DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.6 - - 87.3 - - 87.3 - - 82.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 104 - - 64 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5287 - - 1849 - - 1298 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4447 - - 1371 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5947 - - 2509 - - 1958 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1978 - - 4097 - - 2463 - - 2254 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 527 - - 254 - - 179 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 12 - - 14 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 048 - - 083 - - 109 - - 100 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 6 - - -16 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -318 - - -579 - - -1653 - - -2532 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6266 - - 3088 - - 3611 - - 3276 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1764 - - -2345 - - -3436 - - -6622 ODpotential blCL - - - 7711 - - 4854 - - 5394 - - 7366 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 96 - - 75 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 730 - - 2790 - - 2210 - - 590 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.6 - - 87.3 - - 87.3 - - 82.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.4 - - 75.7 - - 73.5 - - 70.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.1 - - 86.6 - - 86.8 - - 82.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 74.7 - - 73.3 - - 69.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 411 - - 104 - - 64 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5287 - - 1849 - - 1298 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 85 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 18 - - 18 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98876 23 114 15 121 16 102 17 085 98876 91429 23 118 23 124 17 113 16 086 91429 85702 26 087 28 120 23 122 17 092 85702 80950 25 083 25 097 26 098 25 103 80950 76857 19 086 20 093 22 083 25 092 76857 73261 13 076 15 080 18 072 20 082 73261 70026 12 093 11 086 14 073 17 069 70026 67060 17 089 9 102 10 098 13 060 67060 64325 12 082 12 114 12 110 9 087 64325 61700 12 110 15 109 13 115 12 121 61700 58987 11 101 16 122 10 109 11 119 58987 56196 12 097 15 096 11 083 9 084 56196 53556 13 079 15 074 13 075 12 057 53556 51185 19 059 19 072 17 085 13 076 51185 49042 21 053 22 062 21 079 16 079 49042 47076 20 055 22 060 22 068 18 072 47076 45255 16 037 21 060 24 065 21 065 45255 43558 15 000 20 060 25 063 23 063 43558 41964 22 303 12 052 21 053 20 059 41964 40461 25 284 7 350 12 021 18 034 40461 39039 22 291 15 311 13 330 19 024 39039 37662 20 302 20 304 19 320 16 019 37662 36258 15 302 20 308 18 320 13 009 36258 34798 9 293 19 310 15 328 14 348 34798 33285 7 295 11 299 15 323 14 341 33285 31704 6 305 5 289 13 313 13 336 31704 30043 5 335 5 336 7 321 13 324 30043 28300 4 020 10 020 8 012 12 319 28300 26471 8 047 12 052 10 049 8 011 26471 24557 11 068 9 089 7 054 10 038 24557 22568 12 056 8 096 5 357 12 018 22568 20503 13 069 5 044 10 355 15 018 20503 18354 17 101 9 008 15 003 19 018 18354 16170 19 099 10 038 15 017 21 019 16170 14074 17 091 12 037 15 036 21 018 14074 12171 15 077 11 035 13 031 19 003 12171 10478 15 065 12 022 13 021 17 010 10478 8973 14 053 12 009 13 023 18 021 8973 7632 11 046 11 011 14 030 18 029 7632 6441 8*037 11 021 14 038 19 039 6441 5384 7*040 11 034 13 047 20 052 5384 4454 7 042 11 049 12 057 20 062 4454 3633 7 045 11 061 12 068 19 067 3633 2900 7 049 12*075 12 080 18 074 2900 2253 7 051 12*081 14*102 16 083 2253 1714 8 053 12 082 14*108 15 091 1714 1300 7 055 13 083 14 109 13 094 1300 1015 7 056 12 083 14 109 11 097 1015 842 7 056 12 083 13 109 9*099 842 744 7 056 10 083 11 109 6*100 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography