DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/31 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 31.8 - - 38.0 - - 36.6 - - 35.4 - - 32.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -9 - - 77 - - 84 - - 42 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1988 - - 725 - - 718 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7733 - - 7206 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 9194 - - 7931 - - 7924 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1855 - - 2755 - - 2403 - - 2509 - - 1933 Hgt.Variab. W* 7 - - 233 - - 172 - - 136 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 17 - - 14 - - 16 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 213 - - 209 - - 237 - - 229 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 15 - - 10 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -30 - - -18 - - -37 - - -6 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 0 - - 1972 - - 709 - - 702 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7223 - - 7222 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -670 - - 365 - - 228 - - 138 - - -511 ODpotential blCL 7892 - - 8829 - - 7703 - - 7786 - - 7733 blCL maxRH 98 - - 97 - - 100 - - 99 - - 98 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 80 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 31.8 - - 38.0 - - 36.6 - - 35.4 - - 32.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 31.4 - - 31.8 - - 34.9 - - 33.5 - - 31.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.9 - - 37.5 - - 36.0 - - 35.2 - - 33.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.7 - - 31.2 - - 34.3 - - 33.1 - - 31.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -9 - - 77 - - 84 - - 42 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1988 - - 725 - - 718 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 91 - - 88 - - 99 - - 98 - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96733 38 285 39 288 34 282 33 279 36 290 96733 89677 18 295 17 278 22 264 24 269 21 288 89677 84223 16 280 14 286 18 279 19 280 21 291 84223 79665 14 251 22 267 26 282 21 283 23 285 79665 75702 18 262 19 279 28 282 25 267 21 274 75702 72165 20 258 19 279 22 282 21 266 19 265 72165 68928 17 264 22 251 23 256 19 275 20 264 68928 65925 17 283 19 243 22 239 21 275 19 273 65925 63131 23 279 12 266 16 242 25 266 21 274 63131 60425 32 262 12 290 15 256 24 264 22 270 60425 57607 30 249 20 276 18 258 22 271 20 276 57607 54676 21 248 23 271 16 265 24 272 22 276 54676 51865 19 260 21 271 18 270 28 259 28 266 51865 49331 26 259 27 265 25 266 30 254 30 264 49331 47059 38 251 38 253 34 263 33 258 34 263 47059 45000 48 242 48 247 41 256 39 258 38 257 45000 43119 50 240 52 243 48 250 43 255 40 248 43119 41385 50 246 58 242 57 247 49 252 42 244 41385 39776 56 250 67 242 65 243 59 247 47 243 39776 38277 65 247 73 242 76 239 71 241 56 242 38277 36882 71 242 80 240 86 238 84 238 65 240 36882 35561 69 239 83 239 94 238 93 237 75 238 35561 34251 67 242 83 239 99 238 98 236 82 237 34251 32924 70 245 81 237 93 237 97 235 87 236 32924 31591 70 244 77 236 80 235 91 233 85 232 31591 30243 63 238 72 236 71 234 84 228 81 225 30243 28871 55 233 65 235 66 233 80 226 82 221 28871 27477 51 230 60 231 61 230 71 226 80 220 27477 26064 49 227 57 228 57 226 61 223 71 219 26064 24632 48 227 55 227 55 225 54 218 61 214 24632 23180 46 228 52 227 54 225 51 212 59 204 23180 21700 43 226 48 228 51 226 49 209 60 200 21700 20187 37 222 41 227 45 226 47 206 57 203 20187 18667 32 215 36 222 38 222 45 200 51 205 18667 17215 28 208 33 217 34 219 44 199 45 204 17215 15896 26 204 31 216 33 218 43 202 41 203 15896 14715 25 204 31 218 33 220 43 207 40 205 14715 13651 24 206 30 219 34 221 43 211 39 211 13651 12686 24 210 29 221 34 220 42 215 38 219 12686 11812 25 214 28 219 34 216 41 220 37 225 11812 11019 25 216 27 217 34 213 39 223 35 230 11019 10303 25 215 25 215 33 210 35 225 31 233 10303 9655 24 213 24*213 32 209 32 228 28 235 9655 9061 24 212 22*213 30 209 30 230 25 235 9061 8524 23 209 20 212 26 209 27 232 22 235 8524 8068 21 208 17 212 21*209 24*234 19 235 8068 7711 18 207 16 213 18*209 21*236 16 235 7711 7463 13 207 14 213 15 209 18 237 12 234 7463 7310 10 205 12 212 13 209 15 237 9*232 7310 7222 4*206 8 212 8 208 9 237 5*229 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography