DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 57.5 - - 66.9 - - 70.7 - - 69.2 - - 59.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 116 - - 377 - - 289 - - 2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 722 - - 3813 - - 4851 - - 4624 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 3261 - - 3960 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1382 - - 4473 - - 5511 - - 5284 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1225 - - 1064 - - 1088 - - 1305 - - 177 Hgt.Variab. W* 180 - - 459 - - 456 - - 118 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 11 - - 11 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 095 - - 084 - - 077 - - 082 - - 070 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 6 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 3 - - 8 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2776 - - -3265 - - -3436 - - -3621 - - -4398 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4158 - - 7738 - - 8947 - - 8906 - - 5141 sfcLCL ODpotential -10394 - - -9689 - - -9524 - - -10001 - - -11048 ODpotential blCL 11776 - - 14162 - - 15035 - - 15285 - - 11790 blCL maxRH 60 - - 45 - - 42 - - 59 - - 38 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 57.5 - - 66.9 - - 70.7 - - 69.2 - - 59.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.3 - - 35.8 - - 34.2 - - 33.0 - - 40.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 56.7 - - 64.8 - - 68.9 - - 69.4 - - 62.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.3 - - 34.8 - - 33.0 - - 31.7 - - 39.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 116 - - 377 - - 289 - - 2 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 722 - - 3813 - - 4851 - - 4624 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 4 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96945 46 262 42 251 52 258 58 267 47 280 96945 89617 34 264 36 273 38 264 44 259 45 265 89617 83999 25 274 29 278 25 275 25 277 30 269 83999 79344 20 284 25 279 24 274 23 286 19 290 79344 75365 15 296 20 294 18 282 21 281 19 297 75365 71861 11 328 17 300 14 294 17 280 18 291 71861 68696 24 322 22 315 16 314 14 293 17 307 68696 65804 29 297 24 315 23 319 21 307 24 311 65804 63142 25 295 27 304 31 312 29 309 33 304 63142 60562 29 298 34 290 35 306 35 299 38 298 60562 57843 35 294 34 286 37 297 37 295 42 302 57843 54993 43 295 37 287 42 295 50 302 53 303 54993 52245 50 292 47 287 53 296 64 301 60 298 52245 49744 53 286 52 289 58 293 67 295 64 294 49744 47493 56 285 56 295 60 292 64 292 66 287 47493 45453 53 291 60 293 62 298 62 295 60 292 45453 43600 47 292 54 290 71 298 72 302 78 301 43600 41920 38 296 46 297 61 295 85 302 108 298 41920 40373 36 299 41 295 56 299 82 295 102 293 40373 38929 37 302 39 298 56 299 79 294 81 293 38929 37576 32 302 37 295 54 299 71 298 66 294 37576 36263 27 311 34 288 46 299 61 306 61 295 36263 34922 27 311 28 286 42 290 58 308 58 307 34922 33524 27 306 28 293 38 283 54 306 50 307 33524 32073 27 297 31 297 33 287 53 305 46 304 32073 30555 27 289 28 297 31 294 44 307 44 302 30555 28955 23 291 26 299 27 301 36 298 36 299 28955 27277 20 300 25 296 23 302 28 299 28 294 27277 25521 17 302 22 296 22 303 20 301 20 289 25521 23688 13 286 15 301 18 294 16 306 11 279 23688 21783 12 304 10 293 14 282 13 301 7 285 21783 19802 14 316 10 308 11 283 12 290 9 284 19802 17734 9 331 9 322 7 313 5 307 5 254 17734 15622 4 035 7 327 7 333 5 341 2 189 15622 13587 9 054 5 044 3 356 2 286 1 127 13587 11737 13 059 10 071 6 101 4 172 3 211 11737 10091 15 051 13 070 11 096 12 141 11 167 10091 8630 13 036 16 061 14 089 18 127 17 147 8630 7334 15 030 17 061 16 089 18 114 18 139 7334 6189 17 047 18 070 10*086 12*099 11 111 6189 5182 17 056 14*079 8*082 10*093 9 100 5182 4294 15 071 8*085 8 081 10 090 11 110 4294 3510 15 089 8 085 8 079 9 085 13 112 3510 2808 15 101 8 084 8 077 8 081 16 113 2808 2188 14 108 8 084 8 074 8 076 17 112 2188 1671 13*107 7 083 8 073 7 074 16 108 1671 1274 8*096 7 082 7 072 7 072 13 099 1274 1001 8 096 7 082 7 070 7 071 9 083 1001 836 7 095 7 081 7 070 6 070 7*074 836 742 6 094 6 082 6 069 5 069 4*070 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography