DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/11 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 67.4 - - 66.1 - - 56.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 360 - - 159 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5648 - - 7570 - - 6625 - - 1064 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12970 - - 14643 - - 13463 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14658 - - 16580 - - 15635 - - 10074 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3720 - - 3606 - - 3005 - - 3021 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 604 - - 443 - - 34 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 19 - - 17 - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 279 - - 288 - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 22 - - 19 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 21 - - 17 - - -15 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2446 - - 4290 - - 3202 - - -70 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12213 - - 12290 - - 12433 - - 10145 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1899 - - 553 - - -1494 - - -7083 ODpotential blCL - - - 16557 - - 16027 - - 17129 - - 17157 blCL maxRH - - - 74 - - 74 - - 61 - - 67 maxRH CAPE - - - 230 - - 590 - - 270 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.6 - - 67.4 - - 66.1 - - 56.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 35.8 - - 38.2 - - 36.3 - - 36.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 68.9 - - 68.7 - - 63.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 34.5 - - 37.0 - - 35.2 - - 36.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 360 - - 159 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5648 - - 7570 - - 6625 - - 1064 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98042 9 153 15 210 5 303 6 126 98042 90603 7 166 3 127 7 157 8 140 90603 84915 15 180 4 095 8 125 12 130 84915 80206 12 152 11 147 2 223 9 099 80206 76132 6 131 9 134 4 222 4 072 76132 72527 6 142 3 219 2 153 3 049 72527 69267 3 109 6 248 4 334 4 015 69267 66270 4 284 7 260 7 297 5 337 66270 63491 6 304 8 279 10 295 10 355 63491 60788 9 308 8 262 16 261 14 301 60788 57977 21 298 22 306 17 287 17 284 57977 55083 30 270 29 285 24 287 24 273 55083 52321 31 268 35 271 29 283 29 279 52321 49829 40 279 42 274 41 281 40 289 49829 47606 48 282 49 279 48 282 47 288 47606 45619 54 285 54 282 53 285 51 286 45619 43832 62 283 60 285 60 284 57 286 43832 42201 68 280 66 286 64 286 62 286 42201 40687 69 280 67 286 66 288 64 286 40687 39264 65 281 63 285 62 288 62 285 39264 37926 61 283 58 286 57 287 59 285 37926 36646 58 282 56 286 54 286 55 286 36646 35366 56 283 55 286 52 286 53 286 35366 34060 55 284 53 286 50 286 51 287 34060 32730 53 284 50 288 47 287 49 288 32730 31369 51 284 48 288 46 288 47 289 31369 29968 50 283 47 286 45 289 45 290 29968 28530 49 283 47 283 45 287 44 290 28530 27059 48 283 47 282 46 286 45 290 27059 25557 48 283 47 281 47 285 45 290 25557 24029 48 282 46 281 47 285 44 289 24029 22471 46 280 44 281 44 285 42 289 22471 20876 41 277 40 280 41 284 39 287 20876 19274 36 273 36 278 36 281 37 284 19274 17740 34 270 33*276 33 278 35 282 17740 16344 32 269 31*275 30*279 33 282 16344 15095 31*269 28 276 27*280 32 283 15095 13969 30*270 24 276 24 282 30 285 13969 12949 27 270 20 276 19 285 28 288 12949 12022 24 272 17 277 16 287 27 293 12022 11182 21 274 16 279 16 289 25 298 11182 10424 18 276 16 281 15 291 22*301 10424 9738 16 278 16 283 15 293 20*304 9738 9109 15 280 15 284 15 295 17 308 9109 8541 14 281 15 285 15 296 15 313 8541 8058 13 280 15 285 14 296 14 318 8058 7680 13 281 14 286 14 297 12 321 7680 7417 12 280 13 286 13 297 9 325 7417 7256 11 280 12 286 12 297 7 327 7256 7163 9 279 9 286 9 296 4 331 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography