DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/25 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.5 - - 47.2 - - 50.4 - - 45.5 - - 38.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -70 - - 174 - - 314 - - 62 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 918 - - 2083 - - 1643 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7458 - - 8484 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8125 - - 9289 - - 8850 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 318 - - 668 - - 864 - - 906 - - 765 Hgt.Variab. W* 11 - - 234 - - 371 - - 200 - - 6 W* B/S 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 14 - - 19 - - 20 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 238 - - 236 - - 240 - - 242 - - 227 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 8 - - 10 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -37 - - -42 - - -43 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -751 - - -3075 - - -2256 - - -893 - - -471 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7973 - - 11201 - - 11546 - - 9744 - - 7694 sfcLCL ODpotential -9348 - - -9384 - - -7368 - - -6866 - - -7847 ODpotential blCL 16570 - - 17509 - - 16657 - - 15716 - - 15070 blCL maxRH 66 - - 81 - - 88 - - 93 - - 95 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.5 - - 47.2 - - 50.4 - - 45.5 - - 38.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.1 - - 23.7 - - 25.1 - - 28.1 - - 29.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 38.5 - - 46.2 - - 48.7 - - 45.1 - - 39.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.7 - - 23.0 - - 24.8 - - 28.0 - - 29.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -70 - - 174 - - 314 - - 62 - - -44 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 918 - - 2083 - - 1643 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 25 - - 51 - - 70 - - 82 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97265 7 149 3 277 9 269 7 286 13 259 97265 89996 6 085 7 196 5 313 3 186 2 342 89996 84417 6 353 7 124 2 133 4 264 9 013 84417 79807 4 323 6 117 2 080 4 322 8 043 79807 75829 2 082 2 179 3 148 2 249 4 006 75829 72311 2 220 8 243 4 235 4 296 6 314 72311 69117 3 290 8 216 7 228 11 247 9 278 69117 66156 8 241 8 230 7 239 16 225 12 262 66156 63397 9 244 10 246 7 263 14 218 18 244 63397 60726 15 259 12 253 13 266 8 227 16 240 60726 57922 15 244 9 254 16 251 13 251 15 255 57922 54983 15 262 8 265 14 236 18 245 20 252 54983 52167 22 261 15 267 14 235 20 242 22 247 52167 49635 25 250 22 252 21 244 22 241 23 252 49635 47367 24 237 27 238 29 238 27 239 26 253 47367 45313 19 239 28 226 31 230 26 237 26 249 45313 43444 21 271 23 233 28 234 25 242 25 257 43444 41743 28 276 24 251 30 244 30 256 30 272 41743 40187 27 271 29 257 34 250 35 261 43 274 40187 38747 25 267 33 261 36 253 38 260 43 262 38747 37407 25 268 35 263 39 256 39 259 39 261 37407 36134 26 275 37 263 44 260 40 258 38 265 36134 34865 29 281 36 263 45 262 42 255 39 266 34865 33571 30 284 33 262 42 260 41 254 39 262 33571 32257 31 283 32 265 40 257 40 256 38 253 32257 30916 32 280 34 267 39 253 40 258 41 253 30916 29539 31 282 34 267 38 252 40 256 43 257 29539 28127 28 284 31 267 36 254 39 252 43 260 28127 26684 25 282 28 266 34 256 37 251 41 257 26684 25214 23 278 25 266 31 255 34 252 39 253 25214 23722 21 278 23 267 28 254 33 253 38 250 23722 22203 19 282 22 266 26 254 31 252 38 248 22203 20647 17 287 21 267 25 256 30 249 38 245 20647 19078 15 291 20 269 24 260 29 250 38 245 19078 17574 14 293 19 271 24 264 28 255 36 249 17574 16204 13 288 19 272 23 267 26 259 33 254 16204 14975 14 281 18 271 21 268 24 262 30 259 14975 13869 14 277 16 267 18 265 21 261 28 261 13869 12866 12 276 13 260 16 259 20 258 26 259 12866 11955 11 279 10 253 16 253 21 253 25 256 11955 11130 9 282 9 252 18 246 25 244 26 253 11130 10387 9 278 9 252 20 239 27 236 28 249 10387 9715 10 270 11 251 21*239 26 236 30 243 9715 9102 13 257 14 245 21*239 24*240 34 235 9102 8550 18 246 17*238 21 240 23*241 36 226 8550 8083 22 237 17*236 20 240 22 242 34 222 8083 7719 24 231 16 236 20 241 21 242 28 224 7719 7467 21 232 15 236 18 241 19 242 21 226 7467 7312 17 234 13 236 15 241 16 243 17*227 7312 7223 7*238 8 236 10 241 9 242 9*227 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography