DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 64.0 - - 65.1 - - 57.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 368 - - 127 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2779 - - 5051 - - 6054 - - 2413 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10794 - - 12636 - - 12892 - - 7146 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11789 - - 14061 - - 15064 - - 11423 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1795 - - 2429 - - 2384 - - 4710 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 402 - - 531 - - 401 - - 26 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 9 - - 12 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 217 - - 235 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 12 - - 15 - - 22 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 15 - - 18 - - 13 - - 9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -696 - - -1141 - - -2250 - - -4496 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 12486 - - 15203 - - 17315 - - 15920 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6731 - - -6423 - - -7896 - - -11954 ODpotential blCL - - - 18520 - - 20484 - - 22960 - - 23377 blCL maxRH - - - 61 - - 64 - - 73 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 64.0 - - 65.1 - - 57.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.4 - - 22.2 - - 14.0 - - 12.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 65.6 - - 67.8 - - 66.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.2 - - 21.1 - - 12.8 - - 11.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 285 - - 368 - - 127 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2779 - - 5051 - - 6054 - - 2413 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97764 16 179 5 232 2 073 16 133 97764 90358 15 147 11 157 4 181 6 142 90358 84691 14 124 15 153 3 173 6 123 84691 79995 9 113 13 141 2 221 6 107 79995 75941 7 124 7 129 2 253 5 044 75941 72361 6 143 5 177 2 231 3 012 72361 69122 4 022 3 160 2 301 2 311 69122 66133 5 337 4 327 7 302 6 301 66133 63353 6 325 8 302 8 297 7 300 63353 60665 10 288 15 274 12 296 10 300 60665 57876 13 292 15 272 17 288 15 289 57876 54998 21 294 22 283 25 285 23 291 54998 52258 24 304 23 290 29 279 27 281 52258 49789 36 310 30 298 31 279 36 275 49789 47582 43 303 38 297 39 282 45 271 47582 45600 45 300 46 296 45 285 49 273 45600 43811 47 299 52 294 52 288 54 282 43811 42176 48 300 54 293 55 287 57 285 42176 40655 47 300 51 289 51 284 52 280 40655 39226 48 298 48 288 46 283 48 277 39226 37884 50 298 48 290 45 284 47 277 37884 36600 53 296 50 291 45 284 48 278 36600 35317 52 295 50 291 46 284 50 278 35317 34008 48 295 48 290 47 283 50 277 34008 32677 44 296 44 288 46 282 49 276 32677 31314 40 297 41 287 43 281 47 275 31314 29912 35 297 38 288 41 282 44 276 29912 28474 29 297 34 289 38 284 40 279 28474 27004 24 293 29 289 34 285 37 281 27004 25505 23 292 26 284 30 285 35 280 25505 23981 24 297 25 280 25 285 31 274 23981 22427 25 301 23 282 22 282 28 264 22427 20837 24 300 21 285 22 277 28 261 20837 19239 20 295 19 286 22 274 27 262 19239 17710 18 290 17 282 21 273 27 261 17710 16321 17 287 15 275 20*269 29 257 16321 15077 16 288 14*270 19*262 30 254 15077 13956 14 291 13*265 16 256 30 252 13956 12940 11 291 10 250 12 239 28 251 12940 12017 7*282 9 223 11 230 25*251 12017 11179 5*248 9 211 11 227 22*251 11179 10422 6 210 10 208 11 224 17 248 10422 9736 7 193 10 205 11 222 13 243 9736 9108 8 191 10 202 11 220 9 228 9108 8540 8 190 10 202 10 218 7 213 8540 8057 8 190 10 200 10 217 6 203 8057 7680 8 189 10 198 10 216 6 196 7680 7417 7 189 10 198 9 215 4 187 7417 7256 7 189 9 197 9 215 3 169 7256 7163 6 189 8 197 7 213 2 157 7163 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography