DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 06/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 81.7 - - 76.9 - - 74.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 65 - - 5 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2609 - - 2990 - - 1398 - - 416 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1906 - - 1845 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3269 - - 3650 - - 2058 - - 1076 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1844 - - 2116 - - 1516 - - 1333 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 284 - - 257 - - 100 - - 55 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 10 - - 8 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 147 - - 137 - - 134 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 3 - - 3 - - 3 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -2 - - 11 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 819 - - 1005 - - 857 - - 333 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2451 - - 2645 - - 1202 - - 743 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 182 - - 69 - - 271 - - -82 ODpotential blCL - - - 3087 - - 3581 - - 1787 - - 1158 blCL maxRH - - - 93 - - 99 - - 99 - - 100 maxRH CAPE - - - 1560 - - 1980 - - 1880 - - 1380 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 81.7 - - 76.9 - - 74.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.4 - - 72.1 - - 73.5 - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 79.3 - - 81.2 - - 77.0 - - 74.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.3 - - 71.0 - - 73.0 - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 110 - - 65 - - 5 - - 4 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2609 - - 2990 - - 1398 - - 416 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 72 - - 97 - - 96 - - 99 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 16 - - 18 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98587 13 118 17 083 15 103 4 046 98587 91078 16 118 11 104 8 079 12 081 91078 85297 19 083 14 125 10 056 21 080 85297 80531 17 068 15 101 14 072 22 075 80531 76450 11 094 13 094 15 067 18 079 76450 72846 13 121 13 096 13 072 14 087 72846 69599 16 120 16 091 14 086 12 090 69599 66644 15 108 13 100 12 075 11 072 66644 63936 13 104 10 106 11 072 9 059 63936 61333 11 101 6 111 5 062 4 044 61333 58618 5 199 3 276 2 243 2 039 58618 55789 6 207 5 221 5 258 6 273 55789 53085 17 247 17 239 24 226 24 237 53085 50662 24 213 30 210 33 222 35 244 50662 48495 26 252 20 240 36 235 49 241 48495 46534 52 259 52 251 47 243 57 236 46534 44744 72 250 68 247 57 243 63 235 44744 43086 79 243 77 241 67 240 67 233 43086 41534 79 238 76 236 68 234 60 228 41534 40068 72 237 70 232 60 229 49 225 40068 38676 63 233 64 230 55 226 44 222 38676 37319 56 231 55 227 48 221 39 218 37319 35932 50 231 48 226 42 212 34 216 35932 34485 38 230 39 225 37 204 28 216 34485 32982 29 232 32 214 29 202 25 216 32982 31408 28 237 29 213 23 205 22 213 31408 29751 31 237 29 216 21 196 21 211 29751 28012 32 227 31 215 22 204 22 210 28012 26191 35 217 31 212 23 214 23 211 26191 24293 34 201 29 208 25 213 21 214 24293 22320 19 189 27 205 25 213 20 221 22320 20271 13 188 26 200 27 217 22 227 20271 18142 13 189 26 194 38 207 25 229 18142 15976 14 191 18 184 35 197 25 225 15976 13899 12 191 13 187 22 188 26 205 13899 12017 10 185 15 218 12 177 28 200 12017 10343 10 185 13 229 2 175 26 198 10343 8854 10 200 9 234 4 109 23 195 8854 7531 11 206 6 224 6 112 20 187 7531 6358 12 207 6 197 7 125 15 177 6358 5320 13 206 8 179 8 136 11 165 5320 4405 14 202 9*169 9 139 10 162 4405 3595 13*197 10*160 10 140 12 163 3595 2871 13*191 10 148 10 139 15 160 2871 2232 12 183 10 146 9*138 15 154 2232 1699 12 180 10 144 9*137 14 149 1699 1291 11 178 10 143 9 137 11*139 1291 1011 11 177 10 143 8 137 9*136 1011 840 10 177 10 143 8 137 8 134 840 743 9 176 9 142 6 136 7 133 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography