DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.7 - - 56.0 - - - - - 40.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 181 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1715 - - 3956 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9608 - - 11487 - - - - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10725 - - 12966 - - - - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1641 - - 1383 - - - - - 2272 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 246 - - 384 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 22 - - 12 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 6 - - - - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 331 - - 012 - - - - - 252 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 14 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1270 - - -1516 - - - - - -2561 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11996 - - 14482 - - - - - 9724 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11225 - - -9345 - - - - - -11861 ODpotential blCL - - - 21950 - - 22311 - - - - - 19024 blCL maxRH - - - 34 - - 47 - - - - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.7 - - 56.0 - - - - - 40.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.7 - - 17.9 - - - - - 23.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 51.6 - - 58.3 - - - - - 49.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.5 - - 16.9 - - - - - 23.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 181 - - - - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1715 - - 3956 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97536 9 008 4 103 3 341 97536 90331 7 109 6 084 15 067 90331 84762 13 129 4 142 12 072 84762 80132 7 121 5 173 2 035 80132 76141 3 076 2 245 5 268 76141 72608 2 162 8 239 9 322 72608 69421 9 341 6 319 9 295 69421 66492 12 306 15 308 10 317 66492 63776 11 313 16 283 15 324 63776 61144 12 309 14 261 15 276 61144 58383 21 326 18 326 24 331 58383 55523 34 315 29 316 28 324 55523 52807 28 310 24 306 33 331 52807 50360 17 331 24 337 34 335 50360 48161 28 351 31 355 45 005 48161 46172 36 359 53 007 56 010 46172 44360 54 003 69 007 56 013 44360 42696 64 358 66 003 52 018 42696 41154 57 008 57 357 49 023 41154 39711 57 030 49 015 44 024 39711 38360 62 035 51 022 41 022 38360 37067 63 032 55 019 40 018 37067 35771 62 028 59 018 42 015 35771 34444 61 024 59 015 45 014 34444 33093 61 020 59 012 44 015 33093 31704 60 018 58 011 40 019 31704 30275 59 017 54 012 37 022 30275 28807 57 018 49 012 35 023 28807 27305 53 018 44 013 33 022 27305 25773 49 019 41 016 31 019 25773 24213 45 021 36 019 29 017 24213 22622 41 023 32 023 27 015 22622 20993 38 024 29 027 23 014 20993 19354 35 027 27 030 17 011 19354 17784 32 031 25 035 13 012 17784 16358 28 034 22 038 10 022 16358 15082 22 033 19 039 9 040 15082 13935 18 028 16*036 9 052 13935 12901 16 021 14*027 9 051 12901 11966 13 015 11 015 10 044 11966 11123 10*009 8 006 11 035 11123 10366 7*002 7 006 10 030 10366 9686 4 357 6 005 8 031 9686 9065 2 340 4 004 6 039 9065 8506 2 304 2 008 3 050 8506 8033 2 263 2 014 1 095 8033 7664 2 250 1 022 1 217 7664 7408 2 235 1 033 2 249 7408 7252 2 232 0 063 1*300 7252 7162 2 228 0 080 1*324 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography