DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 08/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 99.0 - - 102.0 - - 99.7 - - 89.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 263 - - 11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5304 - - 8918 - - 4303 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4381 - - 7116 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5964 - - 9578 - - 4963 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3754 - - 2094 - - 6072 - - 171 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 495 - - 546 - - 172 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 25 - - 55 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 2 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 255 - - 154 - - 165 - - 207 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 6 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -5 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3313 - - -909 - - -5097 - - -6737 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 9278 - - 10488 - - 10061 - - 7482 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6513 - - -2803 - - -7168 - - -10170 ODpotential blCL - - - 12477 - - 12381 - - 12131 - - 10914 blCL maxRH - - - 84 - - 69 - - 64 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 500 - - 370 - - 220 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 99.0 - - 102.0 - - 99.7 - - 89.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.9 - - 58.4 - - 58.3 - - 60.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 96.9 - - 100.2 - - 99.8 - - 92.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 60.1 - - 57.6 - - 57.5 - - 59.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 335 - - 263 - - 11 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5304 - - 8918 - - 4303 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 34 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99053 44 091 35 114 31 097 28 089 99053 91536 39 101 29 110 25 095 30 086 91536 85776 33 099 28 102 27 099 31 089 85776 81028 25 090 28 090 31 087 30 090 81028 76935 22 081 28 080 31 084 29 084 76935 73327 20 079 21 085 25 076 21 083 73327 70077 16 095 17 101 16 070 16 065 70077 67089 13 075 13 106 12 094 11 050 67089 64313 11 050 11 095 11 092 11 079 64313 61647 8 056 11 085 10 067 11 075 61647 58911 6 093 12 096 6 043 10 034 58911 56094 10 051 13 096 6 105 3 349 56094 53428 10 006 5 031 5 080 6 124 53428 51057 12 233 14 267 7 306 1 023 51057 48936 30 195 24 212 17 225 10 234 48936 46996 36 185 31 201 22 211 15 207 46996 45201 33 197 32 200 24 201 16 206 45201 43524 37 209 33 204 27 202 17 211 43524 41948 39 205 34 206 28 203 18 213 41948 40460 42 199 35 208 29 206 19 213 40460 39049 40 197 34 213 31 211 21 214 39049 37677 28 193 33 217 30 219 22 220 37677 36276 17 190 27 215 26 222 22 233 36276 34818 13 194 19 208 19 216 20 236 34818 33306 12 196 15 201 17 211 18 233 33306 31726 8 198 10 203 14 213 15 229 31726 30065 5 208 6 213 10 233 10 236 30065 28325 4 209 4 216 7 266 7 274 28325 26506 7 208 7 214 5 282 4 301 26506 24612 7 203 7 234 7 302 5 010 24612 22648 2 001 4 352 4 347 10 031 22648 20606 13 328 8 332 9 359 14 018 20606 18472 10 305 11 319 10 340 15 007 18472 16293 4 305 4 337 7 318 15 005 16293 14196 2 045 3 021 4 011 10 006 14196 12292 2 068 5 022 8 025 7 033 12292 10595 10 117 3*002 8 004 8 049 10595 9082 14 111 2*001 7 001 7 057 9082 7730 5 112 1 008 5 012 5 068 7730 6527 3*318 1 071 3 064 5 100 6527 5460 3*293 1 142 4*125 6 140 5460 4519 3 272 3 156 6*145 9 156 4519 3686 4 262 3 160 7 153 11 162 3686 2941 4 253 4 161 8 162 11 167 2941 2282 4 247 4 162 9 169 11 175 2282 1732 4 240 4 163 9 172 12 188 1732 1310 4 235 5 164 9 173 14 198 1310 1020 4 234 5 166 9 174 13 202 1020 844 4 233 4 165 8 175 10*203 844 744 4 232 4 165 7 175 4*207 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography