DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1000z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 56.3 - - 57.9 - - 47.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 343 - - 154 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4427 - - 6614 - - 5848 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 10095 - - 12035 - - 11014 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11634 - - 13821 - - 13056 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3070 - - 1648 - - 1764 - - 3470 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 415 - - 562 - - 413 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 8 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 099 - - 052 - - 040 - - 039 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1468 - - 1823 - - -344 - - -2722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 10166 - - 11998 - - 13401 - - 9946 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -91 - - 279 - - -3850 - - -8337 ODpotential blCL - - - 11725 - - 13542 - - 16906 - - 15560 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 78 - - 62 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 60 - - 30 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 51.0 - - 56.3 - - 57.9 - - 47.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 31.5 - - 28.7 - - 24.2 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 49.6 - - 54.2 - - 56.9 - - 51.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.4 - - 28.5 - - 24.0 - - 29.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 206 - - 343 - - 154 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4427 - - 6614 - - 5848 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 24 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98241 7 074 5 141 7 183 6 260 98241 90876 5 102 4 136 3 137 2 151 90876 85177 6 159 1 123 3 054 4 115 85177 80456 7 152 4 254 5 072 3 356 80456 76421 8 101 5 148 1 085 2 345 76421 72875 3 070 3 047 7 033 5 119 72875 69656 3 140 5 270 7 334 6 352 69656 66692 6 232 10 245 10 264 8 282 66692 63940 13 254 12 263 12 257 9 262 63940 61265 18 249 20 253 17 269 11 278 61265 58469 14 246 19 244 20 271 20 285 58469 55571 16 269 19 257 26 270 23 285 55571 52804 26 281 24 267 24 272 19 283 52804 50297 31 278 23 268 23 286 17 300 50297 48027 30 278 20 277 25 292 24 309 48027 45954 29 281 23 286 26 296 29 314 45954 44050 30 278 27 298 28 309 31 321 44050 42304 30 287 31 314 26 311 33 337 42304 40697 22 299 32 316 25 344 37 008 40697 39203 16 316 26 335 37 010 50 026 39203 37820 19 350 29 002 52 016 71 025 37820 36521 27 006 39 011 53 016 83 024 36521 35232 35 013 49 022 54 023 85 025 35232 33918 45 018 64 030 65 033 84 028 33918 32581 54 020 72 029 74 031 81 032 32581 31212 64 022 74 027 78 026 81 036 31212 29803 69 022 73 024 74 024 79 040 29803 28358 69 022 71 021 69 026 73 040 28358 26882 65 026 66 022 64 023 68 036 26882 25381 65 028 62 027 62 019 59 031 25381 23856 51 030 57 033 61 020 54 026 23856 22304 30 032 46 033 59 024 51 026 22304 20718 16 059 31 036 53 030 49 031 20718 19125 15 086 23 039 39 034 45 033 19125 17603 10 095 21 034 29 029 38 032 17603 16224 8 093 18 034 23 027 32 030 16224 14994 6 095 9 042 16 030 27 030 14994 13890 4 111 7*051 11*036 24 035 13890 12893 3 137 7*052 10*040 22 040 12893 11988 3*138 8 052 10 040 19 038 11988 11167 4*125 8 052 10 041 16 031 11167 10425 5 110 8 052 10 041 15 030 10425 9753 5 102 8 051 10 041 15 036 9753 9137 5 097 9 052 11 040 15 041 9137 8578 6 095 9 052 11 040 15 044 8578 8104 6 092 8 052 10 039 15 047 8104 7732 5 091 8 052 10 039 14 050 7732 7473 5 089 8 052 10 039 11 049 7473 7315 5 089 7 053 9 039 8 045 7315 7223 4 088 6 054 7 041 4*039 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography