DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 45.2 - - 56.9 - - 64.2 - - 64.4 - - 54.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - 219 - - 315 - - 70 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3516 - - 6861 - - 7497 - - 4062 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 11249 - - 13998 - - 13422 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 12526 - - 15871 - - 16507 - - 13072 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 3226 - - 1372 - - 1265 - - 984 - - 1954 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 396 - - 554 - - 349 - - 21 W* B/S 0 - - 19 - - 18 - - 11 - - 4 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 1 BL Wind Direction 041 - - 064 - - 051 - - 038 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 9 - - 13 - - 15 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - 6 - - 14 - - 36 - - 25 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1514 - - 1291 - - 2419 - - 3292 - - 2127 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8677 - - 11235 - - 13452 - - 13216 - - 10946 sfcLCL ODpotential -9111 - - -3248 - - -1 - - 1593 - - -1843 ODpotential blCL 16274 - - 15774 - - 15872 - - 14914 - - 14915 blCL maxRH 68 - - 62 - - 80 - - 93 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 45.2 - - 56.9 - - 64.2 - - 64.4 - - 54.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 32.7 - - 30.1 - - 31.4 - - 31.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 50.0 - - 59.0 - - 65.9 - - 67.4 - - 62.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.3 - - 31.7 - - 29.3 - - 30.8 - - 31.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - 219 - - 315 - - 70 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3516 - - 6861 - - 7497 - - 4062 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 70 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98242 6 064 7 075 13 123 2 191 4 257 98242 90986 9 122 7 061 10 104 7 058 10 123 90986 85367 13 099 6 111 3 106 6 024 9 097 85367 80657 11 066 11 110 5 144 5 003 9 051 80657 76595 11 065 11 093 11 105 2 157 9 048 76595 73007 11 076 8 103 13 078 8 128 8 068 73007 69761 10 057 7 122 6 054 12 080 8 076 69761 66792 7 057 7 093 6 118 6 031 8 049 66792 64048 6 076 4 059 8 088 3 090 4 053 64048 61385 4 063 3 183 5 356 9 063 6 115 61385 58596 3 002 4 142 4 323 9 354 9 056 58596 55701 10 328 4 010 3 011 10 309 13 336 55701 52942 16 325 13 352 11 359 10 334 13 336 52942 50448 17 331 19 343 18 347 17 345 20 348 50448 48204 17 345 18 346 20 339 24 339 27 349 48204 46162 21 346 22 000 22 338 26 343 33 347 46162 44293 20 345 28 357 24 351 35 345 40 348 44293 42575 31 355 36 001 33 008 36 341 43 334 42575 40979 38 355 42 001 46 007 38 008 31 342 40979 39488 43 357 42 360 51 358 51 008 39 009 39488 38103 44 000 43 359 47 352 55 355 50 003 38103 36789 42 007 43 359 42 353 55 347 52 352 36789 35483 42 017 40 002 37 358 47 348 44 346 35483 34156 45 020 37 010 31 006 30 355 32 343 34156 32816 44 021 35 015 29 010 21 360 19 337 32816 31447 39 025 34 015 29 008 20 359 14 337 31447 30040 36 029 33 013 31 005 21 354 15 348 30040 28597 34 031 30 013 31 002 23 349 19 353 28597 27121 33 032 28 014 30 360 25 348 22 353 27121 25615 31 033 28 016 28 358 26 349 24 352 25615 24079 29 035 27 018 28 358 27 350 25 353 24079 22511 27 035 26 017 27 358 27 352 26 355 22511 20904 25 031 23 020 25 358 26 356 26 001 20904 19285 23 030 20 029 22 001 23 358 26 010 19285 17736 21 034 18 040 18 011 20*004 25 017 17736 16330 20 037 17 049 16*028 14*014 21 017 16330 15078 19 036 16 054 13*044 9 029 14 010 15078 13954 17 031 15 059 10 046 9 031 7*024 13954 12937 14 027 13*060 9 047 8 033 6*049 12937 12014 11 031 10*062 8 046 7 036 6 063 12014 11175 8 039 6 061 6 047 5 042 5 071 11175 10418 6 045 4 062 4 052 4 054 3 081 10418 9733 4 049 4 062 3 060 3 072 1 122 9733 9105 3 054 3 065 2 074 2 092 2 213 9105 8537 5 062 2 067 1 099 2 108 4 227 8537 8055 9 061 2 077 2 125 2 121 5 229 8055 7678 11 054 1 087 2 140 2 128 6 230 7678 7416 10 043 1 102 2 147 3 129 5 229 7416 7255 7*028 1 108 2 150 2 134 3 228 7255 7163 4*015 1 107 2 152 2 135 2 225 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography