DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 02/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 46.2 - - 41.7 - - 36.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 115 - - -26 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1356 - - 2066 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1226 - - 1471 - - 724 - - 723 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2016 - - 2726 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 393 - - 661 - - 831 - - 196 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 263 - - 256 - - 19 - - 10 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 221 - - 226 - - 168 - - 192 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2538 - - -2930 - - -2090 - - -764 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4555 - - 5656 - - 2830 - - 1504 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15871 - - -13371 - - -12341 - - -12162 ODpotential blCL - - - 17887 - - 16097 - - 13081 - - 12902 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 53 - - 55 - - 69 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 37.2 - - 46.2 - - 41.7 - - 36.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.5 - - 24.6 - - 32.4 - - 33.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 36.0 - - 45.5 - - 43.9 - - 39.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 19.6 - - 23.6 - - 31.4 - - 33.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 197 - - 115 - - -26 - - -32 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1356 - - 2066 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 4 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96198 55 227 64 242 59 254 57 255 96198 89026 44 250 54 259 55 265 50 262 89026 83526 41 268 47 270 41 274 37 268 83526 78965 37 278 31 274 36 268 32 279 78965 75030 28 298 24 281 28 275 29 270 75030 71545 30 306 21 288 26 274 23 278 71545 68387 32 306 22 309 23 296 19 312 68387 65491 37 315 35 321 35 304 31 304 65491 62828 43 292 39 314 38 303 36 294 62828 60243 45 318 49 319 45 320 37 307 60243 57527 65 319 64 305 57 308 54 304 57527 54716 68 305 66 300 57 304 55 305 54716 52023 65 308 64 310 57 311 54 311 52023 49581 71 315 69 313 63 315 66 308 49581 47385 77 315 73 310 70 312 69 303 47385 45388 82 312 77 310 73 308 71 301 45388 43555 87 312 83 311 76 305 73 302 43555 41870 87 314 85 312 79 306 73 304 41870 40321 86 313 79 313 81 309 69 305 40321 38885 86 315 76 314 79 308 66 307 38885 37539 85 320 72 317 74 315 66 308 37539 36234 82 323 72 320 71 320 65 308 36234 34900 78 325 73 321 70 319 64 312 34900 33509 75 324 75 322 70 316 64 316 33509 32062 73 323 76 322 71 319 64 320 32062 30545 72 322 77 323 72 325 63 324 30545 28947 71 321 72 324 72 331 63 327 28947 27268 69 317 66 329 67 339 62 330 27268 25504 64 314 69 335 63 341 60 333 25504 23657 61 311 65 331 59 338 57 333 23657 21731 62 311 60 325 56 331 57 338 21731 19722 59 315 59 328 52 325 59 345 19722 17633 49 329 52 332 47 328 55 346 17633 15515 39 345 42 336 39 331 45 339 15515 13481 35 350 34 343 34 330 34 331 13481 11633 28 351 33 345 29 332 29 330 11633 9992 23 343 29 344 27 341 26 336 9992 8536 21 333 20 335 21 348 23 346 8536 7244 23 334 15 321 15 338 13 334 7244 6103 21 324 14 324 15 327 10 308 6103 5097 24 314 16 305 18 315 13 310 5097 4212 23 301 21 288 19 297 17 305 4212 3434 19 277 19*266 18 265 17 290 3434 2743 17 258 14*237 16 251 18 258 2743 2136 13*225 12 228 13 233 18 238 2136 1633 12*222 11 223 13 199 22 218 1633 1250 11 221 11 220 13 180 26 201 1250 988 11 222 10 218 12 174 20 197 988 830 10 222 9 218 10 171 16*195 830 740 9 221 8 218 6*168 7*192 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography