DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0953z - - 1001z - - 1556z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 90.2 - - 83.7 - - 83.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 224 - - 3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1720 - - 5028 - - 760 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1531 - - 3978 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2380 - - 5688 - - 1420 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2993 - - 2546 - - 3520 - - 3508 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 297 - - 425 - - 66 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 8 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 9 - - 12 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 186 - - 175 - - 129 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1669 - - -285 - - -1782 - - -3105 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4049 - - 5973 - - 3202 - - 3848 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3698 - - -1131 - - -3556 - - -4999 ODpotential blCL - - - 6078 - - 6819 - - 4976 - - 5742 blCL maxRH - - - 94 - - 89 - - 78 - - 85 maxRH CAPE - - - 1150 - - 1260 - - 2140 - - 1220 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 90.2 - - 83.7 - - 83.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.8 - - 66.4 - - 71.7 - - 68.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.9 - - 88.7 - - 83.9 - - 83.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.3 - - 66.0 - - 71.5 - - 68.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 219 - - 224 - - 3 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1720 - - 5028 - - 760 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 77 - - 54 - - 12 - - 39 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 17 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98113 4 191 8 191 11 297 8 355 98113 90784 13 103 11 185 10 252 8 335 90784 85123 15 107 8 122 3 139 4 087 85123 80408 2 078 6 073 9 065 10 095 80408 76350 4 156 1 348 10 038 14 087 76350 72776 8 123 6 185 5 004 10 059 72776 69562 8 081 9 109 1 074 7 061 69562 66631 8 083 9 072 7 072 6 068 66631 63924 9 083 7 085 8 039 7 055 63924 61309 13 025 10 029 13 006 15 025 61309 58605 16 344 17 352 17 347 17 359 58605 55820 21 341 23 339 23 341 22 347 55820 53167 39 330 44 326 39 324 33 337 53167 50780 56 319 52 313 49 314 59 317 50780 48636 64 325 57 322 53 316 60 315 48636 46680 80 322 72 323 69 323 66 322 46680 44869 87 321 85 319 85 322 80 324 44869 43174 81 319 85 317 87 319 87 322 43174 41580 75 319 80 316 82 318 80 322 41580 40082 70 317 75 317 80 316 76 321 40082 38670 67 316 72 316 77 316 76 318 38670 37302 65 316 67 311 64 319 74 321 37302 35908 63 318 57 313 40 321 53 327 35908 34464 46 324 44 322 25 318 35 346 34464 32975 26 313 30 312 23 323 26 002 32975 31421 29 305 29 306 20 326 26 010 31421 29782 31 303 30 320 20 336 22 006 29782 28058 26 314 25 329 19 342 18 002 28058 26252 25 326 22 333 16 344 15 357 26252 24366 24 340 23 334 17 346 13 350 24366 22404 20 340 20 329 20 345 14 343 22404 20363 17 338 17 325 22 342 18 343 20363 18235 13 325 16 320 21 332 19 349 18235 16065 9 293 12 298 11 321 13 336 16065 13980 7 262 8 260 9 293 11 321 13980 12093 7 267 8 260 9 293 11 337 12093 10418 9 251 10 282 9 298 7 328 10418 8929 7 232 8 246 7 305 4 298 8929 7602 6 223 6 187 4 262 6 160 7602 6423 8 207 8*169 7 205 12 160 6423 5377 13 188 9*168 12 182 16 166 5377 4453 14 182 9 169 13 174 18 165 4453 3635 14 182 9 171 13 153 20 163 3635 2903 14*186 9 175 14 139 20 161 2903 2256 13*187 9 178 14 134 21 158 2256 1716 12 187 9 182 14*132 20 156 1716 1301 11 185 9 184 14*130 18 155 1301 1016 10 186 9 185 13 129 14 153 1016 842 10 186 9 186 11 129 12 153 842 743 9 187 8 186 9 128 7*152 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography