DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: FRI 12/26 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 15Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time - - - 0954z - - 1002z - - 1335z - - 1600z Update Time FCST PERIOD - - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 85.3 - - 72.4 - - 66.0 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 118 - - -26 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1889 - - 3707 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth Hcrit - - - 1646 - - 2629 - - 727 - - 726 Hcrit BL Top - - - 2549 - - 4367 - - 743 - - 742 BL Top Hgt.Variab. - - - 1129 - - 1718 - - 293 - - 240 Hgt.Variab. W* - - - 305 - - 310 - - 12 - - 0 W* B/S - - - 5 - - 5 - - 0 - - 0 B/S BL Wind - - - 11 - - 11 - - 6 - - 7 BL Wind Direction - - - 259 - - 245 - - 172 - - 191 Direction Wind Shear - - - 5 - - 7 - - 0 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg - - - 3 - - 5 - - 1 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent - - - -3017 - - -3711 - - -2406 - - -179 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL - - - 5566 - - 8078 - - 3149 - - 921 sfcLCL ODpotential - - - -8358 - - -8334 - - -7891 - - -5835 ODpotential blCL - - - 10907 - - 12701 - - 8634 - - 6577 blCL maxRH - - - 66 - - 63 - - 56 - - 83 maxRH CAPE - - - 0 - - 0 - - 70 - - 410 CAPE Temp@2m - - - 80.1 - - 85.3 - - 72.4 - - 66.0 Temp@2m DewPt@2m - - - 58.4 - - 52.5 - - 61.1 - - 64.1 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot - - - 78.8 - - 84.3 - - 75.2 - - 68.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot - - - 58.1 - - 52.2 - - 61.1 - - 64.4 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating - - - 224 - - 118 - - -26 - - -28 Sfc.Heating BL Depth - - - 1889 - - 3707 - - 83 - - 82 BL Depth EXPERIMENT - - - 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 32 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 - - - 10 - - 8 - - 12 - - 13 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 95965 54 259 58 249 67 254 60 261 95965 88887 35 251 42 253 43 257 41 264 88887 83450 27 253 33 253 34 272 27 268 83450 78933 26 267 28 269 29 285 18 285 78933 75027 22 263 24 289 22 289 17 289 75027 71579 17 255 21 293 19 284 16 274 71579 68474 22 264 22 280 18 283 11 286 68474 65634 28 270 28 277 27 279 23 277 65634 63037 26 268 29 280 26 274 24 260 63037 60543 29 265 28 269 28 266 27 257 60543 57929 37 265 35 269 34 263 35 257 57929 55200 49 258 50 265 46 263 48 257 55200 52578 59 251 59 256 54 257 56 253 52578 50197 60 250 60 253 59 255 57 258 50197 48040 61 253 63 255 65 258 63 264 48040 46063 62 254 64 256 65 257 65 263 46063 44244 57 254 59 257 58 256 62 260 44244 42572 51 261 49 259 46 260 48 260 42572 41029 45 268 40 260 36 262 37 266 41029 39586 40 277 37 268 32 265 35 268 39586 38220 40 279 36 275 32 269 35 269 38220 36890 39 274 34 277 32 267 35 271 36890 35534 36 271 31 273 33 264 35 271 35534 34120 31 269 28 265 33 261 32 266 34120 32654 27 271 26 261 31 256 29 255 32654 31119 26 279 25 262 30 254 28 248 31119 29503 29 287 19 272 28 259 26 248 29503 27808 33 291 25 287 25 266 24 249 27808 26031 31 291 28 288 23 269 23 248 26031 24174 22 282 23 282 22 264 23 251 24174 22240 19 268 20 266 23 261 24 259 22240 20222 18 267 18 267 23 263 21 261 20222 18117 16 274 15 270 20 265 19 269 18117 15970 13 283 12 271 14 263 16 269 15970 13899 10 282 7 271 9 265 11 260 13899 12011 7 278 10 254 12 279 12 270 12011 10329 11 236 19 258 19 272 18 274 10329 8838 20 237 25 256 23 268 21 267 8838 7515 25 240 27 259 22 266 22 254 7515 6344 22 242 24 263 16 266 18 252 6344 5308 17 256 18 270 11 266 11 258 5308 4394 19 283 13*266 9 261 11 255 4394 3585 19 288 13*261 8 242 11 240 3585 2863 17*283 12 254 10 216 16 224 2863 2225 13*269 11 245 15 203 21 216 2225 1694 12 259 11 239 17 195 25 209 1694 1287 11 257 10 236 18 185 25 199 1287 1007 11 255 10 234 16 179 19 194 1007 839 10 254 10 233 13*176 16 194 839 742 9 253 9 232 6*172 7*191 742 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography