DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 12/31 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 65.4 - - 53.6 - - 47.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 143 - - -17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1205 - - 2975 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1183 - - 2207 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1865 - - 3635 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 679 - - 1054 - - 205 - - 73 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 268 - - 304 - - 6 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 9 - - 6 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 274 - - 255 - - 186 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -6184 - - -5705 - - -3884 - - -2031 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8049 - - 9341 - - 4625 - - 2772 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -15460 - - -14192 - - -14500 - - -14689 ODpotential blCL - - - 17325 - - 17827 - - 15241 - - 15430 blCL maxRH - - - 36 - - 34 - - 39 - - 42 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 59.7 - - 65.4 - - 53.6 - - 47.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 27.6 - - 27.4 - - 36.6 - - 38.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 58.3 - - 64.3 - - 58.1 - - 53.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 27.3 - - 26.9 - - 36.6 - - 38.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 242 - - 143 - - -17 - - -9 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1205 - - 2975 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 3 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95137 39 281 60 259 62 259 75 268 95137 88093 57 276 60 274 60 274 59 279 88093 82727 51 275 54 286 51 288 50 289 82727 78287 51 291 51 296 46 298 49 299 78287 74476 54 297 53 301 46 304 43 304 74476 71117 50 300 48 301 47 307 39 312 71117 68066 49 306 45 306 47 308 40 319 68066 65249 49 307 45 310 45 310 41 316 65249 62627 49 302 46 306 46 307 41 309 62627 60083 50 304 46 306 50 303 47 304 60083 57432 54 306 47 312 51 307 49 305 57432 54679 57 304 57 306 56 304 53 311 54679 52050 60 304 60 302 57 301 61 309 52050 49687 65 309 63 304 62 309 74 307 49687 47585 73 310 72 305 80 310 81 304 47585 45696 88 308 75 312 95 314 88 312 45696 43965 91 310 94 318 107 316 98 319 43965 42349 88 314 107 318 113 318 107 319 42349 40823 81 317 103 317 113 319 107 318 40823 39377 74 322 95 317 108 317 104 318 39377 38004 72 325 84 316 106 322 95 316 38004 36670 69 322 75 321 103 325 87 315 36670 35305 63 317 65 324 100 324 87 321 35305 33882 52 312 53 324 86 323 85 324 33882 32406 42 312 45 326 66 318 85 322 32406 30862 35 314 45 325 49 317 85 325 30862 29240 35 320 44 324 43 320 70 323 29240 27545 39 331 42 325 41 317 45 320 27545 25774 39 339 41 330 37 318 32 313 25774 23922 34 331 35 339 34 331 30 310 23922 21991 35 325 29 331 27 335 25 315 21991 19974 37 325 33 323 26 323 23 310 19974 17866 39 322 33 322 29 319 26 313 17866 15716 38 317 33 320 30 315 29 310 15716 13646 35 314 31 314 28 314 30 306 13646 11765 30 318 26 312 26 311 26 308 11765 10096 21 314 22 307 21 308 24 306 10096 8620 15 307 17 301 17 303 20 304 8620 7314 15 288 14 288 13 287 16 299 7314 6163 13 273 15 274 10 287 9 278 6163 5151 11 265 16 264 13 282 12 263 5151 4265 12 249 14*262 13 263 14 256 4265 3485 10 253 10*259 12 253 13 252 3485 2789 10 277 10 257 12 247 13 244 2789 2174 10*279 9 256 11 236 16 233 2174 1661 9*275 9 254 11 221 17 226 1661 1267 9 274 9 251 11 207 17 220 1267 997 9 274 8 251 11 195 16 215 997 834 8 273 8 250 8 189 11*201 834 741 7 273 7 250 6*186 4*191 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography