DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 64.3 - - 74.0 - - 75.6 - - 69.6 - - 68.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 83 - - 281 - - 170 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 399 - - 2983 - - 3270 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2522 - - 2520 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1059 - - 3643 - - 3930 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 450 - - 1414 - - 1957 - - 2527 - - 247 Hgt.Variab. W* 130 - - 382 - - 334 - - 8 - - 9 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 9 - - 10 - - 8 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 160 - - 171 - - 180 - - 156 - - 156 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2490 - - -2148 - - -2002 - - -3162 - - -3039 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3549 - - 5792 - - 5932 - - 3904 - - 3781 sfcLCL ODpotential -10557 - - -8525 - - -6408 - - -6067 - - -5811 ODpotential blCL 11616 - - 12168 - - 10338 - - 6809 - - 6553 blCL maxRH 75 - - 71 - - 70 - - 86 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 64.3 - - 74.0 - - 75.6 - - 69.6 - - 68.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 51.4 - - 51.1 - - 52.1 - - 55.1 - - 54.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.6 - - 72.1 - - 74.4 - - 71.6 - - 69.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.3 - - 51.0 - - 51.9 - - 55.0 - - 54.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 83 - - 281 - - 170 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 399 - - 2983 - - 3270 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 45 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96784 75 266 70 262 68 268 69 259 77 261 96784 89527 53 265 54 267 58 268 53 275 52 275 89527 83982 34 282 37 281 37 262 39 282 34 289 83982 79399 23 302 26 284 27 265 27 287 26 292 79399 75446 23 310 19 284 21 280 26 293 26 288 75446 71969 17 317 11 294 20 304 20 298 20 281 71969 68838 9 326 9 287 16 297 13 290 12 270 68838 65942 8 329 6 287 14 302 8 296 9 249 65942 63248 17 277 13 287 18 302 13 315 9 273 63248 60647 20 258 13 255 18 285 15 290 11 292 60647 57943 25 277 22 287 25 272 24 286 19 287 57943 55141 43 273 34 279 34 267 32 266 28 273 55141 52468 49 260 42 270 44 273 41 270 38 268 52468 50063 50 264 54 266 56 268 52 268 49 267 50063 47899 61 268 68 261 69 262 62 265 62 268 47899 45925 80 270 84 262 83 261 79 265 79 268 45925 44114 104 272 100 260 96 260 96 261 95 262 44114 42443 112 266 106 257 105 257 104 258 103 259 42443 40884 109 260 107 255 108 254 105 255 107 256 40884 39417 104 258 107 252 110 253 109 251 110 253 39417 38028 103 257 105 251 110 252 109 249 112 251 38028 36678 100 261 102 253 108 252 106 250 111 252 36678 35300 92 261 96 253 105 257 103 255 105 254 35300 33870 87 256 89 250 90 257 93 259 91 256 33870 32392 83 256 83 250 81 255 83 259 77 255 32392 30852 74 257 75 254 73 254 78 257 71 257 30852 29239 66 257 65 256 64 257 70 256 67 259 29239 27553 60 257 58 253 59 258 60 257 60 260 27553 25788 55 257 54 251 56 255 57 259 57 261 25788 23943 52 253 53 252 55 254 57 261 55 265 23943 22019 52 252 52 252 53 256 55 265 51 270 22019 20010 49 253 49 253 50 258 52 267 47 272 20010 17913 43 254 44 253 46 259 49 266 43 270 17913 15774 37 249 40 252 44 260 45 267 40 267 15774 13720 33 246 36 256 41 261 39 266 36 265 13720 11859 28 250 31 258 36 265 29 267 27 272 11859 10211 18 259 20 248 31 264 21 269 18 275 10211 8750 11 265 14 238 22 247 20 277 12 279 8750 7451 10 267 11 243 15 254 18 274 10 270 7451 6293 12 256 12 239 11 259 13 261 10 257 6293 5267 10 233 12 230 8 242 11 251 10 243 5267 4362 9 211 10*205 6*203 10 245 10 230 4362 3562 10 191 10*173 7*179 8 230 10 211 3562 2846 13 186 11 171 8 178 6 194 11 180 2846 2215 14 184 11 170 8 178 8 167 13 162 2215 1688 14 179 11 171 8 180 9 158 13 153 1688 1284 13*167 11 171 8 182 8 159 14 146 1284 1006 11*162 10 171 8 182 8 161 13 144 1006 838 9 160 10 171 8 182 7 160 9 148 838 742 8 159 9 171 7 183 4*156 3*156 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography