DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 11/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 61.8 - - 70.4 - - 73.3 - - 67.7 - - 61.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 91 - - 279 - - 169 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 473 - - 3087 - - 4069 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 2599 - - 3098 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1133 - - 3747 - - 4729 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1773 - - 1069 - - 1066 - - 3785 - - 162 Hgt.Variab. W* 142 - - 386 - - 358 - - 9 - - 5 W* B/S 4 - - 12 - - 13 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 335 - - 327 - - 303 - - 112 - - 117 Direction Wind Shear 1 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2341 - - -2738 - - -2482 - - -3929 - - -2439 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3474 - - 6485 - - 7211 - - 4671 - - 3181 sfcLCL ODpotential -12764 - - -11694 - - -10573 - - -12856 - - -12807 ODpotential blCL 13897 - - 15441 - - 15302 - - 13598 - - 13549 blCL maxRH 68 - - 73 - - 67 - - 65 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 61.8 - - 70.4 - - 73.3 - - 67.7 - - 61.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 49.2 - - 44.7 - - 44.3 - - 49.9 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 61.1 - - 68.8 - - 72.1 - - 69.8 - - 64.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 49.1 - - 44.5 - - 44.1 - - 49.8 - - 49.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 91 - - 279 - - 169 - - -6 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 473 - - 3087 - - 4069 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 8 - - 6 - - 6 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96953 64 261 71 266 65 268 68 265 79 267 96953 89665 48 272 51 269 50 272 53 270 57 272 89665 84073 35 273 35 270 37 269 39 281 34 287 84073 79484 24 265 24 273 31 271 30 283 26 304 79484 75566 13 280 18 273 23 287 22 286 23 311 75566 72094 7 304 10 273 15 295 18 287 19 310 72094 68933 9 326 7 258 11 298 13 289 15 293 68933 66010 11 284 4 272 9 266 5 303 8 259 66010 63279 16 252 9 303 9 281 5 313 3 213 63279 60612 15 266 18 262 21 270 16 283 10 278 60612 57855 19 278 22 241 27 252 28 271 26 278 57855 55060 34 285 29 274 32 269 36 271 39 272 55060 52433 49 272 47 275 51 271 50 268 55 267 52433 50075 59 278 58 278 55 275 47 271 53 268 50075 47948 62 283 67 284 68 286 65 287 67 279 47948 46012 67 295 88 288 92 284 94 284 92 279 46012 44234 95 293 92 283 92 278 96 275 98 268 44234 42581 95 289 94 282 94 278 96 273 98 264 42581 41028 95 289 94 279 97 276 97 272 97 263 41028 39562 94 290 91 280 94 275 94 271 92 264 39562 38174 91 291 87 282 86 274 90 270 89 264 38174 36827 88 292 82 284 80 274 86 271 88 266 36827 35455 86 290 77 285 76 278 80 272 86 266 35455 34031 83 287 75 284 75 278 73 271 82 266 34031 32557 80 287 74 280 73 275 72 271 78 266 32557 31017 80 287 71 275 72 272 72 270 74 264 31017 29396 71 290 66 273 68 271 68 270 69 264 29396 27697 57 290 58 276 59 270 57 270 61 265 27697 25922 54 285 53 278 53 270 48 268 52 265 25922 24069 57 280 51 277 50 268 45 266 46 261 24069 22135 56 286 50 276 46 265 44 264 44 259 22135 20114 49 289 44 273 44 263 45 263 42 264 20114 18005 44 292 35 274 40 267 42 267 38 267 18005 15854 35 305 30 290 30 270 33 273 32 263 15854 13781 29 300 24 301 22 278 26 275 26 250 13781 11892 24 301 23 297 19 283 24 272 25 243 11892 10209 17 305 21 293 19 293 20 271 21 249 10209 8717 16 324 14 303 14 296 17 276 15 262 8717 7404 17 325 12 336 7 330 8 261 10 240 7404 6247 16 328 14 342 8 340 0 086 9 176 6247 5224 14 337 13 333 6*303 1 161 7 172 5224 4325 14 346 8*329 5*298 3 179 6 200 4325 3533 14 348 6*324 5 299 4 160 5 194 3533 2826 13 346 6 326 5 302 4 146 7 169 2826 2200 12 346 6 327 5 303 5 134 8 160 2200 1679 10 344 6 328 5 306 5 124 8 157 1679 1279 8*339 5 328 5 307 5 119 9 155 1279 1004 6*335 5 330 5 309 5 116 8 149 1004 837 6 334 5 330 4 309 5 116 5*130 837 742 5 335 5 330 4 309 4*112 3*117 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography