DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/27 SunValley_ID 9010ft pt41923@43.686,-114.391,7241ft SPONSORED BY: Sun Valley Paragliding Club BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +4.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1856z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 28.1 - - 39.6 - - 44.7 - - 44.7 - - 37.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -11 - - 71 - - 91 - - 9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 505 - - 1359 - - 1401 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7144 - - 7144 - - 7145 - - 7145 - - 7145 Hcrit BL Top 7162 - - 9515 - - 10369 - - 10411 - - 7163 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2016 - - 797 - - 961 - - 1048 - - 2780 Hgt.Variab. W* 12 - - 148 - - 223 - - 118 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 114 - - 154 - - 180 - - 175 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear 11 - - 5 - - 9 - - 10 - - 9 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 - - 10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4155 - - -1337 - - -1270 - - -2724 - - -5508 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11318 - - 10852 - - 11640 - - 13135 - - 12672 sfcLCL ODpotential -13712 - - -8531 - - -8520 - - -10905 - - -15018 ODpotential blCL 20874 - - 18046 - - 18889 - - 21316 - - 22181 blCL maxRH 76 - - 76 - - 72 - - 62 - - 64 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 28.1 - - 39.6 - - 44.7 - - 44.7 - - 37.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 4.7 - - 17.6 - - 19.2 - - 12.7 - - 7.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 36.1 - - 42.8 - - 47.9 - - 50.2 - - 47.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 4.2 - - 16.5 - - 18.0 - - 11.5 - - 6.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -11 - - 71 - - 91 - - 9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 505 - - 1359 - - 1401 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96127 22 284 18 285 22 292 16 286 21 295 96127 88957 21 270 23 272 28 290 25 302 15 315 88957 83442 28 302 22 280 26 284 30 305 26 316 83442 78901 40 297 32 296 28 285 30 290 32 304 78901 75001 42 286 39 295 34 291 29 287 32 297 75001 71546 37 288 40 292 40 292 35 297 35 300 71546 68411 36 290 39 288 40 290 39 294 39 302 68411 65524 39 292 37 286 39 287 40 294 38 302 65524 62840 44 291 40 285 44 285 44 295 40 299 62840 60234 49 282 46 280 48 280 50 291 43 293 60234 57498 55 283 51 279 56 276 54 285 52 285 57498 54648 68 282 63 277 69 274 68 278 65 276 54648 51925 77 277 73 274 77 276 74 278 71 278 51925 49463 84 278 79 275 82 276 81 279 77 278 49463 47249 87 277 83 275 86 273 89 275 80 275 47249 45246 86 274 86 274 89 272 92 272 83 272 45246 43427 86 275 85 273 88 271 85 271 78 270 43427 41767 85 274 84 272 81 270 78 269 68 272 41767 40241 86 274 81 274 70 271 68 268 61 272 40241 38824 85 272 81 274 69 274 63 271 59 272 38824 37498 82 271 81 272 74 275 60 274 59 272 37498 36231 78 270 78 271 74 274 54 277 56 272 36231 34963 74 271 74 271 71 273 49 280 46 268 34963 33670 70 274 71 271 68 275 48 278 43 270 33670 32353 65 280 68 273 65 276 48 277 46 280 32353 31003 62 282 65 276 59 277 46 283 48 285 31003 29611 59 280 62 275 56 277 47 296 47 285 29611 28181 56 280 58 272 56 279 47 300 43 282 28181 26717 54 282 52 273 54 280 45 287 39 275 26717 25223 53 283 47 277 50 279 49 281 40 270 25223 23706 52 283 45 279 42 278 47 283 42 275 23706 22162 48 282 43 279 38 280 40 284 40 280 22162 20587 41 280 38 279 35 280 34 281 36 279 20587 19007 33 278 31 272 30 275 30 274 31 275 19007 17496 27 276 26 263 27 265 26 266 27 270 17496 16124 23 276 22 258 25 256 24 259 24 266 16124 14895 21 276 18 257 24 249 23 253 24 262 14895 13789 19 276 15 255 22 243 21 248 23 256 13789 12788 17 274 13 247 20 236 20 243 21 249 12788 11881 13 269 12 231 18 229 18 237 20 242 11881 11061 9 253 11 214 16*220 16*229 19 234 11061 10321 7 217 11 196 13*205 12*209 17 226 10321 9653 7 188 10*178 11 185 10 183 14 216 9653 9043 9 169 10*159 10 176 10 169 10 196 9043 8493 9 159 9 153 9 172 10 166 8 166 8493 8025 9 145 8 152 8 172 9 164 8 150 8025 7661 6 127 7 153 7 173 8 163 7 140 7661 7407 4 088 6 153 6 173 6 162 5 123 7407 7251 4*042 5 154 6 174 5 161 4*096 7251 7162 3*016 4 155 5 174 3 163 2*070 7162 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography