DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/16 Silvercreek_IL 595ft pt32094@38.850,-89.766,540ft SPONSORED BY: Barry Marcus BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.2 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 09Z 21Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 91.8 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 121 - - 52 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1922 - - 3363 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - - - - 1398 - - 1952 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - - - - 2517 - - 3958 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - - - - 1082 - - 2219 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - - - - 263 - - 259 - - - W* B/S - - - - - - 6 - - 5 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - - - - 8 - - 10 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - - - - 259 - - 265 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - - - - 3 - - 4 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - - - - -3 - - 3 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - - - - -1494 - - -443 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - - - - 4012 - - 4401 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - - - - -3759 - - -2842 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - - - - 6276 - - 6800 - - - blCL maxRH - - - - - - 92 - - 99 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - - - - 2240 - - 3080 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - - - - 88.8 - - 91.8 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - - - - 72.9 - - 74.1 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - - - - 88.0 - - 91.6 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - - - - 72.0 - - 73.0 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - - - - 121 - - 52 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - - - - 1922 - - 3363 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - - - - 69 - - 97 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - - - - 17 - - 17 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 12Z 13Z 14Z 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99279 27 090 27 079 99279 91855 29 103 24 082 91855 86091 28 090 25 094 86091 81293 24 073 25 088 81293 77170 19 073 22 080 77170 73534 12 081 13 061 73534 70240 11 109 5 049 70240 67208 13 107 3 115 67208 64399 7 075 5 092 64399 61699 2 344 5 341 61699 58918 6 260 5 262 58918 56074 10 255 15 222 56074 53400 16 272 20 237 53400 51015 27 267 19 267 51015 48872 28 248 25 282 48872 46910 24 238 32 274 46910 45099 16 235 32 258 45099 43421 9 247 24 247 43421 41852 12 297 12 251 41852 40373 13 299 7 271 40373 38969 13 298 12 268 38969 37602 15 293 18 284 37602 36206 15 285 19 279 36206 34749 12 282 22 269 34749 33233 12 276 25 266 33233 31646 16 268 27 263 31646 29977 21 268 28 257 29977 28229 24 275 27 255 28229 26402 26 279 26 261 26402 24499 28 273 29 271 24499 22522 30 274 29 268 22522 20465 30 281 28 271 20465 18321 31 288 29 276 18321 16135 30 289 28 279 16135 14027 27 283 26 277 14027 12111 24 277 24 278 12111 10407 25 276 24 281 10407 8890 27 286 25 271 8890 7539 26 283 26 270 7539 6338 25 276 25 268 6338 5274 24 270 20 264 5274 4336 21 267 13*260 4336 3508 19 267 11*261 3508 2766 13*265 11 263 2766 2110 9*260 11 265 2110 1562 9 259 10 266 1562 1142 8 259 10 268 1142 852 8 258 9 267 852 676 7 259 9 268 676 576 6 258 8 269 576 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 18Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography