DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/23 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 35.4 - - 36.4 - - 34.0 - - 32.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - -9 - - -4 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7163 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2495 - - 5459 - - 3787 - - 2438 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 10 - - 3 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 150 - - 171 - - 150 - - 119 Direction Wind Shear - - - 15 - - 16 - - 15 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 30 - - 17 - - 24 - - 17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - -145 - - -170 - - -524 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7308 - - 7332 - - 7686 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4721 - - -4786 - - -5149 - - -5133 ODpotential blCL - - - 11883 - - 11949 - - 12311 - - 12295 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 91 - - 99 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 35.4 - - 36.4 - - 34.0 - - 32.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 30.4 - - 29.2 - - 26.9 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 41.7 - - 42.2 - - 42.4 - - 42.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 29.5 - - 28.0 - - 25.8 - - 24.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -7 - - -9 - - -4 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 65 - - 97 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95790 34 305 32 330 32 317 27 327 95790 88754 25 313 32 311 36 314 27 320 88754 83305 22 309 20 291 36 309 24 316 83305 78759 27 301 20 284 26 300 28 310 78759 74826 27 290 25 298 22 289 31 293 74826 71362 29 275 33 295 26 300 30 296 71362 68214 35 267 39 272 32 290 31 280 68214 65301 43 261 45 254 36 258 31 254 65301 62585 45 254 47 246 37 243 34 242 62585 59936 48 255 45 246 40 256 39 244 59936 57180 50 255 51 255 57 261 43 255 57180 54303 64 254 66 256 67 249 50 258 54303 51523 84 247 80 243 70 240 65 253 51523 49005 89 240 82 239 68 244 84 244 49005 46749 81 243 81 244 79 250 94 242 46749 44723 84 250 91 251 99 251 108 245 44723 42891 108 252 113 249 114 246 120 243 42891 41218 134 245 134 243 125 242 126 236 41218 39681 148 240 154 238 146 237 130 232 39681 38255 147 241 157 239 159 234 128 230 38255 36924 141 242 139 240 145 233 126 225 36924 35651 122 239 119 230 126 233 128 223 35651 34376 110 232 123 226 108 231 127 225 34376 33075 105 228 120 228 101 231 120 231 33075 31758 94 231 105 231 100 236 108 236 31758 30420 85 238 94 232 94 241 82 239 30420 29051 81 240 82 230 86 242 68 235 29051 27651 80 239 74 231 77 239 65 234 27651 26223 80 238 73 234 70 236 63 235 26223 24771 78 236 73 234 64 235 59 237 24771 23299 75 235 71 234 58 236 56 236 23299 21799 70 234 70 233 55 236 54 233 21799 20266 65 235 69 232 51 236 50 231 20266 18727 60 237 68 230 50 236 46 232 18727 17260 56 238 65 230 50 234 41 233 17260 15930 52 238 60 231 49 232 37 233 15930 14742 48 236 55 234 46 231 33 229 14742 13673 45 231 50 238 44 232 30 223 13673 12705 43 228 45 241 41 232 27 216 12705 11823 40 225 40 241 37 232 26 209 11823 11021 36 221 36 240 32 229 26 201 11021 10295 32 216 31 237 26 220 25 192 10295 9637 28 210 26 232 21 206 23 182 9637 9032 24 202 21 223 19 191 22 169 9032 8485 19 187 15 207 17 177 23 157 8485 8020 17 163 12 185 15 166 24 144 8020 7657 15 148 11 156 13 152 21 133 7657 7405 12 142 10 136 10 140 16 124 7405 7250 8*142 8*125 7*133 10*116 7250 7161 2*145 3*113 2*069 3*109 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography