DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.1 - - 56.2 - - 57.5 - - 55.6 - - 53.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 0 - - 55 - - 50 - - -15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1325 - - 1786 - - 2112 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1985 - - 2446 - - 2772 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1622 - - 1178 - - 761 - - 2276 - - 1216 Hgt.Variab. W* 83 - - 199 - - 206 - - 21 - - 4 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 24 - - 20 - - 16 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 342 - - 355 - - 353 - - 005 - - 054 Direction Wind Shear 13 - - 9 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -7 - - -2 - - -5 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 729 - - 990 - - 1015 - - -537 - - -199 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1256 - - 1456 - - 1757 - - 1278 - - 940 sfcLCL ODpotential 259 - - 470 - - 495 - - -1252 - - -11139 ODpotential blCL 1726 - - 1976 - - 2277 - - 1993 - - 11880 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 89 - - 84 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 20 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.1 - - 56.2 - - 57.5 - - 55.6 - - 53.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.1 - - 52.5 - - 52.4 - - 52.6 - - 51.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.2 - - 55.9 - - 57.2 - - 56.6 - - 54.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 51.6 - - 51.5 - - 51.2 - - 52.1 - - 51.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 0 - - 55 - - 50 - - -15 - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1325 - - 1786 - - 2112 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 56 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 9 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96486 6 057 7 075 15 059 13 077 10 055 96486 89354 15 104 10 067 14 100 9 057 13 080 89354 83834 14 095 5 080 11 106 3 058 9 066 83834 79249 7 083 8 118 4 113 4 285 5 074 79249 75283 5 031 7 134 4 267 7 294 2 090 75283 71776 5 057 5 143 5 281 9 287 2 014 71776 68625 8 014 3 155 1 009 6 236 2 224 68625 65739 10 306 5 260 8 316 6 291 6 175 65739 63059 14 271 15 243 18 262 19 275 13 272 63059 60478 22 275 18 248 21 262 24 255 27 267 60478 57809 31 270 30 274 26 276 27 263 32 271 57809 55043 40 274 37 277 36 275 35 271 40 272 55043 52395 46 272 43 270 40 279 41 278 48 272 52395 49992 44 279 47 273 47 277 47 276 50 273 49992 47819 52 282 50 275 48 269 49 270 48 273 47819 45831 51 284 46 270 46 264 47 270 45 273 45831 43993 51 291 40 277 45 280 45 273 48 276 43993 42279 56 302 44 295 51 285 48 279 53 278 42279 40679 62 306 54 298 53 287 53 283 58 281 40679 39194 63 308 61 298 55 289 54 288 59 285 39194 37823 60 307 58 299 55 293 54 294 58 293 37823 36512 55 307 53 300 59 297 56 298 61 299 36512 35178 52 314 51 303 63 298 60 298 62 302 35178 33785 50 316 51 308 62 299 60 298 63 304 33785 32338 48 315 50 309 58 298 57 301 55 301 32338 30821 43 321 48 307 53 299 54 304 49 295 30821 29222 38 329 46 306 48 301 49 308 45 296 29222 27543 39 325 44 312 46 302 47 312 42 300 27543 25783 42 321 42 318 46 302 46 311 40 302 25783 23941 41 330 43 322 47 303 44 309 37 303 23941 22022 40 335 42 330 44 311 41 312 32 305 22022 20019 45 336 39 334 39 325 37 321 29 313 20019 17928 50 340 42 334 37 336 35 330 30 327 17928 15789 44 348 39 345 35 340 32 336 28 335 15789 13720 39 356 32 351 35 348 29 340 25 338 13720 11833 37 353 26 350 29 358 26 346 23 337 11833 10158 38 346 27 347 24 350 22 357 16 340 10158 8672 39 355 29 353 24 346 21 354 12 343 8672 7355 35 360 29 008 21 005 21 001 13 354 7355 6190 33 358 29 014 22 020 19 019 12 009 6190 5166 34 357 30 011 23 024 18 034 11 039 5166 4268 34 352 29 002 22 017 20 038 13 062 4268 3479 33 346 25 355 19 358 23 030 14 061 3479 2781 32 345 24*355 18*354 19 014 13 040 2781 2168 31*344 23*355 18*353 18 010 12 031 2168 1658 28*343 21 355 17 352 16 010 12 040 1658 1267 26 342 20 356 16 353 14 009 13 051 1267 997 23 342 19 356 15 352 12 007 11 055 997 834 20 341 17 355 14 352 9 006 9*055 834 741 15 341 14 355 11 352 6*005 4*054 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography