DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.7 - - 27.3 - - 34.6 - - 32.3 - - 27.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -7 - - -4 - - 1 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1038 - - 1199 - - 1562 - - 1346 - - 1096 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 7 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 334 - - 337 - - 257 - - 223 - - 205 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -11 - - -1 - - 8 - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3699 - - -2201 - - -2216 - - -1625 - - -2777 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10861 - - 9364 - - 9378 - - 8788 - - 9939 sfcLCL ODpotential -14708 - - -12972 - - -12461 - - -11791 - - -13627 ODpotential blCL 21870 - - 20134 - - 19623 - - 18953 - - 20789 blCL maxRH 75 - - 58 - - 48 - - 44 - - 51 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.7 - - 27.3 - - 34.6 - - 32.3 - - 27.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.7 - - 12.3 - - 19.2 - - 19.5 - - 10.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.7 - - 36.7 - - 39.6 - - 41.5 - - 38.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 7.7 - - 12.4 - - 18.1 - - 18.4 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -7 - - -4 - - 1 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95995 68 018 73 008 80 002 59 353 66 002 95995 89012 72 016 70 013 69 359 69 357 63 002 89012 83603 72 007 69 014 62 359 70 359 61 004 83603 79068 65 002 64 009 56 004 65 006 55 010 79068 75125 59 357 59 003 55 005 59 007 50 012 75125 71628 53 359 51 358 54 005 50 005 44 010 71628 68463 52 352 41 358 49 003 41 007 39 005 68463 65558 49 340 39 349 47 349 41 358 34 004 65558 62859 41 346 33 347 41 340 35 342 34 355 62859 60231 41 350 35 342 36 341 30 344 29 340 60231 57481 39 337 36 318 37 330 29 338 30 320 57481 54623 39 325 35 321 36 326 34 330 33 317 54623 51896 35 320 37 321 34 313 35 311 37 314 51896 49454 35 318 37 314 35 306 35 298 37 311 49454 47294 39 315 34 304 36 301 32 292 34 303 47294 45366 44 306 31 307 34 299 28 293 33 291 45366 43617 40 299 30 320 25 294 26 296 36 274 43617 42000 29 298 30 324 18 313 22 287 28 260 42000 40488 23 305 30 312 19 330 17 300 19 258 40488 39071 26 314 27 306 21 333 20 317 15 273 39071 37742 29 313 22 327 19 328 21 328 11 278 37742 36474 30 315 20 004 15 332 18 329 7 283 36474 35205 31 318 27 024 15 340 14 334 5 295 35205 33908 32 320 26 010 15 345 13 356 5 297 33908 32587 33 320 28 358 15 348 12 005 5 286 32587 31230 34 317 25 343 16 358 8 010 5 254 31230 29831 34 315 25 330 19 017 5 023 8 233 29831 28394 35 317 25 332 22 026 5 029 10 227 28394 26921 36 320 23 335 16 029 8 033 8 231 26921 25417 35 320 21 335 11 348 10 034 4 280 25417 23884 32 317 20 333 13 312 9 022 4 352 23884 22318 29 314 19 326 15 304 10 334 4 018 22318 20716 25 315 19 320 17 305 15 318 5 332 20716 19107 23 318 20 319 18 305 16 317 13 333 19107 17573 22 321 19 320 18 307 16 315 18 342 17573 16180 22 326 17 317 17 309 16 316 17 342 16180 14934 21 329 15 313 15 309 15 316 16 337 14934 13813 19 328 14 307 14 308 15 315 15 333 13813 12799 16 323 14 304 13 307 13 314 15 331 12799 11882 14 315 13 301 12 304 12 311 13 328 11882 11054 12 306 11 298 11 300 10 306 11 320 11054 10310 10 297 9 295 10 294 9 297 9 306 10310 9640 8 287 7 291 8 285 7 285 8 288 9640 9028 6 275 5 283 6 274 6 270 8 269 9028 8479 5 258 4 274 4 267 6 258 8 251 8479 8014 4 241 3 264 2 262 6 245 7 236 8014 7653 2 248 2 267 1 263 5 233 7 224 7653 7402 1 309 2 318 0 282 5 219 5 213 7402 7249 3*332 2*335 0*209 4*219 3*201 7249 7161 2*347 2*356 0*165 3*220 2*193 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography