DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/03 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 77.8 - - 79.2 - - 81.5 - - 80.1 - - 76.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 40 - - 84 - - 147 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1126 - - 1309 - - 1791 - - 1581 - - 214 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 727 - - 1437 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 1786 - - 1969 - - 2451 - - 2241 - - 874 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1434 - - 1453 - - 1178 - - 1298 - - 1378 Hgt.Variab. W* 153 - - 203 - - 268 - - 101 - - 29 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 15 - - 18 - - 14 - - 8 BL Wind Direction 172 - - 177 - - 167 - - 161 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg 2 - - -4 - - -5 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 794 - - 824 - - 606 - - 777 - - 64 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 992 - - 1145 - - 1845 - - 1465 - - 810 sfcLCL ODpotential 362 - - 446 - - -63 - - 51 - - -1594 ODpotential blCL 1424 - - 1523 - - 2514 - - 2190 - - 2468 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 100 - - 96 - - 94 maxRH CAPE 1530 - - 1890 - - 1870 - - 1840 - - 1250 CAPE Temp@2m 77.8 - - 79.2 - - 81.5 - - 80.1 - - 76.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 75.2 - - 75.9 - - 75.3 - - 75.4 - - 74.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 77.6 - - 78.7 - - 80.5 - - 80.2 - - 76.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 74.9 - - 75.4 - - 74.7 - - 75.0 - - 74.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 40 - - 84 - - 147 - - 3 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1126 - - 1309 - - 1791 - - 1581 - - 214 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 101 - - 99 - - 99 - - 85 - - 74 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 19 - - 19 - - 18 - - 19 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98925 21 108 26 100 18 106 19 116 16 090 98925 91467 26 103 22 121 9 129 14 084 22 069 91467 85727 28 084 23 116 21 134 11 092 23 058 85727 80976 22 067 21 087 27 106 21 115 15 107 80976 76875 11 079 18 083 22 090 23 103 18 126 76875 73244 9 118 13 086 16 093 15 076 16 108 73244 69970 6 098 10 059 14 085 10 069 16 078 69970 66979 5 077 7 083 10 067 11 078 17 064 66979 64249 5 100 13 109 9 088 15 104 18 080 64249 61655 5 109 12 115 9 094 13 120 14 095 61655 58970 9 098 13 135 8 128 5 125 9 101 58970 56194 15 084 17 125 14 140 5 139 4 091 56194 53554 13 079 13 113 13 122 8 129 3 102 53554 51174 10 088 10 107 10 102 10 094 8 090 51174 49029 12 099 14 106 13 098 12 083 11 085 49029 47067 14 102 16 102 13 095 12 085 11 084 47067 45249 14 088 15 097 14 102 14 087 14 079 45249 43549 13 073 16 092 16 098 15 079 16 071 43549 41951 13 067 15 080 14 085 15 068 17 071 41951 40442 11 072 14 067 14 071 17 066 18 066 40442 39016 12 081 16 069 16 071 20 066 18 059 39016 37636 16 089 18 088 18 077 21 065 17 057 37636 36229 20 089 12 104 13 086 16 064 16 052 36229 34764 9 077 11 114 6 102 5 045 13 018 34764 33246 8 050 9 127 2 118 3 021 14 356 33246 31657 8 039 5 121 1 145 5 001 13 016 31657 29986 12 024 2 040 2 086 6 346 11 060 29986 28240 13 036 5 027 5 115 16 063 20 074 28240 26418 12 053 9 038 4 082 17 078 16 084 26418 24516 11 078 11 041 5 071 11 087 12 091 24516 22536 11 046 10 034 9 093 7 088 9 066 22536 20480 13 068 2 357 7 076 8 001 9 036 20480 18341 11 081 1 236 6 360 8 342 10 030 18341 16156 10 065 0 291 7 316 10 352 9 037 16156 14051 17 036 6 007 10 322 13 345 13 350 14051 12146 20 009 14 357 12 338 17 347 16 338 12146 10456 16 342 15 343 13 341 14 330 14 320 10456 8953 16 313 14 329 12 335 8 339 8 301 8953 7613 18 300 17 317 9 322 3 343 6 273 7613 6419 15 293 15 301 6 308 1 118 8 242 6419 5362 16 262 11 262 4 258 5 162 19 211 5362 4434 18 229 12 231 6 203 13 187 25 195 4434 3617 19 203 14 207 12 187 18 182 25 177 3617 2888 19 190 16 191 18*174 18 171 25 162 2888 2243 19*187 17*185 18*170 17*167 23 156 2243 1707 17*175 16*180 18 168 16*162 20 151 1707 1295 16 172 16 178 18 167 15 161 16 147 1295 1013 15 171 15 176 17 166 14 160 12*145 1013 842 14 170 14 175 16 166 12 159 10*144 842 743 11 169 12 175 13 165 10 159 7 143 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography