DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 05/25 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 81.2 - - 78.2 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 82 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3147 - - 4067 - - 1803 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2437 - - 2798 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3807 - - 4727 - - 2463 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2321 - - 2462 - - 2945 - - 2960 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 331 - - 307 - - 107 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 10 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 6 - - 5 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 097 - - 105 - - 128 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -6 - - 6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 822 - - 1202 - - 292 - - -488 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2985 - - 3525 - - 2171 - - 1231 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -313 - - 23 - - -804 - - -2537 ODpotential blCL - - - 4120 - - 4704 - - 3267 - - 3280 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 98 - - 90 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 1990 - - 2180 - - 2780 - - 2720 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 79.3 - - 81.2 - - 78.2 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.4 - - 68.0 - - 70.7 - - 70.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.4 - - 80.7 - - 78.4 - - 76.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.0 - - 66.6 - - 69.8 - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 144 - - 82 - - 0 - - -1 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3147 - - 4067 - - 1803 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 48 - - 91 - - 61 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98423 14 102 14 167 3 134 3 039 98423 90944 9 131 4 099 4 133 8 045 90944 85172 5 108 10 080 9 075 14 089 85172 80406 8 083 12 084 13 066 16 088 80406 76318 11 078 13 075 14 081 13 072 76318 72722 8 091 9 071 13 064 13 062 72722 69482 9 099 7 090 10 074 9 058 69482 66514 11 116 5 144 9 081 9 089 66514 63755 15 111 9 162 3 183 7 073 63755 61082 7 126 6 174 6 191 3 161 61082 58296 5 237 8 227 7 220 5 192 58296 55401 11 245 10 225 12 221 12 217 55401 52644 16 242 12 227 17 224 16 224 52644 50169 21 232 15 239 20 227 17 229 50169 47960 23 223 18 241 20 228 16 234 47960 45963 21 213 21 229 17 225 14 240 45963 44139 21 196 18 210 16 224 13 243 44139 42457 22 171 16 202 14 220 15 248 42457 40894 12 160 17 180 11 213 13 255 40894 39431 6 195 8 131 14 202 13 256 39431 38051 12 169 3 147 5 164 10 230 38051 36714 9 148 6 122 3 294 6 266 36714 35353 8 131 5 091 3 311 5 298 35353 33939 10 109 7 085 6 342 10 296 33939 32475 8 094 7 072 6 335 13 296 32475 30943 8 074 7 069 7 330 14 311 30943 29331 9 070 7 063 7 314 13 336 29331 27639 7 092 6 055 6 291 12 352 27639 25865 11 126 4 043 3 348 9 020 25865 24015 12 137 2 242 8 077 8 049 24015 22094 11 138 7 195 10 075 9 073 22094 20092 9 137 8 183 5 029 5 075 20092 18005 6 103 7 155 2 277 9 354 18005 15874 3 130 5 136 8 167 6 282 15874 13818 7 196 7 186 7 197 8 218 13818 11951 8 194 8 177 5 199 6 217 11951 10296 7 187 7 174 3 164 4 176 10296 8824 6 169 6 190 3 151 4 163 8824 7513 7 127 6 155 3 127 2 111 7513 6348 8 111 7 123 4 109 7 098 6348 5314 8 107 7*110 5 120 12 107 5314 4404 7*106 6*107 5 124 12 113 4404 3598 6*101 6 105 6 126 11 120 3598 2876 5 097 6 104 6*126 9 128 2876 2238 4 097 6 104 5*126 7 136 2238 1704 4 096 6 104 5 127 6 141 1704 1294 4 095 5 104 5 128 5 144 1294 1012 3 094 5 106 5 130 4 145 1012 841 3 095 5 104 5 130 3*152 841 743 3 095 5 106 4 130 2*159 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography