DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/10 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 66.5 - - 64.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 331 - - 175 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1995 - - 3474 - - 2272 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8120 - - 9571 - - 8460 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9203 - - 10682 - - 9480 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2821 - - 2109 - - 1845 - - 770 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 276 - - 456 - - 322 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 20 - - 20 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 224 - - 231 - - 238 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 13 - - 14 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -27 - - -44 - - -52 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2537 - - -1048 - - -1924 - - -1370 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 11741 - - 11731 - - 11405 - - 8594 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7468 - - -5724 - - -6411 - - -7318 ODpotential blCL - - - 16671 - - 16406 - - 15891 - - 14542 blCL maxRH - - - 52 - - 45 - - 53 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 280 - - 140 - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.3 - - 66.5 - - 64.2 - - 53.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 36.9 - - 40.0 - - 39.2 - - 41.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.4 - - 64.7 - - 63.1 - - 56.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 35.8 - - 38.7 - - 38.0 - - 40.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 105 - - 331 - - 175 - - -45 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1995 - - 3474 - - 2272 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97752 13 232 14 268 12 295 7 223 97752 90280 6 184 8 217 9 268 7 252 90280 84565 6 140 7 166 5 255 4 230 84565 79878 10 156 3 221 6 325 6 094 79878 75861 9 134 6 217 9 320 9 057 75861 72313 5 041 6 138 7 277 8 359 72313 69107 11 340 5 055 3 275 9 342 69107 66160 7 321 8 321 7 316 10 321 66160 63419 6 328 7 308 9 319 6 297 63419 60758 8 297 7 256 11 301 9 295 60758 57985 8 265 10 231 13 265 11 277 57985 55121 12 259 15 252 19 260 18 260 55121 52406 18 261 23 257 25 257 25 249 52406 49972 22 266 25 251 26 249 31 246 49972 47792 28 274 28 260 30 255 34 250 47792 45823 38 267 38 261 37 263 40 259 45823 44035 41 267 43 264 43 264 45 262 44035 42396 40 269 44 265 44 263 47 262 42396 40868 41 270 44 264 42 263 46 261 40868 39432 45 270 48 266 41 265 46 260 39432 38082 47 267 51 266 40 265 46 260 38082 36792 46 265 50 265 41 265 45 260 36792 35502 43 263 48 265 42 265 44 260 35502 34185 35 259 41 261 39 263 40 261 34185 32850 29 259 33 255 33 261 37 261 32850 31484 24 260 26 254 28 258 29 258 31484 30078 23 256 23 254 26 260 26 256 30078 28634 25 252 23 256 24 262 24 257 28634 27155 26 254 25 255 22 261 22 258 27155 25648 27 256 27 253 21 258 19 260 25648 24116 25 257 26 253 21 252 15 260 24116 22557 21 256 23 252 21 250 14 255 22557 20962 17 253 20 249 19 251 14 252 20962 19358 15 242 18 243 17 246 14 252 19358 17823 13 236 17 240 16 242 14 254 17823 16426 12 240 15 238 15 241 14 258 16426 15173 13 243 14 235 15 242 13 262 15173 14044 16 236 14 230 16 242 13 263 14044 13020 19 227 17 225 19 239 14 261 13020 12089 21 221 21 221 22 235 16 255 12089 11246 21 219 23*220 26 230 18 246 11246 10485 20 218 23*220 27 227 22 237 10485 9796 18*217 22 222 26*227 25 231 9796 9166 16*218 21 223 25*228 27 228 9166 8598 14 218 20 226 23 230 27 228 8598 8115 12 219 19 227 21 232 25 230 8115 7739 11 219 18 228 20 233 20 233 7739 7477 10 219 17 228 18 233 15 237 7477 7316 9 218 15 229 15 233 11*239 7316 7224 6 218 10 229 10 234 6*238 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography