DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 05/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 68.4 - - 77.0 - - 78.8 - - 74.1 - - 66.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 131 - - 387 - - 319 - - 23 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 885 - - 7049 - - 7090 - - 2623 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 5826 - - 5765 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1545 - - 7709 - - 7750 - - 3283 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 2210 - - 1622 - - 1763 - - 4203 - - 418 Hgt.Variab. W* 202 - - 570 - - 536 - - 169 - - 16 W* B/S 3 - - 8 - - 7 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 13 - - 15 - - 20 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 232 - - 241 - - 220 - - 193 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 6 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -9 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3143 - - 810 - - -62 - - -3066 - - -3883 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4688 - - 6899 - - 7812 - - 6349 - - 4625 sfcLCL ODpotential -5060 - - -709 - - -3303 - - -7359 - - -9405 ODpotential blCL 6605 - - 8418 - - 11053 - - 10642 - - 10147 blCL maxRH 66 - - 68 - - 56 - - 72 - - 50 maxRH CAPE 10 - - 40 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 68.4 - - 77.0 - - 78.8 - - 74.1 - - 66.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 50.7 - - 49.4 - - 47.1 - - 49.0 - - 49.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.5 - - 75.0 - - 77.1 - - 74.1 - - 68.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.7 - - 48.6 - - 46.2 - - 48.5 - - 49.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 131 - - 387 - - 319 - - 23 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 885 - - 7049 - - 7090 - - 2623 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97986 9 293 13 282 11 264 10 315 12 308 97986 90535 5 241 11 251 16 240 15 290 16 317 90535 84767 11 279 11 246 13 229 15 257 14 302 84767 79983 14 276 17 260 11 265 14 245 18 269 79983 75880 14 269 19 260 16 283 12 260 15 253 75880 72278 16 254 14 256 16 268 18 291 16 282 72278 69034 13 265 14 254 19 261 27 281 23 284 69034 66056 24 279 23 255 27 262 32 275 25 284 66056 63292 26 270 26 267 32 267 37 278 34 286 63292 60614 33 278 32 270 36 268 40 277 39 281 60614 57832 42 284 34 276 37 277 45 281 50 276 57832 54959 59 279 52 286 55 288 56 286 57 279 54959 52217 66 276 67 284 66 287 64 289 66 285 52217 49751 67 279 73 280 70 282 75 288 72 286 49751 47552 67 280 71 278 71 284 76 287 73 288 47552 45576 64 280 69 282 81 287 76 294 79 294 45576 43782 60 281 70 292 84 291 88 300 87 295 43782 42134 59 292 78 300 90 300 96 298 90 296 42134 40602 60 301 82 303 99 303 102 298 91 296 40602 39161 65 305 80 305 105 303 102 299 88 295 39161 37797 66 304 73 303 104 303 96 299 84 294 37797 36472 65 303 66 301 93 300 93 297 81 294 36472 35121 64 302 61 300 82 299 94 297 78 294 35121 33717 63 300 59 302 69 296 90 299 79 296 33717 32258 60 301 56 302 62 295 76 302 79 298 32258 30729 55 303 53 300 57 297 69 298 69 297 30729 29118 51 306 49 300 56 298 62 291 60 292 29118 27428 43 305 44 303 51 300 49 288 55 292 27428 25661 32 309 39 307 47 302 43 288 44 288 25661 23823 23 324 33 307 40 302 39 293 31 281 23823 21912 23 341 22 308 33 309 37 294 32 279 21912 19918 23 343 15 323 21 308 26 303 29 274 19918 17835 22 331 14 337 12 306 15 298 19 274 17835 15712 19 316 14 334 8 327 10 263 17 261 15712 13668 11 306 12 308 8 341 9 244 15 239 13668 11811 5 055 6 258 7 301 6 235 11 237 11811 10160 12 043 4 136 7 246 6 231 10 251 10160 8697 5 326 4*204 11*239 9 225 8 251 8697 7400 8 276 10*252 12*234 14 220 11 227 7400 6252 12 274 12 255 13 231 18 218 14 220 6252 5234 15 267 13 253 14 226 19 215 16 218 5234 4337 16 259 13 250 15 221 20 209 18 212 4337 3544 18 247 15 236 16 217 21*203 22 204 3544 2834 20 237 15 233 16 215 22*197 25 200 2834 2207 20 236 15 232 16 213 22 194 27 199 2207 1683 19*234 15 230 16 211 21 192 26 198 1683 1281 15*233 15 229 16 210 20 191 25 197 1281 1005 13 232 14 228 15 210 19 190 20 194 1005 838 12 231 14 228 15 209 17 189 17 193 838 742 10 231 12 227 13 209 14 189 8*191 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography