DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 08/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.6 - - 103.1 - - 99.7 - - 90.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 262 - - 16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4880 - - 7352 - - 6185 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4059 - - 5874 - - 728 - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5540 - - 8012 - - 6845 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1767 - - 2997 - - 3255 - - 297 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 485 - - 511 - - 209 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 17 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 9 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 167 - - 150 - - 211 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -9 - - 16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2815 - - -2272 - - -1842 - - -5762 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8355 - - 10285 - - 8688 - - 6506 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5666 - - -4048 - - -3783 - - -9460 ODpotential blCL - - - 11206 - - 12060 - - 10628 - - 10204 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 70 - - 83 - - 53 maxRH CAPE - - - 2000 - - 1250 - - 1850 - - 1220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.6 - - 103.1 - - 99.7 - - 90.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.5 - - 60.5 - - 64.2 - - 65.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 97.4 - - 101.4 - - 99.7 - - 92.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.9 - - 59.7 - - 63.7 - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 342 - - 262 - - 16 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4880 - - 7352 - - 6185 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 31 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 11 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99148 32 108 23 091 20 099 24 079 99148 91672 38 098 28 102 30 093 24 085 91672 85884 38 087 30 098 32 089 32 082 85884 81101 33 089 27 090 30 081 33 084 81101 76990 28 095 26 097 20 081 32 077 76990 73359 24 096 21 099 15 072 24 074 73359 70080 17 080 23 106 11 100 17 064 70080 67077 14 103 17 085 16 092 14 074 67077 64305 15 057 14 085 14 069 13 068 64305 61641 14 039 15 052 13 067 8 072 61641 58891 14 025 17 032 17 042 11 048 58891 56059 12 034 13 022 21 019 18 026 56059 53360 16 026 13 012 20 352 23 359 53360 50926 19 016 14 000 15 342 19 345 50926 48746 17 013 13 360 7 355 12 347 48746 46784 15 013 14 010 11 037 12 021 46784 44996 12 011 16 009 18 027 16 036 44996 43341 9 021 16 360 19 008 19 034 43341 41791 13 037 12 357 17 358 23 015 41791 40325 17 035 12 036 11 355 22 352 40325 38932 22 035 15 042 6 354 9 003 38932 37575 23 036 13 044 3 015 5 062 37575 36192 21 037 10 058 5 056 7 065 36192 34752 20 045 9 085 7 045 9 055 34752 33256 17 049 9 113 9 049 11 047 33256 31689 13 041 7 123 10 054 12 043 31689 30039 12 035 5 098 12 048 11 039 30039 28307 15 031 8 055 13 041 14 041 28307 26492 16 025 12 026 12 036 13 058 26492 24596 13 027 15 002 18 045 14 061 24596 22626 9 026 13 005 18 034 23 039 22626 20579 5 012 13 001 21 017 28 035 20579 18453 6 049 9 358 21 008 28 030 18453 16291 8 071 6 035 18 006 35 020 16291 14206 12 090 8 043 15 011 27 036 14206 12303 13 094 7 064 8 014 17 026 12303 10605 13 089 5 070 3 048 13 030 10605 9089 15 093 3*122 6 128 11 044 9089 7736 15 112 3*154 10*135 4 067 7736 6533 10*139 4 158 10*135 8 165 6533 5466 7*206 4 158 10 136 13 165 5466 4523 7 212 5 163 9 140 13 164 4523 3690 7 215 6 168 9 147 12 168 3690 2943 8 217 6 171 9 156 12 178 2943 2283 8 217 7 173 9 164 13 192 2283 1733 8 216 7 175 8 167 14 206 1733 1310 8 216 7 176 8 168 15 210 1310 1021 8 215 7 177 8 170 13 211 1021 844 7 215 7 177 8 171 9*211 844 744 7 215 6 178 7 172 3*211 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography