DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/22 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 22.2 - - 30.6 - - 34.2 - - 33.8 - - 26.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -104 - - 46 - - 65 - - -8 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 818 - - 1413 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8023 - - 8619 - - 7222 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 647 - - 777 - - 844 - - 2002 - - 573 Hgt.Variab. W* 10 - - 152 - - 204 - - 21 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 25 - - 28 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 224 - - 222 - - 220 - - 223 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 19 - - 23 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -46 - - -52 - - -14 - - -17 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -378 - - -237 - - -78 - - -988 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7601 - - 8261 - - 8698 - - 8210 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -11669 - - -10164 - - -10032 - - -9089 - - -9394 ODpotential blCL 18891 - - 18187 - - 18651 - - 16311 - - 16616 blCL maxRH 72 - - 72 - - 88 - - 68 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 22.2 - - 30.6 - - 34.2 - - 33.8 - - 26.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 14.7 - - 20.1 - - 21.7 - - 23.5 - - 22.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 26.6 - - 30.4 - - 34.0 - - 34.4 - - 30.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 15.1 - - 19.0 - - 20.6 - - 22.3 - - 24.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -104 - - 46 - - 65 - - -8 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 818 - - 1413 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 51 - - 0 - - 52 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96860 24 101 22 108 15 102 17 071 17 122 96860 89708 19 094 23 111 12 118 14 097 13 093 89708 84165 18 091 21 109 13 122 9 130 10 061 84165 79528 10 097 10 119 8 108 8 107 8 057 79528 75514 1 172 7 160 3 238 6 303 9 002 75514 71960 3 279 8 244 9 261 5 297 6 357 71960 68720 4 275 5 255 10 311 18 311 16 289 68720 65749 26 245 30 247 28 251 30 253 27 243 65749 63023 16 229 22 232 27 229 19 239 14 245 63023 60361 14 135 7 118 12 121 6 236 14 304 60361 57542 25 251 7 258 26 269 33 279 34 284 57542 54615 62 253 59 259 63 263 61 267 54 269 54615 51848 71 245 76 255 72 256 70 262 62 267 51848 49387 66 253 76 256 76 259 78 268 74 274 49387 47213 77 263 79 259 81 259 83 266 83 269 47213 45272 85 258 82 256 78 257 75 265 74 267 45272 43514 82 251 80 251 71 257 65 270 66 281 43514 41902 73 253 72 252 70 255 63 276 77 293 41902 40401 72 258 66 260 71 252 62 278 79 292 40401 38987 73 257 66 262 66 253 58 277 73 289 38987 37654 74 256 67 259 65 255 54 273 70 288 37654 36376 74 258 68 260 62 256 52 268 66 285 36376 35094 75 262 68 262 60 257 54 264 62 281 35094 33781 71 263 65 263 60 258 58 262 59 276 33781 32444 67 262 61 260 61 259 62 261 60 272 32444 31073 62 263 57 256 61 259 64 262 61 268 31073 29662 59 264 53 254 58 256 64 262 62 263 29662 28217 56 265 50 254 55 252 61 260 62 262 28217 26743 56 266 50 254 52 250 57 257 61 263 26743 25245 57 265 51 254 51 250 55 254 59 264 25245 23723 56 261 51 252 52 252 55 253 57 264 23723 22173 52 255 51 250 53 253 55 253 56 261 22173 20589 48 250 50 248 53 253 55 252 56 258 20589 19000 47 247 48 249 52 252 53 251 55 255 19000 17481 49 245 47 249 50 250 49 250 54 254 17481 16102 51 244 46 248 47 249 46 249 51 254 16102 14871 52 244 47 245 47 247 45 248 48 252 14871 13767 52 243 48 242 47 246 45 246 45 250 13767 12771 52 243 49 241 47 243 44 243 42 246 12771 11871 52 242 48 240 45 239 43 239 40 241 11871 11058 52 239 48 238 44 235 42 234 38 234 11058 10328 53 233 48 233 43 228 42 227 37 226 10328 9669 55 227 49 226 43 222 43 223 38 217 9669 9068 57 221 48 222 41*220 41 221 39 211 9068 8527 56 219 45 220 35*220 36 221 37 208 8527 8068 52 219 38*221 31 220 31 222 33 207 8068 7710 42 221 32*222 28 220 27 223 26 209 7710 7462 33 223 27 222 25 220 23 223 19 212 7462 7309 25*224 23 222 21 220 19*223 15*213 7309 7222 13*224 13 222 12 219 11*223 7*216 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography