DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 27.5 - - 33.8 - - 35.8 - - 31.8 - - 27.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - -4 - - 2 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 281 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 9291 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1473 - - 2592 - - 1390 - - 3588 - - 2631 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 10 - - 41 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 16 - - 10 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 339 - - 311 - - 297 - - 229 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 17 - - 22 - - 15 - - 7 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - -18 - - -7 - - 7 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1 - - 2130 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -5465 - - -3738 - - -851 - - -2655 - - -2563 ODpotential blCL 12627 - - 10900 - - 10142 - - 9817 - - 9725 blCL maxRH 92 - - 92 - - 88 - - 84 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 27.5 - - 33.8 - - 35.8 - - 31.8 - - 27.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.7 - - 30.5 - - 31.9 - - 29.4 - - 23.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 39.1 - - 40.5 - - 39.7 - - 36.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 29.9 - - 31.1 - - 31.7 - - 28.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - -4 - - 2 - - -2 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 281 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 67 - - 70 - - 52 - - 36 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95686 36 340 20 340 23 328 29 349 30 307 95686 88842 18 008 15 004 15 332 23 328 24 335 88842 83467 17 005 13 010 13 353 16 299 21 336 83467 78930 15 338 10 349 13 349 10 305 15 317 78930 74997 11 335 8 339 10 327 11 320 12 305 74997 71497 9 328 8 326 10 321 14 318 13 305 71497 68315 11 304 12 309 12 329 12 312 12 306 68315 65377 12 285 12 307 13 313 13 307 10 301 65377 62640 15 286 17 298 16 303 13 294 10 278 62640 59978 18 298 19 276 18 286 13 304 9 281 59978 57200 24 292 15 268 24 282 25 288 17 283 57200 54318 24 282 23 283 31 274 32 276 30 285 54318 51563 32 280 35 277 31 276 37 267 36 271 51563 49082 35 276 32 272 31 274 40 266 40 274 49082 46857 32 276 27 273 36 268 41 268 45 273 46857 44839 33 277 30 272 42 267 41 272 49 272 44839 42998 35 276 38 268 42 267 47 276 49 268 42998 41313 37 271 42 270 33 268 56 277 51 272 41313 39766 35 267 45 279 43 287 68 276 72 269 39766 38340 36 272 49 290 65 282 72 277 77 265 38340 37022 38 273 55 291 73 279 73 280 65 271 37022 35766 36 270 56 290 72 280 73 279 65 272 35766 34509 32 259 55 288 71 285 70 278 64 269 34509 33224 30 240 54 288 72 288 63 280 62 269 33224 31919 30 232 52 290 71 290 58 282 57 271 31919 30582 27 238 46 288 65 290 55 281 51 273 30582 29207 23 249 39 278 56 290 50 283 45 272 29207 27800 20 258 36 268 51 290 46 285 41 271 27800 26361 25 261 35 264 48 290 44 284 39 270 26361 24895 28 281 34 265 43 293 43 282 37 270 24895 23405 29 291 32 268 39 291 41 281 35 270 23405 21887 27 289 32 271 35 287 36 279 32 269 21887 20335 24 290 33 271 32 284 31 276 29 267 20335 18778 21 292 30 271 27 282 27 274 28 264 18778 17291 21 291 23 273 21 281 26 276 26 264 17291 15943 23 292 19 272 17 280 23 278 24 266 15943 14739 25 293 18 268 16 276 21 277 22 268 14739 13656 26 297 18 266 15 272 18 271 20 266 13656 12677 27 303 19 268 15 270 16 264 18 262 12677 11789 27 311 19 274 15 271 15 258 17 254 11789 10986 27 318 21 283 16 273 14 255 16 244 10986 10262 28 324 23 292 16 278 12 255 14 233 10262 9608 29 328 24 299 17*283 11 256 13 224 9608 9009 29 330 25 305 16*291 9 259 11 218 9009 8469 29 331 24 308 14 297 6 257 8 206 8469 8010 25 332 21 310 11 300 5 244 6 189 8010 7651 20 335 16 312 8 299 4 221 5 175 7651 7402 13 338 12 314 6 296 4 202 3 147 7402 7249 8*343 8*317 4 293 3*168 2*098 7249 7161 3*001 3*336 2 290 2*168 1*067 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography