DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 04/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 76.5 - - 71.7 - - 68.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 62 - - -8 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2546 - - 3815 - - 896 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1787 - - 2360 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3206 - - 4475 - - 1556 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1877 - - 2190 - - 3138 - - 3123 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 271 - - 272 - - 74 - - 22 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 166 - - 166 - - 154 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 11 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 930 - - 1196 - - 130 - - -169 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2276 - - 3279 - - 1426 - - 911 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 534 - - 355 - - -592 - - -840 ODpotential blCL - - - 2672 - - 4120 - - 2148 - - 1582 blCL maxRH - - - 97 - - 96 - - 98 - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 690 - - 830 - - 1180 - - 660 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 72.5 - - 76.5 - - 71.7 - - 68.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 65.1 - - 64.6 - - 67.7 - - 67.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 72.0 - - 76.1 - - 72.0 - - 69.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 64.2 - - 63.3 - - 67.3 - - 66.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 103 - - 62 - - -8 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2546 - - 3815 - - 896 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 86 - - 84 - - 93 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97529 40 257 32 251 44 271 44 280 97529 90157 41 259 38 272 35 274 42 281 90157 84465 30 269 33 275 25 277 27 277 84465 79759 19 290 21 267 21 275 19 292 79759 75729 14 292 13 275 13 266 14 311 75729 72173 11 266 13 271 9 264 11 312 72173 68985 9 233 14 246 15 254 12 272 68985 66087 9 238 10 240 11 239 12 214 66087 63402 18 270 16 278 12 266 10 221 63402 60793 28 258 27 262 20 272 15 259 60793 58082 28 247 29 251 28 270 30 261 58082 55275 32 265 32 256 40 265 33 263 55275 52582 44 264 43 259 50 252 51 251 52582 50144 57 262 54 256 53 244 52 238 50144 47950 65 261 62 259 59 249 58 248 47950 45961 63 260 62 260 65 255 64 247 45961 44151 56 262 62 262 60 258 61 246 44151 42488 55 267 61 260 64 262 66 257 42488 40948 58 270 62 259 63 263 73 260 40948 39513 57 270 58 259 60 265 60 259 39513 38157 53 274 54 259 54 262 53 258 38157 36838 47 275 51 257 52 260 46 249 36838 35488 42 271 45 257 52 260 45 242 35488 34078 38 265 40 257 49 255 43 241 34078 32611 38 261 36 253 48 247 39 244 32611 31074 38 259 34 252 44 243 37 244 31074 29453 37 260 32 253 39 240 37 241 29453 27749 27 261 32 249 35 238 37 234 27749 25960 20 257 27 238 30 230 36 229 25960 24090 23 264 22 230 27 216 36 232 24090 22146 21 265 20 239 24 217 34 227 22146 20121 13 270 16 237 20 221 30 218 20121 18011 12 246 16 217 20 220 24 216 18011 15865 18 205 21 214 23 216 23 222 15865 13798 19 203 23 215 24 202 25 220 13798 11916 17 187 19 206 19 196 22 199 11916 10245 18 181 19 190 17 204 18 201 10245 8764 19 176 21 185 17 196 17 197 8764 7451 18 174 21 179 19 181 23 174 7451 6285 18 174 20 168 23 168 28 165 6285 5255 20 173 19*164 25 165 33 166 5255 4351 20 171 18*164 24 165 34 164 4351 3555 20*169 16 164 23 164 32 163 3555 2843 19*169 14 166 22 162 31 163 2843 2213 15 166 14 167 21 159 29 164 2213 1688 14 165 13 168 20*157 26 164 1688 1285 13 164 12 168 18*156 22 164 1285 1007 13 164 12 169 16 154 18 163 1007 839 12 165 11 170 14 153 15 163 839 742 10 164 10 169 11 152 11*162 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography