DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 04/16 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 80.4 - - 80.2 - - 73.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 187 - - 5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2445 - - 3361 - - 1508 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1839 - - 2650 - - 726 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3105 - - 4021 - - 2168 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1889 - - 1982 - - 4252 - - 239 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 286 - - 352 - - 99 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 18 - - 18 - - 15 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 205 - - 204 - - 194 - - 152 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 6 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - -4 - - -8 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 856 - - 661 - - -1641 - - -1154 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2250 - - 3360 - - 3809 - - 1897 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 552 - - -183 - - -2890 - - -3772 ODpotential blCL - - - 2553 - - 4204 - - 5058 - - 4515 blCL maxRH - - - 98 - - 85 - - 73 - - 92 maxRH CAPE - - - 2210 - - 2260 - - 1580 - - 1610 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 76.2 - - 80.4 - - 80.2 - - 73.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.6 - - 67.8 - - 65.8 - - 67.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 75.5 - - 79.2 - - 80.3 - - 75.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.9 - - 67.4 - - 65.4 - - 67.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 131 - - 187 - - 5 - - -13 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2445 - - 3361 - - 1508 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 91 - - 40 - - 0 - - 70 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 14 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97383 43 292 40 296 46 294 43 302 97383 90066 30 307 29 308 33 297 42 302 90066 84464 23 333 20 327 23 327 25 317 84464 79842 12 332 10 313 18 331 20 358 79842 75842 5 326 5 283 5 343 7 351 75842 72286 8 256 11 256 7 311 1 295 72286 69076 16 218 14 264 12 273 8 284 69076 66145 19 213 21 234 23 238 18 256 66145 63437 17 237 22 243 25 238 25 248 63437 60824 32 248 32 247 35 243 33 240 60824 58096 37 240 34 241 35 246 40 244 58096 55264 48 247 44 251 50 253 49 249 55264 52564 58 252 57 255 59 256 60 252 52564 50133 73 252 77 254 79 254 72 251 50133 47958 84 250 89 251 81 255 81 255 47958 45992 90 252 89 255 84 261 85 261 45992 44188 98 256 96 260 91 262 90 262 44188 42514 107 256 102 258 95 261 94 258 42514 40952 108 255 101 257 96 259 95 257 40952 39487 103 256 94 259 95 260 94 260 39487 38108 93 255 81 261 87 262 88 264 38108 36775 89 257 76 260 74 263 77 264 36775 35417 85 259 72 257 66 259 73 262 35417 34006 81 261 66 257 65 256 73 260 34006 32545 79 262 65 258 64 256 68 259 32545 31018 78 260 64 259 58 254 57 262 31018 29410 77 260 61 259 54 256 54 263 29410 27722 75 262 58 260 53 260 51 261 27722 25950 71 262 56 262 49 259 46 260 25950 24100 62 261 55 266 44 256 43 256 24100 22175 47 259 52 268 43 256 41 253 22175 20169 39 254 49 264 41 260 37 255 20169 18076 37 255 42 260 38 262 32 256 18076 15944 38 269 36 265 30 259 27 248 15944 13893 33 269 33 262 27 242 26 240 13893 12023 27 260 27 258 24 235 27 223 12023 10350 19 258 22 260 16 234 26 218 10350 8859 11 224 15 244 12 224 24 211 8859 7537 10 204 14 202 23 197 27 209 7537 6367 14 194 17 189 28 192 27 197 6367 5330 16 208 19 194 28 191 26 186 5330 4416 18 213 19*201 27 192 27 180 4416 3607 18*213 19*203 25 194 28 177 3607 2882 19*208 19 204 23 195 28 176 2882 2241 19 206 19 204 20*195 26 175 2241 1706 18 205 18 204 18*194 22 175 1706 1295 18 205 18 204 17 194 18 174 1295 1012 17 204 17 204 15 193 15 171 1012 840 16 204 16 204 13 194 10 166 840 743 13 204 14 204 11 194 5*152 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography