DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 39.0 - - 40.1 - - 38.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 33 - - 3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1127 - - 1232 - - 1150 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 723 - - 723 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1787 - - 1892 - - 1810 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 632 - - 819 - - 1621 - - 3014 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 141 - - 141 - - 72 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 8 - - 13 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 044 - - 349 - - 344 - - 349 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 0 - - -2 - - -3 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 389 - - 387 - - 327 - - -862 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1398 - - 1505 - - 1483 - - 1602 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 305 - - 302 - - 37 - - -1281 ODpotential blCL - - - 1482 - - 1590 - - 1773 - - 2021 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 99 maxRH CAPE - - - 200 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.1 - - 39.0 - - 40.1 - - 38.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 34.0 - - 35.4 - - 36.5 - - 34.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.9 - - 38.7 - - 40.2 - - 39.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 33.5 - - 34.9 - - 36.1 - - 34.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 36 - - 33 - - 3 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1127 - - 1232 - - 1150 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 100 - - 101 - - 97 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96317 10 075 7 037 12 350 3 354 96317 89157 19 079 12 094 10 050 15 051 89157 83649 15 065 13 067 12 063 15 072 83649 79072 8 350 11 024 10 026 10 040 79072 75122 7 271 10 314 6 307 10 322 75122 71618 8 274 12 311 5 347 8 314 71618 68428 18 298 16 298 15 304 19 307 68428 65502 31 281 23 281 19 292 20 287 65502 62798 37 266 34 272 30 287 20 300 62798 60164 37 265 35 274 31 284 27 295 60164 57414 54 278 59 275 58 279 54 278 57414 54575 73 267 74 262 77 265 74 263 54575 51866 76 253 79 252 81 255 75 260 51866 49425 75 250 76 250 81 254 79 265 49425 47242 84 257 81 258 94 257 94 261 47242 45280 107 260 103 258 109 251 109 257 45280 43498 127 256 115 251 111 250 118 254 43498 41855 131 252 113 252 120 254 126 254 41855 40319 123 252 118 260 130 256 133 255 40319 38868 121 257 128 264 139 256 141 255 38868 37490 130 261 128 260 142 256 144 256 37490 36147 131 261 130 255 141 258 146 257 36147 34773 131 257 132 254 139 261 145 259 34773 33340 125 256 133 258 133 262 142 262 33340 31851 106 252 122 258 126 260 135 262 31851 30299 90 245 103 254 114 259 120 260 30299 28681 83 246 91 250 101 259 103 261 28681 27001 78 250 86 251 93 258 89 260 27001 25248 70 255 83 254 87 258 83 258 25248 23417 63 255 78 258 79 260 77 258 23417 21513 59 251 68 258 71 262 69 263 21513 19531 55 253 61 258 64 258 65 265 19531 17465 48 251 57 253 58 253 62 261 17465 15357 39 243 54 248 53 252 58 255 15357 13321 36 243 47 241 49 255 56 254 13321 11469 35 244 44 233 46 255 51 262 11469 9829 36 242 39 236 42 253 45 271 9829 8378 38 236 32 243 33 250 40 279 8378 7093 41 237 30 245 29 263 35 298 7093 5957 38 244 29 248 26 287 34 314 5957 4960 28 258 25 262 24 309 28 324 4960 4100 18 254 21 287 25 322 24 342 4100 3355 16 234 17 302 21 329 24 349 3355 2693 7 237 14 322 18 338 23 349 2693 2107 3*048 10*344 17*341 21 349 2107 1619 3*048 9*347 16*343 18 350 1619 1244 3 045 9 348 14 344 15 351 1244 986 3 041 8 349 13 344 13 350 986 829 3 041 8 349 11 344 11*350 829 740 3 040 6 350 9 344 7*349 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography