DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 04/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1333z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 72.0 - - 79.2 - - 78.2 - - 81.5 - - 73.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 73 - - 382 - - 12 - - -28 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1957 - - 3088 - - 2714 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2711 - - 727 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 2617 - - 3748 - - 3374 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1224 - - 860 - - 2652 - - 6574 - - 2352 Hgt.Variab. W* 214 - - 431 - - 190 - - 31 - - 23 W* B/S 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 24 - - 20 - - 13 - - 19 BL Wind Direction 196 - - 186 - - 191 - - 177 - - 163 Direction Wind Shear 10 - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -2 - - 8 - - 1 - - 2 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 516 - - -320 - - 595 - - -4489 - - -1564 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2101 - - 4068 - - 2779 - - 5233 - - 2307 sfcLCL ODpotential 352 - - -2956 - - -856 - - -5811 - - -4395 ODpotential blCL 2265 - - 6704 - - 4230 - - 6554 - - 5138 blCL maxRH 99 - - 87 - - 88 - - 73 - - 86 maxRH CAPE 890 - - 1090 - - 2220 - - 650 - - 1340 CAPE Temp@2m 72.0 - - 79.2 - - 78.2 - - 81.5 - - 73.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.0 - - 63.7 - - 68.1 - - 60.9 - - 65.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 71.6 - - 77.3 - - 78.3 - - 82.4 - - 74.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.8 - - 63.2 - - 66.7 - - 60.5 - - 65.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 73 - - 382 - - 12 - - -28 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1957 - - 3088 - - 2714 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 96 - - 50 - - 54 - - 0 - - 46 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 14 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96978 41 248 52 259 51 255 53 269 46 279 96978 89658 32 257 37 255 41 257 46 265 40 264 89658 84061 32 266 27 275 30 259 34 259 32 258 84061 79440 31 264 26 279 25 269 24 267 23 268 79440 75468 20 274 20 271 23 268 23 291 18 297 75468 71953 10 271 16 284 20 271 22 297 18 318 71953 68767 17 291 20 289 16 285 16 279 21 306 68767 65846 19 284 13 293 11 306 14 257 20 275 65846 63144 17 288 27 297 17 300 14 266 20 269 63144 60528 29 279 34 279 17 286 19 284 21 264 60528 57794 27 261 29 266 26 286 27 279 20 269 57794 54949 26 282 33 278 31 279 34 288 31 283 54949 52237 35 288 35 282 38 287 42 280 34 278 52237 49799 42 283 36 289 41 280 40 275 44 286 49799 47637 43 280 36 287 36 279 43 290 51 287 47637 45712 43 305 50 306 47 295 52 294 50 284 45712 43970 64 313 67 312 51 295 47 293 49 283 43970 42360 71 312 73 318 52 305 42 297 51 288 42360 40848 53 315 59 315 47 311 41 296 49 289 40848 39417 37 316 54 314 40 308 42 292 40 281 39417 38057 39 314 52 313 44 301 43 292 37 277 38057 36731 39 316 47 311 45 299 42 293 34 281 36731 35376 33 319 37 314 43 300 39 291 37 277 35376 33963 26 313 27 314 40 303 36 289 43 275 33963 32495 21 305 19 292 30 299 33 288 44 275 32495 30960 18 302 18 276 19 282 29 275 40 275 30960 29348 20 297 17 279 19 264 28 258 32 269 29348 27655 23 294 18 286 22 259 31 256 31 261 27655 25882 24 294 17 291 20 260 32 259 34 264 25882 24031 19 293 16 280 18 260 29 267 33 266 24031 22108 12 279 17 267 18 257 25 269 26 258 22108 20103 11 265 18 259 20 267 21 269 22 234 20103 18010 12 260 20 254 20 275 21 268 24 228 18010 15877 12 253 17 244 19 278 22 260 23 233 15877 13826 9 250 12 245 17 274 21 249 22 238 13826 11963 6 261 6 230 16 259 16 244 21 232 11963 10303 2 151 9 160 18 244 16 223 20 225 10303 8824 3 177 12 159 17 222 20 204 20 217 8824 7506 13 212 12 183 17 184 29 187 24 206 7506 6336 18 211 17 193 22 170 33 179 29 200 6336 5301 23 203 24 191 27 177 33 177 32 198 5301 4387 27 202 24*187 26 182 32 177 37 195 4387 3580 26 201 24*186 25*185 31 177 42 187 3580 2860 26*200 25 186 24*188 30 177 45 176 2860 2225 24*198 24 186 22 190 28 177 43 169 2225 1696 22 196 24 186 20 192 27 177 40 167 1696 1289 21 195 23 186 18 193 24 177 36 165 1289 1010 19 195 22 186 17 194 21 177 31 164 1010 840 18 195 21 186 15 195 18*177 27*164 840 743 14 194 18 186 12 196 13*177 19*163 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography