DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/17 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 33.7 - - 39.7 - - 40.5 - - 38.2 - - 33.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 50 - - 11 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 124 - - 1893 - - 2701 - - 1217 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 9134 - - 10903 - - 11711 - - 10227 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1193 - - 1572 - - 2283 - - 1913 - - 4027 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 202 - - 145 - - 37 - - 2 W* B/S 0 - - 7 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 304 - - 325 - - 288 - - 223 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -5 - - 10 - - 10 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1973 - - 3742 - - 4550 - - 3066 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7161 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential 652 - - 1698 - - 1922 - - 1461 - - -1469 ODpotential blCL 8482 - - 9205 - - 9789 - - 8766 - - 8631 blCL maxRH 100 - - 93 - - 101 - - 98 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 50 - - 60 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 33.7 - - 39.7 - - 40.5 - - 38.2 - - 33.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.4 - - 34.4 - - 34.5 - - 35.9 - - 33.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 39.5 - - 43.0 - - 44.3 - - 42.4 - - 40.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 32.7 - - 33.4 - - 33.5 - - 35.6 - - 34.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 50 - - 11 - - -4 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 124 - - 1893 - - 2701 - - 1217 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 74 - - 103 - - 92 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96529 18 053 15 031 18 035 18 054 9 084 96529 89482 18 062 11 059 10 060 16 061 12 069 89482 83994 14 049 13 089 9 064 9 073 14 042 83994 79397 10 057 11 071 9 069 7 046 12 036 79397 75421 14 070 11 070 8 077 8 014 13 050 75421 71899 9 057 10 071 5 109 4 025 15 048 71899 68685 6 021 7 054 3 128 1 201 11 024 68685 65705 8 302 2 032 3 206 2 245 6 331 65705 62931 10 253 7 289 2 293 2 284 5 274 62931 60240 11 225 14 262 9 303 4 346 4 272 60240 57418 13 218 14 246 11 265 6 283 8 283 57418 54475 13 215 12 233 13 246 12 254 10 271 54475 51656 11 220 13 241 16 249 12 251 11 267 51656 49124 9 233 17 248 16 252 9 243 13 244 49124 46870 9 246 18 239 15 251 9 261 12 232 46870 44834 11 251 16 228 17 246 14 250 10 221 44834 42966 16 245 17 234 19 234 14 246 9 215 42966 41239 18 233 23 220 21 218 17 239 12 221 41239 39654 16 206 20 196 22 204 21 212 16 215 39654 38211 15 204 14 222 17 201 24 192 15 217 38211 36881 24 245 23 248 21 223 23 198 24 200 36881 35616 31 234 27 249 28 224 23 210 29 189 35616 34354 31 210 24 241 28 221 23 213 29 178 34354 33069 35 202 30 219 27 219 23 208 31 173 33069 31766 35 201 34 211 26 216 23 201 33 171 31766 30433 34 206 31 205 31 202 26 194 34 176 30433 29062 29 207 31 208 35 193 28 199 31 186 29062 27660 22 193 28 206 32 198 26 208 26 198 27660 26229 20 182 24 201 29 204 24 217 23 205 26229 24775 18 190 21 198 25 204 21 222 19 209 24775 23301 16 199 20 198 22 212 18 224 18 215 23301 21801 14 198 18 198 19 223 15 228 20 216 21801 20269 13 188 16 188 17 228 13 231 20 213 20269 18728 13 173 18 193 17 228 14 233 18 215 18728 17255 11 194 17 210 15 226 13 231 15 231 17255 15918 8 246 14 226 9 219 10 238 14 254 15918 14723 8 298 9 253 2 139 3 236 11 268 14723 13650 8 328 6 310 3 083 2 091 6 257 13650 12679 8 333 6 334 2 011 3 097 4 173 12679 11797 9 325 5 338 3*341 3 123 6 147 11797 10998 11 315 5*333 5*324 3 160 6 143 10998 10275 13 308 6*333 6 315 3*196 6 146 10275 9620 15*305 6 335 6 305 3*230 6 148 9620 9019 16*304 7 332 6 291 5 238 5 149 9019 8477 13 305 6 324 5 276 6 231 4 151 8477 8015 10 304 5 316 5 262 7 220 4 160 8015 7655 7 304 5 310 5 256 7 215 3 169 7655 7404 3 302 4 305 5 250 6 210 3 179 7404 7250 2 301 4 304 4 249 5 204 2*201 7250 7161 1 112 3 302 3 248 4 201 1*228 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography