DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 78.2 - - - - - 67.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 320 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4950 - - 9463 - - - - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10610 - - 14327 - - - - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top - - - 12158 - - 16671 - - - - - 7225 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3991 - - 1167 - - - - - 2381 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 468 - - 632 - - - - - 15 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 39 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 3 - - - - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 100 - - 347 - - - - - 315 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 11 - - 31 - - - - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4783 - - 88 - - - - - -3063 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16942 - - 16584 - - - - - 10289 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -9882 - - -3773 - - - - - -6815 ODpotential blCL - - - 22040 - - 20444 - - - - - 14040 blCL maxRH - - - 42 - - 48 - - - - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 73.9 - - 78.2 - - - - - 67.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 24.6 - - 30.3 - - - - - 47.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.1 - - 76.1 - - - - - 69.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 23.4 - - 29.1 - - - - - 46.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 247 - - 320 - - - - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4950 - - 9463 - - - - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98892 27 111 26 105 20 090 98892 91380 21 103 19 096 21 089 91380 85628 19 091 12 093 23 081 85628 80878 20 092 14 087 23 090 80878 76795 23 090 20 098 19 074 76795 73203 22 097 19 100 18 069 73203 69964 21 082 19 094 20 059 69964 66993 15 068 17 074 17 068 66993 64241 13 077 14 067 17 049 64241 61588 14 064 13 056 15 026 61588 58826 13 036 12 047 12 021 58826 55948 13 003 14 016 12 018 55948 53197 15 346 12 002 16 023 53197 50731 12 338 11 017 15 035 50731 48525 16 352 13 025 17 052 48525 46525 14 358 16 038 20 070 46525 44700 15 047 23 051 32 082 44700 43019 24 048 32 063 45 084 43019 41458 24 048 36 068 56 080 41458 39997 21 068 40 070 61 078 39997 38627 27 078 42 070 60 079 38627 37317 36 077 41 068 58 078 37317 36006 40 071 38 071 50 079 36006 34667 37 064 38 071 45 080 34667 33306 31 066 37 069 40 081 33306 31914 27 075 32 067 33 083 31914 30482 26 082 26 071 28 087 30482 29014 23 084 20 074 22 091 29014 27512 20 086 17 076 18 093 27512 25978 18 083 17 084 17 089 25978 24419 17 078 17 091 15 091 24419 22830 16 076 15 097 12 098 22830 21205 14 084 12 104 8 099 21205 19570 11 092 10 109 5 079 19570 18007 6 101 5*108 3 062 18007 16586 1 012 1*034 3 080 16586 15316 6 312 1 347 6 084 15316 14171 8 317 2 342 8 078 14171 13133 6*336 2 338 8 071 13133 12190 3*023 3 342 8 061 12190 11333 4 087 3 342 8 046 11333 10559 7 105 4 345 8 029 10559 9857 7 106 4 348 8 013 9857 9214 7 104 4 348 10 353 9214 8633 7 104 5 349 12 337 8633 8139 7 103 5 349 13 327 8139 7753 7 102 5 351 12 322 7753 7485 7 102 4 351 11 320 7485 7319 6 101 4 351 9*318 7319 7225 5 100 3 354 5*315 7225 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography