DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 32.9 - - 38.4 - - 42.6 - - 39.5 - - 39.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 76 - - 262 - - 180 - - -6 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1519 - - 2033 - - 2093 - - 80 - - 1732 BL Depth Hcrit 723 - - 1799 - - 1698 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 2179 - - 2693 - - 2753 - - 740 - - 2392 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 523 - - 320 - - 421 - - 2466 - - 1127 Hgt.Variab. W* 200 - - 328 - - 292 - - 12 - - 130 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 2 B/S BL Wind 20 - - 16 - - 16 - - 5 - - 13 BL Wind Direction 015 - - 020 - - 024 - - 038 - - 051 Direction Wind Shear 9 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 10 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -3 - - -4 - - 0 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1128 - - -1379 - - -2070 - - -3455 - - -1330 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3308 - - 4072 - - 4823 - - 4195 - - 3722 sfcLCL ODpotential -16347 - - -14466 - - -13927 - - -15795 - - -15337 ODpotential blCL 18526 - - 17159 - - 16680 - - 16535 - - 17729 blCL maxRH 88 - - 86 - - 82 - - 95 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 60 CAPE Temp@2m 32.9 - - 38.4 - - 42.6 - - 39.5 - - 39.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 21.5 - - 23.6 - - 24.6 - - 24.3 - - 26.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 32.5 - - 37.1 - - 41.7 - - 40.1 - - 39.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 20.4 - - 22.7 - - 24.2 - - 24.1 - - 26.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 76 - - 262 - - 180 - - -6 - - 19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1519 - - 2033 - - 2093 - - 80 - - 1732 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 51 - - 44 - - 29 - - 81 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96269 9 320 11 051 3 065 4 276 12 024 96269 89134 6 336 4 012 6 336 15 009 14 052 89134 83617 6 320 7 237 12 301 14 334 5 024 83617 79016 14 323 7 255 13 291 10 288 8 318 79016 75032 21 305 10 284 10 309 10 259 9 280 75032 71499 24 282 22 288 19 310 11 298 12 315 71499 68301 21 276 28 286 27 286 18 280 17 300 68301 65376 26 269 28 270 27 282 21 271 19 295 65376 62678 28 258 32 270 38 280 39 277 36 286 62678 60092 41 277 46 268 51 275 50 270 46 272 60092 57401 57 267 56 258 55 264 55 265 52 265 57401 54598 62 267 57 263 57 262 60 265 71 264 54598 51924 74 273 68 272 69 266 75 267 81 263 51924 49508 88 269 87 267 82 265 81 262 81 262 49508 47334 91 265 96 263 88 264 83 264 80 264 47334 45375 96 266 99 263 98 271 96 270 92 270 45375 43605 116 280 106 275 116 275 121 272 113 269 43605 41981 126 278 134 279 128 271 126 271 121 267 41981 40460 136 277 137 276 133 270 119 270 121 267 40460 39022 137 277 129 273 135 270 118 266 116 264 39022 37656 132 279 129 275 135 271 117 262 113 261 37656 36325 124 278 128 277 133 273 119 262 113 260 36325 34959 116 274 116 275 122 274 114 262 113 258 34959 33534 112 271 102 263 107 267 106 262 108 255 33534 32053 103 268 95 258 105 262 100 257 100 253 32053 30503 97 262 90 257 95 253 101 255 97 251 30503 28878 94 260 88 256 87 252 92 254 84 247 28878 27181 85 260 83 258 83 253 83 255 72 246 27181 25410 73 263 72 262 76 261 76 264 63 253 25410 23567 58 264 57 261 68 266 63 275 51 266 23567 21652 51 262 50 260 60 263 59 271 43 269 21652 19654 48 257 45 261 50 260 55 267 45 266 19654 17565 44 256 42 262 43 263 45 266 45 265 17565 15440 39 259 37 262 40 266 39 266 38 262 15440 13397 27 262 29 259 36 266 32 264 34 259 13397 11541 17 291 19 258 28 255 28 252 33 255 11541 9892 14 296 15 263 18 240 24 236 30 243 9892 8425 13 289 14 272 13 254 16 240 22 235 8425 7125 9 283 10 281 8 271 7 248 17 195 7125 5978 4 085 4 202 3 169 7 197 15 179 5978 4970 20 076 15 085 15 116 13 147 16 164 4970 4101 26 061 21 069 18 083 16 094 19 104 4101 3352 29 050 22*050 19*040 17 052 19 069 3352 2690 27*032 17*023 17*026 17 040 18*059 2690 2105 22*017 17 020 17 024 16 041 17*057 2105 1617 21 016 17 020 16 024 15 042 15 053 1617 1243 20 015 16 019 16 024 13 041 13 049 1243 985 18 014 16 019 15 024 11 040 11 047 985 829 17 014 15 019 14 024 9*040 10 045 829 740 13 013 13 018 12 024 5*038 8 044 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography