DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 54.5 - - 61.5 - - 62.8 - - 53.9 - - 48.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 235 - - 124 - - -25 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 2391 - - 2503 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2023 - - 1797 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 861 - - 3051 - - 3163 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1347 - - 616 - - 1117 - - 463 - - 102 Hgt.Variab. W* 44 - - 335 - - 275 - - 10 - - 7 W* B/S 0 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 27 - - 22 - - 6 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 017 - - 005 - - 347 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 12 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -4 - - -6 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4199 - - -4177 - - -6151 - - -6443 - - -5972 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5060 - - 7229 - - 9314 - - 7184 - - 6714 sfcLCL ODpotential -16896 - - -15490 - - -17397 - - -19572 - - -20581 ODpotential blCL 17757 - - 18541 - - 20560 - - 20313 - - 21322 blCL maxRH 49 - - 56 - - 61 - - 51 - - 43 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 54.5 - - 61.5 - - 62.8 - - 53.9 - - 48.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 35.4 - - 32.9 - - 25.0 - - 25.7 - - 22.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.6 - - 60.4 - - 62.1 - - 56.4 - - 51.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 35.3 - - 32.6 - - 24.7 - - 25.7 - - 22.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 235 - - 124 - - -25 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 201 - - 2391 - - 2503 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96133 35 265 39 275 37 266 50 271 52 268 96133 89018 24 285 29 286 30 278 40 289 40 286 89018 83516 22 291 30 289 33 276 37 293 31 299 83516 78927 21 289 26 290 33 292 32 296 27 314 78927 74976 17 306 20 292 30 304 25 302 23 313 74976 71505 26 334 14 302 22 301 20 312 18 321 71505 68380 25 320 14 315 18 303 17 303 17 327 68380 65508 20 289 19 320 19 324 15 296 15 327 65508 62827 21 295 23 288 22 328 15 307 15 322 62827 60206 29 304 27 287 28 296 26 296 22 313 60206 57469 37 299 39 291 39 280 44 284 39 297 57469 54653 50 295 56 288 53 287 55 289 50 290 54653 51978 64 288 65 286 62 285 65 287 58 292 51978 49570 72 281 70 282 63 281 67 281 67 290 49570 47421 68 282 70 277 60 284 64 277 70 283 47421 45479 62 286 66 277 66 292 62 289 66 282 45479 43705 57 280 63 277 73 296 71 297 68 287 43705 42074 50 282 60 271 73 293 74 294 71 289 42074 40556 49 292 60 271 72 289 73 291 68 295 40556 39130 51 297 59 278 71 286 73 299 68 299 39130 37778 51 299 57 281 69 285 70 305 69 304 37778 36466 52 300 55 289 70 285 67 304 68 305 36466 35127 51 297 55 296 69 287 63 295 66 305 35127 33731 50 294 55 301 65 288 59 292 64 304 33731 32282 50 295 56 303 59 292 59 301 60 310 32282 30766 48 298 55 303 56 297 54 303 57 320 30766 29170 45 302 54 306 52 310 47 320 61 325 29170 27488 42 306 52 310 56 317 52 331 64 323 27488 25718 41 307 47 307 58 315 60 322 60 322 25718 23862 38 305 44 301 55 314 59 315 56 323 23862 21922 36 303 44 302 53 314 49 315 51 322 21922 19891 37 301 45 306 51 318 51 315 50 324 19891 17767 42 299 45 302 44 315 53 316 46 326 17767 15612 43 294 43 301 41 301 45 317 44 324 15612 13550 29 284 30 300 41 315 41 316 41 325 13550 11682 11 325 14 262 31 315 36 311 34 316 11682 10026 15 344 16 003 21 290 26 282 34 303 10026 8555 19 341 27 017 25 323 28 306 27 291 8555 7249 19 352 26 020 33 357 28 353 16 344 7249 6098 23 003 27 017 25 014 30 013 16 021 6098 5095 31 010 31 014 18 018 21 013 13 017 5095 4220 38 017 36 020 22 010 18 011 14 002 4220 3452 51 028 35*020 24*006 19 009 15 005 3452 2765 56 028 30*017 23*005 20 007 17 007 2765 2157 52 025 30 017 23 005 20 005 18 008 2157 1650 44 020 28 016 23 005 19 002 18 007 1650 1262 36 015 27 016 22 004 18 358 18 005 1262 995 29*011 25 016 21 005 15 354 16 359 995 833 25*010 23 016 19 005 12 351 11*352 833 741 18 009 18 016 15 005 6*347 6*344 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography