DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 01/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 69.9 - - 62.0 - - 60.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 160 - - -42 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1615 - - 2217 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1457 - - 1734 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2275 - - 2877 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 369 - - 577 - - 800 - - 590 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 291 - - 287 - - 7 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 22 - - 21 - - 10 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 214 - - 206 - - 183 - - 199 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -470 - - -498 - - -406 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2745 - - 3375 - - 1148 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8340 - - -6136 - - -8099 - - -8607 ODpotential blCL - - - 10615 - - 9013 - - 8841 - - 9349 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 86 - - 83 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 63.7 - - 69.9 - - 62.0 - - 60.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 54.2 - - 57.5 - - 59.2 - - 59.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 62.5 - - 68.9 - - 63.7 - - 61.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 54.1 - - 57.4 - - 59.2 - - 59.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 231 - - 160 - - -42 - - -40 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1615 - - 2217 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 70 - - 44 - - 33 - - 67 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96552 39 243 41 253 36 257 35 272 96552 89209 26 255 25 259 21 253 20 268 89209 83648 22 286 14 257 15 272 15 263 83648 79078 15 297 13 263 14 295 12 278 79078 75175 15 285 10 290 12 294 12 274 75175 71733 17 293 10 300 12 278 9 277 71733 68620 19 305 15 290 20 288 22 290 68620 65773 30 293 26 292 24 288 24 277 65773 63144 35 283 29 294 23 288 29 293 63144 60599 34 282 32 290 37 300 44 292 60599 57926 48 285 44 289 49 290 50 285 57926 55120 63 272 53 271 51 277 55 271 55120 52423 61 269 57 267 58 267 58 257 52423 49981 63 279 59 273 59 269 58 262 49981 47789 72 278 69 273 67 276 66 271 47789 45822 83 270 85 267 83 270 82 264 45822 44050 89 268 93 262 90 263 89 260 44050 42424 92 268 93 262 90 263 91 258 42424 40897 92 267 89 265 91 265 93 258 40897 39453 90 267 87 267 90 266 92 261 39453 38080 87 266 84 266 87 265 87 263 38080 36746 84 268 81 266 83 263 82 263 36746 35385 82 271 78 267 77 262 77 259 35385 33970 82 272 77 269 74 263 72 257 33970 32503 80 272 74 269 72 262 71 258 32503 30966 75 274 68 269 67 261 69 262 30966 29347 63 274 59 270 58 260 63 264 29347 27651 56 271 53 270 51 263 54 261 27651 25879 54 269 50 268 49 263 48 257 25879 24029 55 272 49 266 49 263 49 259 24029 22103 49 270 48 264 49 263 47 261 22103 20097 43 264 46 261 46 264 43 264 20097 18003 41 265 44 264 41 267 38 264 18003 15866 38 270 39 268 35 270 32 264 15866 13805 34 272 36 266 32 273 28 268 13805 11930 30 269 34 261 32 275 26 274 11930 10263 26 261 31 253 31 273 25 279 10263 8781 23 252 31 256 30 271 26 284 8781 7464 22 243 31 260 30 273 26 287 7464 6295 20 241 28 258 29 275 27 286 6295 5262 19 238 27 257 29 271 28 280 5262 4353 21 243 28 251 28 261 30 272 4353 3550 28 237 26*236 28 246 28 262 3550 2832 30*228 23*215 27 230 27 244 2832 2200 25*217 22 210 26 217 33 222 2200 1676 24 215 21 205 26 199 34 210 1676 1277 23 213 20 202 25 190 30 205 1277 1003 21 213 19 201 20 185 22 201 1003 837 20 212 18 200 17*184 19*200 837 742 16 212 15 200 10*183 11*199 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography