DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/31 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.9 - - 97.1 - - 95.0 - - 87.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 272 - - 9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5605 - - 8891 - - 7560 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4652 - - 7107 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6265 - - 9551 - - 8220 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4001 - - 1453 - - 2856 - - 711 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 518 - - 549 - - 189 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 12 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 179 - - 157 - - 148 - - 116 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - 19 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2095 - - 790 - - 91 - - -5891 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8361 - - 8761 - - 8129 - - 6636 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2911 - - 124 - - -627 - - -8045 ODpotential blCL - - - 9176 - - 9427 - - 8847 - - 8789 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 74 - - 86 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 80 - - 270 - - 340 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.9 - - 97.1 - - 95.0 - - 87.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.7 - - 61.1 - - 61.9 - - 61.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.7 - - 95.2 - - 94.9 - - 90.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 60.5 - - 61.4 - - 61.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 364 - - 272 - - 9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5605 - - 8891 - - 7560 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 21 - - 0 - - 45 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98898 29 102 22 109 17 074 19 055 98898 91408 25 093 26 099 19 091 25 075 91408 85658 27 088 26 097 24 100 25 075 85658 80924 23 089 23 083 25 087 22 083 80924 76857 21 096 19 087 19 069 23 081 76857 73269 20 100 20 121 11 070 20 060 73269 70036 18 095 18 117 12 107 12 059 70036 67081 15 101 12 105 10 118 8 079 67081 64357 9 116 8 100 9 100 9 100 64357 61727 5 144 5 084 9 077 12 091 61727 58989 11 131 5 142 3 047 7 088 58989 56160 16 105 13 127 4 175 3 037 56160 53471 16 060 16 097 10 127 2 056 53471 51059 17 031 20 066 18 089 11 084 51059 48897 11 058 17 062 20 074 13 087 48897 46932 9 093 7 083 8 062 6 121 46932 45129 8 168 7 216 7 246 9 204 45129 43458 13 170 12 194 13 214 23 213 43458 41890 14 174 16 193 18 212 32 218 41890 40405 16 186 19 198 23 213 35 211 40405 38994 19 194 22 200 23 215 33 217 38994 37622 18 180 22 200 21 220 24 223 37622 36224 20 162 16 182 14 217 11 203 36224 34770 19 154 19 176 13 205 11 195 34770 33262 18 130 12 162 9 194 11 201 33262 31685 16 115 14 124 9 119 8 156 31685 30028 14 109 14 115 14 121 12 130 30028 28294 12 120 13 108 14 124 10 126 28294 26479 11 120 11 101 13 119 8 146 26479 24585 15 111 13 107 15 110 14 120 24585 22617 20 114 20 113 19 110 22 117 22617 20566 20 130 18 133 16 117 19 116 20566 18423 15 119 11 139 10 101 15 099 18423 16230 16 114 11 126 7 085 16 086 16230 14112 18 131 12 132 7 104 13 059 14112 12195 6 130 10 127 9 126 7 082 12195 10508 3 193 9*137 13 142 11 147 10508 9013 13 160 9*139 13*143 12 153 9013 7677 14 152 9 142 12*141 13 152 7677 6486 11*163 9 146 11 141 14 150 6486 5429 10*173 8 151 9 142 14 150 5429 4495 10 176 8 160 8 145 14 150 4495 3669 10 178 8 164 8 148 13 149 3669 2929 10 180 8 170 7 153 12 149 2929 2274 10 180 8 173 7 157 11 149 2274 1727 10 182 8 176 6 159 9 147 1727 1307 10 183 8 178 6 161 8 143 1307 1019 9 184 8 178 6 161 6 136 1019 844 9 184 8 179 6 161 5*127 844 744 8 184 7 180 5 163 3*116 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography