DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 35.4 - - 44.6 - - 51.5 - - 44.7 - - 37.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 63 - - 301 - - 179 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 606 - - 1690 - - 1989 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 723 - - 1589 - - 1619 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1266 - - 2350 - - 2649 - - 741 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1114 - - 507 - - 588 - - 1893 - - 76 Hgt.Variab. W* 135 - - 321 - - 286 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S 3 - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 BL Wind Direction 349 - - 336 - - 319 - - 217 - - 195 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -1 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3657 - - -5376 - - -6850 - - -6589 - - -3286 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4924 - - 7727 - - 9500 - - 7330 - - 4026 sfcLCL ODpotential -18107 - - -18541 - - -18877 - - -20457 - - -18286 ODpotential blCL 19373 - - 20891 - - 21526 - - 21198 - - 19026 blCL maxRH 49 - - 38 - - 30 - - 25 - - 36 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 35.4 - - 44.6 - - 51.5 - - 44.7 - - 37.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 17.2 - - 14.1 - - 13.1 - - 16.2 - - 23.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 35.2 - - 43.0 - - 50.3 - - 49.1 - - 43.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 17.2 - - 13.9 - - 12.8 - - 16.1 - - 23.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 63 - - 301 - - 179 - - -5 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 606 - - 1690 - - 1989 - - 81 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95462 45 267 52 264 57 268 54 282 67 267 95462 88440 42 290 43 282 45 287 53 270 65 267 88440 82980 37 290 38 295 47 295 48 286 58 285 82980 78433 35 294 37 299 42 288 48 298 51 289 78433 74522 36 299 37 295 42 284 53 292 48 290 74522 71087 37 298 36 288 44 286 48 282 47 293 71087 67986 39 294 40 291 45 291 45 288 47 297 67986 65138 44 289 44 291 50 295 50 290 49 292 65138 62498 51 281 48 284 54 294 53 290 50 286 62498 59945 55 278 52 283 57 287 56 294 53 296 59945 57280 58 280 56 284 59 282 60 293 61 304 57280 54502 64 283 59 284 60 283 64 289 66 303 54502 51840 68 288 61 289 62 287 64 292 70 299 51840 49447 73 291 67 293 66 291 67 295 72 295 49447 47305 79 291 74 295 66 294 68 298 71 297 47305 45363 84 291 81 300 70 302 75 303 80 304 45363 43593 86 294 87 303 87 309 84 308 92 308 43593 41958 91 299 96 305 101 310 90 312 98 309 41958 40430 99 301 101 307 108 310 91 313 95 312 40430 38989 100 302 100 307 109 313 92 315 95 316 38989 37628 94 304 88 308 96 314 89 316 88 314 37628 36309 85 307 76 312 76 318 78 316 74 313 36309 34966 72 307 68 312 65 319 60 315 70 314 34966 33573 57 302 56 306 53 316 52 317 52 314 33573 32134 47 302 39 304 43 315 46 315 42 316 32134 30631 35 329 29 323 37 315 43 312 35 313 30631 29046 42 007 30 342 33 320 40 316 32 318 29046 27377 48 013 33 350 32 327 40 325 33 323 27377 25623 50 011 35 354 35 333 41 328 34 323 25623 23784 53 010 34 354 38 335 42 334 34 324 23784 21862 51 007 34 349 38 336 41 335 33 322 21862 19852 47 358 39 347 37 336 33 331 31 315 19852 17751 44 347 37 352 34 342 29 329 30 314 17751 15603 40 345 31 352 24 346 24 330 28 315 15603 13530 33 339 24 345 22 331 22 317 27 315 13530 11646 33 329 22 333 22 318 26 319 27 321 11646 9983 30 326 25 327 25 323 26 328 25 333 9983 8523 23 329 26 329 27 324 25 335 23 341 8523 7232 24 360 23 335 26 318 23 326 21 333 7232 6089 29 008 19 351 21 319 22 317 19 323 6089 5083 29 005 20 007 14 331 20 315 19 312 5083 4203 29 004 19 012 12 343 15 315 20 298 4203 3431 26 005 15 008 11 337 12 298 20 287 3431 2744 18 005 9*349 6*318 10 277 17 278 2744 2140 13 360 6*337 6*317 8 264 12 267 2140 1637 12*351 6 337 6 318 6 254 9 240 1637 1254 12*350 6 336 5 319 5 241 9 210 1254 990 10 349 6 336 5 320 5 230 10 198 990 831 8 348 5 336 5 321 4*221 6 195 831 740 7 348 5 337 4 321 4*217 2*195 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography