DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1334z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.5 - - 93.3 - - 85.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - 30 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3345 - - 4422 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 2438 - - 2239 - - 559 Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 3940 - - 5017 - - 576 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 3020 - - 2812 - - 2025 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 322 - - 251 - - 17 W* B/S - - - - - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 11 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 211 - - 191 - - 170 Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -2484 - - -2056 - - -3313 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 6424 - - 7073 - - 3889 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -7901 - - -7523 - - -6352 ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 11841 - - 12540 - - 6928 blCL maxRH - - - - - - 57 - - 63 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 340 - - 470 - - 1610 CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 91.5 - - 93.3 - - 85.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 65.3 - - 64.3 - - 70.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 90.8 - - 93.1 - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 64.0 - - 62.9 - - 69.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 123 - - 30 - - -43 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 3345 - - 4422 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 12 - - 12 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99015 12 114 7 045 20 020 99015 91554 16 093 9 092 8 068 91554 85803 11 083 13 097 9 078 85803 81050 8 083 12 095 10 059 81050 76964 9 075 8 107 7 065 76964 73361 10 091 6 091 7 079 73361 70112 9 083 6 117 3 081 70112 67136 7 075 5 099 2 106 67136 64377 1 025 2 077 3 354 64377 61708 4 277 5 268 6 313 61708 58943 3 262 8 252 9 269 58943 56097 7 257 11 260 12 256 56097 53405 11 255 14 259 13 264 53405 51003 11 287 12 270 15 285 51003 48851 14 302 13 295 16 294 48851 46887 14 309 20 316 15 298 46887 45079 16 307 18 304 15 302 45079 43406 23 272 13 276 18 270 43406 41844 27 257 20 243 23 244 41844 40374 18 262 23 240 23 242 40374 38978 8 246 17 220 23 246 38978 37618 6 254 15 210 22 245 37618 36227 6 247 12 208 18 236 36227 34781 7 235 10 217 15 212 34781 33281 8 251 8 234 13 204 33281 31710 7 274 9 250 12 222 31710 30054 9 269 13 260 14 249 30054 28314 11 267 14 266 16 261 28314 26487 11 269 13 272 14 267 26487 24576 10 261 13 277 13 279 24576 22586 12 250 16 282 12 293 22586 20517 14 256 19 292 12 303 20517 18368 15 241 17 284 13 307 18368 16174 13 220 14 255 12 283 16174 14054 15 218 16 243 11 261 14054 12124 13 219 17 238 11 267 12124 10409 9 227 14 238 11 272 10409 8889 6 250 6 252 9 264 8889 7541 8 283 7 289 10 257 7541 6340 10 257 8 251 12 252 6340 5276 11 235 12*215 13 244 5276 4336 12*223 12*208 13 232 4336 3505 12*214 13 196 14 215 3505 2762 12 213 13 192 17 199 2762 2106 12 211 13 188 19 189 2106 1559 12 209 13 187 19 184 1559 1139 11 209 13 185 18 180 1139 851 10 208 12 184 15 176 851 675 10 208 11 183 12*174 675 575 8 207 9 183 7*170 575 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography