DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 37.8 - - 45.5 - - 50.3 - - 43.9 - - 38.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 1 - - 29 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 771 - - 51 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 7163 - - 9781 - - 9061 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1464 - - 2264 - - 1104 - - 1101 - - 2120 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 19 - - 127 - - 11 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 1 - - 4 - - 10 - - 6 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 309 - - 258 - - 266 - - 261 - - 304 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 14 - - 17 - - 15 - - 12 Wind Shear Max.Converg -11 - - -5 - - 11 - - 10 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4015 - - -2765 - - -1109 - - -670 - - -2036 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11178 - - 9929 - - 10890 - - 9731 - - 9199 sfcLCL ODpotential -14359 - - -12833 - - -8621 - - -8369 - - -10842 ODpotential blCL 21522 - - 19996 - - 18402 - - 17430 - - 18005 blCL maxRH 79 - - 77 - - 95 - - 77 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 37.8 - - 45.5 - - 50.3 - - 43.9 - - 38.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.9 - - 27.5 - - 27.8 - - 26.6 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.5 - - 49.6 - - 54.0 - - 51.5 - - 48.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 14.0 - - 26.5 - - 26.7 - - 25.5 - - 23.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 1 - - 29 - - -3 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 771 - - 51 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 17 - - 10 - - 81 - - 10 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96361 30 009 22 344 19 007 28 359 29 347 96361 89454 33 001 27 357 33 015 33 013 26 007 89454 84059 33 002 25 013 31 014 37 360 27 003 84059 79526 27 006 28 018 25 025 26 006 25 008 79526 75580 24 017 25 010 21 012 26 003 29 009 75580 72049 21 013 17 017 9 004 24 350 25 357 72049 68845 23 001 18 005 18 356 22 344 25 353 68845 65891 28 343 21 359 21 349 19 336 24 357 65891 63146 33 339 26 340 24 337 22 328 26 337 63146 60509 37 327 29 333 28 326 27 333 31 330 60509 57767 40 322 40 336 30 321 34 341 31 332 57767 54905 47 316 46 321 36 319 38 322 28 335 54905 52169 54 307 49 305 46 320 43 315 31 319 52169 49730 53 301 48 295 57 300 50 308 40 306 49730 47572 58 296 52 295 59 286 54 297 46 301 47572 45630 62 284 64 289 69 287 65 297 51 298 45630 43859 56 281 66 281 75 288 78 291 59 298 43859 42230 54 281 65 281 74 282 77 284 72 296 42230 40712 54 279 60 281 71 280 76 284 78 290 40712 39285 52 278 57 280 67 281 74 286 75 287 39285 37942 49 277 56 278 64 281 70 287 71 286 37942 36656 46 278 57 275 62 278 68 286 69 286 36656 35368 43 280 55 273 60 276 66 282 68 285 35368 34053 41 280 52 273 61 275 61 280 67 284 34053 32716 40 279 49 275 60 275 57 282 64 283 32716 31346 40 278 47 276 59 276 56 283 62 283 31346 29936 40 276 45 277 56 277 57 282 61 284 29936 28489 38 273 42 277 52 276 57 280 59 286 28489 27008 37 270 40 276 49 274 55 279 57 287 27008 25497 36 270 39 276 48 273 53 277 56 287 25497 23960 34 271 38 276 45 273 51 276 53 287 23960 22393 32 271 35 276 41 275 49 276 50 287 22393 20792 31 271 32 274 37 275 45 276 47 286 20792 19180 29 272 30 273 34 275 40 276 44 286 19180 17638 27 274 28 273 31 276 36 276 41 284 17638 16237 25 276 26 272 29 277 34 278 39 283 16237 14986 22 278 25 272 27 279 32 280 38 283 14986 13861 20 278 24 271 26 281 31 282 36 283 13861 12847 19 276 24 270 26 282 30 284 35 284 12847 11928 18 273 23 268 25 282 29 285 33 285 11928 11097 17 270 23 267 25 281 27 285 31 285 11097 10350 17 267 22 266 23*280 25 285 30 285 10350 9674 15 263 20 264 20*277 22 283 27 284 9674 9058 13 260 17 262 15 272 18*281 24 283 9058 8502 10 256 13 259 10 262 13*274 20 282 8502 8031 7 250 7 256 7 255 9 264 15 281 8031 7664 3 247 2 250 6 252 6 254 8 284 7664 7408 1 294 1 063 4 254 3 229 3 300 7408 7252 2*356 1*063 4 255 1 154 2*063 7252 7162 3*002 2*065 3 257 2 106 4*085 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography