DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 94.6 - - 97.3 - - 94.3 - - 86.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 273 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7212 - - 8418 - - 2342 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 5948 - - 6738 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 7872 - - 9078 - - 3002 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2490 - - 1461 - - 7074 - - 241 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 571 - - 541 - - 106 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 13 - - 12 - - 11 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 182 - - 197 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - -22 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 930 - - -590 - - -6095 - - -5984 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6943 - - 9668 - - 9098 - - 6728 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1396 - - -7058 - - -12586 - - -9200 ODpotential blCL - - - 9268 - - 16136 - - 15588 - - 9944 blCL maxRH - - - 65 - - 62 - - 70 - - 82 maxRH CAPE - - - 1280 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 94.6 - - 97.3 - - 94.3 - - 86.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.5 - - 57.3 - - 57.0 - - 59.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.3 - - 95.5 - - 94.5 - - 88.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.0 - - 56.5 - - 56.4 - - 59.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 381 - - 273 - - 2 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 7212 - - 8418 - - 2342 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 28 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98917 35 104 25 106 22 106 19 080 98917 91488 31 090 28 111 28 095 32 096 91488 85774 29 090 31 104 24 084 34 091 85774 81023 23 099 25 098 20 071 29 073 81023 76926 23 098 18 098 20 077 25 078 76926 73317 23 096 17 101 20 083 21 096 73317 70070 19 102 16 089 18 093 17 100 70070 67100 14 108 14 092 15 100 13 087 67100 64357 9 109 11 084 11 103 8 061 64357 61708 13 131 5 088 8 109 7 052 61708 58952 20 111 10 138 7 140 2 069 58952 56110 17 091 14 120 7 093 9 100 56110 53417 17 046 16 099 7 090 10 077 53417 51004 20 023 19 037 15 072 15 083 51004 48842 16 032 22 020 26 041 24 056 48842 46873 11 048 15 026 27 029 25 045 46873 45061 13 072 7 077 20 024 20 048 45061 43384 19 071 12 106 8 027 13 045 43384 41818 21 066 18 086 10 106 8 098 41818 40343 21 067 21 079 13 117 10 130 40343 38948 19 070 22 081 15 127 11 124 38948 37595 19 078 20 088 16 111 12 114 37595 36212 19 081 19 093 16 095 13 095 36212 34771 15 040 18 087 17 097 15 097 34771 33276 10 062 14 049 16 091 15 104 33276 31711 14 107 13 080 15 084 15 100 31711 30061 14 107 11 097 13 096 12 081 30061 28328 13 068 12 058 13 090 12 082 28328 26510 17 094 13 092 16 102 13 092 26510 24612 18 108 13 113 16 108 14 100 24612 22636 11 115 8 077 13 101 14 070 22636 20578 7 095 8 053 14 067 17 068 20578 18434 8 097 7 108 8 088 12 089 18434 16242 8 105 7 146 4 141 8 100 16242 14124 8 133 9 141 4 120 7 093 14124 12201 10 153 7 164 3 158 5 059 12201 10503 10 150 10*168 10 156 8 123 10503 9004 12*173 11*175 13 153 15 141 9004 7668 13*181 11 176 13 155 17 154 7668 6478 14 190 11 177 12 159 17 164 6478 5420 13 196 11 179 12 164 16 175 5420 4487 13 197 12 182 11 173 16 183 4487 3661 13 196 12 183 11*180 16 190 3661 2922 13 196 12 186 11*191 15 198 2922 2268 13 195 12 187 11 196 15 204 2268 1723 13 195 12 188 11 198 15 208 1723 1305 13 195 12 189 11 199 16 209 1305 1018 12 195 12 190 11 201 14 208 1018 843 12 195 12 189 10 201 10*208 843 744 11 195 11 189 9 202 4*206 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography