DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.4 - - 80.8 - - 82.5 - - 76.9 - - 71.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 56 - - 223 - - 138 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 387 - - 3230 - - 3505 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2638 - - 2618 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1047 - - 3890 - - 4165 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 570 - - 1817 - - 1325 - - 4027 - - 95 Hgt.Variab. W* 118 - - 370 - - 327 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 6 - - 11 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 4 - - 6 - - 7 - - 3 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 034 - - 050 - - 033 - - 034 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 4 - - -8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2668 - - -2823 - - -4042 - - -5315 - - -4393 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3715 - - 6713 - - 8207 - - 6058 - - 5135 sfcLCL ODpotential -9674 - - -9917 - - -10808 - - -12138 - - -12378 ODpotential blCL 10721 - - 13807 - - 14973 - - 12881 - - 13120 blCL maxRH 62 - - 46 - - 39 - - 36 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 72.4 - - 80.8 - - 82.5 - - 76.9 - - 71.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.8 - - 54.0 - - 49.3 - - 53.2 - - 52.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.9 - - 79.4 - - 81.4 - - 79.6 - - 76.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 58.0 - - 52.9 - - 48.1 - - 52.1 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 56 - - 223 - - 138 - - -3 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 387 - - 3230 - - 3505 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 8 - - 7 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97870 11 238 18 207 19 233 16 260 19 269 97870 90499 9 234 12 166 13 202 12 236 10 283 90499 84823 4 222 4 175 8 157 9 189 5 274 84823 80124 3 241 4 285 6 120 4 151 3 288 80124 76082 4 207 10 306 5 026 1 345 5 329 76082 72518 6 290 9 290 8 320 6 318 8 354 72518 69306 7 338 6 278 8 293 8 320 12 354 69306 66365 13 349 5 307 10 309 12 313 15 330 66365 63656 7 321 7 304 13 302 16 304 17 319 63656 61053 11 337 10 297 11 293 14 290 15 306 61053 58349 23 319 18 317 13 317 14 288 17 302 58349 55546 30 298 26 309 22 300 25 285 28 298 55546 52871 32 289 33 305 29 295 36 281 36 285 52871 50455 39 292 40 296 41 284 45 273 46 274 50455 48280 43 291 46 287 45 277 46 270 50 265 48280 46295 48 291 48 284 47 281 49 269 56 266 46295 44465 57 289 49 288 49 281 49 268 58 262 44465 42765 64 287 51 290 50 284 49 270 56 260 42765 41176 64 284 53 289 52 285 51 274 55 266 41176 39688 62 284 55 291 54 285 53 275 56 272 39688 38285 61 285 56 287 54 285 54 273 57 272 38285 36926 59 287 55 285 53 284 55 272 56 271 36926 35545 54 292 49 293 50 286 51 277 51 271 35545 34117 45 302 33 303 33 294 42 280 41 274 34117 32647 32 306 22 306 23 291 27 284 23 278 32647 31119 27 306 21 314 20 295 19 284 13 276 31119 29512 19 321 19 313 18 305 16 298 9 282 29512 27823 13 001 10 339 14 298 12 303 5 294 27823 26050 13 020 10 026 8 319 6 310 6 003 26050 24196 10 015 9 022 8 000 6 008 6 015 24196 22263 10 033 9 004 10 359 9 022 8 036 22263 20247 13 034 8 020 9 358 9 027 10 060 20247 18143 12 041 8 042 7 031 9 039 12 067 18143 15995 10 059 8 063 8 059 10 053 14 072 15995 13921 8 064 9 072 10 074 13 067 15 071 13921 12028 8 070 7 067 9 069 10 073 13 083 12028 10344 8 073 6 073 6 060 8 075 8 089 10344 8850 9 048 8 062 7 070 7 072 8 093 8850 7522 14 021 10 043 9 068 7 086 7 098 7522 6346 24 021 13 040 10 059 5 089 6 099 6346 5308 22 016 13 038 9 049 6 068 7 115 5308 4396 16 010 11*028 7*046 6 070 9 116 4396 3590 11 011 9*020 7*048 6 079 10 105 3590 2869 5 035 6 031 7 050 5 082 10 092 2869 2232 4 070 6 036 7 049 5 076 8 086 2232 1700 3 077 6 038 7 050 4 061 6 087 1700 1292 2*016 6 041 7 051 4 049 4 086 1292 1010 4*335 5 043 7 051 4 038 4 076 1010 840 4 335 5 044 6 052 4*035 3 057 840 742 3 335 5 044 6 052 3*033 3*034 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography