DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 Truckee 7205ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 34.0 - - 34.9 - - 34.4 - - 30.0 - - 25.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 3 - - 30 - - 102 - - 0 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 346 - - 765 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 7552 - - 7970 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2134 - - 1672 - - 2057 - - 2595 - - 2582 Hgt.Variab. W* 16 - - 95 - - 187 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 22 - - 32 - - 13 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 219 - - 204 - - 226 - - 229 - - 262 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 16 - - 24 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -25 - - -61 - - -17 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 330 - - 748 - - 0 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -189 - - 243 - - 10 - - -497 - - -746 ODpotential blCL 7411 - - 7309 - - 7960 - - 7719 - - 7968 blCL maxRH 100 - - 101 - - 96 - - 96 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 34.0 - - 34.9 - - 34.4 - - 30.0 - - 25.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.7 - - 34.3 - - 32.1 - - 28.6 - - 24.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 34.1 - - 35.3 - - 34.0 - - 30.1 - - 26.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.8 - - 34.5 - - 31.7 - - 28.5 - - 24.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 3 - - 30 - - 102 - - 0 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 346 - - 765 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 102 - - 103 - - 84 - - 84 - - 94 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96225 36 290 32 302 23 295 36 284 33 303 96225 89130 21 306 17 292 16 294 20 287 23 299 89130 83658 15 308 10 293 11 296 12 320 15 310 83658 79095 16 283 15 270 16 286 14 306 11 284 79095 75154 12 297 13 280 15 286 11 318 8 336 75154 71659 20 287 14 300 16 275 16 293 19 332 71659 68491 24 279 17 280 18 294 19 297 19 309 68491 65574 19 274 14 256 24 277 21 274 16 314 65574 62845 20 278 14 256 18 256 28 277 17 308 62845 60178 35 270 25 271 33 271 25 283 26 294 60178 57381 36 260 29 268 28 278 23 308 36 290 57381 54466 33 273 19 274 11 297 42 299 43 291 54466 51672 32 257 20 307 49 283 56 282 44 302 51672 49148 48 272 46 281 64 266 58 280 56 305 49148 46884 72 272 61 269 60 267 60 288 68 299 46884 44831 76 271 68 265 58 274 61 291 71 295 44831 42949 71 268 70 258 58 278 60 292 67 293 42949 41211 63 256 59 251 55 278 58 293 61 297 41211 39595 52 247 51 258 52 278 57 295 62 304 39595 38087 48 268 52 271 52 278 59 297 68 308 38087 36682 66 283 56 274 55 278 63 296 77 308 36682 35350 74 282 59 273 58 276 67 293 86 305 35350 34029 66 277 55 270 60 274 69 289 90 302 34029 32691 45 265 45 265 59 271 68 285 86 297 32691 31343 31 242 34 254 53 266 67 282 81 295 31343 29977 31 225 26 230 40 254 66 280 75 295 29977 28585 34 221 28 212 35 241 64 280 70 298 28585 27170 36 227 32 203 45 234 61 274 66 301 27170 25737 37 237 36 207 58 232 56 256 60 299 25737 24290 40 244 44 219 64 232 65 236 53 294 24290 22834 41 239 52 228 62 229 72 232 49 273 22834 21363 41 226 57 233 55 226 70 233 53 256 21363 19871 42 216 60 233 49 222 66 231 53 260 19871 18380 47 214 63 230 48 226 64 229 46 269 18380 16959 53 217 64 227 52 227 63 228 41 270 16959 15669 58 218 64 224 56 218 62 229 40 255 15669 14519 62 219 63 221 62 210 58 229 45 238 14519 13489 66 216 61 217 67 207 53 228 47 232 13489 12557 67 213 59 213 69 210 52 228 45 234 12557 11710 66 211 59 211 68 215 54 226 43 239 11710 10940 63 212 58 210 66 220 54 226 41 246 10940 10243 61 213 56 210 63 223 53 226 39 252 10243 9611 59 215 54 209 60 224 51 227 39 256 9611 9030 55 217 51 209 57 224 49 228 38 258 9030 8503 51 218 46 208 53 225 46 228 36 260 8503 8054 45 219 40 207 47*225 42 228 33 261 8054 7703 38 220 34*206 41*226 36 228 29 262 7703 7459 32 220 29*205 35 226 30 228 23 262 7459 7308 26*220 24 204 29 226 24*228 19*262 7308 7222 14*219 13 203 16 226 13*229 9*262 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography