DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 10/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0655z - - 0703z - - 1003z - - 1556z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.9 - - 78.0 - - 78.7 - - 73.4 - - 67.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 71 - - 254 - - 175 - - -2 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 384 - - 3905 - - 3865 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 3183 - - 2971 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1044 - - 4565 - - 4525 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 610 - - 1088 - - 1258 - - 4787 - - 206 Hgt.Variab. W* 123 - - 407 - - 357 - - 4 - - 10 W* B/S 4 - - 7 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 10 - - 11 - - 2 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 195 - - 168 - - 169 - - 152 - - 118 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -3147 - - -2413 - - -2106 - - -4448 - - -2793 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4191 - - 6978 - - 6631 - - 5190 - - 3535 sfcLCL ODpotential -9137 - - -10923 - - -5870 - - -9063 - - -8297 ODpotential blCL 10181 - - 15488 - - 10395 - - 9805 - - 9039 blCL maxRH 67 - - 57 - - 67 - - 64 - - 82 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.9 - - 78.0 - - 78.7 - - 73.4 - - 67.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.5 - - 50.3 - - 52.5 - - 53.7 - - 55.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 76.3 - - 77.4 - - 76.4 - - 70.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.5 - - 49.7 - - 52.2 - - 53.5 - - 55.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 71 - - 254 - - 175 - - -2 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 384 - - 3905 - - 3865 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 26 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 9 - - 9 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97599 28 254 28 262 34 262 23 270 32 281 97599 90229 16 264 15 252 21 245 16 261 16 276 90229 84594 14 265 10 277 12 249 12 252 9 288 84594 79924 10 243 7 237 7 245 11 270 6 283 79924 75926 8 228 9 230 5 218 5 286 5 228 75926 72420 9 244 9 253 3 252 3 035 1 219 72420 69249 5 248 8 213 6 207 3 242 3 327 69249 66328 5 287 4 206 7 213 6 236 1 278 66328 63633 3 203 5 199 8 216 6 227 4 170 63633 61053 5 176 8 180 8 199 9 200 8 197 61053 58384 9 238 11 246 10 203 11 217 14 229 58384 55623 14 248 15 239 12 216 18 217 23 219 55623 53001 17 248 17 250 14 237 19 224 25 227 53001 50646 24 253 23 244 19 248 22 245 27 239 50646 48523 28 257 31 260 27 258 30 247 26 234 48523 46575 35 261 39 263 30 256 27 245 28 236 46575 44770 40 261 41 262 35 259 30 246 33 248 44770 43082 36 258 43 261 46 258 41 252 46 258 43082 41496 30 250 39 253 51 257 48 255 54 256 41496 40005 21 233 27 231 39 248 50 253 52 254 40005 38607 14 227 16 232 25 228 42 249 45 252 38607 37258 13 253 14 233 22 217 30 232 34 248 37258 35883 15 239 11 213 21 210 29 213 25 244 35883 34452 17 230 17 212 23 213 27 215 23 229 34452 32965 18 233 24 223 26 214 25 212 24 218 32965 31407 19 227 25 224 26 217 24 209 25 212 31407 29769 24 220 26 226 26 217 23 211 25 208 29769 28049 21 209 23 216 26 214 24 210 24 203 28049 26244 21 192 24 203 25 213 22 211 23 200 26244 24354 17 173 21 195 21 211 17 204 19 196 24354 22382 13 177 20 204 16 208 15 194 17 179 22382 20323 12 201 15 207 14 199 15 199 15 184 20323 18173 14 169 17 177 18 195 17 211 12 209 18173 15981 14 183 17 194 14 202 12 197 10 206 15981 13878 8 176 13 183 11 175 13 172 11 187 13878 11981 7 150 13 152 13 161 13 161 11 169 11981 10306 9 160 16 157 14 161 13 160 12 155 10306 8822 10 160 15 151 14 158 11 153 14 143 8822 7499 9 161 14 149 13 164 10 171 14 146 7499 6328 13 174 14 168 14 176 16 168 14 166 6328 5295 18 175 13*170 12*168 16 160 15 171 5295 4384 17 169 11*166 11*165 13 155 14 167 4384 3579 15 158 11 166 11 165 11 150 15 159 3579 2859 12 165 10 167 11 167 9 146 16 154 2859 2223 11 186 10 168 11 169 8 143 19 150 2223 1693 13 207 10 169 11 171 6 143 21 146 1693 1286 11*206 10 170 10 173 5 144 21 141 1286 1007 7*196 9 170 10 174 4 147 17 135 1007 838 6 194 9 171 10 174 3 151 13 130 838 742 5 194 8 171 9 175 2*152 6*118 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography