DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/11 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.8 - - 73.4 - - 76.0 - - 73.8 - - 63.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 286 - - 378 - - 218 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2933 - - 3683 - - 2338 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7207 - - 9110 - - 9774 - - 8585 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7224 - - 10141 - - 10892 - - 9547 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 908 - - 2117 - - 2468 - - 1769 - - 1032 Hgt.Variab. W* 26 - - 410 - - 485 - - 349 - - 16 W* B/S 1 - - 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 16 - - 17 - - 17 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 222 - - 225 - - 234 - - 245 - - 253 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -12 - - -37 - - -41 - - -49 - - -11 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -7931 - - -5934 - - -5455 - - -6459 - - -5349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 15155 - - 16076 - - 16348 - - 16007 - - 12574 sfcLCL ODpotential -13918 - - -11426 - - -10463 - - -11425 - - -11518 ODpotential blCL 21142 - - 21567 - - 21355 - - 20972 - - 18742 blCL maxRH 75 - - 75 - - 72 - - 64 - - 89 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 64.8 - - 73.4 - - 76.0 - - 73.8 - - 63.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 24.2 - - 28.1 - - 29.3 - - 28.8 - - 34.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.7 - - 71.6 - - 73.8 - - 72.4 - - 65.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.9 - - 26.8 - - 28.1 - - 27.6 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 286 - - 378 - - 218 - - -29 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 2933 - - 3683 - - 2338 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 58 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99479 33 093 25 113 24 104 27 104 26 101 99479 91954 23 100 21 115 20 103 20 092 23 098 91954 86128 24 097 17 110 18 104 18 103 16 096 86128 81290 26 103 18 106 16 106 17 100 17 092 81290 77149 19 110 17 114 19 122 14 098 16 112 77149 73501 17 121 15 116 18 126 14 128 16 107 73501 70203 13 110 12 127 14 141 13 130 9 079 70203 67177 2 171 10 158 9 180 6 164 1 078 67177 64380 16 198 14 202 9 184 7 165 7 159 64380 61687 19 189 18 205 14 211 15 210 12 211 61687 58897 18 216 23 195 27 211 30 213 23 214 58897 56035 26 225 31 205 38 207 39 209 36 212 56035 53323 42 235 39 219 45 211 45 213 42 211 53323 50883 55 232 52 226 53 221 52 221 49 218 50883 48691 65 230 62 227 62 223 62 223 58 221 48691 46690 72 231 67 228 66 224 66 222 65 219 46690 44843 74 231 71 229 69 225 67 222 67 220 44843 43126 80 229 72 227 72 223 71 223 72 219 43126 41524 84 227 78 225 80 221 77 222 76 219 41524 40030 79 229 80 225 80 223 84 225 83 224 40030 38639 63 231 75 229 79 228 85 225 85 225 38639 37311 53 231 68 230 73 229 82 225 76 226 37311 35987 48 229 58 229 64 226 71 228 67 225 35987 34640 46 233 52 232 54 223 56 227 60 218 34640 33275 45 240 47 233 47 222 50 219 58 215 33275 31878 45 235 45 230 45 218 47 209 56 216 31878 30443 47 230 47 231 45 217 45 206 54 211 30443 28980 48 231 48 232 48 215 47 206 53 200 28980 27489 47 230 49 228 50 210 48 202 54 194 27489 25966 47 225 48 222 51 204 51 199 55 190 25966 24414 45 222 47 214 51 204 53 199 54 193 24414 22829 42 221 46 210 48 204 49 202 49 197 22829 21206 40 218 42 209 43 203 39 201 41 196 21206 19573 38 212 37 208 37 203 33 192 35 189 19573 18010 37 210 34 207 33 203 30 185 32 183 18010 16586 35 210 31 208 31 203 28 184 30 182 16586 15309 33 212 27 210 29 203 26 188 27 184 15309 14158 30 214 25 211 27 203 24 196 25 191 14158 13116 27 217 23 213 25 205 23 205 22 201 13116 12169 26 220 22 214 23 209 23 212 21 212 12169 11310 24 225 21 217 19*217 23 218 21 223 11310 10536 23 230 20*221 17*225 23 222 21 231 10536 9836 23 235 18*223 17 230 20*231 22 237 9836 9195 22 237 18 224 17 233 19*240 23 239 9195 8617 21 236 17 226 17 235 18 244 22 243 8617 8128 21 232 17 226 17 237 18 246 20 251 8128 7746 19 227 16 227 16 237 17 247 18 254 7746 7481 15 223 15 227 15 238 16 247 15 255 7481 7318 13*222 13 227 14 239 14 247 12*254 7318 7224 6*222 9 227 10 239 10 248 6*253 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography