DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.8 - - 74.6 - - 78.5 - - - - - 64.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 34 - - 287 - - 344 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 537 - - 4012 - - 6132 - - - - - 162 BL Depth Hcrit 7208 - - 9933 - - 11672 - - - - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top 7746 - - 11221 - - 13341 - - - - - 7370 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1213 - - 2697 - - 3665 - - - - - 594 Hgt.Variab. W* 117 - - 454 - - 556 - - - - - 33 W* B/S 4 - - 12 - - 15 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction 246 - - 172 - - 205 - - - - - 252 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - - - - 4 Wind Shear Max.Converg -14 - - -4 - - -8 - - - - - -18 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4919 - - -1630 - - -53 - - - - - -3857 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12665 - - 12852 - - 13395 - - - - - 11228 sfcLCL ODpotential -10081 - - -4638 - - -2378 - - - - - -8913 ODpotential blCL 17827 - - 15859 - - 15719 - - - - - 16283 blCL maxRH 84 - - 82 - - 94 - - - - - 96 maxRH CAPE 50 - - 40 - - 250 - - - - - 10 CAPE Temp@2m 65.8 - - 74.6 - - 78.5 - - - - - 64.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.7 - - 43.0 - - 44.5 - - - - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 65.5 - - 72.5 - - 76.3 - - - - - 64.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 34.7 - - 41.9 - - 43.3 - - - - - 40.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 34 - - 287 - - 344 - - - - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 537 - - 4012 - - 6132 - - - - - 162 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 36 - - 30 - - 76 - - - - - 85 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - - - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99541 35 089 38 109 26 111 24 093 99541 91988 36 106 30 106 25 107 28 100 91988 86172 35 102 28 097 29 105 30 104 86172 81359 29 094 24 102 26 096 30 104 81359 77228 26 097 23 106 17 093 24 096 77228 73587 27 084 24 111 17 112 16 083 73587 70296 15 076 22 103 17 109 18 087 70296 67285 14 093 19 086 20 106 15 104 67285 64508 10 099 9 115 14 092 18 112 64508 61836 3 240 10 136 6 109 13 091 61836 59069 15 199 11 188 12 198 2 106 59069 56208 18 192 28 192 27 205 10 231 56208 53492 27 229 29 213 34 201 28 216 53492 51076 45 234 42 224 40 216 39 211 51076 48927 55 222 53 222 50 221 42 215 48927 46969 56 221 58 221 54 221 43 222 46969 45153 58 223 61 222 54 222 45 225 45153 43456 59 224 60 222 55 224 49 220 43456 41867 59 233 56 224 58 226 53 218 41867 40377 63 235 55 235 59 226 54 219 40377 38976 65 238 57 239 58 226 53 222 38976 37634 68 242 57 238 56 224 50 225 37634 36288 68 244 54 232 55 222 52 226 36288 34911 64 244 56 226 53 220 54 226 34911 33513 59 241 57 225 53 222 52 225 33513 32085 58 241 53 223 56 228 49 224 32085 30617 50 240 47 222 57 229 44 222 30617 29116 44 232 44 221 46 221 37 222 29116 27588 43 225 41 219 37 210 31 219 27588 26032 39 222 36 218 33 205 30 210 26032 24453 34 219 33 218 29 205 29 203 24453 22849 31 212 30 214 27 203 24 194 22849 21216 31 207 29 208 27 200 25 188 21216 19578 32 207 29 204 28 202 28 184 19578 18012 30 207 29 203 27 204 26 172 18012 16590 26 205 28 203 25 202 22 137 16590 15318 24 200 25 201 22 198 22 130 15318 14171 21 191 21 197 18*193 18 132 14171 13130 19 180 18 190 11*186 14 137 13130 12184 18 171 16 179 7 182 11 151 12184 11326 16 168 12*168 7 185 10 175 11326 10550 13 172 9*164 6 194 12 194 10550 9847 12 182 8 167 6 206 16 208 9847 9203 12 200 7 171 7 223 19 221 9203 8622 12 217 7 174 7 228 19 232 8622 8129 10*232 6 178 7 231 17 249 8129 7747 8*242 6 180 7 232 15 255 7747 7480 6 248 5 180 7 233 12*255 7480 7318 4 248 5 181 7 234 10*253 7318 7224 3 250 4 179 5 233 5 252 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography