DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 02/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 62.7 - - 74.6 - - 77.9 - - 74.4 - - 65.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 54 - - 293 - - 237 - - -20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 361 - - 2257 - - 3712 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2002 - - 3005 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1021 - - 2917 - - 4372 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 322 - - 1822 - - 1725 - - 4077 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 110 - - 354 - - 390 - - 18 - - 3 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 7 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 8 - - 10 - - 6 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 081 - - 063 - - 053 - - 089 - - 157 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -5 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -5029 - - -6533 - - -5745 - - -9299 - - -7530 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 6051 - - 9450 - - 10117 - - 10042 - - 8272 sfcLCL ODpotential -10386 - - -11332 - - -9100 - - -12952 - - -15187 ODpotential blCL 11407 - - 14249 - - 13472 - - 13694 - - 15929 blCL maxRH 43 - - 56 - - 78 - - 34 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 62.7 - - 74.6 - - 77.9 - - 74.4 - - 65.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 39.4 - - 35.8 - - 36.1 - - 33.2 - - 32.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 62.2 - - 72.7 - - 76.4 - - 76.0 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 39.0 - - 35.1 - - 35.3 - - 32.5 - - 32.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 54 - - 293 - - 237 - - -20 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 361 - - 2257 - - 3712 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96613 12 214 15 243 16 246 17 312 7 305 96613 89403 5 229 12 250 15 251 12 318 8 284 89403 83863 6 305 7 265 14 255 12 272 3 324 83863 79222 5 256 13 231 16 260 14 277 11 295 79222 75203 12 269 7 259 12 263 17 254 19 270 75203 71662 18 267 14 265 14 264 14 254 5 268 71662 68470 14 262 11 278 16 274 25 284 17 312 68470 65555 17 327 23 304 28 307 27 298 25 295 65555 62863 31 325 35 302 36 302 30 296 31 305 62863 60257 39 326 32 306 33 299 32 294 46 298 60257 57558 53 311 37 310 39 310 44 303 47 301 57558 54765 61 310 48 311 52 309 60 307 55 309 54765 52090 69 308 66 306 65 304 75 304 63 304 52090 49675 75 305 79 298 79 302 75 295 65 303 49675 47494 79 300 84 297 83 297 69 297 68 304 47494 45502 81 298 88 299 82 297 70 303 74 306 45502 43674 80 298 84 298 80 302 75 305 79 307 43674 41990 77 307 73 301 74 306 77 308 77 310 41990 40431 78 315 69 309 70 311 80 314 75 315 40431 38979 84 317 72 314 75 317 88 318 77 322 38979 37615 94 316 77 317 83 318 94 319 83 324 37615 36297 102 313 83 317 89 317 93 319 88 320 36297 34958 106 310 85 312 91 315 86 317 88 318 34958 33566 102 308 92 308 92 316 78 311 79 314 33566 32125 92 303 92 306 86 313 74 307 71 306 32125 30619 87 302 88 303 79 307 73 311 67 304 30619 29033 77 311 70 303 71 314 66 309 63 307 29033 27368 64 308 54 304 70 317 60 311 59 311 27368 25618 62 302 54 301 62 315 61 316 58 313 25618 23785 64 308 60 303 56 306 63 319 58 314 23785 21874 51 315 50 316 54 309 60 322 58 318 21874 19881 35 320 34 314 36 320 52 322 51 326 19881 17806 22 317 17 293 21 311 43 318 34 322 17806 15691 14 324 12 301 21 307 32 302 34 308 15691 13655 17 339 18 316 25 295 27 284 33 302 13655 11810 26 347 25 333 22 305 16 279 24 285 11810 10173 29 346 23 344 20 337 9 314 17 249 10173 8714 26 345 19 357 17 352 5 324 8 219 8714 7417 22 351 15 350 12 007 2 351 4 197 7417 6263 20 008 15 359 11 034 4 078 7 171 6263 5242 19 020 18 018 13*051 7 098 10 157 5242 4343 16 027 18 029 11*054 10 102 13 143 4343 3549 12 033 15*039 11 054 11 099 14 136 3549 2838 10 037 12*050 11 054 11 098 12 131 2838 2210 9 048 8 063 10 053 11 096 11 126 2210 1685 15 085 8 067 10 052 11 094 9 124 1685 1282 15*088 7 068 10 051 11 092 8 129 1282 1005 10*082 7 069 9 050 10 091 7 136 1005 838 8 081 7 070 9 050 8 090 5*149 838 742 7 079 6 070 8 050 6*089 3*157 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography