DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 12.2 - - 20.7 - - 16.4 - - 13.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 16 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7143 - - 7143 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1749 - - 2695 - - 2384 - - 1269 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 15 - - 28 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 046 - - 338 - - 273 - - 330 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -3 - - 8 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2754 - - -3622 - - -1023 - - -2358 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9915 - - 10784 - - 8185 - - 9519 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15145 - - -13760 - - -11883 - - -12709 ODpotential blCL - - - 22306 - - 20921 - - 19044 - - 19870 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 36 - - 51 - - 72 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 12.2 - - 20.7 - - 16.4 - - 13.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - -5.0 - - -0.6 - - 6.6 - - -2.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 18.8 - - 24.6 - - 24.3 - - 23.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - -6.2 - - -1.4 - - 5.6 - - 3.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 16 - - -2 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96535 36 043 39 056 31 052 30 032 96535 89343 27 028 18 030 17 006 23 003 89343 83790 19 034 10 359 13 338 14 342 83790 79190 16 357 21 336 24 349 12 343 79190 75195 11 344 24 328 26 346 13 350 75195 71638 6 003 21 321 26 342 20 346 71638 68401 12 353 17 340 29 340 21 335 68401 65404 16 351 19 351 29 332 25 336 65404 62621 19 353 24 338 27 328 35 334 62621 59944 17 328 27 325 29 329 31 324 59944 57146 23 328 27 325 27 325 30 333 57146 54225 30 326 23 337 29 340 35 326 54225 51449 37 333 32 347 38 336 31 329 51449 48971 42 326 40 333 36 336 32 339 48971 46765 36 319 35 326 34 332 33 345 46765 44766 28 328 29 338 30 326 44 355 44766 42948 35 346 30 341 25 345 55 351 42948 41289 46 349 37 346 55 360 50 354 41289 39761 54 346 54 344 62 347 60 020 39761 38344 55 340 59 343 56 345 94 024 38344 37027 48 337 56 355 55 356 112 022 37027 35770 41 346 56 013 59 014 100 022 35770 34514 43 013 63 027 74 023 72 019 34514 33239 54 029 68 030 79 024 65 021 33239 31943 54 029 67 030 76 020 65 022 31943 30613 48 018 65 030 67 018 62 016 30613 29241 40 357 63 029 60 017 59 008 29241 27832 38 340 58 025 56 016 57 006 27832 26390 38 336 50 015 52 014 53 007 26390 24920 38 337 47 004 48 012 48 008 24920 23425 37 341 49 001 44 016 44 005 23425 21901 36 345 48 004 38 017 40 360 21901 20340 35 350 46 010 35 012 37 358 20340 18771 32 352 43 014 34 009 36 359 18771 17269 28 349 38 016 33 010 35 000 17269 15905 24 344 32 016 31 013 36 002 15905 14688 22 338 26 013 30 017 35 004 14688 13596 19 335 21 007 27 022 31 006 13596 12613 17 336 18 360 24 025 27 007 12613 11724 15 341 16 354 20 025 22 009 11724 10923 13 346 14 350 16 022 18 009 10923 10203 11 354 12 349 13 017 14 008 10203 9556 9 004 11 352 10 010 11 005 9556 8966 8 015 9 355 8 359 8 001 8966 8436 7 026 7 354 5 338 7 354 8436 7986 5 037 4 345 3 297 6 344 7986 7636 2 047 2 318 3 248 6 336 7636 7394 0 159 2 307 3 220 5 331 7394 7245 1*218 1*280 3*201 3*327 7245 7160 1*203 1*276 2*187 2*332 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography