DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 Truckee 7209ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 81.1 - - 81.0 - - 70.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 173 - - 217 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4310 - - 9021 - - 4763 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9989 - - 13573 - - 10395 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top - - - 11518 - - 16230 - - 11972 - - 7225 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4758 - - 2647 - - 6427 - - 902 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 406 - - 503 - - 438 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 18 - - 8 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 311 - - 246 - - 282 - - 281 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -67 - - -39 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4855 - - -2 - - -4042 - - -5916 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 16374 - - 16233 - - 16015 - - 13142 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7750 - - -2497 - - -6778 - - -10186 ODpotential blCL - - - 19268 - - 18727 - - 18750 - - 17411 blCL maxRH - - - 96 - - 98 - - 72 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 20 - - 10 - - 40 - - 50 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.6 - - 81.1 - - 81.0 - - 70.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 32.8 - - 34.8 - - 35.7 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 79.9 - - 79.6 - - 72.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 31.7 - - 33.8 - - 34.7 - - 38.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 193 - - 173 - - 217 - - -30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4310 - - 9021 - - 4763 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 83 - - 93 - - 0 - - 33 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99497 28 111 31 105 26 111 21 093 99497 91997 25 099 24 100 24 110 22 089 91997 86214 22 108 21 088 25 097 21 103 86214 81421 23 119 19 100 25 086 22 103 81421 77278 24 111 15 104 19 091 21 090 77278 73610 20 098 16 101 14 093 16 071 73610 70307 13 105 12 128 11 081 9 061 70307 67281 14 084 11 136 3 123 5 060 67281 64476 1 360 4 091 2 060 4 136 64476 61767 4 239 2 343 6 012 5 071 61767 58968 2 221 3 309 7 322 8 355 58968 56103 9 281 5 290 7 281 8 323 56103 53400 17 250 17 262 22 273 19 290 53400 50988 21 248 26 242 32 258 31 269 50988 48831 27 244 29 239 35 246 34 256 48831 46864 34 249 29 244 36 247 33 257 46864 45051 38 250 33 243 38 251 32 266 45051 43367 41 248 36 245 38 251 33 266 43367 41792 39 247 33 247 36 248 34 261 41792 40314 36 246 30 252 32 249 31 253 40314 38927 34 246 26 255 29 252 29 253 38927 37601 31 245 25 255 28 257 28 255 37601 36272 27 246 24 259 27 259 28 255 36272 34916 25 249 24 262 27 261 28 254 34916 33535 23 255 22 258 27 263 28 256 33535 32121 22 258 21 254 24 262 27 265 32121 30666 22 263 20 259 22 259 24 265 30666 29179 21 269 19 261 22 261 22 261 29179 27662 20 272 18 263 22 264 22 265 27662 26115 15 268 16 257 22 263 22 269 26115 24543 15 271 14 241 16 253 18 256 24543 22946 16 241 19 235 11 258 14 237 22946 21318 21 224 19 251 11 265 11 225 21318 19681 21 214 18 256 12 256 12 222 19681 18113 18 210 15 250 13 241 12 223 18113 16682 14 216 13*241 14 234 13 228 16682 15398 10 228 11*236 14 236 13 233 15398 14240 8 234 11 236 13 245 13 239 14240 13189 7 242 11 238 12 255 13 247 13189 12235 5*257 11 241 12*268 12 257 12235 11369 4*282 12 244 12*277 12 268 11369 10586 5 301 12 249 13 280 12 280 10586 9878 5 309 12 253 14 282 12 289 9878 9229 5 314 13 255 14 282 14 297 9229 8642 4 318 13 256 14 283 15 299 8642 8144 4 321 12 256 14 283 16 295 8144 7756 4 324 12 255 14 283 15 291 7756 7486 3 329 11 255 13 283 12 287 7486 7320 3 330 10 254 12 282 10*284 7320 7225 2 331 7 252 9 282 5*281 7225 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography