DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 06/23 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.0 - - 92.4 - - 89.4 - - 82.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 315 - - 69 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5144 - - 5056 - - 3589 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4298 - - 4163 - - 2147 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5804 - - 5716 - - 4249 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 986 - - 1117 - - 1334 - - 1967 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 507 - - 478 - - 262 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 6 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 14 - - 19 - - 10 BL Wind Direction - - - 201 - - 212 - - 195 - - 197 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -5 - - 5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 953 - - 234 - - -310 - - -2220 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4852 - - 5483 - - 4559 - - 2964 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 330 - - -4219 - - -5401 - - -8362 ODpotential blCL - - - 5474 - - 9935 - - 9650 - - 9106 blCL maxRH - - - 87 - - 79 - - 82 - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 2420 - - 2640 - - 2750 - - 2270 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.0 - - 92.4 - - 89.4 - - 82.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.1 - - 70.6 - - 71.7 - - 71.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 87.8 - - 90.4 - - 88.8 - - 84.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 70.1 - - 71.4 - - 71.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 372 - - 315 - - 69 - - -27 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5144 - - 5056 - - 3589 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 50 - - 15 - - 28 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98886 31 098 40 089 41 088 35 082 98886 91441 36 101 35 098 35 078 40 081 91441 85697 38 104 29 101 24 095 32 080 85697 80913 29 101 28 097 23 099 25 097 80913 76812 22 117 24 103 20 104 19 095 76812 73189 18 113 18 110 13 114 15 086 73189 69902 15 117 14 105 14 098 13 093 69902 66886 11 100 12 129 9 075 17 082 66886 64108 3 154 6 124 3 105 9 056 64108 61448 3 052 6 205 4 240 11 002 61448 58712 5 293 4 262 7 213 12 284 58712 55912 6 292 8 316 6 337 5 296 55912 53259 14 321 20 316 22 312 16 318 53259 50884 22 318 24 308 23 306 19 308 50884 48747 30 314 28 304 22 309 21 324 48747 46788 37 313 31 310 28 316 33 323 46788 44980 40 312 37 317 34 322 37 324 44980 43302 38 310 40 318 37 324 38 321 43302 41737 34 312 40 318 38 323 35 313 41737 40269 31 317 39 321 36 324 29 299 40269 38881 33 323 37 326 32 325 20 301 38881 37531 35 327 35 332 29 326 16 301 37531 36149 36 332 35 335 28 329 18 294 36149 34709 36 333 32 334 28 331 21 307 34709 33214 34 331 24 334 28 324 24 331 33214 31647 31 333 24 340 26 320 24 334 31647 29998 29 330 24 334 27 334 26 334 29998 28266 29 327 27 327 25 340 29 341 28266 26453 28 332 30 329 31 344 35 351 26453 24562 26 331 29 326 30 344 38 352 24562 22597 21 315 23 321 27 338 37 350 22597 20553 20 318 10 312 25 337 36 350 20553 18430 16 305 7 321 20 330 31 344 18430 16263 15 281 10 304 11 310 21 319 16263 14164 12 277 11 281 12 299 15 278 14164 12247 11 281 10 271 10 286 11 257 12247 10540 15 248 12 248 12 265 9 230 10540 9021 19 237 15 239 14 248 10 201 9021 7670 19 224 17 238 16 250 10 197 7670 6469 18*208 15*225 17 243 12 210 6469 5407 19*204 14*220 18 223 18 210 5407 4474 19 203 14 217 19*212 24 204 4474 3652 19 202 14 214 19*204 27 200 3652 2916 19 200 14 211 20 198 29 198 2916 2264 18 200 14 209 20 194 29 198 2264 1721 18 199 14 207 19 193 27 199 1721 1304 17 198 14 206 19 192 25 200 1304 1017 16 198 13 206 18 191 19 199 1017 843 16 198 13 205 17 190 16*199 843 744 14 198 12 205 13 190 10*197 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography