DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/23 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.4 - - 56.9 - - 60.9 - - 60.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 90 - - 169 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4503 - - 6878 - - 6539 - - 405 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11590 - - 13705 - - 11846 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 13513 - - 15888 - - 15549 - - 9415 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2957 - - 2326 - - 1537 - - 1181 - - 4192 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 337 - - 460 - - 268 - - 14 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 15 - - 9 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 296 - - 259 - - 244 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -6 - - 12 - - 15 - - 13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -431 - - 4288 - - 5337 - - 4445 - - 188 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7594 - - 9226 - - 10551 - - 11104 - - 9228 sfcLCL ODpotential -5187 - - -388 - - 1753 - - 1223 - - -4800 ODpotential blCL 12350 - - 13901 - - 14135 - - 14326 - - 14215 blCL maxRH 77 - - 62 - - 74 - - 75 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 160 - - 160 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.4 - - 56.9 - - 60.9 - - 60.7 - - 51.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.1 - - 41.2 - - 39.4 - - 36.9 - - 36.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 52.4 - - 60.0 - - 63.3 - - 64.2 - - 60.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.9 - - 39.9 - - 38.3 - - 36.1 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 90 - - 169 - - 33 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 4503 - - 6878 - - 6539 - - 405 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98302 13 217 11 228 15 234 12 229 14 249 98302 90927 10 174 5 234 6 221 7 235 6 232 90927 85245 4 148 8 230 3 228 4 273 5 121 85245 80540 1 181 6 185 3 224 4 300 7 048 80540 76513 9 012 7 154 4 232 6 299 8 002 76513 72955 9 344 5 113 3 216 4 290 5 352 72955 69708 6 288 4 204 6 238 9 263 6 312 69708 66705 10 225 7 247 8 216 14 237 11 277 66705 63910 8 237 9 244 11 223 19 233 19 255 63910 61189 20 257 11 252 15 209 20 226 22 240 61189 58337 33 243 24 244 20 233 21 233 24 237 58337 55373 32 220 32 226 33 237 28 244 27 241 55373 52554 31 235 34 229 40 232 36 241 34 241 52554 50039 40 242 38 234 42 238 41 241 38 244 50039 47808 39 236 37 229 40 235 43 237 40 238 47808 45796 33 228 30 243 40 258 40 248 34 246 45796 43976 33 260 40 258 39 261 40 250 39 248 43976 42322 33 270 25 269 25 270 22 258 30 259 42322 40795 28 287 33 303 32 301 30 290 39 292 40795 39372 29 330 34 307 38 291 36 290 46 300 39372 38037 46 347 34 324 35 296 36 289 40 299 38037 36759 58 346 44 333 38 309 34 295 31 299 36759 35478 52 346 52 332 39 318 34 302 29 297 35478 34168 43 341 51 333 37 317 34 300 28 285 34168 32834 39 333 46 337 36 314 28 297 27 276 32834 31465 36 329 36 335 37 314 21 296 27 274 31465 30054 32 329 31 325 33 312 15 288 26 275 30054 28606 29 327 28 317 23 308 15 274 23 276 28606 27121 28 324 23 311 19 307 22 270 22 277 27121 25605 27 324 21 307 21 300 26 272 22 276 25605 24062 23 326 20 302 24 292 28 277 22 273 24062 22487 16 319 17 298 22 282 29 284 22 279 22487 20876 12 298 14 286 21 272 27 286 23 282 20876 19256 11 293 13 275 19 267 24 281 22 279 19256 17712 11 300 13 274 17 266 22 279 21 277 17712 16314 11 307 13 282 14*274 18*283 21 272 16314 15067 11 309 11 289 11*286 11*295 21 267 15067 13945 11 307 10*296 8 291 7 296 19 263 13945 12929 9 302 9*300 7 288 6 289 16 260 12929 12007 8 297 9 302 5 276 5 278 12 256 12007 11169 7 295 7 303 5 265 5 244 8 247 11169 10413 6 296 6 306 5 254 6 228 5 228 10413 9728 5 298 5 301 5 230 7 211 4*203 9728 9101 4 303 4 295 6 222 8 204 5*182 9101 8534 4 313 4 280 6 217 8 201 7 167 8534 8052 4 323 3 270 6 212 9 199 7 160 8052 7677 4 333 3 261 6 209 9 198 7 157 7677 7415 4 339 3 253 6 207 8 197 6 147 7415 7255 4*330 3 248 6 207 8 197 4 123 7255 7163 3*332 3 247 5 207 6 195 3 110 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography