DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 06/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 88.4 - - 86.6 - - 82.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 157 - - 9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2319 - - 3678 - - 2442 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1916 - - 2851 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2979 - - 4338 - - 3102 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1992 - - 3230 - - 2369 - - 3854 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 316 - - 355 - - 151 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 3 - - 3 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 20 - - 20 - - 24 - - 11 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 194 - - 182 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 7 - - 12 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -2 - - -6 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 606 - - 88 - - -284 - - -960 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2373 - - 4250 - - 3386 - - 1704 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -17 - - -1368 - - -2327 - - -2260 ODpotential blCL - - - 2996 - - 5706 - - 5429 - - 3003 blCL maxRH - - - 95 - - 76 - - 76 - - 95 maxRH CAPE - - - 1940 - - 1730 - - 2340 - - 3000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.8 - - 88.4 - - 86.6 - - 82.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 74.3 - - 71.8 - - 73.7 - - 76.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 81.7 - - 87.5 - - 86.6 - - 82.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 73.7 - - 70.9 - - 73.2 - - 76.2 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 184 - - 157 - - 9 - - -24 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2319 - - 3678 - - 2442 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 81 - - 3 - - 4 - - 78 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 15 - - 18 - - 20 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98506 28 109 17 122 12 061 21 038 98506 91039 27 091 28 112 14 113 14 075 91039 85311 16 086 22 093 18 103 21 102 85311 80564 14 095 21 072 24 084 21 102 80564 76502 19 094 19 085 24 076 21 087 76502 72936 19 096 16 085 18 076 22 074 72936 69706 18 091 17 078 17 088 20 074 69706 66752 19 092 18 091 16 092 18 082 66752 64046 19 095 16 099 13 101 14 073 64046 61456 12 115 8 127 10 101 9 094 61456 58776 12 170 10 182 3 230 3 335 58776 56010 12 184 14 197 12 233 15 246 56010 53379 13 242 15 249 21 258 20 248 53379 51010 24 263 21 277 19 277 15 264 51010 48876 32 271 31 289 28 289 25 292 48876 46918 41 278 48 281 38 284 34 288 46918 45104 49 280 53 277 43 283 42 285 45104 43413 52 281 53 279 46 284 48 288 43413 41825 50 283 52 282 49 285 52 289 41825 40327 51 284 51 283 50 286 49 288 40327 38910 55 284 53 283 50 287 44 286 38910 37536 51 285 51 282 49 288 41 288 37536 36139 40 282 43 279 47 289 41 287 36139 34687 34 273 34 268 44 287 39 284 34687 33183 33 259 32 265 34 268 34 279 33183 31612 32 258 32 255 30 249 29 269 31612 29961 31 245 30 251 28 244 26 259 29961 28228 28 229 30 236 25 235 23 259 28228 26414 28 223 31 226 26 228 20 251 26414 24520 29 217 27 223 20 234 17 249 24520 22551 25 218 21 231 11 267 11 266 22551 20503 16 238 15 261 10 296 4 338 20503 18369 13 237 15 275 11 293 6 359 18369 16198 13 252 14 268 9 285 9 328 16198 14103 12 240 13 253 10 283 7 321 14103 12190 11 213 12 219 8 264 2 357 12190 10487 12 203 15 209 9 258 3 249 10487 8976 16 199 20 191 13 225 13 220 8976 7637 20 189 26 184 24 201 21 205 7637 6449 24 199 24 195 29 196 25 208 6449 5397 25 202 23 197 29 196 27 202 5397 4470 24 202 22*197 28 194 30 193 4470 3651 24*201 21*196 28*190 32 189 3651 2916 22*193 21 195 27*185 32 187 2916 2266 21 188 20 194 26 183 32 186 2266 1722 21 184 20 193 25 182 30 185 1722 1304 20 181 19 193 23 181 26 183 1304 1017 19 180 19 192 21 180 20 181 1017 843 18 179 17 192 19 180 17 180 843 743 15 178 15 192 15 180 11*179 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography