DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/06 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.8 - - 27.8 - - 29.6 - - 24.2 - - 18.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 2 - - -2 - - -12 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 701 - - 2736 - - 3116 - - 2054 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9711 - - 11746 - - 12126 - - 11064 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2397 - - 1197 - - 933 - - 1292 - - 2778 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 99 - - 97 - - 33 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 31 - - 31 - - 25 - - 26 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 315 - - 318 - - 314 - - 312 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear 41 - - 38 - - 28 - - 33 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -33 - - -19 - - -16 - - -22 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2551 - - 4586 - - 4966 - - 3904 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7160 sfcLCL ODpotential -136 - - 1164 - - 1794 - - 857 - - -2831 ODpotential blCL 9847 - - 10582 - - 10332 - - 10207 - - 9992 blCL maxRH 93 - - 93 - - 90 - - 97 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.8 - - 27.8 - - 29.6 - - 24.2 - - 18.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.7 - - 22.9 - - 23.8 - - 20.2 - - 13.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.1 - - 32.1 - - 33.7 - - 31.0 - - 27.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.2 - - 21.8 - - 22.7 - - 20.3 - - 18.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 2 - - -2 - - -12 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 701 - - 2736 - - 3116 - - 2054 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 74 - - 71 - - 61 - - 88 - - 57 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96479 44 083 33 075 30 072 28 084 18 080 96479 89273 35 075 27 069 20 070 20 058 17 054 89273 83693 21 055 17 062 13 063 16 027 21 053 83693 79018 15 049 13 052 7 099 10 013 20 038 79018 74969 18 007 10 005 11 341 17 351 15 024 74969 71390 12 007 8 348 14 311 10 309 11 348 71390 68150 18 350 21 325 13 303 24 314 19 332 68150 65175 25 310 23 296 20 282 27 296 18 301 65175 62436 16 328 8 285 15 272 16 287 25 321 62436 59787 19 326 7 342 13 276 38 303 42 320 59787 57006 52 293 39 295 28 299 43 302 60 309 57006 54115 58 293 51 310 39 317 39 308 50 304 54115 51355 64 306 70 316 64 316 58 311 51 309 51355 48873 73 305 75 308 78 315 69 313 64 309 48873 46672 74 306 77 305 79 311 73 313 68 308 46672 44680 77 308 80 305 79 309 72 310 73 310 44680 42856 80 309 84 306 78 308 72 310 76 309 42856 41172 81 310 85 309 78 311 80 314 77 312 41172 39610 85 313 87 315 90 317 95 313 82 319 39610 38155 93 316 95 319 108 317 103 310 91 324 38155 36799 101 318 104 319 115 314 100 309 99 324 36799 35510 107 317 108 317 110 312 100 314 101 323 35510 34226 110 316 104 316 104 315 110 319 100 325 34226 32922 111 316 97 316 104 319 118 320 105 329 32922 31605 113 318 94 317 106 322 119 320 118 332 31605 30261 114 319 94 319 102 322 116 319 126 332 30261 28880 115 319 95 320 96 320 113 319 121 331 28880 27466 114 318 95 321 92 318 110 319 111 329 27466 26023 111 318 95 322 89 317 103 320 102 326 26023 24560 105 318 92 323 86 316 92 321 94 325 24560 23079 98 317 89 324 81 317 83 318 87 328 23079 21576 90 314 84 324 76 318 78 315 83 332 21576 20045 83 314 78 322 71 318 74 315 80 333 20045 18509 77 316 70 320 66 318 67 315 74 330 18509 17047 72 319 62 319 60 318 58 314 68 327 17047 15725 69 319 56 319 54 318 51 311 59 324 15725 14549 65 318 52 319 50 318 45 308 49 324 14549 13499 62 317 49 320 45 317 42 306 40 328 13499 12551 58 319 47*321 39*318 41 307 35 328 12551 11690 54 320 43*321 34*320 38*311 33 325 11690 10909 51 320 41 320 32 319 36*314 32 322 10909 10202 48*319 39 320 30 317 34 314 31 319 10202 9562 45*318 36 319 28 314 32 313 29 316 9562 8975 41 316 32 318 25 312 29 312 27 313 8975 8445 36 315 27 316 23 309 26 311 24 310 8445 7994 29 313 23 314 20 306 21 310 20 306 7994 7642 23 311 18 312 17 304 16 309 15 304 7642 7396 17 308 15 309 14 301 12 306 11 302 7396 7247 12 306 11 307 11 299 8 303 7*304 7247 7160 5 300 5 302 6 295 3 295 2*326 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography