DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 63.3 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 223 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3579 - - 3826 - - - - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3056 - - 3059 - - - - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4239 - - 4486 - - - - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 643 - - 948 - - - - - 315 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 439 - - 385 - - - - - 0 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 027 - - 022 - - - - - 322 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -854 - - -1627 - - - - - -3574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5093 - - 6113 - - - - - 4315 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13773 - - -13563 - - - - - -17038 ODpotential blCL - - - 18012 - - 18049 - - - - - 17779 blCL maxRH - - - 73 - - 64 - - - - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 60.0 - - 63.3 - - - - - 54.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 40.7 - - 39.5 - - - - - 39.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 57.9 - - 61.8 - - - - - 57.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 40.1 - - 38.8 - - - - - 38.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 358 - - 223 - - - - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3579 - - 3826 - - - - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97997 30 261 28 259 27 288 97997 90697 20 264 25 261 20 286 90697 85047 17 241 23 245 15 285 85047 80345 12 229 20 229 13 253 80345 76282 8 244 14 228 10 238 76282 72698 11 273 7 264 8 222 72698 69479 9 286 7 324 7 267 69479 66536 6 275 6 288 11 293 66536 63821 5 307 4 279 11 300 63821 61221 9 336 4 316 7 288 61221 58530 17 316 15 305 14 313 58530 55761 18 285 23 294 20 297 55761 53127 20 298 25 301 24 297 53127 50748 33 296 37 297 35 295 50748 48604 43 292 47 288 39 300 48604 46639 49 294 49 289 55 294 46639 44821 51 293 51 290 53 289 44821 43127 53 290 53 290 51 288 43127 41542 54 288 53 291 51 288 41542 40050 54 286 52 290 49 290 40050 38638 53 285 51 288 47 290 38638 37267 50 285 50 287 46 288 37267 35868 46 284 47 285 44 286 35868 34412 40 286 41 284 43 286 34412 32902 34 291 33 286 38 283 32902 31325 28 288 26 291 31 289 31325 29665 21 290 23 283 22 296 29665 27936 22 295 20 273 25 278 27936 26131 27 290 22 281 23 274 26131 24239 19 290 21 291 20 289 24239 22268 13 294 10 293 9 266 22268 20213 11 261 10 278 9 246 20213 18067 9 270 10 253 11 246 18067 15873 5 285 8 271 11 262 15873 13758 1 307 5 264 8 249 13758 11840 5 085 1 141 5 235 11840 10142 9 073 7 080 6 149 10142 8641 14 064 15 077 11 130 8641 7316 19 058 18 079 15 129 7316 6155 18 053 14 067 14 113 6155 5144 12*043 9*024 11 084 5144 4261 10*028 9*021 10 059 4261 3483 10 027 9 020 9 054 3483 2788 10 026 9 021 9 050 2788 2173 10 026 9 022 8 040 2173 1661 10 026 9 023 6 026 1661 1268 10 027 9 024 6 004 1268 998 9 026 8 025 5 344 998 835 9 026 8 024 5 327 835 741 8 027 7 025 4*322 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography