DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 11/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.6 - - 73.2 - - 75.8 - - 71.0 - - 68.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 33 - - 149 - - 109 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 372 - - 1823 - - 3201 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1427 - - 2203 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1032 - - 2483 - - 3861 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 636 - - 2249 - - 1034 - - 2604 - - 838 Hgt.Variab. W* 96 - - 264 - - 286 - - 9 - - 0 W* B/S 4 - - 14 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 5 - - 3 - - 5 - - 5 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 062 - - 094 - - 148 - - 119 - - 099 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -773 - - -368 - - 283 - - -1209 - - 0 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1805 - - 2851 - - 3578 - - 1952 - - 742 sfcLCL ODpotential -2330 - - -1291 - - 23 - - -2969 - - -3028 ODpotential blCL 3362 - - 3774 - - 3838 - - 3712 - - 3770 blCL maxRH 97 - - 99 - - 98 - - 81 - - 93 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.6 - - 73.2 - - 75.8 - - 71.0 - - 68.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.3 - - 63.2 - - 62.6 - - 64.9 - - 67.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 72.2 - - 74.9 - - 72.2 - - 68.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.9 - - 62.9 - - 62.4 - - 64.8 - - 67.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 33 - - 149 - - 109 - - -9 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 372 - - 1823 - - 3201 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 89 - - 96 - - 93 - - 25 - - 72 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97123 71 259 75 265 65 264 73 268 73 267 97123 89892 45 263 47 268 40 262 44 269 41 266 89892 84336 20 284 29 268 33 272 31 281 27 297 84336 79756 16 317 10 280 20 280 21 307 19 310 79756 75823 16 330 6 014 10 315 13 306 11 328 75823 72344 14 338 7 008 9 005 8 325 11 336 72344 69180 17 328 8 345 8 000 12 360 10 340 69180 66261 13 307 8 323 8 311 13 348 8 353 66261 63542 13 279 7 298 12 279 17 287 10 318 63542 60898 13 277 17 287 18 286 19 286 14 316 60898 58165 22 299 25 282 27 293 28 289 26 283 58165 55392 32 291 27 293 36 297 30 301 28 275 55392 52780 43 309 52 309 49 303 46 304 29 285 52780 50440 64 300 55 309 59 306 56 304 62 293 50440 48357 58 304 67 308 68 304 59 299 71 289 48357 46456 60 310 78 305 64 303 57 296 63 287 46456 44693 66 304 75 302 62 299 55 293 55 290 44693 43050 65 300 67 298 64 295 54 291 46 287 43050 41509 60 301 62 297 65 292 54 290 39 278 41509 40055 57 305 55 302 61 293 54 289 35 282 40055 38675 54 309 54 301 56 296 50 290 29 282 38675 37332 53 312 52 297 48 297 42 294 25 284 37332 35958 49 309 46 297 38 299 35 293 25 286 35958 34526 42 302 41 299 35 296 31 291 28 288 34526 33037 37 310 32 298 36 297 31 294 31 290 33037 31478 33 323 23 291 39 300 33 298 34 293 31478 29836 31 313 21 292 40 302 35 299 36 295 29836 28112 37 299 23 287 40 304 37 300 36 297 28112 26305 40 298 28 281 38 305 36 302 37 299 26305 24414 35 298 30 284 36 305 33 299 37 299 24414 22442 33 299 31 289 34 304 33 295 37 295 22442 20382 32 307 31 297 30 304 31 300 34 287 20382 18233 27 307 24 306 24 310 23 313 25 300 18233 16044 25 305 17 293 17 315 15 310 12 318 16044 13937 17 297 18 274 16 296 13 302 6 258 13937 12029 15 282 20 268 17 279 13 283 9 252 12029 10340 13 277 20 266 17 273 13 271 11 249 10340 8840 9 278 15 264 14 267 11 260 11 225 8840 7508 7 269 7 265 10 248 7 232 13 213 7508 6330 7 270 4 277 9 229 9 212 13 214 6330 5291 13 298 5 309 7 226 9 211 12 216 5291 4378 11 306 6 330 4*196 7 203 12 212 4378 3573 5 317 3 352 4*162 7 179 11 198 3573 2853 2 004 2*082 5 151 8 158 10 155 2853 2219 4 067 3*089 5 148 9 148 14 129 2219 1690 6 070 3 093 5 145 8 138 16 120 1690 1286 6*067 3 095 5 143 8 129 15 111 1286 1007 5*063 4 096 5 142 8 124 12 104 1007 839 5 062 3 098 5 142 7*121 9 102 839 742 4 062 3 098 5 141 5*119 5*099 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography