DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 08/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.8 - - 96.4 - - 94.8 - - 87.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 296 - - 8 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3124 - - 4748 - - 3517 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2758 - - 3901 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3784 - - 5408 - - 4177 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1128 - - 2101 - - 3312 - - 1072 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 442 - - 460 - - 156 - - 24 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 19 - - 21 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 191 - - 188 - - 176 Direction Wind Shear - - - 6 - - 4 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -8 - - -16 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2452 - - -2409 - - -3486 - - -4574 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6236 - - 7818 - - 7663 - - 5319 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6852 - - -5872 - - -7498 - - -8327 ODpotential blCL - - - 10636 - - 11280 - - 11675 - - 9071 blCL maxRH - - - 58 - - 48 - - 47 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 1040 - - 1020 - - 820 - - 1190 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.8 - - 96.4 - - 94.8 - - 87.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.9 - - 64.6 - - 63.7 - - 66.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.7 - - 94.6 - - 94.8 - - 89.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.4 - - 63.9 - - 63.2 - - 66.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 405 - - 296 - - 8 - - -42 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3124 - - 4748 - - 3517 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 12 - - 12 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99017 36 092 34 099 41 101 37 086 99017 91553 32 102 30 096 37 090 40 097 91553 85803 31 095 29 097 29 093 42 087 85803 81045 27 091 26 100 25 089 34 081 81045 76950 20 086 23 103 20 089 24 080 76950 73341 23 098 18 113 15 089 17 075 73341 70079 26 098 19 116 10 104 12 057 70079 67089 17 089 17 098 14 116 8 083 67089 64326 8 104 10 072 14 098 15 111 64326 61664 4 114 5 030 10 073 16 106 61664 58911 9 119 1 062 3 047 6 098 58911 56082 14 116 7 144 4 165 3 311 56082 53396 12 114 9 139 6 166 1 062 53396 50988 8 142 9 162 7 202 5 113 50988 48838 9 167 14 164 12 183 9 148 48838 46885 10 158 13 149 13 165 11 159 46885 45086 10 139 12 145 11 156 11 172 45086 43411 8 123 11 145 11 177 13 183 43411 41843 5 109 8 142 10 184 10 194 41843 40364 3 122 5 141 5 178 9 196 40364 38963 2 173 1 154 3 171 11 196 38963 37602 4 194 3 261 5 206 12 197 37602 36214 2 138 3 260 5 228 10 202 36214 34768 2 041 3 280 5 235 7 208 34768 33267 0 274 3 276 3 233 4 213 33267 31695 3 148 2 212 4 197 3 203 31695 30040 6 155 5 176 8 201 6 204 30040 28305 8 173 8 188 9 227 7 234 28305 26491 12 189 10 200 10 248 8 250 26491 24602 14 198 11 216 13 251 8 251 24602 22636 12 197 10 226 12 258 8 265 22636 20588 10 208 8 234 7 260 4 278 20588 18452 7 200 5 226 2 276 0 088 18452 16271 7 190 5 209 1 295 3 115 16271 14166 7 188 6 201 4 249 1 078 14166 12250 9 180 11 193 8 223 4 269 12250 10549 11 182 12 193 11 206 7 222 10549 9038 9 182 12 193 13 199 13 224 9038 7696 11 191 13 194 17 200 21 222 7696 6501 14 200 16 202 21 199 24 204 6501 5441 20 213 19*196 22 196 26 194 5441 4504 22*210 19*194 23*193 26 189 4504 3676 22*204 20 192 23*191 27 184 3676 2933 22 203 20 191 22 189 30 181 2933 2277 22 201 20 191 22 187 33 179 2277 1729 21 201 20 190 21 186 32 178 1729 1308 21 200 19 190 20 186 30 178 1308 1019 20 199 19 190 19 186 21 177 1019 844 19 199 18 190 17 185 18*177 844 744 16 199 15 190 14 185 10*176 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography