DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 09/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.6 - - 95.1 - - 92.7 - - 86.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 241 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4615 - - 6631 - - 1784 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3865 - - 5254 - - 728 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5275 - - 7291 - - 2444 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2713 - - 2472 - - 6602 - - 707 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 481 - - 478 - - 71 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 9 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 9 - - 7 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 169 - - 159 - - 188 - - 144 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 7 - - 8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1266 - - -69 - - -4348 - - -4230 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6541 - - 7361 - - 6793 - - 4975 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2682 - - -612 - - -5518 - - -7094 ODpotential blCL - - - 7957 - - 7903 - - 7962 - - 7838 blCL maxRH - - - 64 - - 77 - - 82 - - 63 maxRH CAPE - - - 1170 - - 1160 - - 1100 - - 880 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.6 - - 95.1 - - 92.7 - - 86.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.5 - - 65.4 - - 65.6 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.4 - - 93.4 - - 93.0 - - 87.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.1 - - 64.9 - - 65.2 - - 66.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 356 - - 241 - - -1 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4615 - - 6631 - - 1784 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 7 - - 30 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98824 21 111 22 100 21 076 19 070 98824 91417 29 097 29 101 22 095 28 086 91417 85724 27 082 29 095 21 094 28 087 85724 81025 22 087 23 091 22 085 26 069 81025 76962 24 101 18 087 20 088 26 073 76962 73358 25 095 20 094 17 091 24 085 73358 70094 23 093 18 091 17 070 21 092 70094 67097 20 097 14 102 11 051 18 075 67097 64321 20 101 12 114 4 084 7 056 64321 61648 17 094 16 120 7 126 2 243 61648 58891 13 082 18 114 14 119 9 151 58891 56069 5 060 12 075 16 093 20 108 56069 53416 10 190 4 354 10 057 17 088 53416 51039 33 157 22 176 11 179 8 115 51039 48903 40 147 34 164 24 167 17 175 48903 46962 38 144 39 156 35 161 29 172 46962 45172 33 148 36 157 36 157 33 164 45172 43499 32 155 35 162 33 161 33 161 43499 41925 35 163 38 165 34 167 34 167 41925 40439 38 166 44 165 40 169 39 173 40439 39033 41 166 48 166 46 169 45 174 39033 37668 42 164 47 166 48 171 47 175 37668 36276 42 160 42 168 43 171 45 175 36276 34828 40 156 40 170 39 170 42 176 34828 33327 36 159 37 168 37 174 40 180 33327 31757 34 165 32 175 33 179 36 184 31757 30105 32 170 32 184 29 185 31 183 30105 28375 28 176 30 186 27 192 24 185 28375 26563 22 185 26 185 25 196 17 195 26563 24671 19 190 21 180 22 194 15 201 24671 22698 21 191 19 184 21 190 18 193 22698 20639 20 190 16 201 17 199 14 194 20639 18490 14 189 11 210 9 219 6 187 18490 16296 7 185 6 205 4 214 1 093 16296 14178 4 174 3 200 3 112 4 046 14178 12252 5 138 3 175 5 093 5 053 12252 10546 5 130 4 155 5 096 7 114 10546 9034 3 132 7 148 8 136 15 132 9034 7689 6 141 9*150 10 140 15 136 7689 6492 9 148 10*151 11 141 11 140 6492 5431 10*162 10 152 10 141 9 150 5431 4495 10*165 10 155 9 146 10 158 4495 3667 10 167 9 158 8 154 12 160 3667 2927 10 168 9 162 8*166 14 159 2927 2272 10 169 9 164 7*179 17 158 2272 1726 10 171 9 166 7 187 18 158 1726 1306 10 172 9 168 7 190 16 158 1306 1018 10 173 8 169 7 191 12 157 1018 843 10 173 8 170 6 193 9*154 843 744 9 173 8 169 6 195 4*144 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography