DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 67.2 - - 67.5 - - 60.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 388 - - 196 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7356 - - 8315 - - 8249 - - 5335 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14361 - - 15282 - - 14852 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16366 - - 17325 - - 17259 - - 14345 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1584 - - 1781 - - 1932 - - 2992 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 555 - - 639 - - 509 - - 59 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 245 - - 248 - - 248 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 9 - - 4 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 9 - - 11 - - 5 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4033 - - 3325 - - 3061 - - 1863 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12333 - - 14001 - - 14198 - - 12483 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1187 - - 942 - - 215 - - -3290 ODpotential blCL - - - 15179 - - 16383 - - 17044 - - 17635 blCL maxRH - - - 69 - - 66 - - 64 - - 45 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 90 - - 120 - - 20 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.8 - - 67.2 - - 67.5 - - 60.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.4 - - 30.4 - - 29.9 - - 31.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 64.8 - - 68.6 - - 70.0 - - 67.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 29.2 - - 28.8 - - 30.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 280 - - 388 - - 196 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7356 - - 8315 - - 8249 - - 5335 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99698 34 102 33 120 30 112 30 099 99698 92103 27 116 23 121 19 109 26 099 92103 86241 21 122 14 104 19 096 22 105 86241 81399 16 122 17 099 16 109 17 100 81399 77244 18 120 14 101 20 118 14 110 77244 73577 17 118 12 126 12 111 14 106 73577 70258 6 148 14 123 11 120 8 116 70258 67207 12 185 9 184 9 095 13 125 67207 64362 12 166 14 183 5 214 9 081 64362 61586 9 168 13 180 11 231 3 350 61586 58685 8 197 9 193 10 201 8 245 58685 55682 11 229 10 242 6 248 8 254 55682 52818 14 239 15 249 11 264 11 258 52818 50237 15 247 16 260 14 265 13 253 50237 47925 18 245 18 259 19 270 15 264 47925 45841 21 242 20 247 23 266 15 281 45841 43945 23 247 19 245 20 265 21 282 43945 42209 23 252 20 260 18 273 22 283 42209 40615 24 246 24 261 19 286 23 282 40615 39153 26 239 28 252 21 287 20 277 39153 37802 27 238 30 244 23 274 9 278 37802 36521 28 239 31 240 25 261 7 324 36521 35243 28 240 31 243 26 254 10 341 35243 33941 28 245 29 250 25 254 13 326 33941 32616 26 250 26 256 21 258 17 300 32616 31260 24 253 24 260 17 266 18 282 31260 29865 22 255 22 260 17 274 18 273 29865 28434 21 257 21 261 17 275 20 270 28434 26970 20 260 21 264 18 270 20 271 26970 25476 19 263 21 267 18 265 19 268 25476 23958 18 264 21 265 20 261 20 259 23958 22410 17 262 20 261 20 258 20 256 22410 20827 17 261 19 260 20 256 21 257 20827 19233 20 255 20 259 20 255 20 258 19233 17709 24*248 20*255 17*255 19 257 17709 16322 24*243 16*251 11*251 17 256 16322 15081 20 242 12 246 9 249 15*254 15081 13962 16 243 12 246 9 250 12*249 13962 12948 14 245 11 247 9 250 9 242 12948 12027 14 246 11 248 9 250 7 242 12027 11190 14 246 11 248 10 249 7 249 11190 10433 13 247 11 248 10 248 7 254 10433 9747 13 248 11 249 11 248 8 258 9747 9117 13 249 11 249 11 247 9 259 9117 8547 12 249 11 249 11 246 9 261 8547 8062 12 249 10 249 10 246 10 261 8062 7683 11 249 10 249 10 245 9 260 7683 7418 11 248 9 248 10 244 8 258 7418 7256 10 248 9 248 9 244 6 255 7256 7163 8 247 7 247 8 243 4 251 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography