DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 46.3 - - 58.2 - - 61.3 - - 55.3 - - 56.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 1 - - 119 - - 49 - - -28 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 80 - - 1738 - - 2452 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1248 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 740 - - 2398 - - 3112 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 447 - - 915 - - 1003 - - 2609 - - 1609 Hgt.Variab. W* 29 - - 244 - - 205 - - 22 - - 20 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 16 - - 22 - - 10 - - 14 BL Wind Direction 161 - - 152 - - 156 - - 151 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - 11 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2689 - - -5231 - - -5276 - - -5360 - - -5475 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3429 - - 7629 - - 8388 - - 6101 - - 6216 sfcLCL ODpotential -14353 - - -14906 - - -13862 - - -14555 - - -13952 ODpotential blCL 15093 - - 17304 - - 16974 - - 15296 - - 14693 blCL maxRH 57 - - 92 - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 20 - - 50 - - 340 CAPE Temp@2m 46.3 - - 58.2 - - 61.3 - - 55.3 - - 56.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 34.5 - - 27.9 - - 27.5 - - 31.7 - - 32.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 46.8 - - 57.5 - - 61.1 - - 56.5 - - 56.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.5 - - 26.9 - - 26.8 - - 31.1 - - 31.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 1 - - 119 - - 49 - - -28 - - -21 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 80 - - 1738 - - 2452 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 66 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96329 26 280 27 282 28 279 27 264 31 289 96329 89134 19 257 17 265 14 275 14 270 13 294 89134 83590 12 254 17 242 15 270 15 274 11 283 83590 78995 13 259 13 240 18 262 16 279 15 276 78995 75037 13 280 8 252 17 253 16 263 16 273 75037 71521 14 272 12 279 14 268 14 265 15 256 71521 68338 19 267 22 270 24 285 18 289 18 250 68338 65434 17 264 25 256 32 273 31 291 19 282 65434 62760 24 297 28 271 37 265 38 284 28 288 62760 60170 37 287 34 279 41 267 41 271 36 275 60170 57463 43 287 37 282 43 270 45 271 45 274 57463 54655 56 285 49 284 51 274 57 275 58 269 54655 51967 67 281 62 281 64 272 67 273 65 263 51967 49533 69 283 68 276 70 272 74 277 76 269 49533 47342 74 289 72 277 81 276 84 275 91 271 47342 45351 79 291 79 280 89 276 92 274 93 272 45351 43522 81 292 85 282 94 277 96 275 91 274 43522 41834 87 292 91 283 96 279 98 277 92 277 41834 40268 86 289 93 283 97 279 98 278 98 280 40268 38804 79 284 93 282 98 278 96 278 98 279 38804 37426 72 279 92 280 97 276 92 278 90 277 37426 36095 70 279 89 278 94 274 87 278 79 277 36095 34745 66 277 82 274 87 273 85 276 73 278 34745 33348 61 273 75 270 77 270 80 272 74 279 33348 31906 58 269 71 266 70 266 71 270 74 277 31906 30402 52 266 67 261 64 263 61 269 68 276 30402 28826 45 261 58 253 59 264 54 268 56 276 28826 27177 45 256 50 257 54 266 50 265 48 275 27177 25452 46 262 40 266 49 267 43 266 42 273 25452 23647 44 269 39 274 44 266 37 271 40 277 23647 21759 37 262 37 272 40 265 34 276 39 279 21759 19782 35 262 35 263 35 263 37 273 35 270 19782 17710 32 265 33 257 31 265 37 270 32 262 17710 15592 29 270 27 257 26 265 34 270 38 265 15592 13555 23 272 22 251 23 253 31 268 37 264 13555 11700 20 252 22 241 24 245 25 254 28 254 11700 10047 18 219 24 227 27 248 26 239 24 242 10047 8580 19 192 25 213 26 244 31 236 32 242 8580 7280 24 190 25 208 20 226 34 232 39 235 7280 6129 23 188 23 206 23 205 36 214 40 215 6129 5118 22 182 24 193 30 189 37 201 42 196 5118 4236 21 174 26 177 32 176 39 187 42 183 4236 3461 21 168 26 167 28*164 36 176 42 175 3461 2768 21 165 23*160 24*156 30 166 42 167 2768 2158 21 169 18*153 23 155 29 161 40 161 2158 1651 21 170 17 152 22 156 26 157 34 153 1651 1262 20 167 17 152 21 156 23 154 27 150 1262 996 15 164 16 151 20 156 19 152 23 148 996 833 12 162 15 151 18 156 16*152 20 148 833 741 8*161 12 151 14 157 10*151 14*148 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography