DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 90.6 - - 87.5 - - 81.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 231 - - 30 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3708 - - 4197 - - 4081 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3050 - - 3388 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4368 - - 4857 - - 4741 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2193 - - 2897 - - 1497 - - 2553 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 405 - - 412 - - 220 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 7 - - 4 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 11 - - 11 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 180 - - 183 - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -7 - - -5 - - -8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 488 - - 140 - - 1179 - - -508 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3880 - - 4718 - - 3562 - - 1252 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -353 - - -1233 - - 497 - - -2386 ODpotential blCL - - - 4721 - - 6090 - - 4244 - - 3130 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 76 - - 98 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 1920 - - 2300 - - 2730 - - 3620 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 90.6 - - 87.5 - - 81.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 72.4 - - 72.0 - - 73.9 - - 77.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.6 - - 89.0 - - 87.3 - - 82.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.6 - - 71.2 - - 73.4 - - 77.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 252 - - 231 - - 30 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3708 - - 4197 - - 4081 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 42 - - 4 - - 90 - - 35 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 - - 21 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98576 13 081 22 095 21 060 21 081 98576 91097 16 096 28 121 16 091 19 066 91097 85382 21 102 28 122 19 123 19 082 85382 80640 23 099 23 101 23 105 21 109 80640 76549 15 096 18 087 17 093 19 110 76549 72951 16 117 9 114 14 071 17 075 72951 69711 16 104 14 115 11 098 12 065 69711 66753 11 083 9 093 10 099 11 103 66753 64031 4 144 5 266 4 027 8 034 64031 61419 5 138 9 246 4 280 6 333 61419 58731 3 267 8 218 10 249 8 298 58731 55968 18 271 12 259 19 258 17 285 55968 53343 29 278 23 267 30 271 28 269 53343 50983 40 283 35 280 38 274 33 270 50983 48859 44 273 45 279 42 273 40 279 48859 46919 44 260 47 273 45 271 41 276 46919 45123 39 277 41 272 43 277 38 279 45123 43442 45 299 40 282 40 288 39 285 43442 41863 44 299 41 291 41 298 39 287 41863 40374 41 288 41 293 38 288 39 288 40374 38964 38 278 41 286 35 272 41 289 38964 37592 38 295 41 281 37 269 41 290 37592 36191 28 305 39 288 35 276 37 285 36191 34732 21 298 30 281 27 282 36 275 34732 33218 17 277 30 269 21 257 31 267 33218 31635 13 264 21 262 21 248 27 269 31635 29972 14 277 20 259 18 247 27 271 29972 28227 15 261 20 259 19 259 25 260 28227 26403 14 266 14 265 15 270 18 269 26403 24505 14 291 11 276 12 275 10 292 24505 22534 6 302 9 270 8 277 8 313 22534 20482 1 064 8 232 4 282 6 325 20482 18346 0 103 2 111 1 308 2 289 18346 16177 3 169 6 041 4 048 7 072 16177 14090 4 143 6 028 6 082 13 070 14090 12186 5 130 1 048 3 055 10 102 12186 10492 7 154 7 180 3 243 13 130 10492 8986 11 162 14 187 10 214 7 148 8986 7646 11 171 15 184 12 199 6 166 7646 6455 10 182 12 185 13 193 9 183 6455 5400 11 191 11*182 12*190 14 202 5400 4470 12*193 11*181 12*186 19 203 4470 3650 12*194 11 181 12 185 21 197 3650 2915 12 194 11 180 11 183 23 192 2915 2265 12 193 11 180 11 182 23 190 2265 1721 12 193 11 180 11 182 23 189 1721 1305 12 193 11 180 11 182 20 188 1305 1017 11 193 11 180 10 181 15 186 1017 843 11 193 11 180 10 181 13*185 843 744 10 193 10 180 8 181 7*182 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography