DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: SAT 07/18 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0700z - - 1003z - - - - - 1601z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - - - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 90.6 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 370 - - 316 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4066 - - 4327 - - - - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3457 - - 3601 - - - - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 4726 - - 4987 - - - - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1296 - - 1508 - - - - - 2992 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 469 - - 455 - - - - - 16 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - - - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 17 - - 16 - - - - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 209 - - 206 - - - - - 178 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 4 - - - - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -3 - - -6 - - - - - 1 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - 363 - - -207 - - - - - -2134 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 4363 - - 5194 - - - - - 2878 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -1867 - - -2727 - - - - - -4431 ODpotential blCL - - - 6593 - - 7714 - - - - - 5175 blCL maxRH - - - 83 - - 92 - - - - - 65 maxRH CAPE - - - 2010 - - 1990 - - - - - 2340 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 88.0 - - 90.6 - - - - - 83.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 71.2 - - 70.1 - - - - - 72.8 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 86.0 - - 88.7 - - - - - 84.3 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 70.6 - - 69.5 - - - - - 72.7 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 370 - - 316 - - - - - -15 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4066 - - 4327 - - - - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 32 - - 67 - - - - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 16 - - 15 - - - - - 18 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99144 40 098 43 091 32 079 99144 91592 43 095 42 090 38 088 91592 85790 39 092 41 091 41 087 85790 81026 28 094 31 088 41 083 81026 76956 26 109 22 082 37 074 76956 73376 28 100 21 090 24 064 73376 70146 23 089 20 097 11 061 70146 67174 17 077 19 102 9 059 67174 64416 14 072 17 108 10 058 64416 61751 17 066 18 093 12 082 61751 58984 16 061 16 078 17 077 58984 56135 14 071 12 092 20 062 56135 53437 15 071 17 093 21 068 53437 51015 17 066 25 066 30 080 51015 48838 18 079 24 069 34 070 48838 46856 27 092 22 078 28 057 46856 45035 30 089 23 078 26 059 45035 43345 15 067 29 070 23 064 43345 41769 11 054 16 050 16 069 41769 40288 9 026 10 012 13 055 40288 38891 7 018 8 355 13 030 38891 37536 2 301 5 326 14 026 37536 36150 3 040 3 331 14 015 36150 34703 7 040 4 243 9 333 34703 33199 5 054 5 238 6 287 33199 31628 5 074 2 243 2 242 31628 29976 1 180 5 274 0 116 29976 28240 10 227 9 274 1 279 28240 26418 14 232 9 254 3 218 26418 24514 16 225 10 231 7 199 24514 22536 19 228 12 230 9 218 22536 20479 20 233 13 227 12 225 20479 18338 18 216 14 225 13 226 18338 16161 21 207 19 215 15 243 16161 14066 24 204 24 209 18 235 14066 12160 25 203 24 208 18 228 12160 10469 23 201 21 209 20 217 10469 8966 19 195 19 213 21 205 8966 7632 16 196 19 217 19 203 7632 6447 16 206 18 216 18 203 6447 5396 17*211 16*213 18 203 5396 4469 17*211 16*211 18 200 4469 3649 17 211 16 209 19 196 3649 2915 17 210 16 206 19 192 2915 2265 17 209 16 205 19 189 2265 1722 17 208 16 204 19 188 1722 1305 16 208 16 203 18 188 1305 1017 15 207 15 202 15 184 1017 843 14 207 15 202 12*181 843 744 13 207 13 202 6*178 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography