DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 67.1 - - 63.1 - - 53.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 233 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4257 - - 9355 - - 8518 - - 361 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11655 - - 15825 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13267 - - 18365 - - 17528 - - 9371 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4005 - - 2100 - - 2193 - - 9124 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 379 - - 558 - - 123 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 22 - - 25 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 240 - - 251 - - 261 - - 267 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 19 - - 24 - - 27 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 21 - - 8 - - -2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1200 - - 2536 - - 2539 - - -3398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14467 - - 15830 - - 14990 - - 12770 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5491 - - -841 - - -299 - - -7309 ODpotential blCL - - - 18758 - - 19206 - - 17827 - - 16680 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 52 - - 63 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.6 - - 67.1 - - 63.1 - - 53.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.0 - - 22.1 - - 22.1 - - 22.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.1 - - 69.4 - - 67.0 - - 62.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.9 - - 21.4 - - 21.5 - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 233 - - 0 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4257 - - 9355 - - 8518 - - 361 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97706 13 005 15 014 13 351 16 010 97706 90503 4 022 11 350 10 360 11 002 90503 84869 6 034 5 343 8 336 7 359 84869 80153 7 012 2 267 7 312 12 329 80153 76092 12 349 3 349 7 310 16 323 76092 72505 22 334 10 009 10 003 8 305 72505 69249 23 325 19 336 17 348 8 318 69249 66255 20 306 21 321 14 327 11 289 66255 63481 24 303 26 309 29 310 14 308 63481 60796 29 290 36 288 42 300 18 325 60796 58004 31 294 34 291 41 295 24 321 58004 55114 40 292 40 298 41 297 24 307 55114 52348 45 286 44 295 44 300 38 308 52348 49847 45 284 45 291 46 296 45 302 49847 47604 45 282 47 288 48 292 47 296 47604 45573 45 278 50 282 50 286 47 290 45573 43719 40 273 48 273 54 278 49 280 43719 42018 35 270 41 268 53 275 49 272 42018 40443 33 271 36 265 48 269 46 270 40443 38981 29 276 32 265 41 263 45 272 38981 37619 31 264 31 269 35 265 44 271 37619 36321 28 245 33 271 37 274 43 264 36321 35025 23 232 32 270 38 275 42 263 35025 33708 23 223 30 266 37 275 43 264 33708 32374 24 222 26 266 33 274 43 262 32374 31010 25 221 24 270 27 274 42 261 31010 29606 25 224 24 269 25 276 40 263 29606 28167 26 225 27 261 24 275 37 263 28167 26699 28 223 31 257 24 270 34 262 26699 25204 28 221 34 254 27 263 33 259 25204 23689 27 225 33 252 33 256 33 259 23689 22155 28 232 31 251 36 252 35 262 22155 20597 28 239 30 251 36 249 39 262 20597 19040 26 248 30*250 35 246 40 258 19040 17554 25 254 29*250 33*245 40 253 17554 16200 25 252 28 253 32*248 39 249 16200 14984 25 248 25 255 31 253 38 249 14984 13885 25*244 24 256 30 258 37 250 13885 12887 26*243 22 255 29 261 36 252 12887 11978 27 243 22 254 27 263 35 255 11978 11151 26 245 21 252 26 264 33 258 11151 10402 25 246 20 249 23 266 31 262 10402 9722 21 246 20 247 21 267 27*264 9722 9098 15 240 19 245 20 267 24*267 9098 8534 11 225 19 243 19 267 19 269 8534 8053 9 217 18 242 18 267 14 269 8053 7677 9 214 17 240 17 267 10 266 7677 7415 8 211 16 240 15 266 6 260 7415 7255 8 209 15 239 13 266 4 253 7255 7162 6 207 11 238 8 265 3 103 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography