DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 97.5 - - - - - 87.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 284 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4264 - - 6865 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3614 - - 5541 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4924 - - 7525 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3500 - - 1470 - - - - - 2104 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 515 - - - - - 21 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - - - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 178 - - - - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -9 - - -7 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -414 - - -319 - - - - - -3723 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5339 - - 7845 - - - - - 4467 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1226 - - -4253 - - - - - -6591 ODpotential blCL - - - 6150 - - 11778 - - - - - 7335 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 74 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 1480 - - 240 - - - - - 900 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.1 - - 97.5 - - - - - 87.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.8 - - 65.4 - - - - - 70.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.8 - - 95.7 - - - - - 89.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.4 - - 64.6 - - - - - 70.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 284 - - - - - -22 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4264 - - 6865 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 13 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99280 42 093 44 084 50 091 99280 91828 47 084 49 102 40 094 91828 86058 44 089 49 101 39 093 86058 81238 37 101 39 092 39 083 81238 77088 33 109 27 090 40 083 77088 73447 31 107 19 098 34 084 73447 70192 29 099 19 110 27 085 70192 67228 29 093 26 112 21 079 67228 64484 25 092 28 104 13 077 64484 61832 17 074 26 102 12 081 61832 59092 16 073 20 086 12 078 59092 56291 14 073 14 047 14 077 56291 53662 14 073 14 036 13 067 53662 51320 24 071 13 050 13 055 51320 49215 30 065 16 060 15 052 49215 47276 25 064 18 049 16 034 47276 45473 19 057 17 036 20 036 45473 43785 16 040 15 026 17 032 43785 42200 15 021 13 024 15 017 42200 40703 14 027 13 013 15 015 40703 39283 12 041 13 018 14 022 39283 37903 13 041 11 039 11 031 37903 36492 18 048 9 047 9 036 36492 35021 19 037 8 039 9 020 35021 33494 20 023 9 031 11 004 33494 31895 16 021 10 031 14 346 31895 30212 11 055 9 034 12 338 30212 28449 8 066 7 035 16 354 28449 26608 5 124 9 006 17 006 26608 24689 5 038 15 358 16 024 24689 22695 7 022 17 360 16 033 22695 20624 9 021 12 350 11 028 20624 18474 10 011 10 000 7 018 18474 16284 8 355 10 358 9 005 16284 14171 7 005 9 001 10 008 14171 12250 2 321 5 051 7 012 12250 10547 4 250 1 001 6 358 10547 9039 5 260 3 211 5 281 9039 7698 1 249 6*176 8 249 7698 6502 1 166 7*173 10 239 6502 5441 4*179 8 173 10 229 5441 4503 8*184 8 174 10 213 4503 3674 9 184 9 177 13 201 3674 2932 9 184 10 179 16 194 2932 2276 10 184 10 182 19 190 2276 1729 10 185 10 182 20 186 1729 1309 10 185 10 184 20 184 1309 1019 10 185 10 184 16 180 1019 844 9 185 10 184 13*179 844 744 9 186 9 185 7*177 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography