DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.3 - - 24.0 - - 32.9 - - 27.4 - - 21.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -19 - - -8 - - 14 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 611 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7161 - - 9621 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 928 - - 2126 - - 1238 - - 2760 - - 2105 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 10 - - 95 - - 10 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 349 - - 266 - - 164 - - 130 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 9 - - 3 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -14 - - 8 - - 17 - - 11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4145 - - -2143 - - 417 - - -195 - - -1455 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11306 - - 9305 - - 9204 - - 7358 - - 8618 sfcLCL ODpotential -14921 - - -11030 - - -7946 - - -9458 - - -11461 ODpotential blCL 22082 - - 18191 - - 17567 - - 16620 - - 18623 blCL maxRH 67 - - 70 - - 67 - - 87 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.3 - - 24.0 - - 32.9 - - 27.4 - - 21.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -7.7 - - 9.1 - - 18.1 - - 20.7 - - 9.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.6 - - 31.1 - - 36.5 - - 32.9 - - 30.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -3.0 - - 8.1 - - 17.0 - - 19.7 - - 13.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -19 - - -8 - - 14 - - -6 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 611 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 48 - - 27 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94707 100 314 95 311 100 319 110 318 98 310 94707 87904 93 318 86 319 95 318 99 322 91 319 87904 82482 81 318 86 319 94 315 92 324 93 321 82482 77936 74 318 80 313 89 312 91 318 94 318 77936 74062 76 322 72 309 76 308 85 315 86 321 74062 70672 74 320 64 310 68 308 77 314 79 322 70672 67609 70 314 61 313 67 308 66 308 70 320 67609 64791 64 312 63 314 67 307 58 306 60 317 64791 62164 60 311 60 315 59 310 51 314 55 318 62164 59605 59 311 57 316 52 316 51 322 60 310 59605 56929 59 315 58 319 53 319 60 312 59 301 56929 54138 62 322 63 323 63 315 63 303 55 296 54138 51449 69 325 73 322 68 314 59 307 53 298 51449 49003 74 324 79 318 67 311 64 304 59 296 49003 46800 72 322 73 315 60 309 59 300 51 294 46800 44817 69 322 66 317 58 311 49 307 48 290 44817 43045 69 325 64 326 61 312 52 310 40 289 43045 41442 70 331 73 324 67 315 60 303 35 289 41442 39950 78 337 85 322 68 315 64 298 49 281 39950 38548 86 337 84 321 67 316 55 302 53 278 38548 37232 83 336 76 323 64 317 45 301 53 281 37232 35971 78 336 67 329 60 316 41 310 53 282 35971 34705 75 333 63 329 56 311 40 305 52 283 34705 33409 73 336 60 327 52 307 44 294 50 286 33409 32092 68 342 56 326 47 309 46 293 47 288 32092 30741 63 347 53 326 43 309 45 291 42 291 30741 29351 56 341 51 323 39 311 40 294 40 291 29351 27926 53 334 49 321 37 316 34 298 40 291 27926 26471 52 331 47 320 35 316 26 296 39 294 26471 24988 52 330 44 320 35 310 22 290 38 295 24988 23483 53 330 41 320 37 306 24 290 37 291 23483 21948 52 328 38 322 36 306 27 293 37 287 21948 20378 48 326 36 327 33 308 27 294 31 297 20378 18798 42 325 33 332 30 308 26 292 23 302 18798 17288 35 324 29 335 27 310 24 289 18 275 17288 15922 30 323 23 334 23 313 21 286 18 265 15922 14708 26 318 18 327 19 317 17 285 17 261 14708 13619 24 312 15 318 15 316 13 282 17 259 13619 12637 23 308 14 311 12 312 11 274 17 255 12637 11750 21 306 14 308 11 304 9 263 17 249 11750 10949 20 306 13 306 11 297 8 250 16 240 10949 10228 18 307 12 305 10*291 7 236 15 231 10228 9578 17 309 10 307 9*285 6 215 14 219 9578 8985 15 311 8 310 8 278 6 189 12 206 8985 8450 13 317 6 316 6 270 8 168 9 188 8450 7996 11 325 5 329 4 257 9 162 7 163 7996 7643 9 339 5 345 4 231 9 163 7 137 7643 7398 7 357 5 353 3 220 8 165 5 114 7398 7247 5*014 4*348 3 210 7*166 3*085 7247 7161 4*023 3*346 2 206 4*168 3*052 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography