DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/05 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 66.6 - - 65.1 - - 57.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 388 - - 230 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3588 - - 4596 - - 2940 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9616 - - 10498 - - 9043 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10795 - - 11804 - - 10148 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1525 - - 1685 - - 1722 - - 2047 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 442 - - 526 - - 382 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 8 - - 6 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 219 - - 242 - - 251 - - 266 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -13 - - -26 - - -30 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3486 - - -2912 - - -4141 - - -5061 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14282 - - 14717 - - 14290 - - 12285 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10174 - - -8822 - - -9933 - - -10921 ODpotential blCL - - - 20969 - - 20626 - - 20081 - - 18145 blCL maxRH - - - 39 - - 34 - - 36 - - 30 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 62.5 - - 66.6 - - 65.1 - - 57.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 25.1 - - 27.1 - - 27.7 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 60.6 - - 64.3 - - 63.5 - - 58.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 24.0 - - 26.0 - - 26.5 - - 28.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 294 - - 388 - - 230 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3588 - - 4596 - - 2940 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99169 40 105 40 113 37 119 32 100 99169 91674 29 098 36 105 33 109 35 107 91674 85908 25 120 27 092 30 104 31 104 85908 81135 28 116 21 112 27 099 25 103 81135 77016 27 115 24 127 19 099 21 093 77016 73379 22 112 20 114 19 108 14 109 73379 70101 11 117 15 106 15 110 13 113 70101 67094 12 135 9 149 12 088 11 098 67094 64314 6 127 6 154 2 092 3 106 64314 61629 5 206 6 140 3 178 1 228 61629 58831 15 216 13 220 9 233 6 251 58831 55921 15 218 20 223 20 241 17 265 55921 53134 24 250 27 233 30 244 27 252 53134 50618 34 255 32 247 35 246 34 249 50618 48358 39 253 35 250 37 246 37 245 48358 46306 40 249 38 250 37 250 35 245 46306 44431 38 250 35 249 37 247 34 249 44431 42712 34 251 29 251 29 242 31 248 42712 41127 30 248 26 252 21 243 25 241 41127 39658 25 244 25 252 17 234 17 241 39658 38291 22 243 25 253 16 222 15 231 38291 36993 20 250 22 255 15 219 15 207 36993 35698 20 255 19 255 14 225 14 197 35698 34376 20 258 19 256 14 232 15 192 34376 33033 22 260 20 258 15 237 13 189 33033 31656 23 262 20 261 16 241 13 201 31656 30238 23 264 22 261 17 246 12 217 30238 28781 23 264 24 262 18 249 12 234 28781 27289 24 263 27 262 20 250 14 246 27289 25767 26 262 28 259 21 247 18 241 25767 24217 27 262 27 255 20 245 19 236 24217 22638 25 264 24 250 18 241 17 232 22638 21023 22 266 21 246 17 238 14 229 21023 19400 18 269 18 243 15 234 12 219 19400 17850 17 269 16 244 15 227 14 199 17850 16441 17 265 16 246 15 221 18 185 16441 15181 18 259 17 247 15 216 19 180 15181 14047 19 253 17 245 15 215 17 181 14047 13019 19 246 16 241 15 217 16 188 13019 12086 18 239 13*239 15 219 16 199 12086 11242 16*229 12*238 13 225 17 210 11242 10480 13*220 12 239 12*238 17 217 10480 9791 12 219 12 241 12*245 14 222 9791 9162 12 218 12 242 12 249 10 239 9162 8595 12 219 13 243 13 251 9 262 8595 8114 11 218 12 244 13 252 9 267 8114 7739 10 218 12 245 12 253 9 267 7739 7477 9 218 11 245 12 253 8 267 7477 7316 8 217 10 245 11 254 7*267 7316 7224 6 216 8 245 8 253 4*266 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography