DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1333z - - 1853z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 85.0 - - 80.0 - - 75.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 138 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2089 - - 5425 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1808 - - 4020 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2749 - - 6085 - - 743 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 4003 - - 1429 - - 5372 - - 97 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 321 - - 377 - - 15 - - 8 W* B/S - - - 8 - - 13 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 7 - - 5 - - 4 - - 3 BL Wind Direction - - - 037 - - 073 - - 009 - - 002 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -8 - - -1 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3066 - - -222 - - -4031 - - -3349 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5815 - - 6307 - - 4775 - - 4092 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -7928 - - -4504 - - -8900 - - -9048 ODpotential blCL - - - 10677 - - 10589 - - 9643 - - 9791 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 73 - - 69 - - 59 maxRH CAPE - - - 550 - - 910 - - 970 - - 680 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 82.0 - - 85.0 - - 80.0 - - 75.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.2 - - 59.9 - - 61.6 - - 60.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 80.6 - - 84.0 - - 81.7 - - 79.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.4 - - 59.1 - - 60.9 - - 60.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 228 - - 138 - - -8 - - -3 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 2089 - - 5425 - - 83 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 10 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97858 31 232 31 240 26 245 23 255 97858 90536 19 202 19 236 16 259 14 281 90536 84855 12 168 14 209 15 225 10 275 84855 80121 2 116 5 216 9 199 9 257 80121 76064 6 311 5 272 4 188 7 238 76064 72503 10 277 8 285 7 330 4 338 72503 69298 3 298 4 218 8 285 9 317 69298 66367 5 331 5 218 9 271 12 303 66367 63665 6 317 8 233 13 262 16 291 63665 61067 11 312 7 254 14 271 17 283 61067 58368 19 307 8 325 12 281 15 276 58368 55567 21 296 16 319 13 301 13 280 55567 52885 21 298 22 298 16 297 12 267 52885 50459 21 302 24 287 19 287 14 263 50459 48269 20 311 24 287 24 279 18 258 48269 46264 24 316 24 293 24 276 22 252 46264 44413 24 314 25 290 23 272 24 244 44413 42693 23 323 25 284 22 261 25 237 42693 41087 22 319 20 295 19 257 23 231 41087 39583 19 319 19 303 17 257 22 227 39583 38169 18 311 20 292 20 257 21 229 38169 36803 15 284 17 277 19 252 17 228 36803 35419 13 256 17 273 13 257 14 215 35419 33989 9 239 12 260 11 260 10 204 33989 32519 4 181 6 180 7 233 6 216 32519 30996 7 161 7 155 8 147 5 176 30996 29400 9 162 6 166 5 150 7 138 29400 27724 9 165 6 174 3 115 7 107 27724 25965 7 170 4 156 5 083 9 105 25965 24127 6 186 2 086 7 075 10 093 24127 22211 1 171 5 058 8 076 11 079 22211 20212 4 103 6 078 10 093 9 084 20212 18122 11 096 9 092 11 098 9 088 18122 15990 13 096 11 096 11 096 11 086 15990 13932 15 104 11 103 10 095 13 091 13932 12054 16 112 12 107 11 099 14 104 12054 10379 14 114 10 115 8 087 12 106 10379 8888 12 105 9 115 6 099 12 105 8888 7563 9 091 9 105 8 100 14 099 7563 6389 5 085 7*097 10 102 14 095 6389 5350 6 100 6*093 10 107 12 099 5350 4431 6 092 6 087 8 108 10 106 4431 3618 7 073 5 078 6 102 8 109 3618 2890 7*052 5 068 4 082 6 105 2890 2246 7*041 5 064 3 043 5 083 2246 1708 7 037 5 061 4 021 6 059 1708 1296 7 036 5 058 5 012 6 044 1296 1013 7 036 5 057 6 010 5 034 1013 841 7 036 5 056 5*008 4*017 841 743 6 036 5 056 4*009 3*002 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography