DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.4 - - 75.7 - - 78.8 - - 78.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 32 - - 334 - - 340 - - 172 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 556 - - 10620 - - 12965 - - 12231 - - 10710 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 17079 - - 19008 - - 17921 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 9566 - - 19630 - - 21975 - - 21241 - - 19720 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 7314 - - 1896 - - 1653 - - 1458 - - 1640 Hgt.Variab. W* 119 - - 660 - - 709 - - 558 - - 44 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 16 - - 16 - - 17 - - 16 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 237 - - 220 - - 226 - - 221 Direction Wind Shear 14 - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg -15 - - 19 - - 19 - - 14 - - 7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5316 - - 4296 - - 5709 - - 4223 - - 4297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 14883 - - 15335 - - 16266 - - 17019 - - 15423 sfcLCL ODpotential -9896 - - 1152 - - 2991 - - 608 - - 320 ODpotential blCL 19462 - - 18478 - - 18984 - - 20633 - - 19400 blCL maxRH 43 - - 52 - - 79 - - 59 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 130 - - 240 - - 50 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.4 - - 75.7 - - 78.8 - - 78.9 - - 72.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.3 - - 33.0 - - 31.8 - - 28.7 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.9 - - 77.3 - - 80.3 - - 81.4 - - 79.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.2 - - 31.9 - - 30.6 - - 27.5 - - 28.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 32 - - 334 - - 340 - - 172 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 556 - - 10620 - - 12965 - - 12231 - - 10710 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99595 27 109 22 118 25 094 23 093 26 102 99595 92036 23 117 22 114 18 114 21 088 21 100 92036 86209 23 095 17 108 21 119 15 095 19 098 86209 81375 25 100 18 121 10 114 17 106 17 091 81375 77211 21 097 18 112 13 122 8 097 16 087 77211 73538 15 098 14 100 17 118 10 139 6 067 73538 70227 13 086 12 109 14 135 10 129 6 148 70227 67197 3 178 3 128 8 157 6 135 11 152 67197 64390 12 197 5 207 6 214 5 198 8 169 64390 61673 9 203 15 231 8 243 11 240 11 185 61673 58851 14 243 24 233 24 244 20 252 11 258 58851 55940 20 247 26 226 30 242 33 258 28 252 55940 53177 28 260 27 238 45 244 43 249 42 251 53177 50700 38 261 38 252 49 249 49 252 49 249 50700 48478 46 267 46 257 52 260 53 258 51 258 48478 46457 56 266 54 261 59 262 60 263 64 267 46457 44606 55 264 55 261 60 264 65 265 72 268 44606 42898 43 261 48 261 56 265 64 267 69 268 42898 41312 28 261 41 261 51 268 59 269 62 269 41312 39831 20 244 31 259 48 269 55 270 58 270 39831 38444 10 212 22 240 42 266 51 272 55 271 38444 37122 8 176 18 211 31 260 49 275 51 271 37122 35803 10 142 13 189 27 245 45 278 46 274 35803 34461 12 146 13 199 26 243 42 281 41 275 34461 33101 16 152 18 186 24 248 40 280 37 276 33101 31714 16 157 19 176 21 240 39 277 36 276 31714 30289 14 162 21 170 20 235 38 273 37 273 30289 28829 14 158 22 165 21 243 36 272 36 272 28829 27334 13 167 20 170 25 240 35 272 36 270 27334 25810 10 188 15 190 21 225 32 270 35 271 25810 24262 9 222 11 209 16 229 27 267 33 271 24262 22686 12 236 14 235 21*237 24*261 28 269 22686 21079 16 240 18*241 21*232 22*246 26*255 21079 19467 20 248 21*244 19 230 21 231 24*230 19467 17925 23 253 24 244 18 229 19 225 23 218 17925 16519 24 252 23 242 18 228 18 224 22 214 16519 15257 24 250 20 238 16 222 17 223 20 214 15257 14117 23 250 18 237 15 220 17 223 19 214 14117 13082 21 251 15 237 15 217 16 222 17 215 13082 12140 19 255 12 235 15 214 15 222 16 217 12140 11284 18 262 11 233 14 212 15 223 14 220 11284 10509 17 271 11 231 14 210 15 223 13 225 10509 9807 16*280 11 230 14 209 14 223 11 230 9807 9163 15*288 10 228 14 208 14 223 10 235 9163 8580 14 294 10 227 14 207 13 223 9 240 8580 8083 12 302 10 225 13 206 13 223 9 245 8083 7695 8 319 9 224 13 205 12 223 8 247 7695 7425 6 340 9 223 12 205 12 222 6 250 7425 7259 5 350 8 223 11 205 11 222 4 252 7259 7164 4 353 7 221 9 204 9 222 2 256 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography