DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 65.0 - - 73.8 - - 75.8 - - 68.6 - - 62.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 86 - - 249 - - 158 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 388 - - 2778 - - 3362 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 2331 - - 2558 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1048 - - 3438 - - 4022 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 598 - - 1234 - - 979 - - 3121 - - 90 Hgt.Variab. W* 131 - - 360 - - 331 - - 12 - - 3 W* B/S 5 - - 10 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 7 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 138 - - 113 - - 086 - - 084 - - 110 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 2 - - -2 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4177 - - -5422 - - -5374 - - -6038 - - -4503 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5226 - - 8860 - - 9396 - - 6780 - - 5245 sfcLCL ODpotential -14110 - - -13973 - - -13581 - - -15185 - - -14543 ODpotential blCL 15158 - - 17411 - - 17603 - - 15927 - - 15285 blCL maxRH 54 - - 80 - - 91 - - 36 - - 32 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 65.0 - - 73.8 - - 75.8 - - 68.6 - - 62.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 45.3 - - 38.0 - - 37.7 - - 42.1 - - 43.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 64.4 - - 72.2 - - 74.7 - - 70.9 - - 66.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 44.9 - - 37.2 - - 36.9 - - 41.5 - - 42.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 86 - - 249 - - 158 - - -12 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 388 - - 2778 - - 3362 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 18 - - 62 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 6 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97615 21 277 24 257 26 267 24 292 16 280 97615 90307 16 279 15 273 20 258 20 259 24 290 90307 84690 9 278 14 265 14 248 16 251 17 287 84690 80046 8 273 10 251 12 252 11 279 6 283 80046 76050 9 245 4 248 11 250 9 292 2 286 76050 72527 6 230 2 152 9 210 7 283 1 300 72527 69359 8 351 7 125 7 167 6 231 3 151 69359 66462 10 012 9 118 5 105 0 204 4 089 66462 63795 8 034 7 119 7 100 3 128 2 061 63795 61233 6 032 4 108 1 078 5 131 1 292 61233 58577 3 313 3 333 4 312 1 007 2 281 58577 55826 9 243 13 279 13 288 10 283 9 296 55826 53192 7 248 12 269 13 265 14 277 16 283 53192 50809 13 300 13 278 16 267 20 272 22 277 50809 48657 24 285 19 274 22 266 24 265 24 280 48657 46677 27 286 19 272 17 264 20 268 26 286 46677 44835 34 292 22 291 17 294 27 291 32 293 44835 43115 40 290 34 281 36 287 35 290 38 293 43115 41505 40 286 43 274 44 277 39 289 41 289 41505 39991 40 279 42 273 42 272 41 288 41 286 39991 38562 38 277 38 273 39 271 43 289 40 288 38562 37178 36 280 38 276 42 276 43 292 38 293 37178 35769 41 284 43 281 45 279 43 295 38 299 35769 34303 48 282 47 281 45 282 44 297 39 304 34303 32792 51 276 47 280 43 285 45 301 47 309 32792 31228 47 268 42 278 40 290 48 309 55 314 31228 29597 39 256 36 277 36 295 46 312 57 315 29597 27892 30 257 34 272 31 297 39 312 44 312 27892 26106 24 268 28 263 26 288 33 309 31 307 26106 24235 19 264 22 269 26 280 28 309 25 296 24235 22281 16 260 17 261 19 267 22 297 23 297 22281 20248 14 252 14 248 16 260 17 270 17 296 20248 18130 15 241 14 240 16 242 12 273 13 285 18130 15964 9 215 10 226 13 246 12 287 11 308 15964 13870 9 196 8 231 9 269 9 316 10 335 13870 11961 6 152 6 217 6 279 8 332 12 347 11961 10265 9 129 4 171 2 201 6 324 9 002 10265 8765 9 114 8 140 7 153 2 176 5 006 8765 7438 7 101 12 128 12 141 6 167 0 170 7438 6267 4 039 11 117 11 131 5 157 2 186 6267 5236 3 350 9 097 7 109 4 113 3 140 5236 4333 2 141 8 090 6*093 5 093 9 130 4333 3539 5 139 7*107 6*090 7 095 12 129 3539 2830 7 147 7*113 6 088 7 096 13 126 2830 2204 9 157 7 114 7 087 8 096 13 123 2204 1681 9 163 7 114 7 085 8 094 12 124 1681 1280 8*154 7 113 7 084 8 092 11 124 1280 1004 5*139 6 112 7 084 8 090 10 125 1004 837 5 137 6 112 7 084 7*087 6*121 837 742 4 137 6 112 6 085 5*084 3*110 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography