DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 87.5 - - 93.3 - - 95.5 - - 93.3 - - 88.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 303 - - 540 - - 467 - - 131 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2451 - - 4506 - - 5891 - - 4041 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 2150 - - 3919 - - 4971 - - 2924 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 3111 - - 5166 - - 6551 - - 4701 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1892 - - 2093 - - 2287 - - 3422 - - 5195 Hgt.Variab. W* 366 - - 544 - - 567 - - 328 - - 12 W* B/S 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 17 - - 17 - - 19 - - 17 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 203 - - 202 - - 192 - - 192 - - 194 Direction Wind Shear 7 - - 4 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 3 - - -4 - - -13 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1998 - - -2206 - - -1219 - - -2449 - - -3613 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5109 - - 7372 - - 7771 - - 7151 - - 4357 sfcLCL ODpotential -4829 - - -4142 - - -2904 - - -4452 - - -5256 ODpotential blCL 7940 - - 9308 - - 9455 - - 9153 - - 6000 blCL maxRH 65 - - 62 - - 62 - - 61 - - 77 maxRH CAPE 840 - - 460 - - 740 - - 710 - - 1910 CAPE Temp@2m 87.5 - - 93.3 - - 95.5 - - 93.3 - - 88.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.5 - - 63.4 - - 63.8 - - 64.4 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 85.6 - - 90.5 - - 92.9 - - 92.3 - - 88.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.4 - - 63.3 - - 63.7 - - 64.3 - - 71.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 303 - - 540 - - 467 - - 131 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 2451 - - 4506 - - 5891 - - 4041 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 9 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99082 34 091 28 081 34 080 34 105 32 089 99082 91633 37 096 29 106 24 103 28 088 26 077 91633 85878 40 097 36 107 25 114 28 081 28 075 85878 81075 36 093 37 097 26 111 26 084 30 081 81075 76935 23 086 31 090 28 105 23 089 28 085 76935 73305 16 078 23 092 26 102 22 102 24 094 73305 70056 17 079 21 104 21 092 20 099 21 098 70056 67091 20 086 20 112 19 088 18 089 20 083 67091 64363 18 089 18 102 16 094 16 081 17 073 64363 61737 18 102 22 087 21 102 14 067 16 076 61737 59008 19 093 20 070 20 081 17 060 17 066 59008 56190 22 060 19 061 18 055 18 067 16 064 56190 53517 25 052 23 060 20 055 23 064 21 070 53517 51117 27 044 24 069 25 065 25 072 25 068 51117 48964 23 038 22 072 25 067 29 079 26 083 48964 47000 18 040 18 074 22 067 25 070 26 085 47000 45187 13 069 18 094 22 086 18 073 21 079 45187 43492 15 093 18 085 22 099 19 087 19 082 43492 41895 23 103 19 089 20 104 19 093 16 079 41895 40385 27 104 21 114 22 126 18 104 12 077 40385 38958 26 097 26 126 27 138 17 120 6 118 38958 37578 23 086 28 122 25 136 19 133 9 195 37578 36176 18 104 25 117 20 135 17 159 12 220 36176 34720 16 117 15 122 12 173 16 185 14 227 34720 33213 13 116 8 144 15 215 14 200 17 216 33213 31639 12 109 7 142 15 225 13 214 18 216 31639 29984 14 110 6 168 13 234 13 239 9 237 29984 28247 18 123 8 201 10 244 12 243 6 264 28247 26429 15 136 8 215 7 248 10 233 3 229 26429 24533 8 164 3 244 0 174 8 214 4 183 24533 22565 3 171 2 216 1 121 5 182 3 173 22565 20518 2 100 3 177 1 143 3 126 2 118 20518 18389 2 124 7 183 4 233 6 052 6 096 18389 16218 6 203 10 197 7 219 3 047 5 101 16218 14122 8 211 10 197 9 193 5 188 3 125 14122 12211 8 188 10 189 10 181 11 199 3 090 12211 10512 8 171 12 203 14 177 12 187 4 178 10512 9008 10 186 17 204 18 189 18 199 7 204 9008 7670 14 201 20 201 19*196 19 208 9 194 7670 6479 18 205 20 207 18*196 19 210 12 175 6479 5422 20 206 18*209 18 195 19*206 14 173 5422 4488 21 207 17*207 19 194 18*200 15 178 4488 3663 21*206 17 204 19 192 18 194 17 184 3663 2924 20*205 17 203 19 191 18 191 19 190 2924 2271 19 204 17 201 19 191 17 189 21 194 2271 1726 17 203 17 200 19 191 17 189 22 195 1726 1307 17 202 17 200 19 190 17 189 21 195 1307 1019 16 202 16 199 18 190 16 189 17 194 1019 844 15 202 15 199 17 190 15 189 15*194 844 744 13 201 14 199 16 190 13 189 10*194 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography