DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 56.7 - - 65.9 - - 68.5 - - 63.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 119 - - 308 - - 194 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 720 - - 3684 - - 3859 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 3086 - - 3019 - - 725 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 1380 - - 4344 - - 4519 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 745 - - 513 - - 820 - - 3796 - - 1430 Hgt.Variab. W* 178 - - 423 - - 369 - - 13 - - 16 W* B/S 5 - - 11 - - 10 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 7 - - 7 - - 6 - - 4 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 129 - - 152 - - 160 - - 129 - - 122 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 2 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - 4 - - 6 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2652 - - -3227 - - -3387 - - -5338 - - -4074 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4032 - - 7572 - - 7906 - - 6080 - - 4816 sfcLCL ODpotential -15587 - - -14805 - - -14370 - - -17039 - - -16467 ODpotential blCL 16967 - - 19149 - - 18889 - - 17781 - - 17209 blCL maxRH 64 - - 81 - - 77 - - 50 - - 45 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 56.7 - - 65.9 - - 68.5 - - 63.8 - - 60.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 42.2 - - 35.9 - - 36.9 - - 40.3 - - 42.3 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 55.9 - - 64.2 - - 67.2 - - 65.1 - - 61.6 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 41.8 - - 35.1 - - 36.2 - - 39.7 - - 41.9 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 119 - - 308 - - 194 - - -10 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 720 - - 3684 - - 3859 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 24 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 6 - - 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 6 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97964 20 259 30 261 25 274 31 270 28 282 97964 90666 16 245 25 254 23 271 18 271 19 294 90666 85048 19 274 11 253 18 260 14 295 12 284 85048 80359 15 274 8 251 14 251 14 265 13 284 80359 76301 11 251 10 263 13 264 15 270 13 281 76301 72713 11 256 11 276 11 286 13 302 9 251 72713 69481 9 300 9 265 11 282 12 305 5 305 69481 66544 7 351 7 245 10 257 13 282 11 341 66544 63854 11 354 2 268 5 239 8 270 9 321 63854 61264 12 319 10 347 5 342 8 316 6 301 61264 58571 14 308 18 316 10 324 10 294 8 307 58571 55799 8 299 20 303 19 307 19 280 20 299 55799 53171 32 298 35 289 34 302 32 299 30 296 53171 50798 34 294 40 292 41 301 37 301 33 289 50798 48649 38 299 43 293 42 296 39 298 35 285 48649 46678 43 294 46 293 46 293 41 298 37 293 46678 44859 49 290 49 290 49 290 46 297 40 300 44859 43164 53 287 51 288 50 288 47 296 41 298 43164 41574 55 286 51 288 50 288 47 293 42 294 41574 40076 55 285 50 287 50 288 47 289 41 287 40076 38659 54 284 49 284 49 285 45 289 38 285 38659 37285 54 283 48 280 47 282 44 290 37 286 37285 35885 50 286 46 279 45 280 42 289 38 284 35885 34427 44 288 41 280 41 280 39 286 38 282 34427 32918 35 283 36 282 37 281 33 284 36 279 32918 31343 29 282 32 281 32 285 29 282 31 277 31343 29692 28 278 27 275 29 284 28 277 28 279 29692 27963 23 279 22 275 31 279 31 277 28 280 27963 26150 20 271 23 277 24 275 31 277 26 278 26150 24262 18 255 23 265 25 271 26 266 22 275 24262 22303 15 263 15 237 20 269 18 249 16 252 22303 20254 17 268 13 259 16 255 8 267 6 237 20254 18106 18 250 15 264 11 266 5 281 1 169 18106 15913 15 207 14 237 11 251 7 269 4 214 15913 13805 8 208 13 196 15 216 10 238 8 250 13805 11894 7 205 11 188 13 193 13 215 11 235 11894 10199 9 181 10 192 10 182 10 182 10 199 10199 8698 8 167 14 174 15 170 12 176 11 181 8698 7370 6 122 16 164 18 166 17 168 18 173 7370 6201 5 129 14 160 13 166 16 159 18 168 6201 5178 5 166 9*161 7*155 11 152 12 166 5178 4286 7 168 7*153 7*154 8 148 9 164 4286 3502 7 154 7 153 7 155 8 147 8 156 3502 2802 9 146 7 153 7 158 8 142 10 145 2802 2184 10 141 7 152 6 161 8 137 12 138 2184 1668 10*136 7 151 6 163 9 135 14 136 1668 1273 8*132 7 151 6 164 8 132 14 136 1273 1000 6 128 6 150 6 166 8 132 12 133 1000 836 6 127 6 149 6 167 6*131 10*129 836 742 5 127 6 150 5 167 4*129 5*122 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography