DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.4 - - 58.6 - - 53.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 112 - - -18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1599 - - 2316 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1373 - - 1603 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2259 - - 2976 - - 742 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 578 - - 746 - - 839 - - 85 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 272 - - 260 - - 0 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 15 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 3 - - 6 - - 5 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 261 - - 047 - - 023 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - 1 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -4830 - - -4680 - - -2460 - - -705 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7089 - - 7656 - - 3202 - - 1446 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -13237 - - -11866 - - -10916 - - -10139 ODpotential blCL - - - 15496 - - 14842 - - 11658 - - 10880 blCL maxRH - - - 43 - - 45 - - 55 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 67.0 - - 70.4 - - 58.6 - - 53.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 39.0 - - 39.7 - - 47.4 - - 49.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 65.7 - - 69.4 - - 61.1 - - 57.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 39.0 - - 39.8 - - 47.4 - - 50.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 188 - - 112 - - -18 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1599 - - 2316 - - 82 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 5 - - 5 - - 7 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96199 54 262 56 257 57 264 59 260 96199 89023 34 263 34 261 40 273 38 270 89023 83523 22 270 21 272 30 267 28 270 83523 78956 21 269 19 284 23 268 22 278 78956 75021 20 272 21 277 22 272 20 299 75021 71540 19 268 23 271 21 277 19 305 71540 68380 19 261 24 269 24 273 20 311 68380 65469 23 279 23 278 25 270 26 292 65469 62772 32 283 33 294 28 297 31 287 62772 60169 40 278 46 289 43 292 39 286 60169 57474 43 281 49 282 47 286 42 282 57474 54696 43 290 46 284 43 287 43 280 54696 52048 45 292 44 290 41 290 42 284 52048 49658 46 286 42 288 42 287 42 288 49658 47506 43 283 40 287 41 286 44 294 47506 45547 39 285 37 293 39 290 43 298 45547 43753 34 290 35 297 35 297 40 297 43753 42104 31 293 31 299 34 308 32 295 42104 40581 29 290 27 297 34 313 27 302 40581 39155 29 283 28 294 31 315 27 310 39155 37804 24 279 28 289 24 306 27 312 37804 36490 23 284 25 290 23 300 27 310 36490 35146 23 287 24 291 26 300 26 305 35146 33747 23 285 23 295 27 299 25 302 33747 32294 23 282 22 297 27 301 24 305 32294 30775 21 279 22 297 26 302 22 313 30775 29177 20 270 21 293 25 299 21 316 29177 27500 19 270 19 289 23 294 21 316 27500 25741 21 278 20 291 21 296 20 321 25741 23904 17 280 19 296 20 303 17 320 23904 21992 14 294 17 304 18 309 13 302 21992 19994 17 296 17 297 18 299 15 289 19994 17904 18 292 16 285 18 286 17 286 17904 15766 14 299 13 279 16 275 15 289 15766 13703 11 315 8 295 10 277 13 286 13703 11826 8 328 5 324 8 348 4 300 11826 10161 10 342 6 012 10 012 6 054 10161 8685 11 344 11 014 10 051 8 078 8685 7374 10 321 10 335 10 042 9 089 7374 6213 6 259 7 295 8 356 8 085 6213 5188 7 193 5 230 5 328 4 039 5188 4290 6 188 1 224 4 041 3 024 4290 3503 1 256 4*058 6 092 1 031 3503 2802 4*334 5*053 8 087 4 071 2802 2183 3*298 5 049 10 071 8 063 2183 1668 3 259 6 047 11 053 10 054 1668 1271 4 255 6 045 12 041 13 046 1271 1000 4 252 6 043 11 034 13 039 1000 835 3 251 6 044 9*030 10 031 835 741 3 249 6 042 5*023 6*019 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography