DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 80.0 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 90 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1061 - - 2465 - - - - - 647 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 727 - - 1565 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1721 - - 3125 - - - - - 1307 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1858 - - 1851 - - - - - 2193 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 176 - - 250 - - - - - 65 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 2 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 11 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 009 - - 048 - - - - - 058 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 692 - - 519 - - - - - 411 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1029 - - 2606 - - - - - 896 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 410 - - 325 - - - - - -267 ODpotential blCL - - - 1311 - - 2800 - - - - - 1574 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - - - - 98 maxRH CAPE - - - 870 - - 690 - - - - - 1610 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.7 - - 80.0 - - - - - 76.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 73.0 - - 70.7 - - - - - 74.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.1 - - 79.3 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 72.5 - - 70.4 - - - - - 74.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 68 - - 90 - - - - - 5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1061 - - 2465 - - - - - 647 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 101 - - - - - 91 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98440 17 103 28 082 12 081 98440 91000 16 065 13 083 22 059 91000 85290 15 062 12 122 22 051 85290 80560 14 120 10 120 15 024 80560 76491 9 093 13 092 4 025 76491 72905 14 067 14 084 3 085 72905 69670 10 045 11 052 7 069 69670 66708 5 033 8 012 7 026 66708 63974 4 317 4 010 1 067 63974 61338 6 241 9 324 13 013 61338 58617 10 274 19 286 19 318 58617 55828 22 259 25 266 24 289 55828 53184 25 272 28 275 35 290 53184 50816 40 292 42 285 44 281 50816 48693 49 286 49 279 50 275 48693 46756 51 279 53 284 64 274 46756 44971 59 274 63 279 70 260 44971 43301 66 270 61 262 66 245 43301 41727 57 270 63 261 64 247 41727 40237 51 268 56 262 62 254 40237 38824 46 269 53 263 63 260 38824 37450 44 278 50 263 64 263 37450 36047 40 274 46 261 58 262 36047 34588 44 266 43 262 51 262 34588 33075 44 262 41 263 44 271 33075 31496 42 261 38 265 39 275 31496 29834 40 266 36 264 38 276 29834 28090 35 274 34 263 35 268 28090 26270 32 269 32 265 29 266 26270 24376 24 262 27 272 26 287 24376 22409 20 275 24 273 27 281 22409 20363 16 263 23 277 27 282 20363 18232 12 264 16 261 24 291 18232 16062 9 286 10 275 18 298 16062 13978 9 316 6 284 13 305 13978 12082 5 306 6 288 14 322 12082 10396 4 259 5 293 10 323 10396 8896 5 266 5 296 7 319 8896 7563 5 257 3 274 3 320 7563 6380 6 243 1 036 2 352 6380 5334 4 210 6 046 2 027 5334 4415 1 166 8 048 3 080 4415 3603 3 037 10*048 5 083 3603 2879 5 025 11*048 7 071 2879 2239 8*014 11 048 8 063 2239 1705 9*011 11 048 8*062 1705 1295 9 009 11 049 8*060 1295 1012 9 008 10 048 6 058 1012 841 8 008 10 049 5 057 841 743 8 007 9 048 4 056 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography