DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/22 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.1 - - 91.0 - - 89.8 - - 83.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 279 - - 49 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3100 - - 3750 - - 3604 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2592 - - 3112 - - 1751 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3760 - - 4410 - - 4264 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2746 - - 2569 - - 2418 - - 2079 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 381 - - 417 - - 238 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 16 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 200 - - 193 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -7 - - -10 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 439 - - 70 - - -274 - - -965 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3321 - - 4340 - - 4538 - - 1708 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -653 - - -917 - - -1576 - - -2721 ODpotential blCL - - - 4413 - - 5327 - - 5840 - - 3464 blCL maxRH - - - 89 - - 82 - - 81 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 3050 - - 3480 - - 2820 - - 4490 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.1 - - 91.0 - - 89.8 - - 83.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.5 - - 74.0 - - 72.1 - - 77.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 89.2 - - 89.4 - - 84.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 73.5 - - 71.8 - - 77.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 249 - - 279 - - 49 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3100 - - 3750 - - 3604 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 55 - - 26 - - 25 - - 48 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 17 - - 16 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98868 36 105 35 108 32 107 33 087 98868 91316 32 112 28 110 29 093 35 102 91316 85552 28 103 26 117 27 084 33 097 85552 80812 23 106 26 106 21 095 26 091 80812 76728 23 119 23 103 21 107 18 098 76728 73122 25 113 18 111 19 099 16 110 73122 69860 21 108 17 111 14 096 17 095 69860 66864 13 101 14 122 11 118 13 090 66864 64092 4 082 4 106 10 139 7 132 64092 61441 7 198 6 208 4 239 3 264 61441 58720 13 251 15 234 15 274 14 301 58720 55919 10 270 15 248 21 247 21 269 55919 53268 21 297 21 291 22 277 25 284 53268 50899 30 283 26 285 30 282 31 286 50899 48773 30 275 28 283 32 272 29 274 48773 46828 27 273 29 285 29 273 25 277 46828 45030 27 278 31 295 30 286 26 294 45030 43361 31 283 38 298 37 291 32 294 43361 41800 34 284 40 295 41 289 38 292 41800 40329 34 283 38 294 42 289 37 288 40329 38934 33 285 35 296 40 292 34 290 38934 37578 33 292 35 301 38 298 31 293 37578 36192 34 300 35 305 38 302 30 299 36192 34747 35 306 33 306 38 302 31 304 34747 33248 35 310 31 305 35 300 32 305 33248 31679 35 313 30 306 33 302 31 304 31679 30030 32 315 29 305 36 316 34 312 30030 28296 30 319 27 297 37 322 39 321 28296 26480 28 318 24 298 34 319 37 326 26480 24584 24 303 20 308 28 317 31 327 24584 22613 20 288 21 314 20 310 24 323 22613 20568 20 290 22 304 14 315 20 320 20568 18445 19 302 17 297 10 326 16 320 18445 16279 18 324 10 306 11 302 16 316 16279 14181 10 250 11 280 15 281 15 295 14181 12261 12 226 12 266 14 271 16 273 12261 10549 14 228 12 251 13 256 12 253 10549 9027 16 239 10 242 13 244 9 242 9027 7678 16 236 12 222 8 235 6 240 7678 6483 14 228 15 223 8 223 11 231 6483 5426 15 229 15 222 12 214 17 212 5426 4493 15*217 16*209 13*208 20 203 4493 3667 15*207 16*204 15*198 19 199 3667 2927 16 195 17 202 16 193 18 193 2927 2272 16 192 17 200 16 192 19 186 2272 1725 16 191 16 199 15 191 21 178 1725 1306 16 190 16 198 15 191 19 175 1306 1019 16 189 15 198 15 191 15 172 1019 843 15 189 15 198 14 191 13 171 843 743 13 188 13 198 11 190 7*169 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography