DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 41.6 - - 50.9 - - 55.8 - - 52.8 - - 42.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -8 - - 114 - - 200 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1330 - - 3571 - - 2630 - - 362 BL Depth Hcrit 7145 - - 9363 - - 11242 - - 7146 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7163 - - 10340 - - 12581 - - 11640 - - 9372 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2397 - - 2272 - - 1382 - - 1442 - - 1333 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 233 - - 383 - - 44 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 074 - - 184 - - 216 - - 205 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 6 - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 10 - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4109 - - -1056 - - -679 - - -974 - - -730 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11272 - - 11396 - - 13261 - - 12615 - - 10102 sfcLCL ODpotential -12617 - - -7715 - - -6266 - - -7143 - - -8049 ODpotential blCL 19780 - - 18055 - - 18847 - - 18783 - - 17421 blCL maxRH 59 - - 78 - - 71 - - 64 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 41.6 - - 50.9 - - 55.8 - - 52.8 - - 42.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.0 - - 26.1 - - 22.7 - - 22.7 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.2 - - 53.8 - - 58.1 - - 57.0 - - 52.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.0 - - 25.0 - - 22.0 - - 22.3 - - 23.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -8 - - 114 - - 200 - - -4 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1330 - - 3571 - - 2630 - - 362 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97521 5 353 12 272 14 285 18 323 10 317 97521 90229 11 004 5 228 8 281 10 299 16 274 90229 84623 13 309 11 297 17 303 14 333 5 337 84623 79954 8 352 4 296 18 255 24 292 20 316 79954 75937 29 322 17 002 4 255 20 276 26 286 75937 72431 29 286 26 305 11 347 7 296 17 271 72431 69253 19 278 27 279 17 315 11 301 14 274 69253 66304 28 292 28 276 23 285 19 287 16 286 66304 63554 30 279 29 272 31 270 27 278 20 284 63554 60881 26 277 30 269 36 268 38 273 29 279 60881 58098 30 282 32 265 39 264 42 268 38 273 58098 55225 38 273 33 265 36 263 41 266 42 265 55225 52490 41 273 38 279 42 275 46 275 43 268 52490 50027 48 273 49 281 52 274 50 273 50 271 50027 47812 51 269 51 275 49 277 53 277 53 274 47812 45794 51 268 47 275 51 282 57 277 58 276 45794 43938 52 268 47 274 50 280 52 276 56 273 43938 42217 52 266 48 274 49 278 44 277 49 271 42217 40612 49 264 46 274 49 278 44 277 46 272 40612 39114 46 262 45 277 46 279 44 279 45 271 39114 37729 42 260 48 276 45 278 42 283 40 275 37729 36428 39 262 48 274 46 278 40 286 36 280 36428 35144 38 266 46 269 45 276 39 284 35 282 35144 33839 37 268 43 270 42 273 38 280 35 282 33839 32515 36 270 42 274 38 272 37 278 34 285 32515 31158 34 271 39 274 36 270 34 277 34 287 31158 29761 34 269 36 271 37 268 33 271 31 286 29761 28325 35 264 35 268 36 267 32 269 29 280 28325 26855 36 261 35 265 35 269 31 273 30 276 26855 25357 34 262 33 266 33 274 28 277 28 278 25357 23834 29 263 29 265 30 278 25 280 23 276 23834 22283 26 264 27 264 27 279 24 281 21 272 22283 20698 25 264 24 263 24 276 22 278 19 269 20698 19103 23 262 22 264 22 271 20 272 18 264 19103 17578 21 259 19 265 21 269 19 270 18 260 17578 16191 18 259 17 263 19 269 17 270 17 259 16191 14952 16 259 15 259 17 267 16 269 16 256 14952 13839 14 258 14 251 15 264 14 268 15 251 13839 12833 13 252 14 240 13*259 12 265 15 246 12833 11921 12 242 14 230 12*252 9*260 15 241 11921 11095 12 232 14 224 9 237 6*248 13 235 11095 10351 12 224 14*221 8 226 6 230 11 227 10351 9678 12 218 12*215 8 217 7 209 9*214 9678 9063 10 208 9 200 8 203 8 198 7*188 9063 8508 8 198 6 169 8 199 8 194 8 171 8508 8035 5 175 6 166 8 195 8 192 9 166 8035 7667 3 143 6 166 8 193 8 191 8 165 7667 7410 3 083 6 166 8 192 8 190 5 156 7410 7252 4*040 5 165 7 191 7 189 3 138 7252 7162 3*030 5 166 6 190 5 189 1 105 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography