DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/03 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.7 - - 63.7 - - 64.5 - - 61.7 - - 54.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 218 - - 373 - - 227 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2551 - - 3413 - - 2231 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 8753 - - 9558 - - 8515 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 9758 - - 10620 - - 9439 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1045 - - 2315 - - 1699 - - 1333 - - 1457 Hgt.Variab. W* 20 - - 364 - - 471 - - 347 - - 15 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 16 - - 21 - - 18 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 254 - - 243 - - 251 - - 261 - - 263 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 11 - - 12 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -8 - - -40 - - -53 - - -45 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4400 - - -4529 - - -2218 - - -1924 - - -1571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 11625 - - 14288 - - 12839 - - 11364 - - 8795 sfcLCL ODpotential -10517 - - -11562 - - -10336 - - -8395 - - -8622 ODpotential blCL 17741 - - 21320 - - 20956 - - 17834 - - 15846 blCL maxRH 97 - - 78 - - 53 - - 46 - - 57 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.7 - - 63.7 - - 64.5 - - 61.7 - - 54.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 29.3 - - 26.3 - - 33.3 - - 37.0 - - 40.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.4 - - 62.3 - - 62.5 - - 60.3 - - 55.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 28.2 - - 25.0 - - 32.1 - - 35.7 - - 40.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 218 - - 373 - - 227 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2551 - - 3413 - - 2231 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 87 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98525 21 107 25 121 18 091 27 092 21 104 98525 91103 21 116 21 116 16 093 22 092 25 095 91103 85408 22 100 22 109 19 107 19 093 25 091 85408 80685 20 085 24 105 20 118 14 104 18 081 80685 76625 17 079 22 098 21 118 11 099 18 089 76625 73036 12 072 18 083 20 104 13 102 18 080 73036 69796 9 074 12 070 16 085 17 096 11 078 69796 66830 8 066 6 049 12 065 16 078 8 065 66830 64082 7 078 2 073 8 022 15 064 10 091 64082 61417 7 017 1 225 9 320 14 355 12 022 61417 58635 8 356 1 240 6 295 13 340 11 354 58635 55762 18 338 15 356 11 337 18 343 18 343 55762 53033 30 328 25 344 25 338 29 338 26 354 53033 50579 34 318 35 330 33 339 34 345 30 348 50579 48379 46 331 44 335 42 343 40 342 40 337 48379 46385 52 338 56 337 50 337 49 326 46 328 46385 44557 54 340 53 332 46 329 52 326 54 326 44557 42860 59 339 51 332 47 321 56 325 63 323 42860 41277 66 335 50 327 45 316 56 321 65 322 41277 39797 63 331 47 326 39 312 53 318 61 321 39797 38417 60 331 46 325 35 311 49 317 56 321 38417 37106 57 329 45 324 34 312 46 317 53 321 37106 35798 56 328 45 323 35 314 45 318 51 321 35798 34466 54 326 46 323 38 317 45 318 48 320 34466 33112 51 325 47 321 42 319 45 320 45 320 33112 31725 51 326 48 318 45 319 45 321 44 319 31725 30297 52 327 49 315 46 319 43 321 43 319 30297 28830 53 329 47 316 45 318 42 321 42 319 28830 27328 49 328 45 322 42 317 40 321 40 318 27328 25797 41 321 42 325 40 317 37 322 36 318 25797 24243 37 313 39 317 37 318 32 322 32 320 24243 22659 33 301 38 311 37 318 29 321 29 319 22659 21038 30 288 34 298 37 319 30 323 26 317 21038 19407 26 280 30 286 31 318 32 326 26 320 19407 17848 22 269 26 280 27 309 29 326 26 326 17848 16431 21 257 23 275 25 294 24 322 23 328 16431 15167 21 249 21 267 25 281 22 313 20 325 15167 14031 20 247 22 258 24 271 23 299 18 319 14031 13004 20 249 23 253 23 262 24 287 18 310 13004 12074 19 254 23 249 24 253 24 279 20 298 12074 11231 17 259 23 246 23*249 23 269 23 288 11231 10471 16 263 23 244 23*249 21 263 24 281 10471 9784 15 266 21*244 22 250 20*261 23 276 9784 9156 13 268 20*243 22 251 19*261 21 270 9156 8591 12 268 18 242 21 251 19 261 20 266 8591 8111 11 268 17 243 21 252 19 261 18 265 8111 7737 10 268 16 242 20 252 18 261 17 264 7737 7476 8 263 14 242 18 252 17 261 14 264 7476 7316 7*261 12 242 16 252 14 260 12*264 7316 7224 2*254 9 242 11 253 10 260 6*263 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography