DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.6 - - 78.0 - - 80.6 - - 78.0 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 290 - - 354 - - 147 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 9097 - - 9956 - - 7957 - - 1763 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 15756 - - 16564 - - 14428 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 7164 - - 18107 - - 18966 - - 16967 - - 10773 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4605 - - 1887 - - 2359 - - 2506 - - 3601 Hgt.Variab. W* 13 - - 596 - - 656 - - 457 - - 30 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 20 - - 18 - - 15 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 329 - - 259 - - 266 - - 280 - - 302 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 24 - - 17 - - 13 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - 18 - - 15 - - -10 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -8563 - - 777 - - 857 - - -982 - - -4454 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15728 - - 17331 - - 18110 - - 17950 - - 15228 sfcLCL ODpotential -13675 - - -4046 - - -3459 - - -5662 - - -11476 ODpotential blCL 20839 - - 22153 - - 22425 - - 22629 - - 22249 blCL maxRH 83 - - 41 - - 46 - - 39 - - 28 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.6 - - 78.0 - - 80.6 - - 78.0 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 26.5 - - 25.4 - - 23.9 - - 25.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.2 - - 79.8 - - 82.3 - - 80.8 - - 74.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.2 - - 25.4 - - 24.3 - - 22.9 - - 24.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 290 - - 354 - - 147 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 9097 - - 9956 - - 7957 - - 1763 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 34 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99614 21 118 19 120 21 097 18 100 19 104 99614 92103 17 115 18 110 16 114 13 111 14 096 92103 86268 14 099 13 093 16 115 10 113 13 078 86268 81424 14 095 7 125 5 096 14 084 11 085 81424 77263 13 079 13 136 3 168 11 041 15 080 77263 73592 8 058 7 090 10 131 2 300 13 041 73592 70276 7 072 4 096 8 103 7 168 2 035 70276 67236 4 021 4 098 4 144 3 137 4 154 67236 64418 3 345 3 181 5 213 2 305 2 121 64418 61692 2 198 2 165 4 234 6 285 2 301 61692 58867 6 318 3 292 2 313 8 281 7 269 58867 55965 15 302 16 281 10 291 10 283 7 297 55965 53212 21 291 21 275 21 272 23 277 23 283 53212 50741 30 289 29 278 30 273 33 272 36 274 50741 48532 41 280 41 270 43 271 43 270 46 270 48532 46531 51 274 52 268 54 269 54 271 52 267 46531 44702 59 271 61 270 62 271 60 273 57 267 44702 43014 63 271 67 270 65 269 62 270 59 267 43014 41441 63 271 67 271 65 267 63 267 61 266 41441 39967 61 271 63 270 62 267 61 266 60 266 39967 38586 58 269 57 270 59 267 58 265 58 266 38586 37267 55 269 54 272 54 268 54 264 56 267 37267 35950 51 270 53 272 52 269 49 265 53 266 35950 34607 48 271 51 272 50 271 46 266 48 265 34607 33244 45 271 48 272 47 271 44 267 43 265 33244 31850 43 272 47 271 45 272 43 268 41 265 31850 30415 42 272 46 270 44 272 42 270 40 266 30415 28944 40 272 43 270 43 272 42 271 39 268 28944 27439 38 272 40 268 41 272 40 270 38 268 27439 25906 36 272 36 267 38 270 37 266 37 267 25906 24347 34 271 32 269 35 267 34 262 36 265 24347 22757 32 268 30 270 32 264 33 261 34 266 22757 21132 36 264 29 267 31 263 30 262 30 268 21132 19498 44 260 31*263 31*264 28 264 27 269 19498 17935 44 258 32*260 28*265 25*267 25 269 17935 16513 38 257 31 257 21 265 21*268 24 269 16513 15241 32 255 28 255 18 266 17 270 24 270 15241 14096 27 254 23 255 18 266 14 275 23 272 14096 13057 23 253 19 257 18 266 14 278 23 276 13057 12115 21 254 16 260 17 266 14 281 21 280 12115 11260 20 256 14 262 17 267 14 283 20*284 11260 10488 19 260 14 263 17 267 14 285 18*288 10488 9788 19 267 13 263 17 267 15 287 16 294 9788 9147 18 277 13 263 17 267 15 288 15 301 9147 8568 17 287 12 262 16 266 14 288 15 306 8568 8075 15 297 12 261 16 266 14 289 14 309 8075 7691 12 311 11 261 15 266 14 289 13 310 7691 7422 9 330 11 261 14 266 13 289 10 312 7422 7258 6*348 10 260 13 265 12 289 7 314 7258 7163 3*011 8 259 10 264 9 290 4 318 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography