DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.8 - - 64.3 - - - - - 46.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 311 - - - - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1574 - - 3702 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7994 - - 9708 - - - - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 8781 - - 10910 - - - - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1457 - - 2823 - - - - - 95 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 294 - - 448 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 11 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 264 - - - - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -32 - - -22 - - - - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -8200 - - -6640 - - - - - -3030 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16982 - - 17551 - - - - - 10253 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15332 - - -12802 - - - - - -10152 ODpotential blCL - - - 24113 - - 23712 - - - - - 17375 blCL maxRH - - - 56 - - 54 - - - - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.8 - - 64.3 - - - - - 46.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 11.9 - - 12.5 - - - - - 26.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 59.3 - - 62.4 - - - - - 49.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 11.5 - - 12.0 - - - - - 26.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 208 - - 311 - - - - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1574 - - 3702 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97685 15 276 18 286 16 278 97685 90407 11 295 17 295 7 293 90407 84783 9 277 15 274 13 307 84783 80122 11 305 12 277 13 296 80122 76115 10 301 14 294 14 292 76115 72570 3 277 11 260 13 294 72570 69357 14 303 11 288 15 315 69357 66414 16 275 13 273 15 286 66414 63688 10 275 9 260 13 271 63688 61044 21 286 21 286 24 294 61044 58303 28 266 33 273 32 282 58303 55473 26 256 30 262 28 277 55473 52765 31 270 31 270 31 283 52765 50316 37 273 36 270 36 280 50316 48107 38 276 39 271 40 276 48107 46093 35 279 40 277 41 275 46093 44248 29 283 38 280 39 273 44248 42553 23 278 30 279 38 279 42553 40988 15 274 23 277 34 279 40988 39532 8 280 13 273 30 275 39532 38170 6 303 8 288 27 273 38170 36868 5 296 8 310 24 276 36868 35566 4 307 7 310 19 278 35566 34238 6 353 4 347 16 277 34238 32889 9 352 6 003 15 288 32889 31509 3 034 3 356 13 299 31509 30088 5 106 3 115 12 306 30088 28633 8 125 6 132 12 310 28633 27145 11 113 7 116 9 315 27145 25628 11 103 8 100 4 356 25628 24086 14 124 12 112 5 005 24086 22513 19 136 13 138 2 313 22513 20902 17 148 8 182 5 298 20902 19285 12 162 10 224 7 291 19285 17746 10 178 10 234 9 279 17746 16351 8 198 8 254 7 276 16351 15104 6 228 6 288 8 290 15104 13983 4 275 6 311 10 298 13983 12967 5 310 7 316 12 302 12967 12044 7 318 7 309 12 303 12044 11209 9 317 8*283 12 300 11209 10454 11 306 10*269 12 294 10454 9772 13 292 11 266 13 285 9772 9148 14*276 12 264 14 275 9148 8584 14*263 12 264 14 266 8584 8106 14 259 12 263 15 258 8106 7733 14 258 12 263 15 257 7733 7473 13 257 11 262 13 257 7473 7315 11 256 10 262 10*257 7315 7223 8 256 8 262 5*258 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography