DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/07 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.7 - - 83.5 - - 77.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 106 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3086 - - 3136 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2465 - - 2163 - - 558 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3681 - - 3731 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 995 - - 1072 - - 3783 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 364 - - 294 - - 14 W* B/S - - - - - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 7 - - 10 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 088 - - 079 - - 078 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -2 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -3900 - - -4063 - - -4744 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 7581 - - 7794 - - 5321 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -10693 - - -10847 - - -11280 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 14374 - - 14578 - - 11856 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 55 - - 48 - - 46 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 81.7 - - 83.5 - - 77.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 50.8 - - 51.7 - - 56.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 80.3 - - 82.8 - - 79.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 49.5 - - 50.4 - - 55.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 219 - - 106 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3086 - - 3136 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 7 - - 7 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99035 16 100 25 109 20 133 99035 91563 13 114 12 120 16 099 91563 85797 16 128 6 182 9 082 85797 81027 11 135 9 183 2 143 81027 76908 5 156 6 132 6 150 76908 73274 10 153 6 105 5 093 73274 70013 15 105 14 134 5 098 70013 67029 16 073 13 120 9 120 67029 64264 11 074 8 089 4 144 64264 61598 5 063 5 061 3 125 61598 58845 8 350 6 015 6 023 58845 56024 22 335 19 345 14 000 56024 53368 30 333 32 327 31 328 53368 50996 33 340 35 334 36 337 50996 48857 41 339 44 337 41 339 48857 46897 45 338 44 338 40 338 46897 45088 42 341 44 338 38 339 45088 43404 42 351 39 349 37 337 43404 41827 45 353 40 008 35 347 41827 40344 39 350 35 002 38 354 40344 38940 31 356 16 026 38 001 38940 37577 26 020 18 048 36 013 37577 36181 25 023 16 015 31 023 36181 34722 24 025 23 016 20 014 34722 33208 16 026 25 021 18 003 33208 31623 11 003 22 018 17 012 31623 29953 9 348 17 007 16 017 29953 28199 12 000 16 349 18 014 28199 26358 9 353 18 350 19 012 26358 24436 11 339 17 358 16 016 24436 22432 8 344 13 350 17 024 22432 20346 12 010 7 330 8 020 20346 18183 14 012 6 007 2 258 18183 15987 10 358 7 006 8 303 15987 13877 11 356 9 008 9 334 13877 11958 14 356 13 004 10 353 11958 10253 16 356 14 001 12 003 10253 8737 15 002 12 000 11 004 8737 7392 11 012 8 357 8 359 7392 6202 7 028 6 341 4 350 6202 5154 5 054 3 029 4 093 5154 4238 6*092 8*079 9 103 4238 3430 7*090 9*080 11 096 3430 2707 7 089 10 080 12 091 2707 2068 7 089 10 079 13 088 2068 1534 7 088 10 079 13 086 1534 1124 7 087 10 079 13 084 1124 843 6 086 9 078 11 082 843 672 6 086 9 078 9*080 672 575 6 085 8 078 5*078 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography