DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 08/08 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 95.0 - - 95.1 - - 94.9 - - 87.5 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 294 - - 35 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5315 - - 4912 - - 5541 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 4436 - - 4022 - - 2670 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5975 - - 5572 - - 6201 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2927 - - 4282 - - 3360 - - 1387 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 514 - - 463 - - 249 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 14 - - 9 - - 4 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 6 - - 9 - - 12 - - 5 BL Wind Direction - - - 182 - - 147 - - 171 - - 174 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 5 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 9 - - -6 - - 7 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -876 - - -1710 - - -1415 - - -4272 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6852 - - 7282 - - 7616 - - 5017 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2280 - - -3203 - - -2973 - - -6874 ODpotential blCL - - - 8255 - - 8775 - - 9174 - - 7618 blCL maxRH - - - 79 - - 97 - - 87 - - 70 maxRH CAPE - - - 1740 - - 1450 - - 1140 - - 1460 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 95.0 - - 95.1 - - 94.9 - - 87.5 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.4 - - 65.6 - - 64.1 - - 68.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 92.7 - - 93.2 - - 94.7 - - 88.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.9 - - 65.1 - - 63.6 - - 67.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 376 - - 294 - - 35 - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 5315 - - 4912 - - 5541 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 17 - - 88 - - 47 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 12 - - 13 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99080 47 108 36 111 29 087 43 067 99080 91635 38 095 34 104 28 104 29 084 91635 85906 34 095 33 095 31 096 30 096 85906 81136 34 091 30 085 32 088 33 094 81136 77023 35 090 26 099 30 083 31 091 77023 73395 31 076 27 109 23 086 25 086 73395 70127 21 073 25 103 18 098 19 078 70127 67143 16 083 17 086 18 096 14 082 67143 64385 14 106 11 099 14 098 12 100 64385 61717 12 095 10 102 10 086 9 064 61717 58952 12 080 7 109 7 086 6 107 58952 56098 10 072 7 084 9 058 10 093 56098 53398 9 051 7 081 9 037 11 052 53398 50984 12 026 10 070 9 040 14 038 50984 48815 14 013 11 023 8 002 14 004 48815 46843 14 033 16 006 6 013 10 348 46843 45029 15 064 21 354 8 014 5 015 45029 43341 16 065 13 005 10 347 3 353 43341 41762 13 055 9 059 13 329 5 322 41762 40276 12 061 8 092 7 314 9 298 40276 38865 11 051 6 114 2 197 9 265 38865 37495 11 053 5 124 7 170 9 237 37495 36098 10 069 5 095 9 171 10 229 36098 34644 7 085 4 070 8 164 9 229 34644 33137 4 086 2 115 8 198 8 230 33137 31562 7 067 2 121 7 194 10 218 31562 29911 8 047 2 137 5 192 7 220 29911 28179 3 056 3 270 3 308 3 257 28179 26366 5 241 9 276 6 317 2 324 26366 24476 8 302 9 258 6 279 4 005 24476 22510 8 000 8 253 6 282 7 007 22510 20466 9 069 8 237 6 320 13 042 20466 18344 7 094 7 225 6 351 17 054 18344 16186 7 080 1 085 3 357 16 059 16186 14107 10 079 4 068 1 037 10 050 14107 12215 11 079 2 080 3 062 10 046 12215 10527 10 082 2 100 5 084 9 052 10527 9023 11 098 3 110 5 116 6 075 9023 7682 8 094 5 099 8 151 7 141 7682 6489 3*115 7*102 11*160 12 156 6489 5431 4*182 7*120 11*163 15 161 5431 4496 5 184 8 134 12 165 15 167 4496 3670 6 184 9 148 12 168 16 173 3670 2929 7 182 10 151 12 171 16 178 2929 2274 7 182 10 153 12 174 17 182 2274 1727 8 181 10 155 12 175 17 182 1727 1308 8 181 10 156 12 176 16 181 1308 1019 8 180 9 156 12 177 13 179 1019 844 8 180 9 157 11 177 11*177 844 744 8 180 8 157 9 177 5*174 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography