DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/12 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 92.6 - - 96.5 - - 94.7 - - 87.8 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 305 - - 25 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3465 - - 5089 - - 3159 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3027 - - 4177 - - 728 - - 728 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4125 - - 5749 - - 3819 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 2277 - - 2610 - - 4135 - - 568 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 461 - - 475 - - 189 - - 21 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 17 - - 19 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 202 - - 191 - - 186 - - 181 Direction Wind Shear - - - 4 - - 3 - - 7 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -8 - - -13 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1487 - - -1999 - - -3323 - - -4092 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5613 - - 7748 - - 7143 - - 4836 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -3348 - - -5913 - - -6452 - - -6839 ODpotential blCL - - - 7473 - - 11662 - - 10271 - - 7583 blCL maxRH - - - 67 - - 49 - - 52 - - 71 maxRH CAPE - - - 1990 - - 1010 - - 1240 - - 1510 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 92.6 - - 96.5 - - 94.7 - - 87.8 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 70.2 - - 64.9 - - 65.9 - - 69.0 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 90.1 - - 94.8 - - 94.7 - - 89.4 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 69.7 - - 64.3 - - 65.5 - - 68.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 416 - - 305 - - 25 - - -25 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 3465 - - 5089 - - 3159 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 15 - - 12 - - 13 - - 16 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99111 30 092 27 079 32 081 34 082 99111 91615 27 097 24 085 24 083 30 073 91615 85826 26 099 28 094 24 084 30 069 85826 81035 29 097 26 097 27 085 29 081 81035 76939 29 081 21 095 27 088 27 095 76939 73333 24 078 16 091 19 075 25 092 73333 70069 17 081 14 094 12 073 12 082 70069 67079 11 092 10 072 8 069 8 054 67079 64318 6 087 8 071 6 045 10 045 64318 61643 3 038 8 074 6 038 7 040 61643 58868 3 059 4 093 1 042 4 354 58868 56023 5 069 2 161 5 200 6 273 56023 53343 3 124 2 199 3 236 3 264 53343 50949 7 157 4 174 6 297 4 332 50949 48802 8 119 9 140 4 201 3 207 48802 46847 8 094 11 104 10 155 10 179 46847 45050 5 095 11 083 13 136 13 172 45050 43378 3 129 5 074 11 114 12 169 43378 41809 3 158 1 152 8 096 10 156 41809 40326 4 152 3 143 3 107 6 147 40326 38922 7 128 6 130 2 171 4 159 38922 37557 12 120 9 111 4 168 4 154 37557 36164 14 109 14 097 6 143 8 137 36164 34715 15 098 17 095 6 125 9 127 34715 33210 11 094 16 104 8 129 9 126 33210 31636 8 095 10 112 8 133 9 132 31636 29982 7 115 7 142 7 154 7 131 29982 28249 7 129 7 162 7 170 6 118 28249 26438 4 155 5 164 5 166 5 118 26438 24549 5 142 1 143 2 095 6 100 24549 22586 4 123 1 065 3 001 5 050 22586 20541 1 198 3 307 5 324 6 349 20541 18408 3 276 5 284 6 307 7 332 18408 16233 3 243 5 252 6 302 6 325 16233 14137 4 239 6 243 8 282 7 307 14137 12230 7 237 11 230 10 252 8 265 12230 10536 10 232 14 219 12 218 11 235 10536 9030 9 222 13 206 13 205 13 219 9030 7689 8 210 13 200 14 204 15 214 7689 6495 11 206 15*197 16 203 19 209 6495 5436 14 213 16*195 17 200 23 201 5436 4502 17*210 16 193 19*194 26 195 4502 3675 17*207 17 192 19*190 27 192 3675 2934 17 205 17 191 19 187 27 191 2934 2278 17 202 17 190 19 185 25 191 2278 1730 17 201 17 190 19 185 24 190 1730 1309 17 200 17 189 18 184 22 189 1309 1019 16 200 16 189 17 184 17 185 1019 844 15 199 16 189 16 184 14*184 844 744 14 199 14 189 13 184 7*181 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography