DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 12/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 15.7 - - 18.5 - - 12.6 - - 6.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 31 - - -19 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2627 - - 3135 - - 1643 - - 448 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7143 - - 7143 - - 7143 - - 7143 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11637 - - 12145 - - 10653 - - 9458 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 732 - - 752 - - 801 - - 1232 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 124 - - 204 - - 34 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 33 - - 31 - - 26 - - 24 BL Wind Direction - - - 315 - - 314 - - 326 - - 331 Direction Wind Shear - - - 34 - - 29 - - 31 - - 32 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -30 - - -28 - - -26 - - -37 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 3967 - - 4069 - - 3336 - - 1421 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7670 - - 8077 - - 7318 - - 8037 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 1134 - - 1525 - - 255 - - -3255 ODpotential blCL - - - 10503 - - 10620 - - 10398 - - 12713 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 86 - - 84 - - 78 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 15.7 - - 18.5 - - 12.6 - - 6.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 7.7 - - 8.7 - - 6.2 - - -2.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 20.3 - - 22.1 - - 19.4 - - 14.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 6.8 - - 7.6 - - 5.9 - - 1.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 7 - - 31 - - -19 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2627 - - 3135 - - 1643 - - 448 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 54 - - 44 - - 35 - - 13 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96293 29 018 37 054 46 041 37 054 96293 89231 19 032 21 041 22 004 24 023 89231 83749 21 031 10 044 12 031 18 009 83749 79157 8 341 4 347 12 353 11 070 79157 75146 8 281 9 329 6 345 10 001 75146 71575 15 261 21 284 12 346 11 337 71575 68323 12 226 23 267 22 282 14 314 68323 65310 7 227 17 275 20 277 12 284 65310 62496 16 257 20 261 17 259 16 270 62496 59755 25 267 28 264 14 260 20 262 59755 56893 34 270 35 270 25 280 24 269 56893 53939 34 261 37 266 31 283 28 280 53939 51131 30 259 27 268 31 278 21 274 51131 48599 27 270 19 276 22 274 24 310 48599 46328 36 281 16 281 20 296 33 317 46328 44277 40 278 28 297 33 305 40 326 44277 42413 40 276 44 297 39 315 46 321 42413 40706 44 284 47 302 47 316 42 316 40706 39122 54 285 53 302 44 314 39 326 39122 37643 55 275 57 300 39 326 49 341 37643 36272 46 277 57 300 47 340 62 347 36272 34984 46 290 52 301 59 344 73 355 34984 33718 51 290 47 306 70 348 92 006 33718 32442 48 287 45 313 80 353 110 009 32442 31150 47 292 46 320 91 358 116 006 31150 29829 48 301 51 328 101 001 114 003 29829 28468 52 307 57 332 104 001 111 005 28468 27073 58 311 62 333 101 001 109 007 27073 25650 64 314 65 333 91 358 103 006 25650 24206 69 315 67 332 79 351 97 003 24206 22746 71 315 67 330 70 343 94 001 22746 21265 71 314 67 329 65 339 93 001 21265 19756 69 312 66 326 62 336 89 360 19756 18246 66 309 64 322 58 333 82 355 18246 16810 63 306 63 319 55 330 75 350 16810 15513 60 305 61 317 53 328 69 346 15513 14359 56 305 59 315 52 325 64 343 14359 13324 52 307 53 314 51 324 59 340 13324 12392 47*310 44*315 49 322 55 337 12392 11549 42*312 38*315 45 323 50 334 11549 10788 40 314 37 315 39*325 46 332 10788 10103 39 315 36 314 35*327 42 331 10103 9485 37 315 34 314 33 326 38*331 9485 8918 35 315 31 313 30 326 35*331 8918 8405 32 316 28 313 27 325 31 331 8405 7968 28 316 25 312 23 325 26 331 7968 7627 23 317 22 312 18 326 20 330 7627 7389 19 317 19 312 14 327 14 330 7389 7243 15 318 16 312 10 329 9 331 7243 7159 8 321 10 312 5 337 3 346 7159 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography