DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/24 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.3 - - 61.1 - - 65.1 - - 64.9 - - 57.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 9 - - 134 - - 309 - - 162 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1907 - - 8662 - - 9992 - - 7987 - - 3862 BL Depth Hcrit 7146 - - 14978 - - 16524 - - 14535 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top 10917 - - 17672 - - 19002 - - 16997 - - 12872 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 5160 - - 2072 - - 1407 - - 2516 - - 4118 Hgt.Variab. W* 133 - - 471 - - 631 - - 476 - - 29 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 19 - - 17 - - 17 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 258 - - 256 - - 267 - - 274 - - 282 Direction Wind Shear 17 - - 22 - - 12 - - 13 - - 21 Wind Shear Max.Converg 21 - - 18 - - 6 - - 5 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1718 - - 7000 - - 5980 - - 3199 - - 987 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9200 - - 10673 - - 13023 - - 13799 - - 11886 sfcLCL ODpotential -2104 - - 2846 - - 2812 - - -354 - - -4113 ODpotential blCL 13021 - - 14826 - - 16190 - - 17351 - - 16985 blCL maxRH 98 - - 80 - - 72 - - 54 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 200 - - 610 - - 290 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.3 - - 61.1 - - 65.1 - - 64.9 - - 57.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 38.7 - - 39.0 - - 32.6 - - 29.1 - - 30.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 58.1 - - 63.9 - - 66.9 - - 67.6 - - 64.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 37.5 - - 37.7 - - 31.4 - - 27.9 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 9 - - 134 - - 309 - - 162 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1907 - - 8662 - - 9992 - - 7987 - - 3862 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 92 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98544 18 127 12 116 12 123 16 123 9 140 98544 91083 14 092 11 136 7 180 3 128 12 092 91083 85344 10 089 12 136 5 201 5 093 8 131 85344 80599 8 121 7 123 7 183 2 062 6 120 80599 76504 6 148 5 168 12 161 5 233 7 081 76504 72849 6 177 8 187 12 140 9 217 5 060 72849 69515 10 189 12 205 6 144 7 201 2 124 69515 66441 9 166 11 194 1 349 7 175 3 171 66441 63592 7 237 10 206 8 270 2 209 3 225 63592 60839 7 246 5 207 14 239 5 261 5 257 60839 57976 13 273 8 287 13 235 11 272 4 258 57976 55016 12 258 11 274 10 259 18 266 14 275 55016 52204 18 276 19 273 16 280 20 266 19 271 52204 49684 22 272 20 268 21 274 23 275 21 272 49684 47443 28 282 25 274 22 272 24 277 22 269 47443 45427 40 280 36 277 27 275 27 277 20 275 45427 43602 49 273 46 275 37 273 32 268 23 280 43602 41938 52 270 49 276 41 269 38 259 30 274 41938 40406 51 270 50 276 44 275 36 258 35 268 40406 38982 44 273 47 273 49 277 37 272 35 268 38982 37653 39 277 44 273 47 275 41 278 31 272 37653 36387 39 279 43 273 43 274 40 278 27 279 36387 35120 39 282 41 271 40 274 37 278 23 283 35120 33826 38 282 39 269 38 273 33 281 18 288 33826 32509 36 279 37 272 36 274 29 285 14 289 32509 31161 36 278 34 275 34 275 26 287 10 282 31161 29772 36 279 32 274 33 275 23 287 7 279 29772 28346 35 280 31 274 31 275 22 286 5 273 28346 26885 36 280 31 277 28 275 23 282 6 269 26885 25394 35 278 31 281 26 275 23 276 11 283 25394 23878 34 276 32 283 26 276 23 273 15 281 23878 22334 32 273 32 281 28 276 23 272 19 270 22334 20757 29 269 32 276 30 276 24 272 23 264 20757 19173 30 270 29*273 26*276 24 272 25 266 19173 17658 30 271 27*270 21*274 24*272 27 265 17658 16279 29 268 26 267 19 271 22*274 27 262 16279 15043 26 264 25 263 18 269 18 275 27 260 15043 13929 23 260 25 259 18 267 16 276 27 261 13929 12919 22 256 22 255 17 267 16 276 25*263 12919 12000 20 255 19 251 17 266 16 275 23*268 12000 11167 19*256 17 248 17 266 16 275 21 273 11167 10414 17*256 15 246 17 265 17 275 18 279 10414 9731 16 255 13 243 17 265 16 274 14 286 9731 9105 15 255 13 242 17 265 16 274 12 293 9105 8539 13 258 12 240 16 264 16 273 11 296 8539 8057 9 261 11 239 16 263 15 273 10 297 8057 7679 5 268 10 239 15 263 15 272 9 297 7679 7417 3 285 10 238 14 263 14 271 7 296 7417 7255 2 303 9 237 13 262 13 271 5 295 7255 7163 1 335 7 236 10 262 9 270 3 295 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography