DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/03 Truckee 7208ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0659z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 80.5 - - 78.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 407 - - 228 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3566 - - 7078 - - 5315 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 9612 - - 12497 - - 10841 - - 7208 Hcrit BL Top - - - 10774 - - 14287 - - 12524 - - 7225 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1774 - - 1280 - - 2826 - - 2152 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 446 - - 614 - - 461 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 15 - - 13 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 149 - - 246 - - 267 - - 276 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 12 - - -8 - - -15 - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -7506 - - -5463 - - -5808 - - -7515 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 18280 - - 19751 - - 18333 - - 14741 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15074 - - -12309 - - -11878 - - -14505 ODpotential blCL - - - 25848 - - 26596 - - 24402 - - 21730 blCL maxRH - - - 33 - - 39 - - 29 - - 26 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 74.1 - - 80.5 - - 78.7 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 19.1 - - 18.3 - - 23.2 - - 29.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 78.0 - - 77.2 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 17.9 - - 17.3 - - 22.0 - - 28.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 311 - - 407 - - 228 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3566 - - 7078 - - 5315 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99496 31 111 30 097 37 104 33 100 99496 91975 43 098 33 110 30 104 28 096 91975 86185 35 102 31 114 27 104 28 099 86185 81383 25 107 26 102 25 096 27 098 81383 77245 23 113 21 109 19 095 18 083 77245 73597 17 098 16 116 13 101 12 074 73597 70303 11 088 11 108 10 086 12 074 70303 67281 9 066 9 100 5 111 9 082 67281 64487 4 108 8 060 9 056 13 083 64487 61788 4 110 4 140 6 011 8 052 61788 59010 4 153 3 213 5 309 5 342 59010 56165 9 307 10 249 14 259 11 273 56165 53473 24 292 20 283 18 290 14 296 53473 51062 32 284 29 287 26 290 23 298 51062 48894 36 280 33 283 31 282 28 290 48894 46915 41 279 36 280 40 280 38 283 46915 45095 44 279 40 281 46 280 45 285 45095 43403 45 280 41 283 47 281 48 283 43403 41813 44 279 43 281 44 286 48 282 41813 40314 43 281 42 280 44 287 45 285 40314 38907 41 284 40 283 42 280 44 287 38907 37566 40 283 38 282 38 277 43 286 37566 36228 37 279 35 277 34 276 40 282 36228 34866 34 275 33 273 31 277 35 281 34866 33485 33 280 33 276 30 280 31 286 33485 32071 33 287 34 279 31 281 30 287 32071 30616 33 289 34 284 32 281 32 285 30616 29126 32 288 34 289 32 285 33 284 29126 27603 31 287 32 293 31 290 32 288 27603 26052 29 287 30 292 29 296 30 295 26052 24476 26 288 27 290 27 298 28 298 24476 22871 23 288 23 291 23 295 24 297 22871 21231 22 288 21 291 20 288 21 293 21231 19583 21 286 19 289 18 283 18 286 19583 18011 20 283 17 285 14 279 15 279 18011 16584 18 278 14 274 8 266 11 263 16584 15309 16 272 10*258 4 226 9 215 15309 14163 14 265 7*247 2 170 9 182 14163 13125 11 259 7 246 1*143 7 164 13125 12182 9 250 7 246 1*244 6 142 12182 11326 8*223 7 246 3 267 4 118 11326 10552 6*185 8 246 4 268 3 102 10552 9851 7 157 8 246 8 269 1 050 9851 9209 7 149 8 246 9 268 5 293 9209 8630 7 146 8 246 9 267 9 288 8630 8137 7 142 8 246 9 267 11 285 8137 7752 7 139 8 245 9 267 11 283 7752 7484 6 137 8 245 9 266 10 281 7484 7319 6 136 7 245 8 266 7*278 7319 7225 5 134 6 244 7 265 4*276 7225 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography