DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 69.4 - - 73.4 - - 78.3 - - 72.1 - - 68.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 111 - - 235 - - 195 - - -14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 694 - - 1806 - - 3063 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1599 - - 2431 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1354 - - 2466 - - 3723 - - 742 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 657 - - 1081 - - 2527 - - 2700 - - 252 Hgt.Variab. W* 172 - - 304 - - 341 - - 11 - - 7 W* B/S 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 11 - - 12 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 182 - - 188 - - 164 - - 124 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -3 - - -7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2466 - - -434 - - -680 - - -2670 - - -666 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3820 - - 2900 - - 4404 - - 3412 - - 1409 sfcLCL ODpotential -6022 - - -1992 - - -1485 - - -5615 - - -3431 ODpotential blCL 7376 - - 4458 - - 5208 - - 6357 - - 4174 blCL maxRH 80 - - 94 - - 89 - - 78 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 40 - - 200 - - 250 - - 20 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m 69.4 - - 73.4 - - 78.3 - - 72.1 - - 68.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 55.5 - - 63.2 - - 61.5 - - 59.9 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 68.5 - - 71.8 - - 76.9 - - 73.9 - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 55.5 - - 63.2 - - 61.5 - - 59.8 - - 64.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 111 - - 235 - - 195 - - -14 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 694 - - 1806 - - 3063 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 21 - - 77 - - 58 - - 10 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97327 43 251 49 256 51 266 48 271 49 268 97327 90004 31 266 30 254 32 259 30 276 31 262 90004 84390 19 277 22 264 17 258 18 276 24 251 84390 79743 14 270 20 267 17 267 19 268 21 261 79743 75757 15 262 15 265 15 275 19 266 19 276 75757 72249 17 256 13 267 11 268 17 270 19 265 72249 69076 14 260 11 255 10 244 14 250 14 259 69076 66162 18 260 9 260 13 247 15 245 16 257 66162 63478 23 254 17 244 20 234 21 242 21 240 63478 60888 27 255 24 264 17 266 16 262 14 252 60888 58200 34 249 43 260 36 269 36 274 30 272 58200 55436 38 246 49 249 47 254 50 253 43 251 55436 52806 46 262 48 255 49 248 51 244 49 235 52806 50416 61 267 56 264 53 255 52 254 45 244 50416 48243 69 264 67 265 64 256 61 266 51 264 48243 46270 74 260 69 263 70 256 78 270 77 270 46270 44470 71 257 69 261 72 259 102 266 99 264 44470 42805 65 255 69 260 73 260 117 259 105 255 42805 41251 59 255 75 262 86 262 110 256 96 250 41251 39787 53 254 85 262 93 258 102 252 92 246 39787 38396 50 254 84 260 91 258 100 255 98 249 38396 37040 50 255 71 259 88 261 92 262 96 254 37040 35658 53 259 58 259 87 261 82 267 84 258 35658 34223 55 261 55 262 84 270 70 265 73 267 34223 32739 54 263 52 260 56 265 61 268 63 268 32739 31186 50 263 47 258 44 256 48 266 56 266 31186 29551 46 261 41 259 39 252 39 257 44 261 29551 27836 40 259 38 256 35 251 33 241 36 255 27836 26048 36 259 35 256 33 249 32 236 33 238 26048 24187 33 256 31 255 29 251 31 238 33 236 24187 22248 27 249 27 251 26 250 26 246 27 242 22248 20226 18 239 21 249 22 252 22 261 19 248 20226 18119 14 223 15 234 16 254 18 269 14 248 18119 15972 16 224 17 221 13 240 12 263 12 233 15972 13901 12 208 18 215 15 233 8 261 8 215 13901 12014 9 188 11 199 12 223 6 267 2 228 12014 10332 12 179 12 193 12 207 9 236 5 279 10332 8840 11 188 13 198 12 209 12 210 10 264 8840 7516 12 189 14 202 12 211 12 217 13 258 7516 6343 12 175 17 191 15 218 12 234 11 236 6343 5306 11 181 18 183 16 215 11 234 13 215 5306 4393 12 190 18 186 15*210 11 218 16 191 4393 3587 13 202 17 189 14*198 12 199 17 179 3587 2866 15 211 12*184 13 191 13 179 17 174 2866 2229 16 215 11*182 13 186 14 169 18 169 2229 1697 15*213 11 182 12 186 14 166 18 164 1697 1289 11*204 11 182 12 185 13 167 16 156 1289 1009 7 193 10 182 12 184 11 167 13 145 1009 839 7 191 10 182 11 184 9 167 9*137 839 743 6 190 9 183 10 184 5*164 5*124 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography