DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.6 - - 36.8 - - 40.1 - - - - - 32.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -25 - - 23 - - 59 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 716 - - 2161 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - - - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9726 - - 11171 - - - - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1858 - - 1581 - - 1347 - - - - - 2634 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 116 - - 225 - - - - - 8 W* B/S 0 - - 13 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 2 - - 5 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction 019 - - 247 - - 280 - - - - - 345 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 4 - - - - - 2 Wind Shear Max.Converg -19 - - 7 - - 5 - - - - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 2081 - - 3128 - - - - - -17 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7161 - - 7646 - - 8044 - - - - - 7180 sfcLCL ODpotential -4666 - - -3850 - - -1771 - - - - - -7007 ODpotential blCL 11828 - - 13576 - - 12942 - - - - - 14169 blCL maxRH 71 - - 66 - - 79 - - - - - 76 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.6 - - 36.8 - - 40.1 - - - - - 32.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.1 - - 28.5 - - 30.0 - - - - - 26.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.7 - - 40.5 - - 43.3 - - - - - 39.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.3 - - 27.3 - - 28.8 - - - - - 25.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -25 - - 23 - - 59 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 716 - - 2161 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 17 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96480 21 070 24 047 25 072 21 079 96480 89528 31 065 22 085 25 069 29 079 89528 84072 24 063 27 111 19 083 25 079 84072 79469 20 096 21 090 10 090 17 085 79469 75481 17 087 13 080 7 107 13 067 75481 71946 9 038 8 074 8 132 5 064 71946 68733 6 180 4 027 8 162 0 224 68733 65766 18 160 6 274 2 254 7 207 65766 63004 12 130 14 209 8 253 13 226 63004 60334 8 005 17 197 11 219 12 266 60334 57549 16 312 10 212 7 238 13 274 57549 54664 19 251 11 255 9 264 9 293 54664 51925 13 218 8 246 10 231 11 303 51925 49466 9 209 4 224 10 204 9 275 49466 47259 11 183 4 205 6 196 8 288 47259 45256 10 150 7 154 3 179 11 315 45256 43422 9 113 9 126 3 026 16 339 43422 41744 10 095 8 080 11 008 23 003 41744 40203 13 072 16 051 16 042 26 024 40203 38765 15 065 28 051 43 043 38 037 38765 37419 22 065 48 040 59 046 47 033 37419 36139 37 061 66 032 78 031 49 030 36139 34863 55 062 69 034 87 025 47 028 34863 33562 70 058 70 036 82 029 43 030 33562 32241 74 053 73 037 75 037 35 036 32241 30887 70 049 73 045 67 045 31 037 30887 29494 67 050 71 051 59 047 31 029 29494 28064 65 057 64 051 52 051 31 021 28064 26603 65 063 56 049 46 051 26 022 26603 25113 58 070 51 058 40 050 22 027 25113 23598 39 080 48 072 36 064 19 027 23598 22054 22 087 35 084 30 071 16 026 22054 20478 15 087 25 105 19 084 15 020 20478 18898 12 078 20 114 14 111 14 007 18898 17391 9 069 12 110 10 121 11 350 17391 16023 8 066 5 076 5 110 11 343 16023 14802 7 067 5 024 4 060 12 344 14802 13707 5 072 6 011 4 028 12 342 13707 12718 2 080 5 008 4 357 11 334 12718 11823 1 143 4 359 5*332 10 324 11823 11014 1 226 3 338 5*314 8 314 11014 10285 2 242 2*306 6 298 7 306 10285 9625 2 255 2*278 6 285 6 304 9625 9022 1 273 2 258 6 276 6 307 9022 8477 1 314 2 233 6 271 5 319 8477 8014 3 038 2 223 5 267 5 333 8014 7654 6 037 2 237 5 262 5 346 7654 7402 8 031 2 251 5 262 5 352 7402 7249 6*015 2 254 4 259 4*348 7249 7161 4*005 1 248 4 259 3*348 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography