DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 Truckee 7205ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0653z - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 23.9 - - 29.8 - - 32.5 - - 32.5 - - 24.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating -36 - - 67 - - 75 - - 21 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1521 - - 3081 - - 1607 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit 7205 - - 7205 - - 8579 - - 7205 - - 7205 Hcrit BL Top 7222 - - 8726 - - 10287 - - 8812 - - 7222 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1636 - - 1438 - - 1190 - - 1723 - - 1723 Hgt.Variab. W* 0 - - 206 - - 272 - - 148 - - 0 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 22 - - 20 - - 14 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 216 - - 210 - - 207 - - 213 - - 217 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 18 - - 16 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -13 - - -38 - - -33 - - -25 - - -8 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 1 - - 1504 - - 3025 - - 1590 - - 1 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 7222 - - 7222 - - 7262 - - 7222 - - 7222 sfcLCL ODpotential -1132 - - -304 - - 661 - - -210 - - -1349 ODpotential blCL 8354 - - 9030 - - 9626 - - 9022 - - 8571 blCL maxRH 96 - - 86 - - 97 - - 89 - - 97 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 23.9 - - 29.8 - - 32.5 - - 32.5 - - 24.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 22.4 - - 25.0 - - 25.8 - - 27.0 - - 22.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 25.8 - - 29.4 - - 32.0 - - 32.4 - - 27.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 24.1 - - 24.2 - - 24.7 - - 26.3 - - 26.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating -36 - - 67 - - 75 - - 21 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 16 - - 1521 - - 3081 - - 1607 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 85 - - 44 - - 87 - - 56 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96825 42 105 33 090 38 098 39 117 17 114 96825 89652 36 105 24 107 24 106 35 098 24 114 89652 84068 20 106 19 117 18 108 18 105 20 090 84068 79405 11 104 12 126 10 118 13 126 8 095 79405 75358 8 115 10 115 7 094 8 134 4 176 75358 71780 8 138 4 160 1 356 4 215 2 234 71780 68537 13 114 8 149 5 233 10 212 4 003 68537 65523 7 244 5 202 10 251 15 251 12 233 65523 62726 10 250 16 238 22 222 22 237 17 219 62726 60011 11 153 14 214 17 209 21 225 15 256 60011 57134 16 228 23 211 22 234 32 225 23 252 57134 54120 47 237 42 224 43 234 36 226 38 246 54120 51260 62 236 55 228 50 230 52 241 51 245 51260 48718 68 238 60 234 56 231 63 241 59 243 48718 46455 77 239 62 239 64 237 68 242 65 243 46455 44407 80 238 65 245 73 243 73 242 70 243 44407 42541 83 238 77 243 86 239 81 240 78 243 42541 40837 85 237 86 236 90 233 86 236 87 239 40837 39274 82 238 83 234 87 233 89 237 93 238 39274 37829 86 242 86 239 90 238 100 240 104 237 37829 36487 100 240 96 238 100 240 109 238 109 235 36487 35215 107 234 98 235 104 238 108 236 107 234 35215 33954 98 231 94 232 103 238 105 237 109 235 33954 32676 88 232 88 230 101 238 108 239 112 236 32676 31385 87 235 85 229 97 236 106 237 111 236 31385 30066 86 233 85 229 90 232 100 233 107 234 30066 28713 84 228 82 229 85 229 95 230 99 230 28713 27329 81 227 79 230 84 229 91 228 93 227 27329 25918 74 229 75 231 81 228 84 228 88 225 25918 24483 67 229 73 232 76 228 76 228 82 225 24483 23029 62 228 70 233 70 228 68 228 74 227 23029 21555 61 227 66 233 64 231 59 229 62 230 21555 20055 57 226 58 233 56 233 50 232 47 229 20055 18550 48 224 47 231 47 233 41 232 35 223 18550 17110 40 221 39 225 38 230 36 229 29 217 17110 15801 35 217 34 219 34 225 33 225 27 207 15801 14630 33 214 32 211 32 215 30 222 29 197 14630 13578 34 212 32 204 32 206 28 218 32 192 13578 12626 36 209 33 200 30 201 27 212 33 193 12626 11762 40 206 35 200 26 200 26 205 33 195 11762 10978 42 205 36 200 25*202 25 202 34 198 10978 10270 43 207 36 201 24*203 23 204 32 200 10270 9629 43 209 35 203 24 203 22 206 29 204 9629 9042 41 212 31*206 23 205 21*208 24 208 9042 8512 37 214 28*208 20 209 18*211 20 213 8512 8060 33 215 25 210 18 212 16 213 17 217 8060 7706 28 216 23 211 16 212 15 214 15 221 7706 7460 23 216 20 211 15 213 13 215 11 222 7460 7309 18*216 17 212 13 213 11 214 8*221 7309 7222 10*216 10 212 8 214 7 215 4*217 7222 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography