DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/02 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.2 - - 75.0 - - 78.7 - - 76.8 - - 70.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 16 - - 293 - - 315 - - 110 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 513 - - 10774 - - 12552 - - 11146 - - 11148 BL Depth Hcrit 7147 - - 17130 - - 18628 - - 16689 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 9523 - - 19784 - - 21562 - - 20156 - - 20158 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1626 - - 2348 - - 1461 - - 1342 - - 1607 Hgt.Variab. W* 102 - - 637 - - 687 - - 471 - - 42 W* B/S 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 20 - - 18 - - 15 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 153 - - 211 - - 233 - - 240 - - 230 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 21 - - 14 - - 17 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg 15 - - 23 - - 17 - - 11 - - 37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2281 - - 5193 - - 5270 - - 2978 - - 5360 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11805 - - 14592 - - 16293 - - 17178 - - 14798 sfcLCL ODpotential -7567 - - 388 - - 1728 - - 266 - - 1855 ODpotential blCL 17090 - - 19396 - - 19834 - - 19890 - - 18303 blCL maxRH 80 - - 80 - - 92 - - 90 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 280 - - 280 - - 260 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 67.2 - - 75.0 - - 78.7 - - 76.8 - - 70.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.3 - - 35.6 - - 31.6 - - 25.9 - - 30.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.9 - - 76.9 - - 80.5 - - 79.6 - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.1 - - 34.3 - - 30.4 - - 24.7 - - 29.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 16 - - 293 - - 315 - - 110 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 513 - - 10774 - - 12552 - - 11146 - - 11148 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 22 - - 70 - - 58 - - 36 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99341 31 105 31 103 29 109 24 110 21 088 99341 91806 23 097 19 102 26 112 23 093 24 101 91806 85990 23 098 14 109 21 112 20 098 22 105 85990 81161 19 087 16 119 14 116 14 109 15 101 81161 77022 18 083 22 118 10 114 15 114 9 091 77022 73377 14 093 16 123 12 120 12 092 11 110 73377 70081 11 114 11 114 10 126 8 113 18 121 70081 67062 14 129 7 106 10 118 5 151 14 114 67062 64280 8 122 5 193 11 141 6 215 4 125 64280 61598 5 194 9 180 16 169 14 199 8 242 61598 58800 10 209 7 207 9 212 13 197 13 212 58800 55901 14 211 17 209 17 215 14 195 17 211 55901 53141 14 216 25 221 21 206 23 201 26 219 53141 50648 23 220 36 222 32 217 30 221 27 219 50648 48400 33 213 42 216 38 223 37 236 35 234 48400 46357 38 218 48 216 51 224 49 231 47 230 46357 44476 48 215 53 211 52 219 50 221 54 221 44476 42731 53 210 52 208 48 218 50 214 56 213 42731 41114 51 208 48 207 48 213 52 214 50 207 41114 39623 41 209 43 205 46 207 51 211 42 210 39623 38245 36 214 39 208 41 209 45 210 42 224 38245 36940 40 221 40 216 43 218 44 217 50 230 36940 35640 41 227 41 218 44 220 49 223 52 225 35640 34316 44 231 43 218 44 218 53 224 49 217 34316 32968 49 229 46 219 47 216 54 222 45 211 32968 31586 49 226 43 215 47 213 48 217 44 215 31586 30163 50 225 44 204 44 213 44 215 41 221 30163 28705 50 226 46 200 41 213 42 215 38 226 28705 27214 44 227 45 203 38 210 40 215 36 225 27214 25697 34 228 43 213 37 206 37 219 35 223 25697 24158 32 224 34 227 37 205 32 222 32 225 24158 22593 31 219 27 233 33*211 32 223 32 221 22593 20996 26 222 27*227 24*221 31*225 31*223 20996 19396 19 229 27*224 19 235 25*232 21*217 19396 17864 18 227 25 224 18 237 18 240 18 212 17864 16466 19 226 24 223 18 237 15 244 16 213 16466 15212 20 227 24 220 18 237 15 244 13 217 15212 14079 20 227 25 216 18 236 15 244 11 223 14079 13050 19 224 25 214 18 235 14 243 9 233 13050 12113 18 221 23 214 18 234 14 242 7 244 12113 11263 15 220 17 206 18 233 14 240 6 258 11263 10493 12 218 15 194 18 232 14 239 6 272 10493 9794 8*208 14 183 18 231 14 238 6 282 9794 9153 7*184 14 181 18 230 14 237 6 291 9153 8573 9 164 14 180 17 229 13 236 6 297 8573 8079 10 150 14 179 17 229 13 236 6 301 8079 7693 9 139 13 178 16 228 12 235 6 305 7693 7424 6 132 12 177 15 228 12 235 5 311 7424 7259 5 131 12 177 14 227 11 234 3 322 7259 7164 4 130 9 177 11 226 8 233 2 331 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography