DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/07 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 57.2 - - 56.8 - - 48.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 422 - - 199 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4130 - - 5036 - - 4676 - - 996 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 11772 - - 12671 - - 12085 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 13140 - - 14046 - - 13686 - - 10006 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1857 - - 1562 - - 1487 - - 2000 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 438 - - 554 - - 422 - - 44 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 15 - - 17 BL Wind Direction - - - 308 - - 314 - - 331 - - 336 Direction Wind Shear - - - 17 - - 13 - - 7 - - 15 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -16 - - -22 - - -27 - - -31 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2086 - - 1908 - - 1838 - - 1249 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11055 - - 12138 - - 11849 - - 8758 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4634 - - -3056 - - -3379 - - -5558 ODpotential blCL - - - 17774 - - 17102 - - 17065 - - 15564 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 54 - - 52 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.5 - - 57.2 - - 56.8 - - 48.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 29.9 - - 28.7 - - 29.6 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.7 - - 58.6 - - 59.2 - - 53.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.7 - - 27.5 - - 28.7 - - 33.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 244 - - 422 - - 199 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4130 - - 5036 - - 4676 - - 996 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97842 13 240 17 310 8 279 10 301 97842 90428 8 260 7 281 5 310 6 321 90428 84713 8 223 8 241 8 340 3 073 84713 79961 5 174 8 213 7 314 6 012 79961 75878 4 233 4 255 6 269 4 330 75878 72271 7 189 9 293 8 318 7 355 72271 68998 2 310 7 291 8 281 8 337 68998 65979 5 352 6 317 9 287 9 340 65979 63167 4 333 7 296 12 301 13 318 63167 60447 10 345 2 339 9 317 13 319 60447 57618 15 322 11 335 12 313 14 336 57618 54692 19 307 20 315 18 320 19 320 54692 51916 18 309 17 305 20 321 20 320 51916 49434 27 324 25 319 31 322 28 320 49434 47231 41 322 42 321 40 323 39 323 47231 45261 48 323 51 324 48 324 47 321 45261 43484 61 329 62 326 56 334 49 337 43484 41863 73 329 77 330 71 338 62 343 41863 40362 76 328 81 328 72 336 64 341 40362 38949 72 324 76 323 70 335 64 338 38949 37620 65 320 73 323 69 332 63 335 37620 36346 62 318 69 324 68 329 62 335 36346 35069 61 318 64 322 68 328 62 333 35069 33762 60 319 61 324 66 328 60 332 33762 32433 60 320 60 325 62 327 54 332 32433 31074 60 321 58 328 57 330 48 329 31074 29677 60 322 56 330 55 341 43 326 29677 28247 58 323 54 333 49 347 38 326 28247 26784 54 323 47 333 43 346 34 327 26784 25293 50 324 42 331 39 341 32 332 25293 23777 45 324 39 331 35 340 31 340 23777 22231 41 321 37 329 30 338 27 339 22231 20650 38 317 36 327 28 332 24 326 20650 19060 35 313 35 326 27 326 24 319 19060 17540 33 310 32 324 25 324 22 319 17540 16161 31 309 29 321 23 325 20 321 16161 14931 29 309 26*319 20 328 18 325 14931 13827 27*309 23*318 16*336 16 329 13827 12828 25*310 19 317 15*340 15 335 12828 11922 22 311 17 315 14 340 14 343 11922 11101 20 311 16 315 15 338 16 348 11101 10359 17 309 16 314 15 335 18*349 10359 9688 16 307 16 313 16 331 19*347 9688 9072 15 306 17 312 16 327 20 343 9072 8515 15 306 16 311 16 324 20 338 8515 8040 14 304 16 310 15 323 18 332 8040 7670 13 304 15 309 15 321 16 327 7670 7411 12 303 14 308 14 320 13 322 7411 7253 11 303 13 308 13 319 10 319 7253 7162 9 302 10 307 10 317 5 317 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography