DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/09 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.5 - - 46.8 - - 45.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 38 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1906 - - 1580 - - 665 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 555 - - 556 - - 555 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2501 - - 2175 - - 1260 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 581 - - 1040 - - 2148 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 220 - - 164 - - 38 W* B/S - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 14 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 331 - - 026 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 5 - - 2 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - 980 - - 683 - - 66 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 1521 - - 1492 - - 1194 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - 672 - - 359 - - -433 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 1829 - - 1816 - - 1693 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 46.5 - - 46.8 - - 45.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 42.1 - - 42.5 - - 43.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 46.2 - - 46.6 - - 46.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 41.0 - - 41.6 - - 42.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 76 - - 38 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1906 - - 1580 - - 665 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 100 - - 99 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96488 56 249 57 254 61 267 96488 89263 36 250 36 257 38 260 89263 83761 24 247 22 263 24 246 83761 79203 23 243 21 272 21 265 79203 75249 23 225 22 254 26 259 75249 71748 19 224 23 238 25 249 71748 68581 21 225 26 221 27 248 68581 65651 28 235 30 231 29 251 65651 62925 33 222 38 229 40 243 62925 60267 30 228 40 224 43 231 60267 57484 47 250 41 240 48 224 57484 54577 62 243 57 248 50 238 54577 51767 76 236 74 239 70 248 51767 49240 84 236 89 239 87 245 49240 46992 91 234 99 237 101 241 46992 44973 99 234 108 234 110 235 44973 43150 111 235 116 234 119 233 43150 41490 124 236 126 235 131 234 41490 39957 135 235 136 233 138 234 39957 38523 139 235 139 232 141 235 38523 37168 139 236 138 234 143 235 37168 35852 138 237 138 235 143 235 35852 34508 137 237 137 235 141 233 34508 33107 135 236 135 235 139 230 33107 31651 130 235 132 234 135 225 31651 30124 124 235 126 235 129 221 30124 28512 117 237 119 236 125 225 28512 26824 112 237 112 238 121 235 26824 25065 107 237 105 239 111 238 25065 23233 101 239 98 240 100 241 23233 21331 89 242 88 243 89 244 21331 19358 80 243 76 245 74 247 19358 17303 73 243 67 245 63 251 17303 15208 61 245 57 248 49 253 15208 13189 46 246 43 253 34 247 13189 11357 34 251 30 250 26 244 11357 9731 30 264 21 257 21 238 9731 8288 26 271 17 258 16 240 8288 7008 15 296 8 241 11 230 7008 5876 14 330 2 084 9 190 5876 4875 16 347 10 081 14 128 4875 3999 19 354 12 077 15 105 3999 3236 19 348 10 050 10 084 3236 2560 15*333 8*030 9 075 2560 1963 15*332 8*029 8 068 1963 1466 14 331 7 027 8*057 1466 1085 14 331 7 025 7*050 1085 822 13 331 7 024 6 044 822 663 12 331 6 024 5 041 663 572 10 330 6 024 4 040 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography