DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/17 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 89.5 - - 85.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 302 - - 56 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2871 - - 3694 - - 3143 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2559 - - 3105 - - 1568 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3531 - - 4354 - - 3803 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 744 - - 734 - - 847 - - 3089 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 427 - - 428 - - 236 - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 16 - - 18 - - 17 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 167 - - 163 - - 165 - - 164 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 3 - - 2 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -47 - - -184 - - 448 - - -992 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 3578 - - 4538 - - 3355 - - 1736 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4615 - - -4977 - - -5798 - - -2072 ODpotential blCL - - - 8146 - - 9331 - - 9601 - - 2816 blCL maxRH - - - 85 - - 79 - - 93 - - 96 maxRH CAPE - - - 1640 - - 2030 - - 2180 - - 2280 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 85.7 - - 89.5 - - 85.9 - - 80.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.8 - - 71.4 - - 72.9 - - 74.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.6 - - 87.7 - - 85.5 - - 81.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.2 - - 70.8 - - 72.6 - - 74.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 392 - - 302 - - 56 - - -8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2871 - - 3694 - - 3143 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 41 - - 15 - - 74 - - 86 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 17 - - 16 - - 17 - - 19 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98584 25 091 32 110 26 095 25 077 98584 91128 22 116 24 110 19 099 22 086 91128 85395 18 114 19 116 18 102 21 097 85395 80622 23 108 20 115 20 090 18 090 80622 76523 20 105 17 103 19 093 17 078 76523 72931 13 093 15 088 13 091 15 080 72931 69689 10 088 10 079 7 076 10 073 69689 66719 16 091 11 093 7 087 7 117 66719 63988 8 070 9 062 7 067 9 098 63988 61367 3 037 2 030 1 003 4 070 61367 58662 6 359 2 329 1 268 2 003 58662 55884 13 335 9 306 9 297 9 314 55884 53247 19 306 18 283 21 286 24 298 53247 50874 30 291 29 285 36 282 40 285 50874 48740 45 291 43 284 41 282 39 279 48740 46781 55 289 50 284 45 288 39 280 46781 44961 55 285 51 283 48 288 43 279 44961 43258 52 285 48 281 49 285 46 277 43258 41657 39 286 39 278 49 283 45 276 41657 40148 27 290 14 260 42 285 42 275 40148 38723 6 306 4 227 27 263 38 276 38723 37349 5 053 8 151 11 229 27 274 37349 35957 7 026 5 118 7 200 24 268 35957 34516 10 027 5 118 9 157 12 210 34516 33026 12 020 7 108 7 170 12 177 33026 31469 11 014 8 104 8 175 10 191 31469 29831 8 017 6 105 7 179 10 205 29831 28114 6 020 2 090 4 212 7 219 28114 26316 4 012 4 310 7 287 9 303 26316 24441 4 335 9 309 9 293 12 328 24441 22494 7 337 13 326 6 330 14 340 22494 20466 11 342 14 338 11 014 11 004 20466 18351 9 349 11 352 13 020 9 056 18351 16191 6 353 9 006 10 002 10 054 16191 14103 7 327 9 000 9 357 8 034 14103 12197 2 309 8 335 11 346 9 004 12197 10496 2 138 7 295 13 338 11 358 10496 8980 3 116 7 281 13 326 12 355 8980 7632 2 153 5 274 10 298 10 318 7632 6437 3 204 4 235 5 268 11 274 6437 5379 8 184 9 180 7 193 11 255 5379 4449 14 179 17*163 16*166 13 181 4449 3633 15*169 18*163 17*165 21 165 3633 2903 16*167 19 163 17 165 22 166 2903 2257 16 167 19 163 17 165 21 166 2257 1716 16 167 19 163 17 165 20 168 1716 1302 16 166 18 163 17 166 17 167 1302 1016 15 167 18 163 16 166 14 166 1016 843 14 167 17 163 15 166 12*166 843 744 13 167 15 163 12 165 8*164 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography