DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 30.2 - - 37.1 - - 38.4 - - 33.7 - - 30.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -42 - - -8 - - 9 - - -12 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 726 - - 32 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9736 - - 9042 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1674 - - 2503 - - 1000 - - 1256 - - 2333 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 19 - - 94 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 33 - - 25 - - 18 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 299 - - 313 - - 316 - - 314 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 22 - - 34 - - 33 - - 36 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - -36 - - 28 - - -9 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 2508 - - 1881 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7229 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -6883 - - -7973 - - -3038 - - -1061 - - -4868 ODpotential blCL 14045 - - 15135 - - 12774 - - 10103 - - 12030 blCL maxRH 91 - - 80 - - 84 - - 89 - - 87 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 30.2 - - 37.1 - - 38.4 - - 33.7 - - 30.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 28.9 - - 32.0 - - 31.7 - - 31.3 - - 28.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.6 - - 41.6 - - 42.3 - - 40.1 - - 39.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 30.2 - - 31.2 - - 30.6 - - 31.7 - - 30.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -42 - - -8 - - 9 - - -12 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 726 - - 32 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 20 - - 34 - - 54 - - 49 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96470 28 046 12 026 16 355 34 359 35 341 96470 89439 15 034 15 049 16 017 26 354 29 357 89439 83920 19 029 19 007 14 032 13 350 24 007 83920 79286 22 004 17 352 17 346 18 345 24 001 79286 75294 22 358 10 009 16 325 18 003 17 348 75294 71771 25 000 18 353 18 343 24 011 18 333 71771 68572 28 359 30 352 26 350 33 356 27 344 68572 65622 28 345 22 338 25 334 32 335 23 340 65622 62870 14 356 16 023 21 332 19 309 9 329 62870 60171 11 056 14 025 15 010 20 347 32 340 60171 57350 23 341 37 319 29 335 45 310 54 323 57350 54471 59 316 47 318 36 319 44 305 47 308 54471 51758 61 311 48 327 43 325 45 319 45 310 51758 49322 55 315 59 325 58 324 57 324 56 324 49322 47156 63 315 73 320 69 322 70 322 70 322 47156 45224 71 307 79 312 81 320 84 319 75 319 45224 43479 75 301 85 301 96 311 97 312 86 314 43479 41871 76 297 89 295 100 303 100 298 95 310 41871 40367 71 295 90 293 100 300 98 298 96 308 40367 38952 64 294 86 292 98 300 95 298 95 307 38952 37620 61 295 84 292 95 301 89 298 90 305 37620 36346 62 297 85 295 94 302 84 299 84 302 36346 35071 64 301 87 298 93 303 81 300 81 306 35071 33766 66 307 86 300 91 302 80 303 83 314 33766 32436 72 311 81 301 89 300 82 307 85 320 32436 31071 79 312 76 300 87 298 85 312 91 321 31071 29666 82 311 73 299 86 297 85 314 89 319 29666 28225 79 309 73 298 84 299 84 313 85 316 28225 26753 76 306 75 299 82 301 82 311 82 314 26753 25254 75 303 77 301 80 303 80 308 80 313 25254 23732 77 302 77 303 77 305 79 307 78 311 23732 22181 79 304 77 305 76 307 80 308 76 309 22181 20592 80 306 76 307 77 308 80 311 75 310 20592 18993 79 307 75 307 76 308 77 314 76 313 18993 17463 76 305 74 307 73 307 72 315 76 316 17463 16076 74 301 72 305 69 306 68 315 73 317 16076 14839 74 298 71 305 65 306 65 315 67 317 14839 13731 74 296 71 304 62 306 62 315 63 317 13731 12734 73 297 70 305 59 306 58 315 60 317 12734 11832 71 299 69 306 56 307 53 314 57 316 11832 11018 68 302 67 308 51 309 48 312 53 315 11018 10286 65 304 63 311 46*311 44 311 49 314 10286 9625 61 304 57 313 40*313 40*312 44 314 9625 9021 55 303 51 314 34 315 34*314 38 315 9021 8476 45 303 45 314 27 317 27 315 31 317 8476 8014 34 302 39 313 22 318 20 315 22 320 8014 7654 22 301 32 313 17 318 12 313 14 323 7654 7403 12 298 26 312 14 319 5 305 6 332 7403 7249 5*297 21*312 11 319 1 261 2*353 7249 7161 1*263 11*312 7 321 2 182 1*124 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography