DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 01/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 48.6 - - 62.6 - - 63.7 - - 59.0 - - 51.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 5 - - 249 - - 54 - - -18 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 2647 - - 3233 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 2227 - - 1346 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 741 - - 3307 - - 3893 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 264 - - 1685 - - 1619 - - 3756 - - 386 Hgt.Variab. W* 30 - - 352 - - 228 - - 12 - - 8 W* B/S 1 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 6 - - 15 - - 13 - - 7 - - 6 BL Wind Direction 249 - - 253 - - 238 - - 204 - - 209 Direction Wind Shear 0 - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - -5 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4850 - - -6153 - - -4914 - - -5638 - - -1923 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5591 - - 9460 - - 8807 - - 6379 - - 2664 sfcLCL ODpotential -14986 - - -14550 - - -11552 - - -12226 - - -9198 ODpotential blCL 15727 - - 17857 - - 15445 - - 12967 - - 9939 blCL maxRH 40 - - 84 - - 100 - - 89 - - 74 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 48.6 - - 62.6 - - 63.7 - - 59.0 - - 51.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 27.5 - - 23.9 - - 27.8 - - 34.0 - - 42.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.8 - - 61.2 - - 63.2 - - 60.1 - - 52.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 27.4 - - 23.9 - - 27.9 - - 33.9 - - 42.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 5 - - 249 - - 54 - - -18 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 81 - - 2647 - - 3233 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 35 - - 100 - - 54 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 4 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95952 23 299 18 288 25 311 23 291 25 300 95952 89006 22 003 12 027 20 005 14 356 24 012 89006 83595 24 023 15 052 10 043 10 052 26 028 83595 79055 17 023 12 015 8 092 16 042 17 047 79055 75122 15 018 10 017 6 056 17 017 15 073 75122 71642 15 009 12 360 9 007 17 351 15 044 71642 68490 13 358 15 351 9 341 16 336 13 004 68490 65590 9 315 16 337 7 314 7 302 9 338 65590 62899 10 273 18 319 12 310 7 288 12 337 62899 60286 23 278 22 286 24 313 16 302 21 334 60286 57540 33 264 27 266 27 294 23 285 32 323 57540 54652 35 262 32 256 30 272 30 277 39 306 54652 51867 40 263 40 256 36 270 38 275 40 279 51867 49366 43 263 45 256 41 267 41 273 43 264 49366 47149 43 262 43 255 41 265 40 275 41 261 47149 45149 41 261 41 252 41 261 39 276 39 266 45149 43322 40 257 38 248 41 256 40 272 37 276 43322 41638 36 257 32 253 37 255 39 269 30 287 41638 40077 31 265 35 258 33 256 32 259 24 305 40077 38616 38 252 40 245 34 244 24 270 26 312 38616 37240 44 234 35 236 32 228 26 257 23 315 37240 35914 40 228 32 228 26 216 21 235 21 336 35914 34579 32 226 31 225 22 210 10 205 21 359 34579 33204 26 202 28 229 23 211 5 171 23 009 33204 31779 24 195 24 226 23 212 6 172 23 012 31779 30286 22 203 19 204 20 211 8 177 21 017 30286 28711 15 210 13 198 14 202 11 171 21 021 28711 27056 7 216 9 213 9 173 18 167 21 026 27056 25319 9 245 10 236 11 192 21 175 21 026 25319 23503 15 254 17 233 17 189 14 165 22 020 23503 21613 18 248 22 225 12 185 2 077 16 019 21613 19647 15 236 17 265 3 257 11 350 8 021 19647 17597 11 238 14 264 2 182 7 053 9 339 17597 15503 15 263 8 206 9 192 4 180 12 316 15503 13478 16 268 4 158 5 161 7 230 16 323 13478 11634 13 268 4 212 2 293 2 307 13 333 11634 9996 9 253 7 229 6 313 4 330 10 336 9996 8547 10 228 11 226 8 280 7 314 13 331 8547 7261 12 220 16 218 13 258 14 311 17 319 7261 6123 11 223 20 217 17 262 16 302 19 314 6123 5119 13 253 18 223 16 262 16 272 17 300 5119 4237 15 264 17 246 15*258 16 255 20 267 4237 3464 16 261 17*255 14*251 17 246 23 258 3464 2773 17 263 16*255 14 243 17 238 23 255 2773 2161 17 267 16 254 13 238 18 230 23 246 2161 1652 18 272 15 253 13 235 18 224 22 233 1652 1262 18 268 15 251 12 233 17 217 21 218 1262 994 16 257 14 251 12 232 14 210 16 211 994 833 12*250 13 250 11 230 12 207 13*209 833 741 6*249 11 250 9 230 7*204 6*209 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography