DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 07/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 96.5 - - 99.4 - - 96.5 - - 88.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 485 - - 424 - - 117 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6769 - - 8065 - - 4919 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5693 - - 6676 - - 3485 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7429 - - 8725 - - 5579 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3047 - - 3794 - - 6516 - - 2648 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 602 - - 610 - - 338 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 11 - - 14 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 217 - - 194 - - 181 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 5 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - -9 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -23 - - -307 - - -2906 - - -5040 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7453 - - 9033 - - 8486 - - 5784 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -721 - - -1408 - - -4234 - - -7542 ODpotential blCL - - - 8150 - - 10133 - - 9813 - - 8286 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 69 - - 71 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 1900 - - 1300 - - 990 - - 1220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 96.5 - - 99.4 - - 96.5 - - 88.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.2 - - 62.2 - - 61.9 - - 66.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 93.8 - - 96.9 - - 95.7 - - 89.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.9 - - 61.9 - - 61.7 - - 65.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 485 - - 424 - - 117 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 6769 - - 8065 - - 4919 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 11 - - 11 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98981 36 102 41 097 42 083 48 089 98981 91541 34 104 36 102 28 093 26 081 91541 85791 33 098 29 102 26 098 18 071 85791 80975 32 094 24 094 26 092 24 088 80975 76848 30 091 24 101 25 083 30 090 76848 73247 27 085 27 102 23 086 29 090 73247 70022 24 087 25 085 24 087 24 086 70022 67075 24 101 20 075 22 066 18 076 67075 64344 27 095 14 073 17 054 17 063 64344 61702 28 081 18 082 17 078 19 063 61702 58957 26 063 25 068 24 063 25 062 58957 56128 26 055 29 058 26 050 26 046 56128 53441 31 042 35 050 31 053 30 041 53441 51018 37 038 44 037 40 040 38 033 51018 48840 42 033 43 035 40 029 43 030 48840 46853 36 026 39 033 37 030 44 030 46853 45016 26 036 33 027 34 037 41 032 45016 43307 24 046 25 023 33 036 38 035 43307 41709 19 032 18 025 27 024 32 044 41709 40212 14 043 16 007 17 005 24 043 40212 38802 19 062 10 030 14 000 18 030 38802 37438 26 063 11 054 8 006 15 006 37438 36048 28 058 14 058 7 025 11 357 36048 34603 25 059 15 058 10 035 9 356 34603 33105 14 050 12 047 12 043 10 002 33105 31541 10 035 10 028 10 037 8 017 31541 29897 9 019 13 004 9 014 8 024 29897 28172 9 000 15 356 13 011 10 029 28172 26368 6 347 12 349 13 013 9 025 26368 24486 3 331 10 336 12 010 7 014 24486 22526 2 323 8 319 11 358 7 011 22526 20484 2 294 8 303 8 346 9 028 20484 18354 1 007 5 287 4 334 10 012 18354 16184 2 037 4 242 2 327 6 003 16184 14099 5 300 6 255 7 269 7 353 14099 12208 10 269 8 272 9 274 8 315 12208 10524 8 251 7 270 9 273 5 278 10524 9020 6 194 6*239 8 255 7 230 9020 7679 5*202 8*208 8 221 10 211 7679 6484 6*223 9 201 9*199 13 200 6484 5424 7 223 10 195 11*188 16 192 5424 4490 7 221 11 193 12 184 19 190 4490 3665 8 218 12 191 13 181 22 190 3665 2925 8 216 13 190 15 179 25 190 2925 2271 8 215 13 190 15 179 26 190 2271 1726 9 213 13 190 15 180 25 189 1726 1306 9 212 13 190 15 180 22 187 1306 1018 9 211 13 189 15 180 17 184 1018 844 8 211 13 190 14 180 14*183 844 744 8 211 11 190 12 181 9*182 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography