DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 12/07 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 44.9 - - 47.3 - - 48.8 - - 44.4 - - 40.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 46 - - 45 - - 58 - - -25 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 417 - - 1028 - - 1592 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth Hcrit 724 - - 724 - - 724 - - 724 - - 724 Hcrit BL Top 1077 - - 1688 - - 2252 - - 740 - - 740 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 778 - - 917 - - 614 - - 2206 - - 2085 Hgt.Variab. W* 109 - - 148 - - 186 - - 15 - - 14 W* B/S 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 16 - - 23 - - 22 - - 10 - - 10 BL Wind Direction 346 - - 358 - - 356 - - 350 - - 344 Direction Wind Shear 6 - - 12 - - 11 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -5 - - -6 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 264 - - 448 - - 304 - - -988 - - -981 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 813 - - 1240 - - 1948 - - 1728 - - 1721 sfcLCL ODpotential 180 - - 245 - - -5770 - - -1538 - - -1921 ODpotential blCL 897 - - 1443 - - 8022 - - 2278 - - 2661 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 97 - - 92 - - 88 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 44.9 - - 47.3 - - 48.8 - - 44.4 - - 40.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 43.9 - - 44.6 - - 43.0 - - 39.8 - - 35.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 44.7 - - 47.3 - - 48.6 - - 45.3 - - 41.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 43.8 - - 44.4 - - 42.7 - - 39.7 - - 35.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 46 - - 45 - - 58 - - -25 - - -26 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 417 - - 1028 - - 1592 - - 80 - - 80 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 101 - - 90 - - 69 - - 50 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 6 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96466 15 224 14 242 23 254 28 279 26 292 96466 89208 5 293 10 233 21 237 24 263 24 278 89208 83628 14 267 16 240 19 256 21 262 20 248 83628 78981 21 265 19 238 23 246 25 268 20 268 78981 74992 21 256 22 249 22 251 28 259 24 267 74992 71489 22 256 25 263 22 270 22 253 19 246 71489 68316 32 260 33 258 32 273 32 270 27 262 68316 65414 38 260 43 265 39 270 42 268 41 271 65414 62762 36 267 46 258 54 268 51 265 49 269 62762 60220 41 268 48 259 54 264 53 273 51 275 60220 57568 43 268 48 260 53 267 61 275 63 279 57568 54818 51 272 52 266 54 266 63 263 65 270 54818 52176 60 276 58 275 56 266 60 266 60 263 52176 49763 66 275 70 278 65 271 75 283 62 279 49763 47575 69 264 78 273 79 275 85 282 72 281 47575 45575 69 255 80 267 85 272 85 278 80 277 45575 43727 69 254 79 264 85 268 85 273 84 274 43727 42010 70 258 79 261 82 267 86 268 85 269 42010 40409 72 262 81 260 82 267 85 266 88 264 40409 38910 76 264 85 259 84 265 84 266 87 264 38910 37505 83 266 81 262 84 267 82 268 83 265 37505 36156 88 264 85 269 90 268 82 269 78 266 36156 34791 86 264 92 266 92 265 79 269 76 271 34791 33381 85 264 93 259 92 263 76 272 79 274 33381 31923 86 262 91 256 88 266 74 285 81 275 31923 30397 80 261 84 261 84 273 78 293 80 277 30397 28792 69 259 81 269 80 281 80 297 79 282 28792 27107 65 262 78 270 78 287 81 301 76 285 27107 25340 63 263 72 261 80 285 80 305 72 289 25340 23492 58 264 69 258 80 280 78 306 73 291 23492 21566 52 265 66 263 70 282 77 299 75 295 21566 19563 53 263 62 263 63 282 73 304 63 303 19563 17480 55 263 54 266 50 281 66 317 52 321 17480 15355 52 268 40 278 39 283 51 317 47 331 15355 13318 42 276 31 272 29 289 29 303 38 330 13318 11488 34 276 27 266 23 291 28 309 28 322 11488 9872 23 282 21 281 22 307 29 320 26 336 9872 8436 17 253 19 282 24 331 30 339 28 348 8436 7159 22 249 19 297 24 343 28 345 28 351 7159 6027 22 258 20 321 28 348 28 345 29 356 6027 5027 15 267 15 337 28 000 29 350 26 357 5027 4148 3 277 18 020 26 009 27 007 23 001 4148 3383 16 039 26 020 28 008 26 012 23 014 3383 2709 26 027 31 004 27*001 26 006 26 011 2709 2117 26 012 30*001 25*357 25 001 26 004 2117 1625 23 355 28*359 24 356 24 358 24 357 1625 1247 20*348 25 358 23 355 22 355 22 350 1247 988 18*346 23 357 21 355 18 352 18 346 988 830 16 346 20 357 19 354 16 352 15 345 830 740 13 345 15 356 14 354 10*350 10*344 740 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography