DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 03/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 62.1 - - 60.8 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 314 - - 13 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2644 - - 3032 - - 2250 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2377 - - 2596 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3304 - - 3692 - - 2910 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 494 - - 658 - - 919 - - 313 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 411 - - 398 - - 130 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 99 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 4 - - 1 - - 9 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 066 - - 207 - - 183 - - 175 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - 5 - - -3 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -5513 - - -6069 - - -5575 - - -5505 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 8817 - - 9761 - - 8485 - - 6247 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17420 - - -16882 - - -16487 - - -17898 ODpotential blCL - - - 20724 - - 20574 - - 19397 - - 18639 blCL maxRH - - - 37 - - 40 - - 34 - - 31 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 56.2 - - 62.1 - - 60.8 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 20.9 - - 22.4 - - 26.8 - - 29.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 54.2 - - 60.4 - - 60.8 - - 55.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 20.1 - - 21.5 - - 26.2 - - 29.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 400 - - 314 - - 13 - - -19 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2644 - - 3032 - - 2250 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - 3 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96483 28 265 26 259 32 276 27 272 96483 89276 26 276 29 271 29 280 19 277 89276 83723 21 267 32 265 27 274 22 293 83723 79105 18 269 22 272 23 266 27 286 79105 75129 20 275 20 269 23 252 28 252 75129 71630 27 271 21 276 21 278 26 254 71630 68484 29 266 25 281 26 286 22 277 68484 65600 32 273 31 286 33 285 31 292 65600 62913 40 279 41 283 41 281 37 290 62913 60304 44 274 43 279 44 278 42 290 60304 57595 44 267 41 274 43 269 45 282 57595 54783 45 273 41 276 41 270 45 280 54783 52089 51 281 48 285 48 283 48 287 52089 49661 57 279 54 281 51 281 48 285 49661 47485 58 274 53 274 45 280 43 284 47485 45521 54 276 51 277 42 288 39 293 45521 43737 55 282 51 282 44 298 46 297 43737 42101 52 282 49 281 44 299 45 295 42101 40580 47 286 43 289 42 295 41 294 40580 39151 48 294 46 291 42 303 37 304 39151 37800 51 297 48 295 40 310 37 313 37800 36490 53 298 50 304 42 316 39 316 36490 35154 53 300 52 307 45 315 42 312 35154 33763 49 300 51 303 49 308 44 307 33763 32320 45 297 47 297 45 297 43 303 32320 30807 41 296 42 289 44 290 39 302 30807 29211 37 293 39 287 45 286 33 302 29211 27533 36 295 37 294 43 287 29 301 27533 25771 38 302 37 301 39 291 26 315 25771 23924 38 303 35 300 36 295 27 307 23924 21994 38 302 32 295 35 296 28 300 21994 19976 38 307 30 297 32 294 29 297 19976 17869 35 310 28 305 27 299 26 299 17869 15719 28 318 22 302 21 287 21 292 15719 13648 28 316 25 289 23 276 19 295 13648 11767 24 309 27 278 27 271 24 291 11767 10102 19 312 20 275 29 266 30 284 10102 8629 14 320 15 290 21 256 27 280 8629 7322 7 341 10 294 18 260 26 271 7322 6165 4 065 5 254 18 259 23 261 6165 5143 6 069 3 209 11 233 18 250 5143 4248 8 065 2*187 9 197 17 233 4248 3466 5*072 1*187 9*177 19 212 3466 2773 5*070 1 189 9*176 21 197 2773 2163 5 069 1 203 9 180 21 189 2163 1654 4 065 1 225 9 183 21 186 1654 1264 4 063 0 253 9 187 20 185 1264 996 4 062 0 269 8 187 17 183 996 834 4 060 0 265 8 189 13*181 834 741 4 061 1 273 7 190 6*175 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography