DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 48.4 - - 45.0 - - 39.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 519 - - 611 - - 314 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3965 - - 6492 - - 7031 - - 2917 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11880 - - 13971 - - 14130 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12975 - - 15502 - - 16041 - - 11927 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1134 - - 884 - - 689 - - 1005 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 546 - - 678 - - 557 - - 113 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 29 - - 33 - - 33 - - 25 BL Wind Direction - - - 299 - - 305 - - 320 - - 354 Direction Wind Shear - - - 31 - - 27 - - 30 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -26 - - -37 - - -41 - - -35 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1601 - - 3369 - - 4723 - - 1729 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11375 - - 12134 - - 11319 - - 10198 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3861 - - 1244 - - 2047 - - -4691 ODpotential blCL - - - 16836 - - 14258 - - 13994 - - 16618 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 70 - - 71 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 47.6 - - 48.4 - - 45.0 - - 39.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 20.0 - - 20.4 - - 19.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.9 - - 49.5 - - 47.1 - - 42.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.8 - - 19.5 - - 20.0 - - 19.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 519 - - 611 - - 314 - - 6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3965 - - 6492 - - 7031 - - 2917 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98995 26 099 24 091 30 095 22 102 98995 91487 18 107 22 096 18 094 27 089 91487 85702 17 118 13 079 18 093 25 072 85702 80920 20 107 7 089 16 063 23 079 80920 76805 19 085 14 118 5 106 21 073 76805 73161 12 072 17 097 9 114 12 080 73161 69867 8 065 11 099 9 098 4 060 69867 66841 6 190 6 070 11 109 8 106 66841 64027 5 184 4 098 8 073 5 121 64027 61288 8 244 11 255 9 321 8 136 61288 58421 14 255 16 243 12 263 4 299 58421 55451 16 265 12 260 10 314 8 301 55451 52617 30 291 25 294 32 299 23 308 52617 50066 47 292 41 299 40 300 28 305 50066 47774 50 285 49 293 48 303 42 303 47774 45695 49 285 48 292 50 303 48 305 45695 43800 59 294 57 297 59 304 56 316 43800 42052 75 296 74 297 71 303 71 317 42052 40432 78 295 79 295 81 301 89 303 40432 38934 83 303 84 302 92 302 102 306 38934 37551 108 307 104 307 107 305 113 310 37551 36239 129 302 124 304 115 306 117 312 36239 34928 130 295 131 299 119 310 117 315 34928 33589 123 296 130 297 129 312 122 317 33589 32226 120 301 127 300 135 311 126 316 32226 30830 119 304 128 303 135 311 128 316 30830 29393 114 302 127 306 127 310 124 316 29393 27925 110 300 121 307 116 307 117 314 27925 26436 104 300 115 304 113 304 106 313 26436 24934 97 300 111 299 110 304 93 318 24934 23422 89 300 106 297 103 306 80 322 23422 21892 80 298 97 297 93 306 58 324 21892 20337 72 294 84 295 79 305 29 341 20337 18779 66 291 71 291 68 303 27 031 18779 17289 61 288 63 289 57*305 37 042 17289 15936 58 288 54*289 44*312 38 038 15936 14726 54 288 41*296 39 318 34 027 14726 13642 50*289 38 300 36 320 31 013 13642 12666 43*291 36 303 34 321 30*002 12666 11785 34 295 34 305 33 322 29*355 11785 10988 29 299 33 306 32 322 29 353 10988 10267 28 300 32 307 31 322 28 353 10267 9615 28 301 32 308 31 322 27 353 9615 9017 27 302 31 308 30 322 26 354 9017 8476 27 302 30 308 29 322 24 354 8476 8015 25 302 29 308 28 322 22 354 8015 7655 24 302 27 308 27 322 20 354 7655 7404 21 302 25 308 24 321 17 353 7404 7250 19 302 22 308 21 321 15 353 7250 7161 13 301 15 308 14 321 9 352 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography