DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.6 - - 33.6 - - 30.5 - - 23.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 1 - - -21 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 12 - - 6 - - 388 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 9022 - - 9016 - - 9398 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3281 - - 1998 - - 2083 - - 2030 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 26 - - 34 - - 30 - - 32 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 265 - - 282 - - 305 Direction Wind Shear - - - 31 - - 39 - - 39 - - 38 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 14 - - -9 - - -42 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1 - - 1861 - - 1855 - - 2238 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1227 - - 543 - - 351 - - -903 ODpotential blCL - - - 8389 - - 8479 - - 8665 - - 10301 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 94 - - 92 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.6 - - 33.6 - - 30.5 - - 23.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.3 - - 32.3 - - 29.6 - - 19.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.6 - - 37.6 - - 36.1 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.2 - - 32.1 - - 30.5 - - 19.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 1 - - -21 - - -38 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 12 - - 6 - - 388 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 85 - - 77 - - 67 - - 29 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96248 2 032 12 341 17 340 11 318 96248 89263 10 006 10 349 11 357 9 334 89263 83776 2 026 8 341 7 340 9 001 83776 79155 4 058 6 236 10 318 20 327 79155 75145 18 030 3 301 11 316 15 319 75145 71574 23 349 3 290 14 312 5 331 71574 68336 13 330 12 333 16 313 15 319 68336 65364 31 307 22 336 22 315 11 304 65364 62605 51 287 46 290 43 284 28 301 62605 59933 45 269 41 273 51 284 36 294 59933 57122 25 285 43 274 63 295 43 299 57122 54179 28 276 53 287 64 289 59 291 54179 51378 51 284 71 291 62 285 66 288 51378 48862 71 291 82 288 66 289 74 287 48862 46613 91 292 89 285 83 289 85 285 46613 44577 101 285 93 282 96 285 92 283 44577 42708 104 274 98 281 103 281 95 282 42708 40979 102 269 104 279 106 278 99 281 40979 39372 103 271 111 277 108 276 103 281 39372 37878 112 275 117 275 108 275 108 281 37878 36496 125 277 118 273 108 277 114 282 36496 35195 134 276 118 268 108 280 122 283 35195 33911 134 274 119 262 112 282 131 284 33911 32614 129 271 118 258 116 281 135 284 32614 31305 126 268 117 256 117 278 133 282 31305 29972 123 265 117 255 117 275 128 280 29972 28607 122 263 119 256 117 274 123 278 28607 27214 122 265 121 260 119 275 120 277 27214 25794 119 269 120 264 121 276 119 276 25794 24353 116 273 117 269 122 277 117 277 24353 22895 115 275 113 272 116 278 110 278 22895 21419 110 276 106 275 103 278 102 279 21419 19918 103 277 94 274 90 276 93 278 19918 18415 95 278 85 269 83 275 86 277 18415 16981 86 277 83 266 73 274 81 277 16981 15678 77 275 83 269 71 273 78 278 15678 14513 72 277 79 272 68 273 75 279 14513 13467 70 279 72 274 64 274 71 282 13467 12526 69 280 69 276 62 278 67 285 12526 11671 66 279 67 277 59 282 65 287 11671 10895 62 278 63 276 56 285 63 289 10895 10193 59 276 59 275 53 287 60 292 10193 9556 52 274 54*273 50*287 55*296 9556 8972 46 271 49*270 45*286 45*301 8972 8444 39 268 43 267 39 284 41 304 8444 7995 32 264 36 264 32 282 34 306 7995 7643 25 260 29 261 25 279 28 308 7643 7397 20 258 24 259 18 275 22 309 7397 7247 16*255 19 257 14 273 16 311 7247 7161 8*251 11 254 6 269 8 316 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography