DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/26 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.2 - - 41.1 - - 42.0 - - 38.0 - - 30.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 72 - - 56 - - -13 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1472 - - 3735 - - 3520 - - 1249 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 10642 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 10482 - - 12745 - - 12530 - - 10259 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2657 - - 1671 - - 3693 - - 4037 - - 3744 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 212 - - 269 - - 81 - - 9 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 17 - - 21 - - 22 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 139 - - 173 - - 202 - - 239 - - 284 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 18 - - 27 - - 29 - - 28 Wind Shear Max.Converg 24 - - 28 - - 30 - - 16 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 3108 - - 5480 - - 5369 - - 3098 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7374 - - 7265 - - 7162 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -4264 - - -686 - - 1914 - - 1316 - - 47 ODpotential blCL 11426 - - 11168 - - 10831 - - 11214 - - 10212 blCL maxRH 78 - - 80 - - 93 - - 74 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 260 - - 400 - - 100 CAPE Temp@2m 33.2 - - 41.1 - - 42.0 - - 38.0 - - 30.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.6 - - 33.7 - - 34.9 - - 32.9 - - 27.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.1 - - 44.3 - - 45.4 - - 43.0 - - 35.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.9 - - 32.5 - - 33.6 - - 31.7 - - 27.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 72 - - 56 - - -13 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1472 - - 3735 - - 3520 - - 1249 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 11 - - 20 - - 71 - - 0 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96891 3 304 11 254 12 277 13 270 17 321 96891 89753 1 021 6 165 7 276 8 319 1 280 89753 84251 8 135 6 157 5 252 10 346 4 048 84251 79651 6 127 5 154 6 165 1 021 4 323 79651 75672 3 073 7 145 5 162 4 167 5 335 75672 72145 4 347 5 147 6 169 7 179 8 293 72145 68934 8 272 5 224 4 211 6 223 6 233 68934 65963 14 231 6 237 6 202 9 238 9 227 65963 63185 14 228 14 262 9 242 15 231 13 217 63185 60473 16 238 19 248 11 242 4 211 15 230 60473 57635 16 240 18 226 14 252 19 235 17 242 57635 54684 16 232 18 216 24 223 28 225 19 245 54684 51854 15 240 20 219 25 212 29 223 23 242 51854 49296 21 241 20 226 24 223 28 226 25 239 49296 46995 30 230 28 237 26 238 28 244 26 242 46995 44911 37 224 36 235 31 249 30 245 28 255 44911 43016 37 219 40 237 38 248 30 251 32 261 43016 41277 34 228 45 228 40 245 35 258 33 267 41277 39664 39 228 41 217 45 244 40 258 41 277 39664 38164 40 225 39 226 51 239 43 257 47 274 38164 36769 39 222 48 229 52 236 47 254 46 272 36769 35445 36 224 50 225 55 240 49 251 45 272 35445 34134 41 230 50 227 63 241 49 249 46 276 34134 32806 44 228 53 231 70 238 52 248 47 279 32806 31469 43 228 58 234 74 234 59 245 48 281 31469 30111 42 230 61 235 78 233 65 240 48 280 30111 28722 42 229 62 236 80 233 66 235 46 277 28722 27308 44 224 59 234 79 232 64 233 43 272 27308 25873 45 218 56 228 75 229 62 233 42 267 25873 24428 46 215 58 222 72 225 59 237 41 259 24428 22977 46 215 60 220 71 223 56 242 40 253 22977 21510 46 219 57 219 70 223 52 245 38 252 21510 20016 46 220 55 218 66 224 48 247 35 251 20016 18515 45 217 53 218 56 223 45 246 34 251 18515 17080 43 214 50 217 46 222 42 244 34 252 17080 15776 40 214 47 217 42 222 40 242 34 254 15776 14608 37 216 41 216 38 221 38 241 33 259 14608 13555 34 218 37 213 35*220 37 241 33 264 13555 12601 32 217 35 208 33*219 35*241 33 269 12601 11733 29 211 33 200 30 216 33*242 32 272 11733 10945 27 203 29*193 26 212 29 242 31*275 10945 10232 24 196 25*190 22 204 26 242 29*279 10232 9587 21 194 21 186 19 196 24 240 27 283 9587 8995 18 188 18 177 17 187 21 238 24 285 8995 8460 16 173 15 164 17 182 19 236 21 287 8460 8005 15 155 15 159 16 180 17 233 17 287 8005 7649 14 139 14 158 15 178 14 229 12 287 7649 7400 12 131 13 157 14 178 11 225 7 286 7400 7249 7*125 12 156 13 177 9 222 5 286 7249 7161 2*054 8 156 9 176 4 214 2 268 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography