DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 08/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.8 - - 97.4 - - 95.4 - - 86.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 254 - - -15 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1700 - - 3059 - - 84 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1663 - - 2558 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2360 - - 3719 - - 744 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 811 - - 1576 - - 4454 - - 116 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 350 - - 378 - - 32 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 16 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 199 - - 192 - - 196 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4447 - - -5590 - - -9102 - - -6269 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6807 - - 9309 - - 9847 - - 7014 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8506 - - -9867 - - -12955 - - -11837 ODpotential blCL - - - 10866 - - 13586 - - 13699 - - 12581 blCL maxRH - - - 90 - - 86 - - 30 - - 33 maxRH CAPE - - - 410 - - 110 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.8 - - 97.4 - - 95.4 - - 86.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 64.7 - - 59.3 - - 55.2 - - 58.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.7 - - 96.0 - - 96.0 - - 89.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 58.6 - - 54.5 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 373 - - 254 - - -15 - - -35 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1700 - - 3059 - - 84 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 60 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 12 - - 9 - - 9 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99054 34 093 37 102 22 086 27 063 99054 91577 34 092 32 095 26 091 31 090 91577 85801 31 095 27 093 30 085 41 090 85801 81032 29 093 21 093 27 085 38 077 81032 76942 25 093 22 092 24 081 32 079 76942 73331 19 096 21 081 22 084 21 085 73331 70074 15 117 15 085 16 067 17 077 70074 67089 12 106 15 102 6 075 12 049 67089 64325 10 097 16 090 10 113 4 052 64325 61658 8 090 13 074 14 072 8 081 61658 58914 8 118 6 097 8 049 9 039 58914 56106 12 075 6 121 2 246 9 323 56106 53443 14 018 14 002 7 352 8 331 53443 51047 11 347 16 336 15 330 17 347 51047 48900 6 334 14 321 15 304 20 323 48900 46945 5 360 12 320 15 304 18 303 46945 45138 9 003 13 323 16 307 20 310 45138 43453 10 006 10 327 15 309 22 317 43453 41874 14 006 8 350 13 324 19 326 41874 40390 17 005 15 008 17 341 18 344 40390 38987 16 007 16 002 17 344 13 354 38987 37627 18 023 15 358 11 003 11 334 37627 36239 22 026 13 015 10 354 9 322 36239 34791 16 044 11 020 7 330 8 318 34791 33285 11 025 5 039 6 298 9 310 33285 31709 12 360 6 008 6 297 11 314 31709 30052 8 358 7 354 6 308 13 330 30052 28317 6 355 7 350 9 331 13 343 28317 26501 6 354 7 356 12 352 12 352 26501 24605 7 356 10 351 10 006 13 004 24605 22635 8 013 15 338 12 001 16 358 22635 20588 17 331 15 335 21 355 19 353 20588 18458 20 334 19 340 27 352 21 351 18458 16284 18 352 27 339 22 350 18 349 16284 14185 7 311 26 329 18 338 15 334 14185 12270 10 256 16 315 15 323 13 325 12270 10564 12 247 13 281 10 303 8 311 10564 9045 11 257 13 265 10 275 9 302 9045 7693 10 275 13 257 9 245 6 247 7693 6492 5 291 10 237 11 223 9 216 6492 5430 3 282 10 204 13 211 12 210 5430 4495 4 256 13*195 14 204 15 207 4495 3669 7 243 15*198 16 199 19 203 3669 2929 10*223 16 199 17 196 22 200 2929 2274 12*204 16 199 17 195 23 199 2274 1728 13 198 16 199 17 194 23 199 1728 1307 13 197 16 199 16 193 22 199 1307 1018 12 197 15 200 15 193 19 197 1018 843 12 197 14 199 13*193 16*196 843 744 11 196 13 200 10*192 7*196 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography