DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 02/24 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 49.0 - - 60.6 - - 67.7 - - 64.6 - - 58.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 53 - - 332 - - 240 - - -47 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2122 - - 3255 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1939 - - 2670 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1001 - - 2782 - - 3915 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 448 - - 904 - - 777 - - 2830 - - 448 Hgt.Variab. W* 107 - - 361 - - 375 - - 20 - - 13 W* B/S 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 18 - - 29 - - 32 - - 17 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 206 - - 206 - - 208 - - 199 - - 204 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 16 - - 14 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 0 - - -6 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -4929 - - -4368 - - -2700 - - -3823 - - -2476 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 5930 - - 7150 - - 6615 - - 4565 - - 3218 sfcLCL ODpotential -18272 - - -14978 - - -11582 - - -12958 - - -12394 ODpotential blCL 19273 - - 17760 - - 15497 - - 13700 - - 13136 blCL maxRH 40 - - 42 - - 75 - - 52 - - 59 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 49.0 - - 60.6 - - 67.7 - - 64.6 - - 58.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 26.2 - - 32.1 - - 41.4 - - 47.2 - - 47.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 48.9 - - 59.0 - - 66.8 - - 65.8 - - 60.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 25.6 - - 31.6 - - 41.0 - - 47.2 - - 47.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 53 - - 332 - - 240 - - -47 - - -53 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 341 - - 2122 - - 3255 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 3 - - 4 - - 5 - - 7 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96425 11 199 14 246 14 255 15 281 9 292 96425 89237 1 088 6 173 18 203 14 262 10 300 89237 83734 3 251 7 212 13 213 12 260 11 279 83734 79162 8 264 9 220 9 258 12 270 11 283 79162 75190 7 258 6 263 8 273 11 272 9 301 75190 71658 8 270 9 272 12 279 16 300 16 314 71658 68452 12 305 11 290 14 286 16 293 14 311 68452 65504 16 304 15 314 16 304 19 306 21 313 65504 62792 26 307 25 316 27 307 29 291 29 301 62792 60185 37 311 30 302 29 307 27 296 29 307 60185 57481 45 307 40 307 41 313 39 318 50 326 57481 54680 53 305 54 308 56 314 51 313 47 304 54680 51987 62 304 60 305 59 307 48 307 44 315 51987 49563 63 305 58 303 49 310 51 327 63 333 49563 47429 54 315 49 312 57 326 84 336 81 334 47429 45524 59 331 58 328 75 331 83 332 74 328 45524 43791 60 332 58 328 70 326 59 331 60 319 43791 42183 53 328 43 322 60 314 52 327 54 325 42183 40676 45 328 35 329 50 315 50 333 53 343 40676 39253 42 334 44 347 49 330 54 340 56 348 39253 37902 43 338 54 355 42 329 52 330 54 348 37902 36588 45 339 50 353 46 337 46 321 50 344 36588 35247 47 338 40 344 49 340 40 315 46 335 35247 33849 48 335 40 341 48 339 43 309 44 328 33849 32395 46 336 43 339 46 339 47 308 42 318 32395 30871 41 331 42 335 39 329 44 302 43 314 30871 29262 40 324 41 332 35 320 42 300 46 314 29262 27571 38 315 37 325 37 321 41 305 49 313 27571 25799 42 315 35 327 36 324 41 309 45 311 25799 23950 45 313 39 325 33 319 37 311 39 306 23950 22022 36 310 41 314 33 311 34 312 40 299 22022 20009 27 311 35 301 33 309 35 313 39 300 20009 17907 24 310 28 291 28 294 33 313 30 305 17907 15765 25 302 27 284 28 288 27 309 25 302 15765 13706 23 288 29 283 28 288 24 296 25 293 13706 11839 21 283 26 283 28 289 23 292 24 293 11839 10181 18 276 23 280 30 288 24 294 26 292 10181 8706 15 259 23 268 31 283 28 289 28 287 8706 7394 16 247 23 247 28 266 30 277 28 279 7394 6229 23 248 28 230 31 249 30 262 28 266 6229 5200 30 245 31 226 37 235 36 242 35 249 5200 4300 34 234 38 224 36*217 43 223 43 234 4300 3511 35 218 40*217 35*213 43 214 51 222 3511 2807 36 210 35*212 34 211 42 211 50 218 2807 2185 36 211 31 206 33 208 40 209 46 217 2185 1668 34 211 29 205 32 207 37 206 40 214 1668 1271 29*210 28 204 30 206 33 203 34 211 1271 1000 20*207 26 203 29 205 27 201 24 207 1000 835 18 206 24 203 26 204 23*200 20*206 835 742 14 205 19 203 21 204 17*199 12*204 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography