DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 10/04 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1559z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 70.0 - - 71.4 - - 72.8 - - 72.0 - - 71.2 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 8 - - 35 - - 5 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 845 - - 663 - - 1219 - - 477 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1505 - - 1323 - - 1879 - - 1137 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1192 - - 1638 - - 2004 - - 2731 - - 2351 Hgt.Variab. W* 89 - - 121 - - 97 - - 44 - - 18 W* B/S 2 - - 2 - - 1 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 10 - - 11 - - 12 - - 10 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 047 - - 030 - - 030 - - 023 - - 009 Direction Wind Shear 4 - - 4 - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg -2 - - -1 - - -3 - - -2 - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 472 - - 556 - - 675 - - 212 - - -73 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 1033 - - 767 - - 1204 - - 925 - - 816 sfcLCL ODpotential 37 - - 184 - - 160 - - -363 - - -1142 ODpotential blCL 1468 - - 1139 - - 1719 - - 1500 - - 1885 blCL maxRH 100 - - 100 - - 101 - - 100 - - 100 maxRH CAPE 150 - - 380 - - 440 - - 470 - - 400 CAPE Temp@2m 70.0 - - 71.4 - - 72.8 - - 72.0 - - 71.2 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 67.7 - - 70.1 - - 69.7 - - 70.1 - - 69.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 70.0 - - 71.2 - - 72.8 - - 72.5 - - 71.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 67.4 - - 69.7 - - 69.2 - - 69.8 - - 69.6 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 8 - - 35 - - 5 - - -6 - - -11 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 845 - - 663 - - 1219 - - 477 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 100 - - 102 - - 102 - - 102 - - 98 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 14 - - 16 - - 15 - - 16 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98195 14 211 15 216 16 238 10 293 1 002 98195 90803 4 191 13 198 15 196 11 232 3 220 90803 85088 7 115 9 164 11 162 7 220 4 170 85088 80349 10 120 4 137 9 087 11 157 2 034 80349 76290 7 052 8 151 4 057 10 099 6 149 76290 72719 7 336 6 133 3 111 4 096 1 108 72719 69507 3 257 3 030 3 113 4 080 2 107 69507 66577 1 202 4 014 1 053 1 062 7 015 66577 63899 4 325 5 021 3 325 2 005 8 324 63899 61341 6 297 5 330 6 324 9 329 5 310 61341 58685 6 311 6 294 10 287 16 302 12 313 58685 55936 14 312 8 289 12 256 17 269 18 276 55936 53317 25 313 23 309 17 308 17 298 17 282 53317 50953 30 301 33 300 32 305 31 302 26 297 50953 48819 30 291 35 289 36 289 38 285 34 290 48819 46864 32 287 32 280 34 280 38 276 35 279 46864 45054 35 280 29 278 32 275 35 270 32 275 45054 43364 44 265 30 275 31 275 31 262 31 269 43364 41777 62 251 38 256 32 278 31 264 32 257 41777 40277 68 241 56 240 34 266 31 267 33 253 40277 38855 68 235 63 236 48 248 30 265 31 254 38855 37471 68 233 63 235 60 240 31 258 30 252 37471 36057 64 238 62 234 63 235 35 252 30 252 36057 34585 57 243 60 234 63 234 37 252 31 257 34585 33058 48 248 55 237 60 241 36 253 33 265 33058 31466 36 254 42 246 46 246 33 256 30 270 31466 29796 28 251 33 248 33 250 29 260 26 267 29796 28054 22 253 27 247 27 249 27 263 20 264 28054 26241 18 253 19 251 21 249 23 246 17 252 26241 24354 16 248 13 242 15 243 19 244 14 257 24354 22389 16 237 16 209 15 223 16 238 11 270 22389 20344 17 232 18 202 20 222 18 238 6 292 20344 18214 10 267 17 210 19 229 12 265 5 311 18214 16037 9 287 10 226 15 254 11 303 5 356 16037 13943 7 308 3 266 9 317 10 348 4 011 13943 12044 4 087 4 252 9 342 10 027 12 067 12044 10357 7 073 3 342 10 026 15 054 17 063 10357 8859 9 076 10 032 13 037 16 060 18 054 8859 7528 10 088 14 044 15 047 13 059 16 049 7528 6346 12 082 16 058 16 057 11 054 13 047 6346 5302 13 068 18 061 16 057 12 052 12 050 5302 4386 19 065 18 054 16 051 15 047 16 053 4386 3581 23 063 18 044 16 044 17 042 19 049 3581 2861 22 058 17 037 16 038 18 039 20 041 2861 2225 18 053 16 034 16*036 18 035 21 031 2225 1695 14*048 15*033 14*031 16 030 20 022 1695 1288 11*047 13*031 13 030 15*026 18 017 1288 1009 10 047 12 030 12 029 13*024 14 011 1009 840 9 047 11 030 11 029 11 023 12*010 840 743 8 046 9 029 9 029 8 021 7*009 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography