DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 07/11 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 86.8 - - 88.6 - - 87.5 - - 82.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 244 - - 53 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3903 - - 4964 - - 4746 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3334 - - 3987 - - 2719 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4563 - - 5624 - - 5406 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 832 - - 1877 - - 2010 - - 4833 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 464 - - 440 - - 268 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 3 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 21 - - 20 - - 18 - - 8 BL Wind Direction - - - 197 - - 192 - - 187 - - 166 Direction Wind Shear - - - 7 - - 7 - - 9 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -12 - - -5 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 237 - - 776 - - 1183 - - -1697 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4326 - - 4848 - - 4224 - - 2441 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -2450 - - -757 - - -209 - - -3079 ODpotential blCL - - - 7013 - - 6381 - - 5615 - - 3823 blCL maxRH - - - 82 - - 78 - - 83 - - 91 maxRH CAPE - - - 1610 - - 1850 - - 2400 - - 2650 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 86.8 - - 88.6 - - 87.5 - - 82.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.0 - - 69.6 - - 71.2 - - 73.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 84.8 - - 87.0 - - 87.1 - - 82.8 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.4 - - 69.0 - - 70.8 - - 73.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 368 - - 244 - - 53 - - -14 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3903 - - 4964 - - 4746 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 27 - - 14 - - 31 - - 62 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 14 - - 15 - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98604 44 094 39 093 44 095 41 083 98604 91208 37 101 31 098 36 088 36 089 91208 85508 29 094 29 106 31 077 31 090 85508 80775 27 083 31 099 27 092 27 081 80775 76702 25 088 30 087 25 101 24 081 76702 73109 24 095 24 086 24 096 25 086 73109 69863 20 087 21 100 20 092 23 084 69863 66889 16 078 19 105 15 091 21 083 66889 64140 15 091 16 112 8 088 16 083 64140 61493 17 110 13 112 5 141 7 082 61493 58756 16 114 9 080 7 097 7 108 58756 55932 12 099 8 075 8 053 8 089 55932 53248 8 073 8 105 5 061 3 075 53248 50839 5 042 8 135 3 162 3 243 50839 48677 6 335 1 177 2 235 3 288 48677 46705 7 304 8 301 7 309 8 323 46705 44889 9 306 12 305 10 304 8 310 44889 43204 7 277 10 294 14 292 8 261 43204 41630 7 228 9 260 16 273 13 260 41630 40151 5 209 7 256 14 255 15 261 40151 38753 3 180 5 262 10 215 13 247 38753 37394 2 026 3 344 8 246 12 239 37394 36006 6 023 6 012 9 285 13 261 36006 34560 7 026 5 348 8 300 15 274 34560 33060 6 063 5 270 6 269 18 276 33060 31489 6 090 8 269 11 268 15 259 31489 29835 2 140 12 301 12 288 14 258 29835 28103 4 350 16 315 12 304 11 279 28103 26296 13 352 13 320 10 308 10 298 26296 24415 16 352 8 320 8 292 8 296 24415 22458 15 347 5 316 7 298 7 279 22458 20421 12 328 7 342 6 338 2 295 20421 18298 7 284 6 313 3 006 5 006 18298 16130 8 242 8 243 4 244 4 323 16130 14038 16 217 13 219 11 217 1 259 14038 12134 18 204 19 203 15 203 7 214 12134 10444 22 209 23 206 21 201 14 218 10444 8946 26 206 22 206 24 199 18 214 8946 7615 26 204 22 201 23 195 20 209 7615 6433 25 206 22*197 22*190 22 201 6433 5386 24*206 22*195 21*188 24 193 5386 4462 22*200 21 194 20 187 25 188 4462 3644 22 198 21 193 19 187 25 184 3644 2910 22 197 20 192 19 186 25 179 2910 2261 21 196 20 191 18 186 25 175 2261 1718 21 196 19 191 17 186 24 173 1718 1302 20 195 18 191 16 186 21 171 1302 1016 19 195 18 191 16 187 16 168 1016 843 18 195 17 191 14 186 14*167 843 744 16 194 14 190 12 186 8*166 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography