DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 80.1 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 369 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7619 - - 9882 - - - - - 6644 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14633 - - 16528 - - - - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16629 - - 18892 - - - - - 15654 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1799 - - 1791 - - - - - 2640 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 585 - - 664 - - - - - 48 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 17 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 258 - - 251 - - - - - 256 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 10 - - - - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 18 - - - - - 6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2787 - - 4163 - - - - - 2807 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13843 - - 14730 - - - - - 12847 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 118 - - 1601 - - - - - -1993 ODpotential blCL - - - 16511 - - 17291 - - - - - 17647 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 73 - - - - - 54 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 270 - - - - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.5 - - 80.1 - - - - - 71.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.4 - - 40.0 - - - - - 40.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 81.5 - - - - - 78.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.3 - - 38.8 - - - - - 39.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 327 - - 369 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7619 - - 9882 - - - - - 6644 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 15 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99770 44 099 37 101 31 095 99770 92203 28 107 33 105 30 086 92203 86357 28 109 23 107 25 099 86357 81516 27 099 20 112 25 108 81516 77369 17 101 20 112 23 105 77369 73722 14 106 17 137 19 102 73722 70439 14 120 16 143 10 102 70439 67430 18 141 16 154 8 145 67430 64632 18 153 17 170 9 148 64632 61916 15 158 19 187 11 210 61916 59101 16 197 10 188 20 201 59101 56209 24 203 18 206 21 206 56209 53461 43 229 33 228 24 209 53461 50981 57 214 56 227 25 236 50981 48759 55 205 67 218 51 238 48759 46752 50 210 68 209 64 226 46752 44916 53 217 63 208 62 222 44916 43213 57 223 59 213 60 223 43213 41625 62 223 61 221 62 225 41625 40138 64 221 66 222 61 227 40138 38746 62 215 65 221 56 229 38746 37417 61 214 60 222 51 230 37417 36087 58 215 54 223 48 230 36087 34733 47 210 46 223 46 229 34733 33358 45 208 43 221 45 227 33358 31954 46 213 42 223 45 225 31954 30510 44 220 38 222 44 225 30510 29032 43 215 34 222 39 226 29032 27521 39 220 32 226 33 228 27521 25982 30 225 31 231 28 235 25982 24416 25 229 29 235 26 238 24416 22821 24 230 26 234 23 235 22821 21189 25 231 24 234 19 226 21189 19551 24 241 21*238 16 221 19551 17986 22*246 15*244 13 220 17986 16563 20*246 8 248 9*215 16563 15290 14 248 6 252 6*207 15290 14141 8 256 6 254 4 206 14141 13100 6 262 6 255 3 220 13100 12153 5 269 6 254 4 248 12153 11293 4 271 6 254 5 264 11293 10517 4 275 7 253 7 269 10517 9812 4 276 7 253 8 271 9812 9166 4 275 7 253 9 273 9166 8582 4 278 7 252 9 273 8582 8084 3 276 7 251 10 272 8084 7696 3 275 7 251 9 271 7696 7425 3 276 6 249 8 266 7425 7259 3 275 6 249 6 263 7259 7164 3 272 5 248 4 260 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography