DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 87.6 - - - - - 82.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 185 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3819 - - 4176 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2794 - - 3279 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4479 - - 4836 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1704 - - 1715 - - - - - 2338 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 327 - - 385 - - - - - 13 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 14 - - 16 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 192 - - - - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -9 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1601 - - 719 - - - - - -2120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2878 - - 4117 - - - - - 2865 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 234 - - -224 - - - - - -4315 ODpotential blCL - - - 4245 - - 5060 - - - - - 5059 blCL maxRH - - - 88 - - 80 - - - - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 2720 - - 2190 - - - - - 1910 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.9 - - 87.6 - - - - - 82.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.4 - - 71.9 - - - - - 72.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.2 - - 86.4 - - - - - 83.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.0 - - 71.0 - - - - - 71.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 102 - - 185 - - - - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3819 - - 4176 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 53 - - 20 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99223 42 106 48 096 34 093 99223 91687 39 098 35 100 39 084 91687 85892 36 091 33 088 41 084 85892 81120 32 092 30 081 39 085 81120 77040 31 096 29 094 36 081 77040 73441 31 090 27 100 27 076 73441 70177 24 078 19 096 21 077 70177 67171 12 075 13 096 16 072 67171 64389 12 084 13 098 14 075 64389 61710 18 069 17 098 17 079 61710 58940 19 056 18 084 19 079 58940 56094 10 062 15 083 20 074 56094 53398 16 096 18 093 20 072 53398 50972 23 105 17 102 21 072 50972 48794 24 106 14 117 17 078 48794 46826 17 090 9 139 2 086 46826 45036 7 240 7 088 4 220 45036 43379 2 259 2 024 7 102 43379 41822 16 276 6 229 6 104 41822 40348 16 259 9 216 4 145 40348 38947 11 237 10 211 6 152 38947 37584 11 213 10 217 7 189 37584 36192 10 200 12 231 10 232 36192 34739 8 191 11 229 8 248 34739 33229 11 185 7 228 6 254 33229 31647 15 192 5 221 5 252 31647 29984 15 199 3 186 3 256 29984 28241 8 198 4 194 2 279 28241 26418 5 172 10 212 4 266 26418 24515 11 186 12 218 8 254 24515 22533 12 182 18 218 10 230 22533 20468 25 195 25 211 19 219 20468 18319 31 202 27 206 24 220 18319 16139 31 203 28 205 25 220 16139 14046 30 199 29 199 26 218 14046 12147 31 200 29 200 26 215 12147 10460 30 203 27 203 24 218 10460 8962 27 205 27 206 23 216 8962 7630 23 206 26 205 19 203 7630 6446 20 206 23 202 18 182 6446 5396 17*203 20*199 20 170 5396 4468 16*202 18*195 21 169 4468 3648 15 199 17 193 21 172 3648 2913 14 196 17 191 20 178 2913 2263 13 195 16 191 19 184 2263 1721 13 194 16 190 17 188 1721 1304 13 193 15 190 16 189 1304 1017 12 193 15 190 12 186 1017 843 12 193 14 190 9*182 843 744 10 192 12 190 4*174 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography