DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 09/06 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 55.6 - - 53.0 - - 45.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 524 - - 287 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2946 - - 3861 - - 3201 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9161 - - 9995 - - 9298 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10153 - - 11068 - - 10408 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 930 - - 1044 - - 1172 - - 1965 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 430 - - 541 - - 416 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 33 - - 29 - - 27 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 228 - - 234 - - 244 - - 249 Direction Wind Shear - - - 25 - - 19 - - 17 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -68 - - -54 - - -52 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1305 - - 736 - - 15 - - -1866 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8848 - - 10332 - - 10394 - - 9090 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4167 - - -3625 - - -5859 - - -9154 ODpotential blCL - - - 14320 - - 14693 - - 16267 - - 16377 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 73 - - 67 - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 52.1 - - 55.6 - - 53.0 - - 45.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 38.2 - - 35.2 - - 32.4 - - 31.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 50.6 - - 53.4 - - 51.5 - - 46.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 37.7 - - 35.0 - - 32.3 - - 31.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 339 - - 524 - - 287 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2946 - - 3861 - - 3201 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 16 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98877 3 127 7 036 5 011 1 319 98877 91456 7 092 2 267 9 005 10 025 91456 85717 13 098 9 128 5 046 11 052 85717 80965 16 077 11 116 9 121 11 079 80965 76882 9 059 13 092 11 100 11 082 76882 73284 6 050 6 043 11 067 9 083 73284 70024 6 035 4 111 8 063 12 070 70024 67014 10 046 5 270 6 322 9 348 67014 64217 8 294 3 092 2 350 4 291 64217 61506 24 242 12 233 11 250 12 276 61506 58685 17 210 18 226 23 224 22 245 58685 55759 14 221 20 247 21 232 22 239 55759 52952 32 248 30 251 29 257 25 251 52952 50434 48 253 40 266 36 275 33 280 50434 48202 61 253 51 266 46 290 45 286 48202 46190 64 251 54 269 52 289 52 280 46190 44345 66 250 57 269 52 279 53 276 44345 42635 65 247 55 262 49 271 52 274 42635 41037 63 248 50 254 46 268 53 270 41037 39539 63 248 44 260 43 270 52 266 39539 38138 55 251 45 279 42 279 49 267 38138 36804 47 257 48 285 44 286 46 272 36804 35478 47 261 49 285 46 291 43 280 35478 34132 47 262 48 281 47 294 42 293 34132 32771 47 260 47 277 46 294 44 305 32771 31384 47 254 47 272 44 293 47 313 31384 29959 50 249 47 270 43 290 47 314 29959 28497 54 248 46 269 44 285 45 312 28497 27001 56 247 46 261 46 278 39 306 27001 25475 53 248 48 256 47 271 39 294 25475 23928 49 248 50 256 48 267 43 285 23928 22356 47 248 50 256 49 265 46 282 22356 20754 47 248 50 253 49 261 46 280 20754 19148 48 248 50 251 50 258 45 276 19148 17616 47 248 50 251 49 257 43 273 17616 16227 45 249 47 252 47 257 41 271 16227 14988 43 248 44 251 43 256 38 270 14988 13875 40 248 41 250 40 254 35 267 13875 12870 37 248 38 244 37 251 33 263 12870 11961 37 242 35 235 36 244 31 260 11961 11139 38 230 33*232 31*241 30 255 11139 10398 39*226 32*232 29*242 30 247 10398 9729 39*226 32 233 29 243 30 239 9729 9116 38 227 31 234 28 244 27 238 9116 8563 35 228 30 235 28 245 24 242 8563 8093 33 229 29 235 27 245 21 246 8093 7726 30 229 28 236 25 246 19 248 7726 7470 27 230 25 236 23 246 15 248 7470 7314 23 230 21 237 20 246 13*249 7314 7223 14 230 14 237 12 246 6*249 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography