DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 07/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.5 - - 95.4 - - 92.8 - - 85.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 393 - - 101 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4754 - - 6726 - - 5194 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4075 - - 5570 - - 3585 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5414 - - 7386 - - 5854 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2465 - - 2471 - - 3373 - - 4525 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 532 - - 562 - - 330 - - 11 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 10 - - 6 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 10 - - 10 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 177 - - 171 - - 171 - - 160 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1318 - - -544 - - -941 - - -4016 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6732 - - 7931 - - 6795 - - 4760 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3773 - - -1931 - - -2254 - - -6112 ODpotential blCL - - - 9187 - - 9317 - - 8108 - - 6856 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 93 - - 88 - - 64 maxRH CAPE - - - 620 - - 470 - - 800 - - 760 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.5 - - 95.4 - - 92.8 - - 85.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.4 - - 63.1 - - 65.5 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.7 - - 93.0 - - 92.0 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 65.0 - - 62.7 - - 65.3 - - 67.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 473 - - 393 - - 101 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4754 - - 6726 - - 5194 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 74 - - 51 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99051 35 119 38 104 29 089 37 064 99051 91524 31 092 37 099 31 096 28 091 91524 85730 30 088 28 098 31 097 33 102 85730 80952 26 100 17 096 28 081 30 097 80952 76864 24 105 16 110 24 072 29 081 76864 73262 24 103 21 118 15 095 21 071 73262 70003 18 097 21 109 16 124 12 079 70003 67019 15 121 13 085 18 114 13 100 67019 64270 18 130 3 104 10 096 11 091 64270 61616 16 127 5 169 2 018 5 047 61616 58858 10 128 9 137 2 294 2 032 58858 56020 5 165 7 127 1 167 3 172 56020 53341 9 199 5 219 3 220 3 230 53341 50949 14 185 14 231 12 230 10 251 50949 48816 18 168 18 204 20 217 19 236 48816 46881 9 195 14 201 18 209 23 225 46881 45092 13 241 13 238 13 207 20 223 45092 43424 9 272 14 241 9 232 15 225 43424 41858 17 345 2 241 8 227 13 206 41858 40377 16 340 8 346 3 234 11 158 40377 38970 11 291 14 325 4 266 6 176 38970 37600 15 285 19 313 9 296 5 269 37600 36202 14 280 16 320 6 297 4 284 36202 34744 9 250 10 321 1 063 1 131 34744 33230 8 218 6 231 8 255 4 254 33230 31647 5 214 7 172 10 223 8 230 31647 29985 4 171 9 145 10 186 10 188 29985 28241 5 170 9 146 10 188 10 184 28241 26414 9 152 11 145 7 204 5 209 26414 24508 14 141 11 150 5 226 2 350 24508 22530 15 140 9 162 2 239 3 012 22530 20473 13 147 7 178 1 161 3 045 20473 18335 12 140 5 158 4 111 5 070 18335 16159 12 143 7 141 7 100 7 095 16159 14065 8 139 5 142 6 128 10 110 14065 12162 9 155 5 165 5 142 7 142 12162 10473 8 188 6 187 2 149 6 164 10473 8974 9 194 7 185 2 230 7 172 8974 7641 9 184 8*172 4 182 9 177 7641 6456 8*186 8*169 7*168 13 171 6456 5404 9*179 9 168 9*165 15 164 5404 4476 9 177 9 168 10 166 16 160 4476 3653 10 176 10 169 11 168 15 157 3653 2917 10 176 10 172 11 171 14 155 2917 2266 10 177 10 173 11 172 12 157 2266 1721 10 177 11 175 11 174 12 162 1721 1304 10 178 10 176 11 175 11 169 1304 1017 10 178 10 177 11 175 10 171 1017 843 10 178 10 177 11 176 8*168 843 744 9 178 9 177 9 175 4*160 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography