DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1553z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.0 - - 52.8 - - 59.5 - - 55.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -14 - - 87 - - 184 - - -6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 685 - - 3965 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7207 - - 9693 - - 7207 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7892 - - 11172 - - 7224 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 167 - - 1737 - - 1496 - - 3929 - - 439 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 167 - - 385 - - 8 - - 4 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 208 - - 171 - - 206 - - 315 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -16 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4865 - - -6998 - - -6269 - - -8505 - - -5596 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12088 - - 14890 - - 17442 - - 15730 - - 12819 sfcLCL ODpotential -12845 - - -12445 - - -10757 - - -13434 - - -12715 ODpotential blCL 20068 - - 20337 - - 21929 - - 20658 - - 19938 blCL maxRH 46 - - 42 - - 46 - - 25 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.0 - - 52.8 - - 59.5 - - 55.6 - - 44.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 11.5 - - 13.3 - - 8.4 - - 12.4 - - 14.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.8 - - 51.9 - - 58.2 - - 56.3 - - 50.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 11.2 - - 12.6 - - 7.5 - - 11.5 - - 14.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -14 - - 87 - - 184 - - -6 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 685 - - 3965 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96417 42 297 36 290 48 286 47 301 45 296 96417 89396 30 314 25 297 30 287 33 301 30 299 89396 83928 23 311 20 305 18 302 23 302 26 306 83928 79384 17 291 16 300 18 301 19 295 22 307 79384 75476 17 293 17 295 19 301 13 283 19 303 75476 72000 17 303 17 305 19 308 15 283 20 295 72000 68833 15 300 16 304 12 303 14 279 15 298 68833 65930 17 307 15 292 20 309 16 304 19 309 65930 63259 24 309 21 285 26 285 23 293 20 293 63259 60682 26 295 30 252 23 280 26 303 20 290 60682 57995 21 275 35 305 34 296 33 295 24 289 57995 55197 51 313 38 311 28 295 31 304 26 295 55197 52514 50 307 44 320 38 314 49 319 42 307 52514 50093 43 311 43 315 51 316 57 317 54 305 50093 47913 43 309 40 316 58 320 61 317 58 304 47913 45922 50 318 61 323 67 320 67 314 63 304 45922 44088 65 317 74 317 67 312 69 314 64 304 44088 42392 57 317 62 323 58 311 63 310 55 305 42392 40817 35 312 52 323 52 323 55 320 46 323 40817 39343 25 303 41 321 56 333 62 335 64 341 39343 37961 23 315 34 318 54 338 66 336 75 339 37961 36645 29 327 30 314 42 336 51 339 70 338 36645 35335 29 326 28 318 33 321 34 324 54 340 35335 34008 28 320 25 328 30 309 35 308 32 338 34008 32669 29 313 18 334 20 313 31 311 30 325 32669 31309 29 305 14 338 10 321 13 311 30 320 31309 29915 27 303 16 340 5 359 5 101 4 283 29915 28484 26 307 17 333 7 354 11 118 15 157 28484 27019 26 306 16 332 14 344 6 133 17 155 27019 25523 25 306 15 338 16 344 3 242 12 190 25523 24002 22 301 15 347 14 341 4 274 9 230 24002 22453 19 294 15 354 12 333 2 316 3 231 22453 20866 18 302 13 352 9 326 3 331 2 178 20866 19268 21 313 14 333 11 317 6 314 2 177 19268 17736 24 315 17 321 14 312 11 308 3 281 17736 16343 23 315 17 314 15 309 13 309 7 297 16343 15097 20 316 15 306 15 304 13 310 9 303 15097 13975 17 318 13 299 13 293 11 306 8 303 13975 12960 14 320 11 299 11 280 10 296 5 297 12960 12039 11 327 9 299 8 260 7 281 3 289 12039 11204 8 341 6 294 6*227 6 256 3 269 11204 10450 5 005 3 272 6*217 4 247 3 233 10450 9768 3 031 2 227 6 213 2 264 3 199 9768 9144 2 072 2 190 6 208 2 298 4 173 9144 8581 2 115 4 176 6 206 3 309 5 160 8581 8103 4 134 5*166 5 201 4 311 6 146 8103 7731 6 144 5*171 5 199 4 312 9 146 7731 7472 6 162 4 172 5 196 4 310 9 152 7472 7314 6*177 3 170 4 195 3*313 6 161 7314 7223 3*208 3 170 4 192 2*315 2*182 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography