DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 11/03 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 39.0 - - 47.5 - - 49.3 - - 44.2 - - 37.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -128 - - 58 - - 166 - - 16 - - -84 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 737 - - 1433 - - 769 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7206 - - 7837 - - 7206 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 7944 - - 8640 - - 7976 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 221 - - 844 - - 1011 - - 1107 - - 583 Hgt.Variab. W* 18 - - 160 - - 270 - - 105 - - 15 W* B/S 0 - - 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 23 - - 29 - - 21 - - 9 BL Wind Direction 230 - - 228 - - 232 - - 237 - - 228 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 17 - - 23 - - 15 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -22 - - -50 - - -75 - - -50 - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2089 - - -2839 - - -1235 - - 14 - - -1637 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 9313 - - 10784 - - 9875 - - 7963 - - 8861 sfcLCL ODpotential -10913 - - -10691 - - -8225 - - -5731 - - -10727 ODpotential blCL 18136 - - 18635 - - 16865 - - 13707 - - 17950 blCL maxRH 64 - - 49 - - 52 - - 71 - - 53 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 39.0 - - 47.5 - - 49.3 - - 44.2 - - 37.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 23.8 - - 25.7 - - 31.2 - - 34.5 - - 24.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.1 - - 47.3 - - 48.4 - - 44.2 - - 40.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 22.7 - - 24.6 - - 30.1 - - 34.1 - - 24.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -128 - - 58 - - 166 - - 16 - - -84 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 737 - - 1433 - - 769 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96977 22 307 9 274 14 277 14 285 24 307 96977 89808 11 293 12 294 13 301 10 322 17 300 89808 84285 7 262 10 298 9 292 13 317 10 311 84285 79689 9 288 9 290 10 258 12 326 13 314 79689 75719 12 292 10 302 9 265 17 302 13 308 75719 72195 13 292 11 291 14 277 10 286 13 319 72195 68985 13 282 15 273 12 295 20 277 25 277 68985 66064 14 274 16 258 25 275 29 268 22 267 66064 63360 20 281 22 252 35 266 20 263 10 276 63360 60688 28 269 30 257 33 261 15 269 19 283 60688 57869 35 264 33 267 28 255 35 264 47 269 57869 54971 41 273 33 272 36 255 57 262 65 263 54971 52242 52 272 44 273 50 262 71 263 75 263 52242 49815 55 266 54 269 64 264 78 264 81 263 49815 47651 50 254 56 262 72 265 81 261 81 260 47651 45687 43 254 55 257 74 264 79 258 79 260 45687 43883 42 263 56 254 72 257 78 258 76 260 43883 42216 43 267 58 253 72 253 76 257 72 259 42216 40666 41 266 59 254 68 252 70 253 66 256 40666 39217 38 264 57 256 60 251 57 246 57 250 39217 37865 33 267 51 258 52 248 47 240 50 245 37865 36575 27 270 44 262 45 247 44 246 47 244 36575 35287 23 282 40 268 42 248 43 250 45 247 35287 33971 24 295 36 267 39 249 43 248 45 247 33971 32633 24 289 32 268 39 252 45 248 45 249 32633 31262 26 274 31 263 40 256 46 252 47 255 31262 29851 32 267 31 256 40 260 45 257 46 261 29851 28403 31 265 29 253 38 261 45 260 44 265 28403 26922 25 261 27 252 35 262 46 262 43 266 26922 25412 21 248 26 248 33 261 46 262 43 264 25412 23880 21 243 27 243 31 260 43 261 43 263 23880 22322 22 249 28 237 30 259 40 259 42 264 22322 20730 22 254 29 234 30 256 37 258 41 265 20730 19131 19 254 29 234 31 253 35 258 41 263 19131 17602 16 250 30 235 33 251 35 258 41 259 17602 16213 16 245 31 236 35 248 37 257 41 257 16213 14973 18 242 32 237 37 246 39 255 41 256 14973 13859 21 242 33 238 39 245 41 252 42 255 13859 12854 24 242 35 239 40 244 41 249 41 252 12854 11945 27 243 36 241 41 244 41 246 41 248 11945 11122 30 245 37 244 41 244 41 245 41 243 11122 10382 32 246 37 245 40 243 40 242 40 238 10382 9714 33 245 37 243 39 239 39 237 39 234 9714 9103 34 242 37 238 38*234 38 233 39 230 9103 8553 34 236 36 230 36*232 35 232 39 227 8553 8085 35 229 34*228 33 232 30*235 37 225 8085 7721 34 225 29*228 30 233 26*237 32 224 7721 7467 28 226 25 228 26 233 23 238 24 225 7467 7312 21*227 21 228 22 233 20 238 19*227 7312 7223 10*230 12 229 13 233 11 238 9*228 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography