DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/02 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.9 - - 93.2 - - 93.0 - - 84.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 300 - - 36 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4518 - - 6390 - - 5620 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3821 - - 5189 - - 2724 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5178 - - 7050 - - 6280 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2001 - - 1603 - - 2953 - - 564 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 491 - - 510 - - 250 - - 13 W* B/S - - - 17 - - 16 - - 9 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 5 - - 6 - - 5 - - 4 BL Wind Direction - - - 021 - - 006 - - 026 - - 140 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 4 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -5 - - 1 - - -16 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -2088 - - -1679 - - -2598 - - -6302 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 7266 - - 8729 - - 8878 - - 7046 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -6230 - - -5735 - - -6264 - - -11348 ODpotential blCL - - - 11408 - - 12785 - - 12544 - - 12091 blCL maxRH - - - 57 - - 51 - - 51 - - 47 maxRH CAPE - - - 10 - - 10 - - 0 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.9 - - 93.2 - - 93.0 - - 84.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 59.5 - - 57.3 - - 56.6 - - 56.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.6 - - 91.3 - - 92.7 - - 87.5 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.8 - - 56.5 - - 55.9 - - 56.0 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 386 - - 300 - - 36 - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4518 - - 6390 - - 5620 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 9 - - 9 - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99047 40 101 34 101 28 087 35 078 99047 91587 38 095 36 094 36 096 36 088 91587 85851 29 086 39 089 38 091 38 092 85851 81107 33 096 35 087 34 090 36 090 81107 77026 35 101 26 100 30 088 32 082 77026 73417 32 098 24 110 22 088 28 079 73417 70140 27 089 21 107 16 084 23 079 70140 67136 22 092 19 097 15 097 17 082 67136 64362 18 093 16 094 17 080 18 107 64362 61685 21 075 18 093 12 066 21 075 61685 58934 16 054 16 069 8 095 14 063 58934 56101 14 049 15 073 15 085 11 080 56101 53389 23 005 27 017 31 035 23 043 53389 50968 31 341 31 349 34 014 28 024 50968 48821 33 327 31 333 28 351 26 006 48821 46869 30 328 27 334 22 331 23 343 46869 45062 32 338 27 344 21 320 24 321 45062 43371 34 339 28 349 19 316 20 314 43371 41778 37 335 29 351 17 327 16 325 41778 40271 38 334 31 350 15 348 12 338 40271 38843 35 335 32 351 18 012 11 009 38843 37458 30 331 29 349 22 027 15 029 37458 36047 23 329 21 336 23 030 20 036 36047 34583 21 337 15 334 20 024 24 042 34583 33074 20 348 14 354 19 020 23 044 33074 31503 22 351 18 009 20 022 23 043 31503 29857 23 350 21 010 21 023 22 048 29857 28132 20 349 20 005 19 020 20 052 28132 26327 16 351 18 359 16 014 19 046 26327 24443 14 360 15 354 14 007 17 031 24443 22484 16 016 15 356 14 011 16 009 22484 20447 16 019 17 003 15 023 13 003 20447 18318 15 004 15 001 16 014 14 017 18318 16136 15 353 15 357 18 009 17 024 16136 14032 16 349 16 358 14 008 16 022 14032 12131 17 348 17 005 14 013 10 022 12131 10450 17 357 14 009 13 005 10 002 10450 8957 17 009 11 008 11 348 10 355 8957 7629 14 015 7*351 9 343 10 011 7629 6447 12 023 6*351 7*347 10 024 6447 5396 8*024 6 354 6*353 8 032 5396 4469 6*018 6 358 6 005 6 038 4469 3649 5 018 6 005 5 021 5 044 3649 2913 5 019 6 010 5 032 3 056 2913 2263 5 021 6 016 5 039 3 091 2263 1720 5 022 6 019 5 043 4 126 1720 1303 5 024 6 022 6 045 6 135 1303 1017 5 024 6 023 5 047 6 137 1017 843 5 024 6 023 5 047 6 137 843 743 4 024 5 025 5 047 4*140 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography