DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 02/05 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 41.4 - - 39.5 - - 34.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 1 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7162 - - 7163 - - 7163 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1976 - - 2675 - - 2437 - - 1758 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 13 - - 15 - - 5 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 118 - - 119 - - 117 - - 274 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 5 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -6 - - 10 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1948 - - -2330 - - -2117 - - -2449 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9110 - - 9494 - - 9281 - - 9611 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11814 - - -11370 - - -11047 - - -11338 ODpotential blCL - - - 18976 - - 18533 - - 18210 - - 18500 blCL maxRH - - - 46 - - 53 - - 55 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 41.4 - - 39.5 - - 34.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.8 - - 25.2 - - 24.4 - - 18.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 47.7 - - 48.4 - - 45.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 21.6 - - 24.1 - - 23.3 - - 21.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -4 - - 1 - - -2 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95989 29 293 33 315 22 312 14 298 95989 89152 13 355 15 343 23 344 10 025 89152 83764 16 026 12 017 19 349 16 039 83764 79231 15 023 14 032 9 006 14 006 79231 75327 13 025 10 026 7 013 11 334 75327 71879 12 022 5 024 8 346 8 340 71879 68730 13 357 10 350 9 337 8 358 68730 65808 9 347 16 332 12 320 10 345 65808 63109 4 020 11 293 14 303 10 328 63109 60523 16 015 10 268 13 279 11 308 60523 57830 21 349 8 316 6 267 9 272 57830 55020 15 336 14 352 4 028 5 245 55020 52319 3 291 14 357 7 004 5 290 52319 49865 2 108 4 014 3 016 4 274 49865 47648 8 087 11 125 8 142 7 179 47648 45623 6 095 12 157 15 164 15 175 45623 43772 7 196 15 194 15 193 15 180 43772 42095 19 227 20 216 17 217 17 198 42095 40564 21 221 19 221 23 217 23 203 40564 39140 18 225 17 225 25 209 24 196 39140 37804 16 228 15 219 23 210 24 194 37804 36526 15 224 15 219 20 216 22 192 36526 35246 16 224 14 220 19 224 21 190 35246 33940 16 224 12 209 15 230 21 191 33940 32611 14 217 13 194 16 225 22 194 32611 31250 11 201 15 181 18 216 23 200 31250 29847 12 183 16 178 20 206 23 205 29847 28406 12 164 17 187 21 202 21 210 28406 26931 9 154 18 192 19 199 19 205 26931 25427 7 156 17 201 17 197 16 197 25427 23898 6 185 16 214 14 203 14 200 23898 22340 6 216 17 226 13 216 12 216 22340 20745 7 239 16 234 10 229 8 225 20745 19138 6 254 12 239 7 215 4 195 19138 17600 4 254 8 232 8 189 8 178 17600 16202 2 191 6 201 11 178 12 174 16202 14955 6 137 8 179 13 174 13 169 14955 13836 11 132 10 175 14 170 14 164 13836 12825 12 131 11 175 15 168 13 162 12825 11909 13 131 12 175 14 165 12 158 11909 11082 13 134 13 173 14 161 11 154 11082 10336 12 142 13 171 13 156 10 148 10336 9663 12 150 12 168 13 149 10 142 9663 9049 11 156 10 163 12 140 9 140 9049 8495 9 157 8 149 11 131 8 141 8495 8026 7 150 6 128 10 125 5 143 8026 7660 4 131 5 109 7 121 2 181 7660 7406 3 090 4 086 4 109 2 261 7406 7251 3*022 3*067 2*070 3*302 7251 7161 3*021 2*054 1*004 3*307 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography