DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/06 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 60.7 - - 66.3 - - 69.0 - - 64.2 - - 59.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 71 - - 289 - - 155 - - -19 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1469 - - 2177 - - 3002 - - 82 - - 1055 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1933 - - 2275 - - 726 - - 725 Hcrit BL Top 2129 - - 2837 - - 3662 - - 742 - - 1715 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 695 - - 612 - - 1286 - - 3447 - - 540 Hgt.Variab. W* 191 - - 346 - - 314 - - 11 - - 127 W* B/S 2 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 15 - - 13 - - 14 - - 7 - - 17 BL Wind Direction 009 - - 026 - - 029 - - 027 - - 019 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 5 - - 4 - - 0 - - 8 Wind Shear Max.Converg -3 - - -1 - - -1 - - -1 - - -3 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 208 - - -1227 - - -878 - - -2694 - - -970 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1921 - - 4064 - - 4540 - - 3436 - - 2685 sfcLCL ODpotential 102 - - -3711 - - -2664 - - -5208 - - -4704 ODpotential blCL 2027 - - 6548 - - 6326 - - 5950 - - 6419 blCL maxRH 100 - - 94 - - 98 - - 93 - - 99 maxRH CAPE 20 - - 30 - - 20 - - 0 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 60.7 - - 66.3 - - 69.0 - - 64.2 - - 59.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 54.9 - - 51.2 - - 51.8 - - 51.8 - - 50.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 60.3 - - 64.5 - - 68.0 - - 65.2 - - 59.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 54.8 - - 51.1 - - 51.8 - - 51.9 - - 50.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 71 - - 289 - - 155 - - -19 - - 30 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1469 - - 2177 - - 3002 - - 82 - - 1055 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 77 - - 91 - - 73 - - 95 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 - - 8 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96844 78 265 66 259 76 256 79 261 81 267 96844 89577 56 262 50 263 57 263 62 270 56 268 89577 84018 35 265 40 270 37 279 39 272 36 273 84018 79413 23 293 24 270 21 278 22 275 23 277 79413 75458 19 299 19 275 16 248 19 286 18 290 75458 71968 11 281 16 276 15 254 20 280 16 279 71968 68805 10 278 11 278 13 268 17 270 15 257 68805 65897 16 293 9 284 11 280 17 278 15 264 65897 63206 19 281 11 285 15 285 18 281 14 268 63206 60593 18 278 16 282 19 282 19 274 13 270 60593 57861 20 270 18 269 23 264 24 260 20 267 57861 55038 26 266 23 261 27 263 25 263 24 267 55038 52352 31 267 31 262 35 262 38 260 39 265 52352 49935 40 269 41 259 43 250 48 252 47 259 49935 47765 46 265 47 259 45 251 50 257 53 264 47765 45790 53 264 56 265 59 262 54 264 66 264 45790 43975 63 266 68 267 65 267 69 267 69 265 43975 42299 73 265 71 266 73 268 78 270 76 269 42299 40742 73 261 67 261 80 269 84 272 82 270 40742 39286 66 258 64 259 81 271 86 272 82 270 39286 37918 60 262 65 263 77 273 82 272 78 265 37918 36592 58 260 67 265 74 275 70 271 76 264 36592 35237 62 255 66 267 73 276 66 272 74 269 35237 33825 64 255 65 271 73 275 63 272 64 272 33825 32361 61 255 63 275 67 281 54 273 58 272 32361 30831 53 254 59 283 60 280 49 271 54 274 30831 29222 45 254 49 280 55 278 49 267 43 272 29222 27532 42 253 37 269 48 287 43 271 39 270 27532 25760 40 255 36 263 36 287 34 283 31 271 25760 23909 36 260 38 266 30 276 27 278 25 275 23909 21984 33 270 38 270 30 273 25 269 24 270 21984 19975 31 276 34 273 29 275 24 272 24 270 19975 17876 30 284 29 280 23 284 23 277 20 279 17876 15729 27 288 24 283 20 285 16 276 14 277 15729 13658 23 289 19 275 17 275 16 271 11 279 13658 11780 16 287 17 274 15 274 15 272 8 281 11780 10119 7 284 9 263 8 273 9 277 3 292 10119 8654 6 270 1 213 2 096 2 215 6 186 8654 7360 5 085 7 090 7 072 7 111 8 158 7360 6209 3 115 10 062 12 069 10 099 12 131 6209 5189 2 104 12 057 12 068 13 083 16 114 5189 4289 5 044 12 070 15*048 17 054 19 093 4289 3498 13 049 15*059 14*033 19 040 20 080 3498 2792 18 042 14*039 14 031 20 035 19 052 2792 2172 18*017 13 027 14 029 19 034 22*027 2172 1660 17*011 13 024 14 028 18 033 20*021 1660 1268 16 009 13 023 14 028 17 032 19 019 1268 999 15 008 12 022 13 027 14 030 17 019 999 835 14 008 12 022 13 027 11 029 15 018 835 741 11 007 10 022 11 026 7*027 12 018 741 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography