DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/25 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 16.8 - - 24.5 - - 28.6 - - 26.4 - - 21.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -2 - - 43 - - 60 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 111 - - 941 - - 467 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 - - 7144 Hcrit BL Top 7161 - - 9121 - - 9951 - - 9477 - - 7162 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2758 - - 1033 - - 782 - - 996 - - 2236 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 74 - - 169 - - 15 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 240 - - 271 - - 263 - - 275 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 9 - - 11 - - 15 - - 13 Wind Shear Max.Converg 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 9 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2123 - - -781 - - -4 - - 150 - - -1616 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9284 - - 9902 - - 9956 - - 9327 - - 8778 sfcLCL ODpotential -13427 - - -11245 - - -9287 - - -9443 - - -12271 ODpotential blCL 20588 - - 20366 - - 19238 - - 18920 - - 19433 blCL maxRH 73 - - 77 - - 75 - - 92 - - 90 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 16.8 - - 24.5 - - 28.6 - - 26.4 - - 21.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 2.1 - - 6.8 - - 10.6 - - 11.2 - - 8.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.5 - - 27.8 - - 31.8 - - 32.7 - - 29.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 1.2 - - 5.8 - - 9.6 - - 10.1 - - 7.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -2 - - 43 - - 60 - - -2 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 111 - - 941 - - 467 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 8 - - 0 - - 67 - - 61 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96540 41 088 39 089 38 079 40 088 33 081 96540 89439 27 084 23 084 22 081 25 079 26 075 89439 83906 18 069 11 084 10 077 10 069 18 069 83906 79282 10 030 6 120 8 082 2 229 10 025 79282 75270 3 092 2 030 4 057 2 218 5 343 75270 71693 6 052 2 123 5 264 7 323 7 346 71693 68441 8 277 7 347 9 314 7 318 6 345 68441 65440 7 243 11 311 15 315 16 313 10 344 65440 62644 6 324 13 304 19 304 19 306 13 322 62644 59921 20 309 16 315 20 304 21 311 16 313 59921 57091 23 309 26 309 28 307 28 308 29 302 57091 54180 29 315 30 302 34 305 33 304 29 307 54180 51407 36 313 35 315 44 307 39 312 41 323 51407 48923 48 318 45 318 45 310 56 314 55 304 48923 46722 56 313 51 314 54 312 58 300 52 296 46722 44752 63 310 66 316 60 310 63 304 58 312 44752 42982 62 298 75 304 73 305 78 302 74 309 42982 41364 50 326 55 307 73 305 74 296 75 305 41364 39858 89 345 79 341 82 328 70 304 81 311 39858 38447 113 344 109 338 93 330 84 317 91 313 38447 37131 115 342 106 337 91 328 90 317 95 310 37131 35875 109 340 95 336 88 327 90 315 93 306 35875 34617 107 339 87 329 83 322 88 313 88 303 34617 33330 101 335 89 321 81 315 87 312 86 304 33330 32017 87 328 89 318 86 312 86 312 83 305 32017 30670 86 319 87 319 86 313 85 314 76 306 30670 29286 87 314 87 321 79 313 78 311 69 308 29286 27866 79 312 88 322 71 314 71 310 64 311 27866 26413 69 308 81 320 67 316 66 312 63 310 26413 24930 62 304 69 313 64 316 60 315 61 310 24930 23423 56 304 60 308 60 314 57 317 58 311 23423 21887 52 308 52 311 54 309 54 312 54 310 21887 20318 49 311 48 318 48 307 49 305 49 305 20318 18745 46 312 46 319 43 311 44 302 43 301 18745 17246 43 310 43 316 38 314 42 304 39 301 17246 15889 40 308 38 313 36 315 41 307 36 303 15889 14680 36 307 33 311 36 314 38 309 34 304 14680 13596 32 307 28 309 36 311 35 309 33 304 13596 12618 29 308 24 310 33 308 33 308 31 302 12618 11734 25 308 20 310 28 306 30 304 28 299 11734 10936 22 306 17 308 23 303 26 300 26 295 10936 10217 18 302 14 302 19*296 22 294 23 289 10217 9569 13 296 11*292 13*288 18*287 21 284 9569 8977 8 283 8*279 8 278 14*278 18 278 8977 8445 4 249 5 258 6 264 11 269 14 273 8445 7993 4 174 2 194 5 259 8 261 10 269 7993 7641 4 155 2 182 4 255 7 252 6 270 7641 7397 3 137 2 179 4 251 4 237 2 285 7397 7247 2*094 2 178 4 249 3 215 1*059 7247 7161 1*080 2 174 3 247 2 162 3*069 7161 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography