DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 38.5 - - 42.4 - - 44.0 - - 43.8 - - 42.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -13 - - -12 - - -13 - - -9 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 75 - - 82 - - 87 - - 285 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 0 - - 7 - - 4 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 2 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 226 - - 234 - - 231 - - 293 - - 277 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -17 - - -17 - - -16 - - -12 - - -15 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2777 - - -1904 - - -2984 - - -4220 - - -5355 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 10000 - - 9127 - - 10208 - - 11444 - - 12579 sfcLCL ODpotential -10803 - - -9492 - - -10732 - - -12221 - - -13997 ODpotential blCL 18026 - - 16715 - - 17955 - - 19444 - - 21220 blCL maxRH 50 - - 56 - - 51 - - 48 - - 47 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 38.5 - - 42.4 - - 44.0 - - 43.8 - - 42.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 20.8 - - 28.1 - - 25.1 - - 19.8 - - 13.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.4 - - 47.9 - - 49.6 - - 50.3 - - 51.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 26.3 - - 28.3 - - 24.0 - - 18.7 - - 12.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -13 - - -12 - - -13 - - -9 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96545 23 059 14 058 28 040 32 032 31 043 96545 89516 24 058 23 065 23 071 18 055 14 054 89516 83964 18 041 24 061 14 085 14 050 16 042 83964 79357 23 031 20 047 10 085 8 026 15 017 79357 75404 18 013 13 031 14 020 16 010 9 025 75404 71889 10 020 5 026 16 357 27 011 17 007 71889 68709 5 064 8 019 15 343 22 354 22 350 68709 65795 7 054 14 033 9 334 10 344 19 346 65795 63095 12 019 16 000 16 347 12 348 17 340 63095 60486 17 004 16 348 20 342 18 347 15 338 60486 57767 19 340 18 337 22 338 21 349 15 350 57767 54953 21 332 22 326 23 330 26 337 17 344 54953 52279 25 334 23 323 20 320 24 315 17 330 52279 49877 27 337 22 328 16 317 22 299 18 316 49877 47721 29 328 23 323 19 328 20 303 17 312 47721 45765 25 312 26 325 22 336 15 314 14 310 45765 43983 24 313 28 325 23 332 14 329 10 316 43983 42352 26 313 24 310 22 308 15 306 10 314 42352 40837 26 306 20 290 20 285 18 275 13 273 40837 39414 21 278 22 278 22 280 21 265 13 270 39414 38075 22 283 22 269 24 277 24 272 17 269 38075 36793 26 284 21 269 24 276 29 273 18 272 36793 35508 28 280 20 272 25 276 28 271 21 269 35508 34193 26 283 21 272 28 282 29 272 22 269 34193 32855 24 284 24 270 30 282 30 272 22 274 32855 31485 21 283 24 269 31 276 31 270 24 279 31485 30074 22 284 24 273 30 273 32 265 28 272 30074 28627 23 289 20 276 25 271 29 263 30 269 28627 27145 21 292 14 271 20 268 29 266 30 269 27145 25629 20 292 8 271 15 263 29 269 28 275 25629 24087 16 292 5 288 8 252 26 269 25 281 24087 22519 10 300 5 283 6 244 20 266 19 276 22519 20921 8 327 5 287 6 249 15 250 13 257 20921 19316 11 338 6 299 8 255 13 232 11 242 19316 17779 13 340 6 307 8 258 11 235 10 251 17779 16378 12 342 5 312 7 261 10 250 9 264 16378 15125 11 344 5 320 6 266 9 262 9 274 15125 13996 9 346 4 331 6 271 9 270 9 281 13996 12976 8 349 3 341 6 275 8 275 9 289 12976 12051 6 356 2 357 5 273 6 282 8 297 12051 11213 5 007 2 013 4 268 5 294 8 308 11213 10458 4 023 2 034 3 260 4 313 7 321 10458 9775 4 039 3 055 2 254 3 333 6 335 9775 9149 4 061 3 079 2 238 3 351 5 348 9149 8585 4 080 4 097 2 215 3 015 5 004 8585 8106 5 095 5 114 2 186 3 038 4 018 8106 7733 6 107 5 127 4 177 3 050 3 036 7733 7473 4 128 5 151 5 188 2 033 1 037 7473 7315 4 158 4*180 5*207 1*314 0 269 7315 7223 2*226 3*234 4*231 2*293 2*277 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography