DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: MON 07/27 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 93.5 - - 96.2 - - 93.2 - - 85.4 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 290 - - 40 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4669 - - 5290 - - 3103 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 3929 - - 4316 - - 727 - - 727 Hcrit BL Top - - - 5329 - - 5950 - - 3763 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1443 - - 1573 - - 2926 - - 815 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 492 - - 475 - - 216 - - 18 W* B/S - - - 9 - - 8 - - 3 - - 1 B/S BL Wind - - - 10 - - 11 - - 15 - - 6 BL Wind Direction - - - 200 - - 190 - - 188 - - 171 Direction Wind Shear - - - 1 - - 1 - - 3 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - -1 - - -7 - - -12 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -1164 - - -2033 - - -3132 - - -3623 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 6493 - - 7983 - - 6895 - - 4367 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -5054 - - -7063 - - -8454 - - -8934 ODpotential blCL - - - 10383 - - 13013 - - 12217 - - 9678 blCL maxRH - - - 59 - - 55 - - 50 - - 56 maxRH CAPE - - - 400 - - 50 - - 230 - - 450 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 93.5 - - 96.2 - - 93.2 - - 85.4 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 67.4 - - 63.6 - - 65.4 - - 68.7 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 91.2 - - 94.3 - - 92.9 - - 86.9 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 66.7 - - 62.8 - - 64.9 - - 68.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 371 - - 290 - - 40 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 4669 - - 5290 - - 3103 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 14 - - 11 - - 12 - - 15 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99122 41 097 40 103 25 099 32 084 99122 91555 38 094 36 088 31 102 26 090 91555 85710 34 091 27 082 36 087 38 083 85710 80924 29 092 18 100 29 077 43 078 80924 76857 26 097 22 102 23 074 32 080 76857 73288 29 096 28 103 22 088 24 091 73288 70058 32 094 32 093 28 087 23 099 70058 67084 27 093 28 083 31 081 26 087 67084 64340 23 097 19 088 27 085 23 080 64340 61712 24 080 21 096 25 093 23 082 61712 59000 26 071 25 076 29 083 27 084 59000 56230 25 070 26 066 29 058 26 073 56230 53630 30 081 27 096 19 074 23 083 53630 51288 39 078 34 095 30 080 29 079 51288 49155 39 068 36 075 33 059 31 058 49155 47194 32 062 32 061 31 052 30 054 47194 45378 25 070 25 057 24 052 24 054 45378 43690 23 082 19 074 19 051 21 043 43690 42108 26 088 20 084 13 064 18 037 42108 40613 25 086 22 085 15 078 16 047 40613 39194 25 076 25 085 18 079 16 055 39194 37815 26 071 28 082 22 077 21 059 37815 36408 27 064 28 076 24 072 24 058 36408 34942 29 056 25 069 24 060 28 057 34942 33423 28 055 22 054 23 047 29 058 33423 31836 25 061 17 046 23 040 27 061 31836 30170 16 071 14 029 18 039 25 052 30170 28423 13 050 17 023 18 047 22 038 28423 26591 17 030 17 028 20 054 16 051 26591 24676 14 031 17 040 18 045 15 061 24676 22688 8 041 16 038 18 037 15 040 22688 20624 5 060 9 021 15 031 15 031 20624 18468 6 046 8 009 12 014 14 029 18468 16264 5 045 6 025 12 018 13 042 16264 14143 2 011 2 352 7 015 11 043 14143 12221 2 281 1 251 2 006 6 030 12221 10518 6 200 5 214 2 197 1 007 10518 9006 8 186 7 212 4 209 2 237 9006 7665 7 187 8 205 7 204 6 220 7665 6476 5 197 9*197 10 200 9 222 6476 5422 7*207 10*192 12 196 13 226 5422 4490 9*204 10 191 14*193 16 218 4490 3666 10 202 11 189 15*190 19 209 3666 2926 10 201 12 188 15 188 20 203 2926 2273 10 199 12 188 15 188 20 196 2273 1726 11 199 12 189 15 188 20 190 1726 1306 11 198 12 190 15 188 19 185 1306 1018 10 198 11 190 15 189 15 179 1018 844 10 198 11 190 14 189 13*176 844 744 9 198 10 190 11 189 6*171 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography