DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 08/09 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 84.7 - - 93.3 - - 95.9 - - 93.7 - - 83.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 204 - - 377 - - 302 - - 38 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1934 - - 5773 - - 6895 - - 4801 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 1647 - - 4797 - - 5586 - - 2231 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top 2594 - - 6433 - - 7555 - - 5461 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1487 - - 2694 - - 2901 - - 3708 - - 1523 Hgt.Variab. W* 299 - - 528 - - 523 - - 242 - - 21 W* B/S 4 - - 12 - - 8 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 8 - - 11 - - 13 - - 11 BL Wind Direction 217 - - 186 - - 175 - - 189 - - 167 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 1 - - 2 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -1 - - -4 - - 3 - - -6 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -636 - - 199 - - -172 - - -1566 - - -2062 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3231 - - 6234 - - 7727 - - 7027 - - 2807 sfcLCL ODpotential -2616 - - -917 - - -880 - - -3387 - - -4735 ODpotential blCL 5210 - - 7350 - - 8435 - - 8848 - - 5479 blCL maxRH 83 - - 92 - - 77 - - 71 - - 73 maxRH CAPE 2350 - - 1830 - - 1140 - - 1200 - - 2590 CAPE Temp@2m 84.7 - - 93.3 - - 95.9 - - 93.7 - - 83.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 72.7 - - 68.3 - - 64.4 - - 65.4 - - 73.5 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 83.5 - - 91.0 - - 94.1 - - 93.5 - - 84.2 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 72.5 - - 67.8 - - 63.8 - - 64.9 - - 73.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 204 - - 377 - - 302 - - 38 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1934 - - 5773 - - 6895 - - 4801 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 33 - - 68 - - 8 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 17 - - 13 - - 13 - - 13 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99107 41 095 39 087 39 109 25 091 29 077 99107 91583 36 090 38 090 37 094 34 099 32 085 91583 85806 36 092 36 096 30 105 32 093 38 087 85806 81049 34 094 29 096 26 105 26 088 38 087 81049 76960 28 091 25 103 24 094 26 083 30 089 76960 73346 21 086 22 099 24 093 23 085 22 094 73346 70073 18 092 21 104 19 091 20 095 17 098 70073 67068 15 094 21 103 13 102 15 085 16 101 67068 64310 12 091 19 103 13 125 10 102 13 100 64310 61673 10 098 12 100 13 130 7 120 8 099 61673 58935 5 101 4 125 8 127 4 146 4 098 58935 56099 5 083 5 155 4 147 5 164 2 132 56099 53406 5 060 6 104 5 159 7 163 2 287 53406 50984 10 071 5 081 4 109 5 166 3 259 50984 48809 13 054 9 087 7 061 2 134 3 225 48809 46839 13 051 8 080 6 049 2 019 3 230 46839 45032 8 017 5 073 2 074 4 253 8 247 45032 43356 6 295 3 255 4 240 8 220 16 245 43356 41786 6 203 11 240 12 249 11 240 20 231 41786 40303 6 187 12 225 14 224 15 248 24 218 40303 38896 8 205 10 228 12 208 15 231 25 214 38896 37528 10 217 11 248 10 217 15 222 24 216 37528 36131 12 226 13 236 11 219 15 228 27 221 36131 34678 14 233 13 222 11 223 17 231 29 225 34678 33169 14 228 13 222 11 225 19 231 27 229 33169 31592 12 219 13 226 14 228 20 232 26 237 31592 29936 10 216 14 233 15 232 20 234 22 249 29936 28204 8 207 17 227 16 236 18 234 17 254 28204 26395 3 314 13 213 17 235 15 237 13 253 26395 24506 4 294 9 215 16 229 14 249 10 264 24506 22540 6 184 8 211 8 237 10 258 5 262 22540 20494 10 106 6 161 7 236 5 297 4 129 20494 18365 22 087 11 124 5 183 4 005 10 092 18365 16190 23 083 9 124 5 128 3 119 10 084 16190 14092 17 083 8 149 5 181 3 169 2 089 14092 12189 9 095 9 163 5 223 2 194 4 255 12189 10500 8 107 8 171 5 219 3 185 5 257 10500 8996 7 105 5 181 6 179 9 165 5 238 8996 7657 6 128 5 178 9*171 13 166 7 214 7657 6467 6 161 5*180 10*171 13*170 11 205 6467 5411 7 183 6*187 11 172 13*174 13 198 5411 4478 9 199 7 188 11 172 13 183 15 190 4478 3654 15 226 8 186 12 174 14 188 17 181 3654 2916 16*226 8 186 12 176 14 191 21 175 2916 2263 15*221 8 185 12 177 14 193 26 172 2263 1720 14 218 8 186 12 178 14 195 26 170 1720 1303 14 216 9 185 12 179 13 195 22 168 1303 1017 13 216 8 185 12 180 13 196 18 167 1017 843 12 215 8 185 11 179 12 196 16*167 843 744 11 215 8 185 10 180 11 197 11*167 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography