DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 38.6 - - 44.6 - - 38.8 - - 31.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - -14 - - -15 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 437 - - 860 - - 394 - - 153 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 0 - - 21 - - 13 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 304 - - 102 - - 078 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -19 - - -3 - - -7 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6615 - - -3506 - - -3882 - - -5616 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13839 - - 10730 - - 11106 - - 12840 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -16451 - - -11439 - - -12944 - - -16381 ODpotential blCL - - - 23674 - - 18662 - - 20167 - - 23604 blCL maxRH - - - 53 - - 54 - - 40 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 38.6 - - 44.6 - - 38.8 - - 31.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 4.8 - - 23.4 - - 16.4 - - 2.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 44.0 - - 46.2 - - 43.5 - - 39.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 3.8 - - 22.2 - - 15.1 - - 1.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -3 - - -14 - - -15 - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96557 34 084 30 086 40 080 37 100 96557 89579 38 092 28 079 30 087 38 084 89579 84115 31 092 26 088 23 076 29 076 84115 79546 19 103 18 103 15 073 23 070 79546 75588 17 093 17 098 8 110 15 077 75588 72070 16 072 18 074 9 102 10 066 72070 68858 13 065 12 062 10 069 12 062 68858 65899 4 056 5 016 17 027 13 046 65899 63191 8 058 2 071 16 012 14 025 63191 60598 15 039 7 038 14 002 13 008 60598 57886 18 003 14 009 12 354 13 358 57886 55063 22 337 24 347 21 341 22 339 55063 52369 19 325 24 322 28 328 26 327 52369 49948 14 308 21 303 31 321 33 325 49948 47772 9 326 15 298 26 308 35 319 47772 45783 14 004 13 320 23 301 34 316 45783 43943 16 008 14 339 21 301 33 318 43943 42232 18 350 21 352 19 323 30 321 42232 40652 24 310 29 343 25 348 25 327 40652 39199 30 256 27 284 31 322 30 338 39199 37853 21 259 25 282 30 302 31 318 37853 36571 21 282 24 293 28 308 33 323 36571 35292 23 283 25 289 29 313 33 322 35292 33986 23 283 22 293 27 310 31 326 33986 32659 20 291 19 295 23 305 29 330 32659 31302 18 292 19 292 22 303 29 331 31302 29905 19 292 20 297 23 309 30 333 29905 28471 19 295 22 305 26 317 30 342 28471 27005 17 304 22 316 30 324 25 352 27005 25509 16 314 20 328 28 335 24 001 25509 23988 16 328 18 347 23 355 24 013 23988 22437 15 341 16 003 21 003 22 021 22437 20849 12 352 14 011 18 008 19 025 20849 19250 10 006 13 020 17 020 17 032 19250 17717 10 021 13 029 16 036 16 043 17717 16320 12 032 14 037 17 059 17 051 16320 15069 13 040 14 042 20 072 18 057 15069 13942 13 051 15 056 22 080 19 065 13942 12922 13 064 16 069 24 085 20 074 12922 11999 13 076 16 080 25 089 22 082 11999 11163 13 089 17 090 25 094 24 090 11163 10411 15 099 18 100 25 098 26 096 10411 9733 17 105 20 106 25 102 27 100 9733 9115 20 110 22 110 26 104 29 103 9115 8558 21 111 23 113 26 105 29 104 8558 8086 22 112 22 113 26 105 29 105 8086 7721 20 110 19 112 23 105 26 105 7721 7466 15 106 14 108 18 102 20 104 7466 7312 10*101 11*106 12*098 13*101 7312 7223 2*304 4*102 4*078 3*057 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography