DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 11/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0950z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD 6 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.5 - - 64.8 - - 65.6 - - 68.1 - - 63.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 13 - - 49 - - 29 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 378 - - 1118 - - 1169 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1038 - - 1778 - - 1829 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 979 - - 1381 - - 1799 - - 3717 - - 915 Hgt.Variab. W* 71 - - 157 - - 135 - - 10 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 5 - - 10 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 248 - - 208 - - 202 - - 194 - - 219 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -356 - - 248 - - 514 - - -1363 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1394 - - 1530 - - 1315 - - 2106 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential -3375 - - 23 - - 306 - - -2260 - - -1656 ODpotential blCL 4413 - - 1755 - - 1523 - - 3003 - - 2398 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 70 - - 60 - - 250 - - 490 - - 730 CAPE Temp@2m 61.5 - - 64.8 - - 65.6 - - 68.1 - - 63.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 58.1 - - 60.7 - - 62.3 - - 61.4 - - 62.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.4 - - 64.4 - - 65.3 - - 69.2 - - 65.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 57.9 - - 60.4 - - 62.0 - - 61.3 - - 63.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 13 - - 49 - - 29 - - -9 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 378 - - 1118 - - 1169 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 101 - - 88 - - 73 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96946 61 263 64 256 68 251 75 263 68 268 96946 89605 41 265 46 266 47 260 52 269 43 277 89605 84022 27 266 30 273 29 274 34 272 26 281 84022 79394 21 278 21 275 24 280 25 273 25 289 79394 75409 17 281 18 270 18 271 17 277 20 285 75409 71912 15 284 19 266 23 279 21 290 20 287 71912 68767 19 295 18 265 24 272 23 284 23 287 68767 65890 21 294 15 260 21 260 20 273 20 275 65890 63220 24 293 22 282 24 272 20 280 18 277 63220 60633 30 276 35 280 32 274 27 281 26 283 60633 57944 35 261 39 270 37 262 37 273 35 273 57944 55162 34 251 40 250 38 255 42 264 41 269 55162 52504 31 249 38 241 38 252 43 264 45 269 52504 50098 32 256 35 250 39 252 44 267 45 269 50098 47922 35 258 38 258 41 253 46 266 46 272 47922 45933 38 252 41 259 42 256 47 265 47 274 45933 44101 39 247 42 261 44 264 48 264 48 273 44101 42403 38 243 42 259 47 265 49 263 47 271 42403 40818 37 242 44 250 47 264 50 260 43 269 40818 39329 37 250 44 245 48 263 48 258 39 270 39329 37924 42 251 45 244 49 262 43 263 36 277 37924 36565 43 245 48 242 51 259 45 265 40 278 36565 35184 44 245 49 243 53 253 48 260 43 270 35184 33749 47 252 46 248 50 248 50 253 45 263 33749 32264 50 257 45 253 46 251 46 248 36 260 32264 30719 48 258 43 253 48 254 45 250 37 253 30719 29112 44 261 42 257 45 253 47 251 36 250 29112 27440 39 264 38 262 41 258 39 255 31 254 27440 25694 33 266 29 266 32 263 29 259 28 256 25694 23866 30 263 23 261 23 254 25 256 22 256 23866 21958 27 258 21 250 20 255 21 255 15 255 21958 19965 21 254 19 246 19 253 17 252 14 261 19965 17884 19 250 17 252 17 255 19 249 15 266 17884 15759 19 244 17 240 20 250 20 249 14 270 15759 13709 18 228 22 236 23 231 19 252 13 268 13709 11846 21 222 25 238 21 236 16 255 11 263 11846 10189 17 224 17 234 22 246 19 252 10 263 10189 8720 11 232 13 239 16 246 19 243 9 247 8720 7416 7 237 14 246 14 256 15 240 11 228 7416 6260 11 227 13 241 11 259 12 246 12 207 6260 5238 11 230 12 238 9 245 11 245 12 210 5238 4338 11 236 11 242 9 237 10 234 11 219 4338 3543 12 245 10 248 9 227 9 227 11 225 3543 2833 11 255 8 250 9 218 9 223 11 230 2833 2206 10 264 7*238 10*210 9 215 11 233 2206 1682 10 262 5*221 10*204 9 208 11 234 1682 1281 8*254 5 206 10 202 10 203 11 230 1281 1005 6*249 4 204 10 200 9 200 10 225 1005 838 5 248 4 202 9 200 7*197 7*224 838 742 4 247 4 202 8 200 5*194 3*219 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography