DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 02/28 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 63.9 - - 75.4 - - 77.7 - - 73.0 - - 68.7 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 79 - - 325 - - 265 - - -8 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 443 - - 2171 - - 2852 - - 1466 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 725 - - 1968 - - 2406 - - 726 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1103 - - 2831 - - 3512 - - 2126 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 554 - - 1507 - - 1605 - - 1687 - - 233 Hgt.Variab. W* 133 - - 361 - - 370 - - 48 - - 13 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 4 - - 1 - - 0 B/S BL Wind 13 - - 18 - - 17 - - 15 - - 7 BL Wind Direction 168 - - 180 - - 181 - - 180 - - 159 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 6 - - 4 - - 8 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - 2 - - -2 - - -3 - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -2144 - - -4055 - - -3392 - - -2078 - - -4571 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 3247 - - 6886 - - 6905 - - 4204 - - 5314 sfcLCL ODpotential -7044 - - -7387 - - -6405 - - -5753 - - -10357 ODpotential blCL 8147 - - 10218 - - 9917 - - 7879 - - 11099 blCL maxRH 96 - - 85 - - 66 - - 65 - - 44 maxRH CAPE 0 - - 50 - - 0 - - 40 - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 63.9 - - 75.4 - - 77.7 - - 73.0 - - 68.7 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 52.3 - - 47.9 - - 50.0 - - 57.2 - - 48.4 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 63.4 - - 73.6 - - 76.1 - - 73.4 - - 70.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 52.3 - - 47.5 - - 49.7 - - 57.1 - - 48.3 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 79 - - 325 - - 265 - - -8 - - -33 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 443 - - 2171 - - 2852 - - 1466 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 84 - - 39 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 9 - - 7 - - 8 - - 10 - - 7 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96592 11 208 22 265 21 257 18 281 19 287 96592 89346 10 218 11 241 14 225 15 279 17 293 89346 83792 12 239 11 229 8 218 14 242 16 263 83792 79173 11 247 13 240 12 248 18 246 16 270 79173 75171 8 240 9 235 13 222 19 244 14 258 75171 71631 15 275 7 284 14 247 20 252 10 284 71631 68447 20 280 12 284 15 290 19 278 23 295 68447 65549 23 285 19 281 22 286 25 290 18 295 65549 62874 39 315 27 313 29 312 33 309 32 316 62874 60301 48 306 41 309 42 309 46 310 41 306 60301 57645 55 311 52 308 49 314 49 313 51 309 57645 54890 62 309 62 311 60 313 53 315 54 310 54890 52242 69 303 71 306 69 304 60 311 59 308 52242 49837 71 302 72 300 73 300 68 305 64 305 49837 47658 69 304 73 300 70 300 68 305 70 301 47658 45669 69 311 70 304 69 306 72 305 71 300 45669 43848 78 315 71 314 72 313 75 305 69 299 43848 42174 84 315 79 317 78 317 76 305 68 304 42174 40628 88 313 87 316 86 319 76 307 75 311 40628 39189 91 312 91 312 93 319 76 309 81 313 39189 37837 89 313 92 312 96 318 79 309 78 314 37837 36525 90 317 89 316 96 316 79 308 69 311 36525 35187 94 317 91 317 96 317 76 308 67 314 35187 33791 94 312 92 314 97 320 74 314 64 316 33791 32340 86 311 90 314 91 319 71 317 58 313 32340 30820 73 310 83 315 77 315 66 310 55 308 30820 29220 72 308 68 317 66 317 61 303 54 304 29220 27539 71 305 58 315 59 319 56 304 50 302 27539 25777 59 304 54 308 57 313 52 309 47 310 25777 23937 51 305 56 306 61 312 50 317 46 318 23937 22020 47 304 49 302 55 313 48 321 44 325 22020 20021 44 300 43 300 45 308 42 315 41 332 20021 17940 40 296 40 300 40 303 37 307 35 321 17940 15819 31 299 31 301 34 300 32 303 27 311 15819 13775 23 323 18 297 24 291 25 294 21 306 13775 11913 11 340 8 297 20 276 22 278 19 289 11913 10256 1 011 6 192 12 244 17 260 17 278 10256 8780 9 201 10 204 12 215 14 232 16 262 8780 7467 15 203 11 221 13 198 18 202 16 222 7467 6302 17 209 13 214 15 195 17 198 17 217 6302 5271 17 211 16 203 14 187 17 195 20 207 5271 4364 16 195 17 188 17 176 19 181 22 199 4364 3564 19 174 20*181 17*175 20 173 22 186 3564 2849 25 177 20*179 17*177 19 173 23 173 2849 2217 26 178 20 179 17 179 18*175 26 169 2217 1689 23 178 19 180 17 181 17*178 27 168 1689 1285 21*176 18 180 17 183 16 180 27 168 1285 1006 15*169 17 181 16 184 15 181 20 165 1006 838 13 168 16 182 15 184 13 182 17*164 838 742 11 167 14 182 13 184 10 182 7*159 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography