DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 10/30 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.3 - - 71.6 - - 73.6 - - 70.1 - - 68.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 2 - - 101 - - 25 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 363 - - 972 - - 1402 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1023 - - 1632 - - 2062 - - 742 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 707 - - 2540 - - 3607 - - 3245 - - 1025 Hgt.Variab. W* 50 - - 192 - - 137 - - 12 - - 6 W* B/S 1 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 4 - - 7 - - 5 - - 3 BL Wind Direction 022 - - 087 - - 117 - - 094 - - 037 Direction Wind Shear 2 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -2 - - -4 - - 0 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -753 - - -1333 - - -2578 - - -3072 - - -1573 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1776 - - 2965 - - 4640 - - 3814 - - 2316 sfcLCL ODpotential -3307 - - -3183 - - -4692 - - -6368 - - -3565 ODpotential blCL 4330 - - 4815 - - 6754 - - 7110 - - 4308 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 56 - - 75 maxRH CAPE 60 - - 50 - - 20 - - 0 - - 80 CAPE Temp@2m 67.3 - - 71.6 - - 73.6 - - 70.1 - - 68.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.0 - - 61.1 - - 56.0 - - 56.1 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 67.3 - - 71.0 - - 73.3 - - 71.1 - - 69.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 61.5 - - 60.5 - - 55.6 - - 55.9 - - 60.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 2 - - 101 - - 25 - - -9 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 363 - - 972 - - 1402 - - 82 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 99 - - 102 - - 0 - - 1 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 11 - - 9 - - 10 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97111 56 250 67 256 61 265 64 278 62 275 97111 89878 40 273 40 260 40 269 38 267 46 269 89878 84317 32 277 28 267 28 260 27 272 33 271 84317 79697 24 263 23 276 18 266 19 288 23 280 79697 75725 19 273 14 266 19 279 15 297 17 296 75725 72225 16 274 13 269 16 278 15 279 14 306 72225 69067 15 283 14 256 17 268 15 264 14 274 69067 66165 19 275 13 245 13 255 12 258 13 262 66165 63460 18 266 19 263 17 273 17 266 15 268 63460 60838 24 247 28 265 26 265 20 251 18 258 60838 58109 27 228 27 252 24 273 23 269 20 267 58109 55290 33 247 42 256 45 253 43 254 39 249 55290 52618 46 239 48 234 43 233 44 236 38 249 52618 50211 44 249 47 253 44 254 39 256 40 268 50211 48048 56 252 57 250 47 251 39 247 44 266 48048 46086 70 238 66 230 61 232 45 236 46 258 46086 44292 70 229 71 216 66 224 42 238 41 255 44292 42635 43 227 58 216 52 223 35 231 34 245 42635 41095 35 231 33 231 43 211 43 211 28 217 41095 39651 36 235 32 235 36 209 42 197 31 205 39651 38282 37 240 34 237 35 212 28 199 28 194 38282 36948 38 241 35 237 36 214 27 199 31 204 36948 35583 37 241 37 236 37 217 29 197 33 209 35583 34158 33 240 36 235 37 219 30 200 33 218 34158 32675 31 238 32 236 37 219 32 203 32 226 32675 31121 28 233 29 235 35 220 33 207 27 229 31121 29483 27 227 26 229 33 221 32 210 27 234 29483 27759 26 228 27 227 33 221 31 208 28 241 27759 25950 22 216 25 220 30 229 27 204 21 238 25950 24063 24 203 22 205 25 234 22 210 21 221 24063 22111 21 202 21 203 15 218 18 217 26 233 22111 20080 20 199 19 197 10 169 14 218 25 237 20080 17960 20 185 17 185 12 162 14 233 23 235 17960 15803 19 176 14 183 18 181 17 239 23 240 15803 13729 20 185 18 185 27 183 18 237 28 237 13729 11844 21 176 32 176 24 176 15 225 23 222 11844 10177 25 147 28 152 20 143 17 177 15 170 10177 8711 24 134 22 140 24 124 23 153 15 160 8711 7416 19 129 23 125 20 132 18 152 14 145 7416 6266 18 132 21 121 16 157 12 153 17 140 6266 5248 18 132 17 137 12 169 14 132 17 123 5248 4348 14 130 15 147 10 156 16 123 17 120 4348 3553 10 129 13 146 10 147 16 118 15 118 3553 2840 6 120 10 149 9 144 15 114 13 111 2840 2211 5 098 8 141 8*126 14 104 10 105 2211 1686 9 077 6*115 8*119 13 098 8 095 1686 1283 10*046 5*091 7 117 12 097 6 082 1283 1006 8*025 5 087 7 116 11 097 5 066 1006 838 7 022 4 085 7 117 9 098 5*053 838 743 6 020 4 086 6 116 5*094 3*037 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography