DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 10/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.4 - - 75.0 - - 75.3 - - 71.0 - - 67.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 52 - - 49 - - 12 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 678 - - 2294 - - 2304 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 1288 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1338 - - 2954 - - 2964 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 412 - - 1004 - - 1047 - - 1818 - - 180 Hgt.Variab. W* 142 - - 234 - - 182 - - 16 - - 14 W* B/S 3 - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 13 - - 12 - - 3 - - 4 BL Wind Direction 062 - - 044 - - 040 - - 012 - - 348 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -2 - - -3 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 125 - - -907 - - -1598 - - -1082 - - -860 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1213 - - 3861 - - 4562 - - 1824 - - 1602 sfcLCL ODpotential -2127 - - -7483 - - -8382 - - -4907 - - -7033 ODpotential blCL 3465 - - 10437 - - 11346 - - 5649 - - 7775 blCL maxRH 94 - - 79 - - 75 - - 64 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 70.4 - - 75.0 - - 75.3 - - 71.0 - - 67.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.4 - - 60.7 - - 58.0 - - 65.4 - - 63.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.0 - - 74.6 - - 75.5 - - 72.7 - - 70.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 66.6 - - 59.3 - - 56.7 - - 64.0 - - 62.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 52 - - 49 - - 12 - - -4 - - -6 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 678 - - 2294 - - 2304 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 76 - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 10 - - 9 - - 13 - - 12 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98229 9 249 5 189 10 219 10 245 12 223 98229 90812 10 187 11 209 12 200 12 227 4 273 90812 85094 7 115 11 176 9 177 6 275 6 034 85094 80343 5 115 5 114 11 139 5 176 4 023 80343 76256 2 141 4 059 4 123 4 146 3 323 76256 72663 4 253 2 330 3 002 5 046 8 056 72663 69436 2 037 6 203 7 302 6 000 10 055 69436 66500 5 021 3 123 5 272 7 339 10 030 66500 63808 3 293 3 326 6 282 12 303 13 329 63808 61237 5 265 5 290 7 258 13 286 15 307 61237 58576 7 330 8 322 8 291 12 268 16 287 58576 55825 19 303 16 303 16 297 14 279 18 284 55825 53206 27 284 23 297 27 297 24 285 26 286 53206 50847 33 287 33 294 34 289 33 282 37 279 50847 48716 40 292 36 292 38 287 38 282 40 276 48716 46759 44 297 39 289 40 285 41 282 39 273 46759 44946 47 295 40 285 41 280 44 280 43 273 44946 43254 46 284 43 280 44 274 48 275 45 272 43254 41662 47 271 46 273 47 269 50 273 46 272 41662 40158 46 268 49 269 49 268 52 272 48 272 40158 38734 48 262 48 272 49 272 52 273 49 269 38734 37356 46 264 44 276 44 276 50 272 51 265 37356 35953 40 267 40 276 37 269 46 267 52 263 35953 34496 34 268 37 272 37 258 42 262 48 262 34496 32985 31 270 34 271 39 260 42 262 45 265 32985 31402 26 276 31 270 36 267 44 265 43 270 31402 29736 25 285 29 274 30 281 38 281 37 281 29736 27995 24 300 26 292 28 286 31 291 28 294 27995 26182 21 306 22 303 23 295 24 300 22 307 26182 24298 17 308 18 303 22 311 19 321 17 334 24298 22340 9 335 8 331 13 326 14 348 9 003 22340 20302 8 055 6 061 4 017 8 029 6 055 20302 18174 8 070 6 091 4 039 3 041 5 108 18174 15998 9 069 5 100 2 048 3 032 4 108 15998 13901 10 054 5 087 2 086 5 020 4 081 13901 11999 9 051 5 075 2 061 7 008 3 053 11999 10312 13 059 10 077 7 081 4 039 4 002 10312 8819 18 060 18 072 13 077 7 064 3 017 8819 7494 18 058 21 066 15 067 11 058 5 088 7494 6321 15 063 21 064 18 065 13 058 10 108 6321 5287 13 068 20 060 21 060 17 064 15 088 5287 4377 13 063 19 055 20 057 19 060 18 064 4377 3574 12 060 17*048 17*051 19 051 16 056 3574 2856 12 063 15*044 13*042 18 047 14 052 2856 2222 14 068 14 043 12 040 16 043 12 049 2222 1693 14*067 14 044 12 040 12 038 10 045 1693 1287 12*064 13 044 11 040 8 031 8 036 1287 1008 10 061 12 043 11 039 7 026 7 020 1008 839 9 060 12 043 10 039 5 021 5 355 839 742 8 060 10 043 8 039 3*012 4*348 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography