DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/11 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 40.5 - - 54.4 - - 57.0 - - 51.8 - - 41.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -43 - - 83 - - 208 - - -9 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 953 - - 2215 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7207 - - 8458 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 8160 - - 9422 - - 7223 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 66 - - 1194 - - 1293 - - 2231 - - 76 Hgt.Variab. W* 3 - - 184 - - 331 - - 10 - - 5 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 16 - - 20 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 218 - - 207 - - 221 - - 221 - - 212 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 13 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -20 - - -31 - - -42 - - -10 - - -14 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5659 - - -8054 - - -6495 - - -6738 - - -5366 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12882 - - 16214 - - 15918 - - 13961 - - 12589 sfcLCL ODpotential -14500 - - -14641 - - -11970 - - -12700 - - -13620 ODpotential blCL 21723 - - 22801 - - 21392 - - 19923 - - 20843 blCL maxRH 42 - - 40 - - 47 - - 48 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 40.5 - - 54.4 - - 57.0 - - 51.8 - - 41.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 10.6 - - 9.2 - - 12.7 - - 16.4 - - 12.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 47.1 - - 53.9 - - 55.8 - - 52.2 - - 45.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 10.2 - - 8.4 - - 12.1 - - 16.1 - - 12.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -43 - - 83 - - 208 - - -9 - - -64 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 953 - - 2215 - - 16 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96575 32 290 40 285 46 296 39 297 51 289 96575 89515 25 296 28 294 36 296 34 292 33 294 89515 84072 23 299 21 308 25 297 23 293 25 302 84072 79531 18 301 18 305 18 295 15 304 21 303 79531 75572 13 282 16 296 18 279 15 309 22 299 75572 72044 12 277 15 283 19 266 19 283 24 295 72044 68852 18 281 12 260 17 271 23 272 28 291 68852 65927 23 264 17 247 20 276 24 263 29 282 65927 63233 18 269 21 236 23 255 21 261 27 261 63233 60636 30 294 25 254 28 258 25 264 22 244 60636 57917 42 271 37 252 39 257 38 263 34 257 57917 55105 38 252 39 246 47 249 52 252 49 247 55105 52439 34 274 32 249 48 243 51 246 50 241 52439 50033 49 283 41 263 46 254 51 254 49 252 50033 47865 59 278 50 268 53 260 58 260 59 262 47865 45893 59 272 56 264 58 259 68 262 75 263 45893 44088 58 266 58 261 62 259 65 257 78 256 44088 42419 53 262 54 257 62 258 58 253 66 247 42419 40862 42 265 50 251 55 252 55 251 60 246 40862 39404 43 280 46 250 51 246 52 244 60 245 39404 38036 47 289 41 264 46 247 48 241 58 239 38036 36730 48 294 45 278 44 261 45 244 53 234 36730 35427 46 298 48 282 44 266 44 248 50 236 35427 34101 46 302 45 283 43 263 45 250 50 237 34101 32754 41 301 41 280 41 257 42 244 49 232 32754 31374 30 299 32 274 37 250 40 239 46 229 31374 29952 20 291 25 265 32 243 38 233 41 226 29952 28493 13 282 19 252 27 233 33 226 37 224 28493 27002 8 272 13 230 23 215 27 214 32 216 27002 25484 4 254 12 210 21 202 24 199 29 202 25484 23947 4 250 13 189 20 187 23 188 28 189 23947 22390 9 218 16 187 22 181 24 187 27 184 22390 20804 14 208 19 202 22 190 23 195 26 189 20804 19211 13 212 16 207 20 196 23 200 25 195 19211 17686 10 218 13 201 19 194 22 201 23 198 17686 16299 8 217 12 195 18 190 21 200 23 195 16299 15058 7 209 12 197 18 188 20 196 23 192 15058 13942 7 194 12 204 19 187 19 193 23 192 13942 12932 8 180 13 209 20 190 19 196 22 196 12932 12015 9 174 15 209 21 199 20 204 22 203 12015 11183 10 175 17 208 24 208 22 212 22 210 11183 10433 11 182 20 208 26 212 25 215 22 215 10433 9755 12 189 23 208 24*216 26 215 23 218 9755 9134 13 196 26 208 23*219 24 216 24 219 9134 8574 14 197 26*208 22 221 21 218 25 217 8574 8098 15 192 22*208 21 222 19 220 26 212 8098 7728 15 185 18 207 20 222 17 220 23 209 7728 7471 14 188 15 207 19 222 15 220 18 208 7471 7313 12*193 13 207 16 222 12*220 12*209 7313 7223 6*218 8 206 10 223 7*221 6*212 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography