DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/01 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.5 - - 95.9 - - 94.8 - - 86.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 256 - - 8 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3920 - - 5850 - - 5466 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3334 - - 4694 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4580 - - 6510 - - 6126 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1146 - - 939 - - 1950 - - 162 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 459 - - 472 - - 181 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 7 - - 6 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 12 - - 14 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 006 - - 354 - - 359 - - 010 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -2 - - -4 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3300 - - -3132 - - -3834 - - -6846 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7880 - - 9643 - - 9961 - - 7591 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8239 - - -7428 - - -8269 - - -12192 ODpotential blCL - - - 12819 - - 13938 - - 14395 - - 12936 blCL maxRH - - - 70 - - 99 - - 61 - - 36 maxRH CAPE - - - 70 - - 70 - - 10 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.5 - - 95.9 - - 94.8 - - 86.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 60.5 - - 56.2 - - 53.7 - - 55.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.3 - - 94.3 - - 94.9 - - 88.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 59.7 - - 55.2 - - 52.8 - - 55.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 357 - - 256 - - 8 - - -20 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3920 - - 5850 - - 5466 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 97 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 11 - - 9 - - 8 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99027 38 094 37 091 39 087 37 083 99027 91577 44 099 43 093 39 098 38 075 91577 85825 46 096 41 091 37 091 37 082 85825 81067 38 089 37 088 32 082 36 081 81067 76978 30 083 31 086 31 082 33 080 76978 73373 25 081 25 091 25 084 29 081 73373 70120 21 083 20 090 20 080 25 080 70120 67135 18 090 17 082 16 080 21 071 67135 64369 15 080 21 083 14 096 15 077 64369 61697 14 070 19 085 15 087 14 088 61697 58928 8 058 9 065 11 035 11 056 58928 56092 9 031 6 021 9 332 18 355 56092 53433 11 359 8 024 6 323 17 326 53433 51057 14 322 13 357 15 341 13 318 51057 48909 16 308 18 322 23 315 19 321 48909 46936 10 280 16 296 27 296 25 309 46936 45110 9 235 18 278 25 284 32 300 45110 43409 7 266 20 266 29 275 34 291 43409 41810 7 276 22 274 31 279 34 282 41810 40299 20 294 28 284 25 273 31 272 40299 38870 31 309 32 287 23 273 33 267 38870 37487 33 311 32 285 28 278 36 268 37487 36078 28 301 29 276 31 280 39 271 36078 34612 26 287 28 269 34 280 42 274 34612 33093 23 278 30 268 36 279 42 273 33093 31511 24 280 32 272 39 275 45 264 31511 29850 23 279 29 271 41 270 48 257 29850 28107 24 274 28 277 38 268 45 267 28107 26288 23 261 32 272 36 271 35 298 26288 24396 19 286 30 271 31 283 22 328 24396 22433 20 308 26 302 34 305 27 334 22433 20394 19 305 22 312 33 320 31 338 20394 18279 19 305 23 318 39 331 32 343 18279 16126 21 330 25 324 36 332 33 343 16126 14046 24 326 26 324 35 341 30 346 14046 12149 27 330 26 332 31 341 24 348 12149 10462 29 340 27 344 27 340 16 339 10462 8966 26 343 27 349 23 344 16 334 8966 7636 25 345 23*354 15 347 17 338 7636 6452 25 350 15*351 13*350 15 350 6452 5401 21*356 14 352 13*353 14 002 5401 4474 13*003 14 353 13 355 14 010 4474 3653 13 004 14 354 12 358 14 013 3653 2917 13 005 14 355 12 000 15 016 2917 2266 13 007 13 356 12 002 15 018 2266 1722 12 008 13 357 12 002 15 019 1722 1305 12 009 12 357 11 004 14 019 1305 1017 11 009 12 358 11 004 12 016 1017 843 11 010 11 358 10 005 9*013 843 744 10 010 10 358 9 004 5*010 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography