DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1555z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 86.3 - - 81.1 - - 74.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 125 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4221 - - 4975 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3352 - - 3635 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4881 - - 5635 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1930 - - 1447 - - 4830 - - 118 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 397 - - 357 - - 6 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 13 - - 12 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 075 - - 090 - - 109 - - 206 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -3 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2291 - - -2236 - - -5863 - - -4435 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7173 - - 7871 - - 6607 - - 5178 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6738 - - -5738 - - -10110 - - -9580 ODpotential blCL - - - 11619 - - 11373 - - 10853 - - 10323 blCL maxRH - - - 78 - - 70 - - 44 - - 43 maxRH CAPE - - - 440 - - 440 - - 370 - - 150 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.6 - - 86.3 - - 81.1 - - 74.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 55.8 - - 54.4 - - 54.9 - - 55.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.2 - - 85.4 - - 83.8 - - 78.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.6 - - 53.4 - - 53.9 - - 54.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 210 - - 125 - - -2 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4221 - - 4975 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98022 29 235 26 228 26 242 32 250 98022 90626 21 225 14 249 15 236 19 259 90626 84929 14 207 11 212 13 221 10 233 84929 80195 5 225 13 188 9 215 12 161 80195 76122 4 195 10 221 7 244 5 174 76122 72553 3 215 8 228 7 228 9 242 72553 69356 7 253 8 242 7 290 5 273 69356 66431 10 253 10 272 11 298 8 301 66431 63727 11 259 14 261 17 277 17 291 63727 61126 14 255 15 250 20 257 21 270 61126 58430 15 254 14 274 16 259 20 260 58430 55636 12 263 17 277 17 273 20 270 55636 52966 14 304 17 292 21 278 22 275 52966 50551 20 305 24 293 27 280 27 275 50551 48370 17 310 25 287 30 275 29 273 48370 46373 20 337 22 298 30 276 31 275 46373 44528 27 339 27 304 32 279 34 277 44528 42808 30 331 31 305 37 277 37 278 42808 41197 28 327 31 312 37 274 39 278 41197 39679 24 331 30 314 34 276 39 274 39679 38249 19 333 28 311 28 287 33 273 38249 36863 12 331 24 315 26 291 30 281 36863 35449 8 322 17 311 21 288 30 280 35449 33983 4 279 13 288 18 287 23 274 33983 32477 3 171 8 259 12 273 16 279 32477 30929 7 124 5 154 2 236 3 282 30929 29327 8 118 6 114 7 109 3 119 29327 27655 5 137 4 084 8 098 7 095 27655 25902 2 137 4 063 6 080 6 075 25902 24070 2 146 2 055 4 048 5 045 24070 22159 3 154 1 182 1 050 5 018 22159 20164 7 153 4 175 2 150 2 036 20164 18082 9 154 6 152 5 145 6 120 18082 15958 11 139 10 132 8 134 8 128 15958 13906 13 127 11 133 8 135 11 124 13906 12034 17 129 13 132 12 132 15 123 12034 10365 19 135 16 134 16 127 15 123 10365 8879 20 134 18 139 16 126 14 124 8879 7556 16 127 16 138 15 131 13 129 7556 6380 9 118 8*116 12 123 12 124 6380 5340 4*102 7*104 9 106 12 107 5340 4422 5*089 6 099 8 101 11 101 4422 3611 6 086 6 094 7 104 8 107 3611 2885 6 073 5 089 7 109 7 120 2885 2242 6 070 5 085 6 111 6 134 2242 1706 6 069 5 081 6 113 6 148 1706 1295 6 068 5 077 6 114 6 159 1295 1012 6 068 5 076 5 112 5 168 1012 841 6 067 5 075 4 112 3 181 841 743 5 068 5 075 3*109 2*206 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography