DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/04 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 57.9 - - 58.3 - - 49.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 174 - - 98 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7285 - - 10271 - - 10307 - - 975 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 14218 - - 16405 - - 15964 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 16295 - - 19281 - - 19317 - - 9985 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2006 - - 1514 - - 1779 - - 6640 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 524 - - 536 - - 447 - - 47 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 13 - - 10 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 296 - - 323 - - 006 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 8 - - 13 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 7 - - -12 - - -19 - - -48 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 5016 - - 7963 - - 7740 - - 400 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11280 - - 11318 - - 11578 - - 9585 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 855 - - 3566 - - 3453 - - -5063 ODpotential blCL - - - 15440 - - 15715 - - 15864 - - 15048 blCL maxRH - - - 60 - - 91 - - 88 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 190 - - 500 - - 440 - - 140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 55.9 - - 57.9 - - 58.3 - - 49.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.1 - - 32.8 - - 32.1 - - 32.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.0 - - 60.4 - - 61.3 - - 56.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.9 - - 31.8 - - 31.1 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 233 - - 174 - - 98 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7285 - - 10271 - - 10307 - - 975 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 64 - - 51 - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97701 18 207 16 265 16 291 10 268 97701 90172 10 236 10 245 12 241 11 264 90172 84433 7 240 6 231 11 243 10 283 84433 79710 1 272 10 220 9 285 4 285 79710 75633 3 360 6 237 11 288 5 334 75633 72027 10 352 6 232 12 313 8 320 72027 68766 16 328 6 301 12 297 8 295 68766 65760 17 301 15 317 15 305 12 321 65760 62965 18 288 17 303 16 300 15 308 62965 60250 19 297 20 311 19 319 13 305 60250 57418 18 287 23 295 23 316 18 310 57418 54484 18 308 22 290 24 307 22 317 54484 51691 26 313 26 304 28 309 25 314 51691 49180 27 304 26 301 29 305 23 313 49180 46935 25 307 22 300 26 307 27 316 46935 44913 21 309 24 309 25 307 26 300 44913 43074 23 326 19 323 24 294 25 333 43074 41390 18 333 20 345 18 304 27 339 41390 39841 14 004 23 354 23 348 22 357 39841 38401 21 023 22 015 25 012 31 019 38401 37059 26 026 27 036 28 030 33 023 37059 35788 25 020 33 041 31 031 33 022 35788 34527 26 013 33 040 32 025 31 012 34527 33246 29 011 29 034 32 018 31 003 33246 31946 28 008 28 019 30 016 28 360 31946 30617 25 004 29 010 25 020 23 001 30617 29251 23 003 27 011 22 018 22 002 29251 27852 19 002 23 014 25 013 22 003 27852 26420 14 357 18 013 26 018 22 004 26420 24961 11 358 16 002 21 024 21 006 24961 23479 12 003 17 356 14 015 20 015 23479 21972 13 008 16 350 14 008 16 024 21972 20437 13 005 13*346 14*018 9 009 20437 18899 11 351 10*356 12*031 7 017 18899 17427 11*325 7 004 11 040 6 031 17427 16088 11*310 6 355 10 042 7 041 16088 14886 10 306 6 331 10 040 9 044 14886 13801 9 309 6 326 9 031 11 040 13801 12816 8 313 7 320 8 019 14 035 12816 11919 7 312 8 310 9 355 16 030 11919 11104 6 302 9 309 9 348 18 026 11104 10365 5 286 9 306 10 333 20*022 10365 9695 5 267 10 305 11 325 20*019 9695 9078 5 258 10 303 11 321 20 015 9078 8520 5 254 10 302 11 318 19 011 8520 8044 5 251 10 301 11 317 17 005 8044 7672 5 249 10 300 11 315 14 359 7672 7413 4 248 9 300 10 314 12 355 7413 7254 4 246 8 299 9 313 9 351 7254 7162 4 245 7 299 8 312 5 345 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography