DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.3 - - 70.1 - - 71.6 - - 69.5 - - 62.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 23 - - 318 - - 428 - - 256 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 210 - - 3034 - - 3525 - - 2775 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 9219 - - 9685 - - 8953 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top 7418 - - 10242 - - 10734 - - 9983 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1311 - - 2019 - - 1525 - - 1571 - - 1663 Hgt.Variab. W* 76 - - 429 - - 497 - - 387 - - 16 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 21 - - 22 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 239 - - 234 - - 241 - - 239 - - 235 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 7 - - 11 - - 13 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -31 - - -52 - - -48 - - -10 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5142 - - -3260 - - -2569 - - -3147 - - -4169 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12561 - - 13503 - - 13304 - - 13131 - - 11394 sfcLCL ODpotential -11883 - - -9727 - - -8822 - - -10244 - - -11403 ODpotential blCL 19301 - - 19969 - - 19556 - - 20227 - - 18627 blCL maxRH 30 - - 34 - - 43 - - 36 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.3 - - 70.1 - - 71.6 - - 69.5 - - 62.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 32.6 - - 35.9 - - 38.1 - - 37.0 - - 37.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.1 - - 68.2 - - 69.3 - - 68.0 - - 63.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 31.5 - - 34.7 - - 36.8 - - 35.9 - - 36.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 23 - - 318 - - 428 - - 256 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 210 - - 3034 - - 3525 - - 2775 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99376 28 113 20 112 18 093 25 104 23 115 99376 91850 25 097 23 103 21 114 21 099 25 112 91850 86023 23 103 22 104 21 124 14 101 19 093 86023 81188 22 109 19 103 24 110 16 126 16 081 81188 77056 22 112 13 127 18 110 19 107 16 109 77056 73416 19 111 15 144 10 144 10 100 15 111 73416 70109 11 113 17 128 14 135 10 148 10 103 70109 67075 8 120 12 143 9 146 12 154 4 162 67075 64277 7 167 19 160 12 201 7 179 10 153 64277 61584 7 190 18 164 20 215 9 207 8 205 61584 58804 20 220 20 198 23 222 17 219 10 205 58804 55926 27 229 22 213 31 222 31 229 24 229 55926 53188 31 253 30 236 37 230 46 231 44 235 53188 50744 46 256 44 248 48 247 50 243 51 236 50744 48557 58 252 62 252 65 251 62 247 59 242 48557 46567 68 250 70 250 71 250 72 244 69 243 46567 44735 74 251 71 250 71 251 75 242 74 240 44735 43030 72 252 69 252 72 250 74 243 77 240 43030 41438 65 255 63 254 70 250 72 246 74 243 41438 39949 60 258 56 256 58 251 62 249 63 247 39949 38559 54 260 51 258 51 250 51 247 52 247 38559 37236 50 264 48 261 47 252 44 242 44 244 37236 35917 44 269 43 266 41 254 39 238 40 238 35917 34577 42 274 38 270 32 258 32 240 37 237 34577 33222 40 279 36 274 29 267 27 244 32 236 33222 31837 39 281 34 273 33 274 25 248 29 236 31837 30412 39 281 34 271 38 273 25 250 29 240 30412 28952 40 283 38 272 38 272 28 247 31 250 28952 27459 41 283 42 271 37 271 31 248 35 260 27459 25937 41 282 45 269 36 265 33 256 42 267 25937 24387 41 279 47 268 38 261 35 263 46 270 24387 22803 39 278 47 271 39 265 38 267 46 271 22803 21179 36 275 42 276 38 272 40 270 40 269 21179 19541 33 273 36 279 35 276 39 272 34 267 19541 17971 30 274 31 278 33 275 36 272 30 266 17971 16542 25 272 28 276 32 270 35 269 29 265 16542 15264 20 263 25 273 32 267 34 264 30 261 15264 14114 17 250 23 268 31 266 34 258 31 257 14114 13076 15 236 21 261 29 266 32 254 33 253 13076 12136 14 228 20 251 27 261 31 250 33 249 12136 11284 13 227 19 241 23*248 29 244 33 247 11284 10516 12 229 17*236 22*242 25*240 31 244 10516 9821 12 234 16*234 22 241 24*238 30 239 9821 9185 12 239 16 234 22 241 24 239 29 233 9185 8612 12 242 16 234 22 241 23 238 26 230 8612 8125 12 243 15 235 22 241 23 239 22 232 8125 7745 12 241 14 234 21 241 22 239 19 234 7745 7480 10*239 13 234 19 241 20 239 15 235 7480 7318 8*239 12 235 17 241 17 239 13 235 7318 7224 5 240 9 235 12 241 11 240 7*235 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography