DrJack's BLIPSPOT for: WED 08/05 TSA_TX 660ft pt21226@32.461,-96.932,636ft SPONSORED BY: Texas Soaring Association BLIPSPOT sfc.temp. adjusted by +0.1 degF RUC - Last Analysis,Validation Time = 18Z 3Z ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time 0654z - - 0956z - - 1001z - - 1334z - - 1855z Update Time FCST PERIOD 9 hr - - 9 hr - - 12 hr - - 12 hr - - 9 hr FCST PERIOD Temp@2m 86.8 - - 94.7 - - 96.7 - - 95.1 - - 86.3 Temp@2m Sfc.Heating 208 - - 375 - - 297 - - 17 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1708 - - 6258 - - 7164 - - 3152 - - 84 BL Depth Hcrit 1495 - - 5183 - - 5794 - - 727 - - 728 Hcrit BL Top 2368 - - 6918 - - 7824 - - 3812 - - 744 BL Top Hgt.Variab. 1878 - - 2993 - - 3235 - - 6333 - - 525 Hgt.Variab. W* 289 - - 543 - - 528 - - 175 - - 18 W* B/S 4 - - 8 - - 8 - - 2 - - 1 B/S BL Wind 12 - - 12 - - 12 - - 13 - - 5 BL Wind Direction 205 - - 188 - - 186 - - 187 - - 179 Direction Wind Shear 3 - - 2 - - 6 - - 2 - - 0 Wind Shear Max.Converg 1 - - -4 - - -21 - - -15 - - 0 Max.Converg CLOUDpotent -1634 - - 34 - - -255 - - -5102 - - -4307 CLOUDpotentl sfcLCL 4002 - - 6885 - - 8080 - - 8915 - - 5051 sfcLCL ODpotential -3631 - - -919 - - -2364 - - -8178 - - -7355 ODpotential blCL 5999 - - 7837 - - 10188 - - 11990 - - 8099 blCL maxRH 73 - - 72 - - 61 - - 76 - - 54 maxRH CAPE 1990 - - 1420 - - 870 - - 10 - - 920 CAPE Temp@2m 86.8 - - 94.7 - - 96.7 - - 95.1 - - 86.3 Temp@2m DewPt@2m 71.5 - - 66.9 - - 63.7 - - 58.6 - - 66.9 DewPt@2m Temp@Bot 85.3 - - 92.6 - - 95.0 - - 95.0 - - 88.1 Temp@Bot DewPt@Bot 71.3 - - 66.3 - - 63.0 - - 57.9 - - 66.5 DewPt@bot Sfc.Heating 208 - - 375 - - 297 - - 17 - - -18 Sfc.Heating BL Depth 1708 - - 6258 - - 7164 - - 3152 - - 84 BL Depth EXPERIMENT 0 - - 0 - - 0 - - 6 - - 0 EXPERIMENT EXPERIMENT2 16 - - 13 - - 11 - - 10 - - 14 EXPERIMENT2 PROFILES OF WIND SPEED [kt] AND DIRECTION [degTrue] ----------------------------------- VALIDATION TIME --------------------------------------- Height 15Z 16Z 17Z 18Z 19Z 20Z 21Z 22Z 23Z 0Z 1Z 2Z 3Z [ft] ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- [ft] 99042 43 101 36 094 39 094 39 099 35 081 99042 91584 42 102 36 092 32 092 31 096 36 081 91584 85850 39 098 34 097 30 094 27 085 31 088 85850 81101 35 093 35 099 31 097 26 082 29 100 81101 77009 32 091 34 096 30 099 28 085 27 095 77009 73396 30 086 29 098 25 099 28 078 30 094 73396 70128 27 081 26 105 21 111 21 077 27 077 70128 67135 25 082 26 103 18 116 17 094 20 067 67135 64371 20 081 24 097 15 106 14 103 14 088 64371 61703 11 086 19 093 13 104 11 104 13 080 61703 58943 8 106 12 080 12 093 9 102 8 070 58943 56112 10 111 5 044 11 073 8 082 5 069 56112 53433 11 075 4 338 7 052 8 058 3 091 53433 51026 12 051 3 333 4 348 9 005 6 008 51026 48862 9 045 1 353 4 294 8 324 11 326 48862 46887 6 359 2 334 5 304 9 330 12 324 46887 45065 10 310 7 323 11 334 12 356 13 339 45065 43373 11 307 12 323 15 343 15 010 13 350 43373 41790 11 334 11 325 14 351 16 360 14 352 41790 40300 10 344 7 338 13 357 14 350 14 344 40300 38892 8 339 8 014 13 358 13 342 11 334 38892 37531 8 339 11 003 13 357 12 332 7 316 37531 36147 10 342 11 357 8 357 13 315 6 296 36147 34708 11 352 10 357 5 015 12 305 7 305 34708 33215 9 358 9 357 5 018 11 304 7 312 33215 31652 8 351 8 001 8 347 13 309 7 320 31652 30007 9 356 9 356 14 334 14 309 8 336 30007 28280 11 352 8 347 16 328 15 306 7 349 28280 26468 8 327 4 331 13 317 13 310 9 358 26468 24572 8 316 6 314 11 320 15 323 13 356 24572 22598 10 343 5 342 7 330 9 326 13 350 22598 20542 10 026 7 042 6 005 5 017 7 350 20542 18402 14 055 9 045 7 017 10 021 16 049 18402 16215 15 063 8 070 6 071 6 028 20 040 16215 14104 10 099 2 031 4 058 6 030 16 029 14104 12196 5 132 4 179 4 215 1 001 12 028 12196 10510 6 171 3 178 5 232 3 274 6 028 10510 9011 5 209 4 229 5*210 5 246 3 115 9011 7673 7 195 6*210 6*192 7 227 8 158 7673 6483 9 181 9*194 9 183 8 211 11 167 6483 5427 11 181 11 189 9 182 10 202 12 173 5427 4493 15 180 12 188 12 185 11*194 13 183 4493 3668 16 180 12 187 13 186 13*189 14 192 3668 2928 14*192 12 187 14 187 13 187 16 197 2928 2273 12*205 13 187 14 188 13 187 17 195 2273 1727 12 205 13 187 15 189 13 187 18 191 1727 1307 12 206 13 187 14 188 13 187 18 188 1307 1019 11 206 12 188 14 189 13 187 15 184 1019 844 11 205 12 188 14 189 12 187 13*182 844 744 10 205 11 187 12 189 10 187 5*179 744 PARAMETER KEY: (basic parameter information is provided at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/basic_parameters.html) (more complete parameter descriptions are at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/RUC/INFO/parameters.html) (additional help is at http://www.drjack.info/BLIP/INFO/index.html, e.g. "For NEW USERS" section) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Update Time = UTC Time of BLIPSPOT calculation FCST PERIOD = Hours from model initialization time Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] Hcrit = Height of Critical Updraft Strength [ftMSL] BL Top = Height of Boundary Layer Top (TI=0 height) [ftMSL] Hgt.Variab = Thermal Height Variability (difference between TI=+4{F} & TI=0 Heights) [ft] W* = Thermal Updraft Velocity (subtract glider sink rate to get vario) [fpm] B/S = Buoyancy/Shear Ratio (thermals may be unworkable if 5 or less) BL Wind = Wind Speed averaged through BL [kt] Direction = Wind Direction averaged through BL [degTrue] Max.Converg = Max. Vertical Velocity created by BL Convergence [x10^-2 kt] (note: BLIPMAPs provide better evaluation since convergence lines are usually mobile CLOUDpotent = Expect clouds at or above sfcLCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & sfcLCL) [ft] sfcLCL = Base of Lowest Clouds, if CLOUDpotent>0 (LCL = Lifting Condensation Level based upon sfc. humidity) [ftMSL] ODpotential = Expect extensive clouds at blCL if positive (difference between H(TI=0) & blCL) [ft] bLCL = Base of Extensive Clouds, if ODpotential>0 (bl CL = Condensation Level based upon BL humidity) [ftMSL] maxRH = Maximum Relative Humidity in BL [%] CAPE = Convective Available Potential Energy [J/kg] Temp@2m = Temperature at 2m AGL [F] DewPt@2m = Dew Point Temp. at 2m AGL [F] Temp@Bot = Temperature at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) DewPt@Bot = Dew Point Temp. at 16m AGL (bottom of grid) [F] (intended for DrJack's use) Sfc.Heating = Surface Heating of atmosphere [W/m^2] BL Depth = Depth of the Boundary (Mixing) Layer [ft] EXPERIMENT = Mystery variable for test purposes (intended for DrJack's use) * = Indicates BL Top (TI=0 Height) on profiles Note: printed heights are for 21Z - heights for other times differ slightly Results neglect thermals created by small-scale features not resolved by the smoothed model topography