DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/11 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 49.7 - - 43.8 - - 33.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 446 - - 162 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4557 - - 5523 - - 3880 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10357 - - 11271 - - 9569 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11764 - - 12729 - - 11086 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2241 - - 1531 - - 1669 - - 2101 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 475 - - 579 - - 367 - - 2 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 20 - - 17 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 218 - - 228 - - 235 - - 258 Direction Wind Shear - - - 11 - - 11 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -12 - - -31 - - -36 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1279 - - -1148 - - -144 - - -1718 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10485 - - 13878 - - 11231 - - 8941 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -815 - - -7788 - - -4279 - - -6364 ODpotential blCL - - - 12579 - - 20517 - - 15365 - - 13586 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 41 - - 56 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 50.0 - - 49.7 - - 43.8 - - 33.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 28.7 - - 13.6 - - 19.6 - - 19.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 48.3 - - 47.5 - - 42.8 - - 34.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 28.6 - - 13.5 - - 19.6 - - 20.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 298 - - 446 - - 162 - - -16 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4557 - - 5523 - - 3880 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97845 10 245 12 280 17 300 14 303 97845 90578 8 281 3 304 7 274 8 286 90578 84977 10 281 3 213 3 244 1 003 84977 80332 4 191 9 223 9 323 5 045 80332 76310 5 079 10 220 8 274 5 006 76310 72746 7 304 3 209 8 229 7 288 72746 69530 6 202 6 272 11 207 10 260 69530 66587 2 038 5 259 8 192 7 234 66587 63863 12 279 9 244 7 233 11 216 63863 61220 5 277 11 193 10 208 6 224 61220 58449 8 329 9 244 11 198 19 216 58449 55557 22 275 26 243 20 257 17 203 55557 52786 23 266 24 236 26 239 19 235 52786 50297 22 254 23 263 18 234 23 235 50297 48056 25 261 21 278 18 277 15 253 48056 46001 39 261 38 267 35 273 27 266 46001 44099 45 263 47 256 47 259 34 263 44099 42326 49 267 50 253 51 252 39 260 42326 40664 53 267 51 256 52 251 44 257 40664 39103 55 262 53 258 50 250 45 253 39103 37640 58 256 56 256 46 252 43 252 37640 36244 58 253 58 251 49 256 44 255 36244 34855 53 254 60 246 55 251 50 253 34855 33449 52 255 57 245 55 246 49 249 33449 32030 55 250 49 247 49 245 41 253 32030 30594 56 240 48 250 44 246 35 259 30594 29140 53 231 50 249 38 249 30 257 29140 27678 44 227 45 244 33 251 25 248 27678 26209 37 229 38 242 31 247 24 239 26209 24726 33 235 34 240 31 239 25 232 24726 23229 34 240 35 241 34 235 26 227 23229 21716 37 239 38 243 35 234 27 227 21716 20182 38 236 36 243 33 233 25 230 20182 18652 36 234 33 240 31 232 22 236 18652 17196 32 235 31 239 27 232 20 237 17196 15876 27 235 29 237 24 233 20 237 15876 14699 24 229 27 230 23 232 19 240 14699 13639 21 220 26*223 24 227 18 245 13639 12680 19 215 21*224 24 223 17 250 12680 11809 19*214 21 225 19*226 18 251 11809 11018 18*214 21 226 17*230 21 245 11018 10304 18 215 21 227 17 232 24 239 10304 9656 17 217 21 229 17 234 25 235 9656 9064 16 219 21 230 17 235 22 238 9064 8526 16 220 21 231 17 236 19 247 8526 8069 15 221 20 231 17 236 17 255 8069 7712 14 222 19 231 16 237 15 256 7712 7463 13 222 18 231 15 237 12 258 7463 7310 11 223 16 232 13 237 10*258 7310 7222 8 223 11 232 9 238 5*258 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography