DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 01/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 51.6 - - 58.5 - - 63.1 - - 54.1 - - 47.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 36 - - 301 - - 190 - - -24 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 662 - - 1589 - - 2160 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1520 - - 1767 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1322 - - 2249 - - 2820 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 915 - - 409 - - 510 - - 1902 - - 231 Hgt.Variab. W* 116 - - 316 - - 300 - - 8 - - 0 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 15 - - 14 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 355 - - 357 - - 360 - - 355 - - 031 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 286 - - -2217 - - -2931 - - -4160 - - -1746 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1036 - - 4466 - - 5751 - - 4902 - - 2487 sfcLCL ODpotential 146 - - -9013 - - -10933 - - -15600 - - -14805 ODpotential blCL 1176 - - 11262 - - 13753 - - 16341 - - 15546 blCL maxRH 100 - - 73 - - 58 - - 44 - - 55 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 51.6 - - 58.5 - - 63.1 - - 54.1 - - 47.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.7 - - 41.8 - - 40.8 - - 35.7 - - 39.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 51.5 - - 56.9 - - 62.0 - - 56.9 - - 51.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.6 - - 41.6 - - 40.6 - - 35.6 - - 39.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 36 - - 301 - - 190 - - -24 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 662 - - 1589 - - 2160 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96219 28 239 29 252 39 232 36 258 35 265 96219 88925 21 280 13 264 19 252 24 271 21 264 88925 83393 15 295 14 263 15 260 17 296 11 237 83393 78857 11 317 14 259 17 273 18 305 13 322 78857 74987 15 326 9 267 14 273 16 268 11 295 74987 71560 15 295 13 294 15 307 14 281 12 279 71560 68443 14 290 19 297 15 300 12 268 15 282 68443 65580 19 294 16 286 14 297 11 265 18 287 65580 62920 15 311 18 290 20 291 22 293 25 285 62920 60346 19 274 26 283 26 267 25 285 32 291 60346 57662 27 294 20 272 30 278 34 291 43 288 57662 54879 44 295 42 286 43 280 40 287 49 285 54879 52222 54 282 45 286 40 281 45 282 50 281 52222 49819 52 287 45 290 42 287 48 283 48 283 49819 47643 59 297 54 288 53 289 51 288 48 287 47643 45646 69 288 61 284 60 286 54 293 45 295 45646 43810 68 286 65 285 61 292 59 300 56 309 43810 42123 61 293 62 285 65 296 66 302 76 303 42123 40573 54 298 59 290 63 299 63 299 77 298 40573 39124 58 307 59 299 60 305 53 309 63 296 39124 37758 69 311 61 307 60 315 53 325 49 316 37758 36442 77 311 65 309 59 323 70 336 56 336 36442 35107 78 312 70 304 59 319 83 337 67 338 35107 33716 79 311 68 302 61 312 70 326 66 325 33716 32273 78 310 63 303 62 307 63 316 65 314 32273 30758 75 311 60 306 59 303 64 315 64 313 30758 29158 75 319 59 311 56 304 61 322 59 314 29158 27475 72 320 59 313 52 305 57 320 55 315 27475 25708 64 316 58 316 50 308 51 311 50 328 25708 23861 57 314 58 315 48 314 44 312 40 325 23861 21937 45 312 55 319 48 316 41 320 36 316 21937 19929 39 314 49 321 47 325 41 323 33 322 19929 17834 38 314 40 317 43 328 37 340 32 326 17834 15690 38 308 36 318 35 329 34 342 27 333 15690 13625 29 316 39 315 30 332 29 335 25 332 13625 11754 22 338 29 315 29 330 23 339 21 329 11754 10093 24 350 25 328 30 326 22 346 18 334 10093 8619 26 351 25 339 29 325 20 340 16 344 8619 7313 25 000 26 343 28 330 20 340 17 348 7313 6159 24 007 27 350 27 340 20 348 19 352 6159 5141 21 006 26 358 26 347 21 355 19 003 5141 4248 20 001 24 360 24 355 21 355 18 014 4248 3464 20 001 24 002 20*359 19 002 16 007 3464 2768 20 009 22*003 15*359 18 006 13 004 2768 2158 20 008 18*358 15 359 18 005 15 016 2158 1650 19*001 16 357 15 360 18 004 17 031 1650 1262 17*357 16 357 14 000 17 002 16 037 1262 995 15 355 15 357 14 001 14 359 13 037 995 833 13 354 14 357 13 001 11 358 10 034 833 741 11 354 12 357 11 001 6*355 5*031 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography