DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 03/15 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 8.1 - - 20.5 - - 28.7 - - 31.0 - - 24.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 83 - - 91 - - 22 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 977 - - 1984 - - 1393 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7143 - - 7143 - - 9701 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7160 - - 9987 - - 10994 - - 10403 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1991 - - 790 - - 792 - - 903 - - 2089 Hgt.Variab. W* 5 - - 188 - - 246 - - 140 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 4 - - 12 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 358 - - 302 - - 315 - - 312 - - 324 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 12 - - 19 - - 14 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 3 - - -9 - - -10 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1680 - - 322 - - 1382 - - 2081 - - -49 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8841 - - 9665 - - 9613 - - 8322 - - 7212 sfcLCL ODpotential -15935 - - -12490 - - -9847 - - -7148 - - -10003 ODpotential blCL 23095 - - 22477 - - 20841 - - 17551 - - 17165 blCL maxRH 90 - - 78 - - 74 - - 87 - - 96 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 8.1 - - 20.5 - - 28.7 - - 31.0 - - 24.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -4.5 - - 3.9 - - 12.1 - - 19.9 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 16.4 - - 23.7 - - 31.9 - - 34.7 - - 31.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -1.7 - - 3.0 - - 11.0 - - 18.8 - - 17.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 83 - - 91 - - 22 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 977 - - 1984 - - 1393 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 58 - - 11 - - 0 - - 48 - - 84 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96487 11 136 6 164 2 129 2 131 5 041 96487 89425 9 049 6 094 3 150 9 056 10 034 89425 83950 12 032 9 042 7 100 8 045 11 017 83950 79391 10 033 9 061 9 045 10 044 12 351 79391 75443 13 029 15 050 9 049 11 061 10 020 75443 71928 8 071 17 071 8 034 12 018 17 020 71928 68735 15 021 23 044 6 125 11 037 17 013 68735 65796 18 358 25 349 18 359 16 015 19 006 65796 63069 15 008 22 356 24 356 18 013 15 356 63069 60408 24 355 28 354 33 354 31 000 13 014 60408 57599 37 338 35 338 35 337 38 337 34 344 57599 54684 45 331 41 333 42 339 45 336 48 343 54684 51917 52 337 55 337 59 342 55 341 59 343 51917 49445 73 344 71 335 69 340 71 344 65 339 49445 47258 94 337 80 336 83 344 88 341 73 340 47258 45304 93 327 93 340 107 337 101 340 88 337 45304 43527 83 331 114 335 106 331 105 341 101 331 43527 41885 99 348 110 333 100 338 112 341 105 329 41885 40354 123 355 98 348 103 345 120 341 106 332 40354 38914 133 358 122 003 110 345 123 340 114 335 38914 37562 130 353 126 359 113 346 124 339 112 336 37562 36269 124 346 119 350 117 346 122 339 110 333 36269 34974 123 342 116 342 123 344 116 341 110 332 34974 33651 124 339 118 338 124 343 109 342 100 334 33651 32307 123 337 121 337 120 341 100 340 87 333 32307 30933 121 335 121 338 115 338 93 338 82 334 30933 29520 119 335 116 338 110 336 90 337 82 336 29520 28072 117 334 107 338 105 337 89 338 83 337 28072 26591 109 332 97 338 100 342 88 339 81 337 26591 25083 93 333 91 337 96 347 86 340 79 337 25083 23552 84 337 88 337 92 347 83 341 78 336 23552 21996 78 339 84 337 88 343 80 339 76 334 21996 20411 70 337 77 337 86 341 77 336 71 331 20411 18822 62 335 70 338 80 341 76 333 67 327 18822 17311 59 334 64 338 69 340 72 333 63 326 17311 15942 58 334 58 338 58 337 64 333 58 326 15942 14723 55 332 52 338 48 334 52 332 52 326 14723 13630 51 330 45 337 41 331 42 329 47 325 13630 12646 47 329 39 335 35 330 35 324 42 324 12646 11756 43 328 33 334 30*328 29 321 39 324 11756 10953 37 328 26 332 24*327 23*320 36 323 10953 10231 31 330 19*331 18 324 18*319 34 323 10231 9581 24 334 12*328 13 317 14 317 32 323 9581 8986 17 340 7 318 11 310 11 314 29 322 8986 8452 11 349 4 288 10 307 9 308 25 323 8452 7998 7 357 3 262 9 305 9 306 20 324 7998 7644 4 005 2 253 8 302 8 304 15 324 7644 7398 2 357 2 247 7 300 7 302 10 324 7398 7247 1*327 2 239 7 299 6 301 7*323 7247 7161 1*319 2 242 5 297 5 299 3*335 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography