DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 07/19 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.3 - - 89.1 - - 92.5 - - - - - 86.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 191 - - 354 - - 296 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1822 - - 2583 - - 3897 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 1547 - - 2307 - - 3248 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2482 - - 3243 - - 4557 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 804 - - 2206 - - 2325 - - - - - 3117 Hgt.Variab. W* 288 - - 397 - - 431 - - - - - 19 W* B/S 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 11 - - 11 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction 231 - - 202 - - 195 - - - - - 186 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -4 - - -5 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -399 - - -807 - - -958 - - - - - -2914 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2881 - - 4050 - - 5515 - - - - - 3658 sfcLCL ODpotential -2514 - - -2679 - - -3285 - - - - - -4817 ODpotential blCL 4996 - - 5922 - - 7842 - - - - - 5561 blCL maxRH 92 - - 86 - - 81 - - - - - 86 maxRH CAPE 2580 - - 2850 - - 2300 - - - - - 2690 CAPE Temp@2m 84.3 - - 89.1 - - 92.5 - - - - - 86.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 73.7 - - 73.4 - - 70.6 - - - - - 72.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 82.9 - - 86.8 - - 90.6 - - - - - 87.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 73.4 - - 72.9 - - 70.0 - - - - - 72.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 191 - - 354 - - 296 - - - - - -12 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1822 - - 2583 - - 3897 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 66 - - 45 - - 22 - - - - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 18 - - 18 - - 15 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99026 36 094 33 103 42 104 26 078 99026 91502 42 081 40 084 41 093 32 091 91502 85717 41 075 38 078 36 084 38 094 85717 80954 30 085 25 081 28 072 41 083 80954 76883 22 093 20 096 22 066 38 070 76883 73301 24 094 21 101 18 090 29 059 73301 70069 25 089 23 097 21 107 19 057 70069 67107 26 088 25 100 21 105 10 080 67107 64368 28 077 24 097 18 098 13 104 64368 61727 25 055 26 079 19 099 17 099 61727 58989 17 065 22 067 19 089 20 096 58989 56166 22 085 20 072 22 082 29 082 56166 53484 29 077 26 076 29 077 33 078 53484 51064 31 075 33 074 34 081 36 085 51064 48887 31 081 36 078 37 080 38 093 48887 46910 32 086 36 086 35 089 43 101 46910 45095 34 089 38 093 34 098 44 101 45095 43406 30 083 38 090 35 102 41 104 43406 41822 26 078 36 086 34 098 39 108 41822 40326 23 077 31 086 33 092 38 110 40326 38905 20 074 22 088 30 094 37 113 38905 37526 20 069 17 093 19 099 35 121 37526 36123 16 066 12 092 8 119 28 124 36123 34670 13 055 5 089 2 139 14 117 34670 33169 10 063 1 120 2 058 6 105 33169 31601 7 075 5 230 3 266 4 105 31601 29954 4 030 4 265 3 248 3 042 29954 28228 6 348 3 333 2 058 4 031 28228 26420 3 296 2 354 4 083 2 150 26420 24531 2 231 2 194 3 152 4 148 24531 22566 8 237 6 207 6 205 4 105 22566 20518 11 235 9 211 9 209 5 127 20518 18382 14 230 9 214 7 210 2 244 18382 16207 12 221 9 211 9 212 11 267 16207 14113 8 207 13 207 16 218 14 253 14113 12209 7 217 16 208 18 220 9 245 12209 10517 9 218 17 212 17 223 7 259 10517 9011 8 229 16 216 16 221 8 271 9011 7671 6 234 13 213 14 220 7 250 7671 6479 5 232 10 207 12 213 9 230 6479 5423 6 244 10 207 10*202 11 225 5423 4489 10 243 11 208 11*198 12 215 4489 3662 14 243 11*207 11 196 14 208 3662 2922 14*242 11*204 12 195 16 203 2922 2269 12*234 12 203 12 194 19 199 2269 1724 11 232 12 202 12 194 20 195 1724 1306 11 230 12 201 12 193 19 193 1306 1018 10 228 11 201 12 193 15 188 1018 844 10 228 11 200 11 194 13*187 844 744 9 228 10 200 10 194 8*186 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography