DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 10/13 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 86.7 - - 82.3 - - 78.9 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 157 - - -20 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2181 - - 3526 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1717 - - 2690 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2841 - - 4186 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2556 - - 2404 - - 4543 - - 2432 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 287 - - 339 - - 21 - - 17 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 18 - - 9 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 194 - - 186 - - 168 - - 151 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -8 - - -10 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 300 - - 389 - - -1895 - - -324 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2541 - - 3797 - - 2639 - - 1067 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -238 - - -719 - - -3149 - - -1670 ODpotential blCL - - - 3079 - - 4905 - - 3893 - - 2413 blCL maxRH - - - 92 - - 83 - - 85 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 1670 - - 1390 - - 1370 - - 2200 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 83.4 - - 86.7 - - 82.3 - - 78.9 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.2 - - 72.1 - - 72.8 - - 75.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 82.2 - - 85.7 - - 83.4 - - 79.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.9 - - 71.8 - - 72.6 - - 75.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 158 - - 157 - - -20 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2181 - - 3526 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 69 - - 30 - - 40 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 16 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97657 19 271 37 269 41 270 42 278 97657 90383 12 287 16 270 22 275 18 273 90383 84755 10 313 5 288 14 276 7 288 84755 80077 7 325 1 286 3 299 3 296 80077 76071 5 354 4 232 5 004 6 097 76071 72563 1 181 4 234 5 023 10 066 72563 69401 9 123 6 161 5 126 7 069 69401 66509 9 129 6 132 8 134 4 111 66509 63860 14 169 10 155 9 182 7 218 63860 61325 15 159 15 170 13 195 13 210 61325 58698 9 158 17 162 18 177 24 180 58698 55989 9 195 11 162 16 169 23 170 55989 53419 13 192 14 211 12 197 17 191 53419 51099 20 187 27 193 24 207 24 218 51099 48996 27 179 28 183 29 199 32 211 48996 47060 27 174 29 175 34 190 39 196 47060 45262 24 174 28 174 35 181 41 188 45262 43577 24 176 28 182 35 181 41 190 43577 41992 24 182 32 191 37 188 37 195 41992 40495 24 186 35 198 37 197 36 203 40495 39075 24 196 37 203 40 198 40 203 39075 37695 25 202 37 207 41 200 46 198 37695 36287 27 204 35 214 38 208 42 207 36287 34824 27 205 32 216 34 214 35 214 34824 33309 28 216 31 219 33 214 33 217 33309 31725 33 235 32 226 34 219 34 225 31725 30059 37 244 34 234 34 231 32 234 30059 28309 28 252 35 247 37 245 35 245 28309 26481 22 237 21 248 32 252 30 252 26481 24582 18 220 20 252 21 252 21 246 24582 22613 13 249 19 262 18 260 18 243 22613 20564 16 246 20 249 21 260 21 244 20564 18424 25 235 26 245 25 252 20 246 18424 16234 28 225 29 232 25 248 18 251 16234 14118 20 221 22 223 21 233 16 244 14118 12193 14 216 19 212 19 206 16 212 12193 10483 12 213 19 206 19 198 17 202 10483 8963 13 217 17 208 17 208 16 205 8963 7617 12 207 17 208 18 216 18 201 7617 6426 15 201 18 197 21 201 22 200 6426 5375 18 201 20 197 25 190 25 204 5375 4450 20 208 20*196 26 187 25 193 4450 3633 20 209 19*192 24 181 25 179 3633 2901 19*205 19 187 23 175 27 172 2901 2254 17*197 18 185 22 172 29 167 2254 1714 16 194 18 184 20 171 27 162 1714 1300 15 193 17 183 18 170 24 158 1300 1015 15 192 17 183 15 169 18 154 1015 842 14 192 16 183 13*169 16 153 842 743 12 192 13 183 9*168 10*151 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography