DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SUN 06/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - 1332z - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 90.9 - - 93.6 - - 90.7 - - 85.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 466 - - 383 - - 91 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3837 - - 4853 - - 3940 - - 83 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3350 - - 4081 - - 2630 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4497 - - 5513 - - 4600 - - 743 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 809 - - 1091 - - 1583 - - 4747 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 494 - - 502 - - 294 - - 19 W* B/S - - - 4 - - 4 - - 2 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 25 - - 25 - - 26 - - 16 BL Wind Direction - - - 203 - - 191 - - 182 - - 169 Direction Wind Shear - - - 9 - - 8 - - 11 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -4 - - -6 - - -12 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -716 - - -229 - - -522 - - -2670 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5213 - - 5743 - - 5123 - - 3414 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -4741 - - -3797 - - -4540 - - -4066 ODpotential blCL - - - 9238 - - 9310 - - 9140 - - 4809 blCL maxRH - - - 76 - - 71 - - 74 - - 84 maxRH CAPE - - - 1760 - - 2330 - - 2000 - - 2000 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 90.9 - - 93.6 - - 90.7 - - 85.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.3 - - 70.6 - - 70.4 - - 72.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 88.6 - - 91.5 - - 90.2 - - 85.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.9 - - 70.2 - - 70.2 - - 72.1 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 466 - - 383 - - 91 - - -23 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3837 - - 4853 - - 3940 - - 83 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 3 - - 0 - - 0 - - 37 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 15 - - 16 - - 17 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 98743 31 079 23 114 18 095 16 072 98743 91296 25 110 25 082 26 094 23 087 91296 85568 22 117 22 079 26 081 27 081 85568 80818 25 106 19 092 20 077 22 074 80818 76745 27 099 17 107 17 075 16 075 76745 73157 24 099 18 105 15 083 16 086 73157 69910 19 093 20 105 11 098 15 088 69910 66939 14 083 17 106 12 110 12 091 66939 64202 7 130 9 121 9 112 8 088 64202 61555 10 194 8 186 4 182 3 064 61555 58800 12 195 10 207 8 203 5 202 58800 55973 3 234 8 184 10 182 10 204 55973 53312 7 288 7 185 5 184 10 191 53312 50938 10 221 6 247 6 230 6 212 50938 48812 10 194 11 279 6 262 5 223 48812 46870 7 209 10 284 6 289 4 270 46870 45071 9 240 8 254 6 262 10 260 45071 43392 11 255 7 229 9 210 13 241 43392 41815 12 264 7 257 7 188 10 216 41815 40327 11 266 10 267 5 179 8 182 40327 38919 9 269 9 279 6 145 8 148 38919 37553 10 280 8 297 5 122 9 132 37553 36162 11 296 4 304 3 108 9 131 36162 34713 8 289 2 203 2 116 6 133 34713 33211 4 283 6 144 3 160 4 143 33211 31637 5 132 8 152 5 198 5 160 31637 29985 13 129 11 163 6 219 4 151 29985 28255 13 129 11 164 8 204 4 161 28255 26443 13 129 12 155 10 169 7 160 26443 24553 9 155 12 163 13 168 7 173 24553 22586 8 173 8 171 9 169 6 178 22586 20534 9 164 7 158 5 161 8 134 20534 18395 11 156 11 171 8 200 6 133 18395 16211 22 162 18 189 12 221 2 157 16211 14110 23 174 20 194 15 212 9 201 14110 12204 21 181 19 191 21 197 18 200 12204 10509 21 183 18 187 22 197 20 207 10509 9000 22 192 18 203 21 207 16 216 9000 7654 24 209 25 212 25 209 21 220 7654 6460 31 216 28*207 28 196 27 198 6460 5406 32*215 26*196 28*188 32 189 5406 4477 27*207 26 193 28*185 36 187 4477 3655 26 205 26 192 28 183 37 184 3655 2918 26 203 26 190 27 182 38 179 2918 2267 25 202 26 190 27 182 38 175 2267 1723 25 201 25 189 26 181 35 172 1723 1305 24 200 24 189 25 181 31 171 1305 1018 23 200 24 189 24 181 25 170 1018 844 22 200 22 189 22 181 22 169 844 743 18 200 19 189 17 180 16*169 743 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography