DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/29 Truckee 7207ft pt35874@39.407,-120.306 SPONSORED BY: Harry Fox RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1332z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 65.8 - - 65.0 - - 52.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 370 - - 124 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2155 - - 3675 - - 3072 - - 16 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 8493 - - 9745 - - 8845 - - 7207 Hcrit BL Top - - - 9362 - - 10882 - - 10280 - - 7224 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1251 - - 1262 - - 1622 - - 1529 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 356 - - 474 - - 311 - - 4 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 8 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 089 - - 066 - - 055 - - 057 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 13 - - 13 - - 11 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4766 - - -5045 - - -5845 - - -6710 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 14128 - - 15927 - - 16126 - - 13935 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -11983 - - -11084 - - -12017 - - -15693 ODpotential blCL - - - 21345 - - 21966 - - 22297 - - 22917 blCL maxRH - - - 32 - - 49 - - 38 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.9 - - 65.8 - - 65.0 - - 52.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 23.3 - - 21.1 - - 19.5 - - 17.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 63.5 - - 64.0 - - 56.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 22.8 - - 20.6 - - 19.1 - - 17.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 267 - - 370 - - 124 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2155 - - 3675 - - 3072 - - 16 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98041 6 074 6 186 7 276 2 023 98041 90764 1 207 1 096 1 222 3 109 90764 85110 4 120 3 309 3 046 1 105 85110 80416 5 039 2 176 4 360 6 004 80416 76396 5 020 4 188 8 351 5 041 76396 72850 3 315 4 239 9 328 8 351 72850 69639 4 264 5 255 5 292 6 311 69639 66673 9 273 12 298 10 300 6 334 66673 63917 8 235 15 272 16 272 18 302 63917 61266 2 280 10 241 16 249 21 283 61266 58510 18 302 15 298 12 286 18 281 58510 55643 25 288 23 293 19 295 19 288 55643 52910 19 305 20 305 23 306 23 298 52910 50451 25 337 23 334 25 324 20 318 50451 48242 30 344 28 340 30 332 25 339 48242 46245 30 355 29 350 32 339 30 349 46245 44425 34 009 30 005 32 346 32 353 44425 42749 38 014 34 014 31 355 33 353 42749 41189 42 016 39 018 32 002 33 356 41189 39729 43 015 40 016 33 005 33 358 39729 38361 42 014 39 010 33 004 30 359 38361 37055 41 013 38 006 34 359 30 357 37055 35747 40 011 36 005 35 356 31 356 35747 34413 37 009 36 008 34 356 30 356 34413 33056 35 006 35 010 32 355 26 355 33056 31667 33 002 33 011 30 354 22 352 31667 30235 30 003 28 010 27 355 19 347 30235 28766 27 008 22 005 23 356 18 344 28766 27260 27 011 19 003 20 353 18 345 27260 25725 28 009 19 358 19 350 19 348 25725 24168 28 007 19 357 19 347 18 351 24168 22586 26 009 17 359 18 345 17 352 22586 20971 25 015 17 003 17 348 15 353 20971 19350 26 020 19 009 16 360 14 358 19350 17802 26 022 20 014 14 013 12 001 17802 16396 23 026 20 020 14 025 10 014 16396 15139 20 030 18 024 14 034 9 035 15139 14008 17 036 16 029 13 039 10 050 14008 12986 14 044 13 035 12 041 11 058 12986 12059 12 054 9 044 9 042 13 062 12059 11220 10 069 7*062 8 050 14 065 11220 10464 10 083 7*067 8*055 15 067 10464 9780 10*091 8 068 9*055 15 070 9780 9155 10*091 8 067 9 055 15 074 9155 8591 10 090 9 066 9 055 15 077 8591 8111 10 089 9 065 9 055 15 076 8111 7736 9 087 9 065 9 054 15 075 7736 7476 9 086 8 065 9 054 13 074 7476 7315 8 086 8 066 8 055 9*066 7315 7224 6 085 6 066 6 055 5*057 7224 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography