DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/19 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 51.8 - - 48.7 - - 41.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 7 - - -10 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 340 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 7146 - - 7146 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7163 - - 9350 - - 7163 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3223 - - 1860 - - 2791 - - 810 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 28 - - 86 - - 19 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 12 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 282 - - 288 - - 299 - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 18 - - 16 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - -9 - - -12 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3733 - - -784 - - -2760 - - -2555 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10896 - - 10135 - - 9923 - - 9718 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -12284 - - -9431 - - -11538 - - -11391 ODpotential blCL - - - 19447 - - 18781 - - 18701 - - 18554 blCL maxRH - - - 49 - - 46 - - 52 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.4 - - 51.8 - - 48.7 - - 41.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.1 - - 32.6 - - 30.5 - - 24.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 55.5 - - 56.8 - - 55.6 - - 51.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 26.9 - - 31.4 - - 29.3 - - 24.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 6 - - 7 - - -10 - - -37 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 340 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96446 17 264 19 274 13 333 10 187 96446 89429 1 349 13 257 15 328 6 343 89429 84010 3 031 10 274 16 300 16 349 84010 79487 5 312 7 295 10 270 15 348 79487 75551 5 281 12 326 12 289 13 326 75551 72054 9 296 16 323 12 306 17 301 72054 68897 11 309 19 306 15 326 15 322 68897 66002 24 281 24 280 25 308 17 322 66002 63339 21 305 18 296 24 294 23 312 63339 60777 28 312 19 323 22 292 22 312 60777 58091 36 288 33 301 31 288 28 299 58091 55283 40 281 40 285 39 290 37 294 55283 52590 44 285 45 282 46 288 42 291 52590 50158 49 286 48 283 51 287 46 290 50158 47972 53 287 52 282 58 286 53 289 47972 45985 58 286 58 282 64 284 60 287 45985 44164 63 285 62 283 64 282 61 283 44164 42486 64 285 61 282 58 282 58 279 42486 40934 60 286 54 282 48 279 51 276 40934 39488 54 288 49 289 43 279 44 274 39488 38134 50 293 46 288 46 288 40 270 38134 36836 49 295 46 288 44 288 40 271 36836 35535 51 290 46 287 40 280 43 278 35535 34208 60 282 48 283 46 284 43 287 34208 32861 68 277 58 283 46 295 41 288 32861 31482 70 275 64 285 42 293 42 286 31482 30064 69 275 66 284 44 286 45 285 30064 28609 67 276 67 282 51 282 51 285 28609 27122 62 281 68 281 58 281 58 285 27122 25608 57 285 66 282 61 282 59 284 25608 24071 52 286 61 282 59 283 57 284 24071 22504 48 284 55 279 56 283 55 284 22504 20899 47 282 51 276 53 283 53 284 20899 19282 46 281 49 275 51 282 51 284 19282 17733 44 281 47 276 49 281 48 283 17733 16325 42 281 44 276 45 280 45 283 16325 15066 39 279 41 277 41 280 42 283 15066 13935 36 276 38 277 37 280 39 284 13935 12912 34 274 35 278 34 280 37 285 12912 11986 32 274 32 278 31 280 35 285 11986 11147 30 276 29 279 29 280 33 285 11147 10391 27 278 26 280 26 279 31 286 10391 9708 25 281 23*282 23 279 28 286 9708 9083 22 283 20*285 20 280 25 286 9083 8520 18 284 16 287 17 283 20 287 8520 8042 14 283 13 290 14 289 15 292 8042 7670 9 281 9 291 10 296 10 305 7670 7411 6 279 7 290 7 306 6 342 7411 7253 4*273 6 289 5*314 6*039 7253 7162 1*219 4 289 3*348 5*058 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography