DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/14 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 86.7 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 120 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2977 - - 3067 - - - - - 1403 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2214 - - 2283 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3637 - - 3727 - - - - - 2063 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1795 - - 2706 - - - - - 1578 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 305 - - 309 - - - - - 99 W* B/S - - - 38 - - 23 - - - - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 1 - - 2 - - - - - 14 BL Wind Direction - - - 185 - - 118 - - - - - 052 Direction Wind Shear - - - 3 - - 1 - - - - - 7 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 4 - - -1 - - - - - -9 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 1067 - - 533 - - - - - -56 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 2570 - - 3194 - - - - - 2119 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - 224 - - -1015 - - - - - -1054 ODpotential blCL - - - 3413 - - 4742 - - - - - 3117 blCL maxRH - - - 100 - - 82 - - - - - 97 maxRH CAPE - - - 2530 - - 2710 - - - - - 580 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 84.3 - - 86.7 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 75.0 - - 74.7 - - - - - 70.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 83.5 - - 85.8 - - - - - 77.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 74.1 - - 73.6 - - - - - 70.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 121 - - 120 - - - - - 8 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2977 - - 3067 - - - - - 1403 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 101 - - 29 - - - - - 90 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 18 - - 17 - - - - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98651 17 113 14 076 10 086 98651 91121 18 101 16 122 19 080 91121 85350 19 088 19 118 21 065 85350 80617 13 095 19 078 10 074 80617 76568 7 112 12 064 10 118 76568 72992 6 105 5 087 9 089 72992 69751 10 114 4 133 16 023 69751 66775 10 083 4 099 9 007 66775 64035 8 350 8 042 5 032 64035 61403 9 251 12 317 11 326 61403 58696 7 185 11 277 13 302 58696 55923 21 312 17 305 17 290 55923 53298 31 285 24 295 27 284 53298 50946 36 281 36 290 32 286 50946 48828 41 281 40 282 38 281 48828 46887 42 284 39 276 44 275 46887 45090 43 284 40 275 48 273 45090 43413 43 280 43 280 50 270 43413 41838 43 280 45 282 49 267 41838 40349 43 285 43 282 50 269 40349 38936 44 290 40 282 50 270 38936 37565 40 291 37 278 47 266 37565 36165 33 283 35 271 44 265 36165 34707 31 272 36 269 38 255 34707 33194 33 267 38 270 36 248 33194 31610 36 265 39 272 31 240 31610 29943 35 265 35 270 29 241 29943 28193 32 264 34 271 35 261 28193 26362 29 262 31 266 38 271 26362 24455 23 268 29 263 31 274 24455 22472 19 278 18 264 18 267 22472 20414 17 278 15 285 14 288 20414 18279 13 265 16 271 15 286 18279 16107 10 239 15 254 19 267 16107 14014 13 219 14 244 13 262 14014 12109 16 217 14 236 9 268 12109 10416 12 220 14 240 5 293 10416 8912 10 203 15 254 4 323 8912 7574 6 190 9 255 3 317 7574 6387 2 223 5 255 1 208 6387 5337 2 254 3 252 3 150 5337 4414 3*242 2*218 4 101 4414 3600 2*226 2*134 10 067 3600 2876 2 200 2 122 16 059 2876 2236 1 182 3 118 17*054 2236 1703 1 166 3 116 17*053 1703 1294 1 157 3 112 16 052 1294 1012 1 150 3 110 14 052 1012 841 1 142 3 111 13 052 841 743 1 144 3 113 10 052 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography