DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/14 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 42.6 - - 35.9 - - 33.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 12 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 40 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 9050 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2154 - - 727 - - 2410 - - 1765 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 16 - - 39 - - 0 - - 3 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 173 - - 222 - - 218 - - 314 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 14 - - 7 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 10 - - 8 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6321 - - -2191 - - -2749 - - -2792 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13484 - - 11241 - - 9912 - - 9954 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15009 - - -10705 - - -12634 - - -12634 ODpotential blCL - - - 22171 - - 19755 - - 19796 - - 19796 blCL maxRH - - - 28 - - 45 - - 44 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.6 - - 42.6 - - 35.9 - - 33.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 6.6 - - 18.9 - - 18.1 - - 15.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.7 - - 46.3 - - 44.3 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 5.7 - - 17.8 - - 16.9 - - 14.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 0 - - 12 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 40 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96782 59 050 68 054 68 053 61 069 96782 89807 46 046 48 051 50 054 44 056 89807 84359 44 056 37 055 36 058 33 055 84359 79784 39 067 22 073 28 049 25 052 79784 75789 27 057 18 081 15 049 16 043 75789 72228 12 030 11 025 12 023 11 030 72228 69007 13 017 10 346 11 002 11 355 69007 66055 13 351 18 327 16 323 17 327 66055 63319 21 336 24 333 16 318 19 321 63319 60674 23 329 26 332 16 329 22 304 60674 57917 25 320 32 329 21 321 26 320 57917 55047 32 312 39 306 34 305 34 306 55047 52299 35 300 38 295 40 300 34 301 52299 49815 37 294 39 290 43 299 39 309 49815 47581 39 288 41 285 46 293 42 300 47581 45552 41 284 41 286 45 289 44 292 45552 43689 44 285 38 290 37 286 37 292 43689 41972 47 284 36 289 33 287 33 294 41972 40381 44 276 34 282 33 284 31 288 40381 38908 34 272 33 277 33 275 29 289 38908 37551 27 278 29 271 33 270 33 298 37551 36268 25 287 22 269 28 250 34 282 36268 34989 23 289 17 278 20 238 32 270 34989 33690 22 282 17 287 14 238 28 258 33690 32374 24 267 16 284 13 239 25 254 32374 31029 22 262 16 279 15 243 20 256 31029 29643 20 266 17 278 18 252 18 260 29643 28220 19 270 20 271 23 255 18 264 28220 26761 20 268 22 263 25 254 19 264 26761 25271 22 267 21 259 26 253 20 261 25271 23756 25 263 21 257 25 254 23 258 23756 22211 25 255 22 255 24 256 23 257 22211 20629 24 247 23 246 23 258 21 259 20629 19037 24 243 23 238 21 259 17 262 19037 17514 24 243 23 237 20 261 15 262 17514 16130 25 243 24 241 19 263 14 262 16130 14894 25 241 24 244 18 267 14 268 14894 13783 26 239 24 245 18 269 14 279 13783 12780 25 237 25 246 18 269 14 288 12780 11871 25 236 24 245 19 269 15 293 11871 11049 24 235 24 244 19 267 15 293 11049 10308 22 235 22 242 18 267 15 290 10308 9640 20 234 20*242 17 266 14 285 9640 9031 16 231 15*241 13 263 13 279 9031 8482 10 219 8 231 8 255 10 275 8482 8018 6 173 4 202 4 220 5 275 8018 7656 5 151 3 190 4 200 2 276 7656 7404 4 135 3 182 4 188 2 023 7404 7250 2*112 3 179 3*186 3*024 7250 7161 1*096 2 183 2*196 3*022 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography