DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0654z - - 0955z - - 1001z - - 1333z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 27.5 - - 42.4 - - 52.5 - - 48.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 238 - - 79 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 853 - - 1660 - - 2116 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 554 - - 1439 - - 1012 - - 556 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1448 - - 2255 - - 2711 - - 573 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 292 - - 613 - - 1178 - - 811 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 162 - - 298 - - 227 - - 9 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 25 - - 30 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 197 - - 204 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 13 - - 10 - - 16 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 7 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1441 - - -2379 - - -4005 - - -4770 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2889 - - 4635 - - 6717 - - 5344 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -14607 - - -11817 - - -11433 - - -12761 ODpotential blCL - - - 16055 - - 14072 - - 14144 - - 13334 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 82 - - 91 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 27.5 - - 42.4 - - 52.5 - - 48.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 17.1 - - 24.1 - - 25.0 - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 27.4 - - 41.5 - - 52.4 - - 50.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 16.4 - - 23.5 - - 24.4 - - 26.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 74 - - 238 - - 79 - - -72 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 853 - - 1660 - - 2116 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 28 - - 64 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96374 11 100 11 103 8 057 19 086 96374 89229 7 099 12 103 4 134 4 140 89229 83669 5 177 5 105 4 256 2 328 83669 79023 2 046 3 172 7 255 9 272 79023 75008 7 296 7 280 8 283 10 273 75008 71438 8 264 11 280 13 280 17 284 71438 68188 10 298 16 297 15 291 21 296 68188 65193 17 308 24 298 22 292 27 293 65193 62408 23 309 24 289 21 280 28 288 62408 59694 23 305 25 310 32 301 40 300 59694 56870 32 311 42 301 38 297 53 304 56870 53941 46 301 51 302 48 302 56 298 53941 51136 56 308 65 301 62 302 60 299 51136 48623 72 306 68 295 67 295 65 302 48623 46395 68 301 63 298 73 308 80 304 46395 44403 70 313 81 313 101 307 91 298 44403 42608 101 315 108 306 105 298 85 296 42608 40973 111 307 103 306 92 301 89 305 40973 39467 107 312 112 314 102 307 106 308 39467 38063 118 324 116 315 120 305 112 305 38063 36737 125 324 116 313 117 301 113 301 36737 35446 122 320 118 312 117 302 110 297 35446 34127 119 318 120 313 115 303 106 294 34127 32749 117 317 121 314 113 304 107 296 32749 31318 114 314 117 315 109 304 111 299 31318 29818 112 312 112 313 104 304 107 301 29818 28240 105 310 109 310 98 304 97 299 28240 26584 90 306 104 307 96 303 93 297 26584 24848 78 310 87 305 95 303 92 296 24848 23037 65 303 73 305 90 300 91 293 23037 21156 70 300 71 298 82 294 92 289 21156 19199 65 298 67 288 73 289 89 288 19199 17162 57 297 59 287 67 287 81 288 17162 15089 51 298 54 284 64 284 77 289 15089 13098 46 287 52 279 66 282 65 289 13098 11294 44 279 50 270 59 275 59 283 11294 9693 37 278 47 257 52 264 54 281 9693 8267 35 283 38 248 57 264 47 282 8267 7000 40 275 39 258 60 261 51 275 7000 5882 43 258 50 261 60 252 59 260 5882 4897 39 248 55 252 53 242 54 250 4897 4030 35 243 49 240 45 232 50 247 4030 3264 36 236 41 229 39*218 46 240 3264 2579 36 219 32*214 34*209 43 230 2579 1975 35*203 27*200 33 206 40 221 1975 1472 28*189 26 197 31 204 35 209 1472 1088 25 186 25 196 30 202 30 203 1088 823 23 184 24 195 27 201 24 199 823 664 20 184 21 194 24 200 21*197 664 572 16 183 17 193 19 200 13*196 572 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography