DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 11/21 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - - - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 67.0 - - 69.3 - - 70.3 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 18 - - 51 - - -5 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 746 - - 1733 - - 1626 - - - - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit 726 - - 726 - - 726 - - - - - 726 Hcrit BL Top 1406 - - 2393 - - 2286 - - - - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1170 - - 917 - - 1586 - - - - - 215 Hgt.Variab. W* 105 - - 201 - - 124 - - - - - 12 W* B/S 2 - - 4 - - 2 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind 11 - - 10 - - 9 - - - - - 4 BL Wind Direction 223 - - 275 - - 269 - - - - - 295 Direction Wind Shear 5 - - 3 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -1 - - -2 - - - - - -1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent 516 - - 527 - - -600 - - - - - -373 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 890 - - 1866 - - 2886 - - - - - 1115 sfcLCL ODpotential 116 - - -3115 - - -5434 - - - - - -4442 ODpotential blCL 1290 - - 5508 - - 7720 - - - - - 5184 blCL maxRH 100 - - 93 - - 68 - - - - - 69 maxRH CAPE 140 - - 0 - - 0 - - - - - 0 CAPE Temp@2m 67.0 - - 69.3 - - 70.3 - - - - - 60.6 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 65.2 - - 63.4 - - 60.0 - - - - - 58.2 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 66.8 - - 69.0 - - 70.7 - - - - - 62.7 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 64.7 - - 62.0 - - 58.7 - - - - - 57.8 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 18 - - 51 - - -5 - - - - - -10 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 746 - - 1733 - - 1626 - - - - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 99 - - 71 - - 0 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 13 - - 12 - - 10 - - - - - 10 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 96320 30 284 31 268 40 280 34 279 96320 89266 19 288 28 299 22 281 23 305 89266 83816 11 314 17 313 12 283 12 324 83816 79279 6 314 5 299 9 297 7 293 79279 75364 2 339 3 263 8 333 3 305 75364 71911 4 055 1 184 6 346 8 356 71911 68801 6 007 1 008 1 298 11 335 68801 65948 7 329 3 352 4 283 7 269 65948 63314 6 286 5 241 8 253 13 211 63314 60773 8 336 8 258 8 250 11 218 60773 58111 22 280 21 253 22 266 23 264 58111 55337 25 259 30 248 30 251 34 262 55337 52667 31 238 38 242 42 257 45 250 52667 50247 35 227 44 244 48 255 52 243 50247 48070 34 233 44 245 45 249 51 237 48070 46084 41 250 44 244 44 245 49 239 46084 44249 46 250 45 240 46 249 56 248 44249 42543 46 249 49 242 49 249 63 252 42543 40949 48 259 52 243 49 246 66 258 40949 39458 57 259 52 245 51 246 73 264 39458 38061 63 253 54 249 57 249 78 263 38061 36716 63 245 60 249 65 254 81 260 36716 35355 56 247 61 245 69 255 82 259 35355 33941 57 254 59 243 69 251 81 258 33941 32472 59 255 59 242 69 247 80 257 32472 30931 59 253 60 244 68 248 80 257 30931 29309 58 252 62 248 70 253 79 257 29309 27607 57 252 60 249 71 255 75 256 27607 25829 57 253 58 249 66 250 71 254 25829 23974 57 253 57 252 63 247 68 254 23974 22042 55 253 54 252 59 246 61 259 22042 20029 50 251 49 252 52 246 47 263 20029 17929 45 249 44 252 45 250 37 260 17929 15786 41 250 38 254 38 254 31 260 15786 13719 42 253 35 251 33 254 29 258 13719 11840 46 253 35 249 33 255 29 258 11840 10173 43 253 34 248 34 253 30 255 10173 8697 33 243 33 249 35 249 28 249 8697 7387 25 239 33 248 33 254 24 247 7387 6227 19 235 33 248 31 261 19 255 6227 5207 13 241 28 248 25 253 15 283 5207 4312 11 265 18 244 17 257 17 301 4312 3524 15 259 14 262 15 274 17 313 3524 2819 19 247 14*273 13*273 18 324 2819 2196 19 241 11*274 11*270 18 325 2196 1677 17*233 10 274 10 269 15 312 1677 1278 13*226 10 275 9 269 13 302 1278 1003 11 223 9 275 8 268 11 299 1003 837 10 222 9 275 8 268 8 297 837 742 8 222 8 275 6 267 4*295 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography