DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 57.6 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 159 - - - - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1945 - - 2294 - - - - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1741 - - 1835 - - - - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2605 - - 2954 - - - - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 494 - - 653 - - - - - 1562 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 325 - - 300 - - - - - 37 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 27 - - - - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 005 - - 016 - - - - - 024 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 12 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -5 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1013 - - -1207 - - - - - -2071 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3618 - - 4161 - - - - - 2813 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -10197 - - -11621 - - - - - -10754 ODpotential blCL - - - 12802 - - 14575 - - - - - 11495 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - - - - 58 maxRH CAPE - - - 140 - - 120 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 58.1 - - 57.6 - - - - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 45.0 - - 42.2 - - - - - 43.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 56.9 - - 56.8 - - - - - 55.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 43.8 - - 40.9 - - - - - 42.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 159 - - - - - -66 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1945 - - 2294 - - - - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 75 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 6 - - 5 - - - - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97384 25 284 29 292 29 316 97384 90115 23 283 20 298 25 314 90115 84526 4 329 6 291 16 301 84526 79869 5 346 6 357 9 308 79869 75829 6 298 3 265 4 017 75829 72251 8 280 4 308 5 068 72251 69032 11 230 18 233 10 293 69032 66093 14 192 16 212 20 274 66093 63363 18 251 16 235 25 258 63363 60731 27 255 19 247 26 253 60731 57978 36 244 26 243 26 252 57978 55092 44 248 45 268 41 263 55092 52347 62 253 65 257 59 261 52347 49897 81 250 82 251 74 255 49897 47700 90 241 87 245 86 253 47700 45701 96 242 91 247 94 250 45701 43871 105 245 107 248 101 247 43871 42188 117 246 124 244 108 248 42188 40628 123 245 124 244 113 249 40628 39170 125 245 122 243 110 251 39170 37800 126 246 123 240 99 251 37800 36477 121 248 122 241 93 251 36477 35131 101 249 105 247 89 251 35131 33728 87 247 89 250 85 252 33728 32271 80 243 82 251 83 255 32271 30742 73 239 76 248 82 257 30742 29131 67 237 65 244 77 258 29131 27441 64 238 63 244 70 258 27441 25672 63 244 69 249 65 259 25672 23826 69 251 68 252 58 260 23826 21903 68 257 63 250 52 254 21903 19895 56 258 58 245 46 247 19895 17799 52 247 54 241 37 250 17799 15659 50 237 52 239 36 268 15659 13595 38 229 47 232 38 281 13595 11720 30 242 43 229 24 298 11720 10061 24 259 31 240 15 314 10061 8591 19 272 23 277 10 343 8591 7291 18 298 21 313 9 014 7291 6142 16 322 21 348 14 025 6142 5128 16 348 24 011 22 026 5128 4241 26 019 31 021 29 028 4241 3462 33 022 32*019 34 031 3462 2770 30*014 30*017 37 032 2770 2160 26*007 29 016 37 031 2160 1653 26 006 28 016 34 029 1653 1263 25 005 27 015 30 027 1263 996 24 004 25 015 24 025 996 834 22 003 23 015 20 024 834 741 18 002 18 015 14*024 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography