DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 06/20 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 82.9 - - 84.1 - - 78.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 135 - - 1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 2263 - - 2704 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 727 - - 1751 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 1707 - - 2923 - - 3364 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1558 - - 2172 - - 3066 - - 2676 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 172 - - 286 - - 123 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 6 - - 11 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 171 - - 140 - - 173 - - 148 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 6 - - -4 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 597 - - 668 - - 725 - - -167 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 1110 - - 2255 - - 2640 - - 910 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 325 - - 87 - - -167 - - -1447 ODpotential blCL - - - 1382 - - 2836 - - 3531 - - 2190 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 94 - - 96 - - 87 maxRH CAPE - - - 2030 - - 2490 - - 2640 - - 2670 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 78.0 - - 82.9 - - 84.1 - - 78.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 75.0 - - 74.8 - - 74.5 - - 76.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 77.4 - - 81.8 - - 84.3 - - 79.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.5 - - 74.0 - - 73.7 - - 75.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 66 - - 135 - - 1 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1047 - - 2263 - - 2704 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 77 - - 82 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 19 - - 18 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98494 30 084 30 103 32 096 24 083 98494 91019 18 092 21 105 25 092 30 076 91019 85299 22 112 20 095 21 104 22 080 85299 80576 24 093 20 091 18 100 14 095 80576 76508 17 090 22 100 16 084 17 087 76508 72918 11 084 19 071 16 084 19 075 72918 69686 3 072 12 044 16 060 17 078 69686 66730 2 115 5 013 16 018 16 031 66730 64005 9 100 2 265 10 348 10 341 64005 61377 10 063 7 331 10 344 7 353 61377 58663 3 006 7 320 15 321 17 348 58663 55893 9 349 5 330 10 291 18 318 55893 53259 26 333 18 335 12 339 12 337 53259 50882 33 320 33 329 31 335 31 331 50882 48757 29 313 35 313 40 318 32 318 48757 46818 21 315 25 297 32 310 22 306 46818 45012 19 330 17 300 25 312 22 302 45012 43321 23 323 23 314 24 315 29 306 43321 41733 26 306 28 311 28 308 32 305 41733 40237 28 301 31 301 31 298 31 301 40237 38821 27 302 29 300 32 292 28 303 38821 37446 23 302 27 301 30 294 30 313 37446 36047 19 303 25 299 24 295 33 324 36047 34596 16 303 22 287 22 292 35 331 34596 33093 16 300 20 275 22 307 34 332 33093 31521 18 262 20 263 23 318 34 333 31521 29871 19 261 20 266 22 318 31 335 29871 28144 18 285 20 302 19 327 26 335 28144 26333 14 317 23 314 21 342 24 343 26333 24443 12 348 15 324 21 339 21 357 24443 22483 12 359 12 358 10 352 13 359 22483 20447 12 022 11 037 7 035 6 022 20447 18324 16 060 13 078 10 075 7 060 18324 16155 20 079 13 091 17 093 8 122 16155 14056 13 087 10 087 11 100 7 144 14056 12142 2 141 6 092 4 120 5 152 12142 10442 2 177 5 160 7 210 4 176 10442 8938 3 151 8 214 6 206 7 199 8938 7604 4 161 8 227 6 183 9 194 7604 6418 6 192 7 230 7 192 10 193 6418 5368 10 213 7 223 7 200 11 192 5368 4443 11 219 7 214 7 198 11 184 4443 3627 10 211 6*206 7*193 12 174 3627 2898 9 193 5*179 7*182 13 171 2898 2253 7*182 5 144 7 175 14 169 2253 1714 7*176 5 134 6 172 14 168 1714 1300 6 172 5 129 6 169 13 164 1300 1015 6 171 5 127 6 168 11 157 1015 842 5 171 5 125 5 168 9 153 842 743 5 170 4 125 5 167 5*148 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography