DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 87.9 - - 86.7 - - 82.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 225 - - -2 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3452 - - 4043 - - 2068 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2912 - - 3259 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4112 - - 4703 - - 2728 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1168 - - 1546 - - 3747 - - 3753 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 415 - - 403 - - 108 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 18 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 196 - - 189 - - 181 - - 177 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -11 - - -10 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 169 - - 254 - - -1506 - - -1802 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3944 - - 4449 - - 4234 - - 2546 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2327 - - -2003 - - -3520 - - -3599 ODpotential blCL - - - 6439 - - 6706 - - 6248 - - 4343 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 87 - - 83 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 1350 - - 1300 - - 1220 - - 1930 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.6 - - 87.9 - - 86.7 - - 82.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.4 - - 70.6 - - 70.4 - - 73.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.9 - - 86.5 - - 86.9 - - 83.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.7 - - 69.9 - - 69.9 - - 73.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 293 - - 225 - - -2 - - -31 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3452 - - 4043 - - 2068 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 61 - - 46 - - 32 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98607 25 119 24 112 15 088 17 086 98607 91130 24 109 18 116 15 098 15 094 91130 85399 23 105 19 100 17 101 21 083 85399 80658 20 101 17 103 19 085 20 092 80658 76579 18 090 11 117 14 083 18 078 76579 72991 14 106 8 101 9 082 14 075 72991 69759 14 102 11 104 8 062 14 081 69759 66790 8 104 9 103 6 077 7 059 66790 64042 8 180 2 050 9 053 7 024 64042 61415 9 158 5 199 2 288 10 323 61415 58722 7 291 7 281 7 282 16 298 58722 55961 15 298 16 278 19 276 20 280 55961 53347 25 298 24 289 28 290 27 287 53347 50999 32 287 35 286 36 287 35 290 50999 48883 36 284 37 281 39 280 39 280 48883 46941 36 280 35 276 40 278 42 276 46941 45141 38 279 35 275 40 275 43 275 45141 43462 41 280 38 277 39 272 42 273 43462 41887 44 280 42 281 38 271 43 271 41887 40400 47 280 40 280 37 272 44 271 40400 38989 46 280 38 277 38 276 43 269 38989 37616 45 281 38 271 41 278 41 267 37616 36214 41 278 35 272 38 276 33 267 36214 34754 35 268 34 274 33 271 33 279 34754 33239 35 260 32 282 28 273 33 280 33239 31653 33 261 31 284 25 278 32 278 31653 29984 30 268 35 273 28 278 27 282 29984 28233 31 265 29 258 30 273 26 283 28233 26405 23 264 30 251 28 267 24 284 26405 24502 18 267 28 253 28 263 19 280 24502 22527 16 268 25 246 25 256 19 270 22527 20474 15 265 11 266 19 257 18 256 20474 18336 12 243 10 291 9 271 15 270 18336 16158 12 220 13 262 6 295 7 269 16158 14062 12 212 11 237 6 294 4 329 14062 12156 12 201 10 219 5 252 6 346 12156 10461 13 189 13 205 10 219 2 298 10461 8959 13 184 16 198 16 201 9 223 8959 7627 12 190 14 200 18 204 14 220 7627 6443 13 207 16 207 19 206 17 216 6443 5394 17 210 18*202 21 201 22 202 5394 4467 17*202 18*199 23 196 24 194 4467 3647 17*199 18 192 23 191 26 187 3647 2912 17 197 18 189 22*187 29 184 2912 2262 17 196 19 188 21*183 33 183 2262 1720 17 196 18 187 20 182 32 182 1720 1303 16 195 18 186 19 181 30 181 1303 1017 15 194 17 186 17 180 22 178 1017 843 15 194 16 185 15 180 19*177 843 744 13 194 14 185 12 179 11*177 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography