DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/05 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 54.7 - - 52.8 - - 45.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 401 - - 233 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3208 - - 4630 - - 3229 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9226 - - 10524 - - 9244 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10414 - - 11838 - - 10436 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1085 - - 984 - - 1411 - - 2243 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 388 - - 527 - - 389 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 23 - - 21 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 216 - - 222 - - 233 - - 247 Direction Wind Shear - - - 16 - - 15 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -47 - - -36 - - -35 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 2843 - - 2175 - - 1209 - - -315 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7571 - - 9664 - - 9227 - - 7539 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 550 - - 242 - - -609 - - -6024 ODpotential blCL - - - 9864 - - 11596 - - 11045 - - 13247 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 82 - - 79 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 40 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 49.7 - - 54.7 - - 52.8 - - 45.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 41.4 - - 37.2 - - 37.2 - - 37.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.6 - - 52.7 - - 51.5 - - 46.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.5 - - 36.9 - - 37.1 - - 37.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 222 - - 401 - - 233 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3208 - - 4630 - - 3229 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 56 - - 27 - - 17 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98911 4 087 5 069 7 085 5 110 98911 91509 15 132 8 135 6 154 6 009 91509 85781 13 115 13 135 7 133 8 065 85781 81015 14 132 15 145 5 104 11 077 81015 76912 15 124 12 154 5 119 8 066 76912 73291 17 107 10 121 7 148 7 108 73291 70011 4 088 11 129 7 149 4 153 70011 66990 1 316 1 195 2 150 2 193 66990 64190 2 207 2 192 5 230 9 234 64190 61491 11 222 13 235 4 222 6 175 61491 58644 24 215 21 219 15 244 9 242 58644 55656 23 228 28 228 36 234 39 238 55656 52826 29 244 37 238 43 237 47 238 52826 50297 37 246 44 246 50 248 51 247 50297 48036 45 247 53 246 57 248 56 250 48036 45980 52 245 56 245 60 245 64 250 45980 44095 58 242 61 245 68 246 74 249 44095 42354 63 241 71 245 75 246 81 246 42354 40740 73 243 76 242 77 246 81 242 40740 39238 79 239 78 240 81 247 79 243 39238 37841 78 237 79 240 85 246 82 246 37841 36521 79 236 79 240 83 244 83 247 36521 35218 79 234 76 238 80 241 82 246 35218 33901 76 232 73 236 78 239 81 245 33901 32568 69 232 72 236 78 239 77 244 32568 31205 63 234 71 236 75 238 73 243 31205 29803 59 237 69 237 73 238 69 242 29803 28365 55 238 66 237 70 240 66 244 28365 26896 50 237 62 237 69 240 62 246 26896 25397 47 236 59 237 67 239 60 245 25397 23871 44 234 56 235 65 237 59 244 23871 22317 42 231 52 231 62 235 54 244 22317 20727 41 229 49 226 57 232 48 244 20727 19129 40 229 45 223 51 229 43 241 19129 17603 38 230 43 223 45 226 39 238 17603 16220 36 230 41 223 40 223 38 234 16220 14985 34 229 40 223 38 219 37 230 14985 13875 31 229 38 219 38 215 36 226 13875 12871 28 228 31 217 39 211 38 224 12871 11962 25 223 27*215 34 211 41 221 11962 11139 26*217 26*215 27*217 43 218 11139 10398 27*215 25 216 24*221 40 218 10398 9728 26 215 23 219 22 228 33 222 9728 9116 26 215 22 224 21 233 25 231 9116 8563 24 216 21 226 21 236 20 240 8563 8093 21 217 20 227 20 238 18 245 8093 7726 20 218 19 228 19 239 16 246 7726 7470 18 218 18 229 18 239 13 246 7470 7313 15 219 16 229 16 240 10*246 7313 7223 10 219 11 229 10 241 6*247 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography