DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/08 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.1 - - 46.0 - - 48.2 - - 46.8 - - 39.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -6 - - 125 - - 163 - - 41 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3092 - - 3246 - - 2619 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 10751 - - 10973 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 12102 - - 12256 - - 11629 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2810 - - 1696 - - 1978 - - 2208 - - 3840 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 330 - - 363 - - 224 - - 11 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 14 - - 15 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 341 - - 302 - - 301 - - 298 - - 319 Direction Wind Shear 19 - - 18 - - 15 - - 14 - - 16 Wind Shear Max.Converg -10 - - 13 - - -12 - - -14 - - -19 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1800 - - 1501 - - 2158 - - 2503 - - -456 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 8962 - - 10602 - - 10099 - - 9126 - - 7620 sfcLCL ODpotential -10608 - - -4141 - - -3305 - - -3170 - - -7135 ODpotential blCL 17770 - - 16243 - - 15561 - - 14799 - - 14298 blCL maxRH 77 - - 69 - - 77 - - 80 - - 69 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.1 - - 46.0 - - 48.2 - - 46.8 - - 39.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.0 - - 24.6 - - 28.8 - - 31.6 - - 30.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.5 - - 48.8 - - 50.8 - - 50.2 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 23.0 - - 23.5 - - 27.7 - - 30.5 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -6 - - 125 - - 163 - - 41 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 3092 - - 3246 - - 2619 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 8 - - 0 - - 6 - - 18 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96265 17 280 10 231 22 241 12 304 19 283 96265 89099 15 323 6 329 16 263 21 299 19 302 89099 83624 20 327 19 318 12 292 18 297 21 301 83624 79070 17 316 19 314 12 308 19 300 22 296 79070 75125 20 316 15 312 21 314 24 303 28 298 75125 71632 26 308 18 296 25 307 26 293 31 302 71632 68460 25 308 23 298 23 308 24 298 28 301 68460 65521 26 312 29 305 24 308 25 301 25 306 65521 62768 29 303 33 302 28 300 27 304 27 300 62768 60086 26 298 29 297 30 291 33 300 29 292 60086 57294 21 308 23 295 31 286 36 298 29 298 57294 54396 25 317 22 300 29 284 35 296 30 303 54396 51620 34 313 25 307 29 284 34 293 31 295 51620 49115 41 308 31 304 30 285 34 288 33 290 49115 46866 47 303 37 299 34 286 35 286 35 289 46866 44827 53 299 43 298 38 288 37 286 36 284 44827 42974 56 295 48 294 42 291 39 287 37 279 42974 41292 59 291 50 291 46 291 44 288 42 279 41292 39757 64 290 57 287 50 288 48 285 50 276 39757 38339 69 286 63 283 51 287 47 285 53 276 38339 37016 70 287 65 283 51 287 47 283 54 275 37016 35756 69 289 62 284 50 286 49 281 53 274 35756 34496 69 291 60 285 50 285 48 280 51 274 34496 33214 67 292 61 286 50 284 45 280 48 273 33214 31914 63 293 60 287 50 284 45 278 45 272 31914 30583 60 295 58 288 49 282 44 276 44 272 30583 29214 58 298 54 290 48 282 42 275 42 274 29214 27813 55 301 52 293 46 282 39 275 39 276 27813 26382 48 301 50 297 43 282 38 274 35 278 26382 24925 41 297 48 297 41 282 37 272 31 280 24925 23445 37 295 45 295 41 282 37 270 29 280 23445 21937 35 294 42 294 40 283 37 271 29 277 21937 20396 35 295 40 295 39 288 36 276 29 275 20396 18846 34 296 37 296 38 293 35 281 29 275 18846 17364 32 297 34 298 35 295 32 284 27 278 17364 16016 31 300 31 300 32 296 29 287 25 283 16016 14811 31 303 29 302 29 298 27 289 24 287 14811 13725 31 307 27 305 27 301 25 291 23 290 13725 12742 32 311 24*307 25*304 24 292 22 293 12742 11849 32 314 21*309 22*306 22*294 22 296 11849 11039 32 317 17 309 19 306 21*295 22 300 11039 10307 31 320 12 308 15 303 18 296 22 303 10307 9645 28 324 8 302 13 299 17 297 21 305 9645 9038 24 328 7 294 13 298 14 299 20 307 9038 8490 19 333 6 287 13 297 14 299 19 311 8490 8024 13 340 5 286 12 296 13 300 17 316 8024 7660 8 347 5 283 12 295 12 300 13 322 7660 7407 4 356 5 280 11 294 11 300 9 328 7407 7251 1*008 4 280 10 294 10 300 7*332 7251 7162 1*132 4 279 8 293 7 299 3*343 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography