DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 20.2 - - 26.4 - - 29.2 - - 27.9 - - 22.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 85 - - 94 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 901 - - 2081 - - 4347 - - 3246 - - 976 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 9745 - - 11439 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9911 - - 11091 - - 13357 - - 12256 - - 9986 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1367 - - 1897 - - 1167 - - 1175 - - 1487 Hgt.Variab. W* 27 - - 247 - - 327 - - 99 - - 29 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 19 - - 18 - - 15 - - 14 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 331 - - 317 - - 328 - - 333 Direction Wind Shear 23 - - 19 - - 13 - - 14 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -23 - - -22 - - -18 - - -18 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2751 - - 2026 - - 4338 - - 3516 - - 2248 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7160 - - 9065 - - 9019 - - 8740 - - 7739 sfcLCL ODpotential -1572 - - -3380 - - 1532 - - 491 - - -2850 ODpotential blCL 11483 - - 14471 - - 11825 - - 11765 - - 12836 blCL maxRH 76 - - 60 - - 82 - - 82 - - 68 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 20.2 - - 26.4 - - 29.2 - - 27.9 - - 22.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 15.2 - - 12.1 - - 15.1 - - 15.1 - - 14.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.6 - - 29.5 - - 32.3 - - 32.0 - - 29.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.4 - - 11.1 - - 14.1 - - 14.0 - - 13.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 85 - - 94 - - -1 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 901 - - 2081 - - 4347 - - 3246 - - 976 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 0 - - 29 - - 29 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96623 23 311 19 307 21 281 30 289 26 328 96623 89498 21 308 9 335 13 284 16 307 19 315 89498 84027 11 290 14 309 9 308 9 317 11 333 84027 79462 9 315 13 284 13 310 7 306 7 003 79462 75490 8 303 18 216 15 258 11 272 8 322 75490 71971 13 325 12 283 9 261 10 303 8 337 71971 68783 18 288 14 262 13 258 15 310 19 329 68783 65853 28 295 29 282 19 302 23 303 28 307 65853 63128 39 282 34 289 23 283 24 289 24 289 63128 60473 32 274 24 279 27 277 27 292 22 317 60473 57672 34 290 26 277 32 281 41 294 40 309 57672 54749 45 291 40 284 44 290 51 291 48 299 54749 51958 51 287 57 287 59 292 53 298 54 306 51958 49435 58 289 64 287 62 292 60 307 61 313 49435 47177 69 289 65 294 60 299 73 306 82 308 47177 45146 76 290 73 299 71 306 88 303 86 303 45146 43288 80 292 84 299 92 305 93 302 83 310 43288 41564 83 293 90 298 103 301 94 306 99 321 41564 39961 84 294 91 297 101 300 100 311 119 320 39961 38466 84 294 88 296 96 303 106 312 130 316 38466 37070 85 294 85 299 97 309 112 312 129 314 37070 35745 87 295 83 304 103 313 115 311 122 315 35745 34433 86 297 86 310 108 314 116 312 120 320 34433 33106 83 298 92 312 105 313 114 314 123 322 33106 31767 80 300 93 312 100 315 111 315 122 321 31767 30405 76 300 90 310 98 316 107 315 116 319 30405 29013 72 299 86 309 97 314 103 314 110 318 29013 27594 67 298 80 307 96 312 100 315 107 320 27594 26151 63 296 73 305 92 310 98 317 99 323 26151 24688 60 295 65 304 84 309 95 319 89 322 24688 23207 58 294 59 305 73 309 87 319 82 317 23207 21697 55 293 55 306 64 308 74 317 79 317 21697 20149 53 293 52 306 57 306 62 312 75 319 20149 18596 48 293 48 305 51 305 53 307 66 319 18596 17116 43 295 43 303 45 305 47 305 55 318 17116 15779 40 298 37 302 38 303 41 304 45 315 15779 14590 38 302 32 303 32 301 35 303 38 312 14590 13524 36 307 29 306 25*302 30 303 33 311 13524 12562 34 313 28 312 20*309 25*307 29 310 12562 11692 32 318 27*317 17 317 19*317 25 311 11692 10905 30 324 26*323 16 318 16 328 22 314 10905 10196 28*330 24 328 15 319 15 331 19*318 10196 9556 26*337 21 331 15 319 15 331 16*324 9556 8970 24 341 17 334 14 319 14 331 13 330 8970 8441 22 341 15 336 14 319 13 329 11 333 8441 7992 19 341 14 336 13 318 12 328 9 335 7992 7641 14 343 13 337 12 317 11 328 7 338 7641 7396 10 344 12 337 11 317 9 327 4 348 7396 7247 6 347 10 337 10 316 8 326 3 355 7247 7161 3 357 7 336 7 316 5 325 2 008 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography