DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/09 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 69.5 - - - - - 55.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 337 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4435 - - 6891 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 12048 - - 14055 - - - - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13445 - - 15901 - - - - - 7164 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1538 - - 1543 - - - - - 3848 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 464 - - 568 - - - - - 6 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 293 - - 287 - - - - - 320 Direction Wind Shear - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 26 - - - - - -16 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2437 - - -1359 - - - - - -6219 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 15883 - - 17261 - - - - - 13383 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8285 - - -7283 - - - - - -15362 ODpotential blCL - - - 21730 - - 23184 - - - - - 22526 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 30 - - - - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 64.4 - - 69.5 - - - - - 55.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.8 - - 18.6 - - - - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 66.2 - - 71.2 - - - - - 63.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 18.9 - - 17.6 - - - - - 22.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 288 - - 337 - - - - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4435 - - 6891 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99008 6 297 9 215 12 303 99008 91532 11 241 11 299 6 283 91532 85742 9 223 9 291 5 324 85742 80949 4 203 5 207 9 341 80949 76860 1 284 3 181 7 342 76860 73269 5 086 3 247 8 346 73269 70025 8 055 5 168 9 319 70025 67036 10 359 6 036 6 300 67036 64251 11 306 13 336 9 337 64251 61554 14 278 19 302 16 312 61554 58752 16 291 20 293 20 302 58752 55857 24 296 26 293 26 298 55857 53107 34 292 34 295 30 301 53107 50645 41 290 40 296 38 292 50645 48443 45 289 45 295 33 311 48443 46459 49 287 45 296 37 322 46459 44654 51 288 43 297 37 313 44654 42980 52 293 26 292 30 311 42980 41414 53 296 18 351 33 315 41414 39949 51 294 39 002 32 313 39949 38579 48 292 46 356 28 309 38579 37269 45 294 44 350 24 306 37269 35957 43 294 36 342 19 307 35957 34617 43 298 30 352 16 316 34617 33255 44 299 32 009 18 330 33255 31862 42 299 36 015 23 333 31862 30427 39 302 33 009 25 332 30427 28953 36 306 33 357 24 330 28953 27443 35 310 34 350 24 329 27443 25901 37 310 28 340 24 328 25901 24331 39 304 27 320 22 326 24331 22729 40 298 30 315 21 323 22729 21091 37 298 29 318 22 318 21091 19443 33 299 29 315 25 319 19443 17870 30 300 29 311 24 321 17870 16441 28 300 26*311 21 320 16441 15166 25 300 19*308 18 318 15166 14021 21*300 13 300 15 315 14021 12987 17*300 11 293 14 312 12987 12050 12 299 11 290 13 310 12050 11202 9 297 11 285 13 308 11202 10437 8 296 11 282 12 309 10437 9747 7 292 11 278 12 311 9747 9114 7 289 11 276 13 315 9114 8543 6 285 10 273 13 319 8543 8058 6 280 10 271 13 321 8058 7680 5 276 10 269 11 320 7680 7416 5 274 9 268 9 319 7416 7256 4 271 9 268 7*319 7256 7163 4 270 7 266 4*326 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography