DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: TUE 12/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 43.3 - - 56.4 - - 60.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 28 - - 217 - - 122 - - -45 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 208 - - 1148 - - 1403 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 1106 - - 911 - - 725 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 868 - - 1808 - - 2063 - - 741 - - 741 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 334 - - 511 - - 805 - - 622 - - 361 Hgt.Variab. W* 73 - - 255 - - 226 - - 12 - - 12 W* B/S 1 - - 3 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 16 - - 21 - - 11 - - 12 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 194 - - 196 - - 183 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 5 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 1 - - -2 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2052 - - -2904 - - -2933 - - -2260 - - -2844 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 2920 - - 4713 - - 4996 - - 3002 - - 3586 sfcLCL ODpotential -15396 - - -12900 - - -12247 - - -13955 - - -15532 ODpotential blCL 16264 - - 14708 - - 14310 - - 14696 - - 16273 blCL maxRH 69 - - 62 - - 56 - - 62 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 43.3 - - 56.4 - - 60.1 - - 52.5 - - 50.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 33.5 - - 38.7 - - 41.1 - - 42.1 - - 37.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 43.2 - - 55.2 - - 59.5 - - 54.2 - - 52.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 33.4 - - 38.4 - - 40.8 - - 42.1 - - 37.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 28 - - 217 - - 122 - - -45 - - -62 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 208 - - 1148 - - 1403 - - 81 - - 81 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96333 29 255 37 268 32 267 39 262 43 276 96333 89113 10 284 20 261 24 271 22 285 19 307 89113 83522 21 310 13 282 25 268 21 320 11 313 83522 78878 20 296 17 297 21 268 25 320 15 324 78878 74913 14 283 19 284 17 297 22 297 25 323 74913 71433 19 306 17 262 19 301 17 273 21 312 71433 68287 28 299 21 280 25 298 15 281 12 318 68287 65379 39 286 32 290 36 299 15 293 14 307 65379 62673 45 280 43 285 43 293 32 291 29 301 62673 60065 48 279 48 281 44 283 46 285 44 296 60065 57364 48 277 50 276 47 274 51 279 56 286 57364 54573 51 276 53 274 51 270 55 274 64 280 54573 51908 58 274 62 280 60 279 60 277 70 277 51908 49510 71 275 74 279 71 278 67 280 74 274 49510 47368 80 274 80 275 73 277 70 281 75 277 47368 45437 86 277 81 278 65 276 61 278 73 277 45437 43679 91 279 77 276 49 285 41 284 48 272 43679 42063 89 279 58 288 53 310 36 305 37 273 42063 40553 78 285 58 299 56 309 32 318 31 311 40553 39135 63 296 58 298 47 304 29 336 38 329 39135 37792 48 300 50 294 40 313 37 343 38 332 37792 36486 33 318 36 310 39 324 43 342 31 333 36486 35152 37 007 30 342 39 328 47 343 23 316 35152 33761 46 017 33 353 35 329 44 346 25 299 33761 32315 46 015 35 355 30 334 41 338 30 302 32315 30798 53 019 32 351 27 337 36 332 26 296 30798 29199 42 009 27 343 27 333 35 322 20 271 29199 27520 36 351 26 332 27 325 39 311 29 280 27520 25759 36 337 30 314 32 318 39 307 34 295 25759 23915 37 329 32 301 33 307 41 304 33 300 23915 21989 36 322 35 314 31 298 39 298 31 305 21989 19976 37 310 41 322 31 311 36 298 28 306 19976 17875 38 302 36 309 35 318 34 302 29 304 17875 15735 34 302 34 307 33 302 32 300 33 304 15735 13673 30 299 32 301 31 302 31 294 35 302 13673 11796 32 292 27 292 29 293 29 294 34 297 11796 10127 26 285 26 288 29 290 28 296 32 295 10127 8647 16 274 20 270 28 283 32 285 27 291 8647 7336 7 247 14 243 24 269 30 273 25 286 7336 6177 7 275 12 202 23 238 29 261 26 279 6177 5158 13 275 14 213 25 219 31 247 31 265 5158 4265 18 253 19 226 28 218 33 238 37 244 4265 3480 20 238 24 222 31 218 35 228 36 232 3480 2780 22 227 25 213 30 211 35 218 41 220 2780 2165 24 215 23*207 27*204 33 207 42 210 2165 1653 26 206 17*196 23*197 32 196 41 201 1653 1262 24 202 17 194 22 196 29 190 36 198 1262 995 16*194 16 194 21 195 22 185 25 193 995 833 14*192 15 193 19 195 18 184 21*193 833 741 10 190 13 193 16 195 11*183 12*191 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography