DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 06/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 91.7 - - 94.6 - - 92.2 - - 85.1 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 383 - - 79 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3408 - - 4896 - - 4443 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3021 - - 4114 - - 2872 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4068 - - 5556 - - 5103 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 977 - - 1604 - - 2106 - - 3107 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 478 - - 503 - - 293 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 24 - - 24 - - 25 - - 13 BL Wind Direction - - - 193 - - 186 - - 180 - - 172 Direction Wind Shear - - - 8 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 2 - - -6 - - -11 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1860 - - -1032 - - -844 - - -3173 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5929 - - 6588 - - 5947 - - 3917 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5548 - - -4499 - - -3846 - - -7636 ODpotential blCL - - - 9616 - - 10055 - - 8949 - - 8380 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 60 - - 64 - - 60 maxRH CAPE - - - 1310 - - 1590 - - 1690 - - 1500 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 91.7 - - 94.6 - - 92.2 - - 85.1 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 68.1 - - 68.0 - - 68.5 - - 70.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 89.5 - - 92.5 - - 91.7 - - 86.0 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 67.8 - - 67.6 - - 68.3 - - 70.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 475 - - 383 - - 79 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3408 - - 4896 - - 4443 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 13 - - 15 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98736 29 085 38 097 26 110 15 067 98736 91197 27 082 25 095 27 078 25 080 91197 85438 26 094 20 092 19 064 29 076 85438 80712 20 093 19 090 16 066 28 061 80712 76664 18 095 17 084 21 077 22 067 76664 73099 18 096 15 093 20 076 20 078 73099 69877 16 096 14 085 18 081 16 074 69877 66917 10 096 12 076 17 083 13 082 66917 64184 9 133 7 107 9 068 11 064 64184 61544 8 146 8 167 1 192 6 040 61544 58806 6 185 7 160 4 182 4 108 58806 56003 6 184 5 164 5 192 2 158 56003 53365 4 248 3 360 3 054 4 050 53365 51000 6 276 7 338 8 354 7 353 51000 48864 6 246 3 279 7 322 9 302 48864 46906 5 240 3 207 2 245 10 288 46906 45094 6 255 3 209 9 130 2 195 45094 43406 6 268 1 151 9 135 9 133 43406 41829 3 155 2 307 8 129 8 121 41829 40341 8 131 5 311 8 110 11 119 40341 38928 8 115 5 326 7 093 10 109 38928 37555 9 086 4 015 6 072 11 094 37555 36157 12 083 5 081 5 067 11 094 36157 34706 11 094 8 128 4 099 9 106 34706 33202 9 118 7 161 6 132 7 123 33202 31630 12 145 11 173 8 161 4 152 31630 29974 18 148 16 166 10 175 5 176 29974 28237 20 155 17 168 13 182 6 197 28237 26417 18 165 16 176 13 187 7 182 26417 24519 17 169 16 181 14 182 14 168 24519 22550 19 173 20 180 20 183 16 188 22550 20504 22 173 25 186 22 189 14 217 20504 18375 26 180 29 193 22 200 17 212 18375 16207 26 181 27 192 24 192 19 203 16207 14113 21 192 23 189 23 189 18 196 14113 12204 20 198 19 193 18 193 17 197 12204 10506 24 198 23 194 20 201 18 194 10506 8996 29 197 28 197 25 206 22 195 8996 7653 32 198 30 203 27 206 25 195 7653 6461 34 204 29*204 27 193 27 182 6461 5406 35 208 25*193 28*182 31 174 5406 4476 31*205 25 187 27*180 32 172 4476 3654 25*196 24 185 27 180 33 174 3654 2918 25 194 24 185 27 180 34 177 2918 2266 24 193 24 184 26 180 34 176 2266 1722 24 193 24 185 25 180 32 175 1722 1305 23 192 23 185 24 181 29 174 1305 1018 22 192 22 185 23 181 22 173 1018 844 21 192 21 185 20 181 20*173 844 744 18 192 18 185 16 181 13*172 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography