DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/31 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 86.1 - - 96.2 - - 98.8 - - - - - 88.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 213 - - 348 - - 276 - - - - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1619 - - 5298 - - 6153 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 1441 - - 4397 - - 4968 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2279 - - 5958 - - 6813 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 419 - - 2398 - - 1856 - - - - - 1082 Hgt.Variab. W* 286 - - 503 - - 492 - - - - - 25 W* B/S 4 - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 14 - - 9 - - 10 - - - - - 10 BL Wind Direction 235 - - 233 - - 215 - - - - - 193 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 7 - - 9 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -5 - - -13 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1432 - - -1266 - - -1419 - - - - - -4272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3711 - - 7224 - - 8232 - - - - - 5016 sfcLCL ODpotential -5491 - - -6239 - - -5334 - - - - - -9022 ODpotential blCL 7770 - - 12197 - - 12147 - - - - - 9766 blCL maxRH 79 - - 61 - - 64 - - - - - 62 maxRH CAPE 880 - - 540 - - 500 - - - - - 950 CAPE Temp@2m 86.1 - - 96.2 - - 98.8 - - - - - 88.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.0 - - 66.9 - - 65.1 - - - - - 69.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 84.7 - - 94.2 - - 97.0 - - - - - 89.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.7 - - 66.2 - - 64.3 - - - - - 68.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 213 - - 348 - - 276 - - - - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1619 - - 5298 - - 6153 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 15 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 13 - - 12 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99247 51 102 40 097 37 087 48 086 99247 91774 53 088 42 099 43 095 39 086 91774 86014 47 080 46 090 43 094 36 091 86014 81243 33 074 39 084 39 094 39 095 81243 77142 24 093 36 082 35 092 38 088 77142 73521 28 100 33 084 31 092 32 071 73521 70246 28 100 29 095 27 093 26 061 70246 67243 26 099 25 102 24 094 18 077 67243 64479 27 095 24 111 20 090 18 085 64479 61828 28 085 20 103 15 107 12 066 61828 59096 20 074 15 080 11 081 12 066 59096 56291 9 066 11 057 11 039 12 032 56291 53642 11 050 8 035 10 033 7 025 53642 51273 16 042 9 020 10 004 10 019 51273 49142 16 028 11 009 12 344 16 354 49142 47189 12 022 11 003 14 335 15 338 47189 45376 7 010 8 354 13 320 13 343 45376 43682 6 317 3 348 11 297 14 328 43682 42093 10 328 3 334 9 291 20 300 42093 40595 12 349 4 014 7 287 19 293 40595 39177 12 007 3 068 6 274 19 294 39177 37800 12 009 3 059 5 278 18 296 37800 36395 12 002 5 003 6 302 19 300 36395 34933 16 350 7 340 8 309 20 304 34933 33415 17 345 6 342 6 302 19 293 33415 31827 13 359 5 034 2 332 19 282 31827 30157 12 023 7 058 3 018 18 291 30157 28406 10 015 6 021 8 354 17 312 28406 26576 8 012 8 359 11 355 15 323 26576 24669 7 010 9 357 12 348 15 329 24669 22690 9 003 10 005 13 350 16 327 22690 20632 11 351 14 003 18 359 16 337 20632 18492 7 341 14 356 18 002 17 353 18492 16315 8 029 9 002 14 005 16 013 16315 14214 12 030 9 019 10 357 15 023 14214 12294 11 007 13 016 10 017 16 026 12294 10582 9 027 10 014 13 018 17 026 10582 9059 5 067 7 266 9 316 16 002 9059 7705 5 226 9 257 9*270 17 325 7705 6503 5 261 8*268 9*250 14 304 6503 5438 9 289 8*265 9 242 13 266 5438 4501 11 260 9 246 10 223 19 238 4501 3674 13 240 9 239 11 210 22 229 3674 2932 18*241 9 230 12 205 23 221 2932 2275 17*239 10 226 12 203 25 210 2275 1728 15 234 10 222 12 201 26 203 1728 1308 14 234 10 219 12 201 25 200 1308 1019 13 233 10 217 12 200 18 195 1019 844 12 232 10 217 12 199 16*194 844 744 11 232 9 217 11 199 10*193 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography