DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 03/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 72.5 - - - - - 70.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 34 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 628 - - 1062 - - - - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 726 - - 726 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1288 - - 1722 - - - - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1704 - - 1902 - - - - - 2473 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 60 - - 154 - - - - - 20 W* B/S - - - 1 - - 1 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 21 - - - - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 172 - - - - - 182 Direction Wind Shear - - - 12 - - 11 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - -8 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 374 - - 369 - - - - - -83 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 914 - - 1353 - - - - - 826 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -241 - - -973 - - - - - -1056 ODpotential blCL - - - 1529 - - 2695 - - - - - 1799 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 97 - - - - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1560 - - 2240 - - - - - 2140 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 68.7 - - 72.5 - - - - - 70.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.7 - - 68.6 - - - - - 68.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 68.9 - - 72.3 - - - - - 70.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 67.7 - - - - - 68.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - -1 - - 34 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 628 - - 1062 - - - - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 102 - - 87 - - - - - 100 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 15 - - - - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96510 36 256 47 264 47 276 96510 89294 25 267 35 258 35 274 89294 83751 26 266 32 266 30 277 83751 79168 12 222 26 254 23 277 79168 75255 4 244 15 213 17 269 75255 71831 6 259 8 183 14 233 71831 68748 16 196 9 230 11 189 68748 65916 28 182 16 206 10 173 65916 63262 31 180 23 198 13 189 63262 60676 30 186 33 197 28 218 60676 57999 33 192 39 201 44 211 57999 55226 39 217 33 206 42 210 55226 52551 42 224 38 237 39 220 52551 50112 47 228 46 242 41 228 50112 47894 49 227 49 241 48 234 47894 45858 49 228 52 235 55 237 45858 43979 49 231 53 229 59 239 43979 42239 51 235 54 228 56 240 42239 40620 56 238 56 232 54 242 40620 39113 58 237 57 234 53 236 39113 37715 59 235 57 232 53 227 37715 36385 58 233 54 227 53 216 36385 35044 59 233 42 224 51 202 35044 33653 61 233 37 224 50 190 33653 32210 62 232 36 224 50 191 32210 30696 57 228 35 224 50 196 30696 29102 51 224 35 224 51 206 29102 27430 38 216 35 225 49 215 27430 25679 32 206 38 224 48 224 25679 23852 33 209 40 221 48 230 23852 21950 34 213 41 215 46 236 21950 19969 30 215 42 212 43 244 19969 17902 25 215 41 213 39 247 17902 15794 21 208 39 217 38 242 15794 13760 22 209 38 221 37 238 13760 11906 26 208 37 224 34 228 11906 10255 30 209 36 225 34 206 10255 8784 34 214 34 224 34 197 8784 7473 38 214 32 222 35 197 7473 6308 38 208 29 219 34 198 6308 5276 38 203 29 208 34 199 5276 4369 37 198 31 195 33 194 4369 3569 37 192 33 188 33 190 3569 2853 35 190 32 184 32 187 2853 2220 33 189 29*181 29 185 2220 1692 29*188 25*176 25 185 1692 1287 25*187 21 172 21 187 1287 1008 23 187 20 171 15 186 1008 839 20 187 18 170 13*185 839 743 14 187 15 169 8*182 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography