DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 09/26 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1602z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 91.0 - - 87.9 - - 80.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 230 - - -17 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3154 - - 4330 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 2710 - - 3461 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 3814 - - 4990 - - 744 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1555 - - 1955 - - 5512 - - 486 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 412 - - 408 - - 25 - - 20 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 12 - - 1 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 8 - - 6 - - 7 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 199 - - 160 - - 127 - - 143 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1327 - - -2460 - - -6071 - - -4828 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5141 - - 7450 - - 6815 - - 5572 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4193 - - -5016 - - -8709 - - -10183 ODpotential blCL - - - 8007 - - 10006 - - 9453 - - 10926 blCL maxRH - - - 81 - - 86 - - 54 - - 52 maxRH CAPE - - - 970 - - 260 - - 110 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.9 - - 91.0 - - 87.9 - - 80.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 66.8 - - 60.9 - - 60.7 - - 58.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 85.0 - - 89.4 - - 89.0 - - 81.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.5 - - 60.4 - - 60.3 - - 58.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 329 - - 230 - - -17 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3154 - - 4330 - - 84 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 22 - - 43 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 11 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98503 14 122 9 130 2 043 17 048 98503 91104 14 085 13 114 9 142 6 082 91104 85376 12 100 12 092 13 103 12 082 85376 80609 11 126 7 090 12 073 17 062 80609 76517 15 107 7 104 10 063 13 066 76517 72924 13 082 8 108 10 075 9 092 72924 69682 4 055 6 110 7 068 6 060 69682 66708 3 083 5 100 3 022 8 020 66708 63970 5 025 2 089 5 330 10 015 63970 61345 4 342 5 318 8 325 15 337 61345 58639 8 295 12 302 17 310 17 310 58639 55836 16 286 15 301 20 301 21 306 55836 53140 44 270 30 280 31 293 28 303 53140 50697 42 256 35 287 41 298 41 302 50697 48510 56 279 50 284 53 297 55 301 48510 46536 70 280 60 281 60 296 69 304 46536 44727 76 276 58 277 59 296 78 306 44727 43049 77 269 54 274 51 293 77 307 43049 41484 66 259 50 271 43 288 63 303 41484 40019 63 248 47 268 41 290 50 299 40019 38637 64 252 48 267 40 291 44 296 38637 37296 52 260 48 272 38 290 41 292 37296 35926 45 258 44 277 36 289 41 292 35926 34498 44 256 41 281 34 291 39 294 34498 33015 43 256 37 284 32 293 36 299 33015 31461 44 261 33 283 31 293 31 305 31461 29824 39 263 31 282 28 291 28 310 29824 28103 35 261 31 279 27 291 27 310 28103 26298 33 269 31 278 26 289 26 307 26298 24411 32 267 29 276 27 289 25 306 24411 22445 29 267 25 279 30 288 25 309 22445 20400 20 261 23 275 26 280 22 308 20400 18275 15 257 20 274 21 292 20 299 18275 16113 11 266 14 281 19 290 16 295 16113 14028 7 274 7 282 17 294 14 284 14028 12128 2 214 5 248 12 295 17 307 12128 10437 3 106 3 142 6 282 17 325 10437 8934 7 081 4 104 4 275 12 325 8934 7600 7 067 1 037 6 278 6 320 7600 6416 3 034 3 301 5 271 3 320 6416 5366 4 278 2*219 3 218 1 325 5366 4440 8*247 5*165 7 156 7 167 4440 3624 8*228 6 161 10 143 13 160 3624 2894 8 201 6 160 10 139 16 156 2894 2248 8 196 6 159 11 134 19 153 2248 1710 8 194 6 158 11 131 22 152 1710 1297 8 193 7 158 11 128 22 150 1297 1013 8 193 6 159 11 128 18 148 1013 841 8 192 6 159 10*127 14 146 841 743 7 192 6 158 7*127 7*143 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography