DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.9 - - 48.9 - - 55.5 - - 51.9 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 56 - - 198 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 569 - - 2481 - - 1085 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 8632 - - 7207 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7776 - - 9688 - - 8292 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 329 - - 1188 - - 1635 - - 1279 - - 391 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 137 - - 338 - - 75 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 11 - - 10 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 7 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 252 - - 124 - - 064 - - 090 - - 257 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -18 - - 1 - - 9 - - 11 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4178 - - -6236 - - -5254 - - -5729 - - -3849 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11401 - - 14012 - - 14942 - - 14021 - - 11073 sfcLCL ODpotential -15109 - - -14532 - - -11760 - - -12406 - - -12763 ODpotential blCL 22332 - - 22308 - - 21448 - - 20698 - - 19986 blCL maxRH 86 - - 80 - - 75 - - 70 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.9 - - 48.9 - - 55.5 - - 51.9 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.2 - - 13.4 - - 15.5 - - 16.2 - - 17.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 40.6 - - 48.4 - - 54.0 - - 51.9 - - 45.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.9 - - 12.7 - - 14.8 - - 15.9 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 56 - - 198 - - 4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 569 - - 2481 - - 1085 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 45 - - 19 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96134 36 299 33 290 40 287 40 287 43 282 96134 89210 21 299 20 293 22 292 23 295 23 292 89210 83819 10 288 9 311 15 278 12 305 14 295 83819 79319 3 351 8 319 10 269 7 305 8 293 79319 75432 6 354 5 291 7 261 7 328 5 277 75432 71979 10 322 4 292 12 288 12 302 10 303 71979 68844 13 310 4 289 10 278 12 288 14 309 68844 65957 18 317 11 338 9 329 13 277 12 296 65957 63268 19 317 16 333 10 324 12 292 16 316 63268 60661 18 327 15 336 12 337 16 296 22 298 60661 57953 18 335 16 344 15 335 18 302 22 303 57953 55150 26 352 21 344 19 318 22 310 25 307 55150 52479 36 355 26 342 17 330 25 324 28 314 52479 50078 39 347 32 347 35 343 30 327 27 303 50078 47915 46 356 39 349 36 347 26 331 23 310 47915 45939 53 355 45 352 42 349 38 333 36 321 45939 44124 53 005 49 351 48 340 50 331 49 328 44124 42447 62 006 50 350 46 337 54 329 56 332 42447 40890 66 005 48 352 43 341 48 326 50 333 40890 39434 60 005 47 352 41 345 41 330 45 332 39434 38072 51 005 44 348 39 345 41 333 46 332 38072 36772 44 007 43 346 38 343 41 332 46 332 36772 35472 41 009 42 344 36 342 39 333 43 334 35472 34147 42 004 37 341 32 346 35 335 40 334 34147 32801 44 359 32 341 30 342 29 336 35 333 32801 31425 43 360 28 342 28 332 23 332 28 328 31425 30008 38 003 28 340 27 322 22 328 21 325 30008 28556 36 001 28 337 28 318 20 320 20 323 28556 27070 34 359 26 335 25 321 21 313 21 323 27070 25557 30 356 23 338 23 324 20 309 20 322 25557 24024 27 001 20 341 19 320 19 310 18 318 24024 22465 26 015 18 341 17 316 20 318 17 318 22465 20870 23 011 18 339 19 320 22 329 17 327 20870 19264 24 357 21 337 21 331 24 340 17 341 19264 17727 25 354 23 344 22 341 24 347 18 353 17727 16330 24 358 24 354 21 351 23 353 17 002 16330 15080 22 001 22 004 19 000 21 359 16 009 15080 13957 20 006 20 010 17 007 18 006 15 016 13957 12940 18 011 17 012 14 011 16 016 14 023 12940 12019 18 016 14 012 12 014 15 025 14 031 12019 11184 16 021 13 014 10 021 13 032 14 039 11184 10431 14 027 11 016 7 033 10 039 13 048 10431 9752 12 036 9 022 6*056 8 049 12 057 9752 9130 10 052 6 034 6*062 7 081 11 069 9130 8570 9 076 4 062 6 064 7*093 11 087 8570 8095 10 097 4*100 6 064 8*092 12 102 8095 7726 10 112 3*117 6 065 8 091 12 114 7726 7470 7 124 2 128 6 065 7 089 10 122 7470 7313 5*138 2 127 6 064 6 088 7*130 7313 7223 3*252 2 126 5 065 4 087 2*257 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography