DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.2 - - 97.5 - - 95.1 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 378 - - 111 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5742 - - 6506 - - 4270 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4862 - - 5375 - - 2986 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 6402 - - 7166 - - 4930 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 3600 - - 4226 - - 4387 - - 2517 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 567 - - 548 - - 318 - - 14 W* B/S - - - 11 - - 11 - - 5 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 198 - - 175 - - 178 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 4 - - -9 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -337 - - -774 - - -2263 - - -4120 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6739 - - 7940 - - 7194 - - 4865 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1047 - - -1362 - - -3537 - - -6968 ODpotential blCL - - - 7449 - - 8528 - - 8467 - - 7712 blCL maxRH - - - 72 - - 72 - - 79 - - 57 maxRH CAPE - - - 2380 - - 1890 - - 2030 - - 2270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.2 - - 97.5 - - 95.1 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.0 - - 65.0 - - 66.0 - - 68.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.5 - - 95.0 - - 94.2 - - 88.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.7 - - 64.7 - - 65.8 - - 68.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 477 - - 378 - - 111 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5742 - - 6506 - - 4270 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 14 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98813 37 094 29 102 29 093 33 083 98813 91327 30 089 32 093 27 096 29 070 91327 85589 28 090 26 088 26 091 22 074 85589 80856 25 089 22 085 24 078 21 073 80856 76796 24 085 19 087 18 072 22 068 76796 73196 14 074 18 080 15 079 18 072 73196 69927 9 094 16 053 18 069 15 087 69927 66945 10 104 10 037 20 049 16 073 66945 64203 14 097 6 086 14 037 15 041 64203 61552 13 058 8 074 10 050 13 027 61552 58791 11 030 7 041 11 018 12 027 58791 55934 11 325 6 318 11 328 14 004 55934 53221 17 294 15 285 17 283 17 310 53221 50789 19 263 18 261 20 271 16 302 50789 48608 18 228 20 246 18 272 14 299 48608 46621 19 240 26 246 21 278 15 293 46621 44791 28 254 29 256 31 271 26 290 44791 43101 30 248 35 262 36 272 34 284 43101 41540 31 236 36 260 37 273 37 280 41540 40084 28 251 36 272 35 270 34 273 40084 38708 32 298 35 286 28 270 27 269 38708 37369 43 310 35 298 29 272 24 274 37369 36001 34 314 35 300 33 270 23 274 36001 34577 20 308 33 324 28 267 17 272 34577 33097 18 292 22 333 14 304 10 305 33097 31547 19 294 15 311 10 314 13 287 31547 29912 17 304 19 311 13 314 17 293 29912 28196 14 319 18 325 16 334 15 328 28196 26401 13 336 16 343 17 354 17 005 26401 24524 16 345 16 002 19 358 19 009 24524 22567 14 346 16 001 20 003 13 029 22567 20523 10 355 14 344 15 355 11 027 20523 18388 8 005 9 349 14 335 15 025 18388 16210 4 358 5 351 10 351 22 033 16210 14112 3 346 3 021 10 010 23 041 14112 12210 1 037 4 343 9 011 18 032 12210 10520 2 053 4 348 7 019 11 021 10520 9015 2 063 3 359 5 040 7 036 9015 7673 2 192 1*058 3 081 4 088 7673 6480 4*210 5*168 6 153 5 162 6480 5421 7*205 6 169 8*162 9 174 5421 4487 8 203 8 172 10*169 13 176 4487 3662 9 200 9 174 11 172 15 181 3662 2923 9 197 10 176 13 178 17 186 2923 2270 10 196 10 177 13 180 19 189 2270 1725 10 195 11 178 13 181 19 189 1725 1307 10 195 11 178 13 182 18 187 1307 1018 10 195 11 178 13 183 15 184 1018 844 10 195 10 179 13 183 13*183 844 744 9 195 10 179 11 183 7*181 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography