DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/14 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0954z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 36.6 - - 52.5 - - 58.3 - - 56.7 - - 43.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -10 - - 221 - - 327 - - 76 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1531 - - 3503 - - 2440 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7206 - - 7982 - - 9571 - - 8032 - - 7206 Hcrit BL Top 7223 - - 8738 - - 10710 - - 9647 - - 7223 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 324 - - 1154 - - 1522 - - 1710 - - 1079 Hgt.Variab. W* 2 - - 297 - - 447 - - 244 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 8 - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 3 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 325 - - 075 - - 053 - - 058 - - 045 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - 8 - - 11 - - 10 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5745 - - -6762 - - -5439 - - -5912 - - -5623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 12968 - - 15501 - - 16150 - - 15560 - - 12847 sfcLCL ODpotential -16565 - - -13834 - - -10788 - - -11411 - - -13637 ODpotential blCL 23788 - - 22572 - - 21498 - - 21058 - - 20860 blCL maxRH 73 - - 57 - - 56 - - 43 - - 62 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 36.6 - - 52.5 - - 58.3 - - 56.7 - - 43.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 6.3 - - 10.3 - - 12.9 - - 14.0 - - 13.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 42.0 - - 50.8 - - 56.3 - - 56.0 - - 48.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 6.2 - - 10.0 - - 12.5 - - 13.7 - - 13.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -10 - - 221 - - 327 - - 76 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1531 - - 3503 - - 2440 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97467 7 005 6 333 9 307 11 338 7 040 97467 90266 5 035 10 295 11 320 8 334 5 049 90266 84693 3 012 2 242 8 306 6 293 7 341 84693 80059 5 326 0 251 7 285 7 257 10 295 80059 76076 9 275 3 324 5 258 8 257 8 291 76076 72557 9 253 7 339 5 271 7 283 7 326 72557 69372 12 277 6 355 6 245 10 250 11 290 69372 66453 12 279 4 338 7 244 7 240 9 275 66453 63747 12 279 8 293 12 271 13 314 8 312 63747 61124 12 288 11 279 18 271 20 298 16 313 61124 58394 15 314 9 291 15 260 22 299 19 311 58394 55565 23 318 21 311 22 299 30 304 29 304 55565 52860 35 320 29 312 28 306 31 301 33 301 52860 50410 33 325 37 328 35 319 36 311 36 312 50410 48195 51 334 50 322 45 317 46 317 48 318 48195 46167 59 330 57 315 52 313 54 318 56 319 46167 44296 59 335 57 314 57 312 60 319 66 322 44296 42565 62 338 60 320 55 314 65 317 70 315 42565 40956 66 338 62 325 53 320 62 316 66 317 40956 39455 67 337 64 331 57 326 58 323 53 324 39455 38058 66 332 64 332 60 329 56 329 45 328 38058 36735 68 327 59 332 57 330 57 327 48 331 36735 35422 64 325 55 330 49 329 51 327 50 333 35422 34093 58 331 53 331 45 331 41 331 46 334 34093 32752 53 335 49 333 43 334 38 333 36 331 32752 31386 52 334 46 334 42 333 39 335 31 330 31386 29979 51 334 46 334 42 331 37 335 30 333 29979 28536 50 335 47 333 43 329 34 335 30 338 28536 27056 48 337 46 335 41 330 33 335 31 341 27056 25548 45 339 43 336 38 333 32 336 30 344 25548 24016 42 342 40 337 35 334 32 338 28 348 24016 22456 38 345 37 340 32 336 31 341 26 355 22456 20860 36 349 34 344 29 340 30 345 24 359 20860 19253 33 353 30 349 26 344 28 349 23 358 19253 17716 31 358 28 354 24 351 26 354 22 357 17716 16320 29 003 25 002 21 359 22 000 19 358 16320 15071 25 006 22 010 18 008 19 007 17 003 15071 13948 22 008 19 014 14 014 15 015 14 009 13948 12933 19 010 16 015 11 018 12 021 12 017 12933 12012 17 013 14 015 7 021 9 023 11 028 12012 11179 16 014 11 017 5*040 5 034 10 039 11179 10428 14 017 10 026 5*050 5 056 10 047 10428 9750 13 021 8 044 6 053 6*061 10 054 9750 9130 11 028 7*066 6 054 7*060 11 064 9130 8571 10 038 7*075 7 053 8 059 12 075 8571 8097 9 048 7 075 8 053 8 058 13 079 8097 7728 8 053 7 075 8 053 8 058 13 078 7728 7471 7 051 6 075 7 053 8 057 11 074 7471 7314 4*027 6 074 7 053 7 058 7*062 7314 7223 3*325 4 075 6 053 6 058 4*045 7223 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography