DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 0959z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.7 - - 82.2 - - 77.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 214 - - 81 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2178 - - 2304 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1792 - - 1386 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2773 - - 2899 - - 575 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 492 - - 882 - - 2251 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 321 - - 245 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 126 - - 138 - - 139 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3659 - - -3797 - - -3404 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6433 - - 6697 - - 3979 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10741 - - -9735 - - -9320 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 13514 - - 12634 - - 9895 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 81 - - 86 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 10 - - 80 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 77.7 - - 82.2 - - 77.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 52.0 - - 55.2 - - 61.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 76.5 - - 81.6 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 50.7 - - 54.0 - - 61.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 214 - - 81 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 2178 - - 2304 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 25 - - 45 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 8 - - 9 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98845 16 103 21 107 11 101 98845 91437 18 106 14 105 14 085 91437 85715 14 110 9 110 12 098 85715 80961 10 114 7 133 10 112 80961 76859 8 116 5 165 7 114 76859 73242 1 179 6 154 5 165 73242 69961 3 258 4 056 3 148 69961 66952 5 160 3 280 1 306 66952 64180 3 024 4 226 1 039 64180 61512 9 318 4 306 6 032 61512 58767 5 285 9 296 8 338 58767 55957 10 313 15 252 15 285 55957 53303 30 314 16 301 15 292 53303 50931 39 299 25 305 18 293 50931 48804 40 283 30 300 20 281 48804 46860 39 277 35 292 23 276 46860 45060 40 279 39 284 28 273 45060 43381 41 279 41 278 32 265 43381 41807 40 276 42 277 35 263 41807 40324 39 279 42 279 36 263 40324 38920 40 285 39 278 36 270 38920 37555 40 285 34 278 36 281 37555 36161 36 286 32 275 32 275 36161 34706 30 285 32 274 30 267 34706 33193 26 274 31 272 27 259 33193 31611 23 278 29 267 24 251 31611 29946 20 282 26 262 23 247 29946 28200 20 283 24 258 22 245 28200 26375 18 286 23 256 25 250 26375 24472 20 289 22 261 28 246 24472 22489 19 289 21 252 29 239 22489 20418 12 280 16 251 25 245 20418 18258 12 275 15 253 20 244 18258 16061 14 281 14 261 17 246 16061 13952 14 292 12 273 14 250 13952 12033 17 295 14 281 14 240 12033 10325 17 285 15 269 17 232 10325 8805 14 282 11 257 17 228 8805 7453 11 272 11 250 14 215 7453 6252 8 243 11 230 11 207 6252 5191 8 173 14 195 15 193 5191 4259 11 155 18 176 21 185 4259 3440 15*141 17*153 23 164 3440 2712 13*128 15*141 22 151 2712 2071 13 127 15 139 21 148 2071 1536 13 126 14 138 20 146 1536 1126 12 125 14 138 18 144 1126 844 11 125 13 137 15 142 844 672 11 124 12 136 12*141 672 574 9 124 10 136 6*139 574 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography