DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/14 Truckee 7206ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0952z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 32.5 - - 34.3 - - 32.4 - - 27.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 84 - - 15 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 374 - - 1429 - - 1013 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 7206 - - 7205 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7580 - - 8634 - - 8218 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 893 - - 882 - - 1169 - - 1507 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 102 - - 221 - - 118 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 27 - - 24 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 222 - - 224 - - 216 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 21 - - 20 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -33 - - -58 - - -48 - - -13 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -623 - - 776 - - 996 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8203 - - 7858 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6116 - - -5851 - - -4186 - - -4633 ODpotential blCL - - - 13696 - - 14485 - - 12404 - - 11855 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 90 - - 80 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 32.5 - - 34.3 - - 32.4 - - 27.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 22.0 - - 25.2 - - 26.7 - - 25.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 32.4 - - 33.9 - - 32.4 - - 28.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.8 - - 24.1 - - 26.0 - - 26.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 28 - - 84 - - 15 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 374 - - 1429 - - 1013 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 59 - - 19 - - 71 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96659 30 087 39 100 41 096 36 107 96659 89545 27 094 25 104 23 101 22 094 89545 84027 20 105 16 106 21 114 15 083 84027 79414 13 117 9 101 13 133 8 090 79414 75400 9 146 4 032 7 140 6 111 75400 71838 5 197 4 297 2 064 1 348 71838 68595 7 213 9 246 9 287 5 349 68595 65602 12 234 18 244 16 238 15 250 65602 62834 23 247 13 257 7 207 7 229 62834 60108 22 252 15 246 13 247 7 358 60108 57229 27 264 33 251 43 248 36 259 57229 54273 45 259 52 251 62 247 61 251 54273 51492 59 256 65 249 69 246 68 242 51492 49000 72 256 71 255 70 253 69 247 49000 46769 81 262 84 260 78 259 76 251 46769 44747 95 262 93 259 88 257 83 251 44747 42899 96 257 94 257 93 253 88 250 42899 41202 90 256 95 257 96 252 94 250 41202 39640 97 259 101 254 103 248 103 247 39640 38201 97 256 98 250 99 243 105 239 38201 36873 90 256 89 251 91 243 98 234 36873 35613 87 261 90 255 93 247 95 237 35613 34351 83 261 84 254 89 246 92 238 34351 33064 80 258 78 251 83 246 88 238 33064 31758 81 255 76 250 81 245 86 238 31758 30422 78 252 77 250 80 245 84 238 30422 29050 77 252 78 250 78 245 79 237 29050 27646 79 249 76 248 74 245 74 237 27646 26213 78 247 72 245 69 244 68 235 26213 24755 73 245 68 242 66 242 64 235 24755 23277 66 243 65 239 63 239 61 234 23277 21774 59 241 61 237 59 237 57 233 21774 20240 52 240 57 236 55 234 56 234 20240 18701 43 239 52 236 51 231 54 234 18701 17233 35 235 48 234 48 230 51 231 17233 15901 28 228 44 230 45 229 48 226 15901 14711 25 220 42 225 44 228 45 221 14711 13641 24 216 41 221 44 226 44 218 13641 12672 25 216 41 219 44 224 45 217 12672 11794 27 218 41 220 44 221 47 217 11794 10999 30 221 41 221 46 218 50 215 10999 10284 32 222 41 221 46 214 53 212 10284 9637 34 221 40 219 45 214 53 210 9637 9046 35 219 37*219 40 217 49 210 9046 8513 35 218 33*221 35*221 43 212 8513 8060 32 219 30 222 31*223 36 215 8060 7707 25*221 27 223 27 224 30 217 7707 7460 21*223 24 223 24 224 24 218 7460 7309 17 224 20 223 19 224 19*217 7309 7222 10 225 12 223 11 224 10*216 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography