DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/26 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.1 - - 34.5 - - 38.6 - - 35.1 - - 32.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -21 - - 3 - - 17 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 9 - - 1633 - - 157 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 9019 - - 10643 - - 9167 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1348 - - 1141 - - 1653 - - 1324 - - 2623 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 16 - - 138 - - 9 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 16 - - 12 - - 8 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 061 - - 320 - - 300 - - 304 - - 309 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 22 - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - -12 - - 9 - - -5 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -197 - - 1790 - - 3382 - - 2006 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7359 - - 7230 - - 7262 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential -8629 - - -2678 - - 1097 - - -462 - - -3409 ODpotential blCL 15790 - - 11697 - - 9546 - - 9629 - - 10571 blCL maxRH 87 - - 84 - - 99 - - 94 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.1 - - 34.5 - - 38.6 - - 35.1 - - 32.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.5 - - 28.0 - - 31.8 - - 32.5 - - 30.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 29.2 - - 38.4 - - 42.2 - - 40.9 - - 40.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.2 - - 26.9 - - 30.9 - - 32.0 - - 30.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -21 - - 3 - - 17 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 9 - - 1633 - - 157 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 50 - - 35 - - 97 - - 78 - - 87 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96441 28 074 15 097 20 077 18 083 17 070 96441 89373 23 082 20 081 21 080 18 087 20 059 89373 83859 17 094 15 063 14 075 8 077 18 044 83859 79248 4 113 6 045 10 036 6 099 9 040 79248 75250 3 096 2 349 7 000 9 030 15 049 75250 71699 6 026 3 188 14 346 15 353 21 031 71699 68478 9 015 4 021 13 313 17 341 17 014 68478 65503 16 331 10 040 7 311 21 325 19 355 65503 62742 20 319 22 326 15 323 21 327 22 327 62742 60069 21 328 22 314 21 318 24 329 24 320 60069 57272 27 321 22 324 28 320 26 326 21 325 57272 54365 40 323 33 320 40 323 41 327 34 332 54365 51604 53 313 46 316 50 312 53 314 50 318 51604 49138 55 308 51 312 49 307 50 310 54 309 49138 46948 56 315 53 319 53 321 49 319 47 313 46948 45008 71 319 70 320 75 321 68 320 59 321 45008 43279 87 311 85 311 79 305 72 310 68 314 43279 41696 77 315 79 324 62 321 75 306 69 310 41696 40215 84 328 98 339 72 331 72 301 65 310 40215 38818 98 331 103 335 76 319 68 298 64 309 38818 37502 100 329 92 326 78 314 65 297 66 307 37502 36239 98 327 93 322 77 314 64 297 68 306 36239 34973 95 323 93 322 76 311 62 299 70 305 34973 33676 91 317 94 324 76 309 59 305 68 305 33676 32355 88 312 93 325 77 310 57 310 65 304 32355 30999 93 308 89 324 76 311 57 311 63 300 30999 29602 93 307 86 321 71 310 57 311 62 295 29602 28169 90 307 85 316 66 309 58 311 61 294 28169 26702 86 308 84 311 66 310 57 310 60 298 26702 25208 85 308 84 307 66 310 57 307 59 305 25208 23689 84 309 84 305 67 311 60 307 57 310 23689 22140 82 310 82 306 67 311 63 311 54 313 22140 20553 76 312 75 309 65 311 62 314 52 311 20553 18958 69 312 65 310 62 313 57 312 49 309 18958 17437 61 309 56 308 57 314 51 307 44 308 17437 16060 55 308 50 304 52 314 47 302 40 308 16060 14833 51 308 46 301 48 313 44 299 37 307 14833 13733 47 308 42 301 44 311 41 299 35 304 13733 12739 45 308 38 303 39 309 37 299 32 301 12739 11839 42 306 35 307 33 309 33 300 30 299 11839 11025 38 304 33 312 27*309 29 301 28 298 11025 10292 35 301 31 316 22*309 25 303 25 297 10292 9629 31 298 29*319 18 307 21*305 23 297 9629 9024 26 295 26*320 14 303 17*307 21 298 9024 8478 21 294 22 322 10 296 13 308 17 300 8478 8015 14 294 16 321 8 289 9 305 13 304 8015 7654 7 305 11 318 8 284 5 297 8 312 7654 7403 2 008 8 314 7 281 3 278 4 331 7403 7250 4*073 6 312 6 278 2 238 2*001 7250 7161 3*075 4 308 4 276 1 194 2*059 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography