DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 10/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.5 - - 76.3 - - 78.9 - - 71.5 - - 66.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 82 - - 249 - - 150 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 416 - - 3013 - - 3812 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2505 - - 2855 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1076 - - 3673 - - 4472 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 519 - - 1068 - - 1024 - - 3323 - - 92 Hgt.Variab. W* 132 - - 370 - - 339 - - 13 - - 8 W* B/S 4 - - 17 - - 17 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 128 - - 129 - - 090 - - 081 - - 129 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 4 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4008 - - -3986 - - -3797 - - -5194 - - -4235 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5084 - - 7660 - - 8269 - - 5938 - - 4977 sfcLCL ODpotential -12234 - - -10361 - - -9675 - - -11852 - - -11253 ODpotential blCL 13310 - - 14034 - - 14147 - - 12595 - - 11995 blCL maxRH 66 - - 68 - - 63 - - 73 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 65.5 - - 76.3 - - 78.9 - - 71.5 - - 66.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 46.3 - - 45.7 - - 45.5 - - 48.6 - - 47.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.7 - - 74.7 - - 77.7 - - 73.8 - - 70.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 46.0 - - 45.2 - - 45.0 - - 48.1 - - 47.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 82 - - 249 - - 150 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 416 - - 3013 - - 3812 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 7 - - 6 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97613 20 251 18 265 20 274 16 288 14 258 97613 90259 13 288 17 270 16 259 20 285 19 299 90259 84645 15 320 11 300 9 265 13 270 12 290 84645 80021 14 311 12 288 8 306 5 284 8 290 80021 76043 10 276 8 264 3 316 6 271 10 337 76043 72532 9 211 9 230 4 317 4 296 11 018 72532 69364 8 114 5 184 1 063 2 041 4 040 69364 66474 8 056 5 138 3 189 2 345 4 043 66474 63816 7 036 6 120 3 188 2 270 3 341 63816 61253 8 036 3 089 2 226 1 276 2 018 61253 58591 10 350 4 340 4 333 5 323 7 326 58591 55845 10 287 8 321 7 325 6 313 10 307 55845 53228 14 294 12 315 11 311 14 313 14 306 53228 50860 22 298 17 316 20 319 23 319 21 314 50860 48712 28 307 26 308 26 314 28 317 30 315 48712 46733 32 304 30 304 29 312 32 314 33 313 46733 44891 33 304 30 304 31 309 32 312 34 313 44891 43173 32 307 30 309 30 312 32 312 35 315 43173 41570 31 312 33 313 30 319 35 313 36 319 41570 40070 33 319 35 314 33 324 36 313 37 317 40070 38658 33 322 36 317 39 324 36 315 34 312 38658 37296 32 329 38 324 43 323 36 321 26 324 37296 35912 39 335 42 328 44 329 39 333 43 334 35912 34473 47 331 48 335 48 336 48 341 58 329 34473 32982 51 332 51 340 51 339 51 337 59 332 32982 31421 48 333 50 339 52 341 51 341 51 339 31421 29774 38 330 44 333 47 342 42 343 44 343 29774 28044 36 325 38 329 42 334 36 338 38 342 28044 26230 30 318 33 327 38 330 32 333 34 335 26230 24333 27 320 28 320 35 330 31 333 35 333 24333 22355 26 315 23 321 30 331 32 338 32 337 22355 20292 25 307 22 320 23 329 31 338 32 342 20292 18143 21 301 21 306 20 332 25 327 32 343 18143 15967 15 288 17 300 20 319 21 328 24 335 15967 13888 10 280 14 313 19 321 22 337 17 338 13888 12004 6 331 10 317 15 318 19 335 18 357 12004 10324 8 019 8 339 13 318 16 328 20 360 10324 8826 8 029 8 023 9 332 15 332 17 358 8826 7492 7 031 10 036 7 022 10 002 10 014 7492 6308 6 040 9 041 8 042 9 043 7 055 6308 5268 5 046 6 046 4*060 8 051 6 072 5268 4359 4 162 3*085 3*085 4 067 6 093 4359 3560 5 156 4*127 3 088 4 094 8 104 3560 2846 4 131 4 129 4 091 5 098 9 108 2846 2215 7 122 4 128 4 092 6 095 9 111 2215 1689 10 131 4 131 4 091 7 092 9 114 1689 1284 9*131 4 130 4 091 7 089 8 120 1284 1007 7*129 4 129 4 091 7 087 8 129 1007 838 6 127 4 129 4 092 6*084 6 133 838 742 5 126 4 129 4 093 5*081 3*129 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography