DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/19 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 53.9 - - 51.1 - - 43.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 248 - - 89 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2512 - - 3343 - - 2630 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8744 - - 9353 - - 8314 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9718 - - 10550 - - 9837 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1241 - - 1336 - - 1877 - - 1748 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 370 - - 402 - - 264 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 30 - - 31 - - 25 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 224 - - 221 - - 212 - - 203 Direction Wind Shear - - - 21 - - 20 - - 19 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -73 - - -60 - - -51 - - -12 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3701 - - -2646 - - -2413 - - -3297 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 13419 - - 13197 - - 12250 - - 10520 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8720 - - -7853 - - -8106 - - -9817 ODpotential blCL - - - 18438 - - 18403 - - 17943 - - 17040 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 78 - - 66 - - 101 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 53.7 - - 53.9 - - 51.1 - - 43.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.1 - - 21.2 - - 22.6 - - 22.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 52.4 - - 52.6 - - 50.5 - - 45.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.0 - - 21.1 - - 22.6 - - 22.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 257 - - 248 - - 89 - - -39 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2512 - - 3343 - - 2630 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 12 - - 0 - - 103 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97718 14 277 17 302 19 288 23 309 97718 90440 16 288 16 315 14 310 11 301 90440 84828 14 290 12 293 16 299 11 320 84828 80160 6 325 7 278 11 266 15 294 80160 76142 7 317 4 261 6 282 7 288 76142 72588 11 285 12 281 12 294 7 317 72588 69365 11 270 10 273 9 286 9 284 69365 66391 8 267 10 264 7 273 6 246 66391 63615 12 234 15 253 17 262 14 256 63615 60919 19 223 22 241 24 249 19 256 60919 58105 22 233 30 239 27 237 28 231 58105 55185 32 239 37 234 33 227 33 218 55185 52392 44 238 44 231 38 229 38 229 52392 49874 51 237 52 230 51 234 54 234 49874 47623 56 234 59 232 62 234 65 229 47623 45583 60 235 66 236 69 233 73 225 45583 43711 62 234 70 236 76 234 80 227 43711 41974 60 231 71 234 80 232 87 226 41974 40360 57 232 70 233 81 231 87 226 40360 38862 54 234 69 233 81 231 84 227 38862 37480 54 234 66 231 78 228 81 228 37480 36180 54 234 63 228 73 226 75 225 36180 34894 52 232 63 225 66 224 68 220 34894 33591 48 227 60 223 57 224 60 219 33591 32270 46 225 56 223 52 224 58 220 32270 30917 44 228 53 223 50 224 59 222 30917 29528 42 227 52 224 49 225 57 224 29528 28106 40 226 49 224 48 226 52 224 28106 26652 38 225 44 224 45 227 48 220 26652 25169 35 225 39 223 42 227 45 217 25169 23665 32 223 36 221 40 225 42 215 23665 22134 29 216 34 218 37 220 40 215 22134 20569 26 209 32 215 34 215 37 213 20569 18998 24 208 29 211 31 209 33 208 18998 17498 22 210 27 207 29 205 31 202 17498 16136 21 213 26 206 28 206 29 197 16136 14918 21 217 26 208 28 208 29 195 14918 13822 22 222 28 213 29 211 29 197 13822 12831 24 227 32 217 31 213 30 200 12831 11933 28 230 34 218 34 210 32 204 11933 11119 32 229 34*218 34 208 35 205 11119 10384 34 226 34*219 32*208 38 204 10384 9719 35*224 34 219 30*209 40 202 9719 9110 35*224 33 220 29 211 40 201 9110 8559 34 224 32 221 27 212 38 200 8559 8090 32 224 31 222 26 214 33 199 8090 7724 30 224 29 223 24 214 26 199 7724 7469 27 225 26 223 22 215 19 200 7469 7313 23 225 22 223 18 215 15*200 7313 7223 13 226 13 223 11 215 7*203 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography