DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 52.5 - - - - - 48.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 483 - - 496 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5149 - - 7396 - - - - - 7293 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12803 - - 14633 - - - - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14159 - - 16406 - - - - - 16303 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1359 - - 1025 - - - - - 810 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 581 - - 662 - - - - - 45 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 3 B/S BL Wind - - - 19 - - 13 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 008 - - 009 - - - - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 14 - - - - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -28 - - -19 - - - - - 39 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1880 - - 1680 - - - - - 2484 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12280 - - 14726 - - - - - 13820 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2653 - - -2772 - - - - - -2703 ODpotential blCL - - - 16812 - - 19178 - - - - - 19006 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 62 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.2 - - 52.5 - - - - - 48.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 18.3 - - 12.6 - - - - - 12.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.5 - - 53.7 - - - - - 54.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.2 - - 11.5 - - - - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 483 - - 496 - - - - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5149 - - 7396 - - - - - 7293 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98256 16 104 12 103 8 096 98256 90835 12 088 10 087 14 080 90835 85108 8 132 5 045 10 070 85108 80340 9 142 5 134 6 040 80340 76238 8 138 9 124 5 021 76238 72608 6 121 6 140 3 083 72608 69305 6 054 4 134 3 068 69305 66257 2 099 4 207 1 019 66257 63418 3 091 3 236 3 052 63418 60662 4 318 8 262 11 333 60662 57788 4 184 2 295 10 312 57788 54808 9 028 14 324 17 318 54808 51983 5 283 11 313 16 337 51983 49460 12 333 27 341 25 342 49460 47218 33 316 37 333 28 327 47218 45197 42 343 47 338 30 325 45197 43348 61 355 55 335 37 312 43348 41642 75 352 58 336 39 311 41642 40066 80 353 64 334 44 315 40066 38606 86 353 68 331 48 316 38606 37255 87 351 70 332 51 316 37255 35977 85 350 71 333 53 315 35977 34707 83 350 69 334 50 312 34707 33415 81 351 65 335 47 311 33415 32102 78 351 62 339 46 315 32102 30759 75 349 62 342 44 320 30759 29375 72 346 63 345 42 323 29375 27957 69 345 61 347 40 326 27957 26506 70 349 56 347 37 331 26506 25029 70 352 53 344 36 333 25029 23528 67 352 53 343 34 332 23528 22003 61 349 52 350 32 333 22003 20446 55 346 47 355 27 336 20446 18886 48 344 38 355 23 335 18886 17397 42 344 29*356 17*319 17397 16052 37 346 21*358 12*274 16052 14852 32*349 13 000 11 259 14852 13769 26*353 13 002 9 257 13769 12785 20 001 13 004 6 254 12785 11891 19 006 13 008 4 250 11891 11077 19 008 13 011 2 242 11077 10341 19 010 13 014 1 111 10341 9674 19 012 13 016 3 085 9674 9062 19 014 13 018 4 082 9062 8508 19 014 12 020 5 081 8508 8036 18 015 12 021 6 080 8036 7667 17 016 11 022 6 080 7667 7410 15 016 11 023 6 083 7410 7253 14 016 10 023 4 088 7253 7162 10 017 8 024 3 090 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography