DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 82.5 - - 56.4 - - 45.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 137 - - -3 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3248 - - 6884 - - 1717 - - 236 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2700 - - 5068 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3908 - - 7544 - - 2377 - - 896 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1241 - - 1124 - - 822 - - 1853 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 386 - - 400 - - 39 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 15 - - 36 - - 20 BL Wind Direction - - - 243 - - 293 - - 351 - - 358 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 4 - - 20 - - 6 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 5 - - 7 - - -16 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -268 - - -1145 - - -3765 - - -5273 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4176 - - 8689 - - 6143 - - 6169 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4065 - - -4265 - - -14998 - - -19690 ODpotential blCL - - - 7973 - - 11809 - - 17375 - - 20586 blCL maxRH - - - 77 - - 76 - - 78 - - 41 maxRH CAPE - - - 260 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 77.6 - - 82.5 - - 56.4 - - 45.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 61.6 - - 46.8 - - 32.6 - - 22.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 76.2 - - 81.7 - - 56.6 - - 46.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 61.5 - - 46.3 - - 32.5 - - 22.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 137 - - -3 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3248 - - 6884 - - 1717 - - 236 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 7 - - 4 - - 12 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 7 - - 4 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96190 44 265 57 254 61 266 41 282 96190 89133 35 264 37 269 36 269 30 295 89133 83652 25 268 26 283 23 290 18 286 83652 79096 11 275 17 282 16 295 10 320 79096 75165 7 330 8 280 12 299 12 326 75165 71686 18 316 11 351 6 280 10 279 71686 68566 21 293 17 340 11 322 6 307 68566 65710 24 252 25 261 22 311 14 338 65710 63036 28 250 32 233 28 252 27 290 63036 60451 33 256 33 245 35 242 41 254 60451 57791 38 261 41 256 38 251 43 245 57791 55028 46 256 47 260 40 263 45 256 55028 52351 61 251 56 261 51 265 61 262 52351 49903 77 250 74 253 70 257 73 259 49903 47693 87 251 91 251 86 255 89 260 47693 45705 87 252 96 250 98 251 102 254 45705 43917 75 247 82 246 92 246 100 252 43917 42282 63 256 74 246 79 246 88 251 42282 40754 74 275 73 254 74 254 70 257 40754 39314 74 273 72 258 78 259 69 266 39314 37950 69 264 72 260 84 258 73 270 37950 36624 70 261 73 261 86 259 78 270 36624 35268 73 260 76 260 86 263 86 270 35268 33853 74 259 80 258 85 267 92 271 33853 32381 70 254 80 253 82 268 92 270 32381 30836 67 254 78 252 79 266 89 269 30836 29204 63 259 74 253 77 263 84 268 29204 27483 57 260 67 254 73 263 80 269 27483 25681 51 252 62 255 64 260 67 263 25681 23806 50 244 56 252 59 255 61 252 23806 21860 48 242 52 250 56 252 60 251 21860 19834 45 241 51 249 52 251 58 252 19834 17724 40 240 48 248 50 254 55 256 17724 15576 35 242 46 253 48 260 51 265 15576 13510 36 251 45 258 45 265 43 266 13510 11636 34 252 40 258 42 266 34 263 11636 9979 33 247 34 264 37 270 28 267 9979 8514 32 252 26*276 26 267 26 282 8514 7215 30 270 16*289 16 246 26 297 7215 6066 29 279 16 290 12 240 28 318 6066 5055 26 278 16 292 10 280 34 333 5055 4172 23*267 16 293 26 343 40 352 4172 3402 22*256 16 294 41 351 47 004 3402 2721 22 250 15 294 43*352 47 005 2721 2125 20 240 15 295 42*352 41 002 2125 1630 20 238 15 295 40 351 37 000 1630 1250 19 236 15 295 37 351 33 360 1250 989 19 235 14 296 33 350 28*359 989 831 18 234 13 296 29 350 24*358 831 741 15 234 12 296 22 350 18 358 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography