DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.8 - - 23.7 - - - - - 19.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 18 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2993 - - 3503 - - - - - 931 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7143 - - - - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12003 - - 12513 - - - - - 9941 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 886 - - 596 - - - - - 841 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 145 - - 185 - - - - - 43 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 54 - - 44 - - - - - 30 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 304 - - - - - 313 Direction Wind Shear - - - 53 - - 44 - - - - - 33 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -54 - - -50 - - - - - -32 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4843 - - 5187 - - - - - 2781 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7326 - - - - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1805 - - 1427 - - - - - -4253 ODpotential blCL - - - 10198 - - 11086 - - - - - 14194 blCL maxRH - - - 91 - - 89 - - - - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.8 - - 23.7 - - - - - 19.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.4 - - 16.9 - - - - - 13.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.7 - - 27.6 - - - - - 24.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.4 - - 15.8 - - - - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 18 - - - - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2993 - - 3503 - - - - - 931 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 63 - - 54 - - - - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96325 27 054 14 068 9 032 96325 89285 14 047 12 042 15 014 89285 83785 14 022 11 024 12 022 83785 79180 15 343 13 339 19 002 79180 75178 9 335 10 003 13 326 75178 71625 9 335 13 313 8 052 71625 68401 21 312 13 307 7 339 68401 65433 12 306 28 280 4 054 65433 62659 23 267 50 262 34 053 62659 59931 43 273 35 269 39 307 59931 57096 56 285 53 306 65 292 57096 54205 70 289 66 294 60 297 54205 51446 79 288 64 288 60 296 51446 48952 83 283 59 290 50 295 48952 46723 81 279 61 295 54 310 46723 44711 78 281 70 297 83 312 44711 42887 80 285 81 297 108 304 42887 41217 84 286 91 297 104 301 41217 39669 86 287 101 297 100 315 39669 38230 91 289 109 296 128 327 38230 36894 98 291 112 296 150 328 36894 35621 104 292 115 299 153 326 35621 34345 107 293 121 304 146 325 34345 33041 108 295 134 309 143 322 33041 31715 113 298 151 313 139 318 31715 30358 118 298 163 313 137 314 30358 28963 119 295 164 311 133 311 28963 27534 118 292 156 308 124 311 27534 26079 116 290 148 305 117 311 26079 24599 112 289 143 302 114 311 24599 23097 104 289 137 302 111 310 23097 21569 92 289 127 304 108 308 21569 20012 81 286 113 306 104 307 20012 18458 76 282 96 303 96 307 18458 16987 75 282 84 299 86 310 16987 15664 74 284 77 296 76 312 15664 14488 75 286 72 297 68 312 14488 13434 75 285 66*301 61 310 13434 12485 73*287 57*304 57 309 12485 11626 69*287 52 306 53 308 11626 10851 67 289 50 305 49 309 10851 10154 64 291 48 305 44*311 10154 9524 59 293 46 304 40*313 9524 8948 54 295 43 303 38 313 8948 8426 48 296 39 302 34 313 8426 7982 43 296 35 302 30 313 7982 7636 38 297 30 301 24 312 7636 7394 33 297 26 301 19 312 7394 7245 27 297 22 300 14 312 7245 7160 16 298 13 300 7 314 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography