DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 70.6 - - 67.0 - - 59.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 299 - - 23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4630 - - 7686 - - 5579 - - 444 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12203 - - 14637 - - 7146 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13640 - - 16696 - - 14589 - - 9454 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1577 - - 1763 - - 2453 - - 5208 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 472 - - 568 - - 225 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 22 - - 24 - - 19 BL Wind Direction - - - 267 - - 264 - - 269 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 11 - - 23 - - 27 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 22 - - 19 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2491 - - 157 - - -497 - - -1867 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16132 - - 16540 - - 15086 - - 11321 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9082 - - -4019 - - -4455 - - -5491 ODpotential blCL - - - 22722 - - 20715 - - 19044 - - 14945 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 94 - - 100 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.6 - - 70.6 - - 67.0 - - 59.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.8 - - 22.8 - - 25.7 - - 34.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 69.6 - - 72.6 - - 70.6 - - 65.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 21.9 - - 24.9 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 287 - - 299 - - 23 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4630 - - 7686 - - 5579 - - 444 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 75 - - 99 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98757 20 274 20 288 13 271 15 296 98757 91332 12 260 20 276 16 278 17 294 91332 85601 4 212 14 269 12 285 11 307 85601 80837 1 313 5 261 9 278 8 310 80837 76728 6 339 3 045 10 290 8 311 76728 73096 8 326 6 348 7 300 7 329 73096 69811 8 321 10 332 13 314 13 317 69811 66794 11 313 12 324 9 305 13 325 66794 64008 13 315 11 317 13 318 16 314 64008 61322 24 294 21 296 16 305 11 303 61322 58508 29 287 31 287 31 290 25 298 58508 55593 31 285 40 278 43 284 44 282 55593 52846 40 287 44 277 51 280 54 277 52846 50401 50 284 51 280 59 279 62 277 50401 48219 56 282 62 283 67 280 67 277 48219 46239 60 283 69 280 70 280 68 276 46239 44421 62 283 68 279 71 279 68 275 44421 42735 60 281 65 278 69 278 68 274 42735 41157 59 279 65 277 67 276 66 272 41157 39675 59 278 64 276 65 274 64 271 39675 38286 59 277 65 275 63 274 62 271 38286 36962 61 278 65 272 62 274 60 271 36962 35642 58 278 61 270 61 272 60 270 35642 34297 53 276 55 267 58 269 59 269 34297 32935 52 272 54 263 54 267 58 267 32935 31542 51 271 53 262 52 268 56 266 31542 30111 48 269 51 261 50 269 54 265 30111 28645 44 269 50 261 49 269 53 266 28645 27144 43 270 48 264 48 268 52 268 27144 25615 34 268 41 266 43 268 51 267 25615 24066 29 260 34 263 42 267 42 263 24066 22492 29 256 29 263 42 269 38 264 22492 20887 29 257 26 265 38 277 40 269 20887 19278 29 261 25 262 33 283 41 274 19278 17742 28 267 23*260 30 287 41 278 17742 16349 28 270 22*263 30 286 42 279 16349 15104 27 269 25 269 32*282 43 279 15104 13981 27*269 26 270 32*277 44 277 13981 12964 25*269 25 269 31 274 44 275 12964 12039 22 269 22 265 28 271 42 272 12039 11199 19 268 22 264 24 267 39 271 11199 10439 18 267 21 262 23 266 35 269 10439 9750 18 267 21 260 22 265 32*269 9750 9118 17 266 20 259 21 265 28*266 9118 8547 17 265 20 258 21 264 25 262 8547 8061 16 265 19 257 20 264 21 256 8061 7682 15 264 18 256 19 263 17 249 7682 7418 14 263 17 256 17 263 12 242 7418 7256 12 262 15 255 15 262 8 235 7256 7163 9 260 11 254 9 261 2 211 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography