DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 06/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 90.2 - - 87.3 - - 81.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 369 - - 86 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3405 - - 3775 - - 3410 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3004 - - 3228 - - 2199 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4065 - - 4435 - - 4070 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1373 - - 1189 - - 1413 - - 3092 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 470 - - 456 - - 274 - - 15 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 20 - - 22 - - 9 BL Wind Direction - - - 210 - - 196 - - 194 - - 168 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -6 - - -3 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1467 - - -1319 - - -467 - - -2126 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5532 - - 5754 - - 4537 - - 2870 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6175 - - -5766 - - -5853 - - -8389 ODpotential blCL - - - 10240 - - 10201 - - 9923 - - 9133 blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 85 - - 87 - - 81 maxRH CAPE - - - 1040 - - 1230 - - 1700 - - 1640 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 89.2 - - 90.2 - - 87.3 - - 81.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.2 - - 67.3 - - 69.7 - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.7 - - 88.0 - - 86.9 - - 82.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 66.8 - - 69.5 - - 71.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 451 - - 369 - - 86 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3405 - - 3775 - - 3410 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 1 - - 42 - - 48 - - 25 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 14 - - 15 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98719 29 114 28 104 29 091 34 065 98719 91243 30 091 34 101 32 099 24 081 91243 85487 30 092 30 090 31 099 28 106 85487 80730 28 092 28 087 28 095 30 092 80730 76646 26 087 24 100 21 091 26 081 76646 73042 17 109 19 104 15 089 19 085 73042 69792 19 121 16 120 9 087 12 081 69792 66808 17 090 13 112 9 119 9 095 66808 64047 13 058 10 101 10 109 7 111 64047 61395 5 027 12 085 9 093 7 138 61395 58652 7 224 6 322 8 024 13 124 58652 55837 7 203 10 281 9 318 7 354 55837 53187 4 008 1 274 5 308 12 336 53187 50818 20 338 29 334 29 328 22 334 50818 48690 31 301 31 315 29 327 29 335 48690 46743 27 269 25 294 30 326 33 335 46743 44949 21 238 20 298 31 330 34 341 44949 43282 11 286 22 311 34 339 34 352 43282 41719 20 340 22 318 34 342 30 353 41719 40244 25 340 22 324 28 340 17 337 40244 38843 28 331 23 320 25 336 10 345 38843 37481 32 316 29 295 16 332 10 338 37481 36090 25 304 28 288 18 318 10 326 36090 34642 16 299 23 302 22 302 9 343 34642 33140 10 308 18 301 18 302 14 329 33140 31573 8 324 19 296 17 303 16 299 31573 29928 11 262 11 264 15 310 15 298 29928 28198 14 240 20 240 14 319 11 301 28198 26387 19 254 25 248 13 303 11 325 26387 24498 20 273 19 285 13 315 15 321 24498 22535 19 287 25 350 15 325 18 317 22535 20493 20 274 23 343 17 320 16 314 20493 18367 24 270 19 296 19 316 16 306 18367 16198 20 265 21 276 24 317 18 309 16198 14103 19 249 15 268 23 316 15 300 14103 12190 16 230 9 261 13 284 10 264 12190 10485 12 219 14 222 10 225 14 227 10485 8972 12 204 18 211 19 225 22 226 8972 7628 15 219 21 212 27 220 24 226 7628 6436 18 223 25 213 29 218 27 221 6436 5384 22 221 24 212 27 213 30 210 5384 4459 20*216 21*204 25*205 31 200 4459 3641 19*213 21*200 24*199 31 194 3641 2907 19 212 21 198 23 196 30 190 2907 2258 19 210 21 196 23 193 28 187 2258 1717 19 209 21 195 22 193 25 182 1717 1301 18 208 20 194 22 192 22 178 1301 1015 17 208 19 194 20 191 16 172 1015 843 17 207 18 194 19 191 14*170 843 744 15 207 16 194 15 190 9*168 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography