DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 21.1 - - 33.4 - - 37.9 - - 34.4 - - 26.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -16 - - 3 - - 3 - - -5 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1047 - - 215 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 10057 - - 9225 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 707 - - 2305 - - 1346 - - 1216 - - 1020 Hgt.Variab. W* 4 - - 22 - - 89 - - 26 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 319 - - 310 - - 319 - - 341 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 20 - - 18 - - 22 - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -16 - - 9 - - -9 - - -21 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4925 - - -3978 - - -568 - - -7 - - -2027 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12088 - - 11141 - - 10626 - - 9232 - - 9189 sfcLCL ODpotential -16319 - - -13507 - - -8697 - - -7395 - - -10948 ODpotential blCL 23481 - - 20669 - - 18754 - - 16620 - - 18110 blCL maxRH 81 - - 59 - - 62 - - 48 - - 37 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 21.1 - - 33.4 - - 37.9 - - 34.4 - - 26.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -5.3 - - 10.3 - - 16.8 - - 19.4 - - 11.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.2 - - 38.0 - - 42.2 - - 41.2 - - 35.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -5.8 - - 9.1 - - 15.6 - - 18.2 - - 11.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -16 - - 3 - - 3 - - -5 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 1047 - - 215 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 24 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96673 21 115 14 090 10 117 16 095 11 121 96673 89480 11 093 14 084 8 130 6 078 9 058 89480 83858 3 093 6 094 11 074 2 040 13 000 83858 79178 8 358 6 092 4 006 8 265 12 300 79178 75140 8 345 9 333 12 302 15 322 11 308 75140 71562 22 296 22 309 25 307 35 320 32 315 71562 68370 28 308 24 297 33 300 37 309 35 309 68370 65472 36 337 12 326 27 311 29 316 33 325 65472 62752 67 314 34 329 48 318 54 313 55 319 62752 60090 66 299 60 308 58 297 62 301 60 306 60090 57319 64 300 65 298 59 297 63 302 58 305 57319 54450 68 300 68 302 63 310 63 305 60 308 54450 51719 69 300 73 308 73 307 70 306 69 308 51719 49262 76 305 80 306 76 298 79 301 79 307 49262 47050 87 305 87 300 79 296 84 297 91 302 47050 45039 92 295 90 297 84 298 83 296 95 297 45039 43210 89 297 90 297 90 302 85 302 91 297 43210 41545 94 300 97 298 103 304 94 308 86 303 41545 40010 103 289 104 293 113 294 107 303 94 304 40010 38579 95 288 107 289 110 287 108 292 101 298 38579 37244 89 301 99 287 100 288 101 289 100 295 37244 35976 95 303 91 293 95 303 94 288 94 295 35976 34709 100 302 100 303 98 309 82 298 86 297 34709 33412 101 301 106 304 96 304 82 307 77 298 33412 32091 98 297 107 301 97 299 79 308 70 300 32091 30741 99 292 109 299 99 297 79 306 63 301 30741 29357 101 291 107 303 99 297 86 302 62 302 29357 27939 98 294 97 302 97 297 92 302 66 304 27939 26486 83 300 87 298 90 299 93 304 71 307 26486 25007 70 301 76 296 79 300 81 306 71 308 25007 23506 63 296 69 295 68 300 61 307 62 306 23506 21981 63 293 65 295 60 300 49 309 51 307 21981 20426 61 295 60 296 54 301 46 311 45 311 20426 18863 54 298 55 298 50 303 44 312 40 315 18863 17371 47 300 50 299 46 305 42 312 37 316 17371 16014 43 301 45 299 43 307 39 311 34 315 16014 14800 39 303 40 300 41 308 37 310 33 314 14800 13707 35 304 35 301 38 309 35 309 32 313 13707 12718 30 306 31 303 35 309 33 308 31 312 12718 11822 26 306 28 304 32 308 32 309 30 312 11822 11010 24 307 26 306 29 308 30 310 29 314 11010 10279 23 308 25 308 25*309 29 313 29 315 10279 9618 22 309 25 310 22*311 27*315 28 317 9618 9015 22 311 25 312 18 313 23*318 28 318 9015 8471 21 315 23 314 14 312 18 320 26 319 8471 8010 18 320 18 317 10 309 13 321 22 320 8010 7651 14 329 12 321 9 306 9 320 17 323 7651 7401 10 340 8 326 7 303 5 315 12 327 7401 7249 6*349 5*331 6 301 3 314 8*333 7249 7161 3*354 3*339 4 298 1 310 4*350 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography