DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 01/30 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 28.8 - - 34.8 - - 32.8 - - 28.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 4 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1690 - - 2383 - - 2395 - - 2117 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 343 - - 267 - - 240 - - 269 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 13 - - 9 - - 14 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 8 - - 1 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -108 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7271 - - 7161 - - 7161 - - 7161 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6319 - - -5081 - - -4232 - - -5206 ODpotential blCL - - - 13481 - - 12243 - - 11394 - - 12368 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 87 - - 88 - - 88 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 28.8 - - 34.8 - - 32.8 - - 28.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.6 - - 28.8 - - 29.6 - - 23.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 35.9 - - 38.8 - - 38.0 - - 37.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.7 - - 27.9 - - 28.7 - - 25.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -5 - - 4 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 74 - - 47 - - 53 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 94588 91 285 102 296 79 307 75 293 94588 87980 75 302 84 303 74 310 63 307 87980 82756 67 310 70 309 67 313 57 319 82756 78351 54 314 56 312 58 315 56 318 78351 74524 39 317 44 305 52 308 55 311 74524 71120 34 319 37 301 46 305 50 315 71120 68012 33 318 35 309 43 314 49 318 68012 65139 36 327 41 320 46 312 47 313 65139 62468 48 317 47 316 43 312 45 311 62468 59865 50 312 46 317 44 314 47 306 59865 57131 54 315 49 319 47 308 49 304 57131 54284 62 304 53 314 50 309 50 302 54284 51563 57 299 47 307 57 311 52 301 51563 49118 55 309 50 312 61 308 52 302 49118 46940 73 307 66 310 64 299 58 306 46940 44983 78 301 78 297 68 297 71 304 44983 43223 72 308 73 295 74 294 79 292 43223 41627 76 318 71 301 75 294 71 289 41627 40145 75 317 73 305 71 296 57 290 40145 38750 66 313 66 307 60 298 55 292 38750 37437 59 310 55 307 51 295 54 295 37437 36180 57 309 47 310 49 292 54 295 36180 34919 57 313 45 312 44 293 52 295 34919 33628 56 318 45 313 43 296 51 295 33628 32311 54 323 46 314 46 296 50 295 32311 30957 50 327 46 316 45 295 49 296 30957 29561 44 327 46 320 42 291 49 298 29561 28124 43 328 44 324 41 286 49 302 28124 26651 45 329 40 324 42 289 47 303 26651 25150 49 324 35 314 43 299 43 303 25150 23628 48 314 38 301 44 307 42 304 23628 22084 44 311 41 299 42 307 43 306 22084 20509 39 314 41 301 41 304 44 304 20509 18925 34 315 38 301 42 299 43 300 18925 17410 28 313 35 299 41 294 40 301 17410 16034 26 310 33 297 39 289 39 301 16034 14807 25 308 32 297 36 288 38 298 14807 13707 24 308 30 297 35 289 36 294 13707 12716 23 308 28 297 33 291 34 291 12716 11820 21 310 27 296 31 292 32 290 11820 11009 20 309 25 295 28 290 30 289 11009 10279 20 307 23 294 25 288 27 287 10279 9619 19 304 20 292 21 284 24 282 9619 9016 18 301 16 291 16 281 20 278 9016 8472 15 298 11 287 12 280 16 273 8472 8011 11 297 7 277 7 277 11 271 8011 7651 7 304 4 250 3 257 6 268 7651 7402 2 340 2 198 2 162 1 263 7402 7249 2*076 2*171 3*127 2*095 7249 7161 3*090 2*163 3*126 2*086 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography