DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 09/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.9 - - 94.7 - - 92.6 - - 85.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 266 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3872 - - 5254 - - 188 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3315 - - 4237 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4532 - - 5914 - - 848 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1566 - - 2856 - - 7280 - - 174 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 465 - - 457 - - 37 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 14 - - 9 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 190 - - 178 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -13 - - -1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -393 - - -619 - - -6040 - - -4643 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4925 - - 6534 - - 6888 - - 5387 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2663 - - -2665 - - -8389 - - -8304 ODpotential blCL - - - 7195 - - 8579 - - 9237 - - 9048 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 64 - - 48 - - 75 maxRH CAPE - - - 2410 - - 1970 - - 1080 - - 580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.9 - - 94.7 - - 92.6 - - 85.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.6 - - 68.4 - - 65.1 - - 64.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.8 - - 93.1 - - 93.4 - - 87.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 68.0 - - 64.7 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 384 - - 266 - - -14 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3872 - - 5254 - - 188 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 14 - - 13 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98760 26 102 20 105 18 106 15 091 98760 91384 22 096 24 101 22 100 25 093 91384 85695 19 097 27 105 25 094 27 078 85695 80954 23 102 24 101 25 089 25 090 80954 76863 27 111 24 104 23 085 26 103 76863 73266 26 114 25 114 18 088 24 089 73266 70011 19 117 19 118 15 103 18 058 70011 67008 16 124 11 121 18 104 13 063 67008 64235 17 108 10 136 13 094 12 113 64235 61584 18 100 15 123 7 090 11 117 61584 58848 11 099 17 102 8 113 5 066 58848 56022 5 107 11 074 13 110 5 104 56022 53349 7 136 4 117 10 075 16 092 53349 50966 18 124 18 147 6 139 11 076 50966 48830 28 110 32 134 23 151 13 159 48830 46880 28 104 35 121 34 139 26 152 46880 45078 28 112 33 118 38 130 33 143 45078 43400 30 131 31 124 36 126 31 138 43400 41826 30 139 30 129 33 126 29 136 41826 40343 30 141 29 131 33 128 28 135 40343 38939 29 142 29 134 34 128 29 136 38939 37578 27 142 28 138 33 127 29 137 37578 36190 25 144 28 140 32 130 29 139 36190 34746 24 147 26 140 32 131 29 142 34746 33247 21 144 24 140 32 133 27 141 33247 31678 20 143 22 139 30 137 25 143 31678 30027 19 142 21 143 25 140 21 150 30027 28298 17 151 20 146 19 142 17 146 28298 26489 14 163 18 155 18 150 14 153 26489 24598 15 160 13 171 12 157 12 156 24598 22626 16 160 13 175 11 169 11 163 22626 20572 13 167 11 176 9 159 9 152 20572 18429 9 177 7 176 7 135 9 128 18429 16246 8 165 8 169 8 155 9 142 16246 14144 10 174 11 186 8 197 3 191 14144 12234 12 194 11 199 9 207 4 262 12234 10538 13 205 13 207 10 201 4 233 10538 9030 16 203 15 206 11 192 10 195 9030 7689 17 199 14 204 13 184 19 169 7689 6495 17 201 14*200 15 181 21 166 6495 5434 17*205 14*195 15 181 20 165 5434 4498 16*201 14 192 16 180 20 167 4498 3669 16 199 14 191 16 179 19 170 3669 2928 16 198 14 189 15 178 18 173 2928 2273 16 197 14 189 15 178 17 175 2273 1727 16 197 14 189 14 178 16 176 1727 1307 16 196 14 188 14 178 15 174 1307 1018 15 196 13 188 13*178 13 169 1018 844 14 196 13 188 11*178 10*163 844 744 13 195 12 188 9 178 5*143 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography