DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 11/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.0 - - 73.0 - - 76.4 - - 67.9 - - 61.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 71 - - 251 - - 139 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 372 - - 3262 - - 4783 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2687 - - 3509 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1032 - - 3922 - - 5443 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 353 - - 1998 - - 2349 - - 3764 - - 89 Hgt.Variab. W* 121 - - 379 - - 355 - - 5 - - 3 W* B/S 2 - - 8 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 9 - - 12 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 336 - - 319 - - 317 - - 298 - - 242 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3705 - - -3878 - - -3522 - - -5922 - - -4025 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4737 - - 7801 - - 8965 - - 6664 - - 4767 sfcLCL ODpotential -11323 - - -9896 - - -8504 - - -11615 - - -10456 ODpotential blCL 12355 - - 13818 - - 13947 - - 12357 - - 11198 blCL maxRH 55 - - 47 - - 48 - - 44 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.0 - - 73.0 - - 76.4 - - 67.9 - - 61.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.4 - - 41.5 - - 39.7 - - 41.8 - - 43.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.6 - - 71.4 - - 75.4 - - 71.6 - - 65.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.3 - - 41.3 - - 39.5 - - 41.7 - - 43.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 71 - - 251 - - 139 - - -7 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 372 - - 3262 - - 4783 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96570 65 269 66 260 63 250 72 255 72 260 96570 89271 45 275 42 275 39 264 31 264 40 254 89271 83705 22 277 23 263 28 268 23 292 18 293 83705 79110 16 275 15 286 21 291 15 298 15 314 79110 75162 11 306 13 280 25 304 20 320 16 323 75162 71689 14 334 11 292 19 311 19 301 14 310 71689 68547 18 339 16 311 18 316 15 303 11 301 68547 65649 20 318 19 307 19 301 22 318 18 330 65649 62968 22 319 15 320 20 263 32 300 31 317 62968 60388 26 344 34 325 31 316 38 302 42 307 60388 57734 54 313 50 299 43 300 42 304 47 304 57734 55003 49 298 43 293 45 290 48 298 54 299 55003 52377 36 309 38 312 42 289 53 288 59 291 52377 49983 54 329 51 321 40 307 47 291 48 298 49983 47807 72 322 65 324 50 317 52 307 51 311 47807 45811 80 315 76 316 69 315 65 314 64 320 45811 43970 71 309 87 301 77 310 72 314 74 318 43970 42264 58 298 79 297 75 297 71 307 74 312 42264 40674 54 300 60 301 80 290 68 299 68 306 40674 39183 55 304 54 305 63 293 61 308 60 307 39183 37779 53 300 53 308 54 301 60 318 58 314 37779 36423 50 295 49 308 51 307 57 320 58 324 36423 35047 45 301 47 302 51 311 50 319 54 329 35047 33625 36 312 45 302 51 305 47 327 48 330 33625 32159 33 299 30 310 47 309 45 333 47 331 32159 30634 28 294 31 304 34 309 39 327 45 330 30634 29039 26 300 30 298 31 302 34 325 41 329 29039 27369 25 308 29 302 27 310 29 324 39 326 27369 25619 24 316 27 304 22 324 25 313 37 323 25619 23791 27 321 27 305 22 321 27 322 33 316 23791 21882 29 319 31 306 24 314 23 317 31 308 21882 19885 31 312 34 307 27 311 27 311 31 302 19885 17800 31 308 35 307 35 309 32 312 34 318 17800 15680 28 308 31 311 37 312 30 314 31 327 15680 13644 24 316 23 313 29 322 28 322 29 331 13644 11795 23 330 20 319 24 328 28 335 29 338 11795 10151 21 338 19 334 23 339 27 343 29 342 10151 8692 20 338 21 345 23 346 22 344 25 343 8692 7397 20 341 23 345 21 345 20 343 18 346 7397 6248 22 347 22 338 19*334 19 335 15 334 6248 5232 21 349 19 330 14*319 16 318 14 315 5232 4335 17 349 15*325 13 316 15 312 11 314 4335 3542 13 357 11*319 13 316 14 311 9 313 3542 2832 10 004 9 318 13 316 13 310 8 307 2832 2205 10 356 9 319 12 316 12 310 9 298 2205 1681 14 342 8 320 12 317 11 310 9 291 1681 1279 14*338 8 320 11 317 10 310 10 283 1279 1003 12*336 7 322 11 318 8 309 8 272 1003 837 10 336 7 321 10 318 6 302 5*254 837 742 8 335 6 322 9 318 4*298 3*242 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography