DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 12/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 40.7 - - 40.8 - - 40.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 134 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2457 - - 2563 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2172 - - 1871 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3117 - - 3223 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 486 - - 578 - - 2966 - - 2649 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 373 - - 282 - - 0 - - 6 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 347 - - 342 - - 335 - - 353 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -3 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4120 - - -4789 - - -7222 - - -6403 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7237 - - 8013 - - 7963 - - 7143 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -21026 - - -19632 - - -21941 - - -21225 ODpotential blCL - - - 24143 - - 22855 - - 22681 - - 21965 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 93 - - 38 - - 37 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 39.0 - - 40.7 - - 40.8 - - 40.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 10.6 - - 9.0 - - 9.4 - - 12.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 37.5 - - 40.1 - - 41.1 - - 40.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 10.7 - - 8.9 - - 9.4 - - 12.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 325 - - 134 - - -7 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2457 - - 2563 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 71 - - 72 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 2 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95985 33 274 32 260 30 273 31 277 95985 88820 20 277 20 272 27 275 29 297 88820 83290 17 289 19 304 20 299 23 295 83290 78749 17 284 19 302 25 318 19 305 78749 74860 9 276 17 279 22 286 20 323 74860 71412 10 283 12 289 21 293 26 287 71412 68299 16 283 17 289 27 290 31 261 68299 65448 19 289 18 297 26 277 35 272 65448 62798 33 284 34 288 31 277 42 286 62798 60211 50 277 55 273 47 272 49 284 60211 57504 62 269 70 272 65 274 68 280 57504 54693 75 255 76 256 74 267 77 278 54693 51983 76 253 76 253 82 257 83 264 51983 49534 75 259 77 259 84 257 85 258 49534 47355 92 263 85 265 82 266 86 263 47355 45396 95 259 94 260 88 274 93 269 45396 43615 94 258 99 255 100 266 103 269 43615 41976 94 257 100 254 104 260 106 267 41976 40451 93 258 97 256 104 261 104 269 40451 39014 96 262 96 261 104 267 104 271 39014 37654 95 265 97 265 104 270 100 271 37654 36334 89 267 99 270 102 268 96 275 36334 34982 93 273 97 274 100 270 96 279 34982 33571 92 276 94 275 100 276 97 282 33571 32101 87 277 90 278 95 278 96 280 32101 30559 82 276 83 276 89 277 94 277 30559 28932 77 272 79 273 85 278 90 276 28932 27219 75 272 77 275 82 284 88 280 27219 25431 73 272 75 276 72 282 81 283 25431 23571 72 273 64 279 65 279 75 279 23571 21633 66 276 60 277 62 278 67 278 21633 19616 62 276 62 268 61 276 63 279 19616 17523 61 282 62 271 57 288 49 300 17523 15396 57 288 54 295 44 297 40 302 15396 13347 42 296 37 304 29 307 28 301 13347 11487 41 296 28 306 26 314 22 315 11487 9843 37 295 25 311 25 323 22 324 9843 8391 32 320 28 322 28 334 23 332 8391 7109 36 345 31 334 27 341 21 340 7109 5979 34 358 30 350 24 353 20 347 5979 4985 34 005 29 005 23 000 21 353 4985 4120 31 003 25 353 25 345 27 354 4120 3365 23*349 21*343 24 339 30 352 3365 2698 22*348 21*342 23 338 28 353 2698 2110 22 347 21 342 22 338 26 355 2110 1620 22 347 20 342 21 338 24 355 1620 1244 21 347 19 342 19 337 20 355 1244 986 20 347 18 342 17 336 16 354 986 830 19 347 17 342 14 336 14 354 830 740 16 347 14 341 10*335 10*353 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography