DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 84.7 - - 80.0 - - 78.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 8 - - -9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4555 - - 1911 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3697 - - 727 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5215 - - 2571 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2115 - - 3996 - - 2236 - - 1916 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 435 - - 157 - - 27 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 18 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 187 - - 197 - - 180 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 9 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 419 - - -261 - - -560 - - -18 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4796 - - 2832 - - 1303 - - 762 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -139 - - -1754 - - -2452 - - -1160 ODpotential blCL - - - 5354 - - 4325 - - 3195 - - 1903 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 92 - - 93 - - 94 maxRH CAPE - - - 490 - - 1870 - - 2110 - - 2100 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 87.3 - - 84.7 - - 80.0 - - 78.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.4 - - 74.1 - - 75.9 - - 76.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.9 - - 84.9 - - 80.7 - - 78.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 68.1 - - 73.2 - - 75.6 - - 76.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 266 - - 8 - - -9 - - -4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4555 - - 1911 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 80 - - 70 - - 71 - - 77 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 17 - - 20 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98050 6 216 14 227 19 262 13 292 98050 90732 4 300 7 197 4 249 3 130 90732 85097 2 298 1 080 5 101 9 104 85097 80417 5 161 2 002 8 081 11 089 80417 76388 10 136 3 180 7 026 13 062 76388 72840 16 125 9 150 3 300 11 022 72840 69642 12 127 11 122 6 180 8 355 69642 66725 8 135 9 112 9 140 3 354 66725 64040 5 087 7 107 11 115 5 157 64040 61445 4 079 4 104 6 070 7 146 61445 58767 7 081 5 113 6 145 7 179 58767 56034 1 282 1 185 7 183 13 195 56034 53444 13 268 15 265 14 245 14 220 53444 51097 21 274 20 273 15 266 15 239 51097 48968 25 298 19 290 23 290 19 285 48968 47007 29 303 27 298 34 291 27 286 47007 45184 30 294 31 294 36 285 31 282 45184 43478 29 293 29 282 33 275 33 276 43478 41878 26 292 27 276 31 267 33 266 41878 40370 20 287 26 273 27 262 28 255 40370 38945 25 271 19 265 25 249 26 249 38945 37561 38 263 26 260 27 236 27 244 37561 36148 38 255 36 250 30 232 28 239 36148 34679 33 248 35 240 32 234 30 236 34679 33156 30 235 31 234 31 236 33 230 33156 31566 25 232 28 226 29 236 34 227 31566 29894 20 235 28 223 28 233 33 226 29894 28143 21 239 28 228 28 230 31 223 28143 26313 27 233 28 232 26 232 31 222 26313 24409 27 211 31 221 26 233 32 223 24409 22437 28 199 35 210 27 233 32 225 22437 20389 29 203 33 210 28 236 30 228 20389 18261 30 208 28 215 28 239 28 230 18261 16091 28 212 28 217 25 235 24 221 16091 14001 25 210 26 217 22 230 24 214 14001 12101 25 212 22 211 20 218 24 210 12101 10413 22 215 21 205 21 208 23 205 10413 8916 25 210 24 194 23 200 24 202 8916 7586 29 201 29 189 24 194 26 200 7586 6406 27 193 28 184 26 187 26 198 6406 5360 27*189 27 185 26 186 26 194 5360 4438 26*188 25 187 26 185 26 187 4438 3623 26 187 24 189 25 185 27 181 3623 2894 25 187 22*192 24 184 26 179 2894 2249 25 187 21*194 21 184 22 180 2249 1711 24 187 20 196 18 185 18 178 1711 1298 24 187 19 198 13 182 14 175 1298 1014 23 187 17 198 11 181 11 171 1014 842 21 187 15 199 10 181 9 170 842 743 18 187 12 199 7*180 6*169 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography