DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 05/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 82.4 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 42 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2302 - - 3669 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1651 - - 2113 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2962 - - 4329 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2536 - - 2139 - - - - - 2821 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 267 - - 257 - - - - - 17 W* B/S - - - 26 - - 14 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 2 - - 3 - - - - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 263 - - 206 - - - - - 063 Direction Wind Shear - - - 0 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 8 - - 3 - - - - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 630 - - -47 - - - - - -264 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2332 - - 4376 - - - - - 1007 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -117 - - -2299 - - - - - -1931 ODpotential blCL - - - 3079 - - 6628 - - - - - 2674 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 93 - - - - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 1710 - - 1040 - - - - - 3020 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.1 - - 82.4 - - - - - 76.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.0 - - 65.5 - - - - - 74.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 82.1 - - - - - 77.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.7 - - 64.2 - - - - - 73.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 98 - - 42 - - - - - -5 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2302 - - 3669 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 98 - - 71 - - - - - 68 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98324 12 080 14 041 7 054 98324 90830 13 097 10 084 16 057 90830 85108 8 057 8 085 20 061 85108 80407 7 058 3 127 16 042 80407 76373 8 083 1 231 8 011 76373 72811 9 086 2 107 5 028 72811 69587 8 083 3 097 7 048 69587 66637 7 065 1 195 11 049 66637 63910 6 021 1 088 9 000 63910 61271 6 352 3 342 8 319 61271 58513 10 281 6 306 10 298 58513 55638 11 259 6 295 10 286 55638 52887 13 230 11 258 14 283 52887 50428 13 218 20 249 25 287 50428 48256 12 229 18 252 30 301 48256 46293 16 243 8 257 29 297 46293 44483 20 237 8 315 25 285 44483 42801 25 222 21 297 23 280 42801 41236 28 212 26 277 29 306 41236 39773 28 208 24 266 55 323 39773 38391 26 224 22 269 65 323 38391 37046 27 240 20 280 67 323 37046 35671 26 245 22 292 61 322 35671 34237 18 263 23 293 45 314 34237 32748 20 299 21 293 36 306 32748 31194 19 304 21 294 32 304 31194 29562 20 309 23 294 30 302 29562 27850 23 302 24 285 29 300 27850 26058 20 286 22 283 29 296 26058 24189 16 286 17 296 29 295 24189 22252 14 309 18 314 29 300 22252 20237 17 312 21 316 27 303 20237 18138 23 314 22 318 20 316 18138 15995 22 318 26 318 24 330 15995 13930 20 323 25 316 27 327 13930 12050 18 327 24 321 30 324 12050 10378 18 319 24 313 31 324 10378 8890 21 314 23 303 26 322 8890 7565 15 316 20 297 19 308 7565 6388 10 334 15 298 14 284 6388 5345 6 313 10 285 13 256 5345 4427 3 278 5*252 8 244 4427 3615 2*263 4*230 5 212 3615 2888 2*263 3 215 5 189 2888 2245 2 266 3 205 4 173 2245 1709 2 262 3 199 4 140 1709 1297 2 262 3 194 4 098 1297 1013 2 263 3 191 5 073 1013 841 2 260 3 191 5 065 841 743 2 261 3 188 3*063 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography