DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 19.7 - - 33.2 - - 37.6 - - 38.2 - - 31.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -4 - - 120 - - 129 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1180 - - 2971 - - 3254 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7439 - - 8828 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8386 - - 10176 - - 10460 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 252 - - 2026 - - 2718 - - 2021 - - 2144 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 227 - - 319 - - 99 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 2 - - 4 - - 6 - - 8 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 351 - - 075 - - 010 - - 347 - - 299 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -9 - - 5 - - -9 - - -3 - - -7 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1164 - - 1825 - - 1437 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 8351 - - 9024 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -3127 - - -439 - - -372 - - -1139 - - -2331 ODpotential blCL 10349 - - 8825 - - 10548 - - 11599 - - 9553 blCL maxRH 90 - - 87 - - 81 - - 74 - - 80 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 19.7 - - 33.2 - - 37.6 - - 38.2 - - 31.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 18.4 - - 28.2 - - 26.2 - - 23.9 - - 27.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 24.5 - - 32.2 - - 36.7 - - 38.5 - - 33.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.3 - - 27.1 - - 25.0 - - 22.8 - - 27.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -4 - - 120 - - 129 - - -1 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1180 - - 2971 - - 3254 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 61 - - 47 - - 23 - - 0 - - 18 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96701 29 297 30 289 29 301 28 271 36 296 96701 89721 18 281 21 284 30 286 16 289 20 283 89721 84276 12 285 10 283 30 285 13 282 12 263 84276 79719 19 284 12 284 21 285 15 264 11 250 79719 75767 24 260 19 276 16 263 16 268 10 244 75767 72246 19 256 19 263 17 246 22 271 15 284 72246 69046 19 279 17 262 19 247 22 262 18 285 69046 66109 20 287 18 269 20 260 20 266 20 270 66109 63391 18 276 16 264 16 261 17 252 22 247 63391 60759 19 277 14 283 12 264 12 245 17 232 60759 57999 25 287 26 285 24 281 22 291 14 274 57999 55139 28 290 24 289 26 269 38 273 34 272 55139 52438 27 319 27 322 24 317 26 277 28 262 52438 50007 48 329 46 325 42 315 28 300 22 275 50007 47808 61 320 51 317 44 295 28 294 24 280 47808 45790 60 316 51 315 37 301 29 287 26 280 45790 43917 60 329 48 318 37 304 32 281 29 286 43917 42172 70 338 50 321 41 299 37 286 42 294 42172 40552 74 334 53 321 45 297 41 288 56 297 40552 39054 75 330 55 317 47 298 50 294 59 298 39054 37661 76 328 56 313 47 300 55 304 50 311 37661 36338 73 326 58 310 48 301 58 319 52 328 36338 35020 67 329 56 314 49 312 66 331 66 329 35020 33681 62 331 56 330 55 328 77 334 77 326 33681 32328 55 334 63 338 60 337 83 336 79 327 32328 30949 51 337 70 340 67 344 78 337 70 331 30949 29536 47 338 71 340 76 344 72 338 64 329 29536 28093 46 342 70 343 80 343 70 340 63 328 28093 26622 33 344 62 348 79 346 71 342 61 331 26622 25129 21 333 52 352 77 352 70 344 56 340 25129 23618 13 291 35 346 72 357 70 351 52 351 23618 22082 18 225 15 335 59 358 72 360 52 359 22082 20513 24 211 3 334 41 354 72 004 53 360 20513 18934 22 214 4 002 25 346 63 006 53 357 18934 17419 18 225 8 350 17 343 49 007 56 002 17419 16039 15 234 10 341 16 348 37 008 54 007 16039 14811 13 237 9 334 16 353 29 010 43 010 14811 13714 10 239 8 332 15 358 23 010 30 012 13714 12729 7 240 7 331 11 002 18 003 22 016 12729 11840 5 237 6 326 8 001 13 348 18 016 11840 11039 5 236 4 317 7 003 11*342 17 010 11039 10317 4 238 2 334 7*003 10*341 16 010 10317 9666 2 231 2 058 6*005 9 344 13 015 9666 9070 0 110 5 078 6 008 8 346 9 019 9070 8531 3 070 5*079 7 010 7 348 8 015 8531 8072 6 063 5*077 7 011 7 350 6 003 8072 7713 7 061 5 076 6 013 6 351 6 349 7713 7464 6 052 4 075 6 014 6 353 5 335 7464 7310 4*041 4 073 5 013 5 354 3*317 7310 7222 2*351 3 074 4 015 4 355 2*299 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography