DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 01/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.2 - - 28.8 - - 34.9 - - 29.0 - - 23.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -24 - - -9 - - 1 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 410 - - 1297 - - 2756 - - 1503 - - 1521 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 12 - - 14 - - 4 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 343 - - 002 - - 306 - - 213 - - 343 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg -21 - - -12 - - 1 - - 2 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5097 - - -3338 - - -2226 - - -180 - - -2284 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12260 - - 10500 - - 9389 - - 7343 - - 9446 sfcLCL ODpotential -15341 - - -11989 - - -9461 - - -6855 - - -11019 ODpotential blCL 22503 - - 19151 - - 16623 - - 14017 - - 18181 blCL maxRH 44 - - 37 - - 47 - - 63 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.2 - - 28.8 - - 34.9 - - 29.0 - - 23.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m -4.8 - - 8.7 - - 19.2 - - 22.2 - - 8.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.4 - - 37.2 - - 39.5 - - 35.6 - - 33.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot -2.5 - - 8.0 - - 18.1 - - 21.1 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -24 - - -9 - - 1 - - -1 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96791 45 053 25 046 44 044 45 064 35 060 96791 89668 39 054 33 055 37 041 40 054 38 063 89668 84138 33 055 35 045 29 045 36 043 40 050 84138 79520 28 052 29 058 23 044 31 034 33 045 79520 75509 25 032 29 052 18 043 26 024 31 031 75509 71945 26 027 23 045 22 033 25 014 25 022 71945 68705 20 027 20 020 24 020 26 013 24 017 68705 65707 16 033 19 355 27 360 30 013 31 013 65707 62916 10 031 25 349 30 347 34 006 34 360 62916 60214 34 357 32 351 27 340 39 350 41 356 60214 57404 41 352 42 356 34 345 45 341 46 349 57404 54482 45 351 51 342 45 340 51 339 45 346 54482 51683 48 339 53 336 51 333 56 338 55 338 51683 49174 52 335 55 337 56 329 58 330 61 331 49174 46941 54 333 59 335 57 329 60 326 66 332 46941 44923 55 332 61 328 58 328 63 325 69 332 44923 43086 57 331 58 325 60 326 64 325 68 330 43086 41406 54 326 53 324 60 323 62 324 66 331 41406 39859 46 323 46 322 52 320 55 325 64 331 39859 38426 40 322 39 318 41 314 47 327 60 327 38426 37094 33 321 36 315 33 318 40 324 54 325 37094 35830 29 320 35 314 30 323 36 322 51 329 35830 34569 31 318 36 309 29 327 37 321 49 335 34569 33283 34 315 37 308 28 328 40 321 48 340 33283 31977 35 314 37 309 29 327 41 323 49 339 31977 30643 37 314 38 311 31 329 41 325 47 335 30643 29272 39 314 38 311 35 330 40 325 44 337 29272 27865 39 314 37 310 36 332 39 324 45 344 27865 26423 37 316 34 310 36 336 37 327 48 349 26423 24953 36 316 30 318 35 337 36 332 49 351 24953 23458 35 317 32 326 34 335 36 337 47 349 23458 21935 33 319 34 328 34 331 37 339 44 347 21935 20378 30 321 35 327 34 329 37 338 43 345 20378 18813 25 323 34 328 35 328 38 336 44 345 18813 17316 21 326 31 328 34 329 36 334 44 346 17316 15956 19 329 27 328 31 329 34 334 43 348 15956 14743 18 332 24 328 29 330 32 335 39 349 14743 13655 17 336 21 328 27 330 29 336 34 349 13655 12672 17 339 18 329 24 330 26 338 30 349 12672 11783 18 341 15 330 21 330 24 341 26 348 11783 10979 18 344 13 332 18 330 22 343 24 349 10979 10255 19 345 11 336 15 331 19 344 22 352 10255 9601 19 346 9 345 12 333 15 345 20 356 9601 9003 19 347 8 356 9 336 12 345 18 360 9003 8463 18 347 7 009 7 339 9 343 16 002 8463 8005 16 347 7 017 5 334 6 334 13 003 8005 7648 14 349 7 017 3 313 3 304 10 001 7648 7400 10 351 5 010 2 273 2 254 6 353 7400 7248 7*348 3*354 1*230 2*206 4*339 7248 7161 3*338 2*000 1*221 2*183 2*326 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography