DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/01 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0701z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.9 - - 37.2 - - 34.2 - - 29.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 6 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 538 - - 1003 - - 627 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9548 - - 10013 - - 9637 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1818 - - 1882 - - 1871 - - 2738 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 61 - - 87 - - 18 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 254 - - 268 - - 232 - - 014 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1434 - - 2224 - - 2476 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8114 - - 7790 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2513 - - -1783 - - -1269 - - -2708 ODpotential blCL - - - 12061 - - 11796 - - 10906 - - 9870 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 86 - - 86 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.9 - - 37.2 - - 34.2 - - 29.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.5 - - 28.2 - - 29.6 - - 27.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 40.4 - - 41.3 - - 40.1 - - 38.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.5 - - 27.0 - - 28.6 - - 30.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 4 - - 6 - - -1 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 538 - - 1003 - - 627 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 43 - - 43 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96431 7 188 8 213 6 307 8 018 96431 89236 3 205 9 249 8 296 5 343 89236 83655 6 324 12 289 16 305 17 311 83655 79044 17 315 20 302 21 308 23 315 79044 75090 30 322 29 306 28 313 28 307 75090 71598 37 316 37 301 36 312 37 299 71598 68434 38 302 39 298 41 302 41 294 68434 65518 38 305 42 300 42 299 41 296 65518 62795 43 301 45 299 46 301 43 297 62795 60140 44 299 49 290 52 296 47 294 60140 57368 50 299 53 289 56 289 52 293 57368 54494 60 295 58 289 61 287 58 289 54494 51745 69 294 64 289 64 286 60 286 51745 49264 74 292 71 289 67 286 66 284 49264 47037 74 291 74 287 73 282 68 278 47037 45016 74 288 72 285 72 278 69 277 45016 43159 75 288 71 287 73 278 69 277 43159 41446 81 286 78 280 76 276 68 273 41446 39864 85 281 82 273 77 270 70 267 39864 38402 89 280 89 268 81 264 73 262 38402 37052 92 277 89 266 86 259 76 259 37052 35775 91 274 89 267 85 258 75 259 35775 34506 88 276 88 268 82 260 74 260 34506 33215 86 278 84 269 80 261 72 260 33215 31904 87 278 82 271 78 261 67 261 31904 30560 87 279 81 272 73 263 62 262 30560 29176 86 282 76 272 66 264 59 262 29176 27757 75 283 69 272 58 263 54 262 27757 26312 61 283 61 274 49 262 49 261 26312 24845 51 285 54 275 42 264 47 258 24845 23356 43 282 45 277 35 264 40 256 23356 21845 37 279 34 276 32 261 29 262 21845 20304 33 275 28 271 29 262 27 274 20304 18758 29 270 27 270 28 267 26 272 18758 17281 25 270 26 270 26 279 24 267 17281 15941 22 275 23 270 23 288 22 266 15941 14742 21 282 21 271 20 287 20 267 14742 13663 20 285 20 275 17 284 18 268 13663 12686 18 285 19 280 16 283 16 270 12686 11800 16 281 19 285 15 284 14 274 11800 10996 14 276 19 288 13 283 12 282 10996 10272 12 271 17*288 11*278 10 292 10272 9616 10*266 14*285 8*265 9 300 9616 9015 8*263 10 279 6 246 7 304 9015 8473 6 257 6 266 4 223 5 313 8473 8012 4 252 3 246 3 210 4 336 8012 7653 1 236 2 207 2 196 4 007 7653 7402 1 114 2 195 2 174 5 032 7402 7249 1 098 2 190 2 160 5*035 7249 7161 1 093 2 189 1 145 4*028 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography