DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 09/10 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.7 - - 95.4 - - 86.6 - - 85.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 277 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4344 - - 5959 - - 657 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3648 - - 4804 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5004 - - 6619 - - 1317 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2788 - - 4197 - - 2921 - - 2201 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 469 - - 483 - - 73 - - 12 W* B/S - - - 10 - - 14 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 9 - - 6 - - 3 - - 2 BL Wind Direction - - - 195 - - 167 - - 313 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 8 - - -5 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -285 - - -265 - - -1445 - - -2693 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5290 - - 6884 - - 2762 - - 3437 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -972 - - -1443 - - -3616 - - -5001 ODpotential blCL - - - 5976 - - 8062 - - 4933 - - 5745 blCL maxRH - - - 80 - - 74 - - 87 - - 74 maxRH CAPE - - - 2340 - - 1850 - - 4120 - - 2470 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.7 - - 95.4 - - 86.6 - - 85.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.7 - - 67.5 - - 76.4 - - 72.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.5 - - 93.5 - - 86.7 - - 87.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.4 - - 67.1 - - 76.0 - - 71.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 352 - - 277 - - 4 - - -2 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4344 - - 5959 - - 657 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 19 - - 0 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 14 - - 19 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98820 12 097 17 112 5 123 11 037 98820 91313 20 111 16 094 15 078 23 072 91313 85527 20 105 15 098 18 071 25 084 85527 80766 20 093 18 113 17 066 24 083 80766 76691 20 084 19 106 16 087 18 073 76691 73099 17 094 16 085 19 107 9 077 73099 69843 18 111 8 066 15 104 8 119 69843 66850 15 115 4 110 8 089 10 118 66850 64090 11 124 5 155 4 358 7 107 64090 61447 8 103 12 169 7 270 2 266 61447 58734 1 045 9 134 7 208 5 265 58734 55951 3 252 1 151 4 237 6 286 55951 53301 8 041 5 017 3 263 11 298 53301 50908 20 024 18 012 10 021 11 315 50908 48749 28 010 25 007 18 009 12 340 48749 46783 32 011 27 006 22 007 16 358 46783 44976 30 014 26 006 25 000 20 001 44976 43298 26 026 25 007 25 352 24 350 43298 41725 24 040 19 029 20 354 23 343 41725 40240 23 040 20 030 17 359 17 356 40240 38834 22 037 23 028 17 006 16 012 38834 37472 18 044 22 026 21 002 21 359 37472 36081 15 055 16 024 19 003 25 347 36081 34632 11 063 10 014 15 357 23 349 34632 33128 6 049 10 001 15 349 20 354 33128 31556 3 356 10 352 15 357 19 360 31556 29904 4 269 5 312 10 356 18 002 29904 28171 4 236 6 272 5 322 15 359 28171 26356 2 263 6 296 6 319 8 339 26356 24464 2 012 4 325 6 331 7 314 24464 22500 4 007 4 335 4 331 7 315 22500 20459 3 327 6 319 6 334 5 321 20459 18332 3 312 7 330 9 336 6 349 18332 16162 5 230 5 326 9 341 9 356 16162 14073 5 219 5 294 12 340 13 351 14073 12174 3 342 6 295 10 329 11 347 12174 10489 7 003 6 304 4 279 6 331 10489 8992 7 351 6 335 5 189 5 302 8992 7658 8 344 4*353 7 174 4 271 7658 6470 4 326 3*142 8 171 4 202 6470 5416 4*229 4 150 8 173 7 182 5416 4485 8*200 6 165 7 178 9 185 4485 3661 8 197 7 168 6 185 11 187 3661 2923 9 195 7 171 4 197 13 186 2923 2270 9 194 8 172 3 228 15 184 2270 1725 9 193 8 173 3*296 14 183 1725 1306 9 193 8 174 3*311 12 184 1306 1018 9 192 8 174 3 313 7 189 1018 844 9 192 7 174 3 314 5*187 844 744 8 192 7 174 3 313 2*172 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography