DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 05/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.8 - - 49.0 - - 53.3 - - 51.4 - - 43.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 99 - - 447 - - 502 - - 249 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1566 - - 4392 - - 6519 - - 5671 - - 2346 BL Depth Hcrit 9451 - - 12176 - - 13925 - - 12954 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 10576 - - 13402 - - 15529 - - 14681 - - 11356 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1129 - - 1461 - - 1801 - - 2074 - - 2546 Hgt.Variab. W* 235 - - 538 - - 638 - - 483 - - 38 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 15 - - 20 - - 18 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 317 - - 290 - - 282 - - 291 - - 298 Direction Wind Shear 19 - - 20 - - 25 - - 17 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 15 - - 15 - - -15 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -71 - - 1113 - - 1149 - - 257 - - -932 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10648 - - 12290 - - 14380 - - 14425 - - 12288 sfcLCL ODpotential -6911 - - -4706 - - -3990 - - -4453 - - -8043 ODpotential blCL 17487 - - 18108 - - 19519 - - 19134 - - 19399 blCL maxRH 46 - - 45 - - 51 - - 52 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.8 - - 49.0 - - 53.3 - - 51.4 - - 43.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.3 - - 20.0 - - 14.9 - - 13.0 - - 15.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.6 - - 50.3 - - 54.4 - - 53.6 - - 49.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 19.1 - - 18.8 - - 13.8 - - 12.0 - - 14.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 99 - - 447 - - 502 - - 249 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1566 - - 4392 - - 6519 - - 5671 - - 2346 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98262 8 104 3 210 3 257 8 182 10 302 98262 90777 10 121 8 225 4 280 1 250 4 316 90777 85011 8 104 10 193 8 199 2 239 1 272 85011 80242 3 252 5 167 6 177 1 192 5 147 80242 76143 3 192 4 174 12 186 6 220 2 090 76143 72512 7 289 1 124 10 203 12 249 7 019 72512 69206 9 252 6 270 4 216 10 225 7 296 69206 66158 13 270 20 244 10 274 4 249 9 285 66158 63326 17 251 24 232 24 268 12 278 7 280 63326 60576 25 261 18 241 25 263 24 274 24 291 60576 57710 27 252 18 249 26 258 25 272 28 268 57710 54738 29 260 29 264 28 269 28 272 29 259 54738 51893 39 264 42 267 39 267 38 271 38 270 51893 49333 48 267 49 264 48 264 47 267 47 265 49333 47047 56 266 54 263 53 261 49 262 47 259 47047 44982 61 264 55 266 52 264 48 266 46 264 44982 43108 63 266 61 271 57 270 48 270 48 277 43108 41401 69 269 69 272 65 272 63 279 57 279 41401 39837 77 268 72 271 72 273 71 273 61 277 39837 38397 82 267 77 268 74 269 64 267 63 275 38397 37065 85 267 75 263 70 267 58 270 62 274 37065 35802 86 267 71 266 62 271 55 273 62 273 35802 34542 86 268 71 272 60 278 54 274 63 270 34542 33257 83 270 72 276 59 280 53 273 62 267 33257 31952 78 271 70 276 57 282 52 273 59 265 31952 30616 73 271 69 275 55 284 52 272 57 264 30616 29241 67 272 67 276 54 285 52 274 54 267 29241 27832 65 273 64 275 53 283 52 276 51 269 27832 26392 62 274 60 272 53 281 52 279 48 270 26392 24924 60 276 59 271 54 277 49 281 46 270 24924 23434 58 275 59 273 55 275 46 279 45 270 23434 21918 56 273 58 274 54 276 45 276 45 271 21918 20369 52 273 54 275 49 277 45 276 45 272 20369 18815 47 275 49 274 45 276 41 279 43 272 18815 17334 43 275 44 273 44 276 36 281 40 273 17334 15989 40 276 41 274 41*278 33 282 38 273 15989 14788 38 276 38 278 35*280 30*284 36 274 14788 13707 36 279 34*282 27 281 27*286 34 276 13707 12729 34 283 28*286 20 281 20 289 31 278 12729 11840 30 291 21 289 18 281 18 290 28*281 11840 11034 27*300 16 291 17 282 18 291 25*286 11034 10305 24*309 13 293 17 282 17 292 21 291 10305 9645 19 316 13 293 17 282 17 293 18 296 9645 9040 15 320 12 292 17 283 17 293 16 302 9040 8492 11 322 12 291 16 283 17 293 14 306 8492 8026 9 321 11 291 16 283 17 293 13 307 8026 7661 8 321 11 290 15 284 16 294 12 308 7661 7408 7 321 10 289 14 283 15 294 9 310 7408 7252 7 319 9 288 13 283 14 293 8 309 7252 7162 5 320 8 287 10 282 10 293 4 310 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography