DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/16 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 18.8 - - 19.0 - - 26.7 - - 25.6 - - 20.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -12 - - -2 - - 22 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7143 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7161 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1406 - - 1348 - - 2667 - - 2143 - - 1143 Hgt.Variab. W* 6 - - 10 - - 32 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 7 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 326 - - 261 - - 256 - - 295 - - 308 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 2 - - 6 - - 12 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -5 - - 3 - - -5 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3046 - - -1543 - - -756 - - 2 - - -1608 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10207 - - 8705 - - 7918 - - 7161 - - 8771 sfcLCL ODpotential -12698 - - -10602 - - -10240 - - -9674 - - -12371 ODpotential blCL 19859 - - 17763 - - 17402 - - 16836 - - 19533 blCL maxRH 49 - - 69 - - 71 - - 76 - - 83 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 18.8 - - 19.0 - - 26.7 - - 25.6 - - 20.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 0.4 - - 6.9 - - 17.7 - - 20.2 - - 8.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 30.5 - - 26.5 - - 30.2 - - 32.3 - - 30.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 5.6 - - 8.4 - - 16.7 - - 19.3 - - 12.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -12 - - -2 - - 22 - - -6 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 4 - - 31 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97136 60 068 52 066 56 075 55 078 50 076 97136 90056 49 075 49 078 50 080 53 075 47 074 90056 84517 48 085 42 084 43 082 52 067 48 074 84517 79859 47 082 41 091 36 085 42 072 44 076 79859 75789 31 075 37 090 32 083 32 073 35 073 75789 72162 24 081 31 070 24 086 23 075 28 076 72162 68870 20 053 17 061 23 069 19 063 22 065 68870 65834 4 121 17 044 18 061 19 057 17 057 65834 63012 23 053 22 020 23 026 24 034 25 038 63012 60298 19 354 24 020 23 003 27 356 25 360 60298 57468 23 003 30 013 24 017 17 356 16 345 57468 54503 43 355 52 354 49 005 35 017 37 017 54503 51677 50 346 52 350 58 348 54 350 58 356 51677 49172 52 348 45 349 50 338 52 334 58 350 49172 46955 55 350 48 355 48 355 46 358 58 002 46955 44958 64 354 55 000 62 007 60 014 70 010 44958 43155 73 352 68 000 67 008 82 016 81 006 43155 41534 78 350 73 354 81 003 95 006 81 005 41534 40051 79 355 79 356 96 357 92 358 77 008 40051 38658 85 002 91 358 106 358 86 001 75 012 38658 37345 91 003 92 000 105 003 82 008 74 017 37345 36088 86 359 89 007 106 010 83 012 77 024 36088 34828 77 357 89 011 104 014 83 016 80 027 34828 33542 70 358 89 012 96 015 84 020 80 027 33542 32232 67 002 88 013 89 021 82 021 79 023 32232 30888 69 007 86 013 90 027 79 018 76 018 30888 29497 71 010 82 013 90 028 77 016 73 016 29497 28068 70 007 76 012 87 025 78 017 75 017 28068 26609 69 002 71 007 84 024 79 019 70 014 26609 25127 70 360 70 001 78 024 76 019 65 008 25127 23621 68 358 69 359 70 022 70 016 63 002 23621 22082 63 358 68 359 65 015 65 010 65 359 22082 20505 58 359 62 002 66 008 65 007 65 000 20505 18916 53 360 51 004 66 009 69 011 66 006 18916 17394 45 359 42 001 58 011 69 016 68 013 17394 16013 39 354 36 355 45 010 62 020 68 020 16013 14780 36 350 34 351 35 005 50 022 64 025 14780 13676 33 348 31 349 30 359 39 018 58 027 13676 12681 31 349 27 347 27 357 31 009 50 026 12681 11784 28 353 22 342 23 356 28 360 43 023 11784 10974 26 359 18 337 18 354 26 353 37 019 10974 10247 23 007 14 335 14 350 23 349 33 016 10247 9593 21 014 11 334 11 345 20 344 30 015 9593 8995 19 022 7 330 7 331 17 337 27 015 8995 8457 16 027 4 316 5 302 15 325 22 014 8457 8001 13 029 3 277 5 268 12 312 17 011 8001 7645 8 026 3 256 4 240 9 297 11 003 7645 7398 4 005 3 257 4 227 6 281 6 341 7398 7247 3*308 3*269 3*218 4*268 4*300 7247 7161 2*287 2*271 3*215 2*226 3*250 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography