DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 09/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 12Z 0Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0955z - - 1000z - - 1334z - - - Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.3 - - 94.3 - - 91.7 - - - Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 266 - - -8 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4170 - - 5957 - - 294 - - - BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3545 - - 4784 - - 727 - - - Hcrit BL Top - - - 4830 - - 6617 - - 954 - - - BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2852 - - 2563 - - 7200 - - - Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 476 - - 477 - - 43 - - - W* B/S - - - 6 - - 6 - - 1 - - - B/S BL Wind - - - 15 - - 15 - - 10 - - - BL Wind Direction - - - 191 - - 191 - - 187 - - - Direction Wind Shear - - - 2 - - 2 - - 3 - - - Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -15 - - -1 - - - Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -243 - - -119 - - -5240 - - - CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5073 - - 6736 - - 6194 - - - sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1532 - - -1914 - - -7076 - - - ODpotential blCL - - - 6362 - - 8531 - - 8030 - - - blCL maxRH - - - 75 - - 64 - - 55 - - - maxRH CAPE - - - 2390 - - 1440 - - 1310 - - - CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.3 - - 94.3 - - 91.7 - - - Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.4 - - 67.2 - - 67.0 - - - DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.1 - - 92.7 - - 92.1 - - - Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 71.0 - - 66.7 - - 66.7 - - - DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 382 - - 266 - - -8 - - - Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4170 - - 5957 - - 294 - - - BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 - - - EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 13 - - 14 - - - EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98627 31 092 28 104 18 117 98627 91250 32 088 28 106 23 106 91250 85521 27 088 26 113 24 093 85521 80774 19 090 22 108 21 096 80774 76704 14 104 18 099 21 089 76704 73113 14 113 16 087 21 077 73113 69863 15 114 11 083 17 081 69863 66875 12 128 8 088 15 100 66875 64117 8 148 4 114 11 098 64117 61462 4 145 3 193 4 087 61462 58722 4 131 4 189 3 244 58722 55921 5 136 4 143 5 238 55921 53273 6 121 6 127 3 161 53273 50900 6 122 7 147 6 130 50900 48775 10 122 10 142 11 140 48775 46837 11 096 11 115 16 135 46837 45048 11 087 12 119 17 129 45048 43377 8 091 11 125 18 128 43377 41809 5 109 9 128 18 126 41809 40327 6 133 8 136 15 122 40327 38923 8 142 8 154 13 123 38923 37558 9 149 9 164 11 128 37558 36166 9 152 11 165 11 134 36166 34715 9 158 12 165 13 145 34715 33210 9 159 12 162 14 154 33210 31634 11 145 12 156 12 161 31634 29977 11 136 12 151 10 159 29977 28238 11 149 11 160 9 163 28238 26419 10 158 9 175 5 181 26419 24521 5 128 4 180 1 090 24521 22550 3 137 1 149 4 048 22550 20498 6 147 5 188 1 268 20498 18360 9 161 9 197 6 222 18360 16183 10 164 10 190 6 215 16183 14091 9 170 9 185 8 200 14091 12192 10 173 11 178 11 197 12192 10505 11 171 13 188 14 193 10505 9006 12 179 12 202 18 189 9006 7670 16 186 13*201 19 189 7670 6481 16 190 14*195 19 191 6481 5425 15*192 15 192 19 193 5425 4493 15*192 15 190 19 193 4493 3668 15 191 15 190 18 192 3668 2929 16 191 16 190 18 191 2929 2275 16 191 16 190 16 190 2275 1728 16 191 15 190 15 188 1728 1309 15 190 15 191 14 188 1309 1020 15 190 15 191 13*188 1020 844 14 190 14 191 12*187 844 744 13 190 12 191 9 187 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography