DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/03 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 70.1 - - 70.7 - - 63.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 323 - - 180 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9171 - - 10997 - - 10199 - - 5826 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 15799 - - 17362 - - 16336 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top - - - 18181 - - 20007 - - 19209 - - 14836 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2007 - - 1718 - - 2648 - - 3470 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 592 - - 659 - - 532 - - 54 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 12 - - 11 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 262 - - 269 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 12 - - 7 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 16 - - 14 - - 8 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 4902 - - 5706 - - 4209 - - 2063 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13280 - - 14302 - - 15000 - - 12774 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1742 - - 3120 - - 1257 - - -3058 ODpotential blCL - - - 16439 - - 16887 - - 17952 - - 17894 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 74 - - 75 - - 40 maxRH CAPE - - - 220 - - 300 - - 120 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 66.5 - - 70.1 - - 70.7 - - 63.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 33.0 - - 32.0 - - 29.6 - - 32.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.5 - - 71.6 - - 73.1 - - 69.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.9 - - 30.9 - - 28.4 - - 31.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 276 - - 323 - - 180 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 9171 - - 10997 - - 10199 - - 5826 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99610 29 115 28 100 30 109 31 092 99610 92063 24 121 16 094 28 093 25 098 92063 86272 20 122 14 116 21 082 25 098 86272 81451 19 117 17 117 12 109 20 081 81451 77291 16 108 16 121 13 120 11 056 77291 73624 17 093 12 121 13 122 4 068 73624 70313 14 070 12 108 10 109 7 109 70313 67267 6 062 8 076 7 111 4 105 67267 64432 3 004 5 024 6 037 6 092 64432 61679 6 241 3 274 9 330 9 000 61679 58811 7 242 7 264 10 272 8 292 58811 55843 8 254 14 259 14 277 13 289 55843 53020 15 296 16 294 24 299 21 299 53020 50494 25 301 27 299 31 301 31 302 50494 48234 25 287 30 291 32 299 31 298 48234 46174 23 281 30 294 33 299 30 312 46174 44283 25 289 30 297 32 297 36 319 44283 42545 26 291 29 292 33 300 35 320 42545 40944 22 287 26 285 33 303 32 339 40944 39462 21 287 24 280 33 305 40 346 39462 38089 25 283 25 278 31 300 41 347 38089 36788 28 278 25 284 32 290 38 348 36788 35491 28 271 28 296 35 279 35 350 35491 34169 29 263 32 302 31 276 31 349 34169 32828 31 260 32 304 26 277 29 345 32828 31456 31 265 30 303 29 284 26 333 31456 30046 29 271 27 298 29 284 25 318 30046 28601 25 272 27 286 32 275 27 305 28601 27122 22 271 26 279 34 273 26 296 27122 25616 23 270 24 278 31 276 25 292 25616 24087 24 264 23 280 25 277 26 288 24087 22528 25 262 24 279 23 270 25 282 22528 20934 25 266 23*276 22 268 24 276 20934 19330 25*270 18*276 20*271 24 274 19330 17794 23*267 14 270 14*271 22 273 17794 16396 21 261 13 264 10 266 19 273 16396 15144 18 255 12 262 10 267 17*273 15144 14015 16 254 12 260 10 267 14*270 14015 12992 15 254 12 259 10 267 10 265 12992 12062 13 256 12 258 11 268 8 263 12062 11218 12 257 12 257 11 269 7 266 11218 10455 12 259 12 257 11 270 8 273 10455 9764 12 261 12 256 12 271 8 278 9764 9130 11 262 12 255 12 271 9 282 9130 8556 11 262 12 255 12 271 9 285 8556 8067 10 263 11 255 11 271 9 286 8067 7686 10 263 11 254 11 271 9 287 7686 7420 9 263 10 254 11 270 7 286 7420 7257 8 263 10 254 10 270 6 285 7257 7163 7 263 8 252 8 270 4 283 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography