DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 11/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 53.8 - - 57.5 - - 58.1 - - 54.8 - - 53.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 38 - - 106 - - 51 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1029 - - 1643 - - 1620 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1122 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1689 - - 2303 - - 2280 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 493 - - 500 - - 532 - - 1517 - - 1189 Hgt.Variab. W* 147 - - 235 - - 186 - - 14 - - 10 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 4 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 333 - - 333 - - 008 - - 036 Direction Wind Shear 8 - - 3 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -4 - - -4 - - -7 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 53 - - 431 - - 422 - - -365 - - -324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1636 - - 1872 - - 1858 - - 1107 - - 1065 sfcLCL ODpotential -11446 - - 168 - - -9154 - - -10010 - - -10248 ODpotential blCL 13135 - - 2135 - - 11434 - - 10752 - - 10989 blCL maxRH 86 - - 99 - - 98 - - 85 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 53.8 - - 57.5 - - 58.1 - - 54.8 - - 53.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.4 - - 52.1 - - 52.7 - - 52.7 - - 51.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 53.6 - - 56.8 - - 57.8 - - 55.8 - - 54.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 48.4 - - 50.8 - - 51.8 - - 52.4 - - 51.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 38 - - 106 - - 51 - - -8 - - -7 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1029 - - 1643 - - 1620 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 46 - - 95 - - 92 - - 39 - - 43 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96436 25 271 44 280 39 271 38 285 38 287 96436 89289 23 296 24 270 25 279 24 278 22 291 89289 83814 16 280 17 278 20 282 19 276 15 274 83814 79273 10 273 12 271 18 281 18 279 8 287 79273 75350 6 323 4 246 12 260 14 275 8 316 75350 71866 11 350 3 275 6 268 6 275 6 303 71866 68722 3 299 2 257 5 268 3 256 5 251 68722 65860 8 223 4 277 5 231 7 252 7 222 65860 63230 19 245 13 254 10 260 12 266 9 269 63230 60698 22 221 18 245 17 278 21 278 20 272 60698 58052 27 251 35 257 35 269 33 272 31 270 58052 55286 44 252 48 261 46 276 52 286 49 278 55286 52617 63 258 60 265 69 277 68 270 59 268 52617 50189 72 258 70 266 73 266 72 263 67 265 50189 48001 71 258 73 263 72 260 69 260 69 262 48001 46014 69 259 72 260 71 258 69 260 68 260 46014 44195 70 260 71 259 69 260 68 263 67 260 44195 42514 71 261 69 262 69 263 66 268 64 268 42514 40955 69 263 69 265 70 267 67 270 66 275 40955 39500 67 270 68 268 71 269 68 273 67 275 39500 38132 70 276 71 272 70 270 67 275 65 273 38132 36806 74 277 72 273 68 270 66 276 63 272 36806 35453 75 275 72 274 66 271 61 275 61 272 35453 34041 72 273 71 274 65 272 57 271 59 270 34041 32572 68 268 70 272 64 274 58 266 57 267 32572 31034 65 266 68 269 62 271 55 264 54 264 31034 29417 60 266 65 265 61 268 54 264 55 265 29417 27723 49 266 64 264 61 270 57 269 56 268 27723 25946 35 262 59 268 60 271 57 275 53 272 25946 24085 28 255 45 270 55 272 54 279 50 277 24085 22141 25 253 35 260 39 271 46 280 44 281 22141 20110 25 263 30 255 31 264 34 272 37 278 20110 17989 25 275 26 261 25 263 25 269 33 272 17989 15829 25 278 24 268 21 267 19 271 25 272 15829 13751 26 280 24 278 20 279 17 280 18 271 13751 11861 25 277 24 280 20 285 17 289 14 291 11861 10186 25 275 24 287 18 296 17 293 16 299 10186 8701 23 286 22 297 17 313 14 312 13 323 8701 7384 20 288 16 298 14 308 12 314 12 333 7384 6217 14 299 13 300 13 299 11 298 11 321 6217 5189 16 306 18 314 16 310 12 330 10 316 5189 4287 20 301 21 312 22 323 18 344 11 327 4287 3491 22 304 21 317 23 326 21 339 14 331 3491 2784 21 320 16*328 17*328 20 336 15 333 2784 2167 19*342 12*333 13*332 17 343 14 360 2167 1656 18*344 11 333 13 333 14 353 15 029 1656 1265 15 341 11 334 13 333 12 360 14 035 1265 997 13 341 11 333 12 333 10 004 11 037 997 834 12 341 10 334 11 333 8*006 9 038 834 741 10 340 9 334 9 334 4*008 4*036 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography