DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.9 - - 78.5 - - 81.5 - - 79.4 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 4 - - 281 - - 341 - - 127 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 9288 - - 10870 - - 9728 - - 4279 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 15892 - - 17290 - - 15690 - - 7147 Hcrit BL Top 7164 - - 18298 - - 19880 - - 18738 - - 13289 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 4571 - - 2025 - - 2033 - - 2152 - - 3485 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 594 - - 668 - - 467 - - 30 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 22 - - 18 - - 14 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 348 - - 267 - - 264 - - 272 - - 279 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 23 - - 18 - - 13 - - 17 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 19 - - 18 - - 13 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -9220 - - 158 - - 1524 - - 624 - - -2197 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 16385 - - 18141 - - 18356 - - 18115 - - 15487 sfcLCL ODpotential -14533 - - -3802 - - -2361 - - -4058 - - -9218 ODpotential blCL 21697 - - 22100 - - 22241 - - 22796 - - 22507 blCL maxRH 69 - - 66 - - 54 - - 36 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.9 - - 78.5 - - 81.5 - - 79.4 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 23.5 - - 25.2 - - 24.4 - - 26.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.2 - - 80.5 - - 83.2 - - 82.1 - - 77.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.7 - - 22.4 - - 24.1 - - 23.2 - - 25.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 4 - - 281 - - 341 - - 127 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 9288 - - 10870 - - 9728 - - 4279 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99546 23 101 24 110 20 098 20 092 16 102 99546 92053 16 119 19 121 19 098 17 088 18 095 92053 86230 21 104 15 113 14 099 13 097 16 082 86230 81383 21 091 15 096 12 104 10 120 11 068 81383 77217 12 081 9 093 11 103 10 115 9 069 77217 73550 10 082 5 116 4 064 13 092 10 089 73550 70235 9 081 7 123 2 076 9 044 14 086 70235 67179 10 077 5 102 4 157 3 326 9 036 67179 64345 7 006 3 066 2 191 2 302 3 341 64345 61610 9 329 4 057 1 074 1 086 4 276 61610 58789 18 299 11 318 8 347 5 355 5 303 58789 55896 19 274 21 268 21 291 21 297 17 303 55896 53149 24 277 23 280 27 288 31 287 31 285 53149 50678 36 282 31 283 35 286 37 283 35 283 50678 48458 44 286 42 283 46 282 44 281 41 283 48458 46455 52 289 50 280 50 274 49 280 47 285 46455 44639 55 286 54 277 53 273 51 280 47 291 44639 42972 56 284 56 276 53 274 51 281 47 295 42972 41419 56 282 54 276 54 274 48 281 45 297 41419 39960 53 283 50 278 54 272 46 282 42 297 39960 38586 50 284 48 280 54 271 42 284 41 293 38586 37270 48 285 47 279 52 270 40 285 42 292 37270 35951 44 285 45 277 49 271 38 284 39 291 35951 34604 41 285 41 276 45 271 38 282 35 283 34604 33236 40 287 39 274 41 271 38 279 36 275 33236 31838 36 282 39 272 40 271 38 277 38 274 31838 30400 32 278 38 271 38 273 37 275 38 273 30400 28927 29 278 35 270 36 274 35 276 36 272 28927 27423 27 280 33 268 36 272 33 278 35 270 27423 25890 27 281 30 266 34 269 31 277 33 267 25890 24334 28 277 28 264 32 267 31 275 33 264 24334 22750 29 268 26 265 29 267 30 273 31 264 22750 21130 32 265 26 266 28*266 28 271 29 264 21130 19501 35 262 28*266 28*265 25*269 28 264 19501 17942 35 260 30*264 25 263 21*268 27 264 17942 16524 32 258 31 259 20 262 15 267 27 264 16524 15254 29 258 30 254 20 263 13 269 25 265 15254 14110 26 259 28 255 18 263 13 269 23*266 14110 13073 23 264 25 259 17 264 13 271 20*267 13073 12131 20 270 22 266 17 265 14 273 16 269 12131 11276 18 277 20 274 16 266 14 274 13 272 11276 10502 15 286 18 281 16 266 14 276 11 276 10502 9801 13 295 17 286 16 267 14 277 11 281 9801 9158 10 304 16 289 15 267 14 278 12 288 9158 8576 8 318 15 290 15 267 14 278 12 292 8576 8081 7 331 14 291 14 267 13 278 12 295 8081 7694 7 344 14 292 14 267 13 279 10 296 7694 7424 6 356 13 292 13 266 12 278 8 295 7424 7259 4*006 12 292 12 267 11 278 6 293 7259 7164 3*012 9 292 10 266 9 278 4 296 7164 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography