DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 85.2 - - 83.0 - - 78.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 11 - - -21 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2466 - - 3181 - - 262 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1146 - - 727 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3126 - - 3841 - - 922 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2623 - - 2737 - - 4598 - - 2135 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 227 - - 205 - - 62 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 14 - - 12 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 184 - - 170 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1358 - - 1417 - - -607 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1768 - - 2424 - - 1530 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 353 - - -95 - - -1803 - - -1332 ODpotential blCL - - - 2773 - - 3936 - - 2725 - - 2075 blCL maxRH - - - 99 - - 98 - - 87 - - 93 maxRH CAPE - - - 3520 - - 3810 - - 4330 - - 3120 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.5 - - 85.2 - - 83.0 - - 78.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 76.4 - - 76.3 - - 77.8 - - 76.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.3 - - 85.2 - - 83.7 - - 79.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 75.3 - - 75.1 - - 77.2 - - 76.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 42 - - 11 - - -21 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2466 - - 3181 - - 262 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 97 - - 92 - - 48 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 18 - - 21 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98388 17 095 22 109 17 120 14 076 98388 90936 20 127 14 102 14 092 19 068 90936 85221 23 118 13 119 14 076 20 070 85221 80500 24 094 22 114 13 088 22 070 80500 76454 21 083 19 097 14 097 21 070 76454 72896 16 072 16 071 16 094 16 078 72896 69690 15 083 12 080 15 085 14 090 69690 66753 16 092 12 094 16 075 14 093 66753 64041 15 086 10 114 13 068 15 086 64041 61437 11 078 7 115 8 060 15 086 61437 58732 7 186 3 237 5 310 6 013 58732 55927 14 231 11 207 12 226 9 251 55927 53245 23 240 16 243 11 233 12 245 53245 50821 28 233 29 245 28 259 30 266 50821 48647 31 228 38 238 44 251 42 254 48647 46669 40 239 51 237 56 242 51 245 46669 44844 58 243 63 237 62 239 59 239 44844 43147 72 241 69 235 73 236 66 238 43147 41559 83 239 76 232 84 236 77 239 41559 40063 88 236 82 231 89 233 82 238 40063 38646 87 233 83 230 87 230 78 237 38646 37270 82 230 83 228 82 230 69 237 37270 35870 80 228 80 225 75 230 60 235 35870 34419 75 228 77 221 69 231 47 236 34419 32919 64 228 75 222 63 227 38 237 32919 31356 55 222 72 227 56 225 40 236 31356 29714 52 216 59 233 51 226 41 235 29714 27994 46 217 42 238 33 229 35 240 27994 26201 38 221 33 231 19 248 21 246 26201 24335 32 224 30 228 17 273 12 263 24335 22391 29 227 29 238 18 278 8 270 22391 20364 27 231 29 252 20 283 11 314 20364 18255 20 238 21 265 18 284 16 326 18255 16107 14 225 15 272 13 303 16 331 16107 14037 15 225 15 274 14 328 13 333 14037 12148 17 231 18 253 15 337 9 338 12148 10464 19 227 16 236 6 292 4 314 10464 8963 17 225 15 218 11 231 6 221 8963 7625 13 221 18 206 17 213 12 203 7625 6435 13 222 21 204 19 208 17 199 6435 5380 18 218 21 203 21 204 21 202 5380 4451 19 215 20*200 22 199 25 202 4451 3632 19*211 19*194 23 191 29 196 3632 2900 19*207 18 187 23 182 31 189 2900 2254 17 201 17 182 23 176 31 181 2254 1714 16 198 16 181 22 174 30 174 1714 1300 16 196 16 180 21 172 27 171 1300 1015 15 196 15 179 19*171 21 168 1015 842 14 195 14 178 17*171 18 167 842 743 12 194 12 177 12 170 12*166 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography