DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 01/15 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 55.0 - - 50.2 - - 46.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 223 - - -35 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1712 - - 2110 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1392 - - 1795 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2372 - - 2770 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 666 - - 550 - - 1054 - - 353 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 266 - - 314 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 12 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 10 - - 8 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 251 - - 198 - - 176 - - 185 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -2 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4520 - - -3786 - - -4209 - - -2355 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6892 - - 6556 - - 4950 - - 3096 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15551 - - -12576 - - -14244 - - -10987 ODpotential blCL - - - 17923 - - 15346 - - 14985 - - 11728 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 74 - - 45 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 48.1 - - 55.0 - - 50.2 - - 46.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 21.0 - - 29.2 - - 31.5 - - 36.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 47.1 - - 53.7 - - 51.8 - - 48.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.9 - - 29.3 - - 31.5 - - 36.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 167 - - 223 - - -35 - - -52 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1712 - - 2110 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96037 11 324 13 261 19 293 14 343 96037 89060 6 067 1 068 6 000 12 043 89060 83678 11 089 6 059 9 061 8 058 83678 79184 15 081 10 048 12 055 7 056 79184 75268 18 062 15 040 14 050 8 040 75268 71771 14 067 10 040 6 050 5 020 71771 68582 10 037 9 045 2 340 2 292 68582 65636 11 347 9 348 7 319 6 320 65636 62908 14 334 14 314 15 301 16 308 62908 60286 19 340 16 307 17 303 21 281 60286 57561 29 339 24 318 20 312 22 270 57561 54728 33 325 30 307 29 302 31 286 54728 52041 36 323 33 306 41 287 46 281 52041 49632 52 320 41 306 45 281 49 277 49632 47446 55 319 49 307 44 287 46 280 47446 45437 55 318 57 305 50 296 49 290 45437 43598 55 320 64 298 59 291 56 281 43598 41912 58 321 70 293 58 285 58 275 41912 40337 62 319 67 295 54 295 58 279 40337 38850 64 320 66 305 59 304 63 287 38850 37445 64 321 71 310 69 306 74 295 37445 36089 62 319 75 310 76 307 85 297 36089 34715 58 316 74 311 77 307 88 298 34715 33292 57 320 70 312 73 306 84 297 33292 31825 55 323 66 317 70 308 78 294 31825 30302 51 319 65 323 69 312 75 296 30302 28713 53 315 64 325 69 314 74 300 28713 27053 56 316 62 327 67 315 74 302 27053 25316 54 323 58 326 63 317 72 302 25316 23501 56 336 54 325 56 318 65 302 23501 21612 48 334 52 326 49 319 54 301 21612 19643 43 324 46 325 45 314 48 298 19643 17588 45 328 42 317 44 306 45 300 17588 15496 44 334 43 321 37 313 39 308 15496 13486 41 337 36 322 31 310 32 313 13486 11661 35 339 31 320 30 307 31 308 11661 10037 30 335 24 314 32 320 31 313 10037 8588 34 317 26 299 29 325 28 302 8588 7298 33 314 32 298 26 311 22 285 7298 6153 24 319 37 292 32 293 22 279 6153 5138 19 320 32 276 35 273 29 271 5138 4248 13 320 18 258 32 253 36 252 4248 3464 9 309 11*234 27 232 36 240 3464 2766 6*286 10*202 25 220 36 223 2766 2153 4*256 10 198 24 204 38 207 2153 1645 4 253 10 197 22 190 38 198 1645 1257 4 250 10 196 20 181 33 192 1257 992 4 249 10 196 16 178 23 188 992 832 4 247 9 196 13*177 20*187 832 741 3 247 8 196 8*176 11*185 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography