DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 21Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1554z - - 2149z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 6 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 29.6 - - 37.6 - - 41.2 - - 37.7 - - 32.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 67 - - 73 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 315 - - 1654 - - 548 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9325 - - 10664 - - 9558 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1698 - - 1218 - - 976 - - 1029 - - 2262 Hgt.Variab. W* 14 - - 124 - - 223 - - 23 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 12 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 10 - - 3 - - 1 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 029 - - 039 - - 011 - - 083 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 16 - - 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -25 - - -16 - - 13 - - 15 - - 15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 2 - - 1210 - - 2038 - - 2397 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 8115 - - 8626 - - 7162 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -5858 - - -7165 - - -5498 - - -5484 - - -1146 ODpotential blCL 13020 - - 16490 - - 16162 - - 15042 - - 8308 blCL maxRH 75 - - 62 - - 66 - - 73 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 29.6 - - 37.6 - - 41.2 - - 37.7 - - 32.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 25.4 - - 27.2 - - 28.5 - - 31.9 - - 31.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.2 - - 40.7 - - 44.2 - - 42.5 - - 36.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.6 - - 26.0 - - 27.3 - - 30.9 - - 32.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 67 - - 73 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 315 - - 1654 - - 548 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 93 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96327 5 298 23 279 24 316 20 310 22 308 96327 89515 10 352 7 321 12 320 12 344 16 333 89515 84167 8 332 6 042 2 261 6 016 10 340 84167 79650 1 165 2 210 6 290 2 310 7 310 79650 75708 3 060 9 222 9 234 8 253 6 291 75708 72193 7 323 10 217 15 233 14 264 10 279 72193 69003 8 274 11 246 12 253 16 254 8 274 69003 66064 10 236 14 267 14 278 13 272 13 276 66064 63334 12 223 16 263 18 263 20 270 19 266 63334 60687 14 254 10 232 18 233 17 249 16 281 60687 57901 17 292 10 257 15 263 15 280 19 287 57901 54997 25 285 30 262 35 260 28 267 31 267 54997 52240 27 269 33 239 27 242 36 254 30 253 52240 49770 21 275 25 200 17 234 35 255 26 257 49770 47556 23 288 7 268 26 278 30 261 26 259 47556 45550 33 287 34 281 29 280 25 282 18 300 45550 43722 39 287 43 274 28 293 28 299 34 316 43722 42045 41 284 41 287 34 305 41 315 65 308 42045 40497 35 286 38 302 44 307 58 314 85 309 40497 39048 30 300 39 321 51 308 64 312 97 305 39048 37690 38 328 46 329 55 312 64 312 102 301 37690 36394 53 344 53 330 60 319 64 313 105 299 36394 35098 63 347 70 331 70 322 66 313 101 301 35098 33775 74 347 80 330 77 321 67 316 96 308 33775 32427 81 342 78 329 76 322 68 316 81 313 32427 31046 81 339 71 330 72 321 67 312 59 313 31046 29634 71 344 58 336 66 324 59 314 50 322 29634 28200 61 355 49 356 58 329 52 327 36 323 28200 26741 62 008 58 015 44 347 48 338 29 330 26741 25254 68 010 62 014 45 006 45 346 26 344 25254 23744 71 007 62 008 51 006 43 357 26 003 23744 22206 67 006 61 003 52 005 45 007 28 012 22206 20632 59 009 58 003 50 008 45 014 28 013 20632 19046 51 012 52 005 47 011 42 018 28 015 19046 17524 47 015 45 009 43 015 39 020 28 019 17524 16138 41 016 40 013 38 020 36 022 27 026 16138 14894 32 017 36 015 34 022 33 025 27 032 14894 13774 25 014 31 017 30 023 29 027 26 038 13774 12761 19 010 25 019 24 023 25 028 25 044 12761 11844 16 006 19 022 18 022 20 028 22 050 11844 11019 14 005 14 027 13*020 16 026 17 058 11019 10279 13 007 12 033 8*017 12 025 11 072 10279 9616 12 014 11*040 4 010 8*023 6 107 9616 9012 13 024 11*042 3 008 5*020 5 170 9012 8470 19 032 12 041 2 008 2 029 7 210 8470 8010 20 033 11 037 2 008 1 123 9 220 8010 7651 18 031 10 036 2 012 2 145 8 222 7651 7402 13 026 10 037 2 012 2 152 7 221 7402 7249 9*018 8 036 2 012 2 159 5*217 7249 7161 5*007 6 034 1 016 2 157 3*210 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography