DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 04/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 78.8 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 44 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1694 - - 3281 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 1835 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2354 - - 3941 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1703 - - 1540 - - - - - 2488 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 183 - - 248 - - - - - 19 W* B/S - - - 2 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 19 - - - - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 206 - - 200 - - - - - 173 Direction Wind Shear - - - 10 - - 7 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -4 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 906 - - 1752 - - - - - -68 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1448 - - 2189 - - - - - 811 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 105 - - 362 - - - - - -938 ODpotential blCL - - - 2249 - - 3579 - - - - - 1681 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 92 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 2490 - - 2870 - - - - - 2330 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 75.2 - - 78.8 - - - - - 72.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.0 - - 71.3 - - - - - 71.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.0 - - 78.6 - - - - - 73.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.2 - - 70.1 - - - - - 71.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 39 - - 44 - - - - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1694 - - 3281 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 67 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97256 52 274 53 283 50 300 97256 89963 40 282 44 282 40 303 89963 84364 26 289 26 277 30 302 84364 79734 13 303 14 278 16 309 79734 75748 11 302 10 314 8 319 75748 72221 12 250 7 277 10 299 72221 69033 12 210 10 208 17 250 69033 66123 15 244 11 215 24 233 66123 63425 23 258 20 248 22 227 63425 60801 43 255 33 271 26 257 60801 58056 51 234 40 259 32 247 58056 55204 48 221 41 247 38 243 55204 52498 43 232 43 244 42 247 52498 50089 43 247 45 247 47 246 50089 47941 45 257 45 252 48 251 47941 45997 48 259 45 255 55 251 45997 44228 48 263 48 259 55 249 44228 42597 46 265 52 262 52 249 42597 41071 42 263 51 262 52 253 41071 39628 41 260 49 260 53 255 39628 38258 41 259 48 258 54 254 38258 36924 41 259 47 257 54 251 36924 35562 41 258 45 254 50 242 35562 34140 41 255 43 252 47 235 34140 32662 40 251 42 250 48 231 32662 31114 38 243 41 245 47 232 31114 29484 36 233 43 234 45 237 29484 27775 36 232 42 229 46 241 27775 25986 38 240 41 235 46 243 25986 24123 37 244 41 240 43 245 24123 22188 32 238 33 235 39 240 22188 20177 27 245 31 231 37 236 20177 18082 25 265 29 237 32 245 18082 15949 23 272 23 260 22 262 15949 13894 17 279 18 280 20 241 13894 12022 13 265 13 277 19 236 12022 10351 12 242 11 259 18 240 10351 8863 13 232 11 253 19 243 8863 7538 11 224 10 253 19 236 7538 6360 7 219 11 229 17 223 6360 5317 16 217 17 210 21 217 5317 4401 24 221 20*204 26 208 4401 3594 24 221 20*203 30 200 3594 2871 24*219 20 202 31 193 2871 2232 21*213 19 200 31 185 2232 1700 18 206 19 199 29 180 1700 1291 17 205 18 199 25 177 1291 1011 16 203 17 198 20 175 1011 840 15 203 16 197 17*174 840 743 12 202 13 197 11*173 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography