DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 68.4 - - - - - 54.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 231 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2530 - - 5683 - - - - - 46 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10340 - - 12925 - - - - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11540 - - 14693 - - - - - 9056 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1992 - - 1819 - - - - - 2235 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 307 - - 471 - - - - - 4 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 15 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 264 - - - - - 309 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 21 - - - - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 24 - - - - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1121 - - -277 - - - - - -2924 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12662 - - 14970 - - - - - 11980 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6959 - - -4682 - - - - - -10224 ODpotential blCL - - - 18499 - - 19375 - - - - - 19280 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 84 - - - - - 44 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.0 - - 68.4 - - - - - 54.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 27.6 - - - - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.7 - - 70.7 - - - - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 30.4 - - 26.8 - - - - - 26.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 138 - - 231 - - - - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2530 - - 5683 - - - - - 46 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 37 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97662 16 291 14 296 13 313 97662 90451 5 346 2 340 18 331 90451 84878 10 349 8 004 15 348 84878 80254 11 328 12 336 11 334 80254 76263 12 319 12 330 16 343 76263 72724 14 305 18 312 21 341 72724 69513 14 303 15 315 20 317 69513 66575 15 297 17 308 17 309 66575 63848 20 284 20 286 30 313 63848 61195 22 282 29 283 33 294 61195 58417 31 289 32 281 33 290 58417 55530 45 288 48 284 42 291 55530 52784 57 282 60 280 55 286 52784 50325 65 283 71 281 61 284 50325 48127 72 283 79 281 62 286 48127 46134 74 283 76 282 62 291 46134 44308 71 283 71 283 66 293 44308 42622 64 276 68 281 67 289 42622 41056 55 274 63 279 66 287 41056 39593 52 280 60 281 64 289 39593 38227 51 284 58 285 62 292 38227 36923 51 284 56 286 61 295 36923 35621 53 279 53 283 54 295 35621 34295 53 275 54 279 47 294 34295 32951 54 278 56 279 36 290 32951 31576 54 281 53 284 29 295 31576 30161 55 282 46 288 28 301 30161 28708 57 280 44 289 27 302 28708 27219 56 279 46 285 25 298 27219 25700 53 279 46 279 27 291 25700 24155 51 278 44 276 32 289 24155 22581 48 276 45 275 33 291 22581 20970 45 272 45 275 33 291 20970 19349 43 271 42 276 31 289 19349 17799 40 273 38 278 30 288 17799 16388 37 274 34 281 28 287 16388 15127 34 273 30*282 27 286 15127 13992 31 270 26*281 26 286 13992 12965 28 267 20 277 25 286 12965 12034 25*264 16 269 24 286 12034 11190 22*260 15 266 23 288 11190 10429 19 255 14 261 22 290 10429 9741 15 246 14 257 20 293 9741 9111 11 238 13 253 17*297 9111 8541 7 224 13 250 15*302 8541 8057 6 219 13 248 13 308 8057 7680 6 215 12 246 11 311 7680 7416 5 211 11 244 8 315 7416 7256 5 210 10 244 6 319 7256 7163 4 207 8 241 4 326 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography