DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 03/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.4 - - 48.1 - - 50.8 - - 48.3 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -41 - - -1 - - 2 - - -10 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 39 - - 16 - - - BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7146 - - - Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 7163 - - 9049 - - 7163 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. 478 - - 2359 - - 1635 - - 2526 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 23 - - 38 - - 18 - - - W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - - B/S BL Wind 5 - - 10 - - 12 - - 8 - - - BL Wind Direction 055 - - 297 - - 280 - - 294 - - - Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 16 - - 14 - - 14 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -12 - - -8 - - -11 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2400 - - -3298 - - -1452 - - -3196 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9563 - - 10462 - - 10501 - - 10360 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential -13172 - - -12624 - - -11236 - - -12744 - - - ODpotential blCL 20335 - - 19787 - - 20285 - - 19907 - - - blCL maxRH 36 - - 42 - - 37 - - 31 - - - maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - CAPE Temp@2m 35.4 - - 48.1 - - 50.8 - - 48.3 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m 19.3 - - 27.6 - - 30.1 - - 28.3 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.3 - - 53.1 - - 55.8 - - 55.2 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.5 - - 26.4 - - 28.9 - - 27.3 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -41 - - -1 - - 2 - - -10 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 39 - - 16 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96517 5 297 7 251 16 260 11 297 96517 89450 4 279 4 249 12 262 15 302 89450 83987 6 195 5 274 9 258 10 285 83987 79427 2 108 3 289 9 267 11 259 79427 75488 10 299 4 217 11 264 9 275 75488 71999 16 289 6 274 10 279 15 286 71999 68846 12 296 8 301 10 294 13 313 68846 65953 10 336 9 316 10 326 19 314 65953 63276 16 327 15 298 14 305 24 302 63276 60699 17 317 19 309 17 309 18 301 60699 58004 19 322 22 320 24 313 24 298 58004 55193 33 308 36 310 40 299 37 295 55193 52502 48 302 50 298 48 293 43 295 52502 50080 51 295 52 292 50 292 46 288 50080 47917 49 291 49 291 49 289 47 285 47917 45960 51 292 50 289 52 287 54 290 45960 44169 56 283 55 285 60 289 66 294 44169 42512 54 279 60 284 68 289 73 292 42512 40967 54 278 61 288 67 288 76 291 40967 39520 56 279 64 293 63 290 71 292 39520 38164 58 283 71 296 69 292 69 293 38164 36866 62 291 78 294 80 290 75 292 36866 35567 69 294 81 291 86 288 83 290 35567 34242 78 294 81 289 86 287 87 288 34242 32894 83 293 81 288 86 287 88 287 32894 31512 84 294 83 287 86 286 88 286 31512 30087 85 294 85 286 87 284 87 286 30087 28624 86 294 85 285 85 282 84 284 28624 27130 85 293 81 285 81 282 80 282 27130 25608 81 293 76 287 76 284 76 282 25608 24062 77 293 68 289 69 287 70 286 24062 22486 70 289 61 290 61 286 61 287 22486 20875 62 283 57 287 55 282 54 282 20875 19254 57 278 55 283 53 279 52 277 19254 17705 53 278 54 282 52 280 49 277 17705 16298 50 280 51 282 49 283 44 280 16298 15043 46 283 46 284 45 284 38 283 15043 13916 42 285 41 286 40 284 33 283 13916 12898 38 287 37 287 36 282 30 282 12898 11975 35 288 33 287 33 280 28 278 11975 11139 32 290 30 286 30 277 26 275 11139 10386 30 291 28 284 27 275 25 272 10386 9705 28 290 27 284 24 274 23 271 9705 9082 25 290 25 285 22*274 21 273 9082 8520 21 288 22 289 18*277 18 277 8520 8042 16 288 18 293 14 280 14 283 8042 7671 10 298 12 297 11 282 10 292 7671 7412 5 335 8 301 8 283 7 302 7412 7253 5*051 6*299 7 282 5*311 7253 7162 5*057 2*298 5 283 2*012 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography