DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: THU 10/29 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0955z - - 1002z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 73.4 - - 68.8 - - 65.6 - - 68.6 - - 68.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 88 - - 6 - - 13 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 886 - - 377 - - 420 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1546 - - 1037 - - 1080 - - 742 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1646 - - 1684 - - 675 - - 1406 - - 1525 Hgt.Variab. W* 173 - - 59 - - 80 - - 14 - - 13 W* B/S 4 - - 3 - - 1 - - 1 - - 8 B/S BL Wind 8 - - 4 - - 13 - - 4 - - 0 BL Wind Direction 191 - - 127 - - 182 - - 228 - - 162 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 1 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -1 - - 0 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1455 - - -127 - - -154 - - -1261 - - -581 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3001 - - 1164 - - 1234 - - 2003 - - 1323 sfcLCL ODpotential -3033 - - -1525 - - -3164 - - -4349 - - -2859 ODpotential blCL 4579 - - 2562 - - 4244 - - 5091 - - 3601 blCL maxRH 96 - - 100 - - 100 - - 98 - - 92 maxRH CAPE 390 - - 290 - - 140 - - 100 - - 40 CAPE Temp@2m 73.4 - - 68.8 - - 65.6 - - 68.6 - - 68.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 62.7 - - 66.0 - - 62.6 - - 62.3 - - 64.6 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 72.6 - - 68.9 - - 65.5 - - 68.8 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 62.7 - - 65.7 - - 62.3 - - 62.1 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 88 - - 6 - - 13 - - -2 - - 0 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 886 - - 377 - - 420 - - 82 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 83 - - 102 - - 101 - - 91 - - 69 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 12 - - 14 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 97279 58 252 60 254 71 258 64 277 53 266 97279 89976 39 257 44 255 42 263 40 268 45 264 89976 84335 23 262 28 251 31 265 29 263 31 261 84335 79684 18 252 22 245 22 259 20 269 21 272 79684 75705 17 240 22 239 19 253 19 279 18 272 75705 72204 15 255 19 232 19 244 23 265 19 278 72204 69046 19 284 11 234 18 225 21 243 22 258 69046 66145 23 284 11 273 14 220 17 225 20 231 66145 63455 26 263 16 249 13 234 16 227 18 233 63455 60845 32 241 25 245 18 254 18 234 18 234 60845 58126 29 241 23 241 23 241 23 236 26 234 58126 55320 45 260 34 250 29 239 36 237 30 235 55320 52664 52 237 47 235 47 231 52 237 49 234 52664 50282 54 215 59 222 57 221 54 221 49 231 50282 48142 46 229 62 223 51 221 51 238 67 251 48142 46195 64 268 59 239 56 234 73 251 80 247 46195 44404 90 265 67 251 69 252 78 247 73 245 44404 42745 81 253 84 253 80 251 74 242 66 238 42745 41204 74 248 80 249 81 246 66 240 59 234 41204 39754 74 246 64 246 71 241 61 239 54 236 39754 38377 70 243 54 244 62 238 61 235 50 236 38377 37039 65 241 51 243 60 237 55 234 45 233 37039 35670 59 236 50 240 48 245 46 235 42 230 35670 34242 47 225 50 238 42 252 39 238 40 229 34242 32757 41 232 52 236 41 247 35 238 36 229 32757 31201 44 230 52 235 42 240 30 233 30 226 31201 29562 47 224 48 235 40 237 26 232 25 223 29562 27841 42 220 39 228 40 231 25 251 22 223 27841 26039 34 222 34 226 40 218 26 259 18 260 26039 24159 26 247 28 229 38 202 18 259 14 281 24159 22200 16 252 24 219 29 197 15 257 7 281 22200 20158 15 228 13 192 14 185 16 229 11 248 20158 18036 8 207 10 172 14 168 20 201 7 248 18036 15883 12 186 9 211 7 135 17 167 11 221 15883 13812 14 191 11 220 2 180 17 129 14 186 13812 11932 15 207 9 220 5 222 16 126 14 147 11932 10264 15 224 5 206 4 200 15 144 19 127 10264 8783 11 233 7 193 6 169 10 154 19 121 8783 7466 5 220 8 189 9 152 7 154 14 116 7466 6296 4 224 9 188 13 151 8 150 12 122 6296 5262 8 201 11 190 14 156 11 144 13 131 5262 4352 10 193 12 181 13 167 13 147 14 138 4352 3551 11 200 13 179 12 176 11 154 15 145 3551 2837 11 207 13 178 13 182 8 165 14 155 2837 2207 12 206 11 172 15 184 7 184 12 165 2207 1683 11*200 8 160 17 184 7 213 8 175 1683 1282 9*194 6*146 16*184 7 226 4 191 1282 1006 8 190 4*132 15*183 7 229 2 199 1006 838 7 190 4 125 13 182 6 229 1 192 838 742 6 188 3 123 10 181 4*228 0*162 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography