DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 05/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.7 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 236 - - 159 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5440 - - 7030 - - 5135 - - 615 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12790 - - 14008 - - 12324 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 14450 - - 16040 - - 14145 - - 9625 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1206 - - 1806 - - 1952 - - 2381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 482 - - 515 - - 406 - - 32 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 21 - - 19 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 350 - - 349 - - 330 - - 318 Direction Wind Shear - - - 20 - - 23 - - 15 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 23 - - -29 - - -28 - - -22 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4569 - - 5713 - - 3607 - - 1471 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9881 - - 10328 - - 10538 - - 8155 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 2008 - - 2024 - - -404 - - -4054 ODpotential blCL - - - 12442 - - 14016 - - 14549 - - 13679 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 78 - - 58 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 140 - - 20 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.2 - - 55.1 - - 55.7 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 34.6 - - 34.3 - - 35.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 53.4 - - 57.4 - - 58.3 - - 53.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 33.6 - - 33.3 - - 35.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 250 - - 236 - - 159 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5440 - - 7030 - - 5135 - - 615 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 38 - - 12 - - 0 - - 3 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97960 15 238 14 266 12 258 8 250 97960 90495 11 232 13 254 7 228 10 227 90495 84754 5 183 11 220 11 254 7 291 84754 79993 7 160 7 227 8 253 7 336 79993 75894 5 153 10 248 3 287 3 001 75894 72268 5 155 6 237 8 284 6 334 72268 68981 2 102 4 216 11 263 5 317 68981 65947 6 355 4 281 9 293 5 344 65947 63130 9 313 9 303 11 287 12 309 63130 60413 15 302 13 313 7 322 7 304 60413 57587 9 319 15 306 15 321 12 321 57587 54658 16 349 13 309 23 315 21 324 54658 51879 26 358 16 346 21 318 24 322 51879 49398 31 350 28 346 26 338 26 328 49398 47182 35 354 37 349 36 335 34 329 47182 45180 43 359 41 343 39 332 40 330 45180 43361 49 359 44 341 44 328 47 330 43361 41705 57 359 50 340 49 326 51 335 41705 40185 63 356 57 336 52 328 57 341 40185 38773 63 354 57 334 53 329 61 342 38773 37451 60 355 55 334 52 334 60 341 37451 36185 58 357 53 336 55 344 58 340 36185 34917 55 359 52 339 56 346 55 340 34917 33620 54 359 50 341 53 344 53 337 33620 32302 55 359 51 343 51 342 53 333 32302 30951 56 360 52 344 49 341 52 329 30951 29563 56 360 53 347 47 341 49 326 29563 28141 56 360 52 351 45 341 46 325 28141 26688 55 360 50 354 42 340 42 326 26688 25208 55 001 47 354 41 340 41 325 25208 23705 55 003 47 354 42 340 41 323 23705 22174 54 004 49 354 43 341 41 322 22174 20608 52 005 49 356 43 342 40 322 20608 19032 48 005 45 359 41 344 38 323 19032 17525 44 005 36 003 37 343 35 324 17525 16155 38 004 32*007 33 343 33 324 16155 14929 31*002 29*009 28*344 31 324 14929 13827 26*001 26 006 23*345 30 324 13827 12828 25 359 24 001 21 345 29 324 12828 11922 23 357 23 355 20 341 29 324 11922 11100 21 354 22 347 19 334 29 323 11100 10358 19 349 21 342 19 330 28 323 10358 9686 16 343 21 338 20 322 26*322 9686 9070 15 338 20 331 20 320 25*320 9070 8513 14 335 20 329 19 318 22 319 8513 8039 13 333 19 328 19 317 19 318 8039 7669 12 331 19 326 18 316 15 316 7669 7411 11 330 17 325 17 315 12 315 7411 7253 10 328 16 325 15 315 8 313 7253 7162 8 327 11 323 10 314 4 313 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography