DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0949z - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 81.0 - - 89.8 - - 92.9 - - 90.0 - - 81.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 164 - - 366 - - 254 - - -14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1105 - - 4281 - - 5415 - - 84 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 921 - - 3612 - - 4337 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1765 - - 4941 - - 6075 - - 744 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1832 - - 2365 - - 3599 - - 7296 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* 230 - - 472 - - 454 - - 23 - - 9 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 10 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 8 - - 8 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 193 - - 195 - - 167 - - 188 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -3 - - -4 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1512 - - -484 - - -484 - - -5886 - - -3316 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3277 - - 5425 - - 6560 - - 6631 - - 4060 sfcLCL ODpotential -3036 - - -843 - - -1403 - - -8006 - - -7082 ODpotential blCL 4801 - - 5784 - - 7478 - - 8750 - - 7826 blCL maxRH 92 - - 86 - - 69 - - 59 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 680 - - 660 - - 20 - - 110 CAPE Temp@2m 81.0 - - 89.8 - - 92.9 - - 90.0 - - 81.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 68.8 - - 68.2 - - 66.4 - - 63.4 - - 66.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 79.7 - - 87.5 - - 91.2 - - 90.8 - - 84.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 68.6 - - 67.9 - - 66.1 - - 63.1 - - 66.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 164 - - 366 - - 254 - - -14 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1105 - - 4281 - - 5415 - - 84 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 68 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 15 - - 15 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98369 20 095 19 103 15 082 22 065 24 083 98369 91039 27 093 24 084 18 092 21 063 28 060 91039 85401 30 088 25 082 24 090 14 080 24 061 85401 80693 28 083 24 095 24 091 13 092 20 075 80693 76611 21 078 25 106 20 090 18 092 21 091 76611 73011 18 077 22 094 20 101 16 091 19 087 73011 69783 16 083 19 076 21 098 15 101 14 088 69783 66842 12 088 17 078 16 099 13 105 9 099 66842 64124 13 119 8 064 13 091 13 115 10 110 64124 61498 7 133 2 134 2 317 6 328 6 004 61498 58804 5 259 3 265 6 269 4 295 11 266 58804 56056 15 302 12 301 10 286 11 315 12 294 56056 53445 30 296 30 301 26 300 25 308 21 312 53445 51091 39 289 41 292 35 296 33 297 32 302 51091 48967 39 289 40 285 38 289 37 296 41 299 48967 47020 40 292 39 290 37 290 42 303 45 297 47020 45213 44 292 44 295 43 295 49 307 45 297 45213 43522 48 292 49 294 47 295 51 304 48 301 43522 41933 52 292 51 293 50 293 51 299 54 304 41933 40433 55 293 54 296 53 295 52 296 56 302 40433 39012 56 297 57 298 54 298 54 297 55 300 39012 37633 56 299 58 300 55 300 56 300 55 302 37633 36228 55 299 57 301 55 302 58 304 54 307 36228 34767 52 299 53 301 53 305 56 308 50 312 34767 33253 50 297 49 299 49 305 48 309 42 312 33253 31669 45 294 44 299 44 302 44 311 37 311 31669 30003 38 289 40 296 38 301 37 309 35 312 30003 28256 34 286 35 288 35 300 29 304 29 310 28256 26431 30 289 29 289 33 295 24 306 23 305 26431 24528 28 292 22 287 28 294 23 309 20 311 24528 22546 27 285 21 283 23 297 20 311 19 318 22546 20480 19 280 21 274 19 291 16 314 12 327 20480 18332 10 272 10 268 12 278 11 323 11 339 18332 16155 0 082 7 187 11 244 8 310 10 330 16155 14062 4 009 2 022 2 289 6 280 10 329 14062 12162 6 344 7 342 6 343 6 298 10 338 12162 10476 4 009 3 321 3 281 5 276 6 317 10476 8979 3 017 1 309 3 211 5 242 8 241 8979 7648 5 045 3 086 5 175 5 190 12 196 7648 6463 3 078 4 164 7*168 9 160 15 167 6463 5410 11 227 7*198 8*166 10 156 15 158 5410 4480 16 221 8*198 8 165 10 158 14 154 4480 3656 18 217 8 196 8 166 10 163 13 154 3656 2919 17 218 8 195 9 166 10 173 12 157 2919 2267 16*216 9 194 9 168 11 180 11 162 2267 1722 12*200 9 195 9 168 10 183 10 165 1722 1305 10 192 9 194 9 169 10 185 9 161 1305 1017 10 191 9 194 8 170 10 187 8 152 1017 843 9 190 8 194 8 170 9*187 6*136 843 744 8 190 8 193 8 169 7*188 4*118 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography