DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 20.7 - - 23.6 - - 22.8 - - 16.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 69 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 173 - - 376 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9183 - - 9386 - - 7161 - - 7161 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 961 - - 807 - - 2737 - - 2272 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 83 - - 129 - - 19 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 7 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 171 - - 148 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - 9 - - 8 - - 21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 578 - - 1039 - - -1196 - - -1410 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8605 - - 8348 - - 8357 - - 8572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5502 - - -5024 - - -9210 - - -8612 ODpotential blCL - - - 14685 - - 14410 - - 16371 - - 15773 blCL maxRH - - - 62 - - 67 - - 76 - - 68 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 20.7 - - 23.6 - - 22.8 - - 16.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 8.7 - - 12.7 - - 11.9 - - 5.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 24.1 - - 26.8 - - 27.3 - - 26.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 7.8 - - 11.6 - - 10.9 - - 9.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 69 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 173 - - 376 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97011 26 127 26 120 21 118 20 100 97011 89808 26 126 15 135 15 105 16 102 89808 84203 21 126 14 143 10 098 13 108 84203 79525 15 116 12 146 3 102 8 124 79525 75476 9 106 7 133 4 090 6 125 75476 71893 8 124 5 181 4 217 3 121 71893 68644 5 166 7 199 7 239 1 298 68644 65643 5 167 8 208 9 244 9 255 65643 62844 4 307 5 262 10 243 7 241 62844 60122 14 293 13 288 17 260 14 252 60122 57282 22 281 21 280 20 269 15 252 57282 54331 27 281 26 286 27 276 27 275 54331 51514 28 281 32 281 37 277 36 282 51514 48985 30 281 45 277 45 276 48 280 48985 46727 39 279 47 277 52 277 57 274 46727 44693 43 279 51 281 55 274 66 277 44693 42850 50 286 59 283 56 275 77 281 42850 41166 64 286 61 288 75 284 87 286 41166 39617 69 285 73 297 106 285 102 284 39617 38182 70 296 113 292 123 283 113 280 38182 36846 85 305 132 289 127 283 116 279 36846 35573 102 302 132 289 127 285 116 280 35573 34299 111 299 121 290 123 286 115 282 34299 33001 111 300 100 291 109 287 110 283 33001 31687 101 302 78 289 86 285 98 282 31687 30350 89 302 68 287 68 280 82 279 30350 28982 80 304 65 287 64 276 70 276 28982 27586 70 308 62 288 63 278 60 275 27586 26159 60 305 56 289 59 281 53 275 26159 24704 52 301 48 290 54 280 48 277 24704 23222 43 301 42 290 49 279 43 283 23222 21714 37 301 34 292 43 278 37 281 21714 20176 31 302 27 293 38 276 34 267 20176 18635 25 305 23 289 31 274 34 254 18635 17163 22 301 22 280 26 269 33 247 17163 15825 22 293 22 273 23 263 32 244 15825 14629 23 285 21 270 22 259 30 243 14629 13553 23 277 21 268 22 257 28 242 13553 12581 24 271 20 265 20 253 26 240 12581 11703 23 263 20 261 19 247 24 234 11703 10909 21 255 19 255 18 238 22 223 10909 10195 19 247 17 245 16 227 20 208 10195 9553 16*236 13*233 13 213 17 194 9553 8966 12*222 9*219 10 192 15 175 8966 8437 7 195 6 169 8 157 15 155 8437 7989 6 156 6 158 7 136 15 141 7989 7639 5 150 6 156 7 131 13 131 7639 7395 5 144 5 153 6 127 10 124 7395 7246 4 136 5 153 5*125 6*117 7246 7160 3 135 4 153 4*124 1*058 7160 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography