DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1554z - - 1854z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 55.2 - - 64.0 - - 66.4 - - 59.8 - - 54.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 114 - - 294 - - 169 - - -16 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 934 - - 2262 - - 2867 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2002 - - 2222 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1594 - - 2922 - - 3527 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 453 - - 558 - - 684 - - 2404 - - 374 Hgt.Variab. W* 192 - - 353 - - 318 - - 10 - - 7 W* B/S 3 - - 7 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 9 - - 7 - - 6 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 091 - - 082 - - 067 - - 036 - - 063 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 3 - - 1 - - -1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2546 - - -3230 - - -3294 - - -3976 - - -3717 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4140 - - 6152 - - 6821 - - 4719 - - 4458 sfcLCL ODpotential -12194 - - -10877 - - -10701 - - -11821 - - -13364 ODpotential blCL 13788 - - 13799 - - 14228 - - 12563 - - 14105 blCL maxRH 64 - - 59 - - 64 - - 65 - - 58 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 55.2 - - 64.0 - - 66.4 - - 59.8 - - 54.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 40.0 - - 39.9 - - 39.3 - - 42.0 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 54.5 - - 62.2 - - 65.2 - - 61.2 - - 56.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 40.0 - - 39.9 - - 39.3 - - 42.1 - - 37.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 114 - - 294 - - 169 - - -16 - - -17 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 934 - - 2262 - - 2867 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 5 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96674 41 258 56 251 70 249 70 263 68 264 96674 89313 32 277 31 272 34 249 41 260 39 262 89313 83697 22 263 23 257 28 262 20 272 22 269 83697 79081 14 264 17 249 24 273 15 284 14 282 79081 75126 15 294 17 279 20 287 13 283 12 276 75126 71635 13 301 18 281 15 289 11 292 12 270 71635 68491 7 317 13 274 13 288 12 303 10 264 68491 65616 15 301 21 279 23 281 24 291 17 309 65616 62956 21 296 22 269 26 268 28 268 28 288 62956 60387 23 315 16 297 18 267 27 265 34 265 60387 57721 36 314 29 310 24 289 31 280 37 265 57721 54957 53 300 47 291 48 284 50 272 49 257 54957 52311 57 287 55 282 54 274 54 263 53 260 52311 49914 57 294 55 284 52 276 49 263 64 254 49914 47754 65 302 62 291 63 283 66 264 62 255 47754 45788 72 300 80 286 80 273 77 258 63 260 45788 43985 80 295 80 283 72 269 73 253 61 257 43985 42316 80 299 75 292 63 275 62 263 56 251 42316 40761 78 309 68 297 61 269 60 261 51 244 40761 39301 72 314 59 303 57 271 61 256 54 243 39301 37918 68 316 55 304 51 278 55 256 57 248 37918 36575 67 318 53 308 47 283 46 259 51 251 36575 35203 68 323 51 309 43 286 46 258 44 250 35203 33772 61 326 51 310 38 292 43 259 37 251 33772 32287 52 324 45 310 36 291 37 260 33 250 32287 30737 42 325 38 308 33 288 34 268 31 245 30737 29113 36 320 31 307 30 290 30 272 24 245 29113 27414 33 320 29 308 26 297 24 275 20 239 27414 25637 32 326 28 311 24 305 21 281 18 236 25637 23780 31 335 24 313 22 304 20 278 19 236 23780 21848 26 343 18 308 20 288 19 270 17 247 21848 19841 21 337 18 303 21 287 17 279 14 270 19841 17757 21 329 18 309 19 291 15 290 17 276 17757 15635 22 328 16 314 15 291 15 296 17 276 15635 13589 22 316 17 308 16 298 15 308 13 297 13589 11727 20 315 18 300 18 293 17 314 13 317 11727 10076 18 334 15 295 17 282 17 294 14 310 10076 8612 18 328 13 301 12 285 15 289 12 303 8612 7312 18 318 12 308 10 291 12 295 10 292 7312 6160 18 314 13 310 11 288 12 299 10 278 6160 5143 20 310 14 306 10 291 7 327 6 260 5143 4254 14 302 10 300 2*341 5 053 4 131 4254 3476 4 201 3*130 7*071 8 076 9 099 3476 2782 13 136 8*086 7 069 9 070 15 082 2782 2169 18 106 9 084 8 068 11 057 18 081 2169 1658 17*099 9 081 8 065 12 048 20 081 1658 1266 14*092 9 079 8 064 12 043 19 077 1266 997 13 091 9 079 7 063 11 041 15 070 997 834 12 090 8 078 7 064 10*038 12 067 834 741 10 090 8 077 7 062 6*036 5*063 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography