DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 15.4 - - 26.3 - - 32.0 - - 30.6 - - 23.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 5 - - 24 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 89 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 7161 - - 9099 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1576 - - 1970 - - 847 - - 2460 - - 1743 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 21 - - 59 - - 13 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 109 - - 156 - - 192 - - 156 - - 125 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 11 - - 15 - - 10 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 13 - - 17 - - 14 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3378 - - -2139 - - -227 - - -1506 - - -1947 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10540 - - 9300 - - 9327 - - 8668 - - 9109 sfcLCL ODpotential -12312 - - -10804 - - -7890 - - -10052 - - -9577 ODpotential blCL 19473 - - 17965 - - 16989 - - 17214 - - 16739 blCL maxRH 55 - - 52 - - 50 - - 59 - - 67 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 15.4 - - 26.3 - - 32.0 - - 30.6 - - 23.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -4.3 - - 11.3 - - 16.7 - - 18.2 - - 9.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 27.4 - - 30.7 - - 35.6 - - 35.8 - - 33.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 2.0 - - 10.3 - - 15.5 - - 17.0 - - 13.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 5 - - 24 - - -5 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 89 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96881 29 111 19 110 25 099 21 126 19 097 96881 89716 19 099 18 117 13 111 12 099 10 101 89716 84159 9 103 14 116 10 132 5 059 8 085 84159 79514 5 150 11 125 7 182 4 348 7 030 79514 75482 6 107 5 139 2 180 2 295 4 014 75482 71896 1 129 3 180 4 262 6 291 9 340 71896 68630 5 215 6 217 7 224 10 305 10 300 68630 65619 7 248 9 255 14 269 16 310 4 057 65619 62831 12 238 20 252 21 253 20 303 17 268 62831 60146 14 247 15 264 8 249 5 209 8 229 60146 57332 16 279 12 294 26 300 35 294 37 280 57332 54416 43 264 45 264 47 253 48 266 44 266 54416 51656 51 259 50 260 48 261 45 269 42 276 51656 49173 49 272 58 273 54 278 61 279 60 284 49173 46954 59 276 65 275 59 278 67 277 67 284 46954 44954 68 275 67 274 64 276 73 276 76 282 44954 43143 80 271 72 274 72 274 83 273 83 277 43143 41495 92 272 84 274 86 272 91 271 87 275 41495 39976 106 271 98 272 98 271 95 270 88 277 39976 38558 114 269 106 270 103 272 96 272 89 279 38558 37231 112 269 106 270 101 273 96 272 90 279 37231 35961 105 272 98 272 97 273 96 272 90 276 35961 34689 99 276 92 277 91 274 93 272 91 273 34689 33389 97 278 92 279 87 275 87 273 91 273 33389 32072 95 277 91 279 85 277 82 275 87 276 32072 30726 91 276 89 278 84 278 78 275 80 279 30726 29345 87 276 85 277 83 278 76 276 74 280 29345 27928 82 277 82 276 79 277 74 277 70 281 27928 26479 74 279 78 275 75 276 71 276 67 279 26479 25002 66 279 72 274 71 273 66 275 64 277 25002 23501 60 278 64 273 65 270 62 270 62 274 23501 21972 53 275 56 270 59 265 57 264 61 270 21972 20409 46 270 50 268 53 261 51 259 56 266 20409 18839 41 265 46 265 48 259 47 257 50 263 18839 17340 40 259 43 260 45 257 44 255 44 260 17340 15978 39 254 41 255 43 254 42 253 39 256 15978 14762 38 250 39 251 41 250 41 251 37 253 14762 13670 36 249 37 250 38 247 39 250 35 250 13670 12683 34 248 34 249 36 245 36 248 33 248 12683 11790 32 245 32 248 34 243 34 246 32 243 11790 10983 30 242 30 244 31 240 31 243 30 237 10983 10256 27 239 27 240 28 237 28 237 28 229 10256 9600 23 235 24 234 23*233 23 229 24 220 9600 9001 17 227 18 224 17*225 17 219 19 209 9001 8461 9 197 10 200 10 205 10 197 13 192 8461 8004 8 151 8 156 7 172 8 157 11 161 8004 7647 7 130 7 139 6 164 8 144 10 139 7647 7400 5 113 4 127 6 160 7 137 8 126 7400 7248 3*075 3*106 6 159 6*131 4*112 7248 7161 2*014 2*096 5 158 3*127 2*045 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography