DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 77.4 - - 75.3 - - 75.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 23 - - 6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 652 - - 772 - - 645 - - 440 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 727 - - 726 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1312 - - 1432 - - 1305 - - 1100 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2566 - - 2573 - - 1261 - - 1611 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 78 - - 116 - - 73 - - 53 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 9 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 10 - - 6 - - 1 BL Wind Direction - - - 183 - - 210 - - 199 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 4 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 290 - - 598 - - 530 - - 357 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1022 - - 834 - - 775 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -420 - - -17 - - -24 - - -38 ODpotential blCL - - - 1732 - - 1449 - - 1329 - - 1138 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 99 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1760 - - 1720 - - 780 - - 980 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 77.4 - - 75.3 - - 75.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 75.1 - - 75.3 - - 73.5 - - 73.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.0 - - 77.2 - - 75.2 - - 75.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.7 - - 74.9 - - 73.2 - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 2 - - 23 - - 6 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 652 - - 772 - - 645 - - 440 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 95 - - 98 - - 101 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98012 8 246 14 230 21 273 8 300 98012 90664 7 184 9 167 6 206 7 012 90664 85016 5 148 8 091 8 132 5 053 85016 80332 5 106 8 019 9 071 9 078 80332 76314 3 094 5 021 11 034 13 093 76314 72780 2 101 2 070 6 007 12 063 72780 69586 4 088 3 046 3 009 10 015 69586 66669 6 036 2 051 3 055 6 032 66669 63988 6 012 2 129 2 313 8 351 63988 61410 4 211 3 239 6 279 7 281 61410 58741 11 223 12 209 12 226 16 257 58741 55984 19 234 17 233 18 246 26 253 55984 53358 28 240 28 242 30 241 31 252 53358 50984 33 232 34 232 34 226 34 239 50984 48835 37 229 35 226 32 229 34 237 48835 46868 39 230 40 246 36 246 39 244 46868 45053 52 252 50 247 48 247 46 243 45053 43369 61 252 56 241 52 241 49 235 43369 41793 63 250 56 236 51 233 52 227 41793 40306 65 250 54 230 52 228 52 218 40306 38895 66 246 50 224 53 226 49 213 38895 37521 63 242 46 216 51 218 47 212 37521 36115 50 237 44 215 46 214 44 210 36115 34649 40 226 43 217 43 210 42 209 34649 33127 45 222 41 218 39 209 41 208 33127 31534 44 215 38 217 35 209 40 203 31534 29858 42 222 36 216 32 211 41 197 29858 28104 44 223 35 215 31 217 34 200 28104 26274 41 218 33 215 31 228 28 219 26274 24372 38 211 31 216 26 228 27 228 24372 22397 37 210 30 217 25 236 28 232 22397 20347 35 214 30 221 24 243 30 247 20347 18220 29 210 29 224 20 246 28 245 18220 16055 27 203 29 229 20 245 25 245 16055 13970 26 201 29 227 18 238 21 247 13970 12072 26 207 28 216 18 224 15 230 12072 10387 27 215 29 206 16 235 5 231 10387 8890 28 213 29 200 11 241 7 196 8890 7559 30 209 29 196 9 230 14 195 7559 6378 31 205 29 194 16 216 17 189 6378 5334 30 202 28 196 21 206 15 191 5334 4414 27 200 26 198 21 199 13 202 4414 3602 25 195 25 198 21 194 10 216 3602 2877 25 192 22 197 18 189 9 210 2877 2236 24 190 19 197 13 192 8 205 2236 1702 21*186 15*201 10*197 6 201 1702 1293 19*184 11*208 7*200 3*193 1293 1011 18 183 10 210 6 199 1*168 1011 841 16 182 9 211 5 199 1 161 841 743 12 182 8 212 5 199 1 159 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography