DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 83.1 - - 87.6 - - 84.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 141 - - 61 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1787 - - 2222 - - 2530 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 727 - - 1693 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2447 - - 2882 - - 3190 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1844 - - 1480 - - 2064 - - 3739 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 192 - - 279 - - 223 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 180 - - 205 - - 192 - - 180 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -6 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 475 - - 792 - - -846 - - -2722 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1972 - - 2090 - - 4036 - - 3467 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 45 - - 551 - - -2786 - - -4830 ODpotential blCL - - - 2402 - - 2331 - - 5976 - - 5574 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 100 - - 95 - - 76 maxRH CAPE - - - 1500 - - 2090 - - 1180 - - 1010 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 81.1 - - 83.1 - - 87.6 - - 84.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.4 - - 75.9 - - 72.1 - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 82.2 - - 87.2 - - 85.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.3 - - 75.6 - - 71.8 - - 71.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 57 - - 141 - - 61 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1787 - - 2222 - - 2530 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 100 - - 78 - - 4 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 19 - - 17 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99063 52 101 42 102 33 099 31 080 99063 91571 38 093 43 096 42 089 40 091 91571 85795 29 084 37 083 42 076 49 089 85795 81047 30 086 28 073 34 073 41 079 81047 77004 35 088 28 094 28 077 31 081 77004 73425 33 089 33 103 23 087 24 079 73425 70170 29 091 31 100 23 097 17 085 70170 67175 26 093 28 083 24 083 24 090 67175 64416 22 088 20 083 22 070 30 075 64416 61787 22 078 20 097 15 085 24 059 61787 59083 22 067 22 086 17 098 16 064 59083 56296 24 051 19 072 17 067 16 042 56296 53651 25 029 19 041 20 035 19 029 53651 51288 21 007 25 023 19 020 15 017 51288 49174 9 342 28 353 17 004 10 350 49174 47244 14 091 11 087 16 020 15 356 47244 45452 22 077 14 090 15 029 21 014 45452 43774 16 073 14 063 14 064 10 045 43774 42195 11 083 9 078 19 065 10 059 42195 40702 13 112 6 109 15 064 12 043 40702 39284 9 116 5 123 5 088 6 048 39284 37902 6 136 3 100 1 266 5 355 37902 36490 6 056 4 043 4 038 5 026 36490 35018 8 057 4 036 7 061 6 071 35018 33492 7 079 2 261 1 077 4 011 33492 31900 3 106 3 270 3 258 12 326 31900 30227 2 157 6 347 5 340 15 346 30227 28472 2 352 8 352 8 354 13 352 28472 26636 6 005 6 333 8 342 9 336 26636 24724 6 358 5 336 7 327 8 317 24724 22737 6 346 5 331 6 298 9 296 22737 20666 5 316 7 294 8 281 10 301 20666 18505 5 321 8 299 7 291 11 327 18505 16302 2 315 5 282 7 319 14 350 16302 14181 4 137 5 201 8 339 11 005 14181 12252 10 120 8 202 6 320 9 011 12252 10535 11 123 10 194 3 291 5 034 10535 9011 9 152 11 188 7 207 11 205 9011 7663 9 186 10 182 19 195 21 213 7663 6470 12 190 12 172 23 202 22 212 6470 5413 17 192 15 182 21 207 23 206 5413 4481 22 193 19 196 20 204 24 200 4481 3658 22 188 19 200 20*199 25 196 3658 2920 21*186 19*201 18*195 26 194 2920 2268 18*182 18*202 17 193 26 192 2268 1723 15 180 17 204 16 192 25 189 1723 1305 14 179 16 205 15 192 23 186 1305 1018 13 180 16 206 14 191 17 182 1018 843 12 179 15 206 13 191 15*181 843 744 10 179 12 207 11 191 9*180 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography