DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.5 - - 47.3 - - 53.5 - - 56.1 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 97 - - 98 - - 25 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1030 - - 1625 - - 4657 - - 5025 - - 2267 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 9467 - - 11666 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 10040 - - 10635 - - 13667 - - 14035 - - 11277 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1646 - - 2063 - - 1273 - - 1746 - - 4246 Hgt.Variab. W* 141 - - 235 - - 335 - - 218 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 12 - - 19 - - 20 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 242 - - 212 - - 203 - - 197 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear 17 - - 18 - - 23 - - 29 - - 23 Wind Shear Max.Converg 8 - - 16 - - 24 - - 20 - - 16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2879 - - 3473 - - 4417 - - 3317 - - 923 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7162 - - 7162 - - 9251 - - 10719 - - 10355 sfcLCL ODpotential 810 - - 1692 - - 1892 - - 804 - - -3270 ODpotential blCL 9230 - - 8943 - - 11775 - - 13231 - - 14547 blCL maxRH 98 - - 100 - - 95 - - 100 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.5 - - 47.3 - - 53.5 - - 56.1 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 37.7 - - 40.7 - - 37.6 - - 33.8 - - 32.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.8 - - 50.4 - - 56.5 - - 59.8 - - 60.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.3 - - 40.1 - - 36.8 - - 33.5 - - 31.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 97 - - 98 - - 25 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1030 - - 1625 - - 4657 - - 5025 - - 2267 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 94 - - 101 - - 81 - - 101 - - 75 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98976 7 114 3 225 3 346 4 017 5 317 98976 91578 15 067 10 105 9 142 5 106 0 319 91578 85850 14 061 12 106 13 118 7 069 11 108 85850 81089 9 137 8 133 6 074 7 076 14 074 81089 76991 11 107 6 095 4 134 7 067 10 080 76991 73364 5 088 8 070 8 147 4 323 10 080 73364 70060 6 102 4 099 4 137 3 186 7 027 70060 67011 6 251 3 241 5 091 9 142 2 296 67011 64176 12 215 13 221 10 261 2 297 2 129 64176 61416 9 235 10 213 12 216 12 216 11 227 61416 58546 21 241 14 244 14 236 7 230 13 206 58546 55568 25 250 23 239 26 247 19 258 15 228 55568 52727 38 262 31 245 39 247 35 246 36 243 52727 50193 44 254 37 254 40 243 43 233 44 239 50193 47939 52 260 42 268 40 250 44 238 45 232 47939 45891 57 261 53 257 52 250 53 244 48 237 45891 44009 59 261 54 245 58 240 62 238 56 238 44009 42277 61 266 50 243 57 238 61 232 61 232 42277 40674 74 270 63 249 58 240 57 233 61 230 40674 39184 85 259 80 247 64 237 57 238 65 235 39184 37800 92 256 88 243 68 234 59 240 70 236 37800 36488 96 257 90 242 71 234 59 239 68 234 36488 35184 94 257 92 242 72 234 56 238 65 234 35184 33856 88 256 91 243 73 234 55 238 63 237 33856 32507 85 256 85 244 72 234 54 239 62 234 32507 31125 83 256 81 244 71 233 57 238 62 232 31125 29704 82 256 77 245 70 234 61 234 61 231 29704 28249 79 257 72 245 70 235 64 231 62 231 28249 26767 74 260 68 244 68 235 64 229 62 228 26767 25263 65 260 63 244 66 236 62 230 61 225 25263 23741 56 253 59 243 64 236 59 231 59 224 23741 22198 53 247 56 242 61 236 58 231 55 226 22198 20629 50 246 53 239 59 236 56 232 52 228 20629 19055 45 246 50 236 56 234 52 235 49 228 19055 17552 40 246 46 234 53 234 49 232 48 222 17552 16187 37 247 41 234 49 233 44 224 46 214 16187 14966 35 247 35 234 42 230 39*215 43 208 14966 13866 35 247 32 233 36*225 35*210 39 206 13866 12867 34 248 30 232 30*218 30 205 34 206 12867 11959 31 248 28 232 26 212 26 201 29*205 11959 11133 27 248 25*231 22 206 22 196 24*203 11133 10387 22*249 21*229 19 200 18 191 19 199 10387 9711 19*251 17 226 17 195 16 187 15 193 9711 9090 15 250 13 218 16 193 15 186 12 186 9090 8528 11 245 10 204 15 192 14 184 10 184 8528 8049 8 234 9 192 15 192 13 184 9 183 8049 7675 5 219 9 187 14 191 13 183 8 184 7675 7414 4 209 8 184 13 191 11 182 6 180 7414 7255 4 206 8 182 12 190 10 182 4 169 7255 7163 3 201 6 181 9 190 7 181 2 151 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography